Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Postseason 2017-2018

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Villanova BE 36 - 4 14 - 4 27.17
2 Virginia ACC 31 - 3 17 - 1 23.88
3 Duke ACC 29 - 8 13 - 5 22.92
4 Michigan Big10 33 - 8 13 - 5 21.15
5 Purdue Big10 30 - 7 15 - 3 21.14
6 Kansas BIG12 31 - 8 13 - 5 20.92
7 Michigan State Big10 30 - 5 16 - 2 20.45
8 Cincinnati Amer 31 - 5 16 - 2 20.36
9 North Carolina ACC 26 - 11 11 - 7 19.37
10 Xavier BE 29 - 6 15 - 3 19.18
11 Tennessee SEC 26 - 9 13 - 5 18.67
12 West Virginia BIG12 26 - 11 11 - 7 18.52
13 Texas Tech BIG12 27 - 10 11 - 7 18.2
14 Clemson ACC 25 - 10 11 - 7 17.79
15 Ohio State Big10 25 - 9 15 - 3 17.73
16 Kentucky SEC 26 - 11 10 - 8 17.65
17 Gonzaga WCC 32 - 5 17 - 1 17.51
18 Houston Amer 27 - 8 14 - 4 17.04
19 Penn State Big10 26 - 13 9 - 9 16.02
20 Auburn SEC 26 - 8 13 - 5 16.01
21 Butler BE 21 - 14 9 - 9 15.8
22 Arizona PAC12 27 - 8 14 - 4 15.77
23 Florida SEC 21 - 13 11 - 7 15.52
24 Wichita State Amer 25 - 8 14 - 4 15.48
25 Loyola Ill MVC 32 - 6 15 - 3 15
26 Florida State ACC 23 - 12 9 - 9 14.97
27 Seton Hall BE 22 - 12 10 - 8 14.96
28 Texas Christian BIG12 21 - 12 9 - 9 14.79
29 Nevada MWC 29 - 8 15 - 3 14.44
30 Texas AM SEC 22 - 13 9 - 9 14.41
31 Creighton BE 21 - 12 10 - 8 13.47
32 Kansas State BIG12 25 - 12 10 - 8 13.34
33 Arkansas SEC 23 - 12 10 - 8 13.32
34 Louisville ACC 22 - 14 9 - 9 13.3
35 Syracuse ACC 23 - 14 8 - 10 13.1
36 Virginia Tech ACC 21 - 12 10 - 8 12.59
37 Saint Marys WCC 30 - 6 16 - 2 12.57
38 Southern California PAC12 24 - 12 12 - 6 12.53
39 Miami ACC 22 - 10 11 - 7 12.46
40 Rhode Island A10 26 - 8 15 - 3 12.43
41 Baylor BIG12 19 - 15 8 - 10 12.3
42 Western Kentucky CUSA 27 - 11 14 - 4 12.28
43 Texas BIG12 19 - 15 8 - 10 12.26
44 NC State ACC 21 - 12 11 - 7 12.23
45 Mississippi State SEC 25 - 12 9 - 9 12.23
46 Marquette BE 21 - 14 9 - 9 12.15
47 Middle Tennessee CUSA 25 - 8 16 - 2 12.06
48 Missouri SEC 20 - 13 10 - 8 12.05
49 Alabama SEC 20 - 16 8 - 10 12.03
50 San Diego State MWC 22 - 11 11 - 7 11.98
51 Nebraska Big10 22 - 11 13 - 5 11.96
52 Utah PAC12 23 - 12 11 - 7 11.81
53 UCLA PAC12 21 - 12 11 - 7 11.68
54 Davidson A10 21 - 12 13 - 5 11.62
55 Maryland Big10 19 - 13 8 - 10 11.62
56 Providence BE 21 - 14 10 - 8 11.51
57 Notre Dame ACC 21 - 15 8 - 10 11.47
58 Oklahoma State BIG12 21 - 15 8 - 10 11.46
59 Saint Bonaventure A10 26 - 8 14 - 4 11.01
60 Oklahoma BIG12 18 - 14 8 - 10 10.84
61 Buffalo MAC 27 - 9 15 - 3 10.7
