Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019-2020 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Kansas BIG12 28 - 3 17 - 1 26.14
2 Gonzaga WCC 31 - 2 15 - 1 22.69
3 Dayton A10 29 - 2 18 - 0 21.6
4 Baylor BIG12 26 - 4 15 - 3 21.51
5 Duke ACC 25 - 6 15 - 5 20.29
6 Michigan State Big10 22 - 9 14 - 6 20.13
7 Creighton BE 24 - 7 13 - 5 19.74
8 San Diego State MWC 30 - 2 17 - 1 19.41
9 Villanova BE 24 - 7 13 - 5 18.92
10 Florida State ACC 26 - 5 16 - 4 18.7
11 Louisville ACC 24 - 7 15 - 5 17.83
12 Houston Amer 23 - 8 13 - 5 17.61
13 Maryland Big10 24 - 7 14 - 6 17.61
14 Seton Hall BE 21 - 9 13 - 5 17.46
15 Oregon PAC12 24 - 7 13 - 5 17.41
16 Kentucky SEC 25 - 6 15 - 3 17.38
17 Brigham Young WCC 24 - 8 13 - 3 17.18
18 West Virginia BIG12 21 - 10 9 - 9 17.07
19 Ohio State Big10 21 - 10 11 - 9 16.79
20 Wisconsin Big10 21 - 10 14 - 6 16.48
21 Arizona PAC12 21 - 11 10 - 8 15.98
22 Butler BE 22 - 9 10 - 8 15.76
23 Michigan Big10 19 - 12 10 - 10 15.35
24 Providence BE 19 - 12 12 - 6 15.27
25 Auburn SEC 25 - 6 12 - 6 15.14
26 Texas Tech BIG12 18 - 13 9 - 9 14.71
27 Rutgers Big10 20 - 11 11 - 9 14.65
28 Florida SEC 19 - 12 11 - 7 14.55
29 Iowa Big10 20 - 11 11 - 9 14.53
30 Illinois Big10 21 - 10 13 - 7 14.52
31 Marquette BE 18 - 12 8 - 10 14.27
32 Louisiana State SEC 21 - 10 12 - 6 14.26
33 Virginia ACC 23 - 7 15 - 5 14.15
34 Wichita State Amer 23 - 8 11 - 7 14.07
35 Penn State Big10 21 - 10 11 - 9 13.85
36 Saint Marys WCC 25 - 8 11 - 5 13.65
37 Utah State MWC 26 - 8 12 - 6 13.45
38 Richmond A10 24 - 7 14 - 4 13.4
39 Cincinnati Amer 20 - 10 13 - 5 13.37
40 Oklahoma BIG12 19 - 12 9 - 9 13.36
41 Purdue Big10 16 - 15 9 - 11 13.25
42 Colorado PAC12 21 - 11 10 - 8 12.95
43 Minnesota Big10 15 - 16 8 - 12 12.75
44 Indiana Big10 20 - 12 9 - 11 12.73
45 Southern California PAC12 22 - 9 11 - 7 12.46
46 Xavier BE 19 - 13 8 - 10 12.28
47 Mississippi State SEC 20 - 11 11 - 7 12.25
48 Arizona State PAC12 20 - 11 11 - 7 11.63
49 Saint Louis A10 23 - 8 12 - 6 11.43
50 Arkansas SEC 20 - 12 7 - 11 11.41
51 Connecticut Amer 19 - 12 10 - 8 11.38
52 NC State ACC 20 - 12 10 - 10 11.31
53 Northern Iowa MVC 25 - 6 14 - 4 11.29
54 Oklahoma State BIG12 18 - 14 7 - 11 11.18
55 East Tennessee State SC 30 - 4 16 - 2 11.09
56 Memphis Amer 21 - 10 10 - 8 11.03
57 Syracuse ACC 18 - 14 10 - 10 10.77
58 Notre Dame ACC 20 - 12 10 - 10 10.74
59 Rhode Island A10 21 - 9 13 - 5 10.73
60 Texas BIG12 19 - 12 9 - 9 10.71
61 Stanford PAC12 20 - 12 9 - 9 10.69
