Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 10 (10/29/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 1 5 - 0 27.97
2 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 27.89
3 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 25.67
4 Notre Dame IND 7 - 1 0 - 0 25.1
5 Georgia SEC-E 8 - 0 5 - 0 24.26
6 Clemson ACC-A 7 - 1 5 - 1 24.22
7 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 1 3 - 1 19.52
8 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 2 4 - 1 19.36
9 Oklahoma BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 18.12
10 Washington PAC12-N 7 - 1 4 - 1 17.8
11 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 17.79
12 Wisconsin BIG10-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 16.73
13 TCU BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 16.3
14 UCF AAC-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 14.86
15 Iowa St BIG12 6 - 2 4 - 1 14.52
16 Mississippi St SEC-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 14.3
17 Georgia Tech ACC-C 4 - 3 3 - 2 12.98
18 USC PAC12-S 7 - 2 5 - 1 12.84
19 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 0 5 - 0 12.8
20 Texas BIG12 4 - 4 3 - 2 12.29
21 Michigan BIG10-E 6 - 2 3 - 2 12.17
22 NC State ACC-A 6 - 2 4 - 0 11.35
23 Stanford PAC12-N 6 - 2 5 - 1 10.67
24 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 3 2 - 3 10.66
25 Michigan St BIG10-E 6 - 2 4 - 1 10.23
26 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 9.36
27 LSU SEC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 9.35
28 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 4 3 - 3 9.25
29 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 3 3 - 2 7.62
30 Washington St PAC12-N 7 - 2 4 - 2 7.44
31 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 3 2 - 3 6.89
32 Arizona PAC12-S 6 - 2 4 - 1 6.87
33 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 6.52
34 Louisville ACC-A 5 - 4 2 - 4 6.22
35 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 6.19
36 Memphis AAC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 6.02
37 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 5 2 - 4 5.9
38 Boise St MWC-M 6 - 2 4 - 0 5.68
39 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 4 2 - 2 5.38
40 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 4 1 - 4 4.61
41 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 2 4 - 2 4.35
42 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 1 4 - 0 4.16
43 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 5 2 - 3 3.93
44 Navy AAC-W 5 - 2 3 - 2 3.86
45 Kansas St BIG12 4 - 4 2 - 3 3.61
46 Florida SEC-E 3 - 4 3 - 3 3.49
47 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 5 1 - 4 3.35
48 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 4 3 - 2 3.21
49 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 4 2 - 3 3.09
50 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 4 1 - 4 3.04
51 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 5 0 - 5 2.54
52 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 4 2 - 4 2.53
53 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 4 3 - 2 2.47
54 Houston AAC-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 2.33
55 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 2 3 - 2 1.86
56 California PAC12-N 4 - 5 1 - 5 1.56
57 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 5 0 - 4 1.31
58 Duke ACC-C 4 - 5 1 - 5 0.51
59 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 2 4 - 0 0.17
60 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 4 2 - 3 0
61 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 4 2 - 4 -0.01
62 N Illinois MAC-W 6 - 2 4 - 0 -0.02
63 Fresno St MWC-W 5 - 3 4 - 1 -0.35
64 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 4 1 - 4 -0.69
65 Kentucky SEC-E 6 - 2 3 - 2 -0.79
66 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 5 0 - 5 -1.18
67 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 -1.19
68 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 3 4 - 0 -1.2
69 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 5 1 - 4 -1.28
70 SMU AAC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 -1.65
71 Arkansas SEC-W 3 - 5 1 - 4 -1.95
72 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 8 0 - 6 -2.24
73 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 3 2 - 2 -2.32
74 Colorado St MWC-M 6 - 3 4 - 1 -2.67
75 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 2 3 - 1 -2.73
76 Wyoming MWC-M 5 - 3 3 - 1 -3.38
77 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 4 3 - 2 -3.45
78 Marshall CUSA-E 6 - 2 3 - 1 -3.53
79 Baylor BIG12 0 - 8 0 - 5 -4.12
80 Troy SUN 6 - 2 3 - 1 -4.24
81 Army IND 6 - 2 1 - 0 -4.46
82 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 5 2 - 3 -4.85
83 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 5 0 - 5 -5.39
84 Temple AAC-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -5.49
85 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 5 2 - 3 -5.82
86 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 7 1 - 4 -6.39
87 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 5 1 - 3 -6.8
88 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 3 4 - 0 -6.95
89 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 6 0 - 4 -7.2
90 C Michigan MAC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -7.34
91 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 7 0 - 5 -8.02
92 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -8.12
93 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 6 0 - 5 -8.62
94 Akron MAC-E 5 - 4 4 - 1 -8.75
95 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 5 2 - 3 -8.76
96 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 6 0 - 4 -8.98
97 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 6 1 - 4 -9.09
98 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 7 1 - 3 -9.18
99 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 3 3 - 2 -9.37
100 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 5 - 2 2 - 2 -10.21
101 BYU IND 2 - 7 1 - 0 -10.88
102 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -10.93
103 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 2 3 - 1 -11.52
104 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -11.87
105 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 -12.3
106 Massachusetts IND 2 - 6 0 - 0 -12.35
107 Georgia St SUN 4 - 3 3 - 1 -12.64
108 North Texas CUSA-W 5 - 3 4 - 1 -12.67
109 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 5 1 - 4 -13.16
110 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -13.22
111 South Alabama SUN 3 - 5 2 - 2 -13.86
112 UAB CUSA-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 -14.03
113 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 5 1 - 3 -14.61
114 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 5 2 - 3 -15.22
115 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 7 1 - 3 -15.53
116 Kansas BIG12 1 - 7 0 - 5 -17.5
117 Idaho SUN 3 - 5 2 - 2 -17.99
118 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 5 1 - 4 -18.06
119 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 6 0 - 4 -18.14
120 ULM SUN 3 - 5 3 - 3 -18.48
121 ULL SUN 3 - 4 2 - 2 -19.62
122 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 7 0 - 3 -21.12
123 Kent MAC-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -21.43
124 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 7 1 - 3 -22.48
125 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 7 1 - 3 -23.73
126 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 7 0 - 5 -24.23
127 Texas St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -24.51
128 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 8 0 - 4 -25.24
129 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 8 0 - 4 -25.79
130 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 6 0 - 4 -26.06