Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2010 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Duke ACC 35 - 5 12 - 2 26.33
2 Kansas BIG12 33 - 3 8 - 1 25.9
3 Kentucky SEC 35 - 3 14 - 2 23.27
4 Syracuse ACC 30 - 5 2 - 3 21.91
5 West Virginia BIG12 31 - 7 0 - 0 21.65
6 Kansas State BIG12 29 - 8 5 - 4 21.27
7 Baylor BIG12 28 - 8 8 - 3 20.46
8 Ohio State Big10 29 - 8 14 - 4 19.91
9 Butler BE 33 - 5 1 - 1 19.57
10 Maryland Big10 24 - 9 1 - 1 18.48
11 Purdue Big10 29 - 6 14 - 4 18.34
12 Brigham Young WCC 30 - 6 1 - 0 17.99
13 Xavier BE 26 - 9 1 - 2 17.96
14 Georgetown BE 23 - 11 6 - 2 17.9
15 Wisconsin Big10 24 - 9 14 - 5 17.85
16 Texas AM SEC 24 - 10 1 - 0 17.41
17 Michigan State Big10 28 - 9 14 - 4 17.07
18 Tennessee SEC 28 - 9 11 - 5 17.05
19 California PAC12 24 - 11 13 - 5 16.97
20 Villanova BE 25 - 8 7 - 1 16.91
21 Temple Amer 29 - 6 0 - 0 16.59
22 Northern Iowa MVC 30 - 5 13 - 3 16.47
23 Pittsburgh ACC 25 - 9 2 - 1 16.44
24 Washington PAC12 26 - 10 11 - 7 16.4
25 Missouri SEC 23 - 11 1 - 2 16.37
26 Texas BIG12 24 - 10 6 - 5 16.13
27 Vanderbilt SEC 24 - 9 13 - 4 15.39
28 Dayton A10 25 - 12 7 - 6 15.26
29 Clemson ACC 21 - 11 8 - 6 15.24
30 Marquette BE 22 - 12 7 - 3 14.88
31 Utah State MWC 27 - 8 8 - 0 14.73
32 Georgia Tech ACC 23 - 13 7 - 8 14.65
33 Saint Marys WCC 28 - 6 12 - 3 14.6
34 Florida State ACC 22 - 10 10 - 4 14.44
35 Notre Dame ACC 23 - 12 1 - 2 14.43
36 Minnesota Big10 21 - 14 9 - 9 14.15
37 New Mexico MWC 30 - 5 8 - 2 13.89
38 Old Dominion CUSA 27 - 9 2 - 0 13.87
39 Texas El Paso CUSA 26 - 7 6 - 0 13.59
40 Oklahoma State BIG12 22 - 11 6 - 5 13.47
41 Richmond A10 26 - 9 11 - 2 13.32
42 Virginia Tech ACC 25 - 9 10 - 5 13.29
43 Louisville ACC 20 - 13 3 - 1 13.28
44 San Diego State MWC 25 - 9 8 - 3 13.19
45 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 25 - 9 9 - 2 12.96
46 Gonzaga WCC 27 - 7 12 - 2 12.94
47 Mississippi SEC 24 - 11 9 - 7 12.73
48 Mississippi State SEC 24 - 12 9 - 7 12.59
49 Virginia Commonwealth A10 27 - 9 2 - 1 12.51
50 Florida SEC 21 - 13 9 - 7 12.15
51 Cornell IVY 29 - 5 13 - 1 12.05
52 Wake Forest ACC 20 - 11 8 - 7 11.97
53 Arizona State PAC12 22 - 11 12 - 6 11.8
54 Illinois Big10 21 - 15 10 - 8 11.76
55 Rhode Island A10 26 - 10 9 - 5 11.49
56 Memphis Amer 24 - 10 7 - 2 11.38
57 Siena MAAC 27 - 7 15 - 1 11.3
58 Murray State OVC 31 - 5 19 - 1 11.26
59 Connecticut Amer 18 - 16 1 - 3 11.01
