Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 12 (through games of 11/10/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 10 - 0 7 - 0 36.04
2 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 0 7 - 0 28.72
3 Georgia SEC-E 9 - 1 7 - 1 26.31
4 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 1 7 - 0 24.43
5 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 1 6 - 1 19.45
6 Oklahoma BIG12 9 - 1 6 - 1 18.53
7 LSU SEC-W 8 - 2 5 - 2 17.95
8 Missouri SEC-E 6 - 4 2 - 4 16.32
9 Mississippi St SEC-W 6 - 4 2 - 4 16.3
10 Notre Dame IND 10 - 0 0 - 0 15.13
11 Ohio St BIG10-E 9 - 1 6 - 1 14.92
12 Florida SEC-E 7 - 3 5 - 3 14.03
13 Utah St MWC-M 9 - 1 6 - 0 13.86
14 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 3 4 - 3 13.03
15 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 4 4 - 3 12.91
16 Fresno St MWC-W 8 - 2 5 - 1 12.84
17 UCF AAC-E 9 - 0 6 - 0 12.73
18 Iowa St BIG12 6 - 3 5 - 2 12.45
19 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 3 5 - 3 12.07
20 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 4 3 - 4 11.52
21 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 4 3 - 4 11.39
22 South Carolina SEC-E 5 - 4 4 - 4 10.74
23 Utah PAC12-S 7 - 3 5 - 3 10.53
24 Texas BIG12 7 - 3 5 - 2 10.51
25 Washington St PAC12-N 9 - 1 6 - 1 9.96
26 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 5 3 - 4 9.47
27 Cincinnati AAC-E 9 - 1 5 - 1 9.21
28 Michigan St BIG10-E 6 - 4 4 - 3 9.07
29 Army IND 8 - 2 2 - 0 9.05
30 Purdue BIG10-W 5 - 5 4 - 3 8.85
31 Washington PAC12-N 7 - 3 5 - 2 8.37
32 Syracuse ACC-A 8 - 2 5 - 2 8.11
33 Boise St MWC-M 8 - 2 5 - 1 7.82
34 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 5 2 - 4 7.63
35 Temple AAC-E 6 - 4 5 - 1 7.48
36 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 4 6 - 1 7.25
37 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 6 1 - 5 7.14
38 Stanford PAC12-N 6 - 4 4 - 3 6.28
39 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 4 5 - 1 6.15
40 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 3 4 - 2 5.92
41 Wisconsin BIG10-W 6 - 4 4 - 3 5.48
42 NC State ACC-A 6 - 3 3 - 3 5.22
43 Oklahoma St BIG12 5 - 5 2 - 5 4.95
44 Buffalo MAC-E 9 - 1 6 - 0 4.44
45 Appalachian St SUN 7 - 2 5 - 1 4.39
46 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 4 4 - 3 4.25
47 Georgia Tech ACC-C 6 - 4 4 - 3 4.06
48 UAB CUSA-W 9 - 1 7 - 0 4.05
49 Virginia ACC-C 7 - 3 4 - 2 4.04
50 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 5 1 - 5 3.88
51 Duke ACC-C 7 - 3 3 - 3 3.74
52 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 4 4 - 2 2.83
53 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 5 3 - 4 2.58
54 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 5 2 - 4 2.21
55 Oregon PAC12-N 6 - 4 3 - 4 1.58
56 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 7 2 - 5 1.47
57 USC PAC12-S 5 - 5 4 - 4 0.65
58 Memphis AAC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 0.57
59 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 5 2 - 5 0.51
60 TCU BIG12 4 - 6 2 - 5 0.36
61 Houston AAC-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 0.23
62 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 5 4 - 3 0.06
63 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 6 2 - 4 -0.32
64 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 3 6 - 0 -0.36
65 BYU IND 5 - 5 2 - 0 -0.5
66 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -0.57
67 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 5 2 - 5 -0.66
68 Kansas St BIG12 4 - 6 2 - 5 -0.74
69 California PAC12-N 6 - 4 3 - 4 -0.74
70 North Texas CUSA-W 7 - 3 3 - 3 -0.99
71 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 3 6 - 1 -1.02
72 Marshall CUSA-E 6 - 3 4 - 2 -1.4
73 Baylor BIG12 5 - 5 3 - 4 -1.42
74 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 8 0 - 6 -1.61
75 Troy SUN 8 - 2 6 - 0 -1.66
76 Miami OH MAC-E 4 - 6 4 - 2 -2.05
77 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 4 - 3 -2.35
78 Tulane AAC-W 5 - 5 4 - 2 -2.77
79 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -3.17
80 Toledo MAC-W 5 - 5 3 - 3 -3.24
81 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 -3.67
82 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 5 2 - 5 -4.19
83 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 8 2 - 5 -4.37
84 SMU AAC-W 5 - 5 4 - 2 -4.41
85 Ga Southern SUN 7 - 3 4 - 2 -4.7
86 Kansas BIG12 3 - 7 1 - 6 -5.18
87 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 5 2 - 4 -5.19
88 Florida St ACC-A 4 - 6 2 - 5 -5.37
89 Florida Intl CUSA-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 -5.43
90 Arkansas St SUN 6 - 4 3 - 3 -5.45
91 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 6 2 - 4 -5.76
92 ULL SUN 5 - 5 3 - 3 -6.3
93 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 5 3 - 3 -6.72
94 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 -7.48
95 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 8 1 - 6 -7.69
96 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 5 3 - 3 -8.39
97 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 3 3 - 3 -9.72
98 Navy AAC-W 2 - 8 1 - 5 -10.35
99 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 6 2 - 5 -10.6
100 ULM SUN 6 - 4 4 - 2 -10.69
101 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -11.15
102 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 5 3 - 3 -11.49
103 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 6 3 - 3 -11.68
104 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 8 1 - 5 -11.71
105 Akron MAC-E 4 - 5 2 - 4 -12
106 Liberty IND 4 - 5 1 - 3 -13.16
107 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 7 1 - 5 -13.25
108 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 7 0 - 6 -13.59
109 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 9 0 - 7 -14.01
110 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 5 2 - 4 -14.61
111 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 8 1 - 6 -15.4
112 Old Dominion CUSA-E 3 - 7 2 - 5 -15.52
113 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 -16.21
114 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 8 0 - 7 -16.27
115 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 9 1 - 5 -16.93
116 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 7 2 - 4 -17.15
117 Massachusetts IND 4 - 7 2 - 1 -17.85
118 Georgia St SUN 2 - 8 1 - 5 -17.88
119 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 10 0 - 7 -18
120 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -18.23
121 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 9 1 - 5 -19.01
122 Texas St SUN 3 - 7 1 - 5 -19.19
123 Kent MAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -19.61
124 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 9 0 - 6 -19.84
125 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -20.89
126 New Mexico St IND 3 - 7 2 - 0 -21.77
127 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -24.36
128 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 9 0 - 6 -24.9
129 South Alabama SUN 2 - 8 1 - 5 -25.39
130 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 10 0 - 7 -26.53