Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Basketball Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:

2023-2024 RANKINGS

Current Week
Preseason

PREVIOUS RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records before 2015 may be wrong because they were generated after the fact using 2014-2015 affiliations.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016-2017 Postseason - through games of 4/3/17

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Gonzaga WCC 37 - 2 17 - 1 24.78
2 North Carolina ACC 33 - 7 14 - 4 24.19
3 Kentucky SEC 32 - 6 16 - 2 23.73
4 Villanova BE 32 - 4 15 - 3 23.72
5 Kansas BIG12 31 - 5 16 - 2 23.7
6 Florida SEC 27 - 9 14 - 4 22.12
7 Oregon PAC12 33 - 6 16 - 2 21.73
8 West Virginia BIG12 28 - 9 12 - 6 21.5
9 Duke ACC 28 - 9 11 - 7 20.53
10 Wichita State MVC 31 - 5 17 - 1 20.52
11 Arizona PAC12 32 - 5 16 - 2 20.27
12 Louisville ACC 25 - 9 12 - 6 20.21
13 UCLA PAC12 31 - 5 15 - 3 20.13
14 Southern Methodist Amer 30 - 5 17 - 1 19.91
15 Iowa State BIG12 24 - 11 12 - 6 19.66
16 Purdue Big10 27 - 8 14 - 4 19.27
17 Michigan Big10 26 - 12 10 - 8 19.22
18 Baylor BIG12 27 - 8 12 - 6 18.98
19 Virginia ACC 23 - 11 11 - 7 18.48
20 Wisconsin Big10 27 - 10 12 - 6 18.31
21 Cincinnati Amer 30 - 6 16 - 2 18.17
22 Saint Marys WCC 29 - 5 16 - 2 17.75
23 South Carolina SEC 26 - 11 12 - 6 17.71
24 Oklahoma State BIG12 20 - 13 9 - 9 17.43
25 Butler BE 25 - 9 12 - 6 16.93
26 Florida State ACC 26 - 9 12 - 6 16.9
27 Notre Dame ACC 26 - 10 12 - 6 16.87
28 Arkansas SEC 26 - 10 12 - 6 15.2
29 Creighton BE 25 - 10 10 - 8 15.07
30 Texas Christian BIG12 24 - 15 6 - 12 14.57
31 Vanderbilt SEC 19 - 16 10 - 8 14.5
32 Minnesota Big10 24 - 10 11 - 7 14.35
33 Rhode Island A10 25 - 10 13 - 5 14.17
34 Xavier BE 24 - 14 9 - 9 13.96
35 Kansas State BIG12 21 - 14 8 - 10 13.65
36 Michigan State Big10 20 - 15 10 - 8 13.26
37 Dayton A10 24 - 8 15 - 3 13.24
38 Northwestern Big10 24 - 12 10 - 8 13.22
39 Miami ACC 21 - 12 10 - 8 13.02
40 Maryland Big10 24 - 9 12 - 6 12.88
41 Marquette BE 19 - 13 10 - 8 12.86
42 Wake Forest ACC 19 - 14 9 - 9 12.81
43 Virginia Commonwealth A10 26 - 9 14 - 4 12.77
44 Nevada MWC 28 - 7 14 - 4 12.75
45 Southern California PAC12 26 - 10 10 - 8 12.25
46 Seton Hall BE 21 - 12 10 - 8 12.23
47 Virginia Tech ACC 22 - 11 10 - 8 12.14
48 Middle Tennessee CUSA 31 - 5 17 - 1 12.02
49 Illinois State MVC 28 - 7 17 - 1 11.64
50 Syracuse ACC 19 - 15 10 - 8 11.26
51 Alabama SEC 19 - 15 10 - 8 10.91
52 Clemson ACC 17 - 16 6 - 12 10.86
53 Indiana Big10 18 - 16 7 - 11 10.84