62 UCLA PAC12 19 - 12 12 - 6 10.69
63 Georgia Tech ACC 17 - 14 11 - 9 10.63
64 South Carolina SEC 18 - 13 10 - 8 10.4
65 Saint Johns BE 17 - 15 5 - 13 9.93
66 Tulsa Amer 21 - 10 13 - 5 9.86
67 Tennessee SEC 17 - 14 9 - 9 9.82
68 Alabama SEC 16 - 15 8 - 10 9.57
69 Akron MAC 24 - 7 14 - 4 9.2
70 Washington PAC12 15 - 17 5 - 13 9.08
71 San Francisco WCC 22 - 12 9 - 7 9.06
72 Boise State MWC 20 - 12 11 - 7 8.82
73 Clemson ACC 16 - 15 9 - 11 8.59
74 Vermont AE 26 - 7 14 - 2 8.45
75 Davidson A10 16 - 14 10 - 8 8.43
76 Yale IVY 23 - 7 11 - 3 8.34
77 Georgetown BE 15 - 17 5 - 13 8.27
78 Nevada MWC 19 - 12 12 - 6 8.17
79 Oregon State PAC12 18 - 13 7 - 11 8.1
80 North Texas CUSA 20 - 11 14 - 4 8.09
81 Virginia Commonwealth A10 18 - 13 8 - 10 7.92
82 Louisiana Tech CUSA 22 - 8 13 - 5 7.92
83 Furman SC 25 - 7 15 - 3 7.78
84 Southern Methodist Amer 19 - 11 9 - 9 7.54
85 Texas Christian BIG12 16 - 16 7 - 11 7.51
86 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 17 - 15 12 - 6 7.42
87 Duquesne A10 21 - 9 11 - 7 7.36
88 New Mexico State WAC 25 - 6 16 - 0 7.32
89 North Carolina ACC 14 - 19 6 - 14 7.27
90 Liberty ASUN 30 - 4 13 - 3 7.22
91 Georgia SEC 16 - 16 5 - 13 7.03
92 Northern Colorado BSky 22 - 9 15 - 5 7.02
93 Stephen F Austin SLND 27 - 3 18 - 1 6.91
94 Loyola Ill MVC 21 - 11 13 - 5 6.79
95 Colorado State MWC 20 - 12 11 - 7 6.72
96 Missouri SEC 15 - 16 7 - 11 6.69
97 Texas AM SEC 16 - 14 10 - 8 6.64
98 UNC Greensboro SC 23 - 9 13 - 5 6.58
99 Bradley MVC 23 - 11 11 - 7 6.57
100 Hofstra CAA 26 - 8 14 - 4 6.53
101 Texas State SUN 21 - 11 13 - 7 6.49
102 DePaul BE 16 - 16 3 - 15 6.06
103 Utah PAC12 16 - 15 7 - 11 5.95
104 Kansas State BIG12 11 - 21 3 - 15 5.86
105 Iowa State BIG12 12 - 20 5 - 13 5.72
106 Pacific WCC 23 - 10 11 - 5 5.67
107 Miami ACC 15 - 16 7 - 13 5.64
108 Belmont OVC 26 - 7 15 - 3 5.49
109 Mississippi SEC 15 - 17 6 - 12 5.44
110 Harvard IVY 21 - 8 10 - 4 5.44
111 Western Kentucky CUSA 20 - 10 13 - 5 5.42
112 Eastern Washington BSky 23 - 8 16 - 4 5.2
113 Central Florida Amer 16 - 14 7 - 11 5.05
114 Wake Forest ACC 13 - 18 6 - 14 4.95
115 South Florida Amer 14 - 17 7 - 11 4.87
116 Saint Bonaventure A10 19 - 12 11 - 7 4.8
117 North Dakota State SUM 25 - 8 13 - 3 4.77
118 Virginia Tech ACC 16 - 16 7 - 13 4.77
119 UC Irvine BW 21 - 11 13 - 3 4.51
120 Colgate PAT 25 - 9 14 - 4 4.49
121 Pittsburgh ACC 16 - 17 6 - 14 4.44
122 Indiana State MVC 18 - 12 11 - 7 4.32
123 Temple Amer 14 - 17 6 - 12 4.11
