Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
Women's College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2023-2024 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 South Carolina SEC 41 - 0 22 - 0 41.39
2 Connecticut BE 35 - 6 23 - 0 35.85
3 Iowa Big10 37 - 5 21 - 3 35.37
4 Texas BIG12 34 - 5 18 - 4 33.12
5 Louisiana State SEC 33 - 7 17 - 5 32.21
6 Notre Dame ACC 31 - 7 19 - 5 30.96
7 Southern California PAC12 32 - 6 19 - 5 30.26
8 UCLA PAC12 28 - 8 15 - 7 30.18
9 Stanford PAC12 32 - 7 19 - 5 30.02
10 NC State ACC 33 - 8 17 - 7 29.48
11 Ohio State Big10 26 - 7 16 - 4 27.75
12 Indiana Big10 26 - 7 15 - 5 26.86
13 Oregon State PAC12 28 - 9 14 - 8 26.83
14 Colorado PAC12 25 - 11 13 - 9 25.78
15 Duke ACC 23 - 13 13 - 9 25.6
16 Tennessee SEC 22 - 14 14 - 8 24.97
17 Kansas State BIG12 27 - 8 14 - 6 24.85
18 Baylor BIG12 27 - 9 14 - 8 24.42
19 Gonzaga WCC 32 - 4 17 - 1 24.3
20 Virginia Tech ACC 26 - 9 16 - 6 24.22
21 West Virginia BIG12 26 - 9 14 - 8 24
22 Utah PAC12 24 - 12 13 - 9 23.03
23 Oklahoma BIG12 24 - 10 17 - 4 22.91
24 Nebraska Big10 26 - 13 17 - 9 22.61
25 Iowa State BIG12 22 - 12 14 - 7 22.43
26 Mississippi SEC 25 - 10 14 - 6 21.95
27 Creighton BE 27 - 7 17 - 5 21.78
28 Maryland Big10 21 - 15 13 - 11 21.31
29 Michigan State Big10 22 - 10 12 - 8 21.28
30 Louisville ACC 25 - 11 14 - 8 21.16
31 Kansas BIG12 21 - 14 13 - 9 19.83
32 Princeton IVY 26 - 5 16 - 1 19.56
33 Alabama SEC 24 - 11 10 - 8 19.3
34 Arizona PAC12 19 - 17 10 - 12 19.02
35 Penn State Big10 23 - 14 11 - 11 18.98
36 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 31 - 3 21 - 1 18.55
37 Texas AM SEC 20 - 14 8 - 12 18.39
38 North Carolina ACC 20 - 14 11 - 9 18.2
39 Auburn SEC 21 - 13 10 - 10 18.14
40 Middle Tennessee CUSA 32 - 5 21 - 0 18.11
41 Syracuse ACC 24 - 9 13 - 7 18.03
42 Richmond A10 32 - 6 22 - 2 17.82
43 Florida State ACC 25 - 12 16 - 8 17.71
44 Michigan Big10 22 - 15 13 - 11 17.71
45 Illinois Big10 19 - 16 8 - 12 17.37
46 Marquette BE 24 - 10 13 - 9 16.3
47 Villanova BE 22 - 14 11 - 9 16.23
48 Washington State PAC12 21 - 16 7 - 13 16.2
49 Mississippi State SEC 23 - 13 8 - 10 16.03
50 Columbia IVY 24 - 7 15 - 2 15.64
51 Vanderbilt SEC 23 - 11 9 - 9 15.32
52 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 30 - 5 20 - 0 14.82
53 Marshall SUN 28 - 7 22 - 1 14.71
54 Toledo MAC 30 - 6 20 - 2 14.61
55 Green Bay HOR 28 - 7 21 - 3 14.43
56 Miami ACC 20 - 13 10 - 12 14.32
57 South Dakota State SUM 28 - 6 20 - 0 14.08
58 Texas Christian BIG12 22 - 13 8 - 12 13.76
