Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2015-2016 Postseason - Through games of 4/4/16

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Villanova BE 35 - 5 16 - 2 25.9
2 Kansas BIG12 33 - 5 15 - 3 24.71
3 North Carolina ACC 33 - 7 14 - 4 24.53
4 Virginia ACC 29 - 8 13 - 5 23.33
5 Michigan State Big10 29 - 6 13 - 5 21.77
6 Kentucky SEC 27 - 9 13 - 5 20.09
7 Oregon PAC12 31 - 7 14 - 4 19.96
8 West Virginia BIG12 26 - 9 13 - 5 19.8
9 Oklahoma BIG12 29 - 8 12 - 6 19.59
10 Louisville ACC 23 - 8 12 - 6 19.53
11 Miami ACC 27 - 8 13 - 5 19.43
12 Xavier BE 28 - 6 14 - 4 19.18
13 Indiana Big10 27 - 8 15 - 3 19.06
14 Purdue Big10 26 - 9 12 - 6 18.28
15 Duke ACC 25 - 11 11 - 7 17.93
16 Wichita State MVC 26 - 9 16 - 2 17.66
17 Southern Methodist Amer 25 - 5 13 - 5 17.51
18 Texas AM SEC 28 - 9 13 - 5 17.46
19 Arizona PAC12 25 - 9 12 - 6 17.29
20 Seton Hall BE 25 - 9 12 - 6 16.81
21 Gonzaga WCC 28 - 8 15 - 3 16.72
22 Maryland Big10 27 - 9 12 - 6 16.43
23 Utah PAC12 27 - 9 13 - 5 16.26
24 Iowa State BIG12 23 - 12 10 - 8 16.04
25 Syracuse ACC 23 - 14 9 - 9 15.53
26 Connecticut Amer 25 - 11 11 - 7 15.39
27 California PAC12 23 - 11 12 - 6 15.31
28 Baylor BIG12 22 - 12 10 - 8 15.01
29 Butler BE 22 - 11 10 - 8 14.98
30 Iowa Big10 22 - 11 12 - 6 14.94
31 Notre Dame ACC 24 - 12 11 - 7 14.91
32 Saint Josephs A10 28 - 8 13 - 5 14.48
33 Wisconsin Big10 22 - 13 12 - 6 14.44
34 Virginia Commonwealth A10 25 - 11 14 - 4 14.3
35 Texas BIG12 20 - 13 11 - 7 13.94
36 Pittsburgh ACC 21 - 12 9 - 9 13.76
37 Vanderbilt SEC 19 - 14 11 - 7 13.59
38 George Washington A10 28 - 10 11 - 7 13.17
39 Cincinnati Amer 22 - 11 12 - 6 13.15
40 San Diego State MWC 28 - 10 16 - 2 13.11
41 Providence BE 24 - 11 10 - 8 12.87
42 Saint Marys WCC 29 - 6 15 - 3 12.77
43 Florida SEC 21 - 15 9 - 9 12.62
44 Georgia Tech ACC 21 - 15 8 - 10 12.46
45 Creighton BE 20 - 15 9 - 9 12.34
46 Brigham Young WCC 26 - 11 13 - 5 12.18
47 Stephen F Austin SLND 28 - 6 18 - 0 12
48 Yale IVY 23 - 7 13 - 1 11.99
49 Valparaiso HOR 30 - 7 16 - 2 11.99
50 Michigan Big10 23 - 13 10 - 8 11.78
51 Dayton A10 25 - 8 14 - 4 11.58
52 Florida State ACC 20 - 14 8 - 10 11.5
53 Clemson ACC 17 - 14 10 - 8 11.14
54 Colorado PAC12 22 - 12 10 - 8 11.13
55 Southern California PAC12 21 - 13 9 - 9 11.13
56 South Carolina SEC 25 - 9 11 - 7 11.11
57 Texas Tech BIG12 19 - 13 9 - 9 11.06
58 Virginia Tech ACC 20 - 15 10 - 8 11.05
59 Kansas State BIG12 17 - 16 5 - 13 10.15
60 Oregon State PAC12 19 - 13 9 - 9 9.92
