Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2012 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Kentucky SEC 38 - 2 16 - 0 26.64
2 Ohio State Big10 31 - 8 13 - 5 24.05
3 Syracuse ACC 34 - 3 5 - 1 22.57
4 Kansas BIG12 32 - 7 13 - 1 22.57
5 Michigan State Big10 29 - 8 13 - 5 22.5
6 North Carolina ACC 32 - 6 12 - 2 21.58
7 Wisconsin Big10 26 - 10 12 - 6 19.39
8 Missouri SEC 30 - 5 2 - 0 19.33
9 Louisville ACC 30 - 10 2 - 3 18.89
10 Indiana Big10 27 - 9 11 - 7 18.33
11 Memphis Amer 26 - 9 7 - 1 18.28
12 Florida SEC 26 - 11 11 - 6 18.03
13 Vanderbilt SEC 25 - 11 10 - 6 17.9
14 Baylor BIG12 30 - 8 11 - 4 17.85
15 Marquette BE 27 - 8 7 - 1 17.78
16 Wichita State MVC 27 - 6 15 - 1 17.44
17 Georgetown BE 24 - 9 7 - 2 17.21
18 Duke ACC 27 - 7 11 - 3 16.81
19 New Mexico MWC 28 - 7 9 - 3 16.36
20 Saint Louis A10 26 - 8 9 - 3 16.1
21 Florida State ACC 25 - 10 11 - 4 15.66
22 Cincinnati Amer 26 - 11 1 - 1 14.99
23 Michigan Big10 24 - 10 13 - 5 14.64
24 Gonzaga WCC 26 - 7 13 - 3 14.41
25 Kansas State BIG12 22 - 11 6 - 9 14.16
26 Iowa State BIG12 23 - 11 10 - 4 14.15
27 Purdue Big10 22 - 13 10 - 8 13.87
28 California PAC12 24 - 10 13 - 5 13.35
29 Creighton BE 29 - 6 0 - 0 13.32
30 Alabama SEC 21 - 12 9 - 7 13.06
31 NC State ACC 24 - 13 8 - 8 12.94
32 Stanford PAC12 26 - 11 10 - 8 12.88
33 Texas BIG12 20 - 14 7 - 7 12.86
34 Notre Dame ACC 22 - 12 3 - 0 12.59
35 Temple Amer 24 - 8 0 - 0 12.51
36 Murray State OVC 31 - 2 15 - 1 12.47
37 Belmont OVC 27 - 8 3 - 0 12.46
38 Oregon PAC12 24 - 10 13 - 5 12.27
39 Virginia Commonwealth A10 29 - 7 3 - 1 12.26
40 South Florida Amer 22 - 14 1 - 1 12.14
41 Connecticut Amer 20 - 14 1 - 2 12.12
42 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 26 - 9 9 - 4 12.09
43 Washington PAC12 24 - 11 14 - 4 12.02
44 Saint Marys WCC 27 - 6 14 - 2 11.79
45 Virginia ACC 22 - 10 7 - 7 11.79
46 Arizona PAC12 23 - 12 12 - 6 11.25
47 West Virginia BIG12 19 - 14 1 - 1 11.15
48 Miami ACC 20 - 13 8 - 6 11.12
49 Minnesota Big10 23 - 15 6 - 12 11.05
50 Drexel CAA 29 - 7 12 - 1 11.01
51 Xavier BE 23 - 13 1 - 0 10.68
52 Harvard IVY 26 - 5 12 - 2 10.52
53 UCLA PAC12 19 - 14 11 - 7 10.5
54 Brigham Young WCC 26 - 9 12 - 4 10.41
55 Long Beach State BW 25 - 9 13 - 1 10.25
56 Tennessee SEC 19 - 15 10 - 6 10.25
57 Colorado PAC12 24 - 12 11 - 7 10.06
58 San Diego State MWC 26 - 8 8 - 4 9.9
59 Saint Bonaventure A10 20 - 12 9 - 4 9.81