54 Georgia SEC 19 - 15 9 - 9 10.6
55 Texas Tech BIG12 18 - 14 6 - 12 10.56
56 Providence BE 20 - 13 10 - 8 10.56
57 Utah PAC12 20 - 12 11 - 7 10.51
58 UNC Wilmington CAA 29 - 6 15 - 3 10.45
59 Vermont AE 29 - 6 16 - 0 10.21
60 Illinois Big10 20 - 15 8 - 10 10.18
61 Houston Amer 22 - 11 12 - 6 10.17
62 Mississippi SEC 22 - 14 10 - 8 10.13
63 Tennessee SEC 16 - 16 8 - 10 9.95
64 California PAC12 21 - 13 10 - 8 9.93
65 Princeton IVY 23 - 7 14 - 0 9.89
66 Iowa Big10 19 - 15 10 - 8 9.53
67 Central Florida Amer 24 - 12 11 - 7 9.28
68 Texas AM SEC 16 - 15 8 - 10 9.05
69 Georgia Tech ACC 21 - 16 8 - 10 8.57
70 Texas Arlington SUN 27 - 9 14 - 4 8.55
71 East Tennessee State SC 27 - 8 14 - 4 8.5
72 Bucknell PAT 26 - 9 15 - 3 8.15
73 Colorado PAC12 19 - 15 8 - 10 8.14
74 Ohio State Big10 17 - 15 7 - 11 8.01
75 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 20 5 - 13 7.94
76 Monmouth MAAC 27 - 7 18 - 2 7.8
77 Brigham Young WCC 22 - 12 12 - 6 7.7
78 Colorado State MWC 24 - 12 13 - 5 7.64
79 Georgetown BE 14 - 18 5 - 13 7.53
80 Texas BIG12 11 - 22 4 - 14 7.47
81 New Mexico State WAC 28 - 6 11 - 3 7.45
82 Pittsburgh ACC 16 - 17 4 - 14 7.42
83 Richmond A10 22 - 13 13 - 5 7.4
84 Auburn SEC 18 - 14 7 - 11 7.04
85 San Diego State MWC 19 - 14 9 - 9 6.76
86 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 25 - 10 12 - 2 6.31
87 College of Charleston CAA 25 - 10 14 - 4 6.22
88 Davidson A10 17 - 15 8 - 10 6.21
89 Penn State Big10 15 - 18 6 - 12 6.2
90 Belmont OVC 23 - 7 15 - 1 6.19
91 Fresno State MWC 20 - 13 11 - 7 6.1
92 Saint Bonaventure A10 20 - 12 11 - 7 5.95
93 Mississippi State SEC 16 - 16 6 - 12 5.95
94 Boise State MWC 20 - 12 12 - 6 5.87
95 Connecticut Amer 16 - 17 9 - 9 5.7
96 Akron MAC 27 - 9 14 - 4 5.51
97 Oakland HOR 25 - 9 14 - 4 5.09
98 Saint Peters MAAC 23 - 13 14 - 6 5.05
99 Memphis Amer 19 - 13 9 - 9 4.79
100 Winthrop BSth 26 - 7 15 - 3 4.74
101 Valparaiso HOR 24 - 9 14 - 4 4.58
102 Saint Johns BE 14 - 19 7 - 11 4.53
103 Louisiana Tech CUSA 23 - 10 14 - 4 4.41
104 Stanford PAC12 14 - 17 6 - 12 4.31
105 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 26 - 8 12 - 2 4.16
106 Ohio MAC 20 - 11 11 - 7 3.71
107 NC State ACC 15 - 17 4 - 14 3.7
108 San Francisco WCC 20 - 13 10 - 8 3.68
109 Furman SC 23 - 12 14 - 4 3.58
110 Nebraska Big10 12 - 19 6 - 12 3.55
111 New Mexico MWC 17 - 14 10 - 8 3.43
112 Loyola Ill MVC 18 - 14 8 - 10 3.37
113 George Washington A10 20 - 15 10 - 8 3.35
114 Arizona State PAC12 15 - 18 7 - 11 3.34
115 Wyoming MWC 23 - 15 8 - 10 3.34
