Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 8 (10/15/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 29.59
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 1 4 - 0 26.92
3 Penn St BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 24.2
4 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 1 4 - 1 21.14
5 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 19.37
6 Oklahoma St BIG12 5 - 1 2 - 1 19.06
7 TCU BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 18.67
8 Notre Dame IND 5 - 1 0 - 0 18.48
9 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 1 3 - 1 18.03
10 Oklahoma BIG12 5 - 1 2 - 1 17.68
11 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 0 3 - 0 17.48
12 Wisconsin BIG10-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 17.29
13 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 16.13
14 Stanford PAC12-N 5 - 2 4 - 1 15.89
15 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 1 2 - 1 14.95
16 USC PAC12-S 6 - 1 4 - 1 14.93
17 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 3 2 - 2 14.16
18 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 2 2 - 1 12.79
19 NC State ACC-A 6 - 1 4 - 0 12.26
20 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 1 1 - 1 12.06
21 UCF AAC-E 5 - 0 3 - 0 12.05
22 Michigan St BIG10-E 5 - 1 3 - 0 11.79
23 Iowa BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 11.61
24 Iowa St BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 10.69
25 Texas BIG12 3 - 3 2 - 1 10.33
26 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 9.76
27 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 9.23
28 Washington St PAC12-N 6 - 1 3 - 1 8.5
29 South Florida AAC-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 7.99
30 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 2 1 - 2 7.9
31 LSU SEC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 7.54
32 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 7.16
33 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 2 1 - 2 7.01
34 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 2 1 - 2 6.96
35 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 3 0 - 3 6.79
36 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 1 2 - 1 6.59
37 Northwestern BIG10-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 6.32
38 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 3 2 - 1 6.28
39 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 3 1 - 3 6.14
40 Florida SEC-E 3 - 3 3 - 2 5.74
41 Boise St MWC-M 4 - 2 2 - 0 5.67
42 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 5.33
43 California PAC12-N 4 - 3 1 - 3 5.08
44 South Carolina SEC-E 5 - 2 3 - 2 4.94
45 Duke ACC-C 4 - 3 1 - 3 4.74
46 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 1 2 - 0 4.69
47 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 4.51
48 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 3 0 - 3 4.33
49 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 2 2 - 1 4.32
50 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 3 1 - 3 4
51 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 3 2 - 1 3.3
52 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 2.24
53 Navy AAC-W 5 - 1 3 - 1 1.76
54 Colorado St MWC-M 5 - 2 3 - 0 1.68
55 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 5 0 - 3 1.28
56 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 3 1 - 2 1.25
57 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 1.22
58 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 1 2 - 1 0.92
59 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 0.65
60 Toledo MAC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 0.61
61 Houston AAC-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 0.59
62 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 0.52
63 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 2 3 - 0 0.29
64 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 4 0 - 3 0.02
65 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 6 0 - 4 -0.16
66 SMU AAC-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -0.34
67 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 4 1 - 3 -0.37
68 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 3 1 - 3 -0.39
69 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 2 2 - 0 -1.23
70 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 -1.5
71 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 3 0 - 3 -1.98
72 Appalachian St SUN 4 - 2 3 - 0 -2.16
73 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 2 2 - 0 -2.35
74 Baylor BIG12 0 - 6 0 - 3 -2.65
75 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 5 1 - 2 -4.04
76 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 4 1 - 2 -4.58
77 Marshall CUSA-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 -4.91
78 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -5.57
79 Army IND 5 - 2 1 - 0 -5.61
80 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 4 0 - 4 -5.63
81 Troy SUN 4 - 2 1 - 1 -6.23
82 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 2 -6.3
83 Akron MAC-E 4 - 3 3 - 0 -6.78
84 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 3 2 - 0 -6.78
85 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -6.93
86 Missouri SEC-E 1 - 5 0 - 4 -7.13
87 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -7.18
88 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 2 3 - 0 -7.61
89 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 -7.64
90 Temple AAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 -7.77
91 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 -7.96
92 WKU CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 -8.24
93 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 -8.4
94 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 2 2 - 0 -8.43
95 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 4 1 - 2 -8.61
96 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 3 1 - 2 -8.9
97 BYU IND 1 - 6 1 - 0 -8.95
98 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 6 1 - 2 -9.18
99 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 -9.25
100 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 6 0 - 4 -9.82
101 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -10.57
102 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 5 0 - 3 -10.62
103 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -10.82
104 Georgia St SUN 3 - 2 2 - 0 -11.21
105 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 4 0 - 3 -11.75
106 South Alabama SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -12.07
107 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 4 1 - 2 -12.4
108 Idaho SUN 2 - 4 1 - 2 -12.81
109 UAB CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 -13.44
110 ULL SUN 3 - 3 2 - 1 -13.98
111 ULM SUN 3 - 3 3 - 1 -14.87
112 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -14.9
113 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 5 0 - 2 -15.29
114 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 6 1 - 2 -15.34
115 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 5 1 - 2 -15.48
116 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 4 1 - 3 -15.64
117 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 -16.68
118 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 6 1 - 3 -17.14
119 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -18.73
120 Kent MAC-E 2 - 5 1 - 2 -19.29
121 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -20.59
122 Massachusetts IND 0 - 6 0 - 0 -20.59
123 Kansas BIG12 1 - 5 0 - 3 -20.99
124 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 5 0 - 3 -21.35
125 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -22.08
126 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -23.45
127 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 5 1 - 1 -23.9
128 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 7 0 - 3 -24.74
129 Texas St SUN 1 - 6 0 - 3 -26.36
130 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 7 0 - 3 -27.18