Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2013 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Louisville ACC 35 - 5 3 - 3 26.59
2 Indiana Big10 29 - 7 14 - 4 22.83
3 Florida SEC 29 - 8 14 - 4 22.01
4 Duke ACC 30 - 6 14 - 3 21.88
5 Michigan Big10 31 - 8 12 - 6 21.68
6 Gonzaga WCC 32 - 3 17 - 0 21.51
7 Ohio State Big10 29 - 8 13 - 5 21.47
8 Kansas BIG12 31 - 6 14 - 4 21.07
9 Michigan State Big10 27 - 9 13 - 5 20.69
10 Syracuse ACC 30 - 10 2 - 2 20.29
11 Miami ACC 29 - 7 14 - 3 19.07
12 Georgetown BE 25 - 7 6 - 2 18.25
13 Wisconsin Big10 23 - 12 12 - 6 18.13
14 Saint Louis A10 28 - 7 10 - 1 17.59
15 Arizona PAC12 27 - 8 12 - 6 17.51
16 Pittsburgh ACC 24 - 9 1 - 2 17.46
17 Wichita State MVC 30 - 9 11 - 5 17.04
18 Creighton BE 28 - 8 0 - 0 16.92
19 Virginia Commonwealth A10 27 - 9 9 - 3 16.58
20 Saint Marys WCC 28 - 7 15 - 3 16.56
21 New Mexico MWC 29 - 6 13 - 3 16.38
22 Marquette BE 26 - 9 6 - 3 16.35
23 Memphis Amer 31 - 5 8 - 0 15.86
24 Oklahoma State BIG12 24 - 9 13 - 5 15.64
25 North Carolina ACC 25 - 11 10 - 6 15.61
26 Kansas State BIG12 27 - 8 14 - 4 15.39
27 Oregon PAC12 28 - 9 12 - 6 15.23
28 Minnesota Big10 21 - 13 8 - 10 15.02
29 Iowa Big10 25 - 13 9 - 9 15.01
30 Iowa State BIG12 23 - 12 11 - 7 14.62
31 Colorado State MWC 26 - 9 11 - 5 14.49
32 Baylor BIG12 23 - 14 9 - 9 14.48
33 Mississippi SEC 27 - 9 12 - 6 14.42
34 Missouri SEC 23 - 11 11 - 7 14.41
35 Notre Dame ACC 25 - 10 2 - 2 14.26
36 NC State ACC 24 - 11 11 - 6 14.19
37 Butler BE 27 - 9 2 - 0 13.64
38 UCLA PAC12 25 - 10 13 - 5 13.14
39 Illinois Big10 23 - 13 8 - 10 13.12
40 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 25 - 10 10 - 6 13.1
41 Cincinnati Amer 22 - 12 2 - 1 13.08
42 San Diego State MWC 23 - 11 9 - 7 12.99
43 Virginia ACC 23 - 12 9 - 7 12.61
44 Villanova BE 20 - 14 4 - 3 12.32
45 La Salle A10 24 - 10 10 - 2 12.14
46 Connecticut Amer 20 - 10 2 - 2 12.07
47 Middle Tennessee CUSA 28 - 6 9 - 0 11.97
48 Colorado PAC12 21 - 12 10 - 8 11.91
49 Temple Amer 24 - 10 0 - 0 11.71
50 California PAC12 21 - 12 12 - 6 11.47
51 Oklahoma BIG12 20 - 12 11 - 7 11.36
52 Maryland Big10 25 - 13 1 - 0 11.29
53 Kentucky SEC 21 - 12 12 - 6 11.21
54 Belmont OVC 26 - 7 14 - 2 11.14
55 Brigham Young WCC 24 - 12 10 - 6 11.12
56 Southern Miss CUSA 27 - 10 6 - 2 10.64
57 Stanford PAC12 19 - 15 9 - 9 10.46
58 Denver SUM 22 - 10 1 - 0 10.39
59 Alabama SEC 23 - 13 12 - 6 10.26
60 Boise State MWC 21 - 11 9 - 7 10.14
