Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 15 (Through Games of 12/5/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 1 8 - 1 25.14
2 Alabama SEC-W 12 - 1 8 - 1 22.81
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 1 7 - 1 20.8
4 Clemson ACC-A 13 - 0 9 - 0 19.56
5 North Carolina ACC-C 11 - 2 8 - 1 17.64
6 Stanford PAC12-N 11 - 2 9 - 1 17.03
7 Michigan St BIG10-E 12 - 1 8 - 1 16.32
8 Florida St ACC-A 10 - 2 6 - 2 16.02
9 Mississippi SEC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 15.85
10 Notre Dame IND 10 - 2 0 - 0 15.21
11 Baylor BIG12 9 - 3 6 - 3 14.53
12 Bowling Green MAC-E 10 - 3 8 - 1 13.96
13 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 13.52
14 Houston AAC-W 12 - 1 8 - 1 13.46
15 TCU BIG12 10 - 2 7 - 2 13.33
16 Iowa BIG10-W 12 - 1 8 - 1 12.91
17 Navy AAC-W 9 - 2 7 - 1 12.86
18 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 3 6 - 2 12.79
19 Tennessee SEC-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 12.57
20 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 6 4 - 5 12.36
21 LSU SEC-W 8 - 3 5 - 3 11.89
22 Memphis AAC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 11.55
23 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 2 7 - 2 11.41
24 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 10.9
25 South Florida AAC-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 10.8
26 Oregon PAC12-N 9 - 3 7 - 2 10.73
27 West Virginia BIG12 7 - 5 4 - 5 10.32
28 USC PAC12-S 8 - 5 6 - 4 10.28
29 W Kentucky CUSA-E 11 - 2 9 - 0 9.66
30 Wisconsin BIG10-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 9.62
31 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 2 6 - 2 9.36
32 Florida SEC-E 10 - 3 7 - 2 8.85
33 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 4 6 - 2 7.93
34 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 7.88
35 Temple AAC-E 10 - 3 7 - 2 7.64
36 UCLA PAC12-S 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.21
37 Georgia SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 7.17
38 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 3 6 - 3 7.12
39 NC State ACC-A 7 - 5 3 - 5 6.93
40 BYU IND 9 - 3 1 - 0 6.7
41 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 6 - 2 6.29
42 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 6 4 - 4 5.91
43 California PAC12-N 7 - 5 4 - 5 5.89
44 Louisville ACC-A 7 - 5 5 - 3 5.85
45 Texas Tech BIG12 7 - 5 4 - 5 5.74
46 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 4 6 - 3 5.74
47 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 5.52
48 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 6 4 - 5 5.38
49 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 6 2 - 6 5.36
50 Northwestern BIG10-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 5.14
51 San Diego St MWC-W 10 - 3 9 - 0 4.62
52 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 3.94
53 Appalachian St SUN 10 - 2 7 - 1 3.43
54 Miami FL ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 3.12
55 Cincinnati AAC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 2.9
56 Indiana BIG10-E 6 - 6 2 - 6 2.72
57 Texas BIG12 5 - 7 4 - 5 2.7
58 Boise St MWC-M 8 - 4 5 - 3 2.5
59 Southern Miss CUSA-W 9 - 4 7 - 2 2.37
60 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 5 6 - 3 2.29
61 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 9 1 - 7 2.26
62 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 1.26
63 Kansas St BIG12 6 - 6 3 - 6 0.89
64 East Carolina AAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 0.77
65 Arkansas St SUN 9 - 3 8 - 0 0.4
66 Marshall CUSA-E 9 - 3 6 - 2 0.37
67 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 0.32
68 Duke ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 0.28
69 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 8 3 - 5 0.15
70 C Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 6 - 2 0.14
71 Air Force MWC-M 8 - 5 6 - 3 -0.49
72 Ga Southern SUN 8 - 4 6 - 2 -0.52
73 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 7 1 - 7 -1.41
74 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 9 0 - 8 -1.51
75 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -1.58
76 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 9 2 - 7 -1.7
77 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 -1.72
78 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 6 5 - 3 -2.19
79 Arizona PAC12-S 6 - 6 3 - 6 -2.3
80 Connecticut AAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -2.5
81 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 5 6 - 2 -2.92
82 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -3.04
83 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 -3.53
84 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -4.08
85 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 9 1 - 7 -4.25
86 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 -4.4
87 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 -4.54
88 Akron MAC-E 7 - 5 5 - 3 -4.64
89 Georgia St SUN 6 - 6 5 - 3 -5.77
90 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 9 1 - 8 -6.24
91 Tulsa AAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -6.31
92 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -7.14
93 Colorado St MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 -8.33
94 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -8.38
95 Troy SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -8.75
96 New Mexico MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 -8.79
97 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -9.02
98 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -10.41
99 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -10.53
100 Massachusetts MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.91
101 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 9 3 - 5 -13.56
102 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.57
103 SMU AAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -14.01
104 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 10 0 - 9 -14.23
105 South Alabama SUN 5 - 7 3 - 5 -16.41
106 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -16.64
107 Idaho SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -17.39
108 Kent MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.47
109 Army IND 2 - 9 1 - 1 -17.62
110 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.73
111 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 10 2 - 6 -18.08
112 ULL SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.1
113 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -18.19
114 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -18.38
115 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.06
116 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -20.01
117 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -20.55
118 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -20.56
119 Kansas BIG12 0 - 12 0 - 9 -20.82
120 UTEP CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -21.49
121 Texas St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -21.61
122 Rice CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -21.75
123 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 9 3 - 5 -22.09
124 UCF AAC-E 0 - 12 0 - 8 -23.36
125 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -23.55
126 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 10 0 - 8 -25.73
127 ULM SUN 2 - 11 1 - 7 -25.96
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -29.85