Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

2015-2016 PREDICTIONS

WEEK 1 -- 11-13 to 11-15

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Unranked 58		Abilene Christian 94 - Unranked 63
Alabama 81 - Kennesaw St 50	0.992	Alabama 77 - Kennesaw St 64	18
Arizona 83 - Pacific 54	0.984	Arizona 79 - Pacific 61	11
Arizona State 77 - Sacramento State 58	0.92	Arizona State 63 - Sacramento State 66	22
Arkansas 79 - Southern 56	0.953	Arkansas 86 - Southern 68	5
Army 83 - Unranked 56		Army 93 - Unranked 54
Auburn 72 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.601	Auburn 75 - Alabama Birmingham 74	2
Baylor 73 - Stephen F Austin 60	0.832	Baylor 97 - Stephen F Austin 55	-29
Bethune Cookman 75 - Unranked 55		Bethune Cookman 108 - Unranked 54
Boston 69 - Northeastern 65	0.607	Boston 84 - Northeastern 87	7
Bradley 70 - Ball State 62	0.754	Bradley 54 - Ball State 53	7
Brigham Young 82 - Utah Valley 57	0.964	Brigham Young 85 - Utah Valley 54	-6
Bucknell 85 - Unranked 49		Bucknell 107 - Unranked 61
Buffalo 90 - Unranked 50		Buffalo 109 - Unranked 49
California 78 - Rice 58	0.938	California 97 - Rice 65	-12
Campbell 77 - Unranked 55		Campbell 87 - Unranked 42
Central Connecticut State 63 - Hartford 64	0.502	Central Connecticut State 83 - Hartford 92	8
Central Michigan 70 - Jacksonville State 61	0.777	Central Michigan 89 - Jacksonville State 83	3
Charlotte 74 - Elon 64	0.772	Charlotte 74 - Elon 85	21
Chicago State 77 - Unranked 57		Chicago State 137 - Unranked 59
Cincinnati 78 - Western Carolina 55	0.971	Cincinnati 97 - Western Carolina 72	-2
Clemson 69 - North Carolina Central 57	0.816	Clemson 74 - North Carolina Central 40	-22
Coastal Carolina 67 - Nevada 66	0.501	Coastal Carolina 56 - Nevada 73	18
College of Charleston 72 - South Carolina State 53	0.904	College of Charleston 74 - South Carolina State 54	-1
Columbia 84 - Unranked 51		Columbia 107 - Unranked 62
Connecticut 86 - Maine 53	0.995	Connecticut 100 - Maine 56	-11
Dayton 80 - SE Missouri State 59	0.948	Dayton 84 - SE Missouri State 53	-10
Delaware State 64 - Delaware 70	0.685	Delaware State 56 - Delaware 62	0
Denver 66 - Milwaukee 63	0.568	Denver 58 - Milwaukee 71	16
Drake 85 - Unranked 53		Drake 97 - Unranked 52
Duke 86 - Siena 56	0.987	Duke 92 - Siena 74	12
Duquesne 88 - Unranked 55		Duquesne 96 - Unranked 71
East Carolina 80 - Grambling State 50	0.987	East Carolina 61 - Grambling State 53	22
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Coppin State 60	0.913	Eastern Kentucky 107 - Coppin State 80	-10
Eastern Michigan 62 - Vermont 63	0.518	Eastern Michigan 70 - Vermont 50	-21
Florida AM 75 - Unranked 59
Florida International 82 - Unranked 54		Florida International 71 - Unranked 39
Fresno State 71 - Pepperdine 64	0.692	Fresno State 69 - Pepperdine 66	4
Furman 66 - Presbyterian 58	0.703	Furman 63 - Presbyterian 53	-2
George Mason 74 - Colgate 62	0.848	George Mason 53 - Colgate 66	25
George Washington 77 - Lafayette 61	0.859	George Washington 85 - Lafayette 76	7
Georgia 77 - Chattanooga 58	0.934	Georgia 90 - Chattanooga 92	21
Georgia Southern 80 - Unranked 52		Georgia Southern 116 - Unranked 49
Georgia State 88 - Unranked 48		Georgia State 73 - Unranked 54
Georgia Tech 76 - Cornell 59	0.918	Georgia Tech 116 - Cornell 81	-18
Grand Canyon 71 - Portland State 67	0.645	Grand Canyon 82 - Portland State 72	-6
Harvard 89 - Unranked 46		Harvard 59 - Unranked 39
Hawaii 76 - Montana State 59	0.908	Hawaii 87 - Montana State 76	6
Hofstra 69 - Canisius 68	0.53	Hofstra 96 - Canisius 85	-10
Idaho State 77 - Unranked 56		Idaho State 78 - Unranked 72
Illinois Chicago 64 - San Francisco 72	0.732	Illinois Chicago 75 - San Francisco 78	-5
Incarnate Word 84 - Unranked 55		Incarnate Word 86 - Unranked 65
Indiana 82 - Eastern Illinois 57	0.969	Indiana 88 - Eastern Illinois 49	-14
Indiana State 77 - IUPUI 58	0.919	Indiana State 70 - IUPUI 72	21
Iowa 82 - Gardner Webb 59	0.959	Iowa 76 - Gardner Webb 59	6
Iowa State 78 - Colorado 71	0.7	Iowa State 68 - Colorado 62	1
Kansas 86 - Northern Colorado 55	0.99	Kansas 109 - Northern Colorado 72	-6
Kansas State 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	0.987	Kansas State 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	3
Kentucky 81 - Albany 54	0.984	Kentucky 78 - Albany 65	14
Lamar 79 - Unranked 56		Lamar 101 - Unranked 58
Liberty 77 - Unranked 56		Liberty 64 - Unranked 62
LIU Brooklyn 83 - Unranked 56
Longwood 77 - Unranked 60		Longwood 69 - Unranked 49
Louisiana State 80 - Mcneese State 58	0.959	Louisiana State 81 - Mcneese State 70	11
Louisiana Tech 90 - Unranked 49		Louisiana Tech 95 - Unranked 33
Louisville 86 - Samford 50	0.996	Louisville 86 - Samford 45	-5
Loyola Ill 72 - Texas San Antonio 64	0.744	Loyola Ill 76 - Texas San Antonio 64	-4
Loyola Marymount 73 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.747	Loyola Marymount 79 - Cal State Fullerton 74	3
Loyola MD 68 - Tennessee State 61	0.731	Loyola MD 71 - Tennessee State 86	22
Marist 66 - Holy Cross 65	0.509	Marist 64 - Holy Cross 67	4
Marquette 74 - Belmont 68	0.698	Marquette 80 - Belmont 83	9
Maryland 79 - Mt St Marys 58	0.95	Maryland 80 - Mt St Marys 56	-3
Mercer 85 - Unranked 48		Mercer 96 - Unranked 70
Miami 81 - Texas Pan American 50	0.991	Miami 86 - Texas Pan American 59	4
Michigan 95 - Unranked 46		Michigan 70 - Unranked 44
Michigan State 84 - Florida Atlantic 54	0.991	Michigan State 82 - Florida Atlantic 55	3
Minnesota 82 - UMKC 56	0.972	Minnesota 76 - UMKC 58	8
Mississippi 84 - Northwestern State 67	0.912	Mississippi 90 - Northwestern State 76	3
Mississippi State 75 - Eastern Washington 66	0.755	Mississippi State 106 - Eastern Washington 88	-9
Missouri 72 - Wofford 60	0.813	Missouri 83 - Wofford 74	3
Montana 65 - Boise State 69	0.644	Montana 74 - Boise State 72	-6
Morehead State 84 - Unranked 51		Morehead State 87 - Unranked 51
Murray State 90 - Unranked 48		Murray State 105 - Unranked 55
Navy 51 - Florida 77	0.978	Navy 41 - Florida 59	-8
NC State 80 - William and Mary 63	0.898	NC State 68 - William and Mary 85	34
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Cal Poly 58	0.86	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Cal Poly 72	12
New Hampshire 78 - Unranked 53		New Hampshire 82 - Unranked 45
New Mexico 76 - Texas Southern 57	0.94	New Mexico 86 - Texas Southern 57	-10
New Mexico State 80 - Houston Baptist 54	0.978	New Mexico State 91 - Houston Baptist 69	4
North Dakota 80 - Unranked 56		North Dakota 99 - Unranked 69
North Florida 63 - Illinois 74	0.788	North Florida 93 - Illinois 81	-23
North Texas 84 - Unranked 53		North Texas 112 - Unranked 82
Northern Illinois 69 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.663	Northern Illinois 83 - Cal State Northridge 71	-7
Northwestern 77 - UMass Lowell 55	0.942	Northwestern 79 - UMass Lowell 57	0
Notre Dame 82 - Saint Francis Penn 53	0.987	Notre Dame 87 - Saint Francis Penn 56	-2
Oklahoma State 83 - Tennessee Martin 57	0.976	Oklahoma State 91 - Tennessee Martin 57	-8
Old Dominion 74 - Niagara 59	0.891	Old Dominion 67 - Niagara 50	-2
Omaha 67 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.691	Omaha 59 - UC Santa Barbara 60	-6
Oral Roberts 69 - Missouri State 65	0.609	Oral Roberts 80 - Missouri State 65	-11
Oregon 83 - Jackson State 52	0.99	Oregon 80 - Jackson State 52	3
Pennsylvania 64 - Robert Morris 67	0.58	Pennsylvania 76 - Robert Morris 75	-4
Portland 86 - Unranked 53		Portland 98 - Unranked 81
Purdue 83 - North Carolina AT 53	0.988	Purdue 81 - North Carolina AT 40	-11
Rhode Island 69 - American 59	0.789	Rhode Island 65 - American 42	-13
Richmond 74 - James Madison 58	0.895	Richmond 75 - James Madison 87	28
Rider 66 - Princeton 67	0.513	Rider 56 - Princeton 64	7
Rutgers 87 - Unranked 52		Rutgers 72 - Unranked 59
Sacred Heart 64 - Quinnipiac 73	0.769	Sacred Heart 76 - Quinnipiac 64	-21
Saint Bonaventure 80 - Binghamton 53	0.982	Saint Bonaventure 63 - Binghamton 53	17
Saint Johns 78 - Wagner 60	0.896	Saint Johns 66 - Wagner 57	9
Saint Josephs 71 - Drexel 61	0.788	Saint Josephs 82 - Drexel 81	9
Saint Marys 91 - Unranked 46		Saint Marys 80 - Unranked 56
Saint Peters 66 - Brown 62	0.649	Saint Peters 77 - Brown 65	-8
San Diego State 73 - Illinois State 61	0.839	San Diego State 71 - Illinois State 60	1
Santa Clara 75 - Lipscomb 64	0.803	Santa Clara 63 - Lipscomb 65	13
Savannah State 76 - Unranked 52		Savannah State 87 - Unranked 69
Seattle 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.773	Seattle 56 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	13
Seton Hall 76 - Dartmouth 59	0.906	Seton Hall 84 - Dartmouth 67	0
SIU Edwardsville 65 - Arkansas State 67	0.568	SIU Edwardsville 79 - Arkansas State 70	-11
South Alabama 83 - Unranked 55		South Alabama 88 - Unranked 68
South Dakota 63 - Wright State 68	0.634	South Dakota 69 - Wright State 77	3
South Dakota State 88 - Unranked 50		South Dakota State 87 - Unranked 52
South Florida 73 - Troy 61	0.83	South Florida 77 - Troy 82	17
Southern California 70 - San Diego 65	0.665	Southern California 83 - San Diego 45	-33
Southern Illinois 69 - Air Force 65	0.621	Southern Illinois 77 - Air Force 75	2
Stanford 74 - Green Bay 63	0.802	Stanford 93 - Green Bay 89	7
Syracuse 79 - Lehigh 56	0.968	Syracuse 57 - Lehigh 47	13
Temple 69 - North Carolina 80	0.788	Temple 67 - North Carolina 91	13
Tennessee 79 - UNC Asheville 59	0.932	Tennessee 82 - UNC Asheville 78	16
Texas 75 - Washington 69	0.663	Texas 71 - Washington 77	12
Texas AM 72 - South Carolina Upstate 58	0.84	Texas AM 104 - South Carolina Upstate 64	-26
Texas AM CC 79 - Unranked 52		Texas AM CC 94 - Unranked 72
Texas Christian 75 - Southeast Louisiana 57	0.92	Texas Christian 90 - Southeast Louisiana 77	5
Texas Tech 71 - High Point 61	0.776	Texas Tech 77 - High Point 73	6
Tulane 72 - Alabama AM 55	0.911	Tulane 67 - Alabama AM 68	18
UC Davis 64 - North Dakota State 70	0.673	UC Davis 71 - North Dakota State 79	2
UC Irvine 85 - Unranked 49		UC Irvine 89 - Unranked 73
UCLA 81 - Monmouth 56	0.97	UCLA 81 - Monmouth 84	28
UL Lafayette 88 - Unranked 53		UL Lafayette 108 - Unranked 68
UL Monroe 79 - Unranked 52		UL Monroe 88 - Unranked 43
UNC Wilmington 81 - Unranked 54		UNC Wilmington 100 - Unranked 62
Utah 80 - Southern Utah 51	0.981	Utah 82 - Southern Utah 71	18
Valparaiso 72 - IPFW 61	0.789	Valparaiso 78 - IPFW 64	-3
Vanderbilt 81 - Austin Peay 57	0.971	Vanderbilt 80 - Austin Peay 41	-15
Villanova 88 - Fairleigh Dickinson 51	0.997	Villanova 91 - Fairleigh Dickinson 54	0
Virginia 81 - Morgan State 48	0.994	Virginia 86 - Morgan State 48	-5
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Prairie View 51	0.985	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Prairie View 50	7
Wake Forest 81 - UMBC 58	0.96	Wake Forest 78 - UMBC 73	18
Washington State 73 - Northern Arizona 61	0.813	Washington State 82 - Northern Arizona 70	0
Weber State 65 - Utah State 67	0.573	Weber State 70 - Utah State 73	1
West Virginia 81 - Northern Kentucky 56	0.945	West Virginia 107 - Northern Kentucky 61	-21
Wichita State 82 - Charleston Southern 55	0.981	Wichita State 88 - Charleston Southern 63	2
Wisconsin 83 - Western Illinois 46	0.997	Wisconsin 67 - Western Illinois 69	39
Wyoming 85 - Unranked 48		Wyoming 101 - Unranked 62
Xavier 79 - Miami OH 59	0.94	Xavier 81 - Miami OH 72	11
Yale 67 - Fairfield 59	0.739	Yale 70 - Fairfield 57	-5

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 66 - Cleveland State 65	0.539	Akron 65 - Cleveland State 53	-11
Appalachian State 69 - Jacksonville 64	0.635	Appalachian State 76 - Jacksonville 68	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 84 - Unranked 54		Arkansas Little Rock 76 - Unranked 57
Boston College 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.79	Boston College 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 49	-16
Bowling Green 74 - New Orleans 56	0.93	Bowling Green 79 - New Orleans 61	0
Butler 81 - The Citadel 50	0.989	Butler 144 - The Citadel 71	-42
Cal State Bakersfield 80 - Unranked 54		Cal State Bakersfield 93 - Unranked 69
Cal State Northridge 64 - Wright State 69	0.667	Cal State Northridge 72 - Wright State 67	-10
Creighton 79 - Texas Southern 58	0.94	Creighton 93 - Texas Southern 70	-2
Davidson 78 - Central Florida 66	0.787	Davidson 90 - Central Florida 85	7
DePaul 73 - Western Michigan 71	0.57	DePaul 69 - Western Michigan 63	-4
Duke 87 - Bryant 54	0.991	Duke 113 - Bryant 75	-5
East Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 53		East Tennessee State 107 - Unranked 59
Georgetown 81 - Radford 55	0.972	Georgetown 80 - Radford 82	28
Kent State 75 - Youngstown State 64	0.846	Kent State 79 - Youngstown State 70	2
Kentucky 86 - NJ Tech 51	0.997	Kentucky 87 - NJ Tech 57	5
La Salle 74 - Towson 59	0.907	La Salle 78 - Towson 76	13
Liberty 77 - Unranked 56		Liberty 90 - Unranked 52
Lipscomb 66 - Milwaukee 71	0.652	Lipscomb 65 - Milwaukee 71	1
Long Beach State 87 - Unranked 51		Long Beach State 91 - Unranked 57
Loyola Ill 84 - Unranked 52		Loyola Ill 84 - Unranked 51
Massachusetts 79 - Howard 54	0.979	Massachusetts 85 - Howard 79	19
Memphis 75 - Southern Miss 63	0.827	Memphis 67 - Southern Miss 49	-6
Montana State 75 - Unranked 58		Montana State 90 - Unranked 85
Nebraska 82 - Mississippi Valley State 53	0.984	Nebraska 97 - Mississippi Valley State 51	-17
Northern Illinois 68 - South Dakota 63	0.63	Northern Illinois 72 - South Dakota 65	-2
Northern Iowa 73 - Colorado State 66	0.704	Northern Iowa 78 - Colorado State 84	13
Ohio 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	0.672	Ohio 85 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	-3
Oregon State 89 - Unranked 50		Oregon State 74 - Unranked 52
Penn State 82 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.892	Penn State 62 - Virginia Military Institute 50	5
Providence 72 - Harvard 67	0.657	Providence 76 - Harvard 64	-7
San Jose State 66 - Idaho 70	0.647	San Jose State 54 - Idaho 74	16
Santa Clara 67 - Denver 64	0.585	Santa Clara 33 - Denver 55	25
South Carolina 74 - Norfolk State 60	0.852	South Carolina 84 - Norfolk State 69	-1
Southern Methodist 71 - Sam Houston State 56	0.911	Southern Methodist 85 - Sam Houston State 50	-20
Stony Brook 84 - Unranked 49		Stony Brook 103 - Unranked 32
Tennessee Tech 82 - Unranked 54		Tennessee Tech 110 - Unranked 72
Texas Arlington 74 - Fordham 68	0.671	Texas Arlington 77 - Fordham 72	1
Texas El Paso 87 - Unranked 47		Texas El Paso 96 - Unranked 49
Toledo 88 - Unranked 52		Toledo 96 - Unranked 65
Tulsa 83 - Central Arkansas 54	0.988	Tulsa 98 - Central Arkansas 81	12
UC Riverside 80 - Unranked 54		UC Riverside 100 - Unranked 68
UNC Greensboro 81 - Unranked 57		UNC Greensboro 86 - Unranked 69
Unranked 66 - Grambling State 65		Unranked 26 - Grambling State 85
Utah Valley 78 - Unranked 53		Utah Valley 89 - Unranked 60
Virginia Tech 74 - Alabama State 58	0.916	Virginia Tech 82 - Alabama State 85	19
Western Kentucky 85 - Unranked 51		Western Kentucky 97 - Unranked 77
Winthrop 67 - Hampton 62	0.66	Winthrop 102 - Hampton 95	-2

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Binghamton 63 - Army 69	0.671	Binghamton 60 - Army 75	9
Bucknell 71 - Wake Forest 68	0.587	Bucknell 82 - Wake Forest 90	11
Cincinnati 74 - Robert Morris 56	0.905	Cincinnati 106 - Robert Morris 44	-44
Clemson 77 - Texas San Antonio 58	0.933	Clemson 78 - Texas San Antonio 45	-14
Eastern Washington 85 - Unranked 55		Eastern Washington 126 - Unranked 64
Evansville 76 - SE Missouri State 64	0.826	Evansville 80 - SE Missouri State 65	-3
Florida State 81 - Nicholls State 54	0.984	Florida State 109 - Nicholls State 62	-20
Hawaii 71 - Coastal Carolina 64	0.69	Hawaii 74 - Coastal Carolina 63	-4
High Point 82 - Unranked 52		High Point 93 - Unranked 69
Iowa 88 - Coppin State 58	0.984	Iowa 103 - Coppin State 68	-5
Jacksonville State 78 - Unranked 53		Jacksonville State 81 - Unranked 68
Lafayette 68 - Saint Peters 62	0.647	Lafayette 87 - Saint Peters 86	5
Lipscomb 62 - Denver 70	0.723	Lipscomb 69 - Denver 82	5
Minnesota 79 - UL Monroe 56	0.962	Minnesota 67 - UL Monroe 56	12
Missouri 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.976	Missouri 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	8
Montana State 61 - Nevada 72	0.791	Montana State 62 - Nevada 83	10
NC State 83 - South Alabama 59	0.966	NC State 88 - South Alabama 70	6
New Mexico State 67 - New Mexico 68	0.504	New Mexico State 74 - New Mexico 83	8
North Carolina 83 - Fairfield 55	0.987	North Carolina 92 - Fairfield 65	1
North Dakota State 65 - Illinois 68	0.582	North Dakota State 74 - Illinois 80	3
Northern Illinois 61 - Wright State 62	0.506	Northern Illinois 65 - Wright State 59	-7
Ohio State 82 - Mt St Marys 54	0.983	Ohio State 76 - Mt St Marys 54	6
Omaha 85 - Unranked 60		Omaha 104 - Unranked 58
Pennsylvania 71 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.786	Pennsylvania 77 - Central Connecticut State 61	-6
Purdue 74 - Vermont 63	0.814	Purdue 107 - Vermont 79	-17
Richmond 79 - Stetson 53	0.979	Richmond 108 - Stetson 85	3
Rutgers 75 - Howard 55	0.928	Rutgers 82 - Howard 70	8
Saint Josephs 78 - Niagara 60	0.917	Saint Josephs 73 - Niagara 62	7
Saint Louis 73 - Hartford 55	0.929	Saint Louis 85 - Hartford 68	1
Santa Clara 71 - Milwaukee 65	0.651	Santa Clara 65 - Milwaukee 71	12
Seattle 67 - Sacramento State 62	0.634	Seattle 65 - Sacramento State 77	17
Seton Hall 75 - Wagner 61	0.862	Seton Hall 69 - Wagner 59	4
South Dakota 70 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.518	South Dakota 76 - Cal State Northridge 72	-3
Southern Illinois 76 - Florida AM 55	0.959	Southern Illinois 81 - Florida AM 51	-9
Stanford 80 - Charleston Southern 59	0.937	Stanford 93 - Charleston Southern 59	-13
Troy 81 - Unranked 56		Troy 97 - Unranked 82
UC Davis 69 - Portland 70	0.548	UC Davis 79 - Portland 66	-14
UC Irvine 72 - Loyola Marymount 62	0.771	UC Irvine 77 - Loyola Marymount 53	-14
UCLA 77 - Cal Poly 56	0.926	UCLA 88 - Cal Poly 83	16
Unranked 59 - UMKC 76		Unranked 59 - UMKC 73
Valparaiso 71 - Iona 70	0.558	Valparaiso 83 - Iona 58	-24
Western Carolina 70 - UNC Asheville 67	0.588	Western Carolina 90 - UNC Asheville 81	-6
Western Illinois 76 - Unranked 52		Western Illinois 94 - Unranked 57
Wisconsin 84 - Siena 53	0.991	Wisconsin 92 - Siena 65	4

Number of DI Games: 183
Number Correct: 147 = 80.3%
Expected Number Correct: 149.955 = 81.9%
Average Error: 10.26
Average Signed Error: 1.31

WEEK 2 -- 11-16 to 11-22

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 71 - Tennessee Tech 64	0.721	Air Force 80 - Tennessee Tech 70	-3
Akron 92 - Unranked 48		Akron 100 - Unranked 30
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Alabama State 65	0.811	Alabama Birmingham 72 - Alabama State 70	8
Arizona 83 - Bradley 53	0.992	Arizona 90 - Bradley 60	0
Arizona State 72 - Belmont 70	0.537	Arizona State 83 - Belmont 74	-7
Arkansas State 83 - Unranked 56		Arkansas State 81 - Unranked 37
Ball State 68 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.662	Ball State 73 - Eastern Illinois 56	-12
Boise State 77 - Northern Arizona 60	0.914	Boise State 101 - Northern Arizona 81	-3
Boston 69 - Albany 70	0.547	Boston 69 - Albany 64	-6
Brown 65 - Holy Cross 67	0.551	Brown 71 - Holy Cross 55	-18
California 75 - UC Santa Barbara 63	0.807	California 85 - UC Santa Barbara 67	-6
Canisius 71 - Lehigh 66	0.669	Canisius 98 - Lehigh 89	-4
Chattanooga 92 - Unranked 55		Chattanooga 94 - Unranked 55
Colgate 76 - Cornell 64	0.855	Colgate 98 - Cornell 101	15
Detroit 90 - Unranked 55		Detroit 88 - Unranked 65
Duquesne 78 - New Orleans 61	0.881	Duquesne 95 - New Orleans 75	-3
East Carolina 71 - Charlotte 67	0.619	East Carolina 88 - Charlotte 74	-10
Fairleigh Dickinson 82 - Unranked 60		Fairleigh Dickinson 111 - Unranked 70
Florida 83 - North Carolina AT 44	0.998	Florida 104 - North Carolina AT 54	-11
Florida Gulf Coast 86 - Unranked 55		Florida Gulf Coast 85 - Unranked 62
Florida International 83 - Unranked 56		Florida International 67 - Unranked 51
Fresno State 77 - Lamar 59	0.942	Fresno State 80 - Lamar 72	10
George Washington 63 - Virginia 70	0.724	George Washington 73 - Virginia 68	-12
Georgia Tech 72 - Tennessee 68	0.617	Georgia Tech 69 - Tennessee 67	2
Hawaii 71 - Nevada 69	0.571	Hawaii 76 - Nevada 75	1
Hofstra 92 - Unranked 54		Hofstra 96 - Unranked 64
Houston Baptist 80 - Unranked 62		Houston Baptist 102 - Unranked 62
Idaho State 81 - Unranked 57		Idaho State 110 - Unranked 85
Illinois State 73 - Morehead State 63	0.772	Illinois State 67 - Morehead State 66	9
Incarnate Word 86 - Unranked 58		Incarnate Word 73 - Unranked 49
Indiana 87 - Austin Peay 54	0.993	Indiana 102 - Austin Peay 76	7
Indiana State 65 - Wyoming 68	0.604	Indiana State 70 - Wyoming 55	-18
Iowa State 88 - Chicago State 51	0.996	Iowa State 106 - Chicago State 64	-5
IPFW 89 - Unranked 53		IPFW 85 - Unranked 53
Jacksonville State 83 - Unranked 56		Jacksonville State 96 - Unranked 60
James Madison 67 - West Virginia 74	0.69	James Madison 73 - West Virginia 86	6
Kansas State 76 - Columbia 57	0.915	Kansas State 81 - Columbia 71	9
Long Beach State 69 - Brigham Young 75	0.657	Long Beach State 66 - Brigham Young 65	-7
Longwood 80 - Unranked 61		Longwood 89 - Unranked 65
Louisiana State 83 - Kennesaw St 55	0.983	Louisiana State 91 - Kennesaw St 69	6
Loyola MD 70 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.507	Loyola MD 68 - LIU Brooklyn 71	4
Marquette 77 - IUPUI 62	0.901	Marquette 75 - IUPUI 71	11
Mercer 70 - George Mason 61	0.791	Mercer 69 - George Mason 60	0
Miami 77 - UL Lafayette 64	0.855	Miami 93 - UL Lafayette 77	-3
Michigan 76 - Elon 61	0.9	Michigan 88 - Elon 68	-5
Mississippi 76 - Georgia Southern 59	0.93	Mississippi 82 - Georgia Southern 72	7
Mississippi State 76 - Southern 60	0.887	Mississippi State 72 - Southern 76	20
Navy 61 - College of Charleston 65	0.644	Navy 58 - College of Charleston 72	10
Nevada Las Vegas 94 - Unranked 50		Nevada Las Vegas 107 - Unranked 45
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 52		North Carolina Central 78 - Unranked 54
North Florida 81 - Texas Pan American 58	0.952	North Florida 106 - Texas Pan American 84	1
North Texas 85 - Unranked 56		North Texas 110 - Unranked 61
Northwestern State 90 - Unranked 59		Northwestern State 97 - Unranked 99
Ohio 75 - Tennessee State 61	0.875	Ohio 75 - Tennessee State 67	6
Oklahoma State 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	0.987	Oklahoma State 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 72	16
Old Dominion 66 - Buffalo 67	0.503	Old Dominion 77 - Buffalo 58	-20
Oregon 71 - Baylor 75	0.595	Oregon 74 - Baylor 67	-11
Pepperdine 86 - Unranked 54		Pepperdine 91 - Unranked 49
Portland State 84 - Unranked 58		Portland State 105 - Unranked 60
Presbyterian 59 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.745	Presbyterian 74 - South Carolina Upstate 73	-11
Saint Johns 81 - UMBC 54	0.982	Saint Johns 75 - UMBC 53	5
Saint Marys 72 - Manhattan 62	0.771	Saint Marys 89 - Manhattan 63	-16
Samford 82 - Unranked 58		Samford 94 - Unranked 79
San Francisco 77 - Rice 63	0.881	San Francisco 80 - Rice 54	-12
San Jose State 57 - Montana 74	0.933	San Jose State 64 - Montana 61	-20
Savannah State 62 - Campbell 60	0.553	Savannah State 59 - Campbell 57	0
South Carolina 74 - Oral Roberts 66	0.757	South Carolina 84 - Oral Roberts 66	-10
South Carolina State 76 - Unranked 61		South Carolina State 113 - Unranked 69
South Dakota State 76 - Weber State 61	0.849	South Dakota State 85 - Weber State 68	-2
South Florida 70 - NJ Tech 67	0.583	South Florida 57 - NJ Tech 60	6
Southern California 75 - Monmouth 64	0.773	Southern California 101 - Monmouth 90	0
Tennessee Martin 71 - Bethune Cookman 59	0.839	Tennessee Martin 79 - Bethune Cookman 86	19
Texas AM 83 - Southeast Louisiana 55	0.978	Texas AM 100 - Southeast Louisiana 58	-14
Texas State 82 - Unranked 53		Texas State 84 - Unranked 49
Towson 75 - Morgan State 62	0.898	Towson 69 - Morgan State 61	5
Tulane 66 - Drake 65	0.526	Tulane 79 - Drake 74	-4
UNC Wilmington 69 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.506	UNC Wilmington 78 - Eastern Kentucky 59	-18
Utah 67 - San Diego State 68	0.514	Utah 81 - San Diego State 76	-6
Vanderbilt 78 - Gardner Webb 55	0.978	Vanderbilt 98 - Gardner Webb 62	-13
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Radford 60	0.929	Virginia Commonwealth 92 - Radford 74	1
Yale 74 - Sacred Heart 60	0.875	Yale 99 - Sacred Heart 77	-8

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Unranked 60		Abilene Christian 70 - Unranked 56
American 69 - Hampton 62	0.744	American 48 - Hampton 61	20
Appalachian State 67 - Furman 60	0.674	Appalachian State 70 - Furman 79	16
Auburn 71 - Colorado 72	0.512	Auburn 84 - Colorado 91	6
Cal State Bakersfield 66 - Idaho 68	0.554	Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Idaho 45	-25
Central Michigan 91 - Unranked 55		Central Michigan 79 - Unranked 64
Cleveland State 89 - Unranked 51		Cleveland State 62 - Unranked 46
Connecticut 78 - New Hampshire 54	0.966	Connecticut 85 - New Hampshire 66	5
Creighton 83 - Texas San Antonio 60	0.979	Creighton 103 - Texas San Antonio 78	-2
Dayton 72 - Alabama 64	0.765	Dayton 80 - Alabama 48	-24
Delaware State 64 - Pennsylvania 66	0.547	Delaware State 54 - Pennsylvania 60	4
Duke 73 - Kentucky 76	0.591	Duke 63 - Kentucky 74	8
East Tennessee State 66 - Green Bay 73	0.742	East Tennessee State 103 - Green Bay 90	-20
Evansville 92 - Unranked 53		Evansville 84 - Unranked 59
Florida Atlantic 84 - Unranked 57		Florida Atlantic 72 - Unranked 75
Florida State 84 - Jacksonville 54	0.99	Florida State 98 - Jacksonville 79	11
Fordham 86 - Unranked 57		Fordham 76 - Unranked 57
Grand Canyon 87 - Unranked 56		Grand Canyon 88 - Unranked 72
Harvard 73 - Massachusetts 67	0.698	Harvard 63 - Massachusetts 69	12
La Salle 74 - Rider 61	0.894	La Salle 73 - Rider 60	0
Liberty 57 - William and Mary 78	0.913	Liberty 59 - William and Mary 70	-10
Lipscomb 86 - Unranked 59		Lipscomb 96 - Unranked 69
Louisiana Tech 76 - Texas Arlington 65	0.796	Louisiana Tech 80 - Texas Arlington 68	-1
Louisville 86 - Hartford 50	0.998	Louisville 87 - Hartford 52	1
Marist 67 - Dartmouth 66	0.529	Marist 73 - Dartmouth 63	-9
Maryland 75 - Georgetown 66	0.746	Maryland 75 - Georgetown 71	5
Mcneese State 83 - Unranked 56		Mcneese State 70 - Unranked 73
Memphis 69 - Oklahoma 72	0.598	Memphis 78 - Oklahoma 84	3
Miami OH 89 - Unranked 55		Miami OH 68 - Unranked 47
Michigan State 72 - Kansas 75	0.608	Michigan State 79 - Kansas 73	-9
Murray State 72 - Middle Tennessee 62	0.76	Murray State 76 - Middle Tennessee 65	-1
Norfolk State 86 - Unranked 56		Norfolk State 78 - Unranked 58
Northeastern 91 - Unranked 52		Northeastern 91 - Unranked 62
Northern Colorado 88 - Unranked 59		Northern Colorado 85 - Unranked 70
Northern Iowa 74 - Stephen F Austin 64	0.79	Northern Iowa 70 - Stephen F Austin 60	0
Northern Kentucky 83 - Unranked 58		Northern Kentucky 83 - Unranked 71
Notre Dame 80 - Milwaukee 62	0.923	Notre Dame 86 - Milwaukee 78	10
Ohio State 90 - Grambling State 43	0.999	Ohio State 82 - Grambling State 55	20
Omaha 74 - UMKC 66	0.748	Omaha 95 - UMKC 89	2
Oregon State 74 - Iona 66	0.704	Oregon State 93 - Iona 73	-12
Pacific 77 - Cal State Fullerton 63	0.869	Pacific 76 - Cal State Fullerton 77	15
Penn State 73 - DePaul 65	0.743	Penn State 68 - DePaul 62	2
Pittsburgh 94 - Unranked 47		Pittsburgh 84 - Unranked 43
Rhode Island 68 - Valparaiso 67	0.52	Rhode Island 55 - Valparaiso 58	4
Saint Francis Brooklyn 84 - Unranked 54		Saint Francis Brooklyn 93 - Unranked 67
Saint Francis Penn 82 - Unranked 56		Saint Francis Penn 103 - Unranked 72
Sam Houston State 85 - Unranked 53		Sam Houston State 114 - Unranked 92
Southern Miss 70 - Jackson State 59	0.831	Southern Miss 60 - Jackson State 78	29
Syracuse 74 - Saint Bonaventure 59	0.906	Syracuse 79 - Saint Bonaventure 66	2
The Citadel 72 - Stetson 71	0.526	The Citadel 94 - Stetson 93	0
Tulsa 65 - Wichita State 73	0.763	Tulsa 77 - Wichita State 67	-18
UNC Greensboro 83 - Unranked 58		UNC Greensboro 81 - Unranked 60
Utah State 91 - Unranked 50		Utah State 83 - Unranked 68
Villanova 78 - Nebraska 62	0.875	Villanova 87 - Nebraska 63	-8
Virginia Military Institute 86 - Unranked 59		Virginia Military Institute 88 - Unranked 76
Western Illinois 74 - Illinois Chicago 60	0.827	Western Illinois 84 - Illinois Chicago 57	-13
Western Michigan 73 - San Diego 62	0.779	Western Michigan 74 - San Diego 62	-1
Winthrop 87 - Unranked 55		Winthrop 106 - Unranked 78
Wisconsin 86 - North Dakota 54	0.989	Wisconsin 78 - North Dakota 64	18
Xavier 75 - Missouri 68	0.743	Xavier 78 - Missouri 66	-5

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 80 - Kennesaw St 56	0.948	Arizona State 91 - Kennesaw St 53	-14
Arkansas 75 - Akron 67	0.75	Arkansas 80 - Akron 88	16
Arkansas Little Rock 86 - Unranked 55		Arkansas Little Rock 95 - Unranked 49
Austin Peay 63 - IPFW 73	0.775	Austin Peay 77 - IPFW 80	-7
Belmont 77 - Western Kentucky 65	0.849	Belmont 90 - Western Kentucky 85	7
Bowling Green 61 - Cincinnati 73	0.792	Bowling Green 50 - Cincinnati 83	21
Bryant 86 - Unranked 58		Bryant 82 - Unranked 69
Cal Poly 87 - Unranked 53		Cal Poly 71 - Unranked 62
Cal State Northridge 86 - Unranked 58		Cal State Northridge 72 - Unranked 52
Central Florida 67 - UC Irvine 70	0.587	Central Florida 60 - UC Irvine 61	-2
Charleston Southern 86 - Unranked 57		Charleston Southern 97 - Unranked 65
Chicago State 78 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 105 - Unranked 64
Coastal Carolina 82 - Unranked 54		Coastal Carolina 104 - Unranked 67
Coppin State 83 - Unranked 63		Coppin State 80 - Unranked 73
Cornell 73 - Binghamton 62	0.829	Cornell 76 - Binghamton 59	-6
Denver 72 - Utah Valley 53	0.919	Denver 75 - Utah Valley 62	6
Drexel 72 - High Point 65	0.73	Drexel 66 - High Point 75	16
Eastern Washington 76 - Seattle 66	0.781	Eastern Washington 76 - Seattle 70	4
Elon 89 - Unranked 53		Elon 84 - Unranked 57
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Army 72	0.659	Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - Army 96	7
Florida AM 75 - Unranked 63		Florida AM 70 - Unranked 68
Gonzaga 81 - Northern Arizona 55	0.98	Gonzaga 91 - Northern Arizona 52	-13
Houston 74 - Prairie View 60	0.825	Houston 110 - Prairie View 69	-27
NC State 80 - IUPUI 61	0.932	NC State 79 - IUPUI 56	-4
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Southern Utah 60	0.952	Nevada Las Vegas 84 - Southern Utah 64	0
New Mexico 77 - Loyola Ill 60	0.939	New Mexico 75 - Loyola Ill 51	-7
New Mexico State 75 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.879	New Mexico State 76 - Tennessee Tech 63	1
Niagara 69 - Brown 65	0.65	Niagara 75 - Brown 66	-5
North Carolina 84 - Wofford 60	0.976	North Carolina 78 - Wofford 58	4
North Carolina AT 76 - Unranked 58		North Carolina AT 87 - Unranked 94
North Dakota State 91 - Unranked 50		North Dakota State 69 - Unranked 49
North Florida 92 - Unranked 53		North Florida 98 - Unranked 69
Northwestern 75 - Fairfield 58	0.938	Northwestern 79 - Fairfield 72	10
Oakland 71 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.504	Oakland 91 - Eastern Michigan 81	-9
Old Dominion 76 - Morgan State 55	0.969	Old Dominion 79 - Morgan State 48	-10
Presbyterian 75 - Unranked 59		Presbyterian 116 - Unranked 75
Providence 76 - Illinois 68	0.717	Providence 60 - Illinois 59	7
Purdue 85 - Incarnate Word 61	0.979	Purdue 96 - Incarnate Word 61	-11
Radford 89 - Unranked 54		Radford 68 - Unranked 60
Robert Morris 69 - Bucknell 68	0.517	Robert Morris 76 - Bucknell 81	6
Saint Josephs 70 - Buffalo 71	0.533	Saint Josephs 89 - Buffalo 67	-23
San Diego State 96 - Unranked 44		San Diego State 71 - Unranked 61
Savannah State 62 - Arkansas State 65	0.594	Savannah State 76 - Arkansas State 75	-4
SIU Edwardsville 63 - Saint Louis 69	0.697	SIU Edwardsville 60 - Saint Louis 70	4
Southeast Louisiana 83 - Unranked 59		Southeast Louisiana 76 - Unranked 69
Southern Illinois 67 - Kent State 68	0.549	Southern Illinois 72 - Kent State 69	-4
Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 55		Tennessee State 72 - Unranked 50
UC Davis 88 - Unranked 55		UC Davis 76 - Unranked 46
UMass Lowell 66 - Sacred Heart 70	0.615	UMass Lowell 87 - Sacred Heart 84	-7
UMBC 67 - Loyola MD 65	0.557	UMBC 57 - Loyola MD 76	21
UNC Asheville 87 - Unranked 59		UNC Asheville 84 - Unranked 51
Valparaiso 94 - Unranked 47		Valparaiso 78 - Unranked 40
Vermont 71 - Quinnipiac 63	0.742	Vermont 83 - Quinnipiac 70	-5
Virginia Tech 72 - Jacksonville State 62	0.811	Virginia Tech 71 - Jacksonville State 62	1
Wake Forest 72 - Richmond 71	0.55	Wake Forest 82 - Richmond 91	10
Youngstown State 69 - Toledo 76	0.715	Youngstown State 78 - Toledo 100	15

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 80 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.957	Air Force 65 - Mississippi Valley State 64	21
Alabama AM 68 - SE Missouri State 67	0.535	Alabama AM 74 - SE Missouri State 56	-17
Albany 72 - Colgate 63	0.755	Albany 88 - Colgate 67	-12
Arizona 80 - Boise State 62	0.907	Arizona 88 - Boise State 76	6
Boston College 83 - Central Connecticut State 53	0.997	Boston College 82 - Central Connecticut State 57	5
Bradley 53 - Virginia 76	0.979	Bradley 57 - Virginia 82	2
Butler 80 - Missouri State 61	0.899	Butler 93 - Missouri State 59	-15
Charlotte 72 - Furman 62	0.79	Charlotte 77 - Furman 68	1
Clemson 80 - Texas Southern 55	0.976	Clemson 76 - Texas Southern 56	5
Colorado State 85 - Loyola Marymount 60	0.981	Colorado State 83 - Loyola Marymount 75	17
Fresno State 73 - San Francisco 68	0.68	Fresno State 78 - San Francisco 71	-2
Gardner Webb 84 - Unranked 54		Gardner Webb 125 - Unranked 79
George Mason 61 - Mississippi 77	0.918	George Mason 68 - Mississippi 62	-22
Georgia State 91 - Unranked 48		Georgia State 77 - Unranked 58
Georgia Tech 75 - Green Bay 70	0.653	Georgia Tech 107 - Green Bay 77	-25
Grand Canyon 77 - Alcorn State 59	0.949	Grand Canyon 79 - Alcorn State 46	-15
Holy Cross 67 - New Hampshire 61	0.699	Holy Cross 69 - New Hampshire 73	10
Illinois State 71 - South Dakota State 69	0.54	Illinois State 67 - South Dakota State 83	18
Indiana 78 - Creighton 69	0.738	Indiana 86 - Creighton 65	-12
Lehigh 65 - Yale 68	0.597	Lehigh 67 - Yale 79	9
LIU Brooklyn 77 - Maine 64	0.867	LIU Brooklyn 84 - Maine 79	8
Long Beach State 66 - Seton Hall 71	0.661	Long Beach State 80 - Seton Hall 77	-8
Louisiana State 83 - South Alabama 61	0.973	Louisiana State 78 - South Alabama 66	10
Marquette 70 - Iowa 74	0.625	Marquette 61 - Iowa 89	24
Massachusetts 86 - Central Arkansas 59	0.984	Massachusetts 89 - Central Arkansas 62	0
Memphis 85 - Grambling State 47	0.997	Memphis 83 - Grambling State 65	20
Mercer 71 - Alabama State 62	0.784	Mercer 70 - Alabama State 49	-12
Miami 73 - Mississippi State 67	0.682	Miami 105 - Mississippi State 79	-20
Nebraska 78 - Delaware State 54	0.969	Nebraska 75 - Delaware State 60	9
New Orleans 80 - Unranked 60		New Orleans 94 - Unranked 57
Nicholls State 79 - Unranked 61		Nicholls State 80 - Unranked 58
NJ Tech 71 - Boston 70	0.564	NJ Tech 90 - Boston 76	-13
Northwestern State 72 - UL Monroe 68	0.648	Northwestern State 64 - UL Monroe 80	20
Oklahoma State 81 - Towson 61	0.952	Oklahoma State 69 - Towson 52	3
Rice 62 - Oregon State 73	0.793	Rice 69 - Oregon State 77	-3
Saint Johns 75 - Rutgers 64	0.799	Saint Johns 61 - Rutgers 59	9
Saint Peters 71 - Hartford 61	0.838	Saint Peters 66 - Hartford 67	11
South Carolina Upstate 70 - Navy 60	0.75	South Carolina Upstate 55 - Navy 67	22
South Florida 62 - George Washington 73	0.811	South Florida 67 - George Washington 73	-5
Southern 67 - Tulane 62	0.664	Southern 90 - Tulane 82	-3
Stanford 73 - Southern Methodist 69	0.637	Stanford 70 - Southern Methodist 85	19
Temple 68 - Minnesota 74	0.707	Temple 75 - Minnesota 70	-11
Tennessee 78 - Marshall 59	0.896	Tennessee 84 - Marshall 74	9
Texas AM 78 - Texas AM CC 54	0.955	Texas AM 95 - Texas AM CC 70	-1
Texas Christian 83 - Houston Baptist 57	0.983	Texas Christian 90 - Houston Baptist 63	-1
Texas Tech 64 - Utah 73	0.728	Texas Tech 63 - Utah 73	1
The Citadel 80 - Unranked 63		The Citadel 132 - Unranked 60
Troy 69 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.644	Troy 63 - Alabama Birmingham 79	12
UC Riverside 67 - Santa Clara 62	0.682	UC Riverside 77 - Santa Clara 63	-9
UCLA 80 - Pepperdine 63	0.908	UCLA 81 - Pepperdine 67	3
Valparaiso 94 - Unranked 47		Valparaiso 89 - Unranked 42
Vanderbilt 74 - Stony Brook 58	0.926	Vanderbilt 79 - Stony Brook 72	9
Washington 83 - Mt St Marys 61	0.959	Washington 100 - Mt St Marys 67	-11
Weber State 87 - Unranked 54		Weber State 90 - Unranked 47
William and Mary 94 - Unranked 49		William and Mary 85 - Unranked 60
Wyoming 89 - Unranked 47		Wyoming 83 - Unranked 67

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 75 - UL Lafayette 64	0.793	Alabama 105 - UL Lafayette 93	-1
Arkansas 84 - Charleston Southern 60	0.975	Arkansas 93 - Charleston Southern 75	6
Auburn 72 - Georgia Southern 62	0.81	Auburn 92 - Georgia Southern 62	-20
Baylor 86 - Jackson State 48	0.994	Baylor 77 - Jackson State 60	21
Bradley 61 - Seton Hall 73	0.852	Bradley 59 - Seton Hall 67	-4
Brigham Young 98 - Unranked 52		Brigham Young 97 - Unranked 56
Bryant 72 - Prairie View 65	0.721	Bryant 71 - Prairie View 58	-6
Butler 77 - Temple 68	0.722	Butler 74 - Temple 69	4
Cal State Bakersfield 82 - Unranked 54		Cal State Bakersfield 81 - Unranked 68
California 79 - East Carolina 60	0.909	California 70 - East Carolina 62	11
Colorado 79 - Portland 62	0.902	Colorado 85 - Portland 63	-5
DePaul 68 - South Carolina 73	0.64	DePaul 61 - South Carolina 76	10
Duke 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.698	Duke 79 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	-1
Duquesne 67 - Penn State 72	0.636	Duquesne 78 - Penn State 52	-31
Eastern Kentucky 76 - Ball State 61	0.914	Eastern Kentucky 89 - Ball State 81	7
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 48		Eastern Michigan 79 - Unranked 34
Florida Atlantic 63 - Northeastern 75	0.844	Florida Atlantic 58 - Northeastern 60	-10
Florida State 77 - Hofstra 68	0.746	Florida State 77 - Hofstra 82	14
Georgetown 66 - Wisconsin 75	0.724	Georgetown 71 - Wisconsin 61	-19
Georgia 72 - Murray State 69	0.603	Georgia 63 - Murray State 52	-8
Hampton 69 - Appalachian State 65	0.627	Hampton 82 - Appalachian State 61	-17
Howard 81 - Unranked 59		Howard 106 - Unranked 64
Indiana State 72 - Norfolk State 67	0.663	Indiana State 70 - Norfolk State 61	-4
Iona 73 - Delaware 67	0.694	Iona 92 - Delaware 77	-9
Jacksonville 80 - Unranked 59		Jacksonville 81 - Unranked 63
James Madison 75 - Florida International 58	0.892	James Madison 64 - Florida International 61	14
Kansas State 81 - South Dakota 58	0.964	Kansas State 93 - South Dakota 72	2
Kentucky 84 - Wright State 53	0.995	Kentucky 78 - Wright State 63	16
Longwood 68 - South Carolina State 63	0.643	Longwood 77 - South Carolina State 83	11
Maryland 79 - Rider 57	0.984	Maryland 65 - Rider 58	15
Miami OH 77 - Lipscomb 65	0.841	Miami OH 70 - Lipscomb 68	10
Michigan 71 - Xavier 68	0.605	Michigan 70 - Xavier 86	19
Michigan State 83 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.994	Michigan State 92 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 46	-14
Milwaukee 90 - Unranked 52		Milwaukee 85 - Unranked 61
Missouri State 61 - Minnesota 77	0.938	Missouri State 69 - Minnesota 74	-11
Montana State 69 - San Jose State 62	0.736	Montana State 81 - San Jose State 69	-5
Northern Arizona 85 - Unranked 55		Northern Arizona 90 - Unranked 57
Northwestern 73 - Columbia 59	0.833	Northwestern 83 - Columbia 80	11
Ohio 68 - Tulsa 71	0.57	Ohio 88 - Tulsa 90	-1
Ohio State 83 - Texas Arlington 60	0.971	Ohio State 68 - Texas Arlington 73	28
Oklahoma 84 - Mcneese State 54	0.986	Oklahoma 85 - Mcneese State 56	1
Oklahoma State 80 - George Mason 59	0.955	Oklahoma State 68 - George Mason 71	24
Oregon 84 - Savannah State 50	0.996	Oregon 77 - Savannah State 59	16
Pittsburgh 78 - Detroit 62	0.873	Pittsburgh 95 - Detroit 79	0
Radford 72 - Siena 69	0.605	Radford 62 - Siena 76	17
Sacramento State 88 - Unranked 53		Sacramento State 96 - Unranked 56
Tennessee Martin 64 - Oral Roberts 76	0.837	Tennessee Martin 66 - Oral Roberts 70	-8
Texas Pan American 80 - Unranked 59		Texas Pan American 78 - Unranked 56
Texas Tech 69 - Mississippi State 71	0.548	Texas Tech 74 - Mississippi State 72	-4
Towson 63 - Mississippi 77	0.911	Towson 60 - Mississippi 76	2
Utah 70 - Miami 68	0.532	Utah 66 - Miami 90	26
Utah State 91 - Unranked 50		Utah State 73 - Unranked 49
Utah Valley 79 - Unranked 56		Utah Valley 104 - Unranked 60
Villanova 84 - East Tennessee State 56	0.987	Villanova 86 - East Tennessee State 51	-7
Virginia 75 - Long Beach State 57	0.91	Virginia 87 - Long Beach State 52	-17
Washington State 78 - Idaho State 58	0.947	Washington State 85 - Idaho State 67	2
West Virginia 91 - Stetson 56	0.994	West Virginia 103 - Stetson 62	-6
Winthrop 72 - Jacksonville State 63	0.776	Winthrop 80 - Jacksonville State 69	-2

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 89 - Unranked 51		Albany 92 - Unranked 49
Austin Peay 61 - Cal Poly 73	0.852	Austin Peay 64 - Cal Poly 73	-3
Ball State 71 - Longwood 63	0.756	Ball State 78 - Longwood 67	-3
Bowling Green 73 - North Dakota 61	0.854	Bowling Green 59 - North Dakota 77	30
Bryant 71 - Siena 70	0.529	Bryant 59 - Siena 78	20
Cal State Fullerton 68 - San Diego 69	0.53	Cal State Fullerton 67 - San Diego 55	-13
Campbell 67 - Morgan State 64	0.591	Campbell 54 - Morgan State 59	8
Canisius 77 - Cornell 65	0.85	Canisius 87 - Cornell 62	-13
Central Florida 77 - UNC Greensboro 64	0.809	Central Florida 65 - UNC Greensboro 54	2
Chicago State 78 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 81 - Unranked 70
Coastal Carolina 82 - Unranked 54		Coastal Carolina 116 - Unranked 35
Connecticut 79 - Furman 52	0.978	Connecticut 83 - Furman 58	2
Davidson 76 - College of Charleston 62	0.839	Davidson 82 - College of Charleston 81	13
Dayton 74 - William and Mary 66	0.706	Dayton 69 - William and Mary 66	5
Delaware State 67 - Lamar 63	0.614	Delaware State 66 - Lamar 77	15
DePaul 68 - Florida State 76	0.748	DePaul 67 - Florida State 83	8
Drake 72 - UMKC 62	0.743	Drake 73 - UMKC 79	16
Drexel 70 - Monmouth 66	0.609	Drexel 74 - Monmouth 82	12
Eastern Illinois 61 - Western Illinois 68	0.67	Eastern Illinois 63 - Western Illinois 83	13
Eastern Kentucky 81 - South Carolina State 53	0.987	Eastern Kentucky 92 - South Carolina State 82	18
Evansville 73 - Belmont 72	0.505	Evansville 93 - Belmont 88	-4
Fairfield 69 - Sacred Heart 65	0.615	Fairfield 83 - Sacred Heart 79	0
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Youngstown State 67	0.705	Florida Gulf Coast 104 - Youngstown State 101	3
Florida International 68 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.529	Florida International 69 - Tennessee Martin 62	-6
Fordham 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.842	Fordham 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 62	-11
Gonzaga 82 - Mt St Marys 55	0.986	Gonzaga 101 - Mt St Marys 56	-18
Grambling State 53 - Louisiana Tech 80	0.966	Grambling State 67 - Louisiana Tech 86	-8
High Point 72 - Western Carolina 69	0.624	High Point 75 - Western Carolina 69	-3
Houston 79 - Florida AM 53	0.981	Houston 97 - Florida AM 52	-19
Idaho 89 - Unranked 55		Idaho 85 - Unranked 59
Illinois 78 - Chattanooga 66	0.809	Illinois 77 - Chattanooga 81	16
Illinois State 83 - Houston Baptist 56	0.989	Illinois State 72 - Houston Baptist 56	11
IPFW 74 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.814	IPFW 87 - SIU Edwardsville 67	-9
IUPUI 86 - Unranked 55		IUPUI 86 - Unranked 82
James Madison 72 - Oral Roberts 66	0.676	James Madison 64 - Oral Roberts 74	16
Kent State 76 - Marist 57	0.973	Kent State 79 - Marist 72	12
Liberty 78 - Unranked 59		Liberty 86 - Unranked 50
Lipscomb 65 - Northeastern 76	0.845	Lipscomb 67 - Northeastern 79	1
Louisville 82 - North Florida 60	0.934	Louisville 89 - North Florida 61	-6
Loyola Ill 71 - Toledo 70	0.506	Loyola Ill 69 - Toledo 62	-6
Manhattan 72 - Bucknell 65	0.754	Manhattan 67 - Bucknell 80	20
Miami OH 75 - Florida Atlantic 63	0.84	Miami OH 69 - Florida Atlantic 75	18
Montana 90 - Unranked 50		Montana 70 - Unranked 61
New Mexico State 84 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.992	New Mexico State 85 - Mississippi Valley State 46	-10
Niagara 63 - Vermont 72	0.777	Niagara 67 - Vermont 85	9
NJ Tech 73 - Lafayette 71	0.573	NJ Tech 80 - Lafayette 66	-12
Norfolk State 65 - Ohio 74	0.766	Norfolk State 71 - Ohio 93	13
North Carolina AT 53 - Buffalo 79	0.985	North Carolina AT 68 - Buffalo 86	-8
Northern Colorado 76 - UMBC 63	0.865	Northern Colorado 72 - UMBC 81	22
Northern Illinois 87 - Unranked 52		Northern Illinois 100 - Unranked 52
Northern Iowa 71 - North Carolina 78	0.704	Northern Iowa 71 - North Carolina 67	-11
Northern Kentucky 64 - Morehead State 70	0.665	Northern Kentucky 56 - Morehead State 64	2
Notre Dame 87 - UMass Lowell 52	0.998	Notre Dame 83 - UMass Lowell 57	9
Old Dominion 65 - Purdue 74	0.784	Old Dominion 39 - Purdue 61	13
Pacific 68 - Nevada 70	0.564	Pacific 82 - Nevada 85	1
Prairie View 63 - Radford 73	0.77	Prairie View 56 - Radford 64	-2
Presbyterian 68 - The Citadel 64	0.59	Presbyterian 95 - The Citadel 79	-12
Princeton 72 - Saint Peters 59	0.874	Princeton 75 - Saint Peters 72	10
Providence 83 - Brown 56	0.99	Providence 94 - Brown 73	6
Rhode Island 71 - Cleveland State 61	0.804	Rhode Island 73 - Cleveland State 45	-18
Richmond 78 - Bethune Cookman 53	0.982	Richmond 89 - Bethune Cookman 64	0
Rutgers 83 - Central Arkansas 59	0.97	Rutgers 87 - Central Arkansas 84	21
Saint Bonaventure 77 - Loyola MD 56	0.951	Saint Bonaventure 94 - Loyola MD 82	9
Saint Francis Penn 63 - American 64	0.512	Saint Francis Penn 68 - American 48	-21
Saint Josephs 62 - Florida 74	0.883	Saint Josephs 63 - Florida 74	-1
Saint Louis 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	0.863	Saint Louis 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	-2
Sam Houston State 67 - Southern Illinois 65	0.571	Sam Houston State 81 - Southern Illinois 86	7
Samford 70 - Kennesaw St 64	0.696	Samford 77 - Kennesaw St 65	-6
San Diego State 80 - Arkansas Little Rock 55	0.988	San Diego State 43 - Arkansas Little Rock 49	31
San Francisco 74 - UC Riverside 62	0.846	San Francisco 58 - UC Riverside 57	11
South Carolina Upstate 86 - Unranked 55		South Carolina Upstate 79 - Unranked 83
South Florida 70 - Boston 69	0.503	South Florida 66 - Boston 78	13
Southern California 69 - New Mexico 71	0.561	Southern California 90 - New Mexico 82	-10
Southern Utah 72 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.641	Southern Utah 79 - Texas San Antonio 82	7
Syracuse 76 - Elon 59	0.93	Syracuse 66 - Elon 55	6
Tennessee State 62 - Middle Tennessee 68	0.684	Tennessee State 66 - Middle Tennessee 69	-3
Texas 77 - Texas AM CC 56	0.958	Texas 67 - Texas AM CC 56	10
Texas AM 83 - UNC Asheville 60	0.959	Texas AM 75 - UNC Asheville 47	-5
Texas Christian 71 - South Dakota State 70	0.509	Texas Christian 67 - South Dakota State 76	10
Texas El Paso 72 - Texas State 56	0.889	Texas El Paso 77 - Texas State 62	1
UC Santa Barbara 66 - Oregon State 65	0.534	UC Santa Barbara 59 - Oregon State 71	13
UNC Wilmington 70 - Western Michigan 67	0.569	UNC Wilmington 80 - Western Michigan 76	-1
Virginia Tech 76 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.794	Virginia Tech 76 - Virginia Military Institute 52	-14
Wagner 76 - Maine 60	0.905	Wagner 87 - Maine 73	2
Washington 82 - Pennsylvania 60	0.966	Washington 104 - Pennsylvania 67	-15
Western Kentucky 68 - Stony Brook 64	0.628	Western Kentucky 67 - Stony Brook 66	3
Wichita State 98 - Unranked 45		Wichita State 76 - Unranked 54
Wofford 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.946	Wofford 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	7

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 72 - Robert Morris 63	0.707	Air Force 64 - Robert Morris 52	-3
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Jacksonville State 61	0.876	Alabama Birmingham 61 - Jacksonville State 55	8
Arizona 89 - Northwestern State 60	0.988	Arizona 61 - Northwestern State 42	10
Arkansas State 69 - Jackson State 61	0.733	Arkansas State 78 - Jackson State 69	-1
Ball State 72 - South Carolina State 59	0.872	Ball State 72 - South Carolina State 60	1
Boston College 71 - Harvard 66	0.703	Boston College 69 - Harvard 56	-8
Bowling Green 73 - Youngstown State 65	0.809	Bowling Green 79 - Youngstown State 72	1
Bradley 66 - Towson 67	0.555	Bradley 60 - Towson 62	1
Buffalo 75 - Vermont 64	0.805	Buffalo 77 - Vermont 71	5
Cincinnati 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 49	0.976	Cincinnati 99 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 50	-17
Colorado 81 - Omaha 63	0.915	Colorado 87 - Omaha 82	13
Colorado State 84 - Oakland 68	0.894	Colorado State 95 - Oakland 89	10
Columbia 68 - Lehigh 63	0.631	Columbia 88 - Lehigh 61	-22
Duke 79 - Georgetown 68	0.79	Duke 86 - Georgetown 84	9
Eastern Kentucky 80 - Longwood 57	0.965	Eastern Kentucky 110 - Longwood 97	10
Florida 72 - Purdue 69	0.603	Florida 70 - Purdue 85	18
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - North Dakota 63	0.781	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - North Dakota 60	-3
Florida International 63 - Oral Roberts 74	0.814	Florida International 70 - Oral Roberts 76	-5
George Washington 78 - Army 62	0.912	George Washington 92 - Army 81	5
Georgia Tech 79 - East Tennessee State 62	0.905	Georgia Tech 68 - East Tennessee State 69	18
Green Bay 93 - Unranked 51		Green Bay 94 - Unranked 74
Hawaii 81 - Nicholls State 58	0.971	Hawaii 99 - Nicholls State 74	-2
Indiana State 66 - Tulsa 72	0.693	Indiana State 59 - Tulsa 67	2
James Madison 77 - Tennessee Martin 60	0.907	James Madison 75 - Tennessee Martin 78	20
Lipscomb 70 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.522	Lipscomb 79 - Florida Atlantic 65	-13
LIU Brooklyn 66 - North Carolina Central 68	0.567	LIU Brooklyn 78 - North Carolina Central 77	-3
Long Beach State 63 - Oklahoma State 77	0.862	Long Beach State 77 - Oklahoma State 82	-9
Loyola Marymount 85 - Unranked 57		Loyola Marymount 86 - Unranked 62
Miami 70 - Butler 74	0.596	Miami 85 - Butler 75	-14
Miami OH 69 - Northeastern 70	0.517	Miami OH 67 - Northeastern 61	-7
Mississippi State 74 - Missouri State 64	0.779	Mississippi State 84 - Missouri State 70	-4
Montana State 56 - Wyoming 75	0.933	Montana State 83 - Wyoming 82	-20
Navy 80 - Unranked 56		Navy 76 - Unranked 47
Nebraska 80 - Southeast Louisiana 56	0.965	Nebraska 92 - Southeast Louisiana 65	-3
North Carolina AT 61 - Niagara 68	0.742	North Carolina AT 72 - Niagara 73	-6
Northern Colorado 74 - Austin Peay 66	0.727	Northern Colorado 76 - Austin Peay 91	23
Oregon 75 - Valparaiso 68	0.714	Oregon 73 - Valparaiso 67	1
Portland 75 - Abilene Christian 56	0.919	Portland 87 - Abilene Christian 57	-11
Quinnipiac 67 - Holy Cross 65	0.584	Quinnipiac 62 - Holy Cross 56	-4
Rice 65 - Fresno State 73	0.764	Rice 65 - Fresno State 82	9
Saint Josephs 67 - Old Dominion 68	0.531	Saint Josephs 66 - Old Dominion 64	-3
Saint Marys 69 - Stanford 74	0.629	Saint Marys 78 - Stanford 61	-22
Seton Hall 69 - Mississippi 73	0.647	Seton Hall 75 - Mississippi 63	-16
South Carolina 73 - Hofstra 69	0.637	South Carolina 94 - Hofstra 84	-6
Southern Methodist 74 - Yale 59	0.912	Southern Methodist 71 - Yale 69	13
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 51		Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 64
Tennessee 75 - Gardner Webb 57	0.93	Tennessee 89 - Gardner Webb 64	-7
Texas El Paso 79 - Alcorn State 53	0.98	Texas El Paso 88 - Alcorn State 66	4
Texas Pan American 67 - Portland State 68	0.548	Texas Pan American 61 - Portland State 79	17
Texas Tech 66 - Minnesota 74	0.762	Texas Tech 81 - Minnesota 68	-21
Tulane 68 - Appalachian State 62	0.657	Tulane 76 - Appalachian State 48	-22
UMBC 62 - Cal Poly 72	0.807	UMBC 65 - Cal Poly 78	3
Utah 73 - Temple 66	0.681	Utah 74 - Temple 68	1
Villanova 77 - Akron 63	0.868	Villanova 75 - Akron 56	-5
Virginia 77 - George Mason 54	0.977	Virginia 83 - George Mason 66	6
Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Wisconsin 72	0.617	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Wisconsin 74	-3

Number of DI Games: 355
Number Correct: 269 = 75.7%
Expected Number Correct: 278.005 = 78.3%
Average Error: 9.52
Average Signed Error: 0.65

WEEK 3 -- 11-23 to 11-29

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 71 - NC State 73	0.544	Arizona State 79 - NC State 76	-5
Baylor 83 - Savannah State 54	0.979	Baylor 100 - Savannah State 61	-10
Belmont 80 - South Alabama 68	0.898	Belmont 98 - South Alabama 85	-1
Boise State 94 - Unranked 55		Boise State 100 - Unranked 53
California 82 - Sam Houston State 61	0.963	California 89 - Sam Houston State 63	-5
Central Arkansas 71 - Texas San Antonio 78	0.696	Central Arkansas 98 - Texas San Antonio 84	-21
Central Michigan 74 - Weber State 70	0.64	Central Michigan 60 - Weber State 63	7
Chicago State 62 - Illinois 79	0.903	Chicago State 79 - Illinois 82	-14
Clemson 72 - Massachusetts 65	0.744	Clemson 65 - Massachusetts 82	24
Coppin State 83 - Unranked 65		Coppin State 92 - Unranked 75
Cornell 86 - Unranked 61		Cornell 76 - Unranked 47
Davidson 75 - Mercer 70	0.653	Davidson 77 - Mercer 71	-1
DePaul 73 - Norfolk State 67	0.699	DePaul 82 - Norfolk State 78	2
Detroit 90 - Unranked 60		Detroit 122 - Unranked 70
Drake 66 - Western Kentucky 75	0.827	Drake 81 - Western Kentucky 79	-11
Duquesne 75 - Pepperdine 66	0.73	Duquesne 70 - Pepperdine 84	23
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Bowling Green 64	0.729	Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Bowling Green 82	13
Florida State 75 - Ohio 72	0.619	Florida State 90 - Ohio 81	-6
Grand Canyon 80 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.959	Grand Canyon 94 - Mississippi Valley State 60	-9
Hofstra 74 - Indiana State 68	0.684	Hofstra 66 - Indiana State 67	7
Howard 66 - Texas Southern 72	0.677	Howard 87 - Texas Southern 81	-12
Indiana 82 - Wake Forest 66	0.899	Indiana 78 - Wake Forest 82	20
Iowa State 84 - Chattanooga 69	0.891	Iowa State 83 - Chattanooga 63	-5
Jacksonville 80 - Unranked 63		Jacksonville 92 - Unranked 64
Kansas State 75 - Missouri 69	0.704	Kansas State 66 - Missouri 42	-18
Kennesaw St 66 - IUPUI 72	0.729	Kennesaw St 71 - IUPUI 63	-14
La Salle 81 - Lafayette 66	0.912	La Salle 83 - Lafayette 75	7
Louisiana State 75 - Marquette 69	0.707	Louisiana State 80 - Marquette 81	7
Memphis 76 - Texas Arlington 67	0.748	Memphis 64 - Texas Arlington 68	13
Michigan State 80 - Eastern Michigan 58	0.944	Michigan State 89 - Eastern Michigan 65	-2
Morgan State 81 - Unranked 60		Morgan State 68 - Unranked 60
Murray State 72 - Milwaukee 69	0.583	Murray State 66 - Milwaukee 63	0
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - UCLA 74	0.62	Nevada Las Vegas 75 - UCLA 77	-1
North Texas 69 - Idaho 66	0.568	North Texas 63 - Idaho 65	5
Northern Arizona 84 - Unranked 59		Northern Arizona 81 - Unranked 65
Northwestern 68 - North Carolina 80	0.827	Northwestern 69 - North Carolina 80	-1
Pacific 87 - Unranked 58		Pacific 79 - Unranked 44
Providence 79 - NJ Tech 65	0.905	Providence 83 - NJ Tech 76	7
Rutgers 69 - Creighton 78	0.773	Rutgers 75 - Creighton 85	1
Saint Johns 65 - Vanderbilt 72	0.729	Saint Johns 55 - Vanderbilt 92	30
Samford 70 - Troy 69	0.535	Samford 83 - Troy 79	-3
San Diego State 73 - East Carolina 61	0.853	San Diego State 79 - East Carolina 54	-13
Seattle 71 - Eastern Washington 72	0.551	Seattle 58 - Eastern Washington 52	-7
South Carolina 73 - Tulsa 72	0.529	South Carolina 83 - Tulsa 75	-7
Southern California 86 - Cal State Northridge 63	0.973	Southern California 96 - Cal State Northridge 61	-12
Southern Miss 81 - Unranked 59		Southern Miss 78 - Unranked 84
Stetson 81 - Unranked 64		Stetson 101 - Unranked 72
Texas AM CC 84 - Unranked 57		Texas AM CC 78 - Unranked 50
UC Irvine 77 - Santa Clara 55	0.966	UC Irvine 79 - Santa Clara 61	4
Unranked 53 - Kansas 94		Unranked 72 - Kansas 123
West Virginia 85 - Bethune Cookman 55	0.988	West Virginia 97 - Bethune Cookman 44	-23
Western Michigan 89 - Unranked 56		Western Michigan 85 - Unranked 73
Xavier 87 - Northern Kentucky 53	0.994	Xavier 78 - Northern Kentucky 66	22
Youngstown State 69 - North Dakota 75	0.679	Youngstown State 79 - North Dakota 69	-16