61 Providence BE 19 - 15 5 - 3 9.34
62 Akron MAC 26 - 7 14 - 2 9.29
63 Tennessee SEC 20 - 13 11 - 7 9.21
64 Valparaiso HOR 26 - 8 12 - 3 9.06
65 Northern Iowa MVC 21 - 15 10 - 6 9.06
66 Davidson A10 26 - 8 1 - 0 8.87
67 Arizona State PAC12 22 - 13 9 - 9 8.83
68 Purdue Big10 16 - 18 8 - 10 8.57
69 Arkansas SEC 19 - 13 10 - 8 8.53
70 Bucknell PAT 28 - 6 13 - 2 8.5
71 Illinois State MVC 18 - 15 7 - 9 8.49
72 Dayton A10 17 - 14 5 - 6 8.36
73 Santa Clara WCC 26 - 12 10 - 7 7.9
74 Stony Brook AE 25 - 8 12 - 2 7.84
75 Massachusetts A10 21 - 12 8 - 4 7.76
76 Weber State BSky 30 - 7 18 - 2 7.54
77 Xavier BE 17 - 14 0 - 1 7.53
78 Washington PAC12 18 - 16 9 - 9 7.37
79 Saint Josephs A10 18 - 14 6 - 6 7.12
80 Evansville MVC 21 - 15 10 - 6 6.95
81 New Mexico State WAC 24 - 11 2 - 0 6.94
82 Louisiana Tech CUSA 27 - 7 3 - 0 6.79
83 Ohio MAC 24 - 10 14 - 2 6.66
84 Boston College ACC 16 - 17 6 - 10 6.51
85 Detroit HOR 20 - 13 10 - 4 6.34
86 Stephen F Austin SLND 27 - 5 14 - 2 6.27
87 Louisiana State SEC 19 - 12 9 - 9 6.24
88 Vanderbilt SEC 16 - 17 8 - 10 6.23
89 Richmond A10 19 - 15 6 - 8 6.02
90 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 26 - 11 9 - 3 5.89
91 Texas BIG12 16 - 18 7 - 11 5.8
92 Indiana State MVC 18 - 15 8 - 8 5.72
93 Georgia SEC 15 - 17 9 - 9 5.54
94 Saint Johns BE 17 - 16 3 - 5 5.54
95 East Carolina Amer 23 - 12 5 - 3 5.43
96 Harvard IVY 20 - 10 11 - 3 5.34
97 Texas El Paso CUSA 18 - 14 3 - 2 5.32
98 Southern California PAC12 14 - 18 9 - 9 5.22
99 Georgia Tech ACC 16 - 15 5 - 12 5.06
100 Texas AM SEC 18 - 15 7 - 11 5.03
101 Florida State ACC 18 - 16 7 - 9 5.02
102 Rutgers Big10 15 - 16 0 - 0 4.89
103 North Dakota State SUM 24 - 10 9 - 3 4.79
104 Iona MAAC 20 - 14 9 - 8 4.67
105 Nebraska Big10 15 - 18 5 - 13 4.64
106 Washington State PAC12 13 - 19 4 - 14 4.52
107 Air Force MWC 18 - 14 8 - 8 4.49
108 South Dakota State SUM 25 - 10 10 - 2 4.41
109 Utah PAC12 15 - 18 5 - 13 4.25
110 Drake MVC 15 - 17 6 - 10 4.13
111 Utah State MWC 21 - 10 2 - 0 4.13
112 Charlotte CUSA 21 - 12 0 - 0 4
113 Princeton IVY 17 - 11 10 - 4 3.93
114 Central Florida Amer 20 - 11 6 - 4 3.91
115 Mercer SC 24 - 12 4 - 0 3.73
116 Wyoming MWC 20 - 14 4 - 12 3.69
117 Seton Hall BE 15 - 18 2 - 6 3.66
118 Oregon State PAC12 14 - 18 4 - 14 3.49
119 George Washington A10 13 - 17 6 - 6 3.35
120 Loyola MD PAT 23 - 12 0 - 1 3.27
121 Lehigh PAT 21 - 10 10 - 4 3.12
