Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 8 (Through Games of 10/17/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Baylor BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 26.8
2 Alabama SEC-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 21.84
3 Oklahoma BIG12 5 - 1 2 - 1 19.99
4 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 0 3 - 0 18.92
5 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 0 3 - 0 17.97
6 Notre Dame IND 6 - 1 0 - 0 17.3
7 Stanford PAC12-N 5 - 1 4 - 0 17.09
8 Utah PAC12-S 6 - 0 3 - 0 17.01
9 TCU BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 16.59
10 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 16.55
11 USC PAC12-S 3 - 3 1 - 2 14.79
12 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 0 4 - 0 14.56
13 Florida SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 13.95
14 LSU SEC-W 6 - 0 4 - 0 13.7
15 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 13.65
16 North Carolina ACC-C 5 - 1 2 - 0 13.31
17 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 0 3 - 0 13.09
18 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 12.47
19 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 0 3 - 0 12.46
20 Boise St MWC-M 5 - 2 2 - 1 12.4
21 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 3 0 - 3 12.08
22 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 11.75
23 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 2 3 - 0 10.63
24 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 3 1 - 2 10.46
25 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 10.34
26 Georgia SEC-E 5 - 2 3 - 2 10.32
27 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 2 1 - 2 9.38
28 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 3 2 - 2 9.38
29 California PAC12-N 5 - 1 2 - 1 8.9
30 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 2 2 - 2 8.83
31 Duke ACC-C 5 - 1 2 - 0 8.8
32 BYU IND 5 - 2 0 - 0 8.76
33 Memphis AAC-W 6 - 0 2 - 0 8.39
34 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 2 1 - 2 8.11
35 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 8.01
36 Houston AAC-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 7.9
37 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 5 0 - 4 7.69
38 Navy AAC-W 4 - 1 2 - 0 7.64
39 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 1 3 - 0 7.52
40 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 1 2 - 0 7.52
41 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 7.52
42 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 3 2 - 2 7.51
43 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 7.33
44 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 6.89
45 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 2 1 - 1 5.47
46 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 4 1 - 2 5.14
47 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 4 1 - 2 4.91
48 Texas BIG12 2 - 4 1 - 2 4.32
49 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 3 1 - 3 4.19
50 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 4.03
51 Penn St BIG10-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 3.99
52 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 2 2 - 1 3.97
53 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 3 0 - 3 3.76
54 Bowling Green MAC-E 5 - 2 3 - 0 3.75
55 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 3.51
56 W Kentucky CUSA-E 6 - 1 4 - 0 3.37
57 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 2 1 - 2 2.53
58 Temple AAC-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 2.18
59 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 2 2 - 2 1.74
60 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 1.46
61 NC State ACC-A 4 - 2 0 - 2 1.04
62 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 2 2 - 2 0.94
63 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 3 0 - 2 0.9
64 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 4 0.85
65 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 4 0 - 4 0.83
66 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 0.6
67 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 4 2 - 1 0.57
68 W Michigan MAC-W 3 - 3 2 - 0 0.07
69 Marshall CUSA-E 6 - 1 3 - 0 -0.89
70 Ga Southern SUN 5 - 1 3 - 0 -1.06
71 South Florida AAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -1.21
72 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 -1.24
73 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 3 0 - 3 -1.82
74 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 -2.74
75 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 4 1 - 1 -2.79
76 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 4 1 - 2 -2.9
77 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 3 1 - 1 -3.46
78 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -3.74
79 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -3.75
80 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 4 0 - 3 -4.14
81 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -4.35
82 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 3 0 - 2 -5.66
83 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 2 -5.82
84 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 4 1 - 3 -6.2
85 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 4 2 - 1 -6.3
86 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 3 3 - 0 -6.85
87 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 3 2 - 1 -7.35
88 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 4 0 - 3 -7.53
89 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 -8.14
90 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 4 0 - 3 -8.42
91 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -8.59
92 SMU AAC-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -8.97
93 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -9.24
94 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 3 2 - 0 -9.38
95 Army IND 2 - 5 1 - 1 -11.36
96 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -11.49
97 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -11.96
98 UCF AAC-E 0 - 7 0 - 3 -12.46
99 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 5 1 - 2 -12.59
100 Akron MAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -12.68
101 Kansas BIG12 0 - 6 0 - 3 -12.8
102 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -13.1
103 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -13.9
104 Kent MAC-E 3 - 4 2 - 1 -14.14
105 ULL SUN 2 - 3 1 - 0 -14.7
106 Massachusetts MAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -14.86
107 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 -14.95
108 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 5 1 - 2 -15.48
109 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 6 1 - 2 -15.95
110 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 6 1 - 2 -16.85
111 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 -16.95
112 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 5 1 - 2 -16.95
113 ULM SUN 1 - 5 0 - 2 -17.5
114 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 5 0 - 3 -17.69
115 New Mexico MWC-M 4 - 3 2 - 1 -18.57
116 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 -18.73
117 South Alabama SUN 3 - 3 1 - 1 -18.76
118 Troy SUN 1 - 5 0 - 2 -19.59
119 Georgia St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -20.12
120 Idaho SUN 2 - 4 1 - 2 -21.69
121 Old Dominion CUSA-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -22.48
122 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 6 0 - 3 -22.66
123 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -22.75
124 Texas St SUN 1 - 4 0 - 1 -23.1
125 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -24.32
126 UTEP CUSA-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -27.27
127 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 6 0 - 2 -27.79
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 4 0 - 3 -29.8