Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2011 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio State Big10 34 - 3 16 - 2 26.04
2 Kansas BIG12 35 - 3 7 - 2 23.88
3 Duke ACC 32 - 5 11 - 3 23.6
4 Kentucky SEC 29 - 9 10 - 6 21.39
5 Pittsburgh ACC 28 - 6 1 - 2 20.78
6 Texas BIG12 28 - 8 10 - 1 20.57
7 Connecticut Amer 32 - 9 2 - 0 20.35
8 San Diego State MWC 34 - 3 10 - 0 20.34
9 North Carolina ACC 29 - 8 13 - 2 20.15
10 Brigham Young WCC 32 - 5 1 - 0 19.32
11 Purdue Big10 26 - 8 14 - 4 19.22
12 Notre Dame ACC 27 - 7 2 - 1 19.14
13 Wisconsin Big10 25 - 9 13 - 5 19.04
14 Syracuse ACC 27 - 8 3 - 2 18.79
15 Florida SEC 29 - 8 13 - 3 18.71
16 Louisville ACC 25 - 10 2 - 1 18.11
17 Arizona PAC12 30 - 8 14 - 4 17.42
18 Washington PAC12 24 - 11 11 - 7 17.08
19 West Virginia BIG12 21 - 12 0 - 0 16.06
20 Cincinnati Amer 26 - 9 1 - 1 15.88
21 Utah State MWC 30 - 4 8 - 0 15.46
22 Illinois Big10 20 - 14 10 - 9 15.2
23 Wichita State MVC 29 - 8 12 - 4 15.14
24 Michigan Big10 21 - 14 9 - 9 14.58
25 George Mason A10 27 - 7 3 - 1 14.55
26 Kansas State BIG12 23 - 11 7 - 2 14.53
27 Clemson ACC 22 - 12 9 - 6 14.5
28 Vanderbilt SEC 23 - 11 9 - 8 14.34
29 Marquette BE 22 - 15 3 - 4 14.24
30 Butler BE 28 - 10 0 - 1 14.15
31 Florida State ACC 23 - 11 11 - 4 14.13
32 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 24 - 9 9 - 3 14.09
33 Gonzaga WCC 25 - 10 11 - 3 13.99
34 Richmond A10 29 - 8 12 - 1 13.83
35 Saint Johns BE 21 - 12 5 - 2 13.82
36 Georgetown BE 21 - 11 6 - 1 13.69
37 Temple Amer 26 - 8 0 - 0 13.63
38 Xavier BE 24 - 8 2 - 0 13.52
39 Villanova BE 21 - 12 3 - 3 13.29
40 Belmont OVC 30 - 5 1 - 0 13.17
41 Virginia Tech ACC 22 - 12 7 - 7 13.17
42 Alabama SEC 25 - 12 12 - 4 13.1
43 Penn State Big10 19 - 15 9 - 10 12.93
44 Old Dominion CUSA 27 - 7 0 - 0 12.84
45 Missouri SEC 23 - 11 1 - 1 12.81
46 UCLA PAC12 23 - 11 13 - 5 12.6
47 Virginia Commonwealth A10 28 - 12 0 - 2 12.38
48 Michigan State Big10 19 - 15 9 - 9 12.32
49 Texas AM SEC 24 - 9 2 - 0 12.24
50 Maryland Big10 19 - 14 1 - 1 11.62
51 New Mexico MWC 22 - 13 4 - 6 11.48
52 Colorado PAC12 24 - 14 1 - 0 11.39
53 Saint Marys WCC 25 - 9 11 - 4 11.22
54 Southern California PAC12 19 - 15 10 - 8 11.2
55 Northwestern Big10 20 - 14 7 - 11 11.05
56 Washington State PAC12 22 - 13 9 - 9 10.97
57 Georgia SEC 21 - 12 9 - 7 10.96
58 Tennessee SEC 19 - 15 8 - 8 10.48
59 Miami ACC 21 - 15 5 - 10 10.27
