Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Postseason 2019

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Virginia ACC 35 - 3 16 - 2 26.41
2 Gonzaga WCC 33 - 4 16 - 0 25.36
3 Texas Tech BIG12 31 - 7 14 - 4 24.69
4 Duke ACC 32 - 6 14 - 4 24.66
5 Michigan State Big10 32 - 7 16 - 4 24.5
6 North Carolina ACC 29 - 7 16 - 2 23.51
7 Kentucky SEC 30 - 7 15 - 3 23.37
8 Tennessee SEC 31 - 6 15 - 3 21.75
9 Auburn SEC 30 - 10 11 - 7 21.63
10 Michigan Big10 30 - 7 15 - 5 21.55
11 Purdue Big10 26 - 10 16 - 4 21.38
12 Houston Amer 33 - 4 16 - 2 21.18
13 Florida State ACC 29 - 8 13 - 5 19.19
14 Kansas BIG12 26 - 10 12 - 6 18.73
15 Louisiana State SEC 28 - 7 16 - 2 18.3
16 Virginia Tech ACC 26 - 9 12 - 6 18.3
17 Kansas State BIG12 25 - 9 14 - 4 17.61
18 Iowa State BIG12 23 - 12 9 - 9 17.48
19 Buffalo MAC 32 - 4 16 - 2 17.36
20 Wisconsin Big10 23 - 11 14 - 6 16.43
21 Cincinnati Amer 28 - 7 14 - 4 16.1
22 Wofford SC 30 - 5 18 - 0 15.93
23 Mississippi State SEC 23 - 11 10 - 8 15.79
24 Texas BIG12 21 - 16 8 - 10 15.64
25 Central Florida Amer 24 - 9 13 - 5 15.32
26 Maryland Big10 23 - 11 13 - 7 15.13
27 Villanova BE 26 - 10 13 - 5 14.86
28 Louisville ACC 20 - 14 10 - 8 14.79
29 Oregon PAC12 25 - 13 10 - 8 14.68
30 Florida SEC 20 - 16 9 - 9 14.55
31 Oklahoma BIG12 20 - 14 7 - 11 14.05
32 Baylor BIG12 20 - 14 10 - 8 13.99
33 Nevada MWC 29 - 5 15 - 3 13.96
34 Marquette BE 24 - 10 12 - 6 13.49
35 Washington PAC12 27 - 9 15 - 3 13
36 Clemson ACC 20 - 14 9 - 9 12.98
37 Texas Christian BIG12 23 - 14 7 - 11 12.91
38 Virginia Commonwealth A10 25 - 8 16 - 2 12.88
39 Saint Marys WCC 22 - 12 11 - 5 12.69
40 Iowa Big10 23 - 12 10 - 10 12.4
41 Syracuse ACC 20 - 14 10 - 8 12.37
42 NC State ACC 24 - 12 9 - 9 12.24
43 Minnesota Big10 22 - 14 9 - 11 12.23
44 Utah State MWC 28 - 7 15 - 3 11.59
45 New Mexico State WAC 30 - 5 15 - 1 11.5
46 Memphis Amer 22 - 14 11 - 7 11.29
47 Murray State OVC 28 - 5 16 - 2 11.19
48 Belmont OVC 27 - 6 16 - 2 10.97
49 Mississippi SEC 20 - 13 10 - 8 10.95
50 Lipscomb ASUN 29 - 8 14 - 2 10.79
51 Ohio State Big10 20 - 15 8 - 12 10.76
52 Creighton BE 20 - 15 9 - 9 10.57
53 Penn State Big10 14 - 18 7 - 13 10.55
54 Nebraska Big10 19 - 17 6 - 14 10.34
55 Arizona State PAC12 23 - 11 12 - 6 10.21
56 Indiana Big10 19 - 16 8 - 12 10.16
57 Seton Hall BE 20 - 14 9 - 9 10.06
58 Wichita State Amer 22 - 15 10 - 8 9.93
59 Arkansas SEC 18 - 16 8 - 10 9.85
60 Temple Amer 23 - 10 13 - 5 9.67
61 Xavier BE 19 - 16 9 - 9 9.18