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 74 - Marquette 67	0.718	Arizona State 73 - Marquette 78	12
Brown 69 - New Hampshire 68	0.508	Brown 77 - New Hampshire 88	12
Bucknell 72 - Siena 70	0.574	Bucknell 81 - Siena 83	4
Canisius 75 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.639	Canisius 73 - Saint Bonaventure 77	8
Central Connecticut State 68 - Binghamton 62	0.716	Central Connecticut State 75 - Binghamton 81	12
Central Michigan 74 - Western Kentucky 73	0.508	Central Michigan 60 - Western Kentucky 88	29
Charleston Southern 67 - East Tennessee State 76	0.747	Charleston Southern 77 - East Tennessee State 76	-10
Cincinnati 91 - Southeast Louisiana 51	0.997	Cincinnati 64 - Southeast Louisiana 49	25
Cleveland State 68 - Rider 66	0.553	Cleveland State 57 - Rider 52	-3
College of Charleston 71 - Coastal Carolina 58	0.85	College of Charleston 61 - Coastal Carolina 67	19
Colorado State 92 - Abilene Christian 51	0.998	Colorado State 108 - Abilene Christian 100	33
Columbia 73 - Wofford 67	0.679	Columbia 70 - Wofford 59	-5
Delaware 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.912	Delaware 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	13
Duquesne 74 - Milwaukee 72	0.562	Duquesne 96 - Milwaukee 92	-2
Fordham 77 - Colgate 68	0.741	Fordham 84 - Colgate 58	-17
George Washington 82 - Gardner Webb 58	0.971	George Washington 94 - Gardner Webb 65	-5
Green Bay 71 - Akron 78	0.699	Green Bay 66 - Akron 63	-10
Hartford 73 - Niagara 66	0.768	Hartford 77 - Niagara 73	3
Houston Baptist 56 - South Dakota State 86	0.996	Houston Baptist 68 - South Dakota State 92	-6
Illinois Chicago 84 - Unranked 60		Illinois Chicago 96 - Unranked 58
Illinois State 65 - Maryland 76	0.873	Illinois State 66 - Maryland 77	0
Indiana 75 - Saint Johns 66	0.772	Indiana 83 - Saint Johns 73	-1
IUPUI 71 - South Alabama 70	0.552	IUPUI 68 - South Alabama 78	11
Jacksonville State 64 - Alabama AM 66	0.543	Jacksonville State 69 - Alabama AM 73	2
James Madison 86 - Unranked 55		James Madison 106 - Unranked 74
Kennesaw St 64 - Belmont 81	0.955	Kennesaw St 55 - Belmont 80	8
Kent State 72 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.798	Kent State 79 - Saint Francis Penn 60	-9
Kentucky 87 - Boston 57	0.99	Kentucky 82 - Boston 62	10
Louisville 85 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 49	0.998	Louisville 85 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 41	-8
Loyola MD 64 - Stony Brook 71	0.741	Loyola MD 63 - Stony Brook 76	6
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Fairfield 69	0.653	Maryland Eastern Shore 74 - Fairfield 113	36
Miami OH 72 - IPFW 71	0.505	Miami OH 53 - IPFW 57	5
Morehead State 74 - Marshall 65	0.759	Morehead State 85 - Marshall 61	-15
NC State 75 - Louisiana State 72	0.595	NC State 83 - Louisiana State 72	-8
Nebraska 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.953	Nebraska 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 44	-1
Nevada Las Vegas 90 - Unranked 53		Nevada Las Vegas 93 - Unranked 73
New Mexico State 78 - Robert Morris 59	0.935	New Mexico State 81 - Robert Morris 71	9
North Carolina 77 - Kansas State 71	0.686	North Carolina 80 - Kansas State 70	-4
North Texas 70 - Samford 65	0.633	North Texas 72 - Samford 74	7
Northwestern 73 - Missouri 72	0.501	Northwestern 67 - Missouri 62	-4
Ohio State 76 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.687	Ohio State 74 - Louisiana Tech 82	15
Oklahoma 88 - Incarnate Word 61	0.995	Oklahoma 96 - Incarnate Word 63	-6
Oregon State 71 - Valparaiso 69	0.558	Oregon State 57 - Valparaiso 63	8
Penn State 73 - Radford 63	0.773	Penn State 74 - Radford 86	22
Pepperdine 65 - Murray State 71	0.673	Pepperdine 55 - Murray State 59	-2
Portland 78 - Alcorn State 58	0.953	Portland 97 - Alcorn State 65	-12
Quinnipiac 65 - North Carolina Central 64	0.525	Quinnipiac 69 - North Carolina Central 59	-9
Rhode Island 73 - Texas Christian 66	0.746	Rhode Island 66 - Texas Christian 60	1
Sacramento State 72 - UC Davis 66	0.693	Sacramento State 84 - UC Davis 79	1
Saint Louis 77 - North Florida 68	0.782	Saint Louis 70 - North Florida 57	-4
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Campbell 60	0.839	SIU Edwardsville 74 - Campbell 77	14
South Carolina Upstate 66 - Winthrop 74	0.731	South Carolina Upstate 78 - Winthrop 79	-7
South Dakota 87 - Unranked 59		South Dakota 83 - Unranked 63
South Florida 64 - Albany 70	0.681	South Florida 63 - Albany 61	-8
Southern 87 - Unranked 55		Southern 79 - Unranked 65
Southern Illinois 75 - Oakland 74	0.52	Southern Illinois 97 - Oakland 88	-8
Southern Utah 71 - Cal State Fullerton 74	0.632	Southern Utah 66 - Cal State Fullerton 80	11
Tennessee 82 - Army 65	0.938	Tennessee 95 - Army 80	2
Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 77 - Unranked 61
Tennessee Tech 69 - Jackson State 66	0.624	Tennessee Tech 86 - Jackson State 82	-1
Texas El Paso 83 - Florida AM 51	0.998	Texas El Paso 72 - Florida AM 54	14
Texas Pan American 68 - SE Missouri State 69	0.506	Texas Pan American 83 - SE Missouri State 74	-10
Troy 68 - Idaho 72	0.603	Troy 63 - Idaho 69	2
UC Riverside 72 - Delaware State 57	0.948	UC Riverside 81 - Delaware State 55	-11
UCLA 73 - Kansas 77	0.622	UCLA 73 - Kansas 92	15
UMass Lowell 83 - Unranked 58		UMass Lowell 104 - Unranked 76
Utah State 78 - Utah Valley 56	0.962	Utah State 81 - Utah Valley 55	-4
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Presbyterian 65	0.673	Virginia Military Institute 76 - Presbyterian 61	-10
Virginia Tech 81 - North Carolina AT 59	0.973	Virginia Tech 90 - North Carolina AT 60	-8
Wake Forest 65 - Vanderbilt 79	0.872	Wake Forest 64 - Vanderbilt 86	8
Washington State 92 - Unranked 54		Washington State 74 - Unranked 57
Weber State 73 - Drake 66	0.72	Weber State 74 - Drake 58	-9
Western Carolina 89 - Unranked 58		Western Carolina 88 - Unranked 63
Wright State 87 - Unranked 54		Wright State 66 - Unranked 52

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 84 - Unranked 60		Austin Peay 83 - Unranked 55
Ball State 83 - Unranked 56		Ball State 90 - Unranked 54
Bradley 75 - New Orleans 61	0.917	Bradley 51 - New Orleans 64	27
Brigham Young 88 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.984	Brigham Young 75 - Mississippi Valley State 68	25
Central Michigan 71 - Milwaukee 75	0.626	Central Michigan 78 - Milwaukee 84	2
Clemson 74 - Rutgers 60	0.89	Clemson 76 - Rutgers 58	-4
Colorado 79 - Air Force 61	0.919	Colorado 81 - Air Force 70	7
Connecticut 74 - Michigan 70	0.652	Connecticut 74 - Michigan 60	-10
Creighton 76 - Massachusetts 74	0.554	Creighton 97 - Massachusetts 76	-19
Denver 76 - Idaho State 56	0.955	Denver 79 - Idaho State 69	10
Drake 64 - Pepperdine 72	0.745	Drake 69 - Pepperdine 53	-24
Duke 82 - Yale 66	0.945	Duke 80 - Yale 61	-3
Eastern Kentucky 90 - Unranked 57		Eastern Kentucky 101 - Unranked 67
Eastern Michigan 87 - Unranked 51		Eastern Michigan 108 - Unranked 64
Florida 80 - Vermont 60	0.951	Florida 86 - Vermont 62	-4
Florida International 72 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.697	Florida International 80 - LIU Brooklyn 72	-3
Georgia 78 - High Point 62	0.927	Georgia 49 - High Point 46	13
Gonzaga 79 - Washington 73	0.681	Gonzaga 80 - Washington 64	-10
Harvard 75 - Bryant 61	0.904	Harvard 80 - Bryant 45	-21
Holy Cross 71 - Sacred Heart 69	0.574	Holy Cross 69 - Sacred Heart 60	-7
Houston Baptist 61 - Rider 75	0.92	Houston Baptist 56 - Rider 67	-3
Howard 74 - Central Arkansas 70	0.62	Howard 73 - Central Arkansas 54	-15
Illinois State 70 - Texas Christian 71	0.551	Illinois State 60 - Texas Christian 71	10
Kansas 73 - Vanderbilt 72	0.521	Kansas 70 - Vanderbilt 63	-6
Loyola Ill 70 - San Diego 59	0.801	Loyola Ill 67 - San Diego 57	1
Loyola Marymount 76 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.733	Loyola Marymount 82 - Cal State Northridge 80	5
Maine 75 - Longwood 69	0.704	Maine 92 - Longwood 82	-4
Manhattan 66 - George Mason 70	0.614	Manhattan 69 - George Mason 67	-6
Maryland 71 - Rhode Island 68	0.614	Maryland 86 - Rhode Island 63	-20
Mcneese State 83 - Unranked 58		Mcneese State 80 - Unranked 79
Mississippi 72 - Georgia State 69	0.591	Mississippi 68 - Georgia State 59	-6
Nevada 76 - Portland State 64	0.848	Nevada 76 - Portland State 73	9
Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Indiana 76	0.758	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Indiana 69	-11
New Mexico 89 - Nicholls State 53	0.997	New Mexico 75 - Nicholls State 63	24
North Dakota State 75 - Montana 61	0.833	North Dakota State 73 - Montana 53	-6
North Texas 72 - Troy 67	0.663	North Texas 74 - Troy 86	17
Northern Colorado 71 - Omaha 81	0.82	Northern Colorado 85 - Omaha 105	10
Northern Illinois 88 - Unranked 53		Northern Illinois 87 - Unranked 55
Northern Iowa 94 - Unranked 48		Northern Iowa 83 - Unranked 63
Northwestern State 86 - Unranked 61		Northwestern State 86 - Unranked 80
Oral Roberts 90 - Unranked 53		Oral Roberts 112 - Unranked 80
Oregon 87 - Arkansas State 58	0.992	Oregon 91 - Arkansas State 68	6
Pennsylvania 65 - La Salle 75	0.803	Pennsylvania 80 - La Salle 64	-26
Pittsburgh 85 - Cornell 60	0.976	Pittsburgh 93 - Cornell 49	-19
Princeton 77 - Lafayette 65	0.873	Princeton 104 - Lafayette 52	-40
Rice 71 - Lamar 69	0.54	Rice 92 - Lamar 84	-6
Samford 67 - Idaho 69	0.569	Samford 75 - Idaho 58	-19
San Francisco 71 - UC Santa Barbara 65	0.701	San Francisco 61 - UC Santa Barbara 68	13
San Jose State 61 - Toledo 77	0.899	San Jose State 74 - Toledo 89	-1
South Carolina State 78 - Unranked 60		South Carolina State 86 - Unranked 74
South Dakota State 78 - Cleveland State 63	0.877	South Dakota State 77 - Cleveland State 66	4
Syracuse 80 - Charlotte 61	0.962	Syracuse 83 - Charlotte 70	6
Tennessee Martin 83 - Unranked 61		Tennessee Martin 83 - Unranked 57
Texas AM 71 - Texas 69	0.591	Texas AM 84 - Texas 73	-9
Texas Arlington 82 - Grambling State 56	0.972	Texas Arlington 73 - Grambling State 40	-7
Texas Southern 73 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.592	Texas Southern 91 - Texas San Antonio 80	-9
The Citadel 66 - Georgia Southern 77	0.748	The Citadel 95 - Georgia Southern 90	-16
Towson 86 - Unranked 57		Towson 88 - Unranked 45
UCLA 80 - Wake Forest 69	0.816	UCLA 77 - Wake Forest 80	14
UL Lafayette 93 - Unranked 60		UL Lafayette 106 - Unranked 62
UMBC 62 - Navy 65	0.618	UMBC 54 - Navy 75	18
UMKC 85 - Unranked 60		UMKC 73 - Unranked 72
Unranked 62 - Seattle 77		Unranked 48 - Seattle 58
Unranked 51 - Saint Johns 88		Unranked 93 - Saint Johns 100
Virginia 85 - Lehigh 55	0.991	Virginia 80 - Lehigh 54	4
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - American 52	0.993	Virginia Commonwealth 72 - American 44	0
Weber State 64 - Murray State 75	0.849	Weber State 75 - Murray State 59	-27
Western Illinois 91 - Unranked 52		Western Illinois 79 - Unranked 44
Western Kentucky 70 - Duquesne 76	0.692	Western Kentucky 73 - Duquesne 81	2
William and Mary 80 - Hampton 63	0.896	William and Mary 86 - Hampton 67	-2
Wisconsin 86 - Prairie View 50	0.994	Wisconsin 85 - Prairie View 67	18
Wyoming 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.547	Wyoming 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	-6
Youngstown State 86 - Unranked 64		Youngstown State 69 - Unranked 55

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 68 - Xavier 78	0.783	Alabama 45 - Xavier 64	9
Appalachian State 64 - Liberty 68	0.621	Appalachian State 73 - Liberty 62	-15
Bethune Cookman 71 - Stetson 66	0.693	Bethune Cookman 70 - Stetson 83	18
Boise State 69 - UC Irvine 72	0.587	Boise State 71 - UC Irvine 64	-10
Boston College 65 - Michigan State 78	0.874	Boston College 68 - Michigan State 99	18
Charlotte 67 - Michigan 82	0.908	Charlotte 47 - Michigan 102	40
Dayton 73 - Iowa 69	0.604	Dayton 82 - Iowa 77	-1
Drexel 72 - UNC Asheville 68	0.657	Drexel 66 - UNC Asheville 85	23
East Carolina 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.57	East Carolina 46 - Arkansas Little Rock 54	6
Elon 76 - Mt St Marys 65	0.85	Elon 79 - Mt St Marys 74	6
Evansville 71 - Providence 77	0.738	Evansville 64 - Providence 74	4
Furman 64 - Texas AM CC 67	0.596	Furman 69 - Texas AM CC 73	1
Georgia Tech 75 - Arkansas 76	0.53	Georgia Tech 83 - Arkansas 73	-11
Gonzaga 77 - Texas AM 69	0.724	Gonzaga 61 - Texas AM 62	9
Mercer 73 - Tulane 61	0.829	Mercer 71 - Tulane 61	2
Monmouth 67 - Notre Dame 82	0.907	Monmouth 70 - Notre Dame 68	-17
Richmond 69 - West Virginia 77	0.73	Richmond 59 - West Virginia 67	0
San Diego State 68 - California 72	0.627	San Diego State 72 - California 58	-18
Santa Clara 54 - Arizona 83	0.99	Santa Clara 73 - Arizona 75	-27
Southern California 73 - Wichita State 72	0.511	Southern California 72 - Wichita State 69	-2
Stanford 68 - Villanova 78	0.794	Stanford 45 - Villanova 59	4
Stephen F Austin 72 - Western Michigan 70	0.538	Stephen F Austin 79 - Western Michigan 71	-6
Syracuse 67 - Connecticut 68	0.541	Syracuse 79 - Connecticut 76	-4
Unranked 57 - Middle Tennessee 84		Unranked 72 - Middle Tennessee 75
Washington 75 - Texas 71	0.63	Washington 70 - Texas 82	16

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 83 - Charleston Southern 59	0.97	Akron 82 - Charleston Southern 58	0
Alabama Birmingham 68 - Illinois 72	0.624	Alabama Birmingham 58 - Illinois 72	10
Alabama State 67 - Chattanooga 80	0.839	Alabama State 58 - Chattanooga 95	24
Albany 72 - NJ Tech 66	0.688	Albany 74 - NJ Tech 73	5
Appalachian State 53 - Mercer 78	0.972	Appalachian State 70 - Mercer 71	-24
Arizona 76 - Providence 68	0.762	Arizona 65 - Providence 69	12
Army 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.829	Army 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	-10
Auburn 83 - Northwestern State 65	0.93	Auburn 119 - Northwestern State 81	-20
Baylor 86 - Arkansas State 58	0.972	Baylor 94 - Arkansas State 72	6
Bethune Cookman 64 - Sam Houston State 71	0.713	Bethune Cookman 46 - Sam Houston State 71	18
Boston College 67 - UC Irvine 68	0.512	Boston College 67 - UC Irvine 80	12
California 76 - Richmond 69	0.714	California 90 - Richmond 94	11
Charlotte 67 - Washington 87	0.946	Charlotte 66 - Washington 71	-15
Chicago State 65 - Jacksonville State 69	0.629	Chicago State 65 - Jacksonville State 68	-1
Cincinnati 79 - Nebraska 64	0.844	Cincinnati 65 - Nebraska 61	11
College of Charleston 75 - Western Carolina 66	0.794	College of Charleston 57 - Western Carolina 56	8
Colorado State 82 - Portland 66	0.918	Colorado State 90 - Portland 74	0
Dayton 79 - Monmouth 64	0.887	Dayton 73 - Monmouth 70	12
East Carolina 79 - Stetson 60	0.954	East Carolina 93 - Stetson 73	-1
Fairfield 68 - Columbia 71	0.598	Fairfield 82 - Columbia 81	-4
Florida 82 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	0.958	Florida 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 50	2
Florida AM 66 - Abilene Christian 65	0.512	Florida AM 62 - Abilene Christian 72	11
Fresno State 79 - Delaware State 54	0.996	Fresno State 80 - Delaware State 59	4
Furman 65 - Mt St Marys 66	0.501	Furman 69 - Mt St Marys 60	-10
Gardner Webb 73 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.691	Gardner Webb 77 - Southeast Louisiana 68	-3
George Washington 72 - Tennessee 70	0.575	George Washington 73 - Tennessee 70	-1
Georgia State 76 - IUPUI 59	0.899	Georgia State 78 - IUPUI 72	11
Gonzaga 75 - Connecticut 69	0.689	Gonzaga 73 - Connecticut 70	3
Hartford 70 - North Florida 75	0.662	Hartford 60 - North Florida 81	16
Illinois State 89 - Unranked 54		Illinois State 73 - Unranked 63
Iowa 72 - Notre Dame 76	0.615	Iowa 62 - Notre Dame 68	2
Iowa State 82 - Virginia Tech 65	0.952	Iowa State 99 - Virginia Tech 77	-5
IPFW 81 - Jacksonville 62	0.934	IPFW 71 - Jacksonville 63	11
Jackson State 67 - Savannah State 64	0.594	Jackson State 69 - Savannah State 42	-24
Liberty 64 - Western Michigan 75	0.802	Liberty 58 - Western Michigan 68	-1
Louisiana Tech 77 - North Carolina Central 59	0.911	Louisiana Tech 71 - North Carolina Central 50	-3
Loyola Ill 68 - Toledo 69	0.518	Loyola Ill 74 - Toledo 82	7
Marshall 71 - James Madison 70	0.507	Marshall 75 - James Madison 89	15
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.584	Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Saint Francis Penn 57	-16
Memphis 70 - Ohio State 74	0.618	Memphis 81 - Ohio State 76	-9
Miami 81 - Northeastern 61	0.951	Miami 77 - Northeastern 78	21
Michigan 70 - Texas 71	0.501	Michigan 78 - Texas 72	-7
Michigan State 81 - Boise State 67	0.881	Michigan State 77 - Boise State 67	4
Minnesota 81 - Omaha 68	0.89	Minnesota 93 - Omaha 90	10
Missouri State 84 - Unranked 58		Missouri State 77 - Unranked 56
Mt St Marys 69 - Texas AM CC 68	0.562
NC State 81 - Winthrop 67	0.878	NC State 87 - Winthrop 79	6
Oakland 84 - Alcorn State 61	0.976	Oakland 84 - Alcorn State 51	-10
Oklahoma State 79 - Long Beach State 68	0.817	Oklahoma State 79 - Long Beach State 73	5
Rice 67 - UC Riverside 70	0.604	Rice 87 - UC Riverside 81	-9
San Diego 67 - San Jose State 62	0.653	San Diego 67 - San Jose State 76	14
San Diego State 68 - West Virginia 73	0.65	San Diego State 50 - West Virginia 72	17
Santa Clara 63 - Evansville 78	0.903	Santa Clara 57 - Evansville 69	-3
South Carolina 84 - Lipscomb 61	0.982	South Carolina 92 - Lipscomb 76	7
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Georgia Southern 67	0.538	South Carolina Upstate 80 - Georgia Southern 84	5
South Florida 53 - Kentucky 85	0.995	South Florida 63 - Kentucky 84	-11
Southern California 74 - Xavier 77	0.601	Southern California 77 - Xavier 87	7
Southern Illinois 68 - Texas El Paso 72	0.642	Southern Illinois 66 - Texas El Paso 71	1
Stanford 76 - Arkansas 77	0.536	Stanford 69 - Arkansas 66	-4
Stephen F Austin 71 - Tulane 68	0.582	Stephen F Austin 59 - Tulane 60	4
Tennessee Tech 68 - Robert Morris 65	0.603	Tennessee Tech 85 - Robert Morris 72	-10
Texas AM 68 - Syracuse 69	0.521	Texas AM 67 - Syracuse 74	6
Texas AM CC 69 - Elon 70	0.51	Texas AM CC 85 - Elon 81	-5
UNC Asheville 65 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.777	UNC Asheville 61 - Middle Tennessee 63	-6
UNC Greensboro 66 - Navy 63	0.614	UNC Greensboro 66 - Navy 70	7
Unranked 69 - The Citadel 79		Unranked 81 - The Citadel 121
Unranked 60 - Drexel 83		Unranked 71 - Drexel 65
Utah 84 - Idaho State 55	0.989	Utah 102 - Idaho State 72	-1
Villanova 79 - Georgia Tech 65	0.862	Villanova 69 - Georgia Tech 52	-3
Wichita State 73 - Alabama 67	0.692	Wichita State 60 - Alabama 64	10

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 59 - Oakland 88	0.983	Abilene Christian 57 - Oakland 85	-1
Air Force 67 - New Mexico State 71	0.637	Air Force 66 - New Mexico State 64	-6
Alabama Birmingham 71 - Virginia Tech 68	0.61	Alabama Birmingham 77 - Virginia Tech 82	8
Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.617	Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Southeast Louisiana 60	2
Army 77 - Gardner Webb 68	0.795	Army 103 - Gardner Webb 98	4
Austin Peay 70 - Samford 68	0.571	Austin Peay 74 - Samford 73	1
Ball State 59 - Valparaiso 75	0.942	Ball State 69 - Valparaiso 66	-19
Binghamton 59 - Boston 74	0.89	Binghamton 65 - Boston 75	-5
Bradley 66 - Mississippi 74	0.789	Bradley 54 - Mississippi 67	5
Brigham Young 81 - Belmont 72	0.767	Brigham Young 95 - Belmont 81	-5
Buffalo 75 - Canisius 73	0.57	Buffalo 98 - Canisius 96	0
Butler 85 - SIU Edwardsville 57	0.977	Butler 89 - SIU Edwardsville 73	12
Cal Poly 88 - Unranked 53		Cal Poly 85 - Unranked 55
Cal State Fullerton 69 - Nevada 74	0.67	Cal State Fullerton 75 - Nevada 66	-14
Campbell 59 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.706	Campbell 79 - Coastal Carolina 73	-13
Chicago State 65 - Alabama State 74	0.762	Chicago State 64 - Alabama State 66	-7
Colorado State 78 - Texas El Paso 70	0.785	Colorado State 90 - Texas El Paso 99	17
Columbia 85 - Longwood 59	0.983	Columbia 69 - Longwood 70	27
Coppin State 68 - Towson 75	0.747	Coppin State 77 - Towson 81	-3
Creighton 77 - Western Illinois 69	0.724	Creighton 97 - Western Illinois 67	-22
Davidson 98 - Unranked 55		Davidson 83 - Unranked 70
Denver 76 - South Alabama 61	0.902	Denver 69 - South Alabama 56	2
Drake 71 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.614	Drake 83 - Illinois Chicago 62	-18
Drexel 70 - San Diego 63	0.704	Drexel 59 - San Diego 62	10
East Tennessee State 70 - UNC Wilmington 67	0.595	East Tennessee State 73 - UNC Wilmington 94	24
Eastern Illinois 68 - Green Bay 76	0.715	Eastern Illinois 72 - Green Bay 81	1
Eastern Kentucky 81 - Southern Utah 65	0.928	Eastern Kentucky 98 - Southern Utah 85	3
Eastern Michigan 87 - Unranked 51		Eastern Michigan 79 - Unranked 63
Eastern Washington 75 - Pacific 74	0.514	Eastern Washington 70 - Pacific 63	-6
Fairleigh Dickinson 66 - Saint Peters 72	0.727	Fairleigh Dickinson 77 - Saint Peters 62	-21
Florida AM 62 - Alcorn State 67	0.672	Florida AM 73 - Alcorn State 71	-7
Fordham 74 - Manhattan 65	0.756	Fordham 87 - Manhattan 64	-14
George Mason 71 - Wright State 64	0.729	George Mason 66 - Wright State 39	-20
George Washington 66 - Cincinnati 76	0.763	George Washington 56 - Cincinnati 61	-5
Georgetown 84 - Bryant 60	0.961	Georgetown 77 - Bryant 47	-6
High Point 78 - Morgan State 59	0.964	High Point 82 - Morgan State 72	9
Houston 77 - UL Monroe 64	0.804	Houston 76 - UL Monroe 64	1
Howard 62 - William and Mary 78	0.891	Howard 79 - William and Mary 77	-18
Idaho 66 - Northern Illinois 69	0.601	Idaho 59 - Northern Illinois 66	4
Illinois 68 - Iowa State 79	0.825	Illinois 73 - Iowa State 84	0
Jacksonville 62 - Navy 69	0.731	Jacksonville 65 - Navy 71	-1
Jacksonville State 62 - Chattanooga 80	0.938	Jacksonville State 52 - Chattanooga 62	-8
Kennesaw St 64 - Tennessee State 70	0.701	Kennesaw St 49 - Tennessee State 56	1
Louisville 77 - Saint Louis 60	0.93	Louisville 77 - Saint Louis 57	-3
Maryland 79 - Cleveland State 61	0.941	Maryland 80 - Cleveland State 63	1
Mcneese State 67 - Texas State 63	0.657	Mcneese State 67 - Texas State 70	7
Miami OH 71 - Central Florida 70	0.515	Miami OH 64 - Central Florida 63	0
Middle Tennessee 69 - Toledo 70	0.517	Middle Tennessee 78 - Toledo 70	-9
Mississippi State 81 - Tennessee Martin 64	0.91	Mississippi State 76 - Tennessee Martin 51	-8
Mississippi Valley State 62 - Robert Morris 72	0.744	Mississippi Valley State 64 - Robert Morris 67	-7
Morehead State 73 - Southern Miss 59	0.881	Morehead State 61 - Southern Miss 46	-1
Murray State 76 - Alabama AM 60	0.889	Murray State 63 - Alabama AM 61	14
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Prairie View 53	0.987	Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Prairie View 62	11
New Hampshire 68 - American 59	0.804	New Hampshire 50 - American 68	27
Niagara 76 - Youngstown State 71	0.715	Niagara 70 - Youngstown State 88	23
North Dakota 61 - Northern Iowa 75	0.843	North Dakota 51 - Northern Iowa 97	32
North Dakota State 83 - North Carolina AT 56	0.987	North Dakota State 77 - North Carolina AT 56	6
Northwestern 85 - New Orleans 57	0.994	Northwestern 90 - New Orleans 63	1
Oral Roberts 79 - Detroit 67	0.845	Oral Roberts 100 - Detroit 95	7
Penn State 72 - Bucknell 66	0.697	Penn State 62 - Bucknell 58	2
Pittsburgh 78 - Kent State 62	0.95	Pittsburgh 85 - Kent State 76	7
Portland 67 - Southern Illinois 72	0.683	Portland 79 - Southern Illinois 80	-4
Portland State 86 - Unranked 57		Portland State 100 - Unranked 82
Presbyterian 61 - Wofford 72	0.853	Presbyterian 58 - Wofford 68	-1
Purdue 87 - Lehigh 56	0.995	Purdue 77 - Lehigh 55	9
Sacramento State 75 - South Dakota 64	0.827	Sacramento State 90 - South Dakota 96	17
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Hofstra 73	0.501	Saint Bonaventure 83 - Hofstra 89	7
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - North Florida 76	0.784	Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - North Florida 78	3
SE Missouri State 69 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.595	SE Missouri State 60 - Loyola Marymount 73	11
Seton Hall 70 - Georgia 72	0.585	Seton Hall 69 - Georgia 62	-9
Siena 78 - Loyola MD 62	0.898	Siena 90 - Loyola MD 82	8
South Carolina Upstate 77 - The Citadel 64	0.774	South Carolina Upstate 81 - The Citadel 88	20
Stephen F Austin 67 - Texas Tech 73	0.661
Stony Brook 87 - Unranked 53		Stony Brook 91 - Unranked 42
Tennessee 72 - Nebraska 70	0.561	Tennessee 71 - Nebraska 82	13
Tennessee Tech 82 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 91 - Unranked 66
Texas Tech 74 - Hawaii 68	0.717	Texas Tech 82 - Hawaii 74	-2
Tulsa 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	0.832	Tulsa 60 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	17
UMBC 66 - Colgate 73	0.699	UMBC 63 - Colgate 71	1
UMKC 63 - South Dakota State 81	0.933	UMKC 64 - South Dakota State 57	-25
UNC Asheville 63 - Loyola Ill 72	0.778	UNC Asheville 59 - Loyola Ill 48	-20
UNC Greensboro 66 - IPFW 74	0.758	UNC Greensboro 58 - IPFW 64	-2
Unranked 57 - La Salle 89		Unranked 51 - La Salle 81
Unranked 64 - San Jose State 75		Unranked 87 - San Jose State 91
Utah Valley 64 - UC Davis 72	0.752	Utah Valley 70 - UC Davis 82	4
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Old Dominion 62	0.853	Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Old Dominion 67	2
Wagner 84 - Unranked 57		Wagner 83 - Unranked 59
Washington State 79 - Texas Southern 64	0.898	Washington State 77 - Texas Southern 65	3
Wyoming 74 - Montana State 64	0.775	Wyoming 82 - Montana State 68	-4

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 67 - Yale 68	0.501	Albany 88 - Yale 54	-35
Appalachian State 59 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.863	Appalachian State 84 - Stephen F Austin 94	-7
Arizona 80 - Boise State 66	0.86	Arizona 68 - Boise State 59	5
Arizona State 73 - UC Santa Barbara 62	0.825	Arizona State 70 - UC Santa Barbara 68	9
Bowling Green 83 - Unranked 55		Bowling Green 96 - Unranked 55
Central Connecticut State 74 - Maine 69	0.7	Central Connecticut State 74 - Maine 81	12
Colorado 90 - Northern Colorado 58	0.995	Colorado 82 - Northern Colorado 52	2
Dartmouth 69 - LIU Brooklyn 70	0.535	Dartmouth 79 - LIU Brooklyn 56	-24
Dayton 72 - Xavier 71	0.554	Dayton 61 - Xavier 90	30
Duke 83 - Utah State 64	0.952	Duke 85 - Utah State 52	-14
Eastern Washington 76 - South Dakota 74	0.54	Eastern Washington 71 - South Dakota 77	8
Evansville 68 - UC Irvine 72	0.632	Evansville 75 - UC Irvine 56	-23
Florida Gulf Coast 89 - Unranked 56		Florida Gulf Coast 91 - Unranked 34
Hartford 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.69	Hartford 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 74	13
Holy Cross 60 - Harvard 69	0.805	Holy Cross 50 - Harvard 49	-10
Iowa 72 - Wichita State 70	0.554	Iowa 84 - Wichita State 61	-21
IPFW 73 - Navy 61	0.847	IPFW 53 - Navy 75	34
Kansas State 85 - South Carolina State 51	0.998	Kansas State 68 - South Carolina State 66	32
Lafayette 74 - Pennsylvania 68	0.709	Lafayette 92 - Pennsylvania 86	0
Lamar 68 - UC Riverside 69	0.505	Lamar 69 - UC Riverside 74	4
Liberty 63 - Tulane 72	0.758	Liberty 51 - Tulane 72	12
Marquette 77 - Jackson State 62	0.883	Marquette 80 - Jackson State 61	-4
Mercer 74 - Western Michigan 64	0.801	Mercer 68 - Western Michigan 65	7
Monmouth 70 - Southern California 80	0.784	Monmouth 83 - Southern California 73	-20
NJ Tech 89 - Unranked 54		NJ Tech 89 - Unranked 60
Notre Dame 79 - Alabama 67	0.822	Notre Dame 73 - Alabama 74	13
Oklahoma 74 - Wisconsin 70	0.639	Oklahoma 65 - Wisconsin 48	-13
Pepperdine 69 - Montana 64	0.64	Pepperdine 69 - Montana 63	-1
Providence 69 - Michigan State 78	0.794	Providence 64 - Michigan State 77	4
Rhode Island 76 - Rider 58	0.96	Rhode Island 82 - Rider 57	-7
Rice 66 - Texas Arlington 75	0.751	Rice 74 - Texas Arlington 92	9
Sacramento State 74 - Pacific 64	0.821	Sacramento State 79 - Pacific 71	2
Saint Marys 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	0.866	Saint Marys 94 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	-19
Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 57		Sam Houston State 66 - Unranked 67
San Francisco 77 - Delaware State 55	0.976	San Francisco 67 - Delaware State 47	2
Santa Clara 59 - Boston College 77	0.953	Santa Clara 62 - Boston College 45	-35
South Florida 68 - Savannah State 62	0.698	South Florida 67 - Savannah State 57	-4
Southern Methodist 85 - Brown 53	0.997	Southern Methodist 77 - Brown 69	24
Temple 79 - Delaware 63	0.913	Temple 69 - Delaware 50	-3
Tennessee Tech 74 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.835	Tennessee Tech 101 - Mississippi Valley State 64	-24
Texas San Antonio 86 - Unranked 61		Texas San Antonio 85 - Unranked 90
UCLA 86 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.973	UCLA 77 - Cal State Northridge 45	-10
UMass Lowell 72 - Cornell 68	0.631	UMass Lowell 80 - Cornell 77	1
UNC Greensboro 74 - Jacksonville 63	0.802	UNC Greensboro 71 - Jacksonville 69	9
Vermont 75 - Marist 61	0.888	Vermont 86 - Marist 60	-12

Number of DI Games: 370
Number Correct: 258 = 69.7%
Expected Number Correct: 281.839 = 76.1%
Average Error: 9.86
Average Signed Error: 0.51

WEEK 4 -- 11-30 to 12-6

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Campbell 68 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.55	Campbell 66 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0
Central Michigan 74 - Mcneese State 67	0.712	Central Michigan 74 - Mcneese State 73	6
College of Charleston 71 - Louisiana State 70	0.515	College of Charleston 70 - Louisiana State 58	-11
Elon 78 - Kennesaw St 61	0.939	Elon 103 - Kennesaw St 93	7
Florida International 76 - Stetson 64	0.898	Florida International 75 - Stetson 81	18
Georgia Southern 82 - Unranked 59		Georgia Southern 104 - Unranked 52
Grand Canyon 75 - Hampton 66	0.801	Grand Canyon 63 - Hampton 51	-3
Houston 85 - Texas Pan American 60	0.972	Houston 78 - Texas Pan American 65	12
Howard 85 - Unranked 57		Howard 98 - Unranked 79
Indiana 89 - Alcorn State 51	0.998	Indiana 112 - Alcorn State 70	-4
Kentucky 85 - Illinois State 58	0.991	Kentucky 75 - Illinois State 63	15
Minnesota 70 - Clemson 67	0.578	Minnesota 89 - Clemson 83	-3
Nevada 88 - Unranked 54		Nevada 108 - Unranked 57
New Hampshire 74 - Bryant 65	0.709	New Hampshire 75 - Bryant 67	1
North Carolina AT 65 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.716	North Carolina AT 74 - Northern Kentucky 63	-19
North Florida 91 - Unranked 56		North Florida 80 - Unranked 72
Northern Arizona 74 - Norfolk State 69	0.655	Northern Arizona 66 - Norfolk State 70	9
Northern Iowa 85 - North Texas 53	0.989	Northern Iowa 93 - North Texas 70	9
Oregon 79 - Fresno State 64	0.925	Oregon 78 - Fresno State 73	10
Princeton 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 58	0.896	Princeton 91 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	-8
Radford 73 - James Madison 69	0.608	Radford 68 - James Madison 70	6
Rutgers 72 - Wake Forest 74	0.559	Rutgers 68 - Wake Forest 69	-1
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Green Bay 78	0.691	SIU Edwardsville 69 - Green Bay 87	11
South Alabama 84 - Unranked 59		South Alabama 79 - Unranked 50
South Carolina 83 - Western Carolina 64	0.977	South Carolina 76 - Western Carolina 53	-4
South Carolina Upstate 80 - Unranked 60		South Carolina Upstate 101 - Unranked 54
Southern 87 - Unranked 56		Southern 96 - Unranked 63
UL Monroe 65 - Chattanooga 72	0.713	UL Monroe 64 - Chattanooga 54	-17

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 69 - Georgia State 67	0.572	Alabama Birmingham 64 - Georgia State 57	-5
Arkansas 88 - Northwestern State 67	0.958	Arkansas 117 - Northwestern State 78	-18
Arkansas Little Rock 84 - Central Arkansas 55	0.986	Arkansas Little Rock 79 - Central Arkansas 73	23
Ball State 74 - IUPUI 61	0.863	Ball State 61 - IUPUI 58	10
Belmont 82 - Lipscomb 69	0.901	Belmont 105 - Lipscomb 89	-3
Binghamton 63 - Colgate 70	0.707	Binghamton 69 - Colgate 50	-26
Cal State Fullerton 86 - Unranked 56		Cal State Fullerton 88 - Unranked 56
California 81 - Seattle 58	0.951	California 66 - Seattle 52	9
Charlotte 69 - Davidson 84	0.825	Charlotte 74 - Davidson 109	20
Cornell 69 - Siena 76	0.721	Cornell 81 - Siena 80	-8
Delaware 71 - Bradley 64	0.75	Delaware 70 - Bradley 47	-16
Duquesne 87 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.957	Duquesne 91 - Mississippi Valley State 77	15
East Carolina 74 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.742	East Carolina 74 - Florida Atlantic 48	-18
Eastern Illinois 59 - Indiana State 72	0.866	Eastern Illinois 68 - Indiana State 62	-19
Evansville 81 - Alabama State 61	0.915	Evansville 88 - Alabama State 56	-12
Florida 78 - Richmond 65	0.857	Florida 76 - Richmond 56	-7
Furman 82 - Unranked 58		Furman 99 - Unranked 38
Georgetown 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.978	Georgetown 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 49	11
Georgia 77 - Oakland 67	0.813	Georgia 86 - Oakland 82	6
Georgia Tech 77 - Wofford 61	0.919	Georgia Tech 77 - Wofford 61	0
Iona 79 - Fairfield 73	0.666	Iona 101 - Fairfield 77	-18
Iowa State 82 - North Dakota State 63	0.968	Iowa State 84 - North Dakota State 64	-1
Jacksonville State 66 - Samford 68	0.555	Jacksonville State 71 - Samford 77	4
Kansas 92 - Loyola MD 54	0.999	Kansas 94 - Loyola MD 61	5
Long Beach State 66 - San Diego State 72	0.681	Long Beach State 72 - San Diego State 76	-2
Memphis 74 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.523	Memphis 94 - Louisiana Tech 68	-25
Missouri 79 - Arkansas State 64	0.901	Missouri 88 - Arkansas State 78	5
Missouri State 65 - Utah State 73	0.736	Missouri State 68 - Utah State 69	-7
Mt St Marys 66 - American 65	0.509	Mt St Marys 81 - American 56	-24
NC State 73 - Michigan 74	0.542	NC State 59 - Michigan 66	6
Nebraska 71 - Miami 74	0.607	Nebraska 72 - Miami 77	2
New Mexico 75 - Oral Roberts 65	0.817	New Mexico 91 - Oral Roberts 75	-6
Nicholls State 80 - Unranked 63		Nicholls State 80 - Unranked 62
North Carolina 80 - Maryland 71	0.767	North Carolina 89 - Maryland 81	1
North Dakota 81 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 78 - Unranked 58
Ohio 84 - Marshall 65	0.937	Ohio 85 - Marshall 70	4
Ohio State 69 - Virginia 76	0.722	Ohio State 58 - Virginia 64	-1
Omaha 75 - Eastern Michigan 73	0.564	Omaha 73 - Eastern Michigan 80	9
Pittsburgh 72 - Purdue 73	0.513	Pittsburgh 59 - Purdue 72	12
Quinnipiac 64 - Albany 72	0.704	Quinnipiac 54 - Albany 58	-4
Saint Josephs 62 - Villanova 77	0.918	Saint Josephs 72 - Villanova 86	-1
San Francisco 76 - Eastern Washington 64	0.851	San Francisco 77 - Eastern Washington 81	16
Southeast Louisiana 82 - Unranked 62		Southeast Louisiana 101 - Unranked 65
Texas 75 - Texas Arlington 68	0.731	Texas 80 - Texas Arlington 73	0
Troy 72 - Southern Miss 64	0.76	Troy 69 - Southern Miss 59	-2
UMKC 77 - Tennessee Martin 60	0.876	UMKC 74 - Tennessee Martin 70	13
Utah Valley 70 - Montana State 69	0.514	Utah Valley 72 - Montana State 76	5
Virginia Tech 72 - Northwestern 73	0.541	Virginia Tech 79 - Northwestern 81	1
Weber State 89 - Unranked 53		Weber State 95 - Unranked 57
Western Kentucky 75 - Eastern Kentucky 72	0.601	Western Kentucky 86 - Eastern Kentucky 84	1
William and Mary 70 - Old Dominion 65	0.652	William and Mary 55 - Old Dominion 48	-2
Wright State 82 - Unranked 56		Wright State 68 - Unranked 50

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 80 - The Citadel 62	0.857	Air Force 97 - The Citadel 93	14
Akron 86 - Coppin State 59	0.992	Akron 77 - Coppin State 71	21
Baylor 89 - Prairie View 54	0.989	Baylor 80 - Prairie View 41	-4
Boise State 93 - Unranked 55		Boise State 100 - Unranked 36
Boston College 70 - Penn State 67	0.574	Boston College 58 - Penn State 67	12
Bowling Green 76 - UMBC 58	0.911	Bowling Green 72 - UMBC 64	10
Brown 79 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.938	Brown 82 - Central Connecticut State 64	-1
Bucknell 73 - Columbia 69	0.608	Bucknell 61 - Columbia 72	15
Buffalo 74 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.576	Buffalo 58 - Saint Bonaventure 60	4
Charleston Southern 73 - Winthrop 76	0.613	Charleston Southern 82 - Winthrop 83	-2
Cincinnati 76 - Butler 67	0.704	Cincinnati 76 - Butler 78	11
Clemson 79 - South Carolina Upstate 55	0.966	Clemson 76 - South Carolina Upstate 56	4
Coastal Carolina 67 - Auburn 76	0.715	Coastal Carolina 78 - Auburn 81	-6
Colorado 94 - Unranked 49		Colorado 95 - Unranked 71
Connecticut 88 - Sacred Heart 57	0.996	Connecticut 82 - Sacred Heart 49	-2
Creighton 79 - Arizona State 69	0.751	Creighton 77 - Arizona State 79	12
Dartmouth 67 - Vermont 70	0.603	Dartmouth 63 - Vermont 68	2
Denver 70 - Wyoming 62	0.746	Denver 52 - Wyoming 68	24
Duke 84 - Indiana 71	0.849	Duke 94 - Indiana 74	-7
Fordham 74 - Saint Johns 67	0.701	Fordham 73 - Saint Johns 57	-9
George Washington 75 - Seton Hall 68	0.732	George Washington 72 - Seton Hall 64	-1
Hawaii 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.969	Hawaii 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 47	-8
High Point 82 - Longwood 62	0.958	High Point 90 - Longwood 66	-4
Houston 75 - Murray State 67	0.705	Houston 93 - Murray State 78	-7
Houston Baptist 71 - Rice 76	0.683	Houston Baptist 77 - Rice 73	-9
Idaho 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.512	Idaho 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	-3
Illinois 72 - Notre Dame 74	0.573	Illinois 79 - Notre Dame 84	3
Illinois Chicago 66 - DePaul 75	0.76	Illinois Chicago 55 - DePaul 82	18
Iowa 78 - Florida State 71	0.717	Iowa 78 - Florida State 75	4
Jackson State 82 - Unranked 58		Jackson State 94 - Unranked 59
Jacksonville 81 - Unranked 63		Jacksonville 92 - Unranked 73
Kennesaw St 70 - Florida AM 62	0.776	Kennesaw St 61 - Florida AM 41	-12
La Salle 71 - Hofstra 72	0.525	La Salle 80 - Hofstra 84	3
Lafayette 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 68	0.642	Lafayette 62 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	13
Lamar 84 - Unranked 62		Lamar 83 - Unranked 60
Lamar 74 - Texas Pan American 69	0.668	Lamar 83 - Texas Pan American 60	-18
Louisiana State 76 - North Florida 73	0.586	Louisiana State 119 - North Florida 108	-8
Maine 70 - Army 81	0.838	Maine 71 - Army 84	2
Marquette 84 - Grambling State 55	0.99	Marquette 95 - Grambling State 49	-17
Massachusetts 79 - Boston 67	0.809	Massachusetts 99 - Boston 69	-18
Mercer 89 - Unranked 51		Mercer 82 - Unranked 47
Michigan State 74 - Louisville 71	0.618	Michigan State 71 - Louisville 67	-1
Middle Tennessee 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0.709	Middle Tennessee 56 - Virginia Commonwealth 62	0
Mississippi State 79 - Texas Southern 65	0.919	Mississippi State 86 - Texas Southern 73	1
New Mexico State 70 - Texas El Paso 69	0.509	New Mexico State 73 - Texas El Paso 59	-13
Norfolk State 85 - Unranked 59		Norfolk State 71 - Unranked 65
North Carolina AT 67 - UNC Greensboro 68	0.505	North Carolina AT 77 - UNC Greensboro 68	-10
Northeastern 73 - Harvard 62	0.779	Northeastern 80 - Harvard 71	2
Northern Arizona 69 - Hampton 70	0.538	Northern Arizona 94 - Hampton 98	3
Northern Illinois 77 - Chicago State 59	0.959	Northern Illinois 80 - Chicago State 58	-4
Oklahoma State 77 - Tulsa 72	0.69	Oklahoma State 56 - Tulsa 66	15
Oregon State 79 - Loyola Marymount 62	0.931	Oregon State 79 - Loyola Marymount 70	8
Pennsylvania 66 - Navy 67	0.517	Pennsylvania 59 - Navy 65	5
Portland State 71 - Portland 69	0.575	Portland State 72 - Portland 78	8
Presbyterian 67 - Gardner Webb 71	0.646	Presbyterian 76 - Gardner Webb 87	7
Providence 86 - Hartford 57	0.999	Providence 89 - Hartford 66	6
Rhode Island 77 - Holy Cross 55	0.959	Rhode Island 74 - Holy Cross 56	4
Rider 70 - Saint Peters 62	0.715	Rider 61 - Saint Peters 73	20
Saint Francis Penn 67 - Lehigh 68	0.524	Saint Francis Penn 84 - Lehigh 73	-12
Saint Louis 73 - Morehead State 62	0.855	Saint Louis 46 - Morehead State 60	25
San Diego 79 - Unranked 59		San Diego 71 - Unranked 56
San Jose State 80 - Unranked 62		San Jose State 90 - Unranked 60
Savannah State 67 - Georgia Southern 66	0.52	Savannah State 76 - Georgia Southern 67	-8
South Dakota State 95 - Unranked 52		South Dakota State 80 - Unranked 53
Southern Illinois 81 - SE Missouri State 59	0.986	Southern Illinois 74 - SE Missouri State 50	-2
Stetson 70 - Central Florida 76	0.736	Stetson 85 - Central Florida 94	3
Syracuse 73 - Wisconsin 65	0.726	Syracuse 58 - Wisconsin 66	16
Temple 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 58	0.98	Temple 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	15
Tennessee Tech 75 - East Tennessee State 73	0.548	Tennessee Tech 63 - East Tennessee State 61	0
Texas AM 83 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	0.982	Texas AM 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	13
Texas AM CC 76 - Austin Peay 65	0.875	Texas AM CC 61 - Austin Peay 48	-2
Texas Christian 69 - Southern Methodist 75	0.678	Texas Christian 70 - Southern Methodist 75	-1
Texas State 75 - Texas San Antonio 62	0.879	Texas State 76 - Texas San Antonio 53	-10
Texas Tech 77 - Sam Houston State 60	0.903	Texas Tech 71 - Sam Houston State 56	2
Toledo 75 - Cleveland State 68	0.723	Toledo 76 - Cleveland State 65	-4
Towson 65 - George Mason 70	0.645	Towson 75 - George Mason 54	-26
Tulane 77 - New Orleans 61	0.901	Tulane 64 - New Orleans 62	14
UC Davis 73 - Sacramento State 71	0.6	UC Davis 66 - Sacramento State 61	-3
UNC Wilmington 92 - Unranked 51		UNC Wilmington 93 - Unranked 73
Utah 79 - Brigham Young 70	0.715	Utah 83 - Brigham Young 75	1
Vanderbilt 88 - Detroit 62	0.98	Vanderbilt 102 - Detroit 52	-24
Virginia Military Institute 81 - Unranked 59		Virginia Military Institute 107 - Unranked 72
Wagner 72 - Morgan State 63	0.796	Wagner 62 - Morgan State 61	8
Washington State 66 - Gonzaga 77	0.855	Washington State 60 - Gonzaga 69	-2
Western Illinois 87 - Unranked 55		Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 49
Yale 80 - Bryant 59	0.913	Yale 79 - Bryant 40	-18
Youngstown State 76 - Robert Morris 69	0.708	Youngstown State 65 - Robert Morris 58	0

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 67 - New Hampshire 71	0.633	Abilene Christian 75 - New Hampshire 86	7
Alabama State 83 - Unranked 59		Alabama State 80 - Unranked 78
Bethune Cookman 77 - Unranked 61		Bethune Cookman 78 - Unranked 49
Cal Poly 72 - IPFW 66	0.708	Cal Poly 73 - IPFW 75	8
Colorado State 80 - Long Beach State 70	0.772	Colorado State 77 - Long Beach State 83	16
Delaware 70 - South Florida 69	0.505	Delaware 67 - South Florida 58	-8
Fresno State 91 - Unranked 53		Fresno State 84 - Unranked 72
Grand Canyon 77 - Central Michigan 62	0.902	Grand Canyon 75 - Central Michigan 72	12
Incarnate Word 88 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 108 - Unranked 71
James Madison 73 - Western Michigan 66	0.708	James Madison 63 - Western Michigan 57	1
LIU Brooklyn 71 - UMass Lowell 70	0.505	LIU Brooklyn 84 - UMass Lowell 72	-11
Milwaukee 82 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.943	Milwaukee 64 - SIU Edwardsville 51	6
North Carolina Central 71 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.784	North Carolina Central 86 - Mississippi Valley State 79	5
Oklahoma 93 - Central Arkansas 56	0.998	Oklahoma 111 - Central Arkansas 68	-6
Radford 78 - Liberty 58	0.955	Radford 56 - Liberty 52	16
Southern Utah 81 - Unranked 63		Southern Utah 105 - Unranked 85
Texas Arlington 83 - North Texas 59	0.98	Texas Arlington 90 - North Texas 67	1
UC Riverside 80 - Northern Colorado 64	0.93	UC Riverside 77 - Northern Colorado 66	5
UC Santa Barbara 70 - Southern California 73	0.619	UC Santa Barbara 63 - Southern California 75	9
UCLA 70 - Kentucky 79	0.767	UCLA 87 - Kentucky 77	-19
UL Monroe 75 - UL Lafayette 70	0.661	UL Monroe 81 - UL Lafayette 70	-6
Valparaiso 77 - Belmont 67	0.817	Valparaiso 61 - Belmont 57	6
Western Carolina 87 - Unranked 58		Western Carolina 96 - Unranked 45
Wofford 84 - Unranked 54		Wofford 86 - Unranked 66

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 66 - North Dakota State 76	0.819	Arkansas State 73 - North Dakota State 74	-9
Canisius 74 - Monmouth 77	0.604	Canisius 96 - Monmouth 86	-13
Columbia 69 - Saint Josephs 72	0.583	Columbia 78 - Saint Josephs 80	-1
Duquesne 69 - Pittsburgh 79	0.748	Duquesne 75 - Pittsburgh 96	11
East Carolina 77 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.904	East Carolina 82 - South Carolina Upstate 71	5
Fairfield 73 - Rider 66	0.705	Fairfield 74 - Rider 70	3
Florida International 70 - Elon 71	0.521	Florida International 71 - Elon 77	5
Georgia 69 - Kansas State 68	0.523	Georgia 66 - Kansas State 68	3
Louisiana Tech 82 - Jackson State 59	0.956	Louisiana Tech 95 - Jackson State 88	16
Marist 70 - Iona 77	0.693	Marist 66 - Iona 101	28
Marshall 63 - Akron 78	0.894	Marshall 65 - Akron 75	-5
Maryland 87 - Saint Francis Penn 55	0.983	Maryland 96 - Saint Francis Penn 55	-9
Missouri 71 - Northern Illinois 64	0.741	Missouri 78 - Northern Illinois 71	0
Montana 66 - San Francisco 69	0.584	Montana 82 - San Francisco 50	-35
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - Oregon 73	0.643	Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Oregon 69	-14
Niagara 68 - Quinnipiac 70	0.569	Niagara 76 - Quinnipiac 72	-6
Old Dominion 76 - Delaware State 50	0.992	Old Dominion 82 - Delaware State 38	-18
Pacific 65 - UC Irvine 74	0.789	Pacific 67 - UC Irvine 70	-6
Saint Marys 85 - UC Davis 62	0.959	Saint Marys 81 - UC Davis 67	9
Seattle 64 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.609	Seattle 61 - Cal State Fullerton 70	6
Siena 76 - Manhattan 68	0.761	Siena 89 - Manhattan 54	-27
Southeast Louisiana 67 - Southern 75	0.732	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Southern 73	-4
Southern Miss 58 - Alabama 75	0.905	Southern Miss 55 - Alabama 58	-14
Texas 80 - Samford 60	0.97	Texas 59 - Samford 49	10
Wake Forest 77 - Arkansas 75	0.575	Wake Forest 88 - Arkansas 85	-1
Wright State 64 - Georgia State 68	0.6	Wright State 46 - Georgia State 59	9
Youngstown State 71 - American 65	0.663	Youngstown State 56 - American 60	10

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 69 - Texas AM 74	0.634	Arizona State 67 - Texas AM 54	-18
Ball State 76 - New Orleans 62	0.868	Ball State 66 - New Orleans 52	0
Bowling Green 70 - Drake 68	0.552	Bowling Green 75 - Drake 63	-10
Bradley 68 - North Dakota 63	0.633	Bradley 59 - North Dakota 65	11
Brigham Young 74 - Weber State 70	0.605	Brigham Young 73 - Weber State 68	-1
Bryant 70 - Brown 71	0.505	Bryant 68 - Brown 76	7
Butler 78 - Indiana State 63	0.839	Butler 85 - Indiana State 71	1
Cal Poly 69 - Fresno State 70	0.512	Cal Poly 77 - Fresno State 65	-13
Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Northern Arizona 63	0.791	Cal State Bakersfield 72 - Northern Arizona 55	-7
Cal State Northridge 67 - Pepperdine 72	0.652	Cal State Northridge 55 - Pepperdine 70	10
Canisius 77 - Quinnipiac 67	0.803	Canisius 76 - Quinnipiac 78	12
Central Florida 80 - Illinois Chicago 62	0.936	Central Florida 88 - Illinois Chicago 58	-12
Cleveland State 69 - Kent State 68	0.5	Cleveland State 62 - Kent State 66	5
Coppin State 69 - Hampton 76	0.73	Coppin State 71 - Hampton 74	-4
Cornell 74 - Lafayette 73	0.508	Cornell 85 - Lafayette 67	-17
Dartmouth 71 - Hartford 64	0.73	Dartmouth 74 - Hartford 65	-2
Dayton 81 - North Florida 66	0.856	Dayton 86 - North Florida 71	0
Denver 69 - Air Force 61	0.713	Denver 59 - Air Force 61	10
DePaul 78 - Chicago State 63	0.915	DePaul 96 - Chicago State 72	-9
Detroit 72 - Northeastern 77	0.675	Detroit 76 - Northeastern 73	-8
Duke 89 - Buffalo 65	0.971	Duke 82 - Buffalo 59	1
Eastern Illinois 68 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.51	Eastern Illinois 79 - Northern Kentucky 73	-5
Florida AM 62 - South Carolina State 68	0.672	Florida AM 67 - South Carolina State 79	6
Fordham 88 - Central Connecticut State 54	0.998	Fordham 86 - Central Connecticut State 54	2
Gardner Webb 70 - High Point 74	0.663	Gardner Webb 64 - High Point 66	-2
George Mason 75 - Pennsylvania 62	0.82	George Mason 63 - Pennsylvania 44	-6
Georgetown 70 - Syracuse 71	0.514	Georgetown 79 - Syracuse 72	-8
Gonzaga 76 - Arizona 68	0.75	Gonzaga 63 - Arizona 68	13
Holy Cross 61 - Albany 71	0.748	Holy Cross 84 - Albany 88	-6
Idaho 57 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.855	Idaho 54 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	-4
Illinois 80 - Western Carolina 65	0.897	Illinois 80 - Western Carolina 68	3
Illinois State 72 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.7	Illinois State 61 - Alabama Birmingham 74	18
Indiana 80 - Morehead State 65	0.888	Indiana 92 - Morehead State 59	-18
Iowa 80 - UMKC 62	0.897	Iowa 95 - UMKC 75	-2
IUPUI 65 - Miami OH 72	0.707	IUPUI 78 - Miami OH 64	-21
Jacksonville State 72 - Jacksonville 64	0.804	Jacksonville State 82 - Jacksonville 86	12
Kansas 83 - Harvard 57	0.976	Kansas 75 - Harvard 69	20
La Salle 77 - Drexel 63	0.835	La Salle 53 - Drexel 66	27
Lamar 75 - Idaho State 70	0.706	Lamar 82 - Idaho State 70	-7
Lehigh 84 - Unranked 59		Lehigh 84 - Unranked 50
Liberty 67 - Charleston Southern 72	0.654	Liberty 61 - Charleston Southern 68	2
Lipscomb 75 - Tennessee Tech 73	0.588	Lipscomb 78 - Tennessee Tech 81	5
Long Beach State 71 - New Mexico State 69	0.577	Long Beach State 67 - New Mexico State 53	-12
Longwood 73 - UMBC 67	0.697	Longwood 59 - UMBC 70	17
Louisville 80 - Grand Canyon 55	0.991	Louisville 111 - Grand Canyon 63	-23
Loyola Ill 63 - Creighton 77	0.835	Loyola Ill 68 - Creighton 65	-17
Marquette 85 - Maine 60	0.984	Marquette 104 - Maine 67	-12
Massachusetts 76 - Mississippi 69	0.713	Massachusetts 64 - Mississippi 74	17
Memphis 85 - SE Missouri State 59	0.991	Memphis 80 - SE Missouri State 65	11
Mercer 83 - Alcorn State 51	0.998	Mercer 68 - Alcorn State 43	7
Miami 88 - Charlotte 59	0.958	Miami 88 - Charlotte 60	1
Michigan 91 - Houston Baptist 55	0.993	Michigan 82 - Houston Baptist 57	11
Michigan State 92 - Binghamton 46	0.999	Michigan State 76 - Binghamton 33	3
Middle Tennessee 77 - South Alabama 61	0.937	Middle Tennessee 68 - South Alabama 55	3
Minnesota 83 - South Dakota 66	0.924	Minnesota 81 - South Dakota 85	21
Mt St Marys 72 - Loyola MD 69	0.601	Mt St Marys 85 - Loyola MD 68	-14
Murray State 71 - Evansville 69	0.562	Murray State 81 - Evansville 85	6
NC State 80 - Bucknell 65	0.905	NC State 99 - Bucknell 86	2
Nebraska 85 - Abilene Christian 54	0.988	Nebraska 73 - Abilene Christian 63	21
Nevada 68 - Oregon State 72	0.616	Nevada 62 - Oregon State 66	0
Nicholls State 80 - Unranked 63		Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 74
NJ Tech 78 - UMass Lowell 64	0.94	NJ Tech 90 - UMass Lowell 77	1
North Carolina AT 65 - Howard 73	0.737	North Carolina AT 66 - Howard 63	-11
North Carolina Central 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	0.679	North Carolina Central 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	-4
North Texas 64 - Southern Illinois 76	0.889	North Texas 63 - Southern Illinois 95	20
Northwestern 83 - SIU Edwardsville 59	0.984	Northwestern 81 - SIU Edwardsville 56	-1
Ohio State 81 - Virginia Military Institute 59	0.965	Ohio State 89 - Virginia Military Institute 62	-5
Oklahoma State 82 - Missouri State 61	0.969	Oklahoma State 63 - Missouri State 64	22
Penn State 67 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.552	Penn State 81 - Eastern Michigan 70	-9
Portland 70 - Boise State 75	0.64	Portland 71 - Boise State 81	5
Purdue 79 - New Mexico 65	0.857	Purdue 70 - New Mexico 58	2
Rhode Island 71 - Providence 72	0.517	Rhode Island 72 - Providence 74	1
Rice 86 - Unranked 61		Rice 93 - Unranked 72
Richmond 72 - Northern Iowa 73	0.516	Richmond 82 - Northern Iowa 67	-16
Robert Morris 67 - Oakland 76	0.762	Robert Morris 74 - Oakland 92	9
Rutgers 68 - Seton Hall 74	0.707	Rutgers 55 - Seton Hall 84	23
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Ohio 71	0.618	Saint Bonaventure 81 - Ohio 68	-10
Saint Louis 71 - Wichita State 66	0.691	Saint Louis 53 - Wichita State 68	20
Santa Clara 74 - San Jose State 61	0.813	Santa Clara 78 - San Jose State 75	10
Savannah State 65 - Eastern Kentucky 76	0.822	Savannah State 71 - Eastern Kentucky 74	-8
South Carolina 82 - South Florida 61	0.977	South Carolina 81 - South Florida 63	3
Southern Methodist 84 - New Hampshire 58	0.963	Southern Methodist 98 - New Hampshire 44	-28
Stephen F Austin 76 - Texas Southern 63	0.869	Stephen F Austin 66 - Texas Southern 62	9
Stony Brook 66 - Princeton 69	0.567	Stony Brook 91 - Princeton 77	-17
Tennessee State 73 - Stetson 65	0.796	Tennessee State 74 - Stetson 54	-12
Texas AM CC 70 - Texas State 63	0.792	Texas AM CC 47 - Texas State 39	-1
Texas Christian 80 - Colgate 65	0.894	Texas Christian 76 - Colgate 49	-12
Texas El Paso 72 - Texas Arlington 68	0.648	Texas El Paso 62 - Texas Arlington 76	18
The Citadel 65 - College of Charleston 77	0.765	The Citadel 74 - College of Charleston 82	-4
Towson 76 - Sacred Heart 66	0.848	Towson 83 - Sacred Heart 61	-12
Troy 74 - Austin Peay 70	0.642	Troy 71 - Austin Peay 80	13
Tulane 67 - Georgia Tech 73	0.669	Tulane 68 - Georgia Tech 76	2
Tulsa 77 - Oral Roberts 67	0.838	Tulsa 68 - Oral Roberts 70	12
UNC Asheville 87 - Unranked 57		UNC Asheville 103 - Unranked 36
Utah 80 - IPFW 63	0.899	Utah 96 - IPFW 79	0
Utah Valley 70 - Southern Utah 66	0.656	Utah Valley 54 - Southern Utah 68	18
Virginia 80 - William and Mary 63	0.894	Virginia 67 - William and Mary 52	2
Virginia Tech 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.944	Virginia Tech 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 45	-16
West Virginia 91 - Kennesaw St 50	0.998	West Virginia 87 - Kennesaw St 54	8
Winthrop 78 - Presbyterian 60	0.948	Winthrop 74 - Presbyterian 70	14
Wisconsin 74 - Temple 66	0.73	Wisconsin 76 - Temple 60	-8
Wyoming 69 - California 75	0.68	Wyoming 72 - California 78	0
Xavier 85 - Western Kentucky 61	0.952	Xavier 95 - Western Kentucky 64	-7
Yale 73 - Vermont 67	0.654	Yale 72 - Vermont 54	-12

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 65 - Hofstra 80	0.874	Appalachian State 80 - Hofstra 86	-9
Baylor 73 - Vanderbilt 72	0.538	Baylor 69 - Vanderbilt 67	-1
Boston College 76 - UMass Lowell 64	0.832	Boston College 66 - UMass Lowell 68	14
Cincinnati 86 - Morgan State 50	0.994	Cincinnati 87 - Morgan State 66	15
Clemson 73 - Wofford 59	0.896	Clemson 66 - Wofford 51	-1
Coastal Carolina 69 - Radford 68	0.516	Coastal Carolina 63 - Radford 58	-4
Colorado State 73 - Colorado 74	0.504	Colorado State 77 - Colorado 88	10
Columbia 75 - Delaware 66	0.787	Columbia 82 - Delaware 69	-4
Eastern Washington 85 - Unranked 60		Eastern Washington 104 - Unranked 64
Florida International 67 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.507	Florida International 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 84	7
Florida State 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.61	Florida State 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	-8
Green Bay 79 - Toledo 74	0.627	Green Bay 69 - Toledo 71	7
James Madison 79 - Marshall 63	0.878	James Madison 107 - Marshall 84	-7
Loyola Marymount 72 - UC Riverside 68	0.632	Loyola Marymount 77 - UC Riverside 76	3
Manhattan 75 - Marist 64	0.794	Manhattan 70 - Marist 75	16
Montana State 73 - Omaha 80	0.743	Montana State 97 - Omaha 100	-4
Niagara 65 - Monmouth 79	0.888	Niagara 42 - Monmouth 56	0
North Carolina 84 - Davidson 71	0.868	North Carolina 98 - Davidson 65	-20
Pittsburgh 90 - Central Arkansas 57	0.994	Pittsburgh 100 - Central Arkansas 47	-20
Saint Johns 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	0.903	Saint Johns 63 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 56	9
Saint Marys 80 - UC Irvine 64	0.876	Saint Marys 70 - UC Irvine 60	6
Saint Peters 67 - Siena 72	0.654	Saint Peters 72 - Siena 68	-9
Sam Houston State 84 - Unranked 56		Sam Houston State 109 - Unranked 61
San Diego State 78 - San Diego 53	0.97	San Diego State 48 - San Diego 53	30
Seattle 73 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.823	Seattle 84 - Mississippi Valley State 72	3
Southern Miss 58 - North Dakota State 73	0.925	Southern Miss 74 - North Dakota State 62	-27
Texas Pan American 82 - Unranked 61		Texas Pan American 76 - Unranked 75
UCLA 79 - Long Beach State 68	0.851	UCLA 83 - Long Beach State 76	4
Wagner 67 - American 61	0.667	Wagner 55 - American 48	-1
Washington 80 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.864	Washington 87 - Cal State Fullerton 69	-4
Washington State 77 - Portland State 64	0.88	Washington State 91 - Portland State 67	-11

Number of DI Games: 312
Number Correct: 241 = 77.2%
Expected Number Correct: 239.723 = 76.8%
Average Error: 9.04
Average Signed Error: 0.29

