Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2007 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Missouri SEC-E 12 - 2 3 - 0 24.51
2 USC PAC12-S 11 - 2 7 - 2 24.36
3 West Virginia BIG12 11 - 2 1 - 0 24.32
4 Georgia SEC-E 11 - 2 6 - 2 23.66
5 LSU SEC-W 12 - 2 7 - 2 23.64
6 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 3 4 - 2 22.27
7 Kansas BIG12 12 - 1 4 - 0 21.68
8 Florida SEC-E 9 - 4 5 - 3 21.15
9 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 2 7 - 1 19.09
10 Virginia Tech ACC-C 11 - 3 8 - 1 18.99
11 Oregon PAC12-N 9 - 4 5 - 4 18.09
12 Auburn SEC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 16.13
13 Tennessee SEC-E 10 - 4 6 - 3 15.59
14 Cincinnati AAC-E 10 - 3 2 - 0 15.27
15 Oregon St PAC12-N 9 - 4 7 - 3 15.07
16 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 4 4 - 3 14.87
17 South Florida AAC-E 9 - 4 1 - 2 14.76
18 Texas BIG12 10 - 3 5 - 2 14.76
19 Arizona St PAC12-S 10 - 3 8 - 2 14.1
20 BYU IND 11 - 2 1 - 0 13.94
21 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 13.72
22 Arkansas SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 5 13.13
23 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 4 4 - 4 11.85
24 Texas Tech BIG12 9 - 4 3 - 2 11.49
25 Kentucky SEC-E 8 - 5 3 - 5 11.34
26 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 4 1 - 1 11.23
27 Boston College ACC-A 11 - 3 6 - 2 11.1
28 Wake Forest ACC-A 9 - 4 4 - 3 10.76
29 Illinois BIG10-W 9 - 4 6 - 2 10.2
30 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 6 3 - 3 9.07
31 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 7 4 - 5 8.69
32 Wisconsin BIG10-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 8.57
33 Virginia ACC-C 9 - 4 6 - 2 7.99
34 UCLA PAC12-S 6 - 7 5 - 5 7.99
35 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 7.73
36 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 7.2
37 Alabama SEC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 6.99
38 Troy SUN 8 - 4 3 - 0 6.65
39 Rutgers BIG10-E 8 - 5 0 - 1 6.48
40 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 6 0 - 1 6.48
41 Connecticut AAC-E 9 - 4 2 - 1 6.29
42 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 3 5 - 1 6.15
43 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 6.11
44 TCU BIG12 8 - 5 1 - 1 6.04
45 Maryland BIG10-E 6 - 7 1 - 0 5.78
46 California PAC12-N 7 - 6 3 - 6 5.56
47 UCF AAC-E 10 - 4 4 - 2 5.33
48 Hawaii MWC-W 12 - 1 6 - 0 5.28
49 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 6 2 - 1 5.06
50 Florida St ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 4 5.03
51 Air Force MWC-M 9 - 4 4 - 1 4.22
52 Vanderbilt SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 2.61
53 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 9 2 - 7 2.58
54 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 7 1 - 2 2.4
55 Colorado PAC12-S 6 - 7 0 - 1 2.29
56 Purdue BIG10-W 8 - 5 3 - 5 2.06
57 Tulsa AAC-W 10 - 4 3 - 2 1.91
58 Fresno St MWC-W 9 - 4 3 - 2 1.43
59 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 7 3 - 6 1.32
60 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 6 4 - 3 1.15
61 New Mexico MWC-M 9 - 4 6 - 0 1.08
62 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 7 0 - 0 0.75
63 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 7 2 - 3 0.38
64 Navy AAC-W 8 - 5 1 - 0 -0.38
65 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 8 - 5 3 - 0 -1.18
66 East Carolina AAC-E 8 - 5 4 - 0 -1.23
67 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 9 0 - 9 -2.41
68 Indiana BIG10-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 -2.51
69 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 8 3 - 6 -3.18
70 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -3.65
71 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 6 3 - 1 -4.25
72 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 8 2 - 5 -4.28
73 NC State ACC-A 5 - 7 3 - 5 -5.06
74 C Michigan MAC-W 8 - 6 7 - 1 -5.45
75 Notre Dame IND 3 - 9 0 - 0 -5.72
76 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 4 -5.72
77 ULM SUN 6 - 6 2 - 1 -5.81
78 Houston AAC-W 8 - 5 2 - 2 -5.86
79 Ball St MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 2 -5.9
80 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 7 2 - 6 -6.26
81 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -7.29
82 MTSU CUSA-E 5 - 7 2 - 2 -8.65
83 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 3 -9.16
84 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 8 3 - 2 -9.72
85 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 1 -10.62
86 Bowling Green MAC-E 8 - 5 5 - 2 -10.66
87 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 7 2 - 4 -10.69
88 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 7 2 - 5 -11.08
89 Wyoming MWC-M 5 - 7 2 - 5 -11.41
90 Memphis AAC-W 7 - 6 2 - 2 -12.75
91 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 7 1 - 2 -12.84
92 Minnesota BIG10-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -12.96
93 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 10 1 - 1 -13.05
94 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 6 3 - 4 -14.09
95 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 3 -15.06
96 ULL SUN 3 - 9 0 - 3 -15.22
97 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 7 5 - 2 -15.25
98 Baylor BIG12 3 - 9 0 - 7 -15.41
99 Toledo MAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -15.44
100 Duke ACC-C 1 - 11 0 - 8 -15.78
101 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 4 -15.95
102 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -16.01
103 Tulane AAC-W 4 - 8 1 - 4 -16.31
104 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 7 2 - 3 -16.38
105 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 7 0 - 0 -17.09
106 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 8 0 - 2 -17.81
107 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 1 -18.05
108 W Kentucky CUSA-E 7 - 5 1 - 1 -19.25
109 Akron MAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 4 -19.52
110 Army IND 3 - 9 1 - 0 -19.85
111 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 10 0 - 7 -20
112 Temple AAC-E 4 - 8 0 - 2 -21.27
113 SMU AAC-W 1 - 11 0 - 5 -21.95
114 Alabama Birmingham CUSA-E 2 - 10 0 - 2 -23.21
115 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 11 1 - 2 -23.36
116 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 10 1 - 3 -23.65
117 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 5 -24.17
118 Kent MAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 6 -24.66
119 New Mexico St SUN 4 - 9 1 - 0 -24.74
120 Idaho SUN 1 - 11 0 - 1 -28.67