Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2014 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Florida SEC 36 - 3 18 - 0 24.69
2 Louisville ACC 31 - 6 0 - 1 24.28
3 Arizona PAC12 33 - 5 15 - 3 23.52
4 Virginia ACC 30 - 7 15 - 1 21.01
5 Wisconsin Big10 30 - 8 12 - 6 20.8
6 Connecticut Amer 32 - 8 10 - 4 20.22
7 Michigan State Big10 29 - 9 12 - 6 19.56
8 Kentucky SEC 29 - 11 12 - 6 19.48
9 Kansas BIG12 25 - 10 14 - 4 19.47
10 Wichita State MVC 35 - 1 18 - 0 19.39
11 Michigan Big10 28 - 9 15 - 3 19.31
12 Villanova BE 29 - 5 16 - 2 19.02
13 Duke ACC 26 - 9 12 - 5 18.77
14 UCLA PAC12 28 - 9 12 - 6 18.67
15 Tennessee SEC 24 - 13 11 - 7 18.22
16 Iowa State BIG12 28 - 8 11 - 7 18.21
17 Syracuse ACC 28 - 6 13 - 4 17.03
18 Pittsburgh ACC 26 - 10 9 - 7 17.01
19 Ohio State Big10 25 - 10 11 - 8 16.76
20 San Diego State MWC 31 - 5 16 - 2 16.53
21 Baylor BIG12 26 - 12 9 - 9 16.44
22 Creighton BE 27 - 8 14 - 4 16.3
23 Cincinnati Amer 27 - 7 12 - 2 16.13
24 Virginia Commonwealth A10 26 - 9 12 - 4 15.99
25 North Carolina ACC 24 - 10 13 - 5 15.86
26 Oregon PAC12 24 - 10 10 - 8 15.7
27 Gonzaga WCC 29 - 7 15 - 3 15.58
28 Oklahoma State BIG12 21 - 13 8 - 10 15.48
29 Oklahoma BIG12 23 - 10 12 - 6 15.19
30 New Mexico MWC 27 - 7 15 - 3 14.74
31 Southern Methodist Amer 27 - 10 10 - 4 14.38
32 Iowa Big10 20 - 13 9 - 9 14.2
33 Stanford PAC12 23 - 13 10 - 8 13.73
34 Memphis Amer 24 - 10 8 - 6 13.5
35 Saint Louis A10 27 - 7 13 - 3 13.38
36 Dayton A10 26 - 11 10 - 6 13.15
37 Texas BIG12 24 - 11 11 - 7 12.97
38 Harvard IVY 27 - 5 13 - 1 12.8
39 Louisiana Tech CUSA 29 - 8 11 - 2 12.61
40 Kansas State BIG12 20 - 13 10 - 8 12.41
41 Arkansas SEC 22 - 12 10 - 8 12.4
42 Minnesota Big10 25 - 13 8 - 10 12.36
43 Saint Josephs A10 24 - 10 11 - 5 12.17
44 Florida State ACC 22 - 14 8 - 8 12.13
45 George Washington A10 24 - 9 11 - 5 11.73
46 Arizona State PAC12 21 - 12 10 - 8 11.71
47 Nebraska Big10 19 - 13 11 - 7 11.65
48 Providence BE 23 - 12 10 - 8 11.49
49 Utah PAC12 21 - 12 9 - 9 11.24
50 Clemson ACC 23 - 13 9 - 8 11.2
51 Massachusetts A10 24 - 9 10 - 6 11.15
52 Maryland Big10 17 - 15 0 - 1 11.05
53 Brigham Young WCC 23 - 12 13 - 5 10.9
54 NC State ACC 22 - 14 8 - 9 10.59
55 Illinois Big10 20 - 15 7 - 11 10.46
56 Saint Johns BE 20 - 13 10 - 8 10.25
57 Colorado PAC12 23 - 12 10 - 8 10.09
58 Xavier BE 21 - 13 10 - 8 10.01
59 Southern Miss CUSA 29 - 7 10 - 3 10
60 Louisiana State SEC 20 - 14 9 - 9 10
61 California PAC12 21 - 14 10 - 8 9.94