60 Middle Tennessee CUSA 27 - 7 6 - 2 9.75
61 Seton Hall BE 21 - 13 4 - 3 9.74
62 Ohio MAC 29 - 8 11 - 5 9.73
63 New Mexico State WAC 26 - 10 2 - 0 9.52
64 Massachusetts A10 25 - 12 8 - 6 9.42
65 Pittsburgh ACC 22 - 17 0 - 4 9.38
66 South Dakota State SUM 27 - 8 10 - 2 9.24
67 Iona MAAC 25 - 8 14 - 2 9.22
68 Southern Miss CUSA 25 - 9 4 - 3 9.01
69 Northwestern Big10 19 - 14 8 - 10 8.98
70 Dayton A10 20 - 13 6 - 6 8.75
71 La Salle A10 21 - 13 7 - 5 8.46
72 Saint Josephs A10 20 - 14 8 - 4 8.27
73 Davidson A10 25 - 8 1 - 1 8.2
74 Mississippi State SEC 21 - 12 9 - 8 8.12
75 Mississippi SEC 20 - 14 8 - 8 7.99
76 Oregon State PAC12 21 - 15 7 - 11 7.53
77 Colorado State MWC 20 - 12 7 - 5 7.49
78 Illinois Big10 17 - 15 7 - 12 7.48
79 Marshall CUSA 21 - 14 4 - 2 7.43
80 Nevada MWC 28 - 7 6 - 1 7.36
81 Iowa Big10 18 - 17 8 - 10 7.11
82 Akron MAC 22 - 12 13 - 3 6.98
83 Denver SUM 22 - 9 0 - 0 6.73
84 Louisiana State SEC 18 - 15 7 - 9 6.72
85 Oral Roberts SUM 27 - 7 11 - 1 6.61
86 Illinois State MVC 21 - 14 9 - 7 6.55
87 Lehigh PAT 27 - 8 11 - 3 6.55
88 Clemson ACC 16 - 15 8 - 7 6.44
89 Villanova BE 13 - 19 4 - 3 6.44
90 Central Florida Amer 22 - 11 7 - 2 6.34
91 Montana BSky 25 - 7 16 - 2 6.23
92 Northern Iowa MVC 20 - 14 8 - 8 6.2
93 Georgia State SUN 22 - 12 1 - 0 6.17
94 Virginia Tech ACC 16 - 17 4 - 12 6.09
95 Mercer SC 27 - 11 4 - 1 6.07
96 Georgia SEC 15 - 17 5 - 11 6.04
97 Tulsa Amer 17 - 14 6 - 3 5.95
98 George Mason A10 24 - 9 2 - 2 5.9
99 Oklahoma State BIG12 15 - 18 5 - 9 5.86
100 Bucknell PAT 25 - 10 13 - 3 5.8
101 Washington State PAC12 19 - 18 7 - 11 5.74
102 Old Dominion CUSA 22 - 14 0 - 0 5.71
103 Cleveland State HOR 22 - 11 9 - 5 5.62
104 Princeton IVY 20 - 12 10 - 4 5.3
105 Wagner NEC 25 - 6 12 - 3 4.96
106 Wyoming MWC 21 - 12 5 - 7 4.88
107 Fairfield MAAC 22 - 15 12 - 5 4.85
108 Buffalo MAC 20 - 11 12 - 4 4.83
109 Oklahoma BIG12 15 - 16 4 - 10 4.77
110 Arkansas SEC 18 - 14 6 - 10 4.68
111 Detroit HOR 22 - 14 7 - 7 4.51
112 Butler BE 22 - 15 0 - 1 4.5
113 Maryland Big10 17 - 15 0 - 1 4.3
114 Rutgers Big10 14 - 18 0 - 0 4.25
115 UNC Asheville BSth 24 - 10 14 - 2 4.18
116 Loyola MD PAT 24 - 9 2 - 0 3.96
117 Richmond A10 16 - 16 5 - 9 3.81
118 Utah State MWC 21 - 16 3 - 3 3.8
119 Texas AM SEC 14 - 18 0 - 4 3.74
120 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 15 - 16 5 - 2 3.72
121 Missouri State MVC 16 - 16 8 - 8 3.66
122 UC Santa Barbara BW 20 - 11 10 - 4 3.57
