Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 Postseason (1/10/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 14 - 1 9 - 0 31.91
2 Clemson ACC-A 14 - 1 8 - 1 27.16
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 2 8 - 1 22.2
4 Washington PAC12-N 12 - 2 9 - 1 21.39
5 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 3 7 - 2 21.31
6 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 2 9 - 0 19.75
7 LSU SEC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 19.25
8 Florida St ACC-A 10 - 3 5 - 3 16.92
9 Penn St BIG10-E 11 - 3 9 - 1 16.19
10 USC PAC12-S 10 - 3 7 - 2 16.03
11 Wisconsin BIG10-W 11 - 3 7 - 3 15.43
12 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 15.14
13 Miami FL ACC-C 9 - 4 5 - 3 14.48
14 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 4 7 - 1 13.36
15 Virginia Tech ACC-C 10 - 4 6 - 3 13.24
16 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 3 7 - 2 13.11
17 WKU CUSA-E 11 - 3 8 - 1 12.98
18 Florida SEC-E 9 - 4 6 - 3 11.01
19 Kansas St BIG12 9 - 4 6 - 3 10.3
20 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 5 7 - 2 10.11
21 W Michigan MAC-W 13 - 1 9 - 0 9.86
22 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 5 5 - 3 9.5
23 West Virginia BIG12 10 - 3 7 - 2 9.26
24 Colorado PAC12-S 10 - 4 8 - 2 8.33
25 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 8.12
26 Stanford PAC12-N 10 - 3 6 - 3 8.04
27 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 5 5 - 3 7.65
28 Tennessee SEC-E 9 - 4 4 - 4 7.39
29 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 5 6 - 3 7.29
30 NC State ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 5 7.26
31 Northwestern BIG10-W 7 - 6 5 - 4 7.19
32 Temple AAC-E 10 - 4 8 - 1 6.83
33 Georgia Tech ACC-C 9 - 4 4 - 4 6.79
34 San Diego St MWC-W 11 - 3 7 - 2 6.35
35 BYU IND 9 - 4 2 - 0 5.91
36 Notre Dame IND 4 - 8 1 - 0 5.87
37 Tulsa AAC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 5.72
38 Minnesota BIG10-W 9 - 4 5 - 4 5.55
39 South Florida AAC-E 11 - 2 7 - 1 5.18
40 Georgia SEC-E 8 - 5 4 - 4 4.94
41 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 4.88
42 Houston AAC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 4.13
43 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 4 5 - 4 3.84
44 Appalachian St SUN 10 - 3 7 - 1 3.49
45 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 3 6 - 2 3.14
46 TCU BIG12 6 - 7 4 - 5 3.03
47 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 9 - 5 6 - 3 2.55
48 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 6 3 - 5 2.46
49 Navy AAC-W 9 - 5 7 - 2 2.33
50 Colorado St MWC-M 7 - 6 5 - 3 2.12
51 Baylor BIG12 7 - 6 3 - 6 1.88
52 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 7 3 - 5 1.78
53 Mississippi St SEC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 1.74
54 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 9 2 - 7 1.61
55 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 1.55
56 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 4 6 - 2 1.4
57 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 1.35
58 Nebraska BIG10-W 9 - 4 6 - 3 0.88
59 Texas BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.87
60 Air Force MWC-M 10 - 3 5 - 3 0.75
61 Arkansas St SUN 8 - 5 7 - 1 0.21
62 Wake Forest ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 5 -0.25
63 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 8 -0.34
64 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -0.78
65 Wyoming MWC-M 8 - 6 6 - 3 -1.07
66 Indiana BIG10-E 6 - 7 4 - 5 -1.49
67 Troy SUN 10 - 3 6 - 2 -1.52
68 California PAC12-N 5 - 7 3 - 6 -1.78
69 Oregon St PAC12-N 4 - 8 3 - 6 -2.37
70 Duke ACC-C 4 - 8 1 - 7 -2.61
71 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 8 2 - 7 -2.63
72 UCF AAC-E 6 - 7 4 - 4 -2.79
73 Old Dominion CUSA-E 10 - 3 7 - 1 -3.17
74 New Mexico MWC-M 9 - 4 6 - 2 -3.46
75 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 7 3 - 5 -3.47
76 Idaho SUN 9 - 4 6 - 2 -3.49
77 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 7 5 - 3 -3.8
78 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 8 2 - 7 -4.06
79 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 6 2 - 6 -4.62
80 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -4.72
81 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 6 6 - 3 -5.9
82 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -6.62
83 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 7 6 - 2 -7.43
84 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 6 - 7 5 - 3 -7.46
85 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 10 1 - 7 -7.53
86 Army IND 8 - 5 2 - 1 -7.74
87 Maryland BIG10-E 6 - 7 3 - 6 -7.96
88 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -8.19
89 ULL SUN 6 - 7 5 - 3 -8.56
90 E Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -8.69
91 Ga Southern SUN 5 - 7 4 - 4 -9.43
92 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -9.56
93 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -9.61
94 SMU AAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -9.63
95 Nevada MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -11.04
96 South Alabama SUN 6 - 7 2 - 6 -11.31
97 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 9 1 - 8 -11.33
98 Tulane AAC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -11.39
99 MTSU CUSA-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -11.56
100 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 9 2 - 7 -12.05
101 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -12.26
102 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 8 -12.63
103 Hawaii MWC-W 7 - 7 4 - 4 -12.64
104 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 -12.84
105 Kansas BIG12 2 - 10 1 - 8 -12.86
106 Bowling Green MAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.11
107 Kent MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.16
108 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -14.35
109 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -14.41
110 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.46
111 Akron MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -15.2
112 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -15.22
113 Georgia St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -15.66
114 North Texas CUSA-W 5 - 8 3 - 5 -16.22
115 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 8 4 - 4 -16.23
116 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.33
117 Massachusetts IND 2 - 10 1 - 1 -17.96
118 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.62
119 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -18.91
120 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.16
121 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 9 -19.26
122 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -19.51
123 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.78
124 ULM SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -19.85
125 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -19.86
126 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -20.49
127 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -22.4
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 10 0 - 8 -29.97