60 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 22 - 9 6 - 1 10.24
61 Texas El Paso CUSA 25 - 10 3 - 2 9.89
62 Boston College ACC 21 - 13 7 - 7 9.72
63 Minnesota Big10 17 - 14 6 - 12 9.62
64 Missouri State MVC 26 - 9 13 - 3 9.5
65 California PAC12 18 - 15 10 - 8 9.24
66 Nebraska Big10 19 - 13 0 - 0 9.21
67 Oakland HOR 25 - 10 0 - 2 9.04
68 Seton Hall BE 13 - 18 4 - 4 8.97
69 Southern Miss CUSA 22 - 10 4 - 2 8.65
70 Iona MAAC 25 - 12 12 - 4 8.64
71 Oklahoma State BIG12 20 - 14 5 - 6 8.57
72 Cleveland State HOR 27 - 9 11 - 3 8.49
73 Duquesne A10 19 - 13 8 - 6 8.33
74 Memphis Amer 25 - 10 5 - 3 8.25
75 Mississippi SEC 20 - 14 7 - 9 8.1
76 Colorado State MWC 19 - 13 6 - 5 7.62
77 College of Charleston CAA 26 - 11 1 - 0 7.59
78 Harvard IVY 23 - 7 12 - 2 7.46
79 Marshall CUSA 22 - 12 3 - 4 7.28
80 Baylor BIG12 18 - 13 3 - 8 7.23
81 Princeton IVY 25 - 7 12 - 2 7.15
82 Oregon PAC12 21 - 18 7 - 11 7.13
83 Tulsa Amer 19 - 13 6 - 3 6.89
84 Rutgers Big10 15 - 17 0 - 0 6.54
85 Indiana State MVC 20 - 14 11 - 6 6.09
86 Wofford SC 21 - 13 9 - 1 5.99
87 Creighton BE 23 - 16 0 - 0 5.96
88 Drexel CAA 21 - 10 8 - 5 5.73
89 Bucknell PAT 25 - 9 15 - 1 5.54
90 LIU Brooklyn NEC 27 - 6 14 - 2 5.5
91 Virginia ACC 16 - 15 6 - 8 5.5
92 Central Florida Amer 21 - 12 4 - 5 5.45
93 Dayton A10 22 - 14 7 - 6 5.44
94 Valparaiso HOR 23 - 12 11 - 4 5.42
95 Morehead State OVC 25 - 10 14 - 5 5.4
96 Boise State MWC 22 - 13 5 - 4 5.4
97 Fairfield MAAC 25 - 8 14 - 2 5.39
98 Iowa State BIG12 16 - 16 1 - 8 5.32
99 Kent State MAC 25 - 12 12 - 4 5.23
100 NC State ACC 15 - 16 5 - 11 5.07
101 Arkansas SEC 18 - 13 7 - 10 4.98
102 Indiana Big10 12 - 20 3 - 15 4.83
103 Santa Clara WCC 24 - 14 8 - 7 4.79
104 Northern Iowa MVC 20 - 14 9 - 7 4.77
105 Iowa Big10 11 - 20 4 - 14 4.77
106 Mississippi State SEC 17 - 14 9 - 7 4.73
107 Georgia Tech ACC 13 - 18 5 - 11 4.63
108 Stanford PAC12 15 - 16 7 - 11 4.5
109 Providence BE 15 - 17 1 - 5 4.43
110 James Madison CAA 21 - 12 8 - 2 4.42
111 Coastal Carolina BSth 28 - 6 14 - 2 4.12
112 East Tennessee State SC 24 - 12 2 - 0 3.96
113 Long Beach State BW 22 - 12 12 - 2 3.91
114 Akron MAC 23 - 13 9 - 7 3.76
115 Portland WCC 20 - 12 7 - 7 3.72
116 Wright State HOR 19 - 14 8 - 7 3.55
117 Rhode Island A10 20 - 14 9 - 5 3.42
118 Milwaukee HOR 19 - 14 10 - 4 3.4
119 Hofstra CAA 21 - 12 12 - 1 3.35
120 Rider MAAC 23 - 11 12 - 5 3
121 San Francisco WCC 19 - 15 10 - 4 2.94