116 Santa Clara WCC 17 - 16 10 - 8 3.34
117 Towson CAA 20 - 13 11 - 7 3.32
118 Harvard IVY 18 - 10 10 - 4 3.27
119 Iona MAAC 22 - 13 12 - 8 2.94
120 UNC Greensboro SC 25 - 10 14 - 4 2.9
121 UNC Asheville BSth 23 - 10 15 - 3 2.84
122 George Mason A10 20 - 14 9 - 9 2.76
123 Temple Amer 16 - 16 7 - 11 2.72
124 Grand Canyon WAC 22 - 9 11 - 3 2.71
125 Lehigh PAT 20 - 12 12 - 6 2.35
126 Northern Kentucky HOR 24 - 11 12 - 6 2.22
127 Kent State MAC 22 - 14 10 - 8 2.21
128 Rutgers Big10 15 - 18 3 - 15 1.89
129 Troy SUN 22 - 15 10 - 8 1.87
130 Utah State MWC 15 - 17 7 - 11 1.86
131 Buffalo MAC 17 - 15 11 - 7 1.72
132 Old Dominion CUSA 19 - 12 12 - 6 1.53
133 Tulsa Amer 15 - 17 8 - 10 1.49
134 South Dakota SUM 22 - 12 12 - 4 1.33
135 William and Mary CAA 17 - 14 10 - 8 1.25
136 Elon CAA 18 - 14 10 - 8 1.02
137 Albany AE 21 - 14 10 - 6 1.02
138 La Salle A10 15 - 15 9 - 9 0.95
139 Toledo MAC 17 - 17 9 - 9 0.95
140 Georgia State SUN 20 - 13 12 - 6 0.94
141 Southern Illinois MVC 17 - 16 9 - 9 0.87
142 UL Lafayette SUN 21 - 12 10 - 8 0.74
143 UC Irvine BW 21 - 15 12 - 4 0.74
144 Western Michigan MAC 16 - 16 11 - 7 0.71
145 Missouri State MVC 17 - 16 7 - 11 0.61
146 Arkansas State SUN 20 - 12 11 - 7 0.6
147 Yale IVY 18 - 11 9 - 5 0.52
148 Chattanooga SC 19 - 12 10 - 8 0.4
149 Wright State HOR 20 - 12 11 - 7 0.3
150 Marshall CUSA 20 - 15 10 - 8 0.28
151 Texas State SUN 22 - 14 11 - 7 0.23
152 North Dakota BSky 22 - 10 14 - 4 0.23
153 Texas AM CC SLND 24 - 12 12 - 6 0.23
154 Wofford SC 16 - 17 10 - 8 0.11
155 Ball State MAC 21 - 13 11 - 7 -0.01
156 Siena MAAC 17 - 17 12 - 8 -0.08
157 Washington State PAC12 13 - 18 6 - 12 -0.1
158 Rice CUSA 23 - 12 11 - 7 -0.18
159 Lipscomb ASUN 20 - 13 11 - 3 -0.2
160 South Dakota State SUM 18 - 17 8 - 8 -0.27
161 Loyola Marymount WCC 15 - 15 8 - 10 -0.29
162 Missouri SEC 8 - 24 2 - 16 -0.36
163 Evansville MVC 16 - 17 6 - 12 -0.36
164 Mercer SC 15 - 17 9 - 9 -0.37
165 Omaha SUM 18 - 14 9 - 7 -0.41
166 Northern Iowa MVC 14 - 16 9 - 9 -0.41
167 Utah Valley WAC 17 - 17 6 - 8 -0.51
168 IPFW SUM 20 - 13 8 - 8 -0.52
169 North Dakota State SUM 19 - 11 11 - 5 -0.56
170 Massachusetts A10 15 - 18 4 - 14 -0.61
171 Boston College ACC 9 - 23 2 - 16 -0.8
172 Northeastern CAA 15 - 16 8 - 10 -0.97
173 East Carolina Amer 15 - 18 6 - 12 -0.99
174 Jacksonville State OVC 20 - 15 9 - 7 -1.2
175 Gardner Webb BSth 19 - 14 11 - 7 -1.22
176 Washington PAC12 9 - 22 2 - 16 -1.22
177 New Hampshire AE 20 - 12 10 - 6 -1.47
178 Louisiana State SEC 10 - 21 2 - 16 -1.5
179 DePaul BE 9 - 23 2 - 16 -1.51
