Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

Home court advantage of 3 this year

GAMES OF 11-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 78 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.722	Alabama 93 - Louisiana Tech 64	-20
Alabama AM 60 - Tennessee State 67	0.706	Alabama AM 82 - Tennessee State 73	-16
Alabama Birmingham 76 - UNC Asheville 62	0.806	Alabama Birmingham 102 - UNC Asheville 77	-11
Albany 69 - Towson 67	0.569	Albany 56 - Towson 77	23
American 69 - Marist 64	0.653	American 77 - Marist 73	1
Arizona 84 - Northern Arizona 58	0.946	Arizona 81 - Northern Arizona 52	-3
Arizona State 87 - Portland 65	0.929	Arizona State 76 - Portland 60	6
Arkansas 81 - Mercer 65	0.847	Arkansas 74 - Mercer 61	3
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Southern Illinois 69	0.535	Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Southern Illinois 66	-5
Arkansas State 86 - Unranked 57		Arkansas State 81 - Unranked 55
Army 86 - Unranked 56		Army 83 - Unranked 52
Auburn 82 - Morehead State 62	0.914	Auburn 77 - Morehead State 54	-3
Austin Peay 87 - Unranked 56		Austin Peay 86 - Unranked 79
Binghamton 69 - Cornell 71	0.576	Binghamton 69 - Cornell 76	5
Boise State 78 - Utah Valley 65	0.807	Boise State 76 - Utah Valley 56	-7
Boston College 76 - Dartmouth 67	0.736	Boston College 73 - Dartmouth 57	-7
Brigham Young 81 - Cleveland State 60	0.925	Brigham Young 69 - Cleveland State 59	11
Brown 86 - Unranked 56		Brown 89 - Unranked 59
Bryant 86 - Unranked 58		Bryant 122 - Unranked 54
Butler 82 - IUPUI 60	0.916	Butler 56 - IUPUI 47	13
Cal Baptist 87 - Unranked 57		Cal Baptist 87 - Unranked 65
Cal Poly 80 - Unranked 60		Cal Poly 86 - Unranked 53
California 77 - UC San Diego 66	0.766	California 67 - UC San Diego 80	24
Campbell 84 - Unranked 55		Campbell 85 - Unranked 50
Charleston Southern 81 - Unranked 59		Charleston Southern 118 - Unranked 71
Charlotte 69 - Monmouth 71	0.557	Charlotte 68 - Monmouth 66	-4
Chicago State 76 - Saint Thomas 67	0.667	Chicago State 77 - Saint Thomas 72	4
Cincinnati 81 - Evansville 62	0.902	Cincinnati 65 - Evansville 43	-3
Clemson 81 - Presbyterian 54	0.948	Clemson 64 - Presbyterian 53	16
Coastal Carolina 89 - Unranked 56		Coastal Carolina 101 - Unranked 73
Colgate 73 - Northeastern 67	0.673	Colgate 65 - Northeastern 58	-1
Colorado 82 - Montana State 60	0.915	Colorado 94 - Montana State 90	18
Colorado State 77 - Oral Roberts 69	0.7	Colorado State 109 - Oral Roberts 80	-21
Connecticut 85 - Central Connecticut State 57	0.961	Connecticut 99 - Central Connecticut State 48	-23
Creighton 88 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.975	Creighton 90 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 77	24
Davidson 77 - Delaware 62	0.819	Davidson 93 - Delaware 71	-7
Dayton 79 - Illinois Chicago 60	0.885	Dayton 64 - Illinois Chicago 54	9
Delaware State 77 - Unranked 65		Delaware State 80 - Unranked 41
Denver 81 - Unranked 61		Denver 68 - Unranked 65
Drake 92 - Unranked 53		Drake 87 - Unranked 61
Drexel 86 - Unranked 56		Drexel 103 - Unranked 74
Duke 77 - Kentucky 75	0.549	Duke 79 - Kentucky 71	-6
Duquesne 76 - Rider 67	0.724	Duquesne 73 - Rider 61	-3
East Carolina 79 - South Carolina State 60	0.895	East Carolina 70 - South Carolina State 62	11
Eastern Kentucky 88 - Unranked 58		Eastern Kentucky 93 - Unranked 63
Florida 81 - Elon 59	0.91	Florida 74 - Elon 61	9
Florida Gulf Coast 84 - Unranked 56		Florida Gulf Coast 94 - Unranked 57
Fordham 68 - Columbia 66	0.539	Fordham 77 - Columbia 67	-8
Fresno State 88 - Unranked 53		Fresno State 74 - Unranked 54
Furman 92 - Unranked 51		Furman 118 - Unranked 66
George Mason 72 - Stony Brook 65	0.675	George Mason 74 - Stony Brook 52	-15
George Washington 71 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.561	George Washington 75 - Saint Francis Penn 72	-1
Georgia 83 - Florida International 67	0.812	Georgia 58 - Florida International 51	9
Georgia Southern 71 - Ball State 70	0.509	Georgia Southern 82 - Ball State 71	-10
Georgia State 91 - Unranked 54		Georgia State 97 - Unranked 37
Georgia Tech 78 - Miami OH 63	0.838	Georgia Tech 69 - Miami OH 72	18
Gonzaga 95 - Dixie State 54	0.987	Gonzaga 97 - Dixie State 63	7
Grand Canyon 73 - Grambling State 60	0.835	Grand Canyon 74 - Grambling State 53	-8
Green Bay 69 - Indiana State 75	0.655	Green Bay 77 - Indiana State 81	-2
Hampton 84 - Unranked 60		Hampton 101 - Unranked 51
Harvard 90 - Unranked 52		Harvard 86 - Unranked 70
High Point 81 - Unranked 57		High Point 108 - Unranked 59
Holy Cross 83 - Unranked 58		Holy Cross 98 - Unranked 51
Houston 81 - Hofstra 62	0.898	Houston 83 - Hofstra 75	11
Howard 81 - Unranked 63		Howard 87 - Unranked 59
Idaho State 82 - Unranked 58		Idaho State 82 - Unranked 61
Illinois 81 - Jackson State 56	0.949	Illinois 71 - Jackson State 47	1
Illinois State 75 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.674	Illinois State 68 - UNC Wilmington 63	2
Incarnate Word 56 - Texas State 74	0.912	Incarnate Word 57 - Texas State 75	0
Indiana 80 - Eastern Michigan 61	0.868	Indiana 68 - Eastern Michigan 62	13
Iona 72 - Appalachian State 67	0.651	Iona 65 - Appalachian State 53	-7
Iowa 87 - Longwood 60	0.948	Iowa 106 - Longwood 73	-6
Iowa State 83 - Kennesaw St 60	0.93	Iowa State 84 - Kennesaw St 73	12
IPFW 85 - Unranked 58		IPFW 103 - Unranked 54
Jacksonville 82 - Unranked 57		Jacksonville 79 - Unranked 43
La Salle 74 - Sacred Heart 68	0.659	La Salle 81 - Sacred Heart 86	11
Lamar 82 - Unranked 56		Lamar 67 - Unranked 50
Lipscomb 87 - Unranked 56		Lipscomb 105 - Unranked 98
Louisiana State 85 - UL Monroe 62	0.93	Louisiana State 101 - UL Monroe 39	-39
Louisville 81 - Southern 56	0.937	Louisville 72 - Southern 60	13
Loyola Ill 80 - Coppin State 53	0.947	Loyola Ill 103 - Coppin State 45	-31
Loyola Marymount 71 - Chattanooga 66	0.658	Loyola Marymount 64 - Chattanooga 75	16
Manhattan 81 - Unranked 55		Manhattan 99 - Unranked 42
Marquette 85 - SIU Edwardsville 58	0.947	Marquette 88 - SIU Edwardsville 77	16
Maryland 83 - Quinnipiac 60	0.936	Maryland 83 - Quinnipiac 69	9
Massachusetts 72 - UMBC 69	0.598	Massachusetts 77 - UMBC 60	-14
Memphis 83 - Tennessee Tech 57	0.948	Memphis 89 - Tennessee Tech 65	2
Merrimack 81 - Unranked 51		Merrimack 77 - Unranked 48
Miami 78 - Canisius 67	0.778	Miami 77 - Canisius 67	1
Michigan State 73 - Kansas 77	0.626	Michigan State 74 - Kansas 87	9
Middle Tennessee 85 - Unranked 57		Middle Tennessee 98 - Unranked 59
Minnesota 79 - UMKC 62	0.878	Minnesota 71 - UMKC 56	2
Mississippi 81 - New Orleans 60	0.915	Mississippi 82 - New Orleans 61	0
Missouri 83 - Central Michigan 65	0.868	Missouri 78 - Central Michigan 68	8
Missouri State 79 - SE Missouri State 62	0.882	Missouri State 94 - SE Missouri State 99	22
Montana 87 - Unranked 53		Montana 74 - Unranked 27
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 118 - Unranked 55
Murray State 88 - Unranked 52		Murray State 109 - Unranked 77
NC State 81 - Bucknell 67	0.827	NC State 88 - Bucknell 70	-4
Nebraska 83 - Western Illinois 64	0.876	Nebraska 74 - Western Illinois 75	20
Nevada 78 - Eastern Washington 70	0.718	Nevada 91 - Eastern Washington 76	-7
New Hampshire 82 - Unranked 56		New Hampshire 98 - Unranked 53
New Mexico State 68 - UC Irvine 65	0.561	New Mexico State 62 - UC Irvine 51	-8
Norfolk State 83 - Unranked 54		Norfolk State 79 - Unranked 56
North Carolina 85 - Loyola MD 63	0.912	North Carolina 83 - Loyola MD 67	6
North Dakota 70 - Milwaukee 69	0.534	North Dakota 60 - Milwaukee 75	16
North Dakota State 87 - Unranked 52		North Dakota State 88 - Unranked 44
North Texas 90 - Unranked 50		North Texas 84 - Unranked 53
Northern Iowa 74 - Nicholls State 65	0.734	Northern Iowa 58 - Nicholls State 62	13
Northern Kentucky 87 - Unranked 52		Northern Kentucky 82 - Unranked 54
Northwestern 78 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.86	Northwestern 80 - Eastern Illinois 56	-9
Ohio 70 - Belmont 72	0.547	Ohio 92 - Belmont 80	-14
Ohio State 80 - Akron 66	0.818	Ohio State 67 - Akron 66	13
Oklahoma 86 - Northwestern State 60	0.952	Oklahoma 77 - Northwestern State 59	8
Oklahoma State 82 - Texas Arlington 66	0.879	Oklahoma State 88 - Texas Arlington 45	-27
Omaha 85 - Unranked 59		Omaha 67 - Unranked 57
Oregon 84 - Texas Southern 61	0.931	Oregon 83 - Texas Southern 66	6
Oregon State 80 - Portland State 64	0.851	Oregon State 73 - Portland State 64	7
Pittsburgh 82 - The Citadel 68	0.846	Pittsburgh 63 - The Citadel 78	29
Princeton 88 - Unranked 53		Princeton 94 - Unranked 28
Providence 78 - Fairfield 58	0.885	Providence 80 - Fairfield 73	13
Purdue 81 - Bellarmine 62	0.9	Purdue 96 - Bellarmine 67	-10
Radford 85 - Unranked 53		Radford 84 - Unranked 72
Rhode Island 76 - Boston 65	0.783	Rhode Island 71 - Boston 62	2
Rice 73 - Pepperdine 77	0.607	Rice 82 - Pepperdine 63	-23
Richmond 78 - North Carolina Central 57	0.912	Richmond 70 - North Carolina Central 60	11
Sacramento State 83 - Unranked 56		Sacramento State 89 - Unranked 59
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Siena 62	0.813	Saint Bonaventure 75 - Siena 47	-16
Saint Johns 92 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.966	Saint Johns 119 - Mississippi Valley State 61	-22
Saint Josephs 79 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.898	Saint Josephs 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	19
Saint Louis 81 - Central Arkansas 60	0.898	Saint Louis 96 - Central Arkansas 61	-14
Saint Marys 76 - Prairie View 57	0.922	Saint Marys 87 - Prairie View 68	0
Samford 86 - Unranked 61		Samford 99 - Unranked 78
San Diego 87 - Unranked 56		San Diego 103 - Unranked 38
San Diego State 76 - UC Riverside 57	0.895	San Diego State 66 - UC Riverside 53	6
San Francisco 77 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.842	San Francisco 98 - LIU Brooklyn 64	-21
Santa Clara 77 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.741	Santa Clara 84 - Cal State Fullerton 77	2
South Alabama 87 - Unranked 54		South Alabama 102 - Unranked 41
South Carolina 84 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.907	South Carolina 78 - South Carolina Upstate 60	5
South Dakota State 74 - Bradley 69	0.616	South Dakota State 81 - Bradley 65	-11
South Florida 76 - Bethune Cookman 63	0.801	South Florida 75 - Bethune Cookman 54	-8
Southern California 87 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.935	Southern California 89 - Cal State Northridge 49	-14
Southern Methodist 83 - Mcneese State 58	0.946	Southern Methodist 86 - Mcneese State 62	1
Southern Miss 84 - Unranked 56		Southern Miss 81 - Unranked 67
Southern Utah 88 - Unranked 56		Southern Utah 116 - Unranked 74
Stanford 77 - Tarleton State 59	0.86	Stanford 62 - Tarleton State 50	6
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 82 - Unranked 73
Stetson 83 - Unranked 58		Stetson 74 - Unranked 67
Syracuse 83 - Lafayette 62	0.902	Syracuse 97 - Lafayette 63	-13
Tennessee 86 - Tennessee Martin 56	0.958	Tennessee 90 - Tennessee Martin 62	2
Texas 90 - Houston Baptist 59	0.971	Texas 92 - Houston Baptist 48	-13
Texas AM CC 79 - Unranked 58		Texas AM CC 102 - Unranked 64
Texas El Paso 86 - Unranked 54		Texas El Paso 85 - Unranked 57
Texas Pan American 84 - Unranked 59		Texas Pan American 74 - Unranked 59
Texas San Antonio 91 - Unranked 58		Texas San Antonio 97 - Unranked 66
Texas Tech 85 - North Florida 60	0.95	Texas Tech 89 - North Florida 74	10
Troy 84 - Unranked 57		Troy 104 - Unranked 42
Tulane 76 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.839	Tulane 70 - Southeast Louisiana 67	10
UCLA 80 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.906	UCLA 95 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	-18
UL Lafayette 90 - Unranked 57		UL Lafayette 81 - Unranked 47
UMass Lowell 87 - Unranked 59		UMass Lowell 91 - Unranked 55
UNC Greensboro 77 - North Carolina AT 57	0.917	UNC Greensboro 57 - North Carolina AT 53	16
Utah 75 - Abilene Christian 65	0.739	Utah 70 - Abilene Christian 56	-4
Utah State 78 - UC Davis 61	0.884	Utah State 69 - UC Davis 72	20
Valparaiso 70 - Toledo 73	0.599	Valparaiso 61 - Toledo 69	5
Villanova 81 - Mt St Marys 54	0.956	Villanova 91 - Mt St Marys 51	-13
Virginia 75 - Navy 54	0.931	Virginia 58 - Navy 66	29
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Saint Peters 59	0.841	Virginia Commonwealth 57 - Saint Peters 54	11
Virginia Military Institute 87 - Unranked 58		Virginia Military Institute 111 - Unranked 55
Virginia Tech 81 - Maine 55	0.947	Virginia Tech 82 - Maine 47	-9
Wagner 66 - Hartford 67	0.546	Wagner 77 - Hartford 59	-19
Washington 79 - Northern Illinois 63	0.835	Washington 64 - Northern Illinois 71	23
Washington State 80 - Alcorn State 60	0.887	Washington State 85 - Alcorn State 67	2
Weber State 88 - Unranked 56		Weber State 100 - Unranked 60
West Virginia 85 - Oakland 64	0.921	West Virginia 60 - Oakland 53	14
Western Carolina 71 - Bowling Green 74	0.588	Western Carolina 79 - Bowling Green 71	-11
Western Kentucky 81 - Alabama State 55	0.962	Western Kentucky 79 - Alabama State 74	21
Wichita State 79 - Jacksonville State 62	0.904	Wichita State 60 - Jacksonville State 57	14
Winthrop 92 - Unranked 53		Winthrop 110 - Unranked 78
Wisconsin 83 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 57	0.952	Wisconsin 81 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	3
Wofford 90 - Unranked 52		Wofford 117 - Unranked 79
Wright State 91 - Unranked 52		Wright State 86 - Unranked 53
Xavier 81 - Niagara 62	0.911	Xavier 63 - Niagara 60	16
Yale 92 - Unranked 53		Yale 88 - Unranked 42

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Florida 77 - Robert Morris 60	0.901	Central Florida 69 - Robert Morris 59	7
DePaul 79 - Coppin State 61	0.89	DePaul 97 - Coppin State 72	-7
Florida State 82 - Pennsylvania 65	0.874	Florida State 105 - Pennsylvania 70	-18
Hawaii 86 - Unranked 55		Hawaii 97 - Unranked 67
Howard 81 - Unranked 63		Howard 118 - Unranked 54
Idaho 68 - Long Beach State 73	0.646	Idaho 89 - Long Beach State 95	1
James Madison 87 - Unranked 57		James Madison 135 - Unranked 40
Kansas State 78 - Florida AM 56	0.927	Kansas State 67 - Florida AM 57	12
Michigan 82 - Buffalo 68	0.832	Michigan 88 - Buffalo 76	2
Mississippi State 82 - North Alabama 60	0.916	Mississippi State 75 - North Alabama 49	-4
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Gardner Webb 67	0.684	Nevada Las Vegas 64 - Gardner Webb 58	1
New Mexico 72 - Florida Atlantic 71	0.507	New Mexico 99 - Florida Atlantic 92	-6
Northern Colorado 67 - Pacific 70	0.592	Northern Colorado 67 - Pacific 65	-5
Old Dominion 88 - Unranked 51		Old Dominion 80 - Unranked 60
Penn State 84 - Youngstown State 63	0.925	Penn State 75 - Youngstown State 59	5
Rutgers 81 - Lehigh 61	0.912	Rutgers 73 - Lehigh 70	17
Saint Louis 92 - Unranked 50		Saint Louis 127 - Unranked 54
Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 55		Sam Houston State 97 - Unranked 54
Seattle 74 - Alcorn State 62	0.784	Seattle 69 - Alcorn State 66	9
Seton Hall 84 - Fairleigh Dickinson 62	0.939	Seton Hall 93 - Fairleigh Dickinson 49	-22
Temple 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	0.956	Temple 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 49	5
Texas AM 78 - North Florida 65	0.826	Texas AM 64 - North Florida 46	-5
Tulsa 79 - Northwestern State 60	0.899	Tulsa 82 - Northwestern State 75	12
UC Santa Barbara 88 - Unranked 51		UC Santa Barbara 119 - Unranked 65
Vanderbilt 81 - Alabama State 57	0.946	Vanderbilt 91 - Alabama State 72	5
Wake Forest 77 - William and Mary 69	0.686	Wake Forest 77 - William and Mary 59	-10
Western Michigan 83 - Unranked 57		Western Michigan 76 - Unranked 58
Wyoming 76 - Detroit 69	0.686	Wyoming 85 - Detroit 47	-31

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 79 - UC Riverside 65	0.818	Arizona State 65 - UC Riverside 66	15
College of Charleston 78 - South Carolina State 57	0.938	College of Charleston 106 - South Carolina State 74	-11
Creighton 88 - Kennesaw St 54	0.97	Creighton 51 - Kennesaw St 44	27
Eastern Kentucky 88 - Unranked 58		Eastern Kentucky 103 - Unranked 74
Evansville 74 - IUPUI 67	0.676	Evansville 60 - IUPUI 40	-13
Hawaii 67 - Northern Colorado 68	0.512	Hawaii 78 - Northern Colorado 81	2
Liberty 88 - Unranked 49		Liberty 85 - Unranked 24
Maryland 82 - George Washington 61	0.916	Maryland 71 - George Washington 64	14
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 126 - Unranked 71
Mt St Marys 81 - Unranked 53		Mt St Marys 117 - Unranked 62
NJ Tech 62 - Merrimack 65	0.586	NJ Tech 54 - Merrimack 61	4
Norfolk State 83 - Unranked 54		Norfolk State 111 - Unranked 55
Northern Iowa 68 - Vermont 70	0.547	Northern Iowa 57 - Vermont 71	12
Pacific 88 - Unranked 54		Pacific 85 - Unranked 74
Portland 84 - Unranked 61		Portland 122 - Unranked 78
Providence 80 - Sacred Heart 61	0.884	Providence 92 - Sacred Heart 64	-9
Samford 86 - Unranked 61		Samford 86 - Unranked 69
San Francisco 75 - Prairie View 63	0.822	San Francisco 92 - Prairie View 76	-4
San Jose State 71 - Cal State Fullerton 76	0.625	San Jose State 78 - Cal State Fullerton 76	-7
South Dakota 75 - Air Force 66	0.723	South Dakota 59 - Air Force 53	3
Stephen F Austin 73 - Southern 59	0.84
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 76 - Unranked 63
Texas Christian 83 - Mcneese State 60	0.93	Texas Christian 77 - Mcneese State 61	7
Texas Tech 83 - Grambling State 54	0.963
UNC Asheville 85 - Unranked 58		UNC Asheville 101 - Unranked 44
Washington 80 - Northern Arizona 62	0.872	Washington 73 - Northern Arizona 62	7

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 82 - South Dakota State 69	0.788	Alabama 104 - South Dakota State 88	-3
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Morehead State 62	0.761	Alabama Birmingham 85 - Morehead State 71	-4
Appalachian State 64 - East Tennessee State 72	0.71	Appalachian State 69 - East Tennessee State 67	-10
Arizona 85 - Texas Pan American 59	0.939	Arizona 104 - Texas Pan American 50	-28
Arkansas Little Rock 85 - Unranked 55		Arkansas Little Rock 115 - Unranked 51
Auburn 84 - UL Monroe 61	0.93	Auburn 93 - UL Monroe 65	-5
Baylor 90 - Incarnate Word 49	0.995	Baylor 87 - Incarnate Word 60	14
Boston 86 - Unranked 55		Boston 85 - Unranked 61
Boston College 78 - Holy Cross 66	0.78	Boston College 85 - Holy Cross 55	-18
Bowling Green 89 - Unranked 55		Bowling Green 101 - Unranked 60
Brigham Young 72 - San Diego State 71	0.549	Brigham Young 66 - San Diego State 60	-5
Butler 83 - Central Arkansas 60	0.917	Butler 85 - Central Arkansas 53	-9
Cal Poly 61 - North Dakota State 73	0.833	Cal Poly 57 - North Dakota State 60	-9
Campbell 65 - Hartford 68	0.568	Campbell 68 - Hartford 67	-4
Charlotte 73 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.742	Charlotte 76 - South Carolina Upstate 64	-2
Chicago State 64 - SIU Edwardsville 74	0.734	Chicago State 67 - SIU Edwardsville 56	-21
Clemson 74 - Wofford 65	0.735	Clemson 76 - Wofford 68	1
College of Charleston 71 - Lipscomb 67	0.637	College of Charleston 86 - Lipscomb 77	-5
Colorado State 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 55	0.947	Colorado State 91 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	6
Columbia 69 - Marist 67	0.553	Columbia 67 - Marist 82	17
Delaware State 77 - Unranked 65		Delaware State 78 - Unranked 91
Denver 81 - Unranked 61		Denver 71 - Unranked 72
Dixie State 66 - Southern Utah 76	0.742	Dixie State 83 - Southern Utah 76	-17
Drexel 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.679
Duke 86 - Army 62	0.916	Duke 82 - Army 56	-2
East Carolina 73 - Canisius 70	0.57	East Carolina 83 - Canisius 71	-9
Eastern Michigan 68 - Illinois State 70	0.535	Eastern Michigan 103 - Illinois State 98	-7
Elon 84 - Unranked 55		Elon 107 - Unranked 62
Florida International 87 - Unranked 59		Florida International 111 - Unranked 48
Fresno State 74 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.769	Fresno State 84 - LIU Brooklyn 60	-15
George Mason 71 - Pennsylvania 70	0.52	George Mason 87 - Pennsylvania 66	-20
Georgia State 72 - Northeastern 68	0.598	Georgia State 83 - Northeastern 64	-15
Georgia Tech 80 - Stetson 60	0.918	Georgia Tech 77 - Stetson 52	-5
Grand Canyon 75 - North Florida 66	0.75	Grand Canyon 65 - North Florida 51	-5
Houston 85 - Rice 60	0.935	Houston 79 - Rice 46	-8
Idaho 80 - Unranked 60		Idaho 95 - Unranked 85
Illinois 85 - Arkansas State 62	0.932	Illinois 92 - Arkansas State 53	-16
Indiana 81 - Northern Illinois 61	0.902	Indiana 85 - Northern Illinois 49	-16
Iowa 84 - UMKC 62	0.928	Iowa 89 - UMKC 57	-10
Iowa State 73 - Oregon State 76	0.572	Iowa State 60 - Oregon State 50	-13
Kansas 84 - Tarleton State 54	0.955	Kansas 88 - Tarleton State 62	4
Kentucky 83 - Robert Morris 58	0.957	Kentucky 100 - Robert Morris 60	-15
Lafayette 73 - Cornell 69	0.591	Lafayette 85 - Cornell 90	9
Longwood 81 - Unranked 57		Longwood 80 - Unranked 46
Louisiana State 79 - Texas State 65	0.848	Louisiana State 84 - Texas State 59	-11
Louisiana Tech 74 - Jackson State 56	0.9	Louisiana Tech 70 - Jackson State 68	16
Louisville 76 - Furman 67	0.7	Louisville 72 - Furman 80	17
Loyola MD 76 - South Carolina State 62	0.845	Loyola MD 75 - South Carolina State 65	4
Maine 78 - Unranked 58		Maine 71 - Unranked 52
Manhattan 65 - Fordham 61	0.595	Manhattan 66 - Fordham 60	-2
Marquette 81 - New Hampshire 61	0.916	Marquette 75 - New Hampshire 70	15
Marshall 74 - Wright State 73	0.526	Marshall 96 - Wright State 88	-7
Michigan State 84 - Western Michigan 59	0.94	Michigan State 90 - Western Michigan 46	-19
Middle Tennessee 73 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.679	Middle Tennessee 71 - Bethune Cookman 51	-13
Minnesota 75 - Western Kentucky 73	0.577	Minnesota 73 - Western Kentucky 69	-2
Mississippi 81 - Charleston Southern 59	0.923	Mississippi 93 - Charleston Southern 68	-3
Navy 64 - Virginia Tech 74	0.755	Navy 57 - Virginia Tech 77	10
Nebraska 76 - Sam Houston State 69	0.695	Nebraska 74 - Sam Houston State 65	-2
Nevada 80 - San Diego 65	0.851	Nevada 68 - San Diego 75	22
Nicholls State 86 - Unranked 56		Nicholls State 120 - Unranked 52
North Carolina 84 - Brown 64	0.879	North Carolina 94 - Brown 87	13
Northern Kentucky 65 - UNC Greensboro 69	0.625	Northern Kentucky 69 - UNC Greensboro 70	-3
Northwestern 78 - High Point 61	0.877	Northwestern 95 - High Point 60	-18
Ohio State 84 - Niagara 60	0.937	Ohio State 84 - Niagara 74	14
Oklahoma 84 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.831	Oklahoma 96 - Texas San Antonio 44	-36
Oklahoma State 84 - Oakland 65	0.899	Oklahoma State 55 - Oakland 56	20
Oral Roberts 89 - Unranked 56		Oral Roberts 121 - Unranked 50
Oregon 79 - Southern Methodist 69	0.761	Oregon 86 - Southern Methodist 63	-13
Pepperdine 79 - Idaho State 65	0.863	Pepperdine 65 - Idaho State 60	9
Portland State 87 - Unranked 57		Portland State 100 - Unranked 44
Presbyterian 66 - Virginia Military Institute 72	0.655	Presbyterian 73 - Virginia Military Institute 72	-7
Purdue 80 - Indiana State 64	0.848	Purdue 92 - Indiana State 67	-9
Quinnipiac 85 - Unranked 58		Quinnipiac 103 - Unranked 52
Rhode Island 80 - Bryant 65	0.85	Rhode Island 83 - Bryant 64	-4
Richmond 70 - Utah State 73	0.584	Richmond 74 - Utah State 85	8
Rider 75 - Coppin State 63	0.783	Rider 81 - Coppin State 69	0
Saint Louis 78 - Eastern Illinois 59	0.884	Saint Louis 86 - Eastern Illinois 44	-23
Saint Marys 78 - Texas Southern 60	0.902	Saint Marys 67 - Texas Southern 58	9
Santa Clara 69 - Stanford 76	0.659	Santa Clara 88 - Stanford 72	-23
South Carolina 75 - Princeton 70	0.634	South Carolina 62 - Princeton 66	9
Southeast Louisiana 80 - Unranked 59		Southeast Louisiana 128 - Unranked 58
Southern Illinois 71 - Austin Peay 67	0.616	Southern Illinois 73 - Austin Peay 55	-14
Southern Miss 69 - UL Lafayette 73	0.606	Southern Miss 45 - UL Lafayette 66	17
Texas AM 70 - Abilene Christian 64	0.673	Texas AM 81 - Abilene Christian 80	5
Texas Tech 83 - Grambling State 54	0.963	Texas Tech 88 - Grambling State 62	3
The Citadel 88 - Unranked 63		The Citadel 108 - Unranked 67
UC Davis 69 - Eastern Washington 74	0.661	UC Davis 84 - Eastern Washington 76	-13
UCLA 73 - Villanova 76	0.589	UCLA 86 - Villanova 77	-12
UNC Wilmington 85 - Unranked 59		UNC Wilmington 77 - Unranked 68
Utah Valley 87 - Unranked 56		Utah Valley 82 - Unranked 48
Virginia 75 - Radford 54	0.929	Virginia 73 - Radford 52	0
Wake Forest 78 - Western Carolina 70	0.722	Wake Forest 87 - Western Carolina 75	-4
Washington State 77 - Seattle 67	0.731	Washington State 79 - Seattle 61	-8
West Virginia 82 - Pittsburgh 68	0.842	West Virginia 74 - Pittsburgh 59	-1
Western Illinois 82 - Unranked 61		Western Illinois 91 - Unranked 69
William and Mary 71 - American 67	0.598	William and Mary 62 - American 74	16
Wisconsin 83 - Green Bay 61	0.935	Wisconsin 72 - Green Bay 34	-16
Xavier 78 - Kent State 67	0.791	Xavier 73 - Kent State 59	-3
Yale 76 - Massachusetts 69	0.69	Yale 91 - Massachusetts 71	-13

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 90 - Unranked 52		Akron 102 - Unranked 46
Arkansas 83 - Gardner Webb 63	0.901	Arkansas 86 - Gardner Webb 69	3
Army 67 - Hartford 69	0.546	Army 86 - Hartford 79	-9
Ball State 76 - Omaha 65	0.754	Ball State 73 - Omaha 69	7
Belmont 78 - Evansville 64	0.829	Belmont 81 - Evansville 43	-24
Bradley 81 - Howard 61	0.92	Bradley 64 - Howard 76	32
Butler 80 - Troy 60	0.893	Butler 70 - Troy 59	9
Cal Baptist 83 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.911	Cal Baptist 95 - Mississippi Valley State 66	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 84 - Unranked 53		Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 60
Cincinnati 78 - Georgia 71	0.672	Cincinnati 73 - Georgia 68	2
Cleveland State 66 - Ohio 72	0.665	Cleveland State 56 - Ohio 67	5
College of Charleston 73 - Loyola MD 65	0.728	College of Charleston 79 - Loyola MD 72	1
Colorado 83 - New Mexico 63	0.888	Colorado 87 - New Mexico 76	9
Connecticut 83 - Coppin State 57	0.953	Connecticut 89 - Coppin State 54	-9
Dayton 83 - UMass Lowell 63	0.909	Dayton 58 - UMass Lowell 59	21
DePaul 80 - Central Michigan 69	0.771	DePaul 99 - Central Michigan 66	-22
Duke 84 - Campbell 60	0.929	Duke 67 - Campbell 56	13
Duquesne 73 - Hofstra 71	0.557	Duquesne 63 - Hofstra 73	12
Florida Atlantic 87 - Unranked 55		Florida Atlantic 78 - Unranked 56
Georgetown 80 - Dartmouth 62	0.892	Georgetown 60 - Dartmouth 69	27
Gonzaga 83 - Texas 69	0.823	Gonzaga 86 - Texas 74	2
Hampton 84 - Unranked 60		Hampton 70 - Unranked 56
Hawaii 67 - Pacific 70	0.604	Hawaii 73 - Pacific 61	-15
Houston Baptist 83 - Unranked 65		Houston Baptist 122 - Unranked 44
Iona 69 - Harvard 71	0.551	Iona 90 - Harvard 87	-5
Jacksonville 68 - North Carolina AT 65	0.587	Jacksonville 63 - North Carolina AT 54	-6
Jacksonville State 73 - Alabama AM 54	0.914	Jacksonville State 70 - Alabama AM 47	-4
James Madison 66 - Old Dominion 71	0.668	James Madison 58 - Old Dominion 53	-10
La Salle 72 - Albany 68	0.618	La Salle 67 - Albany 64	1
Lehigh 70 - NJ Tech 67	0.58	Lehigh 56 - NJ Tech 73	20
Loyola Ill 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 57	0.894	Loyola Ill 89 - Florida Gulf Coast 77	8
Loyola Marymount 88 - Unranked 53		Loyola Marymount 74 - Unranked 67
Maryland 75 - Vermont 66	0.761	Maryland 68 - Vermont 57	-2
Maryland Eastern Shore 73 - Unranked 61		Maryland Eastern Shore 91 - Unranked 42
Memphis 80 - North Carolina Central 55	0.942	Memphis 90 - North Carolina Central 51	-14
Miami 73 - Central Florida 72	0.506	Miami 89 - Central Florida 95	7
Miami OH 70 - Lamar 64	0.674	Miami OH 104 - Lamar 75	-23
Michigan 82 - Prairie View 58	0.945	Michigan 77 - Prairie View 49	-4
Milwaukee 70 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.515	Milwaukee 71 - Eastern Kentucky 77	5
Mississippi State 77 - Montana 64	0.801	Mississippi State 86 - Montana 49	-24
Missouri State 80 - Alabama State 56	0.942	Missouri State 78 - Alabama State 60	6
Murray State 71 - Bellarmine 66	0.634	Murray State 78 - Bellarmine 59	-14
NC State 77 - Colgate 72	0.635	NC State 77 - Colgate 74	2
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - California 70	0.548	Nevada Las Vegas 55 - California 52	-1
New Mexico State 72 - Texas El Paso 62	0.743	New Mexico State 77 - Texas El Paso 71	4
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 59		New Orleans 79 - Unranked 41
Nicholls State 86 - Unranked 56		Nicholls State 101 - Unranked 44
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 60		Northwestern State 91 - Unranked 62
Notre Dame 84 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.882	Notre Dame 68 - Cal State Northridge 52	2
Portland 72 - Alcorn State 67	0.652	Portland 62 - Alcorn State 58	1
Rutgers 74 - Merrimack 58	0.877	Rutgers 48 - Merrimack 35	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 84 - Saint Thomas 59	0.873	Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Saint Thomas 91	43
Saint Johns 76 - Saint Peters 63	0.813	Saint Johns 91 - Saint Peters 70	-8
Saint Josephs 71 - Mt St Marys 67	0.619	Saint Josephs 80 - Mt St Marys 60	-16
San Francisco 70 - Davidson 73	0.57
Santa Clara 69 - Stanford 76	0.659
SE Missouri State 69 - Youngstown State 71	0.572	SE Missouri State 79 - Youngstown State 97	16
Siena 70 - Delaware 64	0.673	Siena 63 - Delaware 83	26
South Carolina State 60 - Lipscomb 77	0.893	South Carolina State 81 - Lipscomb 93	-5
South Florida 71 - Georgia Southern 68	0.596	South Florida 41 - Georgia Southern 53	15
Temple 68 - Southern California 78	0.752	Temple 71 - Southern California 76	-5
Tennessee Martin 81 - Unranked 61		Tennessee Martin 94 - Unranked 66
Tennessee State 63 - Norfolk State 68	0.632	Tennessee State 59 - Norfolk State 66	2
Texas Arlington 88 - Unranked 55		Texas Arlington 104 - Unranked 75
Toledo 79 - Detroit 66	0.815	Toledo 81 - Detroit 73	5
Towson 70 - Monmouth 71	0.547	Towson 71 - Monmouth 79	7
Tulane 74 - Southern 63	0.79	Tulane 70 - Southern 73	14
Tulsa 78 - Air Force 62	0.831	Tulsa 58 - Air Force 59	17
UC Irvine 69 - Boise State 70	0.529	UC Irvine 58 - Boise State 50	-9
UC San Diego 70 - George Washington 71	0.505	UC San Diego 75 - George Washington 55	-21
Unranked 60 - North Alabama 81		Unranked 47 - North Alabama 99
Unranked 56 - Northern Colorado 85		Unranked 87 - Northern Colorado 79
Utah 80 - Sacramento State 61	0.879	Utah 89 - Sacramento State 56	-14
Valparaiso 72 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.66	Valparaiso 70 - Illinois Chicago 74	11
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Wagner 59	0.887	Virginia Commonwealth 44 - Wagner 58	33
Wichita State 79 - South Alabama 63	0.89	Wichita State 64 - South Alabama 58	10
Winthrop 74 - Mercer 68	0.656	Winthrop 88 - Mercer 85	3

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 89 - Unranked 51		Alabama Birmingham 98 - Unranked 61
Arkansas Little Rock 85 - Unranked 55		Arkansas Little Rock 91 - Unranked 60
Boston College 75 - Fairfield 65	0.729	Boston College 72 - Fairfield 64	2
Brown 76 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.83	Brown 75 - Central Connecticut State 57	-4
Bucknell 69 - Pennsylvania 72	0.587	Bucknell 68 - Pennsylvania 73	2
Chattanooga 74 - UNC Asheville 65	0.746	Chattanooga 75 - UNC Asheville 45	-21
Colorado State 92 - Unranked 53		Colorado State 88 - Unranked 62
Drake 75 - South Dakota 68	0.696	Drake 99 - South Dakota 50	-42
East Carolina 74 - Western Carolina 70	0.607	East Carolina 95 - Western Carolina 79	-12
Elon 84 - Unranked 55		Elon 89 - Unranked 72
Florida 74 - Florida State 75	0.518	Florida 71 - Florida State 55	-17
George Mason 75 - Morgan State 62	0.814	George Mason 90 - Morgan State 53	-24
Indiana State 89 - Unranked 53		Indiana State 90 - Unranked 49
Kennesaw St 78 - Unranked 61		Kennesaw St 81 - Unranked 57
Longwood 81 - Unranked 57		Longwood 93 - Unranked 47
Loyola MD 69 - Lipscomb 72	0.601	Loyola MD 65 - Lipscomb 70	2
Montana State 85 - Unranked 57		Montana State 81 - Unranked 52
Northern Iowa 90 - Unranked 53		Northern Iowa 95 - Unranked 58
Oklahoma State 82 - Prairie View 62	0.925	Oklahoma State 72 - Prairie View 59	7
Princeton 68 - Minnesota 76	0.693	Princeton 80 - Minnesota 87	-1
Rider 80 - Delaware State 61	0.891	Rider 63 - Delaware State 53	9
Sacred Heart 73 - Binghamton 65	0.697	Sacred Heart 60 - Binghamton 72	20
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Canisius 63	0.843	Saint Bonaventure 69 - Canisius 60	6
Seattle 72 - Idaho State 65	0.707	Seattle 77 - Idaho State 51	-19
Seton Hall 78 - Yale 69	0.766	Seton Hall 80 - Yale 44	-27
South Carolina 75 - Western Kentucky 74	0.512	South Carolina 75 - Western Kentucky 64	-10
Southeast Louisiana 80 - Unranked 59		Southeast Louisiana 77 - Unranked 60
Southern Illinois 87 - Unranked 54
Stephen F Austin 70 - South Dakota State 71	0.51	Stephen F Austin 71 - South Dakota State 83	11
Syracuse 81 - Drexel 63	0.874	Syracuse 75 - Drexel 60	3
Tennessee 74 - East Tennessee State 65	0.737	Tennessee 94 - East Tennessee State 62	-23
Tennessee Tech 81 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 109 - Unranked 68
Texas AM 77 - Texas AM CC 56	0.908	Texas AM 86 - Texas AM CC 65	0
UC Riverside 84 - Unranked 53		UC Riverside 72 - Unranked 54
Vanderbilt 71 - Texas State 68	0.62	Vanderbilt 79 - Texas State 60	-16
Wyoming 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.899	Wyoming 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 45	-21

Number of DI Games: 322
Number Correct: 256 = 79.5%
Expected Number Correct: 251.769 = 78.1%
Average Error: 10.71
Average Signed Error: -0.6

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 88 - Unranked 53		Appalachian State 98 - Unranked 49
Arizona State 79 - North Florida 64	0.916	Arizona State 72 - North Florida 63	6
Arkansas State 87 - Unranked 59		Arkansas State 90 - Unranked 63
Baylor 84 - Nicholls State 60	0.947	Baylor 89 - Nicholls State 60	-5
Belmont 74 - Furman 75	0.504	Belmont 95 - Furman 89	-7
Cal Poly 67 - Sacramento State 65	0.583	Cal Poly 57 - Sacramento State 58	3
California 65 - San Diego 73	0.731	California 75 - San Diego 70	-13
Clemson 82 - Bryant 58	0.946	Clemson 93 - Bryant 70	1
Colorado 83 - Maine 56	0.962	Colorado 90 - Maine 46	-17
Duquesne 72 - Weber State 69	0.584	Duquesne 59 - Weber State 63	7
Eastern Illinois 68 - Central Michigan 69	0.534	Eastern Illinois 61 - Central Michigan 62	0
Eastern Washington 91 - Unranked 57		Eastern Washington 111 - Unranked 71
Florida AM 83 - Unranked 59		Florida AM 95 - Unranked 70
Fordham 63 - Saint Thomas 76	0.909	Fordham 84 - Saint Thomas 78	-19
Fresno State 81 - Idaho 55	0.964	Fresno State 69 - Idaho 62	19
Georgia Tech 82 - Lamar 58	0.953	Georgia Tech 75 - Lamar 66	15
Gonzaga 94 - Alcorn State 52	0.997	Gonzaga 84 - Alcorn State 57	15
IUPUI 69 - Denver 67	0.542	IUPUI 47 - Denver 63	18
Kennesaw St 83 - Unranked 58		Kennesaw St 117 - Unranked 58
Louisiana State 81 - Liberty 65	0.84	Louisiana State 74 - Liberty 58	0
Louisiana Tech 93 - Unranked 52		Louisiana Tech 91 - Unranked 61
Louisville 73 - Navy 66	0.716	Louisville 77 - Navy 60	-10
Marquette 69 - Illinois 80	0.801	Marquette 67 - Illinois 66	-12
Marshall 98 - Unranked 54		Marshall 80 - Unranked 58
Massachusetts 65 - Penn State 79	0.853	Massachusetts 81 - Penn State 56	-39
Mcneese State 81 - Unranked 62		Mcneese State 116 - Unranked 66
Missouri 75 - UMKC 59	0.896	Missouri 66 - UMKC 80	30
Morehead State 85 - Unranked 54		Morehead State 82 - Unranked 57
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - North Dakota State 64	0.742	Nevada Las Vegas 64 - North Dakota State 62	5
New Mexico 77 - Grambling State 65	0.854	New Mexico 86 - Grambling State 61	-13
North Dakota 65 - Montana 69	0.613	North Dakota 79 - Montana 77	-6
North Texas 70 - Buffalo 71	0.501	North Texas 66 - Buffalo 69	2
Northern Arizona 79 - Unranked 58		Northern Arizona 97 - Unranked 48
Northern Colorado 90 - Unranked 54		Northern Colorado 93 - Unranked 53
Ohio 84 - Robert Morris 58	0.948	Ohio 85 - Robert Morris 71	12
Ohio State 84 - Bowling Green 61	0.928	Ohio State 89 - Bowling Green 58	-8
Old Dominion 69 - Manhattan 59	0.801	Old Dominion 79 - Manhattan 58	-11
Pepperdine 75 - Utah Valley 71	0.591	Pepperdine 74 - Utah Valley 86	16
Presbyterian 68 - The Citadel 75	0.672	Presbyterian 74 - The Citadel 70	-11
Quinnipiac 76 - Holy Cross 67	0.759	Quinnipiac 76 - Holy Cross 68	1
Saint Francis Penn 85 - Unranked 61		Saint Francis Penn 100 - Unranked 54
Saint Marys 82 - Southern Utah 61	0.943	Saint Marys 70 - Southern Utah 51	2
San Francisco 85 - Samford 64	0.919	San Francisco 77 - Samford 55	-1
SIU Edwardsville 83 - Unranked 59		SIU Edwardsville 75 - Unranked 37
South Carolina Upstate 82 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 96 - Unranked 43
South Florida 68 - North Carolina AT 61	0.715	South Florida 56 - North Carolina AT 54	5
Southern Methodist 81 - Northwestern State 62	0.919	Southern Methodist 95 - Northwestern State 48	-28
Stanford 77 - San Jose State 65	0.794	Stanford 76 - San Jose State 62	-2
Texas Christian 75 - Southern Miss 56	0.912	Texas Christian 83 - Southern Miss 51	-13
Texas San Antonio 85 - Unranked 59		Texas San Antonio 62 - Unranked 65
Texas Tech 84 - Prairie View 63	0.961	Texas Tech 84 - Prairie View 49	-14
Tulsa 67 - Oregon State 72	0.624	Tulsa 64 - Oregon State 58	-11
UCLA 90 - Long Beach State 61	0.964	UCLA 100 - Long Beach State 79	8
UMBC 83 - Unranked 57		UMBC 85 - Unranked 47
UNC Greensboro 80 - Coppin State 54	0.959	UNC Greensboro 55 - Coppin State 48	19
Utah 88 - Bethune Cookman 49	0.997	Utah 86 - Bethune Cookman 55	8
Virginia Tech 85 - Radford 58	0.962	Virginia Tech 65 - Radford 39	1
Washington 73 - Texas Southern 72	0.503	Washington 72 - Texas Southern 65	-6
Washington State 70 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.515	Washington State 73 - UC Santa Barbara 65	-9
Wisconsin 73 - Providence 65	0.732	Wisconsin 58 - Providence 63	13
Wofford 92 - Unranked 54		Wofford 98 - Unranked 41

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 87 - South Alabama 64	0.944	Alabama 73 - South Alabama 68	18
Arizona 78 - North Dakota State 62	0.894	Arizona 97 - North Dakota State 45	-36
Bradley 86 - Unranked 55		Bradley 92 - Unranked 66
Brown 91 - Unranked 56		Brown 98 - Unranked 47
Cal Baptist 70 - Jackson State 67	0.619	Cal Baptist 77 - Jackson State 64	-10
Cal State Fullerton 71 - George Washington 70	0.569	Cal State Fullerton 74 - George Washington 59	-14
Central Connecticut State 54 - NC State 84	0.98	Central Connecticut State 65 - NC State 79	-16
Central Florida 77 - Jacksonville 64	0.868	Central Florida 63 - Jacksonville 54	4
Chattanooga 79 - Tennessee Tech 58	0.946	Chattanooga 69 - Tennessee Tech 62	14
Cincinnati 83 - Alabama AM 54	0.992	Cincinnati 89 - Alabama AM 66	6
Cleveland State 88 - Unranked 54		Cleveland State 75 - Unranked 61
College of Charleston 72 - North Carolina 78	0.682	College of Charleston 83 - North Carolina 94	5
Cornell 72 - Colgate 71	0.502	Cornell 78 - Colgate 68	-9
Dartmouth 90 - Unranked 52		Dartmouth 114 - Unranked 74
Delaware State 74 - Unranked 64		Delaware State 84 - Unranked 30
Duke 84 - Gardner Webb 59	0.953	Duke 92 - Gardner Webb 52	-15
Eastern Kentucky 72 - James Madison 71	0.519	Eastern Kentucky 78 - James Madison 79	2
Evansville 83 - Unranked 55		Evansville 69 - Unranked 58
Fairfield 85 - Unranked 55		Fairfield 110 - Unranked 55
Florida Atlantic 72 - Miami 80	0.722	Florida Atlantic 66 - Miami 68	-6
Florida Gulf Coast 64 - Southern California 83	0.883	Florida Gulf Coast 61 - Southern California 78	-2
Georgetown 74 - American 68	0.696	Georgetown 79 - American 57	-16
Georgia 83 - South Carolina State 59	0.954	Georgia 76 - South Carolina State 60	8
Georgia Southern 90 - Unranked 50		Georgia Southern 103 - Unranked 51
Houston 75 - Virginia 63	0.804	Houston 67 - Virginia 47	-8
Illinois Chicago 86 - Unranked 57		Illinois Chicago 91 - Unranked 50
Illinois State 66 - Murray State 76	0.753	Illinois State 65 - Murray State 77	2
Incarnate Word 80 - Unranked 61		Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 82
Iona 74 - Hofstra 72	0.579	Iona 82 - Hofstra 74	-6
Iowa 90 - North Carolina Central 56	0.993	Iowa 86 - North Carolina Central 69	17
Iowa State 84 - Alabama State 59	0.961	Iowa State 68 - Alabama State 60	17
IPFW 75 - Austin Peay 71	0.593	IPFW 65 - Austin Peay 60	-1
IUPUI 67 - Texas AM CC 66	0.536	IUPUI 59 - Texas AM CC 65	7
Kent State 90 - Unranked 55		Kent State 84 - Unranked 38
Kentucky 85 - Mt St Marys 55	0.964	Kentucky 80 - Mt St Marys 55	5
Loyola Ill 78 - Chicago State 58	0.882	Loyola Ill 92 - Chicago State 56	-16
Memphis 75 - Saint Louis 70	0.625	Memphis 90 - Saint Louis 74	-11
Mercer 91 - Unranked 54		Mercer 78 - Unranked 50
Michigan 74 - Seton Hall 70	0.602	Michigan 65 - Seton Hall 67	6
Middle Tennessee 64 - Winthrop 78	0.866	Middle Tennessee 76 - Winthrop 65	-25
Monmouth 79 - Lehigh 64	0.848	Monmouth 85 - Lehigh 75	5
Nebraska 67 - Creighton 76	0.714	Nebraska 69 - Creighton 77	-1
Norfolk State 68 - William and Mary 63	0.678	Norfolk State 91 - William and Mary 74	-12
Northeastern 70 - Boston 63	0.709	Northeastern 49 - Boston 48	6
Northwestern 82 - New Orleans 61	0.952	Northwestern 83 - New Orleans 67	5
Notre Dame 82 - High Point 58	0.942	Notre Dame 70 - High Point 61	15
Oklahoma State 78 - UMass Lowell 65	0.83	Oklahoma State 80 - UMass Lowell 58	-9
Oregon 76 - Brigham Young 73	0.582	Oregon 49 - Brigham Young 81	35
Pacific 86 - Unranked 54		Pacific 65 - Unranked 46
Pennsylvania 74 - Lafayette 70	0.678	Pennsylvania 85 - Lafayette 57	-24
Pittsburgh 74 - UNC Wilmington 62	0.819	Pittsburgh 59 - UNC Wilmington 51	4
Purdue 83 - Wright State 67	0.872	Purdue 96 - Wright State 52	-28
Rice 73 - Southern 66	0.696	Rice 81 - Southern 63	-11
Richmond 73 - Georgia State 77	0.638	Richmond 94 - Georgia State 78	-20
Rutgers 76 - NJ Tech 58	0.886	Rutgers 75 - NJ Tech 61	4
Sacred Heart 84 - Unranked 60		Sacred Heart 109 - Unranked 49
Santa Clara 74 - Nevada 75	0.51	Santa Clara 96 - Nevada 74	-23
Siena 62 - Yale 75	0.792	Siena 54 - Yale 82	15
Tennessee State 80 - Unranked 61		Tennessee State 111 - Unranked 56
Texas Arlington 65 - Abilene Christian 73	0.717	Texas Arlington 71 - Abilene Christian 80	1
Texas El Paso 90 - Unranked 56		Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 53
Texas Pan American 82 - Unranked 62		Texas Pan American 85 - Unranked 68
Texas San Antonio 76 - Denver 67	0.682	Texas San Antonio 78 - Denver 64	-5
Towson 74 - Hampton 66	0.727	Towson 78 - Hampton 54	-16
Troy 63 - Jacksonville State 71	0.76	Troy 69 - Jacksonville State 65	-12
UC Irvine 91 - Unranked 48		UC Irvine 100 - Unranked 41
UC San Diego 97 - Unranked 52		UC San Diego 97 - Unranked 60
UL Monroe 82 - Unranked 60		UL Monroe 114 - Unranked 59
Vermont 90 - Unranked 52		Vermont 81 - Unranked 48
Villanova 82 - Howard 64	0.932	Villanova 100 - Howard 81	-1
Virginia Military Institute 89 - Unranked 59		Virginia Military Institute 97 - Unranked 35
Western Illinois 88 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 97 - Unranked 71
Wichita State 79 - Tarleton State 56	0.985	Wichita State 65 - Tarleton State 51	9