WEEK 5 -- 12-7 to 12-13

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 66 - South Carolina State 69	0.589	Bethune Cookman 69 - South Carolina State 54	-18
Butler 88 - Virginia Military Institute 57	0.976	Butler 93 - Virginia Military Institute 66	4
Central Michigan 85 - Unranked 60		Central Michigan 90 - Unranked 51
College of Charleston 70 - East Carolina 62	0.733	College of Charleston 77 - East Carolina 73	4
Coppin State 71 - Norfolk State 73	0.553	Coppin State 56 - Norfolk State 88	30
Georgetown 84 - Brown 60	0.966	Georgetown 74 - Brown 57	7
Iowa 82 - Western Illinois 62	0.904	Iowa 90 - Western Illinois 56	-14
Iowa State 87 - Buffalo 63	0.992	Iowa State 84 - Buffalo 63	3
Kennesaw St 80 - Unranked 60		Kennesaw St 69 - Unranked 59
Lipscomb 71 - Belmont 81	0.859	Lipscomb 84 - Belmont 93	-1
Navy 60 - Oregon 76	0.881	Navy 47 - Oregon 67	4
NJ Tech 71 - Kent State 70	0.55	NJ Tech 75 - Kent State 80	6
North Carolina AT 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 66	0.673	North Carolina AT 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 74	1
North Carolina Central 68 - Howard 67	0.538	North Carolina Central 69 - Howard 71	3
Oakland 79 - Binghamton 60	0.954	Oakland 83 - Binghamton 72	8
Oklahoma 70 - Villanova 75	0.705	Oklahoma 78 - Villanova 55	-28
Presbyterian 78 - Unranked 61		Presbyterian 93 - Unranked 69
Purdue 88 - IUPUI 53	0.996	Purdue 80 - IUPUI 53	8
Sacramento State 79 - Incarnate Word 70	0.806	Sacramento State 73 - Incarnate Word 70	6
San Diego State 90 - Unranked 49		San Diego State 73 - Unranked 53
San Francisco 74 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.744	San Francisco 65 - Cal State Northridge 61	5
Southern California 83 - Idaho 61	0.953	Southern California 74 - Idaho 55	3
Western Michigan 69 - Northeastern 71	0.564	Western Michigan 87 - Northeastern 86	-3

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 78 - Evansville 76	0.563	Arkansas 89 - Evansville 76	-11
Baylor 93 - Northwestern State 59	0.989	Baylor 75 - Northwestern State 62	21
Boston 71 - Harvard 69	0.567	Boston 69 - Harvard 75	8
Bryant 68 - Army 79	0.836	Bryant 55 - Army 77	11
Central Florida 71 - Massachusetts 75	0.62	Central Florida 67 - Massachusetts 63	-8
Chattanooga 91 - Unranked 53		Chattanooga 91 - Unranked 63
Connecticut 73 - Maryland 74	0.518	Connecticut 66 - Maryland 76	9
Duquesne 84 - UMBC 61	0.948	Duquesne 89 - UMBC 70	4
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 54		Eastern Michigan 86 - Unranked 58
Fordham 80 - LIU Brooklyn 60	0.959	Fordham 89 - LIU Brooklyn 84	15
Furman 73 - Liberty 58	0.907	Furman 79 - Liberty 56	-8
George Mason 64 - Northern Iowa 72	0.673	George Mason 65 - Northern Iowa 73	0
George Washington 75 - Penn State 62	0.832	George Washington 76 - Penn State 66	3
Georgia 78 - Winthrop 63	0.958	Georgia 74 - Winthrop 64	5
Gonzaga 80 - Montana 56	0.935	Gonzaga 61 - Montana 58	21
Grand Canyon 72 - Southern 67	0.632	Grand Canyon 70 - Southern 56	-9
Hawaii 93 - Unranked 55		Hawaii 86 - Unranked 67
Louisiana Tech 95 - Unranked 54		Louisiana Tech 82 - Unranked 49
Loyola MD 68 - Towson 73	0.676	Loyola MD 54 - Towson 65	6
Marquette 85 - San Jose State 60	0.968	Marquette 80 - San Jose State 62	7
Miami 70 - Florida 71	0.5	Miami 66 - Florida 55	-12
Minnesota 75 - South Dakota State 73	0.565	Minnesota 70 - South Dakota State 84	16
Mt St Marys 72 - Bucknell 71	0.528	Mt St Marys 81 - Bucknell 73	-7
New Hampshire 84 - Unranked 59		New Hampshire 100 - Unranked 66
Notre Dame 76 - Stony Brook 65	0.825	Notre Dame 86 - Stony Brook 61	-14
Ohio State 75 - Air Force 63	0.838	Ohio State 74 - Air Force 50	-12
Portland 80 - Idaho State 63	0.95	Portland 65 - Idaho State 66	18
Rhode Island 75 - Houston 71	0.618	Rhode Island 67 - Houston 57	-6
Rider 67 - Wagner 65	0.545	Rider 64 - Wagner 65	3
Rutgers 82 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.985	Rutgers 75 - Central Connecticut State 59	7
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Vermont 65	0.786	Saint Bonaventure 80 - Vermont 68	-3
Saint Josephs 76 - Princeton 70	0.639	Saint Josephs 62 - Princeton 50	-6
SE Missouri State 64 - Bowling Green 73	0.741	SE Missouri State 52 - Bowling Green 79	18
South Dakota 76 - UMKC 70	0.668	South Dakota 79 - UMKC 70	-3
Southern Methodist 75 - Michigan 68	0.667	Southern Methodist 82 - Michigan 58	-17
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 55		Stephen F Austin 87 - Unranked 54
Syracuse 84 - Colgate 55	0.983	Syracuse 78 - Colgate 51	2
Texas 89 - Texas San Antonio 56	0.997	Texas 116 - Texas San Antonio 50	-33
Texas Arlington 80 - Bradley 57	0.971	Texas Arlington 97 - Bradley 61	-13
The Citadel 87 - Unranked 67		The Citadel 89 - Unranked 85
Tulsa 78 - Iona 73	0.643	Tulsa 90 - Iona 81	-4
Virginia 70 - West Virginia 71	0.507	Virginia 70 - West Virginia 54	-17
Washington 79 - Texas Christian 71	0.753	Washington 92 - Texas Christian 67	-17
Xavier 87 - Wright State 52	0.985	Xavier 90 - Wright State 55	0

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 81 - Fresno State 62	0.951	Arizona 85 - Fresno State 72	6
Boise State 81 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.936	Boise State 67 - Loyola Marymount 66	14
Brigham Young 76 - Utah State 68	0.729	Brigham Young 80 - Utah State 68	-4
California 85 - Incarnate Word 67	0.954	California 74 - Incarnate Word 62	6
Charlotte 74 - Campbell 69	0.631	Charlotte 70 - Campbell 76	11
Coastal Carolina 85 - Unranked 54		Coastal Carolina 98 - Unranked 73
Colorado State 95 - Unranked 58		Colorado State 97 - Unranked 72
Creighton 76 - Nebraska 70	0.668	Creighton 83 - Nebraska 67	-10
Davidson 85 - Eastern Washington 66	0.926	Davidson 96 - Eastern Washington 86	9
Detroit 76 - Toledo 78	0.557	Detroit 75 - Toledo 72	-5
Drake 71 - DePaul 72	0.516	Drake 71 - DePaul 74	2
Hartford 68 - Quinnipiac 69	0.555	Hartford 66 - Quinnipiac 68	1
High Point 77 - UNC Greensboro 59	0.973	High Point 90 - UNC Greensboro 72	0
Illinois 74 - Yale 69	0.626	Illinois 69 - Yale 65	1
Indiana 83 - IPFW 66	0.903	Indiana 90 - IPFW 65	-8
Indiana State 62 - Valparaiso 70	0.713	Indiana State 63 - Valparaiso 69	-2
Kansas 87 - Holy Cross 55	0.996	Kansas 92 - Holy Cross 59	-1
Kansas State 87 - Coppin State 56	0.99	Kansas State 83 - Coppin State 58	6
Kentucky 86 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.957	Kentucky 88 - Eastern Kentucky 67	1
Lafayette 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.55	Lafayette 89 - Fairleigh Dickinson 91	4
Maine 66 - Dartmouth 72	0.71	Maine 69 - Dartmouth 79	4
Manhattan 66 - Columbia 74	0.705	Manhattan 71 - Columbia 72	-7
Marist 64 - Albany 75	0.738	Marist 53 - Albany 75	11
Marshall 72 - Eastern Illinois 71	0.538	Marshall 82 - Eastern Illinois 76	-5
Michigan State 92 - Maryland Eastern Shore 50	0.998	Michigan State 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 35	-1
Missouri 82 - Omaha 70	0.887	Missouri 85 - Omaha 78	5
Nevada 89 - Unranked 54		Nevada 119 - Unranked 70
Northern Colorado 81 - Unranked 65		Northern Colorado 91 - Unranked 58
Oral Roberts 92 - Unranked 54		Oral Roberts 88 - Unranked 53
Pennsylvania 63 - Temple 76	0.865	Pennsylvania 73 - Temple 77	-9
Pepperdine 69 - Long Beach State 70	0.526	Pepperdine 77 - Long Beach State 75	-3
Providence 83 - Boston College 60	0.967	Providence 66 - Boston College 51	8
Purdue 88 - Howard 55	0.995	Purdue 93 - Howard 55	-5
Radford 70 - Virginia Tech 74	0.638	Radford 65 - Virginia Tech 74	5
Saint Johns 76 - Niagara 60	0.92	Saint Johns 48 - Niagara 44	12
San Diego 64 - Denver 65	0.538	San Diego 47 - Denver 59	11
Siena 73 - Hofstra 75	0.563	Siena 81 - Hofstra 68	-15
Southern Illinois 80 - SIU Edwardsville 60	0.966	Southern Illinois 74 - SIU Edwardsville 76	22
Texas Tech 82 - Tennessee Martin 55	0.979	Texas Tech 68 - Tennessee Martin 49	8
UL Lafayette 81 - Mcneese State 69	0.888	UL Lafayette 97 - Mcneese State 64	-21
Utah Valley 58 - Weber State 74	0.91	Utah Valley 84 - Weber State 81	-19
Vanderbilt 76 - Dayton 68	0.715	Vanderbilt 67 - Dayton 72	13
Wichita State 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.521	Wichita State 56 - Nevada Las Vegas 50	-5
Wisconsin 79 - Milwaukee 62	0.926	Wisconsin 67 - Milwaukee 68	18

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colgate 82 - Unranked 60		Colgate 90 - Unranked 68
East Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 57		East Tennessee State 98 - Unranked 47
Florida Atlantic 81 - Unranked 58		Florida Atlantic 72 - Unranked 59
Idaho 65 - Washington State 72	0.712	Idaho 78 - Washington State 74	-11
Iowa State 80 - Iowa 71	0.784	Iowa State 83 - Iowa 82	8
Kent State 69 - UL Monroe 64	0.696	Kent State 73 - UL Monroe 62	-6
Lipscomb 86 - Unranked 61		Lipscomb 83 - Unranked 53
Missouri State 73 - IUPUI 65	0.738	Missouri State 88 - IUPUI 74	-6
Penn State 75 - Canisius 69	0.661	Penn State 81 - Canisius 67	-8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - NJ Tech 72	0.72	Saint Francis Brooklyn 86 - NJ Tech 92	0
San Diego State 83 - Nicholls State 56	0.956	San Diego State 84 - Nicholls State 47	-10
Seton Hall 84 - Troy 61	0.978	Seton Hall 78 - Troy 69	14
UMass Lowell 70 - Boston 74	0.602	UMass Lowell 60 - Boston 80	16
Wyoming 72 - Southern 66	0.683	Wyoming 58 - Southern 68	16

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Chicago State 56 - Valparaiso 80	0.969	Chicago State 53 - Valparaiso 71	-6
North Dakota 66 - North Dakota State 73	0.674	North Dakota 67 - North Dakota State 69	-5
Pittsburgh 86 - Eastern Washington 59	0.984	Pittsburgh 84 - Eastern Washington 51	-6
South Carolina Upstate 81 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 70 - Unranked 58
Texas Christian 83 - Prairie View 59	0.976	Texas Christian 73 - Prairie View 55	6
Texas Pan American 68 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.522	Texas Pan American 64 - Tennessee Martin 72	9

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Unranked 64		Abilene Christian 69 - Unranked 46
Akron 81 - Bethune Cookman 53	0.986	Akron 81 - Bethune Cookman 60	7
Arkansas 82 - Tennessee Tech 69	0.852	Arkansas 83 - Tennessee Tech 57	-13
Arkansas State 88 - Unranked 62		Arkansas State 104 - Unranked 71
Army 73 - Air Force 71	0.59	Army 90 - Air Force 80	-8
Ball State 68 - Pepperdine 64	0.618	Ball State 63 - Pepperdine 72	13
Boise State 73 - Oregon 76	0.602	Boise State 74 - Oregon 72	-5
Buffalo 77 - Binghamton 58	0.944	Buffalo 80 - Binghamton 64	3
Butler 81 - Tennessee 68	0.793	Butler 94 - Tennessee 86	5
Cal State Fullerton 75 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.753	Cal State Fullerton 70 - Loyola Marymount 82	19
California 72 - Saint Marys 76	0.599	California 63 - Saint Marys 59	-8
Central Florida 75 - Florida Atlantic 62	0.856	Central Florida 75 - Florida Atlantic 61	-1
Central Michigan 74 - Texas Southern 69	0.675	Central Michigan 79 - Texas Southern 71	-3
Charleston Southern 71 - Rider 67	0.614	Charleston Southern 72 - Rider 82	14
Cleveland State 69 - Ohio 72	0.599	Cleveland State 67 - Ohio 76	6
Colorado 77 - Brigham Young 67	0.788	Colorado 92 - Brigham Young 83	1
Columbia 74 - NJ Tech 70	0.66	Columbia 65 - NJ Tech 56	-5
Connecticut 77 - Ohio State 66	0.825	Connecticut 75 - Ohio State 55	-9
Creighton 84 - IUPUI 62	0.93	Creighton 90 - IUPUI 65	-3
Davidson 84 - Western Carolina 66	0.913	Davidson 87 - Western Carolina 54	-15
Dayton 79 - Chattanooga 64	0.843	Dayton 59 - Chattanooga 61	17
DePaul 67 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.604	DePaul 44 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	20
Detroit 75 - Bowling Green 71	0.604	Detroit 95 - Bowling Green 80	-11
Evansville 89 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.989	Evansville 95 - Mississippi Valley State 60	-2
Florida AM 58 - Samford 74	0.954	Florida AM 67 - Samford 86	3
Fresno State 78 - Pacific 64	0.94	Fresno State 71 - Pacific 52	-5
Furman 71 - Gardner Webb 68	0.598	Furman 53 - Gardner Webb 73	23
George Washington 81 - Rutgers 60	0.942	George Washington 83 - Rutgers 49	-13
Georgetown 76 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.716	Georgetown 87 - UNC Wilmington 82	3
Georgia State 67 - Old Dominion 66	0.51	Georgia State 68 - Old Dominion 64	-3
Gonzaga 78 - UCLA 69	0.752	Gonzaga 66 - UCLA 71	14
Hartford 69 - Holy Cross 67	0.546	Hartford 68 - Holy Cross 90	24
Hawaii 93 - Unranked 55		Hawaii 83 - Unranked 71
Houston Baptist 82 - Unranked 64		Houston Baptist 110 - Unranked 53
Howard 71 - Radford 69	0.546	Howard 91 - Radford 92	3
Idaho State 72 - Utah Valley 65	0.773	Idaho State 76 - Utah Valley 100	31
Illinois Chicago 58 - Illinois 85	0.98	Illinois Chicago 79 - Illinois 83	-23
Indiana 88 - Mcneese State 59	0.989	Indiana 105 - Mcneese State 60	-16
IPFW 76 - Austin Peay 65	0.842	IPFW 85 - Austin Peay 68	-6
Jackson State 85 - Unranked 58		Jackson State 75 - Unranked 37
James Madison 72 - George Mason 66	0.657	James Madison 69 - George Mason 46	-17
Kent State 77 - Canisius 70	0.731	Kent State 84 - Canisius 77	0
Kentucky 78 - Arizona State 66	0.794	Kentucky 72 - Arizona State 58	-2
Liberty 65 - Lamar 70	0.672	Liberty 58 - Lamar 73	10
Lipscomb 68 - Princeton 78	0.746	Lipscomb 64 - Princeton 78	4
Long Beach State 92 - Unranked 55		Long Beach State 87 - Unranked 60
Louisiana Tech 85 - UL Lafayette 71	0.847	Louisiana Tech 91 - UL Lafayette 79	2
Louisville 83 - Eastern Michigan 57	0.97	Louisville 86 - Eastern Michigan 53	-7
Marist 68 - Delaware 72	0.601	Marist 69 - Delaware 70	-3
Marshall 71 - Eastern Kentucky 80	0.808	Marshall 96 - Eastern Kentucky 72	-33
Maryland 90 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.99	Maryland 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	13
Memphis 83 - Manhattan 59	0.95	Memphis 89 - Manhattan 57	-8
Michigan 87 - Delaware State 48	0.996	Michigan 80 - Delaware State 33	-8
Michigan State 75 - Florida 68	0.73	Michigan State 58 - Florida 52	1
Middle Tennessee 72 - Auburn 71	0.546	Middle Tennessee 88 - Auburn 81	-6
Nevada 75 - Drake 65	0.764	Nevada 79 - Drake 71	2
New Mexico 74 - Northern Iowa 68	0.648	New Mexico 76 - Northern Iowa 57	-13
New Orleans 81 - Unranked 61		New Orleans 83 - Unranked 66
Niagara 71 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.619	Niagara 79 - LIU Brooklyn 80	5
North Florida 93 - Unranked 59		North Florida 117 - Unranked 71
Northeastern 70 - Stony Brook 69	0.521	Northeastern 75 - Stony Brook 62	-12
Oklahoma 84 - Oral Roberts 64	0.98	Oklahoma 96 - Oral Roberts 73	-3
Oklahoma State 73 - Minnesota 74	0.54	Oklahoma State 62 - Minnesota 60	-3
Oregon State 70 - Kansas 76	0.681	Oregon State 67 - Kansas 82	9
Penn State 67 - UL Monroe 63	0.628	Penn State 54 - UL Monroe 50	0
Portland 72 - Sacramento State 71	0.538	Portland 81 - Sacramento State 73	-7
Providence 88 - Bryant 54	0.998	Providence 74 - Bryant 67	27
Purdue 91 - Youngstown State 56	0.998	Purdue 95 - Youngstown State 64	4
Richmond 89 - Longwood 58	0.988	Richmond 77 - Longwood 59	13
Sacred Heart 75 - Lafayette 72	0.576	Sacred Heart 86 - Lafayette 90	7
Saint Francis Penn 67 - Duquesne 81	0.811	Saint Francis Penn 65 - Duquesne 67	-12
Saint Louis 71 - Alabama AM 61	0.814	Saint Louis 75 - Alabama AM 58	-7
Santa Clara 83 - Unranked 57		Santa Clara 73 - Unranked 66
SE Missouri State 61 - Mississippi 79	0.938	SE Missouri State 64 - Mississippi 75	-7
Siena 70 - Albany 71	0.516	Siena 78 - Albany 70	-9
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Portland State 69	0.54	SIU Edwardsville 74 - Portland State 64	-9
South Carolina State 73 - Jacksonville 67	0.686	South Carolina State 81 - Jacksonville 74	-1
South Dakota 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.712	South Dakota 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 77	18
Southern Illinois 83 - North Texas 60	0.976	Southern Illinois 74 - North Texas 66	15
Southern Utah 82 - Unranked 61		Southern Utah 79 - Unranked 41
Stanford 78 - Dartmouth 58	0.941	Stanford 64 - Dartmouth 50	6
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 55		Stephen F Austin 86 - Unranked 48
Tennessee State 73 - Grambling State 55	0.919	Tennessee State 64 - Grambling State 52	6
Texas 71 - North Carolina 77	0.71	Texas 84 - North Carolina 82	-8
Texas AM 73 - Kansas State 69	0.608	Texas AM 78 - Kansas State 68	-6
Texas San Antonio 64 - Texas AM CC 76	0.88	Texas San Antonio 79 - Texas AM CC 85	-6
Toledo 80 - Oakland 74	0.732	Toledo 64 - Oakland 76	18
UC Riverside 63 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	0.891	UC Riverside 62 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	-2
UMBC 67 - Mt St Marys 71	0.611	UMBC 75 - Mt St Marys 63	-16
UMKC 71 - Mississippi State 73	0.565	UMKC 72 - Mississippi State 67	-7
UNC Greensboro 80 - Unranked 60		UNC Greensboro 84 - Unranked 61
Utah State 70 - UC Irvine 67	0.607	Utah State 63 - UC Irvine 73	13
Virginia Military Institute 62 - Navy 68	0.678	Virginia Military Institute 62 - Navy 68	0
Washington 80 - Montana 64	0.832	Washington 92 - Montana 62	-14
Western Illinois 76 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.803	Western Illinois 64 - Eastern Illinois 57	7
Western Michigan 86 - Unranked 56		Western Michigan 101 - Unranked 59
Wichita State 72 - Utah 73	0.514	Wichita State 67 - Utah 50	-18
Wisconsin 77 - Marquette 67	0.758	Wisconsin 55 - Marquette 57	12
Xavier 77 - Cincinnati 68	0.702	Xavier 65 - Cincinnati 55	-1

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Seattle 58	0.919	Alabama Birmingham 79 - Seattle 73	10
Arizona 79 - Missouri 64	0.897	Arizona 88 - Missouri 52	-21
Boston College 79 - Maine 63	0.892	Boston College 91 - Maine 60	-15
Clemson 69 - Alabama 66	0.62	Clemson 50 - Alabama 51	4
Colgate 70 - New Hampshire 69	0.532	Colgate 75 - New Hampshire 59	-15
College of Charleston 87 - Unranked 50		College of Charleston 89 - Unranked 52
Denver 66 - Weber State 65	0.539	Denver 69 - Weber State 68	0
East Carolina 77 - North Carolina AT 62	0.879	East Carolina 71 - North Carolina AT 60	4
Elon 91 - Unranked 59		Elon 106 - Unranked 77
Florida Gulf Coast 71 - Massachusetts 76	0.655	Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Massachusetts 76	-6
Florida State 88 - Southeast Louisiana 58	0.992	Florida State 75 - Southeast Louisiana 58	13
Fordham 84 - Coppin State 61	0.973	Fordham 92 - Coppin State 55	-14
Grand Canyon 78 - Omaha 72	0.694	Grand Canyon 104 - Omaha 108	10
High Point 89 - Unranked 54		High Point 111 - Unranked 74
Houston 81 - Louisiana State 72	0.741	Houston 105 - Louisiana State 98	2
Illinois State 69 - Murray State 70	0.511	Illinois State 63 - Murray State 61	-3
Iowa State 90 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 50	0.999	Iowa State 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	26
Jacksonville State 68 - Alabama State 67	0.539	Jacksonville State 60 - Alabama State 63	4
Miami OH 70 - Wright State 61	0.719	Miami OH 72 - Wright State 67	4
Milwaukee 90 - Unranked 55		Milwaukee 125 - Unranked 74
Missouri State 66 - Tulsa 74	0.772	Missouri State 61 - Tulsa 70	1
Monmouth 77 - Wagner 61	0.907	Monmouth 73 - Wagner 54	-3
Nebraska 71 - Rhode Island 68	0.582	Nebraska 70 - Rhode Island 67	0
New Mexico State 71 - Wyoming 64	0.707	New Mexico State 59 - Wyoming 62	10
Northern Colorado 68 - Colorado State 85	0.936	Northern Colorado 73 - Colorado State 64	-26
Northern Kentucky 69 - Norfolk State 70	0.505	Northern Kentucky 81 - Norfolk State 60	-22
Northwestern 86 - Chicago State 56	0.997	Northwestern 77 - Chicago State 35	-12
Notre Dame 78 - Loyola Ill 59	0.943	Notre Dame 81 - Loyola Ill 61	-1
Pittsburgh 79 - Morehead State 59	0.915	Pittsburgh 72 - Morehead State 62	10
Quinnipiac 71 - Boston 70	0.51	Quinnipiac 57 - Boston 64	8
Saint Johns 65 - Syracuse 72	0.723	Saint Johns 84 - Syracuse 72	-19
San Jose State 74 - Montana State 72	0.545	San Jose State 83 - Montana State 91	10
Seton Hall 79 - Saint Peters 59	0.923	Seton Hall 72 - Saint Peters 46	-6
South Dakota State 76 - UC Santa Barbara 64	0.847	South Dakota State 86 - UC Santa Barbara 68	-6
South Florida 66 - NC State 76	0.807	South Florida 46 - NC State 65	9
Southern 88 - Unranked 56		Southern 96 - Unranked 69
Southern California 78 - Yale 68	0.733	Southern California 68 - Yale 56	-2
Temple 74 - Saint Josephs 71	0.619	Temple 65 - Saint Josephs 66	4
Texas State 71 - Texas Pan American 57	0.866	Texas State 68 - Texas Pan American 59	5
UNC Asheville 76 - Campbell 64	0.832	UNC Asheville 80 - Campbell 60	-8
Villanova 87 - La Salle 53	0.995	Villanova 76 - La Salle 47	5
Virginia Tech 81 - Lamar 64	0.929	Virginia Tech 88 - Lamar 53	-18
Washington State 73 - Texas El Paso 67	0.694	Washington State 84 - Texas El Paso 68	-10
West Virginia 79 - UL Monroe 57	0.959	West Virginia 100 - UL Monroe 58	-20
Western Kentucky 72 - Indiana State 67	0.643	Western Kentucky 75 - Indiana State 62	-8

Number of DI Games: 236
Number Correct: 176 = 74.5%
Expected Number Correct: 181.466 = 76.8%
Average Error: 8.98
Average Signed Error: -0.09

WEEK 6 -- 12-14 to 12-20

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 74 - Unranked 65		Alcorn State 68 - Unranked 60
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Dartmouth 61	0.761	Cal State Bakersfield 69 - Dartmouth 62	3
Charleston Southern 85 - Unranked 62		Charleston Southern 107 - Unranked 74
Columbia 78 - Robert Morris 59	0.927	Columbia 78 - Robert Morris 71	12
Gonzaga 96 - Unranked 47		Gonzaga 86 - Unranked 50
Hartford 74 - Sacred Heart 69	0.706	Hartford 80 - Sacred Heart 71	-4
Manhattan 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.575	Manhattan 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	-9
Marshall 74 - North Carolina Central 66	0.719	Marshall 92 - North Carolina Central 73	-11
Navy 74 - South Carolina Upstate 58	0.91	Navy 57 - South Carolina Upstate 66	25
North Florida 79 - Florida International 67	0.89	North Florida 94 - Florida International 72	-10
North Texas 75 - Nicholls State 69	0.659	North Texas 78 - Nicholls State 60	-12
Saint Marys 79 - Cal Poly 63	0.898	Saint Marys 93 - Cal Poly 63	-14
Sam Houston State 85 - Unranked 56		Sam Houston State 96 - Unranked 54
South Alabama 69 - Southern Miss 67	0.574	South Alabama 54 - Southern Miss 57	5
Stetson 67 - Tennessee State 72	0.688	Stetson 90 - Tennessee State 93	-2
Tulane 77 - Prairie View 60	0.919	Tulane 63 - Prairie View 49	3
Western Carolina 73 - Eastern Washington 69	0.646	Western Carolina 97 - Eastern Washington 80	-13
Wofford 67 - Coastal Carolina 64	0.62	Wofford 63 - Coastal Carolina 71	11

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 74 - Mercer 69	0.666	Auburn 78 - Mercer 71	-2
Belmont 95 - Unranked 57		Belmont 80 - Unranked 54
Binghamton 66 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.514	Binghamton 61 - Saint Francis Penn 67	7
Chattanooga 78 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.865	Chattanooga 80 - Tennessee Tech 69	4
Cincinnati 84 - Norfolk State 55	0.972	Cincinnati 75 - Norfolk State 59	13
Clemson 79 - Presbyterian 53	0.989	Clemson 69 - Presbyterian 41	-2
Duke 93 - Georgia Southern 54	0.998	Duke 99 - Georgia Southern 65	5
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.79	Eastern Kentucky 80 - Florida Atlantic 73	4
Florida AM 62 - Southeast Louisiana 72	0.823	Florida AM 67 - Southeast Louisiana 64	-13
Georgetown 78 - Monmouth 68	0.775	Georgetown 68 - Monmouth 83	25
Georgia Tech 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.594	Georgia Tech 77 - Virginia Commonwealth 64	-10
Grand Canyon 79 - Delaware State 54	0.977	Grand Canyon 88 - Delaware State 59	-4
Green Bay 80 - Pacific 66	0.879	Green Bay 93 - Pacific 88	9
Houston Baptist 67 - UC Riverside 74	0.764	Houston Baptist 72 - UC Riverside 59	-20
Incarnate Word 87 - Unranked 59		Incarnate Word 97 - Unranked 99
Memphis 79 - Southern 63	0.868	Memphis 72 - Southern 67	11
Miami OH 72 - Jackson State 65	0.678	Miami OH 64 - Jackson State 53	-4
Michigan 84 - Northern Kentucky 58	0.927	Michigan 77 - Northern Kentucky 62	11
Mississippi 75 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.575	Mississippi 99 - Louisiana Tech 80	-16
Montana 86 - Unranked 55		Montana 79 - Unranked 59
Northwestern 88 - Mississippi Valley State 52	0.995	Northwestern 78 - Mississippi Valley State 48	6
Ohio 93 - Unranked 55		Ohio 93 - Unranked 69
Oklahoma State 85 - Longwood 57	0.987	Oklahoma State 73 - Longwood 55	10
Oregon 77 - UC Irvine 65	0.84	Oregon 78 - UC Irvine 63	-3
San Diego 65 - UC Davis 69	0.608	San Diego 61 - UC Davis 55	-10
Santa Clara 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.749	Santa Clara 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	-2
South Carolina 83 - Drexel 61	0.981	South Carolina 79 - Drexel 54	-3
Stanford 78 - DePaul 63	0.906	Stanford 79 - DePaul 60	-4
Texas 88 - Appalachian State 54	0.985	Texas 67 - Appalachian State 55	22
UCLA 90 - UL Lafayette 69	0.935	UCLA 89 - UL Lafayette 80	12
UNC Asheville 75 - East Tennessee State 68	0.705	UNC Asheville 84 - East Tennessee State 64	-13
Wake Forest 84 - UNC Greensboro 60	0.977	Wake Forest 81 - UNC Greensboro 71	14
Wisconsin 75 - Texas AM CC 59	0.916	Wisconsin 64 - Texas AM CC 49	1
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 61		Youngstown State 99 - Unranked 58

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Winthrop 62	0.936	Alabama 72 - Winthrop 60	6
Alabama Birmingham 80 - South Carolina Upstate 59	0.963	Alabama Birmingham 96 - South Carolina Upstate 54	-21
Arizona 90 - Northern Arizona 55	0.996	Arizona 92 - Northern Arizona 37	-20
Baylor 97 - Unranked 48		Baylor 104 - Unranked 59
Bethune Cookman 74 - The Citadel 71	0.572	Bethune Cookman 87 - The Citadel 99	15
Campbell 83 - Unranked 59		Campbell 87 - Unranked 53
Central Arkansas 60 - Arkansas Little Rock 80	0.926	Central Arkansas 54 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	3
Duquesne 83 - South Carolina State 61	0.928	Duquesne 83 - South Carolina State 68	7
East Carolina 70 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.591	East Carolina 78 - UNC Wilmington 73	-8
Elon 77 - Alabama State 66	0.813	Elon 91 - Alabama State 74	-6
Florida State 81 - Mississippi State 68	0.871	Florida State 90 - Mississippi State 66	-11
Fresno State 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.736	Fresno State 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0
Furman 81 - Unranked 58		Furman 94 - Unranked 46
Houston 81 - North Carolina Central 61	0.949	Houston 73 - North Carolina Central 65	12
Illinois Chicago 64 - Illinois State 77	0.859	Illinois Chicago 60 - Illinois State 72	-1
Indiana State 86 - Unranked 54		Indiana State 75 - Unranked 60
Iona 86 - Texas Southern 66	0.926	Iona 83 - Texas Southern 73	10
Louisiana State 81 - Gardner Webb 70	0.825	Louisiana State 78 - Gardner Webb 57	-10
Louisville 90 - Kennesaw St 48	0.999	Louisville 94 - Kennesaw St 57	5
Loyola Ill 69 - Cleveland State 61	0.761	Loyola Ill 54 - Cleveland State 60	14
Massachusetts 81 - New Orleans 60	0.947	Massachusetts 103 - New Orleans 95	13
Mcneese State 80 - Unranked 62		Mcneese State 77 - Unranked 72
Minnesota 84 - Chicago State 58	0.984	Minnesota 70 - Chicago State 52	8
Missouri State 70 - Oral Roberts 75	0.69	Missouri State 85 - Oral Roberts 66	-24
NC State 77 - High Point 67	0.856	NC State 76 - High Point 73	7
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Arizona State 68	0.63	Nevada Las Vegas 56 - Arizona State 66	14
New Mexico 77 - New Mexico State 61	0.893	New Mexico 79 - New Mexico State 61	-2
North Carolina 86 - Tulane 59	0.985	North Carolina 96 - Tulane 72	3
North Dakota State 79 - Montana State 66	0.858	North Dakota State 73 - Montana State 64	4
North Florida 81 - Austin Peay 69	0.861	North Florida 80 - Austin Peay 70	2
Northern Colorado 63 - Denver 71	0.744	Northern Colorado 77 - Denver 81	-4
Ohio State 76 - Northern Illinois 64	0.875	Ohio State 67 - Northern Illinois 54	-1
Omaha 94 - Unranked 62		Omaha 81 - Unranked 71
Prairie View 62 - Texas State 66	0.636	Prairie View 44 - Texas State 62	14
Richmond 75 - Old Dominion 66	0.77	Richmond 77 - Old Dominion 61	-7
Saint Louis 77 - Tennessee Martin 58	0.936	Saint Louis 76 - Tennessee Martin 82	25
Saint Marys 87 - Southern Utah 55	0.992	Saint Marys 92 - Southern Utah 36	-24
South Florida 75 - Jacksonville 62	0.893	South Florida 88 - Jacksonville 75	0
Southern Methodist 92 - Nicholls State 53	0.989	Southern Methodist 86 - Nicholls State 42	-5
Stetson 85 - Unranked 64		Stetson 95 - Unranked 69
Tennessee 81 - Florida Atlantic 59	0.966	Tennessee 81 - Florida Atlantic 62	3
Texas San Antonio 82 - Unranked 67		Texas San Antonio 75 - Unranked 61
Texas Tech 72 - South Dakota State 70	0.566	Texas Tech 79 - South Dakota State 67	-10
Utah 82 - Savannah State 55	0.98	Utah 99 - Savannah State 53	-19
Vermont 71 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.599	Vermont 75 - UC Santa Barbara 68	-4
Western Kentucky 77 - Alabama AM 64	0.87	Western Kentucky 79 - Alabama AM 70	4

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 59 - Stony Brook 69	0.745	American 68 - Stony Brook 86	8
Bradley 80 - Unranked 59		Bradley 61 - Unranked 53
Evansville 82 - Norfolk State 62	0.923	Evansville 84 - Norfolk State 70	6
Marshall 61 - West Virginia 88	0.955	Marshall 68 - West Virginia 86	-9
Middle Tennessee 75 - Belmont 71	0.652	Middle Tennessee 83 - Belmont 62	-17
Milwaukee 78 - South Dakota 68	0.82	Milwaukee 91 - South Dakota 92	11
North Carolina AT 73 - Grambling State 61	0.818	North Carolina AT 61 - Grambling State 47	-2
North Dakota 83 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 80 - Unranked 59
North Texas 77 - Mississippi Valley State 65	0.787	North Texas 87 - Mississippi Valley State 74	-1
Ohio 79 - Jackson State 65	0.871	Ohio 72 - Jackson State 67	9
Portland State 71 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.606	Portland State 71 - Cal State Northridge 77	8
Princeton 80 - Liberty 51	0.968	Princeton 77 - Liberty 72	24
Rice 85 - Unranked 62		Rice 67 - Unranked 54
Robert Morris 69 - Lehigh 70	0.511	Robert Morris 69 - Lehigh 67	-3
Southern California 81 - Cal Poly 67	0.894	Southern California 101 - Cal Poly 82	-5
Southern Methodist 86 - Hampton 56	0.979	Southern Methodist 105 - Hampton 72	-3
Tennessee State 74 - Lipscomb 64	0.865	Tennessee State 89 - Lipscomb 86	7
Unranked 65 - Troy 82		Unranked 77 - Troy 85
Unranked 62 - Seattle 77		Unranked 36 - Seattle 98
Wright State 73 - Charleston Southern 67	0.685	Wright State 71 - Charleston Southern 65	0

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 64 - UC Riverside 74	0.797	Abilene Christian 56 - UC Riverside 60	-6
Brigham Young 82 - Central Michigan 63	0.922	Brigham Young 98 - Central Michigan 85	6
Cal State Fullerton 67 - Oregon State 74	0.744	Cal State Fullerton 69 - Oregon State 82	6
Central Connecticut State 65 - UMass Lowell 74	0.839	Central Connecticut State 83 - UMass Lowell 79	-13
Chattanooga 81 - Kennesaw St 57	0.967	Chattanooga 78 - Kennesaw St 66	12
Clemson 67 - South Carolina 71	0.632	Clemson 59 - South Carolina 65	2
East Tennessee State 76 - Eastern Kentucky 72	0.609	East Tennessee State 87 - Eastern Kentucky 81	-2
Fairfield 73 - Wagner 67	0.703	Fairfield 64 - Wagner 76	18
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Towson 72	0.626	Fairleigh Dickinson 69 - Towson 68	-5
Gardner Webb 88 - Unranked 58		Gardner Webb 107 - Unranked 62
Idaho 84 - Unranked 55		Idaho 127 - Unranked 54
Lamar 83 - Unranked 60		Lamar 80 - Unranked 56
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Sam Houston State 70	0.542	LIU Brooklyn 69 - Sam Houston State 75	5
Louisiana Tech 78 - Southern 66	0.815	Louisiana Tech 83 - Southern 76	5
Loyola Marymount 78 - Jacksonville State 62	0.945	Loyola Marymount 77 - Jacksonville State 60	-1
Memphis 77 - Mississippi 69	0.74	Memphis 79 - Mississippi 85	14
Murray State 72 - Southern Illinois 68	0.633	Murray State 73 - Southern Illinois 88	19
Nevada 74 - Santa Clara 62	0.788	Nevada 72 - Santa Clara 69	9
Nicholls State 59 - Colorado 84	0.968	Nicholls State 68 - Colorado 85	-8
Old Dominion 79 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.953	Old Dominion 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 47	-7
Oregon 81 - Long Beach State 67	0.898	Oregon 94 - Long Beach State 73	-7
Pepperdine 78 - UL Lafayette 71	0.701	Pepperdine 79 - UL Lafayette 59	-13
Portland 70 - Weber State 68	0.549	Portland 82 - Weber State 92	12
Saint Johns 76 - Incarnate Word 63	0.883	Saint Johns 51 - Incarnate Word 73	35
Samford 75 - South Alabama 66	0.81	Samford 70 - South Alabama 72	11
San Diego State 75 - Grand Canyon 62	0.837	San Diego State 45 - Grand Canyon 52	20
San Francisco 78 - Coppin State 62	0.842	San Francisco 96 - Coppin State 93	13
Tennessee Martin 72 - Arkansas State 71	0.525	Tennessee Martin 74 - Arkansas State 70	-3
Tennessee Tech 71 - Miami OH 67	0.614	Tennessee Tech 77 - Miami OH 64	-9
UC Irvine 90 - Unranked 51		UC Irvine 65 - Unranked 51
UL Monroe 85 - Unranked 53		UL Monroe 101 - Unranked 76
Wake Forest 78 - Coastal Carolina 63	0.858	Wake Forest 83 - Coastal Carolina 77	9
Washington State 73 - Texas State 59	0.9	Washington State 78 - Texas State 73	9
William and Mary 91 - Unranked 52		William and Mary 94 - Unranked 64

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 77 - Saint Francis Penn 60	0.85	Albany 65 - Saint Francis Penn 58	10
Appalachian State 73 - Charlotte 72	0.502	Appalachian State 66 - Charlotte 82	17
Arizona 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	0.813	Arizona 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	-1
Arizona State 87 - Houston Baptist 56	0.994	Arizona State 98 - Houston Baptist 79	12
Boston College 72 - Delaware 66	0.655	Boston College 69 - Delaware 61	-2
Buffalo 81 - Montana State 68	0.897	Buffalo 80 - Montana State 73	6
Butler 73 - Purdue 78	0.661	Butler 74 - Purdue 68	-11
Cal State Bakersfield 86 - Unranked 54		Cal State Bakersfield 82 - Unranked 50
Cal State Fullerton 74 - Portland 67	0.705	Cal State Fullerton 60 - Portland 65	12
California 89 - Coppin State 56	0.989	California 84 - Coppin State 51	0
Campbell 78 - The Citadel 70	0.707	Campbell 101 - The Citadel 82	-11
Canisius 77 - Boston 73	0.616	Canisius 84 - Boston 68	-12
Chicago State 63 - Western Illinois 74	0.79	Chicago State 77 - Western Illinois 70	-18
Cleveland State 69 - Belmont 75	0.746	Cleveland State 67 - Belmont 65	-8
Colorado State 70 - Kansas State 77	0.679	Colorado State 56 - Kansas State 61	-2
Dayton 84 - Furman 54	0.979	Dayton 70 - Furman 50	10
DePaul 67 - Northwestern 74	0.759	DePaul 70 - Northwestern 78	1
Detroit 76 - Central Florida 72	0.619	Detroit 95 - Central Florida 89	-2
Drake 61 - Iowa 85	0.958	Drake 64 - Iowa 70	-18
Drexel 66 - Penn State 71	0.651	Drexel 57 - Penn State 63	1
Duke 81 - Utah 70	0.807	Duke 75 - Utah 77	13
Duquesne 83 - Robert Morris 61	0.935	Duquesne 72 - Robert Morris 65	15
Elon 79 - UNC Greensboro 64	0.963	Elon 79 - UNC Greensboro 69	5
Florida Atlantic 60 - Florida State 81	0.952	Florida Atlantic 59 - Florida State 64	-16
Florida Gulf Coast 70 - South Dakota State 78	0.75	Florida Gulf Coast 52 - South Dakota State 56	-4
Fordham 86 - Maine 58	0.993	Fordham 70 - Maine 53	11
George Mason 78 - Longwood 59	0.894	George Mason 75 - Longwood 70	14
George Washington 80 - Saint Peters 55	0.96	George Washington 87 - Saint Peters 74	12
Georgetown 80 - UNC Asheville 64	0.901	Georgetown 73 - UNC Asheville 79	22
Georgia 70 - Georgia Tech 69	0.552	Georgia 75 - Georgia Tech 61	-13
Georgia Southern 69 - Winthrop 74	0.659	Georgia Southern 81 - Winthrop 88	2
Gonzaga 77 - Tennessee 66	0.807	Gonzaga 86 - Tennessee 79	4
Hampton 63 - Colorado 78	0.931	Hampton 53 - Colorado 95	27
Houston 83 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.951	Houston 81 - Eastern Illinois 65	5
Howard 75 - UMBC 64	0.799	Howard 103 - UMBC 93	1
Illinois 81 - South Dakota 69	0.813	Illinois 91 - South Dakota 79	0
Indiana 76 - Notre Dame 77	0.545	Indiana 80 - Notre Dame 73	-8
Iowa State 80 - Northern Iowa 68	0.791	Iowa State 79 - Northern Iowa 81	14
IPFW 81 - Stetson 65	0.907	IPFW 95 - Stetson 89	10
IUPUI 74 - Southern Utah 67	0.73	IUPUI 82 - Southern Utah 68	-7
Kansas 86 - Montana 58	0.961	Kansas 88 - Montana 46	-14
Lehigh 73 - Mt St Marys 70	0.591	Lehigh 76 - Mt St Marys 73	0
Louisiana State 77 - Oral Roberts 76	0.542	Louisiana State 100 - Oral Roberts 77	-22
Louisville 85 - Western Kentucky 58	0.983	Louisville 78 - Western Kentucky 56	5
Loyola Ill 79 - Illinois Chicago 58	0.935	Loyola Ill 64 - Illinois Chicago 47	4
Mercer 70 - Arkansas 72	0.565	Mercer 69 - Arkansas 66	-5
Miami 78 - College of Charleston 59	0.916	Miami 85 - College of Charleston 63	-3
Michigan 85 - Youngstown State 61	0.962	Michigan 105 - Youngstown State 46	-35
Mississippi State 75 - Tulane 67	0.758	Mississippi State 69 - Tulane 59	-2
Missouri 72 - NC State 73	0.529	Missouri 59 - NC State 73	13
New Hampshire 67 - Dartmouth 68	0.511	New Hampshire 76 - Dartmouth 56	-21
New Mexico 87 - Rice 59	0.979	New Mexico 89 - Rice 90	29
North Florida 86 - Florida AM 56	0.998	North Florida 87 - Florida AM 70	13
Northeastern 65 - Michigan State 81	0.922	Northeastern 58 - Michigan State 78	4
Northern Illinois 75 - Florida International 62	0.928	Northern Illinois 78 - Florida International 75	10
Northern Kentucky 75 - SE Missouri State 63	0.777	Northern Kentucky 79 - SE Missouri State 69	2
Northwestern State 87 - Unranked 64		Northwestern State 105 - Unranked 79
Ohio State 66 - Kentucky 77	0.815	Ohio State 74 - Kentucky 67	-18
Oklahoma 85 - Creighton 68	0.893	Oklahoma 87 - Creighton 74	4
Oklahoma State 64 - Florida 75	0.822	Oklahoma State 70 - Florida 72	-9
Oregon State 72 - Tulsa 70	0.583	Oregon State 76 - Tulsa 71	-3
Pennsylvania 83 - Unranked 60		Pennsylvania 73 - Unranked 66
Presbyterian 79 - Unranked 61		Presbyterian 69 - Unranked 65
Princeton 68 - Maryland 76	0.683	Princeton 61 - Maryland 82	13
Providence 82 - Rider 57	0.986	Providence 73 - Rider 65	17
Radford 69 - UNC Wilmington 75	0.693	Radford 69 - UNC Wilmington 67	-8
Rhode Island 78 - Iona 70	0.698	Rhode Island 79 - Iona 74	3
Saint Bonaventure 80 - South Carolina State 57	0.971	Saint Bonaventure 64 - South Carolina State 45	4
Saint Josephs 78 - Illinois State 65	0.903	Saint Josephs 79 - Illinois State 65	-1
Saint Louis 72 - Indiana State 62	0.805	Saint Louis 68 - Indiana State 76	18
Seton Hall 70 - Wichita State 69	0.525	Seton Hall 80 - Wichita State 76	-3
South Florida 65 - Alabama Birmingham 70	0.673	South Florida 68 - Alabama Birmingham 79	6
Southern Miss 63 - Georgia State 69	0.679	Southern Miss 46 - Georgia State 66	14
Stanford 70 - Texas 72	0.558	Stanford 73 - Texas 75	0
Syracuse 83 - Cornell 61	0.938	Syracuse 67 - Cornell 46	1
Temple 82 - Delaware State 52	0.993	Temple 78 - Delaware State 63	15
Tennessee State 75 - Alcorn State 54	0.986	Tennessee State 81 - Alcorn State 76	16
Texas AM 73 - Baylor 71	0.563	Texas AM 80 - Baylor 61	-17
Texas El Paso 68 - New Mexico State 67	0.559	Texas El Paso 53 - New Mexico State 73	21
Texas San Antonio 71 - Utah Valley 72	0.517	Texas San Antonio 78 - Utah Valley 83	4
Texas Tech 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	0.982	Texas Tech 94 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	-14
Toledo 79 - Bethune Cookman 60	0.945	Toledo 102 - Bethune Cookman 68	-15
UC Davis 71 - Air Force 65	0.71	UC Davis 60 - Air Force 67	13
UCLA 75 - North Carolina 81	0.679	UCLA 76 - North Carolina 89	7
UMKC 87 - Unranked 56		UMKC 71 - Unranked 60
Unranked 59 - Stephen F Austin 83		Unranked 56 - Stephen F Austin 95
Valparaiso 77 - Missouri State 59	0.928	Valparaiso 74 - Missouri State 45	-11
Vanderbilt 82 - Wofford 55	0.978	Vanderbilt 80 - Wofford 56	3
Vermont 88 - Unranked 56		Vermont 84 - Unranked 37
Virginia 71 - Villanova 68	0.578	Virginia 86 - Villanova 75	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Cincinnati 71	0.518	Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Cincinnati 69	5
Virginia Tech 84 - Grambling State 53	0.984	Virginia Tech 87 - Grambling State 52	-4
Washington 84 - Oakland 70	0.853	Washington 83 - Oakland 97	28
Wyoming 77 - Omaha 71	0.719	Wyoming 76 - Omaha 75	5
Xavier 88 - Auburn 66	0.935	Xavier 85 - Auburn 61	-2

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.665	American 64 - Maryland Eastern Shore 79	22
Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Northern Arizona 54	0.986	Arkansas Little Rock 84 - Northern Arizona 57	0
Army 83 - Marist 64	0.93	Army 83 - Marist 89	25
Boise State 82 - Bradley 57	0.983	Boise State 90 - Bradley 70	5
Cal State Northridge 83 - Unranked 61		Cal State Northridge 79 - Unranked 49
Coastal Carolina 72 - Alabama State 62	0.752	Coastal Carolina 68 - Alabama State 65	7
Connecticut 85 - UMass Lowell 56	0.992	Connecticut 88 - UMass Lowell 79	20
Davidson 71 - Pittsburgh 79	0.71	Davidson 69 - Pittsburgh 94	17
Denver 73 - Eastern Washington 63	0.821	Denver 58 - Eastern Washington 74	26
Fresno State 72 - Evansville 73	0.518	Fresno State 77 - Evansville 85	7
Green Bay 92 - Unranked 58		Green Bay 108 - Unranked 57
James Madison 74 - East Carolina 66	0.746	James Madison 67 - East Carolina 61	2
Lipscomb 74 - Austin Peay 71	0.626	Lipscomb 84 - Austin Peay 92	11
Morehead State 75 - Western Carolina 61	0.851	Morehead State 60 - Western Carolina 52	6
Morgan State 72 - Manhattan 67	0.649	Morgan State 66 - Manhattan 78	17
Nebraska 77 - Samford 63	0.873	Nebraska 58 - Samford 69	25
Rutgers 67 - Monmouth 76	0.742	Rutgers 67 - Monmouth 73	-3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Liberty 57	0.921	Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Liberty 55	7
Saint Johns 74 - NJ Tech 64	0.8	Saint Johns 74 - NJ Tech 83	19
Seattle 72 - San Jose State 65	0.751	Seattle 67 - San Jose State 64	4
Stony Brook 74 - Hofstra 71	0.591	Stony Brook 71 - Hofstra 68	0
Texas AM CC 67 - Cal Poly 68	0.501	Texas AM CC 80 - Cal Poly 74	-7
Texas Christian 85 - Abilene Christian 57	0.985	Texas Christian 80 - Abilene Christian 69	17
Towson 86 - Unranked 55		Towson 88 - Unranked 47
UC Riverside 85 - Unranked 57		UC Riverside 95 - Unranked 48
Wright State 67 - Bowling Green 70	0.593	Wright State 83 - Bowling Green 47	-39

Number of DI Games: 234
Number Correct: 181 = 77.3%
Expected Number Correct: 187.325 = 80%
Average Error: 9.68
Average Signed Error: 2.26

WEEK 7 -- 12-21 to 12-27

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 71 - UC Santa Barbara 64	0.732	Akron 84 - UC Santa Barbara 70	-7
Alabama 71 - Oregon 72	0.517	Alabama 68 - Oregon 72	3
Boston 75 - New Hampshire 65	0.71	Boston 78 - New Hampshire 74	6
Colorado State 82 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.871	Colorado State 89 - South Carolina Upstate 61	-11
Coppin State 65 - Eastern Michigan 79	0.867	Coppin State 62 - Eastern Michigan 73	-3
Creighton 87 - North Texas 63	0.972	Creighton 105 - North Texas 82	1
Eastern Illinois 70 - Omaha 80	0.812	Eastern Illinois 68 - Omaha 80	2
Florida State 87 - Charleston Southern 62	0.985	Florida State 75 - Charleston Southern 64	14
Gardner Webb 75 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.792	Gardner Webb 75 - Virginia Military Institute 76	10
Georgia Tech 86 - Southeast Louisiana 57	0.983	Georgia Tech 75 - Southeast Louisiana 62	16
Gonzaga 77 - Pepperdine 61	0.887	Gonzaga 99 - Pepperdine 73	-10
Grand Canyon 71 - Houston 75	0.623	Grand Canyon 78 - Houston 69	-13
Holy Cross 77 - Maine 62	0.903	Holy Cross 76 - Maine 75	14
Idaho State 61 - North Dakota State 79	0.907	Idaho State 62 - North Dakota State 67	-13
Jacksonville 75 - Florida AM 64	0.861	Jacksonville 68 - Florida AM 66	9
Jacksonville State 71 - Northern Colorado 68	0.603	Jacksonville State 79 - Northern Colorado 76	0
Lamar 84 - Unranked 60		Lamar 86 - Unranked 69
Loyola Ill 71 - Western Illinois 63	0.702	Loyola Ill 72 - Western Illinois 67	3
Marquette 85 - Chicago State 57	0.981	Marquette 91 - Chicago State 74	11
Marshall 68 - Wyoming 74	0.672	Marshall 90 - Wyoming 82	-14
Massachusetts 72 - Providence 76	0.61	Massachusetts 66 - Providence 90	20
New Mexico State 74 - Oral Roberts 68	0.662	New Mexico State 76 - Oral Roberts 61	-9
North Carolina 94 - Appalachian State 55	0.997	North Carolina 94 - Appalachian State 70	15
North Carolina Central 62 - Southern 72	0.789	North Carolina Central 63 - Southern 68	-5
Northwestern 87 - Sacred Heart 55	0.998	Northwestern 103 - Sacred Heart 67	-4
Notre Dame 89 - Youngstown State 60	0.98	Notre Dame 87 - Youngstown State 78	20
Ohio 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	0.968	Ohio 65 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	16
Oregon State 79 - Quinnipiac 57	0.98	Oregon State 82 - Quinnipiac 61	1
Pacific 69 - Santa Clara 68	0.527	Pacific 73 - Santa Clara 72	0
Portland 72 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.524	Portland 87 - Loyola Marymount 60	-26
Saint Louis 69 - Southern Illinois 70	0.526	Saint Louis 52 - Southern Illinois 65	12
Saint Marys 85 - San Francisco 57	0.956	Saint Marys 74 - San Francisco 52	6
Southern California 86 - SIU Edwardsville 59	0.987	Southern California 70 - SIU Edwardsville 51	8
Stanford 79 - Sacramento State 63	0.939	Stanford 70 - Sacramento State 60	6
Tennessee Martin 77 - Alcorn State 59	0.92	Tennessee Martin 70 - Alcorn State 47	-5
Texas Arlington 94 - Unranked 52		Texas Arlington 98 - Unranked 40
Texas El Paso 75 - Norfolk State 65	0.772	Texas El Paso 76 - Norfolk State 85	19
Texas State 81 - Unranked 54		Texas State 92 - Unranked 43
Toledo 80 - North Carolina AT 63	0.93	Toledo 95 - North Carolina AT 62	-16
UC Irvine 70 - Sam Houston State 63	0.731	UC Irvine 63 - Sam Houston State 53	-3
UL Lafayette 83 - New Orleans 69	0.843	UL Lafayette 79 - New Orleans 69	4
UNC Asheville 79 - Elon 69	0.812	UNC Asheville 81 - Elon 86	15
Utah State 78 - Texas Pan American 57	0.966	Utah State 94 - Texas Pan American 69	-4
West Virginia 90 - Eastern Kentucky 62	0.978	West Virginia 84 - Eastern Kentucky 59	3
William and Mary 74 - High Point 67	0.728	William and Mary 78 - High Point 75	4

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 86 - Unranked 54		Air Force 80 - Unranked 56
Alabama Birmingham 91 - Unranked 53		Alabama Birmingham 116 - Unranked 43
Arizona 84 - Long Beach State 64	0.938	Arizona 85 - Long Beach State 70	5
Arizona State 79 - Stephen F Austin 63	0.881	Arizona State 80 - Stephen F Austin 73	9
Arkansas 83 - North Florida 71	0.821	Arkansas 97 - North Florida 72	-13
Arkansas State 79 - Central Arkansas 71	0.764	Arkansas State 77 - Central Arkansas 67	-2
Auburn 73 - New Mexico 78	0.62	Auburn 83 - New Mexico 78	-10
Austin Peay 70 - Wofford 68	0.586	Austin Peay 84 - Wofford 77	-5
Binghamton 65 - Florida International 66	0.521	Binghamton 49 - Florida International 66	16
Boston College 67 - Fordham 71	0.611	Boston College 64 - Fordham 55	-13
Brigham Young 74 - Harvard 68	0.695	Brigham Young 82 - Harvard 85	9
Brown 71 - Marist 70	0.532	Brown 83 - Marist 84	2
Butler 93 - Southern Utah 55	0.993	Butler 88 - Southern Utah 52	2
Cal State Bakersfield 77 - Portland State 61	0.921	Cal State Bakersfield 78 - Portland State 66	4
Campbell 64 - College of Charleston 69	0.681	Campbell 68 - College of Charleston 86	13
Canisius 72 - UL Monroe 71	0.543	Canisius 108 - UL Monroe 96	-11
Central Florida 80 - Bethune Cookman 58	0.96	Central Florida 101 - Bethune Cookman 96	17
Central Michigan 75 - Howard 72	0.606	Central Michigan 72 - Howard 52	-17
Charlotte 67 - Georgetown 80	0.799	Charlotte 59 - Georgetown 62	-10
Chattanooga 77 - Radford 64	0.856	Chattanooga 77 - Radford 75	11
Cincinnati 74 - Iowa State 72	0.555	Cincinnati 79 - Iowa State 81	4
Dartmouth 75 - Longwood 63	0.811	Dartmouth 78 - Longwood 54	-12
Dayton 80 - Miami OH 57	0.952	Dayton 64 - Miami OH 63	22
DePaul 66 - George Washington 78	0.827	DePaul 82 - George Washington 61	-33
Drake 78 - Abilene Christian 62	0.873	Drake 87 - Abilene Christian 70	-1
Drexel 74 - Pennsylvania 65	0.793	Drexel 53 - Pennsylvania 52	8
East Carolina 76 - South Carolina State 58	0.93	East Carolina 98 - South Carolina State 71	-9
Evansville 82 - Alabama AM 61	0.971	Evansville 91 - Alabama AM 70	0
Fairfield 77 - Loyola MD 65	0.802	Fairfield 94 - Loyola MD 88	6
Florida 90 - Jacksonville 52	0.999	Florida 89 - Jacksonville 65	14
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Louisiana Tech 76	0.595	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Louisiana Tech 66	0
George Mason 69 - Wagner 63	0.658	George Mason 71 - Wagner 60	-5
Georgia 70 - Clemson 61	0.806	Georgia 71 - Clemson 48	-14
Georgia Southern 76 - Stetson 72	0.651	Georgia Southern 78 - Stetson 58	-16
Georgia State 68 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.59	Georgia State 64 - Middle Tennessee 62	1
Hampton 75 - Nicholls State 67	0.732	Hampton 81 - Nicholls State 84	11
Hartford 82 - Unranked 62		Hartford 69 - Unranked 46
Hawaii 73 - Northern Iowa 74	0.523	Hawaii 68 - Northern Iowa 52	-17
Hofstra 79 - Florida Atlantic 62	0.901	Hofstra 68 - Florida Atlantic 54	3
Illinois Chicago 79 - Unranked 64		Illinois Chicago 91 - Unranked 74
Illinois State 73 - Tennessee State 66	0.754	Illinois State 66 - Tennessee State 55	-4
Indiana 89 - Kennesaw St 58	0.989	Indiana 99 - Kennesaw St 72	4
Indiana State 71 - Ball State 64	0.719	Indiana State 73 - Ball State 61	-5
Iowa 84 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.958	Iowa 85 - Tennessee Tech 63	0
James Madison 80 - Mt St Marys 61	0.908	James Madison 73 - Mt St Marys 53	-1
Kansas State 82 - North Dakota 56	0.958	Kansas State 63 - North Dakota 49	12
Kent State 65 - Southern Methodist 78	0.825	Kent State 74 - Southern Methodist 90	3
La Salle 62 - Miami 82	0.927	La Salle 49 - Miami 95	26
Lehigh 67 - Stony Brook 75	0.757	Lehigh 62 - Stony Brook 75	5
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Incarnate Word 75	0.672	LIU Brooklyn 66 - Incarnate Word 59	-13
Louisiana State 83 - American 57	0.968	Louisiana State 79 - American 51	-2
Louisville 85 - UMKC 56	0.988	Louisville 75 - UMKC 47	1
Marshall 70 - Grand Canyon 77	0.681	Marshall 81 - Grand Canyon 85	-3
Maryland Eastern Shore 81 - Unranked 62		Maryland Eastern Shore 115 - Unranked 86
Memphis 84 - IUPUI 62	0.951	Memphis 84 - IUPUI 48	-14
Michigan State 84 - Oakland 66	0.945	Michigan State 99 - Oakland 93	12
Mississippi 84 - Troy 63	0.965	Mississippi 83 - Troy 80	18
Missouri State 79 - SE Missouri State 60	0.902	Missouri State 74 - SE Missouri State 78	23
Montana 85 - Unranked 55		Montana 75 - Unranked 43
Navy 68 - Furman 59	0.745	Navy 62 - Furman 49	-4
NC State 84 - UNC Greensboro 56	0.997	NC State 58 - UNC Greensboro 52	22
Nebraska 82 - Prairie View 55	0.975	Nebraska 81 - Prairie View 50	-4
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - South Dakota 68	0.879	Nevada Las Vegas 103 - South Dakota 68	-23
Norfolk State 63 - UC Irvine 76	0.832	Norfolk State 62 - UC Irvine 80	5
North Carolina Central 65 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.503	North Carolina Central 57 - Eastern Illinois 52	-6
North Dakota State 78 - Texas Pan American 59	0.93	North Dakota State 68 - Texas Pan American 50	1
Northeastern 76 - Vermont 68	0.751	Northeastern 77 - Vermont 65	-4
Northern Illinois 88 - Unranked 54		Northern Illinois 85 - Unranked 52
Ohio State 73 - Mercer 62	0.818	Ohio State 64 - Mercer 44	-9
Oklahoma 85 - Washington State 64	0.959	Oklahoma 88 - Washington State 60	-7
Old Dominion 67 - Rhode Island 68	0.527	Old Dominion 71 - Rhode Island 65	-7
Penn State 65 - Colorado 74	0.752	Penn State 70 - Colorado 71	-8
Princeton 77 - Bucknell 66	0.783	Princeton 89 - Bucknell 77	-1
Purdue 75 - Vanderbilt 68	0.693	Purdue 68 - Vanderbilt 55	-6
Richmond 86 - Presbyterian 55	0.996	Richmond 74 - Presbyterian 44	1
Saint Johns 63 - South Carolina 77	0.869	Saint Johns 61 - South Carolina 75	0
Saint Josephs 74 - Virginia Tech 72	0.547	Saint Josephs 79 - Virginia Tech 62	-15
San Diego State 65 - Kansas 76	0.788	San Diego State 57 - Kansas 70	2
San Jose State 82 - Unranked 62		San Jose State 128 - Unranked 66
Seton Hall 81 - South Florida 59	0.978	Seton Hall 66 - South Florida 49	5
Siena 70 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.504	Siena 73 - Saint Bonaventure 70	-4
South Alabama 75 - Rice 71	0.618	South Alabama 74 - Rice 67	-3
Southern 75 - Omaha 76	0.5	Southern 53 - Omaha 74	20
Syracuse 83 - Montana State 60	0.974	Syracuse 82 - Montana State 60	1
Tennessee 82 - East Tennessee State 66	0.922	Tennessee 76 - East Tennessee State 67	7
Texas El Paso 69 - Sam Houston State 65	0.645	Texas El Paso 87 - Sam Houston State 68	-15
Texas San Antonio 68 - Cal Poly 82	0.847	Texas San Antonio 73 - Cal Poly 88	1
Texas Tech 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.705	Texas Tech 65 - Arkansas Little Rock 53	-6
Tulane 70 - Southern Miss 62	0.744	Tulane 59 - Southern Miss 40	-11
Tulsa 86 - Northern Arizona 59	0.989	Tulsa 90 - Northern Arizona 55	-8
UC Davis 68 - Idaho 66	0.589	UC Davis 51 - Idaho 68	19
UC Riverside 64 - Denver 65	0.531	UC Riverside 63 - Denver 54	-10
UC Santa Barbara 71 - Iona 77	0.677	UC Santa Barbara 80 - Iona 76	-10
UCLA 89 - Mcneese State 58	0.988	UCLA 67 - Mcneese State 53	17
UNC Wilmington 78 - Utah Valley 64	0.85	UNC Wilmington 102 - Utah Valley 77	-11
Utah 88 - Delaware State 50	0.995	Utah 105 - Delaware State 58	-9
Utah State 80 - Idaho State 59	0.948	Utah State 69 - Idaho State 58	10
Villanova 85 - Delaware 55	0.994	Villanova 78 - Delaware 48	0
Virginia 79 - California 64	0.875	Virginia 63 - California 62	14
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Buffalo 66	0.895	Virginia Commonwealth 90 - Buffalo 69	-9
Wake Forest 69 - Xavier 82	0.841	Wake Forest 70 - Xavier 78	-5
Washington 83 - Seattle 60	0.948	Washington 79 - Seattle 68	12
Weber State 67 - South Dakota State 75	0.732	Weber State 99 - South Dakota State 95	-12
Western Kentucky 77 - Detroit 74	0.592	Western Kentucky 79 - Detroit 74	-2
Western Michigan 72 - IPFW 70	0.593	Western Michigan 86 - IPFW 89	5
Wichita State 77 - Nevada 63	0.873	Wichita State 98 - Nevada 69	-15
Winthrop 77 - Alabama State 66	0.806	Winthrop 92 - Alabama State 84	3
Wright State 67 - Murray State 68	0.501	Wright State 65 - Murray State 49	-17
Wyoming 68 - Houston 73	0.648	Wyoming 89 - Houston 94	0

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Iona 73	0.53	Akron 78 - Iona 64	-13
Albany 77 - Niagara 58	0.911	Albany 65 - Niagara 56	10
Baylor 77 - New Mexico State 63	0.842	Baylor 85 - New Mexico State 70	-1
Bradley 63 - Texas Christian 75	0.81	Bradley 49 - Texas Christian 53	-8
Brigham Young 72 - New Mexico 76	0.62	Brigham Young 96 - New Mexico 66	-34
Canisius 82 - Nicholls State 66	0.883	Canisius 83 - Nicholls State 74	7
Cleveland State 71 - Bowling Green 63	0.689	Cleveland State 47 - Bowling Green 62	23
Colorado 69 - Southern Methodist 75	0.649	Colorado 66 - Southern Methodist 70	-2
Connecticut 90 - Central Connecticut State 51	0.998	Connecticut 99 - Central Connecticut State 52	-8
Cornell 66 - Monmouth 79	0.824	Cornell 69 - Monmouth 78	-4
Davidson 77 - Morehead State 68	0.712	Davidson 81 - Morehead State 77	5
Georgia Tech 83 - Colgate 59	0.941	Georgia Tech 76 - Colgate 60	8
Gonzaga 81 - Loyola Marymount 61	0.955	Gonzaga 85 - Loyola Marymount 62	-3
Harvard 69 - Auburn 75	0.696	Harvard 69 - Auburn 51	-24
Hawaii 69 - Oklahoma 82	0.904	Hawaii 81 - Oklahoma 84	-10
Idaho State 70 - Texas Pan American 69	0.53	Idaho State 76 - Texas Pan American 64	-11
Illinois 75 - Missouri 71	0.626	Illinois 68 - Missouri 63	-1
Louisville 91 - Utah Valley 49	0.997	Louisville 98 - Utah Valley 68	12
Michigan 87 - Bryant 51	0.983	Michigan 96 - Bryant 60	0
Minnesota 76 - Milwaukee 70	0.74	Minnesota 65 - Milwaukee 74	15
Mississippi State 82 - Northern Colorado 63	0.923	Mississippi State 93 - Northern Colorado 69	-5
Morgan State 67 - Rider 69	0.537	Morgan State 49 - Rider 71	20
Northern Iowa 76 - Washington State 68	0.71	Northern Iowa 63 - Washington State 59	4
Northern Kentucky 86 - Unranked 59		Northern Kentucky 88 - Unranked 44
Penn State 68 - Kent State 70	0.574	Penn State 75 - Kent State 69	-8
Pittsburgh 86 - Western Carolina 57	0.98	Pittsburgh 79 - Western Carolina 73	23
Portland 67 - Pepperdine 71	0.613	Portland 87 - Pepperdine 79	-12
Rutgers 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.751	Rutgers 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	1
Saint Peters 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.774	Saint Peters 56 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 45	-2
San Diego 70 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.688	San Diego 81 - Cal State Northridge 63	-12
San Francisco 74 - Pacific 67	0.705	San Francisco 89 - Pacific 76	-6
Santa Clara 59 - Saint Marys 79	0.894	Santa Clara 59 - Saint Marys 81	2
Southern California 93 - Lafayette 61	0.982	Southern California 100 - Lafayette 64	-4
Towson 76 - UMBC 60	0.89	Towson 91 - UMBC 65	-10
UL Monroe 72 - Hampton 65	0.698	UL Monroe 64 - Hampton 75	18
UMKC 70 - UNC Wilmington 72	0.577	UMKC 56 - UNC Wilmington 76	18
Utah State 70 - North Dakota State 67	0.579	Utah State 76 - North Dakota State 62	-11
Wisconsin 80 - Green Bay 65	0.855	Wisconsin 84 - Green Bay 79	10