180 New Orleans SLND 20 - 12 13 - 5 -1.58
181 Eastern Michigan MAC 16 - 17 7 - 11 -1.63
182 Samford SC 20 - 16 8 - 10 -1.7
183 Eastern Washington BSky 22 - 12 13 - 5 -1.81
184 Pennsylvania IVY 13 - 15 6 - 8 -1.93
185 Green Bay HOR 18 - 14 12 - 6 -1.95
186 Hofstra CAA 15 - 17 7 - 11 -2.06
187 Boston PAT 18 - 14 12 - 6 -2.06
188 Weber State BSky 20 - 14 12 - 6 -2.07
189 Canisius MAAC 18 - 16 10 - 10 -2.2
190 Texas El Paso CUSA 15 - 17 12 - 6 -2.22
191 North Carolina Central MEAC 25 - 9 13 - 3 -2.36
192 Coastal Carolina SUN 20 - 19 10 - 8 -2.51
193 UMBC AE 21 - 13 9 - 7 -2.58
194 UC Davis BW 23 - 13 11 - 5 -2.7
195 Tennessee State OVC 17 - 13 8 - 8 -2.71
196 Fordham A10 13 - 19 7 - 11 -2.71
197 Mt St Marys NEC 20 - 16 14 - 4 -2.75
198 Saint Josephs A10 11 - 20 4 - 14 -2.78
199 Georgia Southern SUN 18 - 15 11 - 7 -2.95
200 Denver SUM 16 - 14 8 - 8 -2.98
201 San Jose State MWC 14 - 16 7 - 11 -3.01
202 Stony Brook AE 18 - 14 12 - 4 -3.06
203 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 17 - 16 9 - 9 -3.14
204 Liberty BSth 21 - 14 14 - 4 -3.16
205 Montana BSky 16 - 16 11 - 7 -3.22
206 Texas Southern SWAC 23 - 12 16 - 2 -3.42
207 Bradley MVC 13 - 20 7 - 11 -3.47
208 UMKC WAC 18 - 17 8 - 6 -3.57
209 Navy PAT 16 - 16 10 - 8 -3.57
210 Tennessee Martin OVC 22 - 13 10 - 6 -3.89
211 Indiana State MVC 11 - 20 5 - 13 -3.89
212 Idaho BSky 19 - 14 12 - 6 -3.93
213 Fairfield MAAC 16 - 15 11 - 9 -3.98
214 Rider MAAC 18 - 15 10 - 10 -4.05
215 Morehead State OVC 14 - 16 10 - 6 -4.47
216 IUPUI SUM 14 - 18 7 - 9 -4.62
217 Murray State OVC 16 - 17 8 - 8 -4.84
218 Holy Cross PAT 15 - 17 9 - 9 -4.94
219 Northern Illinois MAC 15 - 17 7 - 11 -4.94
220 Air Force MWC 12 - 21 4 - 14 -5.07
221 Long Beach State BW 15 - 19 9 - 7 -5.08
222 Houston Baptist SLND 17 - 14 12 - 6 -5.33
223 Pacific WCC 11 - 22 4 - 14 -5.5
224 Stephen F Austin SLND 18 - 15 12 - 6 -5.64
225 Western Kentucky CUSA 15 - 17 9 - 9 -5.65
226 Loyola MD PAT 16 - 17 8 - 10 -5.65
227 Duquesne A10 10 - 22 3 - 15 -5.68
228 James Madison CAA 10 - 23 7 - 11 -5.7
229 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 11 - 21 4 - 14 -5.76
230 Saint Louis A10 12 - 21 6 - 12 -5.91
231 Illinois Chicago HOR 17 - 19 7 - 11 -6.1
232 Sam Houston State SLND 21 - 13 10 - 8 -6.18
233 Central Michigan MAC 16 - 16 6 - 12 -6.33
234 Bowling Green MAC 13 - 19 7 - 11 -6.34
235 San Diego WCC 13 - 18 6 - 12 -6.41
236 Cal State Fullerton BW 17 - 15 10 - 6 -6.46
237 Lamar SLND 19 - 15 10 - 8 -6.48
238 LIU Brooklyn NEC 20 - 12 13 - 5 -6.48