122 Oklahoma BIG12 14 - 18 4 - 7 2.93
123 Texas Tech BIG12 13 - 19 4 - 8 2.92
124 Arizona State PAC12 12 - 19 4 - 14 2.7
125 East Carolina Amer 18 - 16 5 - 3 2.68
126 South Carolina SEC 14 - 16 5 - 11 2.64
127 Saint Peters MAAC 20 - 14 10 - 6 2.5
128 Murray State OVC 23 - 9 16 - 4 2.43
129 Northern Colorado BSky 21 - 11 14 - 3 2.29
130 Buffalo MAC 20 - 14 8 - 8 2.19
131 Air Force MWC 16 - 16 2 - 8 2.14
132 South Florida Amer 10 - 23 0 - 3 2.01
133 Southern Methodist Amer 20 - 15 5 - 4 1.82
134 Vermont AE 23 - 9 13 - 1 1.76
135 New Mexico State WAC 16 - 17 0 - 0 1.65
136 Utah PAC12 13 - 18 0 - 0 1.55
137 Detroit HOR 17 - 16 8 - 6 1.52
138 Montana BSky 21 - 11 14 - 4 1.31
139 George Washington A10 17 - 14 8 - 5 1.29
140 Saint Bonaventure A10 16 - 15 7 - 6 1.17
141 Oral Roberts SUM 19 - 16 7 - 3 1.15
142 Saint Louis A10 12 - 19 5 - 7 1.14
143 Hawaii BW 19 - 13 2 - 1 1.03
144 UNC Asheville BSth 20 - 14 10 - 6 0.99
145 Idaho BSky 18 - 14 3 - 2 0.91
146 IUPUI SUM 19 - 14 7 - 3 0.87
147 South Dakota State SUM 19 - 12 5 - 5 0.75
148 Ohio MAC 19 - 16 9 - 7 0.64
149 Furman SC 22 - 11 7 - 3 0.63
150 Evansville MVC 16 - 16 9 - 7 0.57
151 Rice CUSA 14 - 18 0 - 6 0.48
152 UC Santa Barbara BW 18 - 14 8 - 6 0.29
153 Austin Peay OVC 20 - 14 14 - 5 0.19
154 Oregon State PAC12 11 - 20 5 - 14 0.13
155 Robert Morris NEC 18 - 14 10 - 5 0.08
156 Western Michigan MAC 21 - 13 11 - 5 -0.04
157 Davidson A10 18 - 15 0 - 1 -0.12
158 Northern Arizona BSky 19 - 13 9 - 7 -0.15
159 Loyola Ill MVC 16 - 15 1 - 0 -0.22
160 Boston PAT 21 - 14 0 - 1 -0.37
161 American PAT 22 - 9 11 - 3 -0.38
162 La Salle A10 15 - 18 5 - 7 -0.53
163 Jacksonville ASUN 20 - 12 10 - 2 -0.6
164 Central Connecticut State NEC 19 - 12 9 - 5 -0.63
165 Quinnipiac MAAC 22 - 10 3 - 0 -0.73
166 Nevada MWC 13 - 19 4 - 5 -0.79
167 Lipscomb ASUN 17 - 13 8 - 4 -0.95
168 Green Bay HOR 14 - 18 7 - 7 -0.95
169 North Texas CUSA 22 - 11 2 - 3 -1.12
170 Ball State MAC 19 - 13 10 - 6 -1.27
171 San Jose State MWC 17 - 16 1 - 7 -1.28
172 Miami OH MAC 16 - 17 11 - 5 -1.37
173 Florida Atlantic CUSA 21 - 11 6 - 1 -1.37
174 Fresno State MWC 14 - 17 2 - 7 -1.45
175 Western Carolina SC 18 - 15 5 - 6 -1.66
176 Bradley MVC 12 - 20 3 - 13 -1.81
177 Massachusetts A10 15 - 15 6 - 7 -1.9
178 Saint Josephs A10 11 - 22 3 - 9 -1.96
179 Texas Christian BIG12 11 - 22 1 - 0 -2
180 Northeastern CAA 11 - 20 4 - 7 -2.33
