Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2015 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Kentucky SEC 38 - 1 18 - 0 28.55
2 Duke ACC 35 - 4 15 - 3 26.56
3 Wisconsin Big10 36 - 4 16 - 2 26.3
4 Arizona PAC12 34 - 4 16 - 2 25.78
5 Villanova BE 33 - 3 16 - 2 24.43
6 Virginia ACC 30 - 4 16 - 2 23.17
7 Notre Dame ACC 32 - 6 14 - 4 20.76
8 Gonzaga WCC 35 - 3 17 - 1 20.66
9 Utah PAC12 26 - 9 13 - 5 20.27
10 North Carolina ACC 26 - 12 11 - 7 19.69
11 Kansas BIG12 27 - 9 13 - 5 18.92
12 Michigan State Big10 27 - 12 12 - 6 18.68
13 Wichita State MVC 30 - 5 17 - 1 18.05
14 Louisville ACC 27 - 9 12 - 6 17.95
15 Oklahoma BIG12 24 - 11 12 - 6 17.93
16 Iowa State BIG12 25 - 9 12 - 6 17.77
17 Baylor BIG12 24 - 10 11 - 7 17.14
18 Ohio State Big10 24 - 11 11 - 7 16.88
19 Northern Iowa MVC 31 - 4 16 - 2 16.66
20 Butler BE 23 - 11 12 - 6 15.69
21 Iowa Big10 22 - 12 12 - 6 15.43
22 Georgetown BE 22 - 11 12 - 6 14.94
23 Southern Methodist Amer 27 - 7 15 - 3 14.94
24 Xavier BE 23 - 14 9 - 9 14.91
25 Arkansas SEC 27 - 9 13 - 5 14.74
26 West Virginia BIG12 25 - 10 11 - 7 14.73
27 Maryland Big10 28 - 7 14 - 4 14.61
28 NC State ACC 22 - 14 10 - 8 14.37
29 Texas BIG12 20 - 14 8 - 10 13.74
30 Providence BE 22 - 12 11 - 7 13.72
31 Oregon PAC12 26 - 10 13 - 5 13.61
32 Virginia Commonwealth A10 26 - 10 12 - 6 13.39
33 UCLA PAC12 22 - 14 11 - 7 12.79
34 Stanford PAC12 24 - 13 9 - 9 12.78
35 Miami ACC 25 - 13 10 - 8 12.66
36 Georgia SEC 21 - 12 11 - 7 12.6
37 Purdue Big10 21 - 13 12 - 6 12.42
38 San Diego State MWC 27 - 9 14 - 4 12.39
39 Dayton A10 27 - 9 13 - 5 12.36
40 Davidson A10 24 - 8 14 - 4 12.17
41 Brigham Young WCC 25 - 10 13 - 5 12.17
42 Louisiana State SEC 22 - 11 11 - 7 11.64
43 Cincinnati Amer 23 - 11 13 - 5 11.55
44 Indiana Big10 20 - 14 9 - 9 11.42
45 Vanderbilt SEC 21 - 14 9 - 9 11.42
46 Saint Johns BE 21 - 12 10 - 8 11.29
47 Mississippi SEC 21 - 13 11 - 7 11.16
48 Florida SEC 16 - 17 8 - 10 11.11
49 Syracuse ACC 18 - 13 9 - 9 11.04
50 Oklahoma State BIG12 18 - 14 8 - 10 10.92
51 Boise State MWC 25 - 9 14 - 4 10.9
52 Stephen F Austin SLND 29 - 5 17 - 1 10.77
53 Murray State OVC 29 - 6 16 - 0 10.73
54 Temple Amer 26 - 11 13 - 5 10.65
55 Illinois State MVC 22 - 13 11 - 7 10.09
56 Texas AM SEC 21 - 12 11 - 7 9.96
57 Rhode Island A10 23 - 10 13 - 5 9.93
58 Minnesota Big10 18 - 15 6 - 12 9.9
59 Illinois Big10 19 - 14 9 - 9 9.76
60 Alabama SEC 19 - 15 8 - 10 9.59
61 Richmond A10 21 - 14 12 - 6 9.57
