Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 13 (11/27/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 12 - 0 8 - 0 31.55
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 1 8 - 1 28.4
3 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 2 7 - 2 26.27
4 Washington PAC12-N 11 - 1 8 - 1 22.97
5 Clemson ACC-A 11 - 1 7 - 1 21.1
6 Penn St BIG10-E 10 - 2 8 - 1 19.33
7 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 2 7 - 2 18.92
8 USC PAC12-S 9 - 3 7 - 2 17.98
9 LSU SEC-W 7 - 4 5 - 3 17.14
10 Colorado PAC12-S 10 - 2 8 - 1 16.96
11 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 16.86
12 Oklahoma BIG12 9 - 2 8 - 0 16.18
13 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 4 7 - 2 14.6
14 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 3 7 - 1 14.05
15 Florida St ACC-A 9 - 3 5 - 3 13.57
16 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 4 6 - 3 13.52
17 W Michigan MAC-W 12 - 0 8 - 0 13.15
18 WKU CUSA-E 9 - 3 7 - 1 11.42
19 Miami FL ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 11.15
20 Virginia Tech ACC-C 9 - 3 6 - 2 11.06
21 West Virginia BIG12 9 - 2 6 - 2 10.32
22 Oklahoma St BIG12 9 - 2 7 - 1 10.13
23 Stanford PAC12-N 9 - 3 6 - 3 10.08
24 Navy AAC-W 9 - 2 7 - 1 9.74
25 Houston AAC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 9.42
26 Temple AAC-E 9 - 3 7 - 1 9.07
27 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 6 5 - 4 8.93
28 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 8.89
29 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 8.89
30 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 8.66
31 Florida SEC-E 8 - 3 6 - 2 8.46
32 BYU IND 8 - 4 2 - 0 8.32
33 South Florida AAC-E 10 - 2 7 - 1 8.06
34 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.49
35 Minnesota BIG10-W 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.36
36 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 2 6 - 2 6.54
37 Tennessee SEC-E 8 - 4 4 - 4 6.39
38 Tulsa AAC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 6.38
39 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 6.06
40 Kansas St BIG12 7 - 4 5 - 3 5.76
41 Notre Dame IND 4 - 8 1 - 0 5.63
42 Colorado St MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 5.23
43 Nebraska BIG10-W 9 - 3 6 - 3 5.14
44 TCU BIG12 6 - 5 4 - 4 5.08
45 San Diego St MWC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 4.43
46 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 4.19
47 Georgia Tech ACC-C 8 - 4 4 - 4 3.77
48 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 3.54
49 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 3.39
50 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 3.32
51 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 8 2.96
52 NC State ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 2.88
53 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 2.73
54 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 5 3 - 5 2.43
55 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 3 7 - 1 2.19
56 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 1.93
57 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 1.91
58 UCF AAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 1.77
59 Indiana BIG10-E 6 - 6 4 - 5 1.09
60 Oregon St PAC12-N 4 - 8 3 - 6 0.86
61 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 8 2 - 7 0.56
62 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 9 2 - 7 0.39
63 California PAC12-N 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.37
64 Air Force MWC-M 9 - 3 5 - 3 0.34
65 Texas BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -0.35
66 Arkansas St SUN 6 - 5 6 - 1 -0.58
67 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 8 2 - 7 -1.12
68 Troy SUN 9 - 2 6 - 1 -1.14
69 Wyoming MWC-M 8 - 4 6 - 2 -1.2
70 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 7 5 - 3 -2.07
71 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -2.3
72 New Mexico MWC-M 8 - 4 6 - 2 -2.75
73 Baylor BIG12 6 - 5 3 - 5 -3.18
74 Old Dominion CUSA-E 9 - 3 7 - 1 -3.68
75 Maryland BIG10-E 6 - 6 3 - 6 -3.96
76 Duke ACC-C 4 - 8 1 - 7 -4.24
77 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -4.54
78 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 -4.56
79 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 -4.69
80 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -5.21
81 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 -5.81
82 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 6 6 - 2 -6.82
83 SMU AAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -6.86
84 Boston College ACC-A 6 - 6 2 - 6 -7.03
85 E Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 -7.17
86 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 6 - 6 5 - 3 -7.17
87 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 9 1 - 8 -8.08
88 Idaho SUN 7 - 4 5 - 2 -8.09
89 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -8.7
90 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 10 1 - 7 -8.7
91 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -8.87
92 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 9 2 - 7 -8.88
93 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -8.92
94 MTSU CUSA-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 -8.97
95 Tulane AAC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -9.02
96 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -9.7
97 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 8 -9.73
98 ULL SUN 5 - 6 4 - 3 -10.48
99 South Alabama SUN 5 - 6 1 - 6 -10.73
100 Nevada MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -10.94
101 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -11.28
102 Army IND 6 - 5 2 - 1 -11.48
103 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 7 3 - 4 -11.71
104 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -12.3
105 Bowling Green MAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -12.38
106 Kent MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.44
107 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -12.62
108 Akron MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -13.91
109 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.17
110 Georgia St SUN 3 - 8 2 - 5 -14.19
111 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 7 4 - 4 -14.25
112 Kansas BIG12 2 - 10 1 - 8 -14.27
113 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.7
114 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 8 4 - 4 -15.64
115 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 9 -15.92
116 North Texas CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -17.1
117 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -17.94
118 Massachusetts IND 2 - 10 1 - 1 -17.96
119 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.18
120 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 8 2 - 5 -18.34
121 ULM SUN 4 - 7 3 - 4 -18.54
122 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -18.55
123 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.68
124 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.74
125 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -20.16
126 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -20.68
127 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -21.54
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 9 0 - 7 -31.97