59 California PAC12 20 - 16 9 - 13 13.75
60 Drake MVC 31 - 6 24 - 1 13.43
61 Saint Josephs A10 28 - 7 15 - 5 13.31
62 Washington PAC12 16 - 16 6 - 14 13.08
63 Florida SEC 18 - 17 9 - 13 12.56
64 Stony Brook CAA 30 - 5 19 - 3 12.26
65 George Mason A10 23 - 9 14 - 6 12.03
66 Georgetown BE 26 - 12 15 - 10 12
67 Virginia Commonwealth A10 26 - 7 15 - 5 12
68 Oklahoma State BIG12 14 - 17 7 - 13 11.91
69 Virginia ACC 16 - 17 7 - 13 11.5
70 Ball State MAC 30 - 6 19 - 3 11.44
71 Seton Hall BE 18 - 16 10 - 12 10.83
72 Rhode Island A10 24 - 15 16 - 10 10.63
73 Fairfield MAAC 33 - 2 25 - 0 10.61
74 Purdue Big10 16 - 20 7 - 15 10.56
75 Cleveland State HOR 30 - 6 21 - 3 10.49
76 Belmont MVC 28 - 9 20 - 4 10.02
77 Saint Johns BE 18 - 16 11 - 9 9.91
78 Georgia Tech ACC 18 - 17 9 - 13 9.5
79 Minnesota Big10 21 - 17 7 - 15 9.48
80 Tulsa Amer 26 - 10 14 - 6 9.47
81 Boston College ACC 15 - 20 7 - 15 9.4
82 Temple Amer 21 - 12 15 - 6 9.18
83 Arkansas SEC 18 - 16 6 - 12 8.89
84 Eastern Washington BSky 31 - 6 21 - 2 8.81
85 North Texas Amer 24 - 9 14 - 6 8.8
86 Santa Clara WCC 25 - 9 12 - 5 8.79
87 James Madison SUN 25 - 12 17 - 6 8.63
88 Texas Tech BIG12 18 - 17 7 - 15 8.49
89 Chattanooga SC 31 - 5 19 - 1 7.82
90 Troy SUN 22 - 13 15 - 5 7.79
91 Cal Baptist WAC 30 - 4 22 - 2 7.53
92 Harvard IVY 17 - 12 10 - 6 7.43
93 Brigham Young BIG12 16 - 18 6 - 14 7.38
94 Davidson A10 18 - 8 8 - 7 7.35
95 Portland WCC 22 - 13 14 - 6 7.2
96 Rice Amer 20 - 16 14 - 10 7.16
97 Cincinnati BIG12 15 - 19 7 - 15 6.82
98 Jackson State SWAC 29 - 7 24 - 0 6.72
99 Northern Iowa MVC 18 - 16 17 - 7 6.6
100 Maine AE 25 - 10 18 - 2 6.49
101 Duquesne A10 23 - 14 17 - 7 6.49
102 Grand Canyon WAC 24 - 9 16 - 6 6.37
103 South Florida Amer 21 - 14 13 - 9 6.24
104 Kent State MAC 21 - 13 15 - 7 6.05
105 North Dakota State SUM 23 - 12 16 - 4 5.97
106 Missouri SEC 11 - 20 2 - 16 5.92
107 Norfolk State MEAC 29 - 6 18 - 1 5.85
108 UC Irvine BW 25 - 9 19 - 4 5.78
109 Old Dominion SUN 23 - 11 14 - 8 5.72
110 Clemson ACC 12 - 20 5 - 15 5.61
111 Saint Louis A10 24 - 19 12 - 11 5.54
112 Missouri State MVC 24 - 11 18 - 7 5.51
113 East Carolina Amer 21 - 14 14 - 10 5.29
114 Central Florida BIG12 12 - 18 3 - 17 5.19
115 Wisconsin Big10 15 - 18 6 - 14 5.01
116 Arizona State PAC12 11 - 21 3 - 17 4.93
117 Kentucky SEC 13 - 21 6 - 14 4.92
118 Georgia SEC 12 - 19 3 - 15 4.88
119 Vermont AE 26 - 12 15 - 5 4.62
120 Montana BSky 24 - 10 15 - 6 4.48
121 Houston BIG12 14 - 17 5 - 15 4.44
122 Colorado State MWC 21 - 11 12 - 9 4.42
123 Oregon PAC12 11 - 22 2 - 18 4.16
