Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 2 (through games of 9/3/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 29.79
2 Oklahoma BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 24.25
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 23.94
4 Clemson ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 20.95
5 Auburn SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 19.76
6 Georgia SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 19.07
7 Washington PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 17.09
8 LSU SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 16.36
9 Oklahoma St BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 15.47
10 Liberty IND 1 - 0 0 - 0 14.97
11 Penn St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 14.74
12 Wisconsin BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 14.2
13 Stanford PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 14.15
14 USC PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 12.88
15 Notre Dame IND 1 - 0 0 - 0 12.56
16 Mississippi St SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.88
17 Virginia Tech ACC-C 1 - 0 1 - 0 11.16
18 TCU BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.73
19 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 1 0 - 0 10.71
20 Michigan BIG10-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 10.66
21 Oregon PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.57
22 Mississippi SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.56
23 Texas A&M SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.1
24 Florida St ACC-A 0 - 1 0 - 1 9.54
25 Washington St PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 9.27
26 Iowa BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.99
27 Boise St MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.94
28 Michigan St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.63
29 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.43
30 Miami FL ACC-C 0 - 1 0 - 0 8.3
31 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 0 1 - 0 8.08
32 Kansas St BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.97
33 NC State ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.96
34 West Virginia BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.76
35 Arizona St PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.71
36 Utah PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.57
37 UCF AAC-E 1 - 0 1 - 0 7.14
38 Missouri SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 6.84
39 Memphis AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 6.81
40 Boston College ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.59
41 Pittsburgh ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.48
42 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.37
43 Duke ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.31
44 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 4.72
45 Minnesota BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.96
46 Baylor BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.38
47 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.34
48 Texas BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 3.31
49 Florida SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.27
50 Colorado PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.15
51 California PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 2.67
52 Texas Tech BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 2.18
53 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 2.01
54 Appalachian St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 2.01
55 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 1 0 - 0 1.8
56 Wake Forest ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.74
57 Kentucky SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.65
58 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.27
59 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 1 0 - 0 1.15
60 San Diego St MWC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 1.1
61 Indiana BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.85
62 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.47
63 BYU IND 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.33
64 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 1 0 - 0 0.32
65 Houston AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -0.19
66 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 1 0 - 1 -0.39
67 Tennessee SEC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -0.55
68 Vanderbilt SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.03
69 Maryland BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.05
70 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.33
71 Toledo MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.77
72 Navy AAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -1.82
73 Temple AAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -2.57
74 Utah St MWC-M 0 - 1 0 - 0 -2.76
75 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.89
76 Virginia ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.22
77 WKU CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.8
78 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -5.05
79 Oregon St PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.18
80 Colorado St MWC-M 0 - 2 0 - 1 -5.23
81 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.3
82 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.18
83 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.31
84 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.6
85 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.75
86 Cincinnati AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.88
87 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.9
88 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.38
89 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -7.8
90 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 0 1 - 0 -7.94
91 Troy SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8
92 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -8.13
93 East Carolina AAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.21
94 Army IND 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.64
95 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.55
96 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.77
97 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.8
98 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.82
99 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -10.38
100 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.64
101 MTSU CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.46
102 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.66
103 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -11.83
104 Southern Miss CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -12.21
105 Massachusetts IND 1 - 1 1 - 0 -13.25
106 SMU AAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -13.52
107 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -13.57
108 Ga Southern SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -13.86
109 Kansas BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 -14.43
110 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -14.78
111 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -14.89
112 ULM SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -15.29
113 Connecticut AAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 1 -15.34
114 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.52
115 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.94
116 UAB CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -16.21
117 Akron MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.72
118 ULL SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -17.08
119 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -17.39
120 South Alabama SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -17.43
121 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -17.86
122 Georgia St SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -18.82
123 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -18.84
124 New Mexico St IND 0 - 2 0 - 0 -20.19
125 Coastal Car SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -20.27
126 Kent MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -21.36
127 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -23.09
128 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -26.29
129 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -26.61
130 Texas St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -26.8