Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 4 (through games of 9/15/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 35.1
2 Georgia SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 24.52
3 Oklahoma BIG12 3 - 0 1 - 0 23.85
4 Ohio St BIG10-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 23.41
5 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 20.66
6 Auburn SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 20.57
7 Penn St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 19.66
8 LSU SEC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 19.48
9 Clemson ACC-A 3 - 0 0 - 0 19.14
10 Washington PAC12-N 2 - 1 1 - 0 18.2
11 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 0 1 - 0 15.78
12 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 15.26
13 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.93
14 TCU BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 13.68
15 Wisconsin BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 13.2
16 Michigan BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 12.29
17 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 12.15
18 Texas A&M SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 11.67
19 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 0 1 - 0 11.57
20 UCF AAC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 10.48
21 Duke ACC-C 3 - 0 0 - 0 9.66
22 Miami FL ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 9.55
23 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 9.29
24 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 9.21
25 Notre Dame IND 3 - 0 0 - 0 8.76
26 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 2 0 - 1 8.71
27 Michigan St BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 7.88
28 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 7.53
29 NC State ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.46
30 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 7.18
31 Texas BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 7.11
32 Utah PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 1 6.94
33 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.8
34 Florida SEC-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 6.6
35 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.88
36 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 5.86
37 San Diego St MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.74
38 Memphis AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 5.64
39 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.45
40 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.42
41 Appalachian St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 5.41
42 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.2
43 USC PAC12-S 1 - 2 0 - 1 5.14
44 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 5
45 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 5
46 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.08
47 Temple AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 3.81
48 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 3.08
49 Texas Tech BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 2.82
50 BYU IND 2 - 1 0 - 0 2.44
51 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 2.36
52 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 2 1 - 0 2.3
53 South Florida AAC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 2.28
54 Baylor BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.95
55 Houston AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.89
56 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 1.32
57 Army IND 2 - 1 1 - 0 1.11
58 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 0.96
59 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 0.77
60 Wake Forest ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 1 0.76
61 Florida St ACC-A 1 - 2 0 - 2 0.26
62 Navy AAC-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 0.24
63 Kansas BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 0.18
64 California PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 -0.33
65 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 1 1 - 0 -0.58
66 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 1 -1
67 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 -1.4
68 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 -1.61
69 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 3 0 - 0 -1.87
70 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 2 1 - 0 -2.27
71 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 3 0 - 1 -2.34
72 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 -2.6
73 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -2.83
74 Arkansas St SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.07
75 North Texas CUSA-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 -3.18
76 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.23
77 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -3.55
78 Liberty IND 1 - 1 0 - 1 -3.68
79 Toledo MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -3.87
80 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.14
81 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.22
82 Troy SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.52
83 WKU CUSA-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -5.86
84 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.14
85 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -6.16
86 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.42
87 Akron MAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -6.55
88 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 -6.55
89 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -6.69
90 Arizona PAC12-S 1 - 2 0 - 0 -6.77
91 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -7.18
92 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 -7.43
93 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 2 0 - 0 -7.89
94 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 -7.9
95 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.4
96 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.71
97 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -9.04
98 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -9.48
99 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 -9.67
100 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 3 0 - 1 -10.23
101 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 3 0 - 1 -10.62
102 Coastal Car SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -10.66
103 W Michigan MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -10.79
104 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -11.37
105 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.49
106 SMU AAC-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -11.49
107 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 -11.89
108 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.94
109 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -12.16
110 Southern Miss CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -14.24
111 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -14.71
112 UAB CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -14.91
113 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -15.03
114 South Alabama SUN 1 - 2 1 - 0 -15.19
115 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -15.91
116 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -16.29
117 ULM SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -17.07
118 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -17.26
119 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -17.79
120 ULL SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -18.18
121 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -18.28
122 Georgia St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -18.74
123 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.41
124 Kent MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.78
125 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 3 0 - 2 -20.94
126 Massachusetts IND 1 - 3 1 - 0 -22.7
127 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 -23.58
128 New Mexico St IND 0 - 4 0 - 0 -24.39
129 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -28.48
130 Texas St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 1 -28.79