Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings

College Basketball Predictions

ARCHIVED PREVIOUS YEAR PREDICTIONS

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CURRENT WEEK PREDICTIONS

Note: I'm going with a home court advantage of 3 points this year.

Note, as usual, that for conference championships since they were not scheduled when the season started, they will not appear in the single game list below. If you want to make your own predictions, just compare team rating points on the main rating page and add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT PROJECTED CHAMPIONS

Ohio Valley

(3)Morehead State: 35.6
(1)Arkansas Little Rock: 30
(2)Tennessee Martin: 21
(4)Western Illinois: 9.4
(5)Tennessee State: 2.1
(6)SIU Edwardsville: 1.2
(7)Eastern Illinois: 0.4
(8)Southern Indiana: 0.2

Big South

(1)High Point: 50.1
(2)UNC Asheville: 24.3
(3)Gardner Webb: 9.5
(4)Winthrop: 7.8
(5)Longwood: 4.7
(6)Presbyterian: 1.5
(9)Radford: 1.4
(7)Charleston Southern: 0.6
(8)South Carolina Upstate: 0.2

Missouri Valley

(1)Indiana State: 30.1
(2)Drake: 30
(3)Bradley: 18.2
(4)Northern Iowa: 8.3
(5)Belmont: 6.5
(6)Southern Illinois: 3.5
(8)Murray State: 1.2
(9)Missouri State: 1
(7)Illinois State: 0.8
(10)Evansville: 0.3
(11)Illinois Chicago: 0.2
(12)Valparaiso: 0

Atlantic Sun

(1)Eastern Kentucky: 29.2
(3)Lipscomb: 27.3
(2)Stetson: 16.9
(4)Austin Peay: 11.1
(5)North Florida: 5.9
(7)Florida Gulf Coast: 3.6
(6)North Alabama: 2.9
(8)Queens: 1.3
(9)Kennesaw St: 1.2
(10)Jacksonville: 0.7

Sun Belt

(2)James Madison: 36.3
(1)Appalachian State: 34.5
(3)Troy: 11.4
(4)Arkansas State: 7.7
(5)UL Lafayette: 5.2
(8)South Alabama: 1.3
(6)Southern Miss: 1
(7)Georgia State: 1
(11)Texas State: 0.8
(10)Marshall: 0.4
(9)Georgia Southern: 0.3
(12)UL Monroe: 0.1
(14)Old Dominion: 0
(13)Coastal Carolina: 0

Southern

(1)Samford: 34.3
(2)UNC Greensboro: 15.6
(4)Western Carolina: 14.8
(3)Chattanooga: 12.9
(5)Furman: 9.3
(6)Wofford: 6.5
(7)East Tennessee State: 4.1
(8)Mercer: 2.3
(9)The Citadel: 0.3
(10)Virginia Military Institute: 0

Horizon

(2)Youngstown State: 24.9
(1)Oakland: 20.5
(4)Wright State: 18
(5)Northern Kentucky: 10.1
(3)Green Bay: 8
(8)IPFW: 6.7
(6)Milwaukee: 6
(7)Cleveland State: 5.6
(9)Robert Morris: 0.2
(11)Detroit: 0
(10)IUPUI: 0

Northeastern

(1)Central Connecticut State: 40.8
(2)Merrimack: 39.1
(3)Sacred Heart: 8.8
(4)Le Moyne: 6.6
(6)Wagner: 2.2
(5)Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.8
(7)LIU Brooklyn: 0.5
(8)Saint Francis Penn: 0.2

Coastal

(1)College of Charleston: 33.1
(3)Hofstra: 19.6
(2)Drexel: 15.9
(4)UNC Wilmington: 15.3
(5)Towson: 6.7
(6)Delaware: 3.7
(7)Stony Brook: 2.9
(8)Monmouth: 2.1
(10)Northeastern: 0.5
(9)Campbell: 0.2
(11)Elon: 0
(13)William and Mary: 0
(14)Hampton: 0
(12)North Carolina AT: 0

West Coast

(2)Gonzaga: 45.5
(1)Saint Marys: 43
(3)San Francisco: 7.2
(4)Santa Clara: 3.8
(7)Loyola Marymount: 0.2
(5)San Diego: 0.1
(8)Pepperdine: 0.1
(6)Portland: 0
(9)Pacific: 0

Summit

(1)South Dakota State: 32.3
(4)Saint Thomas: 19.7
(2)UMKC: 16.3
(3)North Dakota: 12.4
(5)North Dakota State: 6.2
(6)Omaha: 5.7
(7)Denver: 4.6
(8)Oral Roberts: 1.9
(9)South Dakota: 0.8

Southland

(1)Mcneese State: 63.8
(2)Texas AM CC: 22.8
(3)Nicholls State: 6.2
(4)Lamar: 5.6
(5)Southeast Louisiana: 1.2
(6)Northwestern State: 0.3
(7)Texas AM Commerce: 0.2
(8)New Orleans: 0

Big Sky

(1)Eastern Washington: 32.5
(3)Montana: 21.8
(4)Weber State: 17.1
(2)Northern Colorado: 14.8
(5)Montana State: 5.4
(6)Portland State: 4.7
(8)Idaho State: 1.7
(7)Northern Arizona: 1.1
(9)Idaho: 0.4
(10)Sacramento State: 0.4

Patriot

(1)Colgate: 71.2
(2)Boston: 9.9
(4)American: 5.5
(6)Lehigh: 4.7
(3)Lafayette: 3.7
(5)Bucknell: 3.5
(7)Navy: 0.9
(8)Army: 0.3
(10)Loyola MD: 0.1
(9)Holy Cross: 0

America East

(1)Vermont: 66.6
(2)UMass Lowell: 16.6
(3)Bryant: 9.2
(4)New Hampshire: 2.9
(6)Maine: 1.6
(5)Binghamton: 1.5
(8)Albany: 0.8
(7)UMBC: 0.8

MEAC

(1)Norfolk State: 47.9
(2)North Carolina Central: 22.7
(4)Howard: 10.8
(3)South Carolina State: 9.8
(6)Delaware State: 4.8
(5)Morgan State: 2.9
(7)Maryland Eastern Shore: 0.9
(8)Coppin State: 0.2

SWAC

(4)Southern: 19.6
(1)Grambling State: 19.2
(3)Texas Southern: 19.1
(2)Alcorn State: 18.5
(6)Jackson State: 8.8
(5)Bethune Cookman: 7.1
(8)Alabama State: 4.2
(7)Alabama AM: 3.4

Big 12

(1)Houston: 49.9
(2)Iowa State: 13.8
(3)Baylor: 11.6
(4)Texas Tech: 6.3
(6)Kansas: 5.8
(5)Brigham Young: 5.1
(7)Texas: 3.4
(9)Oklahoma: 1.1
(8)Texas Christian: 1.1
(11)Cincinnati: 0.8
(10)Kansas State: 0.6
(12)Central Florida: 0.4
(13)Oklahoma State: 0
(14)West Virginia: 0

Mountain West

(1)Utah State: 21.2
(5)San Diego State: 17.5
(2)Nevada: 16.5
(3)Boise State: 15.2
(4)Nevada Las Vegas: 11.3
(7)Colorado State: 8.9
(6)New Mexico: 8.9
(8)Wyoming: 0.4
(9)Fresno State: 0.1
(11)Air Force: 0
(10)San Jose State: 0

Big East

(1)Connecticut: 39.8
(2)Creighton: 20.1
(3)Marquette: 15.6
(5)Saint Johns: 11.3
(6)Villanova: 5
(4)Seton Hall: 4
(7)Providence: 2.1
(9)Xavier: 1.1
(8)Butler: 0.8
(10)Georgetown: 0
(11)Depaul: 0

MAAC

(1)Quinnipiac: 24.2
(2)Fairfield: 24.1
(4)Rider: 11.7
(5)Saint Peters: 11.4
(3)Marist: 11.3
(7)Iona: 7.1
(6)Niagara: 5.4
(8)Mt St Marys: 3
(9)Canisius: 1.5
(10)Manhattan: 0.1
(11)Siena: 0.1

MAC

(1)Toledo: 26.6
(2)Akron: 26.2
(3)Ohio: 22.7
(8)Kent State: 7
(5)Bowling Green: 6.4
(4)Central Michigan: 5.6
(7)Miami OH: 3.9
(6)Western Michigan: 1.6

Conference USA

(2)Louisiana Tech: 41
(1)Sam Houston State: 21.2
(3)Western Kentucky: 14.2
(4)Liberty: 12
(5)Texas El Paso: 5.8
(8)Jacksonville State: 2.1
(7)Middle Tennessee: 1.8
(6)New Mexico State: 1.6
(9)Florida International: 0.3

ACC

(1)North Carolina: 34.8
(2)Duke: 33
(4)Pittsburgh: 8
(6)Clemson: 7.1
(3)Virginia: 5.6
(5)Wake Forest: 5.4
(8)Virginia Tech: 2.4
(7)Syracuse: 1.9
(9)Florida State: 0.6
(10)NC State: 0.5
(14)Miami: 0.3
(11)Boston College: 0.2
(12)Notre Dame: 0.1
(13)Georgia Tech: 0.1
(15)Louisville: 0

Big West

(1)UC Irvine: 60.2
(2)UC Davis: 18
(3)Hawaii: 9.8
(4)Long Beach State: 4.8
(5)UC Riverside: 2.6
(6)UC Santa Barbara: 2.4
(7)Cal State Northridge: 1.2
(8)Cal State Bakersfield: 1

Pac 12

(1)Arizona: 41.4
(3)Colorado: 17.6
(2)Washington State: 16.9
(4)Oregon: 9.1
(6)Utah: 4.8
(8)Washington: 3
(5)UCLA: 2.2
(9)Southern California: 1.9
(10)Stanford: 1.3
(7)California: 0.8
(11)Arizona State: 0.7
(12)Oregon State: 0.4

WAC

(1)Grand Canyon: 57.8
(2)Tarleton State: 19.7
(3)Texas Arlington: 9.6
(4)Seattle: 6.8
(5)Utah Valley: 2.4
(6)Stephen F Austin: 2.1
(7)Abilene Christian: 1.1
(8)Cal Baptist: 0.5

Ivy

(1)Princeton: 55
(2)Yale: 23.6
(3)Cornell: 18.9
(4)Brown: 2.5

Atlantic 10

(3)Dayton: 40.3
(2)Loyola Ill: 15
(1)Richmond: 14.3
(4)Massachusetts: 8.6
(5)Virginia Commonwealth: 7.6
(7)Saint Bonaventure: 4.1
(8)George Mason: 3.6
(6)Duquesne: 3.5
(9)Saint Josephs: 2
(13)Davidson: 0.7
(14)Saint Louis: 0.1
(10)La Salle: 0.1
(15)George Washington: 0.1
(11)Rhode Island: 0
(12)Fordham: 0

SEC

(1)Tennessee: 29.6
(4)Auburn: 23.1
(3)Alabama: 17.2
(2)Kentucky: 16
(6)Florida: 5.2
(5)South Carolina: 3.2
(9)Mississippi State: 2.3
(7)Texas AM: 2
(10)Mississippi: 0.6
(8)Louisiana State: 0.4
(12)Arkansas: 0.2
(11)Georgia: 0.1
(14)Missouri: 0
(13)Vanderbilt: 0

American

(2)Florida Atlantic: 32.4
(1)South Florida: 20.7
(5)Memphis: 13.1
(6)Southern Methodist: 11.4
(4)Alabama Birmingham: 9
(3)Charlotte: 5.7
(7)North Texas: 5.4
(9)Tulsa: 0.7
(8)East Carolina: 0.6
(10)Tulane: 0.5
(12)Wichita State: 0.4
(13)Rice: 0.1
(11)Temple: 0.1
(14)Texas San Antonio: 0

Big 10

(1)Purdue: 47.2
(2)Illinois: 21.6
(3)Nebraska: 9.6
(4)Northwestern: 5.8
(8)Michigan State: 4.8
(5)Wisconsin: 4.2
(10)Ohio State: 2.2
(7)Iowa: 1.8
(6)Indiana: 1.1
(11)Penn State: 0.6
(12)Maryland: 0.5
(9)Minnesota: 0.3
(13)Rutgers: 0.2
(14)Michigan: 0

PREVIOUS WEEK PREDICTIONS

GAMES OF 11-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 72 - Portland State 68	0.617	Air Force 55 - Portland State 62	11
Alabama 82 - Morehead State 61	0.901	Alabama 105 - Morehead State 73	-11
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Bradley 67	0.665	Alabama Birmingham 71 - Bradley 73	9
Arizona 88 - Morgan State 58	0.956	Arizona 122 - Morgan State 59	-33
Arkansas 85 - Alcorn State 58	0.953	Arkansas 93 - Alcorn State 59	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 64 - Texas State 73	0.757	Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Texas State 66	-14
Army 68 - Marist 66	0.549	Army 55 - Marist 71	18
Austin Peay 83 - Unranked 56		Austin Peay 90 - Unranked 72
Belmont 76 - Georgia State 66	0.749	Belmont 89 - Georgia State 87	8
Boston College 73 - Fairfield 63	0.749	Boston College 89 - Fairfield 70	-9
Bowling Green 78 - Chicago State 65	0.796	Bowling Green 70 - Chicago State 41	-16
Brigham Young 87 - Houston Christian 58	0.96	Brigham Young 110 - Houston Christian 63	-18
Bryant 73 - Manhattan 66	0.689	Bryant 59 - Manhattan 61	9
Bucknell 66 - Delaware 72	0.674	Bucknell 57 - Delaware 78	15
Buffalo 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.807	Buffalo 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 92	19
Butler 78 - Eastern Michigan 60	0.851	Butler 94 - Eastern Michigan 55	-21
Cal Baptist 87 - Unranked 54		Cal Baptist 74 - Unranked 57
Cal Poly 80 - Unranked 57		Cal Poly 80 - Unranked 62
Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Southern Utah 73	0.737	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Southern Utah 72	-9
California 72 - Saint Thomas 65	0.673	California 71 - Saint Thomas 66	2
Campbell 64 - Navy 65	0.532	Campbell 59 - Navy 48	-12
Central Florida 79 - Florida International 65	0.835	Central Florida 85 - Florida International 62	-9
Charleston Southern 82 - Unranked 59		Charleston Southern 94 - Unranked 59
Charlotte 73 - Maine 58	0.844	Charlotte 69 - Maine 52	-2
Chattanooga 89 - Unranked 52		Chattanooga 89 - Unranked 44
Cincinnati 81 - Illinois Chicago 61	0.923	Cincinnati 69 - Illinois Chicago 58	9
Clemson 78 - Winthrop 66	0.797	Clemson 78 - Winthrop 56	-10
Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 56		Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 86
Colgate 75 - Brown 64	0.785	Colgate 72 - Brown 70	9
College of Charleston 72 - Iona 71	0.516	College of Charleston 71 - Iona 69	-1
Colorado 75 - Towson 65	0.763	Colorado 75 - Towson 57	-8
Colorado State 74 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.622	Colorado State 81 - Louisiana Tech 73	-4
Connecticut 85 - Northern Arizona 57	0.962	Connecticut 95 - Northern Arizona 52	-15
Davidson 93 - Unranked 50		Davidson 86 - Unranked 63
Dayton 79 - SIU Edwardsville 56	0.928	Dayton 63 - SIU Edwardsville 47	7
Duke 84 - Dartmouth 58	0.937	Duke 92 - Dartmouth 54	-12
Duquesne 72 - Cleveland State 68	0.62	Duquesne 79 - Cleveland State 77	2
East Carolina 89 - Unranked 54		East Carolina 91 - Unranked 61
East Tennessee State 87 - Unranked 53		East Tennessee State 73 - Unranked 56
Evansville 67 - Miami OH 71	0.617	Evansville 72 - Miami OH 64	-12
Florida 80 - Loyola MD 59	0.919	Florida 93 - Loyola MD 73	1
Fordham 68 - Wagner 61	0.697	Fordham 68 - Wagner 64	3
Fresno State 89 - Unranked 51		Fresno State 77 - Unranked 66
Furman 93 - Unranked 50		Furman 84 - Unranked 68
Gardner Webb 85 - Unranked 52		Gardner Webb 98 - Unranked 58
George Mason 74 - Monmouth 64	0.757	George Mason 72 - Monmouth 61	-1
George Washington 74 - Stonehill 66	0.716	George Washington 89 - Stonehill 44	-37
Georgia Tech 74 - Georgia Southern 66	0.743	Georgia Tech 84 - Georgia Southern 62	-14
Grambling State 82 - Unranked 54		Grambling State 82 - Unranked 67
Grand Canyon 78 - SE Missouri State 63	0.837	Grand Canyon 88 - SE Missouri State 67	-6
Harvard 86 - Unranked 52		Harvard 78 - Unranked 50
High Point 84 - Unranked 57		High Point 105 - Unranked 51
Hofstra 93 - Unranked 51		Hofstra 101 - Unranked 48
Houston 84 - UL Monroe 53	0.965	Houston 84 - UL Monroe 31	-22
Howard 74 - Hampton 67	0.69	Howard 92 - Hampton 80	-5
Idaho State 82 - Unranked 57		Idaho State 92 - Unranked 36
Illinois 86 - Eastern Illinois 54	0.963	Illinois 80 - Eastern Illinois 52	4
Illinois State 87 - Unranked 56		Illinois State 75 - Unranked 56
Indiana State 90 - Unranked 54		Indiana State 90 - Unranked 60
Iowa State 83 - Green Bay 56	0.95	Iowa State 85 - Green Bay 44	-14
IUPUI 78 - Unranked 60		IUPUI 70 - Unranked 63
Jacksonville 82 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville 113 - Unranked 46
Kansas 85 - North Carolina Central 55	0.965	Kansas 99 - North Carolina Central 56	-13
Kansas State 73 - Southern California 75	0.561	Kansas State 69 - Southern California 82	11
Kent State 90 - Unranked 49		Kent State 79 - Unranked 58
Kentucky 79 - New Mexico State 64	0.834	Kentucky 86 - New Mexico State 46	-25
Lamar 79 - Unranked 58		Lamar 114 - Unranked 66
Lehigh 69 - Cornell 72	0.597	Lehigh 78 - Cornell 84	3
Liberty 90 - Unranked 47		Liberty 103 - Unranked 43
Louisiana State 89 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.983	Louisiana State 106 - Mississippi Valley State 60	-12
Louisville 75 - UMBC 67	0.699	Louisville 94 - UMBC 93	7
Marquette 83 - Northern Illinois 60	0.929	Marquette 92 - Northern Illinois 70	1
Marshall 78 - Queens 67	0.776	Marshall 89 - Queens 73	-5
Memphis 82 - Jackson State 56	0.957	Memphis 94 - Jackson State 77	9
Mercer 86 - Unranked 53		Mercer 64 - Unranked 71
Miami 84 - NJ Tech 58	0.951	Miami 101 - NJ Tech 60	-15
Michigan State 82 - James Madison 65	0.886	Michigan State 76 - James Madison 79	20
Middle Tennessee 68 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.564	Middle Tennessee 74 - Northern Kentucky 57	-15
Milwaukee 85 - Unranked 57		Milwaukee 91 - Unranked 73
Minnesota 79 - Bethune Cookman 61	0.887	Minnesota 80 - Bethune Cookman 60	-2
Mississippi 80 - Alabama State 57	0.942	Mississippi 69 - Alabama State 59	13
Missouri 84 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.951	Missouri 101 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 79	5
Montana State 88 - Unranked 51		Montana State 103 - Unranked 63
Murray State 90 - Unranked 51		Murray State 91 - Unranked 58
NC State 84 - The Citadel 64	0.905	NC State 72 - The Citadel 59	7
Nebraska 80 - Lindenwood 63	0.854	Nebraska 84 - Lindenwood 52	-15
New Mexico 77 - Texas Southern 68	0.752	New Mexico 92 - Texas Southern 55	-28
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 58		New Orleans 100 - Unranked 70
Norfolk State 86 - Unranked 52		Norfolk State 102 - Unranked 55
North Alabama 84 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 93 - Unranked 60
North Carolina 81 - Radford 61	0.922	North Carolina 86 - Radford 70	4
North Florida 87 - Unranked 57		North Florida 92 - Unranked 55
Northeastern 67 - Boston 66	0.544	Northeastern 67 - Boston 58	-8
Northern Colorado 89 - Unranked 56		Northern Colorado 87 - Unranked 58
Northwestern 80 - Binghamton 60	0.911	Northwestern 72 - Binghamton 61	9
Northwestern State 84 - Unranked 57		Northwestern State 101 - Unranked 54
Notre Dame 76 - Niagara 63	0.823	Notre Dame 70 - Niagara 63	6
Ohio State 82 - Oakland 63	0.903	Ohio State 79 - Oakland 73	13
Oklahoma 84 - Central Michigan 59	0.923	Oklahoma 89 - Central Michigan 59	-5
Oklahoma State 78 - Abilene Christian 65	0.833	Oklahoma State 59 - Abilene Christian 64	18
Old Dominion 87 - Unranked 51		Old Dominion 71 - Unranked 57
Omaha 83 - Unranked 59		Omaha 85 - Unranked 53
Oregon 81 - Georgia 69	0.769	Oregon 82 - Georgia 71	1
Oregon State 90 - Unranked 54		Oregon State 82 - Unranked 46
Pacific 66 - Sam Houston State 71	0.63	Pacific 57 - Sam Houston State 64	2
Penn State 86 - Delaware State 53	0.979	Penn State 79 - Delaware State 45	-1
Pennsylvania 89 - Unranked 54		Pennsylvania 102 - Unranked 57
Pepperdine 90 - Unranked 58		Pepperdine 76 - Unranked 64
Pittsburgh 79 - North Carolina AT 61	0.883	Pittsburgh 100 - North Carolina AT 52	-30
Portland 75 - Long Beach State 74	0.515	Portland 78 - Long Beach State 73	-4
Prairie View 83 - Unranked 55		Prairie View 89 - Unranked 66
Providence 86 - Columbia 57	0.959	Providence 78 - Columbia 59	10
Purdue 84 - Samford 63	0.912	Purdue 98 - Samford 45	-32
Quinnipiac 88 - Unranked 56		Quinnipiac 116 - Unranked 48
Rhode Island 76 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.885	Rhode Island 81 - Central Connecticut State 70	6
Richmond 79 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.86	Richmond 93 - Virginia Military Institute 75	-2
Rider 87 - Unranked 54		Rider 113 - Unranked 67
Rutgers 74 - Princeton 67	0.674	Rutgers 61 - Princeton 68	14
Sacred Heart 83 - Unranked 58		Sacred Heart 95 - Unranked 51
Saint Bonaventure 72 - Longwood 63	0.73	Saint Bonaventure 73 - Longwood 69	5
Saint Josephs 74 - Lafayette 65	0.737	Saint Josephs 81 - Lafayette 60	-12
Saint Louis 80 - Southern Indiana 60	0.894	Saint Louis 75 - Southern Indiana 63	8
Saint Marys 94 - Unranked 43		Saint Marys 107 - Unranked 28
San Diego 88 - Unranked 56		San Diego 68 - Unranked 64
San Diego State 78 - Cal State Fullerton 59	0.917	San Diego State 83 - Cal State Fullerton 57	-7
San Francisco 94 - Unranked 50		San Francisco 128 - Unranked 59
Seton Hall 75 - Saint Peters 60	0.843	Seton Hall 70 - Saint Peters 59	4
Siena 74 - Holy Cross 60	0.838	Siena 73 - Holy Cross 71	12
South Alabama 89 - Unranked 51		South Alabama 74 - Unranked 83
South Carolina 78 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.808	South Carolina 82 - South Carolina Upstate 53	-16
South Carolina State 81 - Unranked 61		South Carolina State 65 - Unranked 57
South Dakota 86 - Unranked 55		South Dakota 85 - Unranked 53
South Dakota State 69 - Akron 68	0.52	South Dakota State 75 - Akron 81	7
Southeast Louisiana 84 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 90 - Unranked 71
Southern Illinois 87 - Unranked 49		Southern Illinois 88 - Unranked 57
Southern Methodist 94 - Unranked 52		Southern Methodist 82 - Unranked 63
Southern Miss 87 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 64 - Unranked 42
Stanford 81 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.918	Stanford 88 - Cal State Northridge 79	11
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 96 - Unranked 68
Stetson 85 - Unranked 56		Stetson 109 - Unranked 54
Syracuse 79 - New Hampshire 61	0.863	Syracuse 83 - New Hampshire 72	7
Temple 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.884	Temple 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	-2
Tennessee 84 - Tennessee Tech 54	0.955	Tennessee 80 - Tennessee Tech 42	-8
Tennessee Martin 83 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Martin 104 - Unranked 76
Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 76 - Unranked 61
Texas 87 - Incarnate Word 51	0.989	Texas 88 - Incarnate Word 56	4
Texas AM 81 - Texas AM Commerce 57	0.93	Texas AM 78 - Texas AM Commerce 46	-8
Texas Arlington 68 - Oral Roberts 73	0.654	Texas Arlington 75 - Oral Roberts 71	-9
Texas Christian 81 - Southern 59	0.916	Texas Christian 108 - Southern 75	-11
Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 52		Texas El Paso 120 - Unranked 71
Texas Pan American 87 - Unranked 59		Texas Pan American 110 - Unranked 59
Texas San Antonio 74 - Western Illinois 69	0.642	Texas San Antonio 78 - Western Illinois 68	-5
Toledo 79 - Detroit 66	0.801	Toledo 94 - Detroit 60	-21
Troy 87 - Unranked 53		Troy 92 - Unranked 47
Tulane 77 - Nicholls State 66	0.794	Tulane 91 - Nicholls State 81	1
Tulsa 78 - Central Arkansas 66	0.779	Tulsa 70 - Central Arkansas 53	-5
UC Davis 87 - Unranked 55		UC Davis 86 - Unranked 51
UC San Diego 72 - Denver 67	0.642	UC San Diego 95 - Denver 87	-3
UCLA 86 - Saint Francis Penn 55	0.965	UCLA 75 - Saint Francis Penn 44	0
UL Lafayette 75 - Youngstown State 68	0.697	UL Lafayette 72 - Youngstown State 62	-3
UMass Lowell 87 - Unranked 54		UMass Lowell 96 - Unranked 51
UMKC 82 - Unranked 54		UMKC 79 - Unranked 48
UNC Wilmington 88 - Unranked 53		UNC Wilmington 105 - Unranked 66
Utah 76 - Eastern Washington 70	0.679	Utah 101 - Eastern Washington 66	-29
Utah State 96 - Unranked 48		Utah State 101 - Unranked 48
Utah Valley 91 - Unranked 51		Utah Valley 81 - Unranked 73
Valparaiso 87 - Unranked 56		Valparaiso 100 - Unranked 61
Vermont 72 - Merrimack 55	0.88	Vermont 67 - Merrimack 55	5
Villanova 81 - American 55	0.954	Villanova 90 - American 63	-1
Virginia 75 - Tarleton State 55	0.907	Virginia 80 - Tarleton State 50	-10
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Mcneese State 54	0.963	Virginia Commonwealth 65 - Mcneese State 76	39
Virginia Tech 84 - Coppin State 58	0.945	Virginia Tech 100 - Coppin State 55	-19
Wake Forest 80 - Elon 62	0.874	Wake Forest 101 - Elon 78	-5
Washington 76 - Bellarmine 64	0.793	Washington 91 - Bellarmine 57	-22
Washington State 82 - Idaho 58	0.927	Washington State 84 - Idaho 59	-1
West Virginia 79 - Missouri State 68	0.767	West Virginia 67 - Missouri State 59	3
Western Kentucky 92 - Unranked 52		Western Kentucky 90 - Unranked 64
Western Michigan 63 - North Dakota State 72	0.747	Western Michigan 76 - North Dakota State 80	-5
Wichita State 77 - Lipscomb 65	0.834	Wichita State 76 - Lipscomb 59	-5
William and Mary 83 - Unranked 57		William and Mary 84 - Unranked 29
Wisconsin 79 - Arkansas State 59	0.94	Wisconsin 105 - Arkansas State 76	-9
Wofford 89 - Unranked 52		Wofford 85 - Unranked 68
Xavier 83 - Robert Morris 59	0.94	Xavier 77 - Robert Morris 63	10
Yale 91 - Unranked 50		Yale 102 - Unranked 53

GAMES OF 11-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 52		Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 49
Ball State 88 - Unranked 54		Ball State 101 - Unranked 40
Baylor 78 - Auburn 74	0.607	Baylor 88 - Auburn 82	-2
Boise State 95 - Unranked 48		Boise State 89 - Unranked 55
Creighton 84 - Florida AM 52	0.967	Creighton 105 - Florida AM 54	-19
DePaul 77 - IPFW 67	0.785	DePaul 74 - IPFW 82	18
Eastern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 56		Eastern Kentucky 108 - Unranked 72
Georgetown 78 - Le Moyne 66	0.772	Georgetown 94 - Le Moyne 57	-25
Indiana 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.887	Indiana 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	12
Iowa 89 - North Dakota 61	0.945	Iowa 110 - North Dakota 68	-14
Jacksonville State 86 - Unranked 53		Jacksonville State 91 - Unranked 41
Kennesaw St 85 - Unranked 55		Kennesaw St 93 - Unranked 46
La Salle 69 - Drexel 68	0.521	La Salle 67 - Drexel 61	-5
Loyola Marymount 90 - Unranked 52		Loyola Marymount 109 - Unranked 68
Maryland 78 - Mt St Marys 57	0.927	Maryland 68 - Mt St Marys 53	6
Massachusetts 76 - Albany 65	0.77	Massachusetts 92 - Albany 71	-10
Michigan 82 - UNC Asheville 62	0.899	Michigan 99 - UNC Asheville 74	-5
Montana 86 - Unranked 52		Montana 107 - Unranked 59
Nevada 78 - Sacramento State 61	0.881	Nevada 77 - Sacramento State 63	3
North Texas 73 - Northern Iowa 62	0.803	North Texas 83 - Northern Iowa 77	5
Rice 90 - Unranked 56		Rice 101 - Unranked 57
Saint Johns 82 - Stony Brook 64	0.877	Saint Johns 90 - Stony Brook 74	2
San Jose State 67 - UC Irvine 72	0.646	San Jose State 72 - UC Irvine 64	-13
Texas AM CC 84 - Unranked 54		Texas AM CC 111 - Unranked 46
UC Riverside 88 - Unranked 53		UC Riverside 76 - Unranked 69
Vanderbilt 81 - Presbyterian 59	0.941	Vanderbilt 62 - Presbyterian 68	28
Weber State 87 - Unranked 53		Weber State 96 - Unranked 62
Western Carolina 86 - Unranked 57		Western Carolina 106 - Unranked 65
Wyoming 90 - Unranked 53		Wyoming 104 - Unranked 56

GAMES OF 11-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 83 - Unranked 56		Alcorn State 70 - Unranked 62
Bryant 88 - Unranked 55		Bryant 140 - Unranked 79
Cleveland State 87 - Unranked 54		Cleveland State 102 - Unranked 41
Cornell 89 - Unranked 56		Cornell 107 - Unranked 86
Delaware 88 - Unranked 53		Delaware 101 - Unranked 68
Drake 77 - Lipscomb 64	0.815	Drake 85 - Lipscomb 70	-2
Eastern Illinois 79 - Unranked 58		Eastern Illinois 91 - Unranked 45
Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - Unranked 59		Fairleigh Dickinson 107 - Unranked 63
Loyola Ill 69 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.526	Loyola Ill 62 - Florida Atlantic 75	12
Maine 80 - Unranked 57		Maine 111 - Unranked 59
Mississippi State 73 - Arizona State 71	0.544	Mississippi State 71 - Arizona State 56	-13
Morehead State 85 - Unranked 51		Morehead State 96 - Unranked 40
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Southern 61	0.856	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Southern 85	30
New Hampshire 82 - Unranked 54		New Hampshire 115 - Unranked 38
New Mexico State 90 - Unranked 51		New Mexico State 84 - Unranked 49
North Dakota State 87 - Unranked 52		North Dakota State 93 - Unranked 66
Northern Colorado 89 - Unranked 56		Northern Colorado 81 - Unranked 60
Ohio 72 - Troy 66	0.674	Ohio 88 - Troy 70	-12
Pennsylvania 76 - Bucknell 64	0.789	Pennsylvania 80 - Bucknell 61	-7
Portland 89 - Unranked 57		Portland 89 - Unranked 72
Saint Louis 95 - Unranked 50		Saint Louis 102 - Unranked 66
San Diego 71 - Jackson State 64	0.725	San Diego 87 - Jackson State 61	-19
Santa Clara 80 - Utah Tech 65	0.84	Santa Clara 77 - Utah Tech 69	7
Seattle 73 - Prairie View 63	0.764	Seattle 71 - Prairie View 60	-1
Southern Methodist 80 - Western Illinois 63	0.865	Southern Methodist 90 - Western Illinois 53	-20
Syracuse 81 - Canisius 65	0.859	Syracuse 89 - Canisius 77	4
Texas Tech 84 - Texas AM Commerce 56	0.949	Texas Tech 73 - Texas AM Commerce 46	1
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 54		Winthrop 98 - Unranked 44

GAMES OF 11-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Unranked 60		Arkansas Pine Bluff 116 - Unranked 73
Baylor 102 - Unranked 47		Baylor 96 - Unranked 70
Charleston Southern 67 - North Florida 73	0.656	Charleston Southern 70 - North Florida 81	5
Chicago State 62 - Mercer 74	0.798	Chicago State 61 - Mercer 66	-7
Coppin State 62 - Towson 75	0.812	Coppin State 49 - Towson 70	8
Denver 68 - Cal Poly 65	0.575	Denver 97 - Cal Poly 76	-18
Elon 64 - East Tennessee State 70	0.642	Elon 79 - East Tennessee State 76	-9
Evansville 82 - Unranked 59		Evansville 116 - Unranked 46
Florida International 70 - Tarleton State 69	0.545	Florida International 65 - Tarleton State 82	18
Georgia Tech 78 - Howard 64	0.82	Georgia Tech 88 - Howard 85	11
Green Bay 80 - Unranked 59		Green Bay 72 - Unranked 56
Hampton 83 - Unranked 59		Hampton 109 - Unranked 46
Idaho 68 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.507	Idaho 73 - Cal State Northridge 76	2
Iowa State 81 - Lindenwood 57	0.916	Iowa State 102 - Lindenwood 47	-31
IPFW 85 - Unranked 55		IPFW 130 - Unranked 34
Kent State 74 - James Madison 66	0.728	Kent State 108 - James Madison 113	13
Merrimack 81 - Unranked 52		Merrimack 93 - Unranked 72
Michigan State 84 - Southern Indiana 58	0.938	Michigan State 74 - Southern Indiana 51	3
Middle Tennessee 71 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.535	Middle Tennessee 67 - Stephen F Austin 62	-3
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 100 - Unranked 52
Nebraska 80 - Florida AM 60	0.911	Nebraska 81 - Florida AM 54	-7
Norfolk State 86 - Unranked 52		Norfolk State 90 - Unranked 56
North Alabama 69 - Alabama AM 62	0.682	North Alabama 83 - Alabama AM 67	-9
North Carolina Central 83 - Unranked 54		North Carolina Central 107 - Unranked 54
Presbyterian 80 - Unranked 57		Presbyterian 100 - Unranked 58
Rhode Island 71 - Fairfield 63	0.715	Rhode Island 93 - Fairfield 80	-5
Robert Morris 83 - Unranked 55		Robert Morris 66 - Unranked 56
Saint Marys 79 - New Mexico 64	0.846	Saint Marys 72 - New Mexico 58	1
Sam Houston State 68 - Utah Valley 67	0.533	Sam Houston State 73 - Utah Valley 79	7
San Francisco 81 - Saint Francis Penn 60	0.915	San Francisco 84 - Saint Francis Penn 52	-11
San Jose State 87 - Unranked 56		San Jose State 117 - Unranked 72
SIU Edwardsville 82 - Unranked 57		SIU Edwardsville 92 - Unranked 67
South Florida 78 - South Carolina State 61	0.893	South Florida 96 - South Carolina State 52	-27
Southern California 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	0.949	Southern California 85 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	-2
Southern Methodist 81 - Lamar 58	0.936	Southern Methodist 78 - Lamar 67	12
Southern Utah 91 - Unranked 54		Southern Utah 108 - Unranked 73
Stonehill 67 - Army 68	0.543	Stonehill 57 - Army 44	-14
Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 58
Texas Christian 85 - Omaha 59	0.939	Texas Christian 82 - Omaha 60	4
Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 52		Texas El Paso 123 - Unranked 72
Tulane 80 - Northwestern State 65	0.846	Tulane 88 - Northwestern State 71	-2
UC Davis 74 - Pepperdine 72	0.563	UC Davis 79 - Pepperdine 78	1
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Portland State 64	0.826	UC Santa Barbara 76 - Portland State 82	18
Virginia Military Institute 86 - Unranked 59		Virginia Military Institute 87 - Unranked 53
Wagner 82 - Unranked 53		Wagner 83 - Unranked 48
Washington 72 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.672	Washington 75 - Northern Kentucky 67	-2
Wichita State 75 - Western Kentucky 69	0.698	Wichita State 71 - Western Kentucky 61	-4
William and Mary 67 - American 66	0.521	William and Mary 75 - American 56	-18

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Southern Miss 63	0.765	Akron 72 - Southern Miss 54	-7
Alabama 85 - Indiana State 66	0.862	Alabama 102 - Indiana State 80	-3
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Clemson 72	0.504	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Clemson 77	2
Arkansas 81 - Gardner Webb 61	0.915	Arkansas 86 - Gardner Webb 68	2
Auburn 86 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.955	Auburn 86 - Southeast Louisiana 71	12
Bethune Cookman 80 - Unranked 58		Bethune Cookman 113 - Unranked 46
Brigham Young 68 - San Diego State 72	0.596	Brigham Young 74 - San Diego State 65	-13
Butler 78 - SE Missouri State 63	0.829	Butler 91 - SE Missouri State 56	-20
Cal Baptist 70 - Jackson State 61	0.745	Cal Baptist 80 - Jackson State 66	-5
California 71 - Pacific 69	0.561	California 79 - Pacific 87	10
Central Arkansas 84 - Unranked 61		Central Arkansas 82 - Unranked 39
Charlotte 64 - Liberty 68	0.633	Charlotte 59 - Liberty 71	8
Cincinnati 80 - Detroit 64	0.865	Cincinnati 93 - Detroit 61	-16
College of Charleston 74 - Duquesne 69	0.648	College of Charleston 72 - Duquesne 90	23
Colorado 78 - Grambling State 58	0.903	Colorado 95 - Grambling State 63	-12
Colorado State 76 - Wright State 68	0.698	Colorado State 105 - Wright State 77	-20
Dartmouth 68 - UMass Lowell 69	0.532	Dartmouth 48 - UMass Lowell 81	32
Duke 78 - Arizona 75	0.571	Duke 73 - Arizona 78	8
Eastern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 56		Eastern Kentucky 133 - Unranked 75
Florida 67 - Virginia 70	0.591	Florida 70 - Virginia 73	0
Florida Gulf Coast 86 - Unranked 55		Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Unranked 71
Florida State 78 - Kennesaw St 65	0.826	Florida State 94 - Kennesaw St 67	-14
Furman 74 - Belmont 70	0.602	Furman 99 - Belmont 76	-19
George Mason 74 - Austin Peay 61	0.832	George Mason 67 - Austin Peay 45	-9
Georgia 74 - Wake Forest 78	0.615	Georgia 80 - Wake Forest 77	-7
Gonzaga 84 - Yale 64	0.894	Gonzaga 86 - Yale 71	5
Hofstra 73 - Princeton 69	0.586	Hofstra 67 - Princeton 74	11
Illinois 83 - Oakland 62	0.918	Illinois 64 - Oakland 53	10
Illinois Chicago 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.598	Illinois Chicago 86 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	-11
Iona 79 - Sacred Heart 61	0.896	Iona 88 - Sacred Heart 81	11
Iowa 90 - Alabama State 57	0.965	Iowa 98 - Alabama State 67	2
Kansas 87 - Manhattan 56	0.966	Kansas 99 - Manhattan 61	-7
Kansas State 79 - Bellarmine 62	0.89	Kansas State 83 - Bellarmine 75	9
Kentucky 85 - Texas AM Commerce 56	0.953	Kentucky 81 - Texas AM Commerce 61	9
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Air Force 73	0.69	LIU Brooklyn 67 - Air Force 82	8
Louisiana State 79 - Nicholls State 62	0.896	Louisiana State 66 - Nicholls State 68	19
Louisville 72 - Chattanooga 69	0.571	Louisville 71 - Chattanooga 81	13
Marquette 82 - Rider 63	0.915	Marquette 95 - Rider 65	-11
Marshall 73 - Radford 67	0.676	Marshall 62 - Radford 66	10
Maryland 74 - Davidson 69	0.644	Maryland 61 - Davidson 64	8
Mcneese State 81 - Unranked 59		Mcneese State 96 - Unranked 55
Miami 77 - Central Florida 71	0.669	Miami 88 - Central Florida 72	-10
Michigan 82 - Youngstown State 63	0.889	Michigan 92 - Youngstown State 62	-11
Minnesota 79 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.77	Minnesota 102 - Texas San Antonio 76	-15
Mississippi 75 - Eastern Washington 69	0.667	Mississippi 75 - Eastern Washington 64	-5
Missouri 72 - Memphis 77	0.626	Missouri 55 - Memphis 70	10
Murray State 76 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.827	Murray State 78 - Tennessee Tech 72	9
Navy 65 - Temple 70	0.625	Navy 68 - Temple 75	2
NC State 77 - Abilene Christian 68	0.737	NC State 84 - Abilene Christian 64	-11
Northwestern 69 - Dayton 71	0.54	Northwestern 71 - Dayton 66	-7
Ohio State 74 - Texas AM 71	0.578	Ohio State 66 - Texas AM 73	10
Oklahoma 89 - Mississippi Valley State 53	0.975	Oklahoma 82 - Mississippi Valley State 43	-3
Oral Roberts 92 - Unranked 53		Oral Roberts 74 - Unranked 69
Oregon 78 - Montana 62	0.854	Oregon 75 - Montana 61	2
Oregon State 72 - Troy 68	0.629	Oregon State 81 - Troy 80	3
Penn State 81 - Lehigh 60	0.92	Penn State 74 - Lehigh 65	12
Pittsburgh 78 - Binghamton 61	0.879	Pittsburgh 89 - Binghamton 60	-12
Purdue 79 - Morehead State 58	0.921	Purdue 87 - Morehead State 57	-9
Quinnipiac 75 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.824	Quinnipiac 74 - Central Connecticut State 70	9
Rice 72 - Harvard 70	0.56	Rice 76 - Harvard 89	15
Rutgers 77 - Boston 60	0.883	Rutgers 69 - Boston 45	-7
Saint Josephs 73 - Pennsylvania 72	0.518	Saint Josephs 69 - Pennsylvania 61	-7
Saint Thomas 69 - Idaho State 65	0.624	Saint Thomas 54 - Idaho State 53	3
South Carolina 69 - Virginia Tech 77	0.691	South Carolina 79 - Virginia Tech 77	-10
South Dakota 73 - Texas Pan American 69	0.622	South Dakota 100 - Texas Pan American 79	-17
Southern Illinois 72 - Queens 62	0.766	Southern Illinois 91 - Queens 68	-13
Stanford 77 - Sacramento State 60	0.871	Stanford 91 - Sacramento State 73	-1
Stony Brook 84 - Unranked 55		Stony Brook 91 - Unranked 50
Texas 90 - Delaware State 50	0.993	Texas 86 - Delaware State 59	13
The Citadel 67 - Boston College 77	0.737	The Citadel 71 - Boston College 75	-6
UCLA 83 - Lafayette 55	0.962	UCLA 68 - Lafayette 50	10
UNC Greensboro 75 - North Carolina AT 59	0.864	UNC Greensboro 94 - North Carolina AT 78	0
Utah 75 - UC Riverside 66	0.719	Utah 82 - UC Riverside 53	-20
Valparaiso 76 - IUPUI 61	0.851	Valparaiso 56 - IUPUI 66	25
Vanderbilt 80 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.89	Vanderbilt 74 - South Carolina Upstate 67	11
Villanova 82 - Le Moyne 55	0.939	Villanova 83 - Le Moyne 57	1
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Samford 63	0.86	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Samford 65	6
Washington State 78 - Prairie View 60	0.889	Washington State 83 - Prairie View 65	0
West Virginia 83 - Monmouth 63	0.898	West Virginia 65 - Monmouth 73	28
Wisconsin 69 - Tennessee 72	0.587	Wisconsin 70 - Tennessee 80	7
Xavier 79 - Jacksonville 59	0.918	Xavier 79 - Jacksonville 56	-3

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 79 - Texas Southern 62	0.866	Arizona State 63 - Texas Southern 52	6
Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Unranked 60		Arkansas Pine Bluff 112 - Unranked 68
Ball State 67 - Old Dominion 68	0.517	Ball State 73 - Old Dominion 68	-6
Bowling Green 71 - Arkansas State 70	0.529	Bowling Green 81 - Arkansas State 75	-5
Bradley 68 - Utah State 73	0.614	Bradley 72 - Utah State 66	-11
Brown 71 - Loyola MD 64	0.723	Brown 75 - Loyola MD 77	9
Buffalo 72 - South Alabama 70	0.558	Buffalo 56 - South Alabama 70	16
Cal State Fullerton 88 - Unranked 53		Cal State Fullerton 78 - Unranked 48
Central Michigan 68 - UL Monroe 69	0.525	Central Michigan 64 - UL Monroe 74	9
Cleveland State 68 - Ohio 71	0.583	Cleveland State 82 - Ohio 78	-7
Columbia 67 - Albany 69	0.545	Columbia 75 - Albany 78	1
Connecticut 84 - Stonehill 55	0.959	Connecticut 107 - Stonehill 67	-11
Creighton 79 - North Dakota State 61	0.879	Creighton 89 - North Dakota State 60	-11
DePaul 79 - Long Beach State 71	0.73	DePaul 73 - Long Beach State 77	12
East Carolina 71 - Campbell 65	0.665	East Carolina 77 - Campbell 63	-8
Eastern Michigan 66 - Georgia Southern 71	0.638	Eastern Michigan 70 - Georgia Southern 60	-15
Fordham 71 - Cornell 68	0.603	Fordham 73 - Cornell 78	8
George Washington 75 - William and Mary 67	0.712	George Washington 95 - William and Mary 89	2
Georgetown 80 - Holy Cross 64	0.876	Georgetown 67 - Holy Cross 68	17
Houston 82 - Texas AM CC 52	0.963	Houston 82 - Texas AM CC 50	-2
Jacksonville State 71 - Utah Tech 66	0.652	Jacksonville State 79 - Utah Tech 81	7
Kent State 70 - Fresno State 65	0.634	Kent State 79 - Fresno State 69	-5
La Salle 71 - Northeastern 67	0.626	La Salle 79 - Northeastern 74	-1
Lipscomb 88 - Unranked 55		Lipscomb 113 - Unranked 74
Longwood 86 - Unranked 53		Longwood 95 - Unranked 43
Loyola Ill 77 - Eastern Illinois 55	0.917	Loyola Ill 89 - Eastern Illinois 65	-2
Miami OH 65 - Texas State 70	0.661	Miami OH 65 - Texas State 75	5
Mississippi State 82 - Tennessee Martin 58	0.939	Mississippi State 87 - Tennessee Martin 63	0
Mt St Marys 70 - Coppin State 62	0.707	Mt St Marys 74 - Coppin State 60	-6
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Stetson 64	0.836	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Stetson 55	-2
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 58		New Orleans 106 - Unranked 69
Niagara 71 - Bucknell 64	0.693	Niagara 64 - Bucknell 73	16
NJ Tech 61 - Saint Peters 69	0.71	NJ Tech 48 - Saint Peters 75	19
North Texas 79 - Omaha 54	0.95	North Texas 75 - Omaha 64	14
Northern Illinois 65 - Appalachian State 69	0.614	Northern Illinois 91 - Appalachian State 78	-17
Notre Dame 79 - Western Carolina 65	0.827	Notre Dame 61 - Western Carolina 71	24
Providence 83 - Milwaukee 60	0.92	Providence 79 - Milwaukee 69	13
Richmond 73 - Siena 64	0.739	Richmond 90 - Siena 48	-33
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Canisius 63	0.81	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Canisius 70	16
Saint Louis 80 - Illinois State 64	0.874	Saint Louis 80 - Illinois State 71	7
Santa Clara 81 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.906	Santa Clara 82 - Saint Francis Penn 59	-4
Seattle 69 - Montana State 68	0.53	Seattle 71 - Montana State 68	-2
Seton Hall 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.922	Seton Hall 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 55	-7
Tarleton State 85 - Unranked 53		Tarleton State 93 - Unranked 52
Texas Arlington 86 - Unranked 54		Texas Arlington 95 - Unranked 64
Toledo 76 - UL Lafayette 70	0.679	Toledo 87 - UL Lafayette 78	-3
Tulsa 76 - Incarnate Word 59	0.87	Tulsa 85 - Incarnate Word 71	3
UC Irvine 69 - New Mexico State 67	0.553	UC Irvine 91 - New Mexico State 74	-15
UC San Diego 70 - San Diego 73	0.582	UC San Diego 69 - San Diego 63	-9
UMBC 69 - Marist 65	0.61	UMBC 59 - Marist 65	10
UMKC 82 - Unranked 54		UMKC 95 - Unranked 42
UNC Asheville 68 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.525	UNC Asheville 66 - UNC Wilmington 83	16
Vermont 91 - Unranked 48		Vermont 92 - Unranked 41
Western Michigan 65 - Georgia State 73	0.706	Western Michigan 70 - Georgia State 77	-1
Winthrop 71 - Drexel 68	0.594	Winthrop 72 - Drexel 74	5
Wofford 75 - High Point 63	0.795	Wofford 99 - High Point 98	11
Wyoming 76 - Cal Poly 60	0.87	Wyoming 80 - Cal Poly 66	2

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Maryland 74	0.563	Alabama Birmingham 66 - Maryland 63	-5
Baylor 83 - Gardner Webb 59	0.946	Baylor 77 - Gardner Webb 62	9
Binghamton 83 - Unranked 57		Binghamton 104 - Unranked 50
Boise State 74 - San Francisco 69	0.646	Boise State 63 - San Francisco 58	0
Cincinnati 78 - Eastern Washington 67	0.791	Cincinnati 85 - Eastern Washington 73	-1
Clemson 72 - Davidson 70	0.571	Clemson 68 - Davidson 65	-1
Columbia 82 - Unranked 60		Columbia 86 - Unranked 36
Delaware 71 - Air Force 66	0.628	Delaware 65 - Air Force 57	-3
Georgia 75 - North Carolina Central 65	0.747	Georgia 64 - North Carolina Central 54	0
Grand Canyon 77 - Northern Arizona 61	0.865	Grand Canyon 89 - Northern Arizona 55	-18
Indiana 82 - Army 61	0.916	Indiana 72 - Army 64	13
Iowa State 80 - Idaho State 57	0.923	Iowa State 86 - Idaho State 55	-8
IPFW 71 - Texas AM Commerce 64	0.672	IPFW 86 - Texas AM Commerce 64	-15
James Madison 76 - Howard 67	0.726	James Madison 107 - Howard 86	-12
Loyola Marymount 69 - Yale 70	0.532	Loyola Marymount 80 - Yale 83	2
Maine 61 - Merrimack 64	0.605	Maine 65 - Merrimack 71	3
Montana 70 - UC Davis 66	0.61	Montana 78 - UC Davis 65	-9
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 78 - Unranked 60
North Carolina 85 - Lehigh 60	0.937	North Carolina 90 - Lehigh 68	3
North Dakota 67 - Elon 68	0.511	North Dakota 85 - Elon 68	-18
Oklahoma State 75 - Sam Houston State 64	0.776	Oklahoma State 85 - Sam Houston State 70	-4
Pepperdine 74 - Lafayette 67	0.706	Pepperdine 76 - Lafayette 53	-16
Portland 70 - UC Riverside 71	0.536	Portland 76 - UC Riverside 63	-14
Portland State 86 - Unranked 57		Portland State 70 - Unranked 53
Radford 85 - Unranked 52		Radford 84 - Unranked 47
Rutgers 79 - Bryant 63	0.844	Rutgers 66 - Bryant 57	7
Saint Marys 76 - Weber State 57	0.894	Saint Marys 57 - Weber State 61	23
Saint Thomas 84 - Unranked 56		Saint Thomas 100 - Unranked 54
South Carolina Upstate 84 - Unranked 56		South Carolina Upstate 106 - Unranked 48
Southern Indiana 73 - Chicago State 64	0.736	Southern Indiana 67 - Chicago State 78	20
Texas Tech 83 - San Jose State 61	0.906	Texas Tech 56 - San Jose State 42	8
Towson 73 - Robert Morris 61	0.803	Towson 66 - Robert Morris 62	8
Washington 73 - Nevada 74	0.504	Washington 76 - Nevada 83	6
Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 94 - Unranked 59
Wichita State 94 - Unranked 50		Wichita State 95 - Unranked 65

Number of DI Games: 317
Number Correct: 253 = 79.8%
Expected Number Correct: 244.987 = 77.2%
Average Error: 9.79
Average Signed Error: -1.15

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 64 - Siena 69	0.623	American 78 - Siena 58	-25
Arizona 90 - Southern 62	0.94	Arizona 97 - Southern 59	-10
Arkansas 81 - Old Dominion 60	0.943	Arkansas 86 - Old Dominion 77	12
Butler 79 - East Tennessee State 58	0.91	Butler 81 - East Tennessee State 47	-13
California 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.617	California 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	-16
Central Arkansas 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.558	Central Arkansas 83 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 85	4
Central Connecticut State 81 - Unranked 60		Central Connecticut State 99 - Unranked 42
Charleston Southern 81 - Unranked 61		Charleston Southern 102 - Unranked 61
Duquesne 82 - Stony Brook 62	0.895	Duquesne 85 - Stony Brook 63	-2
Fairfield 85 - Unranked 59		Fairfield 92 - Unranked 45
Florida State 86 - Central Michigan 59	0.947	Florida State 94 - Central Michigan 67	0
Houston 88 - Stetson 49	0.993	Houston 79 - Stetson 48	8
Kansas State 78 - South Dakota State 69	0.757	Kansas State 91 - South Dakota State 68	-14
Le Moyne 77 - Unranked 64		Le Moyne 105 - Unranked 46
Louisiana Tech 89 - Unranked 54		Louisiana Tech 100 - Unranked 43
Massachusetts 76 - Quinnipiac 67	0.739	Massachusetts 102 - Quinnipiac 81	-12
Mcneese State 89 - Unranked 56		Mcneese State 110 - Unranked 46
Miami 91 - Florida International 62	0.972	Miami 86 - Florida International 80	23
Middle Tennessee 73 - Western Carolina 66	0.689	Middle Tennessee 64 - Western Carolina 66	9
Missouri 80 - SIU Edwardsville 61	0.911	Missouri 68 - SIU Edwardsville 50	1
Missouri State 71 - Oral Roberts 70	0.518	Missouri State 84 - Oral Roberts 69	-14
Nebraska 78 - Rider 67	0.811	Nebraska 64 - Rider 50	-3
Norfolk State 75 - Hampton 63	0.802	Norfolk State 75 - Hampton 68	5
Northern Illinois 89 - Unranked 57		Northern Illinois 107 - Unranked 55
Northwestern State 69 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.611	Northwestern State 70 - Stephen F Austin 96	23
Pennsylvania 68 - Villanova 74	0.702	Pennsylvania 76 - Villanova 72	-10
Pepperdine 85 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.947	Pepperdine 88 - LIU Brooklyn 53	-14
Pittsburgh 82 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	0.918	Pittsburgh 86 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	9
Presbyterian 70 - The Citadel 66	0.594	Presbyterian 71 - The Citadel 64	-3
Purdue 79 - Xavier 70	0.728	Purdue 83 - Xavier 71	-3
Saint Johns 75 - Michigan 80	0.636	Saint Johns 73 - Michigan 89	11
South Carolina 83 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.902	South Carolina 74 - Virginia Military Institute 64	10
South Carolina State 63 - North Florida 78	0.856	South Carolina State 87 - North Florida 77	-25
Tennessee Martin 87 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Martin 90 - Unranked 72
Texas AM CC 89 - Unranked 55		Texas AM CC 104 - Unranked 45
Texas El Paso 69 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.527	Texas El Paso 89 - UC Santa Barbara 76	-14
UC San Diego 88 - Unranked 55		UC San Diego 116 - Unranked 57
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 57		Youngstown State 99 - Unranked 71

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Prairie View 62	0.882	Abilene Christian 74 - Prairie View 79	20
Akron 94 - Unranked 50		Akron 114 - Unranked 56
Alabama 83 - South Alabama 64	0.911	Alabama 102 - South Alabama 46	-37
Alabama State 81 - Unranked 59		Alabama State 115 - Unranked 51
Arkansas State 73 - Alcorn State 71	0.549	Arkansas State 100 - Alcorn State 84	-14
Austin Peay 80 - Unranked 58		Austin Peay 79 - Unranked 52
Ball State 91 - Unranked 54		Ball State 92 - Unranked 51
Baylor 86 - UMKC 54	0.963	Baylor 99 - UMKC 61	-6
Belmont 92 - Unranked 56		Belmont 93 - Unranked 59
Bradley 78 - Tarleton State 63	0.849	Bradley 86 - Tarleton State 63	-8
Chattanooga 77 - Bellarmine 63	0.833	Chattanooga 72 - Bellarmine 64	6
Chicago State 66 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.623	Chicago State 64 - Cal State Northridge 74	6
Colorado 84 - Milwaukee 61	0.943	Colorado 106 - Milwaukee 79	-4
Connecticut 96 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.997	Connecticut 87 - Mississippi Valley State 53	13
Creighton 80 - Iowa 76	0.614	Creighton 92 - Iowa 84	-4
DePaul 73 - South Dakota 70	0.563	DePaul 72 - South Dakota 60	-9
Drake 96 - Unranked 50		Drake 87 - Unranked 67
Drexel 67 - Temple 73	0.685	Drexel 64 - Temple 66	-4
Florida 85 - Florida AM 55	0.984	Florida 89 - Florida AM 68	9
Florida Atlantic 82 - Eastern Michigan 58	0.945	Florida Atlantic 100 - Eastern Michigan 57	-19
George Washington 76 - Hofstra 74	0.547	George Washington 71 - Hofstra 60	-9
Georgia Tech 73 - UMass Lowell 70	0.582	Georgia Tech 71 - UMass Lowell 74	6
Gonzaga 106 - Unranked 47		Gonzaga 123 - Unranked 57
Grambling State 86 - Unranked 58		Grambling State 113 - Unranked 73
Harvard 74 - Northeastern 66	0.755	Harvard 80 - Northeastern 56	-16
Hawaii 87 - Unranked 51		Hawaii 82 - Unranked 66
Holy Cross 70 - Sacred Heart 71	0.524	Holy Cross 77 - Sacred Heart 84	6
Howard 74 - Boston 67	0.755	Howard 64 - Boston 53	-4
Idaho 82 - Unranked 62		Idaho 88 - Unranked 42
Illinois 71 - Marquette 75	0.65	Illinois 64 - Marquette 71	3
Incarnate Word 81 - Unranked 61		Incarnate Word 104 - Unranked 63
Indiana State 80 - IUPUI 63	0.874	Indiana State 96 - IUPUI 57	-22
Jacksonville 68 - Georgia Southern 63	0.669	Jacksonville 85 - Georgia Southern 68	-12
Kentucky 72 - Kansas 79	0.682	Kentucky 84 - Kansas 89	-2
La Salle 79 - Bucknell 62	0.909	La Salle 69 - Bucknell 57	5
Lamar 70 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.521	Lamar 90 - Texas San Antonio 82	-9
Loyola Ill 73 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.76	Loyola Ill 67 - Illinois Chicago 72	13
Loyola Marymount 80 - Jackson State 63	0.895	Loyola Marymount 88 - Jackson State 66	-5
Mcneese State 89 - Unranked 56		Mcneese State 81 - Unranked 49
Michigan State 67 - Duke 74	0.718	Michigan State 65 - Duke 74	2
Mississippi 79 - Detroit 63	0.86	Mississippi 70 - Detroit 69	15
Mississippi State 81 - North Alabama 58	0.947	Mississippi State 81 - North Alabama 54	-4
Morehead State 68 - Mercer 67	0.509	Morehead State 74 - Mercer 66	-7
Murray State 73 - Western Kentucky 70	0.594	Murray State 81 - Western Kentucky 86	8
New Hampshire 69 - Brown 67	0.544	New Hampshire 82 - Brown 64	-16
New Mexico State 86 - Unranked 58		New Mexico State 78 - Unranked 43
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 57		North Carolina Central 113 - Unranked 50
Northern Colorado 71 - Colorado State 81	0.739	Northern Colorado 64 - Colorado State 83	9
Northern Iowa 92 - Unranked 56		Northern Iowa 90 - Unranked 50
Northern Kentucky 87 - Unranked 54		Northern Kentucky 85 - Unranked 68
Northwestern 85 - Western Michigan 57	0.979	Northwestern 63 - Western Michigan 59	24
Oakland 71 - Bowling Green 72	0.542	Oakland 81 - Bowling Green 62	-20
Oklahoma 76 - Texas State 59	0.896	Oklahoma 93 - Texas State 54	-22
Oregon State 75 - Appalachian State 65	0.791	Oregon State 81 - Appalachian State 71	0
Penn State 83 - Saint Francis Penn 57	0.965	Penn State 83 - Saint Francis Penn 53	-4
Providence 74 - Wisconsin 71	0.569	Providence 72 - Wisconsin 59	-10
Queens 74 - High Point 73	0.506	Queens 74 - High Point 72	-1
Rhode Island 73 - Wagner 63	0.819	Rhode Island 69 - Wagner 53	-6
Sacramento State 86 - Unranked 57		Sacramento State 128 - Unranked 66
Saint Josephs 78 - Stonehill 60	0.872	Saint Josephs 100 - Stonehill 56	-26
Samford 87 - Unranked 58		Samford 96 - Unranked 52
San Diego State 80 - Long Beach State 62	0.939	San Diego State 88 - Long Beach State 76	6
Southern California 83 - UC Irvine 65	0.923	Southern California 60 - UC Irvine 70	28
Southern Indiana 82 - Unranked 61		Southern Indiana 68 - Unranked 65
Southern Methodist 68 - Texas AM 75	0.721	Southern Methodist 66 - Texas AM 79	6
Stanford 76 - Santa Clara 74	0.56	Stanford 77 - Santa Clara 89	14
Syracuse 78 - Colgate 69	0.76	Syracuse 79 - Colgate 75	5
Tennessee 83 - Wofford 59	0.94	Tennessee 82 - Wofford 61	3
Tennessee Tech 69 - Lipscomb 73	0.66	Tennessee Tech 65 - Lipscomb 96	27
Texas Christian 90 - Texas Pan American 60	0.958	Texas Christian 88 - Texas Pan American 55	-3
Troy 87 - Unranked 58		Troy 111 - Unranked 46
UC Davis 71 - North Dakota State 70	0.502	UC Davis 68 - North Dakota State 53	-14
UMBC 87 - Unranked 60		UMBC 84 - Unranked 65
UNC Asheville 88 - Unranked 58		UNC Asheville 117 - Unranked 54
UNC Wilmington 92 - Unranked 51		UNC Wilmington 116 - Unranked 80
Utah State 81 - Southern Utah 68	0.834	Utah State 93 - Southern Utah 84	4
Valparaiso 70 - Green Bay 62	0.708	Valparaiso 64 - Green Bay 59	3
Vanderbilt 72 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.512	Vanderbilt 74 - UNC Greensboro 70	-3
Virginia 85 - North Carolina AT 52	0.987	Virginia 80 - North Carolina AT 51	4
West Virginia 80 - Jacksonville State 65	0.846	West Virginia 70 - Jacksonville State 57	2
Wright State 70 - Toledo 84	0.821	Wright State 77 - Toledo 78	-13

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 80 - Unranked 60		Bethune Cookman 104 - Unranked 63
Boston College 71 - Richmond 74	0.596	Boston College 68 - Richmond 61	-10
Brigham Young 87 - Southeast Louisiana 62	0.961	Brigham Young 105 - Southeast Louisiana 48	-32
Buffalo 88 - Unranked 59		Buffalo 89 - Unranked 83
Charlotte 66 - Utah Valley 74	0.717	Charlotte 62 - Utah Valley 45	-25
Cleveland State 75 - Canisius 68	0.732	Cleveland State 71 - Canisius 61	-3
Columbia 82 - Unranked 61		Columbia 105 - Unranked 60
Dartmouth 82 - Unranked 59		Dartmouth 79 - Unranked 61
Delaware State 57 - Delaware 77	0.924	Delaware State 67 - Delaware 78	-9
Duquesne 73 - Princeton 74	0.529	Duquesne 67 - Princeton 70	2
East Carolina 80 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.897	East Carolina 81 - South Carolina Upstate 83	20
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Saint Peters 73	0.629	Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Saint Peters 70	-6
Fresno State 77 - Morgan State 62	0.835	Fresno State 87 - Morgan State 68	-4
George Mason 75 - Cornell 70	0.654	George Mason 90 - Cornell 83	-2
Houston Christian 75 - Florida International 77	0.573	Houston Christian 74 - Florida International 83	7
Illinois State 77 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.866	Illinois State 69 - Eastern Illinois 61	6
Kennesaw St 87 - Unranked 59		Kennesaw St 101 - Unranked 55
Louisville 80 - Coppin State 62	0.916	Louisville 61 - Coppin State 41	-2
Loyola MD 73 - Binghamton 70	0.58	Loyola MD 57 - Binghamton 63	9
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Longwood 71	0.639	Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Longwood 80	14
Nebraska 79 - Stony Brook 64	0.872	Nebraska 84 - Stony Brook 63	-6
Nevada 82 - Pacific 67	0.881	Nevada 88 - Pacific 41	-32
Nicholls State 77 - Denver 68	0.734	Nicholls State 85 - Denver 91	15
Ohio State 78 - Merrimack 62	0.919	Ohio State 76 - Merrimack 52	-8
Portland 82 - Tennessee State 65	0.879	Portland 65 - Tennessee State 75	27
Rutgers 77 - Georgetown 64	0.85	Rutgers 71 - Georgetown 60	2
SE Missouri State 71 - Evansville 68	0.585	SE Missouri State 57 - Evansville 76	22
Seattle 77 - Northern Arizona 61	0.863	Seattle 60 - Northern Arizona 62	18
Seton Hall 83 - Albany 56	0.96	Seton Hall 96 - Albany 71	2
South Florida 82 - Central Michigan 59	0.94	South Florida 63 - Central Michigan 68	28
Southern Miss 86 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 76 - Unranked 45
Texas 86 - Rice 62	0.942	Texas 80 - Rice 64	8
Texas AM Commerce 83 - Unranked 59		Texas AM Commerce 113 - Unranked 63
UCLA 90 - LIU Brooklyn 52	0.997	UCLA 78 - LIU Brooklyn 58	18
UL Lafayette 91 - Unranked 53		UL Lafayette 107 - Unranked 56
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Radford 64	0.721	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Radford 50	-15
Virginia Tech 79 - Campbell 64	0.879	Virginia Tech 60 - Campbell 44	-1

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Lindenwood 60	0.854	Air Force 76 - Lindenwood 58	-4
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Alcorn State 62	0.955	Alabama Birmingham 80 - Alcorn State 77	18
American 70 - NJ Tech 66	0.639	American 87 - NJ Tech 73	-10
Arizona State 72 - UMass Lowell 68	0.6	Arizona State 71 - UMass Lowell 69	2
Boston 67 - Bryant 70	0.6	Boston 95 - Bryant 79	-19
Brown 86 - Unranked 57		Brown 92 - Unranked 51
Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 55		Cal State Bakersfield 77 - Unranked 44
California 69 - Montana State 72	0.623	California 60 - Montana State 63	0
Central Florida 78 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.853	Central Florida 72 - Cal State Fullerton 44	-15
Coastal Carolina 61 - Wichita State 79	0.9	Coastal Carolina 77 - Wichita State 86	-9
Hawaii 74 - Niagara 59	0.873	Hawaii 92 - Niagara 73	-4
Idaho State 82 - Unranked 57		Idaho State 85 - Unranked 51
Indiana 82 - Wright State 67	0.821	Indiana 89 - Wright State 80	6
Lehigh 87 - Unranked 58		Lehigh 90 - Unranked 65
Liberty 70 - Furman 72	0.559	Liberty 88 - Furman 74	-16
Louisiana State 68 - Dayton 73	0.657	Louisiana State 67 - Dayton 70	-2
Manhattan 86 - Unranked 57		Manhattan 79 - Unranked 67
Minnesota 72 - Missouri 73	0.524	Minnesota 68 - Missouri 70	1
Montana 73 - North Dakota State 66	0.725	Montana 69 - North Dakota State 78	16
New Mexico 76 - Texas Arlington 70	0.674	New Mexico 82 - Texas Arlington 80	4
North Dakota 85 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 93 - Unranked 63
North Florida 71 - Presbyterian 68	0.591	North Florida 69 - Presbyterian 81	15
North Texas 74 - Saint Johns 73	0.532	North Texas 52 - Saint Johns 53	2
Northwestern State 74 - Maine 65	0.773	Northwestern State 65 - Maine 78	22
Notre Dame 66 - Auburn 80	0.855	Notre Dame 59 - Auburn 83	10
Oklahoma State 75 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.73	Oklahoma State 64 - Saint Bonaventure 66	11
Omaha 67 - William and Mary 72	0.654	Omaha 89 - William and Mary 83	-11
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Denver 73	0.56	SIU Edwardsville 77 - Denver 74	-5
South Alabama 70 - Nicholls State 64	0.663	South Alabama 97 - Nicholls State 102	11
Southern Illinois 77 - Chicago State 55	0.93	Southern Illinois 71 - Chicago State 55	6
Tennessee Tech 84 - Unranked 60		Tennessee Tech 82 - Unranked 70
Texas Tech 79 - Texas AM CC 60	0.927	Texas Tech 73 - Texas AM CC 64	10
The Citadel 86 - Unranked 57		The Citadel 77 - Unranked 59
Towson 56 - Houston 80	0.958	Towson 49 - Houston 65	-8
Tulsa 76 - Jackson State 63	0.841	Tulsa 72 - Jackson State 52	-7
UL Monroe 65 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.703	UL Monroe 63 - Louisiana Tech 73	3
Vermont 71 - College of Charleston 68	0.566	Vermont 73 - College of Charleston 64	-6
Virginia 84 - Texas Southern 52	0.982	Virginia 62 - Texas Southern 33	3
Wake Forest 72 - Utah 80	0.726	Wake Forest 70 - Utah 77	-1
Wyoming 68 - Saint Louis 75	0.716	Wyoming 69 - Saint Louis 79	3