62 Buffalo MAC 23 - 10 12 - 6 9.43
63 Old Dominion CUSA 27 - 8 13 - 5 8.92
64 Arizona State PAC12 18 - 16 9 - 9 8.65
65 Michigan Big10 16 - 16 8 - 10 8.62
66 Valparaiso HOR 28 - 6 13 - 3 8.5
67 Colorado State MWC 27 - 7 13 - 5 8.37
68 South Carolina SEC 17 - 16 6 - 12 8.33
69 Texas Christian BIG12 18 - 15 4 - 14 8.26
70 Tulsa Amer 23 - 11 14 - 4 8.08
71 Georgia State SUN 25 - 10 15 - 5 8.04
72 Pittsburgh ACC 19 - 15 8 - 10 7.93
73 Louisiana Tech CUSA 27 - 9 15 - 3 7.92
74 Connecticut Amer 20 - 15 10 - 8 7.9
75 Clemson ACC 16 - 15 8 - 10 7.87
76 George Washington A10 22 - 13 10 - 8 7.6
77 Florida State ACC 17 - 16 8 - 10 7.35
78 Penn State Big10 18 - 16 4 - 14 7.26
79 Saint Marys WCC 21 - 10 13 - 5 7.26
80 Kansas State BIG12 15 - 17 8 - 10 6.84
81 Harvard IVY 22 - 8 11 - 3 6.72
82 Green Bay HOR 24 - 9 12 - 4 6.66
83 Tennessee SEC 16 - 16 7 - 11 6.51
84 Memphis Amer 18 - 14 10 - 8 6.2
85 Yale IVY 22 - 10 11 - 3 5.89
86 Wofford SC 28 - 7 16 - 2 5.58
87 Central Michigan MAC 23 - 9 12 - 6 5.53
88 Creighton BE 14 - 19 4 - 14 5.52
89 Evansville MVC 24 - 12 9 - 9 5.51
90 Northwestern Big10 15 - 17 6 - 12 5.41
91 California PAC12 18 - 15 7 - 11 5.13
92 Colorado PAC12 16 - 18 7 - 11 5.09
93 Toledo MAC 20 - 13 11 - 7 5.03
94 Boston College ACC 13 - 19 4 - 14 5
95 South Dakota State SUM 24 - 11 12 - 4 4.98
96 Texas El Paso CUSA 22 - 11 13 - 5 4.97
97 Seton Hall BE 16 - 15 6 - 12 4.96
98 Georgia Tech ACC 12 - 19 3 - 15 4.92
99 Loyola Ill MVC 24 - 13 8 - 10 4.69
100 UC Irvine BW 21 - 13 11 - 5 4.65
101 UC Davis BW 25 - 7 14 - 2 4.63
102 Wyoming MWC 25 - 10 11 - 7 4.58
103 Oregon State PAC12 17 - 14 8 - 10 4.57
104 Saint Bonaventure A10 18 - 13 10 - 8 4.52
105 La Salle A10 17 - 16 8 - 10 4.49
106 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 18 - 15 8 - 10 4.46
107 Marquette BE 13 - 19 4 - 14 4.46
108 Iona MAAC 26 - 9 17 - 3 4.38
109 New Mexico State WAC 23 - 11 13 - 1 4.32
110 Sam Houston State SLND 26 - 9 15 - 3 4.3
111 Akron MAC 21 - 14 9 - 9 4.08
112 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 20 - 16 12 - 6 3.92
113 Cleveland State HOR 19 - 15 11 - 5 3.67
114 Kent State MAC 23 - 12 12 - 6 3.65
115 Washington PAC12 16 - 15 5 - 13 3.61
116 Wake Forest ACC 13 - 19 5 - 13 3.5
117 Nebraska Big10 13 - 18 5 - 13 3.26
118 UC Santa Barbara BW 19 - 14 11 - 5 3.16
119 Massachusetts A10 17 - 15 10 - 8 3.12
120 Auburn SEC 15 - 20 4 - 14 3.04
121 Hawaii BW 22 - 13 8 - 8 3.02
122 Northeastern CAA 23 - 12 12 - 6 3.01