181 Canisius MAAC 15 - 15 8 - 8 -2.33
182 Weber State BSky 18 - 14 12 - 5 -2.43
183 Pacific WCC 16 - 15 1 - 1 -2.44
184 Loyola MD PAT 15 - 15 0 - 1 -2.44
185 Pennsylvania IVY 13 - 15 7 - 7 -2.49
186 Sam Houston State SLND 18 - 13 6 - 4 -2.52
187 Drake MVC 13 - 18 6 - 10 -2.65
188 Delaware CAA 14 - 17 6 - 6 -2.66
189 Arkansas State SUN 17 - 15 7 - 1 -2.66
190 Yale IVY 15 - 13 8 - 6 -2.72
191 Cal Poly BW 15 - 15 9 - 6 -2.77
192 Auburn SEC 11 - 20 4 - 12 -2.78
193 IPFW SUM 18 - 12 6 - 4 -2.89
194 DePaul BE 7 - 24 1 - 5 -3.19
195 Middle Tennessee CUSA 16 - 16 5 - 3 -3.22
196 Southern Illinois MVC 13 - 19 5 - 11 -3.34
197 Tulane Amer 13 - 17 2 - 7 -3.35
198 Tennessee Tech OVC 20 - 13 15 - 6 -3.35
199 Mercer SC 15 - 18 1 - 2 -3.46
200 Mcneese State SLND 21 - 12 9 - 4 -3.47
201 Hampton MEAC 24 - 9 11 - 5 -3.61
202 Virginia Military Institute SC 18 - 13 0 - 0 -3.7
203 Appalachian State SUN 16 - 15 1 - 1 -3.7
204 Lehigh PAT 16 - 15 6 - 8 -3.82
205 Cornell IVY 10 - 18 6 - 8 -3.87
206 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 19 - 17 4 - 4 -3.92
207 North Dakota State SUM 14 - 15 5 - 6 -3.93
208 UNC Wilmington CAA 13 - 18 6 - 5 -4.02
209 Texas San Antonio CUSA 20 - 14 0 - 0 -4.09
210 William and Mary CAA 10 - 22 3 - 9 -4.19
211 Charlotte CUSA 10 - 20 0 - 0 -4.32
212 Western Kentucky CUSA 16 - 16 4 - 3 -4.33
213 Louisiana State SEC 11 - 21 3 - 13 -4.37
214 UL Lafayette SUN 14 - 15 6 - 2 -4.45
215 North Florida ASUN 15 - 19 8 - 4 -4.48
216 Houston Amer 12 - 18 4 - 5 -4.53
217 Siena MAAC 13 - 18 7 - 9 -4.57
218 Columbia IVY 15 - 13 6 - 8 -4.59
219 Georgia State SUN 12 - 19 1 - 1 -4.6
220 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 15 - 15 9 - 7 -4.7
221 Liberty BSth 19 - 13 12 - 4 -4.74
222 Stephen F Austin SLND 18 - 11 6 - 4 -4.89
223 Pepperdine WCC 12 - 21 6 - 9 -5.01
224 Illinois State MVC 12 - 19 4 - 12 -5.04
225 Wyoming MWC 10 - 21 2 - 8 -5.1
226 Loyola Marymount WCC 11 - 21 2 - 12 -5.18
227 Charleston Southern BSth 16 - 16 7 - 9 -5.39
228 Denver SUM 13 - 17 0 - 1 -5.55
229 Maine AE 15 - 15 8 - 6 -5.62
230 Winthrop BSth 13 - 17 8 - 8 -5.75
231 Bowling Green MAC 14 - 19 8 - 8 -5.8
232 Stony Brook AE 15 - 17 8 - 6 -5.95
233 Lafayette PAT 13 - 19 6 - 8 -6.08
234 Albany AE 16 - 16 9 - 5 -6.38
235 Wagner NEC 13 - 17 6 - 9 -6.53
236 Elon CAA 14 - 17 0 - 1 -6.62
237 Wake Forest ACC 8 - 24 1 - 13 -6.64
238 Cal State Northridge BW 14 - 18 8 - 6 -6.76
