Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

2018-2019 PREDICTIONS

GAMES OF 11-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 82 - Unranked 57		Abilene Christian 107 - Unranked 54
Air Force 86 - Unranked 56		Air Force 90 - Unranked 65
Akron 88 - Unranked 55		Akron 70 - Unranked 50
Alabama 83 - Southern 55	0.957	Alabama 82 - Southern 62	8
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Mercer 67	0.676	Alabama Birmingham 75 - Mercer 67	-1
Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 58		Appalachian State 125 - Unranked 62
Arizona State 83 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.862	Arizona State 102 - Cal State Fullerton 94	7
Army 75 - Marist 68	0.685	Army 73 - Marist 69	3
Auburn 87 - South Alabama 64	0.925	Auburn 101 - South Alabama 58	-20
Austin Peay 89 - Unranked 57		Austin Peay 114 - Unranked 53
Ball State 75 - Indiana State 72	0.58	Ball State 86 - Indiana State 69	-14
Baylor 85 - Texas Southern 62	0.934	Baylor 69 - Texas Southern 72	26
Binghamton 70 - Cornell 71	0.519	Binghamton 75 - Cornell 86	10
Boston College 80 - Milwaukee 66	0.817	Boston College 73 - Milwaukee 53	-6
Bowling Green 87 - Unranked 57		Bowling Green 91 - Unranked 52
Buffalo 84 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.884	Buffalo 82 - Saint Francis Penn 67	4
Cal State Northridge 66 - New Mexico 82	0.862	Cal State Northridge 84 - New Mexico 87	-13
Campbell 74 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.508	Campbell 97 - UNC Wilmington 93	-3
Central Florida 75 - Rider 67	0.702	Central Florida 84 - Rider 70	-6
Central Michigan 91 - Unranked 57		Central Michigan 98 - Unranked 67
Charleston Southern 85 - Unranked 57		Charleston Southern 100 - Unranked 68
Charlotte 73 - Chattanooga 71	0.564	Charlotte 69 - Chattanooga 80	13
Clemson 93 - The Citadel 61	0.963	Clemson 100 - The Citadel 80	12
Coastal Carolina 86 - Unranked 56		Coastal Carolina 91 - Unranked 47
College of Charleston 79 - Presbyterian 54	0.959	College of Charleston 85 - Presbyterian 73	13
Creighton 88 - Western Illinois 58	0.937	Creighton 78 - Western Illinois 67	19
Dartmouth 83 - Unranked 58		Dartmouth 114 - Unranked 39
Davidson 82 - Cleveland State 59	0.929	Davidson 83 - Cleveland State 63	3
Denver 78 - Maine 61	0.874	Denver 63 - Maine 50	4
East Carolina 78 - Delaware State 59	0.878	East Carolina 81 - Delaware State 56	-6
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 51		Eastern Michigan 77 - Unranked 67
Florida State 78 - Florida 76	0.555	Florida State 81 - Florida 60	-19
Fordham 85 - Unranked 56		Fordham 106 - Unranked 58
Fresno State 93 - Unranked 51		Fresno State 91 - Unranked 63
Furman 91 - Unranked 52		Furman 102 - Unranked 48
George Mason 72 - Pennsylvania 71	0.519	George Mason 71 - Pennsylvania 72	2
George Washington 74 - Stony Brook 64	0.749	George Washington 74 - Stony Brook 77	13
Georgetown 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.992	Georgetown 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	17
Georgia State 70 - East Tennessee State 67	0.579	Georgia State 74 - East Tennessee State 68	-3
Gonzaga 88 - Idaho State 57	0.996	Gonzaga 120 - Idaho State 79	-10
Green Bay 89 - Unranked 58		Green Bay 110 - Unranked 54
Hampton 85 - Unranked 57		Hampton 110 - Unranked 58
Hartford 73 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.797	Hartford 68 - Central Connecticut State 75	18
Harvard 88 - Unranked 50		Harvard 78 - Unranked 66
Holy Cross 70 - Sacred Heart 62	0.717	Holy Cross 93 - Sacred Heart 81	-4
Illinois State 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.696	Illinois State 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	-1
Indiana 92 - Chicago State 59	0.959	Indiana 104 - Chicago State 55	-16
Iowa State 88 - Alabama State 58	0.959	Iowa State 79 - Alabama State 53	4
Jackson State 60 - UL Monroe 67	0.691	Jackson State 66 - UL Monroe 75	2
Jacksonville 72 - Florida AM 61	0.794	Jacksonville 50 - Florida AM 65	26
James Madison 86 - Unranked 56		James Madison 86 - Unranked 58
Kansas 79 - Michigan State 77	0.554	Kansas 92 - Michigan State 87	-3
Kentucky 77 - Duke 80	0.579	Kentucky 84 - Duke 118	31
Lamar 85 - Unranked 56		Lamar 79 - Unranked 59
Lipscomb 91 - Unranked 56		Lipscomb 97 - Unranked 53
LIU Brooklyn 86 - Unranked 58		LIU Brooklyn 109 - Unranked 76
Longwood 79 - Unranked 62		Longwood 84 - Unranked 56
Louisiana State 81 - Southeast Louisiana 64	0.851	Louisiana State 94 - Southeast Louisiana 63	-14
Loyola Ill 83 - UMKC 58	0.93	Loyola Ill 76 - UMKC 45	-6
Loyola Marymount 89 - Unranked 58		Loyola Marymount 75 - Unranked 43
Manhattan 71 - Elon 67	0.636	Manhattan 56 - Elon 62	10
Marquette 84 - UMBC 67	0.854	Marquette 67 - UMBC 42	-8
Maryland 83 - Delaware 60	0.946	Maryland 73 - Delaware 67	17
Massachusetts 82 - UMass Lowell 69	0.817	Massachusetts 83 - UMass Lowell 75	5
Memphis 79 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.818	Memphis 76 - Tennessee Tech 61	-2
Michigan 86 - Norfolk State 52	0.984	Michigan 63 - Norfolk State 44	15
Middle Tennessee 95 - Unranked 48		Middle Tennessee 91 - Unranked 69
Minnesota 86 - Omaha 69	0.874	Minnesota 104 - Omaha 76	-11
Missouri 85 - Central Arkansas 64	0.911	Missouri 68 - Central Arkansas 55	8
Missouri State 78 - Oral Roberts 66	0.779	Missouri State 84 - Oral Roberts 50	-22
Monmouth 77 - Lehigh 70	0.676	Monmouth 61 - Lehigh 85	31
Montana State 68 - Utah State 75	0.696	Montana State 71 - Utah State 101	23
Morehead State 86 - Unranked 58		Morehead State 102 - Unranked 82
NC State 84 - Mt St Marys 64	0.9	NC State 105 - Mt St Marys 55	-30
Nebraska 89 - Mississippi Valley State 54	0.984	Nebraska 106 - Mississippi Valley State 37	-34
Nevada 80 - Brigham Young 72	0.7	Nevada 86 - Brigham Young 70	-8
New Hampshire 83 - Unranked 56		New Hampshire 108 - Unranked 54
New Mexico State 76 - North Dakota State 61	0.845	New Mexico State 73 - North Dakota State 56	-2
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 56		New Orleans 95 - Unranked 66
Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 57		Nicholls State 86 - Unranked 58
NJ Tech 68 - Colgate 67	0.51	NJ Tech 81 - Colgate 78	-2
North Carolina AT 59 - UNC Greensboro 74	0.865	North Carolina AT 66 - UNC Greensboro 74	-7
North Dakota 88 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 104 - Unranked 48
North Texas 89 - Unranked 55		North Texas 89 - Unranked 55
Northeastern 76 - Boston 61	0.858	Northeastern 74 - Boston 77	18
Northern Illinois 86 - Unranked 56		Northern Illinois 93 - Unranked 54
Northern Iowa 90 - Unranked 50		Northern Iowa 97 - Unranked 51
Northern Kentucky 90 - Unranked 52		Northern Kentucky 102 - Unranked 38
Northwestern State 80 - Unranked 62		Northwestern State 102 - Unranked 62
Notre Dame 84 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.912	Notre Dame 84 - Illinois Chicago 67	3
Old Dominion 74 - Navy 56	0.869	Old Dominion 67 - Navy 44	-5
Oregon 86 - Portland State 66	0.907	Oregon 84 - Portland State 57	-7
Oregon State 79 - UC Riverside 60	0.901	Oregon State 72 - UC Riverside 59	6
Pittsburgh 82 - Youngstown State 66	0.878	Pittsburgh 69 - Youngstown State 53	0
Portland 87 - Unranked 59		Portland 111 - Unranked 103
Providence 83 - Siena 58	0.948	Providence 77 - Siena 67	15
Purdue 88 - Fairfield 60	0.961	Purdue 90 - Fairfield 57	-5
Radford 86 - Unranked 52		Radford 91 - Unranked 57
Rhode Island 89 - Bryant 56	0.976	Rhode Island 97 - Bryant 63	-1
Rice 86 - Unranked 59		Rice 80 - Unranked 64
Saint Johns 84 - Loyola MD 61	0.929	Saint Johns 76 - Loyola MD 55	2
Saint Louis 77 - SE Missouri State 64	0.828	Saint Louis 75 - SE Missouri State 65	3
Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 54		Sam Houston State 85 - Unranked 64
Samford 88 - North Alabama 62	0.907	Samford 91 - North Alabama 74	9
San Diego 72 - Weber State 67	0.633	San Diego 83 - Weber State 66	-12
San Diego State 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.953	San Diego State 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	15
Seton Hall 82 - Wagner 61	0.933	Seton Hall 89 - Wagner 49	-19
SIU Edwardsville 68 - Pacific 74	0.681	SIU Edwardsville 65 - Pacific 74	3
South Carolina 88 - South Carolina Upstate 59	0.964	South Carolina 65 - South Carolina Upstate 52	16
South Carolina State 80 - Unranked 62		South Carolina State 99 - Unranked 51
South Dakota State 76 - Grand Canyon 67	0.744	South Dakota State 79 - Grand Canyon 74	4
South Florida 77 - Alabama AM 57	0.886	South Florida 80 - Alabama AM 63	3
Southern California 82 - Robert Morris 58	0.94	Southern California 83 - Robert Morris 62	3
Southern Miss 86 - Unranked 56		Southern Miss 111 - Unranked 66
Southern Utah 86 - Unranked 60		Southern Utah 109 - Unranked 63
Stanford 81 - Seattle 65	0.842	Stanford 96 - Seattle 74	-6
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 51		Stephen F Austin 83 - Unranked 71
Syracuse 79 - Eastern Washington 62	0.893	Syracuse 66 - Eastern Washington 34	-15
Temple 79 - La Salle 69	0.757	Temple 75 - La Salle 67	2
Tennessee 99 - Unranked 47		Tennessee 86 - Unranked 41
Tennessee Martin 83 - Unranked 57		Tennessee Martin 91 - Unranked 58
Texas 82 - Eastern Illinois 59	0.953	Texas 71 - Eastern Illinois 59	11
Texas Arlington 93 - Unranked 55		Texas Arlington 90 - Unranked 66
Texas El Paso 86 - Unranked 55		Texas El Paso 90 - Unranked 63
Texas Pan American 86 - Unranked 61		Texas Pan American 91 - Unranked 84
Texas Tech 89 - Incarnate Word 53	0.975	Texas Tech 87 - Incarnate Word 37	-14
Troy 89 - Unranked 56		Troy 95 - Unranked 60
Tulsa 84 - Alcorn State 57	0.954	Tulsa 73 - Alcorn State 56	10
UC Davis 71 - San Francisco 69	0.572	UC Davis 42 - San Francisco 76	36
UC Irvine 70 - Idaho 65	0.646	UC Irvine 86 - Idaho 68	-13
UCLA 87 - IPFW 68	0.896	UCLA 96 - IPFW 71	-6
UL Lafayette 95 - Unranked 53		UL Lafayette 121 - Unranked 80
Utah Valley 91 - Unranked 53		Utah Valley 96 - Unranked 71
Valparaiso 91 - Unranked 54		Valparaiso 121 - Unranked 65
Vanderbilt 81 - Winthrop 69	0.806	Vanderbilt 92 - Winthrop 79	-1
Villanova 95 - Morgan State 50	0.971	Villanova 100 - Morgan State 77	22
Virginia 82 - Towson 54	0.95	Virginia 73 - Towson 42	-3
Virginia Commonwealth 81 - Gardner Webb 64	0.879	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Gardner Webb 57	5
Virginia Military Institute 81 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 89 - Unranked 56
Washington 75 - Western Kentucky 73	0.553	Washington 73 - Western Kentucky 55	-16
Western Michigan 82 - Detroit 67	0.859	Western Michigan 89 - Detroit 76	2
Wichita State 84 - Louisiana Tech 65	0.917	Wichita State 58 - Louisiana Tech 71	32
Wisconsin 86 - Coppin State 49	0.98	Wisconsin 85 - Coppin State 63	15
Wofford 68 - North Carolina 84	0.849	Wofford 67 - North Carolina 78	-5
Wyoming 77 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.711	Wyoming 66 - UC Santa Barbara 76	17
Xavier 89 - IUPUI 58	0.965	Xavier 82 - IUPUI 69	18

GAMES OF 11-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 94 - Houston Baptist 57	0.971	Arizona 90 - Houston Baptist 60	7
Bradley 89 - Unranked 53		Bradley 74 - Unranked 58
Cal Poly 83 - Unranked 60		Cal Poly 82 - Unranked 75
Cincinnati 75 - Ohio State 68	0.7	Cincinnati 56 - Ohio State 64	15
Colorado State 91 - Unranked 57		Colorado State 100 - Unranked 66
Dayton 83 - North Florida 67	0.851	Dayton 78 - North Florida 70	8
DePaul 83 - Bethune Cookman 63	0.907	DePaul 80 - Bethune Cookman 58	-2
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Marshall 80	0.757	Eastern Kentucky 77 - Marshall 105	19
Florida Atlantic 85 - Unranked 57		Florida Atlantic 98 - Unranked 52
Florida International 86 - Unranked 57		Florida International 110 - Unranked 84
Georgia Southern 89 - Unranked 55		Georgia Southern 139 - Unranked 51
Howard 80 - Unranked 62		Howard 115 - Unranked 91
Kennesaw St 82 - Unranked 58		Kennesaw St 68 - Unranked 57
Ohio 90 - Unranked 56		Ohio 97 - Unranked 61
Pepperdine 88 - Unranked 60		Pepperdine 100 - Unranked 66
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Bucknell 70	0.731	Saint Bonaventure 85 - Bucknell 88	12
Saint Francis Brooklyn 82 - Unranked 59		Saint Francis Brooklyn 92 - Unranked 42
Saint Marys 85 - Mcneese State 56	0.963	Saint Marys 87 - Mcneese State 65	7
Saint Peters 71 - Lafayette 60	0.777	Saint Peters 93 - Lafayette 86	4
San Jose State 84 - Unranked 59		San Jose State 89 - Unranked 72
South Dakota 92 - Unranked 52		South Dakota 83 - Unranked 58
Stetson 82 - Unranked 60		Stetson 116 - Unranked 66
Texas AM 92 - Savannah State 63	0.955	Texas AM 98 - Savannah State 83	14
Texas AM CC 83 - Unranked 56		Texas AM CC 81 - Unranked 34
Texas Christian 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.929	Texas Christian 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	17
Texas San Antonio 90 - Unranked 57		Texas San Antonio 76 - Unranked 77
William and Mary 79 - High Point 67	0.768	William and Mary 79 - High Point 69	2
Wright State 75 - Western Carolina 60	0.869	Wright State 96 - Western Carolina 73	-8

GAMES OF 11-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 82 - Unranked 56		Arkansas Little Rock 101 - Unranked 92
Central Arkansas 87 - Unranked 61		Central Arkansas 99 - Unranked 73
Connecticut 80 - Morehead State 64	0.856	Connecticut 80 - Morehead State 70	6
Cornell 87 - Unranked 60		Cornell 86 - Unranked 44
Drake 91 - Unranked 57		Drake 98 - Unranked 52
East Tennessee State 91 - Unranked 50		East Tennessee State 109 - Unranked 44
Florida Gulf Coast 90 - Unranked 53		Florida Gulf Coast 81 - Unranked 54
George Washington 76 - Siena 62	0.837	George Washington 61 - Siena 69	22
Illinois 77 - Evansville 69	0.713	Illinois 99 - Evansville 60	-31
Iowa 87 - UMKC 67	0.897	Iowa 77 - UMKC 63	6
IPFW 91 - Unranked 57		IPFW 112 - Unranked 51
Liberty 85 - Unranked 53		Liberty 89 - Unranked 40
Louisville 86 - Nicholls State 61	0.942	Louisville 85 - Nicholls State 72	12
Norfolk State 82 - Unranked 56		Norfolk State 108 - Unranked 50
Northwestern 79 - New Orleans 59	0.902	Northwestern 82 - New Orleans 52	-10
Notre Dame 93 - Chicago State 57	0.991	Notre Dame 89 - Chicago State 62	9
Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 54		Sam Houston State 94 - Unranked 56
Seattle 87 - Unranked 55		Seattle 95 - Unranked 67
South Dakota State 85 - Alabama State 57	0.958	South Dakota State 78 - Alabama State 61	11
Southern Methodist 85 - Northwestern State 54	0.956	Southern Methodist 69 - Northwestern State 58	20
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 51		Stephen F Austin 68 - Unranked 67
UNC Asheville 90 - Unranked 56		UNC Asheville 87 - Unranked 47
Utah 88 - Maine 55	0.987	Utah 75 - Maine 61	19

GAMES OF 11-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Arkansas State 70	0.553	Abilene Christian 94 - Arkansas State 73	-20
Alcorn State 79 - Unranked 60		Alcorn State 79 - Unranked 55
Arizona State 88 - Mcneese State 62	0.951	Arizona State 80 - Mcneese State 52	-2
Auburn 83 - Washington 72	0.749	Auburn 88 - Washington 66	-11
Binghamton 66 - NJ Tech 67	0.528	Binghamton 57 - NJ Tech 74	16
Boston 64 - Vermont 73	0.754	Boston 72 - Vermont 78	-3
Brigham Young 78 - Utah Valley 68	0.737	Brigham Young 75 - Utah Valley 65	0
Cal Baptist 75 - Unranked 71		Cal Baptist 87 - Unranked 71
Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 53		Cal State Bakersfield 111 - Unranked 75
California 72 - Yale 71	0.501	California 59 - Yale 76	18
Campbell 71 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.567	Campbell 75 - Coastal Carolina 85	13
Central Michigan 86 - Chicago State 64	0.908	Central Michigan 101 - Chicago State 60	-19
Clemson 82 - North Carolina Central 53	0.955	Clemson 71 - North Carolina Central 51	9
Colgate 71 - Monmouth 70	0.527	Colgate 87 - Monmouth 74	-12
Davidson 84 - Dartmouth 58	0.949	Davidson 79 - Dartmouth 76	23
East Carolina 72 - James Madison 70	0.561	East Carolina 72 - James Madison 73	3
Eastern Michigan 75 - Drexel 63	0.8	Eastern Michigan 66 - Drexel 62	8
Elon 66 - North Carolina 88	0.919	Elon 67 - North Carolina 116	27
Florida 86 - Charleston Southern 58	0.95	Florida 76 - Charleston Southern 46	-2
Florida International 86 - Unranked 57		Florida International 117 - Unranked 47
George Mason 78 - American 62	0.901	George Mason 75 - American 78	19
Georgia 89 - Savannah State 63	0.951	Georgia 110 - Savannah State 76	-8
Georgia Tech 78 - Lamar 61	0.873	Georgia Tech 88 - Lamar 69	-2
Grambling State 81 - Unranked 59		Grambling State 105 - Unranked 68
Green Bay 74 - Indiana State 75	0.531	Green Bay 74 - Indiana State 78	3
Harvard 68 - Northeastern 67	0.551	Harvard 71 - Northeastern 81	11
Hawaii 75 - Portland 66	0.76	Hawaii 82 - Portland 64	-9
Hofstra 76 - Mt St Marys 65	0.767	Hofstra 79 - Mt St Marys 61	-7
Incarnate Word 81 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 63 - Unranked 49
Indiana 86 - Montana State 63	0.927	Indiana 80 - Montana State 35	-22
Iona 75 - Albany 69	0.658	Iona 72 - Albany 68	2
Iowa State 78 - Missouri 74	0.611	Iowa State 76 - Missouri 59	-13
Kansas State 84 - Kennesaw St 56	0.959	Kansas State 56 - Kennesaw St 41	13
Kentucky 86 - Southern Illinois 64	0.921	Kentucky 71 - Southern Illinois 59	10
LIU Brooklyn 76 - Brown 70	0.675	LIU Brooklyn 83 - Brown 81	4
Louisiana State 77 - UNC Greensboro 69	0.688	Louisiana State 97 - UNC Greensboro 91	2
Loyola Ill 76 - Furman 64	0.787	Loyola Ill 58 - Furman 60	14
Massachusetts 76 - New Hampshire 65	0.793	Massachusetts 104 - New Hampshire 75	-18
Mercer 89 - Unranked 53		Mercer 105 - Unranked 52
Miami 85 - Lehigh 64	0.935	Miami 83 - Lehigh 62	0
Middle Tennessee 95 - Unranked 48		Middle Tennessee 102 - Unranked 70
Mississippi State 83 - Austin Peay 65	0.895	Mississippi State 95 - Austin Peay 67	-10
Missouri State 75 - Robert Morris 62	0.819	Missouri State 74 - Robert Morris 60	-1
Montana 72 - Georgia State 67	0.645	Montana 81 - Georgia State 74	-2
Navy 63 - Maryland 76	0.836	Navy 57 - Maryland 78	8
Nevada 84 - Pacific 66	0.906	Nevada 83 - Pacific 61	-4
New Mexico State 78 - Texas El Paso 60	0.874	New Mexico State 91 - Texas El Paso 66	-7
North Texas 87 - Unranked 57		North Texas 93 - Unranked 48
Northern Colorado 91 - Unranked 54		Northern Colorado 126 - Unranked 56
Northern Illinois 67 - Northern Kentucky 71	0.601	Northern Illinois 85 - Northern Kentucky 88	-1
Oakland 73 - Toledo 74	0.51	Oakland 86 - Toledo 87	0
Omaha 88 - Unranked 61		Omaha 94 - Unranked 58
Oral Roberts 87 - Unranked 58		Oral Roberts 79 - Unranked 62
Oregon 81 - Eastern Washington 65	0.858	Oregon 81 - Eastern Washington 47	-18
Penn State 88 - North Florida 63	0.94	Penn State 87 - North Florida 72	10
Pennsylvania 78 - Rice 64	0.873	Pennsylvania 92 - Rice 76	-2
Pittsburgh 79 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0.898	Pittsburgh 94 - Virginia Military Institute 55	-21
Princeton 89 - Unranked 54		Princeton 85 - Unranked 51
Radford 71 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.661	Radford 88 - Illinois Chicago 78	-5
Richmond 84 - Longwood 59	0.924	Richmond 58 - Longwood 63	30
Rutgers 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.86	Rutgers 90 - Fairleigh Dickinson 55	-19
Sacramento State 82 - Unranked 57		Sacramento State 76 - Unranked 52
Saint Francis Penn 75 - Morgan State 62	0.782	Saint Francis Penn 80 - Morgan State 60	-7
Saint Johns 82 - Bowling Green 65	0.847	Saint Johns 84 - Bowling Green 80	13
Saint Josephs 69 - Old Dominion 70	0.517	Saint Josephs 79 - Old Dominion 64	-16
Samford 69 - Jacksonville State 73	0.602	Samford 92 - Jacksonville State 72	-24
Santa Clara 74 - Prairie View 65	0.731	Santa Clara 64 - Prairie View 81	26
South Carolina 80 - Stony Brook 62	0.906	South Carolina 81 - Stony Brook 83	20
Southeast Louisiana 84 - Unranked 54		Southeast Louisiana 78 - Unranked 57
Temple 87 - Detroit 65	0.925	Temple 83 - Detroit 67	6
Tennessee 81 - UL Lafayette 68	0.807	Tennessee 87 - UL Lafayette 65	-9
Texas 76 - Arkansas 78	0.544	Texas 73 - Arkansas 71	-4
Texas AM 79 - UC Irvine 63	0.842	Texas AM 73 - UC Irvine 74	17
Texas AM CC 83 - Unranked 56		Texas AM CC 113 - Unranked 83
Texas Pan American 70 - Oklahoma 88	0.873	Texas Pan American 76 - Oklahoma 91	-3
Texas State 68 - Air Force 65	0.596	Texas State 67 - Air Force 57	-7
Texas Tech 91 - Mississippi Valley State 50	0.971	Texas Tech 84 - Mississippi Valley State 52	9
UC Davis 71 - San Diego 68	0.622	UC Davis 57 - San Diego 76	22
UCLA 88 - Long Beach State 68	0.922	UCLA 91 - Long Beach State 80	9
UNC Wilmington 73 - Stanford 79	0.67	UNC Wilmington 59 - Stanford 72	7
Utah State 76 - Hartford 64	0.795	Utah State 100 - Hartford 73	-15
Virginia Commonwealth 81 - Hampton 63	0.881	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Hampton 57	6
Virginia Tech 85 - Gardner Webb 63	0.934	Virginia Tech 87 - Gardner Webb 59	-6
Weber State 89 - Unranked 54		Weber State 123 - Unranked 53
West Virginia 85 - Buffalo 71	0.808	West Virginia 94 - Buffalo 99	19
Wichita State 78 - Providence 73	0.639	Wichita State 83 - Providence 80	2

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 78 - Youngstown State 68	0.769	Akron 98 - Youngstown State 69	-19
Baylor 85 - Southern 54	0.989	Baylor 80 - Southern 53	4
Belmont 76 - Illinois State 70	0.637	Belmont 100 - Illinois State 89	-5
Boise State 83 - Idaho State 61	0.928	Boise State 70 - Idaho State 72	24
Bradley 79 - SE Missouri State 66	0.81	Bradley 68 - SE Missouri State 57	2
Bucknell 80 - Fairfield 66	0.837	Bucknell 58 - Fairfield 60	16
Butler 84 - Miami OH 61	0.932	Butler 90 - Miami OH 68	1
Cal State Fullerton 89 - Unranked 56		Cal State Fullerton 106 - Unranked 53
Charlotte 68 - Oklahoma State 86	0.894	Charlotte 66 - Oklahoma State 64	-20
Chattanooga 72 - Eastern Kentucky 67	0.646	Chattanooga 78 - Eastern Kentucky 81	8
Cleveland State 67 - Kent State 70	0.598	Cleveland State 79 - Kent State 83	1
Colorado State 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.875	Colorado State 92 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	-8
Dayton 83 - Coppin State 55	0.957	Dayton 76 - Coppin State 46	-2
Duquesne 75 - William and Mary 76	0.52	Duquesne 84 - William and Mary 70	-15
Florida AM 78 - Unranked 62		Florida AM 62 - Unranked 55
Georgetown 84 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.957	Georgetown 85 - Central Connecticut State 78	18
Gonzaga 88 - Texas Southern 60	0.956	Gonzaga 104 - Texas Southern 67	-9
Grand Canyon 80 - Delaware State 52	0.954	Grand Canyon 89 - Delaware State 47	-14
Hawaii 87 - Unranked 54		Hawaii 90 - Unranked 54
High Point 67 - Wofford 71	0.592	High Point 60 - Wofford 68	4
Houston 90 - Alabama AM 48	0.973	Houston 101 - Alabama AM 54	-5
Houston Baptist 69 - Fordham 74	0.642	Houston Baptist 75 - Fordham 72	-8
Incarnate Word 81 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 66 - Unranked 54
IUPUI 69 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.593	IUPUI 71 - Eastern Illinois 65	-3
La Salle 80 - Lafayette 65	0.846	La Salle 76 - Lafayette 77	16
Lipscomb 73 - Tennessee State 66	0.693	Lipscomb 86 - Tennessee State 79	0
Long Beach State 91 - Unranked 58		Long Beach State 78 - Unranked 57
Marist 71 - Columbia 74	0.573	Marist 82 - Columbia 76	-9
Marquette 90 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.959	Marquette 92 - Bethune Cookman 59	-5
Michigan 84 - Holy Cross 52	0.998	Michigan 56 - Holy Cross 37	13
Milwaukee 73 - North Dakota 67	0.658	Milwaukee 60 - North Dakota 63	9
Mississippi 81 - Western Michigan 70	0.789	Mississippi 90 - Western Michigan 64	-15
Murray State 73 - Wright State 64	0.746	Murray State 73 - Wright State 54	-10
NC State 91 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.993	NC State 95 - Maryland Eastern Shore 49	-10
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Loyola Marymount 70	0.802	Nevada Las Vegas 50 - Loyola Marymount 61	23
Norfolk State 82 - Unranked 56		Norfolk State 74 - Unranked 46
North Alabama 75 - Unranked 71		North Alabama 72 - Unranked 59
Northern Arizona 68 - Jacksonville 66	0.544	Northern Arizona 97 - Jacksonville 82	-13
Oregon State 76 - Wyoming 72	0.636	Oregon State 83 - Wyoming 64	-15
Portland 69 - North Texas 75	0.654	Portland 73 - North Texas 78	-1
Portland State 78 - UC Riverside 67	0.792	Portland State 71 - UC Riverside 64	4
Purdue 87 - Ball State 62	0.932	Purdue 84 - Ball State 75	16
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Jackson State 53	0.978	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Jackson State 36	-2
Saint Louis 73 - Troy 65	0.715	Saint Louis 62 - Troy 58	4
Saint Peters 68 - Delaware 61	0.693	Saint Peters 75 - Delaware 78	10
San Francisco 82 - Maine 60	0.948	San Francisco 93 - Maine 50	-21
San Jose State 73 - Southern Utah 69	0.619	San Jose State 59 - Southern Utah 66	11
SIU Edwardsville 68 - Winthrop 76	0.743	SIU Edwardsville 82 - Winthrop 94	4
South Carolina Upstate 83 - Unranked 63		South Carolina Upstate 86 - Unranked 43
South Dakota State 95 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 86 - Unranked 63
Syracuse 83 - Morehead State 58	0.951	Syracuse 84 - Morehead State 70	11
Tennessee Tech 75 - Presbyterian 60	0.875	Tennessee Tech 65 - Presbyterian 80	30
Texas Arlington 72 - Northern Iowa 70	0.57	Texas Arlington 74 - Northern Iowa 65	-7
Toledo 93 - Unranked 53		Toledo 99 - Unranked 58
Tulsa 86 - South Carolina State 58	0.958	Tulsa 74 - South Carolina State 52	6
UL Monroe 85 - Unranked 55		UL Monroe 94 - Unranked 52
UMass Lowell 70 - Wagner 73	0.603	UMass Lowell 88 - Wagner 84	-7
UMBC 89 - Unranked 55		UMBC 93 - Unranked 45
Villanova 95 - Quinnipiac 55	0.971	Villanova 86 - Quinnipiac 53	7
Wake Forest 85 - North Carolina AT 61	0.955	Wake Forest 90 - North Carolina AT 78	12
Western Carolina 63 - College of Charleston 73	0.781	Western Carolina 74 - College of Charleston 77	-7
Western Illinois 82 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 56
Western Kentucky 81 - Tennessee Martin 60	0.919	Western Kentucky 86 - Tennessee Martin 71	6
Xavier 84 - Evansville 64	0.904	Xavier 91 - Evansville 85	14

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 84 - Appalachian State 62	0.898	Alabama 81 - Appalachian State 73	14
Alabama State 80 - Unranked 61		Alabama State 97 - Unranked 63
Arizona 90 - Cal Poly 56	0.982	Arizona 82 - Cal Poly 61	13
Boston 86 - Unranked 56		Boston 94 - Unranked 57
Boston College 85 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.925	Boston College 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	17
Central Florida 76 - Florida Atlantic 60	0.855	Central Florida 79 - Florida Atlantic 80	17
Connecticut 80 - UMKC 64	0.852	Connecticut 94 - UMKC 66	-12
Cornell 73 - Colgate 72	0.501	Cornell 57 - Colgate 73	17
Creighton 80 - East Tennessee State 67	0.799	Creighton 75 - East Tennessee State 69	7
Duke 94 - Army 58	0.993	Duke 94 - Army 72	14
East Carolina 73 - Lamar 69	0.605	East Carolina 84 - Lamar 78	-2
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 51		Eastern Michigan 97 - Unranked 74
Hawaii 72 - North Texas 69	0.592	Hawaii 51 - North Texas 68	20
Howard 80 - Unranked 62		Howard 99 - Unranked 71
Iowa 87 - Green Bay 70	0.88	Iowa 93 - Green Bay 82	6
Louisiana Tech 74 - Sam Houston State 64	0.776	Louisiana Tech 76 - Sam Houston State 69	3
Loyola MD 70 - Dartmouth 67	0.593	Loyola MD 80 - Dartmouth 82	5
Marshall 81 - Hofstra 73	0.711	Marshall 76 - Hofstra 72	4
Michigan State 84 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.921	Michigan State 106 - Florida Gulf Coast 82	-2
Mississippi State 82 - Hartford 62	0.905	Mississippi State 77 - Hartford 59	2
Missouri State 80 - Stetson 61	0.898	Missouri State 83 - Stetson 70	6
Montana State 86 - Unranked 60		Montana State 83 - Unranked 68
Nebraska 80 - Southeast Louisiana 60	0.892	Nebraska 87 - Southeast Louisiana 35	-32
NJ Tech 73 - Brown 68	0.662	NJ Tech 63 - Brown 60	2
North Dakota State 70 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.548	North Dakota State 82 - UC Santa Barbara 63	-17
Northern Kentucky 90 - Unranked 52		Northern Kentucky 99 - Unranked 59
Ohio State 86 - IPFW 65	0.915	Ohio State 107 - IPFW 61	-25
Rutgers 77 - Drexel 65	0.789	Rutgers 95 - Drexel 66	-17
Saint Marys 78 - Utah Valley 63	0.815	Saint Marys 92 - Utah Valley 63	-14
Savannah State 88 - Unranked 65		Savannah State 105 - Unranked 95
Seattle 80 - Bryant 62	0.886	Seattle 82 - Bryant 59	-5
South Alabama 86 - Unranked 57		South Alabama 106 - Unranked 76
Southern California 80 - Vanderbilt 73	0.699	Southern California 78 - Vanderbilt 82	11
Southern Methodist 79 - Southern Miss 61	0.857	Southern Methodist 64 - Southern Miss 74	28
Texas Christian 87 - Oral Roberts 63	0.938	Texas Christian 79 - Oral Roberts 62	7
Towson 89 - Unranked 54		Towson 93 - Unranked 66
Tulane 71 - Florida State 84	0.817	Tulane 69 - Florida State 80	-2
Virginia 81 - George Washington 55	0.935	Virginia 76 - George Washington 57	7
Virginia Military Institute 81 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 98 - Unranked 34
Washington State 77 - Nicholls State 69	0.709	Washington State 89 - Nicholls State 72	-9

Number of DI Games: 266
Number Correct: 216 = 81.2%
Expected Number Correct: 214.996 = 80.8%
Average Error: 10.68
Average Signed Error: 2.07

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 86 - Long Beach State 68	0.916	Arizona State 90 - Long Beach State 58	-14
Arkansas 84 - UC Davis 62	0.93	Arkansas 81 - UC Davis 58	-1
Arkansas State 85 - Unranked 62		Arkansas State 89 - Unranked 54
Baylor 80 - Prairie View 64	0.853	Baylor 91 - Prairie View 80	5
Belmont 73 - Middle Tennessee 74	0.537	Belmont 92 - Middle Tennessee 73	-20
Binghamton 80 - Unranked 62		Binghamton 107 - Unranked 64
Butler 94 - Detroit 60	0.974	Butler 84 - Detroit 63	13
Central Arkansas 88 - Unranked 61		Central Arkansas 93 - Unranked 52
DePaul 82 - Morgan State 60	0.933	DePaul 91 - Morgan State 63	-6
Duquesne 79 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.819	Duquesne 89 - Illinois Chicago 88	11
Grand Canyon 82 - Jacksonville 56	0.957	Grand Canyon 76 - Jacksonville 59	9
Incarnate Word 79 - Unranked 63		Incarnate Word 70 - Unranked 59
Iowa State 83 - Texas Southern 66	0.867	Iowa State 85 - Texas Southern 73	5
James Madison 89 - Unranked 55		James Madison 82 - Unranked 59
Kansas 84 - Vermont 66	0.902	Kansas 84 - Vermont 68	2
Kansas State 77 - Denver 59	0.884	Kansas State 64 - Denver 56	10
Maryland 88 - North Carolina AT 58	0.977	Maryland 82 - North Carolina AT 59	7
Miami OH 90 - Unranked 56		Miami OH 91 - Unranked 42
Minnesota 77 - Utah 73	0.583	Minnesota 78 - Utah 69	-5
Montana 96 - Unranked 52		Montana 79 - Unranked 55
New Hampshire 84 - Unranked 61		New Hampshire 100 - Unranked 61
New Orleans 85 - Unranked 60		New Orleans 87 - Unranked 59
Niagara 73 - Saint Bonaventure 79	0.706	Niagara 80 - Saint Bonaventure 72	-14
North Carolina 85 - Stanford 68	0.87	North Carolina 90 - Stanford 72	-1
Northwestern 81 - American 60	0.93	Northwestern 63 - American 51	9
Ohio 79 - Campbell 67	0.772	Ohio 81 - Campbell 73	4
Penn State 83 - Jacksonville State 58	0.925	Penn State 76 - Jacksonville State 61	10
Pittsburgh 76 - Troy 64	0.826	Pittsburgh 84 - Troy 75	3
Presbyterian 85 - Unranked 58		Presbyterian 109 - Unranked 57
Rice 80 - Alabama AM 62	0.946	Rice 73 - Alabama AM 59	4
Sacred Heart 88 - Unranked 66		Sacred Heart 114 - Unranked 72
Saint Josephs 85 - Monmouth 63	0.909	Saint Josephs 78 - Monmouth 63	7
Samford 78 - Kennesaw St 65	0.821	Samford 74 - Kennesaw St 60	-1
San Francisco 97 - Unranked 50		San Francisco 88 - Unranked 54
SE Missouri State 87 - Unranked 61		SE Missouri State 102 - Unranked 66
South Dakota 83 - Northern Arizona 63	0.922	South Dakota 90 - Northern Arizona 74	4
South Florida 75 - Austin Peay 70	0.635	South Florida 74 - Austin Peay 70	1
Southern Illinois 69 - Buffalo 79	0.794	Southern Illinois 53 - Buffalo 62	-1
Texas 82 - UL Monroe 62	0.934	Texas 65 - UL Monroe 55	10
Texas AM CC 74 - Texas Pan American 69	0.612	Texas AM CC 69 - Texas Pan American 76	12
Texas San Antonio 74 - Oklahoma 80	0.648	Texas San Antonio 67 - Oklahoma 87	14
The Citadel 93 - Unranked 66		The Citadel 148 - Unranked 75
UC Irvine 94 - Unranked 50		UC Irvine 87 - Unranked 53
UMBC 70 - Manhattan 61	0.719	UMBC 75 - Manhattan 52	-14
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Bowling Green 66	0.86	Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Bowling Green 61	2
Washington 75 - San Diego 69	0.683	Washington 66 - San Diego 63	3
Youngstown State 84 - Unranked 63		Youngstown State 106 - Unranked 83

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 86 - Unranked 62		Bethune Cookman 104 - Unranked 44
Brigham Young 88 - Northwestern State 57	0.988	Brigham Young 82 - Northwestern State 57	6
Bucknell 79 - Canisius 69	0.75	Bucknell 73 - Canisius 82	19
California 73 - Hampton 67	0.663	California 80 - Hampton 66	-8
Central Connecticut State 74 - UMass Lowell 71	0.599	Central Connecticut State 86 - UMass Lowell 74	-9
Charleston Southern 75 - South Carolina State 64	0.797	Charleston Southern 89 - South Carolina State 72	-6
Chattanooga 88 - Unranked 57		Chattanooga 92 - Unranked 61
Cincinnati 79 - North Carolina Central 52	0.961	Cincinnati 73 - North Carolina Central 51	5
Cleveland State 85 - Unranked 59		Cleveland State 94 - Unranked 65
College of Charleston 70 - Rhode Island 73	0.587	College of Charleston 66 - Rhode Island 55	-14
Colorado 79 - Drake 65	0.807	Colorado 100 - Drake 71	-15
Dartmouth 89 - Unranked 59		Dartmouth 100 - Unranked 54
Delaware 91 - Unranked 56		Delaware 100 - Unranked 62
Eastern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 60		Eastern Kentucky 107 - Unranked 52
Fairfield 78 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.816	Fairfield 87 - LIU Brooklyn 89	13
Florida International 73 - Milwaukee 64	0.755	Florida International 86 - Milwaukee 83	6
Furman 80 - Gardner Webb 60	0.939	Furman 88 - Gardner Webb 86	18
Georgia Southern 76 - George Mason 68	0.732	Georgia Southern 98 - George Mason 89	-1
Georgia State 76 - Mercer 67	0.763	Georgia State 62 - Mercer 60	7
Howard 85 - Unranked 64		Howard 108 - Unranked 51
Idaho 78 - Nicholls State 69	0.742	Idaho 80 - Nicholls State 83	12
Illinois 83 - Georgetown 68	0.8	Illinois 80 - Georgetown 88	23
Illinois State 86 - Chicago State 59	0.96	Illinois State 75 - Chicago State 71	23
IPFW 93 - Unranked 61		IPFW 111 - Unranked 65
Kent State 93 - Unranked 56		Kent State 90 - Unranked 69
Lehigh 80 - Marist 65	0.874	Lehigh 78 - Marist 72	9
Liberty 87 - Unranked 53		Liberty 93 - Unranked 40
Louisiana State 83 - Memphis 71	0.802	Louisiana State 85 - Memphis 76	3
Louisiana Tech 97 - Unranked 50		Louisiana Tech 89 - Unranked 58
Louisville 87 - Southern 55	0.979	Louisville 104 - Southern 54	-18
Loyola Marymount 80 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.92	Loyola Marymount 79 - Cal State Northridge 64	3
Loyola MD 77 - Delaware State 59	0.902	Loyola MD 91 - Delaware State 62	-11
Maryland Eastern Shore 64 - Longwood 68	0.592	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Longwood 66	-1
Massachusetts 75 - Harvard 68	0.716	Massachusetts 71 - Harvard 74	10
Miami 81 - Stephen F Austin 63	0.879	Miami 96 - Stephen F Austin 58	-20
NC State 87 - UNC Asheville 67	0.893	NC State 100 - UNC Asheville 49	-31
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - UC Riverside 64	0.806	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - UC Riverside 51	-9
New Mexico 76 - Iona 75	0.54	New Mexico 90 - Iona 83	-6
Northern Colorado 80 - Pepperdine 69	0.767	Northern Colorado 88 - Pepperdine 80	3
Oakland 77 - Western Michigan 71	0.687	Oakland 77 - Western Michigan 85	14
Oral Roberts 74 - Cal Baptist 66	0.773	Oral Roberts 69 - Cal Baptist 70	9
Pacific 90 - Unranked 55		Pacific 91 - Unranked 66
Pennsylvania 81 - Lafayette 67	0.884	Pennsylvania 91 - Lafayette 61	-16
Providence 79 - Holy Cross 63	0.919	Providence 70 - Holy Cross 61	7
Saint Louis 80 - North Alabama 56	0.969	Saint Louis 69 - North Alabama 58	13
Savannah State 78 - Tennessee Tech 74	0.644	Savannah State 97 - Tennessee Tech 83	-10
South Carolina 77 - Norfolk State 63	0.858	South Carolina 81 - Norfolk State 64	-3
Temple 70 - Georgia 73	0.606	Temple 81 - Georgia 77	-7
Tennessee 80 - Georgia Tech 64	0.867	Tennessee 66 - Georgia Tech 53	3
Tennessee State 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	0.695	Tennessee State 67 - Arkansas Little Rock 83	23
Texas State 87 - Unranked 53		Texas State 97 - Unranked 52
Texas Tech 83 - Southeast Louisiana 56	0.957	Texas Tech 59 - Southeast Louisiana 40	8
Tulane 74 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.58	Tulane 81 - Coastal Carolina 76	-2
UC Santa Barbara 90 - Unranked 56		UC Santa Barbara 88 - Unranked 32
UNC Wilmington 70 - UNC Greensboro 76	0.711	UNC Wilmington 61 - UNC Greensboro 82	15
Utah State 89 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.953	Utah State 94 - Mississippi Valley State 59	-6
Wagner 86 - Unranked 58		Wagner 90 - Unranked 58
Winthrop 95 - Unranked 58		Winthrop 134 - Unranked 99
Wofford 92 - Unranked 52		Wofford 94 - Unranked 35
Xavier 80 - Wisconsin 73	0.693	Xavier 68 - Wisconsin 77	16

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 83 - New Orleans 60	0.937	Alabama Birmingham 75 - New Orleans 68	16
Alabama State 84 - Unranked 60		Alabama State 86 - Unranked 44
Albany 71 - Boston 69	0.57	Albany 61 - Boston 71	12
Arizona 85 - Texas El Paso 61	0.949	Arizona 79 - Texas El Paso 46	-9
Auburn 105 - Unranked 50		Auburn 103 - Unranked 52
Boston College 79 - IUPUI 64	0.886	Boston College 69 - IUPUI 76	22
Bradley 73 - Jacksonville State 61	0.78	Bradley 74 - Jacksonville State 65	3
Bryant 64 - Saint Peters 76	0.874	Bryant 71 - Saint Peters 63	-20
Clemson 83 - Sam Houston State 61	0.947	Clemson 74 - Sam Houston State 59	7
Colgate 91 - Unranked 55		Colgate 86 - Unranked 68
Colorado State 82 - Montana State 62	0.914	Colorado State 81 - Montana State 77	16
Drexel 88 - Unranked 60		Drexel 118 - Unranked 41
Duke 89 - Eastern Michigan 61	0.954	Duke 84 - Eastern Michigan 46	-10
Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Unranked 61		Fairleigh Dickinson 87 - Unranked 48
Florida 83 - La Salle 61	0.936	Florida 82 - La Salle 69	9
Hofstra 81 - North Carolina AT 63	0.937	Hofstra 92 - North Carolina AT 72	-2
Houston 87 - Rice 62	0.959	Houston 79 - Rice 68	14
Indiana 76 - Marquette 72	0.632	Indiana 96 - Marquette 73	-19
Indiana State 91 - Unranked 57		Indiana State 80 - Unranked 63
Kentucky 87 - North Dakota 64	0.92	Kentucky 96 - North Dakota 58	-15
Loyola Ill 82 - Niagara 65	0.884	Loyola Ill 75 - Niagara 62	4
Marshall 85 - Mt St Marys 61	0.944	Marshall 98 - Mt St Marys 75	1
Michigan State 90 - UL Monroe 61	0.963	Michigan State 80 - UL Monroe 59	8
Navy 76 - Coppin State 60	0.883	Navy 77 - Coppin State 58	-3
Nebraska 77 - Seton Hall 70	0.671	Nebraska 80 - Seton Hall 57	-16
New Mexico State 74 - Saint Marys 72	0.556	New Mexico State 58 - Saint Marys 73	17
NJ Tech 89 - Unranked 54		NJ Tech 73 - Unranked 40
North Florida 92 - Unranked 61		North Florida 95 - Unranked 83
North Texas 94 - Unranked 53		North Texas 102 - Unranked 53
Notre Dame 80 - Radford 65	0.889	Notre Dame 60 - Radford 63	18
Oklahoma State 77 - Texas San Antonio 70	0.668	Oklahoma State 82 - Texas San Antonio 60	-15
Omaha 78 - Northern Arizona 73	0.656	Omaha 66 - Northern Arizona 76	15
Richmond 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.695	Richmond 88 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 66	-14
Robert Morris 85 - Unranked 58		Robert Morris 104 - Unranked 57
Samford 93 - Unranked 58		Samford 66 - Unranked 57
San Diego State 77 - Texas Southern 65	0.777	San Diego State 103 - Texas Southern 64	-27
Seattle 72 - Washington State 76	0.615	Seattle 78 - Washington State 69	-13
Southern California 87 - Stetson 62	0.958	Southern California 95 - Stetson 59	-11
Southern Methodist 79 - Western Carolina 63	0.863	Southern Methodist 98 - Western Carolina 65	-17
Texas Pan American 73 - Prairie View 75	0.576	Texas Pan American 70 - Prairie View 57	-15
The Citadel 93 - Unranked 66		The Citadel 137 - Unranked 60
Vermont 96 - Unranked 50		Vermont 122 - Unranked 56
Villanova 75 - Michigan 69	0.68	Villanova 46 - Michigan 73	33
Virginia Military Institute 71 - South Carolina Upstate 70	0.53	Virginia Military Institute 78 - South Carolina Upstate 72	-5
Western Illinois 87 - Unranked 59		Western Illinois 95 - Unranked 56
Wright State 72 - Toledo 73	0.523	Wright State 84 - Toledo 74	-11
Wyoming 78 - Grambling State 68	0.738	Wyoming 86 - Grambling State 78	2

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 61 - Purdue 89	0.96	Appalachian State 70 - Purdue 92	-6
Bethune Cookman 86 - Unranked 62		Bethune Cookman 97 - Unranked 47
Bowling Green 73 - North Carolina Central 65	0.737	Bowling Green 75 - North Carolina Central 60	-7
Brigham Young 85 - Oral Roberts 61	0.944	Brigham Young 85 - Oral Roberts 65	4
Cal State Fullerton 72 - Central Florida 77	0.646	Cal State Fullerton 52 - Central Florida 68	11
Central Michigan 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.681	Central Michigan 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	-5
Connecticut 68 - Syracuse 77	0.787	Connecticut 83 - Syracuse 76	-16
Cornell 70 - Delaware 73	0.625	Cornell 56 - Delaware 73	14
Creighton 73 - Ohio State 80	0.698	Creighton 60 - Ohio State 69	2
Davidson 72 - Wichita State 76	0.591	Davidson 57 - Wichita State 53	-8
Denver 73 - Abilene Christian 65	0.703	Denver 61 - Abilene Christian 67	14
DePaul 71 - Penn State 75	0.634	DePaul 72 - Penn State 70	-6
Elon 90 - Unranked 58		Elon 98 - Unranked 71
Evansville 92 - Unranked 58		Evansville 92 - Unranked 72
Furman 95 - Unranked 50		Furman 107 - Unranked 67
Gonzaga 87 - Texas AM 67	0.908	Gonzaga 94 - Texas AM 71	-3
Idaho State 72 - Pacific 71	0.551	Idaho State 76 - Pacific 83	8
Illinois Chicago 75 - William and Mary 76	0.533	Illinois Chicago 100 - William and Mary 95	-6
Iowa 72 - Oregon 82	0.767	Iowa 77 - Oregon 69	-18
Lipscomb 75 - Belmont 79	0.621	Lipscomb 83 - Belmont 87	0
Northeastern 70 - Alabama 76	0.676	Northeastern 68 - Alabama 52	-22
Pittsburgh 81 - Central Arkansas 63	0.886	Pittsburgh 97 - Central Arkansas 71	-8
Presbyterian 85 - Unranked 58		Presbyterian 102 - Unranked 49
Quinnipiac 73 - Hartford 65	0.748	Quinnipiac 54 - Hartford 68	22
San Diego 95 - Unranked 52		San Diego 95 - Unranked 47
Santa Clara 61 - UC Irvine 75	0.81	Santa Clara 49 - UC Irvine 61	-2
Tennessee State 86 - Unranked 56		Tennessee State 92 - Unranked 57
Texas Christian 77 - Fresno State 69	0.746	Texas Christian 77 - Fresno State 69	0
Troy 70 - Southern Miss 71	0.548	Troy 66 - Southern Miss 81	14
Utah 88 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.96	Utah 98 - Mississippi Valley State 63	-2
Virginia Tech 80 - Ball State 72	0.714	Virginia Tech 73 - Ball State 64	-1
Wake Forest 74 - Saint Josephs 77	0.582	Wake Forest 69 - Saint Josephs 89	17
Weber State 75 - San Jose State 63	0.829	Weber State 85 - San Jose State 77	4
West Virginia 88 - Monmouth 66	0.916	West Virginia 71 - Monmouth 53	4
Western Kentucky 74 - Valparaiso 70	0.594	Western Kentucky 83 - Valparaiso 71	-8

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 85 - Chicago State 60	0.947	Akron 87 - Chicago State 46	-16
Alabama 75 - Ball State 72	0.59	Alabama 79 - Ball State 61	-15
American 76 - New Hampshire 64	0.802	American 68 - New Hampshire 44	-12
Army 81 - Sacred Heart 69	0.824	Army 78 - Sacred Heart 79	13
Baylor 83 - Nicholls State 63	0.917	Baylor 81 - Nicholls State 54	-7
Boise State 78 - Jackson State 54	0.946	Boise State 70 - Jackson State 53	7
Brown 74 - UMass Lowell 71	0.645	Brown 82 - UMass Lowell 74	-5
Butler 82 - Mississippi 72	0.761	Butler 83 - Mississippi 76	3
Cal State Fullerton 74 - Wake Forest 82	0.769	Cal State Fullerton 59 - Wake Forest 66	-1
Campbell 73 - Florida AM 66	0.706	Campbell 66 - Florida AM 59	0
Central Connecticut State 71 - Austin Peay 74	0.57	Central Connecticut State 78 - Austin Peay 80	-1
Central Florida 69 - Saint Josephs 76	0.677	Central Florida 77 - Saint Josephs 57	-27
Central Michigan 79 - Weber State 72	0.678	Central Michigan 76 - Weber State 78	9
Charlotte 69 - James Madison 70	0.518	Charlotte 59 - James Madison 64	4
Cincinnati 80 - Milwaukee 51	0.989	Cincinnati 74 - Milwaukee 63	18
Cleveland State 75 - South Carolina State 64	0.828	Cleveland State 84 - South Carolina State 69	-4
Colorado 86 - Omaha 64	0.931	Colorado 79 - Omaha 75	18
Davidson 67 - Purdue 83	0.874	Davidson 58 - Purdue 79	5
Dayton 82 - IPFW 68	0.855	Dayton 91 - IPFW 80	3
Eastern Washington 74 - Green Bay 69	0.666	Eastern Washington 78 - Green Bay 82	9
Florida Atlantic 74 - Georgia Southern 73	0.518	Florida Atlantic 70 - Georgia Southern 80	11
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - South Dakota State 77	0.669	Florida Gulf Coast 84 - South Dakota State 78	-11
Fordham 68 - Florida International 72	0.611	Fordham 83 - Florida International 77	-10
Georgia 81 - Sam Houston State 62	0.917	Georgia 75 - Sam Houston State 64	8
Georgia Tech 79 - East Carolina 62	0.911	Georgia Tech 79 - East Carolina 54	-8
Grand Canyon 81 - Arkansas State 61	0.917	Grand Canyon 96 - Arkansas State 72	-4
Holy Cross 68 - Stony Brook 73	0.667	Holy Cross 84 - Stony Brook 70	-19
Incarnate Word 56 - Montana 84	0.964	Incarnate Word 66 - Montana 93	-1
Iowa 78 - Connecticut 76	0.551	Iowa 91 - Connecticut 72	-17
Kansas 89 - UL Lafayette 68	0.916	Kansas 89 - UL Lafayette 76	8
Kansas State 79 - Eastern Kentucky 62	0.914	Kansas State 95 - Eastern Kentucky 68	-10
Kent State 72 - Liberty 65	0.681	Kent State 70 - Liberty 77	14
Lehigh 76 - Princeton 69	0.682	Lehigh 72 - Princeton 57	-8
Longwood 75 - Delaware State 56	0.88	Longwood 89 - Delaware State 73	3
Louisiana State 80 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.661	Louisiana State 74 - Louisiana Tech 67	-1
Louisville 78 - Vermont 67	0.786	Louisville 86 - Vermont 78	3
Loyola Ill 82 - Grambling State 58	0.935	Loyola Ill 80 - Grambling State 64	8
Loyola Marymount 70 - Georgetown 73	0.57	Loyola Marymount 65 - Georgetown 52	-16
Manhattan 63 - Coastal Carolina 72	0.772	Manhattan 55 - Coastal Carolina 53	-11
Maryland 81 - Hofstra 66	0.905	Maryland 80 - Hofstra 69	4
Massachusetts 85 - Howard 64	0.919	Massachusetts 63 - Howard 68	26
Mcneese State 85 - Unranked 59		Mcneese State 78 - Unranked 79
Mercer 78 - Tennessee Martin 64	0.878	Mercer 77 - Tennessee Martin 60	-3
Middle Tennessee 83 - Charleston Southern 56	0.95	Middle Tennessee 76 - Charleston Southern 73	24
Mississippi State 82 - Long Beach State 65	0.892	Mississippi State 79 - Long Beach State 51	-11
Missouri 76 - Kennesaw St 61	0.862	Missouri 55 - Kennesaw St 52	12
Monmouth 67 - Valparaiso 76	0.717	Monmouth 53 - Valparaiso 64	2
Murray State 95 - Unranked 48		Murray State 106 - Unranked 36
Nevada 86 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	0.958	Nevada 87 - Arkansas Little Rock 59	1
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Oakland 74	0.541	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Oakland 61	-12
North Carolina 96 - Tennessee Tech 55	0.973	North Carolina 108 - Tennessee Tech 58	-9
North Dakota State 73 - Miami OH 67	0.659	North Dakota State 78 - Miami OH 89	17
Northeastern 70 - Virginia Tech 81	0.801	Northeastern 60 - Virginia Tech 88	17
Northern Kentucky 77 - UNC Asheville 70	0.686	Northern Kentucky 77 - UNC Asheville 50	-20
Northwestern 86 - Binghamton 52	0.978	Northwestern 82 - Binghamton 54	6
Old Dominion 71 - Oregon State 69	0.545	Old Dominion 56 - Oregon State 61	7
Oregon 73 - Syracuse 71	0.573	Oregon 80 - Syracuse 65	-13
Pennsylvania 71 - Northern Iowa 68	0.61	Pennsylvania 78 - Northern Iowa 71	-4
Pepperdine 71 - Towson 74	0.602	Pepperdine 74 - Towson 65	-12
Rhode Island 78 - Harvard 62	0.919	Rhode Island 76 - Harvard 74	14
Richmond 73 - IUPUI 68	0.622	Richmond 78 - IUPUI 70	-3
Rutgers 77 - Saint Johns 70	0.683	Rutgers 65 - Saint Johns 84	26
Savannah State 76 - Gardner Webb 77	0.515	Savannah State 77 - Gardner Webb 97	19
SE Missouri State 75 - Jacksonville 65	0.777	SE Missouri State 77 - Jacksonville 71	4
Siena 72 - Norfolk State 69	0.593	Siena 61 - Norfolk State 58	0
South Alabama 73 - Chattanooga 71	0.555	South Alabama 73 - Chattanooga 54	-17
South Dakota 77 - High Point 64	0.843	South Dakota 56 - High Point 60	17
South Florida 67 - Ohio 74	0.67	South Florida 73 - Ohio 46	-34
Temple 81 - Loyola MD 61	0.944	Temple 81 - Loyola MD 67	6
Texas 91 - The Citadel 67	0.953	Texas 97 - The Citadel 69	-4
Texas Arlington 82 - Texas AM CC 62	0.901	Texas Arlington 67 - Texas AM CC 73	26
Tulsa 82 - Cal Baptist 57	0.968	Tulsa 82 - Cal Baptist 79	22
UCLA 84 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.925	UCLA 95 - Saint Francis Penn 58	-18
UMBC 70 - Air Force 64	0.647	UMBC 77 - Air Force 72	1
UMKC 69 - Morehead State 75	0.69	UMKC 89 - Morehead State 99	4
UNC Greensboro 94 - Unranked 53		UNC Greensboro 105 - Unranked 57
Utah State 81 - Utah Valley 70	0.779	Utah State 65 - Utah Valley 46	-8
Vanderbilt 87 - Alcorn State 56	0.973	Vanderbilt 79 - Alcorn State 54	6
Virginia 90 - Coppin State 45	0.969	Virginia 97 - Coppin State 40	-12
West Virginia 82 - Western Kentucky 72	0.743	West Virginia 57 - Western Kentucky 63	16
Wichita State 82 - Appalachian State 67	0.851	Wichita State 82 - Appalachian State 76	9
Wyoming 78 - Niagara 75	0.564	Wyoming 67 - Niagara 72	8
Youngstown State 71 - Columbia 73	0.565	Youngstown State 94 - Columbia 83	-13

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 77 - UMass Lowell 70	0.718	Army 85 - UMass Lowell 92	14
Brigham Young 89 - Alabama AM 54	0.969	Brigham Young 91 - Alabama AM 60	4
Brown 79 - Sacred Heart 69	0.791	Brown 82 - Sacred Heart 77	5
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - San Jose State 60	0.814	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - San Jose State 72	10
Cal State Northridge 74 - Portland 73	0.52	Cal State Northridge 77 - Portland 80	4
Canisius 73 - Albany 67	0.678	Canisius 66 - Albany 75	15
Coastal Carolina 72 - UNC Asheville 71	0.527	Coastal Carolina 78 - UNC Asheville 52	-25
Columbia 71 - Florida International 73	0.567	Columbia 87 - Florida International 98	9
Drake 71 - Texas State 67	0.624	Drake 75 - Texas State 69	-2
Duquesne 72 - Radford 71	0.512	Duquesne 69 - Radford 64	-4
Eastern Illinois 71 - Western Illinois 68	0.594	Eastern Illinois 68 - Western Illinois 66	1
Eastern Kentucky 67 - Northern Iowa 73	0.71	Eastern Kentucky 85 - Northern Iowa 90	-1
Eastern Michigan 72 - Boston 66	0.678	Eastern Michigan 80 - Boston 62	-12
Eastern Washington 74 - UMKC 64	0.767	Eastern Washington 87 - UMKC 80	3
Fairfield 76 - Wagner 63	0.838	Fairfield 73 - Wagner 79	19
Fordham 74 - Youngstown State 66	0.726	Fordham 67 - Youngstown State 61	2
George Mason 76 - Southern 64	0.867	George Mason 69 - Southern 65	8
George Washington 58 - Michigan 81	0.949	George Washington 61 - Michigan 84	0
Green Bay 74 - Morehead State 75	0.55	Green Bay 87 - Morehead State 70	-18
Illinois Chicago 69 - Bradley 72	0.601	Illinois Chicago 71 - Bradley 70	-4
Kennesaw St 59 - Old Dominion 77	0.894	Kennesaw St 47 - Old Dominion 65	0
La Salle 76 - Drexel 69	0.727	La Salle 84 - Drexel 89	12
Lamar 72 - Prairie View 75	0.59	Lamar 74 - Prairie View 67	-10
Marquette 86 - Presbyterian 58	0.998	Marquette 74 - Presbyterian 55	9
Memphis 74 - Yale 69	0.645	Memphis 109 - Yale 102	-2
Miami 90 - Bethune Cookman 56	0.97	Miami 78 - Bethune Cookman 70	26
Miami OH 66 - Montana 78	0.814	Miami OH 71 - Montana 73	-10
NC State 92 - Maine 56	0.979	NC State 82 - Maine 63	17
New Mexico 70 - New Mexico State 79	0.726	New Mexico 94 - New Mexico State 98	-5
NJ Tech 75 - Cornell 64	0.847	NJ Tech 73 - Cornell 86	24
Norfolk State 69 - Stony Brook 76	0.737	Norfolk State 65 - Stony Brook 72	0
North Dakota 90 - Unranked 58		North Dakota 112 - Unranked 58
North Dakota State 79 - Incarnate Word 56	0.919	North Dakota State 78 - Incarnate Word 80	25
North Texas 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.953	North Texas 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 34	-9
Northern Illinois 89 - Unranked 57		Northern Illinois 73 - Unranked 66
Northern Kentucky 77 - Manhattan 62	0.876	Northern Kentucky 59 - Manhattan 53	9
Notre Dame 85 - William and Mary 67	0.897	Notre Dame 73 - William and Mary 64	9
Pepperdine 70 - Georgia Southern 76	0.649	Pepperdine 78 - Georgia Southern 88	4
Pittsburgh 83 - North Alabama 56	0.978	Pittsburgh 71 - North Alabama 66	22
Portland State 91 - Unranked 59		Portland State 125 - Unranked 61
Providence 75 - South Carolina 70	0.644	Providence 76 - South Carolina 67	-4
Rice 79 - Northwestern State 65	0.868	Rice 102 - Northwestern State 74	-14
Robert Morris 76 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.845	Robert Morris 68 - Mississippi Valley State 59	5
SE Missouri State 70 - Chattanooga 74	0.635	SE Missouri State 63 - Chattanooga 42	-25
Seton Hall 79 - Saint Louis 61	0.916	Seton Hall 64 - Saint Louis 66	20
South Alabama 78 - Jacksonville 62	0.857	South Alabama 48 - Jacksonville 71	39
Southeast Louisiana 73 - Stetson 67	0.661	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Stetson 57	-6
Southern Illinois 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	0.918	Southern Illinois 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 48	-10
Southern Methodist 76 - Lipscomb 71	0.641	Southern Methodist 73 - Lipscomb 79	11
Tennessee State 86 - Unranked 56		Tennessee State 113 - Unranked 61
Texas AM CC 66 - UC Davis 69	0.586	Texas AM CC 54 - UC Davis 57	0
Towson 71 - Florida Atlantic 73	0.578	Towson 71 - Florida Atlantic 85	12
UC Riverside 84 - Unranked 59		UC Riverside 63 - Unranked 53
UC Santa Barbara 78 - Montana State 61	0.885	UC Santa Barbara 88 - Montana State 69	-2
UMBC 69 - High Point 65	0.615	UMBC 68 - High Point 59	-5
Villanova 82 - Furman 65	0.881	Villanova 68 - Furman 76	25
Western Carolina 87 - Unranked 61		Western Carolina 94 - Unranked 55
Western Michigan 91 - Unranked 57		Western Michigan 99 - Unranked 52
Winthrop 75 - East Tennessee State 72	0.61	Winthrop 74 - East Tennessee State 76	5
Wisconsin 86 - Houston Baptist 59	0.961	Wisconsin 96 - Houston Baptist 59	-10
Wright State 79 - North Florida 68	0.784	Wright State 89 - North Florida 72	-6

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 96 - Unranked 52		Alabama Birmingham 77 - Unranked 47
Appalachian State 68 - Ball State 80	0.776	Appalachian State 86 - Ball State 94	-4
Arkansas 75 - Indiana 76	0.514	Arkansas 73 - Indiana 72	-2
Brown 69 - Army 73	0.617	Brown 86 - Army 66	-24
Campbell 75 - Austin Peay 74	0.53	Campbell 78 - Austin Peay 72	-5
Central Connecticut State 69 - Florida AM 65	0.614	Central Connecticut State 89 - Florida AM 75	-10
Central Michigan 81 - San Jose State 63	0.898	Central Michigan 76 - San Jose State 74	16
Chattanooga 76 - Jacksonville 62	0.833	Chattanooga 66 - Jacksonville 74	22
Cleveland State 70 - Samford 75	0.635	Cleveland State 60 - Samford 73	8
Davidson 75 - Northeastern 71	0.621	Davidson 71 - Northeastern 59	-8
Delaware 91 - Unranked 56		Delaware 70 - Unranked 40
Evansville 75 - Texas Southern 73	0.549	Evansville 85 - Texas Southern 63	-20
Florida Atlantic 80 - Incarnate Word 60	0.912	Florida Atlantic 71 - Incarnate Word 68	17
Florida International 77 - Youngstown State 65	0.814	Florida International 102 - Youngstown State 93	3
Fordham 72 - Columbia 70	0.569	Fordham 70 - Columbia 69	1
Georgia Southern 69 - Montana 77	0.751	Georgia Southern 80 - Montana 77	-11
Hawaii 78 - Northern Arizona 64	0.835	Hawaii 85 - Northern Arizona 68	-3
Idaho 90 - Unranked 57		Idaho 87 - Unranked 59
Kansas State 74 - Pennsylvania 66	0.745	Kansas State 64 - Pennsylvania 48	-8
Kent State 80 - Alcorn State 61	0.932	Kent State 79 - Alcorn State 48	-12
Kentucky 93 - Virginia Military Institute 56	0.964	Kentucky 92 - Virginia Military Institute 82	27
Lafayette 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	0.651	Lafayette 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 84	18
Loyola Marymount 71 - Ohio 69	0.551	Loyola Marymount 65 - Ohio 56	-7
Manhattan 66 - UNC Asheville 74	0.735	Manhattan 54 - UNC Asheville 38	-24
Maryland 86 - Mt St Marys 57	0.965	Maryland 92 - Mt St Marys 77	14
Michigan State 92 - Tennessee Tech 57	0.975	Michigan State 101 - Tennessee Tech 33	-33
Minnesota 74 - Texas AM 75	0.506	Minnesota 69 - Texas AM 64	-6
Missouri 69 - Oregon State 71	0.557	Missouri 69 - Oregon State 63	-8
Monmouth 72 - Cal State Fullerton 79	0.696	Monmouth 63 - Cal State Fullerton 87	17
Navy 77 - Bryant 61	0.906	Navy 83 - Bryant 79	12
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 55		North Carolina Central 123 - Unranked 57
Northern Kentucky 74 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.676	Northern Kentucky 89 - Coastal Carolina 83	0
Ohio State 95 - South Carolina State 51	0.969	Ohio State 89 - South Carolina State 61	16
Oklahoma 80 - Wofford 69	0.777	Oklahoma 75 - Wofford 64	0
Oklahoma State 74 - College of Charleston 71	0.591	Oklahoma State 70 - College of Charleston 58	-9
Pepperdine 71 - Miami OH 74	0.586	Pepperdine 86 - Miami OH 80	-9
Providence 65 - Michigan 76	0.822	Providence 47 - Michigan 66	8
Purdue 82 - Virginia Tech 73	0.766	Purdue 83 - Virginia Tech 89	15
San Francisco 84 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0.914	San Francisco 84 - LIU Brooklyn 52	-11
Santa Clara 61 - Washington 79	0.873	Santa Clara 68 - Washington 82	-4
Seattle 76 - Southern Utah 67	0.741	Seattle 70 - Southern Utah 73	12
Siena 70 - Holy Cross 69	0.512	Siena 45 - Holy Cross 57	13
South Carolina 75 - George Washington 68	0.71	South Carolina 90 - George Washington 55	-28
South Dakota 78 - Air Force 63	0.854	South Dakota 62 - Air Force 65	18
South Florida 66 - Georgetown 77	0.793	South Florida 73 - Georgetown 76	-8
Texas Arlington 80 - UC Davis 63	0.879	Texas Arlington 68 - UC Davis 59	8
Towson 67 - North Dakota State 73	0.648	Towson 51 - North Dakota State 76	19
Troy 77 - Central Arkansas 67	0.792	Troy 82 - Central Arkansas 77	5
UMass Lowell 80 - Sacred Heart 74	0.686	UMass Lowell 94 - Sacred Heart 90	2
UNC Wilmington 91 - Unranked 60		UNC Wilmington 113 - Unranked 74
Valparaiso 70 - Wake Forest 77	0.703	Valparaiso 63 - Wake Forest 69	-1
Weber State 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.509	Weber State 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	2
West Virginia 79 - Saint Josephs 75	0.593	West Virginia 97 - Saint Josephs 90	-3
Western Kentucky 73 - Central Florida 72	0.516	Western Kentucky 62 - Central Florida 78	17
Wichita State 74 - Alabama 73	0.535	Wichita State 86 - Alabama 90	5

Number of DI Games: 319
Number Correct: 232 = 72.7%
Expected Number Correct: 245.321 = 76.9%
Average Error: 10.26
Average Signed Error: 1.17

