Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 2 (Through Games of 9/7/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 26.71
2 Oregon PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 23.5
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 21.45
4 Florida St ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 18.31
5 Georgia SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 18.26
6 Auburn SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 17.47
7 Texas A&M SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 17.12
8 Baylor BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 16.19
9 TCU BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 15.45
10 Wisconsin BIG10-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 15.24
11 LSU SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 15.06
12 USC PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 14.47
13 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 13.67
14 Michigan St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 13.13
15 Missouri SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 13.11
16 Oklahoma BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 13.02
17 Kansas St BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 13.02
18 Notre Dame IND 1 - 0 0 - 0 12.72
19 Mississippi St SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.77
20 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.75
21 Clemson ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.69
22 UCLA PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.5
23 Stanford PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 11.32
24 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.2
25 Mississippi SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.07
26 Arizona St PAC12-S 0 - 1 0 - 0 9.57
27 Oklahoma St BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 9.18
28 West Virginia BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.75
29 Boise St MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.67
30 Florida SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.54
31 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 1 0 - 0 8.32
32 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 7.58
33 Arizona PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.2
34 Tennessee SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.05
35 BYU IND 1 - 0 0 - 0 6.18
36 Washington PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 5.73
37 Miami FL ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.46
38 Utah PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.21
39 Minnesota BIG10-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 5.18
40 Virginia Tech ACC-C 0 - 1 0 - 0 5.03
41 Iowa BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 4.9
42 Duke ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 4.32
43 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 4.28
44 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 4.15
45 Michigan BIG10-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 3.71
46 Pittsburgh ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.58
47 Cincinnati AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.51
48 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 1 0 - 0 2.67
49 Texas Tech BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 2.02
50 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.84
51 California PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.29
52 Houston AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.14
53 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.04
54 Boston College ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.68
55 NC State ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.51
56 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.34
57 UCF AAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 0.05
58 Texas BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 -0.16
59 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -0.77
60 Maryland BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -0.9
61 Washington St PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 -1.07
62 Penn St BIG10-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -1.51
63 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.64
64 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.72
65 Kentucky SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.74
66 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.11
67 Navy AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.48
68 Temple AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.71
69 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.46
70 Indiana BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.55
71 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.62
72 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.64
73 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.77
74 Toledo MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.97
75 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.97
76 Memphis AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.08
77 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.14
78 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.26
79 San Diego St MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.73
80 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.79
81 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5
82 W Kentucky CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -5.09
83 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.46
84 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.8
85 ULL SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.08
86 Wake Forest ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 -8.49
87 Colorado PAC12-S 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.57
88 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -8.81
89 Appalachian St SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.31
90 Hawaii MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.59
91 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.6
92 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.68
93 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.91
94 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.49
95 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.59
96 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -10.72
97 Kansas BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.74
98 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -11.28
99 Southern Miss CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.67
100 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -11.92
101 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -12.05
102 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -12.25
103 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -12.55
104 SMU AAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -12.68
105 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 1 0 - 0 -13.07
106 ULM SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -13.25
107 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -13.77
108 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -13.84
109 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -13.91
110 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -14.12
111 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -14.39
112 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -14.47
113 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -14.65
114 Army IND 0 - 1 0 - 1 -15.45
115 South Alabama SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -15.46
116 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.66
117 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -16.47
118 Troy SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -16.62
119 Texas St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -19.33
120 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -20.03
121 Massachusetts MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -20.42
122 Kent MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -20.65
123 Akron MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -21.73
124 Idaho SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -24.31
125 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -25.15
126 E Michigan MAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -25.27
127 Georgia St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -27.6
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -29.94