239 Texas State SUN 16 - 16 2 - 1 -6.78
240 Morgan State MEAC 17 - 14 10 - 6 -6.96
241 Tennessee State OVC 14 - 16 10 - 9 -7
242 UC Irvine BW 13 - 19 5 - 9 -7.18
243 Holy Cross PAT 8 - 21 7 - 7 -7.29
244 Eastern Kentucky OVC 15 - 16 11 - 9 -7.32
245 Brown IVY 11 - 17 4 - 10 -7.59
246 Nicholls State SLND 14 - 14 6 - 7 -7.6
247 Chattanooga SC 16 - 16 7 - 4 -7.66
248 Utah Valley WAC 19 - 11 5 - 2 -7.7
249 Northwestern State SLND 18 - 14 10 - 4 -7.81
250 Coppin State MEAC 16 - 14 11 - 7 -7.9
251 Texas Southern SWAC 19 - 13 16 - 2 -7.92
252 Presbyterian BSth 13 - 18 6 - 10 -7.98
253 UMKC WAC 16 - 14 1 - 0 -8.09
254 Louisiana Tech CUSA 12 - 20 0 - 0 -8.2
255 Southeast Louisiana SLND 15 - 14 8 - 5 -8.2
256 Savannah State MEAC 12 - 18 1 - 1 -8.45
257 Southern Utah BSky 11 - 19 0 - 1 -8.57
258 Youngstown State HOR 9 - 21 1 - 13 -8.6
259 Lamar SLND 13 - 17 5 - 8 -8.64
260 Mt St Marys NEC 11 - 21 7 - 8 -8.68
261 Illinois Chicago HOR 7 - 24 2 - 12 -8.81
262 Bethune Cookman MEAC 21 - 13 15 - 3 -8.95
263 Campbell BSth 12 - 19 1 - 1 -9.12
264 UC Davis BW 10 - 20 4 - 11 -9.37
265 Texas Arlington SUN 13 - 16 1 - 1 -9.43
266 Sacred Heart NEC 11 - 18 4 - 10 -9.7
267 Montana State BSky 13 - 18 7 - 10 -9.75
268 Portland State BSky 14 - 16 5 - 11 -9.76
269 Gardner Webb BSth 11 - 21 6 - 10 -9.77
270 UC Riverside BW 12 - 19 6 - 8 -9.89
271 UNC Greensboro SC 7 - 24 2 - 7 -9.95
272 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 10 - 20 5 - 7 -10
273 Eastern Washington BSky 10 - 20 7 - 10 -10.11
274 Navy PAT 11 - 20 6 - 8 -10.17
275 Seattle WAC 11 - 20 2 - 1 -10.2
276 Jackson State SWAC 17 - 15 12 - 6 -10.24
277 Cal State Fullerton BW 11 - 20 5 - 10 -10.35
278 Troy SUN 8 - 21 2 - 5 -10.36
279 The Citadel SC 10 - 22 3 - 6 -10.48
280 South Alabama SUN 12 - 16 3 - 4 -10.5
281 Central Michigan MAC 10 - 21 7 - 9 -10.55
282 Towson CAA 4 - 26 0 - 12 -10.6
283 Fordham A10 7 - 21 1 - 11 -10.62
284 Saint Francis Penn NEC 9 - 21 6 - 9 -10.64
285 Hartford AE 11 - 20 6 - 8 -10.69
286 Alabama State SWAC 17 - 18 11 - 7 -10.79
287 Northern Illinois MAC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -10.93
288 San Diego WCC 6 - 24 2 - 12 -10.94
289 Monmouth MAAC 9 - 21 0 - 3 -10.96
290 Florida International CUSA 11 - 19 0 - 8 -11.05
291 New Hampshire AE 12 - 18 5 - 9 -11.13
292 North Carolina AT MEAC 15 - 17 10 - 8 -11.23
293 South Dakota SUM 18 - 15 0 - 0 -11.46