124 Washington State PAC12 16 - 16 6 - 12 3.99
125 Missouri State MVC 16 - 17 9 - 9 3.97
126 Wright State HOR 25 - 7 15 - 3 3.92
127 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 21 - 10 15 - 5 3.9
128 Ball State MAC 18 - 13 11 - 7 3.79
129 Kent State MAC 20 - 12 9 - 9 3.46
130 Pepperdine WCC 16 - 16 8 - 8 3.22
131 Buffalo MAC 20 - 12 11 - 7 3.14
132 South Dakota State SUM 22 - 10 13 - 3 3.12
133 Georgia Southern SUN 20 - 13 12 - 8 2.84
134 Murray State OVC 23 - 9 15 - 3 2.71
135 Valparaiso MVC 19 - 16 9 - 9 2.61
136 California PAC12 14 - 18 7 - 11 2.6
137 Georgia State SUN 19 - 13 12 - 8 2.55
138 Winthrop BSth 24 - 10 15 - 3 2.53
139 Northern Kentucky HOR 23 - 9 13 - 5 2.43
140 Siena MAAC 20 - 10 15 - 5 2.27
141 South Alabama SUN 20 - 11 13 - 7 2.25
142 Massachusetts A10 14 - 17 8 - 10 2.25
143 New Mexico MWC 19 - 14 7 - 11 2.19
144 Bowling Green MAC 21 - 10 12 - 6 2.09
145 Chattanooga SC 20 - 13 10 - 8 2.01
146 Marshall CUSA 17 - 15 10 - 8 2
147 Montana BSky 18 - 13 14 - 6 1.93
148 Pennsylvania IVY 16 - 11 8 - 6 1.81
149 Princeton IVY 14 - 13 9 - 5 1.43
150 Drake MVC 20 - 14 8 - 10 1.32
151 Western Carolina SC 19 - 12 10 - 8 1.24
152 Texas Arlington SUN 14 - 18 10 - 10 1.21
153 Northwestern Big10 8 - 23 3 - 17 1.15
154 Northeastern CAA 17 - 16 9 - 9 1.14
155 Towson CAA 19 - 13 12 - 6 1.13
156 Santa Clara WCC 20 - 13 6 - 10 1.02
157 North Florida ASUN 21 - 12 13 - 3 0.99
158 Boston PAT 21 - 13 12 - 6 0.97
159 Ohio MAC 17 - 15 8 - 10 0.93
160 Oral Roberts SUM 17 - 14 9 - 7 0.85
161 Saint Francis Penn NEC 22 - 10 13 - 5 0.83
162 Wofford SC 19 - 16 8 - 10 0.81
163 Florida International CUSA 19 - 13 9 - 9 0.73
164 George Mason A10 17 - 15 5 - 13 0.56
165 Vanderbilt SEC 11 - 21 3 - 15 0.45
166 Boston College ACC 13 - 19 7 - 13 0.33
167 Southern Illinois MVC 16 - 16 10 - 8 0.32
168 UC Santa Barbara BW 21 - 10 10 - 6 0.31
169 Toledo MAC 17 - 15 8 - 10 0.31
170 Delaware CAA 22 - 11 11 - 7 0.29
171 La Salle A10 15 - 15 6 - 12 0.11
172 Charlotte CUSA 16 - 13 10 - 8 0.1
173 College of Charleston CAA 17 - 14 11 - 7 -0.1
174 Portland State BSky 18 - 14 12 - 8 -0.14
175 Northern Illinois MAC 18 - 13 11 - 7 -0.26
176 Fresno State MWC 11 - 19 7 - 11 -0.26
177 Austin Peay OVC 21 - 12 14 - 4 -0.3
178 Saint Peters MAAC 18 - 12 14 - 6 -0.32
179 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 19 - 13 9 - 9 -0.37
180 Radford BSth 21 - 11 15 - 3 -0.43
181 Appalachian State SUN 18 - 15 11 - 9 -0.62
182 William and Mary CAA 21 - 11 13 - 5 -0.89