62 Colorado PAC12 23 - 13 10 - 8 9.06
63 Toledo MAC 25 - 8 13 - 5 8.87
64 Alabama SEC 18 - 16 8 - 10 8.8
65 Dayton A10 21 - 12 13 - 5 8.79
66 South Carolina SEC 16 - 16 11 - 7 8.66
67 Liberty ASUN 29 - 7 14 - 2 8.44
68 Furman SC 25 - 8 13 - 5 8.42
69 UC Irvine BW 32 - 6 15 - 1 8.27
70 Yale IVY 22 - 8 10 - 4 7.93
71 Missouri SEC 15 - 17 5 - 13 7.71
72 Vermont AE 27 - 7 14 - 2 7.21
73 Fresno State MWC 23 - 9 13 - 5 7.14
74 UNC Greensboro SC 29 - 7 15 - 3 7
75 Oklahoma State BIG12 12 - 20 5 - 13 6.98
76 Providence BE 18 - 16 7 - 11 6.9
77 Davidson A10 24 - 10 14 - 4 6.83
78 South Florida Amer 23 - 14 8 - 10 6.73
79 Miami ACC 14 - 18 5 - 13 6.71
80 Texas AM SEC 14 - 18 6 - 12 6.51
81 Northeastern CAA 23 - 11 14 - 4 6.5
82 West Virginia BIG12 15 - 21 4 - 14 6.48
83 Oregon State PAC12 18 - 13 10 - 8 6.45
84 Georgetown BE 19 - 14 9 - 9 6.38
85 Brigham Young WCC 19 - 13 11 - 5 6.14
86 San Francisco WCC 21 - 10 9 - 7 6.12
87 Rutgers Big10 14 - 17 7 - 13 6
88 Saint Louis A10 23 - 13 10 - 8 5.98
89 Saint Johns BE 21 - 13 8 - 10 5.97
90 Butler BE 16 - 17 7 - 11 5.75
91 Utah PAC12 17 - 14 11 - 7 5.7
92 Southern California PAC12 16 - 17 8 - 10 5.67
93 Northern Kentucky HOR 26 - 9 13 - 5 5.58
94 Old Dominion CUSA 26 - 9 13 - 5 5.57
95 East Tennessee State SC 24 - 10 13 - 5 5.57
96 Hofstra CAA 27 - 8 15 - 3 5.48
97 Bowling Green MAC 22 - 12 12 - 6 5.41
98 San Diego WCC 21 - 15 7 - 9 5.38
99 Illinois Big10 12 - 21 7 - 13 5.36
100 Southern Methodist Amer 15 - 17 6 - 12 5.28
101 Connecticut Amer 16 - 17 6 - 12 5.28
102 South Dakota State SUM 24 - 9 14 - 2 5.07
103 Georgia State SUN 24 - 10 13 - 5 5.01
104 Tulsa Amer 18 - 14 8 - 10 5
105 San Diego State MWC 21 - 13 11 - 7 4.88
106 Arizona PAC12 17 - 15 8 - 10 4.83
107 Utah Valley WAC 25 - 10 12 - 4 4.81
108 Northwestern Big10 13 - 19 4 - 16 4.79
109 UCLA PAC12 17 - 16 9 - 9 4.74
110 Georgia Southern SUN 21 - 12 12 - 6 4.73
111 Harvard IVY 19 - 12 10 - 4 4.68
112 Saint Bonaventure A10 18 - 16 12 - 6 4.46
113 Western Kentucky CUSA 20 - 14 11 - 7 4.4
114 DePaul BE 19 - 17 7 - 11 4.36
115 Notre Dame ACC 14 - 19 3 - 15 4.3
116 Colgate PAT 24 - 11 13 - 5 4.19
117 Jacksonville State OVC 24 - 9 15 - 3 4.08
118 Stanford PAC12 15 - 16 8 - 10 3.84
119 Central Michigan MAC 23 - 12 10 - 8 3.68
120 College of Charleston CAA 24 - 9 12 - 6 3.67
121 Pittsburgh ACC 14 - 19 3 - 15 3.64
122 Georgia Tech ACC 14 - 18 6 - 12 3.53
123 Drake MVC 24 - 10 12 - 6 3.53
124 Southern Miss CUSA 20 - 13 11 - 7 3.39