61 Hawaii BW 28 - 6 13 - 3 9.92
62 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 30 - 5 17 - 3 9.77
63 Tulsa Amer 20 - 12 12 - 6 9.55
64 Georgia SEC 20 - 14 10 - 8 9.54
65 Ohio State Big10 21 - 14 11 - 7 9.54
66 Washington PAC12 19 - 15 9 - 9 9.52
67 Houston Amer 22 - 10 12 - 6 9.51
68 Northern Iowa MVC 23 - 13 11 - 7 9.5
69 Princeton IVY 22 - 7 12 - 2 9.17
70 Temple Amer 21 - 12 14 - 4 8.96
71 Georgetown BE 15 - 18 7 - 11 8.87
72 Saint Bonaventure A10 22 - 9 14 - 4 8.68
73 UNC Wilmington CAA 25 - 8 14 - 4 8.5
74 Northwestern Big10 20 - 12 8 - 10 8.49
75 NC State ACC 16 - 17 5 - 13 8.45
76 Evansville MVC 25 - 9 12 - 6 8.22
77 Mississippi SEC 20 - 12 10 - 8 8.03
78 Louisiana State SEC 19 - 14 11 - 7 8
79 Marquette BE 20 - 13 8 - 10 7.86
80 UCLA PAC12 15 - 17 6 - 12 7.81
81 Arkansas SEC 16 - 16 9 - 9 7.77
82 Memphis Amer 19 - 15 8 - 10 7.7
83 Hofstra CAA 24 - 10 14 - 4 7.45
84 Fresno State MWC 25 - 10 13 - 5 7.37
85 Oakland HOR 23 - 12 13 - 5 7.24
86 Akron MAC 26 - 9 13 - 5 7.18
87 Monmouth MAAC 28 - 8 17 - 3 7.18
88 Alabama SEC 18 - 15 8 - 10 6.91
89 UC Irvine BW 28 - 10 13 - 3 6.85
90 South Dakota State SUM 26 - 8 12 - 4 6.78
91 Mississippi State SEC 14 - 17 7 - 11 6.64
92 William and Mary CAA 20 - 11 11 - 7 6.61
93 Davidson A10 20 - 13 10 - 8 6.61
94 James Madison CAA 21 - 11 11 - 7 6.55
95 Stanford PAC12 15 - 15 8 - 10 6.42
96 Rhode Island A10 17 - 15 9 - 9 6.41
97 Nebraska Big10 16 - 18 6 - 12 6.29
98 Stony Brook AE 26 - 7 14 - 2 6.24
99 Boise State MWC 20 - 12 11 - 7 6.21
100 Iona MAAC 22 - 11 16 - 4 6.03
101 Columbia IVY 25 - 10 10 - 4 5.89
102 Arizona State PAC12 15 - 17 5 - 13 5.76
103 Old Dominion CUSA 25 - 13 12 - 6 5.75
104 Richmond A10 16 - 16 7 - 11 5.42
105 Chattanooga SC 29 - 6 15 - 3 5.36
106 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 26 - 7 16 - 2 5.2
107 Tennessee SEC 15 - 19 6 - 12 5.08
108 Middle Tennessee CUSA 25 - 10 13 - 5 4.89
109 Long Beach State BW 20 - 15 12 - 4 4.69
110 UC Santa Barbara BW 19 - 14 11 - 5 4.54
111 Oklahoma State BIG12 12 - 20 3 - 15 4.46
112 Nevada MWC 24 - 14 10 - 8 4.31
113 Texas Arlington SUN 24 - 11 13 - 7 4.28
114 Illinois State MVC 18 - 14 12 - 6 4.2
115 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 24 - 9 11 - 3 3.97
116 New Mexico State WAC 23 - 11 13 - 1 3.91
117 Buffalo MAC 20 - 15 10 - 8 3.52
118 Penn State Big10 16 - 16 7 - 11 3.43
119 Illinois Big10 15 - 19 5 - 13 3.4
120 Wake Forest ACC 11 - 20 2 - 16 3.39
