Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 5

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 29.09
2 Clemson ACC-A 4 - 0 2 - 0 28.09
3 Alabama SEC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 27.8
4 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 23.79
5 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 21.78
6 LSU SEC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 21.39
7 Oklahoma BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 20.59
8 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 20.36
9 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 1 1 - 0 17.15
10 Penn St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 16.01
11 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 1 0 - 1 15.81
12 Notre Dame IND 2 - 1 0 - 0 15.07
13 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 14.63
14 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 14.62
15 Texas BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 14.55
16 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 13.48
17 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 12.91
18 Texas A&M SEC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 12.66
19 UCF AAC-E 3 - 1 0 - 0 12.35
20 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 12.1
21 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 11.98
22 Florida SEC-E 4 - 0 2 - 0 10.61
23 TCU BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 10.61
24 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 1 0 - 1 10.5
25 Michigan BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 9.55
26 USC PAC12-S 3 - 1 2 - 0 9.5
27 California PAC12-N 4 - 0 1 - 0 7.21
28 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.87
29 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 1 0 - 1 6.78
30 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 6.63
31 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 6.54
32 Utah PAC12-S 3 - 1 0 - 1 6.37
33 Boise St MWC-M 4 - 0 1 - 0 6.19
34 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 1 0 - 1 5.86
35 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 2 0 - 1 5.62
36 Appalachian St SUN 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.49
37 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 4.99
38 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 2 0 - 2 4.93
39 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 1 1 - 0 4.28
40 Stanford PAC12-N 1 - 3 0 - 2 4.19
41 SMU AAC-W 4 - 0 0 - 0 3.91
42 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 0 2 - 0 3.78
43 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 3.44
44 Baylor BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 2.84
45 Duke ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 2.8
46 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 2.22
47 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 2.06
48 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 1.58
49 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 3 0 - 2 1.47
50 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.14
51 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.12
52 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 0.92
53 Miami FL ACC-C 2 - 2 0 - 1 0.72
54 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 2 1 - 1 0.46
55 NC State ACC-A 3 - 1 0 - 0 0.42
56 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 1 1 - 0 0.29
57 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 1 0.26
58 Houston AAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 0.22
59 Louisiana SUN 3 - 1 0 - 0 0.21
60 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 0.01
61 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 -0.39
62 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 1 -0.43
63 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 2 1 - 1 -0.55
64 Texas Tech BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.67
65 UCLA PAC12-S 1 - 3 1 - 0 -0.7
66 Navy AAC-W 2 - 0 1 - 0 -0.73
67 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -0.9
68 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 -1.05
69 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 1 -1.23
70 Army IND 3 - 1 1 - 0 -1.32
71 Wyoming MWC-M 3 - 1 0 - 0 -1.36
72 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 1 -1.93
73 Kansas BIG12 2 - 2 0 - 1 -2.09
74 Temple AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -2.17
75 BYU IND 2 - 2 0 - 0 -2.18
76 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 1 1 - 0 -2.37
77 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 3 0 - 2 -2.89
78 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.32
79 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -3.7
80 UAB CUSA-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 -3.85
81 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -3.85
82 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -4.16
83 Troy SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.65
84 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -5.29
85 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -5.32
86 Arkansas St SUN 2 - 2 0 - 0 -5.62
87 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 1 -5.73
88 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 -5.97
89 Ga Southern SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -6.95
90 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -7.04
91 Toledo MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -7.14
92 W Michigan MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -7.2
93 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -7.5
94 E Michigan MAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -7.7
95 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 1 0 - 0 -7.72
96 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -8.63
97 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -8.65
98 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.2
99 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.34
100 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.46
101 Tennessee SEC-E 1 - 3 0 - 1 -10.05
102 Liberty IND 2 - 2 1 - 0 -10.14
103 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -10.18
104 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -11.56
105 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -12.23
106 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 4 0 - 0 -13.32
107 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -13.49
108 Kent MAC-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 -13.67
109 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -13.73
110 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -13.77
111 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -14.18
112 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 2 1 - 0 -14.34
113 C Michigan MAC-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -14.56
114 ULM SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -15.01
115 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 3 0 - 0 -15.75
116 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 3 0 - 2 -15.97
117 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -16
118 Texas St SUN 1 - 3 1 - 0 -17.83
119 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 -19.09
120 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.57
121 South Alabama SUN 1 - 3 0 - 0 -21.31
122 New Mexico St IND 0 - 4 0 - 0 -21.61
123 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -21.77
124 Georgia St SUN 2 - 2 0 - 1 -21.9
125 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -23.65
126 Akron MAC-E 0 - 4 0 - 1 -24.85
127 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -25.01
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -27.1
129 Massachusetts IND 0 - 4 0 - 1 -27.52
130 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 1 -28.86