62 Missouri SEC 23 - 12 9 - 9 9.9
63 North Dakota State SUM 26 - 7 12 - 2 9.76
64 Georgia SEC 20 - 14 12 - 6 9.73
65 West Virginia BIG12 17 - 16 9 - 9 9.46
66 Indiana Big10 17 - 15 7 - 11 9.15
67 Manhattan MAAC 25 - 8 15 - 5 9.03
68 Stephen F Austin SLND 32 - 3 16 - 0 8.94
69 Georgetown BE 18 - 15 8 - 10 8.83
70 Tulsa Amer 21 - 13 2 - 0 8.6
71 Saint Marys WCC 23 - 12 11 - 7 8.18
72 Green Bay HOR 24 - 7 14 - 2 8.06
73 Georgia State SUN 25 - 9 16 - 1 8.01
74 Iona MAAC 22 - 11 17 - 3 8
75 Marquette BE 17 - 15 9 - 9 7.99
76 Miami ACC 17 - 16 7 - 10 7.71
77 Mississippi SEC 19 - 14 9 - 9 7.6
78 Boise State MWC 21 - 13 9 - 9 7.44
79 San Francisco WCC 21 - 12 13 - 5 7.4
80 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 20 - 13 10 - 8 7.4
81 Middle Tennessee CUSA 24 - 9 11 - 2 7.2
82 Texas Tech BIG12 14 - 18 6 - 12 6.93
83 Mercer SC 27 - 9 2 - 0 6.81
84 Penn State Big10 16 - 18 6 - 12 6.61
85 Alabama SEC 13 - 19 7 - 11 6.47
86 Washington PAC12 17 - 15 9 - 9 6.46
87 Purdue Big10 15 - 17 5 - 13 6.25
88 New Mexico State WAC 26 - 10 11 - 3 6.23
89 Richmond A10 19 - 14 8 - 8 6.13
90 Vermont AE 22 - 11 15 - 1 6.1
91 Saint Bonaventure A10 18 - 15 6 - 10 6.08
92 Belmont OVC 26 - 10 14 - 2 6.07
93 Seton Hall BE 17 - 17 6 - 12 5.86
94 Notre Dame ACC 15 - 17 6 - 11 5.62
95 North Carolina Central MEAC 28 - 6 15 - 1 5.54
96 Texas El Paso CUSA 23 - 11 10 - 3 5.46
97 Toledo MAC 27 - 7 14 - 4 5.46
98 Buffalo MAC 19 - 10 13 - 5 5.3
99 Oregon State PAC12 16 - 16 8 - 10 5.24
100 Cleveland State HOR 21 - 12 12 - 4 5.17
101 Northern Iowa MVC 16 - 15 10 - 8 4.88
102 South Carolina SEC 14 - 20 5 - 13 4.84
103 Delaware CAA 25 - 10 14 - 2 4.71
104 Texas AM SEC 18 - 16 8 - 10 4.62
105 UC Irvine BW 23 - 12 13 - 3 4.48
106 Vanderbilt SEC 15 - 16 7 - 11 4.42
107 Murray State OVC 23 - 11 13 - 3 4.42
108 Western Michigan MAC 23 - 10 14 - 4 4.36
109 Wake Forest ACC 17 - 16 6 - 11 4.35
110 Auburn SEC 14 - 16 6 - 12 4.35
111 Fresno State MWC 21 - 18 9 - 9 4.33
112 Indiana State MVC 23 - 11 12 - 6 4.25
113 Georgia Tech ACC 16 - 17 6 - 11 4.07
114 Butler BE 14 - 17 4 - 14 4.06
115 Northwestern Big10 14 - 19 6 - 12 4.05
116 La Salle A10 15 - 16 7 - 9 4.02
117 Houston Amer 17 - 16 7 - 7 3.75
118 Ohio MAC 25 - 12 11 - 7 3.5
119 UC Santa Barbara BW 21 - 9 12 - 4 3.45
120 UL Lafayette SUN 23 - 12 11 - 5 3.44
121 Eastern Kentucky OVC 24 - 10 11 - 5 3.41
122 Rhode Island A10 14 - 18 5 - 11 3.38
123 Princeton IVY 21 - 9 8 - 6 3.37
124 Canisius MAAC 21 - 13 14 - 6 3.1