183 Rider MAAC 18 - 12 12 - 8 -0.92
184 Tulane Amer 12 - 18 4 - 14 -0.92
185 Mercer SC 17 - 15 11 - 7 -1
186 Old Dominion CUSA 13 - 19 9 - 9 -1.34
187 Southern Utah BSky 17 - 15 9 - 11 -1.4
188 Abilene Christian SLND 20 - 11 15 - 5 -1.4
189 Robert Morris NEC 20 - 14 13 - 5 -1.42
190 Illinois Chicago HOR 18 - 17 10 - 8 -1.46
191 South Dakota SUM 20 - 12 10 - 6 -1.56
192 Stony Brook AE 20 - 13 10 - 6 -1.57
193 Florida Atlantic CUSA 17 - 15 8 - 10 -1.61
194 Monmouth MAAC 18 - 13 12 - 8 -1.63
195 Nebraska Big10 7 - 25 2 - 18 -1.73
196 Coastal Carolina SUN 16 - 17 8 - 12 -1.97
197 Nicholls State SLND 21 - 10 15 - 5 -2.13
198 Sacred Heart NEC 20 - 13 12 - 6 -2.13
199 Cal Baptist WAC 21 - 10 10 - 6 -2.17
200 Brown IVY 15 - 12 8 - 6 -2.22
201 Texas El Paso CUSA 17 - 15 8 - 10 -2.26
202 American PAT 16 - 14 12 - 6 -2.3
203 Loyola Marymount WCC 11 - 21 4 - 12 -2.33
204 Sacramento State BSky 16 - 14 8 - 12 -2.48
205 Merrimack NEC 20 - 11 14 - 4 -2.65
206 Air Force MWC 12 - 20 5 - 13 -2.67
207 East Carolina Amer 11 - 20 5 - 13 -2.94
208 Eastern Michigan MAC 16 - 16 6 - 12 -3.15
209 Hawaii BW 17 - 13 8 - 8 -3.16
210 Green Bay HOR 17 - 16 11 - 7 -3.47
211 Rice CUSA 15 - 17 7 - 11 -3.66
212 Lafayette PAT 19 - 12 10 - 8 -3.86
213 Arkansas State SUN 16 - 16 8 - 12 -3.96
214 Miami OH MAC 13 - 19 5 - 13 -3.98
215 Seattle WAC 14 - 15 7 - 7 -4.11
216 Cal State Northridge BW 15 - 17 10 - 6 -4.15
217 Texas San Antonio CUSA 13 - 19 7 - 11 -4.21
218 Illinois State MVC 10 - 21 5 - 13 -4.25
219 Youngstown State HOR 18 - 15 10 - 8 -4.25
220 Northern Arizona BSky 16 - 14 10 - 10 -4.26
221 UL Lafayette SUN 14 - 19 8 - 12 -4.37
222 Montana State BSky 16 - 15 10 - 10 -4.45
223 Hartford AE 18 - 15 9 - 7 -4.45
224 George Washington A10 12 - 20 6 - 12 -4.47
225 Prairie View SWAC 19 - 13 14 - 4 -4.55
226 Wyoming MWC 9 - 24 2 - 16 -4.55
227 Gardner Webb BSth 15 - 16 10 - 7 -4.55
228 Dartmouth IVY 12 - 17 5 - 9 -4.62
229 UC Riverside BW 17 - 15 7 - 9 -4.86
230 Iona MAAC 12 - 17 9 - 11 -4.89
231 Omaha SUM 16 - 16 9 - 7 -4.9
232 UMKC WAC 16 - 14 8 - 7 -4.95
233 Central Michigan MAC 14 - 18 7 - 11 -5.11
234 Lipscomb ASUN 16 - 16 9 - 7 -5.18
235 UC Davis BW 14 - 18 8 - 8 -5.26
236 Sam Houston State SLND 18 - 13 11 - 9 -5.57
237 Fordham A10 9 - 22 2 - 16 -5.71
238 Western Michigan MAC 13 - 19 6 - 12 -5.74
239 San Diego WCC 9 - 23 2 - 14 -5.82
240 North Dakota SUM 15 - 18 7 - 9 -5.87
241 Southern SWAC 17 - 15 13 - 5 -5.94