60 North Carolina ACC 20 - 17 5 - 11 10.57
61 Miami ACC 20 - 13 4 - 11 10.57
62 Wichita State MVC 25 - 10 11 - 5 10.22
63 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 25 - 9 5 - 3 9.92
64 Seton Hall BE 19 - 13 3 - 3 9.91
65 Alabama SEC 17 - 15 6 - 10 9.51
66 Cincinnati Amer 19 - 16 3 - 1 9.45
67 Missouri State MVC 24 - 12 7 - 9 9.3
68 NC State ACC 20 - 16 5 - 9 9.01
69 South Florida Amer 20 - 13 4 - 1 8.95
70 Saint Johns BE 17 - 16 2 - 5 8.88
71 Texas Tech BIG12 19 - 16 5 - 7 8.73
72 Kent State MAC 24 - 10 13 - 3 8.44
73 Michigan Big10 15 - 17 7 - 11 8.44
74 Wofford SC 26 - 9 8 - 1 8.27
75 Boston College ACC 15 - 16 6 - 9 8.17
76 Wright State HOR 20 - 12 11 - 3 8.14
77 Marshall CUSA 24 - 10 4 - 3 7.97
78 Saint Louis A10 23 - 13 11 - 2 7.96
79 Illinois State MVC 22 - 11 9 - 7 7.87
80 Iowa State BIG12 15 - 17 1 - 8 7.78
81 Northeastern CAA 20 - 13 7 - 4 7.64
82 Tulsa Amer 23 - 12 7 - 2 7.64
83 Georgia SEC 14 - 17 5 - 12 7.54
84 Virginia ACC 15 - 16 5 - 9 7.49
85 Southern California PAC12 16 - 14 8 - 10 7.48
86 Nevada MWC 21 - 13 5 - 4 7.34
87 Arizona PAC12 16 - 15 11 - 8 7.33
88 Ohio MAC 22 - 15 7 - 9 7.09
89 Northwestern Big10 20 - 14 7 - 11 7.06
90 South Carolina SEC 15 - 16 6 - 10 6.86
91 Portland WCC 21 - 11 10 - 4 6.85
92 Colorado PAC12 15 - 16 0 - 2 6.74
93 New Mexico State WAC 22 - 12 0 - 0 5.96
94 Charlotte CUSA 19 - 12 0 - 1 5.83
95 Houston Amer 19 - 16 3 - 6 5.83
96 Morehead State OVC 24 - 11 16 - 3 5.7
97 Nebraska Big10 15 - 18 0 - 0 5.67
98 Sam Houston State SLND 25 - 8 10 - 0 5.58
99 Bradley MVC 16 - 15 9 - 8 5.43
100 Akron MAC 24 - 11 12 - 4 5.31
101 Creighton BE 18 - 16 0 - 1 5.27
102 Appalachian State SUN 24 - 13 1 - 1 5.17
103 Auburn SEC 15 - 17 6 - 10 5.05
104 Providence BE 12 - 19 2 - 5 4.98
105 Arkansas SEC 14 - 18 7 - 9 4.89
106 Oklahoma BIG12 13 - 18 3 - 8 4.85
107 William and Mary CAA 22 - 11 9 - 3 4.78
108 Stanford PAC12 14 - 18 7 - 11 4.69
109 UCLA PAC12 14 - 18 8 - 10 4.62
110 IUPUI SUM 25 - 11 8 - 2 4.54
111 Pacific WCC 23 - 12 3 - 2 4.42
112 Penn State Big10 11 - 20 3 - 15 4.41
113 Iona MAAC 21 - 10 10 - 6 4.3
114 Montana BSky 22 - 10 11 - 6 4.19
115 Oakland HOR 26 - 9 1 - 0 4.02
116 Louisiana Tech CUSA 24 - 11 0 - 0 3.85
117 Fairfield MAAC 23 - 11 11 - 5 3.79
118 Southern Miss CUSA 20 - 14 1 - 5 3.79
119 Princeton IVY 22 - 9 11 - 3 3.69
120 Weber State BSky 20 - 11 14 - 3 3.47
121 Boston PAT 21 - 14 1 - 0 3.4