123 Bowling Green MAC 21 - 12 11 - 7 2.98
124 Utah State MWC 18 - 13 11 - 7 2.74
125 San Diego WCC 15 - 16 8 - 10 2.64
126 UL Lafayette SUN 22 - 14 13 - 7 2.59
127 Albany AE 24 - 9 15 - 1 2.59
128 Belmont OVC 22 - 11 11 - 5 2.45
129 Pepperdine WCC 18 - 14 10 - 8 2.3
130 Western Kentucky CUSA 20 - 12 12 - 6 2.06
131 William and Mary CAA 20 - 13 12 - 6 2.04
132 Eastern Washington BSky 26 - 9 14 - 4 1.95
133 Georgia Southern SUN 22 - 9 14 - 6 1.89
134 North Carolina Central MEAC 25 - 8 16 - 0 1.88
135 North Dakota State SUM 23 - 10 12 - 4 1.65
136 Hofstra CAA 20 - 14 10 - 8 1.61
137 Eastern Michigan MAC 21 - 14 8 - 10 1.46
138 Eastern Kentucky OVC 21 - 12 11 - 5 1.4
139 Southern California PAC12 12 - 20 3 - 15 1.33
140 Vermont AE 20 - 14 12 - 4 1.33
141 Texas Tech BIG12 13 - 19 3 - 15 1.13
142 Coastal Carolina BSth 24 - 10 12 - 6 1.05
143 Chattanooga SC 22 - 10 15 - 3 1.05
144 Stony Brook AE 23 - 12 12 - 4 0.97
145 Portland WCC 17 - 16 7 - 11 0.94
146 Indiana State MVC 15 - 16 11 - 7 0.75
147 DePaul BE 12 - 20 6 - 12 0.74
148 Middle Tennessee CUSA 19 - 17 9 - 9 0.71
149 Long Beach State BW 16 - 17 10 - 6 0.63
150 San Francisco WCC 14 - 18 7 - 11 0.59
151 Mississippi State SEC 13 - 19 6 - 12 0.48
152 Washington State PAC12 13 - 18 7 - 11 0.35
153 Princeton IVY 16 - 14 9 - 5 0.33
154 UL Monroe SUN 24 - 14 14 - 6 0.32
155 Manhattan MAAC 19 - 14 13 - 7 0.3
156 High Point BSth 23 - 10 13 - 5 0.29
157 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 23 - 12 15 - 3 0.24
158 Western Michigan MAC 20 - 14 10 - 8 0.22
159 New Mexico MWC 15 - 16 7 - 11 0.14
160 Rider MAAC 21 - 12 15 - 5 0.06
161 NJ Tech Ind 21 - 12 4 - 0 0.04
162 Morehead State OVC 17 - 17 10 - 6 -0.01
163 Tennessee Martin OVC 21 - 13 10 - 6 -0.08
164 North Florida ASUN 23 - 12 12 - 2 -0.15
165 Canisius MAAC 18 - 15 11 - 9 -0.16
166 Virginia Tech ACC 11 - 22 2 - 16 -0.28
167 Robert Morris NEC 20 - 15 12 - 6 -0.34
168 Charlotte CUSA 14 - 18 7 - 11 -0.39
169 Saint Josephs A10 13 - 18 7 - 11 -0.52
170 Montana BSky 20 - 13 14 - 4 -0.74
171 Oakland HOR 16 - 17 11 - 5 -0.94
172 Northern Arizona BSky 23 - 15 13 - 5 -1.01
173 Radford BSth 22 - 12 12 - 6 -1.76
174 Monmouth MAAC 18 - 15 13 - 7 -1.8
175 Bucknell PAT 19 - 15 13 - 5 -1.82
176 Northern Illinois MAC 14 - 16 8 - 10 -1.82
177 Lafayette PAT 20 - 13 9 - 9 -1.87
178 Missouri SEC 9 - 23 3 - 15 -1.87
179 Cal Poly BW 13 - 16 6 - 10 -1.91
180 Fresno State MWC 15 - 17 10 - 8 -1.95
181 Santa Clara WCC 14 - 18 7 - 11 -2.02