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - Texas Southern 69	0.582	Air Force 61 - Texas Southern 57	-6
Albany 63 - Harvard 81	0.952	Albany 53 - Harvard 60	-11
Arkansas 83 - Northern Iowa 58	0.962	Arkansas 93 - Northern Iowa 80	12
Army 67 - Merrimack 64	0.598	Army 74 - Merrimack 51	-20
Baylor 92 - Central Arkansas 54	0.989	Baylor 92 - Central Arkansas 47	-7
Bucknell 70 - Rider 69	0.511	Bucknell 81 - Rider 74	-6
Butler 70 - Michigan State 73	0.595	Butler 52 - Michigan State 73	18
Central Connecticut State 58 - UMass Lowell 76	0.898	Central Connecticut State 53 - UMass Lowell 77	6
Columbia 59 - Binghamton 73	0.924	Columbia 85 - Binghamton 77	-22
Connecticut 85 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0.965	Connecticut 93 - LIU Brooklyn 40	-26
Coppin State 62 - Loyola MD 72	0.808	Coppin State 71 - Loyola MD 49	-32
Dayton 74 - Lipscomb 66	0.76	Dayton 59 - Lipscomb 78	27
Delaware 78 - La Salle 67	0.772	Delaware 85 - La Salle 82	8
Florida State 83 - Tulane 61	0.947	Florida State 59 - Tulane 54	17
Grand Canyon 75 - Prairie View 62	0.904	Grand Canyon 91 - Prairie View 64	-14
Indiana 76 - Saint Johns 73	0.596	Indiana 76 - Saint Johns 74	1
Kansas State 77 - Omaha 60	0.909	Kansas State 79 - Omaha 64	2
Long Beach State 74 - Utah Valley 73	0.516	Long Beach State 78 - Utah Valley 84	7
Loyola Marymount 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	0.689	Loyola Marymount 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	-13
Maryland 74 - George Mason 68	0.718	Maryland 66 - George Mason 71	11
Miami OH 79 - Stetson 62	0.89	Miami OH 80 - Stetson 65	2
Mississippi State 83 - Detroit 59	0.947	Mississippi State 77 - Detroit 64	11
Oakland 70 - Toledo 71	0.513	Oakland 80 - Toledo 59	-22
Oklahoma State 74 - NC State 72	0.553	Oklahoma State 74 - NC State 68	-4
Pepperdine 68 - UC Davis 76	0.714	Pepperdine 72 - UC Davis 67	-13
Portland State 86 - Unranked 59		Portland State 104 - Unranked 58
Princeton 77 - Marist 62	0.94	Princeton 80 - Marist 61	-4
Rhode Island 71 - Boston College 72	0.518	Rhode Island 57 - Boston College 49	-9
Saint Josephs 70 - Drexel 71	0.502	Saint Josephs 75 - Drexel 78	2
Saint Marys 81 - Bellarmine 60	0.948	Saint Marys 73 - Bellarmine 64	12
Sam Houston State 68 - Missouri State 72	0.606	Sam Houston State 55 - Missouri State 77	18
San Diego 73 - UC Riverside 66	0.707	San Diego 74 - UC Riverside 62	-5
South Dakota State 81 - Montana State 68	0.84	South Dakota State 91 - Montana State 74	-4
Stanford 76 - Valparaiso 61	0.829	Stanford 74 - Valparaiso 60	1
Texas 78 - Northern Colorado 63	0.911	Texas 62 - Northern Colorado 49	2
Texas AM 85 - Houston Baptist 58	0.971	Texas AM 73 - Houston Baptist 39	-7
Texas AM CC 71 - Denver 70	0.511	Texas AM CC 69 - Denver 67	-1
Texas San Antonio 71 - IUPUI 64	0.644	Texas San Antonio 60 - IUPUI 57	4
UCLA 87 - North Florida 58	0.973	UCLA 98 - North Florida 63	-6
UL Lafayette 91 - Unranked 54		UL Lafayette 84 - Unranked 72
UMKC 83 - Unranked 54		UMKC 99 - Unranked 36
Vanderbilt 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 66	0.712	Vanderbilt 37 - Virginia Commonwealth 48	18
Wake Forest 81 - Charleston Southern 62	0.937	Wake Forest 95 - Charleston Southern 59	-17

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 93 - Unranked 51		Akron 99 - Unranked 38
Appalachian State 68 - Charlotte 65	0.61	Appalachian State 66 - Charlotte 67	4
Boise State 69 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.533	Boise State 61 - Saint Bonaventure 67	5
Cal Baptist 74 - San Jose State 69	0.662	Cal Baptist 67 - San Jose State 66	4
California 74 - Southern Utah 67	0.682	California 75 - Southern Utah 68	0
Cincinnati 79 - Presbyterian 58	0.955	Cincinnati 79 - Presbyterian 45	-13
Colgate 92 - Unranked 52		Colgate 97 - Unranked 50
DePaul 72 - Rutgers 71	0.504	DePaul 73 - Rutgers 70	-2
East Carolina 65 - Oklahoma 79	0.835	East Carolina 74 - Oklahoma 79	-9
East Tennessee State 78 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.904	East Tennessee State 56 - South Carolina Upstate 43	4
Eastern Illinois 80 - Unranked 58		Eastern Illinois 96 - Unranked 64
Florida 83 - Milwaukee 56	0.968	Florida 81 - Milwaukee 45	-9
Florida International 67 - Ball State 73	0.652	Florida International 73 - Ball State 60	-19
Green Bay 61 - UNC Greensboro 77	0.887	Green Bay 58 - UNC Greensboro 60	-14
Hartford 70 - Boston 68	0.565	Hartford 70 - Boston 75	7
Idaho 58 - Washington State 82	0.95	Idaho 61 - Washington State 109	24
Iowa 92 - Alabama State 56	0.996	Iowa 108 - Alabama State 82	10
Kansas 85 - Stony Brook 54	0.985	Kansas 88 - Stony Brook 59	2
Louisiana State 92 - Mcneese State 54	0.993	Louisiana State 85 - Mcneese State 46	-1
Marshall 78 - Campbell 65	0.857	Marshall 65 - Campbell 67	15
Mississippi 74 - Marquette 72	0.576	Mississippi 72 - Marquette 78	8
Missouri 77 - Northern Illinois 61	0.841	Missouri 54 - Northern Illinois 37	-1
Morehead State 85 - Unranked 54		Morehead State 84 - Unranked 59
New Mexico State 70 - Davidson 69	0.543	New Mexico State 76 - Davidson 64	-11
North Carolina AT 82 - Unranked 56		North Carolina AT 77 - Unranked 69
North Texas 77 - Texas Arlington 58	0.881	North Texas 64 - Texas Arlington 36	-9
Northern Arizona 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	0.785	Northern Arizona 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	-20
Northern Kentucky 73 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.565	Northern Kentucky 74 - Eastern Michigan 73	1
Northwestern 84 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.951	Northwestern 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 46	-15
Old Dominion 69 - Indiana State 68	0.542	Old Dominion 36 - Indiana State 77	42
Oral Roberts 92 - Unranked 58		Oral Roberts 89 - Unranked 46
Oregon State 80 - Samford 64	0.832	Oregon State 77 - Samford 78	17
Penn State 85 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 56	0.982	Penn State 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	14
Portland 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 65	0.689	Portland 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	-6
Providence 80 - New Hampshire 60	0.932	Providence 69 - New Hampshire 58	9
San Diego State 79 - Arizona State 66	0.855	San Diego State 65 - Arizona State 63	11
San Francisco 77 - Nevada 73	0.638	San Francisco 73 - Nevada 70	1
Seattle 75 - Morgan State 61	0.831	Seattle 93 - Morgan State 80	1
South Carolina 74 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.522	South Carolina 66 - Alabama Birmingham 63	-2
South Carolina State 80 - Unranked 63		South Carolina State 67 - Unranked 53
South Dakota State 96 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 99 - Unranked 62
Southern Methodist 81 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.948	Southern Methodist 78 - Southeast Louisiana 61	5
Temple 67 - Clemson 73	0.691	Temple 48 - Clemson 75	21
Texas Christian 74 - Nicholls State 65	0.761	Texas Christian 63 - Nicholls State 50	-4
The Citadel 94 - Unranked 57		The Citadel 102 - Unranked 49
UNC Asheville 68 - Tennessee Tech 69	0.508	UNC Asheville 61 - Tennessee Tech 55	-7
UNC Wilmington 64 - Coastal Carolina 76	0.789	UNC Wilmington 65 - Coastal Carolina 53	-24
Utah State 80 - Pennsylvania 62	0.914	Utah State 87 - Pennsylvania 79	10
Virginia Tech 89 - Saint Francis Penn 58	0.98	Virginia Tech 85 - Saint Francis Penn 55	1
Washington 65 - Wyoming 78	0.766	Washington 72 - Wyoming 77	-8
Weber State 74 - Massachusetts 73	0.533	Weber State 88 - Massachusetts 73	-14
West Virginia 80 - Elon 64	0.895	West Virginia 87 - Elon 68	-3
Western Michigan 81 - Unranked 60		Western Michigan 63 - Unranked 80
Xavier 72 - Ohio State 74	0.554	Xavier 71 - Ohio State 65	-8

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 84 - Oakland 63	0.909	Alabama 86 - Oakland 59	-6
Ball State 71 - Weber State 72	0.539	Ball State 74 - Weber State 85	10
Bowling Green 69 - Norfolk State 65	0.588	Bowling Green 84 - Norfolk State 90	10
Cal State Northridge 70 - Eastern Washington 76	0.685	Cal State Northridge 64 - Eastern Washington 67	-3
Clemson 69 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.587	Clemson 65 - Saint Bonaventure 68	6
Colorado 77 - Southern Illinois 62	0.847	Colorado 63 - Southern Illinois 67	19
Colorado State 80 - Bradley 64	0.865	Colorado State 66 - Bradley 60	10
Cornell 92 - Unranked 53		Cornell 107 - Unranked 48
Creighton 79 - Brown 67	0.801	Creighton 78 - Brown 57	-9
Dixie State 67 - Texas State 69	0.582	Dixie State 65 - Texas State 85	18
Duke 87 - Lafayette 58	0.976	Duke 88 - Lafayette 55	-4
Duquesne 69 - Northeastern 67	0.569	Duquesne 55 - Northeastern 71	18
Elon 66 - Mississippi 76	0.769	Elon 56 - Mississippi 74	8
Florida Atlantic 77 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.706	Florida Atlantic 75 - Tennessee Martin 67	-1
Fordham 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.702	Fordham 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 75	7
Furman 81 - Radford 60	0.933	Furman 81 - Radford 64	4
George Washington 68 - UMass Lowell 70	0.561	George Washington 56 - UMass Lowell 67	9
Georgetown 78 - Siena 62	0.855	Georgetown 83 - Siena 65	-2
Georgia 70 - Georgia Tech 72	0.571	Georgia 78 - Georgia Tech 88	8
Gonzaga 92 - Bellarmine 57	0.994	Gonzaga 92 - Bellarmine 50	-7
Green Bay 69 - Florida International 70	0.539	Green Bay 60 - Florida International 63	2
Indiana State 65 - Oklahoma 81	0.868	Indiana State 63 - Oklahoma 87	8
James Madison 69 - George Mason 72	0.623	James Madison 67 - George Mason 64	-6
Kennesaw St 62 - Belmont 81	0.888	Kennesaw St 78 - Belmont 97	0
Kentucky 76 - Ohio 73	0.58	Kentucky 77 - Ohio 59	-15
Lamar 69 - Stetson 70	0.531	Lamar 59 - Stetson 60	0
Liberty 70 - Iona 71	0.534	Liberty 50 - Iona 54	3
Longwood 67 - American 72	0.71	Longwood 82 - American 42	-45
Maine 81 - Unranked 58		Maine 75 - Unranked 43
Manhattan 67 - North Alabama 66	0.517	Manhattan 55 - North Alabama 51	-3
Maryland 77 - Hofstra 69	0.742	Maryland 69 - Hofstra 67	6
Massachusetts 67 - UNC Greensboro 74	0.703	Massachusetts 93 - UNC Greensboro 90	-10
Memphis 79 - Western Kentucky 65	0.867	Memphis 74 - Western Kentucky 62	2
Merrimack 70 - Lehigh 60	0.772	Merrimack 55 - Lehigh 45	0
Minnesota 87 - IPFW 65	0.916	Minnesota 78 - IPFW 49	-7
Nebraska 77 - Idaho State 58	0.915	Nebraska 78 - Idaho State 60	1
Nevada Las Vegas 63 - Michigan 78	0.907	Nevada Las Vegas 61 - Michigan 74	-2
New Orleans 66 - Rice 74	0.712	New Orleans 78 - Rice 83	-3
Niagara 74 - SIU Edwardsville 65	0.79	Niagara 70 - SIU Edwardsville 60	-1
North Dakota 64 - Troy 70	0.695	North Dakota 74 - Troy 72	-8
Northwestern State 63 - Louisiana Tech 78	0.87	Northwestern State 64 - Louisiana Tech 83	4
Old Dominion 67 - East Carolina 68	0.523	Old Dominion 60 - East Carolina 73	12
Pacific 68 - Texas El Paso 69	0.532	Pacific 64 - Texas El Paso 73	8
Pennsylvania 63 - Davidson 78	0.884	Pennsylvania 60 - Davidson 72	-3
Pittsburgh 72 - Towson 67	0.671	Pittsburgh 63 - Towson 59	1
Robert Morris 69 - Mt St Marys 64	0.628	Robert Morris 70 - Mt St Marys 74	9
San Diego 79 - Cal State Fullerton 63	0.895	San Diego 55 - Cal State Fullerton 57	18
Santa Clara 80 - Cal Poly 60	0.938	Santa Clara 87 - Cal Poly 57	-10
SE Missouri State 73 - Arkansas State 74	0.504	SE Missouri State 60 - Arkansas State 72	11
South Dakota 71 - Southern 67	0.602	South Dakota 71 - Southern 68	1
South Florida 62 - Auburn 79	0.921	South Florida 52 - Auburn 58	-11
Stephen F Austin 71 - Middle Tennessee 64	0.716	Stephen F Austin 87 - Middle Tennessee 74	-6
Tarleton State 84 - Unranked 56		Tarleton State 69 - Unranked 42
Temple 70 - Boise State 73	0.569	Temple 62 - Boise State 82	17
Utah State 71 - New Mexico State 70	0.514	Utah State 85 - New Mexico State 58	-26
Vermont 70 - Yale 68	0.541	Vermont 61 - Yale 53	-6
Virginia 83 - Coppin State 51	0.975	Virginia 68 - Coppin State 52	16
West Virginia 78 - Marquette 70	0.774	West Virginia 71 - Marquette 82	19
Western Carolina 71 - UMBC 68	0.6	Western Carolina 75 - UMBC 91	19
Wichita State 71 - Arizona 72	0.556	Wichita State 78 - Arizona 82	3
Wofford 80 - Hampton 64	0.882	Wofford 77 - Hampton 60	-1
Youngstown State 73 - Saint Thomas 74	0.529	Youngstown State 79 - Saint Thomas 75	-5

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 67 - North Carolina Central 66	0.506	Alabama State 80 - North Carolina Central 74	-5
American 73 - Western Carolina 68	0.689	American 79 - Western Carolina 80	6
Baylor 81 - Stanford 64	0.866	Baylor 86 - Stanford 48	-21
Bethune Cookman 62 - Bryant 76	0.897	Bethune Cookman 81 - Bryant 75	-20
Boston College 72 - Utah 74	0.575	Boston College 61 - Utah 68	5
Brigham Young 101 - Unranked 48		Brigham Young 97 - Unranked 61
Brown 73 - Bradley 69	0.635	Brown 65 - Bradley 62	1
Buffalo 82 - Rider 64	0.931	Buffalo 87 - Rider 65	-4
Cal State Northridge 67 - Dixie State 74	0.679	Cal State Northridge 79 - Dixie State 73	-13
Central Arkansas 67 - Oral Roberts 80	0.785	Central Arkansas 70 - Oral Roberts 67	-16
Charleston Southern 83 - Unranked 61		Charleston Southern 119 - Unranked 63
Cleveland State 73 - Canisius 64	0.783	Cleveland State 80 - Canisius 70	-1
Colorado 77 - Duquesne 65	0.829	Colorado 84 - Duquesne 76	4
Columbia 78 - Unranked 65		Columbia 87 - Unranked 62
Connecticut 78 - Binghamton 56	0.946	Connecticut 87 - Binghamton 63	-2
Dayton 77 - Austin Peay 60	0.883	Dayton 81 - Austin Peay 87	23
Delaware State 59 - UNC Wilmington 70	0.829	Delaware State 63 - UNC Wilmington 67	-7
DePaul 80 - Western Illinois 67	0.821	DePaul 84 - Western Illinois 80	9
Drake 80 - Richmond 67	0.764	Drake 73 - Richmond 70	10
Eastern Kentucky 78 - Albany 58	0.915	Eastern Kentucky 77 - Albany 64	7
Eastern Washington 70 - Texas State 71	0.533	Eastern Washington 74 - Texas State 81	6
Evansville 62 - Central Florida 74	0.809	Evansville 59 - Central Florida 75	4
Florida Atlantic 76 - North Dakota 67	0.757	Florida Atlantic 98 - North Dakota 79	-10
Gardner Webb 88 - Unranked 57		Gardner Webb 100 - Unranked 38
Hampton 62 - Georgia Southern 77	0.879	Hampton 66 - Georgia Southern 86	5
Harvard 96 - Unranked 57		Harvard 98 - Unranked 52
High Point 64 - Howard 76	0.824	High Point 73 - Howard 63	-22
Holy Cross 63 - Air Force 71	0.703	Holy Cross 53 - Air Force 72	11
Illinois State 75 - Bucknell 69	0.692	Illinois State 105 - Bucknell 100	1
Iona 78 - North Alabama 62	0.888	Iona 81 - North Alabama 65	0
La Salle 70 - Army 74	0.628	La Salle 61 - Army 58	-7
Longwood 70 - UMBC 67	0.601	Longwood 82 - UMBC 55	-24
Louisville 81 - Detroit 61	0.918	Louisville 73 - Detroit 67	14
Loyola Ill 81 - Illinois Chicago 59	0.917	Loyola Ill 80 - Illinois Chicago 63	5
Manhattan 59 - Liberty 73	0.856	Manhattan 76 - Liberty 60	-30
Marist 70 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.521	Marist 78 - Virginia Military Institute 74	-5
Miami OH 94 - Unranked 53		Miami OH 90 - Unranked 45
Michigan State 82 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.847	Michigan State 83 - Eastern Michigan 59	-8
Montana 71 - Omaha 66	0.661	Montana 68 - Omaha 47	-16
New Mexico 76 - Montana State 71	0.652	New Mexico 81 - Montana State 78	2
Niagara 71 - Saint Thomas 75	0.657	Niagara 67 - Saint Thomas 76	5
North Florida 85 - Unranked 57		North Florida 103 - Unranked 43
Portland 71 - Morgan State 65	0.692	Portland 74 - Morgan State 63	-5
Purdue 78 - North Carolina 74	0.63	Purdue 93 - North Carolina 84	-5
Quinnipiac 77 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.88	Quinnipiac 76 - Central Connecticut State 65	5
Radford 62 - Navy 73	0.797	Radford 33 - Navy 47	3
Sacramento State 61 - UC San Diego 81	0.932	Sacramento State 56 - UC San Diego 71	-5
Sacred Heart 66 - Fairfield 70	0.632	Sacred Heart 61 - Fairfield 71	6
Saint Johns 89 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.959	Saint Johns 87 - Fairleigh Dickinson 74	11
Saint Josephs 71 - Monmouth 72	0.504	Saint Josephs 75 - Monmouth 87	11
Saint Louis 77 - Mercer 66	0.778	Saint Louis 75 - Mercer 58	-6
San Diego State 85 - Texas Arlington 56	0.96	San Diego State 68 - Texas Arlington 62	23
South Alabama 90 - Unranked 54		South Alabama 78 - Unranked 45
Syracuse 78 - Colgate 66	0.837	Syracuse 85 - Colgate 100	27
Tennessee 75 - Villanova 74	0.524	Tennessee 53 - Villanova 71	19
Tennessee Martin 67 - Troy 72	0.638	Tennessee Martin 67 - Troy 80	8
Texas 83 - San Jose State 61	0.948	Texas 79 - San Jose State 45	-12
Texas Pan American 66 - Northern Arizona 67	0.529	Texas Pan American 87 - Northern Arizona 89	1
Texas Tech 88 - Incarnate Word 57	0.985	Texas Tech 84 - Incarnate Word 62	9
Tulsa 66 - Rhode Island 74	0.726	Tulsa 77 - Rhode Island 71	-14
UC Irvine 76 - Pepperdine 63	0.786	UC Irvine 82 - Pepperdine 48	-21
UC Riverside 90 - Unranked 52		UC Riverside 95 - Unranked 57
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Chicago State 60	0.836	UC Santa Barbara 81 - Chicago State 50	-16
Vanderbilt 77 - Winthrop 74	0.606	Vanderbilt 77 - Winthrop 63	-11
Virginia Commonwealth 65 - Chattanooga 68	0.583	Virginia Commonwealth 54 - Chattanooga 56	-1
Wake Forest 77 - North Carolina AT 60	0.905	Wake Forest 87 - North Carolina AT 63	-7
William and Mary 62 - Georgia State 81	0.924	William and Mary 59 - Georgia State 77	-1
Youngstown State 77 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.845	Youngstown State 66 - SIU Edwardsville 69	16

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Bethune Cookman 55	0.951	Air Force 73 - Bethune Cookman 65	12
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Alabama AM 58	0.958	Alabama Birmingham 86 - Alabama AM 41	-20
Ball State 72 - Massachusetts 73	0.504	Ball State 89 - Massachusetts 86	-4
Cal Baptist 70 - Northern Colorado 72	0.544	Cal Baptist 74 - Northern Colorado 70	-6
Creighton 76 - Colorado State 75	0.502	Creighton 81 - Colorado State 95	15
Denver 74 - Houston Baptist 70	0.61	Denver 74 - Houston Baptist 61	-9
East Carolina 66 - Davidson 75	0.736	East Carolina 67 - Davidson 76	0
Elon 68 - Temple 74	0.668	Elon 58 - Temple 75	11
Florida Gulf Coast 90 - Unranked 57		Florida Gulf Coast 99 - Unranked 59
Florida International 60 - UNC Greensboro 75	0.814	Florida International 74 - UNC Greensboro 71	-18
Furman 76 - Navy 65	0.776	Furman 66 - Navy 77	22
High Point 61 - Georgia State 83	0.925	High Point 66 - Georgia State 74	-14
Holy Cross 69 - Bryant 73	0.608	Holy Cross 62 - Bryant 78	12
Indiana 76 - UL Lafayette 63	0.822	Indiana 76 - UL Lafayette 44	-19
Indiana State 66 - New Mexico State 77	0.824	Indiana State 66 - New Mexico State 80	3
Iowa State 81 - Grambling State 61	0.938	Iowa State 82 - Grambling State 47	-15
Longwood 71 - Western Carolina 72	0.505	Longwood 53 - Western Carolina 64	10
Loyola Marymount 65 - Florida State 78	0.851	Loyola Marymount 45 - Florida State 73	15
Marquette 70 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.559	Marquette 54 - Saint Bonaventure 70	14
Marshall 78 - Jackson State 64	0.897	Marshall 80 - Jackson State 66	0
Miami 80 - Florida AM 63	0.935	Miami 86 - Florida AM 59	-10
Michigan 78 - Arizona 70	0.72	Michigan 62 - Arizona 80	26
Mississippi 72 - Boise State 70	0.548	Mississippi 50 - Boise State 60	12
Mississippi State 79 - Morehead State 58	0.929	Mississippi State 66 - Morehead State 46	1
NC State 79 - Texas Southern 65	0.89	NC State 65 - Texas Southern 57	6
Nebraska 74 - Southern 65	0.767	Nebraska 82 - Southern 59	-14
Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Wichita State 71	0.732	Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Wichita State 74	-4
North Carolina 74 - Tennessee 77	0.602	North Carolina 72 - Tennessee 89	14
North Dakota 68 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.55	North Dakota 72 - Tennessee Martin 77	4
Northern Illinois 68 - Boston 67	0.508	Northern Illinois 58 - Boston 76	19
Oklahoma 74 - Utah State 70	0.599	Oklahoma 70 - Utah State 73	7
Old Dominion 71 - Pennsylvania 65	0.73	Old Dominion 63 - Pennsylvania 71	14
Oregon State 72 - Princeton 70	0.571	Oregon State 80 - Princeton 81	3
Purdue 76 - Villanova 74	0.551	Purdue 80 - Villanova 74	-4
Rhode Island 70 - Boston College 73	0.58	Rhode Island 71 - Boston College 65	-9
Sam Houston State 67 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.631	Sam Houston State 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 59	-22
SIU Edwardsville 65 - Saint Thomas 78	0.9	SIU Edwardsville 73 - Saint Thomas 86	0
South Dakota 75 - Tennessee State 61	0.831	South Dakota 83 - Tennessee State 66	-3
Southern Illinois 65 - Northeastern 66	0.507	Southern Illinois 47 - Northeastern 59	11
Southern Methodist 70 - Missouri 73	0.593	Southern Methodist 75 - Missouri 80	2
Southern Miss 67 - Lamar 66	0.53	Southern Miss 82 - Lamar 75	-6
Texas San Antonio 74 - Texas AM CC 65	0.684	Texas San Antonio 58 - Texas AM CC 77	28
Tulsa 64 - Utah 77	0.82	Tulsa 58 - Utah 72	1
Virginia Tech 79 - Merrimack 54	0.96	Virginia Tech 72 - Merrimack 43	-4
Weber State 76 - Green Bay 67	0.738	Weber State 68 - Green Bay 58	-1
West Virginia 72 - Clemson 69	0.626	West Virginia 66 - Clemson 59	-4
William and Mary 64 - Howard 75	0.846	William and Mary 76 - Howard 82	-5
Wofford 71 - Georgia Southern 70	0.513	Wofford 70 - Georgia Southern 52	-17
Xavier 78 - Norfolk State 57	0.941	Xavier 88 - Norfolk State 48	-19
Youngstown State 74 - Niagara 71	0.606	Youngstown State 53 - Niagara 58	8

Number of DI Games: 345
Number Correct: 259 = 75%
Expected Number Correct: 260.953 = 75.6%
Average Error: 9.92
Average Signed Error: -0.51

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 86 - Unranked 60		Alabama State 91 - Unranked 65
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Northern Illinois 69	0.542	Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Northern Illinois 60	-9
Cal State Bakersfield 84 - Unranked 56		Cal State Bakersfield 99 - Unranked 54
California 61 - Florida 78	0.877	California 60 - Florida 80	3
Canisius 88 - Unranked 58		Canisius 106 - Unranked 40
Charlotte 70 - Toledo 71	0.512	Charlotte 86 - Toledo 98	11
Cleveland State 75 - Coppin State 59	0.855	Cleveland State 65 - Coppin State 62	13
Colorado 79 - Brown 66	0.838	Colorado 54 - Brown 52	11
Delaware 71 - Appalachian State 70	0.534	Delaware 75 - Appalachian State 68	-6
Duke 88 - The Citadel 62	0.937	Duke 107 - The Citadel 81	0
Duquesne 67 - Bradley 65	0.551	Duquesne 78 - Bradley 70	-6
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Eastern Illinois 61	0.894	Eastern Kentucky 82 - Eastern Illinois 43	-23
Evansville 62 - Rice 72	0.774	Evansville 104 - Rice 109	-5
Florida Atlantic 73 - Troy 67	0.684	Florida Atlantic 78 - Troy 83	11
Fordham 62 - Akron 75	0.828	Fordham 63 - Akron 43	-33
Fresno State 72 - Pepperdine 67	0.625	Fresno State 70 - Pepperdine 63	-2
George Washington 68 - Wright State 74	0.673	George Washington 74 - Wright State 63	-17
Georgia Tech 85 - Charleston Southern 56	0.965	Georgia Tech 85 - Charleston Southern 70	14
Gonzaga 92 - Central Michigan 58	0.993	Gonzaga 107 - Central Michigan 54	-19
Grand Canyon 70 - Wyoming 71	0.511	Grand Canyon 61 - Wyoming 68	6
Houston 77 - Butler 59	0.881	Houston 70 - Butler 52	0
Idaho 61 - Utah Valley 81	0.939	Idaho 45 - Utah Valley 83	18
Idaho State 58 - UMKC 72	0.848	Idaho State 58 - UMKC 74	2
Illinois 73 - Cincinnati 69	0.628	Illinois 51 - Cincinnati 71	24
Iowa 92 - Western Michigan 59	0.965	Iowa 109 - Western Michigan 61	-15
Jacksonville State 71 - Valparaiso 62	0.755	Jacksonville State 70 - Valparaiso 78	17
James Madison 72 - Kent State 68	0.628	James Madison 69 - Kent State 74	9
Kansas State 68 - Arkansas 77	0.747	Kansas State 64 - Arkansas 72	-1
Kentucky 83 - Albany 51	0.992	Kentucky 86 - Albany 61	7
Long Beach State 70 - Missouri State 78	0.699	Long Beach State 66 - Missouri State 92	18
Louisiana State 83 - Belmont 71	0.775	Louisiana State 83 - Belmont 53	-18
Mcneese State 82 - Unranked 60		Mcneese State 98 - Unranked 54
Missouri 65 - Florida State 76	0.739	Missouri 58 - Florida State 81	12
Murray State 71 - East Tennessee State 64	0.725	Murray State 58 - East Tennessee State 66	15
New Mexico 93 - Unranked 55		New Mexico 88 - Unranked 63
Nicholls State 72 - Cal Poly 61	0.869	Nicholls State 75 - Cal Poly 72	8
North Dakota State 68 - Tarleton State 64	0.637	North Dakota State 54 - Tarleton State 53	3
Northeastern 65 - Colorado State 73	0.701	Northeastern 61 - Colorado State 71	2
Northern Arizona 76 - Texas Pan American 69	0.713	Northern Arizona 80 - Texas Pan American 82	9
Northern Kentucky 72 - Western Illinois 69	0.579	Northern Kentucky 67 - Western Illinois 69	5
Notre Dame 68 - Saint Marys 70	0.564	Notre Dame 59 - Saint Marys 62	1
Ohio 79 - Mt St Marys 59	0.92	Ohio 73 - Mt St Marys 59	6
Oklahoma State 80 - College of Charleston 65	0.865	Oklahoma State 96 - College of Charleston 66	-15
Pacific 70 - Chicago State 64	0.667	Pacific 74 - Chicago State 58	-10
Penn State 69 - Cornell 70	0.529	Penn State 85 - Cornell 74	-12
Providence 73 - Northwestern 70	0.576	Providence 77 - Northwestern 72	-2
Richmond 78 - Hofstra 71	0.718	Richmond 81 - Hofstra 68	-6
Rutgers 79 - Lafayette 59	0.901	Rutgers 51 - Lafayette 53	22
Sam Houston State 65 - Boston 70	0.672	Sam Houston State 59 - Boston 72	8
San Francisco 85 - Morgan State 58	0.98	San Francisco 83 - Morgan State 67	11
SE Missouri State 86 - Unranked 62		SE Missouri State 71 - Unranked 63
Seattle 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.922	Seattle 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	-4
Seton Hall 77 - Ohio State 68	0.735	Seton Hall 76 - Ohio State 79	12
Siena 64 - Harvard 75	0.858	Siena 72 - Harvard 69	-14
South Alabama 91 - Unranked 52		South Alabama 96 - Unranked 53
South Dakota State 78 - Nevada 71	0.729	South Dakota State 102 - Nevada 75	-20
Southeast Louisiana 83 - Unranked 60		Southeast Louisiana 121 - Unranked 79
Southern California 89 - Dixie State 58	0.968	Southern California 98 - Dixie State 71	4
Southern Illinois 61 - Creighton 73	0.779	Southern Illinois 64 - Creighton 66	-10
Southern Methodist 75 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.674	Southern Methodist 70 - Loyola Marymount 76	13
Stony Brook 73 - Sacred Heart 65	0.777	Stony Brook 75 - Sacred Heart 72	5
Texas Christian 73 - Santa Clara 74	0.559	Texas Christian 66 - Santa Clara 85	18
Texas El Paso 73 - UC Riverside 67	0.682	Texas El Paso 40 - UC Riverside 52	18
Tulane 66 - Drexel 68	0.566	Tulane 90 - Drexel 87	-5
UCLA 86 - Bellarmine 61	0.961	UCLA 75 - Bellarmine 62	12
UL Monroe 70 - Northwestern State 71	0.501	UL Monroe 96 - Northwestern State 66	-31
Unranked 50 - Oregon 97		Unranked 49 - Oregon 73
Vermont 68 - Oakland 66	0.554	Vermont 61 - Oakland 63	4
Virginia 71 - Georgia 66	0.642	Virginia 65 - Georgia 55	-5
Washington 66 - George Mason 76	0.741	Washington 77 - George Mason 74	-13
Washington State 82 - Winthrop 65	0.886	Washington State 92 - Winthrop 86	11
Wisconsin 68 - Texas AM 66	0.574	Wisconsin 69 - Texas AM 58	-9

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 65 - Akron 72	0.709	Appalachian State 57 - Akron 45	-19
Arkansas 75 - Cincinnati 74	0.501	Arkansas 73 - Cincinnati 67	-5
Bethune Cookman 61 - Liberty 71	0.753	Bethune Cookman 51 - Liberty 59	-2
Bowling Green 69 - Milwaukee 72	0.594	Bowling Green 82 - Milwaukee 68	-17
Buffalo 77 - Stephen F Austin 70	0.714	Buffalo 78 - Stephen F Austin 79	8
Butler 65 - Texas AM 70	0.649	Butler 50 - Texas AM 57	2
Central Michigan 69 - Bellarmine 73	0.635	Central Michigan 69 - Bellarmine 76	3
Chattanooga 94 - Unranked 50		Chattanooga 100 - Unranked 39
Coastal Carolina 69 - Valparaiso 68	0.527	Coastal Carolina 64 - Valparaiso 61	-2
Delaware 74 - Fordham 67	0.717	Delaware 81 - Fordham 71	-3
Drexel 65 - Charlotte 68	0.605	Drexel 67 - Charlotte 55	-15
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Rhode Island 75	0.739	Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Rhode Island 66	-9
George Washington 64 - Kent State 75	0.818	George Washington 69 - Kent State 77	-3
Gonzaga 80 - UCLA 75	0.664	Gonzaga 83 - UCLA 63	-15
Houston 73 - Wisconsin 63	0.77	Houston 63 - Wisconsin 65	12
Indiana 78 - Jackson State 53	0.963	Indiana 70 - Jackson State 35	-10
IUPUI 76 - Unranked 59		IUPUI 61 - Unranked 41
Kansas State 62 - Illinois 77	0.86	Kansas State 64 - Illinois 72	-7
Lehigh 69 - Columbia 70	0.526	Lehigh 79 - Columbia 72	-8
Long Beach State 67 - Murray State 78	0.823	Long Beach State 43 - Murray State 80	26
Maine 67 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.588	Maine 56 - Central Connecticut State 64	11
Marshall 75 - UL Lafayette 67	0.743	Marshall 93 - UL Lafayette 79	-6
Mercer 74 - Bucknell 69	0.674	Mercer 78 - Bucknell 68	-5
Merrimack 64 - Hartford 65	0.534	Merrimack 75 - Hartford 60	-16
Miami OH 94 - Unranked 53		Miami OH 99 - Unranked 47
Missouri State 71 - East Tennessee State 67	0.604	Missouri State 76 - East Tennessee State 77	5
Nebraska 81 - Tennessee State 58	0.962	Nebraska 79 - Tennessee State 73	17
Nevada 69 - George Mason 75	0.689	Nevada 88 - George Mason 69	-25
New Hampshire 73 - Quinnipiac 67	0.705	New Hampshire 84 - Quinnipiac 69	-9
Norfolk State 86 - Unranked 56		Norfolk State 95 - Unranked 20
North Alabama 84 - Unranked 58		North Alabama 105 - Unranked 50
North Carolina 84 - UNC Asheville 64	0.926	North Carolina 72 - UNC Asheville 53	1
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 58		North Carolina Central 110 - Unranked 32
Northwestern 75 - Georgia 68	0.724	Northwestern 78 - Georgia 62	-9
Notre Dame 92 - Unranked 50		Notre Dame 90 - Unranked 64
Oakland 72 - Rice 68	0.595	Oakland 76 - Rice 73	1
Oral Roberts 89 - Unranked 60		Oral Roberts 91 - Unranked 31
Portland State 68 - Portland 71	0.583	Portland State 54 - Portland 69	12
Providence 72 - Virginia 66	0.689	Providence 40 - Virginia 58	24
Rider 64 - Middle Tennessee 72	0.739	Rider 54 - Middle Tennessee 60	-2
Saint Johns 90 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.967	Saint Johns 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	22
Saint Louis 82 - Illinois State 65	0.91	Saint Louis 82 - Illinois State 76	11
Saint Marys 69 - Oregon 73	0.589	Saint Marys 62 - Oregon 50	-16
Saint Peters 74 - LIU Brooklyn 60	0.87	Saint Peters 64 - LIU Brooklyn 62	12
San Jose State 66 - Northern Colorado 70	0.648	San Jose State 75 - Northern Colorado 74	-5
Seattle 91 - Unranked 54		Seattle 89 - Unranked 40
South Carolina 73 - Wofford 67	0.661	South Carolina 85 - Wofford 74	-5
South Carolina State 67 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.595	South Carolina State 78 - South Carolina Upstate 82	2
South Dakota 88 - Unranked 54		South Dakota 99 - Unranked 58
South Dakota State 79 - Washington 68	0.773	South Dakota State 76 - Washington 87	22
Southern 84 - Unranked 58		Southern 109 - Unranked 53
Stanford 77 - North Carolina AT 57	0.933	Stanford 79 - North Carolina AT 65	6
Tennessee Tech 65 - Lipscomb 72	0.715	Tennessee Tech 88 - Lipscomb 77	-18
Texas Pan American 67 - Cal State Fullerton 79	0.815	Texas Pan American 72 - Cal State Fullerton 67	-17
Texas Tech 87 - Omaha 54	0.989	Texas Tech 96 - Omaha 40	-23
Towson 69 - Pennsylvania 71	0.568	Towson 76 - Pennsylvania 61	-17
Tulane 69 - Toledo 74	0.633	Tulane 67 - Toledo 68	-4
UC Davis 74 - Sacramento State 62	0.826	UC Davis 63 - Sacramento State 75	24
UMBC 69 - American 62	0.653	UMBC 98 - American 67	-24
Vermont 72 - Evansville 56	0.876	Vermont 58 - Evansville 49	7
Wake Forest 80 - Kennesaw St 61	0.928	Wake Forest 92 - Kennesaw St 61	-12
Wright State 67 - James Madison 75	0.695	Wright State 76 - James Madison 78	-6
Yale 77 - Southern Utah 62	0.853	Yale 85 - Southern Utah 88	18

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 72 - Denver 60	0.828	Air Force 66 - Denver 65	11
Akron 73 - Evansville 59	0.817	Akron 69 - Evansville 60	5
Albany 64 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.536	Albany 64 - Eastern Illinois 62	0
Appalachian State 62 - Vermont 71	0.805	Appalachian State 63 - Vermont 65	-7
Arizona State 65 - Baylor 83	0.918	Arizona State 63 - Baylor 75	-6
Bowling Green 70 - Southern Utah 71	0.501	Bowling Green 73 - Southern Utah 87	13
Brigham Young 85 - Texas Southern 55	0.963	Brigham Young 81 - Texas Southern 64	13
Bucknell 73 - Rider 71	0.563	Bucknell 79 - Rider 85	8
Cal State Northridge 85 - Unranked 58		Cal State Northridge 71 - Unranked 62
California 59 - Seton Hall 81	0.923	California 59 - Seton Hall 62	-19
Campbell 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.897	Campbell 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	4
Canisius 74 - Coppin State 64	0.768	Canisius 76 - Coppin State 75	9
Coastal Carolina 66 - Toledo 76	0.727	Coastal Carolina 70 - Toledo 79	-1
Connecticut 75 - Auburn 72	0.594	Connecticut 115 - Auburn 109	-3
Cornell 83 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.923	Cornell 93 - Saint Francis Penn 80	8
Delaware 68 - Oakland 75	0.676	Delaware 73 - Oakland 81	1
East Tennessee State 68 - Kent State 71	0.588	East Tennessee State 57 - Kent State 51	-9
Eastern Michigan 72 - Western Illinois 70	0.547	Eastern Michigan 72 - Western Illinois 68	-2
Fairfield 70 - Stony Brook 66	0.645	Fairfield 83 - Stony Brook 78	-1
Florida 74 - Ohio State 68	0.667	Florida 71 - Ohio State 68	3
Florida International 75 - North Dakota 63	0.839	Florida International 65 - North Dakota 56	3
Florida State 80 - Boston 61	0.895	Florida State 81 - Boston 80	18
Fordham 64 - Rice 74	0.783	Fordham 84 - Rice 74	-20
Gardner Webb 86 - Unranked 57		Gardner Webb 90 - Unranked 78
Grambling State 80 - Unranked 59		Grambling State 71 - Unranked 61
Grand Canyon 94 - Unranked 50		Grand Canyon 82 - Unranked 47
Harvard 69 - Colgate 74	0.641	Harvard 89 - Colgate 84	-10
Hofstra 95 - Unranked 54		Hofstra 87 - Unranked 49
Holy Cross 78 - Unranked 62		Holy Cross 95 - Unranked 52
Idaho 66 - Cal Poly 69	0.586	Idaho 63 - Cal Poly 67	1
Illinois State 69 - Buffalo 83	0.913	Illinois State 90 - Buffalo 106	2
Jacksonville State 66 - Drexel 65	0.52	Jacksonville State 72 - Drexel 64	-7
Long Beach State 75 - Wright State 77	0.563	Long Beach State 85 - Wright State 76	-11
Louisiana Tech 81 - UL Monroe 60	0.906	Louisiana Tech 96 - UL Monroe 74	-1
Loyola Ill 73 - Michigan State 74	0.525	Loyola Ill 61 - Michigan State 63	1
Loyola MD 81 - Unranked 58		Loyola MD 69 - Unranked 42
Massachusetts 74 - UMass Lowell 70	0.614	Massachusetts 92 - UMass Lowell 81	-7
Mercer 67 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.553	Mercer 58 - Middle Tennessee 82	22
Michigan 82 - Tarleton State 57	0.987	Michigan 65 - Tarleton State 54	14
Milwaukee 63 - Yale 75	0.816	Milwaukee 56 - Yale 69	1
Minnesota 81 - Jacksonville 58	0.959	Minnesota 55 - Jacksonville 44	12
Missouri State 75 - George Washington 63	0.791	Missouri State 72 - George Washington 54	-6
Monmouth 71 - Princeton 76	0.711	Monmouth 76 - Princeton 64	-17
Montana 61 - UC San Diego 76	0.86	Montana 71 - UC San Diego 61	-25
Murray State 68 - James Madison 67	0.536	Murray State 74 - James Madison 62	-11
Navy 89 - Unranked 50		Navy 89 - Unranked 40
Nevada 74 - Washington 71	0.589	Nevada 81 - Washington 62	-16
Nevada Las Vegas 92 - Unranked 53		Nevada Las Vegas 101 - Unranked 45
New Mexico State 98 - Unranked 47		New Mexico State 94 - Unranked 67
New Orleans 74 - Central Arkansas 68	0.682	New Orleans 90 - Central Arkansas 63	-21
NJ Tech 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.548	NJ Tech 62 - Fairleigh Dickinson 54	-6
Northern Arizona 68 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.644	Northern Arizona 56 - Cal State Fullerton 73	13
Notre Dame 67 - Texas AM 69	0.579	Notre Dame 67 - Texas AM 73	4
Oklahoma 90 - Houston Baptist 52	0.993	Oklahoma 57 - Houston Baptist 40	21
Oregon 67 - Houston 76	0.709	Oregon 49 - Houston 78	20
Pepperdine 65 - Texas Christian 77	0.803	Pepperdine 64 - Texas Christian 73	-3
Pittsburgh 65 - Vanderbilt 71	0.678	Pittsburgh 52 - Vanderbilt 68	10
Radford 68 - William and Mary 62	0.725	Radford 67 - William and Mary 54	-7
Saint Louis 75 - Stephen F Austin 67	0.739	Saint Louis 79 - Stephen F Austin 68	-3
Saint Marys 66 - Wisconsin 69	0.587	Saint Marys 55 - Wisconsin 61	3
Santa Clara 77 - Fresno State 67	0.771	Santa Clara 52 - Fresno State 59	17
South Dakota State 74 - George Mason 72	0.538	South Dakota State 80 - George Mason 76	-2
South Florida 74 - Hampton 59	0.893	South Florida 58 - Hampton 52	9
Southern Methodist 77 - Sam Houston State 63	0.798	Southern Methodist 75 - Sam Houston State 66	5
Tennessee Martin 82 - Unranked 60		Tennessee Martin 103 - Unranked 43
Texas 78 - Cal Baptist 63	0.919	Texas 68 - Cal Baptist 44	-9
Texas El Paso 78 - Florida AM 58	0.943	Texas El Paso 67 - Florida AM 53	6
Texas San Antonio 71 - Lamar 67	0.606	Texas San Antonio 79 - Lamar 73	-2
Texas State 91 - Unranked 52		Texas State 92 - Unranked 47
UC Santa Barbara 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 55	0.964	UC Santa Barbara 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	-1
UNC Greensboro 89 - Unranked 53		UNC Greensboro 80 - Unranked 61
UNC Wilmington 67 - Southern Miss 63	0.61	UNC Wilmington 66 - Southern Miss 80	18
Unranked 50 - Butler 90		Unranked 51 - Butler 84
Utah Valley 73 - Nicholls State 67	0.757	Utah Valley 74 - Nicholls State 63	-5
Valparaiso 65 - Tulane 71	0.677	Valparaiso 68 - Tulane 64	-10
Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Syracuse 69	0.544	Virginia Commonwealth 67 - Syracuse 55	-13
Virginia Military Institute 68 - Presbyterian 69	0.541	Virginia Military Institute 54 - Presbyterian 59	4
Virginia Tech 71 - Memphis 74	0.61	Virginia Tech 61 - Memphis 69	5
Western Kentucky 80 - Alabama AM 56	0.959	Western Kentucky 88 - Alabama AM 62	-2
Xavier 74 - Iowa State 65	0.754	Xavier 70 - Iowa State 82	21

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 77 - New Mexico 70	0.705	Alabama Birmingham 86 - New Mexico 73	-6
Arizona State 73 - Syracuse 76	0.583	Arizona State 84 - Syracuse 92	5
Auburn 73 - Loyola Ill 76	0.573	Auburn 62 - Loyola Ill 53	-12
Baylor 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 60	0.878	Baylor 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 61	8
Connecticut 72 - Michigan State 73	0.531	Connecticut 60 - Michigan State 64	3
Drake 78 - Belmont 72	0.624	Drake 69 - Belmont 74	11
Hawaii 73 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.657	Hawaii 88 - Illinois Chicago 80	-2
Iona 69 - Alabama 83	0.864	Iona 72 - Alabama 68	-18
Kansas 78 - North Texas 64	0.867	Kansas 71 - North Texas 59	2
Miami 75 - Dayton 66	0.749	Miami 60 - Dayton 76	25
Mississippi State 73 - Louisville 68	0.659	Mississippi State 58 - Louisville 72	19
New Orleans 70 - Presbyterian 68	0.537	New Orleans 66 - Presbyterian 68	4
Richmond 71 - Maryland 73	0.545	Richmond 80 - Maryland 86	4
San Diego State 75 - Georgetown 67	0.71	San Diego State 73 - Georgetown 56	-9
South Alabama 70 - San Diego 68	0.549	South Alabama 68 - San Diego 67	1
Southern California 85 - Saint Josephs 60	0.948	Southern California 70 - Saint Josephs 55	10
Southern Miss 58 - UC San Diego 80	0.934	Southern Miss 56 - UC San Diego 55	-23
Towson 63 - San Francisco 77	0.882	Towson 61 - San Francisco 71	-4
Virginia Military Institute 72 - Central Arkansas 69	0.595	Virginia Military Institute 73 - Central Arkansas 67	-3

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 69 - Loyola Ill 78	0.737	Arizona State 59 - Loyola Ill 77	9
Arkansas State 68 - Morehead State 66	0.579	Arkansas State 51 - Morehead State 75	26
Baylor 77 - Michigan State 70	0.698	Baylor 75 - Michigan State 58	-10
Belmont 77 - Iona 75	0.552	Belmont 72 - Iona 65	-5
Boise State 79 - Cal State Bakersfield 56	0.941	Boise State 39 - Cal State Bakersfield 46	30
Boston College 79 - Columbia 60	0.925	Boston College 73 - Columbia 60	6
Brown 77 - Bryant 69	0.788	Brown 59 - Bryant 65	14
Clemson 86 - Charleston Southern 54	0.981	Clemson 91 - Charleston Southern 59	0
DePaul 79 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.906	DePaul 77 - Northern Kentucky 68	4
Drake 71 - Alabama 78	0.648	Drake 71 - Alabama 80	2
Duke 73 - Gonzaga 78	0.639	Duke 84 - Gonzaga 81	-8
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Western Michigan 63	0.821	Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Western Michigan 67	4
Georgetown 77 - Saint Josephs 68	0.776	Georgetown 74 - Saint Josephs 77	12
Georgia Tech 74 - Georgia Southern 64	0.769	Georgia Tech 61 - Georgia Southern 59	8
Hawaii 68 - South Alabama 74	0.66	Hawaii 69 - South Alabama 72	-3
Howard 74 - Austin Peay 72	0.566	Howard 67 - Austin Peay 69	4
Illinois 88 - Texas Pan American 58	0.966	Illinois 94 - Texas Pan American 85	21
Illinois Chicago 63 - San Diego 73	0.758	Illinois Chicago 52 - San Diego 64	2
Incarnate Word 71 - SE Missouri State 69	0.55	Incarnate Word 76 - SE Missouri State 79	5
Iowa 90 - Portland State 61	0.963	Iowa 85 - Portland State 51	-5
IPFW 73 - Southeast Louisiana 64	0.763	IPFW 74 - Southeast Louisiana 66	1
Kansas 86 - Dayton 60	0.946	Kansas 73 - Dayton 74	27
Kentucky 83 - North Florida 57	0.974	Kentucky 86 - North Florida 52	-8
Memphis 77 - Iowa State 67	0.775	Memphis 59 - Iowa State 78	29
Mississippi 90 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.988	Mississippi 73 - Mississippi Valley State 58	20
Missouri 68 - Wichita State 73	0.639	Missouri 55 - Wichita State 61	1
Montana 70 - Southern Miss 62	0.684	Montana 74 - Southern Miss 62	-4
Montana State 70 - Portland 71	0.501	Montana State 69 - Portland 66	-4
New Orleans 74 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.591	New Orleans 79 - Virginia Military Institute 71	-5
North Carolina AT 64 - Samford 72	0.743	North Carolina AT 75 - Samford 77	-6
North Texas 69 - Miami 67	0.571	North Texas 63 - Miami 69	8
Ohio 95 - Unranked 51		Ohio 88 - Unranked 68
Old Dominion 63 - Longwood 64	0.501	Old Dominion 62 - Longwood 61	-2
Oral Roberts 64 - Oklahoma State 83	0.873	Oral Roberts 77 - Oklahoma State 78	-18
Pacific 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	0.809	Pacific 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 50	-13
Penn State 63 - Louisiana State 79	0.824	Penn State 63 - Louisiana State 68	-11
Presbyterian 70 - Central Arkansas 65	0.624	Presbyterian 75 - Central Arkansas 66	-4
Purdue 92 - Omaha 52	0.995	Purdue 97 - Omaha 40	-17
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Mcneese State 70	0.569	Saint Francis Brooklyn 59 - Mcneese State 71	11
San Diego State 69 - Southern California 74	0.638	San Diego State 43 - Southern California 58	10
San Francisco 74 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.574	San Francisco 63 - Alabama Birmingham 61	0
Southern Illinois 69 - Alcorn State 59	0.744	Southern Illinois 62 - Alcorn State 59	7
Syracuse 73 - Auburn 77	0.603	Syracuse 68 - Auburn 89	17
Tennessee 83 - Tennessee Tech 56	0.958	Tennessee 80 - Tennessee Tech 69	16
Towson 68 - New Mexico 73	0.662	Towson 73 - New Mexico 58	-20
Tulsa 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	0.891	Tulsa 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	3
UC Riverside 75 - Florida AM 59	0.889	UC Riverside 60 - Florida AM 49	5
Virginia 80 - Lehigh 55	0.958	Virginia 61 - Lehigh 43	7
Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Connecticut 71	0.737	Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Connecticut 70	-1
Virginia Tech 68 - Xavier 71	0.585	Virginia Tech 58 - Xavier 59	-2
Wake Forest 74 - Oregon State 70	0.618	Wake Forest 80 - Oregon State 77	1
West Virginia 83 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.926	West Virginia 80 - Eastern Kentucky 77	14
Wyoming 96 - Unranked 49		Wyoming 108 - Unranked 59

