Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 3 (through games of 9/8/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 30.84
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 25.52
3 Oklahoma BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 24.74
4 Georgia SEC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 22.98
5 Auburn SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 21.71
6 Penn St BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 19.23
7 Clemson ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 18.93
8 Washington PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 18.55
9 Stanford PAC12-N 2 - 0 1 - 0 16.24
10 LSU SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.6
11 Oklahoma St BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.5
12 Wisconsin BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.48
13 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.07
14 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 0 0 - 0 13.96
15 Iowa BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 12.47
16 TCU BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 12.07
17 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 0 1 - 0 11.75
18 Texas A&M SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 11.62
19 Michigan BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 11.19
20 Duke ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 10.74
21 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 10.73
22 USC PAC12-S 1 - 1 0 - 1 10.23
23 UCF AAC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 9.99
24 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 0 0 - 0 9.11
25 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 9.01
26 Louisville ACC-A 1 - 1 0 - 0 8.63
27 Michigan St BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 8.53
28 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.35
29 Utah PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.19
30 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.12
31 NC State ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.98
32 Notre Dame IND 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.75
33 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 7.67
34 Washington St PAC12-N 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.26
35 South Florida AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.07
36 Florida St ACC-A 1 - 1 0 - 1 6.5
37 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 1 1 - 0 6.38
38 Miami FL ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 6.27
39 Kansas St BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 6
40 Minnesota BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 5.95
41 Boston College ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 5.21
42 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 4.87
43 Houston AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.83
44 Colorado PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.44
45 Appalachian St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 4.28
46 Memphis AAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 1 4.13
47 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 4.1
48 Wake Forest ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.03
49 San Diego St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 3.55
50 Texas BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 3.35
51 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 2.84
52 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 2.11
53 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 2.01
54 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 1.91
55 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 2 0 - 0 1.76
56 Texas Tech BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 1.35
57 Baylor BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 1.28
58 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 1.08
59 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 0.4
60 Navy AAC-W 1 - 1 1 - 0 -0.11
61 Army IND 1 - 1 1 - 0 -0.13
62 Florida SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 -0.2
63 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -0.8
64 California PAC12-N 2 - 0 0 - 0 -0.85
65 Toledo MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.05
66 Pittsburgh ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.69
67 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.75
68 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -1.82
69 BYU IND 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.96
70 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 2 0 - 1 -2.08
71 Temple AAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -3.01
72 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -3.17
73 Tennessee SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -3.36
74 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -3.42
75 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 -3.79
76 Liberty IND 1 - 1 0 - 1 -4.17
77 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.42
78 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 2 0 - 0 -4.47
79 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 1 -4.72
80 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.11
81 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.67
82 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.82
83 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 -5.84
84 Troy SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.92
85 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6
86 Virginia ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.01
87 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.06
88 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 2 0 - 0 -6.32
89 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.54
90 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -6.59
91 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -7.11
92 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -7.14
93 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -7.55
94 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -7.82
95 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -8.07
96 WKU CUSA-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -8.16
97 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 0 0 - 0 -8.52
98 Kansas BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 -8.75
99 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.48
100 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.43
101 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -11.05
102 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 -11.06
103 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -11.07
104 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -11.74
105 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -12.07
106 SMU AAC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -12.32
107 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -13.3
108 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -13.79
109 Southern Miss CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -14.38
110 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -14.75
111 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -14.9
112 Akron MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -15.35
113 ULM SUN 2 - 0 0 - 0 -15.67
114 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -16.02
115 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 1 1 - 0 -16.14
116 South Alabama SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -16.48
117 Connecticut AAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 1 -16.99
118 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -17.02
119 ULL SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -17.08
120 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -17.25
121 Georgia St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -17.88
122 Massachusetts IND 1 - 2 1 - 0 -18.19
123 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -19.43
124 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 2 0 - 1 -21.65
125 New Mexico St IND 0 - 3 0 - 0 -22.05
126 UAB CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -22.23
127 Kent MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -22.56
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -26.62
129 Texas St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -27.49
130 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -27.72