Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2022 Postseason

NOTE: The conference affiliations got messed up since I generated this during the 2023 season. I am working to correct this.

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Georgia SEC 15 - 0 8 - 0 29.22
2 Alabama SEC 11 - 2 6 - 2 25.19
3 Ohio St Big10 11 - 2 8 - 1 22.33
4 Tennessee SEC 11 - 2 5 - 2 20.94
5 Michigan Big10 13 - 1 10 - 0 18.77
6 Penn St Big10 11 - 2 7 - 2 17.67
7 LSU SEC 10 - 4 6 - 3 15.89
8 Clemson ACC 11 - 3 2 - 1 14.32
9 Texas BIG12 8 - 5 6 - 3 14.02
10 Utah PAC12 10 - 4 8 - 2 13.34
11 Kansas St BIG12 10 - 4 8 - 2 12.58
12 TCU BIG12 13 - 2 9 - 1 12.1
13 Florida St ACC 10 - 3 2 - 0 11.73
14 Notre Dame ACC 9 - 4 1 - 0 10.73
15 Mississippi St SEC 9 - 4 4 - 4 10.6
16 Washington PAC12 11 - 2 7 - 2 10.28
17 Oregon PAC12 10 - 3 7 - 2 9.87
18 Oregon St PAC12 10 - 3 6 - 3 9.69
19 USC PAC12 11 - 3 8 - 2 9.1
20 Louisville ACC 8 - 5 0 - 2 8.55
21 Iowa Big10 8 - 5 5 - 4 8.51
22 Tulane Amer 12 - 2 8 - 1 7.75
23 Florida SEC 6 - 7 2 - 5 7.38
24 Oklahoma BIG12 6 - 7 3 - 6 7.25
25 Minnesota Big10 9 - 4 5 - 4 6.99
26 Illinois Big10 8 - 5 5 - 4 6.49
27 Auburn SEC 5 - 7 1 - 6 6.41
28 Mississippi SEC 8 - 5 4 - 4 6.31
29 Texas Tech BIG12 8 - 5 5 - 4 5.94
30 South Carolina SEC 8 - 5 4 - 3 5.65
31 Wake Forest ACC 8 - 5 0 - 2 5.53
32 Arkansas SEC 7 - 6 3 - 4 5.52
33 Wisconsin Big10 7 - 6 4 - 5 5.49
34 Texas A&M SEC 5 - 7 2 - 6 5.34
35 Pittsburgh ACC 9 - 4 4 - 2 5.06
36 Fresno St MWC 10 - 4 8 - 1 4.98
37 UCLA PAC12 9 - 4 6 - 3 4.82
38 Kentucky SEC 7 - 6 2 - 5 4.81
39 UCF Amer 9 - 5 6 - 3 3.98
40 Boise St MWC 10 - 4 8 - 1 3.81
41 Air Force MWC 10 - 3 5 - 3 3.8
42 Cincinnati Amer 9 - 4 6 - 2 3.75
43 Missouri SEC 6 - 7 0 - 0 3.68
44 Baylor BIG12 6 - 7 4 - 5 3.38
45 Maryland Big10 8 - 5 4 - 5 3.11
46 Memphis Amer 7 - 6 3 - 5 2.8
47 Washington St PAC12 7 - 6 4 - 5 2.78
48 Troy CUSA 12 - 2 7 - 1 2.64
49 Iowa St BIG12 4 - 8 1 - 8 2.32
50 Duke ACC 9 - 4 3 - 3 2.26
51 James Madison CUSA 8 - 3 6 - 0 1.96
52 UT San Antonio 11 - 3 9 - 0 1.74
53 Houston Amer 8 - 5 5 - 3 1.71
54 North Carolina ACC 9 - 5 5 - 1 1.58
55 NC State ACC 8 - 5 1 - 1 1.51
56 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 6 4 - 5 1.31
57 WKU 9 - 5 6 - 2 1.29
58 Michigan St Big10 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.39
59 SMU Amer 7 - 6 5 - 3 0.26
60 BYU IND 8 - 5 1 - 1 -0.34
61 Purdue Big10 8 - 6 6 - 4 -0.38
62 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -0.84
63 Marshall SUN 9 - 4 1 - 0 -0.93
64 Syracuse ACC 7 - 6 2 - 0 -0.95
65 Army CUSA 6 - 6 0 - 0 -1.38
66 Kansas BIG12 6 - 7 3 - 6 -1.79
67 Navy Amer 4 - 8 4 - 4 -1.87
68 East Carolina Amer 8 - 5 4 - 4 -1.92