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 89 - Unranked 54		Albany 79 - Unranked 62
Charleston Southern 89 - Unranked 58		Charleston Southern 98 - Unranked 49
Charlotte 71 - Longwood 69	0.558	Charlotte 42 - Longwood 39	-1
Cincinnati 79 - Western Michigan 63	0.894	Cincinnati 78 - Western Michigan 52	-10
Clemson 77 - Akron 69	0.713	Clemson 72 - Akron 69	5
Colgate 81 - Binghamton 60	0.951	Colgate 76 - Binghamton 68	13
Colorado State 75 - UL Lafayette 82	0.711	Colorado State 73 - UL Lafayette 91	11
Creighton 77 - Boise State 69	0.727	Creighton 94 - Boise State 82	-4
Delaware State 77 - Unranked 67		Delaware State 80 - Unranked 47
Detroit 74 - Loyola MD 71	0.616	Detroit 91 - Loyola MD 63	-25
East Carolina 72 - Texas Pan American 71	0.525	East Carolina 69 - Texas Pan American 64	-4
East Tennessee State 84 - Chicago State 58	0.958	East Tennessee State 86 - Chicago State 61	1
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Kennesaw St 72	0.567	Eastern Kentucky 100 - Kennesaw St 81	-20
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Toledo 73	0.632	Florida Gulf Coast 62 - Toledo 90	32
Florida State 88 - Canisius 61	0.947	Florida State 93 - Canisius 61	-5
Georgia State 73 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.608	Georgia State 75 - Saint Bonaventure 65	-7
Hampton 67 - Bowling Green 78	0.793	Hampton 79 - Bowling Green 81	-9
High Point 67 - Air Force 68	0.518	High Point 69 - Air Force 62	-8
Houston 90 - Northwestern State 54	0.984	Houston 82 - Northwestern State 55	9
Idaho State 91 - Unranked 60		Idaho State 115 - Unranked 60
Illinois 73 - Gonzaga 87	0.774	Illinois 78 - Gonzaga 84	-8
Illinois State 70 - Georgia 76	0.685	Illinois State 68 - Georgia 80	6
Iowa State 73 - Arizona 78	0.657	Iowa State 66 - Arizona 71	0
Kansas State 72 - Missouri 64	0.727	Kansas State 82 - Missouri 67	-7
Lamar 90 - Unranked 61		Lamar 105 - Unranked 40
Long Beach State 71 - Iona 76	0.665	Long Beach State 86 - Iona 85	-6
Marshall 88 - North Carolina AT 63	0.999	Marshall 95 - North Carolina AT 71	1
Massachusetts 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.883	Massachusetts 92 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	-15
Mississippi State 78 - Arizona State 77	0.502	Mississippi State 67 - Arizona State 72	6
Nebraska 83 - Missouri State 64	0.866	Nebraska 85 - Missouri State 62	-4
Nevada 87 - Cal Baptist 62	0.973	Nevada 90 - Cal Baptist 55	-10
North Carolina 91 - Saint Francis Penn 59	0.999	North Carolina 101 - Saint Francis Penn 76	7
Northern Iowa 64 - Old Dominion 72	0.74	Northern Iowa 54 - Old Dominion 53	-9
Oakland 91 - Unranked 60		Oakland 91 - Unranked 47
Oral Roberts 86 - Unranked 60		Oral Roberts 109 - Unranked 72
Pennsylvania 69 - Oregon State 72	0.599	Pennsylvania 58 - Oregon State 74	13
Portland 91 - Unranked 59		Portland 77 - Unranked 57
Richmond 65 - Loyola Ill 72	0.706	Richmond 66 - Loyola Ill 82	9
Rider 84 - Coppin State 61	0.933	Rider 87 - Coppin State 67	3
Rutgers 73 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.646	Rutgers 63 - Eastern Michigan 36	-21
Saint Johns 81 - California 61	0.886	Saint Johns 82 - California 79	17
Saint Marys 80 - Utah State 70	0.786	Saint Marys 63 - Utah State 80	27
Sam Houston State 74 - Jackson State 59	0.926	Sam Houston State 75 - Jackson State 60	0
San Diego State 68 - Duke 83	0.777	San Diego State 64 - Duke 90	11
South Alabama 67 - SE Missouri State 69	0.569	South Alabama 79 - SE Missouri State 58	-23
South Dakota 68 - UMBC 73	0.657	South Dakota 58 - UMBC 52	-11
Southern California 69 - Texas Tech 75	0.662	Southern California 63 - Texas Tech 78	9
Southern Illinois 73 - Howard 60	0.827	Southern Illinois 83 - Howard 69	-1
Stetson 68 - Robert Morris 71	0.593	Stetson 72 - Robert Morris 81	6
Texas El Paso 86 - Unranked 57		Texas El Paso 66 - Unranked 59
Texas San Antonio 65 - UC Irvine 77	0.831	Texas San Antonio 56 - UC Irvine 65	-3
Tulane 74 - South Dakota State 75	0.539	Tulane 84 - South Dakota State 80	-5
Tulsa 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.826	Tulsa 88 - Arkansas Little Rock 78	1
UCLA 89 - Presbyterian 60	0.992	UCLA 80 - Presbyterian 65	14
UNC Greensboro 82 - Prairie View 61	0.933	UNC Greensboro 74 - Prairie View 66	13
Utah Valley 70 - Hartford 66	0.639	Utah Valley 72 - Hartford 65	-3
Vanderbilt 77 - Liberty 65	0.831	Vanderbilt 79 - Liberty 70	3
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Temple 69	0.569	Virginia Commonwealth 57 - Temple 51	-4
Washington State 79 - Cal Poly 66	0.813	Washington State 84 - Cal Poly 70	-1
Wyoming 70 - Boston College 76	0.686	Wyoming 76 - Boston College 88	6
Xavier 76 - Auburn 83	0.682	Xavier 79 - Auburn 88	2

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 68 - Holy Cross 66	0.536	Albany 65 - Holy Cross 69	6
Belmont 101 - Unranked 52		Belmont 104 - Unranked 50
Bethune Cookman 78 - Omaha 71	0.673	Bethune Cookman 56 - Omaha 76	27
Boise State 71 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.514	Boise State 72 - Saint Bonaventure 52	-21
Cal State Northridge 75 - Tennessee State 71	0.62	Cal State Northridge 80 - Tennessee State 77	1
Chicago State 68 - Jackson State 67	0.504	Chicago State 68 - Jackson State 81	14
Coastal Carolina 92 - Unranked 57		Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 57
Connecticut 81 - Cornell 64	0.882	Connecticut 91 - Cornell 74	0
Creighton 74 - Georgia State 70	0.639	Creighton 93 - Georgia State 68	-21
Detroit 71 - Bowling Green 77	0.694	Detroit 82 - Bowling Green 67	-21
Duke 83 - Auburn 76	0.67	Duke 78 - Auburn 72	1
East Tennessee State 76 - Sam Houston State 65	0.853	East Tennessee State 77 - Sam Houston State 63	-3
Florida Gulf Coast 79 - Colorado State 72	0.701	Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Colorado State 82	15
George Mason 76 - North Carolina Central 66	0.807	George Mason 78 - North Carolina Central 63	-5
Georgia 71 - Clemson 76	0.647	Georgia 49 - Clemson 64	10
Gonzaga 81 - Arizona 74	0.738	Gonzaga 91 - Arizona 74	-10
Grambling State 87 - Unranked 63		Grambling State 99 - Unranked 58
Illinois 76 - Iowa State 78	0.542	Illinois 68 - Iowa State 84	14
Illinois State 71 - Akron 74	0.578	Illinois State 73 - Akron 68	-8
Indiana 85 - Texas Arlington 64	0.919	Indiana 78 - Texas Arlington 64	7
IPFW 82 - South Carolina State 68	0.848	IPFW 72 - South Carolina State 68	10
Jacksonville State 75 - Western Carolina 69	0.666	Jacksonville State 84 - Western Carolina 53	-25
James Madison 82 - The Citadel 71	0.882	James Madison 82 - The Citadel 91	20
Kent State 88 - Savannah State 70	0.926	Kent State 104 - Savannah State 84	-2
Louisiana Tech 96 - Unranked 51		Louisiana Tech 87 - Unranked 68
Loyola MD 72 - Hampton 70	0.568	Loyola MD 75 - Hampton 66	-7
Mcneese State 88 - Unranked 60		Mcneese State 74 - Unranked 60
Mercer 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.956	Mercer 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 42	-16
Milwaukee 69 - LIU Brooklyn 70	0.508	Milwaukee 92 - LIU Brooklyn 87	-6
Minnesota 83 - Santa Clara 61	0.936	Minnesota 80 - Santa Clara 66	8
Mississippi 85 - Nicholls State 63	0.933	Mississippi 75 - Nicholls State 55	2
Mississippi Valley State 64 - Southeast Louisiana 73	0.775	Mississippi Valley State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 59	-19
Morgan State 69 - Navy 74	0.645	Morgan State 75 - Navy 51	-29
NC State 89 - Saint Peters 60	0.951	NC State 85 - Saint Peters 57	1
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Pacific 68	0.674	Nevada Las Vegas 96 - Pacific 70	-21
New Hampshire 70 - Quinnipiac 69	0.537	New Hampshire 63 - Quinnipiac 69	7
Norfolk State 85 - Unranked 59		Norfolk State 97 - Unranked 57
North Alabama 88 - Unranked 58		North Alabama 80 - Unranked 68
North Dakota 88 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 89 - Unranked 56
North Texas 82 - Maine 56	0.948	North Texas 74 - Maine 63	15
Notre Dame 77 - Duquesne 68	0.775	Notre Dame 67 - Duquesne 56	-2
Ohio State 86 - Samford 66	0.911	Ohio State 68 - Samford 50	2
Oregon 85 - Green Bay 64	0.937	Oregon 83 - Green Bay 72	10
Penn State 75 - Wright State 69	0.695	Penn State 77 - Wright State 59	-12
Sacramento State 65 - UC Davis 71	0.668	Sacramento State 58 - UC Davis 55	-9
Saint Johns 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 68	0.7	Saint Johns 87 - Virginia Commonwealth 86	7
San Diego 75 - Colorado 71	0.605	San Diego 70 - Colorado 64	-2
San Diego State 74 - Xavier 75	0.501	San Diego State 79 - Xavier 74	-6
Southern California 76 - Missouri State 71	0.66	Southern California 99 - Missouri State 80	-14
Southern Methodist 69 - Bradley 68	0.539	Southern Methodist 62 - Bradley 75	14
Southern Miss 79 - North Florida 66	0.813	Southern Miss 48 - North Florida 64	29
Stephen F Austin 79 - Marist 63	0.831	Stephen F Austin 64 - Marist 60	12
Temple 75 - California 64	0.781	Temple 76 - California 59	-6
Texas Christian 81 - Lipscomb 69	0.864	Texas Christian 64 - Lipscomb 73	21
Texas San Antonio 69 - South Dakota State 78	0.739	Texas San Antonio 79 - South Dakota State 99	11
Texas Tech 69 - Nebraska 76	0.669	Texas Tech 70 - Nebraska 52	-25
Toledo 76 - UL Lafayette 80	0.642	Toledo 77 - UL Lafayette 64	-17
UC Irvine 74 - Tulane 70	0.672	UC Irvine 67 - Tulane 55	-8
Virginia Military Institute 87 - Unranked 62		Virginia Military Institute 106 - Unranked 80
Wagner 70 - NJ Tech 69	0.552	Wagner 60 - NJ Tech 71	12
Washington 75 - Texas AM 72	0.608	Washington 71 - Texas AM 67	-1
William and Mary 71 - Radford 74	0.6	William and Mary 72 - Radford 81	6

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 76 - Auburn 78	0.555	Arizona 57 - Auburn 73	14
Arizona State 81 - Utah State 76	0.651	Arizona State 87 - Utah State 82	0
Arkansas 90 - Montana State 57	0.973	Arkansas 90 - Montana State 68	11
Army 86 - Unranked 61		Army 91 - Unranked 40
Boise State 71 - Illinois State 72	0.523	Boise State 70 - Illinois State 73	2
Boston College 65 - Loyola Ill 73	0.726	Boston College 78 - Loyola Ill 66	-20
Brigham Young 84 - Rice 67	0.917	Brigham Young 105 - Rice 78	-10
Brown 89 - Unranked 56		Brown 96 - Unranked 64
Buffalo 87 - Dartmouth 64	0.953	Buffalo 110 - Dartmouth 71	-16
Cal Poly 66 - Texas State 72	0.685	Cal Poly 42 - Texas State 54	6
Colorado State 73 - South Dakota State 77	0.627	Colorado State 65 - South Dakota State 78	9
Creighton 72 - Clemson 76	0.626	Creighton 87 - Clemson 82	-9
Dayton 70 - Butler 80	0.813	Dayton 69 - Butler 64	-15
Drexel 74 - Boston 76	0.56	Drexel 86 - Boston 67	-21
East Carolina 75 - Prairie View 67	0.738	East Carolina 76 - Prairie View 64	-4
Florida Atlantic 93 - Unranked 56		Florida Atlantic 73 - Unranked 62
Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.797	Florida Gulf Coast 65 - Texas San Antonio 76	23
Furman 98 - Unranked 50		Furman 74 - Unranked 57
Georgia State 69 - Georgia 73	0.626	Georgia State 91 - Georgia 67	-28
Georgia Tech 79 - Texas Pan American 63	0.912	Georgia Tech 72 - Texas Pan American 44	-12
Gonzaga 79 - Duke 81	0.558	Gonzaga 89 - Duke 87	-4
Hofstra 77 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.79	Hofstra 80 - Cal State Fullerton 71	0
Illinois 77 - Xavier 79	0.539	Illinois 74 - Xavier 83	7
Incarnate Word 68 - Northern Colorado 79	0.761	Incarnate Word 64 - Northern Colorado 90	15
Iona 76 - Hartford 67	0.768	Iona 80 - Hartford 75	4
Iowa 90 - Alabama State 55	0.974	Iowa 105 - Alabama State 78	8
Iowa State 75 - San Diego State 74	0.506	Iowa State 87 - San Diego State 57	-29
Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 59		Jacksonville 123 - Unranked 77
Kansas 84 - Marquette 73	0.771	Kansas 77 - Marquette 68	2
Kentucky 88 - Winthrop 69	0.905	Kentucky 87 - Winthrop 74	6
Long Beach State 69 - Utah Valley 70	0.545	Long Beach State 72 - Utah Valley 87	14
Loyola Marymount 79 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.93	Loyola Marymount 76 - Central Connecticut State 74	16
Middle Tennessee 62 - Virginia 76	0.814	Middle Tennessee 52 - Virginia 74	8
Mississippi State 70 - Saint Marys 76	0.662	Mississippi State 61 - Saint Marys 57	-10
Mt St Marys 75 - North Carolina AT 68	0.72	Mt St Marys 60 - North Carolina AT 74	21
New Mexico State 98 - Unranked 51		New Mexico State 92 - Unranked 65
North Florida 72 - Jacksonville State 73	0.537	North Florida 78 - Jacksonville State 83	4
Oklahoma 76 - Florida 74	0.579	Oklahoma 65 - Florida 60	-3
Penn State 74 - Bradley 65	0.785	Penn State 56 - Bradley 59	12
Portland 80 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.876	Portland 73 - South Carolina Upstate 56	-2
Princeton 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.776	Princeton 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 77	22
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Akron 75	0.596	Saint Bonaventure 49 - Akron 61	8
Saint Louis 70 - Pittsburgh 71	0.536	Saint Louis 73 - Pittsburgh 75	1
San Francisco 80 - Harvard 62	0.904	San Francisco 61 - Harvard 57	14
Siena 69 - Lehigh 72	0.623	Siena 69 - Lehigh 80	8
South Florida 77 - Florida AM 59	0.88	South Florida 69 - Florida AM 59	8
Southern Miss 81 - Western Carolina 63	0.861	Southern Miss 68 - Western Carolina 63	13
Stanford 70 - Wisconsin 76	0.66	Stanford 46 - Wisconsin 62	10
Stony Brook 94 - Unranked 58		Stony Brook 97 - Unranked 61
Syracuse 76 - Colgate 63	0.842	Syracuse 77 - Colgate 56	-8
Tennessee 77 - Louisville 72	0.619	Tennessee 92 - Louisville 81	-6
Tennessee Martin 74 - Western Illinois 70	0.611	Tennessee Martin 92 - Western Illinois 90	2
Texas AM CC 88 - Unranked 57		Texas AM CC 61 - Unranked 58
Toledo 69 - UC Irvine 75	0.668	Toledo 67 - UC Irvine 60	-13
UL Lafayette 80 - Tulane 76	0.642	UL Lafayette 68 - Tulane 61	-3
UMKC 71 - Drake 77	0.663	UMKC 63 - Drake 66	-3
Valparaiso 79 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.933	Valparaiso 75 - SIU Edwardsville 70	11
Vermont 80 - Yale 70	0.787	Vermont 79 - Yale 70	1
Washington 74 - Minnesota 76	0.582	Washington 66 - Minnesota 68	0
Wofford 82 - Coppin State 54	0.961	Wofford 99 - Coppin State 65	-6
Wright State 71 - Southern Methodist 70	0.559	Wright State 76 - Southern Methodist 77	2
Wyoming 69 - Richmond 76	0.69	Wyoming 68 - Richmond 66	-9
Youngstown State 85 - Unranked 61		Youngstown State 104 - Unranked 66

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Elon 72	0.582	Abilene Christian 72 - Elon 56	-13
Canisius 67 - Villanova 82	0.823	Canisius 56 - Villanova 83	12
Florida State 83 - Alabama Birmingham 68	0.826	Florida State 81 - Alabama Birmingham 63	-3
Fresno State 67 - Northwestern 74	0.743	Fresno State 78 - Northwestern 59	-26
Grand Canyon 67 - Seton Hall 75	0.738	Grand Canyon 75 - Seton Hall 82	-1
Louisiana State 80 - College of Charleston 69	0.788	Louisiana State 67 - College of Charleston 55	-1
Massachusetts 65 - Southern Illinois 72	0.703	Massachusetts 84 - Southern Illinois 62	-29
Memphis 72 - Oklahoma State 77	0.614	Memphis 64 - Oklahoma State 84	15
Miami 86 - La Salle 62	0.941	Miami 85 - La Salle 49	-12
Michigan State 81 - UCLA 75	0.664	Michigan State 87 - UCLA 67	-14
Middle Tennessee 68 - Butler 79	0.763	Middle Tennessee 53 - Butler 84	20
Nevada 79 - Tulsa 66	0.878	Nevada 96 - Tulsa 86	3
Pacific 79 - UC Riverside 61	0.95	Pacific 74 - UC Riverside 54	-2
Stanford 70 - Florida 73	0.583	Stanford 49 - Florida 72	20
Texas 72 - North Carolina 82	0.791	Texas 92 - North Carolina 89	-13
Utah 77 - Hawaii 69	0.71	Utah 79 - Hawaii 90	19
Virginia 78 - Dayton 64	0.858	Virginia 66 - Dayton 59	7
Wisconsin 77 - Oklahoma 76	0.506	Wisconsin 78 - Oklahoma 58	-19

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 72 - College of Charleston 71	0.551	Alabama Birmingham 51 - College of Charleston 74	24
Arkansas 85 - Texas Arlington 66	0.91	Arkansas 78 - Texas Arlington 60	1
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Howard 64	0.71	Arkansas Little Rock 97 - Howard 76	-12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Cal Baptist 77	0.87	Arkansas Pine Bluff 115 - Cal Baptist 107	-22
Arkansas State 72 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.666	Arkansas State 64 - UNC Wilmington 78	9
Butler 75 - Florida 72	0.593	Butler 61 - Florida 54	-4
Charleston Southern 77 - Coppin State 62	0.837	Charleston Southern 93 - Coppin State 67	-11
Cincinnati 79 - George Mason 63	0.914	Cincinnati 71 - George Mason 55	0
Dayton 72 - Oklahoma 81	0.811	Dayton 54 - Oklahoma 65	2
Delaware 68 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.586	Delaware 65 - UNC Greensboro 84	16
Eastern Illinois 67 - Gardner Webb 74	0.741	Eastern Illinois 79 - Gardner Webb 78	-8
Elon 76 - UC Riverside 68	0.734	Elon 64 - UC Riverside 77	21
Florida International 92 - Unranked 61		Florida International 104 - Unranked 84
Florida State 81 - Louisiana State 75	0.656	Florida State 79 - Louisiana State 76	3
Fresno State 66 - Miami 79	0.817	Fresno State 76 - Miami 78	-11
Georgia Tech 82 - Prairie View 58	0.956	Georgia Tech 65 - Prairie View 54	13
Hawaii 67 - Seton Hall 76	0.749	Hawaii 54 - Seton Hall 64	1
Idaho 89 - Unranked 60		Idaho 73 - Unranked 77
Indiana 86 - UC Davis 58	0.965	Indiana 76 - UC Davis 62	14
IPFW 75 - Samford 81	0.668	IPFW 66 - Samford 74	2
IUPUI 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.727	IUPUI 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 48	-13
Kansas 77 - Tennessee 75	0.56	Kansas 87 - Tennessee 81	-4
Kentucky 89 - Tennessee State 60	0.952	Kentucky 77 - Tennessee State 62	14
Liberty 78 - Alcorn State 54	0.95	Liberty 76 - Alcorn State 54	2
Longwood 70 - Fairfield 71	0.526	Longwood 67 - Fairfield 65	-3
Marquette 74 - Louisville 78	0.601	Marquette 77 - Louisville 74	-7
Maryland 80 - Marshall 71	0.805	Maryland 104 - Marshall 67	-28
Mcneese State 88 - Unranked 60		Mcneese State 80 - Unranked 42
Memphis 78 - Canisius 71	0.72	Memphis 71 - Canisius 63	-1
Michigan 89 - Chattanooga 46	0.972	Michigan 83 - Chattanooga 55	15
Michigan State 79 - Texas 71	0.724	Michigan State 78 - Texas 68	-2
Middle Tennessee 70 - Stanford 74	0.611	Middle Tennessee 54 - Stanford 67	9
Milwaukee 66 - Albany 69	0.596	Milwaukee 79 - Albany 70	-12
Mississippi 75 - Baylor 73	0.549	Mississippi 78 - Baylor 70	-6
Nevada 85 - Massachusetts 63	0.952	Nevada 110 - Massachusetts 87	-1
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Southern Utah 65	0.798	Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Southern Utah 71	5
Niagara 82 - Grambling State 65	0.902	Niagara 68 - Grambling State 74	23
North Carolina Central 69 - Nicholls State 70	0.544	North Carolina Central 63 - Nicholls State 77	13
Northern Illinois 76 - Oral Roberts 68	0.715	Northern Illinois 87 - Oral Roberts 66	-13
Northwestern 81 - La Salle 62	0.932	Northwestern 91 - La Salle 74	2
Northwestern State 73 - Alabama AM 67	0.683	Northwestern State 70 - Alabama AM 66	2
Oakland 73 - James Madison 72	0.513	Oakland 77 - James Madison 69	-7
Ohio State 87 - Cleveland State 56	0.975	Ohio State 89 - Cleveland State 62	4
Oklahoma State 73 - Villanova 76	0.573	Oklahoma State 58 - Villanova 77	16
Old Dominion 74 - Northern Iowa 62	0.831	Old Dominion 72 - Northern Iowa 65	5
Pacific 75 - Abilene Christian 68	0.754	Pacific 71 - Abilene Christian 73	9
Portland 77 - Cal Poly 68	0.755	Portland 72 - Cal Poly 67	4
Purdue 88 - Robert Morris 55	0.97	Purdue 84 - Robert Morris 46	-5
Rutgers 78 - Boston 68	0.76	Rutgers 54 - Boston 44	0
Seattle 71 - Denver 66	0.67	Seattle 82 - Denver 63	-14
South Carolina Upstate 63 - Texas State 75	0.83	South Carolina Upstate 50 - Texas State 82	20
Stetson 72 - Virginia Military Institute 73	0.507	Stetson 79 - Virginia Military Institute 87	7
Tennessee Tech 64 - UL Monroe 73	0.736	Tennessee Tech 79 - UL Monroe 73	-15
Texas AM 81 - South Alabama 58	0.908	Texas AM 74 - South Alabama 62	11
Texas Pan American 78 - Lamar 69	0.783	Texas Pan American 77 - Lamar 75	7
Tulsa 69 - Southern Illinois 66	0.595	Tulsa 69 - Southern Illinois 79	13
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Portland State 72	0.58	UC Santa Barbara 76 - Portland State 69	-4
UCLA 76 - North Carolina 85	0.724	UCLA 78 - North Carolina 94	7
UMass Lowell 89 - Unranked 62		UMass Lowell 88 - Unranked 59
Utah 76 - Grand Canyon 70	0.695	Utah 75 - Grand Canyon 66	-3
Vanderbilt 81 - Kent State 66	0.894	Vanderbilt 75 - Kent State 77	17
Virginia 73 - Wisconsin 69	0.606	Virginia 53 - Wisconsin 46	-3
Wake Forest 84 - Houston Baptist 65	0.93	Wake Forest 91 - Houston Baptist 93	21
Western Michigan 79 - Southern 64	0.859	Western Michigan 85 - Southern 70	0
Wofford 92 - Unranked 52		Wofford 97 - Unranked 46

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 76 - UC Riverside 65	0.83	Abilene Christian 60 - UC Riverside 48	-1
Air Force 67 - Colorado 77	0.724	Air Force 56 - Colorado 93	27
Alcorn State 73 - Savannah State 77	0.645	Alcorn State 75 - Savannah State 80	1
Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.887	Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 75	28
Arkansas State 69 - Eastern Illinois 74	0.691	Arkansas State 86 - Eastern Illinois 90	-1
Ball State 79 - Evansville 70	0.705	Ball State 82 - Evansville 72	-1
Baylor 79 - George Mason 67	0.817	Baylor 72 - George Mason 61	1
Binghamton 71 - Sacred Heart 73	0.587	Binghamton 78 - Sacred Heart 73	-7
Bradley 81 - Chicago State 56	0.95	Bradley 86 - Chicago State 70	9
Brigham Young 74 - Houston 75	0.537	Brigham Young 62 - Houston 76	13
Buffalo 88 - Marist 58	0.972	Buffalo 76 - Marist 49	3
Cal Poly 73 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.674	Cal Poly 75 - South Carolina Upstate 74	4
Central Florida 77 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.818	Central Florida 66 - Northern Kentucky 53	-1
Connecticut 86 - New Hampshire 57	0.958	Connecticut 91 - New Hampshire 66	4
Davidson 76 - Northeastern 67	0.746	Davidson 78 - Northeastern 69	0
Denver 70 - Longwood 66	0.617	Denver 64 - Longwood 62	2
East Carolina 71 - High Point 67	0.646	East Carolina 52 - High Point 55	7
East Tennessee State 76 - North Dakota State 66	0.754	East Tennessee State 79 - North Dakota State 61	-8
Eastern Michigan 80 - Detroit 61	0.916	Eastern Michigan 74 - Detroit 78	23
Gardner Webb 77 - UNC Wilmington 70	0.74	Gardner Webb 81 - UNC Wilmington 72	-2
George Washington 70 - Manhattan 66	0.604	George Washington 70 - Manhattan 43	-23
Georgetown 83 - Campbell 65	0.909	Georgetown 93 - Campbell 85	10
Hartford 87 - Unranked 58		Hartford 93 - Unranked 53
Howard 69 - Cal Baptist 73	0.617	Howard 86 - Cal Baptist 84	-6
Idaho 72 - UC Santa Barbara 73	0.542	Idaho 55 - UC Santa Barbara 66	10
Illinois Chicago 95 - Unranked 59		Illinois Chicago 94 - Unranked 74
Illinois State 94 - Unranked 55		Illinois State 79 - Unranked 62
Indiana State 71 - Western Kentucky 73	0.558	Indiana State 63 - Western Kentucky 54	-11
IUPUI 80 - Grambling State 65	0.884	IUPUI 80 - Grambling State 69	4
James Madison 72 - Northern Illinois 71	0.554	James Madison 78 - Northern Illinois 74	-3
Kansas State 77 - Lehigh 61	0.91	Kansas State 77 - Lehigh 58	-3
Kennesaw St 62 - Belmont 80	0.922	Kennesaw St 53 - Belmont 91	20
LIU Brooklyn 73 - NJ Tech 69	0.633	LIU Brooklyn 70 - NJ Tech 77	11
Louisiana Tech 72 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.534	Louisiana Tech 73 - UNC Greensboro 80	8
Loyola Marymount 80 - Florida AM 53	0.963	Loyola Marymount 71 - Florida AM 63	19
Maryland Eastern Shore 80 - Unranked 60		Maryland Eastern Shore 77 - Unranked 52
Miami OH 78 - Army 65	0.843	Miami OH 85 - Army 55	-17
Mississippi 70 - Cincinnati 73	0.574	Mississippi 57 - Cincinnati 71	11
Monmouth 68 - Princeton 69	0.552	Monmouth 57 - Princeton 60	2
Murray State 75 - Missouri State 62	0.785	Murray State 77 - Missouri State 66	2
NC State 84 - Mercer 66	0.89	NC State 78 - Mercer 74	14
Nebraska 93 - Western Illinois 54	0.991	Nebraska 73 - Western Illinois 49	15
New Mexico 82 - Texas El Paso 66	0.868	New Mexico 84 - Texas El Paso 78	10
New Orleans 87 - Unranked 59		New Orleans 97 - Unranked 53
Nicholls State 69 - Western Michigan 78	0.725	Nicholls State 62 - Western Michigan 61	-10
North Carolina Central 70 - Southern 65	0.653	North Carolina Central 83 - Southern 71	-7
North Texas 79 - Saint Peters 58	0.923	North Texas 75 - Saint Peters 66	12
Notre Dame 75 - DePaul 69	0.703	Notre Dame 95 - DePaul 70	-19
Oakland 77 - Oral Roberts 68	0.79	Oakland 87 - Oral Roberts 76	-2
Ohio 74 - Austin Peay 67	0.672	Ohio 85 - Austin Peay 82	4
Omaha 76 - Montana State 69	0.714	Omaha 89 - Montana State 65	-17
Pacific 78 - Elon 67	0.793	Pacific 65 - Elon 57	3
Pennsylvania 92 - Unranked 52		Pennsylvania 112 - Unranked 63
Portland 72 - Texas State 69	0.587	Portland 68 - Texas State 91	26
Portland State 90 - Unranked 62		Portland State 91 - Unranked 75
Providence 81 - Iona 68	0.87	Providence 91 - Iona 79	1
Rhode Island 79 - Stony Brook 68	0.808	Rhode Island 58 - Stony Brook 68	21
Sacramento State 68 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.659	Sacramento State 87 - Cal State Fullerton 82	-10
Saint Francis Brooklyn 67 - Niagara 76	0.764	Saint Francis Brooklyn 75 - Niagara 63	-21
Saint Louis 84 - Central Arkansas 62	0.945	Saint Louis 73 - Central Arkansas 61	10
Saint Marys 84 - Harvard 60	0.964	Saint Marys 68 - Harvard 74	30
San Diego 83 - Jackson State 52	0.972	San Diego 76 - Jackson State 58	13
San Francisco 85 - Dartmouth 61	0.929	San Francisco 84 - Dartmouth 65	5
San Jose State 72 - Santa Clara 68	0.61	San Jose State 63 - Santa Clara 71	12
Seattle 76 - Fairfield 67	0.767	Seattle 83 - Fairfield 80	6
Siena 70 - Colgate 71	0.548	Siena 79 - Colgate 84	4
South Florida 84 - The Citadel 70	0.831	South Florida 81 - The Citadel 84	17
Texas Tech 80 - Northern Colorado 64	0.856	Texas Tech 93 - Northern Colorado 62	-15
Troy 76 - North Alabama 69	0.795	Troy 77 - North Alabama 58	-12
UMBC 72 - American 63	0.75	UMBC 69 - American 73	13
UMKC 86 - Unranked 64		UMKC 94 - Unranked 58
Utah Valley 74 - North Dakota 65	0.711	Utah Valley 74 - North Dakota 68	3
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Hofstra 65	0.827	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Hofstra 67	9
Virginia Tech 88 - Saint Francis Penn 57	0.965	Virginia Tech 75 - Saint Francis Penn 37	-7
Wagner 73 - Rider 75	0.541	Wagner 65 - Rider 89	22
Washington State 86 - Delaware State 56	0.96	Washington State 80 - Delaware State 52	2
West Virginia 82 - Valparaiso 65	0.905	West Virginia 88 - Valparaiso 76	5
Western Carolina 73 - Jacksonville 69	0.582	Western Carolina 77 - Jacksonville 65	-8
William and Mary 76 - Saint Josephs 80	0.613	William and Mary 87 - Saint Josephs 85	-6
Winthrop 95 - Unranked 58		Winthrop 116 - Unranked 76

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Canisius 69	0.707	Alabama Birmingham 68 - Canisius 58	-2
Arkansas State 68 - Gardner Webb 80	0.843	Arkansas State 77 - Gardner Webb 69	-20
Bowling Green 80 - Drexel 70	0.788	Bowling Green 81 - Drexel 71	0
Brown 78 - Bryant 63	0.882	Brown 84 - Bryant 60	-9
Central Connecticut State 89 - Unranked 58		Central Connecticut State 88 - Unranked 59
Central Michigan 95 - Unranked 57		Central Michigan 103 - Unranked 75
Cleveland State 75 - IPFW 72	0.594	Cleveland State 79 - IPFW 82	6
College of Charleston 72 - Memphis 74	0.55	College of Charleston 78 - Memphis 75	-5
Columbia 85 - Unranked 63		Columbia 85 - Unranked 38
Denver 70 - Fairfield 67	0.609	Denver 85 - Fairfield 86	4
Duquesne 84 - UMass Lowell 65	0.95	Duquesne 83 - UMass Lowell 71	7
Eastern Illinois 72 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.519	Eastern Illinois 65 - UNC Wilmington 82	18
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Lafayette 70	0.66	Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Lafayette 80	9
Florida Atlantic 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.572	Florida Atlantic 85 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	-15
Florida State 81 - Villanova 73	0.674	Florida State 60 - Villanova 66	14
Fordham 75 - Alabama AM 57	0.929	Fordham 77 - Alabama AM 46	-13
Grand Canyon 77 - La Salle 66	0.83	Grand Canyon 82 - La Salle 70	-1
Hawaii 70 - Fresno State 72	0.572	Hawaii 64 - Fresno State 79	13
Illinois 92 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.952	Illinois 86 - Mississippi Valley State 67	15
Liberty 86 - Savannah State 66	0.922	Liberty 82 - Savannah State 56	-6
Long Beach State 68 - Oregon State 76	0.721	Long Beach State 72 - Oregon State 75	-5
Louisiana State 78 - Oklahoma State 74	0.631	Louisiana State 77 - Oklahoma State 90	17
Morehead State 72 - Lipscomb 79	0.751	Morehead State 55 - Lipscomb 87	25
Morgan State 71 - Mt St Marys 73	0.573	Morgan State 78 - Mt St Marys 68	-12
Oakland 76 - Northern Illinois 74	0.557	Oakland 72 - Northern Illinois 92	22
Oral Roberts 65 - James Madison 74	0.808	Oral Roberts 78 - James Madison 69	-18
Quinnipiac 70 - Maine 68	0.576	Quinnipiac 58 - Maine 50	-6
Richmond 80 - Hampton 62	0.871	Richmond 66 - Hampton 86	38
Samford 88 - South Carolina State 63	0.954	Samford 77 - South Carolina State 60	8
Seattle 75 - Longwood 65	0.754	Seattle 70 - Longwood 50	-10
Seton Hall 71 - Miami 76	0.646	Seton Hall 83 - Miami 81	-7
SIU Edwardsville 73 - Incarnate Word 72	0.519	SIU Edwardsville 80 - Incarnate Word 68	-11
Southern California 79 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	0.917	Southern California 90 - Cal State Bakersfield 75	2
Southern Miss 94 - Unranked 52		Southern Miss 72 - Unranked 78
Stephen F Austin 92 - Unranked 56		Stephen F Austin 73 - Unranked 60
Towson 70 - Loyola MD 69	0.546	Towson 82 - Loyola MD 72	-9
UNC Asheville 58 - Furman 79	0.915	UNC Asheville 51 - Furman 65	-7
Utah 71 - Northwestern 74	0.591	Utah 57 - Northwestern 79	19
Vermont 79 - Bucknell 67	0.822	Vermont 61 - Bucknell 69	20
Wichita State 83 - Rice 68	0.894	Wichita State 90 - Rice 61	-14

Number of DI Games: 343
Number Correct: 250 = 72.8%
Expected Number Correct: 254.347 = 74.1%
Average Error: 10
Average Signed Error: 1.25

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 74 - Murray State 68	0.65	Alabama 78 - Murray State 72	0
Appalachian State 89 - Unranked 60		Appalachian State 91 - Unranked 64
Bethune Cookman 74 - Stetson 67	0.683	Bethune Cookman 84 - Stetson 74	-3
Boston College 73 - Minnesota 77	0.615	Boston College 68 - Minnesota 56	-16
California 75 - Santa Clara 65	0.756	California 78 - Santa Clara 66	-2
Clemson 74 - Nebraska 70	0.601	Clemson 66 - Nebraska 68	6
Delaware 68 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.649	Delaware 75 - Louisiana Tech 71	-9
Gonzaga 88 - North Dakota State 59	0.956	Gonzaga 102 - North Dakota State 60	-13
Houston Baptist 75 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.608	Houston Baptist 82 - Texas San Antonio 86	7
Iowa State 89 - Omaha 65	0.93	Iowa State 82 - Omaha 55	-3
Mississippi State 82 - Alcorn State 53	0.979	Mississippi State 88 - Alcorn State 65	6
Oregon 86 - Texas Southern 60	0.941	Oregon 84 - Texas Southern 89	31
Pepperdine 79 - Idaho State 68	0.795	Pepperdine 97 - Idaho State 82	-4
Radford 89 - Unranked 52		Radford 102 - Unranked 69
South Carolina 78 - Wofford 67	0.759	South Carolina 61 - Wofford 81	31
Southeast Louisiana 82 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 86 - Unranked 71
Texas Christian 77 - Eastern Michigan 63	0.827	Texas Christian 87 - Eastern Michigan 69	-4
Texas Pan American 70 - Texas AM CC 71	0.53	Texas Pan American 68 - Texas AM CC 59	-10

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 85 - Unranked 55		Abilene Christian 90 - Unranked 53
Ball State 93 - Unranked 54		Ball State 108 - Unranked 62
Baylor 80 - South Dakota 62	0.902	Baylor 63 - South Dakota 57	12
Chattanooga 85 - Unranked 57		Chattanooga 95 - Unranked 62
Cincinnati 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 48	0.979	Cincinnati 105 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 49	-19
Colorado State 72 - Southern Illinois 68	0.607	Colorado State 67 - Southern Illinois 82	19
Connecticut 85 - UMass Lowell 63	0.959	Connecticut 97 - UMass Lowell 75	0
Davidson 81 - Charlotte 62	0.906	Davidson 76 - Charlotte 56	-1
Delaware State 59 - Pennsylvania 77	0.904	Delaware State 48 - Pennsylvania 76	10
Drake 70 - Boise State 75	0.638	Drake 83 - Boise State 74	-14
Duke 85 - Indiana 71	0.809	Duke 90 - Indiana 69	-7
Elon 86 - Unranked 58		Elon 92 - Unranked 59
Florida 84 - North Florida 61	0.93	Florida 98 - North Florida 66	-9
Georgia 82 - Kennesaw St 58	0.947	Georgia 84 - Kennesaw St 51	-9
Georgia Southern 74 - East Tennessee State 71	0.601	Georgia Southern 64 - East Tennessee State 69	8
Idaho 86 - Unranked 57		Idaho 98 - Unranked 44
Iowa 80 - Pittsburgh 72	0.718	Iowa 69 - Pittsburgh 68	7
Louisville 75 - Michigan State 76	0.508	Louisville 82 - Michigan State 78	-5
Loyola Ill 70 - Nevada 73	0.599	Loyola Ill 65 - Nevada 79	11
Marquette 87 - Charleston Southern 64	0.951	Marquette 76 - Charleston Southern 55	2
Mercer 89 - Unranked 52		Mercer 90 - Unranked 65
Missouri 72 - Temple 71	0.508	Missouri 77 - Temple 79	3
Montana State 70 - North Dakota 72	0.559	Montana State 81 - North Dakota 76	-7
Morehead State 70 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.591	Morehead State 71 - Northern Kentucky 93	20
Norfolk State 66 - Stony Brook 72	0.706	Norfolk State 73 - Stony Brook 79	0
Northwestern State 67 - UL Monroe 72	0.638	Northwestern State 52 - UL Monroe 80	23
Notre Dame 81 - Illinois 68	0.803	Notre Dame 76 - Illinois 74	11
Ohio 75 - Iona 72	0.583	Ohio 89 - Iona 65	-21
Oklahoma 84 - North Texas 63	0.92	Oklahoma 73 - North Texas 57	5
Penn State 72 - Virginia Tech 75	0.598	Penn State 63 - Virginia Tech 62	-4
Providence 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	0.999	Providence 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	16
Sacred Heart 71 - Hartford 70	0.546	Sacred Heart 98 - Hartford 89	-8
Saint Francis Penn 86 - Unranked 56		Saint Francis Penn 113 - Unranked 59
Saint Johns 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.96	Saint Johns 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	10
San Diego State 81 - Jackson State 52	0.956	San Diego State 87 - Jackson State 44	-14
SE Missouri State 85 - Unranked 58		SE Missouri State 72 - Unranked 69
Southern 82 - Unranked 60		Southern 74 - Unranked 65
Southern Methodist 83 - Lamar 61	0.937	Southern Methodist 79 - Lamar 65	8
The Citadel 74 - High Point 73	0.521	The Citadel 112 - High Point 87	-24
Tulsa 75 - Texas Arlington 70	0.659	Tulsa 72 - Texas Arlington 58	-9
UNC Greensboro 92 - Unranked 52		UNC Greensboro 111 - Unranked 33
UNC Wilmington 75 - East Carolina 67	0.735	UNC Wilmington 95 - East Carolina 86	-1
Vanderbilt 89 - Savannah State 60	0.996	Vanderbilt 120 - Savannah State 85	-6
Virginia Military Institute 68 - American 70	0.566	Virginia Military Institute 64 - American 74	8
Wake Forest 83 - Western Carolina 64	0.888	Wake Forest 71 - Western Carolina 64	12
Washington 82 - Eastern Washington 66	0.888	Washington 83 - Eastern Washington 59	-8
Washington State 81 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.85	Washington State 103 - Cal State Northridge 94	5
Weber State 89 - Unranked 55		Weber State 100 - Unranked 61
Wisconsin 81 - NC State 68	0.813	Wisconsin 79 - NC State 75	9
Wright State 91 - Unranked 53		Wright State 58 - Unranked 39

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Missouri State 73	0.584	Air Force 88 - Missouri State 69	-22
Akron 81 - Alabama State 57	0.953	Akron 86 - Alabama State 54	-8
Arizona State 87 - Omaha 68	0.898	Arizona State 89 - Omaha 71	1
Army 72 - Binghamton 64	0.732	Army 67 - Binghamton 56	-3
Auburn 84 - Saint Peters 60	0.943	Auburn 99 - Saint Peters 49	-26
Bryant 66 - Yale 77	0.811	Bryant 61 - Yale 103	31
Bucknell 73 - Northeastern 70	0.581	Bucknell 78 - Northeastern 96	21
Central Arkansas 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 74	0.624	Central Arkansas 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	-18
College of Charleston 80 - South Carolina State 56	0.956	College of Charleston 83 - South Carolina State 70	11
Colorado 84 - Portland 64	0.911	Colorado 93 - Portland 69	-4
Creighton 82 - Montana 67	0.879	Creighton 98 - Montana 72	-11
Denver 71 - Northern Colorado 70	0.51	Denver 72 - Northern Colorado 88	17
DePaul 79 - Cleveland State 65	0.852	DePaul 83 - Cleveland State 73	4
Detroit 73 - Kent State 75	0.57	Detroit 72 - Kent State 76	2
Drexel 72 - NJ Tech 69	0.577	Drexel 67 - NJ Tech 70	6
Eastern Illinois 73 - IPFW 72	0.509	Eastern Illinois 60 - IPFW 104	45
Evansville 76 - Wyoming 70	0.653	Evansville 86 - Wyoming 78	-2
Florida Gulf Coast 75 - Florida International 68	0.704	Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Florida International 81	8
Florida State 77 - Purdue 76	0.516	Florida State 73 - Purdue 72	0
Fresno State 79 - Pacific 64	0.864	Fresno State 81 - Pacific 78	12
George Mason 78 - Morgan State 64	0.822	George Mason 82 - Morgan State 75	7
George Washington 71 - Vermont 70	0.53	George Washington 53 - Vermont 69	17
Georgetown 79 - Richmond 67	0.781	Georgetown 90 - Richmond 82	4
Green Bay 76 - Northern Illinois 70	0.698	Green Bay 85 - Northern Illinois 83	4
Harvard 72 - Holy Cross 62	0.794	Harvard 73 - Holy Cross 62	-1
Hofstra 77 - Siena 66	0.834	Hofstra 94 - Siena 86	3
Houston 84 - Texas Pan American 60	0.945	Houston 58 - Texas Pan American 53	19
Illinois State 74 - Brigham Young 73	0.543	Illinois State 92 - Brigham Young 89	-2
IUPUI 69 - Bradley 68	0.507	IUPUI 85 - Bradley 73	-11
Jacksonville State 87 - Unranked 55		Jacksonville State 101 - Unranked 61
Kentucky 88 - Monmouth 58	0.964	Kentucky 90 - Monmouth 44	-16
Lafayette 73 - Cornell 72	0.501	Lafayette 58 - Cornell 63	6
Maine 62 - Princeton 72	0.757	Maine 59 - Princeton 73	4
Marshall 81 - William and Mary 77	0.606	Marshall 84 - William and Mary 64	-16
Maryland 68 - Virginia 71	0.591	Maryland 71 - Virginia 76	2
Massachusetts 80 - Quinnipiac 64	0.86	Massachusetts 69 - Quinnipiac 62	9
Miami 78 - Rutgers 64	0.808	Miami 54 - Rutgers 57	17
Michigan 77 - North Carolina 76	0.556	Michigan 84 - North Carolina 67	-16
Mississippi 78 - San Diego 67	0.809	Mississippi 93 - San Diego 86	4
Mississippi Valley State 82 - Unranked 64		Mississippi Valley State 102 - Unranked 62
Navy 62 - Liberty 66	0.595	Navy 58 - Liberty 76	14
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Valparaiso 66	0.723	Nevada Las Vegas 64 - Valparaiso 72	16
New Hampshire 67 - Boston 71	0.594	New Hampshire 53 - Boston 82	25
New Orleans 67 - UL Lafayette 78	0.791	New Orleans 73 - UL Lafayette 77	-7
Nicholls State 85 - Unranked 58		Nicholls State 85 - Unranked 65
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 56		North Carolina Central 110 - Unranked 51
Northwestern 72 - Georgia Tech 67	0.627	Northwestern 67 - Georgia Tech 61	-1
Ohio State 76 - Syracuse 66	0.761	Ohio State 62 - Syracuse 72	20
Old Dominion 64 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.656	Old Dominion 62 - Virginia Commonwealth 52	-15
Presbyterian 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.559	Presbyterian 86 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 90	6
Rhode Island 79 - Brown 62	0.895	Rhode Island 71 - Brown 51	-3
Robert Morris 73 - Youngstown State 66	0.721	Robert Morris 76 - Youngstown State 56	-13
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Canisius 67	0.762	Saint Bonaventure 70 - Canisius 55	-6
Saint Josephs 80 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.788	Saint Josephs 89 - Illinois Chicago 75	-4
Saint Marys 73 - UC Irvine 63	0.768	Saint Marys 75 - UC Irvine 80	15
Sam Houston State 73 - Central Michigan 72	0.528	Sam Houston State 65 - Central Michigan 81	17
San Jose State 67 - Indiana State 76	0.743	San Jose State 57 - Indiana State 86	20
Seattle 87 - Unranked 55		Seattle 107 - Unranked 72
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Gardner Webb 73	0.699	South Carolina Upstate 61 - Gardner Webb 74	7
South Dakota State 82 - UMKC 63	0.896	South Dakota State 75 - UMKC 47	-9
South Florida 80 - Stetson 63	0.883	South Florida 75 - Stetson 71	13
Southern California 85 - Long Beach State 68	0.917	Southern California 75 - Long Beach State 65	7
Southern Miss 71 - South Alabama 65	0.627	Southern Miss 71 - South Alabama 67	2
Stanford 81 - Portland State 64	0.899	Stanford 79 - Portland State 67	5
Tennessee 89 - Eastern Kentucky 62	0.956	Tennessee 95 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-1
Tennessee Tech 68 - Winthrop 76	0.7	Tennessee Tech 70 - Winthrop 82	4
Texas El Paso 65 - New Mexico State 74	0.74	Texas El Paso 58 - New Mexico State 62	-5
Texas State 75 - Rice 64	0.782	Texas State 74 - Rice 60	-3
Toledo 83 - North Alabama 60	0.938	Toledo 80 - North Alabama 59	2
Tulane 70 - Georgia State 74	0.616	Tulane 76 - Georgia State 80	0
UCLA 84 - Hawaii 66	0.898	UCLA 80 - Hawaii 61	-1
Utah State 77 - Northern Iowa 66	0.796	Utah State 71 - Northern Iowa 52	-8
Utah Valley 88 - Unranked 55		Utah Valley 82 - Unranked 59
West Virginia 84 - Rider 66	0.896	West Virginia 92 - Rider 78	4
Western Illinois 73 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.681	Western Illinois 83 - SIU Edwardsville 58	-19
Xavier 84 - Miami OH 64	0.924	Xavier 82 - Miami OH 55	-7

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 58 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.904	Alabama AM 57 - Alabama Birmingham 67	-9
Albany 72 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.661	Albany 77 - LIU Brooklyn 80	8
Arizona 82 - Georgia Southern 64	0.926	Arizona 100 - Georgia Southern 70	-12
Boston College 84 - Sacred Heart 63	0.941	Boston College 81 - Sacred Heart 73	13
Campbell 86 - Unranked 58		Campbell 79 - Unranked 29
Central Florida 72 - Alabama 68	0.587	Central Florida 70 - Alabama 64	-2
Chicago State 81 - Unranked 63		Chicago State 90 - Unranked 67
Dartmouth 72 - Marist 68	0.647	Dartmouth 58 - Marist 76	22
Idaho State 87 - Unranked 60		Idaho State 74 - Unranked 66
James Madison 79 - Coppin State 61	0.902	James Madison 81 - Coppin State 71	8
Loyola Marymount 90 - Unranked 52		Loyola Marymount 106 - Unranked 50
Norfolk State 70 - Hampton 67	0.608	Norfolk State 94 - Hampton 89	-2
North Carolina AT 68 - Central Connecticut State 69	0.519	North Carolina AT 72 - Central Connecticut State 60	-13
North Florida 78 - Florida AM 61	0.884	North Florida 81 - Florida AM 62	-2
Samford 71 - Belmont 78	0.702	Samford 93 - Belmont 99	-1
Santa Clara 75 - Jackson State 60	0.866	Santa Clara 81 - Jackson State 70	4
Southern Methodist 84 - Mcneese State 58	0.958	Southern Methodist 91 - Mcneese State 59	-6
Southern Utah 86 - Unranked 59		Southern Utah 111 - Unranked 64
Texas Southern 88 - Unranked 58		Texas Southern 81 - Unranked 76
Troy 77 - Austin Peay 68	0.763	Troy 74 - Austin Peay 79	14
UC Davis 73 - Northern Arizona 64	0.739	UC Davis 73 - Northern Arizona 57	-7
UC Riverside 75 - Cal Baptist 68	0.767	UC Riverside 70 - Cal Baptist 80	17
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Sacramento State 65	0.718	UC Santa Barbara 75 - Sacramento State 58	-9

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 72 - Dartmouth 68	0.615	Albany 77 - Dartmouth 91	18
American 70 - Wagner 61	0.744	American 58 - Wagner 64	15
Buffalo 79 - Milwaukee 65	0.852	Buffalo 96 - Milwaukee 77	-5
Dayton 74 - Mississippi State 69	0.673	Dayton 58 - Mississippi State 65	12
East Carolina 76 - Appalachian State 69	0.717	East Carolina 83 - Appalachian State 81	5
Iowa 74 - Wisconsin 76	0.563	Iowa 66 - Wisconsin 72	4
LIU Brooklyn 71 - Marist 68	0.63	LIU Brooklyn 53 - Marist 70	20
Maryland Eastern Shore 62 - Delaware 72	0.769	Maryland Eastern Shore 62 - Delaware 71	-1
Minnesota 78 - Oklahoma State 75	0.58	Minnesota 83 - Oklahoma State 76	-4
Morehead State 88 - Unranked 58		Morehead State 103 - Unranked 50
Northern Kentucky 76 - UMBC 65	0.801	Northern Kentucky 78 - UMBC 60	-7
Pittsburgh 76 - Duquesne 70	0.691	Pittsburgh 74 - Duquesne 53	-15
Rutgers 66 - Michigan State 78	0.768	Rutgers 67 - Michigan State 78	-1
Saint Francis Penn 73 - Niagara 66	0.686	Saint Francis Penn 79 - Niagara 75	3
South Carolina 80 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.85	South Carolina 85 - Coastal Carolina 79	9
South Florida 72 - Colgate 68	0.633	South Florida 73 - Colgate 63	-6
Stephen F Austin 65 - San Francisco 73	0.704	Stephen F Austin 58 - San Francisco 76	10
Texas 78 - Radford 62	0.886	Texas 59 - Radford 62	19
Texas Christian 82 - Central Michigan 68	0.836	Texas Christian 89 - Central Michigan 62	-13
Towson 66 - Vermont 71	0.655	Towson 64 - Vermont 70	1

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 79 - Detroit 67	0.811	Akron 71 - Detroit 59	0
Alabama AM 64 - Austin Peay 74	0.809	Alabama AM 61 - Austin Peay 73	2
Alcorn State 78 - Unranked 59		Alcorn State 103 - Unranked 66
Arizona State 86 - Texas Southern 65	0.907	Arizona State 83 - Texas Southern 71	9
Arkansas 88 - Florida International 64	0.959	Arkansas 121 - Florida International 89	-8
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Sam Houston State 67	0.601	Arkansas Little Rock 79 - Sam Houston State 52	-24
Army 72 - Fairfield 71	0.512	Army 63 - Fairfield 60	-2
Bethune Cookman 66 - Florida Atlantic 73	0.704	Bethune Cookman 72 - Florida Atlantic 70	-9
Binghamton 80 - Unranked 59		Binghamton 89 - Unranked 70
Bradley 73 - New Mexico 71	0.571	Bradley 75 - New Mexico 85	12
Bryant 69 - New Hampshire 68	0.539	Bryant 75 - New Hampshire 65	-9
Bucknell 77 - Monmouth 64	0.823	Bucknell 65 - Monmouth 43	-9
Cal Baptist 79 - Mississippi Valley State 70	0.741	Cal Baptist 107 - Mississippi Valley State 71	-27
Cal State Fullerton 87 - Unranked 58		Cal State Fullerton 99 - Unranked 60
Cal State Northridge 71 - Sacramento State 72	0.509	Cal State Northridge 68 - Sacramento State 88	19
Charleston Southern 75 - North Florida 74	0.525	Charleston Southern 70 - North Florida 76	7
Chattanooga 73 - Tennessee Tech 65	0.677	Chattanooga 71 - Tennessee Tech 60	-3
Chicago State 66 - Eastern Illinois 74	0.689	Chicago State 80 - Eastern Illinois 72	-16
College of Charleston 75 - Charlotte 60	0.85	College of Charleston 72 - Charlotte 64	7
Colorado 81 - Colorado State 68	0.811	Colorado 86 - Colorado State 80	7
Creighton 76 - Gonzaga 80	0.637	Creighton 92 - Gonzaga 103	7
Drexel 73 - Robert Morris 67	0.679	Drexel 82 - Robert Morris 69	-7
Duke 99 - Stetson 53	0.969	Duke 113 - Stetson 49	-18
Elon 71 - Boston 70	0.546	Elon 58 - Boston 65	8
Evansville 91 - Unranked 56		Evansville 65 - Unranked 49
Fresno State 82 - Cal Poly 58	0.952	Fresno State 76 - Cal Poly 67	15
Furman 79 - Western Carolina 59	0.877	Furman 90 - Western Carolina 88	18
Gardner Webb 81 - Savannah State 67	0.862	Gardner Webb 97 - Savannah State 60	-23
Georgia Tech 74 - Saint Johns 72	0.532	Georgia Tech 73 - Saint Johns 76	5
Grand Canyon 71 - Boise State 72	0.513	Grand Canyon 69 - Boise State 67	-3
Green Bay 74 - Belmont 79	0.657	Green Bay 100 - Belmont 92	-13
Hampton 85 - Unranked 58		Hampton 114 - Unranked 55
Hartford 68 - Bowling Green 72	0.627	Hartford 76 - Bowling Green 63	-17
High Point 75 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.706	High Point 69 - Eastern Kentucky 70	8
Holy Cross 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	0.863	Holy Cross 67 - Fairleigh Dickinson 49	-4
Houston 71 - Oregon 74	0.59	Houston 65 - Oregon 61	-7
Illinois Chicago 70 - Loyola Ill 74	0.617	Illinois Chicago 64 - Loyola Ill 73	5
Illinois State 69 - San Diego State 70	0.505	Illinois State 65 - San Diego State 75	9
Indiana 78 - Northwestern 70	0.712	Indiana 68 - Northwestern 66	6
Indiana State 73 - Wright State 70	0.607	Indiana State 69 - Wright State 63	-3
IPFW 80 - UMKC 68	0.809	IPFW 73 - UMKC 90	29
IUPUI 71 - Ball State 72	0.532	IUPUI 75 - Ball State 85	9
Jacksonville 73 - South Carolina State 65	0.702	Jacksonville 71 - South Carolina State 69	6
Kansas 87 - Stanford 66	0.93	Kansas 90 - Stanford 84	15
Kennesaw St 65 - Hofstra 75	0.792	Kennesaw St 52 - Hofstra 78	16
Kent State 77 - Norfolk State 61	0.917	Kent State 78 - Norfolk State 67	5
Kentucky 82 - UNC Greensboro 65	0.887	Kentucky 78 - UNC Greensboro 61	0
La Salle 63 - Villanova 85	0.92	La Salle 78 - Villanova 85	-15
Lehigh 78 - Arkansas State 66	0.805	Lehigh 82 - Arkansas State 70	0
Liberty 66 - Georgia State 69	0.601	Liberty 78 - Georgia State 52	-29
Longwood 71 - Virginia Military Institute 70	0.506	Longwood 65 - Virginia Military Institute 45	-19
Louisiana State 88 - Grambling State 60	0.964	Louisiana State 78 - Grambling State 57	7
Louisiana Tech 82 - Houston Baptist 65	0.882	Louisiana Tech 85 - Houston Baptist 78	10
Loyola MD 70 - Mt St Marys 67	0.609	Loyola MD 75 - Mt St Marys 65	-7
Manhattan 65 - Fordham 67	0.548	Manhattan 56 - Fordham 57	-1
Marquette 74 - Kansas State 72	0.572	Marquette 83 - Kansas State 71	-10
Maryland 77 - Penn State 68	0.734	Maryland 66 - Penn State 59	2
Memphis 67 - Texas Tech 79	0.805	Memphis 67 - Texas Tech 78	-1
Miami 83 - Yale 64	0.896	Miami 73 - Yale 77	23
Miami OH 88 - Unranked 55		Miami OH 88 - Unranked 57
Michigan 76 - Purdue 71	0.635	Michigan 76 - Purdue 57	-14
Middle Tennessee 74 - Lipscomb 69	0.627	Middle Tennessee 74 - Lipscomb 84	15
Mississippi 82 - UL Monroe 62	0.908	Mississippi 83 - UL Monroe 60	-3
Murray State 81 - Prairie View 58	0.934	Murray State 83 - Prairie View 67	7
Navy 68 - Brown 67	0.524	Navy 50 - Brown 67	18
Nevada Las Vegas 65 - Cincinnati 74	0.734	Nevada Las Vegas 61 - Cincinnati 65	-5
New Mexico State 78 - Washington State 67	0.803	New Mexico State 69 - Washington State 63	5
North Alabama 66 - Jacksonville State 71	0.64	North Alabama 65 - Jacksonville State 76	6
North Carolina AT 68 - Presbyterian 66	0.553	North Carolina AT 70 - Presbyterian 75	7
North Carolina Central 72 - Mcneese State 64	0.761	North Carolina Central 67 - Mcneese State 66	7
North Dakota 72 - Idaho 68	0.636	North Dakota 54 - Idaho 67	17
North Dakota State 72 - Drake 69	0.569	North Dakota State 88 - Drake 95	10
Northeastern 73 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.677	Northeastern 81 - Eastern Michigan 67	-7
Ohio 75 - Marshall 74	0.523	Ohio 101 - Marshall 84	-16
Old Dominion 72 - James Madison 59	0.836	Old Dominion 67 - James Madison 42	-12
Oregon State 76 - Missouri State 67	0.747	Oregon State 101 - Missouri State 77	-15
Pacific 75 - Air Force 66	0.737	Pacific 82 - Air Force 69	-4
Pepperdine 74 - Abilene Christian 67	0.732	Pepperdine 77 - Abilene Christian 62	-8
Portland State 88 - Unranked 59		Portland State 123 - Unranked 40
Princeton 69 - George Washington 70	0.525	Princeton 73 - George Washington 52	-22
Providence 76 - Rhode Island 68	0.728	Providence 59 - Rhode Island 50	-1
Rice 77 - Lamar 71	0.688	Rice 68 - Lamar 75	13
Richmond 76 - Wake Forest 75	0.501	Richmond 84 - Wake Forest 74	-9
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Delaware State 55	0.96	Saint Bonaventure 90 - Delaware State 61	-2
Saint Josephs 74 - Temple 73	0.524	Saint Josephs 70 - Temple 77	8
Saint Louis 65 - Butler 77	0.823	Saint Louis 64 - Butler 52	-24
Saint Marys 76 - California 63	0.806	Saint Marys 84 - California 71	0
Saint Peters 74 - Maine 58	0.868	Saint Peters 63 - Maine 59	12
San Diego 77 - Long Beach State 66	0.807	San Diego 74 - Long Beach State 70	7
San Francisco 72 - Buffalo 74	0.555	San Francisco 81 - Buffalo 85	2
Santa Clara 76 - Northern Arizona 65	0.75	Santa Clara 81 - Northern Arizona 74	4
SE Missouri State 73 - Western Illinois 67	0.66	SE Missouri State 63 - Western Illinois 70	13
Seattle 73 - Eastern Washington 67	0.662	Seattle 88 - Eastern Washington 68	-14
Seton Hall 74 - Louisville 75	0.514	Seton Hall 65 - Louisville 70	4
Siena 67 - Harvard 73	0.694	Siena 67 - Harvard 64	-9
SIU Edwardsville 64 - Southern Illinois 73	0.775	SIU Edwardsville 61 - Southern Illinois 82	12
South Alabama 74 - Florida AM 61	0.808	South Alabama 66 - Florida AM 57	4
South Dakota 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.626	South Dakota 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 56	-8
South Dakota State 72 - Northern Iowa 70	0.561	South Dakota State 82 - Northern Iowa 50	-30
Southern California 77 - Nevada 75	0.551	Southern California 61 - Nevada 73	14
Stephen F Austin 70 - Milwaukee 66	0.601	Stephen F Austin 66 - Milwaukee 51	-11
Stony Brook 78 - Quinnipiac 63	0.883	Stony Brook 71 - Quinnipiac 61	5
Syracuse 83 - Cornell 59	0.939	Syracuse 63 - Cornell 55	16
Tennessee Martin 73 - UNC Asheville 68	0.654	Tennessee Martin 87 - UNC Asheville 70	-12
Texas Arlington 81 - Texas Pan American 65	0.874	Texas Arlington 65 - Texas Pan American 76	27
Texas El Paso 77 - Northwestern State 64	0.816	Texas El Paso 77 - Northwestern State 47	-17
Texas San Antonio 66 - Texas State 69	0.589	Texas San Antonio 68 - Texas State 69	-2
The Citadel 72 - Mercer 77	0.639	The Citadel 79 - Mercer 69	-15
Toledo 79 - Cleveland State 62	0.893	Toledo 80 - Cleveland State 67	4
Tulane 75 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.813	Tulane 61 - Southeast Louisiana 62	13
UC Irvine 71 - Utah State 69	0.554	UC Irvine 65 - Utah State 89	26
UL Lafayette 84 - Southern 60	0.945	UL Lafayette 88 - Southern 78	14
UMass Lowell 70 - NJ Tech 71	0.564	UMass Lowell 94 - NJ Tech 71	-24
UNC Wilmington 71 - Davidson 76	0.644	UNC Wilmington 85 - Davidson 91	1
Utah 78 - Tulsa 69	0.737	Utah 69 - Tulsa 64	4
Utah Valley 72 - Denver 65	0.688	Utah Valley 98 - Denver 75	-16
Vanderbilt 76 - NC State 75	0.514	Vanderbilt 65 - NC State 80	16
Virginia Commonwealth 81 - Iona 66	0.918	Virginia Commonwealth 88 - Iona 59	-14
Virginia Tech 88 - Central Connecticut State 57	0.979	Virginia Tech 94 - Central Connecticut State 40	-23
Weber State 70 - Brigham Young 77	0.693	Weber State 113 - Brigham Young 103	-17
West Virginia 90 - Youngstown State 62	0.961	West Virginia 106 - Youngstown State 72	-6
Western Kentucky 75 - Tennessee State 62	0.84	Western Kentucky 88 - Tennessee State 74	-1
Western Michigan 79 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.901	Western Michigan 66 - South Carolina Upstate 71	23
Wichita State 76 - Baylor 71	0.651	Wichita State 71 - Baylor 63	-3
William and Mary 79 - George Mason 72	0.718	William and Mary 84 - George Mason 87	10
Wofford 72 - East Tennessee State 71	0.554	Wofford 79 - East Tennessee State 62	-16
Wyoming 75 - Northern Colorado 71	0.626	Wyoming 80 - Northern Colorado 85	9
Xavier 85 - Oakland 67	0.909	Xavier 73 - Oakland 63	8

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Columbia 69 - Delaware 71	0.55	Columbia 86 - Delaware 87	-1
Connecticut 70 - Arizona 76	0.702	Connecticut 72 - Arizona 76	-2
East Carolina 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.915	East Carolina 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 47	-5
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Colgate 67	0.665	Florida Gulf Coast 56 - Colgate 74	24
Lafayette 75 - Sacred Heart 71	0.637	Lafayette 62 - Sacred Heart 64	6
Missouri 69 - Central Florida 71	0.56	Missouri 64 - Central Florida 62	-4
Nebraska 79 - Illinois 69	0.728	Nebraska 75 - Illinois 60	-5
Ohio State 79 - Minnesota 69	0.767	Ohio State 79 - Minnesota 59	-10
Southern Methodist 82 - Oral Roberts 59	0.929	Southern Methodist 79 - Oral Roberts 67	11
Southern Miss 85 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 106 - Unranked 46
Tennessee 84 - Texas AM CC 60	0.95	Tennessee 79 - Texas AM CC 51	-4
UCLA 81 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.868	UCLA 82 - Loyola Marymount 58	-9
Valparaiso 74 - UC Riverside 60	0.898	Valparaiso 82 - UC Riverside 73	5
Washington 78 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.829	Washington 67 - UC Santa Barbara 63	8

Number of DI Games: 293
Number Correct: 214 = 73%
Expected Number Correct: 216.051 = 73.7%
Average Error: 9.9
Average Signed Error: 0.97

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Coppin State 65 - UMBC 77	0.797	Coppin State 60 - UMBC 71	-1
Delaware State 76 - Unranked 66		Delaware State 102 - Unranked 66
DePaul 84 - Florida AM 58	0.958	DePaul 65 - Florida AM 50	11
East Tennessee State 94 - Unranked 51		East Tennessee State 107 - Unranked 60
Florida State 88 - Troy 62	0.957	Florida State 83 - Troy 67	10
George Mason 70 - Vermont 74	0.637	George Mason 67 - Vermont 72	1
Georgetown 72 - Liberty 70	0.585	Georgetown 88 - Liberty 78	-8
Georgia 80 - Texas Southern 70	0.716	Georgia 92 - Texas Southern 75	-7
Iowa State 88 - North Dakota State 60	0.929	Iowa State 81 - North Dakota State 59	6
Michigan State 84 - Iowa 72	0.798	Michigan State 90 - Iowa 68	-10
Montana 96 - Unranked 54		Montana 80 - Unranked 52
Pepperdine 85 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.938	Pepperdine 83 - Cal State Northridge 90	26
Pittsburgh 84 - Niagara 61	0.938	Pittsburgh 70 - Niagara 71	24
Saint Francis Brooklyn 87 - Unranked 57		Saint Francis Brooklyn 104 - Unranked 75
Texas AM 88 - Northwestern State 55	0.98	Texas AM 80 - Northwestern State 59	12
Virginia 89 - Morgan State 52	0.977	Virginia 83 - Morgan State 45	-1
Wisconsin 77 - Rutgers 61	0.848	Wisconsin 69 - Rutgers 64	11

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Campbell 66	0.725	Abilene Christian 83 - Campbell 68	-8
Alabama 77 - Georgia State 67	0.729	Alabama 80 - Georgia State 83	13
Alabama Birmingham 77 - North Alabama 62	0.85	Alabama Birmingham 73 - North Alabama 67	9
American 70 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.592	American 95 - Saint Francis Penn 82	-10
Appalachian State 79 - Howard 72	0.715	Appalachian State 100 - Howard 86	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 68 - Bradley 72	0.582	Arkansas Little Rock 62 - Bradley 68	2
Arkansas State 70 - Evansville 80	0.725	Arkansas State 87 - Evansville 77	-20
Auburn 94 - UNC Asheville 50	0.97	Auburn 67 - UNC Asheville 41	18
Belmont 81 - Lipscomb 75	0.667	Belmont 76 - Lipscomb 74	4
Boston 76 - UMass Lowell 70	0.661	Boston 79 - UMass Lowell 60	-13
Boston College 74 - Providence 70	0.621	Boston College 95 - Providence 100	9
Cal State Bakersfield 86 - Unranked 55		Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Unranked 53
Cincinnati 78 - Northern Kentucky 61	0.89	Cincinnati 78 - Northern Kentucky 65	4
Clemson 85 - Saint Peters 56	0.985	Clemson 65 - Saint Peters 60	24
Colorado 80 - South Dakota 63	0.873	Colorado 82 - South Dakota 58	-7
Davidson 82 - Winthrop 67	0.91	Davidson 99 - Winthrop 81	-3
Dayton 81 - Detroit 66	0.878	Dayton 98 - Detroit 59	-24
Eastern Illinois 84 - Unranked 60		Eastern Illinois 90 - Unranked 37
Elon 62 - Furman 79	0.878	Elon 77 - Furman 98	4
Florida 76 - West Virginia 73	0.584	Florida 66 - West Virginia 56	-7
Grambling State 86 - Unranked 59		Grambling State 81 - Unranked 57
Houston 82 - Lamar 59	0.958	Houston 79 - Lamar 56	0
Incarnate Word 83 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 82 - Unranked 57
James Madison 62 - Radford 75	0.852	James Madison 73 - Radford 66	-20
Kansas 86 - Wofford 68	0.913	Kansas 72 - Wofford 47	-7
La Salle 74 - Bucknell 76	0.559	La Salle 79 - Bucknell 92	11
Louisiana Tech 79 - Prairie View 64	0.885	Louisiana Tech 82 - Prairie View 68	1
Maine 60 - Fordham 70	0.8	Maine 75 - Fordham 68	-17
Marquette 83 - Texas El Paso 59	0.948	Marquette 76 - Texas El Paso 69	17
Massachusetts 72 - Holy Cross 68	0.621	Massachusetts 78 - Holy Cross 82	8
Memphis 74 - South Dakota State 75	0.51	Memphis 88 - South Dakota State 80	-9
Mississippi State 87 - Mcneese State 54	0.97	Mississippi State 90 - Mcneese State 77	20
Mississippi Valley State 68 - SE Missouri State 73	0.609	Mississippi Valley State 57 - SE Missouri State 77	15
Missouri 79 - Texas Arlington 65	0.861	Missouri 65 - Texas Arlington 45	-6
New Mexico State 79 - New Mexico 72	0.729	New Mexico State 100 - New Mexico 65	-28
NJ Tech 73 - Army 64	0.726	NJ Tech 77 - Army 72	4
Northwestern 65 - Michigan 75	0.761	Northwestern 60 - Michigan 62	-8
Oklahoma 76 - Notre Dame 72	0.609	Oklahoma 85 - Notre Dame 80	-1
Penn State 73 - Indiana 72	0.519	Penn State 62 - Indiana 64	3
Pennsylvania 68 - Miami 75	0.691	Pennsylvania 89 - Miami 75	-21
Presbyterian 75 - Jacksonville 65	0.75	Presbyterian 88 - Jacksonville 94	16
Saint Marys 83 - Bethune Cookman 61	0.93	Saint Marys 93 - Bethune Cookman 61	-10
Seton Hall 90 - New Hampshire 52	0.969	Seton Hall 77 - New Hampshire 57	18
Syracuse 77 - Northeastern 67	0.741	Syracuse 72 - Northeastern 49	-13
Valparaiso 74 - High Point 64	0.765	Valparaiso 53 - High Point 55	12
Youngstown State 68 - Central Michigan 78	0.757	Youngstown State 94 - Central Michigan 100	-4