124 Southern Indiana OVC 27 - 7 21 - 1 4.07
125 Northern Arizona BSky 26 - 10 19 - 4 4.01
126 IPFW HOR 24 - 13 15 - 8 3.75
127 Monmouth CAA 24 - 10 16 - 5 3.65
128 Texas San Antonio Amer 19 - 15 12 - 9 3.64
129 Lamar SLND 25 - 7 19 - 2 3.4
130 DePaul BE 12 - 21 4 - 16 3.36
131 Illinois State MVC 23 - 13 15 - 9 3.29
132 Liberty CUSA 19 - 17 14 - 7 3.28
133 Providence BE 14 - 22 8 - 14 3.27
134 Wyoming MWC 18 - 16 11 - 9 3.16
135 College of Charleston CAA 24 - 10 15 - 6 3.03
136 Wake Forest ACC 8 - 26 4 - 18 3.01
137 Murray State MVC 21 - 13 14 - 10 3
138 Hawaii BW 22 - 11 19 - 4 2.62
139 Niagara MAAC 22 - 14 18 - 6 2.6
140 UL Monroe SUN 22 - 15 12 - 10 2.48
141 Oral Roberts SUM 22 - 11 13 - 6 2.4
142 Drexel CAA 21 - 15 16 - 8 2.36
143 Memphis Amer 13 - 19 9 - 12 2.27
144 Pacific WCC 21 - 15 12 - 9 2.21
145 Texas AM CC SLND 24 - 9 17 - 4 2.01
146 Butler BE 15 - 18 6 - 14 1.95
147 San Diego State MWC 24 - 13 15 - 9 1.93
148 New Mexico MWC 22 - 11 13 - 7 1.85
149 Southern Miss SUN 21 - 15 12 - 10 1.67
150 North Carolina AT CAA 23 - 13 15 - 7 1.64
151 Pennsylvania IVY 15 - 14 7 - 9 1.62
152 Brown IVY 17 - 11 8 - 7 1.41
153 UL Lafayette SUN 21 - 15 14 - 10 1.08
154 Stephen F Austin WAC 23 - 13 17 - 8 0.92
155 Albany AE 26 - 7 15 - 4 0.87
156 Siena MAAC 19 - 12 16 - 7 0.74
157 Towson CAA 20 - 12 12 - 9 0.7
158 South Dakota SUM 24 - 13 11 - 8 0.62
159 Southern Methodist Amer 14 - 18 8 - 13 0.47
160 Boise State MWC 22 - 15 13 - 10 0.17
161 Charlotte Amer 16 - 17 9 - 12 0.03
162 Holy Cross PAT 22 - 13 15 - 7 -0.01
163 Central Arkansas ASUN 22 - 12 14 - 6 -0.01
164 Colgate PAT 21 - 14 12 - 9 -0.21
165 Tulane Amer 14 - 21 7 - 17 -0.25
166 Loyola Ill A10 16 - 17 10 - 12 -0.5
167 Appalachian State SUN 18 - 16 11 - 11 -0.52
168 San Francisco WCC 14 - 17 10 - 8 -0.6
169 Northwestern Big10 9 - 22 4 - 16 -0.77
170 Rutgers Big10 8 - 25 2 - 18 -0.87
171 UC Davis BW 22 - 14 18 - 8 -1.02
172 Pittsburgh ACC 8 - 25 2 - 18 -1.56
173 Buffalo MAC 20 - 15 13 - 10 -1.76
174 UNC Greensboro SC 23 - 13 12 - 8 -1.86
175 Eastern Kentucky ASUN 23 - 12 11 - 8 -1.9
176 Florida International CUSA 22 - 13 12 - 7 -1.91
177 Montana State BSky 18 - 16 12 - 9 -1.94
178 Southeast Louisiana SLND 20 - 12 16 - 5 -1.96
179 Louisiana Tech CUSA 15 - 20 9 - 11 -1.96
180 William and Mary CAA 15 - 15 11 - 8 -2.17
181 Illinois Chicago MVC 19 - 17 12 - 12 -2.21
182 Alabama Birmingham Amer 18 - 16 9 - 12 -2.28
183 Fordham A10 12 - 18 7 - 12 -2.29
184 Mercer SC 16 - 18 10 - 8 -2.75
185 Austin Peay ASUN 19 - 16 12 - 9 -2.93