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - William and Mary 68	0.503	Air Force 80 - William and Mary 71	-8
Alabama 86 - Mercer 61	0.946	Alabama 98 - Mercer 67	-6
Arizona 89 - Belmont 65	0.935	Arizona 100 - Belmont 68	-8
Arkansas 80 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.864	Arkansas 72 - UNC Greensboro 78	20
Army 65 - Quinnipiac 72	0.692	Army 58 - Quinnipiac 67	2
Auburn 78 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.821	Auburn 77 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-5
Bowling Green 75 - Bellarmine 66	0.707	Bowling Green 67 - Bellarmine 85	27
Cal Baptist 70 - Portland State 69	0.545	Cal Baptist 63 - Portland State 66	4
Cal Poly 63 - Saint Thomas 71	0.729	Cal Poly 61 - Saint Thomas 60	-9
Cal State Northridge 85 - Unranked 59		Cal State Northridge 98 - Unranked 67
Coastal Carolina 62 - Furman 81	0.881	Coastal Carolina 80 - Furman 89	-10
Colorado State 80 - UMKC 59	0.896	Colorado State 84 - UMKC 61	-2
Dayton 73 - Saint Johns 72	0.523	Dayton 88 - Saint Johns 81	-6
Drexel 75 - Fairfield 63	0.832	Drexel 65 - Fairfield 47	-6
Duke 87 - Bucknell 56	0.982	Duke 90 - Bucknell 60	1
Duquesne 80 - Rider 65	0.85	Duquesne 77 - Rider 58	-4
East Tennessee State 61 - Davidson 77	0.89	East Tennessee State 70 - Davidson 68	-18
Eastern Kentucky 80 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.777	Eastern Kentucky 74 - Tennessee Martin 80	17
Florida 76 - Florida State 73	0.592	Florida 89 - Florida State 68	-18
Florida Gulf Coast 66 - Missouri State 71	0.673	Florida Gulf Coast 61 - Missouri State 70	4
Fordham 70 - Norfolk State 66	0.618	Fordham 77 - Norfolk State 64	-9
Georgia 70 - Miami 82	0.841	Georgia 68 - Miami 79	-1
Georgia State 72 - Northern Illinois 71	0.502	Georgia State 64 - Northern Illinois 70	7
Grand Canyon 74 - San Francisco 72	0.553	Grand Canyon 76 - San Francisco 72	-2
Idaho 82 - Unranked 62		Idaho 96 - Unranked 52
Illinois 81 - Valparaiso 55	0.952	Illinois 87 - Valparaiso 64	3
Iowa 91 - Arkansas State 63	0.961	Iowa 88 - Arkansas State 74	14
IPFW 78 - Northern Arizona 66	0.779	IPFW 77 - Northern Arizona 67	2
IUPUI 68 - Elon 69	0.525	IUPUI 72 - Elon 86	13
James Madison 78 - Radford 68	0.798	James Madison 76 - Radford 73	7
Kent State 83 - Hampton 63	0.935	Kent State 100 - Hampton 62	-18
Kentucky 83 - Stonehill 56	0.94	Kentucky 101 - Stonehill 67	-7
Liberty 69 - Wichita State 70	0.528	Liberty 83 - Wichita State 66	-18
Lindenwood 64 - Omaha 73	0.739	Lindenwood 72 - Omaha 70	-11
Louisiana State 68 - North Texas 74	0.671	Louisiana State 66 - North Texas 62	-10
Maine 62 - Presbyterian 72	0.738	Maine 80 - Presbyterian 66	-24
Massachusetts 72 - Harvard 70	0.573	Massachusetts 75 - Harvard 78	5
Memphis 86 - Alabama State 53	0.984	Memphis 92 - Alabama State 75	16
Miami OH 72 - Coppin State 65	0.699	Miami OH 76 - Coppin State 48	-21
Michigan 85 - Long Beach State 66	0.915	Michigan 86 - Long Beach State 94	27
Michigan State 70 - Butler 69	0.528	Michigan State 74 - Butler 54	-19
Milwaukee 88 - Unranked 58		Milwaukee 85 - Unranked 56
Mississippi 72 - Sam Houston State 67	0.644	Mississippi 70 - Sam Houston State 67	2
NC State 87 - Charleston Southern 56	0.964	NC State 87 - Charleston Southern 53	-3
Nicholls State 74 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.799	Nicholls State 51 - SIU Edwardsville 60	19
North Carolina 84 - UC Riverside 61	0.961	North Carolina 77 - UC Riverside 52	-2
North Florida 73 - Northwestern State 70	0.594	North Florida 80 - Northwestern State 74	-3
Notre Dame 66 - Oklahoma State 76	0.77	Notre Dame 66 - Oklahoma State 64	-12
Oklahoma 84 - Texas Pan American 60	0.936	Oklahoma 90 - Texas Pan American 66	0
Oregon 88 - Tennessee State 58	0.961	Oregon 92 - Tennessee State 67	5
Penn State 79 - Morehead State 62	0.923	Penn State 74 - Morehead State 51	-6
Pepperdine 74 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.542	Pepperdine 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 82	16
Pittsburgh 81 - Jacksonville 57	0.947	Pittsburgh 107 - Jacksonville 56	-27
Providence 74 - Kansas State 71	0.587	Providence 70 - Kansas State 73	6
Saint Josephs 80 - Texas AM Commerce 61	0.923	Saint Josephs 54 - Texas AM Commerce 57	22
Saint Louis 69 - Vermont 71	0.533	Saint Louis 68 - Vermont 78	8
Saint Marys 67 - San Diego State 68	0.528	Saint Marys 54 - San Diego State 79	24
Samford 79 - South Carolina State 62	0.846	Samford 89 - South Carolina State 72	0
San Diego 80 - Le Moyne 57	0.93	San Diego 80 - Le Moyne 71	14
San Jose State 68 - Abilene Christian 71	0.6	San Jose State 71 - Abilene Christian 77	3
South Alabama 77 - Denver 63	0.836	South Alabama 82 - Denver 75	7
South Carolina 78 - DePaul 67	0.793	South Carolina 73 - DePaul 68	6
Stanford 82 - Eastern Washington 69	0.841	Stanford 95 - Eastern Washington 70	-12
Texas AM 80 - Oral Roberts 65	0.855	Texas AM 74 - Oral Roberts 66	7
Texas Christian 93 - Mississippi Valley State 51	0.994	Texas Christian 86 - Mississippi Valley State 52	8
Texas El Paso 73 - Austin Peay 61	0.82	Texas El Paso 71 - Austin Peay 63	4
Texas State 73 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.714	Texas State 72 - Texas San Antonio 62	-3
Tulane 83 - Sacramento State 64	0.938	Tulane 92 - Sacramento State 57	-16
UC Irvine 92 - Unranked 55		UC Irvine 111 - Unranked 51
UMBC 74 - Sacred Heart 72	0.571	UMBC 85 - Sacred Heart 80	-3
Utah 65 - Houston 78	0.803	Utah 66 - Houston 76	-3
Vanderbilt 81 - Central Arkansas 60	0.922	Vanderbilt 75 - Central Arkansas 71	17
Villanova 73 - Maryland 69	0.623	Villanova 57 - Maryland 40	-13
Virginia Military Institute 69 - South Dakota 75	0.654	Virginia Military Institute 81 - South Dakota 85	-2
Wake Forest 74 - Towson 71	0.633	Wake Forest 71 - Towson 61	-7
Washington 72 - Xavier 78	0.685	Washington 74 - Xavier 71	-9
Weber State 74 - Gardner Webb 65	0.732	Weber State 61 - Gardner Webb 62	10
Western Illinois 65 - Southern 76	0.741	Western Illinois 88 - Southern 80	-19
Winthrop 75 - Holy Cross 66	0.777	Winthrop 89 - Holy Cross 51	-29
Wisconsin 81 - Robert Morris 62	0.937	Wisconsin 78 - Robert Morris 68	9
Wyoming 68 - College of Charleston 74	0.678	Wyoming 67 - College of Charleston 60	-13
Yale 75 - Colgate 69	0.671	Yale 68 - Colgate 50	-12
Youngstown State 72 - Utah Tech 71	0.503	Youngstown State 75 - Utah Tech 68	-6

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Northern Illinois 76	0.721	Arkansas Little Rock 93 - Northern Illinois 98	-2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Incarnate Word 71	0.548	Arkansas Pine Bluff 81 - Incarnate Word 100	20
Binghamton 65 - Marist 69	0.613	Binghamton 82 - Marist 59	-27
Boston College 73 - Harvard 69	0.613	Boston College 73 - Harvard 64	-5
Brigham Young 91 - Morgan State 58	0.959	Brigham Young 93 - Morgan State 50	-10
Cal Baptist 73 - Saint Thomas 62	0.806	Cal Baptist 66 - Saint Thomas 62	7
Cal Poly 60 - Portland State 78	0.909	Cal Poly 57 - Portland State 73	-2
Colgate 73 - Gardner Webb 68	0.688	Colgate 59 - Gardner Webb 52	-2
Creighton 88 - Texas Southern 57	0.968	Creighton 82 - Texas Southern 50	-1
Eastern Illinois 70 - Coppin State 69	0.538	Eastern Illinois 48 - Coppin State 46	-1
Eastern Michigan 65 - Cleveland State 75	0.763	Eastern Michigan 69 - Cleveland State 62	-17
Evansville 64 - Ball State 75	0.765	Evansville 74 - Ball State 50	-35
Fairfield 72 - Queens 71	0.55	Fairfield 63 - Queens 69	7
Fairleigh Dickinson 89 - Unranked 61		Fairleigh Dickinson 124 - Unranked 66
Florida Atlantic 81 - Bryant 61	0.944	Florida Atlantic 52 - Bryant 61	29
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Hampton 66	0.729	Florida Gulf Coast 85 - Hampton 92	15
George Washington 80 - New Hampshire 64	0.829	George Washington 79 - New Hampshire 67	4
Georgetown 73 - Mt St Marys 66	0.701	Georgetown 83 - Mt St Marys 72	-4
Holy Cross 69 - Elon 68	0.512	Holy Cross 69 - Elon 83	15
IPFW 75 - South Dakota 71	0.604	IPFW 93 - South Dakota 81	-8
La Salle 80 - Southern Indiana 60	0.928	La Salle 79 - Southern Indiana 78	19
Lipscomb 75 - Alabama AM 62	0.842	Lipscomb 106 - Alabama AM 81	-12
Longwood 71 - North Carolina Central 65	0.682	Longwood 73 - North Carolina Central 66	-1
Loyola Ill 79 - New Orleans 65	0.842	Loyola Ill 73 - New Orleans 70	11
Loyola MD 74 - Sacred Heart 71	0.599	Loyola MD 51 - Sacred Heart 66	18
Maryland Eastern Shore 64 - Pennsylvania 74	0.814	Maryland Eastern Shore 83 - Pennsylvania 80	-13
Middle Tennessee 92 - Unranked 51		Middle Tennessee 88 - Unranked 62
Minnesota 79 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.885	Minnesota 67 - South Carolina Upstate 53	2
Monmouth 66 - Princeton 77	0.758	Monmouth 57 - Princeton 82	14
Nebraska 76 - Oregon State 69	0.701	Nebraska 84 - Oregon State 63	-14
Nevada 79 - Portland 70	0.782	Nevada 108 - Portland 83	-16
New Mexico State 72 - Northern Colorado 75	0.566	New Mexico State 76 - Northern Colorado 71	-8
North Alabama 71 - Jacksonville State 68	0.579	North Alabama 61 - Jacksonville State 59	1
North Florida 76 - Maine 63	0.83	North Florida 67 - Maine 58	4
Northern Arizona 70 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.522	Northern Arizona 78 - Virginia Military Institute 69	-10
Northwestern 77 - Rhode Island 67	0.815	Northwestern 72 - Rhode Island 61	-1
Ohio 79 - Detroit 65	0.797	Ohio 71 - Detroit 52	-5
Pacific 78 - Lamar 64	0.863	Pacific 77 - Lamar 76	13
Presbyterian 68 - Northwestern State 69	0.51	Presbyterian 78 - Northwestern State 75	-4
Rutgers 79 - Howard 63	0.903	Rutgers 85 - Howard 63	-6
San Jose State 69 - Norfolk State 66	0.601	San Jose State 77 - Norfolk State 53	-21
Santa Clara 83 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.932	Santa Clara 65 - Southeast Louisiana 63	15
Seton Hall 77 - Wagner 54	0.942	Seton Hall 72 - Wagner 51	2
Temple 83 - Columbia 58	0.969	Temple 73 - Columbia 78	30
UC San Diego 71 - Navy 64	0.721	UC San Diego 73 - Navy 55	-11
UNC Asheville 88 - Unranked 58		UNC Asheville 114 - Unranked 59
Utah Tech 87 - Unranked 57		Utah Tech 81 - Unranked 69
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Seattle 67	0.622	Virginia Commonwealth 60 - Seattle 56	1
Washington State 68 - Mississippi State 73	0.688	Washington State 64 - Mississippi State 76	7
Western Carolina 73 - Mcneese State 68	0.609	Western Carolina 76 - Mcneese State 74	3
Western Kentucky 90 - Unranked 55		Western Kentucky 95 - Unranked 75
Winthrop 75 - IUPUI 65	0.781	Winthrop 74 - IUPUI 61	-3
Yale 72 - Weber State 71	0.542	Yale 65 - Weber State 75	11

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Fordham 68	0.586	Abilene Christian 59 - Fordham 45	-11
Air Force 70 - Omaha 65	0.68	Air Force 58 - Omaha 56	3
Akron 82 - Florida International 62	0.925	Akron 77 - Florida International 71	14
Arizona 86 - Texas Arlington 61	0.942	Arizona 101 - Texas Arlington 56	-20
Cal Baptist 77 - Cal Poly 58	0.908	Cal Baptist 67 - Cal Poly 58	10
Central Connecticut State 65 - Manhattan 71	0.705	Central Connecticut State 63 - Manhattan 67	-2
Central Florida 76 - South Dakota State 68	0.736	Central Florida 83 - South Dakota State 80	5
Charlotte 64 - George Mason 71	0.717	Charlotte 54 - George Mason 49	-12
Chattanooga 78 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.904	Chattanooga 68 - Tennessee Tech 63	12
Cincinnati 79 - Northern Kentucky 62	0.899	Cincinnati 90 - Northern Kentucky 66	-7
Clemson 73 - Boise State 70	0.58	Clemson 85 - Boise State 68	-14
Coastal Carolina 64 - College of Charleston 77	0.794	Coastal Carolina 72 - College of Charleston 80	-5
Cornell 77 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.733	Cornell 88 - Cal State Fullerton 70	-11
DePaul 67 - San Francisco 79	0.857	DePaul 54 - San Francisco 70	4
Drake 80 - Oakland 64	0.891	Drake 85 - Oakland 77	8
Drexel 77 - Queens 64	0.851	Drexel 62 - Queens 52	3
East Carolina 76 - Northeastern 65	0.802	East Carolina 76 - Northeastern 82	17
Furman 79 - Wyoming 66	0.819	Furman 71 - Wyoming 78	20
Gardner Webb 66 - Yale 77	0.828	Gardner Webb 70 - Yale 71	-10
Georgetown 76 - American 63	0.824	Georgetown 88 - American 83	8
Georgia State 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.735	Georgia State 88 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	-4
Houston 77 - Dayton 60	0.896	Houston 69 - Dayton 55	3
Illinois 80 - Southern 63	0.86	Illinois 88 - Southern 60	-11
Illinois Chicago 86 - Unranked 55		Illinois Chicago 99 - Unranked 48
Indiana 68 - Connecticut 80	0.816	Indiana 57 - Connecticut 77	8
Iowa State 83 - Grambling State 60	0.942	Iowa State 92 - Grambling State 37	-32
IUPUI 67 - Holy Cross 68	0.536	IUPUI 61 - Holy Cross 74	12
Kansas State 72 - Miami 81	0.748	Kansas State 83 - Miami 91	-1
Kennesaw St 71 - Georgia Southern 67	0.609	Kennesaw St 96 - Georgia Southern 92	0
Lafayette 82 - Unranked 58		Lafayette 69 - Unranked 53
Liberty 69 - Vermont 66	0.575	Liberty 71 - Vermont 61	-7
Louisville 64 - Texas 82	0.917	Louisville 80 - Texas 81	-17
Loyola Marymount 74 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.581	Loyola Marymount 76 - Stephen F Austin 86	13
Miami OH 72 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.672	Miami OH 76 - Eastern Illinois 64	-6
Michigan State 80 - Alcorn State 58	0.953	Michigan State 81 - Alcorn State 49	-10
Missouri 81 - Jackson State 61	0.917	Missouri 72 - Jackson State 73	21
Missouri State 69 - Kent State 75	0.698	Missouri State 56 - Kent State 52	-10
Northwestern 69 - Mississippi State 73	0.633	Northwestern 57 - Mississippi State 66	5
Ohio State 85 - Western Michigan 59	0.965	Ohio State 73 - Western Michigan 56	9
Portland State 74 - Saint Thomas 64	0.798	Portland State 70 - Saint Thomas 76	16
Providence 75 - Georgia 69	0.694	Providence 71 - Georgia 64	-1
Quinnipiac 75 - Albany 66	0.767	Quinnipiac 85 - Albany 82	6
Rhode Island 68 - Washington State 76	0.769	Rhode Island 57 - Washington State 78	13
South Alabama 74 - SIU Edwardsville 58	0.885	South Alabama 86 - SIU Edwardsville 74	4
South Carolina 72 - Grand Canyon 73	0.52	South Carolina 75 - Grand Canyon 68	-8
South Florida 75 - Northern Iowa 69	0.691	South Florida 74 - Northern Iowa 65	-3
Southern California 84 - Brown 58	0.971	Southern California 81 - Brown 70	15
Southern Miss 63 - Utah Valley 78	0.832	Southern Miss 65 - Utah Valley 67	-13
Tennessee Martin 71 - Prairie View 72	0.525	Tennessee Martin 66 - Prairie View 78	11
Towson 64 - North Texas 72	0.752	Towson 39 - North Texas 65	18
UC Santa Barbara 81 - Le Moyne 57	0.941	UC Santa Barbara 96 - Le Moyne 72	0
UMBC 73 - Loyola MD 72	0.536	UMBC 94 - Loyola MD 79	-14
Utah 79 - Saint Johns 73	0.65	Utah 82 - Saint Johns 91	15
Utah State 79 - Marshall 69	0.782	Utah State 83 - Marshall 60	-13
Virginia Tech 80 - Wofford 67	0.834	Virginia Tech 98 - Wofford 76	-9
Wake Forest 76 - Louisiana State 75	0.554	Wake Forest 80 - Louisiana State 86	7
Washington 68 - San Diego State 76	0.731	Washington 97 - San Diego State 100	-5
Weber State 72 - Colgate 68	0.596	Weber State 55 - Colgate 57	6
Wichita State 74 - Saint Louis 70	0.642	Wichita State 88 - Saint Louis 69	-15
William and Mary 77 - Lindenwood 63	0.825	William and Mary 60 - Lindenwood 71	25
Winthrop 76 - Elon 66	0.782	Winthrop 78 - Elon 70	2
Xavier 70 - Saint Marys 71	0.517	Xavier 66 - Saint Marys 49	-18
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 57		Youngstown State 79 - Unranked 57

Number of DI Games: 333
Number Correct: 249 = 74.7%
Expected Number Correct: 252.804 = 75.9%
Average Error: 10.12
Average Signed Error: -0.4

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 69 - Utah State 74	0.657	Akron 62 - Utah State 65	-2
Austin Peay 62 - Tarleton State 73	0.772	Austin Peay 59 - Tarleton State 66	-4
Bellarmine 69 - Morehead State 70	0.511	Bellarmine 51 - Morehead State 64	12
Bethune Cookman 69 - Charleston Southern 68	0.521	Bethune Cookman 79 - Charleston Southern 73	-5
Bryant 75 - Howard 71	0.603	Bryant 67 - Howard 61	-2
Bucknell 71 - Southern Indiana 69	0.573	Bucknell 67 - Southern Indiana 56	-9
Buffalo 65 - Hofstra 77	0.802	Buffalo 68 - Hofstra 102	22
Cal State Fullerton 66 - Southern Miss 68	0.551	Cal State Fullerton 74 - Southern Miss 67	-9
California 68 - Texas El Paso 73	0.654	California 72 - Texas El Paso 75	-2
Campbell 66 - North Carolina Central 63	0.61	Campbell 75 - North Carolina Central 78	6
Canisius 88 - Unranked 57		Canisius 109 - Unranked 69
Central Florida 68 - Charlotte 67	0.514	Central Florida 74 - Charlotte 71	-2
Central Michigan 69 - Siena 65	0.599	Central Michigan 70 - Siena 56	-10
Cornell 76 - Utah Valley 77	0.531	Cornell 74 - Utah Valley 61	-14
East Carolina 79 - Georgia Southern 67	0.801	East Carolina 82 - Georgia Southern 64	-6
Florida AM 57 - Oregon 85	0.97	Florida AM 54 - Oregon 67	-15
Florida Gulf Coast 71 - Norfolk State 70	0.521	Florida Gulf Coast 66 - Norfolk State 69	4
Florida International 72 - Marshall 75	0.589	Florida International 69 - Marshall 80	8
Gonzaga 76 - Purdue 78	0.557	Gonzaga 63 - Purdue 73	8
Hampton 64 - San Jose State 79	0.854	Hampton 52 - San Jose State 71	4
High Point 66 - Iona 81	0.874	High Point 82 - Iona 68	-29
Houston Christian 74 - Texas San Antonio 75	0.537	Houston Christian 87 - Texas San Antonio 89	1
Idaho State 67 - The Citadel 69	0.561	Idaho State 61 - The Citadel 62	-1
Illinois State 69 - Long Beach State 79	0.779	Illinois State 61 - Long Beach State 52	-19
Kent State 74 - Fordham 65	0.762	Kent State 79 - Fordham 72	2
Kentucky 82 - Saint Josephs 67	0.835	Kentucky 96 - Saint Josephs 88	7
Louisville 67 - Indiana 73	0.672	Louisville 66 - Indiana 74	2
Loyola Marymount 74 - Oakland 73	0.552	Loyola Marymount 69 - Oakland 74	6
Marquette 76 - UCLA 69	0.686	Marquette 71 - UCLA 69	5
Milwaukee 74 - Stetson 72	0.562	Milwaukee 67 - Stetson 85	20
Missouri State 70 - Abilene Christian 67	0.608	Missouri State 87 - Abilene Christian 69	-15
Montana State 78 - Green Bay 57	0.966	Montana State 53 - Green Bay 54	22
Murray State 68 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.711	Murray State 81 - UNC Wilmington 83	-6
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Florida State 74	0.558	Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Florida State 83	6
NJ Tech 67 - Delaware State 68	0.508	NJ Tech 81 - Delaware State 72	-10
North Dakota State 89 - Unranked 55		North Dakota State 101 - Unranked 72
Northeastern 74 - Kennesaw St 70	0.623	Northeastern 77 - Kennesaw St 79	6
Oklahoma State 80 - New Orleans 64	0.878	Oklahoma State 96 - New Orleans 68	-12
Pacific 72 - North Dakota 68	0.594	Pacific 71 - North Dakota 73	6
Richmond 70 - Colorado 78	0.717	Richmond 59 - Colorado 64	-3
Sacramento State 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.557	Sacramento State 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 75	6
Saint Francis Penn 82 - Unranked 60		Saint Francis Penn 77 - Unranked 63
Saint Peters 64 - UMass Lowell 72	0.732	Saint Peters 61 - UMass Lowell 69	0
San Diego 72 - Navy 62	0.776	San Diego 67 - Navy 59	2
Santa Clara 85 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.965	Santa Clara 81 - Mississippi Valley State 39	-13
SE Missouri State 74 - Central Arkansas 69	0.667	SE Missouri State 70 - Central Arkansas 68	3
South Dakota State 68 - George Mason 77	0.768	South Dakota State 71 - George Mason 73	-7
Southern Methodist 71 - West Virginia 72	0.54	Southern Methodist 70 - West Virginia 58	-13
Stephen F Austin 69 - Drake 76	0.691	Stephen F Austin 92 - Drake 68	-31
Stony Brook 69 - Rider 70	0.537	Stony Brook 55 - Rider 48	-8
Syracuse 68 - Tennessee 77	0.756	Syracuse 56 - Tennessee 73	8
Tennessee State 90 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 87 - Unranked 70
Texas 71 - Connecticut 77	0.671	Texas 71 - Connecticut 81	4
Texas AM Commerce 73 - Stonehill 63	0.723	Texas AM Commerce 97 - Stonehill 86	-1
Texas Pan American 85 - Unranked 62		Texas Pan American 92 - Unranked 73
Troy 69 - Sam Houston State 73	0.603	Troy 86 - Sam Houston State 88	-2
Tulane 71 - Bradley 76	0.639	Tulane 77 - Bradley 80	-2
Tulsa 79 - South Carolina State 58	0.897	Tulsa 90 - South Carolina State 70	1
UL Monroe 84 - Unranked 58		UL Monroe 103 - Unranked 74
Unranked 49 - Kansas 104		Unranked 56 - Kansas 83
Virginia 75 - Wisconsin 65	0.816	Virginia 41 - Wisconsin 65	34
Wright State 69 - UL Lafayette 76	0.697	Wright State 91 - UL Lafayette 85	-13

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 69 - Drake 74	0.655	Akron 59 - Drake 79	15
Appalachian State 62 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.878	Appalachian State 86 - UNC Wilmington 56	-45
Army 64 - Albany 72	0.71	Army 59 - Albany 62	-5
Auburn 92 - Alabama AM 57	0.993	Auburn 84 - Alabama AM 54	5
Ball State 71 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.64	Ball State 75 - South Carolina Upstate 58	-12
Bellarmine 88 - Unranked 56		Bellarmine 77 - Unranked 56
Buffalo 65 - UL Lafayette 76	0.816	Buffalo 60 - UL Lafayette 68	-3
Cal State Northridge 77 - Le Moyne 62	0.873	Cal State Northridge 70 - Le Moyne 80	25
Campbell 66 - Idaho State 62	0.64	Campbell 55 - Idaho State 69	18
Colorado 80 - Florida State 72	0.692	Colorado 71 - Florida State 77	14
Columbia 77 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.823	Columbia 77 - LIU Brooklyn 67	2
Davidson 77 - Boston 63	0.824	Davidson 69 - Boston 45	-10
Detroit 70 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.545	Detroit 72 - Eastern Michigan 76	6
Duke 83 - La Salle 63	0.945	Duke 95 - La Salle 66	-9
East Carolina 77 - Kennesaw St 72	0.64	East Carolina 85 - Kennesaw St 84	4
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Prairie View 74	0.573	Eastern Kentucky 64 - Prairie View 76	9
Florida International 72 - Loyola Marymount 76	0.612	Florida International 60 - Loyola Marymount 61	-3
Gonzaga 84 - Syracuse 73	0.823	Gonzaga 76 - Syracuse 57	-8
Green Bay 60 - UC Riverside 72	0.834	Green Bay 68 - UC Riverside 74	-6
Hawaii 74 - Northern Arizona 64	0.783	Hawaii 70 - Northern Arizona 61	1
Hofstra 77 - Wright State 69	0.699	Hofstra 85 - Wright State 76	-1
Illinois State 76 - High Point 71	0.666	Illinois State 72 - High Point 74	7
Indiana State 80 - Rice 69	0.788	Indiana State 103 - Rice 88	-4
Long Beach State 75 - Iona 74	0.52	Long Beach State 80 - Iona 76	-3
Louisiana Tech 78 - Southern Utah 71	0.722	Louisiana Tech 67 - Southern Utah 53	-7
Marquette 75 - Kansas 79	0.635	Marquette 73 - Kansas 59	-18
Marshall 72 - Oakland 73	0.534	Marshall 71 - Oakland 78	6
Maryland 75 - UMBC 65	0.762	Maryland 92 - UMBC 68	-14
Mcneese State 71 - Texas State 66	0.627	Mcneese State 59 - Texas State 48	-6
Middle Tennessee 73 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.529	Middle Tennessee 57 - Alabama Birmingham 58	2
Milwaukee 76 - Siena 66	0.734	Milwaukee 61 - Siena 59	8
Minnesota 84 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.958	Minnesota 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	4
Monmouth 75 - Lehigh 69	0.672	Monmouth 88 - Lehigh 79	-3
New Hampshire 69 - Marist 63	0.652	New Hampshire 74 - Marist 71	3
New Mexico 75 - Toledo 81	0.649	New Mexico 92 - Toledo 84	-14
New Mexico State 67 - Fresno State 73	0.691	New Mexico State 76 - Fresno State 81	-1
Nicholls State 90 - Unranked 57		Nicholls State 86 - Unranked 56
Northeastern 75 - Georgia Southern 65	0.794	Northeastern 93 - Georgia Southern 76	-7
Northern Colorado 72 - Chicago State 65	0.704	Northern Colorado 78 - Chicago State 77	6
Oral Roberts 77 - Texas Southern 65	0.802	Oral Roberts 65 - Texas Southern 63	10
Purdue 74 - Tennessee 69	0.623	Purdue 71 - Tennessee 67	1
Radford 75 - Morgan State 62	0.843	Radford 82 - Morgan State 72	3
Richmond 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.552	Richmond 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	-15
Sacred Heart 68 - Binghamton 70	0.576	Sacred Heart 89 - Binghamton 75	-16
South Alabama 90 - Unranked 55		South Alabama 74 - Unranked 62
Southern Illinois 73 - James Madison 76	0.595	Southern Illinois 76 - James Madison 82	3
Stetson 71 - Central Michigan 67	0.593	Stetson 71 - Central Michigan 61	-6
Texas Christian 88 - Alcorn State 60	0.964	Texas Christian 93 - Alcorn State 74	9
The Citadel 69 - North Carolina Central 68	0.535	The Citadel 67 - North Carolina Central 61	-5
UC Irvine 77 - Pepperdine 68	0.728	UC Irvine 76 - Pepperdine 60	-7
UCLA 96 - Unranked 47		UCLA 76 - Unranked 48
Utah State 76 - Stephen F Austin 70	0.693	Utah State 79 - Stephen F Austin 49	-24
Valparaiso 71 - Western Illinois 69	0.56	Valparaiso 73 - Western Illinois 66	-5

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.849	Air Force 64 - Virginia Military Institute 54	1
American 71 - Mt St Marys 68	0.605	American 68 - Mt St Marys 65	0
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Georgia State 75	0.684	Arkansas Little Rock 90 - Georgia State 93	-2
Austin Peay 64 - Sacramento State 67	0.583	Austin Peay 74 - Sacramento State 71	-6
Buffalo 66 - Iona 77	0.796	Buffalo 64 - Iona 89	14
California 67 - Tulane 80	0.813	California 81 - Tulane 84	-10
Campbell 67 - The Citadel 65	0.564	Campbell 65 - The Citadel 58	-5
Chicago State 67 - Morgan State 69	0.56	Chicago State 84 - Morgan State 83	-3
Cincinnati 78 - Georgia Tech 67	0.829	Cincinnati 89 - Georgia Tech 54	-24
Cleveland State 73 - East Tennessee State 66	0.672	Cleveland State 72 - East Tennessee State 70	5
Colgate 68 - Harvard 70	0.572	Colgate 70 - Harvard 76	4
Colorado State 74 - Boston College 72	0.563	Colorado State 86 - Boston College 74	-10
Denver 90 - Unranked 61		Denver 100 - Unranked 68
Eastern Washington 90 - Unranked 60		Eastern Washington 97 - Unranked 46
Fresno State 72 - James Madison 79	0.736	Fresno State 64 - James Madison 95	24
Hofstra 80 - High Point 65	0.875	Hofstra 97 - High Point 92	10
Incarnate Word 68 - Jacksonville State 69	0.539	Incarnate Word 67 - Jacksonville State 66	-2
Kansas 75 - Tennessee 71	0.624	Kansas 69 - Tennessee 60	-5
Kansas State 87 - Central Arkansas 59	0.965	Kansas State 100 - Central Arkansas 56	-16
Louisiana Tech 75 - Mcneese State 70	0.636	Louisiana Tech 71 - Mcneese State 62	-4
Loyola Ill 63 - Creighton 84	0.951	Loyola Ill 65 - Creighton 88	2
Marquette 73 - Purdue 78	0.63	Marquette 75 - Purdue 78	-2
Massachusetts 82 - Central Connecticut State 60	0.961	Massachusetts 89 - Central Connecticut State 60	-7
Memphis 78 - Michigan 77	0.501	Memphis 71 - Michigan 67	-3
Merrimack 72 - North Carolina AT 66	0.71	Merrimack 96 - North Carolina AT 73	-17
Missouri 82 - South Carolina State 59	0.901	Missouri 82 - South Carolina State 59	0
Montana State 73 - UC Riverside 62	0.822	Montana State 69 - UC Riverside 68	10
Morehead State 89 - Unranked 55		Morehead State 94 - Unranked 53
Murray State 76 - Appalachian State 68	0.726	Murray State 57 - Appalachian State 67	18
Nebraska 76 - Duquesne 72	0.632	Nebraska 89 - Duquesne 79	-6
New Mexico State 64 - Southern Illinois 74	0.792	New Mexico State 54 - Southern Illinois 81	17
Northern Colorado 65 - Radford 73	0.736	Northern Colorado 68 - Radford 79	3
Northern Iowa 66 - North Carolina 84	0.951	Northern Iowa 69 - North Carolina 91	4
Northern Kentucky 72 - Texas AM CC 71	0.518	Northern Kentucky 88 - Texas AM CC 73	-14
Notre Dame 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0.82	Notre Dame 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-7
Old Dominion 62 - Princeton 80	0.915	Old Dominion 56 - Princeton 76	2
Omaha 85 - Unranked 59		Omaha 76 - Unranked 59
Oregon State 65 - Baylor 85	0.956	Oregon State 72 - Baylor 88	-4
Pepperdine 71 - Indiana State 79	0.711	Pepperdine 82 - Indiana State 90	0
Pittsburgh 78 - Florida 74	0.608	Pittsburgh 71 - Florida 86	19
Presbyterian 73 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.77	Presbyterian 75 - Tennessee Tech 79	14
Queens 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.553	Queens 97 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	-15
Rhode Island 91 - Unranked 57		Rhode Island 97 - Unranked 59
Rice 73 - New Mexico 81	0.703	Rice 56 - New Mexico 90	26
Saint Bonaventure 77 - Bucknell 61	0.904	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Bucknell 61	10
Saint Francis Penn 82 - Unranked 60		Saint Francis Penn 107 - Unranked 54
Sam Houston State 73 - Grambling State 63	0.772	Sam Houston State 86 - Grambling State 68	-8
Samford 77 - Alabama State 65	0.801	Samford 99 - Alabama State 67	-20
San Francisco 77 - IPFW 71	0.689	San Francisco 76 - IPFW 60	-10
Seattle 78 - Idaho 61	0.908	Seattle 92 - Idaho 55	-20
South Dakota 89 - Unranked 59		South Dakota 100 - Unranked 48
South Florida 73 - Maine 63	0.717	South Florida 59 - Maine 70	21
Southern Methodist 70 - Wisconsin 73	0.571	Southern Methodist 61 - Wisconsin 69	5
Southern Miss 70 - South Dakota State 72	0.553	Southern Miss 54 - South Dakota State 65	9
Stanford 73 - Arkansas 78	0.633	Stanford 74 - Arkansas 77	-2
Tarleton State 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.744	Tarleton State 59 - Cal State Bakersfield 40	-9
Temple 71 - Mississippi 70	0.523	Temple 76 - Mississippi 77	2
Tennessee Martin 72 - North Alabama 71	0.513	Tennessee Martin 105 - North Alabama 103	-1
Texas Arlington 78 - Alcorn State 67	0.793	Texas Arlington 82 - Alcorn State 69	-2
Texas El Paso 65 - Bradley 78	0.838	Texas El Paso 59 - Bradley 63	-9
Texas State 69 - Southern Utah 72	0.58	Texas State 67 - Southern Utah 74	4
Texas Tech 72 - Villanova 66	0.681	Texas Tech 69 - Villanova 85	22
Toledo 75 - UC Irvine 72	0.573	Toledo 71 - UC Irvine 77	9
UC Santa Barbara 91 - Unranked 58		UC Santa Barbara 91 - Unranked 79
UCLA 70 - Gonzaga 78	0.723	UCLA 65 - Gonzaga 69	-4
UL Lafayette 73 - Long Beach State 74	0.533	UL Lafayette 92 - Long Beach State 82	-11
Unranked 54 - Syracuse 98		Unranked 56 - Syracuse 105
Vermont 96 - Unranked 48		Vermont 106 - Unranked 57
West Virginia 64 - Virginia 75	0.768	West Virginia 54 - Virginia 56	-9
Wright State 75 - Illinois State 72	0.59	Wright State 74 - Illinois State 49	-22

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 79 - Michigan State 69	0.761	Arizona 74 - Michigan State 68	4
Arizona State 68 - Brigham Young 78	0.732	Arizona State 49 - Brigham Young 77	18
Arkansas 74 - Memphis 77	0.585	Arkansas 79 - Memphis 84	2
Butler 71 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.537	Butler 86 - Florida Atlantic 91	6
Creighton 80 - Colorado State 71	0.764	Creighton 48 - Colorado State 69	30
Iowa 75 - Oklahoma 76	0.51	Iowa 67 - Oklahoma 79	11
Loyola Ill 66 - Boston College 75	0.798	Loyola Ill 71 - Boston College 68	-12
Southern California 70 - Seton Hall 72	0.55	Southern California 71 - Seton Hall 63	-10
Stanford 73 - Michigan 81	0.688	Stanford 78 - Michigan 83	-3
Texas AM 74 - Penn State 69	0.657	Texas AM 89 - Penn State 77	-7
Texas Tech 81 - Northern Iowa 62	0.941	Texas Tech 72 - Northern Iowa 70	17
Vanderbilt 67 - NC State 77	0.753	Vanderbilt 78 - NC State 84	-4
Villanova 69 - North Carolina 75	0.675	Villanova 83 - North Carolina 81	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 67 - Iowa State 75	0.69	Virginia Commonwealth 64 - Iowa State 68	-4
Virginia Tech 72 - Boise State 73	0.503	Virginia Tech 82 - Boise State 75	-8

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 73 - Vanderbilt 67	0.658	Arizona State 82 - Vanderbilt 67	-9
Arkansas 74 - North Carolina 78	0.645	Arkansas 72 - North Carolina 87	11
Ball State 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.835	Ball State 92 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	-3
Belmont 75 - Monmouth 72	0.559	Belmont 84 - Monmouth 93	12
Boise State 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.508	Boise State 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 61	-3
Bowling Green 66 - Western Kentucky 77	0.767	Bowling Green 65 - Western Kentucky 72	-4
Brigham Young 78 - NC State 71	0.658	Brigham Young 95 - NC State 86	-2
Butler 69 - Penn State 73	0.589	Butler 88 - Penn State 78	-14
Cal State Northridge 75 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.868	Cal State Northridge 84 - Mississippi Valley State 48	-23
Chattanooga 71 - Evansville 66	0.629	Chattanooga 77 - Evansville 85	13
Clemson 89 - Alcorn State 58	0.961	Clemson 90 - Alcorn State 69	10
Connecticut 85 - Manhattan 58	0.977	Connecticut 90 - Manhattan 60	-3
Dayton 79 - Youngstown State 62	0.921	Dayton 77 - Youngstown State 69	9
Delaware 77 - Brown 65	0.832	Delaware 67 - Brown 59	4
Duke 89 - Southern Indiana 56	0.986	Duke 80 - Southern Indiana 62	15
East Tennessee State 76 - Alabama AM 65	0.795	East Tennessee State 82 - Alabama AM 71	0
Fairfield 64 - New Hampshire 73	0.788	Fairfield 80 - New Hampshire 83	-6
Florida 73 - Baylor 81	0.731	Florida 91 - Baylor 95	-4
Florida Atlantic 66 - Texas AM 76	0.724	Florida Atlantic 96 - Texas AM 89	-17
George Washington 75 - Ohio 71	0.595	George Washington 99 - Ohio 94	-1
Georgia 73 - Winthrop 68	0.679	Georgia 78 - Winthrop 69	-4
Hawaii 78 - Texas Pan American 64	0.857	Hawaii 76 - Texas Pan American 57	-5
Houston 84 - Montana 56	0.96	Houston 79 - Montana 44	-7
Idaho 63 - UC San Diego 77	0.88	Idaho 73 - UC San Diego 70	-17
Illinois 84 - Western Illinois 58	0.954	Illinois 84 - Western Illinois 52	-6
Illinois Chicago 64 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.727	Illinois Chicago 70 - Middle Tennessee 40	-37
Indiana State 74 - Toledo 77	0.599	Indiana State 76 - Toledo 74	-5
Kentucky 85 - Marshall 65	0.923	Kentucky 118 - Marshall 82	-16
Lamar 73 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.682	Lamar 83 - Bethune Cookman 65	-12
Lipscomb 77 - UNC Asheville 70	0.69	Lipscomb 86 - UNC Asheville 75	-4
LIU Brooklyn 63 - Texas AM CC 80	0.889	LIU Brooklyn 83 - Texas AM CC 68	-32
Longwood 79 - Delaware State 59	0.943	Longwood 84 - Delaware State 82	18
Louisiana State 82 - North Florida 64	0.888	Louisiana State 75 - North Florida 63	6
Memphis 74 - Villanova 70	0.611	Memphis 63 - Villanova 79	20
Michigan 73 - Texas Tech 75	0.563	Michigan 57 - Texas Tech 73	14
Mississippi State 84 - Nicholls State 59	0.964	Mississippi State 74 - Nicholls State 61	12
New Mexico 80 - Pepperdine 74	0.634	New Mexico 90 - Pepperdine 71	-13
North Carolina AT 71 - Alabama State 69	0.576	North Carolina AT 73 - Alabama State 88	17
Ohio State 71 - Alabama 84	0.819	Ohio State 92 - Alabama 81	-24
Oklahoma State 84 - Houston Christian 63	0.935	Oklahoma State 92 - Houston Christian 65	-6
Pacific 78 - Le Moyne 61	0.857	Pacific 73 - Le Moyne 71	15
Pennsylvania 76 - Lafayette 61	0.87	Pennsylvania 74 - Lafayette 72	13
Pittsburgh 82 - Oregon State 65	0.865	Pittsburgh 76 - Oregon State 51	-8
Providence 82 - Lehigh 61	0.952	Providence 78 - Lehigh 64	7
Robert Morris 71 - Jacksonville 69	0.561	Robert Morris 65 - Jacksonville 74	11
Saint Marys 71 - Davidson 67	0.611	Saint Marys 89 - Davidson 55	-30
Samford 71 - Merrimack 68	0.61	Samford 79 - Merrimack 71	-5
San Diego 75 - Arkansas State 70	0.639	San Diego 71 - Arkansas State 57	-9
Santa Clara 70 - Oregon 77	0.716	Santa Clara 88 - Oregon 82	-13
Seton Hall 74 - Iowa 75	0.533	Seton Hall 72 - Iowa 85	12
Southern California 71 - Oklahoma 74	0.582	Southern California 70 - Oklahoma 72	-1
Stanford 79 - Northern Iowa 70	0.764	Stanford 51 - Northern Iowa 73	31
Tennessee State 72 - Mercer 70	0.552	Tennessee State 59 - Mercer 60	3
Texas San Antonio 69 - Jacksonville State 72	0.593	Texas San Antonio 62 - Jacksonville State 77	12
Troy 72 - Grambling State 66	0.693	Troy 80 - Grambling State 67	-7
UC Irvine 79 - Rice 67	0.802	UC Irvine 83 - Rice 68	-3
UMKC 61 - UNC Greensboro 78	0.886	UMKC 64 - UNC Greensboro 76	-5
Utah Valley 93 - Unranked 53		Utah Valley 87 - Unranked 52
Virginia Tech 70 - Iowa State 78	0.71	Virginia Tech 71 - Iowa State 62	-17
Wake Forest 84 - Charleston Southern 62	0.953	Wake Forest 71 - Charleston Southern 56	7
Washington State 82 - Utah Tech 62	0.937	Washington State 93 - Utah Tech 53	-20
Western Michigan 68 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.599	Western Michigan 68 - Southeast Louisiana 67	-4
Wofford 74 - Canisius 72	0.567	Wofford 67 - Canisius 76	11
Xavier 82 - Bryant 64	0.862	Xavier 100 - Bryant 75	-7

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Furman 75	0.572	Alabama Birmingham 92 - Furman 86	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 65 - Tulsa 76	0.836	Arkansas Little Rock 84 - Tulsa 82	-13
Arkansas State 76 - Texas Pan American 72	0.631	Arkansas State 75 - Texas Pan American 58	-13
Bethune Cookman 69 - Delaware State 67	0.558	Bethune Cookman 64 - Delaware State 72	10
Binghamton 74 - Army 58	0.856	Binghamton 75 - Army 68	9
Bowling Green 68 - Lipscomb 77	0.707	Bowling Green 82 - Lipscomb 61	-30
Bradley 73 - Vermont 68	0.65	Bradley 79 - Vermont 70	-4
Brown 70 - UMKC 69	0.546	Brown 93 - UMKC 83	-9
Cal Baptist 88 - Unranked 54		Cal Baptist 69 - Unranked 59
Central Arkansas 67 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.609	Central Arkansas 71 - Eastern Michigan 74	-1
Charlotte 75 - Georgia State 59	0.902	Charlotte 65 - Georgia State 57	8
Chicago State 66 - Tennessee Martin 73	0.708	Chicago State 71 - Tennessee Martin 94	16
Cleveland State 80 - Alabama AM 62	0.892	Cleveland State 86 - Alabama AM 59	-9
Columbia 70 - Maine 68	0.548	Columbia 75 - Maine 56	-17
Delaware 70 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.596	Delaware 77 - UNC Greensboro 88	8
DePaul 72 - Northern Illinois 70	0.576	DePaul 79 - Northern Illinois 89	12
Drake 82 - Texas Southern 57	0.953	Drake 77 - Texas Southern 71	19
Eastern Illinois 78 - Unranked 62		Eastern Illinois 85 - Unranked 39
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Jacksonville 70	0.548	Fairleigh Dickinson 90 - Jacksonville 91	3
Florida Gulf Coast 65 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.79	Florida Gulf Coast 55 - UNC Wilmington 71	5
Gardner Webb 88 - Unranked 54		Gardner Webb 92 - Unranked 51
George Mason 80 - East Carolina 66	0.869	George Mason 81 - East Carolina 59	-8
George Washington 75 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.722	George Washington 79 - Illinois Chicago 89	18
Georgetown 76 - Jackson State 65	0.769	Georgetown 88 - Jackson State 81	4
Grand Canyon 78 - North Dakota State 66	0.812	Grand Canyon 86 - North Dakota State 71	-3
Green Bay 62 - Saint Thomas 71	0.807	Green Bay 64 - Saint Thomas 51	-22
IPFW 95 - Unranked 55		IPFW 95 - Unranked 64
IUPUI 78 - Unranked 62		IUPUI 78 - Unranked 70
Liberty 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.967	Liberty 99 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	-6
Longwood 78 - Lamar 64	0.875	Longwood 83 - Lamar 72	3
Louisiana Tech 92 - Unranked 54		Louisiana Tech 105 - Unranked 65
Loyola Marymount 74 - Texas El Paso 72	0.542	Loyola Marymount 67 - Texas El Paso 47	-18
Marist 70 - Bucknell 63	0.697	Marist 73 - Bucknell 49	-17
Maryland 71 - South Alabama 65	0.64	Maryland 68 - South Alabama 55	-7
Merrimack 71 - Alabama State 63	0.779	Merrimack 60 - Alabama State 66	14
Milwaukee 73 - Southern Miss 72	0.536	Milwaukee 84 - Southern Miss 90	7
Missouri 78 - Loyola MD 59	0.909	Missouri 78 - Loyola MD 70	11
Missouri State 83 - South Carolina State 56	0.941	Missouri State 92 - South Carolina State 74	9
Monmouth 74 - Lafayette 62	0.773	Monmouth 63 - Lafayette 53	2
Mt St Marys 68 - Howard 74	0.713	Mt St Marys 83 - Howard 87	-2
North Dakota 73 - New Orleans 70	0.576	North Dakota 71 - New Orleans 69	1
Northern Kentucky 78 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.889	Northern Kentucky 72 - LIU Brooklyn 64	9
Ohio 68 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.577	Ohio 80 - Middle Tennessee 68	-15
Oregon 73 - Alabama 82	0.71	Oregon 91 - Alabama 99	-1
Pennsylvania 75 - Belmont 73	0.549	Pennsylvania 79 - Belmont 84	7
Portland 92 - Unranked 57		Portland 107 - Unranked 84
Princeton 81 - Northeastern 61	0.932	Princeton 80 - Northeastern 66	6
Richmond 78 - Queens 61	0.909	Richmond 90 - Queens 61	-12
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Miami OH 63	0.825	Saint Bonaventure 90 - Miami OH 60	-18
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Niagara 68	0.592	Saint Francis Penn 61 - Niagara 69	10
Saint Johns 87 - Holy Cross 59	0.955	Saint Johns 91 - Holy Cross 45	-18
Saint Louis 82 - Dartmouth 62	0.9	Saint Louis 66 - Dartmouth 65	19
Sam Houston State 90 - Unranked 55		Sam Houston State 78 - Unranked 61
Samford 77 - North Carolina AT 68	0.754	Samford 101 - North Carolina AT 83	-9
San Diego 68 - Hawaii 72	0.632	San Diego 66 - Hawaii 77	7
San Diego State 83 - California 61	0.946	San Diego State 76 - California 67	13
Santa Clara 72 - Ohio State 75	0.594	Santa Clara 56 - Ohio State 86	27
SE Missouri State 64 - Evansville 77	0.795	SE Missouri State 74 - Evansville 93	6
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Detroit 64	0.621	SIU Edwardsville 81 - Detroit 67	-9
South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 58		South Carolina Upstate 79 - Unranked 44
Southeast Louisiana 69 - Tennessee State 73	0.603	Southeast Louisiana 77 - Tennessee State 91	10
Texas Arlington 70 - Texas State 65	0.623	Texas Arlington 66 - Texas State 73	12
Texas San Antonio 72 - Incarnate Word 71	0.519	Texas San Antonio 90 - Incarnate Word 80	-9
UNC Asheville 73 - Wofford 75	0.577	UNC Asheville 85 - Wofford 82	-5
Valparaiso 69 - Southern 71	0.555	Valparaiso 71 - Southern 59	-14
Virginia Military Institute 86 - Unranked 62		Virginia Military Institute 100 - Unranked 63
Wagner 71 - NJ Tech 61	0.79	Wagner 64 - NJ Tech 51	-3
Western Kentucky 75 - Canisius 67	0.775	Western Kentucky 77 - Canisius 85	16
Western Michigan 67 - Mercer 73	0.706	Western Michigan 72 - Mercer 66	-12
Wichita State 81 - Norfolk State 59	0.956	Wichita State 80 - Norfolk State 67	9
William and Mary 71 - UMBC 75	0.622	William and Mary 96 - UMBC 81	-19

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 84 - Unranked 60		American 103 - Unranked 74
Appalachian State 69 - Austin Peay 64	0.644	Appalachian State 78 - Austin Peay 58	-15
Boise State 71 - Butler 70	0.52	Boise State 56 - Butler 70	15
Boston 85 - Unranked 57		Boston 90 - Unranked 49
Bowling Green 69 - Canisius 72	0.573	Bowling Green 77 - Canisius 73	-7
Central Arkansas 69 - New Orleans 72	0.585	Central Arkansas 74 - New Orleans 79	2
Central Florida 79 - Stetson 60	0.924	Central Florida 82 - Stetson 85	22
Chattanooga 80 - SE Missouri State 63	0.915	Chattanooga 72 - SE Missouri State 56	1
Coastal Carolina 73 - North Carolina Central 69	0.61	Coastal Carolina 58 - North Carolina Central 70	16
Colorado 81 - Iona 68	0.823	Colorado 85 - Iona 68	-4
Eastern Michigan 69 - North Dakota 70	0.53	Eastern Michigan 70 - North Dakota 72	1
Florida International 76 - Kennesaw St 71	0.63	Florida International 91 - Kennesaw St 84	-2
George Washington 74 - Delaware 70	0.609	George Washington 81 - Delaware 71	-6
High Point 87 - Unranked 63		High Point 122 - Unranked 73
Illinois Chicago 66 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.718	Illinois Chicago 57 - UNC Greensboro 58	-6
Indiana 71 - Harvard 70	0.527	Indiana 89 - Harvard 76	-12
Iowa State 73 - Texas AM 72	0.524	Iowa State 69 - Texas AM 73	5
Jacksonville State 70 - Incarnate Word 67	0.611	Jacksonville State 67 - Incarnate Word 65	1
Kent State 75 - College of Charleston 68	0.716	Kent State 78 - College of Charleston 84	13
La Salle 81 - Coppin State 54	0.978	La Salle 81 - Coppin State 62	8
Lafayette 63 - Belmont 76	0.841	Lafayette 69 - Belmont 79	-3
Lamar 73 - Delaware State 67	0.713	Lamar 84 - Delaware State 81	3
Longwood 80 - Bethune Cookman 59	0.916	Longwood 69 - Bethune Cookman 48	0
Louisville 74 - New Mexico State 67	0.687	Louisville 90 - New Mexico State 84	1
Middle Tennessee 76 - UMKC 59	0.898	Middle Tennessee 63 - UMKC 59	13
Montana State 73 - Long Beach State 74	0.529	Montana State 69 - Long Beach State 75	5
Nebraska 79 - Cal State Fullerton 60	0.93	Nebraska 85 - Cal State Fullerton 72	6
North Texas 92 - Unranked 48		North Texas 79 - Unranked 50
Ohio 78 - Brown 65	0.827	Ohio 82 - Brown 77	8
Old Dominion 65 - Drexel 68	0.614	Old Dominion 68 - Drexel 61	-10
Pacific 76 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.848	Pacific 68 - Mississippi Valley State 65	12
Pennsylvania 75 - Monmouth 70	0.602	Pennsylvania 76 - Monmouth 61	-10
Quinnipiac 75 - Stonehill 66	0.749	Quinnipiac 80 - Stonehill 69	-2
Radford 88 - Unranked 53		Radford 100 - Unranked 53
Rhode Island 70 - Yale 76	0.684	Rhode Island 76 - Yale 72	-10
Robert Morris 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.512	Robert Morris 97 - Fairleigh Dickinson 86	-10
Saint Josephs 77 - Sacred Heart 65	0.808	Saint Josephs 64 - Sacred Heart 55	3
San Francisco 75 - Minnesota 67	0.745	San Francisco 76 - Minnesota 58	-10
Seattle 70 - UC San Diego 67	0.596	Seattle 79 - UC San Diego 67	-9
Siena 66 - Albany 70	0.61	Siena 51 - Albany 86	31
South Dakota 69 - Air Force 71	0.54	South Dakota 57 - Air Force 58	-1
Southern Methodist 78 - UL Monroe 60	0.89	Southern Methodist 70 - UL Monroe 57	5
Texas 77 - Wyoming 66	0.815	Texas 86 - Wyoming 63	-12
Texas AM Commerce 73 - Denver 70	0.575	Texas AM Commerce 61 - Denver 71	13
Towson 75 - Morgan State 61	0.849	Towson 67 - Morgan State 58	5
UC Davis 73 - Sacramento State 63	0.744	UC Davis 63 - Sacramento State 69	16
UC Riverside 85 - Unranked 56		UC Riverside 109 - Unranked 63
UNC Asheville 68 - Western Kentucky 76	0.779	UNC Asheville 77 - Western Kentucky 67	-18
Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Penn State 71	0.582	Virginia Commonwealth 86 - Penn State 74	-15
Virginia Tech 74 - Florida Atlantic 71	0.562	Virginia Tech 50 - Florida Atlantic 84	37
West Virginia 78 - Bellarmine 65	0.79	West Virginia 62 - Bellarmine 58	9
Western Carolina 77 - North Alabama 64	0.856	Western Carolina 81 - North Alabama 63	-5
Wofford 73 - Lipscomb 77	0.63	Wofford 78 - Lipscomb 85	3

Number of DI Games: 350
Number Correct: 255 = 72.8%
Expected Number Correct: 249.772 = 71.3%
Average Error: 9.49
Average Signed Error: -0.6

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 79 - Unranked 62		Arkansas Pine Bluff 85 - Unranked 60
Bryant 89 - Unranked 55		Bryant 108 - Unranked 74
Connecticut 82 - New Hampshire 58	0.952	Connecticut 84 - New Hampshire 64	4
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Troy 71	0.511	Eastern Kentucky 77 - Troy 76	0
Elon 70 - Presbyterian 65	0.642	Elon 82 - Presbyterian 79	2
Fordham 69 - Manhattan 64	0.64	Fordham 93 - Manhattan 61	-27
Fresno State 71 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.594	Fresno State 65 - UC Santa Barbara 69	7
Hampton 68 - UMBC 74	0.651	Hampton 76 - UMBC 80	-2
Lindenwood 70 - Utah Tech 68	0.539	Lindenwood 66 - Utah Tech 73	9
Northwestern 77 - Northern Illinois 64	0.827	Northwestern 89 - Northern Illinois 67	-9
Omaha 84 - Unranked 59		Omaha 104 - Unranked 68
Rutgers 73 - Saint Peters 60	0.824	Rutgers 71 - Saint Peters 40	-18
Saint Marys 75 - Utah 67	0.723	Saint Marys 71 - Utah 78	15
San Diego State 97 - Unranked 45		San Diego State 71 - Unranked 51
San Jose State 67 - North Dakota State 72	0.637	San Jose State 78 - North Dakota State 65	-18
South Dakota State 93 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 92 - Unranked 70
Texas Christian 88 - Houston Christian 59	0.968	Texas Christian 101 - Houston Christian 64	-8
UL Lafayette 90 - Unranked 55		UL Lafayette 78 - Unranked 54
Washington State 79 - Eastern Washington 66	0.826	Washington State 82 - Eastern Washington 72	3
Weber State 89 - Unranked 54		Weber State 107 - Unranked 45
Wisconsin 85 - Western Illinois 56	0.959	Wisconsin 71 - Western Illinois 49	7
Xavier 80 - Oakland 65	0.875	Xavier 76 - Oakland 78	17

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Clemson 73	0.67	Alabama 77 - Clemson 85	15
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Mcneese State 61	0.922	Alabama Birmingham 60 - Mcneese State 81	40
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Ball State 72	0.576	Arkansas Little Rock 90 - Ball State 64	-28
Arkansas State 71 - Jackson State 63	0.733	Arkansas State 71 - Jackson State 75	12
Baylor 86 - Nicholls State 60	0.961	Baylor 108 - Nicholls State 70	-12
Furman 83 - South Carolina State 58	0.948	Furman 86 - South Carolina State 78	17
Georgia Tech 68 - Mississippi State 76	0.717	Georgia Tech 67 - Mississippi State 59	-16
Gonzaga 89 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	0.991	Gonzaga 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	18
Howard 63 - Cincinnati 82	0.924	Howard 81 - Cincinnati 86	-14
Indiana State 70 - Southern Illinois 69	0.51	Indiana State 77 - Southern Illinois 48	-28
Kansas 91 - Eastern Illinois 50	0.995	Kansas 71 - Eastern Illinois 63	33
Kansas State 79 - Oral Roberts 68	0.788	Kansas State 88 - Oral Roberts 78	1
Kentucky 80 - Miami 72	0.72	Kentucky 95 - Miami 73	-14
Loyola Ill 84 - Chicago State 53	0.963	Loyola Ill 62 - Chicago State 53	22
Marquette 84 - Southern 59	0.938	Marquette 93 - Southern 56	-12
Maryland 79 - Rider 62	0.904	Maryland 103 - Rider 76	-10
Miami OH 86 - Unranked 57		Miami OH 82 - Unranked 43
Michigan State 83 - Georgia Southern 59	0.948	Michigan State 86 - Georgia Southern 55	-7
Mississippi 74 - NC State 73	0.508	Mississippi 72 - NC State 52	-19
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - Akron 68	0.527	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Akron 70	-1
New Mexico State 90 - Unranked 51		New Mexico State 84 - Unranked 49
Norfolk State 71 - William and Mary 64	0.684	Norfolk State 96 - William and Mary 62	-27
North Dakota 83 - Unranked 58		North Dakota 87 - Unranked 56
Pepperdine 75 - Idaho State 65	0.792	Pepperdine 77 - Idaho State 62	-5
Pittsburgh 72 - Missouri 70	0.561	Pittsburgh 64 - Missouri 71	9
Portland State 73 - Portland 70	0.584	Portland State 75 - Portland 74	2
Providence 79 - Wagner 58	0.907	Providence 86 - Wagner 52	-13
Purdue 85 - Texas Southern 58	0.951	Purdue 99 - Texas Southern 67	-5
Saint Louis 71 - Utah State 73	0.567	Saint Louis 76 - Utah State 81	3
SIU Edwardsville 82 - Unranked 57		SIU Edwardsville 86 - Unranked 62
South Carolina 74 - Notre Dame 73	0.543	South Carolina 65 - Notre Dame 53	-11
South Dakota 87 - Unranked 55		South Dakota 93 - Unranked 71
Southeast Louisiana 83 - Unranked 58		Southeast Louisiana 101 - Unranked 55
Southern Indiana 83 - Unranked 58		Southern Indiana 107 - Unranked 49
Syracuse 75 - Louisiana State 77	0.537	Syracuse 80 - Louisiana State 57	-25
Tennessee Tech 68 - Western Carolina 74	0.661	Tennessee Tech 65 - Western Carolina 69	-2
The Citadel 75 - Charleston Southern 65	0.779	The Citadel 81 - Charleston Southern 52	-19
UL Monroe 73 - Northwestern State 66	0.715	UL Monroe 74 - Northwestern State 70	3
Washington 81 - UC San Diego 64	0.866	Washington 83 - UC San Diego 56	-10
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 53		Winthrop 90 - Unranked 49

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 62 - Tennessee State 69	0.674	Alabama AM 85 - Tennessee State 83	-9
Albany 66 - Boston 67	0.503	Albany 86 - Boston 72	-15
Appalachian State 69 - East Tennessee State 67	0.558	Appalachian State 72 - East Tennessee State 61	-9
Arizona State 76 - Sam Houston State 65	0.767	Arizona State 78 - Sam Houston State 61	-6
Arkansas 75 - Duke 78	0.578	Arkansas 80 - Duke 75	-8
Army 71 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.735	Army 51 - Central Connecticut State 79	37
Auburn 77 - Virginia Tech 71	0.667	Auburn 74 - Virginia Tech 57	-11
Austin Peay 64 - Morehead State 69	0.653	Austin Peay 50 - Morehead State 61	6
Bucknell 63 - Princeton 77	0.822	Bucknell 71 - Princeton 85	0
Cal Poly 66 - San Jose State 71	0.628	Cal Poly 81 - San Jose State 77	-9
Charlotte 66 - Davidson 72	0.656	Charlotte 81 - Davidson 85	-2
Coastal Carolina 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.75	Coastal Carolina 72 - South Carolina Upstate 70	7
Colgate 77 - Binghamton 61	0.867	Colgate 84 - Binghamton 49	-19
Colorado State 74 - Colorado 72	0.543	Colorado State 88 - Colorado 83	-3
Columbia 69 - Loyola MD 68	0.507	Columbia 69 - Loyola MD 57	-11
Cornell 72 - Monmouth 71	0.524	Cornell 91 - Monmouth 87	-3
Detroit 68 - Oakland 72	0.614	Detroit 50 - Oakland 65	11
Duquesne 69 - UC Irvine 71	0.577	Duquesne 66 - UC Irvine 62	-6
Florida AM 80 - Unranked 57		Florida AM 85 - Unranked 92
Florida International 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.565	Florida International 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	5
Florida State 81 - Georgia 69	0.785	Florida State 66 - Georgia 68	14
George Mason 78 - NJ Tech 58	0.921	George Mason 86 - NJ Tech 68	2
Georgetown 74 - Merrimack 64	0.788	Georgetown 69 - Merrimack 67	8
Harvard 73 - American 63	0.779	Harvard 80 - American 75	5
High Point 72 - Morgan State 66	0.677	High Point 77 - Morgan State 59	-12
Holy Cross 66 - Maine 65	0.519	Holy Cross 57 - Maine 72	16
Idaho 69 - Denver 71	0.56	Idaho 65 - Denver 67	0
Iona 73 - Marist 63	0.74	Iona 64 - Marist 68	14
Iowa 88 - North Florida 63	0.943	Iowa 103 - North Florida 78	0
IPFW 74 - Green Bay 64	0.755	IPFW 75 - Green Bay 71	6
Jacksonville 67 - Campbell 63	0.612	Jacksonville 62 - Campbell 48	-10
James Madison 75 - Buffalo 72	0.592	James Madison 81 - Buffalo 66	-12
Lafayette 64 - Drexel 71	0.703	Lafayette 48 - Drexel 69	14
Le Moyne 83 - Unranked 58		Le Moyne 92 - Unranked 54
Lehigh 72 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.648	Lehigh 61 - Saint Francis Penn 62	6
Lipscomb 67 - Chattanooga 72	0.668	Lipscomb 82 - Chattanooga 68	-19
Louisville 75 - Bellarmine 64	0.78	Louisville 73 - Bellarmine 68	6
Loyola Marymount 79 - Central Arkansas 63	0.883	Loyola Marymount 90 - Central Arkansas 63	-11
Missouri State 77 - Evansville 63	0.817	Missouri State 90 - Evansville 78	2
Murray State 68 - Bradley 70	0.555	Murray State 79 - Bradley 72	-9
Navy 70 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.577	Navy 67 - Virginia Military Institute 47	-17
Nevada 78 - Montana 64	0.826	Nevada 77 - Montana 66	3
New Mexico 71 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.626	New Mexico 74 - Louisiana Tech 65	-13
North Carolina 75 - Tennessee 74	0.508	North Carolina 100 - Tennessee 92	-7
Northern Iowa 74 - Belmont 72	0.538	Northern Iowa 70 - Belmont 90	22
Northern Kentucky 73 - Robert Morris 62	0.787	Northern Kentucky 77 - Robert Morris 59	-7
Ohio State 86 - Central Michigan 59	0.947	Ohio State 88 - Central Michigan 61	0
Old Dominion 69 - Radford 64	0.673	Old Dominion 69 - Radford 68	4
Pacific 73 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.707	Pacific 69 - Cal State Northridge 80	18
Queens 65 - Gardner Webb 70	0.627	Queens 83 - Gardner Webb 80	-8
San Diego 71 - Northern Colorado 68	0.597	San Diego 74 - Northern Colorado 72	1
Santa Clara 94 - Unranked 53		Santa Clara 106 - Unranked 69
Seton Hall 78 - Northeastern 61	0.878	Seton Hall 88 - Northeastern 75	4
Southern California 82 - Eastern Washington 64	0.894	Southern California 106 - Eastern Washington 78	-10
Southern Methodist 71 - Dayton 72	0.538	Southern Methodist 63 - Dayton 65	1
Southern Utah 73 - Cal Baptist 68	0.655	Southern Utah 66 - Cal Baptist 91	30
Stephen F Austin 73 - Tarleton State 63	0.73	Stephen F Austin 66 - Tarleton State 68	12
Stetson 85 - Unranked 56		Stetson 94 - Unranked 49
Stonehill 66 - UMass Lowell 72	0.65	Stonehill 74 - UMass Lowell 80	0
Temple 76 - La Salle 68	0.741	Temple 106 - La Salle 99	1
Texas AM Commerce 83 - Unranked 57		Texas AM Commerce 100 - Unranked 48
Texas Arlington 67 - Abilene Christian 71	0.643	Texas Arlington 86 - Abilene Christian 71	-19
Texas El Paso 73 - Texas AM CC 61	0.801	Texas El Paso 63 - Texas AM CC 67	16
Texas Pan American 63 - Grand Canyon 78	0.85	Texas Pan American 69 - Grand Canyon 79	-5
Tulane 77 - Prairie View 66	0.799	Tulane 98 - Prairie View 77	-10
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Northern Arizona 62	0.84	UC Santa Barbara 70 - Northern Arizona 59	2
Utah Valley 70 - Seattle 68	0.535	Utah Valley 78 - Seattle 72	-4
Valparaiso 66 - Drake 76	0.73	Valparaiso 65 - Drake 83	8
Vanderbilt 75 - Boston College 71	0.607	Vanderbilt 62 - Boston College 80	22
Vermont 76 - Dartmouth 58	0.88	Vermont 64 - Dartmouth 53	7
Villanova 82 - Saint Josephs 60	0.923	Villanova 65 - Saint Josephs 78	35
Virginia 70 - Texas AM 66	0.614	Virginia 59 - Texas AM 47	-8
Wake Forest 72 - Florida 77	0.643	Wake Forest 82 - Florida 71	-16
Western Kentucky 91 - Unranked 53		Western Kentucky 101 - Unranked 77
Wichita State 73 - Richmond 70	0.593	Wichita State 80 - Richmond 68	-9
Wright State 80 - IUPUI 57	0.924	Wright State 103 - IUPUI 74	-6
Yale 74 - Stony Brook 65	0.744	Yale 79 - Stony Brook 71	1
Youngstown State 69 - Cleveland State 70	0.538	Youngstown State 94 - Cleveland State 69	-26

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Butler 68 - Texas Tech 75	0.674	Butler 103 - Texas Tech 95	-15
Chicago State 70 - Delaware State 66	0.604	Chicago State 69 - Delaware State 76	11
Coppin State 64 - UMBC 73	0.741	Coppin State 89 - UMBC 70	-28
East Carolina 72 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.513	East Carolina 74 - UNC Wilmington 66	-7
Elon 85 - Unranked 56		Elon 127 - Unranked 56
Florida Atlantic 69 - Liberty 70	0.526	Florida Atlantic 83 - Liberty 58	-26
Fordham 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.779	Fordham 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 52	-18
Hofstra 75 - South Florida 66	0.703	Hofstra 82 - South Florida 63	-10
Illinois Chicago 71 - Illinois State 67	0.614	Illinois Chicago 64 - Illinois State 69	9
Jacksonville State 66 - South Alabama 67	0.509	Jacksonville State 70 - South Alabama 52	-19
Kent State 91 - Unranked 52		Kent State 103 - Unranked 61
Longwood 87 - Unranked 53		Longwood 95 - Unranked 46
Minnesota 79 - New Orleans 62	0.887	Minnesota 97 - New Orleans 64	-16
Montana State 87 - Unranked 53		Montana State 62 - Unranked 70
North Alabama 70 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.59	North Alabama 86 - Tennessee Tech 71	-12
Oklahoma 89 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	0.985	Oklahoma 107 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 86	15
Oklahoma State 72 - Creighton 75	0.582	Oklahoma State 65 - Creighton 79	11
Omaha 84 - Unranked 59		Omaha 78 - Unranked 59
Oregon State 75 - UC Davis 66	0.761	Oregon State 71 - UC Davis 59	-3
Rice 77 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.719	Rice 98 - Tennessee Martin 78	-12
Sacred Heart 67 - New Hampshire 68	0.514	Sacred Heart 84 - New Hampshire 90	5
Samford 74 - UL Lafayette 73	0.515	Samford 88 - UL Lafayette 65	-22
Texas 76 - Texas State 61	0.888	Texas 77 - Texas State 58	-4
Texas San Antonio 74 - Lamar 67	0.687	Texas San Antonio 86 - Lamar 83	4
UCLA 80 - UC Riverside 59	0.925	UCLA 66 - UC Riverside 65	20
UMKC 71 - SE Missouri State 66	0.671	UMKC 74 - SE Missouri State 44	-25
Utah 75 - Hawaii 67	0.724	Utah 79 - Hawaii 66	-5
Western Illinois 83 - Unranked 60		Western Illinois 92 - Unranked 40

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Southern Miss 61	0.917	Alabama Birmingham 82 - Southern Miss 85	22
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Arkansas State 72	0.529	Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Arkansas State 66	-12
Army 83 - Unranked 57		Army 74 - Unranked 39
Bethune Cookman 67 - Incarnate Word 63	0.625	Bethune Cookman 96 - Incarnate Word 82	-10
Boise State 68 - Saint Marys 70	0.544	Boise State 63 - Saint Marys 60	-5
Brigham Young 79 - Fresno State 64	0.853	Brigham Young 85 - Fresno State 56	-14
Brown 70 - Bryant 71	0.528	Brown 66 - Bryant 69	2
Cal State Fullerton 74 - North Dakota 65	0.767	Cal State Fullerton 64 - North Dakota 54	-1
Canisius 72 - Quinnipiac 70	0.56	Canisius 93 - Quinnipiac 73	-18
College of Charleston 66 - Liberty 73	0.725	College of Charleston 76 - Liberty 67	-16
DePaul 70 - Iowa State 77	0.667	DePaul 80 - Iowa State 99	12
Eastern Michigan 84 - Unranked 57		Eastern Michigan 68 - Unranked 53
Fairfield 64 - Iona 73	0.747	Fairfield 67 - Iona 78	2
Georgia 75 - Mercer 69	0.671	Georgia 80 - Mercer 69	-5
Indiana 73 - Maryland 71	0.565	Indiana 65 - Maryland 53	-10
Kansas 80 - Connecticut 71	0.746	Kansas 69 - Connecticut 65	5
Louisiana State 85 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.954	Louisiana State 73 - Southeast Louisiana 66	19
Manhattan 67 - Mt St Marys 63	0.626	Manhattan 75 - Mt St Marys 74	3
Niagara 63 - Saint Peters 68	0.618	Niagara 67 - Saint Peters 72	0
Northwestern 68 - Purdue 80	0.798	Northwestern 92 - Purdue 88	-16
Portland 69 - Wyoming 74	0.65	Portland 81 - Wyoming 70	-16
Queens 84 - Unranked 57		Queens 134 - Unranked 69
Siena 68 - Rider 67	0.515	Siena 67 - Rider 65	-1
South Carolina 79 - George Washington 68	0.76	South Carolina 89 - George Washington 67	-11
South Dakota State 73 - Towson 66	0.69	South Dakota State 61 - Towson 48	-6
Troy 72 - SIU Edwardsville 65	0.703	Troy 83 - SIU Edwardsville 60	-16
UC San Diego 59 - San Diego State 80	0.914	UC San Diego 62 - San Diego State 63	-20
UNC Asheville 86 - Unranked 57		UNC Asheville 97 - Unranked 51
UNC Greensboro 90 - Unranked 50		UNC Greensboro 88 - Unranked 56
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Norfolk State 59	0.881	Virginia Commonwealth 60 - Norfolk State 63	20
West Virginia 77 - Saint Johns 76	0.544	West Virginia 73 - Saint Johns 79	7
Western Michigan 69 - Saint Thomas 66	0.596	Western Michigan 51 - Saint Thomas 66	18
Xavier 68 - Houston 76	0.715	Xavier 60 - Houston 66	-2