239 Charlotte CUSA 13 - 17 7 - 11 -6.78
240 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 15 - 17 6 - 12 -6.79
241 Columbia IVY 11 - 16 5 - 9 -6.81
242 Tulane Amer 6 - 25 3 - 15 -6.82
243 North Florida ASUN 15 - 19 8 - 6 -6.87
244 Montana State BSky 16 - 16 11 - 7 -6.94
245 Army PAT 13 - 19 6 - 12 -6.99
246 South Alabama SUN 14 - 18 7 - 11 -7
247 SE Missouri State OVC 15 - 18 9 - 7 -7.08
248 Eastern Illinois OVC 14 - 15 6 - 10 -7.14
249 Wagner NEC 16 - 14 11 - 7 -7.17
250 Campbell BSth 19 - 18 7 - 11 -7.29
251 Texas San Antonio CUSA 14 - 19 8 - 10 -7.34
252 Oregon State PAC12 5 - 27 1 - 17 -7.42
253 Saint Francis Penn NEC 17 - 17 11 - 7 -7.48
254 Hawaii BW 14 - 16 8 - 8 -7.52
255 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 17 - 16 7 - 7 -7.54
256 Oral Roberts SUM 8 - 22 4 - 12 -7.59
257 Southeast Louisiana SLND 16 - 16 9 - 9 -7.77
258 High Point BSth 15 - 16 9 - 9 -7.81
259 Kennesaw St ASUN 14 - 18 7 - 7 -7.82
260 Milwaukee HOR 11 - 24 4 - 14 -8.06
261 Seattle WAC 13 - 17 5 - 9 -8.16
262 Drake MVC 7 - 24 5 - 13 -8.24
263 Cleveland State HOR 9 - 22 5 - 13 -8.29
264 Portland State BSky 15 - 16 7 - 11 -8.36
265 Portland WCC 11 - 22 2 - 16 -8.49
266 Niagara MAAC 10 - 23 6 - 14 -8.54
267 Tennessee Tech OVC 12 - 20 8 - 8 -8.65
268 Robert Morris NEC 14 - 19 9 - 9 -8.82
269 Delaware CAA 13 - 20 5 - 13 -8.84
270 UL Monroe SUN 9 - 24 2 - 16 -8.96
271 Colgate PAT 10 - 22 8 - 10 -8.97
272 Drexel CAA 9 - 23 3 - 15 -8.97
273 Brown IVY 13 - 17 4 - 10 -9.35
274 Alcorn State SWAC 18 - 14 13 - 5 -9.41
275 Youngstown State HOR 13 - 21 5 - 13 -9.49
276 Cornell IVY 8 - 21 4 - 10 -9.53
277 Miami OH MAC 11 - 21 4 - 14 -9.68
278 Radford BSth 14 - 18 8 - 10 -9.68
279 Eastern Kentucky OVC 12 - 19 5 - 11 -9.73
280 Florida Atlantic CUSA 10 - 20 6 - 12 -9.8
281 Appalachian State SUN 9 - 21 4 - 14 -9.83
282 Cal State Northridge BW 11 - 19 7 - 9 -9.87
283 Sacramento State BSky 13 - 18 9 - 9 -9.97
284 Pepperdine WCC 9 - 22 5 - 13 -10.02
285 South Florida Amer 7 - 23 1 - 17 -10.11
286 Manhattan MAAC 10 - 22 5 - 15 -10.21
287 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 11 - 19 9 - 9 -10.36
288 Bryant NEC 12 - 20 9 - 9 -10.53
289 Norfolk State MEAC 17 - 17 12 - 4 -10.57
290 Austin Peay OVC 11 - 19 7 - 9 -10.92
291 Northern Colorado BSky 11 - 18 7 - 11 -10.92
292 Florida International CUSA 7 - 24 3 - 15 -10.98
293 Quinnipiac MAAC 10 - 21 7 - 13 -11.11
294 UMass Lowell AE 11 - 20 5 - 11 -11.11
295 Jacksonville ASUN 17 - 16 5 - 9 -11.21
296 The Citadel SC 12 - 21 4 - 14 -11.25