69 Appalachian St CUSA 6 - 6 3 - 3 -2.32
70 Louisiana CUSA 6 - 7 2 - 4 -2.5
71 Nebraska Big10 4 - 8 3 - 6 -2.51
72 Ohio MAC 10 - 4 7 - 2 -2.52
73 California PAC12 4 - 8 2 - 7 -3.85
74 South Alabama CUSA 10 - 3 6 - 1 -3.95
75 Arizona PAC12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -3.97
76 UAB 7 - 6 4 - 4 -4.03
77 San Diego St MWC 7 - 6 5 - 3 -4.07
78 Toledo MAC 9 - 5 6 - 3 -4.22
79 Arizona St PAC12 3 - 9 2 - 7 -4.48
80 Indiana Big10 4 - 8 2 - 7 -5.13
81 Vanderbilt SEC 5 - 7 2 - 5 -5.59
82 Tulsa Amer 5 - 7 3 - 5 -5.75
83 Georgia St CUSA 4 - 8 2 - 4 -5.79
84 North Texas 7 - 7 6 - 3 -5.97
85 Miami FL ACC 5 - 7 3 - 4 -6.2
86 Buffalo MAC 7 - 6 5 - 3 -6.25
87 FL Atlantic 5 - 7 4 - 4 -6.4
88 Georgia Tech ACC 5 - 7 4 - 3 -6.5
89 Liberty IND 8 - 5 3 - 2 -6.53
90 E Michigan MAC 9 - 4 5 - 3 -6.64
91 San Jose St MWC 7 - 5 5 - 3 -6.79
92 Stanford PAC12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -7.23
93 Virginia ACC 3 - 7 1 - 4 -7.27
94 Kent MAC 5 - 7 4 - 4 -7.49
95 Northwestern Big10 1 - 11 1 - 8 -7.59
96 Coastal Car CUSA 9 - 4 4 - 3 -7.64
97 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 7 0 - 1 -7.73
98 Wyoming MWC 7 - 6 5 - 3 -7.96
99 Virginia Tech ACC 3 - 8 0 - 5 -8.56
100 MTSU 8 - 5 4 - 4 -8.84
101 Southern Miss CUSA 7 - 6 4 - 4 -8.93
102 Miami OH MAC 6 - 7 4 - 4 -9.11
103 Boston College ACC 3 - 9 1 - 1 -10.02
104 Utah St MWC 6 - 7 5 - 3 -10.14
105 Ball St MAC 5 - 7 3 - 5 -10.33
106 C Michigan MAC 4 - 8 3 - 5 -11.59
107 W Michigan MAC 5 - 7 4 - 4 -11.69
108 Temple Amer 3 - 9 1 - 7 -11.94
109 Rutgers Big10 4 - 8 1 - 8 -11.94
110 UTEP 5 - 7 3 - 5 -12.56
111 UNLV MWC 5 - 7 3 - 5 -12.75
112 South Florida Amer 1 - 11 0 - 8 -12.79
113 Connecticut IND 6 - 7 3 - 0 -13.17
114 Old Dominion CUSA 3 - 9 2 - 4 -13.47
115 N Illinois MAC 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.91
116 Colorado St MWC 3 - 9 3 - 5 -14
117 New Mexico St IND 7 - 6 4 - 0 -14.22
118 ULM CUSA 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.84
119 Texas St CUSA 4 - 8 2 - 6 -15.05
120 Arkansas St CUSA 3 - 9 1 - 7 -15.4
121 Nevada MWC 2 - 10 0 - 8 -15.69
122 Akron MAC 2 - 10 1 - 7 -15.87
123 Bowling Green MAC 6 - 7 5 - 3 -15.89
124 Hawaii MWC 3 - 10 2 - 6 -16.1
125 Rice 5 - 8 3 - 5 -16.19
126 Colorado PAC12 1 - 11 1 - 8 -16.27
127 Louisiana Tech 3 - 9 2 - 6 -16.63
128 Jacksonville St IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.95
129 Sam Houston St IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.95
130 Charlotte 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.08
131 New Mexico MWC 2 - 10 0 - 8 -21.33
132 Florida Intl 4 - 8 2 - 6 -24.12
133 Massachusetts IND 1 - 11 1 - 3 -25.69