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 92 - Unranked 54		Abilene Christian 89 - Unranked 54
Air Force 72 - Idaho State 57	0.903	Air Force 59 - Idaho State 48	4
Arizona 88 - Sacramento State 53	0.983	Arizona 105 - Sacramento State 59	-11
Army 71 - Marist 65	0.683	Army 65 - Marist 61	2
Ball State 69 - Indiana State 75	0.647	Ball State 97 - Indiana State 75	-28
Bradley 72 - Maine 56	0.868	Bradley 71 - Maine 39	-16
Cal Baptist 92 - Unranked 54		Cal Baptist 85 - Unranked 38
Central Florida 70 - Oklahoma 75	0.653	Central Florida 62 - Oklahoma 65	-2
Chattanooga 76 - College of Charleston 67	0.765	Chattanooga 66 - College of Charleston 68	11
Cincinnati 78 - Monmouth 65	0.856	Cincinnati 59 - Monmouth 61	15
Cleveland State 90 - Unranked 54		Cleveland State 89 - Unranked 47
Colorado State 78 - Northern Colorado 64	0.883	Colorado State 88 - Northern Colorado 79	5
Creighton 83 - SIU Edwardsville 57	0.947	Creighton 70 - SIU Edwardsville 65	21
Davidson 82 - Robert Morris 58	0.959	Davidson 88 - Robert Morris 70	6
Dixie State 65 - Weber State 79	0.884	Dixie State 70 - Weber State 87	3
East Carolina 78 - Coppin State 60	0.89	East Carolina 70 - Coppin State 68	16
East Tennessee State 89 - Unranked 54		East Tennessee State 92 - Unranked 74
Elon 66 - Jacksonville State 70	0.638	Elon 81 - Jacksonville State 93	8
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Southeast Louisiana 64	0.845	Florida Gulf Coast 90 - Southeast Louisiana 71	-6
Gardner Webb 71 - Western Carolina 70	0.543	Gardner Webb 87 - Western Carolina 59	-27
Green Bay 84 - Unranked 58		Green Bay 77 - Unranked 48
Harvard 66 - Northeastern 67	0.521	Harvard 77 - Northeastern 57	-21
High Point 85 - Unranked 56		High Point 90 - Unranked 60
Hofstra 80 - Detroit 66	0.859	Hofstra 98 - Detroit 84	0
Holy Cross 61 - New Hampshire 76	0.877	Holy Cross 55 - New Hampshire 70	0
Illinois State 90 - Unranked 59		Illinois State 81 - Unranked 71
Incarnate Word 67 - Montana State 72	0.662	Incarnate Word 64 - Montana State 83	14
Indiana 79 - Marshall 66	0.863	Indiana 90 - Marshall 79	2
Jacksonville 85 - Unranked 55		Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 54
Liberty 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.823	Liberty 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	1
LIU Brooklyn 71 - Delaware State 61	0.777	LIU Brooklyn 99 - Delaware State 65	-24
Louisville 70 - Maryland 72	0.564	Louisville 63 - Maryland 55	-10
Loyola Marymount 74 - Prairie View 65	0.765	Loyola Marymount 83 - Prairie View 80	6
Marquette 83 - Northern Illinois 58	0.944	Marquette 80 - Northern Illinois 66	11
Massachusetts 69 - Rutgers 73	0.575	Massachusetts 85 - Rutgers 83	-6
Mercer 88 - Unranked 55		Mercer 88 - Unranked 49
Middle Tennessee 88 - Unranked 54		Middle Tennessee 96 - Unranked 48
Mississippi State 74 - Richmond 69	0.652	Mississippi State 82 - Richmond 71	-6
Morehead State 63 - UMKC 68	0.668	Morehead State 70 - UMKC 62	-13
Mt St Marys 60 - Navy 71	0.797	Mt St Marys 40 - Navy 67	16
NC State 74 - Louisiana Tech 68	0.668	NC State 90 - Louisiana Tech 81	-3
Nebraska 73 - South Dakota 66	0.69	Nebraska 83 - South Dakota 70	-6
Nevada Las Vegas 67 - UCLA 81	0.866	Nevada Las Vegas 51 - UCLA 73	8
Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 54		Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 58
North Carolina AT 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 66	0.591	North Carolina AT 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	-3
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 58		North Carolina Central 96 - Unranked 56
North Dakota State 75 - Idaho 60	0.845	North Dakota State 90 - Idaho 73	-2
Oregon State 68 - Penn State 69	0.535	Oregon State 45 - Penn State 60	14
Pepperdine 66 - Grand Canyon 76	0.753	Pepperdine 56 - Grand Canyon 59	-7
Pittsburgh 70 - UMBC 62	0.689	Pittsburgh 77 - UMBC 87	18
Portland 75 - SE Missouri State 68	0.686	Portland 74 - SE Missouri State 68	1
Providence 78 - Saint Peters 59	0.944	Providence 85 - Saint Peters 71	5
Rhode Island 75 - Georgia State 70	0.636	Rhode Island 94 - Georgia State 59	-30
Saint Bonaventure 83 - Northern Iowa 58	0.966	Saint Bonaventure 80 - Northern Iowa 90	35
Saint Johns 86 - NJ Tech 62	0.951	Saint Johns 77 - NJ Tech 68	15
Samford 74 - Mcneese State 66	0.773	Samford 83 - Mcneese State 75	0
Santa Clara 71 - UC Irvine 72	0.51	Santa Clara 64 - UC Irvine 69	4
Seattle 76 - Saint Thomas 70	0.717	Seattle 81 - Saint Thomas 64	-11
South Carolina Upstate 63 - Furman 80	0.906	South Carolina Upstate 77 - Furman 87	-7
Stetson 60 - Campbell 68	0.751	Stetson 58 - Campbell 60	-6
Temple 77 - Delaware 71	0.667	Temple 75 - Delaware 74	5
Texas AM CC 85 - Unranked 56		Texas AM CC 88 - Unranked 73
Texas Tech 88 - Lamar 58	0.975	Texas Tech 89 - Lamar 57	-2
UL Lafayette 69 - Jackson State 60	0.747	UL Lafayette 70 - Jackson State 75	14
UMass Lowell 88 - Unranked 54		UMass Lowell 101 - Unranked 38
UNC Greensboro 64 - Vermont 70	0.69	UNC Greensboro 54 - Vermont 51	-9
Utah 69 - Brigham Young 74	0.631	Utah 64 - Brigham Young 75	6
Utah State 85 - Texas Arlington 57	0.942	Utah State 80 - Texas Arlington 61	9
Utah Valley 79 - Denver 61	0.923	Utah Valley 77 - Denver 68	9
Valparaiso 84 - Unranked 58		Valparaiso 106 - Unranked 69
Wake Forest 67 - Louisiana State 81	0.845	Wake Forest 61 - Louisiana State 75	0
Washington 75 - Winthrop 70	0.623	Washington 74 - Winthrop 82	13
Washington State 82 - Eastern Washington 64	0.922	Washington State 71 - Eastern Washington 76	23
Western Illinois 68 - Miami OH 76	0.696	Western Illinois 79 - Miami OH 67	-20
Western Kentucky 79 - Tennessee Martin 60	0.951	Western Kentucky 81 - Tennessee Martin 66	4
Western Michigan 65 - IPFW 72	0.694	Western Michigan 93 - IPFW 85	-15
William and Mary 81 - Unranked 61		William and Mary 87 - Unranked 50

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 84 - Miami 67	0.892	Alabama 96 - Miami 64	-15
Alabama State 71 - North Alabama 69	0.543	Alabama State 69 - North Alabama 81	14
Arkansas 82 - Pennsylvania 68	0.856	Arkansas 76 - Pennsylvania 60	-2
Arkansas State 65 - UMKC 69	0.594	Arkansas State 66 - UMKC 55	-15
Bellarmine 86 - Unranked 56		Bellarmine 75 - Unranked 37
Belmont 80 - Dayton 67	0.796	Belmont 61 - Dayton 63	15
Binghamton 83 - Unranked 57		Binghamton 110 - Unranked 41
Boston 69 - Merrimack 57	0.837	Boston 61 - Merrimack 60	11
Bowling Green 71 - Chicago State 69	0.562	Bowling Green 75 - Chicago State 57	-16
Bryant 66 - Dartmouth 76	0.757	Bryant 61 - Dartmouth 63	-8
Bucknell 74 - Siena 69	0.674	Bucknell 65 - Siena 56	-4
California 68 - Fresno State 67	0.529	California 65 - Fresno State 57	-7
Central Connecticut State 61 - Fordham 71	0.806	Central Connecticut State 83 - Fordham 89	-4
Colorado 75 - Stanford 69	0.665	Colorado 80 - Stanford 76	2
DePaul 81 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.861	DePaul 101 - Eastern Michigan 63	-23
Drake 71 - North Texas 64	0.677	Drake 54 - North Texas 57	10
Duquesne 72 - American 62	0.758	Duquesne 88 - American 79	1
Eastern Illinois 61 - Evansville 64	0.591	Eastern Illinois 54 - Evansville 70	13
Fairfield 72 - Loyola MD 61	0.782	Fairfield 70 - Loyola MD 75	16
Florida 83 - Troy 56	0.952	Florida 84 - Troy 45	-12
Florida Atlantic 67 - James Madison 72	0.696	Florida Atlantic 65 - James Madison 69	-1
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - IPFW 67	0.685	Florida Gulf Coast 85 - IPFW 78	-1
Florida International 71 - North Florida 64	0.726	Florida International 84 - North Florida 69	-8
Georgia 69 - Wofford 70	0.511	Georgia 65 - Wofford 68	2
Grambling State 66 - Morgan State 67	0.502	Grambling State 74 - Morgan State 59	-16
Hampton 65 - Norfolk State 75	0.779	Hampton 61 - Norfolk State 70	-1
Incarnate Word 66 - Portland 71	0.666	Incarnate Word 68 - Portland 77	4
Iona 69 - Kansas 83	0.884	Iona 83 - Kansas 96	-1
Kansas State 77 - North Dakota 61	0.912	Kansas State 84 - North Dakota 42	-26
Kennesaw St 73 - Charleston Southern 65	0.747	Kennesaw St 89 - Charleston Southern 52	-29
La Salle 60 - Villanova 83	0.949	La Salle 46 - Villanova 72	3
Lehigh 70 - Saint Francis Penn 71	0.549	Lehigh 68 - Saint Francis Penn 79	10
Lipscomb 90 - Unranked 55		Lipscomb 86 - Unranked 67
Milwaukee 68 - Alcorn State 64	0.629	Milwaukee 57 - Alcorn State 61	8
Montana State 76 - SE Missouri State 69	0.684	Montana State 75 - SE Missouri State 68	0
Northwestern State 64 - Stephen F Austin 78	0.827	Northwestern State 68 - Stephen F Austin 72	-10
Princeton 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	0.961	Princeton 89 - Fairleigh Dickinson 79	12
Quinnipiac 70 - Brown 71	0.55	Quinnipiac 61 - Brown 72	10
Radford 64 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.795	Radford 88 - Eastern Kentucky 75	-22
San Diego 75 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.863	San Diego 52 - Cal State Northridge 56	17
Seton Hall 89 - Bethune Cookman 51	0.99	Seton Hall 84 - Bethune Cookman 70	24
South Carolina 80 - Rider 59	0.948	South Carolina 65 - Rider 58	14
South Carolina State 66 - The Citadel 79	0.807	South Carolina State 79 - The Citadel 91	-1
Southeast Louisiana 69 - Western Michigan 68	0.509	Southeast Louisiana 77 - Western Michigan 81	5
Southern Methodist 83 - UL Monroe 61	0.882	Southern Methodist 74 - UL Monroe 67	15
Tennessee State 64 - Southern 71	0.705	Tennessee State 80 - Southern 82	-5
UC Davis 92 - Unranked 53		UC Davis 60 - Unranked 79
UNC Asheville 86 - Unranked 58		UNC Asheville 106 - Unranked 36
Yale 75 - Stony Brook 62	0.845	Yale 81 - Stony Brook 85	17

Number of DI Games: 356
Number Correct: 258 = 72.4%
Expected Number Correct: 264.352 = 74.2%
Average Error: 9.9
Average Signed Error: 0.64

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 86 - Unranked 53		Abilene Christian 88 - Unranked 47
Appalachian State 72 - Hartford 67	0.646	Appalachian State 69 - Hartford 59	-5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Unranked 59		Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Unranked 70
Boston College 73 - South Florida 69	0.612	Boston College 64 - South Florida 49	-11
Buffalo 96 - Unranked 54		Buffalo 94 - Unranked 49
Cal State Fullerton 70 - Wyoming 72	0.565	Cal State Fullerton 66 - Wyoming 79	11
Canisius 72 - Cornell 70	0.565	Canisius 75 - Cornell 89	16
Colgate 76 - Niagara 65	0.783	Colgate 59 - Niagara 70	22
Columbia 69 - Lafayette 70	0.514	Columbia 50 - Lafayette 73	22
Gardner Webb 70 - North Carolina Central 62	0.685	Gardner Webb 83 - North Carolina Central 58	-17
Gonzaga 86 - Tarleton State 56	0.98	Gonzaga 64 - Tarleton State 55	21
Grambling State 63 - Norfolk State 66	0.596	Grambling State 63 - Norfolk State 70	4
Hampton 72 - Morgan State 66	0.663	Hampton 47 - Morgan State 60	19
Houston Baptist 84 - Unranked 64		Houston Baptist 100 - Unranked 62
Illinois 76 - Notre Dame 73	0.588	Illinois 82 - Notre Dame 72	-7
Kentucky 88 - Central Michigan 63	0.958	Kentucky 85 - Central Michigan 57	-3
Loyola Marymount 70 - Grand Canyon 68	0.54	Loyola Marymount 72 - Grand Canyon 78	8
Missouri 92 - Unranked 51		Missouri 91 - Unranked 59
Murray State 91 - Unranked 50		Murray State 98 - Unranked 61
Oral Roberts 68 - Tulsa 76	0.697	Oral Roberts 87 - Tulsa 80	-15
Oregon 78 - Montana 64	0.82	Oregon 87 - Montana 47	-26
Saint Marys 78 - UC Riverside 56	0.926	Saint Marys 67 - UC Riverside 50	5
South Alabama 88 - Unranked 53		South Alabama 69 - Unranked 66
Texas 79 - Sam Houston State 59	0.916	Texas 73 - Sam Houston State 57	4
Texas Christian 80 - Austin Peay 65	0.836	Texas Christian 68 - Austin Peay 51	-2
Texas San Antonio 89 - Unranked 58		Texas San Antonio 75 - Unranked 65
Toledo 92 - Unranked 53		Toledo 106 - Unranked 36
UC Santa Barbara 69 - Texas Arlington 68	0.55	UC Santa Barbara 62 - Texas Arlington 70	9
Utah State 95 - Unranked 49		Utah State 93 - Unranked 63
Vanderbilt 88 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.953	Vanderbilt 75 - Mississippi Valley State 36	-9
Virginia 76 - Iowa 69	0.692	Virginia 74 - Iowa 75	8

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 67 - Siena 68	0.503	Army 67 - Siena 83	15
Boise State 71 - Saint Louis 69	0.565	Boise State 82 - Saint Louis 86	6
Butler 96 - Unranked 48		Butler 68 - Unranked 57
Campbell 84 - Unranked 54		Campbell 83 - Unranked 39
Charlotte 65 - Davidson 76	0.77	Charlotte 58 - Davidson 75	6
College of Charleston 75 - Tulane 67	0.733	College of Charleston 81 - Tulane 77	4
Connecticut 84 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	0.975	Connecticut 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	22
Creighton 80 - North Dakota State 64	0.862	Creighton 80 - North Dakota State 55	-9
Delaware 74 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.707	Delaware 75 - LIU Brooklyn 67	-1
Dixie State 88 - Unranked 60		Dixie State 99 - Unranked 61
East Carolina 67 - Old Dominion 70	0.577	East Carolina 63 - Old Dominion 62	-4
Georgetown 81 - Longwood 61	0.899	Georgetown 91 - Longwood 83	12
High Point 60 - Furman 76	0.856	High Point 70 - Furman 74	-12
Houston 87 - Northwestern State 53	0.966	Houston 99 - Northwestern State 58	-7
Kent State 91 - Unranked 53		Kent State 107 - Unranked 41
Manhattan 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.598	Manhattan 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	-1
Marquette 83 - Jackson State 57	0.954	Marquette 83 - Jackson State 54	-3
Mississippi 78 - Rider 67	0.765	Mississippi 75 - Rider 51	-13
Mt St Marys 72 - Howard 62	0.775	Mt St Marys 72 - Howard 70	8
Nevada 83 - Pepperdine 69	0.833	Nevada 79 - Pepperdine 66	1
New Mexico State 76 - New Mexico 67	0.745	New Mexico State 94 - New Mexico 101	16
NJ Tech 68 - Sacred Heart 67	0.531	NJ Tech 75 - Sacred Heart 70	-4
North Dakota 85 - Unranked 58		North Dakota 72 - Unranked 55
Northeastern 77 - Detroit 63	0.831	Northeastern 66 - Detroit 56	4
Ohio State 74 - Duke 79	0.637	Ohio State 71 - Duke 66	-10
Omaha 75 - SIU Edwardsville 65	0.745	Omaha 65 - SIU Edwardsville 75	20
Pittsburgh 69 - Minnesota 76	0.709	Pittsburgh 53 - Minnesota 54	-6
Purdue 77 - Florida State 74	0.562	Purdue 93 - Florida State 65	-25
Radford 86 - Unranked 52		Radford 79 - Unranked 70
Rice 68 - Texas State 73	0.648	Rice 69 - Texas State 80	6
Rutgers 70 - Clemson 71	0.544	Rutgers 74 - Clemson 64	-11
Samford 88 - Unranked 61		Samford 83 - Unranked 58
San Diego State 82 - Long Beach State 59	0.932	San Diego State 72 - Long Beach State 47	-2
San Jose State 69 - South Dakota 75	0.668	San Jose State 61 - South Dakota 52	-15
Santa Clara 74 - Hawaii 67	0.673	Santa Clara 70 - Hawaii 58	-5
South Dakota State 78 - Prairie View 64	0.839	South Dakota State 99 - Prairie View 90	5
Syracuse 75 - Indiana 74	0.517	Syracuse 112 - Indiana 110	-1
Tennessee 84 - Presbyterian 55	0.958	Tennessee 86 - Presbyterian 44	-13
Tennessee Tech 64 - Chattanooga 72	0.723	Tennessee Tech 65 - Chattanooga 82	9
Texas AM 80 - New Orleans 59	0.932	Texas AM 85 - New Orleans 65	1
UNC Greensboro 76 - Elon 61	0.872	UNC Greensboro 74 - Elon 61	2
Virginia Military Institute 83 - Unranked 59		Virginia Military Institute 88 - Unranked 40
Wake Forest 76 - Northwestern 74	0.556	Wake Forest 77 - Northwestern 73	-2
West Virginia 83 - Bellarmine 63	0.911	West Virginia 74 - Bellarmine 55	1
Western Kentucky 93 - Unranked 53		Western Kentucky 105 - Unranked 35

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 86 - Unranked 53		Abilene Christian 108 - Unranked 65
Akron 74 - Marshall 72	0.557	Akron 88 - Marshall 86	0
Alabama Birmingham 66 - East Tennessee State 70	0.616	Alabama Birmingham 70 - East Tennessee State 56	-18
Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 55		Appalachian State 90 - Unranked 29
Arizona State 80 - Washington State 72	0.703	Arizona State 29 - Washington State 51	30
Arkansas 88 - Central Arkansas 62	0.945	Arkansas 97 - Central Arkansas 60	-11
Auburn 79 - Central Florida 69	0.767	Auburn 85 - Central Florida 68	-7
Bradley 69 - Northern Iowa 70	0.539	Bradley 71 - Northern Iowa 69	-3
Central Connecticut State 66 - Holy Cross 68	0.535	Central Connecticut State 73 - Holy Cross 67	-8
Coastal Carolina 67 - South Carolina 79	0.773	Coastal Carolina 80 - South Carolina 56	-36
Colorado State 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.764	Colorado State 86 - Arkansas Little Rock 55	-21
Dayton 84 - Alabama State 54	0.973	Dayton 93 - Alabama State 54	-9
Dixie State 88 - Unranked 60		Dixie State 99 - Unranked 67
Duquesne 75 - Bowling Green 70	0.622	Duquesne 70 - Bowling Green 78	13
Evansville 66 - Southern Illinois 71	0.645	Evansville 52 - Southern Illinois 54	-3
Florida AM 80 - Unranked 58		Florida AM 76 - Unranked 63
Florida Atlantic 73 - Stetson 64	0.744	Florida Atlantic 83 - Stetson 73	-1
Florida International 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.611	Florida International 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	-12
Fordham 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.727	Fordham 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 46	-14
Fresno State 73 - San Diego 66	0.707	Fresno State 63 - San Diego 43	-13
George Washington 68 - Boston 69	0.522	George Washington 54 - Boston 56	1
Georgia 73 - Memphis 75	0.555	Georgia 82 - Memphis 79	-5
Georgia Tech 67 - Wisconsin 74	0.675	Georgia Tech 66 - Wisconsin 70	-3
Harvard 69 - Rhode Island 73	0.604	Harvard 57 - Rhode Island 64	3
Hofstra 74 - Princeton 69	0.627	Hofstra 81 - Princeton 77	1
Illinois State 71 - Missouri State 73	0.558	Illinois State 79 - Missouri State 74	-7
Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 61		Incarnate Word 93 - Unranked 66
Iowa State 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.963	Iowa State 83 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	12
Kansas State 78 - Albany 59	0.901	Kansas State 71 - Albany 43	-9
Kennesaw St 61 - Mercer 74	0.794	Kennesaw St 71 - Mercer 73	-11
Louisiana State 82 - Ohio 67	0.836	Louisiana State 66 - Ohio 51	0
Louisiana Tech 77 - Texas Southern 65	0.812	Louisiana Tech 87 - Texas Southern 60	-15
Loyola Ill 75 - Indiana State 65	0.721	Loyola Ill 88 - Indiana State 76	-2
Loyola MD 77 - Chicago State 62	0.846	Loyola MD 78 - Chicago State 64	1
Marist 64 - Iona 74	0.753	Marist 71 - Iona 78	-3
Maryland 76 - Virginia Tech 70	0.664	Maryland 58 - Virginia Tech 62	10
Miami OH 62 - Cincinnati 78	0.867	Miami OH 58 - Cincinnati 59	-15
Michigan State 77 - Louisville 72	0.638	Michigan State 73 - Louisville 64	-4
Middle Tennessee 77 - Tennessee Martin 64	0.85	Middle Tennessee 73 - Tennessee Martin 61	1
Morehead State 65 - Georgia Southern 73	0.734	Morehead State 59 - Georgia Southern 51	-16
Navy 69 - William and Mary 67	0.562	Navy 75 - William and Mary 56	-17
NC State 81 - Nebraska 72	0.735	NC State 104 - Nebraska 100	5
North Alabama 79 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.879	North Alabama 72 - Mississippi Valley State 58	3
North Carolina 76 - Michigan 77	0.545	North Carolina 72 - Michigan 51	-22
Northern Illinois 71 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.724	Northern Illinois 55 - Eastern Illinois 45	-2
Oklahoma 73 - Florida 75	0.549	Oklahoma 74 - Florida 67	-9
Oklahoma State 74 - Wichita State 75	0.505	Oklahoma State 51 - Wichita State 60	8
Oregon 80 - UC Riverside 57	0.914	Oregon 71 - UC Riverside 65	17
Penn State 78 - Miami 71	0.69	Penn State 58 - Miami 63	12
Pennsylvania 64 - Villanova 80	0.89	Pennsylvania 56 - Villanova 71	-1
Providence 71 - Texas Tech 74	0.561	Providence 72 - Texas Tech 68	-7
Saint Bonaventure 81 - Coppin State 55	0.944	Saint Bonaventure 93 - Coppin State 81	14
Saint Francis Penn 72 - Bucknell 71	0.509	Saint Francis Penn 93 - Bucknell 67	-25
Saint Josephs 78 - Binghamton 66	0.807	Saint Josephs 79 - Binghamton 57	-10
Seattle 75 - Mcneese State 64	0.78	Seattle 78 - Mcneese State 62	-5
Seton Hall 83 - Wagner 59	0.939	Seton Hall 85 - Wagner 63	2
South Alabama 72 - Southern Miss 64	0.702	South Alabama 85 - Southern Miss 55	-22
South Carolina Upstate 65 - North Carolina Central 67	0.581	South Carolina Upstate 65 - North Carolina Central 67	0
Southern California 76 - Utah 71	0.648	Southern California 93 - Utah 73	-15
Southern Methodist 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.64	Southern Methodist 83 - Nevada Las Vegas 64	-13
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 54
Stony Brook 71 - American 64	0.711	Stony Brook 80 - American 57	-16
Temple 77 - La Salle 68	0.735	Temple 73 - La Salle 57	-7
Texas Pan American 71 - Texas AM CC 66	0.654	Texas Pan American 77 - Texas AM CC 83	11
Troy 86 - Unranked 57		Troy 81 - Unranked 48
UC Davis 68 - Pacific 71	0.57	UC Davis 63 - Pacific 57	-9
UCLA 77 - Colorado 73	0.615	UCLA 73 - Colorado 61	-8
UL Monroe 84 - Unranked 56		UL Monroe 104 - Unranked 67
UMass Lowell 71 - Brown 72	0.538	UMass Lowell 63 - Brown 73	9
UMBC 74 - Columbia 65	0.73	UMBC 98 - Columbia 60	-29
UNC Asheville 76 - The Citadel 71	0.641	UNC Asheville 65 - The Citadel 58	-2
UNC Wilmington 68 - Norfolk State 66	0.548	UNC Wilmington 69 - Norfolk State 74	7
Utah Valley 67 - Brigham Young 79	0.812	Utah Valley 72 - Brigham Young 65	-19
Vermont 74 - Dartmouth 58	0.888	Vermont 83 - Dartmouth 65	-2
Western Carolina 87 - Unranked 57		Western Carolina 102 - Unranked 47
Western Illinois 64 - Ball State 75	0.75	Western Illinois 93 - Ball State 80	-24
Winthrop 76 - Hartford 67	0.77	Winthrop 82 - Hartford 75	2
Wofford 71 - Richmond 72	0.517	Wofford 64 - Richmond 73	8
Xavier 85 - Central Michigan 65	0.931	Xavier 78 - Central Michigan 45	-13
Yale 78 - Lehigh 65	0.832	Yale 82 - Lehigh 72	3

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Belmont 77 - Lipscomb 67	0.755	Belmont 94 - Lipscomb 65	-19
Cal Baptist 77 - Cal Poly 64	0.838	Cal Baptist 64 - Cal Poly 55	4
California 70 - Oregon State 72	0.548	California 73 - Oregon State 61	-14
Charleston Southern 66 - Jacksonville 67	0.51	Charleston Southern 56 - Jacksonville 67	10
Cleveland State 62 - Northern Kentucky 71	0.739	Cleveland State 72 - Northern Kentucky 58	-23
Delaware State 60 - Delaware 79	0.897	Delaware State 48 - Delaware 59	-8
Drake 73 - Valparaiso 70	0.605	Drake 73 - Valparaiso 66	-4
Drexel 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.64	Drexel 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	-16
Eastern Washington 76 - Southern Utah 67	0.719	Eastern Washington 76 - Southern Utah 89	22
Grambling State 81 - Unranked 57		Grambling State 71 - Unranked 44
Grand Canyon 75 - Texas San Antonio 69	0.649	Grand Canyon 74 - Texas San Antonio 71	3
Green Bay 72 - Robert Morris 68	0.601	Green Bay 70 - Robert Morris 58	-8
Idaho State 69 - Portland State 74	0.679	Idaho State 55 - Portland State 63	3
Illinois Chicago 68 - Oakland 69	0.506	Illinois Chicago 77 - Oakland 81	3
IPFW 67 - Wright State 72	0.623	IPFW 73 - Wright State 86	8
IUPUI 71 - Detroit 72	0.52	IUPUI 45 - Detroit 69	23
James Madison 85 - Unranked 57		James Madison 96 - Unranked 54
Lafayette 70 - Sacred Heart 68	0.547	Lafayette 67 - Sacred Heart 74	9
Liberty 66 - Missouri 67	0.503	Liberty 66 - Missouri 45	-22
Milwaukee 70 - Youngstown State 69	0.508	Milwaukee 68 - Youngstown State 70	3
Mississippi State 82 - Lamar 59	0.919	Mississippi State 75 - Lamar 60	8
NJ Tech 82 - Unranked 56		NJ Tech 76 - Unranked 43
North Dakota State 88 - Unranked 52		North Dakota State 114 - Unranked 51
North Florida 89 - Unranked 58		North Florida 103 - Unranked 57
Northern Colorado 74 - Montana State 64	0.759	Northern Colorado 77 - Montana State 75	8
Sacramento State 64 - Montana 70	0.667	Sacramento State 58 - Montana 65	1
Saint Thomas 87 - Unranked 59		Saint Thomas 73 - Unranked 53
Sam Houston State 85 - Unranked 55		Sam Houston State 106 - Unranked 46
Texas Christian 82 - Oral Roberts 66	0.838	Texas Christian 71 - Oral Roberts 63	8
Towson 74 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.766	Towson 72 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0
UC San Diego 69 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.614	UC San Diego 83 - Eastern Michigan 74	-5
Utah State 70 - Saint Marys 71	0.536	Utah State 58 - Saint Marys 60	1
Weber State 73 - Northern Arizona 65	0.719	Weber State 67 - Northern Arizona 44	-15
Wyoming 75 - Denver 64	0.782	Wyoming 77 - Denver 64	-2

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 72 - Tulsa 70	0.572	Boise State 63 - Tulsa 58	-3
Boston College 71 - Notre Dame 77	0.658	Boston College 73 - Notre Dame 57	-22
Canisius 70 - Fairfield 66	0.628	Canisius 68 - Fairfield 74	10
Cornell 75 - Coppin State 62	0.811	Cornell 92 - Coppin State 77	-2
Furman 73 - College of Charleston 67	0.681	Furman 91 - College of Charleston 88	3
Houston 86 - Bryant 55	0.968	Houston 111 - Bryant 44	-36
Illinois 75 - Rutgers 70	0.625	Illinois 86 - Rutgers 51	-30
Iona 74 - Rider 70	0.632	Iona 80 - Rider 54	-22
Niagara 68 - Monmouth 74	0.641	Niagara 49 - Monmouth 57	2
North Carolina AT 82 - Unranked 58		North Carolina AT 97 - Unranked 55
Northeastern 70 - Colgate 67	0.575	Northeastern 74 - Colgate 69	-2
Portland 72 - Virginia Military Institute 68	0.623	Portland 82 - Virginia Military Institute 90	12
Presbyterian 81 - Unranked 58		Presbyterian 90 - Unranked 61
Purdue 82 - Iowa 75	0.673	Purdue 77 - Iowa 70	0
Quinnipiac 66 - Saint Peters 69	0.579	Quinnipiac 59 - Saint Peters 69	7
Saint Johns 71 - Kansas 83	0.808	Saint Johns 75 - Kansas 95	8
San Jose State 71 - North Dakota 72	0.503	San Jose State 76 - North Dakota 51	-26
Siena 68 - Manhattan 63	0.64	Siena 72 - Manhattan 77	10
South Dakota 88 - Unranked 55		South Dakota 93 - Unranked 37
South Dakota State 93 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 112 - Unranked 47
South Florida 78 - South Carolina State 58	0.924	South Florida 64 - South Carolina State 65	21
Texas 82 - Texas Pan American 62	0.919	Texas 88 - Texas Pan American 58	-10
Texas El Paso 61 - New Mexico State 73	0.798	Texas El Paso 69 - New Mexico State 72	-9
UC Irvine 90 - Unranked 49		UC Irvine 86 - Unranked 54
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Pepperdine 69	0.621	UC Santa Barbara 86 - Pepperdine 74	-8
UL Lafayette 76 - New Orleans 66	0.781	UL Lafayette 80 - New Orleans 67	-3
Virginia 76 - Pittsburgh 58	0.908	Virginia 57 - Pittsburgh 56	17

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Incarnate Word 58	0.921	Abilene Christian 98 - Incarnate Word 65	-16
Air Force 72 - Army 68	0.619	Air Force 76 - Army 58	-14
Akron 74 - Southern 59	0.865	Akron 79 - Southern 62	-2
Arkansas 83 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.907	Arkansas 93 - Arkansas Little Rock 78	4
Arkansas State 76 - Central Arkansas 68	0.698	Arkansas State 95 - Central Arkansas 82	-5
Auburn 82 - Yale 68	0.836	Auburn 86 - Yale 64	-8
Baylor 87 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 48	0.996	Baylor 99 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	-6
Boston 75 - Binghamton 62	0.835	Boston 68 - Binghamton 63	8
Bradley 78 - SIU Edwardsville 60	0.888	Bradley 80 - SIU Edwardsville 55	-7
Cal State Fullerton 68 - Pacific 71	0.596	Cal State Fullerton 66 - Pacific 57	-12
Charlotte 70 - George Washington 68	0.554	Charlotte 86 - George Washington 79	-5
Chicago State 62 - Tennessee State 74	0.772	Chicago State 59 - Tennessee State 49	-22
Cleveland State 65 - Wright State 72	0.692	Cleveland State 85 - Wright State 75	-17
Coastal Carolina 71 - Winthrop 74	0.588	Coastal Carolina 74 - Winthrop 64	-13
Colorado 72 - Tennessee 74	0.566	Colorado 54 - Tennessee 69	13
Colorado State 69 - Saint Marys 76	0.701	Colorado State 74 - Saint Marys 58	-23
Columbia 73 - Maine 65	0.721	Columbia 77 - Maine 66	-3
Connecticut 81 - Grambling State 59	0.938	Connecticut 88 - Grambling State 59	-7
Creighton 80 - Iowa State 74	0.643	Creighton 58 - Iowa State 64	12
Davidson 79 - William and Mary 65	0.827	Davidson 70 - William and Mary 46	-10
Dayton 79 - Northern Illinois 61	0.899	Dayton 79 - Northern Illinois 41	-20
DePaul 71 - Loyola Ill 72	0.521	DePaul 64 - Loyola Ill 68	3
Dixie State 88 - Unranked 60		Dixie State 97 - Unranked 65
East Carolina 72 - Gardner Webb 70	0.543	East Carolina 62 - Gardner Webb 52	-8
East Tennessee State 92 - Unranked 48		East Tennessee State 90 - Unranked 66
Eastern Illinois 82 - Unranked 57		Eastern Illinois 76 - Unranked 71
Elon 70 - High Point 65	0.639	Elon 77 - High Point 83	11
Evansville 71 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.666	Evansville 59 - Tennessee Tech 51	-3
Florida Gulf Coast 69 - Dartmouth 64	0.637	Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Dartmouth 68	-5
Florida International 75 - Stetson 64	0.767	Florida International 72 - Stetson 65	4
Florida State 80 - Syracuse 71	0.726	Florida State 60 - Syracuse 63	12
Fresno State 78 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.823	Fresno State 61 - Cal State Northridge 43	-5
George Mason 69 - Old Dominion 67	0.554	George Mason 50 - Old Dominion 60	12
Gonzaga 84 - Alabama 71	0.8	Gonzaga 82 - Alabama 91	22
Grand Canyon 83 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.938	Grand Canyon 91 - Mississippi Valley State 44	-22
Green Bay 75 - Youngstown State 70	0.64	Green Bay 58 - Youngstown State 82	29
Hampton 69 - Norfolk State 68	0.514	Hampton 58 - Norfolk State 57	0
Hofstra 76 - Bucknell 68	0.719	Hofstra 88 - Bucknell 69	-11
Houston Baptist 70 - Oral Roberts 79	0.735	Houston Baptist 67 - Oral Roberts 85	9
Howard 65 - American 72	0.702	Howard 90 - American 56	-41
Idaho 67 - Southern Utah 72	0.638	Idaho 75 - Southern Utah 81	1
Idaho State 68 - Northern Arizona 70	0.563	Idaho State 70 - Northern Arizona 73	1
Illinois State 73 - Jackson State 61	0.823	Illinois State 55 - Jackson State 61	18
Indiana 80 - Nebraska 70	0.768	Indiana 68 - Nebraska 55	-3
Indiana State 73 - Miami OH 68	0.628	Indiana State 69 - Miami OH 68	4
IPFW 65 - Northern Kentucky 71	0.667	IPFW 71 - Northern Kentucky 57	-20
IUPUI 65 - Oakland 74	0.745	IUPUI 45 - Oakland 78	24
Jacksonville State 67 - South Alabama 68	0.528	Jacksonville State 64 - South Alabama 74	9
La Salle 76 - Holy Cross 62	0.86	La Salle 84 - Holy Cross 65	-5
Lehigh 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.866	Lehigh 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 81	21
Long Beach State 69 - Loyola Marymount 73	0.636	Long Beach State 74 - Loyola Marymount 77	-1
Longwood 74 - Delaware State 60	0.811	Longwood 78 - Delaware State 58	-6
Loyola MD 68 - Mt St Marys 66	0.574	Loyola MD 61 - Mt St Marys 55	-4
Marshall 77 - Duquesne 73	0.604	Marshall 72 - Duquesne 71	3
Massachusetts 71 - Harvard 73	0.557	Massachusetts 87 - Harvard 77	-12
Mercer 69 - Georgia State 72	0.567	Mercer 83 - Georgia State 77	-9
Merrimack 69 - UMass Lowell 64	0.66	Merrimack 57 - UMass Lowell 61	9
Miami 71 - Clemson 74	0.571	Miami 80 - Clemson 75	-8
Michigan 74 - San Diego State 68	0.675	Michigan 72 - San Diego State 58	-8
Michigan State 83 - Toledo 64	0.882	Michigan State 81 - Toledo 68	6
Milwaukee 66 - Robert Morris 67	0.534	Milwaukee 77 - Robert Morris 69	-9
Mississippi 73 - Memphis 75	0.545	Mississippi 67 - Memphis 63	-6
Missouri State 69 - Brigham Young 78	0.721	Missouri State 68 - Brigham Young 74	-3
Murray State 73 - Middle Tennessee 64	0.743	Murray State 93 - Middle Tennessee 87	3
NC State 73 - Louisville 77	0.609	NC State 68 - Louisville 73	1
New Hampshire 72 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.817	New Hampshire 67 - Central Connecticut State 45	-11
North Texas 89 - Unranked 51		North Texas 73 - Unranked 35
Northern Colorado 70 - Montana 68	0.559	Northern Colorado 78 - Montana 75	-1
Ohio 75 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.693	Ohio 78 - Saint Francis Penn 75	4
Omaha 69 - Eastern Washington 75	0.661	Omaha 81 - Eastern Washington 92	5
Princeton 75 - Drexel 65	0.754	Princeton 81 - Drexel 79	8
Providence 74 - Rhode Island 70	0.607	Providence 66 - Rhode Island 52	-10
Rice 89 - Unranked 58		Rice 100 - Unranked 62
Sacramento State 68 - Montana State 66	0.539	Sacramento State 66 - Montana State 68	4
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Buffalo 73	0.553	Saint Bonaventure 68 - Buffalo 65	-1
Saint Louis 72 - Alabama Birmingham 66	0.685	Saint Louis 72 - Alabama Birmingham 77	11
San Francisco 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	0.666	San Francisco 83 - Nevada Las Vegas 62	-15
Santa Clara 70 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.538	Santa Clara 75 - Louisiana Tech 78	2
SE Missouri State 82 - Unranked 60		SE Missouri State 76 - Unranked 64
Seton Hall 99 - Unranked 49		Seton Hall 113 - Unranked 67
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Western Carolina 73	0.666	South Carolina Upstate 73 - Western Carolina 78	-1
Southern Illinois 72 - Southern Miss 63	0.726	Southern Illinois 66 - Southern Miss 41	-16
Southern Methodist 76 - Vanderbilt 71	0.622	Southern Methodist 84 - Vanderbilt 72	-7
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 100 - Unranked 76
Stony Brook 70 - Wagner 64	0.674	Stony Brook 49 - Wagner 78	35
Temple 75 - Pennsylvania 69	0.651	Temple 81 - Pennsylvania 72	-3
Texas AM CC 81 - Unranked 55		Texas AM CC 111 - Unranked 60
Tulane 76 - Alcorn State 64	0.806	Tulane 85 - Alcorn State 64	-9
UC Davis 87 - Unranked 56		UC Davis 81 - Unranked 40
UL Monroe 73 - Northwestern State 63	0.72	UL Monroe 84 - Northwestern State 71	-3
UMKC 85 - Unranked 56		UMKC 94 - Unranked 32
UNC Asheville 67 - North Carolina Central 65	0.559	UNC Asheville 82 - North Carolina Central 66	-14
Villanova 87 - Saint Josephs 62	0.949	Villanova 81 - Saint Josephs 52	-4
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Campbell 60	0.86	Virginia Commonwealth 65 - Campbell 61	11
Virginia Tech 79 - Wake Forest 72	0.698	Virginia Tech 61 - Wake Forest 80	26
Washington State 70 - Southern California 78	0.702	Washington State 61 - Southern California 63	-6
Weber State 74 - Portland State 70	0.624	Weber State 80 - Portland State 69	-7
West Virginia 80 - Radford 61	0.891	West Virginia 67 - Radford 51	3
Western Illinois 72 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.579	Western Illinois 81 - Tennessee Martin 64	-14
Western Kentucky 80 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.856	Western Kentucky 85 - Eastern Kentucky 80	9
Wisconsin 76 - Marquette 72	0.636	Wisconsin 89 - Marquette 76	-9
Wyoming 77 - Mcneese State 63	0.832	Wyoming 79 - Mcneese State 58	-7

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 88 - Unranked 55		Austin Peay 98 - Unranked 55
Bellarmine 88 - Unranked 55		Bellarmine 92 - Unranked 43
Brown 72 - Sacred Heart 66	0.664	Brown 79 - Sacred Heart 66	-7
Canisius 69 - Monmouth 73	0.604	Canisius 65 - Monmouth 79	10
Central Florida 80 - Bethune Cookman 59	0.915	Central Florida 81 - Bethune Cookman 45	-15
Central Michigan 78 - Western Illinois 68	0.733	Central Michigan 70 - Western Illinois 97	37
Cincinnati 85 - Bryant 57	0.962	Cincinnati 73 - Bryant 58	13
Cornell 87 - Unranked 58		Cornell 122 - Unranked 64
Delaware 71 - UMBC 68	0.564	Delaware 70 - UMBC 60	-7
Drake 78 - Saint Thomas 68	0.749	Drake 74 - Saint Thomas 64	0
Eastern Michigan 86 - Unranked 53		Eastern Michigan 79 - Unranked 57
Florida Atlantic 73 - North Florida 71	0.552	Florida Atlantic 76 - North Florida 41	-33
Georgia Tech 73 - North Carolina 77	0.624	Georgia Tech 62 - North Carolina 79	13
Illinois Chicago 75 - Detroit 67	0.711	Illinois Chicago 56 - Detroit 64	16
Lafayette 68 - NJ Tech 66	0.576	Lafayette 86 - NJ Tech 90	6
Lamar 84 - Unranked 56		Lamar 67 - Unranked 64
Lipscomb 72 - Chattanooga 69	0.573	Lipscomb 64 - Chattanooga 85	24
Manhattan 69 - Quinnipiac 66	0.574	Manhattan 73 - Quinnipiac 90	20
Maryland 78 - Northwestern 68	0.793	Maryland 61 - Northwestern 67	16
Mississippi State 76 - Minnesota 72	0.592	Mississippi State 76 - Minnesota 81	9
Niagara 69 - Fairfield 66	0.569	Niagara 71 - Fairfield 81	13
North Alabama 84 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 103 - Unranked 40
Northern Iowa 73 - Richmond 72	0.515	Northern Iowa 52 - Richmond 60	9
Oklahoma State 76 - Xavier 75	0.509	Oklahoma State 71 - Xavier 77	7
Oregon 79 - Arizona State 72	0.686	Oregon 67 - Arizona State 69	9
Oregon State 68 - Arizona 78	0.744	Oregon State 65 - Arizona 90	15
Penn State 73 - Ohio State 74	0.511	Penn State 64 - Ohio State 76	11
Rider 74 - Marist 63	0.788	Rider 67 - Marist 79	23
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Hartford 70	0.627	Saint Francis Brooklyn 55 - Hartford 68	9
Saint Johns 79 - Fordham 63	0.857	Saint Johns 83 - Fordham 69	2
Saint Peters 66 - Siena 64	0.587	Saint Peters 58 - Siena 60	4
Samford 67 - Belmont 81	0.823	Samford 73 - Belmont 85	-2
San Diego 77 - Cal Poly 63	0.846	San Diego 52 - Cal Poly 51	13
Seattle 75 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.763	Seattle 82 - Virginia Military Institute 89	17
South Carolina 79 - Georgetown 72	0.675	South Carolina 80 - Georgetown 67	-6
Tarleton State 70 - Charleston Southern 63	0.729	Tarleton State 57 - Charleston Southern 59	9
Tennessee Tech 64 - Chattanooga 72	0.723
Texas State 75 - Denver 60	0.846	Texas State 71 - Denver 58	2
Troy 72 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.697	Troy 68 - Southeast Louisiana 72	11
UC Santa Barbara 87 - Unranked 52		UC Santa Barbara 87 - Unranked 66
Utah 77 - California 67	0.74	Utah 66 - California 58	2
Washington 73 - UCLA 76	0.581
Western Michigan 69 - Valparaiso 72	0.598	Western Michigan 60 - Valparaiso 71	8
Wichita State 75 - Kansas State 69	0.68	Wichita State 59 - Kansas State 65	12
Wofford 80 - Kennesaw St 57	0.933	Wofford 88 - Kennesaw St 62	-3

Number of DI Games: 306
Number Correct: 217 = 70.9%
Expected Number Correct: 216.102 = 70.6%
Average Error: 9.87
Average Signed Error: -0.99

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Coastal Carolina 71 - Mercer 64	0.662	Coastal Carolina 69 - Mercer 74	12
Colgate 82 - Columbia 60	0.907	Colgate 89 - Columbia 61	-6
Florida 83 - Texas Southern 56	0.965	Florida 54 - Texas Southern 69	42
Georgia State 91 - Unranked 56		Georgia State 80 - Unranked 51
Harvard 91 - Unranked 54		Harvard 74 - Unranked 64
Houston 86 - Alcorn State 50	0.981	Houston 77 - Alcorn State 45	4
Iowa 78 - Illinois 75	0.582	Iowa 83 - Illinois 87	7
Kent State 70 - Towson 68	0.601	Kent State 58 - Towson 73	17
Liberty 80 - Delaware State 48	0.956	Liberty 96 - Delaware State 60	-4
Morehead State 69 - Presbyterian 58	0.824	Morehead State 71 - Presbyterian 66	6
Morgan State 81 - Unranked 59		Morgan State 77 - Unranked 71
New Mexico 73 - New Mexico State 77	0.607	New Mexico 76 - New Mexico State 78	-2
Pepperdine 68 - San Jose State 70	0.55	Pepperdine 82 - San Jose State 69	-15
The Citadel 78 - North Carolina Central 67	0.789	The Citadel 80 - North Carolina Central 67	-2

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 83 - Charlotte 63	0.956	Arkansas 86 - Charlotte 66	0
Army 84 - Unranked 57		Army 97 - Unranked 40
Bowling Green 66 - Oakland 76	0.766	Bowling Green 73 - Oakland 72	-11
Cal Baptist 79 - North Dakota 59	0.946	Cal Baptist 89 - North Dakota 71	2
Cal State Northridge 60 - Boise State 73	0.828	Cal State Northridge 48 - Boise State 74	13
Campbell 87 - Unranked 51		Campbell 74 - Unranked 56
DePaul 79 - Duquesne 63	0.882	DePaul 87 - Duquesne 67	-4
East Carolina 77 - North Carolina AT 61	0.945	East Carolina 82 - North Carolina AT 71	5
Florida AM 63 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	0.875	Florida AM 55 - Florida Gulf Coast 69	1
George Mason 65 - Navy 69	0.592	George Mason 71 - Navy 65	-10
Georgia 71 - Jacksonville 63	0.792	Georgia 69 - Jacksonville 58	-3
High Point 85 - Unranked 57		High Point 64 - Unranked 59
Houston Baptist 79 - Unranked 60		Houston Baptist 84 - Unranked 67
James Madison 60 - Virginia 70	0.808	James Madison 52 - Virginia 49	-13
Kansas 86 - Texas El Paso 60	0.975	Kansas 78 - Texas El Paso 52	0
Kentucky 85 - Southern 57	0.983	Kentucky 76 - Southern 64	16
La Salle 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.799	La Salle 81 - Fairleigh Dickinson 55	-17
Loyola Ill 97 - Unranked 46		Loyola Ill 88 - Unranked 49
Merrimack 60 - Brown 66	0.68	Merrimack 56 - Brown 76	14
Missouri 77 - Eastern Illinois 55	0.905	Missouri 72 - Eastern Illinois 44	-6
Montana State 71 - North Dakota State 66	0.667	Montana State 68 - North Dakota State 49	-14
Nebraska 66 - Michigan 77	0.834	Nebraska 67 - Michigan 102	24
Northeastern 70 - Massachusetts 71	0.538	Northeastern 82 - Massachusetts 76	-7
Northern Colorado 74 - South Dakota 64	0.768	Northern Colorado 74 - South Dakota 69	5
Oklahoma 75 - Butler 61	0.829	Oklahoma 62 - Butler 66	18
Princeton 82 - Bucknell 64	0.938	Princeton 82 - Bucknell 69	5
Providence 73 - Vermont 61	0.835	Providence 68 - Vermont 58	2
Rhode Island 80 - Sacred Heart 58	0.946	Rhode Island 72 - Sacred Heart 62	12
Saint Louis 73 - Belmont 74	0.517	Saint Louis 59 - Belmont 64	4
Santa Clara 80 - Mt St Marys 58	0.945	Santa Clara 88 - Mt St Marys 77	11
Southern California 87 - Eastern Kentucky 61	0.955	Southern California 80 - Eastern Kentucky 68	14
Syracuse 70 - Villanova 81	0.774	Syracuse 53 - Villanova 67	3
Tarleton State 82 - Unranked 54		Tarleton State 84 - Unranked 65
Tennessee 76 - Texas Tech 70	0.643	Tennessee 52 - Texas Tech 57	11
Toledo 76 - Bradley 65	0.793	Toledo 67 - Bradley 65	9
Tulane 70 - College of Charleston 75	0.642	Tulane 72 - College of Charleston 86	9
Tulsa 72 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.592	Tulsa 55 - Loyola Marymount 60	8
Valparaiso 87 - Unranked 53		Valparaiso 101 - Unranked 58
Vanderbilt 73 - Temple 67	0.661	Vanderbilt 68 - Temple 72	10
William and Mary 59 - Old Dominion 70	0.748	William and Mary 59 - Old Dominion 74	4
Winthrop 73 - Furman 78	0.665	Winthrop 85 - Furman 80	-10
Yale 75 - Albany 59	0.883	Yale 71 - Albany 52	-3

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 70 - Samford 78	0.74	Alabama State 64 - Samford 74	2
American 64 - Saint Francis Penn 76	0.765	American 83 - Saint Francis Penn 73	-22
Arizona 80 - Wyoming 67	0.802	Arizona 94 - Wyoming 65	-16
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Missouri State 76	0.733	Arkansas Little Rock 55 - Missouri State 81	17
Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Arkansas State 74	0.77	Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 - Arkansas State 84	1
Binghamton 65 - Marist 68	0.575	Binghamton 51 - Marist 64	10
Boston 70 - UMass Lowell 66	0.625	Boston 72 - UMass Lowell 62	-6
Brigham Young 75 - Utah State 70	0.621	Brigham Young 82 - Utah State 71	-6
Bryant 65 - New Hampshire 72	0.688	Bryant 76 - New Hampshire 59	-24
California 78 - Idaho State 54	0.964	California 72 - Idaho State 46	-2
Colorado 78 - Eastern Washington 67	0.794	Colorado 60 - Eastern Washington 57	8
Dartmouth 72 - Quinnipiac 68	0.644	Dartmouth 69 - Quinnipiac 72	7
Delaware 76 - Lafayette 62	0.838	Delaware 68 - Lafayette 58	4
Eastern Michigan 68 - Niagara 69	0.534	Eastern Michigan 60 - Niagara 58	-3
Fairfield 80 - Holy Cross 57	0.962	Fairfield 74 - Holy Cross 59	8
Florida 85 - North Florida 53	0.972	Florida 85 - North Florida 55	2
Florida Atlantic 90 - Unranked 56		Florida Atlantic 84 - Unranked 63
Gardner Webb 67 - Wofford 71	0.608	Gardner Webb 70 - Wofford 78	4
George Washington 70 - Coppin State 67	0.588	George Washington 75 - Coppin State 62	-10
Georgetown 73 - UMBC 70	0.564	Georgetown 100 - UMBC 71	-26
Georgia Southern 87 - Unranked 51		Georgia Southern 85 - Unranked 43
Hawaii 90 - Unranked 56		Hawaii 88 - Unranked 52
Idaho 62 - South Dakota State 88	0.928	Idaho 98 - South Dakota State 84	-40
Kansas State 71 - Marquette 72	0.525	Kansas State 63 - Marquette 64	0
Long Beach State 86 - Unranked 60		Long Beach State 102 - Unranked 69
Marshall 94 - Unranked 56		Marshall 100 - Unranked 57
Maryland Eastern Shore 84 - Unranked 56		Maryland Eastern Shore 102 - Unranked 58
Miami 80 - Lipscomb 68	0.769	Miami 76 - Lipscomb 59	-5
Minnesota 67 - Michigan State 71	0.638	Minnesota 67 - Michigan State 75	4
Montana 66 - Air Force 67	0.525	Montana 66 - Air Force 48	-19
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Seattle 69	0.564	Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Seattle 56	-18
North Alabama 73 - Alabama AM 60	0.871	North Alabama 56 - Alabama AM 45	2
Northern Kentucky 69 - Canisius 66	0.599	Northern Kentucky 75 - Canisius 62	-10
Ohio State 79 - Towson 62	0.912	Ohio State 85 - Towson 74	6
Omaha 57 - Drake 80	0.928	Omaha 70 - Drake 78	-15
Penn State 69 - Wagner 67	0.534	Penn State 74 - Wagner 54	-18
Robert Morris 82 - Unranked 62		Robert Morris 99 - Unranked 51
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Loyola MD 59	0.901	Saint Bonaventure 84 - Loyola MD 71	6
Saint Josephs 74 - Pennsylvania 69	0.66	Saint Josephs 78 - Pennsylvania 71	-2
Saint Peters 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	0.888	Saint Peters 60 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 71	26
San Diego State 74 - Cal State Fullerton 62	0.867	San Diego State 66 - Cal State Fullerton 56	2
San Francisco 72 - Fresno State 64	0.734	San Francisco 71 - Fresno State 63	0
SE Missouri State 67 - Evansville 70	0.576	SE Missouri State 75 - Evansville 73	-5
SIU Edwardsville 68 - IPFW 70	0.557	SIU Edwardsville 80 - IPFW 59	-23
Southern Methodist 71 - Dayton 72	0.528	Southern Methodist 77 - Dayton 69	-9
Southern Utah 70 - Utah Valley 76	0.653	Southern Utah 60 - Utah Valley 56	-10
Stony Brook 68 - Hofstra 76	0.767	Stony Brook 79 - Hofstra 62	-25
Tarleton State 82 - Unranked 54		Tarleton State 81 - Unranked 75
Texas AM CC 75 - Texas Pan American 70	0.649	Texas AM CC 75 - Texas Pan American 69	-1
Texas Christian 70 - Utah 71	0.559	Texas Christian 76 - Utah 62	-15
UL Lafayette 73 - Mcneese State 64	0.779	UL Lafayette 83 - Mcneese State 68	-6
UL Monroe 87 - Unranked 57		UL Monroe 89 - Unranked 68
UNC Asheville 62 - Chattanooga 73	0.82	UNC Asheville 73 - Chattanooga 78	-6
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Jacksonville State 59	0.873	Virginia Commonwealth 66 - Jacksonville State 52	0
Virginia Tech 77 - Cornell 68	0.78	Virginia Tech 93 - Cornell 60	-24
Washington State 70 - Weber State 67	0.61	Washington State 94 - Weber State 60	-31
West Virginia 73 - Connecticut 75	0.557	West Virginia 56 - Connecticut 53	-5
Western Carolina 71 - Tennessee Tech 70	0.543	Western Carolina 74 - Tennessee Tech 69	-4
Western Kentucky 74 - Buffalo 75	0.573	Western Kentucky 67 - Buffalo 77	9
Wisconsin 73 - Indiana 66	0.715	Wisconsin 64 - Indiana 59	2
Xavier 83 - Ball State 62	0.893	Xavier 96 - Ball State 50	-25
Youngstown State 77 - Central Michigan 65	0.832	Youngstown State 84 - Central Michigan 77	5

