Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 12 (Through games of 11/9/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 9 - 0 6 - 0 40.09
2 LSU SEC-W 9 - 0 5 - 0 25.93
3 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 1 5 - 1 25.52
4 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 0 7 - 0 24.84
5 Penn St BIG10-E 8 - 1 5 - 1 23.88
6 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 22.98
7 Georgia SEC-E 8 - 1 5 - 1 22.95
8 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 1 5 - 1 22.01
9 Florida SEC-E 8 - 2 5 - 2 21.31
10 Oregon PAC12-N 8 - 1 6 - 0 21.17
11 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 2 20.02
12 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 20
13 Oklahoma BIG12 8 - 1 5 - 1 19.34
14 Minnesota BIG10-W 9 - 0 6 - 0 18.11
15 Navy AAC-W 7 - 1 5 - 1 16.53
16 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 3 3 - 3 16.41
17 Iowa St BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 15.49
18 Notre Dame IND 7 - 2 0 - 0 13.55
19 Baylor BIG12 9 - 0 6 - 0 13.01
20 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 4 3 - 4 12.96
21 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 1 4 - 1 12.57
22 Kansas St BIG12 6 - 3 3 - 3 12.14
23 Cincinnati AAC-E 8 - 1 5 - 0 11.86
24 UCF AAC-E 7 - 3 4 - 2 11.46
25 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 3 3 - 3 11.1
26 Texas BIG12 6 - 3 4 - 2 10.12
27 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 9.7
28 TCU BIG12 4 - 5 2 - 4 9.07
29 Louisiana SUN 7 - 2 4 - 1 8.67
30 Indiana BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 2 8.58
31 Appalachian St SUN 8 - 1 4 - 1 8.22
32 Air Force MWC-M 7 - 2 4 - 1 8.09
33 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 5 2 - 4 8.06
34 SMU AAC-W 9 - 1 5 - 1 7.98
35 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 4 4 - 3 7.17
36 USC PAC12-S 6 - 4 5 - 2 6.97
37 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 6.75
38 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 6.39
39 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 5.76
40 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 5 1 - 5 5.53
41 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 5 3 - 4 5.32
42 Illinois BIG10-W 6 - 4 4 - 3 5.28
43 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 5 2 - 4 5.26
44 Boise St MWC-M 8 - 1 5 - 0 5.21
45 Virginia ACC-C 7 - 3 5 - 2 4.96
46 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 6 3 - 4 4.43
47 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 3 3 - 2 4.17
48 California PAC12-N 5 - 4 2 - 4 3.93
49 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 3.8
50 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 3 3 - 2 3.38
51 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 4 2 - 4 2.89
52 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 5 2 - 4 2.53
53 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 5 2 - 5 2.32
54 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 2.07
55 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 5 4 - 2 1.98
56 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 4 2 - 3 1.34
57 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 1 5 - 0 1.33
58 Oregon St PAC12-N 4 - 5 3 - 3 1.28
59 Wake Forest ACC-A 7 - 2 4 - 2 1.27
60 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 6 3 - 4 0.81
61 BYU IND 5 - 4 1 - 0 0.77
62 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 5 2 - 4 0.3
63 Duke ACC-C 4 - 5 2 - 3 -0.06
64 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 3 3 - 2 -0.14
65 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 5 4 - 4 -0.3
66 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 5 3 - 4 -0.62
67 Louisville ACC-A 5 - 4 3 - 3 -0.78
68 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 -0.86
69 WKU CUSA-E 6 - 4 4 - 2 -1
70 Houston AAC-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 -1.11
71 Temple AAC-E 6 - 3 3 - 2 -2.48
72 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -3.25
73 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 5 3 - 4 -3.64
74 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 -3.68
75 Army IND 4 - 6 2 - 0 -3.91
76 Marshall CUSA-E 6 - 3 4 - 1 -4.02
77 Kansas BIG12 3 - 6 1 - 5 -4.36
78 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 8 0 - 7 -4.94
79 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -5.11
80 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 6 2 - 5 -5.44
81 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 -5.49
82 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 4 3 - 2 -5.5
83 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 7 1 - 5 -5.64
84 Ga Southern SUN 5 - 4 3 - 2 -5.82
85 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -5.84
86 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 6 1 - 5 -5.98
87 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 -6.07
88 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 5 3 - 2 -6.24
89 Utah St MWC-M 5 - 4 4 - 1 -6.35
90 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 7 1 - 6 -6.37
91 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 5 3 - 2 -6.44
92 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 5 2 - 4 -6.44
93 Georgia St SUN 6 - 3 3 - 2 -6.85
94 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -7.36
95 Miami OH MAC-E 5 - 4 4 - 1 -7.48
96 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -8.32
97 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 6 1 - 5 -8.88
98 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 7 0 - 6 -9.46
99 Troy SUN 4 - 5 2 - 3 -9.68
100 ULM SUN 4 - 5 3 - 2 -9.98
101 UAB CUSA-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 -10.36
102 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -10.6
103 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 8 0 - 6 -10.89
104 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 5 3 - 2 -11.58
105 Charlotte CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -12.23
106 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 4 -12.93
107 Kent MAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -13.03
108 Liberty IND 6 - 4 4 - 1 -13.21
109 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 -13.34
110 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 7 1 - 5 -13.4
111 NC State ACC-A 4 - 5 1 - 4 -13.41
112 Coastal Car SUN 4 - 5 1 - 4 -13.42
113 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 6 0 - 5 -13.44
114 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 5 1 - 4 -13.63
115 N Illinois MAC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -14.22
116 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 9 0 - 5 -15.06
117 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 -17.25
118 Texas St SUN 3 - 6 2 - 3 -17.44
119 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 7 0 - 6 -18.8
120 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 7 0 - 5 -19.07
121 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 9 0 - 6 -19.83
122 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 8 0 - 6 -20.97
123 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 5 3 - 2 -21.41
124 South Alabama SUN 1 - 8 0 - 5 -21.46
125 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 7 0 - 5 -21.68
126 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -24.28
127 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 8 0 - 6 -25.26
128 New Mexico St IND 0 - 9 0 - 1 -25.68
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 9 0 - 5 -38.33
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 9 0 - 3 -42.38