Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2021 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Georgia SEC-E 14 - 1 9 - 1 28.26
2 Alabama SEC-W 13 - 2 8 - 2 24.87
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 2 8 - 1 23.11
4 Michigan BIG10-E 12 - 2 9 - 1 19.26
5 Oklahoma St BIG12 12 - 2 8 - 2 17.64
6 Notre Dame IND 11 - 2 0 - 0 16.12
7 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 3 6 - 2 14.39
8 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 2 7 - 2 14.14
9 Baylor BIG12 12 - 2 8 - 2 13.97
10 Utah PAC12-S 10 - 4 9 - 1 13.95
11 Wisconsin BIG10-W 9 - 4 6 - 3 13.9
12 Cincinnati AAC-E 13 - 1 9 - 0 13.31
13 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 6 5 - 4 12.71
14 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 11.38
15 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 6 4 - 5 10.42
16 Mississippi SEC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 9.88
17 Kentucky SEC-E 10 - 3 5 - 3 9.45
18 Kansas St BIG12 8 - 5 4 - 5 9.28
19 Minnesota BIG10-W 9 - 4 6 - 3 8.95
20 Arkansas SEC-W 9 - 4 4 - 4 8.92
21 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 8.78
22 Purdue BIG10-W 9 - 4 6 - 3 8.55
23 Tennessee SEC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 8.34
24 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 7.88
25 Michigan St BIG10-E 11 - 2 7 - 2 7.82
26 Pittsburgh ACC-C 11 - 3 8 - 1 7.67
27 Iowa BIG10-W 10 - 4 7 - 3 7.45
28 NC State ACC-A 9 - 3 6 - 2 7.4
29 LSU SEC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 6.75
30 Texas BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 6.47
31 UCLA PAC12-S 8 - 4 6 - 3 6.36
32 Wake Forest ACC-A 11 - 3 7 - 3 6.3
33 Louisiana SUN 13 - 1 9 - 0 6.26
34 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 8 6.22
35 Appalachian St SUN 10 - 4 7 - 2 6.05
36 Air Force MWC-M 10 - 3 6 - 2 5.9
37 Houston AAC-W 12 - 2 8 - 1 5.42
38 WKU CUSA-E 9 - 5 7 - 2 5.05
39 Oregon PAC12-N 10 - 4 7 - 3 4.62
40 Florida SEC-E 6 - 7 2 - 6 4.39
41 Mississippi St SEC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 4.33
42 Texas Tech BIG12 7 - 6 3 - 6 4.18
43 BYU IND 10 - 3 1 - 0 4.15
44 Arizona St PAC12-S 8 - 5 6 - 3 3.72
45 Washington St PAC12-N 7 - 6 6 - 3 3.4
46 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 7 4 - 4 3.16
47 San Diego St MWC-W 12 - 2 7 - 2 2.6
48 Fresno St MWC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 2.58
49 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 5 5 - 3 2.33
50 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 7 4 - 5 2
51 SMU AAC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 1.76
52 Utah St MWC-M 11 - 3 7 - 2 1.74
53 UCF AAC-E 9 - 4 5 - 3 1.61
54 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 7 4 - 4 1.57
55 Army IND 9 - 4 4 - 0 1.03
56 Coastal Car SUN 11 - 2 6 - 2 0.83
57 Nevada MWC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 0.8
58 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 7 4 - 5 0.72
59 South Carolina SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 0.64
60 Liberty IND 8 - 5 2 - 1 0.6
61 UAB CUSA-W 9 - 4 6 - 2 0.38
62 Oregon St PAC12-N 7 - 6 5 - 4 0.32
63 Tulsa AAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -0.32
64 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 7 4 - 5 -0.33
65 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 12 - 2 8 - 1 -0.62
66 California PAC12-N 5 - 7 4 - 5 -0.84
67 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 8 3 - 6 -1.39
68 Missouri SEC-E 6 - 7 3 - 5 -1.45
69 USC PAC12-S 4 - 8 3 - 6 -1.68
70 East Carolina AAC-E 7 - 5 5 - 3 -1.74
71 Virginia ACC-C 6 - 6 4 - 4 -1.78
72 Maryland BIG10-E 7 - 6 3 - 6 -1.9
73 C Michigan MAC-W 9 - 4 6 - 2 -1.98
74 TCU BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -2.1
75 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 6 5 - 3 -2.13
76 Georgia St SUN 8 - 5 6 - 2 -2.14
77 W Michigan MAC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 -2.29
78 Memphis AAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -2.51
79 Navy AAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -2.89
80 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -2.93
81 Miami OH MAC-E 7 - 6 5 - 3 -3.96
82 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 6 2 - 6 -4.6
83 Syracuse ACC-A 5 - 7 2 - 6 -5.1
84 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 7 4 - 4 -5.54
85 Boston College ACC-A 6 - 6 2 - 6 -5.72
86 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -5.76
87 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 8 3 - 6 -5.9
88 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 -6.29
89 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 -6.81
90 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 6 -7.59
91 North Texas CUSA-W 6 - 7 5 - 3 -7.79
92 Northwestern BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 8 -7.83
93 N Illinois MAC-W 9 - 5 7 - 2 -7.96
94 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 9 2 - 7 -8.34
95 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 9 -8.66
96 Rutgers BIG10-E 5 - 8 2 - 7 -8.95
97 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -9.38
98 Old Dominion CUSA-E 6 - 7 5 - 3 -9.66
99 E Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -9.9
100 Ball St MAC-W 6 - 7 4 - 4 -10.14
101 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 9 2 - 6 -10.22
102 South Florida AAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -10.51
103 Arizona PAC12-S 1 - 11 1 - 8 -10.83
104 UTEP CUSA-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -11.09
105 Troy SUN 5 - 7 3 - 5 -11.25
106 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -11.35
107 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 10 2 - 6 -11.38
108 South Alabama SUN 5 - 7 2 - 6 -11.67
109 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -11.89
110 Kent MAC-E 7 - 7 6 - 3 -12.09
111 Kansas BIG12 2 - 10 1 - 8 -12.78
112 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 9 3 - 5 -12.87
113 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.87
114 ULM SUN 4 - 8 2 - 6 -13.48
115 Buffalo MAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -13.68
116 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -14.14
117 Arkansas St SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -15.13
118 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -16.43
119 Rice CUSA-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -16.51
120 Texas St SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -16.54
121 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -17.85
122 Charlotte CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -18.29
123 Bowling Green MAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -19.39
124 New Mexico St IND 2 - 10 2 - 0 -20.21
125 Duke ACC-C 3 - 9 0 - 8 -20.34
126 Temple AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -22.53
127 Connecticut IND 1 - 11 1 - 3 -24.68
128 Akron MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -26
129 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -27.01
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 11 1 - 5 -28.62