62 Old Dominion CUSA 25 - 7 15 - 3 10.66
63 Arizona State PAC12 20 - 12 8 - 10 10.39
64 Georgia SEC 18 - 15 7 - 11 9.99
65 New Mexico State WAC 28 - 6 12 - 2 9.88
66 Boise State MWC 23 - 9 13 - 5 9.85
67 Louisiana State SEC 18 - 15 8 - 10 9.81
68 Oregon PAC12 23 - 13 10 - 8 9.77
69 Murray State OVC 26 - 6 16 - 2 9.15
70 Indiana Big10 16 - 15 9 - 9 8.61
71 Wisconsin Big10 15 - 18 7 - 11 8.48
72 South Dakota State SUM 28 - 7 13 - 1 8.46
73 South Carolina SEC 17 - 16 7 - 11 8.4
74 Saint Johns BE 16 - 17 4 - 14 8.37
75 Boston College ACC 19 - 16 7 - 11 8.25
76 Montana BSky 26 - 8 16 - 2 8.15
77 UL Lafayette SUN 27 - 7 16 - 2 8.09
78 Stanford PAC12 19 - 16 11 - 7 8.06
79 Brigham Young WCC 24 - 11 11 - 7 7.73
80 UNC Greensboro SC 27 - 8 15 - 3 7.69
81 Marshall CUSA 25 - 11 12 - 6 7.36
82 Washington PAC12 21 - 13 10 - 8 7.26
83 Fresno State MWC 21 - 11 11 - 7 7.25
84 Belmont OVC 24 - 9 15 - 3 6.91
85 Vermont AE 27 - 8 15 - 1 6.8
86 Northeastern CAA 23 - 10 14 - 4 6.77
87 Vanderbilt SEC 12 - 20 6 - 12 6.54
88 Tulsa Amer 19 - 12 12 - 6 6.51
89 Bucknell PAT 25 - 10 16 - 2 6.47
90 Northwestern Big10 15 - 17 6 - 12 6.42
91 Temple Amer 17 - 16 8 - 10 6.17
92 South Dakota SUM 26 - 9 11 - 3 6.03
93 Furman SC 23 - 10 13 - 5 6.01
94 Oregon State PAC12 16 - 16 7 - 11 5.99
95 New Mexico MWC 19 - 15 12 - 6 5.9
96 College of Charleston CAA 26 - 8 14 - 4 5.77
97 Iowa Big10 14 - 19 4 - 14 5.77
98 East Tennessee State SC 25 - 9 14 - 4 5.63
99 Northern Colorado BSky 26 - 12 11 - 7 5.48
100 Georgetown BE 15 - 15 5 - 13 5.47
101 Utah Valley WAC 23 - 11 10 - 4 5.44
102 Colorado PAC12 17 - 15 8 - 10 5.33
103 Southern Methodist Amer 17 - 16 6 - 12 5.03
104 Illinois Big10 14 - 18 4 - 14 4.95
105 Central Florida Amer 19 - 13 9 - 9 4.9
106 Toledo MAC 23 - 11 13 - 5 4.87
107 Iowa State BIG12 13 - 18 4 - 14 4.81
108 Wake Forest ACC 11 - 20 4 - 14 4.7
109 Northern Kentucky HOR 22 - 10 15 - 3 4.65
110 DePaul BE 11 - 20 4 - 14 4.46
111 Stephen F Austin SLND 28 - 7 14 - 4 4.37
112 Saint Josephs A10 16 - 16 10 - 8 4.34
113 Pennsylvania IVY 24 - 9 12 - 2 4.33
114 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 20 - 13 10 - 8 4.28
115 Georgia State SUN 24 - 11 12 - 6 4.27
116 Mississippi SEC 12 - 20 5 - 13 4.24
117 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 20 - 13 8 - 10 4.17
118 Georgia Tech ACC 13 - 19 6 - 12 4.08
119 Wyoming MWC 20 - 13 10 - 8 3.98
120 Illinois State MVC 18 - 15 10 - 8 3.19
121 Northern Iowa MVC 16 - 16 7 - 11 3.11