242 Oakland HOR 14 - 19 8 - 10 -6.02
243 Texas Pan American WAC 14 - 16 9 - 7 -6.15
244 Drexel CAA 14 - 19 6 - 12 -6.16
245 UMBC AE 16 - 17 8 - 8 -6.2
246 Quinnipiac MAAC 15 - 15 10 - 10 -6.24
247 Bucknell PAT 14 - 20 8 - 10 -6.32
248 New Hampshire AE 15 - 15 8 - 8 -6.36
249 Eastern Illinois OVC 17 - 15 9 - 9 -6.41
250 Army PAT 15 - 15 10 - 8 -6.44
251 Lamar SLND 17 - 15 10 - 10 -6.49
252 North Carolina Central MEAC 18 - 13 13 - 3 -6.75
253 Grand Canyon WAC 13 - 17 8 - 8 -6.96
254 Saint Josephs A10 6 - 26 2 - 16 -7
255 Norfolk State MEAC 16 - 15 12 - 4 -7.04
256 Navy PAT 14 - 16 8 - 10 -7.15
257 Bryant NEC 15 - 17 7 - 11 -7.16
258 Elon CAA 13 - 21 7 - 11 -7.21
259 Eastern Kentucky OVC 16 - 17 12 - 6 -7.29
260 Tennessee State OVC 18 - 15 9 - 9 -7.34
261 Jacksonville ASUN 14 - 18 7 - 9 -7.5
262 LIU Brooklyn NEC 15 - 18 9 - 9 -7.5
263 North Carolina AT MEAC 17 - 15 12 - 4 -7.55
264 Stetson ASUN 16 - 17 9 - 7 -7.58
265 UL Monroe SUN 9 - 20 5 - 15 -7.71
266 Manhattan MAAC 13 - 18 8 - 12 -7.95
267 Canisius MAAC 12 - 20 7 - 13 -7.96
268 Northwestern State SLND 15 - 15 11 - 9 -8.04
269 Loyola MD PAT 15 - 17 7 - 11 -8.1
270 UMass Lowell AE 13 - 19 7 - 9 -8.14
271 Weber State BSky 12 - 20 8 - 12 -8.22
272 Virginia Military Institute SC 9 - 24 3 - 15 -8.34
273 Jackson State SWAC 14 - 17 11 - 7 -8.36
274 Texas Southern SWAC 16 - 16 12 - 6 -8.39
275 Cal State Fullerton BW 11 - 20 6 - 10 -8.49
276 IPFW SUM 14 - 19 6 - 10 -8.49
277 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 11 - 19 9 - 9 -8.5
278 Albany AE 14 - 18 7 - 9 -8.79
279 North Alabama ASUN 13 - 17 8 - 8 -8.8
280 Milwaukee HOR 12 - 19 7 - 11 -8.81
281 Campbell BSth 15 - 16 6 - 12 -8.85
282 Utah Valley WAC 11 - 19 5 - 10 -8.86
283 Hampton BSth 15 - 18 8 - 9 -8.88
284 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 12 - 19 6 - 10 -8.9
285 Cornell IVY 7 - 20 4 - 10 -8.98
286 Bethune Cookman MEAC 15 - 14 10 - 6 -9.08
287 Southern Miss CUSA 9 - 22 5 - 13 -9.2
288 Niagara MAAC 12 - 20 9 - 11 -9.28
289 San Jose State MWC 7 - 24 3 - 15 -9.4
290 Portland WCC 9 - 23 1 - 15 -9.63
291 Lehigh PAT 11 - 21 7 - 11 -9.7
292 Long Beach State BW 11 - 21 6 - 10 -9.71
293 Evansville MVC 9 - 23 0 - 18 -9.74
294 Mcneese State SLND 15 - 16 10 - 9 -9.81
295 Fairfield MAAC 12 - 20 8 - 12 -9.92
296 Jacksonville State OVC 13 - 19 8 - 10 -9.94
297 UNC Asheville BSth 15 - 16 8 - 10 -9.99
298 Central Arkansas SLND 10 - 21 9 - 11 -10.14
299 UNC Wilmington CAA 10 - 22 5 - 13 -10.16