125 Wright State HOR 21 - 14 13 - 5 3.37
126 Akron MAC 17 - 16 8 - 10 3.21
127 Boston College ACC 14 - 17 5 - 13 3.21
128 Montana BSky 26 - 9 16 - 4 3.05
129 Loyola Marymount WCC 22 - 12 8 - 8 3.02
130 Pennsylvania IVY 19 - 12 7 - 7 2.96
131 Radford BSth 22 - 11 12 - 4 2.85
132 Grand Canyon WAC 20 - 14 10 - 6 2.79
133 Austin Peay OVC 22 - 11 13 - 5 2.68
134 Rhode Island A10 18 - 15 9 - 9 2.67
135 Loyola Ill MVC 20 - 14 12 - 6 2.6
136 Georgia SEC 11 - 21 2 - 16 2.43
137 Kent State MAC 22 - 11 11 - 7 2.39
138 Bucknell PAT 21 - 12 13 - 5 2.26
139 Northern Illinois MAC 17 - 17 8 - 10 1.83
140 Texas State SUN 24 - 10 12 - 6 1.77
141 Marshall CUSA 23 - 14 11 - 7 1.55
142 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 20 - 15 10 - 8 1.34
143 Texas Arlington SUN 17 - 16 12 - 6 1.22
144 Louisiana Tech CUSA 20 - 13 9 - 9 1.15
145 Southern Illinois MVC 17 - 15 10 - 8 1.03
146 Texas San Antonio CUSA 17 - 15 11 - 7 1.02
147 UL Monroe SUN 19 - 16 9 - 9 0.94
148 Brown IVY 20 - 12 7 - 7 0.91
149 Bradley MVC 20 - 15 9 - 9 0.78
150 George Mason A10 18 - 15 11 - 7 0.77
151 Abilene Christian SLND 27 - 7 14 - 4 0.64
152 Pepperdine WCC 16 - 18 6 - 10 0.6
153 Ball State MAC 16 - 17 6 - 12 0.56
154 Gardner Webb BSth 23 - 12 10 - 6 0.12
155 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 17 - 14 11 - 7 0.02
156 Wake Forest ACC 11 - 20 4 - 14 -0.02
157 Boise State MWC 13 - 20 7 - 11 -0.04
158 Eastern Michigan MAC 15 - 17 9 - 9 -0.05
159 Omaha SUM 21 - 11 13 - 3 -0.08
160 Stony Brook AE 24 - 9 12 - 4 -0.12
161 Miami OH MAC 15 - 17 7 - 11 -0.23
162 Duquesne A10 19 - 13 10 - 8 -0.36
163 Lehigh PAT 20 - 11 12 - 6 -0.49
164 Northern Iowa MVC 16 - 18 9 - 9 -0.79
165 Princeton IVY 16 - 12 8 - 6 -0.79
166 Coastal Carolina SUN 17 - 17 9 - 9 -0.9
167 Green Bay HOR 21 - 17 10 - 8 -1.08
168 Santa Clara WCC 16 - 15 8 - 8 -1.17
169 North Texas CUSA 21 - 12 8 - 10 -1.24
170 UL Lafayette SUN 19 - 13 10 - 8 -1.26
171 Samford SC 17 - 16 6 - 12 -1.3
172 Sam Houston State SLND 21 - 12 16 - 2 -1.4
173 Vanderbilt SEC 9 - 23 0 - 18 -1.45
174 Texas Pan American WAC 20 - 17 9 - 7 -1.52
175 UC Santa Barbara BW 22 - 10 10 - 6 -1.55
176 Campbell BSth 20 - 13 12 - 4 -1.56
177 Missouri State MVC 16 - 16 10 - 8 -1.59
178 Oakland HOR 16 - 17 11 - 7 -1.73
179 Ohio MAC 14 - 17 6 - 12 -1.76
180 Charleston Southern BSth 18 - 16 9 - 7 -1.8
181 Saint Josephs A10 14 - 19 6 - 12 -1.86
182 Winthrop BSth 18 - 12 10 - 6 -1.91
183 NJ Tech ASUN 22 - 13 8 - 8 -1.97