121 Green Bay HOR 23 - 13 11 - 7 3.33
122 Ohio MAC 23 - 12 11 - 7 3.15
123 New Mexico MWC 17 - 15 10 - 8 3.11
124 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 18 - 15 8 - 10 3.08
125 UL Lafayette SUN 19 - 15 12 - 8 2.93
126 Southern Illinois MVC 22 - 10 11 - 7 2.88
127 Milwaukee HOR 20 - 13 10 - 8 2.69
128 Albany AE 24 - 9 13 - 3 2.68
129 Morehead State OVC 23 - 14 11 - 5 2.52
130 Grand Canyon WAC 27 - 7 11 - 3 2.47
131 UNC Asheville BSth 22 - 12 12 - 6 2.45
132 Siena MAAC 21 - 13 13 - 7 2.44
133 Northeastern CAA 18 - 15 9 - 9 2.4
134 Wright State HOR 22 - 13 13 - 5 2.31
135 IPFW SUM 24 - 10 12 - 4 2.29
136 College of Charleston CAA 17 - 14 8 - 10 2.2
137 Utah State MWC 16 - 15 7 - 11 2.17
138 UL Monroe SUN 20 - 14 15 - 5 1.98
139 Pepperdine WCC 18 - 14 10 - 8 1.92
140 Texas Christian BIG12 12 - 21 2 - 16 1.82
141 Weber State BSky 26 - 9 15 - 3 1.48
142 Belmont OVC 20 - 12 12 - 4 1.47
143 Marshall CUSA 17 - 16 12 - 6 1.4
144 Toledo MAC 17 - 15 8 - 10 1.35
145 Colorado State MWC 18 - 16 8 - 10 1.16
146 Towson CAA 20 - 13 11 - 7 1.12
147 Vermont AE 23 - 14 11 - 5 1.08
148 East Tennessee State SC 24 - 12 14 - 4 0.99
149 Eastern Michigan MAC 18 - 15 9 - 9 0.7
150 Winthrop BSth 23 - 9 13 - 5 0.57
151 Fordham A10 17 - 14 8 - 10 0.57
152 Ball State MAC 21 - 14 10 - 8 0.55
153 Louisiana Tech CUSA 23 - 10 12 - 6 0.43
154 Duquesne A10 17 - 17 6 - 12 0.23
155 Massachusetts A10 14 - 18 6 - 12 0.09
156 Montana BSky 21 - 12 14 - 4 -0.15
157 Texas AM CC SLND 25 - 8 15 - 3 -0.25
158 North Dakota State SUM 20 - 13 8 - 8 -0.29
159 Missouri SEC 10 - 21 3 - 15 -0.38
160 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 21 - 14 8 - 6 -0.41
161 Western Kentucky CUSA 18 - 16 8 - 10 -0.47
162 Northern Illinois MAC 21 - 13 9 - 9 -0.5
163 Central Michigan MAC 17 - 16 10 - 8 -0.59
164 Coastal Carolina BSth 21 - 12 12 - 6 -0.6
165 High Point BSth 21 - 11 13 - 5 -0.61
166 Elon CAA 16 - 16 7 - 11 -0.79
167 Kent State MAC 19 - 13 10 - 8 -0.79
168 Omaha SUM 18 - 14 10 - 6 -0.82
169 Indiana State MVC 15 - 17 8 - 10 -1.11
170 Harvard IVY 14 - 16 6 - 8 -1.14
171 Tennessee State OVC 20 - 11 11 - 5 -1.15
172 Murray State OVC 17 - 14 10 - 6 -1.33
173 Loyola Ill MVC 15 - 17 7 - 11 -1.33
174 Bucknell PAT 17 - 14 14 - 4 -1.35
175 DePaul BE 9 - 22 3 - 15 -1.37
176 Lehigh PAT 17 - 15 13 - 5 -1.44
177 Wyoming MWC 14 - 18 7 - 11 -1.59
178 Detroit HOR 16 - 15 9 - 9 -1.74
179 North Florida ASUN 22 - 12 10 - 4 -1.75
180 Wagner NEC 23 - 11 13 - 5 -2.08