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.55	Abilene Christian 74 - Stephen F Austin 79	6
Albany 67 - Dartmouth 65	0.546	Albany 73 - Dartmouth 68	-3
American 70 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.637	American 73 - Saint Francis Penn 75	7
Arizona 82 - Colgate 65	0.879	Arizona 82 - Colgate 55	-10
Ball State 71 - Bellarmine 67	0.6	Ball State 67 - Bellarmine 58	-5
Baylor 92 - Northwestern State 56	0.993	Baylor 91 - Northwestern State 40	-15
Belmont 77 - Valparaiso 66	0.771	Belmont 77 - Valparaiso 68	2
Boston College 73 - NC State 76	0.592	Boston College 78 - NC State 84	3
Bradley 76 - Indiana State 67	0.727	Bradley 77 - Indiana State 85	17
Buffalo 68 - Saint Bonaventure 74	0.668	Buffalo 65 - Saint Bonaventure 80	9
California 70 - Santa Clara 74	0.602	California 84 - Santa Clara 69	-19
Campbell 83 - Unranked 54		Campbell 87 - Unranked 56
Central Connecticut State 67 - Holy Cross 66	0.518	Central Connecticut State 78 - Holy Cross 67	-10
Central Florida 79 - Lipscomb 65	0.824	Central Florida 72 - Lipscomb 57	-1
Charleston Southern 69 - South Carolina State 67	0.561	Charleston Southern 66 - South Carolina State 64	0
Cleveland State 73 - Detroit 66	0.69	Cleveland State 69 - Detroit 58	-4
Coastal Carolina 70 - Winthrop 72	0.577	Coastal Carolina 87 - Winthrop 90	1
Davidson 75 - Wright State 68	0.685	Davidson 82 - Wright State 73	-2
Dayton 81 - Grambling State 55	0.96	Dayton 76 - Grambling State 46	-4
Denver 84 - Unranked 59		Denver 90 - Unranked 66
Drake 74 - Missouri State 71	0.576	Drake 74 - Missouri State 57	-14
Eastern Illinois 79 - Unranked 59		Eastern Illinois 112 - Unranked 50
Evansville 67 - Northern Iowa 75	0.697	Evansville 91 - Northern Iowa 89	-10
Florida Atlantic 75 - College of Charleston 68	0.679	Florida Atlantic 90 - College of Charleston 74	-9
Florida International 73 - LIU Brooklyn 70	0.597	Florida International 74 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-12
Gardner Webb 71 - Western Carolina 68	0.579	Gardner Webb 82 - Western Carolina 77	-2
Georgetown 72 - Texas Christian 78	0.686	Georgetown 83 - Texas Christian 84	-5
Georgia Southern 66 - Jacksonville 67	0.521	Georgia Southern 79 - Jacksonville 81	1
Georgia Tech 68 - Duke 81	0.821	Georgia Tech 72 - Duke 68	-17
Grand Canyon 75 - Texas Arlington 64	0.791	Grand Canyon 76 - Texas Arlington 69	4
Green Bay 70 - Milwaukee 67	0.577	Green Bay 70 - Milwaukee 58	-9
Idaho 68 - Cal Poly 67	0.53	Idaho 85 - Cal Poly 70	-14
Idaho State 68 - Lindenwood 67	0.503	Idaho State 76 - Lindenwood 70	-5
IUPUI 58 - Northern Kentucky 74	0.858	IUPUI 55 - Northern Kentucky 71	0
Kansas State 82 - North Alabama 61	0.94	Kansas State 75 - North Alabama 74	20
Kennesaw St 65 - Georgia State 76	0.809	Kennesaw St 88 - Georgia State 77	-22
Kentucky 83 - UNC Wilmington 62	0.914	Kentucky 73 - UNC Wilmington 80	28
Lafayette 67 - Cornell 73	0.685	Lafayette 71 - Cornell 79	2
Long Beach State 74 - Sacramento State 65	0.756	Long Beach State 83 - Sacramento State 73	-1
Louisiana Tech 76 - Nicholls State 63	0.846	Louisiana Tech 68 - Nicholls State 55	0
Loyola Ill 74 - Harvard 63	0.788	Loyola Ill 75 - Harvard 53	-11
Loyola MD 74 - Delaware State 60	0.846	Loyola MD 73 - Delaware State 79	20
Marshall 76 - Miami OH 69	0.693	Marshall 74 - Miami OH 79	12
Massachusetts 75 - South Florida 69	0.637	Massachusetts 66 - South Florida 56	-4
Mcneese State 72 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.588	Mcneese State 91 - Tennessee Martin 80	-8
Merrimack 65 - UMass Lowell 67	0.556	Merrimack 74 - UMass Lowell 68	-8
Miami 77 - Notre Dame 71	0.659	Miami 62 - Notre Dame 49	-7
Middle Tennessee 68 - Wofford 69	0.513	Middle Tennessee 64 - Wofford 74	9
Mississippi 69 - Memphis 75	0.669	Mississippi 80 - Memphis 77	-9
Montana 72 - San Jose State 66	0.657	Montana 75 - San Jose State 58	-11
Nevada 78 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.772	Nevada 73 - Loyola Marymount 59	-3
New Mexico 73 - New Mexico State 72	0.504	New Mexico 106 - New Mexico State 62	-43
NJ Tech 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.526	NJ Tech 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	4
North Carolina 80 - Florida State 73	0.682	North Carolina 78 - Florida State 70	-1
North Carolina AT 71 - The Citadel 72	0.555	North Carolina AT 68 - The Citadel 85	16
North Carolina Central 68 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.574	North Carolina Central 82 - South Carolina Upstate 85	5
North Florida 71 - High Point 68	0.571	North Florida 79 - High Point 86	10
North Texas 84 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.982	North Texas 79 - Mississippi Valley State 48	4
Northeastern 66 - Old Dominion 67	0.52	Northeastern 81 - Old Dominion 68	-14
Northern Arizona 66 - Pacific 69	0.602	Northern Arizona 78 - Pacific 58	-23
Northern Colorado 75 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.733	Northern Colorado 75 - Cal State Northridge 71	4
Oakland 72 - IPFW 68	0.618	Oakland 77 - IPFW 98	25
Ohio 72 - Delaware 67	0.645	Ohio 74 - Delaware 73	4
Oral Roberts 71 - Tulsa 72	0.501	Oral Roberts 79 - Tulsa 70	-10
Oregon 74 - Michigan 75	0.506	Oregon 86 - Michigan 83	-4
Penn State 82 - Bucknell 61	0.927	Penn State 67 - Bucknell 76	30
Pennsylvania 72 - La Salle 71	0.528	Pennsylvania 92 - La Salle 93	2
Princeton 72 - Furman 71	0.518	Princeton 70 - Furman 69	0
Providence 78 - Rhode Island 65	0.812	Providence 84 - Rhode Island 69	-2
Rice 80 - Houston Christian 67	0.846	Rice 65 - Houston Christian 56	4
Richmond 80 - William and Mary 61	0.899	Richmond 88 - William and Mary 69	0
Robert Morris 69 - Youngstown State 70	0.553	Robert Morris 57 - Youngstown State 71	13
Rutgers 71 - Illinois 73	0.556	Rutgers 58 - Illinois 76	16
Sacred Heart 68 - Boston 69	0.535	Sacred Heart 49 - Boston 70	20
Saint Josephs 70 - Temple 74	0.626	Saint Josephs 74 - Temple 65	-13
Seattle 72 - Southern Utah 69	0.591	Seattle 73 - Southern Utah 63	-7
Southern California 70 - Gonzaga 81	0.784	Southern California 76 - Gonzaga 89	2
Southern Illinois 67 - Saint Louis 71	0.598	Southern Illinois 101 - Saint Louis 60	-45
Southern Indiana 68 - Bowling Green 73	0.612	Southern Indiana 52 - Bowling Green 54	-3
Stonehill 69 - Binghamton 68	0.51	Stonehill 64 - Binghamton 79	16
Stony Brook 69 - Wagner 65	0.603	Stony Brook 59 - Wagner 60	5
Tarleton State 73 - Texas Pan American 64	0.725	Tarleton State 77 - Texas Pan American 75	7
Tennessee State 68 - Austin Peay 67	0.542	Tennessee State 69 - Austin Peay 65	-3
Toledo 73 - George Mason 69	0.61	Toledo 77 - George Mason 86	13
UMBC 74 - Lehigh 68	0.655	UMBC 92 - Lehigh 87	1
Utah State 74 - UC Irvine 65	0.723	Utah State 79 - UC Irvine 69	-1
Utah Tech 66 - Utah Valley 73	0.696	Utah Tech 65 - Utah Valley 53	-19
Vanderbilt 79 - Alabama AM 57	0.941	Vanderbilt 78 - Alabama AM 59	3
Vermont 73 - Yale 65	0.736	Vermont 66 - Yale 65	7
Villanova 80 - Drexel 58	0.944	Villanova 55 - Drexel 57	24
Virginia 74 - Syracuse 67	0.669	Virginia 84 - Syracuse 62	-15
Virginia Military Institute 73 - Presbyterian 68	0.672	Virginia Military Institute 71 - Presbyterian 75	9
Washington 72 - Colorado State 76	0.595	Washington 81 - Colorado State 86	1
Washington State 79 - Portland State 63	0.86	Washington State 71 - Portland State 61	6
Wisconsin 75 - Marquette 73	0.558	Wisconsin 75 - Marquette 64	-9

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 81 - Unranked 59		Alabama State 80 - Unranked 60
Appalachian State 65 - Auburn 79	0.845	Appalachian State 69 - Auburn 64	-19
Arizona State 73 - San Francisco 72	0.508	Arizona State 72 - San Francisco 61	-10
Cal State Fullerton 88 - Unranked 55		Cal State Fullerton 102 - Unranked 52
Canisius 65 - Saint Peters 68	0.578	Canisius 52 - Saint Peters 54	-1
Chicago State 63 - Stetson 74	0.776	Chicago State 77 - Stetson 54	-34
Cincinnati 81 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	0.908	Cincinnati 99 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	-17
Colorado 82 - Pepperdine 65	0.874	Colorado 91 - Pepperdine 66	-8
Fordham 67 - Tulane 73	0.683	Fordham 81 - Tulane 89	2
Hampton 84 - Unranked 60		Hampton 121 - Unranked 66
Hawaii 77 - Central Arkansas 61	0.881	Hawaii 95 - Central Arkansas 76	-3
Illinois State 66 - Murray State 73	0.668	Illinois State 76 - Murray State 72	-11
Jacksonville State 67 - East Tennessee State 68	0.542	Jacksonville State 59 - East Tennessee State 61	1
James Madison 92 - Unranked 55		James Madison 130 - Unranked 59
Maine 64 - Brown 70	0.671	Maine 60 - Brown 49	-17
Marist 68 - Manhattan 65	0.578	Marist 70 - Manhattan 56	-11
Mississippi State 81 - Southern 57	0.935	Mississippi State 59 - Southern 60	25
Missouri 70 - Wichita State 72	0.567	Missouri 82 - Wichita State 72	-12
Morehead State 66 - Chattanooga 68	0.581	Morehead State 87 - Chattanooga 80	-9
Morgan State 64 - Longwood 72	0.714	Morgan State 54 - Longwood 88	26
Mt St Marys 63 - Siena 64	0.516	Mt St Marys 80 - Siena 48	-33
Navy 71 - Coppin State 58	0.829	Navy 75 - Coppin State 52	-10
Nebraska 72 - Creighton 80	0.704	Nebraska 60 - Creighton 89	21
New Hampshire 72 - Columbia 65	0.697	New Hampshire 80 - Columbia 71	-2
Niagara 70 - Quinnipiac 69	0.509	Niagara 68 - Quinnipiac 75	8
Ohio State 80 - Minnesota 66	0.822	Ohio State 84 - Minnesota 74	4
Pittsburgh 70 - Clemson 73	0.599	Pittsburgh 70 - Clemson 79	6
Portland 71 - Air Force 68	0.575	Portland 58 - Air Force 80	25
Radford 69 - Elon 64	0.638	Radford 82 - Elon 72	-5
Rider 70 - Fairfield 65	0.673	Rider 81 - Fairfield 88	12
Sam Houston State 75 - Lamar 61	0.861	Sam Houston State 90 - Lamar 70	-6
Samford 90 - Unranked 57		Samford 128 - Unranked 82
SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 59		SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 56
Southern Methodist 80 - Texas AM Commerce 60	0.897	Southern Methodist 90 - Texas AM Commerce 47	-23
Stanford 76 - San Diego 66	0.766	Stanford 88 - San Diego 64	-14
Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 108 - Unranked 82
UC Riverside 72 - North Dakota 63	0.753	UC Riverside 68 - North Dakota 62	3
Virginia Tech 77 - Louisville 68	0.721	Virginia Tech 75 - Louisville 68	2
Western Illinois 67 - South Dakota 73	0.664	Western Illinois 68 - South Dakota 70	-4
Western Kentucky 78 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.813	Western Kentucky 79 - Eastern Kentucky 69	2

Number of DI Games: 294
Number Correct: 201 = 68.3%
Expected Number Correct: 205.565 = 69.9%
Average Error: 10.62
Average Signed Error: -1.79

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 93 - Arkansas State 62	0.959	Alabama 89 - Arkansas State 65	7
Arkansas 82 - Furman 72	0.77	Arkansas 97 - Furman 83	-4
Bellarmine 85 - Unranked 57		Bellarmine 88 - Unranked 54
Coastal Carolina 87 - Unranked 61		Coastal Carolina 110 - Unranked 46
East Carolina 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.831	East Carolina 63 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	2
Georgia State 90 - Unranked 56		Georgia State 89 - Unranked 57
North Dakota State 71 - San Jose State 72	0.527	North Dakota State 83 - San Jose State 78	-6
Oregon State 78 - Cal Poly 62	0.849	Oregon State 70 - Cal Poly 63	9
Purdue 85 - Iowa 73	0.79	Purdue 87 - Iowa 68	-7
Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 55		Texas El Paso 90 - Unranked 62

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 68 - Bradley 73	0.654	Akron 67 - Bradley 52	-20
Albany 89 - Unranked 58		Albany 98 - Unranked 59
Appalachian State 94 - Unranked 51		Appalachian State 111 - Unranked 35
Army 66 - Le Moyne 68	0.552	Army 68 - Le Moyne 51	-19
Austin Peay 81 - Unranked 58		Austin Peay 98 - Unranked 44
Baylor 82 - Seton Hall 68	0.875	Baylor 78 - Seton Hall 60	-4
Boise State 71 - North Texas 68	0.603	Boise State 69 - North Texas 64	-2
Boston College 81 - Central Connecticut State 60	0.936	Boston College 82 - Central Connecticut State 68	7
Brigham Young 86 - Evansville 64	0.919	Brigham Young 96 - Evansville 55	-19
Butler 89 - Buffalo 60	0.96	Butler 72 - Buffalo 59	16
Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 58		Cal State Bakersfield 106 - Unranked 58
Charlotte 75 - Stetson 62	0.79	Charlotte 85 - Stetson 62	-10
Columbia 73 - Lafayette 62	0.819	Columbia 83 - Lafayette 72	0
Delaware State 83 - Unranked 61		Delaware State 105 - Unranked 58
Florida 80 - Merrimack 64	0.875	Florida 77 - Merrimack 57	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 86 - Unranked 59		Florida Gulf Coast 87 - Unranked 54
Fresno State 72 - Idaho State 65	0.741	Fresno State 79 - Idaho State 67	-5
George Washington 78 - Navy 62	0.851	George Washington 79 - Navy 77	14
Georgia 72 - Georgia Tech 71	0.511	Georgia 76 - Georgia Tech 62	-13
Gonzaga 97 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.996	Gonzaga 111 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	-1
Grand Canyon 70 - San Diego State 77	0.699	Grand Canyon 79 - San Diego State 73	-13
High Point 72 - Western Carolina 74	0.565	High Point 97 - Western Carolina 71	-28
Idaho 71 - Pacific 68	0.577	Idaho 83 - Pacific 53	-27
Illinois 74 - Florida Atlantic 76	0.552	Illinois 98 - Florida Atlantic 89	-11
Kansas 86 - UMKC 57	0.954	Kansas 88 - UMKC 69	10
Kansas State 72 - Villanova 74	0.529	Kansas State 72 - Villanova 71	-3
Kennesaw St 76 - UNC Asheville 74	0.547	Kennesaw St 79 - UNC Asheville 76	-1
Liberty 86 - Mississippi Valley State 50	0.976	Liberty 74 - Mississippi Valley State 39	1
Mcneese State 92 - Unranked 53		Mcneese State 92 - Unranked 23
Michigan 75 - Indiana 73	0.559	Michigan 75 - Indiana 78	5
Michigan State 69 - Wisconsin 70	0.512	Michigan State 57 - Wisconsin 70	12
Middle Tennessee 63 - Missouri State 72	0.742	Middle Tennessee 77 - Missouri State 73	-13
Mississippi 80 - Mt St Marys 57	0.936	Mississippi 77 - Mt St Marys 68	14
Montana 90 - Unranked 55		Montana 91 - Unranked 67
New Orleans 85 - Unranked 63		New Orleans 79 - Unranked 65
North Carolina 77 - Connecticut 78	0.524	North Carolina 76 - Connecticut 87	10
North Florida 86 - Unranked 61		North Florida 99 - Unranked 47
Northern Illinois 73 - Indiana State 81	0.68	Northern Illinois 67 - Indiana State 90	15
Notre Dame 73 - Western Michigan 62	0.836	Notre Dame 86 - Western Michigan 65	-10
Oklahoma 74 - Providence 72	0.58	Oklahoma 72 - Providence 51	-19
Princeton 73 - Drexel 60	0.862	Princeton 81 - Drexel 70	2
Saint Marys 76 - Cleveland State 64	0.741	Saint Marys 70 - Cleveland State 57	-1
South Dakota State 72 - Kent State 73	0.538	South Dakota State 73 - Kent State 82	8
Southern Illinois 72 - Oklahoma State 67	0.625	Southern Illinois 70 - Oklahoma State 68	3
Stephen F Austin 70 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.524	Stephen F Austin 49 - Louisiana Tech 56	6
Syracuse 80 - Cornell 75	0.651	Syracuse 81 - Cornell 70	-6
Tarleton State 90 - Unranked 54		Tarleton State 92 - Unranked 56
Tennessee 77 - George Mason 66	0.807	Tennessee 87 - George Mason 66	-10
The Citadel 87 - Unranked 56		The Citadel 88 - Unranked 60
Tulsa 66 - Loyola Ill 72	0.675	Tulsa 88 - Loyola Ill 77	-17
UC San Diego 89 - Unranked 56		UC San Diego 98 - Unranked 67
UL Monroe 86 - Unranked 58		UL Monroe 110 - Unranked 63
UMass Lowell 93 - Unranked 54		UMass Lowell 117 - Unranked 69
Utah 86 - Southern Utah 66	0.932	Utah 88 - Southern Utah 86	18
Utah Valley 68 - Weber State 69	0.513	Utah Valley 70 - Weber State 54	-17
Virginia 82 - North Carolina Central 54	0.959	Virginia 77 - North Carolina Central 47	-2
Washington 81 - Montana State 66	0.92	Washington 85 - Montana State 61	-9
Winthrop 75 - Queens 68	0.734	Winthrop 88 - Queens 82	1
Wyoming 90 - Unranked 55		Wyoming 80 - Unranked 59
Xavier 79 - Delaware 66	0.876	Xavier 80 - Delaware 87	20

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Northern Arizona 66	0.682	Abilene Christian 76 - Northern Arizona 78	9
Arizona State 73 - Southern Methodist 70	0.598	Arizona State 76 - Southern Methodist 74	1
Belmont 78 - Lipscomb 72	0.641	Belmont 72 - Lipscomb 71	5
Boston 66 - Maine 64	0.532	Boston 65 - Maine 74	11
Cal Baptist 75 - Utah Tech 67	0.706	Cal Baptist 69 - Utah Tech 72	11
Canisius 76 - Robert Morris 66	0.776	Canisius 87 - Robert Morris 80	3
Central Florida 79 - Jacksonville 64	0.834	Central Florida 94 - Jacksonville 52	-27
Central Michigan 68 - Valparaiso 72	0.609	Central Michigan 71 - Valparaiso 67	-8
Clemson 78 - South Carolina 69	0.713	Clemson 72 - South Carolina 67	4
Colgate 91 - Unranked 53		Colgate 115 - Unranked 37
Colorado State 90 - Denver 63	0.953	Colorado State 90 - Denver 80	17
Coppin State 59 - Wagner 69	0.749	Coppin State 59 - Wagner 62	-7
Dartmouth 65 - New Hampshire 74	0.762	Dartmouth 76 - New Hampshire 64	-21
Davidson 78 - Campbell 59	0.883	Davidson 62 - Campbell 50	7
Detroit 65 - Ball State 71	0.648	Detroit 65 - Ball State 68	-3
Drake 82 - Saint Louis 68	0.776	Drake 75 - Saint Louis 69	8
Fordham 79 - NJ Tech 58	0.917	Fordham 77 - NJ Tech 80	24
Gardner Webb 76 - Wofford 71	0.666	Gardner Webb 66 - Wofford 81	20
Houston 87 - Rice 55	0.979	Houston 75 - Rice 39	-4
Houston Christian 82 - Unranked 65		Houston Christian 95 - Unranked 58
Illinois State 69 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.529	Illinois State 62 - Northern Kentucky 59	-2
Iona 68 - Hofstra 76	0.712	Iona 57 - Hofstra 62	-3
La Salle 82 - Loyola MD 64	0.929	La Salle 62 - Loyola MD 61	17
Long Beach State 93 - Unranked 57		Long Beach State 88 - Unranked 66
Marquette 78 - Texas 71	0.732	Marquette 86 - Texas 65	-14
Marshall 70 - Duquesne 79	0.746	Marshall 72 - Duquesne 85	4
Maryland 72 - Penn State 71	0.528	Maryland 81 - Penn State 75	-5
Mercer 70 - South Alabama 68	0.562	Mercer 62 - South Alabama 83	23
Miami 89 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0.96	Miami 97 - LIU Brooklyn 49	-17
Minnesota 71 - Nebraska 75	0.607	Minnesota 76 - Nebraska 65	-15
Morgan State 72 - UMBC 76	0.604	Morgan State 92 - UMBC 80	-16
NC State 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.938	NC State 93 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	-7
Nevada 85 - UC Davis 60	0.95	Nevada 80 - UC Davis 68	13
New Mexico 82 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.816	New Mexico 84 - UC Santa Barbara 61	-10
Niagara 61 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.906	Niagara 60 - Saint Bonaventure 94	18
Northeastern 67 - Vermont 74	0.749	Northeastern 71 - Vermont 73	-5
Northern Iowa 70 - Richmond 75	0.629	Northern Iowa 78 - Richmond 73	-10
Oakland 75 - Toledo 74	0.523	Oakland 68 - Toledo 69	2
Ohio 76 - Youngstown State 72	0.6	Ohio 72 - Youngstown State 78	10
Ohio State 85 - Miami OH 60	0.939	Ohio State 84 - Miami OH 64	5
Pennsylvania 93 - Unranked 57		Pennsylvania 111 - Unranked 57
Pepperdine 72 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.56	Pepperdine 55 - Cal State Fullerton 60	7
Portland State 91 - Unranked 54		Portland State 104 - Unranked 60
Presbyterian 72 - Florida AM 65	0.695	Presbyterian 60 - Florida AM 65	12
Rhode Island 78 - Brown 66	0.876	Rhode Island 64 - Brown 67	15
Saint Johns 87 - Sacred Heart 63	0.936	Saint Johns 85 - Sacred Heart 50	-11
Saint Josephs 80 - American 60	0.902	Saint Josephs 69 - American 53	4
Saint Thomas 75 - Milwaukee 65	0.772	Saint Thomas 75 - Milwaukee 71	6
SE Missouri State 81 - Unranked 62		SE Missouri State 95 - Unranked 45
Siena 59 - Bryant 77	0.826	Siena 51 - Bryant 67	-2
SIU Edwardsville 67 - Green Bay 66	0.506	SIU Edwardsville 78 - Green Bay 69	-8
Southern Indiana 64 - IPFW 80	0.866	Southern Indiana 57 - IPFW 70	-3
Stony Brook 75 - Stonehill 66	0.759	Stony Brook 81 - Stonehill 63	-9
Temple 95 - Unranked 56		Temple 85 - Unranked 55
Texas AM 85 - DePaul 64	0.959	Texas AM 89 - DePaul 64	-4
Texas AM CC 75 - Texas Pan American 68	0.688	Texas AM CC 74 - Texas Pan American 76	9
Texas Arlington 91 - Unranked 56		Texas Arlington 74 - Unranked 37
Texas Tech 82 - Omaha 60	0.951	Texas Tech 87 - Omaha 58	-7
Towson 64 - Massachusetts 73	0.765	Towson 81 - Massachusetts 71	-19
Utah State 81 - San Diego 61	0.916	Utah State 108 - San Diego 81	-7
Vanderbilt 67 - San Francisco 75	0.727	Vanderbilt 60 - San Francisco 73	5
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Memphis 73	0.57	Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Memphis 85	3
Wake Forest 70 - Rutgers 73	0.612	Wake Forest 76 - Rutgers 57	-22
Washington State 79 - UC Riverside 62	0.891	Washington State 86 - UC Riverside 49	-20
West Virginia 70 - Pittsburgh 73	0.573	West Virginia 63 - Pittsburgh 80	14
Western Illinois 85 - Unranked 61		Western Illinois 80 - Unranked 58
William and Mary 67 - Old Dominion 75	0.683	William and Mary 84 - Old Dominion 79	-13
Yale 82 - Fairfield 64	0.939	Yale 71 - Fairfield 75	22

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bellarmine 85 - Unranked 57		Bellarmine 98 - Unranked 59
Cal State Northridge 86 - Unranked 59		Cal State Northridge 92 - Unranked 54
Central Arkansas 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 80	0.858	Central Arkansas 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	-18
Delaware State 83 - Unranked 61		Delaware State 106 - Unranked 73
Eastern Illinois 72 - IUPUI 63	0.727	Eastern Illinois 75 - IUPUI 58	-8
Iowa State 79 - Iowa 75	0.583	Iowa State 90 - Iowa 65	-21
North Alabama 88 - Unranked 58		North Alabama 109 - Unranked 65
North Dakota State 75 - Portland 74	0.511	North Dakota State 78 - Portland 67	-10
UNC Greensboro 80 - Eastern Kentucky 61	0.933	UNC Greensboro 87 - Eastern Kentucky 85	17
Wright State 95 - Unranked 57		Wright State 81 - Unranked 62

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 84 - Holy Cross 56	0.962	Boston College 95 - Holy Cross 64	-3
Duquesne 75 - Saint Peters 61	0.861	Duquesne 68 - Saint Peters 59	5
Eastern Michigan 66 - Oakland 76	0.755	Eastern Michigan 63 - Oakland 77	4
Harvard 79 - Army 56	0.911	Harvard 70 - Army 64	17
High Point 84 - North Carolina AT 67	0.91	High Point 75 - North Carolina AT 62	4
Jacksonville State 60 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.77	Jacksonville State 49 - Illinois Chicago 55	-4
Manhattan 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.672	Manhattan 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 76	10
Quinnipiac 71 - Navy 66	0.649	Quinnipiac 71 - Navy 68	2
Rider 73 - Stonehill 70	0.593	Rider 73 - Stonehill 56	-14
Yale 94 - Unranked 55		Yale 95 - Unranked 36

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Eastern Washington 68	0.7	Air Force 68 - Eastern Washington 73	12
Alabama 79 - Purdue 83	0.597	Alabama 86 - Purdue 92	2
Arizona 80 - Wisconsin 70	0.746	Arizona 98 - Wisconsin 73	-15
Arkansas State 68 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.757	Arkansas State 87 - Alabama Birmingham 68	-29
Auburn 75 - Indiana 70	0.646	Auburn 104 - Indiana 76	-23
Austin Peay 64 - Murray State 74	0.82	Austin Peay 53 - Murray State 49	-14
Binghamton 74 - Le Moyne 66	0.675	Binghamton 91 - Le Moyne 79	-4
Boise State 96 - Unranked 51		Boise State 109 - Unranked 70
Buffalo 66 - Western Kentucky 76	0.787	Buffalo 65 - Western Kentucky 82	7
Butler 83 - California 67	0.858	Butler 97 - California 90	9
Clemson 79 - Texas Christian 72	0.697	Clemson 74 - Texas Christian 66	-1
Coastal Carolina 73 - Wofford 77	0.646	Coastal Carolina 80 - Wofford 88	4
Colorado State 80 - Saint Marys 67	0.75	Colorado State 61 - Saint Marys 64	16
Connecticut 95 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.996	Connecticut 101 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	0
Creighton 90 - Central Michigan 56	0.977	Creighton 109 - Central Michigan 64	-11
Dartmouth 62 - Marist 69	0.669	Dartmouth 53 - Marist 63	3
Davidson 79 - Miami OH 65	0.803	Davidson 79 - Miami OH 61	-4
Dayton 81 - Troy 63	0.94	Dayton 82 - Troy 70	6
Delaware State 62 - Longwood 75	0.867	Delaware State 61 - Longwood 62	-12
DePaul 75 - Louisville 73	0.548	DePaul 75 - Louisville 68	-5
Duke 76 - Charlotte 65	0.807	Duke 80 - Charlotte 56	-13
East Carolina 66 - South Carolina 78	0.785	East Carolina 62 - South Carolina 68	-6
Florida 77 - Richmond 72	0.625	Florida 87 - Richmond 76	-6
Florida AM 83 - Unranked 60		Florida AM 108 - Unranked 78
Fresno State 74 - Pacific 64	0.76	Fresno State 89 - Pacific 56	-23
Furman 95 - Unranked 56		Furman 100 - Unranked 58
George Washington 85 - Coppin State 57	0.941	George Washington 76 - Coppin State 45	-3
Georgetown 72 - Syracuse 78	0.672	Georgetown 68 - Syracuse 80	6
Georgia Tech 84 - Alabama AM 59	0.942	Georgia Tech 70 - Alabama AM 49	4
Green Bay 72 - Western Illinois 65	0.71	Green Bay 59 - Western Illinois 68	16
Houston 88 - Jackson State 51	0.99	Houston 89 - Jackson State 55	3
Illinois State 69 - Norfolk State 67	0.565	Illinois State 58 - Norfolk State 64	8
Incarnate Word 65 - Northern Arizona 72	0.693	Incarnate Word 75 - Northern Arizona 76	-6
Indiana State 86 - Southern Indiana 58	0.955	Indiana State 98 - Southern Indiana 54	-16
IPFW 84 - SE Missouri State 61	0.937	IPFW 89 - SE Missouri State 80	14
Kansas 79 - Missouri 65	0.813	Kansas 73 - Missouri 64	5
Kent State 76 - Cleveland State 68	0.714	Kent State 83 - Cleveland State 77	2
Lafayette 66 - La Salle 77	0.847	Lafayette 51 - La Salle 67	5
Lehigh 86 - Unranked 61		Lehigh 88 - Unranked 33
Liberty 76 - Grand Canyon 70	0.647	Liberty 64 - Grand Canyon 69	11
Lindenwood 68 - UMKC 71	0.591	Lindenwood 67 - UMKC 72	2
Louisiana State 73 - Kansas State 77	0.599	Louisiana State 60 - Kansas State 75	11
Louisiana Tech 75 - UL Lafayette 65	0.792	Louisiana Tech 72 - UL Lafayette 67	5
Loyola Ill 93 - Unranked 51		Loyola Ill 115 - Unranked 64
Loyola MD 66 - Mt St Marys 69	0.611	Loyola MD 64 - Mt St Marys 77	10
Maine 69 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.688	Maine 69 - Central Connecticut State 56	-6
Marquette 82 - Notre Dame 62	0.946	Marquette 78 - Notre Dame 59	1
Massachusetts 76 - UMass Lowell 70	0.659	Massachusetts 91 - UMass Lowell 77	-8
Mercer 69 - Georgia State 71	0.571	Mercer 64 - Georgia State 60	-6
Merrimack 86 - Unranked 54		Merrimack 89 - Unranked 85
Middle Tennessee 69 - Belmont 74	0.631	Middle Tennessee 65 - Belmont 75	5
Minnesota 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	0.872	Minnesota 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 57	-6
Mississippi State 75 - Tulane 72	0.593	Mississippi State 106 - Tulane 76	-27
Missouri State 76 - Sam Houston State 67	0.779	Missouri State 69 - Sam Houston State 60	0
Monmouth 73 - Northern Illinois 76	0.582	Monmouth 74 - Northern Illinois 71	-6
Montana 90 - Unranked 55		Montana 88 - Unranked 67
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 64		Morgan State 120 - Unranked 50
Nevada 76 - Drake 73	0.573	Nevada 53 - Drake 72	22
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.551	Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Loyola Marymount 78	5
New Mexico 80 - Santa Clara 72	0.685	New Mexico 93 - Santa Clara 76	-9
Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 59		Nicholls State 84 - Unranked 70
North Dakota 71 - Portland 73	0.575	North Dakota 72 - Portland 83	9
North Florida 75 - Georgia Southern 69	0.688	North Florida 64 - Georgia Southern 56	-2
Northern Kentucky 68 - Akron 69	0.532	Northern Kentucky 76 - Akron 77	0
Ohio 80 - Marshall 70	0.768	Ohio 69 - Marshall 74	15
Oklahoma 77 - Arkansas 74	0.603	Oklahoma 79 - Arkansas 70	-6
Old Dominion 68 - James Madison 80	0.797	Old Dominion 69 - James Madison 84	3
Oral Roberts 93 - Unranked 56		Oral Roberts 110 - Unranked 51
Oregon 81 - Texas El Paso 64	0.882	Oregon 71 - Texas El Paso 49	-5
Oregon State 70 - Utah Valley 68	0.569	Oregon State 74 - Utah Valley 71	-1
Penn State 69 - Ohio State 80	0.75	Penn State 83 - Ohio State 80	-14
Pennsylvania 71 - Kentucky 84	0.793	Pennsylvania 66 - Kentucky 81	2
Pepperdine 74 - UC San Diego 72	0.564	Pepperdine 68 - UC San Diego 62	-4
Pittsburgh 79 - Canisius 65	0.792	Pittsburgh 82 - Canisius 71	3
Portland State 91 - Unranked 54		Portland State 83 - Unranked 77
Queens 88 - Unranked 58		Queens 112 - Unranked 64
Radford 73 - North Carolina Central 64	0.799	Radford 82 - North Carolina Central 74	1
Sacramento State 66 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.682	Sacramento State 60 - Cal State Fullerton 62	-4
Sacred Heart 73 - Fairfield 69	0.622	Sacred Heart 57 - Fairfield 67	14
Saint Bonaventure 80 - Siena 52	0.946	Saint Bonaventure 89 - Siena 56	-5
Saint Louis 72 - Hofstra 77	0.633	Saint Louis 71 - Hofstra 68	-8
San Diego 63 - Arizona State 76	0.82	San Diego 89 - Arizona State 84	-18
San Diego State 77 - UC Irvine 65	0.805	San Diego State 63 - UC Irvine 62	11
San Jose State 78 - New Orleans 64	0.796	San Jose State 87 - New Orleans 82	9
Seattle 92 - Unranked 53		Seattle 101 - Unranked 46
Seton Hall 68 - Rutgers 69	0.517	Seton Hall 63 - Rutgers 70	6
South Alabama 87 - Unranked 57		South Alabama 91 - Unranked 74
South Carolina State 70 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.539	South Carolina State 71 - Bethune Cookman 80	11
South Carolina Upstate 71 - Kennesaw St 74	0.589	South Carolina Upstate 77 - Kennesaw St 84	4
South Dakota 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.653	South Dakota 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 73	0
South Florida 64 - Florida State 77	0.778	South Florida 88 - Florida State 72	-29
Southern 76 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.67	Southern 69 - Southeast Louisiana 44	-18
Southern Miss 77 - Northwestern State 66	0.814	Southern Miss 83 - Northwestern State 74	2
Southern Utah 74 - Idaho State 69	0.691	Southern Utah 82 - Idaho State 74	-3
Stony Brook 68 - Bryant 74	0.666	Stony Brook 86 - Bryant 75	-17
Tennessee 74 - Illinois 72	0.581	Tennessee 86 - Illinois 79	-5
Texas 89 - Houston Christian 55	0.996	Texas 77 - Houston Christian 50	7
Texas AM CC 73 - Omaha 69	0.606	Texas AM CC 62 - Omaha 58	0
Toledo 79 - Northern Iowa 71	0.714	Toledo 84 - Northern Iowa 80	4
UC Davis 76 - Milwaukee 68	0.727	UC Davis 79 - Milwaukee 81	10
UC Santa Barbara 92 - Unranked 55		UC Santa Barbara 126 - Unranked 76
UMBC 68 - Towson 73	0.631	UMBC 73 - Towson 89	11
Utah 74 - Brigham Young 79	0.649	Utah 73 - Brigham Young 69	-9
Utah State 99 - Unranked 49		Utah State 84 - Unranked 53
Utah Tech 75 - Idaho 66	0.72	Utah Tech 62 - Idaho 63	10
Vermont 72 - Colgate 66	0.701	Vermont 71 - Colgate 77	12
Villanova 71 - UCLA 68	0.583	Villanova 65 - UCLA 56	-6
Virginia Military Institute 70 - American 71	0.552	Virginia Military Institute 69 - American 77	7
Virginia Tech 80 - Valparaiso 63	0.864	Virginia Tech 71 - Valparaiso 50	-4
Wake Forest 85 - NJ Tech 60	0.95	Wake Forest 83 - NJ Tech 59	1
Washington 75 - Gonzaga 82	0.717	Washington 78 - Gonzaga 73	-12
Weber State 78 - Cal Poly 61	0.875	Weber State 78 - Cal Poly 50	-11
West Virginia 68 - Drexel 65	0.612	West Virginia 66 - Drexel 60	-3
Western Carolina 77 - UNC Asheville 69	0.74	Western Carolina 78 - UNC Asheville 63	-7
Western Michigan 66 - Youngstown State 75	0.723	Western Michigan 68 - Youngstown State 72	-5
Wichita State 76 - South Dakota State 67	0.769	Wichita State 69 - South Dakota State 79	19
Wyoming 71 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.577	Wyoming 78 - Stephen F Austin 70	-11
Xavier 75 - Cincinnati 78	0.563	Xavier 84 - Cincinnati 79	-8

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 90 - Unranked 56		Abilene Christian 120 - Unranked 69
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Winthrop 74	0.515	Arkansas Little Rock 68 - Winthrop 85	16
Ball State 71 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.661	Ball State 83 - SIU Edwardsville 71	-5
Bowling Green 88 - Unranked 56		Bowling Green 97 - Unranked 49
Central Florida 72 - Mississippi 71	0.515	Central Florida 68 - Mississippi 70	3
Chattanooga 89 - Unranked 56		Chattanooga 112 - Unranked 51
Chicago State 63 - Saint Thomas 71	0.682	Chicago State 50 - Saint Thomas 66	8
College of Charleston 76 - Rhode Island 71	0.668	College of Charleston 85 - Rhode Island 70	-10
East Tennessee State 74 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.815	East Tennessee State 73 - Tennessee Tech 72	10
Eastern Illinois 74 - Central Arkansas 65	0.752	Eastern Illinois 70 - Central Arkansas 73	12
Eastern Kentucky 85 - Unranked 59		Eastern Kentucky 121 - Unranked 56
Fordham 65 - North Texas 69	0.631	Fordham 60 - North Texas 59	-5
Hawaii 92 - Unranked 53		Hawaii 78 - Unranked 53
Iona 76 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0.885	Iona 61 - Saint Francis Penn 54	8
Iowa 81 - Michigan 75	0.641	Iowa 80 - Michigan 90	16
Iowa State 82 - Prairie View 63	0.889	Iowa State 107 - Prairie View 56	-32
Lipscomb 77 - Tennessee State 68	0.726	Lipscomb 78 - Tennessee State 71	2
Miami 77 - Colorado 75	0.568	Miami 63 - Colorado 90	29
Nebraska 71 - Michigan State 73	0.585	Nebraska 77 - Michigan State 70	-9
Niagara 84 - Unranked 61		Niagara 113 - Unranked 64
North Alabama 69 - Morehead State 72	0.609	North Alabama 77 - Morehead State 86	6
North Dakota State 89 - Unranked 59		North Dakota State 108 - Unranked 14
Northwestern 84 - Detroit 57	0.95	Northwestern 91 - Detroit 59	-5
Oklahoma State 74 - Tulsa 67	0.725	Oklahoma State 72 - Tulsa 57	-8
Providence 84 - Brown 60	0.954	Providence 74 - Brown 54	4
Saint Johns 79 - Boston College 73	0.689	Saint Johns 80 - Boston College 86	12
Saint Josephs 67 - Princeton 73	0.647	Saint Josephs 74 - Princeton 70	-10
Southern California 82 - Long Beach State 69	0.844	Southern California 79 - Long Beach State 84	18
Stetson 88 - Unranked 57		Stetson 123 - Unranked 43
Temple 78 - Albany 70	0.759	Temple 78 - Albany 73	3
Tennessee Martin 91 - Unranked 63		Tennessee Martin 110 - Unranked 52
Texas AM 78 - Memphis 72	0.686	Texas AM 75 - Memphis 81	12
Texas San Antonio 87 - Unranked 62		Texas San Antonio 93 - Unranked 60
UNC Greensboro 81 - Elon 63	0.929	UNC Greensboro 82 - Elon 73	9
UNC Wilmington 92 - Unranked 52		UNC Wilmington 119 - Unranked 50
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Alcorn State 60	0.941	Virginia Commonwealth 86 - Alcorn State 58	-6
Wagner 65 - Boston 64	0.514	Wagner 59 - Boston 73	15
Washington State 86 - Grambling State 54	0.967	Washington State 83 - Grambling State 65	14
William and Mary 86 - Unranked 62		William and Mary 99 - Unranked 50

Number of DI Games: 252
Number Correct: 179 = 71%
Expected Number Correct: 185.518 = 73.6%
Average Error: 9.33
Average Signed Error: -0.53

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal State Northridge 68 - Utah Tech 72	0.617	Cal State Northridge 80 - Utah Tech 75	-9
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Columbia 77	0.675	Fairleigh Dickinson 83 - Columbia 87	-2
Gardner Webb 88 - Unranked 56		Gardner Webb 79 - Unranked 60
Gonzaga 93 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.997	Gonzaga 78 - Mississippi Valley State 40	6
Hampton 84 - Unranked 63		Hampton 100 - Unranked 53
Longwood 90 - Unranked 51		Longwood 92 - Unranked 61
New Hampshire 80 - Stonehill 62	0.892	New Hampshire 75 - Stonehill 62	5
Pennsylvania 78 - Howard 73	0.65	Pennsylvania 78 - Howard 68	-5
Quinnipiac 71 - Yale 75	0.619	Quinnipiac 66 - Yale 73	3
Robert Morris 66 - Delaware 77	0.798	Robert Morris 69 - Delaware 73	-7
Samford 84 - Alabama AM 62	0.912	Samford 118 - Alabama AM 91	-5
San Francisco 85 - New Orleans 59	0.958	San Francisco 85 - New Orleans 72	13
South Carolina State 67 - Jacksonville 75	0.703	South Carolina State 86 - Jacksonville 85	-9
Texas AM Commerce 69 - Northern Colorado 70	0.52	Texas AM Commerce 101 - Northern Colorado 99	-3
Texas State 86 - Unranked 53		Texas State 107 - Unranked 58

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 86 - Northwestern State 58	0.986	Boise State 95 - Northwestern State 54	-13
Campbell 82 - Unranked 56		Campbell 88 - Unranked 59
Cincinnati 85 - Bryant 64	0.877	Cincinnati 85 - Bryant 53	-11
Duke 79 - Hofstra 68	0.763	Duke 89 - Hofstra 68	-10
George Washington 96 - Unranked 55		George Washington 88 - Unranked 73
Georgetown 80 - Coppin State 59	0.923	Georgetown 71 - Coppin State 54	4
Illinois Chicago 74 - Green Bay 57	0.881	Illinois Chicago 68 - Green Bay 70	19
Lindenwood 84 - Unranked 61		Lindenwood 81 - Unranked 64
Louisiana Tech 81 - Southeast Louisiana 56	0.951	Louisiana Tech 89 - Southeast Louisiana 60	-4
Maryland 82 - Alcorn State 62	0.94	Maryland 105 - Alcorn State 65	-20
Minnesota 84 - IUPUI 54	0.965	Minnesota 101 - IUPUI 65	-6
NC State 88 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.907	NC State 81 - Tennessee Martin 67	7
New Mexico State 87 - Unranked 61		New Mexico State 76 - Unranked 71
North Carolina AT 69 - North Carolina Central 75	0.695	North Carolina AT 62 - North Carolina Central 67	-1
North Dakota 85 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 87 - Unranked 36
Northern Iowa 76 - Prairie View 69	0.672	Northern Iowa 74 - Prairie View 55	-12
Oregon 80 - Cal Baptist 67	0.826	Oregon 76 - Cal Baptist 55	-8
Radford 78 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.95	Radford 73 - Virginia Military Institute 56	1
Saint Peters 76 - UMBC 65	0.763	Saint Peters 66 - UMBC 60	5
Sam Houston State 75 - UL Monroe 66	0.77	Sam Houston State 63 - UL Monroe 62	8
Seton Hall 76 - Monmouth 67	0.766	Seton Hall 70 - Monmouth 61	0
South Florida 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.824	South Florida 104 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 86	-2
Southern Illinois 77 - Austin Peay 55	0.912	Southern Illinois 68 - Austin Peay 70	24
Tarleton State 90 - Unranked 53		Tarleton State 85 - Unranked 47
Tennessee 92 - Georgia Southern 53	0.997	Tennessee 74 - Georgia Southern 56	21
Tennessee Tech 84 - Unranked 60		Tennessee Tech 81 - Unranked 74
Texas Tech 79 - Oral Roberts 68	0.793	Texas Tech 82 - Oral Roberts 76	5
Troy 92 - Unranked 58		Troy 110 - Unranked 63
UMass Lowell 81 - LIU Brooklyn 62	0.867	UMass Lowell 78 - LIU Brooklyn 65	6
UMKC 88 - Unranked 57		UMKC 80 - Unranked 57
Wright State 78 - Western Kentucky 73	0.644	Wright State 84 - Western Kentucky 91	12

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Alabama Birmingham 79	0.812	Alabama AM 82 - Alabama Birmingham 93	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.647	Arkansas Little Rock 93 - Texas San Antonio 84	-4
Auburn 85 - UNC Asheville 62	0.933	Auburn 87 - UNC Asheville 62	-2
Brigham Young 89 - Denver 63	0.953	Brigham Young 90 - Denver 74	10
Charleston Southern 65 - North Alabama 74	0.746	Charleston Southern 64 - North Alabama 76	3
Dartmouth 67 - Boston 66	0.503	Dartmouth 63 - Boston 56	-6
Eastern Washington 93 - Unranked 59		Eastern Washington 103 - Unranked 34
Florida Atlantic 88 - Florida International 62	0.931	Florida Atlantic 94 - Florida International 60	-8
Howard 92 - Unranked 59		Howard 88 - Unranked 49
Liberty 81 - Tennessee State 62	0.918	Liberty 74 - Tennessee State 52	-3
Louisiana State 79 - Alabama State 66	0.815	Louisiana State 74 - Alabama State 56	-5
Louisville 76 - Arkansas State 71	0.643	Louisville 63 - Arkansas State 75	17
Mcneese State 76 - Southern Miss 66	0.755	Mcneese State 67 - Southern Miss 48	-9
Milwaukee 64 - Longwood 77	0.834	Milwaukee 67 - Longwood 80	0
Mississippi State 80 - Murray State 60	0.894	Mississippi State 85 - Murray State 81	16
Nevada 76 - Weber State 64	0.766	Nevada 72 - Weber State 55	-5
Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Creighton 85	0.881	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Creighton 64	-34
Northwestern 85 - Chicago State 55	0.956	Northwestern 73 - Chicago State 75	32
Presbyterian 85 - Unranked 59		Presbyterian 118 - Unranked 51
Princeton 97 - Unranked 49		Princeton 92 - Unranked 40
Queens 66 - Appalachian State 77	0.76	Queens 81 - Appalachian State 93	1
Rice 79 - Incarnate Word 67	0.808	Rice 80 - Incarnate Word 57	-11
San Francisco 74 - Seattle 65	0.72	San Francisco 62 - Seattle 59	6
Santa Clara 70 - Utah State 80	0.748	Santa Clara 82 - Utah State 84	-8
Stony Brook 67 - Norfolk State 71	0.603	Stony Brook 84 - Norfolk State 78	-10
Toledo 81 - Marshall 70	0.821	Toledo 88 - Marshall 87	10
UL Lafayette 77 - Eastern Kentucky 67	0.777	UL Lafayette 73 - Eastern Kentucky 62	-1

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Campbell 82 - Unranked 56		Campbell 97 - Unranked 48
College of Charleston 77 - The Citadel 64	0.832	College of Charleston 86 - The Citadel 71	-2
Drake 86 - Grambling State 56	0.95	Drake 68 - Grambling State 56	18
Florida 82 - East Carolina 66	0.896	Florida 70 - East Carolina 65	11
Jacksonville 87 - Unranked 58		Jacksonville 91 - Unranked 54
Lamar 70 - UL Monroe 71	0.546	Lamar 97 - UL Monroe 73	-25
Marquette 84 - Saint Thomas 57	0.962	Marquette 84 - Saint Thomas 79	22
Morehead State 91 - Unranked 53		Morehead State 102 - Unranked 33
New Orleans 87 - Unranked 63		New Orleans 91 - Unranked 51
Northern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 55		Northern Kentucky 94 - Unranked 59
South Dakota State 94 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 94 - Unranked 62
Tulane 83 - Furman 76	0.685	Tulane 117 - Furman 110	0
Wisconsin 80 - Jacksonville State 55	0.942	Wisconsin 75 - Jacksonville State 60	10
Youngstown State 93 - Unranked 54		Youngstown State 107 - Unranked 70

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 76 - Cleveland State 66	0.762	Bradley 69 - Cleveland State 76	17
Butler 100 - Unranked 52		Butler 96 - Unranked 70
Colorado 86 - Northern Colorado 61	0.951	Colorado 90 - Northern Colorado 68	3
East Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 55		East Tennessee State 105 - Unranked 43
Elon 88 - Unranked 59		Elon 104 - Unranked 70
Fresno State 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.823	Fresno State 61 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	8
Gonzaga 77 - Connecticut 76	0.504	Gonzaga 63 - Connecticut 76	14
New Mexico State 65 - New Mexico 87	0.933	New Mexico State 72 - New Mexico 73	-21
North Carolina Central 86 - Unranked 59		North Carolina Central 102 - Unranked 50
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Mt St Marys 69	0.642	Saint Francis Penn 65 - Mt St Marys 72	3
Sam Houston State 71 - Texas State 65	0.68	Sam Houston State 60 - Texas State 73	19
San Diego 71 - Portland State 72	0.54	San Diego 69 - Portland State 65	-5
Texas Pan American 72 - Texas AM CC 71	0.532	Texas Pan American 76 - Texas AM CC 86	11

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Chattanooga 76	0.845	Alabama AM 72 - Chattanooga 88	5
Arkansas 80 - Lipscomb 68	0.828	Arkansas 69 - Lipscomb 66	9
Ball State 65 - Indiana State 82	0.831	Ball State 72 - Indiana State 83	-6
Bellarmine 67 - Evansville 73	0.676	Bellarmine 61 - Evansville 70	3
Bowling Green 72 - UMKC 67	0.617	Bowling Green 79 - UMKC 69	-5
Brigham Young 87 - Georgia State 58	0.963	Brigham Young 86 - Georgia State 54	-3
Bryant 66 - Towson 70	0.585	Bryant 101 - Towson 93	-12
Bucknell 66 - Radford 72	0.664	Bucknell 63 - Radford 70	1
Cincinnati 76 - Dayton 72	0.617	Cincinnati 68 - Dayton 82	18
Creighton 82 - Alabama 78	0.596	Creighton 85 - Alabama 82	1
Davidson 95 - Unranked 51		Davidson 98 - Unranked 63
DePaul 67 - Northwestern 80	0.846	DePaul 46 - Northwestern 56	-3
Drexel 73 - Albany 65	0.745	Drexel 71 - Albany 52	-11
Florida International 88 - Unranked 59		Florida International 146 - Unranked 55
Florida State 74 - Southern Methodist 75	0.51	Florida State 57 - Southern Methodist 68	10
Gardner Webb 64 - Appalachian State 75	0.761	Gardner Webb 59 - Appalachian State 80	10
George Mason 83 - Loyola MD 56	0.97	George Mason 62 - Loyola MD 54	19
Georgia 77 - High Point 69	0.726	Georgia 66 - High Point 58	0
Georgia Southern 61 - UNC Wilmington 79	0.868	Georgia Southern 77 - UNC Wilmington 82	-13
Grand Canyon 83 - Portland 65	0.895	Grand Canyon 91 - Portland 63	-10
Hampton 63 - James Madison 88	0.953	Hampton 71 - James Madison 88	-8
Hofstra 74 - Norfolk State 65	0.718	Hofstra 74 - Norfolk State 58	-7
Houston 77 - Texas AM 65	0.833	Houston 70 - Texas AM 66	8
Houston Christian 83 - Unranked 64		Houston Christian 107 - Unranked 72
Illinois Chicago 76 - Western Michigan 59	0.891	Illinois Chicago 89 - Western Michigan 68	-4
Indiana 69 - Kansas 77	0.708	Indiana 71 - Kansas 75	-4
Iowa 83 - Florida AM 64	0.918	Iowa 88 - Florida AM 52	-17
IPFW 81 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.903	IPFW 86 - Bethune Cookman 63	-4
IUPUI 66 - Lindenwood 71	0.645	IUPUI 67 - Lindenwood 73	1
Jackson State 72 - Howard 76	0.633	Jackson State 81 - Howard 74	-11
Le Moyne 65 - Dartmouth 72	0.675	Le Moyne 80 - Dartmouth 54	-33
Liberty 95 - Unranked 50		Liberty 99 - Unranked 26
Loyola Marymount 72 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.567	Loyola Marymount 59 - UC Santa Barbara 68	11
Marshall 69 - UNC Greensboro 76	0.716	Marshall 72 - UNC Greensboro 65	-14
Massachusetts 75 - West Virginia 71	0.597	Massachusetts 87 - West Virginia 79	-4
Memphis 75 - Clemson 76	0.551	Memphis 79 - Clemson 77	-3
Mercer 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.625	Mercer 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	-1
Miami 83 - La Salle 68	0.837	Miami 84 - La Salle 77	8
Michigan 84 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.917	Michigan 83 - Eastern Michigan 66	5
Michigan State 70 - Baylor 79	0.77	Michigan State 88 - Baylor 64	-33
Mississippi 79 - California 65	0.797	Mississippi 88 - California 78	4
Monmouth 78 - Rider 65	0.844	Monmouth 77 - Rider 71	7
Montana State 88 - Unranked 55		Montana State 106 - Unranked 81
Murray State 77 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.79	Murray State 55 - Southeast Louisiana 61	18
Niagara 72 - NJ Tech 69	0.568	Niagara 89 - NJ Tech 81	-5
North Carolina 80 - Kentucky 78	0.553	North Carolina 83 - Kentucky 87	6
North Carolina AT 66 - Texas Southern 77	0.819	North Carolina AT 85 - Texas Southern 79	-17
North Florida 86 - Unranked 59		North Florida 113 - Unranked 72
Northern Arizona 72 - Southern Utah 73	0.54	Northern Arizona 76 - Southern Utah 74	-3
Northwestern State 68 - Rice 77	0.772	Northwestern State 51 - Rice 76	16
Notre Dame 75 - Georgetown 70	0.655	Notre Dame 68 - Georgetown 72	9
Ohio State 75 - UCLA 69	0.657	Ohio State 67 - UCLA 60	-1
Oklahoma 84 - Green Bay 55	0.963	Oklahoma 81 - Green Bay 47	-5
Pacific 67 - UC Davis 72	0.64	Pacific 61 - UC Davis 82	16
Penn State 73 - Georgia Tech 72	0.521	Penn State 81 - Georgia Tech 82	2
Pittsburgh 89 - South Carolina State 57	0.96	Pittsburgh 86 - South Carolina State 50	-4
Presbyterian 71 - Kennesaw St 75	0.637	Presbyterian 84 - Kennesaw St 94	6
Providence 83 - Sacred Heart 56	0.955	Providence 78 - Sacred Heart 64	13
Purdue 81 - Arizona 80	0.509	Purdue 92 - Arizona 84	-7
Rhode Island 69 - Delaware 75	0.697	Rhode Island 56 - Delaware 67	5
Richmond 70 - Charlotte 69	0.539	Richmond 64 - Charlotte 56	-7
Rutgers 83 - LIU Brooklyn 54	0.949	Rutgers 83 - LIU Brooklyn 61	7
Saint Bonaventure 69 - Florida Atlantic 79	0.726	Saint Bonaventure 54 - Florida Atlantic 64	0
Saint Johns 79 - Fordham 67	0.798	Saint Johns 77 - Fordham 55	-10
Saint Josephs 73 - Iona 65	0.734	Saint Josephs 83 - Iona 58	-17
Saint Louis 68 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.637	Saint Louis 75 - Louisiana Tech 74	-6
Saint Marys 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	0.751	Saint Marys 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	10
Samford 77 - Belmont 75	0.546	Samford 99 - Belmont 93	-4
South Carolina 84 - Charleston Southern 52	0.968	South Carolina 73 - Charleston Southern 69	28
South Carolina Upstate 66 - Western Carolina 74	0.721	South Carolina Upstate 53 - Western Carolina 70	9
South Florida 68 - Loyola Ill 70	0.536	South Florida 77 - Loyola Ill 64	-15
Tennessee 80 - NC State 70	0.787	Tennessee 79 - NC State 70	1
Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 59		Tennessee State 117 - Unranked 59
Tennessee Tech 69 - North Alabama 74	0.631	Tennessee Tech 70 - North Alabama 67	-8
Texas 77 - Louisiana State 68	0.751	Texas 96 - Louisiana State 85	-2
Texas Arlington 71 - Air Force 67	0.614	Texas Arlington 76 - Air Force 73	1
Texas Christian 77 - Arizona State 72	0.629	Texas Christian 79 - Arizona State 59	-15
Texas Tech 77 - Vanderbilt 65	0.814	Texas Tech 76 - Vanderbilt 54	-10
Tulane 82 - Southern 71	0.748	Tulane 105 - Southern 81	-13
Tulsa 68 - Missouri State 74	0.667	Tulsa 73 - Missouri State 72	-7
UC Irvine 79 - South Dakota 64	0.882	UC Irvine 121 - South Dakota 78	-28
UC Riverside 67 - Cal Baptist 72	0.622	UC Riverside 69 - Cal Baptist 70	-4
UMass Lowell 78 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.83	UMass Lowell 54 - Central Connecticut State 57	18
Utah 81 - Utah Valley 66	0.828	Utah 76 - Utah Valley 62	1
Utah State 76 - San Francisco 69	0.692	Utah State 54 - San Francisco 53	6
Utah Tech 75 - North Dakota 65	0.762	Utah Tech 62 - North Dakota 79	27
Valparaiso 74 - Chicago State 63	0.759	Valparaiso 62 - Chicago State 63	12
Virginia 81 - Northeastern 57	0.943	Virginia 56 - Northeastern 54	22
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Temple 69	0.741	Virginia Commonwealth 87 - Temple 78	-2
Virginia Tech 75 - Vermont 67	0.713	Virginia Tech 73 - Vermont 51	-14
Washington State 79 - Santa Clara 68	0.74	Washington State 61 - Santa Clara 69	19
Western Kentucky 74 - Austin Peay 62	0.877	Western Kentucky 65 - Austin Peay 64	11
Wichita State 72 - Southern Illinois 71	0.502	Wichita State 69 - Southern Illinois 68	0
Wyoming 70 - Weber State 69	0.538	Wyoming 71 - Weber State 84	14
Xavier 80 - Winthrop 68	0.837	Xavier 75 - Winthrop 59	-4

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Texas El Paso 68	0.596	Abilene Christian 88 - Texas El Paso 82	-3
Akron 93 - Unranked 50		Akron 88 - Unranked 45
Alabama Birmingham 92 - Unranked 56		Alabama Birmingham 92 - Unranked 56
Army 63 - Stony Brook 70	0.693	Army 74 - Stony Brook 78	-3
Auburn 81 - Southern California 71	0.742	Auburn 91 - Southern California 75	-6
Boise State 76 - Cal State Fullerton 62	0.891	Boise State 88 - Cal State Fullerton 65	-9
Colorado State 102 - Unranked 48		Colorado State 86 - Unranked 54
Eastern Illinois 82 - Unranked 59		Eastern Illinois 87 - Unranked 66
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.63	Eastern Kentucky 75 - Northern Kentucky 85	6
Fairfield 70 - Wagner 64	0.694	Fairfield 63 - Wagner 51	-6
Hawaii 69 - Nevada 73	0.632	Hawaii 66 - Nevada 72	2
Illinois 81 - Colgate 65	0.889	Illinois 74 - Colgate 57	-1
Illinois State 70 - North Dakota State 68	0.556	Illinois State 75 - North Dakota State 65	-8
Iowa State 86 - Florida AM 56	0.948	Iowa State 96 - Florida AM 58	-8
Jackson State 77 - North Carolina AT 69	0.731	Jackson State 68 - North Carolina AT 60	0
Kansas State 77 - Nebraska 73	0.615	Kansas State 46 - Nebraska 62	20
Longwood 78 - Virginia Military Institute 57	0.948	Longwood 68 - Virginia Military Institute 49	2
Louisville 74 - Pepperdine 72	0.554	Louisville 85 - Pepperdine 63	-20
Mcneese State 73 - UL Lafayette 69	0.614	Mcneese State 74 - UL Lafayette 72	2
Mississippi State 73 - North Texas 61	0.766	Mississippi State 72 - North Texas 54	-6
Missouri 72 - Seton Hall 69	0.608	Missouri 87 - Seton Hall 93	9
Navy 84 - Unranked 55		Navy 91 - Unranked 33
Northern Iowa 82 - Alcorn State 68	0.854	Northern Iowa 100 - Alcorn State 82	-4
Oklahoma State 76 - Oral Roberts 69	0.698	Oklahoma State 81 - Oral Roberts 60	-14
Omaha 69 - Stetson 72	0.592	Omaha 88 - Stetson 80	-11
Oregon 76 - Syracuse 74	0.565	Oregon 63 - Syracuse 83	22
Oregon State 81 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.889	Oregon State 66 - Texas San Antonio 65	14
Robert Morris 87 - Unranked 60		Robert Morris 95 - Unranked 46
Saint Thomas 86 - Unranked 54		Saint Thomas 85 - Unranked 66
San Jose State 69 - Montana 70	0.501	San Jose State 75 - Montana 86	10
SE Missouri State 83 - Unranked 61		SE Missouri State 87 - Unranked 59
Seattle 71 - Washington 77	0.677	Seattle 99 - Washington 100	-5
Stanford 77 - Idaho 66	0.743	Stanford 82 - Idaho 64	-7
Texas Southern 72 - Howard 74	0.553	Texas Southern 79 - Howard 78	-3
Wofford 93 - Unranked 57		Wofford 105 - Unranked 54

Number of DI Games: 186
Number Correct: 142 = 76.3%
Expected Number Correct: 140.285 = 75.4%
Average Error: 8.98
Average Signed Error: 0.19

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Murray State 73	0.503	Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Murray State 66	-13
Arkansas Pine Bluff 89 - Unranked 67		Arkansas Pine Bluff 125 - Unranked 75
Cal Poly 69 - Eastern Washington 77	0.712	Cal Poly 53 - Eastern Washington 62	1
Campbell 70 - Morgan State 64	0.662	Campbell 83 - Morgan State 76	-1
Central Florida 76 - Maine 60	0.836	Central Florida 74 - Maine 51	-7
Chicago State 71 - Texas Pan American 69	0.559	Chicago State 78 - Texas Pan American 68	-8
College of Charleston 84 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.93	College of Charleston 84 - Coastal Carolina 81	16
Dartmouth 82 - Unranked 58		Dartmouth 77 - Unranked 48
Denver 93 - Unranked 59		Denver 89 - Unranked 83
Drexel 89 - Unranked 50		Drexel 117 - Unranked 49
Duquesne 74 - Bradley 69	0.649	Duquesne 69 - Bradley 67	3
Evansville 81 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.77	Evansville 98 - Tennessee Martin 91	4
Fresno State 70 - Portland State 68	0.578	Fresno State 72 - Portland State 75	5
Holy Cross 65 - Quinnipiac 77	0.827	Holy Cross 57 - Quinnipiac 77	8
Jacksonville 72 - UL Monroe 67	0.616	Jacksonville 75 - UL Monroe 65	-5
Lamar 74 - Southern Miss 73	0.502	Lamar 79 - Southern Miss 82	4
Le Moyne 85 - Unranked 62		Le Moyne 92 - Unranked 72
Loyola Marymount 77 - Detroit 62	0.873	Loyola Marymount 76 - Detroit 56	-5
Marist 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.819	Marist 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	-10
Marshall 93 - Unranked 56		Marshall 103 - Unranked 70
Michigan State 77 - Oakland 66	0.767	Michigan State 79 - Oakland 62	-6
Norfolk State 88 - Unranked 55		Norfolk State 108 - Unranked 52
Northern Illinois 94 - Unranked 57		Northern Illinois 92 - Unranked 48
Ohio 94 - Unranked 56		Ohio 108 - Unranked 28
Pacific 82 - Unranked 61		Pacific 68 - Unranked 46
Prairie View 87 - Unranked 57		Prairie View 92 - Unranked 61
Sacramento State 67 - UC San Diego 72	0.641	Sacramento State 52 - UC San Diego 83	26
SIU Edwardsville 87 - Unranked 57		SIU Edwardsville 99 - Unranked 56
Tarleton State 70 - Jacksonville State 63	0.722	Tarleton State 62 - Jacksonville State 65	10
Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 58		Texas AM CC 102 - Unranked 50
Texas AM Commerce 87 - Unranked 59		Texas AM Commerce 130 - Unranked 53
Texas State 87 - Unranked 52		Texas State 110 - Unranked 68
UNC Asheville 77 - South Carolina State 65	0.847	UNC Asheville 79 - South Carolina State 75	8
Wake Forest 83 - Delaware State 61	0.936	Wake Forest 88 - Delaware State 59	-7
Western Illinois 87 - Unranked 59		Western Illinois 92 - Unranked 56
Youngstown State 94 - Unranked 53		Youngstown State 117 - Unranked 45

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 66 - Southern California 81	0.862	Alabama State 59 - Southern California 79	5
Albany 75 - Sacred Heart 67	0.709	Albany 93 - Sacred Heart 79	-6
Binghamton 76 - Niagara 68	0.703	Binghamton 74 - Niagara 69	3
Bowling Green 79 - Hampton 63	0.839	Bowling Green 75 - Hampton 65	6
Butler 83 - Georgetown 69	0.83	Butler 74 - Georgetown 64	4
Cal Baptist 72 - Western Kentucky 71	0.514	Cal Baptist 70 - Western Kentucky 73	4
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - South Dakota 72	0.536	Cal State Bakersfield 96 - South Dakota 76	-21
Central Connecticut State 66 - Northeastern 73	0.67	Central Connecticut State 74 - Northeastern 79	-2
Central Michigan 87 - Unranked 60		Central Michigan 90 - Unranked 66
Chattanooga 73 - Gardner Webb 67	0.713	Chattanooga 69 - Gardner Webb 66	3
Cincinnati 81 - Merrimack 61	0.914	Cincinnati 65 - Merrimack 49	4
Drake 89 - Alcorn State 61	0.944	Drake 92 - Alcorn State 55	-9
Florida International 75 - Stetson 72	0.583	Florida International 68 - Stetson 80	15
Florida State 81 - North Florida 65	0.866	Florida State 91 - North Florida 75	0
Furman 81 - Presbyterian 68	0.855	Furman 76 - Presbyterian 61	-2
George Mason 95 - Unranked 50		George Mason 84 - Unranked 60
Georgia Southern 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 71	0.575	Georgia Southern 42 - Florida Gulf Coast 53	9
Georgia State 88 - Unranked 57		Georgia State 122 - Unranked 45
High Point 72 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.535	High Point 74 - UNC Greensboro 63	-12
Indiana 76 - Morehead State 67	0.776	Indiana 69 - Morehead State 68	8
Indiana State 86 - Tennessee State 63	0.94	Indiana State 90 - Tennessee State 69	2
James Madison 88 - Coppin State 54	0.981	James Madison 87 - Coppin State 48	-5
Kennesaw St 94 - Unranked 60		Kennesaw St 91 - Unranked 59
Long Beach State 96 - Unranked 57		Long Beach State 107 - Unranked 78
Loyola Ill 78 - Charleston Southern 58	0.888	Loyola Ill 72 - Charleston Southern 59	7
Maryland 79 - Nicholls State 64	0.864	Maryland 73 - Nicholls State 67	9
Memphis 72 - Virginia 70	0.555	Memphis 77 - Virginia 54	-21
Mercer 72 - Queens 71	0.554	Mercer 84 - Queens 65	-18
Michigan 77 - Florida 78	0.519	Michigan 101 - Florida 106	4
Mississippi 81 - Troy 65	0.874	Mississippi 74 - Troy 53	-5
Missouri State 79 - Lindenwood 60	0.937	Missouri State 79 - Lindenwood 57	-3
Montana State 73 - Southern Utah 71	0.564	Montana State 89 - Southern Utah 88	1
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 64		Northwestern State 99 - Unranked 75
Notre Dame 73 - The Citadel 64	0.753	Notre Dame 45 - The Citadel 65	29
Oral Roberts 93 - Unranked 57		Oral Roberts 71 - Unranked 59
Providence 71 - Marquette 77	0.682	Providence 72 - Marquette 57	-21
Saint Marys 76 - Middle Tennessee 57	0.858	Saint Marys 71 - Middle Tennessee 34	-18
San Diego State 99 - Unranked 47		San Diego State 91 - Unranked 57
Siena 61 - Cornell 83	0.936	Siena 74 - Cornell 95	-1
South Carolina 77 - Winthrop 66	0.791	South Carolina 72 - Winthrop 62	1
Southern Illinois 76 - North Dakota State 65	0.743	Southern Illinois 76 - North Dakota State 63	-2
Southern Indiana 83 - Unranked 59		Southern Indiana 79 - Unranked 47
Southern Methodist 86 - Houston Christian 58	0.972	Southern Methodist 89 - Houston Christian 53	-8
Stephen F Austin 77 - New Mexico State 67	0.715	Stephen F Austin 75 - New Mexico State 72	7
Tulsa 80 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.956	Tulsa 79 - Mississippi Valley State 50	-5
UC Davis 68 - Montana 73	0.669	UC Davis 61 - Montana 73	7
UCLA 78 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.891	UCLA 72 - Cal State Northridge 76	20
Valparaiso 68 - Samford 80	0.783	Valparaiso 61 - Samford 79	6
Vanderbilt 69 - Western Carolina 71	0.567	Vanderbilt 62 - Western Carolina 63	-1
Wright State 80 - Miami OH 72	0.708	Wright State 92 - Miami OH 82	-2

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 87 - Alabama 78	0.721	Arizona 87 - Alabama 74	-4
Arizona State 70 - Northwestern 72	0.544	Arizona State 46 - Northwestern 65	17
Belmont 79 - Arkansas State 69	0.735	Belmont 74 - Arkansas State 70	6
Cal State Fullerton 76 - Pacific 61	0.848	Cal State Fullerton 67 - Pacific 56	4
California 74 - UC San Diego 70	0.612	California 71 - UC San Diego 67	0
Central Arkansas 70 - Western Illinois 74	0.628	Central Arkansas 54 - Western Illinois 65	7
Chicago State 69 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.599	Chicago State 55 - Bethune Cookman 54	2
Creighton 77 - Villanova 70	0.644	Creighton 66 - Villanova 68	9
Dayton 77 - Oakland 65	0.842	Dayton 91 - Oakland 67	-12
Delaware 79 - Rider 62	0.916	Delaware 85 - Rider 88	20
Denver 93 - Unranked 59		Denver 90 - Unranked 57
Duke 77 - Baylor 78	0.524	Duke 78 - Baylor 70	-9
East Carolina 76 - Delaware State 64	0.82	East Carolina 79 - Delaware State 50	-17
East Tennessee State 72 - UMKC 66	0.693	East Tennessee State 70 - UMKC 57	-7
Evansville 78 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.855	Evansville 82 - Tennessee Tech 51	-16
Georgia 78 - Mt St Marys 61	0.934	Georgia 94 - Mt St Marys 82	5
Gonzaga 85 - Jackson State 61	0.956	Gonzaga 100 - Jackson State 76	0
Grand Canyon 81 - Sam Houston State 63	0.903	Grand Canyon 76 - Sam Houston State 64	6
Iowa 92 - UMBC 65	0.951	Iowa 103 - UMBC 81	5
Lipscomb 92 - Unranked 54		Lipscomb 101 - Unranked 55
NC State 80 - Saint Louis 71	0.727	NC State 82 - Saint Louis 70	-3
Nebraska 82 - North Dakota 61	0.908	Nebraska 83 - North Dakota 75	13
New Mexico 78 - UC Irvine 72	0.644	New Mexico 78 - UC Irvine 65	-7
North Carolina 77 - Oklahoma 76	0.501	North Carolina 81 - Oklahoma 69	-11
North Carolina Central 63 - Longwood 73	0.815	North Carolina Central 79 - Longwood 70	-19
Oklahoma State 79 - Wofford 69	0.805	Oklahoma State 76 - Wofford 70	4
Pittsburgh 78 - IPFW 70	0.713	Pittsburgh 62 - IPFW 48	-6
Rice 73 - Prairie View 66	0.68	Rice 82 - Prairie View 56	-19
Saint Francis Penn 67 - Robert Morris 70	0.627	Saint Francis Penn 73 - Robert Morris 75	-1
Saint Johns 76 - Xavier 75	0.539	Saint Johns 81 - Xavier 66	-14
San Francisco 77 - Northern Arizona 60	0.907	San Francisco 91 - Northern Arizona 51	-23
San Jose State 69 - Santa Clara 77	0.673	San Jose State 81 - Santa Clara 78	-11
Seattle 69 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.574	Seattle 79 - Louisiana Tech 73	-8
Seton Hall 67 - Connecticut 79	0.852	Seton Hall 75 - Connecticut 60	-27
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Grambling State 67	0.577	Southeast Louisiana 48 - Grambling State 47	2
Tennessee Martin 91 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Martin 78 - Unranked 75
Texas El Paso 68 - Norfolk State 69	0.516	Texas El Paso 67 - Norfolk State 65	-3
Toledo 76 - Vermont 70	0.705	Toledo 60 - Vermont 86	32
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Howard 67	0.83	UC Santa Barbara 94 - Howard 81	-1
Utah 84 - Bellarmine 59	0.952	Utah 85 - Bellarmine 43	-17
Utah Valley 66 - Liberty 73	0.682	Utah Valley 63 - Liberty 79	9
West Virginia 72 - Radford 67	0.683	West Virginia 65 - Radford 66	6
Wyoming 70 - South Dakota State 75	0.651	Wyoming 78 - South Dakota State 65	-18