123 Duquesne A10 16 - 15 7 - 7 3.56
124 Providence BE 15 - 17 1 - 6 3.39
125 Texas Arlington SUN 24 - 9 2 - 0 3.32
126 Evansville MVC 16 - 16 8 - 8 3.28
127 Pennsylvania IVY 20 - 13 11 - 3 3.14
128 Vermont AE 24 - 12 11 - 3 2.93
129 Robert Morris NEC 26 - 11 11 - 3 2.86
130 Lamar SLND 23 - 12 9 - 4 2.85
131 Loyola Marymount WCC 21 - 13 11 - 5 2.82
132 Penn State Big10 12 - 20 4 - 14 2.78
133 Auburn SEC 15 - 16 5 - 11 2.56
134 Weber State BSky 25 - 7 15 - 2 2.56
135 Kent State MAC 21 - 12 10 - 6 2.46
136 Valparaiso HOR 22 - 12 10 - 5 2.43
137 Manhattan MAAC 21 - 13 12 - 4 2.3
138 Saint Johns BE 13 - 19 3 - 5 2.3
139 LIU Brooklyn NEC 25 - 9 13 - 1 2.27
140 Texas El Paso CUSA 15 - 17 1 - 5 2.16
141 San Francisco WCC 20 - 14 9 - 8 2
142 East Carolina Amer 15 - 16 2 - 6 1.85
143 Texas Christian BIG12 18 - 15 1 - 0 1.81
144 Drake MVC 18 - 16 9 - 7 1.78
145 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 21 - 13 11 - 1 1.78
146 Indiana State MVC 18 - 15 8 - 8 1.73
147 Nebraska Big10 12 - 18 4 - 14 1.6
148 Oakland HOR 20 - 16 1 - 0 1.23
149 Rice CUSA 19 - 16 2 - 3 1.23
150 Stony Brook AE 22 - 10 13 - 1 1.04
151 Idaho BSky 19 - 14 2 - 2 1
152 Bowling Green MAC 16 - 16 9 - 7 0.81
153 Milwaukee HOR 20 - 14 8 - 6 0.79
154 South Carolina SEC 10 - 21 2 - 14 0.56
155 DePaul BE 12 - 19 1 - 7 0.52
156 Yale IVY 19 - 10 9 - 5 0.37
157 East Tennessee State SC 17 - 14 1 - 1 0.35
158 Tennessee State OVC 20 - 13 11 - 6 0.25
159 Delaware CAA 18 - 14 9 - 3 0.05
160 North Texas CUSA 18 - 14 2 - 2 -0.1
161 Boise State MWC 13 - 17 3 - 11 -0.24
162 Charlotte CUSA 13 - 17 0 - 0 -0.33
163 Quinnipiac MAAC 18 - 14 2 - 1 -0.51
164 College of Charleston CAA 19 - 12 1 - 1 -0.51
165 Western Kentucky CUSA 16 - 19 3 - 4 -0.75
166 Cal State Fullerton BW 21 - 10 10 - 4 -0.9
167 Stephen F Austin SLND 20 - 12 9 - 1 -0.91
168 Norfolk State MEAC 26 - 10 13 - 3 -1
169 Louisiana Tech CUSA 18 - 16 0 - 1 -1.04
170 Green Bay HOR 15 - 15 7 - 7 -1.16
171 Youngstown State HOR 16 - 15 8 - 6 -1.18
172 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 15 - 16 7 - 1 -1.37
173 American PAT 20 - 12 10 - 4 -1.56
174 Houston Amer 15 - 15 4 - 5 -1.58
175 Savannah State MEAC 21 - 12 14 - 2 -1.66
176 Georgia Tech ACC 11 - 20 3 - 11 -1.74
177 George Washington A10 10 - 21 4 - 9 -2.05
178 Air Force MWC 13 - 16 3 - 9 -2.11
179 North Dakota State SUM 17 - 14 5 - 8 -2.21
