Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 9 (10/22/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 29.66
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 1 4 - 0 26.79
3 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 25.34
4 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 1 4 - 1 23.93
5 Notre Dame IND 6 - 1 0 - 0 23.28
6 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 21.49
7 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 1 2 - 1 19.18
8 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 2 4 - 1 18.67
9 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 1 3 - 1 18.47
10 TCU BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 18.28
11 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 18.06
12 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 1 3 - 1 17.8
13 Oklahoma BIG12 6 - 1 3 - 1 17.54
14 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 0 4 - 0 17.03
15 Georgia Tech ACC-C 4 - 2 3 - 1 14.29
16 NC State ACC-A 6 - 1 4 - 0 14.18
17 Stanford PAC12-N 5 - 2 4 - 1 13.89
18 UCF AAC-E 6 - 0 4 - 0 13.89
19 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 2 2 - 2 12.35
20 Iowa St BIG12 5 - 2 3 - 1 12.35
21 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 4 2 - 3 12.27
22 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 2 2 - 2 11.75
23 Michigan St BIG10-E 6 - 1 4 - 0 11.3
24 Texas BIG12 3 - 4 2 - 2 10.95
25 USC PAC12-S 6 - 2 4 - 1 10.72
26 LSU SEC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 9.63
27 Iowa BIG10-W 4 - 3 1 - 3 9.44
28 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 9.03
29 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 8.97
30 Washington St PAC12-N 7 - 1 4 - 1 8.89
31 Louisville ACC-A 5 - 3 2 - 3 8.61
32 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 2 3 - 1 8.43
33 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 3 2 - 2 7.97
34 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 3 3 - 1 7.04
35 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 3 1 - 3 6.67
36 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 4 2 - 3 6.32
37 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 4 2 - 2 6.3
38 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 6
39 Florida SEC-E 3 - 3 3 - 2 5.59
40 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 3 1 - 3 5.49
41 South Carolina SEC-E 5 - 2 3 - 2 5.16
42 Fresno St MWC-W 5 - 2 4 - 0 4.48
43 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 4.25
44 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 4 0 - 4 4.09
45 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 3.8
46 Memphis AAC-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 3.63
47 Boise St MWC-M 5 - 2 3 - 0 3.61
48 Pittsburgh ACC-C 3 - 5 1 - 3 3.53
49 Navy AAC-W 5 - 2 3 - 2 3.36
50 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 2 3 - 1 3.25
51 California PAC12-N 4 - 4 1 - 4 3.22
52 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 3 1 - 3 2.87
53 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 3 2 - 2 2.47
54 Duke ACC-C 4 - 4 1 - 4 2.27
55 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 3 1 - 3 2.16
56 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 2 2 - 2 2.07
57 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 1.14
58 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 4 1 - 4 0.71
59 Colorado St MWC-M 6 - 2 4 - 0 0.68
60 Houston AAC-W 4 - 3 2 - 2 0.27
61 Arkansas St SUN 4 - 2 3 - 0 0.24
62 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -0.16
63 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 2 3 - 0 -0.23
64 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 4 0 - 4 -0.42
65 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 2 2 - 1 -0.44
66 Marshall CUSA-E 6 - 1 3 - 0 -0.53
67 SMU AAC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 -1.04
68 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 5 0 - 4 -1.13
69 Baylor BIG12 0 - 7 0 - 4 -1.59
70 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 -1.65
71 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 2 2 - 2 -1.77
72 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 4 - 3 3 - 0 -1.97
73 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 -2.01
74 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 5 0 - 4 -2.81
75 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 7 0 - 5 -2.85
76 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 2 3 - 1 -3.27
77 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 4 1 - 4 -3.65
78 Troy SUN 5 - 2 2 - 1 -4.67
79 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 4 2 - 2 -4.69
80 Army IND 6 - 2 1 - 0 -4.76
81 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -4.84
82 Temple AAC-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -4.99
83 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 4 2 - 2 -5.19
84 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 4 0 - 4 -5.31
85 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 6 1 - 3 -5.64
86 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 4 2 - 2 -6.01
87 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 2 4 - 0 -6.07
88 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -7.77
89 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 3 -7.93
90 C Michigan MAC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -7.97
91 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 6 0 - 4 -8.04
92 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 5 0 - 3 -8.17
93 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 7 1 - 3 -8.3
94 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 3 2 - 1 -9.08
95 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 -9.18
96 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -9.18
97 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 2 3 - 1 -9.47
98 Akron MAC-E 4 - 4 3 - 1 -9.59
99 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 -10.37
100 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 5 0 - 4 -10.96
101 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -11.07
102 BYU IND 1 - 7 1 - 0 -11.27
103 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 4 2 - 3 -11.86
104 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 6 0 - 4 -11.92
105 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -12.34
106 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -12.53
107 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 -12.69
108 South Alabama SUN 3 - 4 2 - 1 -12.8
109 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 3 3 - 1 -13.15
110 Massachusetts IND 1 - 6 0 - 0 -13.62
111 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 4 1 - 2 -13.71
112 Georgia St SUN 3 - 3 2 - 1 -13.82
113 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 -15.68
114 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 7 1 - 3 -15.73
115 ULM SUN 3 - 4 3 - 2 -17.64
116 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 5 0 - 3 -17.7
117 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -18.08
118 UAB CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 2 -18.28
119 Kansas BIG12 1 - 6 0 - 4 -19.15
120 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 6 0 - 4 -20.23
121 ULL SUN 3 - 4 2 - 2 -20.41
122 Idaho SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -20.63
123 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 6 0 - 2 -20.7
124 Kent MAC-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -20.9
125 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 6 1 - 2 -23.28
126 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -24.04
127 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 7 1 - 3 -24.54
128 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 7 0 - 3 -25.25
129 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 5 0 - 3 -26.73
130 Texas St SUN 1 - 6 0 - 3 -29.65