122 Bradley MVC 20 - 13 9 - 9 3
123 Wright State HOR 25 - 10 14 - 4 2.95
124 Memphis Amer 21 - 13 10 - 8 2.95
125 Rutgers Big10 15 - 19 3 - 15 2.86
126 Minnesota Big10 15 - 17 4 - 14 2.75
127 Southern Illinois MVC 20 - 13 11 - 7 2.53
128 Virginia Commonwealth A10 18 - 15 9 - 9 2.52
129 Saint Louis A10 17 - 16 9 - 9 2.47
130 Grand Canyon WAC 22 - 12 9 - 5 2.44
131 Rider MAAC 22 - 10 15 - 3 2.25
132 UC Santa Barbara BW 23 - 9 11 - 5 2.18
133 Eastern Michigan MAC 22 - 13 11 - 7 2.15
134 Idaho BSky 22 - 9 14 - 4 2.06
135 Canisius MAAC 21 - 12 15 - 3 2.03
136 Missouri State MVC 18 - 15 7 - 11 1.95
137 San Diego WCC 20 - 14 9 - 9 1.85
138 Texas Arlington SUN 21 - 13 10 - 8 1.85
139 UMBC AE 25 - 11 12 - 4 1.84
140 North Texas CUSA 20 - 18 8 - 10 1.63
141 Harvard IVY 18 - 14 12 - 2 1.48
142 Utah State MWC 17 - 17 8 - 10 1.47
143 San Francisco WCC 22 - 17 9 - 9 1.44
144 Iona MAAC 20 - 14 11 - 7 1.42
145 William and Mary CAA 19 - 12 11 - 7 1.38
146 UC Davis BW 22 - 11 12 - 4 1.36
147 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 23 - 12 12 - 2 1.26
148 Hofstra CAA 19 - 12 12 - 6 1.24
149 Wofford SC 21 - 13 11 - 7 1.22
150 Eastern Washington BSky 20 - 15 13 - 5 1.16
151 Evansville MVC 17 - 15 7 - 11 0.77
152 Jacksonville State OVC 23 - 13 11 - 7 0.7
153 UC Irvine BW 18 - 17 11 - 5 0.58
154 Weber State BSky 20 - 11 13 - 5 0.5
155 Cal State Fullerton BW 20 - 12 10 - 6 0.38
156 Indiana State MVC 13 - 18 8 - 10 0.35
157 Connecticut Amer 14 - 18 7 - 11 0.34
158 Richmond A10 12 - 20 9 - 9 0.29
159 Louisiana Tech CUSA 17 - 16 7 - 11 0.26
160 Albany AE 22 - 10 10 - 6 0.24
161 Radford BSth 23 - 13 12 - 6 0.16
162 Lipscomb ASUN 23 - 10 10 - 4 0.15
163 Dayton A10 14 - 17 8 - 10 0.01
164 Drake MVC 17 - 17 10 - 8 -0.08
165 Ball State MAC 19 - 13 10 - 8 -0.1
166 Mercer SC 19 - 15 11 - 7 -0.18
167 Texas San Antonio CUSA 20 - 15 11 - 7 -0.21
168 Winthrop BSth 19 - 12 12 - 6 -0.25
169 Georgia Southern SUN 21 - 12 11 - 7 -0.26
170 Central Michigan MAC 22 - 15 8 - 11 -0.34
171 Valparaiso MVC 15 - 17 6 - 12 -0.45
172 La Salle A10 13 - 19 7 - 11 -0.45
173 Illinois Chicago HOR 20 - 16 12 - 6 -1.05
174 Towson CAA 18 - 14 8 - 10 -1.14
175 George Washington A10 15 - 18 7 - 11 -1.23
176 Tulane Amer 14 - 17 5 - 13 -1.3
177 Portland State BSky 20 - 14 9 - 9 -1.34
178 Washington State PAC12 12 - 19 4 - 14 -1.42
179 UNC Asheville BSth 21 - 13 13 - 5 -1.52
180 Pacific WCC 14 - 18 9 - 9 -1.6
181 Oakland HOR 19 - 14 10 - 8 -1.75