180 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 15 - 17 7 - 5 -2.25
181 Tennessee Tech OVC 19 - 14 9 - 7 -2.28
182 Wake Forest ACC 13 - 18 4 - 11 -2.31
183 North Florida ASUN 16 - 16 9 - 3 -2.46
184 South Alabama SUN 17 - 12 6 - 1 -2.52
185 Northeastern CAA 14 - 17 7 - 5 -2.52
186 Western Illinois SUM 18 - 15 9 - 5 -2.56
187 Fresno State MWC 13 - 20 3 - 5 -2.85
188 Charleston Southern BSth 19 - 12 10 - 6 -2.85
189 Morehead State OVC 18 - 15 10 - 6 -2.86
190 Hawaii BW 16 - 16 2 - 0 -2.93
191 Southern Methodist Amer 13 - 19 3 - 6 -2.96
192 Arizona State PAC12 10 - 21 6 - 12 -2.98
193 Cal Poly BW 18 - 15 7 - 7 -3.18
194 Texas San Antonio CUSA 18 - 14 1 - 0 -3.2
195 Boston PAT 16 - 16 0 - 2 -3.24
196 Western Michigan MAC 14 - 20 6 - 10 -3.25
197 Wofford SC 19 - 14 6 - 3 -3.27
198 UL Lafayette SUN 16 - 16 4 - 4 -3.54
199 Arkansas State SUN 14 - 20 4 - 4 -3.61
200 Columbia IVY 15 - 15 4 - 10 -3.62
201 Rider MAAC 13 - 19 10 - 7 -3.67
202 Tulane Amer 15 - 16 2 - 7 -3.71
203 Toledo MAC 19 - 17 7 - 9 -3.72
204 IUPUI SUM 14 - 18 4 - 8 -3.8
205 Jacksonville State OVC 15 - 18 8 - 8 -3.96
206 Coastal Carolina BSth 19 - 12 10 - 6 -3.99
207 Cornell IVY 12 - 16 7 - 7 -4.09
208 Albany AE 19 - 15 9 - 5 -4.09
209 San Diego WCC 13 - 18 7 - 9 -4.19
210 Rhode Island A10 7 - 24 4 - 10 -4.63
211 Portland State BSky 17 - 15 10 - 7 -4.66
212 Austin Peay OVC 12 - 20 8 - 10 -4.71
213 Holy Cross PAT 15 - 14 9 - 5 -4.76
214 Wright State HOR 13 - 19 5 - 9 -4.77
215 Florida Atlantic CUSA 11 - 19 3 - 4 -4.8
216 Siena MAAC 14 - 17 8 - 8 -4.81
217 Miami OH MAC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -4.82
218 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 15 - 15 9 - 5 -4.97
219 Seattle WAC 12 - 15 0 - 2 -5.01
220 Texas Tech BIG12 8 - 23 1 - 14 -5.08
221 Lipscomb ASUN 13 - 18 6 - 6 -5.1
222 Southern California PAC12 6 - 26 1 - 17 -5.2
223 Mcneese State SLND 17 - 16 9 - 4 -5.26
224 Hofstra CAA 10 - 22 3 - 9 -5.3
225 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 21 - 13 17 - 1 -5.33
226 Ball State MAC 15 - 15 6 - 10 -5.37
227 Central Connecticut State NEC 13 - 16 10 - 5 -5.56
228 Boston College ACC 9 - 22 4 - 11 -5.66
229 Western Carolina SC 17 - 18 6 - 5 -5.71
230 North Carolina Central MEAC 17 - 15 10 - 6 -5.82
231 Georgia Southern SUN 15 - 15 1 - 2 -5.86
232 SE Missouri State OVC 15 - 16 9 - 7 -6.01
233 Utah Valley WAC 20 - 13 7 - 0 -6.07
234 Eastern Washington BSky 15 - 17 9 - 8 -6.13