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Denver 67	0.679	Air Force 73 - Denver 65	-1
Brigham Young 72 - Utah State 80	0.723	Brigham Young 95 - Utah State 80	-23
Buffalo 103 - Unranked 49		Buffalo 89 - Unranked 55
Butler 82 - Brown 60	0.928	Butler 70 - Brown 55	7
Cal Baptist 70 - UC Irvine 79	0.738	Cal Baptist 66 - UC Irvine 69	-6
Cal State Fullerton 67 - Loyola Marymount 72	0.67	Cal State Fullerton 49 - Loyola Marymount 59	5
Cal State Northridge 88 - Unranked 64		Cal State Northridge 76 - Unranked 72
California 67 - San Francisco 76	0.77	California 60 - San Francisco 79	10
Canisius 70 - Robert Morris 67	0.618	Canisius 68 - Robert Morris 62	-3
Cleveland State 72 - Bowling Green 71	0.547	Cleveland State 82 - Bowling Green 64	-17
Coastal Carolina 78 - Hampton 69	0.75	Coastal Carolina 75 - Hampton 66	0
Colorado State 69 - Arkansas 83	0.873	Colorado State 74 - Arkansas 98	10
Columbia 69 - Colgate 77	0.738	Columbia 62 - Colgate 64	-6
Connecticut 87 - Lafayette 61	0.961	Connecticut 90 - Lafayette 63	-1
Dartmouth 74 - Quinnipiac 65	0.747	Dartmouth 59 - Quinnipiac 64	14
Delaware 75 - Navy 60	0.851	Delaware 65 - Navy 80	30
Drexel 78 - Loyola MD 68	0.76	Drexel 95 - Loyola MD 86	1
Duke 96 - Hartford 55	0.972	Duke 84 - Hartford 54	11
Duquesne 77 - Marshall 74	0.574	Duquesne 93 - Marshall 82	-8
Eastern Kentucky 80 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.841	Eastern Kentucky 79 - South Carolina Upstate 77	10
Florida Atlantic 71 - Mercer 70	0.51	Florida Atlantic 68 - Mercer 64	-3
Fresno State 83 - Weber State 70	0.833	Fresno State 71 - Weber State 52	-6
George Washington 72 - Towson 66	0.641	George Washington 68 - Towson 64	2
Gonzaga 88 - Washington 68	0.954	Gonzaga 81 - Washington 79	18
Hofstra 82 - Monmouth 59	0.961	Hofstra 75 - Monmouth 73	21
Illinois 70 - Ohio State 79	0.715	Illinois 67 - Ohio State 77	1
Illinois Chicago 75 - Illinois State 76	0.543	Illinois Chicago 94 - Illinois State 75	-20
Indiana State 75 - North Texas 65	0.759	Indiana State 69 - North Texas 80	21
IPFW 69 - Akron 78	0.692	IPFW 68 - Akron 65	-12
Long Beach State 74 - Southern Utah 72	0.571	Long Beach State 82 - Southern Utah 71	-9
Louisville 91 - Central Arkansas 63	0.961	Louisville 86 - Central Arkansas 41	-17
Loyola Ill 73 - Ball State 70	0.598	Loyola Ill 69 - Ball State 75	9
Manhattan 61 - Stony Brook 73	0.779	Manhattan 62 - Stony Brook 69	-5
Minnesota 71 - Nebraska 76	0.63	Minnesota 85 - Nebraska 78	-12
Missouri State 71 - Western Kentucky 76	0.63	Missouri State 84 - Western Kentucky 78	-11
Morgan State 74 - Binghamton 65	0.748	Morgan State 74 - Binghamton 68	3
NC State 89 - Western Carolina 60	0.95	NC State 100 - Western Carolina 67	-4
New Orleans 71 - South Alabama 70	0.506	New Orleans 71 - South Alabama 60	-10
North Carolina 94 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.999	North Carolina 97 - UNC Wilmington 69	0
Northern Illinois 74 - UC Davis 65	0.754	Northern Illinois 71 - UC Davis 62	0
Old Dominion 77 - William and Mary 64	0.839	Old Dominion 71 - William and Mary 53	-5
Oral Roberts 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.506	Oral Roberts 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 96	21
Pacific 92 - Unranked 56		Pacific 74 - Unranked 69
Portland State 76 - Portland 71	0.696	Portland State 87 - Portland 78	-4
Princeton 71 - Saint Josephs 75	0.606	Princeton 82 - Saint Josephs 92	6
Richmond 84 - Coppin State 62	0.904	Richmond 82 - Coppin State 47	-13
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Siena 68	0.706	Saint Bonaventure 82 - Siena 40	-36
Saint Johns 90 - Mt St Marys 59	0.962	Saint Johns 85 - Mt St Marys 71	17
San Diego State 77 - San Diego 67	0.741	San Diego State 61 - San Diego 73	22
Southern Illinois 68 - Saint Louis 67	0.525	Southern Illinois 61 - Saint Louis 56	-4
Southern Methodist 70 - Texas Christian 74	0.605	Southern Methodist 59 - Texas Christian 67	4
Stetson 67 - Western Illinois 77	0.751	Stetson 68 - Western Illinois 64	-14
Texas 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 65	0.733	Texas 53 - Virginia Commonwealth 54	9
Texas AM CC 63 - Texas State 71	0.763	Texas AM CC 55 - Texas State 61	-2
Texas Pan American 77 - North Dakota 64	0.858	Texas Pan American 70 - North Dakota 56	-1
Texas Tech 90 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.961	Texas Tech 65 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 47	21
The Citadel 99 - Unranked 60		The Citadel 127 - Unranked 93
Toledo 82 - Detroit 66	0.872	Toledo 101 - Detroit 57	-28
Tulane 79 - Tennessee Martin 71	0.778	Tulane 87 - Tennessee Martin 74	-5
Tulsa 72 - Oklahoma State 76	0.619	Tulsa 74 - Oklahoma State 71	-7
UL Lafayette 95 - Unranked 55		UL Lafayette 97 - Unranked 84
Vanderbilt 80 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.904	Vanderbilt 79 - Middle Tennessee 51	-13
Villanova 80 - Temple 68	0.798	Villanova 69 - Temple 59	2
Virginia Tech 93 - Virginia Military Institute 52	0.978	Virginia Tech 89 - Virginia Military Institute 68	20
Washington State 77 - Idaho 67	0.822	Washington State 90 - Idaho 70	-10
Wright State 76 - Miami OH 68	0.711	Wright State 62 - Miami OH 65	11
Wyoming 72 - South Carolina 77	0.655	Wyoming 73 - South Carolina 64	-14
Xavier 82 - Ohio 66	0.825	Xavier 82 - Ohio 61	-5
Yale 79 - Lehigh 71	0.73	Yale 97 - Lehigh 87	-2

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 83 - Utah Valley 60	0.945	Arizona 80 - Utah Valley 69	12
Chicago State 83 - Unranked 65		Chicago State 84 - Unranked 82
Fairfield 73 - Oakland 74	0.54	Fairfield 86 - Oakland 87	0
Florida AM 81 - Unranked 60		Florida AM 80 - Unranked 58
Gardner Webb 90 - Unranked 55		Gardner Webb 105 - Unranked 37
Iowa 76 - Iowa State 77	0.509	Iowa 98 - Iowa State 84	-15
IUPUI 92 - Unranked 53		IUPUI 95 - Unranked 64
Milwaukee 70 - Drake 75	0.644	Milwaukee 61 - Drake 75	9
Purdue 79 - Maryland 71	0.712	Purdue 62 - Maryland 60	6
San Jose State 72 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.503	San Jose State 67 - Bethune Cookman 65	-1
Seattle 77 - Omaha 68	0.73	Seattle 90 - Omaha 71	-10
South Carolina State 83 - Unranked 62		South Carolina State 90 - Unranked 69
Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Tech 118 - Unranked 60
UC Riverside 65 - Pepperdine 76	0.849	UC Riverside 75 - Pepperdine 71	-15
Wake Forest 76 - Charlotte 65	0.79	Wake Forest 80 - Charlotte 56	-13
Wofford 97 - Unranked 50		Wofford 112 - Unranked 58

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Columbia 78 - Bryant 69	0.755	Columbia 90 - Bryant 68	-13
Elon 61 - UNC Greensboro 79	0.923	Elon 74 - UNC Greensboro 75	-17
George Mason 76 - James Madison 67	0.815	George Mason 66 - James Madison 53	-4
Longwood 82 - Unranked 55		Longwood 68 - Unranked 65
Missouri 81 - Oral Roberts 58	0.935	Missouri 80 - Oral Roberts 64	7
Nevada 78 - Arizona State 74	0.647	Nevada 72 - Arizona State 66	-2
New Mexico 75 - Saint Marys 79	0.605	New Mexico 60 - Saint Marys 85	21
Providence 79 - Massachusetts 67	0.809	Providence 78 - Massachusetts 79	13
Santa Clara 76 - Idaho State 73	0.637	Santa Clara 66 - Idaho State 68	5
South Dakota State 87 - Southern 60	0.948	South Dakota State 101 - Southern 92	18
Southern California 75 - Texas Christian 74	0.508	Southern California 61 - Texas Christian 96	36
Stephen F Austin 71 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.56	Stephen F Austin 93 - Louisiana Tech 96	5
UMass Lowell 91 - Unranked 61		UMass Lowell 110 - Unranked 63

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 88 - Unranked 53		Abilene Christian 93 - Unranked 53
Air Force 73 - Army 67	0.649	Air Force 61 - Army 66	11
Albany 72 - Monmouth 64	0.722	Albany 82 - Monmouth 63	-11
Alcorn State 80 - Unranked 60		Alcorn State 109 - Unranked 45
Appalachian State 79 - North Carolina Central 69	0.811	Appalachian State 82 - North Carolina Central 73	1
Arkansas 81 - Western Kentucky 68	0.863	Arkansas 77 - Western Kentucky 78	14
Arkansas Little Rock 76 - Central Arkansas 70	0.639	Arkansas Little Rock 82 - Central Arkansas 85	9
Auburn 85 - Dayton 65	0.929	Auburn 82 - Dayton 72	10
Austin Peay 90 - Unranked 58		Austin Peay 116 - Unranked 33
Binghamton 68 - Loyola MD 69	0.526	Binghamton 65 - Loyola MD 83	17
Boise State 91 - Unranked 54		Boise State 82 - Unranked 62
Bowling Green 73 - Green Bay 77	0.633	Bowling Green 97 - Green Bay 68	-33
Brown 70 - Stony Brook 71	0.552	Brown 71 - Stony Brook 69	-3
Butler 84 - Northern Illinois 64	0.893	Butler 95 - Northern Illinois 68	-7
Cal Baptist 93 - Unranked 62		Cal Baptist 87 - Unranked 48
Cal Poly 71 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.585	Cal Poly 80 - Bethune Cookman 78	1
California 67 - San Diego State 76	0.723	California 89 - San Diego State 83	-15
Central Connecticut State 87 - Unranked 59		Central Connecticut State 79 - Unranked 58
Central Florida 82 - Grambling State 56	0.995	Central Florida 70 - Grambling State 45	1
Central Michigan 76 - Southern Utah 69	0.709	Central Michigan 95 - Southern Utah 86	-2
Cincinnati 76 - Xavier 68	0.708	Cincinnati 62 - Xavier 47	-7
Colorado 86 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.895	Colorado 84 - Illinois Chicago 72	6
Colorado State 77 - Sam Houston State 66	0.798	Colorado State 71 - Sam Houston State 65	5
Dartmouth 78 - Maine 63	0.861	Dartmouth 78 - Maine 52	-11
Delaware State 58 - Jacksonville State 81	0.94	Delaware State 54 - Jacksonville State 81	4
Drexel 73 - UMBC 70	0.613	Drexel 76 - UMBC 91	18
Duke 92 - Yale 66	0.936	Duke 91 - Yale 58	-7
East Tennessee State 82 - Tennessee Martin 65	0.943	East Tennessee State 80 - Tennessee Martin 62	-1
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Northern Kentucky 81	0.773	Eastern Kentucky 76 - Northern Kentucky 74	-11
Eastern Michigan 89 - Unranked 55		Eastern Michigan 105 - Unranked 53
Florida 73 - Michigan State 76	0.571	Florida 59 - Michigan State 63	1
Florida State 81 - Connecticut 72	0.772	Florida State 79 - Connecticut 71	1
Fordham 60 - Rutgers 71	0.787	Fordham 78 - Rutgers 70	-19
Fresno State 84 - Long Beach State 66	0.906	Fresno State 92 - Long Beach State 71	-3
Gardner Webb 90 - Unranked 55		Gardner Webb 102 - Unranked 55
George Washington 70 - Valparaiso 72	0.555	George Washington 79 - Valparaiso 82	1
Hampton 75 - William and Mary 77	0.551	Hampton 71 - William and Mary 76	3
Hawaii 91 - Unranked 55		Hawaii 82 - Unranked 75
Hofstra 80 - Rider 73	0.75	Hofstra 89 - Rider 73	-9
Holy Cross 67 - Rhode Island 66	0.521	Holy Cross 63 - Rhode Island 79	17
Howard 67 - American 68	0.51	Howard 85 - American 83	-3
Idaho 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.665	Idaho 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 73	10
Illinois 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.666	Illinois 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 74	4
Illinois State 72 - Mississippi 77	0.667	Illinois State 74 - Mississippi 81	2
Indiana 78 - Louisville 76	0.569	Indiana 68 - Louisville 67	1
Indiana State 95 - Unranked 50		Indiana State 77 - Unranked 69
Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 60		Jacksonville 100 - Unranked 57
Kansas 85 - New Mexico State 66	0.942	Kansas 63 - New Mexico State 60	16
Kent State 76 - Wright State 69	0.71	Kent State 83 - Wright State 76	0
La Salle 71 - Pennsylvania 76	0.642	La Salle 65 - Pennsylvania 83	13
Marquette 71 - Wisconsin 74	0.588	Marquette 74 - Wisconsin 69	-8
Marshall 76 - Toledo 77	0.52	Marshall 74 - Toledo 75	0
Maryland 76 - Loyola Ill 65	0.801	Maryland 55 - Loyola Ill 41	-3
Memphis 77 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.719	Memphis 94 - Alabama Birmingham 76	-10
Mercer 72 - Georgia Southern 71	0.531	Mercer 74 - Georgia Southern 89	16
Miami OH 79 - IPFW 71	0.679	Miami OH 85 - IPFW 79	2
Michigan 84 - South Carolina 59	0.934	Michigan 89 - South Carolina 78	14
Middle Tennessee 68 - Murray State 75	0.713	Middle Tennessee 42 - Murray State 64	15
Minnesota 88 - Arkansas State 60	0.964	Minnesota 72 - Arkansas State 56	12
Mississippi State 70 - Clemson 72	0.568	Mississippi State 82 - Clemson 71	-13
Mt St Marys 64 - Lehigh 77	0.852	Mt St Marys 78 - Lehigh 85	-6
Nebraska 80 - Creighton 72	0.69	Nebraska 94 - Creighton 75	-11
NJ Tech 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.67	NJ Tech 82 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	-15
North Carolina AT 85 - Unranked 59		North Carolina AT 92 - Unranked 67
North Dakota State 76 - Eastern Washington 68	0.703	North Dakota State 74 - Eastern Washington 67	1
North Texas 77 - Texas Arlington 66	0.8	North Texas 63 - Texas Arlington 61	9
Northeastern 83 - Oakland 67	0.866	Northeastern 92 - Oakland 83	7
Northern Arizona 69 - Utah Valley 77	0.72	Northern Arizona 78 - Utah Valley 98	12
Northern Iowa 88 - Unranked 55		Northern Iowa 75 - Unranked 67
Northwestern 78 - DePaul 69	0.737	Northwestern 75 - DePaul 68	2
Ohio 68 - Radford 70	0.546	Ohio 78 - Radford 69	-11
Oklahoma 81 - Wichita State 69	0.828	Oklahoma 80 - Wichita State 48	-20
Oklahoma State 74 - Houston 70	0.6	Oklahoma State 53 - Houston 63	14
Oregon 84 - Omaha 64	0.882	Oregon 84 - Omaha 61	-3
Penn State 79 - Colgate 61	0.913	Penn State 76 - Colgate 65	7
Pepperdine 83 - Jackson State 58	0.962	Pepperdine 69 - Jackson State 66	22
Portland 70 - Sacramento State 71	0.507	Portland 76 - Sacramento State 67	-10
Quinnipiac 71 - Lafayette 66	0.695	Quinnipiac 88 - Lafayette 77	-6
Robert Morris 71 - Siena 70	0.512	Robert Morris 71 - Siena 74	4
Saint Bonaventure 65 - Buffalo 81	0.889	Saint Bonaventure 62 - Buffalo 80	2
Saint Peters 73 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.645	Saint Peters 58 - LIU Brooklyn 74	20
SE Missouri State 62 - Southern Illinois 72	0.767	SE Missouri State 73 - Southern Illinois 83	0
Seton Hall 73 - Kentucky 76	0.615	Seton Hall 84 - Kentucky 83	-4
SIU Edwardsville 84 - Unranked 62		SIU Edwardsville 92 - Unranked 87
South Alabama 71 - Tulane 70	0.507	South Alabama 81 - Tulane 60	-20
South Carolina Upstate 60 - Furman 80	0.892	South Carolina Upstate 60 - Furman 74	-6
South Dakota 76 - UMKC 63	0.815	South Dakota 63 - UMKC 65	15
Stetson 65 - Marist 75	0.773	Stetson 75 - Marist 79	-6
Syracuse 78 - Georgetown 67	0.773	Syracuse 72 - Georgetown 71	10
Texas San Antonio 90 - Unranked 58		Texas San Antonio 104 - Unranked 74
Texas Southern 94 - Unranked 58		Texas Southern 107 - Unranked 70
Texas State 80 - Houston Baptist 64	0.906	Texas State 90 - Houston Baptist 80	6
Towson 71 - Morgan State 70	0.532	Towson 69 - Morgan State 74	6
Tulsa 68 - Kansas State 73	0.68	Tulsa 47 - Kansas State 46	-6
UC Irvine 75 - Montana 68	0.72	UC Irvine 60 - Montana 51	-2
UC Santa Barbara 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.865	UC Santa Barbara 55 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 45	11
UCLA 77 - Notre Dame 73	0.625	UCLA 65 - Notre Dame 62	1
UNC Asheville 67 - Western Carolina 70	0.561	UNC Asheville 59 - Western Carolina 71	9
Utah 77 - Brigham Young 75	0.541	Utah 59 - Brigham Young 74	17
Vermont 73 - Harvard 68	0.661	Vermont 71 - Harvard 65	-1
Villanova 85 - Saint Josephs 67	0.87	Villanova 70 - Saint Josephs 58	6
Weber State 69 - Utah State 83	0.861	Weber State 67 - Utah State 76	-5
West Virginia 78 - Pittsburgh 73	0.649	West Virginia 69 - Pittsburgh 59	-5
Western Illinois 75 - Eastern Illinois 64	0.73	Western Illinois 67 - Eastern Illinois 74	18
Youngstown State 69 - Western Michigan 75	0.66	Youngstown State 77 - Western Michigan 88	5

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 71 - Arizona 75	0.619	Alabama 76 - Arizona 73	-7
Alabama AM 57 - Samford 81	0.959	Alabama AM 59 - Samford 77	-6
Chattanooga 73 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.652	Chattanooga 83 - Virginia Military Institute 65	-12
Cleveland State 88 - Unranked 58		Cleveland State 77 - Unranked 56
College of Charleston 93 - Unranked 51		College of Charleston 87 - Unranked 69
Coppin State 69 - Tennessee State 75	0.676	Coppin State 55 - Tennessee State 64	3
Delaware 74 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.668	Delaware 88 - Saint Francis Penn 83	1
Denver 86 - Unranked 59		Denver 93 - Unranked 69
Duquesne 75 - Longwood 58	0.902	Duquesne 80 - Longwood 71	8
Evansville 75 - Ball State 79	0.585	Evansville 89 - Ball State 77	-16
Georgia Tech 81 - Florida AM 53	0.985	Georgia Tech 73 - Florida AM 40	-5
Grand Canyon 66 - Nevada 80	0.91	Grand Canyon 66 - Nevada 74	-6
Iona 79 - Columbia 73	0.699	Iona 71 - Columbia 74	9
Iowa State 93 - Southern 55	0.976	Iowa State 101 - Southern 65	2
Lipscomb 82 - Navy 57	0.946	Lipscomb 107 - Navy 81	-1
Louisiana State 89 - Incarnate Word 59	0.987	Louisiana State 91 - Incarnate Word 50	-11
Niagara 79 - New Hampshire 61	0.906	Niagara 71 - New Hampshire 67	14
North Dakota 69 - Milwaukee 71	0.564	North Dakota 83 - Milwaukee 72	-13
Old Dominion 77 - Fairfield 58	0.934	Old Dominion 79 - Fairfield 69	9
Saint Johns 84 - Princeton 65	0.878	Saint Johns 89 - Princeton 74	4
Saint Louis 72 - Oregon State 69	0.59	Saint Louis 65 - Oregon State 61	-1
San Diego 86 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.961	San Diego 82 - Cal State Northridge 68	10
Santa Clara 88 - Unranked 59		Santa Clara 82 - Unranked 54
Tennessee 75 - Gonzaga 83	0.756	Tennessee 76 - Gonzaga 73	-11
Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Tech 97 - Unranked 60
Texas 73 - Purdue 74	0.549	Texas 72 - Purdue 68	-5
Virginia 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 59	0.92	Virginia 57 - Virginia Commonwealth 49	9
Virginia Tech 93 - South Carolina State 50	0.969	Virginia Tech 81 - South Carolina State 44	6
Wagner 85 - Unranked 57		Wagner 105 - Unranked 57
Washington 79 - Seattle 65	0.872	Washington 70 - Seattle 62	6
Washington State 83 - Montana State 66	0.92	Washington State 90 - Montana State 95	22
Wofford 82 - Coastal Carolina 64	0.926	Wofford 82 - Coastal Carolina 71	7

Number of DI Games: 254
Number Correct: 186 = 73.2%
Expected Number Correct: 191.838 = 75.5%
Average Error: 9.42
Average Signed Error: 0.73

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 84 - Unranked 59		Arkansas Pine Bluff 84 - Unranked 51
Dartmouth 77 - Sacred Heart 70	0.687	Dartmouth 82 - Sacred Heart 73	-2
Maine 80 - Unranked 60		Maine 98 - Unranked 43
Manhattan 63 - Hofstra 74	0.794	Manhattan 50 - Hofstra 80	19
Marshall 85 - Morehead State 69	0.841	Marshall 76 - Morehead State 64	4
Pacific 78 - Long Beach State 70	0.749	Pacific 74 - Long Beach State 68	2
Saint Marys 83 - Cal State Fullerton 61	0.937	Saint Marys 81 - Cal State Fullerton 66	7

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 88 - Unranked 58		Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Unranked 47
Central Florida 77 - Georgia Southern 66	0.818	Central Florida 95 - Georgia Southern 88	4
Fordham 69 - NJ Tech 67	0.549	Fordham 50 - NJ Tech 53	5
Furman 84 - Charleston Southern 66	0.917	Furman 77 - Charleston Southern 69	10
Green Bay 94 - Unranked 58		Green Bay 112 - Unranked 46
Jackson State 79 - Unranked 61		Jackson State 77 - Unranked 56
Liberty 81 - South Carolina State 56	0.959	Liberty 79 - South Carolina State 55	1
Louisiana Tech 87 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.949	Louisiana Tech 96 - Mississippi Valley State 80	11
Maryland 87 - Loyola MD 57	0.962	Maryland 94 - Loyola MD 71	7
Minnesota 86 - North Florida 67	0.9	Minnesota 80 - North Florida 71	10
New Mexico 74 - Colorado 81	0.68	New Mexico 75 - Colorado 78	-4
Northern Colorado 95 - Unranked 55		Northern Colorado 118 - Unranked 52
Pennsylvania 68 - Villanova 77	0.728	Pennsylvania 78 - Villanova 75	-12
Sacramento State 88 - Unranked 57		Sacramento State 81 - Unranked 56
Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - UMass Lowell 71	0.552	Saint Francis Brooklyn 75 - UMass Lowell 69	-4
South Dakota State 91 - Savannah State 66	0.928	South Dakota State 139 - Savannah State 72	-42
Southern Miss 89 - Unranked 53		Southern Miss 81 - Unranked 47
UL Lafayette 83 - Prairie View 64	0.94	UL Lafayette 122 - Prairie View 90	-13
UL Monroe 75 - Grambling State 66	0.756	UL Monroe 72 - Grambling State 67	4
UMBC 75 - Towson 63	0.816	UMBC 76 - Towson 80	16
Wyoming 78 - Denver 66	0.846	Wyoming 87 - Denver 90	15
Yale 85 - Albany 64	0.927	Yale 71 - Albany 63	13

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 80 - Alabama State 61	0.928	Boise State 67 - Alabama State 57	9
Boston College 83 - Columbia 63	0.932	Boston College 82 - Columbia 73	11
Brigham Young 85 - Portland State 69	0.879	Brigham Young 85 - Portland State 66	-3
Bryant 67 - Hartford 75	0.71	Bryant 74 - Hartford 91	9
DePaul 88 - Chicago State 61	0.95	DePaul 104 - Chicago State 70	-7
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Army 69	0.501	Fairleigh Dickinson 93 - Army 84	-8
Georgia State 80 - Chattanooga 61	0.859	Georgia State 95 - Chattanooga 88	12
Houston 76 - Louisiana State 69	0.731	Houston 82 - Louisiana State 76	1
IUPUI 92 - Unranked 53		IUPUI 116 - Unranked 79
Louisville 84 - Lipscomb 70	0.837	Louisville 72 - Lipscomb 68	10
Mississippi 83 - Southeast Louisiana 57	0.947	Mississippi 69 - Southeast Louisiana 47	4
Oregon 75 - San Diego 68	0.703	Oregon 65 - San Diego 55	-3
Presbyterian 76 - Virginia Military Institute 68	0.704	Presbyterian 103 - Virginia Military Institute 70	-25
Rider 79 - Norfolk State 69	0.823	Rider 81 - Norfolk State 71	0
San Diego State 96 - Unranked 52		San Diego State 99 - Unranked 46
South Dakota 86 - Unranked 54		South Dakota 78 - Unranked 52
Southern Illinois 70 - Murray State 69	0.533	Southern Illinois 52 - Murray State 80	29
Stony Brook 79 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.871	Stony Brook 83 - LIU Brooklyn 79	10
Temple 79 - Massachusetts 70	0.772	Temple 65 - Massachusetts 63	7
Texas Tech 91 - Northwestern State 47	0.972	Texas Tech 79 - Northwestern State 44	9
Troy 91 - Unranked 58		Troy 88 - Unranked 43
UNC Greensboro 86 - Coppin State 54	0.984	UNC Greensboro 77 - Coppin State 54	9
Wichita State 78 - Jacksonville State 66	0.777	Wichita State 69 - Jacksonville State 65	8

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Lamar 68	0.713	Cal State Bakersfield 86 - Lamar 65	-16
Campbell 90 - Unranked 59		Campbell 100 - Unranked 53
Dartmouth 69 - Boston 70	0.505	Dartmouth 78 - Boston 68	-11
Duquesne 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	0.964	Duquesne 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	12
Florida International 80 - North Florida 78	0.547	Florida International 102 - North Florida 89	-11
Gardner Webb 76 - Kennesaw St 59	0.878	Gardner Webb 81 - Kennesaw St 77	13
Longwood 82 - Unranked 56		Longwood 81 - Unranked 57
Mcneese State 72 - North Carolina Central 69	0.583	Mcneese State 77 - North Carolina Central 61	-13
North Alabama 84 - Unranked 60		North Alabama 90 - Unranked 58
Rice 88 - Unranked 61		Rice 78 - Unranked 73
Sacramento State 88 - Unranked 57		Sacramento State 89 - Unranked 40
Samford 82 - Morehead State 65	0.899	Samford 77 - Morehead State 72	12
San Francisco 85 - Eastern Washington 57	0.992	San Francisco 85 - Eastern Washington 63	6
Santa Clara 80 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.864	Santa Clara 82 - Mississippi Valley State 54	-12
Tulsa 80 - New Orleans 64	0.906	Tulsa 70 - New Orleans 60	6
UMKC 72 - Milwaukee 68	0.594	UMKC 66 - Milwaukee 69	7
Wisconsin 96 - Savannah State 57	0.972	Wisconsin 101 - Savannah State 60	-2
Wright State 92 - Unranked 54		Wright State 91 - Unranked 52

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 70 - Florida Atlantic 73	0.57	Arkansas State 75 - Florida Atlantic 71	-7
Creighton 89 - Green Bay 70	0.873	Creighton 86 - Green Bay 65	-2
DePaul 82 - Illinois Chicago 71	0.81	DePaul 90 - Illinois Chicago 70	-9
George Washington 75 - Howard 71	0.616	George Washington 70 - Howard 64	-2
Georgia Southern 96 - Unranked 54		Georgia Southern 101 - Unranked 64
Houston Baptist 92 - Unranked 63		Houston Baptist 107 - Unranked 70
North Dakota 85 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 83 - Unranked 66

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Marshall 71	0.64	Akron 74 - Marshall 75	7
Alabama Birmingham 63 - Auburn 86	0.93	Alabama Birmingham 71 - Auburn 75	-19
Albany 72 - Dartmouth 71	0.52	Albany 52 - Dartmouth 61	10
Arizona 79 - Baylor 65	0.856	Arizona 49 - Baylor 58	23
Arkansas 87 - Texas San Antonio 65	0.955	Arkansas 79 - Texas San Antonio 67	10
Austin Peay 76 - IPFW 74	0.557	Austin Peay 95 - IPFW 68	-25
Bethune Cookman 73 - Jacksonville 71	0.547	Bethune Cookman 71 - Jacksonville 79	10
Binghamton 72 - Youngstown State 70	0.56	Binghamton 48 - Youngstown State 58	12
Boston 73 - Nicholls State 66	0.689	Boston 75 - Nicholls State 63	-5
Bradley 78 - Eastern Illinois 61	0.836	Bradley 66 - Eastern Illinois 73	24
Buffalo 80 - Southern Illinois 65	0.868	Buffalo 73 - Southern Illinois 65	7
Butler 74 - Indiana 75	0.543	Butler 68 - Indiana 71	2
California 78 - Cal Poly 64	0.891	California 67 - Cal Poly 66	13
Clemson 75 - Radford 63	0.797	Clemson 74 - Radford 66	4
Colgate 71 - Marist 64	0.716	Colgate 82 - Marist 66	-9
Connecticut 81 - Manhattan 56	0.948	Connecticut 61 - Manhattan 46	10
Davidson 74 - Temple 72	0.578	Davidson 75 - Temple 77	4
Detroit 71 - Ohio 76	0.615	Detroit 61 - Ohio 63	-3
Drake 70 - Iowa State 81	0.777	Drake 68 - Iowa State 77	-2
Evansville 76 - Jacksonville State 72	0.599	Evansville 50 - Jacksonville State 55	9
Fairleigh Dickinson 66 - NJ Tech 72	0.664	Fairleigh Dickinson 80 - NJ Tech 90	4
Furman 82 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.848	Furman 93 - UNC Wilmington 50	-29
Georgetown 78 - Southern Methodist 70	0.714	Georgetown 73 - Southern Methodist 81	16
Georgia 73 - Arizona State 78	0.633	Georgia 74 - Arizona State 76	-3
Hampton 86 - Unranked 61		Hampton 72 - Unranked 60
High Point 73 - Western Carolina 65	0.729	High Point 86 - Western Carolina 59	-19
Idaho 72 - Omaha 71	0.533	Idaho 80 - Omaha 89	10
Illinois 75 - East Tennessee State 71	0.627	Illinois 73 - East Tennessee State 55	-14
Iowa 82 - Northern Iowa 65	0.882	Iowa 77 - Northern Iowa 54	-6
IUPUI 77 - Western Illinois 61	0.868	IUPUI 82 - Western Illinois 68	2
Kansas 82 - Villanova 70	0.788	Kansas 74 - Villanova 71	9
Kansas State 75 - Georgia State 64	0.736	Kansas State 71 - Georgia State 59	-1
Kennesaw St 70 - Tennessee Tech 65	0.604	Kennesaw St 73 - Tennessee Tech 68	0
Kentucky 83 - Utah 67	0.848	Kentucky 88 - Utah 61	-11
Liberty 92 - Unranked 49		Liberty 96 - Unranked 55
Louisville 84 - Kent State 67	0.899	Louisville 83 - Kent State 70	4
Memphis 70 - Tennessee 83	0.859	Memphis 92 - Tennessee 102	-3
Michigan 87 - Western Michigan 55	0.989	Michigan 70 - Western Michigan 62	24
Mississippi State 69 - Cincinnati 71	0.553	Mississippi State 70 - Cincinnati 59	-13
Mt St Marys 84 - Unranked 61		Mt St Marys 74 - Unranked 59
Murray State 84 - Jackson State 52	0.974	Murray State 74 - Jackson State 57	15
Nevada 85 - South Dakota State 66	0.907	Nevada 72 - South Dakota State 68	15
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Brigham Young 75	0.526	Nevada Las Vegas 92 - Brigham Young 90	-3
North Carolina 82 - Gonzaga 83	0.504	North Carolina 103 - Gonzaga 90	-14
North Dakota State 76 - Missouri State 73	0.557	North Dakota State 74 - Missouri State 67	-4
North Florida 81 - Charleston Southern 72	0.751	North Florida 68 - Charleston Southern 61	2
Northwestern State 69 - Southern 75	0.676	Northwestern State 69 - Southern 66	-9
Notre Dame 72 - Purdue 76	0.661	Notre Dame 88 - Purdue 80	-12
Ohio State 85 - Bucknell 62	0.932	Ohio State 73 - Bucknell 71	21
Oklahoma 85 - Southern California 67	0.883	Oklahoma 81 - Southern California 70	7
Oregon 79 - Boise State 64	0.842	Oregon 66 - Boise State 54	3
Oregon State 77 - Texas AM 69	0.748	Oregon State 64 - Texas AM 67	11
Penn State 73 - NC State 76	0.582	Penn State 78 - NC State 89	8
Pittsburgh 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 51	0.964	Pittsburgh 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 43	-4
Portland 76 - Grambling State 67	0.787	Portland 58 - Grambling State 70	21
Portland State 68 - Loyola Marymount 73	0.674	Portland State 58 - Loyola Marymount 85	22
Presbyterian 87 - Unranked 60		Presbyterian 87 - Unranked 44
Princeton 75 - Iona 72	0.579	Princeton 85 - Iona 81	-1
Rice 66 - UC Santa Barbara 76	0.755	Rice 89 - UC Santa Barbara 99	0
Richmond 80 - Oral Roberts 64	0.831	Richmond 52 - Oral Roberts 59	23
Rider 79 - Robert Morris 66	0.861	Rider 69 - Robert Morris 50	-6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Saint Peters 65	0.645	Saint Francis Brooklyn 56 - Saint Peters 53	3
Saint Marys 75 - Louisiana State 74	0.516	Saint Marys 74 - Louisiana State 78	5
San Diego 78 - Northern Colorado 69	0.787	San Diego 85 - Northern Colorado 65	-11
San Jose State 75 - Northern Arizona 70	0.648	San Jose State 79 - Northern Arizona 74	0
Seton Hall 75 - Rutgers 67	0.704	Seton Hall 72 - Rutgers 66	2
South Carolina Upstate 71 - South Carolina State 66	0.658	South Carolina Upstate 88 - South Carolina State 84	1
South Florida 78 - Appalachian State 70	0.729	South Florida 76 - Appalachian State 69	1
Southern Utah 74 - Pepperdine 73	0.504	Southern Utah 78 - Pepperdine 69	-8
Stanford 84 - Eastern Washington 61	0.951	Stanford 78 - Eastern Washington 62	7
Syracuse 72 - Old Dominion 60	0.779	Syracuse 62 - Old Dominion 68	18
Tennessee Martin 88 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Martin 108 - Unranked 79
Tennessee State 71 - North Carolina AT 67	0.659	Tennessee State 76 - North Carolina AT 78	6
Texas 78 - Grand Canyon 64	0.87	Texas 98 - Grand Canyon 60	-24
Texas Pan American 68 - Texas State 70	0.57	Texas Pan American 68 - Texas State 77	7
Texas Tech 79 - Abilene Christian 55	0.931	Texas Tech 82 - Abilene Christian 48	-10
The Citadel 83 - SE Missouri State 70	0.81	The Citadel 86 - SE Missouri State 74	1
Toledo 80 - Middle Tennessee 60	0.902	Toledo 84 - Middle Tennessee 62	-2
UC Irvine 78 - Denver 56	0.957	UC Irvine 86 - Denver 52	-12
UCLA 82 - Belmont 74	0.747	UCLA 72 - Belmont 74	10
UL Lafayette 79 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.726	UL Lafayette 62 - Louisiana Tech 83	28
UL Monroe 71 - Stephen F Austin 70	0.513	UL Monroe 74 - Stephen F Austin 58	-15
UMKC 76 - Mcneese State 68	0.691	UMKC 80 - Mcneese State 67	-5
UNC Greensboro 81 - North Alabama 58	0.959	UNC Greensboro 53 - North Alabama 48	18
Utah State 88 - Alabama State 56	0.988	Utah State 86 - Alabama State 48	-6
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - College of Charleston 64	0.782	Virginia Commonwealth 79 - College of Charleston 83	12
Washington 68 - Virginia Tech 76	0.731	Washington 61 - Virginia Tech 73	4
Weber State 74 - Utah Valley 72	0.562	Weber State 63 - Utah Valley 75	14
Wichita State 76 - Southern Miss 64	0.77	Wichita State 63 - Southern Miss 60	9
Wofford 83 - UNC Asheville 53	0.961	Wofford 92 - UNC Asheville 49	-13
Xavier 88 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.947	Xavier 95 - Eastern Kentucky 77	4

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 84 - Fairfield 64	0.941	Boston College 77 - Fairfield 67	10
Bowling Green 89 - Unranked 57		Bowling Green 82 - Unranked 57
Cal State Northridge 71 - Pacific 77	0.688	Cal State Northridge 77 - Pacific 79	-4
Central Florida 87 - Stetson 53	0.978	Central Florida 90 - Stetson 65	9
Coastal Carolina 76 - North Carolina Central 65	0.865	Coastal Carolina 69 - North Carolina Central 65	7
Colorado State 72 - South Dakota 67	0.677	Colorado State 63 - South Dakota 68	10
Dayton 75 - Tulsa 71	0.647	Dayton 67 - Tulsa 72	9
Duquesne 81 - Maine 57	0.947	Duquesne 72 - Maine 46	-2
Elon 70 - Canisius 69	0.503	Elon 91 - Canisius 92	2
Fordham 75 - Howard 67	0.71	Fordham 74 - Howard 67	1
Hartford 74 - Oakland 72	0.553	Hartford 87 - Oakland 82	-3
Hawaii 84 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.932	Hawaii 76 - Mississippi Valley State 51	-1
Houston 73 - Saint Louis 62	0.8	Houston 68 - Saint Louis 64	7
Illinois State 77 - Cleveland State 68	0.742	Illinois State 88 - Cleveland State 77	-2
Loyola Ill 78 - Norfolk State 59	0.952	Loyola Ill 80 - Norfolk State 49	-12
Michigan State 92 - Green Bay 64	0.943	Michigan State 104 - Green Bay 83	7
Milwaukee 86 - Unranked 58		Milwaukee 87 - Unranked 64
Mississippi 85 - Chattanooga 60	0.959	Mississippi 90 - Chattanooga 70	5
New Mexico 84 - Central Arkansas 72	0.783	New Mexico 82 - Central Arkansas 70	0
Niagara 72 - Cornell 69	0.58	Niagara 77 - Cornell 74	0
Northern Kentucky 76 - Miami OH 69	0.695	Northern Kentucky 72 - Miami OH 66	1
Oklahoma State 69 - Nebraska 78	0.691	Oklahoma State 56 - Nebraska 79	14
Providence 84 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.931	Providence 87 - Central Connecticut State 63	-2
Quinnipiac 73 - Drexel 70	0.586	Quinnipiac 83 - Drexel 92	12
Saint Johns 84 - Wagner 61	0.929	Saint Johns 73 - Wagner 58	8
San Francisco 83 - Cal State Fullerton 59	0.962	San Francisco 68 - Cal State Fullerton 54	10
Stony Brook 77 - Delaware 68	0.761	Stony Brook 74 - Delaware 68	3
Texas Christian 79 - Indiana State 63	0.826	Texas Christian 90 - Indiana State 70	-4
Texas El Paso 74 - UC Riverside 62	0.813	Texas El Paso 68 - UC Riverside 56	0
UC Davis 85 - Unranked 55		UC Davis 83 - Unranked 65
UMBC 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.714	UMBC 53 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	32
Vermont 75 - Northeastern 69	0.678	Vermont 75 - Northeastern 70	1
West Virginia 74 - Rhode Island 70	0.618	West Virginia 70 - Rhode Island 83	17
Western Kentucky 79 - Troy 67	0.815	Western Kentucky 81 - Troy 87	18
William and Mary 91 - Unranked 59		William and Mary 106 - Unranked 89
Winthrop 93 - Unranked 58		Winthrop 109 - Unranked 66

Number of DI Games: 173
Number Correct: 133 = 76.8%
Expected Number Correct: 133.34 = 77%
Average Error: 9.05
Average Signed Error: 2.58

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cornell 70 - Longwood 63	0.717	Cornell 70 - Longwood 64	1
Drake 84 - SIU Edwardsville 60	0.953	Drake 79 - SIU Edwardsville 66	11
Florida State 88 - SE Missouri State 57	0.985	Florida State 85 - SE Missouri State 68	14
Georgia Tech 77 - Gardner Webb 61	0.894	Georgia Tech 69 - Gardner Webb 79	26
High Point 87 - Unranked 53		High Point 90 - Unranked 85
Illinois Chicago 84 - Incarnate Word 65	0.908	Illinois Chicago 63 - Incarnate Word 57	13
Lipscomb 99 - Unranked 52		Lipscomb 119 - Unranked 48
Montana 77 - North Dakota State 67	0.758	Montana 60 - North Dakota State 53	3
Morgan State 87 - Unranked 59		Morgan State 85 - Unranked 78
New Mexico State 82 - Northern Colorado 65	0.876	New Mexico State 74 - Northern Colorado 62	5
Northern Illinois 79 - Western Illinois 65	0.82	Northern Illinois 91 - Western Illinois 76	-1
Northwestern 90 - Chicago State 55	0.987	Northwestern 88 - Chicago State 46	-7
Oregon State 82 - Pepperdine 64	0.907	Oregon State 82 - Pepperdine 67	3
Portland 69 - Seattle 75	0.687	Portland 56 - Seattle 67	5
Samford 84 - Houston Baptist 69	0.888	Samford 85 - Houston Baptist 61	-9
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Cal Baptist 73	0.518	Southeast Louisiana 52 - Cal Baptist 73	20
Texas San Antonio 90 - Unranked 56		Texas San Antonio 101 - Unranked 77
Tulane 76 - Texas Southern 74	0.559	Tulane 77 - Texas Southern 70	-5
Utah 79 - Florida AM 59	0.919	Utah 93 - Florida AM 64	-9
Valparaiso 72 - Ball State 76	0.619	Valparaiso 61 - Ball State 77	12
Vanderbilt 75 - Arizona State 76	0.544	Vanderbilt 81 - Arizona State 65	-17
Wake Forest 72 - Davidson 78	0.671	Wake Forest 67 - Davidson 63	-10
Washington State 78 - Rider 74	0.615	Washington State 94 - Rider 80	-10

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 78 - Tennessee State 59	0.916	Akron 82 - Tennessee State 60	-3
Alabama 75 - Liberty 66	0.716	Alabama 84 - Liberty 75	0
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Alcorn State 59	0.914	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Alcorn State 49	-7
American 76 - Mt St Marys 63	0.851	American 55 - Mt St Marys 56	14
Arkansas State 75 - Missouri State 74	0.523	Arkansas State 71 - Missouri State 63	-7
Baylor 79 - Stephen F Austin 60	0.878	Baylor 58 - Stephen F Austin 59	20
Butler 87 - Presbyterian 61	0.95	Butler 76 - Presbyterian 67	17
Cal State Bakersfield 74 - Cal Poly 62	0.829	Cal State Bakersfield 74 - Cal Poly 61	-1
Campbell 77 - The Citadel 82	0.639	Campbell 76 - The Citadel 82	1
Charlotte 67 - East Carolina 69	0.56	Charlotte 55 - East Carolina 49	-8
Clemson 83 - Charleston Southern 60	0.957	Clemson 78 - Charleston Southern 51	-4
Connecticut 85 - Drexel 68	0.902	Connecticut 97 - Drexel 65	-15
Denver 75 - Montana State 71	0.612	Denver 76 - Montana State 64	-8
Duke 92 - Princeton 57	0.982	Duke 101 - Princeton 50	-16
Eastern Washington 68 - South Dakota State 82	0.789	Eastern Washington 64 - South Dakota State 74	-4
Florida 79 - Mercer 58	0.924	Florida 71 - Mercer 63	13
Florida International 76 - South Florida 75	0.51	Florida International 73 - South Florida 82	10
Georgetown 85 - Appalachian State 71	0.913	Georgetown 83 - Appalachian State 73	4
Georgia 83 - Oakland 68	0.859	Georgia 81 - Oakland 69	3
Georgia Southern 77 - Bradley 69	0.716	Georgia Southern 79 - Bradley 74	3
Gonzaga 93 - Texas Arlington 62	0.983	Gonzaga 89 - Texas Arlington 55	-3
Iowa 91 - Western Carolina 61	0.956	Iowa 78 - Western Carolina 60	12
IPFW 72 - IUPUI 75	0.577	IPFW 87 - IUPUI 77	-13
Jacksonville State 76 - North Alabama 60	0.901	Jacksonville State 64 - North Alabama 50	2
Kansas 87 - South Dakota 55	0.973	Kansas 89 - South Dakota 53	-4
Kennesaw St 71 - Elon 68	0.591	Kennesaw St 67 - Elon 76	12
Loyola Ill 92 - Unranked 48		Loyola Ill 75 - Unranked 47
Marquette 88 - North Dakota 57	0.991	Marquette 92 - North Dakota 66	5
Mcneese State 69 - UL Lafayette 81	0.769	Mcneese State 67 - UL Lafayette 80	1
Missouri 71 - Xavier 73	0.553	Missouri 71 - Xavier 56	-17
Murray State 80 - Evansville 63	0.832	Murray State 66 - Evansville 64	15
New Mexico 76 - North Texas 75	0.519	New Mexico 65 - North Texas 74	10
New Orleans 88 - Unranked 57		New Orleans 90 - Unranked 62
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 62		Northwestern State 84 - Unranked 64
Notre Dame 88 - Binghamton 51	0.969	Notre Dame 69 - Binghamton 56	24
Ohio State 91 - Youngstown State 55	0.982	Ohio State 75 - Youngstown State 56	17
Oklahoma 84 - Creighton 73	0.789	Oklahoma 83 - Creighton 70	-2
Oregon 84 - Florida AM 52	0.984	Oregon 71 - Florida AM 64	25
Providence 83 - Albany 59	0.965	Providence 73 - Albany 43	-6
Saint Francis Penn 89 - Unranked 59		Saint Francis Penn 96 - Unranked 63
Sam Houston State 71 - Alabama State 64	0.735	Sam Houston State 78 - Alabama State 57	-14
Santa Clara 69 - Southern California 78	0.758	Santa Clara 102 - Southern California 92	-19
Siena 65 - College of Charleston 77	0.785	Siena 58 - College of Charleston 83	13
Stanford 83 - San Jose State 59	0.962	Stanford 78 - San Jose State 73	19
Stetson 72 - UNC Asheville 67	0.635	Stetson 80 - UNC Asheville 74	-1
Syracuse 72 - Buffalo 73	0.532	Syracuse 59 - Buffalo 71	11
Tennessee Martin 74 - Chattanooga 73	0.522	Tennessee Martin 75 - Chattanooga 72	-2
Texas AM CC 86 - Unranked 56		Texas AM CC 81 - Unranked 63
Texas Pan American 80 - Rice 69	0.828	Texas Pan American 67 - Rice 75	19
UL Monroe 75 - Nicholls State 65	0.762	UL Monroe 95 - Nicholls State 68	-17
UNC Greensboro 72 - Radford 66	0.682	UNC Greensboro 65 - Radford 58	-1
Vermont 76 - Saint Bonaventure 64	0.787	Vermont 83 - Saint Bonaventure 76	5
Wright State 79 - Morehead State 65	0.858	Wright State 78 - Morehead State 67	3

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 80 - Montana 64	0.894	Arizona 61 - Montana 42	-3
Arkansas 77 - Georgia Tech 69	0.737	Arkansas 65 - Georgia Tech 69	12
Belmont 84 - Western Kentucky 69	0.856	Belmont 80 - Western Kentucky 74	9
Central Michigan 81 - UMKC 67	0.84	Central Michigan 81 - UMKC 72	5
Cincinnati 74 - UCLA 67	0.707	Cincinnati 93 - UCLA 64	-22
Cleveland State 74 - Niagara 70	0.615	Cleveland State 82 - Niagara 60	-18
Dayton 80 - Western Michigan 66	0.846	Dayton 85 - Western Michigan 72	1
Delaware 83 - Delaware State 57	0.959	Delaware 71 - Delaware State 73	28
DePaul 88 - Incarnate Word 59	0.962	DePaul 81 - Incarnate Word 71	19
Drake 78 - Rider 70	0.745	Drake 76 - Rider 58	-10
Duquesne 70 - Penn State 73	0.61	Duquesne 67 - Penn State 73	3
Eastern Michigan 63 - UC Irvine 71	0.721	Eastern Michigan 48 - UC Irvine 52	-4
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Saint Peters 67	0.649	Fairleigh Dickinson 83 - Saint Peters 74	-4
Florida Atlantic 89 - Unranked 55		Florida Atlantic 76 - Unranked 64
Florida Gulf Coast 89 - Unranked 57		Florida Gulf Coast 87 - Unranked 85
Florida State 89 - North Florida 64	0.954	Florida State 95 - North Florida 81	11
Fresno State 81 - California 65	0.881	Fresno State 95 - California 73	-6
Gardner Webb 90 - Unranked 56		Gardner Webb 106 - Unranked 29
Georgia State 80 - UNC Wilmington 67	0.771	Georgia State 86 - UNC Wilmington 71	-2
Grambling State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.665	Grambling State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 68	5
Indiana 90 - Central Arkansas 60	0.965	Indiana 86 - Central Arkansas 53	-3
Kansas State 75 - Southern Miss 58	0.872	Kansas State 55 - Southern Miss 51	13
Lafayette 84 - Unranked 62		Lafayette 95 - Unranked 54
Lamar 75 - Texas Southern 77	0.534	Lamar 80 - Texas Southern 72	-10
Loyola Marymount 74 - Boise State 63	0.79	Loyola Marymount 70 - Boise State 69	10
Memphis 84 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.869	Memphis 99 - Arkansas Little Rock 89	7
Miami 87 - Houston Baptist 66	0.913	Miami 80 - Houston Baptist 73	14
Mississippi State 78 - Wofford 67	0.789	Mississippi State 98 - Wofford 87	0
NC State 77 - Auburn 78	0.501	NC State 78 - Auburn 71	-8
New Hampshire 63 - Marist 72	0.744	New Hampshire 49 - Marist 58	0
New Mexico State 87 - Cal State Northridge 60	0.958	New Mexico State 92 - Cal State Northridge 57	-8
North Dakota State 90 - Unranked 56		North Dakota State 90 - Unranked 43
Northern Iowa 69 - Grand Canyon 70	0.512	Northern Iowa 62 - Grand Canyon 73	10
Omaha 70 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.616	Omaha 85 - UC Santa Barbara 74	-15
Quinnipiac 74 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.789	Quinnipiac 87 - Bethune Cookman 63	-15
Richmond 63 - Old Dominion 72	0.729	Richmond 54 - Old Dominion 63	0
Saint Johns 82 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	0.924	Saint Johns 86 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 52	-13
Saint Louis 80 - North Carolina Central 55	0.964	Saint Louis 74 - North Carolina Central 65	16
Saint Marys 80 - Bucknell 67	0.794	Saint Marys 85 - Bucknell 56	-16
San Francisco 89 - Northern Arizona 57	0.977	San Francisco 76 - Northern Arizona 60	16
Seton Hall 88 - Sacred Heart 62	0.989	Seton Hall 90 - Sacred Heart 76	12
South Alabama 77 - Alabama AM 57	0.889	South Alabama 79 - Alabama AM 67	8
South Carolina 62 - Virginia 78	0.867	South Carolina 52 - Virginia 69	1
South Carolina Upstate 83 - Unranked 60		South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 54
Southern 75 - Cal Baptist 81	0.664	Southern 76 - Cal Baptist 79	-3
Stony Brook 74 - Hofstra 73	0.534	Stony Brook 64 - Hofstra 71	8
Tennessee 87 - Samford 64	0.965	Tennessee 83 - Samford 70	10
Texas AM 79 - Valparaiso 65	0.884	Texas AM 71 - Valparaiso 49	-8
Toledo 83 - Cornell 60	0.922	Toledo 86 - Cornell 70	7
UC Riverside 83 - Unranked 58		UC Riverside 87 - Unranked 50
Utah Valley 81 - Idaho State 66	0.879	Utah Valley 88 - Idaho State 77	4
Virginia Tech 87 - North Carolina AT 54	0.98	Virginia Tech 82 - North Carolina AT 60	11
Washington State 84 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.92	Washington State 89 - SIU Edwardsville 73	4
Wichita State 82 - Oral Roberts 59	0.927	Wichita State 84 - Oral Roberts 63	2

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 68 - Manhattan 60	0.724	Albany 77 - Manhattan 67	-2
Appalachian State 92 - Unranked 60		Appalachian State 99 - Unranked 60
Ball State 86 - Howard 65	0.922	Ball State 98 - Howard 71	-6
Creighton 103 - Unranked 52		Creighton 110 - Unranked 60
Duke 76 - Texas Tech 69	0.696	Duke 69 - Texas Tech 58	-4
Florida International 96 - Unranked 61		Florida International 108 - Unranked 67
Fordham 71 - James Madison 64	0.702	Fordham 75 - James Madison 48	-20
Holy Cross 76 - Canisius 63	0.858	Holy Cross 65 - Canisius 63	11
Houston 76 - Utah State 69	0.689	Houston 60 - Utah State 50	-3
IPFW 91 - Unranked 60		IPFW 106 - Unranked 45
Kennesaw St 82 - Unranked 58		Kennesaw St 90 - Unranked 72
Long Beach State 77 - Pepperdine 72	0.67	Long Beach State 67 - Pepperdine 66	4
Miami OH 80 - South Carolina State 61	0.94	Miami OH 79 - South Carolina State 55	-5
Monmouth 63 - Yale 80	0.894	Monmouth 58 - Yale 66	-9
North Texas 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.887	North Texas 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	10
Northern Kentucky 78 - Northern Illinois 70	0.763	Northern Kentucky 65 - Northern Illinois 62	5
Notre Dame 86 - Jacksonville 59	0.945	Notre Dame 100 - Jacksonville 74	1
Pittsburgh 79 - New Orleans 62	0.9	Pittsburgh 99 - New Orleans 57	-25
Portland State 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	0.541	Portland State 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 76	3
Purdue 81 - Ohio 65	0.857	Purdue 95 - Ohio 67	-12
Seattle 81 - Prairie View 65	0.884	Seattle 102 - Prairie View 64	-22
South Alabama 87 - Unranked 55		South Alabama 86 - Unranked 47
Tennessee Tech 78 - Savannah State 74	0.604	Tennessee Tech 91 - Savannah State 80	-7
Texas AM CC 70 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.531	Texas AM CC 50 - Texas San Antonio 64	13
Western Illinois 77 - Chicago State 65	0.771	Western Illinois 81 - Chicago State 52	-17
Winthrop 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.958	Winthrop 88 - Maryland Eastern Shore 74	8

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 74 - Penn State 71	0.614	Alabama 73 - Penn State 64	-6
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Troy 72	0.633	Alabama Birmingham 73 - Troy 74	5
Alabama State 57 - Liberty 78	0.935	Alabama State 55 - Liberty 73	-3
Austin Peay 77 - Campbell 72	0.647	Austin Peay 88 - Campbell 75	-8
Baylor 71 - Oregon 70	0.515	Baylor 57 - Oregon 47	-9
Boston 77 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.86	Boston 66 - Bethune Cookman 74	23
Bowling Green 77 - Western Carolina 67	0.712	Bowling Green 73 - Western Carolina 52	-11
Bryant 66 - Dartmouth 77	0.79	Bryant 68 - Dartmouth 67	-12
Butler 75 - UC Irvine 65	0.774	Butler 71 - UC Irvine 54	-7
Cal Poly 69 - Texas Arlington 71	0.559	Cal Poly 70 - Texas Arlington 75	3
California 79 - San Jose State 62	0.907	California 88 - San Jose State 80	9
Central Florida 80 - Illinois State 64	0.878	Central Florida 77 - Illinois State 56	-5
Charleston Southern 88 - Unranked 59		Charleston Southern 86 - Unranked 61
Chattanooga 87 - Unranked 59		Chattanooga 79 - Unranked 45
College of Charleston 80 - Coastal Carolina 64	0.912	College of Charleston 73 - Coastal Carolina 71	14
Eastern Washington 87 - Unranked 60		Eastern Washington 92 - Unranked 73
George Mason 76 - Navy 64	0.829	George Mason 84 - Navy 63	-9
Gonzaga 96 - Denver 59	0.972	Gonzaga 101 - Denver 40	-24
Illinois Chicago 93 - Unranked 59		Illinois Chicago 76 - Unranked 55
Iowa State 87 - Eastern Illinois 59	0.921	Iowa State 101 - Eastern Illinois 53	-20
La Salle 78 - Alabama AM 65	0.839	La Salle 80 - Alabama AM 57	-10
Lafayette 68 - Princeton 75	0.703	Lafayette 79 - Princeton 81	-5
Lamar 88 - Unranked 60		Lamar 121 - Unranked 32
Lipscomb 77 - Vermont 71	0.687	Lipscomb 91 - Vermont 66	-19
LIU Brooklyn 77 - Binghamton 61	0.91	LIU Brooklyn 67 - Binghamton 68	17
Longwood 74 - Stetson 63	0.798	Longwood 77 - Stetson 63	-3
Louisiana State 79 - Furman 71	0.681	Louisiana State 75 - Furman 57	-10
Louisville 88 - Robert Morris 53	0.972	Louisville 73 - Robert Morris 59	21
Marquette 77 - Buffalo 75	0.58	Marquette 103 - Buffalo 85	-16
Massachusetts 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.879	Massachusetts 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	16
Mercer 74 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.649	Mercer 77 - UNC Wilmington 73	2
Michigan State 95 - Oakland 62	0.978	Michigan State 99 - Oakland 69	3
Middle Tennessee 65 - Mississippi 79	0.888	Middle Tennessee 56 - Mississippi 74	4
Minnesota 85 - North Carolina AT 60	0.962	Minnesota 86 - North Carolina AT 67	6
Morehead State 68 - IUPUI 75	0.728	Morehead State 74 - IUPUI 70	-11
Northeastern 76 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.681	Northeastern 64 - Saint Bonaventure 59	3
Northwestern 72 - Oklahoma 75	0.611	Northwestern 69 - Oklahoma 76	4
Oklahoma State 85 - Central Arkansas 64	0.899	Oklahoma State 82 - Central Arkansas 73	12
Oregon State 76 - Kent State 70	0.732	Oregon State 63 - Kent State 66	9
Portland 74 - Florida AM 63	0.804	Portland 54 - Florida AM 39	-4
Radford 75 - Georgia Southern 72	0.578	Radford 80 - Georgia Southern 68	-9
Rice 75 - Omaha 76	0.501	Rice 66 - Omaha 83	16
Santa Clara 74 - Idaho 66	0.764	Santa Clara 77 - Idaho 56	-13
SE Missouri State 66 - Abilene Christian 69	0.579	SE Missouri State 68 - Abilene Christian 70	-1
South Dakota 66 - Southern Miss 65	0.534	South Dakota 60 - Southern Miss 66	7
South Florida 78 - Alcorn State 56	0.932	South Florida 83 - Alcorn State 44	-17
Southern California 82 - Southern Utah 66	0.881	Southern California 91 - Southern Utah 49	-26
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 56		Stephen F Austin 97 - Unranked 47
Texas 78 - Providence 68	0.762	Texas 65 - Providence 71	16
Texas El Paso 77 - Norfolk State 63	0.85	Texas El Paso 62 - Norfolk State 75	27
Tulane 73 - Towson 68	0.646	Tulane 55 - Towson 73	23
UL Monroe 82 - Coppin State 57	0.948	UL Monroe 80 - Coppin State 63	8
UMass Lowell 78 - Loyola MD 72	0.642	UMass Lowell 97 - Loyola MD 79	-12
UMBC 86 - Unranked 57		UMBC 86 - Unranked 65
UNC Asheville 79 - Unranked 60		UNC Asheville 86 - Unranked 76
Utah 84 - Northern Arizona 64	0.912	Utah 76 - Northern Arizona 62	6
Virginia Military Institute 69 - North Alabama 70	0.535	Virginia Military Institute 89 - North Alabama 68	-22
Washington 81 - Sacramento State 60	0.931	Washington 57 - Sacramento State 41	5
Wyoming 67 - East Tennessee State 76	0.785	Wyoming 53 - East Tennessee State 76	14
Xavier 86 - Detroit 63	0.92	Xavier 69 - Detroit 55	9

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 60 - Tulane 77	0.89	Alabama AM 67 - Tulane 59	-25
American 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.933	American 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	-4
Arizona 81 - UC Davis 56	0.959	Arizona 70 - UC Davis 68	23
Arizona State 74 - Kansas 81	0.722	Arizona State 80 - Kansas 76	-11
Arkansas 79 - Texas State 67	0.847	Arkansas 73 - Texas State 70	9
Army 70 - Niagara 71	0.501	Army 66 - Niagara 78	11
Auburn 79 - Murray State 68	0.766	Auburn 93 - Murray State 88	6
Austin Peay 67 - Liberty 74	0.675	Austin Peay 75 - Liberty 66	-16
Boise State 73 - Pacific 69	0.628	Boise State 83 - Pacific 71	-8
Bradley 73 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.797	Bradley 63 - Southeast Louisiana 60	11
Bucknell 68 - Rhode Island 76	0.674	Bucknell 84 - Rhode Island 82	-10
Cal State Northridge 77 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.693	Cal State Northridge 85 - SIU Edwardsville 79	0
Campbell 76 - Alabama State 67	0.783	Campbell 70 - Alabama State 69	8
Central Michigan 83 - Jackson State 60	0.943	Central Michigan 81 - Jackson State 72	14
Cincinnati 87 - South Carolina State 50	0.97	Cincinnati 77 - South Carolina State 56	16
Colorado 78 - Indiana State 69	0.731	Colorado 67 - Indiana State 72	14
Davidson 98 - Unranked 51		Davidson 88 - Unranked 54
Dayton 83 - Presbyterian 64	0.908	Dayton 81 - Presbyterian 69	7
DePaul 77 - Boston College 73	0.629	DePaul 62 - Boston College 65	7
Drake 68 - New Mexico State 77	0.742	Drake 66 - New Mexico State 63	-12
Drexel 69 - Temple 80	0.834	Drexel 64 - Temple 82	7
Duquesne 82 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.829	Duquesne 85 - Eastern Kentucky 84	11
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 55		Eastern Michigan 90 - Unranked 72
Evansville 79 - Green Bay 75	0.578	Evansville 80 - Green Bay 75	-1
Florida 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	0.88	Florida 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 56	-2
Florida State 77 - Saint Louis 67	0.786	Florida State 81 - Saint Louis 59	-12
Fresno State 89 - Tennessee Martin 61	0.984	Fresno State 93 - Tennessee Martin 53	-12
Georgetown 83 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	0.87	Georgetown 102 - Arkansas Little Rock 94	9
Georgia Tech 74 - Georgia 66	0.71	Georgia Tech 59 - Georgia 70	19
Grand Canyon 86 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.941	Grand Canyon 85 - Mississippi Valley State 64	6
Harvard 78 - George Washington 63	0.835	Harvard 75 - George Washington 61	1
Hawaii 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.516	Hawaii 59 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	13
Hofstra 96 - Unranked 54		Hofstra 107 - Unranked 54
Holy Cross 75 - Siena 62	0.831	Holy Cross 60 - Siena 57	10
Howard 76 - Hampton 71	0.627	Howard 82 - Hampton 89	12
Illinois 71 - Missouri 72	0.504	Illinois 63 - Missouri 79	15
Indiana 88 - Jacksonville 57	0.959	Indiana 94 - Jacksonville 64	1
Iowa 99 - Savannah State 63	0.965	Iowa 110 - Savannah State 64	-10
Kansas State 75 - Vanderbilt 67	0.748	Kansas State 69 - Vanderbilt 58	-3
La Salle 74 - Towson 73	0.532	La Salle 57 - Towson 51	-5
Lehigh 79 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.817	Lehigh 88 - Saint Francis Penn 76	-1
Long Beach State 76 - Colorado State 72	0.634	Long Beach State 64 - Colorado State 61	1
Louisiana Tech 79 - Texas AM CC 64	0.892	Louisiana Tech 73 - Texas AM CC 68	10
Maine 66 - Central Connecticut State 70	0.611	Maine 90 - Central Connecticut State 93	-1
Marist 67 - Brown 68	0.534	Marist 53 - Brown 78	24
Maryland 77 - Seton Hall 69	0.734	Maryland 74 - Seton Hall 78	12
Memphis 85 - Tennessee State 64	0.943	Memphis 99 - Tennessee State 41	-37
Miami 80 - Florida Atlantic 64	0.839	Miami 75 - Florida Atlantic 55	-4
Michigan 86 - Air Force 51	0.999	Michigan 71 - Air Force 50	14
Mississippi State 82 - Wright State 62	0.92	Mississippi State 67 - Wright State 63	16
Missouri State 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	0.739	Missouri State 93 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 72	-9
Mt St Marys 84 - Unranked 61		Mt St Marys 83 - Unranked 44
NC State 91 - South Carolina Upstate 58	0.984	NC State 98 - South Carolina Upstate 71	6
Nebraska 87 - Cal State Fullerton 58	0.96	Nebraska 86 - Cal State Fullerton 62	5
Nevada 81 - Akron 60	0.941	Nevada 68 - Akron 62	15
New Hampshire 67 - Fairfield 73	0.7	New Hampshire 57 - Fairfield 63	0
New Mexico 75 - Pennsylvania 77	0.543	New Mexico 65 - Pennsylvania 75	8
Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 57		Nicholls State 84 - Unranked 67
Norfolk State 64 - East Tennessee State 74	0.844	Norfolk State 61 - East Tennessee State 89	18
North Carolina 84 - Kentucky 77	0.678	North Carolina 72 - Kentucky 80	15
Northern Illinois 86 - Chicago State 65	0.904	Northern Illinois 100 - Chicago State 59	-20
Northern Iowa 74 - North Dakota 62	0.813	Northern Iowa 64 - North Dakota 62	10
Old Dominion 79 - Morgan State 58	0.923	Old Dominion 76 - Morgan State 53	-2
Oral Roberts 64 - Tulsa 78	0.849	Oral Roberts 59 - Tulsa 69	-4
Quinnipiac 66 - Stony Brook 73	0.743	Quinnipiac 73 - Stony Brook 76	-4
Richmond 67 - High Point 69	0.544	Richmond 74 - High Point 59	-17
Rider 75 - Northern Colorado 76	0.535	Rider 74 - Northern Colorado 67	-8
Rutgers 80 - Columbia 61	0.903	Rutgers 68 - Columbia 65	16
Saint Johns 88 - Sacred Heart 64	0.96	Saint Johns 104 - Sacred Heart 82	2
Saint Josephs 72 - Loyola Ill 71	0.55	Saint Josephs 45 - Loyola Ill 42	-2
Samford 72 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.568	Samford 75 - UNC Greensboro 83	10
San Diego State 78 - Brigham Young 75	0.583	San Diego State 90 - Brigham Young 81	-6
San Francisco 77 - Stanford 68	0.793	San Francisco 74 - Stanford 65	0
South Carolina 70 - Clemson 75	0.627	South Carolina 68 - Clemson 78	5
South Dakota State 80 - Montana 70	0.717	South Dakota State 74 - Montana 85	21
Southern Illinois 78 - Winthrop 67	0.81	Southern Illinois 71 - Winthrop 79	19
Southern Methodist 79 - Cornell 62	0.878	Southern Methodist 81 - Cornell 53	-11
Syracuse 82 - Arkansas State 59	0.924	Syracuse 82 - Arkansas State 52	-7
Tennessee 89 - Wake Forest 63	0.963	Tennessee 83 - Wake Forest 64	7
Texas AM 80 - Marshall 72	0.703	Texas AM 92 - Marshall 68	-16
Texas Christian 83 - Charlotte 56	0.948	Texas Christian 82 - Charlotte 57	2
Texas El Paso 76 - Wyoming 68	0.719	Texas El Paso 76 - Wyoming 65	-3
Texas Pan American 79 - Mcneese State 65	0.86	Texas Pan American 68 - Mcneese State 64	10
UC Riverside 59 - Loyola Marymount 74	0.885	UC Riverside 60 - Loyola Marymount 53	-22
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Idaho State 64	0.874	UC Santa Barbara 84 - Idaho State 65	-4
UCLA 71 - Ohio State 75	0.629	UCLA 66 - Ohio State 80	10
UMKC 76 - Elon 68	0.719	UMKC 95 - Elon 59	-28
Utah Valley 79 - Sam Houston State 60	0.911	Utah Valley 85 - Sam Houston State 79	13
Villanova 79 - Connecticut 70	0.77	Villanova 81 - Connecticut 58	-14
Virginia 87 - William and Mary 56	0.976	Virginia 72 - William and Mary 40	-1
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Wichita State 67	0.651	Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Wichita State 54	-11
Wagner 69 - Hartford 68	0.523	Wagner 77 - Hartford 68	-8
Washington State 69 - San Diego 78	0.77	Washington State 75 - San Diego 82	-2
Weber State 84 - Delaware State 56	0.986	Weber State 83 - Delaware State 69	14
West Virginia 79 - Jacksonville State 67	0.825	West Virginia 74 - Jacksonville State 72	10
Western Kentucky 70 - Saint Marys 76	0.661	Western Kentucky 71 - Saint Marys 68	-9
Western Michigan 76 - Milwaukee 66	0.773	Western Michigan 66 - Milwaukee 67	11
Wisconsin 86 - Grambling State 54	0.975	Wisconsin 84 - Grambling State 53	1
Yale 86 - Iona 67	0.924	Yale 99 - Iona 84	4

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 57 - Rhode Island 77	0.897	Charlotte 61 - Rhode Island 75	-6
Hawaii 68 - Colorado 77	0.738	Hawaii 70 - Colorado 62	-17
Houston 91 - Coppin State 49	0.968	Houston 75 - Coppin State 44	11
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Indiana State 72	0.532	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Indiana State 84	6
Northern Colorado 82 - SIU Edwardsville 65	0.91	Northern Colorado 72 - SIU Edwardsville 82	27
Rider 81 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.805	Rider 80 - Cal State Northridge 81	11
Saint Francis Brooklyn 68 - Manhattan 57	0.756	Saint Francis Brooklyn 72 - Manhattan 56	-5
San Diego 74 - Drake 69	0.664	San Diego 103 - Drake 110	12
Texas Christian 82 - Bucknell 67	0.815	Texas Christian 82 - Bucknell 65	-2
Washington State 67 - New Mexico State 80	0.818	Washington State 72 - New Mexico State 75	-10