181 Central Florida Amer 12 - 18 6 - 12 -2.17
182 Furman SC 19 - 16 11 - 7 -2.3
183 Fairfield MAAC 19 - 14 12 - 8 -2.38
184 Auburn SEC 11 - 20 5 - 13 -2.74
185 Charlotte CUSA 14 - 19 9 - 9 -2.81
186 Tennessee Tech OVC 19 - 12 11 - 5 -2.82
187 George Mason A10 11 - 21 5 - 13 -2.84
188 NJ Tech ASUN 20 - 15 8 - 6 -2.86
189 Western Michigan MAC 13 - 19 7 - 11 -2.91
190 Georgia State SUN 16 - 14 9 - 11 -2.94
191 Denver SUM 16 - 15 7 - 9 -3.04
192 Tulane Amer 12 - 22 3 - 15 -3.14
193 East Carolina Amer 12 - 20 4 - 14 -3.15
194 San Francisco WCC 15 - 15 8 - 10 -3.21
195 Washington State PAC12 9 - 22 1 - 17 -3.35
196 Oral Roberts SUM 14 - 17 6 - 10 -3.37
197 Minnesota Big10 8 - 23 2 - 16 -3.41
198 Texas Southern SWAC 18 - 15 16 - 2 -3.43
199 Tennessee Martin OVC 20 - 15 10 - 6 -3.54
200 Wofford SC 15 - 17 11 - 7 -3.76
201 Saint Johns BE 8 - 24 1 - 17 -3.81
202 Saint Louis A10 11 - 21 5 - 13 -3.9
203 Western Carolina SC 16 - 18 10 - 8 -3.91
204 Texas El Paso CUSA 19 - 14 10 - 8 -4.01
205 North Dakota BSky 17 - 16 10 - 8 -4.02
206 Boston College ACC 7 - 25 0 - 18 -4.08
207 Loyola Marymount WCC 14 - 17 6 - 12 -4.09
208 Austin Peay OVC 18 - 18 7 - 9 -4.17
209 Saint Peters MAAC 14 - 16 12 - 8 -4.23
210 Portland WCC 12 - 20 6 - 12 -4.28
211 Missouri State MVC 13 - 19 8 - 10 -4.34
212 Eastern Kentucky OVC 15 - 16 6 - 10 -4.34
213 New Hampshire AE 20 - 13 11 - 5 -4.37
214 South Florida Amer 8 - 25 4 - 14 -4.59
215 Navy PAT 19 - 14 9 - 9 -4.6
216 Idaho BSky 21 - 13 12 - 6 -4.7
217 Mercer SC 19 - 15 8 - 10 -4.75
218 Georgia Southern SUN 14 - 17 10 - 10 -4.77
219 Boston PAT 19 - 15 11 - 7 -4.82
220 Eastern Washington BSky 18 - 16 10 - 8 -4.91
221 Texas State SUN 15 - 16 8 - 12 -4.98
222 Miami OH MAC 13 - 20 6 - 12 -5.39
223 Santa Clara WCC 11 - 20 7 - 11 -5.44
224 UNC Greensboro SC 15 - 19 10 - 8 -5.47
225 Sam Houston State SLND 18 - 16 12 - 6 -5.5
226 IUPUI SUM 13 - 19 9 - 7 -5.53
227 Rider MAAC 13 - 20 8 - 12 -5.56
228 Bowling Green MAC 16 - 18 5 - 13 -5.78
229 Pacific WCC 8 - 20 6 - 12 -5.79
230 Radford BSth 16 - 15 9 - 9 -5.82
231 Hampton MEAC 21 - 11 13 - 3 -5.89
232 Pennsylvania IVY 11 - 17 5 - 9 -5.97
233 Air Force MWC 14 - 18 5 - 13 -6.02
234 Dartmouth IVY 10 - 18 4 - 10 -6.11
235 Gardner Webb BSth 17 - 16 10 - 8 -6.22
236 La Salle A10 9 - 22 4 - 14 -6.25
237 South Dakota SUM 14 - 18 5 - 11 -6.33
238 Cal Poly BW 10 - 20 4 - 12 -6.45
239 Canisius MAAC 14 - 19 8 - 12 -6.45
240 Manhattan MAAC 13 - 18 9 - 11 -6.66
