Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 13 - 1 10 - 0 33.58
2 LSU SEC-W 15 - 0 9 - 0 31.91
3 Clemson ACC-A 14 - 1 9 - 0 28.93
4 Alabama SEC-W 11 - 2 6 - 2 26.64
5 Georgia SEC-E 12 - 2 7 - 2 21.68
6 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 4 7 - 3 21.41
7 Auburn SEC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 19.47
8 Oregon PAC12-N 12 - 2 9 - 1 19.4
9 Florida SEC-E 11 - 2 6 - 2 19.2
10 Penn St BIG10-E 11 - 2 7 - 2 18.98
11 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 4 6 - 3 18.51
12 Notre Dame IND 11 - 2 0 - 0 17.94
13 Iowa BIG10-W 10 - 3 6 - 3 15.83
14 Utah PAC12-S 11 - 3 8 - 2 15.59
15 Oklahoma BIG12 12 - 2 9 - 1 15.25
16 Minnesota BIG10-W 11 - 2 7 - 2 15.22
17 Baylor BIG12 11 - 3 8 - 2 13.95
18 Washington PAC12-N 8 - 5 4 - 5 12.44
19 Memphis AAC-W 12 - 2 8 - 1 12.23
20 Texas BIG12 8 - 5 5 - 4 11.8
21 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 11.47
22 Navy AAC-W 11 - 2 7 - 1 10.57
23 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 11 - 3 8 - 1 10.25
24 UCF AAC-E 10 - 3 6 - 2 9.72
25 Appalachian St SUN 13 - 1 8 - 1 9.2
26 Air Force MWC-M 11 - 2 7 - 1 8.02
27 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 6 5 - 4 7.87
28 Kansas St BIG12 8 - 5 5 - 4 7.35
29 Kentucky SEC-E 8 - 5 3 - 5 7.07
30 Cincinnati AAC-E 11 - 3 7 - 2 7.06
31 USC PAC12-S 8 - 5 7 - 2 6.8
32 North Carolina ACC-C 7 - 6 4 - 5 6.26
33 Oklahoma St BIG12 8 - 5 5 - 4 6.14
34 Louisiana SUN 11 - 3 7 - 2 6.11
35 Tennessee SEC-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 5.9
36 Indiana BIG10-E 8 - 5 5 - 4 5.85
37 Virginia Tech ACC-C 8 - 5 5 - 3 5.83
38 Boise St MWC-M 12 - 2 9 - 0 5.76
39 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 5.09
40 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 4.91
41 SMU AAC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 4.36
42 TCU BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 4.36
43 Virginia ACC-C 9 - 5 6 - 3 4.32
44 Arizona St PAC12-S 8 - 5 4 - 5 3.54
45 Washington St PAC12-N 6 - 7 3 - 6 3.52
46 Mississippi St SEC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 3
47 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 6 4 - 5 2.28
48 California PAC12-N 8 - 5 4 - 5 2.15
49 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 1.85
50 Missouri SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 1.71
51 Tulane AAC-W 7 - 6 3 - 5 1.59
52 WKU CUSA-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 1.15
53 San Diego St MWC-W 10 - 3 5 - 3 0.91
54 Oregon St PAC12-N 5 - 7 4 - 5 0.65
55 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 0.21
56 Wyoming MWC-M 8 - 5 4 - 4 0.1
57 Illinois BIG10-W 6 - 7 4 - 5 -0.21
58 Buffalo MAC-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -0.46
59 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 7 -0.92
60 Louisville ACC-A 8 - 5 5 - 3 -1.09
61 Tulsa AAC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -1.52
62 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 7 4 - 4 -1.75
63 Hawaii MWC-W 10 - 5 5 - 4 -2.41
64 Houston AAC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -2.49
65 Wake Forest ACC-A 8 - 5 5 - 4 -2.74
66 Northwestern BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 8 -2.79
67 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 7 4 - 4 -2.93
68 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 -3.07
69 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -3.17
70 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 4 -3.18
71 Ohio MAC-E 7 - 6 5 - 3 -3.47
72 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 8 3 - 6 -3.84
73 BYU IND 7 - 6 3 - 0 -3.92
74 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 8 4 - 5 -4.04
75 Marshall CUSA-E 8 - 5 6 - 2 -4.1
76 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 7 3 - 6 -4.14
77 Ga Southern SUN 7 - 6 5 - 3 -4.21
78 Temple AAC-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -4.99
79 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -5.15
80 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -5.23
81 Boston College ACC-A 6 - 7 4 - 4 -5.54
82 Ball St MAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -5.59
83 Duke ACC-C 5 - 7 3 - 5 -6.49
84 Kent MAC-E 7 - 6 5 - 3 -7.16
85 Syracuse ACC-A 5 - 7 2 - 6 -7.33
86 Army IND 5 - 8 3 - 0 -7.49
87 Utah St MWC-M 7 - 6 6 - 2 -7.63
88 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -7.68
89 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 8 2 - 7 -7.75
90 Arkansas St SUN 8 - 5 5 - 3 -7.8
91 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -7.82
92 C Michigan MAC-W 8 - 6 6 - 3 -7.94
93 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -8.2
94 Miami OH MAC-E 8 - 6 7 - 2 -8.34
95 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 -8.45
96 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 8 3 - 5 -8.58
97 UAB CUSA-W 9 - 5 6 - 3 -8.64
98 Charlotte CUSA-E 7 - 6 5 - 3 -9.67
99 Liberty IND 8 - 5 5 - 1 -9.75
100 Kansas BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -9.88
101 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -10.09
102 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 -10.31
103 Florida Intl CUSA-E 6 - 7 3 - 5 -10.53
104 ULM SUN 5 - 7 4 - 4 -10.73
105 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 8 -10.81
106 Troy SUN 5 - 7 3 - 5 -12.05
107 Georgia St SUN 7 - 6 4 - 4 -12.34
108 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -13.01
109 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -13.02
110 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -13.2
111 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.44
112 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -13.91
113 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 7 2 - 6 -14.03
114 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -14.35
115 NC State ACC-A 4 - 8 1 - 7 -14.7
116 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -14.77
117 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -14.89
118 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 9 -15.72
119 South Alabama SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -17.14
120 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -17.63
121 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.48
122 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 10 0 - 8 -18.69
123 Texas St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.86
124 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -20.21
125 New Mexico St IND 2 - 10 1 - 2 -23.54
126 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -25.03
127 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -27.65
128 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -29.6
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 12 0 - 8 -35.33
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 11 0 - 4 -40.2