Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 5 (Through Games of 9/26/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 22.22
2 Baylor BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 21.89
3 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 0 2 - 0 20.92
4 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 19.4
5 Clemson ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 17.61
6 Ohio St BIG10-E 4 - 0 0 - 0 17.58
7 LSU SEC-W 3 - 0 2 - 0 17.47
8 USC PAC12-S 3 - 1 1 - 1 16.16
9 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 0 2 - 0 15.55
10 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 1 2 - 0 15.18
11 Oklahoma BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 15.17
12 TCU BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 14.39
13 Texas A&M SEC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 14.24
14 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 14.17
15 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 13.5
16 Notre Dame IND 4 - 0 0 - 0 13.44
17 Michigan BIG10-E 3 - 1 0 - 0 13.43
18 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 0 1 - 0 13.1
19 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 1 1 - 1 12.66
20 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 0 0 - 0 12.61
21 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 0 1 - 0 12.5
22 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 12.16
23 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 11.68
24 Florida SEC-E 4 - 0 2 - 0 10.18
25 Boise St MWC-M 3 - 1 0 - 0 10.17
26 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 1 0 - 1 9.93
27 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 9.42
28 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 2 0 - 1 8.9
29 Auburn SEC-W 2 - 2 0 - 2 8.7
30 Houston AAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 8.49
31 Louisville ACC-A 1 - 3 0 - 1 8.39
32 Iowa BIG10-W 4 - 0 0 - 0 8.28
33 North Carolina ACC-C 3 - 1 0 - 0 8.06
34 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 0 0 - 0 7.91
35 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 7.47
36 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 2 0 - 2 7.27
37 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 7.19
38 Duke ACC-C 3 - 1 1 - 0 6.75
39 NC State ACC-A 4 - 0 0 - 0 6.53
40 Washington PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 6.07
41 BYU IND 2 - 2 0 - 0 5.81
42 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.71
43 Navy AAC-W 3 - 0 2 - 0 5.23
44 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.83
45 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.77
46 Nebraska BIG10-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 4.59
47 California PAC12-N 4 - 0 1 - 0 4.11
48 Appalachian St SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.07
49 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 2 0 - 1 2.97
50 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 2.94
51 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 1 0 - 1 2.71
52 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 2 0 - 0 2.66
53 Texas BIG12 1 - 3 0 - 1 2.55
54 Penn St BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 2.38
55 Vanderbilt SEC-E 1 - 3 0 - 2 2.07
56 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 1 0 - 1 1.87
57 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 1 2 - 1 1.86
58 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 1 1 - 0 1.71
59 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 1.64
60 Memphis AAC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 1.38
61 W Kentucky CUSA-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 0.67
62 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 0.23
63 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -0.04
64 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 -0.05
65 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -0.81
66 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 0 0 - 0 -0.89
67 Temple AAC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 -1
68 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -1.35
69 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -1.64
70 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 -1.81
71 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 1 1 - 0 -1.85
72 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 1 0 - 0 -2.64
73 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -2.93
74 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 -3.03
75 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 2 -3.35
76 UCF AAC-E 0 - 4 0 - 0 -3.6
77 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 -3.76
78 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 1 0 - 0 -4.51
79 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 1 0 - 0 -4.6
80 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -5.6
81 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -5.68
82 Virginia ACC-C 1 - 3 0 - 0 -5.99
83 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -6.19
84 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -6.32
85 Washington St PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 -6.47
86 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -6.68
87 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -6.79
88 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 -6.84
89 Wake Forest ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 1 -7.35
90 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -7.44
91 W Michigan MAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -7.96
92 SMU AAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -8.14
93 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -8.91
94 Akron MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -10.08
95 Army IND 1 - 3 0 - 1 -10.24
96 ULM SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -10.56
97 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -10.78
98 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -11.06
99 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 -11.27
100 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -11.33
101 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -11.84
102 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 0 -12
103 San Diego St MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -12
104 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -12.03
105 ULL SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -12.19
106 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -12.27
107 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -12.37
108 Troy SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -14.26
109 Kent MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -14.44
110 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -14.55
111 Kansas BIG12 0 - 3 0 - 0 -15.17
112 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 4 0 - 0 -15.25
113 Massachusetts MAC-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -16.49
114 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 3 1 - 0 -17.9
115 South Alabama SUN 2 - 2 0 - 0 -18.1
116 UTEP CUSA-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -19.53
117 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 2 1 - 0 -20.06
118 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -20.16
119 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -20.64
120 Texas St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 0 -20.66
121 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 3 0 - 1 -20.69
122 Idaho SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -21.58
123 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -22.06
124 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -22.46
125 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 4 0 - 1 -24.39
126 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 3 0 - 1 -27.26
127 Georgia St SUN 1 - 2 1 - 0 -27.4
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 2 -34.32