GAMES OF 12-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Hawaii 78 - Auburn 75	0.605	Hawaii 79 - Auburn 67	-9
Northern Iowa 75 - Brigham Young 72	0.594	Northern Iowa 76 - Brigham Young 84	11
Oklahoma 83 - Harvard 60	0.958	Oklahoma 83 - Harvard 71	11
Washington State 69 - New Mexico 77	0.74	Washington State 82 - New Mexico 59	-31

GAMES OF 12-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Kentucky 70 - Louisville 72	0.562	Kentucky 75 - Louisville 73	-4

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bucknell 75 - Fairfield 72	0.604	Bucknell 91 - Fairfield 101	13
Fresno State 90 - Unranked 54		Fresno State 89 - Unranked 46
Marquette 85 - Presbyterian 55	0.994	Marquette 84 - Presbyterian 66	12
Maryland 88 - Marshall 63	0.967	Maryland 87 - Marshall 67	5
Northwestern 83 - Loyola MD 55	0.993	Northwestern 74 - Loyola MD 60	14
Ohio State 82 - South Carolina State 53	0.985	Ohio State 73 - South Carolina State 57	13
Radford 87 - Unranked 56		Radford 123 - Unranked 63
SE Missouri State 79 - Unranked 62		SE Missouri State 94 - Unranked 84
South Dakota State 73 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.688	South Dakota State 65 - Middle Tennessee 61	3
Syracuse 82 - Texas Southern 57	0.989	Syracuse 80 - Texas Southern 67	12
Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Liberty 51	0.998	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Liberty 57	6

Number of DI Games: 193
Number Correct: 158 = 81.8%
Expected Number Correct: 153.56 = 79.5%
Average Error: 9.15
Average Signed Error: 0.37

WEEK 8 -- 12-28 to 1-3

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.906	Arizona State 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	1
Army 72 - Monmouth 78	0.683	Army 91 - Monmouth 84	-13
Austin Peay 68 - Texas AM CC 70	0.605	Austin Peay 70 - Texas AM CC 74	2
Belmont 69 - Valparaiso 74	0.654	Belmont 85 - Valparaiso 81	-9
Boston 88 - Unranked 57		Boston 86 - Unranked 53
Brown 77 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.791	Brown 81 - Bethune Cookman 73	4
Butler 89 - IUPUI 59	0.983	Butler 92 - IUPUI 54	-8
California 79 - Davidson 73	0.659	California 86 - Davidson 60	-20
Columbia 78 - Howard 64	0.869	Columbia 72 - Howard 59	1
Creighton 91 - Coppin State 60	0.988	Creighton 102 - Coppin State 77	6
Duke 87 - Elon 65	0.982	Duke 105 - Elon 66	-17
Eastern Illinois 80 - Unranked 59		Eastern Illinois 78 - Unranked 53
Eastern Michigan 76 - Detroit 72	0.599	Eastern Michigan 88 - Detroit 73	-11
Gardner Webb 86 - Unranked 60		Gardner Webb 101 - Unranked 78
High Point 91 - Unranked 55		High Point 96 - Unranked 50
Hofstra 86 - Sacred Heart 62	0.985	Hofstra 80 - Sacred Heart 73	17
Houston 85 - Nicholls State 62	0.955	Houston 76 - Nicholls State 49	-4
Iona 78 - Drexel 68	0.807	Iona 77 - Drexel 70	3
Longwood 80 - Unranked 65		Longwood 90 - Unranked 52
Louisiana Tech 86 - Prairie View 57	0.983	Louisiana Tech 77 - Prairie View 58	10
Morehead State 76 - Green Bay 69	0.714	Morehead State 72 - Green Bay 78	13
Morgan State 65 - UC Riverside 70	0.664	Morgan State 72 - UC Riverside 81	4
NJ Tech 73 - Stony Brook 72	0.501	NJ Tech 61 - Stony Brook 83	23
North Carolina 90 - UNC Greensboro 55	0.998	North Carolina 96 - UNC Greensboro 63	2
Oakland 88 - Chicago State 62	0.977	Oakland 101 - Chicago State 93	18
Rutgers 76 - UMass Lowell 65	0.789	Rutgers 89 - UMass Lowell 66	-12
Sacramento State 88 - Unranked 58		Sacramento State 78 - Unranked 49
Saint Marys 88 - Utah Valley 55	0.987	Saint Marys 65 - Utah Valley 50	18
Saint Peters 72 - Cornell 65	0.681	Saint Peters 62 - Cornell 65	10
Seattle 68 - UC Davis 67	0.562	Seattle 80 - UC Davis 75	-4
SIU Edwardsville 65 - Grand Canyon 73	0.753	SIU Edwardsville 75 - Grand Canyon 86	3
South Dakota 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.579	South Dakota 89 - Florida Gulf Coast 81	-5
Texas Christian 82 - Delaware State 55	0.983	Texas Christian 75 - Delaware State 47	-1
UNC Wilmington 79 - Campbell 63	0.906	UNC Wilmington 106 - Campbell 83	-7
Utah 98 - Unranked 51		Utah 115 - Unranked 74
Villanova 88 - Pennsylvania 52	0.997	Villanova 77 - Pennsylvania 57	16
Washington 81 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.871	Washington 78 - UC Santa Barbara 83	20
Weber State 91 - Unranked 55		Weber State 114 - Unranked 47
Western Kentucky 91 - Unranked 54		Western Kentucky 93 - Unranked 66
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 59		Winthrop 116 - Unranked 84

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 86 - Unranked 54		Air Force 86 - Unranked 66
Alabama 80 - Jacksonville State 55	0.99	Alabama 67 - Jacksonville State 59	17
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Stephen F Austin 66	0.767	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Stephen F Austin 66	0
Ball State 72 - Alabama AM 64	0.79	Ball State 63 - Alabama AM 62	7
Baylor 87 - Texas Southern 58	0.991	Baylor 72 - Texas Southern 59	16
Binghamton 66 - Mt St Marys 67	0.535	Binghamton 62 - Mt St Marys 53	-10
Buffalo 76 - Delaware 67	0.81	Buffalo 99 - Delaware 79	-11
Central Florida 69 - George Washington 76	0.676	Central Florida 50 - George Washington 67	10
Charleston Southern 85 - Unranked 61		Charleston Southern 92 - Unranked 39
Charlotte 82 - The Citadel 72	0.711	Charlotte 111 - The Citadel 93	-8
Cincinnati 78 - Temple 63	0.879	Cincinnati 70 - Temple 77	22
Cleveland State 83 - Unranked 53		Cleveland State 77 - Unranked 37
Colorado State 93 - Unranked 58		Colorado State 77 - Unranked 53
Eastern Kentucky 78 - Manhattan 70	0.745	Eastern Kentucky 76 - Manhattan 64	-4
Florida 77 - Florida State 66	0.793	Florida 71 - Florida State 73	13
Florida Atlantic 67 - Tennessee Martin 65	0.544	Florida Atlantic 48 - Tennessee Martin 57	11
Florida International 76 - Florida AM 57	0.953	Florida International 65 - Florida AM 45	-1
Georgia 82 - Robert Morris 53	0.989	Georgia 79 - Robert Morris 67	17
Georgia Tech 79 - Duquesne 69	0.76	Georgia Tech 73 - Duquesne 67	4
Hawaii 90 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.995	Hawaii 77 - Mississippi Valley State 48	6
Houston Baptist 85 - Unranked 62		Houston Baptist 101 - Unranked 47
Idaho State 71 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.563	Idaho State 84 - Cal State Northridge 79	-3
Illinois Chicago 62 - Northern Illinois 77	0.9	Illinois Chicago 65 - Northern Illinois 70	-10
Iowa 71 - Michigan State 76	0.652	Iowa 83 - Michigan State 70	-18
Jacksonville 71 - Marist 73	0.552	Jacksonville 69 - Marist 68	-3
Kansas 82 - UC Irvine 62	0.964	Kansas 78 - UC Irvine 53	-5
Kansas State 75 - Saint Louis 58	0.935	Kansas State 75 - Saint Louis 47	-11
Lamar 84 - Unranked 60		Lamar 97 - Unranked 74
Lipscomb 67 - Chattanooga 80	0.867	Lipscomb 56 - Chattanooga 80	11
Louisiana State 79 - Wake Forest 75	0.624	Louisiana State 71 - Wake Forest 77	10
Maine 66 - Quinnipiac 72	0.693	Maine 98 - Quinnipiac 95	-9
Massachusetts 81 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.866	Massachusetts 83 - LIU Brooklyn 79	11
Memphis 79 - Tulane 62	0.904	Memphis 77 - Tulane 65	5
Miami 83 - Princeton 61	0.917	Miami 76 - Princeton 64	10
Missouri 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.94	Missouri 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 25	-33
NC State 76 - Northeastern 67	0.76	NC State 72 - Northeastern 66	3
New Orleans 82 - Unranked 62		New Orleans 94 - Unranked 61
North Carolina Central 80 - Unranked 58		North Carolina Central 107 - Unranked 68
North Texas 70 - Sam Houston State 71	0.545	North Texas 69 - Sam Houston State 64	-6
Notre Dame 88 - Liberty 51	0.998	Notre Dame 73 - Liberty 56	20
Oklahoma State 76 - UMKC 63	0.863	Oklahoma State 61 - UMKC 43	-5
Old Dominion 78 - Norfolk State 62	0.883	Old Dominion 68 - Norfolk State 57	5
Oregon 99 - Unranked 50		Oregon 88 - Unranked 60
Portland State 69 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.672	Portland State 89 - Cal State Fullerton 82	-11
Rice 72 - Incarnate Word 73	0.52	Rice 76 - Incarnate Word 82	5
Saint Francis Brooklyn 60 - Albany 72	0.815	Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Albany 71	-7
Saint Josephs 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.985	Saint Josephs 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	18
Samford 87 - Unranked 55		Samford 104 - Unranked 76
Southern Miss 81 - Unranked 56		Southern Miss 66 - Unranked 52
Tennessee 80 - Tennessee State 63	0.968	Tennessee 74 - Tennessee State 69	12
Texas 74 - Connecticut 68	0.664	Texas 66 - Connecticut 71	11
Texas AM 83 - Cal Poly 62	0.943	Texas AM 82 - Cal Poly 63	2
Texas El Paso 80 - Texas Pan American 58	0.952	Texas El Paso 85 - Texas Pan American 64	1
Texas Tech 75 - Richmond 68	0.747	Texas Tech 85 - Richmond 70	-8
Tulsa 68 - Southern Methodist 76	0.717	Tulsa 69 - Southern Methodist 81	4
UNC Asheville 78 - Furman 60	0.917	UNC Asheville 67 - Furman 65	16
Unranked 68 - Northwestern State 83		Unranked 69 - Northwestern State 92
Vermont 71 - Siena 72	0.507	Vermont 73 - Siena 64	-10
William and Mary 78 - Central Michigan 63	0.866	William and Mary 88 - Central Michigan 84	11
Wisconsin 67 - Purdue 72	0.676	Wisconsin 55 - Purdue 61	1

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 80 - Unranked 64		Abilene Christian 90 - Unranked 48
Akron 81 - South Carolina State 55	0.981	Akron 78 - South Carolina State 68	16
Alabama State 83 - Unranked 59		Alabama State 105 - Unranked 89
Alcorn State 75 - Unranked 64		Alcorn State 81 - Unranked 69
Austin Peay 86 - Unranked 59		Austin Peay 112 - Unranked 61
Boise State 82 - UC Davis 63	0.949	Boise State 64 - UC Davis 56	11
Boston College 75 - New Hampshire 62	0.774	Boston College 72 - New Hampshire 67	8
Brown 64 - Rhode Island 76	0.846	Brown 85 - Rhode Island 88	-9
Bucknell 67 - Navy 68	0.526	Bucknell 88 - Navy 58	-31
Central Connecticut State 58 - Yale 79	0.941	Central Connecticut State 42 - Yale 62	-1
Colgate 76 - Lafayette 69	0.673	Colgate 77 - Lafayette 70	0
Dayton 78 - Arkansas 70	0.708	Dayton 85 - Arkansas 81	4
DePaul 71 - Georgetown 73	0.567	DePaul 58 - Georgetown 70	10
Duke 87 - Long Beach State 65	0.962	Duke 103 - Long Beach State 81	0
East Tennessee State 67 - Morehead State 72	0.641	East Tennessee State 75 - Morehead State 72	-8
Evansville 78 - Indiana State 66	0.854	Evansville 70 - Indiana State 62	4
Holy Cross 68 - Boston 69	0.513	Holy Cross 80 - Boston 64	-17
Illinois 70 - Michigan 76	0.629	Illinois 68 - Michigan 78	4
Illinois State 74 - Missouri State 65	0.764	Illinois State 74 - Missouri State 61	-4
Iowa State 96 - Coppin State 56	0.998	Iowa State 104 - Coppin State 84	20
IPFW 76 - Oral Roberts 70	0.653	IPFW 90 - Oral Roberts 84	0
Jackson State 74 - Southeast Louisiana 64	0.803	Jackson State 89 - Southeast Louisiana 66	-13
Kennesaw St 62 - Mercer 72	0.846	Kennesaw St 73 - Mercer 76	-7
Lehigh 72 - Army 77	0.682	Lehigh 82 - Army 88	1
Loyola Ill 66 - Southern Illinois 69	0.612	Loyola Ill 62 - Southern Illinois 72	7
Loyola MD 69 - American 62	0.713	Loyola MD 75 - American 67	-1
Marquette 73 - Seton Hall 72	0.511	Marquette 63 - Seton Hall 83	21
Maryland 77 - Penn State 62	0.883	Maryland 70 - Penn State 64	9
Middle Tennessee 90 - Unranked 50		Middle Tennessee 82 - Unranked 67
Murray State 87 - Unranked 55		Murray State 101 - Unranked 75
Nebraska 69 - Northwestern 70	0.543	Nebraska 72 - Northwestern 81	8
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Fresno State 65	0.825	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Fresno State 69	14
New Mexico 78 - Nevada 68	0.721	New Mexico 88 - Nevada 76	-2
New Mexico State 88 - Unranked 52		New Mexico State 81 - Unranked 61
North Carolina 81 - Clemson 61	0.945	North Carolina 80 - Clemson 69	9
North Carolina AT 64 - Kent State 77	0.872	North Carolina AT 60 - Kent State 61	-12
North Dakota State 87 - Unranked 54		North Dakota State 105 - Unranked 47
Northern Iowa 79 - Bradley 56	0.942	Northern Iowa 80 - Bradley 44	-13
Ohio 77 - UC Riverside 64	0.864	Ohio 81 - UC Riverside 59	-9
Ohio State 78 - Minnesota 64	0.87	Ohio State 78 - Minnesota 63	-1
Pittsburgh 77 - Syracuse 64	0.83	Pittsburgh 72 - Syracuse 61	2
Rider 75 - Hartford 63	0.863	Rider 82 - Hartford 80	10
Rutgers 66 - Indiana 82	0.89	Rutgers 72 - Indiana 79	-9
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Niagara 58	0.98	Saint Bonaventure 82 - Niagara 68	6
Saint Francis Penn 68 - NJ Tech 72	0.656	Saint Francis Penn 65 - NJ Tech 77	8
San Diego State 73 - Wyoming 60	0.825	San Diego State 67 - Wyoming 55	1
San Jose State 63 - Utah State 76	0.881	San Jose State 71 - Utah State 80	-4
Seattle 66 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.633	Seattle 50 - UC Santa Barbara 88	34
South Alabama 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	0.854	South Alabama 60 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	-3
South Carolina 97 - Unranked 50		South Carolina 78 - Unranked 56
South Carolina Upstate 82 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 88 - Unranked 60
South Florida 68 - Houston 75	0.738	South Florida 67 - Houston 73	-1
Stetson 83 - Unranked 64		Stetson 93 - Unranked 83
Texas Arlington 73 - Georgia State 67	0.695	Texas Arlington 85 - Georgia State 70	-9
Texas State 70 - Georgia Southern 62	0.749	Texas State 80 - Georgia Southern 66	-6
Toledo 80 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.826	Toledo 90 - Northern Kentucky 73	-3
Troy 78 - Arkansas State 71	0.782	Troy 81 - Arkansas State 84	10
Vanderbilt 83 - Western Michigan 61	0.961	Vanderbilt 86 - Western Michigan 61	-3
Virginia 85 - Oakland 66	0.917	Virginia 71 - Oakland 58	6
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - North Florida 68	0.902	Virginia Commonwealth 80 - North Florida 68	2
Virginia Military Institute 85 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 72 - Unranked 37
Virginia Tech 67 - West Virginia 77	0.746	Virginia Tech 63 - West Virginia 88	15
Wagner 74 - UMass Lowell 64	0.802	Wagner 76 - UMass Lowell 62	-4
Western Carolina 88 - Unranked 57		Western Carolina 82 - Unranked 62

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 75 - Chicago State 61	0.873	Ball State 73 - Chicago State 48	-11
Butler 79 - Providence 71	0.713	Butler 73 - Providence 81	16
Cal State Bakersfield 76 - Morgan State 59	0.937	Cal State Bakersfield 80 - Morgan State 68	5
Central Michigan 87 - Unranked 57		Central Michigan 87 - Unranked 66
Dartmouth 73 - Bryant 61	0.799	Dartmouth 60 - Bryant 62	14
Elon 75 - Northeastern 74	0.509	Elon 79 - Northeastern 86	8
Florida Gulf Coast 75 - La Salle 65	0.781	Florida Gulf Coast 86 - La Salle 77	1
Gardner Webb 70 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.554	Gardner Webb 65 - Coastal Carolina 61	-5
Harvard 76 - Wofford 59	0.928	Harvard 77 - Wofford 57	-3
High Point 76 - Radford 68	0.804	High Point 77 - Radford 60	-9
Hofstra 78 - Delaware 66	0.855	Hofstra 90 - Delaware 80	2
Jacksonville 75 - Bethune Cookman 69	0.674	Jacksonville 74 - Bethune Cookman 70	2
Jacksonville State 66 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.537	Jacksonville State 72 - SIU Edwardsville 67	-6
James Madison 70 - College of Charleston 65	0.658	James Madison 62 - College of Charleston 65	8
Longwood 63 - UNC Asheville 81	0.914	Longwood 61 - UNC Asheville 70	-9
Mississippi State 78 - North Carolina Central 61	0.918	Mississippi State 71 - North Carolina Central 48	-6
North Dakota 65 - Idaho 70	0.619	North Dakota 71 - Idaho 74	-2
Northern Arizona 66 - Montana 73	0.652	Northern Arizona 84 - Montana 90	-1
Northern Colorado 71 - Eastern Washington 76	0.657	Northern Colorado 96 - Eastern Washington 90	-11
Pacific 70 - San Diego 69	0.514	Pacific 77 - San Diego 75	-1
Saint Johns 69 - Creighton 76	0.688	Saint Johns 70 - Creighton 80	3
Saint Marys 80 - Brigham Young 69	0.773	Saint Marys 85 - Brigham Young 74	0
San Francisco 73 - Portland 72	0.5	San Francisco 107 - Portland 95	-11
Santa Clara 60 - Gonzaga 79	0.918	Santa Clara 77 - Gonzaga 79	-17
SE Missouri State 67 - Belmont 80	0.85	SE Missouri State 82 - Belmont 92	-3
Southern Utah 71 - Montana State 73	0.58	Southern Utah 93 - Montana State 82	-13
Tennessee Tech 76 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.875	Tennessee Tech 94 - Eastern Illinois 84	4
UL Monroe 75 - Appalachian State 63	0.779	UL Monroe 72 - Appalachian State 56	-4
UMBC 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	0.563	UMBC 89 - Maryland Eastern Shore 75	-11
UNC Wilmington 77 - Drexel 64	0.884	UNC Wilmington 75 - Drexel 63	1
Villanova 73 - Xavier 72	0.534	Villanova 95 - Xavier 64	-30
Wichita State 81 - Drake 60	0.929	Wichita State 67 - Drake 47	1
William and Mary 76 - Towson 63	0.843	William and Mary 69 - Towson 76	20
Winthrop 77 - Campbell 68	0.823	Winthrop 83 - Campbell 90	16

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 74 - Colorado 71	0.606	California 79 - Colorado 65	-11
Omaha 83 - Western Illinois 70	0.853	Omaha 82 - Western Illinois 80	11
South Dakota 82 - IUPUI 71	0.809	South Dakota 66 - IUPUI 77	22
South Dakota State 78 - Denver 59	0.922	South Dakota State 68 - Denver 59	10
Stanford 73 - Utah 74	0.538	Stanford 70 - Utah 68	-3
Texas El Paso 80 - Rice 70	0.785	Texas El Paso 61 - Rice 60	9
Texas San Antonio 72 - North Texas 81	0.747	Texas San Antonio 66 - North Texas 70	-5
Washington 78 - UCLA 77	0.501	Washington 96 - UCLA 93	-2
Washington State 71 - Southern California 77	0.72	Washington State 77 - Southern California 90	7

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 78 - San Jose State 61	0.959	Air Force 64 - San Jose State 57	10
Akron 85 - Lipscomb 61	0.992	Akron 80 - Lipscomb 73	17
Alabama 80 - Norfolk State 62	0.905	Alabama 68 - Norfolk State 49	-1
Army 86 - Bucknell 73	0.846	Army 76 - Bucknell 84	21
Auburn 77 - Tennessee 76	0.547	Auburn 83 - Tennessee 77	-5
Austin Peay 77 - Eastern Kentucky 76	0.551	Austin Peay 70 - Eastern Kentucky 79	10
Boise State 82 - Colorado State 71	0.83	Boise State 84 - Colorado State 80	7
Boston College 64 - Duke 81	0.883	Boston College 64 - Duke 81	0
Bowling Green 87 - Unranked 57		Bowling Green 87 - Unranked 56
Bryant 75 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.874	Bryant 88 - Central Connecticut State 72	-4
Cal State Fullerton 85 - Unranked 59		Cal State Fullerton 75 - Unranked 52
Cal State Northridge 73 - Morgan State 67	0.713	Cal State Northridge 88 - Morgan State 74	-8
Campbell 77 - Presbyterian 61	0.966	Campbell 63 - Presbyterian 70	23
Central Arkansas 77 - Abilene Christian 70	0.742	Central Arkansas 61 - Abilene Christian 62	8
Charleston Southern 68 - High Point 80	0.937	Charleston Southern 73 - High Point 78	-7
Cincinnati 77 - Tulsa 69	0.735	Cincinnati 76 - Tulsa 57	-11
Clemson 67 - Florida State 73	0.667	Clemson 84 - Florida State 75	-15
Coastal Carolina 76 - Winthrop 70	0.73	Coastal Carolina 82 - Winthrop 63	-13
Cornell 67 - Albany 73	0.638	Cornell 70 - Albany 75	-1
Creighton 71 - Villanova 80	0.754	Creighton 71 - Villanova 85	5
Delaware 65 - James Madison 76	0.811	Delaware 63 - James Madison 73	-1
Detroit 85 - Youngstown State 72	0.797	Detroit 96 - Youngstown State 87	4
Duquesne 70 - Dayton 77	0.689	Duquesne 58 - Dayton 66	1
East Carolina 76 - Central Florida 68	0.78	East Carolina 68 - Central Florida 71	11
Eastern Michigan 81 - North Florida 71	0.799	Eastern Michigan 77 - North Florida 82	15
Elon 79 - Drexel 67	0.933	Elon 83 - Drexel 78	7
Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.841	Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 77	1
Florida 72 - Georgia 65	0.75	Florida 77 - Georgia 63	-7
Florida Gulf Coast 90 - Unranked 58		Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Unranked 57
Fresno State 75 - New Mexico 71	0.611	Fresno State 62 - New Mexico 77	19
Furman 70 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.644	Furman 85 - Virginia Military Institute 57	-24
Georgetown 76 - Marquette 70	0.664	Georgetown 80 - Marquette 70	-4
Grambling State 63 - Alabama AM 71	0.761	Grambling State 81 - Alabama AM 78	-11
Green Bay 83 - Northern Kentucky 70	0.815	Green Bay 86 - Northern Kentucky 70	-3
Hartford 62 - Yale 77	0.853	Hartford 53 - Yale 88	20
Hawaii 86 - Howard 61	0.99	Hawaii 94 - Howard 59	-10
Incarnate Word 74 - Sam Houston State 64	0.769	Incarnate Word 72 - Sam Houston State 78	16
Indiana State 69 - Loyola Ill 62	0.743	Indiana State 73 - Loyola Ill 58	-8
IPFW 91 - Unranked 57		IPFW 126 - Unranked 95
Jackson State 75 - Alabama State 66	0.766	Jackson State 68 - Alabama State 61	2
Jacksonville State 71 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.736	Jacksonville State 64 - Eastern Illinois 75	17
Kansas 83 - Baylor 66	0.922	Kansas 102 - Baylor 74	-11
Kansas State 67 - West Virginia 73	0.695	Kansas State 83 - West Virginia 87	-2
Kent State 92 - Unranked 54		Kent State 104 - Unranked 58
Kentucky 79 - Mississippi 67	0.835	Kentucky 83 - Mississippi 61	-10
Lafayette 74 - Loyola MD 75	0.522	Lafayette 78 - Loyola MD 81	2
Lehigh 70 - Boston 73	0.583	Lehigh 81 - Boston 73	-11
Liberty 59 - UNC Asheville 78	0.948	Liberty 69 - UNC Asheville 76	-12
Longwood 69 - Gardner Webb 76	0.741	Longwood 66 - Gardner Webb 67	-6
Louisiana Tech 80 - Southern Miss 59	0.95	Louisiana Tech 87 - Southern Miss 57	-9
Maine 74 - Brown 77	0.619	Maine 98 - Brown 92	-9
Manhattan 72 - Fairfield 77	0.63	Manhattan 72 - Fairfield 66	-11
Marist 73 - Canisius 80	0.674	Marist 83 - Canisius 92	2
Mercer 71 - Samford 66	0.678	Mercer 69 - Samford 50	-14
Miami 79 - Syracuse 62	0.904	Miami 64 - Syracuse 51	4
Miami OH 75 - South Carolina State 61	0.832	Miami OH 67 - South Carolina State 71	18
Michigan 77 - Penn State 62	0.827	Michigan 79 - Penn State 56	-8
Milwaukee 76 - Wright State 65	0.759	Milwaukee 82 - Wright State 84	13
Minnesota 64 - Michigan State 83	0.981	Minnesota 61 - Michigan State 69	-11
Missouri 78 - Savannah State 57	0.906	Missouri 81 - Savannah State 50	-10
Missouri State 67 - Evansville 81	0.875	Missouri State 59 - Evansville 76	3
Mt St Marys 71 - LIU Brooklyn 72	0.53	Mt St Marys 79 - LIU Brooklyn 63	-17
Murray State 68 - Morehead State 69	0.534	Murray State 62 - Morehead State 57	-6
Navy 67 - Holy Cross 62	0.614	Navy 65 - Holy Cross 60	0
Nebraska 71 - Indiana 79	0.701	Nebraska 69 - Indiana 79	2
Nevada 75 - Wyoming 70	0.67	Nevada 71 - Wyoming 68	2
Nicholls State 71 - Lamar 72	0.543	Nicholls State 67 - Lamar 79	11
NJ Tech 82 - UMBC 65	0.927	NJ Tech 86 - UMBC 83	14
North Carolina 83 - Georgia Tech 70	0.863	North Carolina 86 - Georgia Tech 78	5
North Dakota 74 - Eastern Washington 72	0.558	North Dakota 79 - Eastern Washington 71	-6
Northern Arizona 75 - Montana State 78	0.613	Northern Arizona 72 - Montana State 74	-1
Northern Colorado 66 - Idaho 75	0.754	Northern Colorado 70 - Idaho 75	-4
Northern Illinois 90 - Unranked 55		Northern Illinois 91 - Unranked 48
Northwestern 72 - Maryland 73	0.538	Northwestern 59 - Maryland 72	12
Northwestern State 76 - Houston Baptist 75	0.504	Northwestern State 73 - Houston Baptist 99	27
Oakland 81 - Cleveland State 64	0.933	Oakland 86 - Cleveland State 68	-1
Oklahoma 85 - Iowa State 72	0.85	Oklahoma 87 - Iowa State 83	9
Oklahoma State 75 - Texas Christian 67	0.719	Oklahoma State 69 - Texas Christian 48	-13
Old Dominion 79 - Charlotte 61	0.897	Old Dominion 74 - Charlotte 65	9
Pacific 68 - Brigham Young 84	0.921	Pacific 67 - Brigham Young 81	-2
Pennsylvania 70 - Binghamton 63	0.704	Pennsylvania 80 - Binghamton 45	-28
Pepperdine 75 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.738	Pepperdine 68 - Loyola Marymount 65	6
Pittsburgh 92 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	0.997	Pittsburgh 92 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	5
Portland State 70 - Sacramento State 76	0.73	Portland State 76 - Sacramento State 68	-14
Prairie View 70 - Alcorn State 63	0.793	Prairie View 70 - Alcorn State 73	10
Providence 81 - Saint Johns 57	0.96	Providence 83 - Saint Johns 65	6
Purdue 78 - Iowa 69	0.759	Purdue 63 - Iowa 70	16
Quinnipiac 69 - Iona 77	0.748	Quinnipiac 66 - Iona 78	4
Rhode Island 76 - Saint Louis 60	0.921	Rhode Island 85 - Saint Louis 57	-12
Richmond 76 - Saint Josephs 73	0.613	Richmond 73 - Saint Josephs 77	7
Robert Morris 75 - Sacred Heart 67	0.751	Robert Morris 65 - Sacred Heart 69	12
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Davidson 73	0.573	Saint Bonaventure 97 - Davidson 85	-9
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Wagner 68	0.598	Saint Francis Penn 73 - Wagner 65	-11
Saint Marys 84 - San Diego 51	0.989	Saint Marys 79 - San Diego 46	0
San Francisco 65 - Gonzaga 79	0.829	San Francisco 94 - Gonzaga 102	-6
Santa Clara 72 - Portland 71	0.502	Santa Clara 84 - Portland 77	-6
SE Missouri State 66 - Tennessee State 74	0.76	SE Missouri State 66 - Tennessee State 72	-2
Seton Hall 80 - DePaul 63	0.903	Seton Hall 78 - DePaul 74	13
Siena 80 - Niagara 61	0.944	Siena 75 - Niagara 63	7
South Alabama 76 - Arkansas State 71	0.738	South Alabama 67 - Arkansas State 89	27
South Carolina 79 - Memphis 71	0.794	South Carolina 86 - Memphis 76	-2
South Carolina Upstate 63 - UMKC 74	0.788	South Carolina Upstate 70 - UMKC 68	-13
Southern Illinois 73 - Northern Iowa 70	0.589	Southern Illinois 75 - Northern Iowa 73	1
Southern Methodist 87 - South Florida 52	0.996	Southern Methodist 72 - South Florida 58	21
Southern Utah 68 - Montana 72	0.593	Southern Utah 66 - Montana 83	13
Stephen F Austin 77 - Mcneese State 64	0.822	Stephen F Austin 86 - Mcneese State 57	-16
Stetson 85 - Unranked 65		Stetson 103 - Unranked 53
Stony Brook 74 - Columbia 67	0.738	Stony Brook 69 - Columbia 60	-2
Temple 76 - Houston 73	0.612	Temple 50 - Houston 77	30
Tennessee Martin 85 - Unranked 57		Tennessee Martin 122 - Unranked 60
Tennessee Tech 77 - SIU Edwardsville 65	0.856	Tennessee Tech 86 - SIU Edwardsville 63	-11
Texas AM 83 - Arkansas 69	0.833	Texas AM 92 - Arkansas 69	-9
Texas Arlington 89 - Georgia Southern 57	0.996	Texas Arlington 92 - Georgia Southern 72	12
Texas Pan American 78 - Unranked 65		Texas Pan American 89 - Unranked 81
Texas Southern 67 - Southern 73	0.731	Texas Southern 88 - Southern 66	-28
Texas State 63 - Georgia State 69	0.775	Texas State 46 - Georgia State 58	6
Texas Tech 76 - Texas 68	0.763	Texas Tech 82 - Texas 74	0
The Citadel 68 - Chattanooga 88	0.898	The Citadel 78 - Chattanooga 84	-14
Towson 74 - Hofstra 72	0.57	Towson 58 - Hofstra 90	34
Troy 63 - Arkansas Little Rock 78	0.931	Troy 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	-9
Tulane 64 - Connecticut 77	0.841	Tulane 67 - Connecticut 75	-5
UC Davis 84 - Unranked 59		UC Davis 74 - Unranked 49
UC Irvine 72 - New Mexico State 63	0.766	UC Irvine 54 - New Mexico State 52	7
UC Riverside 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.556	UC Riverside 48 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	18
UC Santa Barbara 91 - Unranked 53		UC Santa Barbara 87 - Unranked 46
UL Lafayette 83 - Appalachian State 69	0.828	UL Lafayette 79 - Appalachian State 58	-7
UNC Wilmington 78 - Northeastern 73	0.688	UNC Wilmington 63 - Northeastern 65	7
Utah State 66 - San Diego State 67	0.538	Utah State 67 - San Diego State 70	2
Utah Valley 85 - Unranked 62		Utah Valley 88 - Unranked 79
Valparaiso 86 - Illinois Chicago 51	0.995	Valparaiso 75 - Illinois Chicago 47	7
Vanderbilt 84 - Louisiana State 67	0.916	Vanderbilt 82 - Louisiana State 90	25
Virginia 80 - Notre Dame 64	0.889	Virginia 77 - Notre Dame 66	5
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - George Mason 62	0.852	Virginia Commonwealth 71 - George Mason 47	-10
Virginia Tech 72 - NC State 73	0.507	Virginia Tech 73 - NC State 68	-6
Weber State 83 - Idaho State 63	0.954	Weber State 77 - Idaho State 56	-1
Western Carolina 74 - East Tennessee State 71	0.578	Western Carolina 66 - East Tennessee State 82	19
Western Michigan 81 - Jacksonville 67	0.981	Western Michigan 76 - Jacksonville 72	10
William and Mary 70 - College of Charleston 68	0.555	William and Mary 78 - College of Charleston 70	-6
Wisconsin 77 - Rutgers 60	0.913	Wisconsin 79 - Rutgers 57	-5
Wofford 71 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.77	Wofford 87 - UNC Greensboro 76	-6
Xavier 83 - Butler 72	0.728	Xavier 88 - Butler 69	-8

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 71 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.581	Alabama Birmingham 78 - Middle Tennessee 67	-9
American 62 - Colgate 67	0.632	American 37 - Colgate 56	14
Arizona State 72 - Arizona 74	0.545	Arizona State 82 - Arizona 94	10
Bradley 56 - Wichita State 79	0.942	Bradley 58 - Wichita State 85	4
California 77 - Utah 73	0.608	California 71 - Utah 58	-9
Drake 70 - Illinois State 71	0.515	Drake 62 - Illinois State 67	4
Florida International 69 - Florida Atlantic 60	0.771	Florida International 76 - Florida Atlantic 59	-8
George Washington 75 - Fordham 65	0.751	George Washington 69 - Fordham 63	4
Grand Canyon 86 - Bethune Cookman 58	0.983	Grand Canyon 74 - Bethune Cookman 53	7
Hampton 70 - Princeton 76	0.669	Hampton 59 - Princeton 89	24
Harvard 76 - Vermont 65	0.776	Harvard 62 - Vermont 65	14
La Salle 69 - Massachusetts 77	0.728	La Salle 67 - Massachusetts 74	-1
Louisville 83 - Wake Forest 65	0.938	Louisville 65 - Wake Forest 57	10
Marshall 75 - Western Kentucky 78	0.589	Marshall 94 - Western Kentucky 76	-21
North Dakota State 68 - Denver 62	0.676	North Dakota State 75 - Denver 49	-20
Ohio State 77 - Illinois 67	0.818	Ohio State 75 - Illinois 73	8
Omaha 85 - IUPUI 69	0.916	Omaha 76 - IUPUI 71	11
Oral Roberts 80 - South Dakota 77	0.597	Oral Roberts 84 - South Dakota 94	13
Oregon State 72 - Oregon 73	0.502	Oregon State 70 - Oregon 57	-14
South Dakota State 84 - Western Illinois 63	0.939	South Dakota State 63 - Western Illinois 59	17
Stanford 70 - Colorado 72	0.568	Stanford 55 - Colorado 56	-1
Texas El Paso 79 - North Texas 69	0.798	Texas El Paso 84 - North Texas 75	1
Texas San Antonio 74 - Rice 83	0.724	Texas San Antonio 85 - Rice 80	-14
Washington 75 - Southern California 79	0.642	Washington 87 - Southern California 85	-6
Washington State 73 - UCLA 75	0.56	Washington State 85 - UCLA 78	-9

Number of DI Games: 325
Number Correct: 248 = 76.3%
Expected Number Correct: 250.800 = 77.2%
Average Error: 9.10
Average Signed Error: 1.15

WEEK 9 -- 1-4 to 1-10

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Connecticut State 67 - LIU Brooklyn 77	0.82	Central Connecticut State 67 - LIU Brooklyn 76	-1
Delaware State 76 - Unranked 64		Delaware State 93 - Unranked 44
Detroit 76 - Cleveland State 67	0.775	Detroit 88 - Cleveland State 80	1
Fairfield 76 - Dartmouth 68	0.699	Fairfield 97 - Dartmouth 85	-4
Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Bryant 66	0.788	Fairleigh Dickinson 80 - Bryant 85	15
Florida State 76 - North Carolina 81	0.658	Florida State 90 - North Carolina 106	11
Grambling State 66 - Alabama State 68	0.556	Grambling State 84 - Alabama State 81	-5
Green Bay 78 - Wright State 72	0.669	Green Bay 76 - Wright State 68	-2
Iona 81 - Niagara 63	0.95	Iona 65 - Niagara 52	5
Jackson State 76 - Alabama AM 66	0.818	Jackson State 67 - Alabama AM 66	9
Kansas 80 - Oklahoma 75	0.68	Kansas 109 - Oklahoma 106	2
Kennesaw St 84 - Unranked 60		Kennesaw St 103 - Unranked 71
Lamar 77 - New Orleans 68	0.813	Lamar 64 - New Orleans 68	13
Manhattan 66 - Siena 76	0.768	Manhattan 92 - Siena 87	-15
Marist 69 - Saint Peters 68	0.506	Marist 60 - Saint Peters 68	9
Milwaukee 82 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.886	Milwaukee 76 - Northern Kentucky 67	6
Mississippi Valley State 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.502	Mississippi Valley State 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	-7
Monmouth 84 - Canisius 71	0.845	Monmouth 81 - Canisius 66	-2
Mt St Marys 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.76	Mt St Marys 44 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 40	5
North Carolina Central 64 - East Tennessee State 74	0.807	North Carolina Central 68 - East Tennessee State 72	-6
Northwestern State 69 - Sam Houston State 78	0.738	Northwestern State 79 - Sam Houston State 94	6
Oakland 91 - Youngstown State 69	0.938	Oakland 98 - Youngstown State 100	24
Prairie View 62 - Southern 73	0.81	Prairie View 71 - Southern 65	-17
Quinnipiac 67 - Rider 68	0.518	Quinnipiac 64 - Rider 60	-5
Robert Morris 66 - Wagner 69	0.618	Robert Morris 69 - Wagner 72	0
Saint Francis Penn 76 - Sacred Heart 65	0.818	Saint Francis Penn 84 - Sacred Heart 80	7
Southeast Louisiana 67 - Stephen F Austin 78	0.813	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Stephen F Austin 89	9
Texas Christian 63 - West Virginia 81	0.927	Texas Christian 87 - West Virginia 95	-10
Texas Southern 79 - Alcorn State 62	0.946	Texas Southern 74 - Alcorn State 58	1
Virginia Tech 66 - Virginia 78	0.821	Virginia Tech 70 - Virginia 68	-14

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 74 - Vanderbilt 78	0.593	Arkansas 90 - Vanderbilt 85	-9
Auburn 73 - South Carolina 80	0.785	Auburn 69 - South Carolina 81	5
Baylor 76 - Oklahoma State 68	0.707	Baylor 79 - Oklahoma State 62	-9
Buffalo 70 - Akron 75	0.655	Buffalo 71 - Akron 75	-1
Chattanooga 72 - Mercer 64	0.741	Chattanooga 74 - Mercer 62	-4
Connecticut 80 - Temple 64	0.857	Connecticut 53 - Temple 55	18
Creighton 78 - Georgetown 74	0.64	Creighton 79 - Georgetown 66	-9
DePaul 71 - Butler 82	0.756	DePaul 72 - Butler 77	-6
Florida AM 63 - Savannah State 68	0.635	Florida AM 61 - Savannah State 58	-8
Florida Gulf Coast 89 - Unranked 57		Florida Gulf Coast 104 - Unranked 59
Houston 80 - Tulane 65	0.894	Houston 63 - Tulane 45	-3
Houston Baptist 78 - Mcneese State 66	0.785	Houston Baptist 82 - Mcneese State 73	3
Indiana 78 - Wisconsin 69	0.776	Indiana 59 - Wisconsin 58	8
Iowa 85 - Nebraska 63	0.941	Iowa 77 - Nebraska 66	11
Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 63		Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 45
Louisiana State 72 - Kentucky 80	0.749	Louisiana State 85 - Kentucky 67	-26
Memphis 87 - Nicholls State 57	0.988	Memphis 82 - Nicholls State 46	-6
Norfolk State 68 - Princeton 77	0.723	Norfolk State 74 - Princeton 83	0
Penn State 74 - Minnesota 66	0.761	Penn State 86 - Minnesota 77	-1
Providence 80 - Marquette 67	0.854	Providence 64 - Marquette 65	14
Rhode Island 74 - Richmond 72	0.581	Rhode Island 77 - Richmond 65	-10
Saint Josephs 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.724	Saint Josephs 82 - Virginia Commonwealth 85	9
Samford 85 - The Citadel 69	0.832	Samford 94 - The Citadel 74	-4
South Carolina Upstate 69 - North Carolina AT 70	0.508	South Carolina Upstate 78 - North Carolina AT 68	-11
Syracuse 70 - Clemson 62	0.721	Syracuse 73 - Clemson 74	9
Texas 73 - Kansas State 68	0.634	Texas 60 - Kansas State 57	2
Texas AM CC 81 - Central Arkansas 59	0.983	Texas AM CC 94 - Central Arkansas 82	10
Tulsa 77 - East Carolina 67	0.802	Tulsa 55 - East Carolina 43	-2
UNC Greensboro 68 - Furman 70	0.566	UNC Greensboro 67 - Furman 66	-3
Utah State 72 - Boise State 73	0.548	Utah State 61 - Boise State 76	14
Virginia Military Institute 71 - Wofford 70	0.51	Virginia Military Institute 61 - Wofford 65	5
Western Michigan 70 - Kent State 74	0.706	Western Michigan 84 - Kent State 87	-1

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 81 - UMBC 60	0.917	Albany 73 - UMBC 59	7
Army 90 - Lafayette 68	0.957	Army 73 - Lafayette 76	25
Ball State 69 - Toledo 72	0.581	Ball State 87 - Toledo 69	-21
Binghamton 57 - Stony Brook 75	0.898	Binghamton 52 - Stony Brook 62	-8
Boston 66 - Navy 67	0.501	Boston 67 - Navy 83	15
Bowling Green 70 - Miami OH 66	0.58	Bowling Green 73 - Miami OH 62	-7
Bradley 61 - Southern Illinois 79	0.932	Bradley 44 - Southern Illinois 65	3
Bucknell 79 - American 58	0.93	Bucknell 72 - American 54	3
Cal State Northridge 70 - Long Beach State 81	0.833	Cal State Northridge 79 - Long Beach State 94	4
Central Florida 75 - South Florida 65	0.859	Central Florida 75 - South Florida 64	-1
Central Michigan 71 - Eastern Michigan 74	0.584	Central Michigan 80 - Eastern Michigan 99	16
Coastal Carolina 77 - Liberty 56	0.967	Coastal Carolina 61 - Liberty 62	22
Colorado State 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	0.601	Colorado State 66 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	-4
Columbia 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.944	Columbia 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 75	15
Davidson 81 - Duquesne 75	0.643	Davidson 77 - Duquesne 66	-5
Dayton 81 - Massachusetts 64	0.898	Dayton 93 - Massachusetts 63	-13
Denver 70 - Oral Roberts 69	0.535	Denver 78 - Oral Roberts 75	-2
Drake 69 - Indiana State 71	0.573	Drake 69 - Indiana State 79	8
Eastern Illinois 66 - Tennessee State 70	0.659	Eastern Illinois 61 - Tennessee State 66	1
Fordham 80 - La Salle 59	0.959	Fordham 66 - La Salle 61	16
Fresno State 76 - Nevada 69	0.736	Fresno State 85 - Nevada 63	-15
Gardner Webb 75 - Campbell 68	0.728	Gardner Webb 71 - Campbell 68	4
George Mason 66 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.662	George Mason 58 - Saint Bonaventure 77	13
Georgia 74 - Missouri 65	0.734	Georgia 77 - Missouri 59	-9
Grambling State 78 - Unranked 61		Grambling State 80 - Unranked 58
Hawaii 82 - Cal Poly 65	0.963	Hawaii 86 - Cal Poly 73	4
Holy Cross 70 - Colgate 63	0.694	Holy Cross 65 - Colgate 63	5
Howard 74 - Cornell 72	0.565	Howard 81 - Cornell 84	5
Illinois State 72 - Loyola Ill 62	0.839	Illinois State 54 - Loyola Ill 52	8
Iowa State 78 - Texas Tech 76	0.588	Iowa State 76 - Texas Tech 69	-5
IPFW 80 - South Dakota 73	0.726	IPFW 85 - South Dakota 65	-13
Loyola MD 73 - Lehigh 70	0.603	Loyola MD 51 - Lehigh 50	2
Maine 68 - Vermont 80	0.838	Maine 72 - Vermont 90	6
Maryland 86 - Rutgers 58	0.989	Maryland 88 - Rutgers 63	3
Mississippi State 68 - Texas AM 80	0.814	Mississippi State 60 - Texas AM 61	-11
Missouri State 65 - Northern Iowa 76	0.775	Missouri State 59 - Northern Iowa 58	-12
Morgan State 71 - Hampton 74	0.616	Morgan State 80 - Hampton 83	0
North Carolina Central 79 - Unranked 59		North Carolina Central 78 - Unranked 70
Northern Illinois 74 - Ohio 73	0.507	Northern Illinois 80 - Ohio 69	-10
Northwestern 71 - Ohio State 68	0.628	Northwestern 56 - Ohio State 65	12
Oregon 74 - California 73	0.506	Oregon 68 - California 65	-2
Oregon State 73 - Stanford 66	0.791	Oregon State 72 - Stanford 78	13
Pittsburgh 80 - Georgia Tech 68	0.819	Pittsburgh 89 - Georgia Tech 84	7
Presbyterian 71 - Longwood 66	0.708	Presbyterian 78 - Longwood 65	-8
Radford 79 - Charleston Southern 67	0.885	Radford 80 - Charleston Southern 73	5
Saint Johns 59 - Xavier 84	0.941	Saint Johns 66 - Xavier 74	-17
Saint Louis 62 - George Washington 77	0.858	Saint Louis 65 - George Washington 62	-18
San Diego State 80 - San Jose State 55	0.983	San Diego State 77 - San Jose State 62	10
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Belmont 79	0.783	SIU Edwardsville 77 - Belmont 85	-1
Stetson 72 - North Florida 83	0.8	Stetson 79 - North Florida 97	7
Tennessee 70 - Florida 76	0.768	Tennessee 83 - Florida 69	-20
UMass Lowell 76 - Hartford 71	0.639	UMass Lowell 80 - Hartford 76	1
UNC Asheville 81 - Winthrop 68	0.895	UNC Asheville 85 - Winthrop 84	12
Villanova 79 - Seton Hall 65	0.847	Villanova 72 - Seton Hall 63	5
Wake Forest 73 - Duke 81	0.756	Wake Forest 75 - Duke 91	8
Wichita State 77 - Evansville 71	0.688	Wichita State 67 - Evansville 64	3
Wyoming 70 - Air Force 67	0.612	Wyoming 64 - Air Force 52	-9
Yale 76 - NJ Tech 64	0.784	Yale 83 - NJ Tech 65	-6

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 90 - Texas San Antonio 59	0.982	Alabama Birmingham 104 - Texas San Antonio 82	9
Appalachian State 60 - Texas Arlington 85	0.977	Appalachian State 67 - Texas Arlington 71	-21
Arkansas Little Rock 81 - UL Lafayette 61	0.934	Arkansas Little Rock 77 - UL Lafayette 57	0
Arkansas State 74 - UL Monroe 70	0.626	Arkansas State 68 - UL Monroe 65	1
Austin Peay 75 - Jacksonville State 64	0.88	Austin Peay 73 - Jacksonville State 54	-8
Boston College 67 - Notre Dame 75	0.729	Boston College 54 - Notre Dame 82	20
Brigham Young 83 - Santa Clara 64	0.906	Brigham Young 97 - Santa Clara 61	-17
Canisius 82 - Manhattan 68	0.88	Canisius 86 - Manhattan 94	22
Cleveland State 70 - Green Bay 74	0.668	Cleveland State 67 - Green Bay 87	16
College of Charleston 74 - Hofstra 69	0.64	College of Charleston 72 - Hofstra 61	-6
Drexel 66 - William and Mary 75	0.814	Drexel 63 - William and Mary 72	0
Eastern Kentucky 78 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.761	Eastern Kentucky 70 - Tennessee Martin 78	17
Georgia Southern 72 - South Alabama 71	0.537	Georgia Southern 58 - South Alabama 64	7
Georgia State 79 - Troy 63	0.986	Georgia State 72 - Troy 68	12
Grand Canyon 85 - Texas Pan American 55	0.995	Grand Canyon 83 - Texas Pan American 63	10
Idaho State 75 - Northern Colorado 71	0.643	Idaho State 83 - Northern Colorado 78	-1
Iona 79 - Rider 66	0.842	Iona 67 - Rider 58	4
IUPUI 65 - South Dakota State 79	0.851	IUPUI 74 - South Dakota State 67	-21
James Madison 80 - Elon 70	0.824	James Madison 73 - Elon 79	16
LIU Brooklyn 75 - Robert Morris 67	0.73	LIU Brooklyn 60 - Robert Morris 70	18
Louisiana Tech 75 - Old Dominion 70	0.656	Louisiana Tech 53 - Old Dominion 56	8
Loyola Marymount 60 - Saint Marys 80	0.935	Loyola Marymount 48 - Saint Marys 73	5
Marshall 79 - Florida Atlantic 63	0.89	Marshall 90 - Florida Atlantic 67	-7
Michigan State 85 - Illinois 64	0.974	Michigan State 79 - Illinois 54	-4
Middle Tennessee 75 - Texas El Paso 64	0.826	Middle Tennessee 78 - Texas El Paso 72	5
Mississippi 73 - Alabama 68	0.653	Mississippi 74 - Alabama 66	-3
Montana 75 - Portland State 65	0.754	Montana 79 - Portland State 66	-3
Montana State 74 - Sacramento State 75	0.502	Montana State 71 - Sacramento State 64	-8
Morehead State 78 - SE Missouri State 58	0.952	Morehead State 96 - SE Missouri State 69	-7
Mt St Marys 79 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.918	Mt St Marys 73 - Central Connecticut State 62	7
Murray State 72 - Tennessee Tech 71	0.554	Murray State 65 - Tennessee Tech 71	7
NC State 67 - Louisville 75	0.76	NC State 72 - Louisville 77	-3
Niagara 66 - Saint Peters 67	0.552	Niagara 63 - Saint Peters 61	-3
North Dakota State 75 - Omaha 73	0.576	North Dakota State 82 - Omaha 91	11
Northeastern 81 - Delaware 62	0.953	Northeastern 88 - Delaware 56	-13
Pepperdine 79 - Pacific 64	0.916	Pepperdine 81 - Pacific 76	10
Purdue 75 - Michigan 67	0.702	Purdue 87 - Michigan 70	-9
Sacred Heart 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 75	0.622	Sacred Heart 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 80	8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.592	Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Saint Francis Penn 56	-20
San Diego 69 - San Francisco 70	0.536	San Diego 65 - San Francisco 73	7
Siena 82 - Fairfield 69	0.8	Siena 91 - Fairfield 76	-2
Southern California 79 - Arizona State 71	0.763	Southern California 75 - Arizona State 65	-2
Southern Methodist 79 - Cincinnati 67	0.772	Southern Methodist 59 - Cincinnati 57	10
Southern Miss 68 - Charlotte 69	0.519	Southern Miss 76 - Charlotte 82	5
Towson 70 - UNC Wilmington 74	0.62	Towson 76 - UNC Wilmington 60	-20
UC Irvine 78 - UC Davis 58	0.965	UC Irvine 76 - UC Davis 55	-1
UC Riverside 70 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.618	UC Riverside 73 - Cal State Fullerton 79	9
UCLA 73 - Arizona 79	0.683	UCLA 87 - Arizona 84	-9
UMKC 73 - Seattle 63	0.771	UMKC 84 - Seattle 69	-5
Utah Valley 65 - New Mexico State 74	0.729	Utah Valley 66 - New Mexico State 78	3
Wagner 73 - Bryant 61	0.829	Wagner 65 - Bryant 56	3
Weber State 79 - North Dakota 64	0.862	Weber State 74 - North Dakota 62	3
Western Kentucky 76 - Florida International 65	0.82	Western Kentucky 72 - Florida International 75	14
Youngstown State 73 - Milwaukee 81	0.748	Youngstown State 65 - Milwaukee 81	8

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 80 - Western Michigan 64	0.967	Akron 62 - Western Michigan 53	7
Colorado 77 - Utah 72	0.676	Colorado 54 - Utah 56	7
Detroit 87 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.947	Detroit 87 - Illinois Chicago 69	5
Kent State 77 - Buffalo 69	0.808	Kent State 67 - Buffalo 76	17
Oakland 75 - Valparaiso 73	0.559	Oakland 67 - Valparaiso 84	19
Yale 89 - Unranked 49		Yale 94 - Unranked 53

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 71 - Nevada 69	0.581	Air Force 63 - Nevada 86	25
Alabama 66 - Kentucky 74	0.751	Alabama 61 - Kentucky 77	8
Alabama AM 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.746	Alabama AM 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	-6
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Texas El Paso 65	0.859	Alabama Birmingham 87 - Texas El Paso 80	7
Alabama State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.824	Alabama State 75 - Mississippi Valley State 74	12
Alcorn State 63 - Jackson State 76	0.898	Alcorn State 71 - Jackson State 80	-4
American 63 - Lehigh 70	0.71	American 50 - Lehigh 65	8
Appalachian State 63 - Texas State 70	0.712	Appalachian State 76 - Texas State 56	-27
Arkansas 81 - Mississippi State 73	0.745	Arkansas 82 - Mississippi State 68	-6
Arkansas Little Rock 75 - UL Monroe 55	0.948	Arkansas Little Rock 58 - UL Monroe 57	19
Arkansas State 80 - UL Lafayette 76	0.595	Arkansas State 71 - UL Lafayette 69	2
Austin Peay 72 - Tennessee Tech 75	0.609	Austin Peay 66 - Tennessee Tech 72	3
Belmont 84 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.95	Belmont 85 - Eastern Illinois 59	-8
Boise State 77 - Fresno State 69	0.824	Boise State 81 - Fresno State 70	-3
Boston 82 - Lafayette 68	0.827	Boston 68 - Lafayette 47	-7
Bowling Green 74 - Central Michigan 69	0.602	Bowling Green 67 - Central Michigan 79	17
Brigham Young 85 - San Francisco 67	0.886	Brigham Young 102 - San Francisco 92	8
Brown 87 - Unranked 62		Brown 69 - Unranked 43
Bucknell 75 - Holy Cross 68	0.697	Bucknell 98 - Holy Cross 71	-20
Cal State Fullerton 76 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.82	Cal State Fullerton 75 - Cal State Northridge 85	19
Canisius 80 - Saint Peters 68	0.82	Canisius 53 - Saint Peters 70	29
Central Arkansas 71 - Lamar 75	0.626	Central Arkansas 93 - Lamar 76	-21
Charleston Southern 68 - UNC Asheville 78	0.8	Charleston Southern 73 - UNC Asheville 83	0
Chicago State 71 - Seattle 70	0.501	Chicago State 50 - Seattle 66	17
Cleveland State 67 - Milwaukee 72	0.706	Cleveland State 62 - Milwaukee 65	-2
Colgate 63 - Navy 65	0.55	Colgate 68 - Navy 71	1
Columbia 90 - Unranked 54		Columbia 96 - Unranked 68
Connecticut 78 - Memphis 69	0.715	Connecticut 81 - Memphis 78	6
Davidson 79 - George Mason 68	0.738	Davidson 81 - George Mason 75	5
Delaware 68 - UNC Wilmington 79	0.846	Delaware 67 - UNC Wilmington 85	7
Denver 67 - IPFW 69	0.583	Denver 64 - IPFW 65	-1
Drexel 63 - College of Charleston 72	0.85	Drexel 61 - College of Charleston 54	-16
Duke 85 - Virginia Tech 68	0.905	Duke 82 - Virginia Tech 58	-7
East Tennessee State 80 - UNC Greensboro 64	0.931	East Tennessee State 86 - UNC Greensboro 83	13
Eastern Kentucky 84 - SE Missouri State 65	0.95	Eastern Kentucky 88 - SE Missouri State 69	0
Eastern Washington 67 - Idaho 73	0.694	Eastern Washington 74 - Idaho 60	-20
Elon 77 - Hofstra 78	0.517	Elon 76 - Hofstra 80	3
Evansville 86 - Bradley 57	0.995	Evansville 67 - Bradley 35	-3
Fairleigh Dickinson 82 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.983	Fairleigh Dickinson 92 - Central Connecticut State 73	0
Florida 82 - Louisiana State 68	0.882	Florida 68 - Louisiana State 62	8
Florida Gulf Coast 82 - Stetson 66	0.935	Florida Gulf Coast 82 - Stetson 53	-13
Furman 63 - Chattanooga 74	0.767	Furman 70 - Chattanooga 55	-26
Gardner Webb 72 - Radford 71	0.511	Gardner Webb 83 - Radford 61	-21
George Washington 80 - Duquesne 66	0.831	George Washington 91 - Duquesne 64	-13
Georgetown 79 - DePaul 67	0.812	Georgetown 74 - DePaul 63	1
Georgia Southern 73 - Troy 76	0.619	Georgia Southern 93 - Troy 88	-8
Georgia State 79 - South Alabama 58	0.984	Georgia State 70 - South Alabama 55	6
Georgia Tech 68 - Virginia 77	0.773	Georgia Tech 68 - Virginia 64	-13
Gonzaga 85 - Portland 63	0.941	Gonzaga 85 - Portland 74	11
Grand Canyon 73 - New Mexico State 64	0.761	Grand Canyon 79 - New Mexico State 75	5
Hampton 78 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.788	Hampton 75 - Bethune Cookman 70	6
Harvard 76 - Dartmouth 58	0.877	Harvard 77 - Dartmouth 70	11
Hawaii 78 - UC Santa Barbara 65	0.844	Hawaii 65 - UC Santa Barbara 57	5
High Point 81 - Presbyterian 58	0.995	High Point 82 - Presbyterian 66	7
Houston Baptist 80 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.847	Houston Baptist 77 - Southeast Louisiana 58	-6
Howard 80 - Coppin State 70	0.783	Howard 72 - Coppin State 63	1
Idaho State 70 - North Dakota 71	0.54	Idaho State 76 - North Dakota 84	7
Incarnate Word 83 - Northwestern State 66	0.859	Incarnate Word 70 - Northwestern State 56	3
Indiana State 71 - Illinois State 67	0.661	Indiana State 77 - Illinois State 65	-8
Iona 82 - Marist 66	0.893	Iona 90 - Marist 80	6
Iowa State 82 - Baylor 72	0.767	Iowa State 89 - Baylor 94	15
James Madison 76 - Towson 63	0.8	James Madison 73 - Towson 59	-1
Kennesaw St 75 - Lipscomb 71	0.696	Kennesaw St 102 - Lipscomb 86	-12
La Salle 59 - Dayton 81	0.952	La Salle 61 - Dayton 57	-26
Liberty 66 - Campbell 72	0.688	Liberty 55 - Campbell 52	-9
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.576	LIU Brooklyn 65 - Saint Francis Penn 72	10
Long Beach State 81 - UC Davis 66	0.919	Long Beach State 59 - UC Davis 47	3
Longwood 64 - Coastal Carolina 75	0.836	Longwood 76 - Coastal Carolina 61	-26
Louisiana Tech 85 - Charlotte 67	0.88	Louisiana Tech 93 - Charlotte 90	15
Loyola Ill 71 - Missouri State 64	0.715	Loyola Ill 54 - Missouri State 56	9
Loyola Marymount 77 - Pacific 67	0.813	Loyola Marymount 58 - Pacific 60	12
Loyola MD 72 - Army 80	0.798	Loyola MD 59 - Army 73	6
Marquette 78 - Saint Johns 63	0.853	Marquette 81 - Saint Johns 75	9
Marshall 78 - Florida International 69	0.767	Marshall 99 - Florida International 81	-9
Massachusetts 72 - Saint Bonaventure 74	0.568	Massachusetts 77 - Saint Bonaventure 88	9
Mcneese State 60 - Texas AM CC 75	0.878	Mcneese State 68 - Texas AM CC 77	-6
Miami 83 - Florida State 68	0.872	Miami 72 - Florida State 59	2
Miami OH 69 - Toledo 73	0.616	Miami OH 76 - Toledo 84	4
Middle Tennessee 87 - Texas San Antonio 59	0.979	Middle Tennessee 79 - Texas San Antonio 71	20
Minnesota 69 - Northwestern 75	0.753	Minnesota 52 - Northwestern 77	19
Mississippi 72 - Georgia 71	0.543	Mississippi 72 - Georgia 71	0
Missouri 75 - Auburn 72	0.594	Missouri 76 - Auburn 61	-12
Monmouth 83 - Quinnipiac 58	0.983	Monmouth 88 - Quinnipiac 74	11
Montana 74 - Sacramento State 67	0.673	Montana 77 - Sacramento State 58	-12
Montana State 76 - Portland State 73	0.633	Montana State 70 - Portland State 77	10
Morehead State 72 - Tennessee Martin 63	0.783	Morehead State 64 - Tennessee Martin 58	3
Morgan State 73 - Delaware State 63	0.807	Morgan State 63 - Delaware State 58	5
Mt St Marys 72 - Bryant 65	0.695	Mt St Marys 79 - Bryant 82	10
Murray State 76 - Jacksonville State 60	0.933	Murray State 69 - Jacksonville State 54	1
New Hampshire 72 - Binghamton 61	0.722	New Hampshire 58 - Binghamton 43	-4
New Mexico 77 - Utah State 69	0.717	New Mexico 77 - Utah State 59	-10
Niagara 68 - Manhattan 67	0.561	Niagara 55 - Manhattan 53	-1
Nicholls State 72 - Abilene Christian 67	0.682	Nicholls State 63 - Abilene Christian 62	4
NJ Tech 81 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.929	NJ Tech 78 - South Carolina Upstate 80	19
Norfolk State 79 - Florida AM 59	0.951	Norfolk State 77 - Florida AM 56	-1
North Florida 85 - Jacksonville 68	0.967	North Florida 83 - Jacksonville 68	2
North Texas 77 - Rice 71	0.699	North Texas 85 - Rice 74	-5
Northern Illinois 73 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.656	Northern Illinois 80 - Eastern Michigan 63	-13
Northern Iowa 80 - Drake 63	0.881	Northern Iowa 77 - Drake 44	-16
Northern Kentucky 69 - Wright State 73	0.583	Northern Kentucky 46 - Wright State 60	10
Notre Dame 73 - Pittsburgh 76	0.586	Notre Dame 82 - Pittsburgh 86	1
Ohio 76 - Ball State 65	0.853	Ohio 79 - Ball State 73	5
Oklahoma 81 - Kansas State 65	0.919	Oklahoma 86 - Kansas State 76	6
Oral Roberts 71 - North Dakota State 72	0.508	Oral Roberts 66 - North Dakota State 65	-2
Oregon State 72 - California 71	0.51	Oregon State 77 - California 71	-5
Pennsylvania 66 - Princeton 75	0.717	Pennsylvania 71 - Princeton 73	-7
Pepperdine 62 - Saint Marys 77	0.869	Pepperdine 67 - Saint Marys 64	-18
Rider 74 - Fairfield 72	0.546	Rider 64 - Fairfield 69	7
Rutgers 69 - Nebraska 73	0.616	Rutgers 56 - Nebraska 90	30
Sacred Heart 66 - Wagner 71	0.685	Sacred Heart 59 - Wagner 76	12
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Robert Morris 67	0.601	Saint Francis Brooklyn 56 - Robert Morris 49	-5
Sam Houston State 77 - New Orleans 64	0.886	Sam Houston State 73 - New Orleans 70	10
San Diego 66 - Santa Clara 67	0.503	San Diego 53 - Santa Clara 65	11
San Jose State 70 - Colorado State 79	0.796	San Jose State 84 - Colorado State 85	-8
Savannah State 67 - North Carolina AT 68	0.509	Savannah State 75 - North Carolina AT 68	-8
Seton Hall 81 - Creighton 72	0.776	Seton Hall 67 - Creighton 82	24
South Carolina 76 - Vanderbilt 71	0.659	South Carolina 69 - Vanderbilt 65	1
South Carolina State 71 - North Carolina Central 63	0.766	South Carolina State 91 - North Carolina Central 75	-8
South Dakota 80 - Omaha 81	0.541	South Dakota 73 - Omaha 79	5
Southern 75 - Grambling State 59	0.857	Southern 66 - Grambling State 61	11
Southern California 76 - Arizona 75	0.524	Southern California 103 - Arizona 101	-1
Southern Illinois 71 - Wichita State 72	0.512	Southern Illinois 58 - Wichita State 83	24
Southern Miss 58 - Old Dominion 72	0.876	Southern Miss 73 - Old Dominion 71	-16
Southern Utah 77 - Northern Arizona 70	0.703	Southern Utah 63 - Northern Arizona 73	17
Stony Brook 85 - UMass Lowell 59	0.972	Stony Brook 86 - UMass Lowell 59	-1
Syracuse 70 - North Carolina 77	0.735	Syracuse 73 - North Carolina 84	4
Temple 73 - East Carolina 69	0.633	Temple 78 - East Carolina 60	-14
Tennessee 69 - Texas AM 79	0.801	Tennessee 88 - Texas AM 92	-6
Tennessee State 74 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.853	Tennessee State 63 - SIU Edwardsville 60	9
Texas Christian 67 - Texas 76	0.72	Texas Christian 58 - Texas 57	-10
Texas Southern 78 - Prairie View 62	0.933	Texas Southern 64 - Prairie View 38	-10
Texas Tech 74 - Kansas 77	0.632	Texas Tech 59 - Kansas 69	7
The Citadel 69 - Mercer 83	0.805	The Citadel 80 - Mercer 91	-3
UC Irvine 76 - UC Riverside 58	0.952	UC Irvine 84 - UC Riverside 68	2
UCLA 76 - Arizona State 75	0.533	UCLA 81 - Arizona State 74	-6
UMBC 78 - Maine 73	0.641	UMBC 89 - Maine 76	-8
UMKC 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.591	UMKC 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 83	8
Utah Valley 77 - Texas Pan American 65	0.817	Utah Valley 98 - Texas Pan American 65	-21
Vermont 71 - Albany 68	0.577	Vermont 57 - Albany 69	15
Washington State 77 - Washington 76	0.515	Washington State 95 - Washington 99	5
Weber State 85 - Northern Colorado 65	0.959	Weber State 85 - Northern Colorado 68	3
West Virginia 82 - Oklahoma State 62	0.949	West Virginia 77 - Oklahoma State 60	3
Western Carolina 76 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.766	Western Carolina 73 - Virginia Military Institute 52	-10
Western Illinois 74 - IUPUI 67	0.689	Western Illinois 60 - IUPUI 67	14
Western Kentucky 78 - Florida Atlantic 59	0.924	Western Kentucky 86 - Florida Atlantic 82	15
William and Mary 74 - Northeastern 71	0.592	William and Mary 78 - Northeastern 60	-15
Wisconsin 68 - Maryland 74	0.693	Wisconsin 60 - Maryland 63	-3
Wofford 68 - Samford 71	0.609	Wofford 69 - Samford 64	-8
Wyoming 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	0.686	Wyoming 59 - Nevada Las Vegas 57	-7
Youngstown State 75 - Green Bay 84	0.724	Youngstown State 103 - Green Bay 93	-19

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Butler 73 - Villanova 78	0.604	Butler 55 - Villanova 60	0
Clemson 62 - Louisville 75	0.828	Clemson 66 - Louisville 62	-17
Detroit 70 - Valparaiso 76	0.695	Detroit 74 - Valparaiso 92	12
Fordham 73 - Richmond 72	0.505	Fordham 82 - Richmond 93	12
Illinois 67 - Purdue 79	0.874	Illinois 84 - Purdue 70	-26
Indiana 77 - Ohio State 71	0.711	Indiana 85 - Ohio State 60	-19
Oakland 92 - Illinois Chicago 61	0.993	Oakland 86 - Illinois Chicago 61	6
Oregon 75 - Stanford 68	0.759	Oregon 71 - Stanford 58	-6
Penn State 63 - Michigan State 77	0.893	Penn State 65 - Michigan State 92	13
Saint Josephs 76 - Rhode Island 69	0.746	Saint Josephs 72 - Rhode Island 67	2
Saint Louis 64 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.883	Saint Louis 56 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	4
South Florida 62 - Cincinnati 77	0.885	South Florida 51 - Cincinnati 54	-12
Southern Methodist 86 - Central Florida 60	0.976	Southern Methodist 88 - Central Florida 73	11
Tulane 68 - Tulsa 74	0.716	Tulane 67 - Tulsa 81	8
Wake Forest 74 - NC State 71	0.624	Wake Forest 77 - NC State 74	0