294 Norfolk State MEAC 12 - 20 9 - 9 -11.61
295 Tennessee Martin OVC 12 - 21 7 - 13 -11.68
296 Niagara MAAC 9 - 23 4 - 13 -11.71
297 North Dakota BSky 19 - 15 1 - 2 -11.73
298 Eastern Michigan MAC 9 - 22 5 - 11 -11.91
299 SE Missouri State OVC 10 - 22 7 - 13 -11.97
300 Stetson ASUN 8 - 23 4 - 8 -12.14
301 Army PAT 11 - 19 3 - 11 -12.32
302 High Point BSth 12 - 19 7 - 9 -12.59
303 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 13 - 19 12 - 6 -12.68
304 Bryant NEC 9 - 21 6 - 8 -12.84
305 North Carolina Central MEAC 15 - 15 10 - 6 -12.87
306 Idaho State BSky 9 - 20 4 - 12 -13.02
307 Manhattan MAAC 6 - 25 3 - 13 -13.1
308 Samford SC 12 - 19 2 - 9 -13.1
309 NJ Tech ASUN 15 - 15 0 - 0 -13.16
310 Jacksonville State OVC 5 - 25 3 - 15 -13.61
311 Eastern Illinois OVC 9 - 20 4 - 14 -13.7
312 Binghamton AE 8 - 23 4 - 10 -14.02
313 Marist MAAC 6 - 27 3 - 13 -14.11
314 Texas AM CC SLND 10 - 21 4 - 6 -14.14
315 Alabama AM SWAC 13 - 15 10 - 8 -14.62
316 Kennesaw St ASUN 8 - 23 5 - 7 -14.67
317 Longwood BSth 12 - 19 1 - 1 -14.75
318 Colgate PAT 7 - 23 4 - 10 -14.8
319 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 5 - 25 2 - 10 -14.83
320 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 9 - 19 0 - 1 -14.84
321 New Orleans SLND 0 - 1 0 - 0 -14.95
322 Delaware State MEAC 9 - 21 6 - 11 -15.46
323 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 5 - 24 3 - 11 -16.22
324 Grambling State SWAC 12 - 21 8 - 10 -16.38
325 Sacramento State BSky 7 - 21 4 - 13 -16.42
326 Dartmouth IVY 5 - 23 1 - 13 -16.57
327 UL Monroe SUN 7 - 24 1 - 7 -17.12
328 Florida AM MEAC 12 - 20 8 - 11 -17.48
329 Georgia Southern SUN 5 - 27 1 - 2 -17.88
330 South Carolina State MEAC 10 - 22 5 - 13 -17.91
331 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 9 - 22 5 - 12 -18.57
332 Toledo MAC 4 - 28 1 - 15 -18.71
333 Radford BSth 5 - 24 2 - 14 -18.81
334 UMBC AE 5 - 25 3 - 11 -19.11
335 Western Illinois SUM 7 - 23 1 - 9 -19.16
336 Prairie View SWAC 10 - 22 7 - 11 -19.2
337 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 7 - 24 7 - 11 -19.65
338 Howard MEAC 6 - 24 4 - 13 -20.37
339 Houston Baptist SLND 5 - 26 0 - 1 -20.98
340 Texas Pan American WAC 6 - 25 0 - 4 -21.02
341 Central Arkansas SLND 5 - 24 1 - 12 -21.67
342 SIU Edwardsville OVC 8 - 21 0 - 9 -22.03
343 Alcorn State SWAC 4 - 24 4 - 14 -23.04
344 Chicago State WAC 6 - 26 2 - 2 -26.23
345 Southern SWAC 4 - 26 3 - 15 -26.78