241 Incarnate Word SLND 17 - 12 12 - 6 -6.75
242 Army PAT 19 - 14 9 - 9 -6.82
243 Florida International CUSA 13 - 19 7 - 11 -6.93
244 Southern SWAC 22 - 13 11 - 7 -7.1
245 UC Riverside BW 14 - 19 5 - 11 -7.17
246 Drexel CAA 6 - 25 3 - 15 -7.21
247 Norfolk State MEAC 17 - 17 12 - 4 -7.29
248 South Alabama SUN 14 - 19 8 - 12 -7.56
249 San Jose State MWC 9 - 22 4 - 14 -7.58
250 UC Davis BW 11 - 19 6 - 10 -7.61
251 Colgate PAT 13 - 17 9 - 9 -7.74
252 Samford SC 14 - 19 4 - 14 -7.87
253 South Carolina State MEAC 19 - 15 12 - 4 -8.03
254 Kennesaw St ASUN 11 - 20 7 - 7 -8.07
255 Cal State Northridge BW 10 - 20 5 - 11 -8.1
256 Montana State BSky 14 - 17 9 - 9 -8.15
257 Eastern Illinois OVC 13 - 17 9 - 7 -8.17
258 Jackson State SWAC 20 - 16 12 - 6 -8.2
259 Appalachian State SUN 9 - 22 7 - 13 -8.21
260 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 18 - 15 11 - 7 -8.38
261 UMKC WAC 12 - 19 4 - 10 -8.64
262 Arkansas State SUN 11 - 20 7 - 13 -8.8
263 Northern Kentucky HOR 9 - 21 5 - 13 -8.82
264 Western Illinois SUM 10 - 17 3 - 13 -8.82
265 Rutgers Big10 7 - 25 1 - 17 -8.84
266 Rice CUSA 12 - 20 7 - 11 -8.9
267 San Diego WCC 9 - 21 4 - 14 -8.93
268 Jacksonville ASUN 16 - 16 8 - 6 -9.01
269 Portland State BSky 13 - 18 8 - 10 -9.01
270 Mt St Marys NEC 14 - 19 10 - 8 -9.08
271 Drake MVC 7 - 24 2 - 16 -9.09
272 Holy Cross PAT 15 - 20 5 - 13 -9.15
273 Cornell IVY 10 - 18 3 - 11 -9.19
274 Idaho State BSky 16 - 15 11 - 7 -9.3
275 Brown IVY 8 - 20 3 - 11 -9.43
276 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 15 - 17 11 - 7 -9.51
277 Seattle WAC 15 - 17 7 - 7 -9.59
278 Houston Baptist SLND 17 - 17 10 - 8 -9.65
279 North Texas CUSA 12 - 20 7 - 11 -9.68
280 Liberty BSth 13 - 19 10 - 8 -9.7
281 Lipscomb ASUN 12 - 21 7 - 7 -9.72
282 Delaware CAA 7 - 23 2 - 16 -9.73
283 Cal State Fullerton BW 10 - 20 3 - 13 -10.3
284 Utah Valley WAC 12 - 18 6 - 8 -10.37
285 Sacramento State BSky 14 - 17 6 - 12 -10.44
286 LIU Brooklyn NEC 16 - 15 9 - 9 -10.46
287 Youngstown State HOR 11 - 21 6 - 12 -10.58
288 Cleveland State HOR 9 - 23 4 - 14 -10.69
289 Stetson ASUN 12 - 22 4 - 10 -10.87
290 Loyola MD PAT 9 - 21 8 - 10 -11.05
291 American PAT 12 - 19 9 - 9 -11.17
292 Sacred Heart NEC 12 - 18 11 - 7 -11.2
293 Quinnipiac MAAC 9 - 21 6 - 14 -11.57
294 Troy SUN 9 - 22 4 - 16 -11.58
295 Florida Atlantic CUSA 8 - 25 5 - 13 -11.9
296 Saint Francis Penn NEC 13 - 17 9 - 9 -11.97
297 Alabama State SWAC 14 - 17 9 - 9 -12.16
298 UMass Lowell AE 11 - 18 7 - 9 -12.34