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Northern Colorado 67	0.757	Air Force 79 - Northern Colorado 83	11
Akron 77 - Gardner Webb 62	0.877	Akron 94 - Gardner Webb 90	11
Appalachian State 79 - UNC Asheville 63	0.855	Appalachian State 63 - UNC Asheville 76	29
Arkansas 82 - Abilene Christian 66	0.88	Arkansas 83 - Abilene Christian 73	6
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Jacksonville State 69	0.548	Arkansas Little Rock 60 - Jacksonville State 90	32
Boston College 85 - Lehigh 62	0.965	Boston College 85 - Lehigh 69	7
Bradley 77 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.824	Bradley 75 - SIU Edwardsville 64	3
Cal Poly 69 - Omaha 71	0.561	Cal Poly 66 - Omaha 53	-15
Central Florida 82 - Florida AM 58	0.931	Central Florida 69 - Florida AM 56	11
Central Michigan 73 - Detroit 68	0.629	Central Michigan 75 - Detroit 63	-7
Charleston Southern 81 - Unranked 60		Charleston Southern 103 - Unranked 79
Cleveland State 78 - Western Michigan 65	0.847	Cleveland State 90 - Western Michigan 77	0
Coastal Carolina 77 - North Carolina AT 70	0.72	Coastal Carolina 82 - North Carolina AT 85	10
College of Charleston 71 - Saint Josephs 73	0.561	College of Charleston 89 - Saint Josephs 82	-9
Colorado 84 - Utah Tech 61	0.92	Colorado 98 - Utah Tech 71	-4
Davidson 80 - South Carolina Upstate 60	0.924	Davidson 62 - South Carolina Upstate 59	17
Eastern Michigan 76 - Hampton 66	0.777	Eastern Michigan 72 - Hampton 69	7
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Fairfield 75	0.622	Fairleigh Dickinson 69 - Fairfield 92	20
Florida International 68 - Maine 69	0.518	Florida International 82 - Maine 74	-9
Fordham 72 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.74	Fordham 80 - Central Connecticut State 82	12
George Washington 86 - Alcorn State 67	0.911	George Washington 79 - Alcorn State 75	15
Green Bay 85 - Unranked 56		Green Bay 79 - Unranked 46
Harvard 82 - Holy Cross 59	0.92	Harvard 74 - Holy Cross 72	21
Hawaii 78 - Portland 66	0.829	Hawaii 69 - Portland 56	-1
Houston 80 - Texas State 51	0.982	Houston 72 - Texas State 37	-6
Illinois Chicago 80 - Incarnate Word 60	0.905	Illinois Chicago 66 - Incarnate Word 67	21
Illinois State 76 - SE Missouri State 60	0.865	Illinois State 85 - SE Missouri State 64	-5
Indiana 82 - North Alabama 64	0.908	Indiana 83 - North Alabama 66	1
Iona 68 - Colgate 71	0.602	Iona 85 - Colgate 65	-23
Iowa State 88 - Eastern Illinois 55	0.962	Iowa State 80 - Eastern Illinois 48	1
IUPUI 79 - Unranked 64		IUPUI 90 - Unranked 67
Kansas State 75 - Wichita State 72	0.568	Kansas State 69 - Wichita State 60	-6
La Salle 94 - Unranked 57		La Salle 107 - Unranked 41
Lafayette 66 - Quinnipiac 73	0.76	Lafayette 60 - Quinnipiac 78	11
Louisiana State 82 - Lamar 67	0.839	Louisiana State 87 - Lamar 66	-6
Louisville 67 - Kentucky 85	0.865	Louisville 76 - Kentucky 95	1
Marshall 72 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.524	Marshall 69 - UNC Wilmington 78	8
Massachusetts 75 - Georgia Tech 74	0.531	Massachusetts 70 - Georgia Tech 73	4
Mercer 86 - Unranked 56		Mercer 98 - Unranked 75
Miami 88 - Stonehill 57	0.958	Miami 97 - Stonehill 59	-7
Michigan State 82 - Stony Brook 61	0.913	Michigan State 99 - Stony Brook 55	-23
Minnesota 76 - Ball State 65	0.766	Minnesota 80 - Ball State 63	-6
Monmouth 76 - Manhattan 64	0.81	Monmouth 77 - Manhattan 71	6
Morehead State 91 - Unranked 53		Morehead State 101 - Unranked 39
Nevada 79 - Temple 69	0.791	Nevada 80 - Temple 56	-14
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Hofstra 74	0.514	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Hofstra 56	-19
Norfolk State 66 - South Dakota State 73	0.675	Norfolk State 84 - South Dakota State 65	-26
Northern Illinois 75 - Northern Iowa 76	0.523	Northern Illinois 63 - Northern Iowa 76	12
Ohio State 90 - New Orleans 61	0.972	Ohio State 78 - New Orleans 36	-13
Old Dominion 64 - Texas Christian 82	0.914	Old Dominion 87 - Texas Christian 111	6
Oregon 78 - Kent State 72	0.674	Oregon 84 - Kent State 70	-8
Oregon State 76 - Idaho State 62	0.88	Oregon State 76 - Idaho State 57	-5
Penn State 84 - Le Moyne 64	0.867	Penn State 72 - Le Moyne 55	3
Pepperdine 78 - William and Mary 70	0.684	Pepperdine 71 - William and Mary 59	-4
Purdue 93 - Jacksonville 57	0.963	Purdue 100 - Jacksonville 57	-7
Rhode Island 72 - New Hampshire 71	0.511	Rhode Island 71 - New Hampshire 81	11
Richmond 82 - Buffalo 61	0.917	Richmond 72 - Buffalo 66	15
Sacramento State 85 - Unranked 59		Sacramento State 100 - Unranked 45
Sacred Heart 68 - Dartmouth 67	0.544	Sacred Heart 67 - Dartmouth 57	-9
Saint Marys 76 - Northern Kentucky 61	0.823	Saint Marys 92 - Northern Kentucky 56	-21
Saint Thomas 88 - Unranked 54		Saint Thomas 104 - Unranked 51
San Diego 79 - South Dakota 70	0.723	San Diego 69 - South Dakota 66	6
San Diego State 79 - Stanford 66	0.8	San Diego State 74 - Stanford 60	-1
South Alabama 80 - Alabama AM 64	0.843	South Alabama 83 - Alabama AM 67	0
Syracuse 87 - Niagara 60	0.961	Syracuse 83 - Niagara 71	15
Tennessee 82 - Tarleton State 60	0.929	Tennessee 65 - Tarleton State 46	3
Texas El Paso 70 - Wyoming 72	0.567	Texas El Paso 78 - Wyoming 67	-13
Texas San Antonio 73 - Army 66	0.688	Texas San Antonio 53 - Army 63	17
Texas Southern 69 - Samford 81	0.793	Texas Southern 65 - Samford 87	10
Texas Tech 79 - Texas Arlington 65	0.856	Texas Tech 77 - Texas Arlington 66	3
Troy 78 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.769	Troy 88 - Eastern Kentucky 81	2
UC Davis 88 - Unranked 58		UC Davis 80 - Unranked 57
UC Riverside 71 - Idaho 67	0.615	UC Riverside 82 - Idaho 67	-11
UNC Greensboro 93 - Unranked 52		UNC Greensboro 135 - Unranked 57
Virginia Tech 83 - American 59	0.937	Virginia Tech 77 - American 55	2
Wake Forest 84 - Presbyterian 61	0.947	Wake Forest 91 - Presbyterian 68	0
Washington 88 - Eastern Washington 70	0.912	Washington 73 - Eastern Washington 66	11
Washington State 73 - Boise State 72	0.526	Washington State 66 - Boise State 61	-4
Weber State 91 - Unranked 52		Weber State 90 - Unranked 39
Western Carolina 91 - Unranked 53		Western Carolina 85 - Unranked 47
Youngstown State 75 - Navy 62	0.821	Youngstown State 75 - Navy 65	3

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 67 - Drake 79	0.743	Alabama Birmingham 79 - Drake 78	-13
Auburn 88 - Alabama State 58	0.96	Auburn 82 - Alabama State 62	10
Austin Peay 66 - Ohio 73	0.724	Austin Peay 71 - Ohio 67	-11
Baylor 93 - Mississippi Valley State 51	0.993	Baylor 107 - Mississippi Valley State 48	-17
Boston 66 - UMass Lowell 72	0.641	Boston 63 - UMass Lowell 71	2
Bowling Green 90 - Unranked 55		Bowling Green 79 - Unranked 58
Brigham Young 86 - Bellarmine 55	0.963	Brigham Young 101 - Bellarmine 59	-11
Brown 74 - Siena 60	0.847	Brown 71 - Siena 67	10
Bryant 66 - Drexel 71	0.618	Bryant 104 - Drexel 86	-23
Cal State Northridge 69 - Montana State 70	0.521	Cal State Northridge 82 - Montana State 70	-13
Charlotte 91 - Unranked 51		Charlotte 91 - Unranked 44
Cincinnati 87 - Stetson 64	0.898	Cincinnati 83 - Stetson 75	15
Clemson 87 - Queens 61	0.962	Clemson 109 - Queens 79	-4
Florida 86 - Grambling State 59	0.961	Florida 96 - Grambling State 57	-12
Florida Gulf Coast 85 - Unranked 59		Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Unranked 75
Florida State 76 - Winthrop 70	0.676	Florida State 67 - Winthrop 61	0
Georgia 80 - North Florida 61	0.938	Georgia 78 - North Florida 60	1
Hawaii 71 - Georgia Tech 70	0.54	Hawaii 68 - Georgia Tech 73	6
High Point 74 - Canisius 71	0.588	High Point 78 - Canisius 70	-5
Kansas 83 - Yale 63	0.919	Kansas 75 - Yale 60	5
Lindenwood 83 - Unranked 60		Lindenwood 81 - Unranked 54
Loyola Marymount 66 - Colorado State 80	0.838	Loyola Marymount 67 - Colorado State 76	-5
Loyola MD 82 - Unranked 60		Loyola MD 91 - Unranked 57
Marquette 86 - Georgetown 66	0.92	Marquette 81 - Georgetown 51	-10
Merrimack 70 - Bucknell 65	0.646	Merrimack 68 - Bucknell 52	-11
Miami OH 68 - Vermont 74	0.706	Miami OH 70 - Vermont 69	-7
Milwaukee 68 - Chattanooga 77	0.769	Milwaukee 85 - Chattanooga 83	-11
Missouri 68 - Illinois 80	0.828	Missouri 73 - Illinois 97	12
Morgan State 63 - James Madison 87	0.942	Morgan State 75 - James Madison 89	-10
Murray State 66 - Southern Methodist 78	0.8	Murray State 65 - Southern Methodist 92	15
NJ Tech 84 - Unranked 63		NJ Tech 127 - Unranked 51
Notre Dame 68 - Marist 64	0.6	Notre Dame 60 - Marist 56	0
Old Dominion 69 - Temple 77	0.772	Old Dominion 78 - Temple 63	-23
Portland 70 - Massachusetts 82	0.78	Portland 78 - Massachusetts 100	10
Princeton 98 - Unranked 48		Princeton 84 - Unranked 53
Rice 70 - UL Lafayette 71	0.519	Rice 67 - UL Lafayette 84	16
Robert Morris 69 - Cornell 81	0.837	Robert Morris 85 - Cornell 90	-7
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Binghamton 62	0.838	Saint Bonaventure 90 - Binghamton 64	-10
Saint Peters 83 - Unranked 52		Saint Peters 73 - Unranked 70
San Francisco 75 - Fresno State 62	0.838	San Francisco 77 - Fresno State 57	-7
South Carolina 82 - Elon 62	0.923	South Carolina 70 - Elon 43	-7
South Carolina State 83 - Unranked 63		South Carolina State 101 - Unranked 84
South Florida 77 - Albany 66	0.731	South Florida 89 - Albany 73	-5
Southern Illinois 78 - Southern Indiana 58	0.876	Southern Illinois 81 - Southern Indiana 50	-11
Southern Utah 72 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.575	Southern Utah 69 - Middle Tennessee 63	-3
Stephen F Austin 92 - Unranked 54		Stephen F Austin 115 - Unranked 58
Texas 84 - Texas AM CC 61	0.943	Texas 71 - Texas AM CC 55	7
Texas AM 91 - Houston Christian 57	0.996	Texas AM 79 - Houston Christian 52	7
Texas Christian 75 - Nevada 74	0.506	Texas Christian 75 - Nevada 88	14
Towson 73 - Nicholls State 67	0.677	Towson 65 - Nicholls State 55	-4
Tulane 78 - George Mason 77	0.535	Tulane 66 - George Mason 69	4
Tulsa 76 - New Mexico State 67	0.732	Tulsa 65 - New Mexico State 59	3
UCLA 71 - Maryland 68	0.596	UCLA 60 - Maryland 69	12
Utah State 82 - East Tennessee State 60	0.941	Utah State 80 - East Tennessee State 65	7
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.956	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 51	2
Virginia Military Institute 81 - Unranked 61		Virginia Military Institute 82 - Unranked 65
Wagner 80 - Unranked 57		Wagner 98 - Unranked 49
Wisconsin 85 - Chicago State 55	0.948	Wisconsin 80 - Chicago State 53	3
Wright State 96 - Unranked 59		Wright State 101 - Unranked 54

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 93 - Eastern Kentucky 62	0.964	Alabama 111 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-13
Arizona 83 - Florida Atlantic 75	0.668	Arizona 95 - Florida Atlantic 96	9
Connecticut 81 - Saint Johns 70	0.812	Connecticut 69 - Saint Johns 65	7
DePaul 64 - Villanova 79	0.872	DePaul 48 - Villanova 84	21
Memphis 85 - Vanderbilt 63	0.948	Memphis 77 - Vanderbilt 75	20
Mississippi 80 - Southern Miss 62	0.904	Mississippi 89 - Southern Miss 72	1
Mt St Marys 75 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.782	Mt St Marys 87 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-17
NC State 84 - Detroit 59	0.949	NC State 83 - Detroit 66	8
North Texas 72 - Texas Arlington 66	0.701	North Texas 78 - Texas Arlington 52	-20
Providence 75 - Butler 74	0.505	Providence 85 - Butler 75	-9
Rider 68 - Pennsylvania 77	0.772	Rider 73 - Pennsylvania 77	-5
Rutgers 67 - Mississippi State 69	0.57	Rutgers 60 - Mississippi State 70	8
Saint Marys 74 - Missouri State 65	0.736	Saint Marys 64 - Missouri State 69	14
Santa Clara 72 - Duquesne 76	0.615	Santa Clara 81 - Duquesne 73	-12
UNC Asheville 74 - Kennesaw St 75	0.526	UNC Asheville 79 - Kennesaw St 70	-10
West Virginia 73 - Toledo 75	0.551	West Virginia 91 - Toledo 81	-12
Xavier 77 - Seton Hall 70	0.721	Xavier 74 - Seton Hall 54	-13

GAMES OF 12-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Georgia Tech 67 - Nevada 75	0.681	Georgia Tech 64 - Nevada 72	0
Hawaii 70 - Texas Christian 77	0.727	Hawaii 51 - Texas Christian 65	7
Massachusetts 79 - Old Dominion 68	0.803	Massachusetts 87 - Old Dominion 65	-11
Portland 71 - Temple 80	0.739	Portland 54 - Temple 55	-8

Number of DI Games: 236
Number Correct: 183 = 77.5%
Expected Number Correct: 179.578 = 76%
Average Error: 9.13
Average Signed Error: -0.44

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal Baptist 74 - Chicago State 63	0.765	Cal Baptist 74 - Chicago State 62	-1
Grand Canyon 99 - Unranked 50		Grand Canyon 124 - Unranked 74
Virginia 84 - Morgan State 53	0.955	Virginia 79 - Morgan State 44	-4

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 93 - Unranked 52		Bradley 69 - Unranked 47
Cal Poly 67 - Cal State Northridge 75	0.722	Cal Poly 73 - Cal State Northridge 83	2
Cal State Fullerton 71 - Long Beach State 74	0.608	Cal State Fullerton 71 - Long Beach State 81	7
Cleveland State 72 - Oakland 73	0.503	Cleveland State 75 - Oakland 67	-9
Eastern Washington 71 - Portland State 72	0.516	Eastern Washington 91 - Portland State 57	-35
Idaho 73 - Sacramento State 67	0.662	Idaho 61 - Sacramento State 58	3
Idaho State 67 - Montana State 72	0.679	Idaho State 66 - Montana State 74	3
Jacksonville State 88 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville State 93 - Unranked 57
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Albany 77	0.756	LIU Brooklyn 69 - Albany 86	7
Maryland 82 - Coppin State 51	0.966	Maryland 75 - Coppin State 53	9
Oklahoma 90 - Central Arkansas 55	0.989	Oklahoma 88 - Central Arkansas 72	19
Oregon 78 - Southern California 72	0.646	Oregon 82 - Southern California 74	-2
Oregon State 68 - UCLA 69	0.538	Oregon State 62 - UCLA 69	6
Tennessee State 77 - Tennessee Martin 75	0.574	Tennessee State 75 - Tennessee Martin 91	18
Tennessee Tech 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	0.566	Tennessee Tech 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 81	4
Texas San Antonio 71 - Prairie View 72	0.526	Texas San Antonio 103 - Prairie View 89	-15
Texas Southern 86 - Unranked 59		Texas Southern 108 - Unranked 72
Texas Tech 81 - Sam Houston State 63	0.918	Texas Tech 96 - Sam Houston State 60	-18
UC Davis 67 - UC Santa Barbara 76	0.751	UC Davis 76 - UC Santa Barbara 62	-23
UC Irvine 78 - UC Riverside 63	0.84	UC Irvine 73 - UC Riverside 66	8
UC San Diego 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.729	UC San Diego 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	-3
Weber State 70 - Montana 69	0.524	Weber State 93 - Montana 63	-29

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - UNC Asheville 70	0.598	Alabama Birmingham 90 - UNC Asheville 85	-1
Boise State 78 - Utah Valley 64	0.829	Boise State 85 - Utah Valley 63	-8
Buffalo 73 - Niagara 71	0.57	Buffalo 63 - Niagara 69	8
California 67 - Arizona 90	0.932	California 81 - Arizona 100	-4
Central Florida 82 - Bethune Cookman 56	0.946	Central Florida 98 - Bethune Cookman 54	-18
Cincinnati 80 - Evansville 68	0.793	Cincinnati 76 - Evansville 58	-6
Clemson 82 - Radford 63	0.94	Clemson 93 - Radford 58	-16
College of Charleston 97 - Unranked 53		College of Charleston 96 - Unranked 59
Colorado 80 - Washington 75	0.647	Colorado 73 - Washington 69	1
Colorado State 102 - Unranked 48		Colorado State 106 - Unranked 61
East Carolina 72 - East Tennessee State 66	0.665	East Carolina 70 - East Tennessee State 86	22
Elon 70 - Valparaiso 69	0.548	Elon 82 - Valparaiso 78	-3
Gonzaga 74 - San Diego State 73	0.527	Gonzaga 74 - San Diego State 84	11
Green Bay 69 - Wright State 76	0.701	Green Bay 88 - Wright State 77	-18
Holy Cross 81 - Unranked 63		Holy Cross 88 - Unranked 60
Illinois 94 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	0.993	Illinois 104 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	2
Indiana 82 - Kennesaw St 68	0.877	Indiana 100 - Kennesaw St 87	1
Iowa 85 - Northern Illinois 70	0.873	Iowa 103 - Northern Illinois 74	-14
IPFW 76 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.722	IPFW 73 - Northern Kentucky 60	-5
IUPUI 66 - Detroit 72	0.673	IUPUI 67 - Detroit 55	-18
Kentucky 83 - Illinois State 63	0.913	Kentucky 96 - Illinois State 70	-6
Louisiana State 85 - Northwestern State 59	0.96	Louisiana State 96 - Northwestern State 55	-15
Loyola Marymount 72 - Tarleton State 66	0.677	Loyola Marymount 66 - Tarleton State 79	19
Mercer 88 - Unranked 55		Mercer 74 - Unranked 50
Miami 86 - North Florida 63	0.938	Miami 95 - North Florida 55	-17
Miami OH 90 - Unranked 58		Miami OH 119 - Unranked 69
Michigan 77 - Mcneese State 69	0.695	Michigan 76 - Mcneese State 87	19
Milwaukee 74 - Robert Morris 72	0.552	Milwaukee 78 - Robert Morris 75	-1
Minnesota 76 - Maine 60	0.877	Minnesota 80 - Maine 62	-2
Nebraska 87 - South Carolina State 58	0.96	Nebraska 91 - South Carolina State 62	0
New Mexico 102 - Unranked 50		New Mexico 87 - Unranked 54
North Carolina 91 - Charleston Southern 55	0.991	North Carolina 105 - Charleston Southern 60	-9
North Dakota 68 - Saint Thomas 71	0.566	North Dakota 45 - Saint Thomas 70	22
North Dakota State 78 - South Dakota 70	0.718	North Dakota State 66 - South Dakota 75	17
Northwestern 81 - Jackson State 62	0.897	Northwestern 74 - Jackson State 63	8
Omaha 69 - Denver 77	0.723	Omaha 80 - Denver 95	7
Penn State 81 - Rider 65	0.884	Penn State 90 - Rider 63	-11
Pepperdine 89 - Unranked 57		Pepperdine 83 - Unranked 47
Purdue 95 - Eastern Kentucky 56	0.993	Purdue 80 - Eastern Kentucky 53	12
Saint Josephs 81 - Loyola MD 56	0.945	Saint Josephs 97 - Loyola MD 56	-16
Saint Marys 77 - Kent State 66	0.745	Saint Marys 66 - Kent State 46	-9
San Diego 73 - Fresno State 69	0.605	San Diego 67 - Fresno State 71	8
SE Missouri State 68 - Southern Indiana 69	0.513	SE Missouri State 93 - Southern Indiana 91	-3
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Eastern Illinois 64	0.703	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Eastern Illinois 58	-2
South Florida 77 - Alabama State 64	0.792	South Florida 73 - Alabama State 70	10
Stanford 73 - Arizona State 71	0.545	Stanford 73 - Arizona State 76	5
Stephen F Austin 80 - New Orleans 66	0.809	Stephen F Austin 80 - New Orleans 51	-15
Stetson 67 - Charlotte 74	0.659	Stetson 79 - Charlotte 75	-11
Stony Brook 74 - Brown 68	0.691	Stony Brook 69 - Brown 65	2
Texas 78 - UNC Greensboro 65	0.861	Texas 72 - UNC Greensboro 37	-22
Tulane 101 - Unranked 58		Tulane 94 - Unranked 64
Tulsa 92 - Unranked 54		Tulsa 95 - Unranked 54
UMBC 74 - American 75	0.554	UMBC 85 - American 87	1
UMKC 69 - Oral Roberts 76	0.696	UMKC 77 - Oral Roberts 60	-24
Utah 78 - Washington State 71	0.669	Utah 80 - Washington State 58	-15
Western Michigan 86 - Unranked 61		Western Michigan 127 - Unranked 71
Winthrop 91 - Unranked 55		Winthrop 113 - Unranked 62
Wofford 94 - Unranked 58		Wofford 75 - Unranked 55

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 69 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.592	Akron 61 - Saint Bonaventure 62	-2
Alabama 81 - Liberty 71	0.748	Alabama 101 - Liberty 56	-35
Appalachian State 79 - UL Monroe 59	0.865	Appalachian State 67 - UL Monroe 55	8
Arkansas 77 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.698	Arkansas 106 - UNC Wilmington 90	-8
Army 81 - Unranked 57		Army 58 - Unranked 50
Auburn 85 - Chattanooga 62	0.951	Auburn 101 - Chattanooga 66	-12
Binghamton 88 - Unranked 59		Binghamton 108 - Unranked 52
Boston 63 - Merrimack 69	0.655	Boston 74 - Merrimack 63	-17
Brigham Young 87 - Wyoming 62	0.935	Brigham Young 94 - Wyoming 68	-1
Bucknell 63 - Saint Peters 65	0.56	Bucknell 58 - Saint Peters 67	7
Cal State Bakersfield 62 - UC Irvine 77	0.857	Cal State Bakersfield 56 - UC Irvine 75	4
Central Connecticut State 86 - Unranked 58		Central Connecticut State 99 - Unranked 38
Coastal Carolina 72 - Troy 77	0.662	Coastal Carolina 65 - Troy 72	2
Cornell 76 - Colgate 72	0.618	Cornell 77 - Colgate 64	-9
Dayton 78 - Longwood 61	0.904	Dayton 78 - Longwood 69	8
Delaware 66 - Princeton 76	0.793	Delaware 82 - Princeton 84	-8
Delaware State 67 - Mt St Marys 72	0.666	Delaware State 77 - Mt St Marys 73	-9
DePaul 74 - Chicago State 67	0.699	DePaul 70 - Chicago State 58	-5
Duke 90 - Queens 62	0.961	Duke 106 - Queens 69	-9
Duquesne 96 - Unranked 51		Duquesne 95 - Unranked 47
Eastern Michigan 87 - Unranked 58		Eastern Michigan 67 - Unranked 64
Eastern Washington 78 - Sacramento State 66	0.817	Eastern Washington 87 - Sacramento State 61	-14
Fairfield 75 - Le Moyne 65	0.733	Fairfield 78 - Le Moyne 72	4
Florida 85 - Quinnipiac 66	0.938	Florida 97 - Quinnipiac 72	-6
Florida Gulf Coast 59 - Florida Atlantic 85	0.944	Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Florida Atlantic 68	-30
Florida State 76 - Lipscomb 68	0.716	Florida State 75 - Lipscomb 78	11
Fordham 71 - Columbia 68	0.588	Fordham 87 - Columbia 78	-6
Furman 95 - Unranked 57		Furman 74 - Unranked 79
George Mason 83 - North Carolina AT 59	0.961	George Mason 94 - North Carolina AT 69	-1
George Washington 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.91	George Washington 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	14
Georgia 86 - Alabama AM 58	0.994	Georgia 93 - Alabama AM 73	8
Georgia Southern 68 - Southern Miss 73	0.694	Georgia Southern 88 - Southern Miss 67	-26
Georgia State 71 - Arkansas State 70	0.509	Georgia State 91 - Arkansas State 90	0
Grand Canyon 75 - Louisiana Tech 67	0.742	Grand Canyon 73 - Louisiana Tech 70	5
Harvard 72 - Iona 70	0.543	Harvard 60 - Iona 69	11
Hawaii 71 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.804	Hawaii 61 - Cal State Fullerton 63	9
High Point 77 - Bellarmine 62	0.851	High Point 90 - Bellarmine 85	10
Houston 84 - Pennsylvania 56	0.972	Houston 81 - Pennsylvania 42	-11
Idaho 67 - Portland State 74	0.7	Idaho 72 - Portland State 77	-2
Idaho State 63 - Montana 76	0.84	Idaho State 68 - Montana 76	-5
Jacksonville 89 - Unranked 59		Jacksonville 79 - Unranked 52
James Madison 78 - Texas State 64	0.869	James Madison 82 - Texas State 65	-3
Kansas 79 - Wichita State 66	0.819	Kansas 86 - Wichita State 67	-6
La Salle 81 - Howard 71	0.797	La Salle 66 - Howard 71	15
Lamar 88 - Unranked 62		Lamar 91 - Unranked 64
Long Beach State 79 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.678	Long Beach State 68 - Cal State Northridge 84	23
Loyola Ill 77 - Central Michigan 65	0.801	Loyola Ill 73 - Central Michigan 35	-26
Manhattan 67 - Wagner 64	0.625	Manhattan 56 - Wagner 68	15
Marist 75 - Lehigh 63	0.816	Marist 58 - Lehigh 65	19
Marquette 77 - Creighton 75	0.545	Marquette 72 - Creighton 67	-3
Marshall 71 - UL Lafayette 73	0.578	Marshall 75 - UL Lafayette 61	-16
Massachusetts 86 - Siena 57	0.957	Massachusetts 79 - Siena 66	16
Memphis 84 - Austin Peay 58	0.957	Memphis 81 - Austin Peay 70	15
Michigan State 77 - Indiana State 72	0.615	Michigan State 87 - Indiana State 75	-7
Missouri 85 - Central Arkansas 61	0.956	Missouri 92 - Central Arkansas 59	-9
Murray State 69 - Middle Tennessee 67	0.552	Murray State 75 - Middle Tennessee 54	-19
Navy 72 - William and Mary 66	0.666	Navy 77 - William and Mary 65	-6
Nevada 100 - Unranked 47		Nevada 92 - Unranked 59
New Mexico State 68 - Cal Baptist 72	0.615	New Mexico State 66 - Cal Baptist 61	-9
Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 58		Nicholls State 74 - Unranked 65
North Texas 92 - Unranked 48		North Texas 80 - Unranked 57
Northern Colorado 74 - Northern Arizona 71	0.602	Northern Colorado 92 - Northern Arizona 77	-12
Notre Dame 58 - Virginia 73	0.823	Notre Dame 76 - Virginia 54	-37
Ohio 68 - Davidson 76	0.751	Ohio 69 - Davidson 72	-5
Ohio State 78 - West Virginia 66	0.822	Ohio State 78 - West Virginia 75	9
Old Dominion 70 - South Alabama 71	0.522	Old Dominion 59 - South Alabama 61	1
Oregon 76 - UCLA 66	0.745	Oregon 64 - UCLA 59	5
Oregon State 70 - Southern California 75	0.665	Oregon State 86 - Southern California 70	-21
Pacific 83 - Unranked 62		Pacific 80 - Unranked 66
Presbyterian 85 - Unranked 60		Presbyterian 91 - Unranked 67
Rhode Island 71 - Northeastern 73	0.554	Rhode Island 82 - Northeastern 71	-13
Richmond 79 - Lafayette 56	0.954	Richmond 59 - Lafayette 38	2
Rutgers 82 - Stonehill 54	0.96	Rutgers 59 - Stonehill 58	27
Sacred Heart 86 - Unranked 60		Sacred Heart 92 - Unranked 63
Saint Francis Penn 64 - Campbell 68	0.632	Saint Francis Penn 78 - Campbell 76	-6
Saint Johns 79 - Hofstra 69	0.746	Saint Johns 84 - Hofstra 79	5
San Francisco 85 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.992	San Francisco 92 - Mississippi Valley State 42	-14
Santa Clara 77 - Yale 70	0.694	Santa Clara 58 - Yale 66	15
South Carolina 80 - Florida AM 56	0.943	South Carolina 94 - Florida AM 62	-8
South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 58		South Carolina Upstate 96 - Unranked 76
Southeast Louisiana 84 - Unranked 59		Southeast Louisiana 87 - Unranked 64
Southern Illinois 72 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.702	Southern Illinois 62 - Illinois Chicago 50	-4
Southern Utah 93 - Unranked 60		Southern Utah 95 - Unranked 78
Syracuse 73 - Pittsburgh 72	0.51	Syracuse 81 - Pittsburgh 73	-7
Tennessee State 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	0.577	Tennessee State 90 - Arkansas Little Rock 82	-5
Tennessee Tech 72 - Tennessee Martin 76	0.592	Tennessee Tech 73 - Tennessee Martin 81	4
Texas AM 85 - Prairie View 59	0.952	Texas AM 79 - Prairie View 54	1
Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 58		Texas AM CC 84 - Unranked 61
Texas El Paso 68 - Seattle 73	0.638	Texas El Paso 61 - Seattle 73	7
Texas Pan American 74 - Incarnate Word 73	0.517	Texas Pan American 77 - Incarnate Word 74	-2
The Citadel 89 - Unranked 54		The Citadel 106 - Unranked 76
Towson 89 - Unranked 53		Towson 97 - Unranked 46
UC Davis 73 - Cal Poly 66	0.715	UC Davis 71 - Cal Poly 46	-18
UC Riverside 68 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.669	UC Riverside 79 - UC Santa Barbara 77	-8
Utah Tech 73 - Florida International 71	0.572	Utah Tech 96 - Florida International 92	-2
Vanderbilt 74 - Dartmouth 61	0.789	Vanderbilt 69 - Dartmouth 53	-3
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Gardner Webb 61	0.927	Virginia Commonwealth 87 - Gardner Webb 73	5
Wake Forest 72 - Virginia Tech 73	0.503	Wake Forest 86 - Virginia Tech 63	-24
Weber State 74 - Montana State 65	0.734	Weber State 86 - Montana State 64	-13
Western Carolina 92 - Unranked 53		Western Carolina 90 - Unranked 62
Western Kentucky 77 - Abilene Christian 69	0.726	Western Kentucky 86 - Abilene Christian 84	6

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 70 - Arizona State 74	0.587	California 69 - Arizona State 71	-2
Colorado 77 - Washington State 71	0.649	Colorado 74 - Washington State 67	-1
Denver 77 - Oral Roberts 76	0.516	Denver 86 - Oral Roberts 89	4
Green Bay 70 - Robert Morris 67	0.594	Green Bay 78 - Robert Morris 61	-14
Iowa State 84 - New Hampshire 63	0.909	Iowa State 85 - New Hampshire 70	6
IPFW 81 - Detroit 61	0.916	IPFW 91 - Detroit 56	-15
IUPUI 61 - Cleveland State 81	0.928	IUPUI 77 - Cleveland State 86	-11
Jacksonville State 88 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville State 107 - Unranked 67
Lindenwood 69 - Southern Indiana 67	0.537	Lindenwood 62 - Southern Indiana 73	13
Milwaukee 73 - Wright State 81	0.755	Milwaukee 91 - Wright State 83	-16
Mississippi 81 - Bryant 65	0.808	Mississippi 95 - Bryant 78	-1
Mississippi State 84 - Bethune Cookman 53	0.958	Mississippi State 85 - Bethune Cookman 62	8
Nevada Las Vegas 96 - Unranked 52		Nevada Las Vegas 87 - Unranked 51
NJ Tech 73 - Morgan State 72	0.503	NJ Tech 69 - Morgan State 53	-15
Oklahoma 82 - Monmouth 62	0.921	Oklahoma 72 - Monmouth 56	4
Oklahoma State 84 - South Carolina State 60	0.958	Oklahoma State 86 - South Carolina State 70	8
Saint Thomas 73 - UMKC 64	0.749	Saint Thomas 77 - UMKC 56	-12
San Diego 92 - Unranked 56		San Diego 78 - Unranked 65
SE Missouri State 61 - Morehead State 78	0.893	SE Missouri State 64 - Morehead State 83	2
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Western Illinois 68	0.582	SIU Edwardsville 70 - Western Illinois 78	10
South Dakota 74 - Omaha 71	0.601	South Dakota 51 - Omaha 67	19
South Dakota State 76 - North Dakota 68	0.688	South Dakota State 80 - North Dakota 61	-11
Stanford 69 - Arizona 87	0.884	Stanford 100 - Arizona 82	-36
UMass Lowell 91 - Unranked 55		UMass Lowell 116 - Unranked 48
Utah 81 - Washington 75	0.669	Utah 95 - Washington 90	1
Youngstown State 73 - Oakland 70	0.584	Youngstown State 81 - Oakland 88	10

Number of DI Games: 169
Number Correct: 124 = 73.3%
Expected Number Correct: 125.681 = 74.3%
Average Error: 10.18
Average Signed Error: -2.65

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Drexel 77 - Hampton 60	0.884	Drexel 99 - Hampton 65	-17
Liberty 95 - Unranked 51		Liberty 88 - Unranked 46
Texas 82 - Texas Arlington 63	0.909	Texas 79 - Texas Arlington 62	2
Texas Christian 85 - Texas AM Commerce 63	0.927	Texas Christian 77 - Texas AM Commerce 42	-13
Texas Tech 84 - North Alabama 62	0.94	Texas Tech 85 - North Alabama 57	-6

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 61 - Utah State 79	0.923	Air Force 60 - Utah State 88	10
Alabama State 86 - Unranked 58		Alabama State 84 - Unranked 53
Auburn 85 - Pennsylvania 64	0.92	Auburn 88 - Pennsylvania 68	1
Baylor 87 - Cornell 72	0.866	Baylor 98 - Cornell 79	-4
Boston College 74 - Wake Forest 76	0.563	Boston College 78 - Wake Forest 84	4
Bowling Green 74 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.724	Bowling Green 92 - Eastern Michigan 90	8
Brown 64 - Vermont 75	0.791	Brown 70 - Vermont 71	-10
Central Michigan 72 - Buffalo 69	0.589	Central Michigan 64 - Buffalo 76	15
Colorado State 79 - New Mexico 74	0.629	Colorado State 76 - New Mexico 68	-3
Connecticut 85 - DePaul 61	0.951	Connecticut 85 - DePaul 56	-5
Drake 78 - Illinois State 62	0.822	Drake 88 - Illinois State 71	-1
Duke 79 - Syracuse 72	0.672	Duke 86 - Syracuse 66	-13
Florida Atlantic 83 - East Carolina 63	0.859	Florida Atlantic 79 - East Carolina 64	5
Georgetown 68 - Creighton 83	0.821	Georgetown 60 - Creighton 77	2
Grambling State 82 - Unranked 60		Grambling State 84 - Unranked 72
Harvard 75 - Albany 69	0.672	Harvard 76 - Albany 71	1
Illinois 78 - Northwestern 69	0.758	Illinois 96 - Northwestern 66	-21
Incarnate Word 85 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 83 - Unranked 74
Kansas State 82 - Chicago State 59	0.922	Kansas State 62 - Chicago State 55	16
Kent State 77 - Ball State 67	0.758	Kent State 82 - Ball State 69	-3
Maryland 66 - Purdue 80	0.833	Maryland 53 - Purdue 67	0
Maryland Eastern Shore 82 - Unranked 61		Maryland Eastern Shore 95 - Unranked 37
Miami OH 77 - Western Michigan 69	0.748	Miami OH 74 - Western Michigan 83	17
Murray State 67 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.572	Murray State 85 - Illinois Chicago 73	-15
Nevada Las Vegas 96 - Unranked 53		Nevada Las Vegas 112 - Unranked 56
Northern Illinois 70 - Akron 77	0.707	Northern Illinois 51 - Akron 73	15
Ohio 75 - Toledo 77	0.566	Ohio 77 - Toledo 86	7
Pittsburgh 74 - North Carolina 78	0.616	Pittsburgh 57 - North Carolina 70	9
Saint Johns 79 - Butler 75	0.603	Saint Johns 86 - Butler 70	-12
Sam Houston State 89 - Unranked 58		Sam Houston State 93 - Unranked 53
Southern Illinois 75 - Belmont 69	0.663	Southern Illinois 73 - Belmont 63	-4
Southern Methodist 75 - Charlotte 64	0.785	Southern Methodist 66 - Charlotte 54	-1
Tennessee 82 - Norfolk State 58	0.933	Tennessee 87 - Norfolk State 50	-13
Texas San Antonio 70 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0.743	Texas San Antonio 76 - Alabama Birmingham 78	-8
Wisconsin 80 - Iowa 72	0.711	Wisconsin 83 - Iowa 72	-3
Wyoming 75 - San Jose State 71	0.6	Wyoming 75 - San Jose State 73	2

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 72 - Lehigh 71	0.53	American 75 - Lehigh 66	-8
Bucknell 73 - Holy Cross 64	0.734	Bucknell 70 - Holy Cross 58	-3
Central Arkansas 84 - Unranked 64		Central Arkansas 120 - Unranked 54
Charleston Southern 69 - Presbyterian 70	0.533	Charleston Southern 61 - Presbyterian 68	6
Colgate 76 - Loyola MD 58	0.876	Colgate 78 - Loyola MD 55	-5
Davidson 66 - Dayton 74	0.737	Davidson 59 - Dayton 72	5
Denver 80 - Idaho State 68	0.85	Denver 95 - Idaho State 82	-1
East Tennessee State 71 - Mercer 65	0.67	East Tennessee State 80 - Mercer 69	-5
Florida State 71 - Georgia Tech 72	0.512	Florida State 82 - Georgia Tech 71	-12
George Washington 75 - Fordham 70	0.652	George Washington 113 - Fordham 119	11
Howard 69 - Yale 77	0.753	Howard 78 - Yale 86	0
Idaho 64 - Saint Thomas 72	0.695	Idaho 67 - Saint Thomas 75	0
Indiana State 80 - Evansville 68	0.789	Indiana State 87 - Evansville 73	-2
La Salle 67 - George Mason 76	0.779	La Salle 62 - George Mason 77	6
Lafayette 62 - Army 64	0.564	Lafayette 52 - Army 47	-7
Louisiana Tech 93 - Unranked 51		Louisiana Tech 96 - Unranked 55
Massachusetts 75 - Duquesne 74	0.514	Massachusetts 80 - Duquesne 61	-18
Miami 73 - Clemson 77	0.599	Miami 95 - Clemson 82	-17
Middle Tennessee 84 - Unranked 57		Middle Tennessee 84 - Unranked 47
Missouri State 75 - Northern Iowa 70	0.626	Missouri State 62 - Northern Iowa 64	7
Montana State 73 - Oral Roberts 72	0.531	Montana State 76 - Oral Roberts 82	7
Navy 67 - Boston 65	0.58	Navy 62 - Boston 60	0
Nebraska 75 - Indiana 71	0.605	Nebraska 86 - Indiana 70	-12
North Carolina Central 87 - Unranked 57		North Carolina Central 112 - Unranked 70
North Dakota 71 - Northern Colorado 76	0.654	North Dakota 87 - Northern Colorado 97	5
North Dakota State 69 - Montana 75	0.649	North Dakota State 86 - Montana 96	4
Notre Dame 68 - NC State 75	0.668	Notre Dame 52 - NC State 54	-5
Ohio State 75 - Rutgers 65	0.768	Ohio State 76 - Rutgers 72	6
Oklahoma State 79 - Chicago State 60	0.915	Oklahoma State 72 - Chicago State 53	0
Omaha 69 - Northern Arizona 70	0.525	Omaha 81 - Northern Arizona 55	-27
Providence 75 - Seton Hall 67	0.715	Providence 57 - Seton Hall 61	12
Radford 71 - High Point 72	0.508	Radford 71 - High Point 85	13
Rhode Island 66 - Saint Josephs 77	0.769	Rhode Island 78 - Saint Josephs 74	-15
Sacramento State 68 - UMKC 71	0.586	Sacramento State 67 - UMKC 64	-6
Saint Louis 73 - Loyola Ill 72	0.51	Saint Louis 73 - Loyola Ill 80	8
Samford 82 - Chattanooga 70	0.818	Samford 89 - Chattanooga 74	-3
San Diego State 82 - Fresno State 60	0.941	San Diego State 74 - Fresno State 47	-5
South Dakota 69 - Eastern Washington 79	0.72	South Dakota 79 - Eastern Washington 93	4
Southern California 80 - California 72	0.718	Southern California 82 - California 74	0
The Citadel 68 - Western Carolina 70	0.563	The Citadel 71 - Western Carolina 80	7
Tulane 82 - Rice 72	0.748	Tulane 84 - Rice 59	-15
UCLA 73 - Stanford 72	0.513	UCLA 53 - Stanford 59	7
UL Monroe 65 - Marshall 75	0.765	UL Monroe 57 - Marshall 68	1
UNC Asheville 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.778	UNC Asheville 95 - South Carolina Upstate 67	-19
UNC Greensboro 74 - Furman 72	0.538	UNC Greensboro 79 - Furman 68	-9
Valparaiso 63 - Bradley 75	0.812	Valparaiso 61 - Bradley 86	13
Villanova 75 - Xavier 70	0.64	Villanova 66 - Xavier 65	4
Virginia 77 - Louisville 61	0.811	Virginia 77 - Louisville 53	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.607	Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Saint Bonaventure 89	15
Weber State 76 - South Dakota State 67	0.696	Weber State 75 - South Dakota State 73	7
Winthrop 69 - Longwood 70	0.507	Winthrop 68 - Longwood 60	-9
Wofford 81 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.954	Wofford 87 - Virginia Military Institute 85	17

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 82 - Colorado 76	0.648	Arizona 97 - Colorado 50	-41
Arizona State 69 - Utah 79	0.754	Arizona State 82 - Utah 70	-22
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.557	Arkansas Little Rock 88 - SIU Edwardsville 80	-5
Arkansas State 75 - Georgia Southern 67	0.729	Arkansas State 109 - Georgia Southern 83	-18
Bellarmine 66 - Austin Peay 68	0.541	Bellarmine 68 - Austin Peay 84	14
Cal Poly 66 - Long Beach State 77	0.794	Cal Poly 82 - Long Beach State 89	-4
Cal State Bakersfield 63 - Hawaii 73	0.834	Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Hawaii 78	1
Columbia 89 - Unranked 59		Columbia 120 - Unranked 52
Delaware 81 - Hampton 63	0.904	Delaware 80 - Hampton 53	-9
Detroit 62 - Green Bay 72	0.737	Detroit 51 - Green Bay 69	8
Drexel 69 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.538	Drexel 78 - UNC Wilmington 63	-17
Eastern Kentucky 67 - Lipscomb 77	0.795	Eastern Kentucky 80 - Lipscomb 72	-18
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Jacksonville 68	0.595	Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Jacksonville 70	-6
Gonzaga 85 - Pepperdine 65	0.93	Gonzaga 86 - Pepperdine 60	-6
Hofstra 74 - College of Charleston 73	0.528	Hofstra 61 - College of Charleston 73	13
LIU Brooklyn 63 - Wagner 70	0.71	LIU Brooklyn 69 - Wagner 67	-9
Loyola Marymount 72 - Santa Clara 75	0.576	Loyola Marymount 57 - Santa Clara 68	8
Merrimack 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.793	Merrimack 60 - Fairleigh Dickinson 56	7
Michigan 77 - Minnesota 74	0.58	Michigan 71 - Minnesota 73	5
Michigan State 79 - Penn State 67	0.776	Michigan State 92 - Penn State 61	-19
Monmouth 69 - Towson 68	0.526	Monmouth 51 - Towson 43	-7
Morehead State 78 - Tennessee Tech 59	0.93	Morehead State 82 - Tennessee Tech 57	-6
New Mexico State 71 - Texas El Paso 70	0.508	New Mexico State 63 - Texas El Paso 53	-9
North Carolina AT 70 - Campbell 71	0.552	North Carolina AT 76 - Campbell 62	-15
Northeastern 74 - Stony Brook 72	0.574	Northeastern 53 - Stony Brook 62	11
Northern Kentucky 70 - Youngstown State 73	0.583	Northern Kentucky 79 - Youngstown State 76	-6
Oakland 79 - Milwaukee 68	0.805	Oakland 100 - Milwaukee 95	6
Pacific 56 - San Francisco 83	0.938	Pacific 88 - San Francisco 92	-23
Robert Morris 76 - IUPUI 65	0.796	Robert Morris 92 - IUPUI 48	-33
Sacred Heart 72 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.658	Sacred Heart 79 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-7
San Diego 63 - Saint Marys 77	0.814	San Diego 70 - Saint Marys 81	-3
Seattle 79 - Utah Tech 66	0.813	Seattle 70 - Utah Tech 53	-4
South Alabama 67 - Appalachian State 72	0.604	South Alabama 84 - Appalachian State 91	2
South Florida 74 - Temple 69	0.63	South Florida 76 - Temple 68	-3
Southern Indiana 69 - Tennessee State 72	0.609	Southern Indiana 69 - Tennessee State 67	-5
Southern Miss 70 - Georgia State 71	0.536	Southern Miss 79 - Georgia State 73	-7
Southern Utah 69 - Grand Canyon 82	0.845	Southern Utah 75 - Grand Canyon 96	8
Stetson 78 - North Florida 69	0.724	Stetson 75 - North Florida 74	8
Stonehill 67 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.619	Stonehill 59 - Central Connecticut State 74	11
Tarleton State 73 - Texas Arlington 68	0.633	Tarleton State 78 - Texas Arlington 76	3
Tennessee Martin 77 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.787	Tennessee Martin 72 - Eastern Illinois 79	17
Texas Pan American 67 - Stephen F Austin 79	0.787	Texas Pan American 78 - Stephen F Austin 85	-5
Texas State 75 - Coastal Carolina 64	0.855	Texas State 63 - Coastal Carolina 71	19
Troy 74 - Old Dominion 69	0.633	Troy 86 - Old Dominion 73	-8
Tulsa 67 - Memphis 81	0.854	Tulsa 75 - Memphis 78	-11
UC Irvine 76 - Cal State Fullerton 63	0.862	UC Irvine 75 - Cal State Fullerton 67	5
UC Riverside 71 - UC Davis 69	0.548	UC Riverside 63 - UC Davis 83	22
UC Santa Barbara 72 - UC San Diego 70	0.58	UC Santa Barbara 72 - UC San Diego 79	9
UL Lafayette 70 - James Madison 79	0.737	UL Lafayette 61 - James Madison 68	-2
Utah Valley 71 - Cal Baptist 68	0.579	Utah Valley 65 - Cal Baptist 58	-4
Washington 78 - Oregon 77	0.56	Washington 74 - Oregon 76	3
Washington State 76 - Oregon State 67	0.729	Washington State 65 - Oregon State 58	2
Western Illinois 76 - SE Missouri State 65	0.807	Western Illinois 68 - SE Missouri State 61	4
Wichita State 70 - North Texas 69	0.504	Wichita State 62 - North Texas 74	13
William and Mary 71 - Elon 75	0.597	William and Mary 77 - Elon 70	-11
Wright State 76 - Cleveland State 77	0.551	Wright State 82 - Cleveland State 70	-13

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Bowling Green 66	0.699	Akron 83 - Bowling Green 67	-8
Butler 73 - Connecticut 78	0.628	Butler 81 - Connecticut 88	2
Manhattan 70 - Niagara 71	0.531	Manhattan 67 - Niagara 81	13
Mt St Marys 68 - Canisius 73	0.65	Mt St Marys 74 - Canisius 69	-10
Purdue 80 - Illinois 72	0.737	Purdue 83 - Illinois 78	3
Quinnipiac 77 - Rider 69	0.779	Quinnipiac 88 - Rider 84	4
Saint Peters 64 - Iona 67	0.601	Saint Peters 69 - Iona 57	-15
San Jose State 67 - Boise State 79	0.809	San Jose State 69 - Boise State 78	-3
Siena 62 - Fairfield 74	0.802	Siena 69 - Fairfield 93	12
Toledo 80 - Miami OH 71	0.743	Toledo 68 - Miami OH 64	5

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Texas Pan American 68	0.799	Abilene Christian 91 - Texas Pan American 89	9
Arizona 83 - Utah 78	0.603	Arizona 92 - Utah 73	-14
Arizona State 68 - Colorado 77	0.73	Arizona State 76 - Colorado 73	-12
Arkansas 73 - Auburn 78	0.645	Arkansas 51 - Auburn 83	27
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.689	Arkansas Little Rock 88 - Eastern Illinois 90	9
Arkansas Pine Bluff 79 - Alabama AM 77	0.584	Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Alabama AM 63	3
Arkansas State 72 - Old Dominion 69	0.586	Arkansas State 90 - Old Dominion 75	-12
Army 70 - Holy Cross 62	0.698	Army 70 - Holy Cross 57	-5
Ball State 74 - Central Michigan 65	0.717	Ball State 65 - Central Michigan 71	15
Bellarmine 65 - Lipscomb 74	0.738	Bellarmine 70 - Lipscomb 81	2
Bethune Cookman 68 - Florida AM 69	0.501	Bethune Cookman 98 - Florida AM 86	-13
Boston 70 - Lafayette 60	0.774	Boston 51 - Lafayette 59	18
Bradley 71 - Missouri State 70	0.517	Bradley 86 - Missouri State 60	-25
Brigham Young 80 - Cincinnati 71	0.725	Brigham Young 60 - Cincinnati 71	20
Bucknell 70 - American 69	0.515	Bucknell 63 - American 71	9
Buffalo 72 - Western Michigan 71	0.511	Buffalo 77 - Western Michigan 82	6
Cal Poly 65 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.764	Cal Poly 52 - UC Santa Barbara 61	0
Cal State Fullerton 69 - UC San Diego 68	0.521	Cal State Fullerton 58 - UC San Diego 76	19
Cal State Northridge 72 - Hawaii 70	0.552	Cal State Northridge 76 - Hawaii 66	-8
Charlotte 66 - Florida Atlantic 78	0.766	Charlotte 70 - Florida Atlantic 68	-14
Chattanooga 74 - Furman 76	0.568	Chattanooga 73 - Furman 58	-17
Clemson 79 - North Carolina 76	0.598	Clemson 55 - North Carolina 65	13
Creighton 76 - Providence 72	0.59	Creighton 69 - Providence 60	-5
Delaware State 72 - Coppin State 61	0.78	Delaware State 55 - Coppin State 53	9
Detroit 67 - Milwaukee 75	0.724	Detroit 61 - Milwaukee 84	15
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Austin Peay 71	0.6	Eastern Kentucky 69 - Austin Peay 59	-13
Eastern Michigan 66 - Kent State 77	0.822	Eastern Michigan 71 - Kent State 69	-13
Eastern Washington 78 - North Dakota State 68	0.745	Eastern Washington 91 - North Dakota State 83	2
Elon 78 - North Carolina AT 70	0.777	Elon 77 - North Carolina AT 59	-10
Evansville 76 - Murray State 66	0.744	Evansville 59 - Murray State 81	32
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Le Moyne 73	0.542	Fairleigh Dickinson 63 - Le Moyne 74	13
Florida 79 - Kentucky 81	0.574	Florida 85 - Kentucky 87	0
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - North Florida 66	0.692	Florida Gulf Coast 58 - North Florida 78	27
Florida State 70 - Virginia Tech 73	0.577	Florida State 77 - Virginia Tech 74	-6
Fordham 73 - La Salle 71	0.576	Fordham 76 - La Salle 81	7
Fresno State 63 - Nevada 79	0.87	Fresno State 57 - Nevada 72	-1
George Mason 76 - Saint Louis 68	0.734	George Mason 79 - Saint Louis 67	-4
Georgetown 76 - DePaul 71	0.679	Georgetown 68 - DePaul 65	2
Georgia Tech 73 - Boston College 72	0.517	Georgia Tech 87 - Boston College 95	9
Gonzaga 84 - San Diego 66	0.918	Gonzaga 101 - San Diego 74	-9
Grambling State 68 - Prairie View 70	0.536	Grambling State 69 - Prairie View 63	-8
Hampton 68 - Campbell 70	0.571	Hampton 69 - Campbell 80	9
High Point 79 - Gardner Webb 68	0.804	High Point 85 - Gardner Webb 76	2
Hofstra 76 - Delaware 69	0.676	Hofstra 76 - Delaware 71	2
Houston 82 - West Virginia 56	0.966	Houston 89 - West Virginia 55	-8
Houston Christian 68 - Nicholls State 76	0.757	Houston Christian 94 - Nicholls State 98	-4
Idaho State 70 - Omaha 69	0.519	Idaho State 63 - Omaha 62	0
Illinois Chicago 72 - Valparaiso 61	0.797	Illinois Chicago 70 - Valparaiso 64	5
Illinois State 64 - Southern Illinois 71	0.684	Illinois State 64 - Southern Illinois 71	0
Incarnate Word 69 - Texas AM CC 73	0.595	Incarnate Word 65 - Texas AM CC 75	6
Indiana 72 - Ohio State 76	0.614	Indiana 71 - Ohio State 65	-10
Iowa 76 - Rutgers 70	0.661	Iowa 86 - Rutgers 77	-3
IPFW 81 - Wright State 71	0.758	IPFW 98 - Wright State 106	18
Jackson State 78 - Alcorn State 70	0.737	Jackson State 88 - Alcorn State 80	0
Jacksonville State 74 - Florida International 66	0.736	Jacksonville State 70 - Florida International 63	1
Kansas 80 - Texas Christian 72	0.747	Kansas 83 - Texas Christian 81	6
Kansas State 73 - Central Florida 72	0.536	Kansas State 77 - Central Florida 52	-24
Kennesaw St 81 - Queens 75	0.724	Kennesaw St 80 - Queens 77	3
Lamar 79 - Northwestern State 68	0.794	Lamar 90 - Northwestern State 70	-9
Long Beach State 77 - UC Riverside 70	0.674	Long Beach State 83 - UC Riverside 75	-1
Longwood 78 - Charleston Southern 60	0.897	Longwood 77 - Charleston Southern 56	-3
Louisville 66 - Pittsburgh 79	0.804	Louisville 70 - Pittsburgh 83	0
Loyola Ill 69 - Duquesne 72	0.591	Loyola Ill 72 - Duquesne 67	-8
Loyola Marymount 63 - Saint Marys 75	0.785	Loyola Marymount 64 - Saint Marys 68	-8
Loyola MD 66 - Lehigh 72	0.673	Loyola MD 76 - Lehigh 88	6
Maryland Eastern Shore 72 - Morgan State 68	0.598	Maryland Eastern Shore 75 - Morgan State 74	3
Merrimack 72 - Sacred Heart 65	0.717	Merrimack 82 - Sacred Heart 58	-17
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Alabama State 74	0.847	Mississippi Valley State 51 - Alabama State 54	-10
Missouri 72 - Georgia 73	0.516	Missouri 68 - Georgia 75	6
Montana 80 - South Dakota 66	0.788	Montana 82 - South Dakota 63	-5
Morehead State 77 - Tennessee State 64	0.869	Morehead State 78 - Tennessee State 68	3
Navy 64 - Colgate 69	0.66	Navy 72 - Colgate 80	3
NC State 71 - Virginia 70	0.518	NC State 76 - Virginia 60	-15
New Hampshire 73 - UMass Lowell 71	0.567	New Hampshire 75 - UMass Lowell 82	9
New Mexico 84 - Wyoming 67	0.856	New Mexico 77 - Wyoming 60	0
New Orleans 69 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.507	New Orleans 68 - Southeast Louisiana 73	4
NJ Tech 69 - Albany 74	0.65	NJ Tech 73 - Albany 79	1
North Alabama 78 - Central Arkansas 67	0.815	North Alabama 81 - Central Arkansas 84	14
North Carolina Central 74 - Howard 71	0.582	North Carolina Central 73 - Howard 54	-16
North Texas 76 - Tulane 72	0.603	North Texas 70 - Tulane 56	-10
Northern Arizona 72 - North Dakota 68	0.62	Northern Arizona 74 - North Dakota 73	3
Northern Colorado 79 - Denver 77	0.558	Northern Colorado 86 - Denver 82	-2
Notre Dame 65 - Duke 79	0.811	Notre Dame 59 - Duke 67	-6
Oakland 74 - Green Bay 65	0.732	Oakland 79 - Green Bay 73	3
Ohio 77 - Northern Illinois 73	0.629	Ohio 78 - Northern Illinois 66	-8
Oklahoma 74 - Iowa State 73	0.504	Oklahoma 71 - Iowa State 63	-7
Oklahoma State 71 - Baylor 80	0.746	Oklahoma State 70 - Baylor 75	-4
Oral Roberts 69 - Weber State 77	0.665	Oral Roberts 78 - Weber State 83	-3
Pennsylvania 77 - Dartmouth 62	0.818	Pennsylvania 80 - Dartmouth 51	-14
Pepperdine 70 - Santa Clara 77	0.673	Pepperdine 72 - Santa Clara 78	-1
Portland 76 - Pacific 66	0.736	Portland 78 - Pacific 64	-4
Presbyterian 67 - UNC Asheville 75	0.731	Presbyterian 80 - UNC Asheville 84	-4
Princeton 79 - Harvard 64	0.872	Princeton 89 - Harvard 58	-16
Rice 78 - Texas San Antonio 69	0.754	Rice 82 - Texas San Antonio 89	16
Richmond 69 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.542	Richmond 65 - Saint Bonaventure 54	-12
Saint Thomas 76 - Sacramento State 59	0.864	Saint Thomas 63 - Sacramento State 50	4
Sam Houston State 66 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.773	Sam Houston State 81 - Louisiana Tech 77	-13
San Diego State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	0.783	San Diego State 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 61	3
SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 64		SE Missouri State 71 - Unranked 61
Seattle 75 - Cal Baptist 66	0.748	Seattle 48 - Cal Baptist 46	7
Seton Hall 69 - Marquette 78	0.718	Seton Hall 78 - Marquette 75	-12
South Alabama 73 - Georgia State 67	0.688	South Alabama 76 - Georgia State 90	20
South Carolina 70 - Mississippi State 71	0.534	South Carolina 68 - Mississippi State 62	-7
South Carolina State 66 - Norfolk State 77	0.762	South Carolina State 72 - Norfolk State 79	-4
South Carolina Upstate 66 - Winthrop 73	0.75	South Carolina Upstate 80 - Winthrop 82	-5
South Dakota State 74 - Montana State 69	0.665	South Dakota State 89 - Montana State 61	-23
Southern 75 - Texas Southern 67	0.675	Southern 58 - Texas Southern 51	1
Southern California 77 - Stanford 76	0.515	Southern California 93 - Stanford 79	-13
Southern Indiana 70 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.566	Southern Indiana 59 - Tennessee Tech 73	17
Southern Miss 66 - James Madison 83	0.885	Southern Miss 81 - James Madison 71	-27
Stephen F Austin 75 - Texas Arlington 69	0.647	Stephen F Austin 92 - Texas Arlington 73	-13
Stetson 77 - Jacksonville 71	0.635	Stetson 71 - Jacksonville 55	-10
Stonehill 73 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.648	Stonehill 68 - LIU Brooklyn 73	11
Stony Brook 70 - College of Charleston 78	0.73	Stony Brook 87 - College of Charleston 93	-2
Tennessee 77 - Mississippi 66	0.785	Tennessee 90 - Mississippi 64	-15
Texas 74 - Texas Tech 71	0.588	Texas 67 - Texas Tech 78	14
Texas AM 79 - Louisiana State 68	0.793	Texas AM 53 - Louisiana State 68	26
Texas AM Commerce 63 - Mcneese State 76	0.791	Texas AM Commerce 67 - Mcneese State 73	-7
Texas State 70 - Marshall 69	0.512	Texas State 75 - Marshall 79	5
The Citadel 70 - Samford 77	0.67	The Citadel 64 - Samford 80	9
Towson 69 - UNC Wilmington 72	0.567	Towson 67 - UNC Wilmington 64	-6
Troy 68 - Appalachian State 75	0.67	Troy 66 - Appalachian State 62	-11
UC Irvine 77 - UC Davis 64	0.825	UC Irvine 74 - UC Davis 71	10
UCLA 76 - California 68	0.744	UCLA 57 - California 66	17
UL Lafayette 79 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.868	UL Lafayette 85 - Coastal Carolina 77	6
UL Monroe 69 - Georgia Southern 68	0.523	UL Monroe 68 - Georgia Southern 76	9
UMBC 73 - Bryant 83	0.724	UMBC 67 - Bryant 81	4
UMKC 68 - Portland State 72	0.602	UMKC 83 - Portland State 67	-20
UNC Greensboro 70 - East Tennessee State 68	0.559	UNC Greensboro 70 - East Tennessee State 54	-14
Utah State 75 - Colorado State 74	0.51	Utah State 77 - Colorado State 72	-4
Utah Tech 65 - Grand Canyon 81	0.871	Utah Tech 65 - Grand Canyon 75	-6
Utah Valley 77 - Southern Utah 72	0.626	Utah Valley 80 - Southern Utah 62	-13
Vanderbilt 67 - Alabama 86	0.873	Vanderbilt 75 - Alabama 78	-16
Vermont 73 - Maine 61	0.792	Vermont 65 - Maine 58	5
Villanova 76 - Saint Johns 71	0.61	Villanova 71 - Saint Johns 81	15
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - George Washington 68	0.763	Virginia Commonwealth 82 - George Washington 84	12
Virginia Military Institute 61 - Mercer 73	0.851	Virginia Military Institute 64 - Mercer 86	10
Wagner 68 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.702	Wagner 71 - Saint Francis Penn 56	-9
Wake Forest 76 - Miami 74	0.535	Wake Forest 86 - Miami 82	-2
Washington 81 - Oregon State 70	0.821	Washington 79 - Oregon State 72	4
Washington State 73 - Oregon 74	0.516	Washington State 84 - Oregon 89	4
Western Carolina 76 - Wofford 70	0.674	Western Carolina 70 - Wofford 66	2
Western Illinois 74 - Lindenwood 63	0.835	Western Illinois 68 - Lindenwood 57	0
Western Kentucky 70 - Liberty 74	0.626	Western Kentucky 70 - Liberty 68	-6
William and Mary 64 - Drexel 76	0.773	William and Mary 55 - Drexel 77	10
Wisconsin 76 - Nebraska 68	0.684	Wisconsin 88 - Nebraska 72	-8

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - South Florida 72	0.523	Alabama Birmingham 75 - South Florida 71	-3
Belmont 71 - Drake 77	0.655	Belmont 87 - Drake 65	-28
Cleveland State 75 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.677	Cleveland State 88 - Northern Kentucky 85	4
Dayton 80 - Massachusetts 68	0.817	Dayton 64 - Massachusetts 60	8
East Carolina 69 - Tulsa 70	0.501	East Carolina 62 - Tulsa 57	-6
Fairfield 68 - Marist 67	0.545	Fairfield 82 - Marist 61	-20
Iona 78 - Niagara 64	0.867	Iona 73 - Niagara 75	16
Memphis 79 - Southern Methodist 72	0.701	Memphis 62 - Southern Methodist 59	4
Minnesota 72 - Maryland 70	0.572	Minnesota 65 - Maryland 62	-1
Northern Iowa 72 - Indiana State 79	0.67	Northern Iowa 66 - Indiana State 77	4
Northwestern 69 - Michigan State 73	0.595	Northwestern 88 - Michigan State 74	-18
Penn State 76 - Michigan 77	0.524	Penn State 79 - Michigan 73	-7
Quinnipiac 77 - Manhattan 65	0.846	Quinnipiac 76 - Manhattan 59	-5
Rider 68 - Canisius 75	0.728	Rider 79 - Canisius 76	-10
Saint Peters 69 - Mt St Marys 64	0.655	Saint Peters 70 - Mt St Marys 64	-1
Temple 70 - Wichita State 75	0.628	Temple 68 - Wichita State 61	-12
Texas El Paso 73 - Chicago State 64	0.738	Texas El Paso 74 - Chicago State 69	4
Youngstown State 83 - IUPUI 59	0.934	Youngstown State 75 - IUPUI 65	14

Number of DI Games: 310
Number Correct: 218 = 70.3%
Expected Number Correct: 215.197 = 69.4%
Average Error: 8.83
Average Signed Error: -1.19

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Alabama State 77	0.707	Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Alabama State 83	5
Coppin State 64 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.582	Coppin State 58 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-6
Grambling State 67 - Texas Southern 68	0.504	Grambling State 52 - Texas Southern 54	1
Lamar 77 - Incarnate Word 69	0.714	Lamar 75 - Incarnate Word 59	-8
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Alabama AM 71	0.669	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Alabama AM 78	3
Monmouth 74 - Northeastern 68	0.702	Monmouth 81 - Northeastern 62	-13
Morgan State 68 - Delaware State 73	0.627	Morgan State 66 - Delaware State 78	7
New Orleans 68 - Texas AM Commerce 72	0.608	New Orleans 88 - Texas AM Commerce 85	-7
North Carolina Central 70 - Norfolk State 69	0.509	North Carolina Central 60 - Norfolk State 58	-1
Northwestern State 57 - Mcneese State 82	0.947	Northwestern State 59 - Mcneese State 68	-16
South Carolina State 73 - Howard 77	0.641	South Carolina State 78 - Howard 82	0
Southern 77 - Prairie View 66	0.736	Southern 79 - Prairie View 58	-10
Texas AM CC 79 - Houston Christian 66	0.855	Texas AM CC 81 - Houston Christian 59	-9

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - South Carolina 71	0.71	Alabama 74 - South Carolina 47	-17
Auburn 79 - Texas AM 68	0.771	Auburn 66 - Texas AM 55	0
Ball State 63 - Akron 76	0.818	Ball State 76 - Akron 80	-9
Baylor 78 - Brigham Young 76	0.544	Baylor 81 - Brigham Young 72	-7
Boise State 72 - Colorado State 75	0.621	Boise State 65 - Colorado State 58	-10
Bowling Green 73 - Ohio 71	0.538	Bowling Green 83 - Ohio 78	-3
Brown 65 - Yale 75	0.844	Brown 70 - Yale 80	0
Buffalo 70 - Miami OH 73	0.59	Buffalo 65 - Miami OH 86	18
Cincinnati 75 - Texas 70	0.625	Cincinnati 73 - Texas 74	6
Cornell 83 - Columbia 70	0.878	Cornell 91 - Columbia 79	1
Davidson 75 - Rhode Island 66	0.747	Davidson 74 - Rhode Island 79	14
DePaul 64 - Creighton 84	0.915	DePaul 58 - Creighton 84	6
Eastern Michigan 73 - Central Michigan 67	0.65	Eastern Michigan 64 - Central Michigan 80	22
Florida State 73 - Wake Forest 78	0.648	Florida State 87 - Wake Forest 82	-10
George Mason 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 68	0.686	George Mason 50 - Virginia Commonwealth 54	10
Georgetown 69 - Seton Hall 78	0.75	Georgetown 70 - Seton Hall 74	-5
Georgia Tech 72 - Notre Dame 67	0.641	Georgia Tech 68 - Notre Dame 75	12
Iowa State 65 - Houston 75	0.733	Iowa State 57 - Houston 53	-14
Kent State 75 - Toledo 74	0.541	Kent State 75 - Toledo 89	15
Kentucky 85 - Missouri 70	0.848	Kentucky 90 - Missouri 77	2
Louisiana State 77 - Vanderbilt 67	0.759	Louisiana State 77 - Vanderbilt 69	2
Loyola Ill 69 - Richmond 70	0.504	Loyola Ill 56 - Richmond 58	1
Nebraska 69 - Purdue 82	0.79	Nebraska 88 - Purdue 72	-29
Nevada 80 - Air Force 57	0.945	Nevada 67 - Air Force 54	10
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - New Mexico 78	0.603	Nevada Las Vegas 83 - New Mexico 73	-15
Nicholls State 74 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.631	Nicholls State 66 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0
Pittsburgh 71 - Duke 77	0.665	Pittsburgh 53 - Duke 75	16
Rutgers 70 - Indiana 71	0.544	Rutgers 66 - Indiana 57	-10
San Jose State 62 - San Diego State 82	0.92	San Jose State 78 - San Diego State 81	-17
Texas Tech 77 - Oklahoma State 67	0.796	Texas Tech 90 - Oklahoma State 73	-7
Utah State 83 - Wyoming 63	0.926	Utah State 83 - Wyoming 59	-4
West Virginia 69 - Kansas State 76	0.662	West Virginia 67 - Kansas State 81	7
Western Michigan 72 - Northern Illinois 73	0.509	Western Michigan 95 - Northern Illinois 90	-6

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 68 - Loyola MD 62	0.683	Army 65 - Loyola MD 71	12
Belmont 77 - Illinois State 67	0.743	Belmont 67 - Illinois State 60	3
Boston 68 - American 69	0.532	Boston 72 - American 68	-5
Bradley 77 - Evansville 66	0.753	Bradley 86 - Evansville 50	-25
California 71 - Colorado 81	0.737	California 82 - Colorado 78	-14
Central Florida 68 - Kansas 77	0.717	Central Florida 65 - Kansas 60	-14
Charlotte 72 - Tulsa 66	0.674	Charlotte 84 - Tulsa 76	-2
Colgate 74 - Lafayette 58	0.881	Colgate 64 - Lafayette 69	21
Drake 74 - Indiana State 75	0.52	Drake 89 - Indiana State 78	-12
East Tennessee State 68 - Western Carolina 70	0.554	East Tennessee State 66 - Western Carolina 80	12
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Chicago State 72	0.553	Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Chicago State 75	-1
Furman 74 - The Citadel 70	0.596	Furman 82 - The Citadel 68	-10
Gardner Webb 75 - Charleston Southern 64	0.808	Gardner Webb 74 - Charleston Southern 86	23
Georgia 75 - Arkansas 72	0.612	Georgia 76 - Arkansas 66	-7
High Point 77 - UNC Asheville 70	0.677	High Point 84 - UNC Asheville 79	2
Holy Cross 62 - Navy 72	0.802	Holy Cross 70 - Navy 80	0
IUPUI 60 - Green Bay 74	0.81	IUPUI 58 - Green Bay 68	-4
Kennesaw St 77 - Stetson 76	0.513	Kennesaw St 88 - Stetson 70	-17
Lehigh 72 - Bucknell 68	0.623	Lehigh 80 - Bucknell 86	10
Liberty 72 - Jacksonville State 62	0.735	Liberty 51 - Jacksonville State 61	20
Marquette 82 - Butler 73	0.74	Marquette 62 - Butler 69	16
Marshall 79 - Georgia Southern 66	0.823	Marshall 79 - Georgia Southern 74	8
Massachusetts 81 - La Salle 69	0.81	Massachusetts 81 - La Salle 65	-4
Memphis 89 - Texas San Antonio 63	0.964	Memphis 107 - Texas San Antonio 101	20
Miami 87 - Louisville 66	0.895	Miami 71 - Louisville 80	30
Mississippi 76 - Florida 77	0.507	Mississippi 103 - Florida 85	-19
Mississippi State 68 - Tennessee 75	0.685	Mississippi State 77 - Tennessee 72	-12
Missouri State 74 - Murray State 68	0.642	Missouri State 53 - Murray State 77	30
NC State 72 - North Carolina 80	0.729	NC State 54 - North Carolina 67	5
Northern Iowa 74 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.698	Northern Iowa 67 - Illinois Chicago 59	-1
Oakland 76 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.693	Oakland 70 - Northern Kentucky 65	2
Ohio State 72 - Wisconsin 75	0.596	Ohio State 60 - Wisconsin 71	8
Penn State 72 - Northwestern 76	0.595	Penn State 72 - Northwestern 76	0
Presbyterian 66 - Winthrop 76	0.817	Presbyterian 71 - Winthrop 81	0
Queens 73 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.527	Queens 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	-2
Robert Morris 72 - Wright State 79	0.681	Robert Morris 76 - Wright State 101	18
Saint Johns 77 - Providence 72	0.641	Saint Johns 75 - Providence 73	3
Saint Louis 71 - Saint Josephs 77	0.654	Saint Louis 88 - Saint Josephs 85	-9
Sam Houston State 70 - Western Kentucky 74	0.63	Sam Houston State 78 - Western Kentucky 74	-8
Southern California 76 - Washington State 74	0.551	Southern California 64 - Washington State 72	10
Syracuse 78 - Boston College 74	0.615	Syracuse 69 - Boston College 59	-6
Temple 71 - East Carolina 69	0.557	Temple 62 - East Carolina 73	13
Texas Christian 74 - Oklahoma 75	0.541	Texas Christian 80 - Oklahoma 71	-10
Troy 72 - UL Lafayette 69	0.593	Troy 79 - UL Lafayette 73	-3
Valparaiso 60 - Southern Illinois 76	0.866	Valparaiso 68 - Southern Illinois 77	-7
Virginia Tech 70 - Clemson 75	0.629	Virginia Tech 87 - Clemson 72	-20
Wofford 74 - Mercer 70	0.61	Wofford 74 - Mercer 73	3
Xavier 73 - Connecticut 77	0.637	Xavier 75 - Connecticut 80	1
Youngstown State 72 - IPFW 73	0.533	Youngstown State 93 - IPFW 85	-9