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 68 - Grand Canyon 71	0.59	Arizona State 67 - Grand Canyon 62	-8
Bellarmine 86 - Unranked 57		Bellarmine 87 - Unranked 55
Fordham 74 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.723	Fordham 73 - LIU Brooklyn 57	-6
Gonzaga 85 - Merrimack 53	0.964	Gonzaga 80 - Merrimack 55	7
Iowa State 74 - Iowa 75	0.509	Iowa State 73 - Iowa 53	-21
Kent State 76 - Detroit 66	0.805	Kent State 69 - Detroit 52	-7
Mississippi Valley State 58 - Nicholls State 78	0.91	Mississippi Valley State 80 - Nicholls State 95	-5
NC State 84 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.948	NC State 65 - Bethune Cookman 48	5
New Mexico 79 - Denver 66	0.853	New Mexico 87 - Denver 67	-7
North Carolina Central 81 - Unranked 60		North Carolina Central 102 - Unranked 50
Pittsburgh 70 - Colgate 69	0.504	Pittsburgh 71 - Colgate 68	-2
Rutgers 61 - Purdue 81	0.899	Rutgers 70 - Purdue 68	-22
Saint Johns 74 - Monmouth 73	0.505	Saint Johns 88 - Monmouth 83	-4
Seton Hall 71 - Texas 70	0.535	Seton Hall 64 - Texas 60	-3
Southern 82 - Unranked 59		Southern 86 - Unranked 68
William and Mary 67 - Hampton 65	0.564	William and Mary 53 - Hampton 54	3

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bellarmine 87 - Unranked 56		Bellarmine 89 - Unranked 39
Boise State 79 - Prairie View 61	0.901	Boise State 97 - Prairie View 60	-19
Brown 64 - Vermont 67	0.62	Brown 65 - Vermont 70	2
Colorado 79 - Milwaukee 58	0.962	Colorado 65 - Milwaukee 54	10
Delaware 89 - Unranked 53		Delaware 94 - Unranked 55
Furman 76 - Appalachian State 67	0.798	Furman 73 - Appalachian State 65	1
Louisville 76 - DePaul 69	0.685	Louisville 55 - DePaul 62	14
Memphis 72 - Murray State 69	0.586	Memphis 72 - Murray State 74	5
Montana 86 - Unranked 55		Montana 104 - Unranked 43
NJ Tech 69 - Army 66	0.603	NJ Tech 49 - Army 66	20
North Dakota State 69 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.613	North Dakota State 68 - Cal State Northridge 54	-11
South Carolina State 66 - High Point 75	0.776	South Carolina State 67 - High Point 66	-10
Tennessee State 66 - IUPUI 63	0.571	Tennessee State 70 - IUPUI 44	-23
UMKC 70 - Green Bay 63	0.701	UMKC 64 - Green Bay 55	-2
Vanderbilt 67 - Loyola Ill 72	0.66	Vanderbilt 58 - Loyola Ill 69	6

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Drexel 68	0.788	Abilene Christian 73 - Drexel 56	-8
Alabama 75 - Houston 73	0.55	Alabama 83 - Houston 82	1
Albany 70 - Columbia 63	0.716	Albany 60 - Columbia 59	6
Arkansas Little Rock 85 - Unranked 58		Arkansas Little Rock 60 - Unranked 51
Auburn 84 - Nebraska 65	0.941	Auburn 99 - Nebraska 68	-12
Binghamton 81 - Unranked 58		Binghamton 79 - Unranked 55
Buffalo 96 - Unranked 54		Buffalo 100 - Unranked 58
Butler 78 - Eastern Illinois 51	0.957	Butler 66 - Eastern Illinois 54	15
Cal State Bakersfield 78 - Idaho 59	0.844	Cal State Bakersfield 59 - Idaho 58	18
Cal State Fullerton 88 - Unranked 53		Cal State Fullerton 87 - Unranked 59
California 69 - Santa Clara 73	0.624	California 72 - Santa Clara 60	-16
Central Florida 81 - North Carolina AT 59	0.974	Central Florida 83 - North Carolina AT 68	7
Central Michigan 70 - Illinois Chicago 74	0.648	Central Michigan 67 - Illinois Chicago 71	0
Chicago State 65 - Illinois State 73	0.75	Chicago State 71 - Illinois State 80	1
Connecticut 76 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.649	Connecticut 74 - Saint Bonaventure 64	-5
Coppin State 63 - Towson 74	0.778	Coppin State 75 - Towson 89	3
Creighton 67 - Brigham Young 74	0.675	Creighton 83 - Brigham Young 71	-19
Dartmouth 66 - Boston 70	0.629	Dartmouth 62 - Boston 65	-1
Delaware State 63 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	0.653	Delaware State 61 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 75	8
Detroit 75 - Western Michigan 68	0.717	Detroit 83 - Western Michigan 64	-12
Dixie State 73 - Denver 70	0.606	Dixie State 82 - Denver 62	-17
Drake 71 - Clemson 70	0.507	Drake 80 - Clemson 90	11
Duquesne 65 - New Hampshire 68	0.58	Duquesne 64 - New Hampshire 62	-5
East Tennessee State 67 - Morehead State 62	0.659	East Tennessee State 82 - Morehead State 75	-2
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Marshall 79	0.619	Eastern Kentucky 69 - Marshall 80	7
Eastern Michigan 67 - Florida International 72	0.638	Eastern Michigan 92 - Florida International 88	-9
Fresno State 64 - UC Irvine 67	0.573	Fresno State 63 - UC Irvine 55	-11
Georgetown 72 - Syracuse 80	0.706	Georgetown 79 - Syracuse 75	-12
Georgia Tech 63 - Louisiana State 80	0.868	Georgia Tech 53 - Louisiana State 69	-1
Grand Canyon 91 - Unranked 49		Grand Canyon 81 - Unranked 53
Holy Cross 61 - Siena 72	0.797	Holy Cross 59 - Siena 72	2
Houston Baptist 65 - Rice 78	0.866	Houston Baptist 73 - Rice 88	2
Illinois 72 - Arizona 79	0.643	Illinois 79 - Arizona 83	-3
Incarnate Word 64 - Grambling State 67	0.614	Incarnate Word 72 - Grambling State 62	-13
IPFW 73 - SE Missouri State 68	0.645	IPFW 78 - SE Missouri State 65	-8
Jacksonville 69 - UNC Wilmington 59	0.768	Jacksonville 77 - UNC Wilmington 48	-19
James Madison 69 - Radford 62	0.78	James Madison 79 - Radford 70	-2
Kansas 86 - Missouri 61	0.944	Kansas 102 - Missouri 65	-12
Kennesaw St 84 - Unranked 58		Kennesaw St 80 - Unranked 56
La Salle 69 - Pennsylvania 71	0.57	La Salle 76 - Pennsylvania 74	-4
Lafayette 65 - Princeton 77	0.821	Lafayette 73 - Princeton 84	-1
Longwood 72 - Morgan State 61	0.722	Longwood 94 - Morgan State 55	-28
Louisiana Tech 79 - UL Lafayette 64	0.84	Louisiana Tech 78 - UL Lafayette 69	6
Loyola Marymount 69 - New Mexico State 75	0.661	Loyola Marymount 58 - New Mexico State 63	-1
Marquette 74 - UCLA 78	0.606	Marquette 56 - UCLA 67	7
Maryland Eastern Shore 84 - Unranked 56		Maryland Eastern Shore 79 - Unranked 43
Mercer 66 - Georgia Southern 67	0.518	Mercer 77 - Georgia Southern 68	-10
Michigan 71 - Minnesota 68	0.597	Michigan 65 - Minnesota 75	13
Michigan State 76 - Penn State 62	0.843	Michigan State 80 - Penn State 64	-2
Mississippi 73 - Western Kentucky 69	0.615	Mississippi 48 - Western Kentucky 71	27
Mississippi State 71 - Colorado State 75	0.595	Mississippi State 63 - Colorado State 66	-1
Mississippi Valley State 60 - Arkansas State 78	0.864	Mississippi Valley State 77 - Arkansas State 82	-13
Missouri State 77 - Oral Roberts 72	0.634	Missouri State 69 - Oral Roberts 60	-4
Mt St Marys 71 - American 61	0.76	Mt St Marys 66 - American 72	16
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Hartford 65	0.839	Nevada Las Vegas 95 - Hartford 78	-6
North Carolina 90 - Elon 59	0.979	North Carolina 80 - Elon 63	14
North Dakota 66 - Eastern Washington 78	0.796	North Dakota 60 - Eastern Washington 76	4
North Florida 64 - Austin Peay 70	0.666	North Florida 91 - Austin Peay 84	-13
North Texas 73 - Massachusetts 69	0.606	North Texas 66 - Massachusetts 57	-5
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 61		Northwestern State 89 - Unranked 67
Notre Dame 68 - Kentucky 77	0.8	Notre Dame 66 - Kentucky 62	-13
Ohio State 72 - Wisconsin 71	0.507	Ohio State 73 - Wisconsin 55	-17
Oklahoma 74 - Arkansas 73	0.526	Oklahoma 88 - Arkansas 66	-21
Old Dominion 56 - Virginia Commonwealth 67	0.74	Old Dominion 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	-2
Omaha 62 - Texas AM CC 75	0.811	Omaha 73 - Texas AM CC 87	1
Pepperdine 76 - Alabama State 66	0.758	Pepperdine 79 - Alabama State 62	-7
Portland State 67 - Cal Poly 63	0.664	Portland State 58 - Cal Poly 61	7
Providence 85 - Central Connecticut State 50	0.994	Providence 68 - Central Connecticut State 53	20
Quinnipiac 78 - Maine 56	0.954	Quinnipiac 73 - Maine 47	-4
Richmond 75 - Toledo 73	0.575	Richmond 72 - Toledo 69	-1
Robert Morris 64 - Florida Gulf Coast 78	0.885	Robert Morris 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 85	-3
Saint Josephs 71 - Temple 72	0.545	Saint Josephs 68 - Temple 49	-20
Saint Louis 74 - Boston College 67	0.733	Saint Louis 79 - Boston College 68	-4
Saint Marys 75 - UC Santa Barbara 63	0.83	Saint Marys 80 - UC Santa Barbara 59	-9
Saint Thomas 71 - Montana State 72	0.554	Saint Thomas 65 - Montana State 72	6
Sam Houston State 69 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.508	Sam Houston State 73 - Texas San Antonio 78	6
Samford 79 - Alabama AM 63	0.922	Samford 52 - Alabama AM 50	14
San Diego 86 - Unranked 52		San Diego 84 - Unranked 55
San Jose State 69 - Pacific 64	0.677	San Jose State 78 - Pacific 66	-7
South Dakota 69 - Northern Arizona 66	0.582	South Dakota 76 - Northern Arizona 71	-2
Southern 69 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.597	Southern 72 - Southeast Louisiana 66	-4
Southern Utah 91 - Unranked 55		Southern Utah 100 - Unranked 61
Stephen F Austin 66 - Liberty 67	0.536	Stephen F Austin 63 - Liberty 51	-13
Stetson 60 - Ohio 75	0.898	Stetson 45 - Ohio 55	-5
Stony Brook 74 - Bryant 68	0.652	Stony Brook 86 - Bryant 78	-2
Tennessee 79 - UNC Greensboro 60	0.909	Tennessee 76 - UNC Greensboro 36	-21
Tennessee Martin 61 - Middle Tennessee 75	0.87	Tennessee Martin 75 - Middle Tennessee 84	-5
Tennessee Tech 71 - Troy 68	0.585	Tennessee Tech 72 - Troy 75	6
Texas AM 70 - Texas Christian 67	0.616	Texas AM 64 - Texas Christian 68	7
Texas Arlington 75 - Lamar 64	0.768	Texas Arlington 56 - Lamar 47	2
Tulsa 68 - Southern Illinois 66	0.578	Tulsa 69 - Southern Illinois 65	-2
UMass Lowell 86 - Unranked 55		UMass Lowell 109 - Unranked 45
Utah 80 - Manhattan 61	0.885	Utah 96 - Manhattan 62	-15
Utah State 84 - New Orleans 60	0.944	Utah State 82 - New Orleans 50	-8
Valparaiso 70 - Charlotte 67	0.618	Valparaiso 67 - Charlotte 68	4
Virginia Military Institute 68 - Gardner Webb 69	0.55	Virginia Military Institute 64 - Gardner Webb 61	-4
Wake Forest 86 - South Carolina Upstate 58	0.968	Wake Forest 79 - South Carolina Upstate 53	2
Washington State 75 - South Dakota State 72	0.58	Washington State 74 - South Dakota State 77	6
Weber State 92 - Unranked 49		Weber State 82 - Unranked 36
Western Carolina 68 - UNC Asheville 70	0.578	Western Carolina 72 - UNC Asheville 73	-1
Wichita State 78 - Norfolk State 59	0.931	Wichita State 71 - Norfolk State 58	6
Winthrop 91 - Unranked 56		Winthrop 83 - Unranked 52
Wyoming 74 - Utah Valley 67	0.683	Wyoming 74 - Utah Valley 62	-5
Xavier 71 - Cincinnati 66	0.648	Xavier 83 - Cincinnati 63	-15
Youngstown State 73 - Canisius 67	0.711	Youngstown State 71 - Canisius 43	-22

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 75 - Florida AM 59	0.88	Akron 73 - Florida AM 66	9
Alabama Birmingham 96 - Unranked 47		Alabama Birmingham 103 - Unranked 29
Ball State 90 - Unranked 57		Ball State 85 - Unranked 58
Baylor 75 - Villanova 70	0.647	Baylor 57 - Villanova 36	-16
Chattanooga 93 - Unranked 47		Chattanooga 104 - Unranked 55
Coastal Carolina 70 - Wofford 69	0.509	Coastal Carolina 60 - Wofford 59	0
College of Charleston 75 - Presbyterian 63	0.831	College of Charleston 78 - Presbyterian 76	10
Dayton 69 - Virginia Tech 68	0.513	Dayton 62 - Virginia Tech 57	-4
Fordham 66 - Miami 74	0.725	Fordham 66 - Miami 72	-2
Gonzaga 86 - Washington 63	0.916
Hofstra 94 - Unranked 54		Hofstra 102 - Unranked 51
Incarnate Word 64 - Grambling State 67	0.614
Indiana 77 - Merrimack 53	0.945	Indiana 81 - Merrimack 49	-8
Iona 76 - Yale 66	0.759	Iona 91 - Yale 77	-4
Iowa State 78 - Jackson State 54	0.926	Iowa State 47 - Jackson State 37	14
Kansas State 77 - Green Bay 57	0.914	Kansas State 82 - Green Bay 64	2
Lipscomb 80 - Tennessee State 61	0.887	Lipscomb 65 - Tennessee State 73	27
Loyola MD 72 - Hampton 59	0.845	Loyola MD 67 - Hampton 54	0
Marist 60 - Navy 72	0.82	Marist 61 - Navy 67	-6
Maryland 65 - Florida 75	0.807	Maryland 70 - Florida 68	-12
NC State 67 - Purdue 84	0.928	NC State 72 - Purdue 82	-7
New Mexico 76 - Texas El Paso 69	0.717	New Mexico 69 - Texas El Paso 77	15
Niagara 85 - Unranked 52		Niagara 112 - Unranked 52
Northeastern 63 - Davidson 69	0.671	Northeastern 69 - Davidson 79	4
Northern Kentucky 82 - Unranked 54		Northern Kentucky 91 - Unranked 55
Northwestern 79 - NJ Tech 60	0.945	Northwestern 70 - NJ Tech 52	1
Pittsburgh 63 - Monmouth 72	0.759	Pittsburgh 52 - Monmouth 56	-5
Saint Johns 79 - Colgate 70	0.732	Saint Johns 82 - Colgate 64	-9
Saint Peters 85 - Unranked 54		Saint Peters 87 - Unranked 48
Seattle 71 - UC San Diego 69	0.532	Seattle 73 - UC San Diego 51	-20
Seton Hall 78 - Rutgers 62	0.824	Seton Hall 77 - Rutgers 63	2
SIU Edwardsville 65 - UMKC 71	0.662	SIU Edwardsville 60 - UMKC 56	-10
South Carolina 68 - Florida State 72	0.6	South Carolina 66 - Florida State 65	-5
Southern California 89 - Long Beach State 56	0.98	Southern California 73 - Long Beach State 62	22
Stanford 72 - Oregon 73	0.53	Stanford 72 - Oregon 69	-4
Texas State 91 - Unranked 49		Texas State 101 - Unranked 54
UC Riverside 68 - Cal Baptist 69	0.554	UC Riverside 70 - Cal Baptist 54	-17
West Virginia 77 - Kent State 65	0.882	West Virginia 63 - Kent State 50	-1
William and Mary 62 - Fairfield 75	0.853	William and Mary 47 - Fairfield 70	10

Number of DI Games: 247
Number Correct: 178 = 72%
Expected Number Correct: 181.623 = 73.5%
Average Error: 8.91
Average Signed Error: -1.98

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 86 - Unranked 51		Appalachian State 69 - Unranked 44
Boston College 75 - Albany 55	0.955	Boston College 57 - Albany 61	24
Chicago State 63 - Northern Illinois 64	0.505	Chicago State 59 - Northern Illinois 70	10
Columbia 65 - Sacred Heart 73	0.738	Columbia 69 - Sacred Heart 79	2
George Washington 66 - Radford 67	0.517	George Washington 67 - Radford 58	-10
Jacksonville State 87 - Unranked 55		Jacksonville State 110 - Unranked 80
Liberty 87 - Unranked 49		Liberty 95 - Unranked 36
LIU Brooklyn 83 - Unranked 59		LIU Brooklyn 106 - Unranked 48
Milwaukee 58 - Rhode Island 75	0.916	Milwaukee 58 - Rhode Island 82	7
Montana 85 - Unranked 54		Montana 118 - Unranked 49
New Hampshire 83 - Unranked 54		New Hampshire 92 - Unranked 54
Nicholls State 88 - Unranked 55		Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 69
North Dakota State 69 - Indiana State 70	0.521	North Dakota State 77 - Indiana State 70	-8
Oklahoma State 77 - Cleveland State 61	0.854	Oklahoma State 98 - Cleveland State 93	11
Portland 71 - Cal Poly 63	0.806	Portland 78 - Cal Poly 77	7
Princeton 76 - UMBC 68	0.69	Princeton 89 - UMBC 77	-4
Stetson 80 - Unranked 56		Stetson 104 - Unranked 58

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Grambling State 54	0.988	Alabama Birmingham 79 - Grambling State 61	11
Auburn 84 - North Alabama 56	0.985	Auburn 70 - North Alabama 44	2
Boise State 74 - Santa Clara 69	0.622	Boise State 72 - Santa Clara 60	-7
Cincinnati 80 - Florida AM 53	0.965	Cincinnati 77 - Florida AM 50	0
Clemson 77 - Miami OH 66	0.796	Clemson 89 - Miami OH 76	-2
Creighton 77 - Arizona State 66	0.78	Creighton 57 - Arizona State 58	12
Drexel 76 - Coppin State 64	0.815	Drexel 76 - Coppin State 69	5
Duke 91 - South Carolina State 54	0.996	Duke 103 - South Carolina State 62	-4
East Tennessee State 78 - North Carolina AT 58	0.965	East Tennessee State 67 - North Carolina AT 69	22
Hartford 73 - Saint Francis Penn 72	0.541	Hartford 66 - Saint Francis Penn 81	16
Houston 85 - UL Lafayette 58	0.948	Houston 71 - UL Lafayette 56	12
Illinois Chicago 62 - DePaul 81	0.925	Illinois Chicago 66 - DePaul 72	-13
Illinois State 90 - Unranked 58		Illinois State 81 - Unranked 63
Longwood 85 - Unranked 53		Longwood 98 - Unranked 56
Louisiana State 91 - Northwestern State 50	0.98	Louisiana State 89 - Northwestern State 49	1
Louisiana Tech 94 - Unranked 52		Louisiana Tech 84 - Unranked 70
Louisville 82 - Southeast Louisiana 53	0.98	Louisville 86 - Southeast Louisiana 60	3
Memphis 69 - Alabama 81	0.785	Memphis 92 - Alabama 78	-26
Minnesota 79 - Texas AM CC 61	0.931	Minnesota 79 - Texas AM CC 71	10
Mississippi State 79 - Georgia State 64	0.817	Mississippi State 79 - Georgia State 50	-14
North Carolina 82 - Furman 70	0.818	North Carolina 74 - Furman 61	-1
North Dakota 80 - Unranked 61		North Dakota 110 - Unranked 65
North Texas 74 - Sam Houston State 55	0.939	North Texas 65 - Sam Houston State 55	9
Northern Iowa 68 - Jackson State 62	0.661	Northern Iowa 66 - Jackson State 56	-4
Oregon State 71 - UC Davis 68	0.575	Oregon State 64 - UC Davis 71	10
Pacific 66 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.699	Pacific 80 - UC Santa Barbara 71	-15
Saint Francis Brooklyn 80 - Unranked 59		Saint Francis Brooklyn 113 - Unranked 51
Saint Marys 94 - Unranked 46		Saint Marys 76 - Unranked 39
Saint Thomas 86 - Unranked 57		Saint Thomas 109 - Unranked 50
South Alabama 74 - Tarleton State 59	0.87	South Alabama 69 - Tarleton State 62	8
South Carolina 92 - Unranked 49		South Carolina 110 - Unranked 51
South Florida 67 - Austin Peay 64	0.555	South Florida 60 - Austin Peay 51	-6
Southern Miss 61 - Jacksonville 68	0.695	Southern Miss 51 - Jacksonville 62	4
Stephen F Austin 76 - UL Monroe 64	0.777	Stephen F Austin 69 - UL Monroe 82	25
Stony Brook 77 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.888	Stony Brook 87 - Central Connecticut State 67	-2
Tennessee 85 - South Carolina Upstate 50	0.986	Tennessee 96 - South Carolina Upstate 52	-9
Tennessee Martin 63 - UNC Asheville 71	0.79	Tennessee Martin 79 - UNC Asheville 68	-19
Texas 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.994	Texas 63 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 31	2
Texas Pan American 70 - Texas Southern 73	0.566	Texas Pan American 60 - Texas Southern 70	7
Texas Tech 83 - Arkansas State 60	0.929	Texas Tech 75 - Arkansas State 62	10
Towson 71 - UNC Greensboro 65	0.713	Towson 74 - UNC Greensboro 64	-4
Troy 71 - Alabama AM 60	0.787	Troy 66 - Alabama AM 57	2
Wake Forest 81 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.897	Wake Forest 77 - Virginia Military Institute 70	10
Western Kentucky 92 - Unranked 52		Western Kentucky 90 - Unranked 52
Wichita State 78 - Alcorn State 54	0.962	Wichita State 82 - Alcorn State 63	5
Yale 68 - Monmouth 73	0.65	Yale 60 - Monmouth 69	4

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.775	Abilene Christian 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	2
Arizona 87 - Northern Colorado 61	0.961	Arizona 101 - Northern Colorado 76	1
Belmont 72 - Chattanooga 68	0.645	Belmont 76 - Chattanooga 68	-4
Bethune Cookman 81 - Unranked 58		Bethune Cookman 88 - Unranked 41
Campbell 68 - Georgia Southern 63	0.693	Campbell 66 - Georgia Southern 69	8
Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 51		Coastal Carolina 102 - Unranked 42
Denver 63 - UC San Diego 71	0.685	Denver 64 - UC San Diego 56	-16
Dixie State 89 - Unranked 59		Dixie State 114 - Unranked 49
Eastern Kentucky 90 - Unranked 58		Eastern Kentucky 121 - Unranked 67
Eastern Washington 90 - Unranked 55		Eastern Washington 95 - Unranked 56
Elon 67 - Winthrop 80	0.865	Elon 63 - Winthrop 61	-15
Fairleigh Dickinson 62 - Fairfield 75	0.86	Fairleigh Dickinson 54 - Fairfield 72	5
Florida State 80 - Lipscomb 62	0.856	Florida State 97 - Lipscomb 60	-19
Georgetown 80 - Howard 66	0.792	Georgetown 85 - Howard 73	2
Jacksonville State 69 - Florida International 70	0.531	Jacksonville State 66 - Florida International 59	-8
Mississippi 69 - Middle Tennessee 68	0.546	Mississippi 62 - Middle Tennessee 52	-9
Missouri State 74 - South Dakota State 75	0.516	Missouri State 75 - South Dakota State 63	-13
Murray State 95 - Unranked 48		Murray State 118 - Unranked 48
Nevada 94 - Unranked 53		Nevada 98 - Unranked 62
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Omaha 59	0.917	Nevada Las Vegas 84 - Omaha 71	8
North Carolina Central 62 - Gardner Webb 71	0.751	North Carolina Central 72 - Gardner Webb 71	-10
Ohio 73 - Marshall 71	0.598	Ohio 75 - Marshall 65	-8
Oregon 79 - Portland 63	0.846	Oregon 96 - Portland 71	-9
Presbyterian 83 - Unranked 53		Presbyterian 98 - Unranked 33
South Dakota 68 - Bellarmine 70	0.538	South Dakota 78 - Bellarmine 64	-16
Southern California 73 - UC Irvine 62	0.766	Southern California 66 - UC Irvine 61	6
Southern Illinois 73 - SE Missouri State 60	0.831	Southern Illinois 80 - SE Missouri State 55	-12
Temple 68 - Central Florida 72	0.607	Temple 48 - Central Florida 65	13
Texas State 80 - Lamar 58	0.962	Texas State 67 - Lamar 47	2
UNC Wilmington 80 - Unranked 59		UNC Wilmington 85 - Unranked 55
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Florida Atlantic 62	0.828	Virginia Commonwealth 66 - Florida Atlantic 46	-7
Washington State 72 - New Mexico State 68	0.602	Washington State 61 - New Mexico State 64	7
Weber State 67 - Utah State 74	0.679	Weber State 80 - Utah State 95	8
Wisconsin 81 - Nicholls State 59	0.96	Wisconsin 71 - Nicholls State 68	19
Wright State 68 - Akron 73	0.637	Wright State 48 - Akron 66	13
Xavier 79 - Morehead State 59	0.922	Xavier 86 - Morehead State 63	-3

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charleston Southern 69 - Tennessee State 70	0.513	Charleston Southern 75 - Tennessee State 78	2
Coastal Carolina 87 - Unranked 52		Coastal Carolina 110 - Unranked 53
Drake 72 - Jackson State 59	0.803	Drake 70 - Jackson State 65	8
Duke 81 - Appalachian State 58	0.958	Duke 92 - Appalachian State 67	-2
IUPUI 58 - Chicago State 64	0.66	IUPUI 55 - Chicago State 61	0
Oral Roberts 72 - Texas Arlington 68	0.589	Oral Roberts 71 - Texas Arlington 62	-5
Rice 79 - Incarnate Word 65	0.884	Rice 85 - Incarnate Word 55	-16
South Carolina State 81 - Unranked 62		South Carolina State 105 - Unranked 46
Stanford 78 - Dartmouth 62	0.896	Stanford 89 - Dartmouth 78	5
Stetson 63 - College of Charleston 76	0.88	Stetson 67 - College of Charleston 59	-21
Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 58		Tennessee Tech 117 - Unranked 60
Texas El Paso 75 - Mcneese State 60	0.929	Texas El Paso 82 - Mcneese State 72	5
The Citadel 89 - Unranked 58		The Citadel 102 - Unranked 62
Tulsa 73 - Alcorn State 61	0.873	Tulsa 83 - Alcorn State 62	-9
UMBC 67 - UNC Greensboro 69	0.535	UMBC 51 - UNC Greensboro 62	9
Wagner 90 - Unranked 50		Wagner 104 - Unranked 46

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal State Fullerton 88 - Unranked 54		Cal State Fullerton 93 - Unranked 78
Creighton 68 - Villanova 72	0.617	Creighton 79 - Villanova 59	-24
East Carolina 66 - Liberty 67	0.503	East Carolina 64 - Liberty 74	9
Florida Atlantic 90 - Unranked 56		Florida Atlantic 78 - Unranked 55
Fresno State 76 - Cal Poly 54	0.965	Fresno State 83 - Cal Poly 48	-13
Gardner Webb 84 - Unranked 53		Gardner Webb 79 - Unranked 46
Mississippi State 77 - Furman 69	0.732	Mississippi State 69 - Furman 66	5
NC State 74 - Richmond 73	0.517	NC State 74 - Richmond 83	10
Pacific 65 - North Dakota State 67	0.545	Pacific 61 - North Dakota State 73	10
Portland 70 - San Jose State 69	0.505	Portland 78 - San Jose State 90	13
Sacramento State 83 - Unranked 55		Sacramento State 67 - Unranked 53
San Diego State 65 - Saint Marys 68	0.609	San Diego State 63 - Saint Marys 53	-13
Santa Clara 81 - Florida AM 59	0.948	Santa Clara 80 - Florida AM 66	8
Tarleton State 61 - South Alabama 72	0.801	Tarleton State 65 - South Alabama 52	-24
Texas San Antonio 73 - Texas Pan American 71	0.559	Texas San Antonio 50 - Texas Pan American 68	20
Utah Valley 91 - Unranked 49		Utah Valley 107 - Unranked 65
Virginia Tech 69 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.525	Virginia Tech 86 - Saint Bonaventure 49	-36
Wake Forest 79 - Charlotte 65	0.866	Wake Forest 82 - Charlotte 79	11
Western Michigan 83 - Unranked 61		Western Michigan 67 - Unranked 56

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 88 - Jacksonville State 59	0.965	Alabama 65 - Jacksonville State 59	23
Alabama Birmingham 71 - West Virginia 70	0.564	Alabama Birmingham 59 - West Virginia 65	7
Arizona 88 - Cal Baptist 60	0.962	Arizona 84 - Cal Baptist 60	4
Arkansas 81 - Hofstra 68	0.829	Arkansas 81 - Hofstra 89	21
Arkansas Pine Bluff 81 - Unranked 61		Arkansas Pine Bluff 97 - Unranked 56
Belmont 96 - Unranked 49		Belmont 115 - Unranked 86
Boston 70 - Marist 62	0.776	Boston 79 - Marist 84	13
Bradley 67 - Saint Josephs 69	0.564	Bradley 77 - Saint Josephs 73	-6
Bucknell 68 - La Salle 74	0.69	Bucknell 82 - La Salle 70	-18
Butler 62 - Purdue 79	0.852	Butler 48 - Purdue 77	12
Cal State Northridge 69 - Portland State 63	0.701	Cal State Northridge 69 - Portland State 66	3
Canisius 61 - Buffalo 83	0.964	Canisius 65 - Buffalo 64	-23
Central Connecticut State 67 - Hartford 73	0.685	Central Connecticut State 75 - Hartford 65	-16
Cincinnati 93 - Unranked 46		Cincinnati 71 - Unranked 57
Clemson 73 - South Carolina 69	0.606	Clemson 70 - South Carolina 56	-10
Colorado 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	0.77	Colorado 60 - Cal State Bakersfield 46	-3
Connecticut 74 - Providence 69	0.636	Connecticut 53 - Providence 57	9
Davidson 77 - Radford 58	0.935	Davidson 74 - Radford 54	-1
Delaware State 61 - North Carolina Central 73	0.796	Delaware State 53 - North Carolina Central 86	21
Duke 90 - Elon 57	0.994	Duke 87 - Elon 56	2
Eastern Kentucky 73 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.652	Eastern Kentucky 81 - Northern Kentucky 68	-7
Georgetown 68 - Texas Christian 74	0.649	Georgetown 73 - Texas Christian 80	1
Georgia 72 - George Mason 70	0.567	Georgia 67 - George Mason 80	15
Georgia Southern 85 - Unranked 53		Georgia Southern 85 - Unranked 51
Georgia State 90 - Unranked 56		Georgia State 92 - Unranked 44
Gonzaga 78 - Texas Tech 72	0.634	Gonzaga 69 - Texas Tech 55	-8
Grand Canyon 65 - San Francisco 73	0.74	Grand Canyon 49 - San Francisco 48	-9
High Point 70 - UNC Wilmington 63	0.665	High Point 69 - UNC Wilmington 71	9
Howard 72 - North Carolina AT 69	0.597	Howard 79 - North Carolina AT 57	-19
Idaho 84 - Unranked 61		Idaho 84 - Unranked 55
Idaho State 76 - Unranked 60		Idaho State 103 - Unranked 68
Illinois 87 - Saint Francis Penn 60	0.93	Illinois 106 - Saint Francis Penn 48	-31
Illinois State 76 - Ball State 74	0.571	Illinois State 85 - Ball State 64	-19
Indiana 76 - Notre Dame 66	0.784	Indiana 64 - Notre Dame 56	2
Indiana State 77 - Alabama AM 58	0.842	Indiana State 67 - Alabama AM 43	-5
Iowa 75 - Utah State 76	0.533	Iowa 94 - Utah State 75	-20
Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 51		Jacksonville 87 - Unranked 48
Kansas 83 - Stephen F Austin 63	0.927	Kansas 80 - Stephen F Austin 72	12
Kentucky 72 - North Carolina 76	0.638	Kentucky 98 - North Carolina 69	-33
Louisiana State 79 - Louisiana Tech 64	0.842	Louisiana State 66 - Louisiana Tech 57	6
Maine 70 - Unranked 63		Maine 86 - Unranked 50
Marshall 78 - Northern Iowa 69	0.761	Marshall 60 - Northern Iowa 75	24
Miami OH 74 - Bellarmine 68	0.687	Miami OH 68 - Bellarmine 77	15
Michigan 79 - Southern Utah 66	0.819	Michigan 87 - Southern Utah 50	-24
Mississippi 66 - Dayton 69	0.574	Mississippi 76 - Dayton 68	-11
Missouri 65 - Utah 77	0.762	Missouri 83 - Utah 75	-20
Missouri State 82 - Central Arkansas 60	0.928	Missouri State 106 - Central Arkansas 70	-14
Morehead State 88 - Unranked 51		Morehead State 87 - Unranked 47
Mt St Marys 70 - Morgan State 64	0.658	Mt St Marys 74 - Morgan State 60	-8
Murray State 72 - Chattanooga 67	0.642	Murray State 87 - Chattanooga 76	-6
Nevada 75 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.672	Nevada 68 - Loyola Marymount 63	2
New Mexico State 94 - Unranked 49		New Mexico State 93 - Unranked 60
Niagara 70 - Albany 55	0.894	Niagara 66 - Albany 58	7
Nicholls State 82 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.946	Nicholls State 104 - Mississippi Valley State 73	-8
North Alabama 82 - Unranked 53		North Alabama 106 - Unranked 40
North Dakota 67 - Dixie State 76	0.745	North Dakota 69 - Dixie State 78	0
North Florida 83 - Unranked 59		North Florida 92 - Unranked 44
Northern Arizona 63 - San Diego 71	0.765	Northern Arizona 59 - San Diego 69	2
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 61		Northwestern State 104 - Unranked 50
Oklahoma State 66 - Houston 76	0.722	Oklahoma State 61 - Houston 72	1
Oregon 64 - Baylor 80	0.82	Oregon 70 - Baylor 78	-8
Oregon State 64 - Texas AM 74	0.826	Oregon State 73 - Texas AM 83	0
Pepperdine 75 - SE Missouri State 65	0.759	Pepperdine 83 - SE Missouri State 77	4
Presbyterian 64 - Wofford 71	0.742	Presbyterian 49 - Wofford 76	20
Saint Johns 77 - Pittsburgh 64	0.825	Saint Johns 57 - Pittsburgh 59	15
Saint Louis 71 - Auburn 78	0.741	Saint Louis 70 - Auburn 74	-3
Sam Houston State 83 - Unranked 56		Sam Houston State 103 - Unranked 53
Samford 75 - Kennesaw St 68	0.679	Samford 85 - Kennesaw St 84	6
South Carolina State 68 - Tennessee State 69	0.506	South Carolina State 90 - Tennessee State 88	-3
South Carolina Upstate 79 - Unranked 60		South Carolina Upstate 78 - Unranked 38
South Florida 56 - Florida 75	0.867	South Florida 55 - Florida 66	-8
Southern California 79 - Georgia Tech 64	0.868	Southern California 67 - Georgia Tech 53	1
Southern Illinois 85 - Unranked 50		Southern Illinois 75 - Unranked 55
Stony Brook 71 - Saint Peters 63	0.718	Stony Brook 64 - Saint Peters 63	7
Texas AM CC 77 - Lamar 63	0.872	Texas AM CC 57 - Lamar 53	10
Texas State 90 - Unranked 49		Texas State 75 - Unranked 36
Troy 84 - Unranked 57		Troy 84 - Unranked 64
UC San Diego 86 - Unranked 53		UC San Diego 93 - Unranked 52
UL Monroe 73 - Southern Miss 64	0.691	UL Monroe 74 - Southern Miss 65	0
UNC Asheville 63 - East Tennessee State 71	0.764	UNC Asheville 79 - East Tennessee State 64	-23
Vanderbilt 76 - Austin Peay 62	0.832	Vanderbilt 77 - Austin Peay 51	-12
Virginia 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 52	0.966	Virginia 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 49	-5
Washington 72 - Seattle 69	0.569	Washington 64 - Seattle 56	-5
Washington State 76 - Northern Colorado 63	0.815	Washington State 82 - Northern Colorado 56	-13
Weber State 66 - Brigham Young 76	0.73	Weber State 71 - Brigham Young 89	8
Western Illinois 80 - Eastern Illinois 55	0.946	Western Illinois 71 - Eastern Illinois 54	8
Western Kentucky 67 - Louisville 72	0.653	Western Kentucky 82 - Louisville 72	-15
Wichita State 67 - North Texas 62	0.658	Wichita State 52 - North Texas 62	15
Wright State 74 - Tennessee Tech 69	0.649	Wright State 72 - Tennessee Tech 63	-4
Xavier 78 - Marquette 67	0.776	Xavier 80 - Marquette 71	2
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 54		Youngstown State 83 - Unranked 54

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 93 - Unranked 50		Abilene Christian 112 - Unranked 41
Arizona State 66 - San Francisco 75	0.774	Arizona State 65 - San Francisco 66	-8
Arkansas State 68 - Air Force 67	0.522	Arkansas State 68 - Air Force 46	-21
Boise State 93 - Unranked 47		Boise State 88 - Unranked 57
Bowling Green 80 - Robert Morris 64	0.904	Bowling Green 100 - Robert Morris 74	-10
California 75 - Dartmouth 60	0.874	California 61 - Dartmouth 55	9
Detroit 77 - Central Michigan 66	0.81	Detroit 89 - Central Michigan 75	-3
Drake 80 - Tennessee Martin 60	0.928	Drake 80 - Tennessee Martin 54	-6
Duquesne 60 - UC Irvine 72	0.797	Duquesne 76 - UC Irvine 54	-34
Florida Gulf Coast 70 - Mercer 69	0.55	Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Mercer 55	-11
Harvard 81 - Holy Cross 56	0.962	Harvard 62 - Holy Cross 54	17
Illinois Chicago 70 - Northern Illinois 63	0.704	Illinois Chicago 61 - Northern Illinois 60	6
Iowa State 83 - Southeast Louisiana 51	0.964	Iowa State 77 - Southeast Louisiana 54	9
Kent State 74 - Southern 60	0.889	Kent State 76 - Southern 78	16
Lipscomb 86 - Unranked 58		Lipscomb 98 - Unranked 64
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Army 70	0.594	LIU Brooklyn 90 - Army 65	-29
Massachusetts 76 - Fairfield 70	0.655	Massachusetts 77 - Fairfield 73	2
Middle Tennessee 70 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.598	Middle Tennessee 84 - Coastal Carolina 80	0
Monmouth 77 - Colgate 65	0.832	Monmouth 77 - Colgate 66	1
Montana State 73 - Portland 65	0.803	Montana State 61 - Portland 59	6
Nebraska 68 - Kansas State 74	0.687	Nebraska 58 - Kansas State 67	3
New Mexico 74 - Southern Methodist 77	0.588	New Mexico 72 - Southern Methodist 90	15
Oklahoma 79 - Texas Arlington 58	0.876	Oklahoma 70 - Texas Arlington 50	1
Pacific 66 - UC Davis 69	0.576	Pacific 67 - UC Davis 77	7
Richmond 74 - Old Dominion 62	0.786	Richmond 67 - Old Dominion 61	6
Santa Clara 77 - Montana 65	0.752	Santa Clara 79 - Montana 64	-3
SIU Edwardsville 83 - Unranked 56		SIU Edwardsville 84 - Unranked 29
Stanford 65 - Texas 75	0.801	Stanford 53 - Texas 60	-3
UC Santa Barbara 78 - Florida AM 60	0.916	UC Santa Barbara 73 - Florida AM 62	7
UMass Lowell 74 - Sacred Heart 65	0.793	UMass Lowell 70 - Sacred Heart 62	1

Number of DI Games: 193
Number Correct: 142 = 73.5%
Expected Number Correct: 147.095 = 76.2%
Average Error: 9.73
Average Signed Error: -0.69

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 90 - Alcorn State 50	0.997	Baylor 94 - Alcorn State 57	3
Central Arkansas 82 - Unranked 63		Central Arkansas 90 - Unranked 56
Charlotte 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.741	Charlotte 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	-8
Denver 64 - Western Illinois 73	0.757	Denver 80 - Western Illinois 84	-5
Georgia 77 - Western Carolina 66	0.786	Georgia 85 - Western Carolina 79	5
Gonzaga 90 - Northern Arizona 55	0.991	Gonzaga 95 - Northern Arizona 49	-11
Indiana State 90 - Unranked 55		Indiana State 78 - Unranked 69
Lamar 64 - UL Monroe 76	0.774	Lamar 77 - UL Monroe 80	-9
Manhattan 76 - Charleston Southern 64	0.744	Manhattan 99 - Charleston Southern 75	-12
Miami 77 - Stetson 59	0.924	Miami 82 - Stetson 72	8
New Mexico State 94 - Unranked 48		New Mexico State 84 - Unranked 59
Northwestern 95 - Unranked 49		Northwestern 90 - Unranked 50
Notre Dame 79 - Western Michigan 61	0.911	Notre Dame 85 - Western Michigan 52	-15
Omaha 67 - Saint Thomas 75	0.712	Omaha 73 - Saint Thomas 80	-1
Purdue 92 - Incarnate Word 52	0.992	Purdue 79 - Incarnate Word 59	20
Rider 81 - Unranked 58		Rider 82 - Unranked 57
South Dakota 70 - Oral Roberts 71	0.54	South Dakota 73 - Oral Roberts 82	8
South Dakota State 78 - UMKC 65	0.787	South Dakota State 89 - UMKC 57	-19
The Citadel 80 - South Carolina State 66	0.862	The Citadel 57 - South Carolina State 74	31
Valparaiso 70 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.541	Valparaiso 67 - Eastern Michigan 55	-11
Wagner 84 - Delaware State 49	0.955	Wagner 93 - Delaware State 51	-7

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 79 - Davidson 69	0.751	Alabama 78 - Davidson 79	11
Arkansas 85 - Elon 62	0.957	Arkansas 81 - Elon 55	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 65 - Jacksonville State 72	0.736	Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Jacksonville State 87	13
Arkansas State 88 - Unranked 54		Arkansas State 88 - Unranked 66
Ball State 75 - Eastern Illinois 60	0.815	Ball State 75 - Eastern Illinois 55	-5
Bellarmine 68 - Loyola Marymount 70	0.57	Bellarmine 57 - Loyola Marymount 71	12
Bowling Green 91 - Unranked 56		Bowling Green 129 - Unranked 50
Cal Baptist 78 - SE Missouri State 63	0.898	Cal Baptist 84 - SE Missouri State 68	-1
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Dartmouth 62	0.65	Cal State Bakersfield 61 - Dartmouth 57	2
Charleston Southern 72 - South Carolina State 71	0.533	Charleston Southern 65 - South Carolina State 75	11
Cincinnati 80 - Tennessee Tech 55	0.951	Cincinnati 76 - Tennessee Tech 67	16
Dayton 77 - Southern 60	0.837	Dayton 69 - Southern 60	8
East Carolina 75 - Southern Miss 60	0.892	East Carolina 68 - Southern Miss 67	14
Furman 76 - Presbyterian 63	0.867	Furman 75 - Presbyterian 61	-1
George Mason 79 - American 59	0.875	George Mason 67 - American 44	-3
Georgia Tech 77 - Georgia State 67	0.743	Georgia Tech 72 - Georgia State 62	0
Harvard 74 - Howard 67	0.669	Harvard 77 - Howard 69	-1
High Point 67 - Florida Atlantic 74	0.697	High Point 55 - Florida Atlantic 52	-10
Illinois State 77 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.71	Illinois State 81 - Texas San Antonio 64	-7
Iona 75 - Delaware 65	0.83	Iona 83 - Delaware 72	-1
Iowa 88 - Southeast Louisiana 58	0.967	Iowa 93 - Southeast Louisiana 62	-1
Iowa State 83 - Chicago State 48	0.962	Iowa State 79 - Chicago State 48	4
IUPUI 51 - Morehead State 74	0.947	IUPUI 52 - Morehead State 80	5
Kansas State 79 - Mcneese State 57	0.964	Kansas State 74 - Mcneese State 59	7
Lehigh 66 - Albany 67	0.55	Lehigh 52 - Albany 68	15
Maine 53 - Merrimack 69	0.903	Maine 47 - Merrimack 49	-14
Marquette 73 - Connecticut 75	0.558	Marquette 70 - Connecticut 78	6
Miami OH 89 - Unranked 56		Miami OH 80 - Unranked 56
Mississippi 76 - Samford 64	0.839	Mississippi 73 - Samford 75	14
Mississippi State 79 - Winthrop 63	0.879	Mississippi State 84 - Winthrop 63	-5
NC State 81 - Wright State 65	0.896	NC State 70 - Wright State 84	30
New Mexico 77 - Norfolk State 69	0.757	New Mexico 68 - Norfolk State 54	-6
North Carolina 79 - Appalachian State 61	0.892	North Carolina 70 - Appalachian State 50	-2
North Carolina AT 83 - Unranked 57		North Carolina AT 88 - Unranked 63
Northern Colorado 90 - Unranked 53		Northern Colorado 90 - Unranked 54
Oakland 63 - Michigan State 78	0.892	Oakland 78 - Michigan State 90	-3
Ohio 79 - South Carolina Upstate 55	0.97	Ohio 85 - South Carolina Upstate 70	9
Oregon 79 - Pepperdine 64	0.815	Oregon 68 - Pepperdine 59	6
Oregon State 71 - Nicholls State 72	0.527	Oregon State 83 - Nicholls State 61	-23
Pittsburgh 64 - Jacksonville 61	0.601	Pittsburgh 64 - Jacksonville 55	-6
Princeton 92 - Unranked 53		Princeton 100 - Unranked 59
Sam Houston State 63 - Bradley 71	0.738	Sam Houston State 61 - Bradley 87	18
San Jose State 69 - Santa Clara 75	0.663	San Jose State 57 - Santa Clara 79	16
South Alabama 76 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.812	South Alabama 84 - SIU Edwardsville 69	-2
Tarleton State 65 - Air Force 60	0.641	Tarleton State 67 - Air Force 45	-17
Tennessee State 82 - Unranked 59		Tennessee State 108 - Unranked 66
Texas AM 84 - Northwestern State 59	0.962	Texas AM 80 - Northwestern State 61	6
Texas Christian 81 - Grambling State 54	0.975	Texas Christian 90 - Grambling State 55	-8
Texas El Paso 75 - North Carolina Central 60	0.882	Texas El Paso 70 - North Carolina Central 61	6
The Citadel 74 - Manhattan 69	0.624	The Citadel 74 - Manhattan 77	8
Toledo 78 - Marshall 72	0.701	Toledo 95 - Marshall 63	-26
UNC Asheville 86 - Unranked 54		UNC Asheville 114 - Unranked 54
Utah 70 - Fresno State 69	0.544	Utah 55 - Fresno State 50	-4
Utah State 85 - Portland State 55	0.981	Utah State 81 - Portland State 62	11
Villanova 69 - Xavier 71	0.545	Villanova 71 - Xavier 58	-15
Washington 67 - Utah Valley 70	0.565	Washington 52 - Utah Valley 68	13

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Longwood 62	0.775	Abilene Christian 74 - Longwood 58	-3
Alabama Birmingham 89 - Mississippi Valley State 54	0.979	Alabama Birmingham 100 - Mississippi Valley State 58	-7
Auburn 78 - Murray State 69	0.75	Auburn 71 - Murray State 58	-4
Cal State Northridge 83 - Unranked 56		Cal State Northridge 80 - Unranked 82
California 73 - Pacific 61	0.83	California 73 - Pacific 53	-8
Canisius 63 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.794	Canisius 97 - Florida Gulf Coast 90	-17
Central Florida 76 - North Alabama 57	0.952	Central Florida 75 - North Alabama 64	8
Charlotte 74 - Western Carolina 67	0.692	Charlotte 98 - Western Carolina 82	-9
Chattanooga 72 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.673	Chattanooga 77 - Middle Tennessee 65	-6
Davidson 93 - Unranked 49		Davidson 106 - Unranked 64
Denver 68 - Saint Thomas 69	0.558	Denver 75 - Saint Thomas 74	-2
Drake 80 - Chicago State 55	0.939	Drake 87 - Chicago State 50	-12
Duke 75 - Virginia Tech 67	0.682	Duke 76 - Virginia Tech 65	-3
Florida 78 - Stony Brook 62	0.819	Florida 87 - Stony Brook 62	-9
Georgia 71 - East Tennessee State 68	0.581	Georgia 84 - East Tennessee State 86	5
Hawaii 67 - Vanderbilt 74	0.758	Hawaii 54 - Vanderbilt 68	7
Houston 77 - Texas State 59	0.894	Houston 80 - Texas State 47	-15
Indiana 80 - Northern Kentucky 57	0.952	Indiana 79 - Northern Kentucky 61	5
Kentucky 77 - Western Kentucky 68	0.726	Kentucky 95 - Western Kentucky 60	-26
Lafayette 82 - Unranked 58		Lafayette 87 - Unranked 66
Louisiana State 88 - Lipscomb 52	0.962	Louisiana State 95 - Lipscomb 60	1
Louisiana Tech 96 - Unranked 50		Louisiana Tech 99 - Unranked 56
Marist 72 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.794	Marist 68 - Bethune Cookman 45	-13
Mercer 73 - Troy 65	0.718	Mercer 65 - Troy 69	12
Minnesota 83 - Green Bay 53	0.984	Minnesota 72 - Green Bay 56	14
Missouri 64 - Illinois 81	0.804	Missouri 63 - Illinois 88	8
Monmouth 74 - Hofstra 68	0.656	Monmouth 71 - Hofstra 77	12
Montana State 87 - Unranked 52		Montana State 124 - Unranked 73
Navy 68 - Towson 67	0.547	Navy 52 - Towson 69	18
Nebraska 78 - Kennesaw St 68	0.738	Nebraska 88 - Kennesaw St 74	-4
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - San Diego 65	0.651	Nevada Las Vegas 80 - San Diego 57	-18
North Dakota State 76 - North Dakota 58	0.908	North Dakota State 86 - North Dakota 76	8
Northern Iowa 65 - Liberty 66	0.512	Northern Iowa 74 - Liberty 76	1
Notre Dame 73 - Texas AM CC 65	0.754	Notre Dame 83 - Texas AM CC 73	-2
Oklahoma 83 - Alcorn State 55	0.959	Oklahoma 72 - Alcorn State 48	4
Old Dominion 68 - College of Charleston 70	0.53	Old Dominion 80 - College of Charleston 82	0
Omaha 63 - Western Illinois 78	0.853	Omaha 84 - Western Illinois 78	-21
Richmond 83 - Bucknell 61	0.947	Richmond 81 - Bucknell 50	-9
Sacred Heart 73 - Hartford 67	0.696	Sacred Heart 71 - Hartford 78	13
Saint Francis Penn 77 - Robert Morris 67	0.727	Saint Francis Penn 67 - Robert Morris 75	18
Saint Marys 73 - Missouri State 64	0.744	Saint Marys 75 - Missouri State 58	-8
Sam Houston State 70 - North Carolina Central 66	0.625	Sam Houston State 68 - North Carolina Central 51	-13
San Diego State 76 - UC San Diego 55	0.896	San Diego State 78 - UC San Diego 57	0
San Francisco 73 - Southern Illinois 59	0.867	San Francisco 64 - Southern Illinois 52	2
Seattle 88 - Unranked 54		Seattle 100 - Unranked 68
South Carolina 76 - Army 58	0.824	South Carolina 105 - Army 75	-12
South Dakota 68 - UMKC 65	0.593	South Dakota 57 - UMKC 68	14
South Dakota State 80 - Oral Roberts 71	0.68	South Dakota State 82 - Oral Roberts 76	3
South Florida 55 - Brigham Young 78	0.931	South Florida 39 - Brigham Young 54	-8
Southern Utah 78 - Dixie State 69	0.727	Southern Utah 87 - Dixie State 59	-19
Stanford 68 - Wyoming 74	0.672	Stanford 66 - Wyoming 63	-9
Stetson 81 - Unranked 54		Stetson 97 - Unranked 53
Temple 83 - Delaware State 51	0.962	Temple 85 - Delaware State 48	-5
Tennessee 71 - Arizona 76	0.637	Tennessee 77 - Arizona 73	-9
Texas 84 - Alabama State 53	0.982	Texas 68 - Alabama State 48	11
Texas Arlington 84 - Unranked 53		Texas Arlington 95 - Unranked 46
Texas El Paso 68 - Bradley 67	0.528	Texas El Paso 66 - Bradley 73	8
Texas Tech 79 - Eastern Washington 63	0.878	Texas Tech 78 - Eastern Washington 46	-16
UC Davis 76 - Portland 65	0.824	UC Davis 60 - Portland 65	16
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Idaho State 58	0.942	UC Santa Barbara 56 - Idaho State 43	8
UNC Wilmington 61 - Campbell 70	0.724	UNC Wilmington 65 - Campbell 58	-16
Valparaiso 75 - William and Mary 57	0.945	Valparaiso 88 - William and Mary 66	-4
Vermont 74 - Colgate 64	0.812	Vermont 78 - Colgate 68	0
Virginia 68 - Clemson 67	0.524	Virginia 50 - Clemson 67	18
Washington State 70 - Boise State 67	0.555	Washington State 52 - Boise State 58	9
West Virginia 79 - Youngstown State 59	0.929	West Virginia 82 - Youngstown State 52	-10
Wichita State 83 - Prairie View 62	0.95	Wichita State 102 - Prairie View 66	-15