299 Southern Miss CUSA 8 - 21 5 - 13 -12.36
300 Alcorn State SWAC 15 - 15 13 - 5 -12.49
301 Longwood BSth 10 - 23 5 - 13 -12.64
302 Campbell BSth 12 - 18 5 - 13 -12.76
303 Robert Morris NEC 10 - 22 8 - 10 -12.91
304 Northern Colorado BSky 10 - 21 7 - 11 -12.91
305 Marist MAAC 7 - 23 4 - 16 -12.95
306 Jacksonville State OVC 8 - 23 4 - 12 -12.98
307 Charleston Southern BSth 9 - 21 5 - 13 -13.16
308 Bradley MVC 5 - 27 3 - 15 -13.32
309 Niagara MAAC 7 - 25 5 - 15 -13.37
310 SIU Edwardsville OVC 6 - 22 3 - 13 -13.49
311 Hartford AE 10 - 23 4 - 12 -13.5
312 Savannah State MEAC 16 - 16 9 - 7 -13.54
313 Bethune Cookman MEAC 14 - 18 10 - 6 -13.58
314 Virginia Military Institute SC 9 - 21 4 - 14 -13.74
315 Morgan State MEAC 9 - 22 6 - 10 -13.74
316 Binghamton AE 8 - 22 5 - 11 -13.75
317 Abilene Christian SLND 13 - 18 8 - 10 -13.79
318 Southeast Louisiana SLND 12 - 21 9 - 9 -13.93
319 North Carolina Central MEAC 13 - 19 7 - 9 -14.05
320 Presbyterian BSth 11 - 20 5 - 13 -14.27
321 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 10 - 22 4 - 10 -14.39
322 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 10 - 22 7 - 9 -14.46
323 Alabama AM SWAC 11 - 18 6 - 12 -15.17
324 Illinois Chicago HOR 5 - 25 3 - 15 -15.65
325 Lafayette PAT 6 - 24 3 - 15 -15.67
326 Nicholls State SLND 11 - 23 6 - 12 -15.75
327 Coppin State MEAC 9 - 22 6 - 10 -15.79
328 New Orleans SLND 10 - 20 6 - 12 -15.91
329 Central Arkansas SLND 7 - 21 6 - 12 -16.23
330 The Citadel SC 10 - 22 3 - 15 -16.28
331 UMBC AE 7 - 25 3 - 13 -16.3
332 Howard MEAC 12 - 20 6 - 10 -16.36
333 Northwestern State SLND 8 - 20 5 - 13 -16.47
334 Mcneese State SLND 9 - 20 7 - 11 -16.61
335 Maine AE 8 - 22 4 - 12 -16.7
336 Lamar SLND 12 - 19 3 - 15 -16.78
337 Prairie View SWAC 7 - 24 7 - 11 -17.66
338 Texas San Antonio CUSA 5 - 27 3 - 15 -17.71
339 North Carolina AT MEAC 10 - 22 7 - 9 -17.79
340 SE Missouri State OVC 5 - 24 2 - 14 -17.83
341 Texas Pan American WAC 8 - 22 4 - 10 -18.6
342 Bryant NEC 8 - 23 5 - 13 -18.77
343 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 8 - 27 6 - 12 -19.05
344 Southern Utah BSky 6 - 24 3 - 15 -19.22
345 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 8 - 25 6 - 12 -19.41
346 Northern Arizona BSky 5 - 25 3 - 15 -19.57
347 Chicago State WAC 4 - 28 0 - 14 -20.65
348 Delaware State MEAC 7 - 25 5 - 11 -21.12
349 Grambling State SWAC 6 - 24 4 - 14 -21.38
350 Central Connecticut State NEC 4 - 25 3 - 15 -22.5
351 Florida AM MEAC 8 - 21 4 - 12 -23