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 75 - Alcorn State 74	0.527	Alabama AM 71 - Alcorn State 74	4
Alabama State 72 - Jackson State 71	0.512	Alabama State 63 - Jackson State 73	11
Arkansas State 72 - Texas State 67	0.668	Arkansas State 85 - Texas State 82	2
Bryant 78 - Binghamton 70	0.669	Bryant 77 - Binghamton 69	0
Cal Baptist 67 - Tarleton State 69	0.561	Cal Baptist 77 - Tarleton State 63	-16
Campbell 63 - Delaware 75	0.81	Campbell 62 - Delaware 68	-6
Central Arkansas 70 - Eastern Kentucky 76	0.678	Central Arkansas 63 - Eastern Kentucky 86	17
Chattanooga 79 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0.936	Chattanooga 109 - Virginia Military Institute 61	-30
Coastal Carolina 66 - Appalachian State 78	0.803	Coastal Carolina 45 - Appalachian State 70	13
College of Charleston 83 - Elon 65	0.911	College of Charleston 80 - Elon 62	0
Eastern Illinois 61 - Morehead State 73	0.838	Eastern Illinois 52 - Morehead State 78	14
Florida International 72 - New Mexico State 74	0.551	Florida International 77 - New Mexico State 67	-12
Georgia State 74 - Old Dominion 68	0.688	Georgia State 77 - Old Dominion 70	-1
Grand Canyon 83 - Abilene Christian 65	0.916	Grand Canyon 74 - Abilene Christian 64	8
Hampton 69 - William and Mary 73	0.612	Hampton 61 - William and Mary 73	8
Hawaii 67 - UC Irvine 72	0.676	Hawaii 50 - UC Irvine 60	5
Illinois 78 - Michigan State 72	0.632	Illinois 71 - Michigan State 68	3
James Madison 80 - South Alabama 67	0.799	James Madison 89 - South Alabama 55	-21
Longwood 71 - Radford 66	0.657	Longwood 58 - Radford 69	16
Maine 68 - New Hampshire 70	0.574	Maine 74 - New Hampshire 79	3
Maryland 74 - Michigan 72	0.541	Maryland 64 - Michigan 57	-5
Middle Tennessee 61 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.787	Middle Tennessee 52 - Louisiana Tech 60	-4
Montana 78 - Northern Colorado 72	0.695	Montana 92 - Northern Colorado 98	12
Montana State 72 - Northern Arizona 68	0.639	Montana State 79 - Northern Arizona 50	-25
North Alabama 74 - Bellarmine 69	0.659	North Alabama 69 - Bellarmine 53	-11
North Carolina AT 63 - Drexel 78	0.848	North Carolina AT 63 - Drexel 67	-11
Northeastern 68 - Hofstra 75	0.701	Northeastern 71 - Hofstra 68	-10
Omaha 72 - North Dakota 67	0.625	Omaha 79 - North Dakota 61	-13
Oral Roberts 80 - South Dakota 69	0.759	Oral Roberts 84 - South Dakota 66	-7
Oregon State 72 - Stanford 75	0.564	Oregon State 84 - Stanford 88	1
Pepperdine 78 - Pacific 66	0.77	Pepperdine 93 - Pacific 78	-3
Portland State 75 - Idaho State 65	0.767	Portland State 63 - Idaho State 69	16
Sacramento State 61 - Weber State 78	0.859	Sacramento State 71 - Weber State 69	-19
Saint Marys 81 - Portland 58	0.919	Saint Marys 95 - Portland 52	-20
Saint Thomas 70 - South Dakota State 68	0.561	Saint Thomas 80 - South Dakota State 81	3
Samford 77 - UNC Greensboro 69	0.702	Samford 79 - UNC Greensboro 70	-1
San Diego 67 - San Francisco 78	0.775	San Diego 63 - San Francisco 83	9
Santa Clara 73 - Gonzaga 80	0.716	Santa Clara 77 - Gonzaga 76	-8
SE Missouri State 71 - Lindenwood 68	0.597	SE Missouri State 68 - Lindenwood 74	9
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Southern Indiana 64	0.711	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Southern Indiana 64	5
Tennessee Martin 74 - Western Illinois 73	0.507	Tennessee Martin 64 - Western Illinois 73	10
Texas Arlington 70 - Utah Valley 73	0.583	Texas Arlington 83 - Utah Valley 69	-17
Texas Pan American 64 - Seattle 79	0.875	Texas Pan American 81 - Seattle 80	-16
Towson 71 - Stony Brook 66	0.63	Towson 73 - Stony Brook 64	-4
Tulane 75 - Florida Atlantic 82	0.664	Tulane 84 - Florida Atlantic 85	-6
UC Davis 71 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.519	UC Davis 95 - Cal State Northridge 75	-21
UC Riverside 73 - Cal Poly 64	0.745	UC Riverside 71 - Cal Poly 56	-6
UC San Diego 76 - Long Beach State 73	0.569	UC San Diego 88 - Long Beach State 74	-11
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.819	UC Santa Barbara 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	9
UL Monroe 64 - Southern Miss 72	0.712	UL Monroe 58 - Southern Miss 71	5
UMass Lowell 78 - NJ Tech 63	0.881	UMass Lowell 70 - NJ Tech 62	7
UMKC 72 - North Dakota State 71	0.547	UMKC 91 - North Dakota State 92	2
UNC Wilmington 73 - Monmouth 70	0.582	UNC Wilmington 69 - Monmouth 56	-10
Utah 79 - UCLA 66	0.826	Utah 90 - UCLA 44	-33
Utah Tech 69 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.686	Utah Tech 75 - Stephen F Austin 70	-12
Vermont 84 - UMBC 64	0.908	Vermont 77 - UMBC 72	15
Washington 78 - Arizona State 74	0.612	Washington 82 - Arizona State 67	-11

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 81 - Buffalo 60	0.938	Akron 76 - Buffalo 59	4
Canisius 77 - Siena 60	0.872	Canisius 67 - Siena 63	13
Duquesne 66 - Dayton 76	0.802	Duquesne 62 - Dayton 72	0
Indiana 74 - Minnesota 71	0.599	Indiana 74 - Minnesota 62	-9
Iowa 79 - Nebraska 78	0.539	Iowa 94 - Nebraska 76	-17
Kennesaw St 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.673	Kennesaw St 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	3
Marist 68 - Quinnipiac 70	0.549	Marist 55 - Quinnipiac 66	9
Milwaukee 73 - Cleveland State 76	0.583	Milwaukee 88 - Cleveland State 80	-11
Nevada 75 - Boise State 69	0.687	Nevada 56 - Boise State 64	14
Niagara 70 - Fairfield 74	0.639	Niagara 96 - Fairfield 72	-28
North Florida 74 - Jacksonville 70	0.623	North Florida 82 - Jacksonville 74	-4
Queens 73 - Stetson 78	0.629	Queens 66 - Stetson 84	13
Rider 75 - Manhattan 67	0.767	Rider 71 - Manhattan 58	-5
Robert Morris 67 - IPFW 77	0.74	Robert Morris 91 - IPFW 88	-13
South Florida 76 - Rice 66	0.735	South Florida 81 - Rice 73	2
Villanova 83 - DePaul 61	0.938	Villanova 94 - DePaul 69	-3
Youngstown State 77 - Wright State 75	0.538	Youngstown State 81 - Wright State 71	-8

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - San Jose State 69	0.518	Air Force 67 - San Jose State 70	4
Alabama AM 69 - Jackson State 76	0.74	Alabama AM 67 - Jackson State 75	1
Alabama State 77 - Alcorn State 69	0.729	Alabama State 55 - Alcorn State 53	6
Albany 75 - Binghamton 71	0.605	Albany 95 - Binghamton 75	-16
American 70 - Army 63	0.698	American 79 - Army 60	-12
Arkansas State 72 - UL Lafayette 71	0.507	Arkansas State 80 - UL Lafayette 84	5
Auburn 81 - Louisiana State 67	0.811	Auburn 93 - Louisiana State 78	-1
Baylor 78 - Cincinnati 74	0.617	Baylor 62 - Cincinnati 59	1
Bethune Cookman 70 - Grambling State 68	0.556	Bethune Cookman 69 - Grambling State 79	12
Bucknell 63 - Colgate 73	0.751	Bucknell 73 - Colgate 84	1
Butler 76 - Seton Hall 75	0.532	Butler 72 - Seton Hall 78	7
Cal Baptist 73 - Abilene Christian 69	0.612	Cal Baptist 68 - Abilene Christian 53	-11
Cal Poly 62 - UC San Diego 75	0.811	Cal Poly 61 - UC San Diego 86	12
Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.753	Cal State Northridge 76 - Cal State Fullerton 71	3
Campbell 61 - Hofstra 76	0.853	Campbell 69 - Hofstra 68	-16
Central Arkansas 71 - Bellarmine 72	0.511	Central Arkansas 59 - Bellarmine 57	-3
Central Florida 69 - Brigham Young 77	0.684	Central Florida 58 - Brigham Young 63	-3
Central Michigan 65 - Kent State 77	0.799	Central Michigan 77 - Kent State 62	-27
Charleston Southern 67 - South Carolina Upstate 70	0.582	Charleston Southern 77 - South Carolina Upstate 70	-10
Chattanooga 68 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.593	Chattanooga 54 - UNC Greensboro 70	13
Clemson 80 - Boston College 72	0.752	Clemson 89 - Boston College 78	-3
Coastal Carolina 74 - Old Dominion 73	0.505	Coastal Carolina 79 - Old Dominion 75	-3
College of Charleston 78 - Monmouth 69	0.768	College of Charleston 94 - Monmouth 83	-2
Colorado 80 - Southern California 73	0.656	Colorado 68 - Southern California 58	-3
Creighton 78 - Saint Johns 75	0.589	Creighton 66 - Saint Johns 65	2
Denver 74 - South Dakota State 77	0.571	Denver 99 - South Dakota State 80	-22
Detroit 62 - Northern Kentucky 76	0.834	Detroit 76 - Northern Kentucky 81	-9
Duke 82 - Georgia Tech 67	0.855	Duke 84 - Georgia Tech 79	10
East Carolina 65 - Southern Methodist 76	0.775	East Carolina 64 - Southern Methodist 75	0
Eastern Illinois 65 - Western Illinois 68	0.596	Eastern Illinois 60 - Western Illinois 63	0
Elon 65 - Drexel 75	0.763	Elon 69 - Drexel 89	10
Evansville 70 - Missouri State 72	0.554	Evansville 64 - Missouri State 74	8
Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Stonehill 69	0.641	Fairleigh Dickinson 81 - Stonehill 74	-2
Florida 81 - Arkansas 75	0.699	Florida 90 - Arkansas 68	-16
Florida AM 68 - Southern 75	0.685	Florida AM 65 - Southern 74	2
Florida International 71 - Texas El Paso 73	0.553	Florida International 72 - Texas El Paso 68	-6
Furman 73 - East Tennessee State 72	0.51	Furman 82 - East Tennessee State 73	-8
Gardner Webb 74 - Presbyterian 67	0.716	Gardner Webb 76 - Presbyterian 60	-9
George Washington 73 - Davidson 75	0.557	George Washington 83 - Davidson 79	-6
Georgia 67 - Tennessee 77	0.823	Georgia 79 - Tennessee 85	-4
Georgia State 76 - Georgia Southern 67	0.758	Georgia State 90 - Georgia Southern 62	-19
Grand Canyon 77 - Tarleton State 65	0.837	Grand Canyon 74 - Tarleton State 48	-14
Hawaii 74 - UC Riverside 65	0.775	Hawaii 63 - UC Riverside 56	2
Howard 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	0.742	Howard 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	-2
Idaho 69 - Eastern Washington 78	0.725	Idaho 58 - Eastern Washington 79	12
Illinois Chicago 66 - Bradley 73	0.682	Illinois Chicago 59 - Bradley 77	11
Indiana State 81 - Belmont 72	0.72	Indiana State 94 - Belmont 64	-21
Iowa State 77 - Oklahoma State 66	0.776	Iowa State 66 - Oklahoma State 42	-13
IUPUI 60 - Oakland 82	0.914	IUPUI 66 - Oakland 88	0
James Madison 75 - Appalachian State 71	0.606	James Madison 55 - Appalachian State 59	8
Kansas 76 - Oklahoma 71	0.639	Kansas 78 - Oklahoma 66	-7
La Salle 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.701	La Salle 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0
Lafayette 63 - Navy 66	0.619	Lafayette 78 - Navy 62	-19
Le Moyne 65 - Merrimack 71	0.636	Le Moyne 62 - Merrimack 66	-2
Lehigh 77 - Holy Cross 65	0.856	Lehigh 66 - Holy Cross 69	15
Lipscomb 73 - Austin Peay 65	0.711	Lipscomb 91 - Austin Peay 77	-6
Louisville 68 - NC State 81	0.838	Louisville 83 - NC State 89	-7
Loyola Marymount 79 - Pacific 63	0.836	Loyola Marymount 81 - Pacific 64	-1
Loyola MD 65 - Boston 69	0.62	Loyola MD 58 - Boston 60	-2
Marshall 75 - South Alabama 69	0.66	Marshall 85 - South Alabama 91	12
Mcneese State 78 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.86	Mcneese State 74 - Southeast Louisiana 65	10
Mercer 66 - Western Carolina 72	0.656	Mercer 52 - Western Carolina 64	6
Miami OH 73 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.591	Miami OH 71 - Eastern Michigan 54	-14
Middle Tennessee 67 - Sam Houston State 70	0.599	Middle Tennessee 51 - Sam Houston State 60	6
Mississippi 78 - Vanderbilt 65	0.818	Mississippi 69 - Vanderbilt 56	0
Mississippi State 74 - Alabama 78	0.582	Mississippi State 74 - Alabama 82	4
Missouri 70 - South Carolina 74	0.625	Missouri 69 - South Carolina 71	-2
Montana 78 - Northern Arizona 63	0.822	Montana 90 - Northern Arizona 47	-28
Montana State 73 - Northern Colorado 76	0.612	Montana State 90 - Northern Colorado 81	-12
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - Utah State 78	0.702	Nevada Las Vegas 86 - Utah State 87	-7
New Hampshire 75 - Bryant 74	0.527	New Hampshire 74 - Bryant 89	16
New Mexico 72 - San Diego State 76	0.596	New Mexico 88 - San Diego State 70	-22
New Orleans 67 - Texas AM CC 74	0.685	New Orleans 83 - Texas AM CC 80	-10
Nicholls State 77 - Lamar 73	0.623	Nicholls State 76 - Lamar 78	6
North Alabama 73 - Eastern Kentucky 74	0.518	North Alabama 72 - Eastern Kentucky 81	8
North Carolina 82 - Syracuse 71	0.773	North Carolina 103 - Syracuse 67	-25
North Texas 74 - Temple 62	0.838	North Texas 69 - Temple 51	-6
Northeastern 67 - Towson 69	0.564	Northeastern 67 - Towson 59	-10
Northern Illinois 72 - Bowling Green 73	0.543	Northern Illinois 72 - Bowling Green 83	10
Northwestern State 69 - Incarnate Word 73	0.614	Northwestern State 97 - Incarnate Word 71	-30
Notre Dame 69 - Florida State 72	0.595	Notre Dame 58 - Florida State 67	6
Omaha 71 - North Dakota State 70	0.511	Omaha 96 - North Dakota State 92	-3
Oral Roberts 70 - Saint Thomas 72	0.561	Oral Roberts 76 - Saint Thomas 87	9
Oregon 83 - California 69	0.851	Oregon 80 - California 73	7
Portland State 66 - Weber State 76	0.731	Portland State 69 - Weber State 66	-13
Prairie View 74 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.789	Prairie View 71 - Mississippi Valley State 60	1
Providence 74 - Xavier 71	0.568	Providence 65 - Xavier 85	23
Purdue 87 - Penn State 64	0.917	Purdue 95 - Penn State 78	6
Rhode Island 70 - Massachusetts 78	0.706	Rhode Island 89 - Massachusetts 77	-20
Richmond 69 - George Mason 70	0.533	Richmond 77 - George Mason 70	-8
Sacramento State 69 - Idaho State 67	0.579	Sacramento State 66 - Idaho State 64	0
Sacred Heart 74 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.683	Sacred Heart 89 - LIU Brooklyn 55	-28
Saint Bonaventure 77 - Fordham 65	0.805	Saint Bonaventure 74 - Fordham 80	18
Saint Francis Penn 64 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.705	Saint Francis Penn 61 - Central Connecticut State 75	7
Saint Josephs 74 - Loyola Ill 69	0.622	Saint Josephs 75 - Loyola Ill 78	8
Samford 88 - Virginia Military Institute 59	0.968	Samford 134 - Virginia Military Institute 96	-9
San Diego 76 - Pepperdine 71	0.637	San Diego 77 - Pepperdine 83	11
San Francisco 82 - Portland 61	0.905	San Francisco 96 - Portland 69	-6
Santa Clara 68 - Saint Marys 74	0.644	Santa Clara 49 - Saint Marys 73	18
SIU Edwardsville 63 - Morehead State 74	0.81	SIU Edwardsville 61 - Morehead State 48	-24
Southern Illinois 71 - Drake 70	0.514	Southern Illinois 58 - Drake 76	19
Southern Utah 72 - Stephen F Austin 79	0.684	Southern Utah 82 - Stephen F Austin 84	-5
Tennessee Martin 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	0.565	Tennessee Martin 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	-3
Tennessee State 74 - Lindenwood 65	0.794	Tennessee State 75 - Lindenwood 60	-6
Tennessee Tech 72 - SE Missouri State 67	0.653	Tennessee Tech 70 - SE Missouri State 59	-6
Texas AM 74 - Kentucky 80	0.635	Texas AM 97 - Kentucky 92	-11
Texas AM Commerce 77 - Houston Christian 67	0.787	Texas AM Commerce 65 - Houston Christian 69	14
Texas Arlington 68 - Seattle 75	0.7	Texas Arlington 80 - Seattle 75	-12
Texas Christian 66 - Houston 78	0.822	Texas Christian 68 - Houston 67	-13
Texas Pan American 67 - Utah Valley 78	0.788	Texas Pan American 76 - Utah Valley 68	-19
Texas San Antonio 66 - Charlotte 77	0.795	Texas San Antonio 58 - Charlotte 66	-3
Texas Southern 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.767	Texas Southern 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	10
Texas Tech 75 - Kansas State 70	0.633	Texas Tech 60 - Kansas State 59	4
The Citadel 72 - Wofford 71	0.525	The Citadel 71 - Wofford 72	2
Toledo 79 - Ball State 67	0.796	Toledo 77 - Ball State 72	7
Troy 75 - Southern Miss 68	0.675	Troy 82 - Southern Miss 56	-19
UC Davis 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.831	UC Davis 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 71	5
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Long Beach State 76	0.537	UC Santa Barbara 85 - Long Beach State 76	-10
UL Monroe 62 - Texas State 69	0.712	UL Monroe 54 - Texas State 67	6
UMass Lowell 84 - UMBC 66	0.895	UMass Lowell 86 - UMBC 82	14
UMKC 73 - North Dakota 67	0.653	UMKC 69 - North Dakota 82	19
UNC Asheville 71 - Longwood 70	0.502	UNC Asheville 65 - Longwood 61	-3
Vermont 78 - NJ Tech 60	0.897	Vermont 76 - NJ Tech 55	-3
Virginia Tech 73 - Miami 76	0.58	Virginia Tech 71 - Miami 75	1
Wake Forest 74 - Virginia 67	0.643	Wake Forest 66 - Virginia 47	-12
Washington State 71 - Arizona 85	0.768	Washington State 73 - Arizona 70	-17
West Virginia 69 - Texas 76	0.726	West Virginia 76 - Texas 73	-10
Western Kentucky 72 - Jacksonville State 65	0.7	Western Kentucky 80 - Jacksonville State 69	-4
Western Michigan 71 - Ohio 75	0.663	Western Michigan 81 - Ohio 79	-6
William and Mary 68 - Stony Brook 76	0.717	William and Mary 59 - Stony Brook 63	-4
Winthrop 72 - Radford 68	0.659	Winthrop 92 - Radford 88	0
Wisconsin 77 - Northwestern 68	0.718	Wisconsin 71 - Northwestern 63	1
Wyoming 73 - Fresno State 69	0.617	Wyoming 68 - Fresno State 67	3

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Connecticut 86 - Georgetown 64	0.94	Connecticut 80 - Georgetown 67	9
Florida Atlantic 82 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.802	Florida Atlantic 86 - Alabama Birmingham 73	2
Green Bay 68 - Cleveland State 70	0.562	Green Bay 79 - Cleveland State 71	-10
Illinois 81 - Maryland 66	0.877	Illinois 67 - Maryland 76	24
Illinois State 73 - Valparaiso 63	0.795	Illinois State 50 - Valparaiso 59	19
Iona 73 - Mt St Marys 67	0.692	Iona 87 - Mt St Marys 70	-11
Louisiana Tech 69 - Liberty 70	0.504	Louisiana Tech 80 - Liberty 76	-5
Manhattan 59 - Saint Peters 71	0.809	Manhattan 68 - Saint Peters 81	1
Marist 71 - Rider 67	0.619	Marist 83 - Rider 60	-19
Michigan State 76 - Rutgers 64	0.763	Michigan State 73 - Rutgers 55	-6
Murray State 71 - Northern Iowa 74	0.569	Murray State 60 - Northern Iowa 70	7
Stanford 74 - Utah 80	0.619	Stanford 79 - Utah 73	-12
Tulsa 74 - Tulane 77	0.599	Tulsa 87 - Tulane 94	4
UCLA 70 - Washington 76	0.704	UCLA 73 - Washington 61	-18
UNC Wilmington 73 - Delaware 71	0.549	UNC Wilmington 79 - Delaware 74	-3
Wichita State 70 - Memphis 80	0.796	Wichita State 86 - Memphis 112	16

Number of DI Games: 318
Number Correct: 211 = 66.3%
Expected Number Correct: 219.597 = 69%
Average Error: 9.34
Average Signed Error: -1.69

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 73 - Alabama AM 66	0.761	Alabama State 72 - Alabama AM 55	-10
Bethune Cookman 67 - Southern 78	0.746	Bethune Cookman 83 - Southern 81	-13
Boston College 76 - Notre Dame 69	0.713	Boston College 63 - Notre Dame 59	3
Canisius 71 - Fairfield 70	0.538	Canisius 63 - Fairfield 88	26
Central Connecticut State 65 - Merrimack 67	0.537	Central Connecticut State 75 - Merrimack 70	-7
Cornell 80 - Pennsylvania 74	0.72	Cornell 77 - Pennsylvania 60	-11
Florida AM 68 - Grambling State 69	0.517	Florida AM 52 - Grambling State 65	12
George Washington 72 - George Mason 76	0.623	George Washington 75 - George Mason 62	-17
Hampton 69 - North Carolina AT 74	0.65	Hampton 80 - North Carolina AT 81	-4
Harvard 75 - Brown 66	0.752	Harvard 72 - Brown 74	11
Howard 89 - Unranked 61		Howard 78 - Unranked 72
Le Moyne 69 - Sacred Heart 70	0.505	Le Moyne 73 - Sacred Heart 80	6
Loyola MD 65 - American 73	0.721	Loyola MD 52 - American 66	6
Marquette 76 - Villanova 74	0.564	Marquette 87 - Villanova 74	-11
Mcneese State 78 - Lamar 64	0.838	Mcneese State 88 - Lamar 69	-5
Michigan 73 - Ohio State 78	0.633	Michigan 73 - Ohio State 65	-13
Minnesota 76 - Iowa 78	0.585	Minnesota 77 - Iowa 86	7
Niagara 76 - Siena 63	0.811	Niagara 88 - Siena 93	18
Nicholls State 78 - New Orleans 70	0.749	Nicholls State 78 - New Orleans 75	5
Norfolk State 88 - Unranked 55		Norfolk State 118 - Unranked 73
Northwestern State 73 - Houston Christian 72	0.535	Northwestern State 69 - Houston Christian 64	-4
Princeton 83 - Dartmouth 53	0.955	Princeton 76 - Dartmouth 58	12
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.523	Saint Francis Penn 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 81	9
Saint Josephs 79 - La Salle 68	0.762	Saint Josephs 82 - La Salle 62	-9
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Texas AM CC 69	0.522	Southeast Louisiana 68 - Texas AM CC 73	4
Stetson 75 - Chicago State 65	0.747	Stetson 70 - Chicago State 77	17
Texas Southern 73 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.893	Texas Southern 93 - Mississippi Valley State 61	-17
Wagner 71 - Stonehill 61	0.77	Wagner 64 - Stonehill 54	0
Yale 78 - Columbia 66	0.865	Yale 89 - Columbia 70	-7

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 79 - Western Michigan 63	0.904	Akron 77 - Western Michigan 66	5
Alabama 87 - Missouri 69	0.87	Alabama 93 - Missouri 75	0
Arkansas 73 - Texas AM 76	0.577	Arkansas 78 - Texas AM 77	-4
Boise State 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.696	Boise State 64 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	11
Brigham Young 74 - Iowa State 73	0.536	Brigham Young 87 - Iowa State 72	-14
Cincinnati 76 - Texas Christian 74	0.53	Cincinnati 81 - Texas Christian 77	-2
Clemson 82 - Georgia Tech 69	0.81	Clemson 90 - Georgia Tech 93	16
Colorado State 81 - Air Force 58	0.959	Colorado State 78 - Air Force 69	14
Dayton 84 - Saint Louis 64	0.922	Dayton 70 - Saint Louis 65	15
Duquesne 70 - Richmond 71	0.537	Duquesne 61 - Richmond 63	1
Eastern Michigan 68 - Ball State 71	0.564	Eastern Michigan 62 - Ball State 76	11
Fresno State 70 - San Jose State 71	0.501	Fresno State 85 - San Jose State 82	-4
Indiana 70 - Purdue 81	0.781	Indiana 66 - Purdue 87	10
Indiana State 80 - Missouri State 67	0.807	Indiana State 88 - Missouri State 66	-9
Kansas State 72 - Baylor 78	0.643	Kansas State 68 - Baylor 64	-10
Miami OH 70 - Bowling Green 71	0.518	Miami OH 73 - Bowling Green 78	4
NC State 75 - Wake Forest 77	0.576	NC State 83 - Wake Forest 76	-9
New Mexico 76 - Utah State 77	0.541	New Mexico 99 - Utah State 86	-14
Northern Illinois 71 - Kent State 76	0.615	Northern Illinois 76 - Kent State 83	2
Ohio 74 - Central Michigan 69	0.641	Ohio 73 - Central Michigan 61	-7
Oklahoma State 67 - Kansas 78	0.819	Oklahoma State 66 - Kansas 90	13
Penn State 68 - Wisconsin 81	0.826	Penn State 87 - Wisconsin 83	-17
Pittsburgh 74 - Syracuse 73	0.506	Pittsburgh 58 - Syracuse 69	12
Rice 65 - Charlotte 73	0.738	Rice 79 - Charlotte 81	-6
Seton Hall 75 - Saint Johns 76	0.555	Seton Hall 80 - Saint Johns 65	-16
South Carolina 72 - Georgia 70	0.579	South Carolina 69 - Georgia 74	7
Southern Methodist 80 - Temple 62	0.906	Southern Methodist 77 - Temple 64	5
Tennessee 82 - Florida 73	0.745	Tennessee 85 - Florida 66	-10
Toledo 83 - Buffalo 64	0.901	Toledo 77 - Buffalo 66	8
Western Carolina 74 - Samford 76	0.553	Western Carolina 71 - Samford 75	2
Xavier 79 - Butler 74	0.632	Xavier 85 - Butler 71	-9

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Tulane 79	0.573	Alabama Birmingham 83 - Tulane 69	-16
Appalachian State 75 - Georgia State 64	0.767	Appalachian State 76 - Georgia State 68	3
Arizona 89 - Southern California 71	0.822	Arizona 82 - Southern California 67	3
Arizona State 73 - UCLA 67	0.659	Arizona State 66 - UCLA 68	8
Army 60 - Colgate 72	0.789	Army 56 - Colgate 64	-4
Belmont 75 - Northern Iowa 73	0.538	Belmont 72 - Northern Iowa 83	13
Boston 68 - Bucknell 65	0.595	Boston 57 - Bucknell 73	19
Connecticut 77 - Creighton 74	0.586	Connecticut 62 - Creighton 48	-11
DePaul 66 - Providence 80	0.867	DePaul 62 - Providence 100	24
East Carolina 62 - North Texas 72	0.769	East Carolina 59 - North Texas 60	-9
Evansville 73 - Valparaiso 68	0.647	Evansville 78 - Valparaiso 75	2
Fordham 71 - Davidson 72	0.545	Fordham 69 - Davidson 79	9
Holy Cross 63 - Lafayette 70	0.713	Holy Cross 68 - Lafayette 72	-3
Houston 75 - Texas Tech 64	0.782	Houston 77 - Texas Tech 54	-12
Illinois Chicago 69 - Murray State 70	0.52	Illinois Chicago 58 - Murray State 73	14
Illinois State 62 - Drake 77	0.811	Illinois State 56 - Drake 77	6
IPFW 82 - IUPUI 60	0.92	IPFW 79 - IUPUI 85	28
Kentucky 79 - Mississippi State 75	0.612	Kentucky 90 - Mississippi State 77	-9
Louisiana State 73 - Mississippi 76	0.56	Louisiana State 89 - Mississippi 80	-12
Loyola Ill 74 - Massachusetts 73	0.52	Loyola Ill 79 - Massachusetts 78	0
Mercer 68 - Chattanooga 69	0.535	Mercer 60 - Chattanooga 74	13
Miami 79 - Florida State 75	0.603	Miami 75 - Florida State 84	13
Navy 73 - Lehigh 67	0.689	Navy 71 - Lehigh 69	4
North Carolina 89 - Louisville 63	0.948	North Carolina 86 - Louisville 70	10
Northwestern 73 - Maryland 69	0.597	Northwestern 72 - Maryland 69	1
Oakland 74 - Youngstown State 71	0.592	Oakland 70 - Youngstown State 67	0
Oklahoma 81 - West Virginia 67	0.831	Oklahoma 77 - West Virginia 63	0
Presbyterian 66 - High Point 79	0.865	Presbyterian 83 - High Point 86	-10
Radford 75 - Gardner Webb 66	0.753	Radford 68 - Gardner Webb 74	15
Robert Morris 75 - Detroit 64	0.759	Robert Morris 102 - Detroit 99	8
Rutgers 70 - Nebraska 74	0.583	Rutgers 87 - Nebraska 82	-9
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Rhode Island 68	0.691	Saint Bonaventure 99 - Rhode Island 64	-28
San Diego State 74 - Nevada 69	0.629	San Diego State 71 - Nevada 59	-7
South Carolina Upstate 64 - Longwood 73	0.76	South Carolina Upstate 73 - Longwood 71	-11
Southern Illinois 69 - Bradley 71	0.546	Southern Illinois 69 - Bradley 70	-1
Southern Miss 72 - Arkansas State 73	0.516	Southern Miss 69 - Arkansas State 66	-4
Texas 74 - Central Florida 69	0.622	Texas 71 - Central Florida 77	11
Texas State 66 - UL Lafayette 69	0.617	Texas State 68 - UL Lafayette 86	15
Tulsa 79 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.759	Tulsa 107 - Texas San Antonio 78	-21
UNC Greensboro 72 - The Citadel 62	0.762	UNC Greensboro 73 - The Citadel 67	4
Vanderbilt 63 - Auburn 83	0.916	Vanderbilt 65 - Auburn 80	-5
Virginia 68 - Virginia Tech 69	0.502	Virginia 65 - Virginia Tech 57	-9
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Furman 84	0.871	Virginia Military Institute 60 - Furman 100	22
Wofford 73 - East Tennessee State 71	0.585	Wofford 75 - East Tennessee State 73	0

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 71 - UMass Lowell 73	0.557	Albany 76 - UMass Lowell 97	19
Austin Peay 72 - North Alabama 68	0.628	Austin Peay 83 - North Alabama 80	1
Binghamton 64 - Vermont 75	0.757	Binghamton 62 - Vermont 82	9
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - UC Riverside 71	0.61	Cal State Bakersfield 80 - UC Riverside 56	-27
Cal State Fullerton 67 - UC Davis 71	0.615	Cal State Fullerton 65 - UC Davis 67	-2
Cal State Northridge 75 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.613	Cal State Northridge 69 - UC Santa Barbara 97	32
California 75 - Washington 81	0.663	California 75 - Washington 77	-4
College of Charleston 76 - Towson 66	0.791	College of Charleston 78 - Towson 82	14
Colorado 77 - Oregon 75	0.545	Colorado 86 - Oregon 70	-14
Delaware 74 - Stony Brook 68	0.693	Delaware 71 - Stony Brook 68	3
Drexel 72 - Monmouth 65	0.684	Drexel 78 - Monmouth 74	3
Elon 67 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.762	Elon 70 - UNC Wilmington 82	2
Florida Atlantic 83 - Wichita State 68	0.823	Florida Atlantic 86 - Wichita State 77	6
Georgia Southern 71 - Coastal Carolina 73	0.547	Georgia Southern 73 - Coastal Carolina 70	-5
Grand Canyon 79 - Utah Valley 63	0.877	Grand Canyon 78 - Utah Valley 65	3
Hofstra 83 - Hampton 59	0.947	Hofstra 86 - Hampton 77	15
Idaho State 69 - Idaho 68	0.534	Idaho State 64 - Idaho 59	-4
Jacksonville 73 - Queens 74	0.503	Jacksonville 79 - Queens 77	-3
James Madison 83 - UL Monroe 58	0.939	James Madison 89 - UL Monroe 70	6
Liberty 78 - Florida International 66	0.799	Liberty 78 - Florida International 69	3
Lindenwood 63 - SIU Edwardsville 72	0.75	Lindenwood 59 - SIU Edwardsville 78	10
Lipscomb 82 - Central Arkansas 64	0.902	Lipscomb 86 - Central Arkansas 96	28
Long Beach State 74 - Hawaii 73	0.518	Long Beach State 79 - Hawaii 71	-7
Memphis 83 - South Florida 69	0.814	Memphis 73 - South Florida 74	15
Michigan 73 - Illinois 82	0.735	Michigan 73 - Illinois 88	6
Michigan State 78 - Minnesota 67	0.764	Michigan State 76 - Minnesota 66	1
Morehead State 78 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.787	Morehead State 84 - Tennessee Martin 66	-7
New Mexico State 68 - Western Kentucky 75	0.692	New Mexico State 72 - Western Kentucky 70	-9
NJ Tech 67 - New Hampshire 75	0.734	NJ Tech 62 - New Hampshire 70	0
North Carolina AT 68 - Northeastern 76	0.711	North Carolina AT 72 - Northeastern 65	-15
North Dakota 70 - Oral Roberts 76	0.663	North Dakota 87 - Oral Roberts 77	-16
North Dakota State 75 - Denver 79	0.632	North Dakota State 70 - Denver 78	4
North Florida 73 - Kennesaw St 77	0.603	North Florida 84 - Kennesaw St 75	-13
Northern Arizona 66 - Portland State 72	0.641	Northern Arizona 84 - Portland State 65	-25
Northern Colorado 78 - Sacramento State 68	0.773	Northern Colorado 77 - Sacramento State 75	8
Northern Kentucky 74 - Milwaukee 72	0.571	Northern Kentucky 90 - Milwaukee 72	-16
Old Dominion 70 - Marshall 75	0.67	Old Dominion 91 - Marshall 66	-30
Pacific 63 - Santa Clara 83	0.872	Pacific 69 - Santa Clara 88	-1
Pepperdine 68 - Gonzaga 83	0.87	Pepperdine 61 - Gonzaga 86	10
San Francisco 78 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.84	San Francisco 90 - Loyola Marymount 74	-2
South Alabama 69 - Troy 75	0.634	South Alabama 74 - Troy 71	-9
South Dakota 64 - Saint Thomas 76	0.801	South Dakota 74 - Saint Thomas 73	-13
South Dakota State 75 - Omaha 67	0.702	South Dakota State 90 - Omaha 87	5
Southern Indiana 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 74	0.618	Southern Indiana 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	-3
Southern Utah 75 - Utah Tech 74	0.517	Southern Utah 75 - Utah Tech 65	-9
Stanford 75 - Washington State 76	0.524	Stanford 75 - Washington State 89	13
Stephen F Austin 72 - Seattle 71	0.534	Stephen F Austin 89 - Seattle 84	-4
Tarleton State 74 - Abilene Christian 68	0.663	Tarleton State 79 - Abilene Christian 71	-2
Tennessee State 72 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.666	Tennessee State 85 - Tennessee Tech 53	-26
Texas Arlington 80 - Texas Pan American 70	0.77	Texas Arlington 91 - Texas Pan American 73	-8
Texas El Paso 69 - Middle Tennessee 63	0.675	Texas El Paso 73 - Middle Tennessee 59	-8
UC Irvine 75 - UC San Diego 67	0.714	UC Irvine 76 - UC San Diego 65	-3
UMBC 70 - Maine 74	0.629	UMBC 70 - Maine 65	-9
Utah 83 - Oregon State 68	0.799	Utah 74 - Oregon State 47	-12
Weber State 73 - Eastern Washington 72	0.535	Weber State 78 - Eastern Washington 80	3
William and Mary 69 - Campbell 67	0.53	William and Mary 64 - Campbell 77	15
Winthrop 74 - UNC Asheville 70	0.616	Winthrop 77 - UNC Asheville 82	9
Wright State 75 - Green Bay 70	0.64	Wright State 81 - Green Bay 88	12

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Connecticut State 73 - Le Moyne 65	0.694	Central Connecticut State 73 - Le Moyne 75	10
Central Michigan 68 - Toledo 78	0.718	Central Michigan 65 - Toledo 62	-13
Chicago State 84 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 131 - Unranked 55
Colorado State 79 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.711	Colorado State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	6
Fairfield 66 - Saint Peters 67	0.513	Fairfield 76 - Saint Peters 67	-10
Iona 72 - Canisius 67	0.637	Iona 70 - Canisius 58	-7
Kent State 67 - Akron 74	0.702	Kent State 71 - Akron 77	-1
Merrimack 68 - Wagner 59	0.75	Merrimack 65 - Wagner 71	15
Mt St Marys 68 - Marist 67	0.52	Mt St Marys 65 - Marist 48	-16
Rider 72 - Niagara 74	0.549	Rider 74 - Niagara 78	2
Saint Francis Penn 70 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.605	Saint Francis Penn 72 - LIU Brooklyn 66	-2
Siena 62 - Quinnipiac 76	0.848	Siena 70 - Quinnipiac 82	-2
Stonehill 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.568	Stonehill 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 76	4
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Saint Louis 69	0.747	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Saint Louis 61	-15
Wisconsin 79 - Indiana 67	0.827	Wisconsin 91 - Indiana 79	0
Xavier 83 - Georgetown 68	0.86	Xavier 92 - Georgetown 91	14

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Texas Arlington 75	0.557	Abilene Christian 78 - Texas Arlington 67	-13
Air Force 63 - New Mexico 80	0.886	Air Force 66 - New Mexico 85	2
Alabama Birmingham 74 - East Carolina 70	0.633	Alabama Birmingham 69 - East Carolina 61	-4
Albany 73 - Bryant 76	0.573	Albany 89 - Bryant 98	6
Alcorn State 71 - Texas Southern 70	0.52	Alcorn State 61 - Texas Southern 72	12
Appalachian State 79 - Coastal Carolina 61	0.893	Appalachian State 88 - Coastal Carolina 59	-11
Arizona 86 - UCLA 64	0.855	Arizona 77 - UCLA 71	16
Arizona State 76 - Southern California 73	0.58	Arizona State 82 - Southern California 67	-12
Arkansas 72 - South Carolina 73	0.546	Arkansas 64 - South Carolina 77	12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 74 - Florida AM 75	0.524	Arkansas Pine Bluff 99 - Florida AM 97	-3
Auburn 80 - Mississippi 70	0.738	Auburn 82 - Mississippi 59	-13
Austin Peay 75 - Central Arkansas 64	0.806	Austin Peay 94 - Central Arkansas 71	-12
Ball State 70 - Miami OH 71	0.523	Ball State 80 - Miami OH 87	6
Binghamton 67 - UMass Lowell 75	0.686	Binghamton 60 - UMass Lowell 80	12
Boise State 73 - San Diego State 72	0.513	Boise State 67 - San Diego State 66	0
Boston College 71 - North Carolina 84	0.854	Boston College 66 - North Carolina 76	-3
Bowling Green 76 - Western Michigan 69	0.689	Bowling Green 84 - Western Michigan 79	2
Bradley 77 - Belmont 70	0.663	Bradley 95 - Belmont 72	-16
Brown 69 - Cornell 81	0.894	Brown 83 - Cornell 84	-11
Butler 85 - DePaul 67	0.916	Butler 74 - DePaul 60	4
Cal Baptist 76 - Southern Utah 68	0.729	Cal Baptist 83 - Southern Utah 76	1
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Cal Poly 65	0.687	Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Cal Poly 53	-6
California 71 - Washington State 78	0.686	California 81 - Washington State 75	-13
Charlotte 63 - North Texas 68	0.659	Charlotte 56 - North Texas 44	-17
Cincinnati 74 - Oklahoma 72	0.535	Cincinnati 65 - Oklahoma 69	6
Cleveland State 72 - IPFW 73	0.503	Cleveland State 75 - IPFW 68	-8
Colgate 73 - Boston 62	0.76	Colgate 75 - Boston 59	-5
Colorado 80 - Oregon State 68	0.785	Colorado 90 - Oregon State 57	-21
Columbia 65 - Princeton 81	0.908	Columbia 62 - Princeton 70	-8
Coppin State 68 - Morgan State 67	0.551	Coppin State 86 - Morgan State 89	4
Dartmouth 59 - Yale 76	0.875	Dartmouth 51 - Yale 76	8
Davidson 68 - Richmond 71	0.598	Davidson 64 - Richmond 69	2
Dayton 81 - Rhode Island 63	0.925	Dayton 96 - Rhode Island 62	-16
Delaware State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0.759	Delaware State 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	5
Detroit 60 - Youngstown State 78	0.888	Detroit 64 - Youngstown State 105	23
Drake 82 - Evansville 64	0.829	Drake 97 - Evansville 48	-31
Drexel 72 - Delaware 66	0.657	Drexel 86 - Delaware 67	-13
Duke 80 - Pittsburgh 68	0.785	Duke 76 - Pittsburgh 80	16
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Bellarmine 64	0.81	Eastern Kentucky 82 - Bellarmine 70	1
Elon 70 - Northeastern 74	0.617	Elon 72 - Northeastern 84	8
Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Stetson 73	0.623	Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Stetson 56	-29
Florida State 74 - Clemson 77	0.58	Florida State 67 - Clemson 78	8
Fordham 70 - Loyola Ill 73	0.606	Fordham 61 - Loyola Ill 65	1
Furman 71 - Western Carolina 74	0.588	Furman 65 - Western Carolina 62	-6
Gardner Webb 69 - Winthrop 76	0.726	Gardner Webb 79 - Winthrop 74	-12
George Mason 71 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.595	George Mason 69 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-6
Georgia Southern 67 - Georgia State 76	0.727	Georgia Southern 86 - Georgia State 70	-25
Georgia Tech 68 - Virginia 71	0.57	Georgia Tech 66 - Virginia 75	6
Grambling State 66 - Southern 73	0.69	Grambling State 79 - Southern 62	-24
High Point 82 - Charleston Southern 63	0.895	High Point 86 - Charleston Southern 79	12
Holy Cross 69 - Loyola MD 68	0.505	Holy Cross 86 - Loyola MD 78	-7
Houston 76 - Central Florida 60	0.859	Houston 57 - Central Florida 42	1
Houston Christian 71 - Lamar 78	0.735	Houston Christian 78 - Lamar 77	-8
Howard 71 - Norfolk State 73	0.553	Howard 61 - Norfolk State 65	2
Idaho State 66 - Eastern Washington 78	0.816	Idaho State 67 - Eastern Washington 79	0
Incarnate Word 59 - Mcneese State 80	0.897	Incarnate Word 66 - Mcneese State 80	-7
Iowa 76 - Purdue 85	0.715	Iowa 70 - Purdue 84	5
IUPUI 65 - Robert Morris 75	0.719	IUPUI 63 - Robert Morris 80	7
Jackson State 77 - Prairie View 67	0.764	Jackson State 62 - Prairie View 71	19
Jacksonville 71 - Kennesaw St 79	0.723	Jacksonville 79 - Kennesaw St 83	-4
Jacksonville State 65 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.615	Jacksonville State 57 - Louisiana Tech 74	13
James Madison 79 - Marshall 69	0.773	James Madison 67 - Marshall 52	-5
Kansas State 76 - Oklahoma State 67	0.729	Kansas State 70 - Oklahoma State 66	5
Kentucky 82 - Georgia 74	0.755	Kentucky 105 - Georgia 96	-1
Lafayette 67 - Bucknell 64	0.592	Lafayette 75 - Bucknell 72	0
Lehigh 71 - American 73	0.595	Lehigh 70 - American 68	-4
Liberty 74 - Sam Houston State 67	0.667	Liberty 82 - Sam Houston State 66	-9
Lindenwood 65 - Eastern Illinois 68	0.6	Lindenwood 68 - Eastern Illinois 78	7
Lipscomb 79 - North Alabama 68	0.805	Lipscomb 88 - North Alabama 79	2
Longwood 75 - Presbyterian 61	0.862	Longwood 80 - Presbyterian 70	4
Louisiana State 73 - Texas AM 74	0.524	Louisiana State 69 - Texas AM 73	3
Massachusetts 81 - George Washington 74	0.682	Massachusetts 81 - George Washington 67	-7
Mississippi State 79 - Vanderbilt 62	0.876	Mississippi State 68 - Vanderbilt 55	4
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Bethune Cookman 72	0.714	Mississippi Valley State 64 - Bethune Cookman 80	9
Missouri 74 - Florida 81	0.7	Missouri 67 - Florida 79	5
Missouri State 73 - Illinois State 64	0.728	Missouri State 60 - Illinois State 69	18
Monmouth 81 - Hampton 60	0.939	Monmouth 85 - Hampton 77	13
Montana State 69 - Montana 74	0.622	Montana State 77 - Montana 87	5
Navy 69 - Army 61	0.723	Navy 57 - Army 53	4
NC State 74 - Virginia Tech 73	0.528	NC State 78 - Virginia Tech 84	7
Nebraska 76 - Northwestern 73	0.564	Nebraska 75 - Northwestern 69	-3
New Mexico State 70 - Middle Tennessee 64	0.65	New Mexico State 73 - Middle Tennessee 62	-5
New Orleans 76 - Northwestern State 69	0.664	New Orleans 67 - Northwestern State 92	32
NJ Tech 65 - Maine 69	0.633	NJ Tech 64 - Maine 70	2
North Carolina AT 72 - William and Mary 71	0.527	North Carolina AT 76 - William and Mary 69	-6
North Dakota 71 - Denver 79	0.713	North Dakota 92 - Denver 78	-22
North Dakota State 74 - Oral Roberts 77	0.571	North Dakota State 72 - Oral Roberts 67	-8
North Florida 76 - Queens 72	0.638	North Florida 91 - Queens 75	-12
Northern Arizona 66 - Sacramento State 68	0.545	Northern Arizona 70 - Sacramento State 61	-11
Northern Colorado 77 - Portland State 72	0.646	Northern Colorado 90 - Portland State 61	-24
Northern Iowa 71 - Southern Illinois 70	0.53	Northern Iowa 61 - Southern Illinois 57	-3
Northern Kentucky 69 - Green Bay 67	0.548	Northern Kentucky 74 - Green Bay 52	-20
Ohio 76 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.789	Ohio 85 - Eastern Michigan 67	-8
Ohio State 81 - Penn State 70	0.774	Ohio State 79 - Penn State 67	-1
Old Dominion 73 - UL Monroe 64	0.767	Old Dominion 73 - UL Monroe 80	16
Omaha 72 - UMKC 67	0.637	Omaha 72 - UMKC 74	7
Pennsylvania 75 - Harvard 70	0.625	Pennsylvania 61 - Harvard 70	14
Pepperdine 73 - Loyola Marymount 72	0.501	Pepperdine 61 - Loyola Marymount 68	8
Radford 77 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.846	Radford 64 - South Carolina Upstate 61	10
Saint Johns 78 - Marquette 76	0.555	Saint Johns 72 - Marquette 73	3
Saint Josephs 74 - Duquesne 72	0.561	Saint Josephs 71 - Duquesne 69	0
Samford 82 - Mercer 66	0.884	Samford 87 - Mercer 80	9
San Diego 68 - Gonzaga 83	0.89	San Diego 63 - Gonzaga 105	27
San Francisco 69 - Saint Marys 70	0.538	San Francisco 60 - Saint Marys 77	16
Santa Clara 83 - Portland 65	0.868	Santa Clara 101 - Portland 86	3
SE Missouri State 64 - SIU Edwardsville 75	0.804	SE Missouri State 52 - SIU Edwardsville 47	-16
Seattle 67 - Grand Canyon 75	0.724	Seattle 86 - Grand Canyon 79	-15
Seton Hall 73 - Creighton 77	0.612	Seton Hall 94 - Creighton 97	-1
South Alabama 70 - UL Lafayette 71	0.541	South Alabama 79 - UL Lafayette 88	8
South Carolina State 66 - North Carolina Central 76	0.768	South Carolina State 71 - North Carolina Central 68	-13
South Dakota 68 - South Dakota State 78	0.724	South Dakota 55 - South Dakota State 73	8
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Texas AM Commerce 66	0.618	Southeast Louisiana 52 - Texas AM Commerce 68	20
Southern Indiana 60 - Morehead State 75	0.847	Southern Indiana 70 - Morehead State 81	-4
Southern Methodist 80 - Tulsa 64	0.896	Southern Methodist 103 - Tulsa 70	-17
Southern Miss 68 - Troy 74	0.66	Southern Miss 64 - Troy 63	-7
Stanford 79 - Washington 78	0.515	Stanford 90 - Washington 80	-9
Syracuse 78 - Miami 77	0.506	Syracuse 72 - Miami 69	-2
Temple 74 - Rice 68	0.648	Temple 66 - Rice 69	9
Tennessee 79 - Alabama 77	0.548	Tennessee 91 - Alabama 71	-18
Texas 73 - Baylor 78	0.644	Texas 75 - Baylor 73	-7
Texas AM CC 72 - Nicholls State 71	0.549	Texas AM CC 69 - Nicholls State 59	-9
Texas Christian 74 - Iowa State 75	0.523	Texas Christian 72 - Iowa State 73	0
Texas El Paso 68 - Western Kentucky 74	0.72	Texas El Paso 93 - Western Kentucky 87	-12
Texas Pan American 68 - Tarleton State 74	0.666	Texas Pan American 73 - Tarleton State 77	-2
Texas State 70 - Arkansas State 71	0.542	Texas State 72 - Arkansas State 79	6
Texas Tech 74 - Brigham Young 73	0.518	Texas Tech 85 - Brigham Young 78	-6
Towson 72 - Campbell 59	0.821	Towson 77 - Campbell 43	-21
UC Davis 68 - UC Irvine 73	0.662	UC Davis 54 - UC Irvine 52	-7
UC Riverside 70 - Cal State Northridge 74	0.612	UC Riverside 82 - Cal State Northridge 63	-23
UC San Diego 72 - Hawaii 67	0.666	UC San Diego 67 - Hawaii 61	-1
UC Santa Barbara 72 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.682	UC Santa Barbara 69 - Cal State Fullerton 73	9
UMBC 72 - New Hampshire 80	0.726	UMBC 58 - New Hampshire 64	-2
UNC Greensboro 75 - Wofford 67	0.732	UNC Greensboro 82 - Wofford 59	-15
UNC Wilmington 73 - College of Charleston 76	0.569	UNC Wilmington 78 - College of Charleston 69	-12
Utah State 84 - Fresno State 61	0.958	Utah State 83 - Fresno State 62	2
Utah Valley 74 - Utah Tech 68	0.637	Utah Valley 84 - Utah Tech 71	-7
Valparaiso 67 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.588	Valparaiso 84 - Illinois Chicago 77	-10
Villanova 74 - Connecticut 76	0.552	Villanova 65 - Connecticut 66	-1
Virginia Military Institute 64 - The Citadel 77	0.784	Virginia Military Institute 70 - The Citadel 63	-20
Wake Forest 85 - Louisville 67	0.889	Wake Forest 90 - Louisville 65	-7
Weber State 77 - Idaho 62	0.801	Weber State 88 - Idaho 65	-8
West Virginia 68 - Kansas 81	0.84	West Virginia 91 - Kansas 85	-19
Western Illinois 72 - Tennessee State 65	0.745	Western Illinois 57 - Tennessee State 58	8
Wright State 80 - Milwaukee 74	0.666	Wright State 95 - Milwaukee 81	-8
Wyoming 65 - Nevada 79	0.846	Wyoming 98 - Nevada 93	-19

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Chicago State 84 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 108 - Unranked 58
East Tennessee State 70 - Chattanooga 69	0.538	East Tennessee State 74 - Chattanooga 81	8
Illinois 79 - Rutgers 66	0.822	Illinois 86 - Rutgers 63	-10
Le Moyne 71 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.67	Le Moyne 94 - Saint Francis Penn 57	-31
LIU Brooklyn 64 - Central Connecticut State 74	0.743	LIU Brooklyn 63 - Central Connecticut State 72	-1
Manhattan 64 - Fairfield 75	0.772	Manhattan 75 - Fairfield 82	-4
Marist 71 - Siena 58	0.782	Marist 50 - Siena 48	11
Maryland 68 - Michigan State 73	0.628	Maryland 59 - Michigan State 61	-3
Merrimack 75 - Stonehill 58	0.876	Merrimack 63 - Stonehill 47	1
Mt St Marys 73 - Niagara 72	0.511	Mt St Marys 71 - Niagara 82	12
Murray State 69 - Indiana State 80	0.735	Murray State 63 - Indiana State 72	-2
Quinnipiac 72 - Iona 69	0.564	Quinnipiac 91 - Iona 87	-1
Sacred Heart 68 - Wagner 66	0.554	Sacred Heart 66 - Wagner 61	-3
Saint Peters 69 - Canisius 64	0.653	Saint Peters 70 - Canisius 59	-6
South Florida 75 - Wichita State 72	0.591	South Florida 72 - Wichita State 68	-1
Texas San Antonio 66 - Florida Atlantic 87	0.895	Texas San Antonio 103 - Florida Atlantic 112	-12
Tulane 78 - Memphis 84	0.675	Tulane 81 - Memphis 79	-8
Utah 79 - Oregon 75	0.589	Utah 80 - Oregon 77	1

Number of DI Games: 337
Number Correct: 233 = 69.1%
Expected Number Correct: 231.915 = 68.8%
Average Error: 9.21
Average Signed Error: -1.03

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 72 - Prairie View 73	0.526	Alcorn State 90 - Prairie View 78	-13
Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Bethune Cookman 77	0.525	Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Bethune Cookman 72	-5
Colgate 78 - Lehigh 64	0.873	Colgate 60 - Lehigh 57	11
Houston Christian 74 - New Orleans 73	0.541	Houston Christian 88 - New Orleans 80	-7
Incarnate Word 67 - Nicholls State 75	0.714	Incarnate Word 74 - Nicholls State 78	-4
Jackson State 71 - Texas Southern 67	0.629	Jackson State 73 - Texas Southern 64	-5
Kansas 78 - Cincinnati 72	0.652	Kansas 74 - Cincinnati 69	1
Lamar 73 - Texas AM Commerce 69	0.619	Lamar 76 - Texas AM Commerce 65	-7
Maryland Eastern Shore 80 - Unranked 62		Maryland Eastern Shore 71 - Unranked 61
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Florida AM 73	0.723	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Florida AM 81	3
Montana 73 - Weber State 70	0.564	Montana 77 - Weber State 62	-12
Montana State 73 - Idaho State 65	0.737	Montana State 77 - Idaho State 70	1
North Carolina 82 - Wake Forest 72	0.778	North Carolina 85 - Wake Forest 64	-11
Southeast Louisiana 71 - Northwestern State 67	0.586	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Northwestern State 62	-5
Stony Brook 70 - Hofstra 73	0.589	Stony Brook 74 - Hofstra 80	3
Texas AM CC 64 - Mcneese State 73	0.726	Texas AM CC 61 - Mcneese State 62	-8

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Ohio 65	0.878	Akron 67 - Ohio 58	3
Bowling Green 73 - Kent State 71	0.577	Bowling Green 84 - Kent State 90	8
Brigham Young 68 - Houston 74	0.666	Brigham Young 68 - Houston 75	1
Buffalo 69 - Ball State 72	0.585	Buffalo 59 - Ball State 87	25
Central Florida 76 - West Virginia 69	0.694	Central Florida 72 - West Virginia 59	-6
Central Michigan 68 - Miami OH 69	0.501	Central Michigan 71 - Miami OH 55	-17
Charlotte 71 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.57	Charlotte 76 - Alabama Birmingham 70	-4
Cornell 98 - Unranked 56		Cornell 105 - Unranked 49
Creighton 79 - Xavier 74	0.635	Creighton 85 - Xavier 78	-2
Duquesne 70 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.527	Duquesne 54 - Saint Bonaventure 50	-5
Fresno State 63 - Boise State 79	0.903	Fresno State 68 - Boise State 72	-12
Georgetown 74 - Butler 81	0.704	Georgetown 66 - Butler 90	17
Georgia Tech 73 - Pittsburgh 75	0.571	Georgia Tech 64 - Pittsburgh 72	6
Illinois State 70 - Belmont 74	0.608	Illinois State 77 - Belmont 67	-14
La Salle 63 - Dayton 83	0.942	La Salle 54 - Dayton 66	-8
Louisville 68 - Duke 85	0.871	Louisville 69 - Duke 83	-3
Massachusetts 77 - Saint Josephs 73	0.586	Massachusetts 77 - Saint Josephs 78	5
Minnesota 68 - Wisconsin 78	0.789	Minnesota 59 - Wisconsin 61	-8
Nebraska 76 - Ohio State 75	0.532	Nebraska 83 - Ohio State 69	-13
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Air Force 62	0.895	Nevada Las Vegas 58 - Air Force 90	50
Northern Illinois 70 - Toledo 80	0.769	Northern Illinois 73 - Toledo 89	6
Northern Iowa 80 - Evansville 66	0.795	Northern Iowa 70 - Evansville 63	7
Oklahoma 76 - Texas 71	0.647	Oklahoma 60 - Texas 75	20
Oklahoma State 71 - Texas Christian 79	0.751	Oklahoma State 69 - Texas Christian 74	-3
Portland 73 - San Diego 76	0.571	Portland 81 - San Diego 85	1
Purdue 87 - Michigan 68	0.889	Purdue 99 - Michigan 67	-13
San Diego State 83 - Wyoming 64	0.899	San Diego State 81 - Wyoming 65	3
South Carolina 74 - Kentucky 80	0.667	South Carolina 79 - Kentucky 62	-23
Syracuse 77 - Florida State 73	0.603	Syracuse 69 - Florida State 85	20
Texas AM 79 - Missouri 69	0.798	Texas AM 63 - Missouri 57	4
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Loyola Ill 68	0.612	Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Loyola Ill 67	-3
Virginia Tech 78 - Boston College 72	0.651	Virginia Tech 76 - Boston College 71	1
Western Michigan 75 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.733	Western Michigan 73 - Eastern Michigan 56	-9

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 78 - Auburn 79	0.508	Alabama 79 - Auburn 75	-5
American 76 - Holy Cross 64	0.833	American 84 - Holy Cross 65	-7
Boston 67 - Army 60	0.657	Boston 59 - Army 69	17
Bradley 78 - Murray State 65	0.772	Bradley 71 - Murray State 63	5
Bucknell 68 - Navy 67	0.516	Bucknell 71 - Navy 63	-7
Charleston Southern 66 - Winthrop 76	0.765	Charleston Southern 59 - Winthrop 78	9
Coastal Carolina 67 - Southern Miss 73	0.672	Coastal Carolina 63 - Southern Miss 79	10
DePaul 65 - Marquette 87	0.931	DePaul 73 - Marquette 86	-9
Florida 77 - Mississippi State 75	0.552	Florida 79 - Mississippi State 70	-7
Furman 75 - Samford 81	0.656	Furman 78 - Samford 68	-16
Georgia 77 - Louisiana State 73	0.605	Georgia 68 - Louisiana State 66	2
Illinois Chicago 65 - Indiana State 81	0.875	Illinois Chicago 83 - Indiana State 89	-10
Iowa 78 - Maryland 73	0.666	Iowa 67 - Maryland 69	7
Iowa State 76 - Kansas State 69	0.652	Iowa State 78 - Kansas State 67	-4
Kennesaw St 80 - North Alabama 71	0.792	Kennesaw St 84 - North Alabama 90	15
Longwood 71 - Gardner Webb 66	0.648	Longwood 64 - Gardner Webb 76	17
Loyola MD 63 - Lafayette 70	0.728	Loyola MD 44 - Lafayette 70	19
Marshall 74 - Georgia State 71	0.565	Marshall 77 - Georgia State 68	-6
Middle Tennessee 61 - Jacksonville State 68	0.673	Middle Tennessee 75 - Jacksonville State 67	-15
Mississippi 79 - Arkansas 73	0.662	Mississippi 77 - Arkansas 51	-20
Missouri State 65 - Drake 78	0.749	Missouri State 83 - Drake 80	-16
Nevada 73 - Colorado State 75	0.564	Nevada 77 - Colorado State 64	-15
Northwestern 73 - Illinois 79	0.672	Northwestern 96 - Illinois 91	-11
Notre Dame 69 - Miami 76	0.666	Notre Dame 61 - Miami 73	5
Old Dominion 66 - James Madison 80	0.826	Old Dominion 62 - James Madison 78	2
Queens 77 - Central Arkansas 72	0.657	Queens 96 - Central Arkansas 79	-12
Rhode Island 76 - Fordham 73	0.579	Rhode Island 68 - Fordham 71	6
Rice 67 - Florida Atlantic 83	0.848	Rice 56 - Florida Atlantic 69	-3
Richmond 79 - George Washington 69	0.742	Richmond 82 - George Washington 74	2
Saint Johns 77 - Villanova 75	0.558	Saint Johns 70 - Villanova 50	-18
Saint Louis 73 - Davidson 74	0.545	Saint Louis 61 - Davidson 84	22
San Jose State 68 - New Mexico 84	0.853	San Jose State 75 - New Mexico 95	4
Seton Hall 76 - Providence 73	0.573	Seton Hall 63 - Providence 67	7
South Carolina Upstate 67 - High Point 79	0.824	South Carolina Upstate 67 - High Point 78	-1
Southern Illinois 77 - Valparaiso 62	0.863	Southern Illinois 75 - Valparaiso 69	9
Temple 68 - South Florida 75	0.691	Temple 69 - South Florida 75	-1
Texas San Antonio 74 - Tulane 87	0.808	Texas San Antonio 89 - Tulane 88	-14
The Citadel 68 - Mercer 67	0.518	The Citadel 68 - Mercer 66	-1
Troy 75 - Texas State 64	0.807	Troy 78 - Texas State 65	-2
UNC Asheville 73 - Radford 68	0.659	UNC Asheville 81 - Radford 69	-7
Virginia 72 - NC State 70	0.564	Virginia 59 - NC State 53	-4
Virginia Military Institute 65 - East Tennessee State 78	0.792	Virginia Military Institute 73 - East Tennessee State 74	-12
Washington 76 - Colorado 79	0.586	Washington 81 - Colorado 98	14
Washington State 74 - Utah 77	0.564	Washington State 79 - Utah 57	-25
Western Carolina 68 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.523	Western Carolina 82 - UNC Greensboro 85	4
Wichita State 74 - East Carolina 71	0.596	Wichita State 52 - East Carolina 54	5
Wofford 72 - Chattanooga 74	0.547	Wofford 65 - Chattanooga 79	12

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Utah Tech 70	0.647	Abilene Christian 82 - Utah Tech 60	-17
Appalachian State 79 - Georgia Southern 59	0.864	Appalachian State 84 - Georgia Southern 74	10
Arkansas Little Rock 78 - Lindenwood 66	0.803	Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Lindenwood 66	-2
Bellarmine 65 - North Florida 74	0.727	Bellarmine 63 - North Florida 71	-1
Cal Poly 62 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.802	Cal Poly 51 - Cal State Fullerton 54	-7
Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.645	Cal State Northridge 56 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	14
Campbell 69 - Elon 68	0.528	Campbell 78 - Elon 68	-9
Cleveland State 76 - Wright State 75	0.523	Cleveland State 99 - Wright State 107	9
Delaware 78 - North Carolina AT 65	0.834	Delaware 90 - North Carolina AT 71	-6
Denver 81 - South Dakota 70	0.761	Denver 111 - South Dakota 110	10
Eastern Illinois 70 - Tennessee Tech 64	0.651	Eastern Illinois 68 - Tennessee Tech 59	-3
Eastern Kentucky 76 - Jacksonville 68	0.727	Eastern Kentucky 75 - Jacksonville 59	-8
Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Colorado 74	0.69	Eastern Washington 77 - Northern Colorado 74	3
Fairleigh Dickinson 69 - Central Connecticut State 73	0.63	Fairleigh Dickinson 60 - Central Connecticut State 76	12
Florida Gulf Coast 69 - Lipscomb 73	0.588	Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Lipscomb 98	22
Gonzaga 79 - San Francisco 71	0.706	Gonzaga 77 - San Francisco 72	3
Green Bay 66 - Oakland 71	0.639	Green Bay 69 - Oakland 59	-15
Hampton 64 - College of Charleston 85	0.945	Hampton 86 - College of Charleston 107	0
Hawaii 71 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.515	Hawaii 61 - UC Santa Barbara 78	18
Hofstra 80 - William and Mary 62	0.868	Hofstra 64 - William and Mary 55	9
Idaho 69 - Northern Arizona 68	0.515	Idaho 60 - Northern Arizona 75	16
IUPUI 60 - Youngstown State 79	0.881	IUPUI 50 - Youngstown State 78	9
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Stonehill 67	0.557	LIU Brooklyn 63 - Stonehill 60	-1
Long Beach State 71 - UC Irvine 78	0.723	Long Beach State 61 - UC Irvine 72	4
Louisiana Tech 75 - Texas El Paso 64	0.828	Louisiana Tech 68 - Texas El Paso 54	-3
Loyola Marymount 78 - Portland 67	0.8	Loyola Marymount 92 - Portland 65	-16
Maine 71 - Albany 70	0.52	Maine 81 - Albany 73	-7
Milwaukee 80 - Detroit 65	0.849	Milwaukee 87 - Detroit 71	-1
New Hampshire 77 - Binghamton 66	0.78	New Hampshire 79 - Binghamton 73	5
NJ Tech 65 - Bryant 78	0.82	NJ Tech 55 - Bryant 70	2
North Texas 67 - Southern Methodist 70	0.581	North Texas 68 - Southern Methodist 66	-5
Northeastern 68 - UNC Wilmington 75	0.675	Northeastern 54 - UNC Wilmington 77	16
Northern Kentucky 74 - IPFW 69	0.608	Northern Kentucky 58 - IPFW 63	10
Oral Roberts 74 - Omaha 70	0.611	Oral Roberts 74 - Omaha 67	-3
Oregon 78 - Arizona State 72	0.65	Oregon 80 - Arizona State 61	-13
Oregon State 67 - Arizona 87	0.856	Oregon State 83 - Arizona 80	-23
Portland State 66 - Montana 77	0.719	Portland State 72 - Montana 46	-37
Quinnipiac 76 - Mt St Marys 67	0.764	Quinnipiac 79 - Mt St Marys 65	-5
Sacramento State 67 - Montana State 70	0.596	Sacramento State 62 - Montana State 70	5
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Sacred Heart 72	0.699	Saint Francis Penn 75 - Sacred Heart 71	-11
Saint Marys 87 - Pacific 53	0.954	Saint Marys 76 - Pacific 28	-14
Saint Peters 74 - Rider 63	0.816	Saint Peters 57 - Rider 62	16
Saint Thomas 75 - North Dakota State 65	0.773	Saint Thomas 79 - North Dakota State 66	-3
Sam Houston State 73 - New Mexico State 70	0.581	Sam Houston State 79 - New Mexico State 67	-9
Santa Clara 80 - Pepperdine 68	0.809	Santa Clara 94 - Pepperdine 71	-11
South Dakota State 78 - UMKC 65	0.783	South Dakota State 75 - UMKC 66	4
Southern Indiana 62 - Western Illinois 71	0.766	Southern Indiana 68 - Western Illinois 73	-4
Stephen F Austin 70 - Grand Canyon 76	0.665	Stephen F Austin 51 - Grand Canyon 53	-4
Stetson 71 - Austin Peay 69	0.563	Stetson 83 - Austin Peay 82	1
Stony Brook 70 - Monmouth 71	0.524	Stony Brook 72 - Monmouth 65	-8
Tarleton State 76 - Southern Utah 68	0.718	Tarleton State 70 - Southern Utah 73	11
Tennessee Martin 79 - SE Missouri State 67	0.793	Tennessee Martin 84 - SE Missouri State 58	-14
Texas Pan American 68 - Cal Baptist 75	0.716	Texas Pan American 54 - Cal Baptist 63	2
Towson 66 - Drexel 67	0.539	Towson 70 - Drexel 67	-4
UC San Diego 76 - UC Riverside 65	0.761	UC San Diego 66 - UC Riverside 65	10
UL Monroe 66 - South Alabama 73	0.69	UL Monroe 80 - South Alabama 66	-21
UMass Lowell 69 - Vermont 70	0.508	UMass Lowell 65 - Vermont 72	6
Wagner 62 - Merrimack 64	0.569	Wagner 44 - Merrimack 60	14
Western Kentucky 79 - Florida International 70	0.793	Western Kentucky 105 - Florida International 91	-5

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 77 - Stanford 80	0.56	California 73 - Stanford 71	-5
Canisius 74 - Manhattan 64	0.791	Canisius 82 - Manhattan 70	-2
Kent State 74 - Ohio 71	0.583	Kent State 64 - Ohio 71	10
Niagara 70 - Marist 66	0.598	Niagara 67 - Marist 62	-1
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Saint Josephs 71	0.575	Saint Bonaventure 91 - Saint Josephs 72	-16
Seattle 74 - Utah Valley 67	0.678	Seattle 62 - Utah Valley 61	6
Siena 62 - Iona 74	0.797	Siena 51 - Iona 70	7
UL Lafayette 76 - Arkansas State 70	0.671	UL Lafayette 81 - Arkansas State 75	0
Wisconsin 76 - Michigan State 72	0.599	Wisconsin 81 - Michigan State 66	-11

