Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 11 (11/13/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 10 - 0 7 - 0 32.64
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 9 - 1 6 - 1 32.06
3 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 1 6 - 1 28.72
4 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 1 7 - 1 22.04
5 Washington PAC12-N 9 - 1 6 - 1 21
6 LSU SEC-W 6 - 3 4 - 2 20.75
7 Wisconsin BIG10-W 8 - 2 5 - 2 20.31
8 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 2 7 - 0 20.04
9 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 1 6 - 1 19.56
10 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 3 5 - 2 17.87
11 USC PAC12-S 7 - 3 6 - 2 17.29
12 Penn St BIG10-E 8 - 2 6 - 1 17.13
13 Colorado PAC12-S 8 - 2 6 - 1 17.08
14 Oklahoma BIG12 8 - 2 7 - 0 13.83
15 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 5 4 - 3 12.24
16 W Michigan MAC-W 10 - 0 6 - 0 12.18
17 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 3 4 - 3 11.74
18 Stanford PAC12-N 7 - 3 5 - 3 11.54
19 Florida St ACC-A 7 - 3 4 - 3 11.46
20 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 5 2 - 4 10.75
21 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 1 5 - 1 10.58
22 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 4 3 - 3 10.22
23 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 3 5 - 2 9.42
24 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 2 5 - 2 9.32
25 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 4 4 - 3 9.3
26 North Carolina ACC-C 7 - 3 5 - 2 8.98
27 San Diego St MWC-W 9 - 1 6 - 0 8.35
28 WKU CUSA-E 8 - 3 6 - 1 8.27
29 Florida SEC-E 7 - 2 5 - 2 8.11
30 Boise St MWC-M 9 - 1 5 - 1 7.94
31 Temple AAC-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 7.35
32 Oklahoma St BIG12 8 - 2 6 - 1 7.2
33 Tennessee SEC-E 7 - 3 3 - 3 7.19
34 BYU IND 6 - 4 1 - 0 6.99
35 Nebraska BIG10-W 8 - 2 5 - 2 6.8
36 South Florida AAC-E 8 - 2 5 - 1 6.68
37 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 4 3 - 3 6.43
38 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 6 2 - 5 6.4
39 Memphis AAC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 6.08
40 TCU BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 5.96
41 Houston AAC-W 8 - 2 5 - 2 5.84
42 Notre Dame IND 4 - 6 1 - 0 5.65
43 Tulsa AAC-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 5.63
44 UCF AAC-E 6 - 4 4 - 2 4.83
45 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 4.78
46 Arkansas SEC-W 6 - 4 2 - 4 4.57
47 Texas BIG12 5 - 5 3 - 4 4.42
48 Navy AAC-W 7 - 2 5 - 1 4.13
49 Troy SUN 8 - 1 5 - 0 4.07
50 Georgia SEC-E 6 - 4 4 - 4 4.03
51 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 3 6 - 1 3.9
52 Minnesota BIG10-W 7 - 3 4 - 3 3.83
53 Georgia Tech ACC-C 6 - 4 3 - 4 3.32
54 Toledo MAC-W 8 - 2 5 - 1 2.83
55 NC State ACC-A 5 - 5 2 - 4 2.42
56 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 7 1 - 6 2.39
57 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 6 2 - 5 1.9
58 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 1.77
59 Duke ACC-C 4 - 6 1 - 5 1.73
60 Appalachian St SUN 7 - 3 5 - 1 1.38
61 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 5 3 - 4 1
62 Baylor BIG12 6 - 3 3 - 3 0.54
63 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 7 1 - 6 -0.23
64 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 3 5 - 1 -0.44
65 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 5 4 - 4 -0.58
66 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 5 2 - 5 -0.69
67 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 8 1 - 6 -1
68 California PAC12-N 4 - 6 2 - 5 -1.5
69 Colorado St MWC-M 5 - 5 3 - 3 -1.55
70 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 6 1 - 5 -1.99
71 South Carolina SEC-E 5 - 5 3 - 5 -2.1
72 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 4 3 - 3 -2.35
73 Air Force MWC-M 7 - 3 3 - 3 -2.74
74 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 5 2 - 5 -2.87
75 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 8 1 - 5 -3.51
76 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 4 5 - 0 -3.58
77 N Illinois MAC-W 3 - 7 3 - 3 -3.82
78 Old Dominion CUSA-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 -4.29
79 Ohio MAC-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 -4.51
80 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 8 1 - 6 -4.8
81 SMU AAC-W 5 - 5 3 - 3 -5.26
82 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 7 1 - 5 -5.91
83 New Mexico MWC-M 7 - 3 5 - 1 -6.6
84 Miami OH MAC-E 5 - 6 5 - 2 -7.35
85 Kent MAC-E 3 - 7 2 - 4 -7.42
86 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 7 2 - 5 -7.96
87 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 8 0 - 7 -8.11
88 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 6 2 - 4 -8.49
89 Idaho SUN 6 - 4 4 - 2 -8.63
90 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 -8.65
91 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 5 2 - 4 -9.61
92 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 7 1 - 6 -9.66
93 South Alabama SUN 4 - 5 1 - 5 -9.67
94 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 5 - 5 4 - 3 -9.73
95 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 7 1 - 5 -9.9
96 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 7 0 - 6 -10.25
97 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 6 1 - 6 -10.4
98 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 6 3 - 3 -10.5
99 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 6 1 - 5 -10.61
100 MTSU CUSA-E 6 - 4 3 - 3 -10.88
101 Army IND 5 - 5 1 - 1 -11.45
102 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -11.66
103 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 7 1 - 6 -12.46
104 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 5 3 - 3 -12.58
105 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 7 1 - 6 -12.69
106 ULL SUN 4 - 5 3 - 3 -13.84
107 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 6 1 - 5 -14.46
108 Akron MAC-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 -14.81
109 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 7 3 - 4 -14.91
110 Massachusetts IND 2 - 8 1 - 0 -15.16
111 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 -15.25
112 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 8 0 - 7 -15.6
113 Georgia St SUN 2 - 8 1 - 5 -15.65
114 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 7 2 - 4 -15.9
115 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -16.29
116 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 -17.08
117 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 7 3 - 3 -17.81
118 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 6 3 - 3 -18.1
119 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -18.28
120 Kansas BIG12 1 - 9 0 - 7 -18.7
121 ULM SUN 4 - 6 3 - 3 -19.13
122 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 9 0 - 6 -20.77
123 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 7 1 - 4 -21.45
124 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 7 2 - 4 -21.59
125 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -22.63
126 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 -22.9
127 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 8 1 - 6 -24.34
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 7 0 - 5 -29.76