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Fairfield 66 - Wagner 70	0.597	Fairfield 50 - Wagner 63	9
Hawaii 69 - South Florida 64	0.659	Hawaii 69 - South Florida 76	12
Milwaukee 81 - Unranked 57		Milwaukee 74 - Unranked 52
Pepperdine 88 - Unranked 55		Pepperdine 96 - Unranked 69
Stanford 70 - Liberty 67	0.574	Stanford 79 - Liberty 76	0
Vanderbilt 64 - Brigham Young 76	0.791	Vanderbilt 69 - Brigham Young 67	-14
Weber State 66 - Fresno State 71	0.655	Weber State 43 - Fresno State 69	21
Wyoming 74 - Northern Iowa 65	0.751	Wyoming 71 - Northern Iowa 69	7

GAMES OF 12-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brigham Young 75 - Liberty 61	0.808	Brigham Young 80 - Liberty 75	9
South Florida 56 - Wyoming 74	0.894	South Florida 57 - Wyoming 77	2

Number of DI Games: 131
Number Correct: 103 = 78.6%
Expected Number Correct: 102.121 = 77.9%
Average Error: 9.36
Average Signed Error: 0.08

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Syracuse 77 - Brown 69	0.73	Syracuse 93 - Brown 62	-23
Texas AM 95 - Unranked 48		Texas AM 102 - Unranked 52

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 92 - Northwestern State 53	0.994	Baylor 104 - Northwestern State 68	3
Boise State 68 - Fresno State 64	0.604	Boise State 65 - Fresno State 55	-6
Cal Baptist 89 - Unranked 53		Cal Baptist 96 - Unranked 41
Drake 93 - Unranked 50		Drake 82 - Unranked 53
Gonzaga 85 - North Alabama 55	0.985	Gonzaga 93 - North Alabama 63	0
Jacksonville State 89 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville State 123 - Unranked 59
Maryland 84 - Lehigh 55	0.987	Maryland 76 - Lehigh 55	8
Pittsburgh 65 - Notre Dame 69	0.615	Pittsburgh 67 - Notre Dame 68	-3
Saint Marys 76 - Yale 61	0.88	Saint Marys 87 - Yale 60	-12
San Francisco 95 - Unranked 46		San Francisco 111 - Unranked 78
Southern Illinois 74 - Grambling State 58	0.898	Southern Illinois 75 - Grambling State 64	5
Texas 82 - Incarnate Word 51	0.985	Texas 78 - Incarnate Word 33	-14
Texas Tech 86 - Alabama State 54	0.965	Texas Tech 75 - Alabama State 53	10

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 60 - Utah State 77	0.867	Air Force 49 - Utah State 47	-19
Alabama 74 - Tennessee 73	0.52	Alabama 73 - Tennessee 68	-4
Auburn 71 - Louisiana State 72	0.502	Auburn 70 - Louisiana State 55	-16
Brigham Young 98 - Unranked 47		Brigham Young 65 - Unranked 53
Buffalo 79 - Miami OH 67	0.803	Buffalo 81 - Miami OH 91	22
Butler 67 - DePaul 71	0.613	Butler 63 - DePaul 59	-8
Central Connecticut State 67 - Bryant 73	0.647	Central Connecticut State 76 - Bryant 80	-2
Elon 63 - Northeastern 72	0.754	Elon 79 - Northeastern 62	-26
Furman 78 - Samford 70	0.781	Furman 81 - Samford 49	-24
Georgia 74 - Gardner Webb 65	0.754	Georgia 60 - Gardner Webb 77	26
Indiana State 90 - Unranked 55		Indiana State 107 - Unranked 51
Iowa 85 - Western Illinois 65	0.894	Iowa 92 - Western Illinois 71	-1
Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 51		Jacksonville 98 - Unranked 45
Kansas 85 - Nevada 67	0.868	Kansas 88 - Nevada 61	-9
Kent State 79 - Central Michigan 63	0.914	Kent State 69 - Central Michigan 72	19
Kentucky 81 - Missouri 62	0.848	Kentucky 83 - Missouri 56	-8
Lehigh 80 - Unranked 62		Lehigh 70 - Unranked 63
Louisville 73 - Wake Forest 70	0.578	Louisville 73 - Wake Forest 69	-1
Merrimack 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	0.653	Merrimack 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	-4
Miami 77 - NC State 71	0.674	Miami 91 - NC State 83	-2
Michigan State 85 - High Point 54	0.992	Michigan State 81 - High Point 68	18
Mississippi State 74 - Arkansas 71	0.598	Mississippi State 81 - Arkansas 68	-10
Morehead State 76 - Eastern Illinois 54	0.948	Morehead State 63 - Eastern Illinois 50	9
Providence 70 - Seton Hall 72	0.558	Providence 70 - Seton Hall 65	-7
Purdue 87 - Nicholls State 61	0.938	Purdue 104 - Nicholls State 90	12
Sacred Heart 69 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.54	Sacred Heart 69 - LIU Brooklyn 65	-6
Saint Francis Penn 62 - Wagner 75	0.756	Saint Francis Penn 64 - Wagner 72	-5
Saint Thomas 86 - Unranked 57		Saint Thomas 97 - Unranked 45
Stony Brook 88 - Unranked 54		Stony Brook 87 - Unranked 57
Syracuse 83 - Cornell 72	0.774	Syracuse 80 - Cornell 68	-1
Texas AM 86 - Central Arkansas 57	0.977	Texas AM 85 - Central Arkansas 59	3
Toledo 83 - Western Michigan 60	0.931	Toledo 83 - Western Michigan 56	-4
Tulane 65 - Memphis 79	0.823	Tulane 85 - Memphis 84	-15
Tulsa 69 - Southern Methodist 75	0.652	Tulsa 69 - Southern Methodist 74	-1
UNC Wilmington 64 - Delaware 71	0.684	UNC Wilmington 70 - Delaware 68	-9
William and Mary 59 - Hofstra 82	0.943	William and Mary 63 - Hofstra 62	-24
Wisconsin 81 - Illinois State 62	0.921	Wisconsin 89 - Illinois State 85	15
Wofford 76 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.857	Wofford 73 - Virginia Military Institute 80	20
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 55		Youngstown State 96 - Unranked 56

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Texas El Paso 63	0.883	Alabama Birmingham 75 - Texas El Paso 62	-1
Appalachian State 69 - UL Lafayette 68	0.548	Appalachian State 55 - UL Lafayette 71	17
Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Georgia Southern 72	0.717	Arkansas Little Rock 78 - Georgia Southern 66	-18
Austin Peay 72 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.67	Austin Peay 62 - Tennessee Martin 65	8
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.512	Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Cal State Fullerton 73	7
Central Florida 68 - Michigan 73	0.637	Central Florida 85 - Michigan 71	-19
Chattanooga 72 - East Tennessee State 66	0.678	Chattanooga 82 - East Tennessee State 52	-24
Cleveland State 75 - IPFW 64	0.785	Cleveland State 90 - IPFW 81	2
Coastal Carolina 72 - UL Monroe 69	0.577	Coastal Carolina 94 - UL Monroe 64	-27
Dixie State 65 - Tarleton State 70	0.634	Dixie State 69 - Tarleton State 83	9
Florida International 68 - Old Dominion 65	0.587	Florida International 77 - Old Dominion 82	8
Grand Canyon 78 - Chicago State 53	0.958	Grand Canyon 80 - Chicago State 63	8
Kennesaw St 85 - Unranked 59		Kennesaw St 108 - Unranked 51
La Salle 66 - Fordham 69	0.582	La Salle 61 - Fordham 69	5
Lipscomb 73 - Alabama AM 60	0.809	Lipscomb 66 - Alabama AM 63	10
Louisiana Tech 80 - Marshall 69	0.773	Louisiana Tech 79 - Marshall 56	-12
Maryland 74 - Brown 64	0.847	Maryland 81 - Brown 67	-4
Mcneese State 83 - Unranked 59		Mcneese State 115 - Unranked 66
Missouri State 92 - Unranked 51		Missouri State 103 - Unranked 56
Montana 74 - Idaho State 56	0.911	Montana 78 - Idaho State 54	-6
Montana State 70 - Weber State 68	0.57	Montana State 75 - Weber State 85	12
Murray State 84 - SE Missouri State 58	0.957	Murray State 106 - SE Missouri State 81	1
North Dakota State 69 - South Dakota State 75	0.628	North Dakota State 86 - South Dakota State 90	-2
Northern Kentucky 69 - Green Bay 63	0.698	Northern Kentucky 79 - Green Bay 74	1
Oakland 80 - Robert Morris 60	0.929	Oakland 79 - Robert Morris 61	2
Oral Roberts 76 - Denver 64	0.809	Oral Roberts 83 - Denver 66	-5
Oregon State 67 - Utah 75	0.718	Oregon State 88 - Utah 76	-20
Portland State 65 - Eastern Washington 74	0.782	Portland State 58 - Eastern Washington 63	-4
Presbyterian 82 - Unranked 55		Presbyterian 91 - Unranked 49
Richmond 76 - Saint Josephs 66	0.807	Richmond 56 - Saint Josephs 83	37
Rutgers 81 - Maine 48	0.964	Rutgers 80 - Maine 64	17
Sam Houston State 71 - Lamar 63	0.725	Sam Houston State 75 - Lamar 64	-3
Southern Utah 75 - Sacramento State 62	0.807	Southern Utah 64 - Sacramento State 51	0
Stetson 82 - Unranked 55		Stetson 77 - Unranked 65
Texas Arlington 65 - South Alabama 72	0.681	Texas Arlington 89 - South Alabama 87	-9
Texas State 74 - Troy 61	0.845	Texas State 63 - Troy 78	28
UC San Diego 68 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.556	UC San Diego 85 - UC Santa Barbara 83	-4
Utah Valley 69 - Abilene Christian 68	0.529	Utah Valley 76 - Abilene Christian 80	5
Wright State 74 - Milwaukee 64	0.772	Wright State 80 - Milwaukee 75	5

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bryant 74 - Sacred Heart 68	0.654	Bryant 85 - Sacred Heart 82	3
Central Arkansas 83 - Unranked 63		Central Arkansas 119 - Unranked 47
College of Charleston 74 - Delaware 70	0.613	College of Charleston 66 - Delaware 67	5
Eastern Kentucky 91 - Unranked 58		Eastern Kentucky 106 - Unranked 52
Kentucky 84 - High Point 55	0.952	Kentucky 92 - High Point 48	-15
Liberty 90 - Unranked 50		Liberty 91 - Unranked 60
Merrimack 64 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.505	Merrimack 82 - LIU Brooklyn 77	-6
New Orleans 85 - Unranked 58		New Orleans 94 - Unranked 54
Quinnipiac 67 - Niagara 69	0.557	Quinnipiac 77 - Niagara 68	-11
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.61	Saint Francis Brooklyn 55 - Central Connecticut State 67	16
Saint Francis Penn 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.712	Saint Francis Penn 62 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	17
Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 55		Texas AM CC 101 - Unranked 49
William and Mary 57 - Northeastern 75	0.894	William and Mary 71 - Northeastern 70	-19
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 56		Winthrop 78 - Unranked 40

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 69 - Buffalo 71	0.555	Akron 88 - Buffalo 76	-14
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Texas San Antonio 59	0.911	Alabama Birmingham 87 - Texas San Antonio 59	-7
American 71 - Lehigh 65	0.636	American 61 - Lehigh 63	8
Appalachian State 70 - UL Monroe 69	0.522	Appalachian State 77 - UL Monroe 69	-7
Arkansas State 69 - Georgia Southern 68	0.533	Arkansas State 74 - Georgia Southern 56	-17
Army 67 - Loyola MD 69	0.55	Army 77 - Loyola MD 74	-5
Ball State 71 - Bowling Green 75	0.587	Ball State 81 - Bowling Green 80	-5
Boston 74 - Bucknell 63	0.797	Boston 63 - Bucknell 61	9
Cincinnati 77 - Tulane 61	0.876	Cincinnati 60 - Tulane 68	24
Coastal Carolina 72 - UL Lafayette 68	0.602	Coastal Carolina 64 - UL Lafayette 65	5
DePaul 70 - Providence 71	0.544	DePaul 53 - Providence 70	16
Dixie State 65 - Abilene Christian 78	0.826	Dixie State 50 - Abilene Christian 64	1
Florida International 88 - Unranked 53		Florida International 95 - Unranked 72
Holy Cross 54 - Navy 75	0.947	Holy Cross 56 - Navy 70	-7
Iowa State 67 - Baylor 75	0.699	Iowa State 72 - Baylor 77	-3
Kansas 84 - George Mason 62	0.925	Kansas 76 - George Mason 67	13
Kent State 67 - Toledo 73	0.665	Kent State 66 - Toledo 63	-9
Louisiana Tech 76 - Western Kentucky 70	0.651	Louisiana Tech 74 - Western Kentucky 73	5
Marquette 73 - Creighton 75	0.549	Marquette 69 - Creighton 75	4
Miami 72 - Wake Forest 73	0.502	Miami 92 - Wake Forest 84	-9
Montana 69 - Weber State 70	0.523	Montana 74 - Weber State 72	-3
Montana State 76 - Idaho State 54	0.964	Montana State 60 - Idaho State 40	2
NC State 70 - Florida State 76	0.65	NC State 81 - Florida State 83	-4
Nevada 79 - New Mexico 71	0.689	Nevada 79 - New Mexico 70	-1
Nevada Las Vegas 65 - San Diego State 72	0.721	Nevada Las Vegas 55 - San Diego State 62	0
New Mexico State 82 - Chicago State 52	0.963	New Mexico State 78 - Chicago State 61	13
North Texas 75 - Rice 63	0.82	North Texas 75 - Rice 43	-20
Northern Arizona 66 - Eastern Washington 75	0.747	Northern Arizona 65 - Eastern Washington 78	4
Northern Kentucky 69 - Milwaukee 62	0.751	Northern Kentucky 55 - Milwaukee 61	13
Oakland 75 - Youngstown State 65	0.76	Oakland 87 - Youngstown State 72	-5
Oklahoma 73 - Kansas State 65	0.707	Oklahoma 71 - Kansas State 69	6
Oral Roberts 79 - Omaha 64	0.836	Oral Roberts 107 - Omaha 62	-30
Oregon 74 - Utah 71	0.555	Oregon 79 - Utah 66	-10
Rutgers 79 - Central Connecticut State 56	0.922	Rutgers 79 - Central Connecticut State 48	-8
Saint Thomas 71 - Western Illinois 72	0.541	Saint Thomas 89 - Western Illinois 66	-24
SE Missouri State 69 - Austin Peay 72	0.584	SE Missouri State 98 - Austin Peay 79	-22
Seton Hall 72 - Villanova 70	0.548	Seton Hall 67 - Villanova 73	8
Southern Utah 74 - Northern Colorado 69	0.648	Southern Utah 81 - Northern Colorado 91	15
Syracuse 71 - Virginia 70	0.508	Syracuse 69 - Virginia 74	6
Texas 68 - West Virginia 66	0.547	Texas 74 - West Virginia 59	-13
Texas Arlington 69 - Troy 66	0.59	Texas Arlington 62 - Troy 57	-2
UC San Diego 69 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.613	UC San Diego 72 - Cal State Northridge 64	-4
Utah Valley 69 - Tarleton State 60	0.718	Utah Valley 77 - Tarleton State 55	-13
Virginia Military Institute 68 - Furman 76	0.756	Virginia Military Institute 76 - Furman 67	-17
Western Michigan 61 - Ohio 77	0.899	Western Michigan 47 - Ohio 59	-4
Wichita State 73 - Memphis 71	0.54	Wichita State 64 - Memphis 82	20
Wright State 74 - Green Bay 65	0.732	Wright State 72 - Green Bay 69	6

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Binghamton 62 - UMass Lowell 71	0.761	Binghamton 68 - UMass Lowell 63	-14
Boston College 66 - North Carolina 77	0.776	Boston College 65 - North Carolina 91	15
California 68 - Arizona State 70	0.546	California 74 - Arizona State 50	-26
Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 52		Coastal Carolina 76 - Unranked 62
Cornell 77 - Dartmouth 68	0.783	Cornell 79 - Dartmouth 71	1
Georgia Tech 68 - Louisville 72	0.618	Georgia Tech 64 - Louisville 67	-1
Incarnate Word 81 - Unranked 59		Incarnate Word 90 - Unranked 45
Indiana State 69 - Bradley 71	0.561	Indiana State 76 - Bradley 71	-7
Iona 77 - Marist 62	0.896	Iona 69 - Marist 66	12
Missouri State 71 - Drake 70	0.523	Missouri State 61 - Drake 56	-4
Nebraska 66 - Ohio State 83	0.913	Nebraska 79 - Ohio State 87	-9
NJ Tech 71 - Maine 55	0.9	NJ Tech 69 - Maine 66	13
Northern Iowa 74 - Evansville 61	0.871	Northern Iowa 83 - Evansville 61	-9
Northwestern 67 - Michigan State 77	0.813	Northwestern 67 - Michigan State 73	-4
Penn State 69 - Indiana 71	0.566	Penn State 61 - Indiana 58	-5
Pennsylvania 68 - Brown 71	0.61	Pennsylvania 77 - Brown 73	-7
Rhode Island 91 - Unranked 49		Rhode Island 70 - Unranked 55
Saint Louis 72 - Richmond 70	0.578	Saint Louis 76 - Richmond 69	-5
Southern Methodist 73 - Central Florida 71	0.557	Southern Methodist 72 - Central Florida 60	-10
Temple 60 - Houston 79	0.88	Temple 61 - Houston 66	-14
Valparaiso 72 - Illinois State 70	0.585	Valparaiso 81 - Illinois State 76	-3

Number of DI Games: 148
Number Correct: 94 = 63.5%
Expected Number Correct: 108.033 = 72.9%
Average Error: 9.9
Average Signed Error: -1.64

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 86 - Washington 60	0.938	Arizona 95 - Washington 79	10
Arkansas Pine Bluff 67 - Alabama AM 63	0.611	Arkansas Pine Bluff 50 - Alabama AM 70	24
Bethune Cookman 67 - Florida AM 66	0.506	Bethune Cookman 66 - Florida AM 59	-6
Drexel 67 - Towson 73	0.708	Drexel 65 - Towson 61	-10
Houston Baptist 79 - Unranked 61		Houston Baptist 94 - Unranked 63
Iowa 77 - Maryland 70	0.733	Iowa 80 - Maryland 75	2
Mississippi Valley State 68 - Alabama State 76	0.71	Mississippi Valley State 75 - Alabama State 84	1
Purdue 76 - Wisconsin 69	0.687	Purdue 69 - Wisconsin 74	12
Sam Houston State 71 - Texas Pan American 69	0.551	Sam Houston State 86 - Texas Pan American 78	-6
Southern 67 - Texas Southern 70	0.591	Southern 63 - Texas Southern 50	-16
Texas San Antonio 83 - Unranked 58		Texas San Antonio 101 - Unranked 48

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 65 - Ohio 66	0.509	Akron 63 - Ohio 69	5
Arkansas 74 - Vanderbilt 70	0.649	Arkansas 74 - Vanderbilt 75	5
Ball State 68 - Kent State 71	0.586	Ball State 65 - Kent State 66	-2
Baylor 79 - Oklahoma 67	0.806	Baylor 84 - Oklahoma 74	2
Bucknell 69 - Army 70	0.505	Bucknell 89 - Army 96	6
Butler 64 - Seton Hall 73	0.735	Butler 56 - Seton Hall 71	6
Central Michigan 63 - Toledo 82	0.893	Central Michigan 54 - Toledo 82	9
Clemson 70 - Virginia 64	0.658	Clemson 65 - Virginia 75	16
Colorado State 80 - Air Force 55	0.935	Colorado State 67 - Air Force 59	17
Duke 81 - Georgia Tech 62	0.934	Duke 69 - Georgia Tech 57	7
Eastern Kentucky 82 - Central Arkansas 67	0.837	Eastern Kentucky 72 - Central Arkansas 79	22
Georgia 66 - Texas AM 77	0.837	Georgia 79 - Texas AM 81	-9
Kansas State 62 - Texas 70	0.768	Kansas State 57 - Texas 70	5
Lehigh 65 - Colgate 75	0.789	Lehigh 85 - Colgate 81	-14
Lipscomb 68 - North Alabama 69	0.543	Lipscomb 84 - North Alabama 74	-11
Louisiana State 73 - Kentucky 68	0.623	Louisiana State 65 - Kentucky 60	0
Loyola MD 74 - Holy Cross 59	0.907	Loyola MD 79 - Holy Cross 70	6
Marquette 69 - Providence 74	0.671	Marquette 88 - Providence 56	-37
Memphis 79 - Tulsa 66	0.805	Memphis 67 - Tulsa 64	10
Minnesota 71 - Illinois 73	0.566	Minnesota 53 - Illinois 76	21
Navy 68 - Boston 62	0.704	Navy 83 - Boston 71	-6
Oklahoma State 69 - Kansas 79	0.768	Oklahoma State 63 - Kansas 74	1
Rutgers 66 - Michigan 74	0.673	Rutgers 75 - Michigan 67	-16
South Carolina 64 - Auburn 78	0.82	South Carolina 66 - Auburn 81	1
Stetson 61 - Liberty 72	0.803	Stetson 59 - Liberty 75	5
Virginia Tech 77 - NC State 65	0.781	Virginia Tech 63 - NC State 68	17
Wake Forest 72 - Florida State 73	0.519	Wake Forest 76 - Florida State 54	-23
Western Michigan 67 - Eastern Michigan 73	0.677	Western Michigan 79 - Eastern Michigan 85	0

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 69 - Alabama State 71	0.546	Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Alabama State 68	-4
Bradley 68 - Missouri State 70	0.576	Bradley 69 - Missouri State 71	0
Buffalo 77 - Bowling Green 71	0.662	Buffalo 99 - Bowling Green 88	-5
Campbell 67 - UNC Asheville 65	0.534	Campbell 54 - UNC Asheville 60	8
Central Florida 75 - Temple 65	0.759	Central Florida 62 - Temple 66	14
Charleston Southern 61 - Gardner Webb 75	0.803	Charleston Southern 63 - Gardner Webb 88	11
Cleveland State 76 - IPFW 64	0.834	Cleveland State 65 - IPFW 58	5
Dayton 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 66	0.522	Dayton 52 - Virginia Commonwealth 53	0
East Carolina 71 - Tulane 70	0.531	East Carolina 88 - Tulane 80	-7
East Tennessee State 70 - Virginia Military Institute 69	0.552	East Tennessee State 80 - Virginia Military Institute 79	0
Florida 72 - Alabama 76	0.584	Florida 70 - Alabama 83	9
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - North Florida 65	0.829	Florida Gulf Coast 74 - North Florida 67	5
Florida International 75 - Bethune Cookman 61	0.862	Florida International 68 - Bethune Cookman 65	11
Grambling State 63 - Texas Southern 74	0.769	Grambling State 61 - Texas Southern 67	-5
Green Bay 67 - Milwaukee 66	0.526	Green Bay 49 - Milwaukee 63	15
Iowa State 69 - Texas Tech 67	0.551	Iowa State 51 - Texas Tech 47	-2
Jackson State 69 - Alcorn State 62	0.705	Jackson State 50 - Alcorn State 65	22
Long Beach State 89 - Unranked 59		Long Beach State 90 - Unranked 64
Longwood 85 - Unranked 53		Longwood 109 - Unranked 69
Louisville 73 - Pittsburgh 61	0.822	Louisville 75 - Pittsburgh 72	9
Mercer 71 - Samford 69	0.56	Mercer 83 - Samford 80	-1
Miami 78 - Syracuse 74	0.597	Miami 88 - Syracuse 87	3
Michigan State 86 - Nebraska 63	0.958	Michigan State 79 - Nebraska 67	11
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Alabama AM 69	0.6	Mississippi Valley State 67 - Alabama AM 72	1
Morgan State 79 - Unranked 62		Morgan State 100 - Unranked 41
North Carolina AT 66 - Presbyterian 67	0.514	North Carolina AT 65 - Presbyterian 57	-9
Northern Arizona 82 - Unranked 59		Northern Arizona 101 - Unranked 54
Northern Iowa 71 - Valparaiso 67	0.658	Northern Iowa 92 - Valparaiso 65	-23
Northwestern 70 - Penn State 68	0.566	Northwestern 70 - Penn State 74	6
Notre Dame 69 - North Carolina 76	0.671	Notre Dame 78 - North Carolina 73	-12
Richmond 77 - Massachusetts 71	0.653	Richmond 80 - Massachusetts 72	-2
Robert Morris 66 - Youngstown State 74	0.739	Robert Morris 60 - Youngstown State 64	-4
Saint Johns 75 - DePaul 74	0.53	Saint Johns 89 - DePaul 84	-4
Saint Josephs 69 - Davidson 74	0.634	Saint Josephs 73 - Davidson 88	10
South Florida 53 - Houston 79	0.943	South Florida 66 - Houston 83	-9
Tennessee 77 - Mississippi 60	0.835	Tennessee 66 - Mississippi 60	11
UNC Greensboro 67 - Furman 70	0.583	UNC Greensboro 54 - Furman 58	1
Villanova 74 - Creighton 67	0.667	Villanova 75 - Creighton 41	-27
Western Carolina 73 - The Citadel 71	0.549	Western Carolina 94 - The Citadel 90	-2
Wofford 67 - Chattanooga 71	0.631	Wofford 67 - Chattanooga 75	4

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 74 - Stephen F Austin 64	0.753	Abilene Christian 58 - Stephen F Austin 64	16
Albany 65 - Binghamton 63	0.584	Albany 79 - Binghamton 88	11
Belmont 86 - SE Missouri State 60	0.952	Belmont 102 - SE Missouri State 62	-14
Brigham Young 83 - Pacific 57	0.96	Brigham Young 73 - Pacific 51	4
California 64 - Southern California 74	0.762	California 63 - Southern California 77	4
Chicago State 61 - Seattle 74	0.823	Chicago State 77 - Seattle 93	3
Cincinnati 69 - Southern Methodist 71	0.551	Cincinnati 77 - Southern Methodist 60	-19
Colorado 68 - Washington State 69	0.504	Colorado 83 - Washington State 78	-6
Eastern Washington 70 - Montana 68	0.557	Eastern Washington 78 - Montana 90	14
Georgia State 69 - Texas Arlington 70	0.52	Georgia State 63 - Texas Arlington 70	6
Houston Baptist 66 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.685	Houston Baptist 81 - Southeast Louisiana 90	4
Idaho 65 - Montana State 75	0.716	Idaho 72 - Montana State 92	10
Illinois 78 - Maryland 66	0.763	Illinois 76 - Maryland 64	0
Incarnate Word 65 - Nicholls State 78	0.821	Incarnate Word 56 - Nicholls State 87	18
Indiana 70 - Ohio State 75	0.641	Indiana 67 - Ohio State 51	-21
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Mt St Marys 67	0.546	LIU Brooklyn 74 - Mt St Marys 57	-15
Mcneese State 69 - New Orleans 73	0.617	Mcneese State 92 - New Orleans 82	-14
North Texas 68 - Alabama Birmingham 64	0.616	North Texas 63 - Alabama Birmingham 69	10
Omaha 72 - North Dakota 68	0.582	Omaha 98 - North Dakota 82	-12
Rice 72 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.537	Rice 65 - Middle Tennessee 61	-5
Saint Francis Brooklyn 67 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.568	Saint Francis Brooklyn 70 - Saint Francis Penn 53	-20
Saint Thomas 69 - Oral Roberts 74	0.638	Saint Thomas 66 - Oral Roberts 81	10
San Francisco 68 - Loyola Ill 71	0.597	San Francisco 74 - Loyola Ill 79	2
South Alabama 73 - Appalachian State 65	0.745	South Alabama 64 - Appalachian State 72	16
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Radford 69	0.677	South Carolina Upstate 77 - Radford 82	1
Tarleton State 69 - Sam Houston State 61	0.696	Tarleton State 75 - Sam Houston State 64	-3
Tennessee State 68 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.525	Tennessee State 78 - Tennessee Martin 94	15
Texas AM CC 76 - Northwestern State 67	0.755	Texas AM CC 89 - Northwestern State 67	-13
Texas El Paso 65 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.799	Texas El Paso 52 - Louisiana Tech 64	2
Texas Pan American 65 - Grand Canyon 75	0.796	Texas Pan American 70 - Grand Canyon 84	4
Texas San Antonio 68 - Southern Miss 65	0.572	Texas San Antonio 73 - Southern Miss 74	4
Troy 67 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.582	Troy 69 - Coastal Carolina 59	-13
UC Riverside 72 - UC San Diego 63	0.717	UC Riverside 59 - UC San Diego 51	1
UCLA 89 - Long Beach State 62	0.96	UCLA 96 - Long Beach State 78	9
UL Lafayette 72 - Arkansas State 68	0.597	UL Lafayette 83 - Arkansas State 77	-2
UL Monroe 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.655	UL Monroe 80 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	-2
UMass Lowell 69 - NJ Tech 62	0.729	UMass Lowell 72 - NJ Tech 77	12
Utah 76 - Washington 67	0.706	Utah 68 - Washington 74	15
Vermont 71 - New Hampshire 60	0.809	Vermont 82 - New Hampshire 68	-3
Wagner 77 - Bryant 62	0.801	Wagner 84 - Bryant 81	12
Wisconsin 75 - Iowa 72	0.587	Wisconsin 87 - Iowa 78	-6
Wright State 73 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.662	Wright State 90 - Illinois Chicago 72	-12

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 73 - Lehigh 64	0.713	Army 77 - Lehigh 55	-13
Boston 70 - Loyola MD 62	0.754	Boston 58 - Loyola MD 66	16
Butler 62 - Xavier 73	0.769	Butler 72 - Xavier 87	4
Detroit 72 - Milwaukee 64	0.756	Detroit 85 - Milwaukee 60	-17
Fairfield 68 - Marist 65	0.584	Fairfield 51 - Marist 60	12
Georgetown 73 - Marquette 76	0.575	Georgetown 64 - Marquette 92	25
Harvard 71 - Brown 67	0.613	Harvard 73 - Brown 84	15
Holy Cross 63 - Lafayette 70	0.719	Holy Cross 79 - Lafayette 74	-12
Incarnate Word 69 - Northwestern State 72	0.572	Incarnate Word 80 - Northwestern State 83	0
Mcneese State 71 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.527	Mcneese State 78 - Southeast Louisiana 83	6
Navy 75 - Bucknell 59	0.874	Navy 73 - Bucknell 55	-2
New Orleans 74 - Houston Baptist 65	0.771	New Orleans 81 - Houston Baptist 65	-7
Nicholls State 73 - Texas AM CC 72	0.555	Nicholls State 84 - Texas AM CC 75	-8
Oakland 92 - Unranked 51		Oakland 108 - Unranked 40
Ohio 71 - Kent State 62	0.767	Ohio 80 - Kent State 72	1
Pennsylvania 74 - Cornell 75	0.511	Pennsylvania 79 - Cornell 65	-15
Princeton 85 - Columbia 58	0.964	Princeton 84 - Columbia 69	12
Robert Morris 64 - Cleveland State 76	0.866	Robert Morris 77 - Cleveland State 78	-11
Youngstown State 74 - IPFW 65	0.724	Youngstown State 61 - IPFW 71	19

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Sam Houston State 59	0.924	Abilene Christian 63 - Sam Houston State 65	20
Alabama AM 62 - Alcorn State 67	0.713	Alabama AM 71 - Alcorn State 78	2
Alabama State 64 - Jackson State 69	0.635	Alabama State 72 - Jackson State 57	-20
Auburn 77 - Florida 67	0.754	Auburn 85 - Florida 73	-2
Austin Peay 63 - Morehead State 74	0.79	Austin Peay 55 - Morehead State 66	0
Bellarmine 72 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.516	Bellarmine 66 - Eastern Kentucky 61	-6
Bethune Cookman 68 - Grambling State 67	0.509	Bethune Cookman 66 - Grambling State 68	3
Binghamton 66 - NJ Tech 65	0.56	Binghamton 56 - NJ Tech 67	12
Bowling Green 74 - Miami OH 73	0.52	Bowling Green 87 - Miami OH 83	-3
Brigham Young 71 - Saint Marys 68	0.584	Brigham Young 52 - Saint Marys 43	-6
Cal State Northridge 68 - Cal Poly 64	0.665	Cal State Northridge 68 - Cal Poly 55	-9
California 67 - UCLA 77	0.757	California 52 - UCLA 60	-2
Central Connecticut State 62 - Merrimack 66	0.607	Central Connecticut State 57 - Merrimack 66	5
Chattanooga 80 - The Citadel 60	0.9	Chattanooga 85 - The Citadel 67	2
Chicago State 60 - Cal Baptist 75	0.898	Chicago State 58 - Cal Baptist 56	-17
Dartmouth 67 - Brown 71	0.64	Dartmouth 58 - Brown 46	-16
Davidson 72 - Rhode Island 65	0.722	Davidson 72 - Rhode Island 68	3
Denver 72 - North Dakota 64	0.738	Denver 93 - North Dakota 74	-11
DePaul 66 - Villanova 75	0.732	DePaul 64 - Villanova 79	6
Duke 81 - Miami 69	0.832	Duke 74 - Miami 76	14
East Tennessee State 68 - Wofford 69	0.539	East Tennessee State 57 - Wofford 68	10
Eastern Michigan 73 - Ball State 70	0.577	Eastern Michigan 72 - Ball State 78	9
Eastern Washington 78 - Idaho 66	0.763	Eastern Washington 96 - Idaho 93	9
Evansville 60 - Drake 75	0.86	Evansville 59 - Drake 60	-14
Florida AM 64 - Southern 69	0.673	Florida AM 66 - Southern 80	9
Florida State 72 - Louisville 69	0.577	Florida State 79 - Louisville 70	-6
Furman 76 - Mercer 65	0.792	Furman 81 - Mercer 66	-4
Gardner Webb 72 - Hampton 56	0.866	Gardner Webb 78 - Hampton 69	7
George Washington 61 - Dayton 74	0.777	George Washington 58 - Dayton 83	12
Georgia Southern 65 - Texas Arlington 68	0.588	Georgia Southern 74 - Texas Arlington 73	-4
Georgia Tech 69 - Notre Dame 70	0.552	Georgia Tech 68 - Notre Dame 72	3
Gonzaga 88 - Pepperdine 60	0.957	Gonzaga 117 - Pepperdine 83	-6
Houston 78 - Wichita State 62	0.849	Houston 76 - Wichita State 66	6
Incarnate Word 69 - Houston Baptist 66	0.586	Incarnate Word 60 - Houston Baptist 50	-7
Jacksonville 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 67	0.508	Jacksonville 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	-2
Kentucky 84 - Georgia 61	0.919	Kentucky 92 - Georgia 77	8
La Salle 57 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.89	La Salle 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 85	2
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.574	LIU Brooklyn 75 - Saint Francis Penn 70	-2
Long Beach State 75 - Hawaii 72	0.61	Long Beach State 67 - Hawaii 72	8
Louisiana State 72 - Tennessee 67	0.621	Louisiana State 79 - Tennessee 67	-7
Loyola Ill 77 - Bradley 61	0.864	Loyola Ill 78 - Bradley 71	9
Marshall 75 - Florida Atlantic 71	0.595	Marshall 77 - Florida Atlantic 90	17
Massachusetts 76 - Duquesne 70	0.638	Massachusetts 74 - Duquesne 78	10
Mississippi 64 - Mississippi State 71	0.675	Mississippi 82 - Mississippi State 72	-17
Missouri 64 - Alabama 82	0.854	Missouri 92 - Alabama 86	-24
Missouri State 73 - Northern Iowa 67	0.698	Missouri State 84 - Northern Iowa 85	7
NC State 69 - Clemson 78	0.733	NC State 65 - Clemson 70	-4
New Hampshire 68 - Albany 59	0.729	New Hampshire 64 - Albany 62	7
New Mexico 70 - Utah State 77	0.702	New Mexico 87 - Utah State 90	-4
Nicholls State 77 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.811	Nicholls State 72 - Southeast Louisiana 77	15
North Alabama 65 - Jacksonville State 69	0.675	North Alabama 55 - Jacksonville State 65	6
North Carolina 73 - Virginia 65	0.709	North Carolina 74 - Virginia 58	-8
North Florida 67 - Stetson 68	0.513	North Florida 66 - Stetson 68	1
North Texas 71 - Middle Tennessee 58	0.835	North Texas 70 - Middle Tennessee 63	6
Northern Colorado 75 - Sacramento State 61	0.868	Northern Colorado 71 - Sacramento State 85	28
Northwestern State 71 - New Orleans 74	0.603	Northwestern State 79 - New Orleans 80	-2
Oklahoma 70 - Iowa State 69	0.539	Oklahoma 79 - Iowa State 66	-12
Oklahoma State 66 - Texas 71	0.652	Oklahoma State 64 - Texas 51	-18
Omaha 63 - North Dakota State 75	0.782	Omaha 67 - North Dakota State 71	-8
Penn State 67 - Purdue 76	0.713	Penn State 67 - Purdue 74	-2
Pennsylvania 81 - Columbia 61	0.914	Pennsylvania 69 - Columbia 73	24
Pittsburgh 68 - Boston College 65	0.591	Pittsburgh 69 - Boston College 67	1
Prairie View 83 - Mississippi Valley State 68	0.836	Prairie View 82 - Mississippi Valley State 84	17
Presbyterian 71 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.775	Presbyterian 72 - South Carolina Upstate 82	19
Princeton 79 - Cornell 72	0.772	Princeton 72 - Cornell 70	5
Providence 78 - Saint Johns 66	0.796	Providence 83 - Saint Johns 73	2
Radford 70 - North Carolina AT 65	0.67	Radford 72 - North Carolina AT 73	6
Rice 68 - Alabama Birmingham 79	0.792	Rice 85 - Alabama Birmingham 80	-16
Rutgers 75 - Nebraska 68	0.669	Rutgers 93 - Nebraska 65	-21
Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Mt St Marys 68	0.633	Saint Francis Brooklyn 61 - Mt St Marys 69	4
Saint Louis 73 - Iona 71	0.585	Saint Louis 68 - Iona 67	1
Samford 76 - Western Carolina 69	0.687	Samford 85 - Western Carolina 60	-18
San Diego State 69 - Colorado State 71	0.554	San Diego State 79 - Colorado State 49	-32
San Francisco 76 - San Diego 58	0.916	San Francisco 88 - San Diego 73	3
San Jose State 87 - Unranked 54		San Jose State 118 - Unranked 43
Seton Hall 75 - Connecticut 73	0.562	Seton Hall 90 - Connecticut 87	-1
SIU Edwardsville 61 - Murray State 79	0.891	SIU Edwardsville 69 - Murray State 74	-13
South Carolina State 72 - Coppin State 69	0.581	South Carolina State 65 - Coppin State 74	12
South Dakota State 81 - South Dakota 65	0.825	South Dakota State 84 - South Dakota 65	-3
Stony Brook 78 - Maine 55	0.944	Stony Brook 80 - Maine 72	15
Tarleton State 65 - Stephen F Austin 67	0.539	Tarleton State 77 - Stephen F Austin 71	-8
Temple 71 - East Carolina 67	0.642	Temple 78 - East Carolina 75	1
Tennessee Martin 60 - Belmont 81	0.943	Tennessee Martin 55 - Belmont 81	5
Tennessee State 71 - SE Missouri State 72	0.516	Tennessee State 95 - SE Missouri State 84	-12
Texas AM 74 - Arkansas 72	0.575	Texas AM 86 - Arkansas 81	-3
Texas AM CC 74 - Mcneese State 66	0.815	Texas AM CC 67 - Mcneese State 54	-5
Texas Christian 66 - Baylor 77	0.809	Texas Christian 64 - Baylor 76	1
Texas El Paso 72 - Southern Miss 60	0.862	Texas El Paso 87 - Southern Miss 54	-21
Texas Pan American 65 - New Mexico State 79	0.832	Texas Pan American 73 - New Mexico State 85	-2
Texas San Antonio 61 - Louisiana Tech 80	0.883	Texas San Antonio 63 - Louisiana Tech 79	-3
Texas Southern 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.855	Texas Southern 90 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	-2
Texas Tech 69 - Kansas 75	0.668	Texas Tech 75 - Kansas 67	-14
Toledo 78 - Northern Illinois 57	0.916	Toledo 94 - Northern Illinois 63	-10
Troy 68 - Appalachian State 66	0.553	Troy 68 - Appalachian State 53	-13
Tulane 71 - South Florida 62	0.745	Tulane 68 - South Florida 54	-5
UC Davis 70 - UC San Diego 67	0.6	UC Davis 78 - UC San Diego 71	-4
UC Riverside 65 - UC Irvine 66	0.511	UC Riverside 51 - UC Irvine 68	16
UL Monroe 71 - Arkansas State 73	0.547	UL Monroe 83 - Arkansas State 90	5
UMBC 69 - UMass Lowell 67	0.543	UMBC 64 - UMass Lowell 66	4
UNC Asheville 77 - Charleston Southern 60	0.863	UNC Asheville 82 - Charleston Southern 59	-6
Utah 71 - Washington State 72	0.525	Utah 61 - Washington State 77	15
Utah Valley 81 - Dixie State 61	0.904	Utah Valley 79 - Dixie State 71	12
Valparaiso 67 - Southern Illinois 65	0.573	Valparaiso 60 - Southern Illinois 63	5
Vanderbilt 70 - South Carolina 67	0.588	Vanderbilt 70 - South Carolina 72	5
Virginia Military Institute 68 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.555	Virginia Military Institute 56 - UNC Greensboro 72	18
Wake Forest 77 - Syracuse 74	0.577	Wake Forest 77 - Syracuse 74	0
West Virginia 72 - Kansas State 63	0.782	West Virginia 71 - Kansas State 68	6
Western Illinois 70 - Oral Roberts 75	0.638	Western Illinois 86 - Oral Roberts 87	-4
Western Kentucky 76 - Florida International 66	0.772	Western Kentucky 84 - Florida International 71	-3
Wright State 76 - IUPUI 54	0.928	Wright State 72 - IUPUI 58	8

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Arkansas 70 - Lipscomb 75	0.628	Central Arkansas 93 - Lipscomb 88	-10
College of Charleston 78 - Elon 67	0.789	College of Charleston 65 - Elon 61	7
Colorado 74 - Washington 64	0.76	Colorado 78 - Washington 64	-4
Indiana 71 - Minnesota 69	0.544	Indiana 73 - Minnesota 60	-11
James Madison 72 - Hofstra 70	0.556	James Madison 80 - Hofstra 87	9
Marist 72 - Rider 61	0.834	Marist 75 - Rider 79	15
Maryland 67 - Wisconsin 71	0.654	Maryland 69 - Wisconsin 70	-3
Memphis 74 - Cincinnati 67	0.665	Memphis 87 - Cincinnati 80	0
Montana State 69 - Montana 66	0.59	Montana State 66 - Montana 59	-4
Niagara 69 - Quinnipiac 66	0.578	Niagara 76 - Quinnipiac 66	-7
Oakland 77 - Milwaukee 58	0.945	Oakland 86 - Milwaukee 65	-2
Ohio State 78 - Northwestern 67	0.844	Ohio State 95 - Northwestern 87	3
Robert Morris 69 - IPFW 71	0.55	Robert Morris 70 - IPFW 76	4
Siena 63 - Fairfield 68	0.659	Siena 69 - Fairfield 62	-12
Towson 74 - Northeastern 62	0.799	Towson 70 - Northeastern 67	9
Youngstown State 69 - Cleveland State 71	0.551	Youngstown State 80 - Cleveland State 86	4

Number of DI Games: 258
Number Correct: 178 = 68.9%
Expected Number Correct: 179.728 = 69.6%
Average Error: 8.71
Average Signed Error: 0.55

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 61 - Jackson State 64	0.59	Alabama AM 60 - Jackson State 58	-5
Alabama State 69 - Alcorn State 71	0.572	Alabama State 60 - Alcorn State 70	8
American 61 - Boston 71	0.765	American 53 - Boston 79	16
Bethune Cookman 63 - Southern 72	0.759	Bethune Cookman 59 - Southern 69	1
Colgate 73 - Army 71	0.547	Colgate 76 - Army 57	-17
Denver 64 - North Dakota State 71	0.691	Denver 69 - North Dakota State 87	11
East Tennessee State 76 - Western Carolina 66	0.761	East Tennessee State 87 - Western Carolina 69	-8
Florida AM 67 - Grambling State 68	0.528	Florida AM 75 - Grambling State 66	-10
IUPUI 57 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.829	IUPUI 65 - Illinois Chicago 67	-11
Lafayette 58 - Navy 74	0.863	Lafayette 55 - Navy 69	-2
Lehigh 70 - Holy Cross 64	0.697	Lehigh 77 - Holy Cross 69	-2
Loyola MD 74 - Bucknell 65	0.754	Loyola MD 71 - Bucknell 67	5
North Dakota 64 - South Dakota 74	0.752	North Dakota 68 - South Dakota 75	-3
Oregon State 68 - Oregon 76	0.679	Oregon State 76 - Oregon 78	-6
Pepperdine 71 - San Diego 70	0.559	Pepperdine 62 - San Diego 72	11
Prairie View 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.71	Prairie View 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	-9
South Carolina State 73 - Morgan State 65	0.687	South Carolina State 81 - Morgan State 88	15
Texas Southern 82 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.898	Texas Southern 95 - Mississippi Valley State 58	-15
UMKC 73 - Omaha 62	0.751	UMKC 64 - Omaha 61	8
UNC Greensboro 65 - Wofford 66	0.511	UNC Greensboro 58 - Wofford 54	-5
Winthrop 72 - Campbell 66	0.714	Winthrop 74 - Campbell 72	4

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Ball State 63	0.741	Akron 84 - Ball State 74	1
Alabama 75 - Auburn 78	0.574	Alabama 77 - Auburn 81	1
Baylor 77 - Texas Tech 65	0.818	Baylor 62 - Texas Tech 65	15
Bellarmine 75 - Central Arkansas 66	0.73	Bellarmine 85 - Central Arkansas 63	-13
Canisius 69 - Quinnipiac 71	0.564	Canisius 79 - Quinnipiac 67	-14
Davidson 82 - Massachusetts 66	0.869	Davidson 77 - Massachusetts 67	6
Dayton 70 - Saint Louis 71	0.531	Dayton 68 - Saint Louis 63	-6
Drexel 70 - Delaware 68	0.599	Drexel 77 - Delaware 81	6
Eastern Michigan 76 - Central Michigan 67	0.75	Eastern Michigan 99 - Central Michigan 68	-22
Fairfield 61 - Iona 75	0.898	Fairfield 76 - Iona 80	-10
Florida State 75 - Miami 73	0.541	Florida State 65 - Miami 64	1
Fresno State 74 - San Jose State 59	0.877	Fresno State 79 - San Jose State 59	-5
Jacksonville 69 - Stetson 59	0.79	Jacksonville 57 - Stetson 50	3
Jacksonville State 76 - Lipscomb 65	0.798	Jacksonville State 88 - Lipscomb 83	6
James Madison 71 - Northeastern 64	0.718	James Madison 89 - Northeastern 66	-16
Kansas 77 - Iowa State 67	0.737	Kansas 62 - Iowa State 61	9
Kent State 72 - Northern Illinois 59	0.827	Kent State 63 - Northern Illinois 65	15
La Salle 64 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.809	La Salle 76 - Saint Bonaventure 80	-9
Liberty 79 - North Florida 59	0.923	Liberty 71 - North Florida 56	5
Loyola Ill 80 - Valparaiso 59	0.941	Loyola Ill 81 - Valparaiso 74	14
Marquette 79 - DePaul 71	0.704	Marquette 87 - DePaul 76	-3
Miami OH 68 - Toledo 76	0.713	Miami OH 72 - Toledo 75	-5
Nebraska 66 - Illinois 85	0.874	Nebraska 71 - Illinois 81	-9
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - New Mexico 71	0.655	Nevada Las Vegas 85 - New Mexico 56	-25
New Orleans 86 - Unranked 59		New Orleans 93 - Unranked 66
North Alabama 70 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.525	North Alabama 76 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0
Northern Iowa 75 - Indiana State 68	0.656	Northern Iowa 80 - Indiana State 74	1
Ohio 76 - Bowling Green 65	0.817	Ohio 85 - Bowling Green 78	4
Penn State 71 - Rutgers 66	0.602	Penn State 66 - Rutgers 49	-12
Stanford 68 - Southern California 77	0.767	Stanford 75 - Southern California 69	-15
Stephen F Austin 79 - Texas Pan American 65	0.819	Stephen F Austin 86 - Texas Pan American 75	3
Syracuse 76 - Pittsburgh 68	0.737	Syracuse 77 - Pittsburgh 61	-8
Tennessee 77 - South Carolina 64	0.786	Tennessee 66 - South Carolina 46	-7
Texas 69 - Oklahoma 67	0.575	Texas 66 - Oklahoma 52	-12
Texas AM 72 - Mississippi 67	0.672	Texas AM 67 - Mississippi 51	-11
Towson 73 - Hofstra 70	0.581	Towson 78 - Hofstra 66	-9
UMKC 83 - Unranked 53		UMKC 98 - Unranked 57
Vanderbilt 67 - Kentucky 75	0.731	Vanderbilt 66 - Kentucky 78	4
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - George Washington 54	0.949	Virginia Commonwealth 84 - George Washington 57	-5
West Virginia 72 - Oklahoma State 68	0.607	West Virginia 70 - Oklahoma State 60	-6
Western Michigan 65 - Buffalo 80	0.854	Western Michigan 64 - Buffalo 78	-1

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 64 - UMass Lowell 67	0.626	Albany 57 - UMass Lowell 47	-13
Arkansas 79 - Missouri 70	0.717	Arkansas 87 - Missouri 43	-35
Boston College 69 - Georgia Tech 70	0.552	Boston College 76 - Georgia Tech 81	4
Bradley 74 - Evansville 61	0.851	Bradley 79 - Evansville 47	-19
Cal Baptist 74 - Dixie State 65	0.753	Cal Baptist 76 - Dixie State 79	12
Campbell 75 - Charleston Southern 59	0.875	Campbell 67 - Charleston Southern 52	1
Central Florida 73 - Memphis 74	0.542	Central Florida 74 - Memphis 64	-11
Cincinnati 74 - East Carolina 65	0.753	Cincinnati 79 - East Carolina 71	1
Colorado State 76 - Utah State 71	0.613	Colorado State 77 - Utah State 72	0
Connecticut 82 - Saint Johns 72	0.768	Connecticut 86 - Saint Johns 78	2
Drake 77 - Illinois State 68	0.74	Drake 86 - Illinois State 75	-2
Florida 66 - Louisiana State 75	0.719	Florida 58 - Louisiana State 64	-3
Fordham 69 - Duquesne 67	0.561	Fordham 72 - Duquesne 71	1
Furman 74 - East Tennessee State 66	0.724	Furman 78 - East Tennessee State 69	-1
Gardner Webb 71 - Presbyterian 61	0.769	Gardner Webb 64 - Presbyterian 61	7
Kansas State 67 - Texas Christian 69	0.595	Kansas State 57 - Texas Christian 60	1
Louisville 77 - NC State 69	0.748	Louisville 63 - NC State 79	24
Mcneese State 83 - Unranked 58		Mcneese State 120 - Unranked 44
Michigan State 76 - Minnesota 65	0.85	Michigan State 71 - Minnesota 69	9
Mississippi State 79 - Georgia 64	0.853	Mississippi State 88 - Georgia 72	-1
Missouri State 71 - Southern Illinois 63	0.729	Missouri State 81 - Southern Illinois 76	3
Morehead State 74 - Tennessee Martin 62	0.845	Morehead State 76 - Tennessee Martin 62	-2
Nevada 69 - Boise State 74	0.623	Nevada 70 - Boise State 85	10
NJ Tech 69 - UMBC 66	0.556	NJ Tech 56 - UMBC 76	23
Norfolk State 79 - Delaware State 55	0.953	Norfolk State 80 - Delaware State 51	-5
North Carolina AT 72 - Hampton 61	0.85	North Carolina AT 67 - Hampton 59	3
Northwestern 73 - Maryland 71	0.596	Northwestern 87 - Maryland 94	9
Notre Dame 70 - Clemson 71	0.51	Notre Dame 72 - Clemson 56	-17
Pacific 64 - Santa Clara 78	0.859	Pacific 70 - Santa Clara 84	0
Radford 66 - Longwood 68	0.541	Radford 75 - Longwood 83	6
Rhode Island 72 - Saint Josephs 68	0.601	Rhode Island 75 - Saint Josephs 64	-7
Seattle 67 - Utah Valley 73	0.665	Seattle 71 - Utah Valley 65	-12
South Carolina Upstate 68 - High Point 71	0.604	South Carolina Upstate 66 - High Point 65	-4
Southeast Louisiana 86 - Unranked 58		Southeast Louisiana 77 - Unranked 72
Southern Methodist 77 - South Florida 59	0.873	Southern Methodist 77 - South Florida 65	6
Tulsa 69 - Temple 70	0.522	Tulsa 64 - Temple 69	4
UNC Wilmington 69 - Elon 68	0.543	UNC Wilmington 73 - Elon 66	-6
Vermont 74 - Stony Brook 63	0.809	Vermont 98 - Stony Brook 65	-22
Virginia 66 - Virginia Tech 65	0.522	Virginia 54 - Virginia Tech 52	-1
Wake Forest 72 - Duke 76	0.638	Wake Forest 64 - Duke 76	8
Washington 68 - California 71	0.561	Washington 64 - California 55	-12
Western Carolina 62 - Chattanooga 80	0.889	Western Carolina 70 - Chattanooga 59	-29
Wichita State 76 - Tulane 67	0.772	Wichita State 67 - Tulane 68	10
Wofford 73 - Samford 66	0.704	Wofford 87 - Samford 64	-16
Xavier 71 - Villanova 72	0.523	Xavier 60 - Villanova 64	3