122 Eastern Kentucky OVC 25 - 10 12 - 4 3.09
123 Wright State HOR 23 - 13 8 - 6 3.09
124 Saint Bonaventure A10 14 - 15 5 - 7 2.98
125 Wake Forest ACC 13 - 18 6 - 10 2.73
126 Northwestern Big10 13 - 19 4 - 15 2.71
127 West Virginia BIG12 13 - 19 6 - 12 2.71
128 Fresno State MWC 11 - 19 5 - 11 2.68
129 Canisius MAAC 20 - 14 10 - 6 2.67
130 Clemson ACC 13 - 18 5 - 12 2.58
131 Kent State MAC 21 - 14 9 - 7 2.55
132 South Florida Amer 12 - 19 2 - 3 2.42
133 Pacific WCC 22 - 13 2 - 3 2.28
134 George Mason A10 22 - 16 2 - 0 2.2
135 Montana BSky 25 - 7 20 - 1 2.18
136 Northwestern State SLND 23 - 9 14 - 2 2.18
137 Robert Morris NEC 24 - 11 11 - 3 2.12
138 San Francisco WCC 15 - 16 7 - 10 2
139 Penn State Big10 10 - 21 2 - 16 1.76
140 Niagara MAAC 19 - 14 12 - 4 1.67
141 Green Bay HOR 18 - 16 8 - 6 1.67
142 Murray State OVC 21 - 10 10 - 6 1.5
143 Western Michigan MAC 22 - 13 10 - 6 1.18
144 Bradley MVC 18 - 17 7 - 9 0.99
145 Albany AE 24 - 11 9 - 5 0.99
146 Tulane Amer 20 - 15 3 - 6 0.97
147 Arkansas State SUN 19 - 12 7 - 3 0.94
148 Vermont AE 21 - 12 11 - 3 0.88
149 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 16 - 17 4 - 3 0.82
150 College of Charleston CAA 24 - 11 2 - 0 0.79
151 Texas Arlington SUN 19 - 14 2 - 0 0.71
152 San Diego WCC 16 - 18 7 - 9 0.53
153 James Madison CAA 21 - 15 9 - 3 0.13
154 Rider MAAC 19 - 15 12 - 5 0.12
155 Delaware CAA 19 - 14 8 - 5 0.07
156 Oral Roberts SUM 20 - 15 0 - 0 0.05
157 Virginia Tech ACC 13 - 19 4 - 12 -0.02
158 UC Irvine BW 21 - 16 10 - 6 -0.05
159 Houston Amer 20 - 13 3 - 6 -0.05
160 Lafayette PAT 19 - 15 10 - 4 -0.06
161 Boston PAT 17 - 13 0 - 0 -0.09
162 Western Kentucky CUSA 20 - 16 3 - 6 -0.22
163 Tulsa Amer 17 - 16 4 - 5 -0.24
164 Southern Illinois MVC 14 - 17 6 - 10 -0.29
165 Towson CAA 18 - 13 10 - 4 -0.3
166 Manhattan MAAC 14 - 18 9 - 7 -0.39
167 Tennessee State OVC 18 - 15 11 - 5 -0.47
168 Cal Poly BW 18 - 14 11 - 5 -0.5
169 Florida International CUSA 18 - 14 3 - 5 -0.55
170 North Carolina Central MEAC 22 - 9 15 - 1 -0.6
171 Texas Southern SWAC 17 - 14 16 - 2 -0.67
172 Northeastern CAA 20 - 13 10 - 2 -0.77
173 Long Beach State BW 19 - 14 13 - 3 -0.79
174 Fairfield MAAC 19 - 16 9 - 7 -0.82
175 Western Illinois SUM 22 - 9 10 - 2 -0.86
176 Nevada MWC 12 - 19 3 - 13 -1.1
177 DePaul BE 11 - 21 1 - 6 -1.17
178 Southern SWAC 23 - 10 15 - 3 -1.19
179 Wagner NEC 19 - 12 10 - 5 -1.22
180 Bryant NEC 19 - 12 10 - 5 -1.35