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Southern Utah 73	0.608	Abilene Christian 67 - Southern Utah 82	19
Alabama 85 - Louisiana State 73	0.754	Alabama 109 - Louisiana State 88	-9
American 66 - Colgate 72	0.683	American 54 - Colgate 73	13
Appalachian State 71 - James Madison 69	0.545	Appalachian State 82 - James Madison 76	-4
Arkansas 76 - Kentucky 85	0.748	Arkansas 57 - Kentucky 63	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 78 - SE Missouri State 67	0.773	Arkansas Little Rock 66 - SE Missouri State 61	6
Army 64 - Bucknell 67	0.589	Army 56 - Bucknell 66	7
Ball State 74 - Northern Illinois 71	0.599	Ball State 81 - Northern Illinois 71	-7
Baylor 80 - Texas Christian 75	0.658	Baylor 102 - Texas Christian 105	8
Bellarmine 68 - Jacksonville 70	0.571	Bellarmine 69 - Jacksonville 63	-8
Belmont 78 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.725	Belmont 74 - Illinois Chicago 65	1
Bethune Cookman 70 - Jackson State 74	0.621	Bethune Cookman 82 - Jackson State 71	-15
Boise State 73 - Utah State 74	0.504	Boise State 84 - Utah State 90	5
Brigham Young 79 - Texas 72	0.685	Brigham Young 84 - Texas 72	-5
Bryant 71 - Vermont 72	0.515	Bryant 57 - Vermont 67	9
Butler 75 - Villanova 77	0.564	Butler 88 - Villanova 81	-9
Cal State Fullerton 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.689	Cal State Fullerton 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 50	-13
Campbell 64 - College of Charleston 78	0.843	Campbell 67 - College of Charleston 90	9
Central Arkansas 70 - Kennesaw St 80	0.772	Central Arkansas 92 - Kennesaw St 87	-15
Central Connecticut State 68 - Wagner 63	0.639	Central Connecticut State 69 - Wagner 68	4
Charleston Southern 65 - UNC Asheville 76	0.766	Charleston Southern 65 - UNC Asheville 71	-5
Chattanooga 74 - The Citadel 64	0.721	Chattanooga 90 - The Citadel 62	-18
Cincinnati 74 - Central Florida 68	0.636	Cincinnati 68 - Central Florida 57	-5
Coastal Carolina 70 - Georgia State 75	0.648	Coastal Carolina 85 - Georgia State 83	-7
Columbia 72 - Pennsylvania 74	0.57	Columbia 84 - Pennsylvania 81	-5
Cornell 73 - Princeton 77	0.632	Cornell 83 - Princeton 68	-19
Creighton 88 - DePaul 62	0.952	Creighton 85 - DePaul 62	3
Dartmouth 64 - Brown 70	0.677	Dartmouth 75 - Brown 71	-10
Davidson 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.592	Davidson 58 - Virginia Commonwealth 63	2
Delaware 69 - Towson 68	0.502	Delaware 56 - Towson 67	12
Delaware State 74 - South Carolina State 69	0.675	Delaware State 64 - South Carolina State 66	7
Denver 78 - Omaha 71	0.685	Denver 72 - Omaha 91	26
Drake 78 - Northern Iowa 68	0.706	Drake 77 - Northern Iowa 63	-4
Drexel 79 - North Carolina AT 61	0.888	Drexel 62 - North Carolina AT 47	3
Duke 80 - Clemson 75	0.643	Duke 72 - Clemson 71	4
Duquesne 77 - Fordham 69	0.739	Duquesne 68 - Fordham 59	-1
East Tennessee State 69 - Samford 81	0.815	East Tennessee State 72 - Samford 75	-9
Eastern Illinois 67 - Tennessee State 69	0.561	Eastern Illinois 60 - Tennessee State 64	2
Eastern Kentucky 74 - North Florida 71	0.569	Eastern Kentucky 89 - North Florida 76	-10
Eastern Michigan 70 - Buffalo 69	0.537	Eastern Michigan 75 - Buffalo 65	-9
Eastern Washington 79 - Northern Arizona 63	0.83	Eastern Washington 85 - Northern Arizona 70	1
Evansville 71 - Illinois State 70	0.51	Evansville 58 - Illinois State 54	-3
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Sacred Heart 73	0.555	Fairleigh Dickinson 93 - Sacred Heart 91	-3
Florida 80 - Georgia 75	0.645	Florida 102 - Georgia 98	1
Florida AM 72 - Alcorn State 73	0.514	Florida AM 67 - Alcorn State 76	8
Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Austin Peay 67	0.522	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Austin Peay 67	-5
Florida State 71 - North Carolina 81	0.765	Florida State 68 - North Carolina 75	-3
Fresno State 70 - Air Force 66	0.643	Fresno State 84 - Air Force 70	-10
Gardner Webb 75 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.735	Gardner Webb 75 - South Carolina Upstate 70	4
George Mason 77 - Rhode Island 67	0.745	George Mason 92 - Rhode Island 84	2
George Washington 80 - La Salle 72	0.729	George Washington 70 - La Salle 80	18
Grambling State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.912	Grambling State 54 - Mississippi Valley State 46	12
Green Bay 76 - Detroit 59	0.859	Green Bay 78 - Detroit 64	3
Hampton 69 - Elon 76	0.71	Hampton 74 - Elon 80	-1
Harvard 68 - Yale 73	0.68	Harvard 65 - Yale 78	8
Hawaii 75 - Cal Poly 59	0.905	Hawaii 83 - Cal Poly 73	6
Holy Cross 69 - Lehigh 73	0.644	Holy Cross 72 - Lehigh 78	2
Houston 77 - Kansas State 62	0.839	Houston 74 - Kansas State 52	-7
Idaho 69 - Northern Colorado 78	0.749	Idaho 68 - Northern Colorado 89	12
Illinois 83 - Indiana 70	0.843	Illinois 70 - Indiana 62	5
Incarnate Word 72 - Houston Christian 71	0.509	Incarnate Word 79 - Houston Christian 75	-3
Indiana State 77 - Bradley 73	0.615	Indiana State 95 - Bradley 86	-5
Iowa State 76 - Kansas 74	0.542	Iowa State 79 - Kansas 75	-2
Jacksonville State 65 - Liberty 69	0.617	Jacksonville State 73 - Liberty 62	-15
Lafayette 67 - Boston 63	0.619	Lafayette 48 - Boston 62	18
Lamar 73 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.65	Lamar 74 - Southeast Louisiana 64	-4
Le Moyne 76 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.738	Le Moyne 87 - LIU Brooklyn 74	-1
Louisiana Tech 75 - New Mexico State 64	0.806	Louisiana Tech 73 - New Mexico State 53	-9
Louisville 65 - Virginia 76	0.73	Louisville 52 - Virginia 69	6
Maine 71 - Binghamton 65	0.663	Maine 50 - Binghamton 51	7
Marquette 79 - Seton Hall 73	0.66	Marquette 75 - Seton Hall 57	-12
Marshall 71 - Southern Miss 70	0.53	Marshall 83 - Southern Miss 67	-15
Maryland 73 - Nebraska 74	0.514	Maryland 73 - Nebraska 51	-23
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - North Carolina Central 72	0.774	Maryland Eastern Shore 57 - North Carolina Central 65	-1
Mcneese State 82 - New Orleans 60	0.919	Mcneese State 102 - New Orleans 65	-15
Miami 77 - Pittsburgh 73	0.587	Miami 72 - Pittsburgh 68	0
Miami OH 65 - Akron 75	0.82	Miami OH 70 - Akron 68	-12
Michigan 78 - Iowa 82	0.605	Michigan 78 - Iowa 88	6
Middle Tennessee 68 - Florida International 71	0.58	Middle Tennessee 79 - Florida International 61	-21
Milwaukee 70 - Oakland 77	0.703	Milwaukee 87 - Oakland 91	-3
Mississippi State 71 - Auburn 77	0.67	Mississippi State 64 - Auburn 58	-12
Monmouth 70 - Hofstra 71	0.506	Monmouth 81 - Hofstra 78	-4
Morehead State 71 - Western Illinois 62	0.785	Morehead State 64 - Western Illinois 50	-5
Morgan State 71 - Howard 78	0.721	Morgan State 85 - Howard 79	-13
Mt St Marys 74 - Rider 69	0.646	Mt St Marys 62 - Rider 66	9
Murray State 68 - Southern Illinois 71	0.57	Murray State 58 - Southern Illinois 60	-1
Navy 73 - Loyola MD 61	0.846	Navy 70 - Loyola MD 74	16
New Hampshire 77 - Albany 71	0.677	New Hampshire 79 - Albany 86	13
Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 57	0.883	Norfolk State 68 - Coppin State 58	8
North Alabama 76 - Queens 73	0.605	North Alabama 90 - Queens 84	-3
Northeastern 77 - William and Mary 64	0.79	Northeastern 68 - William and Mary 72	17
Northwestern 75 - Ohio State 74	0.508	Northwestern 83 - Ohio State 58	-24
Northwestern State 67 - Texas AM CC 74	0.66	Northwestern State 68 - Texas AM CC 79	4
Notre Dame 70 - Boston College 74	0.622	Notre Dame 58 - Boston College 61	-1
Oklahoma 75 - Texas Tech 73	0.557	Oklahoma 84 - Texas Tech 85	3
Oklahoma State 75 - West Virginia 73	0.539	Oklahoma State 70 - West Virginia 66	-2
Old Dominion 74 - Georgia Southern 70	0.582	Old Dominion 70 - Georgia Southern 76	10
Oral Roberts 71 - South Dakota State 76	0.611	Oral Roberts 87 - South Dakota State 82	-10
Oregon 75 - Arizona 84	0.681	Oregon 78 - Arizona 87	0
Oregon State 70 - Arizona State 76	0.657	Oregon State 84 - Arizona State 71	-19
Pacific 60 - Gonzaga 90	0.952	Pacific 73 - Gonzaga 82	-21
Penn State 76 - Minnesota 74	0.537	Penn State 74 - Minnesota 83	11
Pepperdine 75 - San Diego 72	0.595	Pepperdine 67 - San Diego 69	5
Portland 65 - San Francisco 82	0.884	Portland 64 - San Francisco 76	-5
Portland State 69 - Montana State 71	0.549	Portland State 94 - Montana State 91	-5
Prairie View 68 - Alabama State 69	0.535	Prairie View 67 - Alabama State 74	6
Providence 82 - Georgetown 68	0.823	Providence 84 - Georgetown 76	6
Radford 75 - Presbyterian 64	0.839	Radford 73 - Presbyterian 58	-4
Rice 73 - Tulsa 74	0.53	Rice 83 - Tulsa 85	1
Richmond 67 - Dayton 74	0.696	Richmond 69 - Dayton 64	-12
Sacramento State 63 - Montana 76	0.772	Sacramento State 67 - Montana 70	-10
Saint Francis Penn 60 - Merrimack 71	0.796	Saint Francis Penn 55 - Merrimack 74	8
Saint Louis 73 - Massachusetts 79	0.64	Saint Louis 73 - Massachusetts 84	5
Saint Marys 78 - Loyola Marymount 60	0.872	Saint Marys 70 - Loyola Marymount 65	13
Saint Thomas 74 - North Dakota 63	0.754	Saint Thomas 64 - North Dakota 74	21
Sam Houston State 72 - Texas El Paso 70	0.577	Sam Houston State 60 - Texas El Paso 56	-2
San Jose State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	0.762	San Jose State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	1
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.72	SIU Edwardsville 74 - Tennessee Tech 57	-8
South Carolina 76 - Missouri 68	0.756	South Carolina 72 - Missouri 64	0
South Florida 84 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.834	South Florida 89 - Texas San Antonio 72	-1
Southern 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.78	Southern 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	-3
Southern California 74 - UCLA 70	0.596	Southern California 50 - UCLA 65	19
Stephen F Austin 73 - Cal Baptist 67	0.641	Stephen F Austin 79 - Cal Baptist 81	8
Stetson 73 - Lipscomb 75	0.546	Stetson 80 - Lipscomb 59	-23
Stony Brook 68 - UNC Wilmington 75	0.693	Stony Brook 86 - UNC Wilmington 78	-15
Syracuse 78 - NC State 73	0.612	Syracuse 77 - NC State 65	-7
Tarleton State 74 - Utah Tech 65	0.748	Tarleton State 86 - Utah Tech 68	-9
Tennessee Martin 78 - Lindenwood 66	0.826	Tennessee Martin 76 - Lindenwood 67	3
Texas AM 76 - Mississippi 73	0.572	Texas AM 68 - Mississippi 71	6
Texas AM Commerce 70 - Nicholls State 71	0.52	Texas AM Commerce 84 - Nicholls State 87	2
Texas Arlington 68 - Grand Canyon 79	0.801	Texas Arlington 61 - Grand Canyon 67	-5
Texas Southern 74 - Alabama AM 64	0.825	Texas Southern 85 - Alabama AM 69	-6
Toledo 76 - Bowling Green 70	0.657	Toledo 88 - Bowling Green 72	-10
Troy 76 - South Alabama 68	0.694	Troy 83 - South Alabama 79	4
Tulane 75 - Charlotte 72	0.588	Tulane 71 - Charlotte 75	7
UC Davis 71 - UC San Diego 70	0.534	UC Davis 59 - UC San Diego 92	34
UC Irvine 80 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.828	UC Irvine 77 - Cal State Northridge 72	10
UC Riverside 73 - Long Beach State 75	0.575	UC Riverside 53 - Long Beach State 65	10
UMBC 74 - NJ Tech 70	0.623	UMBC 74 - NJ Tech 75	5
UMKC 73 - South Dakota 69	0.61	UMKC 81 - South Dakota 57	-20
UNC Greensboro 73 - Mercer 61	0.828	UNC Greensboro 64 - Mercer 70	18
Valparaiso 68 - Missouri State 73	0.642	Valparaiso 70 - Missouri State 81	6
Vanderbilt 62 - Tennessee 83	0.935	Vanderbilt 62 - Tennessee 75	-8
Virginia Tech 79 - Georgia Tech 71	0.711	Virginia Tech 91 - Georgia Tech 67	-16
Washington 76 - Utah 81	0.607	Washington 98 - Utah 73	-30
Washington State 74 - Colorado 75	0.543	Washington State 78 - Colorado 69	-10
Weber State 76 - Idaho State 61	0.859	Weber State 64 - Idaho State 74	25
Western Carolina 82 - Virginia Military Institute 58	0.924	Western Carolina 102 - Virginia Military Institute 77	-1
Western Michigan 71 - Central Michigan 70	0.534	Western Michigan 55 - Central Michigan 62	8
Winthrop 73 - High Point 75	0.564	Winthrop 81 - High Point 83	0
Wofford 74 - Furman 77	0.606	Wofford 77 - Furman 67	-13
Wyoming 68 - Colorado State 81	0.835	Wyoming 79 - Colorado State 76	-16

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Memphis 79	0.661	Alabama Birmingham 97 - Memphis 88	-15
Canisius 67 - Marist 64	0.559	Canisius 71 - Marist 80	12
Cleveland State 77 - Robert Morris 68	0.716	Cleveland State 66 - Robert Morris 64	7
Connecticut 80 - Xavier 72	0.722	Connecticut 99 - Xavier 56	-35
East Carolina 73 - Temple 67	0.666	East Carolina 70 - Temple 64	0
Fairfield 74 - Quinnipiac 71	0.558	Fairfield 64 - Quinnipiac 66	5
Florida Atlantic 75 - North Texas 67	0.683	Florida Atlantic 66 - North Texas 63	5
IUPUI 65 - Wright State 82	0.843	IUPUI 76 - Wright State 83	-10
New Mexico 79 - Nevada 72	0.664	New Mexico 89 - Nevada 55	-27
Niagara 77 - Manhattan 65	0.814	Niagara 78 - Manhattan 84	18
Rutgers 66 - Purdue 82	0.848	Rutgers 60 - Purdue 68	-8
Siena 59 - Saint Peters 71	0.809	Siena 52 - Saint Peters 63	-1
UL Lafayette 74 - Texas State 64	0.819	UL Lafayette 66 - Texas State 46	-10
UL Monroe 66 - Arkansas State 76	0.747	UL Monroe 85 - Arkansas State 82	-13
Wichita State 68 - Southern Methodist 79	0.785	Wichita State 77 - Southern Methodist 72	-16
Youngstown State 73 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.626	Youngstown State 82 - Northern Kentucky 52	-25

Number of DI Games: 330
Number Correct: 228 = 69%
Expected Number Correct: 226.431 = 68.6%
Average Error: 8.94
Average Signed Error: -1.18

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 74 - Alcorn State 72	0.563	Bethune Cookman 67 - Alcorn State 70	5
Coppin State 66 - Howard 73	0.712	Coppin State 66 - Howard 81	8
Delaware State 66 - North Carolina Central 69	0.623	Delaware State 66 - North Carolina Central 69	0
Florida AM 68 - Jackson State 74	0.705	Florida AM 88 - Jackson State 86	-8
Grambling State 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.756	Grambling State 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 86	24
Holy Cross 65 - Boston 71	0.665	Holy Cross 65 - Boston 63	-8
Houston Christian 68 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.554	Houston Christian 58 - Southeast Louisiana 80	20
Lamar 79 - New Orleans 68	0.781	Lamar 98 - New Orleans 73	-14
Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - South Carolina State 71	0.605	Maryland Eastern Shore 53 - South Carolina State 63	7
Mcneese State 80 - Northwestern State 58	0.911	Mcneese State 89 - Northwestern State 65	-2
Norfolk State 78 - Morgan State 63	0.836	Norfolk State 83 - Morgan State 73	5
Prairie View 74 - Alabama AM 67	0.706	Prairie View 87 - Alabama AM 76	-4
Southern 79 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.916	Southern 78 - Mississippi Valley State 54	-1
Texas 65 - Houston 76	0.798	Texas 72 - Houston 76	-7
Texas AM Commerce 65 - Texas AM CC 71	0.657	Texas AM Commerce 54 - Texas AM CC 69	9
Texas Southern 67 - Alabama State 66	0.529	Texas Southern 56 - Alabama State 55	0
Virginia Tech 74 - Duke 77	0.58	Virginia Tech 67 - Duke 77	7

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Wyoming 73	0.572	Air Force 72 - Wyoming 83	8
Ball State 72 - Bowling Green 71	0.507	Ball State 72 - Bowling Green 81	10
Boston College 74 - Syracuse 77	0.583	Boston College 80 - Syracuse 75	-8
Central Michigan 74 - Northern Illinois 67	0.687	Central Michigan 84 - Northern Illinois 77	0
Clemson 86 - Louisville 68	0.889	Clemson 70 - Louisville 64	12
Colorado State 72 - San Diego State 75	0.574	Colorado State 79 - San Diego State 71	-11
Dayton 83 - George Washington 66	0.898	Dayton 83 - George Washington 61	-5
DePaul 67 - Seton Hall 82	0.853	DePaul 39 - Seton Hall 72	18
Eastern Michigan 59 - Akron 77	0.915	Eastern Michigan 46 - Akron 77	13
Georgia Tech 68 - North Carolina 86	0.897	Georgia Tech 74 - North Carolina 73	-19
Gonzaga 82 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.879	Gonzaga 92 - Loyola Marymount 58	-18
Indiana 77 - Iowa 80	0.575	Indiana 74 - Iowa 68	-9
Kansas 83 - Oklahoma State 68	0.883	Kansas 83 - Oklahoma State 54	-14
Kansas State 73 - Oklahoma 74	0.511	Kansas State 53 - Oklahoma 73	19
Kent State 74 - Miami OH 69	0.642	Kent State 67 - Miami OH 71	9
Lindenwood 69 - SE Missouri State 67	0.56	Lindenwood 58 - SE Missouri State 54	-2
Loyola Ill 78 - Saint Louis 68	0.739	Loyola Ill 77 - Saint Louis 62	-5
Michigan State 82 - Michigan 70	0.773	Michigan State 81 - Michigan 62	-7
Mississippi 74 - Mississippi State 73	0.519	Mississippi 86 - Mississippi State 82	-3
Murray State 72 - Illinois State 66	0.658	Murray State 59 - Illinois State 61	8
NC State 77 - Miami 78	0.521	NC State 74 - Miami 68	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Fresno State 68	0.731	Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Fresno State 69	1
Ohio 78 - Buffalo 64	0.856	Ohio 91 - Buffalo 70	-7
Ohio State 74 - Illinois 80	0.668	Ohio State 75 - Illinois 87	6
Saint Bonaventure 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.512	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 62	-4
Tennessee 78 - South Carolina 66	0.805	Tennessee 59 - South Carolina 63	16
Texas Christian 76 - Texas Tech 77	0.508	Texas Christian 85 - Texas Tech 78	-8
Toledo 80 - Western Michigan 66	0.873	Toledo 88 - Western Michigan 63	-11
Utah State 87 - San Jose State 65	0.945	Utah State 82 - San Jose State 61	1
Villanova 74 - Marquette 77	0.579	Villanova 80 - Marquette 85	2

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 73 - Southern Miss 71	0.543	Arkansas State 78 - Southern Miss 71	-5
Auburn 85 - Vanderbilt 62	0.942	Auburn 81 - Vanderbilt 54	-4
Belmont 73 - Indiana State 82	0.731	Belmont 72 - Indiana State 78	-3
Bradley 76 - Northern Iowa 69	0.676	Bradley 85 - Northern Iowa 69	-9
Bucknell 74 - Loyola MD 63	0.793	Bucknell 67 - Loyola MD 52	-4
Central Florida 72 - Baylor 77	0.621	Central Florida 69 - Baylor 77	3
Colgate 74 - Army 57	0.885	Colgate 74 - Army 55	-2
Connecticut 80 - Providence 69	0.752	Connecticut 74 - Providence 65	2
Drake 84 - Valparaiso 61	0.902	Drake 81 - Valparaiso 70	12
Duquesne 77 - Chicago State 60	0.887	Duquesne 65 - Chicago State 60	12
East Carolina 68 - South Florida 72	0.594	East Carolina 60 - South Florida 71	7
Evansville 73 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.567	Evansville 77 - Illinois Chicago 60	-14
Fordham 67 - Richmond 77	0.788	Fordham 69 - Richmond 83	4
Gardner Webb 70 - UNC Asheville 72	0.565	Gardner Webb 80 - UNC Asheville 73	-9
Georgia 76 - Alabama 84	0.71	Georgia 76 - Alabama 85	1
Jacksonville 67 - Austin Peay 70	0.605	Jacksonville 63 - Austin Peay 43	-23
Kentucky 84 - Florida 81	0.607	Kentucky 91 - Florida 94	6
Lafayette 67 - American 66	0.531	Lafayette 66 - American 69	4
Lehigh 70 - Navy 68	0.544	Lehigh 77 - Navy 65	-10
Memphis 84 - Rice 66	0.896	Memphis 71 - Rice 74	21
Mercer 68 - East Tennessee State 67	0.531	Mercer 49 - East Tennessee State 54	6
Missouri 73 - Arkansas 74	0.512	Missouri 84 - Arkansas 91	6
New Mexico 78 - Boise State 72	0.659	New Mexico 78 - Boise State 86	14
North Florida 72 - Lipscomb 74	0.544	North Florida 85 - Lipscomb 76	-11
North Texas 72 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.656	North Texas 79 - Alabama Birmingham 82	8
Pittsburgh 74 - Wake Forest 76	0.554	Pittsburgh 77 - Wake Forest 72	-7
Presbyterian 70 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.525	Presbyterian 80 - South Carolina Upstate 73	-6
Purdue 83 - Northwestern 69	0.796	Purdue 105 - Northwestern 96	5
Radford 75 - Charleston Southern 62	0.816	Radford 60 - Charleston Southern 63	16
Rhode Island 75 - La Salle 72	0.582	Rhode Island 71 - La Salle 69	1
Rutgers 76 - Penn State 72	0.59	Rutgers 46 - Penn State 61	19
Saint Josephs 72 - George Mason 73	0.516	Saint Josephs 75 - George Mason 73	-3
Saint Marys 77 - Santa Clara 65	0.754	Saint Marys 82 - Santa Clara 77	7
Samford 82 - Wofford 70	0.813	Samford 81 - Wofford 79	10
Southern Illinois 72 - Missouri State 67	0.64	Southern Illinois 75 - Missouri State 76	6
Texas AM Commerce 72 - Incarnate Word 66	0.67	Texas AM Commerce 71 - Incarnate Word 66	1
The Citadel 67 - Furman 75	0.695	The Citadel 79 - Furman 82	-5
Tulsa 74 - Wichita State 75	0.502	Tulsa 79 - Wichita State 68	-12
UL Lafayette 77 - UL Monroe 62	0.861	UL Lafayette 80 - UL Monroe 72	7
Virginia 72 - Notre Dame 60	0.772	Virginia 65 - Notre Dame 53	0
Virginia Military Institute 61 - UNC Greensboro 81	0.884	Virginia Military Institute 79 - UNC Greensboro 85	-14
West Virginia 71 - Cincinnati 79	0.729	West Virginia 69 - Cincinnati 65	-12
Western Carolina 72 - Chattanooga 69	0.561	Western Carolina 85 - Chattanooga 91	9
Xavier 77 - Saint Johns 78	0.522	Xavier 88 - Saint Johns 77	-12

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Tarleton State 72	0.546	Abilene Christian 73 - Tarleton State 76	1
Arizona 89 - California 70	0.843	Arizona 91 - California 65	-7
Arizona State 77 - Stanford 76	0.524	Arizona State 62 - Stanford 71	10
Binghamton 71 - NJ Tech 66	0.653	Binghamton 75 - NJ Tech 66	-4
Bryant 83 - UMBC 68	0.849	Bryant 99 - UMBC 95	11
Cal Poly 57 - UC Irvine 79	0.944	Cal Poly 59 - UC Irvine 73	-8
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Long Beach State 75	0.639	Cal State Bakersfield 82 - Long Beach State 76	-11
Cal State Fullerton 69 - Hawaii 67	0.578	Cal State Fullerton 68 - Hawaii 76	10
Central Arkansas 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.613	Central Arkansas 59 - Florida Gulf Coast 82	18
Central Connecticut State 74 - Saint Francis Penn 60	0.847	Central Connecticut State 63 - Saint Francis Penn 62	13
College of Charleston 76 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.586	College of Charleston 74 - UNC Wilmington 80	9
Detroit 64 - Cleveland State 78	0.839	Detroit 65 - Cleveland State 77	-2
Eastern Illinois 70 - Tennessee Martin 72	0.545	Eastern Illinois 59 - Tennessee Martin 76	15
Elon 70 - Campbell 68	0.549	Elon 67 - Campbell 69	4
Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.73	Fairleigh Dickinson 82 - LIU Brooklyn 75	1
Florida International 65 - Louisiana Tech 79	0.888	Florida International 53 - Louisiana Tech 93	26
Georgia Southern 67 - Troy 76	0.735	Georgia Southern 63 - Troy 84	12
Georgia State 64 - Appalachian State 76	0.775	Georgia State 71 - Appalachian State 81	-2
Grand Canyon 76 - Seattle 66	0.782	Grand Canyon 95 - Seattle 88	3
Green Bay 75 - IUPUI 57	0.862	Green Bay 79 - IUPUI 56	-5
High Point 75 - Longwood 66	0.751	High Point 93 - Longwood 76	-8
Hofstra 74 - Stony Brook 69	0.651	Hofstra 72 - Stony Brook 71	4
IPFW 77 - Milwaukee 71	0.662	IPFW 65 - Milwaukee 68	9
James Madison 82 - Coastal Carolina 63	0.927	James Madison 105 - Coastal Carolina 67	-19
Kennesaw St 77 - Bellarmine 67	0.782	Kennesaw St 95 - Bellarmine 96	11
Lindenwood 61 - Western Illinois 71	0.849	Lindenwood 71 - Western Illinois 79	-2
Marshall 77 - Old Dominion 67	0.738	Marshall 76 - Old Dominion 83	17
Monmouth 67 - Drexel 71	0.614	Monmouth 67 - Drexel 62	-9
Montana 79 - Idaho 61	0.824	Montana 73 - Idaho 70	15
Montana State 70 - Eastern Washington 76	0.671	Montana State 70 - Eastern Washington 60	-16
Nebraska 73 - Wisconsin 79	0.64	Nebraska 80 - Wisconsin 72	-14
New Mexico State 67 - Liberty 73	0.63	New Mexico State 79 - Liberty 73	-12
North Alabama 71 - Stetson 74	0.561	North Alabama 79 - Stetson 72	-10
North Carolina AT 77 - Hampton 68	0.767	North Carolina AT 59 - Hampton 58	8
Northern Arizona 65 - Weber State 72	0.645	Northern Arizona 70 - Weber State 72	-5
Northern Colorado 78 - Idaho State 67	0.821	Northern Colorado 91 - Idaho State 86	6
Oakland 78 - Robert Morris 66	0.801	Oakland 87 - Robert Morris 72	-3
Omaha 66 - Saint Thomas 69	0.59	Omaha 69 - Saint Thomas 65	-7
Pacific 72 - Portland 75	0.574	Pacific 60 - Portland 65	2
Queens 70 - Eastern Kentucky 77	0.691	Queens 94 - Eastern Kentucky 76	-25
Sacred Heart 74 - Stonehill 64	0.775	Sacred Heart 77 - Stonehill 72	5
San Francisco 81 - San Diego 65	0.869	San Francisco 95 - San Diego 79	0
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.589	SIU Edwardsville 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	1
South Dakota 70 - North Dakota 73	0.576	South Dakota 81 - North Dakota 95	11
South Dakota State 78 - North Dakota State 68	0.762	South Dakota State 73 - North Dakota State 74	11
Southern California 74 - Oregon 79	0.649	Southern California 69 - Oregon 78	4
Southern Methodist 81 - Tulane 72	0.729	Southern Methodist 80 - Tulane 76	5
Southern Utah 76 - Texas Arlington 75	0.522	Southern Utah 68 - Texas Arlington 76	9
Stephen F Austin 74 - Utah Valley 68	0.649	Stephen F Austin 77 - Utah Valley 72	1
Tennessee State 64 - Morehead State 72	0.725	Tennessee State 49 - Morehead State 68	11
Tennessee Tech 69 - Southern Indiana 67	0.542	Tennessee Tech 71 - Southern Indiana 74	5
Texas El Paso 68 - Jacksonville State 67	0.524	Texas El Paso 79 - Jacksonville State 71	-7
Texas State 69 - South Alabama 70	0.505	Texas State 74 - South Alabama 66	-9
Towson 73 - Northeastern 61	0.781	Towson 83 - Northeastern 76	5
UC San Diego 78 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.742	UC San Diego 83 - Cal State Northridge 62	-10
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC Davis 70	0.595	UC Santa Barbara 69 - UC Davis 79	13
UCLA 73 - Oregon State 68	0.601	UCLA 71 - Oregon State 63	-3
UMass Lowell 73 - Maine 63	0.79	UMass Lowell 76 - Maine 62	-4
UMKC 73 - Denver 75	0.527	UMKC 85 - Denver 71	-16
Utah Tech 75 - Texas Pan American 72	0.581	Utah Tech 81 - Texas Pan American 64	-14
Vermont 78 - Albany 64	0.854	Vermont 81 - Albany 59	-8
Wagner 67 - Le Moyne 66	0.537	Wagner 80 - Le Moyne 57	-22
Western Kentucky 76 - Sam Houston State 72	0.612	Western Kentucky 77 - Sam Houston State 79	6
William and Mary 65 - Delaware 75	0.775	William and Mary 53 - Delaware 81	18
Wright State 75 - Youngstown State 76	0.532	Wright State 77 - Youngstown State 88	10

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Toledo 70	0.633	Akron 77 - Toledo 70	-3
Brown 71 - Pennsylvania 74	0.588	Brown 70 - Pennsylvania 61	-12
Buffalo 66 - Kent State 76	0.759	Buffalo 52 - Kent State 83	21
Creighton 82 - Butler 74	0.709	Creighton 98 - Butler 99	9
Dartmouth 62 - Cornell 81	0.9	Dartmouth 53 - Cornell 56	-16
Dayton 76 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.765	Dayton 76 - Saint Bonaventure 71	5
Harvard 74 - Columbia 70	0.636	Harvard 62 - Columbia 59	1
Iona 71 - Fairfield 68	0.571	Iona 91 - Fairfield 82	-6
Iowa 81 - Ohio State 76	0.624	Iowa 79 - Ohio State 77	3
Manhattan 64 - Quinnipiac 77	0.866	Manhattan 71 - Quinnipiac 77	-7
Marist 68 - Mt St Marys 64	0.597	Marist 58 - Mt St Marys 76	22
Nevada 82 - San Jose State 65	0.854	Nevada 90 - San Jose State 60	-13
Rider 74 - Siena 64	0.775	Rider 91 - Siena 50	-31
Saint Peters 71 - Niagara 65	0.669	Saint Peters 59 - Niagara 68	15
Yale 70 - Princeton 71	0.518	Yale 70 - Princeton 64	-7

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Mississippi State 73	0.689	Alabama 99 - Mississippi State 67	-24
Alabama AM 72 - Florida AM 71	0.531	Alabama AM 73 - Florida AM 61	-11
Alabama State 72 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.685	Alabama State 68 - Bethune Cookman 79	17
Albany 80 - UMBC 72	0.742	Albany 102 - UMBC 114	20
Alcorn State 69 - Southern 74	0.618	Alcorn State 70 - Southern 71	-4
American 70 - Bucknell 68	0.577	American 75 - Bucknell 66	-7
Arizona State 77 - California 73	0.602	Arizona State 66 - California 81	19
Arkansas State 76 - UL Monroe 68	0.726	Arkansas State 95 - UL Monroe 80	-7
Army 62 - Lafayette 65	0.586	Army 56 - Lafayette 64	5
Austin Peay 70 - North Florida 69	0.526	Austin Peay 95 - North Florida 91	-3
Baylor 77 - Iowa State 76	0.522	Baylor 70 - Iowa State 68	-1
Boise State 79 - Air Force 61	0.882	Boise State 94 - Air Force 56	-20
Boston 69 - Lehigh 67	0.566	Boston 72 - Lehigh 71	1
Bowling Green 71 - Central Michigan 68	0.583	Bowling Green 76 - Central Michigan 77	4
Brown 63 - Princeton 78	0.881	Brown 60 - Princeton 70	-5
Cal Baptist 68 - Seattle 69	0.515	Cal Baptist 60 - Seattle 61	0
Cal Poly 62 - UC Davis 75	0.811	Cal Poly 52 - UC Davis 59	-6
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.685	Cal State Bakersfield 59 - UC Santa Barbara 70	4
Cal State Northridge 73 - UC Riverside 70	0.576	Cal State Northridge 76 - UC Riverside 70	-3
Central Arkansas 68 - Stetson 77	0.686	Central Arkansas 62 - Stetson 73	2
Central Florida 71 - Oklahoma 73	0.545	Central Florida 74 - Oklahoma 63	-13
Charleston Southern 64 - Longwood 71	0.701	Charleston Southern 83 - Longwood 77	-13
Charlotte 72 - East Carolina 64	0.753	Charlotte 67 - East Carolina 52	-7
Chattanooga 73 - Samford 76	0.585	Chattanooga 56 - Samford 78	19
Clemson 73 - Virginia 69	0.605	Clemson 65 - Virginia 66	5
Colgate 74 - Navy 61	0.856	Colgate 88 - Navy 64	-11
Dartmouth 66 - Columbia 72	0.673	Dartmouth 56 - Columbia 72	10
Delaware 73 - Monmouth 69	0.6	Delaware 84 - Monmouth 80	0
DePaul 68 - Xavier 84	0.829	DePaul 68 - Xavier 93	9
Detroit 67 - Robert Morris 75	0.693	Detroit 67 - Robert Morris 75	0
East Tennessee State 72 - The Citadel 65	0.66	East Tennessee State 62 - The Citadel 60	5
Eastern Illinois 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.52	Eastern Illinois 47 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	23
Florida Atlantic 84 - Tulsa 67	0.857	Florida Atlantic 102 - Tulsa 70	-15
Florida International 70 - Sam Houston State 77	0.682	Florida International 68 - Sam Houston State 61	-14
Fresno State 67 - Colorado State 79	0.808	Fresno State 61 - Colorado State 73	0
Georgetown 69 - Marquette 85	0.862	Georgetown 57 - Marquette 91	18
Georgia 74 - South Carolina 73	0.51	Georgia 62 - South Carolina 72	11
Georgia Southern 62 - Appalachian State 77	0.814	Georgia Southern 84 - Appalachian State 85	-14
Georgia State 69 - Troy 75	0.671	Georgia State 74 - Troy 78	-2
Gonzaga 72 - Saint Marys 71	0.53	Gonzaga 62 - Saint Marys 64	3
Hampton 69 - Howard 78	0.781	Hampton 63 - Howard 61	-11
Harvard 70 - Cornell 79	0.736	Harvard 76 - Cornell 89	4
High Point 81 - Presbyterian 63	0.925	High Point 78 - Presbyterian 68	8
Hofstra 67 - Towson 68	0.525	Hofstra 59 - Towson 56	-4
Illinois Chicago 65 - Southern Illinois 73	0.724	Illinois Chicago 71 - Southern Illinois 74	-5
Illinois State 64 - Bradley 76	0.798	Illinois State 60 - Bradley 73	1
Indiana 79 - Penn State 74	0.649	Indiana 71 - Penn State 85	19
Indiana State 77 - Drake 75	0.547	Indiana State 75 - Drake 67	-6
Jackson State 69 - Grambling State 66	0.587	Jackson State 62 - Grambling State 70	11
James Madison 81 - Old Dominion 63	0.892	James Madison 78 - Old Dominion 63	3
Kansas 69 - Houston 76	0.69	Kansas 78 - Houston 65	-20
Kennesaw St 74 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0.556	Kennesaw St 76 - Eastern Kentucky 86	9
Kentucky 77 - Tennessee 81	0.61	Kentucky 92 - Tennessee 103	7
La Salle 71 - Saint Josephs 76	0.65	La Salle 82 - Saint Josephs 88	1
Lipscomb 78 - Jacksonville 66	0.775	Lipscomb 84 - Jacksonville 82	10
LIU Brooklyn 68 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.522	LIU Brooklyn 70 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-2
Long Beach State 73 - UC San Diego 75	0.57	Long Beach State 85 - UC San Diego 76	-11
Louisiana State 78 - Arkansas 73	0.636	Louisiana State 95 - Arkansas 74	-16
Louisville 70 - Florida State 82	0.793	Louisville 101 - Florida State 92	-21
Loyola MD 70 - Holy Cross 68	0.579	Loyola MD 67 - Holy Cross 70	5
Maine 66 - Bryant 72	0.672	Maine 79 - Bryant 72	-13
Marshall 78 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.786	Marshall 91 - Coastal Carolina 74	-6
Massachusetts 74 - George Mason 73	0.542	Massachusetts 66 - George Mason 65	0
Memphis 83 - Wichita State 71	0.803	Memphis 65 - Wichita State 63	10
Mercer 78 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.836	Mercer 90 - Virginia Military Institute 69	-6
Merrimack 68 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.641	Merrimack 71 - Central Connecticut State 68	2
Miami 77 - Virginia Tech 76	0.531	Miami 82 - Virginia Tech 74	-7
Michigan 75 - Rutgers 73	0.546	Michigan 59 - Rutgers 69	12
Michigan State 74 - Maryland 68	0.667	Michigan State 63 - Maryland 54	-3
Minnesota 72 - Northwestern 75	0.583	Minnesota 75 - Northwestern 66	-12
Mississippi 73 - Auburn 78	0.631	Mississippi 77 - Auburn 91	9
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 75	0.782	Mississippi Valley State 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 83	-3
Missouri State 75 - Belmont 73	0.557	Missouri State 87 - Belmont 80	-5
Montana 72 - Eastern Washington 73	0.512	Montana 65 - Eastern Washington 78	12
Montana State 76 - Idaho 64	0.782	Montana State 75 - Idaho 81	18
NC State 80 - Georgia Tech 73	0.729	NC State 82 - Georgia Tech 76	1
Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Wyoming 71	0.669	Nevada Las Vegas 62 - Wyoming 48	-6
New Mexico State 69 - Jacksonville State 68	0.502	New Mexico State 67 - Jacksonville State 65	-1
New Orleans 73 - Incarnate Word 71	0.553	New Orleans 80 - Incarnate Word 82	4
Nicholls State 78 - Houston Christian 67	0.853	Nicholls State 83 - Houston Christian 73	1
Norfolk State 73 - Delaware State 63	0.781	Norfolk State 65 - Delaware State 64	9
North Alabama 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.538	North Alabama 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 69	0
North Carolina 81 - Duke 74	0.701	North Carolina 93 - Duke 84	-2
North Carolina AT 72 - Elon 71	0.535	North Carolina AT 65 - Elon 69	5
North Carolina Central 73 - Coppin State 58	0.866	North Carolina Central 77 - Coppin State 46	-16
North Dakota 73 - North Dakota State 70	0.571	North Dakota 60 - North Dakota State 58	1
North Texas 71 - South Florida 65	0.666	North Texas 55 - South Florida 60	11
Northern Arizona 68 - Idaho State 66	0.555	Northern Arizona 79 - Idaho State 81	4
Northern Colorado 74 - Weber State 73	0.548	Northern Colorado 63 - Weber State 82	20
Northern Illinois 74 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.654	Northern Illinois 76 - Eastern Michigan 66	-5
Northern Iowa 75 - Murray State 67	0.691	Northern Iowa 43 - Murray State 71	36
Northwestern State 69 - Texas AM Commerce 70	0.526	Northwestern State 70 - Texas AM Commerce 57	-14
Oakland 75 - Cleveland State 69	0.691	Oakland 83 - Cleveland State 71	-6
Ohio 73 - Miami OH 68	0.663	Ohio 78 - Miami OH 69	-4
Oklahoma State 70 - Kansas State 75	0.644	Oklahoma State 75 - Kansas State 72	-8
Oral Roberts 78 - Denver 75	0.586	Oral Roberts 82 - Denver 76	-3
Pittsburgh 74 - Notre Dame 64	0.748	Pittsburgh 70 - Notre Dame 60	0
Portland 73 - Pepperdine 76	0.6	Portland 93 - Pepperdine 89	-7
Portland State 72 - Sacramento State 64	0.671	Portland State 58 - Sacramento State 51	1
Prairie View 68 - Texas Southern 69	0.555	Prairie View 69 - Texas Southern 80	10
Queens 73 - Bellarmine 68	0.653	Queens 85 - Bellarmine 75	-5
Rhode Island 70 - Duquesne 75	0.64	Rhode Island 71 - Duquesne 85	9
Sacred Heart 72 - Le Moyne 71	0.524	Sacred Heart 87 - Le Moyne 81	-5
Saint Johns 73 - Connecticut 78	0.619	Saint Johns 64 - Connecticut 77	8
Saint Louis 76 - Fordham 74	0.547	Saint Louis 65 - Fordham 67	4
San Diego State 76 - Utah State 74	0.572	San Diego State 81 - Utah State 67	-12
San Francisco 85 - Pacific 58	0.933	San Francisco 79 - Pacific 73	21
Santa Clara 81 - San Diego 68	0.81	Santa Clara 59 - San Diego 70	24
SE Missouri State 61 - Western Illinois 72	0.812	SE Missouri State 55 - Western Illinois 76	10
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.571	SIU Edwardsville 79 - Tennessee Martin 90	14
South Carolina State 76 - Morgan State 71	0.648	South Carolina State 70 - Morgan State 72	7
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Radford 72	0.717	South Carolina Upstate 78 - Radford 69	-16
Southeast Louisiana 59 - Mcneese State 74	0.84	Southeast Louisiana 77 - Mcneese State 74	-18
Southern California 77 - Oregon State 73	0.592	Southern California 82 - Oregon State 54	-24
Southern Utah 80 - Texas Pan American 71	0.759	Southern Utah 79 - Texas Pan American 59	-11
Stonehill 61 - Wagner 68	0.715	Stonehill 71 - Wagner 61	-17
Stony Brook 74 - Northeastern 68	0.668	Stony Brook 59 - Northeastern 55	2
Tarleton State 70 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.526	Tarleton State 75 - Stephen F Austin 64	-12
Tennessee State 74 - Southern Indiana 64	0.787	Tennessee State 79 - Southern Indiana 74	5
Tennessee Tech 59 - Morehead State 76	0.868	Tennessee Tech 60 - Morehead State 67	-10
Texas AM 76 - Florida 78	0.554	Texas AM 67 - Florida 66	-3
Texas AM CC 72 - Lamar 68	0.629	Texas AM CC 79 - Lamar 71	-4
Texas Christian 78 - Texas 75	0.594	Texas Christian 66 - Texas 77	14
Texas El Paso 67 - Liberty 71	0.623	Texas El Paso 65 - Liberty 67	-2
Texas San Antonio 75 - Rice 76	0.52	Texas San Antonio 76 - Rice 80	3
Texas State 66 - Southern Miss 68	0.562	Texas State 60 - Southern Miss 55	-7
Texas Tech 77 - Cincinnati 72	0.637	Texas Tech 72 - Cincinnati 75	8
UC Irvine 76 - Hawaii 62	0.881	UC Irvine 93 - Hawaii 68	-11
UCLA 70 - Oregon 75	0.621	UCLA 71 - Oregon 63	-13
UL Lafayette 77 - South Alabama 67	0.75	UL Lafayette 80 - South Alabama 60	-10
UMass Lowell 74 - New Hampshire 68	0.691	UMass Lowell 73 - New Hampshire 89	22
UMKC 65 - Saint Thomas 70	0.634	UMKC 56 - Saint Thomas 71	10
UNC Asheville 73 - Winthrop 70	0.599	UNC Asheville 82 - Winthrop 78	-1
UNC Wilmington 77 - Campbell 61	0.862	UNC Wilmington 77 - Campbell 74	13
Utah 76 - Colorado 77	0.504	Utah 73 - Colorado 68	-6
Utah Tech 70 - Texas Arlington 76	0.65	Utah Tech 66 - Texas Arlington 87	15
Utah Valley 65 - Grand Canyon 76	0.788	Utah Valley 67 - Grand Canyon 86	8
Valparaiso 71 - Evansville 72	0.527	Valparaiso 62 - Evansville 63	0
Vanderbilt 71 - Missouri 73	0.567	Vanderbilt 68 - Missouri 61	-9
Vermont 77 - Binghamton 59	0.895	Vermont 62 - Binghamton 49	5
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Richmond 70	0.512	Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Richmond 52	-10
Wake Forest 78 - Syracuse 75	0.576	Wake Forest 99 - Syracuse 70	-26
Washington 76 - Washington State 77	0.531	Washington 87 - Washington State 90	2
West Virginia 71 - Brigham Young 83	0.806	West Virginia 73 - Brigham Young 86	1
Western Kentucky 76 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.788	Western Kentucky 88 - Middle Tennessee 65	-13
Western Michigan 70 - Ball State 72	0.536	Western Michigan 67 - Ball State 77	8
William and Mary 65 - College of Charleston 81	0.882	William and Mary 83 - College of Charleston 84	-15
Wofford 70 - Western Carolina 73	0.597	Wofford 88 - Western Carolina 86	-5
Yale 78 - Pennsylvania 66	0.826	Yale 74 - Pennsylvania 58	-4

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 88 - Stanford 73	0.786	Arizona 82 - Stanford 71	4
Fairfield 78 - Manhattan 62	0.85	Fairfield 77 - Manhattan 68	7
Furman 72 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.509	Furman 87 - UNC Greensboro 89	3
Illinois 83 - Nebraska 74	0.714	Illinois 87 - Nebraska 84	6
Iona 75 - Rider 66	0.761	Iona 94 - Rider 93	8
IPFW 70 - Youngstown State 73	0.595	IPFW 82 - Youngstown State 78	-7
Loyola Ill 72 - Davidson 68	0.601	Loyola Ill 76 - Davidson 63	-9
Marist 61 - Saint Peters 64	0.57	Marist 63 - Saint Peters 52	-14
Milwaukee 79 - IUPUI 64	0.841	Milwaukee 87 - IUPUI 67	-5
Northern Kentucky 73 - Wright State 74	0.52	Northern Kentucky 78 - Wright State 85	6
Quinnipiac 76 - Canisius 66	0.793	Quinnipiac 88 - Canisius 63	-15
Siena 65 - Mt St Marys 70	0.639	Siena 61 - Mt St Marys 68	2
South Dakota State 80 - South Dakota 66	0.812	South Dakota State 70 - South Dakota 67	11
Southern Methodist 77 - Alabama Birmingham 70	0.687	Southern Methodist 72 - Alabama Birmingham 69	4
Tulane 81 - Temple 70	0.802	Tulane 92 - Temple 80	-1
Villanova 74 - Providence 73	0.544	Villanova 68 - Providence 50	-17
Wisconsin 74 - Purdue 77	0.591	Wisconsin 69 - Purdue 75	3

Number of DI Games: 337
Number Correct: 227 = 67.3%
Expected Number Correct: 228.968 = 67.9%
Average Error: 8.66
Average Signed Error: 0.09

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 69 - Bethune Cookman 73	0.626	Alabama AM 72 - Bethune Cookman 68	-8
Alabama State 73 - Florida AM 64	0.767	Alabama State 62 - Florida AM 53	0
Alcorn State 67 - Grambling State 68	0.518	Alcorn State 67 - Grambling State 78	10
Delaware State 71 - Howard 70	0.521	Delaware State 71 - Howard 75	5
Jackson State 69 - Southern 71	0.578	Jackson State 63 - Southern 72	7
Kansas State 72 - Kansas 80	0.701	Kansas State 75 - Kansas 70	-13
Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - Norfolk State 74	0.853	Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Norfolk State 60	-23
Mcneese State 78 - Texas AM Commerce 57	0.911	Mcneese State 77 - Texas AM Commerce 51	-5
New Orleans 74 - Houston Christian 73	0.536	New Orleans 84 - Houston Christian 58	-25
Nicholls State 75 - Northwestern State 66	0.746	Nicholls State 73 - Northwestern State 66	2
North Carolina Central 77 - Morgan State 64	0.827	North Carolina Central 72 - Morgan State 79	20
Portland State 68 - Eastern Washington 75	0.65	Portland State 77 - Eastern Washington 90	6
Prairie View 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 73	0.547	Prairie View 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	1
Sacramento State 68 - Idaho 66	0.579	Sacramento State 45 - Idaho 61	18
South Carolina State 73 - Coppin State 63	0.784	South Carolina State 77 - Coppin State 65	-2
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Incarnate Word 63	0.731	Southeast Louisiana 76 - Incarnate Word 64	-3
Virginia 73 - Miami 70	0.577	Virginia 60 - Miami 38	-19

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 62 - San Diego State 82	0.882	Air Force 64 - San Diego State 77	-7
Akron 74 - Central Michigan 61	0.815	Akron 68 - Central Michigan 47	-8
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Tennessee Martin 75	0.508	Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Tennessee Martin 57	-21
Ball State 70 - Ohio 72	0.562	Ball State 79 - Ohio 84	3
Baylor 80 - Texas Tech 75	0.645	Baylor 79 - Texas Tech 73	-1
Boston College 78 - Florida State 77	0.506	Boston College 62 - Florida State 63	2
Bowling Green 79 - Buffalo 64	0.839	Bowling Green 87 - Buffalo 73	1
Colorado State 75 - Boise State 74	0.528	Colorado State 75 - Boise State 62	-12
Connecticut 84 - Butler 72	0.796	Connecticut 71 - Butler 62	3
Eastern Michigan 63 - Toledo 80	0.898	Eastern Michigan 87 - Toledo 91	-13
Fordham 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 77	0.77	Fordham 60 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	6
George Washington 79 - Rhode Island 75	0.613	George Washington 65 - Rhode Island 88	27
Georgia Tech 74 - Wake Forest 82	0.701	Georgia Tech 51 - Wake Forest 80	21
Houston 82 - Oklahoma State 60	0.95	Houston 79 - Oklahoma State 63	6
Kent State 76 - Western Michigan 67	0.773	Kent State 63 - Western Michigan 61	7
Maryland 72 - Rutgers 65	0.696	Maryland 53 - Rutgers 56	10
Miami OH 76 - Northern Illinois 69	0.729	Miami OH 59 - Northern Illinois 62	10
Minnesota 70 - Michigan State 76	0.678	Minnesota 59 - Michigan State 56	-9
Niagara 75 - Canisius 69	0.639	Niagara 69 - Canisius 64	1
North Carolina 83 - Clemson 72	0.774	North Carolina 76 - Clemson 80	15
Ohio State 77 - Indiana 74	0.594	Ohio State 73 - Indiana 76	6
Oklahoma 76 - Brigham Young 78	0.555	Oklahoma 82 - Brigham Young 66	-18
Pacific 54 - Saint Marys 84	0.935	Pacific 43 - Saint Marys 84	11
Saint Johns 87 - DePaul 64	0.932	Saint Johns 85 - DePaul 57	-5
Saint Josephs 69 - Dayton 77	0.744	Saint Josephs 79 - Dayton 94	7
San Jose State 72 - Fresno State 73	0.518	San Jose State 57 - Fresno State 69	11
South Carolina 74 - Mississippi 71	0.582	South Carolina 68 - Mississippi 65	0
South Florida 70 - Charlotte 69	0.544	South Florida 72 - Charlotte 69	-2
Texas 74 - Iowa State 75	0.524	Texas 65 - Iowa State 70	4
Utah State 78 - Nevada 72	0.67	Utah State 63 - Nevada 77	20
Vanderbilt 71 - Kentucky 84	0.839	Vanderbilt 77 - Kentucky 109	19
Wyoming 70 - New Mexico 84	0.792	Wyoming 73 - New Mexico 91	4

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 76 - Loyola MD 61	0.876	American 43 - Loyola MD 44	16
Arkansas State 71 - James Madison 79	0.716	Arkansas State 73 - James Madison 77	-4
Auburn 80 - Alabama 79	0.527	Auburn 99 - Alabama 81	-17
Bellarmine 65 - Stetson 73	0.678	Bellarmine 77 - Stetson 84	-1
Belmont 74 - Murray State 73	0.527	Belmont 69 - Murray State 64	-4
Boston 61 - Colgate 72	0.789	Boston 64 - Colgate 74	-1
California 77 - Southern California 76	0.543	California 83 - Southern California 77	-5
Drake 77 - Southern Illinois 67	0.719	Drake 92 - Southern Illinois 88	6
Duke 82 - Notre Dame 63	0.911	Duke 71 - Notre Dame 53	1
Duquesne 73 - Davidson 68	0.65	Duquesne 59 - Davidson 72	18
East Tennessee State 71 - Wofford 70	0.515	East Tennessee State 57 - Wofford 50	-6
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.645	Eastern Kentucky 90 - Florida Gulf Coast 82	-2
Evansville 67 - Bradley 79	0.776	Evansville 73 - Bradley 70	-15
George Mason 71 - Loyola Ill 70	0.533	George Mason 79 - Loyola Ill 85	7
Gonzaga 89 - Portland 63	0.949	Gonzaga 96 - Portland 64	-6
Illinois State 71 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.654	Illinois State 56 - Illinois Chicago 61	10
Indiana State 87 - Valparaiso 63	0.96	Indiana State 101 - Valparaiso 61	-16
IPFW 73 - Cleveland State 70	0.579	IPFW 72 - Cleveland State 75	6
La Salle 75 - Saint Louis 74	0.545	La Salle 84 - Saint Louis 102	19
Lafayette 72 - Holy Cross 62	0.796	Lafayette 75 - Holy Cross 59	-6
Lehigh 71 - Army 64	0.725	Lehigh 57 - Army 68	18
Longwood 73 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.736	Longwood 64 - South Carolina Upstate 69	13
Louisiana Tech 78 - Western Kentucky 68	0.796	Louisiana Tech 76 - Western Kentucky 81	15
Mercer 68 - Furman 73	0.642	Mercer 78 - Furman 69	-14
Michigan 71 - Wisconsin 82	0.792	Michigan 72 - Wisconsin 68	-15
Mississippi State 77 - Georgia 72	0.655	Mississippi State 75 - Georgia 62	-8
Missouri 70 - Texas AM 77	0.741	Missouri 60 - Texas AM 79	12
Navy 67 - Bucknell 68	0.534	Navy 67 - Bucknell 80	12
NC State 75 - Pittsburgh 74	0.552	NC State 64 - Pittsburgh 67	4
Northern Iowa 73 - Missouri State 71	0.562	Northern Iowa 72 - Missouri State 65	-5
Northwestern 78 - Nebraska 77	0.534	Northwestern 80 - Nebraska 68	-11
Presbyterian 67 - Gardner Webb 74	0.737	Presbyterian 77 - Gardner Webb 75	-9
Providence 74 - Creighton 77	0.597	Providence 91 - Creighton 87	-7
Rice 66 - Southern Methodist 78	0.789	Rice 69 - Southern Methodist 95	14
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Massachusetts 72	0.577	Saint Bonaventure 79 - Massachusetts 73	-3
San Diego 72 - Loyola Marymount 73	0.533	San Diego 79 - Loyola Marymount 77	-3
Seton Hall 83 - Georgetown 68	0.844	Seton Hall 76 - Georgetown 70	9
South Alabama 74 - Georgia Southern 70	0.61	South Alabama 78 - Georgia Southern 65	-9
Southern Miss 73 - Old Dominion 66	0.664	Southern Miss 78 - Old Dominion 73	2
Stanford 75 - UCLA 72	0.567	Stanford 74 - UCLA 82	11
Syracuse 83 - Louisville 70	0.767	Syracuse 94 - Louisville 92	11
Tennessee 83 - Louisiana State 69	0.834	Tennessee 88 - Louisiana State 68	-6
Texas State 61 - Appalachian State 73	0.792	Texas State 63 - Appalachian State 56	-19
Troy 76 - Marshall 68	0.705	Troy 82 - Marshall 66	-8
Tulsa 67 - North Texas 73	0.667	Tulsa 55 - North Texas 68	7
UL Lafayette 78 - Georgia State 66	0.821	UL Lafayette 69 - Georgia State 78	21
UL Monroe 73 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.609	UL Monroe 79 - Coastal Carolina 75	0
UNC Asheville 72 - High Point 74	0.561	UNC Asheville 86 - High Point 81	-7
Western Carolina 75 - The Citadel 64	0.789	Western Carolina 71 - The Citadel 64	4
Wichita State 81 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.74	Wichita State 84 - Texas San Antonio 64	-11
Winthrop 76 - Charleston Southern 65	0.812	Winthrop 67 - Charleston Southern 46	-10
Xavier 78 - Villanova 75	0.561	Xavier 56 - Villanova 53	0

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Florida Atlantic 80	0.667	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Florida Atlantic 73	-10
Austin Peay 74 - Kennesaw St 72	0.564	Austin Peay 85 - Kennesaw St 69	-14
Binghamton 72 - Albany 73	0.505	Binghamton 69 - Albany 57	-13
Bryant 75 - New Hampshire 72	0.595	Bryant 85 - New Hampshire 66	-16
Cal Baptist 71 - Texas Arlington 69	0.582	Cal Baptist 64 - Texas Arlington 63	1
Cal State Northridge 76 - Cal Poly 64	0.794	Cal State Northridge 78 - Cal Poly 65	-1
Campbell 68 - Northeastern 69	0.527	Campbell 76 - Northeastern 86	9
Central Connecticut State 72 - Sacred Heart 67	0.667	Central Connecticut State 77 - Sacred Heart 70	-2
College of Charleston 83 - North Carolina AT 64	0.925	College of Charleston 80 - North Carolina AT 58	-3
Colorado 81 - Arizona State 69	0.754	Colorado 82 - Arizona State 70	0
Elon 68 - Stony Brook 75	0.75	Elon 64 - Stony Brook 79	8
Fairfield 75 - Rider 69	0.663	Fairfield 84 - Rider 67	-11
Fairleigh Dickinson 67 - Wagner 68	0.505	Fairleigh Dickinson 62 - Wagner 66	3
Hampton 62 - Hofstra 80	0.916	Hampton 59 - Hofstra 63	-14
Hawaii 68 - UC San Diego 73	0.626	Hawaii 94 - UC San Diego 86	-13
Idaho State 69 - Sacramento State 64	0.663	Idaho State 68 - Sacramento State 40	-23
Jacksonville 75 - Central Arkansas 66	0.701	Jacksonville 59 - Central Arkansas 55	5
Jacksonville State 68 - Sam Houston State 69	0.521	Jacksonville State 79 - Sam Houston State 68	-12
Liberty 74 - Middle Tennessee 62	0.78	Liberty 88 - Middle Tennessee 53	-23
Lindenwood 64 - Tennessee State 73	0.777	Lindenwood 55 - Tennessee State 65	1
Lipscomb 79 - Queens 71	0.688	Lipscomb 90 - Queens 88	6
LIU Brooklyn 59 - Merrimack 73	0.835	LIU Brooklyn 79 - Merrimack 82	-11
Monmouth 77 - William and Mary 63	0.835	Monmouth 68 - William and Mary 64	10
Morehead State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 59	0.835	Morehead State 79 - SIU Edwardsville 68	3
Mt St Marys 74 - Manhattan 65	0.764	Mt St Marys 82 - Manhattan 78	5
Niagara 71 - Iona 74	0.591	Niagara 71 - Iona 74	0
NJ Tech 57 - Vermont 76	0.933	NJ Tech 63 - Vermont 61	-21
North Dakota 71 - Omaha 69	0.536	North Dakota 99 - Omaha 78	-19
North Dakota State 72 - UMKC 69	0.564	North Dakota State 82 - UMKC 78	-1
North Florida 75 - North Alabama 71	0.638	North Florida 74 - North Alabama 79	9
Northern Arizona 66 - Montana 74	0.652	Northern Arizona 66 - Montana 94	20
Northern Colorado 77 - Montana State 72	0.628	Northern Colorado 73 - Montana State 70	2
Northern Kentucky 68 - Oakland 72	0.611	Northern Kentucky 99 - Oakland 89	-14
Oregon 81 - Washington 77	0.619	Oregon 85 - Washington 80	-1
Oregon State 69 - Washington State 79	0.722	Oregon State 58 - Washington State 64	-4
Penn State 79 - Iowa 81	0.562	Penn State 89 - Iowa 79	-12
Pepperdine 67 - San Francisco 80	0.824	Pepperdine 74 - San Francisco 80	-7
Quinnipiac 71 - Saint Peters 63	0.746	Quinnipiac 84 - Saint Peters 73	-3
Robert Morris 67 - Green Bay 71	0.608	Robert Morris 76 - Green Bay 81	1
Saint Thomas 72 - Oral Roberts 67	0.644	Saint Thomas 85 - Oral Roberts 63	-17
SE Missouri State 67 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.539	SE Missouri State 88 - Tennessee Tech 69	-20
Seattle 78 - Abilene Christian 67	0.775	Seattle 75 - Abilene Christian 52	-12
Siena 60 - Marist 68	0.688	Siena 51 - Marist 67	8
South Dakota 74 - Denver 78	0.616	South Dakota 92 - Denver 86	-10
Southern Indiana 68 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.515	Southern Indiana 71 - Eastern Illinois 81	11
Stephen F Austin 81 - Texas Pan American 66	0.852	Stephen F Austin 92 - Texas Pan American 84	7
Stonehill 67 - Le Moyne 71	0.607	Stonehill 57 - Le Moyne 88	27
Temple 69 - Memphis 82	0.842	Temple 77 - Memphis 84	-6
Towson 70 - Delaware 66	0.618	Towson 62 - Delaware 74	16
UC Davis 72 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.682	UC Davis 71 - Cal State Fullerton 58	-7
UC Riverside 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.565	UC Riverside 65 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0
UC Santa Barbara 69 - UC Irvine 75	0.68	UC Santa Barbara 61 - UC Irvine 76	9
UMBC 70 - UMass Lowell 79	0.747	UMBC 80 - UMass Lowell 93	4
UNC Greensboro 72 - Samford 75	0.586	UNC Greensboro 69 - Samford 78	6
UNC Wilmington 71 - Drexel 68	0.58	UNC Wilmington 75 - Drexel 56	-16
Utah 76 - Arizona 83	0.618	Utah 99 - Arizona 105	-1
Utah Tech 71 - Southern Utah 76	0.62	Utah Tech 70 - Southern Utah 68	-7
Utah Valley 69 - Tarleton State 70	0.535	Utah Valley 61 - Tarleton State 72	10
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Chattanooga 82	0.853	Virginia Military Institute 84 - Chattanooga 88	-14
Weber State 73 - Portland State 65	0.664	Weber State 84 - Portland State 72	-4
Western Illinois 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.631	Western Illinois 60 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	8
Wright State 85 - Detroit 64	0.924	Wright State 92 - Detroit 85	14
Youngstown State 78 - Milwaukee 68	0.766	Youngstown State 97 - Milwaukee 85	-2

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado State 85 - San Jose State 65	0.912	Colorado State 66 - San Jose State 47	1
Nevada 71 - San Diego State 75	0.594	Nevada 70 - San Diego State 66	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Dayton 73	0.676	Virginia Commonwealth 49 - Dayton 47	-7

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Fresno State 71	0.528	Air Force 66 - Fresno State 68	1
Appalachian State 74 - Toledo 69	0.64	Appalachian State 109 - Toledo 104	0
Arkansas 75 - Georgia 77	0.581	Arkansas 78 - Georgia 75	-5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Alcorn State 74	0.53	Arkansas Pine Bluff 56 - Alcorn State 68	13
Arkansas State 75 - Ohio 74	0.525	Arkansas State 100 - Ohio 87	-12
Army 64 - Navy 66	0.544	Army 69 - Navy 67	-4
Austin Peay 73 - Queens 70	0.591	Austin Peay 79 - Queens 76	0
Bethune Cookman 73 - Prairie View 69	0.613	Bethune Cookman 84 - Prairie View 78	-2
Binghamton 68 - Bryant 76	0.692	Binghamton 69 - Bryant 70	-7
Bradley 74 - Drake 73	0.527	Bradley 67 - Drake 74	8
Brigham Young 81 - Kansas State 70	0.756	Brigham Young 72 - Kansas State 66	5
Brown 72 - Columbia 71	0.519	Brown 69 - Columbia 83	15
Bucknell 69 - Boston 64	0.632	Bucknell 62 - Boston 77	20
Butler 78 - Providence 75	0.585	Butler 75 - Providence 72	0
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Cal State Fullerton 69	0.543	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Cal State Fullerton 71	-4
California 73 - UCLA 72	0.506	California 60 - UCLA 61	2
Campbell 66 - Stony Brook 71	0.675	Campbell 95 - Stony Brook 77	-23
Canisius 67 - Iona 74	0.679	Canisius 73 - Iona 69	-11
Central Connecticut State 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.768	Central Connecticut State 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 62	-1
Cincinnati 67 - Houston 76	0.743	Cincinnati 62 - Houston 67	-4
College of Charleston 73 - Drexel 71	0.572	College of Charleston 80 - Drexel 70	-8
Colorado 76 - Arizona 82	0.617	Colorado 79 - Arizona 99	14
Davidson 70 - George Mason 71	0.529	Davidson 55 - George Mason 57	1
Delaware 78 - William and Mary 62	0.864	Delaware 69 - William and Mary 58	5
Denver 70 - Saint Thomas 74	0.612	Denver 94 - Saint Thomas 77	-21
Duke 84 - Boston College 72	0.847	Duke 80 - Boston College 65	-3
East Tennessee State 70 - Furman 73	0.587	East Tennessee State 63 - Furman 65	-1
Eastern Washington 80 - Idaho 62	0.879	Eastern Washington 87 - Idaho 79	10
Florida 77 - Auburn 81	0.635	Florida 81 - Auburn 65	-20
Florida AM 65 - Texas Southern 72	0.716	Florida AM 75 - Texas Southern 78	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 71 - Bellarmine 63	0.713	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Bellarmine 52	-3
Florida International 71 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.55	Florida International 66 - Middle Tennessee 68	4
Florida State 70 - Virginia 71	0.526	Florida State 76 - Virginia 80	3
Gardner Webb 71 - High Point 75	0.644	Gardner Webb 62 - High Point 78	12
George Washington 72 - Loyola Ill 77	0.637	George Washington 73 - Loyola Ill 81	3
Georgetown 65 - Connecticut 87	0.92	Georgetown 64 - Connecticut 89	3
Georgia Southern 75 - Buffalo 67	0.696	Georgia Southern 81 - Buffalo 82	9
Georgia State 72 - Miami OH 71	0.508	Georgia State 73 - Miami OH 53	-19
Grambling State 65 - Alabama State 63	0.562	Grambling State 74 - Alabama State 68	-4
Grand Canyon 82 - Southern Utah 65	0.913	Grand Canyon 94 - Southern Utah 65	-12
Hampton 61 - UNC Wilmington 82	0.928	Hampton 65 - UNC Wilmington 95	9
Harvard 73 - Dartmouth 60	0.802	Harvard 77 - Dartmouth 59	-5
Hawaii 69 - UC Davis 71	0.545	Hawaii 87 - UC Davis 70	-19
Holy Cross 65 - American 74	0.777	Holy Cross 58 - American 56	-11
Houston Christian 72 - Incarnate Word 71	0.544	Houston Christian 86 - Incarnate Word 83	-2
Idaho State 68 - Portland State 70	0.545	Idaho State 68 - Portland State 65	-5
Iowa State 79 - Texas Christian 74	0.663	Iowa State 71 - Texas Christian 59	-7
IUPUI 62 - IPFW 77	0.836	IUPUI 65 - IPFW 92	12
Jacksonville 70 - North Alabama 71	0.523	Jacksonville 67 - North Alabama 63	-5
Jacksonville State 70 - Western Kentucky 73	0.578	Jacksonville State 59 - Western Kentucky 70	8
James Madison 72 - Akron 69	0.573	James Madison 73 - Akron 59	-11
Kansas 81 - Baylor 77	0.602	Kansas 64 - Baylor 61	1
Kentucky 82 - Gonzaga 79	0.559	Kentucky 85 - Gonzaga 89	7
Lamar 74 - Nicholls State 71	0.581	Lamar 75 - Nicholls State 56	-16
Lehigh 68 - Lafayette 67	0.538	Lehigh 94 - Lafayette 90	-3
Liberty 67 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.634	Liberty 65 - Louisiana Tech 62	-8
Lindenwood 67 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.508	Lindenwood 53 - Tennessee Tech 62	8
Lipscomb 80 - Kennesaw St 73	0.673	Lipscomb 101 - Kennesaw St 95	1
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Sacred Heart 74	0.685	LIU Brooklyn 75 - Sacred Heart 58	-24
Long Beach State 80 - Cal Poly 64	0.893	Long Beach State 77 - Cal Poly 68	7
Longwood 69 - Winthrop 71	0.573	Longwood 84 - Winthrop 74	-12
Louisiana State 75 - Alabama 85	0.725	Louisiana State 92 - Alabama 109	7
Louisville 76 - Georgia Tech 78	0.568	Louisville 79 - Georgia Tech 67	-14
Loyola Marymount 76 - Pepperdine 69	0.717	Loyola Marymount 63 - Pepperdine 72	16
Loyola MD 58 - Colgate 78	0.915	Loyola MD 62 - Colgate 76	-6
Manhattan 70 - Siena 65	0.647	Manhattan 63 - Siena 68	10
Marquette 81 - Saint Johns 74	0.678	Marquette 86 - Saint Johns 75	-4
Maryland Eastern Shore 79 - Unranked 62		Maryland Eastern Shore 88 - Unranked 55
Mcneese State 73 - Texas AM CC 63	0.754	Mcneese State 74 - Texas AM CC 67	3
Merrimack 73 - Le Moyne 62	0.739	Merrimack 66 - Le Moyne 50	-5
Miami 74 - North Carolina 82	0.708	Miami 72 - North Carolina 75	-5
Michigan State 77 - Illinois 76	0.519	Michigan State 88 - Illinois 80	-7
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Jackson State 75	0.868	Mississippi Valley State 69 - Jackson State 77	-6
Missouri 69 - Mississippi State 78	0.738	Missouri 51 - Mississippi State 75	15
Missouri State 71 - Indiana State 80	0.753	Missouri State 71 - Indiana State 73	-7
Morehead State 75 - Eastern Illinois 56	0.916	Morehead State 69 - Eastern Illinois 57	7
Mt St Marys 67 - Quinnipiac 74	0.698	Mt St Marys 96 - Quinnipiac 79	-24
Murray State 74 - Evansville 68	0.64	Murray State 73 - Evansville 70	3
Nebraska 84 - Michigan 73	0.731	Nebraska 79 - Michigan 59	-9
New Hampshire 72 - Maine 65	0.691	New Hampshire 60 - Maine 57	4
New Mexico 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.703	New Mexico 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	14
NJ Tech 63 - UMass Lowell 75	0.837	NJ Tech 71 - UMass Lowell 64	-19
North Carolina AT 64 - Hofstra 76	0.825	North Carolina AT 49 - Hofstra 81	20
North Dakota 71 - UMKC 68	0.586	North Dakota 47 - UMKC 65	21
North Dakota State 72 - Omaha 71	0.502	North Dakota State 81 - Omaha 79	-1
North Florida 79 - Central Arkansas 66	0.814	North Florida 77 - Central Arkansas 79	15
Northeastern 69 - Monmouth 73	0.605	Northeastern 77 - Monmouth 65	-16
Northern Arizona 68 - Montana State 72	0.57	Northern Arizona 76 - Montana State 71	-9
Northern Colorado 76 - Montana 75	0.502	Northern Colorado 87 - Montana 71	-15
Northern Kentucky 78 - Detroit 60	0.873	Northern Kentucky 79 - Detroit 67	6
Northwestern State 66 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.567	Northwestern State 59 - Southeast Louisiana 69	7
Notre Dame 66 - Virginia Tech 75	0.726	Notre Dame 74 - Virginia Tech 66	-17
Ohio State 71 - Maryland 72	0.502	Ohio State 79 - Maryland 75	-5
Oklahoma 80 - Oklahoma State 68	0.811	Oklahoma 66 - Oklahoma State 62	8
Old Dominion 68 - Central Michigan 71	0.574	Old Dominion 57 - Central Michigan 58	-2
Oregon 76 - Washington State 75	0.506	Oregon 56 - Washington State 62	7
Oregon State 74 - Washington 80	0.644	Oregon State 55 - Washington 67	6
Pacific 67 - San Diego 77	0.727	Pacific 84 - San Diego 89	-5
Portland 59 - Saint Marys 83	0.921	Portland 51 - Saint Marys 76	1
Presbyterian 66 - Radford 71	0.665	Presbyterian 76 - Radford 73	-8
Princeton 79 - Pennsylvania 64	0.87	Princeton 77 - Pennsylvania 70	8
Purdue 87 - Indiana 68	0.912	Purdue 79 - Indiana 59	-1
Rice 68 - South Florida 75	0.698	Rice 65 - South Florida 69	-3
Richmond 80 - La Salle 64	0.892	Richmond 82 - La Salle 65	-1
Rider 69 - Marist 66	0.57	Rider 62 - Marist 77	18
Robert Morris 73 - Milwaukee 75	0.554	Robert Morris 71 - Milwaukee 60	-13
Rutgers 67 - Wisconsin 77	0.76	Rutgers 78 - Wisconsin 56	-32
Saint Bonaventure 73 - Duquesne 69	0.619	Saint Bonaventure 69 - Duquesne 75	10
Saint Francis Penn 68 - Stonehill 65	0.571	Saint Francis Penn 72 - Stonehill 63	-6
Saint Josephs 81 - Saint Louis 70	0.756	Saint Josephs 87 - Saint Louis 86	10
Saint Peters 66 - Fairfield 67	0.527	Saint Peters 62 - Fairfield 64	1
San Francisco 77 - Santa Clara 71	0.661	San Francisco 71 - Santa Clara 70	5
SE Missouri State 63 - Tennessee State 73	0.782	SE Missouri State 74 - Tennessee State 77	-7
Seattle 73 - Tarleton State 68	0.645	Seattle 77 - Tarleton State 82	10
South Alabama 76 - Northern Illinois 71	0.645	South Alabama 75 - Northern Illinois 66	-4
South Carolina 78 - Vanderbilt 62	0.88	South Carolina 75 - Vanderbilt 60	1
South Carolina State 68 - Chicago State 71	0.577	South Carolina State 78 - Chicago State 55	-26
South Carolina Upstate 66 - UNC Asheville 75	0.767	South Carolina Upstate 64 - UNC Asheville 77	4
South Dakota State 75 - Oral Roberts 71	0.613	South Dakota State 83 - Oral Roberts 72	-7
Southern 77 - Alabama AM 63	0.842	Southern 69 - Alabama AM 62	7
Southern Illinois 73 - Illinois State 64	0.771	Southern Illinois 69 - Illinois State 66	6
Southern Indiana 65 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.663	Southern Indiana 84 - SIU Edwardsville 67	-22
Southern Miss 73 - Western Michigan 66	0.695	Southern Miss 86 - Western Michigan 54	-25
Stanford 79 - Southern California 75	0.601	Stanford 99 - Southern California 68	-27
Stetson 72 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.52	Stetson 87 - Eastern Kentucky 79	-7
Syracuse 76 - Clemson 77	0.533	Syracuse 68 - Clemson 77	8
Texas 82 - West Virginia 70	0.824	Texas 94 - West Virginia 58	-24
Texas AM 69 - Tennessee 78	0.751	Texas AM 85 - Tennessee 69	-25
Texas AM Commerce 73 - New Orleans 67	0.654	Texas AM Commerce 89 - New Orleans 83	0
Texas Arlington 74 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.508	Texas Arlington 71 - Stephen F Austin 63	-7
Texas El Paso 71 - New Mexico State 69	0.562	Texas El Paso 74 - New Mexico State 49	-23
Texas San Antonio 72 - East Carolina 76	0.626	Texas San Antonio 73 - East Carolina 84	7
Texas State 69 - Ball State 68	0.529	Texas State 68 - Ball State 60	-7
Texas Tech 76 - Central Florida 71	0.652	Texas Tech 66 - Central Florida 59	-2
Troy 75 - Kent State 68	0.694	Troy 78 - Kent State 68	-3
UC Riverside 63 - UC Irvine 76	0.833	UC Riverside 88 - UC Irvine 78	-23
UC Santa Barbara 78 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.698	UC Santa Barbara 74 - Cal State Northridge 82	16
UL Monroe 71 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.678	UL Monroe 82 - Eastern Michigan 76	0
UMBC 64 - Vermont 80	0.878	UMBC 70 - Vermont 72	-14
UNC Greensboro 72 - Chattanooga 68	0.588	UNC Greensboro 61 - Chattanooga 89	32
Utah 81 - Arizona State 69	0.718	Utah 77 - Arizona State 85	20
Utah State 77 - Boise State 74	0.602	Utah State 80 - Boise State 61	-16
Utah Tech 65 - Cal Baptist 73	0.721	Utah Tech 85 - Cal Baptist 78	-15
Utah Valley 74 - Abilene Christian 70	0.617	Utah Valley 74 - Abilene Christian 45	-25
Valparaiso 71 - Belmont 77	0.67	Valparaiso 78 - Belmont 96	12
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Samford 89	0.927	Virginia Military Institute 63 - Samford 102	14
Wake Forest 80 - NC State 74	0.665	Wake Forest 83 - NC State 79	2
Weber State 74 - Sacramento State 60	0.822	Weber State 58 - Sacramento State 53	9
Western Carolina 73 - Mercer 65	0.765	Western Carolina 79 - Mercer 46	-25
Western Illinois 72 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.574	Western Illinois 59 - Tennessee Martin 62	5
Wofford 75 - The Citadel 66	0.716	Wofford 77 - The Citadel 64	-4
Wright State 75 - Oakland 76	0.523	Wright State 60 - Oakland 74	13
Xavier 77 - Creighton 79	0.542	Xavier 71 - Creighton 78	5
Yale 76 - Cornell 73	0.621	Yale 80 - Cornell 78	1
Youngstown State 72 - Green Bay 64	0.697	Youngstown State 83 - Green Bay 84	9

