Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 7 (Through Games of 10/10/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Baylor BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 24.83
2 Alabama SEC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 21.38
3 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 19.44
4 TCU BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 19.12
5 Clemson ACC-A 5 - 0 2 - 0 18.52
6 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 1 3 - 0 16.7
7 Boise St MWC-M 5 - 1 2 - 0 16.44
8 USC PAC12-S 3 - 2 1 - 2 16.24
9 Notre Dame IND 5 - 1 0 - 0 16.21
10 Florida SEC-E 6 - 0 4 - 0 15.79
11 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 15.61
12 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 15.4
13 Oklahoma BIG12 4 - 1 1 - 1 15.14
14 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 0 2 - 0 14.84
15 Utah PAC12-S 5 - 0 2 - 0 14.18
16 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 2 0 - 2 12.94
17 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 2 1 - 1 12.45
18 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 2 0 - 2 12.16
19 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 0 3 - 0 11.72
20 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 1 1 - 1 11.66
21 LSU SEC-W 5 - 0 3 - 0 11.61
22 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 2 1 - 2 11.41
23 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 2 2 - 2 11.24
24 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 11
25 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 9.88
26 Duke ACC-C 5 - 1 2 - 0 9.58
27 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 2 2 - 1 9.4
28 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 9.37
29 BYU IND 4 - 2 0 - 0 9.27
30 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 1 1 - 0 9.08
31 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 0 2 - 0 8.6
32 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 8.13
33 Navy AAC-W 4 - 1 2 - 0 7.85
34 Michigan St BIG10-E 6 - 0 2 - 0 7.69
35 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 1 1 - 1 7.62
36 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 3 1 - 1 7.62
37 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 4 0 - 3 7.55
38 California PAC12-N 5 - 1 2 - 1 7.5
39 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 7.35
40 Houston AAC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 7.33
41 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 1 2 - 0 6.88
42 Toledo MAC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 6.45
43 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 3 1 - 1 6.17
44 Penn St BIG10-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 6
45 W Kentucky CUSA-E 5 - 1 3 - 0 5.69
46 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 3 1 - 2 4.82
47 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 2 2 - 0 4.34
48 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 2 1 - 2 4.16
49 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 2 1 - 2 4.12
50 Texas BIG12 2 - 4 1 - 2 4.05
51 Auburn SEC-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 3.87
52 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 3.6
53 Nebraska BIG10-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 3.45
54 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 3.45
55 Temple AAC-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 3.14
56 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 1 2 - 1 2.24
57 NC State ACC-A 4 - 2 0 - 2 1.74
58 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 2 0 - 1 1.62
59 Appalachian St SUN 4 - 1 1 - 0 1.18
60 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 1.14
61 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 2 0 - 2 0.81
62 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 2 1 - 1 0.7
63 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 0.42
64 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 3 0 - 3 0.14
65 N Illinois MAC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -0.17
66 Bowling Green MAC-E 4 - 2 2 - 0 -0.23
67 Marshall CUSA-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 -0.53
68 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 4 0 - 4 -0.53
69 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 2 0 - 2 -0.69
70 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -0.87
71 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -1.38
72 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 1 2 - 0 -1.81
73 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 -1.89
74 Virginia ACC-C 1 - 4 0 - 1 -2.86
75 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -3.38
76 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 3 1 - 1 -4.18
77 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 2 1 - 0 -4.43
78 South Florida AAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -4.51
79 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -4.65
80 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 3 1 - 2 -4.72
81 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -4.81
82 C Michigan MAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -5.5
83 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -5.87
84 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 2 2 - 0 -5.87
85 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 3 0 - 2 -6.06
86 Akron MAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -6.37
87 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -6.5
88 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -6.61
89 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -7.28
90 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 4 0 - 2 -7.52
91 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 -7.86
92 W Michigan MAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -8.05
93 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 3 0 - 2 -8.5
94 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 3 2 - 0 -9.22
95 SMU AAC-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -9.29
96 Army IND 1 - 5 0 - 1 -9.86
97 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -10.47
98 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 5 1 - 1 -11.2
99 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -11.28
100 Arkansas St SUN 2 - 3 1 - 0 -11.42
101 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -11.48
102 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -11.64
103 ULL SUN 2 - 3 1 - 0 -12.15
104 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -12.49
105 UCF AAC-E 0 - 6 0 - 2 -12.87
106 Massachusetts MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -13.87
107 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -14.18
108 Kent MAC-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -14.79
109 ULM SUN 1 - 4 0 - 1 -15.18
110 Kansas BIG12 0 - 5 0 - 2 -17.51
111 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -17.68
112 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 4 1 - 1 -17.77
113 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -17.94
114 South Alabama SUN 3 - 2 1 - 0 -18.27
115 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 3 1 - 1 -18.41
116 Troy SUN 1 - 4 0 - 1 -18.98
117 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 5 0 - 3 -19.1
118 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 6 0 - 2 -20.11
119 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -20.88
120 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -21.92
121 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -22.11
122 Idaho SUN 1 - 4 0 - 2 -22.71
123 Texas St SUN 1 - 4 0 - 1 -23.99
124 UTEP CUSA-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -25.46
125 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 5 0 - 2 -26.23
126 Georgia St SUN 1 - 4 1 - 1 -28.23
127 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 5 0 - 1 -28.45
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -32.65