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Florida International 62	0.917	Alabama Birmingham 84 - Florida International 56	-10
Appalachian State 66 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.532	Appalachian State 61 - Coastal Carolina 60	-2
Arizona 82 - Colorado 66	0.856	Arizona 76 - Colorado 55	-5
Army 68 - Boston 69	0.515	Army 73 - Boston 63	-11
Belmont 83 - Tennessee Tech 58	0.96	Belmont 92 - Tennessee Tech 77	10
Bucknell 72 - Lehigh 67	0.643	Bucknell 64 - Lehigh 97	38
Cal Poly 59 - UC Riverside 71	0.85	Cal Poly 46 - UC Riverside 57	-1
Cal State Fullerton 74 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.853	Cal State Fullerton 79 - Cal State Northridge 64	-5
Charlotte 70 - Texas El Paso 68	0.589	Charlotte 66 - Texas El Paso 53	-11
Cleveland State 69 - Oakland 72	0.603	Cleveland State 65 - Oakland 70	2
DePaul 70 - Seton Hall 79	0.759	DePaul 96 - Seton Hall 92	-13
Eastern Illinois 59 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.79	Eastern Illinois 53 - SIU Edwardsville 66	1
Georgetown 72 - Butler 71	0.504	Georgetown 58 - Butler 72	15
Gonzaga 78 - Brigham Young 71	0.725	Gonzaga 110 - Brigham Young 84	-19
Grand Canyon 69 - Abilene Christian 65	0.611	Grand Canyon 95 - Abilene Christian 68	-23
Green Bay 68 - IUPUI 56	0.814	Green Bay 69 - IUPUI 54	-3
Hawaii 63 - UC Irvine 75	0.77	Hawaii 72 - UC Irvine 56	-28
Iowa 75 - Indiana 74	0.519	Iowa 83 - Indiana 74	-8
IPFW 68 - Detroit 70	0.549	IPFW 62 - Detroit 60	-4
Kennesaw St 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	0.679	Kennesaw St 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 53	-30
Lamar 64 - Sam Houston State 72	0.752	Lamar 56 - Sam Houston State 73	9
Long Beach State 73 - UC Santa Barbara 75	0.545	Long Beach State 65 - UC Santa Barbara 58	-9
Louisiana Tech 81 - Southern Miss 56	0.947	Louisiana Tech 80 - Southern Miss 57	2
Loyola MD 73 - Lafayette 63	0.774	Loyola MD 74 - Lafayette 60	-4
Marshall 62 - North Texas 75	0.814	Marshall 65 - North Texas 69	-9
Mercer 71 - Virginia Military Institute 70	0.527	Mercer 97 - Virginia Military Institute 91	-5
Middle Tennessee 72 - Florida Atlantic 68	0.637	Middle Tennessee 70 - Florida Atlantic 57	-9
Milwaukee 68 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.501	Milwaukee 77 - Illinois Chicago 81	5
Murray State 85 - Tennessee State 58	0.953	Murray State 67 - Tennessee State 44	4
Navy 75 - Colgate 63	0.81	Navy 50 - Colgate 69	31
New Mexico State 73 - Tarleton State 62	0.773	New Mexico State 73 - Tarleton State 57	-5
Niagara 70 - Canisius 62	0.721	Niagara 68 - Canisius 58	-2
North Dakota 65 - Western Illinois 78	0.801	North Dakota 68 - Western Illinois 73	-8
Old Dominion 73 - Texas San Antonio 61	0.759	Old Dominion 83 - Texas San Antonio 51	-20
Omaha 64 - South Dakota State 84	0.863	Omaha 86 - South Dakota State 95	-11
Pepperdine 62 - Saint Marys 77	0.869	Pepperdine 62 - Saint Marys 77	0
Robert Morris 66 - Wright State 75	0.737	Robert Morris 73 - Wright State 75	-7
San Diego 72 - Portland 67	0.668	San Diego 68 - Portland 63	0
San Francisco 75 - Loyola Marymount 63	0.852	San Francisco 97 - Loyola Marymount 73	-12
South Alabama 78 - Georgia State 68	0.748	South Alabama 74 - Georgia State 65	1
South Dakota 70 - Denver 65	0.629	South Dakota 80 - Denver 71	-4
Southern California 81 - Oregon State 61	0.93	Southern California 81 - Oregon State 71	10
Texas Arlington 68 - UL Lafayette 70	0.569	Texas Arlington 83 - UL Lafayette 73	-12
Texas Pan American 74 - Chicago State 65	0.744	Texas Pan American 85 - Chicago State 63	-13
Texas State 75 - UL Monroe 67	0.712	Texas State 80 - UL Monroe 56	-16
Texas Tech 71 - Oklahoma State 66	0.642	Texas Tech 78 - Oklahoma State 57	-16
The Citadel 63 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.747	The Citadel 74 - UNC Greensboro 69	-14
UCLA 79 - Oregon 69	0.749	UCLA 81 - Oregon 84	13
Washington State 73 - Stanford 70	0.595	Washington State 57 - Stanford 62	8
Weber State 81 - Idaho 66	0.818	Weber State 84 - Idaho 74	5
Western Kentucky 76 - Rice 70	0.659	Western Kentucky 80 - Rice 66	-8
Winthrop 72 - UNC Asheville 69	0.583	Winthrop 86 - UNC Asheville 80	-3
Wisconsin 74 - Ohio State 71	0.575	Wisconsin 78 - Ohio State 68	-7
Youngstown State 70 - Northern Kentucky 64	0.676	Youngstown State 67 - Northern Kentucky 68	7

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 70 - Buffalo 77	0.657	Ball State 68 - Buffalo 74	-1
Illinois 78 - Michigan 68	0.703	Illinois 68 - Michigan 53	-5
Iona 80 - Manhattan 62	0.879	Iona 88 - Manhattan 76	6
Kent State 66 - Akron 68	0.555	Kent State 67 - Akron 55	-14
Marist 68 - Siena 62	0.68	Marist 60 - Siena 67	13
Nevada Las Vegas 65 - Fresno State 69	0.607	Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Fresno State 73	1
Purdue 88 - Nebraska 65	0.927	Purdue 92 - Nebraska 65	-4
Richmond 68 - Davidson 73	0.657	Richmond 84 - Davidson 87	-2
Rider 69 - Quinnipiac 70	0.535	Rider 70 - Quinnipiac 77	6
Saint Bonaventure 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 67	0.536	Saint Bonaventure 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 53	-21
Saint Peters 60 - Monmouth 72	0.853	Saint Peters 67 - Monmouth 62	-17

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 63 - Nevada 72	0.697	Air Force 68 - Nevada 75	-2
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Florida Atlantic 64	0.856	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Florida Atlantic 65	3
Alabama State 69 - Alabama AM 64	0.656	Alabama State 59 - Alabama AM 55	1
Albany 63 - NJ Tech 66	0.616	Albany 71 - NJ Tech 56	-18
Alcorn State 68 - Texas Southern 70	0.578	Alcorn State 73 - Texas Southern 72	-3
Arizona 86 - Utah 66	0.894	Arizona 82 - Utah 64	2
Arizona State 68 - Colorado 72	0.63	Arizona State 57 - Colorado 75	14
Arkansas Pine Bluff 67 - Florida AM 68	0.501	Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Florida AM 71	4
Baylor 81 - Oklahoma State 65	0.86	Baylor 54 - Oklahoma State 61	23
Belmont 74 - Murray State 70	0.63	Belmont 60 - Murray State 82	26
Bowling Green 69 - Toledo 77	0.721	Bowling Green 78 - Toledo 91	5
Bryant 72 - Mt St Marys 66	0.663	Bryant 73 - Mt St Marys 66	-1
Cal Baptist 64 - Utah Valley 72	0.741	Cal Baptist 75 - Utah Valley 73	-10
Cal Poly 61 - UC Davis 72	0.818	Cal Poly 82 - UC Davis 74	-19
Cal State Bakersfield 62 - UC Riverside 66	0.6	Cal State Bakersfield 64 - UC Riverside 65	-3
Cal State Fullerton 74 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.652	Cal State Fullerton 79 - UC Santa Barbara 73	-1
Campbell 67 - Radford 63	0.651	Campbell 70 - Radford 58	-8
Central Arkansas 68 - North Alabama 70	0.57	Central Arkansas 89 - North Alabama 88	-3
Charleston Southern 64 - Winthrop 80	0.889	Charleston Southern 65 - Winthrop 70	-11
Charlotte 77 - Texas San Antonio 63	0.837	Charlotte 62 - Texas San Antonio 53	5
Chattanooga 73 - Furman 67	0.698	Chattanooga 71 - Furman 69	4
Clemson 78 - Boston College 63	0.846	Clemson 68 - Boston College 70	17
Cleveland State 74 - Detroit 67	0.708	Cleveland State 72 - Detroit 70	5
Coastal Carolina 69 - Appalachian State 64	0.633	Coastal Carolina 76 - Appalachian State 84	13
Columbia 63 - Harvard 75	0.798	Columbia 82 - Harvard 91	-3
Duke 83 - NC State 67	0.889	Duke 88 - NC State 73	1
Duquesne 66 - Dayton 73	0.652	Duquesne 52 - Dayton 72	13
East Carolina 69 - Memphis 78	0.754	East Carolina 72 - Memphis 71	-10
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Jacksonville State 74	0.682	Eastern Kentucky 65 - Jacksonville State 76	5
Elon 64 - Towson 75	0.827	Elon 54 - Towson 59	-6
Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Liberty 72	0.643	Florida Gulf Coast 75 - Liberty 78	-1
Georgia 67 - Vanderbilt 75	0.753	Georgia 66 - Vanderbilt 73	-1
Grambling State 65 - Southern 72	0.742	Grambling State 83 - Southern 77	-13
Grand Canyon 70 - Tarleton State 62	0.718	Grand Canyon 80 - Tarleton State 59	-13
Green Bay 66 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.596	Green Bay 63 - Illinois Chicago 80	14
Hawaii 71 - UC San Diego 69	0.554	Hawaii 79 - UC San Diego 56	-21
High Point 69 - North Carolina AT 67	0.579	High Point 78 - North Carolina AT 71	-5
Hofstra 75 - Delaware 68	0.687	Hofstra 82 - Delaware 77	2
Howard 71 - Norfolk State 69	0.544	Howard 74 - Norfolk State 77	5
Idaho State 65 - Idaho 70	0.637	Idaho State 81 - Idaho 74	-12
Indiana State 64 - Loyola Ill 78	0.795	Indiana State 56 - Loyola Ill 64	-6
Iowa State 66 - Texas 65	0.522	Iowa State 79 - Texas 70	-8
IPFW 63 - Oakland 75	0.808	IPFW 68 - Oakland 76	-4
Jackson State 73 - Prairie View 68	0.624	Jackson State 75 - Prairie View 64	-6
Kansas 78 - West Virginia 68	0.803	Kansas 85 - West Virginia 59	-16
Kansas State 64 - Texas Tech 71	0.717	Kansas State 62 - Texas Tech 51	-18
Kentucky 73 - Tennessee 71	0.557	Kentucky 107 - Tennessee 79	-26
Lamar 67 - Chicago State 65	0.556	Lamar 56 - Chicago State 67	13
Lipscomb 70 - Bellarmine 71	0.523	Lipscomb 71 - Bellarmine 77	5
LIU Brooklyn 73 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.728	LIU Brooklyn 83 - Central Connecticut State 61	-13
Long Beach State 73 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.64	Long Beach State 71 - Cal State Northridge 55	-12
Longwood 66 - Gardner Webb 67	0.501	Longwood 66 - Gardner Webb 60	-7
Louisiana State 80 - Arkansas 64	0.868	Louisiana State 58 - Arkansas 65	23
Marquette 75 - Seton Hall 77	0.563	Marquette 73 - Seton Hall 72	-3
Marshall 74 - Rice 76	0.566	Marshall 77 - Rice 87	8
Maryland 71 - Rutgers 69	0.57	Maryland 59 - Rutgers 70	13
Massachusetts 70 - Rhode Island 75	0.633	Massachusetts 68 - Rhode Island 81	8
Mcneese State 74 - Houston Baptist 62	0.868	Mcneese State 78 - Houston Baptist 75	9
Mercer 65 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.591	Mercer 58 - UNC Greensboro 49	-11
Merrimack 70 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0.721	Merrimack 46 - Saint Francis Penn 62	25
Michigan State 80 - Northwestern 67	0.899	Michigan State 62 - Northwestern 64	15
Middle Tennessee 74 - Florida International 66	0.753	Middle Tennessee 50 - Florida International 39	-3
Milwaukee 69 - IUPUI 55	0.873	Milwaukee 89 - IUPUI 54	-21
Mississippi 65 - Auburn 78	0.831	Mississippi 71 - Auburn 80	-4
Mississippi State 72 - Alabama 77	0.616	Mississippi State 78 - Alabama 76	-7
Mississippi Valley State 67 - Bethune Cookman 73	0.639	Mississippi Valley State 60 - Bethune Cookman 62	-4
Missouri 68 - Texas AM 75	0.688	Missouri 64 - Texas AM 67	-4
Morgan State 66 - Coppin State 72	0.632	Morgan State 76 - Coppin State 79	-3
New Mexico 67 - Boise State 77	0.793	New Mexico 63 - Boise State 71	-2
New Mexico State 72 - Abilene Christian 66	0.692	New Mexico State 77 - Abilene Christian 63	-8
New Orleans 70 - Nicholls State 76	0.676	New Orleans 78 - Nicholls State 66	-18
North Carolina 80 - Georgia Tech 66	0.86	North Carolina 88 - Georgia Tech 65	-9
North Dakota State 72 - Western Illinois 67	0.642	North Dakota State 79 - Western Illinois 90	16
North Florida 62 - Jacksonville 70	0.755	North Florida 51 - Jacksonville 54	-5
Northeastern 66 - Drexel 69	0.58	Northeastern 68 - Drexel 76	5
Northern Illinois 67 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.587	Northern Illinois 77 - Eastern Michigan 70	-10
Old Dominion 67 - Texas El Paso 66	0.507	Old Dominion 70 - Texas El Paso 78	9
Pennsylvania 71 - Dartmouth 66	0.645	Pennsylvania 78 - Dartmouth 68	-5
Pepperdine 74 - Portland 70	0.657	Pepperdine 63 - Portland 82	23
Pittsburgh 65 - Louisville 72	0.718	Pittsburgh 65 - Louisville 53	-19
Princeton 75 - Brown 67	0.752	Princeton 76 - Brown 74	6
Robert Morris 66 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.591	Robert Morris 74 - Northern Kentucky 64	-12
Sacramento State 70 - Portland State 60	0.762	Sacramento State 62 - Portland State 67	15
Sacred Heart 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.712	Sacred Heart 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0
Saint Louis 76 - Fordham 62	0.878	Saint Louis 63 - Fordham 45	-4
Sam Houston State 66 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.667	Sam Houston State 49 - Stephen F Austin 41	-15
Samford 70 - East Tennessee State 69	0.518	Samford 85 - East Tennessee State 88	4
San Diego 66 - Loyola Marymount 70	0.634	San Diego 70 - Loyola Marymount 65	-9
San Francisco 70 - Brigham Young 71	0.539	San Francisco 69 - Brigham Young 71	1
San Jose State 65 - Colorado State 79	0.819	San Jose State 42 - Colorado State 78	22
Santa Clara 70 - Gonzaga 82	0.816	Santa Clara 83 - Gonzaga 115	20
Seattle 77 - Dixie State 66	0.788	Seattle 79 - Dixie State 68	0
South Alabama 75 - Georgia Southern 66	0.743	South Alabama 73 - Georgia Southern 67	3
South Carolina 70 - Florida 73	0.557	South Carolina 63 - Florida 71	5
South Dakota 74 - Omaha 65	0.706	South Dakota 105 - Omaha 70	-26
South Dakota State 82 - Denver 62	0.887	South Dakota State 80 - Denver 62	2
South Florida 60 - Central Florida 73	0.834	South Florida 75 - Central Florida 51	-37
Southeast Louisiana 76 - Northwestern State 69	0.699	Southeast Louisiana 79 - Northwestern State 74	2
Southern California 78 - Oregon 67	0.759	Southern California 69 - Oregon 79	21
Southern Illinois 67 - Northern Iowa 69	0.577	Southern Illinois 68 - Northern Iowa 69	-1
Stetson 71 - Kennesaw St 68	0.583	Stetson 49 - Kennesaw St 77	31
Syracuse 74 - Florida State 75	0.53	Syracuse 71 - Florida State 76	4
Tennessee Martin 70 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.565	Tennessee Martin 70 - Tennessee Tech 76	8
Tennessee State 63 - Morehead State 74	0.819	Tennessee State 64 - Morehead State 71	-4
Texas AM CC 76 - Incarnate Word 60	0.885	Texas AM CC 80 - Incarnate Word 64	0
Texas Arlington 74 - UL Monroe 69	0.626	Texas Arlington 55 - UL Monroe 62	12
Texas Christian 69 - Oklahoma 71	0.565	Texas Christian 59 - Oklahoma 58	-3
Texas State 69 - UL Lafayette 68	0.548	Texas State 72 - UL Lafayette 68	-3
The Citadel 69 - Virginia Military Institute 74	0.651	The Citadel 85 - Virginia Military Institute 90	0
Tulane 70 - Southern Methodist 76	0.655	Tulane 66 - Southern Methodist 75	3
Tulsa 62 - Houston 80	0.901	Tulsa 64 - Houston 66	-16
UCLA 83 - Oregon State 63	0.926	UCLA 81 - Oregon State 65	4
UMBC 62 - Vermont 74	0.764	UMBC 69 - Vermont 86	5
UMKC 64 - Oral Roberts 72	0.689	UMKC 72 - Oral Roberts 84	4
UNC Asheville 75 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.862	UNC Asheville 73 - South Carolina Upstate 76	15
Utah State 72 - Wyoming 71	0.516	Utah State 69 - Wyoming 71	3
Valparaiso 66 - Missouri State 73	0.709	Valparaiso 57 - Missouri State 74	10
Virginia 69 - Wake Forest 68	0.515	Virginia 55 - Wake Forest 63	9
Virginia Tech 71 - Notre Dame 67	0.586	Virginia Tech 79 - Notre Dame 73	-2
Wagner 77 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 55	0.91	Wagner 81 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 76	17
Washington 69 - Stanford 74	0.65	Washington 67 - Stanford 64	-8
Washington State 72 - California 66	0.656	Washington State 65 - California 57	-2
Western Carolina 66 - Wofford 76	0.781	Western Carolina 64 - Wofford 84	10
Western Kentucky 65 - North Texas 69	0.602	Western Kentucky 60 - North Texas 65	1
Western Michigan 66 - Miami OH 76	0.761	Western Michigan 62 - Miami OH 70	-2
William and Mary 60 - James Madison 75	0.897	William and Mary 91 - James Madison 95	-11
Xavier 77 - Creighton 69	0.691	Xavier 80 - Creighton 73	1
Yale 76 - Cornell 71	0.639	Yale 96 - Cornell 69	-22
Youngstown State 70 - Wright State 71	0.513	Youngstown State 90 - Wright State 87	-4

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 68 - Bucknell 70	0.542	American 63 - Bucknell 55	-10
Boston 62 - Navy 68	0.686	Boston 65 - Navy 72	1
Illinois State 71 - Bradley 74	0.577	Illinois State 74 - Bradley 65	-12
Iona 76 - Niagara 60	0.92	Iona 78 - Niagara 55	-7
Lafayette 67 - Army 72	0.623	Lafayette 68 - Army 54	-19
Lehigh 64 - Loyola MD 72	0.74	Lehigh 57 - Loyola MD 69	4
Maine 62 - Binghamton 69	0.721	Maine 65 - Binghamton 73	1
Manhattan 73 - Canisius 66	0.665	Manhattan 80 - Canisius 75	2
Marist 63 - Monmouth 71	0.758	Marist 84 - Monmouth 48	-44
Minnesota 73 - Iowa 75	0.568	Minnesota 71 - Iowa 81	8
Ohio State 76 - Penn State 67	0.739	Ohio State 61 - Penn State 56	4
Quinnipiac 68 - Fairfield 67	0.536	Quinnipiac 72 - Fairfield 66	-5
Rider 67 - Saint Peters 66	0.512	Rider 51 - Saint Peters 58	8
Saint Johns 80 - Georgetown 73	0.69	Saint Johns 88 - Georgetown 69	-12
Southern Miss 58 - Louisiana Tech 79	0.922	Southern Miss 62 - Louisiana Tech 76	-7
Villanova 78 - Butler 58	0.878	Villanova 82 - Butler 42	-20
Wichita State 70 - Cincinnati 68	0.571	Wichita State 57 - Cincinnati 61	6

Number of DI Games: 314
Number Correct: 220 = 70%
Expected Number Correct: 220.557 = 70.2%
Average Error: 8.95
Average Signed Error: -1.87

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 77 - Prairie View 68	0.765	Alcorn State 73 - Prairie View 74	10
Arizona State 71 - Utah 72	0.506	Arizona State 64 - Utah 62	-3
Arkansas Pine Bluff 65 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.587	Arkansas Pine Bluff 69 - Bethune Cookman 63	-9
Brown 69 - Yale 71	0.55	Brown 63 - Yale 66	1
Bryant 75 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.679	Bryant 82 - Saint Francis Penn 52	-22
Cal Baptist 68 - Seattle 71	0.598	Cal Baptist 85 - Seattle 92	4
College of Charleston 76 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.727	College of Charleston 78 - UNC Wilmington 86	18
Dartmouth 67 - Harvard 71	0.629	Dartmouth 59 - Harvard 60	-3
Eastern Illinois 49 - Murray State 82	0.97	Eastern Illinois 46 - Murray State 72	-7
Elon 67 - James Madison 75	0.748	Elon 90 - James Madison 67	-31
Florida Atlantic 69 - Charlotte 72	0.596	Florida Atlantic 96 - Charlotte 67	-32
George Washington 62 - George Mason 75	0.822	George Washington 77 - George Mason 76	-14
Hofstra 75 - Drexel 69	0.665	Hofstra 71 - Drexel 68	3
Howard 64 - Notre Dame 80	0.844	Howard 68 - Notre Dame 71	-13
Idaho State 58 - Weber State 75	0.919	Idaho State 61 - Weber State 78	0
Illinois 76 - Purdue 74	0.551	Illinois 88 - Purdue 96	10
IPFW 84 - Unranked 55		IPFW 102 - Unranked 59
Jackson State 63 - Texas Southern 68	0.628	Jackson State 61 - Texas Southern 58	-8
Loyola Marymount 74 - Portland 66	0.74	Loyola Marymount 70 - Portland 58	-4
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Norfolk State 68	0.569	Maryland Eastern Shore 58 - Norfolk State 72	12
Merrimack 63 - Mt St Marys 60	0.589	Merrimack 50 - Mt St Marys 57	10
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Florida AM 73	0.706	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Florida AM 78	1
Nebraska 67 - Indiana 81	0.828	Nebraska 71 - Indiana 78	-7
Nevada 71 - Wyoming 75	0.633	Nevada 67 - Wyoming 77	6
North Florida 67 - Kennesaw St 74	0.672	North Florida 60 - Kennesaw St 62	-5
Northeastern 66 - Delaware 71	0.636	Northeastern 76 - Delaware 82	1
Northern Arizona 74 - Idaho 69	0.636	Northern Arizona 74 - Idaho 72	3
Princeton 76 - Pennsylvania 68	0.745	Princeton 74 - Pennsylvania 64	-2
Sacred Heart 72 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.734	Sacred Heart 74 - Central Connecticut State 66	0
Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.633	Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - LIU Brooklyn 80	9
Saint Josephs 78 - La Salle 66	0.79	Saint Josephs 64 - La Salle 75	23
San Jose State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 74	0.724	San Jose State 56 - Nevada Las Vegas 81	16
SIU Edwardsville 62 - Belmont 78	0.851	SIU Edwardsville 64 - Belmont 80	0
Southern Illinois 66 - Drake 69	0.588	Southern Illinois 59 - Drake 60	-2
Southern Utah 75 - Portland State 61	0.845	Southern Utah 86 - Portland State 76	4
Stephen F Austin 78 - Lamar 57	0.927	Stephen F Austin 86 - Lamar 78	13
Stony Brook 73 - UMBC 69	0.588	Stony Brook 65 - UMBC 51	-10
Tennessee State 68 - Tennessee Tech 70	0.594	Tennessee State 80 - Tennessee Tech 64	-18
The Citadel 69 - Mercer 75	0.668	The Citadel 64 - Mercer 71	1
UMKC 68 - Denver 61	0.723	UMKC 55 - Denver 63	15
Wagner 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 57	0.928	Wagner 95 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	-9
William and Mary 58 - Towson 78	0.928	William and Mary 69 - Towson 91	2

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 75 - Western Michigan 58	0.895	Akron 74 - Western Michigan 73	16
Arkansas 78 - South Carolina 68	0.729	Arkansas 75 - South Carolina 59	-6
Bellarmine 70 - North Alabama 62	0.765	Bellarmine 68 - North Alabama 60	0
Boise State 75 - Air Force 54	0.905	Boise State 62 - Air Force 56	15
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Cal Poly 60	0.738	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Cal Poly 60	-5
Central Arkansas 65 - Jacksonville State 77	0.817	Central Arkansas 81 - Jacksonville State 86	-7
Connecticut 78 - Butler 64	0.832	Connecticut 76 - Butler 59	-3
Dayton 71 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.539	Dayton 68 - Saint Bonaventure 50	-16
East Carolina 70 - Central Florida 73	0.584	East Carolina 85 - Central Florida 92	4
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Lipscomb 72	0.564	Eastern Kentucky 86 - Lipscomb 72	-11
Eastern Michigan 67 - Kent State 71	0.601	Eastern Michigan 47 - Kent State 56	5
Evansville 56 - Loyola Ill 80	0.948	Evansville 48 - Loyola Ill 77	5
Florida State 70 - Duke 76	0.656	Florida State 79 - Duke 78	-7
Fordham 66 - Richmond 71	0.648	Fordham 70 - Richmond 83	8
Fresno State 70 - Utah State 68	0.578	Fresno State 61 - Utah State 54	-5
Houston 81 - South Florida 55	0.925	Houston 74 - South Florida 55	7
Liberty 70 - Jacksonville 61	0.772	Liberty 88 - Jacksonville 49	-30
Manhattan 68 - Niagara 67	0.542	Manhattan 63 - Niagara 72	10
Miami 75 - North Carolina 78	0.594	Miami 85 - North Carolina 57	-31
Miami OH 66 - Ohio 73	0.736	Miami OH 63 - Ohio 86	16
Michigan 74 - Maryland 69	0.627	Michigan 83 - Maryland 64	-14
Mississippi 74 - Missouri 66	0.672	Mississippi 53 - Missouri 78	33
Monmouth 67 - Iona 73	0.652	Monmouth 85 - Iona 86	-5
Northern Illinois 69 - Bowling Green 72	0.588	Northern Illinois 83 - Bowling Green 92	6
Northwestern 69 - Wisconsin 78	0.762	Northwestern 76 - Wisconsin 82	-3
Ohio State 90 - IUPUI 45	0.996	Ohio State 83 - IUPUI 37	-1
Oklahoma 71 - Kansas 78	0.692	Oklahoma 64 - Kansas 67	-4
Saint Peters 70 - Canisius 61	0.739	Saint Peters 65 - Canisius 57	1
South Carolina State 82 - Unranked 60		South Carolina State 102 - Unranked 67
Stetson 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 71	0.686	Stetson 91 - Florida Gulf Coast 93	-4
Syracuse 76 - Clemson 75	0.526	Syracuse 91 - Clemson 78	-12
Texas 72 - Kansas State 62	0.783	Texas 65 - Kansas State 66	11
Texas Tech 70 - Iowa State 67	0.57	Texas Tech 72 - Iowa State 60	-9
Toledo 80 - Ball State 63	0.873	Toledo 83 - Ball State 70	4
Vanderbilt 67 - Tennessee 74	0.682	Vanderbilt 60 - Tennessee 68	1
Virginia Commonwealth 67 - Davidson 68	0.56	Virginia Commonwealth 61 - Davidson 63	1
West Virginia 69 - Baylor 76	0.691	West Virginia 68 - Baylor 77	2

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 72 - Louisiana State 75	0.574	Alabama 70 - Louisiana State 67	-6
Army 72 - American 62	0.708	Army 76 - American 66	0
Auburn 89 - Georgia 62	0.98	Auburn 83 - Georgia 60	4
Binghamton 67 - Stony Brook 73	0.652	Binghamton 71 - Stony Brook 74	-3
Bucknell 65 - Colgate 77	0.753	Bucknell 56 - Colgate 75	7
Charleston Southern 63 - High Point 74	0.787	Charleston Southern 70 - High Point 66	-15
Colorado State 83 - New Mexico 66	0.855	Colorado State 80 - New Mexico 74	11
Creighton 79 - Saint Johns 73	0.644	Creighton 87 - Saint Johns 64	-17
DePaul 70 - Xavier 80	0.777	DePaul 67 - Xavier 68	-9
Drake 71 - Bradley 66	0.63	Drake 71 - Bradley 83	17
East Tennessee State 72 - Mercer 68	0.611	East Tennessee State 72 - Mercer 64	-4
Florida 73 - Mississippi State 71	0.553	Florida 80 - Mississippi State 72	-6
Furman 80 - Western Carolina 64	0.844	Furman 88 - Western Carolina 50	-22
Gardner Webb 73 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.776	Gardner Webb 61 - South Carolina Upstate 74	22
Georgia Tech 69 - Wake Forest 76	0.717	Georgia Tech 64 - Wake Forest 80	9
Hartford 64 - New Hampshire 72	0.723	Hartford 69 - New Hampshire 57	-20
Longwood 68 - Campbell 63	0.624	Longwood 72 - Campbell 64	-3
Louisville 75 - Boston College 67	0.709	Louisville 67 - Boston College 54	-5
Loyola MD 67 - Boston 65	0.587	Loyola MD 50 - Boston 67	19
Missouri State 79 - Illinois State 68	0.788	Missouri State 88 - Illinois State 63	-14
Navy 74 - Lehigh 57	0.859	Navy 61 - Lehigh 69	25
NC State 70 - Virginia Tech 74	0.608	NC State 59 - Virginia Tech 62	-1
NJ Tech 57 - Vermont 75	0.908	NJ Tech 57 - Vermont 83	8
Oklahoma State 71 - Texas Christian 69	0.55	Oklahoma State 57 - Texas Christian 56	1
Pittsburgh 62 - Virginia 67	0.656	Pittsburgh 61 - Virginia 66	0
Quinnipiac 73 - Rider 65	0.727	Quinnipiac 73 - Rider 67	2
Radford 69 - Hampton 61	0.798	Radford 54 - Hampton 51	5
Rhode Island 79 - La Salle 61	0.913	Rhode Island 56 - La Salle 54	16
Rutgers 71 - Iowa 78	0.675	Rutgers 48 - Iowa 46	-9
Saint Josephs 78 - George Washington 63	0.835	Saint Josephs 72 - George Washington 61	4
Southern Illinois 69 - Indiana State 67	0.574	Southern Illinois 63 - Indiana State 55	-6
Southern Miss 81 - Unranked 57		Southern Miss 100 - Unranked 50
Texas AM 70 - Kentucky 76	0.668	Texas AM 58 - Kentucky 64	0
UMass Lowell 73 - Maine 57	0.901	UMass Lowell 71 - Maine 62	7
UMBC 69 - Albany 64	0.611	UMBC 54 - Albany 66	17
UNC Asheville 71 - North Carolina AT 65	0.707	UNC Asheville 71 - North Carolina AT 73	8
Valparaiso 67 - Northern Iowa 74	0.705	Valparaiso 83 - Northern Iowa 80	-10
Villanova 79 - Marquette 68	0.732	Villanova 54 - Marquette 57	14
Wofford 78 - The Citadel 63	0.86	Wofford 89 - The Citadel 77	3
Wyoming 80 - San Jose State 59	0.926	Wyoming 84 - San Jose State 69	6

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Seattle 68	0.584	Abilene Christian 62 - Seattle 72	12
Air Force 62 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	0.686	Air Force 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 62	-14
Arkansas Little Rock 64 - Texas State 74	0.788	Arkansas Little Rock 59 - Texas State 69	0
Arkansas State 71 - Texas Arlington 67	0.623	Arkansas State 75 - Texas Arlington 70	-1
Bowling Green 70 - Akron 72	0.558	Bowling Green 66 - Akron 91	23
Brigham Young 78 - San Diego 60	0.919	Brigham Young 79 - San Diego 71	10
Butler 66 - Connecticut 76	0.758	Butler 56 - Connecticut 75	9
Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Hawaii 70	0.631	Cal State Bakersfield 59 - Hawaii 63	-1
Cal State Northridge 66 - UC Davis 70	0.617	Cal State Northridge 47 - UC Davis 64	13
Cincinnati 74 - Tulsa 64	0.761	Cincinnati 90 - Tulsa 69	-11
Colorado 70 - Southern California 73	0.59	Colorado 58 - Southern California 61	0
Delaware 78 - William and Mary 60	0.923	Delaware 84 - William and Mary 74	8
Dixie State 74 - Lamar 64	0.785	Dixie State 71 - Lamar 55	-6
Drexel 75 - Elon 65	0.822	Drexel 77 - Elon 49	-18
Eastern Washington 73 - Sacramento State 65	0.714	Eastern Washington 75 - Sacramento State 62	-5
Fairfield 64 - Monmouth 70	0.655	Fairfield 58 - Monmouth 61	-3
Florida Atlantic 68 - Western Kentucky 75	0.682	Florida Atlantic 78 - Western Kentucky 69	-16
Florida International 71 - Marshall 72	0.503	Florida International 70 - Marshall 66	-5
Florida State 84 - North Florida 58	0.95	Florida State 86 - North Florida 73	13
Georgia Southern 67 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.562	Georgia Southern 72 - Coastal Carolina 76	2
Georgia State 67 - Appalachian State 71	0.627	Georgia State 60 - Appalachian State 61	-3
Gonzaga 82 - San Francisco 70	0.827	Gonzaga 78 - San Francisco 62	-4
Green Bay 63 - Detroit 71	0.737	Green Bay 70 - Detroit 63	-15
Idaho 68 - Northern Colorado 80	0.762	Idaho 70 - Northern Colorado 87	5
Illinois Chicago 70 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.657	Illinois Chicago 70 - Northern Kentucky 74	9
Incarnate Word 70 - Houston Baptist 64	0.668	Incarnate Word 65 - Houston Baptist 68	9
Indiana 71 - Purdue 75	0.611	Indiana 68 - Purdue 65	-7
IUPUI 56 - Wright State 76	0.895	IUPUI 45 - Wright State 73	8
James Madison 75 - UNC Wilmington 65	0.745	James Madison 70 - UNC Wilmington 71	11
Loyola Marymount 76 - Pepperdine 66	0.754	Loyola Marymount 85 - Pepperdine 80	5
Massachusetts 68 - Saint Louis 79	0.8	Massachusetts 91 - Saint Louis 85	-17
Memphis 76 - Southern Methodist 74	0.539	Memphis 62 - Southern Methodist 70	10
Milwaukee 60 - Oakland 76	0.888	Milwaukee 88 - Oakland 78	-26
Morehead State 65 - Belmont 73	0.754	Morehead State 83 - Belmont 74	-17
Murray State 84 - Eastern Illinois 47	0.986	Murray State 91 - Eastern Illinois 51	-3
New Orleans 73 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.586	New Orleans 78 - Southeast Louisiana 72	-3
Nicholls State 79 - Northwestern State 67	0.807	Nicholls State 69 - Northwestern State 58	1
North Texas 72 - Charlotte 60	0.832	North Texas 65 - Charlotte 51	-2
Northern Arizona 61 - Montana State 72	0.838	Northern Arizona 84 - Montana State 89	-6
Oral Roberts 84 - North Dakota 58	0.951	Oral Roberts 80 - North Dakota 76	22
Oregon State 71 - Washington 73	0.544	Oregon State 72 - Washington 82	8
Portland State 62 - Montana 70	0.75	Portland State 64 - Montana 66	-6
Presbyterian 65 - Winthrop 73	0.749	Presbyterian 58 - Winthrop 60	-6
Providence 81 - Georgetown 63	0.846	Providence 83 - Georgetown 75	10
Rice 73 - Old Dominion 68	0.619	Rice 77 - Old Dominion 69	-3
Saint Marys 75 - Santa Clara 66	0.75	Saint Marys 73 - Santa Clara 65	1
Saint Thomas 68 - South Dakota State 78	0.738	Saint Thomas 77 - South Dakota State 92	5
Sam Houston State 63 - New Mexico State 76	0.822	Sam Houston State 71 - New Mexico State 46	-38
SE Missouri State 73 - Tennessee State 71	0.552	SE Missouri State 85 - Tennessee State 63	-20
Stanford 69 - Arizona 81	0.804	Stanford 57 - Arizona 85	16
Stephen F Austin 66 - Grand Canyon 72	0.66	Stephen F Austin 71 - Grand Canyon 46	-31
Tarleton State 69 - Cal Baptist 64	0.622	Tarleton State 84 - Cal Baptist 88	9
Tennessee Martin 71 - Austin Peay 68	0.61	Tennessee Martin 57 - Austin Peay 72	18
Tennessee Tech 70 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.505	Tennessee Tech 94 - SIU Edwardsville 76	-17
Texas AM CC 75 - Mcneese State 64	0.847	Texas AM CC 60 - Mcneese State 56	7
Texas El Paso 75 - Texas San Antonio 60	0.842	Texas El Paso 69 - Texas San Antonio 64	10
Towson 75 - College of Charleston 68	0.698	Towson 74 - College of Charleston 67	0
UC Irvine 71 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.624	UC Irvine 63 - Cal State Fullerton 65	7
UC San Diego 70 - Long Beach State 71	0.551	UC San Diego 69 - Long Beach State 87	17
UL Lafayette 70 - South Alabama 71	0.51	UL Lafayette 70 - South Alabama 77	6
UL Monroe 68 - Troy 72	0.581	UL Monroe 65 - Troy 73	4
UMKC 64 - North Dakota State 66	0.562	UMKC 80 - North Dakota State 77	-5
UNC Greensboro 61 - Chattanooga 67	0.675	UNC Greensboro 64 - Chattanooga 72	2
Utah 69 - UCLA 81	0.797	Utah 58 - UCLA 63	-7
Utah State 69 - Boise State 72	0.578	Utah State 59 - Boise State 62	0
Utah Valley 78 - Texas Pan American 65	0.824	Utah Valley 66 - Texas Pan American 56	3
Virginia Military Institute 75 - Samford 71	0.589	Virginia Military Institute 99 - Samford 80	-15
Weber State 77 - Idaho State 56	0.95	Weber State 95 - Idaho State 63	-11

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 73 - Kent State 67	0.671	Buffalo 64 - Kent State 51	-7
Canisius 70 - Rider 66	0.602	Canisius 70 - Rider 69	3
Cleveland State 74 - Youngstown State 65	0.79	Cleveland State 64 - Youngstown State 61	6
Duquesne 65 - Saint Bonaventure 76	0.738	Duquesne 56 - Saint Bonaventure 64	-3
Fairleigh Dickinson 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.505	Fairleigh Dickinson 78 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 80	1
Illinois State 76 - Evansville 65	0.793	Illinois State 94 - Evansville 56	-27
IPFW 72 - Robert Morris 64	0.747	IPFW 86 - Robert Morris 62	-16
LIU Brooklyn 65 - Wagner 73	0.697	LIU Brooklyn 85 - Wagner 92	-1
Manhattan 69 - Siena 67	0.56	Manhattan 75 - Siena 68	-5
Maryland 68 - Illinois 78	0.769	Maryland 81 - Illinois 65	-26
Merrimack 65 - Bryant 67	0.547	Merrimack 63 - Bryant 79	14
Mt St Marys 68 - Sacred Heart 66	0.575	Mt St Marys 98 - Sacred Heart 59	-37
Nevada 69 - Fresno State 71	0.561	Nevada 77 - Fresno State 73	-6
Niagara 64 - Saint Peters 63	0.549	Niagara 68 - Saint Peters 74	7
Ohio 70 - Toledo 69	0.526	Ohio 69 - Toledo 87	19
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.646	Saint Francis Penn 68 - Central Connecticut State 67	5
Wisconsin 73 - Michigan State 70	0.614	Wisconsin 74 - Michigan State 86	15

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 72 - Cal Baptist 65	0.72	Abilene Christian 77 - Cal Baptist 68	-2
Air Force 58 - Colorado State 76	0.837	Air Force 53 - Colorado State 73	2
Akron 75 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.744	Akron 46 - Eastern Michigan 44	9
Alabama 84 - Missouri 66	0.826	Alabama 86 - Missouri 76	8
Albany 66 - Stony Brook 69	0.571	Albany 75 - Stony Brook 86	8
Arkansas 75 - Texas AM 71	0.588	Arkansas 76 - Texas AM 73	1
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Texas Arlington 72	0.632	Arkansas Little Rock 98 - Texas Arlington 96	-7
Arkansas State 68 - Texas State 70	0.549	Arkansas State 67 - Texas State 60	-9
Auburn 78 - Kentucky 73	0.632	Auburn 80 - Kentucky 71	-4
Bellarmine 65 - Jacksonville 63	0.57	Bellarmine 76 - Jacksonville 73	-1
Bethune Cookman 62 - Jackson State 65	0.604	Bethune Cookman 55 - Jackson State 50	-8
Boston 72 - Lehigh 62	0.76	Boston 80 - Lehigh 74	4
Boston College 66 - Virginia Tech 74	0.701	Boston College 68 - Virginia Tech 63	-13
Bradley 69 - Southern Illinois 65	0.616	Bradley 70 - Southern Illinois 62	-4
Brigham Young 82 - Portland 60	0.95	Brigham Young 78 - Portland 65	9
Cal Poly 62 - Hawaii 73	0.805	Cal Poly 56 - Hawaii 69	2
Cal State Fullerton 75 - UC San Diego 65	0.813	Cal State Fullerton 83 - UC San Diego 80	7
Cal State Northridge 61 - UC Riverside 70	0.784	Cal State Northridge 67 - UC Riverside 77	1
Central Florida 75 - Tulane 68	0.67	Central Florida 68 - Tulane 66	5
Clemson 74 - Pittsburgh 65	0.746	Clemson 75 - Pittsburgh 48	-18
Colorado 70 - UCLA 76	0.684	Colorado 65 - UCLA 71	0
Columbia 63 - Brown 75	0.792	Columbia 74 - Brown 93	7
Cornell 72 - Harvard 73	0.518	Cornell 76 - Harvard 61	-16
Creighton 78 - DePaul 71	0.679	Creighton 60 - DePaul 47	-6
Dartmouth 65 - Princeton 74	0.807	Dartmouth 80 - Princeton 84	-5
Delaware 75 - Elon 64	0.842	Delaware 80 - Elon 77	8
Delaware State 60 - North Carolina Central 73	0.818	Delaware State 49 - North Carolina Central 73	11
Denver 72 - Omaha 67	0.626	Denver 94 - Omaha 63	-26
Dixie State 72 - Texas Pan American 73	0.532	Dixie State 85 - Texas Pan American 74	-12
Drexel 78 - William and Mary 60	0.915	Drexel 75 - William and Mary 83	26
Duke 83 - Syracuse 69	0.846	Duke 79 - Syracuse 59	-6
East Tennessee State 77 - The Citadel 66	0.783	East Tennessee State 73 - The Citadel 75	13
Eastern Illinois 65 - SE Missouri State 71	0.666	Eastern Illinois 58 - SE Missouri State 87	23
Eastern Kentucky 75 - North Florida 68	0.702	Eastern Kentucky 67 - North Florida 58	-2
Eastern Washington 74 - Northern Colorado 73	0.515	Eastern Washington 83 - Northern Colorado 87	5
Florida 74 - Vanderbilt 68	0.674	Florida 61 - Vanderbilt 42	-13
Florida AM 64 - Alcorn State 71	0.749	Florida AM 70 - Alcorn State 68	-9
Florida Atlantic 74 - Marshall 71	0.596	Florida Atlantic 71 - Marshall 60	-8
Florida International 65 - Western Kentucky 75	0.78	Florida International 86 - Western Kentucky 83	-13
Fordham 62 - Davidson 75	0.869	Fordham 66 - Davidson 69	-10
George Mason 66 - Dayton 70	0.574	George Mason 50 - Dayton 49	-5
Georgetown 62 - Villanova 83	0.882	Georgetown 74 - Villanova 85	-10
Georgia Southern 65 - Appalachian State 68	0.594	Georgia Southern 62 - Appalachian State 70	5
Georgia State 69 - Coastal Carolina 72	0.59	Georgia State 68 - Coastal Carolina 72	1
Grambling State 77 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.816	Grambling State 68 - Mississippi Valley State 64	9
Green Bay 58 - Oakland 78	0.94	Green Bay 61 - Oakland 68	-13
Hampton 62 - High Point 69	0.722	Hampton 68 - High Point 62	-13
Holy Cross 68 - Bucknell 70	0.561	Holy Cross 65 - Bucknell 68	1
Houston 83 - East Carolina 61	0.923	Houston 79 - East Carolina 36	-21
Idaho 68 - Sacramento State 72	0.591	Idaho 73 - Sacramento State 72	-5
Illinois Chicago 70 - Wright State 71	0.533	Illinois Chicago 81 - Wright State 97	15
Incarnate Word 67 - Mcneese State 70	0.619	Incarnate Word 72 - Mcneese State 82	7
Indiana State 71 - Valparaiso 67	0.6	Indiana State 73 - Valparaiso 75	6
Iowa 77 - Penn State 70	0.712	Iowa 68 - Penn State 51	-10
Iowa State 72 - Texas Christian 66	0.665	Iowa State 44 - Texas Christian 59	21
IUPUI 56 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.843	IUPUI 41 - Northern Kentucky 60	6
Jacksonville State 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.745	Jacksonville State 79 - Florida Gulf Coast 71	0
James Madison 75 - College of Charleston 72	0.572	James Madison 95 - College of Charleston 94	2
Kansas State 66 - Kansas 79	0.835	Kansas State 75 - Kansas 78	-10
La Salle 66 - Richmond 77	0.8	La Salle 56 - Richmond 64	-3
Lipscomb 71 - Kennesaw St 74	0.557	Lipscomb 77 - Kennesaw St 73	-7
Long Beach State 66 - UC Irvine 72	0.636	Long Beach State 73 - UC Irvine 67	-12
Louisiana Tech 72 - Alabama Birmingham 71	0.513	Louisiana Tech 76 - Alabama Birmingham 83	8
Louisville 70 - Notre Dame 72	0.552	Louisville 70 - Notre Dame 82	10
Loyola Ill 76 - Missouri State 66	0.772	Loyola Ill 69 - Missouri State 79	20
Loyola Marymount 62 - Saint Marys 73	0.807	Loyola Marymount 51 - Saint Marys 83	21
Loyola MD 72 - American 59	0.823	Loyola MD 78 - American 73	8
Maine 60 - UMBC 75	0.811	Maine 46 - UMBC 88	27
Maryland Eastern Shore 73 - South Carolina State 65	0.724	Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - South Carolina State 69	17
Mercer 76 - Western Carolina 67	0.72	Mercer 72 - Western Carolina 64	1
Miami 74 - Florida State 73	0.53	Miami 60 - Florida State 61	2
Miami OH 72 - Northern Illinois 64	0.714	Miami OH 85 - Northern Illinois 82	5
Middle Tennessee 75 - Southern Miss 58	0.893	Middle Tennessee 74 - Southern Miss 60	3
Milwaukee 65 - Detroit 69	0.614	Milwaukee 58 - Detroit 71	9
Minnesota 71 - Rutgers 67	0.607	Minnesota 68 - Rutgers 65	1
Mississippi State 74 - Mississippi 66	0.701	Mississippi State 78 - Mississippi 60	-10
Morehead State 71 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.763	Morehead State 77 - SIU Edwardsville 74	6
Morgan State 67 - Howard 74	0.663	Morgan State 82 - Howard 91	2
Murray State 83 - Tennessee Martin 56	0.958	Murray State 74 - Tennessee Martin 66	19
Navy 72 - Army 60	0.765	Navy 73 - Army 74	13
NC State 68 - Virginia 70	0.569	NC State 77 - Virginia 63	-16
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - San Jose State 63	0.804	Nevada Las Vegas 70 - San Jose State 62	5
New Hampshire 69 - UMass Lowell 63	0.694	New Hampshire 67 - UMass Lowell 61	0
New Orleans 77 - Northwestern State 68	0.725	New Orleans 85 - Northwestern State 77	1
Nicholls State 75 - Southeast Louisiana 68	0.701	Nicholls State 93 - Southeast Louisiana 101	15
NJ Tech 68 - Binghamton 65	0.584	NJ Tech 57 - Binghamton 68	14
Norfolk State 73 - Coppin State 64	0.751	Norfolk State 84 - Coppin State 77	2
North Alabama 68 - Stetson 62	0.714	North Alabama 65 - Stetson 67	8
North Carolina AT 65 - Campbell 67	0.562	North Carolina AT 72 - Campbell 73	-1
North Texas 72 - Old Dominion 57	0.842	North Texas 69 - Old Dominion 56	2
Northeastern 67 - Hofstra 74	0.678	Northeastern 50 - Hofstra 72	15
Northern Arizona 63 - Montana 71	0.742	Northern Arizona 48 - Montana 58	2
Northern Iowa 72 - Drake 70	0.573	Northern Iowa 74 - Drake 82	10
Oklahoma 70 - Baylor 76	0.672	Oklahoma 51 - Baylor 65	8
Oral Roberts 74 - North Dakota State 66	0.731	Oral Roberts 71 - North Dakota State 72	9
Pacific 63 - San Diego 70	0.745	Pacific 65 - San Diego 73	1
Pennsylvania 71 - Yale 73	0.558	Pennsylvania 76 - Yale 68	-10
Pepperdine 63 - San Francisco 81	0.909	Pepperdine 45 - San Francisco 71	8
Portland State 60 - Montana State 70	0.862	Portland State 60 - Montana State 73	3
Prairie View 74 - Alabama State 73	0.539	Prairie View 70 - Alabama State 67	-2
Presbyterian 63 - Longwood 69	0.656	Presbyterian 70 - Longwood 71	-5
Radford 66 - UNC Asheville 69	0.62	Radford 74 - UNC Asheville 78	1
Rhode Island 78 - George Washington 58	0.937	Rhode Island 61 - George Washington 63	22
Rice 73 - Charlotte 71	0.537	Rice 64 - Charlotte 67	5
Saint Johns 75 - Seton Hall 80	0.639	Saint Johns 60 - Seton Hall 66	1
Saint Thomas 69 - South Dakota 68	0.547	Saint Thomas 79 - South Dakota 90	12
Sam Houston State 63 - Grand Canyon 74	0.778	Sam Houston State 58 - Grand Canyon 56	-13
San Diego State 69 - Boise State 65	0.603	San Diego State 37 - Boise State 42	9
South Carolina 77 - Georgia 68	0.755	South Carolina 83 - Georgia 66	-8
South Carolina Upstate 76 - Charleston Southern 64	0.837	South Carolina Upstate 70 - Charleston Southern 57	-1
Southern 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.889	Southern 99 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	-31
Southern Utah 77 - Idaho State 56	0.928	Southern Utah 86 - Idaho State 74	9
Stanford 76 - Arizona State 66	0.757	Stanford 79 - Arizona State 76	7
Stephen F Austin 66 - New Mexico State 74	0.706	Stephen F Austin 58 - New Mexico State 72	6
Tarleton State 66 - Seattle 67	0.519	Tarleton State 68 - Seattle 76	7
Tennessee 69 - Louisiana State 71	0.566	Tennessee 64 - Louisiana State 50	-16
Tennessee State 70 - Austin Peay 68	0.55	Tennessee State 65 - Austin Peay 61	-2
Texas 72 - Oklahoma State 66	0.665	Texas 56 - Oklahoma State 51	1
Texas AM CC 78 - Houston Baptist 58	0.955	Texas AM CC 71 - Houston Baptist 77	26
Texas Southern 73 - Alabama AM 58	0.843	Texas Southern 78 - Alabama AM 44	-19
Texas Tech 71 - West Virginia 66	0.636	Texas Tech 78 - West Virginia 65	-8
Towson 75 - UNC Wilmington 60	0.828	Towson 77 - UNC Wilmington 81	19
UL Lafayette 69 - Troy 68	0.534	UL Lafayette 69 - Troy 59	-9
UL Monroe 70 - South Alabama 75	0.631	UL Monroe 56 - South Alabama 68	7
UMKC 74 - North Dakota 59	0.87	UMKC 79 - North Dakota 74	10
UNC Greensboro 69 - Samford 64	0.633	UNC Greensboro 61 - Samford 58	2
Utah 69 - Southern California 78	0.73	Utah 67 - Southern California 79	3
Utah Valley 79 - Lamar 56	0.951	Utah Valley 58 - Lamar 41	6
Vermont 81 - Hartford 56	0.957	Vermont 82 - Hartford 72	15
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Saint Josephs 63	0.712	Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Saint Josephs 54	-7
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Chattanooga 74	0.716	Virginia Military Institute 74 - Chattanooga 78	-4
Wake Forest 74 - North Carolina 77	0.566	Wake Forest 98 - North Carolina 76	-25
Western Illinois 69 - South Dakota State 78	0.708	Western Illinois 75 - South Dakota State 93	9
Western Michigan 67 - Bowling Green 76	0.776	Western Michigan 75 - Bowling Green 82	-2
Winthrop 73 - Gardner Webb 69	0.622	Winthrop 64 - Gardner Webb 62	2
Wofford 70 - Furman 69	0.516	Wofford 50 - Furman 75	26
Wyoming 81 - New Mexico 65	0.876	Wyoming 93 - New Mexico 91	14