182 Wagner NEC 23 - 10 14 - 4 -1.82
183 Western Michigan MAC 17 - 16 9 - 10 -1.83
184 Liberty BSth 22 - 15 9 - 9 -1.89
185 Nicholls State SLND 21 - 11 15 - 3 -2.08
186 Austin Peay OVC 19 - 15 12 - 6 -2.11
187 Kent State MAC 17 - 17 9 - 9 -2.36
188 Troy SUN 16 - 17 9 - 9 -2.41
189 IPFW SUM 18 - 15 7 - 7 -2.43
190 George Mason A10 16 - 17 9 - 9 -2.61
191 Seattle WAC 20 - 14 8 - 6 -2.63
192 Miami OH MAC 16 - 18 8 - 10 -2.66
193 Ohio MAC 14 - 17 7 - 11 -2.67
194 Duquesne A10 16 - 16 7 - 11 -3.04
195 Southeast Louisiana SLND 22 - 12 15 - 3 -3.1
196 Niagara MAAC 19 - 14 12 - 6 -3.22
197 Hawaii BW 17 - 13 8 - 8 -3.26
198 Southern Miss CUSA 16 - 18 7 - 11 -3.45
199 Yale IVY 16 - 15 9 - 5 -3.57
200 Long Beach State BW 15 - 18 9 - 7 -3.58
201 Colgate PAT 19 - 14 12 - 6 -3.68
202 Fairfield MAAC 17 - 16 9 - 9 -3.71
203 Massachusetts A10 13 - 20 5 - 13 -3.72
204 North Dakota State SUM 15 - 17 5 - 9 -3.73
205 Hartford AE 19 - 14 11 - 5 -3.76
206 Monmouth MAAC 11 - 20 7 - 11 -3.77
207 Sam Houston State SLND 21 - 15 12 - 6 -3.78
208 Milwaukee HOR 16 - 17 8 - 10 -3.83
209 Tennessee State OVC 15 - 15 10 - 8 -4.14
210 Denver SUM 15 - 15 8 - 6 -4.23
211 Tennessee Tech OVC 19 - 14 10 - 8 -4.27
212 Pittsburgh ACC 8 - 24 0 - 18 -4.4
213 Princeton IVY 13 - 16 5 - 9 -4.55
214 Campbell BSth 18 - 16 10 - 8 -4.99
215 Manhattan MAAC 14 - 17 9 - 9 -5.02
216 Florida International CUSA 14 - 18 8 - 10 -5.15
217 Navy PAT 20 - 12 11 - 7 -5.23
218 Saint Francis Penn NEC 18 - 13 12 - 6 -5.25
219 Bowling Green MAC 16 - 16 7 - 11 -5.27
220 Lehigh PAT 16 - 14 11 - 7 -5.37
221 Air Force MWC 12 - 19 6 - 12 -5.47
222 Appalachian State SUN 15 - 18 9 - 9 -5.49
223 Saint Peters MAAC 14 - 18 6 - 12 -5.54
224 Central Arkansas SLND 18 - 17 10 - 8 -5.57
225 Colorado State MWC 11 - 21 4 - 14 -5.68
226 UL Monroe SUN 16 - 16 9 - 9 -5.77
227 Stony Brook AE 13 - 19 7 - 9 -5.85
228 Loyola Marymount WCC 11 - 20 5 - 13 -6.02
229 Mt St Marys NEC 18 - 14 12 - 6 -6.04
230 Idaho State BSky 14 - 16 9 - 9 -6.04
231 Lamar SLND 19 - 14 11 - 7 -6.12
232 California PAC12 8 - 24 2 - 16 -6.19
233 Texas Southern SWAC 16 - 20 12 - 6 -6.19
234 UNC Wilmington CAA 11 - 21 7 - 11 -6.24
235 Akron MAC 14 - 18 6 - 12 -6.31
236 Coastal Carolina SUN 14 - 18 8 - 10 -6.33
237 James Madison CAA 10 - 22 6 - 12 -6.34
238 Charleston Southern BSth 15 - 16 9 - 9 -6.38
239 Florida Atlantic CUSA 12 - 19 6 - 12 -6.44
240 Drexel CAA 13 - 20 6 - 12 -6.68
241 Delaware CAA 14 - 19 6 - 12 -6.69
