Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 3 (Through Games of 9/12/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 24.98
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 21.68
3 Oregon PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 20.38
4 TCU BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 18.85
5 Baylor BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 18.07
6 USC PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 18.04
7 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 16.96
8 Georgia SEC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 16.83
9 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 16.6
10 Texas A&M SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.96
11 Wisconsin BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 15.74
12 Oklahoma BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.48
13 Auburn SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.91
14 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.88
15 LSU SEC-W 1 - 0 1 - 0 14.51
16 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.28
17 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.25
18 Clemson ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.2
19 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 13.77
20 Notre Dame IND 2 - 0 0 - 0 13.12
21 Stanford PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 12.59
22 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 12.42
23 Mississippi St SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 1 10.76
24 Nebraska BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 10.02
25 BYU IND 2 - 0 0 - 0 9.37
26 Florida SEC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 9.22
27 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 9.21
28 Tennessee SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 8.52
29 Texas Tech BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.33
30 Oklahoma St BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.15
31 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 7.63
32 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.43
33 Arizona St PAC12-S 1 - 1 0 - 0 7.24
34 Utah PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 6.86
35 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 6.85
36 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 2 0 - 0 6.73
37 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 6.71
38 Minnesota BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 6.23
39 Michigan BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 6.01
40 Boise St MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 5.94
41 Iowa BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 5.82
42 Virginia Tech ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 5.78
43 Miami FL ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 5.31
44 Houston AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 5.24
45 Memphis AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.53
46 Washington PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 4.42
47 Duke ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.21
48 California PAC12-N 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.1
49 Cincinnati AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 3.5
50 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 2.25
51 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 1.98
52 Temple AAC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 1.82
53 Boston College ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 1.78
54 Toledo MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.6
55 NC State ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 1.3
56 Texas BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 0.9
57 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 0.58
58 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 0.16
59 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 0.06
60 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 2 0 - 0 -0.48
61 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -0.88
62 Penn St BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.16
63 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 1 -1.27
64 Washington St PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.39
65 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.44
66 Ga Southern SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.63
67 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -2.06
68 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 2 0 - 1 -2.07
69 W Kentucky CUSA-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 -2.2
70 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -2.41
71 UCF AAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -2.47
72 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 0 1 - 0 -2.59
73 Navy AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.86
74 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -3.31
75 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -3.62
76 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.46
77 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.56
78 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.35
79 Ohio MAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -6.25
80 Colorado PAC12-S 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.42
81 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 0 1 - 0 -6.65
82 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.66
83 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.86
84 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -6.87
85 ULL SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.96
86 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -7.16
87 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -7.49
88 Appalachian St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -7.87
89 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -8.24
90 Maryland BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -8.37
91 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -8.46
92 San Diego St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.25
93 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -9.48
94 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.73
95 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.8
96 Kansas BIG12 0 - 2 0 - 0 -9.87
97 Hawaii MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.08
98 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.51
99 Wake Forest ACC-A 1 - 1 0 - 1 -10.69
100 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -10.71
101 SMU AAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.82
102 ULM SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -12.57
103 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -12.93
104 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -13.17
105 Southern Miss CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -13.19
106 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -14.03
107 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -14.15
108 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -14.58
109 South Alabama SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -15.51
110 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -15.79
111 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 1 -16.61
112 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -16.82
113 Texas St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -17.42
114 Troy SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -17.52
115 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -17.72
116 Army IND 0 - 2 0 - 1 -18.09
117 Akron MAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -18.35
118 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -18.56
119 Idaho SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -20.53
120 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -20.89
121 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -21.39
122 Kent MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -21.53
123 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 2 0 - 0 -22.09
124 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -23.04
125 Massachusetts MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -24.02
126 Georgia St SUN 1 - 1 1 - 0 -26.24
127 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -26.3
128 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 2 0 - 1 -26.54