186 Bowling Green MAC 17 - 16 11 - 10 -2.94
187 Wright State HOR 18 - 15 13 - 10 -3
188 Texas Arlington WAC 17 - 17 13 - 11 -3.03
189 Wofford SC 18 - 14 10 - 8 -3.06
190 Sacred Heart NEC 25 - 10 19 - 1 -3.08
191 George Washington A10 13 - 19 6 - 14 -3.16
192 Utah Tech WAC 20 - 14 14 - 9 -3.18
193 UC Riverside BW 19 - 14 15 - 8 -3.21
194 Campbell CAA 18 - 15 11 - 11 -3.33
195 Cal Poly BW 18 - 15 14 - 8 -3.94
196 Wichita State Amer 12 - 23 8 - 15 -3.99
197 Western Kentucky CUSA 15 - 18 6 - 12 -4.02
198 Nevada MWC 17 - 16 11 - 9 -4.32
199 Grambling State SWAC 26 - 10 19 - 4 -4.32
200 Georgia State SUN 15 - 16 9 - 11 -4.64
201 Northern Colorado BSky 15 - 17 10 - 10 -4.68
202 Howard MEAC 16 - 17 13 - 6 -4.9
203 Delaware CAA 12 - 21 8 - 13 -4.99
204 Coastal Carolina SUN 13 - 22 7 - 15 -5.02
205 Binghamton AE 15 - 17 10 - 9 -5.02
206 Arkansas State SUN 13 - 18 6 - 14 -5.04
207 Milwaukee HOR 16 - 17 10 - 12 -5.09
208 East Tennessee State SC 18 - 13 7 - 9 -5.24
209 Abilene Christian WAC 15 - 17 11 - 12 -5.36
210 Northern Kentucky HOR 12 - 21 10 - 14 -5.58
211 Boston PAT 20 - 13 12 - 10 -5.59
212 New Mexico State CUSA 14 - 18 8 - 11 -5.67
213 Long Beach State BW 16 - 19 11 - 14 -5.7
214 Southern SWAC 18 - 15 16 - 6 -5.81
215 Fresno State MWC 16 - 19 9 - 13 -5.82
216 Youngstown State HOR 15 - 19 11 - 13 -5.85
217 Lipscomb ASUN 17 - 14 10 - 8 -5.95
218 Lehigh PAT 18 - 13 10 - 10 -6.23
219 Idaho BSky 16 - 16 9 - 11 -6.51
220 San Diego WCC 10 - 23 6 - 14 -6.51
221 Florida Atlantic Amer 11 - 21 6 - 15 -6.59
222 Air Force MWC 15 - 18 8 - 12 -6.66
223 Tennessee Martin OVC 18 - 18 15 - 9 -6.67
224 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 17 - 18 12 - 10 -6.71
225 Saint Marys WCC 13 - 19 6 - 12 -6.74
226 Northern Illinois MAC 17 - 16 10 - 11 -6.75
227 Incarnate Word SLND 18 - 12 12 - 8 -6.82
228 Texas State SUN 14 - 19 4 - 16 -7.01
229 Loyola Marymount WCC 12 - 20 7 - 13 -7.05
230 Southern Illinois MVC 13 - 20 8 - 15 -7.22
231 Tennessee Tech OVC 17 - 16 12 - 10 -7.27
232 Manhattan MAAC 19 - 13 12 - 11 -7.36
233 Dayton A10 13 - 20 6 - 15 -7.42
234 Stetson ASUN 17 - 16 12 - 6 -7.54
235 Loyola MD PAT 16 - 16 11 - 10 -7.6
236 Georgia Southern SUN 16 - 19 6 - 16 -7.69
237 Canisius MAAC 17 - 15 12 - 11 -7.75
238 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 16 - 16 9 - 8 -7.84
239 Jacksonville ASUN 12 - 21 8 - 12 -7.85
240 Navy PAT 16 - 17 12 - 10 -7.9
241 Le Moyne NEC 18 - 15 16 - 3 -7.94
242 Mt St Marys MAAC 15 - 17 12 - 11 -8.11
243 Texas El Paso CUSA 12 - 20 7 - 12 -8.13