181 LIU Brooklyn NEC 20 - 14 9 - 5 -1.41
182 Missouri State MVC 11 - 22 7 - 9 -1.97
183 Drexel CAA 13 - 18 5 - 7 -2
184 Army PAT 16 - 15 8 - 6 -2
185 Toledo MAC 15 - 13 10 - 6 -2.16
186 Southern Methodist Amer 15 - 17 2 - 7 -2.2
187 Georgia State SUN 15 - 16 1 - 2 -2.3
188 South Alabama SUN 17 - 13 8 - 3 -2.31
189 Rhode Island A10 8 - 21 3 - 10 -2.46
190 Mt St Marys NEC 18 - 14 8 - 7 -2.58
191 Loyola Ill MVC 15 - 16 0 - 0 -2.61
192 Charleston Southern BSth 19 - 13 11 - 4 -2.63
193 Buffalo MAC 14 - 20 7 - 9 -2.68
194 Illinois Chicago HOR 18 - 16 6 - 8 -2.77
195 South Carolina SEC 14 - 18 4 - 14 -2.88
196 Youngstown State HOR 18 - 16 5 - 9 -2.96
197 Yale IVY 14 - 17 8 - 6 -3.04
198 Norfolk State MEAC 21 - 12 16 - 0 -3.1
199 Gardner Webb BSth 21 - 13 10 - 5 -3.26
200 Auburn SEC 9 - 23 3 - 15 -3.41
201 Loyola Marymount WCC 11 - 23 1 - 15 -3.42
202 Jacksonville State OVC 17 - 11 8 - 8 -3.42
203 Marshall CUSA 13 - 19 2 - 4 -3.75
204 Texas Tech BIG12 11 - 20 3 - 15 -3.76
205 Hawaii BW 17 - 15 9 - 7 -3.79
206 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 16 - 17 6 - 6 -3.8
207 Elon CAA 21 - 12 0 - 1 -3.89
208 Idaho BSky 12 - 18 2 - 1 -3.93
209 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 17 - 15 5 - 5 -3.97
210 Quinnipiac MAAC 15 - 16 2 - 0 -4.23
211 Morgan State MEAC 17 - 15 10 - 6 -4.47
212 Oakland HOR 16 - 17 1 - 0 -4.54
213 Pepperdine WCC 12 - 18 4 - 12 -4.57
214 Stetson ASUN 15 - 16 8 - 4 -4.59
215 Savannah State MEAC 19 - 15 11 - 5 -4.66
216 Bowling Green MAC 13 - 19 7 - 9 -4.88
217 Hartford AE 17 - 14 8 - 6 -5.03
218 North Carolina AT MEAC 20 - 17 8 - 8 -5.09
219 UC Davis BW 14 - 17 9 - 7 -5.18
220 Mississippi State SEC 10 - 22 4 - 14 -5.4
221 Columbia IVY 12 - 16 4 - 10 -5.48
222 SE Missouri State OVC 17 - 16 8 - 8 -5.48
223 Brown IVY 13 - 15 7 - 7 -5.53
224 UNC Asheville BSth 16 - 16 9 - 6 -5.64
225 Florida Atlantic CUSA 14 - 18 3 - 5 -5.64
226 Morehead State OVC 15 - 18 8 - 8 -5.65
227 Texas Christian BIG12 11 - 21 2 - 16 -5.86
228 William and Mary CAA 13 - 17 4 - 8 -5.87
229 High Point BSth 17 - 14 10 - 4 -5.88
230 UL Lafayette SUN 13 - 20 5 - 5 -5.91
231 Eastern Michigan MAC 16 - 18 7 - 9 -6.35
232 IPFW SUM 16 - 17 4 - 8 -6.41
233 Ball State MAC 15 - 15 8 - 8 -6.44
234 Portland WCC 11 - 21 4 - 12 -6.49
235 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 14 - 16 3 - 1 -6.54
236 Sam Houston State SLND 17 - 17 9 - 8 -6.59
237 UC Santa Barbara BW 11 - 20 6 - 10 -6.66