182 Dartmouth IVY 14 - 15 7 - 7 -2.12
183 Columbia IVY 13 - 15 5 - 9 -2.15
184 Mercer SC 19 - 16 12 - 6 -2.16
185 Rutgers Big10 10 - 22 2 - 16 -2.19
186 Colgate PAT 16 - 17 12 - 6 -2.25
187 Winthrop BSth 19 - 13 12 - 6 -2.26
188 UNC Wilmington CAA 18 - 14 12 - 6 -2.32
189 Oral Roberts SUM 19 - 15 10 - 6 -2.36
190 James Madison CAA 19 - 14 12 - 6 -2.51
191 IPFW SUM 16 - 15 9 - 7 -2.65
192 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 22 - 11 11 - 3 -2.67
193 Sacramento State BSky 21 - 12 13 - 5 -2.72
194 Texas Southern SWAC 22 - 13 16 - 2 -2.72
195 Lehigh PAT 15 - 14 10 - 8 -2.73
196 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 24 - 12 8 - 6 -2.74
197 Quinnipiac MAAC 15 - 15 9 - 11 -2.84
198 New Hampshire AE 19 - 13 11 - 5 -2.86
199 Charleston Southern BSth 19 - 12 13 - 5 -2.89
200 Houston Amer 13 - 19 4 - 14 -2.9
201 East Carolina Amer 14 - 19 6 - 12 -3.06
202 Detroit HOR 15 - 18 7 - 9 -3.12
203 Milwaukee HOR 14 - 16 9 - 7 -3.12
204 Duquesne A10 12 - 19 6 - 12 -3.15
205 American PAT 17 - 16 8 - 10 -3.16
206 Texas AM CC SLND 20 - 14 13 - 5 -3.19
207 Fordham A10 10 - 21 4 - 14 -3.19
208 Miami OH MAC 13 - 19 8 - 10 -3.35
209 Air Force MWC 14 - 17 6 - 12 -3.37
210 Saint Peters MAAC 16 - 18 8 - 12 -3.46
211 Rice CUSA 12 - 20 8 - 10 -3.46
212 Texas Arlington SUN 16 - 15 10 - 10 -3.49
213 Eastern Illinois OVC 18 - 15 9 - 7 -3.56
214 Tulane Amer 15 - 16 6 - 12 -3.6
215 Texas San Antonio CUSA 14 - 16 8 - 10 -3.73
216 George Mason A10 9 - 22 4 - 14 -3.75
217 Northwestern State SLND 19 - 13 13 - 5 -3.78
218 Southern Illinois MVC 12 - 21 4 - 14 -3.79
219 South Dakota SUM 17 - 16 9 - 7 -3.93
220 Norfolk State MEAC 20 - 14 12 - 4 -4.02
221 Gardner Webb BSth 20 - 15 10 - 8 -4.17
222 Mt St Marys NEC 15 - 15 11 - 7 -4.63
223 Cornell IVY 13 - 17 5 - 9 -4.64
224 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 18 - 15 11 - 5 -4.66
225 Denver SUM 12 - 18 6 - 10 -5.09
226 East Tennessee State SC 16 - 14 8 - 10 -5.11
227 North Texas CUSA 14 - 17 8 - 10 -5.12
228 UC Riverside BW 14 - 17 7 - 9 -5.14
229 Bryant NEC 16 - 15 12 - 6 -5.18
230 Incarnate Word SLND 18 - 11 10 - 8 -5.34
231 Seattle WAC 18 - 16 7 - 7 -5.41
232 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 13 - 18 8 - 12 -5.52
233 SE Missouri State OVC 13 - 17 7 - 9 -5.55
234 Western Carolina SC 15 - 17 9 - 9 -5.58
235 Saint Francis Penn NEC 16 - 16 9 - 9 -5.66
236 Missouri State MVC 11 - 20 5 - 13 -5.7
237 Drake MVC 9 - 22 6 - 12 -5.77
