Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 3 (9/18/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 29.7
2 Alabama SEC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 28.69
3 Stanford PAC12-N 2 - 0 1 - 0 21.25
4 Louisville ACC-A 3 - 0 2 - 0 18.28
5 Michigan BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 17.22
6 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 17.21
7 Houston AAC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 16.86
8 Oklahoma BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 15.71
9 Texas A&M SEC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 14.69
10 Clemson ACC-A 3 - 0 0 - 0 14.32
11 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 14.31
12 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.68
13 Georgia SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 12.77
14 Baylor BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 12.44
15 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 12.39
16 LSU SEC-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 12.27
17 Mississippi SEC-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 12.15
18 Arkansas SEC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 11.73
19 Iowa BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 11.67
20 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 0 0 - 0 11.5
21 TCU BIG12 2 - 1 1 - 0 10.96
22 Kansas St BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 10.95
23 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 10.6
24 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 10.58
25 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 10.47
26 Notre Dame IND 1 - 2 0 - 0 10.16
27 USC PAC12-S 1 - 2 0 - 1 9.92
28 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 1 1 - 0 9.41
29 Auburn SEC-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 9.1
30 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 0 1 - 0 8.88
31 Florida SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 8.44
32 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 0 0 - 0 8.37
33 Washington St PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 0 8.32
34 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 7.95
35 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 7.71
36 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 1 7.66
37 Oklahoma St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 7.49
38 Mississippi St SEC-W 1 - 2 1 - 1 7.04
39 South Florida AAC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.99
40 Missouri SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 6.25
41 Utah PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.64
42 Navy AAC-W 3 - 0 2 - 0 5.39
43 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.05
44 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.81
45 Memphis AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.69
46 Texas BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.63
47 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.29
48 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.17
49 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.86
50 BYU IND 1 - 2 0 - 0 3.79
51 California PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.77
52 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 3.72
53 W Michigan MAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 3.48
54 Penn St BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.35
55 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 1 1 - 1 2.92
56 WKU CUSA-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 2.6
57 Colorado PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 2.22
58 Minnesota BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 1.55
59 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 1.01
60 Texas Tech BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 0.91
61 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 0.73
62 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 -0.01
63 Army IND 3 - 0 0 - 0 -0.1
64 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.96
65 NC State ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 0 -1.15
66 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -1.45
67 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -1.6
68 Temple AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -1.8
69 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -2.2
70 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 3 0 - 0 -2.26
71 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 -2.42
72 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 -2.74
73 Vanderbilt SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -2.74
74 Duke ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 1 -3.3
75 Troy SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.36
76 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 -3.57
77 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 0 2 - 0 -3.63
78 Appalachian St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.85
79 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 2 0 - 1 -5.02
80 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.38
81 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.68
82 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.78
83 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.17
84 Boston College ACC-A 1 - 2 0 - 2 -6.42
85 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -7.25
86 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -7.68
87 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.15
88 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -8.19
89 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.61
90 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 -8.67
91 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 3 0 - 1 -8.76
92 UCF AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.44
93 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -9.65
94 Kentucky SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -9.85
95 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -10.18
96 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 -10.25
97 Akron MAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -11.26
98 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -11.44
99 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -11.66
100 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 3 0 - 0 -11.86
101 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -11.89
102 ULL SUN 2 - 1 1 - 0 -12.09
103 SMU AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -12.33
104 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -12.46
105 South Alabama SUN 1 - 2 0 - 2 -13.3
106 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 -13.34
107 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 3 0 - 1 -13.42
108 Georgia St SUN 0 - 3 0 - 0 -13.72
109 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -13.84
110 ULM SUN 1 - 2 0 - 1 -15.22
111 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -15.49
112 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.07
113 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.99
114 Kent MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -17.56
115 Texas St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -17.92
116 Massachusetts IND 1 - 2 0 - 0 -18.48
117 Hawaii MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -18.53
118 Kansas BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.48
119 Buffalo MAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -20.26
120 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -20.35
121 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -20.77
122 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -21.41
123 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -21.61
124 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -21.9
125 Idaho SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -22.65
126 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -23.16
127 New Mexico St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -25.91
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -31.97