244 High Point BSth 21 - 13 16 - 4 -8.2
245 Yale IVY 8 - 20 5 - 10 -8.26
246 Presbyterian BSth 24 - 15 14 - 8 -8.26
247 Coppin State MEAC 14 - 18 11 - 7 -8.35
248 Bucknell PAT 14 - 19 11 - 11 -8.45
249 Western Michigan MAC 12 - 20 7 - 14 -8.77
250 Detroit HOR 18 - 17 11 - 13 -8.89
251 Saint Thomas SUM 15 - 17 7 - 11 -9.04
252 UC Santa Barbara BW 16 - 17 10 - 13 -9.1
253 Jacksonville State CUSA 13 - 17 8 - 10 -9.19
254 Arkansas Little Rock OVC 12 - 19 11 - 9 -9.34
255 UC San Diego BW 12 - 21 8 - 14 -9.34
256 Quinnipiac MAAC 15 - 18 12 - 12 -9.46
257 Eastern Illinois OVC 16 - 19 13 - 9 -9.62
258 Akron MAC 12 - 19 7 - 13 -9.71
259 Idaho State BSky 11 - 21 7 - 14 -9.85
260 Ohio MAC 12 - 20 9 - 12 -10.01
261 Oakland HOR 12 - 18 8 - 14 -10.07
262 Texas AM Commerce SLND 16 - 16 11 - 11 -10.07
263 Bryant AE 15 - 16 8 - 10 -10.23
264 Indiana State MVC 11 - 23 7 - 17 -10.87
265 Kennesaw St ASUN 11 - 20 7 - 11 -11.01
266 Western Illinois OVC 18 - 13 9 - 11 -11.16
267 Army PAT 12 - 18 9 - 11 -11.34
268 Furman SC 15 - 17 5 - 11 -11.37
269 Morehead State OVC 15 - 16 10 - 10 -11.42
270 Elon CAA 12 - 22 8 - 13 -11.65
271 Samford SC 14 - 17 6 - 10 -11.67
272 Massachusetts A10 6 - 28 4 - 18 -11.8
273 North Alabama ASUN 12 - 19 8 - 10 -12.05
274 Cornell IVY 7 - 20 1 - 14 -12.07
275 American PAT 11 - 21 9 - 12 -12.08
276 Denver SUM 8 - 23 5 - 13 -12.09
277 Miami OH MAC 10 - 21 7 - 13 -12.24
278 Tarleton State WAC 12 - 21 9 - 15 -12.33
279 Bethune Cookman SWAC 15 - 18 6 - 14 -12.4
280 Alabama AM SWAC 15 - 18 10 - 11 -12.43
281 Cal State Fullerton BW 10 - 23 6 - 17 -12.48
282 Omaha SUM 9 - 24 5 - 15 -12.49
283 Nicholls State SLND 14 - 19 8 - 13 -12.52
284 North Carolina Central MEAC 18 - 15 12 - 6 -12.58
285 La Salle A10 8 - 23 5 - 15 -12.63
286 Radford BSth 17 - 19 13 - 9 -12.63
287 Sacramento State BSky 7 - 27 6 - 17 -12.76
288 New Orleans SLND 12 - 19 9 - 11 -12.81
289 Alcorn State SWAC 14 - 21 12 - 12 -12.88
290 UMBC AE 10 - 20 6 - 12 -13.08
291 Northwestern State SLND 12 - 20 7 - 13 -13.26
292 South Carolina Upstate BSth 17 - 17 12 - 8 -13.49
293 NJ Tech AE 12 - 19 4 - 14 -13.5
294 IUPUI HOR 7 - 24 5 - 17 -13.75
295 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 15 - 17 13 - 6 -13.76
296 Southern Utah WAC 9 - 23 7 - 16 -13.87
297 Hofstra CAA 11 - 23 5 - 18 -13.99
298 Iona MAAC 11 - 21 6 - 17 -14.12
299 UMKC SUM 12 - 21 3 - 15 -14.13
300 Weber State BSky 9 - 27 6 - 17 -14.18
301 Seattle WAC 7 - 24 7 - 15 -14.2
302 Northeastern CAA 10 - 17 6 - 11 -14.23