125 Utah State MWC 18 - 14 7 - 11 3.09
126 Boston PAT 24 - 11 15 - 3 3.07
127 Towson CAA 25 - 11 13 - 3 2.61
128 Davidson A10 20 - 13 0 - 0 2.42
129 Wyoming MWC 18 - 15 9 - 9 2.36
130 Akron MAC 21 - 13 12 - 6 2.36
131 Columbia IVY 21 - 13 8 - 6 2.36
132 Eastern Michigan MAC 22 - 15 10 - 8 2.32
133 Portland WCC 15 - 16 7 - 11 2.12
134 Siena MAAC 20 - 18 11 - 9 1.9
135 IPFW SUM 25 - 11 10 - 4 1.7
136 Missouri State MVC 20 - 13 9 - 9 1.7
137 Wright State HOR 21 - 15 10 - 6 1.69
138 Illinois State MVC 18 - 16 9 - 9 1.66
139 Nevada MWC 15 - 17 10 - 8 1.64
140 American PAT 20 - 13 13 - 5 1.6
141 Quinnipiac MAAC 20 - 12 14 - 6 1.55
142 South Dakota State SUM 19 - 13 10 - 4 1.48
143 San Diego WCC 18 - 17 7 - 11 1.32
144 Colorado State MWC 16 - 16 7 - 11 1.19
145 Hawaii BW 20 - 11 9 - 7 1.16
146 Denver SUM 16 - 15 8 - 6 0.87
147 Central Florida Amer 13 - 18 3 - 11 0.77
148 Pacific WCC 18 - 16 6 - 12 0.76
149 Yale IVY 19 - 14 9 - 5 0.61
150 George Mason A10 11 - 20 4 - 12 0.61
151 Duquesne A10 13 - 17 5 - 11 0.56
152 William and Mary CAA 20 - 12 10 - 6 0.44
153 Temple Amer 9 - 22 3 - 11 0.43
154 Boston College ACC 8 - 24 4 - 13 0.36
155 Drexel CAA 16 - 14 9 - 8 0.26
156 Long Beach State BW 15 - 17 10 - 6 0.12
157 Santa Clara WCC 14 - 19 6 - 12 -0.07
158 Southern Illinois MVC 14 - 19 9 - 9 -0.09
159 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 22 - 13 10 - 2 -0.09
160 Southern California PAC12 11 - 21 2 - 16 -0.18
161 Milwaukee HOR 21 - 14 7 - 9 -0.19
162 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 18 - 13 6 - 7 -0.2
163 Pepperdine WCC 15 - 16 8 - 10 -0.48
164 Old Dominion CUSA 18 - 18 6 - 6 -0.61
165 Arkansas State SUN 19 - 13 9 - 7 -0.72
166 Western Kentucky CUSA 20 - 12 1 - 1 -0.75
167 Rutgers Big10 12 - 21 0 - 0 -0.8
168 Weber State BSky 19 - 12 14 - 6 -0.87
169 DePaul BE 12 - 21 3 - 15 -0.97
170 Holy Cross PAT 20 - 14 12 - 6 -0.99
171 Charlotte CUSA 17 - 14 6 - 7 -1.01
172 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 19 - 15 6 - 6 -1.13
173 Stony Brook AE 23 - 11 13 - 3 -1.14
174 Valparaiso HOR 18 - 16 9 - 7 -1.22
175 Robert Morris NEC 22 - 14 14 - 2 -1.22
176 Morehead State OVC 20 - 14 10 - 6 -1.58
177 Washington State PAC12 10 - 21 3 - 15 -1.6
178 Northwestern State SLND 17 - 14 10 - 6 -1.67
179 Virginia Tech ACC 9 - 22 2 - 14 -1.78
180 Albany AE 19 - 15 9 - 7 -1.83
181 Bucknell PAT 16 - 14 11 - 7 -1.88
182 Mississippi State SEC 14 - 19 3 - 15 -1.99
