Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 12 (Through Games of 11/14/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Oklahoma BIG12 9 - 1 6 - 1 25.77
2 Alabama SEC-W 9 - 1 6 - 1 22.62
3 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 0 7 - 0 21.59
4 North Carolina ACC-C 9 - 1 6 - 0 21.14
5 Ohio St BIG10-E 10 - 0 6 - 0 20.1
6 Baylor BIG12 8 - 1 5 - 1 20.02
7 Notre Dame IND 9 - 1 0 - 0 18.34
8 Navy AAC-W 8 - 1 6 - 0 16.52
9 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 0 7 - 0 16.24
10 Stanford PAC12-N 8 - 2 7 - 1 15.26
11 Bowling Green MAC-E 8 - 2 6 - 0 14.54
12 Michigan BIG10-E 8 - 2 5 - 1 14.51
13 Houston AAC-W 10 - 0 6 - 0 14.32
14 Iowa BIG10-W 10 - 0 6 - 0 13.9
15 Florida SEC-E 9 - 1 7 - 1 13.71
16 Florida St ACC-A 8 - 2 6 - 2 13.4
17 USC PAC12-S 7 - 3 5 - 2 12.63
18 Tennessee SEC-E 6 - 4 3 - 3 12.54
19 Mississippi SEC-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 12.29
20 Michigan St BIG10-E 9 - 1 5 - 1 12.1
21 LSU SEC-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 11.92
22 Wisconsin BIG10-W 8 - 2 5 - 1 11.82
23 TCU BIG12 9 - 1 6 - 1 11.81
24 Arkansas SEC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 11.65
25 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 2 4 - 2 11.63
26 Mississippi St SEC-W 7 - 3 3 - 3 11.43
27 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 4 2 - 4 10.26
28 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 3 5 - 1 9.92
29 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 2 5 - 2 9.63
30 Oregon PAC12-N 7 - 3 5 - 2 9.42
31 UCLA PAC12-S 7 - 3 4 - 3 8.69
32 Washington St PAC12-N 7 - 3 5 - 2 8.12
33 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 3 4 - 2 8.03
34 Toledo MAC-W 8 - 1 5 - 1 7.9
35 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 3 5 - 3 7.52
36 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 6 2 - 5 7.19
37 Texas Tech BIG12 6 - 5 3 - 5 6.91
38 South Florida AAC-E 6 - 4 4 - 2 6.83
39 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 3 3 - 3 6.47
40 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 4 5 - 2 6.44
41 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 7 1 - 6 6.3
42 California PAC12-N 6 - 4 3 - 4 6.08
43 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 5 - 1 6.03
44 NC State ACC-A 6 - 4 2 - 4 5.9
45 Cincinnati AAC-E 6 - 4 3 - 3 5.66
46 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 5 3 - 3 5.34
47 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 6 3 - 4 4.97
48 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 5 3 - 4 4.8
49 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 5 2 - 5 4.69
50 Temple AAC-E 8 - 2 5 - 1 4.36
51 Appalachian St SUN 8 - 2 5 - 1 4.21
52 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 3 6 - 0 3.73
53 Northwestern BIG10-W 8 - 2 4 - 2 3.65
54 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 3.51
55 BYU IND 7 - 3 1 - 0 3.47
56 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 3 4 - 2 3.27
57 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 5 4 - 2 3.04
58 W Kentucky CUSA-E 8 - 2 6 - 0 2.82
59 Duke ACC-C 6 - 4 3 - 3 2.23
60 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 7 2 - 5 1.89
61 Ga Southern SUN 7 - 2 5 - 1 1.68
62 Air Force MWC-M 7 - 3 5 - 1 1.55
63 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 1.39
64 Marshall CUSA-E 9 - 2 6 - 1 1.37
65 Texas BIG12 4 - 6 3 - 4 0.95
66 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 5 2 - 4 0.92
67 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 6 1 - 5 0.55
68 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 0.18
69 Utah St MWC-M 5 - 5 4 - 3 -0.08
70 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 6 0 - 6 -0.16
71 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 7 2 - 4 -0.2
72 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 4 3 - 3 -0.21
73 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 5 1 - 5 -0.31
74 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 6 0 - 6 -0.54
75 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 7 1 - 7 -0.67
76 Arizona PAC12-S 6 - 5 3 - 5 -0.84
77 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 6 2 - 4 -0.87
78 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 8 0 - 6 -1
79 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 7 1 - 5 -1.51
80 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 6 2 - 4 -1.62
81 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 3 6 - 0 -2.28
82 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 7 0 - 7 -2.73
83 Connecticut AAC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -3.01
84 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 7 1 - 5 -4.29
85 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 7 1 - 6 -5.17
86 Tulsa AAC-W 5 - 5 2 - 4 -5.46
87 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 6 2 - 6 -5.52
88 MTSU CUSA-E 5 - 5 4 - 2 -6.21
89 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 8 1 - 5 -6.45
90 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 4 3 - 3 -6.8
91 Colorado St MWC-M 5 - 5 3 - 3 -7.1
92 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -7.21
93 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 7 1 - 6 -7.98
94 Akron MAC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -8.41
95 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -8.83
96 Troy SUN 3 - 7 2 - 4 -9.7
97 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -10.45
98 New Mexico MWC-M 6 - 4 4 - 2 -11.24
99 SMU AAC-W 1 - 9 0 - 6 -12.65
100 Massachusetts MAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -13.14
101 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -13.15
102 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 8 0 - 7 -13.84
103 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -14.05
104 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 -14.51
105 Georgia St SUN 3 - 6 2 - 3 -14.65
106 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 -15.99
107 Army IND 2 - 8 1 - 1 -16.17
108 South Alabama SUN 5 - 4 3 - 2 -16.47
109 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 8 2 - 5 -16.67
110 ULL SUN 4 - 5 3 - 2 -16.72
111 Kansas BIG12 0 - 10 0 - 7 -16.9
112 Kent MAC-E 3 - 7 2 - 4 -17.29
113 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 7 2 - 5 -18
114 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 10 1 - 6 -18.94
115 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 2 - 8 2 - 4 -19.02
116 Idaho SUN 3 - 7 2 - 5 -19.08
117 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 9 1 - 6 -19.24
118 UCF AAC-E 0 - 10 0 - 6 -21.22
119 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 9 1 - 5 -21.62
120 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -21.73
121 Texas St SUN 2 - 7 1 - 4 -22.59
122 Rice CUSA-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 -22.74
123 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 10 0 - 7 -23.3
124 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 7 2 - 3 -23.49
125 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 -25.25
126 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 9 0 - 7 -25.45
127 ULM SUN 1 - 9 0 - 6 -26.43
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 8 0 - 7 -26.85