238 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 12 - 18 7 - 7 -6.77
239 Cal State Fullerton BW 14 - 18 6 - 10 -6.77
240 Northern Kentucky HOR 11 - 16 0 - 0 -6.91
241 Duquesne A10 8 - 22 0 - 12 -6.92
242 Fordham A10 7 - 24 3 - 9 -6.94
243 Cal State Northridge BW 14 - 17 5 - 11 -7.08
244 North Florida ASUN 13 - 19 7 - 5 -7.09
245 Marist MAAC 10 - 21 5 - 11 -7.13
246 North Dakota BSky 16 - 17 12 - 8 -7.23
247 Texas State SUN 12 - 22 0 - 2 -7.42
248 Appalachian State SUN 15 - 16 2 - 0 -7.42
249 Coastal Carolina BSth 14 - 15 8 - 7 -7.48
250 Texas San Antonio CUSA 10 - 22 1 - 2 -7.51
251 North Texas CUSA 12 - 20 3 - 5 -7.56
252 Northern Colorado BSky 13 - 18 10 - 10 -7.58
253 Pennsylvania IVY 9 - 22 6 - 8 -7.8
254 Western Carolina SC 14 - 19 7 - 2 -7.8
255 Seattle WAC 8 - 22 0 - 3 -7.93
256 Holy Cross PAT 12 - 18 4 - 10 -7.96
257 Cleveland State HOR 14 - 18 5 - 9 -8.24
258 Central Connecticut State NEC 13 - 17 7 - 8 -8.34
259 Central Michigan MAC 11 - 20 4 - 12 -8.34
260 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 16 - 14 15 - 3 -8.39
261 Cornell IVY 13 - 18 5 - 9 -8.47
262 Miami OH MAC 9 - 22 3 - 13 -8.63
263 Liberty BSth 15 - 21 6 - 8 -8.94
264 Wofford SC 13 - 19 4 - 5 -8.99
265 Troy SUN 12 - 21 6 - 5 -9.05
266 South Dakota SUM 10 - 20 4 - 8 -9.11
267 Maine AE 11 - 19 5 - 9 -9.14
268 Hampton MEAC 14 - 17 11 - 5 -9.18
269 Eastern Illinois OVC 11 - 21 6 - 10 -9.29
270 Tennessee Tech OVC 12 - 17 5 - 11 -9.32
271 NJ Tech ASUN 16 - 13 0 - 0 -9.41
272 Southeast Louisiana SLND 13 - 18 10 - 6 -9.42
273 Winthrop BSth 14 - 17 6 - 9 -9.6
274 Dartmouth IVY 9 - 19 5 - 9 -9.85
275 Georgia Southern SUN 14 - 19 1 - 2 -9.91
276 Jacksonville ASUN 14 - 18 6 - 6 -9.95
277 Bethune Cookman MEAC 14 - 20 7 - 9 -10.03
278 Colgate PAT 11 - 21 5 - 9 -10.1
279 American PAT 10 - 20 5 - 9 -10.11
280 Lipscomb ASUN 12 - 18 5 - 7 -10.16
281 New Hampshire AE 9 - 20 5 - 9 -10.36
282 Delaware State MEAC 15 - 18 8 - 8 -10.41
283 Sacred Heart NEC 9 - 20 5 - 10 -10.73
284 Old Dominion CUSA 5 - 25 0 - 1 -10.76
285 Samford SC 11 - 21 6 - 4 -10.94
286 Sacramento State BSky 14 - 15 8 - 12 -11.01
287 Saint Peters MAAC 9 - 21 3 - 13 -11.2
288 Mcneese State SLND 14 - 17 6 - 10 -11.28
289 UNC Wilmington CAA 10 - 20 2 - 11 -11.37
290 Siena MAAC 8 - 24 4 - 12 -11.4
291 Central Arkansas SLND 13 - 17 6 - 10 -11.57
292 Campbell BSth 13 - 20 6 - 8 -11.95
293 Nicholls State SLND 9 - 21 9 - 9 -12.04