183 Sam Houston State SLND 24 - 11 13 - 4 -2.01
184 Wagner NEC 19 - 12 12 - 4 -2.02
185 South Florida Amer 12 - 20 3 - 11 -2.13
186 Wofford SC 20 - 13 7 - 3 -2.26
187 Brown IVY 15 - 14 7 - 7 -2.29
188 Drake MVC 15 - 16 6 - 12 -2.6
189 Loyola Marymount WCC 13 - 19 4 - 14 -2.65
190 Utah Valley WAC 20 - 12 11 - 3 -2.67
191 Cal Poly BW 14 - 20 6 - 10 -2.7
192 Virginia Military Institute SC 22 - 13 1 - 0 -2.73
193 Oakland HOR 13 - 20 7 - 9 -2.96
194 Northern Illinois MAC 15 - 17 8 - 10 -3
195 Texas Christian BIG12 9 - 22 0 - 18 -3.34
196 Coastal Carolina BSth 21 - 13 10 - 5 -3.4
197 Evansville MVC 14 - 19 6 - 12 -3.42
198 Oral Roberts SUM 17 - 16 0 - 0 -3.43
199 Omaha SUM 17 - 15 5 - 9 -3.46
200 Kent State MAC 16 - 16 7 - 11 -3.48
201 Miami OH MAC 13 - 18 8 - 10 -3.7
202 Southern SWAC 19 - 13 15 - 3 -3.77
203 College of Charleston CAA 14 - 18 6 - 10 -3.8
204 Fordham A10 10 - 21 2 - 14 -3.82
205 Marist MAAC 12 - 19 9 - 11 -3.84
206 Youngstown State HOR 15 - 17 6 - 10 -3.94
207 Rider MAAC 14 - 17 9 - 11 -3.95
208 Elon CAA 18 - 14 0 - 1 -4.1
209 Bradley MVC 12 - 20 7 - 11 -4.32
210 Saint Peters MAAC 14 - 17 9 - 11 -4.33
211 Detroit HOR 13 - 19 6 - 10 -4.34
212 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 18 - 14 9 - 7 -4.42
213 Northeastern CAA 11 - 21 7 - 9 -4.42
214 Florida International CUSA 15 - 16 5 - 8 -4.49
215 Hampton MEAC 18 - 13 13 - 3 -4.51
216 Mt St Marys NEC 16 - 17 9 - 7 -4.59
217 Texas Arlington SUN 15 - 17 8 - 8 -4.61
218 East Tennessee State SC 19 - 16 1 - 2 -4.64
219 Texas AM CC SLND 18 - 16 12 - 4 -4.66
220 Bowling Green MAC 12 - 20 6 - 12 -4.76
221 North Texas CUSA 16 - 16 5 - 7 -4.81
222 Bryant NEC 18 - 14 10 - 6 -4.85
223 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 15 - 17 8 - 8 -4.87
224 SE Missouri State OVC 18 - 14 8 - 8 -4.93
225 Cal State Northridge BW 17 - 18 7 - 9 -5
226 Colgate PAT 13 - 18 6 - 12 -5.08
227 Winthrop BSth 20 - 13 9 - 6 -5.11
228 Air Force MWC 12 - 18 6 - 12 -5.16
229 Montana BSky 17 - 13 14 - 8 -5.19
230 Hartford AE 17 - 16 10 - 6 -5.22
231 Morgan State MEAC 15 - 16 11 - 5 -5.41
232 UNC Asheville BSth 17 - 15 10 - 5 -5.42
233 East Carolina Amer 17 - 17 0 - 2 -5.44
234 Army PAT 15 - 16 10 - 8 -5.58
235 High Point BSth 16 - 15 11 - 3 -5.86
236 Western Carolina SC 19 - 15 6 - 4 -5.93
237 Grand Canyon WAC 15 - 15 9 - 5 -6.31
238 Tennessee Tech OVC 17 - 16 9 - 7 -6.44
239 Dartmouth IVY 12 - 16 5 - 9 -6.45
240 Northern Colorado BSky 18 - 14 11 - 9 -6.46
241 Lipscomb ASUN 15 - 15 7 - 5 -6.49