184 Hampton BSth 18 - 17 9 - 7 -1.98
185 Florida Atlantic CUSA 17 - 16 8 - 10 -2
186 North Florida ASUN 16 - 17 9 - 7 -2.15
187 Iona MAAC 17 - 16 12 - 6 -2.32
188 Illinois State MVC 17 - 16 9 - 9 -2.51
189 Hartford AE 18 - 15 10 - 6 -2.59
190 Northern Colorado BSky 21 - 11 15 - 5 -2.65
191 North Dakota State SUM 19 - 16 9 - 7 -2.66
192 Presbyterian BSth 20 - 16 9 - 7 -2.79
193 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 20 - 14 12 - 6 -2.8
194 Texas Southern SWAC 24 - 14 14 - 4 -2.8
195 Colorado State MWC 12 - 20 7 - 11 -2.83
196 Hawaii BW 18 - 13 9 - 7 -2.93
197 New Mexico MWC 14 - 18 7 - 11 -2.96
198 Seattle WAC 18 - 15 6 - 10 -3.09
199 Florida International CUSA 20 - 14 10 - 8 -3.11
200 IPFW SUM 18 - 15 9 - 7 -3.26
201 Richmond A10 13 - 20 6 - 12 -3.34
202 Prairie View SWAC 22 - 13 17 - 1 -3.49
203 Illinois Chicago HOR 16 - 16 10 - 8 -3.51
204 Cal Baptist WAC 16 - 15 7 - 9 -3.71
205 South Alabama SUN 17 - 17 8 - 10 -3.89
206 Indiana State MVC 15 - 16 7 - 11 -3.96
207 Pacific WCC 14 - 18 4 - 12 -3.99
208 UMBC AE 21 - 13 11 - 5 -4.03
209 William and Mary CAA 14 - 17 10 - 8 -4.09
210 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 14 - 18 9 - 7 -4.15
211 Cornell IVY 15 - 16 7 - 7 -4.15
212 Washington State PAC12 11 - 21 4 - 14 -4.28
213 American PAT 15 - 15 9 - 9 -4.3
214 Cal State Fullerton BW 16 - 18 10 - 6 -4.35
215 IUPUI HOR 16 - 17 8 - 10 -4.56
216 Columbia IVY 10 - 18 5 - 9 -4.69
217 Lamar SLND 20 - 13 12 - 6 -4.72
218 Valparaiso MVC 15 - 18 7 - 11 -4.86
219 Eastern Washington BSky 16 - 18 12 - 8 -4.88
220 Rider MAAC 16 - 15 11 - 7 -4.91
221 La Salle A10 10 - 21 8 - 10 -4.92
222 Long Beach State BW 15 - 19 8 - 8 -4.94
223 Weber State BSky 18 - 15 11 - 9 -5.03
224 High Point BSth 16 - 15 9 - 7 -5.03
225 Mercer SC 11 - 20 6 - 12 -5.22
226 Air Force MWC 14 - 18 8 - 10 -5.33
227 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 18 - 16 7 - 9 -5.34
228 Appalachian State SUN 11 - 21 6 - 12 -5.45
229 Southeast Louisiana SLND 17 - 16 12 - 6 -5.6
230 California PAC12 8 - 23 3 - 15 -5.62
231 Quinnipiac MAAC 16 - 15 11 - 7 -6
232 Norfolk State MEAC 22 - 14 14 - 2 -6.12
233 Saint Francis Penn NEC 18 - 15 12 - 6 -6.25
234 Siena MAAC 17 - 16 11 - 7 -6.35
235 East Carolina Amer 10 - 21 3 - 15 -6.49
236 Holy Cross PAT 16 - 17 6 - 12 -6.57
237 South Dakota SUM 13 - 17 7 - 9 -6.58
238 Boston PAT 15 - 18 7 - 11 -6.62
239 Evansville MVC 11 - 21 5 - 13 -6.76
240 Massachusetts A10 11 - 21 4 - 14 -6.78
241 Middle Tennessee CUSA 11 - 21 8 - 10 -6.8