Number of DI Games: 290
Number Correct: 236 = 81.3%
Expected Number Correct: 228.496 = 78.7%
Average Error: 9.77
Average Signed Error: 1.12

GAMES OF 12-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bucknell 74 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	0.549	Bucknell 97 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	-27
Charlotte 62 - Colorado 78	0.852	Charlotte 53 - Colorado 68	-1
Hawaii 68 - Rhode Island 73	0.629	Hawaii 68 - Rhode Island 60	-13
Texas Christian 79 - Indiana State 68	0.784	Texas Christian 83 - Indiana State 69	-3

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Creighton 88 - UMKC 64	0.927	Creighton 89 - UMKC 53	-12

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - UC Riverside 64	0.677	Air Force 72 - UC Riverside 60	-6
Arkansas 82 - Austin Peay 68	0.836	Arkansas 76 - Austin Peay 65	3
Cleveland State 77 - Oakland 72	0.679	Cleveland State 77 - Oakland 89	17
East Carolina 73 - North Carolina AT 68	0.691	East Carolina 77 - North Carolina AT 57	-15
Elon 70 - Towson 71	0.524	Elon 60 - Towson 77	16
Georgia Tech 78 - Kennesaw St 54	0.936	Georgia Tech 87 - Kennesaw St 57	-6
Gonzaga 95 - North Alabama 54	0.974	Gonzaga 96 - North Alabama 51	-4
Hofstra 82 - Delaware 65	0.881	Hofstra 91 - Delaware 46	-28
Kent State 81 - Albany 61	0.953	Kent State 70 - Albany 68	18
Louisiana State 82 - UL Monroe 65	0.882	Louisiana State 81 - UL Monroe 69	5
Loyola Marymount 73 - UC Davis 60	0.808	Loyola Marymount 77 - UC Davis 59	-5
Marquette 94 - Southern 58	0.973	Marquette 84 - Southern 41	-7
NC State 92 - Loyola MD 61	0.963	NC State 97 - Loyola MD 64	-2
North Dakota 72 - IPFW 75	0.584
North Dakota State 71 - South Dakota 66	0.651
Northeastern 83 - Drexel 68	0.846	Northeastern 93 - Drexel 83	5
Northern Kentucky 75 - IUPUI 65	0.799	Northern Kentucky 92 - IUPUI 77	-5
Omaha 79 - Denver 66	0.791	Omaha 91 - Denver 84	6
Texas 82 - Texas Arlington 60	0.921	Texas 76 - Texas Arlington 56	2
Texas Tech 82 - Texas Pan American 55	0.96	Texas Tech 71 - Texas Pan American 46	2
Unranked 51 - Texas Christian 98
Utah State 98 - Unranked 49		Utah State 84 - Unranked 57
Virginia Tech 89 - Maryland Eastern Shore 45	0.969	Virginia Tech 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 40	-1
Western Illinois 67 - South Dakota State 78	0.734	Western Illinois 58 - South Dakota State 100	31
William and Mary 76 - James Madison 68	0.725	William and Mary 79 - James Madison 74	3
Wright State 79 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.798	Wright State 72 - Illinois Chicago 75	13
Youngstown State 73 - Detroit 74	0.526	Youngstown State 66 - Detroit 78	11

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 88 - Unranked 53		Abilene Christian 88 - Unranked 40
Alabama Birmingham 91 - Unranked 55		Alabama Birmingham 75 - Unranked 67
Arizona State 85 - Princeton 63	0.941	Arizona State 66 - Princeton 67	23
Arkansas State 89 - Unranked 58		Arkansas State 87 - Unranked 62
Auburn 90 - North Florida 66	0.937	Auburn 95 - North Florida 49	-22
Ball State 89 - Delaware State 55	0.984	Ball State 116 - Delaware State 57	-25
Baylor 80 - New Orleans 58	0.91	Baylor 84 - New Orleans 44	-18
Boise State 68 - Oregon 73	0.633	Boise State 50 - Oregon 62	7
Cal Baptist 94 - Unranked 60		Cal Baptist 97 - Unranked 46
Cal State Fullerton 75 - Portland 68	0.737	Cal State Fullerton 79 - Portland 64	-8
Cal State Northridge 76 - Morgan State 73	0.588	Cal State Northridge 94 - Morgan State 86	-5
California 72 - Seattle 73	0.505	California 73 - Seattle 82	8
Canisius 65 - Buffalo 84	0.926	Canisius 72 - Buffalo 87	-4
Dayton 81 - Georgia Southern 71	0.795	Dayton 94 - Georgia Southern 90	6
DePaul 73 - Xavier 75	0.58	DePaul 65 - Xavier 74	7
Drake 96 - Unranked 52		Drake 98 - Unranked 70
East Tennessee State 72 - Furman 69	0.565	East Tennessee State 79 - Furman 56	-20
Eastern Kentucky 93 - Unranked 61		Eastern Kentucky 145 - Unranked 72
Eastern Washington 70 - Weber State 73	0.621	Eastern Washington 72 - Weber State 84	9
Florida 72 - Butler 68	0.608	Florida 77 - Butler 43	-30
Fresno State 81 - Utah Valley 66	0.866	Fresno State 60 - Utah Valley 64	19
George Washington 69 - American 68	0.547	George Washington 71 - American 67	-3
Georgetown 87 - Howard 65	0.957	Georgetown 102 - Howard 67	-13
Georgia State 95 - Unranked 53		Georgia State 117 - Unranked 69
Hartford 71 - Marist 66	0.66	Hartford 65 - Marist 56	-4
Hawaii 80 - Alabama AM 56	0.949	Hawaii 71 - Alabama AM 63	16
Houston 78 - NJ Tech 59	0.911	Houston 80 - NJ Tech 59	-2
Houston Baptist 91 - Unranked 62		Houston Baptist 143 - Unranked 92
Idaho 72 - Idaho State 71	0.534	Idaho 55 - Idaho State 72	18
Illinois 79 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.809	Illinois 71 - Florida Atlantic 73	15
Iowa 92 - Bryant 58	0.976	Iowa 72 - Bryant 67	29
Jackson State 80 - Unranked 59		Jackson State 61 - Unranked 57
Jacksonville State 91 - Unranked 53		Jacksonville State 109 - Unranked 77
Kansas 88 - Eastern Michigan 57	0.99	Kansas 87 - Eastern Michigan 63	7
Kansas State 79 - George Mason 60	0.937	Kansas State 59 - George Mason 58	18
Lamar 89 - Unranked 59		Lamar 122 - Unranked 58
Louisiana Tech 74 - Southern Miss 68	0.659	Louisiana Tech 71 - Southern Miss 56	-9
Louisville 77 - Kentucky 72	0.61	Louisville 58 - Kentucky 71	18
Maryland 78 - Radford 63	0.861	Maryland 78 - Radford 64	1
Memphis 86 - Florida AM 57	0.946	Memphis 96 - Florida AM 65	-2
Mercer 69 - Harvard 70	0.549	Mercer 67 - Harvard 71	3
Miami 84 - Campbell 62	0.925	Miami 73 - Campbell 62	11
Michigan State 90 - Northern Illinois 64	0.956	Michigan State 88 - Northern Illinois 60	-2
Milwaukee 74 - Green Bay 75	0.53	Milwaukee 82 - Green Bay 92	9
Mississippi 85 - Florida Gulf Coast 64	0.927	Mississippi 87 - Florida Gulf Coast 57	-9
Mississippi State 84 - Brigham Young 70	0.839	Mississippi State 103 - Brigham Young 81	-8
Missouri 83 - Morehead State 60	0.941	Missouri 75 - Morehead State 61	9
Murray State 97 - Unranked 49		Murray State 110 - Unranked 82
Nebraska 102 - Unranked 46		Nebraska 79 - Unranked 38
Niagara 75 - Norfolk State 68	0.692	Niagara 83 - Norfolk State 75	-1
Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 60		Nicholls State 88 - Unranked 63
North Carolina 86 - Davidson 71	0.849	North Carolina 82 - Davidson 60	-7
North Dakota 72 - IPFW 75	0.584	North Dakota 73 - IPFW 84	8
North Dakota State 71 - South Dakota 66	0.651	North Dakota State 71 - South Dakota 65	-1
Northern Arizona 65 - Montana 78	0.838	Northern Arizona 73 - Montana 86	0
Northern Iowa 68 - Stony Brook 69	0.548	Northern Iowa 63 - Stony Brook 73	9
Notre Dame 91 - Coppin State 53	0.97	Notre Dame 63 - Coppin State 56	31
Ohio State 84 - High Point 55	0.953	Ohio State 82 - High Point 64	11
Oklahoma State 81 - Texas AM CC 59	0.938	Oklahoma State 69 - Texas AM CC 59	12
Oregon State 82 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.918	Oregon State 80 - Central Connecticut State 59	-1
Pacific 66 - UC Irvine 71	0.657	Pacific 84 - UC Irvine 75	-14
Penn State 80 - UMBC 59	0.93	Penn State 74 - UMBC 52	-1
Pittsburgh 77 - Colgate 65	0.796	Pittsburgh 68 - Colgate 54	-2
Purdue 81 - Belmont 74	0.724	Purdue 73 - Belmont 62	-4
Rice 68 - North Texas 79	0.788	Rice 87 - North Texas 103	5
Robert Morris 83 - Unranked 58		Robert Morris 108 - Unranked 51
Rutgers 80 - Maine 53	0.945	Rutgers 70 - Maine 55	12
Sacramento State 73 - Northern Colorado 70	0.581	Sacramento State 65 - Northern Colorado 70	8
Sacred Heart 78 - UMass Lowell 76	0.555	Sacred Heart 91 - UMass Lowell 100	11
Saint Josephs 78 - Wagner 62	0.866	Saint Josephs 59 - Wagner 57	14
Saint Marys 85 - San Jose State 59	0.958	Saint Marys 75 - San Jose State 45	-4
Saint Peters 70 - Hampton 69	0.529	Saint Peters 83 - Hampton 80	-2
Samford 84 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.881	Samford 96 - Virginia Military Institute 68	-7
San Diego 77 - Grand Canyon 69	0.747	San Diego 61 - Grand Canyon 58	5
San Diego State 75 - Brown 65	0.752	San Diego State 61 - Brown 82	31
Seton Hall 79 - Saint Johns 73	0.675	Seton Hall 76 - Saint Johns 74	4
Siena 73 - Cal Poly 66	0.686	Siena 75 - Cal Poly 54	-14
South Alabama 71 - Richmond 69	0.539	South Alabama 82 - Richmond 91	11
South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 89 - Unranked 69
South Florida 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.873	South Florida 60 - Fairleigh Dickinson 54	10
Southeast Louisiana 65 - UL Lafayette 75	0.759	Southeast Louisiana 72 - UL Lafayette 73	-9
Southern Utah 77 - Montana State 69	0.686	Southern Utah 62 - Montana State 92	38
Stanford 79 - Long Beach State 65	0.891	Stanford 93 - Long Beach State 86	7
Syracuse 77 - Saint Bonaventure 61	0.833	Syracuse 81 - Saint Bonaventure 47	-18
Tennessee 92 - Tennessee Tech 53	0.974	Tennessee 96 - Tennessee Tech 53	-4
Texas AM 86 - Texas Southern 64	0.907	Texas AM 73 - Texas Southern 88	37
Texas San Antonio 91 - Unranked 56		Texas San Antonio 70 - Unranked 67
Texas State 92 - Unranked 50		Texas State 105 - Unranked 29
The Citadel 81 - Longwood 65	0.884	The Citadel 94 - Longwood 110	32
Toledo 77 - Pennsylvania 70	0.671	Toledo 77 - Pennsylvania 45	-25
Troy 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.875	Troy 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	10
UC Santa Barbara 66 - San Francisco 74	0.735	UC Santa Barbara 73 - San Francisco 71	-10
UCLA 77 - Liberty 66	0.788	UCLA 58 - Liberty 73	26
UNC Asheville 79 - Unranked 62		UNC Asheville 63 - Unranked 80
UNC Greensboro 80 - Chattanooga 60	0.924	UNC Greensboro 85 - Chattanooga 72	7
UNC Wilmington 68 - College of Charleston 79	0.772	UNC Wilmington 66 - College of Charleston 73	-4
Utah 66 - Nevada 79	0.841	Utah 71 - Nevada 86	2
Valparaiso 89 - Unranked 55		Valparaiso 97 - Unranked 61
Vanderbilt 86 - Tennessee State 58	0.94	Vanderbilt 95 - Tennessee State 76	9
Wake Forest 78 - Gardner Webb 71	0.685	Wake Forest 69 - Gardner Webb 73	11
Washington State 77 - Santa Clara 70	0.701	Washington State 71 - Santa Clara 79	15
Western Carolina 65 - Wofford 81	0.847	Western Carolina 54 - Wofford 74	4
Western Kentucky 66 - Wisconsin 78	0.821	Western Kentucky 83 - Wisconsin 76	-19
Winthrop 85 - Prairie View 67	0.886	Winthrop 76 - Prairie View 62	4
Wyoming 89 - Unranked 60		Wyoming 65 - Unranked 63

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 92 - Unranked 51		Akron 82 - Unranked 55
Bowling Green 79 - Tennessee Martin 65	0.801	Bowling Green 94 - Tennessee Martin 80	0
Central Arkansas 89 - Unranked 60		Central Arkansas 62 - Unranked 47
Central Michigan 95 - Unranked 56		Central Michigan 123 - Unranked 76
Charleston Southern 88 - Unranked 59		Charleston Southern 111 - Unranked 65
Clemson 77 - Lipscomb 72	0.631	Clemson 84 - Lipscomb 67	-12
Cleveland State 76 - Detroit 69	0.664	Cleveland State 61 - Detroit 73	19
Colorado State 64 - New Mexico State 77	0.846	Colorado State 68 - New Mexico State 88	7
Cornell 73 - Navy 65	0.703	Cornell 61 - Navy 50	-3
Dartmouth 76 - New Hampshire 58	0.893	Dartmouth 76 - New Hampshire 68	10
Eastern Illinois 72 - North Alabama 64	0.665	Eastern Illinois 81 - North Alabama 70	-3
Elon 70 - James Madison 72	0.536	Elon 68 - James Madison 65	-5
Fordham 75 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0.786	Fordham 57 - LIU Brooklyn 60	15
Georgia 79 - Massachusetts 69	0.747	Georgia 91 - Massachusetts 72	-9
Hofstra 84 - Drexel 68	0.888	Hofstra 89 - Drexel 75	2
Iona 69 - Holy Cross 75	0.685	Iona 71 - Holy Cross 78	1
Jacksonville 75 - Presbyterian 74	0.516	Jacksonville 67 - Presbyterian 72	6
Mcneese State 85 - Unranked 60		Mcneese State 91 - Unranked 73
Miami OH 75 - Evansville 70	0.612	Miami OH 70 - Evansville 67	2
Michigan 87 - Binghamton 46	0.97	Michigan 74 - Binghamton 52	19
Minnesota 86 - Mt St Marys 57	0.965	Minnesota 71 - Mt St Marys 53	11
Missouri State 92 - Unranked 59		Missouri State 110 - Unranked 56
North Carolina Central 83 - Unranked 59		North Carolina Central 91 - Unranked 44
North Dakota State 76 - IPFW 72	0.589	North Dakota State 87 - IPFW 90	7
Northeastern 81 - Delaware 65	0.841	Northeastern 80 - Delaware 82	18
Northern Kentucky 79 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.851	Northern Kentucky 73 - Illinois Chicago 58	-3
Northwestern 83 - Columbia 60	0.964	Northwestern 75 - Columbia 54	2
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 61		Northwestern State 86 - Unranked 65
Ohio 82 - Florida International 73	0.716	Ohio 68 - Florida International 66	7
Omaha 79 - Oral Roberts 67	0.79	Omaha 84 - Oral Roberts 87	15
Rhode Island 79 - Middle Tennessee 61	0.91	Rhode Island 72 - Middle Tennessee 60	6
Saint Louis 80 - Appalachian State 65	0.904	Saint Louis 83 - Appalachian State 55	-13
SIU Edwardsville 85 - Unranked 61		SIU Edwardsville 79 - Unranked 66
Southern California 80 - UC Davis 64	0.837	Southern California 73 - UC Davis 55	-2
Stephen F Austin 67 - Alabama 76	0.733	Stephen F Austin 69 - Alabama 79	1
Unranked 62 - New Mexico 90		Unranked 47 - New Mexico 103
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Rider 61	0.932	Virginia Commonwealth 90 - Rider 79	7
West Virginia 82 - Lehigh 70	0.835	West Virginia 78 - Lehigh 68	2
Western Illinois 72 - Denver 67	0.622	Western Illinois 78 - Denver 60	-13
Western Michigan 74 - UC Riverside 64	0.797	Western Michigan 73 - UC Riverside 64	1
William and Mary 76 - Towson 68	0.743	William and Mary 71 - Towson 61	-2
Wright State 75 - IUPUI 67	0.742	Wright State 72 - IUPUI 64	0
Youngstown State 75 - Oakland 77	0.58	Youngstown State 74 - Oakland 76	0

Number of DI Games: 147
Number Correct: 116 = 78.9%
Expected Number Correct: 115.168 = 78.3%
Average Error: 9.78
Average Signed Error: 2.55

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 79 - Hartford 64	0.882	Boston College 78 - Hartford 79	16
Duquesne 74 - NJ Tech 68	0.68	Duquesne 67 - NJ Tech 78	17
Eastern Washington 71 - Idaho State 72	0.501	Eastern Washington 65 - Idaho State 55	-11
Gonzaga 89 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	0.961	Gonzaga 89 - Cal State Bakersfield 54	-6
Idaho 66 - Weber State 75	0.765	Idaho 87 - Weber State 93	-3
Kent State 95 - Unranked 53		Kent State 71 - Unranked 48
Maryland Eastern Shore 77 - Unranked 60		Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - Unranked 62
Niagara 74 - Albany 67	0.692	Niagara 74 - Albany 79	12
Northern Arizona 75 - Montana State 74	0.504	Northern Arizona 74 - Montana State 68	-5
Pennsylvania 81 - Monmouth 57	0.925	Pennsylvania 74 - Monmouth 76	26
Pepperdine 78 - Alabama AM 62	0.864	Pepperdine 100 - Alabama AM 64	-20
Portland State 73 - Northern Colorado 74	0.549	Portland State 60 - Northern Colorado 73	12
Providence 77 - Creighton 76	0.53	Providence 68 - Creighton 79	12
Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 57		Sam Houston State 84 - Unranked 54
South Carolina 94 - Unranked 55		South Carolina 97 - Unranked 46
Southern Utah 63 - Montana 76	0.769	Southern Utah 76 - Montana 89	0
UMBC 87 - Unranked 58		UMBC 98 - Unranked 48
Vanderbilt 88 - UNC Asheville 54	0.988	Vanderbilt 90 - UNC Asheville 59	3
Virginia 84 - Marshall 60	0.929	Virginia 100 - Marshall 64	-12

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Florida State 88 - Winthrop 67	0.95	Florida State 87 - Winthrop 76	10
Radford 92 - Unranked 52		Radford 80 - Unranked 51
Saint Johns 76 - Marquette 77	0.53	Saint Johns 89 - Marquette 69	-21
San Diego State 84 - Cal State Northridge 68	0.833	San Diego State 65 - Cal State Northridge 60	11
Virginia Tech 80 - Notre Dame 64	0.857	Virginia Tech 81 - Notre Dame 66	1
Washington 80 - Cal State Fullerton 60	0.987	Washington 84 - Cal State Fullerton 76	12

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - New Orleans 60	0.862	Abilene Christian 68 - New Orleans 58	7
Air Force 72 - New Mexico 73	0.509	Air Force 58 - New Mexico 65	6
American 70 - Boston 66	0.616	American 86 - Boston 74	-8
Army 70 - Bucknell 78	0.704	Army 63 - Bucknell 64	-7
Binghamton 69 - Columbia 71	0.557	Binghamton 63 - Columbia 65	0
Bradley 72 - Northern Iowa 63	0.771	Bradley 47 - Northern Iowa 65	27
Brown 81 - Maine 54	0.947	Brown 75 - Maine 67	19
Butler 80 - Georgetown 69	0.764	Butler 76 - Georgetown 84	19
Campbell 89 - Unranked 60		Campbell 95 - Unranked 48
Central Florida 74 - Temple 67	0.837	Central Florida 78 - Temple 73	2
Cincinnati 85 - Tulane 52	0.951	Cincinnati 93 - Tulane 61	1
Denver 68 - South Dakota 70	0.567	Denver 70 - South Dakota 71	-1
Evansville 70 - Drake 77	0.66	Evansville 82 - Drake 77	-12
Georgia Tech 80 - South Carolina Upstate 56	0.959	Georgia Tech 79 - South Carolina Upstate 63	8
High Point 87 - Unranked 56		High Point 101 - Unranked 60
Houston 77 - Tulsa 62	0.924	Houston 74 - Tulsa 56	-3
Houston Baptist 79 - Lamar 74	0.65	Houston Baptist 88 - Lamar 82	-1
Incarnate Word 72 - Mcneese State 71	0.511	Incarnate Word 77 - Mcneese State 88	12
Kansas 77 - Oklahoma 74	0.588	Kansas 70 - Oklahoma 63	-4
Kansas State 68 - Texas 65	0.591	Kansas State 47 - Texas 67	23
Lehigh 85 - Lafayette 64	0.998	Lehigh 86 - Lafayette 83	18
Loyola Ill 68 - Indiana State 67	0.523	Loyola Ill 79 - Indiana State 44	-34
Maryland 72 - Nebraska 75	0.582	Maryland 74 - Nebraska 72	-5
Michigan State 81 - Northwestern 66	0.926	Michigan State 81 - Northwestern 55	-11
Nevada 77 - Utah State 67	0.808	Nevada 72 - Utah State 49	-13
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Colorado State 67	0.826	Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Colorado State 76	11
North Carolina 86 - Harvard 67	0.912	North Carolina 77 - Harvard 57	-1
North Florida 94 - Unranked 60		North Florida 104 - Unranked 76
Northwestern State 68 - Nicholls State 71	0.581	Northwestern State 72 - Nicholls State 78	3
Oklahoma State 71 - Iowa State 77	0.66	Oklahoma State 63 - Iowa State 69	0
Omaha 76 - North Dakota State 72	0.61	Omaha 90 - North Dakota State 77	-9
Prairie View 86 - Unranked 62		Prairie View 81 - Unranked 65
San Jose State 61 - Fresno State 80	0.936	San Jose State 53 - Fresno State 73	1
South Carolina State 69 - Presbyterian 77	0.762	South Carolina State 70 - Presbyterian 72	-6
South Florida 72 - Connecticut 70	0.568	South Florida 76 - Connecticut 68	-6
Southern Illinois 78 - Missouri State 67	0.761	Southern Illinois 75 - Missouri State 70	6
Southern Methodist 79 - East Carolina 63	0.857	Southern Methodist 82 - East Carolina 54	-12
Stephen F Austin 73 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.824	Stephen F Austin 65 - Southeast Louisiana 60	9
Texas AM CC 72 - Central Arkansas 70	0.583	Texas AM CC 87 - Central Arkansas 75	-10
UC Santa Barbara 93 - Unranked 53		UC Santa Barbara 109 - Unranked 47
Valparaiso 73 - Illinois State 72	0.517	Valparaiso 58 - Illinois State 56	-1
Vermont 79 - Dartmouth 64	0.866	Vermont 73 - Dartmouth 59	1
Villanova 81 - DePaul 65	0.863	Villanova 73 - DePaul 68	11
Wake Forest 75 - Cornell 66	0.752	Wake Forest 83 - Cornell 61	-13
West Virginia 67 - Texas Tech 75	0.742	West Virginia 59 - Texas Tech 62	-5
Wyoming 70 - Boise State 75	0.709	Wyoming 55 - Boise State 69	9
Xavier 74 - Seton Hall 73	0.536	Xavier 70 - Seton Hall 80	11
Yale 85 - Kennesaw St 58	0.962	Yale 92 - Kennesaw St 65	0

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.61	Alabama Birmingham 67 - Florida Atlantic 50	-14
Arizona 77 - Colorado 68	0.713	Arizona 64 - Colorado 56	1
Arizona State 82 - Utah 66	0.883	Arizona State 86 - Utah 96	26
Austin Peay 84 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.821	Austin Peay 93 - Eastern Kentucky 75	-5
Belmont 82 - Jacksonville State 68	0.907	Belmont 73 - Jacksonville State 83	24
Bryant 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 71	0.595	Bryant 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 66	-14
Cal Baptist 68 - New Mexico State 80	0.784	Cal Baptist 82 - New Mexico State 76	-18
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Seattle 73	0.652	Cal State Bakersfield 83 - Seattle 71	-18
Central Connecticut State 72 - Wagner 70	0.53	Central Connecticut State 58 - Wagner 80	24
Charlotte 63 - Western Kentucky 74	0.776	Charlotte 50 - Western Kentucky 68	7
Delaware 74 - William and Mary 73	0.544	Delaware 58 - William and Mary 56	-1
Detroit 71 - Wright State 72	0.522	Detroit 79 - Wright State 58	-22
Drexel 82 - Elon 69	0.815	Drexel 79 - Elon 65	-1
East Tennessee State 74 - Samford 68	0.689	East Tennessee State 81 - Samford 72	-3
Eastern Illinois 78 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.694	Eastern Illinois 92 - Tennessee Martin 87	4
Fairfield 73 - Rider 75	0.588	Fairfield 82 - Rider 83	-1
Furman 77 - Mercer 65	0.751	Furman 71 - Mercer 58	-1
Grand Canyon 73 - Utah Valley 72	0.514	Grand Canyon 71 - Utah Valley 60	-10
Green Bay 86 - Youngstown State 69	0.879	Green Bay 99 - Youngstown State 93	11
Idaho 68 - Eastern Washington 71	0.615	Idaho 74 - Eastern Washington 71	-6
Idaho State 75 - Southern Utah 67	0.672	Idaho State 88 - Southern Utah 68	-12
Indiana 84 - Illinois 65	0.894	Indiana 73 - Illinois 65	11
Iona 76 - Monmouth 70	0.702	Iona 103 - Monmouth 84	-13
IPFW 75 - South Dakota State 80	0.593	IPFW 104 - South Dakota State 88	-21
James Madison 73 - UNC Wilmington 72	0.508	James Madison 83 - UNC Wilmington 86	4
Loyola MD 66 - Holy Cross 75	0.777	Loyola MD 73 - Holy Cross 80	-2
Manhattan 60 - Quinnipiac 67	0.684	Manhattan 59 - Quinnipiac 63	-3
Marist 71 - Canisius 66	0.656	Marist 72 - Canisius 75	8
Memphis 80 - Wichita State 72	0.682	Memphis 85 - Wichita State 74	-3
Miami 73 - NC State 77	0.621	Miami 82 - NC State 87	1
Michigan 76 - Penn State 60	0.878	Michigan 68 - Penn State 55	3
Middle Tennessee 74 - Florida International 77	0.636	Middle Tennessee 76 - Florida International 83	4
Milwaukee 73 - Cleveland State 70	0.59	Milwaukee 83 - Cleveland State 76	-4
Montana 77 - Sacramento State 62	0.896	Montana 87 - Sacramento State 56	-16
Montana State 75 - Portland State 69	0.653	Montana State 98 - Portland State 88	-4
Morgan State 89 - Unranked 61		Morgan State 75 - Unranked 77
Murray State 84 - Morehead State 61	0.956	Murray State 90 - Morehead State 69	2
Navy 65 - Colgate 75	0.805	Navy 72 - Colgate 66	-16
North Texas 78 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.722	North Texas 63 - Louisiana Tech 59	3
Oakland 70 - Northern Kentucky 78	0.77	Oakland 76 - Northern Kentucky 74	-10
Old Dominion 78 - Marshall 66	0.76	Old Dominion 67 - Marshall 70	15
Oral Roberts 74 - North Dakota 67	0.713	Oral Roberts 83 - North Dakota 72	-4
Pacific 79 - Brigham Young 78	0.505	Pacific 87 - Brigham Young 90	4
Pepperdine 68 - Loyola Marymount 74	0.656	Pepperdine 77 - Loyola Marymount 62	-21
Purdue 78 - Iowa 71	0.712	Purdue 86 - Iowa 70	-9
Rice 69 - Southern Miss 75	0.668	Rice 73 - Southern Miss 65	-14
Robert Morris 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.561	Robert Morris 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 62	-9
Sacred Heart 76 - LIU Brooklyn 75	0.557	Sacred Heart 79 - LIU Brooklyn 75	-3
Saint Francis Penn 75 - Mt St Marys 68	0.703	Saint Francis Penn 80 - Mt St Marys 69	-4
Saint Josephs 78 - George Mason 68	0.844	Saint Josephs 60 - George Mason 85	35
Saint Peters 68 - Siena 69	0.527	Saint Peters 65 - Siena 60	-6
San Francisco 74 - Saint Marys 69	0.673	San Francisco 76 - Saint Marys 72	1
Santa Clara 69 - San Diego 76	0.709	Santa Clara 68 - San Diego 56	-19
SIU Edwardsville 70 - SE Missouri State 69	0.516	SIU Edwardsville 94 - SE Missouri State 88	-5
South Alabama 75 - Appalachian State 73	0.555	South Alabama 79 - Appalachian State 73	-4
Southern California 81 - California 69	0.805	Southern California 82 - California 73	3
Stetson 84 - Unranked 64		Stetson 72 - Unranked 65
Tennessee State 73 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.631	Tennessee State 64 - Tennessee Tech 66	8
Texas Arlington 69 - Georgia State 77	0.704	Texas Arlington 58 - Georgia State 63	-3
Texas San Antonio 75 - Texas El Paso 67	0.718	Texas San Antonio 75 - Texas El Paso 60	-7
Texas State 80 - Georgia Southern 72	0.779	Texas State 73 - Georgia Southern 70	5
Towson 62 - College of Charleston 77	0.879	Towson 55 - College of Charleston 67	-3
Troy 79 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.86	Troy 75 - Coastal Carolina 88	23
UC Irvine 75 - Texas Pan American 61	0.862	UC Irvine 85 - Texas Pan American 74	3
UCLA 77 - Stanford 70	0.694	UCLA 92 - Stanford 70	-15
UL Lafayette 80 - Arkansas State 70	0.748	UL Lafayette 83 - Arkansas State 94	21
UL Monroe 81 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.79	UL Monroe 97 - Arkansas Little Rock 84	-1
Weber State 82 - Northern Arizona 68	0.886	Weber State 77 - Northern Arizona 52	-11
Western Carolina 72 - Chattanooga 70	0.56	Western Carolina 62 - Chattanooga 73	13
Wisconsin 76 - Minnesota 67	0.744	Wisconsin 52 - Minnesota 59	16
Wofford 86 - The Citadel 74	0.811	Wofford 112 - The Citadel 81	-19

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal Poly 84 - Unranked 61		Cal Poly 68 - Unranked 47
Cornell 87 - Unranked 55		Cornell 76 - Unranked 61
Eastern Michigan 65 - Buffalo 82	0.925	Eastern Michigan 58 - Buffalo 74	-1
Illinois Chicago 76 - IUPUI 73	0.602	Illinois Chicago 64 - IUPUI 66	5
Toledo 80 - Ball State 71	0.705	Toledo 64 - Ball State 79	24
Tulane 64 - Southern Methodist 77	0.775	Tulane 65 - Southern Methodist 74	-4
UC Riverside 83 - Unranked 58		UC Riverside 112 - Unranked 47

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Western Michigan 64	0.873	Akron 56 - Western Michigan 48	5
Alabama 74 - Kentucky 77	0.575	Alabama 77 - Kentucky 75	-5
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Florida International 75	0.672	Alabama Birmingham 84 - Florida International 65	-14
Alabama State 66 - Grambling State 71	0.718	Alabama State 74 - Grambling State 53	-26
Albany 65 - Vermont 76	0.839	Albany 51 - Vermont 80	18
Alcorn State 64 - Texas Southern 77	0.758	Alcorn State 70 - Texas Southern 87	4
Arizona 80 - Utah 64	0.884	Arizona 84 - Utah 81	13
Arizona State 79 - Colorado 70	0.709	Arizona State 83 - Colorado 61	-13
Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Mississippi Valley State 65	0.76	Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Mississippi Valley State 52	1
Army 77 - Lafayette 67	0.789	Army 77 - Lafayette 69	2
Austin Peay 81 - Morehead State 66	0.878	Austin Peay 81 - Morehead State 67	1
Belmont 91 - Tennessee Tech 59	0.997	Belmont 79 - Tennessee Tech 67	20
Binghamton 71 - New Hampshire 60	0.837	Binghamton 69 - New Hampshire 58	0
Boise State 71 - San Diego State 73	0.54	Boise State 88 - San Diego State 64	-26
Boston 69 - Bucknell 75	0.621	Boston 87 - Bucknell 80	-13
Bryant 70 - LIU Brooklyn 74	0.591	Bryant 70 - LIU Brooklyn 79	5
Butler 76 - Creighton 75	0.527	Butler 84 - Creighton 69	-14
Cal Baptist 76 - Texas Pan American 73	0.603	Cal Baptist 74 - Texas Pan American 81	10
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Utah Valley 73	0.647	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Utah Valley 71	-7
Cal State Northridge 72 - Yale 84	0.841	Cal State Northridge 90 - Yale 94	-8
Campbell 71 - Gardner Webb 77	0.696	Campbell 72 - Gardner Webb 61	-17
Charleston Southern 72 - High Point 71	0.52	Charleston Southern 50 - High Point 51	2
Charlotte 68 - Marshall 75	0.652	Charlotte 84 - Marshall 85	-6
Connecticut 71 - Central Florida 75	0.632	Connecticut 53 - Central Florida 65	8
Coppin State 77 - Savannah State 74	0.577	Coppin State 73 - Savannah State 67	-3
Davidson 76 - Duquesne 68	0.781	Davidson 65 - Duquesne 61	4
Delaware 79 - Elon 66	0.767	Delaware 77 - Elon 65	1
Denver 72 - North Dakota 68	0.616	Denver 59 - North Dakota 80	25
Detroit 68 - Northern Kentucky 74	0.657	Detroit 73 - Northern Kentucky 95	16
Drake 73 - Loyola Ill 64	0.776	Drake 74 - Loyola Ill 85	20
Drexel 77 - William and Mary 76	0.558	Drexel 66 - William and Mary 84	19
Duke 84 - Clemson 64	0.933	Duke 87 - Clemson 68	1
East Carolina 59 - Cincinnati 78	0.897	East Carolina 73 - Cincinnati 71	-21
East Tennessee State 81 - Chattanooga 58	0.938	East Tennessee State 96 - Chattanooga 70	-3
Eastern Illinois 75 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.658	Eastern Illinois 84 - SIU Edwardsville 81	4
Florida 82 - South Carolina 60	0.907	Florida 69 - South Carolina 71	24
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Liberty 76	0.736	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Liberty 81	9
Fordham 60 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.803	Fordham 51 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	14
Fresno State 84 - Colorado State 60	0.957	Fresno State 78 - Colorado State 67	13
Furman 82 - The Citadel 75	0.656	Furman 101 - The Citadel 85	-9
Georgetown 77 - Saint Johns 79	0.572	Georgetown 94 - Saint Johns 97	1
Georgia Tech 75 - Wake Forest 64	0.804	Georgia Tech 92 - Wake Forest 79	-2
Gonzaga 92 - Santa Clara 63	0.96	Gonzaga 91 - Santa Clara 48	-14
Grand Canyon 72 - Seattle 73	0.516	Grand Canyon 71 - Seattle 57	-15
Green Bay 82 - Cleveland State 71	0.77	Green Bay 90 - Cleveland State 89	10
Hofstra 81 - Northeastern 69	0.783	Hofstra 75 - Northeastern 72	9
Howard 73 - Florida AM 66	0.698	Howard 72 - Florida AM 82	17
Idaho State 76 - Northern Arizona 70	0.724	Idaho State 69 - Northern Arizona 81	18
Illinois State 75 - Evansville 72	0.562	Illinois State 58 - Evansville 46	-9
Incarnate Word 70 - Nicholls State 71	0.533	Incarnate Word 65 - Nicholls State 58	-8
Indiana State 77 - Bradley 63	0.857	Indiana State 65 - Bradley 60	9
Iona 77 - Fairfield 74	0.615	Iona 94 - Fairfield 87	-4
Iowa State 75 - Kansas 76	0.509	Iowa State 77 - Kansas 60	-18
Jacksonville 67 - Lipscomb 85	0.87	Jacksonville 74 - Lipscomb 77	-15
James Madison 63 - College of Charleston 79	0.883	James Madison 69 - College of Charleston 58	-27
Kent State 78 - Bowling Green 67	0.771	Kent State 64 - Bowling Green 86	33
Lamar 74 - Texas AM CC 67	0.776	Lamar 61 - Texas AM CC 55	1
Long Beach State 90 - Unranked 58		Long Beach State 124 - Unranked 52
Loyola Marymount 78 - Portland 59	0.892	Loyola Marymount 76 - Portland 64	7
Manhattan 63 - Niagara 69	0.647	Manhattan 90 - Niagara 80	-16
Massachusetts 83 - La Salle 68	0.845	Massachusetts 60 - La Salle 69	24
Miami OH 77 - Central Michigan 72	0.68	Miami OH 77 - Central Michigan 84	12
Middle Tennessee 68 - Florida Atlantic 72	0.648	Middle Tennessee 56 - Florida Atlantic 63	3
Milwaukee 77 - Youngstown State 68	0.77	Milwaukee 51 - Youngstown State 76	34
Missouri State 75 - Valparaiso 71	0.635	Missouri State 66 - Valparaiso 82	20
Monmouth 69 - Saint Peters 66	0.586	Monmouth 61 - Saint Peters 44	-14
Montana 82 - Portland State 60	0.962	Montana 74 - Portland State 77	25
Montana State 70 - Sacramento State 71	0.502	Montana State 84 - Sacramento State 70	-15
Morgan State 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.881	Morgan State 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	2
Murray State 87 - Eastern Kentucky 67	0.934	Murray State 97 - Eastern Kentucky 85	8
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Wyoming 66	0.861	Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Wyoming 56	4
New Mexico 65 - Nevada 84	0.956	New Mexico 85 - Nevada 58	-46
New Orleans 73 - Houston Baptist 76	0.573	New Orleans 81 - Houston Baptist 76	-8
NJ Tech 80 - Kennesaw St 57	0.937	NJ Tech 72 - Kennesaw St 52	3
Norfolk State 79 - Delaware State 62	0.874	Norfolk State 77 - Delaware State 63	3
North Carolina Central 72 - Bethune Cookman 69	0.594	North Carolina Central 68 - Bethune Cookman 59	-6
North Florida 80 - North Alabama 65	0.844	North Florida 96 - North Alabama 67	-14
North Texas 75 - Southern Miss 63	0.825	North Texas 65 - Southern Miss 62	9
Northern Colorado 80 - Idaho 62	0.937	Northern Colorado 83 - Idaho 79	14
Northern Iowa 64 - Southern Illinois 71	0.713	Northern Iowa 51 - Southern Illinois 58	0
Northwestern State 69 - Mcneese State 70	0.537	Northwestern State 66 - Mcneese State 61	-6
Notre Dame 70 - Syracuse 71	0.503	Notre Dame 62 - Syracuse 72	9
Oakland 73 - Wright State 76	0.583	Oakland 73 - Wright State 89	13
Ohio 76 - Northern Illinois 71	0.659	Ohio 66 - Northern Illinois 72	11
Ohio State 73 - Michigan State 74	0.514	Ohio State 77 - Michigan State 86	8
Oklahoma 84 - Oklahoma State 64	0.907	Oklahoma 74 - Oklahoma State 64	10
Old Dominion 73 - Western Kentucky 65	0.722	Old Dominion 69 - Western Kentucky 66	5
Oral Roberts 72 - Western Illinois 68	0.6	Oral Roberts 82 - Western Illinois 63	-15
Oregon 72 - Oregon State 65	0.689	Oregon 72 - Oregon State 77	12
Pepperdine 65 - San Francisco 80	0.864	Pepperdine 69 - San Francisco 72	-12
Pittsburgh 74 - North Carolina 79	0.644	Pittsburgh 60 - North Carolina 85	20
Presbyterian 80 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.888	Presbyterian 64 - South Carolina Upstate 61	11
Princeton 71 - Pennsylvania 73	0.537	Princeton 68 - Pennsylvania 65	-5
Providence 72 - Villanova 73	0.529	Providence 59 - Villanova 65	5
Radford 74 - Longwood 63	0.783	Radford 71 - Longwood 64	4
Rice 72 - Louisiana Tech 83	0.793	Rice 78 - Louisiana Tech 66	-23
Rider 76 - Quinnipiac 67	0.768	Rider 72 - Quinnipiac 67	4
Robert Morris 70 - Mt St Marys 66	0.629	Robert Morris 62 - Mt St Marys 59	1
Rutgers 67 - Maryland 72	0.626	Rutgers 63 - Maryland 77	9
Sacred Heart 79 - Central Connecticut State 76	0.589	Sacred Heart 73 - Central Connecticut State 61	-9
Saint Francis Penn 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.526	Saint Francis Penn 61 - Fairleigh Dickinson 79	19
Saint Marys 82 - Brigham Young 71	0.77	Saint Marys 88 - Brigham Young 66	-11
Sam Houston State 64 - Abilene Christian 70	0.663	Sam Houston State 71 - Abilene Christian 68	-9
San Diego 79 - Pacific 67	0.857	San Diego 73 - Pacific 64	3
SE Missouri State 76 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.782	SE Missouri State 74 - Tennessee Martin 69	4
Siena 73 - Canisius 68	0.623	Siena 66 - Canisius 70	9
South Alabama 73 - Coastal Carolina 72	0.518	South Alabama 84 - Coastal Carolina 77	-6
South Carolina State 70 - North Carolina AT 72	0.583	South Carolina State 77 - North Carolina AT 80	1
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Central Arkansas 69	0.523	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Central Arkansas 73	1
Southern 74 - Prairie View 73	0.512	Southern 73 - Prairie View 82	10
Tennessee 82 - Georgia 66	0.917	Tennessee 96 - Georgia 50	-30
Tennessee State 64 - Jacksonville State 76	0.774	Tennessee State 62 - Jacksonville State 69	-5
Texas 78 - West Virginia 69	0.752	Texas 61 - West Virginia 54	2
Texas AM 73 - Arkansas 76	0.591	Texas AM 71 - Arkansas 73	-1
Texas Arlington 73 - Georgia Southern 79	0.725	Texas Arlington 64 - Georgia Southern 77	7
Texas Christian 79 - Baylor 63	0.844	Texas Christian 85 - Baylor 81	12
Texas El Paso 72 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.506	Texas El Paso 63 - Texas San Antonio 67	5
Texas State 76 - Georgia State 69	0.691	Texas State 69 - Georgia State 73	11
Texas Tech 70 - Kansas State 58	0.8	Texas Tech 63 - Kansas State 57	6
Towson 72 - UNC Wilmington 70	0.544	Towson 61 - UNC Wilmington 67	8
Troy 83 - Appalachian State 71	0.884	Troy 89 - Appalachian State 85	8
Tulsa 71 - South Florida 66	0.652	Tulsa 78 - South Florida 75	2
UC Davis 85 - Unranked 57		UC Davis 90 - Unranked 60
UCLA 80 - California 67	0.837	UCLA 98 - California 83	-2
UL Lafayette 83 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.778	UL Lafayette 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 61	-2
UL Monroe 79 - Arkansas State 67	0.761	UL Monroe 85 - Arkansas State 75	2
UMass Lowell 74 - Stony Brook 77	0.589	UMass Lowell 63 - Stony Brook 75	9
UMBC 73 - Maine 62	0.782	UMBC 61 - Maine 52	2
UMKC 81 - Chicago State 62	0.872	UMKC 80 - Chicago State 72	11
UNC Asheville 61 - Winthrop 82	0.955	UNC Asheville 65 - Winthrop 80	-6
Utah State 83 - Air Force 58	0.936	Utah State 79 - Air Force 62	8
Vanderbilt 75 - Mississippi 76	0.514	Vanderbilt 71 - Mississippi 81	9
Virginia 76 - Florida State 67	0.793	Virginia 65 - Florida State 52	-4
Virginia Military Institute 64 - UNC Greensboro 80	0.835	Virginia Military Institute 68 - UNC Greensboro 71	-13
Virginia Tech 81 - Boston College 61	0.927	Virginia Tech 77 - Boston College 66	9
Wagner 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.632	Wagner 59 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 66	12
Washington 80 - Washington State 62	0.951	Washington 85 - Washington State 67	0
Weber State 80 - Southern Utah 66	0.798	Weber State 82 - Southern Utah 90	22
Western Carolina 65 - Samford 79	0.864	Western Carolina 76 - Samford 69	-21
Wofford 80 - Mercer 64	0.905	Wofford 78 - Mercer 74	12

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colgate 76 - American 65	0.873	Colgate 73 - American 69	7
Dayton 82 - Richmond 64	0.891	Dayton 72 - Richmond 48	-6
DePaul 71 - Seton Hall 77	0.728	DePaul 75 - Seton Hall 74	-7
George Mason 75 - Saint Bonaventure 67	0.698	George Mason 68 - Saint Bonaventure 53	-7
Houston 80 - Memphis 68	0.808	Houston 90 - Memphis 77	-1
Iowa 72 - Nebraska 77	0.631	Iowa 93 - Nebraska 84	-14
Lehigh 83 - Loyola MD 67	0.908	Lehigh 89 - Loyola MD 72	-1
Louisville 77 - Miami 66	0.756	Louisville 90 - Miami 73	-6
Marquette 79 - Xavier 68	0.817	Marquette 70 - Xavier 52	-7
Michigan 74 - Indiana 67	0.693	Michigan 74 - Indiana 63	-4
Navy 62 - Holy Cross 74	0.842	Navy 50 - Holy Cross 48	-14
North Dakota State 91 - Unranked 57		North Dakota State 85 - Unranked 53
Northwestern 78 - Illinois 66	0.821	Northwestern 68 - Illinois 66	10
Penn State 68 - Wisconsin 72	0.631	Penn State 52 - Wisconsin 71	15
Saint Josephs 81 - George Washington 62	0.91	Saint Josephs 56 - George Washington 70	33
Saint Louis 73 - Rhode Island 67	0.649	Saint Louis 60 - Rhode Island 53	-1
South Dakota 67 - South Dakota State 77	0.718	South Dakota 61 - South Dakota State 79	8
Southern California 78 - Stanford 73	0.649	Southern California 77 - Stanford 66	-6
Wichita State 70 - Temple 73	0.606	Wichita State 81 - Temple 85	1

Number of DI Games: 291
Number Correct: 201 = 69.1%
Expected Number Correct: 212.476 = 73.0%
Average Error: 9.76
Average Signed Error: 0.89

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 66 - Grambling State 71	0.614	Alabama AM 65 - Grambling State 60	-10
Alabama State 71 - Jackson State 63	0.694	Alabama State 59 - Jackson State 57	6
Alcorn State 67 - Prairie View 72	0.627	Alcorn State 54 - Prairie View 57	-2
Delaware State 68 - Coppin State 69	0.539	Delaware State 60 - Coppin State 64	3
Fairfield 76 - Niagara 72	0.632	Fairfield 77 - Niagara 59	-14
Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Howard 70	0.54	Maryland Eastern Shore 39 - Howard 79	39
Morgan State 87 - Savannah State 70	0.856	Morgan State 87 - Savannah State 88	18
Norfolk State 72 - Florida AM 64	0.732	Norfolk State 72 - Florida AM 62	-2
Northern Colorado 76 - Eastern Washington 64	0.874	Northern Colorado 75 - Eastern Washington 63	0
Southern 72 - Texas Southern 82	0.71	Southern 67 - Texas Southern 77	0

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 83 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.93	Ball State 82 - Eastern Michigan 84	23
Baylor 68 - Iowa State 75	0.673	Baylor 73 - Iowa State 70	-10
Bowling Green 73 - Ohio 68	0.607	Bowling Green 82 - Ohio 63	-14
Buffalo 80 - Toledo 71	0.71	Buffalo 110 - Toledo 80	-21
Canisius 67 - Brown 74	0.718	Canisius 90 - Brown 97	0
Central Michigan 72 - Akron 71	0.558	Central Michigan 88 - Akron 86	-1
Colorado State 73 - Air Force 69	0.634	Colorado State 87 - Air Force 64	-19
Drake 75 - Southern Illinois 68	0.689	Drake 82 - Southern Illinois 70	-5
Evansville 65 - Loyola Ill 70	0.628	Evansville 67 - Loyola Ill 48	-24
Illinois State 72 - Northern Iowa 64	0.73	Illinois State 70 - Northern Iowa 69	7
Indiana State 81 - Missouri State 66	0.814	Indiana State 57 - Missouri State 72	30
Kent State 77 - Western Michigan 66	0.807	Kent State 88 - Western Michigan 73	-4
Kentucky 82 - Texas AM 65	0.832	Kentucky 85 - Texas AM 74	6
Louisiana State 78 - Alabama 73	0.669	Louisiana State 88 - Alabama 79	-4
Marist 69 - Manhattan 58	0.784	Marist 78 - Manhattan 63	-4
Miami OH 74 - Northern Illinois 72	0.564	Miami OH 70 - Northern Illinois 83	15
Michigan State 82 - Purdue 70	0.834	Michigan State 77 - Purdue 59	-6
Minnesota 73 - Maryland 72	0.539	Minnesota 67 - Maryland 82	16
Missouri 68 - Tennessee 77	0.728	Missouri 63 - Tennessee 87	15
NC State 80 - North Carolina 81	0.525	NC State 82 - North Carolina 90	7
New Mexico 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.608	New Mexico 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	16
North Alabama 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.608	North Alabama 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 56	-10
North Carolina AT 89 - Unranked 59		North Carolina AT 104 - Unranked 56
Oklahoma State 69 - Texas 75	0.657	Oklahoma State 61 - Texas 58	-9
San Diego State 81 - Wyoming 64	0.842	San Diego State 84 - Wyoming 54	-13
South Carolina 69 - Mississippi State 80	0.775	South Carolina 87 - Mississippi State 82	-16
Texas Tech 72 - Oklahoma 69	0.595	Texas Tech 66 - Oklahoma 59	-4
Valparaiso 72 - Bradley 64	0.722	Valparaiso 61 - Bradley 50	-3
Villanova 77 - Saint Johns 73	0.616	Villanova 76 - Saint Johns 71	-1
Wake Forest 63 - Duke 89	0.959	Wake Forest 65 - Duke 87	-4
Yale 98 - Unranked 53		Yale 88 - Unranked 59

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 72 - Navy 66	0.706	American 71 - Navy 63	-2
Arkansas 74 - Florida 72	0.568	Arkansas 51 - Florida 57	8
Boston 73 - Army 66	0.674	Boston 82 - Army 86	11
Boston College 62 - Virginia 77	0.919	Boston College 56 - Virginia 83	12
Bucknell 76 - Colgate 70	0.66	Bucknell 84 - Colgate 81	3
California 70 - Arizona State 81	0.789	California 66 - Arizona State 80	3
Central Arkansas 73 - Sam Houston State 71	0.557	Central Arkansas 69 - Sam Houston State 78	11
Creighton 78 - Marquette 76	0.554	Creighton 104 - Marquette 106	4
Duquesne 73 - Fordham 64	0.737	Duquesne 66 - Fordham 61	4
Florida State 81 - Miami 67	0.833	Florida State 68 - Miami 62	8
George Mason 73 - Davidson 71	0.547	George Mason 56 - Davidson 61	7
George Washington 66 - Dayton 78	0.808	George Washington 66 - Dayton 72	-6
Georgia 76 - Vanderbilt 73	0.594	Georgia 82 - Vanderbilt 63	-16
Georgia Tech 65 - Virginia Tech 73	0.75	Georgia Tech 49 - Virginia Tech 52	-5
Hartford 76 - UMBC 64	0.805	Hartford 66 - UMBC 64	10
Hawaii 76 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.785	Hawaii 79 - Cal State Fullerton 68	-2
Holy Cross 73 - Lehigh 69	0.655	Holy Cross 94 - Lehigh 99	9
Kansas 78 - Texas Christian 73	0.657	Kansas 77 - Texas Christian 68	-4
Kansas State 73 - West Virginia 66	0.714	Kansas State 71 - West Virginia 69	5
Kennesaw St 68 - Jacksonville 72	0.594	Kennesaw St 70 - Jacksonville 90	16
Lafayette 75 - Loyola MD 74	0.504	Lafayette 85 - Loyola MD 70	-14
Lamar 76 - New Orleans 67	0.753	Lamar 71 - New Orleans 78	16
Lipscomb 87 - North Florida 70	0.843	Lipscomb 81 - North Florida 66	2
Maine 59 - Vermont 79	0.925	Maine 49 - Vermont 73	4
Mcneese State 66 - Abilene Christian 72	0.705	Mcneese State 72 - Abilene Christian 73	-5
Mississippi 73 - Auburn 76	0.601	Mississippi 82 - Auburn 67	-18
Nevada 87 - San Jose State 52	0.966	Nevada 92 - San Jose State 53	-4
New Hampshire 64 - UMass Lowell 78	0.836	New Hampshire 68 - UMass Lowell 64	-18
Nicholls State 68 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.612	Nicholls State 78 - Stephen F Austin 73	-9
Northwestern 75 - Iowa 73	0.562	Northwestern 63 - Iowa 73	12
Northwestern State 66 - Texas AM CC 69	0.627	Northwestern State 61 - Texas AM CC 62	-2
Pittsburgh 70 - Louisville 74	0.618	Pittsburgh 89 - Louisville 86	-7
Richmond 68 - Rhode Island 73	0.612	Richmond 67 - Rhode Island 78	6
Rutgers 65 - Ohio State 74	0.734	Rutgers 64 - Ohio State 61	-12
Saint Bonaventure 70 - Saint Josephs 72	0.534	Saint Bonaventure 73 - Saint Josephs 47	-28
Saint Louis 78 - Massachusetts 64	0.833	Saint Louis 65 - Massachusetts 62	11
Seton Hall 76 - Butler 71	0.623	Seton Hall 76 - Butler 75	4
South Florida 79 - Tulane 58	0.908	South Florida 66 - Tulane 48	3
Stanford 69 - Arizona 77	0.739	Stanford 70 - Arizona 75	-3
Stetson 60 - Liberty 83	0.949	Stetson 53 - Liberty 71	-5
Stony Brook 79 - Binghamton 57	0.993	Stony Brook 59 - Binghamton 46	9
Syracuse 72 - Clemson 68	0.613	Syracuse 61 - Clemson 53	-4
Temple 69 - Houston 73	0.734	Temple 73 - Houston 69	-8
Towson 68 - Cornell 67	0.532	Towson 74 - Cornell 86	13
UC Riverside 71 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.512	UC Riverside 83 - Cal State Northridge 84	0
UC Santa Barbara 80 - Cal Poly 58	0.943	UC Santa Barbara 65 - Cal Poly 56	13
Utah State 74 - Fresno State 68	0.646	Utah State 77 - Fresno State 78	7
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - La Salle 58	0.958	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - La Salle 63	18
Xavier 78 - Georgetown 74	0.615	Xavier 81 - Georgetown 75	-2

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 76 - Texas Arlington 73	0.654	Appalachian State 72 - Texas Arlington 82	13
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Troy 78	0.616	Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Troy 59	-18
Arkansas State 75 - South Alabama 70	0.614	Arkansas State 66 - South Alabama 65	4
Belmont 86 - Morehead State 66	0.947	Belmont 77 - Morehead State 60	3
Brigham Young 86 - Portland 66	0.912	Brigham Young 79 - Portland 56	-3
Campbell 74 - Winthrop 76	0.586	Campbell 86 - Winthrop 90	2
Coastal Carolina 68 - Texas State 75	0.746	Coastal Carolina 61 - Texas State 65	-3
College of Charleston 83 - Drexel 65	0.891	College of Charleston 78 - Drexel 79	19
Colorado 80 - Washington State 69	0.799	Colorado 92 - Washington State 60	-21
Connecticut 73 - Southern Methodist 71	0.536	Connecticut 76 - Southern Methodist 64	-10
Detroit 78 - Green Bay 76	0.552	Detroit 101 - Green Bay 83	-16
Eastern Washington 63 - Montana 75	0.837	Eastern Washington 78 - Montana 71	-19
Elon 65 - Northeastern 80	0.855	Elon 70 - Northeastern 81	-4
Fairfield 73 - Saint Peters 67	0.717	Fairfield 60 - Saint Peters 57	3
Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Central Connecticut State 68	0.713	Fairleigh Dickinson 96 - Central Connecticut State 103	15
Florida Atlantic 64 - Old Dominion 72	0.712	Florida Atlantic 80 - Old Dominion 73	-15
Florida International 79 - Charlotte 69	0.805	Florida International 69 - Charlotte 66	7
Georgia Southern 81 - UL Monroe 75	0.684	Georgia Southern 79 - UL Monroe 78	5
Georgia State 81 - UL Lafayette 69	0.78	Georgia State 89 - UL Lafayette 76	-1
Gonzaga 92 - Pacific 63	0.993	Gonzaga 67 - Pacific 36	-2
Hampton 74 - Charleston Southern 71	0.588	Hampton 94 - Charleston Southern 82	-9
High Point 72 - Presbyterian 69	0.58	High Point 74 - Presbyterian 58	-13
Idaho 71 - Montana State 74	0.585	Idaho 67 - Montana State 77	7
Illinois 64 - Michigan 80	0.845	Illinois 69 - Michigan 79	-6
Illinois Chicago 79 - Youngstown State 70	0.753	Illinois Chicago 78 - Youngstown State 63	-6
IPFW 80 - Oral Roberts 69	0.715	IPFW 94 - Oral Roberts 69	-14
IUPUI 77 - Cleveland State 67	0.789	IUPUI 90 - Cleveland State 74	-6
Jacksonville State 78 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.817	Jacksonville State 69 - Eastern Illinois 62	8
LIU Brooklyn 76 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.732	LIU Brooklyn 67 - Saint Francis Penn 74	14
Longwood 76 - UNC Asheville 55	0.941	Longwood 67 - UNC Asheville 62	16
Louisiana Tech 73 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.608	Louisiana Tech 64 - Alabama Birmingham 53	-7
Memphis 84 - East Carolina 67	0.837	Memphis 78 - East Carolina 72	11
Mercer 76 - Western Carolina 63	0.795	Mercer 84 - Western Carolina 80	9
Mt St Marys 71 - Bryant 69	0.578	Mt St Marys 59 - Bryant 66	9
Nebraska 80 - Penn State 65	0.841	Nebraska 70 - Penn State 64	9
New Mexico State 74 - Grand Canyon 66	0.689	New Mexico State 77 - Grand Canyon 75	6
North Dakota 70 - Omaha 76	0.656	North Dakota 91 - Omaha 92	-5
North Dakota State 75 - Western Illinois 64	0.755	North Dakota State 85 - Western Illinois 69	-5
Oakland 78 - Milwaukee 68	0.79	Oakland 64 - Milwaukee 67	13
Oregon 74 - UCLA 69	0.619	Oregon 84 - UCLA 87	8
Oregon State 77 - Southern California 71	0.674	Oregon State 79 - Southern California 74	1
Quinnipiac 72 - Monmouth 63	0.746	Quinnipiac 89 - Monmouth 83	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 70 - Robert Morris 62	0.702	Saint Francis Brooklyn 49 - Robert Morris 52	11
Santa Clara 76 - Pepperdine 69	0.654	Santa Clara 67 - Pepperdine 64	4
SE Missouri State 65 - Austin Peay 77	0.816	SE Missouri State 60 - Austin Peay 78	6
South Carolina Upstate 63 - Radford 76	0.85	South Carolina Upstate 72 - Radford 79	-6
South Dakota State 87 - Denver 62	0.895	South Dakota State 78 - Denver 66	13
Southern Miss 73 - Middle Tennessee 59	0.887	Southern Miss 77 - Middle Tennessee 70	7
Tennessee Martin 63 - Murray State 85	0.962	Tennessee Martin 77 - Murray State 98	-1
Tennessee State 74 - Eastern Kentucky 79	0.655	Tennessee State 82 - Eastern Kentucky 81	-6
Tennessee Tech 72 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.562	Tennessee Tech 78 - SIU Edwardsville 69	-7
Texas El Paso 64 - North Texas 76	0.819	Texas El Paso 51 - North Texas 58	-5
Texas Pan American 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.554	Texas Pan American 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 75	8
Texas San Antonio 80 - Rice 70	0.756	Texas San Antonio 95 - Rice 79	-6
The Citadel 75 - East Tennessee State 81	0.659	The Citadel 73 - East Tennessee State 98	19
Tulsa 68 - Cincinnati 72	0.62	Tulsa 65 - Cincinnati 70	1
UC Irvine 77 - UC Davis 58	0.92	UC Irvine 71 - UC Davis 69	17
UMKC 74 - Cal Baptist 75	0.53	UMKC 84 - Cal Baptist 68	-17
UNC Greensboro 72 - Wofford 73	0.562	UNC Greensboro 43 - Wofford 72	28
UNC Wilmington 75 - Delaware 71	0.601	UNC Wilmington 69 - Delaware 82	17
Utah 71 - Washington 75	0.638	Utah 53 - Washington 69	12
Virginia Military Institute 65 - Furman 81	0.8	Virginia Military Institute 57 - Furman 89	16
Wagner 74 - Sacred Heart 69	0.673	Wagner 76 - Sacred Heart 73	2
William and Mary 69 - Hofstra 78	0.773	William and Mary 90 - Hofstra 93	-6

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 74 - Rider 73	0.501	Canisius 73 - Rider 82	10
Marist 70 - Siena 65	0.635	Marist 66 - Siena 71	10
Maryland 77 - Indiana 73	0.648	Maryland 78 - Indiana 75	1
Niagara 78 - Iona 77	0.526	Niagara 95 - Iona 90	-4
Northern Kentucky 77 - Wright State 66	0.779	Northern Kentucky 68 - Wright State 64	7
Wisconsin 74 - Purdue 71	0.578	Wisconsin 80 - Purdue 84	7

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 68 - San Diego State 73	0.612	Air Force 62 - San Diego State 48	-19
Alabama 80 - Texas AM 68	0.777	Alabama 80 - Texas AM 81	13
Albany 72 - Maine 62	0.765	Albany 62 - Maine 66	14
Appalachian State 69 - Texas State 79	0.878	Appalachian State 69 - Texas State 70	-9
Arkansas 76 - Louisiana State 74	0.589	Arkansas 88 - Louisiana State 94	8
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - South Alabama 74	0.512	Arkansas Little Rock 91 - South Alabama 62	-30
Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Alabama State 67	0.577	Arkansas Pine Bluff 82 - Alabama State 71	-8
Arkansas State 75 - Troy 74	0.537	Arkansas State 85 - Troy 90	6
Auburn 84 - Georgia 65	0.851	Auburn 93 - Georgia 78	4
Ball State 81 - Ohio 66	0.82	Ball State 52 - Ohio 70	33
Baylor 68 - Kansas 76	0.695	Baylor 68 - Kansas 73	-3
Belmont 89 - Eastern Kentucky 72	0.908	Belmont 109 - Eastern Kentucky 93	1
Bradley 74 - Missouri State 69	0.631	Bradley 64 - Missouri State 69	10
Brigham Young 80 - Santa Clara 72	0.703	Brigham Young 80 - Santa Clara 74	2
Bucknell 78 - American 68	0.74	Bucknell 55 - American 54	9
Buffalo 85 - Miami OH 65	0.928	Buffalo 88 - Miami OH 64	-4
Cal Poly 72 - Cal State Northridge 74	0.575	Cal Poly 74 - Cal State Northridge 78	2
Cal State Fullerton 68 - UC Irvine 74	0.73	Cal State Fullerton 46 - UC Irvine 63	11
California 67 - Arizona 79	0.85	California 65 - Arizona 87	10
Central Arkansas 74 - Lamar 75	0.505	Central Arkansas 75 - Lamar 68	-8
Central Michigan 76 - Bowling Green 71	0.622	Central Michigan 87 - Bowling Green 97	15
Chattanooga 68 - Samford 76	0.714	Chattanooga 80 - Samford 75	-13
Chicago State 68 - Cal Baptist 84	0.828	Chicago State 75 - Cal Baptist 77	-14
Cincinnati 78 - Connecticut 64	0.809	Cincinnati 74 - Connecticut 72	12
Clemson 65 - Virginia 74	0.786	Clemson 43 - Virginia 63	11
Coastal Carolina 76 - Texas Arlington 69	0.785	Coastal Carolina 58 - Texas Arlington 61	10
Colgate 74 - Lehigh 73	0.571	Colgate 91 - Lehigh 78	-12
College of Charleston 79 - Delaware 63	0.829	College of Charleston 71 - Delaware 58	3
Colorado 70 - Washington 73	0.581	Colorado 70 - Washington 77	4
Colorado State 71 - New Mexico 77	0.64	Colorado State 91 - New Mexico 76	-21
Columbia 89 - Unranked 59		Columbia 102 - Unranked 63
Coppin State 68 - Norfolk State 72	0.63	Coppin State 66 - Norfolk State 80	10
Dartmouth 67 - Harvard 73	0.664	Dartmouth 81 - Harvard 63	-24
Davidson 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.622	Davidson 64 - Virginia Commonwealth 57	-10
Delaware State 66 - North Carolina AT 77	0.825	Delaware State 70 - North Carolina AT 93	12
Detroit 77 - Milwaukee 65	0.751	Detroit 93 - Milwaukee 84	3
Duquesne 75 - Saint Josephs 71	0.624	Duquesne 85 - Saint Josephs 84	3
Eastern Michigan 69 - Kent State 72	0.624	Eastern Michigan 95 - Kent State 61	-37
Elon 61 - Hofstra 84	0.93	Elon 71 - Hofstra 74	-20
Evansville 70 - Indiana State 71	0.511	Evansville 66 - Indiana State 72	5
Florida 70 - Tennessee 75	0.628	Florida 67 - Tennessee 78	6
Florida AM 79 - Savannah State 69	0.741	Florida AM 69 - Savannah State 64	5
Florida Atlantic 73 - Charlotte 62	0.802	Florida Atlantic 60 - Charlotte 65	16
Florida International 70 - Old Dominion 78	0.76	Florida International 74 - Old Dominion 75	-7
Florida State 71 - Duke 81	0.794	Florida State 78 - Duke 80	-8
Fresno State 69 - Nevada 73	0.591	Fresno State 64 - Nevada 74	6
Gardner Webb 79 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.9	Gardner Webb 64 - South Carolina Upstate 59	12
George Washington 71 - Richmond 68	0.565	George Washington 56 - Richmond 76	23
Georgetown 78 - Providence 75	0.609	Georgetown 96 - Providence 90	-3
Georgia Southern 84 - UL Lafayette 74	0.768	Georgia Southern 85 - UL Lafayette 87	12
Georgia State 78 - UL Monroe 71	0.708	Georgia State 74 - UL Monroe 73	6
Grambling State 77 - Southern 67	0.78	Grambling State 69 - Southern 63	4
Hampton 77 - UNC Asheville 61	0.878	Hampton 83 - UNC Asheville 61	-6
Holy Cross 80 - Lafayette 60	0.956	Holy Cross 77 - Lafayette 70	13
Houston 81 - Wichita State 61	0.944	Houston 79 - Wichita State 70	11
Howard 75 - Bethune Cookman 72	0.613	Howard 63 - Bethune Cookman 71	11
Illinois Chicago 78 - Cleveland State 70	0.726	Illinois Chicago 73 - Cleveland State 56	-9
Iowa 74 - Ohio State 75	0.522	Iowa 72 - Ohio State 62	-11
Iowa State 76 - Kansas State 63	0.824	Iowa State 57 - Kansas State 58	14
IUPUI 79 - Youngstown State 67	0.81	IUPUI 76 - Youngstown State 82	18
Jackson State 70 - Alcorn State 61	0.733	Jackson State 59 - Alcorn State 52	2
Jacksonville State 80 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.914	Jacksonville State 90 - SIU Edwardsville 54	-18
James Madison 71 - Towson 65	0.664	James Madison 74 - Towson 65	-3
Kentucky 83 - Vanderbilt 68	0.854	Kentucky 56 - Vanderbilt 47	6
La Salle 65 - Saint Louis 76	0.792	La Salle 64 - Saint Louis 71	-4
Liberty 82 - Jacksonville 60	0.919	Liberty 69 - Jacksonville 53	6
Lipscomb 91 - Stetson 60	0.965	Lipscomb 95 - Stetson 71	7
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Robert Morris 65	0.717	LIU Brooklyn 80 - Robert Morris 73	0
Long Beach State 73 - UC Davis 66	0.736	Long Beach State 82 - UC Davis 77	2
Longwood 72 - Charleston Southern 65	0.763	Longwood 91 - Charleston Southern 101	17
Louisiana Tech 79 - Middle Tennessee 61	0.933	Louisiana Tech 73 - Middle Tennessee 56	1
Loyola Ill 75 - Illinois State 61	0.82	Loyola Ill 67 - Illinois State 64	11
Loyola Marymount 67 - Saint Marys 72	0.626	Loyola Marymount 60 - Saint Marys 71	6
Loyola MD 73 - Army 71	0.572	Loyola MD 66 - Army 64	0
Marquette 78 - Seton Hall 72	0.683	Marquette 70 - Seton Hall 66	2
Marshall 79 - Western Kentucky 77	0.554	Marshall 70 - Western Kentucky 69	1
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - North Carolina Central 67	0.639	Maryland Eastern Shore 48 - North Carolina Central 61	9
Mercer 65 - East Tennessee State 73	0.728	Mercer 68 - East Tennessee State 72	-4
Miami 79 - Wake Forest 69	0.757	Miami 76 - Wake Forest 65	-1
Minnesota 76 - Rutgers 63	0.83	Minnesota 88 - Rutgers 70	-5
Mississippi State 78 - Mississippi 70	0.762	Mississippi State 77 - Mississippi 81	12
Mississippi Valley State 70 - Alabama AM 69	0.541	Mississippi Valley State 72 - Alabama AM 63	-8
Monmouth 67 - Manhattan 61	0.658	Monmouth 65 - Manhattan 49	-10
Morgan State 78 - South Carolina State 67	0.848	Morgan State 68 - South Carolina State 72	15
Mt St Marys 71 - Central Connecticut State 70	0.544	Mt St Marys 68 - Central Connecticut State 77	10
Navy 70 - Boston 67	0.574	Navy 69 - Boston 75	9
NC State 82 - Pittsburgh 68	0.824	NC State 86 - Pittsburgh 80	8
New Mexico State 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.786	New Mexico State 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	1
New Orleans 73 - Mcneese State 68	0.629	New Orleans 79 - Mcneese State 66	-8
Nicholls State 76 - Houston Baptist 75	0.508	Nicholls State 77 - Houston Baptist 76	0
North Alabama 61 - NJ Tech 76	0.847	North Alabama 61 - NJ Tech 55	-21
North Carolina 82 - Louisville 72	0.75	North Carolina 62 - Louisville 83	31
North Dakota 71 - Western Illinois 66	0.619	North Dakota 71 - Western Illinois 65	-1
North Florida 81 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.707	North Florida 87 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	-12
Northern Colorado 69 - Montana 73	0.613	Northern Colorado 64 - Montana 88	20
Northern Illinois 71 - Akron 70	0.526	Northern Illinois 73 - Akron 56	-16
Notre Dame 76 - Boston College 70	0.673	Notre Dame 69 - Boston College 66	3
Oakland 80 - Green Bay 79	0.516	Oakland 90 - Green Bay 78	-11
Oklahoma 78 - Texas Christian 72	0.698	Oklahoma 76 - Texas Christian 74	4
Pennsylvania 75 - Princeton 67	0.679	Pennsylvania 53 - Princeton 62	17
Portland 69 - Pacific 75	0.705	Portland 57 - Pacific 65	2
Portland State 71 - Weber State 76	0.62	Portland State 88 - Weber State 95	2
Prairie View 74 - Texas Southern 78	0.597	Prairie View 79 - Texas Southern 73	-10
Radford 78 - Presbyterian 66	0.806	Radford 79 - Presbyterian 77	10
Sacramento State 70 - Idaho State 69	0.518	Sacramento State 70 - Idaho State 72	3
Sacred Heart 80 - Bryant 70	0.767	Sacred Heart 98 - Bryant 70	-18
Saint Bonaventure 68 - Fordham 65	0.562	Saint Bonaventure 71 - Fordham 64	-4
Saint Francis Brooklyn 74 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.717	Saint Francis Brooklyn 72 - Saint Francis Penn 68	4
Saint Johns 84 - DePaul 69	0.882	Saint Johns 71 - DePaul 79	23
Sam Houston State 75 - Incarnate Word 63	0.804	Sam Houston State 66 - Incarnate Word 52	-2
San Diego 79 - Pepperdine 66	0.826	San Diego 71 - Pepperdine 76	18
San Francisco 72 - Gonzaga 80	0.744	San Francisco 83 - Gonzaga 96	5
San Jose State 64 - Boise State 75	0.815	San Jose State 64 - Boise State 87	12
SE Missouri State 62 - Murray State 80	0.922	SE Missouri State 67 - Murray State 85	0
South Dakota State 83 - Oral Roberts 67	0.797	South Dakota State 84 - Oral Roberts 65	-3
Southeast Louisiana 61 - Abilene Christian 70	0.768	Southeast Louisiana 72 - Abilene Christian 75	-6
Southern Illinois 72 - Valparaiso 63	0.763	Southern Illinois 61 - Valparaiso 65	13
Southern Methodist 74 - Tulsa 69	0.644	Southern Methodist 77 - Tulsa 57	-15
Southern Miss 66 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.509	Southern Miss 73 - Alabama Birmingham 68	-6
Southern Utah 74 - Northern Arizona 70	0.575	Southern Utah 84 - Northern Arizona 82	2
Stanford 72 - Arizona State 78	0.674	Stanford 85 - Arizona State 71	-20
Stephen F Austin 76 - Northwestern State 60	0.884	Stephen F Austin 59 - Northwestern State 61	18
Stony Brook 83 - New Hampshire 52	0.969	Stony Brook 62 - New Hampshire 44	13
Syracuse 72 - Georgia Tech 63	0.731	Syracuse 59 - Georgia Tech 73	23
Temple 75 - South Florida 66	0.82	Temple 82 - South Florida 80	7
Tennessee Martin 66 - Austin Peay 82	0.9	Tennessee Martin 70 - Austin Peay 72	-14
Tennessee State 70 - Morehead State 72	0.565	Tennessee State 61 - Morehead State 74	11
Tennessee Tech 70 - Eastern Illinois 71	0.538	Tennessee Tech 60 - Eastern Illinois 67	6
Texas 68 - Texas Tech 67	0.528	Texas 62 - Texas Tech 68	7
Texas El Paso 74 - Rice 73	0.539	Texas El Paso 65 - Rice 64	0
Texas Pan American 69 - Grand Canyon 72	0.605	Texas Pan American 65 - Grand Canyon 69	1
Texas San Antonio 70 - North Texas 74	0.659	Texas San Antonio 76 - North Texas 74	-6
The Citadel 85 - Western Carolina 71	0.795	The Citadel 82 - Western Carolina 94	26
UC Santa Barbara 77 - UC Riverside 58	0.924	UC Santa Barbara 72 - UC Riverside 64	11
UMass Lowell 77 - UMBC 69	0.687	UMass Lowell 74 - UMBC 63	-3
UNC Greensboro 72 - Furman 69	0.565	UNC Greensboro 89 - Furman 79	-7
UNC Wilmington 80 - Drexel 73	0.678	UNC Wilmington 97 - Drexel 83	-7
Utah 81 - Washington State 72	0.789	Utah 88 - Washington State 70	-9
Utah Valley 74 - Seattle 69	0.634	Utah Valley 88 - Seattle 78	-5
Vermont 78 - Hartford 65	0.838	Vermont 81 - Hartford 62	-6
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Wofford 85	0.882	Virginia Military Institute 76 - Wofford 90	-7
Wagner 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.657	Wagner 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0
West Virginia 77 - Oklahoma State 72	0.645	West Virginia 77 - Oklahoma State 85	13
Western Michigan 66 - Toledo 77	0.767	Western Michigan 77 - Toledo 85	-3
William and Mary 73 - Northeastern 74	0.557	William and Mary 70 - Northeastern 90	19
Winthrop 78 - High Point 67	0.791	Winthrop 80 - High Point 63	-6
Wyoming 62 - Utah State 82	0.913	Wyoming 55 - Utah State 71	-4