242 Texas El Paso CUSA 11 - 20 6 - 12 -6.77
243 Northern Illinois MAC 13 - 19 6 - 12 -6.8
244 South Alabama SUN 14 - 18 7 - 11 -6.82
245 Texas State SUN 15 - 18 7 - 11 -7
246 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 12 - 18 5 - 9 -7.08
247 North Dakota BSky 12 - 20 6 - 12 -7.24
248 Hampton MEAC 19 - 16 12 - 4 -7.34
249 Southern Utah BSky 13 - 19 5 - 13 -7.36
250 Elon CAA 14 - 18 6 - 12 -7.43
251 LIU Brooklyn NEC 18 - 17 10 - 8 -7.48
252 High Point BSth 14 - 16 9 - 9 -7.54
253 Oral Roberts SUM 11 - 21 5 - 9 -7.56
254 South Florida Amer 10 - 22 3 - 15 -7.65
255 Boston PAT 15 - 16 10 - 8 -7.76
256 SE Missouri State OVC 14 - 17 8 - 10 -7.98
257 Santa Clara WCC 11 - 20 8 - 10 -8.02
258 Gardner Webb BSth 14 - 18 9 - 9 -8.02
259 Columbia IVY 8 - 19 5 - 9 -8.19
260 Eastern Illinois OVC 12 - 19 7 - 11 -8.23
261 Cornell IVY 12 - 16 6 - 8 -8.27
262 Green Bay HOR 13 - 20 7 - 11 -8.34
263 Texas Pan American WAC 15 - 18 6 - 8 -8.45
264 NJ Tech ASUN 14 - 16 7 - 7 -8.52
265 Robert Morris NEC 16 - 17 9 - 9 -8.67
266 New Orleans SLND 16 - 17 11 - 7 -8.77
267 Portland WCC 10 - 22 4 - 14 -8.89
268 Pepperdine WCC 6 - 26 2 - 16 -9
269 Prairie View SWAC 16 - 18 12 - 6 -9.3
270 Western Carolina SC 13 - 19 8 - 10 -9.41
271 Fordham A10 9 - 22 4 - 14 -9.44
272 East Carolina Amer 10 - 20 4 - 14 -9.44
273 IUPUI HOR 11 - 19 8 - 10 -9.49
274 Quinnipiac MAAC 12 - 21 7 - 11 -9.53
275 Abilene Christian SLND 16 - 16 8 - 10 -9.57
276 Holy Cross PAT 12 - 19 8 - 10 -9.72
277 Montana State BSky 13 - 19 6 - 12 -9.79
278 Cleveland State HOR 12 - 23 6 - 12 -9.99
279 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 13 - 18 9 - 9 -10.02
280 Brown IVY 11 - 16 4 - 10 -10.04
281 North Florida ASUN 14 - 19 7 - 7 -10.05
282 UMass Lowell AE 12 - 18 6 - 10 -10.16
283 Eastern Kentucky OVC 11 - 20 5 - 13 -10.23
284 UMKC WAC 10 - 22 5 - 9 -10.28
285 Rice CUSA 7 - 24 4 - 14 -10.3
286 Bethune Cookman MEAC 18 - 14 12 - 4 -10.45
287 Grambling State SWAC 17 - 14 13 - 5 -10.49
288 UC Riverside BW 9 - 22 4 - 12 -10.51
289 Omaha SUM 9 - 22 4 - 10 -10.75
290 Morehead State OVC 8 - 21 4 - 14 -10.83
291 Samford SC 10 - 22 6 - 12 -10.85
292 Norfolk State MEAC 14 - 19 11 - 5 -10.85
293 Lafayette PAT 10 - 21 7 - 11 -10.87
294 Army PAT 13 - 17 6 - 12 -10.91
295 New Hampshire AE 10 - 21 6 - 10 -10.92
296 Arkansas State SUN 11 - 21 6 - 12 -11
297 Sacramento State BSky 7 - 25 4 - 14 -11.29
298 Savannah State MEAC 15 - 17 12 - 4 -11.39
299 Chattanooga SC 10 - 23 3 - 15 -11.43
