Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 10 (Through Games of 10/31/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Baylor BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 23.84
2 Clemson ACC-A 8 - 0 5 - 0 22.73
3 Oklahoma BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 22.62
4 Alabama SEC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 20.84
5 Ohio St BIG10-E 8 - 0 4 - 0 20.04
6 TCU BIG12 8 - 0 5 - 0 19.84
7 Notre Dame IND 7 - 1 0 - 0 17.38
8 Stanford PAC12-N 7 - 1 6 - 0 16.71
9 USC PAC12-S 5 - 3 3 - 2 16.48
10 LSU SEC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 16.29
11 Florida SEC-E 7 - 1 5 - 1 15.96
12 Oklahoma St BIG12 8 - 0 5 - 0 15.15
13 Michigan BIG10-E 6 - 2 3 - 1 14.71
14 Tennessee SEC-E 4 - 4 2 - 3 14.07
15 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 0 4 - 0 13.81
16 Michigan St BIG10-E 8 - 0 4 - 0 13.44
17 Florida St ACC-A 7 - 1 5 - 1 13.21
18 Houston AAC-W 8 - 0 4 - 0 13.11
19 Mississippi St SEC-W 6 - 2 2 - 2 13.02
20 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 2 4 - 1 12.93
21 North Carolina ACC-C 7 - 1 4 - 0 12.59
22 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 4 2 - 3 11.72
23 Utah PAC12-S 7 - 1 4 - 1 11.47
24 Mississippi SEC-W 7 - 2 4 - 1 11.27
25 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 0 4 - 0 10.48
26 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 2 4 - 1 9.22
27 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 9.19
28 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 4 0 - 4 9.17
29 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 3 3 - 2 9.06
30 Bowling Green MAC-E 6 - 2 4 - 0 8.3
31 BYU IND 6 - 2 1 - 0 8.21
32 UCLA PAC12-S 6 - 2 3 - 2 7.95
33 Navy AAC-W 6 - 1 4 - 0 7.84
34 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 7.73
35 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 7.62
36 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 1 7.59
37 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 6 1 - 5 7.46
38 Georgia SEC-E 5 - 3 3 - 3 7.01
39 Duke ACC-C 6 - 2 3 - 1 6.97
40 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 2 4 - 1 6.92
41 Cincinnati AAC-E 5 - 3 2 - 2 6.58
42 California PAC12-N 5 - 3 2 - 3 6.45
43 Appalachian St SUN 7 - 1 4 - 0 6.42
44 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 5 2 - 3 6.35
45 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 4 2 - 4 6.05
46 Temple AAC-E 7 - 1 4 - 0 5.75
47 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 4 2 - 3 5.29
48 NC State ACC-A 5 - 3 1 - 3 4.56
49 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 4 3 - 2 4.35
50 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 3 3 - 2 4.1
51 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 4 1 - 4 4.05
52 Utah St MWC-M 5 - 3 4 - 1 3.87
53 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 3.53
54 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 2 2 - 2 3.22
55 Texas BIG12 3 - 5 2 - 3 2.79
56 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 3 2 - 2 2.64
57 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 5 2 - 3 2.54
58 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 4 0 - 4 2.47
59 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 1.72
60 W Kentucky CUSA-E 7 - 2 5 - 0 1.49
61 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 3 5 - 0 1.11
62 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 4 1 - 4 0.81
63 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 0.53
64 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 4 - 1 0.18
65 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 0.08
66 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 3 4 - 0 -0.03
67 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 5 2 - 2 -0.19
68 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 5 1 - 5 -0.35
69 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -0.41
70 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 6 0 - 6 -0.55
71 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -0.94
72 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 3 4 - 1 -1.63
73 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 6 0 - 4 -1.75
74 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 2 4 - 1 -1.98
75 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 4 2 - 4 -2.34
76 Marshall CUSA-E 8 - 1 5 - 0 -2.38
77 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 5 1 - 3 -2.52
78 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 4 2 - 4 -2.79
79 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 4 0 - 4 -3.02
80 Connecticut AAC-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -3.27
81 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -3.95
82 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 6 1 - 3 -4.34
83 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -4.95
84 Tulsa AAC-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -5.56
85 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 5 1 - 4 -6.09
86 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 6 1 - 5 -6.42
87 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 -6.73
88 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 5 1 - 4 -7.01
89 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 3 4 - 0 -7.81
90 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 6 0 - 5 -8.2
91 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 5 1 - 3 -8.47
92 Buffalo MAC-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 -8.48
93 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -9.44
94 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -10.06
95 Troy SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -10.35
96 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 3 2 - 2 -10.49
97 SMU AAC-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -10.94
98 Akron MAC-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -10.95
99 Nevada MWC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -11.75
100 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 4 3 - 2 -12.32
101 Army IND 2 - 6 1 - 1 -12.93
102 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -13.68
103 ULL SUN 3 - 4 2 - 1 -13.87
104 Massachusetts MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -13.92
105 Rice CUSA-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -14.02
106 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 6 1 - 3 -15.05
107 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -15.09
108 UCF AAC-E 0 - 9 0 - 5 -15.58
109 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 8 1 - 4 -16.04
110 Kansas BIG12 0 - 8 0 - 5 -16.43
111 Kent MAC-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -16.61
112 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 6 2 - 3 -16.89
113 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 7 1 - 3 -17.25
114 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -18.1
115 South Alabama SUN 3 - 4 1 - 2 -18.47
116 Texas St SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -18.78
117 Georgia St SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -19.4
118 New Mexico MWC-M 4 - 4 2 - 2 -19.65
119 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 7 1 - 4 -19.93
120 Idaho SUN 3 - 5 2 - 3 -19.95
121 ULM SUN 1 - 7 0 - 4 -20.56
122 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 7 0 - 5 -20.74
123 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 8 0 - 5 -21.93
124 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 8 0 - 5 -22.07
125 Old Dominion CUSA-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -24.06
126 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 5 1 - 3 -24.21
127 New Mexico St SUN 1 - 7 1 - 3 -27.41
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 6 0 - 5 -29.66