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bryant 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.728	Bryant 85 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 68	-8
California 63 - Arizona 81	0.886	California 71 - Arizona 96	7
Canisius 63 - Saint Peters 68	0.634	Canisius 63 - Saint Peters 60	-8
Cleveland State 77 - Robert Morris 61	0.928	Cleveland State 75 - Robert Morris 68	9
Evansville 67 - Illinois State 74	0.706	Evansville 56 - Illinois State 53	-10
Fairleigh Dickinson 65 - LIU Brooklyn 73	0.7	Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - LIU Brooklyn 79	-4
Georgia Tech 91 - Unranked 52		Georgia Tech 103 - Unranked 53
Indiana 74 - Michigan 68	0.639	Indiana 62 - Michigan 80	24
IPFW 69 - Youngstown State 67	0.541	IPFW 82 - Youngstown State 71	-9
Marist 68 - Fairfield 63	0.642	Marist 66 - Fairfield 69	8
Marquette 74 - Xavier 77	0.572	Marquette 75 - Xavier 64	-14
Merrimack 58 - Wagner 69	0.782	Merrimack 57 - Wagner 71	3
Monmouth 74 - Manhattan 65	0.697	Monmouth 78 - Manhattan 62	-7
Mt St Marys 69 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.717	Mt St Marys 65 - Central Connecticut State 50	-8
Niagara 70 - Rider 61	0.781	Niagara 67 - Rider 70	12
Oregon 78 - Washington 67	0.742	Oregon 84 - Washington 56	-17
Providence 74 - Butler 61	0.787	Providence 69 - Butler 62	6
Purdue 83 - Northwestern 69	0.861	Purdue 80 - Northwestern 60	-6
Quinnipiac 64 - Iona 78	0.887	Quinnipiac 61 - Iona 76	1
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Sacred Heart 69	0.517	Saint Francis Penn 85 - Sacred Heart 74	-10
Saint Louis 81 - Massachusetts 66	0.871	Saint Louis 90 - Massachusetts 59	-16
Texas San Antonio 62 - Texas El Paso 73	0.77	Texas San Antonio 54 - Texas El Paso 59	-6
Tulsa 70 - Memphis 76	0.666	Tulsa 81 - Memphis 83	-4

Number of DI Games: 360
Number Correct: 260 = 72.2%
Expected Number Correct: 255.804 = 71%
Average Error: 9.08
Average Signed Error: 0.14

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 65 - Lafayette 66	0.517	American 56 - Lafayette 69	12
Bethune Cookman 64 - Alcorn State 69	0.648	Bethune Cookman 67 - Alcorn State 70	-2
Binghamton 69 - Hartford 67	0.566	Binghamton 74 - Hartford 64	-8
Colgate 71 - Loyola MD 65	0.661	Colgate 65 - Loyola MD 52	-7
Coppin State 70 - Howard 73	0.605	Coppin State 83 - Howard 81	-5
Delaware 69 - Towson 71	0.579	Delaware 62 - Towson 69	5
Delaware State 60 - South Carolina State 74	0.826	Delaware State 62 - South Carolina State 64	-12
Eastern Illinois 52 - Belmont 82	0.959	Eastern Illinois 56 - Belmont 90	4
Florida AM 63 - Jackson State 64	0.504	Florida AM 67 - Jackson State 64	-4
George Mason 73 - Saint Josephs 67	0.64	George Mason 77 - Saint Josephs 71	0
Grambling State 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.739	Grambling State 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 65	-2
Hampton 60 - Longwood 70	0.771	Hampton 49 - Longwood 73	14
High Point 66 - Winthrop 73	0.714	High Point 65 - Winthrop 56	-16
Idaho State 61 - Eastern Washington 75	0.887	Idaho State 63 - Eastern Washington 89	12
Jacksonville State 71 - Bellarmine 65	0.712	Jacksonville State 65 - Bellarmine 60	1
Kansas 77 - Texas Tech 71	0.689	Kansas 94 - Texas Tech 91	3
Kennesaw St 67 - Jacksonville 65	0.532	Kennesaw St 76 - Jacksonville 68	-6
Maine 57 - New Hampshire 73	0.868	Maine 71 - New Hampshire 64	-23
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - North Carolina Central 65	0.507	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - North Carolina Central 75	13
Mississippi 66 - Florida 75	0.708	Mississippi 70 - Florida 54	-25
Morehead State 75 - Tennessee State 59	0.868	Morehead State 67 - Tennessee State 54	3
Murray State 81 - Tennessee Tech 58	0.923	Murray State 79 - Tennessee Tech 53	-3
Norfolk State 77 - Morgan State 61	0.875	Norfolk State 82 - Morgan State 62	-4
North Carolina 75 - Virginia Tech 70	0.609	North Carolina 78 - Virginia Tech 68	-5
Northeastern 65 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.594	Northeastern 68 - UNC Wilmington 74	2
Northern Arizona 66 - Sacramento State 64	0.546	Northern Arizona 70 - Sacramento State 65	-3
Oakland 91 - Unranked 50		Oakland 104 - Unranked 61
Portland State 71 - Idaho 67	0.638	Portland State 79 - Idaho 84	9
Prairie View 72 - Alabama AM 64	0.729	Prairie View 72 - Alabama AM 48	-16
San Diego State 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 61	0.772	San Diego State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 55	-13
Santa Clara 76 - San Diego 68	0.757	Santa Clara 78 - San Diego 74	4
Seton Hall 82 - Saint Johns 71	0.793	Seton Hall 63 - Saint Johns 84	32
Southern 82 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.913	Southern 100 - Mississippi Valley State 72	-4
Southern California 80 - Arizona State 65	0.874	Southern California 78 - Arizona State 56	-7
Southern Utah 73 - Weber State 71	0.54	Southern Utah 84 - Weber State 92	10
Tennessee Martin 68 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.528	Tennessee Martin 76 - SIU Edwardsville 70	-7
Texas Southern 76 - Alabama State 63	0.801	Texas Southern 73 - Alabama State 66	6
UMKC 82 - Unranked 52		UMKC 111 - Unranked 44
Virginia 69 - Louisville 66	0.588	Virginia 64 - Louisville 52	-9
Wake Forest 80 - Boston College 65	0.836	Wake Forest 87 - Boston College 57	-15
Western Illinois 71 - South Dakota 70	0.517	Western Illinois 72 - South Dakota 75	4

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 71 - Miami OH 73	0.546	Ball State 81 - Miami OH 64	-19
Baylor 80 - Kansas State 65	0.88	Baylor 74 - Kansas State 49	-10
Boise State 72 - Wyoming 68	0.642	Boise State 65 - Wyoming 62	1
Bowling Green 76 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.665	Bowling Green 85 - Eastern Michigan 71	-8
Cal State Northridge 65 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.663	Cal State Northridge 45 - UC Santa Barbara 72	22
Central Michigan 61 - Akron 76	0.837	Central Michigan 56 - Akron 60	-11
College of Charleston 79 - William and Mary 65	0.847	College of Charleston 74 - William and Mary 73	13
Colorado State 80 - Nevada 70	0.744	Colorado State 77 - Nevada 66	-1
Connecticut 86 - Georgetown 68	0.895	Connecticut 96 - Georgetown 73	-5
Dayton 73 - Fordham 59	0.816	Dayton 68 - Fordham 61	7
Duke 80 - Clemson 67	0.815	Duke 71 - Clemson 69	11
Georgia 68 - Alabama 87	0.889	Georgia 82 - Alabama 76	-25
Illinois 76 - Michigan State 74	0.556	Illinois 56 - Michigan State 55	1
Indiana State 65 - Missouri State 77	0.766	Indiana State 76 - Missouri State 72	-16
Iona 78 - Siena 59	0.918	Iona 74 - Siena 57	2
Kent State 72 - Western Michigan 58	0.861	Kent State 75 - Western Michigan 64	3
Kentucky 79 - Mississippi State 69	0.729	Kentucky 82 - Mississippi State 74	2
Loyola Ill 75 - Southern Illinois 60	0.89	Loyola Ill 59 - Southern Illinois 47	3
Missouri 65 - Auburn 83	0.857	Missouri 54 - Auburn 55	-17
New Mexico 68 - Fresno State 75	0.703	New Mexico 60 - Fresno State 65	-2
North Dakota State 72 - Saint Thomas 65	0.707	North Dakota State 77 - Saint Thomas 56	-14
Northern Kentucky 67 - Wright State 71	0.62	Northern Kentucky 73 - Wright State 63	-14
Ohio 76 - Northern Illinois 58	0.909	Ohio 74 - Northern Illinois 62	6
Oregon 76 - Colorado 69	0.673	Oregon 78 - Colorado 82	11
Pittsburgh 69 - Syracuse 76	0.683	Pittsburgh 64 - Syracuse 53	-18
Rhode Island 70 - Richmond 69	0.528	Rhode Island 63 - Richmond 70	8
Rutgers 71 - Maryland 70	0.514	Rutgers 60 - Maryland 68	9
San Jose State 65 - Air Force 67	0.566	San Jose State 53 - Air Force 63	8
Temple 68 - Cincinnati 71	0.602	Temple 61 - Cincinnati 58	-6
Texas Christian 67 - Texas 68	0.503	Texas Christian 50 - Texas 73	22
Toledo 76 - Buffalo 69	0.718	Toledo 86 - Buffalo 75	-4
UCLA 75 - Arizona 79	0.644	UCLA 75 - Arizona 59	-20
Villanova 81 - DePaul 64	0.866	Villanova 67 - DePaul 43	-7
Yale 81 - Columbia 60	0.899	Yale 83 - Columbia 72	10

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 70 - Holy Cross 63	0.705	American 67 - Holy Cross 49	-11
Bucknell 60 - Navy 73	0.781	Bucknell 63 - Navy 81	5
Butler 65 - Creighton 74	0.709	Butler 72 - Creighton 55	-26
Cal Baptist 68 - Sam Houston State 70	0.535	Cal Baptist 68 - Sam Houston State 73	3
Campbell 69 - Hampton 57	0.878	Campbell 75 - Hampton 60	-3
Charleston Southern 62 - Presbyterian 69	0.706	Charleston Southern 61 - Presbyterian 62	-6
Charlotte 71 - Old Dominion 66	0.637	Charlotte 71 - Old Dominion 67	1
Chattanooga 71 - Wofford 64	0.697	Chattanooga 71 - Wofford 60	-4
Davidson 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 66	0.643	Davidson 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	6
East Tennessee State 66 - UNC Greensboro 63	0.574	East Tennessee State 76 - UNC Greensboro 80	7
Evansville 62 - Northern Iowa 75	0.813	Evansville 59 - Northern Iowa 64	-8
Furman 77 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.769	Furman 79 - Virginia Military Institute 64	-4
George Mason 68 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.557	George Mason 75 - Saint Bonaventure 66	-12
Georgia Tech 67 - Florida State 77	0.779	Georgia Tech 75 - Florida State 61	-24
Hartford 69 - Binghamton 67	0.556	Hartford 72 - Binghamton 60	-10
High Point 68 - Radford 66	0.584	High Point 63 - Radford 58	-3
Illinois State 70 - Drake 75	0.613	Illinois State 88 - Drake 89	-4
Indiana 72 - Penn State 66	0.675	Indiana 74 - Penn State 57	-11
La Salle 73 - Massachusetts 74	0.544	La Salle 71 - Massachusetts 77	5
Lafayette 62 - Boston 70	0.705	Lafayette 62 - Boston 81	11
Lamar 60 - Tarleton State 73	0.824	Lamar 57 - Tarleton State 62	-8
Lehigh 67 - Army 70	0.573	Lehigh 84 - Army 71	-16
Longwood 73 - North Carolina AT 65	0.72	Longwood 79 - North Carolina AT 71	0
Louisiana State 74 - Texas AM 64	0.796	Louisiana State 70 - Texas AM 64	4
Marist 65 - Saint Peters 63	0.562	Marist 62 - Saint Peters 69	9
Michigan 78 - Northwestern 69	0.721	Michigan 72 - Northwestern 70	7
Mississippi 68 - Arkansas 77	0.695	Mississippi 55 - Arkansas 64	0
New Hampshire 75 - Maine 55	0.913	New Hampshire 73 - Maine 61	8
North Carolina 81 - Boston College 67	0.786	North Carolina 58 - Boston College 47	3
Notre Dame 77 - NC State 71	0.682	Notre Dame 73 - NC State 65	-2
Oklahoma State 71 - Iowa State 70	0.511	Oklahoma State 81 - Iowa State 84	4
Saint Josephs 74 - Duquesne 68	0.654	Saint Josephs 72 - Duquesne 61	-5
Saint Louis 80 - George Washington 61	0.909	Saint Louis 80 - George Washington 67	6
Samford 69 - Mercer 72	0.58	Samford 75 - Mercer 61	-17
Seattle 72 - Stephen F Austin 68	0.617	Seattle 70 - Stephen F Austin 62	-4
Seton Hall 76 - Marquette 75	0.538	Seton Hall 63 - Marquette 73	11
South Carolina 71 - Vanderbilt 70	0.529	South Carolina 70 - Vanderbilt 61	-8
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Winthrop 74	0.692	South Carolina Upstate 91 - Winthrop 95	-2
South Florida 63 - Southern Methodist 75	0.763	South Florida 54 - Southern Methodist 74	8
Stony Brook 65 - Vermont 74	0.717	Stony Brook 67 - Vermont 80	4
Tennessee 75 - Florida 69	0.643	Tennessee 78 - Florida 71	-1
Texas Pan American 67 - Abilene Christian 75	0.729	Texas Pan American 85 - Abilene Christian 87	-6
The Citadel 75 - Western Carolina 71	0.588	The Citadel 68 - Western Carolina 66	2
Tulane 74 - Tulsa 70	0.61	Tulane 97 - Tulsa 63	-30
UMass Lowell 65 - Albany 64	0.516	UMass Lowell 62 - Albany 64	3
UMBC 70 - NJ Tech 62	0.676	UMBC 73 - NJ Tech 69	4
Utah State 66 - San Diego State 70	0.627	Utah State 75 - San Diego State 57	-22
Valparaiso 68 - Bradley 71	0.592	Valparaiso 56 - Bradley 71	12
Virginia Tech 71 - Miami 72	0.53	Virginia Tech 75 - Miami 78	2
Washington State 75 - Utah 67	0.702	Washington State 71 - Utah 54	-9
West Virginia 73 - Oklahoma 71	0.557	West Virginia 62 - Oklahoma 72	12
Wichita State 71 - Central Florida 70	0.545	Wichita State 84 - Central Florida 79	-4
Xavier 75 - Providence 70	0.627	Xavier 62 - Providence 65	8

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 69 - Arkansas State 68	0.509	Appalachian State 61 - Arkansas State 54	-6
Austin Peay 61 - Belmont 80	0.878	Austin Peay 67 - Belmont 75	-11
Bryant 71 - Merrimack 60	0.759	Bryant 76 - Merrimack 67	2
Central Connecticut State 63 - LIU Brooklyn 73	0.741	Central Connecticut State 65 - LIU Brooklyn 62	-13
Chicago State 57 - Utah Valley 75	0.891	Chicago State 87 - Utah Valley 101	-4
Coastal Carolina 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.762	Coastal Carolina 65 - Arkansas Little Rock 49	-7
College of Charleston 71 - Hofstra 75	0.613	College of Charleston 73 - Hofstra 76	-1
Denver 64 - UMKC 65	0.507	Denver 61 - UMKC 72	10
Detroit 72 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.666	Detroit 80 - Illinois Chicago 67	-7
Elon 73 - William and Mary 65	0.699	Elon 61 - William and Mary 54	1
Fairleigh Dickinson 62 - Mt St Marys 70	0.727	Fairleigh Dickinson 56 - Mt St Marys 67	3
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.622	Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0
Gonzaga 88 - Loyola Marymount 63	0.954	Gonzaga 89 - Loyola Marymount 55	-9
Hawaii 76 - Cal State Northridge 60	0.907	Hawaii 72 - Cal State Northridge 65	9
Houston Baptist 65 - New Orleans 73	0.744	Houston Baptist 66 - New Orleans 77	3
Iowa 76 - Purdue 79	0.578	Iowa 73 - Purdue 83	7
Jacksonville 71 - Lipscomb 65	0.639	Jacksonville 66 - Lipscomb 59	-1
James Madison 72 - Drexel 70	0.562	James Madison 82 - Drexel 88	8
Kennesaw St 66 - Jacksonville State 72	0.657	Kennesaw St 64 - Jacksonville State 70	0
Liberty 76 - North Alabama 58	0.905	Liberty 72 - North Alabama 53	-1
Louisiana Tech 78 - Rice 68	0.762	Louisiana Tech 80 - Rice 63	-7
Marshall 67 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.689	Marshall 79 - Middle Tennessee 81	-4
Mcneese State 68 - Nicholls State 72	0.626	Mcneese State 71 - Nicholls State 81	6
Memphis 80 - East Carolina 69	0.77	Memphis 71 - East Carolina 54	-6
Minnesota 70 - Ohio State 74	0.633	Minnesota 64 - Ohio State 75	7
Montana 77 - Idaho 61	0.847	Montana 81 - Idaho 62	-3
Montana State 73 - Eastern Washington 67	0.719	Montana State 69 - Eastern Washington 65	2
Nebraska 67 - Wisconsin 83	0.861	Nebraska 65 - Wisconsin 73	-8
North Florida 72 - Central Arkansas 71	0.534	North Florida 93 - Central Arkansas 74	-18
Northern Colorado 73 - Weber State 72	0.532	Northern Colorado 76 - Weber State 85	10
Northern Illinois 68 - Ball State 69	0.504	Northern Illinois 67 - Ball State 74	6
Northwestern State 72 - Incarnate Word 67	0.665	Northwestern State 79 - Incarnate Word 70	-4
Omaha 63 - Oral Roberts 80	0.833	Omaha 88 - Oral Roberts 100	-5
Portland 72 - Pacific 66	0.731	Portland 64 - Pacific 56	-2
Portland State 63 - Southern Utah 74	0.816	Portland State 82 - Southern Utah 85	-8
Robert Morris 67 - Milwaukee 68	0.534	Robert Morris 77 - Milwaukee 53	-25
Sacramento State 68 - Idaho State 58	0.778	Sacramento State 61 - Idaho State 60	9
Sacred Heart 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 66	0.593	Sacred Heart 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 71	9
San Diego 75 - Pepperdine 66	0.771	San Diego 64 - Pepperdine 56	1
San Francisco 67 - Saint Marys 68	0.513	San Francisco 70 - Saint Marys 72	1
Santa Clara 71 - Brigham Young 77	0.693	Santa Clara 77 - Brigham Young 76	-7
SE Missouri State 66 - Morehead State 76	0.755	SE Missouri State 73 - Morehead State 74	-9
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Tennessee State 66	0.63	SIU Edwardsville 70 - Tennessee State 75	10
South Alabama 71 - Troy 66	0.656	South Alabama 82 - Troy 63	-14
South Dakota 68 - North Dakota State 67	0.522	South Dakota 62 - North Dakota State 74	13
South Dakota State 87 - North Dakota 59	0.951	South Dakota State 96 - North Dakota 61	-7
Southeast Louisiana 71 - Texas AM CC 70	0.504	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Texas AM CC 86	16
Southern California 77 - Stanford 69	0.76	Southern California 61 - Stanford 64	11
Southern Illinois 62 - Loyola Ill 73	0.822	Southern Illinois 39 - Loyola Ill 44	-6
Southern Miss 53 - North Texas 76	0.946	Southern Miss 54 - North Texas 63	-14
Stetson 63 - Bellarmine 71	0.754	Stetson 47 - Bellarmine 72	17
Tennessee Martin 71 - Eastern Illinois 58	0.83	Tennessee Martin 53 - Eastern Illinois 58	18
Tennessee Tech 60 - Murray State 79	0.886	Tennessee Tech 75 - Murray State 80	-14
Texas Arlington 65 - Texas State 70	0.654	Texas Arlington 70 - Texas State 58	-17
Texas El Paso 68 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.509	Texas El Paso 70 - Florida Atlantic 68	-3
Texas San Antonio 65 - Florida International 72	0.684	Texas San Antonio 73 - Florida International 66	-14
UC Davis 69 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.594	UC Davis 58 - Cal State Fullerton 74	13
UC Irvine 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.691	UC Irvine 57 - Cal State Bakersfield 52	3
UC Riverside 71 - Long Beach State 67	0.638	UC Riverside 62 - Long Beach State 68	10
UC San Diego 71 - Cal Poly 64	0.712	UC San Diego 55 - Cal Poly 59	11
UCLA 80 - California 63	0.905	UCLA 81 - California 57	-7
UL Lafayette 75 - Georgia State 65	0.769	UL Lafayette 64 - Georgia State 68	14
UL Monroe 71 - Georgia Southern 69	0.563	UL Monroe 45 - Georgia Southern 50	7
UNC Asheville 68 - Gardner Webb 67	0.554	UNC Asheville 55 - Gardner Webb 61	7
UNC Wilmington 71 - Northeastern 63	0.681	UNC Wilmington 67 - Northeastern 62	3
Wagner 78 - Saint Francis Penn 59	0.869	Wagner 69 - Saint Francis Penn 54	4
Washington 69 - Colorado 73	0.603	Washington 60 - Colorado 58	-6
Western Kentucky 68 - Alabama Birmingham 76	0.726	Western Kentucky 65 - Alabama Birmingham 68	-5
Youngstown State 71 - Green Bay 63	0.738	Youngstown State 63 - Green Bay 50	-5

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 61 - Wyoming 74	0.821	Air Force 61 - Wyoming 63	-11
Boston 69 - Colgate 68	0.511	Boston 76 - Colgate 72	-3
Buffalo 70 - Ohio 71	0.536	Buffalo 53 - Ohio 74	20
Colorado State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	0.762	Colorado State 74 - Nevada Las Vegas 88	26
Dayton 70 - Rhode Island 63	0.667	Dayton 53 - Rhode Island 51	5
Fresno State 64 - Boise State 68	0.604	Fresno State 63 - Boise State 68	1
Harvard 70 - Pennsylvania 69	0.505	Harvard 74 - Pennsylvania 78	5
Holy Cross 64 - Lehigh 71	0.696	Holy Cross 67 - Lehigh 65	-9
Monmouth 75 - Canisius 61	0.824	Monmouth 72 - Canisius 67	9
New Hampshire 67 - Stony Brook 69	0.563	New Hampshire 69 - Stony Brook 76	5
New Mexico 78 - San Jose State 69	0.751	New Mexico 86 - San Jose State 70	-7
Northern Kentucky 65 - IPFW 67	0.559	Northern Kentucky 59 - IPFW 49	-12
Quinnipiac 67 - Marist 68	0.539	Quinnipiac 94 - Marist 87	-8
Rider 64 - Fairfield 68	0.648	Rider 65 - Fairfield 76	7
Saint Peters 69 - Manhattan 64	0.642	Saint Peters 77 - Manhattan 51	-21
Siena 65 - Niagara 64	0.532	Siena 60 - Niagara 56	-3
Toledo 73 - Akron 63	0.733	Toledo 84 - Akron 76	2
Wright State 70 - Cleveland State 71	0.54	Wright State 67 - Cleveland State 71	3

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 75 - Baylor 79	0.591	Alabama 87 - Baylor 78	-13
Alabama AM 63 - Florida AM 65	0.586	Alabama AM 60 - Florida AM 65	3
Alabama State 69 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.596	Alabama State 79 - Bethune Cookman 73	-2
Alcorn State 67 - Southern 71	0.602	Alcorn State 68 - Southern 64	-8
Appalachian State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.806	Appalachian State 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	-5
Arizona 87 - Arizona State 63	0.946	Arizona 67 - Arizona State 56	13
Arkansas 76 - West Virginia 72	0.598	Arkansas 77 - West Virginia 68	-5
Army 72 - Lafayette 64	0.695	Army 60 - Lafayette 56	4
Auburn 80 - Oklahoma 68	0.833	Auburn 86 - Oklahoma 68	-6
Ball State 74 - Western Michigan 65	0.733	Ball State 83 - Western Michigan 72	-2
Belmont 82 - Tennessee Martin 59	0.932	Belmont 87 - Tennessee Martin 58	-6
Binghamton 67 - UMBC 68	0.532	Binghamton 68 - UMBC 70	1
Bowling Green 69 - Kent State 70	0.507	Bowling Green 83 - Kent State 91	7
Butler 75 - Georgetown 71	0.616	Butler 56 - Georgetown 53	1
Cal Baptist 69 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.577	Cal Baptist 77 - Stephen F Austin 81	1
Campbell 69 - High Point 62	0.699	Campbell 77 - High Point 72	2
Central Florida 65 - Houston 78	0.763	Central Florida 49 - Houston 63	1
Charleston Southern 64 - Hampton 66	0.573	Charleston Southern 74 - Hampton 78	2
Chicago State 65 - Dixie State 71	0.661	Chicago State 65 - Dixie State 79	8
Coastal Carolina 71 - Arkansas State 70	0.501	Coastal Carolina 66 - Arkansas State 73	8
College of Charleston 75 - Northeastern 66	0.717	College of Charleston 81 - Northeastern 63	-9
Columbia 64 - Dartmouth 72	0.726	Columbia 63 - Dartmouth 76	5
Coppin State 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.612	Coppin State 61 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	7
Creighton 73 - Xavier 74	0.526	Creighton 64 - Xavier 74	9
Davidson 81 - La Salle 60	0.946	Davidson 77 - La Salle 69	13
Denver 64 - Oral Roberts 74	0.753	Denver 80 - Oral Roberts 89	-1
DePaul 71 - Connecticut 80	0.748	DePaul 50 - Connecticut 57	-2
Duquesne 65 - Saint Louis 77	0.808	Duquesne 53 - Saint Louis 77	12
Eastern Illinois 60 - Tennessee State 68	0.719	Eastern Illinois 62 - Tennessee State 57	-13
Eastern Michigan 69 - Miami OH 72	0.566	Eastern Michigan 85 - Miami OH 75	-13
Florida 74 - Oklahoma State 69	0.625	Florida 81 - Oklahoma State 72	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 69 - Bellarmine 70	0.528	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Bellarmine 74	10
Florida State 73 - Virginia Tech 67	0.645	Florida State 72 - Virginia Tech 85	19
Gardner Webb 70 - Radford 63	0.723	Gardner Webb 61 - Radford 42	-12
Georgia Tech 68 - Miami 78	0.759	Georgia Tech 62 - Miami 73	1
Gonzaga 91 - Portland 60	0.985	Gonzaga 104 - Portland 72	-1
Hawaii 74 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.762	Hawaii 65 - UC Santa Barbara 62	5
Houston Baptist 64 - Nicholls State 74	0.77	Houston Baptist 61 - Nicholls State 73	2
Iowa State 77 - Missouri 64	0.746	Iowa State 67 - Missouri 50	-4
Jackson State 67 - Grambling State 63	0.615	Jackson State 64 - Grambling State 73	13
Jacksonville 73 - Central Arkansas 65	0.706	Jacksonville 79 - Central Arkansas 59	-12
James Madison 72 - Delaware 73	0.511	James Madison 69 - Delaware 85	15
Kansas 79 - Kentucky 74	0.636	Kansas 62 - Kentucky 80	23
Kennesaw St 71 - North Alabama 64	0.664	Kennesaw St 58 - North Alabama 71	20
Lamar 59 - Abilene Christian 75	0.896	Lamar 82 - Abilene Christian 85	-13
Liberty 71 - Jacksonville State 66	0.655	Liberty 67 - Jacksonville State 77	15
Longwood 71 - Winthrop 70	0.509	Longwood 92 - Winthrop 88	-3
Louisiana Tech 66 - North Texas 68	0.564	Louisiana Tech 62 - North Texas 63	-1
Louisville 67 - Duke 78	0.797	Louisville 65 - Duke 74	-2
Loyola Marymount 70 - San Diego 68	0.579	Loyola Marymount 65 - San Diego 69	6
Marshall 65 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0.892	Marshall 84 - Alabama Birmingham 81	-18
Maryland 71 - Indiana 73	0.575	Maryland 55 - Indiana 68	11
Mercer 66 - Furman 73	0.705	Mercer 50 - Furman 80	23
Michigan State 76 - Michigan 70	0.643	Michigan State 83 - Michigan 67	-10
Mississippi 67 - Kansas State 72	0.624	Mississippi 67 - Kansas State 56	-16
Mississippi Valley State 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	0.552	Mississippi Valley State 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	4
Missouri State 80 - Evansville 56	0.925	Missouri State 72 - Evansville 58	10
Montana 71 - Eastern Washington 66	0.634	Montana 61 - Eastern Washington 59	3
Montana State 79 - Idaho 61	0.898	Montana State 70 - Idaho 64	12
Mt St Marys 69 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.66	Mt St Marys 71 - Saint Francis Penn 54	-10
Murray State 73 - Morehead State 62	0.793	Murray State 77 - Morehead State 66	0
Navy 73 - American 56	0.85	Navy 47 - American 45	15
Nebraska 70 - Rutgers 76	0.637	Nebraska 61 - Rutgers 63	-4
Nevada 74 - Utah State 75	0.501	Nevada 49 - Utah State 78	28
New Mexico State 71 - Grand Canyon 66	0.617	New Mexico State 71 - Grand Canyon 61	-5
NJ Tech 62 - Albany 65	0.591	NJ Tech 53 - Albany 64	8
North Carolina 81 - NC State 72	0.699	North Carolina 100 - NC State 80	-11
North Carolina AT 70 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.566	North Carolina AT 64 - South Carolina Upstate 84	22
North Carolina Central 68 - Howard 71	0.609	North Carolina Central 74 - Howard 75	-2
North Florida 70 - Lipscomb 72	0.559	North Florida 74 - Lipscomb 77	1
Northern Arizona 67 - Portland State 64	0.616	Northern Arizona 76 - Portland State 97	24
Northern Illinois 74 - Central Michigan 65	0.725	Northern Illinois 63 - Central Michigan 69	15
Northern Iowa 78 - Illinois State 71	0.691	Northern Iowa 79 - Illinois State 64	-8
Northwestern 71 - Illinois 80	0.728	Northwestern 56 - Illinois 59	-6
Northwestern State 66 - Texas AM CC 73	0.73	Northwestern State 90 - Texas AM CC 76	-21
Notre Dame 70 - Virginia 65	0.634	Notre Dame 69 - Virginia 65	1
Oakland 78 - Illinois Chicago 62	0.87	Oakland 81 - Illinois Chicago 74	9
Old Dominion 68 - Charlotte 69	0.532	Old Dominion 68 - Charlotte 52	-17
Omaha 63 - UMKC 71	0.673	Omaha 69 - UMKC 68	-9
Oregon 83 - Oregon State 66	0.851	Oregon 78 - Oregon State 56	-5
Pacific 58 - Brigham Young 81	0.958	Pacific 76 - Brigham Young 73	-26
Prairie View 69 - Texas Southern 75	0.67	Prairie View 74 - Texas Southern 75	-5
Presbyterian 65 - UNC Asheville 68	0.606	Presbyterian 67 - UNC Asheville 68	-2
Princeton 74 - Yale 70	0.632	Princeton 74 - Yale 80	10
Richmond 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.56	Richmond 62 - Virginia Commonwealth 64	0
Robert Morris 68 - Green Bay 66	0.562	Robert Morris 62 - Green Bay 60	0
Sacramento State 63 - Weber State 73	0.76	Sacramento State 59 - Weber State 79	10
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Saint Josephs 66	0.711	Saint Bonaventure 80 - Saint Josephs 69	-1
Saint Marys 81 - Pepperdine 57	0.948	Saint Marys 81 - Pepperdine 57	0
San Francisco 77 - Santa Clara 69	0.756	San Francisco 88 - Santa Clara 85	5
SE Missouri State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 72	0.508	SE Missouri State 85 - SIU Edwardsville 77	-7
Seattle 72 - Sam Houston State 66	0.668	Seattle 78 - Sam Houston State 63	-9
South Carolina State 65 - Norfolk State 73	0.753	South Carolina State 69 - Norfolk State 87	10
South Dakota 77 - North Dakota 61	0.849	South Dakota 71 - North Dakota 58	3
South Dakota State 78 - North Dakota State 65	0.797	South Dakota State 80 - North Dakota State 76	9
Southeast Louisiana 76 - Incarnate Word 63	0.846	Southeast Louisiana 78 - Incarnate Word 68	3
Southern California 77 - California 63	0.858	Southern California 79 - California 72	7
Southern Methodist 76 - Temple 67	0.74	Southern Methodist 69 - Temple 61	1
Southern Miss 64 - Rice 76	0.788	Southern Miss 62 - Rice 76	2
Stetson 67 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.594	Stetson 113 - Eastern Kentucky 95	-21
Syracuse 75 - Wake Forest 78	0.587	Syracuse 94 - Wake Forest 72	-25
Tennessee Tech 71 - Austin Peay 67	0.608	Tennessee Tech 55 - Austin Peay 58	7
Texas 69 - Tennessee 70	0.528	Texas 52 - Tennessee 51	-2
Texas AM 74 - South Carolina 67	0.73	Texas AM 63 - South Carolina 74	18
Texas Christian 66 - Louisiana State 70	0.621	Texas Christian 77 - Louisiana State 68	-13
Texas El Paso 70 - Florida International 65	0.689	Texas El Paso 79 - Florida International 68	-6
Texas Pan American 68 - Tarleton State 72	0.621	Texas Pan American 64 - Tarleton State 79	11
Texas San Antonio 63 - Florida Atlantic 76	0.779	Texas San Antonio 64 - Florida Atlantic 73	-4
Texas State 72 - Texas Arlington 63	0.762	Texas State 58 - Texas Arlington 53	4
Texas Tech 75 - Mississippi State 67	0.704	Texas Tech 76 - Mississippi State 50	-18
The Citadel 63 - Chattanooga 78	0.846	The Citadel 62 - Chattanooga 75	-2
Towson 73 - Drexel 65	0.746	Towson 66 - Drexel 62	4
Troy 68 - South Alabama 69	0.539	Troy 77 - South Alabama 68	-10
Tulane 69 - Wichita State 72	0.61	Tulane 67 - Wichita State 66	-4
Tulsa 70 - South Florida 66	0.609	Tulsa 76 - South Florida 45	-27
UC Davis 71 - Long Beach State 72	0.506	UC Davis 63 - Long Beach State 70	6
UC Irvine 73 - Cal Poly 57	0.845	UC Irvine 72 - Cal Poly 48	-8
UC Riverside 69 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.565	UC Riverside 67 - Cal State Fullerton 54	-12
UC San Diego 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.532	UC San Diego 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 75	-9
UCLA 80 - Stanford 68	0.835	UCLA 66 - Stanford 43	-11
UL Lafayette 73 - Georgia Southern 64	0.753	UL Lafayette 65 - Georgia Southern 66	10
UL Monroe 73 - Georgia State 69	0.587	UL Monroe 62 - Georgia State 73	15
UNC Wilmington 68 - Hofstra 72	0.61	UNC Wilmington 78 - Hofstra 72	-10
Vanderbilt 78 - Georgia 66	0.86	Vanderbilt 85 - Georgia 77	4
Vermont 84 - Maine 49	0.987	Vermont 81 - Maine 68	22
Villanova 83 - Saint Johns 65	0.851	Villanova 73 - Saint Johns 62	7
Virginia Military Institute 72 - East Tennessee State 71	0.529	Virginia Military Institute 83 - East Tennessee State 79	-3
Washington 74 - Utah 71	0.573	Washington 77 - Utah 73	-1
Western Carolina 72 - Samford 73	0.547	Western Carolina 64 - Samford 74	9
Western Illinois 73 - Saint Thomas 69	0.631	Western Illinois 81 - Saint Thomas 52	-25
Western Kentucky 71 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.562	Western Kentucky 85 - Middle Tennessee 93	10
William and Mary 67 - Elon 71	0.6	William and Mary 65 - Elon 61	-8
Wofford 67 - UNC Greensboro 61	0.65	Wofford 85 - UNC Greensboro 66	-13
Youngstown State 70 - Milwaukee 65	0.645	Youngstown State 86 - Milwaukee 72	-9

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 70 - Pittsburgh 67	0.58	Boston College 69 - Pittsburgh 56	-10
Bradley 75 - Indiana State 66	0.711	Bradley 67 - Indiana State 52	-6
Brown 72 - Cornell 70	0.572	Brown 72 - Cornell 74	4
Bryant 74 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.62	Bryant 88 - LIU Brooklyn 81	-1
Bucknell 64 - Loyola MD 72	0.709	Bucknell 82 - Loyola MD 80	-10
Drake 67 - Loyola Ill 74	0.677	Drake 77 - Loyola Ill 68	-16
East Carolina 67 - Cincinnati 75	0.722	East Carolina 59 - Cincinnati 60	-7
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.558	Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Central Connecticut State 55	-18
George Washington 66 - Fordham 69	0.577	George Washington 64 - Fordham 55	-12
Iona 75 - Saint Peters 60	0.917	Iona 85 - Saint Peters 77	7
Manhattan 68 - Marist 69	0.532	Manhattan 72 - Marist 66	-7
Massachusetts 71 - George Mason 75	0.595	Massachusetts 62 - George Mason 72	6
Mcneese State 69 - New Orleans 71	0.581	Mcneese State 78 - New Orleans 84	4
Monmouth 72 - Niagara 61	0.765	Monmouth 69 - Niagara 70	12
Morgan State 74 - Delaware State 60	0.827	Morgan State 82 - Delaware State 70	2
Northern Kentucky 63 - Cleveland State 70	0.774	Northern Kentucky 78 - Cleveland State 72	-13
Providence 74 - Marquette 73	0.509	Providence 65 - Marquette 63	-1
Purdue 79 - Ohio State 72	0.693	Purdue 81 - Ohio State 78	4
Rider 69 - Canisius 68	0.511	Rider 70 - Canisius 62	-7
Saint Francis Brooklyn 59 - Wagner 77	0.885	Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Wagner 72	-15
Siena 68 - Quinnipiac 67	0.553	Siena 85 - Quinnipiac 76	-8
Southern Illinois 69 - Valparaiso 66	0.619	Southern Illinois 77 - Valparaiso 55	-19
Washington State 70 - Colorado 69	0.552	Washington State 70 - Colorado 43	-26
Wisconsin 76 - Minnesota 66	0.785	Wisconsin 66 - Minnesota 60	4
Wright State 72 - IPFW 68	0.611	Wright State 75 - IPFW 63	-8

Number of DI Games: 372
Number Correct: 269 = 72.3%
Expected Number Correct: 255.9 = 68.7%
Average Error: 8.47
Average Signed Error: -0.99

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 62 - Bethune Cookman 63	0.533	Alabama AM 67 - Bethune Cookman 52	-16
Alabama State 68 - Florida AM 67	0.522	Alabama State 65 - Florida AM 66	2
Alcorn State 71 - Grambling State 65	0.698	Alcorn State 73 - Grambling State 80	13
Austin Peay 70 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.616	Austin Peay 68 - SIU Edwardsville 63	-1
Baylor 80 - West Virginia 67	0.849	Baylor 81 - West Virginia 77	9
Boston 75 - Holy Cross 56	0.941	Boston 70 - Holy Cross 75	24
Detroit 85 - Unranked 54		Detroit 96 - Unranked 51
Jackson State 62 - Southern 68	0.665	Jackson State 64 - Southern 75	5
Kennesaw St 63 - Liberty 73	0.719	Kennesaw St 50 - Liberty 65	5
Lafayette 62 - Colgate 72	0.738	Lafayette 61 - Colgate 72	1
Maine 63 - Hartford 71	0.704	Maine 66 - Hartford 78	4
Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - Morgan State 64	0.611	Maryland Eastern Shore 79 - Morgan State 72	-3
Mercer 66 - Wofford 71	0.647	Mercer 67 - Wofford 62	-10
North Carolina Central 63 - Norfolk State 70	0.706	North Carolina Central 70 - Norfolk State 67	-10
North Dakota 60 - South Dakota State 84	0.936	North Dakota 64 - South Dakota State 70	-18
Notre Dame 70 - Duke 76	0.691	Notre Dame 43 - Duke 57	8
Oklahoma 73 - Texas Christian 70	0.567	Oklahoma 63 - Texas Christian 72	12
Penn State 70 - Iowa 75	0.629	Penn State 90 - Iowa 86	-9
Portland State 66 - Northern Colorado 74	0.757	Portland State 79 - Northern Colorado 76	-11
San Diego State 79 - New Mexico 64	0.833	San Diego State 72 - New Mexico 47	-10
Santa Clara 81 - Pacific 63	0.904	Santa Clara 81 - Pacific 59	-4
South Carolina State 68 - Howard 74	0.656	South Carolina State 58 - Howard 55	-9
Southern Utah 77 - Northern Arizona 63	0.856	Southern Utah 78 - Northern Arizona 66	2
Tennessee Tech 63 - Morehead State 72	0.765	Tennessee Tech 56 - Morehead State 70	5
UNC Wilmington 70 - Drexel 67	0.587	UNC Wilmington 70 - Drexel 63	-4
Vermont 74 - Albany 57	0.907	Vermont 73 - Albany 61	5
Weber State 75 - Eastern Washington 67	0.749	Weber State 90 - Eastern Washington 84	2
Western Illinois 69 - UMKC 64	0.632	Western Illinois 75 - UMKC 83	13
Wyoming 74 - Colorado State 73	0.501	Wyoming 84 - Colorado State 78	-5

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 82 - Alabama 74	0.707	Auburn 100 - Alabama 81	-11
Central Michigan 70 - Bowling Green 77	0.686	Central Michigan 78 - Bowling Green 74	-11
Connecticut 78 - Creighton 70	0.682	Connecticut 55 - Creighton 59	12
Duquesne 66 - Richmond 76	0.783	Duquesne 57 - Richmond 74	7
Eastern Michigan 63 - Toledo 78	0.848	Eastern Michigan 66 - Toledo 86	5
Georgetown 72 - Seton Hall 82	0.754	Georgetown 63 - Seton Hall 70	-3
Iowa State 72 - Kansas 78	0.66	Iowa State 61 - Kansas 70	3
Louisiana State 77 - Mississippi 62	0.797	Louisiana State 72 - Mississippi 76	19
Louisville 70 - North Carolina 77	0.664	Louisville 83 - North Carolina 90	0
Maryland 69 - Michigan State 77	0.728	Maryland 63 - Michigan State 65	-6
Miami OH 66 - Kent State 70	0.604	Miami OH 65 - Kent State 78	9
Michigan 83 - Nebraska 68	0.819	Michigan 85 - Nebraska 79	9
Mississippi State 75 - South Carolina 70	0.637	Mississippi State 78 - South Carolina 64	-9
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Nevada 72	0.588	Nevada Las Vegas 69 - Nevada 58	-7
Northwestern 73 - Rutgers 70	0.578	Northwestern 79 - Rutgers 78	2
Ohio 76 - Ball State 62	0.838	Ohio 87 - Ball State 63	-10
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Davidson 73	0.556	Saint Bonaventure 76 - Davidson 81	3
Saint Johns 72 - Providence 77	0.639	Saint Johns 82 - Providence 86	-1
San Jose State 60 - Fresno State 76	0.882	San Jose State 43 - Fresno State 73	14
Siena 70 - Canisius 63	0.698	Siena 73 - Canisius 65	-1
Stanford 74 - California 66	0.723	Stanford 57 - California 50	1
Tennessee 76 - Texas AM 66	0.773	Tennessee 90 - Texas AM 80	0
Texas Tech 71 - Texas 67	0.622	Texas Tech 77 - Texas 64	-9
UC Riverside 71 - UC Davis 62	0.74	UC Riverside 60 - UC Davis 65	14
Utah State 75 - Air Force 60	0.828	Utah State 73 - Air Force 46	-12
Virginia 72 - Boston College 62	0.745	Virginia 67 - Boston College 55	-2
Western Michigan 67 - Northern Illinois 68	0.554	Western Michigan 56 - Northern Illinois 75	18
Wichita State 76 - Tulsa 67	0.723	Wichita State 58 - Tulsa 48	-1

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 78 - Chicago State 59	0.903	Abilene Christian 77 - Chicago State 73	15
Albany 66 - UMBC 65	0.535	Albany 53 - UMBC 59	7
Clemson 73 - Florida State 72	0.521	Clemson 75 - Florida State 69	-5
Colgate 77 - Bucknell 62	0.83	Colgate 83 - Bucknell 69	1
Delaware State 60 - Coppin State 73	0.835	Delaware State 57 - Coppin State 59	-11
East Carolina 69 - Temple 72	0.61	East Carolina 63 - Temple 71	5
Fordham 64 - Rhode Island 70	0.689	Fordham 61 - Rhode Island 55	-12
Furman 81 - The Citadel 61	0.908	Furman 102 - The Citadel 83	1
George Mason 69 - Saint Louis 72	0.566	George Mason 90 - Saint Louis 92	-1
George Washington 71 - La Salle 69	0.57	George Washington 89 - La Salle 87	0
Georgia 70 - Arkansas 83	0.817	Georgia 73 - Arkansas 99	13
Hampton 64 - South Carolina Upstate 70	0.7	Hampton 78 - South Carolina Upstate 85	1
High Point 64 - Gardner Webb 67	0.589	High Point 57 - Gardner Webb 65	5
Houston 82 - Tulane 62	0.874	Houston 73 - Tulane 62	9
Illinois 75 - Wisconsin 73	0.561	Illinois 80 - Wisconsin 67	-11
Indiana State 68 - Drake 74	0.647	Indiana State 67 - Drake 85	12
Kansas State 71 - Oklahoma State 72	0.502	Kansas State 71 - Oklahoma State 68	-4
Kentucky 82 - Vanderbilt 64	0.893	Kentucky 77 - Vanderbilt 70	11
Lafayette 66 - American 63	0.597	Lafayette 71 - American 62	-6
Lehigh 61 - Navy 69	0.695	Lehigh 63 - Navy 62	-9
Loyola Ill 81 - Illinois State 64	0.851	Loyola Ill 78 - Illinois State 64	3
Loyola MD 68 - Army 66	0.562	Loyola MD 61 - Army 57	-2
Maine 61 - UMass Lowell 70	0.736	Maine 50 - UMass Lowell 62	3
Marquette 71 - Villanova 75	0.601	Marquette 83 - Villanova 73	-14
Miami 75 - Notre Dame 72	0.607	Miami 64 - Notre Dame 68	7
Minnesota 69 - Purdue 80	0.805	Minnesota 73 - Purdue 88	4
Missouri 68 - Florida 76	0.658	Missouri 65 - Florida 66	-7
NC State 76 - Syracuse 78	0.547	NC State 82 - Syracuse 89	5
New Hampshire 69 - Hartford 65	0.603	New Hampshire 70 - Hartford 64	-2
Northern Iowa 72 - Bradley 71	0.528	Northern Iowa 78 - Bradley 65	-12
Presbyterian 62 - Campbell 66	0.669	Presbyterian 64 - Campbell 58	-10
Radford 71 - Charleston Southern 62	0.799	Radford 64 - Charleston Southern 52	-3
Samford 64 - Chattanooga 75	0.773	Samford 80 - Chattanooga 72	-19
Southern Illinois 65 - Missouri State 71	0.663	Southern Illinois 54 - Missouri State 69	9
Stony Brook 74 - Binghamton 62	0.808	Stony Brook 61 - Binghamton 77	28
Texas Pan American 75 - Lamar 66	0.77	Texas Pan American 93 - Lamar 79	-5
UNC Asheville 67 - Longwood 70	0.595	UNC Asheville 48 - Longwood 56	5
UNC Greensboro 70 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.584	UNC Greensboro 65 - Virginia Military Institute 76	14
Vermont 78 - NJ Tech 54	0.955	Vermont 90 - NJ Tech 67	1
Virginia Commonwealth 67 - Dayton 64	0.584	Virginia Commonwealth 52 - Dayton 82	33
Virginia Tech 75 - Georgia Tech 66	0.74	Virginia Tech 81 - Georgia Tech 66	-6
Wake Forest 78 - Pittsburgh 64	0.802	Wake Forest 91 - Pittsburgh 75	-2
Western Carolina 67 - East Tennessee State 74	0.688	Western Carolina 87 - East Tennessee State 84	-10
Xavier 78 - Butler 64	0.827	Xavier 68 - Butler 66	12

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 78 - UCLA 74	0.589	Arizona 76 - UCLA 66	-6
Arizona State 67 - Southern California 78	0.794	Arizona State 53 - Southern California 58	-6
Arkansas Little Rock 68 - UL Lafayette 74	0.678	Arkansas Little Rock 51 - UL Lafayette 75	18
Arkansas State 76 - UL Monroe 65	0.761	Arkansas State 59 - UL Monroe 60	12
Austin Peay 58 - Murray State 77	0.897	Austin Peay 53 - Murray State 65	-7
Bellarmine 65 - Liberty 68	0.567	Bellarmine 53 - Liberty 66	10
Brigham Young 73 - San Francisco 71	0.571	Brigham Young 59 - San Francisco 73	16
Cal State Fullerton 76 - Cal Poly 60	0.916	Cal State Fullerton 61 - Cal Poly 50	5
Cal State Northridge 67 - UC San Diego 69	0.565	Cal State Northridge 77 - UC San Diego 83	4
California 71 - Washington 70	0.505	California 63 - Washington 84	22
Central Arkansas 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 77	0.687	Central Arkansas 93 - Florida Gulf Coast 95	-5
Central Connecticut State 56 - Wagner 76	0.898	Central Connecticut State 52 - Wagner 54	-18
Central Florida 75 - South Florida 62	0.773	Central Florida 68 - South Florida 49	-6
Central Michigan 71 - Western Michigan 68	0.601	Central Michigan 65 - Western Michigan 55	-7
Charlotte 70 - Western Kentucky 71	0.506	Charlotte 59 - Western Kentucky 78	18
Colorado 71 - Oregon 74	0.577	Colorado 51 - Oregon 66	12
Delaware 72 - Drexel 68	0.648	Delaware 68 - Drexel 76	12
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Kennesaw St 71	0.52	Eastern Kentucky 82 - Kennesaw St 81	0
Elon 65 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.654	Elon 78 - UNC Wilmington 65	-19
Florida Atlantic 68 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.658	Florida Atlantic 83 - Louisiana Tech 73	-15
Florida International 72 - Southern Miss 64	0.729	Florida International 77 - Southern Miss 67	-2
Georgetown 76 - Saint Johns 81	0.639	Georgetown 77 - Saint Johns 90	8
Georgia Southern 65 - South Alabama 71	0.688	Georgia Southern 58 - South Alabama 57	-7
Georgia State 68 - Troy 70	0.542	Georgia State 63 - Troy 67	2
Grand Canyon 69 - Seattle 68	0.517	Grand Canyon 78 - Seattle 66	-11
Hofstra 70 - Towson 69	0.515	Hofstra 68 - Towson 78	11
Houston Baptist 67 - Northwestern State 70	0.592	Houston Baptist 87 - Northwestern State 97	7
Illinois Chicago 71 - Robert Morris 67	0.602	Illinois Chicago 80 - Robert Morris 75	-1
Incarnate Word 62 - Nicholls State 75	0.829	Incarnate Word 60 - Nicholls State 63	-10
IUPUI 55 - Youngstown State 73	0.9	IUPUI 55 - Youngstown State 61	-12
Jacksonville State 77 - North Florida 59	0.938	Jacksonville State 76 - North Florida 88	30
Lipscomb 72 - Stetson 68	0.613	Lipscomb 71 - Stetson 77	10
LIU Brooklyn 74 - Sacred Heart 66	0.713	LIU Brooklyn 79 - Sacred Heart 75	4
Long Beach State 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.778	Long Beach State 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0
Mcneese State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.559	Mcneese State 78 - Southeast Louisiana 83	4
Morehead State 74 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.848	Morehead State 75 - Tennessee Tech 68	6
Mt St Marys 65 - Merrimack 56	0.712	Mt St Marys 69 - Merrimack 53	-7
New Mexico State 78 - Cal Baptist 63	0.867	New Mexico State 68 - Cal Baptist 57	4
North Alabama 62 - Jacksonville 65	0.567	North Alabama 50 - Jacksonville 56	3
North Dakota 65 - Denver 70	0.66	North Dakota 79 - Denver 81	-3
North Dakota State 77 - Omaha 61	0.838	North Dakota State 71 - Omaha 64	9
Northeastern 68 - James Madison 71	0.572	Northeastern 71 - James Madison 76	2
Northern Colorado 76 - Portland State 64	0.849	Northern Colorado 99 - Portland State 106	19
Ohio 76 - Eastern Michigan 59	0.878	Ohio 81 - Eastern Michigan 68	4
Old Dominion 73 - Marshall 68	0.618	Old Dominion 79 - Marshall 64	-10
Oral Roberts 76 - Western Illinois 68	0.701	Oral Roberts 85 - Western Illinois 90	13
Pacific 71 - Pepperdine 69	0.547	Pacific 81 - Pepperdine 76	-3
Portland 59 - Saint Marys 77	0.932	Portland 54 - Saint Marys 75	3
Rice 77 - Texas San Antonio 64	0.813	Rice 91 - Texas San Antonio 78	0
Sacramento State 66 - Northern Arizona 64	0.56	Sacramento State 61 - Northern Arizona 62	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.639	Saint Francis Brooklyn 81 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	-12
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Bryant 73	0.677	Saint Francis Penn 82 - Bryant 89	-1
Sam Houston State 72 - Dixie State 64	0.721	Sam Houston State 77 - Dixie State 53	-16
San Diego 63 - Gonzaga 85	0.952	San Diego 62 - Gonzaga 92	8
Santa Clara 78 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.789	Santa Clara 79 - Loyola Marymount 60	-9
Southern Utah 79 - Idaho 65	0.833	Southern Utah 75 - Idaho 59	-2
Stanford 70 - Washington State 71	0.52	Stanford 60 - Washington State 66	5
Stephen F Austin 67 - Utah Valley 68	0.516	Stephen F Austin 78 - Utah Valley 59	-20
Tennessee Martin 71 - SE Missouri State 72	0.53	Tennessee Martin 84 - SE Missouri State 63	-22
Tennessee State 60 - Belmont 80	0.89	Tennessee State 61 - Belmont 88	7
Texas AM CC 70 - New Orleans 68	0.538	Texas AM CC 70 - New Orleans 79	11
Texas State 66 - Appalachian State 64	0.546	Texas State 68 - Appalachian State 66	0
UC Riverside 68 - Hawaii 66	0.549	UC Riverside 64 - Hawaii 59	-3
UC Santa Barbara 66 - UC Irvine 69	0.574	UC Santa Barbara 52 - UC Irvine 53	-2
UMKC 68 - Saint Thomas 62	0.64	UMKC 81 - Saint Thomas 72	-3
Utah 76 - Oregon State 71	0.657	Utah 84 - Oregon State 59	-20
Utah State 82 - San Jose State 60	0.921	Utah State 78 - San Jose State 62	6
Weber State 70 - Montana 65	0.645	Weber State 80 - Montana 75	0
William and Mary 67 - College of Charleston 76	0.757	William and Mary 61 - College of Charleston 84	14
Winthrop 76 - North Carolina AT 66	0.834	Winthrop 64 - North Carolina AT 54	0
Wyoming 69 - Boise State 71	0.593	Wyoming 72 - Boise State 65	-9