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 79 - Iona 74	0.693	Canisius 70 - Iona 88	23
Central Florida 82 - East Carolina 58	0.951	Central Florida 76 - East Carolina 65	13
Creighton 77 - Villanova 74	0.568	Creighton 78 - Villanova 90	15
Dayton 84 - Massachusetts 66	0.887	Dayton 72 - Massachusetts 67	13
Michigan 77 - Northwestern 62	0.887	Michigan 80 - Northwestern 60	-5
Niagara 72 - Rider 77	0.631	Niagara 84 - Rider 104	15
Northern Iowa 67 - Drake 74	0.72	Northern Iowa 57 - Drake 54	-10
Oregon 76 - Southern California 69	0.671	Oregon 81 - Southern California 60	-14
Oregon State 75 - UCLA 71	0.614	Oregon State 79 - UCLA 66	-9
Penn State 67 - Michigan State 81	0.887	Penn State 56 - Michigan State 71	1
Quinnipiac 74 - Fairfield 67	0.787	Quinnipiac 80 - Fairfield 78	5
Rhode Island 75 - George Mason 70	0.636	Rhode Island 67 - George Mason 84	22
Saint Peters 65 - Marist 66	0.51	Saint Peters 72 - Marist 63	-10
South Carolina 71 - Missouri 75	0.61	South Carolina 85 - Missouri 75	-14
South Dakota 70 - IPFW 74	0.6	South Dakota 87 - IPFW 73	-18
Tulane 67 - Memphis 83	0.827	Tulane 79 - Memphis 83	-12
Xavier 71 - Butler 73	0.528	Xavier 70 - Butler 69	-3

Number of DI Games: 321
Number Correct: 222 = 69.1%
Expected Number Correct: 229.377 = 71.4%
Average Error: 9.35
Average Signed Error: 1.45

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Alabama AM 63	0.772	Arkansas Pine Bluff 50 - Alabama AM 49	11
Brown 94 - Unranked 52		Brown 100 - Unranked 61
Bucknell 74 - Holy Cross 67	0.682	Bucknell 93 - Holy Cross 78	-8
Coppin State 67 - South Carolina State 68	0.507	Coppin State 68 - South Carolina State 70	1
Delaware State 63 - North Carolina Central 74	0.792	Delaware State 70 - North Carolina Central 71	-10
Duke 84 - Syracuse 63	0.908	Duke 91 - Syracuse 95	25
Grambling State 72 - Alcorn State 59	0.871	Grambling State 77 - Alcorn State 42	-22
Indiana 78 - Nebraska 75	0.569	Indiana 51 - Nebraska 66	18
Jackson State 72 - Southern 66	0.693	Jackson State 64 - Southern 58	0
Kansas 79 - Texas 68	0.788	Kansas 80 - Texas 78	9
Maryland 78 - Wisconsin 70	0.719	Maryland 64 - Wisconsin 60	4
Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - North Carolina AT 74	0.839	Maryland Eastern Shore 58 - North Carolina AT 67	-4
Mississippi Valley State 69 - Alabama State 71	0.563	Mississippi Valley State 79 - Alabama State 81	0
Montana State 74 - Northern Colorado 72	0.562	Montana State 70 - Northern Colorado 73	5
Norfolk State 74 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.742	Norfolk State 75 - Bethune Cookman 68	1
Oklahoma State 73 - Baylor 71	0.565	Oklahoma State 69 - Baylor 73	6
Pittsburgh 72 - Florida State 76	0.623	Pittsburgh 75 - Florida State 62	-17
Siena 71 - Monmouth 64	0.666	Siena 60 - Monmouth 63	10

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 71 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.628	Akron 51 - Eastern Michigan 49	3
Boise State 66 - Nevada 77	0.761	Boise State 71 - Nevada 72	-10
Bowling Green 76 - Ball State 73	0.569	Bowling Green 79 - Ball State 78	2
Cincinnati 76 - South Florida 62	0.811	Cincinnati 82 - South Florida 74	6
Fordham 61 - Saint Louis 71	0.765	Fordham 60 - Saint Louis 63	-7
Georgetown 77 - Marquette 82	0.649	Georgetown 71 - Marquette 74	-2
Georgia 71 - Kentucky 77	0.649	Georgia 49 - Kentucky 69	14
Howard 75 - Morgan State 73	0.55	Howard 86 - Morgan State 89	5
Illinois State 71 - Southern Illinois 69	0.541	Illinois State 59 - Southern Illinois 58	1
Loyola Ill 71 - Valparaiso 62	0.729	Loyola Ill 71 - Valparaiso 54	-8
Mississippi 79 - Louisiana State 74	0.658	Mississippi 69 - Louisiana State 83	19
Mississippi State 74 - Florida 71	0.595	Mississippi State 71 - Florida 68	0
North Carolina 86 - Notre Dame 69	0.846	North Carolina 75 - Notre Dame 69	11
Northern Illinois 80 - Central Michigan 73	0.705	Northern Illinois 69 - Central Michigan 78	16
Ohio 74 - Kent State 68	0.638	Ohio 52 - Kent State 66	20
Providence 73 - Seton Hall 76	0.599	Providence 72 - Seton Hall 63	-12
Purdue 81 - Rutgers 65	0.856	Purdue 89 - Rutgers 54	-19
Saint Josephs 68 - Davidson 76	0.714	Saint Josephs 61 - Davidson 60	-9
San Diego State 76 - New Mexico 71	0.591	San Diego State 97 - New Mexico 77	-15
Tennessee 86 - Arkansas 68	0.935	Tennessee 106 - Arkansas 87	-1
Texas Christian 84 - West Virginia 69	0.898	Texas Christian 98 - West Virginia 67	-16
Toledo 80 - Miami OH 66	0.799	Toledo 71 - Miami OH 59	2
Virginia 73 - Virginia Tech 63	0.827	Virginia 81 - Virginia Tech 59	-12
Wake Forest 73 - NC State 84	0.818	Wake Forest 71 - NC State 67	-15
Western Michigan 65 - Buffalo 85	0.921	Western Michigan 79 - Buffalo 88	-11

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Houston Baptist 68	0.837	Abilene Christian 75 - Houston Baptist 68	4
Air Force 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	0.635	Air Force 106 - Nevada Las Vegas 88	-23
Army 69 - Colgate 73	0.651	Army 91 - Colgate 81	-14
Bradley 67 - Drake 75	0.707	Bradley 52 - Drake 69	9
Clemson 72 - Georgia Tech 67	0.662	Clemson 72 - Georgia Tech 60	-7
Denver 68 - North Dakota State 75	0.685	Denver 80 - North Dakota State 65	-22
DePaul 73 - Butler 75	0.536	DePaul 69 - Butler 87	16
East Carolina 66 - Temple 77	0.847	East Carolina 74 - Temple 85	0
High Point 73 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.815	High Point 71 - South Carolina Upstate 54	-5
Illinois 72 - Minnesota 78	0.672	Illinois 95 - Minnesota 68	-33
Incarnate Word 70 - Central Arkansas 73	0.598	Incarnate Word 60 - Central Arkansas 77	14
Jacksonville 73 - North Alabama 65	0.698	Jacksonville 88 - North Alabama 91	11
Kennesaw St 56 - Liberty 78	0.944	Kennesaw St 41 - Liberty 62	-1
La Salle 75 - George Washington 70	0.639	La Salle 56 - George Washington 59	8
Lafayette 70 - Navy 69	0.542	Lafayette 77 - Navy 85	9
Lehigh 78 - American 69	0.806	Lehigh 83 - American 76	2
Louisville 83 - Boston College 65	0.884	Louisville 80 - Boston College 70	8
Loyola MD 71 - Boston 73	0.571	Loyola MD 81 - Boston 73	-10
Maine 64 - Hartford 73	0.762	Maine 76 - Hartford 77	-8
Massachusetts 73 - George Mason 75	0.57	Massachusetts 63 - George Mason 68	3
Mcneese State 71 - Nicholls State 72	0.507	Mcneese State 86 - Nicholls State 75	-12
Missouri 75 - Alabama 73	0.555	Missouri 60 - Alabama 70	12
Missouri State 73 - Evansville 72	0.531	Missouri State 64 - Evansville 70	7
New Hampshire 55 - Vermont 80	0.964	New Hampshire 59 - Vermont 73	-11
New Orleans 71 - Stephen F Austin 67	0.602	New Orleans 68 - Stephen F Austin 61	-3
NJ Tech 70 - Lipscomb 76	0.632	NJ Tech 52 - Lipscomb 70	12
North Dakota 67 - South Dakota State 79	0.754	North Dakota 74 - South Dakota State 78	-8
Northern Iowa 67 - Indiana State 69	0.551	Northern Iowa 69 - Indiana State 64	-7
Oklahoma 77 - Kansas State 64	0.87	Oklahoma 61 - Kansas State 74	26
Penn State 71 - Iowa 76	0.641	Penn State 82 - Iowa 89	2
Presbyterian 78 - Hampton 72	0.691	Presbyterian 85 - Hampton 70	-9
Rhode Island 74 - Saint Bonaventure 65	0.694	Rhode Island 75 - Saint Bonaventure 63	-3
Richmond 71 - Duquesne 72	0.518	Richmond 68 - Duquesne 74	5
Saint Johns 83 - Creighton 78	0.644	Saint Johns 81 - Creighton 66	-10
Sam Houston State 71 - Texas AM CC 64	0.776	Sam Houston State 72 - Texas AM CC 50	-15
San Jose State 61 - Utah State 81	0.924	San Jose State 63 - Utah State 81	-2
Southeast Louisiana 69 - Lamar 70	0.544	Southeast Louisiana 76 - Lamar 69	-8
Southern Methodist 68 - Houston 73	0.666	Southern Methodist 58 - Houston 69	6
Stetson 70 - North Florida 81	0.796	Stetson 77 - North Florida 87	-1
Texas AM 71 - Auburn 79	0.683	Texas AM 66 - Auburn 85	11
Texas Tech 75 - Iowa State 66	0.752	Texas Tech 64 - Iowa State 68	13
Tulsa 73 - Connecticut 72	0.551	Tulsa 89 - Connecticut 83	-5
UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 64	0.908	UC Irvine 70 - Long Beach State 80	25
UMass Lowell 76 - Albany 66	0.766	UMass Lowell 84 - Albany 72	-2
UMBC 70 - Binghamton 62	0.745	UMBC 68 - Binghamton 49	-11
UNC Asheville 62 - Campbell 75	0.874	UNC Asheville 53 - Campbell 70	4
Vanderbilt 77 - South Carolina 75	0.558	Vanderbilt 71 - South Carolina 74	5
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Dayton 67	0.666	Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Dayton 71	0
Wichita State 69 - Central Florida 76	0.751	Wichita State 75 - Central Florida 67	-15
Winthrop 82 - Longwood 66	0.908	Winthrop 61 - Longwood 75	30

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Texas El Paso 62	0.753	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Texas El Paso 63	-3
Arizona 74 - Oregon 66	0.716	Arizona 54 - Oregon 59	13
Arizona State 75 - Oregon State 73	0.57	Arizona State 70 - Oregon State 67	-1
Cal State Bakersfield 75 - UMKC 64	0.757	Cal State Bakersfield 74 - UMKC 73	10
Cal State Fullerton 74 - UC Riverside 65	0.818	Cal State Fullerton 69 - UC Riverside 61	1
Cal State Northridge 71 - Hawaii 77	0.687	Cal State Northridge 79 - Hawaii 84	-1
Charlotte 65 - Southern Miss 68	0.61	Charlotte 60 - Southern Miss 63	0
Chattanooga 71 - Mercer 70	0.517	Chattanooga 73 - Mercer 70	-2
Cleveland State 65 - Northern Kentucky 78	0.842	Cleveland State 76 - Northern Kentucky 91	2
Delaware 73 - James Madison 66	0.657	Delaware 76 - James Madison 69	0
Drexel 77 - Towson 68	0.759	Drexel 72 - Towson 66	3
East Tennessee State 86 - Virginia Military Institute 58	0.934	East Tennessee State 85 - Virginia Military Institute 82	25
Eastern Illinois 65 - Murray State 80	0.844	Eastern Illinois 61 - Murray State 83	7
Eastern Kentucky 84 - Tennessee Martin 74	0.826	Eastern Kentucky 97 - Tennessee Martin 73	-14
Gonzaga 87 - Loyola Marymount 59	0.956	Gonzaga 73 - Loyola Marymount 55	10
Grand Canyon 88 - Chicago State 57	0.963	Grand Canyon 80 - Chicago State 46	-3
Green Bay 80 - IUPUI 75	0.642	Green Bay 70 - IUPUI 76	11
Hofstra 84 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.871	Hofstra 87 - UNC Wilmington 72	3
Jacksonville State 73 - Belmont 72	0.521	Jacksonville State 91 - Belmont 80	-10
Marshall 81 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.752	Marshall 96 - Florida Atlantic 84	-1
Middle Tennessee 65 - Texas San Antonio 77	0.896	Middle Tennessee 89 - Texas San Antonio 86	-15
Milwaukee 70 - Illinois Chicago 73	0.588	Milwaukee 81 - Illinois Chicago 69	-15
Monmouth 70 - Fairfield 69	0.513	Monmouth 74 - Fairfield 57	-16
Morehead State 73 - SE Missouri State 66	0.733	Morehead State 73 - SE Missouri State 69	3
Nebraska 76 - Michigan State 80	0.624	Nebraska 64 - Michigan State 70	2
Northeastern 74 - College of Charleston 70	0.596	Northeastern 69 - College of Charleston 60	-5
Northern Arizona 72 - Sacramento State 66	0.66	Northern Arizona 64 - Sacramento State 66	8
Old Dominion 72 - Louisiana Tech 66	0.684	Old Dominion 64 - Louisiana Tech 63	5
Oral Roberts 70 - South Dakota 69	0.505	Oral Roberts 77 - South Dakota 74	-2
Pacific 67 - San Francisco 75	0.793	Pacific 52 - San Francisco 53	-7
Pepperdine 76 - Brigham Young 78	0.56	Pepperdine 76 - Brigham Young 87	9
Portland 63 - San Diego 76	0.883	Portland 55 - San Diego 76	8
Quinnipiac 75 - Canisius 68	0.751	Quinnipiac 63 - Canisius 65	9
Radford 74 - Gardner Webb 67	0.703	Radford 75 - Gardner Webb 58	-10
Saint Marys 79 - Santa Clara 63	0.862	Saint Marys 75 - Santa Clara 55	-4
Saint Peters 69 - Manhattan 59	0.758	Saint Peters 56 - Manhattan 58	12
Samford 85 - The Citadel 74	0.747	Samford 80 - The Citadel 77	8
Seattle 69 - New Mexico State 73	0.597	Seattle 60 - New Mexico State 87	23
Siena 74 - Niagara 68	0.658	Siena 66 - Niagara 57	-3
SIU Edwardsville 64 - Austin Peay 80	0.858	SIU Edwardsville 71 - Austin Peay 79	-8
South Alabama 66 - Georgia State 77	0.75	South Alabama 66 - Georgia State 69	-8
Southern Utah 76 - Portland State 70	0.624	Southern Utah 83 - Portland State 69	-8
Tennessee Tech 71 - Tennessee State 65	0.643	Tennessee Tech 62 - Tennessee State 79	23
Texas Arlington 74 - Arkansas State 70	0.641	Texas Arlington 68 - Arkansas State 59	-5
Texas State 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.839	Texas State 80 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	-3
Troy 76 - Georgia Southern 79	0.577	Troy 82 - Georgia Southern 90	5
UC Davis 65 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.715	UC Davis 58 - UC Santa Barbara 69	4
Utah Valley 77 - Texas Pan American 66	0.867	Utah Valley 82 - Texas Pan American 61	-10
Washington 79 - Stanford 65	0.879	Washington 80 - Stanford 64	-2
Washington State 78 - California 74	0.643	Washington State 82 - California 59	-19
Weber State 78 - Idaho State 69	0.747	Weber State 76 - Idaho State 59	-8
Western Carolina 65 - UNC Greensboro 75	0.762	Western Carolina 60 - UNC Greensboro 69	-1
Western Illinois 69 - Omaha 76	0.677	Western Illinois 71 - Omaha 80	2
Western Kentucky 83 - Florida International 72	0.821	Western Kentucky 76 - Florida International 77	12
Youngstown State 69 - Wright State 74	0.633	Youngstown State 74 - Wright State 80	1

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 85 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.886	Buffalo 77 - Eastern Michigan 65	9
Iona 77 - Marist 70	0.723	Iona 90 - Marist 77	-6
Ohio State 74 - Maryland 73	0.502	Ohio State 61 - Maryland 75	15
Rutgers 71 - Northwestern 70	0.506	Rutgers 57 - Northwestern 65	9
Saint Louis 78 - Saint Josephs 63	0.83	Saint Louis 68 - Saint Josephs 57	4
Toledo 77 - Ohio 67	0.7	Toledo 75 - Ohio 52	-13
Villanova 78 - Xavier 66	0.82	Villanova 85 - Xavier 75	2

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 76 - Northwestern State 59	0.911	Abilene Christian 78 - Northwestern State 69	8
Alabama AM 67 - Alabama State 69	0.548	Alabama AM 54 - Alabama State 72	16
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.515	Alabama Birmingham 83 - Texas San Antonio 73	-9
Alcorn State 68 - Mississippi Valley State 67	0.537	Alcorn State 63 - Mississippi Valley State 57	-5
American 77 - Lafayette 65	0.869	American 79 - Lafayette 84	17
Arizona 75 - Oregon State 68	0.724	Arizona 82 - Oregon State 71	-4
Arizona State 74 - Oregon 71	0.583	Arizona State 78 - Oregon 64	-11
Army 70 - Navy 65	0.638	Army 72 - Navy 61	-6
Auburn 77 - Kentucky 72	0.611	Auburn 80 - Kentucky 82	7
Baylor 65 - Texas Tech 72	0.697	Baylor 73 - Texas Tech 62	-18
Belmont 87 - Tennessee State 60	0.954	Belmont 92 - Tennessee State 74	9
Bethune Cookman 78 - Delaware State 61	0.883	Bethune Cookman 69 - Delaware State 49	-3
Boise State 69 - Fresno State 74	0.639	Boise State 53 - Fresno State 63	5
Boston 71 - Colgate 72	0.525	Boston 56 - Colgate 77	20
Bowling Green 79 - Western Michigan 64	0.824	Bowling Green 79 - Western Michigan 48	-16
Brown 75 - Yale 73	0.549	Brown 67 - Yale 70	5
Bryant 68 - Robert Morris 67	0.513	Bryant 65 - Robert Morris 79	15
Butler 77 - Saint Johns 74	0.573	Butler 80 - Saint Johns 71	-6
Cal State Bakersfield 84 - Chicago State 58	0.949	Cal State Bakersfield 86 - Chicago State 73	13
Cal State Northridge 67 - UC Irvine 78	0.81	Cal State Northridge 68 - UC Irvine 74	-5
Central Arkansas 75 - Nicholls State 71	0.622	Central Arkansas 74 - Nicholls State 68	-2
Central Connecticut State 76 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.657	Central Connecticut State 69 - Saint Francis Penn 80	17
Central Florida 78 - Tulsa 64	0.921	Central Florida 64 - Tulsa 62	12
Central Michigan 78 - Ball State 77	0.507	Central Michigan 72 - Ball State 83	12
Charleston Southern 73 - Campbell 72	0.536	Charleston Southern 72 - Campbell 73	2
Charlotte 65 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.729	Charlotte 55 - Louisiana Tech 40	-22
Chattanooga 80 - The Citadel 77	0.575	Chattanooga 73 - The Citadel 71	1
Cleveland State 68 - Wright State 74	0.658	Cleveland State 66 - Wright State 89	17
Coastal Carolina 79 - Appalachian State 71	0.785	Coastal Carolina 89 - Appalachian State 72	-9
Connecticut 82 - Tulane 61	0.914	Connecticut 87 - Tulane 71	5
Cornell 75 - Columbia 69	0.69	Cornell 60 - Columbia 59	5
Davidson 79 - Richmond 61	0.894	Davidson 75 - Richmond 62	5
Delaware 75 - Towson 63	0.765	Delaware 63 - Towson 64	13
Detroit 78 - Oakland 71	0.673	Detroit 73 - Oakland 79	13
Drexel 76 - James Madison 71	0.629	Drexel 73 - James Madison 68	0
Duke 76 - Virginia 69	0.728	Duke 72 - Virginia 70	5
East Tennessee State 73 - UNC Greensboro 65	0.74	East Tennessee State 68 - UNC Greensboro 75	15
Eastern Illinois 67 - Austin Peay 75	0.707	Eastern Illinois 85 - Austin Peay 83	-10
Eastern Kentucky 80 - SE Missouri State 72	0.77	Eastern Kentucky 85 - SE Missouri State 83	6
Eastern Washington 71 - Montana State 70	0.508	Eastern Washington 85 - Montana State 81	-3
Evansville 74 - Illinois State 69	0.62	Evansville 70 - Illinois State 78	13
Fairfield 74 - Canisius 70	0.669	Fairfield 68 - Canisius 73	9
Florida AM 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.826	Florida AM 58 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	16
Gardner Webb 79 - Hampton 68	0.782	Gardner Webb 87 - Hampton 74	-2
George Mason 76 - Fordham 62	0.843	George Mason 71 - Fordham 68	11
Georgia 70 - Florida 73	0.574	Georgia 52 - Florida 62	7
Georgia Tech 70 - Louisville 74	0.601	Georgia Tech 51 - Louisville 79	24
Grand Canyon 79 - UMKC 63	0.832	Grand Canyon 78 - UMKC 50	-12
Green Bay 80 - Illinois Chicago 76	0.608	Green Bay 90 - Illinois Chicago 85	-1
Hartford 78 - UMass Lowell 69	0.718	Hartford 73 - UMass Lowell 76	12
Hofstra 75 - College of Charleston 68	0.69	Hofstra 86 - College of Charleston 72	-7
Holy Cross 77 - Loyola MD 62	0.889	Holy Cross 65 - Loyola MD 67	17
Houston Baptist 73 - Sam Houston State 74	0.505	Houston Baptist 65 - Sam Houston State 71	5
Idaho 62 - Montana 77	0.848	Idaho 51 - Montana 69	3
Incarnate Word 66 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.621	Incarnate Word 71 - Stephen F Austin 74	-2
Indiana State 67 - Loyola Ill 68	0.504	Indiana State 67 - Loyola Ill 75	7
Iowa State 80 - Oklahoma State 69	0.788	Iowa State 72 - Oklahoma State 59	-2
Jacksonville State 78 - Tennessee Tech 57	0.912	Jacksonville State 65 - Tennessee Tech 48	4
Kansas State 70 - Texas Christian 72	0.571	Kansas State 65 - Texas Christian 55	-12
Kennesaw St 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.621	Kennesaw St 59 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	9
Kent State 74 - Northern Illinois 75	0.523	Kent State 78 - Northern Illinois 68	-11
La Salle 71 - Rhode Island 75	0.638	La Salle 67 - Rhode Island 78	7
Lehigh 77 - Bucknell 75	0.582	Lehigh 83 - Bucknell 85	4
Liberty 79 - North Florida 66	0.819	Liberty 70 - North Florida 64	7
LIU Brooklyn 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.657	LIU Brooklyn 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 77	3
Long Beach State 76 - Cal State Fullerton 71	0.738	Long Beach State 90 - Cal State Fullerton 92	7
Louisiana State 85 - South Carolina 72	0.841	Louisiana State 89 - South Carolina 67	-9
Loyola Marymount 73 - Pepperdine 66	0.684	Loyola Marymount 74 - Pepperdine 70	3
Maine 59 - Stony Brook 74	0.912	Maine 61 - Stony Brook 64	-12
Marshall 87 - Florida International 76	0.782	Marshall 105 - Florida International 97	3
Mcneese State 71 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.667	Mcneese State 71 - Southeast Louisiana 74	8
Memphis 79 - Southern Methodist 73	0.619	Memphis 83 - Southern Methodist 61	-16
Miami 72 - North Carolina 81	0.712	Miami 76 - North Carolina 85	0
Miami OH 68 - Akron 69	0.505	Miami OH 68 - Akron 61	-8
Middle Tennessee 66 - Texas El Paso 68	0.588	Middle Tennessee 75 - Texas El Paso 72	-5
Milwaukee 70 - IUPUI 72	0.559	Milwaukee 64 - IUPUI 57	-9
Minnesota 77 - Penn State 66	0.812	Minnesota 65 - Penn State 64	10
Mississippi 80 - Arkansas 71	0.81	Mississippi 84 - Arkansas 67	-8
Morehead State 77 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.795	Morehead State 85 - Tennessee Martin 77	1
Nevada 84 - Air Force 55	0.934	Nevada 67 - Air Force 52	14
Nevada Las Vegas 81 - San Jose State 62	0.916	Nevada Las Vegas 94 - San Jose State 56	-19
New Mexico 82 - Wyoming 66	0.802	New Mexico 83 - Wyoming 53	-14
NJ Tech 77 - Jacksonville 64	0.8	NJ Tech 77 - Jacksonville 74	10
North Alabama 74 - Stetson 65	0.754	North Alabama 63 - Stetson 62	8
North Carolina AT 78 - Morgan State 69	0.766	North Carolina AT 57 - Morgan State 53	5
North Carolina Central 73 - Coppin State 61	0.849	North Carolina Central 60 - Coppin State 64	16
North Dakota State 76 - North Dakota 66	0.796	North Dakota State 67 - North Dakota 65	8
North Texas 83 - Rice 65	0.91	North Texas 76 - Rice 75	17
Northeastern 82 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.828	Northeastern 88 - UNC Wilmington 71	-3
Northern Arizona 75 - Portland State 70	0.646	Northern Arizona 82 - Portland State 75	-2
Notre Dame 76 - NC State 79	0.618	Notre Dame 73 - NC State 77	1
Old Dominion 72 - Southern Miss 61	0.799	Old Dominion 78 - Southern Miss 60	-7
Pacific 72 - Santa Clara 68	0.62	Pacific 57 - Santa Clara 69	16
Portland 57 - Gonzaga 91	0.972	Portland 66 - Gonzaga 89	-11
Prairie View 73 - Jackson State 63	0.733	Prairie View 55 - Jackson State 51	6
Presbyterian 75 - Longwood 68	0.726	Presbyterian 71 - Longwood 64	0
Purdue 79 - Indiana 73	0.67	Purdue 70 - Indiana 55	-9
Quinnipiac 77 - Niagara 67	0.772	Quinnipiac 72 - Niagara 75	13
Rider 79 - Manhattan 58	0.932	Rider 60 - Manhattan 47	8
Saint Bonaventure 66 - Dayton 74	0.682	Saint Bonaventure 86 - Dayton 89	-5
Saint Francis Brooklyn 72 - Sacred Heart 70	0.555	Saint Francis Brooklyn 92 - Sacred Heart 85	-5
Saint Marys 77 - San Diego 66	0.804	Saint Marys 76 - San Diego 59	-6
Samford 75 - Mercer 67	0.733	Samford 87 - Mercer 93	14
San Francisco 82 - Brigham Young 70	0.822	San Francisco 82 - Brigham Young 63	-7
Savannah State 71 - Norfolk State 82	0.772	Savannah State 76 - Norfolk State 82	-5
Seattle 75 - Texas Pan American 67	0.737	Seattle 62 - Texas Pan American 67	13
Seton Hall 81 - DePaul 69	0.846	Seton Hall 93 - DePaul 97	16
SIU Edwardsville 62 - Murray State 84	0.942	SIU Edwardsville 72 - Murray State 82	-12
South Alabama 71 - Georgia Southern 78	0.683	South Alabama 86 - Georgia Southern 88	-5
South Carolina State 74 - Howard 71	0.603	South Carolina State 67 - Howard 71	7
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Winthrop 80	0.873	South Carolina Upstate 72 - Winthrop 82	-2
South Florida 65 - Houston 73	0.758	South Florida 60 - Houston 69	1
Southern 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 73	0.576	Southern 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	-4
Southern California 78 - UCLA 77	0.522	Southern California 80 - UCLA 67	-12
Southern Utah 73 - Sacramento State 66	0.641	Southern Utah 76 - Sacramento State 71	2
Syracuse 74 - Pittsburgh 66	0.681	Syracuse 74 - Pittsburgh 63	-3
Temple 80 - Pennsylvania 65	0.857	Temple 70 - Pennsylvania 77	22
Tennessee 86 - Alabama 67	0.923	Tennessee 71 - Alabama 68	16
Texas 72 - Oklahoma 74	0.561	Texas 75 - Oklahoma 72	-5
Texas AM 75 - Missouri 72	0.575	Texas AM 43 - Missouri 66	26
Texas AM CC 70 - New Orleans 66	0.622	Texas AM CC 76 - New Orleans 61	-11
Texas Arlington 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.606	Texas Arlington 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	-5
Texas Southern 79 - Grambling State 67	0.757	Texas Southern 87 - Grambling State 88	13
Texas State 78 - Arkansas State 63	0.892	Texas State 77 - Arkansas State 64	2
Troy 71 - Georgia State 77	0.683	Troy 77 - Georgia State 75	-8
UC Davis 73 - Cal Poly 63	0.808	UC Davis 75 - Cal Poly 63	-2
UC Riverside 63 - Hawaii 73	0.786	UC Riverside 75 - Hawaii 71	-14
UL Monroe 78 - UL Lafayette 72	0.681	UL Monroe 99 - UL Lafayette 95	2
UMBC 70 - Albany 64	0.706	UMBC 65 - Albany 64	5
UNC Asheville 57 - Radford 78	0.954	UNC Asheville 63 - Radford 71	-13
Utah State 82 - Colorado State 64	0.889	Utah State 87 - Colorado State 72	3
Utah Valley 70 - New Mexico State 71	0.521	Utah Valley 78 - New Mexico State 83	4
Valparaiso 71 - Northern Iowa 62	0.789	Valparaiso 75 - Northern Iowa 66	0
Vanderbilt 72 - Mississippi State 78	0.673	Vanderbilt 55 - Mississippi State 71	10
Vermont 81 - Binghamton 54	0.988	Vermont 78 - Binghamton 50	-1
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Massachusetts 62	0.894	Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Massachusetts 50	-1
Virginia Military Institute 72 - Western Carolina 73	0.506	Virginia Military Institute 91 - Western Carolina 83	-9
Virginia Tech 84 - Wake Forest 61	0.951	Virginia Tech 87 - Wake Forest 71	7
Wagner 74 - Mt St Marys 57	0.883	Wagner 56 - Mt St Marys 70	31
Washington 84 - California 62	0.988	Washington 71 - California 52	3
Washington State 73 - Stanford 77	0.618	Washington State 66 - Stanford 78	8
Weber State 77 - Northern Colorado 70	0.698	Weber State 78 - Northern Colorado 64	-7
West Virginia 70 - Kansas 82	0.821	West Virginia 65 - Kansas 64	-13
Western Illinois 69 - IPFW 77	0.665	Western Illinois 87 - IPFW 58	-37
Western Kentucky 78 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.787	Western Kentucky 72 - Florida Atlantic 66	6
Wichita State 68 - Cincinnati 75	0.686	Wichita State 55 - Cincinnati 66	4
William and Mary 80 - Elon 64	0.869	William and Mary 71 - Elon 76	21
Wisconsin 70 - Michigan 74	0.612	Wisconsin 64 - Michigan 54	-14
Wofford 78 - Furman 68	0.735	Wofford 59 - Furman 54	5
Youngstown State 66 - Northern Kentucky 78	0.819	Youngstown State 74 - Northern Kentucky 82	-4

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 70 - Florida State 79	0.79	Boston College 87 - Florida State 82	-14
Denver 70 - Oral Roberts 72	0.549	Denver 74 - Oral Roberts 58	-18
Drake 81 - Missouri State 69	0.782	Drake 74 - Missouri State 63	1
George Washington 70 - Duquesne 73	0.614	George Washington 85 - Duquesne 91	3
Iowa 86 - Illinois 69	0.853	Iowa 95 - Illinois 71	-7
Marquette 82 - Providence 68	0.852	Marquette 79 - Providence 68	3
Monmouth 73 - Iona 75	0.536	Monmouth 83 - Iona 81	-4
Omaha 75 - South Dakota 68	0.691	Omaha 75 - South Dakota 68	0
Southern Illinois 73 - Bradley 61	0.806	Southern Illinois 54 - Bradley 57	15
Utah 75 - Colorado 74	0.535	Utah 78 - Colorado 69	-8

Number of DI Games: 314
Number Correct: 221 = 70.3%
Expected Number Correct: 225.754 = 71.8%
Average Error: 8.67
Average Signed Error: 0.92

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 62 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.659	Alcorn State 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	-12
Bethune Cookman 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.844	Bethune Cookman 89 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	-7
Bryant 70 - Saint Francis Penn 72	0.546	Bryant 76 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-11
Central Connecticut State 70 - Robert Morris 68	0.535	Central Connecticut State 59 - Robert Morris 70	13
Charlotte 60 - Old Dominion 69	0.759	Charlotte 70 - Old Dominion 76	-3
Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Mt St Marys 65	0.713	Fairleigh Dickinson 87 - Mt St Marys 69	-10
Florida AM 73 - Delaware State 60	0.82	Florida AM 60 - Delaware State 47	0
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Stetson 66	0.819	Florida Gulf Coast 87 - Stetson 65	-10
Georgetown 82 - Creighton 81	0.552	Georgetown 87 - Creighton 91	5
Howard 67 - Harvard 78	0.768	Howard 71 - Harvard 84	2
Idaho State 71 - Northern Colorado 70	0.539	Idaho State 53 - Northern Colorado 77	25
Kansas 79 - Iowa State 73	0.67	Kansas 80 - Iowa State 76	2
Liberty 77 - North Alabama 55	0.938	Liberty 72 - North Alabama 47	-3
Lipscomb 88 - Kennesaw St 54	0.98	Lipscomb 86 - Kennesaw St 57	5
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.591	LIU Brooklyn 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 79	12
Longwood 66 - Radford 72	0.67	Longwood 59 - Radford 72	7
Manhattan 63 - Marist 64	0.54	Manhattan 46 - Marist 62	15
Michigan State 82 - Maryland 71	0.817	Michigan State 69 - Maryland 55	-3
North Carolina 78 - Virginia Tech 74	0.64	North Carolina 103 - Virginia Tech 82	-17
North Carolina AT 76 - Coppin State 61	0.915	North Carolina AT 80 - Coppin State 71	6
North Carolina Central 70 - Morgan State 68	0.562	North Carolina Central 92 - Morgan State 64	-26
North Florida 73 - NJ Tech 71	0.564	North Florida 72 - NJ Tech 76	6
Prairie View 71 - Grambling State 68	0.573	Prairie View 83 - Grambling State 66	-14
Rutgers 67 - Nebraska 79	0.763	Rutgers 76 - Nebraska 69	-19
Sacred Heart 73 - Wagner 69	0.625	Sacred Heart 62 - Wagner 38	-20
South Carolina State 68 - Norfolk State 71	0.641	South Carolina State 69 - Norfolk State 74	2
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Presbyterian 74	0.72	South Carolina Upstate 59 - Presbyterian 68	2
Southern 76 - Mississippi Valley State 67	0.745	Southern 80 - Mississippi Valley State 56	-15
Texas Southern 77 - Jackson State 65	0.777	Texas Southern 75 - Jackson State 65	2
West Virginia 74 - Baylor 75	0.544	West Virginia 73 - Baylor 85	11
Western Kentucky 78 - Marshall 76	0.577	Western Kentucky 68 - Marshall 59	-7
Winthrop 84 - UNC Asheville 57	0.997	Winthrop 66 - UNC Asheville 45	6

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Boise State 71	0.57	Air Force 74 - Boise State 60	-16
Akron 73 - Central Michigan 71	0.588	Akron 70 - Central Michigan 67	-1
Alabama 75 - Mississippi 76	0.518	Alabama 74 - Mississippi 53	-22
Ball State 79 - Miami OH 67	0.777	Ball State 65 - Miami OH 71	18
Butler 74 - Villanova 73	0.501	Butler 72 - Villanova 80	9
Eastern Michigan 69 - Bowling Green 71	0.549	Eastern Michigan 67 - Bowling Green 80	11
Florida 78 - Texas AM 63	0.825	Florida 81 - Texas AM 72	6
Florida State 76 - Clemson 71	0.682	Florida State 77 - Clemson 68	-4
Fresno State 79 - San Diego State 65	0.786	Fresno State 66 - San Diego State 62	10
Georgia Tech 73 - Notre Dame 70	0.585	Georgia Tech 63 - Notre Dame 61	1
Kansas State 68 - Texas Tech 67	0.512	Kansas State 58 - Texas Tech 45	-12
Kent State 71 - Toledo 75	0.576	Kent State 87 - Toledo 85	-6
Kentucky 79 - Mississippi State 71	0.71	Kentucky 76 - Mississippi State 55	-13
Michigan 81 - Minnesota 66	0.823	Michigan 59 - Minnesota 57	13
Nevada Las Vegas 79 - New Mexico 72	0.633	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - New Mexico 58	-9
Niagara 72 - Saint Peters 66	0.665	Niagara 72 - Saint Peters 74	8
Northern Illinois 71 - Buffalo 82	0.78	Northern Illinois 77 - Buffalo 75	-13
Northwestern 72 - Indiana 73	0.502	Northwestern 73 - Indiana 66	-8
Ohio 74 - Western Michigan 64	0.735	Ohio 81 - Western Michigan 76	5
Pittsburgh 70 - Duke 84	0.799	Pittsburgh 64 - Duke 79	1
South Carolina 74 - Auburn 82	0.682	South Carolina 80 - Auburn 77	-11
South Florida 73 - Wichita State 70	0.612	South Florida 54 - Wichita State 41	-10
Virginia 86 - Wake Forest 57	0.991	Virginia 68 - Wake Forest 45	6

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 61 - Stony Brook 73	0.87	Albany 66 - Stony Brook 67	-11
Arkansas 76 - Missouri 72	0.625	Arkansas 72 - Missouri 60	-8
Army 69 - Holy Cross 68	0.526	Army 76 - Holy Cross 57	-18
Binghamton 67 - UMass Lowell 73	0.684	Binghamton 79 - UMass Lowell 85	0
Boston 70 - American 68	0.561	Boston 66 - American 70	6
Bradley 67 - Illinois State 70	0.589	Bradley 85 - Illinois State 68	-20
Bucknell 81 - Loyola MD 65	0.861	Bucknell 71 - Loyola MD 68	13
Cal Poly 67 - UC Riverside 68	0.523	Cal Poly 51 - UC Riverside 74	22
Cal State Northridge 77 - Long Beach State 78	0.54	Cal State Northridge 86 - Long Beach State 71	-16
Central Arkansas 74 - New Orleans 69	0.661	Central Arkansas 76 - New Orleans 71	0
Colgate 81 - Lafayette 66	0.889	Colgate 57 - Lafayette 47	5
Davidson 80 - George Washington 61	0.925	Davidson 73 - George Washington 62	8
Dayton 78 - George Mason 70	0.742	Dayton 63 - George Mason 67	12
Drake 78 - Evansville 67	0.761	Drake 78 - Evansville 66	-1
Duquesne 70 - Saint Louis 71	0.561	Duquesne 77 - Saint Louis 73	-5
Florida Atlantic 79 - Florida International 76	0.59	Florida Atlantic 74 - Florida International 78	7
Fordham 73 - La Salle 67	0.683	Fordham 71 - La Salle 73	8
Hartford 77 - New Hampshire 57	0.933	Hartford 74 - New Hampshire 39	-15
Hawaii 68 - UC Irvine 69	0.531	Hawaii 74 - UC Irvine 75	0
Houston 83 - East Carolina 57	0.966	Houston 94 - East Carolina 50	-18
Houston Baptist 74 - Southeast Louisiana 68	0.687	Houston Baptist 67 - Southeast Louisiana 70	9
Illinois 71 - Wisconsin 79	0.692	Illinois 60 - Wisconsin 72	4
Indiana State 72 - Valparaiso 69	0.587	Indiana State 70 - Valparaiso 53	-14
Lamar 76 - Incarnate Word 65	0.823	Lamar 87 - Incarnate Word 81	5
Louisiana State 85 - Georgia 68	0.878	Louisiana State 92 - Georgia 82	7
Marquette 84 - DePaul 69	0.868	Marquette 79 - DePaul 69	5
Massachusetts 73 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.563	Massachusetts 51 - Saint Bonaventure 65	16
Missouri State 66 - Loyola Ill 74	0.699	Missouri State 70 - Loyola Ill 35	-43
Navy 69 - Lehigh 75	0.718	Navy 74 - Lehigh 85	5
Nevada 86 - Colorado State 61	0.927	Nevada 100 - Colorado State 60	-15
North Dakota 68 - South Dakota 67	0.541	North Dakota 56 - South Dakota 70	15
Northwestern State 63 - Sam Houston State 72	0.763	Northwestern State 64 - Sam Houston State 78	5
Ohio State 73 - Purdue 75	0.575	Ohio State 67 - Purdue 79	10
Oklahoma State 74 - Oklahoma 78	0.651	Oklahoma State 61 - Oklahoma 70	5
Rhode Island 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.618	Rhode Island 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 65	-10
Saint Josephs 75 - Richmond 68	0.657	Saint Josephs 74 - Richmond 70	3
Southern Illinois 70 - Northern Iowa 63	0.711	Southern Illinois 70 - Northern Iowa 62	-1
Stephen F Austin 66 - Abilene Christian 70	0.623	Stephen F Austin 61 - Abilene Christian 60	-5
Texas AM CC 72 - Nicholls State 65	0.72	Texas AM CC 75 - Nicholls State 73	5
Texas Christian 78 - Texas 73	0.645	Texas Christian 65 - Texas 61	1
Tulane 60 - Central Florida 80	0.929	Tulane 50 - Central Florida 75	5
Vanderbilt 68 - Tennessee 85	0.904	Vanderbilt 83 - Tennessee 88	-12
Vermont 79 - UMBC 58	0.937	Vermont 61 - UMBC 74	34
Wyoming 73 - San Jose State 68	0.622	Wyoming 59 - San Jose State 46	-8
Xavier 75 - Providence 71	0.662	Xavier 62 - Providence 64	6

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Coastal Carolina 72	0.544	Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Coastal Carolina 72	3
Arkansas State 79 - Appalachian State 71	0.734	Arkansas State 82 - Appalachian State 81	7
Austin Peay 80 - Tennessee State 61	0.89	Austin Peay 89 - Tennessee State 74	4
Brigham Young 73 - Saint Marys 78	0.633	Brigham Young 71 - Saint Marys 66	-10
Bryant 73 - Central Connecticut State 72	0.507	Bryant 63 - Central Connecticut State 60	-2
Cal Baptist 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 74	0.542	Cal Baptist 84 - Cal State Bakersfield 88	2
Cal State Fullerton 69 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.617	Cal State Fullerton 81 - UC Santa Barbara 60	-24
California 70 - Colorado 78	0.699	California 59 - Colorado 68	1
Campbell 72 - Presbyterian 71	0.559	Campbell 77 - Presbyterian 73	-3
Canisius 72 - Monmouth 66	0.652	Canisius 80 - Monmouth 66	-8
Chicago State 64 - Seattle 80	0.838	Chicago State 47 - Seattle 75	12
Cincinnati 78 - Tulsa 64	0.845	Cincinnati 88 - Tulsa 64	-10
College of Charleston 81 - Elon 59	0.913	College of Charleston 72 - Elon 53	3
Eastern Kentucky 70 - Jacksonville State 78	0.716	Eastern Kentucky 88 - Jacksonville State 70	-26
Fairfield 69 - Siena 67	0.589	Fairfield 48 - Siena 57	11
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	0.522	Fairleigh Dickinson 60 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	-1
Furman 79 - Chattanooga 62	0.847	Furman 73 - Chattanooga 58	2
Georgia Southern 79 - Texas Arlington 68	0.872	Georgia Southern 67 - Texas Arlington 72	16
Georgia State 71 - Texas State 68	0.619	Georgia State 68 - Texas State 81	16
Hampton 76 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.748	Hampton 88 - South Carolina Upstate 70	-10
Illinois Chicago 74 - Detroit 73	0.513	Illinois Chicago 79 - Detroit 67	-11
Iowa 77 - Michigan State 82	0.663	Iowa 67 - Michigan State 82	10
IPFW 78 - Omaha 77	0.512	IPFW 79 - Omaha 85	7
IUPUI 74 - Oakland 71	0.616	IUPUI 73 - Oakland 71	1
James Madison 64 - Hofstra 79	0.848	James Madison 68 - Hofstra 85	2
Lipscomb 86 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.929	Lipscomb 89 - Florida Gulf Coast 81	16
Longwood 67 - High Point 66	0.528	Longwood 55 - High Point 51	-3
Louisiana Tech 77 - Marshall 76	0.517	Louisiana Tech 89 - Marshall 80	-8
Louisville 82 - NC State 73	0.735	Louisville 84 - NC State 77	2
Mercer 79 - Virginia Military Institute 68	0.751	Mercer 88 - Virginia Military Institute 68	-9
Montana 77 - Idaho State 62	0.838	Montana 80 - Idaho State 69	4
Montana State 71 - Weber State 76	0.619	Montana State 84 - Weber State 93	4
Morehead State 73 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.812	Morehead State 67 - Tennessee Tech 61	5
Mt St Marys 68 - LIU Brooklyn 70	0.565	Mt St Marys 74 - LIU Brooklyn 72	-4
Murray State 79 - Belmont 71	0.773	Murray State 66 - Belmont 79	21
North Alabama 73 - Kennesaw St 60	0.829	North Alabama 76 - Kennesaw St 71	8
North Florida 81 - Jacksonville 70	0.778	North Florida 81 - Jacksonville 86	16
North Texas 74 - Alabama Birmingham 65	0.77	North Texas 49 - Alabama Birmingham 52	12
Northern Colorado 75 - Southern Utah 68	0.658	Northern Colorado 79 - Southern Utah 68	-4
Northern Kentucky 83 - Green Bay 69	0.888	Northern Kentucky 87 - Green Bay 65	-8
Oregon 70 - Washington 69	0.514	Oregon 56 - Washington 61	6
Oregon State 83 - Washington State 65	0.907	Oregon State 90 - Washington State 77	5
Portland State 72 - Eastern Washington 71	0.505	Portland State 78 - Eastern Washington 65	-12
Radford 79 - Charleston Southern 63	0.909	Radford 86 - Charleston Southern 78	8
Rice 77 - Middle Tennessee 70	0.712	Rice 79 - Middle Tennessee 68	-4
Robert Morris 73 - Sacred Heart 70	0.611	Robert Morris 72 - Sacred Heart 64	-5
Sacramento State 71 - Idaho 63	0.734	Sacramento State 69 - Idaho 48	-13
Saint Francis Penn 69 - Wagner 66	0.58	Saint Francis Penn 79 - Wagner 83	7
San Diego 72 - Loyola Marymount 65	0.697	San Diego 71 - Loyola Marymount 58	-6
San Francisco 84 - Portland 54	0.981	San Francisco 83 - Portland 61	8
Santa Clara 64 - Gonzaga 85	0.914	Santa Clara 39 - Gonzaga 98	38
SE Missouri State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.672	SE Missouri State 86 - SIU Edwardsville 87	6
South Dakota State 81 - North Dakota State 66	0.794	South Dakota State 87 - North Dakota State 69	-3
Southern California 73 - Arizona 76	0.588	Southern California 80 - Arizona 57	-26
Southern Miss 69 - Western Kentucky 70	0.525	Southern Miss 63 - Western Kentucky 66	2
Stanford 77 - Utah 74	0.579	Stanford 66 - Utah 70	7
Stetson 64 - NJ Tech 77	0.848	Stetson 59 - NJ Tech 82	10
Syracuse 78 - Miami 65	0.788	Syracuse 73 - Miami 53	-7
Temple 81 - Memphis 76	0.627	Temple 85 - Memphis 76	-4
Tennessee Martin 71 - Eastern Illinois 75	0.603	Tennessee Martin 64 - Eastern Illinois 66	-2
Texas El Paso 60 - Old Dominion 72	0.809	Texas El Paso 48 - Old Dominion 50	-10
Texas San Antonio 74 - Charlotte 65	0.772	Texas San Antonio 88 - Charlotte 43	-36
Towson 63 - Northeastern 77	0.858	Towson 75 - Northeastern 72	-17
UCLA 76 - Arizona State 77	0.513	UCLA 73 - Arizona State 84	10
UL Lafayette 80 - South Alabama 69	0.757	UL Lafayette 88 - South Alabama 84	7
UL Monroe 79 - Troy 70	0.81	UL Monroe 75 - Troy 69	3
UMKC 67 - Utah Valley 75	0.709	UMKC 67 - Utah Valley 75	0
UNC Greensboro 85 - The Citadel 67	0.888	UNC Greensboro 83 - The Citadel 60	-5
UNC Wilmington 76 - William and Mary 73	0.597	UNC Wilmington 93 - William and Mary 88	-2
Winthrop 77 - Gardner Webb 71	0.661	Winthrop 97 - Gardner Webb 88	-3
Wofford 82 - Samford 63	0.899	Wofford 107 - Samford 106	18
Wright State 75 - Milwaukee 64	0.791	Wright State 56 - Milwaukee 54	9

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Creighton 78 - Butler 77	0.523	Creighton 75 - Butler 61	-13
Indiana 71 - Michigan 74	0.609	Indiana 46 - Michigan 69	20
Iona 76 - Rider 79	0.573	Iona 77 - Rider 71	-9
Kent State 71 - Buffalo 82	0.74	Kent State 79 - Buffalo 88	-2
Marist 69 - Quinnipiac 68	0.513	Marist 78 - Quinnipiac 92	15
Yale 76 - Brown 69	0.731	Yale 79 - Brown 71	-1

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 76 - Central Arkansas 66	0.83	Abilene Christian 79 - Central Arkansas 56	-13
Akron 71 - Northern Illinois 68	0.594	Akron 67 - Northern Illinois 65	1
Alabama AM 69 - Southern 68	0.512	Alabama AM 68 - Southern 62	-5
Alabama State 73 - Alcorn State 58	0.855	Alabama State 74 - Alcorn State 59	0
Albany 67 - Hartford 72	0.655	Albany 84 - Hartford 77	-12
American 69 - Bucknell 74	0.651	American 76 - Bucknell 68	-13
Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Appalachian State 72	0.697	Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Appalachian State 77	12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 - Texas Southern 75	0.554	Arkansas Pine Bluff 90 - Texas Southern 86	-6
Arkansas State 72 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.541	Arkansas State 64 - Coastal Carolina 77	14
Austin Peay 74 - Belmont 75	0.506	Austin Peay 92 - Belmont 96	3
Baylor 76 - Alabama 71	0.629	Baylor 73 - Alabama 68	0
Binghamton 67 - Maine 64	0.607	Binghamton 78 - Maine 66	-9
Boise State 81 - Wyoming 60	0.925	Boise State 77 - Wyoming 52	-4
Bryant 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.512	Bryant 63 - Fairleigh Dickinson 78	14
Cal Baptist 70 - Grand Canyon 78	0.703	Cal Baptist 73 - Grand Canyon 90	9
Cal Poly 67 - Cal State Fullerton 75	0.765	Cal Poly 63 - Cal State Fullerton 80	9
California 72 - Utah 79	0.72	California 64 - Utah 82	11
Central Connecticut State 73 - LIU Brooklyn 72	0.533	Central Connecticut State 71 - LIU Brooklyn 84	14
Charleston Southern 70 - Gardner Webb 73	0.61	Charleston Southern 74 - Gardner Webb 60	-17
Chicago State 62 - Utah Valley 84	0.938	Chicago State 60 - Utah Valley 74	-8
Cleveland State 74 - Youngstown State 72	0.557	Cleveland State 72 - Youngstown State 62	-8
College of Charleston 78 - William and Mary 64	0.846	College of Charleston 74 - William and Mary 59	-1
Colorado State 67 - Fresno State 78	0.801	Colorado State 74 - Fresno State 65	-20
Columbia 71 - Cornell 70	0.53	Columbia 73 - Cornell 70	-2
Connecticut 77 - Wichita State 72	0.65	Connecticut 80 - Wichita State 60	-15
Coppin State 66 - Florida AM 64	0.575	Coppin State 70 - Florida AM 72	4
Delaware 76 - Drexel 71	0.623	Delaware 76 - Drexel 75	4
Duke 88 - Georgia Tech 63	0.934	Duke 66 - Georgia Tech 53	12
Duquesne 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.717	Duquesne 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 80	0
East Carolina 68 - South Florida 72	0.629	East Carolina 57 - South Florida 77	16
Eastern Kentucky 81 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.834	Eastern Kentucky 85 - Tennessee Tech 91	20
Florida International 80 - Florida Atlantic 75	0.667	Florida International 72 - Florida Atlantic 89	22
Fordham 65 - Dayton 76	0.795	Fordham 52 - Dayton 75	12
Furman 77 - Samford 66	0.768	Furman 73 - Samford 75	13
George Mason 79 - George Washington 63	0.868	George Mason 62 - George Washington 55	9
Georgia 71 - Texas 77	0.645	Georgia 98 - Texas 88	-16
Georgia Southern 74 - Texas State 73	0.557	Georgia Southern 74 - Texas State 58	-15
Georgia State 77 - Texas Arlington 64	0.867	Georgia State 77 - Texas Arlington 71	7
Grambling State 70 - Jackson State 61	0.754	Grambling State 63 - Jackson State 65	11
Hampton 72 - Campbell 73	0.506	Hampton 64 - Campbell 58	-7
Harvard 74 - Dartmouth 67	0.684	Harvard 64 - Dartmouth 59	2
Hawaii 75 - UC Davis 63	0.827	Hawaii 80 - UC Davis 60	-8
High Point 76 - UNC Asheville 53	0.928	High Point 65 - UNC Asheville 61	19
Holy Cross 72 - Navy 61	0.821	Holy Cross 69 - Navy 64	6
Howard 79 - Delaware State 64	0.832	Howard 80 - Delaware State 74	9
Illinois Chicago 75 - Oakland 73	0.568	Illinois Chicago 67 - Oakland 80	15
Incarnate Word 66 - New Orleans 72	0.65	Incarnate Word 52 - New Orleans 61	3
IPFW 79 - Denver 68	0.686	IPFW 91 - Denver 81	1
IUPUI 72 - Detroit 70	0.543	IUPUI 80 - Detroit 65	-13
James Madison 66 - Northeastern 77	0.789	James Madison 68 - Northeastern 78	-1
Kentucky 77 - Kansas 74	0.593	Kentucky 71 - Kansas 63	-5
Lafayette 71 - Army 73	0.546	Lafayette 63 - Army 69	4
Lehigh 80 - Boston 67	0.833	Lehigh 94 - Boston 78	-3
Long Beach State 72 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.571	Long Beach State 71 - UC Santa Barbara 82	9
Louisiana Tech 72 - Western Kentucky 70	0.552	Louisiana Tech 62 - Western Kentucky 50	-10
Louisville 80 - Pittsburgh 67	0.783	Louisville 66 - Pittsburgh 51	-2
Loyola MD 70 - Colgate 75	0.645	Loyola MD 79 - Colgate 72	-12
Maryland 84 - Illinois 69	0.848	Maryland 67 - Illinois 78	26
Mcneese State 75 - Houston Baptist 74	0.552	Mcneese State 79 - Houston Baptist 73	-5
Miami OH 69 - Bowling Green 73	0.591	Miami OH 67 - Bowling Green 53	-18
Mississippi 76 - Iowa State 74	0.556	Mississippi 73 - Iowa State 87	16
Mississippi State 77 - Auburn 75	0.547	Mississippi State 92 - Auburn 84	-6
Mississippi Valley State 67 - Prairie View 74	0.67	Mississippi Valley State 78 - Prairie View 89	4
Missouri 72 - Louisiana State 77	0.662	Missouri 80 - Louisiana State 86	1
Missouri State 73 - Bradley 67	0.659	Missouri State 55 - Bradley 37	-12
Montana 74 - Weber State 67	0.679	Montana 75 - Weber State 68	0
Montana State 74 - Idaho State 70	0.6	Montana State 104 - Idaho State 84	-16
Morehead State 63 - Jacksonville State 73	0.783	Morehead State 71 - Jacksonville State 77	-4
Morgan State 72 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.676	Morgan State 77 - Bethune Cookman 71	-1
Mt St Marys 64 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 68	0.587	Mt St Marys 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 74	3
Murray State 84 - Tennessee State 57	0.96	Murray State 100 - Tennessee State 62	-11
NC State 79 - Clemson 73	0.711	NC State 69 - Clemson 67	4
Nebraska 78 - Ohio State 68	0.756	Nebraska 60 - Ohio State 70	20
New Hampshire 61 - UMBC 69	0.723	New Hampshire 51 - UMBC 59	0
New Mexico 70 - Utah State 78	0.677	New Mexico 66 - Utah State 68	-6
Niagara 71 - Monmouth 70	0.536	Niagara 75 - Monmouth 48	-26
Norfolk State 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.916	Norfolk State 88 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	-9
North Carolina Central 67 - North Carolina AT 70	0.611	North Carolina Central 48 - North Carolina AT 51	0
North Texas 80 - Middle Tennessee 60	0.965	North Texas 70 - Middle Tennessee 53	3
Northern Arizona 70 - Northern Colorado 71	0.538	Northern Arizona 48 - Northern Colorado 63	14
Northern Iowa 69 - Evansville 68	0.526	Northern Iowa 81 - Evansville 74	-6
Northern Kentucky 79 - Milwaukee 61	0.915	Northern Kentucky 73 - Milwaukee 60	5
Northwestern State 67 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.527	Northwestern State 53 - Southeast Louisiana 69	17
Notre Dame 63 - Virginia 78	0.898	Notre Dame 55 - Virginia 82	12
Ohio 70 - Ball State 73	0.568	Ohio 78 - Ball State 74	-7
Oklahoma 84 - Vanderbilt 67	0.914	Oklahoma 86 - Vanderbilt 55	-14
Oklahoma State 79 - South Carolina 74	0.642	Oklahoma State 74 - South Carolina 70	1
Oral Roberts 72 - North Dakota State 71	0.503	Oral Roberts 57 - North Dakota State 67	11
Oregon State 70 - Washington 71	0.518	Oregon State 69 - Washington 79	9
Pacific 76 - Portland 61	0.893	Pacific 74 - Portland 70	11
Penn State 75 - Rutgers 67	0.712	Penn State 60 - Rutgers 64	12
Pennsylvania 74 - Saint Josephs 69	0.623	Pennsylvania 78 - Saint Josephs 70	-3
Pepperdine 67 - Saint Marys 78	0.794	Pepperdine 84 - Saint Marys 77	-18
Portland State 74 - Idaho 67	0.713	Portland State 69 - Idaho 53	-9
Presbyterian 75 - Winthrop 74	0.523	Presbyterian 99 - Winthrop 91	-7
Rice 71 - Alabama Birmingham 75	0.603	Rice 86 - Alabama Birmingham 89	-1
Richmond 71 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.535	Richmond 57 - Saint Bonaventure 66	11
Robert Morris 66 - Wagner 62	0.601	Robert Morris 57 - Wagner 51	-2
Sacramento State 68 - Eastern Washington 66	0.549	Sacramento State 92 - Eastern Washington 94	4
Saint Francis Penn 76 - Sacred Heart 73	0.584	Saint Francis Penn 79 - Sacred Heart 78	2
Saint Louis 70 - Davidson 67	0.61	Saint Louis 53 - Davidson 54	4
Sam Houston State 77 - Lamar 64	0.863	Sam Houston State 69 - Lamar 59	3
San Diego 68 - San Francisco 72	0.643	San Diego 67 - San Francisco 63	-8
San Diego State 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.571	San Diego State 94 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	-13
San Jose State 67 - Air Force 73	0.655	San Jose State 71 - Air Force 73	-4
Santa Clara 68 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.543	Santa Clara 61 - Loyola Marymount 69	9
Savannah State 75 - South Carolina State 76	0.517	Savannah State 92 - South Carolina State 88	-5
SE Missouri State 69 - Eastern Illinois 71	0.546	SE Missouri State 64 - Eastern Illinois 59	-7
Siena 68 - Manhattan 57	0.785	Siena 53 - Manhattan 40	-2
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Longwood 70	0.619	South Carolina Upstate 80 - Longwood 63	-20
South Dakota 71 - Western Illinois 63	0.69	South Dakota 59 - Western Illinois 65	14
South Dakota State 82 - Omaha 71	0.722	South Dakota State 83 - Omaha 73	1
Southern California 76 - Arizona State 77	0.524	Southern California 69 - Arizona State 67	-3
Southern Methodist 80 - Tulane 60	0.882	Southern Methodist 85 - Tulane 75	10
Southern Miss 74 - Marshall 76	0.558	Southern Miss 101 - Marshall 51	-52
Stanford 75 - Colorado 73	0.559	Stanford 75 - Colorado 62	-11
Stony Brook 68 - Vermont 70	0.555	Stony Brook 52 - Vermont 73	19
Tennessee 89 - West Virginia 67	0.934	Tennessee 83 - West Virginia 66	5
Tennessee Martin 75 - SIU Edwardsville 72	0.607	Tennessee Martin 85 - SIU Edwardsville 69	-13
Texas AM 66 - Kansas State 74	0.685	Texas AM 65 - Kansas State 53	-20
Texas Christian 76 - Florida 70	0.658	Texas Christian 55 - Florida 50	1
Texas El Paso 66 - Charlotte 64	0.542	Texas El Paso 57 - Charlotte 53	-2
Texas Pan American 64 - New Mexico State 75	0.775	Texas Pan American 61 - New Mexico State 63	-9
Texas San Antonio 68 - Old Dominion 73	0.65	Texas San Antonio 74 - Old Dominion 73	-6
Texas Tech 80 - Arkansas 66	0.883	Texas Tech 67 - Arkansas 64	11
The Citadel 83 - Virginia Military Institute 76	0.665	The Citadel 84 - Virginia Military Institute 82	5
Toledo 81 - Central Michigan 69	0.772	Toledo 76 - Central Michigan 72	8
Towson 62 - Hofstra 79	0.9	Towson 61 - Hofstra 84	6
UC Irvine 77 - UC Riverside 58	0.926	UC Irvine 82 - UC Riverside 64	1
UCLA 73 - Arizona 75	0.574	UCLA 90 - Arizona 69	-23
UL Lafayette 79 - Troy 74	0.676	UL Lafayette 86 - Troy 81	0
UL Monroe 80 - South Alabama 65	0.844	UL Monroe 72 - South Alabama 78	21
UMKC 69 - Seattle 71	0.543	UMKC 63 - Seattle 54	-11
UNC Greensboro 77 - Mercer 62	0.879	UNC Greensboro 88 - Mercer 81	8
UNC Wilmington 79 - Elon 67	0.769	UNC Wilmington 82 - Elon 89	19
Valparaiso 71 - Drake 73	0.568	Valparaiso 59 - Drake 70	9
Virginia Tech 75 - Syracuse 67	0.7	Virginia Tech 78 - Syracuse 56	-14
Wake Forest 76 - Boston College 75	0.513	Wake Forest 61 - Boston College 65	5
Western Carolina 64 - East Tennessee State 77	0.821	Western Carolina 69 - East Tennessee State 91	9
Western Michigan 68 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.573	Western Michigan 67 - Eastern Michigan 93	23
Wisconsin 77 - Northwestern 67	0.804	Wisconsin 62 - Northwestern 46	-6
Wofford 83 - Chattanooga 60	0.938	Wofford 80 - Chattanooga 69	12
Wright State 80 - Green Bay 71	0.733	Wright State 87 - Green Bay 75	-3
Xavier 72 - Marquette 77	0.641	Xavier 82 - Marquette 87	0

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Fairfield 75 - Iona 76	0.501	Fairfield 80 - Iona 68	-13
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - North Florida 76	0.579	Florida Gulf Coast 88 - North Florida 80	-11
Illinois State 75 - Indiana State 69	0.646	Illinois State 76 - Indiana State 62	-8
Jacksonville 63 - Liberty 76	0.835	Jacksonville 59 - Liberty 69	-3
Loyola Ill 73 - Southern Illinois 60	0.784	Loyola Ill 75 - Southern Illinois 50	-12
Massachusetts 71 - Rhode Island 75	0.609	Massachusetts 77 - Rhode Island 70	-11
Memphis 76 - Central Florida 75	0.519	Memphis 77 - Central Florida 57	-19
Miami 73 - Florida State 76	0.593	Miami 66 - Florida State 78	9
Minnesota 77 - Iowa 79	0.549	Minnesota 92 - Iowa 87	-7
NJ Tech 74 - North Alabama 60	0.835	NJ Tech 76 - North Alabama 70	8
Oregon 81 - Washington State 63	0.877	Oregon 78 - Washington State 58	-2
Princeton 91 - Unranked 52		Princeton 91 - Unranked 62
Providence 78 - DePaul 72	0.714	Providence 70 - DePaul 67	3
Purdue 76 - Michigan State 79	0.593	Purdue 73 - Michigan State 63	-13
Quinnipiac 72 - Saint Peters 62	0.798	Quinnipiac 77 - Saint Peters 58	-9
Rider 78 - Marist 63	0.889	Rider 86 - Marist 85	14
Saint Johns 84 - Georgetown 75	0.747	Saint Johns 78 - Georgetown 89	20
Stetson 62 - Lipscomb 86	0.952	Stetson 65 - Lipscomb 88	-1
Temple 72 - Cincinnati 73	0.537	Temple 68 - Cincinnati 72	3
Tulsa 66 - Houston 75	0.796	Tulsa 65 - Houston 77	3
Villanova 80 - Seton Hall 70	0.796	Villanova 80 - Seton Hall 52	-18

Number of DI Games: 342
Number Correct: 240 = 70.1%
Expected Number Correct: 237.513 = 69.4%
Average Error: 9.16
Average Signed Error: -0.24

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 67 - Alcorn State 61	0.672	Alabama AM 71 - Alcorn State 62	-3
Alabama State 74 - Southern 64	0.772	Alabama State 69 - Southern 65	6
Arkansas Pine Bluff 69 - Prairie View 70	0.51	Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Prairie View 79	15
Coppin State 67 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.531	Coppin State 95 - Bethune Cookman 91	-5
Howard 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.823	Howard 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	-1
Mississippi Valley State 69 - Texas Southern 81	0.755	Mississippi Valley State 62 - Texas Southern 65	-9
Morgan State 70 - Florida AM 64	0.672	Morgan State 66 - Florida AM 72	12
Northern Arizona 71 - Southern Utah 70	0.527	Northern Arizona 80 - Southern Utah 77	-2
Notre Dame 69 - Duke 86	0.879	Notre Dame 61 - Duke 83	5
Oklahoma 79 - Baylor 71	0.727	Oklahoma 47 - Baylor 77	38
Savannah State 71 - North Carolina Central 74	0.573	Savannah State 78 - North Carolina Central 82	1
Texas Tech 74 - Texas Christian 71	0.601	Texas Tech 84 - Texas Christian 65	-16

