Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2011 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 12 - 1 8 - 1 36.83
2 LSU SEC-W 13 - 1 9 - 1 33.67
3 Oklahoma St BIG12 12 - 1 6 - 1 29.38
4 Oregon PAC12-N 12 - 2 9 - 1 23.86
5 Arkansas SEC-W 11 - 2 7 - 2 22.28
6 Stanford PAC12-N 11 - 2 8 - 1 22.05
7 Oklahoma BIG12 10 - 3 4 - 3 21.62
8 Wisconsin BIG10-W 11 - 3 7 - 2 21.62
9 USC PAC12-S 10 - 2 7 - 2 20.07
10 South Carolina SEC-E 11 - 2 6 - 2 19.85
11 Houston AAC-W 13 - 1 4 - 0 18.96
12 Boise St MWC-M 12 - 1 8 - 0 18.57
13 Michigan BIG10-E 11 - 2 6 - 2 18.09
14 Michigan St BIG10-E 11 - 3 7 - 2 16.25
15 Baylor BIG12 10 - 3 6 - 2 15.68
16 Georgia SEC-E 10 - 4 7 - 2 15.6
17 Kansas St BIG12 10 - 3 5 - 2 14.86
18 TCU BIG12 11 - 2 0 - 1 14.69
19 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 6 0 - 2 14.53
20 Missouri SEC-E 8 - 5 1 - 0 13.56
21 Florida St ACC-A 9 - 4 4 - 3 13.2
22 Texas BIG12 8 - 5 3 - 4 12.09
23 Southern Miss CUSA-W 12 - 2 3 - 2 11.24
24 West Virginia BIG12 10 - 3 0 - 0 11.07
25 Nebraska BIG10-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 10.72
26 Notre Dame IND 8 - 5 0 - 0 9.96
27 Cincinnati AAC-E 10 - 3 2 - 0 8.88
28 Mississippi St SEC-W 7 - 6 2 - 6 8.79
29 Virginia Tech ACC-C 11 - 3 7 - 2 8.63
30 Tulsa AAC-W 8 - 5 3 - 1 8.08
31 Florida SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 7.81
32 BYU IND 10 - 3 1 - 0 7.7
33 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 6.46
34 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 4 6 - 1 6.42
35 Rutgers BIG10-E 9 - 4 0 - 0 6.38
36 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 6.3
37 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 7 2 - 6 6.26
38 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 5 0 - 1 6.08
39 N Illinois MAC-W 11 - 3 8 - 1 5.81
40 Temple AAC-E 9 - 4 0 - 0 5.55
41 California PAC12-N 7 - 6 5 - 5 5.27
42 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 4 6 - 2 4.91
43 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 3.91
44 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 5 4 - 5 3.56
45 Iowa St BIG12 6 - 7 3 - 4 2.82
46 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 7 3 - 5 2.62
47 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 6 3 - 4 2.47
48 Washington PAC12-N 7 - 6 5 - 4 2.31
49 Louisville ACC-A 7 - 6 1 - 3 2.14
50 Arkansas St SUN 10 - 3 3 - 0 2.05
51 NC State ACC-A 8 - 5 4 - 4 2.03
52 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 7 1 - 7 1.6
53 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 7 4 - 5 0.86
54 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 0.67
55 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 6 5 - 2 0.67
56 SMU AAC-W 8 - 5 3 - 3 0.36
57 Georgia Tech ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 3 0.08
58 North Carolina ACC-C 7 - 6 4 - 5 -0.02
59 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 7 2 - 0 -0.32
60 Ohio MAC-E 10 - 4 5 - 3 -0.64
61 W Kentucky CUSA-E 7 - 5 4 - 0 -1.06
62 South Florida AAC-E 5 - 7 0 - 2 -1.85
63 Purdue BIG10-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -2.17
64 Illinois BIG10-W 7 - 6 2 - 6 -2.17
65 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 8 2 - 7 -2.55
66 Connecticut AAC-E 5 - 7 1 - 1 -2.64
67 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 7 2 - 5 -2.69
68 Air Force MWC-M 7 - 6 3 - 3 -2.77
69 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -2.99
70 San Diego St MWC-W 8 - 5 5 - 2 -3.12
71 UCLA PAC12-S 6 - 8 5 - 5 -3.28
72 Oregon St PAC12-N 3 - 9 3 - 6 -3.39
73 UCF AAC-E 5 - 7 1 - 3 -3.7
74 Virginia ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 3 -3.81
75 Navy AAC-W 5 - 7 1 - 1 -3.92
76 ULL SUN 9 - 4 2 - 1 -4.02
77 Utah St MWC-M 7 - 6 4 - 2 -4.42
78 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 -4.43
79 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 6 4 - 0 -4.61
80 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 7 4 - 4 -5.49
81 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 5 -5.58
82 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -6.06
83 Wyoming MWC-M 8 - 5 5 - 2 -6.34
84 Florida Intl CUSA-E 8 - 5 3 - 2 -6.85
85 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 8 2 - 7 -7.69
86 Syracuse ACC-A 5 - 7 1 - 2 -7.92
87 Miami OH MAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 4 -8.41
88 North Texas CUSA-W 5 - 7 2 - 2 -8.53
89 East Carolina AAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 1 -8.6
90 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 2 -9.16
91 Kent MAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 3 -9.58
92 Ball St MAC-W 6 - 6 4 - 3 -9.91
93 ULM SUN 4 - 8 1 - 2 -9.92
94 Rice CUSA-W 4 - 8 1 - 2 -9.94
95 Bowling Green MAC-E 5 - 7 2 - 5 -10.02
96 UTEP CUSA-W 5 - 7 0 - 2 -10.29
97 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -10.71
98 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -11.61
99 Kansas BIG12 2 - 10 0 - 7 -11.87
100 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 10 2 - 8 -11.91
101 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 7 0 - 5 -12.42
102 Duke ACC-C 3 - 9 1 - 7 -12.55
103 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 9 2 - 4 -12.8
104 Army IND 3 - 9 1 - 0 -14.63
105 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 0 -16.46
106 New Mexico St SUN 4 - 9 1 - 0 -18.1
107 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.33
108 Alabama Birmingham CUSA-E 3 - 9 1 - 2 -18.51
109 Indiana BIG10-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -18.82
110 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 5 -19.16
111 Troy SUN 3 - 9 0 - 3 -19.26
112 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.87
113 Idaho SUN 2 - 10 0 - 1 -22.05
114 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 10 2 - 6 -23.71
115 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 10 1 - 3 -26
116 Memphis AAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 3 -27.74
117 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 11 0 - 5 -28.48
118 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 11 1 - 6 -29.48
119 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 11 1 - 4 -29.82
120 Akron MAC-E 1 - 11 0 - 7 -34.73