Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 10 (through games of 10/27/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 31.45
2 Clemson ACC-A 8 - 0 5 - 0 28.75
3 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 1 5 - 1 25.1
4 LSU SEC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 22.72
5 Oklahoma BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 22.18
6 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 1 5 - 0 20.55
7 Florida SEC-E 6 - 2 4 - 2 16.71
8 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 16.25
9 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 1 4 - 1 15.56
10 Penn St BIG10-E 6 - 2 3 - 2 15.55
11 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 3 2 - 3 15.06
12 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 14.46
13 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 1 5 - 1 14
14 Utah PAC12-S 6 - 2 4 - 2 13.99
15 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 4 0 - 4 12.87
16 Notre Dame IND 8 - 0 0 - 0 12.83
17 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 3 2 - 3 11.84
18 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 11.59
19 Iowa St BIG12 4 - 3 3 - 2 11.49
20 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 4 3 - 2 10.8
21 Fresno St MWC-W 7 - 1 4 - 0 10.75
22 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 3 3 - 3 10.56
23 UCF AAC-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 10.44
24 Michigan St BIG10-E 5 - 3 3 - 2 9.82
25 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 3 3 - 2 9.62
26 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 3 4 - 2 9.45
27 Texas BIG12 6 - 2 4 - 1 9.4
28 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 8.56
29 Washington St PAC12-N 7 - 1 4 - 1 8.33
30 Utah St MWC-M 7 - 1 4 - 0 8.3
31 NC State ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 2 7.39
32 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 3 2 - 2 7.32
33 Oklahoma St BIG12 5 - 3 2 - 3 7.11
34 Army IND 6 - 2 1 - 0 7.1
35 Boston College ACC-A 6 - 2 3 - 1 7.07
36 Stanford PAC12-N 5 - 3 3 - 2 6.85
37 Temple AAC-E 5 - 3 4 - 0 6.09
38 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 3 5 - 1 6.05
39 Boise St MWC-M 6 - 2 4 - 1 6.04
40 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 5 1 - 4 5.71
41 TCU BIG12 3 - 5 1 - 4 5.7
42 Syracuse ACC-A 6 - 2 3 - 2 5.36
43 Houston AAC-W 7 - 1 4 - 0 4.74
44 Georgia Tech ACC-C 4 - 4 2 - 3 4.6
45 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 5 1 - 4 4.27
46 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 2 3 - 1 4.04
47 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 3 1 - 3 3.96
48 USC PAC12-S 4 - 4 3 - 3 3.81
49 Virginia ACC-C 6 - 2 4 - 1 3.52
50 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 3 3 - 2 3.07
51 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 5 1 - 4 2.51
52 Cincinnati AAC-E 7 - 1 3 - 1 2.46
53 Duke ACC-C 5 - 3 1 - 3 2.39
54 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 4 2 - 3 2.3
55 UAB CUSA-W 7 - 1 5 - 0 1.53
56 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 4 3 - 1 1.44
57 Florida St ACC-A 4 - 4 2 - 4 1.37
58 Buffalo MAC-E 7 - 1 4 - 0 0.75
59 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 4 1 - 4 0.26
60 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 5 3 - 3 0.12
61 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 3 2 - 3 -0.26
62 Ga Southern SUN 7 - 1 4 - 0 -0.3
63 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 -0.41
64 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 5 1 - 5 -0.52
65 North Texas CUSA-W 7 - 2 3 - 2 -0.72
66 Nebraska BIG10-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -0.84
67 Memphis AAC-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -0.84
68 Toledo MAC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -1.16
69 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 6 2 - 3 -1.24
70 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 3 2 - 3 -1.26
71 Baylor BIG12 4 - 4 2 - 3 -1.44
72 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 3 3 - 1 -1.65
73 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 3 3 - 1 -1.87
74 BYU IND 4 - 4 1 - 0 -1.88
75 California PAC12-N 5 - 3 2 - 3 -2.31
76 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 7 0 - 5 -2.77
77 MTSU CUSA-E 5 - 3 4 - 1 -2.79
78 Marshall CUSA-E 5 - 2 3 - 1 -2.83
79 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 6 - 2 4 - 1 -2.86
80 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 3 4 - 0 -3.04
81 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 5 1 - 4 -3.75
82 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -4.16
83 Nevada MWC-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -4.41
84 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 4 1 - 3 -4.81
85 Florida Intl CUSA-E 6 - 2 4 - 0 -5.04
86 Troy SUN 6 - 2 4 - 0 -5.08
87 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 5 3 - 1 -5.1
88 Kansas BIG12 3 - 5 1 - 4 -5.39
89 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 1 3 - 1 -5.86
90 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 -6.06
91 Wyoming MWC-M 3 - 6 1 - 4 -6.23
92 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 6 1 - 4 -7.07
93 Navy AAC-W 2 - 6 1 - 3 -7.35
94 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -7.75
95 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -7.82
96 SMU AAC-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -8.29
97 Arkansas St SUN 4 - 4 1 - 3 -8.34
98 ULL SUN 4 - 4 2 - 2 -8.37
99 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 6 0 - 5 -9.29
100 Akron MAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 2 -10.99
101 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 6 2 - 3 -11.01
102 Liberty IND 4 - 3 1 - 2 -11.05
103 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 4 3 - 2 -11.42
104 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -11.84
105 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 -11.99
106 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 5 1 - 3 -12.37
107 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 5 0 - 4 -13.33
108 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 5 1 - 4 -13.56
109 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 8 0 - 5 -13.86
110 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 6 1 - 4 -13.95
111 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 3 2 - 2 -14.23
112 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 4 3 - 2 -14.93
113 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 7 1 - 3 -16.15
114 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 7 0 - 5 -16.24
115 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -16.55
116 Georgia St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -16.92
117 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -17.14
118 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -17.39
119 Massachusetts IND 3 - 6 1 - 0 -17.7
120 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 6 0 - 4 -17.97
121 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 7 1 - 5 -18.28
122 ULM SUN 4 - 4 2 - 2 -18.9
123 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 8 0 - 4 -19.58
124 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -20.31
125 Kent MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -20.43
126 New Mexico St IND 2 - 7 1 - 0 -20.72
127 South Alabama SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -20.95
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 6 0 - 4 -21.18
129 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -23.21
130 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 8 0 - 5 -24.48