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Illinois Chicago 68 - Northern Iowa 75	0.694	Illinois Chicago 71 - Northern Iowa 65	-13
Iowa 80 - Minnesota 75	0.654	Iowa 90 - Minnesota 85	0
Massachusetts 81 - Rhode Island 70	0.782	Massachusetts 81 - Rhode Island 79	9
Memphis 83 - Tulane 76	0.694	Memphis 90 - Tulane 78	-5
Northwestern 80 - Penn State 74	0.652	Northwestern 68 - Penn State 63	1
Southern Methodist 71 - North Texas 66	0.656	Southern Methodist 71 - North Texas 68	2
Temple 64 - Charlotte 75	0.822	Temple 70 - Charlotte 73	-8
Tulsa 73 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.625	Tulsa 63 - Alabama Birmingham 70	2
UL Lafayette 76 - Bowling Green 67	0.738	UL Lafayette 86 - Bowling Green 60	-17
Villanova 75 - Seton Hall 73	0.572	Villanova 80 - Seton Hall 54	-24
Wichita State 69 - Florida Atlantic 82	0.803	Wichita State 82 - Florida Atlantic 95	0

Number of DI Games: 332
Number Correct: 228 = 68.6%
Expected Number Correct: 225.718 = 67.9%
Average Error: 9.16
Average Signed Error: -1.33

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Jackson State 74	0.563	Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Jackson State 76	11
Bethune Cookman 67 - Texas Southern 69	0.565	Bethune Cookman 83 - Texas Southern 79	-6
Bucknell 73 - Lehigh 69	0.619	Bucknell 63 - Lehigh 71	12
Duke 80 - Wake Forest 75	0.641	Duke 77 - Wake Forest 69	-3
Florida AM 70 - Prairie View 71	0.545	Florida AM 58 - Prairie View 61	2
Grambling State 72 - Alabama AM 62	0.802	Grambling State 50 - Alabama AM 60	20
Houston Christian 60 - Mcneese State 81	0.929	Houston Christian 54 - Mcneese State 105	30
Incarnate Word 66 - Lamar 76	0.774	Incarnate Word 76 - Lamar 67	-19
Mississippi Valley State 62 - Alcorn State 75	0.859	Mississippi Valley State 55 - Alcorn State 72	4
Nicholls State 67 - Texas AM CC 70	0.606	Nicholls State 67 - Texas AM CC 63	-7
Northwestern State 74 - New Orleans 70	0.602	Northwestern State 70 - New Orleans 59	-7
Southern 70 - Alabama State 62	0.7	Southern 73 - Alabama State 62	-3
Texas AM Commerce 64 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.596	Texas AM Commerce 77 - Southeast Louisiana 79	-1
Texas Christian 85 - West Virginia 72	0.824	Texas Christian 81 - West Virginia 65	-3
Texas Tech 76 - Kansas 78	0.562	Texas Tech 79 - Kansas 50	-31
Towson 76 - Elon 60	0.893	Towson 80 - Elon 55	-9

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 80 - Oklahoma 75	0.633	Baylor 79 - Oklahoma 62	-12
Boston College 81 - Louisville 73	0.753	Boston College 89 - Louisville 77	-4
Brigham Young 79 - Central Florida 70	0.707	Brigham Young 90 - Central Florida 88	7
Butler 77 - Marquette 81	0.624	Butler 72 - Marquette 78	2
Cincinnati 72 - Iowa State 76	0.592	Cincinnati 59 - Iowa State 68	5
Creighton 88 - Georgetown 68	0.917	Creighton 94 - Georgetown 72	-2
Davidson 78 - La Salle 67	0.82	Davidson 71 - La Salle 56	-4
Dayton 77 - Duquesne 64	0.861	Dayton 75 - Duquesne 59	-3
Evansville 67 - Drake 80	0.762	Evansville 75 - Drake 78	-10
Florida 85 - Louisiana State 76	0.733	Florida 82 - Louisiana State 80	7
George Mason 79 - George Washington 70	0.762	George Mason 90 - George Washington 67	-14
Illinois 87 - Michigan 72	0.863	Illinois 97 - Michigan 68	-14
Indiana State 83 - Illinois State 62	0.927	Indiana State 67 - Illinois State 80	34
Kentucky 83 - Mississippi 78	0.615	Kentucky 75 - Mississippi 63	-7
Nevada 76 - New Mexico 77	0.505	Nevada 82 - New Mexico 83	0
Northern Illinois 76 - Buffalo 68	0.713	Northern Illinois 72 - Buffalo 68	4
Providence 77 - Saint Johns 76	0.504	Providence 75 - Saint Johns 72	-2
San Diego State 75 - Colorado State 72	0.609	San Diego State 71 - Colorado State 55	-13
San Jose State 73 - Air Force 71	0.539	San Jose State 73 - Air Force 66	-5
Syracuse 73 - North Carolina 82	0.731	Syracuse 86 - North Carolina 79	-16
Tennessee Tech 65 - Tennessee State 72	0.691	Tennessee Tech 70 - Tennessee State 50	-27
Vanderbilt 65 - Texas AM 78	0.83	Vanderbilt 74 - Texas AM 73	-14
Virginia 71 - Pittsburgh 66	0.633	Virginia 63 - Pittsburgh 74	16
Virginia Tech 77 - Florida State 75	0.564	Virginia Tech 83 - Florida State 75	-6
Wisconsin 79 - Ohio State 71	0.695	Wisconsin 62 - Ohio State 54	0

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 76 - Oregon State 70	0.642	Arizona State 79 - Oregon State 61	-12
Arkansas 69 - Tennessee 82	0.799	Arkansas 63 - Tennessee 92	16
Army 63 - Boston 65	0.531	Army 65 - Boston 50	-17
Auburn 77 - South Carolina 69	0.722	Auburn 101 - South Carolina 61	-32
Belmont 73 - Southern Illinois 74	0.518	Belmont 82 - Southern Illinois 68	-15
Bradley 80 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.864	Bradley 85 - Illinois Chicago 73	4
Charleston Southern 66 - Gardner Webb 72	0.646	Charleston Southern 77 - Gardner Webb 85	2
Chattanooga 73 - East Tennessee State 65	0.697	Chattanooga 84 - East Tennessee State 71	-5
Clemson 81 - Miami 74	0.668	Clemson 77 - Miami 60	-10
Cleveland State 76 - Milwaukee 70	0.674	Cleveland State 68 - Milwaukee 71	9
Colgate 79 - Holy Cross 58	0.941	Colgate 85 - Holy Cross 55	-9
DePaul 61 - Connecticut 89	0.958	DePaul 65 - Connecticut 101	8
Detroit 70 - IUPUI 67	0.593	Detroit 81 - IUPUI 66	-12
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Chicago State 65	0.738	Eastern Kentucky 86 - Chicago State 73	-3
Fordham 69 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.707	Fordham 67 - Saint Bonaventure 85	10
Fresno State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	0.685	Fresno State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	-6
Furman 86 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.892	Furman 75 - Virginia Military Institute 62	8
Green Bay 69 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.572	Green Bay 57 - Northern Kentucky 58	4
High Point 80 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.909	High Point 81 - South Carolina Upstate 86	21
IPFW 70 - Oakland 73	0.581	IPFW 63 - Oakland 71	5
Kennesaw St 74 - Jacksonville 71	0.572	Kennesaw St 66 - Jacksonville 61	-2
Lafayette 71 - Loyola MD 60	0.805	Lafayette 64 - Loyola MD 79	26
Loyola Ill 76 - Saint Josephs 71	0.653	Loyola Ill 64 - Saint Josephs 59	0
Maryland 76 - Iowa 75	0.528	Maryland 78 - Iowa 66	-11
Mercer 69 - Wofford 70	0.538	Mercer 60 - Wofford 73	12
Murray State 71 - Missouri State 70	0.527	Murray State 82 - Missouri State 72	-9
Navy 66 - American 69	0.592	Navy 42 - American 59	14
Notre Dame 73 - Georgia Tech 72	0.533	Notre Dame 58 - Georgia Tech 55	-2
Penn State 72 - Michigan State 79	0.668	Penn State 72 - Michigan State 80	1
Queens 73 - North Florida 74	0.509	Queens 79 - North Florida 93	13
Richmond 76 - Massachusetts 70	0.681	Richmond 59 - Massachusetts 69	16
Samford 79 - Western Carolina 70	0.733	Samford 88 - Western Carolina 62	-17
Seton Hall 75 - Xavier 76	0.516	Seton Hall 88 - Xavier 70	-19
South Florida 79 - Tulsa 68	0.777	South Florida 69 - Tulsa 50	-8
The Citadel 64 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.707	The Citadel 61 - UNC Greensboro 76	6
UNC Asheville 78 - Presbyterian 64	0.873	UNC Asheville 71 - Presbyterian 69	12
Valparaiso 67 - Northern Iowa 77	0.753	Valparaiso 67 - Northern Iowa 86	9
Wyoming 70 - Utah State 82	0.817	Wyoming 76 - Utah State 84	-4
Youngstown State 78 - Robert Morris 65	0.803	Youngstown State 87 - Robert Morris 77	3

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 74 - NJ Tech 69	0.634	Albany 83 - NJ Tech 58	-20
Appalachian State 78 - Marshall 66	0.776	Appalachian State 73 - Marshall 58	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Morehead State 74	0.696	Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Morehead State 68	-9
Binghamton 75 - UMBC 71	0.624	Binghamton 78 - UMBC 89	15
Bryant 74 - Maine 65	0.743	Bryant 77 - Maine 72	4
Cal Baptist 70 - Utah Valley 66	0.597	Cal Baptist 46 - Utah Valley 69	27
Cal Poly 62 - Hawaii 75	0.844	Cal Poly 51 - Hawaii 80	16
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.533	Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Cal State Northridge 76	3
Cal State Fullerton 69 - UC Riverside 68	0.547	Cal State Fullerton 73 - UC Riverside 81	9
Central Arkansas 66 - Austin Peay 73	0.688	Central Arkansas 67 - Austin Peay 77	3
Charlotte 83 - Texas San Antonio 65	0.909	Charlotte 79 - Texas San Antonio 70	9
Coastal Carolina 74 - Georgia Southern 73	0.516	Coastal Carolina 82 - Georgia Southern 75	-6
Denver 75 - North Dakota 73	0.548	Denver 78 - North Dakota 92	16
Drexel 69 - Hofstra 67	0.552	Drexel 79 - Hofstra 77	0
East Carolina 71 - Wichita State 70	0.54	East Carolina 68 - Wichita State 55	-12
Eastern Illinois 71 - SE Missouri State 63	0.714	Eastern Illinois 75 - SE Missouri State 57	-10
Eastern Washington 78 - Idaho State 64	0.84	Eastern Washington 88 - Idaho State 82	8
Elon 66 - Delaware 77	0.833	Elon 73 - Delaware 67	-17
Florida Atlantic 86 - Temple 65	0.928	Florida Atlantic 80 - Temple 68	9
Grand Canyon 84 - Utah Tech 61	0.936	Grand Canyon 73 - Utah Tech 61	11
Idaho 64 - Weber State 74	0.728	Idaho 69 - Weber State 70	-9
James Madison 80 - Georgia State 65	0.838	James Madison 83 - Georgia State 63	-5
Le Moyne 67 - Central Connecticut State 70	0.58	Le Moyne 69 - Central Connecticut State 64	-8
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.553	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	0
Louisiana Tech 74 - Jacksonville State 62	0.804	Louisiana Tech 63 - Jacksonville State 58	7
Loyola Marymount 66 - Gonzaga 81	0.857	Loyola Marymount 74 - Gonzaga 91	2
Middle Tennessee 67 - New Mexico State 70	0.556	Middle Tennessee 76 - New Mexico State 69	-10
Monmouth 74 - Campbell 66	0.718	Monmouth 88 - Campbell 87	7
North Alabama 72 - Lipscomb 75	0.575	North Alabama 75 - Lipscomb 70	-8
North Texas 71 - Memphis 72	0.508	North Texas 76 - Memphis 66	-11
Northeastern 70 - College of Charleston 77	0.725	Northeastern 73 - College of Charleston 77	-3
Old Dominion 65 - UL Lafayette 76	0.78	Old Dominion 60 - UL Lafayette 68	-3
Omaha 75 - South Dakota 68	0.674	Omaha 91 - South Dakota 84	0
Oral Roberts 74 - North Dakota State 71	0.617	Oral Roberts 60 - North Dakota State 73	16
Portland State 71 - Northern Colorado 76	0.6	Portland State 82 - Northern Colorado 72	-15
Purdue 85 - Minnesota 67	0.913	Purdue 84 - Minnesota 76	10
Radford 69 - Winthrop 72	0.591	Radford 69 - Winthrop 85	13
Rutgers 71 - Northwestern 74	0.551	Rutgers 63 - Northwestern 60	-6
Sacramento State 65 - Northern Arizona 67	0.543	Sacramento State 58 - Northern Arizona 73	13
Saint Francis Penn 61 - Wagner 66	0.642	Saint Francis Penn 63 - Wagner 65	-3
Saint Marys 81 - Pepperdine 58	0.925	Saint Marys 103 - Pepperdine 59	-21
Sam Houston State 78 - Florida International 68	0.751	Sam Houston State 70 - Florida International 56	-4
San Diego 79 - Portland 70	0.742	San Diego 71 - Portland 66	4
Santa Clara 85 - Pacific 62	0.901	Santa Clara 79 - Pacific 53	-3
SIU Edwardsville 73 - Lindenwood 61	0.834	SIU Edwardsville 91 - Lindenwood 63	-16
South Alabama 69 - Texas State 68	0.505	South Alabama 72 - Texas State 55	-16
Southern California 74 - Utah 81	0.623	Southern California 68 - Utah 64	-11
Southern Miss 74 - UL Monroe 65	0.722	Southern Miss 59 - UL Monroe 68	18
Southern Utah 70 - Seattle 76	0.669	Southern Utah 68 - Seattle 78	4
Stonehill 58 - Merrimack 73	0.853	Stonehill 63 - Merrimack 66	-12
Stony Brook 80 - Hampton 62	0.909	Stony Brook 93 - Hampton 73	-2
Tennessee Martin 78 - Southern Indiana 67	0.766	Tennessee Martin 77 - Southern Indiana 68	2
Tennessee Tech 62 - Western Illinois 70	0.719	Tennessee Tech 55 - Western Illinois 62	-1
Texas Arlington 72 - Tarleton State 71	0.508	Texas Arlington 78 - Tarleton State 80	3
Texas Pan American 72 - Abilene Christian 75	0.58	Texas Pan American 79 - Abilene Christian 87	5
Troy 78 - Arkansas State 71	0.71	Troy 71 - Arkansas State 82	18
Tulane 74 - Southern Methodist 80	0.679	Tulane 79 - Southern Methodist 87	2
UC Davis 75 - Long Beach State 72	0.578	UC Davis 74 - Long Beach State 78	7
UC San Diego 75 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.646	UC San Diego 61 - UC Santa Barbara 46	-9
UCLA 71 - Colorado 74	0.578	UCLA 64 - Colorado 60	-7
UMKC 68 - South Dakota State 72	0.604	UMKC 72 - South Dakota State 67	-9
UNC Wilmington 81 - North Carolina AT 60	0.918	UNC Wilmington 73 - North Carolina AT 54	2
Vermont 73 - New Hampshire 64	0.751	Vermont 70 - New Hampshire 54	-7
Washington 81 - Stanford 78	0.577	Washington 85 - Stanford 65	-17
Washington State 80 - California 69	0.77	Washington State 84 - California 65	-8
Western Kentucky 76 - Texas El Paso 70	0.701	Western Kentucky 90 - Texas El Paso 80	-4
William and Mary 60 - Towson 73	0.812	William and Mary 52 - Towson 61	-4

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Columbia 75 - Dartmouth 62	0.826	Columbia 73 - Dartmouth 63	3
Cornell 80 - Harvard 69	0.808	Cornell 75 - Harvard 62	-2
Fairfield 75 - Niagara 69	0.659	Fairfield 63 - Niagara 65	8
Georgetown 69 - Villanova 81	0.799	Georgetown 54 - Villanova 70	4
Iona 78 - Manhattan 62	0.9	Iona 73 - Manhattan 63	6
Kennesaw St 76 - North Florida 75	0.51	Kennesaw St 81 - North Florida 82	2
Marist 69 - Canisius 64	0.623	Marist 78 - Canisius 55	-18
Pennsylvania 66 - Yale 77	0.827	Pennsylvania 62 - Yale 76	3
Princeton 80 - Brown 61	0.925	Princeton 72 - Brown 63	10
Queens 72 - Jacksonville 70	0.553	Queens 74 - Jacksonville 65	-7
Rider 71 - Mt St Marys 72	0.506	Rider 61 - Mt St Marys 57	-5
Saint Louis 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 78	0.775	Saint Louis 85 - Virginia Commonwealth 95	0
Saint Peters 71 - Siena 57	0.83	Saint Peters 75 - Siena 53	-8
San Diego State 78 - New Mexico 75	0.569	San Diego State 81 - New Mexico 70	-8
Toledo 78 - Ohio 72	0.715	Toledo 85 - Ohio 83	4

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 83 - Texas AM 74	0.717	Alabama 100 - Texas AM 75	-16
Alabama AM 74 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.846	Alabama AM 80 - Mississippi Valley State 57	-11
Alabama State 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	0.706	Alabama State 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 80	12
Alcorn State 72 - Bethune Cookman 70	0.577	Alcorn State 69 - Bethune Cookman 54	-13
American 68 - Lafayette 65	0.587	American 62 - Lafayette 68	9
Appalachian State 73 - UL Lafayette 68	0.636	Appalachian State 85 - UL Lafayette 73	-7
Arizona 89 - Arizona State 69	0.858	Arizona 105 - Arizona State 60	-25
Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Southern Indiana 66	0.761	Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Southern Indiana 62	-7
Auburn 85 - Kentucky 77	0.694	Auburn 59 - Kentucky 70	19
Bellarmine 65 - Eastern Kentucky 74	0.757	Bellarmine 65 - Eastern Kentucky 75	1
Boise State 80 - Fresno State 65	0.874	Boise State 90 - Fresno State 66	-9
Boston 69 - Navy 64	0.639	Boston 74 - Navy 65	-4
Boston College 76 - Miami 77	0.534	Boston College 85 - Miami 77	-9
Bryant 75 - UMass Lowell 71	0.597	Bryant 77 - UMass Lowell 86	13
Buffalo 58 - Akron 79	0.92	Buffalo 62 - Akron 73	-10
Butler 78 - Creighton 81	0.563	Butler 57 - Creighton 79	19
Cal State Northridge 75 - Long Beach State 76	0.519	Cal State Northridge 73 - Long Beach State 87	13
Central Arkansas 68 - Lipscomb 79	0.749	Central Arkansas 68 - Lipscomb 85	6
Central Florida 72 - Cincinnati 73	0.534	Central Florida 74 - Cincinnati 76	1
Central Michigan 72 - Western Michigan 64	0.706	Central Michigan 69 - Western Michigan 42	-19
Clemson 81 - NC State 73	0.726	Clemson 77 - NC State 78	9
Cleveland State 70 - Youngstown State 73	0.599	Cleveland State 81 - Youngstown State 73	-11
Coastal Carolina 70 - Marshall 77	0.693	Coastal Carolina 74 - Marshall 67	-14
Colgate 75 - Bucknell 62	0.832	Colgate 62 - Bucknell 50	1
Colorado State 76 - Utah State 75	0.531	Colorado State 75 - Utah State 55	-19
Columbia 72 - Harvard 71	0.528	Columbia 75 - Harvard 80	6
Connecticut 79 - Marquette 74	0.652	Connecticut 81 - Marquette 53	-23
Coppin State 62 - Delaware State 70	0.733	Coppin State 56 - Delaware State 66	2
Cornell 82 - Dartmouth 59	0.936	Cornell 89 - Dartmouth 80	14
Dayton 82 - Fordham 62	0.942	Dayton 78 - Fordham 70	12
Denver 77 - North Dakota State 74	0.572	Denver 77 - North Dakota State 71	-3
Detroit 63 - IPFW 78	0.845	Detroit 69 - IPFW 83	-1
Drexel 74 - Campbell 61	0.781	Drexel 81 - Campbell 66	-2
Duquesne 75 - Saint Josephs 72	0.575	Duquesne 66 - Saint Josephs 56	-7
Eastern Illinois 71 - Lindenwood 62	0.78	Eastern Illinois 72 - Lindenwood 57	-6
Eastern Michigan 67 - Bowling Green 75	0.74	Eastern Michigan 69 - Bowling Green 60	-17
Eastern Washington 74 - Weber State 69	0.617	Eastern Washington 84 - Weber State 90	11
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.684	Fairleigh Dickinson 93 - Saint Francis Penn 74	-14
Florida State 74 - Duke 81	0.7	Florida State 67 - Duke 76	2
George Washington 69 - Richmond 79	0.759	George Washington 74 - Richmond 90	6
Georgia 76 - Florida 82	0.686	Georgia 82 - Florida 88	0
Georgia Tech 75 - Syracuse 79	0.615	Georgia Tech 65 - Syracuse 60	-9
Gonzaga 91 - Pacific 57	0.96	Gonzaga 102 - Pacific 76	8
Grand Canyon 77 - Cal Baptist 62	0.894	Grand Canyon 79 - Cal Baptist 76	12
Hampton 59 - Towson 77	0.906	Hampton 67 - Towson 61	-24
High Point 77 - Radford 66	0.837	High Point 99 - Radford 74	-14
Hofstra 74 - Northeastern 66	0.733	Hofstra 82 - Northeastern 62	-12
Holy Cross 65 - Army 67	0.553	Holy Cross 53 - Army 59	4
Houston 78 - Texas 67	0.8	Houston 82 - Texas 61	-10
Howard 69 - North Carolina Central 71	0.535	Howard 90 - North Carolina Central 82	-10
Idaho 67 - Idaho State 69	0.545	Idaho 55 - Idaho State 53	-4
Incarnate Word 69 - Northwestern State 70	0.521	Incarnate Word 61 - Northwestern State 81	19
Iowa 78 - Wisconsin 80	0.553	Iowa 88 - Wisconsin 86	-4
Iowa State 78 - Texas Tech 72	0.674	Iowa State 82 - Texas Tech 74	-2
Jackson State 75 - Florida AM 66	0.759	Jackson State 77 - Florida AM 55	-13
James Madison 83 - Georgia Southern 62	0.91	James Madison 87 - Georgia Southern 80	14
Kansas State 76 - Texas Christian 77	0.547	Kansas State 72 - Texas Christian 75	2
Kent State 77 - Northern Illinois 67	0.776	Kent State 85 - Northern Illinois 47	-28
La Salle 71 - Massachusetts 80	0.775	La Salle 82 - Massachusetts 81	-10
Le Moyne 74 - Stonehill 63	0.735	Le Moyne 75 - Stonehill 67	3
Lehigh 74 - Loyola MD 65	0.784	Lehigh 75 - Loyola MD 70	4
Louisiana Tech 81 - Florida International 63	0.897	Louisiana Tech 75 - Florida International 68	11
Loyola Marymount 67 - San Francisco 76	0.734	Loyola Marymount 59 - San Francisco 82	14
Maine 60 - Vermont 69	0.765	Maine 57 - Vermont 68	2
Maryland 72 - Illinois 78	0.679	Maryland 80 - Illinois 85	-1
Mercer 65 - Samford 78	0.812	Mercer 88 - Samford 84	-17
Merrimack 75 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0.858	Merrimack 83 - LIU Brooklyn 68	2
Miami OH 70 - Ball State 69	0.538	Miami OH 80 - Ball State 59	-20
Michigan 71 - Michigan State 81	0.744	Michigan 63 - Michigan State 73	0
Middle Tennessee 65 - Texas El Paso 70	0.628	Middle Tennessee 96 - Texas El Paso 90	-11
Milwaukee 71 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.551	Milwaukee 73 - Northern Kentucky 72	-3
Mississippi 82 - Missouri 68	0.837	Mississippi 79 - Missouri 76	11
Mississippi State 79 - Arkansas 69	0.748	Mississippi State 71 - Arkansas 67	6
Missouri State 79 - Valparaiso 66	0.832	Missouri State 82 - Valparaiso 74	5
Monmouth 72 - Stony Brook 70	0.568	Monmouth 84 - Stony Brook 61	-21
Montana 75 - Montana State 67	0.66	Montana 88 - Montana State 69	-11
Morgan State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.658	Morgan State 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	1
Nebraska 81 - Penn State 75	0.634	Nebraska 68 - Penn State 49	-13
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Nevada 75	0.545	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Nevada 69	0
New Orleans 68 - Lamar 78	0.729	New Orleans 72 - Lamar 94	12
Nicholls State 64 - Mcneese State 76	0.817	Nicholls State 47 - Mcneese State 74	15
NJ Tech 66 - Binghamton 67	0.516	NJ Tech 55 - Binghamton 69	13
Norfolk State 74 - South Carolina State 66	0.701	Norfolk State 71 - South Carolina State 67	4
North Alabama 70 - Austin Peay 69	0.541	North Alabama 79 - Austin Peay 87	9
North Carolina 83 - Virginia Tech 70	0.809	North Carolina 96 - Virginia Tech 81	-2
North Carolina AT 63 - Delaware 77	0.842	North Carolina AT 54 - Delaware 62	-6
Oakland 82 - IUPUI 57	0.943	Oakland 107 - IUPUI 59	-23
Oklahoma 75 - Kansas 77	0.551	Oklahoma 57 - Kansas 67	8
Oklahoma State 71 - Brigham Young 82	0.782	Oklahoma State 93 - Brigham Young 83	-21
Old Dominion 70 - Georgia State 73	0.591	Old Dominion 65 - Georgia State 68	0
Omaha 69 - South Dakota State 73	0.607	Omaha 77 - South Dakota State 85	4
Oral Roberts 73 - North Dakota 70	0.579	Oral Roberts 65 - North Dakota 78	16
Oregon State 70 - Oregon 78	0.715	Oregon State 58 - Oregon 60	-6
Pennsylvania 74 - Brown 69	0.658	Pennsylvania 64 - Brown 71	12
Pepperdine 78 - Portland 71	0.698	Pepperdine 91 - Portland 70	-14
Pittsburgh 81 - Louisville 69	0.791	Pittsburgh 86 - Louisville 59	-15
Portland State 72 - Northern Arizona 67	0.613	Portland State 83 - Northern Arizona 68	-10
Prairie View 65 - Southern 73	0.69	Prairie View 71 - Southern 77	-2
Presbyterian 68 - Longwood 71	0.607	Presbyterian 73 - Longwood 81	5
Princeton 71 - Yale 70	0.565	Princeton 73 - Yale 62	-10
Providence 85 - DePaul 64	0.921	Providence 81 - DePaul 70	10
Sacramento State 64 - Northern Colorado 76	0.783	Sacramento State 75 - Northern Colorado 80	-7
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Davidson 68	0.644	Saint Bonaventure 81 - Davidson 80	5
Saint Thomas 76 - South Dakota 63	0.794	Saint Thomas 83 - South Dakota 80	10
Sam Houston State 69 - Liberty 73	0.585	Sam Houston State 83 - Liberty 73	-14
San Diego 72 - Santa Clara 78	0.649	San Diego 69 - Santa Clara 82	7
San Jose State 72 - Wyoming 77	0.632	San Jose State 75 - Wyoming 80	0
SIU Edwardsville 73 - SE Missouri State 62	0.777	SIU Edwardsville 80 - SE Missouri State 76	7
South Alabama 73 - Arkansas State 76	0.57	South Alabama 73 - Arkansas State 76	0
South Carolina 78 - Louisiana State 71	0.693	South Carolina 63 - Louisiana State 64	8
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Gardner Webb 72	0.647	South Carolina Upstate 65 - Gardner Webb 73	4
Southeast Louisiana 74 - Houston Christian 62	0.791	Southeast Louisiana 81 - Houston Christian 78	9
Southern California 73 - Colorado 81	0.67	Southern California 89 - Colorado 92	-5
Southern Illinois 70 - Indiana State 78	0.725	Southern Illinois 74 - Indiana State 69	-13
Southern Miss 68 - Texas State 65	0.579	Southern Miss 78 - Texas State 74	-1
Southern Utah 71 - Utah Valley 72	0.511	Southern Utah 75 - Utah Valley 78	2
Stephen F Austin 77 - Abilene Christian 68	0.726	Stephen F Austin 62 - Abilene Christian 63	10
Stetson 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.622	Stetson 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	5
Tennessee 85 - Vanderbilt 62	0.939	Tennessee 88 - Vanderbilt 53	-12
Tennessee Martin 67 - Morehead State 74	0.716	Tennessee Martin 88 - Morehead State 82	-13
Tennessee State 67 - Western Illinois 66	0.551	Tennessee State 61 - Western Illinois 68	8
Texas AM CC 73 - Texas AM Commerce 60	0.83	Texas AM CC 86 - Texas AM Commerce 63	-10
Texas Pan American 69 - Texas Arlington 79	0.771	Texas Pan American 70 - Texas Arlington 89	9
Texas Southern 66 - Grambling State 64	0.553	Texas Southern 63 - Grambling State 66	5
The Citadel 77 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.751	The Citadel 76 - Virginia Military Institute 51	-14
Troy 79 - UL Monroe 63	0.889	Troy 85 - UL Monroe 57	-12
Tulsa 75 - Rice 71	0.613	Tulsa 93 - Rice 82	-7
UC Davis 73 - UC Riverside 66	0.656	UC Davis 61 - UC Riverside 67	13
UC Irvine 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.883	UC Irvine 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 71	11
UC San Diego 75 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.761	UC San Diego 76 - Cal State Fullerton 69	3
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Hawaii 71	0.557	UC Santa Barbara 77 - Hawaii 71	-4
UMBC 77 - Albany 78	0.517	UMBC 80 - Albany 75	-6
UNC Asheville 77 - Charleston Southern 63	0.842	UNC Asheville 86 - Charleston Southern 55	-17
UNC Wilmington 82 - Elon 62	0.919	UNC Wilmington 72 - Elon 73	21
Utah Tech 67 - Seattle 76	0.737	Utah Tech 65 - Seattle 66	-8
Virginia 72 - Wake Forest 71	0.533	Virginia 49 - Wake Forest 47	-1
Wagner 68 - Sacred Heart 64	0.601	Wagner 53 - Sacred Heart 63	14
Washington 82 - California 75	0.677	Washington 80 - California 82	9
Washington State 80 - Stanford 72	0.673	Washington State 72 - Stanford 59	-5
West Virginia 72 - Baylor 85	0.816	West Virginia 81 - Baylor 94	0
Western Carolina 72 - East Tennessee State 65	0.718	Western Carolina 70 - East Tennessee State 65	2
Western Kentucky 78 - New Mexico State 69	0.741	Western Kentucky 72 - New Mexico State 58	-5
Wofford 70 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.551	Wofford 47 - UNC Greensboro 58	9
Wright State 80 - Robert Morris 71	0.728	Wright State 101 - Robert Morris 71	-21

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 71 - North Texas 69	0.555	Alabama Birmingham 71 - North Texas 62	-7
Charlotte 75 - Wichita State 66	0.75	Charlotte 72 - Wichita State 61	-2
Drake 79 - Murray State 65	0.77	Drake 95 - Murray State 72	-9
East Carolina 74 - Tulane 76	0.567	East Carolina 81 - Tulane 67	-16
Fairfield 74 - Mt St Marys 67	0.671	Fairfield 94 - Mt St Marys 80	-7
Furman 73 - Chattanooga 74	0.51	Furman 82 - Chattanooga 65	-18
Illinois Chicago 71 - Belmont 76	0.614	Illinois Chicago 60 - Belmont 75	10
Illinois State 70 - Evansville 69	0.522	Illinois State 86 - Evansville 79	-6
Indiana 74 - Northwestern 77	0.566	Indiana 72 - Northwestern 76	1
Iona 70 - Saint Peters 63	0.703	Iona 53 - Saint Peters 59	13
Manhattan 69 - Rider 74	0.653	Manhattan 62 - Rider 104	37
Minnesota 72 - Rutgers 70	0.567	Minnesota 81 - Rutgers 70	-9
Northern Iowa 70 - Bradley 75	0.627	Northern Iowa 74 - Bradley 63	-16
Ohio State 70 - Purdue 85	0.838	Ohio State 73 - Purdue 69	-19
Quinnipiac 77 - Niagara 69	0.708	Quinnipiac 66 - Niagara 80	22
Rhode Island 70 - Loyola Ill 77	0.68	Rhode Island 67 - Loyola Ill 77	3
Saint Johns 78 - Seton Hall 73	0.624	Saint Johns 62 - Seton Hall 68	11
Siena 64 - Canisius 71	0.677	Siena 64 - Canisius 73	2
South Florida 72 - Florida Atlantic 77	0.622	South Florida 90 - Florida Atlantic 86	-9
Southern Methodist 78 - Memphis 74	0.609	Southern Methodist 106 - Memphis 79	-23
Temple 79 - Texas San Antonio 73	0.688	Temple 83 - Texas San Antonio 77	0
UCLA 72 - Utah 74	0.537	UCLA 69 - Utah 70	-1

Number of DI Games: 328
Number Correct: 242 = 73.7%
Expected Number Correct: 228.122 = 69.5%
Average Error: 9.17
Average Signed Error: -1.21

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	0.558	Alabama AM 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	-6
Alabama State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.915	Alabama State 61 - Mississippi Valley State 46	3
Alcorn State 74 - Florida AM 64	0.807	Alcorn State 79 - Florida AM 68	-1
Chicago State 84 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 93 - Unranked 70
College of Charleston 83 - William and Mary 62	0.924	College of Charleston 65 - William and Mary 57	13
Delaware State 72 - Morgan State 68	0.63	Delaware State 80 - Morgan State 58	-18
Houston 76 - Iowa State 68	0.701	Houston 73 - Iowa State 65	0
Howard 75 - South Carolina State 70	0.64	Howard 68 - South Carolina State 75	12
Incarnate Word 68 - Texas AM Commerce 69	0.526	Incarnate Word 72 - Texas AM Commerce 76	3
Jackson State 73 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.65	Jackson State 61 - Bethune Cookman 60	5
Lafayette 62 - Colgate 72	0.78	Lafayette 62 - Colgate 67	-5
Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - Coppin State 62	0.688	Maryland Eastern Shore 75 - Coppin State 67	-2
New Orleans 67 - Nicholls State 75	0.717	New Orleans 77 - Nicholls State 89	4
Norfolk State 70 - North Carolina Central 65	0.62	Norfolk State 80 - North Carolina Central 74	-1
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Lamar 69	0.501	Southeast Louisiana 72 - Lamar 77	6
Texas 78 - Kansas State 72	0.675	Texas 62 - Kansas State 56	0
Texas AM CC 73 - Northwestern State 61	0.791	Texas AM CC 72 - Northwestern State 61	1
Texas Southern 65 - Southern 69	0.61	Texas Southern 68 - Southern 56	-16
Virginia Tech 70 - Virginia 71	0.542	Virginia Tech 75 - Virginia 41	-35

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 84 - San Jose State 64	0.915	Boise State 82 - San Jose State 50	-12
Brigham Young 80 - Baylor 81	0.533	Brigham Young 78 - Baylor 71	-8
Buffalo 69 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.501	Buffalo 78 - Eastern Michigan 69	-10
Central Michigan 71 - Bowling Green 67	0.588	Central Michigan 62 - Bowling Green 60	2
Creighton 75 - Connecticut 79	0.601	Creighton 85 - Connecticut 66	-23
Davidson 77 - Fordham 68	0.776	Davidson 68 - Fordham 53	-6
Duquesne 79 - Saint Louis 69	0.764	Duquesne 81 - Saint Louis 66	-5
Florida State 78 - Boston College 76	0.587	Florida State 84 - Boston College 76	-6
Massachusetts 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.576	Massachusetts 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 52	-24
Michigan State 83 - Iowa 74	0.724	Michigan State 71 - Iowa 78	16
Missouri 66 - Tennessee 85	0.898	Missouri 67 - Tennessee 72	-14
Morehead State 78 - Southern Indiana 59	0.923	Morehead State 73 - Southern Indiana 80	26
NC State 78 - Syracuse 76	0.565	NC State 83 - Syracuse 87	6
Nevada 82 - Wyoming 67	0.828	Nevada 76 - Wyoming 58	-3
Northern Illinois 71 - Ball State 73	0.544	Northern Illinois 63 - Ball State 70	5
Ohio 73 - Kent State 71	0.549	Ohio 63 - Kent State 57	-4
Saint Marys 74 - San Francisco 65	0.717	Saint Marys 70 - San Francisco 66	5
Texas AM 79 - Arkansas 71	0.722	Texas AM 71 - Arkansas 78	15
Texas Tech 80 - Texas Christian 77	0.604	Texas Tech 82 - Texas Christian 81	2
Toledo 71 - Akron 73	0.547	Toledo 72 - Akron 64	-10
Utah State 74 - San Diego State 76	0.541	Utah State 68 - San Diego State 63	-7
Villanova 78 - Butler 74	0.614	Villanova 72 - Butler 62	-6
Wake Forest 77 - Pittsburgh 73	0.596	Wake Forest 91 - Pittsburgh 58	-29
West Virginia 72 - Central Florida 78	0.641	West Virginia 77 - Central Florida 67	-16
Western Michigan 67 - Miami OH 71	0.606	Western Michigan 77 - Miami OH 58	-23
Wisconsin 75 - Maryland 69	0.656	Wisconsin 74 - Maryland 70	2

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 66 - Nevada Las Vegas 78	0.75	Air Force 43 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	17
Alabama 87 - Florida 80	0.68	Alabama 98 - Florida 93	2
Alabama Birmingham 81 - Rice 66	0.859	Alabama Birmingham 71 - Rice 94	38
American 68 - Boston 64	0.633	American 52 - Boston 67	19
Army 67 - Lehigh 68	0.506	Army 54 - Lehigh 85	30
Chattanooga 75 - Wofford 69	0.656	Chattanooga 81 - Wofford 65	-10
Cincinnati 80 - Oklahoma State 70	0.773	Cincinnati 76 - Oklahoma State 80	14
Drake 82 - Belmont 70	0.741	Drake 84 - Belmont 69	-3
East Tennessee State 79 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.873	East Tennessee State 82 - Virginia Military Institute 69	4
George Mason 67 - Dayton 74	0.741	George Mason 71 - Dayton 67	-11
Georgetown 72 - Saint Johns 83	0.799	Georgetown 85 - Saint Johns 90	-6
Georgia State 77 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.736	Georgia State 72 - Coastal Carolina 71	8
Georgia Tech 71 - Clemson 81	0.754	Georgia Tech 57 - Clemson 81	14
Holy Cross 66 - Bucknell 72	0.674	Holy Cross 73 - Bucknell 59	-20
Illinois Chicago 71 - Evansville 72	0.506	Illinois Chicago 88 - Evansville 79	-10
Illinois State 68 - Northern Iowa 71	0.594	Illinois State 81 - Northern Iowa 73	-11
Indiana 75 - Nebraska 78	0.577	Indiana 70 - Nebraska 85	12
Jacksonville State 71 - Middle Tennessee 64	0.653	Jacksonville State 76 - Middle Tennessee 68	-1
La Salle 68 - Saint Bonaventure 80	0.793	La Salle 72 - Saint Bonaventure 59	-25
Longwood 68 - UNC Asheville 72	0.626	Longwood 80 - UNC Asheville 75	-9
Louisiana State 78 - Kentucky 84	0.65	Louisiana State 75 - Kentucky 74	-7
Louisville 72 - Notre Dame 73	0.504	Louisville 50 - Notre Dame 72	21
Loyola MD 66 - Navy 67	0.506	Loyola MD 62 - Navy 69	6
Marquette 90 - DePaul 63	0.954	Marquette 105 - DePaul 71	-7
Marshall 67 - James Madison 78	0.781	Marshall 58 - James Madison 84	15
Memphis 75 - Charlotte 72	0.583	Memphis 76 - Charlotte 52	-21
Mercer 70 - The Citadel 65	0.639	Mercer 87 - The Citadel 78	-4
Miami 73 - Duke 81	0.715	Miami 55 - Duke 84	21
Mississippi State 76 - Mississippi 72	0.614	Mississippi State 83 - Mississippi 71	-8
Missouri State 71 - Bradley 76	0.633	Missouri State 62 - Bradley 86	19
New Mexico 78 - Colorado State 76	0.555	New Mexico 68 - Colorado State 66	0
Pacific 69 - Pepperdine 77	0.703	Pacific 70 - Pepperdine 89	11
Penn State 75 - Illinois 84	0.763	Penn State 90 - Illinois 89	-10
Rhode Island 68 - Richmond 77	0.731	Rhode Island 77 - Richmond 85	-1
Saint Josephs 82 - George Washington 73	0.729	Saint Josephs 79 - George Washington 75	5
Samford 81 - Furman 71	0.731	Samford 74 - Furman 72	8
South Carolina Upstate 71 - Charleston Southern 66	0.636	South Carolina Upstate 60 - Charleston Southern 63	8
Southern Illinois 72 - Murray State 68	0.62	Southern Illinois 72 - Murray State 68	0
Texas San Antonio 68 - South Florida 84	0.871	Texas San Antonio 61 - South Florida 66	-11
UNC Greensboro 71 - Western Carolina 69	0.57	UNC Greensboro 71 - Western Carolina 65	-4
Valparaiso 66 - Indiana State 85	0.895	Valparaiso 64 - Indiana State 83	0
Vanderbilt 71 - Georgia 77	0.712	Vanderbilt 64 - Georgia 76	6
Wichita State 75 - Tulsa 72	0.577	Wichita State 79 - Tulsa 63	-13
Winthrop 77 - Presbyterian 65	0.867	Winthrop 55 - Presbyterian 78	35
Xavier 77 - Providence 75	0.559	Xavier 75 - Providence 79	6

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Cal Baptist 70	0.554	Abilene Christian 71 - Cal Baptist 65	-8
Albany 64 - Vermont 76	0.796	Albany 80 - Vermont 94	2
Arizona 83 - Washington State 73	0.713	Arizona 74 - Washington State 77	13
Arizona State 76 - Washington 79	0.571	Arizona State 82 - Washington 84	-1
Arkansas State 73 - Troy 75	0.543	Arkansas State 79 - Troy 71	-10
Bellarmine 70 - Central Arkansas 67	0.594	Bellarmine 68 - Central Arkansas 65	0
Cal State Fullerton 74 - Cal Poly 61	0.859	Cal State Fullerton 68 - Cal Poly 50	-5
Cal State Northridge 71 - UC Davis 72	0.51	Cal State Northridge 65 - UC Davis 66	0
California 78 - Oregon State 71	0.682	California 81 - Oregon State 73	-1
Campbell 76 - Hampton 66	0.749	Campbell 68 - Hampton 72	14
Delaware 72 - College of Charleston 75	0.581	Delaware 71 - College of Charleston 90	16
Detroit 66 - Wright State 83	0.86	Detroit 78 - Wright State 93	-2
Eastern Kentucky 76 - North Alabama 69	0.703	Eastern Kentucky 75 - North Alabama 72	4
Florida Atlantic 77 - Southern Methodist 75	0.559	Florida Atlantic 80 - Southern Methodist 70	-8
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Kennesaw St 70	0.594	Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Kennesaw St 74	11
Florida International 67 - Liberty 77	0.737	Florida International 76 - Liberty 71	-15
Gardner Webb 73 - Radford 67	0.692	Gardner Webb 74 - Radford 90	22
Georgia Southern 68 - Texas State 71	0.6	Georgia Southern 84 - Texas State 76	-11
Hofstra 70 - Drexel 68	0.548	Hofstra 69 - Drexel 57	-10
Lindenwood 64 - Tennessee Martin 78	0.855	Lindenwood 82 - Tennessee Martin 106	10
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Le Moyne 73	0.628	LIU Brooklyn 76 - Le Moyne 64	-18
Long Beach State 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.776	Long Beach State 79 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	-3
Maine 73 - UMBC 69	0.639	Maine 62 - UMBC 56	-2
Merrimack 73 - Saint Francis Penn 57	0.888	Merrimack 71 - Saint Francis Penn 60	5
Minnesota 76 - Ohio State 74	0.556	Minnesota 88 - Ohio State 79	-7
Montana 76 - Sacramento State 59	0.829	Montana 68 - Sacramento State 61	10
Montana State 71 - Portland State 70	0.52	Montana State 72 - Portland State 67	-4
New Hampshire 74 - NJ Tech 62	0.796	New Hampshire 83 - NJ Tech 78	7
New Mexico State 68 - Sam Houston State 73	0.609	New Mexico State 58 - Sam Houston State 79	16
North Dakota State 67 - Saint Thomas 70	0.587	North Dakota State 64 - Saint Thomas 50	-17
Northeastern 74 - Elon 68	0.674	Northeastern 61 - Elon 58	3
Northern Arizona 67 - Eastern Washington 78	0.743	Northern Arizona 78 - Eastern Washington 71	-18
Northern Colorado 78 - Idaho 67	0.763	Northern Colorado 76 - Idaho 62	-3
Northern Kentucky 70 - Cleveland State 68	0.559	Northern Kentucky 75 - Cleveland State 73	0
Northwestern 82 - Michigan 72	0.748	Northwestern 76 - Michigan 62	-4
Old Dominion 63 - Appalachian State 78	0.854	Old Dominion 67 - Appalachian State 82	0
Omaha 72 - Oral Roberts 70	0.555	Omaha 71 - Oral Roberts 70	1
Portland 64 - Gonzaga 88	0.945	Portland 65 - Gonzaga 86	-3
Purdue 83 - Rutgers 66	0.865	Purdue 96 - Rutgers 68	-11
Robert Morris 66 - Oakland 77	0.767	Robert Morris 43 - Oakland 63	9
Sacred Heart 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.613	Sacred Heart 99 - Fairleigh Dickinson 91	-4
Santa Clara 78 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.761	Santa Clara 65 - Loyola Marymount 55	1
SE Missouri State 65 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	0.791	SE Missouri State 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 83	10
Seattle 74 - Stephen F Austin 68	0.667	Seattle 69 - Stephen F Austin 49	-14
South Dakota 68 - UMKC 73	0.613	South Dakota 78 - UMKC 82	-1
South Dakota State 79 - Denver 71	0.683	South Dakota State 97 - Denver 70	-19
Southern Miss 72 - South Alabama 69	0.582	Southern Miss 64 - South Alabama 83	22
Stanford 76 - Oregon 78	0.558	Stanford 65 - Oregon 78	11
Stetson 77 - Queens 69	0.687	Stetson 75 - Queens 83	16
Stony Brook 76 - North Carolina AT 64	0.816	Stony Brook 80 - North Carolina AT 64	-4
Tarleton State 68 - Grand Canyon 75	0.73	Tarleton State 77 - Grand Canyon 74	-10
Tennessee State 69 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.608	Tennessee State 78 - Eastern Illinois 73	-1
Tennessee Tech 65 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.614	Tennessee Tech 77 - SIU Edwardsville 78	-4
Texas Arlington 78 - Southern Utah 70	0.719	Texas Arlington 90 - Southern Utah 85	3
Texas El Paso 66 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.73	Texas El Paso 59 - Louisiana Tech 65	-2
Towson 70 - Monmouth 66	0.622	Towson 80 - Monmouth 61	-15
UC Irvine 76 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.778	UC Irvine 81 - UC Santa Barbara 69	-2
UC Riverside 68 - UC San Diego 73	0.622	UC Riverside 65 - UC San Diego 77	7
UL Monroe 65 - UL Lafayette 75	0.764	UL Monroe 66 - UL Lafayette 59	-17
UMass Lowell 75 - Binghamton 64	0.761	UMass Lowell 87 - Binghamton 80	4
Utah Valley 79 - Texas Pan American 65	0.837	Utah Valley 70 - Texas Pan American 59	3
Wagner 62 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.575	Wagner 72 - Central Connecticut State 73	-2
Western Illinois 62 - Morehead State 68	0.699	Western Illinois 57 - Morehead State 78	15
William and Mary 62 - UNC Wilmington 78	0.845	William and Mary 65 - UNC Wilmington 81	0

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Kent State 64	0.76	Akron 83 - Kent State 70	-4
Bowling Green 72 - Toledo 78	0.679	Bowling Green 76 - Toledo 68	-14
Canisius 69 - Niagara 73	0.596	Canisius 69 - Niagara 59	-14
Columbia 74 - Brown 70	0.659	Columbia 64 - Brown 66	6
Cornell 75 - Yale 74	0.515	Cornell 65 - Yale 62	-2
Dartmouth 65 - Pennsylvania 71	0.667	Dartmouth 69 - Pennsylvania 82	7
Fordham 69 - Duquesne 75	0.697	Fordham 79 - Duquesne 67	-18
Green Bay 69 - IPFW 67	0.574	Green Bay 59 - IPFW 85	28
Harvard 66 - Princeton 75	0.775	Harvard 53 - Princeton 66	4
Jacksonville 67 - North Florida 70	0.569	Jacksonville 62 - North Florida 50	-15
Manhattan 61 - Marist 72	0.737	Manhattan 50 - Marist 57	-4
Milwaukee 70 - Youngstown State 75	0.644	Milwaukee 80 - Youngstown State 84	-1
Mt St Marys 66 - Saint Peters 67	0.531	Mt St Marys 65 - Saint Peters 70	4
Quinnipiac 73 - Fairfield 71	0.56	Quinnipiac 81 - Fairfield 85	6
Rider 70 - Iona 72	0.57	Rider 78 - Iona 75	-5
San Jose State 65 - Nevada 82	0.86	San Jose State 63 - Nevada 84	4

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 64 - Grand Canyon 80	0.864	Abilene Christian 79 - Grand Canyon 73	-22
Alcorn State 70 - Jackson State 69	0.528	Alcorn State 87 - Jackson State 73	-13
Arizona 90 - Washington 74	0.807	Arizona 91 - Washington 75	0
Arizona State 69 - Washington State 78	0.691	Arizona State 73 - Washington State 61	-21
Arkansas 79 - Missouri 73	0.681	Arkansas 88 - Missouri 73	-9
Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 - Prairie View 72	0.534	Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Prairie View 59	-12
Arkansas State 78 - South Alabama 71	0.687	Arkansas State 95 - South Alabama 78	-10
Austin Peay 70 - Lipscomb 71	0.516	Austin Peay 85 - Lipscomb 90	4
Ball State 74 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.708	Ball State 56 - Eastern Michigan 58	10
Baylor 73 - Houston 77	0.629	Baylor 76 - Houston 82	2
Bellarmine 66 - North Alabama 72	0.704	Bellarmine 82 - North Alabama 70	-18
Belmont 77 - Missouri State 73	0.599	Belmont 93 - Missouri State 78	-11
Bethune Cookman 72 - Alabama AM 68	0.645	Bethune Cookman 63 - Alabama AM 61	2
Bradley 76 - Illinois State 65	0.787	Bradley 48 - Illinois State 45	8
Cal Poly 62 - UC Riverside 73	0.787	Cal Poly 78 - UC Riverside 84	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - UC Davis 71	0.596	Cal State Bakersfield 75 - UC Davis 56	-23
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.502	Cal State Fullerton 60 - Cal State Northridge 65	6
California 74 - Oregon 78	0.619	California 69 - Oregon 64	-9
Central Florida 73 - Texas Tech 77	0.609	Central Florida 75 - Texas Tech 61	-18
Charleston Southern 65 - High Point 79	0.826	Charleston Southern 59 - High Point 74	1
Clemson 81 - Florida State 73	0.731	Clemson 74 - Florida State 63	-3
Colorado 80 - Utah 76	0.574	Colorado 89 - Utah 65	-20
Columbia 66 - Yale 77	0.841	Columbia 76 - Yale 84	-3
Connecticut 80 - Villanova 68	0.771	Connecticut 78 - Villanova 54	-12
Coppin State 58 - Norfolk State 73	0.84	Coppin State 66 - Norfolk State 68	-13
Cornell 82 - Brown 67	0.898	Cornell 74 - Brown 78	19
Dartmouth 57 - Princeton 78	0.925	Dartmouth 56 - Princeton 68	-9
DePaul 74 - Georgetown 78	0.624	DePaul 76 - Georgetown 77	-3
Eastern Kentucky 80 - Central Arkansas 64	0.859	Eastern Kentucky 95 - Central Arkansas 82	3
Florida 86 - Vanderbilt 68	0.905	Florida 77 - Vanderbilt 64	5
Florida AM 64 - Alabama State 69	0.658	Florida AM 73 - Alabama State 65	-13
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Queens 69	0.61	Florida Gulf Coast 90 - Queens 81	-5
Florida International 68 - Jacksonville State 72	0.616	Florida International 75 - Jacksonville State 77	-2
Fresno State 64 - San Diego State 81	0.896	Fresno State 41 - San Diego State 73	15
Furman 76 - Wofford 70	0.654	Furman 82 - Wofford 67	-9
Georgia 71 - Auburn 82	0.781	Georgia 76 - Auburn 97	10
Georgia Southern 64 - James Madison 82	0.87	Georgia Southern 74 - James Madison 80	-12
Georgia State 70 - Texas State 67	0.593	Georgia State 59 - Texas State 68	12
Gonzaga 82 - Santa Clara 70	0.806	Gonzaga 94 - Santa Clara 81	-1
Harvard 74 - Pennsylvania 68	0.67	Harvard 74 - Pennsylvania 70	2
Hawaii 75 - Long Beach State 74	0.516	Hawaii 73 - Long Beach State 65	-7
Hofstra 78 - Elon 64	0.854	Hofstra 87 - Elon 64	-9
Houston Christian 68 - Northwestern State 72	0.6	Houston Christian 73 - Northwestern State 86	9
Howard 77 - Morgan State 70	0.703	Howard 78 - Morgan State 72	1
Idaho State 64 - Weber State 72	0.699	Idaho State 80 - Weber State 62	-26
Illinois 88 - Iowa 77	0.781	Illinois 95 - Iowa 85	1
Indiana State 83 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.89	Indiana State 88 - Illinois Chicago 73	3
Iowa State 86 - West Virginia 66	0.903	Iowa State 71 - West Virginia 64	13
Kansas 79 - Texas 74	0.636	Kansas 86 - Texas 67	-14
Kansas State 75 - Brigham Young 79	0.598	Kansas State 84 - Brigham Young 74	-14
Kentucky 83 - Alabama 86	0.575	Kentucky 117 - Alabama 95	-25
Lafayette 71 - Lehigh 68	0.572	Lafayette 63 - Lehigh 71	11
Lamar 69 - Texas AM CC 70	0.525	Lamar 61 - Texas AM CC 75	13
Le Moyne 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.622	Le Moyne 58 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	14
Lindenwood 63 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	0.843	Lindenwood 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 82	-5
Louisiana State 74 - Mississippi State 76	0.575	Louisiana State 67 - Mississippi State 87	18
Loyola Ill 73 - George Mason 68	0.634	Loyola Ill 80 - George Mason 59	-16
Maine 69 - NJ Tech 61	0.731	Maine 68 - NJ Tech 58	-2
Marshall 66 - Appalachian State 76	0.747	Marshall 58 - Appalachian State 65	-3
Massachusetts 74 - Saint Bonaventure 75	0.504	Massachusetts 67 - Saint Bonaventure 75	7
Mcneese State 82 - Incarnate Word 56	0.943	Mcneese State 87 - Incarnate Word 71	10
Mercer 65 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.649	Mercer 86 - UNC Greensboro 72	-20
Miami 80 - Georgia Tech 73	0.688	Miami 76 - Georgia Tech 80	11
Miami OH 66 - Central Michigan 67	0.506	Miami OH 88 - Central Michigan 60	-29
Middle Tennessee 68 - Western Kentucky 77	0.735	Middle Tennessee 74 - Western Kentucky 72	-11
Mississippi 74 - South Carolina 72	0.538	Mississippi 59 - South Carolina 72	15
Mississippi Valley State 58 - Texas Southern 74	0.908	Mississippi Valley State 52 - Texas Southern 73	5
Monmouth 77 - North Carolina AT 63	0.853	Monmouth 83 - North Carolina AT 67	-2
Montana 74 - Portland State 67	0.655	Montana 82 - Portland State 73	-2
Montana State 72 - Sacramento State 62	0.755	Montana State 63 - Sacramento State 66	13
Murray State 78 - Valparaiso 65	0.806	Murray State 80 - Valparaiso 68	1
NC State 79 - Boston College 75	0.645	NC State 81 - Boston College 70	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Colorado State 75	0.595	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Colorado State 60	-10
New Hampshire 79 - UMBC 70	0.727	New Hampshire 68 - UMBC 86	27
New Mexico 87 - Air Force 64	0.897	New Mexico 77 - Air Force 78	24
New Mexico State 64 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.774	New Mexico State 58 - Louisiana Tech 67	-2
Nicholls State 72 - Texas AM Commerce 64	0.746	Nicholls State 85 - Texas AM Commerce 70	-7
North Carolina Central 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.822	North Carolina Central 88 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-20
North Dakota State 71 - North Dakota 70	0.508	North Dakota State 73 - North Dakota 68	-4
North Texas 82 - Texas San Antonio 63	0.927	North Texas 62 - Texas San Antonio 64	21
Northeastern 77 - Hampton 65	0.814	Northeastern 70 - Hampton 62	4
Northern Arizona 70 - Idaho 67	0.557	Northern Arizona 76 - Idaho 86	13
Northern Colorado 75 - Eastern Washington 78	0.578	Northern Colorado 76 - Eastern Washington 85	6
Northern Illinois 69 - Ohio 77	0.725	Northern Illinois 59 - Ohio 80	13
Northern Iowa 70 - Drake 77	0.655	Northern Iowa 91 - Drake 77	-21
Oklahoma State 72 - Oklahoma 78	0.656	Oklahoma State 82 - Oklahoma 84	-4
Old Dominion 74 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.597	Old Dominion 75 - Coastal Carolina 59	-13
Pacific 66 - Loyola Marymount 77	0.751	Pacific 63 - Loyola Marymount 86	12
Penn State 77 - Indiana 76	0.539	Penn State 83 - Indiana 74	-8
Pittsburgh 77 - Virginia Tech 72	0.62	Pittsburgh 79 - Virginia Tech 64	-10
Radford 68 - Longwood 69	0.518	Radford 88 - Longwood 82	-7
Rice 68 - East Carolina 72	0.612	Rice 70 - East Carolina 52	-22
Richmond 73 - Davidson 67	0.705	Richmond 66 - Davidson 63	3
Sacred Heart 67 - Central Connecticut State 69	0.568	Sacred Heart 67 - Central Connecticut State 68	-1
Saint Louis 80 - George Washington 77	0.582	Saint Louis 96 - George Washington 91	-2
Saint Marys 81 - San Diego 59	0.909	Saint Marys 88 - San Diego 62	-4
Samford 80 - East Tennessee State 65	0.847	Samford 87 - East Tennessee State 71	-1
San Francisco 81 - Pepperdine 65	0.865	San Francisco 92 - Pepperdine 68	-8
SE Missouri State 66 - Tennessee Martin 78	0.8	SE Missouri State 72 - Tennessee Martin 82	-2
Seattle 82 - Texas Pan American 64	0.913	Seattle 84 - Texas Pan American 56	-10
Seton Hall 78 - Butler 75	0.578	Seton Hall 76 - Butler 64	-9
South Carolina State 71 - Delaware State 68	0.587	South Carolina State 69 - Delaware State 62	-4
South Dakota 71 - Oral Roberts 74	0.587	South Dakota 77 - Oral Roberts 76	-4
South Dakota State 70 - Saint Thomas 68	0.554	South Dakota State 77 - Saint Thomas 72	-3
Southeast Louisiana 76 - New Orleans 63	0.77	Southeast Louisiana 77 - New Orleans 67	3
Southern 69 - Grambling State 62	0.677	Southern 57 - Grambling State 63	13
Southern Miss 68 - UL Lafayette 72	0.621	Southern Miss 82 - UL Lafayette 71	-15
Stanford 79 - Oregon State 71	0.687	Stanford 73 - Oregon State 85	20
Stetson 77 - Kennesaw St 70	0.677	Stetson 84 - Kennesaw St 72	-5
Stonehill 67 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.502	Stonehill 72 - Saint Francis Penn 63	-8
Stony Brook 76 - William and Mary 64	0.79	Stony Brook 75 - William and Mary 62	-1
Syracuse 77 - Notre Dame 68	0.719	Syracuse 88 - Notre Dame 85	6
Tarleton State 71 - Cal Baptist 65	0.677	Tarleton State 82 - Cal Baptist 65	-11
Tennessee 81 - Texas AM 69	0.777	Tennessee 86 - Texas AM 51	-23
Tennessee State 69 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.529	Tennessee State 76 - SIU Edwardsville 71	-4
Tennessee Tech 65 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.552	Tennessee Tech 75 - Eastern Illinois 67	-10
Texas Arlington 77 - Utah Tech 68	0.754	Texas Arlington 89 - Utah Tech 78	-2
Texas Christian 79 - Cincinnati 76	0.602	Texas Christian 75 - Cincinnati 57	-15
Texas El Paso 71 - Sam Houston State 72	0.538	Texas El Paso 54 - Sam Houston State 65	10
The Citadel 66 - Chattanooga 75	0.703	The Citadel 71 - Chattanooga 62	-18
Towson 69 - College of Charleston 71	0.559	Towson 56 - College of Charleston 72	14
Tulsa 68 - Charlotte 74	0.705	Tulsa 69 - Charlotte 67	-8
UC San Diego 70 - UC Irvine 72	0.552	UC San Diego 92 - UC Irvine 88	-6
UCLA 76 - Southern California 69	0.643	UCLA 56 - Southern California 62	13
UL Monroe 65 - Troy 76	0.777	UL Monroe 78 - Troy 84	-5
UMass Lowell 78 - Albany 69	0.75	UMass Lowell 104 - Albany 95	0
UMKC 71 - Omaha 68	0.583	UMKC 63 - Omaha 58	-2
UNC Asheville 75 - Gardner Webb 68	0.704	UNC Asheville 77 - Gardner Webb 78	8
Utah Valley 72 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.554	Utah Valley 71 - Stephen F Austin 62	-6
Vermont 74 - Bryant 66	0.719	Vermont 65 - Bryant 48	-9
Virginia 70 - North Carolina 74	0.606	Virginia 44 - North Carolina 54	6
Virginia Military Institute 63 - Western Carolina 82	0.874	Virginia Military Institute 51 - Western Carolina 84	14
Wake Forest 76 - Duke 79	0.589	Wake Forest 83 - Duke 79	-7
Western Illinois 72 - Southern Indiana 61	0.842	Western Illinois 82 - Southern Indiana 76	5
Western Michigan 73 - Buffalo 67	0.641	Western Michigan 91 - Buffalo 72	-13
Winthrop 76 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.829	Winthrop 83 - South Carolina Upstate 74	2
Wyoming 70 - Boise State 80	0.763	Wyoming 72 - Boise State 92	10

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston 70 - Loyola MD 62	0.706	Boston 82 - Loyola MD 79	5
Bucknell 67 - Army 63	0.612	Bucknell 54 - Army 41	-9
Colgate 74 - American 61	0.848	Colgate 64 - American 66	15
Evansville 69 - Southern Illinois 74	0.632	Evansville 53 - Southern Illinois 65	7
Fairfield 78 - Siena 59	0.885	Fairfield 88 - Siena 64	-5
Green Bay 68 - Youngstown State 70	0.555	Green Bay 59 - Youngstown State 71	10
La Salle 74 - Rhode Island 76	0.547	La Salle 84 - Rhode Island 61	-25
Marquette 82 - Xavier 74	0.684	Marquette 88 - Xavier 64	-16
Memphis 77 - Florida Atlantic 80	0.582	Memphis 78 - Florida Atlantic 74	-7
Michigan 70 - Purdue 88	0.881	Michigan 76 - Purdue 84	-10
Michigan State 79 - Ohio State 70	0.735	Michigan State 57 - Ohio State 60	12
Milwaukee 71 - IPFW 72	0.512	Milwaukee 96 - IPFW 88	-9
Mt St Marys 68 - Iona 72	0.596	Mt St Marys 72 - Iona 65	-11
Navy 71 - Holy Cross 65	0.677	Navy 76 - Holy Cross 66	-4
Nebraska 78 - Minnesota 74	0.631	Nebraska 73 - Minnesota 55	-14
Northern Kentucky 79 - IUPUI 57	0.897	Northern Kentucky 80 - IUPUI 64	6
Oakland 78 - Wright State 73	0.651	Oakland 75 - Wright State 96	26
Rider 71 - Quinnipiac 74	0.584	Rider 88 - Quinnipiac 78	-13
Robert Morris 69 - Cleveland State 74	0.642	Robert Morris 71 - Cleveland State 73	-3
Rutgers 69 - Maryland 70	0.509	Rutgers 46 - Maryland 63	16
Saint Johns 76 - Creighton 80	0.602	Saint Johns 80 - Creighton 66	-18
Saint Peters 64 - Marist 61	0.558	Saint Peters 69 - Marist 60	-6
South Florida 72 - Southern Methodist 74	0.559	South Florida 79 - Southern Methodist 68	-13
Tulane 76 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0.626	Tulane 67 - Alabama Birmingham 78	7
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Saint Josephs 68	0.75	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Saint Josephs 69	5
Wagner 70 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.718	Wagner 72 - LIU Brooklyn 57	-6
Wichita State 75 - Temple 70	0.673	Wichita State 66 - Temple 72	11

Number of DI Games: 333
Number Correct: 228 = 68.4%
Expected Number Correct: 227.942 = 68.4%
Average Error: 9.44
Average Signed Error: -1.34

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 - Texas Southern 72	0.643	Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Texas Southern 77	3
Bethune Cookman 68 - Alabama State 66	0.576	Bethune Cookman 90 - Alabama State 84	-4
Campbell 64 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.791	Campbell 105 - UNC Wilmington 100	-18
Delaware 68 - Drexel 69	0.501	Delaware 60 - Drexel 70	9
Florida AM 68 - Alabama AM 69	0.538	Florida AM 76 - Alabama AM 58	-19
Houston Christian 62 - Texas AM CC 77	0.862	Houston Christian 79 - Texas AM CC 91	-3
Howard 76 - Coppin State 62	0.866	Howard 78 - Coppin State 69	5
Kansas State 80 - West Virginia 71	0.717	Kansas State 94 - West Virginia 90	5
Lamar 64 - Mcneese State 75	0.761	Lamar 56 - Mcneese State 58	-9
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Prairie View 73	0.825	Mississippi Valley State 57 - Prairie View 51	-18
Morgan State 66 - Norfolk State 74	0.709	Morgan State 82 - Norfolk State 85	-5
Nicholls State 76 - Incarnate Word 64	0.827	Nicholls State 92 - Incarnate Word 82	2
North Carolina 85 - Miami 70	0.822	North Carolina 75 - Miami 71	11
North Carolina Central 71 - Delaware State 64	0.682	North Carolina Central 93 - Delaware State 81	-5
South Carolina State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	0.785	South Carolina State 64 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	2
Texas Christian 80 - Baylor 81	0.53	Texas Christian 54 - Baylor 62	7

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 64 - Boise State 81	0.843	Air Force 48 - Boise State 79	14
Arkansas 79 - Vanderbilt 70	0.756	Arkansas 82 - Vanderbilt 85	12
Bowling Green 72 - Miami OH 69	0.581	Bowling Green 58 - Miami OH 66	11
Central Michigan 70 - Ball State 65	0.624	Central Michigan 71 - Ball State 79	13
Clemson 78 - Pittsburgh 72	0.641	Clemson 69 - Pittsburgh 62	-1
Colorado State 74 - Nevada 72	0.553	Colorado State 74 - Nevada 77	5
Dayton 76 - Davidson 64	0.834	Dayton 80 - Davidson 66	-2
Eastern Illinois 66 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.541	Eastern Illinois 84 - SIU Edwardsville 79	-7
Eastern Michigan 69 - Western Michigan 70	0.537	Eastern Michigan 70 - Western Michigan 67	-4
Florida State 78 - NC State 77	0.53	Florida State 90 - NC State 83	-6
Fordham 69 - George Mason 76	0.691	Fordham 61 - George Mason 60	-8
Fresno State 67 - Utah State 82	0.858	Fresno State 73 - Utah State 77	-11
George Washington 73 - Massachusetts 82	0.714	George Washington 57 - Massachusetts 69	3
Houston 81 - Cincinnati 65	0.883	Houston 67 - Cincinnati 59	8
Indiana 72 - Wisconsin 79	0.679	Indiana 74 - Wisconsin 70	-11
Iowa 83 - Penn State 78	0.649	Iowa 90 - Penn State 81	-4
Kansas 82 - Brigham Young 76	0.633	Kansas 68 - Brigham Young 76	14
Kent State 78 - Buffalo 63	0.835	Kent State 76 - Buffalo 64	3
Louisiana State 79 - Georgia 76	0.606	Louisiana State 67 - Georgia 66	2
Mississippi State 77 - Kentucky 78	0.502	Mississippi State 89 - Kentucky 91	1
Northern Iowa 81 - Valparaiso 65	0.865	Northern Iowa 68 - Valparaiso 54	2
Notre Dame 68 - Wake Forest 79	0.75	Notre Dame 70 - Wake Forest 65	-16
Ohio 67 - Akron 72	0.659	Ohio 74 - Akron 67	-12
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Loyola Ill 72	0.502	Saint Bonaventure 79 - Loyola Ill 64	-16
San Diego State 86 - San Jose State 60	0.949	San Diego State 72 - San Jose State 64	18
Syracuse 78 - Virginia Tech 77	0.528	Syracuse 84 - Virginia Tech 71	-12
Texas State 70 - UL Monroe 66	0.632	Texas State 73 - UL Monroe 55	-14
Texas Tech 78 - Texas 75	0.574	Texas Tech 69 - Texas 81	15
Toledo 83 - Northern Illinois 65	0.893	Toledo 72 - Northern Illinois 75	21
Villanova 83 - Georgetown 67	0.869	Villanova 75 - Georgetown 47	-12
Wyoming 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 79	0.689	Wyoming 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	-2

