Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 7 (10/16/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 30.27
2 Michigan BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 29.86
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 27.34
4 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 0 3 - 0 23.75
5 Clemson ACC-A 7 - 0 4 - 0 21.11
6 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 18.18
7 Louisville ACC-A 5 - 1 3 - 1 17.91
8 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 17.68
9 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 17.63
10 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 0 4 - 0 17.62
11 LSU SEC-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 17.38
12 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 2 3 - 0 16.99
13 Oklahoma BIG12 4 - 2 3 - 0 13.66
14 USC PAC12-S 4 - 3 3 - 2 13.54
15 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 2 3 - 1 13.11
16 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 0 3 - 0 12.37
17 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 2 2 - 2 12.17
18 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 12.12
19 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 2 12.03
20 Houston AAC-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 11.86
21 Arkansas SEC-W 5 - 2 1 - 2 11.39
22 Nebraska BIG10-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 11.22
23 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 2 2 - 1 11.14
24 Florida SEC-E 5 - 1 3 - 1 10.99
25 Baylor BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 10.15
26 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 2 2 - 2 9.87
27 NC State ACC-A 4 - 2 1 - 1 9.33
28 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 2 1 - 2 9.27
29 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 9.14
30 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 4 1 - 3 8.82
31 Boise St MWC-M 6 - 0 3 - 0 8.79
32 Northwestern BIG10-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 8.42
33 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 4 0 - 3 7.93
34 BYU IND 4 - 3 0 - 0 7.2
35 South Florida AAC-E 6 - 1 3 - 0 7.09
36 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 7.07
37 North Carolina ACC-C 5 - 2 3 - 1 6.62
38 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 5.77
39 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 3 2 - 3 5.72
40 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 5.65
41 TCU BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 5.63
42 Utah PAC12-S 6 - 1 3 - 1 5.62
43 Georgia Tech ACC-C 4 - 3 1 - 3 5.59
44 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 2 2 - 1 5.5
45 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 5.43
46 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 4.83
47 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 2 2 - 2 4.5
48 Notre Dame IND 2 - 5 0 - 0 4.31
49 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 3.72
50 Navy AAC-W 4 - 1 3 - 0 3.47
51 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 4 0 - 3 3.04
52 Texas BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 2.66
53 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 2 2.21
54 Toledo MAC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 2.06
55 Troy SUN 5 - 1 3 - 0 1.92
56 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 1.66
57 Appalachian St SUN 4 - 2 2 - 0 1.55
58 California PAC12-N 3 - 3 1 - 2 0.79
59 Duke ACC-C 3 - 4 0 - 3 0.63
60 Temple AAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -0.14
61 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 4 1 - 1 -0.2
62 WKU CUSA-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -0.67
63 UCF AAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -0.68
64 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 5 0 - 4 -0.74
65 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 -0.77
66 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 4 1 - 4 -0.78
67 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 4 0 - 3 -0.81
68 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 4 1 - 2 -1.44
69 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 2 1 - 2 -1.54
70 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -1.58
71 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 -1.58
72 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 2 1 - 2 -1.94
73 San Diego St MWC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 -2.72
74 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 3 2 - 2 -3.2
75 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 4 1 - 2 -3.87
76 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 -4.06
77 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 3 2 - 1 -4.25
78 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 -4.57
79 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 2 2 - 0 -4.63
80 Tulsa AAC-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -4.9
81 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 4 0 - 3 -5.44
82 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 -5.53
83 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 2 -5.63
84 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 -6.14
85 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -6.37
86 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 6 0 - 4 -6.41
87 Arkansas St SUN 2 - 4 2 - 0 -6.79
88 Army IND 4 - 2 1 - 0 -6.83
89 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 3 0 - 3 -6.85
90 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 0 -7.04
91 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 6 1 - 2 -7.09
92 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 3 0 - 3 -7.15
93 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 3 0 - 2 -8.33
94 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -8.67
95 Akron MAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -9.15
96 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -9.75
97 South Alabama SUN 3 - 3 0 - 3 -10.14
98 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -10.49
99 Georgia St SUN 1 - 5 1 - 2 -11.25
100 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 5 0 - 4 -11.78
101 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 -12.21
102 Idaho SUN 4 - 3 2 - 1 -12.88
103 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 3 2 - 1 -13.02
104 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 -13.29
105 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 4 2 - 1 -13.47
106 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 -13.67
107 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -13.78
108 Kent MAC-E 2 - 5 1 - 2 -13.8
109 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 4 2 - 1 -14.03
110 SMU AAC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -14.31
111 North Texas CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -15.08
112 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -15.14
113 ULL SUN 2 - 4 1 - 2 -16.3
114 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 6 1 - 2 -16.76
115 ULM SUN 2 - 4 1 - 2 -17.15
116 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 6 0 - 4 -17.55
117 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -18.13
118 Massachusetts IND 1 - 6 0 - 0 -18.45
119 Kansas BIG12 1 - 5 0 - 3 -18.67
120 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 5 1 - 2 -19.69
121 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -19.82
122 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 4 3 - 0 -21.88
123 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -23.21
124 Texas St SUN 2 - 4 0 - 2 -23.56
125 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -24.16
126 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 2 -25.69
127 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 5 1 - 2 -26.4
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 5 0 - 3 -26.78