Number of DI Games: 336
Number Correct: 248 = 73.8%
Expected Number Correct: 254.331 = 75.6%
Average Error: 8.84
Average Signed Error: 0.91

WEEK 10 -- 1-11 to 1-17

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 79 - Mississippi Valley State 65	0.89	Alabama AM 73 - Mississippi Valley State 79	20
Alabama State 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.737	Alabama State 55 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	13
Alcorn State 67 - Grambling State 68	0.543	Alcorn State 69 - Grambling State 53	-17
Chicago State 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 77	0.89	Chicago State 56 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	-4
East Tennessee State 81 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.923	East Tennessee State 88 - Virginia Military Institute 51	-19
Fairfield 71 - Monmouth 80	0.732	Fairfield 74 - Monmouth 86	3
Furman 69 - Samford 66	0.579	Furman 77 - Samford 57	-17
Hampton 78 - Florida AM 61	0.933	Hampton 71 - Florida AM 65	11
Lamar 66 - Texas AM CC 77	0.837	Lamar 82 - Texas AM CC 91	-2
Lehigh 70 - Bucknell 76	0.668	Lehigh 76 - Bucknell 82	0
Maryland Eastern Shore 74 - Morgan State 67	0.724	Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Morgan State 65	3
New Orleans 69 - Incarnate Word 71	0.565	New Orleans 68 - Incarnate Word 71	1
Norfolk State 78 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.852	Norfolk State 70 - Bethune Cookman 72	16
Sam Houston State 79 - Southeast Louisiana 62	0.947	Sam Houston State 70 - Southeast Louisiana 63	10
Savannah State 69 - North Carolina Central 64	0.644	Savannah State 46 - North Carolina Central 69	28
South Carolina State 74 - North Carolina AT 66	0.732	South Carolina State 92 - North Carolina AT 85	1
Southern 70 - Jackson State 69	0.53	Southern 74 - Jackson State 66	-7
Western Carolina 76 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.794	Western Carolina 83 - UNC Greensboro 77	4
Winthrop 89 - Unranked 62		Winthrop 81 - Unranked 63
Wofford 65 - Chattanooga 73	0.744	Wofford 68 - Chattanooga 77	1

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 76 - Northwestern State 70	0.687	Abilene Christian 87 - Northwestern State 72	-9
Albany 77 - New Hampshire 60	0.844	Albany 80 - New Hampshire 75	12
Central Michigan 67 - Akron 76	0.764	Central Michigan 92 - Akron 81	-20
Creighton 77 - Providence 75	0.584	Creighton 48 - Providence 50	4
Dartmouth 73 - Canisius 75	0.543	Dartmouth 80 - Canisius 69	-13
Dayton 80 - Davidson 70	0.736	Dayton 80 - Davidson 74	4
Eastern Michigan 76 - Buffalo 71	0.648	Eastern Michigan 81 - Buffalo 69	-7
Evansville 85 - Drake 62	0.976	Evansville 84 - Drake 65	4
Harvard 90 - Unranked 51		Harvard 73 - Unranked 57
Kansas State 72 - Texas Tech 71	0.506	Kansas State 83 - Texas Tech 70	-12
Kent State 75 - Miami OH 64	0.841	Kent State 76 - Miami OH 68	3
Kentucky 82 - Mississippi State 64	0.899	Kentucky 80 - Mississippi State 74	12
Massachusetts 71 - George Washington 78	0.684	Massachusetts 70 - George Washington 81	4
Michigan 74 - Maryland 72	0.545	Michigan 70 - Maryland 67	-1
Missouri 74 - Arkansas 75	0.515	Missouri 61 - Arkansas 94	32
Nebraska 79 - Minnesota 68	0.788	Nebraska 84 - Minnesota 59	-14
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - New Mexico 71	0.536	Nevada Las Vegas 86 - New Mexico 74	-11
Northwestern 71 - Wisconsin 66	0.705	Northwestern 70 - Wisconsin 65	0
Ohio 78 - Bowling Green 65	0.796	Ohio 75 - Bowling Green 91	29
South Florida 68 - Tulane 67	0.524	South Florida 70 - Tulane 81	12
Southern Illinois 76 - Illinois State 66	0.842	Southern Illinois 81 - Illinois State 78	7
Stephen F Austin 82 - Central Arkansas 66	0.887	Stephen F Austin 85 - Central Arkansas 64	-5
Texas 77 - Iowa State 76	0.513	Texas 94 - Iowa State 91	-2
Texas AM 76 - Florida 67	0.734	Texas AM 71 - Florida 68	6
Toledo 72 - Northern Illinois 73	0.515	Toledo 66 - Northern Illinois 71	4
Utah State 73 - Air Force 64	0.793	Utah State 79 - Air Force 60	-10
Vanderbilt 83 - Auburn 67	0.856	Vanderbilt 75 - Auburn 57	-2
Virginia 73 - Miami 72	0.529	Virginia 66 - Miami 58	-7
West Virginia 77 - Kansas 78	0.538	West Virginia 74 - Kansas 63	-12
Western Michigan 69 - Ball State 70	0.545	Western Michigan 64 - Ball State 74	9
Xavier 89 - DePaul 62	0.952	Xavier 84 - DePaul 64	7

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 67 - South Carolina 76	0.831	Alabama 73 - South Carolina 50	-32
American 61 - Boston 70	0.734	American 50 - Boston 61	2
Baylor 82 - Texas Christian 66	0.856	Baylor 82 - Texas Christian 54	-12
Binghamton 69 - Hartford 65	0.626	Binghamton 72 - Hartford 76	8
Cincinnati 77 - Houston 69	0.697	Cincinnati 70 - Houston 59	-3
Clemson 68 - Duke 78	0.77	Clemson 68 - Duke 63	-15
Colgate 70 - Army 75	0.637	Colgate 80 - Army 66	-19
Colorado 74 - Oregon State 71	0.602	Colorado 71 - Oregon State 54	-14
Colorado State 70 - San Diego State 73	0.582	Colorado State 62 - San Diego State 69	4
Duquesne 76 - Saint Louis 67	0.754	Duquesne 81 - Saint Louis 71	-1
East Carolina 62 - Southern Methodist 80	0.907	East Carolina 55 - Southern Methodist 79	6
George Mason 66 - Saint Josephs 77	0.794	George Mason 73 - Saint Josephs 87	3
Georgia 77 - Tennessee 71	0.702	Georgia 81 - Tennessee 72	-3
Houston Baptist 78 - Nicholls State 65	0.865	Houston Baptist 78 - Nicholls State 69	4
Indiana State 69 - Northern Iowa 70	0.502	Indiana State 74 - Northern Iowa 60	-15
Lafayette 69 - Holy Cross 73	0.597	Lafayette 65 - Holy Cross 52	-17
Louisiana State 80 - Mississippi 75	0.634	Louisiana State 90 - Mississippi 81	-4
Loyola Ill 71 - Bradley 57	0.874	Loyola Ill 53 - Bradley 54	15
Memphis 77 - Temple 68	0.723	Memphis 67 - Temple 65	7
Missouri State 63 - Wichita State 79	0.866	Missouri State 62 - Wichita State 78	0
Navy 74 - Loyola MD 59	0.875	Navy 60 - Loyola MD 52	7
NC State 77 - Florida State 73	0.626	NC State 78 - Florida State 85	11
Nevada 72 - Boise State 77	0.658	Nevada 67 - Boise State 74	2
North Dakota State 76 - South Dakota 70	0.689	North Dakota State 66 - South Dakota 65	5
Notre Dame 77 - Georgia Tech 73	0.643	Notre Dame 72 - Georgia Tech 64	-4
Ohio State 81 - Rutgers 59	0.949	Ohio State 94 - Rutgers 68	-4
Oklahoma State 68 - Oklahoma 83	0.892	Oklahoma State 72 - Oklahoma 74	-13
Purdue 81 - Penn State 60	0.94	Purdue 74 - Penn State 57	4
Richmond 83 - La Salle 64	0.922	Richmond 83 - La Salle 61	-3
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Rhode Island 70	0.65	Saint Bonaventure 69 - Rhode Island 64	-1
Saint Johns 66 - Georgetown 74	0.709	Saint Johns 73 - Georgetown 93	12
San Jose State 66 - Wyoming 75	0.836	San Jose State 62 - Wyoming 55	-16
SE Missouri State 70 - Jacksonville State 68	0.584	SE Missouri State 60 - Jacksonville State 74	16
Stony Brook 82 - UMBC 60	0.965	Stony Brook 86 - UMBC 74	10
Syracuse 75 - Boston College 61	0.868	Syracuse 62 - Boston College 40	-8
Tennessee Martin 69 - Tennessee Tech 71	0.563	Tennessee Martin 96 - Tennessee Tech 90	-8
UCLA 77 - Southern California 79	0.566	UCLA 75 - Southern California 89	12
UMass Lowell 78 - Maine 73	0.646	UMass Lowell 81 - Maine 95	19
Villanova 83 - Marquette 62	0.943	Villanova 83 - Marquette 68	6
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Fordham 66	0.887	Virginia Commonwealth 88 - Fordham 54	-22
Virginia Tech 75 - Wake Forest 73	0.566	Virginia Tech 93 - Wake Forest 91	0

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 84 - Washington 74	0.752	Arizona 99 - Washington 67	-22
Arizona State 77 - Washington State 69	0.744	Arizona State 84 - Washington State 73	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Appalachian State 54	0.965	Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Appalachian State 55	0
Belmont 78 - Murray State 68	0.807	Belmont 81 - Murray State 73	2
Bryant 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.641	Bryant 61 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	2
Cal Poly 73 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.511	Cal Poly 73 - UC Santa Barbara 76	4
Campbell 74 - Longwood 66	0.746	Campbell 57 - Longwood 74	25
Central Connecticut State 70 - Sacred Heart 73	0.658	Central Connecticut State 78 - Sacred Heart 80	-1
Charleston Southern 74 - Liberty 65	0.809	Charleston Southern 64 - Liberty 63	8
Charlotte 69 - Middle Tennessee 76	0.673	Charlotte 72 - Middle Tennessee 73	-6
Chattanooga 76 - Western Carolina 63	0.799	Chattanooga 77 - Western Carolina 58	-6
Coastal Carolina 72 - Presbyterian 62	0.775	Coastal Carolina 87 - Presbyterian 58	-19
College of Charleston 70 - William and Mary 69	0.523	College of Charleston 61 - William and Mary 63	3
Delaware 67 - Towson 73	0.642	Delaware 77 - Towson 79	-4
Eastern Illinois 70 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0.694	Eastern Illinois 97 - Eastern Kentucky 85	-17
Eastern Washington 80 - Southern Utah 66	0.816	Eastern Washington 106 - Southern Utah 80	-12
Elon 78 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.576	Elon 82 - UNC Wilmington 91	11
Florida Atlantic 66 - Southern Miss 65	0.528	Florida Atlantic 58 - Southern Miss 51	-6
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - NJ Tech 69	0.776	Florida Gulf Coast 82 - NJ Tech 78	4
Florida International 69 - Louisiana Tech 76	0.709	Florida International 88 - Louisiana Tech 74	-21
Georgia Southern 73 - UL Lafayette 77	0.623	Georgia Southern 65 - UL Lafayette 74	5
Georgia State 74 - UL Monroe 58	0.919	Georgia State 65 - UL Monroe 51	2
Gonzaga 80 - Brigham Young 73	0.705	Gonzaga 68 - Brigham Young 69	8
Hofstra 79 - Drexel 65	0.882	Hofstra 69 - Drexel 61	6
Idaho 77 - Northern Arizona 61	0.901	Idaho 83 - Northern Arizona 76	9
Illinois Chicago 67 - Green Bay 84	0.909	Illinois Chicago 76 - Green Bay 78	-15
IUPUI 75 - Oral Roberts 72	0.582	IUPUI 71 - Oral Roberts 80	12
Jacksonville 72 - Kennesaw St 73	0.526	Jacksonville 83 - Kennesaw St 70	-14
Long Beach State 72 - UC Irvine 73	0.502	Long Beach State 54 - UC Irvine 58	3
Louisville 76 - Pittsburgh 71	0.628	Louisville 59 - Pittsburgh 41	-13
Mercer 71 - Furman 61	0.773	Mercer 69 - Furman 65	6
Michigan State 78 - Iowa 71	0.72	Michigan State 59 - Iowa 76	24
New Mexico State 75 - UMKC 63	0.843	New Mexico State 65 - UMKC 64	11
North Dakota 75 - Montana State 69	0.691	North Dakota 85 - Montana State 68	-11
North Florida 87 - Lipscomb 69	0.954	North Florida 95 - Lipscomb 83	6
North Texas 74 - Marshall 79	0.663	North Texas 78 - Marshall 97	14
Northeastern 73 - James Madison 69	0.608	Northeastern 63 - James Madison 75	16
Northern Colorado 66 - Montana 77	0.768	Northern Colorado 66 - Montana 73	-4
Northern Kentucky 76 - Youngstown State 75	0.502	Northern Kentucky 84 - Youngstown State 64	-19
Old Dominion 71 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.557	Old Dominion 71 - Alabama Birmingham 72	3
Portland 76 - San Diego 64	0.806	Portland 71 - San Diego 82	23
Portland State 67 - Weber State 75	0.8	Portland State 58 - Weber State 73	7
Radford 70 - UNC Asheville 74	0.619	Radford 91 - UNC Asheville 86	-9
Rice 71 - Western Kentucky 78	0.709	Rice 83 - Western Kentucky 73	-17
Rider 72 - Marist 64	0.741	Rider 102 - Marist 100	6
Robert Morris 68 - Mt St Marys 67	0.523	Robert Morris 52 - Mt St Marys 76	25
Sacramento State 75 - Idaho State 66	0.782	Sacramento State 82 - Idaho State 71	-2
Saint Francis Penn 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.566	Saint Francis Penn 59 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	14
Saint Marys 86 - Pacific 56	0.995	Saint Marys 78 - Pacific 62	14
Samford 72 - East Tennessee State 71	0.543	Samford 77 - East Tennessee State 81	5
San Francisco 76 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.704	San Francisco 83 - Loyola Marymount 87	11
Santa Clara 67 - Pepperdine 72	0.634	Santa Clara 62 - Pepperdine 60	-7
SIU Edwardsville 64 - Morehead State 71	0.755	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Morehead State 70	-4
South Alabama 67 - Texas State 63	0.63	South Alabama 67 - Texas State 78	15
South Dakota State 77 - IPFW 68	0.753	South Dakota State 92 - IPFW 76	-7
Stanford 71 - California 72	0.523	Stanford 77 - California 71	-7
Stetson 72 - South Carolina Upstate 73	0.527	Stetson 89 - South Carolina Upstate 86	-4
Tennessee State 72 - Austin Peay 65	0.783	Tennessee State 66 - Austin Peay 52	-7
Texas Pan American 69 - Chicago State 70	0.526	Texas Pan American 82 - Chicago State 72	-11
The Citadel 76 - Wofford 80	0.639	The Citadel 83 - Wofford 86	-1
Troy 68 - Texas Arlington 82	0.922	Troy 63 - Texas Arlington 90	13
Tulsa 74 - Connecticut 73	0.521	Tulsa 60 - Connecticut 51	-8
UC Davis 72 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.606	UC Davis 63 - Cal State Northridge 62	2
UC Riverside 61 - Hawaii 79	0.963	UC Riverside 71 - Hawaii 80	-9
Utah 75 - Oregon 74	0.542	Utah 59 - Oregon 77	19
Valparaiso 77 - Milwaukee 63	0.935	Valparaiso 68 - Milwaukee 56	2
Wagner 74 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.881	Wagner 70 - LIU Brooklyn 71	14
Western Illinois 68 - Denver 65	0.596	Western Illinois 69 - Denver 76	10
Winthrop 71 - High Point 80	0.834	Winthrop 86 - High Point 66	-29
Wright State 71 - Cleveland State 59	0.804	Wright State 70 - Cleveland State 53	-5

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Dayton 73 - George Washington 68	0.627	Dayton 77 - George Washington 70	-2
Fairfield 76 - Niagara 65	0.826	Fairfield 73 - Niagara 68	6
Illinois State 68 - Evansville 76	0.82	Illinois State 55 - Evansville 66	3
Iona 73 - Monmouth 76	0.574	Iona 102 - Monmouth 110	5
Maine 63 - Albany 81	0.898	Maine 81 - Albany 79	-20
Manhattan 75 - Canisius 74	0.54	Manhattan 62 - Canisius 65	4
Quinnipiac 66 - Siena 77	0.807	Quinnipiac 52 - Siena 64	1
Toledo 70 - Akron 73	0.612	Toledo 78 - Akron 64	-17

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 71 - Alabama AM 72	0.506	Alabama State 75 - Alabama AM 80	4
Arizona 83 - Washington State 68	0.865	Arizona 90 - Washington State 66	-9
Arizona State 79 - Washington 75	0.595	Arizona State 85 - Washington 89	8
Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Southern 71	0.668	Arkansas Pine Bluff 55 - Southern 69	7
Arkansas State 79 - Appalachian State 66	0.814	Arkansas State 72 - Appalachian State 86	27
Auburn 70 - Kentucky 80	0.77	Auburn 75 - Kentucky 70	-15
Ball State 72 - Miami OH 61	0.785	Ball State 48 - Miami OH 46	9
Belmont 81 - Austin Peay 68	0.893	Belmont 76 - Austin Peay 58	-5
Bethune Cookman 73 - Coppin State 71	0.559	Bethune Cookman 54 - Coppin State 62	10
Boise State 73 - San Diego State 67	0.711	Boise State 53 - San Diego State 56	9
Bradley 64 - Missouri State 71	0.679	Bradley 42 - Missouri State 61	12
Bryant 72 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.681	Bryant 61 - LIU Brooklyn 79	23
Bucknell 78 - Colgate 66	0.797	Bucknell 73 - Colgate 84	23
Buffalo 79 - Central Michigan 70	0.786	Buffalo 74 - Central Michigan 61	-4
Butler 85 - Saint Johns 63	0.926	Butler 78 - Saint Johns 58	2
Cal Poly 77 - Long Beach State 76	0.542	Cal Poly 96 - Long Beach State 92	-3
Cal State Fullerton 64 - Hawaii 80	0.951	Cal State Fullerton 79 - Hawaii 86	-9
Cal State Northridge 72 - UC Riverside 69	0.605	Cal State Northridge 72 - UC Riverside 75	6
Campbell 74 - Charleston Southern 70	0.662	Campbell 75 - Charleston Southern 82	11
Central Florida 74 - East Carolina 69	0.679	Central Florida 89 - East Carolina 69	-15
Charlotte 71 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0.744	Charlotte 72 - Alabama Birmingham 74	-7
Chattanooga 76 - East Tennessee State 67	0.752	Chattanooga 94 - East Tennessee State 84	-1
Clemson 66 - Miami 76	0.765	Clemson 76 - Miami 65	-21
College of Charleston 76 - Elon 69	0.747	College of Charleston 64 - Elon 65	8
Colorado State 76 - Utah State 72	0.652	Colorado State 92 - Utah State 96	8
Columbia 77 - Cornell 66	0.83	Columbia 74 - Cornell 70	7
Dartmouth 83 - Unranked 58		Dartmouth 121 - Unranked 56
Davidson 84 - Massachusetts 73	0.754	Davidson 86 - Massachusetts 74	-1
Delaware 66 - Northeastern 78	0.823	Delaware 60 - Northeastern 69	-3
Detroit 81 - Oakland 82	0.535	Detroit 82 - Oakland 86	3
Duke 84 - Notre Dame 70	0.884	Duke 91 - Notre Dame 95	18
Duquesne 71 - Saint Bonaventure 76	0.65	Duquesne 95 - Saint Bonaventure 88	-12
Eastern Illinois 62 - Morehead State 72	0.807	Eastern Illinois 84 - Morehead State 82	-12
Eastern Michigan 75 - Bowling Green 65	0.731	Eastern Michigan 79 - Bowling Green 84	15
Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Arizona 68	0.825	Eastern Washington 96 - Northern Arizona 73	-11
Florida AM 66 - Morgan State 67	0.53	Florida AM 72 - Morgan State 65	-8
Florida Atlantic 63 - Louisiana Tech 79	0.885	Florida Atlantic 63 - Louisiana Tech 61	-18
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.882	Florida Gulf Coast 85 - South Carolina Upstate 56	-15
Florida International 71 - Southern Miss 62	0.762	Florida International 60 - Southern Miss 66	15
Fresno State 83 - San Jose State 61	0.982	Fresno State 81 - San Jose State 74	15
Georgetown 65 - Villanova 77	0.82	Georgetown 50 - Villanova 55	-7
Georgia 69 - Texas AM 74	0.62	Georgia 45 - Texas AM 79	29
Georgia Southern 68 - UL Monroe 72	0.603	Georgia Southern 66 - UL Monroe 51	-19
Georgia State 78 - UL Lafayette 64	0.908	Georgia State 54 - UL Lafayette 87	47
Georgia Tech 78 - Virginia Tech 69	0.745	Georgia Tech 77 - Virginia Tech 78	10
Gonzaga 84 - San Diego 54	0.99	Gonzaga 88 - San Diego 52	-6
Grambling State 70 - Prairie View 62	0.736	Grambling State 66 - Prairie View 63	5
Grand Canyon 83 - Utah Valley 62	0.924	Grand Canyon 99 - Utah Valley 88	10
Hartford 65 - Vermont 79	0.886	Hartford 68 - Vermont 83	1
High Point 78 - Coastal Carolina 62	0.919	High Point 68 - Coastal Carolina 71	19
Hofstra 74 - James Madison 71	0.588	Hofstra 82 - James Madison 86	7
Holy Cross 72 - Lehigh 65	0.736	Holy Cross 66 - Lehigh 87	28
Howard 66 - Harvard 75	0.764	Howard 61 - Harvard 69	-1
Idaho 77 - Southern Utah 59	0.888	Idaho 83 - Southern Utah 85	20
Illinois 77 - Nebraska 71	0.66	Illinois 67 - Nebraska 78	17
Illinois Chicago 63 - Milwaukee 81	0.956	Illinois Chicago 62 - Milwaukee 87	7
IUPUI 70 - Denver 64	0.658	IUPUI 76 - Denver 61	-9
Jackson State 73 - Texas Southern 68	0.695	Jackson State 65 - Texas Southern 71	11
Jacksonville 76 - Lipscomb 74	0.631	Jacksonville 76 - Lipscomb 73	-1
Jacksonville State 63 - Tennessee Martin 71	0.745	Jacksonville State 82 - Tennessee Martin 60	-30
Kansas 90 - Texas Christian 61	0.988	Kansas 70 - Texas Christian 63	22
Kansas State 77 - Iowa State 76	0.506	Kansas State 63 - Iowa State 76	14
Kent State 74 - Ohio 73	0.526	Kent State 89 - Ohio 82	-6
Lamar 80 - Northwestern State 69	0.776	Lamar 86 - Northwestern State 82	7
Louisiana State 82 - Arkansas 78	0.588	Louisiana State 76 - Arkansas 74	2
Marquette 70 - Xavier 81	0.77	Marquette 66 - Xavier 74	-3
Maryland 77 - Ohio State 65	0.853	Maryland 100 - Ohio State 65	-23
Mcneese State 66 - Sam Houston State 73	0.7	Mcneese State 72 - Sam Houston State 68	-11
Memphis 81 - South Florida 60	0.954	Memphis 71 - South Florida 56	6
Mercer 74 - Wofford 62	0.911	Mercer 70 - Wofford 69	11
Minnesota 69 - Indiana 84	0.866	Minnesota 63 - Indiana 70	-8
Mississippi 71 - Florida 73	0.565	Mississippi 71 - Florida 80	7
Mississippi State 75 - Tennessee 76	0.536	Mississippi State 75 - Tennessee 80	4
Mississippi Valley State 73 - Alcorn State 66	0.72	Mississippi Valley State 87 - Alcorn State 93	13
Navy 78 - Lafayette 60	0.881	Navy 87 - Lafayette 61	-8
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Air Force 61	0.879	Nevada Las Vegas 100 - Air Force 64	-22
New Hampshire 64 - Stony Brook 75	0.75	New Hampshire 50 - Stony Brook 80	19
New Mexico 77 - Wyoming 66	0.776	New Mexico 68 - Wyoming 70	13
New Mexico State 80 - Chicago State 57	0.965	New Mexico State 80 - Chicago State 62	5
New Orleans 72 - Houston Baptist 73	0.51	New Orleans 69 - Houston Baptist 73	3
North Carolina 86 - NC State 69	0.961	North Carolina 67 - NC State 55	5
North Carolina AT 71 - Hampton 72	0.508	North Carolina AT 62 - Hampton 79	16
North Carolina Central 68 - Norfolk State 72	0.63	North Carolina Central 79 - Norfolk State 88	5
North Dakota 66 - Montana 70	0.592	North Dakota 61 - Montana 65	0
North Dakota State 68 - South Dakota State 72	0.625	North Dakota State 68 - South Dakota State 57	-15
North Florida 83 - Kennesaw St 68	0.909	North Florida 93 - Kennesaw St 78	0
North Texas 72 - Western Kentucky 75	0.607	North Texas 76 - Western Kentucky 81	2
Northern Colorado 75 - Montana State 76	0.543	Northern Colorado 78 - Montana State 76	-3
Northern Iowa 75 - Loyola Ill 58	0.887	Northern Iowa 41 - Loyola Ill 51	27
Northern Kentucky 68 - Cleveland State 66	0.579	Northern Kentucky 65 - Cleveland State 70	7
Northwestern 76 - Penn State 64	0.852	Northwestern 62 - Penn State 71	21
Oklahoma 82 - West Virginia 75	0.711	Oklahoma 70 - West Virginia 68	5
Old Dominion 70 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.664	Old Dominion 61 - Middle Tennessee 64	8
Omaha 79 - IPFW 74	0.708	Omaha 101 - IPFW 106	10
Pacific 86 - Unranked 60		Pacific 88 - Unranked 30
Pittsburgh 84 - Boston College 58	0.968	Pittsburgh 84 - Boston College 61	3
Portland 72 - Brigham Young 83	0.764	Portland 84 - Brigham Young 81	-14
Portland State 75 - Idaho State 66	0.824	Portland State 70 - Idaho State 73	12
Presbyterian 67 - Radford 71	0.637	Presbyterian 69 - Radford 68	-5
Providence 75 - Seton Hall 69	0.695	Providence 72 - Seton Hall 81	15
Rhode Island 80 - La Salle 61	0.927	Rhode Island 73 - La Salle 62	8
Rice 72 - Marshall 82	0.749	Rice 90 - Marshall 94	-6
Richmond 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	0.539	Richmond 89 - Virginia Commonwealth 94	6
Robert Morris 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.556	Robert Morris 64 - Fairleigh Dickinson 58	-8
Sacramento State 67 - Weber State 75	0.775	Sacramento State 74 - Weber State 85	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Sacred Heart 63	0.832	Saint Francis Brooklyn 85 - Sacred Heart 67	-8
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Mt St Marys 66	0.627	Saint Francis Penn 72 - Mt St Marys 82	14
Saint Josephs 79 - Fordham 67	0.862	Saint Josephs 80 - Fordham 55	-13
Samford 72 - Western Carolina 67	0.628	Samford 84 - Western Carolina 68	-11
San Francisco 72 - Pepperdine 74	0.57	San Francisco 84 - Pepperdine 98	12
Santa Clara 71 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.617	Santa Clara 66 - Loyola Marymount 76	14
Savannah State 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.602	Savannah State 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	-3
Seattle 64 - Cal State Bakersfield 73	0.764	Seattle 52 - Cal State Bakersfield 79	18
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0.628	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Eastern Kentucky 65	-6
South Alabama 63 - Texas Arlington 79	0.931	South Alabama 88 - Texas Arlington 85	-19
South Carolina 81 - Missouri 64	0.911	South Carolina 81 - Missouri 72	8
South Carolina State 77 - Delaware State 60	0.923	South Carolina State 90 - Delaware State 79	6
Southeast Louisiana 65 - Incarnate Word 74	0.748	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Incarnate Word 75	-5
Stephen F Austin 82 - Abilene Christian 61	0.967	Stephen F Austin 97 - Abilene Christian 62	-14
Stetson 71 - NJ Tech 79	0.761	Stetson 59 - NJ Tech 71	4
Temple 69 - Cincinnati 72	0.583	Temple 67 - Cincinnati 65	-5
Tennessee State 69 - Murray State 65	0.633	Tennessee State 73 - Murray State 71	2
Tennessee Tech 84 - SE Missouri State 61	0.969	Tennessee Tech 91 - SE Missouri State 55	-13
Texas 75 - Oklahoma State 65	0.774	Texas 74 - Oklahoma State 69	5
Texas AM CC 80 - Nicholls State 57	0.993	Texas AM CC 76 - Nicholls State 71	18
Texas Pan American 64 - UMKC 76	0.829	Texas Pan American 71 - UMKC 66	-17
Texas San Antonio 69 - Texas El Paso 80	0.783	Texas San Antonio 71 - Texas El Paso 67	-15
Texas Tech 77 - Baylor 71	0.679	Texas Tech 60 - Baylor 63	9
The Citadel 72 - Furman 79	0.671	The Citadel 89 - Furman 86	-10
Towson 72 - Drexel 64	0.718	Towson 69 - Drexel 50	-11
Troy 72 - Texas State 66	0.685	Troy 66 - Texas State 57	-3
UC Santa Barbara 69 - UC Irvine 68	0.519	UC Santa Barbara 52 - UC Irvine 61	10
UMBC 77 - UMass Lowell 70	0.71	UMBC 89 - UMass Lowell 95	13
UNC Asheville 77 - Gardner Webb 66	0.8	UNC Asheville 75 - Gardner Webb 69	5
UNC Wilmington 73 - William and Mary 74	0.506	UNC Wilmington 97 - William and Mary 94	-4
Valparaiso 82 - Green Bay 66	0.899	Valparaiso 85 - Green Bay 70	1
Vanderbilt 77 - Alabama 64	0.82	Vanderbilt 71 - Alabama 63	5
Wagner 80 - Central Connecticut State 55	0.997	Wagner 70 - Central Connecticut State 48	3
Wake Forest 75 - Syracuse 70	0.668	Wake Forest 55 - Syracuse 83	33
Western Illinois 75 - Oral Roberts 74	0.511	Western Illinois 68 - Oral Roberts 77	10
Western Michigan 68 - Northern Illinois 74	0.779	Western Michigan 83 - Northern Illinois 69	-20
Winthrop 77 - Liberty 65	0.88	Winthrop 74 - Liberty 58	-4
Wright State 78 - Youngstown State 68	0.711	Wright State 81 - Youngstown State 45	-26
Yale 81 - Brown 60	0.907	Yale 77 - Brown 68	12

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 81 - American 57	0.973	Army 65 - American 45	4
Colorado 73 - Oregon 72	0.512	Colorado 91 - Oregon 87	-3
DePaul 73 - Creighton 81	0.742	DePaul 80 - Creighton 91	3
Drake 67 - Southern Illinois 77	0.767	Drake 76 - Southern Illinois 81	-5
Florida State 71 - Virginia 77	0.679	Florida State 69 - Virginia 62	-13
Houston 75 - Connecticut 74	0.519	Houston 57 - Connecticut 69	13
Iowa 78 - Michigan 71	0.664	Iowa 82 - Michigan 71	-4
Manhattan 70 - Niagara 63	0.74	Manhattan 69 - Niagara 64	2
Quinnipiac 73 - Canisius 75	0.576	Quinnipiac 53 - Canisius 63	8
Rider 67 - Iona 74	0.761	Rider 79 - Iona 75	-11
Saint Louis 69 - George Mason 66	0.588	Saint Louis 79 - George Mason 92	16
Saint Peters 73 - Marist 61	0.819	Saint Peters 76 - Marist 67	3
Tulane 60 - Southern Methodist 81	0.944	Tulane 45 - Southern Methodist 60	-6
UNC Greensboro 75 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.781	UNC Greensboro 85 - Virginia Military Institute 68	-8
Utah 76 - Oregon State 73	0.621	Utah 59 - Oregon State 53	-3
Wichita State 79 - Indiana State 64	0.888	Wichita State 82 - Indiana State 62	-5
Wisconsin 65 - Michigan State 75	0.811	Wisconsin 77 - Michigan State 76	-11

Number of DI Games: 327
Number Correct: 207 = 63.3%
Expected Number Correct: 239.381 = 73.2%
Average Error: 9.75
Average Signed Error: 1.11

SYSTEM RANKINGS

WEEK 11 -- 1-18 to 1-24

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 76 - Binghamton 53	0.933	Albany 80 - Binghamton 59	2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 - Alcorn State 65	0.593	Arkansas Pine Bluff 65 - Alcorn State 73	11
Arkansas State 64 - Arkansas Little Rock 76	0.839	Arkansas State 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	-15
Bethune Cookman 72 - Morgan State 65	0.717	Bethune Cookman 62 - Morgan State 50	-5
Boston 73 - Loyola MD 66	0.721	Boston 87 - Loyola MD 84	4
Cleveland State 74 - Illinois Chicago 60	0.888	Cleveland State 70 - Illinois Chicago 53	-3
Duke 81 - Syracuse 69	0.815	Duke 62 - Syracuse 64	14
Florida AM 67 - Coppin State 69	0.552	Florida AM 66 - Coppin State 70	2
Grambling State 63 - Texas Southern 73	0.806	Grambling State 54 - Texas Southern 69	5
Hartford 61 - Stony Brook 81	0.959	Hartford 43 - Stony Brook 77	14
Iowa State 80 - Oklahoma 84	0.636	Iowa State 82 - Oklahoma 77	-9
Jackson State 76 - Prairie View 60	0.938	Jackson State 60 - Prairie View 57	13
Maine 75 - New Hampshire 74	0.504	Maine 91 - New Hampshire 99	9
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Southern 75	0.74	Mississippi Valley State 54 - Southern 67	4
Monmouth 79 - Siena 69	0.783	Monmouth 85 - Siena 69	-6
New Orleans 66 - Stephen F Austin 77	0.848	New Orleans 58 - Stephen F Austin 82	13
North Carolina AT 69 - Norfolk State 73	0.612	North Carolina AT 68 - Norfolk State 75	3
North Carolina Central 69 - Hampton 71	0.548	North Carolina Central 79 - Hampton 80	-1
Rutgers 61 - Purdue 84	0.954	Rutgers 57 - Purdue 107	27
Sam Houston State 75 - Nicholls State 62	0.888	Sam Houston State 87 - Nicholls State 76	2
Savannah State 72 - Delaware State 61	0.782	Savannah State 64 - Delaware State 47	-6
South Carolina State 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.79	South Carolina State 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	5
Southeast Louisiana 71 - Lamar 73	0.562	Southeast Louisiana 98 - Lamar 70	-30
Texas Christian 69 - Texas Tech 75	0.678	Texas Christian 69 - Texas Tech 76	1
Vermont 83 - UMass Lowell 62	0.946	Vermont 82 - UMass Lowell 93	32
Wright State 77 - Detroit 69	0.671	Wright State 77 - Detroit 76	7
Youngstown State 62 - Valparaiso 83	0.903	Youngstown State 65 - Valparaiso 96	10

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Mcneese State 70	0.502	Abilene Christian 75 - Mcneese State 67	-7
Akron 74 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.709	Akron 92 - Eastern Michigan 88	3
Auburn 72 - Alabama 73	0.522	Auburn 83 - Alabama 77	-7
Ball State 71 - Kent State 68	0.624	Ball State 68 - Kent State 76	11
Bowling Green 73 - Toledo 72	0.525	Bowling Green 74 - Toledo 81	8
Central Arkansas 72 - Houston Baptist 76	0.602	Central Arkansas 61 - Houston Baptist 72	7
Chicago State 68 - Green Bay 84	0.875	Chicago State 66 - Green Bay 99	17
Connecticut 79 - Tulane 61	0.94	Connecticut 60 - Tulane 42	0
East Carolina 67 - Tulsa 75	0.754	East Carolina 69 - Tulsa 84	7
Fairfield 72 - Saint Peters 68	0.632	Fairfield 71 - Saint Peters 77	10
Florida 81 - Mississippi State 65	0.91	Florida 81 - Mississippi State 78	13
Georgia Southern 64 - Georgia State 74	0.756	Georgia Southern 66 - Georgia State 69	-7
Indiana 84 - Illinois 69	0.85	Indiana 103 - Illinois 69	-19
Liberty 67 - Longwood 65	0.559	Liberty 55 - Longwood 53	0
Loyola Ill 63 - Evansville 75	0.885	Loyola Ill 66 - Evansville 74	-4
Maryland 79 - Northwestern 66	0.867	Maryland 62 - Northwestern 56	7
Miami OH 68 - Buffalo 70	0.574	Miami OH 60 - Buffalo 77	15
Mississippi 74 - South Carolina 79	0.654	Mississippi 74 - South Carolina 77	-2
Northern Illinois 76 - Central Michigan 67	0.757	Northern Illinois 75 - Central Michigan 70	4
Northwestern State 63 - Texas AM CC 83	0.954	Northwestern State 79 - Texas AM CC 89	-10
Oakland 85 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.903	Oakland 73 - Northern Kentucky 90	35
Ohio 78 - Western Michigan 70	0.76	Ohio 82 - Western Michigan 64	-10
Oklahoma State 68 - Kansas 82	0.865	Oklahoma State 86 - Kansas 67	-33
Pittsburgh 80 - NC State 66	0.893	Pittsburgh 61 - NC State 78	31
Providence 76 - Butler 74	0.543	Providence 71 - Butler 68	-1
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Dayton 73	0.569	Saint Bonaventure 79 - Dayton 85	4
San Diego State 73 - Fresno State 64	0.774	San Diego State 73 - Fresno State 67	3
SE Missouri State 79 - Unranked 64		SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 61
Southern Methodist 82 - Houston 65	0.9	Southern Methodist 77 - Houston 73	13
Texas AM 84 - Louisiana State 69	0.855	Texas AM 71 - Louisiana State 57	1
Utah State 70 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.554	Utah State 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	10
Virginia 74 - Clemson 64	0.748	Virginia 69 - Clemson 62	3
Wofford 85 - Unranked 57		Wofford 89 - Unranked 66
Xavier 83 - Georgetown 66	0.877	Xavier 72 - Georgetown 81	26

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 73 - Colorado State 76	0.595	Air Force 79 - Colorado State 83	1
Baylor 77 - Kansas State 69	0.722	Baylor 79 - Kansas State 72	1
Boise State 85 - San Jose State 61	0.993	Boise State 94 - San Jose State 69	-1
Boston College 61 - Miami 81	0.916	Boston College 53 - Miami 67	-6
Bradley 62 - Illinois State 72	0.83	Bradley 52 - Illinois State 55	-7
Colgate 72 - Boston 66	0.655	Colgate 85 - Boston 78	-1
Delaware State 65 - Howard 75	0.8	Delaware State 67 - Howard 71	-6
Drake 72 - Missouri State 71	0.51	Drake 70 - Missouri State 79	10
Fordham 73 - George Mason 67	0.667	Fordham 73 - George Mason 62	-5
Gardner Webb 76 - Winthrop 72	0.599	Gardner Webb 58 - Winthrop 71	17
High Point 74 - UNC Asheville 72	0.553	High Point 73 - UNC Asheville 69	-2
Holy Cross 69 - Army 74	0.641	Holy Cross 69 - Army 65	-9
La Salle 64 - Temple 78	0.836	La Salle 49 - Temple 62	-1
Lafayette 71 - American 60	0.791	Lafayette 73 - American 81	19
Lehigh 64 - Navy 69	0.647	Lehigh 64 - Navy 69	0
Louisville 80 - Florida State 68	0.813	Louisville 84 - Florida State 65	-7
Loyola MD 71 - Bucknell 75	0.639	Loyola MD 58 - Bucknell 67	5
Marquette 81 - DePaul 70	0.837	Marquette 56 - DePaul 57	12
Michigan 86 - Minnesota 63	0.934	Michigan 74 - Minnesota 69	18
Michigan State 82 - Nebraska 66	0.897	Michigan State 71 - Nebraska 72	17
Missouri 69 - Georgia 72	0.571	Missouri 57 - Georgia 60	0
North Carolina 90 - Wake Forest 70	0.967	North Carolina 83 - Wake Forest 68	5
Northern Iowa 67 - Wichita State 75	0.695	Northern Iowa 55 - Wichita State 74	11
Notre Dame 81 - Virginia Tech 70	0.812	Notre Dame 83 - Virginia Tech 81	9
Oregon State 77 - UCLA 73	0.641	Oregon State 73 - UCLA 82	13
Pennsylvania 63 - Saint Josephs 83	0.913	Pennsylvania 60 - Saint Josephs 75	-5
Presbyterian 71 - Charleston Southern 70	0.515	Presbyterian 72 - Charleston Southern 73	2
Radford 78 - Campbell 64	0.851	Radford 78 - Campbell 66	2
Saint Louis 70 - Davidson 79	0.734	Saint Louis 96 - Davidson 87	-18
Seton Hall 68 - Villanova 76	0.713	Seton Hall 71 - Villanova 72	-7
South Dakota 78 - Western Illinois 69	0.752	South Dakota 76 - Western Illinois 67	0
South Florida 68 - Central Florida 74	0.712	South Florida 54 - Central Florida 64	4
Southern Illinois 75 - Indiana State 70	0.669	Southern Illinois 79 - Indiana State 66	-8
Tennessee 75 - Vanderbilt 78	0.589	Tennessee 74 - Vanderbilt 88	11
UC Irvine 80 - Cal State Fullerton 60	0.983	UC Irvine 72 - Cal State Fullerton 59	7
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Long Beach State 71	0.66	UC Santa Barbara 67 - Long Beach State 77	15
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Duquesne 68	0.897	Virginia Commonwealth 93 - Duquesne 71	-7
Washington 77 - Colorado 78	0.508	Washington 95 - Colorado 83	-13
West Virginia 81 - Texas 68	0.852	West Virginia 49 - Texas 56	20
Wyoming 73 - Nevada 69	0.622	Wyoming 69 - Nevada 75	10

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 85 - Rice 63	0.958	Alabama Birmingham 82 - Rice 70	10
Appalachian State 64 - Georgia State 72	0.688	Appalachian State 76 - Georgia State 67	-17
Arkansas 77 - Kentucky 76	0.531	Arkansas 66 - Kentucky 80	15
Austin Peay 70 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.713	Austin Peay 90 - SIU Edwardsville 86	2
Binghamton 59 - Vermont 73	0.847	Binghamton 52 - Vermont 61	-5
Bryant 70 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.608	Bryant 65 - Saint Francis Penn 71	10
Cal State Bakersfield 81 - Texas Pan American 56	0.97	Cal State Bakersfield 77 - Texas Pan American 58	6
Cal State Northridge 71 - Cal Poly 79	0.807	Cal State Northridge 76 - Cal Poly 74	-10
California 77 - Arizona State 70	0.708	California 75 - Arizona State 70	2
Central Connecticut State 64 - Robert Morris 71	0.739	Central Connecticut State 45 - Robert Morris 59	7
Charlotte 76 - Marshall 80	0.6	Charlotte 103 - Marshall 95	-12
Chicago State 61 - Grand Canyon 82	0.959	Chicago State 65 - Grand Canyon 90	4
Cincinnati 76 - Memphis 69	0.698	Cincinnati 76 - Memphis 72	3
Denver 70 - Omaha 75	0.649	Denver 55 - Omaha 69	9
East Tennessee State 71 - Mercer 70	0.558	East Tennessee State 65 - Mercer 63	-1
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Jacksonville State 67	0.808	Eastern Kentucky 91 - Jacksonville State 88	7
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.695	Fairleigh Dickinson 101 - LIU Brooklyn 95	0
IPFW 74 - North Dakota State 68	0.679	IPFW 79 - North Dakota State 74	1
James Madison 78 - Drexel 58	0.947	James Madison 68 - Drexel 45	-3
Kennesaw St 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	0.732	Kennesaw St 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 79	-2
Lipscomb 79 - Stetson 73	0.724	Lipscomb 92 - Stetson 87	1
Loyola Marymount 70 - Brigham Young 79	0.762	Loyola Marymount 80 - Brigham Young 91	2
Manhattan 65 - Monmouth 79	0.853	Manhattan 78 - Monmouth 71	-21
Middle Tennessee 80 - North Texas 61	0.965	Middle Tennessee 86 - North Texas 64	-3
Montana 71 - Idaho 62	0.72	Montana 58 - Idaho 63	14
Montana State 74 - Eastern Washington 76	0.568	Montana State 85 - Eastern Washington 71	-16
Morehead State 73 - Tennessee Tech 70	0.583	Morehead State 81 - Tennessee Tech 74	-4
Murray State 73 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.807	Murray State 68 - Eastern Illinois 58	0
NJ Tech 77 - Jacksonville 67	0.89	NJ Tech 83 - Jacksonville 63	-10
Northeastern 76 - Hofstra 72	0.618	Northeastern 92 - Hofstra 96	8
Northern Arizona 68 - North Dakota 74	0.678	Northern Arizona 59 - North Dakota 101	36
Old Dominion 74 - Western Kentucky 65	0.774	Old Dominion 68 - Western Kentucky 62	3
Oral Roberts 73 - South Dakota State 76	0.592	Oral Roberts 74 - South Dakota State 86	9
Oregon 78 - Southern California 75	0.59	Oregon 89 - Southern California 81	-5
Pacific 75 - Portland 74	0.5	Pacific 70 - Portland 61	-8
Penn State 68 - Wisconsin 70	0.559	Penn State 60 - Wisconsin 66	4
Pepperdine 77 - San Diego 60	0.888	Pepperdine 76 - San Diego 58	-1
Purdue 79 - Ohio State 64	0.864	Purdue 75 - Ohio State 64	4
Rutgers 62 - Iowa 87	0.968	Rutgers 76 - Iowa 90	-11
Sacred Heart 67 - Mt St Marys 74	0.71	Sacred Heart 76 - Mt St Marys 71	-12
Saint Francis Brooklyn 62 - Wagner 64	0.575	Saint Francis Brooklyn 59 - Wagner 83	22
Saint Marys 74 - Gonzaga 67	0.703	Saint Marys 70 - Gonzaga 67	4
Santa Clara 75 - San Francisco 72	0.588	Santa Clara 61 - San Francisco 74	16
Seattle 62 - New Mexico State 72	0.774	Seattle 60 - New Mexico State 68	-2
Siena 78 - Rider 62	0.887	Siena 63 - Rider 52	5
South Carolina Upstate 69 - North Florida 81	0.835	South Carolina Upstate 62 - North Florida 78	4
Southern Utah 75 - Northern Colorado 73	0.564	Southern Utah 80 - Northern Colorado 90	12
Stanford 72 - Arizona 76	0.612	Stanford 57 - Arizona 71	10
Tennessee Martin 70 - Belmont 77	0.686	Tennessee Martin 72 - Belmont 82	3
Texas Arlington 85 - Arkansas State 67	0.924	Texas Arlington 91 - Arkansas State 64	-9
Texas El Paso 73 - Florida Atlantic 62	0.807	Texas El Paso 71 - Florida Atlantic 56	-4
Texas San Antonio 69 - Florida International 76	0.663	Texas San Antonio 56 - Florida International 72	9
Texas State 56 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.87	Texas State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	-11
Towson 68 - College of Charleston 67	0.542	Towson 37 - College of Charleston 40	4
UC Davis 67 - UC Riverside 66	0.543	UC Davis 58 - UC Riverside 55	-2
UL Lafayette 79 - South Alabama 67	0.76	UL Lafayette 92 - South Alabama 82	2
UL Monroe 72 - Troy 68	0.618	UL Monroe 85 - Troy 74	-7
UMass Lowell 71 - New Hampshire 73	0.552	UMass Lowell 76 - New Hampshire 78	0
UMBC 77 - Hartford 69	0.752	UMBC 87 - Hartford 98	19
UMKC 75 - Utah Valley 69	0.662	UMKC 79 - Utah Valley 90	17
UNC Greensboro 64 - Chattanooga 77	0.867	UNC Greensboro 60 - Chattanooga 73	0
UNC Wilmington 84 - Delaware 65	0.955	UNC Wilmington 79 - Delaware 70	10
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Samford 74	0.756	Virginia Military Institute 83 - Samford 76	-17
Washington State 73 - Utah 77	0.63	Washington State 71 - Utah 92	17
Western Carolina 84 - The Citadel 73	0.757	Western Carolina 91 - The Citadel 92	12
William and Mary 80 - Elon 71	0.826	William and Mary 89 - Elon 67	-13

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 64 - Yale 76	0.783	Brown 66 - Yale 90	12
George Mason 72 - Duquesne 73	0.52	George Mason 75 - Duquesne 86	10
George Washington 75 - Rhode Island 68	0.704	George Washington 62 - Rhode Island 58	3
Iona 75 - Saint Peters 66	0.76	Iona 64 - Saint Peters 58	3
Marist 72 - Fairfield 78	0.665	Marist 76 - Fairfield 88	6
Niagara 68 - Canisius 71	0.61	Niagara 61 - Canisius 70	6
Northern Illinois 74 - Toledo 69	0.652	Northern Illinois 58 - Toledo 49	-4
Northern Kentucky 77 - Illinois Chicago 63	0.832	Northern Kentucky 82 - Illinois Chicago 69	1
Stony Brook 73 - Albany 63	0.746	Stony Brook 69 - Albany 63	4
Wright State 62 - Valparaiso 70	0.703	Wright State 73 - Valparaiso 62	-19

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - Fresno State 74	0.738	Air Force 55 - Fresno State 56	-6
Akron 74 - Miami OH 59	0.877	Akron 75 - Miami OH 46	-14
Alabama 75 - Louisiana State 73	0.557	Alabama 70 - Louisiana State 72	4
Alabama Birmingham 84 - North Texas 62	0.975	Alabama Birmingham 78 - North Texas 57	1
Alcorn State 69 - Alabama AM 72	0.6	Alcorn State 63 - Alabama AM 58	-8
Austin Peay 71 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.675	Austin Peay 86 - Eastern Illinois 87	6
Baylor 76 - Oklahoma 80	0.615	Baylor 72 - Oklahoma 82	6
Boston 73 - Bucknell 75	0.537	Boston 71 - Bucknell 74	1
Bowling Green 73 - Kent State 71	0.54	Bowling Green 59 - Kent State 62	5
Bryant 69 - Robert Morris 64	0.652	Bryant 54 - Robert Morris 65	16
Cal State Bakersfield 69 - New Mexico State 65	0.657	Cal State Bakersfield 67 - New Mexico State 68	5
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Cal Poly 77	0.668	Cal State Fullerton 75 - Cal Poly 83	4
California 74 - Arizona 76	0.55	California 74 - Arizona 73	-3
Central Connecticut State 64 - Saint Francis Penn 73	0.801	Central Connecticut State 64 - Saint Francis Penn 79	6
Central Michigan 76 - Ohio 75	0.514	Central Michigan 72 - Ohio 49	-22
Charleston Southern 70 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.547	Charleston Southern 63 - Coastal Carolina 78	14
Charlotte 76 - Western Kentucky 75	0.511	Charlotte 88 - Western Kentucky 71	-16
Chicago State 70 - Utah Valley 75	0.621	Chicago State 76 - Utah Valley 82	1
College of Charleston 78 - Delaware 60	0.938	College of Charleston 59 - Delaware 58	17
Connecticut 75 - Georgetown 68	0.71	Connecticut 68 - Georgetown 62	1
Cornell 70 - Columbia 73	0.616	Cornell 68 - Columbia 79	8
Creighton 80 - Butler 79	0.526	Creighton 72 - Butler 64	-7
Dartmouth 64 - Harvard 71	0.691	Dartmouth 63 - Harvard 50	-20
East Tennessee State 90 - The Citadel 71	0.887	East Tennessee State 101 - The Citadel 92	10
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Tennessee Tech 77	0.568	Eastern Kentucky 83 - Tennessee Tech 89	4
Eastern Michigan 71 - Ball State 67	0.621	Eastern Michigan 87 - Ball State 88	5
Elon 72 - James Madison 75	0.594	Elon 64 - James Madison 82	15
Florida 81 - Auburn 66	0.898	Florida 95 - Auburn 63	-17
Florida State 76 - Pittsburgh 77	0.543	Florida State 72 - Pittsburgh 74	1
Furman 71 - Wofford 64	0.7	Furman 63 - Wofford 62	6
Georgia 76 - Arkansas 74	0.551	Georgia 76 - Arkansas 73	-1
Georgia Tech 69 - Louisville 75	0.669	Georgia Tech 71 - Louisville 75	-2
Green Bay 82 - Oakland 81	0.528	Green Bay 95 - Oakland 111	17
Hampton 76 - Savannah State 63	0.817	Hampton 75 - Savannah State 52	-10
Hawaii 83 - UC Davis 57	0.992	Hawaii 78 - UC Davis 62	10
Houston 81 - South Florida 61	0.946	Houston 62 - South Florida 71	29
Idaho State 64 - Weber State 78	0.913	Idaho State 69 - Weber State 68	-15
Illinois State 68 - Northern Iowa 69	0.506	Illinois State 76 - Northern Iowa 67	-10
Incarnate Word 77 - Abilene Christian 62	0.888	Incarnate Word 74 - Abilene Christian 60	1
Indiana 80 - Northwestern 69	0.795	Indiana 89 - Northwestern 57	-21
IPFW 79 - IUPUI 68	0.799	IPFW 82 - IUPUI 84	13
Jackson State 75 - Grambling State 60	0.904	Jackson State 60 - Grambling State 45	0
Kansas 84 - Texas 69	0.867	Kansas 76 - Texas 67	6
Kansas State 76 - Oklahoma State 66	0.796	Kansas State 89 - Oklahoma State 73	-6
Kennesaw St 78 - Stetson 69	0.784	Kennesaw St 79 - Stetson 84	14
Kentucky 75 - Vanderbilt 72	0.585	Kentucky 76 - Vanderbilt 57	-16
Lamar 72 - Houston Baptist 74	0.559	Lamar 79 - Houston Baptist 92	11
Liberty 62 - High Point 73	0.841	Liberty 69 - High Point 67	-13
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.687	LIU Brooklyn 49 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	20
Loyola Ill 71 - Drake 65	0.692	Loyola Ill 68 - Drake 63	1
Loyola Marymount 73 - San Diego 63	0.787	Loyola Marymount 67 - San Diego 63	6
Maryland Eastern Shore 72 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.647	Maryland Eastern Shore 74 - Bethune Cookman 72	3
Massachusetts 78 - Saint Louis 69	0.745	Massachusetts 75 - Saint Louis 86	20
Mcneese State 79 - Northwestern State 66	0.811	Mcneese State 75 - Northwestern State 74	12
Miami 85 - Wake Forest 68	0.902	Miami 77 - Wake Forest 63	3
Michigan State 77 - Maryland 72	0.644	Michigan State 74 - Maryland 65	-4
Middle Tennessee 81 - Rice 62	0.944	Middle Tennessee 87 - Rice 73	5
Milwaukee 81 - Detroit 72	0.799	Milwaukee 83 - Detroit 80	6
Minnesota 73 - Illinois 77	0.617	Minnesota 71 - Illinois 76	1
Mississippi State 76 - Mississippi 75	0.524	Mississippi State 83 - Mississippi 77	-5
Montana 76 - Eastern Washington 66	0.729	Montana 74 - Eastern Washington 69	5
Montana State 69 - Idaho 72	0.597	Montana State 70 - Idaho 68	-5
Murray State 72 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.85	Murray State 70 - SIU Edwardsville 54	-6
NC State 72 - Duke 80	0.747	NC State 78 - Duke 88	2
Nebraska 71 - Michigan 76	0.626	Nebraska 68 - Michigan 81	8
Nevada 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	0.624	Nevada 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 63	-6
Nicholls State 72 - Central Arkansas 71	0.546	Nicholls State 83 - Central Arkansas 94	12
Norfolk State 76 - South Carolina State 71	0.65	Norfolk State 87 - South Carolina State 74	-8
Northeastern 74 - Towson 66	0.689	Northeastern 72 - Towson 79	15
Northern Arizona 75 - Northern Colorado 73	0.548	Northern Arizona 79 - Northern Colorado 84	7
Notre Dame 83 - Boston College 61	0.959	Notre Dame 76 - Boston College 49	-5
Old Dominion 75 - Marshall 70	0.658	Old Dominion 75 - Marshall 78	8
Oral Roberts 80 - Omaha 79	0.513	Oral Roberts 79 - Omaha 85	7
Oregon 82 - UCLA 72	0.799	Oregon 86 - UCLA 72	-4
Pacific 64 - Gonzaga 82	0.949	Pacific 61 - Gonzaga 71	-8
Pepperdine 73 - Brigham Young 76	0.572	Pepperdine 71 - Brigham Young 65	-9
Prairie View 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.595	Prairie View 44 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 45	4
Sacramento State 73 - Portland State 67	0.729	Sacramento State 63 - Portland State 81	24
Saint Marys 85 - Portland 60	0.951	Saint Marys 89 - Portland 74	10
San Diego State 74 - Utah State 63	0.83	San Diego State 70 - Utah State 55	-4
San Jose State 67 - New Mexico 80	0.794	San Jose State 64 - New Mexico 83	6
Seattle 74 - Texas Pan American 64	0.749	Seattle 70 - Texas Pan American 59	-1
South Carolina Upstate 72 - Jacksonville 71	0.546	South Carolina Upstate 68 - Jacksonville 77	10
South Dakota 71 - South Dakota State 77	0.673	South Dakota 75 - South Dakota State 79	-2
Southern 76 - Alabama State 63	0.841	Southern 73 - Alabama State 69	9
Southern Miss 66 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.696	Southern Miss 59 - Louisiana Tech 70	3
Southern Utah 68 - North Dakota 73	0.632	Southern Utah 72 - North Dakota 88	11
Stanford 75 - Arizona State 70	0.679	Stanford 75 - Arizona State 73	3
Stephen F Austin 78 - Sam Houston State 64	0.878	Stephen F Austin 76 - Sam Houston State 64	2
Tennessee 76 - South Carolina 79	0.596	Tennessee 78 - South Carolina 69	-12
Texas AM 83 - Missouri 60	0.921	Texas AM 66 - Missouri 53	10
Texas AM CC 80 - New Orleans 61	0.997	Texas AM CC 97 - New Orleans 76	-2
Texas Arlington 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.562	Texas Arlington 62 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	8
Texas Christian 73 - Iowa State 82	0.754	Texas Christian 60 - Iowa State 73	4
Texas El Paso 71 - Florida International 67	0.633	Texas El Paso 69 - Florida International 79	14
Texas San Antonio 71 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.511	Texas San Antonio 71 - Florida Atlantic 86	16
Texas Southern 80 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.941	Texas Southern 75 - Mississippi Valley State 60	3
Texas State 70 - Arkansas State 68	0.555	Texas State 78 - Arkansas State 68	-8
Texas Tech 71 - West Virginia 77	0.729	Texas Tech 76 - West Virginia 80	-2
UC Riverside 70 - Long Beach State 75	0.725	UC Riverside 74 - Long Beach State 72	-7
UC Santa Barbara 80 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.934	UC Santa Barbara 74 - Cal State Northridge 61	5
UL Lafayette 81 - Troy 69	0.773	UL Lafayette 88 - Troy 65	-11
UL Monroe 70 - South Alabama 66	0.613	UL Monroe 100 - South Alabama 68	-28
UMKC 66 - Grand Canyon 76	0.8	UMKC 78 - Grand Canyon 85	-3
UNC Asheville 80 - Presbyterian 60	0.949	UNC Asheville 67 - Presbyterian 55	8
Washington State 71 - Colorado 78	0.71	Washington State 70 - Colorado 75	-2
Western Illinois 66 - North Dakota State 71	0.653	Western Illinois 52 - North Dakota State 65	8
Western Michigan 73 - Buffalo 72	0.532	Western Michigan 91 - Buffalo 71	-19
Wichita State 86 - Bradley 51	0.996	Wichita State 88 - Bradley 54	1
Wyoming 68 - Boise State 74	0.726	Wyoming 71 - Boise State 81	4
Xavier 82 - Seton Hall 68	0.82	Xavier 84 - Seton Hall 76	6

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Belmont 78 - Tennessee State 67	0.833	Belmont 103 - Tennessee State 95	3
Canisius 73 - Siena 77	0.618	Canisius 78 - Siena 99	17
Cincinnati 79 - Tulane 60	0.928	Cincinnati 97 - Tulane 75	-3
Colgate 72 - Holy Cross 62	0.726	Colgate 76 - Holy Cross 61	-5
Drexel 68 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.772	Drexel 71 - UNC Wilmington 77	-2
Fairfield 76 - Iona 77	0.502	Fairfield 98 - Iona 91	-8
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Mt St Marys 69	0.595	Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Mt St Marys 87	18
Fordham 65 - Dayton 75	0.732	Fordham 50 - Dayton 64	4
Hofstra 75 - William and Mary 74	0.546	Hofstra 91 - William and Mary 63	-27
Indiana State 71 - Evansville 75	0.634	Indiana State 82 - Evansville 65	-21
Iowa 77 - Purdue 71	0.68	Iowa 83 - Purdue 71	-6
La Salle 65 - Saint Josephs 81	0.9	La Salle 48 - Saint Josephs 69	5
Lipscomb 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 79	0.821	Lipscomb 91 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	-26
Longwood 70 - Winthrop 76	0.649	Longwood 68 - Winthrop 82	8
Memphis 80 - East Carolina 64	0.89	Memphis 83 - East Carolina 84	17
Missouri State 70 - Southern Illinois 75	0.656	Missouri State 65 - Southern Illinois 80	10
Monmouth 88 - Marist 61	0.985	Monmouth 83 - Marist 72	16
Morehead State 75 - Jacksonville State 60	0.897	Morehead State 74 - Jacksonville State 78	19
New Hampshire 77 - Hartford 66	0.774	New Hampshire 84 - Hartford 71	-2
NJ Tech 74 - North Florida 77	0.638	NJ Tech 80 - North Florida 94	11
Northern Kentucky 58 - Valparaiso 78	0.944	Northern Kentucky 46 - Valparaiso 71	5
Oregon State 73 - Southern California 76	0.631	Oregon State 85 - Southern California 70	-18
Princeton 93 - Unranked 52		Princeton 100 - Unranked 44
Radford 73 - Gardner Webb 69	0.618	Radford 69 - Gardner Webb 59	-6
Rider 70 - Quinnipiac 62	0.812	Rider 75 - Quinnipiac 52	-15
Saint Johns 69 - Marquette 77	0.727	Saint Johns 73 - Marquette 78	-3
SE Missouri State 65 - Tennessee Martin 74	0.745	SE Missouri State 68 - Tennessee Martin 60	-17
Temple 67 - Southern Methodist 77	0.784	Temple 89 - Southern Methodist 80	-19
Tulsa 80 - Central Florida 68	0.871	Tulsa 75 - Central Florida 60	-3
UMass Lowell 71 - Binghamton 65	0.653	UMass Lowell 57 - Binghamton 64	13
UNC Greensboro 69 - Samford 72	0.58	UNC Greensboro 86 - Samford 78	-11
Vermont 80 - UMBC 63	0.921	Vermont 79 - UMBC 72	10
Villanova 78 - Providence 63	0.891	Villanova 76 - Providence 82	21
Virginia 75 - Syracuse 64	0.799	Virginia 73 - Syracuse 65	3
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.823	Virginia Commonwealth 84 - Saint Bonaventure 76	2
Virginia Tech 73 - North Carolina 84	0.837	Virginia Tech 70 - North Carolina 75	-6
Wagner 76 - Sacred Heart 59	0.961	Wagner 58 - Sacred Heart 67	26
Washington 79 - Utah 77	0.553	Washington 75 - Utah 80	7
Western Carolina 66 - Mercer 71	0.662	Western Carolina 86 - Mercer 80	-11
Wright State 80 - Illinois Chicago 55	0.931	Wright State 80 - Illinois Chicago 66	11
Youngstown State 73 - Cleveland State 70	0.569	Youngstown State 70 - Cleveland State 55	-12

Number of DI Games: 326
Number Correct: 231 = 70.8%
Expected Number Correct: 238.652 = 73.2%
Average Error: 8.74
Average Signed Error: 2.02

WEEK 12 -- 1-25 to 1-31

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 71 - Alabama State 68	0.623	Alcorn State 77 - Alabama State 72	-2
Appalachian State 76 - Georgia Southern 67	0.708	Appalachian State 100 - Georgia Southern 101	10
Bucknell 84 - Lafayette 66	0.889	Bucknell 79 - Lafayette 67	6
Delaware State 66 - North Carolina AT 70	0.631	Delaware State 57 - North Carolina AT 55	-6
Green Bay 85 - Detroit 78	0.699	Green Bay 115 - Detroit 108	0
Hampton 76 - South Carolina State 69	0.703	Hampton 62 - South Carolina State 67	12
Houston Baptist 87 - Unranked 57		Houston Baptist 109 - Unranked 84
Iowa State 82 - Kansas 81	0.502	Iowa State 85 - Kansas 72	-12
Mcneese State 65 - Incarnate Word 70	0.654	Mcneese State 79 - Incarnate Word 76	-8
Miami 80 - Duke 75	0.654	Miami 80 - Duke 69	-6
Milwaukee 80 - Oakland 75	0.657	Milwaukee 79 - Oakland 82	8
New Orleans 73 - Central Arkansas 70	0.629	New Orleans 94 - Central Arkansas 83	-8
Nicholls State 75 - Northwestern State 69	0.701	Nicholls State 80 - Northwestern State 88	14
Norfolk State 76 - Savannah State 61	0.841	Norfolk State 92 - Savannah State 73	-4
Ohio State 75 - Penn State 67	0.747	Ohio State 66 - Penn State 46	-12
Prairie View 70 - Mississippi Valley State 66	0.637	Prairie View 73 - Mississippi Valley State 76	7
Richmond 84 - Davidson 76	0.715	Richmond 70 - Davidson 78	16
Sam Houston State 75 - Abilene Christian 63	0.875	Sam Houston State 72 - Abilene Christian 51	-9
Southern 75 - Alabama AM 64	0.816	Southern 73 - Alabama AM 52	-10
Stephen F Austin 84 - Lamar 61	0.948	Stephen F Austin 86 - Lamar 52	-11
Stony Brook 87 - Maine 60	0.982	Stony Brook 81 - Maine 54	0
Texas Southern 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.94	Texas Southern 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 49	-9
Virginia Military Institute 63 - Furman 71	0.707	Virginia Military Institute 56 - Furman 68	4

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 71 - Northern Illinois 66	0.663	Akron 76 - Northern Illinois 66	-5
Alabama 75 - Tennessee 73	0.567	Alabama 63 - Tennessee 57	-4
Boston College 67 - Florida State 79	0.82	Boston College 62 - Florida State 72	-2
Buffalo 72 - Ball State 69	0.613	Buffalo 76 - Ball State 64	-9
Central Florida 74 - Memphis 76	0.58	Central Florida 86 - Memphis 97	9
Duquesne 81 - La Salle 66	0.874	Duquesne 87 - La Salle 60	-12
Fresno State 75 - Wyoming 66	0.782	Fresno State 71 - Wyoming 60	-2
Georgetown 77 - Creighton 75	0.554	Georgetown 74 - Creighton 73	1
Howard 75 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.799	Howard 70 - Bethune Cookman 68	8
Illinois State 78 - Drake 65	0.875	Illinois State 76 - Drake 64	1
Kent State 78 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.741	Kent State 73 - Eastern Michigan 58	-8
Louisiana State 77 - Georgia 73	0.597	Louisiana State 89 - Georgia 85	0
Miami OH 67 - Central Michigan 70	0.591	Miami OH 51 - Central Michigan 68	14
Nevada 68 - San Diego State 71	0.619	Nevada 54 - San Diego State 57	0
Niagara 61 - Siena 74	0.852	Niagara 70 - Siena 82	-1
Oklahoma 84 - Texas Tech 70	0.934	Oklahoma 91 - Texas Tech 67	-10
Providence 74 - Xavier 76	0.555	Providence 68 - Xavier 75	5
South Carolina 82 - Mississippi State 69	0.862	South Carolina 84 - Mississippi State 74	3
Texas 81 - Texas Christian 64	0.885	Texas 71 - Texas Christian 54	0
Texas AM CC 81 - Southeast Louisiana 60	0.96	Texas AM CC 73 - Southeast Louisiana 63	11
Toledo 77 - Ohio 70	0.656	Toledo 79 - Ohio 81	9
Troy 75 - South Alabama 71	0.628	Troy 58 - South Alabama 66	12
Vanderbilt 74 - Florida 72	0.565	Vanderbilt 60 - Florida 59	1
Wake Forest 70 - Virginia 79	0.774	Wake Forest 71 - Virginia 72	-8
West Virginia 80 - Kansas State 67	0.857	West Virginia 70 - Kansas State 55	-2
Western Michigan 73 - Bowling Green 69	0.609	Western Michigan 78 - Bowling Green 79	5
Wisconsin 71 - Indiana 76	0.619	Wisconsin 82 - Indiana 79	-8