122 Southern Illinois MVC 15 - 15 6 - 10 3.4
123 Milwaukee HOR 20 - 14 9 - 5 3.3
124 Oregon PAC12 16 - 16 7 - 11 3.28
125 Detroit HOR 20 - 14 7 - 7 3.19
126 Indiana State MVC 17 - 15 8 - 8 3.07
127 Harvard IVY 21 - 8 10 - 4 3.02
128 Washington State PAC12 16 - 15 6 - 12 2.98
129 George Washington A10 16 - 15 6 - 7 2.98
130 Western Kentucky CUSA 21 - 13 4 - 3 2.89
131 Green Bay HOR 22 - 13 9 - 6 2.67
132 Vermont AE 25 - 10 10 - 4 2.59
133 Utah PAC12 14 - 17 0 - 0 2.59
134 Hofstra CAA 19 - 15 10 - 4 2.59
135 Oregon State PAC12 14 - 18 9 - 10 2.38
136 Northern Colorado BSky 25 - 8 14 - 4 2.36
137 College of Charleston CAA 22 - 12 1 - 0 2.34
138 Saint Bonaventure A10 15 - 16 7 - 6 2.2
139 Miami OH MAC 14 - 18 9 - 7 1.85
140 UC Santa Barbara BW 20 - 10 10 - 4 1.83
141 Cleveland State HOR 16 - 17 8 - 6 1.78
142 Niagara MAAC 18 - 15 7 - 9 1.74
143 Oral Roberts SUM 20 - 13 7 - 3 1.71
144 Rutgers Big10 15 - 17 0 - 0 1.71
145 Western Michigan MAC 18 - 15 8 - 8 1.48
146 Duquesne A10 16 - 16 6 - 7 1.48
147 Jacksonville ASUN 20 - 13 11 - 1 1.36
148 Morgan State MEAC 27 - 10 15 - 1 1.09
149 Belmont OVC 19 - 12 2 - 1 1.07
150 Buffalo MAC 18 - 12 9 - 7 1.05
151 Colorado State MWC 16 - 16 4 - 7 1.03
152 Coastal Carolina BSth 28 - 7 13 - 3 1
153 Drexel CAA 16 - 16 8 - 5 0.93
154 North Texas CUSA 24 - 9 4 - 2 0.84
155 Drake MVC 14 - 19 6 - 10 0.83
156 East Tennessee State SC 20 - 15 0 - 3 0.61
157 Southern Methodist Amer 14 - 17 5 - 5 0.51
158 George Mason A10 17 - 15 1 - 2 0.38
159 Western Carolina SC 22 - 12 7 - 2 0.25
160 Iowa Big10 10 - 22 4 - 14 0.05
161 Robert Morris NEC 23 - 12 13 - 2 0.04
162 Lehigh PAT 22 - 11 10 - 4 0.03
163 Long Beach State BW 17 - 16 8 - 6 -0.02
164 Stephen F Austin SLND 23 - 9 9 - 4 -0.12
165 Loyola Marymount WCC 18 - 16 7 - 7 -0.37
166 Idaho BSky 15 - 16 2 - 0 -0.38
167 Boise State MWC 15 - 17 2 - 7 -0.46
168 Massachusetts A10 12 - 20 5 - 9 -0.6
169 Middle Tennessee CUSA 19 - 14 5 - 4 -0.62
170 La Salle A10 12 - 18 5 - 8 -0.82
171 Troy SUN 20 - 13 5 - 3 -0.83
172 Central Florida Amer 15 - 17 4 - 7 -0.87
173 Louisiana State SEC 11 - 20 2 - 14 -0.92
174 Campbell BSth 19 - 11 1 - 1 -0.96
175 Valparaiso HOR 15 - 17 8 - 6 -1.02
176 Stony Brook AE 22 - 10 11 - 3 -1.1
177 Saint Josephs A10 11 - 20 5 - 7 -1.12
178 Saint Peters MAAC 16 - 14 10 - 7 -1.15
179 Fresno State MWC 15 - 18 4 - 6 -1.21
180 Indiana Big10 10 - 21 4 - 15 -1.26
181 Lipscomb ASUN 17 - 13 8 - 4 -1.26