300 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 13 - 18 7 - 11 -10.21
301 Middle Tennessee CUSA 8 - 23 4 - 14 -10.21
302 Mt St Marys NEC 11 - 21 7 - 11 -10.32
303 Florida AM MEAC 12 - 15 10 - 6 -10.34
304 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 10 - 22 7 - 9 -10.51
305 Detroit HOR 8 - 23 6 - 12 -10.52
306 Troy SUN 9 - 22 5 - 15 -10.57
307 Texas AM CC SLND 14 - 18 10 - 10 -10.68
308 Cleveland State HOR 11 - 21 7 - 11 -10.75
309 Idaho State BSky 8 - 22 4 - 16 -10.77
310 Grambling State SWAC 17 - 15 11 - 7 -10.78
311 NJ Tech ASUN 9 - 21 6 - 10 -11.09
312 James Madison CAA 9 - 21 2 - 16 -11.47
313 Longwood BSth 14 - 18 9 - 9 -11.56
314 Charleston Southern BSth 14 - 18 7 - 11 -11.64
315 Maine AE 9 - 22 5 - 11 -11.67
316 Denver SUM 7 - 24 3 - 13 -12.02
317 South Carolina Upstate BSth 13 - 20 7 - 11 -12.07
318 Cal Poly BW 7 - 23 4 - 12 -12.28
319 Morgan State MEAC 15 - 16 9 - 7 -12.44
320 Columbia IVY 6 - 24 1 - 13 -12.58
321 Morehead State OVC 13 - 19 7 - 11 -12.74
322 Marist MAAC 7 - 23 6 - 14 -12.75
323 Alcorn State SWAC 15 - 15 11 - 7 -12.88
324 Samford SC 10 - 23 4 - 14 -13.18
325 Idaho BSky 8 - 24 4 - 16 -13.65
326 Binghamton AE 10 - 19 4 - 12 -14.46
327 Tennessee Tech OVC 9 - 22 6 - 12 -14.68
328 Wagner NEC 8 - 21 5 - 13 -14.86
329 Presbyterian BSth 10 - 22 7 - 11 -14.87
330 Coppin State MEAC 11 - 20 7 - 9 -15.1
331 High Point BSth 9 - 23 6 - 12 -15.24
332 New Orleans SLND 9 - 21 5 - 15 -15.34
333 IUPUI HOR 7 - 25 3 - 15 -15.59
334 Tennessee Martin OVC 9 - 20 5 - 13 -15.83
335 The Citadel SC 6 - 24 0 - 18 -15.85
336 SIU Edwardsville OVC 8 - 23 5 - 13 -15.86
337 Alabama State SWAC 8 - 24 7 - 11 -15.96
338 South Carolina State MEAC 11 - 18 6 - 10 -16.1
339 Western Illinois SUM 5 - 21 2 - 14 -16.94
340 Southeast Louisiana SLND 8 - 23 5 - 15 -17.54
341 SE Missouri State OVC 7 - 24 3 - 15 -17.9
342 Houston Baptist SLND 4 - 25 4 - 16 -18
343 Incarnate Word SLND 9 - 22 6 - 14 -18.55
344 Alabama AM SWAC 8 - 22 5 - 13 -18.8
345 Holy Cross PAT 3 - 29 2 - 16 -19.06
346 Central Connecticut State NEC 4 - 27 3 - 15 -19.62
347 Delaware State MEAC 6 - 26 4 - 12 -20.9
348 Howard MEAC 4 - 29 1 - 15 -22.7
349 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 5 - 27 4 - 12 -22.75
350 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 4 - 26 3 - 15 -22.92
351 Kennesaw St ASUN 1 - 28 0 - 16 -24.06
352 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 4 - 27 3 - 15 -25.57
353 Chicago State WAC 4 - 25 0 - 14 -27.13