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 81 - UMass Lowell 61	0.922	Albany 75 - UMass Lowell 63	8
Arkansas 72 - Texas AM 80	0.706	Arkansas 74 - Texas AM 71	-11
Army 78 - Boston 69	0.751	Army 67 - Boston 76	18
Binghamton 68 - UMBC 66	0.55	Binghamton 66 - UMBC 57	-7
Bradley 61 - Northern Iowa 73	0.776	Bradley 50 - Northern Iowa 68	6
Butler 84 - DePaul 67	0.888	Butler 67 - DePaul 53	3
Cal State Northridge 62 - UC Irvine 77	0.935	Cal State Northridge 63 - UC Irvine 73	-5
Campbell 66 - High Point 76	0.773	Campbell 63 - High Point 73	0
Clemson 71 - Pittsburgh 72	0.503	Clemson 73 - Pittsburgh 60	-14
Coastal Carolina 70 - UNC Asheville 71	0.52	Coastal Carolina 68 - UNC Asheville 66	-3
Colorado 76 - Stanford 69	0.726	Colorado 91 - Stanford 75	-9
Colorado State 84 - San Jose State 69	0.913	Colorado State 74 - San Jose State 66	7
Coppin State 74 - North Carolina AT 68	0.67	Coppin State 73 - North Carolina AT 68	1
Dayton 81 - Saint Louis 60	0.929	Dayton 73 - Saint Louis 37	-15
Delaware State 63 - North Carolina Central 70	0.71	Delaware State 71 - North Carolina Central 60	-18
East Carolina 69 - Temple 75	0.663	East Carolina 64 - Temple 61	-9
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Murray State 72	0.51	Eastern Kentucky 71 - Murray State 75	3
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Jacksonville 65	0.866	Florida Gulf Coast 69 - Jacksonville 78	21
Gardner Webb 71 - Liberty 61	0.802	Gardner Webb 55 - Liberty 69	24
Hartford 78 - Maine 75	0.6	Hartford 100 - Maine 105	8
Holy Cross 70 - Loyola MD 65	0.667	Holy Cross 54 - Loyola MD 71	22
Houston 73 - Tulsa 74	0.534	Houston 81 - Tulsa 66	-16
Indiana State 78 - Missouri State 65	0.824	Indiana State 68 - Missouri State 59	4
Kentucky 81 - Missouri 63	0.876	Kentucky 88 - Missouri 54	-16
Lehigh 68 - Colgate 69	0.516	Lehigh 79 - Colgate 70	-10
LIU Brooklyn 75 - Sacred Heart 68	0.705	LIU Brooklyn 92 - Sacred Heart 84	-1
Longwood 66 - Radford 74	0.713	Longwood 81 - Radford 90	1
Marquette 88 - Stetson 63	0.986	Marquette 74 - Stetson 60	11
Michigan 89 - Rutgers 61	0.949	Michigan 68 - Rutgers 57	17
Minnesota 65 - Purdue 83	0.906	Minnesota 64 - Purdue 68	-14
Mississippi 80 - Auburn 74	0.678	Mississippi 80 - Auburn 63	-11
Morehead State 73 - Austin Peay 63	0.843	Morehead State 75 - Austin Peay 65	0
Navy 73 - American 49	0.96	Navy 58 - American 63	29
NC State 75 - Georgia Tech 73	0.572	NC State 83 - Georgia Tech 90	9
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Boise State 72	0.562	Nevada Las Vegas 87 - Boise State 77	-8
New Hampshire 69 - Vermont 71	0.538	New Hampshire 50 - Vermont 66	14
New Mexico 80 - Air Force 63	0.865	New Mexico 84 - Air Force 55	-12
NJ Tech 79 - Lipscomb 69	0.825	NJ Tech 72 - Lipscomb 81	19
Oklahoma State 73 - Baylor 77	0.601	Oklahoma State 65 - Baylor 69	0
Rhode Island 75 - Fordham 65	0.782	Rhode Island 79 - Fordham 63	-6
Saint Josephs 87 - Massachusetts 66	0.949	Saint Josephs 78 - Massachusetts 70	13
Seton Hall 84 - Saint Johns 63	0.946	Seton Hall 79 - Saint Johns 60	2
South Carolina Upstate 71 - Kennesaw St 70	0.542	South Carolina Upstate 75 - Kennesaw St 78	4
Tulane 73 - South Florida 65	0.761	Tulane 60 - South Florida 73	21
UC Davis 71 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.584	UC Davis 69 - Cal State Fullerton 64	-2
Utah 76 - California 72	0.61	Utah 73 - California 64	-5
Virginia Tech 68 - Louisville 78	0.775	Virginia Tech 83 - Louisville 91	-2
Wichita State 82 - Loyola Ill 56	0.985	Wichita State 80 - Loyola Ill 54	0
Winthrop 81 - Charleston Southern 69	0.87	Winthrop 97 - Charleston Southern 72	-13

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 79 - Oregon 74	0.642	Arizona 75 - Oregon 83	13
Arizona State 75 - Oregon State 72	0.58	Arizona State 86 - Oregon State 68	-15
Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Georgia Southern 56	0.965	Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Georgia Southern 67	11
Arkansas State 69 - Georgia State 71	0.565	Arkansas State 75 - Georgia State 69	-8
Brigham Young 83 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.897	Brigham Young 87 - Loyola Marymount 62	-9
Cal Poly 77 - UC Riverside 66	0.871	Cal Poly 68 - UC Riverside 72	15
Central Connecticut State 64 - Bryant 72	0.752	Central Connecticut State 78 - Bryant 67	-19
College of Charleston 71 - Northeastern 66	0.644	College of Charleston 68 - Northeastern 61	-2
Connecticut 73 - Cincinnati 69	0.622	Connecticut 57 - Cincinnati 58	5
Delaware 67 - William and Mary 78	0.807	Delaware 79 - William and Mary 94	4
Denver 70 - South Dakota 69	0.528	Denver 66 - South Dakota 52	-13
Drexel 64 - Towson 69	0.648	Drexel 70 - Towson 77	2
Eastern Illinois 70 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.581	Eastern Illinois 82 - Tennessee Martin 74	-5
Eastern Washington 75 - Portland State 69	0.676	Eastern Washington 112 - Portland State 83	-23
Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.681	Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Saint Francis Penn 82	1
Florida Atlantic 60 - Old Dominion 70	0.801	Florida Atlantic 66 - Old Dominion 78	2
Florida International 75 - Charlotte 71	0.604	Florida International 69 - Charlotte 72	7
Furman 72 - Western Carolina 65	0.689	Furman 62 - Western Carolina 60	5
George Washington 80 - Richmond 72	0.72	George Washington 90 - Richmond 98	16
Gonzaga 83 - Santa Clara 59	0.953	Gonzaga 84 - Santa Clara 67	7
Grand Canyon 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.819	Grand Canyon 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	4
Hofstra 84 - Elon 72	0.809	Hofstra 66 - Elon 64	10
Idaho 73 - Sacramento State 63	0.772	Idaho 63 - Sacramento State 65	12
Idaho State 77 - Southern Utah 67	0.772	Idaho State 87 - Southern Utah 68	-9
Illinois 75 - Ohio State 74	0.505	Illinois 63 - Ohio State 68	6
Illinois Chicago 70 - Youngstown State 77	0.66	Illinois Chicago 78 - Youngstown State 82	-3
Jacksonville State 67 - Belmont 79	0.84	Jacksonville State 63 - Belmont 72	-3
James Madison 78 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.754	James Madison 73 - UNC Wilmington 78	14
Long Beach State 75 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.67	Long Beach State 80 - UC Santa Barbara 70	-5
Louisiana Tech 86 - Texas San Antonio 64	0.937	Louisiana Tech 85 - Texas San Antonio 75	12
Marist 70 - Niagara 66	0.63	Marist 66 - Niagara 69	7
Marshall 75 - Middle Tennessee 74	0.504	Marshall 82 - Middle Tennessee 66	-15
Maryland 77 - Iowa 76	0.505	Maryland 74 - Iowa 68	-5
Mercer 78 - Virginia Military Institute 58	0.937	Mercer 73 - Virginia Military Institute 58	5
Mt St Marys 71 - Robert Morris 62	0.726	Mt St Marys 70 - Robert Morris 49	-12
Northwestern 70 - Michigan State 76	0.712	Northwestern 45 - Michigan State 76	25
Oral Roberts 75 - IPFW 76	0.521	Oral Roberts 63 - IPFW 68	4
Portland 79 - San Francisco 75	0.592	Portland 76 - San Francisco 87	15
Quinnipiac 61 - Monmouth 79	0.926	Quinnipiac 51 - Monmouth 66	-3
Saint Peters 68 - Rider 61	0.726	Saint Peters 45 - Rider 76	38
San Diego 63 - Pepperdine 74	0.793	San Diego 65 - Pepperdine 75	-1
SIU Edwardsville 74 - SE Missouri State 63	0.803	SIU Edwardsville 51 - SE Missouri State 58	18
South Dakota State 79 - Omaha 72	0.73	South Dakota State 87 - Omaha 76	-4
Southern California 86 - Washington State 69	0.915	Southern California 81 - Washington State 71	7
Southern Illinois 75 - Evansville 74	0.536	Southern Illinois 78 - Evansville 85	8
Southern Miss 65 - Texas El Paso 68	0.578	Southern Miss 71 - Texas El Paso 58	-16
Syracuse 74 - Notre Dame 73	0.53	Syracuse 81 - Notre Dame 66	-14
Tennessee Tech 74 - Tennessee State 68	0.709	Tennessee Tech 81 - Tennessee State 79	4
The Citadel 80 - UNC Greensboro 79	0.504	The Citadel 95 - UNC Greensboro 102	8
Troy 74 - Appalachian State 73	0.513	Troy 71 - Appalachian State 75	5
UCLA 83 - Washington 79	0.619	UCLA 84 - Washington 86	6
UL Lafayette 76 - Texas State 65	0.766	UL Lafayette 80 - Texas State 54	-15
UL Monroe 67 - Texas Arlington 76	0.719	UL Monroe 99 - Texas Arlington 88	-20
Utah Valley 75 - Seattle 67	0.705	Utah Valley 62 - Seattle 73	19
Valparaiso 78 - Cleveland State 52	0.987	Valparaiso 77 - Cleveland State 52	1
Wagner 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	0.755	Wagner 64 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	6
Weber State 85 - Northern Arizona 59	0.979	Weber State 76 - Northern Arizona 66	16
Western Kentucky 69 - Alabama Birmingham 76	0.72	Western Kentucky 69 - Alabama Birmingham 62	-14
Wofford 69 - East Tennessee State 73	0.63	Wofford 87 - East Tennessee State 73	-18

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 67 - Princeton 80	0.841	Brown 59 - Princeton 83	11
Dartmouth 66 - Columbia 71	0.628	Dartmouth 60 - Columbia 77	12
Davidson 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 81	0.695	Davidson 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 79	3
Detroit 79 - Northern Kentucky 71	0.723	Detroit 83 - Northern Kentucky 91	16
Fairfield 80 - Canisius 74	0.686	Fairfield 84 - Canisius 77	-1
Harvard 76 - Cornell 64	0.799	Harvard 65 - Cornell 77	24
Iona 78 - Manhattan 68	0.773	Iona 70 - Manhattan 56	-4
IUPUI 75 - Western Illinois 65	0.775	IUPUI 69 - Western Illinois 67	8
Milwaukee 81 - Green Bay 74	0.74	Milwaukee 95 - Green Bay 94	6
Oakland 76 - Wright State 72	0.581	Oakland 89 - Wright State 63	-22
Ohio 74 - Kent State 73	0.532	Ohio 72 - Kent State 61	-10
Yale 77 - Pennsylvania 60	0.853	Yale 81 - Pennsylvania 58	-6

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Lamar 69	0.601	Abilene Christian 80 - Lamar 71	-5
Alabama AM 73 - Prairie View 62	0.842	Alabama AM 83 - Prairie View 69	-3
Alabama State 66 - Texas Southern 74	0.767	Alabama State 72 - Texas Southern 75	-5
Arizona 81 - Oregon State 69	0.803	Arizona 80 - Oregon State 63	-5
Arkansas 78 - Texas Tech 76	0.539	Arkansas 75 - Texas Tech 68	-5
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Georgia State 58	0.811	Arkansas Little Rock 63 - Georgia State 53	2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Grambling State 62	0.632	Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Grambling State 59	0
Arkansas State 78 - Georgia Southern 69	0.761	Arkansas State 66 - Georgia Southern 71	14
Auburn 75 - Oklahoma State 76	0.523	Auburn 63 - Oklahoma State 74	10
Ball State 67 - Akron 69	0.557	Ball State 64 - Akron 73	7
Baylor 78 - Georgia 69	0.736	Baylor 83 - Georgia 73	-1
Bethune Cookman 69 - Florida AM 61	0.772	Bethune Cookman 88 - Florida AM 56	-24
Boise State 79 - New Mexico 71	0.739	Boise State 83 - New Mexico 88	13
Brigham Young 79 - Pepperdine 71	0.711	Brigham Young 88 - Pepperdine 77	-3
Brown 74 - Pennsylvania 73	0.507	Brown 89 - Pennsylvania 83	-5
Bucknell 79 - Army 72	0.692	Bucknell 94 - Army 66	-21
Cal State Fullerton 72 - UC Riverside 68	0.656	Cal State Fullerton 71 - UC Riverside 81	14
Central Connecticut State 60 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 71	0.855	Central Connecticut State 49 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	0
Central Michigan 74 - Bowling Green 68	0.631	Central Michigan 77 - Bowling Green 65	-6
Charleston Southern 72 - Gardner Webb 71	0.515	Charleston Southern 59 - Gardner Webb 68	10
Coastal Carolina 77 - Campbell 62	0.851	Coastal Carolina 97 - Campbell 68	-14
Colgate 73 - American 54	0.917	Colgate 49 - American 54	24
Coppin State 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 69	0.661	Coppin State 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 83	7
Creighton 79 - Seton Hall 75	0.642	Creighton 65 - Seton Hall 75	14
Dartmouth 72 - Cornell 67	0.637	Dartmouth 73 - Cornell 77	9
Dayton 83 - La Salle 56	0.97	Dayton 59 - La Salle 44	12
Delaware State 65 - South Carolina State 75	0.805	Delaware State 41 - South Carolina State 56	5
Denver 62 - South Dakota State 71	0.752	Denver 56 - South Dakota State 67	2
DePaul 68 - Xavier 84	0.855	DePaul 65 - Xavier 86	5
Drake 74 - Bradley 64	0.768	Drake 80 - Bradley 70	0
Drexel 67 - Hofstra 78	0.801	Drexel 64 - Hofstra 70	-5
East Carolina 71 - Houston 74	0.589	East Carolina 93 - Houston 97	1
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Morehead State 73	0.526	Eastern Kentucky 67 - Morehead State 70	2
Eastern Washington 76 - Sacramento State 69	0.699	Eastern Washington 74 - Sacramento State 67	0
Florida 73 - West Virginia 74	0.556	Florida 88 - West Virginia 71	-18
Florida Atlantic 69 - Charlotte 73	0.611	Florida Atlantic 82 - Charlotte 77	-9
Florida International 66 - Old Dominion 67	0.555	Florida International 60 - Old Dominion 64	3
Florida State 76 - Clemson 72	0.61	Florida State 76 - Clemson 65	-7
Furman 68 - East Tennessee State 69	0.504	Furman 74 - East Tennessee State 70	-5
Georgetown 74 - Providence 73	0.507	Georgetown 69 - Providence 73	5
Gonzaga 86 - San Francisco 65	0.944	Gonzaga 86 - San Francisco 48	-17
Grand Canyon 82 - Seattle 58	0.97	Grand Canyon 57 - Seattle 59	26
Hampton 75 - Norfolk State 71	0.614	Hampton 86 - Norfolk State 76	-6
Hartford 63 - Albany 77	0.85	Hartford 60 - Albany 86	12
Harvard 70 - Columbia 67	0.575	Harvard 54 - Columbia 55	4
Hawaii 82 - Long Beach State 69	0.915	Hawaii 64 - Long Beach State 78	27
Holy Cross 61 - Navy 68	0.692	Holy Cross 87 - Navy 80	-14
Houston Baptist 74 - Sam Houston State 67	0.738	Houston Baptist 70 - Sam Houston State 69	6
Idaho 71 - Portland State 63	0.757	Idaho 56 - Portland State 55	7
Idaho State 78 - Northern Arizona 66	0.816	Idaho State 88 - Northern Arizona 66	-10
Illinois Chicago 64 - Cleveland State 70	0.699	Illinois Chicago 72 - Cleveland State 70	-8
Incarnate Word 77 - Nicholls State 60	0.925	Incarnate Word 68 - Nicholls State 61	10
Indiana 89 - Minnesota 64	0.954	Indiana 74 - Minnesota 68	19
Jacksonville 77 - Stetson 69	0.79	Jacksonville 75 - Stetson 60	-7
Jacksonville State 65 - Tennessee State 70	0.688	Jacksonville State 53 - Tennessee State 78	20
Kansas 81 - Kentucky 72	0.707	Kansas 90 - Kentucky 84	3
Kansas State 81 - Mississippi 69	0.864	Kansas State 69 - Mississippi 64	7
Kennesaw St 70 - NJ Tech 74	0.635	Kennesaw St 67 - NJ Tech 75	4
Lipscomb 77 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.734	Lipscomb 91 - South Carolina Upstate 92	9
LIU Brooklyn 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.518	LIU Brooklyn 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 88	4
Louisiana State 76 - Oklahoma 84	0.776	Louisiana State 75 - Oklahoma 77	-6
Louisville 74 - Virginia 67	0.689	Louisville 47 - Virginia 63	23
Loyola Ill 65 - Indiana State 71	0.665	Loyola Ill 104 - Indiana State 96	-14
Loyola MD 75 - Lafayette 68	0.723	Loyola MD 84 - Lafayette 77	0
Maine 72 - Binghamton 67	0.654	Maine 74 - Binghamton 63	-6
Marquette 75 - Butler 78	0.6	Marquette 75 - Butler 69	-9
Marshall 75 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.56	Marshall 78 - Alabama Birmingham 81	1
Massachusetts 73 - Fordham 74	0.504	Massachusetts 72 - Fordham 78	5
Mercer 76 - UNC Greensboro 62	0.91	Mercer 81 - UNC Greensboro 67	0
Miami OH 61 - Northern Illinois 71	0.765	Miami OH 72 - Northern Illinois 59	-23
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Jackson State 73	0.774	Mississippi Valley State 62 - Jackson State 77	7
Missouri 74 - Mississippi State 72	0.558	Missouri 62 - Mississippi State 76	16
Missouri State 70 - Illinois State 71	0.505	Missouri State 84 - Illinois State 81	-4
Monmouth 77 - Saint Peters 61	0.88	Monmouth 73 - Saint Peters 57	0
Montana State 67 - Montana 71	0.611	Montana State 72 - Montana 80	4
Morgan State 67 - Howard 73	0.728	Morgan State 83 - Howard 63	-26
Mt St Marys 67 - Wagner 64	0.568	Mt St Marys 63 - Wagner 73	13
NC State 71 - Miami 77	0.699	NC State 85 - Miami 69	-22
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - San Diego State 67	0.561	Nevada Las Vegas 52 - San Diego State 67	17
New Mexico State 81 - Texas Pan American 55	0.98	New Mexico State 92 - Texas Pan American 68	2
New Orleans 70 - Mcneese State 67	0.643	New Orleans 76 - Mcneese State 64	-9
North Carolina 90 - Boston College 59	0.996	North Carolina 89 - Boston College 62	4
North Carolina AT 69 - Savannah State 65	0.629	North Carolina AT 63 - Savannah State 62	3
North Florida 79 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.794	North Florida 82 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	3
Northeastern 79 - Elon 72	0.72	Northeastern 67 - Elon 71	11
Northern Colorado 70 - North Dakota 74	0.627	Northern Colorado 71 - North Dakota 70	-5
Northwestern State 72 - Southeast Louisiana 73	0.532	Northwestern State 91 - Southeast Louisiana 76	-16
Omaha 84 - South Dakota 72	0.883	Omaha 96 - South Dakota 83	-1
Pacific 60 - Saint Marys 80	0.963	Pacific 65 - Saint Marys 68	-17
Penn State 68 - Michigan 77	0.713	Penn State 72 - Michigan 79	-2
Portland 76 - Santa Clara 69	0.657	Portland 84 - Santa Clara 90	13
Presbyterian 67 - Liberty 63	0.619	Presbyterian 61 - Liberty 65	8
Purdue 82 - Nebraska 66	0.861	Purdue 89 - Nebraska 74	1
Quinnipiac 65 - Niagara 62	0.606	Quinnipiac 82 - Niagara 68	-11
Rhode Island 72 - Saint Josephs 74	0.574	Rhode Island 55 - Saint Josephs 64	7
Rice 76 - North Texas 71	0.666	Rice 95 - North Texas 87	-3
Sacred Heart 72 - Bryant 68	0.616	Sacred Heart 72 - Bryant 71	3
Saint Francis Penn 69 - Robert Morris 63	0.667	Saint Francis Penn 90 - Robert Morris 78	-6
Saint Louis 73 - Duquesne 75	0.542	Saint Louis 67 - Duquesne 78	9
Samford 64 - Chattanooga 74	0.762	Samford 56 - Chattanooga 63	-3
San Diego 67 - Loyola Marymount 70	0.596	San Diego 77 - Loyola Marymount 69	-11
San Jose State 72 - Air Force 71	0.502	San Jose State 75 - Air Force 54	-20
SE Missouri State 66 - Austin Peay 72	0.668	SE Missouri State 80 - Austin Peay 86	0
Siena 83 - Marist 62	0.946	Siena 77 - Marist 66	10
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Eastern Illinois 68	0.572	SIU Edwardsville 46 - Eastern Illinois 60	16
South Alabama 72 - Appalachian State 71	0.502	South Alabama 73 - Appalachian State 60	-12
South Carolina 78 - Alabama 67	0.785	South Carolina 78 - Alabama 64	-3
Southern 76 - Alcorn State 61	0.876	Southern 75 - Alcorn State 64	4
Southern California 85 - Washington 77	0.724	Southern California 98 - Washington 88	-2
Southern Methodist 82 - Memphis 67	0.87	Southern Methodist 80 - Memphis 68	3
Southern Miss 74 - Texas San Antonio 64	0.734	Southern Miss 86 - Texas San Antonio 70	-6
Syracuse 75 - Georgia Tech 70	0.663	Syracuse 60 - Georgia Tech 57	2
Tennessee Martin 66 - Murray State 68	0.563	Tennessee Martin 63 - Murray State 59	-6
Tennessee Tech 76 - Belmont 77	0.529	Tennessee Tech 89 - Belmont 79	-11
Texas 76 - Vanderbilt 71	0.624	Texas 72 - Vanderbilt 58	-9
Texas AM 81 - Iowa State 73	0.736	Texas AM 72 - Iowa State 62	-2
Texas AM CC 72 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.553	Texas AM CC 61 - Stephen F Austin 66	6
Texas Christian 74 - Tennessee 77	0.577	Texas Christian 75 - Tennessee 63	-15
The Citadel 82 - Virginia Military Institute 74	0.672	The Citadel 78 - Virginia Military Institute 75	5
Toledo 77 - Buffalo 70	0.688	Toledo 68 - Buffalo 73	12
Towson 77 - Delaware 62	0.855	Towson 101 - Delaware 97	11
Tulsa 80 - Tulane 62	0.953	Tulsa 62 - Tulane 48	4
UC Davis 68 - Cal Poly 73	0.691	UC Davis 66 - Cal Poly 52	-19
UC Irvine 73 - UC Santa Barbara 62	0.859	UC Irvine 60 - UC Santa Barbara 76	27
UCLA 84 - Washington State 71	0.847	UCLA 83 - Washington State 50	-20
UL Lafayette 74 - Texas Arlington 77	0.578	UL Lafayette 90 - Texas Arlington 75	-18
UL Monroe 69 - Texas State 64	0.635	UL Monroe 72 - Texas State 59	-8
UMBC 71 - New Hampshire 74	0.564	UMBC 81 - New Hampshire 84	0
UMKC 78 - Chicago State 63	0.88	UMKC 78 - Chicago State 64	1
UNC Asheville 81 - Longwood 60	0.947	UNC Asheville 88 - Longwood 74	7
UNC Wilmington 74 - College of Charleston 68	0.708	UNC Wilmington 65 - College of Charleston 55	-4
Utah 76 - Stanford 69	0.736	Utah 96 - Stanford 74	-15
Utah State 74 - Nevada 72	0.588	Utah State 84 - Nevada 89	7
Utah Valley 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 74	0.652	Utah Valley 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 78	-2
Valparaiso 85 - Youngstown State 59	0.946	Valparaiso 97 - Youngstown State 68	-3
Vermont 65 - Stony Brook 72	0.704	Vermont 61 - Stony Brook 72	4
Weber State 84 - Southern Utah 60	0.966	Weber State 77 - Southern Utah 50	-3
Western Kentucky 68 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.668	Western Kentucky 64 - Middle Tennessee 66	-3
Western Michigan 75 - Eastern Michigan 73	0.544	Western Michigan 94 - Eastern Michigan 86	-6
Winthrop 76 - Radford 71	0.649	Winthrop 87 - Radford 77	-5
Wofford 72 - Western Carolina 68	0.638	Wofford 85 - Western Carolina 66	-15
Wyoming 76 - Colorado State 73	0.606	Wyoming 83 - Colorado State 76	-4
Yale 71 - Princeton 67	0.595	Yale 79 - Princeton 75	0

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 73 - Oregon 77	0.644	Arizona State 74 - Oregon 91	13
Boston 73 - Lehigh 69	0.634	Boston 75 - Lehigh 73	2
Central Florida 68 - Connecticut 76	0.763	Central Florida 41 - Connecticut 67	18
Colorado 75 - California 72	0.595	Colorado 70 - California 62	-5
Detroit 72 - Wright State 74	0.547	Detroit 75 - Wright State 68	-9
Evansville 73 - Wichita State 75	0.589	Evansville 65 - Wichita State 78	11
George Mason 66 - George Washington 77	0.769	George Mason 70 - George Washington 76	-5
Illinois 71 - Wisconsin 73	0.557	Illinois 55 - Wisconsin 63	6
Iowa 83 - Northwestern 65	0.907	Iowa 85 - Northwestern 71	4
IPFW 80 - Western Illinois 64	0.913	IPFW 88 - Western Illinois 67	-5
IUPUI 68 - North Dakota State 69	0.527	IUPUI 73 - North Dakota State 72	-2
Louisiana Tech 77 - Texas El Paso 67	0.775	Louisiana Tech 78 - Texas El Paso 70	2
Michigan State 90 - Rutgers 60	0.985	Michigan State 96 - Rutgers 62	-4
Northern Iowa 72 - Southern Illinois 73	0.526	Northern Iowa 67 - Southern Illinois 58	-10
Notre Dame 84 - Wake Forest 71	0.871	Notre Dame 85 - Wake Forest 62	-10
Ohio State 70 - Maryland 76	0.677	Ohio State 61 - Maryland 66	-1
Pittsburgh 81 - Virginia Tech 69	0.812	Pittsburgh 90 - Virginia Tech 71	-7
Rider 72 - Canisius 70	0.572	Rider 79 - Canisius 68	-9
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Richmond 76	0.617	Saint Bonaventure 84 - Richmond 68	-13
Saint Johns 60 - Villanova 83	0.945	Saint Johns 53 - Villanova 68	-8
South Florida 64 - Temple 76	0.803	South Florida 63 - Temple 70	-5
William and Mary 72 - James Madison 71	0.517	William and Mary 68 - James Madison 62	-5

Number of DI Games: 334
Number Correct: 232 = 69.4%
Expected Number Correct: 239.351 = 71.6%
Average Error: 8.55
Average Signed Error: 0.31

WEEK 13 -- 2-1 to 2-7

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 67 - Texas Southern 74	0.725	Alabama AM 68 - Texas Southern 71	-4
Alabama State 72 - Prairie View 63	0.785	Alabama State 83 - Prairie View 77	3
American 64 - Holy Cross 63	0.506	American 58 - Holy Cross 45	-12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 61 - Jackson State 70	0.764	Arkansas Pine Bluff 53 - Jackson State 66	4
Army 70 - Navy 69	0.503	Army 50 - Navy 64	15
Baylor 77 - Texas 72	0.639	Baylor 59 - Texas 67	13
Chattanooga 90 - The Citadel 65	0.96	Chattanooga 125 - The Citadel 85	-15
Delaware State 74 - Unranked 62		Delaware State 86 - Unranked 70
Eastern Illinois 84 - Unranked 57		Eastern Illinois 101 - Unranked 59
Fairfield 78 - Quinnipiac 64	0.894	Fairfield 59 - Quinnipiac 64	19
Florida AM 63 - North Carolina Central 66	0.595	Florida AM 63 - North Carolina Central 81	15
Florida State 80 - NC State 73	0.695	Florida State 77 - NC State 73	3
Houston 72 - Southern Methodist 79	0.707	Houston 71 - Southern Methodist 68	-10
Jacksonville 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.501	Jacksonville 83 - Florida Gulf Coast 80	-4
Kennesaw St 74 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.708	Kennesaw St 75 - South Carolina Upstate 62	-7
Lamar 66 - Sam Houston State 72	0.668	Lamar 66 - Sam Houston State 69	-3
Lipscomb 73 - NJ Tech 74	0.537	Lipscomb 78 - NJ Tech 90	11
Louisville 77 - North Carolina 76	0.541	Louisville 71 - North Carolina 65	-5
Loyola MD 69 - Colgate 68	0.526	Loyola MD 68 - Colgate 65	-2
Maryland Eastern Shore 72 - Howard 70	0.553	Maryland Eastern Shore 85 - Howard 67	-16
Mississippi Valley State 70 - Grambling State 65	0.665	Mississippi Valley State 72 - Grambling State 59	-8
Morgan State 71 - Coppin State 70	0.54	Morgan State 83 - Coppin State 43	-39
New Orleans 75 - Nicholls State 64	0.866	New Orleans 74 - Nicholls State 53	-10
North Florida 87 - Stetson 64	0.985	North Florida 82 - Stetson 86	27
Northern Kentucky 72 - Oakland 78	0.66	Northern Kentucky 74 - Oakland 85	5
Saint Peters 68 - Iona 71	0.587	Saint Peters 67 - Iona 75	5
Samford 66 - Mercer 70	0.62	Samford 70 - Mercer 85	11
Siena 72 - Monmouth 73	0.503	Siena 87 - Monmouth 93	5
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Mcneese State 69	0.517	Southeast Louisiana 82 - Mcneese State 80	-1

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 65 - Houston Baptist 73	0.748	Abilene Christian 79 - Houston Baptist 72	-15
Air Force 66 - Wyoming 71	0.654	Air Force 70 - Wyoming 62	-13
Auburn 76 - Louisiana State 82	0.668	Auburn 68 - Louisiana State 80	6
Bethune Cookman 70 - Savannah State 63	0.678	Bethune Cookman 62 - Savannah State 59	4
Boise State 81 - Utah State 69	0.911	Boise State 70 - Utah State 67	9
Bowling Green 69 - Ball State 67	0.566	Bowling Green 64 - Ball State 72	10
Butler 78 - Georgetown 72	0.657	Butler 87 - Georgetown 76	-5
Central Michigan 73 - Kent State 70	0.57	Central Michigan 88 - Kent State 61	-24
DePaul 68 - Providence 79	0.83	DePaul 77 - Providence 70	-18
Eastern Michigan 75 - Miami OH 66	0.745	Eastern Michigan 94 - Miami OH 69	-16
Georgia 74 - South Carolina 75	0.527	Georgia 69 - South Carolina 56	-14
Georgia Tech 77 - Duke 80	0.597	Georgia Tech 71 - Duke 80	6
Hampton 86 - Unranked 58		Hampton 69 - Unranked 67
Incarnate Word 67 - Texas AM CC 70	0.613	Incarnate Word 70 - Texas AM CC 65	-8
Indiana State 82 - Drake 65	0.893	Indiana State 63 - Drake 56	10
Iowa State 79 - West Virginia 78	0.539	Iowa State 76 - West Virginia 81	6
Liberty 66 - Winthrop 73	0.707	Liberty 88 - Winthrop 77	-18
Manhattan 68 - Rider 67	0.521	Manhattan 65 - Rider 57	-7
Massachusetts 70 - Rhode Island 78	0.728	Massachusetts 61 - Rhode Island 56	-13
Michigan 79 - Indiana 76	0.562	Michigan 67 - Indiana 80	16
Mississippi State 74 - Alabama 72	0.558	Mississippi State 80 - Alabama 82	4
Missouri State 77 - Bradley 61	0.895	Missouri State 77 - Bradley 71	10
New Mexico 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.595	New Mexico 87 - Nevada Las Vegas 83	0
Northern Illinois 72 - Buffalo 69	0.602	Northern Illinois 78 - Buffalo 90	15
Northwestern State 76 - Central Arkansas 74	0.553	Northwestern State 91 - Central Arkansas 75	-14
Ohio 71 - Akron 73	0.545	Ohio 68 - Akron 80	10
Oklahoma 88 - Texas Christian 64	0.971	Oklahoma 95 - Texas Christian 72	1
San Diego State 80 - Colorado State 63	0.92	San Diego State 69 - Colorado State 67	15
San Francisco 90 - Unranked 59		San Francisco 100 - Unranked 68
Syracuse 80 - Virginia Tech 68	0.813	Syracuse 68 - Virginia Tech 60	4
Tennessee 73 - Kentucky 81	0.697	Tennessee 84 - Kentucky 77	-15
Toledo 77 - Western Michigan 70	0.685	Toledo 89 - Western Michigan 62	-20
UL Lafayette 78 - UL Monroe 67	0.715	UL Lafayette 72 - UL Monroe 65	4
Wake Forest 73 - Clemson 75	0.568	Wake Forest 62 - Clemson 76	12

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 61 - Bucknell 72	0.794	American 69 - Bucknell 55	-25
Cal Poly 67 - UC Irvine 74	0.741	Cal Poly 72 - UC Irvine 78	-1
Florida 81 - Arkansas 72	0.74	Florida 87 - Arkansas 83	5
George Washington 82 - Davidson 73	0.712	George Washington 79 - Davidson 69	-1
Hartford 75 - UMass Lowell 73	0.553	Hartford 83 - UMass Lowell 85	4
High Point 75 - Gardner Webb 64	0.81	High Point 74 - Gardner Webb 79	16
Iowa 86 - Penn State 63	0.96	Iowa 73 - Penn State 49	-1
Kansas 82 - Kansas State 70	0.825	Kansas 77 - Kansas State 59	-6
La Salle 61 - Virginia Commonwealth 82	0.956	La Salle 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 88	-3
Lafayette 71 - Army 77	0.649	Lafayette 81 - Army 84	-3
Lehigh 72 - Loyola MD 66	0.742	Lehigh 71 - Loyola MD 66	1
Longwood 72 - Campbell 68	0.621	Longwood 80 - Campbell 79	3
Loyola Ill 70 - Illinois State 69	0.503	Loyola Ill 70 - Illinois State 78	9
Miami 81 - Notre Dame 73	0.715	Miami 79 - Notre Dame 70	-1
Missouri 73 - Mississippi 75	0.562	Missouri 73 - Mississippi 76	1
Navy 72 - Boston 63	0.711	Navy 72 - Boston 83	20
Nebraska 70 - Maryland 79	0.744	Nebraska 65 - Maryland 70	-4
North Carolina AT 68 - Charlotte 77	0.741	North Carolina AT 72 - Charlotte 92	11
Northern Iowa 70 - Evansville 73	0.572	Northern Iowa 57 - Evansville 54	-6
Presbyterian 63 - Coastal Carolina 72	0.745	Presbyterian 66 - Coastal Carolina 69	-6
Richmond 82 - George Mason 68	0.859	Richmond 74 - George Mason 78	18
Rutgers 73 - Illinois 79	0.659	Rutgers 101 - Illinois 110	3
Saint Josephs 79 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.81	Saint Josephs 73 - Saint Bonaventure 83	19
San Jose State 67 - Fresno State 77	0.802	San Jose State 65 - Fresno State 53	-22
Seton Hall 80 - Marquette 69	0.824	Seton Hall 79 - Marquette 62	-6
Stony Brook 77 - Binghamton 48	0.986	Stony Brook 76 - Binghamton 51	4
Texas Tech 77 - Oklahoma State 71	0.694	Texas Tech 63 - Oklahoma State 61	4
UC Riverside 75 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.792	UC Riverside 71 - Cal State Northridge 73	11
UMBC 63 - Albany 77	0.851	UMBC 73 - Albany 79	-8
UNC Asheville 81 - Charleston Southern 64	0.958	UNC Asheville 63 - Charleston Southern 55	9
Vermont 82 - Maine 66	0.893	Vermont 85 - Maine 68	-1
Villanova 83 - Creighton 68	0.88	Villanova 83 - Creighton 58	-10
Virginia 84 - Boston College 55	0.985	Virginia 61 - Boston College 47	15
Washington 82 - Arizona State 77	0.647	Washington 95 - Arizona State 83	-7
Washington State 69 - Arizona 83	0.827	Washington State 64 - Arizona 79	1
Western Illinois 70 - Omaha 80	0.825	Western Illinois 83 - Omaha 76	-17
Wichita State 82 - Southern Illinois 65	0.931	Wichita State 76 - Southern Illinois 55	-4
Xavier 90 - Saint Johns 60	0.973	Xavier 90 - Saint Johns 83	23

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Florida International 62	0.894	Alabama Birmingham 74 - Florida International 69	9
Appalachian State 70 - UL Lafayette 78	0.683	Appalachian State 76 - UL Lafayette 87	3
Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Troy 56	0.984	Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Troy 49	2
Arkansas State 75 - South Alabama 69	0.665	Arkansas State 79 - South Alabama 73	0
Belmont 76 - Morehead State 68	0.774	Belmont 73 - Morehead State 67	2
Brigham Young 73 - Saint Marys 75	0.554	Brigham Young 70 - Saint Marys 59	-13
Cal State Bakersfield 75 - UMKC 62	0.87	Cal State Bakersfield 77 - UMKC 66	2
Cal State Fullerton 70 - UC Davis 69	0.543	Cal State Fullerton 61 - UC Davis 57	-3
Chattanooga 76 - Wofford 61	0.914	Chattanooga 79 - Wofford 63	-1
Cincinnati 82 - South Florida 58	0.969	Cincinnati 88 - South Florida 57	-7
Cleveland State 71 - Detroit 74	0.589	Cleveland State 63 - Detroit 71	5
College of Charleston 70 - Towson 64	0.661	College of Charleston 65 - Towson 47	-12
Denver 67 - IUPUI 65	0.562	Denver 53 - IUPUI 51	0
Drexel 62 - James Madison 74	0.85	Drexel 56 - James Madison 78	10
Elon 82 - Delaware 68	0.904	Elon 83 - Delaware 56	-13
Georgia Southern 70 - Texas Arlington 80	0.746	Georgia Southern 82 - Texas Arlington 73	-19
Georgia State 70 - Texas State 58	0.803	Georgia State 59 - Texas State 56	9
Hofstra 79 - UNC Wilmington 74	0.629	Hofstra 67 - UNC Wilmington 70	8
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Mt St Marys 70	0.538	LIU Brooklyn 77 - Mt St Marys 74	-4
Loyola Marymount 64 - Gonzaga 80	0.891	Loyola Marymount 63 - Gonzaga 92	13
Memphis 72 - Connecticut 74	0.569	Memphis 57 - Connecticut 77	18
Middle Tennessee 76 - Florida Atlantic 58	0.935	Middle Tennessee 85 - Florida Atlantic 73	6
New Mexico State 71 - Grand Canyon 70	0.513	New Mexico State 70 - Grand Canyon 50	-19
North Dakota 74 - Idaho State 65	0.725	North Dakota 76 - Idaho State 60	-7
North Dakota State 74 - Oral Roberts 67	0.731	North Dakota State 67 - Oral Roberts 63	3
North Texas 67 - Southern Miss 68	0.501	North Texas 70 - Southern Miss 54	-17
Northeastern 72 - William and Mary 75	0.569	Northeastern 77 - William and Mary 86	6
Northern Arizona 69 - Eastern Washington 79	0.756	Northern Arizona 73 - Eastern Washington 84	1
Northern Colorado 66 - Weber State 76	0.838	Northern Colorado 54 - Weber State 64	0
Northern Kentucky 75 - Green Bay 77	0.566	Northern Kentucky 78 - Green Bay 85	5
Northwestern 79 - Minnesota 67	0.826	Northwestern 82 - Minnesota 58	-12
Oregon 80 - Colorado 71	0.754	Oregon 76 - Colorado 56	-11
Oregon State 73 - Utah 76	0.582	Oregon State 71 - Utah 69	-5
Pepperdine 82 - Portland 67	0.852	Pepperdine 70 - Portland 73	18
Portland State 73 - Montana State 71	0.564	Portland State 83 - Montana State 68	-13
Quinnipiac 72 - Marist 66	0.7	Quinnipiac 79 - Marist 53	-20
Rice 70 - Louisiana Tech 79	0.733	Rice 78 - Louisiana Tech 90	3
Robert Morris 74 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.898	Robert Morris 60 - Central Connecticut State 65	20
Sacramento State 65 - Montana 70	0.649	Sacramento State 83 - Montana 79	-9
Sacred Heart 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.502	Sacred Heart 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	-5
Saint Francis Penn 73 - Bryant 62	0.8	Saint Francis Penn 63 - Bryant 57	5
Samford 66 - Furman 67	0.517	Samford 65 - Furman 67	1
San Diego 70 - Pacific 69	0.504	San Diego 54 - Pacific 43	-10
SE Missouri State 62 - Murray State 72	0.791	SE Missouri State 72 - Murray State 78	-4
Seattle 76 - Chicago State 60	0.87	Seattle 59 - Chicago State 56	13
South Dakota 73 - IPFW 78	0.653	South Dakota 82 - IPFW 95	8
Southern California 83 - UCLA 75	0.733	Southern California 80 - UCLA 61	-11
Southern Utah 63 - Idaho 72	0.746	Southern Utah 44 - Idaho 68	15
Temple 73 - Tulsa 71	0.564	Temple 83 - Tulsa 79	-2
Tennessee Martin 71 - Austin Peay 67	0.652	Tennessee Martin 86 - Austin Peay 77	-5
Tennessee State 78 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.84	Tennessee State 81 - Eastern Kentucky 97	26
Texas El Paso 72 - Marshall 78	0.655	Texas El Paso 112 - Marshall 108	-10
Texas Pan American 70 - Utah Valley 75	0.652	Texas Pan American 77 - Utah Valley 88	6
Texas San Antonio 68 - Western Kentucky 79	0.784	Texas San Antonio 71 - Western Kentucky 83	1
Tulane 73 - Central Florida 72	0.506	Tulane 62 - Central Florida 70	9
UC Santa Barbara 71 - Hawaii 73	0.567	UC Santa Barbara 64 - Hawaii 76	10
UNC Greensboro 73 - Western Carolina 70	0.61	UNC Greensboro 75 - Western Carolina 58	-14
Vanderbilt 71 - Texas AM 75	0.588	Vanderbilt 77 - Texas AM 60	-21
Virginia Military Institute 65 - East Tennessee State 76	0.798	Virginia Military Institute 60 - East Tennessee State 71	0
Wagner 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.748	Wagner 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 82	11
Wisconsin 73 - Ohio State 67	0.697	Wisconsin 79 - Ohio State 68	-5
Wright State 70 - Milwaukee 68	0.535	Wright State 84 - Milwaukee 83	1
Youngstown State 74 - Oakland 84	0.721	Youngstown State 85 - Oakland 107	12

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 76 - Central Michigan 66	0.76	Akron 92 - Central Michigan 87	5
Brown 74 - Cornell 76	0.559	Brown 86 - Cornell 80	-8
Canisius 75 - Iona 78	0.593	Canisius 66 - Iona 84	15
Monmouth 83 - Fairfield 69	0.856	Monmouth 91 - Fairfield 67	-10
Niagara 63 - Rider 68	0.669	Niagara 60 - Rider 66	1
Pennsylvania 71 - Dartmouth 67	0.586	Pennsylvania 71 - Dartmouth 64	-3
Princeton 75 - Harvard 62	0.803	Princeton 83 - Harvard 62	-8
Siena 75 - Saint Peters 61	0.841	Siena 69 - Saint Peters 52	-3
Yale 72 - Columbia 64	0.734	Yale 86 - Columbia 72	-6

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 65 - Boise State 79	0.88	Air Force 61 - Boise State 53	-22
Alabama 75 - Missouri 64	0.769	Alabama 80 - Missouri 71	2
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Florida Atlantic 59	0.956	Alabama Birmingham 104 - Florida Atlantic 67	-17
Albany 72 - Vermont 63	0.735	Albany 75 - Vermont 71	5
Appalachian State 70 - UL Monroe 72	0.538	Appalachian State 90 - UL Monroe 91	-1
Arkansas 84 - Tennessee 74	0.772	Arkansas 85 - Tennessee 67	-8
Arkansas Little Rock 78 - South Alabama 57	0.937	Arkansas Little Rock 74 - South Alabama 43	-10
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Alabama AM 68	0.561	Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Alabama AM 71	3
Arkansas State 79 - Troy 69	0.785	Arkansas State 70 - Troy 71	11
Army 75 - Loyola MD 68	0.73	Army 99 - Loyola MD 100	8
Ball State 73 - Western Michigan 68	0.65	Ball State 75 - Western Michigan 71	1
Belmont 85 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.91	Belmont 78 - Eastern Kentucky 88	25
Bethune Cookman 71 - Delaware State 60	0.787	Bethune Cookman 85 - Delaware State 56	-18
Binghamton 63 - New Hampshire 66	0.595	Binghamton 55 - New Hampshire 59	1
Bradley 62 - Indiana State 77	0.87	Bradley 63 - Indiana State 58	-20
Brigham Young 84 - Pacific 65	0.938	Brigham Young 72 - Pacific 77	24
Brown 68 - Columbia 78	0.823	Brown 73 - Columbia 77	-6
Buffalo 79 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.726	Buffalo 80 - Eastern Michigan 70	-2
Cal Poly 70 - Hawaii 78	0.786	Cal Poly 60 - Hawaii 75	7
Cal State Bakersfield 81 - Chicago State 56	0.985	Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Chicago State 48	2
California 77 - Stanford 69	0.765	California 76 - Stanford 61	-7
Campbell 65 - UNC Asheville 77	0.845	Campbell 71 - UNC Asheville 81	-2
Central Arkansas 73 - New Orleans 72	0.529	Central Arkansas 112 - New Orleans 77	-34
Central Florida 71 - Temple 75	0.625	Central Florida 60 - Temple 62	-2
Charleston Southern 75 - Longwood 68	0.735	Charleston Southern 76 - Longwood 78	9
Charlotte 69 - Old Dominion 72	0.582	Charlotte 69 - Old Dominion 74	2
Chattanooga 73 - Furman 59	0.854	Chattanooga 62 - Furman 54	6
Cleveland State 67 - Oakland 78	0.789	Cleveland State 57 - Oakland 67	-1
College of Charleston 72 - Drexel 57	0.927	College of Charleston 60 - Drexel 38	-7
Colorado State 77 - Nevada 76	0.516	Colorado State 76 - Nevada 67	-8
Creighton 84 - DePaul 69	0.916	Creighton 88 - DePaul 66	-7
Drake 67 - Northern Iowa 75	0.692	Drake 66 - Northern Iowa 82	8
Duke 84 - NC State 72	0.823	Duke 88 - NC State 80	4
Duquesne 80 - Davidson 77	0.58	Duquesne 82 - Davidson 93	14
Eastern Illinois 76 - SE Missouri State 62	0.841	Eastern Illinois 78 - SE Missouri State 69	5
Elon 75 - Towson 72	0.583	Elon 77 - Towson 81	7
Evansville 82 - Missouri State 65	0.934	Evansville 83 - Missouri State 64	-2
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - North Florida 76	0.626	Florida Gulf Coast 81 - North Florida 65	-20
Fordham 68 - Saint Josephs 77	0.768	Fordham 60 - Saint Josephs 82	13
Fresno State 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.529	Fresno State 111 - Nevada Las Vegas 104	-6
Gardner Webb 73 - Presbyterian 62	0.798	Gardner Webb 69 - Presbyterian 66	8
George Mason 62 - Dayton 77	0.843	George Mason 64 - Dayton 98	19
Georgia 81 - Auburn 69	0.798	Georgia 65 - Auburn 55	2
Georgia Southern 71 - Texas State 67	0.623	Georgia Southern 66 - Texas State 62	0
Georgia State 69 - Texas Arlington 71	0.542	Georgia State 69 - Texas Arlington 90	19
Grambling State 59 - Southern 71	0.83	Grambling State 66 - Southern 79	1
High Point 74 - Liberty 59	0.896	High Point 76 - Liberty 80	19
Holy Cross 67 - Bucknell 75	0.698	Holy Cross 52 - Bucknell 77	17
Houston Baptist 67 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.681	Houston Baptist 66 - Stephen F Austin 72	1
Howard 72 - Norfolk State 73	0.524	Howard 92 - Norfolk State 99	6
Illinois Chicago 54 - Valparaiso 82	0.99	Illinois Chicago 55 - Valparaiso 73	-10
Illinois State 65 - Wichita State 78	0.9	Illinois State 58 - Wichita State 53	-18
Jackson State 74 - Alcorn State 61	0.9	Jackson State 64 - Alcorn State 72	21
Jacksonville State 66 - Tennessee Tech 76	0.767	Jacksonville State 58 - Tennessee Tech 68	0
Kansas State 73 - Oklahoma 80	0.74	Kansas State 80 - Oklahoma 69	-18
Kent State 75 - Toledo 69	0.713	Kent State 67 - Toledo 82	21
Kentucky 77 - Florida 72	0.623	Kentucky 80 - Florida 61	-14
La Salle 63 - Rhode Island 76	0.841	La Salle 62 - Rhode Island 79	4
Lafayette 70 - Boston 75	0.644	Lafayette 82 - Boston 89	2
Lamar 66 - Incarnate Word 73	0.669	Lamar 71 - Incarnate Word 74	-4
Lehigh 70 - American 58	0.835	Lehigh 72 - American 49	-11
Long Beach State 84 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.966	Long Beach State 81 - Cal State Northridge 76	14
Louisiana State 84 - Mississippi State 74	0.797	Louisiana State 88 - Mississippi State 77	-1
Louisville 84 - Boston College 56	0.983	Louisville 79 - Boston College 47	-4
Loyola Marymount 77 - Portland 72	0.638	Loyola Marymount 78 - Portland 92	19
Maine 80 - UMBC 74	0.679	Maine 79 - UMBC 83	10
Maryland 77 - Purdue 72	0.63	Maryland 72 - Purdue 61	-6
Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Hampton 73	0.604	Maryland Eastern Shore 73 - Hampton 70	-7
Memphis 73 - Cincinnati 75	0.555	Memphis 63 - Cincinnati 59	-6
Mercer 86 - The Citadel 68	0.916	Mercer 88 - The Citadel 72	2
Miami OH 66 - Bowling Green 67	0.51	Miami OH 55 - Bowling Green 51	-5
Michigan 74 - Michigan State 75	0.509	Michigan 73 - Michigan State 89	15
Middle Tennessee 73 - Florida International 62	0.851	Middle Tennessee 67 - Florida International 66	10
Mississippi 73 - Vanderbilt 77	0.611	Mississippi 85 - Vanderbilt 78	-11
Mississippi Valley State 71 - Alabama State 70	0.515	Mississippi Valley State 62 - Alabama State 73	12
Murray State 72 - Austin Peay 63	0.843	Murray State 73 - Austin Peay 76	12
Navy 70 - Colgate 62	0.696	Navy 55 - Colgate 58	11
Nebraska 84 - Rutgers 66	0.878	Nebraska 87 - Rutgers 63	-6
New Mexico State 79 - Utah Valley 63	0.884	New Mexico State 98 - Utah Valley 74	-8
Nicholls State 68 - Mcneese State 69	0.555	Nicholls State 71 - Mcneese State 56	-16
NJ Tech 77 - Kennesaw St 66	0.865	NJ Tech 78 - Kennesaw St 59	-8
North Carolina Central 70 - North Carolina AT 64	0.679	North Carolina Central 63 - North Carolina AT 67	10
North Dakota 67 - Weber State 70	0.601	North Dakota 78 - Weber State 71	-10
North Dakota State 71 - IPFW 70	0.547	North Dakota State 62 - IPFW 46	-15
North Texas 68 - Louisiana Tech 79	0.813	North Texas 80 - Louisiana Tech 69	-22
Northeastern 73 - UNC Wilmington 75	0.554	Northeastern 73 - UNC Wilmington 90	15
Northern Arizona 63 - Idaho 73	0.764	Northern Arizona 72 - Idaho 70	-12
Northern Colorado 73 - Idaho State 71	0.589	Northern Colorado 57 - Idaho State 90	35
Northern Kentucky 68 - Milwaukee 73	0.655	Northern Kentucky 75 - Milwaukee 71	-9
Notre Dame 78 - North Carolina 82	0.638	Notre Dame 80 - North Carolina 76	-8
Ohio 73 - Northern Illinois 69	0.628	Ohio 80 - Northern Illinois 69	-7
Oklahoma State 75 - Iowa State 80	0.652	Oklahoma State 59 - Iowa State 64	0
Omaha 77 - Denver 64	0.877	Omaha 72 - Denver 75	16
Oregon State 73 - Colorado 75	0.552	Oregon State 60 - Colorado 56	-6
Penn State 70 - Indiana 80	0.767	Penn State 68 - Indiana 63	-15
Pennsylvania 67 - Harvard 70	0.579	Pennsylvania 67 - Harvard 57	-13
Pepperdine 69 - Gonzaga 75	0.651	Pepperdine 66 - Gonzaga 69	-3
Pittsburgh 73 - Virginia 74	0.529	Pittsburgh 50 - Virginia 64	13
Portland State 64 - Montana 71	0.677	Portland State 80 - Montana 82	-5
Prairie View 60 - Texas Southern 75	0.913	Prairie View 59 - Texas Southern 55	-19
Princeton 79 - Dartmouth 60	0.909	Princeton 83 - Dartmouth 70	6
Providence 71 - Villanova 74	0.619	Providence 60 - Villanova 72	9
Radford 71 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.545	Radford 60 - Coastal Carolina 72	14
Rice 71 - Southern Miss 68	0.57	Rice 72 - Southern Miss 65	-4
Richmond 86 - Massachusetts 72	0.871	Richmond 69 - Massachusetts 53	-2
Robert Morris 69 - Bryant 62	0.698	Robert Morris 89 - Bryant 71	-11
Sacramento State 73 - Montana State 70	0.603	Sacramento State 76 - Montana State 79	6
Sacred Heart 73 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.548	Sacred Heart 98 - LIU Brooklyn 90	-6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.547	Saint Francis Brooklyn 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	-13
Saint Francis Penn 77 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.957	Saint Francis Penn 91 - Central Connecticut State 82	9
Saint Johns 68 - Butler 81	0.801	Saint Johns 56 - Butler 89	20
Samford 70 - Wofford 69	0.532	Samford 75 - Wofford 78	4
San Diego 57 - Saint Marys 79	0.949	San Diego 43 - Saint Marys 60	-5
San Diego State 74 - New Mexico 65	0.708	San Diego State 78 - New Mexico 71	2
San Francisco 76 - Santa Clara 70	0.663	San Francisco 89 - Santa Clara 86	3
Savannah State 68 - Morgan State 65	0.603	Savannah State 57 - Morgan State 49	-5
Seattle 69 - UMKC 66	0.599	Seattle 65 - UMKC 55	-7
Seton Hall 78 - Georgetown 70	0.731	Seton Hall 69 - Georgetown 61	0
SIU Edwardsville 66 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.563	SIU Edwardsville 62 - Tennessee Martin 79	15
South Carolina State 78 - Coppin State 67	0.815	South Carolina State 88 - Coppin State 83	6
South Carolina Upstate 73 - Lipscomb 74	0.523	South Carolina Upstate 65 - Lipscomb 78	12
South Dakota 76 - Oral Roberts 75	0.546	South Dakota 91 - Oral Roberts 79	-11
South Dakota State 78 - IUPUI 64	0.869	South Dakota State 80 - IUPUI 58	-8
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Abilene Christian 67	0.589	Southeast Louisiana 81 - Abilene Christian 60	-18
Southern Illinois 77 - Loyola Ill 64	0.865	Southern Illinois 59 - Loyola Ill 73	27
Southern Utah 69 - Eastern Washington 79	0.741	Southern Utah 67 - Eastern Washington 81	4
Stetson 70 - Jacksonville 73	0.608	Stetson 88 - Jacksonville 96	5
Tennessee State 69 - Morehead State 66	0.638	Tennessee State 77 - Morehead State 76	2
Texas 78 - Texas Tech 69	0.773	Texas 69 - Texas Tech 59	-1
Texas AM 80 - South Carolina 69	0.794	Texas AM 78 - South Carolina 81	14
Texas AM CC 74 - Sam Houston State 63	0.889	Texas AM CC 51 - Sam Houston State 48	8
Texas Christian 69 - Kansas 83	0.818	Texas Christian 56 - Kansas 75	5
Texas El Paso 70 - Western Kentucky 71	0.505	Texas El Paso 93 - Western Kentucky 89	-5
Texas Pan American 61 - Grand Canyon 82	0.954	Texas Pan American 58 - Grand Canyon 64	-15
Texas San Antonio 70 - Marshall 86	0.881	Texas San Antonio 91 - Marshall 109	2
UC Riverside 69 - UC Davis 63	0.692	UC Riverside 49 - UC Davis 50	7
UC Santa Barbara 80 - Cal State Fullerton 63	0.918	UC Santa Barbara 81 - Cal State Fullerton 68	4
UMass Lowell 60 - Stony Brook 80	0.938	UMass Lowell 73 - Stony Brook 91	-2
UNC Greensboro 71 - East Tennessee State 75	0.606	UNC Greensboro 65 - East Tennessee State 68	-1
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - George Washington 70	0.79	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - George Washington 72	13
Virginia Military Institute 67 - Western Carolina 72	0.629	Virginia Military Institute 60 - Western Carolina 69	4
Virginia Tech 73 - Clemson 74	0.541	Virginia Tech 60 - Clemson 57	-4
Wagner 69 - Mt St Marys 62	0.684	Wagner 72 - Mt St Marys 51	-14
Wake Forest 77 - Florida State 80	0.597	Wake Forest 71 - Florida State 91	17
Washington 79 - Arizona 82	0.591	Washington 72 - Arizona 77	2
Washington State 73 - Arizona State 78	0.639	Washington State 55 - Arizona State 67	7
West Virginia 80 - Baylor 72	0.711	West Virginia 80 - Baylor 69	-3
William and Mary 85 - Delaware 64	0.947	William and Mary 90 - Delaware 64	-5
Wright State 76 - Green Bay 72	0.589	Wright State 79 - Green Bay 60	-15
Wyoming 73 - Utah State 70	0.624	Wyoming 84 - Utah State 65	-16
Xavier 85 - Marquette 68	0.903	Xavier 90 - Marquette 82	9
Yale 78 - Cornell 62	0.87	Yale 83 - Cornell 52	-15
Youngstown State 78 - Detroit 80	0.54	Youngstown State 92 - Detroit 94	0

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 72 - Rider 71	0.539	Canisius 67 - Rider 61	-5
Connecticut 81 - East Carolina 62	0.937	Connecticut 85 - East Carolina 67	1
Fairfield 77 - Manhattan 68	0.743	Fairfield 80 - Manhattan 70	-1
Georgia Tech 74 - Miami 78	0.608	Georgia Tech 68 - Miami 75	3
Illinois 70 - Iowa 84	0.847	Illinois 65 - Iowa 77	-2
James Madison 76 - Hofstra 71	0.633	James Madison 98 - Hofstra 95	2
Marist 66 - Siena 80	0.873	Marist 79 - Siena 73	-20
Niagara 66 - Iona 75	0.836	Niagara 61 - Iona 75	5
Oregon 80 - Utah 72	0.719	Oregon 76 - Utah 66	-2
Saint Bonaventure 81 - Saint Louis 64	0.919	Saint Bonaventure 65 - Saint Louis 62	14
South Florida 61 - Southern Methodist 82	0.946	South Florida 58 - Southern Methodist 92	13
Tulsa 78 - Houston 72	0.68	Tulsa 77 - Houston 63	-8

Number of DI Games: 334
Number Correct: 241 = 72.1%
Expected Number Correct: 240.001 = 71.8%
Average Error: 8.98
Average Signed Error: 0

WEEK 14 -- 2-8 to 2-14

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Alabama State 68	0.546	Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Alabama State 70	-7
Army 73 - Colgate 70	0.574	Army 82 - Colgate 72	-7
Binghamton 56 - Albany 70	0.855	Binghamton 56 - Albany 69	-1
Clemson 75 - Notre Dame 74	0.519	Clemson 83 - Notre Dame 89	7
Duke 77 - Louisville 75	0.568	Duke 72 - Louisville 65	-5
Florida AM 65 - Delaware State 61	0.615	Florida AM 96 - Delaware State 95	3
Furman 72 - UNC Greensboro 63	0.796	Furman 79 - UNC Greensboro 72	2
Georgetown 82 - Saint Johns 64	0.915	Georgetown 92 - Saint Johns 67	-7
Grambling State 64 - Alcorn State 68	0.626	Grambling State 63 - Alcorn State 66	-1
Howard 71 - Hampton 74	0.579	Howard 65 - Hampton 68	0
Jackson State 67 - Southern 66	0.537	Jackson State 81 - Southern 80	0
Lafayette 69 - Lehigh 75	0.7	Lafayette 72 - Lehigh 87	9
Lamar 71 - Abilene Christian 68	0.58	Lamar 67 - Abilene Christian 71	7
Maryland Eastern Shore 71 - Norfolk State 72	0.543	Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Norfolk State 76	5
Mercer 66 - Chattanooga 69	0.601	Mercer 66 - Chattanooga 72	3
Mississippi Valley State 69 - Alabama AM 71	0.578	Mississippi Valley State 66 - Alabama AM 64	-4
New Hampshire 79 - Maine 69	0.783	New Hampshire 88 - Maine 75	-3
New Mexico State 87 - Unranked 53		New Mexico State 85 - Unranked 54
Nicholls State 62 - Incarnate Word 72	0.78	Nicholls State 71 - Incarnate Word 60	-21
Oklahoma 82 - Texas 73	0.744	Oklahoma 63 - Texas 60	6
Saint Peters 67 - Quinnipiac 61	0.671	Saint Peters 68 - Quinnipiac 52	-10
Savannah State 70 - Coppin State 66	0.597	Savannah State 72 - Coppin State 63	-5
South Carolina State 75 - Morgan State 62	0.813	South Carolina State 82 - Morgan State 78	9
Stephen F Austin 85 - Northwestern State 60	0.962	Stephen F Austin 83 - Northwestern State 72	14
Stony Brook 86 - Hartford 55	0.997	Stony Brook 85 - Hartford 72	18
Texas AM CC 73 - Houston Baptist 64	0.829	Texas AM CC 83 - Houston Baptist 76	2
Texas Christian 72 - Oklahoma State 73	0.54	Texas Christian 63 - Oklahoma State 56	-8
The Citadel 78 - Samford 79	0.535	The Citadel 86 - Samford 95	8
UMass Lowell 68 - Vermont 75	0.74	UMass Lowell 100 - Vermont 93	-14
Wofford 77 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.93	Wofford 92 - Virginia Military Institute 60	-15

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 71 - Ohio 69	0.567	Ball State 69 - Ohio 72	5
Boston College 65 - North Carolina 86	0.976	Boston College 65 - North Carolina 68	-18
Bowling Green 65 - Akron 74	0.76	Bowling Green 68 - Akron 83	6
Buffalo 76 - Toledo 71	0.627	Buffalo 69 - Toledo 71	7
Central Arkansas 75 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.598	Central Arkansas 88 - Southeast Louisiana 72	-12
Central Florida 68 - Cincinnati 77	0.777	Central Florida 51 - Cincinnati 69	9
Creighton 77 - Xavier 82	0.631	Creighton 70 - Xavier 56	-19
Dayton 82 - Duquesne 65	0.872	Dayton 76 - Duquesne 74	15
DePaul 64 - Villanova 82	0.918	DePaul 59 - Villanova 86	9
Drake 62 - Wichita State 84	0.961	Drake 48 - Wichita State 74	4
Eastern Michigan 76 - Central Michigan 75	0.501	Eastern Michigan 71 - Central Michigan 56	-14
Florida 82 - Mississippi 69	0.836	Florida 77 - Mississippi 72	8
Grand Canyon 91 - Unranked 52		Grand Canyon 95 - Unranked 71
Kansas 80 - West Virginia 76	0.592	Kansas 75 - West Virginia 65	-6
Kent State 73 - Northern Illinois 68	0.632	Kent State 75 - Northern Illinois 74	4
Kentucky 79 - Georgia 68	0.756	Kentucky 82 - Georgia 48	-23
Marist 64 - Monmouth 83	0.916	Marist 61 - Monmouth 87	7
Maryland 101 - Unranked 45		Maryland 93 - Unranked 62
Miami 80 - Pittsburgh 71	0.732	Miami 65 - Pittsburgh 63	7
Mississippi State 77 - Arkansas 81	0.624	Mississippi State 78 - Arkansas 46	-36
Ohio State 74 - Northwestern 70	0.635	Ohio State 71 - Northwestern 63	-4
Purdue 75 - Michigan State 74	0.534	Purdue 82 - Michigan State 81	0
Rhode Island 77 - George Mason 64	0.839	Rhode Island 81 - George Mason 63	-5
Tennessee 82 - Auburn 72	0.759	Tennessee 71 - Auburn 45	-16
Texas State 65 - Texas Arlington 75	0.745	Texas State 53 - Texas Arlington 65	2
Utah State 73 - New Mexico 77	0.623	Utah State 80 - New Mexico 72	-12
Virginia 83 - Virginia Tech 65	0.926	Virginia 67 - Virginia Tech 49	0
Western Michigan 73 - Miami OH 65	0.721	Western Michigan 44 - Miami OH 45	9

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Nevada 73	0.611	Air Force 52 - Nevada 72	16
Alabama 68 - Texas AM 75	0.669	Alabama 63 - Texas AM 62	-8
Belmont 81 - Jacksonville State 62	0.929	Belmont 81 - Jacksonville State 73	11
Boston 71 - American 59	0.786	Boston 71 - American 51	-8
Bradley 64 - Loyola Ill 71	0.7	Bradley 43 - Loyola Ill 54	4
Bucknell 76 - Lehigh 68	0.736	Bucknell 65 - Lehigh 80	23
Cal State Northridge 76 - Cal State Fullerton 71	0.693	Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal State Fullerton 67	-3
Colorado State 76 - Boise State 77	0.566	Colorado State 97 - Boise State 93	-5
Davidson 85 - La Salle 66	0.913	Davidson 79 - La Salle 66	6
East Carolina 75 - Tulane 67	0.76	East Carolina 92 - Tulane 100	16
Eastern Illinois 73 - Austin Peay 67	0.688	Eastern Illinois 70 - Austin Peay 79	15
Fordham 70 - Saint Bonaventure 76	0.679	Fordham 72 - Saint Bonaventure 76	-2
Fresno State 67 - San Diego State 71	0.621	Fresno State 58 - San Diego State 57	-5
George Washington 75 - Saint Josephs 73	0.56	George Washington 66 - Saint Josephs 84	20
Georgia Tech 83 - Wake Forest 72	0.808	Georgia Tech 71 - Wake Forest 66	6
Holy Cross 73 - Lafayette 67	0.68	Holy Cross 67 - Lafayette 53	-8
Houston 78 - Memphis 74	0.604	Houston 98 - Memphis 90	-4
Indiana State 75 - Southern Illinois 72	0.587	Indiana State 78 - Southern Illinois 85	10
Kansas State 76 - Baylor 74	0.556	Kansas State 72 - Baylor 82	12
Loyola MD 66 - Navy 67	0.545	Loyola MD 51 - Navy 71	19
Marquette 74 - Providence 75	0.556	Marquette 96 - Providence 91	-6
Minnesota 68 - Michigan 81	0.793	Minnesota 74 - Michigan 82	-5
Nevada Las Vegas 81 - San Jose State 64	0.889	Nevada Las Vegas 64 - San Jose State 61	14
Northern Iowa 77 - Missouri State 65	0.797	Northern Iowa 83 - Missouri State 69	-2
Omaha 74 - South Dakota State 77	0.6	Omaha 96 - South Dakota State 92	-7
Saint Louis 71 - Richmond 77	0.685	Saint Louis 53 - Richmond 67	8
Seton Hall 79 - Butler 73	0.666	Seton Hall 75 - Butler 81	12
South Carolina 81 - Louisiana State 76	0.689	South Carolina 94 - Louisiana State 83	-6
Southern Methodist 80 - Tulsa 68	0.828	Southern Methodist 77 - Tulsa 82	17
Tennessee State 72 - Tennessee Tech 71	0.501	Tennessee State 85 - Tennessee Tech 55	-29
Texas Tech 77 - Iowa State 79	0.604	Texas Tech 85 - Iowa State 82	-5
Utah 84 - Washington 77	0.69	Utah 90 - Washington 82	-1
Vanderbilt 82 - Missouri 64	0.889	Vanderbilt 86 - Missouri 71	3
Wisconsin 77 - Nebraska 68	0.763	Wisconsin 72 - Nebraska 61	-2