303 Bellarmine ASUN 10 - 20 5 - 13 -14.29
304 New Hampshire AE 9 - 20 3 - 13 -14.34
305 Tennessee State OVC 12 - 20 9 - 13 -14.58
306 North Dakota SUM 9 - 22 5 - 13 -14.8
307 Eastern Michigan MAC 8 - 23 4 - 16 -14.98
308 Xavier BE 1 - 28 0 - 20 -15.04
309 Utah Valley WAC 11 - 20 6 - 16 -15.19
310 Lafayette PAT 10 - 22 5 - 16 -15.38
311 Florida AM SWAC 10 - 22 9 - 12 -15.43
312 Saint Bonaventure A10 4 - 27 1 - 19 -15.46
313 Charleston Southern BSth 11 - 20 8 - 10 -15.5
314 Rider MAAC 10 - 23 7 - 17 -15.86
315 North Florida ASUN 9 - 21 3 - 13 -15.95
316 San Jose State MWC 7 - 26 2 - 19 -16.14
317 Valparaiso MVC 5 - 27 4 - 19 -16.2
318 Dartmouth IVY 7 - 20 1 - 14 -16.26
319 SE Missouri State OVC 9 - 20 6 - 12 -16.32
320 Sam Houston State CUSA 7 - 24 2 - 17 -16.32
321 Central Michigan MAC 6 - 24 4 - 15 -16.5
322 South Alabama SUN 9 - 24 2 - 18 -16.66
323 Cal State Bakersfield BW 8 - 22 5 - 16 -16.69
324 UMass Lowell AE 4 - 26 4 - 14 -16.83
325 Marist MAAC 7 - 26 5 - 18 -16.98
326 Texas Pan American WAC 6 - 25 5 - 17 -16.98
327 Prairie View SWAC 11 - 20 7 - 14 -17.76
328 Winthrop BSth 14 - 17 8 - 10 -17.89
329 Texas Southern SWAC 9 - 22 8 - 12 -18.41
330 Merrimack NEC 12 - 20 9 - 10 -18.43
331 Bradley MVC 6 - 28 2 - 21 -18.53
332 Saint Peters MAAC 7 - 25 4 - 19 -18.88
333 Lindenwood OVC 7 - 21 5 - 13 -18.9
334 Morgan State MEAC 8 - 24 3 - 14 -19.3
335 Portland State BSky 8 - 25 3 - 18 -19.64
336 Longwood BSth 9 - 22 6 - 12 -19.95
337 Pepperdine WCC 5 - 26 1 - 17 -20.06
338 Hampton CAA 3 - 28 3 - 18 -20.12
339 UNC Asheville BSth 12 - 21 6 - 14 -20.13
340 Robert Morris HOR 6 - 25 2 - 20 -20.21
341 Evansville MVC 4 - 30 2 - 21 -20.21
342 Cal State Northridge BW 3 - 28 1 - 20 -20.5
343 Central Connecticut State NEC 9 - 22 7 - 11 -20.63
344 Delaware State MEAC 8 - 22 4 - 13 -21
345 Western Carolina SC 6 - 25 1 - 15 -21.45
346 SIU Edwardsville OVC 5 - 26 2 - 16 -21.63
347 Gardner Webb BSth 6 - 25 5 - 13 -21.85
348 Queens ASUN 7 - 22 1 - 15 -22.7
349 Utah State MWC 5 - 27 2 - 19 -22.85
350 UNC Wilmington CAA 5 - 27 3 - 18 -22.99
351 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 4 - 29 3 - 17 -23.09
352 Houston Christian SLND 6 - 24 1 - 18 -23.45
353 Mcneese State SLND 6 - 26 2 - 17 -24.7
354 LIU Brooklyn NEC 9 - 22 6 - 12 -24.7
355 Alabama State SWAC 3 - 28 3 - 17 -25.4
356 Wagner NEC 9 - 21 5 - 12 -26.33
357 Stonehill NEC 4 - 27 4 - 14 -29.12
358 South Carolina State MEAC 2 - 30 1 - 16 -30.49
359 Saint Francis Penn NEC 5 - 26 4 - 14 -30.49
360 Chicago State Ind 1 - 26 1 - 0 -30.61