242 Rice CUSA 13 - 19 8 - 10 -6.84
243 Dartmouth IVY 11 - 19 2 - 12 -6.85
244 Morehead State OVC 13 - 20 8 - 10 -6.88
245 UMKC WAC 11 - 21 6 - 10 -6.89
246 Eastern Kentucky OVC 13 - 18 6 - 12 -6.91
247 Sacred Heart NEC 15 - 17 11 - 7 -6.97
248 Montana State BSky 15 - 17 11 - 9 -7.06
249 New Orleans SLND 19 - 14 12 - 6 -7.07
250 Army PAT 13 - 19 8 - 10 -7.09
251 Delaware CAA 17 - 16 8 - 10 -7.15
252 Drexel CAA 13 - 19 7 - 11 -7.24
253 Arkansas State SUN 13 - 19 7 - 11 -7.33
254 Detroit HOR 11 - 20 8 - 10 -7.43
255 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 10 - 21 5 - 13 -7.46
256 Robert Morris NEC 18 - 17 11 - 7 -7.57
257 Cal State Northridge BW 13 - 21 7 - 9 -7.64
258 LIU Brooklyn NEC 16 - 16 9 - 9 -7.82
259 Canisius MAAC 15 - 17 11 - 7 -7.89
260 Southern Utah BSky 17 - 17 9 - 11 -8
261 Youngstown State HOR 12 - 20 8 - 10 -8.04
262 Monmouth MAAC 14 - 21 10 - 8 -8.04
263 Troy SUN 12 - 18 5 - 13 -8.04
264 Navy PAT 12 - 19 8 - 10 -8.04
265 Portland State BSky 16 - 16 11 - 9 -8.05
266 Chattanooga SC 12 - 20 7 - 11 -8.11
267 Fordham A10 12 - 20 3 - 15 -8.31
268 UMass Lowell AE 15 - 17 7 - 9 -8.38
269 UC Davis BW 10 - 20 6 - 9 -8.41
270 Longwood BSth 16 - 18 5 - 11 -8.58
271 Loyola MD PAT 11 - 21 7 - 11 -8.68
272 Jacksonville ASUN 12 - 20 5 - 11 -8.69
273 George Washington A10 9 - 24 4 - 14 -8.79
274 Grambling State SWAC 17 - 17 10 - 8 -8.86
275 James Madison CAA 14 - 19 6 - 12 -8.86
276 Sacramento State BSky 15 - 16 8 - 12 -8.95
277 Western Michigan MAC 8 - 24 2 - 16 -8.96
278 UNC Wilmington CAA 10 - 23 5 - 13 -9.11
279 Albany AE 12 - 20 7 - 9 -9.15
280 The Citadel SC 12 - 18 4 - 14 -9.21
281 Tulane Amer 4 - 27 0 - 18 -9.22
282 Tennessee Martin OVC 12 - 19 6 - 12 -9.3
283 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 17 - 16 9 - 9 -9.34
284 North Dakota SUM 12 - 18 6 - 10 -9.35
285 North Carolina AT MEAC 19 - 13 13 - 3 -9.42
286 Virginia Military Institute SC 11 - 21 4 - 14 -9.43
287 Cleveland State HOR 10 - 21 5 - 13 -9.59
288 Oral Roberts SUM 11 - 21 7 - 9 -9.69
289 Charlotte CUSA 8 - 21 5 - 13 -9.71
290 Towson CAA 10 - 22 6 - 12 -9.94
291 Lafayette PAT 10 - 20 7 - 11 -10.24
292 North Alabama ASUN 10 - 22 7 - 9 -10.35
293 Western Carolina SC 7 - 25 4 - 14 -10.38
294 Marist MAAC 12 - 19 7 - 11 -10.5
295 Texas AM CC SLND 14 - 18 9 - 9 -10.56
296 Houston Baptist SLND 12 - 18 8 - 10 -10.58
297 Elon CAA 11 - 21 7 - 11 -10.64
298 North Carolina Central MEAC 18 - 16 10 - 6 -10.7