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Wichita State 69	0.748	Alabama Birmingham 66 - Wichita State 74	18
Appalachian State 79 - Old Dominion 61	0.902	Appalachian State 89 - Old Dominion 64	-7
Arizona State 72 - Arizona 86	0.773	Arizona State 67 - Arizona 85	4
Army 63 - American 66	0.596	Army 51 - American 73	19
Austin Peay 70 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.539	Austin Peay 83 - Eastern Kentucky 79	-5
Boston College 69 - Virginia 72	0.568	Boston College 68 - Virginia 72	1
Bradley 74 - Southern Illinois 68	0.66	Bradley 86 - Southern Illinois 67	-13
Butler 77 - Saint Johns 78	0.532	Butler 59 - Saint Johns 82	22
Charleston Southern 66 - Radford 71	0.628	Charleston Southern 58 - Radford 57	-6
Chattanooga 74 - Mercer 67	0.669	Chattanooga 84 - Mercer 75	-2
Cleveland State 70 - Green Bay 66	0.612	Cleveland State 61 - Green Bay 69	12
Coastal Carolina 70 - Arkansas State 80	0.79	Coastal Carolina 60 - Arkansas State 71	1
Colorado 82 - California 72	0.73	Colorado 88 - California 78	0
Creighton 80 - Seton Hall 73	0.665	Creighton 85 - Seton Hall 64	-14
Duke 89 - Louisville 66	0.935	Duke 84 - Louisville 59	-2
Duquesne 77 - La Salle 68	0.745	Duquesne 75 - La Salle 63	-3
Evansville 69 - Indiana State 82	0.794	Evansville 67 - Indiana State 85	5
Florida 87 - Missouri 70	0.894	Florida 83 - Missouri 74	8
Georgia Southern 71 - Marshall 74	0.564	Georgia Southern 87 - Marshall 73	-17
Georgia State 67 - James Madison 78	0.789	Georgia State 78 - James Madison 84	-5
High Point 77 - Winthrop 70	0.71	High Point 100 - Winthrop 96	3
Holy Cross 60 - Colgate 77	0.892	Holy Cross 58 - Colgate 77	2
Illinois 84 - Minnesota 73	0.805	Illinois 105 - Minnesota 97	3
Illinois Chicago 66 - Drake 80	0.804	Illinois Chicago 105 - Drake 107	-12
Illinois State 71 - Missouri State 70	0.54	Illinois State 75 - Missouri State 74	0
Iowa State 79 - Oklahoma 71	0.695	Iowa State 58 - Oklahoma 45	-5
IUPUI 64 - Milwaukee 79	0.841	IUPUI 70 - Milwaukee 75	-10
Jacksonville 66 - Stetson 69	0.571	Jacksonville 73 - Stetson 86	10
Lehigh 71 - Boston 67	0.609	Lehigh 62 - Boston 64	6
Lipscomb 77 - Bellarmine 64	0.81	Lipscomb 90 - Bellarmine 74	-3
Loyola MD 65 - Bucknell 70	0.63	Loyola MD 46 - Bucknell 68	17
Marquette 81 - Providence 72	0.711	Marquette 91 - Providence 69	-13
Maryland 73 - Northwestern 72	0.524	Maryland 61 - Northwestern 68	8
Mississippi 76 - Alabama 85	0.685	Mississippi 88 - Alabama 103	6
Murray State 73 - Belmont 74	0.504	Murray State 61 - Belmont 83	21
Navy 66 - Lafayette 67	0.53	Navy 62 - Lafayette 58	-5
North Florida 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.568	North Florida 60 - Florida Gulf Coast 79	21
Oklahoma State 74 - Central Florida 75	0.52	Oklahoma State 71 - Central Florida 77	5
Oregon 80 - Oregon State 68	0.792	Oregon 78 - Oregon State 71	5
Rice 75 - Temple 71	0.617	Rice 43 - Temple 65	26
Robert Morris 66 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.662	Robert Morris 60 - Northern Kentucky 70	4
Saint Louis 70 - Richmond 79	0.761	Saint Louis 64 - Richmond 80	7
South Alabama 72 - Southern Miss 70	0.534	South Alabama 73 - Southern Miss 70	-1
South Carolina Upstate 70 - Presbyterian 69	0.511	South Carolina Upstate 74 - Presbyterian 72	-1
Tennessee 77 - Auburn 74	0.571	Tennessee 92 - Auburn 84	-5
Texas AM 71 - South Carolina 72	0.536	Texas AM 68 - South Carolina 70	1
Texas San Antonio 75 - Tulsa 79	0.603	Texas San Antonio 89 - Tulsa 73	-20
The Citadel 67 - East Tennessee State 69	0.564	The Citadel 63 - East Tennessee State 81	16
Tulane 71 - North Texas 74	0.587	Tulane 76 - North Texas 80	1
UL Lafayette 72 - Troy 71	0.509	UL Lafayette 73 - Troy 87	15
UNC Greensboro 83 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.911	UNC Greensboro 100 - Virginia Military Institute 58	-19
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Rhode Island 66	0.823	Virginia Commonwealth 88 - Rhode Island 67	-7
Western Carolina 73 - Furman 71	0.541	Western Carolina 85 - Furman 77	-6
Western Kentucky 71 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.571	Western Kentucky 84 - Louisiana Tech 90	4
Wofford 69 - Samford 79	0.762	Wofford 91 - Samford 69	-32
Wright State 78 - IPFW 73	0.626	Wright State 77 - IPFW 79	7
Xavier 87 - DePaul 67	0.894	Xavier 91 - DePaul 58	-13
Youngstown State 82 - Detroit 59	0.936	Youngstown State 69 - Detroit 55	9

GAMES OF 2-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 73 - New Hampshire 75	0.546	Albany 91 - New Hampshire 67	-26
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Tennessee State 67	0.669	Arkansas Little Rock 85 - Tennessee State 60	-19
Binghamton 65 - Maine 66	0.519	Binghamton 76 - Maine 74	-3
Cal Baptist 70 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.518	Cal Baptist 60 - Stephen F Austin 62	3
Cal State Bakersfield 66 - UC San Diego 75	0.732	Cal State Bakersfield 70 - UC San Diego 57	-22
Cal State Northridge 68 - UC Irvine 77	0.743	Cal State Northridge 64 - UC Irvine 89	16
Central Connecticut State 74 - LIU Brooklyn 62	0.815	Central Connecticut State 78 - LIU Brooklyn 64	-2
College of Charleston 81 - Campbell 64	0.895	College of Charleston 96 - Campbell 73	-6
Delaware 74 - Northeastern 67	0.694	Delaware 73 - Northeastern 67	1
Denver 72 - UMKC 73	0.511	Denver 69 - UMKC 84	14
Drexel 73 - Stony Brook 66	0.669	Drexel 90 - Stony Brook 86	3
East Carolina 70 - Memphis 77	0.69	East Carolina 58 - Memphis 82	17
Eastern Washington 75 - Montana 71	0.582	Eastern Washington 89 - Montana 79	-6
Elon 72 - William and Mary 67	0.642	Elon 76 - William and Mary 71	0
Fairleigh Dickinson 65 - Merrimack 72	0.721	Fairleigh Dickinson 55 - Merrimack 74	12
Gardner Webb 72 - Longwood 69	0.584	Gardner Webb 72 - Longwood 69	0
Grand Canyon 86 - Texas Pan American 61	0.955	Grand Canyon 72 - Texas Pan American 43	-4
Hampton 66 - Monmouth 78	0.799	Hampton 64 - Monmouth 56	-20
Idaho 68 - Montana State 70	0.542	Idaho 48 - Montana State 62	12
Idaho State 71 - Northern Arizona 66	0.613	Idaho State 88 - Northern Arizona 92	9
Jacksonville State 71 - Texas El Paso 67	0.606	Jacksonville State 65 - Texas El Paso 72	11
Le Moyne 66 - Wagner 65	0.505	Le Moyne 70 - Wagner 56	-13
Liberty 76 - New Mexico State 65	0.743	Liberty 83 - New Mexico State 58	-14
Long Beach State 76 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.764	Long Beach State 71 - Cal State Fullerton 76	13
Loyola Marymount 74 - San Diego 71	0.587	Loyola Marymount 96 - San Diego 62	-31
Morehead State 79 - SE Missouri State 56	0.936	Morehead State 72 - SE Missouri State 50	1
NJ Tech 70 - UMBC 73	0.591	NJ Tech 60 - UMBC 79	16
North Carolina AT 60 - Towson 73	0.823	North Carolina AT 58 - Towson 84	13
North Dakota 69 - South Dakota State 72	0.579	North Dakota 62 - South Dakota State 72	7
Ohio State 75 - Nebraska 77	0.548	Ohio State 78 - Nebraska 69	-11
Pepperdine 61 - Saint Marys 80	0.882	Pepperdine 57 - Saint Marys 83	7
Portland 67 - Santa Clara 81	0.836	Portland 80 - Santa Clara 75	-19
Rutgers 77 - Michigan 71	0.638	Rutgers 82 - Michigan 52	-24
Saint Thomas 71 - Omaha 65	0.663	Saint Thomas 88 - Omaha 61	-21
San Francisco 73 - Gonzaga 77	0.613	San Francisco 68 - Gonzaga 86	14
Seattle 75 - Texas Arlington 69	0.674	Seattle 62 - Texas Arlington 82	26
South Dakota 69 - North Dakota State 74	0.665	South Dakota 88 - North Dakota State 68	-25
Southern Indiana 73 - Lindenwood 64	0.766	Southern Indiana 63 - Lindenwood 67	13
Southern Utah 74 - Abilene Christian 73	0.505	Southern Utah 68 - Abilene Christian 77	10
Stonehill 65 - Sacred Heart 72	0.675	Stonehill 51 - Sacred Heart 79	21
Tennessee Martin 77 - Tennessee Tech 65	0.775	Tennessee Martin 80 - Tennessee Tech 69	1
UC Davis 69 - Hawaii 70	0.509	UC Davis 75 - Hawaii 63	-13
UC Santa Barbara 78 - Cal Poly 60	0.898	UC Santa Barbara 83 - Cal Poly 75	10
UMass Lowell 75 - Bryant 72	0.596	UMass Lowell 89 - Bryant 67	-19
UNC Wilmington 73 - Hofstra 69	0.592	UNC Wilmington 58 - Hofstra 69	15
Utah 81 - Stanford 74	0.638	Utah 90 - Stanford 68	-15
Utah Tech 66 - Tarleton State 76	0.754	Utah Tech 74 - Tarleton State 85	1
Washington 76 - UCLA 72	0.598	Washington 94 - UCLA 77	-13
Washington State 80 - Southern California 69	0.744	Washington State 75 - Southern California 72	8
Weber State 75 - Northern Colorado 71	0.602	Weber State 85 - Northern Colorado 81	0
Western Illinois 69 - Eastern Illinois 61	0.757	Western Illinois 70 - Eastern Illinois 66	4

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 77 - Arkansas State 69	0.714	Appalachian State 80 - Arkansas State 57	-15
Austin Peay 72 - Bellarmine 63	0.775	Austin Peay 90 - Bellarmine 87	6
Brown 69 - Harvard 70	0.503	Brown 71 - Harvard 68	-4
Canisius 70 - Mt St Marys 69	0.515	Canisius 61 - Mt St Marys 56	-4
Central Arkansas 68 - North Alabama 74	0.686	Central Arkansas 78 - North Alabama 82	-2
Coastal Carolina 64 - James Madison 82	0.902	Coastal Carolina 76 - James Madison 86	-8
Georgia Southern 73 - Old Dominion 71	0.531	Georgia Southern 92 - Old Dominion 75	-15
Georgia State 73 - Marshall 70	0.57	Georgia State 82 - Marshall 79	0
Iona 73 - Quinnipiac 71	0.549	Iona 64 - Quinnipiac 82	20
Jacksonville 66 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	0.504	Jacksonville 57 - Florida Gulf Coast 59	3
Lipscomb 75 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.557	Lipscomb 81 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-12
Loyola Ill 69 - Dayton 72	0.6	Loyola Ill 77 - Dayton 72	-8
Marist 66 - Fairfield 68	0.548	Marist 58 - Fairfield 55	-5
Nevada 81 - Fresno State 64	0.885	Nevada 74 - Fresno State 66	9
Niagara 73 - Rider 71	0.561	Niagara 61 - Rider 71	12
North Florida 70 - Stetson 71	0.512	North Florida 78 - Stetson 59	-20
Ohio 75 - Bowling Green 69	0.678	Ohio 66 - Bowling Green 59	-1
Pennsylvania 70 - Cornell 79	0.765	Pennsylvania 81 - Cornell 87	-3
Princeton 80 - Columbia 63	0.922	Princeton 84 - Columbia 70	3
Queens 77 - Kennesaw St 75	0.551	Queens 91 - Kennesaw St 82	-7
Siena 68 - Manhattan 67	0.52	Siena 68 - Manhattan 70	3
South Alabama 74 - UL Monroe 68	0.637	South Alabama 80 - UL Monroe 69	-5
Texas State 66 - Troy 72	0.672	Texas State 82 - Troy 79	-9
UL Lafayette 73 - Southern Miss 67	0.665	UL Lafayette 77 - Southern Miss 61	-10
Utah State 85 - Air Force 63	0.898	Utah State 72 - Air Force 60	10
Yale 79 - Dartmouth 56	0.953	Yale 80 - Dartmouth 56	-1

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 80 - Northern Illinois 59	0.932	Akron 80 - Northern Illinois 73	14
Alabama 81 - Tennessee 80	0.514	Alabama 74 - Tennessee 81	8
Alabama AM 66 - Alabama State 67	0.503	Alabama AM 58 - Alabama State 53	-6
Albany 69 - Maine 70	0.501	Albany 71 - Maine 74	2
American 70 - Navy 64	0.717	American 65 - Navy 71	12
Arizona 86 - Oregon 73	0.779	Arizona 103 - Oregon 83	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 76 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.771	Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Tennessee Tech 43	-25
Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.894	Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Mississippi Valley State 69	6
Auburn 78 - Mississippi State 71	0.681	Auburn 78 - Mississippi State 63	-8
Ball State 72 - Western Michigan 68	0.603	Ball State 76 - Western Michigan 78	6
Baylor 79 - Kansas 78	0.523	Baylor 82 - Kansas 74	-7
Binghamton 68 - New Hampshire 71	0.561	Binghamton 87 - New Hampshire 74	-16
Boise State 78 - New Mexico 76	0.56	Boise State 89 - New Mexico 79	-8
Boston 72 - Holy Cross 63	0.744	Boston 94 - Holy Cross 84	-1
Boston College 74 - Pittsburgh 77	0.582	Boston College 65 - Pittsburgh 90	22
Brigham Young 81 - Texas Christian 79	0.561	Brigham Young 87 - Texas Christian 75	-10
Brown 73 - Dartmouth 62	0.81	Brown 89 - Dartmouth 67	-11
Bryant 77 - NJ Tech 63	0.838	Bryant 101 - NJ Tech 82	-5
Bucknell 68 - Lafayette 66	0.559	Bucknell 60 - Lafayette 50	-8
Buffalo 66 - Toledo 82	0.869	Buffalo 79 - Toledo 85	-10
Cal Baptist 77 - Texas Pan American 65	0.814	Cal Baptist 88 - Texas Pan American 52	-24
Cal Poly 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	0.745	Cal Poly 56 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	3
Cal State Fullerton 68 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.576	Cal State Fullerton 79 - UC Santa Barbara 70	-12
Cal State Northridge 70 - UC San Diego 76	0.675	Cal State Northridge 69 - UC San Diego 79	4
Campbell 73 - North Carolina AT 66	0.684	Campbell 64 - North Carolina AT 62	5
Central Connecticut State 74 - Stonehill 59	0.865	Central Connecticut State 79 - Stonehill 67	3
Central Florida 70 - Iowa State 77	0.686	Central Florida 52 - Iowa State 60	1
Charlotte 68 - South Florida 70	0.568	Charlotte 61 - South Florida 76	13
Chattanooga 72 - Western Carolina 70	0.551	Chattanooga 63 - Western Carolina 82	21
Cincinnati 76 - Kansas State 73	0.582	Cincinnati 74 - Kansas State 72	1
Cleveland State 80 - IUPUI 59	0.915	Cleveland State 75 - IUPUI 66	12
College of Charleston 75 - Hofstra 71	0.641	College of Charleston 87 - Hofstra 76	-7
Colorado State 82 - Wyoming 67	0.864	Colorado State 70 - Wyoming 62	7
Coppin State 60 - North Carolina Central 73	0.805	Coppin State 58 - North Carolina Central 83	12
Creighton 79 - Marquette 78	0.527	Creighton 89 - Marquette 75	-13
Davidson 73 - Massachusetts 72	0.515	Davidson 67 - Massachusetts 69	3
Delaware State 65 - Norfolk State 69	0.634	Delaware State 85 - Norfolk State 71	-18
DePaul 70 - Butler 85	0.867	DePaul 63 - Butler 82	4
Drexel 73 - Northeastern 64	0.733	Drexel 73 - Northeastern 59	-5
Duke 75 - Virginia 65	0.729	Duke 73 - Virginia 48	-15
East Tennessee State 67 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.607	East Tennessee State 66 - UNC Greensboro 65	-4
Eastern Michigan 66 - Miami OH 72	0.638	Eastern Michigan 37 - Miami OH 52	9
Eastern Washington 78 - Montana State 67	0.77	Eastern Washington 108 - Montana State 104	7
Elon 68 - Monmouth 75	0.689	Elon 70 - Monmouth 85	8
Florida Atlantic 86 - Tulane 73	0.815	Florida Atlantic 79 - Tulane 73	7
Florida International 71 - Western Kentucky 80	0.762	Florida International 85 - Western Kentucky 83	-11
Furman 75 - Mercer 67	0.697	Furman 75 - Mercer 82	15
George Mason 72 - Duquesne 69	0.612	George Mason 51 - Duquesne 59	11
Georgetown 73 - Xavier 83	0.738	Georgetown 93 - Xavier 98	-5
Georgia 76 - Texas AM 75	0.513	Georgia 56 - Texas AM 70	15
Georgia Tech 75 - Florida State 78	0.601	Georgia Tech 85 - Florida State 76	-12
Grambling State 72 - Florida AM 60	0.812	Grambling State 75 - Florida AM 68	5
Grand Canyon 79 - Stephen F Austin 65	0.834	Grand Canyon 80 - Stephen F Austin 58	-8
Houston Christian 69 - Texas AM Commerce 72	0.585	Houston Christian 85 - Texas AM Commerce 98	10
Idaho 65 - Montana 74	0.696	Idaho 57 - Montana 80	14
Idaho State 70 - Northern Colorado 73	0.583	Idaho State 79 - Northern Colorado 81	-1
Incarnate Word 73 - New Orleans 70	0.59	Incarnate Word 80 - New Orleans 87	10
IPFW 76 - Robert Morris 66	0.744	IPFW 83 - Robert Morris 65	-8
Jacksonville State 72 - New Mexico State 65	0.677	Jacksonville State 64 - New Mexico State 66	9
Kent State 70 - Central Michigan 66	0.603	Kent State 79 - Central Michigan 73	-2
Kentucky 87 - Arkansas 74	0.788	Kentucky 111 - Arkansas 102	4
La Salle 79 - George Washington 75	0.587	La Salle 72 - George Washington 66	-2
Lehigh 67 - Colgate 74	0.724	Lehigh 60 - Colgate 63	-4
Liberty 74 - Texas El Paso 66	0.692	Liberty 51 - Texas El Paso 67	24
Longwood 69 - High Point 75	0.673	Longwood 74 - High Point 72	-8
Louisville 74 - Syracuse 83	0.713	Louisville 76 - Syracuse 82	-3
Loyola MD 64 - Army 65	0.53	Loyola MD 69 - Army 68	-2
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Howard 73	0.711	Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Howard 70	-3
Mcneese State 77 - Nicholls State 61	0.865	Mcneese State 83 - Nicholls State 62	-5
Milwaukee 70 - Green Bay 69	0.545	Milwaukee 90 - Green Bay 69	-20
Minnesota 78 - Penn State 75	0.596	Minnesota 75 - Penn State 70	-2
Missouri 71 - Mississippi 79	0.713	Missouri 78 - Mississippi 84	-2
Morehead State 79 - Lindenwood 55	0.955	Morehead State 67 - Lindenwood 49	6
Morgan State 70 - South Carolina State 73	0.595	Morgan State 61 - South Carolina State 72	8
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - San Jose State 64	0.857	Nevada Las Vegas 68 - San Jose State 50	0
North Carolina 84 - NC State 72	0.833	North Carolina 79 - NC State 70	3
North Dakota 76 - South Dakota 67	0.711	North Dakota 95 - South Dakota 66	-20
North Dakota State 69 - South Dakota State 72	0.577	North Dakota State 61 - South Dakota State 78	14
Northwestern 81 - Iowa 78	0.583	Northwestern 80 - Iowa 87	10
Northwestern State 68 - Lamar 72	0.613	Northwestern State 77 - Lamar 82	1
Notre Dame 67 - Clemson 78	0.772	Notre Dame 69 - Clemson 62	-18
Oakland 82 - Detroit 59	0.932	Oakland 75 - Detroit 70	18
Oklahoma 68 - Houston 78	0.764	Oklahoma 85 - Houston 87	-8
Pennsylvania 74 - Columbia 72	0.565	Pennsylvania 84 - Columbia 72	-10
Portland 69 - Loyola Marymount 75	0.666	Portland 70 - Loyola Marymount 60	-16
Prairie View 68 - Alcorn State 71	0.598	Prairie View 65 - Alcorn State 73	5
Presbyterian 71 - Charleston Southern 66	0.642	Presbyterian 72 - Charleston Southern 65	-2
Princeton 76 - Cornell 71	0.69	Princeton 79 - Cornell 77	3
Providence 74 - Villanova 73	0.523	Providence 60 - Villanova 71	12
Purdue 81 - Michigan State 71	0.748	Purdue 80 - Michigan State 74	4
Radford 69 - UNC Asheville 73	0.61	Radford 62 - UNC Asheville 71	5
Rhode Island 78 - Saint Louis 77	0.535	Rhode Island 91 - Saint Louis 94	4
Richmond 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.566	Richmond 79 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	-1
Sacramento State 63 - Portland State 69	0.636	Sacramento State 73 - Portland State 61	-18
Sacred Heart 65 - Merrimack 69	0.642	Sacred Heart 89 - Merrimack 85	-8
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Le Moyne 70	0.605	Saint Francis Penn 58 - Le Moyne 74	11
Saint Josephs 79 - Fordham 71	0.727	Saint Josephs 82 - Fordham 69	-5
Saint Marys 74 - Gonzaga 70	0.585	Saint Marys 57 - Gonzaga 70	17
Saint Thomas 75 - Denver 69	0.657	Saint Thomas 83 - Denver 58	-19
Sam Houston State 75 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.748	Sam Houston State 81 - Middle Tennessee 64	-7
Samford 82 - The Citadel 64	0.885	Samford 92 - The Citadel 80	6
San Diego 81 - Pacific 66	0.837	San Diego 81 - Pacific 69	3
Santa Clara 72 - San Francisco 74	0.574	Santa Clara 69 - San Francisco 62	-9
South Carolina 75 - Florida 76	0.521	South Carolina 82 - Florida 76	-7
Southern 72 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.722	Southern 61 - Bethune Cookman 67	14
Southern Indiana 73 - SE Missouri State 65	0.711	Southern Indiana 66 - SE Missouri State 70	12
Southern Methodist 87 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.913	Southern Methodist 73 - Texas San Antonio 77	25
Southern Utah 69 - Tarleton State 76	0.706	Southern Utah 83 - Tarleton State 88	-2
Stony Brook 70 - Delaware 71	0.509	Stony Brook 79 - Delaware 56	-24
Temple 74 - Tulsa 73	0.512	Temple 67 - Tulsa 72	6
Tennessee Martin 75 - Tennessee State 69	0.67	Tennessee Martin 96 - Tennessee State 87	-3
Texas 81 - Oklahoma State 72	0.751	Texas 81 - Oklahoma State 65	-7
Texas AM CC 70 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0.721	Texas AM CC 80 - Southeast Louisiana 68	-3
Texas Southern 69 - Jackson State 66	0.618	Texas Southern 80 - Jackson State 70	-7
UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 70	0.754	UC Irvine 82 - Long Beach State 61	-12
UC Riverside 70 - Hawaii 71	0.543	UC Riverside 73 - Hawaii 76	2
UNC Wilmington 71 - Towson 65	0.642	UNC Wilmington 75 - Towson 64	-5
Utah 80 - California 74	0.631	Utah 88 - California 59	-23
Utah Tech 71 - Abilene Christian 73	0.558	Utah Tech 79 - Abilene Christian 86	5
Utah Valley 72 - Texas Arlington 70	0.544	Utah Valley 65 - Texas Arlington 78	15
Vanderbilt 71 - Louisiana State 78	0.724	Vanderbilt 61 - Louisiana State 75	7
Vermont 73 - UMass Lowell 65	0.738	Vermont 74 - UMass Lowell 62	-4
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Wofford 80	0.818	Virginia Military Institute 62 - Wofford 74	-2
Virginia Tech 75 - Wake Forest 79	0.57	Virginia Tech 87 - Wake Forest 76	-15
Wagner 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.628	Wagner 54 - Fairleigh Dickinson 57	7
Washington 81 - Southern California 75	0.653	Washington 75 - Southern California 82	13
Washington State 74 - UCLA 66	0.703	Washington State 77 - UCLA 65	-4
Weber State 75 - Northern Arizona 63	0.738	Weber State 85 - Northern Arizona 58	-15
West Virginia 73 - Texas Tech 82	0.724	West Virginia 70 - Texas Tech 81	2
Western Illinois 68 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.646	Western Illinois 76 - SIU Edwardsville 65	-7
Wichita State 74 - Rice 72	0.562	Wichita State 87 - Rice 66	-19
William and Mary 72 - Hampton 67	0.626	William and Mary 85 - Hampton 73	-7
Winthrop 74 - Gardner Webb 70	0.614	Winthrop 64 - Gardner Webb 65	5
Wisconsin 78 - Illinois 79	0.532	Wisconsin 83 - Illinois 91	7
Wright State 76 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.624	Wright State 94 - Northern Kentucky 88	-2
Yale 76 - Harvard 64	0.856	Yale 80 - Harvard 60	-8

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Belmont 80 - Evansville 70	0.725	Belmont 83 - Evansville 66	-7
Canisius 70 - Rider 72	0.534	Canisius 61 - Rider 65	2
Colorado 83 - Stanford 73	0.721	Colorado 81 - Stanford 71	0
Connecticut 80 - Seton Hall 68	0.76	Connecticut 91 - Seton Hall 61	-18
Drake 76 - Bradley 71	0.611	Drake 74 - Bradley 66	-3
Indiana State 80 - Murray State 68	0.769	Indiana State 89 - Murray State 77	0
Marist 67 - Iona 66	0.505	Marist 64 - Iona 71	8
Maryland 77 - Indiana 70	0.706	Maryland 78 - Indiana 83	12
Memphis 79 - Alabama Birmingham 75	0.612	Memphis 106 - Alabama Birmingham 87	-15
Missouri State 76 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.686	Missouri State 69 - Illinois Chicago 59	-3
Nebraska 78 - Rutgers 69	0.696	Nebraska 67 - Rutgers 56	-2
Niagara 73 - Mt St Marys 68	0.615	Niagara 72 - Mt St Marys 91	24
North Texas 70 - East Carolina 62	0.73	North Texas 84 - East Carolina 69	-7
Ohio State 81 - Michigan 73	0.712	Ohio State 84 - Michigan 61	-15
Oral Roberts 69 - UMKC 70	0.521	Oral Roberts 54 - UMKC 71	16
Quinnipiac 79 - Siena 61	0.876	Quinnipiac 71 - Siena 57	4
Saint Peters 74 - Manhattan 58	0.883	Saint Peters 89 - Manhattan 57	-16
Southern Illinois 73 - Northern Iowa 70	0.576	Southern Illinois 70 - Northern Iowa 82	15
Valparaiso 66 - Illinois State 73	0.712	Valparaiso 75 - Illinois State 72	-10

Number of DI Games: 337
Number Correct: 236 = 70%
Expected Number Correct: 229.046 = 67.9%
Average Error: 9.15
Average Signed Error: -0.53

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 81 - Texas 75	0.66	Baylor 93 - Texas 85	-2
Coppin State 61 - South Carolina State 73	0.812	Coppin State 58 - South Carolina State 61	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Queens 70	0.562	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Queens 69	8
Grambling State 69 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.653	Grambling State 69 - Bethune Cookman 60	-4
Howard 72 - Delaware State 68	0.622	Howard 85 - Delaware State 66	-15
Incarnate Word 64 - Southeast Louisiana 72	0.698	Incarnate Word 56 - Southeast Louisiana 73	9
Kennesaw St 71 - Jacksonville 70	0.538	Kennesaw St 86 - Jacksonville 92	7
Mcneese State 85 - Houston Christian 56	0.957	Mcneese State 87 - Houston Christian 69	11
Montana 75 - Idaho State 65	0.732	Montana 79 - Idaho State 65	-4
Montana State 67 - Weber State 73	0.63	Montana State 76 - Weber State 64	-18
Morgan State 67 - North Carolina Central 74	0.705	Morgan State 88 - North Carolina Central 79	-16
NC State 72 - Duke 82	0.781	NC State 64 - Duke 79	5
Norfolk State 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.848	Norfolk State 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 50	-4
Northern Arizona 71 - Northern Colorado 76	0.633	Northern Arizona 74 - Northern Colorado 82	3
Northwestern State 67 - Nicholls State 71	0.61	Northwestern State 62 - Nicholls State 68	2
Portland State 71 - Idaho 65	0.656	Portland State 72 - Idaho 57	-9
Prairie View 67 - Jackson State 71	0.611	Prairie View 74 - Jackson State 79	1
Sacramento State 63 - Eastern Washington 76	0.818	Sacramento State 88 - Eastern Washington 91	-10
Southern 74 - Florida AM 62	0.798	Southern 58 - Florida AM 44	-2
Texas AM CC 79 - New Orleans 61	0.899	Texas AM CC 73 - New Orleans 60	5
Texas AM Commerce 66 - Lamar 72	0.681	Texas AM Commerce 53 - Lamar 70	11
Texas Southern 70 - Alcorn State 66	0.625	Texas Southern 79 - Alcorn State 82	7

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 78 - Eastern Michigan 57	0.935	Akron 60 - Eastern Michigan 61	22
Army 69 - Holy Cross 64	0.627	Army 68 - Holy Cross 84	21
Austin Peay 72 - North Florida 68	0.595	Austin Peay 101 - North Florida 98	1
Ball State 69 - Kent State 73	0.601	Ball State 76 - Kent State 69	-11
Boise State 76 - Nevada 73	0.582	Boise State 66 - Nevada 76	13
Bryant 79 - Albany 71	0.702	Bryant 83 - Albany 79	4
Buffalo 65 - Ohio 79	0.859	Buffalo 66 - Ohio 78	-2
Clemson 81 - Syracuse 74	0.661	Clemson 90 - Syracuse 75	-8
Cleveland State 79 - IUPUI 59	0.902	Cleveland State 85 - IUPUI 66	1
Dartmouth 63 - Harvard 72	0.761	Dartmouth 76 - Harvard 69	-16
DePaul 67 - Saint Johns 87	0.909	DePaul 77 - Saint Johns 104	7
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Jacksonville 64	0.722	Eastern Kentucky 65 - Jacksonville 67	10
Florida 82 - Alabama 86	0.591	Florida 105 - Alabama 87	-22
Georgetown 71 - Providence 82	0.783	Georgetown 58 - Providence 71	2
Georgia 75 - Mississippi 77	0.544	Georgia 69 - Mississippi 66	-5
Illinois 80 - Purdue 84	0.602	Illinois 71 - Purdue 77	2
IPFW 77 - Robert Morris 65	0.789	IPFW 78 - Robert Morris 63	-3
Kansas 81 - Kansas State 72	0.718	Kansas 90 - Kansas State 68	-13
Lipscomb 77 - North Alabama 69	0.733	Lipscomb 75 - North Alabama 77	10
Louisville 72 - Virginia Tech 83	0.732	Louisville 64 - Virginia Tech 80	5
Maine 66 - UMass Lowell 71	0.651	Maine 71 - UMass Lowell 65	-11
Miami OH 70 - Toledo 74	0.598	Miami OH 63 - Toledo 97	30
Middle Tennessee 66 - Liberty 73	0.647	Middle Tennessee 69 - Liberty 61	-15
Milwaukee 80 - Detroit 64	0.878	Milwaukee 83 - Detroit 79	12
Missouri 66 - Auburn 85	0.89	Missouri 74 - Auburn 101	8
Navy 71 - Loyola MD 64	0.725	Navy 64 - Loyola MD 48	-9
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - San Diego State 74	0.605	Nevada Las Vegas 62 - San Diego State 58	-8
New Hampshire 62 - Vermont 74	0.792	New Hampshire 64 - Vermont 68	-8
North Carolina 82 - Notre Dame 65	0.878	North Carolina 84 - Notre Dame 51	-16
Northern Illinois 68 - Central Michigan 71	0.575	Northern Illinois 63 - Central Michigan 69	3
Oklahoma 77 - Cincinnati 74	0.596	Oklahoma 74 - Cincinnati 71	0
Oklahoma State 74 - Texas Tech 81	0.681	Oklahoma State 58 - Texas Tech 75	10
Pittsburgh 79 - Florida State 73	0.664	Pittsburgh 88 - Florida State 73	-9
Saint Louis 68 - Dayton 83	0.867	Saint Louis 83 - Dayton 100	2
South Florida 82 - Tulane 70	0.798	South Florida 85 - Tulane 72	-1
Stetson 76 - Queens 70	0.636	Stetson 83 - Queens 71	-6
Texas State 72 - Old Dominion 66	0.684	Texas State 92 - Old Dominion 83	-3
UL Monroe 72 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.566	UL Monroe 71 - Coastal Carolina 75	6
UMBC 73 - Binghamton 72	0.554	UMBC 71 - Binghamton 72	2
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Duquesne 67	0.675	Virginia Commonwealth 59 - Duquesne 69	16
Wake Forest 83 - Georgia Tech 71	0.764	Wake Forest 69 - Georgia Tech 70	13
Western Michigan 70 - Bowling Green 72	0.558	Western Michigan 65 - Bowling Green 73	6
Wyoming 77 - Air Force 70	0.691	Wyoming 74 - Air Force 63	-4

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 77 - Louisiana State 79	0.553	Arkansas 94 - Louisiana State 83	-13
Butler 79 - Xavier 78	0.507	Butler 72 - Xavier 66	-5
Central Connecticut State 74 - Saint Francis Penn 59	0.893	Central Connecticut State 71 - Saint Francis Penn 62	6
Central Florida 66 - Houston 79	0.828	Central Florida 59 - Houston 67	-5
Charlotte 75 - Rice 65	0.744	Charlotte 69 - Rice 64	5
Davidson 69 - Loyola Ill 72	0.582	Davidson 59 - Loyola Ill 69	7
George Washington 70 - Saint Bonaventure 81	0.763	George Washington 86 - Saint Bonaventure 75	-22
Hawaii 75 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.67	Hawaii 72 - Cal State Northridge 70	4
Iowa State 80 - Brigham Young 74	0.635	Iowa State 68 - Brigham Young 63	1
Kentucky 89 - Vanderbilt 69	0.918	Kentucky 93 - Vanderbilt 77	4
Lamar 80 - Houston Christian 64	0.87	Lamar 78 - Houston Christian 68	6
Le Moyne 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.595	Le Moyne 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	-18
Marquette 75 - Connecticut 78	0.569	Marquette 67 - Connecticut 74	4
Massachusetts 80 - Fordham 69	0.805	Massachusetts 66 - Fordham 64	9
Merrimack 75 - LIU Brooklyn 59	0.858	Merrimack 72 - LIU Brooklyn 66	10
Miami 79 - Boston College 76	0.596	Miami 57 - Boston College 67	13
Michigan State 77 - Northwestern 72	0.628	Michigan State 53 - Northwestern 49	1
Minnesota 78 - Indiana 74	0.632	Minnesota 58 - Indiana 70	16
New Mexico 85 - Fresno State 68	0.865	New Mexico 79 - Fresno State 58	-4
New Orleans 59 - Mcneese State 81	0.922	New Orleans 57 - Mcneese State 81	2
North Texas 70 - Florida Atlantic 73	0.607	North Texas 76 - Florida Atlantic 80	1
Rhode Island 70 - George Mason 77	0.667	Rhode Island 51 - George Mason 69	11
Richmond 77 - Saint Josephs 70	0.732	Richmond 73 - Saint Josephs 66	0
Sacred Heart 68 - Wagner 63	0.634	Sacred Heart 57 - Wagner 60	8
San Jose State 66 - Utah State 84	0.895	San Jose State 70 - Utah State 90	2
Seton Hall 72 - Villanova 73	0.527	Seton Hall 66 - Villanova 56	-11
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.555	SIU Edwardsville 68 - Eastern Illinois 57	-9
South Carolina 69 - Tennessee 77	0.674	South Carolina 59 - Tennessee 66	-1
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Radford 71	0.616	South Carolina Upstate 60 - Radford 67	4
Southern Methodist 77 - East Carolina 64	0.794	Southern Methodist 80 - East Carolina 77	10
Tennessee State 72 - Southern Indiana 67	0.652	Tennessee State 78 - Southern Indiana 64	-9
Texas AM 71 - Mississippi State 74	0.561	Texas AM 75 - Mississippi State 69	-9
Texas AM CC 78 - Incarnate Word 59	0.916	Texas AM CC 71 - Incarnate Word 52	0
Texas AM Commerce 69 - Northwestern State 68	0.523	Texas AM Commerce 83 - Northwestern State 80	-2
West Virginia 75 - Texas Christian 83	0.744	West Virginia 81 - Texas Christian 93	4

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 69 - Seattle 73	0.6	Abilene Christian 64 - Seattle 59	-9
Alabama AM 63 - Grambling State 68	0.655	Alabama AM 73 - Grambling State 74	-4
Alabama State 63 - Southern 68	0.624	Alabama State 57 - Southern 65	3
Alcorn State 77 - Mississippi Valley State 57	0.943	Alcorn State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 67	13
American 68 - Bucknell 65	0.575	American 57 - Bucknell 80	26
Austin Peay 73 - North Alabama 68	0.661	Austin Peay 77 - North Alabama 71	-1
Belmont 81 - Valparaiso 67	0.836	Belmont 86 - Valparaiso 61	-11
Boston 70 - Navy 65	0.649	Boston 70 - Navy 61	-4
Colgate 80 - Holy Cross 58	0.939	Colgate 81 - Holy Cross 64	5
Fairfield 75 - Canisius 66	0.729	Fairfield 74 - Canisius 62	-3
Georgia State 73 - Marshall 71	0.563	Georgia State 74 - Marshall 86	14
Green Bay 71 - Milwaukee 69	0.542	Green Bay 84 - Milwaukee 95	13
Illinois State 72 - Evansville 68	0.599	Illinois State 53 - Evansville 59	10
Jackson State 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.696	Jackson State 89 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 84	2
Lafayette 68 - Lehigh 69	0.529	Lafayette 61 - Lehigh 76	14
Long Beach State 76 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.602	Long Beach State 74 - UC Santa Barbara 76	6
Louisiana Tech 74 - Sam Houston State 66	0.712	Louisiana Tech 66 - Sam Houston State 72	14
Manhattan 64 - Iona 76	0.804	Manhattan 77 - Iona 60	-29
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Delaware State 69	0.689	Maryland Eastern Shore 67 - Delaware State 59	-14
Morehead State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.795	Morehead State 78 - SIU Edwardsville 63	-4
Morgan State 72 - Coppin State 64	0.738	Morgan State 78 - Coppin State 60	-10
Murray State 73 - Missouri State 72	0.502	Murray State 35 - Missouri State 60	26
Norfolk State 73 - Howard 68	0.653	Norfolk State 77 - Howard 58	-14
North Carolina Central 72 - South Carolina State 67	0.648	North Carolina Central 79 - South Carolina State 68	-6
Oakland 74 - IPFW 69	0.632	Oakland 75 - IPFW 65	-5
Oregon 76 - Colorado 78	0.542	Oregon 75 - Colorado 79	2
Oregon State 70 - Utah 79	0.678	Oregon State 92 - Utah 85	-16
Pepperdine 79 - Pacific 68	0.772	Pepperdine 102 - Pacific 43	-48
Quinnipiac 71 - Marist 65	0.626	Quinnipiac 73 - Marist 64	-3
Rider 69 - Saint Peters 68	0.509	Rider 61 - Saint Peters 56	-4
Siena 64 - Niagara 74	0.749	Siena 59 - Niagara 66	-3
South Alabama 76 - Georgia Southern 71	0.608	South Alabama 71 - Georgia Southern 76	10
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Nicholls State 67	0.516	Southeast Louisiana 54 - Nicholls State 80	27
Southern California 76 - Arizona State 74	0.56	Southern California 81 - Arizona State 73	-6
Southern Illinois 75 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.733	Southern Illinois 82 - Illinois Chicago 84	10
Southern Miss 67 - Texas State 69	0.528	Southern Miss 59 - Texas State 75	14
Stanford 78 - California 77	0.525	Stanford 80 - California 58	-21
Stephen F Austin 76 - Southern Utah 70	0.678	Stephen F Austin 87 - Southern Utah 60	-21
Stetson 71 - Jacksonville 64	0.674	Stetson 88 - Jacksonville 87	6
Tarleton State 74 - Utah Valley 66	0.686	Tarleton State 60 - Utah Valley 63	11
Temple 71 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.658	Temple 72 - Alabama Birmingham 100	22
Texas Arlington 74 - Cal Baptist 67	0.691	Texas Arlington 71 - Cal Baptist 57	-7
Texas El Paso 76 - Florida International 68	0.703	Texas El Paso 83 - Florida International 76	1
Texas Pan American 71 - Utah Tech 75	0.618	Texas Pan American 74 - Utah Tech 79	1
UC Irvine 83 - Cal Poly 56	0.965	UC Irvine 82 - Cal Poly 68	13
UC Riverside 70 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.571	UC Riverside 84 - Cal State Fullerton 74	-8
UC San Diego 74 - UC Davis 67	0.68	UC San Diego 63 - UC Davis 70	14
UCLA 69 - Arizona 83	0.785	UCLA 65 - Arizona 88	9
UL Lafayette 78 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.806	UL Lafayette 80 - Coastal Carolina 66	-2
Washington State 80 - Washington 73	0.691	Washington State 68 - Washington 74	13
Western Illinois 69 - Tennessee State 65	0.625	Western Illinois 61 - Tennessee State 59	2
Wisconsin 76 - Rutgers 68	0.689	Wisconsin 78 - Rutgers 66	-4
Wright State 77 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.627	Wright State 97 - Northern Kentucky 99	7
Youngstown State 75 - Cleveland State 67	0.721	Youngstown State 70 - Cleveland State 82	20

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Western Illinois 66	0.598	Arkansas Little Rock 82 - Western Illinois 57	-21
Bowling Green 73 - Ball State 69	0.607	Bowling Green 80 - Ball State 70	-6
Bradley 79 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.826	Bradley 74 - Illinois Chicago 47	-13
Buffalo 71 - Northern Illinois 73	0.574	Buffalo 68 - Northern Illinois 78	8
Central Michigan 72 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.733	Central Michigan 65 - Eastern Michigan 62	7
Dayton 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 68	0.716	Dayton 91 - Virginia Commonwealth 86	1
Drake 83 - Evansville 66	0.825	Drake 79 - Evansville 58	-4
East Tennessee State 79 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.867	East Tennessee State 98 - Virginia Military Institute 66	-15
Elon 73 - Hampton 69	0.634	Elon 55 - Hampton 56	5
Gardner Webb 74 - Presbyterian 68	0.684	Gardner Webb 61 - Presbyterian 60	5
High Point 79 - Radford 67	0.814	High Point 77 - Radford 63	-2
Indiana State 81 - Missouri State 70	0.786	Indiana State 75 - Missouri State 59	-5
Mercer 72 - The Citadel 66	0.637	Mercer 84 - The Citadel 76	-2
Miami OH 68 - Ohio 71	0.58	Miami OH 59 - Ohio 72	10
North Carolina AT 68 - William and Mary 70	0.561	North Carolina AT 62 - William and Mary 79	15
Northern Iowa 75 - Belmont 74	0.504	Northern Iowa 67 - Belmont 62	-4
Oral Roberts 74 - South Dakota 71	0.572	Oral Roberts 77 - South Dakota 62	-12
Portland 69 - Loyola Marymount 75	0.65	Portland 78 - Loyola Marymount 70	-14
San Diego 76 - Pepperdine 75	0.512	San Diego 57 - Pepperdine 52	-4
San Diego State 75 - Boise State 71	0.601	San Diego State 77 - Boise State 79	6
Tennessee Martin 68 - Morehead State 74	0.65	Tennessee Martin 78 - Morehead State 84	0
Toledo 76 - Kent State 71	0.646	Toledo 86 - Kent State 71	-10
Tulane 78 - Wichita State 76	0.56	Tulane 85 - Wichita State 75	-8
UNC Asheville 76 - Charleston Southern 63	0.815	UNC Asheville 60 - Charleston Southern 55	8
Western Michigan 63 - Akron 75	0.808	Western Michigan 90 - Akron 84	-18
Winthrop 72 - Longwood 70	0.546	Winthrop 56 - Longwood 69	15

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Utah Valley 70	0.503	Abilene Christian 67 - Utah Valley 74	8
Air Force 64 - Colorado State 80	0.842	Air Force 73 - Colorado State 82	-7
Alabama 91 - Arkansas 74	0.839	Alabama 92 - Arkansas 88	13
Alabama AM 64 - Southern 70	0.668	Alabama AM 66 - Southern 56	-16
Alabama State 62 - Grambling State 66	0.608	Alabama State 87 - Grambling State 84	-7
Alcorn State 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.753	Alcorn State 104 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 95	-1
Appalachian State 80 - Georgia Southern 64	0.85	Appalachian State 85 - Georgia Southern 80	11
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Morehead State 71	0.591	Arkansas Little Rock 55 - Morehead State 69	10
Arkansas State 74 - UL Lafayette 73	0.505	Arkansas State 89 - UL Lafayette 62	-26
Auburn 84 - Georgia 68	0.878	Auburn 92 - Georgia 78	2
Brigham Young 85 - Oklahoma State 72	0.81	Brigham Young 85 - Oklahoma State 71	-1
Bryant 72 - Maine 66	0.692	Bryant 84 - Maine 58	-20
Cal Baptist 64 - Grand Canyon 75	0.788	Cal Baptist 47 - Grand Canyon 68	10
Cal State Fullerton 65 - UC Irvine 75	0.806	Cal State Fullerton 71 - UC Irvine 81	0
Central Connecticut State 67 - Wagner 60	0.745	Central Connecticut State 56 - Wagner 66	17
Chattanooga 73 - Wofford 70	0.568	Chattanooga 75 - Wofford 57	-15
Cincinnati 82 - West Virginia 72	0.774	Cincinnati 92 - West Virginia 56	-26
Columbia 71 - Cornell 80	0.815	Columbia 76 - Cornell 98	13
Delaware 77 - Hampton 64	0.819	Delaware 80 - Hampton 50	-17
Drake 76 - Bradley 73	0.567	Drake 72 - Bradley 67	-2
Duke 79 - North Carolina 76	0.567	Duke 79 - North Carolina 84	8
Duquesne 80 - George Washington 68	0.821	Duquesne 67 - George Washington 65	10
East Carolina 66 - Charlotte 70	0.606	East Carolina 72 - Charlotte 82	6
Florida AM 67 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.626	Florida AM 66 - Bethune Cookman 67	-3
Florida Atlantic 81 - Memphis 76	0.61	Florida Atlantic 92 - Memphis 84	-3
Florida State 79 - Miami 76	0.571	Florida State 83 - Miami 75	-5
Fordham 77 - Rhode Island 74	0.6	Fordham 50 - Rhode Island 58	11
Fresno State 75 - Wyoming 74	0.512	Fresno State 47 - Wyoming 86	40
George Mason 69 - Richmond 73	0.616	George Mason 64 - Richmond 46	-22
Hawaii 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.664	Hawaii 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	-11
High Point 77 - Longwood 68	0.76	High Point 79 - Longwood 80	10
Houston 79 - Kansas 70	0.741	Houston 76 - Kansas 46	-21
Idaho 65 - Sacramento State 64	0.528	Idaho 64 - Sacramento State 72	9
Indiana State 79 - Northern Iowa 72	0.668	Indiana State 94 - Northern Iowa 72	-15
Iona 77 - Siena 59	0.887	Iona 68 - Siena 54	4
Jackson State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 57	0.916	Jackson State 68 - Mississippi Valley State 67	18
James Madison 80 - Marshall 65	0.851	James Madison 81 - Marshall 64	-2
Kansas State 71 - Iowa State 78	0.7	Kansas State 65 - Iowa State 58	-14
Liberty 75 - Western Kentucky 73	0.544	Liberty 82 - Western Kentucky 79	-1
Long Beach State 74 - UC Davis 71	0.571	Long Beach State 78 - UC Davis 88	13
Louisiana State 81 - Missouri 70	0.804	Louisiana State 84 - Missouri 80	7
Louisiana Tech 77 - Middle Tennessee 61	0.871	Louisiana Tech 84 - Middle Tennessee 70	2
Louisville 75 - Boston College 81	0.667	Louisville 61 - Boston College 67	0
Loyola Ill 80 - La Salle 66	0.826	Loyola Ill 64 - La Salle 54	4
Manhattan 66 - Canisius 73	0.688	Manhattan 70 - Canisius 73	-4
Marist 69 - Niagara 65	0.592	Marist 63 - Niagara 62	3
Merrimack 71 - Le Moyne 62	0.717	Merrimack 61 - Le Moyne 51	-1
Mississippi 75 - Texas AM 73	0.556	Mississippi 60 - Texas AM 86	28
Mississippi State 73 - South Carolina 70	0.567	Mississippi State 89 - South Carolina 93	7
Monmouth 75 - Campbell 68	0.666	Monmouth 90 - Campbell 67	-16
Mt St Marys 69 - Fairfield 72	0.583	Mt St Marys 92 - Fairfield 96	1
Nevada 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.629	Nevada 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	-5
New Hampshire 71 - Binghamton 69	0.57	New Hampshire 77 - Binghamton 64	-11
New Mexico State 73 - Florida International 71	0.558	New Mexico State 77 - Florida International 70	-5
Northern Arizona 68 - Idaho State 70	0.55	Northern Arizona 60 - Idaho State 68	6
Northwestern 78 - Minnesota 74	0.632	Northwestern 90 - Minnesota 66	-20
Oregon 77 - Utah 76	0.52	Oregon 66 - Utah 65	0
Oregon State 70 - Colorado 81	0.751	Oregon State 57 - Colorado 73	5
Pennsylvania 65 - Princeton 77	0.848	Pennsylvania 83 - Princeton 105	10
Pittsburgh 78 - NC State 73	0.649	Pittsburgh 81 - NC State 73	-3
Providence 69 - Connecticut 80	0.751	Providence 60 - Connecticut 74	3
Rice 65 - North Texas 73	0.711	Rice 55 - North Texas 71	8
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Saint Louis 70	0.795	Saint Bonaventure 65 - Saint Louis 73	20
Saint Johns 87 - Georgetown 69	0.884	Saint Johns 86 - Georgetown 78	10
Saint Josephs 74 - Davidson 72	0.561	Saint Josephs 89 - Davidson 71	-16
Saint Peters 69 - Quinnipiac 68	0.536	Saint Peters 74 - Quinnipiac 89	16
Sam Houston State 73 - Jacksonville State 65	0.705	Sam Houston State 81 - Jacksonville State 73	0
Samford 79 - Mercer 68	0.749	Samford 70 - Mercer 57	-2
San Francisco 82 - Portland 65	0.865	San Francisco 72 - Portland 51	-4
Santa Clara 79 - San Diego 70	0.737	Santa Clara 104 - San Diego 79	-16
Seton Hall 86 - DePaul 64	0.914	Seton Hall 86 - DePaul 62	-2
South Dakota State 76 - Oral Roberts 66	0.754	South Dakota State 79 - Oral Roberts 63	-6
Southern California 72 - Arizona 87	0.785	Southern California 78 - Arizona 65	-28
Stephen F Austin 76 - Utah Tech 68	0.73	Stephen F Austin 84 - Utah Tech 71	-5
Stony Brook 73 - Northeastern 68	0.617	Stony Brook 75 - Northeastern 65	-5
Tarleton State 72 - Seattle 69	0.588	Tarleton State 69 - Seattle 66	0
Tennessee 84 - Kentucky 77	0.684	Tennessee 81 - Kentucky 85	11
Texas 78 - Oklahoma 74	0.615	Texas 94 - Oklahoma 80	-10
Texas Christian 79 - Central Florida 73	0.666	Texas Christian 77 - Central Florida 79	8
Texas Pan American 71 - Southern Utah 78	0.683	Texas Pan American 59 - Southern Utah 68	2
Texas Southern 73 - Prairie View 62	0.807	Texas Southern 93 - Prairie View 78	-4
Texas Tech 78 - Baylor 80	0.574	Texas Tech 78 - Baylor 68	-12
Towson 73 - William and Mary 60	0.819	Towson 67 - William and Mary 56	2
Troy 73 - Texas State 67	0.683	Troy 68 - Texas State 74	12
Tulsa 67 - South Florida 78	0.762	Tulsa 76 - South Florida 70	-17
UC San Diego 81 - Cal Poly 58	0.938	UC San Diego 92 - Cal Poly 87	18
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC Riverside 69	0.604	UC Santa Barbara 64 - UC Riverside 81	21
UCLA 73 - Arizona State 70	0.575	UCLA 59 - Arizona State 47	-9
UMass Lowell 80 - UMBC 69	0.762	UMass Lowell 94 - UMBC 89	6
UMKC 75 - Denver 70	0.637	UMKC 60 - Denver 61	6
UNC Asheville 73 - Gardner Webb 70	0.615	UNC Asheville 83 - Gardner Webb 72	-8
UNC Greensboro 71 - East Tennessee State 66	0.626	UNC Greensboro 62 - East Tennessee State 73	16
Utah State 80 - New Mexico 77	0.577	Utah State 87 - New Mexico 85	1
Vanderbilt 70 - Florida 84	0.852	Vanderbilt 79 - Florida 78	-15
Vermont 79 - Albany 62	0.881	Vermont 75 - Albany 72	14
Villanova 74 - Creighton 76	0.565	Villanova 67 - Creighton 69	0
Virginia 75 - Georgia Tech 65	0.703	Virginia 72 - Georgia Tech 57	-5
Virginia Tech 77 - Notre Dame 69	0.678	Virginia Tech 82 - Notre Dame 76	2
Wake Forest 78 - Clemson 77	0.526	Wake Forest 81 - Clemson 76	-4
Western Carolina 74 - Furman 71	0.571	Western Carolina 76 - Furman 79	6
Xavier 76 - Marquette 82	0.635	Xavier 80 - Marquette 86	0
Yale 77 - Brown 63	0.889	Yale 81 - Brown 84	17

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Southern Methodist 76	0.567	Alabama Birmingham 74 - Southern Methodist 70	-7
Appalachian State 77 - Arkansas State 69	0.702	Appalachian State 65 - Arkansas State 67	10
Boston 70 - Lehigh 69	0.541	Boston 79 - Lehigh 84	6
Chattanooga 72 - East Tennessee State 68	0.599	Chattanooga 84 - East Tennessee State 85	5
Colgate 73 - Bucknell 60	0.823	Colgate 68 - Bucknell 65	10
College of Charleston 78 - Monmouth 69	0.758	College of Charleston 83 - Monmouth 59	-15
Drexel 72 - Stony Brook 68	0.625	Drexel 88 - Stony Brook 91	7
Eastern Washington 77 - Sacramento State 62	0.851	Eastern Washington 69 - Sacramento State 74	20
Hawaii 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.664	Hawaii 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	-11
Hofstra 73 - Delaware 67	0.656	Hofstra 73 - Delaware 58	-9
Indiana 72 - Michigan State 78	0.657	Indiana 65 - Michigan State 64	-7
Indiana State 77 - Drake 78	0.509	Indiana State 80 - Drake 84	3
Iowa 82 - Illinois 86	0.632	Iowa 61 - Illinois 73	8
James Madison 76 - Texas State 64	0.809	James Madison 73 - Texas State 68	7
Michigan 72 - Nebraska 82	0.723	Michigan 70 - Nebraska 85	5
North Dakota 72 - Omaha 68	0.583	North Dakota 72 - Omaha 73	5
Northern Colorado 75 - Idaho State 70	0.658	Northern Colorado 76 - Idaho State 83	12
Northwestern State 69 - Texas AM Commerce 67	0.535	Northwestern State 64 - Texas AM Commerce 69	7
Penn State 73 - Maryland 74	0.516	Penn State 85 - Maryland 69	-17
Purdue 84 - Wisconsin 71	0.796	Purdue 78 - Wisconsin 70	5
Rutgers 71 - Ohio State 73	0.542	Rutgers 51 - Ohio State 73	20
Saint Thomas 71 - North Dakota State 65	0.634	Saint Thomas 68 - North Dakota State 58	-4
Samford 80 - Furman 73	0.67	Samford 84 - Furman 77	0
Southeast Louisiana 74 - New Orleans 65	0.727	Southeast Louisiana 66 - New Orleans 78	21
Stetson 71 - Austin Peay 68	0.57	Stetson 94 - Austin Peay 91	0
Texas San Antonio 75 - Temple 76	0.52	Texas San Antonio 82 - Temple 84	1
UNC Asheville 73 - Longwood 68	0.643	UNC Asheville 59 - Longwood 85	31
UNC Wilmington 70 - Towson 67	0.565	UNC Wilmington 56 - Towson 66	13

Number of DI Games: 310
Number Correct: 216 = 69.6%
Expected Number Correct: 212.523 = 68.5%
Average Error: 9.01
Average Signed Error: 0.6

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
College of Charleston 73 - Towson 67	0.657	College of Charleston 61 - Towson 56	1
Gonzaga 79 - San Francisco 70	0.728	Gonzaga 89 - San Francisco 77	-3
Hofstra 74 - Stony Brook 69	0.643	Hofstra 59 - Stony Brook 63	9
James Madison 77 - Arkansas State 71	0.67	James Madison 91 - Arkansas State 71	-14
Lamar 77 - New Orleans 65	0.784	Lamar 71 - New Orleans 57	-2
Milwaukee 71 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.553	Milwaukee 82 - Northern Kentucky 75	-9
Montana 74 - Portland State 66	0.664	Montana 87 - Portland State 81	2
Nicholls State 73 - Texas AM Commerce 65	0.734	Nicholls State 72 - Texas AM Commerce 51	-13
Oakland 73 - Cleveland State 68	0.632	Oakland 74 - Cleveland State 71	2
Omaha 75 - Denver 74	0.526	Omaha 63 - Denver 66	4
Saint Marys 76 - Santa Clara 65	0.751	Saint Marys 79 - Santa Clara 65	-3
Samford 77 - East Tennessee State 68	0.734	Samford 76 - East Tennessee State 69	2
South Dakota State 70 - Saint Thomas 67	0.557	South Dakota State 59 - Saint Thomas 49	-7
Weber State 73 - Montana State 67	0.631	Weber State 82 - Montana State 91	15

GAMES OF 3-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 77 - Miami 76	0.517	Boston College 81 - Miami 65	-15
Central Florida 78 - Oklahoma State 72	0.658	Central Florida 77 - Oklahoma State 62	-9
Cincinnati 82 - West Virginia 72	0.748	Cincinnati 90 - West Virginia 85	5
College of Charleston 78 - Stony Brook 70	0.727	College of Charleston 82 - Stony Brook 79	5
Fordham 68 - Davidson 74	0.678	Fordham 71 - Davidson 63	-14
Iona 76 - Manhattan 64	0.765	Iona 60 - Manhattan 57	9
Jacksonville State 73 - Florida International 69	0.626	Jacksonville State 67 - Florida International 76	13
La Salle 77 - George Washington 76	0.517	La Salle 61 - George Washington 60	0
Mcneese State 75 - Lamar 62	0.822	Mcneese State 76 - Lamar 57	-6
Merrimack 66 - Wagner 58	0.754	Merrimack 47 - Wagner 54	15
Montana 74 - Idaho State 66	0.685	Montana 72 - Idaho State 58	-6
Montana State 70 - Sacramento State 64	0.646	Montana State 74 - Sacramento State 71	3
Mt St Marys 71 - Canisius 69	0.552	Mt St Marys 61 - Canisius 77	18
NC State 83 - Louisville 72	0.801	NC State 94 - Louisville 85	2
Niagara 74 - Siena 62	0.796	Niagara 67 - Siena 65	10
Notre Dame 74 - Georgia Tech 73	0.501	Notre Dame 84 - Georgia Tech 80	-3
Oakland 76 - Milwaukee 70	0.661	Oakland 83 - Milwaukee 76	-1
Rhode Island 77 - Saint Louis 79	0.559	Rhode Island 71 - Saint Louis 74	1
Saint Marys 71 - Gonzaga 72	0.522	Saint Marys 69 - Gonzaga 60	-10
South Dakota State 79 - Denver 69	0.734	South Dakota State 76 - Denver 68	2
Texas AM CC 70 - Nicholls State 65	0.644	Texas AM CC 73 - Nicholls State 81	13
UMass Lowell 75 - Bryant 72	0.573	UMass Lowell 77 - Bryant 70	-4
Vermont 75 - New Hampshire 60	0.846	Vermont 66 - New Hampshire 59	8

GAMES OF 3-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 72 - Alabama AM 66	0.679	Alcorn State 63 - Alabama AM 75	18
Arkansas 79 - Vanderbilt 72	0.679	Arkansas 90 - Vanderbilt 85	2
Brigham Young 80 - Central Florida 74	0.649	Brigham Young 87 - Central Florida 73	-8
Butler 77 - Xavier 78	0.514	Butler 72 - Xavier 76	3
California 77 - Stanford 78	0.523	California 76 - Stanford 87	10
Clemson 81 - Boston College 72	0.747	Clemson 55 - Boston College 76	30
Colgate 75 - Lehigh 64	0.815	Colgate 74 - Lehigh 55	-8
Colorado State 83 - San Jose State 64	0.91	Colorado State 72 - San Jose State 62	9
Duquesne 79 - Saint Louis 71	0.716	Duquesne 83 - Saint Louis 73	-2
Fairfield 73 - Iona 69	0.61	Fairfield 68 - Iona 63	-1
George Mason 73 - Saint Josephs 72	0.546	George Mason 57 - Saint Josephs 64	8
Georgia 79 - Missouri 72	0.757	Georgia 64 - Missouri 59	2
Grambling State 67 - Alabama State 62	0.664	Grambling State 56 - Alabama State 50	-1
Kansas 79 - Cincinnati 74	0.618	Kansas 52 - Cincinnati 72	25
Louisiana Tech 76 - Middle Tennessee 63	0.817	Louisiana Tech 67 - Middle Tennessee 70	16
Maryland 72 - Rutgers 69	0.578	Maryland 65 - Rutgers 51	-11
Mcneese State 75 - Nicholls State 61	0.845	Mcneese State 92 - Nicholls State 76	-2
Montana 74 - Montana State 68	0.647	Montana 70 - Montana State 85	21
New Mexico 85 - Air Force 66	0.861	New Mexico 82 - Air Force 56	-7
Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 57	0.884	Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 51	-6
North Carolina Central 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.789	North Carolina Central 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 81	6
Penn State 82 - Michigan 75	0.675	Penn State 66 - Michigan 57	-2
Providence 82 - Georgetown 70	0.835	Providence 74 - Georgetown 56	-6
Quinnipiac 75 - Canisius 67	0.719	Quinnipiac 76 - Canisius 52	-16
Saint Bonaventure 78 - La Salle 69	0.707	Saint Bonaventure 75 - La Salle 73	7
Sam Houston State 79 - Florida International 67	0.797	Sam Houston State 78 - Florida International 59	-7
Stephen F Austin 73 - Abilene Christian 71	0.552	Stephen F Austin 60 - Abilene Christian 57	-1
Syracuse 79 - NC State 78	0.543	Syracuse 65 - NC State 83	19
Temple 77 - Texas San Antonio 75	0.57	Temple 64 - Texas San Antonio 61	-1
Texas 79 - Kansas State 74	0.633	Texas 74 - Kansas State 78	9
Texas Christian 79 - Oklahoma 78	0.524	Texas Christian 77 - Oklahoma 70	-6
UC Riverside 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.587	UC Riverside 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 78	-1
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.556	UC Santa Barbara 84 - Cal State Northridge 87	5
UCLA 73 - Oregon State 68	0.627	UCLA 67 - Oregon State 57	-5
Utah 79 - Arizona State 72	0.63	Utah 90 - Arizona State 57	-26
Utah Valley 69 - Cal Baptist 65	0.607	Utah Valley 63 - Cal Baptist 74	15
Villanova 85 - DePaul 63	0.93	Villanova 58 - DePaul 57	21
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Fordham 66	0.809	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Fordham 62	5
Virginia Tech 79 - Florida State 76	0.579	Virginia Tech 76 - Florida State 86	13
Wake Forest 78 - Notre Dame 69	0.714	Wake Forest 72 - Notre Dame 59	-4
Washington 79 - Southern California 77	0.552	Washington 74 - Southern California 80	8
Wichita State 75 - Rice 70	0.607	Wichita State 88 - Rice 81	-2
Wyoming 77 - Fresno State 71	0.636	Wyoming 73 - Fresno State 77	10

GAMES OF 3-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Miami OH 63	0.706	Akron 75 - Miami OH 63	-3
Arizona 87 - Southern California 73	0.761	Arizona 70 - Southern California 49	-7
Baylor 81 - Cincinnati 75	0.673	Baylor 68 - Cincinnati 56	-6
Boise State 78 - New Mexico 77	0.538	Boise State 66 - New Mexico 76	11
Central Michigan 68 - Bowling Green 69	0.524	Central Michigan 56 - Bowling Green 66	9
Colorado 80 - Utah 76	0.586	Colorado 72 - Utah 58	-10
Connecticut 84 - Xavier 70	0.799	Connecticut 87 - Xavier 60	-13
Creighton 80 - Providence 72	0.712	Creighton 73 - Providence 78	13
Dayton 76 - Duquesne 67	0.755	Dayton 57 - Duquesne 65	17
Duke 83 - NC State 71	0.843	Duke 69 - NC State 74	17
East Carolina 71 - Tulsa 72	0.503	East Carolina 84 - Tulsa 79	-6
Florida 83 - Georgia 75	0.737	Florida 85 - Georgia 80	3
Hawaii 74 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.654	Hawaii 75 - Cal State Northridge 68	-2
Houston 82 - Texas Christian 69	0.849	Houston 60 - Texas Christian 45	-2
Howard 75 - Morgan State 70	0.642	Howard 78 - Morgan State 65	-8
Indiana 78 - Penn State 77	0.521	Indiana 61 - Penn State 59	-1
Iowa 78 - Ohio State 79	0.509	Iowa 78 - Ohio State 90	11
Iowa State 78 - Kansas State 70	0.723	Iowa State 76 - Kansas State 57	-11
Liberty 71 - Texas El Paso 69	0.565	Liberty 57 - Texas El Paso 66	11
Long Beach State 74 - UC Riverside 73	0.513	Long Beach State 86 - UC Riverside 67	-18
Louisiana State 73 - Mississippi State 78	0.62	Louisiana State 60 - Mississippi State 70	5
Loyola Ill 74 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.599	Loyola Ill 74 - Saint Bonaventure 75	5
Marist 67 - Niagara 66	0.545	Marist 65 - Niagara 59	-5
Marquette 77 - Villanova 72	0.623	Marquette 71 - Villanova 65	-1
Massachusetts 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.537	Massachusetts 59 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	13
Memphis 81 - Wichita State 71	0.743	Memphis 65 - Wichita State 71	16
Michigan State 78 - Minnesota 71	0.688	Michigan State 77 - Minnesota 67	-3
Nevada 75 - Colorado State 73	0.562	Nevada 78 - Colorado State 85	9
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - San Diego State 74	0.573	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - San Diego State 74	0
North Carolina 85 - Florida State 72	0.833	North Carolina 92 - Florida State 67	-12
North Texas 76 - Tulane 70	0.692	North Texas 81 - Tulane 71	-4
Ohio 77 - Western Michigan 66	0.776	Ohio 82 - Western Michigan 55	-16
Oregon 74 - UCLA 70	0.611	Oregon 68 - UCLA 66	2
Pittsburgh 75 - Wake Forest 76	0.504	Pittsburgh 81 - Wake Forest 69	-13
Richmond 76 - Saint Josephs 71	0.632	Richmond 61 - Saint Josephs 66	10
Rider 68 - Saint Peters 67	0.503	Rider 48 - Saint Peters 50	3
Saint Johns 78 - Seton Hall 74	0.593	Saint Johns 91 - Seton Hall 72	-15
Seattle 71 - Cal Baptist 65	0.655	Seattle 81 - Cal Baptist 57	-18
South Carolina 79 - Arkansas 71	0.683	South Carolina 80 - Arkansas 66	-6
South Carolina State 70 - Delaware State 67	0.581	South Carolina State 58 - Delaware State 71	16
Southern 68 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.614	Southern 58 - Bethune Cookman 73	18
Southern Methodist 79 - Temple 67	0.805	Southern Methodist 60 - Temple 75	27
Texas AM 76 - Mississippi 72	0.583	Texas AM 80 - Mississippi 71	-5
Texas Arlington 74 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.597	Texas Arlington 109 - Stephen F Austin 78	-28
Texas Southern 70 - Jackson State 67	0.592	Texas Southern 73 - Jackson State 62	-8
Texas Tech 78 - Brigham Young 79	0.519	Texas Tech 81 - Brigham Young 67	-15
Toledo 77 - Kent State 71	0.659	Toledo 59 - Kent State 67	14
Utah State 83 - Fresno State 66	0.881	Utah State 87 - Fresno State 75	5
Virginia 73 - Boston College 68	0.624	Virginia 66 - Boston College 60	-1
Washington State 79 - Stanford 71	0.696	Washington State 79 - Stanford 62	-9
Western Kentucky 77 - New Mexico State 69	0.732	Western Kentucky 89 - New Mexico State 69	-12
Wisconsin 76 - Maryland 71	0.624	Wisconsin 87 - Maryland 56	-26

GAMES OF 3-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 70 - Ohio 69	0.553	Akron 65 - Ohio 62	-2
Alabama 86 - Florida 82	0.597	Alabama 88 - Florida 102	18
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Wichita State 71	0.656	Alabama Birmingham 72 - Wichita State 60	-6
Arizona 85 - Oregon 74	0.747	Arizona 59 - Oregon 67	19
Auburn 78 - South Carolina 71	0.679	Auburn 86 - South Carolina 55	-24
Bowling Green 70 - Kent State 71	0.535	Bowling Green 60 - Kent State 73	12
Charlotte 74 - Temple 66	0.75	Charlotte 54 - Temple 58	12
Fairfield 69 - Marist 65	0.609	Fairfield 65 - Marist 61	0
Florida Atlantic 75 - North Texas 69	0.678	Florida Atlantic 77 - North Texas 71	0
Grambling State 68 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.606	Grambling State 65 - Bethune Cookman 53	-9
Grand Canyon 75 - Seattle 66	0.738	Grand Canyon 80 - Seattle 72	1
Houston 80 - Texas Tech 69	0.769	Houston 82 - Texas Tech 59	-12
Illinois 82 - Ohio State 76	0.685	Illinois 77 - Ohio State 74	3
Iowa State 77 - Baylor 76	0.518	Iowa State 76 - Baylor 62	-13
Kentucky 82 - Texas AM 76	0.658	Kentucky 87 - Texas AM 97	16
Marquette 80 - Providence 72	0.699	Marquette 79 - Providence 68	-3
Nebraska 79 - Indiana 74	0.632	Nebraska 93 - Indiana 66	-22
New Mexico 78 - Colorado State 77	0.506	New Mexico 74 - Colorado State 61	-12
Norfolk State 72 - Howard 68	0.622	Norfolk State 74 - Howard 80	10
North Carolina 80 - Pittsburgh 72	0.691	North Carolina 72 - Pittsburgh 65	1
North Carolina Central 72 - Delaware State 66	0.66	North Carolina Central 58 - Delaware State 71	19
Northwestern 75 - Wisconsin 76	0.526	Northwestern 61 - Wisconsin 70	8
Purdue 80 - Michigan State 71	0.739	Purdue 67 - Michigan State 62	4
Quinnipiac 70 - Saint Peters 67	0.595	Quinnipiac 60 - Saint Peters 62	5
Saint Johns 72 - Connecticut 81	0.7	Saint Johns 90 - Connecticut 95	-4
Sam Houston State 73 - Texas El Paso 68	0.643	Sam Houston State 63 - Texas El Paso 65	7
South Florida 76 - East Carolina 65	0.775	South Florida 81 - East Carolina 59	-11
Tarleton State 73 - Texas Arlington 72	0.527	Tarleton State 84 - Texas Arlington 87	4
Tennessee 79 - Mississippi State 70	0.733	Tennessee 56 - Mississippi State 73	26
Texas Southern 70 - Alabama AM 64	0.705	Texas Southern 72 - Alabama AM 65	-1
UC Davis 69 - Hawaii 70	0.514	UC Davis 68 - Hawaii 65	-4
UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 69	0.792	UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 83	14
Utah State 74 - San Diego State 75	0.531	Utah State 70 - San Diego State 86	15
Virginia 72 - NC State 69	0.582	Virginia 65 - NC State 73	11
Washington State 74 - Colorado 75	0.525	Washington State 52 - Colorado 58	5
Western Kentucky 77 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.71	Western Kentucky 85 - Middle Tennessee 54	-23

GAMES OF 3-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Kent State 66	0.662	Akron 62 - Kent State 61	5
Auburn 80 - Mississippi State 72	0.7	Auburn 73 - Mississippi State 66	1
Colorado 79 - Oregon 74	0.618	Colorado 68 - Oregon 75	12
Connecticut 80 - Marquette 74	0.64	Connecticut 73 - Marquette 57	-10
Duquesne 72 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.516	Duquesne 70 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-9
Fairfield 70 - Saint Peters 66	0.59	Fairfield 63 - Saint Peters 68	9
Florida 79 - Texas AM 76	0.581	Florida 95 - Texas AM 90	-2
Florida Atlantic 84 - Temple 67	0.887	Florida Atlantic 73 - Temple 74	18
Grambling State 65 - Texas Southern 66	0.513	Grambling State 75 - Texas Southern 66	-10
Grand Canyon 77 - Texas Arlington 69	0.727	Grand Canyon 89 - Texas Arlington 74	-7
Houston 76 - Iowa State 68	0.705	Houston 41 - Iowa State 69	36
Howard 72 - Delaware State 68	0.599	Howard 70 - Delaware State 67	1
Illinois 82 - Nebraska 78	0.621	Illinois 98 - Nebraska 87	-7
North Carolina 84 - NC State 72	0.844	North Carolina 76 - NC State 84	20
Princeton 77 - Brown 64	0.856	Princeton 81 - Brown 90	22
Purdue 83 - Wisconsin 73	0.766	Purdue 75 - Wisconsin 76	11
San Diego State 77 - New Mexico 75	0.562	San Diego State 61 - New Mexico 68	9
South Florida 75 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.578	South Florida 83 - Alabama Birmingham 93	13
UC Davis 74 - Long Beach State 72	0.562	UC Davis 70 - Long Beach State 74	6
Vermont 73 - UMass Lowell 64	0.736	Vermont 66 - UMass Lowell 61	4
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Saint Josephs 72	0.604	Virginia Commonwealth 66 - Saint Josephs 60	-2
Western Kentucky 75 - Texas El Paso 72	0.6	Western Kentucky 78 - Texas El Paso 71	-4
Yale 74 - Cornell 73	0.536	Yale 69 - Cornell 57	-11

GAMES OF 3-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Temple 69	0.745	Alabama Birmingham 85 - Temple 69	-6
Auburn 83 - Florida 77	0.655	Auburn 86 - Florida 67	-13
Illinois 82 - Wisconsin 77	0.641	Illinois 93 - Wisconsin 87	-1
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Duquesne 70	0.558	Virginia Commonwealth 51 - Duquesne 57	7
Yale 75 - Brown 65	0.802	Yale 62 - Brown 61	9

Number of DI Games: 196
Number Correct: 131 = 66.8%
Expected Number Correct: 129.014 = 65.8%
Average Error: 9.09
Average Signed Error: 1.4