238 Pacific WCC 12 - 19 4 - 14 -5.81
239 Boston PAT 13 - 17 9 - 9 -5.81
240 Ohio MAC 10 - 20 5 - 13 -5.82
241 Holy Cross PAT 14 - 16 8 - 10 -5.93
242 Texas State SUN 14 - 17 7 - 13 -6.07
243 Bradley MVC 9 - 24 3 - 15 -6.08
244 Hampton MEAC 17 - 18 8 - 8 -6.42
245 SIU Edwardsville OVC 12 - 16 8 - 8 -6.5
246 Central Florida Amer 12 - 18 5 - 13 -6.86
247 Sacred Heart NEC 15 - 17 9 - 9 -6.87
248 Florida International CUSA 16 - 17 8 - 10 -6.9
249 Delaware CAA 10 - 20 9 - 9 -6.95
250 Elon CAA 15 - 18 6 - 12 -7.12
251 Drexel CAA 11 - 19 9 - 9 -7.13
252 Grand Canyon WAC 17 - 15 8 - 6 -7.14
253 Northern Colorado BSky 15 - 15 10 - 8 -7.22
254 Saint Louis A10 11 - 21 3 - 15 -7.31
255 Idaho BSky 13 - 17 8 - 10 -7.31
256 UNC Asheville BSth 15 - 16 10 - 8 -7.32
257 Alabama State SWAC 19 - 10 14 - 4 -7.35
258 Portland State BSky 15 - 14 9 - 9 -7.38
259 Brown IVY 13 - 18 4 - 10 -7.41
260 Navy PAT 13 - 19 8 - 10 -7.46
261 Loyola Marymount WCC 8 - 23 4 - 14 -7.56
262 Marshall CUSA 11 - 21 7 - 11 -7.72
263 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 14 - 19 7 - 7 -7.88
264 Lamar SLND 15 - 15 9 - 9 -7.99
265 Army PAT 15 - 15 6 - 12 -8.06
266 South Florida Amer 9 - 23 3 - 15 -8.07
267 Omaha SUM 12 - 17 5 - 11 -8.08
268 Northern Kentucky ASUN 13 - 17 7 - 7 -8.22
269 Appalachian State SUN 12 - 17 9 - 11 -8.23
270 Tennessee Tech OVC 12 - 18 4 - 12 -8.26
271 Southern SWAC 18 - 17 13 - 5 -8.3
272 Weber State BSky 13 - 17 8 - 10 -8.42
273 Delaware State MEAC 18 - 18 9 - 7 -8.57
274 Siena MAAC 11 - 20 7 - 13 -8.63
275 Pennsylvania IVY 9 - 19 4 - 10 -8.66
276 Cal State Northridge BW 9 - 24 4 - 12 -8.68
277 Illinois Chicago HOR 10 - 24 4 - 12 -8.76
278 Ball State MAC 7 - 23 2 - 16 -8.98
279 Howard MEAC 16 - 16 10 - 6 -9
280 Samford SC 13 - 19 6 - 12 -9.04
281 Wright State HOR 11 - 20 3 - 13 -9.05
282 UMKC WAC 14 - 19 8 - 6 -9.06
283 IUPUI SUM 10 - 21 6 - 10 -9.1
284 Nevada MWC 9 - 22 5 - 13 -9.13
285 UNC Greensboro SC 11 - 22 6 - 12 -9.17
286 South Alabama SUN 12 - 21 9 - 11 -9.23
287 LIU Brooklyn NEC 12 - 18 8 - 10 -9.23
288 Towson CAA 12 - 20 5 - 13 -9.46
289 Prairie View SWAC 15 - 18 12 - 6 -9.59
290 Hartford AE 14 - 16 7 - 9 -9.65
291 Troy SUN 10 - 19 5 - 15 -10.14
292 Mcneese State SLND 15 - 16 8 - 10 -10.27
293 Youngstown State HOR 11 - 21 2 - 14 -10.29
294 Arkansas State SUN 11 - 18 6 - 14 -10.32
295 Furman SC 11 - 22 5 - 13 -10.41
296 Florida Atlantic CUSA 9 - 20 2 - 16 -10.43
297 College of Charleston CAA 9 - 24 3 - 15 -10.44