235 Niagara MAAC 14 - 19 7 - 10 -6.16
236 Southern Utah BSky 14 - 17 0 - 1 -6.2
237 Southern Illinois MVC 8 - 23 5 - 11 -6.33
238 Furman SC 15 - 16 6 - 4 -6.41
239 Lafayette PAT 13 - 18 7 - 7 -6.44
240 UNC Wilmington CAA 10 - 21 5 - 5 -6.49
241 Marist MAAC 14 - 18 6 - 10 -6.66
242 Delaware State MEAC 15 - 14 12 - 4 -6.69
243 Northwestern State SLND 16 - 16 7 - 6 -6.76
244 Fordham A10 10 - 19 3 - 9 -6.99
245 Sacred Heart NEC 14 - 18 6 - 9 -7.05
246 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 16 - 15 1 - 3 -7.12
247 Florida International CUSA 8 - 21 2 - 5 -7.22
248 James Madison CAA 12 - 20 5 - 6 -7.25
249 UC Irvine BW 12 - 20 5 - 9 -7.33
250 High Point BSth 13 - 18 8 - 9 -7.45
251 Jacksonville ASUN 8 - 22 4 - 8 -7.53
252 Bethune Cookman MEAC 18 - 17 11 - 5 -7.55
253 Appalachian State SUN 13 - 18 0 - 1 -7.73
254 Elon CAA 15 - 16 1 - 1 -7.77
255 Campbell BSth 17 - 15 10 - 7 -7.79
256 Presbyterian BSth 14 - 15 7 - 9 -7.89
257 Eastern Michigan MAC 14 - 18 9 - 7 -8.23
258 Monmouth MAAC 12 - 20 0 - 2 -8.25
259 UNC Greensboro SC 13 - 19 7 - 3 -8.26
260 Virginia Military Institute SC 17 - 16 1 - 0 -8.31
261 Eastern Kentucky OVC 16 - 16 7 - 9 -8.45
262 North Dakota BSky 17 - 15 2 - 2 -8.49
263 Troy SUN 10 - 18 1 - 5 -8.73
264 UC Riverside BW 14 - 17 6 - 8 -8.85
265 Stetson ASUN 9 - 20 5 - 7 -8.87
266 Bradley MVC 7 - 25 2 - 15 -8.95
267 San Jose State MWC 9 - 22 1 - 5 -9.03
268 Central Michigan MAC 11 - 21 5 - 11 -9.22
269 Utah PAC12 6 - 25 3 - 15 -9.27
270 Samford SC 11 - 19 3 - 7 -9.36
271 Chattanooga SC 11 - 21 3 - 7 -9.39
272 Northern Colorado BSky 9 - 19 5 - 11 -9.51
273 Liberty BSth 14 - 18 8 - 8 -9.56
274 Texas Southern SWAC 15 - 18 12 - 6 -9.58
275 Winthrop BSth 12 - 20 7 - 9 -9.65
276 Pepperdine WCC 10 - 19 4 - 12 -9.67
277 Portland WCC 7 - 24 3 - 13 -9.77
278 Pacific WCC 11 - 19 0 - 2 -9.92
279 Coppin State MEAC 14 - 16 9 - 7 -10.05
280 IPFW SUM 11 - 19 5 - 9 -10.12
281 Sam Houston State SLND 13 - 19 5 - 5 -10.15
282 Texas State SUN 13 - 17 0 - 2 -10.16
283 Morgan State MEAC 9 - 20 6 - 10 -10.29
284 Maine AE 12 - 17 6 - 8 -10.46
285 South Dakota SUM 10 - 18 4 - 9 -10.52
286 UMKC WAC 10 - 21 0 - 1 -10.63
287 Santa Clara WCC 8 - 22 1 - 16 -10.83
288 New Hampshire AE 13 - 16 6 - 8 -10.84
289 Loyola Ill MVC 7 - 23 1 - 0 -10.86
290 William and Mary CAA 6 - 26 4 - 7 -10.95
291 Illinois Chicago HOR 8 - 22 2 - 12 -11