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bryant 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 74	0.661	Bryant 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 91	8
California 73 - Oregon 76	0.589	California 83 - Oregon 63	-23
Campbell 67 - Gardner Webb 72	0.643	Campbell 89 - Gardner Webb 85	-9
Charleston Southern 72 - Presbyterian 66	0.729	Charleston Southern 77 - Presbyterian 63	-8
Charlotte 81 - Rice 71	0.78	Charlotte 102 - Rice 73	-19
Coastal Carolina 73 - High Point 67	0.673	Coastal Carolina 67 - High Point 68	7
College of Charleston 67 - James Madison 66	0.515	College of Charleston 52 - James Madison 56	5
Colorado 83 - Washington State 66	0.892	Colorado 88 - Washington State 81	10
Delaware 71 - Drexel 69	0.585	Delaware 69 - Drexel 60	-7
Denver 70 - Western Illinois 61	0.748	Denver 60 - Western Illinois 63	12
Detroit 82 - Green Bay 81	0.529	Detroit 85 - Green Bay 86	2
East Tennessee State 77 - Samford 66	0.798	East Tennessee State 94 - Samford 90	7
Eastern Washington 73 - North Dakota 71	0.549	Eastern Washington 95 - North Dakota 85	-8
Evansville 78 - Illinois State 67	0.847	Evansville 60 - Illinois State 70	21
Florida Atlantic 77 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.811	Florida Atlantic 79 - Texas San Antonio 73	5
Florida International 72 - Texas El Paso 67	0.66	Florida International 74 - Texas El Paso 84	15
Furman 83 - The Citadel 68	0.848	Furman 95 - The Citadel 75	-5
Hartford 68 - Binghamton 65	0.588	Hartford 54 - Binghamton 68	17
Hawaii 73 - UC Irvine 67	0.747	Hawaii 74 - UC Irvine 52	-16
Idaho 73 - Northern Colorado 62	0.801	Idaho 73 - Northern Colorado 67	5
Idaho State 73 - Portland State 68	0.641	Idaho State 88 - Portland State 71	-12
Illinois Chicago 59 - Wright State 75	0.844	Illinois Chicago 64 - Wright State 59	-21
Indiana 77 - Iowa 79	0.535	Indiana 85 - Iowa 78	-9
Kennesaw St 68 - North Florida 77	0.779	Kennesaw St 101 - North Florida 91	-19
Lipscomb 73 - Jacksonville 72	0.538	Lipscomb 93 - Jacksonville 92	0
LIU Brooklyn 65 - Wagner 70	0.649	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Wagner 69	-18
Long Beach State 83 - Cal Poly 69	0.897	Long Beach State 73 - Cal Poly 70	11
Louisiana Tech 71 - Middle Tennessee 70	0.522	Louisiana Tech 73 - Middle Tennessee 63	-9
Maine 78 - UMass Lowell 75	0.605	Maine 95 - UMass Lowell 108	16
Manhattan 70 - Quinnipiac 63	0.694	Manhattan 84 - Quinnipiac 77	0
Massachusetts 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 82	0.883	Massachusetts 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 63	-20
Mcneese State 70 - New Orleans 69	0.536	Mcneese State 87 - New Orleans 76	-10
Montana 80 - Southern Utah 58	0.943	Montana 86 - Southern Utah 53	-11
Montana State 79 - Northern Arizona 66	0.84	Montana State 101 - Northern Arizona 58	-30
Morehead State 75 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.717	Morehead State 61 - Eastern Kentucky 50	-5
Mt St Marys 74 - Sacred Heart 65	0.732	Mt St Marys 66 - Sacred Heart 61	4
New Hampshire 65 - Albany 72	0.688	New Hampshire 69 - Albany 68	-8
NJ Tech 80 - Stetson 65	0.896	NJ Tech 74 - Stetson 70	11
Oakland 81 - Milwaukee 73	0.758	Oakland 85 - Milwaukee 93	16
Old Dominion 77 - North Texas 59	0.932	Old Dominion 67 - North Texas 47	-2
Oral Roberts 75 - IUPUI 70	0.642	Oral Roberts 77 - IUPUI 56	-16
Pacific 75 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.692	Pacific 72 - Loyola Marymount 77	11
Portland 68 - Gonzaga 82	0.851	Portland 66 - Gonzaga 92	12
Robert Morris 66 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.51	Robert Morris 57 - Saint Francis Penn 68	10
Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Central Connecticut State 56	0.926	Saint Francis Brooklyn 74 - Central Connecticut State 67	10
Saint Marys 77 - Pepperdine 62	0.87	Saint Marys 63 - Pepperdine 69	21
San Francisco 74 - Brigham Young 82	0.707	San Francisco 89 - Brigham Young 114	17
Santa Clara 71 - San Diego 65	0.67	Santa Clara 74 - San Diego 71	3
Siena 81 - Canisius 68	0.823	Siena 90 - Canisius 67	-10
SIU Edwardsville 62 - Murray State 69	0.747	SIU Edwardsville 64 - Murray State 70	-1
South Alabama 66 - Georgia State 69	0.591	South Alabama 79 - Georgia State 78	-4
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	0.744	South Carolina Upstate 64 - Florida Gulf Coast 71	-2
South Dakota 69 - North Dakota State 72	0.599	South Dakota 72 - North Dakota State 58	-17
Southern Miss 60 - Alabama Birmingham 74	0.838	Southern Miss 77 - Alabama Birmingham 80	-11
Stanford 74 - Oregon State 73	0.537	Stanford 50 - Oregon State 62	13
Syracuse 77 - Florida State 73	0.631	Syracuse 85 - Florida State 72	-9
Temple 70 - Connecticut 73	0.599	Temple 63 - Connecticut 58	-8
Tennessee Martin 77 - SE Missouri State 62	0.857	Tennessee Martin 77 - SE Missouri State 64	2
Texas State 70 - Appalachian State 67	0.583	Texas State 69 - Appalachian State 68	2
Towson 74 - Northeastern 69	0.648	Towson 44 - Northeastern 47	8
Troy 72 - Georgia Southern 73	0.509	Troy 71 - Georgia Southern 77	5
UC Davis 64 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.679	UC Davis 66 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0
UL Lafayette 82 - Arkansas State 67	0.838	UL Lafayette 83 - Arkansas State 73	5
UL Monroe 63 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.714	UL Monroe 86 - Arkansas Little Rock 82	-12
UMBC 60 - Stony Brook 80	0.955	UMBC 52 - Stony Brook 75	3
UNC Asheville 76 - Radford 67	0.796	UNC Asheville 59 - Radford 60	10
UNC Wilmington 82 - Elon 70	0.853	UNC Wilmington 86 - Elon 82	8
Valparaiso 79 - Northern Kentucky 56	0.946	Valparaiso 64 - Northern Kentucky 52	11
Virginia Military Institute 66 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.683	Virginia Military Institute 86 - UNC Greensboro 72	-20
Weber State 76 - Sacramento State 61	0.909	Weber State 63 - Sacramento State 50	2
Western Carolina 63 - Chattanooga 76	0.833	Western Carolina 67 - Chattanooga 61	-19
William and Mary 79 - Hofstra 73	0.673	William and Mary 80 - Hofstra 86	12
Winthrop 82 - Longwood 65	0.886	Winthrop 88 - Longwood 80	9
Wofford 68 - Mercer 69	0.571	Wofford 79 - Mercer 70	-10

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 83 - UCLA 71	0.817	Arizona 81 - UCLA 75	6
Arizona State 76 - Southern California 79	0.601	Arizona State 74 - Southern California 67	-10
Buffalo 77 - Ohio 71	0.662	Buffalo 75 - Ohio 94	25
Columbia 77 - Pennsylvania 64	0.851	Columbia 63 - Pennsylvania 53	3
Cornell 67 - Princeton 78	0.801	Cornell 56 - Princeton 85	18
Dartmouth 60 - Yale 76	0.866	Dartmouth 65 - Yale 75	-6
Harvard 75 - Brown 68	0.713	Harvard 79 - Brown 73	1
Incarnate Word 77 - Central Arkansas 64	0.804	Incarnate Word 71 - Central Arkansas 69	11
Rhode Island 67 - Dayton 73	0.658	Rhode Island 66 - Dayton 68	-4
Rider 65 - Monmouth 75	0.761	Rider 78 - Monmouth 79	-9
Saint Peters 69 - Niagara 59	0.804	Saint Peters 72 - Niagara 59	-3
Seattle 64 - Grand Canyon 71	0.711	Seattle 60 - Grand Canyon 71	4

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 73 - Alabama State 68	0.693	Alabama AM 68 - Alabama State 74	11
Alcorn State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.787	Alcorn State 72 - Mississippi Valley State 71	9
American 66 - Army 67	0.533	American 59 - Army 65	5
Auburn 71 - Vanderbilt 80	0.732	Auburn 57 - Vanderbilt 86	20
Austin Peay 71 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.551	Austin Peay 84 - Tennessee Martin 85	3
Baylor 80 - Texas Tech 71	0.771	Baylor 66 - Texas Tech 84	27
Boise State 77 - Wyoming 66	0.832	Boise State 94 - Wyoming 71	-12
Bowling Green 73 - Western Michigan 70	0.58	Bowling Green 68 - Western Michigan 74	9
Bryant 60 - Wagner 70	0.778	Bryant 55 - Wagner 79	14
Butler 77 - Xavier 80	0.568	Butler 57 - Xavier 74	14
Cal State Bakersfield 79 - Utah Valley 64	0.874	Cal State Bakersfield 91 - Utah Valley 69	-7
California 76 - Oregon State 69	0.708	California 83 - Oregon State 71	-5
Central Michigan 73 - Ball State 67	0.665	Central Michigan 63 - Ball State 75	18
Charlotte 80 - North Texas 69	0.772	Charlotte 103 - North Texas 79	-13
Chicago State 59 - New Mexico State 79	0.953	Chicago State 55 - New Mexico State 69	-6
Cincinnati 82 - East Carolina 64	0.923	Cincinnati 75 - East Carolina 60	3
Clemson 76 - Georgia Tech 70	0.667	Clemson 66 - Georgia Tech 52	-8
Coastal Carolina 73 - Gardner Webb 63	0.753	Coastal Carolina 78 - Gardner Webb 71	3
Colgate 70 - Bucknell 72	0.539	Colgate 91 - Bucknell 81	-12
Colorado 82 - Washington 77	0.653	Colorado 81 - Washington 80	4
Columbia 70 - Princeton 72	0.552	Columbia 83 - Princeton 88	3
Connecticut 77 - Tulsa 67	0.791	Connecticut 75 - Tulsa 73	8
Coppin State 73 - Howard 72	0.527	Coppin State 90 - Howard 66	-23
Cornell 74 - Pennsylvania 70	0.591	Cornell 84 - Pennsylvania 92	12
Dartmouth 74 - Brown 71	0.591	Dartmouth 87 - Brown 70	-14
Delaware 69 - Hofstra 82	0.827	Delaware 66 - Hofstra 77	-2
Delaware State 63 - Maryland Eastern Shore 70	0.696	Delaware State 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 71	-11
Detroit 76 - Milwaukee 77	0.526	Detroit 80 - Milwaukee 66	-15
Duke 76 - Virginia 75	0.54	Duke 63 - Virginia 62	0
East Tennessee State 68 - Chattanooga 74	0.681	East Tennessee State 68 - Chattanooga 76	2
Eastern Illinois 73 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.837	Eastern Illinois 64 - SIU Edwardsville 72	19
Eastern Kentucky 74 - Tennessee State 72	0.571	Eastern Kentucky 78 - Tennessee State 79	3
Eastern Michigan 75 - Kent State 73	0.562	Eastern Michigan 75 - Kent State 70	-3
Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Colorado 67	0.812	Eastern Washington 97 - Northern Colorado 80	-4
Elon 68 - College of Charleston 69	0.517	Elon 62 - College of Charleston 66	3
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Robert Morris 65	0.759	Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Robert Morris 72	12
Florida 78 - Alabama 66	0.808	Florida 55 - Alabama 61	18
Florida Atlantic 69 - Texas El Paso 70	0.55	Florida Atlantic 82 - Texas El Paso 89	6
Florida International 80 - Texas San Antonio 62	0.933	Florida International 79 - Texas San Antonio 65	4
Furman 66 - Mercer 65	0.504	Furman 85 - Mercer 74	-10
George Mason 74 - Davidson 78	0.614	George Mason 60 - Davidson 59	-5
Harvard 61 - Yale 72	0.761	Harvard 55 - Yale 67	1
Hawaii 85 - Cal State Fullerton 62	0.991	Hawaii 76 - Cal State Fullerton 59	6
High Point 78 - Charleston Southern 65	0.901	High Point 72 - Charleston Southern 50	-9
Houston 81 - Central Florida 70	0.803	Houston 82 - Central Florida 58	-13
Idaho 66 - North Dakota 65	0.512	Idaho 65 - North Dakota 64	0
Idaho State 72 - Sacramento State 68	0.633	Idaho State 66 - Sacramento State 64	2
Illinois Chicago 65 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.742	Illinois Chicago 79 - Northern Kentucky 77	-10
Iona 76 - Siena 73	0.617	Iona 78 - Siena 81	6
Iowa State 80 - Texas 75	0.639	Iowa State 85 - Texas 75	-5
IPFW 73 - Denver 63	0.795	IPFW 88 - Denver 84	6
Kennesaw St 69 - Jacksonville 71	0.546	Kennesaw St 90 - Jacksonville 69	-23
Lafayette 65 - Navy 73	0.722	Lafayette 68 - Navy 74	-2
Lipscomb 72 - North Florida 79	0.707	Lipscomb 94 - North Florida 87	-14
Longwood 66 - Liberty 68	0.538	Longwood 68 - Liberty 69	-1
Louisiana State 75 - Texas AM 78	0.569	Louisiana State 76 - Texas AM 71	-8
Louisiana Tech 71 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.579	Louisiana Tech 85 - Alabama Birmingham 76	-11
Loyola MD 72 - Boston 71	0.509	Loyola MD 65 - Boston 73	9
Marist 69 - Manhattan 72	0.587	Marist 73 - Manhattan 81	5
Marquette 77 - Creighton 78	0.519	Marquette 62 - Creighton 65	2
Maryland 78 - Wisconsin 66	0.854	Maryland 57 - Wisconsin 70	25
Michigan 74 - Purdue 75	0.513	Michigan 61 - Purdue 56	-6
Mississippi 78 - Arkansas 79	0.51	Mississippi 76 - Arkansas 60	-17
Mississippi State 73 - Georgia 76	0.582	Mississippi State 57 - Georgia 66	6
Missouri 73 - Tennessee 77	0.586	Missouri 75 - Tennessee 64	-15
Missouri State 72 - Indiana State 74	0.56	Missouri State 89 - Indiana State 85	-6
Montana 80 - Northern Arizona 59	0.932	Montana 85 - Northern Arizona 67	3
Montana State 79 - Southern Utah 65	0.865	Montana State 80 - Southern Utah 73	7
Morehead State 71 - Belmont 72	0.505	Morehead State 78 - Belmont 77	-2
Mt St Marys 70 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.641	Mt St Marys 66 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0
Murray State 76 - SE Missouri State 59	0.929	Murray State 83 - SE Missouri State 56	-10
NC State 82 - Wake Forest 73	0.764	NC State 99 - Wake Forest 88	-2
Nebraska 77 - Penn State 69	0.716	Nebraska 70 - Penn State 54	-8
Nevada 74 - Fresno State 72	0.559	Nevada 77 - Fresno State 72	-3
Nevada Las Vegas 81 - Colorado State 72	0.765	Nevada Las Vegas 87 - Colorado State 80	2
New Mexico 83 - San Jose State 65	0.888	New Mexico 74 - San Jose State 58	2
NJ Tech 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.624	NJ Tech 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 59	-5
Norfolk State 77 - Morgan State 63	0.824	Norfolk State 79 - Morgan State 73	8
North Carolina AT 70 - Florida AM 60	0.796	North Carolina AT 75 - Florida AM 68	3
North Carolina Central 68 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.55	North Carolina Central 90 - Bethune Cookman 66	-22
Northeastern 76 - Drexel 63	0.868	Northeastern 70 - Drexel 60	3
Northern Illinois 67 - Akron 73	0.658	Northern Illinois 80 - Akron 79	-7
Northwestern 79 - Illinois 71	0.736	Northwestern 58 - Illinois 56	6
Northwestern State 74 - Mcneese State 70	0.611	Northwestern State 87 - Mcneese State 78	-5
Notre Dame 74 - Louisville 75	0.539	Notre Dame 71 - Louisville 66	-6
Oakland 86 - Green Bay 76	0.754	Oakland 111 - Green Bay 93	-8
Oklahoma 83 - Kansas 79	0.614	Oklahoma 72 - Kansas 76	8
Oklahoma State 72 - Kansas State 73	0.53	Oklahoma State 58 - Kansas State 55	-4
Old Dominion 78 - Rice 61	0.941	Old Dominion 66 - Rice 75	26
Omaha 74 - North Dakota State 71	0.608	Omaha 76 - North Dakota State 69	-4
Oral Roberts 76 - Western Illinois 68	0.76	Oral Roberts 72 - Western Illinois 66	2
Pacific 68 - Pepperdine 73	0.638	Pacific 63 - Pepperdine 65	-3
Prairie View 67 - Grambling State 62	0.693	Prairie View 60 - Grambling State 56	1
Presbyterian 71 - Campbell 66	0.666	Presbyterian 61 - Campbell 91	35
Providence 77 - Georgetown 70	0.719	Providence 75 - Georgetown 72	4
Quinnipiac 69 - Fairfield 72	0.569	Quinnipiac 80 - Fairfield 84	1
Radford 75 - Winthrop 74	0.522	Radford 84 - Winthrop 86	3
Richmond 80 - Fordham 70	0.778	Richmond 71 - Fordham 67	6
Rutgers 69 - Ohio State 81	0.811	Rutgers 69 - Ohio State 79	-2
Sacred Heart 77 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.89	Sacred Heart 87 - Central Connecticut State 52	-22
Saint Bonaventure 76 - George Washington 74	0.575	Saint Bonaventure 64 - George Washington 57	-5
Saint Josephs 85 - La Salle 59	0.984	Saint Josephs 88 - La Salle 62	0
Saint Marys 83 - Loyola Marymount 58	0.98	Saint Marys 68 - Loyola Marymount 62	19
Sam Houston State 69 - Houston Baptist 66	0.618	Sam Houston State 80 - Houston Baptist 68	-9
San Diego State 77 - Air Force 55	0.94	San Diego State 70 - Air Force 61	13
San Francisco 76 - San Diego 67	0.735	San Francisco 68 - San Diego 51	-8
Santa Clara 69 - Brigham Young 80	0.767	Santa Clara 62 - Brigham Young 96	23
South Alabama 72 - Georgia Southern 71	0.53	South Alabama 80 - Georgia Southern 76	-3
South Carolina 77 - Kentucky 76	0.511	South Carolina 62 - Kentucky 89	28
South Carolina State 74 - Savannah State 61	0.848	South Carolina State 57 - Savannah State 60	16
South Carolina Upstate 73 - Stetson 71	0.546	South Carolina Upstate 85 - Stetson 83	0
South Dakota State 82 - South Dakota 65	0.913	South Dakota State 85 - South Dakota 68	0
Southeast Louisiana 73 - Nicholls State 66	0.709	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Nicholls State 61	-1
Southern 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 55	0.922	Southern 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	12
Southern Illinois 82 - Drake 66	0.914	Southern Illinois 75 - Drake 60	1
Southern Methodist 78 - Gonzaga 70	0.728	Southern Methodist 69 - Gonzaga 60	-1
Southern Miss 59 - Middle Tennessee 70	0.786	Southern Miss 54 - Middle Tennessee 76	11
Stanford 71 - Oregon 80	0.763	Stanford 76 - Oregon 72	-13
Stephen F Austin 73 - Texas AM CC 63	0.837	Stephen F Austin 70 - Texas AM CC 58	-2
Tennessee Tech 79 - Jacksonville State 61	0.923	Tennessee Tech 72 - Jacksonville State 70	16
Texas Arlington 83 - Appalachian State 67	0.86	Texas Arlington 91 - Appalachian State 60	-15
Texas Southern 71 - Jackson State 64	0.738	Texas Southern 76 - Jackson State 60	-9
Toledo 76 - Miami OH 61	0.836	Toledo 93 - Miami OH 48	-30
Towson 71 - William and Mary 74	0.587	Towson 99 - William and Mary 82	-20
Troy 66 - Georgia State 71	0.651	Troy 54 - Georgia State 53	-6
Tulane 68 - Memphis 77	0.78	Tulane 94 - Memphis 87	-16
UC Davis 66 - Long Beach State 74	0.769	UC Davis 48 - Long Beach State 57	1
UC Irvine 80 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.981	UC Irvine 93 - Cal State Northridge 84	10
UC Riverside 72 - Cal Poly 70	0.575	UC Riverside 78 - Cal Poly 86	10
UL Lafayette 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.547	UL Lafayette 64 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	2
UL Monroe 76 - Arkansas State 69	0.695	UL Monroe 78 - Arkansas State 73	2
UMKC 77 - Texas Pan American 63	0.855	UMKC 75 - Texas Pan American 58	-3
UNC Wilmington 75 - James Madison 72	0.623	UNC Wilmington 78 - James Madison 68	-7
Valparaiso 73 - Wright State 58	0.817	Valparaiso 59 - Wright State 61	17
Villanova 88 - Saint Johns 56	0.985	Villanova 73 - Saint Johns 63	22
Virginia Commonwealth 84 - Saint Louis 61	0.973	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Saint Louis 52	-10
Weber State 77 - Portland State 61	0.901	Weber State 87 - Portland State 78	7
West Virginia 86 - Texas Christian 63	0.958	West Virginia 73 - Texas Christian 42	-8
Western Carolina 72 - Samford 69	0.586	Western Carolina 76 - Samford 71	-2
Western Kentucky 77 - Marshall 78	0.527	Western Kentucky 93 - Marshall 96	2
Wichita State 78 - Northern Iowa 62	0.854	Wichita State 50 - Northern Iowa 53	19
Wofford 85 - The Citadel 72	0.838	Wofford 99 - The Citadel 89	3
Youngstown State 73 - Cleveland State 68	0.632	Youngstown State 59 - Cleveland State 64	10

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 83 - Maine 62	0.945	Albany 108 - Maine 64	-23
Arizona 81 - Southern California 75	0.695	Arizona 86 - Southern California 78	-2
Arizona State 78 - UCLA 75	0.589	Arizona State 65 - UCLA 78	16
Boston College 63 - Syracuse 77	0.87	Boston College 61 - Syracuse 75	0
Duquesne 82 - Massachusetts 72	0.778	Duquesne 99 - Massachusetts 108	19
Florida State 76 - Miami 79	0.562	Florida State 65 - Miami 67	-1
Illinois State 78 - Bradley 59	0.941	Illinois State 75 - Bradley 60	4
Iowa 90 - Minnesota 61	0.983	Iowa 75 - Minnesota 71	25
Loyola Ill 67 - Evansville 75	0.746	Loyola Ill 73 - Evansville 74	-7
Michigan State 81 - Indiana 73	0.716	Michigan State 88 - Indiana 69	-11
North Carolina 84 - Pittsburgh 73	0.795	North Carolina 85 - Pittsburgh 64	-10
Rider 71 - Niagara 59	0.854	Rider 77 - Niagara 59	-6
Saint Peters 71 - Canisius 68	0.582	Saint Peters 61 - Canisius 57	-1
Stony Brook 79 - New Hampshire 57	0.957	Stony Brook 59 - New Hampshire 58	21
Temple 80 - South Florida 62	0.92	Temple 77 - South Florida 65	6
UMass Lowell 77 - UMBC 72	0.647	UMass Lowell 96 - UMBC 92	1
Utah 84 - Washington State 66	0.908	Utah 88 - Washington State 47	-23
Vermont 81 - Hartford 61	0.96	Vermont 92 - Hartford 81	9

Number of DI Games: 336
Number Correct: 231 = 68.7%
Expected Number Correct: 241.537 = 71.8%
Average Error: 9.07
Average Signed Error: 0.29

WEEK 15 -- 2-15 to 2-21

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 84 - Maine 62	0.954	Albany 108 - Maine 64	-22
Arizona 82 - Southern California 74	0.731	Arizona 86 - Southern California 78	0
Arizona State 79 - UCLA 75	0.625	Arizona State 65 - UCLA 78	17
Boston College 63 - Syracuse 77	0.863	Boston College 61 - Syracuse 75	0
Duquesne 81 - Massachusetts 73	0.724	Duquesne 99 - Massachusetts 108	17
Florida State 76 - Miami 79	0.6	Florida State 65 - Miami 67	-1
Illinois State 79 - Bradley 57	0.954	Illinois State 75 - Bradley 60	7
Iowa 90 - Minnesota 63	0.978	Iowa 75 - Minnesota 71	23
Loyola Ill 68 - Evansville 74	0.677	Loyola Ill 73 - Evansville 74	-5
Michigan State 81 - Indiana 74	0.674	Michigan State 88 - Indiana 69	-12
North Carolina 83 - Pittsburgh 74	0.769	North Carolina 85 - Pittsburgh 64	-12
Rider 72 - Niagara 59	0.867	Rider 77 - Niagara 59	-5
Saint Peters 72 - Canisius 67	0.629	Saint Peters 61 - Canisius 57	1
Stony Brook 77 - New Hampshire 58	0.944	Stony Brook 59 - New Hampshire 58	18
Temple 80 - South Florida 61	0.927	Temple 77 - South Florida 65	7
UMass Lowell 78 - UMBC 71	0.714	UMass Lowell 96 - UMBC 92	3
Utah 85 - Washington State 66	0.917	Utah 88 - Washington State 47	-22
Vermont 81 - Hartford 62	0.945	Vermont 92 - Hartford 81	8

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.773	Alcorn State 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	-10
Central Arkansas 78 - Northwestern State 73	0.615	Central Arkansas 107 - Northwestern State 94	-8
Coppin State 74 - Delaware State 64	0.729	Coppin State 67 - Delaware State 71	14
East Tennessee State 76 - Western Carolina 66	0.752	East Tennessee State 83 - Western Carolina 77	4
Fairfield 82 - Marist 67	0.881	Fairfield 76 - Marist 73	12
Green Bay 79 - Milwaukee 77	0.571	Green Bay 70 - Milwaukee 68	0
Hampton 75 - Morgan State 62	0.809	Hampton 87 - Morgan State 79	5
Houston Baptist 78 - Lamar 63	0.849	Houston Baptist 79 - Lamar 78	14
Iona 79 - Quinnipiac 62	0.93	Iona 78 - Quinnipiac 59	-2
Kansas 85 - Oklahoma State 66	0.907	Kansas 94 - Oklahoma State 67	-8
Lehigh 74 - Holy Cross 61	0.823	Lehigh 64 - Holy Cross 59	8
Mcneese State 71 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.602	Mcneese State 76 - Southeast Louisiana 79	7
Monmouth 81 - Manhattan 62	0.917	Monmouth 79 - Manhattan 70	10
New Orleans 64 - Texas AM CC 74	0.774	New Orleans 57 - Texas AM CC 65	-2
North Carolina AT 68 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.559	North Carolina AT 77 - Bethune Cookman 83	8
North Carolina Central 72 - Florida AM 59	0.848	North Carolina Central 79 - Florida AM 74	8
Prairie View 62 - Jackson State 69	0.75	Prairie View 66 - Jackson State 80	7
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.636	Saint Francis Brooklyn 67 - LIU Brooklyn 82	19
Sam Houston State 72 - Abilene Christian 59	0.858	Sam Houston State 84 - Abilene Christian 71	0
Southern 77 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.933	Southern 97 - Mississippi Valley State 64	-16
Stephen F Austin 74 - Incarnate Word 58	0.909	Stephen F Austin 84 - Incarnate Word 46	-22
Texas Southern 77 - Grambling State 55	0.978	Texas Southern 79 - Grambling State 72	15
UNC Greensboro 69 - Wofford 72	0.607	UNC Greensboro 65 - Wofford 61	-7
Virginia 82 - NC State 66	0.889	Virginia 73 - NC State 53	-4
Wichita State 77 - New Mexico State 61	0.895	Wichita State 71 - New Mexico State 41	-14
Wright State 72 - Oakland 73	0.504	Wright State 73 - Oakland 89	15

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	0.73	Air Force 79 - Nevada Las Vegas 74	-14
Akron 78 - Buffalo 68	0.796	Akron 80 - Buffalo 70	0
Baylor 81 - Iowa State 80	0.538	Baylor 100 - Iowa State 91	-8
Butler 80 - Creighton 75	0.621	Butler 88 - Creighton 75	-8
Campbell 83 - Unranked 61		Campbell 110 - Unranked 66
Central Michigan 72 - Toledo 73	0.532	Central Michigan 77 - Toledo 69	-9
Cleveland State 55 - Valparaiso 72	0.93	Cleveland State 43 - Valparaiso 66	6
Davidson 80 - Richmond 77	0.576	Davidson 83 - Richmond 79	-1
East Carolina 77 - South Florida 68	0.747	East Carolina 52 - South Florida 69	26
Georgia 72 - Florida 73	0.524	Georgia 53 - Florida 57	3
Howard 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 70	0.547	Howard 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 74	-2
Illinois 85 - Rutgers 70	0.865	Illinois 82 - Rutgers 66	-1
Kent State 76 - Western Michigan 68	0.726	Kent State 85 - Western Michigan 78	1
Miami OH 63 - Ball State 68	0.63	Miami OH 56 - Ball State 73	12
Mississippi State 73 - Vanderbilt 78	0.631	Mississippi State 75 - Vanderbilt 74	-6
Missouri 71 - South Carolina 80	0.736	Missouri 72 - South Carolina 67	-14
Morehead State 86 - Unranked 52		Morehead State 105 - Unranked 66
Northern Illinois 75 - Bowling Green 65	0.776	Northern Illinois 71 - Bowling Green 60	-1
Northern Kentucky 74 - Detroit 75	0.511	Northern Kentucky 68 - Detroit 74	5
Ohio 79 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.701	Ohio 86 - Eastern Michigan 64	-14
Ohio State 73 - Michigan 74	0.523	Ohio State 76 - Michigan 66	-11
Pittsburgh 85 - Wake Forest 70	0.872	Pittsburgh 101 - Wake Forest 96	10
Purdue 80 - Northwestern 66	0.844	Purdue 71 - Northwestern 61	4
South Alabama 74 - Troy 68	0.7	South Alabama 54 - Troy 61	13
Texas 74 - West Virginia 75	0.548	Texas 85 - West Virginia 78	-8
Texas AM 81 - Mississippi 70	0.808	Texas AM 71 - Mississippi 56	-4
Texas Christian 70 - Kansas State 75	0.629	Texas Christian 49 - Kansas State 63	9
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Rhode Island 67	0.82	Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Rhode Island 67	-5
Youngstown State 78 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.717	Youngstown State 92 - Illinois Chicago 91	8

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 65 - Stony Brook 68	0.609	Albany 82 - Stony Brook 70	-15
American 69 - Lafayette 62	0.694	American 60 - Lafayette 59	6
Arizona 82 - Arizona State 70	0.842	Arizona 99 - Arizona State 61	-26
Arkansas 84 - Auburn 70	0.791	Arkansas 86 - Auburn 90	18
Army 75 - Holy Cross 65	0.747	Army 72 - Holy Cross 68	6
Boston 73 - Colgate 67	0.676	Boston 71 - Colgate 68	3
Bucknell 78 - Loyola MD 66	0.789	Bucknell 87 - Loyola MD 52	-23
Cal State Fullerton 65 - UC Irvine 76	0.885	Cal State Fullerton 77 - UC Irvine 96	8
Clemson 79 - Boston College 60	0.917	Clemson 65 - Boston College 54	8
Drake 67 - Evansville 80	0.873	Drake 74 - Evansville 80	-7
Duquesne 75 - George Washington 77	0.561	Duquesne 74 - George Washington 81	5
Florida State 81 - Georgia Tech 74	0.731	Florida State 80 - Georgia Tech 86	13
Fordham 76 - Massachusetts 71	0.642	Fordham 76 - Massachusetts 66	-5
George Mason 74 - Saint Louis 66	0.695	George Mason 77 - Saint Louis 79	10
Georgetown 74 - Seton Hall 75	0.512	Georgetown 64 - Seton Hall 72	7
Hartford 74 - UMBC 72	0.542	Hartford 88 - UMBC 65	-21
Illinois State 76 - Indiana State 69	0.706	Illinois State 78 - Indiana State 50	-21
Indiana 84 - Nebraska 70	0.821	Indiana 80 - Nebraska 64	-2
IUPUI 73 - Omaha 77	0.636	IUPUI 88 - Omaha 76	-16
La Salle 65 - Saint Bonaventure 80	0.91	La Salle 71 - Saint Bonaventure 64	-22
Louisiana State 78 - Alabama 73	0.67	Louisiana State 69 - Alabama 76	12
Louisville 76 - Syracuse 67	0.74	Louisville 72 - Syracuse 58	-5
Loyola Ill 67 - Northern Iowa 70	0.602	Loyola Ill 59 - Northern Iowa 56	-6
Memphis 81 - Central Florida 70	0.827	Memphis 73 - Central Florida 56	-6
Miami 85 - Virginia Tech 68	0.913	Miami 65 - Virginia Tech 49	1
Navy 69 - Lehigh 64	0.649	Navy 74 - Lehigh 77	8
New Hampshire 77 - UMass Lowell 68	0.747	New Hampshire 80 - UMass Lowell 69	-2
New Mexico 78 - Boise State 74	0.614	New Mexico 80 - Boise State 78	2
North Carolina 83 - Duke 79	0.645	North Carolina 73 - Duke 74	5
North Dakota State 73 - Western Illinois 60	0.821	North Dakota State 63 - Western Illinois 54	4
Penn State 67 - Iowa 81	0.857	Penn State 79 - Iowa 75	-18
Saint Johns 73 - DePaul 74	0.515	Saint Johns 80 - DePaul 65	-16
Saint Josephs 74 - Dayton 71	0.582	Saint Josephs 79 - Dayton 70	-6
Saint Peters 68 - Manhattan 64	0.607	Saint Peters 70 - Manhattan 69	3
San Jose State 69 - Nevada 75	0.691	San Jose State 55 - Nevada 61	0
South Dakota 89 - Unranked 59		South Dakota 82 - Unranked 55
Southern California 80 - Colorado 74	0.694	Southern California 79 - Colorado 72	-1
Southern Illinois 81 - Bradley 59	0.957	Southern Illinois 71 - Bradley 59	10
Temple 68 - Villanova 77	0.738	Temple 67 - Villanova 83	7
Texas Tech 76 - Oklahoma 81	0.644	Texas Tech 65 - Oklahoma 63	-7
Tulane 70 - Houston 78	0.721	Tulane 69 - Houston 82	5
Utah State 78 - Colorado State 75	0.595	Utah State 72 - Colorado State 59	-10
Vermont 72 - Binghamton 56	0.894	Vermont 78 - Binghamton 64	2
Wyoming 71 - Fresno State 72	0.525	Wyoming 75 - Fresno State 79	3
Xavier 82 - Providence 71	0.797	Xavier 85 - Providence 74	0

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 74 - South Alabama 71	0.583	Appalachian State 71 - South Alabama 75	7
Bryant 69 - Sacred Heart 71	0.573	Bryant 57 - Sacred Heart 74	15
Cal Poly 74 - UC Davis 66	0.786	Cal Poly 58 - UC Davis 53	3
Cal State Northridge 66 - Hawaii 81	0.935	Cal State Northridge 63 - Hawaii 69	-9
Canisius 77 - Fairfield 76	0.512	Canisius 71 - Fairfield 74	4
Central Connecticut State 61 - Mt St Marys 73	0.812	Central Connecticut State 76 - Mt St Marys 72	-16
Chattanooga 82 - Virginia Military Institute 53	0.978	Chattanooga 85 - Virginia Military Institute 59	3
Connecticut 73 - Southern Methodist 72	0.538	Connecticut 68 - Southern Methodist 62	-5
Coppin State 70 - North Carolina Central 69	0.528	Coppin State 71 - North Carolina Central 60	-10
Delaware 63 - College of Charleston 73	0.81	Delaware 62 - College of Charleston 59	-13
Drexel 68 - Elon 74	0.715	Drexel 76 - Elon 81	-1
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Belmont 78	0.598	Eastern Kentucky 78 - Belmont 86	5
Fairleigh Dickinson 69 - Wagner 70	0.512	Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Wagner 94	19
Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Lipscomb 68	0.741	Florida Gulf Coast 82 - Lipscomb 67	-7
Gardner Webb 74 - Charleston Southern 66	0.772	Gardner Webb 84 - Charleston Southern 76	0
Georgia Southern 76 - Arkansas State 72	0.624	Georgia Southern 90 - Arkansas State 59	-27
Georgia State 60 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.761	Georgia State 49 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	-1
Gonzaga 83 - Pacific 59	0.972	Gonzaga 90 - Pacific 68	2
Grand Canyon 79 - UMKC 62	0.907	Grand Canyon 78 - UMKC 66	5
Hofstra 78 - Towson 69	0.73	Hofstra 84 - Towson 82	7
Houston Baptist 74 - Abilene Christian 63	0.82	Houston Baptist 73 - Abilene Christian 71	9
IPFW 73 - South Dakota State 74	0.537	IPFW 91 - South Dakota State 79	-13
Jacksonville 75 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.82	Jacksonville 81 - South Carolina Upstate 76	6
James Madison 77 - Northeastern 65	0.834	James Madison 94 - Northeastern 95	13
Kentucky 86 - Tennessee 68	0.859	Kentucky 80 - Tennessee 70	8
Liberty 66 - Radford 67	0.5	Liberty 67 - Radford 69	1
Longwood 66 - High Point 75	0.758	Longwood 80 - High Point 88	-1
Loyola Marymount 74 - Santa Clara 70	0.633	Loyola Marymount 72 - Santa Clara 76	8
Marshall 83 - Charlotte 76	0.691	Marshall 87 - Charlotte 72	-8
Mercer 74 - Western Carolina 63	0.785	Mercer 65 - Western Carolina 72	18
Michigan State 78 - Wisconsin 68	0.795	Michigan State 69 - Wisconsin 57	-2
Minnesota 66 - Maryland 83	0.905	Minnesota 68 - Maryland 63	-22
Morehead State 69 - Tennessee State 66	0.622	Morehead State 66 - Tennessee State 61	-2
New Mexico State 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.698	New Mexico State 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	-2
Niagara 71 - Marist 66	0.654	Niagara 76 - Marist 72	1
North Florida 75 - NJ Tech 71	0.643	North Florida 107 - NJ Tech 71	-32
North Texas 69 - Florida International 70	0.555	North Texas 77 - Florida International 75	-3
Northern Arizona 67 - Idaho State 75	0.696	Northern Arizona 81 - Idaho State 68	-21
Pepperdine 80 - San Francisco 68	0.797	Pepperdine 72 - San Francisco 82	22
Portland 66 - Saint Marys 79	0.82	Portland 72 - Saint Marys 74	-11
Portland State 66 - Idaho 67	0.522	Portland State 74 - Idaho 80	5
Presbyterian 62 - UNC Asheville 75	0.863	Presbyterian 61 - UNC Asheville 70	-4
Quinnipiac 64 - Saint Peters 65	0.524	Quinnipiac 56 - Saint Peters 55	-2
Rice 75 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.674	Rice 90 - Florida Atlantic 85	1
Robert Morris 69 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.529	Robert Morris 74 - LIU Brooklyn 67	-6
Sacramento State 71 - Eastern Washington 73	0.57	Sacramento State 88 - Eastern Washington 93	3
Saint Francis Penn 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.666	Saint Francis Penn 58 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	18
Samford 74 - UNC Greensboro 68	0.672	Samford 77 - UNC Greensboro 82	11
San Diego 64 - Brigham Young 80	0.862	San Diego 67 - Brigham Young 69	-14
SE Missouri State 67 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.511	SE Missouri State 69 - SIU Edwardsville 72	2
Southern Utah 59 - Weber State 78	0.932	Southern Utah 83 - Weber State 87	-15
Stetson 71 - Kennesaw St 72	0.525	Stetson 82 - Kennesaw St 92	9
Tennessee Martin 73 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.718	Tennessee Martin 87 - Eastern Illinois 84	5
Texas Arlington 78 - UL Lafayette 73	0.628	Texas Arlington 84 - UL Lafayette 83	4
Texas El Paso 73 - Southern Miss 62	0.788	Texas El Paso 78 - Southern Miss 73	6
Texas Pan American 63 - Seattle 71	0.711	Texas Pan American 67 - Seattle 57	-18
Texas San Antonio 66 - Louisiana Tech 82	0.892	Texas San Antonio 74 - Louisiana Tech 87	-3
Texas State 65 - UL Monroe 70	0.615	Texas State 57 - UL Monroe 76	14
The Citadel 75 - East Tennessee State 84	0.752	The Citadel 51 - East Tennessee State 67	7
Tulsa 73 - Cincinnati 72	0.536	Tulsa 70 - Cincinnati 68	-1
UC Riverside 66 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.701	UC Riverside 55 - UC Santa Barbara 65	4
UCLA 77 - Utah 78	0.523	UCLA 73 - Utah 75	1
Utah Valley 80 - Chicago State 66	0.832	Utah Valley 74 - Chicago State 72	12
Washington 78 - California 79	0.524	Washington 75 - California 78	2
Washington State 73 - Stanford 76	0.608	Washington State 56 - Stanford 72	13
Western Kentucky 66 - Old Dominion 69	0.573	Western Kentucky 56 - Old Dominion 59	0
Wichita State 84 - Missouri State 61	0.969	Wichita State 99 - Missouri State 68	-8
William and Mary 77 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.536	William and Mary 87 - UNC Wilmington 69	-17
Winthrop 75 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.611	Winthrop 79 - Coastal Carolina 67	-8

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 71 - Northern Illinois 67	0.615	Ball State 63 - Northern Illinois 59	0
Columbia 73 - Harvard 62	0.806	Columbia 90 - Harvard 76	-3
Cornell 73 - Dartmouth 69	0.603	Cornell 66 - Dartmouth 78	16
Illinois Chicago 70 - Detroit 80	0.77	Illinois Chicago 72 - Detroit 83	1
Kent State 70 - Akron 74	0.644	Kent State 85 - Akron 76	-13
Monmouth 81 - Iona 70	0.828	Monmouth 67 - Iona 83	27
Oral Roberts 71 - Denver 65	0.695	Oral Roberts 62 - Denver 58	2
Pennsylvania 78 - Brown 69	0.75	Pennsylvania 79 - Brown 74	4
Princeton 72 - Yale 69	0.594	Princeton 75 - Yale 63	-9
Rider 67 - Siena 71	0.615	Rider 64 - Siena 84	16
Valparaiso 78 - Oakland 69	0.758	Valparaiso 86 - Oakland 84	7
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Richmond 71	0.826	Virginia Commonwealth 87 - Richmond 74	-2

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - New Mexico 77	0.727	Air Force 76 - New Mexico 72	-14
Alabama 77 - Mississippi State 69	0.718	Alabama 61 - Mississippi State 67	14
Alabama AM 70 - Alcorn State 67	0.607	Alabama AM 58 - Alcorn State 62	7
Alabama State 66 - Southern 72	0.683	Alabama State 77 - Southern 68	-15
Appalachian State 75 - Troy 70	0.671	Appalachian State 78 - Troy 74	1
Arkansas 82 - Missouri 70	0.764	Arkansas 84 - Missouri 72	0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Prairie View 62	0.632	Arkansas Pine Bluff 55 - Prairie View 57	6
Auburn 74 - Mississippi 80	0.666	Auburn 59 - Mississippi 69	4
Austin Peay 68 - Murray State 69	0.541	Austin Peay 60 - Murray State 76	15
Belmont 78 - Tennessee Tech 72	0.687	Belmont 95 - Tennessee Tech 86	-3
Binghamton 68 - UMass Lowell 67	0.521	Binghamton 81 - UMass Lowell 77	-3
Bradley 69 - Drake 70	0.517	Bradley 73 - Drake 70	-4
Brigham Young 84 - San Diego 60	0.949	Brigham Young 91 - San Diego 33	-34
Bryant 63 - Mt St Marys 70	0.694	Bryant 53 - Mt St Marys 71	11
Buffalo 78 - Bowling Green 66	0.806	Buffalo 88 - Bowling Green 74	-2
Cal Poly 79 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.801	Cal Poly 71 - Cal State Northridge 75	12
Canisius 80 - Marist 68	0.804	Canisius 81 - Marist 66	-3
Central Connecticut State 58 - Wagner 73	0.883	Central Connecticut State 57 - Wagner 83	11
Charleston Southern 73 - Campbell 69	0.632	Charleston Southern 72 - Campbell 74	6
Chattanooga 80 - UNC Greensboro 59	0.958	Chattanooga 64 - UNC Greensboro 79	36
Cincinnati 72 - Connecticut 69	0.598	Cincinnati 65 - Connecticut 60	-2
College of Charleston 68 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.505	College of Charleston 55 - UNC Wilmington 59	3
Colorado State 78 - Wyoming 72	0.705	Colorado State 66 - Wyoming 84	24
Columbia 76 - Dartmouth 62	0.89	Columbia 73 - Dartmouth 54	-5
Cornell 69 - Harvard 70	0.507	Cornell 74 - Harvard 76	1
Davidson 75 - Saint Josephs 80	0.662	Davidson 99 - Saint Josephs 93	-11
Dayton 77 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.75	Dayton 72 - Saint Bonaventure 79	16
Delaware State 63 - Norfolk State 75	0.829	Delaware State 67 - Norfolk State 64	-15
DePaul 74 - Marquette 77	0.588	DePaul 60 - Marquette 73	10
Eastern Michigan 74 - Toledo 75	0.532	Eastern Michigan 91 - Toledo 85	-7
Evansville 78 - Southern Illinois 70	0.748	Evansville 83 - Southern Illinois 71	-4
Fairleigh Dickinson 78 - Sacred Heart 70	0.723	Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Sacred Heart 91	13
Florida AM 64 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.62	Florida AM 54 - Bethune Cookman 55	-3
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Kennesaw St 65	0.751	Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Kennesaw St 63	4
Fresno State 77 - Utah State 69	0.725	Fresno State 75 - Utah State 68	1
Gardner Webb 75 - Longwood 65	0.784	Gardner Webb 81 - Longwood 71	0
Georgetown 74 - Xavier 79	0.65	Georgetown 70 - Xavier 88	13
Georgia Southern 63 - Arkansas Little Rock 75	0.819	Georgia Southern 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 75	2
Georgia State 73 - Arkansas State 66	0.708	Georgia State 69 - Arkansas State 61	-1
Georgia Tech 76 - Notre Dame 79	0.617	Georgia Tech 63 - Notre Dame 62	-4
Gonzaga 73 - Saint Marys 67	0.661	Gonzaga 58 - Saint Marys 63	11
Grambling State 60 - Jackson State 70	0.835	Grambling State 58 - Jackson State 61	-7
Grand Canyon 84 - Chicago State 56	0.986	Grand Canyon 67 - Chicago State 52	13
Green Bay 87 - Youngstown State 73	0.824	Green Bay 107 - Youngstown State 90	-3
Hartford 68 - New Hampshire 75	0.712	Hartford 63 - New Hampshire 74	4
Howard 68 - Savannah State 65	0.578	Howard 56 - Savannah State 66	13
Indiana 79 - Purdue 75	0.607	Indiana 77 - Purdue 73	0
Iowa State 87 - Texas Christian 68	0.923	Iowa State 92 - Texas Christian 83	10
IPFW 80 - Omaha 76	0.644	IPFW 94 - Omaha 90	0
Jacksonville 69 - NJ Tech 71	0.58	Jacksonville 58 - NJ Tech 73	13
James Madison 83 - Delaware 61	0.966	James Madison 75 - Delaware 50	-3
Kansas State 73 - Kansas 80	0.713	Kansas State 63 - Kansas 72	2
Liberty 71 - Presbyterian 59	0.821	Liberty 73 - Presbyterian 79	18
Long Beach State 84 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.97	Long Beach State 70 - Cal State Fullerton 57	6
Louisville 78 - Duke 75	0.602	Louisville 71 - Duke 64	-4
Loyola Marymount 76 - San Francisco 75	0.53	Loyola Marymount 100 - San Francisco 87	-12
Marshall 74 - Old Dominion 71	0.608	Marshall 82 - Old Dominion 65	-14
Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - South Carolina State 70	0.532	Maryland Eastern Shore 58 - South Carolina State 62	3
Mcneese State 73 - Lamar 67	0.65	Mcneese State 76 - Lamar 87	17
Mercer 73 - East Tennessee State 68	0.681	Mercer 74 - East Tennessee State 77	8
Milwaukee 75 - Cleveland State 60	0.933	Milwaukee 88 - Cleveland State 54	-19
Mississippi Valley State 63 - Texas Southern 74	0.83	Mississippi Valley State 67 - Texas Southern 98	20
Montana 76 - Montana State 65	0.771	Montana 87 - Montana State 78	2
Morgan State 67 - North Carolina Central 65	0.537	Morgan State 59 - North Carolina Central 73	16
Navy 73 - Army 65	0.712	Navy 78 - Army 80	10
NC State 75 - Clemson 74	0.53	NC State 77 - Clemson 74	-2
Nebraska 75 - Ohio State 73	0.568	Nebraska 62 - Ohio State 65	5
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Nevada 70	0.703	Nevada Las Vegas 102 - Nevada 91	-4
New Mexico State 74 - Seattle 58	0.893	New Mexico State 70 - Seattle 57	3
Niagara 67 - Fairfield 74	0.739	Niagara 59 - Fairfield 71	5
Nicholls State 58 - Stephen F Austin 77	0.938	Nicholls State 53 - Stephen F Austin 88	16
North Carolina 81 - Miami 77	0.618	North Carolina 96 - Miami 71	-21
North Dakota 77 - Northern Colorado 63	0.83	North Dakota 74 - Northern Colorado 73	13
North Dakota State 72 - IUPUI 62	0.761	North Dakota State 63 - IUPUI 59	6
North Florida 82 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.913	North Florida 81 - South Carolina Upstate 78	15
North Texas 72 - Florida Atlantic 68	0.635	North Texas 70 - Florida Atlantic 62	-4
Northern Arizona 61 - Weber State 78	0.903	Northern Arizona 74 - Weber State 77	-14
Northern Iowa 73 - Illinois State 67	0.669	Northern Iowa 75 - Illinois State 66	-3
Northwestern State 76 - New Orleans 72	0.595	Northwestern State 99 - New Orleans 102	7
Ohio 77 - Miami OH 61	0.837	Ohio 76 - Miami OH 64	4
Oklahoma State 73 - Texas Tech 74	0.532	Oklahoma State 61 - Texas Tech 71	9
Oregon 80 - Oregon State 69	0.789	Oregon 91 - Oregon State 81	1
Pennsylvania 63 - Yale 75	0.797	Pennsylvania 58 - Yale 79	9
Pepperdine 79 - Santa Clara 63	0.859	Pepperdine 88 - Santa Clara 76	4
Portland 77 - Pacific 71	0.658	Portland 80 - Pacific 67	-7
Portland State 72 - Eastern Washington 75	0.586	Portland State 107 - Eastern Washington 91	-19
Princeton 87 - Brown 63	0.975	Princeton 77 - Brown 66	13
Radford 71 - High Point 70	0.533	Radford 72 - High Point 75	4
Rhode Island 78 - Duquesne 70	0.747	Rhode Island 77 - Duquesne 74	5
Rice 70 - Florida International 71	0.503	Rice 86 - Florida International 70	-17
Robert Morris 64 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.518	Robert Morris 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 82	11
Rutgers 71 - Penn State 77	0.669	Rutgers 58 - Penn State 70	6
Sacramento State 66 - Idaho 65	0.5	Sacramento State 68 - Idaho 65	-2
Saint Francis Penn 73 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.681	Saint Francis Penn 89 - LIU Brooklyn 94	11
Saint Louis 69 - Fordham 71	0.55	Saint Louis 76 - Fordham 68	-10
Sam Houston State 76 - Central Arkansas 64	0.79	Sam Houston State 105 - Central Arkansas 75	-18
Samford 75 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.813	Samford 73 - Virginia Military Institute 67	6
SE Missouri State 67 - Eastern Illinois 72	0.647	SE Missouri State 68 - Eastern Illinois 71	-2
South Carolina 77 - Florida 74	0.587	South Carolina 73 - Florida 69	-1
South Florida 70 - Memphis 78	0.74	South Florida 80 - Memphis 71	-17
Southern Utah 65 - Idaho State 75	0.732	Southern Utah 71 - Idaho State 89	8
Stetson 74 - Lipscomb 75	0.562	Stetson 74 - Lipscomb 77	2
Syracuse 76 - Pittsburgh 71	0.626	Syracuse 52 - Pittsburgh 66	19
Tennessee 79 - Louisiana State 80	0.551	Tennessee 81 - Louisiana State 65	-17
Tennessee Martin 74 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.831	Tennessee Martin 68 - SIU Edwardsville 51	-5
Tennessee State 76 - Jacksonville State 60	0.885	Tennessee State 61 - Jacksonville State 46	1
Texas 78 - Baylor 73	0.657	Texas 64 - Baylor 78	19
Texas AM 76 - Kentucky 75	0.502	Texas AM 79 - Kentucky 77	-1
Texas AM CC 71 - Incarnate Word 61	0.833	Texas AM CC 90 - Incarnate Word 69	-11
Texas Arlington 79 - UL Monroe 69	0.737	Texas Arlington 61 - UL Monroe 64	13
Texas El Paso 71 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.564	Texas El Paso 91 - Louisiana Tech 80	-14
Texas Pan American 60 - Cal State Bakersfield 77	0.925	Texas Pan American 57 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	-4
Texas San Antonio 67 - Southern Miss 71	0.59	Texas San Antonio 74 - Southern Miss 53	-25
Texas State 64 - UL Lafayette 74	0.757	Texas State 61 - UL Lafayette 57	-14
The Citadel 76 - Western Carolina 80	0.598	The Citadel 97 - Western Carolina 102	1
Towson 76 - Elon 71	0.662	Towson 67 - Elon 56	-6
UC Irvine 69 - Hawaii 71	0.545	UC Irvine 71 - Hawaii 75	2
UC Santa Barbara 74 - UC Davis 60	0.898	UC Santa Barbara 62 - UC Davis 55	7
UCLA 77 - Colorado 76	0.538	UCLA 77 - Colorado 53	-23
UMBC 67 - Vermont 75	0.747	UMBC 54 - Vermont 99	37
Utah Valley 75 - UMKC 72	0.568	Utah Valley 79 - UMKC 70	-6
Vanderbilt 78 - Georgia 69	0.724	Vanderbilt 80 - Georgia 67	-4
Villanova 82 - Butler 68	0.825	Villanova 77 - Butler 67	4
Virginia Tech 77 - Florida State 79	0.57	Virginia Tech 83 - Florida State 73	-12
Washington 82 - Stanford 75	0.702	Washington 64 - Stanford 53	-4
West Virginia 81 - Oklahoma 76	0.639	West Virginia 62 - Oklahoma 76	19
Western Illinois 65 - South Dakota State 76	0.815	Western Illinois 67 - South Dakota State 87	9
Western Kentucky 76 - Charlotte 74	0.544	Western Kentucky 59 - Charlotte 54	-3
Western Michigan 73 - Central Michigan 72	0.53	Western Michigan 92 - Central Michigan 85	-6
William and Mary 82 - Drexel 61	0.934	William and Mary 69 - Drexel 74	26
Winthrop 75 - UNC Asheville 72	0.603	Winthrop 81 - UNC Asheville 80	2
Wofford 69 - Furman 66	0.576	Wofford 77 - Furman 73	-1
Wright State 73 - Northern Kentucky 61	0.754	Wright State 67 - Northern Kentucky 64	9

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.618	Abilene Christian 91 - Southeast Louisiana 80	-7
Bucknell 76 - Boston 71	0.621	Bucknell 80 - Boston 59	-16
Central Florida 70 - Tulsa 78	0.766	Central Florida 67 - Tulsa 75	0
Colgate 73 - Loyola MD 65	0.743	Colgate 93 - Loyola MD 90	5
George Washington 84 - La Salle 61	0.951	George Washington 90 - La Salle 50	-17
Hofstra 79 - Northeastern 69	0.786	Hofstra 65 - Northeastern 60	5
Holy Cross 64 - American 59	0.633	Holy Cross 70 - American 71	6
Houston 76 - Temple 73	0.6	Houston 66 - Temple 69	6
Illinois Chicago 67 - Oakland 84	0.887	Illinois Chicago 63 - Oakland 74	-6
Indiana State 67 - Wichita State 78	0.787	Indiana State 51 - Wichita State 84	22
Lehigh 81 - Lafayette 63	0.924	Lehigh 73 - Lafayette 61	6
Maine 62 - Stony Brook 83	0.961	Maine 56 - Stony Brook 75	-2
Maryland 79 - Michigan 70	0.729	Maryland 86 - Michigan 82	5
Massachusetts 76 - George Mason 71	0.632	Massachusetts 70 - George Mason 64	-1
Middle Tennessee 70 - Alabama Birmingham 68	0.554	Middle Tennessee 67 - Alabama Birmingham 77	12
Missouri State 73 - Loyola Ill 70	0.575	Missouri State 62 - Loyola Ill 75	16
Quinnipiac 67 - Manhattan 68	0.531	Quinnipiac 59 - Manhattan 63	3
Saint Johns 67 - Seton Hall 81	0.859	Saint Johns 61 - Seton Hall 62	-13
Saint Peters 63 - Monmouth 74	0.786	Saint Peters 75 - Monmouth 82	-4
San Jose State 60 - San Diego State 74	0.873	San Jose State 56 - San Diego State 78	8
South Dakota 71 - Denver 67	0.637	South Dakota 71 - Denver 76	9
Southern California 80 - Utah 76	0.624	Southern California 69 - Utah 80	15
Southern Methodist 87 - East Carolina 63	0.966	Southern Methodist 74 - East Carolina 63	13
Valparaiso 81 - Detroit 64	0.921	Valparaiso 90 - Detroit 74	1
Wake Forest 79 - Boston College 69	0.795	Wake Forest 74 - Boston College 48	-16
Washington State 69 - California 80	0.796	Washington State 62 - California 80	7
Wisconsin 81 - Illinois 66	0.885	Wisconsin 69 - Illinois 60	6

Number of DI Games: 356
Number Correct: 261 = 73.3%
Expected Number Correct: 255.42 = 71.7%
Average Error: 8.71
Average Signed Error: 0.77

WEEK 16 -- 2-22 to 2-28

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Southern 70	0.665	Alabama AM 78 - Southern 66	-17
Alabama State 70 - Alcorn State 67	0.589	Alabama State 73 - Alcorn State 59	-11
Arkansas Pine Bluff 59 - Texas Southern 73	0.841	Arkansas Pine Bluff 52 - Texas Southern 54	-12
Delaware State 64 - Hampton 73	0.739	Delaware State 72 - Hampton 82	1
Green Bay 80 - Cleveland State 64	0.889	Green Bay 78 - Cleveland State 61	-1
Houston Baptist 70 - Incarnate Word 64	0.668	Houston Baptist 91 - Incarnate Word 97	12
Howard 68 - South Carolina State 72	0.627	Howard 63 - South Carolina State 71	4
Kansas State 72 - Texas 73	0.506	Kansas State 70 - Texas 71	0
Lamar 59 - Stephen F Austin 78	0.909	Lamar 58 - Stephen F Austin 79	2
Maryland Eastern Shore 72 - Florida AM 60	0.843	Maryland Eastern Shore 80 - Florida AM 81	13
Mcneese State 73 - Central Arkansas 72	0.506	Mcneese State 82 - Central Arkansas 88	7
Miami 73 - Virginia 72	0.542	Miami 64 - Virginia 61	-2
Milwaukee 84 - Youngstown State 67	0.885	Milwaukee 87 - Youngstown State 51	-19
Mississippi Valley State 69 - Prairie View 65	0.611	Mississippi Valley State 61 - Prairie View 63	6
Morgan State 69 - North Carolina AT 65	0.614	Morgan State 72 - North Carolina AT 51	-17
Norfolk State 79 - Coppin State 66	0.798	Norfolk State 85 - Coppin State 77	5
Northwestern State 75 - Nicholls State 69	0.678	Northwestern State 81 - Nicholls State 67	-8
Siena 77 - Iona 72	0.643	Siena 81 - Iona 87	11
Stetson 72 - Bethune Cookman 69	0.591	Stetson 94 - Bethune Cookman 96	5
West Virginia 84 - Iowa State 77	0.718	West Virginia 97 - Iowa State 87	-3

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 81 - Louisiana State 79	0.551	Arkansas 85 - Louisiana State 65	-18
Baylor 78 - Kansas 81	0.579	Baylor 60 - Kansas 66	3
Boise State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	0.644	Boise State 81 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	-7
Boston 76 - Army 70	0.67	Boston 71 - Army 80	15
Boston College 69 - Virginia Tech 77	0.722	Boston College 56 - Virginia Tech 71	7
Bowling Green 68 - Ohio 76	0.694	Bowling Green 87 - Ohio 82	-13
Bradley 62 - Evansville 79	0.919	Bradley 55 - Evansville 67	-5
Buffalo 76 - Kent State 71	0.642	Buffalo 87 - Kent State 70	-12
Central Michigan 72 - Northern Illinois 69	0.579	Central Michigan 76 - Northern Illinois 64	-9
Colorado State 76 - New Mexico 79	0.579	Colorado State 86 - New Mexico 69	-20
Davidson 77 - Rhode Island 74	0.623	Davidson 65 - Rhode Island 54	-8
Eastern Michigan 78 - Western Michigan 71	0.688	Eastern Michigan 73 - Western Michigan 62	-4
Florida 76 - Vanderbilt 73	0.599	Florida 74 - Vanderbilt 87	16
Georgia Southern 70 - Georgia State 68	0.56	Georgia Southern 54 - Georgia State 52	0
Georgia Tech 75 - Clemson 72	0.596	Georgia Tech 75 - Clemson 73	1
Kentucky 80 - Alabama 67	0.815	Kentucky 78 - Alabama 53	-12
Manhattan 68 - Saint Peters 64	0.625	Manhattan 40 - Saint Peters 61	25
Marist 67 - Rider 73	0.667	Marist 71 - Rider 58	-19
Miami OH 61 - Akron 74	0.82	Miami OH 77 - Akron 64	-26
Minnesota 83 - Rutgers 70	0.812	Minnesota 83 - Rutgers 61	-9
Mississippi 80 - Missouri 69	0.802	Mississippi 85 - Missouri 76	2
Ohio State 71 - Michigan State 78	0.706	Ohio State 62 - Michigan State 81	12
Saint Louis 63 - Dayton 77	0.818	Saint Louis 49 - Dayton 52	-11
Savannah State 77 - Unranked 56		Savannah State 83 - Unranked 72
Texas AM CC 76 - Abilene Christian 58	0.954	Texas AM CC 65 - Abilene Christian 59	12
Texas Tech 81 - Texas Christian 66	0.898	Texas Tech 83 - Texas Christian 79	11
Toledo 73 - Ball State 67	0.656	Toledo 77 - Ball State 67	-4
Tulsa 77 - Temple 71	0.687	Tulsa 74 - Temple 55	-13

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 58 - Navy 64	0.647	American 72 - Navy 65	-13
Auburn 71 - Georgia 76	0.648	Auburn 84 - Georgia 81	-8
Central Florida 72 - Houston 78	0.7	Central Florida 61 - Houston 88	21
Colgate 70 - Lehigh 69	0.532	Colgate 54 - Lehigh 71	18
Colorado 74 - Arizona 79	0.638	Colorado 75 - Arizona 72	-8
Creighton 81 - Marquette 73	0.77	Creighton 61 - Marquette 66	13
Fairfield 73 - Siena 76	0.579	Fairfield 76 - Siena 69	-10
Fresno State 78 - Air Force 64	0.819	Fresno State 64 - Air Force 63	13
George Mason 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 80	0.861	George Mason 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	-21
Howard 73 - Florida AM 62	0.787	Howard 63 - Florida AM 53	1
Illinois State 75 - Southern Illinois 71	0.646	Illinois State 73 - Southern Illinois 50	-19
Iowa 78 - Wisconsin 70	0.735	Iowa 59 - Wisconsin 67	16
La Salle 69 - Fordham 72	0.607	La Salle 53 - Fordham 56	0
Lafayette 67 - Bucknell 80	0.792	Lafayette 83 - Bucknell 86	-10
Loyola Ill 63 - Wichita State 76	0.853	Loyola Ill 54 - Wichita State 76	9
Loyola MD 71 - Holy Cross 65	0.672	Loyola MD 78 - Holy Cross 63	-9
Maine 78 - Hartford 73	0.629	Maine 74 - Hartford 82	13
Massachusetts 70 - Saint Josephs 81	0.79	Massachusetts 57 - Saint Josephs 74	6
Michigan 79 - Northwestern 69	0.741	Michigan 72 - Northwestern 63	1
Missouri State 79 - Drake 70	0.79	Missouri State 61 - Drake 52	0
Morgan State 67 - Norfolk State 72	0.656	Morgan State 89 - Norfolk State 72	-22
NC State 76 - North Carolina 84	0.737	NC State 68 - North Carolina 80	4
Nevada 76 - Utah State 70	0.703	Nevada 73 - Utah State 68	1
Northern Iowa 77 - Indiana State 66	0.751	Northern Iowa 66 - Indiana State 44	-11
Oklahoma 86 - Oklahoma State 68	0.913	Oklahoma 71 - Oklahoma State 49	-4
Oregon 88 - Washington State 64	0.95	Oregon 76 - Washington State 62	10
Oregon State 80 - Washington 77	0.613	Oregon State 82 - Washington 81	2
Pittsburgh 73 - Louisville 75	0.556	Pittsburgh 60 - Louisville 67	5
Richmond 75 - George Washington 76	0.518	Richmond 61 - George Washington 73	11
Saint Bonaventure 83 - Duquesne 71	0.831	Saint Bonaventure 80 - Duquesne 76	8
South Carolina 82 - Tennessee 73	0.752	South Carolina 84 - Tennessee 58	-17
Southeast Louisiana 71 - New Orleans 69	0.556	Southeast Louisiana 93 - New Orleans 81	-10
Texas AM 82 - Mississippi State 68	0.827	Texas AM 68 - Mississippi State 66	12
Tulane 76 - East Carolina 72	0.627	Tulane 73 - East Carolina 79	10
UC Irvine 75 - Long Beach State 70	0.67	UC Irvine 90 - Long Beach State 67	-18
UMass Lowell 66 - Albany 78	0.798	UMass Lowell 61 - Albany 86	13
UMBC 66 - Binghamton 65	0.526	UMBC 80 - Binghamton 79	0
Vermont 73 - New Hampshire 65	0.708	Vermont 73 - New Hampshire 67	2
Wake Forest 76 - Notre Dame 84	0.737	Wake Forest 58 - Notre Dame 69	3
Wyoming 64 - San Diego State 71	0.725	Wyoming 61 - San Diego State 73	5
Xavier 76 - Villanova 75	0.519	Xavier 90 - Villanova 83	-6