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 76 - Mississippi State 75	0.534	Alabama 83 - Mississippi State 79	-3
Arkansas 81 - Georgia 74	0.692	Arkansas 70 - Georgia 60	-3
Buffalo 86 - Ball State 70	0.841	Buffalo 83 - Ball State 59	-8
Cal State Bakersfield 91 - Unranked 53		Cal State Bakersfield 81 - Unranked 54
Central Michigan 76 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.647	Central Michigan 86 - Eastern Michigan 82	1
Clemson 75 - Pittsburgh 69	0.666	Clemson 82 - Pittsburgh 69	-7
Colorado State 71 - Boise State 72	0.503	Colorado State 68 - Boise State 70	1
Dayton 81 - Saint Josephs 66	0.851	Dayton 75 - Saint Josephs 64	4
Georgia Tech 71 - North Carolina 81	0.745	Georgia Tech 54 - North Carolina 77	13
Liberty 71 - Lipscomb 69	0.573	Liberty 59 - Lipscomb 79	22
Maryland 79 - Northwestern 68	0.813	Maryland 70 - Northwestern 52	-7
Miami OH 69 - Toledo 72	0.575	Miami OH 63 - Toledo 66	0
Michigan 78 - Ohio State 65	0.818	Michigan 65 - Ohio State 49	-3
NC State 69 - Virginia 79	0.813	NC State 65 - Virginia 66	-9
Nebraska 75 - Wisconsin 73	0.54	Nebraska 51 - Wisconsin 62	13
Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Nevada 80	0.745	Nevada Las Vegas 70 - Nevada 87	5
Northern Illinois 74 - Ohio 67	0.68	Northern Illinois 71 - Ohio 60	-4
South Carolina 72 - Tennessee 86	0.817	South Carolina 70 - Tennessee 92	8
Texas 74 - Kansas 77	0.586	Texas 73 - Kansas 63	-13
Valparaiso 72 - Missouri State 69	0.551	Valparaiso 54 - Missouri State 55	4
Vanderbilt 67 - Kentucky 82	0.828	Vanderbilt 52 - Kentucky 87	20

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Texas AM CC 61	0.839	Abilene Christian 78 - Texas AM CC 71	5
Auburn 81 - Missouri 69	0.772	Auburn 92 - Missouri 58	-22
Boston 68 - Holy Cross 69	0.539	Boston 68 - Holy Cross 54	-15
Boston College 71 - Syracuse 75	0.609	Boston College 71 - Syracuse 77	2
Bucknell 78 - Navy 62	0.868	Bucknell 69 - Navy 57	4
Butler 73 - Marquette 76	0.572	Butler 58 - Marquette 76	15
Cal State Fullerton 79 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.753	Cal State Fullerton 78 - Cal State Northridge 71	1
Charleston Southern 71 - Presbyterian 72	0.527	Charleston Southern 85 - Presbyterian 84	-2
Colgate 73 - Army 67	0.689	Colgate 76 - Army 56	-14
Creighton 82 - Saint Johns 77	0.634	Creighton 67 - Saint Johns 83	21
DePaul 70 - Villanova 80	0.782	DePaul 74 - Villanova 86	2
Drake 80 - Illinois State 68	0.814	Drake 55 - Illinois State 69	26
Duquesne 75 - Rhode Island 73	0.565	Duquesne 75 - Rhode Island 72	-1
Evansville 72 - Bradley 65	0.686	Evansville 73 - Bradley 81	15
Florida 74 - Mississippi 69	0.637	Florida 90 - Mississippi 86	1
Gardner Webb 70 - High Point 65	0.629	Gardner Webb 69 - High Point 67	3
George Washington 71 - Fordham 66	0.626	George Washington 79 - Fordham 61	-13
Hartford 76 - Binghamton 62	0.856	Hartford 86 - Binghamton 60	-12
Incarnate Word 70 - Houston Baptist 73	0.593	Incarnate Word 92 - Houston Baptist 96	1
Iowa State 86 - West Virginia 68	0.904	Iowa State 93 - West Virginia 68	-7
IPFW 74 - South Dakota 68	0.628	IPFW 102 - South Dakota 71	-25
Jacksonville 80 - Stetson 66	0.864	Jacksonville 72 - Stetson 57	-1
Kennesaw St 66 - North Florida 76	0.77	Kennesaw St 81 - North Florida 64	-27
La Salle 75 - Massachusetts 74	0.514	La Salle 60 - Massachusetts 51	-8
Lafayette 70 - Lehigh 80	0.811	Lafayette 86 - Lehigh 93	-3
Longwood 72 - Hampton 69	0.581	Longwood 83 - Hampton 96	16
Loyola Ill 73 - Northern Iowa 60	0.764	Loyola Ill 61 - Northern Iowa 60	12
Loyola MD 71 - American 70	0.522	Loyola MD 68 - American 74	7
Miami 69 - Virginia Tech 78	0.753	Miami 70 - Virginia Tech 82	3
Middle Tennessee 64 - Alabama Birmingham 74	0.804	Middle Tennessee 71 - Alabama Birmingham 65	-16
Minnesota 82 - Illinois 72	0.724	Minnesota 86 - Illinois 75	-1
New Hampshire 62 - Albany 68	0.687	New Hampshire 42 - Albany 62	14
New Orleans 74 - Northwestern State 62	0.82	New Orleans 72 - Northwestern State 64	4
Niagara 71 - Canisius 72	0.507	Niagara 78 - Canisius 70	-9
Nicholls State 73 - Lamar 71	0.589	Nicholls State 69 - Lamar 90	23
NJ Tech 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	0.782	NJ Tech 66 - Florida Gulf Coast 54	-1
Radford 76 - Campbell 63	0.887	Radford 67 - Campbell 68	14
Rutgers 73 - Indiana 74	0.538	Rutgers 66 - Indiana 58	-9
Saint Louis 77 - Richmond 61	0.879	Saint Louis 81 - Richmond 84	19
San Diego State 76 - Air Force 67	0.669	San Diego State 66 - Air Force 51	-6
Seton Hall 76 - Providence 72	0.643	Seton Hall 65 - Providence 63	2
Southeast Louisiana 63 - Sam Houston State 68	0.657	Southeast Louisiana 52 - Sam Houston State 62	5
Southern Illinois 72 - Indiana State 68	0.6	Southern Illinois 88 - Indiana State 73	-11
Stephen F Austin 72 - Central Arkansas 68	0.631	Stephen F Austin 105 - Central Arkansas 99	-2
Texas AM 73 - Louisiana State 82	0.76	Texas AM 57 - Louisiana State 72	6
Tulsa 75 - Memphis 78	0.561	Tulsa 95 - Memphis 79	-19
UMass Lowell 80 - Maine 65	0.852	UMass Lowell 59 - Maine 78	34
UMBC 65 - Stony Brook 68	0.581	UMBC 57 - Stony Brook 49	-11
UNC Asheville 63 - South Carolina Upstate 67	0.636	UNC Asheville 71 - South Carolina Upstate 62	-13
Utah State 86 - San Jose State 55	0.997	Utah State 103 - San Jose State 73	1
Utah Valley 83 - Cal Baptist 67	0.855	Utah Valley 79 - Cal Baptist 62	-1
Wake Forest 67 - Louisville 83	0.852	Wake Forest 54 - Louisville 82	12
Washington 78 - Southern California 68	0.762	Washington 75 - Southern California 62	-3
Washington State 73 - UCLA 81	0.711	Washington State 67 - UCLA 87	12
Wichita State 72 - Southern Methodist 71	0.544	Wichita State 85 - Southern Methodist 83	-1
Wyoming 61 - Fresno State 79	0.901	Wyoming 62 - Fresno State 75	-5

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 75 - UL Lafayette 80	0.655	Appalachian State 104 - UL Lafayette 77	-32
Arizona State 77 - Arizona 71	0.643	Arizona State 95 - Arizona 88	-1
Belmont 85 - SE Missouri State 60	0.961	Belmont 97 - SE Missouri State 71	-1
Brigham Young 71 - Gonzaga 87	0.851	Brigham Young 63 - Gonzaga 93	14
Central Connecticut State 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 71	0.607	Central Connecticut State 78 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 72	-10
Central Florida 77 - Connecticut 69	0.732	Central Florida 73 - Connecticut 67	2
Charlotte 73 - Rice 72	0.515	Charlotte 61 - Rice 65	5
Chattanooga 75 - Western Carolina 66	0.731	Chattanooga 96 - Western Carolina 105	18
Coastal Carolina 72 - UL Monroe 71	0.552	Coastal Carolina 92 - UL Monroe 81	-10
College of Charleston 77 - James Madison 59	0.897	College of Charleston 70 - James Madison 53	1
Colorado 72 - Oregon State 73	0.515	Colorado 74 - Oregon State 76	1
Detroit 77 - Cleveland State 67	0.723	Detroit 78 - Cleveland State 64	-4
East Carolina 75 - Tulane 66	0.717	East Carolina 66 - Tulane 65	8
Eastern Illinois 75 - Eastern Kentucky 74	0.53	Eastern Illinois 67 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0
Elon 68 - Delaware 72	0.587	Elon 57 - Delaware 56	-5
Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.68	Fairleigh Dickinson 80 - LIU Brooklyn 77	2
Florida Atlantic 69 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.572	Florida Atlantic 69 - Louisiana Tech 61	-10
Florida International 74 - Southern Miss 75	0.517	Florida International 73 - Southern Miss 89	15
Georgetown 79 - Xavier 75	0.651	Georgetown 80 - Xavier 73	-3
Hawaii 78 - Long Beach State 68	0.784	Hawaii 74 - Long Beach State 57	-7
Houston 79 - Temple 67	0.886	Houston 73 - Temple 66	5
Idaho State 70 - Sacramento State 67	0.583	Idaho State 58 - Sacramento State 74	19
Jacksonville State 68 - Murray State 70	0.553	Jacksonville State 88 - Murray State 68	-22
Loyola Marymount 72 - Pacific 64	0.733	Loyola Marymount 60 - Pacific 42	-10
Manhattan 62 - Fairfield 66	0.618	Manhattan 62 - Fairfield 49	-17
Marist 73 - Iona 74	0.501	Marist 78 - Iona 74	-5
Marshall 79 - Texas El Paso 68	0.724	Marshall 91 - Texas El Paso 86	6
Mercer 67 - Wofford 78	0.806	Mercer 67 - Wofford 76	-2
Monmouth 66 - Siena 65	0.512	Monmouth 66 - Siena 55	-10
Mt St Marys 69 - Sacred Heart 73	0.606	Mt St Marys 79 - Sacred Heart 87	4
New Mexico State 80 - UMKC 59	0.88	New Mexico State 70 - UMKC 54	5
Oakland 80 - Youngstown State 68	0.824	Oakland 74 - Youngstown State 75	13
Old Dominion 69 - North Texas 65	0.654	Old Dominion 72 - North Texas 61	-7
Oral Roberts 66 - South Dakota State 80	0.764	Oral Roberts 80 - South Dakota State 86	-8
Penn State 68 - Purdue 81	0.84	Penn State 90 - Purdue 99	-4
Portland 68 - Pepperdine 76	0.699	Portland 58 - Pepperdine 83	17
Rider 78 - Saint Peters 62	0.888	Rider 59 - Saint Peters 51	8
Robert Morris 72 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.784	Robert Morris 73 - Saint Francis Penn 76	13
Samford 70 - East Tennessee State 74	0.61	Samford 66 - East Tennessee State 74	4
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Morehead State 72	0.613	SIU Edwardsville 83 - Morehead State 76	-10
Tennessee State 74 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.626	Tennessee State 68 - Tennessee Martin 67	4
Tennessee Tech 63 - Austin Peay 75	0.792	Tennessee Tech 66 - Austin Peay 77	-1
Texas Pan American 81 - Chicago State 59	0.939	Texas Pan American 77 - Chicago State 46	-9
The Citadel 71 - Furman 80	0.72	The Citadel 61 - Furman 71	1
UC Riverside 75 - Cal Poly 62	0.853	UC Riverside 45 - Cal Poly 71	39
UC Santa Barbara 67 - UC Irvine 68	0.501	UC Santa Barbara 62 - UC Irvine 66	3
UNC Greensboro 83 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.919	UNC Greensboro 93 - Virginia Military Institute 66	-4
UNC Wilmington 75 - Towson 68	0.688	UNC Wilmington 76 - Towson 77	8
Utah 73 - Oregon 72	0.504	Utah 72 - Oregon 78	7
Wagner 70 - Bryant 62	0.684	Wagner 64 - Bryant 71	15
Weber State 79 - Portland State 65	0.864	Weber State 75 - Portland State 76	15
Western Kentucky 75 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.614	Western Kentucky 96 - Texas San Antonio 88	-4
William and Mary 76 - Drexel 73	0.58	William and Mary 75 - Drexel 69	-3

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 72 - Buffalo 79	0.644	Bowling Green 92 - Buffalo 88	-11
Canisius 73 - Quinnipiac 69	0.653	Canisius 75 - Quinnipiac 70	-1
Columbia 68 - Princeton 74	0.657	Columbia 43 - Princeton 55	6
Cornell 67 - Pennsylvania 74	0.676	Cornell 80 - Pennsylvania 71	-16
Dartmouth 68 - Brown 71	0.588	Dartmouth 58 - Brown 60	-1
Green Bay 77 - Milwaukee 71	0.669	Green Bay 90 - Milwaukee 74	-10
Harvard 70 - Yale 74	0.617	Harvard 65 - Yale 49	-20
Illinois Chicago 69 - Wright State 72	0.577	Illinois Chicago 67 - Wright State 53	-17
Iowa 74 - Michigan 78	0.593	Iowa 74 - Michigan 59	-19
IUPUI 67 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.711	IUPUI 83 - Northern Kentucky 77	-12
Saint Bonaventure 67 - Davidson 72	0.629	Saint Bonaventure 66 - Davidson 75	4
Western Illinois 71 - North Dakota 66	0.611	Western Illinois 73 - North Dakota 74	6
Wisconsin 76 - Maryland 71	0.65	Wisconsin 69 - Maryland 61	-3

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Colorado State 70	0.594	Air Force 53 - Colorado State 85	36
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Middle Tennessee 60	0.93	Alabama Birmingham 78 - Middle Tennessee 79	19
Albany 71 - Binghamton 63	0.749	Albany 64 - Binghamton 50	-6
Alcorn State 66 - Southern 67	0.529	Alcorn State 76 - Southern 64	-13
American 69 - Holy Cross 66	0.618	American 66 - Holy Cross 49	-14
Appalachian State 72 - UL Monroe 78	0.707	Appalachian State 85 - UL Monroe 84	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 75 - Arkansas State 71	0.603	Arkansas Little Rock 83 - Arkansas State 84	5
Army 74 - Lehigh 75	0.541	Army 70 - Lehigh 75	4
Auburn 81 - Alabama 74	0.673	Auburn 84 - Alabama 63	-14
Ball State 77 - Kent State 73	0.59	Ball State 80 - Kent State 83	7
Baylor 76 - Texas Christian 75	0.51	Baylor 90 - Texas Christian 64	-25
Belmont 88 - Tennessee Martin 62	0.961	Belmont 82 - Tennessee Martin 67	11
Bethune Cookman 67 - North Carolina Central 65	0.575	Bethune Cookman 74 - North Carolina Central 64	-8
Boston College 76 - Notre Dame 73	0.616	Boston College 73 - Notre Dame 79	9
Bradley 66 - Southern Illinois 67	0.517	Bradley 68 - Southern Illinois 72	3
Brigham Young 76 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.69	Brigham Young 67 - Loyola Marymount 49	-11
Butler 77 - Seton Hall 72	0.647	Butler 70 - Seton Hall 68	3
Cal State Bakersfield 69 - Grand Canyon 72	0.601	Cal State Bakersfield 59 - Grand Canyon 72	10
Cal State Northridge 81 - Cal Poly 65	0.898	Cal State Northridge 83 - Cal Poly 65	-2
Campbell 71 - Longwood 65	0.713	Campbell 83 - Longwood 62	-15
Central Arkansas 76 - Northwestern State 64	0.845	Central Arkansas 75 - Northwestern State 80	17
Central Connecticut State 72 - Bryant 69	0.597	Central Connecticut State 64 - Bryant 59	-2
Central Michigan 82 - Western Michigan 68	0.866	Central Michigan 85 - Western Michigan 64	-7
Charlotte 61 - North Texas 72	0.781	Charlotte 66 - North Texas 73	-4
Chattanooga 64 - East Tennessee State 75	0.78	Chattanooga 64 - East Tennessee State 77	2
Cincinnati 79 - Southern Methodist 64	0.829	Cincinnati 73 - Southern Methodist 68	10
Coastal Carolina 75 - UL Lafayette 73	0.579	Coastal Carolina 96 - UL Lafayette 79	-15
Colgate 76 - Boston 64	0.803	Colgate 68 - Boston 76	20
College of Charleston 76 - Towson 57	0.909	College of Charleston 54 - Towson 53	18
Colorado 69 - Oregon 71	0.547	Colorado 73 - Oregon 51	-24
Columbia 68 - Pennsylvania 76	0.719	Columbia 70 - Pennsylvania 72	-6
Coppin State 68 - Morgan State 69	0.547	Coppin State 73 - Morgan State 71	-3
Cornell 67 - Princeton 71	0.612	Cornell 61 - Princeton 70	5
Dartmouth 69 - Yale 77	0.724	Dartmouth 68 - Yale 89	13
Dayton 80 - Duquesne 70	0.842	Dayton 68 - Duquesne 64	6
Delaware State 72 - Savannah State 76	0.582	Delaware State 73 - Savannah State 76	-1
DePaul 74 - Providence 75	0.52	DePaul 67 - Providence 55	-13
Detroit 78 - Youngstown State 67	0.724	Detroit 70 - Youngstown State 72	13
Duke 90 - Saint Johns 69	0.908	Duke 91 - Saint Johns 61	-9
Eastern Illinois 70 - Morehead State 67	0.603	Eastern Illinois 78 - Morehead State 84	9
Eastern Michigan 70 - Miami OH 68	0.559	Eastern Michigan 48 - Miami OH 59	13
Eastern Washington 72 - Southern Utah 70	0.564	Eastern Washington 82 - Southern Utah 79	-1
Elon 72 - Drexel 75	0.577	Elon 63 - Drexel 67	1
Evansville 73 - Valparaiso 69	0.609	Evansville 64 - Valparaiso 53	-7
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Robert Morris 66	0.567	Fairleigh Dickinson 97 - Robert Morris 94	-1
Florida 69 - Kentucky 73	0.596	Florida 54 - Kentucky 65	7
Florida AM 64 - North Carolina AT 68	0.639	Florida AM 63 - North Carolina AT 39	-28
Florida Atlantic 68 - Southern Miss 69	0.508	Florida Atlantic 72 - Southern Miss 74	1
Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Jacksonville 70	0.643	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Jacksonville 60	-7
Florida International 74 - Louisiana Tech 77	0.589	Florida International 75 - Louisiana Tech 69	-9
Florida State 78 - Georgia Tech 67	0.801	Florida State 59 - Georgia Tech 49	1
Fresno State 80 - New Mexico 65	0.793	Fresno State 82 - New Mexico 70	3
Gardner Webb 78 - UNC Asheville 56	0.934	Gardner Webb 82 - UNC Asheville 81	21
Georgia 80 - South Carolina 76	0.592	Georgia 80 - South Carolina 86	10
Georgia State 78 - Georgia Southern 72	0.655	Georgia State 81 - Georgia Southern 72	-3
Gonzaga 86 - San Diego 63	0.937	Gonzaga 85 - San Diego 69	7
Grambling State 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.637	Grambling State 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 55	-19
Harvard 70 - Brown 68	0.543	Harvard 68 - Brown 47	-19
Hawaii 71 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.602	Hawaii 54 - UC Santa Barbara 75	24
High Point 71 - Hampton 66	0.649	High Point 85 - Hampton 69	-11
Houston Baptist 70 - Texas AM CC 71	0.501	Houston Baptist 73 - Texas AM CC 72	-2
Howard 70 - Norfolk State 74	0.622	Howard 78 - Norfolk State 80	-2
Idaho 66 - Northern Arizona 69	0.592	Idaho 73 - Northern Arizona 86	10
Idaho State 72 - Portland State 70	0.567	Idaho State 69 - Portland State 67	0
Illinois 74 - Nebraska 80	0.622	Illinois 71 - Nebraska 64	-13
Illinois State 68 - Loyola Ill 70	0.541	Illinois State 65 - Loyola Ill 57	-10
Indiana State 71 - Drake 76	0.624	Indiana State 62 - Drake 68	1
Iona 73 - Siena 69	0.631	Iona 54 - Siena 56	6
Iowa State 80 - Texas 71	0.752	Iowa State 65 - Texas 60	4
Jackson State 73 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.831	Jackson State 61 - Mississippi Valley State 57	9
Jacksonville State 72 - Austin Peay 67	0.644	Jacksonville State 71 - Austin Peay 74	8
Kansas 76 - Texas Tech 69	0.718	Kansas 79 - Texas Tech 63	-9
Lafayette 68 - Bucknell 77	0.752	Lafayette 66 - Bucknell 94	19
Liberty 72 - NJ Tech 60	0.822	Liberty 77 - NJ Tech 57	-8
Lipscomb 84 - North Alabama 59	0.948	Lipscomb 102 - North Alabama 80	3
Long Beach State 69 - UC Irvine 75	0.695	Long Beach State 80 - UC Irvine 82	-4
Louisiana State 85 - Arkansas 73	0.893	Louisiana State 89 - Arkansas 90	13
Louisville 80 - North Carolina 77	0.57	Louisville 69 - North Carolina 79	13
Manhattan 61 - Saint Peters 62	0.521	Manhattan 64 - Saint Peters 50	-15
Marist 71 - Fairfield 67	0.609	Marist 52 - Fairfield 57	9
Marshall 79 - Texas San Antonio 78	0.521	Marshall 106 - Texas San Antonio 116	11
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - South Carolina State 67	0.644	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - South Carolina State 61	-6
Mcneese State 74 - Lamar 70	0.62	Mcneese State 75 - Lamar 84	13
Mercer 68 - Furman 72	0.624	Mercer 63 - Furman 74	7
Michigan State 86 - Indiana 67	0.917	Michigan State 75 - Indiana 79	23
Mississippi 76 - Mississippi State 74	0.554	Mississippi 75 - Mississippi State 81	8
Missouri 77 - Vanderbilt 69	0.714	Missouri 77 - Vanderbilt 67	-2
Monmouth 68 - Rider 73	0.641	Monmouth 75 - Rider 71	-9
Montana State 68 - Montana 75	0.678	Montana State 78 - Montana 83	-2
Mt St Marys 68 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.513	Mt St Marys 63 - Saint Francis Penn 72	8
Navy 70 - Loyola MD 69	0.537	Navy 71 - Loyola MD 68	-2
NC State 76 - Virginia Tech 77	0.527	NC State 24 - Virginia Tech 47	22
Nevada 82 - Boise State 61	0.878	Nevada 93 - Boise State 73	1
New Mexico State 89 - Chicago State 53	0.99	New Mexico State 83 - Chicago State 39	-8
New Orleans 75 - Incarnate Word 61	0.857	New Orleans 89 - Incarnate Word 72	-3
Northeastern 73 - Hofstra 75	0.543	Northeastern 75 - Hofstra 61	-16
Northern Illinois 72 - Toledo 74	0.544	Northern Illinois 55 - Toledo 69	12
Northern Iowa 70 - Missouri State 69	0.517	Northern Iowa 64 - Missouri State 59	-4
Oakland 79 - Cleveland State 67	0.824	Oakland 83 - Cleveland State 68	-3
Ohio 68 - Akron 66	0.55	Ohio 53 - Akron 65	14
Ohio State 78 - Rutgers 66	0.773	Ohio State 76 - Rutgers 62	-2
Oklahoma State 69 - Kansas State 72	0.561	Oklahoma State 57 - Kansas State 75	15
Old Dominion 80 - Rice 65	0.855	Old Dominion 80 - Rice 76	11
Oral Roberts 73 - IPFW 75	0.543	Oral Roberts 81 - IPFW 82	-1
Pacific 74 - Pepperdine 71	0.592	Pacific 66 - Pepperdine 59	-4
Pittsburgh 71 - Syracuse 72	0.528	Pittsburgh 56 - Syracuse 65	8
Prairie View 75 - Alabama AM 61	0.822	Prairie View 81 - Alabama AM 65	-2
Rhode Island 70 - Saint Louis 68	0.56	Rhode Island 65 - Saint Louis 54	-9
Richmond 75 - La Salle 70	0.636	Richmond 58 - La Salle 66	13
Sacred Heart 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	0.581	Sacred Heart 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	-6
Saint Josephs 76 - Massachusetts 71	0.627	Saint Josephs 64 - Massachusetts 62	3
Saint Marys 72 - San Francisco 69	0.587	Saint Marys 86 - San Francisco 80	-3
Sam Houston State 72 - Stephen F Austin 62	0.777	Sam Houston State 94 - Stephen F Austin 72	-12
Samford 81 - Western Carolina 65	0.857	Samford 92 - Western Carolina 81	5
San Jose State 64 - San Diego State 79	0.796	San Jose State 56 - San Diego State 67	-4
Santa Clara 76 - Portland 63	0.816	Santa Clara 69 - Portland 63	7
Seattle 78 - Cal Baptist 69	0.71	Seattle 64 - Cal Baptist 75	20
SIU Edwardsville 74 - Eastern Kentucky 80	0.646	SIU Edwardsville 88 - Eastern Kentucky 82	-12
South Alabama 73 - Troy 72	0.537	South Alabama 81 - Troy 75	-5
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Charleston Southern 71	0.586	South Carolina Upstate 71 - Charleston Southern 90	16
South Florida 75 - Memphis 74	0.507	South Florida 84 - Memphis 78	-5
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Nicholls State 65	0.706	Southeast Louisiana 91 - Nicholls State 70	-14
Stetson 71 - Kennesaw St 67	0.668	Stetson 92 - Kennesaw St 75	-13
Stony Brook 74 - Hartford 64	0.771	Stony Brook 86 - Hartford 77	1
Tennessee State 70 - SE Missouri State 67	0.588	Tennessee State 79 - SE Missouri State 50	-26
Tennessee Tech 59 - Murray State 78	0.906	Tennessee Tech 63 - Murray State 67	-15
Texas AM 69 - Tennessee 85	0.845	Texas AM 76 - Tennessee 93	1
Texas Pan American 72 - UMKC 65	0.674	Texas Pan American 75 - UMKC 63	-5
Texas Southern 77 - Alabama State 69	0.685	Texas Southern 83 - Alabama State 59	-16
Texas State 74 - Texas Arlington 61	0.892	Texas State 77 - Texas Arlington 84	20
The Citadel 70 - Wofford 86	0.853	The Citadel 61 - Wofford 99	22
Tulane 64 - Temple 82	0.915	Tulane 67 - Temple 75	-10
UMass Lowell 69 - Vermont 78	0.7	UMass Lowell 65 - Vermont 74	0
UNC Wilmington 76 - James Madison 69	0.67	UNC Wilmington 95 - James Madison 104	16
Utah 75 - Oregon State 74	0.553	Utah 72 - Oregon State 81	10
Utah State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	0.785	Utah State 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	-4
Virginia 84 - Miami 58	0.965	Virginia 56 - Miami 46	16
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - George Mason 65	0.761	Virginia Commonwealth 79 - George Mason 63	-7
Wagner 68 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.586	Wagner 71 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-9
Washington 79 - UCLA 68	0.791	Washington 69 - UCLA 55	-3
Washington State 72 - Southern California 81	0.727	Washington State 84 - Southern California 93	0
Weber State 77 - Sacramento State 62	0.86	Weber State 75 - Sacramento State 65	5
West Virginia 73 - Oklahoma 82	0.75	West Virginia 79 - Oklahoma 71	-17
Western Illinois 68 - North Dakota State 69	0.52	Western Illinois 76 - North Dakota State 78	1
Western Kentucky 75 - Texas El Paso 61	0.858	Western Kentucky 76 - Texas El Paso 59	-3
Wichita State 73 - Tulsa 71	0.574	Wichita State 79 - Tulsa 68	-9
William and Mary 72 - Delaware 70	0.553	William and Mary 84 - Delaware 63	-19
Winthrop 75 - Radford 74	0.504	Winthrop 61 - Radford 80	20

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 70 - Stanford 78	0.743	California 81 - Stanford 84	-5
Clemson 80 - Wake Forest 66	0.873	Clemson 64 - Wake Forest 37	-13
Connecticut 82 - East Carolina 65	0.869	Connecticut 76 - East Carolina 52	-7
Creighton 81 - Xavier 73	0.736	Creighton 76 - Xavier 54	-14
Denver 65 - South Dakota State 80	0.774	Denver 82 - South Dakota State 92	-5
Illinois Chicago 67 - Northern Kentucky 76	0.783	Illinois Chicago 69 - Northern Kentucky 67	-11
IUPUI 70 - Wright State 69	0.513	IUPUI 74 - Wright State 79	6
Maine 69 - New Hampshire 60	0.762	Maine 62 - New Hampshire 53	0
Niagara 71 - Quinnipiac 72	0.504	Niagara 73 - Quinnipiac 84	10
Omaha 79 - North Dakota 66	0.84	Omaha 90 - North Dakota 72	-5
Purdue 84 - Minnesota 70	0.809	Purdue 73 - Minnesota 63	4
Villanova 85 - Georgetown 70	0.858	Villanova 77 - Georgetown 65	3

Number of DI Games: 314
Number Correct: 218 = 69.4%
Expected Number Correct: 216.289 = 68.8%
Average Error: 9.07
Average Signed Error: 0.29

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 69 - North Carolina AT 68	0.518	Bethune Cookman 69 - North Carolina AT 53	-15
Canisius 74 - Marist 65	0.765	Canisius 71 - Marist 78	16
Delaware State 65 - South Carolina State 70	0.668	Delaware State 70 - South Carolina State 68	-7
Eastern Washington 72 - Northern Arizona 68	0.658	Eastern Washington 82 - Northern Arizona 64	-14
Florida AM 65 - North Carolina Central 60	0.633	Florida AM 73 - North Carolina Central 57	-11
Grambling State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.843	Grambling State 79 - Mississippi Valley State 57	-6
Idaho 67 - Southern Utah 72	0.634	Idaho 64 - Southern Utah 75	6
Jackson State 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	0.667	Jackson State 65 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	-7
Lehigh 78 - Colgate 70	0.735	Lehigh 62 - Colgate 84	30
Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Savannah State 72	0.542	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Savannah State 68	3
Northern Colorado 76 - Montana State 67	0.734	Northern Colorado 66 - Montana State 69	12
Northwestern 77 - Penn State 70	0.776	Northwestern 52 - Penn State 59	14
Oklahoma 76 - Iowa State 78	0.543	Oklahoma 74 - Iowa State 75	-1
Prairie View 73 - Alabama State 64	0.702	Prairie View 69 - Alabama State 67	7
Siena 69 - Fairfield 61	0.713	Siena 61 - Fairfield 50	-3
Texas Southern 79 - Alabama AM 62	0.846	Texas Southern 84 - Alabama AM 74	7
Texas Tech 81 - West Virginia 67	0.854	Texas Tech 81 - West Virginia 50	-17
Virginia Tech 77 - Louisville 71	0.633	Virginia Tech 64 - Louisville 72	14

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 83 - Vanderbilt 70	0.845	Arkansas 69 - Vanderbilt 66	10
Auburn 78 - Florida 70	0.695	Auburn 76 - Florida 62	-6
Duke 93 - Boston College 65	0.966	Duke 80 - Boston College 55	3
Fresno State 72 - Utah State 71	0.551	Fresno State 81 - Utah State 82	2
Illinois 72 - Michigan State 86	0.806	Illinois 79 - Michigan State 74	-19
Illinois State 75 - Valparaiso 65	0.762	Illinois State 53 - Valparaiso 69	26
Kansas State 71 - Kansas 72	0.529	Kansas State 74 - Kansas 67	-8
Kent State 74 - Miami OH 68	0.645	Kent State 70 - Miami OH 67	3
Kentucky 86 - South Carolina 66	0.892	Kentucky 76 - South Carolina 48	-8
La Salle 73 - Saint Josephs 72	0.553	La Salle 83 - Saint Josephs 69	-13
Liberty 83 - Stetson 53	0.986	Liberty 57 - Stetson 54	27
Loyola Ill 71 - Drake 69	0.545	Loyola Ill 86 - Drake 64	-20
Manhattan 62 - Rider 70	0.737	Manhattan 73 - Rider 66	-15
Marquette 83 - Saint Johns 72	0.76	Marquette 69 - Saint Johns 70	12
New Mexico 73 - San Diego State 74	0.532	New Mexico 83 - San Diego State 70	-14
North Carolina 88 - NC State 73	0.847	North Carolina 113 - NC State 96	-2
Northern Illinois 76 - Ball State 72	0.617	Northern Illinois 71 - Ball State 72	5
Rutgers 66 - Michigan 77	0.753	Rutgers 65 - Michigan 77	1
Saint Louis 70 - Dayton 71	0.534	Saint Louis 73 - Dayton 60	-14
Syracuse 76 - Florida State 71	0.622	Syracuse 62 - Florida State 80	23
Tennessee 87 - Missouri 65	0.92	Tennessee 72 - Missouri 60	10
Toledo 74 - Akron 64	0.751	Toledo 63 - Akron 52	-1
Wake Forest 71 - Pittsburgh 76	0.63	Wake Forest 78 - Pittsburgh 76	-7
Western Michigan 66 - Bowling Green 79	0.761	Western Michigan 72 - Bowling Green 85	0

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Wyoming 63	0.756	Air Force 81 - Wyoming 76	7
Alabama 82 - Georgia 71	0.763	Alabama 89 - Georgia 74	-4
Binghamton 60 - Stony Brook 73	0.873	Binghamton 59 - Stony Brook 85	13
Boise State 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.627	Boise State 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 83	16
Boston 76 - Lafayette 66	0.777	Boston 72 - Lafayette 79	17
Colorado State 66 - Nevada 82	0.799	Colorado State 82 - Nevada 98	0
Davidson 76 - Rhode Island 67	0.778	Davidson 68 - Rhode Island 53	-6
Duquesne 76 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.69	Duquesne 49 - Saint Bonaventure 51	9
East Carolina 68 - Wichita State 75	0.685	East Carolina 49 - Wichita State 65	9
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - North Alabama 65	0.724	Florida Gulf Coast 71 - North Alabama 64	2
George Washington 64 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.822	George Washington 50 - Virginia Commonwealth 60	-2
Georgia Tech 69 - Clemson 71	0.565	Georgia Tech 42 - Clemson 65	21
Holy Cross 69 - Army 66	0.606	Holy Cross 56 - Army 42	-11
Houston Baptist 74 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.533	Houston Baptist 77 - Stephen F Austin 79	3
Indiana State 75 - Evansville 71	0.595	Indiana State 85 - Evansville 62	-19
Jacksonville 76 - Kennesaw St 63	0.818	Jacksonville 82 - Kennesaw St 73	4
Lamar 67 - Abilene Christian 72	0.649	Lamar 64 - Abilene Christian 75	6
Loyola MD 69 - Bucknell 77	0.713	Loyola MD 72 - Bucknell 84	4
Massachusetts 74 - Fordham 66	0.708	Massachusetts 67 - Fordham 85	26
Miami 76 - Notre Dame 74	0.565	Miami 62 - Notre Dame 47	-13
Minnesota 73 - Wisconsin 76	0.588	Minnesota 51 - Wisconsin 56	2
Mississippi 81 - Texas AM 70	0.778	Mississippi 75 - Texas AM 71	7
Mississippi State 79 - Louisiana State 77	0.562	Mississippi State 88 - Louisiana State 92	6
Missouri State 71 - Southern Illinois 69	0.561	Missouri State 65 - Southern Illinois 59	-4
Navy 65 - American 69	0.647	Navy 77 - American 67	-14
Nebraska 76 - Maryland 75	0.51	Nebraska 45 - Maryland 60	16
North Dakota 68 - North Dakota State 70	0.559	North Dakota 70 - North Dakota State 74	2
North Florida 69 - Lipscomb 83	0.805	North Florida 55 - Lipscomb 92	23
Northern Iowa 70 - Bradley 64	0.686	Northern Iowa 71 - Bradley 79	14
Northwestern State 65 - New Orleans 69	0.623	Northwestern State 73 - New Orleans 81	4
Oregon 82 - California 61	0.927	Oregon 73 - California 62	10
Providence 78 - Georgetown 75	0.599	Providence 67 - Georgetown 76	12
Richmond 68 - George Mason 75	0.687	Richmond 81 - George Mason 67	-21
Sam Houston State 77 - Mcneese State 60	0.92	Sam Houston State 77 - Mcneese State 62	2
Southern California 80 - Utah 73	0.673	Southern California 70 - Utah 77	14
Temple 79 - Connecticut 73	0.718	Temple 81 - Connecticut 63	-12
Texas 74 - Baylor 73	0.519	Texas 84 - Baylor 72	-11
Texas AM CC 67 - Southeast Louisiana 62	0.651	Texas AM CC 58 - Southeast Louisiana 64	11
Texas Christian 82 - Oklahoma State 70	0.777	Texas Christian 70 - Oklahoma State 68	10
UC Irvine 76 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.808	UC Irvine 60 - Cal State Fullerton 53	4
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.824	UC Santa Barbara 70 - Cal State Northridge 64	7
UCLA 78 - Colorado 71	0.642	UCLA 73 - Colorado 84	18
UL Lafayette 77 - Georgia Southern 79	0.559	UL Lafayette 86 - Georgia Southern 103	15
UL Monroe 72 - Georgia State 74	0.58	UL Monroe 82 - Georgia State 76	-8
UMass Lowell 79 - New Hampshire 60	0.893	UMass Lowell 72 - New Hampshire 62	9
UMBC 71 - Hartford 67	0.606	UMBC 61 - Hartford 70	13
Vermont 81 - Maine 56	0.946	Vermont 86 - Maine 63	2
Villanova 83 - Creighton 71	0.787	Villanova 66 - Creighton 59	5

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 66 - Old Dominion 69	0.57	Alabama Birmingham 59 - Old Dominion 70	8
Arizona 69 - Washington 72	0.598	Arizona 60 - Washington 67	4
Arizona State 88 - Washington State 66	0.924	Arizona State 70 - Washington State 91	43
Austin Peay 82 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.923	Austin Peay 80 - SIU Edwardsville 45	-15
Cal Baptist 84 - Chicago State 64	0.889	Cal Baptist 94 - Chicago State 44	-30
Cal Poly 67 - UC Davis 69	0.577	Cal Poly 53 - UC Davis 63	8
Cal State Bakersfield 66 - New Mexico State 74	0.722	Cal State Bakersfield 70 - New Mexico State 71	-7
Central Florida 68 - Houston 72	0.613	Central Florida 68 - Houston 77	5
Charleston Southern 74 - Winthrop 75	0.507	Charleston Southern 72 - Winthrop 76	3
Cleveland State 75 - Green Bay 78	0.59	Cleveland State 65 - Green Bay 82	14
Delaware 64 - College of Charleston 71	0.69	Delaware 75 - College of Charleston 83	1
Drexel 80 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.693	Drexel 69 - UNC Wilmington 57	-5
East Tennessee State 71 - Wofford 72	0.514	East Tennessee State 76 - Wofford 78	1
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Belmont 84	0.8	Eastern Kentucky 65 - Belmont 83	6
Gonzaga 85 - San Francisco 65	0.916	Gonzaga 92 - San Francisco 62	-10
Grand Canyon 76 - Texas Pan American 62	0.87	Grand Canyon 69 - Texas Pan American 72	17
Hampton 68 - Radford 75	0.684	Hampton 98 - Radford 101	-4
High Point 67 - Campbell 65	0.557	High Point 57 - Campbell 56	1
Hofstra 84 - Elon 59	0.942	Hofstra 102 - Elon 61	-16
Indiana 78 - Iowa 79	0.534	Indiana 72 - Iowa 77	4
IPFW 79 - Western Illinois 67	0.708	IPFW 79 - Western Illinois 64	-3
LIU Brooklyn 74 - Mt St Marys 64	0.789	LIU Brooklyn 77 - Mt St Marys 62	-5
Long Beach State 72 - Hawaii 74	0.552	Long Beach State 70 - Hawaii 77	5
Longwood 69 - Gardner Webb 71	0.555	Longwood 88 - Gardner Webb 89	-1
Loyola Marymount 67 - San Diego 68	0.503	Loyola Marymount 63 - San Diego 65	1
Memphis 74 - Cincinnati 78	0.583	Memphis 64 - Cincinnati 69	1
Middle Tennessee 70 - Charlotte 64	0.652	Middle Tennessee 71 - Charlotte 53	-12
Montana 80 - Idaho 53	0.959	Montana 100 - Idaho 59	-14
Montana State 76 - Eastern Washington 70	0.674	Montana State 74 - Eastern Washington 66	-2
Morehead State 73 - Tennessee State 65	0.692	Morehead State 80 - Tennessee State 81	9
Murray State 79 - Eastern Illinois 60	0.887	Murray State 86 - Eastern Illinois 75	8
North Texas 80 - Marshall 71	0.72	North Texas 78 - Marshall 51	-18
Northeastern 80 - William and Mary 65	0.865	Northeastern 72 - William and Mary 60	3
Northern Arizona 73 - Idaho State 66	0.677	Northern Arizona 79 - Idaho State 81	9
Northern Colorado 75 - Portland State 63	0.811	Northern Colorado 80 - Portland State 62	-6
Northern Kentucky 78 - Detroit 64	0.82	Northern Kentucky 97 - Detroit 65	-18
Ohio State 80 - Penn State 68	0.858	Ohio State 74 - Penn State 70	8
Oral Roberts 73 - Denver 68	0.627	Oral Roberts 78 - Denver 65	-8
Oregon State 79 - Stanford 69	0.799	Oregon State 60 - Stanford 83	33
Pepperdine 75 - Santa Clara 69	0.637	Pepperdine 71 - Santa Clara 79	14
Portland 67 - Brigham Young 82	0.868	Portland 48 - Brigham Young 83	20
Presbyterian 78 - UNC Asheville 58	0.933	Presbyterian 67 - UNC Asheville 44	-3
Rice 72 - Western Kentucky 77	0.647	Rice 85 - Western Kentucky 92	2
Robert Morris 72 - Bryant 61	0.768	Robert Morris 72 - Bryant 59	-2
Sacred Heart 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.621	Sacred Heart 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	-2
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Wagner 60	0.652	Saint Francis Brooklyn 51 - Wagner 44	-1
Saint Francis Penn 74 - Central Connecticut State 67	0.709	Saint Francis Penn 90 - Central Connecticut State 85	2
Saint Marys 79 - Pacific 62	0.891	Saint Marys 78 - Pacific 66	5
Saint Peters 65 - Monmouth 67	0.539	Saint Peters 51 - Monmouth 53	0
SE Missouri State 68 - Tennessee Tech 65	0.574	SE Missouri State 71 - Tennessee Tech 66	-2
South Alabama 73 - Arkansas State 68	0.642	South Alabama 70 - Arkansas State 62	-3
South Dakota 69 - Omaha 72	0.59	South Dakota 102 - Omaha 107	2
Southern Methodist 72 - South Florida 71	0.52	Southern Methodist 66 - South Florida 67	2
Southern Utah 70 - Weber State 75	0.632	Southern Utah 65 - Weber State 53	-17
Tennessee Martin 62 - Jacksonville State 76	0.821	Tennessee Martin 66 - Jacksonville State 64	-16
Texas Arlington 71 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.582	Texas Arlington 74 - Coastal Carolina 54	-18
Texas El Paso 68 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.546	Texas El Paso 48 - Florida Atlantic 61	12
Texas San Antonio 85 - Florida International 75	0.755	Texas San Antonio 100 - Florida International 67	-23
Texas State 79 - Appalachian State 65	0.871	Texas State 74 - Appalachian State 71	11
Troy 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.685	Troy 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 84	20
UNC Greensboro 77 - Samford 65	0.823	UNC Greensboro 75 - Samford 67	4
Virginia Military Institute 72 - Chattanooga 73	0.512	Virginia Military Institute 70 - Chattanooga 71	0
Western Carolina 65 - Furman 77	0.789	Western Carolina 45 - Furman 64	7
Wright State 75 - Oakland 67	0.725	Wright State 76 - Oakland 62	-6
Youngstown State 72 - Milwaukee 69	0.588	Youngstown State 72 - Milwaukee 71	2

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Kent State 68	0.598	Akron 72 - Kent State 53	-15
Brown 72 - Pennsylvania 69	0.579	Brown 82 - Pennsylvania 92	13
Dartmouth 73 - Cornell 67	0.654	Dartmouth 80 - Cornell 83	9
Harvard 78 - Columbia 60	0.912	Harvard 98 - Columbia 96	16
Iona 75 - Quinnipiac 74	0.538	Iona 65 - Quinnipiac 66	2
Manhattan 59 - Siena 62	0.588	Manhattan 49 - Siena 51	-1
Marist 72 - Niagara 69	0.569	Marist 79 - Niagara 58	-18
Rider 76 - Canisius 68	0.762	Rider 80 - Canisius 81	9
Saint Josephs 69 - Saint Louis 71	0.552	Saint Josephs 91 - Saint Louis 61	-32
UL Lafayette 73 - Georgia State 77	0.62	UL Lafayette 76 - Georgia State 72	-8
UL Monroe 76 - Georgia Southern 75	0.504	UL Monroe 88 - Georgia Southern 79	-8
Yale 76 - Princeton 67	0.734	Yale 74 - Princeton 60	-5

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Sam Houston State 65	0.609	Abilene Christian 85 - Sam Houston State 90	8
Alabama AM 71 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.698	Alabama AM 78 - Mississippi Valley State 63	-7
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Charlotte 60	0.821	Alabama Birmingham 62 - Charlotte 69	20
Alabama State 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.688	Alabama State 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 75	14
Alcorn State 61 - Jackson State 64	0.607	Alcorn State 66 - Jackson State 52	-17
American 72 - Army 64	0.73	American 71 - Army 68	5
Arizona 84 - Washington State 65	0.894	Arizona 55 - Washington State 69	33
Arizona State 72 - Washington 73	0.516	Arizona State 75 - Washington 63	-13
Austin Peay 78 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.864	Austin Peay 94 - Eastern Illinois 86	8
Ball State 82 - Western Michigan 66	0.836	Ball State 79 - Western Michigan 59	-4
Baylor 73 - Kansas State 67	0.639	Baylor 63 - Kansas State 70	13
Bethune Cookman 68 - Norfolk State 71	0.573	Bethune Cookman 84 - Norfolk State 76	-11
Boise State 82 - San Jose State 60	0.928	Boise State 105 - San Jose State 57	-26
Bowling Green 73 - Toledo 72	0.516	Bowling Green 71 - Toledo 78	8
Bradley 71 - Indiana State 69	0.545	Bradley 96 - Indiana State 67	-27
Brigham Young 80 - Pacific 67	0.817	Brigham Young 69 - Pacific 59	3
Brown 69 - Princeton 66	0.577	Brown 78 - Princeton 70	-5
Bucknell 78 - Boston 65	0.8	Bucknell 82 - Boston 76	7
Buffalo 87 - Central Michigan 71	0.881	Buffalo 90 - Central Michigan 76	2
Cal Baptist 75 - UMKC 70	0.611	Cal Baptist 70 - UMKC 60	-5
Cal Poly 69 - Long Beach State 75	0.674	Cal Poly 68 - Long Beach State 76	2
Cal State Bakersfield 72 - Texas Pan American 67	0.677	Cal State Bakersfield 74 - Texas Pan American 79	10
Campbell 78 - South Carolina Upstate 60	0.924	Campbell 82 - South Carolina Upstate 66	2
Central Arkansas 71 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.601	Central Arkansas 67 - Southeast Louisiana 75	12
Chattanooga 64 - UNC Greensboro 76	0.818	Chattanooga 63 - UNC Greensboro 78	3
Clemson 70 - Virginia Tech 74	0.609	Clemson 59 - Virginia Tech 51	-12
Cleveland State 70 - Milwaukee 69	0.518	Cleveland State 78 - Milwaukee 68	-9
Colgate 77 - Loyola MD 65	0.806	Colgate 75 - Loyola MD 72	9
Dartmouth 75 - Columbia 66	0.747	Dartmouth 82 - Columbia 66	-7
Delaware 76 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.642	Delaware 70 - UNC Wilmington 66	1
Drake 77 - Northern Iowa 64	0.847	Drake 83 - Northern Iowa 77	7
Drexel 67 - College of Charleston 74	0.686	Drexel 84 - College of Charleston 86	-5
Eastern Kentucky 78 - Tennessee State 70	0.681	Eastern Kentucky 75 - Tennessee State 65	-2
Eastern Michigan 70 - Northern Illinois 71	0.504	Eastern Michigan 57 - Northern Illinois 49	-9
Fairfield 68 - Monmouth 67	0.544	Fairfield 49 - Monmouth 61	13
Florida AM 71 - Howard 65	0.664	Florida AM 66 - Howard 70	10
Florida State 75 - Louisville 76	0.517	Florida State 80 - Louisville 75	-6
Fordham 68 - Duquesne 74	0.703	Fordham 66 - Duquesne 74	2
Furman 69 - East Tennessee State 68	0.541	Furman 91 - East Tennessee State 61	-29
Georgetown 79 - Butler 76	0.579	Georgetown 69 - Butler 73	7
Georgia 76 - Mississippi 78	0.568	Georgia 64 - Mississippi 80	14
Gonzaga 85 - Saint Marys 66	0.888	Gonzaga 94 - Saint Marys 46	-29
Grand Canyon 70 - New Mexico State 69	0.526	Grand Canyon 64 - New Mexico State 67	4
Harvard 76 - Cornell 61	0.848	Harvard 61 - Cornell 67	21
Hofstra 82 - William and Mary 64	0.897	Hofstra 93 - William and Mary 87	12
Illinois 78 - Rutgers 74	0.591	Illinois 99 - Rutgers 94	-1
Iowa State 82 - Texas Christian 72	0.736	Iowa State 83 - Texas Christian 92	19
IUPUI 73 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.641	IUPUI 75 - Illinois Chicago 76	6
Kansas 85 - Oklahoma State 67	0.895	Kansas 84 - Oklahoma State 72	6
Kennesaw St 60 - NJ Tech 74	0.833	Kennesaw St 63 - NJ Tech 62	-15
Lehigh 81 - Navy 64	0.928	Lehigh 83 - Navy 57	-9
Liberty 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 59	0.888	Liberty 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 67	11
Lipscomb 86 - Jacksonville 62	0.947	Lipscomb 86 - Jacksonville 77	15
LIU Brooklyn 68 - Wagner 65	0.597	LIU Brooklyn 65 - Wagner 68	6
Louisiana State 82 - Auburn 78	0.604	Louisiana State 83 - Auburn 78	-1
Marquette 77 - Villanova 74	0.583	Marquette 66 - Villanova 65	2
Massachusetts 67 - Davidson 76	0.81	Massachusetts 54 - Davidson 51	-12
Mcneese State 72 - Northwestern State 65	0.722	Mcneese State 72 - Northwestern State 74	9
Mercer 80 - The Citadel 70	0.753	Mercer 61 - The Citadel 67	16
Miami OH 72 - Ohio 63	0.723	Miami OH 79 - Ohio 59	-11
Michigan 74 - Wisconsin 67	0.674	Michigan 61 - Wisconsin 52	-2
Michigan State 86 - Minnesota 70	0.863	Michigan State 79 - Minnesota 55	-8
Middle Tennessee 62 - Old Dominion 73	0.811	Middle Tennessee 50 - Old Dominion 55	-6
Mississippi State 73 - Kentucky 77	0.607	Mississippi State 67 - Kentucky 71	0
Missouri 76 - Texas AM 69	0.657	Missouri 59 - Texas AM 68	16
Montana 78 - Eastern Washington 60	0.898	Montana 75 - Eastern Washington 74	17
Montana State 79 - Idaho 63	0.864	Montana State 86 - Idaho 72	2
Morehead State 67 - Belmont 79	0.868	Morehead State 86 - Belmont 96	-2
Murray State 84 - SIU Edwardsville 60	0.931	Murray State 86 - SIU Edwardsville 55	-7
Nevada 87 - New Mexico 62	0.89	Nevada 91 - New Mexico 62	-4
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Fresno State 76	0.619	Nevada Las Vegas 65 - Fresno State 83	13
New Hampshire 63 - Binghamton 65	0.567	New Hampshire 61 - Binghamton 68	5
New Orleans 75 - Nicholls State 63	0.812	New Orleans 63 - Nicholls State 64	13
North Alabama 71 - North Florida 72	0.519	North Alabama 73 - North Florida 82	8
North Carolina 90 - Miami 68	0.923	North Carolina 88 - Miami 85	19
North Carolina AT 77 - Delaware State 56	0.924	North Carolina AT 82 - Delaware State 52	-9
North Carolina Central 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	0.851	North Carolina Central 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	-9
North Dakota State 75 - Denver 65	0.757	North Dakota State 81 - Denver 71	0
North Texas 72 - Western Kentucky 68	0.638	North Texas 59 - Western Kentucky 62	7
Northeastern 82 - Elon 60	0.927	Northeastern 72 - Elon 60	10
Northern Arizona 68 - Weber State 74	0.673	Northern Arizona 71 - Weber State 86	9
Northern Colorado 72 - Sacramento State 61	0.791	Northern Colorado 65 - Sacramento State 59	5
Northern Kentucky 79 - Oakland 66	0.878	Northern Kentucky 79 - Oakland 64	-2
Oklahoma 74 - Texas Tech 72	0.532	Oklahoma 54 - Texas Tech 66	14
Oregon State 85 - California 64	0.959	Oregon State 79 - California 71	13
Pepperdine 72 - San Diego 75	0.595	Pepperdine 70 - San Diego 67	-6
Pittsburgh 75 - NC State 76	0.522	Pittsburgh 76 - NC State 79	2
Portland 62 - Loyola Marymount 73	0.801	Portland 55 - Loyola Marymount 72	6
Presbyterian 74 - Gardner Webb 70	0.639	Presbyterian 103 - Gardner Webb 101	2
Purdue 84 - Nebraska 71	0.799	Purdue 81 - Nebraska 62	-6
Radford 72 - High Point 60	0.808	Radford 69 - High Point 66	9
Rhode Island 72 - Dayton 73	0.511	Rhode Island 48 - Dayton 77	28
Rice 81 - Marshall 80	0.504	Rice 74 - Marshall 69	-4
Richmond 73 - George Washington 70	0.592	Richmond 89 - George Washington 63	-23
Robert Morris 72 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.756	Robert Morris 68 - Central Connecticut State 77	18
Sacred Heart 78 - Mt St Marys 64	0.846	Sacred Heart 73 - Mt St Marys 76	17
Saint Bonaventure 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0.708	Saint Bonaventure 55 - Virginia Commonwealth 85	22
Saint Francis Brooklyn 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.581	Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	13
Saint Francis Penn 74 - Bryant 65	0.726	Saint Francis Penn 84 - Bryant 75	0
Saint Johns 79 - Providence 71	0.728	Saint Johns 56 - Providence 70	22
San Diego State 70 - Utah State 74	0.598	San Diego State 68 - Utah State 63	-9
San Francisco 79 - Santa Clara 62	0.884	San Francisco 78 - Santa Clara 72	11
Savannah State 73 - Coppin State 75	0.559	Savannah State 71 - Coppin State 62	-11
SE Missouri State 60 - Jacksonville State 75	0.816	SE Missouri State 64 - Jacksonville State 81	2
Seton Hall 79 - Creighton 77	0.549	Seton Hall 63 - Creighton 58	-3
South Alabama 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.645	South Alabama 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	12
South Carolina 77 - Arkansas 78	0.503	South Carolina 77 - Arkansas 65	-13
South Carolina State 70 - Morgan State 69	0.537	South Carolina State 85 - Morgan State 81	-3
South Dakota State 83 - North Dakota 61	0.887	South Dakota State 80 - North Dakota 55	-3
Southern 66 - Grambling State 70	0.611	Southern 40 - Grambling State 59	15
Southern California 78 - Colorado 71	0.641	Southern California 65 - Colorado 69	11
Southern Illinois 74 - Evansville 68	0.668	Southern Illinois 78 - Evansville 73	1
Southern Miss 70 - Louisiana Tech 65	0.617	Southern Miss 73 - Louisiana Tech 71	3
Southern Utah 74 - Idaho State 68	0.654	Southern Utah 78 - Idaho State 72	0
Stephen F Austin 73 - Lamar 69	0.624	Stephen F Austin 67 - Lamar 82	19
Stony Brook 78 - UMass Lowell 66	0.793	Stony Brook 76 - UMass Lowell 65	1
Syracuse 82 - Boston College 67	0.847	Syracuse 67 - Boston College 56	4
Tennessee 82 - Florida 68	0.865	Tennessee 73 - Florida 61	2
Tennessee Martin 70 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.593	Tennessee Martin 77 - Tennessee Tech 58	-16
Texas AM CC 74 - Incarnate Word 60	0.894	Texas AM CC 70 - Incarnate Word 61	5
Texas Arlington 77 - Appalachian State 68	0.771	Texas Arlington 78 - Appalachian State 68	-1
Texas El Paso 73 - Florida International 74	0.509	Texas El Paso 85 - Florida International 75	-11
Texas San Antonio 79 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.716	Texas San Antonio 86 - Florida Atlantic 74	-3
Texas Southern 76 - Prairie View 71	0.623	Texas Southern 95 - Prairie View 90	0
Texas State 73 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.757	Texas State 65 - Coastal Carolina 57	0
Towson 70 - James Madison 66	0.623	Towson 66 - James Madison 59	-3
Troy 75 - Arkansas State 70	0.706	Troy 84 - Arkansas State 79	0
Tulsa 74 - Temple 75	0.535	Tulsa 76 - Temple 58	-19
UC Irvine 74 - Hawaii 64	0.747	UC Irvine 67 - Hawaii 56	-1
UC Riverside 67 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.664	UC Riverside 54 - Cal State Fullerton 77	17
UC Santa Barbara 76 - UC Davis 60	0.88	UC Santa Barbara 57 - UC Davis 61	20
UCLA 80 - Utah 73	0.676	UCLA 92 - Utah 93	8
UNC Asheville 63 - Charleston Southern 73	0.807	UNC Asheville 75 - Charleston Southern 85	0
Vanderbilt 72 - Alabama 79	0.667	Vanderbilt 67 - Alabama 77	3
Vermont 80 - Albany 58	0.932	Vermont 67 - Albany 49	4
Virginia 75 - Duke 73	0.574	Virginia 71 - Duke 81	12
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Samford 79	0.706	Virginia Military Institute 77 - Samford 84	-2
West Virginia 75 - Texas 78	0.597	West Virginia 53 - Texas 75	19
Wichita State 81 - Tulane 62	0.9	Wichita State 77 - Tulane 62	4
Winthrop 80 - Hampton 71	0.749	Winthrop 101 - Hampton 91	-1
Wofford 87 - Western Carolina 60	0.95	Wofford 83 - Western Carolina 56	0
Wright State 74 - Detroit 65	0.704	Wright State 83 - Detroit 60	-14
Wyoming 68 - Colorado State 76	0.691	Wyoming 74 - Colorado State 66	-16
Xavier 77 - DePaul 73	0.638	Xavier 62 - DePaul 74	16
Yale 78 - Pennsylvania 70	0.719	Yale 78 - Pennsylvania 65	-5
Youngstown State 76 - Green Bay 77	0.52	Youngstown State 96 - Green Bay 77	-20

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
George Mason 79 - La Salle 65	0.864	George Mason 84 - La Salle 76	6
Houston 74 - Cincinnati 67	0.708	Houston 65 - Cincinnati 58	0
Indiana 75 - Ohio State 73	0.555	Indiana 52 - Ohio State 55	5
Iona 78 - Niagara 73	0.636	Iona 79 - Niagara 76	2
Iowa 83 - Northwestern 71	0.797	Iowa 80 - Northwestern 79	11
Lafayette 68 - Holy Cross 70	0.582	Lafayette 69 - Holy Cross 67	-4
Maine 63 - UMBC 69	0.645	Maine 66 - UMBC 67	-5
Memphis 81 - Connecticut 76	0.615	Memphis 78 - Connecticut 71	-2
Missouri State 72 - Illinois State 71	0.511	Missouri State 66 - Illinois State 65	0
Notre Dame 74 - Georgia Tech 69	0.638	Notre Dame 69 - Georgia Tech 59	-5
Oregon 76 - Stanford 67	0.744	Oregon 69 - Stanford 46	-14
Rider 72 - Siena 63	0.758	Rider 57 - Siena 59	11
Saint Peters 66 - Canisius 70	0.626	Saint Peters 60 - Canisius 64	0
South Dakota 71 - Oral Roberts 65	0.664	South Dakota 72 - Oral Roberts 86	20
South Florida 79 - East Carolina 60	0.909	South Florida 72 - East Carolina 68	15
Southern Methodist 70 - Central Florida 73	0.587	Southern Methodist 65 - Central Florida 71	3
Valparaiso 65 - Loyola Ill 69	0.583	Valparaiso 51 - Loyola Ill 56	1

Number of DI Games: 330
Number Correct: 228 = 69%
Expected Number Correct: 232.085 = 70.3%
Average Error: 9.21
Average Signed Error: 1.75

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.534	Alabama AM 60 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	10
Alabama State 75 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.829	Alabama State 82 - Mississippi Valley State 59	-8
Alcorn State 61 - Grambling State 68	0.673	Alcorn State 53 - Grambling State 65	5
Baylor 78 - Oklahoma 72	0.629	Baylor 59 - Oklahoma 53	0
Bethune Cookman 74 - Howard 67	0.694	Bethune Cookman 73 - Howard 79	13
Bucknell 78 - Lehigh 73	0.651	Bucknell 87 - Lehigh 75	-7
Florida AM 67 - Norfolk State 66	0.504	Florida AM 54 - Norfolk State 66	13
North Carolina 77 - Virginia 76	0.531	North Carolina 61 - Virginia 69	9
North Carolina AT 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	0.9	North Carolina AT 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	13
North Carolina Central 73 - Delaware State 56	0.865	North Carolina Central 87 - Delaware State 52	-18
Sacramento State 70 - Portland State 66	0.645	Sacramento State 78 - Portland State 67	-7
Savannah State 75 - Morgan State 74	0.541	Savannah State 88 - Morgan State 85	-2
South Carolina State 69 - Coppin State 66	0.638	South Carolina State 85 - Coppin State 84	2
Southern 64 - Jackson State 65	0.528	Southern 76 - Jackson State 67	-10
Texas Christian 79 - Kansas 78	0.509	Texas Christian 77 - Kansas 82	6

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 68 - Buffalo 76	0.7	Akron 70 - Buffalo 76	-2
Boston College 76 - Pittsburgh 74	0.561	Boston College 66 - Pittsburgh 57	-7
Bowling Green 80 - Central Michigan 72	0.685	Bowling Green 79 - Central Michigan 72	1
Cal Baptist 91 - Unranked 58		Cal Baptist 115 - Unranked 65
Colorado State 72 - San Diego State 74	0.528	Colorado State 60 - San Diego State 71	9
DePaul 73 - Marquette 80	0.704	DePaul 73 - Marquette 92	12
Fordham 63 - Davidson 74	0.814	Fordham 69 - Davidson 79	-1
Kentucky 82 - Louisiana State 73	0.756	Kentucky 71 - Louisiana State 73	11
Louisville 76 - Duke 82	0.667	Louisville 69 - Duke 71	-4
Maryland 76 - Purdue 77	0.531	Maryland 70 - Purdue 56	-15
Mississippi State 80 - Alabama 74	0.682	Mississippi State 81 - Alabama 62	-13
Missouri 73 - Arkansas 74	0.508	Missouri 79 - Arkansas 78	-2
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Air Force 68	0.703	Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Air Force 72	5
Ohio 69 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.524	Ohio 57 - Eastern Michigan 66	10
Penn State 66 - Michigan 78	0.826	Penn State 75 - Michigan 69	-18
Quinnipiac 73 - Rider 69	0.643	Quinnipiac 98 - Rider 88	-6
Saint Johns 78 - Butler 73	0.611	Saint Johns 77 - Butler 73	1
Saint Josephs 73 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.576	Saint Josephs 51 - Saint Bonaventure 76	29
Southern Illinois 71 - Drake 72	0.518	Southern Illinois 69 - Drake 72	2
Texas 73 - Kansas State 70	0.576	Texas 64 - Kansas State 71	10
Texas AM 79 - Georgia 73	0.645	Texas AM 73 - Georgia 56	-11
Western Michigan 68 - Northern Illinois 76	0.714	Western Michigan 76 - Northern Illinois 74	-10
Wisconsin 74 - Michigan State 75	0.514	Wisconsin 59 - Michigan State 67	7

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 73 - UMass Lowell 70	0.568	Albany 54 - UMass Lowell 86	35
American 75 - Loyola MD 65	0.796	American 84 - Loyola MD 86	12
Army 71 - Boston 66	0.623	Army 71 - Boston 61	-5
Auburn 83 - Mississippi 74	0.713	Auburn 55 - Mississippi 60	14
Binghamton 62 - UMBC 69	0.719	Binghamton 50 - UMBC 64	7
Bradley 65 - Loyola Ill 69	0.585	Bradley 61 - Loyola Ill 54	-11
Cal State Fullerton 78 - Long Beach State 69	0.773	Cal State Fullerton 85 - Long Beach State 82	6
California 72 - UCLA 81	0.754	California 67 - UCLA 75	-1
Campbell 76 - Hampton 68	0.745	Campbell 87 - Hampton 84	5
Central Arkansas 77 - Houston Baptist 73	0.659	Central Arkansas 71 - Houston Baptist 75	8
Central Florida 74 - South Florida 66	0.75	Central Florida 78 - South Florida 65	-5
Colorado 75 - Arizona State 74	0.515	Colorado 77 - Arizona State 73	-3
East Carolina 69 - Memphis 81	0.765	East Carolina 69 - Memphis 79	-2
Evansville 70 - Missouri State 71	0.506	Evansville 56 - Missouri State 68	11
Florida 80 - Vanderbilt 65	0.86	Florida 66 - Vanderbilt 57	6
Florida Gulf Coast 68 - NJ Tech 69	0.52	Florida Gulf Coast 57 - NJ Tech 55	-3
Florida State 87 - Wake Forest 66	0.926	Florida State 88 - Wake Forest 66	-1
Fresno State 77 - Boise State 65	0.787	Fresno State 65 - Boise State 63	10
Gardner Webb 76 - Charleston Southern 70	0.668	Gardner Webb 77 - Charleston Southern 74	3
George Mason 78 - Massachusetts 66	0.823	George Mason 80 - Massachusetts 75	7
George Washington 67 - Saint Louis 72	0.619	George Washington 58 - Saint Louis 73	10
Georgia Southern 79 - South Alabama 67	0.802	Georgia Southern 75 - South Alabama 65	2
Georgia State 79 - Troy 66	0.865	Georgia State 77 - Troy 63	-1
Hartford 77 - Maine 63	0.841	Hartford 81 - Maine 73	6
High Point 70 - Longwood 60	0.752	High Point 59 - Longwood 62	13
Holy Cross 66 - Colgate 68	0.559	Holy Cross 70 - Colgate 74	2
La Salle 73 - Duquesne 74	0.537	La Salle 73 - Duquesne 72	-2
Lamar 75 - Northwestern State 63	0.851	Lamar 75 - Northwestern State 70	7
Lipscomb 74 - Liberty 65	0.764	Lipscomb 66 - Liberty 74	17
Miami 71 - Clemson 74	0.606	Miami 65 - Clemson 64	-4
Navy 71 - Lafayette 66	0.65	Navy 74 - Lafayette 80	11
NC State 77 - Syracuse 75	0.547	NC State 73 - Syracuse 58	-13
Nebraska 78 - Minnesota 73	0.603	Nebraska 62 - Minnesota 61	4
New Mexico 83 - San Jose State 63	0.853	New Mexico 92 - San Jose State 60	-12
Nicholls State 64 - Abilene Christian 74	0.807	Nicholls State 48 - Abilene Christian 64	6
North Florida 79 - Kennesaw St 65	0.801	North Florida 80 - Kennesaw St 57	-9
Northern Iowa 71 - Illinois State 70	0.504	Northern Iowa 77 - Illinois State 64	-12
Northwestern 77 - Rutgers 71	0.683	Northwestern 56 - Rutgers 59	9
Oklahoma State 68 - Texas Tech 77	0.729	Oklahoma State 50 - Texas Tech 78	19
Seton Hall 81 - Georgetown 76	0.659	Seton Hall 90 - Georgetown 75	-10
Siena 72 - Iona 66	0.68	Siena 52 - Iona 57	11
South Carolina Upstate 69 - UNC Asheville 62	0.722	South Carolina Upstate 53 - UNC Asheville 57	11
Southeast Louisiana 74 - Incarnate Word 58	0.902	Southeast Louisiana 70 - Incarnate Word 64	10
Stanford 76 - Southern California 74	0.549	Stanford 79 - Southern California 76	-1
Stephen F Austin 74 - Mcneese State 66	0.754	Stephen F Austin 67 - Mcneese State 57	-2
Stetson 69 - Jacksonville 74	0.628	Stetson 70 - Jacksonville 93	18
Temple 79 - Southern Methodist 70	0.751	Temple 82 - Southern Methodist 74	1
Tennessee 90 - South Carolina 69	0.92	Tennessee 85 - South Carolina 73	9
Texas AM CC 62 - Sam Houston State 69	0.742	Texas AM CC 69 - Sam Houston State 70	-6
UC Davis 74 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.61	UC Davis 76 - Cal State Northridge 59	-14
Utah State 84 - Wyoming 58	0.956	Utah State 76 - Wyoming 59	9
Valparaiso 73 - Indiana State 68	0.608	Valparaiso 82 - Indiana State 87	10
Vermont 83 - New Hampshire 48	0.974	Vermont 73 - New Hampshire 44	6
Villanova 80 - Providence 65	0.887	Villanova 85 - Providence 67	-3
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Richmond 61	0.887	Virginia Commonwealth 81 - Richmond 60	-2
Virginia Tech 79 - Georgia Tech 61	0.872	Virginia Tech 76 - Georgia Tech 68	10
Winthrop 78 - Presbyterian 71	0.706	Winthrop 93 - Presbyterian 85	-1
Xavier 75 - Creighton 77	0.542	Xavier 64 - Creighton 61	-5