300 The Citadel SC 11 - 21 5 - 13 -11.5
301 North Carolina AT MEAC 20 - 15 11 - 5 -11.51
302 San Jose State MWC 4 - 26 1 - 17 -11.68
303 Western Illinois SUM 12 - 16 3 - 11 -11.84
304 Tennessee Martin OVC 10 - 21 5 - 13 -11.92
305 Jacksonville ASUN 15 - 18 8 - 6 -12.03
306 Kennesaw St ASUN 10 - 20 6 - 8 -12.03
307 Mcneese State SLND 12 - 17 8 - 10 -12.09
308 Siena MAAC 8 - 24 4 - 14 -12.11
309 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 13 - 18 10 - 8 -12.19
310 Charlotte CUSA 6 - 23 2 - 16 -12.25
311 SIU Edwardsville OVC 9 - 21 5 - 13 -12.3
312 North Carolina Central MEAC 19 - 16 9 - 7 -12.31
313 Central Connecticut State NEC 14 - 18 7 - 11 -12.33
314 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 7 - 25 4 - 14 -12.49
315 Dartmouth IVY 7 - 20 3 - 11 -12.67
316 Binghamton AE 11 - 20 2 - 14 -12.88
317 Texas AM CC SLND 11 - 18 8 - 10 -12.93
318 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 15 - 21 13 - 6 -13.2
319 Sacred Heart NEC 10 - 21 5 - 13 -13.21
320 Southern SWAC 15 - 18 10 - 8 -13.48
321 Marist MAAC 6 - 25 4 - 14 -13.8
322 Loyola MD PAT 9 - 22 6 - 12 -13.82
323 Youngstown State HOR 8 - 24 6 - 12 -13.82
324 Detroit HOR 8 - 24 4 - 14 -13.93
325 Cal Poly BW 9 - 22 4 - 12 -14.2
326 Stetson ASUN 12 - 20 4 - 10 -14.23
327 Presbyterian BSth 11 - 21 4 - 14 -14.96
328 Virginia Military Institute SC 9 - 21 4 - 14 -15.25
329 Northern Arizona BSky 5 - 27 2 - 16 -15.41
330 Morgan State MEAC 13 - 19 7 - 9 -15.76
331 Cal State Northridge BW 6 - 24 3 - 13 -15.93
332 American PAT 6 - 24 3 - 15 -16.39
333 Maine AE 6 - 26 3 - 13 -16.69
334 Alabama State SWAC 8 - 23 8 - 10 -17.42
335 Jackson State SWAC 12 - 20 9 - 9 -17.52
336 Alcorn State SWAC 11 - 21 7 - 11 -17.99
337 Howard MEAC 10 - 23 7 - 9 -18.09
338 Longwood BSth 7 - 26 3 - 15 -18.14
339 Florida AM MEAC 9 - 25 7 - 9 -18.51
340 South Carolina State MEAC 10 - 22 6 - 10 -19.02
341 Houston Baptist SLND 6 - 25 2 - 16 -19.15
342 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 7 - 25 2 - 12 -19.2
343 Chicago State WAC 3 - 29 1 - 13 -20.02
344 Incarnate Word SLND 7 - 21 2 - 16 -20.09
345 Bryant NEC 3 - 28 2 - 16 -21.05
346 Coppin State MEAC 5 - 27 5 - 11 -21.71
347 Northwestern State SLND 4 - 25 1 - 17 -21.78
348 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 4 - 29 4 - 15 -22.04
349 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 7 - 25 3 - 13 -23.99
350 Alabama AM SWAC 3 - 28 3 - 15 -24.8
351 Delaware State MEAC 4 - 28 2 - 14 -25.19