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Marshall 74	0.697	Alabama Birmingham 95 - Marshall 91	2
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Texas Arlington 65	0.745	Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Texas Arlington 60	-3
Arkansas State 71 - Texas State 66	0.629	Arkansas State 60 - Texas State 71	16
Brigham Young 87 - Portland 68	0.859	Brigham Young 99 - Portland 81	1
Cal Poly 79 - Cal State Fullerton 69	0.867	Cal Poly 77 - Cal State Fullerton 78	11
Cal State Northridge 69 - UC Santa Barbara 75	0.713	Cal State Northridge 63 - UC Santa Barbara 78	9
California 80 - UCLA 72	0.72	California 75 - UCLA 63	-4
Campbell 69 - Radford 73	0.614	Campbell 56 - Radford 60	0
Canisius 75 - Niagara 64	0.854	Canisius 65 - Niagara 60	6
Charlotte 84 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.879	Charlotte 114 - Texas San Antonio 108	12
Cleveland State 64 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.503	Cleveland State 63 - Northern Kentucky 58	-6
Coastal Carolina 77 - Charleston Southern 61	0.902	Coastal Carolina 68 - Charleston Southern 60	8
DePaul 77 - Saint Johns 71	0.639	DePaul 83 - Saint Johns 75	-2
Drexel 72 - Delaware 68	0.639	Drexel 74 - Delaware 64	-6
Duke 87 - Florida State 74	0.867	Duke 80 - Florida State 65	-2
East Tennessee State 71 - Furman 66	0.671	East Tennessee State 80 - Furman 75	0
Eastern Illinois 66 - Murray State 70	0.608	Eastern Illinois 85 - Murray State 74	-15
Elon 75 - William and Mary 77	0.562	Elon 65 - William and Mary 75	8
Georgia Southern 78 - Appalachian State 70	0.711	Georgia Southern 88 - Appalachian State 63	-17
Hawaii 81 - UC Riverside 59	0.987	Hawaii 71 - UC Riverside 77	28
High Point 75 - Winthrop 72	0.598	High Point 87 - Winthrop 85	1
Idaho State 67 - Montana 71	0.598	Idaho State 77 - Montana 90	9
Illinois 73 - Indiana 84	0.768	Illinois 47 - Indiana 74	16
IUPUI 74 - South Dakota 70	0.62	IUPUI 82 - South Dakota 85	7
Jacksonville 71 - North Florida 76	0.623	Jacksonville 80 - North Florida 81	-4
Jacksonville State 69 - Eastern Kentucky 72	0.605	Jacksonville State 54 - Eastern Kentucky 76	19
Lipscomb 75 - Kennesaw St 70	0.638	Lipscomb 57 - Kennesaw St 73	21
LIU Brooklyn 79 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.912	LIU Brooklyn 80 - Central Connecticut State 74	11
Longwood 72 - Presbyterian 67	0.658	Longwood 73 - Presbyterian 74	6
Louisiana Tech 80 - North Texas 65	0.856	Louisiana Tech 73 - North Texas 62	4
Memphis 73 - Southern Methodist 80	0.71	Memphis 62 - Southern Methodist 69	0
Middle Tennessee 74 - Western Kentucky 64	0.806	Middle Tennessee 72 - Western Kentucky 78	16
Mt St Marys 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.666	Mt St Marys 54 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	19
North Dakota 74 - Portland State 65	0.729	North Dakota 80 - Portland State 77	6
Northeastern 68 - College of Charleston 66	0.572	Northeastern 58 - College of Charleston 57	1
Northern Colorado 69 - Sacramento State 70	0.505	Northern Colorado 72 - Sacramento State 67	-6
Old Dominion 72 - Texas El Paso 64	0.745	Old Dominion 74 - Texas El Paso 53	-13
Omaha 81 - Oral Roberts 74	0.745	Omaha 102 - Oral Roberts 98	3
Pacific 73 - San Francisco 74	0.508	Pacific 79 - San Francisco 70	-10
Penn State 73 - Nebraska 72	0.541	Penn State 56 - Nebraska 55	0
Sacred Heart 72 - Robert Morris 65	0.7	Sacred Heart 63 - Robert Morris 73	17
Saint Francis Brooklyn 72 - Bryant 57	0.866	Saint Francis Brooklyn 79 - Bryant 72	8
Saint Marys 81 - Santa Clara 58	0.951	Saint Marys 75 - Santa Clara 50	-2
San Diego 59 - Gonzaga 78	0.897	San Diego 60 - Gonzaga 82	3
Seton Hall 78 - Providence 71	0.733	Seton Hall 70 - Providence 52	-11
SIU Edwardsville 68 - Austin Peay 69	0.547	SIU Edwardsville 75 - Austin Peay 80	4
South Alabama 69 - UL Monroe 74	0.63	South Alabama 59 - UL Monroe 66	2
South Carolina Upstate 64 - NJ Tech 73	0.738	South Carolina Upstate 72 - NJ Tech 71	-10
South Dakota State 73 - North Dakota State 63	0.781	South Dakota State 71 - North Dakota State 59	-2
South Florida 63 - Connecticut 78	0.869	South Florida 51 - Connecticut 81	15
Southern Miss 69 - Rice 70	0.536	Southern Miss 74 - Rice 76	1
Stanford 75 - Southern California 77	0.577	Stanford 84 - Southern California 64	-22
Stetson 67 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	0.734	Stetson 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	-14
Tennessee Martin 68 - Tennessee State 69	0.521	Tennessee Martin 72 - Tennessee State 56	-17
Tennessee Tech 71 - Morehead State 69	0.584	Tennessee Tech 59 - Morehead State 69	12
Towson 70 - James Madison 72	0.542	Towson 69 - James Madison 67	-4
Troy 69 - UL Lafayette 77	0.757	Troy 63 - UL Lafayette 73	2
UNC Asheville 74 - Liberty 60	0.891	UNC Asheville 73 - Liberty 56	-3
UNC Greensboro 85 - The Citadel 72	0.822	UNC Greensboro 92 - The Citadel 63	-16
UNC Wilmington 79 - Hofstra 74	0.666	UNC Wilmington 69 - Hofstra 70	6
Utah 83 - Arizona State 70	0.816	Utah 81 - Arizona State 46	-22
Virginia Military Institute 62 - Mercer 73	0.797	Virginia Military Institute 91 - Mercer 82	-20
Wagner 72 - Saint Francis Penn 60	0.825	Wagner 69 - Saint Francis Penn 54	-3
Weber State 77 - Montana State 64	0.835	Weber State 68 - Montana State 60	5
Western Carolina 71 - Wofford 70	0.528	Western Carolina 53 - Wofford 48	-4
Western Illinois 68 - IPFW 76	0.762	Western Illinois 75 - IPFW 87	4
Youngstown State 68 - Wright State 76	0.671	Youngstown State 81 - Wright State 87	-2

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 80 - Bowling Green 62	0.926	Akron 89 - Bowling Green 54	-17
Brown 73 - Dartmouth 72	0.543	Brown 84 - Dartmouth 83	0
Green Bay 86 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.944	Green Bay 85 - Illinois Chicago 69	4
Manhattan 70 - Iona 75	0.668	Manhattan 73 - Iona 86	8
Marist 70 - Quinnipiac 69	0.507	Marist 91 - Quinnipiac 77	-13
Milwaukee 66 - Valparaiso 72	0.687	Milwaukee 76 - Valparaiso 80	-2
Monmouth 79 - Rider 63	0.878	Monmouth 79 - Rider 58	-5
Oakland 86 - Detroit 74	0.82	Oakland 108 - Detroit 97	1
Pennsylvania 77 - Cornell 68	0.733	Pennsylvania 79 - Cornell 67	-3
Princeton 77 - Columbia 66	0.817	Princeton 88 - Columbia 83	6
Yale 77 - Harvard 58	0.905	Yale 59 - Harvard 50	10

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - New Orleans 67	0.597	Abilene Christian 87 - New Orleans 84	1
Alabama 80 - Auburn 66	0.84	Alabama 65 - Auburn 57	6
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Western Kentucky 65	0.862	Alabama Birmingham 71 - Western Kentucky 67	9
Albany 82 - Hartford 58	0.958	Albany 75 - Hartford 59	8
Alcorn State 66 - Southern 69	0.58	Alcorn State 70 - Southern 56	-17
American 65 - Loyola MD 63	0.557	American 67 - Loyola MD 66	1
Arkansas Little Rock 75 - Texas State 52	0.966	Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Texas State 68	18
Arkansas State 70 - Texas Arlington 79	0.729	Arkansas State 75 - Texas Arlington 79	-5
Army 73 - Lehigh 72	0.539	Army 72 - Lehigh 82	11
Austin Peay 78 - SE Missouri State 64	0.884	Austin Peay 83 - SE Missouri State 75	6
Ball State 74 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.665	Ball State 115 - Eastern Michigan 79	-31
Bethune Cookman 68 - North Carolina Central 65	0.582	Bethune Cookman 69 - North Carolina Central 61	-5
Binghamton 72 - Maine 66	0.663	Binghamton 78 - Maine 66	-6
Boston 75 - Holy Cross 62	0.822	Boston 83 - Holy Cross 68	-2
Boston College 67 - Georgia Tech 78	0.818	Boston College 71 - Georgia Tech 76	-6
Brigham Young 76 - Gonzaga 75	0.538	Brigham Young 68 - Gonzaga 71	4
Brown 71 - Harvard 73	0.555	Brown 52 - Harvard 61	7
Cal State Bakersfield 69 - Grand Canyon 68	0.546	Cal State Bakersfield 77 - Grand Canyon 62	-14
Cal State Fullerton 67 - UC Santa Barbara 76	0.82	Cal State Fullerton 62 - UC Santa Barbara 80	9
Campbell 70 - Winthrop 79	0.73	Campbell 71 - Winthrop 87	7
Central Connecticut State 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 76	0.757	Central Connecticut State 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 81	-2
Charlotte 76 - Texas El Paso 72	0.603	Charlotte 88 - Texas El Paso 78	-6
Chattanooga 79 - Samford 60	0.917	Chattanooga 77 - Samford 66	8
Cleveland State 59 - Wright State 67	0.688	Cleveland State 51 - Wright State 55	-4
Coppin State 71 - Morgan State 67	0.609	Coppin State 72 - Morgan State 74	6
Dayton 76 - Rhode Island 65	0.79	Dayton 66 - Rhode Island 75	20
Delaware 72 - Elon 77	0.649	Delaware 59 - Elon 77	13
Denver 62 - North Dakota State 63	0.533	Denver 70 - North Dakota State 59	-12
Drake 68 - Loyola Ill 74	0.681	Drake 69 - Loyola Ill 59	-16
Drexel 67 - Northeastern 73	0.7	Drexel 59 - Northeastern 61	-4
Duquesne 77 - Richmond 78	0.504	Duquesne 67 - Richmond 83	15
East Carolina 66 - Cincinnati 80	0.854	East Carolina 56 - Cincinnati 65	-5
East Tennessee State 74 - Wofford 68	0.716	East Tennessee State 71 - Wofford 66	1
Evansville 75 - Northern Iowa 69	0.669	Evansville 52 - Northern Iowa 54	8
Florida AM 65 - North Carolina AT 67	0.565	Florida AM 70 - North Carolina AT 77	5
Florida Atlantic 67 - Florida International 68	0.551	Florida Atlantic 63 - Florida International 71	7
Florida State 79 - Notre Dame 80	0.542	Florida State 77 - Notre Dame 56	-22
Fordham 74 - Davidson 77	0.587	Fordham 91 - Davidson 82	-12
George Washington 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.506	George Washington 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	3
Georgetown 76 - Butler 77	0.533	Georgetown 87 - Butler 90	2
Georgia 76 - Mississippi 72	0.636	Georgia 80 - Mississippi 66	-10
Georgia State 74 - Appalachian State 64	0.776	Georgia State 83 - Appalachian State 70	-3
Grambling State 64 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	0.589	Grambling State 51 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	4
Hampton 78 - Howard 64	0.83	Hampton 68 - Howard 67	13
Hawaii 84 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.986	Hawaii 89 - Cal State Northridge 78	11
Hofstra 73 - College of Charleston 65	0.739	Hofstra 72 - College of Charleston 63	-1
Idaho 71 - Eastern Washington 69	0.57	Idaho 66 - Eastern Washington 62	-2
Idaho State 74 - Montana State 70	0.603	Idaho State 76 - Montana State 69	-3
Incarnate Word 73 - Lamar 62	0.763	Incarnate Word 89 - Lamar 70	-8
Indiana State 78 - Bradley 62	0.863	Indiana State 77 - Bradley 58	-3
Iowa State 83 - Kansas State 74	0.784	Iowa State 80 - Kansas State 61	-10
IUPUI 70 - IPFW 75	0.634	IUPUI 80 - IPFW 77	-8
Jackson State 77 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.914	Jackson State 60 - Mississippi Valley State 49	6
Jacksonville State 61 - Morehead State 70	0.775	Jacksonville State 71 - Morehead State 82	2
James Madison 77 - William and Mary 71	0.659	James Madison 71 - William and Mary 65	0
Kansas 84 - Texas Tech 71	0.84	Kansas 67 - Texas Tech 58	4
La Salle 70 - George Mason 71	0.522	La Salle 76 - George Mason 68	-9
Lafayette 68 - Colgate 75	0.706	Lafayette 79 - Colgate 77	-9
Liberty 68 - Gardner Webb 66	0.543	Liberty 86 - Gardner Webb 81	-3
LIU Brooklyn 77 - Bryant 62	0.868	LIU Brooklyn 83 - Bryant 88	20
Long Beach State 80 - UC Riverside 63	0.952	Long Beach State 66 - UC Riverside 55	6
Louisiana State 76 - Florida 77	0.506	Louisiana State 96 - Florida 91	-6
Louisiana Tech 81 - Rice 68	0.807	Louisiana Tech 88 - Rice 69	-6
Loyola Marymount 70 - Pepperdine 75	0.664	Loyola Marymount 90 - Pepperdine 83	-12
Marquette 68 - Villanova 80	0.842	Marquette 79 - Villanova 89	-2
Maryland Eastern Shore 72 - Delaware State 62	0.755	Maryland Eastern Shore 74 - Delaware State 65	1
Mcneese State 70 - Nicholls State 65	0.651	Mcneese State 71 - Nicholls State 69	3
Miami 75 - Louisville 72	0.579	Miami 73 - Louisville 65	-5
Miami OH 65 - Kent State 72	0.681	Miami OH 74 - Kent State 65	-16
Middle Tennessee 76 - Marshall 73	0.595	Middle Tennessee 83 - Marshall 74	-6
Mississippi State 76 - South Carolina 78	0.552	Mississippi State 68 - South Carolina 58	-12
Missouri 67 - Texas AM 79	0.787	Missouri 69 - Texas AM 84	3
Murray State 71 - Tennessee Martin 65	0.71	Murray State 79 - Tennessee Martin 55	-18
Navy 70 - Bucknell 69	0.518	Navy 73 - Bucknell 77	5
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Wyoming 68	0.76	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Wyoming 74	5
New Hampshire 78 - UMBC 62	0.866	New Hampshire 78 - UMBC 69	7
New Mexico 77 - Fresno State 72	0.643	New Mexico 82 - Fresno State 92	15
North Dakota 72 - Sacramento State 63	0.756	North Dakota 97 - Sacramento State 71	-17
Northern Arizona 74 - Southern Utah 67	0.666	Northern Arizona 59 - Southern Utah 69	17
Northern Colorado 71 - Portland State 72	0.502	Northern Colorado 86 - Portland State 89	2
Northern Illinois 75 - Western Michigan 68	0.73	Northern Illinois 76 - Western Michigan 67	-2
Northern Kentucky 77 - Youngstown State 69	0.701	Northern Kentucky 75 - Youngstown State 94	27
Northwestern 85 - Rutgers 65	0.93	Northwestern 98 - Rutgers 59	-19
Ohio 78 - Buffalo 71	0.677	Ohio 103 - Buffalo 96	0
Oklahoma State 70 - West Virginia 79	0.736	Oklahoma State 56 - West Virginia 70	5
Old Dominion 80 - Texas San Antonio 57	0.953	Old Dominion 78 - Texas San Antonio 56	1
Pennsylvania 68 - Columbia 73	0.667	Pennsylvania 65 - Columbia 93	23
Prairie View 66 - Alabama State 68	0.557	Prairie View 68 - Alabama State 73	3
Presbyterian 63 - High Point 74	0.808	Presbyterian 60 - High Point 80	9
Princeton 85 - Cornell 61	0.967	Princeton 74 - Cornell 60	10
Providence 83 - DePaul 66	0.917	Providence 87 - DePaul 66	-4
Purdue 76 - Maryland 73	0.604	Purdue 83 - Maryland 79	-1
Radford 78 - Longwood 64	0.879	Radford 81 - Longwood 92	25
Sacred Heart 72 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.63	Sacred Heart 88 - Saint Francis Penn 78	-6
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Massachusetts 68	0.852	Saint Bonaventure 85 - Massachusetts 83	12
Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - Mt St Marys 63	0.574	Saint Francis Brooklyn 55 - Mt St Marys 49	-4
Saint Peters 70 - Fairfield 69	0.519	Saint Peters 72 - Fairfield 68	-3
Sam Houston State 65 - Texas AM CC 66	0.508	Sam Houston State 70 - Texas AM CC 75	4
San Diego 70 - Portland 72	0.56	San Diego 85 - Portland 76	-11
San Diego State 75 - Boise State 66	0.78	San Diego State 63 - Boise State 66	12
San Francisco 67 - Saint Marys 78	0.782	San Francisco 72 - Saint Marys 84	1
Santa Clara 73 - Pacific 69	0.642	Santa Clara 69 - Pacific 65	0
Savannah State 65 - South Carolina State 66	0.542	Savannah State 76 - South Carolina State 64	-13
Seattle 73 - Utah Valley 69	0.607	Seattle 72 - Utah Valley 69	1
South Alabama 69 - UL Lafayette 76	0.69	South Alabama 83 - UL Lafayette 70	-20
South Dakota State 80 - Oral Roberts 67	0.85	South Dakota State 73 - Oral Roberts 65	5
Southeast Louisiana 74 - Central Arkansas 72	0.546	Southeast Louisiana 75 - Central Arkansas 56	-17
Southern Illinois 81 - Missouri State 69	0.856	Southern Illinois 78 - Missouri State 68	2
Southern Miss 68 - North Texas 67	0.512	Southern Miss 81 - North Texas 70	-10
Stanford 74 - UCLA 75	0.505	Stanford 79 - UCLA 70	-10
Stephen F Austin 77 - Houston Baptist 58	0.933	Stephen F Austin 82 - Houston Baptist 54	-9
Stony Brook 74 - Vermont 61	0.836	Stony Brook 62 - Vermont 76	27
Syracuse 79 - NC State 71	0.728	Syracuse 75 - NC State 66	-1
Temple 81 - Central Florida 65	0.905	Temple 63 - Central Florida 61	14
Tennessee 80 - Arkansas 77	0.582	Tennessee 65 - Arkansas 75	13
Tennessee Tech 79 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.732	Tennessee Tech 92 - Eastern Kentucky 82	-2
Texas 77 - Oklahoma 78	0.534	Texas 76 - Oklahoma 63	-14
Texas Christian 71 - Baylor 80	0.756	Texas Christian 71 - Baylor 86	6
Texas Southern 77 - Alabama AM 61	0.91	Texas Southern 77 - Alabama AM 54	-7
Toledo 77 - Central Michigan 69	0.674	Toledo 74 - Central Michigan 76	10
Troy 68 - UL Monroe 75	0.691	Troy 51 - UL Monroe 66	8
UC Davis 61 - UC Irvine 71	0.846	UC Davis 61 - UC Irvine 62	-9
UMKC 64 - New Mexico State 73	0.794	UMKC 61 - New Mexico State 62	-8
UNC Asheville 71 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.671	UNC Asheville 79 - Coastal Carolina 81	7
UNC Wilmington 78 - Towson 68	0.767	UNC Wilmington 74 - Towson 68	4
Utah 77 - Arizona 76	0.532	Utah 70 - Arizona 64	-5
Utah State 77 - San Jose State 65	0.837	Utah State 88 - San Jose State 70	-6
Vanderbilt 76 - Kentucky 77	0.527	Vanderbilt 74 - Kentucky 62	-13
Virginia 78 - North Carolina 74	0.627	Virginia 79 - North Carolina 74	-1
Virginia Military Institute 78 - The Citadel 75	0.577	Virginia Military Institute 111 - The Citadel 95	-13
Wagner 72 - Robert Morris 57	0.862	Wagner 62 - Robert Morris 54	7
Weber State 70 - Montana 65	0.66	Weber State 60 - Montana 54	-1
Western Carolina 67 - Furman 68	0.509	Western Carolina 73 - Furman 62	-12
Western Illinois 71 - South Dakota 72	0.501	Western Illinois 90 - South Dakota 76	-15
Wichita State 79 - Illinois State 62	0.896	Wichita State 74 - Illinois State 58	1
Yale 79 - Dartmouth 57	0.942	Yale 76 - Dartmouth 71	17

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 80 - Southern California 74	0.684	California 87 - Southern California 65	-16
Chicago State 71 - Texas Pan American 68	0.592	Chicago State 79 - Texas Pan American 89	13
Colorado 79 - Arizona State 72	0.689	Colorado 79 - Arizona State 69	-3
Connecticut 79 - Houston 69	0.78	Connecticut 68 - Houston 75	17
Creighton 85 - Saint Johns 66	0.902	Creighton 100 - Saint Johns 59	-22
Green Bay 70 - Valparaiso 77	0.723	Green Bay 68 - Valparaiso 70	-5
Illinois 80 - Minnesota 72	0.718	Illinois 84 - Minnesota 71	-5
Iona 82 - Canisius 68	0.882	Iona 86 - Canisius 78	6
Memphis 75 - Tulsa 78	0.571	Memphis 92 - Tulsa 82	-13
Michigan State 84 - Penn State 63	0.946	Michigan State 88 - Penn State 57	-10
Milwaukee 82 - Illinois Chicago 60	0.963	Milwaukee 98 - Illinois Chicago 85	9
Monmouth 83 - Niagara 57	0.987	Monmouth 77 - Niagara 68	17
Nevada 80 - Colorado State 72	0.741	Nevada 87 - Colorado State 80	1
Ohio State 74 - Iowa 77	0.608	Ohio State 68 - Iowa 64	-7
Oregon 86 - Washington 75	0.796	Oregon 86 - Washington 73	-2
Oregon State 82 - Washington State 66	0.879	Oregon State 69 - Washington State 49	-4
Pittsburgh 78 - Duke 79	0.544	Pittsburgh 76 - Duke 62	-15
Rider 70 - Manhattan 66	0.642	Rider 60 - Manhattan 57	1
Saint Josephs 84 - Saint Louis 62	0.955	Saint Josephs 77 - Saint Louis 63	8
Seton Hall 76 - Xavier 77	0.546	Seton Hall 90 - Xavier 81	-10
Siena 79 - Quinnipiac 60	0.93	Siena 80 - Quinnipiac 65	4
Southern Methodist 85 - Tulane 62	0.973	Southern Methodist 74 - Tulane 53	2
Tennessee State 73 - Belmont 72	0.524	Tennessee State 87 - Belmont 72	-14
UNC Greensboro 68 - Mercer 69	0.512	UNC Greensboro 69 - Mercer 65	-5
Wake Forest 80 - Virginia Tech 79	0.526	Wake Forest 74 - Virginia Tech 81	8
Wisconsin 76 - Michigan 71	0.643	Wisconsin 68 - Michigan 57	-6

Number of DI Games: 328
Number Correct: 237 = 72.2%
Expected Number Correct: 232.512 = 70.8%
Average Error: 8.57
Average Signed Error: -0.32

WEEK 17 -- 2-29 to 3-6

GAMES OF 2-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 71 - North Carolina AT 63	0.73	Bethune Cookman 62 - North Carolina AT 52	-2
Central Arkansas 67 - Sam Houston State 73	0.645	Central Arkansas 73 - Sam Houston State 83	4
Grambling State 68 - Mississippi Valley State 65	0.591	Grambling State 57 - Mississippi Valley State 58	4
Hampton 77 - Delaware State 59	0.915	Hampton 79 - Delaware State 65	4
Incarnate Word 60 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.788	Incarnate Word 58 - Stephen F Austin 84	14
Iowa State 86 - Oklahoma State 71	0.876	Iowa State 58 - Oklahoma State 50	7
Jackson State 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	0.907	Jackson State 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	5
Lamar 72 - Mcneese State 67	0.659	Lamar 74 - Mcneese State 77	8
Nicholls State 70 - New Orleans 69	0.501	Nicholls State 80 - New Orleans 76	-3
Norfolk State 77 - Howard 65	0.807	Norfolk State 84 - Howard 66	-6
North Carolina Central 65 - Savannah State 62	0.564	North Carolina Central 61 - Savannah State 44	-14
Prairie View 65 - Alabama AM 66	0.523	Prairie View 85 - Alabama AM 65	-21
Southeast Louisiana 76 - Northwestern State 70	0.638	Southeast Louisiana 84 - Northwestern State 82	4
Syracuse 75 - North Carolina 79	0.618	Syracuse 70 - North Carolina 75	1
Texas 75 - Kansas 78	0.576	Texas 56 - Kansas 86	27
Texas Southern 76 - Alabama State 63	0.86	Texas Southern 96 - Alabama State 86	3
Virginia Military Institute 60 - Chattanooga 77	0.863	Virginia Military Institute 65 - Chattanooga 67	-15

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Utah State 71	0.539	Air Force 65 - Utah State 78	12
Akron 77 - Ohio 70	0.671	Akron 91 - Ohio 76	-8
Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Arkansas State 58	0.962	Arkansas Little Rock 89 - Arkansas State 80	14
Auburn 68 - Texas AM 81	0.816	Auburn 63 - Texas AM 81	5
Ball State 73 - Central Michigan 68	0.627	Ball State 57 - Central Michigan 65	13
Buffalo 76 - Miami OH 63	0.798	Buffalo 59 - Miami OH 67	21
Clemson 68 - Virginia 74	0.692	Clemson 57 - Virginia 64	1
Duke 90 - Wake Forest 70	0.949	Duke 79 - Wake Forest 71	12
Eastern Michigan 74 - Northern Illinois 71	0.571	Eastern Michigan 75 - Northern Illinois 71	-1
Florida 74 - Kentucky 77	0.565	Florida 79 - Kentucky 88	6
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Kennesaw St 64	0.712	Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Kennesaw St 64	-2
George Washington 81 - George Mason 64	0.876	George Washington 74 - George Mason 52	-5
Iowa 79 - Indiana 77	0.549	Iowa 78 - Indiana 81	5
Jacksonville 74 - Lipscomb 70	0.656	Jacksonville 89 - Lipscomb 92	7
Kent State 76 - Bowling Green 66	0.758	Kent State 70 - Bowling Green 54	-6
Louisiana State 84 - Missouri 71	0.812	Louisiana State 80 - Missouri 71	4
Louisville 81 - Georgia Tech 68	0.881	Louisville 56 - Georgia Tech 53	10
Loyola MD 72 - Holy Cross 65	0.707	Loyola MD 67 - Holy Cross 72	12
Marquette 77 - Georgetown 73	0.639	Marquette 88 - Georgetown 87	3
Navy 77 - Lafayette 61	0.871	Navy 78 - Lafayette 70	8
Nebraska 71 - Purdue 78	0.709	Nebraska 62 - Purdue 81	12
New Mexico 69 - San Diego State 72	0.578	New Mexico 56 - San Diego State 83	24
NJ Tech 79 - Stetson 64	0.86	NJ Tech 67 - Stetson 82	30
North Florida 82 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.898	North Florida 92 - South Carolina Upstate 69	-5
Oklahoma 84 - Baylor 76	0.72	Oklahoma 73 - Baylor 71	6
Richmond 72 - Dayton 74	0.556	Richmond 84 - Dayton 85	-1
Saint Marys 76 - Grand Canyon 62	0.852	Saint Marys 73 - Grand Canyon 64	5
Texas Arlington 77 - Texas State 62	0.863	Texas Arlington 75 - Texas State 69	9
Vanderbilt 84 - Tennessee 69	0.828	Vanderbilt 86 - Tennessee 69	-2
Villanova 88 - DePaul 60	0.984	Villanova 83 - DePaul 62	7
Western Michigan 71 - Toledo 75	0.594	Western Michigan 70 - Toledo 64	-10

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 76 - Arkansas 73	0.589	Alabama 61 - Arkansas 62	4
Albany 81 - Hartford 58	0.96	Albany 59 - Hartford 68	32
Boise State 78 - Nevada 70	0.754	Boise State 76 - Nevada 57	-11
Butler 77 - Seton Hall 75	0.552	Butler 85 - Seton Hall 78	-5
Cal State Fullerton 69 - Long Beach State 79	0.839	Cal State Fullerton 73 - Long Beach State 75	-8
Central Florida 76 - Tulane 70	0.697	Central Florida 73 - Tulane 65	-2
Duquesne 77 - Fordham 73	0.626	Duquesne 69 - Fordham 78	13
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.714	Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Saint Francis Penn 72	5
Fresno State 80 - Colorado State 71	0.759	Fresno State 87 - Colorado State 73	-5
Kansas State 80 - Texas Christian 67	0.849	Kansas State 79 - Texas Christian 54	-12
La Salle 70 - Saint Louis 69	0.509	La Salle 76 - Saint Louis 68	-7
Minnesota 67 - Wisconsin 79	0.822	Minnesota 49 - Wisconsin 62	1
Mississippi 78 - Mississippi State 74	0.61	Mississippi 86 - Mississippi State 78	-4
Murray State 71 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.682	Murray State 78 - Eastern Illinois 62	-10
NC State 83 - Boston College 65	0.921	NC State 73 - Boston College 72	17
New Hampshire 70 - Binghamton 57	0.842	New Hampshire 56 - Binghamton 51	8
Notre Dame 76 - Miami 77	0.546	Notre Dame 50 - Miami 68	17
Providence 78 - Creighton 75	0.591	Providence 70 - Creighton 66	-1
Rutgers 63 - Michigan State 92	0.98	Rutgers 66 - Michigan State 97	2
Sacred Heart 75 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.62	Sacred Heart 76 - LIU Brooklyn 84	12
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Saint Josephs 76	0.536	Saint Bonaventure 98 - Saint Josephs 90	-10
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Mt St Marys 61	0.63	Saint Francis Brooklyn 51 - Mt St Marys 60	14
South Florida 74 - East Carolina 72	0.565	South Florida 39 - East Carolina 52	15
Southern California 79 - Oregon State 75	0.609	Southern California 81 - Oregon State 70	-7
Stony Brook 83 - UMBC 55	0.976	Stony Brook 86 - UMBC 76	18
Tennessee Tech 77 - Austin Peay 70	0.722	Tennessee Tech 72 - Austin Peay 92	27
UCLA 75 - Oregon 80	0.63	UCLA 68 - Oregon 76	3
Vermont 84 - Maine 63	0.93	Vermont 99 - Maine 82	4
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Davidson 72	0.801	Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Davidson 60	1
Virginia Tech 75 - Pittsburgh 78	0.585	Virginia Tech 65 - Pittsburgh 61	-7
Wagner 71 - Robert Morris 56	0.863	Wagner 59 - Robert Morris 50	6
Washington 87 - Washington State 71	0.888	Washington 99 - Washington State 91	8
West Virginia 82 - Texas Tech 71	0.802	West Virginia 90 - Texas Tech 68	-11
Wyoming 76 - San Jose State 65	0.816	Wyoming 81 - San Jose State 78	8

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 66 - Incarnate Word 68	0.548	Abilene Christian 70 - Incarnate Word 74	2
Alabama AM 71 - Grambling State 60	0.805	Alabama AM 58 - Grambling State 65	18
Alabama State 68 - Jackson State 69	0.55	Alabama State 71 - Jackson State 54	-18
Alcorn State 70 - Prairie View 61	0.78	Alcorn State 81 - Prairie View 64	-8
Appalachian State 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 78	0.898	Appalachian State 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	-23
Arizona 78 - California 73	0.624	Arizona 64 - California 61	2
Arizona State 75 - Stanford 74	0.504	Arizona State 74 - Stanford 64	-9
Army 75 - Colgate 69	0.672	Army 79 - Colgate 72	-1
Boston 71 - American 59	0.79	Boston 64 - American 69	17
Bucknell 79 - Holy Cross 61	0.86	Bucknell 72 - Holy Cross 77	23
Campbell 70 - Gardner Webb 71	0.541	Campbell 69 - Gardner Webb 79	9
Canisius 73 - Niagara 66	0.749	Canisius 102 - Niagara 97	2
Central Arkansas 74 - Nicholls State 66	0.694	Central Arkansas 64 - Nicholls State 68	12
Delaware State 69 - Coppin State 68	0.503	Delaware State 62 - Coppin State 72	11
Eastern Washington 77 - Idaho State 70	0.689	Eastern Washington 71 - Idaho State 75	11
Florida Atlantic 62 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.826	Florida Atlantic 59 - Middle Tennessee 76	6
Florida International 65 - Alabama Birmingham 74	0.763	Florida International 60 - Alabama Birmingham 77	8
Houston 75 - Cincinnati 74	0.515	Houston 69 - Cincinnati 56	-12
Houston Baptist 65 - Texas AM CC 70	0.691	Houston Baptist 71 - Texas AM CC 81	5
Idaho 63 - Weber State 66	0.604	Idaho 62 - Weber State 58	-7
Lehigh 70 - Navy 63	0.71	Lehigh 65 - Navy 63	5
Lipscomb 78 - Stetson 70	0.762	Lipscomb 75 - Stetson 96	29
Longwood 70 - Charleston Southern 71	0.516	Longwood 75 - Charleston Southern 69	-7
Loyola Ill 73 - Bradley 62	0.818	Loyola Ill 74 - Bradley 66	3
Manhattan 74 - Marist 68	0.657	Manhattan 81 - Marist 63	-12
Marshall 79 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.637	Marshall 94 - Louisiana Tech 97	7
Maryland 85 - Illinois 67	0.918	Maryland 81 - Illinois 55	-8
Missouri State 77 - Drake 72	0.659	Missouri State 69 - Drake 67	3
Montana 71 - North Dakota 65	0.675	Montana 71 - North Dakota 46	-19
Montana State 76 - Northern Colorado 68	0.722	Montana State 81 - Northern Colorado 63	-10
Morehead State 68 - Murray State 64	0.625	Morehead State 75 - Murray State 66	-5
Morgan State 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.631	Morgan State 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 80	14
New Orleans 71 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.539	New Orleans 60 - Southeast Louisiana 61	2
Norfolk State 73 - Hampton 70	0.582	Norfolk State 83 - Hampton 63	-17
North Carolina AT 65 - North Carolina Central 66	0.538	North Carolina AT 93 - North Carolina Central 87	-7
North Florida 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.693	North Florida 56 - Florida Gulf Coast 89	41
North Texas 62 - Old Dominion 71	0.763	North Texas 70 - Old Dominion 76	-3
Northwestern State 61 - Stephen F Austin 81	0.922	Northwestern State 55 - Stephen F Austin 95	20
Penn State 72 - Northwestern 71	0.505	Penn State 61 - Northwestern 71	11
Portland State 78 - Northern Arizona 65	0.796	Portland State 89 - Northern Arizona 81	5
Radford 74 - Presbyterian 64	0.787	Radford 64 - Presbyterian 65	11
Rhode Island 79 - Massachusetts 67	0.826	Rhode Island 68 - Massachusetts 50	-6
Rice 76 - Charlotte 77	0.531	Rice 75 - Charlotte 88	12
Rider 69 - Quinnipiac 63	0.667	Rider 60 - Quinnipiac 57	3
Sacramento State 75 - Southern Utah 63	0.819	Sacramento State 69 - Southern Utah 63	6
Sam Houston State 76 - Lamar 60	0.901	Sam Houston State 94 - Lamar 76	-2
Savannah State 69 - Florida AM 56	0.836	Savannah State 52 - Florida AM 40	1
South Carolina 78 - Georgia 70	0.701	South Carolina 72 - Georgia 74	10
South Carolina State 72 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.715	South Carolina State 85 - Bethune Cookman 72	-5
Southern 68 - Texas Southern 69	0.542	Southern 84 - Texas Southern 79	-6
Southern Methodist 76 - Connecticut 69	0.707	Southern Methodist 80 - Connecticut 54	-19
Temple 79 - Memphis 72	0.697	Temple 72 - Memphis 62	-3
Tennessee State 76 - Austin Peay 64	0.836	Tennessee State 72 - Austin Peay 74	14
Texas Arlington 81 - South Alabama 65	0.856	Texas Arlington 92 - South Alabama 79	3
Texas State 71 - Troy 63	0.739	Texas State 78 - Troy 57	-13
UC Davis 61 - Hawaii 75	0.887	UC Davis 65 - Hawaii 67	-12
UC Irvine 80 - Cal Poly 64	0.929	UC Irvine 72 - Cal Poly 62	6
UC Santa Barbara 76 - UC Riverside 62	0.895	UC Santa Barbara 81 - UC Riverside 55	-12
UL Lafayette 74 - Georgia State 65	0.725	UL Lafayette 69 - Georgia State 72	12
UL Monroe 76 - Georgia Southern 67	0.72	UL Monroe 83 - Georgia Southern 76	2
Western Kentucky 74 - Southern Miss 60	0.836	Western Kentucky 75 - Southern Miss 60	-1

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 78 - Kent State 67	0.793	Akron 74 - Kent State 60	-3
Belmont 82 - Austin Peay 68	0.904	Belmont 96 - Austin Peay 97	15
Bowling Green 70 - Buffalo 75	0.632	Bowling Green 83 - Buffalo 87	-1
Central Michigan 77 - Western Michigan 68	0.737	Central Michigan 82 - Western Michigan 91	18
Coastal Carolina 72 - Gardner Webb 66	0.696	Coastal Carolina 65 - Gardner Webb 69	10
College of Charleston 74 - Delaware 61	0.85	College of Charleston 67 - Delaware 63	9
Columbia 83 - Brown 65	0.957	Columbia 66 - Brown 63	15
Cornell 63 - Yale 79	0.887	Cornell 64 - Yale 88	8
Dartmouth 71 - Pennsylvania 69	0.577	Dartmouth 72 - Pennsylvania 64	-6
Elon 76 - Drexel 68	0.765	Elon 56 - Drexel 57	9
Evansville 80 - Missouri State 69	0.847	Evansville 66 - Missouri State 56	1
Harvard 65 - Princeton 75	0.774	Harvard 73 - Princeton 71	-12
High Point 78 - Longwood 65	0.88	High Point 89 - Longwood 78	2
Illinois State 76 - Indiana State 69	0.666	Illinois State 57 - Indiana State 65	15
Iona 81 - Canisius 70	0.836	Iona 73 - Canisius 55	-7
Loyola Marymount 72 - San Diego 68	0.622	Loyola Marymount 64 - San Diego 61	1
Mercer 84 - The Citadel 71	0.832	Mercer 71 - The Citadel 69	11
Miami OH 66 - Ohio 73	0.662	Miami OH 65 - Ohio 67	-5
Monmouth 77 - Rider 64	0.825	Monmouth 59 - Rider 48	2
Northern Illinois 69 - Ball State 67	0.56	Northern Illinois 80 - Ball State 69	-9
Northern Iowa 74 - Southern Illinois 69	0.613	Northern Iowa 66 - Southern Illinois 60	-1
Oklahoma State 70 - Texas 76	0.663	Oklahoma State 50 - Texas 62	6
Samford 73 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.645	Samford 92 - Virginia Military Institute 85	-1
Tennessee Martin 65 - Morehead State 71	0.684	Tennessee Martin 83 - Morehead State 70	-19
Toledo 79 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.684	Toledo 75 - Eastern Michigan 79	12
UNC Asheville 72 - Liberty 63	0.805	UNC Asheville 80 - Liberty 49	-22
Wichita State 80 - Loyola Ill 60	0.936	Wichita State 66 - Loyola Ill 58	12
Winthrop 80 - Presbyterian 64	0.893	Winthrop 67 - Presbyterian 53	2

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 61 - Texas AM CC 72	0.837	Abilene Christian 69 - Texas AM CC 74	-6
Alabama AM 65 - Jackson State 69	0.642	Alabama AM 54 - Jackson State 51	-7
Alabama State 74 - Grambling State 60	0.898	Alabama State 59 - Grambling State 58	13
Alcorn State 65 - Texas Southern 71	0.666	Alcorn State 66 - Texas Southern 76	4
Appalachian State 75 - Arkansas State 73	0.564	Appalachian State 80 - Arkansas State 73	-5
Arizona 81 - Stanford 69	0.81	Arizona 94 - Stanford 62	-20
Arizona State 71 - California 79	0.695	Arizona State 65 - California 68	-5
Arkansas 78 - South Carolina 77	0.521	Arkansas 61 - South Carolina 76	16
Arkansas Pine Bluff 67 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.641	Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Mississippi Valley State 71	-3
Baylor 77 - West Virginia 78	0.506	Baylor 58 - West Virginia 69	10
Boston College 65 - Clemson 77	0.808	Boston College 50 - Clemson 66	4
Brigham Young 83 - Santa Clara 66	0.857	Brigham Young 72 - Santa Clara 60	5
Butler 82 - Marquette 72	0.783	Butler 95 - Marquette 74	-11
Cal State Bakersfield 74 - Seattle 58	0.897	Cal State Bakersfield 93 - Seattle 71	-6
Cal State Northridge 71 - UC Davis 66	0.685	Cal State Northridge 83 - UC Davis 87	9
Central Arkansas 75 - Mcneese State 68	0.66	Central Arkansas 77 - Mcneese State 85	15
Chattanooga 76 - Samford 62	0.857	Chattanooga 59 - Samford 54	9
Chicago State 67 - UMKC 73	0.706	Chicago State 53 - UMKC 82	23
Colorado State 78 - Air Force 69	0.718	Colorado State 87 - Air Force 73	-5
Columbia 69 - Yale 70	0.543	Columbia 55 - Yale 71	15
Cornell 77 - Brown 73	0.641	Cornell 75 - Brown 71	0
Dartmouth 64 - Princeton 78	0.852	Dartmouth 65 - Princeton 84	5
Davidson 76 - George Washington 77	0.508	Davidson 87 - George Washington 80	-8
Dayton 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.564	Dayton 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 67	2
DePaul 68 - Seton Hall 81	0.855	DePaul 66 - Seton Hall 80	1
Detroit 85 - Youngstown State 73	0.801	Detroit 92 - Youngstown State 79	-1
Duke 82 - North Carolina 80	0.56	Duke 72 - North Carolina 76	6
East Tennessee State 72 - Mercer 68	0.64	East Tennessee State 81 - Mercer 65	-12
Eastern Washington 70 - Weber State 73	0.569	Eastern Washington 77 - Weber State 79	-1
Evansville 78 - Indiana State 69	0.74	Evansville 68 - Indiana State 42	-17
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Mt St Marys 67	0.625	Fairleigh Dickinson 80 - Mt St Marys 75	0
Florida Atlantic 62 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.892	Florida Atlantic 70 - Alabama Birmingham 73	-13
Florida International 65 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.646	Florida International 58 - Middle Tennessee 61	-1
Florida State 77 - Syracuse 75	0.565	Florida State 78 - Syracuse 73	-3
Fordham 69 - Rhode Island 72	0.579	Fordham 64 - Rhode Island 61	-6
Furman 69 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.565	Furman 80 - UNC Greensboro 64	-14
George Mason 72 - Richmond 77	0.646	George Mason 83 - Richmond 73	-15
Georgia 73 - Alabama 69	0.608	Georgia 70 - Alabama 63	-3
Georgia Tech 75 - Pittsburgh 76	0.509	Georgia Tech 63 - Pittsburgh 59	-5
Gonzaga 84 - Portland 66	0.91	Gonzaga 92 - Portland 67	-7
Green Bay 77 - Cleveland State 65	0.84	Green Bay 65 - Cleveland State 53	0
Harvard 72 - Pennsylvania 66	0.667	Harvard 74 - Pennsylvania 56	-12
High Point 71 - UNC Asheville 70	0.514	High Point 69 - UNC Asheville 80	12
Hofstra 80 - Drexel 64	0.912	Hofstra 80 - Drexel 67	3
Idaho 70 - Idaho State 63	0.687	Idaho 80 - Idaho State 70	-3
Incarnate Word 71 - Houston Baptist 66	0.631	Incarnate Word 97 - Houston Baptist 86	-6
IPFW 83 - South Dakota 70	0.848	IPFW 86 - South Dakota 70	-3
James Madison 75 - William and Mary 73	0.545	James Madison 64 - William and Mary 79	17
Kansas 88 - Iowa State 76	0.816	Kansas 85 - Iowa State 78	5
Kentucky 86 - Louisiana State 72	0.805	Kentucky 94 - Louisiana State 77	-3
Long Beach State 73 - Hawaii 74	0.533	Long Beach State 74 - Hawaii 72	-3
Marshall 82 - Southern Miss 63	0.899	Marshall 108 - Southern Miss 106	17
Massachusetts 78 - La Salle 67	0.773	Massachusetts 69 - La Salle 52	-6
Michigan 78 - Iowa 77	0.502	Michigan 61 - Iowa 71	11
Michigan State 83 - Ohio State 67	0.89	Michigan State 91 - Ohio State 76	1
Milwaukee 76 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.792	Milwaukee 86 - Northern Kentucky 69	-6
Mississippi State 82 - Auburn 70	0.794	Mississippi State 79 - Auburn 66	-1
Missouri 70 - Florida 78	0.72	Missouri 72 - Florida 82	2
Montana 78 - Northern Colorado 61	0.899	Montana 72 - Northern Colorado 78	23
Montana State 70 - North Dakota 72	0.555	Montana State 89 - North Dakota 82	-9
New Mexico 77 - Nevada 73	0.612	New Mexico 71 - Nevada 66	-1
New Orleans 76 - Northwestern State 72	0.592	New Orleans 97 - Northwestern State 86	-7
Nicholls State 67 - Southeast Louisiana 68	0.534	Nicholls State 64 - Southeast Louisiana 45	-20
North Texas 72 - Charlotte 76	0.606	North Texas 80 - Charlotte 77	-7
Notre Dame 83 - NC State 73	0.785	Notre Dame 89 - NC State 75	-4
Pepperdine 78 - San Francisco 72	0.667	Pepperdine 90 - San Francisco 86	2
Portland State 78 - Southern Utah 64	0.834	Portland State 88 - Southern Utah 86	12
Rice 65 - Old Dominion 72	0.683	Rice 67 - Old Dominion 74	0
Rutgers 74 - Minnesota 80	0.655	Rutgers 75 - Minnesota 52	-29
Sacramento State 75 - Northern Arizona 64	0.776	Sacramento State 64 - Northern Arizona 51	-2
Saint Johns 69 - Providence 80	0.773	Saint Johns 76 - Providence 90	3
Saint Josephs 86 - Duquesne 68	0.932	Saint Josephs 70 - Duquesne 78	26
Saint Louis 67 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.765	Saint Louis 67 - Saint Bonaventure 76	-1
Saint Marys 80 - Loyola Marymount 62	0.915	Saint Marys 60 - Loyola Marymount 48	6
Saint Peters 68 - Fairfield 70	0.56	Saint Peters 55 - Fairfield 64	7
Sam Houston State 61 - Stephen F Austin 70	0.761	Sam Houston State 64 - Stephen F Austin 85	12
San Diego State 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	0.784	San Diego State 92 - Nevada Las Vegas 56	-26
San Jose State 67 - Boise State 79	0.836	San Jose State 68 - Boise State 63	-17
Siena 78 - Manhattan 64	0.867	Siena 89 - Manhattan 76	1
South Dakota State 80 - Oral Roberts 66	0.877	South Dakota State 73 - Oral Roberts 70	11
Southern 73 - Prairie View 59	0.844	Southern 71 - Prairie View 79	22
Southern California 77 - Oregon 80	0.595	Southern California 66 - Oregon 76	7
Tennessee 78 - Mississippi 76	0.551	Tennessee 60 - Mississippi 83	25
Tennessee Martin 72 - Austin Peay 69	0.608	Tennessee Martin 73 - Austin Peay 83	13
Texas AM 77 - Vanderbilt 72	0.629	Texas AM 76 - Vanderbilt 67	-4
Texas Arlington 82 - Troy 63	0.934	Texas Arlington 90 - Troy 55	-16
Texas Christian 70 - Oklahoma 84	0.857	Texas Christian 67 - Oklahoma 75	-6
Texas El Paso 83 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.89	Texas El Paso 81 - Texas San Antonio 74	10
Texas Pan American 60 - New Mexico State 77	0.904	Texas Pan American 44 - New Mexico State 83	22
Texas State 69 - South Alabama 65	0.618	Texas State 68 - South Alabama 57	-7
Texas Tech 78 - Kansas State 71	0.745	Texas Tech 80 - Kansas State 71	-2
Towson 72 - Northeastern 71	0.532	Towson 60 - Northeastern 71	12
Tulsa 83 - South Florida 63	0.928	Tulsa 84 - South Florida 74	10
UC Riverside 64 - UC Irvine 73	0.777	UC Riverside 66 - UC Irvine 76	1
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Cal Poly 66	0.895	UC Santa Barbara 69 - Cal Poly 50	-6
UCLA 77 - Oregon State 74	0.566	UCLA 82 - Oregon State 86	7
UL Lafayette 79 - Georgia Southern 69	0.721	UL Lafayette 87 - Georgia Southern 78	1
UL Monroe 72 - Georgia State 63	0.725	UL Monroe 91 - Georgia State 78	-4
UNC Wilmington 72 - College of Charleston 66	0.687	UNC Wilmington 66 - College of Charleston 64	4
Utah 81 - Colorado 70	0.763	Utah 57 - Colorado 55	9
Utah State 72 - Fresno State 73	0.511	Utah State 85 - Fresno State 86	0
Utah Valley 69 - Grand Canyon 78	0.742	Utah Valley 79 - Grand Canyon 86	-2
Villanova 84 - Georgetown 65	0.936	Villanova 84 - Georgetown 71	6
Virginia 74 - Louisville 68	0.677	Virginia 68 - Louisville 46	-16
Virginia Tech 72 - Miami 80	0.732	Virginia Tech 77 - Miami 62	-23
Wagner 75 - LIU Brooklyn 62	0.836	Wagner 81 - LIU Brooklyn 65	-3
Western Kentucky 70 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.505	Western Kentucky 96 - Louisiana Tech 90	-7
Wichita State 75 - Northern Iowa 64	0.765	Wichita State 52 - Northern Iowa 57	16
Winthrop 78 - Gardner Webb 70	0.735	Winthrop 82 - Gardner Webb 69	-5
Wofford 69 - Western Carolina 68	0.524	Wofford 83 - Western Carolina 88	6
Wright State 76 - Illinois Chicago 59	0.863	Wright State 74 - Illinois Chicago 43	-14
Xavier 84 - Creighton 73	0.783	Xavier 98 - Creighton 93	6

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 76 - Holy Cross 64	0.817	Army 38 - Holy Cross 60	34
Chattanooga 73 - Western Carolina 63	0.757	Chattanooga 73 - Western Carolina 69	6
Cincinnati 73 - Southern Methodist 72	0.533	Cincinnati 61 - Southern Methodist 54	-6
Connecticut 82 - Central Florida 62	0.962	Connecticut 67 - Central Florida 46	-1
East Carolina 75 - Memphis 79	0.635	East Carolina 53 - Memphis 83	26
East Tennessee State 70 - Furman 67	0.606	East Tennessee State 84 - Furman 76	-5
Evansville 72 - Northern Iowa 71	0.511	Evansville 54 - Northern Iowa 56	3
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Stetson 64	0.855	Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Stetson 78	12
Green Bay 76 - Milwaukee 77	0.549	Green Bay 70 - Milwaukee 61	-10
Hofstra 77 - William and Mary 76	0.55	Hofstra 70 - William and Mary 67	-2
Indiana 80 - Maryland 74	0.646	Indiana 80 - Maryland 62	-12
IUPUI 65 - North Dakota State 68	0.603	IUPUI 45 - North Dakota State 60	12
Lehigh 71 - American 57	0.861	Lehigh 78 - American 62	-2
Monmouth 80 - Fairfield 71	0.773	Monmouth 76 - Fairfield 63	-4
Northwestern 76 - Nebraska 71	0.654	Northwestern 65 - Nebraska 54	-6
Omaha 74 - Denver 69	0.665	Omaha 70 - Denver 78	13
Penn State 76 - Illinois 71	0.636	Penn State 86 - Illinois 79	-2
Purdue 75 - Wisconsin 70	0.682	Purdue 91 - Wisconsin 80	-6
Siena 76 - Iona 74	0.582	Siena 70 - Iona 81	13
Tulane 68 - Temple 77	0.762	Tulane 56 - Temple 64	-1
UNC Wilmington 77 - Northeastern 71	0.716	UNC Wilmington 73 - Northeastern 70	3
Winthrop 74 - UNC Asheville 73	0.517	Winthrop 68 - UNC Asheville 77	10
Wright State 74 - Detroit 71	0.575	Wright State 82 - Detroit 72	-7

Number of DI Games: 306
Number Correct: 222 = 72.5%
Expected Number Correct: 220.45 = 72.0%
Average Error: 8.77
Average Signed Error: 1.90

WEEK 18 -- 3-7 to 3-13

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 71 - Miami OH 61	0.74	Ball State 47 - Miami OH 49	12
Chattanooga 72 - East Tennessee State 67	0.628	Chattanooga 73 - East Tennessee State 67	-1
Eastern Michigan 76 - Toledo 73	0.552	Eastern Michigan 69 - Toledo 60	-6
Gonzaga 77 - Brigham Young 74	0.576	Gonzaga 88 - Brigham Young 84	-1
Hofstra 77 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.5	Hofstra 73 - UNC Wilmington 80	8
IPFW 72 - North Dakota State 68	0.624	IPFW 68 - North Dakota State 69	5
Kent State 76 - Bowling Green 66	0.78	Kent State 69 - Bowling Green 70	11
Monmouth 76 - Iona 74	0.573	Monmouth 76 - Iona 79	5
North Carolina AT 69 - Coppin State 70	0.532	North Carolina AT 91 - Coppin State 98	6
Northern Illinois 75 - Western Michigan 68	0.713	Northern Illinois 56 - Western Michigan 50	1
Oakland 75 - Wright State 71	0.611	Oakland 55 - Wright State 59	8
Saint Marys 75 - Pepperdine 64	0.788	Saint Marys 81 - Pepperdine 66	-4
Savannah State 66 - Delaware State 58	0.719	Savannah State 63 - Delaware State 58	3
South Dakota State 74 - Denver 60	0.869	South Dakota State 54 - Denver 53	13
Stony Brook 81 - Hartford 56	0.966	Stony Brook 80 - Hartford 64	9
Valparaiso 77 - Green Bay 67	0.801	Valparaiso 92 - Green Bay 99	17
Vermont 73 - New Hampshire 63	0.758	Vermont 63 - New Hampshire 56	3

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	0.596	Alabama AM 61 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	-5
Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Arizona 66	0.813	Eastern Washington 74 - Northern Arizona 52	-8
Florida Atlantic 74 - Texas San Antonio 69	0.635	Florida Atlantic 82 - Texas San Antonio 58	-19
Florida State 83 - Boston College 67	0.888	Florida State 88 - Boston College 66	-6
Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Morgan State 68	0.513	Maryland Eastern Shore 58 - Morgan State 65	8
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Grambling State 65	0.505	Mississippi Valley State 87 - Grambling State 73	-13
Montana State 71 - Sacramento State 68	0.585	Montana State 75 - Sacramento State 79	7
NC State 82 - Wake Forest 78	0.652	NC State 75 - Wake Forest 72	1
North Carolina Central 69 - Howard 66	0.583	North Carolina Central 68 - Howard 66	1
North Dakota 77 - Southern Utah 63	0.821	North Dakota 85 - Southern Utah 80	9
Portland State 74 - Northern Colorado 71	0.59	Portland State 74 - Northern Colorado 67	-4
Princeton 82 - Pennsylvania 62	0.937	Princeton 72 - Pennsylvania 71	19
Saint Marys 69 - Gonzaga 70	0.518	Saint Marys 75 - Gonzaga 85	9
South Dakota State 73 - North Dakota State 62	0.806	South Dakota State 67 - North Dakota State 59	3
Wagner 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.807	Wagner 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 87	18
Wright State 71 - Green Bay 72	0.5	Wright State 69 - Green Bay 78	8

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 73 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.753	Alcorn State 61 - Mississippi Valley State 64	12
Charlotte 79 - Rice 73	0.656	Charlotte 79 - Rice 69	-4
Clemson 75 - Georgia Tech 74	0.503	Clemson 85 - Georgia Tech 88	4
Colorado 82 - Washington State 68	0.855	Colorado 80 - Washington State 56	-10
Colorado State 78 - San Jose State 71	0.702	Colorado State 80 - San Jose State 61	-12
Duke 85 - NC State 74	0.816	Duke 92 - NC State 89	8
Duquesne 79 - La Salle 70	0.736	Duquesne 73 - La Salle 88	24
George Mason 72 - Saint Louis 70	0.562	George Mason 78 - Saint Louis 83	7
Georgetown 80 - DePaul 70	0.795	Georgetown 70 - DePaul 53	-7
Hampton 72 - Morgan State 65	0.681	Hampton 83 - Morgan State 81	5
Illinois 78 - Minnesota 74	0.615	Illinois 85 - Minnesota 52	-29
Kansas State 77 - Oklahoma State 68	0.777	Kansas State 75 - Oklahoma State 71	5
Lehigh 74 - Holy Cross 60	0.841	Lehigh 56 - Holy Cross 59	17
Mcneese State 67 - Nicholls State 66	0.516	Mcneese State 90 - Nicholls State 94	5
Nebraska 83 - Rutgers 69	0.823	Nebraska 89 - Rutgers 72	-3
Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Air Force 65	0.804	Nevada Las Vegas 108 - Air Force 102	8
Norfolk State 74 - North Carolina Central 64	0.764	Norfolk State 66 - North Carolina Central 47	-9
Old Dominion 72 - Florida Atlantic 57	0.892	Old Dominion 72 - Florida Atlantic 46	-11
Oregon State 77 - Arizona State 73	0.623	Oregon State 75 - Arizona State 66	-5
Pittsburgh 74 - Syracuse 73	0.53	Pittsburgh 72 - Syracuse 71	0
Saint Johns 71 - Marquette 79	0.713	Saint Johns 93 - Marquette 101	0
Southeast Louisiana 70 - New Orleans 69	0.527	Southeast Louisiana 84 - New Orleans 74	-9
Southern California 80 - UCLA 78	0.566	Southern California 95 - UCLA 71	-22
Tennessee 79 - Auburn 74	0.634	Tennessee 97 - Auburn 59	-33
Texas El Paso 71 - Florida International 68	0.574	Texas El Paso 85 - Florida International 77	-5
Texas Southern 75 - Alabama AM 62	0.836	Texas Southern 77 - Alabama AM 69	5
Texas Tech 81 - Texas Christian 69	0.837	Texas Tech 62 - Texas Christian 67	17
Virginia Tech 78 - Florida State 79	0.547	Virginia Tech 96 - Florida State 85	-12
Washington 80 - Stanford 78	0.55	Washington 91 - Stanford 68	-21
Western Kentucky 75 - North Texas 67	0.751	Western Kentucky 84 - North Texas 76	0
Wyoming 71 - Utah State 73	0.557	Wyoming 70 - Utah State 88	16

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 78 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.687	Akron 65 - Eastern Michigan 63	6
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Western Kentucky 65	0.841	Alabama Birmingham 77 - Western Kentucky 88	23
Arizona 79 - Colorado 72	0.69	Arizona 82 - Colorado 78	3
Bethune Cookman 64 - Savannah State 63	0.507	Bethune Cookman 50 - Savannah State 57	8
Boise State 80 - Colorado State 73	0.712	Boise State 81 - Colorado State 88	14
Buffalo 73 - Miami OH 66	0.675	Buffalo 94 - Miami OH 81	-6
Cal State Bakersfield 80 - Chicago State 56	0.978	Cal State Bakersfield 79 - Chicago State 57	2
California 77 - Oregon State 71	0.681	California 76 - Oregon State 68	-2
Central Florida 76 - Tulane 70	0.727	Central Florida 63 - Tulane 65	8
Central Michigan 75 - Bowling Green 67	0.699	Central Michigan 59 - Bowling Green 62	11
Davidson 82 - La Salle 68	0.839	Davidson 78 - La Salle 63	-1
East Carolina 74 - South Florida 71	0.57	East Carolina 66 - South Florida 71	8
Florida 79 - Arkansas 75	0.599	Florida 68 - Arkansas 61	-3
Fordham 72 - Richmond 76	0.595	Fordham 55 - Richmond 70	11
George Washington 79 - Saint Louis 64	0.851	George Washington 73 - Saint Louis 65	7
Georgia 75 - Mississippi State 73	0.555	Georgia 79 - Mississippi State 69	-8
Georgia Southern 74 - South Alabama 70	0.604	Georgia Southern 61 - South Alabama 67	10
Georgia State 66 - Texas State 63	0.582	Georgia State 61 - Texas State 63	5
Hawaii 82 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.958	Hawaii 75 - Cal State Fullerton 44	-13
Houston Baptist 72 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.643	Houston Baptist 73 - Southeast Louisiana 68	0
Idaho 70 - Eastern Washington 68	0.544	Idaho 77 - Eastern Washington 73	-2
Idaho State 68 - North Dakota 71	0.571	Idaho State 49 - North Dakota 83	31
Iowa 85 - Illinois 70	0.858	Iowa 66 - Illinois 68	17
Jackson State 69 - Prairie View 61	0.756	Jackson State 69 - Prairie View 51	-10
Kansas 83 - Kansas State 69	0.853	Kansas 85 - Kansas State 63	-8
Long Beach State 77 - UC Riverside 66	0.843	Long Beach State 82 - UC Riverside 74	3
Louisiana Tech 67 - Old Dominion 68	0.534	Louisiana Tech 52 - Old Dominion 68	15
Marshall 81 - Texas El Paso 75	0.674	Marshall 87 - Texas El Paso 85	4
Miami 81 - Virginia Tech 71	0.743	Miami 88 - Virginia Tech 82	4
Michigan 75 - Northwestern 72	0.584	Michigan 72 - Northwestern 70	1
Middle Tennessee 74 - Charlotte 69	0.656	Middle Tennessee 79 - Charlotte 61	-13
Mississippi 74 - Alabama 72	0.544	Mississippi 73 - Alabama 81	10
Montana 72 - Sacramento State 62	0.769	Montana 70 - Sacramento State 53	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Fresno State 74	0.557	Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Fresno State 95	15
New Mexico 75 - Nevada 74	0.532	New Mexico 62 - Nevada 64	3
North Carolina 83 - Pittsburgh 75	0.725	North Carolina 88 - Pittsburgh 71	-9
Notre Dame 77 - Duke 81	0.632	Notre Dame 84 - Duke 79	-9
Ohio 74 - Northern Illinois 71	0.584	Ohio 79 - Northern Illinois 62	-14
Ohio State 76 - Penn State 69	0.692	Ohio State 79 - Penn State 75	3
Oklahoma 84 - Iowa State 80	0.621	Oklahoma 79 - Iowa State 76	1
Oregon 85 - Washington 76	0.766	Oregon 83 - Washington 77	3
Providence 75 - Butler 78	0.605	Providence 74 - Butler 60	-17
Rhode Island 76 - Massachusetts 68	0.731	Rhode Island 62 - Massachusetts 67	13
Sam Houston State 72 - Nicholls State 59	0.837	Sam Houston State 60 - Nicholls State 59	12
San Diego State 75 - Utah State 63	0.814	San Diego State 71 - Utah State 65	6
Seattle 72 - Texas Pan American 64	0.719	Seattle 75 - Texas Pan American 52	-15
Seton Hall 78 - Creighton 74	0.622	Seton Hall 81 - Creighton 73	-4
South Carolina State 74 - Coppin State 66	0.714	South Carolina State 90 - Coppin State 80	-2
Southern 71 - Alabama State 68	0.586	Southern 83 - Alabama State 63	-17
Texas 77 - Baylor 76	0.519	Texas 61 - Baylor 75	15
UC Irvine 78 - Cal Poly 65	0.886	UC Irvine 84 - Cal Poly 64	-7
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC Davis 61	0.861	UC Santa Barbara 87 - UC Davis 61	-14
Utah 81 - Southern California 74	0.682	Utah 80 - Southern California 72	-1
Utah Valley 73 - UMKC 74	0.536	Utah Valley 78 - UMKC 80	1
Vanderbilt 82 - Tennessee 70	0.778	Vanderbilt 65 - Tennessee 67	14
Villanova 82 - Georgetown 68	0.899	Villanova 81 - Georgetown 67	0
Virginia 79 - Georgia Tech 67	0.845	Virginia 72 - Georgia Tech 52	-8
Weber State 75 - Portland State 65	0.808	Weber State 78 - Portland State 74	6
West Virginia 86 - Texas Christian 65	0.93	West Virginia 86 - Texas Christian 66	1
Wisconsin 77 - Nebraska 67	0.798	Wisconsin 58 - Nebraska 70	22
Xavier 84 - Marquette 72	0.818	Xavier 90 - Marquette 72	-6

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 79 - Bowling Green 64	0.849	Akron 80 - Bowling Green 66	1
Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Seattle 60	0.847	Cal State Bakersfield 72 - Seattle 47	-12
Cincinnati 71 - Connecticut 70	0.506	Cincinnati 97 - Connecticut 104	8
Dayton 78 - Richmond 70	0.703	Dayton 69 - Richmond 54	-7
Fresno State 79 - Colorado State 73	0.676	Fresno State 64 - Colorado State 56	-2
Hampton 68 - Savannah State 62	0.649	Hampton 89 - Savannah State 55	-28
Hawaii 72 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.599	Hawaii 88 - UC Santa Barbara 76	-9
Houston 83 - Tulane 67	0.884	Houston 69 - Tulane 72	19
Indiana 81 - Michigan 73	0.691	Indiana 69 - Michigan 72	11
Jackson State 73 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.834	Jackson State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 68	6
Kansas 83 - Baylor 74	0.743	Kansas 70 - Baylor 66	5
Kentucky 79 - Alabama 67	0.782	Kentucky 85 - Alabama 59	-14
Louisiana State 82 - Tennessee 77	0.628	Louisiana State 84 - Tennessee 75	-4
Maryland 80 - Nebraska 69	0.803	Maryland 97 - Nebraska 86	0
Michigan State 82 - Ohio State 69	0.834	Michigan State 81 - Ohio State 54	-14
Middle Tennessee 75 - Marshall 74	0.53	Middle Tennessee 99 - Marshall 90	-8
Montana 66 - Idaho 63	0.599	Montana 81 - Idaho 72	-6
New Mexico State 74 - UMKC 62	0.836	New Mexico State 78 - UMKC 64	-2
Norfolk State 73 - South Carolina State 68	0.658	Norfolk State 65 - South Carolina State 67	7
North Carolina 84 - Notre Dame 76	0.726	North Carolina 78 - Notre Dame 47	-23
Ohio 77 - Buffalo 75	0.558	Ohio 74 - Buffalo 88	16
Old Dominion 68 - Western Kentucky 64	0.638	Old Dominion 89 - Western Kentucky 77	-8
Oregon 78 - Arizona 77	0.503	Oregon 95 - Arizona 89	-5
Purdue 85 - Illinois 69	0.896	Purdue 89 - Illinois 58	-15
Saint Bonaventure 80 - Davidson 76	0.611	Saint Bonaventure 86 - Davidson 90	8
Saint Josephs 76 - George Washington 73	0.564	Saint Josephs 86 - George Washington 80	-3
San Diego State 74 - Nevada 63	0.79	San Diego State 67 - Nevada 55	-1
South Carolina 75 - Georgia 73	0.577	South Carolina 64 - Georgia 65	3
Stephen F Austin 78 - Houston Baptist 59	0.936	Stephen F Austin 104 - Houston Baptist 68	-17
Temple 79 - South Florida 64	0.853	Temple 79 - South Florida 62	-2
Texas AM 77 - Florida 72	0.651	Texas AM 72 - Florida 66	-1
Texas AM CC 69 - Sam Houston State 63	0.719	Texas AM CC 79 - Sam Houston State 76	3
Texas Arlington 75 - Texas State 64	0.775	Texas Arlington 72 - Texas State 63	2
Texas Southern 74 - Southern 64	0.755	Texas Southern 73 - Southern 81	18
Tulsa 80 - Memphis 75	0.642	Tulsa 67 - Memphis 89	27
UC Irvine 73 - Long Beach State 71	0.579	UC Irvine 72 - Long Beach State 77	7
UL Lafayette 77 - South Alabama 68	0.736	UL Lafayette 90 - South Alabama 68	-13
Utah 74 - California 73	0.535	Utah 82 - California 78	-3
Villanova 80 - Providence 69	0.82	Villanova 76 - Providence 68	3
Virginia 74 - Miami 71	0.587	Virginia 73 - Miami 68	-2
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Massachusetts 67	0.864	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Massachusetts 70	0
Weber State 71 - North Dakota 64	0.67	Weber State 83 - North Dakota 78	2
West Virginia 79 - Oklahoma 78	0.547	West Virginia 69 - Oklahoma 67	-1
Xavier 79 - Seton Hall 75	0.621	Xavier 83 - Seton Hall 87	8

GAMES OF 3-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Buffalo 70	0.685	Akron 61 - Buffalo 64	10
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - UL Lafayette 66	0.698	Arkansas Little Rock 72 - UL Lafayette 65	1
Dayton 72 - Saint Josephs 73	0.501	Dayton 79 - Saint Josephs 82	2
Hampton 70 - South Carolina State 69	0.517	Hampton 81 - South Carolina State 69	-11
Hawaii 76 - Long Beach State 72	0.622	Hawaii 64 - Long Beach State 60	0
Jackson State 66 - Southern 67	0.516	Jackson State 53 - Southern 54	0
Kansas 80 - West Virginia 77	0.585	Kansas 81 - West Virginia 71	-7
Kentucky 80 - Georgia 70	0.733	Kentucky 93 - Georgia 80	-3
Memphis 81 - Tulane 70	0.802	Memphis 74 - Tulane 54	-9
Michigan State 79 - Maryland 73	0.677	Michigan State 64 - Maryland 61	3
Middle Tennessee 63 - Old Dominion 64	0.506	Middle Tennessee 55 - Old Dominion 53	-3
New Mexico State 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.532	New Mexico State 54 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	4
North Carolina 76 - Virginia 77	0.541	North Carolina 61 - Virginia 57	-5
Oregon 76 - Utah 75	0.517	Oregon 88 - Utah 57	-30
Purdue 79 - Michigan 72	0.681	Purdue 76 - Michigan 59	-10
San Diego State 73 - Fresno State 66	0.704	San Diego State 63 - Fresno State 68	12
Stephen F Austin 70 - Texas AM CC 61	0.78	Stephen F Austin 82 - Texas AM CC 60	-13
Stony Brook 72 - Vermont 63	0.754	Stony Brook 80 - Vermont 74	3
Temple 69 - Connecticut 74	0.636	Temple 62 - Connecticut 77	10
Texas AM 82 - Louisiana State 73	0.73	Texas AM 71 - Louisiana State 38	-24
UL Monroe 72 - Texas Arlington 75	0.58	UL Monroe 82 - Texas Arlington 71	-14
Villanova 78 - Seton Hall 71	0.717	Villanova 67 - Seton Hall 69	9
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Davidson 73	0.703	Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Davidson 54	-15
Weber State 67 - Montana 65	0.551	Weber State 62 - Montana 59	-1

GAMES OF 3-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 72 - UL Monroe 65	0.678	Arkansas Little Rock 70 - UL Monroe 50	-13
Connecticut 78 - Memphis 71	0.698	Connecticut 72 - Memphis 58	-7
Michigan State 79 - Purdue 75	0.627	Michigan State 66 - Purdue 62	0
Texas AM 74 - Kentucky 76	0.553	Texas AM 77 - Kentucky 82	3
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Saint Josephs 74	0.535	Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Saint Josephs 87	14

Number of DI Games: 198
Number Correct: 143 = 72.2%
Expected Number Correct: 135.997 = 68.6%
Average Error: 8.47
Average Signed Error: 0.19