292 Gardner Webb BSth 12 - 20 5 - 11 -11.01
293 Hampton MEAC 12 - 21 6 - 10 -11.27
294 Army PAT 12 - 18 5 - 9 -11.73
295 Mt St Marys NEC 8 - 21 6 - 9 -11.78
296 NJ Tech ASUN 15 - 17 0 - 0 -12.07
297 Montana State BSky 12 - 17 7 - 10 -12.2
298 Sacramento State BSky 10 - 18 6 - 11 -12.43
299 Eastern Illinois OVC 12 - 17 5 - 11 -12.64
300 SIU Edwardsville OVC 10 - 17 6 - 10 -12.78
301 Hartford AE 9 - 22 7 - 7 -12.79
302 Southeast Louisiana SLND 12 - 17 5 - 8 -13
303 North Carolina AT MEAC 12 - 20 7 - 9 -13.15
304 Dartmouth IVY 5 - 25 1 - 13 -13.51
305 Idaho State BSky 9 - 21 8 - 10 -13.73
306 Brown IVY 8 - 23 2 - 12 -14.22
307 Southern SWAC 17 - 14 13 - 5 -14.3
308 Howard MEAC 10 - 21 6 - 10 -14.31
309 Cal State Northridge BW 7 - 21 3 - 12 -14.35
310 Texas Pan American WAC 11 - 21 3 - 3 -14.89
311 Saint Francis Penn NEC 6 - 23 3 - 11 -15.02
312 Florida AM MEAC 10 - 23 6 - 10 -15.08
313 UL Monroe SUN 3 - 26 1 - 7 -15.13
314 Texas AM CC SLND 6 - 24 2 - 8 -15.34
315 Saint Peters MAAC 5 - 26 4 - 12 -15.46
316 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 11 - 22 9 - 9 -15.59
317 Colgate PAT 8 - 22 2 - 12 -15.68
318 The Citadel SC 6 - 24 2 - 8 -16.29
319 Prairie View SWAC 14 - 18 10 - 8 -16.3
320 Alabama State SWAC 12 - 19 9 - 9 -16.32
321 Nicholls State SLND 10 - 20 6 - 8 -16.36
322 Radford BSth 6 - 26 2 - 14 -16.49
323 Canisius MAAC 5 - 25 1 - 15 -16.6
324 Houston Baptist SLND 10 - 20 0 - 1 -16.79
325 Kennesaw St ASUN 3 - 28 0 - 12 -16.89
326 UC Davis BW 5 - 26 2 - 13 -17.26
327 Northern Illinois MAC 5 - 26 3 - 13 -17.43
328 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 7 - 23 4 - 12 -17.84
329 Towson CAA 1 - 31 1 - 10 -17.89
330 Navy PAT 3 - 26 0 - 14 -18.13
331 Central Arkansas SLND 8 - 21 3 - 10 -18.18
332 Jackson State SWAC 7 - 24 5 - 13 -19.28
333 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 3 - 26 2 - 13 -19.39
334 Alcorn State SWAC 10 - 22 6 - 12 -19.55
335 Chicago State WAC 4 - 26 0 - 4 -19.86
336 Tennessee Martin OVC 4 - 27 0 - 16 -19.97
337 Bryant NEC 2 - 28 1 - 14 -20.61
338 Omaha SUM 11 - 18 0 - 6 -20.63
339 Longwood BSth 10 - 21 0 - 0 -20.93
340 Alabama AM SWAC 7 - 21 5 - 13 -21
341 Northern Arizona BSky 5 - 24 1 - 15 -21.03
342 UMBC AE 4 - 26 3 - 11 -21.62
343 Binghamton AE 2 - 29 1 - 13 -22.23
344 South Carolina State MEAC 5 - 26 0 - 16 -23.05
345 New Orleans SLND 1 - 7 0 - 0 -24.96
346 Grambling State SWAC 4 - 24 4 - 14 -26.33