182 Quinnipiac MAAC 23 - 10 1 - 1 -1.51
183 Davidson A10 16 - 15 1 - 2 -1.56
184 Rider MAAC 17 - 16 10 - 7 -1.58
185 Eastern Kentucky OVC 20 - 13 11 - 7 -1.63
186 DePaul BE 8 - 23 1 - 7 -1.74
187 Texas Christian BIG12 13 - 19 0 - 1 -1.75
188 Eastern Michigan MAC 17 - 15 8 - 8 -1.96
189 Eastern Illinois OVC 19 - 12 12 - 8 -1.99
190 Mt St Marys NEC 16 - 15 10 - 5 -2.07
191 Central Michigan MAC 15 - 15 9 - 7 -2.22
192 San Jose State MWC 14 - 17 2 - 6 -2.33
193 Seattle WAC 17 - 14 3 - 0 -2.46
194 The Citadel SC 16 - 16 5 - 5 -2.58
195 Texas AM CC SLND 17 - 15 6 - 4 -2.6
196 Denver SUM 19 - 13 1 - 0 -2.61
197 Bowling Green MAC 14 - 16 6 - 10 -2.63
198 Maine AE 19 - 11 10 - 4 -3.06
199 Austin Peay OVC 17 - 15 11 - 7 -3.13
200 San Francisco WCC 12 - 18 7 - 8 -3.15
201 Arkansas State SUN 17 - 14 4 - 3 -3.57
202 Canisius MAAC 15 - 17 6 - 10 -3.8
203 Southeast Louisiana SLND 19 - 12 9 - 4 -3.89
204 Ball State MAC 15 - 15 8 - 8 -4.04
205 Texas San Antonio CUSA 19 - 11 0 - 0 -4.09
206 Radford BSth 19 - 12 11 - 5 -4.26
207 Georgia State SUN 12 - 20 1 - 1 -4.47
208 Mercer SC 16 - 17 2 - 0 -4.54
209 James Madison CAA 13 - 20 3 - 7 -4.58
210 Montana State BSky 15 - 14 10 - 6 -4.65
211 Cal State Fullerton BW 16 - 15 8 - 6 -4.69
212 Loyola Ill MVC 14 - 16 1 - 0 -4.72
213 Evansville MVC 9 - 21 3 - 13 -4.72
214 San Diego WCC 11 - 21 3 - 12 -4.85
215 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 18 - 16 14 - 4 -4.89
216 Manhattan MAAC 11 - 20 4 - 12 -4.95
217 Winthrop BSth 19 - 14 10 - 6 -4.97
218 Portland State BSky 13 - 19 7 - 9 -4.99
219 Florida Atlantic CUSA 14 - 16 3 - 4 -5.05
220 Loyola MD PAT 13 - 17 1 - 0 -5.48
221 IPFW SUM 16 - 15 6 - 4 -5.57
222 South Dakota State SUM 14 - 16 4 - 7 -5.6
223 UL Lafayette SUN 13 - 17 5 - 3 -5.88
224 South Dakota SUM 22 - 10 0 - 0 -5.96
225 UC Davis BW 14 - 18 7 - 7 -6.19
226 Texas State SUN 15 - 16 1 - 1 -6.27
227 Lafayette PAT 19 - 13 8 - 6 -6.3
228 UNC Wilmington CAA 9 - 22 5 - 7 -6.54
229 Wyoming MWC 10 - 21 3 - 8 -6.65
230 Northern Arizona BSky 14 - 14 8 - 8 -6.72
231 Hampton MEAC 14 - 18 8 - 8 -6.91
232 Air Force MWC 10 - 21 1 - 9 -6.99
233 Tulane Amer 8 - 22 1 - 6 -7.01
234 Hawaii BW 10 - 20 0 - 2 -7.04
235 Texas Arlington SUN 16 - 14 1 - 1 -7.09
236 Furman SC 13 - 17 4 - 5 -7.15
237 Tennessee Tech OVC 15 - 17 8 - 10 -7.17
238 Chattanooga SC 15 - 18 4 - 7 -7.28
239 Bucknell PAT 14 - 17 9 - 7 -7.35