242 Eastern Washington BSky 15 - 16 10 - 10 -6.49
243 Idaho BSky 16 - 18 2 - 2 -6.5
244 Tulane Amer 17 - 17 1 - 1 -6.51
245 Incarnate Word SLND 21 - 6 9 - 4 -6.53
246 Gardner Webb BSth 18 - 15 10 - 5 -6.54
247 Radford BSth 22 - 13 10 - 4 -6.71
248 North Florida ASUN 16 - 16 7 - 5 -6.71
249 Marshall CUSA 11 - 22 4 - 10 -6.75
250 Loyola Ill MVC 10 - 22 4 - 14 -7.01
251 Florida Atlantic CUSA 10 - 22 4 - 9 -7.06
252 North Dakota BSky 17 - 17 12 - 8 -7.08
253 Norfolk State MEAC 19 - 15 11 - 5 -7.11
254 Texas Southern SWAC 19 - 15 12 - 6 -7.24
255 Northern Arizona BSky 15 - 17 12 - 8 -7.29
256 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 13 - 19 4 - 10 -7.34
257 UL Monroe SUN 10 - 17 7 - 9 -7.49
258 Cal State Fullerton BW 11 - 20 6 - 10 -7.51
259 Charleston Southern BSth 13 - 18 6 - 9 -7.65
260 South Dakota SUM 12 - 18 6 - 8 -7.69
261 Portland State BSky 17 - 15 11 - 10 -7.86
262 Lehigh PAT 14 - 18 7 - 11 -7.87
263 James Madison CAA 11 - 20 6 - 10 -7.9
264 Troy SUN 11 - 20 6 - 10 -8.06
265 Hofstra CAA 10 - 23 5 - 11 -8.07
266 South Alabama SUN 11 - 20 4 - 12 -8.16
267 Lafayette PAT 11 - 20 6 - 12 -8.22
268 Seattle WAC 13 - 17 3 - 11 -8.41
269 Pennsylvania IVY 8 - 20 5 - 9 -8.41
270 Monmouth MAAC 11 - 21 5 - 15 -8.41
271 Sacramento State BSky 14 - 16 10 - 10 -8.55
272 Fairfield MAAC 7 - 25 4 - 16 -8.8
273 Chattanooga SC 18 - 15 9 - 2 -9.16
274 Idaho State BSky 11 - 18 8 - 13 -9.24
275 Savannah State MEAC 13 - 19 10 - 6 -9.32
276 Niagara MAAC 7 - 26 3 - 17 -9.61
277 UMKC WAC 10 - 20 6 - 8 -9.65
278 Western Illinois SUM 10 - 20 4 - 10 -9.89
279 UC Riverside BW 10 - 21 5 - 11 -10.18
280 Chicago State WAC 13 - 19 7 - 7 -10.35
281 UNC Wilmington CAA 9 - 23 3 - 13 -10.42
282 Illinois Chicago HOR 6 - 25 1 - 15 -10.68
283 Central Michigan MAC 10 - 21 3 - 15 -10.78
284 SIU Edwardsville OVC 11 - 20 7 - 9 -10.79
285 Texas State SUN 8 - 23 4 - 12 -10.79
286 Austin Peay OVC 12 - 18 6 - 10 -10.79
287 Jacksonville ASUN 12 - 18 6 - 6 -10.88
288 Nicholls State SLND 14 - 15 9 - 8 -10.9
289 Tennessee State OVC 5 - 25 4 - 12 -11.14
290 Eastern Illinois OVC 11 - 19 7 - 9 -11.16
291 San Jose State MWC 7 - 24 1 - 17 -11.2
292 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 10 - 21 6 - 10 -11.35
293 Alabama State SWAC 19 - 13 12 - 6 -11.43
294 Texas San Antonio CUSA 8 - 22 4 - 9 -11.54
295 Coppin State MEAC 12 - 20 7 - 9 -11.64
296 Montana State BSky 14 - 17 9 - 11 -11.92
297 Northern Kentucky HOR 9 - 21 0 - 0 -11.96