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Texas Arlington 71	0.566	Arkansas Little Rock 56 - Texas Arlington 52	-6
Arkansas State 65 - Texas State 74	0.795	Arkansas State 74 - Texas State 84	1
Austin Peay 72 - Murray State 71	0.515	Austin Peay 71 - Murray State 73	3
Bryant 69 - Sacred Heart 72	0.583	Bryant 104 - Sacred Heart 105	-2
Chicago State 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 80	0.882	Chicago State 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 75	-5
Cleveland State 68 - Illinois Chicago 74	0.657	Cleveland State 77 - Illinois Chicago 81	-2
College of Charleston 71 - Hofstra 72	0.525	College of Charleston 95 - Hofstra 99	3
Connecticut 68 - Houston 78	0.799	Connecticut 63 - Houston 71	-2
Denver 70 - IPFW 76	0.614	Denver 81 - IPFW 94	7
East Tennessee State 84 - The Citadel 65	0.867	East Tennessee State 91 - The Citadel 83	11
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.682	Fairleigh Dickinson 62 - Saint Francis Penn 87	31
Florida Atlantic 67 - North Texas 70	0.596	Florida Atlantic 57 - North Texas 47	-13
Florida International 80 - Rice 78	0.556	Florida International 86 - Rice 65	-19
Furman 70 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.601	Furman 67 - UNC Greensboro 57	-6
Green Bay 78 - Oakland 75	0.593	Green Bay 66 - Oakland 54	-9
Hawaii 79 - Cal Poly 58	0.908	Hawaii 75 - Cal Poly 54	0
Idaho 59 - Northern Colorado 74	0.849	Idaho 47 - Northern Colorado 75	13
Idaho State 70 - Montana State 73	0.573	Idaho State 76 - Montana State 84	5
James Madison 71 - Drexel 72	0.507	James Madison 71 - Drexel 69	-3
Louisiana Tech 73 - Texas El Paso 61	0.806	Louisiana Tech 71 - Texas El Paso 57	-2
Loyola Marymount 61 - Gonzaga 83	0.899	Loyola Marymount 60 - Gonzaga 73	-9
Marshall 77 - Alabama Birmingham 74	0.568	Marshall 68 - Alabama Birmingham 77	12
Milwaukee 70 - Detroit 69	0.514	Milwaukee 84 - Detroit 90	7
Morehead State 75 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.575	Morehead State 78 - Eastern Kentucky 72	-4
Mt St Marys 63 - Robert Morris 68	0.639	Mt St Marys 76 - Robert Morris 62	-19
New Mexico State 76 - Utah Valley 65	0.784	New Mexico State 84 - Utah Valley 77	4
North Dakota State 74 - Oral Roberts 66	0.715	North Dakota State 85 - Oral Roberts 73	-4
Ohio State 82 - Illinois 72	0.738	Ohio State 56 - Illinois 63	17
Omaha 74 - South Dakota State 77	0.578	Omaha 85 - South Dakota State 84	-4
Portland State 73 - Northern Arizona 67	0.679	Portland State 103 - Northern Arizona 94	-3
Sacramento State 69 - Southern Utah 67	0.548	Sacramento State 84 - Southern Utah 73	-9
Saint Francis Brooklyn 70 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.694	Saint Francis Brooklyn 83 - LIU Brooklyn 76	-1
San Diego 76 - Brigham Young 73	0.584	San Diego 82 - Brigham Young 88	9
San Francisco 81 - Pepperdine 66	0.858	San Francisco 89 - Pepperdine 77	3
Santa Clara 68 - Saint Marys 75	0.681	Santa Clara 55 - Saint Marys 66	4
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Eastern Illinois 71	0.545	SIU Edwardsville 65 - Eastern Illinois 79	13
Southern Miss 74 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.549	Southern Miss 78 - Texas San Antonio 71	-5
Tennessee Martin 72 - SE Missouri State 66	0.685	Tennessee Martin 81 - SE Missouri State 72	-3
Tennessee State 64 - Belmont 80	0.853	Tennessee State 66 - Belmont 77	-5
Tennessee Tech 58 - Jacksonville State 72	0.801	Tennessee Tech 57 - Jacksonville State 67	-4
Texas Pan American 73 - Seattle 66	0.694	Texas Pan American 59 - Seattle 44	-8
Towson 68 - Delaware 65	0.576	Towson 71 - Delaware 78	10
Tulane 66 - Tulsa 79	0.823	Tulane 57 - Tulsa 80	10
UC Riverside 62 - UC Santa Barbara 73	0.741	UC Riverside 71 - UC Santa Barbara 57	-25
UMKC 64 - Grand Canyon 74	0.754	UMKC 87 - Grand Canyon 75	-22
UNC Wilmington 68 - Northeastern 80	0.808	UNC Wilmington 77 - Northeastern 81	-8
Utah 76 - Arizona 72	0.602	Utah 83 - Arizona 76	-3
Wagner 68 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.632	Wagner 63 - Central Connecticut State 57	-1
Weber State 69 - Montana 71	0.544	Weber State 80 - Montana 83	1
Western Carolina 70 - Mercer 72	0.554	Western Carolina 65 - Mercer 74	7
Western Kentucky 78 - Middle Tennessee 62	0.896	Western Kentucky 71 - Middle Tennessee 63	8
Western Michigan 68 - Kent State 78	0.74	Western Michigan 63 - Kent State 82	9
Wofford 89 - Virginia Military Institute 59	0.952	Wofford 95 - Virginia Military Institute 84	19
Youngstown State 70 - IUPUI 72	0.553	Youngstown State 75 - IUPUI 73	-4

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 74 - Fairfield 64	0.81	Canisius 72 - Fairfield 68	6
Columbia 66 - Yale 81	0.886	Columbia 64 - Yale 70	-9
Cornell 69 - Brown 70	0.528	Cornell 70 - Brown 66	-5
Davidson 78 - Saint Josephs 65	0.817	Davidson 80 - Saint Josephs 72	5
Georgia Southern 81 - Troy 69	0.86	Georgia Southern 76 - Troy 51	-13
Georgia State 76 - South Alabama 64	0.809	Georgia State 90 - South Alabama 81	3
Iona 76 - Saint Peters 65	0.792	Iona 62 - Saint Peters 46	-5
Niagara 69 - Manhattan 63	0.661	Niagara 60 - Manhattan 64	10
Pennsylvania 77 - Dartmouth 66	0.757	Pennsylvania 82 - Dartmouth 79	8
Princeton 69 - Harvard 67	0.562	Princeton 69 - Harvard 78	11
Quinnipiac 72 - Marist 65	0.731	Quinnipiac 61 - Marist 63	9
Rider 73 - Monmouth 66	0.678	Rider 81 - Monmouth 72	-2
Toledo 75 - Buffalo 76	0.511	Toledo 82 - Buffalo 88	5
Wright State 69 - Northern Kentucky 70	0.527	Wright State 81 - Northern Kentucky 77	-5

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 65 - Utah State 77	0.758	Air Force 62 - Utah State 76	2
Alabama 75 - Florida 70	0.634	Alabama 53 - Florida 71	23
Alabama State 70 - Alabama AM 61	0.733	Alabama State 68 - Alabama AM 62	3
American 69 - Colgate 68	0.517	American 81 - Colgate 83	3
Appalachian State 73 - Coastal Carolina 74	0.535	Appalachian State 88 - Coastal Carolina 79	-10
Arkansas 77 - Mississippi State 78	0.526	Arkansas 67 - Mississippi State 77	9
Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Texas State 73	0.675	Arkansas Little Rock 60 - Texas State 67	0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Southern 64	0.704	Arkansas Pine Bluff 61 - Southern 45	-8
Arkansas State 67 - Texas Arlington 72	0.669	Arkansas State 83 - Texas Arlington 79	-9
Ball State 72 - Akron 69	0.578	Ball State 57 - Akron 56	2
Boston 71 - Lehigh 76	0.642	Boston 79 - Lehigh 84	0
Butler 79 - DePaul 71	0.703	Butler 91 - DePaul 78	-5
Cal State Northridge 74 - Cal State Fullerton 75	0.549	Cal State Northridge 71 - Cal State Fullerton 78	6
California 71 - Southern California 81	0.764	California 66 - Southern California 89	13
Central Florida 79 - Memphis 72	0.676	Central Florida 79 - Memphis 72	0
Central Michigan 79 - Ohio 69	0.78	Central Michigan 87 - Ohio 80	3
Charleston Southern 68 - Radford 74	0.693	Charleston Southern 53 - Radford 52	-7
Chicago State 57 - Grand Canyon 83	0.943	Chicago State 59 - Grand Canyon 90	5
Cleveland State 68 - IUPUI 73	0.666	Cleveland State 89 - IUPUI 86	-8
College of Charleston 71 - Northeastern 68	0.573	College of Charleston 88 - Northeastern 79	-6
Columbia 68 - Brown 75	0.706	Columbia 63 - Brown 65	-5
Cornell 68 - Yale 77	0.743	Cornell 92 - Yale 98	-3
Dayton 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.512	Dayton 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	2
Drake 76 - Valparaiso 66	0.785	Drake 84 - Valparaiso 79	5
Duke 91 - NC State 70	0.931	Duke 94 - NC State 78	5
Duquesne 78 - George Washington 66	0.818	Duquesne 85 - George Washington 69	-4
East Tennessee State 78 - Mercer 62	0.867	East Tennessee State 88 - Mercer 69	-3
Eastern Illinois 73 - SE Missouri State 64	0.742	Eastern Illinois 79 - SE Missouri State 88	18
Eastern Kentucky 69 - Murray State 79	0.746	Eastern Kentucky 70 - Murray State 102	22
Eastern Washington 67 - Northern Colorado 69	0.572	Eastern Washington 88 - Northern Colorado 78	-12
Elon 69 - William and Mary 72	0.592	Elon 74 - William and Mary 84	7
Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Bryant 64	0.794	Fairleigh Dickinson 97 - Bryant 84	-1
Florida Atlantic 77 - Rice 71	0.669	Florida Atlantic 60 - Rice 41	-13
Florida International 71 - North Texas 78	0.709	Florida International 69 - North Texas 59	-17
Furman 84 - Virginia Military Institute 59	0.913	Furman 96 - Virginia Military Institute 62	-9
Gardner Webb 74 - Winthrop 75	0.504	Gardner Webb 64 - Winthrop 60	-5
Georgia 74 - Louisiana State 85	0.796	Georgia 79 - Louisiana State 83	-7
Georgia Tech 68 - Florida State 77	0.72	Georgia Tech 47 - Florida State 69	13
Grambling State 72 - Texas Southern 71	0.525	Grambling State 85 - Texas Southern 86	2
Green Bay 78 - Detroit 73	0.616	Green Bay 82 - Detroit 73	-4
Hampton 70 - High Point 69	0.526	Hampton 81 - High Point 86	6
Hartford 67 - Vermont 75	0.695	Hartford 75 - Vermont 77	-6
Hawaii 77 - UC Riverside 60	0.849	Hawaii 87 - UC Riverside 64	-6
Holy Cross 67 - Bucknell 72	0.638	Holy Cross 72 - Bucknell 71	-6
Houston Baptist 77 - Nicholls State 70	0.733	Houston Baptist 88 - Nicholls State 82	1
Howard 70 - North Carolina AT 69	0.534	Howard 81 - North Carolina AT 85	5
Idaho State 63 - Montana 75	0.788	Idaho State 68 - Montana 80	0
Illinois State 74 - Bradley 67	0.664	Illinois State 59 - Bradley 65	13
Incarnate Word 61 - Abilene Christian 76	0.908	Incarnate Word 48 - Abilene Christian 68	5
Indiana State 72 - Southern Illinois 71	0.529	Indiana State 57 - Southern Illinois 79	23
Jackson State 64 - Prairie View 67	0.575	Jackson State 66 - Prairie View 79	10
Jacksonville State 76 - Tennessee State 58	0.848	Jacksonville State 84 - Tennessee State 65	-1
James Madison 69 - Delaware 68	0.535	James Madison 68 - Delaware 61	-6
Kansas 88 - West Virginia 69	0.897	Kansas 78 - West Virginia 53	-6
Kansas State 74 - Iowa State 72	0.56	Kansas State 64 - Iowa State 78	16
Kennesaw St 59 - Lipscomb 84	0.944	Kennesaw St 67 - Lipscomb 83	-9
Kent State 75 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.676	Kent State 71 - Eastern Michigan 58	-5
Kentucky 79 - Tennessee 75	0.613	Kentucky 86 - Tennessee 69	-13
Lamar 67 - Sam Houston State 72	0.672	Lamar 75 - Sam Houston State 72	-8
LIU Brooklyn 73 - Sacred Heart 72	0.533	LIU Brooklyn 92 - Sacred Heart 84	-7
Longwood 73 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.776	Longwood 83 - South Carolina Upstate 79	6
Louisiana Tech 74 - Texas San Antonio 73	0.508	Louisiana Tech 72 - Texas San Antonio 67	-4
Louisville 78 - Clemson 69	0.726	Louisville 56 - Clemson 55	8
Loyola Marymount 71 - Brigham Young 72	0.521	Loyola Marymount 62 - Brigham Young 70	7
Marshall 79 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.694	Marshall 98 - Middle Tennessee 93	3
Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Coppin State 65	0.627	Maryland Eastern Shore 55 - Coppin State 58	-1
Michigan 77 - Maryland 68	0.736	Michigan 65 - Maryland 52	-4
Milwaukee 69 - Oakland 71	0.55	Milwaukee 73 - Oakland 89	14
Minnesota 77 - Indiana 73	0.628	Minnesota 84 - Indiana 63	-17
Mississippi 79 - Missouri 68	0.771	Mississippi 75 - Missouri 65	1
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Alcorn State 66	0.513	Mississippi Valley State 76 - Alcorn State 68	-9
Morehead State 67 - Austin Peay 75	0.77	Morehead State 70 - Austin Peay 73	-5
Mt St Marys 63 - Wagner 64	0.548	Mt St Marys 56 - Wagner 58	1
Navy 67 - Army 66	0.53	Navy 79 - Army 68	-10
Nebraska 77 - Northwestern 70	0.693	Nebraska 59 - Northwestern 50	-2
New Hampshire 54 - Stony Brook 75	0.949	New Hampshire 64 - Stony Brook 66	-19
New Mexico 69 - Fresno State 76	0.653	New Mexico 73 - Fresno State 81	1
New Mexico State 79 - Seattle 60	0.878	New Mexico State 59 - Seattle 53	13
New Orleans 68 - Texas AM CC 63	0.663	New Orleans 68 - Texas AM CC 58	-5
NJ Tech 76 - North Florida 67	0.721	NJ Tech 63 - North Florida 64	10
Norfolk State 71 - North Carolina Central 62	0.761	Norfolk State 75 - North Carolina Central 71	5
North Alabama 58 - Liberty 73	0.872	North Alabama 70 - Liberty 80	-5
North Dakota 70 - Oral Roberts 69	0.519	North Dakota 85 - Oral Roberts 73	-11
North Dakota State 68 - South Dakota State 76	0.666	North Dakota State 77 - South Dakota State 78	-7
Northern Illinois 72 - Bowling Green 73	0.521	Northern Illinois 67 - Bowling Green 87	19
Northwestern State 67 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.565	Northwestern State 87 - Stephen F Austin 72	-17
Old Dominion 75 - Charlotte 55	0.909	Old Dominion 73 - Charlotte 60	7
Omaha 80 - IPFW 74	0.622	Omaha 74 - IPFW 71	3
Oregon State 71 - Oregon 70	0.539	Oregon State 72 - Oregon 57	-14
Pennsylvania 73 - Harvard 69	0.603	Pennsylvania 68 - Harvard 75	11
Pittsburgh 69 - Virginia Tech 77	0.698	Pittsburgh 64 - Virginia Tech 70	-2
Portland 61 - San Francisco 81	0.936	Portland 63 - San Francisco 68	-15
Portland State 71 - Southern Utah 70	0.529	Portland State 78 - Southern Utah 69	-8
Presbyterian 72 - Campbell 68	0.64	Presbyterian 76 - Campbell 71	-1
Princeton 73 - Dartmouth 64	0.741	Princeton 69 - Dartmouth 68	8
Providence 76 - Xavier 69	0.738	Providence 61 - Xavier 75	21
Purdue 87 - Penn State 67	0.944	Purdue 76 - Penn State 64	8
Rhode Island 76 - Fordham 63	0.797	Rhode Island 63 - Fordham 66	16
Rutgers 75 - Iowa 82	0.674	Rutgers 69 - Iowa 71	-5
Sacramento State 71 - Northern Arizona 64	0.693	Sacramento State 66 - Northern Arizona 78	19
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.694	Saint Francis Brooklyn 90 - Central Connecticut State 79	-4
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Robert Morris 66	0.617	Saint Francis Penn 72 - Robert Morris 69	1
Saint Louis 76 - La Salle 66	0.753	Saint Louis 62 - La Salle 49	-3
Saint Marys 81 - Pepperdine 66	0.822	Saint Marys 72 - Pepperdine 65	8
Samford 78 - Chattanooga 67	0.838	Samford 80 - Chattanooga 76	7
San Diego 66 - Gonzaga 84	0.878	San Diego 67 - Gonzaga 79	-6
San Diego State 74 - Boise State 69	0.614	San Diego State 71 - Boise State 65	-1
San Jose State 66 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	0.794	San Jose State 64 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	-7
Santa Clara 72 - Pacific 67	0.65	Santa Clara 64 - Pacific 59	0
Savannah State 69 - Florida AM 71	0.552	Savannah State 74 - Florida AM 78	2
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.531	SIU Edwardsville 69 - Tennessee Martin 73	5
South Carolina 79 - Texas AM 73	0.654	South Carolina 84 - Texas AM 77	-1
South Carolina State 67 - Bethune Cookman 70	0.61	South Carolina State 73 - Bethune Cookman 98	22
South Florida 74 - Temple 71	0.59	South Florida 69 - Temple 70	4
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Mcneese State 62	0.811	Southeast Louisiana 88 - Mcneese State 52	-26
Southern Miss 74 - Texas El Paso 60	0.807	Southern Miss 77 - Texas El Paso 47	-16
Stanford 77 - UCLA 75	0.558	Stanford 104 - UCLA 80	-22
Stetson 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	0.674	Stetson 67 - Florida Gulf Coast 55	-18
Tennessee Tech 61 - Belmont 80	0.916	Tennessee Tech 65 - Belmont 93	9
Texas 82 - Oklahoma State 68	0.819	Texas 69 - Oklahoma State 57	2
Texas Christian 81 - Oklahoma 74	0.648	Texas Christian 62 - Oklahoma 71	16
Texas Pan American 70 - Utah Valley 71	0.525	Texas Pan American 64 - Utah Valley 76	11
Texas Tech 76 - Baylor 68	0.679	Texas Tech 86 - Baylor 61	-17
Towson 70 - Drexel 69	0.54	Towson 92 - Drexel 77	-14
UC Davis 73 - Long Beach State 70	0.593	UC Davis 77 - Long Beach State 73	-1
UC Irvine 72 - UC Santa Barbara 63	0.751	UC Irvine 83 - UC Santa Barbara 70	-4
UL Lafayette 75 - UL Monroe 76	0.506	UL Lafayette 83 - UL Monroe 76	-8
UMBC 74 - UMass Lowell 67	0.676	UMBC 70 - UMass Lowell 66	3
UMKC 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 71	0.564	UMKC 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	-11
UNC Wilmington 68 - Hofstra 83	0.848	UNC Wilmington 87 - Hofstra 79	-23
Utah 78 - Arizona State 77	0.502	Utah 87 - Arizona State 98	12
Vanderbilt 71 - Auburn 84	0.772	Vanderbilt 53 - Auburn 64	-2
Virginia 83 - Notre Dame 60	0.959	Virginia 60 - Notre Dame 54	17
Wake Forest 71 - North Carolina 89	0.896	Wake Forest 57 - North Carolina 95	20
Washington State 66 - Washington 80	0.819	Washington State 70 - Washington 72	-12
Weber State 76 - Montana State 69	0.709	Weber State 94 - Montana State 82	-5
Western Carolina 76 - The Citadel 75	0.527	Western Carolina 103 - The Citadel 82	-20
Western Illinois 69 - South Dakota 67	0.546	Western Illinois 67 - South Dakota 80	15
Western Kentucky 75 - Alabama Birmingham 65	0.791	Western Kentucky 60 - Alabama Birmingham 68	18
Western Michigan 65 - Miami OH 75	0.757	Western Michigan 84 - Miami OH 79	-15
Wofford 75 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.746	Wofford 80 - UNC Greensboro 50	-21
Wyoming 59 - Nevada 85	0.939	Wyoming 49 - Nevada 82	7
Youngstown State 70 - Illinois Chicago 72	0.553	Youngstown State 81 - Illinois Chicago 73	-10

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 76 - Miami 75	0.534	Boston College 64 - Miami 57	-6
Canisius 71 - Manhattan 60	0.808	Canisius 65 - Manhattan 70	16
Cincinnati 79 - Wichita State 64	0.842	Cincinnati 72 - Wichita State 62	5
Colorado 74 - Arizona 70	0.599	Colorado 67 - Arizona 60	-3
Creighton 79 - Seton Hall 75	0.623	Creighton 75 - Seton Hall 81	10
East Carolina 67 - Tulsa 77	0.749	East Carolina 73 - Tulsa 77	-6
Evansville 72 - Northern Iowa 69	0.594	Evansville 58 - Northern Iowa 73	18
Loyola Ill 73 - Missouri State 63	0.681	Loyola Ill 61 - Missouri State 65	14
Loyola MD 75 - Lafayette 70	0.662	Loyola MD 64 - Lafayette 69	10
Maine 68 - Albany 67	0.503	Maine 54 - Albany 63	10
Michigan State 82 - Ohio State 69	0.836	Michigan State 62 - Ohio State 44	-5
Monmouth 70 - Marist 64	0.627	Monmouth 67 - Marist 75	14
Niagara 73 - Fairfield 67	0.643	Niagara 78 - Fairfield 73	1
Saint Bonaventure 70 - George Mason 71	0.521	Saint Bonaventure 79 - George Mason 56	-24
Saint Johns 73 - Villanova 78	0.621	Saint Johns 71 - Villanova 65	-11
Saint Peters 66 - Rider 71	0.676	Saint Peters 65 - Rider 71	1
Siena 67 - Quinnipiac 64	0.595	Siena 100 - Quinnipiac 107	10
Tulane 57 - Houston 84	0.996	Tulane 50 - Houston 85	8

Number of DI Games: 324
Number Correct: 226 = 69.7%
Expected Number Correct: 223.048 = 68.8%
Average Error: 8.22
Average Signed Error: 0.75

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Alcorn State 59	0.761	Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 - Alcorn State 62	0
Eastern Washington 76 - Idaho 59	0.897	Eastern Washington 82 - Idaho 57	-8
Grambling State 70 - Prairie View 67	0.571	Grambling State 87 - Prairie View 92	8
Holy Cross 70 - Boston 64	0.688	Holy Cross 60 - Boston 70	16
Howard 70 - North Carolina Central 66	0.608	Howard 90 - North Carolina Central 98	12
Jackson State 66 - Texas Southern 73	0.681	Jackson State 65 - Texas Southern 77	5
Mississippi Valley State 67 - Southern 68	0.515	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Southern 59	-12
Norfolk State 71 - North Carolina AT 64	0.722	Norfolk State 76 - North Carolina AT 58	-11
Oklahoma State 75 - Texas Christian 79	0.628	Oklahoma State 68 - Texas Christian 61	-11
Savannah State 71 - Bethune Cookman 75	0.593	Savannah State 79 - Bethune Cookman 70	-13
South Carolina State 64 - Florida AM 66	0.572	South Carolina State 57 - Florida AM 54	-5
Virginia Tech 68 - Virginia 72	0.631	Virginia Tech 58 - Virginia 64	2
West Virginia 69 - Kansas State 78	0.72	West Virginia 51 - Kansas State 65	5
Wisconsin 83 - Illinois 69	0.806	Wisconsin 64 - Illinois 58	8

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 73 - Akron 64	0.708	Bowling Green 73 - Akron 69	5
Buffalo 87 - Ohio 62	0.943	Buffalo 114 - Ohio 67	-22
Central Michigan 77 - Kent State 75	0.564	Central Michigan 84 - Kent State 74	-8
Clemson 73 - Florida State 74	0.503	Clemson 64 - Florida State 77	12
Colgate 72 - Bucknell 70	0.552	Colgate 75 - Bucknell 64	-9
Davidson 73 - Dayton 70	0.631	Davidson 73 - Dayton 74	4
Drake 76 - Bradley 67	0.735	Drake 77 - Bradley 68	0
Eastern Michigan 66 - Toledo 73	0.663	Eastern Michigan 76 - Toledo 69	-14
Indiana 73 - Purdue 81	0.7	Indiana 46 - Purdue 48	-6
Iowa 80 - Maryland 77	0.582	Iowa 65 - Maryland 66	4
Iowa State 81 - Baylor 72	0.717	Iowa State 69 - Baylor 73	13
Miami OH 73 - Ball State 70	0.574	Miami OH 69 - Ball State 66	0
Missouri 65 - Kentucky 80	0.821	Missouri 58 - Kentucky 66	-7
New Mexico State 95 - Unranked 47		New Mexico State 80 - Unranked 42
Notre Dame 81 - Wake Forest 69	0.803	Notre Dame 68 - Wake Forest 75	19
Penn State 74 - Nebraska 75	0.518	Penn State 95 - Nebraska 71	-25
Quinnipiac 77 - Iona 70	0.723	Quinnipiac 77 - Iona 81	11
Siena 68 - Saint Peters 56	0.829	Siena 72 - Saint Peters 62	2
South Carolina 77 - Mississippi 79	0.566	South Carolina 79 - Mississippi 64	-17
Tennessee 91 - Vanderbilt 65	0.954	Tennessee 58 - Vanderbilt 46	14
Texas AM 75 - Alabama 76	0.521	Texas AM 65 - Alabama 56	-10
Texas Pan American 89 - Unranked 52		Texas Pan American 85 - Unranked 66
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Rhode Island 62	0.862	Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Rhode Island 42	-18
Wyoming 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	0.713	Wyoming 56 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	1

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 80 - Stanford 72	0.682	Arizona State 80 - Stanford 62	-10
Auburn 84 - Arkansas 72	0.805	Auburn 79 - Arkansas 56	-11
DePaul 79 - Creighton 78	0.518	DePaul 67 - Creighton 79	13
Duke 88 - North Carolina 78	0.765	Duke 72 - North Carolina 88	26
Florida Gulf Coast 66 - Lipscomb 79	0.804	Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Lipscomb 61	-19
Fresno State 80 - Air Force 61	0.881	Fresno State 61 - Air Force 64	22
George Washington 72 - Massachusetts 71	0.542	George Washington 79 - Massachusetts 67	-11
Georgetown 74 - Villanova 81	0.693	Georgetown 85 - Villanova 73	-19
Georgia 73 - Mississippi State 82	0.745	Georgia 67 - Mississippi State 68	-8
Georgia Tech 73 - Pittsburgh 71	0.564	Georgia Tech 73 - Pittsburgh 65	-6
Houston Baptist 76 - Northwestern State 68	0.763	Houston Baptist 92 - Northwestern State 54	-30
Incarnate Word 65 - Lamar 74	0.797	Incarnate Word 58 - Lamar 76	9
Indiana State 74 - Illinois State 72	0.548	Indiana State 73 - Illinois State 50	-21
Jacksonville 75 - North Florida 73	0.552	Jacksonville 73 - North Florida 80	9
Kennesaw St 68 - North Alabama 69	0.53	Kennesaw St 61 - North Alabama 76	14
Lafayette 69 - American 70	0.533	Lafayette 70 - American 68	-3
Lehigh 78 - Army 66	0.82	Lehigh 91 - Army 81	2
Long Beach State 79 - Cal State Northridge 74	0.685	Long Beach State 80 - Cal State Northridge 78	3
Louisiana State 80 - Florida 70	0.796	Louisiana State 77 - Florida 82	15
Loyola Ill 75 - Evansville 62	0.764	Loyola Ill 70 - Evansville 58	1
Marquette 81 - Butler 69	0.791	Marquette 79 - Butler 69	2
Mcneese State 72 - Central Arkansas 71	0.502	Mcneese State 83 - Central Arkansas 75	-7
Memphis 87 - Tulane 64	0.925	Memphis 102 - Tulane 76	-3
Michigan State 87 - Rutgers 65	0.926	Michigan State 71 - Rutgers 60	11
Missouri State 73 - Northern Iowa 65	0.68	Missouri State 43 - Northern Iowa 63	28
NC State 84 - Boston College 73	0.824	NC State 89 - Boston College 80	2
New Orleans 67 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.565	New Orleans 89 - Southeast Louisiana 68	-19
NJ Tech 77 - Stetson 60	0.885	NJ Tech 82 - Stetson 77	12
Ohio State 76 - Northwestern 67	0.794	Ohio State 63 - Northwestern 49	-5
Omaha 80 - Western Illinois 63	0.856	Omaha 77 - Western Illinois 63	3
Providence 74 - Saint Johns 75	0.551	Providence 78 - Saint Johns 59	-20
Richmond 74 - Fordham 67	0.664	Richmond 72 - Fordham 69	4
Saint Bonaventure 75 - La Salle 66	0.716	Saint Bonaventure 62 - La Salle 60	7
Sam Houston State 78 - Nicholls State 59	0.94	Sam Houston State 84 - Nicholls State 74	9
San Diego State 67 - Nevada 78	0.721	San Diego State 65 - Nevada 57	-19
San Jose State 67 - Colorado State 78	0.729	San Jose State 70 - Colorado State 91	10
Seton Hall 79 - Xavier 70	0.762	Seton Hall 69 - Xavier 70	10
South Dakota 73 - Denver 65	0.707	South Dakota 72 - Denver 45	-19
Stephen F Austin 69 - Texas AM CC 65	0.626	Stephen F Austin 55 - Texas AM CC 65	14
Syracuse 73 - Louisville 75	0.542	Syracuse 69 - Louisville 49	-22
Tulsa 76 - Wichita State 70	0.669	Tulsa 60 - Wichita State 81	27
Utah State 81 - New Mexico 66	0.819	Utah State 71 - New Mexico 55	-1
Valparaiso 68 - Southern Illinois 69	0.517	Valparaiso 55 - Southern Illinois 52	-4
Washington 79 - Utah 67	0.865	Washington 62 - Utah 45	-5
Washington State 71 - Colorado 77	0.634	Washington State 76 - Colorado 74	-8

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 72 - Georgia State 77	0.64	Appalachian State 75 - Georgia State 80	0
Arizona 82 - California 64	0.892	Arizona 76 - California 51	-7
Austin Peay 80 - SE Missouri State 60	0.927	Austin Peay 83 - SE Missouri State 70	7
Belmont 83 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.934	Belmont 99 - Eastern Illinois 58	-20
Brigham Young 77 - San Francisco 74	0.577	Brigham Young 71 - San Francisco 77	9
Bryant 64 - Wagner 65	0.542	Bryant 67 - Wagner 65	-3
Cal State Fullerton 74 - UC Davis 65	0.797	Cal State Fullerton 62 - UC Davis 58	5
Campbell 68 - High Point 63	0.667	Campbell 61 - High Point 48	-8
Central Connecticut State 71 - Mt St Marys 65	0.675	Central Connecticut State 66 - Mt St Marys 79	19
Charleston Southern 78 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.926	Charleston Southern 92 - South Carolina Upstate 60	-15
Cincinnati 74 - Central Florida 67	0.718	Cincinnati 60 - Central Florida 55	2
Coastal Carolina 72 - Georgia Southern 74	0.548	Coastal Carolina 74 - Georgia Southern 79	3
Elon 72 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.527	Elon 84 - UNC Wilmington 77	-8
Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Sacred Heart 72	0.616	Fairleigh Dickinson 81 - Sacred Heart 63	-14
Gonzaga 93 - Pepperdine 61	0.958	Gonzaga 92 - Pepperdine 64	4
Grand Canyon 79 - Cal Baptist 67	0.768	Grand Canyon 91 - Cal Baptist 58	-21
Hampton 76 - Longwood 70	0.651	Hampton 86 - Longwood 66	-14
Hofstra 81 - Towson 61	0.901	Hofstra 91 - Towson 82	11
Jacksonville State 76 - Morehead State 60	0.863	Jacksonville State 65 - Morehead State 64	15
Loyola MD 71 - Navy 67	0.632	Loyola MD 79 - Navy 70	-5
Mercer 73 - Samford 72	0.503	Mercer 65 - Samford 62	-2
Minnesota 72 - Michigan 77	0.629	Minnesota 60 - Michigan 69	4
Murray State 82 - Tennessee Martin 59	0.923	Murray State 85 - Tennessee Martin 75	13
New Hampshire 60 - Hartford 75	0.867	New Hampshire 50 - Hartford 70	5
Northeastern 79 - James Madison 61	0.902	Northeastern 76 - James Madison 60	2
Northern Arizona 75 - Idaho 62	0.838	Northern Arizona 75 - Idaho 54	-8
Northern Kentucky 80 - Youngstown State 63	0.876	Northern Kentucky 76 - Youngstown State 69	10
Pacific 65 - Saint Marys 75	0.755	Pacific 32 - Saint Marys 58	16
Portland State 74 - Idaho State 67	0.709	Portland State 99 - Idaho State 93	1
Radford 76 - Winthrop 68	0.729	Radford 87 - Winthrop 81	2
Robert Morris 70 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.657	Robert Morris 62 - LIU Brooklyn 49	-8
Sacramento State 66 - Weber State 70	0.617	Sacramento State 78 - Weber State 76	-6
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 66	0.647	Saint Francis Penn 81 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 71	-5
San Diego 82 - Portland 60	0.953	San Diego 63 - Portland 52	11
Seattle 71 - UMKC 65	0.622	Seattle 69 - UMKC 64	1
South Dakota State 81 - IPFW 69	0.727	South Dakota State 92 - IPFW 83	3
Southern California 72 - Oregon 71	0.535	Southern California 66 - Oregon 49	-16
Southern Methodist 75 - Connecticut 74	0.553	Southern Methodist 77 - Connecticut 59	-17
Southern Utah 71 - Eastern Washington 69	0.545	Southern Utah 76 - Eastern Washington 62	-12
Stony Brook 75 - Albany 59	0.865	Stony Brook 70 - Albany 74	20
Tennessee State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.687	Tennessee State 84 - SIU Edwardsville 85	8
Tennessee Tech 70 - Eastern Kentucky 72	0.565	Tennessee Tech 66 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-1
Texas Arlington 76 - UL Lafayette 70	0.655	Texas Arlington 64 - UL Lafayette 76	18
Texas State 75 - UL Monroe 65	0.811	Texas State 60 - UL Monroe 63	13
The Citadel 77 - Chattanooga 74	0.598	The Citadel 65 - Chattanooga 68	6
UC Irvine 82 - Cal Poly 53	0.963	UC Irvine 74 - Cal Poly 47	2
UC Santa Barbara 70 - Hawaii 67	0.557	UC Santa Barbara 79 - Hawaii 61	-15
UCLA 77 - Oregon State 76	0.506	UCLA 68 - Oregon State 67	0
UMass Lowell 78 - Binghamton 64	0.826	UMass Lowell 66 - Binghamton 81	29
UMBC 63 - Vermont 71	0.722	UMBC 65 - Vermont 56	-17
UNC Asheville 62 - Gardner Webb 73	0.822	UNC Asheville 55 - Gardner Webb 65	-1
UNC Greensboro 80 - Western Carolina 60	0.909	UNC Greensboro 79 - Western Carolina 76	17
Utah Valley 88 - Chicago State 55	0.966	Utah Valley 103 - Chicago State 71	1
Virginia Military Institute 65 - East Tennessee State 81	0.826	Virginia Military Institute 70 - East Tennessee State 94	8
William and Mary 68 - College of Charleston 73	0.678	William and Mary 86 - College of Charleston 84	-7
Wright State 79 - Cleveland State 61	0.876	Wright State 87 - Cleveland State 61	-8

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 68 - Harvard 69	0.509	Brown 88 - Harvard 79	-10
Buffalo 85 - Kent State 69	0.848	Buffalo 80 - Kent State 57	-7
Illinois Chicago 77 - Green Bay 72	0.629	Illinois Chicago 62 - Green Bay 63	6
Iowa 84 - Indiana 73	0.773	Iowa 76 - Indiana 70	5
IUPUI 75 - Milwaukee 64	0.81	IUPUI 67 - Milwaukee 60	4
Manhattan 66 - Iona 67	0.533	Manhattan 52 - Iona 66	13
Marist 71 - Saint Peters 58	0.827	Marist 59 - Saint Peters 65	19
Monmouth 70 - Canisius 68	0.563	Monmouth 59 - Canisius 60	3
Ohio 67 - Bowling Green 76	0.697	Ohio 92 - Bowling Green 87	-14
Pennsylvania 80 - Columbia 65	0.862	Pennsylvania 77 - Columbia 79	17
Princeton 73 - Cornell 66	0.701	Princeton 68 - Cornell 59	-2
Rhode Island 69 - Davidson 72	0.61	Rhode Island 66 - Davidson 75	6
Rider 78 - Niagara 68	0.761	Rider 97 - Niagara 81	-6
Yale 81 - Dartmouth 65	0.886	Yale 77 - Dartmouth 59	-2

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Southeast Louisiana 60	0.789	Abilene Christian 66 - Southeast Louisiana 75	19
Air Force 78 - San Jose State 62	0.815	Air Force 82 - San Jose State 68	2
Akron 69 - Miami OH 64	0.66	Akron 70 - Miami OH 58	-7
Alabama 82 - Vanderbilt 69	0.824	Alabama 68 - Vanderbilt 61	6
Albany 64 - UMBC 67	0.567	Albany 84 - UMBC 75	-12
Alcorn State 62 - Alabama State 67	0.63	Alcorn State 74 - Alabama State 69	-10
Appalachian State 74 - Georgia Southern 79	0.639	Appalachian State 69 - Georgia Southern 92	18
Arkansas 80 - Texas AM 72	0.711	Arkansas 80 - Texas AM 87	15
Arkansas State 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.553	Arkansas State 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	-5
Austin Peay 79 - Tennessee Martin 62	0.905	Austin Peay 92 - Tennessee Martin 78	3
Ball State 79 - Central Michigan 75	0.626	Ball State 57 - Central Michigan 64	11
Baylor 84 - West Virginia 69	0.796	Baylor 82 - West Virginia 75	8
Belmont 87 - SIU Edwardsville 59	0.963	Belmont 97 - SIU Edwardsville 75	6
Binghamton 57 - Vermont 78	0.939	Binghamton 63 - Vermont 69	-15
Boise State 69 - Utah State 74	0.657	Boise State 71 - Utah State 78	2
Boston 73 - Loyola MD 68	0.651	Boston 72 - Loyola MD 65	-2
Bradley 75 - Evansville 66	0.717	Bradley 63 - Evansville 61	7
Brown 74 - Dartmouth 65	0.727	Brown 68 - Dartmouth 65	6
Bryant 70 - Mt St Marys 66	0.601	Bryant 81 - Mt St Marys 58	-19
Cal Poly 61 - Hawaii 75	0.823	Cal Poly 88 - Hawaii 80	-22
Cal State Bakersfield 76 - Cal Baptist 71	0.618	Cal State Bakersfield 58 - Cal Baptist 72	19
Cal State Northridge 73 - UC Davis 71	0.563	Cal State Northridge 81 - UC Davis 76	-3
Central Connecticut State 72 - Sacred Heart 73	0.522	Central Connecticut State 66 - Sacred Heart 80	13
Clemson 79 - Boston College 67	0.849	Clemson 76 - Boston College 66	2
Coastal Carolina 70 - Georgia State 72	0.547	Coastal Carolina 95 - Georgia State 82	-15
Colgate 75 - Navy 61	0.839	Colgate 93 - Navy 71	-8
Colorado State 78 - Wyoming 65	0.789	Colorado State 83 - Wyoming 48	-22
Coppin State 69 - Howard 70	0.532	Coppin State 73 - Howard 74	0
Creighton 82 - Georgetown 78	0.638	Creighton 82 - Georgetown 69	-9
Dayton 75 - Saint Louis 66	0.716	Dayton 70 - Saint Louis 62	1
Delaware State 64 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.573	Delaware State 56 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	9
Drexel 73 - Delaware 69	0.61	Drexel 68 - Delaware 60	-4
Eastern Michigan 77 - Western Michigan 64	0.79	Eastern Michigan 77 - Western Michigan 76	12
Elon 62 - College of Charleston 76	0.837	Elon 74 - College of Charleston 84	-4
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Wagner 63	0.649	Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Wagner 66	-3
Florida 76 - Missouri 64	0.801	Florida 64 - Missouri 60	8
Florida Atlantic 78 - Florida International 70	0.691	Florida Atlantic 76 - Florida International 79	11
Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Kennesaw St 61	0.827	Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Kennesaw St 56	-7
Fordham 67 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.579	Fordham 53 - Saint Bonaventure 74	18
Furman 70 - Wofford 71	0.514	Furman 64 - Wofford 72	7
George Mason 76 - Duquesne 71	0.657	George Mason 78 - Duquesne 79	6
Gonzaga 90 - Brigham Young 67	0.91	Gonzaga 102 - Brigham Young 68	-11
High Point 69 - Gardner Webb 66	0.579	High Point 87 - Gardner Webb 79	-5
Hofstra 82 - James Madison 62	0.907	Hofstra 99 - James Madison 104	25
Houston 79 - South Florida 61	0.937	Houston 71 - South Florida 59	6
Illinois 81 - Penn State 76	0.65	Illinois 76 - Penn State 83	12
Jackson State 61 - Grambling State 65	0.61	Jackson State 71 - Grambling State 60	-15
Jacksonville 69 - NJ Tech 70	0.522	Jacksonville 73 - NJ Tech 77	3
Jacksonville State 80 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.832	Jacksonville State 104 - Eastern Kentucky 101	13
Kansas State 80 - Oklahoma State 64	0.861	Kansas State 85 - Oklahoma State 46	-23
Kentucky 81 - Auburn 70	0.755	Kentucky 80 - Auburn 53	-16
La Salle 74 - Richmond 71	0.601	La Salle 75 - Richmond 84	12
Longwood 67 - Campbell 69	0.566	Longwood 72 - Campbell 74	0
Louisiana State 82 - Tennessee 81	0.525	Louisiana State 82 - Tennessee 80	-1
Louisiana Tech 69 - North Texas 65	0.612	Louisiana Tech 66 - North Texas 53	-9
Louisville 70 - Virginia 74	0.6	Louisville 52 - Virginia 64	8
Maryland 78 - Ohio State 68	0.771	Maryland 72 - Ohio State 62	0
Massachusetts 74 - Saint Josephs 72	0.551	Massachusetts 80 - Saint Josephs 79	1
Mcneese State 67 - New Orleans 70	0.607	Mcneese State 51 - New Orleans 60	6
Mercer 74 - Chattanooga 66	0.756	Mercer 74 - Chattanooga 69	3
Miami 75 - Georgia Tech 68	0.704	Miami 80 - Georgia Tech 65	-8
Middle Tennessee 71 - Charlotte 65	0.665	Middle Tennessee 86 - Charlotte 67	-13
Mississippi 84 - Georgia 69	0.844	Mississippi 72 - Georgia 71	14
Mississippi State 85 - South Carolina 72	0.821	Mississippi State 76 - South Carolina 61	-2
Missouri State 76 - Indiana State 67	0.69	Missouri State 67 - Indiana State 61	3
Montana 78 - Montana State 64	0.827	Montana 89 - Montana State 83	8
Morgan State 67 - Norfolk State 72	0.656	Morgan State 74 - Norfolk State 75	-4
Murray State 82 - SE Missouri State 57	0.939	Murray State 103 - SE Missouri State 67	-11
Nebraska 75 - Purdue 79	0.625	Nebraska 72 - Purdue 75	-1
Nevada 79 - Fresno State 66	0.814	Nevada 74 - Fresno State 68	7
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - San Diego State 73	0.517	Nevada Las Vegas 59 - San Diego State 60	2
New Mexico State 76 - Texas Pan American 61	0.876	New Mexico State 88 - Texas Pan American 79	6
Nicholls State 72 - Central Arkansas 71	0.508	Nicholls State 100 - Central Arkansas 57	-42
North Carolina 86 - Florida State 77	0.739	North Carolina 77 - Florida State 59	-9
North Carolina AT 74 - South Carolina State 61	0.842	North Carolina AT 63 - South Carolina State 62	12
North Carolina Central 75 - Savannah State 66	0.722	North Carolina Central 78 - Savannah State 69	0
North Dakota 72 - Denver 66	0.673	North Dakota 81 - Denver 63	-12
North Dakota State 72 - Omaha 73	0.503	North Dakota State 50 - Omaha 58	7
North Florida 65 - Liberty 74	0.708	North Florida 75 - Liberty 70	-14
Northeastern 77 - Towson 60	0.894	Northeastern 73 - Towson 58	2
Northern Arizona 69 - Eastern Washington 70	0.518	Northern Arizona 73 - Eastern Washington 86	12
Northern Iowa 72 - Valparaiso 66	0.676	Northern Iowa 64 - Valparaiso 53	-5
Northern Kentucky 82 - Cleveland State 61	0.927	Northern Kentucky 77 - Cleveland State 83	27
Northwestern 67 - Wisconsin 75	0.757	Northwestern 64 - Wisconsin 69	-3
Notre Dame 70 - Virginia Tech 77	0.696	Notre Dame 59 - Virginia Tech 67	1
Oakland 75 - Detroit 69	0.65	Oakland 95 - Detroit 75	-14
Oklahoma 77 - Texas 74	0.566	Oklahoma 69 - Texas 67	1
Old Dominion 72 - Western Kentucky 65	0.724	Old Dominion 67 - Western Kentucky 63	3
Pacific 66 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.544	Pacific 56 - Loyola Marymount 63	5
Pennsylvania 76 - Cornell 68	0.727	Pennsylvania 68 - Cornell 50	-10
Pepperdine 80 - Portland 64	0.872	Pepperdine 86 - Portland 80	10
Portland State 70 - Sacramento State 67	0.607	Portland State 65 - Sacramento State 57	-5
Prairie View 80 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.898	Prairie View 69 - Mississippi Valley State 63	14
Princeton 76 - Columbia 63	0.864	Princeton 79 - Columbia 61	-5
Providence 70 - Marquette 78	0.73	Providence 58 - Marquette 76	10
Radford 81 - Hampton 66	0.872	Radford 71 - Hampton 74	18
Robert Morris 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.564	Robert Morris 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	-3
Saint Francis Penn 75 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.733	Saint Francis Penn 66 - LIU Brooklyn 69	11
Saint Johns 79 - Seton Hall 74	0.638	Saint Johns 78 - Seton Hall 70	-3
Sam Houston State 79 - Houston Baptist 64	0.913	Sam Houston State 119 - Houston Baptist 113	9
San Diego 71 - Saint Marys 73	0.532	San Diego 46 - Saint Marys 66	18
Santa Clara 68 - San Francisco 75	0.696	Santa Clara 68 - San Francisco 65	-10
Seattle 81 - Chicago State 57	0.911	Seattle 77 - Chicago State 57	4
South Dakota State 80 - South Dakota 62	0.852	South Dakota State 94 - South Dakota 89	13
Southern 68 - Alabama AM 64	0.62	Southern 59 - Alabama AM 49	-6
Southern California 76 - Oregon State 74	0.547	Southern California 62 - Oregon State 67	7
Southern Miss 73 - Alabama Birmingham 64	0.694	Southern Miss 72 - Alabama Birmingham 76	13
Southern Utah 76 - Idaho 60	0.838	Southern Utah 85 - Idaho 76	7
Stephen F Austin 75 - Incarnate Word 62	0.848	Stephen F Austin 81 - Incarnate Word 54	-14
Stetson 71 - North Alabama 70	0.518	Stetson 63 - North Alabama 60	-2
Stony Brook 77 - Maine 58	0.922	Stony Brook 81 - Maine 53	-9
Syracuse 71 - Duke 83	0.773	Syracuse 65 - Duke 75	-2
Temple 78 - Tulsa 71	0.706	Temple 84 - Tulsa 73	-4
Tennessee State 70 - Eastern Illinois 69	0.528	Tennessee State 75 - Eastern Illinois 60	-14
Tennessee Tech 66 - Morehead State 69	0.597	Tennessee Tech 63 - Morehead State 66	0
Texas AM CC 68 - Lamar 67	0.525	Texas AM CC 58 - Lamar 63	6
Texas Arlington 72 - UL Monroe 69	0.611	Texas Arlington 91 - UL Monroe 86	-2
Texas Christian 78 - Iowa State 80	0.553	Texas Christian 75 - Iowa State 72	-5
Texas El Paso 71 - Rice 70	0.541	Texas El Paso 81 - Rice 85	5
Texas Southern 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.774	Texas Southern 94 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	-8
Texas State 78 - UL Lafayette 66	0.808	Texas State 64 - UL Lafayette 62	10
Texas Tech 77 - Kansas 72	0.63	Texas Tech 91 - Kansas 62	-24
The Citadel 75 - Samford 79	0.619	The Citadel 87 - Samford 83	-8
Toledo 79 - Northern Illinois 64	0.84	Toledo 57 - Northern Illinois 54	12
Troy 72 - South Alabama 69	0.591	Troy 52 - South Alabama 68	19
Tulane 72 - East Carolina 71	0.501	Tulane 81 - East Carolina 85	5
UC Riverside 71 - Long Beach State 72	0.529	UC Riverside 67 - Long Beach State 71	3
UC Santa Barbara 72 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.607	UC Santa Barbara 82 - Cal State Fullerton 67	-11
UCLA 72 - Oregon 73	0.503	UCLA 90 - Oregon 83	-8
UMass Lowell 73 - Hartford 74	0.502	UMass Lowell 73 - Hartford 75	1
UNC Asheville 61 - Presbyterian 73	0.843	UNC Asheville 55 - Presbyterian 71	4
Utah Valley 78 - UMKC 63	0.822	Utah Valley 79 - UMKC 67	3
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - George Washington 58	0.94	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - George Washington 57	-4
Washington 76 - Colorado 65	0.775	Washington 64 - Colorado 55	2
Washington State 75 - Utah 79	0.605	Washington State 79 - Utah 92	9
Western Carolina 78 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.668	Western Carolina 78 - Virginia Military Institute 83	12
Western Illinois 70 - Oral Roberts 69	0.53	Western Illinois 75 - Oral Roberts 66	-8
Wichita State 77 - Memphis 76	0.514	Wichita State 85 - Memphis 88	4
William and Mary 78 - UNC Wilmington 70	0.7	William and Mary 71 - UNC Wilmington 63	0
Winthrop 77 - Charleston Southern 69	0.779	Winthrop 80 - Charleston Southern 78	6
Wright State 77 - Youngstown State 63	0.803	Wright State 82 - Youngstown State 54	-14
Yale 76 - Harvard 68	0.722	Yale 86 - Harvard 88	10

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 75 - Stanford 71	0.578	Arizona 70 - Stanford 54	-12
Arizona State 88 - California 65	0.93	Arizona State 69 - California 59	13
Army 68 - American 67	0.54	Army 66 - American 77	12
Bucknell 80 - Lafayette 64	0.878	Bucknell 118 - Lafayette 76	-26
Central Florida 79 - Southern Methodist 66	0.838	Central Florida 95 - Southern Methodist 48	-34
Connecticut 70 - Cincinnati 76	0.662	Connecticut 60 - Cincinnati 64	-2
Fairfield 65 - Manhattan 62	0.591	Fairfield 72 - Manhattan 59	-10
Illinois Chicago 75 - Milwaukee 64	0.8	Illinois Chicago 74 - Milwaukee 59	-4
Illinois State 72 - Drake 75	0.572	Illinois State 67 - Drake 60	-10
Iona 75 - Canisius 71	0.654	Iona 87 - Canisius 80	-3
IUPUI 76 - Green Bay 72	0.623	IUPUI 79 - Green Bay 68	-7
Lehigh 76 - Holy Cross 66	0.803	Lehigh 71 - Holy Cross 73	12
Michigan 75 - Michigan State 74	0.527	Michigan 70 - Michigan State 77	8
Monmouth 69 - Quinnipiac 70	0.527	Monmouth 56 - Quinnipiac 68	11
NC State 88 - Wake Forest 70	0.898	NC State 94 - Wake Forest 74	-2
Rutgers 75 - Minnesota 77	0.552	Rutgers 68 - Minnesota 64	-6
Saint Peters 67 - Niagara 68	0.512	Saint Peters 78 - Niagara 60	-19
Siena 67 - Marist 63	0.607	Siena 67 - Marist 55	-8
Southern Illinois 68 - Loyola Ill 67	0.533	Southern Illinois 63 - Loyola Ill 53	-9
UNC Greensboro 71 - East Tennessee State 68	0.584	UNC Greensboro 60 - East Tennessee State 59	2
Xavier 69 - Villanova 77	0.739	Xavier 66 - Villanova 54	-20

Number of DI Games: 314
Number Correct: 222 = 70.7%
Expected Number Correct: 221.053 = 70.3%
Average Error: 9.31
Average Signed Error: -0.13

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 65 - Alabama AM 62	0.607	Alcorn State 61 - Alabama AM 55	-3
Coppin State 72 - Delaware State 58	0.849	Coppin State 60 - Delaware State 70	24
Florida State 84 - Notre Dame 68	0.878	Florida State 68 - Notre Dame 61	9
Iowa State 81 - Oklahoma 73	0.717	Iowa State 78 - Oklahoma 61	-9
Kansas 76 - Kansas State 71	0.618	Kansas 64 - Kansas State 49	-10
Lipscomb 78 - NJ Tech 63	0.852	Lipscomb 81 - NJ Tech 77	11
Montana 73 - Northern Colorado 62	0.776	Montana 72 - Northern Colorado 74	13
Morgan State 72 - Howard 71	0.552	Morgan State 69 - Howard 75	7
North Carolina AT 75 - Savannah State 66	0.744	North Carolina AT 63 - Savannah State 58	4
North Carolina Central 71 - South Carolina State 61	0.793	North Carolina Central 72 - South Carolina State 62	0
Prairie View 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	0.773	Prairie View 48 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 44	8
Southern 64 - Alabama State 67	0.561	Southern 57 - Alabama State 60	0
Texas Southern 83 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.905	Texas Southern 92 - Mississippi Valley State 80	10

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 71 - Toledo 74	0.593	Ball State 72 - Toledo 80	5
Bowling Green 77 - Miami OH 67	0.729	Bowling Green 69 - Miami OH 82	23
Buffalo 81 - Akron 63	0.884	Buffalo 77 - Akron 64	5
Butler 76 - Providence 69	0.693	Butler 67 - Providence 73	13
Eastern Michigan 74 - Central Michigan 73	0.518	Eastern Michigan 66 - Central Michigan 77	12
Indiana 69 - Wisconsin 75	0.67	Indiana 75 - Wisconsin 73	-8
Kent State 78 - Ohio 67	0.756	Kent State 78 - Ohio 73	6
Kentucky 87 - Arkansas 65	0.921	Kentucky 70 - Arkansas 66	18
Liberty 80 - Kennesaw St 52	0.961	Liberty 76 - Kennesaw St 59	11
Louisiana State 86 - Texas AM 71	0.875	Louisiana State 66 - Texas AM 55	4
Massachusetts 67 - Dayton 78	0.797	Massachusetts 48 - Dayton 72	13
Memphis 80 - Temple 77	0.573	Memphis 81 - Temple 73	-5
Mississippi State 82 - Missouri 67	0.858	Mississippi State 68 - Missouri 49	-4
North Alabama 71 - Jacksonville 70	0.502	North Alabama 69 - Jacksonville 55	-13
North Carolina 85 - Syracuse 71	0.798	North Carolina 93 - Syracuse 85	6
North Florida 80 - Stetson 65	0.825	North Florida 77 - Stetson 67	5
Northern Illinois 78 - Western Michigan 66	0.799	Northern Illinois 70 - Western Michigan 65	7
Ohio State 78 - Iowa 77	0.51	Ohio State 90 - Iowa 70	-19
Rhode Island 76 - George Washington 66	0.734	Rhode Island 80 - George Washington 53	-17
San Jose State 67 - New Mexico 80	0.763	San Jose State 89 - New Mexico 82	-20
Seattle 68 - Utah Valley 73	0.634	Seattle 68 - Utah Valley 77	4
South Carolina 78 - Alabama 76	0.567	South Carolina 62 - Alabama 68	8
Utah State 76 - San Diego State 66	0.721	Utah State 70 - San Diego State 54	-6
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Saint Louis 61	0.832	Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Saint Louis 65	9
Virginia Tech 74 - Duke 80	0.668	Virginia Tech 77 - Duke 72	-11
Wake Forest 73 - Miami 78	0.625	Wake Forest 76 - Miami 75	-6
West Virginia 75 - Texas Christian 81	0.656	West Virginia 104 - Texas Christian 96	-14

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 74 - New Hampshire 56	0.894	Albany 58 - New Hampshire 62	22
American 72 - Lehigh 73	0.53	American 66 - Lehigh 80	13
Army 72 - Loyola MD 67	0.651	Army 79 - Loyola MD 69	-5
Baylor 77 - Texas 73	0.612	Baylor 84 - Texas 83	3
Binghamton 65 - Hartford 74	0.737	Binghamton 76 - Hartford 96	11
Boise State 76 - Colorado State 70	0.633	Boise State 62 - Colorado State 76	20
Boston College 72 - Louisville 80	0.735	Boston College 66 - Louisville 59	-15
Bradley 72 - Valparaiso 65	0.678	Bradley 67 - Valparaiso 42	-18
Cal State Northridge 76 - UC Riverside 68	0.707	Cal State Northridge 70 - UC Riverside 68	6
Canisius 77 - Niagara 67	0.747	Canisius 84 - Niagara 86	12
Central Arkansas 70 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.515	Central Arkansas 92 - Stephen F Austin 74	-19
Charleston Southern 76 - UNC Asheville 57	0.946	Charleston Southern 77 - UNC Asheville 48	-10
Colgate 73 - Holy Cross 61	0.798	Colgate 79 - Holy Cross 59	-8
Drake 80 - Indiana State 69	0.746	Drake 80 - Indiana State 68	-1
East Carolina 59 - Houston 82	0.956	East Carolina 65 - Houston 99	11
Evansville 69 - Southern Illinois 72	0.597	Evansville 91 - Southern Illinois 98	4
Fordham 72 - Saint Josephs 71	0.517	Fordham 52 - Saint Josephs 66	15
Fresno State 82 - Wyoming 57	0.952	Fresno State 71 - Wyoming 60	14
Gardner Webb 74 - Presbyterian 71	0.589	Gardner Webb 78 - Presbyterian 70	-5
George Mason 77 - Richmond 69	0.713	George Mason 77 - Richmond 63	-6
Georgetown 83 - DePaul 75	0.736	Georgetown 82 - DePaul 73	-1
Georgia 72 - Auburn 82	0.717	Georgia 75 - Auburn 78	-7
Grand Canyon 94 - Unranked 51		Grand Canyon 95 - Unranked 64
High Point 64 - Radford 67	0.589	High Point 54 - Radford 72	15
Illinois State 71 - Missouri State 69	0.538	Illinois State 65 - Missouri State 57	-6
La Salle 67 - Davidson 76	0.807	La Salle 79 - Davidson 69	-19
Lafayette 71 - Boston 70	0.525	Lafayette 82 - Boston 84	3
Lamar 77 - Houston Baptist 70	0.714	Lamar 110 - Houston Baptist 75	-28
Maine 70 - UMass Lowell 72	0.559	Maine 61 - UMass Lowell 70	7
Mississippi 76 - Tennessee 81	0.652	Mississippi 71 - Tennessee 73	-3
Navy 65 - Bucknell 75	0.737	Navy 64 - Bucknell 53	-21
Nevada 84 - Nevada Las Vegas 64	0.884	Nevada 89 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	4
New Orleans 67 - Sam Houston State 70	0.577	New Orleans 60 - Sam Houston State 71	8
Nicholls State 72 - Mcneese State 66	0.64	Nicholls State 75 - Mcneese State 84	15
Northern Iowa 68 - Loyola Ill 66	0.533	Northern Iowa 55 - Loyola Ill 56	3
Northwestern State 72 - Incarnate Word 62	0.753	Northwestern State 68 - Incarnate Word 60	2
Penn State 73 - Maryland 78	0.638	Penn State 78 - Maryland 61	-22
Pittsburgh 71 - Clemson 75	0.638	Pittsburgh 48 - Clemson 62	10
Purdue 88 - Illinois 71	0.854	Purdue 73 - Illinois 56	0
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Duquesne 69	0.621	Saint Bonaventure 68 - Duquesne 47	-16
South Carolina Upstate 62 - Campbell 74	0.844	South Carolina Upstate 73 - Campbell 85	0
South Florida 69 - Central Florida 71	0.578	South Florida 63 - Central Florida 75	10
Southern Methodist 67 - Cincinnati 76	0.701	Southern Methodist 49 - Cincinnati 52	-6
Stony Brook 70 - UMBC 62	0.713	Stony Brook 78 - UMBC 63	-7
Texas AM CC 62 - Abilene Christian 66	0.676	Texas AM CC 64 - Abilene Christian 73	5
Texas Tech 84 - Oklahoma State 62	0.89	Texas Tech 84 - Oklahoma State 80	18
Vanderbilt 67 - Florida 76	0.766	Vanderbilt 55 - Florida 71	7
Villanova 75 - Marquette 74	0.514	Villanova 67 - Marquette 61	-5
Virginia 83 - Georgia Tech 55	0.999	Virginia 81 - Georgia Tech 51	-2

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 71 - Western Kentucky 69	0.548	Alabama Birmingham 67 - Western Kentucky 73	8
Cal Baptist 73 - Seattle 69	0.586	Cal Baptist 65 - Seattle 67	6
Cal State Fullerton 79 - Cal Poly 60	0.902	Cal State Fullerton 86 - Cal Poly 75	8
California 61 - Washington 81	0.954	California 76 - Washington 73	-23
Chattanooga 63 - Wofford 81	0.906	Chattanooga 54 - Wofford 80	8
Chicago State 60 - Texas Pan American 80	0.91	Chicago State 77 - Texas Pan American 82	-15
Delaware 64 - Northeastern 73	0.735	Delaware 64 - Northeastern 75	2
Denver 69 - Western Illinois 68	0.518	Denver 74 - Western Illinois 46	-27
Detroit 70 - IUPUI 71	0.513	Detroit 87 - IUPUI 85	-3
Drexel 71 - Hofstra 79	0.716	Drexel 77 - Hofstra 80	-5
Eastern Illinois 63 - Jacksonville State 73	0.714	Eastern Illinois 84 - Jacksonville State 89	-5
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Austin Peay 78	0.707	Eastern Kentucky 82 - Austin Peay 80	-9
Eastern Washington 70 - Sacramento State 64	0.673	Eastern Washington 56 - Sacramento State 59	9
Georgia Southern 81 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	0.841	Georgia Southern 81 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	1
Georgia State 79 - Arkansas State 66	0.861	Georgia State 76 - Arkansas State 60	-3
Green Bay 70 - Wright State 74	0.605	Green Bay 70 - Wright State 67	-7
Hampton 76 - Winthrop 77	0.53	Hampton 90 - Winthrop 75	-16
Idaho 64 - Portland State 73	0.758	Idaho 65 - Portland State 67	-7
IPFW 78 - North Dakota 67	0.727	IPFW 82 - North Dakota 88	17
James Madison 74 - Elon 65	0.739	James Madison 58 - Elon 73	24
LIU Brooklyn 74 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.739	LIU Brooklyn 84 - Central Connecticut State 55	-21
Louisiana Tech 80 - Marshall 70	0.721	Louisiana Tech 79 - Marshall 90	21
Loyola Marymount 71 - Santa Clara 65	0.681	Loyola Marymount 72 - Santa Clara 70	4
Michigan 81 - Nebraska 66	0.816	Michigan 82 - Nebraska 53	-14
Milwaukee 63 - Northern Kentucky 75	0.812	Milwaukee 55 - Northern Kentucky 65	-2
Morehead State 64 - Murray State 76	0.808	Morehead State 52 - Murray State 71	7
Mt St Marys 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.625	Mt St Marys 59 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	1
North Texas 69 - Florida Atlantic 64	0.662	North Texas 54 - Florida Atlantic 60	11
Northern Colorado 71 - Weber State 67	0.604	Northern Colorado 85 - Weber State 61	-20
Northwestern 74 - Minnesota 75	0.531	Northwestern 50 - Minnesota 62	11
Oakland 73 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.612	Oakland 86 - Illinois Chicago 72	-10
Oral Roberts 68 - Omaha 76	0.712	Oral Roberts 84 - Omaha 80	-12
Oregon 73 - Arizona State 72	0.505	Oregon 79 - Arizona State 51	-27
Oregon State 75 - Arizona 69	0.649	Oregon State 72 - Arizona 74	8
Pacific 59 - Gonzaga 87	0.954	Pacific 66 - Gonzaga 86	-8
Sacred Heart 71 - Robert Morris 67	0.615	Sacred Heart 87 - Robert Morris 63	-20
Saint Francis Brooklyn 72 - Bryant 63	0.724	Saint Francis Brooklyn 74 - Bryant 66	1
Saint Johns 78 - Xavier 71	0.681	Saint Johns 73 - Xavier 84	18
Saint Marys 85 - Portland 55	0.959	Saint Marys 65 - Portland 48	13
Samford 67 - Furman 74	0.666	Samford 81 - Furman 90	2
San Francisco 76 - San Diego 67	0.772	San Francisco 90 - San Diego 91	10
SE Missouri State 69 - Tennessee State 68	0.542	SE Missouri State 89 - Tennessee State 74	-14
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Tennessee Tech 65	0.625	SIU Edwardsville 76 - Tennessee Tech 68	-3
South Alabama 69 - Texas Arlington 68	0.522	South Alabama 57 - Texas Arlington 75	19
South Dakota 69 - North Dakota State 67	0.534	South Dakota 75 - North Dakota State 65	-8
Stanford 81 - Washington State 71	0.708	Stanford 98 - Washington State 50	-38
Tennessee Martin 65 - Belmont 81	0.879	Tennessee Martin 67 - Belmont 112	29
Texas San Antonio 71 - Old Dominion 72	0.515	Texas San Antonio 64 - Old Dominion 65	0
The Citadel 68 - UNC Greensboro 78	0.757	The Citadel 96 - UNC Greensboro 100	-6
Towson 68 - William and Mary 69	0.51	Towson 65 - William and Mary 67	1
Troy 64 - Texas State 72	0.795	Troy 44 - Texas State 58	6
Tulsa 84 - Tulane 63	0.919	Tulsa 72 - Tulane 64	13
UC Davis 62 - UC Irvine 72	0.793	UC Davis 48 - UC Irvine 64	6
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Long Beach State 66	0.787	UC Santa Barbara 64 - Long Beach State 69	16
UCLA 79 - Southern California 76	0.572	UCLA 93 - Southern California 88	-2
UL Lafayette 76 - Coastal Carolina 72	0.6	UL Lafayette 83 - Coastal Carolina 70	-9
UL Monroe 80 - Appalachian State 70	0.791	UL Monroe 81 - Appalachian State 75	4
UMKC 63 - New Mexico State 76	0.798	UMKC 55 - New Mexico State 75	7
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Mercer 75	0.635	Virginia Military Institute 84 - Mercer 71	-18
Wagner 64 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.509	Wagner 72 - Saint Francis Penn 83	10
Wichita State 76 - Connecticut 71	0.639	Wichita State 65 - Connecticut 63	3

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 78 - Kent State 70	0.683	Bowling Green 77 - Kent State 72	3
Brown 77 - Columbia 64	0.852	Brown 77 - Columbia 80	16
Canisius 68 - Siena 65	0.602	Canisius 68 - Siena 62	-3
Dartmouth 68 - Princeton 69	0.558	Dartmouth 76 - Princeton 77	0
Dayton 79 - Rhode Island 65	0.826	Dayton 70 - Rhode Island 72	16
Fairfield 68 - Marist 67	0.508	Fairfield 59 - Marist 44	-14
Harvard 75 - Pennsylvania 68	0.677	Harvard 59 - Pennsylvania 53	1
Jacksonville 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.512	Jacksonville 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 77	4
Kennesaw St 70 - Stetson 69	0.512	Kennesaw St 83 - Stetson 82	0
Manhattan 63 - Monmouth 62	0.508	Manhattan 54 - Monmouth 62	9
Miami OH 68 - Buffalo 80	0.787	Miami OH 69 - Buffalo 77	-4
NJ Tech 63 - Liberty 68	0.631	NJ Tech 51 - Liberty 57	1
North Alabama 63 - Lipscomb 80	0.882	North Alabama 75 - Lipscomb 87	-5
Rider 77 - Iona 72	0.653	Rider 79 - Iona 86	12
Saint Peters 65 - Quinnipiac 70	0.666	Saint Peters 60 - Quinnipiac 77	12
Yale 81 - Cornell 64	0.892	Yale 88 - Cornell 65	-6