240 Cal State Northridge BW 11 - 21 6 - 8 -7.42
241 Santa Clara WCC 11 - 21 4 - 12 -7.42
242 Illinois Chicago HOR 8 - 22 3 - 11 -7.52
243 East Carolina Amer 10 - 21 3 - 5 -7.58
244 Towson CAA 10 - 21 5 - 7 -7.59
245 South Alabama SUN 17 - 15 4 - 3 -7.67
246 Northern Illinois MAC 10 - 20 6 - 10 -7.68
247 UC Riverside BW 12 - 17 4 - 10 -7.75
248 Delaware State MEAC 17 - 12 11 - 6 -7.8
249 Youngstown State HOR 8 - 22 1 - 13 -7.85
250 North Dakota State SUM 11 - 18 4 - 6 -7.98
251 UNC Greensboro SC 8 - 23 4 - 7 -8.16
252 Delaware CAA 7 - 24 2 - 10 -8.36
253 Jackson State SWAC 19 - 13 17 - 1 -8.44
254 Cal Poly BW 12 - 19 8 - 7 -8.44
255 South Carolina State MEAC 18 - 14 11 - 6 -8.62
256 New Hampshire AE 13 - 17 6 - 8 -8.64
257 Holy Cross PAT 9 - 22 5 - 9 -8.71
258 Samford SC 11 - 20 3 - 7 -8.73
259 UC Irvine BW 14 - 18 7 - 8 -8.92
260 Binghamton AE 13 - 18 8 - 6 -9.07
261 Tennessee State OVC 9 - 23 6 - 13 -9.32
262 Elon CAA 9 - 23 0 - 3 -9.45
263 Texas Southern SWAC 17 - 16 11 - 7 -9.51
264 North Florida ASUN 13 - 18 7 - 5 -9.63
265 Yale IVY 12 - 19 6 - 8 -9.66
266 UNC Asheville BSth 15 - 16 9 - 8 -9.8
267 Western Illinois SUM 13 - 17 1 - 9 -9.83
268 Rice CUSA 8 - 23 0 - 5 -10.03
269 Nicholls State SLND 11 - 19 5 - 8 -10.14
270 Jacksonville State OVC 11 - 19 7 - 11 -10.15
271 LIU Brooklyn NEC 14 - 17 10 - 6 -10.24
272 Norfolk State MEAC 11 - 19 9 - 7 -10.35
273 Army PAT 14 - 15 4 - 10 -10.38
274 Kennesaw St ASUN 13 - 20 5 - 7 -10.54
275 Alabama State SWAC 16 - 15 12 - 6 -10.81
276 American PAT 11 - 20 7 - 7 -10.82
277 Liberty BSth 15 - 16 8 - 8 -10.96
278 UL Monroe SUN 12 - 19 3 - 5 -11
279 Colgate PAT 10 - 19 6 - 8 -11.15
280 Sacred Heart NEC 14 - 15 5 - 9 -11.27
281 Bethune Cookman MEAC 17 - 16 7 - 9 -11.37
282 Pepperdine WCC 7 - 24 3 - 12 -11.38
283 Navy PAT 13 - 17 7 - 7 -11.49
284 Brown IVY 11 - 20 5 - 9 -11.53
285 Georgia Southern SUN 9 - 23 2 - 2 -11.56
286 High Point BSth 15 - 15 10 - 7 -11.67
287 Lamar SLND 14 - 18 3 - 7 -11.9
288 UMKC WAC 12 - 18 0 - 0 -11.97
289 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 6 - 23 6 - 6 -12.17
290 Columbia IVY 11 - 17 5 - 9 -12.19
291 Eastern Washington BSky 9 - 21 5 - 12 -12.2
292 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 8 - 22 2 - 6 -12.29
293 Mcneese State SLND 10 - 20 5 - 8 -12.41
294 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 7 - 22 1 - 2 -12.62
295 Pennsylvania IVY 6 - 22 5 - 9 -12.76