294 Montana State BSky 13 - 17 10 - 10 -12.13
295 Chattanooga SC 13 - 19 6 - 5 -12.14
296 Milwaukee HOR 8 - 24 2 - 12 -12.2
297 Virginia Military Institute SC 14 - 17 0 - 1 -12.32
298 Eastern Washington BSky 10 - 21 7 - 14 -12.49
299 Northern Arizona BSky 11 - 21 8 - 12 -12.56
300 UNC Greensboro SC 9 - 22 6 - 5 -12.63
301 Hofstra CAA 7 - 25 2 - 11 -12.64
302 East Tennessee State SC 10 - 22 0 - 2 -12.73
303 San Jose State MWC 9 - 20 0 - 2 -12.74
304 Chicago State WAC 11 - 22 1 - 3 -12.75
305 Utah Valley WAC 14 - 18 3 - 4 -12.9
306 Texas Pan American WAC 16 - 16 4 - 1 -12.97
307 UMBC AE 8 - 23 5 - 9 -13.05
308 Southern Utah BSky 11 - 20 8 - 12 -13.12
309 Omaha SUM 11 - 20 4 - 9 -13.19
310 Monmouth MAAC 10 - 21 0 - 2 -13.33
311 SIU Edwardsville OVC 9 - 18 5 - 11 -13.35
312 Jackson State SWAC 11 - 18 9 - 9 -13.38
313 Radford BSth 13 - 19 6 - 8 -13.62
314 Rice CUSA 5 - 26 0 - 5 -13.74
315 Austin Peay OVC 8 - 23 4 - 12 -13.84
316 Texas AM CC SLND 6 - 23 5 - 11 -14
317 Portland State BSky 8 - 20 5 - 15 -14.35
318 Prairie View SWAC 15 - 19 8 - 10 -14.55
319 Navy PAT 8 - 23 2 - 12 -14.57
320 Coppin State MEAC 8 - 24 5 - 11 -14.59
321 Houston Baptist SLND 14 - 17 2 - 1 -14.64
322 UMKC WAC 8 - 24 0 - 1 -14.66
323 UC Riverside BW 6 - 25 3 - 13 -15.38
324 UL Monroe SUN 4 - 23 0 - 10 -15.77
325 Alcorn State SWAC 10 - 24 8 - 10 -15.9
326 Northern Illinois MAC 5 - 25 3 - 13 -15.97
327 Idaho State BSky 6 - 24 5 - 16 -16.26
328 Tennessee Martin OVC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -16.45
329 Saint Francis Penn NEC 5 - 24 4 - 10 -16.62
330 Florida AM MEAC 8 - 23 5 - 11 -17.21
331 Howard MEAC 7 - 24 4 - 12 -17.37
332 Alabama State SWAC 10 - 22 8 - 10 -17.65
333 Alabama AM SWAC 11 - 20 6 - 12 -17.79
334 The Citadel SC 8 - 22 4 - 7 -18.1
335 Kennesaw St ASUN 3 - 27 1 - 11 -18.35
336 IUPUI SUM 6 - 26 1 - 11 -18.66
337 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 7 - 24 2 - 13 -18.75
338 Presbyterian BSth 8 - 24 4 - 11 -18.82
339 Longwood BSth 8 - 25 4 - 10 -18.84
340 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 5 - 23 5 - 13 -19.97
341 Furman SC 7 - 24 2 - 8 -19.99
342 South Carolina State MEAC 6 - 24 2 - 14 -20.04
343 Binghamton AE 3 - 27 1 - 13 -21.16
344 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 2 - 26 2 - 14 -21.75
345 Lamar SLND 3 - 28 1 - 15 -22.72
346 New Orleans SLND 8 - 18 1 - 3 -23
347 Grambling State SWAC 0 - 28 0 - 18 -35.07