Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Clemson ACC-A 15 - 0 9 - 0 33.25
2 Alabama SEC-W 14 - 1 9 - 0 31.24
3 Georgia SEC-E 11 - 3 7 - 2 21.85
4 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 18.7
5 Oklahoma BIG12 12 - 2 9 - 1 18.65
6 Texas A&M SEC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 17.51
7 Florida SEC-E 10 - 3 5 - 3 16.86
8 Missouri SEC-E 8 - 5 4 - 4 16.21
9 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 5 3 - 5 16.13
10 Notre Dame IND 12 - 1 0 - 0 16.07
11 Ohio St BIG10-E 13 - 1 9 - 1 16
12 LSU SEC-W 10 - 3 5 - 3 15.51
13 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 3 8 - 1 15.08
14 Iowa BIG10-W 9 - 4 5 - 4 14.53
15 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 4 6 - 3 13.69
16 Kentucky SEC-E 10 - 3 5 - 3 12.38
17 Texas BIG12 10 - 4 7 - 3 12.24
18 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 4 6 - 3 12.16
19 Utah St MWC-M 11 - 2 7 - 1 12.15
20 Fresno St MWC-W 12 - 2 8 - 1 11.91
21 UCF AAC-E 12 - 1 9 - 0 11.28
22 Army IND 11 - 2 3 - 0 10.91
23 Washington St PAC12-N 11 - 2 7 - 2 10.51
24 Syracuse ACC-A 10 - 3 6 - 2 10.4
25 Washington PAC12-N 10 - 4 8 - 2 10.03
26 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 3 7 - 2 9.8
27 Iowa St BIG12 8 - 5 6 - 3 9.36
28 Appalachian St SUN 11 - 2 8 - 1 8.47
29 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 6 3 - 6 7.93
30 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 5 6 - 4 7.72
31 Ohio MAC-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 6.87
32 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 7 3 - 5 6.58
33 NC State ACC-A 9 - 4 5 - 3 6.52
34 Northwestern BIG10-W 9 - 5 8 - 2 6.32
35 Wisconsin BIG10-W 8 - 5 5 - 4 6.2
36 South Carolina SEC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 6.14
37 Stanford PAC12-N 9 - 4 6 - 3 5.98
38 Virginia ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 4 5.45
39 Cincinnati AAC-E 11 - 2 6 - 2 5.25
40 Minnesota BIG10-W 7 - 6 3 - 6 5.08
41 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 7 6 - 3 4.97
42 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 3.77
43 Oregon PAC12-N 9 - 4 5 - 4 3.75
44 Purdue BIG10-W 6 - 7 5 - 4 3.75
45 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 6 5 - 4 3.45
46 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 3.2
47 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 5 4 - 4 2.96
48 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 6 4 - 4 2.75
49 TCU BIG12 7 - 6 4 - 5 2.49
50 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 2.48
51 Arizona St PAC12-S 7 - 6 5 - 4 1.95
52 Duke ACC-C 8 - 5 3 - 5 1.95
53 BYU IND 7 - 6 3 - 0 1.94
54 Baylor BIG12 7 - 6 4 - 5 1.77
55 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 6 5 - 3 1.63
56 UAB CUSA-W 11 - 3 8 - 1 1.57
57 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 1.23
58 Wake Forest ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 5 1.17
59 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 7 1 - 7 0.78
60 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.12
61 Temple AAC-E 8 - 5 7 - 1 0.06
62 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 7 2 - 7 -0.22
63 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 6 5 - 4 -0.52
64 USC PAC12-S 5 - 7 4 - 5 -0.83
65 California PAC12-N 7 - 6 4 - 5 -0.84
66 MTSU CUSA-E 8 - 6 7 - 2 -0.86
67 Troy SUN 10 - 3 7 - 1 -1.21
68 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 6 4 - 4 -1.25
69 Ga Southern SUN 10 - 3 6 - 2 -1.63
70 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 6 6 - 2 -1.64
71 Buffalo MAC-E 10 - 4 7 - 2 -1.83
72 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 5 -2.21
73 Marshall CUSA-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 -2.77
74 Nevada MWC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 -2.87
75 Arkansas St SUN 8 - 5 5 - 3 -3.1
76 Kansas BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -3.16
77 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 7 3 - 5 -3.24
78 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 7 4 - 4 -3.49
79 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -3.49
80 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 7 4 - 5 -3.64
81 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 9 3 - 6 -3.7
82 Florida Intl CUSA-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 -3.89
83 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 6 7 - 2 -5.39
84 E Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -5.52
85 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -5.53
86 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -6.28
87 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 5 5 - 3 -6.44
88 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -6.76
89 North Texas CUSA-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 -6.9
90 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -6.9
91 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 9 1 - 7 -6.92
92 Houston AAC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 -7.08
93 Tulane AAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -7.34
94 ULL SUN 7 - 7 5 - 4 -7.98
95 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 -8.68
96 Navy AAC-W 3 - 10 2 - 6 -10.16
97 SMU AAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -10.38
98 ULM SUN 6 - 6 4 - 4 -10.54
99 Charlotte CUSA-E 5 - 7 4 - 4 -10.62
100 Hawaii MWC-W 8 - 6 5 - 3 -11.22
101 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 11 0 - 9 -12.59
102 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -12.69
103 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.78
104 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 8 2 - 7 -13.08
105 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -13.92
106 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 -14.22
107 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -14.74
108 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.77
109 WKU CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.81
110 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -15.89
111 Liberty IND 6 - 6 3 - 3 -16.27
112 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 7 2 - 6 -16.59
113 Akron MAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -17.03
114 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 10 1 - 8 -17.21
115 Massachusetts IND 4 - 8 2 - 1 -17.6
116 Texas St SUN 3 - 9 1 - 7 -17.72
117 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -17.8
118 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 10 0 - 8 -17.88
119 Georgia St SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -17.95
120 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -19.48
121 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.86
122 Kent MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -20.14
123 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -20.81
124 South Alabama SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -21.51
125 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -22.34
126 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -22.36
127 New Mexico St IND 3 - 9 2 - 2 -23.03
128 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 11 1 - 7 -23.16
129 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -23.76
130 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -31.66