298 Virginia Military Institute SC 11 - 19 8 - 11 -10.47
299 Niagara MAAC 8 - 22 7 - 13 -10.66
300 Southern Miss CUSA 9 - 20 4 - 14 -10.67
301 Loyola MD PAT 11 - 19 7 - 11 -10.7
302 Lipscomb ASUN 14 - 17 7 - 7 -11.15
303 Fairfield MAAC 7 - 24 5 - 15 -11.36
304 Wagner NEC 10 - 20 8 - 10 -11.41
305 Cal State Fullerton BW 9 - 22 1 - 15 -11.59
306 Jacksonville State OVC 12 - 19 5 - 11 -11.85
307 Southern Utah BSky 10 - 19 7 - 11 -11.85
308 UMass Lowell AE 12 - 17 6 - 10 -11.96
309 Marist MAAC 7 - 25 5 - 15 -11.98
310 New Orleans SLND 11 - 18 6 - 12 -12.3
311 Jackson State SWAC 11 - 21 9 - 9 -12.76
312 Campbell BSth 10 - 22 4 - 14 -12.77
313 Longwood BSth 11 - 23 5 - 13 -12.85
314 Houston Baptist SLND 12 - 16 7 - 11 -12.86
315 Austin Peay OVC 8 - 22 3 - 13 -13.33
316 Southeast Louisiana SLND 9 - 23 6 - 12 -13.77
317 North Dakota BSky 8 - 22 4 - 14 -14.09
318 The Citadel SC 11 - 19 6 - 13 -14.27
319 Idaho State BSky 7 - 23 4 - 14 -14.3
320 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 8 - 21 3 - 15 -14.44
321 Utah Valley WAC 11 - 19 5 - 9 -14.65
322 Binghamton AE 6 - 26 5 - 11 -14.75
323 Montana State BSky 7 - 23 4 - 14 -14.79
324 Nicholls State SLND 10 - 19 7 - 11 -15.16
325 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 12 - 21 9 - 10 -15.24
326 Western Illinois SUM 8 - 20 3 - 13 -15.24
327 Presbyterian BSth 10 - 22 6 - 12 -15.43
328 Chicago State WAC 8 - 24 4 - 10 -15.85
329 Coppin State MEAC 8 - 23 6 - 10 -16.19
330 Tennessee State OVC 5 - 26 2 - 14 -16.94
331 Texas Pan American WAC 10 - 21 4 - 10 -16.95
332 Alabama AM SWAC 9 - 20 8 - 10 -17.09
333 Bethune Cookman MEAC 11 - 21 7 - 9 -17.13
334 Jacksonville ASUN 10 - 22 4 - 10 -17.19
335 South Carolina State MEAC 11 - 22 7 - 9 -17.74
336 Morgan State MEAC 7 - 24 5 - 11 -17.78
337 North Carolina AT MEAC 9 - 23 6 - 10 -17.96
338 Stetson ASUN 9 - 22 3 - 11 -17.98
339 Central Connecticut State NEC 5 - 26 3 - 15 -18.11
340 Kennesaw St ASUN 10 - 22 4 - 10 -18.18
341 Abilene Christian SLND 10 - 21 4 - 14 -18.27
342 Liberty BSth 8 - 24 2 - 16 -18.33
343 Savannah State MEAC 9 - 22 5 - 11 -18.49
344 UMBC AE 4 - 26 2 - 14 -18.91
345 San Jose State MWC 2 - 28 0 - 18 -19.58
346 Maine AE 3 - 27 2 - 14 -19.79
347 Alcorn State SWAC 6 - 26 4 - 14 -21.71
348 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 7 - 26 6 - 13 -22.26
349 Central Arkansas SLND 2 - 27 2 - 16 -23.76
350 Florida AM MEAC 2 - 27 2 - 14 -27.09
351 Grambling State SWAC 2 - 27 0 - 18 -31.76