299 Eastern Illinois OVC 14 - 18 7 - 11 -10.92
300 Milwaukee HOR 9 - 22 4 - 14 -11.23
301 Central Arkansas SLND 14 - 19 8 - 10 -11.52
302 Western Illinois SUM 10 - 21 4 - 12 -11.65
303 Tennessee State OVC 9 - 21 6 - 12 -11.68
304 Northern Arizona BSky 10 - 21 8 - 12 -11.68
305 Texas El Paso CUSA 8 - 21 3 - 15 -11.75
306 Howard MEAC 17 - 17 10 - 6 -11.76
307 SE Missouri State OVC 10 - 21 5 - 13 -11.83
308 Fairfield MAAC 9 - 22 6 - 12 -12.06
309 Niagara MAAC 13 - 19 6 - 12 -12.18
310 Saint Peters MAAC 10 - 22 6 - 12 -12.37
311 Stephen F Austin SLND 14 - 16 7 - 11 -12.49
312 Wagner NEC 13 - 17 8 - 10 -12.62
313 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 13 - 19 10 - 8 -12.78
314 Nicholls State SLND 14 - 17 7 - 11 -12.79
315 Manhattan MAAC 11 - 21 8 - 10 -12.8
316 Florida AM MEAC 12 - 18 9 - 6 -12.84
317 Wyoming MWC 8 - 24 4 - 14 -12.84
318 Bethune Cookman MEAC 13 - 17 8 - 7 -12.96
319 UC Riverside BW 10 - 23 4 - 11 -13.2
320 Denver SUM 8 - 22 3 - 13 -13.38
321 Binghamton AE 10 - 23 5 - 11 -13.75
322 Jackson State SWAC 12 - 19 9 - 8 -13.77
323 Portland WCC 7 - 25 0 - 16 -13.81
324 Bryant NEC 10 - 20 7 - 11 -13.82
325 SIU Edwardsville OVC 10 - 21 6 - 12 -13.94
326 Mt St Marys NEC 9 - 22 6 - 12 -14.1
327 Tennessee Tech OVC 8 - 23 4 - 14 -14.18
328 Idaho State BSky 11 - 19 7 - 13 -14.2
329 Stetson ASUN 7 - 24 3 - 13 -14.72
330 Alabama State SWAC 12 - 19 9 - 9 -14.84
331 Central Connecticut State NEC 11 - 20 5 - 13 -15.42
332 Kennesaw St ASUN 6 - 26 3 - 13 -16.39
333 Mcneese State SLND 9 - 22 5 - 13 -16.47
334 Maine AE 5 - 27 3 - 13 -17.17
335 Northwestern State SLND 11 - 20 6 - 12 -17.29
336 Cal Poly BW 6 - 23 2 - 14 -17.3
337 Southern SWAC 7 - 25 6 - 12 -17.32
338 Savannah State MEAC 11 - 20 8 - 8 -18.29
339 South Carolina Upstate BSth 6 - 26 1 - 15 -18.32
340 Coppin State MEAC 8 - 25 7 - 9 -18.32
341 South Carolina State MEAC 8 - 26 5 - 11 -18.38
342 Morgan State MEAC 9 - 21 4 - 12 -18.7
343 San Jose State MWC 4 - 27 1 - 17 -19.08
344 New Hampshire AE 5 - 24 3 - 13 -19.74
345 UNC Asheville BSth 4 - 27 2 - 14 -20.18
346 Alabama AM SWAC 5 - 26 4 - 13 -20.55
347 Idaho BSky 5 - 27 2 - 18 -21.25
348 Alcorn State SWAC 10 - 21 6 - 12 -21.29
349 Incarnate Word SLND 6 - 25 1 - 17 -21.74
350 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 6 - 26 4 - 14 -21.84
351 Chicago State WAC 3 - 29 0 - 16 -23.66
352 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 7 - 25 5 - 11 -24.46
353 Delaware State MEAC 6 - 25 2 - 14 -26.17