298 Mcneese State SLND 11 - 20 8 - 9 -11.98
299 Georgia Southern SUN 15 - 19 0 - 2 -12.01
300 Loyola MD PAT 11 - 19 6 - 12 -12.17
301 Rice CUSA 7 - 23 2 - 11 -12.2
302 Florida AM MEAC 14 - 18 8 - 8 -12.47
303 Texas Pan American WAC 9 - 23 5 - 9 -12.56
304 Liberty BSth 11 - 21 4 - 10 -12.66
305 Alabama AM SWAC 14 - 16 10 - 8 -12.71
306 UMass Lowell AE 10 - 18 8 - 8 -12.76
307 Jacksonville State OVC 10 - 21 4 - 12 -12.79
308 UNC Greensboro SC 14 - 18 4 - 4 -12.82
309 Central Connecticut State NEC 11 - 19 7 - 9 -12.89
310 Ball State MAC 5 - 25 2 - 16 -12.91
311 Southeast Louisiana SLND 12 - 18 7 - 10 -13.02
312 Saint Francis Penn NEC 10 - 21 7 - 9 -13.12
313 New Orleans SLND 11 - 15 8 - 9 -13.32
314 UC Davis BW 9 - 22 4 - 12 -13.52
315 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 13 - 18 11 - 7 -13.56
316 Jackson State SWAC 11 - 20 7 - 11 -13.88
317 NJ Tech ASUN 13 - 16 0 - 0 -14.14
318 Samford SC 13 - 20 5 - 6 -14.15
319 Navy PAT 9 - 21 4 - 14 -14.41
320 Delaware State MEAC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -14.63
321 Tennessee Martin OVC 8 - 23 3 - 13 -14.64
322 LIU Brooklyn NEC 9 - 20 4 - 12 -15.01
323 UMBC AE 9 - 21 5 - 11 -15.52
324 Alcorn State SWAC 12 - 19 9 - 9 -15.58
325 Campbell BSth 12 - 20 5 - 9 -15.68
326 Prairie View SWAC 11 - 23 6 - 12 -15.74
327 Sacred Heart NEC 5 - 26 2 - 14 -16.17
328 Central Arkansas SLND 8 - 21 5 - 11 -16.24
329 Binghamton AE 7 - 23 4 - 12 -16.81
330 Stetson ASUN 7 - 24 4 - 8 -16.83
331 New Hampshire AE 6 - 24 4 - 12 -16.93
332 IUPUI SUM 6 - 26 1 - 13 -16.99
333 Cornell IVY 2 - 26 1 - 13 -17.37
334 Appalachian State SUN 9 - 21 1 - 0 -17.46
335 Kennesaw St ASUN 6 - 25 2 - 10 -17.5
336 Maine AE 6 - 23 4 - 12 -17.87
337 Howard MEAC 8 - 25 5 - 11 -18.05
338 North Carolina AT MEAC 9 - 23 5 - 11 -18.35
339 South Carolina State MEAC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -18.39
340 Bethune Cookman MEAC 7 - 25 5 - 11 -18.5
341 Lamar SLND 4 - 26 3 - 14 -18.62
342 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 6 - 24 4 - 12 -18.8
343 Furman SC 9 - 21 2 - 8 -18.91
344 The Citadel SC 7 - 26 1 - 9 -19.36
345 Houston Baptist SLND 6 - 25 2 - 14 -19.6
346 Abilene Christian SLND 11 - 20 2 - 11 -20.39
347 Longwood BSth 8 - 24 3 - 11 -21.06
348 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 9 - 23 5 - 13 -21.35
349 Presbyterian BSth 6 - 26 2 - 13 -22.32
350 Southern Utah BSky 2 - 27 1 - 19 -22.61
351 Grambling State SWAC 5 - 24 3 - 15 -23.46