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Ohio 62	0.788	Akron 49 - Ohio 73	36
Alabama 76 - Louisiana State 81	0.65	Alabama 69 - Louisiana State 74	0
Alabama AM 63 - Prairie View 72	0.755	Alabama AM 65 - Prairie View 72	-2
Alabama State 69 - Texas Southern 74	0.633	Alabama State 68 - Texas Southern 78	5
Arkansas 77 - Mississippi 78	0.538	Arkansas 74 - Mississippi 73	-2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Grambling State 67	0.503	Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Grambling State 66	-5
Auburn 80 - Mississippi State 75	0.613	Auburn 80 - Mississippi State 75	0
Bethune Cookman 73 - South Carolina State 63	0.8	Bethune Cookman 98 - South Carolina State 95	7
Boston 72 - Navy 63	0.724	Boston 74 - Navy 79	14
Brigham Young 78 - San Diego 72	0.703	Brigham Young 87 - San Diego 73	-8
Brown 75 - Cornell 65	0.759	Brown 75 - Cornell 51	-14
Bucknell 78 - Army 63	0.828	Bucknell 62 - Army 61	14
Cal Baptist 71 - Utah Valley 76	0.615	Cal Baptist 63 - Utah Valley 64	-4
California 74 - Washington State 78	0.593	California 76 - Washington State 69	-11
Campbell 67 - Radford 68	0.527	Campbell 64 - Radford 62	-3
Central Arkansas 65 - Abilene Christian 74	0.744	Central Arkansas 55 - Abilene Christian 67	3
Central Connecticut State 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.612	Central Connecticut State 58 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	8
Central Michigan 74 - Toledo 75	0.534	Central Michigan 68 - Toledo 80	11
Chattanooga 63 - Furman 75	0.81	Chattanooga 50 - Furman 71	9
Chicago State 55 - New Mexico State 86	0.963	Chicago State 58 - New Mexico State 92	3
Cincinnati 81 - Memphis 70	0.772	Cincinnati 71 - Memphis 69	9
Clemson 74 - North Carolina 81	0.709	Clemson 79 - North Carolina 81	-5
College of Charleston 81 - UNC Wilmington 64	0.894	College of Charleston 70 - UNC Wilmington 61	8
Colorado 77 - Utah 72	0.636	Colorado 71 - Utah 63	-3
Dartmouth 70 - Pennsylvania 72	0.561	Dartmouth 51 - Pennsylvania 65	12
Davidson 79 - Fordham 60	0.934	Davidson 77 - Fordham 52	-6
Delaware 67 - Hofstra 77	0.728	Delaware 70 - Hofstra 92	12
Delaware State 63 - Morgan State 71	0.707	Delaware State 58 - Morgan State 76	10
Denver 65 - Omaha 78	0.795	Denver 76 - Omaha 86	-3
Detroit 70 - Illinois Chicago 71	0.504	Detroit 71 - Illinois Chicago 80	8
Drexel 68 - Northeastern 76	0.726	Drexel 66 - Northeastern 90	16
Duke 90 - Miami 66	0.94	Duke 87 - Miami 57	-6
Duquesne 80 - Massachusetts 68	0.841	Duquesne 80 - Massachusetts 73	5
East Tennessee State 83 - Western Carolina 61	0.914	East Tennessee State 81 - Western Carolina 74	15
Eastern Illinois 71 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.716	Eastern Illinois 57 - Tennessee Tech 63	15
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Morehead State 71	0.609	Eastern Kentucky 77 - Morehead State 78	5
Eastern Washington 73 - Portland State 67	0.672	Eastern Washington 68 - Portland State 66	4
Florida 81 - Georgia 66	0.857	Florida 55 - Georgia 61	21
Florida State 84 - NC State 76	0.729	Florida State 78 - NC State 73	3
Gardner Webb 76 - Longwood 65	0.776	Gardner Webb 66 - Longwood 47	-8
George Washington 67 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.619	George Washington 58 - Saint Bonaventure 64	1
Georgetown 80 - Seton Hall 77	0.583	Georgetown 77 - Seton Hall 71	-3
Georgia Southern 82 - Arkansas State 66	0.891	Georgia Southern 81 - Arkansas State 70	5
Georgia State 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	0.807	Georgia State 83 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0
Grand Canyon 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.833	Grand Canyon 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	9
Green Bay 71 - Northern Kentucky 76	0.628	Green Bay 82 - Northern Kentucky 86	-1
Hartford 75 - Albany 65	0.755	Hartford 82 - Albany 80	8
Harvard 73 - Princeton 65	0.701	Harvard 66 - Princeton 58	0
Hawaii 79 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.752	Hawaii 73 - Cal State Northridge 84	21
Holy Cross 67 - American 65	0.586	Holy Cross 66 - American 86	22
Houston 75 - Central Florida 65	0.783	Houston 64 - Central Florida 69	15
Houston Baptist 78 - Mcneese State 68	0.767	Houston Baptist 86 - Mcneese State 65	-11
Idaho 60 - Sacramento State 69	0.74	Idaho 94 - Sacramento State 90	-13
Incarnate Word 61 - Texas AM CC 68	0.749	Incarnate Word 72 - Texas AM CC 74	-5
Indiana 70 - Michigan State 82	0.797	Indiana 63 - Michigan State 62	-13
Indiana State 72 - Northern Iowa 71	0.521	Indiana State 71 - Northern Iowa 54	-16
Iowa 85 - Rutgers 72	0.823	Iowa 72 - Rutgers 86	27
IPFW 75 - North Dakota State 70	0.623	IPFW 66 - North Dakota State 69	8
James Madison 71 - William and Mary 70	0.513	James Madison 66 - William and Mary 70	5
Kansas State 75 - Baylor 68	0.648	Kansas State 66 - Baylor 60	1
Lafayette 67 - Colgate 75	0.701	Lafayette 70 - Colgate 76	-2
Lamar 73 - Stephen F Austin 65	0.733	Lamar 81 - Stephen F Austin 79	6
LIU Brooklyn 73 - Bryant 66	0.695	LIU Brooklyn 81 - Bryant 65	-9
Long Beach State 78 - Cal Poly 65	0.843	Long Beach State 94 - Cal Poly 85	4
Loyola Ill 71 - Bradley 63	0.664	Loyola Ill 81 - Bradley 68	-5
Loyola MD 71 - Lehigh 77	0.684	Loyola MD 92 - Lehigh 73	-25
Maine 69 - Binghamton 65	0.621	Maine 60 - Binghamton 83	27
Mercer 65 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.678	Mercer 47 - UNC Greensboro 74	21
Milwaukee 62 - Wright State 74	0.778	Milwaukee 62 - Wright State 65	-9
Mississippi Valley State 62 - Jackson State 66	0.589	Mississippi Valley State 60 - Jackson State 57	-7
Missouri 76 - South Carolina 75	0.536	Missouri 78 - South Carolina 63	-14
Missouri State 73 - Drake 72	0.507	Missouri State 62 - Drake 73	12
Montana 78 - Southern Utah 61	0.854	Montana 70 - Southern Utah 54	1
Montana State 77 - Northern Arizona 67	0.766	Montana State 84 - Northern Arizona 73	-1
Murray State 76 - Austin Peay 67	0.735	Murray State 94 - Austin Peay 83	-2
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Boise State 71	0.605	Nevada Las Vegas 85 - Boise State 81	0
New Mexico 77 - Colorado State 73	0.586	New Mexico 77 - Colorado State 65	-8
Nicholls State 67 - New Orleans 70	0.571	Nicholls State 70 - New Orleans 80	7
Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 59	0.911	Norfolk State 72 - Coppin State 38	-18
North Carolina AT 65 - Florida AM 60	0.658	North Carolina AT 63 - Florida AM 42	-16
Northern Colorado 75 - Idaho State 61	0.855	Northern Colorado 71 - Idaho State 62	5
Northern Illinois 71 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.568	Northern Illinois 69 - Eastern Michigan 75	9
Oakland 73 - IUPUI 69	0.614	Oakland 74 - IUPUI 63	-7
Oklahoma 84 - West Virginia 70	0.831	Oklahoma 92 - West Virginia 80	2
Oklahoma State 72 - Kansas 82	0.735	Oklahoma State 67 - Kansas 72	-5
Oregon 71 - Arizona 67	0.599	Oregon 73 - Arizona 47	-22
Pepperdine 76 - Pacific 68	0.722	Pepperdine 72 - Pacific 73	9
Portland 66 - Santa Clara 75	0.742	Portland 62 - Santa Clara 78	7
Presbyterian 74 - Charleston Southern 69	0.689	Presbyterian 65 - Charleston Southern 72	12
Purdue 81 - Ohio State 69	0.829	Purdue 86 - Ohio State 51	-23
Richmond 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 77	0.792	Richmond 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	-9
Sacred Heart 74 - Saint Francis Penn 71	0.566	Sacred Heart 94 - Saint Francis Penn 84	-7
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Mt St Marys 60	0.773	Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Mt St Marys 73	13
Saint Josephs 76 - La Salle 70	0.633	Saint Josephs 72 - La Salle 62	-4
Saint Louis 73 - George Mason 68	0.63	Saint Louis 81 - George Mason 71	-5
Saint Marys 69 - Gonzaga 80	0.746	Saint Marys 55 - Gonzaga 69	3
Samford 67 - Wofford 79	0.806	Samford 64 - Wofford 85	9
San Diego State 85 - San Jose State 57	0.928	San Diego State 84 - San Jose State 56	0
San Francisco 74 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.794	San Francisco 69 - Loyola Marymount 74	15
Savannah State 76 - Howard 75	0.516	Savannah State 76 - Howard 81	6
SE Missouri State 63 - Belmont 82	0.913	SE Missouri State 66 - Belmont 84	-1
SIU Edwardsville 62 - Jacksonville State 76	0.808	SIU Edwardsville 72 - Jacksonville State 97	11
South Alabama 64 - Texas State 70	0.666	South Alabama 77 - Texas State 63	-20
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Hampton 77	0.736	South Carolina Upstate 71 - Hampton 92	12
South Dakota 71 - North Dakota 65	0.671	South Dakota 78 - North Dakota 63	-9
South Dakota State 82 - Western Illinois 60	0.88	South Dakota State 86 - Western Illinois 66	2
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Northwestern State 59	0.789	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Northwestern State 55	-1
Southern 67 - Alcorn State 62	0.639	Southern 61 - Alcorn State 46	-10
Southern Illinois 73 - Illinois State 66	0.68	Southern Illinois 72 - Illinois State 63	-2
Tennessee 78 - Kentucky 77	0.524	Tennessee 71 - Kentucky 52	-18
Tennessee Martin 72 - Tennessee State 67	0.631	Tennessee Martin 91 - Tennessee State 86	0
Texas 77 - Iowa State 76	0.514	Texas 86 - Iowa State 69	-16
Texas AM 79 - Vanderbilt 69	0.768	Texas AM 64 - Vanderbilt 57	3
Texas Christian 72 - Texas Tech 77	0.607	Texas Christian 66 - Texas Tech 81	10
Towson 72 - Elon 64	0.73	Towson 66 - Elon 86	28
Troy 68 - Texas Arlington 71	0.592	Troy 66 - Texas Arlington 79	10
UC Davis 68 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.552	UC Davis 66 - Cal State Fullerton 59	-9
UC Riverside 60 - UC Irvine 75	0.832	UC Riverside 47 - UC Irvine 68	6
UL Monroe 75 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.665	UL Monroe 91 - Coastal Carolina 97	11
UMBC 75 - New Hampshire 52	0.943	UMBC 56 - New Hampshire 53	20
UMKC 67 - Texas Pan American 69	0.549	UMKC 70 - Texas Pan American 75	3
UNC Asheville 57 - High Point 68	0.801	UNC Asheville 74 - High Point 79	-6
Utah State 72 - Nevada 74	0.553	Utah State 81 - Nevada 76	-7
Valparaiso 74 - Evansville 67	0.688	Valparaiso 63 - Evansville 65	9
Vermont 73 - Stony Brook 63	0.763	Vermont 56 - Stony Brook 50	4
Villanova 78 - Butler 69	0.737	Villanova 75 - Butler 54	-12
Virginia 84 - Pittsburgh 58	0.962	Virginia 73 - Pittsburgh 49	2
Virginia Military Institute 79 - The Citadel 78	0.501	Virginia Military Institute 81 - The Citadel 78	-2
Wagner 62 - Robert Morris 61	0.539	Wagner 60 - Robert Morris 69	10
Wake Forest 69 - Syracuse 79	0.745	Wake Forest 54 - Syracuse 79	15
Western Michigan 71 - Ball State 77	0.661	Western Michigan 58 - Ball State 60	-4
Wisconsin 80 - Penn State 68	0.857	Wisconsin 61 - Penn State 57	8
Wyoming 66 - Air Force 72	0.626	Wyoming 72 - Air Force 80	2
Yale 84 - Columbia 64	0.944	Yale 75 - Columbia 83	28
Youngstown State 76 - Cleveland State 68	0.682	Youngstown State 80 - Cleveland State 89	17

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 68 - Texas El Paso 65	0.58	Charlotte 68 - Texas El Paso 58	-7
Connecticut 73 - South Florida 71	0.557	Connecticut 60 - South Florida 58	0
DePaul 76 - Saint Johns 79	0.573	DePaul 92 - Saint Johns 83	-12
Florida International 73 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.538	Florida International 83 - Louisiana Tech 76	-8
Georgia Tech 75 - Boston College 72	0.579	Georgia Tech 81 - Boston College 78	0
Illinois 80 - Northwestern 73	0.664	Illinois 81 - Northwestern 76	2
Louisville 83 - Notre Dame 67	0.856	Louisville 75 - Notre Dame 61	2
Marist 70 - Rider 71	0.501	Marist 64 - Rider 75	10
Marquette 83 - Creighton 71	0.814	Marquette 60 - Creighton 66	18
Maryland 73 - Michigan 72	0.528	Maryland 62 - Michigan 69	8
Niagara 67 - Siena 69	0.565	Niagara 65 - Siena 72	5
North Texas 78 - Marshall 69	0.702	North Texas 82 - Marshall 85	12
Oregon State 76 - Arizona State 74	0.544	Oregon State 71 - Arizona State 74	5
Quinnipiac 72 - Manhattan 59	0.851	Quinnipiac 58 - Manhattan 62	17
Rice 76 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.638	Rice 67 - Middle Tennessee 61	-1
Saint Peters 67 - Fairfield 64	0.589	Saint Peters 62 - Fairfield 52	-7
Southern Methodist 74 - Wichita State 72	0.539	Southern Methodist 55 - Wichita State 67	14
Stanford 67 - Washington 75	0.692	Stanford 61 - Washington 62	-7
Temple 87 - Tulane 61	0.964	Temple 80 - Tulane 69	15
Texas San Antonio 76 - Alabama Birmingham 71	0.651	Texas San Antonio 76 - Alabama Birmingham 70	-1
Tulsa 81 - East Carolina 65	0.858	Tulsa 91 - East Carolina 78	3
UL Lafayette 81 - Appalachian State 72	0.72	UL Lafayette 80 - Appalachian State 90	19
Western Kentucky 72 - Southern Miss 68	0.595	Western Kentucky 76 - Southern Miss 71	-1

Number of DI Games: 323
Number Correct: 230 = 71.2%
Expected Number Correct: 226.963 = 70.2%
Average Error: 9.27
Average Signed Error: 1.47

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 64 - Texas Southern 77	0.82	Alabama AM 61 - Texas Southern 66	-8
Alabama State 66 - Prairie View 69	0.587	Alabama State 69 - Prairie View 96	24
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Jackson State 60	0.666	Arkansas Pine Bluff 56 - Jackson State 57	7
Delaware State 57 - Norfolk State 74	0.883	Delaware State 66 - Norfolk State 74	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 68 - NJ Tech 66	0.558	Florida Gulf Coast 78 - NJ Tech 83	7
Idaho State 68 - Weber State 74	0.67	Idaho State 78 - Weber State 74	-10
Liberty 78 - Jacksonville 58	0.922	Liberty 72 - Jacksonville 58	6
Lipscomb 87 - Kennesaw St 56	0.962	Lipscomb 86 - Kennesaw St 71	16
Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Morgan State 67	0.662	Maryland Eastern Shore 78 - Morgan State 73	-11
Mississippi Valley State 63 - Grambling State 70	0.669	Mississippi Valley State 75 - Grambling State 77	-5
Montana 80 - Northern Arizona 59	0.924	Montana 66 - Northern Arizona 64	19
Montana State 76 - Southern Utah 68	0.688	Montana State 90 - Southern Utah 83	1
North Florida 77 - North Alabama 65	0.769	North Florida 76 - North Alabama 66	2
Syracuse 66 - Virginia 74	0.712	Syracuse 53 - Virginia 79	18
Texas Christian 73 - Kansas State 75	0.541	Texas Christian 52 - Kansas State 64	10
Texas Tech 79 - Texas 68	0.746	Texas Tech 70 - Texas 51	-8

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Stephen F Austin 59	0.867	Abilene Christian 72 - Stephen F Austin 58	2
Air Force 64 - Nevada 80	0.82	Air Force 79 - Nevada 90	-5
Akron 69 - Bowling Green 70	0.508	Akron 91 - Bowling Green 67	-25
Alabama 75 - Auburn 78	0.57	Alabama 60 - Auburn 66	3
Binghamton 67 - Albany 68	0.509	Binghamton 58 - Albany 73	14
Boston 73 - Loyola MD 68	0.648	Boston 71 - Loyola MD 63	-3
Boston College 74 - North Carolina 89	0.865	Boston College 66 - North Carolina 79	-2
Butler 75 - Xavier 71	0.588	Butler 71 - Xavier 66	-1
Central Michigan 79 - Northern Illinois 70	0.776	Central Michigan 86 - Northern Illinois 89	12
Charleston Southern 79 - South Carolina Upstate 60	0.94	Charleston Southern 71 - South Carolina Upstate 52	0
Colorado State 68 - Utah State 78	0.729	Colorado State 96 - Utah State 100	-6
Duke 95 - Wake Forest 63	0.998	Duke 71 - Wake Forest 70	31
Eastern Michigan 72 - Ball State 69	0.584	Eastern Michigan 68 - Ball State 61	-4
Florida State 76 - Virginia Tech 73	0.589	Florida State 73 - Virginia Tech 64	-6
George Mason 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	0.707	George Mason 36 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	27
Green Bay 75 - Illinois Chicago 71	0.606	Green Bay 82 - Illinois Chicago 77	-1
Hampton 78 - Longwood 67	0.777	Hampton 77 - Longwood 71	5
Hartford 71 - Stony Brook 70	0.547	Hartford 63 - Stony Brook 68	6
Lafayette 69 - Holy Cross 68	0.526	Lafayette 74 - Holy Cross 79	6
Miami 78 - Pittsburgh 71	0.694	Miami 76 - Pittsburgh 63	-6
Miami OH 73 - Kent State 70	0.597	Miami OH 66 - Kent State 75	12
Michigan State 86 - Nebraska 68	0.861	Michigan State 91 - Nebraska 76	3
Minnesota 74 - Purdue 80	0.671	Minnesota 73 - Purdue 69	-10
Mississippi 71 - Kentucky 78	0.677	Mississippi 76 - Kentucky 80	-3
New Hampshire 65 - Maine 64	0.502	New Hampshire 60 - Maine 53	-6
Ohio 68 - Buffalo 83	0.815	Ohio 79 - Buffalo 82	-12
Oklahoma 76 - Kansas 78	0.554	Oklahoma 81 - Kansas 68	-15
Presbyterian 77 - UNC Asheville 57	0.941	Presbyterian 106 - UNC Asheville 59	-27
Saint Josephs 72 - Rhode Island 71	0.522	Saint Josephs 85 - Rhode Island 86	2
Tennessee 84 - Mississippi State 73	0.785	Tennessee 71 - Mississippi State 54	-6
Texas AM 79 - South Carolina 74	0.626	Texas AM 54 - South Carolina 71	22
Toledo 84 - Western Michigan 61	0.931	Toledo 76 - Western Michigan 57	4
Vermont 80 - UMass Lowell 62	0.861	Vermont 74 - UMass Lowell 57	1
Wichita State 82 - East Carolina 64	0.897	Wichita State 72 - East Carolina 55	1
Wright State 74 - IUPUI 63	0.788	Wright State 71 - IUPUI 56	-4

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 82 - Oklahoma State 68	0.799	Baylor 64 - Oklahoma State 67	17
Charlotte 70 - Rice 71	0.507	Charlotte 70 - Rice 79	8
Creighton 78 - Providence 71	0.695	Creighton 76 - Providence 70	1
Davidson 73 - Saint Bonaventure 65	0.693	Davidson 64 - Saint Bonaventure 46	-10
Dayton 81 - La Salle 64	0.898	Dayton 70 - La Salle 39	-14
DePaul 79 - Georgetown 80	0.52	DePaul 101 - Georgetown 69	-33
Eastern Illinois 69 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.514	Eastern Illinois 71 - Tennessee Martin 78	6
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Wagner 60	0.765	Fairleigh Dickinson 84 - Wagner 46	-28
Florida 75 - Louisiana State 76	0.56	Florida 78 - Louisiana State 79	0
Florida Atlantic 70 - Louisiana Tech 66	0.594	Florida Atlantic 69 - Louisiana Tech 72	7
Fordham 71 - George Washington 68	0.6	Fordham 67 - George Washington 56	-8
Georgia 76 - Missouri 73	0.563	Georgia 39 - Missouri 64	28
Houston Baptist 80 - Incarnate Word 64	0.85	Houston Baptist 118 - Incarnate Word 111	9
Long Beach State 77 - UC Riverside 65	0.784	Long Beach State 70 - UC Riverside 57	-1
Marshall 83 - Florida International 79	0.592	Marshall 94 - Florida International 78	-12
Massachusetts 74 - Richmond 73	0.507	Massachusetts 87 - Richmond 79	-7
Mcneese State 65 - Texas AM CC 66	0.537	Mcneese State 50 - Texas AM CC 59	8
Morehead State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.717	Morehead State 72 - SIU Edwardsville 68	3
NC State 84 - Georgia Tech 70	0.839	NC State 61 - Georgia Tech 63	16
New Mexico 75 - Boise State 72	0.564	New Mexico 73 - Boise State 72	2
Nicholls State 70 - Northwestern State 65	0.62	Nicholls State 83 - Northwestern State 60	-18
Northern Kentucky 80 - Detroit 64	0.838	Northern Kentucky 99 - Detroit 88	5
Northwestern 70 - Ohio State 74	0.599	Northwestern 68 - Ohio State 50	-22
Notre Dame 70 - Clemson 75	0.644	Notre Dame 62 - Clemson 64	-3
Oakland 77 - Youngstown State 67	0.762	Oakland 88 - Youngstown State 84	6
Old Dominion 71 - Southern Miss 63	0.708	Old Dominion 52 - Southern Miss 59	15
Robert Morris 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.642	Robert Morris 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	1
Rutgers 76 - Penn State 75	0.536	Rutgers 65 - Penn State 66	2
Sacred Heart 75 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.67	Sacred Heart 62 - LIU Brooklyn 71	15
Saint Francis Penn 76 - Bryant 65	0.789	Saint Francis Penn 67 - Bryant 63	7
Saint Louis 75 - Duquesne 68	0.698	Saint Louis 85 - Duquesne 75	-3
Sam Houston State 80 - Central Arkansas 61	0.885	Sam Houston State 87 - Central Arkansas 91	23
San Diego State 71 - Fresno State 69	0.544	San Diego State 74 - Fresno State 76	4
San Jose State 71 - Wyoming 70	0.513	San Jose State 71 - Wyoming 81	11
Seton Hall 73 - Marquette 77	0.624	Seton Hall 73 - Marquette 64	-13
Southeast Louisiana 67 - New Orleans 63	0.615	Southeast Louisiana 81 - New Orleans 67	-10
Texas El Paso 69 - Middle Tennessee 68	0.527	Texas El Paso 53 - Middle Tennessee 69	17
Tulane 65 - South Florida 78	0.872	Tulane 70 - South Florida 75	-8
Vanderbilt 74 - Arkansas 78	0.633	Vanderbilt 48 - Arkansas 84	32
Washington 76 - Oregon State 65	0.808	Washington 81 - Oregon State 76	6
Washington State 68 - Oregon 77	0.672	Washington State 61 - Oregon 72	2
West Virginia 74 - Iowa State 84	0.739	West Virginia 90 - Iowa State 75	-25
Western Kentucky 77 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.651	Western Kentucky 76 - Texas San Antonio 81	11

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 72 - Navy 63	0.748	American 56 - Navy 60	13
Appalachian State 77 - Troy 69	0.74	Appalachian State 72 - Troy 64	0
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - UL Lafayette 74	0.531	Arkansas Little Rock 72 - UL Lafayette 77	4
Arkansas State 72 - UL Monroe 75	0.608	Arkansas State 73 - UL Monroe 72	-4
Austin Peay 74 - Morehead State 65	0.811	Austin Peay 95 - Morehead State 81	-5
Bethune Cookman 68 - Florida AM 61	0.676	Bethune Cookman 56 - Florida AM 64	15
Bucknell 75 - Holy Cross 62	0.785	Bucknell 77 - Holy Cross 65	1
Cal Poly 58 - UC Irvine 78	0.921	Cal Poly 72 - UC Irvine 110	18
Cal State Northridge 71 - UC Santa Barbara 73	0.57	Cal State Northridge 74 - UC Santa Barbara 76	0
Campbell 76 - Hampton 69	0.691	Campbell 86 - Hampton 77	-2
Central Florida 71 - Cincinnati 68	0.584	Central Florida 58 - Cincinnati 55	0
Coastal Carolina 74 - South Alabama 67	0.692	Coastal Carolina 92 - South Alabama 70	-15
Colgate 76 - Boston 63	0.838	Colgate 81 - Boston 69	1
Colorado 78 - UCLA 73	0.621	Colorado 93 - UCLA 68	-20
Connecticut 74 - Temple 75	0.511	Connecticut 71 - Temple 78	6
Gardner Webb 69 - High Point 66	0.572	Gardner Webb 75 - High Point 69	-3
Grambling State 69 - Alabama State 63	0.677	Grambling State 93 - Alabama State 66	-21
Houston 82 - Southern Methodist 61	0.907	Houston 90 - Southern Methodist 79	10
Idaho State 68 - Eastern Washington 70	0.559	Idaho State 62 - Eastern Washington 91	27
Illinois 78 - Indiana 77	0.547	Illinois 74 - Indiana 92	19
Illinois State 74 - Evansville 70	0.616	Illinois State 65 - Evansville 60	-1
Indiana State 72 - Valparaiso 69	0.568	Indiana State 55 - Valparaiso 77	25
Jackson State 67 - Alabama AM 58	0.757	Jackson State 66 - Alabama AM 47	-10
Jacksonville State 77 - Tennessee Martin 63	0.816	Jacksonville State 88 - Tennessee Martin 81	7
Lehigh 77 - Army 66	0.786	Lehigh 75 - Army 70	6
Liberty 76 - North Florida 62	0.809	Liberty 71 - North Florida 63	6
Lipscomb 78 - NJ Tech 63	0.858	Lipscomb 78 - NJ Tech 55	-8
Manhattan 62 - Fairfield 63	0.54	Manhattan 57 - Fairfield 53	-5
Marist 66 - Saint Peters 63	0.598	Marist 68 - Saint Peters 71	6
Maryland Eastern Shore 65 - Delaware State 59	0.658	Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Delaware State 64	0
Monmouth 71 - Niagara 68	0.57	Monmouth 76 - Niagara 72	-1
Morgan State 71 - Coppin State 63	0.737	Morgan State 69 - Coppin State 83	22
Norfolk State 75 - Howard 64	0.816	Norfolk State 95 - Howard 98	14
North Carolina AT 66 - North Carolina Central 61	0.633	North Carolina AT 74 - North Carolina Central 52	-17
Pepperdine 73 - Pacific 72	0.555	Pepperdine 61 - Pacific 53	-7
Portland State 65 - Montana 74	0.761	Portland State 81 - Montana 69	-21
Prairie View 75 - Southern 59	0.878	Prairie View 73 - Southern 55	-2
Radford 73 - Presbyterian 66	0.724	Radford 84 - Presbyterian 76	-1
Sacramento State 69 - Montana State 70	0.511	Sacramento State 70 - Montana State 67	-4
San Diego 80 - Portland 62	0.925	San Diego 67 - Portland 47	-2
Seattle 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.629	Seattle 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	-1
South Carolina State 73 - Savannah State 70	0.607	South Carolina State 87 - Savannah State 90	6
Southern Utah 66 - Northern Colorado 70	0.606	Southern Utah 53 - Northern Colorado 70	13
Stanford 82 - California 66	0.821	Stanford 59 - California 64	21
Texas Pan American 75 - Cal Baptist 67	0.68	Texas Pan American 79 - Cal Baptist 82	11
Texas Southern 80 - Alcorn State 59	0.911	Texas Southern 99 - Alcorn State 72	-6
UC Davis 68 - Hawaii 67	0.526	UC Davis 69 - Hawaii 76	8
Utah 78 - Southern California 75	0.581	Utah 83 - Southern California 74	-6
Utah Valley 73 - Grand Canyon 70	0.622	Utah Valley 82 - Grand Canyon 70	-9
Weber State 80 - Idaho 58	0.92	Weber State 93 - Idaho 59	-12
Winthrop 74 - Charleston Southern 72	0.543	Winthrop 63 - Charleston Southern 77	16
Wisconsin 81 - Iowa 73	0.723	Wisconsin 65 - Iowa 45	-12

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 75 - Northern Illinois 69	0.681	Ball State 57 - Northern Illinois 64	13
Belmont 78 - Austin Peay 70	0.726	Belmont 83 - Austin Peay 67	-8
Buffalo 85 - Bowling Green 70	0.815	Buffalo 84 - Bowling Green 73	4
Campbell 72 - Gardner Webb 67	0.672	Campbell 74 - Gardner Webb 79	10
Canisius 68 - Manhattan 62	0.686	Canisius 69 - Manhattan 65	2
Columbia 73 - Dartmouth 69	0.632	Columbia 70 - Dartmouth 66	0
Cornell 66 - Harvard 73	0.691	Cornell 72 - Harvard 59	-20
Drake 76 - Illinois State 70	0.681	Drake 78 - Illinois State 62	-10
Iona 73 - Saint Peters 64	0.766	Iona 73 - Saint Peters 71	7
Kent State 72 - Akron 67	0.63	Kent State 68 - Akron 65	2
Loyola Ill 71 - Valparaiso 62	0.695	Loyola Ill 67 - Valparaiso 54	-4
Loyola Marymount 74 - Pepperdine 69	0.652	Loyola Marymount 65 - Pepperdine 68	8
Maryland 79 - Minnesota 71	0.73	Maryland 69 - Minnesota 60	-1
Missouri State 68 - Bradley 69	0.509	Missouri State 58 - Bradley 61	2
Murray State 72 - Jacksonville State 66	0.641	Murray State 76 - Jacksonville State 74	4
Ohio 70 - Miami OH 71	0.52	Ohio 66 - Miami OH 57	-10
Pennsylvania 73 - Yale 74	0.53	Pennsylvania 77 - Yale 66	-12
Princeton 71 - Brown 67	0.604	Princeton 63 - Brown 67	8
Radford 72 - Charleston Southern 66	0.69	Radford 63 - Charleston Southern 54	-3
Samford 80 - The Citadel 74	0.683	Samford 100 - The Citadel 71	-23
Santa Clara 70 - San Diego 74	0.636	Santa Clara 45 - San Diego 62	13
Southern Illinois 70 - Northern Iowa 67	0.587	Southern Illinois 58 - Northern Iowa 61	6
Toledo 77 - Eastern Michigan 63	0.812	Toledo 64 - Eastern Michigan 58	8
Virginia Commonwealth 81 - Saint Josephs 61	0.883	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Saint Josephs 63	8
Virginia Military Institute 74 - Western Carolina 75	0.515	Virginia Military Institute 96 - Western Carolina 83	-14
Virginia Tech 82 - Miami 66	0.866	Virginia Tech 84 - Miami 70	2
Western Michigan 71 - Central Michigan 80	0.76	Western Michigan 75 - Central Michigan 82	-2

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 78 - Incarnate Word 53	0.998	Abilene Christian 81 - Incarnate Word 52	-4
Alabama Birmingham 66 - Old Dominion 69	0.619	Alabama Birmingham 64 - Old Dominion 50	-17
Appalachian State 74 - South Alabama 71	0.588	Appalachian State 71 - South Alabama 78	10
Arizona 74 - Arizona State 73	0.507	Arizona 64 - Arizona State 72	9
Arkansas 78 - Alabama 76	0.565	Arkansas 82 - Alabama 70	-10
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - UL Monroe 74	0.568	Arkansas Little Rock 62 - UL Monroe 79	14
Arkansas State 74 - UL Lafayette 75	0.554	Arkansas State 87 - UL Lafayette 90	2
Auburn 78 - Tennessee 80	0.543	Auburn 84 - Tennessee 80	-6
Belmont 74 - Murray State 73	0.522	Belmont 65 - Murray State 77	13
Boise State 74 - Air Force 68	0.657	Boise State 80 - Air Force 52	-22
Boston College 78 - NC State 82	0.617	Boston College 47 - NC State 73	22
Brigham Young 78 - San Diego 74	0.608	Brigham Young 57 - San Diego 80	27
Cal Poly 62 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.778	Cal Poly 82 - UC Santa Barbara 92	-2
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Hawaii 68	0.631	Cal State Fullerton 59 - Hawaii 71	17
Chicago State 64 - UMKC 77	0.779	Chicago State 61 - UMKC 76	2
Clemson 73 - Syracuse 70	0.578	Clemson 67 - Syracuse 55	-9
Coastal Carolina 77 - Troy 65	0.832	Coastal Carolina 67 - Troy 74	19
Colorado 76 - Southern California 71	0.625	Colorado 78 - Southern California 67	-6
Colorado State 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	0.544	Colorado State 60 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	7
Columbia 68 - Harvard 74	0.69	Columbia 81 - Harvard 83	-4
Cornell 71 - Dartmouth 68	0.61	Cornell 66 - Dartmouth 51	-12
Creighton 83 - DePaul 72	0.761	Creighton 91 - DePaul 78	-2
Drake 74 - Northern Iowa 68	0.677	Drake 58 - Northern Iowa 60	8
Duquesne 72 - Dayton 75	0.628	Duquesne 67 - Dayton 78	8
East Tennessee State 78 - Chattanooga 62	0.883	East Tennessee State 68 - Chattanooga 64	12
Elon 71 - UNC Wilmington 72	0.516	Elon 86 - UNC Wilmington 93	6
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Robert Morris 63	0.686	Fairleigh Dickinson 66 - Robert Morris 62	3
Florida International 74 - North Texas 71	0.574	Florida International 73 - North Texas 58	-12
Fresno State 86 - San Jose State 57	0.956	Fresno State 121 - San Jose State 81	-11
Furman 75 - Mercer 61	0.837	Furman 85 - Mercer 74	3
George Washington 69 - George Mason 75	0.656	George Washington 65 - George Mason 81	10
Georgia Southern 77 - Georgia State 71	0.674	Georgia Southern 85 - Georgia State 90	11
Grambling State 72 - Alabama AM 58	0.834	Grambling State 66 - Alabama AM 58	6
Hartford 79 - UMass Lowell 69	0.733	Hartford 78 - UMass Lowell 70	2
Idaho State 74 - Idaho 62	0.809	Idaho State 70 - Idaho 68	10
Iowa State 74 - Texas Tech 75	0.515	Iowa State 73 - Texas Tech 80	6
Jackson State 64 - Alabama State 62	0.549	Jackson State 82 - Alabama State 70	-10
James Madison 68 - Towson 67	0.518	James Madison 74 - Towson 73	0
Kansas 80 - Baylor 72	0.697	Kansas 78 - Baylor 70	0
Kansas State 76 - Oklahoma 68	0.698	Kansas State 68 - Oklahoma 53	-7
Kentucky 78 - Florida 65	0.816	Kentucky 66 - Florida 57	4
La Salle 74 - Fordham 66	0.722	La Salle 72 - Fordham 57	-7
Lamar 77 - Mcneese State 62	0.836	Lamar 83 - Mcneese State 58	-10
Louisiana State 89 - Vanderbilt 66	0.96	Louisiana State 80 - Vanderbilt 59	2
Loyola Ill 69 - Bradley 65	0.587	Loyola Ill 51 - Bradley 53	6
Marquette 84 - Georgetown 72	0.813	Marquette 84 - Georgetown 86	14
Marshall 76 - Florida Atlantic 74	0.55	Marshall 76 - Florida Atlantic 61	-13
Memphis 82 - Tulsa 74	0.709	Memphis 66 - Tulsa 63	5
Michigan State 78 - Michigan 72	0.643	Michigan State 75 - Michigan 63	-6
Middle Tennessee 72 - Texas El Paso 65	0.711	Middle Tennessee 48 - Texas El Paso 47	6
Mississippi State 82 - Texas AM 69	0.829	Mississippi State 92 - Texas AM 81	2
Mississippi Valley State 64 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.597	Mississippi Valley State 57 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 91	30
Missouri 73 - Mississippi 75	0.552	Missouri 68 - Mississippi 73	3
Nevada 79 - San Diego State 64	0.796	Nevada 81 - San Diego State 53	-13
New Mexico State 81 - Cal Baptist 62	0.872	New Mexico State 75 - Cal Baptist 63	7
Nicholls State 65 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.608	Nicholls State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 63	-10
North Carolina 84 - Duke 82	0.542	North Carolina 79 - Duke 70	-7
Northern Colorado 76 - Northern Arizona 60	0.864	Northern Colorado 78 - Northern Arizona 89	27
Northwestern 68 - Purdue 82	0.836	Northwestern 57 - Purdue 70	-1
Northwestern State 70 - Central Arkansas 68	0.556	Northwestern State 63 - Central Arkansas 70	9
Oklahoma State 80 - West Virginia 75	0.63	Oklahoma State 85 - West Virginia 77	-3
Omaha 76 - North Dakota 66	0.775	Omaha 81 - North Dakota 76	5
Pennsylvania 73 - Brown 68	0.626	Pennsylvania 58 - Brown 51	-2
Pittsburgh 75 - Notre Dame 73	0.577	Pittsburgh 56 - Notre Dame 53	-1
Portland State 74 - Montana State 73	0.506	Portland State 84 - Montana State 80	-3
Prairie View 75 - Alcorn State 57	0.896	Prairie View 98 - Alcorn State 64	-16
Princeton 71 - Yale 73	0.57	Princeton 59 - Yale 81	20
Providence 74 - Butler 71	0.594	Providence 83 - Butler 70	-10
Quinnipiac 71 - Monmouth 66	0.634	Quinnipiac 92 - Monmouth 98	11
Rhode Island 77 - Massachusetts 66	0.762	Rhode Island 94 - Massachusetts 75	-8
Rice 75 - Charlotte 66	0.706	Rice 70 - Charlotte 78	17
Richmond 69 - Davidson 75	0.678	Richmond 69 - Davidson 73	-2
Sacramento State 62 - Montana 72	0.756	Sacramento State 68 - Montana 86	8
Saint Bonaventure 70 - Saint Louis 66	0.591	Saint Bonaventure 66 - Saint Louis 57	-5
Saint Francis Penn 73 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.676	Saint Francis Penn 72 - LIU Brooklyn 64	-2
San Francisco 80 - Pepperdine 70	0.767	San Francisco 72 - Pepperdine 89	27
Seattle 66 - Grand Canyon 71	0.631	Seattle 83 - Grand Canyon 76	-12
Seton Hall 72 - Villanova 76	0.612	Seton Hall 79 - Villanova 75	-8
Siena 69 - Rider 67	0.577	Siena 87 - Rider 81	-4
South Carolina 81 - Georgia 75	0.66	South Carolina 66 - Georgia 46	-14
South Dakota State 83 - Western Illinois 59	0.892	South Dakota State 76 - Western Illinois 79	27
Southern Miss 75 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.596	Southern Miss 81 - Texas San Antonio 48	-29
Stephen F Austin 65 - Sam Houston State 73	0.734	Stephen F Austin 57 - Sam Houston State 68	3
Stony Brook 77 - Binghamton 58	0.9	Stony Brook 72 - Binghamton 78	25
Temple 73 - Central Florida 74	0.555	Temple 67 - Central Florida 62	-6
Texas 81 - Texas Christian 74	0.69	Texas 56 - Texas Christian 69	20
Texas AM CC 72 - Houston Baptist 68	0.601	Texas AM CC 76 - Houston Baptist 69	-3
Texas Arlington 66 - Texas State 65	0.516	Texas Arlington 81 - Texas State 73	-7
Texas Southern 80 - Southern 61	0.898	Texas Southern 77 - Southern 87	29
Tulane 66 - Wichita State 79	0.851	Tulane 79 - Wichita State 82	-10
UC Davis 71 - UC Riverside 61	0.759	UC Davis 70 - UC Riverside 71	11
UC Irvine 81 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.926	UC Irvine 86 - Cal State Northridge 74	7
UMBC 71 - Albany 62	0.725	UMBC 62 - Albany 54	1
UNC Greensboro 76 - Samford 66	0.761	UNC Greensboro 77 - Samford 70	3
Utah 80 - UCLA 77	0.578	Utah 92 - UCLA 81	-8
Utah Valley 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.877	Utah Valley 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	-2
Vermont 81 - Maine 54	0.95	Vermont 73 - Maine 57	11
Virginia 79 - Louisville 64	0.869	Virginia 73 - Louisville 68	10
Wake Forest 70 - Florida State 84	0.852	Wake Forest 57 - Florida State 65	-6
Washington 72 - Oregon 63	0.703	Washington 47 - Oregon 55	17
Washington State 72 - Oregon State 79	0.661	Washington State 77 - Oregon State 85	1
Weber State 74 - Eastern Washington 66	0.714	Weber State 77 - Eastern Washington 80	11
Wofford 87 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0.926	Wofford 99 - Virginia Military Institute 72	-1
Wyoming 68 - New Mexico 76	0.664	Wyoming 88 - New Mexico 81	-15
Xavier 77 - Saint Johns 73	0.601	Xavier 81 - Saint Johns 68	-9

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 69 - Northern Iowa 68	0.516	Bradley 57 - Northern Iowa 54	-2
Bucknell 77 - Lehigh 72	0.636	Bucknell 97 - Lehigh 75	-17
Canisius 69 - Monmouth 67	0.563	Canisius 59 - Monmouth 73	16
Cincinnati 70 - Houston 69	0.521	Cincinnati 69 - Houston 85	17
Colgate 76 - Navy 60	0.855	Colgate 80 - Navy 70	6
College of Charleston 78 - Drexel 64	0.87	College of Charleston 73 - Drexel 61	2
East Carolina 70 - Connecticut 78	0.721	East Carolina 73 - Connecticut 82	1
Hofstra 81 - James Madison 65	0.848	Hofstra 76 - James Madison 67	7
Indiana 77 - Rutgers 71	0.661	Indiana 89 - Rutgers 73	-10
Lipscomb 73 - Liberty 66	0.682	Lipscomb 68 - Liberty 74	13
Nebraska 80 - Iowa 79	0.51	Nebraska 93 - Iowa 91	-1
North Dakota State 72 - Oral Roberts 67	0.64	North Dakota State 86 - Oral Roberts 73	-8
Northeastern 80 - UNC Wilmington 65	0.877	Northeastern 80 - UNC Wilmington 59	-6
Ohio State 71 - Wisconsin 72	0.538	Ohio State 67 - Wisconsin 73	5
Penn State 82 - Illinois 75	0.679	Penn State 72 - Illinois 56	-9
Radford 74 - Gardner Webb 65	0.778	Radford 65 - Gardner Webb 76	20
Siena 70 - Iona 68	0.567	Siena 57 - Iona 73	18
South Dakota 73 - IPFW 70	0.562	South Dakota 70 - IPFW 96	29
South Florida 74 - Southern Methodist 67	0.685	South Florida 71 - Southern Methodist 77	13
UNC Greensboro 66 - Furman 69	0.567	UNC Greensboro 66 - Furman 62	-7
William and Mary 72 - Delaware 67	0.65	William and Mary 79 - Delaware 85	11
Wofford 76 - East Tennessee State 68	0.705	Wofford 81 - East Tennessee State 72	-1

Number of DI Games: 300
Number Correct: 207 = 69%
Expected Number Correct: 207.176 = 69%
Average Error: 9.39
Average Signed Error: 1.67

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 70 - Miami OH 64	0.657	Akron 80 - Miami OH 51	-23
Central Michigan 84 - Western Michigan 68	0.904	Central Michigan 81 - Western Michigan 67	2
College of Charleston 70 - Northeastern 68	0.552	College of Charleston 67 - Northeastern 70	5
Eastern Michigan 73 - Ball State 68	0.636	Eastern Michigan 43 - Ball State 61	23
Gonzaga 91 - Pepperdine 64	0.938	Gonzaga 100 - Pepperdine 74	1
Hofstra 79 - Delaware 65	0.813	Hofstra 78 - Delaware 74	10
Iona 72 - Monmouth 68	0.615	Iona 81 - Monmouth 60	-17
North Dakota State 71 - Western Illinois 63	0.683	North Dakota State 76 - Western Illinois 73	5
Northern Illinois 74 - Ohio 69	0.631	Northern Illinois 80 - Ohio 61	-14
Northern Kentucky 75 - Oakland 69	0.707	Northern Kentucky 64 - Oakland 63	5
Omaha 77 - IPFW 73	0.586	Omaha 61 - IPFW 60	3
Saint Marys 73 - San Diego 68	0.644	Saint Marys 69 - San Diego 62	-2
Savannah State 74 - Delaware State 65	0.743	Savannah State 67 - Delaware State 71	13
Wofford 74 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.707	Wofford 70 - UNC Greensboro 58	-4
Wright State 74 - Green Bay 68	0.67	Wright State 66 - Green Bay 54	-6

GAMES OF 3-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 76 - Pittsburgh 75	0.529	Boston College 70 - Pittsburgh 80	11
Coppin State 66 - Morgan State 67	0.532	Coppin State 81 - Morgan State 71	-11
Georgia Tech 71 - Notre Dame 72	0.504	Georgia Tech 71 - Notre Dame 78	6
Gonzaga 82 - Saint Marys 66	0.82	Gonzaga 47 - Saint Marys 60	29
Grambling State 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	0.679	Grambling State 59 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	0
Hofstra 74 - Northeastern 73	0.503	Hofstra 74 - Northeastern 82	9
Jackson State 67 - Alabama State 60	0.676	Jackson State 49 - Alabama State 58	16
Maryland Eastern Shore 62 - South Carolina State 67	0.665	Maryland Eastern Shore 54 - South Carolina State 63	4
Miami 79 - Wake Forest 73	0.674	Miami 79 - Wake Forest 71	-2
Omaha 73 - North Dakota State 69	0.65	Omaha 63 - North Dakota State 73	14
Prairie View 77 - Alcorn State 56	0.905	Prairie View 86 - Alcorn State 66	1
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.56	Saint Francis Penn 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 85	11
South Alabama 74 - Arkansas State 68	0.679	South Alabama 75 - Arkansas State 67	-2
Texas Southern 79 - Southern 62	0.86	Texas Southern 80 - Southern 70	7
UL Monroe 79 - Appalachian State 70	0.778	UL Monroe 89 - Appalachian State 80	0
UMBC 70 - Hartford 68	0.553	UMBC 90 - Hartford 85	-3
Vermont 79 - Binghamton 56	0.934	Vermont 84 - Binghamton 51	-10
Wright State 68 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.533	Wright State 66 - Northern Kentucky 77	10

GAMES OF 3-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 79 - San Jose State 65	0.777	Air Force 87 - San Jose State 56	-17
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.714	Alabama Birmingham 70 - Middle Tennessee 61	-2
Boise State 73 - Colorado State 71	0.534	Boise State 66 - Colorado State 57	-7
Colgate 73 - Bucknell 69	0.614	Colgate 94 - Bucknell 80	-10
Colorado 80 - California 65	0.823	Colorado 56 - California 51	10
Florida International 71 - North Texas 72	0.511	Florida International 57 - North Texas 71	13
George Washington 71 - Massachusetts 74	0.583	George Washington 68 - Massachusetts 64	-7
Illinois 77 - Northwestern 76	0.513	Illinois 74 - Northwestern 69	-4
Lamar 78 - Houston Baptist 71	0.654	Lamar 81 - Houston Baptist 79	5
Louisiana Tech 69 - Florida Atlantic 67	0.574	Louisiana Tech 57 - Florida Atlantic 56	1
Louisville 80 - Notre Dame 69	0.793	Louisville 75 - Notre Dame 53	-11
Marshall 82 - Rice 76	0.641	Marshall 82 - Rice 65	-11
Missouri 76 - Georgia 71	0.615	Missouri 71 - Georgia 61	-5
Montana State 78 - Idaho 63	0.858	Montana State 75 - Idaho 71	11
NC State 76 - Clemson 77	0.543	NC State 59 - Clemson 58	-2
New Mexico 77 - Wyoming 68	0.699	New Mexico 78 - Wyoming 68	-1
Norfolk State 76 - South Carolina State 60	0.91	Norfolk State 78 - South Carolina State 73	11
North Carolina AT 68 - Coppin State 58	0.751	North Carolina AT 82 - Coppin State 79	7
Northern Arizona 68 - Sacramento State 69	0.532	Northern Arizona 60 - Sacramento State 72	11
Oklahoma 83 - West Virginia 74	0.707	Oklahoma 71 - West Virginia 72	10
Oregon 79 - Washington State 65	0.767	Oregon 84 - Washington State 51	-19
Providence 72 - Butler 73	0.501	Providence 80 - Butler 57	-24
Richmond 73 - Fordham 69	0.629	Richmond 52 - Fordham 50	2
Rutgers 75 - Nebraska 78	0.575	Rutgers 61 - Nebraska 68	4
Saint Johns 81 - DePaul 75	0.659	Saint Johns 82 - DePaul 74	-2
Southern California 72 - Arizona 73	0.516	Southern California 78 - Arizona 65	-14
Southern Utah 72 - Idaho State 68	0.598	Southern Utah 94 - Idaho State 80	-10
Syracuse 78 - Pittsburgh 69	0.729	Syracuse 73 - Pittsburgh 59	-5
Texas AM CC 69 - Central Arkansas 66	0.589	Texas AM CC 53 - Central Arkansas 73	23
Texas Christian 80 - Oklahoma State 74	0.64	Texas Christian 73 - Oklahoma State 70	3
UCLA 77 - Stanford 76	0.502	UCLA 79 - Stanford 72	-6
Vanderbilt 72 - Texas AM 76	0.594	Vanderbilt 52 - Texas AM 69	13
Virginia Tech 80 - Miami 69	0.791	Virginia Tech 71 - Miami 56	-4

GAMES OF 3-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 81 - UCLA 75	0.624	Arizona State 83 - UCLA 72	-5
Auburn 80 - Missouri 69	0.742	Auburn 81 - Missouri 71	1
Baylor 76 - Iowa State 78	0.545	Baylor 66 - Iowa State 83	15
Bowling Green 76 - Ball State 71	0.616	Bowling Green 99 - Ball State 86	-8
Buffalo 79 - Akron 65	0.809	Buffalo 82 - Akron 46	-22
Cal State Fullerton 70 - UC Davis 66	0.643	Cal State Fullerton 75 - UC Davis 71	0
Coastal Carolina 72 - UL Monroe 73	0.531	Coastal Carolina 50 - UL Monroe 80	29
Duke 83 - Syracuse 71	0.762	Duke 84 - Syracuse 72	0
Duquesne 76 - Saint Josephs 73	0.568	Duquesne 86 - Saint Josephs 92	9
Eastern Washington 72 - Montana State 71	0.512	Eastern Washington 90 - Montana State 84	-5
Florida 76 - Arkansas 73	0.587	Florida 66 - Arkansas 50	-13
Florida State 74 - Virginia Tech 75	0.502	Florida State 65 - Virginia Tech 63	-3
Fresno State 77 - Air Force 65	0.797	Fresno State 76 - Air Force 50	-14
George Mason 77 - George Washington 66	0.751	George Mason 61 - George Washington 57	7
Grand Canyon 72 - Seattle 67	0.646	Grand Canyon 84 - Seattle 75	-4
Hawaii 74 - Long Beach State 71	0.588	Hawaii 66 - Long Beach State 68	5
Howard 71 - Bethune Cookman 70	0.512	Howard 80 - Bethune Cookman 71	-8
Iowa 85 - Illinois 79	0.637	Iowa 83 - Illinois 62	-15
Kansas 81 - Texas 72	0.719	Kansas 65 - Texas 57	1
Kansas State 76 - Texas Christian 70	0.655	Kansas State 70 - Texas Christian 61	-3
Kent State 77 - Central Michigan 76	0.518	Kent State 81 - Central Michigan 89	9
Maryland 79 - Nebraska 72	0.666	Maryland 61 - Nebraska 69	15
Memphis 89 - Tulane 65	0.94	Memphis 83 - Tulane 68	9
Minnesota 77 - Penn State 76	0.512	Minnesota 77 - Penn State 72	-4
Mississippi 78 - Alabama 75	0.597	Mississippi 57 - Alabama 62	8
Mississippi State 81 - Texas AM 71	0.763	Mississippi State 80 - Texas AM 54	-16
Montana 73 - Sacramento State 61	0.805	Montana 79 - Sacramento State 73	6
Nevada 81 - Boise State 64	0.836	Nevada 77 - Boise State 69	9
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - San Diego State 71	0.526	Nevada Las Vegas 55 - San Diego State 63	9
New Mexico State 88 - Chicago State 54	0.986	New Mexico State 86 - Chicago State 49	-3
New Orleans 67 - Lamar 70	0.591	New Orleans 76 - Lamar 72	-7
North Carolina 85 - Louisville 76	0.724	North Carolina 83 - Louisville 70	-4
North Carolina Central 71 - Delaware State 56	0.827	North Carolina Central 75 - Delaware State 57	-3
Northern Colorado 72 - Southern Utah 63	0.705	Northern Colorado 64 - Southern Utah 83	28
Ohio State 73 - Indiana 74	0.532	Ohio State 79 - Indiana 75	-5
Old Dominion 69 - Louisiana Tech 65	0.613	Old Dominion 57 - Louisiana Tech 56	3
Oregon State 72 - Colorado 74	0.542	Oregon State 58 - Colorado 73	13
Rhode Island 75 - La Salle 69	0.659	Rhode Island 76 - La Salle 57	-13
Saint Johns 75 - Marquette 78	0.581	Saint Johns 54 - Marquette 86	29
Saint Louis 75 - Richmond 68	0.685	Saint Louis 71 - Richmond 68	4
Seton Hall 79 - Georgetown 77	0.556	Seton Hall 73 - Georgetown 57	-14
South Florida 73 - Connecticut 72	0.518	South Florida 73 - Connecticut 80	8
Southeast Louisiana 71 - Central Arkansas 65	0.638	Southeast Louisiana 79 - Central Arkansas 65	-8
Southern Miss 78 - Marshall 72	0.611	Southern Miss 82 - Marshall 73	-3
Texas Pan American 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.626	Texas Pan American 85 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	-11
Texas San Antonio 74 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.528	Texas San Antonio 76 - Alabama Birmingham 85	11
Texas Tech 85 - West Virginia 67	0.862	Texas Tech 74 - West Virginia 79	23
Toledo 76 - Northern Illinois 66	0.766	Toledo 76 - Northern Illinois 80	14
Tulsa 74 - Southern Methodist 73	0.532	Tulsa 65 - Southern Methodist 74	10
UC Irvine 77 - UC Riverside 57	0.907	UC Irvine 63 - UC Riverside 44	1
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.691	UC Santa Barbara 71 - Cal State Northridge 68	4
UL Lafayette 75 - South Alabama 71	0.591	UL Lafayette 69 - South Alabama 70	5
Utah 70 - Oregon 74	0.599	Utah 54 - Oregon 66	8
Utah State 81 - New Mexico 66	0.811	Utah State 91 - New Mexico 83	7
Utah Valley 77 - UMKC 64	0.823	Utah Valley 71 - UMKC 64	6
Villanova 76 - Providence 68	0.718	Villanova 73 - Providence 62	-3
Virginia 83 - NC State 68	0.875	Virginia 76 - NC State 56	-5
Washington 76 - Southern California 68	0.728	Washington 78 - Southern California 75	5
Weber State 73 - Portland State 70	0.585	Weber State 81 - Portland State 71	-7
Western Kentucky 71 - North Texas 66	0.659	Western Kentucky 67 - North Texas 51	-11
Wichita State 80 - East Carolina 66	0.85	Wichita State 73 - East Carolina 57	-2
Xavier 73 - Creighton 76	0.568	Xavier 63 - Creighton 61	-5

GAMES OF 3-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0.68	Abilene Christian 69 - Southeast Louisiana 66	4
Arizona State 71 - Oregon 72	0.503	Arizona State 75 - Oregon 79	3
Bowling Green 76 - Northern Illinois 71	0.611	Bowling Green 71 - Northern Illinois 67	1
Buffalo 86 - Central Michigan 72	0.841	Buffalo 85 - Central Michigan 81	10
Cincinnati 77 - Southern Methodist 65	0.764	Cincinnati 82 - Southern Methodist 74	4
Davidson 77 - Saint Josephs 67	0.765	Davidson 70 - Saint Josephs 60	0
Dayton 73 - Saint Louis 67	0.674	Dayton 55 - Saint Louis 64	15
Eastern Washington 71 - Southern Utah 67	0.603	Eastern Washington 77 - Southern Utah 61	-12
Georgia Southern 77 - UL Monroe 72	0.665	Georgia Southern 81 - UL Monroe 67	-9
Houston 81 - Connecticut 66	0.897	Houston 84 - Connecticut 45	-24
Kansas 88 - West Virginia 70	0.863	Kansas 88 - West Virginia 74	4
Kansas State 75 - Iowa State 72	0.574	Kansas State 59 - Iowa State 63	7
Kentucky 82 - Alabama 67	0.828	Kentucky 73 - Alabama 55	-3
Louisiana State 79 - Florida 73	0.719	Louisiana State 73 - Florida 76	9
Marquette 77 - Seton Hall 73	0.638	Marquette 79 - Seton Hall 81	6
Memphis 75 - Central Florida 76	0.528	Memphis 79 - Central Florida 55	-25
Michigan 82 - Iowa 72	0.735	Michigan 74 - Iowa 53	-11
Michigan State 82 - Ohio State 68	0.821	Michigan State 77 - Ohio State 70	7
Montana 73 - Weber State 67	0.674	Montana 78 - Weber State 49	-23
Nevada 77 - San Diego State 65	0.756	Nevada 56 - San Diego State 65	21
New Mexico State 76 - Texas Pan American 64	0.829	New Mexico State 79 - Texas Pan American 72	5
Norfolk State 75 - Howard 66	0.77	Norfolk State 75 - Howard 69	3
North Carolina 82 - Duke 83	0.504	North Carolina 73 - Duke 74	0
North Carolina AT 65 - North Carolina Central 61	0.583	North Carolina AT 63 - North Carolina Central 65	6
Old Dominion 69 - Alabama Birmingham 65	0.632	Old Dominion 61 - Alabama Birmingham 59	2
Prairie View 71 - Grambling State 66	0.626	Prairie View 81 - Grambling State 71	-5
Purdue 81 - Minnesota 72	0.734	Purdue 73 - Minnesota 75	11
Saint Bonaventure 71 - George Mason 69	0.551	Saint Bonaventure 68 - George Mason 57	-9
Sam Houston State 71 - New Orleans 64	0.713	Sam Houston State 76 - New Orleans 79	10
South Carolina 73 - Auburn 82	0.71	South Carolina 64 - Auburn 73	0
Temple 76 - Wichita State 72	0.618	Temple 74 - Wichita State 80	10
Tennessee 82 - Mississippi State 75	0.698	Tennessee 83 - Mississippi State 76	0
Texas Southern 77 - Alabama State 66	0.758	Texas Southern 80 - Alabama State 66	-3
Texas State 71 - South Alabama 63	0.705	Texas State 79 - South Alabama 67	-4
UC Irvine 78 - Long Beach State 65	0.858	UC Irvine 75 - Long Beach State 67	5
UC Santa Barbara 71 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.591	UC Santa Barbara 58 - Cal State Fullerton 64	9
Utah State 74 - Fresno State 70	0.631	Utah State 85 - Fresno State 60	-21
Utah Valley 73 - Grand Canyon 70	0.581	Utah Valley 74 - Grand Canyon 78	7
Villanova 76 - Xavier 69	0.684	Villanova 71 - Xavier 67	3
Virginia 78 - Florida State 69	0.78	Virginia 59 - Florida State 69	19
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Rhode Island 64	0.784	Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Rhode Island 75	18
Washington 72 - Colorado 68	0.622	Washington 66 - Colorado 61	-1
Western Kentucky 69 - Southern Miss 71	0.544	Western Kentucky 70 - Southern Miss 59	-13
Wisconsin 78 - Nebraska 70	0.719	Wisconsin 66 - Nebraska 62	4

GAMES OF 3-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - New Orleans 62	0.732	Abilene Christian 77 - New Orleans 60	-9
Auburn 77 - Florida 72	0.63	Auburn 65 - Florida 62	2
Buffalo 84 - Bowling Green 71	0.758	Buffalo 87 - Bowling Green 73	-1
Cincinnati 75 - Wichita State 67	0.728	Cincinnati 66 - Wichita State 63	5
Davidson 72 - Saint Louis 67	0.639	Davidson 44 - Saint Louis 67	28
Duke 82 - Florida State 75	0.684	Duke 73 - Florida State 63	-3
Georgia State 69 - Texas State 68	0.545	Georgia State 59 - Texas State 46	-12
Harvard 71 - Pennsylvania 70	0.509	Harvard 66 - Pennsylvania 58	-7
Kansas 82 - Iowa State 75	0.674	Kansas 66 - Iowa State 78	19
Kentucky 77 - Tennessee 76	0.519	Kentucky 78 - Tennessee 82	5
Memphis 73 - Houston 80	0.687	Memphis 58 - Houston 61	-4
Michigan 79 - Minnesota 69	0.74	Michigan 76 - Minnesota 49	-17
Michigan State 77 - Wisconsin 72	0.676	Michigan State 67 - Wisconsin 55	-7
Montana 72 - Eastern Washington 64	0.713	Montana 68 - Eastern Washington 62	2
New Mexico State 74 - Grand Canyon 67	0.694	New Mexico State 89 - Grand Canyon 57	-25
Norfolk State 70 - North Carolina Central 61	0.745	Norfolk State 47 - North Carolina Central 50	12
Old Dominion 69 - Western Kentucky 68	0.556	Old Dominion 62 - Western Kentucky 56	-5
Prairie View 74 - Texas Southern 73	0.518	Prairie View 92 - Texas Southern 86	-5
Saint Bonaventure 70 - Rhode Island 69	0.534	Saint Bonaventure 68 - Rhode Island 51	-16
Texas Arlington 70 - Georgia Southern 74	0.626	Texas Arlington 67 - Georgia Southern 58	-13
UC Irvine 75 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.818	UC Irvine 92 - Cal State Fullerton 64	-17
Utah State 74 - San Diego State 66	0.695	Utah State 64 - San Diego State 57	1
Vermont 73 - UMBC 59	0.845	Vermont 66 - UMBC 49	-3
Villanova 76 - Seton Hall 71	0.651	Villanova 74 - Seton Hall 72	3
Washington 69 - Oregon 66	0.577	Washington 48 - Oregon 68	23
Yale 78 - Princeton 66	0.806	Yale 83 - Princeton 77	6

GAMES OF 3-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Georgia State 72 - Texas Arlington 69	0.609	Georgia State 73 - Texas Arlington 64	-6
Houston 73 - Cincinnati 68	0.678	Houston 57 - Cincinnati 69	17
Michigan State 76 - Michigan 74	0.568	Michigan State 65 - Michigan 60	-3
Saint Bonaventure 67 - Saint Louis 68	0.504	Saint Bonaventure 53 - Saint Louis 55	1
Tennessee 81 - Auburn 76	0.624	Tennessee 64 - Auburn 84	25
UC Irvine 77 - UC Riverside 57	0.907	UC Irvine 92 - UC Riverside 64	-8
Yale 76 - Harvard 69	0.692	Yale 97 - Harvard 85	-5

Number of DI Games: 205
Number Correct: 149 = 72.6%
Expected Number Correct: 137.597 = 67.1%
Average Error: 8.68
Average Signed Error: 0.8

GAMES OF 3-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
NJ Tech 73 - Quinnipiac 66	0.731	NJ Tech 92 - Quinnipiac 81	-4

GAMES OF 3-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Clemson 76 - Wright State 61	0.867	Clemson 75 - Wright State 69	9
Colorado 72 - Dayton 70	0.576	Colorado 78 - Dayton 73	-3
Creighton 77 - Loyola Ill 65	0.752	Creighton 70 - Loyola Ill 61	3
Davidson 74 - Lipscomb 70	0.591	Davidson 81 - Lipscomb 89	12
Indiana 83 - Saint Francis Penn 63	0.919	Indiana 89 - Saint Francis Penn 72	3
Marshall 80 - IUPUI 71	0.717	Marshall 78 - IUPUI 73	4
Memphis 80 - San Diego 71	0.725	Memphis 74 - San Diego 60	-5
NC State 84 - Hofstra 73	0.777	NC State 84 - Hofstra 78	5
Prairie View 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.508	Prairie View 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 82	5
Providence 76 - Arkansas 73	0.578	Providence 72 - Arkansas 84	15
Robert Morris 65 - Cornell 66	0.522	Robert Morris 98 - Cornell 89	-10
Temple 74 - Belmont 75	0.502	Temple 70 - Belmont 81	10
Texas 80 - South Dakota State 69	0.753	Texas 79 - South Dakota State 73	5
UNC Greensboro 75 - Campbell 61	0.883	UNC Greensboro 84 - Campbell 69	-1
Utah Valley 83 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.93	Utah Valley 92 - Cal State Northridge 84	10

GAMES OF 3-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Norfolk State 60	0.934	Alabama 79 - Norfolk State 80	22
Brown 71 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.611	Brown 83 - Alabama Birmingham 78	-1
Cal Baptist 69 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.545	Cal Baptist 55 - Loyola Marymount 56	-1
Coastal Carolina 78 - Howard 65	0.823	Coastal Carolina 81 - Howard 72	4
DePaul 80 - Central Michigan 76	0.61	DePaul 100 - Central Michigan 86	-10
East Tennessee State 80 - Green Bay 65	0.847	East Tennessee State 94 - Green Bay 102	23
Furman 73 - Wichita State 67	0.655	Furman 70 - Wichita State 76	12
Georgetown 79 - Harvard 72	0.683	Georgetown 68 - Harvard 71	10
Longwood 61 - Southern Miss 74	0.767	Longwood 90 - Southern Miss 68	-35
Nebraska 79 - Butler 71	0.684	Nebraska 80 - Butler 76	4
New Orleans 73 - Texas Southern 70	0.573	New Orleans 89 - Texas Southern 95	9
North Carolina Central 61 - North Dakota State 69	0.712	North Carolina Central 74 - North Dakota State 78	-4
Saint Johns 76 - Arizona State 78	0.554	Saint Johns 65 - Arizona State 74	7
Seattle 73 - Presbyterian 67	0.657	Seattle 68 - Presbyterian 73	11
South Florida 73 - Stony Brook 65	0.759	South Florida 82 - Stony Brook 79	5
Texas Christian 82 - Sam Houston State 66	0.882	Texas Christian 82 - Sam Houston State 69	3
Texas Pan American 74 - Grambling State 61	0.824	Texas Pan American 74 - Grambling State 73	12
West Virginia 79 - Grand Canyon 73	0.642	West Virginia 77 - Grand Canyon 63	-8
Xavier 73 - Toledo 70	0.586	Xavier 78 - Toledo 64	-11

GAMES OF 3-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 78 - New Mexico State 70	0.692	Auburn 78 - New Mexico State 77	7
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.685	Cal State Fullerton 58 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	14
Charleston Southern 69 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.608	Charleston Southern 68 - Florida Atlantic 66	1
Florida State 78 - Vermont 66	0.81	Florida State 76 - Vermont 69	5
Gonzaga 88 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.935	Gonzaga 87 - Fairleigh Dickinson 49	-10
Hampton 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.743	Hampton 81 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 72	-1
Kansas 79 - Northeastern 69	0.765	Kansas 87 - Northeastern 53	-24
Kentucky 80 - Abilene Christian 58	0.934	Kentucky 79 - Abilene Christian 44	-13
Louisiana State 84 - Yale 74	0.816	Louisiana State 79 - Yale 74	5
Louisville 78 - Minnesota 73	0.624	Louisville 76 - Minnesota 86	15
Marquette 75 - Murray State 70	0.626	Marquette 64 - Murray State 83	24
Maryland 77 - Belmont 71	0.646	Maryland 79 - Belmont 77	4
Michigan 79 - Montana 60	0.883	Michigan 74 - Montana 55	0
Michigan State 84 - Bradley 61	0.936	Michigan State 76 - Bradley 65	12
Nevada 72 - Florida 71	0.524	Nevada 61 - Florida 70	10
Purdue 78 - Old Dominion 64	0.842	Purdue 61 - Old Dominion 48	1
Syracuse 75 - Baylor 74	0.531	Syracuse 69 - Baylor 78	10
UL Monroe 74 - Kent State 73	0.539	UL Monroe 87 - Kent State 77	-9
Villanova 72 - Saint Marys 69	0.569	Villanova 61 - Saint Marys 57	-1
Wofford 76 - Seton Hall 71	0.636	Wofford 84 - Seton Hall 68	-11

GAMES OF 3-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 82 - Arizona State 73	0.696	Buffalo 91 - Arizona State 74	-8
Cincinnati 78 - Iowa 73	0.628	Cincinnati 72 - Iowa 79	12
Creighton 80 - Memphis 76	0.602	Creighton 79 - Memphis 67	-8
Duke 89 - North Dakota State 60	0.963	Duke 85 - North Dakota State 62	6
Houston 79 - Georgia State 64	0.862	Houston 84 - Georgia State 55	-14
Iowa State 79 - Ohio State 72	0.673	Iowa State 59 - Ohio State 62	10
Kansas State 73 - UC Irvine 63	0.74	Kansas State 64 - UC Irvine 70	16
Mississippi 75 - Oklahoma 76	0.506	Mississippi 72 - Oklahoma 95	22
Mississippi State 75 - Liberty 66	0.777	Mississippi State 76 - Liberty 80	13
North Carolina 93 - Iona 65	0.961	North Carolina 88 - Iona 73	13
Southern Utah 67 - Drake 77	0.735	Southern Utah 80 - Drake 73	-17
Tennessee 84 - Colgate 66	0.898	Tennessee 77 - Colgate 70	11
Texas Tech 79 - Northern Kentucky 63	0.859	Texas Tech 72 - Northern Kentucky 57	1
Utah State 71 - Washington 70	0.532	Utah State 61 - Washington 78	18
Virginia 84 - Gardner Webb 56	0.965	Virginia 71 - Gardner Webb 56	13
Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Central Florida 69	0.509	Virginia Commonwealth 58 - Central Florida 73	16
Virginia Tech 76 - Saint Louis 65	0.792	Virginia Tech 66 - Saint Louis 52	-3
Wisconsin 71 - Oregon 66	0.629	Wisconsin 54 - Oregon 72	23

GAMES OF 3-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Florida State 77 - Murray State 69	0.734	Florida State 90 - Murray State 62	-20
Gonzaga 83 - Baylor 70	0.768	Gonzaga 83 - Baylor 71	1
Indiana 79 - Arkansas 74	0.633	Indiana 63 - Arkansas 60	2
Kansas 77 - Auburn 79	0.553	Kansas 75 - Auburn 89	12
Kentucky 77 - Wofford 69	0.689	Kentucky 62 - Wofford 56	2
Louisiana State 80 - Maryland 76	0.633	Louisiana State 69 - Maryland 67	2
Michigan 74 - Florida 67	0.707	Michigan 64 - Florida 49	-8
Michigan State 83 - Minnesota 70	0.812	Michigan State 70 - Minnesota 50	-7
Purdue 77 - Villanova 73	0.601	Purdue 87 - Villanova 61	-22
Texas State 76 - Florida International 67	0.75	Texas State 81 - Florida International 87	15
UNC Greensboro 73 - Lipscomb 69	0.597	UNC Greensboro 69 - Lipscomb 86	21

GAMES OF 3-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Clemson 77 - Wichita State 66	0.802	Clemson 55 - Wichita State 63	19
Duke 81 - Central Florida 69	0.78	Duke 77 - Central Florida 76	11
Houston 77 - Ohio State 67	0.758	Houston 74 - Ohio State 59	-5
NC State 82 - Harvard 69	0.822	NC State 78 - Harvard 77	12
North Carolina 83 - Washington 70	0.833	North Carolina 81 - Washington 59	-9
Oregon 70 - UC Irvine 66	0.599	Oregon 73 - UC Irvine 54	-15
Robert Morris 67 - Presbyterian 68	0.502	Robert Morris 70 - Presbyterian 77	6
Tennessee 86 - Iowa 75	0.764	Tennessee 83 - Iowa 77	5
Texas 77 - Xavier 69	0.703	Texas 78 - Xavier 76	6
Texas Christian 80 - Nebraska 75	0.618	Texas Christian 88 - Nebraska 72	-11
Texas Tech 77 - Buffalo 74	0.571	Texas Tech 78 - Buffalo 58	-17
Virginia 80 - Oklahoma 65	0.849	Virginia 63 - Oklahoma 51	3
Virginia Tech 74 - Liberty 63	0.812	Virginia Tech 67 - Liberty 58	2

GAMES OF 3-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado 78 - Norfolk State 59	0.896	Colorado 76 - Norfolk State 60	3
DePaul 82 - Longwood 63	0.901	DePaul 97 - Longwood 89	11
Loyola Marymount 70 - Brown 65	0.648	Loyola Marymount 81 - Brown 63	-13
South Florida 73 - Utah Valley 70	0.592	South Florida 66 - Utah Valley 57	-6
Southern Utah 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.514	Southern Utah 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	4
Texas Pan American 77 - Texas Southern 68	0.739	Texas Pan American 85 - Texas Southern 94	18
West Virginia 82 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.767	West Virginia 91 - Coastal Carolina 109	30

GAMES OF 3-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Green Bay 78 - Florida International 75	0.578	Green Bay 98 - Florida International 68	-27
Hampton 73 - Charleston Southern 72	0.554	Hampton 73 - Charleston Southern 67	-5
Indiana 77 - Wichita State 71	0.68	Indiana 63 - Wichita State 73	16
Marshall 81 - Presbyterian 73	0.679	Marshall 83 - Presbyterian 66	-9
Texas Christian 79 - Creighton 75	0.616	Texas Christian 71 - Creighton 58	-9

GAMES OF 3-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
DePaul 80 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.746	DePaul 92 - Coastal Carolina 87	6
NC State 82 - Lipscomb 73	0.73	NC State 93 - Lipscomb 94	10
Texas 76 - Colorado 68	0.694	Texas 68 - Colorado 55	-5

GAMES OF 3-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Gonzaga 80 - Florida State 74	0.645	Gonzaga 72 - Florida State 58	-8
Michigan 72 - Texas Tech 71	0.517	Michigan 44 - Texas Tech 63	20
NJ Tech 75 - Hampton 68	0.69	NJ Tech 70 - Hampton 82	19
South Florida 72 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.685	South Florida 56 - Loyola Marymount 47	-3
Tennessee 80 - Purdue 77	0.573	Tennessee 94 - Purdue 99	8
UL Monroe 80 - Texas Southern 70	0.758	UL Monroe 102 - Texas Southern 108	16
Virginia 75 - Oregon 61	0.814	Virginia 53 - Oregon 49	10

GAMES OF 3-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Duke 81 - Virginia Tech 73	0.71	Duke 75 - Virginia Tech 73	6
Green Bay 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.663	Green Bay 80 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	-9
Kentucky 74 - Houston 71	0.588	Kentucky 62 - Houston 58	-1
Michigan State 82 - Louisiana State 77	0.681	Michigan State 80 - Louisiana State 63	-12
North Carolina 84 - Auburn 78	0.634	North Carolina 80 - Auburn 97	23

GAMES OF 3-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Gonzaga 77 - Texas Tech 73	0.595	Gonzaga 69 - Texas Tech 75	10
Virginia 77 - Purdue 70	0.691	Virginia 80 - Purdue 75	2

GAMES OF 3-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Duke 80 - Michigan State 78	0.556	Duke 67 - Michigan State 68	3
Kentucky 78 - Auburn 74	0.59	Kentucky 71 - Auburn 77	10

GAMES OF 4-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
South Florida 76 - DePaul 72	0.613	South Florida 63 - DePaul 61	2

GAMES OF 4-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Green Bay 78 - Texas Southern 73	0.641	Green Bay 87 - Texas Southern 86	4
Lipscomb 74 - Wichita State 73	0.519	Lipscomb 71 - Wichita State 64	-6
Marshall 83 - Hampton 75	0.699	Marshall 80 - Hampton 78	6
Texas Christian 75 - Texas 77	0.535	Texas Christian 44 - Texas 58	12

GAMES OF 4-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
DePaul 76 - South Florida 72	0.624	DePaul 100 - South Florida 96	0

GAMES OF 4-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Marshall 82 - Green Bay 74	0.68	Marshall 90 - Green Bay 70	-12
Texas 76 - Lipscomb 72	0.608	Texas 81 - Lipscomb 66	-11

GAMES OF 4-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
DePaul 76 - South Florida 72	0.624	DePaul 65 - South Florida 77	16

GAMES OF 4-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Michigan State 76 - Texas Tech 73	0.578	Michigan State 51 - Texas Tech 61	13
Virginia 77 - Auburn 70	0.682	Virginia 63 - Auburn 62	6

GAMES OF 4-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Virginia 73 - Texas Tech 68	0.647	Virginia 85 - Texas Tech 77	-3

Number of DI Games: 140
Number Correct: 99 = 70.7%
Expected Number Correct: 97.414 = 69.5%
Average Error: 9.66
Average Signed Error: 3.02