296 Monmouth MAAC 12 - 19 1 - 3 -12.85
297 Charleston Southern BSth 14 - 17 6 - 10 -12.94
298 Longwood BSth 12 - 19 2 - 0 -13.16
299 Idaho State BSky 7 - 22 4 - 12 -13.31
300 Prairie View SWAC 16 - 14 11 - 7 -13.47
301 Fordham A10 2 - 26 0 - 12 -13.62
302 Central Connecticut State NEC 12 - 18 8 - 6 -13.64
303 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 8 - 21 2 - 10 -13.64
304 Albany AE 7 - 25 2 - 12 -13.75
305 Savannah State MEAC 11 - 15 1 - 1 -13.87
306 Sacramento State BSky 9 - 21 3 - 14 -13.95
307 Saint Francis Penn NEC 11 - 19 8 - 7 -13.99
308 Northwestern State SLND 10 - 19 6 - 8 -14.01
309 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 11 - 18 8 - 8 -14.02
310 Florida International CUSA 7 - 25 2 - 6 -14.03
311 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 11 - 21 8 - 6 -14.3
312 North Carolina AT MEAC 11 - 22 6 - 10 -14.32
313 Hartford AE 8 - 22 6 - 8 -14.42
314 Central Arkansas SLND 9 - 21 2 - 11 -14.94
315 SE Missouri State OVC 7 - 23 4 - 15 -14.95
316 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 11 - 21 8 - 9 -15.89
317 Toledo MAC 4 - 28 1 - 15 -16.05
318 New Orleans SLND 8 - 22 1 - 0 -16.14
319 Houston Baptist SLND 12 - 21 0 - 2 -16.21
320 Winston Salem Ind 12 - 17 4 - 0 -16.82
321 Centenary Ind 8 - 21 2 - 0 -16.86
322 Southern Utah BSky 7 - 22 0 - 2 -17.22
323 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 9 - 23 8 - 10 -17.27
324 UMBC AE 4 - 26 3 - 11 -17.6
325 Stetson ASUN 7 - 22 3 - 9 -17.63
326 Alabama AM SWAC 11 - 16 8 - 10 -17.66
327 Florida AM MEAC 9 - 22 5 - 11 -17.68
328 Virginia Military Institute SC 10 - 19 0 - 0 -17.91
329 Utah Valley WAC 12 - 18 3 - 5 -18.39
330 Gardner Webb BSth 8 - 21 4 - 12 -18.48
331 Coppin State MEAC 8 - 22 3 - 13 -18.49
332 Texas Pan American WAC 6 - 27 2 - 2 -18.75
333 Marist MAAC 1 - 29 1 - 15 -18.79
334 Tennessee Martin OVC 4 - 25 2 - 17 -19.03
335 Presbyterian BSth 5 - 26 1 - 15 -19.08
336 Wagner NEC 5 - 26 3 - 12 -19.73
337 Dartmouth IVY 5 - 23 1 - 13 -20.01
338 Howard MEAC 7 - 25 6 - 10 -20.25
339 North Carolina Central MEAC 7 - 22 2 - 1 -20.51
340 NJ Tech ASUN 10 - 21 0 - 0 -21.03
341 SIU Edwardsville OVC 5 - 23 0 - 5 -21.09
342 Chicago State WAC 9 - 23 2 - 2 -21.67
343 Grambling State SWAC 7 - 21 4 - 14 -21.68
344 North Dakota BSky 8 - 23 0 - 2 -21.87
345 Southern SWAC 5 - 25 3 - 15 -23.73
346 Bryant NEC 1 - 29 1 - 13 -27.2
347 Alcorn State SWAC 2 - 29 2 - 16 -28.05