Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2015 Preseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 25.46
2 Oregon PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 24.55
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 21.05
4 Georgia SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 18.95
5 Baylor BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 17.8
6 Florida St ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 17.74
7 Auburn SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 16.85
8 TCU BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 15.64
9 Michigan St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 15.1
10 Stanford PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.65
11 Wisconsin BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.53
12 LSU SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.5
13 Texas A&M SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.18
14 Mississippi St SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.45
15 Oklahoma BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.99
16 Missouri SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.92
17 Kansas St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.83
18 USC PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.64
19 Arizona St PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.52
20 South Carolina SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.46
21 Arkansas SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.98
22 Clemson ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.66
23 Georgia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.42
24 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.65
25 Oklahoma St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.33
26 Mississippi SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.42
27 Boise St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.28
28 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.87
29 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.54
30 Florida SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.15
31 Notre Dame IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 8
32 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.37
33 Washington PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.19
34 Tennessee SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.42
35 West Virginia BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.84
36 Utah PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.32
37 Miami FL ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.9
38 Michigan BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.12
39 Iowa BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.86
40 Texas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.66
41 Marshall CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.57
42 BYU IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.15
43 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.07
44 Oregon St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.71
45 Virginia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.68
46 Duke ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.63
47 Texas Tech BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.39
48 Pittsburgh ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.34
49 Minnesota BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.25
50 Cincinnati AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.17
51 Penn St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.08
52 UCF AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.79
53 California PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.74
54 NC State ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.49
55 Boston College ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.27
56 Northwestern BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.06
57 Houston AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.19
58 Washington St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.45
59 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.67
60 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.74
61 Maryland BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.92
62 Kentucky SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.1
63 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.12
64 Rutgers BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.86
65 East Carolina AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.86
66 Navy AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.36
67 Utah St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.52
68 Toledo MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.77
69 Illinois BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.8
70 Indiana BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.31
71 W Kentucky CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.4
72 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.43
73 Nevada MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.93
74 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.32
75 Syracuse ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.46
76 Colorado St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.59
77 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.68
78 Fresno St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.77
79 San Diego St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.82
80 Colorado PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.87
81 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.27
82 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.36
83 Appalachian St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.74
84 Memphis AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.78
85 Air Force MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.32
86 ULL SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.87
87 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.17
88 Temple AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.22
89 Wake Forest ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.67
90 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.18
91 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.43
92 Ball St MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.75
93 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.9
94 Tulsa AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.46
95 MTSU CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.9
96 Kansas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.03
97 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.15
98 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.48
99 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.85
100 Hawaii MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.17
101 South Alabama SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.75
102 South Florida AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.79
103 Buffalo MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.96
104 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.38
105 Connecticut AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.44
106 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.47
107 Ohio MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.76
108 ULM SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.86
109 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.96
110 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.33
111 Troy SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.67
112 SMU AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.77
113 Southern Miss CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.84
114 Army IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.89
115 New Mexico MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.1
116 Kent MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.37
117 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.57
118 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.4
119 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.56
120 Texas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -17.45
121 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -19.02
122 Massachusetts MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -19.18
123 Akron MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -19.25
124 Idaho SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -21.5
125 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -22.48
126 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -23.55
127 Georgia St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -23.93
128 E Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -26.51