297 Detroit HOR 8 - 23 6 - 12 -11.26
298 Cal Poly BW 11 - 20 6 - 10 -11.5
299 Sacred Heart NEC 13 - 19 8 - 10 -11.51
300 Dartmouth IVY 7 - 20 4 - 10 -11.54
301 Charleston Southern BSth 12 - 19 7 - 11 -11.58
302 NJ Tech ASUN 11 - 20 3 - 11 -11.64
303 Northwestern State SLND 13 - 16 7 - 11 -11.65
304 American PAT 8 - 22 5 - 13 -11.74
305 Western Illinois SUM 8 - 20 5 - 11 -11.91
306 Abilene Christian SLND 13 - 16 7 - 11 -12.12
307 Marist MAAC 8 - 24 5 - 15 -12.34
308 Texas Pan American WAC 10 - 22 2 - 12 -12.46
309 Incarnate Word SLND 12 - 17 7 - 11 -12.56
310 Hampton MEAC 14 - 17 11 - 5 -12.6
311 Savannah State MEAC 13 - 16 10 - 6 -12.94
312 UC Riverside BW 8 - 21 5 - 11 -13.14
313 Binghamton AE 12 - 20 3 - 13 -13.4
314 Prairie View SWAC 13 - 20 10 - 8 -13.41
315 Nicholls State SLND 14 - 17 7 - 11 -13.42
316 Central Arkansas SLND 8 - 24 7 - 11 -13.62
317 Southern Miss CUSA 9 - 22 6 - 12 -13.91
318 Western Carolina SC 9 - 23 4 - 14 -14.02
319 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 14 - 20 9 - 7 -14.09
320 Northern Arizona BSky 9 - 23 6 - 12 -14.18
321 North Texas CUSA 8 - 22 2 - 16 -14.27
322 Morgan State MEAC 14 - 16 11 - 5 -14.4
323 Stetson ASUN 11 - 21 3 - 11 -14.5
324 Grambling State SWAC 15 - 17 10 - 8 -14.56
325 Lafayette PAT 9 - 21 5 - 13 -14.62
326 Virginia Military Institute SC 6 - 24 3 - 15 -14.68
327 Mcneese State SLND 7 - 22 4 - 14 -14.73
328 Southern SWAC 15 - 18 10 - 8 -14.76
329 Jackson State SWAC 14 - 18 10 - 8 -14.9
330 UC Santa Barbara BW 6 - 22 4 - 12 -14.9
331 SIU Edwardsville OVC 6 - 24 1 - 15 -15.49
332 Hartford AE 9 - 23 4 - 12 -15.86
333 Chicago State WAC 6 - 26 1 - 13 -17.1
334 South Carolina State MEAC 11 - 20 7 - 9 -17.12
335 Maine AE 7 - 25 3 - 13 -17.25
336 Idaho State BSky 6 - 26 3 - 15 -17.74
337 Southern Utah BSky 6 - 27 3 - 15 -17.8
338 Howard MEAC 10 - 24 5 - 11 -18.36
339 Bethune Cookman MEAC 10 - 22 6 - 10 -19.35
340 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 7 - 25 7 - 11 -19.37
341 Delaware State MEAC 10 - 22 7 - 9 -19.37
342 Central Connecticut State NEC 6 - 23 4 - 14 -19.59
343 Alabama State SWAC 8 - 23 6 - 12 -20.34
344 Coppin State MEAC 8 - 24 7 - 9 -20.6
345 Longwood BSth 6 - 24 3 - 15 -21.02
346 Florida AM MEAC 7 - 23 5 - 11 -22.66
347 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 4 - 27 2 - 16 -22.85
348 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 7 - 25 6 - 12 -23.11
349 Presbyterian BSth 5 - 25 1 - 17 -23.72
350 North Carolina AT MEAC 3 - 29 1 - 15 -26.04
351 Alabama AM SWAC 2 - 27 2 - 16 -27.06