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Miami OH 63	0.742	Akron 66 - Miami OH 55	-1
Ball State 65 - Toledo 78	0.802	Ball State 93 - Toledo 83	-23
Brown 70 - Harvard 67	0.613	Brown 50 - Harvard 65	18
Canisius 62 - Iona 79	0.93	Canisius 62 - Iona 70	-9
Cleveland State 74 - Green Bay 59	0.915	Cleveland State 85 - Green Bay 69	-1
Colorado State 70 - San Diego State 69	0.509	Colorado State 58 - San Diego State 57	0
Columbia 63 - Pennsylvania 78	0.843	Columbia 66 - Pennsylvania 81	0
Cornell 71 - Princeton 74	0.593	Cornell 88 - Princeton 83	-8
Fresno State 74 - Nevada 68	0.684	Fresno State 73 - Nevada 56	-11
IPFW 70 - Milwaukee 63	0.69	IPFW 70 - Milwaukee 60	-3
Monmouth 71 - Fairfield 63	0.73	Monmouth 59 - Fairfield 56	5
Niagara 69 - Manhattan 66	0.597	Niagara 80 - Manhattan 74	-3
Northern Kentucky 64 - Oakland 70	0.675	Northern Kentucky 87 - Oakland 78	-15
Richmond 72 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.538	Richmond 71 - Saint Bonaventure 61	-9
Saint Peters 71 - Quinnipiac 64	0.725	Saint Peters 83 - Quinnipiac 74	-2
Seton Hall 76 - Creighton 72	0.574	Seton Hall 74 - Creighton 55	-15
Siena 70 - Rider 63	0.731	Siena 60 - Rider 74	21
Virginia Military Institute 78 - Western Carolina 67	0.762	Virginia Military Institute 76 - Western Carolina 69	4
Wright State 72 - Detroit 67	0.619	Wright State 90 - Detroit 59	-26
Yale 73 - Dartmouth 62	0.807	Yale 72 - Dartmouth 69	8

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 78 - Texas Pan American 66	0.815	Abilene Christian 83 - Texas Pan American 66	-5
Air Force 69 - New Mexico 70	0.517	Air Force 77 - New Mexico 91	13
Alabama 76 - Kentucky 79	0.573	Alabama 55 - Kentucky 66	8
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.776	Alabama Birmingham 97 - Middle Tennessee 75	-13
American 61 - Colgate 72	0.762	American 68 - Colgate 86	7
Arizona 81 - Southern California 71	0.76	Arizona 72 - Southern California 63	1
Arizona State 64 - UCLA 81	0.887	Arizona State 87 - UCLA 84	-20
Arkansas 78 - Mississippi State 72	0.632	Arkansas 63 - Mississippi State 55	-2
Arkansas Little Rock 72 - UL Monroe 71	0.508	Arkansas Little Rock 72 - UL Monroe 75	4
Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Alcorn State 73	0.789	Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Alcorn State 70	-4
Arkansas State 73 - UL Lafayette 68	0.646	Arkansas State 67 - UL Lafayette 58	-4
Army 74 - Holy Cross 60	0.848	Army 65 - Holy Cross 69	18
Bellarmine 72 - Kennesaw St 62	0.733	Bellarmine 70 - Kennesaw St 75	15
Bethune Cookman 67 - Prairie View 71	0.618	Bethune Cookman 68 - Prairie View 67	-5
Binghamton 72 - Maine 60	0.793	Binghamton 69 - Maine 60	3
Boise State 82 - San Jose State 56	0.959	Boise State 76 - San Jose State 60	10
Bowling Green 76 - Northern Illinois 67	0.745	Bowling Green 87 - Northern Illinois 65	-13
Brigham Young 71 - Gonzaga 81	0.757	Brigham Young 57 - Gonzaga 90	23
Brown 69 - Dartmouth 63	0.714	Brown 62 - Dartmouth 60	4
Butler 73 - Saint Johns 74	0.525	Butler 72 - Saint Johns 75	2
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.801	Cal State Fullerton 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	-4
Cal State Northridge 59 - UC Irvine 72	0.795	Cal State Northridge 70 - UC Irvine 75	-8
California 66 - Washington State 72	0.666	California 64 - Washington State 68	-2
Central Arkansas 70 - Stetson 71	0.517	Central Arkansas 79 - Stetson 75	-5
Central Connecticut State 67 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.518	Central Connecticut State 91 - Fairleigh Dickinson 82	-8
Central Michigan 65 - Buffalo 78	0.802	Central Michigan 54 - Buffalo 74	7
Charleston Southern 61 - Longwood 77	0.861	Charleston Southern 67 - Longwood 69	-14
Charlotte 74 - Marshall 69	0.647	Charlotte 88 - Marshall 64	-19
Chattanooga 74 - Mercer 60	0.844	Chattanooga 77 - Mercer 68	5
Colorado 78 - Oregon State 66	0.806	Colorado 86 - Oregon State 63	-11
Columbia 63 - Princeton 81	0.922	Columbia 63 - Princeton 85	4
Cornell 72 - Pennsylvania 71	0.524	Cornell 68 - Pennsylvania 73	6
Drake 74 - Northern Iowa 70	0.606	Drake 69 - Northern Iowa 74	9
Eastern Kentucky 65 - Liberty 76	0.757	Eastern Kentucky 84 - Liberty 91	-4
Elon 68 - College of Charleston 73	0.647	Elon 64 - College of Charleston 66	-3
Evansville 60 - Bradley 74	0.814	Evansville 41 - Bradley 76	21
Florida 76 - Mississippi 67	0.696	Florida 62 - Mississippi 57	4
Florida AM 63 - Texas Southern 70	0.703	Florida AM 55 - Texas Southern 67	5
Florida Atlantic 76 - Southern Miss 61	0.845	Florida Atlantic 84 - Southern Miss 57	-12
Florida International 64 - Louisiana Tech 76	0.853	Florida International 82 - Louisiana Tech 86	-8
Florida State 75 - Wake Forest 74	0.502	Florida State 60 - Wake Forest 68	9
Furman 72 - UNC Greensboro 60	0.79	Furman 56 - UNC Greensboro 58	14
Gardner Webb 71 - North Carolina AT 62	0.77	Gardner Webb 69 - North Carolina AT 62	2
George Washington 64 - Davidson 78	0.891	George Washington 73 - Davidson 78	-9
Georgia 65 - Auburn 87	0.942	Georgia 72 - Auburn 74	-20
Georgia Southern 66 - Troy 68	0.555	Georgia Southern 52 - Troy 61	7
Georgia State 68 - South Alabama 73	0.669	Georgia State 69 - South Alabama 62	-12
Georgia Tech 70 - Clemson 74	0.623	Georgia Tech 69 - Clemson 64	-9
Grambling State 71 - Alabama State 67	0.628	Grambling State 72 - Alabama State 80	12
Grand Canyon 74 - Cal Baptist 64	0.761	Grand Canyon 56 - Cal Baptist 50	4
Hampton 62 - Winthrop 74	0.855	Hampton 57 - Winthrop 69	0
Hartford 65 - Albany 66	0.55	Hartford 52 - Albany 71	18
High Point 68 - UNC Asheville 67	0.503	High Point 91 - UNC Asheville 83	-7
Hofstra 78 - James Madison 68	0.755	Hofstra 85 - James Madison 78	3
Houston Baptist 64 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.744	Houston Baptist 93 - Southeast Louisiana 80	-20
Howard 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	0.757	Howard 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	1
Idaho State 55 - Montana 72	0.912	Idaho State 86 - Montana 63	-40
Illinois Chicago 69 - Youngstown State 71	0.558	Illinois Chicago 64 - Youngstown State 66	0
Illinois State 69 - Southern Illinois 70	0.537	Illinois State 69 - Southern Illinois 75	5
Incarnate Word 62 - New Orleans 74	0.819	Incarnate Word 78 - New Orleans 70	-20
Indiana 72 - Illinois 73	0.519	Indiana 57 - Illinois 74	16
IUPUI 57 - Robert Morris 70	0.809	IUPUI 49 - Robert Morris 66	4
Jacksonville State 70 - Jacksonville 60	0.782	Jacksonville State 64 - Jacksonville 58	4
Kansas 78 - Baylor 76	0.541	Kansas 83 - Baylor 59	-22
Kent State 71 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.731	Kent State 90 - Eastern Michigan 71	-10
La Salle 65 - George Mason 75	0.775	La Salle 83 - George Mason 78	-15
Lafayette 70 - Bucknell 66	0.594	Lafayette 74 - Bucknell 72	2
Lehigh 64 - Boston 71	0.676	Lehigh 74 - Boston 80	-1
Lipscomb 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.553	Lipscomb 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 77	7
Long Beach State 77 - Cal Poly 61	0.898	Long Beach State 78 - Cal Poly 65	3
Loyola MD 62 - Navy 66	0.621	Loyola MD 55 - Navy 56	-3
Mcneese State 71 - Northwestern State 68	0.595	Mcneese State 93 - Northwestern State 84	-6
Memphis 76 - Central Florida 72	0.615	Memphis 88 - Central Florida 60	-24
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Jackson State 72	0.761	Mississippi Valley State 65 - Jackson State 69	-7
Morehead State 73 - Austin Peay 60	0.841	Morehead State 77 - Austin Peay 52	-12
Mt St Marys 67 - Bryant 68	0.524	Mt St Marys 61 - Bryant 62	0
Murray State 81 - SIU Edwardsville 56	0.94	Murray State 79 - SIU Edwardsville 59	5
NC State 72 - Notre Dame 76	0.63	NC State 57 - Notre Dame 69	8
Nebraska 73 - Northwestern 79	0.682	Nebraska 63 - Northwestern 87	18
New Mexico State 73 - Seattle 67	0.666	New Mexico State 79 - Seattle 64	-9
NJ Tech 62 - Stony Brook 73	0.772	NJ Tech 65 - Stony Brook 62	-14
North Alabama 69 - North Florida 64	0.689	North Alabama 58 - North Florida 71	18
North Carolina 74 - Duke 77	0.579	North Carolina 67 - Duke 87	17
North Carolina Central 70 - Coppin State 66	0.617	North Carolina Central 69 - Coppin State 68	3
North Dakota 69 - Omaha 70	0.517	North Dakota 92 - Omaha 85	-8
North Dakota State 72 - Denver 60	0.807	North Dakota State 73 - Denver 65	4
North Texas 78 - Texas San Antonio 53	0.947	North Texas 69 - Texas San Antonio 45	1
Northeastern 61 - Towson 73	0.813	Northeastern 58 - Towson 53	-17
Northern Arizona 65 - Northern Colorado 75	0.794	Northern Arizona 71 - Northern Colorado 74	-7
Northern Kentucky 67 - Detroit 65	0.585	Northern Kentucky 68 - Detroit 74	8
Ohio 79 - Western Michigan 55	0.96	Ohio 77 - Western Michigan 64	11
Oklahoma State 73 - Oklahoma 74	0.527	Oklahoma State 64 - Oklahoma 55	-10
Old Dominion 70 - Western Kentucky 71	0.522	Old Dominion 60 - Western Kentucky 77	16
Oral Roberts 78 - Saint Thomas 63	0.825	Oral Roberts 88 - Saint Thomas 66	-7
Pepperdine 71 - Pacific 69	0.577	Pepperdine 70 - Pacific 64	-4
Pittsburgh 65 - Virginia Tech 72	0.687	Pittsburgh 71 - Virginia Tech 76	-2
Portland 63 - San Francisco 78	0.92	Portland 71 - San Francisco 74	-12
Portland State 67 - Sacramento State 63	0.63	Portland State 73 - Sacramento State 65	-4
Purdue 81 - Michigan 70	0.724	Purdue 82 - Michigan 76	5
Radford 64 - Presbyterian 63	0.55	Radford 70 - Presbyterian 78	9
Rhode Island 76 - Massachusetts 67	0.723	Rhode Island 67 - Massachusetts 78	20
Rice 71 - Texas El Paso 69	0.545	Rice 70 - Texas El Paso 72	4
Rutgers 66 - Michigan State 76	0.751	Rutgers 84 - Michigan State 63	-31
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Sacred Heart 66	0.571	Saint Francis Brooklyn 62 - Sacred Heart 66	7
Saint Francis Penn 63 - Merrimack 62	0.533	Saint Francis Penn 64 - Merrimack 65	2
Saint Josephs 73 - Fordham 67	0.656	Saint Josephs 72 - Fordham 69	3
Saint Louis 70 - Dayton 68	0.556	Saint Louis 72 - Dayton 61	-9
Saint Marys 77 - Loyola Marymount 59	0.917	Saint Marys 71 - Loyola Marymount 60	7
Sam Houston State 66 - Utah Valley 68	0.558	Sam Houston State 54 - Utah Valley 57	1
San Diego 70 - Santa Clara 75	0.667	San Diego 66 - Santa Clara 79	8
SE Missouri State 74 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.766	SE Missouri State 63 - Eastern Illinois 56	5
South Carolina 68 - Tennessee 76	0.701	South Carolina 57 - Tennessee 81	16
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Campbell 68	0.529	South Carolina Upstate 71 - Campbell 80	8
South Dakota 66 - South Dakota State 76	0.742	South Dakota 79 - South Dakota State 89	0
Southern 73 - Alabama AM 56	0.864	Southern 73 - Alabama AM 64	8
Southern Utah 74 - Eastern Washington 70	0.622	Southern Utah 84 - Eastern Washington 72	-8
Stephen F Austin 74 - Dixie State 64	0.749	Stephen F Austin 81 - Dixie State 52	-19
Syracuse 77 - Louisville 72	0.63	Syracuse 92 - Louisville 69	-18
Tarleton State 75 - Chicago State 58	0.869	Tarleton State 57 - Chicago State 54	14
Temple 74 - Tulsa 68	0.647	Temple 67 - Tulsa 58	-3
Tennessee Martin 69 - Tennessee State 67	0.548	Tennessee Martin 61 - Tennessee State 69	10
Tennessee Tech 62 - Belmont 79	0.876	Tennessee Tech 92 - Belmont 100	-9
Texas 71 - Iowa State 66	0.627	Texas 63 - Iowa State 41	-17
Texas AM 76 - Missouri 67	0.704	Texas AM 66 - Missouri 70	13
Texas Arlington 66 - Appalachian State 68	0.576	Texas Arlington 61 - Appalachian State 70	7
Texas Christian 73 - Kansas State 67	0.686	Texas Christian 63 - Kansas State 75	18
Texas State 69 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.584	Texas State 69 - Coastal Carolina 64	-2
The Citadel 71 - Samford 73	0.566	The Citadel 107 - Samford 93	-16
Tulane 76 - East Carolina 69	0.678	Tulane 86 - East Carolina 66	-13
UC Davis 67 - Hawaii 72	0.653	UC Davis 68 - Hawaii 65	-8
UC Santa Barbara 74 - UC San Diego 66	0.719	UC Santa Barbara 84 - UC San Diego 48	-28
UMass Lowell 59 - Vermont 75	0.908	UMass Lowell 67 - Vermont 78	-5
UMBC 69 - New Hampshire 65	0.606	UMBC 88 - New Hampshire 77	-7
UMKC 66 - Western Illinois 67	0.529	UMKC 91 - Western Illinois 82	-10
Utah 70 - Oregon 79	0.718	Utah 77 - Oregon 80	-6
Utah State 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	0.676	Utah State 90 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	-7
Valparaiso 71 - Indiana State 70	0.53	Valparaiso 79 - Indiana State 72	-6
Vanderbilt 65 - Louisiana State 75	0.774	Vanderbilt 75 - Louisiana State 66	-19
Villanova 76 - Connecticut 69	0.674	Villanova 85 - Connecticut 74	-4
Virginia 68 - Miami 71	0.569	Virginia 71 - Miami 58	-16
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Duquesne 58	0.905	Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Duquesne 62	10
Wagner 76 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0.807	Wagner 79 - LIU Brooklyn 64	-2
Weber State 71 - Montana State 67	0.647	Weber State 57 - Montana State 78	25
West Virginia 68 - Texas Tech 74	0.667	West Virginia 53 - Texas Tech 60	1
Wichita State 71 - Southern Methodist 73	0.577	Wichita State 72 - Southern Methodist 57	-17
William and Mary 63 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.755	William and Mary 70 - UNC Wilmington 92	12
Wisconsin 76 - Penn State 65	0.786	Wisconsin 51 - Penn State 49	9
Wofford 72 - East Tennessee State 66	0.685	Wofford 62 - East Tennessee State 60	4
Wright State 68 - Oakland 73	0.627	Wright State 75 - Oakland 64	-16
Xavier 81 - DePaul 67	0.853	Xavier 65 - DePaul 69	18
Yale 74 - Harvard 65	0.736	Yale 58 - Harvard 55	6

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 69 - Manhattan 70	0.526	Canisius 77 - Manhattan 70	-8
Cincinnati 64 - Houston 75	0.737	Cincinnati 58 - Houston 80	11
Cleveland State 75 - Milwaukee 61	0.85	Cleveland State 84 - Milwaukee 71	1
Fairfield 66 - Siena 64	0.565	Fairfield 56 - Siena 62	8
Fresno State 70 - Wyoming 69	0.514	Fresno State 59 - Wyoming 61	3
Georgetown 68 - Providence 81	0.811	Georgetown 52 - Providence 71	6
Iowa 79 - Minnesota 70	0.766	Iowa 71 - Minnesota 59	-3
IPFW 70 - Green Bay 60	0.751	IPFW 71 - Green Bay 55	-6
Miami OH 65 - Akron 71	0.652	Miami OH 59 - Akron 71	6
Missouri State 70 - Loyola Ill 71	0.544	Missouri State 62 - Loyola Ill 71	8
Niagara 62 - Iona 75	0.884	Niagara 80 - Iona 71	-22
Ohio State 78 - Maryland 70	0.757	Ohio State 82 - Maryland 67	-7
Quinnipiac 67 - Monmouth 73	0.655	Quinnipiac 63 - Monmouth 76	7
Saint Peters 69 - Marist 62	0.681	Saint Peters 66 - Marist 50	-9
San Diego State 77 - Nevada 65	0.76	San Diego State 65 - Nevada 63	10
Stanford 75 - Washington 69	0.666	Stanford 87 - Washington 69	-12

Number of DI Games: 358
Number Correct: 264 = 73.7%
Expected Number Correct: 250.111 = 69.8%
Average Error: 8.68
Average Signed Error: -0.27

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 65 - Arizona 83	0.879	Arizona State 79 - Arizona 91	-6
Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Jackson State 67	0.64	Arkansas Pine Bluff 47 - Jackson State 60	8
Belmont 80 - Austin Peay 59	0.916	Belmont 72 - Austin Peay 58	7
Bethune Cookman 59 - Texas Southern 71	0.801	Bethune Cookman 63 - Texas Southern 66	-9
Charleston Southern 79 - Unranked 61		Charleston Southern 97 - Unranked 60
Colgate 77 - Holy Cross 58	0.914	Colgate 87 - Holy Cross 60	-8
Delaware State 58 - Howard 75	0.888	Delaware State 64 - Howard 69	-12
Drexel 73 - James Madison 69	0.629	Drexel 72 - James Madison 66	-2
Duke 75 - Virginia 62	0.841	Duke 68 - Virginia 69	14
East Tennessee State 65 - Furman 74	0.725	East Tennessee State 75 - Furman 71	-13
Florida AM 69 - Prairie View 68	0.542	Florida AM 61 - Prairie View 60	0
Florida International 68 - Charlotte 71	0.589	Florida International 68 - Charlotte 81	10
Grambling State 69 - Alabama AM 60	0.739	Grambling State 58 - Alabama AM 50	1
Hampton 61 - Presbyterian 67	0.703	Hampton 74 - Presbyterian 69	-11
Hofstra 73 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.639	Hofstra 73 - UNC Wilmington 71	3
Idaho State 55 - Montana State 73	0.879	Idaho State 54 - Montana State 72	0
Mercer 63 - Chattanooga 71	0.717	Mercer 72 - Chattanooga 74	-6
Middle Tennessee 78 - Texas San Antonio 61	0.886	Middle Tennessee 84 - Texas San Antonio 75	8
Mississippi Valley State 63 - Alcorn State 77	0.867	Mississippi Valley State 71 - Alcorn State 79	-6
Montana 67 - Southern Utah 68	0.529	Montana 78 - Southern Utah 67	-12
Navy 69 - Lafayette 57	0.818	Navy 68 - Lafayette 44	-12
North Dakota State 69 - South Dakota 63	0.66	North Dakota State 76 - South Dakota 74	4
North Texas 70 - Texas El Paso 58	0.855	North Texas 66 - Texas El Paso 58	4
Northern Colorado 75 - Northern Arizona 65	0.831	Northern Colorado 82 - Northern Arizona 60	-12
Richmond 74 - George Mason 69	0.663	Richmond 62 - George Mason 59	2
SIU Edwardsville 73 - SE Missouri State 72	0.516	SIU Edwardsville 47 - SE Missouri State 76	30
South Carolina State 66 - North Carolina Central 69	0.585	South Carolina State 74 - North Carolina Central 68	-9
South Florida 62 - Temple 71	0.719	South Florida 52 - Temple 49	-12
Southern 75 - Alabama State 63	0.787	Southern 72 - Alabama State 58	-2
Stony Brook 72 - New Hampshire 64	0.686	Stony Brook 65 - New Hampshire 67	10
Tennessee Tech 71 - Eastern Illinois 59	0.799	Tennessee Tech 84 - Eastern Illinois 58	-14
Texas 71 - Kansas 75	0.615	Texas 79 - Kansas 76	-7
UMass Lowell 69 - Hartford 64	0.656	UMass Lowell 85 - Hartford 75	-5
Virginia Tech 75 - Pittsburgh 64	0.795	Virginia Tech 74 - Pittsburgh 47	-16
Western Carolina 63 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.689	Western Carolina 49 - UNC Greensboro 68	12

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 74 - Auburn 79	0.628	Arkansas 80 - Auburn 76	-9
Ball State 75 - Central Michigan 65	0.737	Ball State 85 - Central Michigan 89	14
Boston College 70 - Syracuse 78	0.681	Boston College 64 - Syracuse 73	1
Buffalo 77 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.807	Buffalo 102 - Eastern Michigan 64	-25
Central Florida 70 - Wichita State 72	0.545	Central Florida 71 - Wichita State 66	-7
Clemson 74 - North Carolina 77	0.565	Clemson 77 - North Carolina 79	-1
Connecticut 76 - Marquette 75	0.524	Connecticut 80 - Marquette 72	-7
Creighton 74 - Butler 66	0.682	Creighton 54 - Butler 52	6
Florida Atlantic 72 - Old Dominion 65	0.668	Florida Atlantic 81 - Old Dominion 62	-12
Howard 86 - Unranked 56		Howard 96 - Unranked 38
Indiana State 73 - Evansville 63	0.73	Indiana State 56 - Evansville 65	19
Kent State 74 - Bowling Green 67	0.705	Kent State 76 - Bowling Green 68	-1
La Salle 65 - Saint Louis 80	0.875	La Salle 57 - Saint Louis 75	3
Liberty 79 - Lipscomb 60	0.891	Liberty 78 - Lipscomb 69	10
Long Beach State 73 - Cal State Fullerton 71	0.545	Long Beach State 71 - Cal State Fullerton 61	-8
Miami OH 74 - Western Michigan 64	0.768	Miami OH 62 - Western Michigan 57	5
Michigan State 74 - Wisconsin 72	0.553	Michigan State 62 - Wisconsin 70	10
Monmouth 72 - Marist 62	0.745	Monmouth 58 - Marist 83	35
Nevada 71 - Colorado State 78	0.685	Nevada 72 - Colorado State 82	3
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Air Force 63	0.752	Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Air Force 44	-23
Northern Illinois 59 - Akron 70	0.781	Northern Illinois 64 - Akron 70	-5
Northwestern 71 - Indiana 75	0.611	Northwestern 59 - Indiana 51	-12
Penn State 70 - Michigan 72	0.531	Penn State 57 - Michigan 58	-1
Purdue 78 - Illinois 75	0.594	Purdue 84 - Illinois 68	-13
Rice 91 - Unranked 54		Rice 98 - Unranked 63
Rider 70 - Manhattan 69	0.526	Rider 76 - Manhattan 67	-8
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Fordham 64	0.764	Saint Bonaventure 76 - Fordham 51	-15
Saint Johns 70 - Villanova 81	0.738	Saint Johns 69 - Villanova 75	-5
Saint Thomas 63 - UMKC 68	0.64	Saint Thomas 67 - UMKC 76	4
San Francisco 81 - Portland 61	0.947	San Francisco 68 - Portland 69	21
Santa Clara 69 - Saint Marys 74	0.67	Santa Clara 77 - Saint Marys 72	-10
South Carolina 67 - Kentucky 81	0.82	South Carolina 76 - Kentucky 86	-4
Southern California 83 - Pacific 58	0.964	Southern California 74 - Pacific 68	19
Stanford 70 - UCLA 77	0.702	Stanford 70 - UCLA 79	2
Texas AM 69 - Louisiana State 73	0.64	Texas AM 68 - Louisiana State 76	4
Texas Christian 74 - Oklahoma State 70	0.599	Texas Christian 77 - Oklahoma State 73	0
Toledo 71 - Ohio 68	0.589	Toledo 77 - Ohio 62	-12
Tulsa 74 - East Carolina 70	0.587	Tulsa 71 - East Carolina 73	6
Vanderbilt 74 - Missouri 69	0.636	Vanderbilt 70 - Missouri 62	-3
Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Rhode Island 61	0.736	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Rhode Island 64	0
West Virginia 72 - Iowa State 71	0.509	West Virginia 79 - Iowa State 63	-15
Wyoming 74 - Utah State 72	0.577	Wyoming 78 - Utah State 76	0

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 72 - Maine 55	0.896	Albany 63 - Maine 73	27
Boston 71 - Army 64	0.694	Boston 75 - Army 74	6
Bradley 66 - Loyola Ill 72	0.658	Bradley 68 - Loyola Ill 61	-13
Bucknell 69 - American 66	0.578	Bucknell 68 - American 66	1
Campbell 64 - Gardner Webb 65	0.531	Campbell 45 - Gardner Webb 57	11
Chattanooga 79 - Western Carolina 60	0.885	Chattanooga 65 - Western Carolina 47	1
Colgate 75 - Lehigh 63	0.79	Colgate 78 - Lehigh 62	-4
Cornell 81 - Columbia 63	0.896	Cornell 88 - Columbia 75	5
Davidson 80 - Saint Josephs 66	0.847	Davidson 73 - Saint Josephs 67	8
Dayton 77 - Duquesne 59	0.874	Dayton 75 - Duquesne 54	-3
Delaware State 57 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	0.807	Delaware State 50 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	-3
DePaul 80 - Georgetown 71	0.763	DePaul 82 - Georgetown 74	1
Drake 71 - Missouri State 72	0.52	Drake 62 - Missouri State 66	3
Fairfield 70 - Quinnipiac 67	0.616	Fairfield 60 - Quinnipiac 69	12
Florida 83 - Georgia 67	0.847	Florida 72 - Georgia 63	7
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - North Alabama 64	0.767	Florida Gulf Coast 92 - North Alabama 60	-24
Florida State 76 - Pittsburgh 65	0.764	Florida State 51 - Pittsburgh 56	16
George Mason 71 - Richmond 72	0.543	George Mason 87 - Richmond 84	-4
Green Bay 62 - Wright State 74	0.793	Green Bay 62 - Wright State 79	5
Harvard 66 - Yale 69	0.583	Harvard 59 - Yale 62	0
Holy Cross 61 - Loyola MD 69	0.745	Holy Cross 68 - Loyola MD 64	-12
Illinois State 75 - Valparaiso 73	0.548	Illinois State 78 - Valparaiso 75	-1
Jacksonville 70 - Eastern Kentucky 65	0.649	Jacksonville 81 - Eastern Kentucky 68	-8
Kansas State 69 - Baylor 78	0.722	Kansas State 60 - Baylor 75	6
Kennesaw St 76 - Central Arkansas 68	0.709	Kennesaw St 83 - Central Arkansas 72	-3
Massachusetts 77 - George Washington 70	0.667	Massachusetts 68 - George Washington 77	16
Memphis 79 - Tulane 71	0.674	Memphis 80 - Tulane 69	-3
Miami 78 - Georgia Tech 68	0.771	Miami 79 - Georgia Tech 70	1
Milwaukee 63 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.681	Milwaukee 39 - Northern Kentucky 75	30
Mississippi 72 - Alabama 78	0.63	Mississippi 83 - Alabama 97	8
Mississippi State 70 - Tennessee 76	0.643	Mississippi State 63 - Tennessee 72	3
NC State 72 - Wake Forest 80	0.704	NC State 51 - Wake Forest 69	10
Nebraska 71 - Minnesota 77	0.703	Nebraska 78 - Minnesota 65	-19
New Hampshire 68 - NJ Tech 63	0.645	New Hampshire 55 - NJ Tech 60	10
North Carolina AT 73 - Charleston Southern 63	0.803	North Carolina AT 62 - Charleston Southern 51	-1
North Florida 65 - Bellarmine 69	0.649	North Florida 70 - Bellarmine 73	-1
Northern Iowa 72 - Southern Illinois 65	0.719	Northern Iowa 53 - Southern Illinois 44	-2
Notre Dame 76 - Louisville 66	0.767	Notre Dame 63 - Louisville 57	4
Oklahoma 69 - Texas Tech 75	0.689	Oklahoma 70 - Texas Tech 55	-21
Oregon State 70 - California 73	0.576	Oregon State 61 - California 63	-1
Presbyterian 66 - High Point 65	0.53	Presbyterian 70 - High Point 79	10
Robert Morris 66 - Detroit 69	0.599	Robert Morris 62 - Detroit 79	14
Rutgers 70 - Ohio State 76	0.657	Rutgers 66 - Ohio State 64	-8
Samford 68 - Wofford 72	0.615	Samford 65 - Wofford 60	-9
San Jose State 57 - San Diego State 78	0.904	San Jose State 62 - San Diego State 72	-11
Seton Hall 75 - Xavier 74	0.502	Seton Hall 73 - Xavier 71	-1
South Florida 61 - Cincinnati 73	0.767	South Florida 59 - Cincinnati 70	-1
Southern Methodist 67 - Houston 77	0.718	Southern Methodist 85 - Houston 83	-12
Stetson 62 - Jacksonville State 73	0.788	Stetson 63 - Jacksonville State 57	-17
Stony Brook 71 - UMass Lowell 64	0.703	Stony Brook 87 - UMass Lowell 85	5
UMBC 73 - Hartford 63	0.714	UMBC 68 - Hartford 64	6
UNC Asheville 71 - Hampton 60	0.847	UNC Asheville 69 - Hampton 53	-5
Vermont 78 - Binghamton 58	0.928	Vermont 82 - Binghamton 51	-11
Winthrop 75 - Radford 62	0.904	Winthrop 58 - Radford 48	3
Youngstown State 67 - Oakland 71	0.635	Youngstown State 78 - Oakland 71	-11

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Southern Miss 56	0.961	Alabama Birmingham 84 - Southern Miss 63	6
Appalachian State 69 - Georgia Southern 61	0.778	Appalachian State 65 - Georgia Southern 61	4
Austin Peay 72 - SE Missouri State 69	0.574	Austin Peay 74 - SE Missouri State 66	-5
Belmont 74 - Morehead State 66	0.742	Belmont 48 - Morehead State 47	7
Cal Baptist 76 - Lamar 62	0.91	Cal Baptist 83 - Lamar 61	-8
Cal Poly 66 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.567	Cal Poly 78 - Cal State Northridge 83	6
Cal State Bakersfield 64 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.641	Cal State Bakersfield 62 - UC Santa Barbara 74	7
Central Michigan 59 - Ohio 76	0.886	Central Michigan 72 - Ohio 81	-8
Charlotte 68 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.656	Charlotte 77 - Louisiana Tech 82	0
Chicago State 59 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.863	Chicago State 61 - Stephen F Austin 81	3
Clemson 68 - Duke 78	0.768	Clemson 64 - Duke 82	8
Cleveland State 76 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.89	Cleveland State 75 - Illinois Chicago 76	13
Coastal Carolina 72 - Georgia State 67	0.639	Coastal Carolina 50 - Georgia State 61	16
Delaware 73 - Northeastern 63	0.785	Delaware 74 - Northeastern 61	-3
Denver 62 - South Dakota State 79	0.859	Denver 61 - South Dakota State 84	6
Dixie State 61 - New Mexico State 78	0.866	Dixie State 69 - New Mexico State 77	-9
Drexel 69 - Hofstra 71	0.559	Drexel 73 - Hofstra 83	8
Eastern Illinois 61 - Tennessee Tech 69	0.709	Eastern Illinois 62 - Tennessee Tech 73	3
Eastern Washington 69 - Weber State 73	0.635	Eastern Washington 75 - Weber State 67	-12
Evansville 65 - Indiana State 71	0.646	Evansville 77 - Indiana State 80	-3
Fairleigh Dickinson 67 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.575	Fairleigh Dickinson 65 - Saint Francis Penn 78	10
Gonzaga 92 - Pacific 56	0.992	Gonzaga 89 - Pacific 51	-2
Hawaii 72 - Long Beach State 71	0.523	Hawaii 66 - Long Beach State 73	8
Idaho 69 - Idaho State 65	0.612	Idaho 70 - Idaho State 79	13
IPFW 73 - IUPUI 50	0.933	IPFW 72 - IUPUI 57	8
James Madison 73 - Elon 68	0.65	James Madison 66 - Elon 70	9
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.7	LIU Brooklyn 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	3
Longwood 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.734	Longwood 85 - South Carolina Upstate 72	-4
Loyola Marymount 66 - Brigham Young 76	0.773	Loyola Marymount 82 - Brigham Young 83	-9
Marshall 73 - Florida International 71	0.549	Marshall 71 - Florida International 72	3
Maryland 73 - Iowa 78	0.633	Maryland 87 - Iowa 110	18
Merrimack 65 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.673	Merrimack 57 - Central Connecticut State 60	9
Michigan 73 - Purdue 80	0.671	Michigan 82 - Purdue 58	-31
Middle Tennessee 72 - Old Dominion 65	0.686	Middle Tennessee 63 - Old Dominion 48	-8
Montana 71 - Northern Arizona 59	0.801	Montana 67 - Northern Arizona 72	17
Montana State 74 - Portland State 60	0.877	Montana State 77 - Portland State 74	11
New Orleans 69 - Texas AM CC 66	0.597	New Orleans 78 - Texas AM CC 69	-6
Nicholls State 74 - Incarnate Word 59	0.844	Nicholls State 69 - Incarnate Word 58	4
Northwestern State 72 - Houston Baptist 66	0.674	Northwestern State 69 - Houston Baptist 76	13
Omaha 64 - South Dakota 74	0.711	Omaha 69 - South Dakota 91	12
Oregon 77 - Stanford 70	0.66	Oregon 68 - Stanford 60	-1
Sacramento State 64 - Northern Colorado 72	0.747	Sacramento State 61 - Northern Colorado 79	10
Sacred Heart 66 - Bryant 75	0.742	Sacred Heart 86 - Bryant 99	4
Saint Marys 76 - San Diego 58	0.94	Saint Marys 86 - San Diego 57	-11
Saint Thomas 72 - North Dakota 65	0.678	Saint Thomas 70 - North Dakota 78	15
San Francisco 83 - Pepperdine 61	0.956	San Francisco 105 - Pepperdine 61	-22
Seattle 80 - Texas Pan American 65	0.89	Seattle 67 - Texas Pan American 59	7
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.559	SIU Edwardsville 71 - Tennessee Martin 63	-6
South Alabama 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	0.883	South Alabama 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 46	-15
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Mcneese State 67	0.658	Southeast Louisiana 91 - Mcneese State 86	0
Tennessee State 57 - Murray State 78	0.914	Tennessee State 62 - Murray State 73	-10
Towson 78 - William and Mary 57	0.937	Towson 75 - William and Mary 60	6
Troy 69 - Arkansas State 67	0.543	Troy 79 - Arkansas State 77	0
UC Irvine 66 - UC Riverside 62	0.601	UC Irvine 66 - UC Riverside 56	-6
UL Lafayette 67 - Texas State 68	0.548	UL Lafayette 73 - Texas State 82	8
UL Monroe 69 - Texas Arlington 70	0.533	UL Monroe 74 - Texas Arlington 71	-4
UNC Greensboro 73 - The Citadel 64	0.748	UNC Greensboro 86 - The Citadel 66	-11
Utah Valley 66 - Grand Canyon 67	0.52	Utah Valley 69 - Grand Canyon 79	9
Virginia Military Institute 73 - Mercer 68	0.64	Virginia Military Institute 85 - Mercer 79	-1
Wagner 69 - Mt St Marys 59	0.762	Wagner 69 - Mt St Marys 57	-2
Washington 74 - Arizona State 71	0.585	Washington 87 - Arizona State 64	-20
Washington State 69 - Arizona 78	0.716	Washington State 60 - Arizona 72	3
Western Illinois 68 - North Dakota State 70	0.555	Western Illinois 81 - North Dakota State 84	1
Western Kentucky 73 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.577	Western Kentucky 76 - Florida Atlantic 69	-4

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 66 - Kent State 62	0.615	Akron 64 - Kent State 66	6
Boise State 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	0.769	Boise State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 63	5
Colorado State 72 - Fresno State 68	0.615	Colorado State 65 - Fresno State 50	-11
Green Bay 60 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.751	Green Bay 62 - Northern Kentucky 71	0
Manhattan 65 - Monmouth 74	0.706	Manhattan 65 - Monmouth 75	1
Milwaukee 64 - Wright State 74	0.735	Milwaukee 60 - Wright State 57	-13
New Mexico 94 - Unranked 56		New Mexico 78 - Unranked 46
Robert Morris 64 - Oakland 74	0.763	Robert Morris 68 - Oakland 71	-7
Saint Louis 76 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.708	Saint Louis 61 - Saint Bonaventure 68	15
Saint Peters 72 - Rider 60	0.831	Saint Peters 49 - Rider 58	21
Siena 63 - Iona 75	0.812	Siena 70 - Iona 64	-18
Utah State 80 - Nevada 68	0.779	Utah State 72 - Nevada 85	25
Xavier 75 - Connecticut 74	0.561	Xavier 74 - Connecticut 68	-5
Youngstown State 69 - Detroit 67	0.551	Youngstown State 82 - Detroit 69	-11

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 79 - Arkansas 77	0.53	Alabama 68 - Arkansas 67	1
Alabama AM 70 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.735	Alabama AM 94 - Mississippi Valley State 92	7
Alabama State 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.765	Alabama State 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 75	15
Albany 60 - Vermont 72	0.839	Albany 63 - Vermont 76	1
Alcorn State 71 - Bethune Cookman 61	0.812	Alcorn State 63 - Bethune Cookman 71	18
Appalachian State 71 - Georgia State 64	0.726	Appalachian State 49 - Georgia State 58	16
Army 62 - Navy 67	0.636	Army 49 - Navy 52	-2
Auburn 82 - Texas AM 67	0.899	Auburn 75 - Texas AM 58	-2
Austin Peay 68 - Tennessee State 64	0.617	Austin Peay 54 - Tennessee State 52	2
Baylor 74 - Texas 69	0.65	Baylor 80 - Texas 63	-12
Binghamton 68 - New Hampshire 66	0.561	Binghamton 60 - New Hampshire 69	11
Boston 73 - American 58	0.834	Boston 85 - American 67	-3
Boston College 62 - Duke 81	0.904	Boston College 61 - Duke 72	-8
Bradley 71 - Drake 70	0.533	Bradley 68 - Drake 59	-8
Bucknell 70 - Holy Cross 66	0.607	Bucknell 72 - Holy Cross 78	10
Buffalo 76 - Ball State 68	0.699	Buffalo 80 - Ball State 74	2
Butler 67 - Marquette 78	0.745	Butler 85 - Marquette 79	-17
Cal Baptist 76 - Texas Pan American 69	0.734	Cal Baptist 80 - Texas Pan American 72	-1
Cal Poly 61 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.77	Cal Poly 64 - UC Santa Barbara 69	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Cal State Northridge 63	0.727	Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Cal State Northridge 71	13
Central Connecticut State 64 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.528	Central Connecticut State 50 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	16
Chicago State 59 - Sam Houston State 73	0.824	Chicago State 59 - Sam Houston State 72	-1
Clemson 71 - Notre Dame 72	0.518	Clemson 61 - Notre Dame 76	14
Cleveland State 78 - IUPUI 50	0.983	Cleveland State 83 - IUPUI 45	-10
Coastal Carolina 70 - Georgia Southern 64	0.684	Coastal Carolina 79 - Georgia Southern 58	-15
Colorado 76 - Utah 68	0.694	Colorado 81 - Utah 76	3
Columbia 61 - Yale 79	0.889	Columbia 59 - Yale 84	7
Coppin State 70 - South Carolina State 67	0.58	Coppin State 58 - South Carolina State 66	11
Cornell 72 - Brown 68	0.634	Cornell 80 - Brown 81	5
Dayton 77 - George Washington 59	0.857	Dayton 80 - George Washington 54	-8
Delaware 71 - Hofstra 72	0.527	Delaware 66 - Hofstra 80	13
Denver 64 - South Dakota 68	0.61	Denver 76 - South Dakota 84	4
Dixie State 61 - Grand Canyon 74	0.793	Dixie State 61 - Grand Canyon 60	-14
Drexel 72 - Northeastern 63	0.731	Drexel 67 - Northeastern 51	-7
Duquesne 68 - Fordham 69	0.543	Duquesne 54 - Fordham 65	10
East Carolina 68 - Southern Methodist 79	0.78	East Carolina 66 - Southern Methodist 80	3
East Tennessee State 73 - Samford 69	0.599	East Tennessee State 73 - Samford 77	8
Eastern Illinois 61 - Tennessee Martin 66	0.648	Eastern Illinois 82 - Tennessee Martin 70	-17
Eastern Michigan 61 - Ohio 75	0.842	Eastern Michigan 56 - Ohio 74	4
Eastern Washington 74 - Idaho State 60	0.842	Eastern Washington 75 - Idaho State 72	11
Fairfield 64 - Niagara 65	0.516	Fairfield 73 - Niagara 53	-21
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Sacred Heart 70	0.576	Fairleigh Dickinson 82 - Sacred Heart 75	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Stetson 65	0.731	Florida Gulf Coast 89 - Stetson 82	2
Furman 70 - Chattanooga 67	0.59	Furman 58 - Chattanooga 64	9
Gardner Webb 76 - Charleston Southern 56	0.912	Gardner Webb 82 - Charleston Southern 65	3
George Mason 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.572	George Mason 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 85	13
Georgetown 70 - Creighton 79	0.709	Georgetown 66 - Creighton 80	5
Georgia 72 - South Carolina 77	0.641	Georgia 68 - South Carolina 80	7
Gonzaga 79 - Saint Marys 67	0.811	Gonzaga 74 - Saint Marys 58	-4
Hampton 63 - Radford 65	0.6	Hampton 54 - Radford 60	4
Hawaii 69 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.506	Hawaii 72 - Cal State Fullerton 55	-18
High Point 66 - Campbell 67	0.537	High Point 42 - Campbell 60	17
Houston 80 - Memphis 66	0.791	Houston 59 - Memphis 69	24
Howard 77 - Delaware State 56	0.926	Howard 85 - Delaware State 72	8
Idaho 64 - Weber State 78	0.834	Idaho 83 - Weber State 79	-18
Indiana State 75 - Illinois State 73	0.529	Indiana State 60 - Illinois State 57	-1
Iowa State 73 - Kansas State 69	0.612	Iowa State 69 - Kansas State 75	10
IPFW 71 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.697	IPFW 73 - Illinois Chicago 66	-1
Jackson State 64 - Florida AM 63	0.525	Jackson State 60 - Florida AM 56	-3
Jacksonville 60 - Liberty 68	0.714	Jacksonville 73 - Liberty 69	-12
Jacksonville State 81 - Central Arkansas 64	0.897	Jacksonville State 62 - Central Arkansas 72	27
James Madison 78 - William and Mary 65	0.814	James Madison 69 - William and Mary 55	-1
Kansas 83 - Oklahoma 69	0.836	Kansas 71 - Oklahoma 69	12
Kennesaw St 71 - North Florida 66	0.608	Kennesaw St 72 - North Florida 74	7
Kentucky 80 - Florida 68	0.778	Kentucky 78 - Florida 57	-9
Lehigh 69 - Lafayette 65	0.605	Lehigh 69 - Lafayette 73	8
Lipscomb 73 - Eastern Kentucky 74	0.523	Lipscomb 83 - Eastern Kentucky 73	-11
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Bryant 73	0.592	LIU Brooklyn 99 - Bryant 88	-15
Louisiana State 74 - Mississippi State 68	0.652	Louisiana State 69 - Mississippi State 65	2
Loyola MD 65 - Colgate 69	0.643	Loyola MD 56 - Colgate 64	4
Marist 69 - Canisius 65	0.618	Marist 71 - Canisius 70	3
Massachusetts 75 - Saint Josephs 74	0.536	Massachusetts 69 - Saint Josephs 67	-1
Miami OH 72 - Bowling Green 74	0.559	Miami OH 94 - Bowling Green 78	-18
Michigan 74 - Ohio State 76	0.552	Michigan 57 - Ohio State 68	9
Michigan State 74 - Indiana 70	0.616	Michigan State 76 - Indiana 61	-11
Minnesota 68 - Penn State 69	0.503	Minnesota 76 - Penn State 70	-7
Missouri 70 - Mississippi 71	0.521	Missouri 74 - Mississippi 68	-7
Missouri State 78 - Valparaiso 65	0.836	Missouri State 84 - Valparaiso 66	-5
Montana 70 - Portland State 63	0.711	Montana 85 - Portland State 76	-2
Montana State 74 - Northern Arizona 57	0.931	Montana State 72 - Northern Arizona 70	15
Morehead State 64 - Murray State 70	0.692	Morehead State 53 - Murray State 57	-2
Morgan State 65 - North Carolina Central 72	0.699	Morgan State 64 - North Carolina Central 74	3
New Orleans 73 - Incarnate Word 60	0.834	New Orleans 84 - Incarnate Word 57	-14
Nicholls State 70 - Texas AM CC 65	0.631	Nicholls State 83 - Texas AM CC 80	2
NJ Tech 67 - Hartford 65	0.562	NJ Tech 49 - Hartford 65	18
Norfolk State 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.879	Norfolk State 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	6
North Alabama 61 - Bellarmine 68	0.727	North Alabama 69 - Bellarmine 75	-1
North Carolina 78 - Florida State 72	0.654	North Carolina 94 - Florida State 74	-14
North Carolina AT 63 - Longwood 72	0.74	North Carolina AT 70 - Longwood 62	-17
Northern Illinois 60 - Toledo 78	0.88	Northern Illinois 72 - Toledo 100	10
Northwestern State 71 - Mcneese State 70	0.527	Northwestern State 75 - Mcneese State 80	6
Oklahoma State 74 - West Virginia 72	0.56	Oklahoma State 81 - West Virginia 58	-21
Oral Roberts 72 - UMKC 64	0.729	Oral Roberts 91 - UMKC 86	3
Oregon 79 - California 65	0.811	Oregon 64 - California 78	28
Oregon State 67 - Stanford 78	0.784	Oregon State 65 - Stanford 76	0
Pennsylvania 70 - Harvard 66	0.643	Pennsylvania 82 - Harvard 74	-4
Pepperdine 64 - Brigham Young 80	0.875	Pepperdine 85 - Brigham Young 91	-10
Pittsburgh 72 - NC State 73	0.54	Pittsburgh 71 - NC State 69	-3
Portland 70 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.53	Portland 86 - Loyola Marymount 76	-11
Prairie View 68 - Southern 74	0.652	Prairie View 84 - Southern 77	-13
Princeton 75 - Dartmouth 63	0.893	Princeton 85 - Dartmouth 40	-33
Providence 78 - DePaul 66	0.814	Providence 76 - DePaul 73	9
Rhode Island 66 - Davidson 74	0.751	Rhode Island 72 - Davidson 65	-15
Rice 63 - North Texas 73	0.784	Rice 44 - North Texas 67	13
Richmond 79 - La Salle 64	0.88	Richmond 77 - La Salle 63	1
Sacramento State 60 - Southern Utah 73	0.834	Sacramento State 57 - Southern Utah 83	13
Saint Francis Penn 61 - Mt St Marys 68	0.647	Saint Francis Penn 52 - Mt St Marys 54	-5
Saint Thomas 62 - North Dakota State 71	0.737	Saint Thomas 64 - North Dakota State 75	2
San Diego 73 - Pacific 63	0.825	San Diego 60 - Pacific 54	4
San Diego State 74 - Air Force 54	0.876	San Diego State 76 - Air Force 64	8
San Jose State 62 - Wyoming 82	0.938	San Jose State 52 - Wyoming 74	2
Santa Clara 73 - San Francisco 75	0.594	Santa Clara 58 - San Francisco 74	14
SE Missouri State 65 - Belmont 83	0.856	SE Missouri State 72 - Belmont 81	-9
Seattle 81 - Lamar 58	0.959	Seattle 76 - Lamar 50	-3
SIU Edwardsville 68 - Tennessee Tech 69	0.501	SIU Edwardsville 61 - Tennessee Tech 60	-2
South Alabama 71 - Arkansas State 68	0.568	South Alabama 70 - Arkansas State 51	-16
South Carolina Upstate 71 - UNC Asheville 69	0.564	South Carolina Upstate 56 - UNC Asheville 83	29
South Dakota State 86 - Omaha 60	0.918	South Dakota State 82 - Omaha 61	5
Southeast Louisiana 73 - Houston Baptist 64	0.78	Southeast Louisiana 89 - Houston Baptist 84	4
Southern California 73 - UCLA 75	0.573	Southern California 67 - UCLA 64	-5
Southern Illinois 71 - Evansville 56	0.841	Southern Illinois 69 - Evansville 62	8
Tarleton State 67 - Abilene Christian 68	0.523	Tarleton State 63 - Abilene Christian 77	13
Tennessee 79 - Vanderbilt 66	0.829	Tennessee 73 - Vanderbilt 64	4
Texas San Antonio 63 - Western Kentucky 77	0.824	Texas San Antonio 65 - Western Kentucky 71	-8
Texas Southern 73 - Grambling State 62	0.779	Texas Southern 68 - Grambling State 65	8
Texas Tech 76 - Texas Christian 66	0.762	Texas Tech 82 - Texas Christian 69	-3
Towson 74 - Elon 60	0.852	Towson 86 - Elon 50	-22
Troy 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	0.852	Troy 62 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	19
Tulane 72 - Temple 71	0.541	Tulane 92 - Temple 83	-8
Tulsa 67 - Cincinnati 74	0.674	Tulsa 83 - Cincinnati 77	-13
UC San Diego 63 - UC Riverside 71	0.719	UC San Diego 85 - UC Riverside 62	-31
UL Lafayette 71 - Texas Arlington 67	0.617	UL Lafayette 77 - Texas Arlington 80	7
UL Monroe 65 - Texas State 71	0.679	UL Monroe 54 - Texas State 63	3
UMass Lowell 66 - UMBC 68	0.563	UMass Lowell 88 - UMBC 71	-19
UNC Wilmington 72 - College of Charleston 70	0.557	UNC Wilmington 85 - College of Charleston 79	-4
Utah Valley 65 - New Mexico State 71	0.647	Utah Valley 72 - New Mexico State 68	-10
Villanova 78 - Seton Hall 68	0.727	Villanova 73 - Seton Hall 67	4
Virginia 72 - Georgia Tech 63	0.747	Virginia 63 - Georgia Tech 53	-1
Virginia Military Institute 79 - The Citadel 70	0.76	Virginia Military Institute 79 - The Citadel 83	13
Virginia Tech 76 - Syracuse 74	0.562	Virginia Tech 71 - Syracuse 59	-10
Wagner 72 - Merrimack 54	0.896	Wagner 65 - Merrimack 80	33
Wake Forest 77 - Miami 73	0.606	Wake Forest 72 - Miami 76	8
Washington 67 - Arizona 83	0.849	Washington 68 - Arizona 92	8
Washington State 76 - Arizona State 65	0.759	Washington State 55 - Arizona State 58	14
Western Illinois 77 - North Dakota 63	0.821	Western Illinois 70 - North Dakota 68	12
Western Michigan 67 - Central Michigan 69	0.563	Western Michigan 77 - Central Michigan 63	-16
Wichita State 75 - South Florida 59	0.865	Wichita State 73 - South Florida 69	12
Winthrop 73 - Presbyterian 63	0.81	Winthrop 65 - Presbyterian 61	6
Wisconsin 76 - Rutgers 66	0.741	Wisconsin 65 - Rutgers 73	18
Wofford 76 - Western Carolina 62	0.825	Wofford 69 - Western Carolina 57	2

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 73 - Colorado State 69	0.615	Boise State 74 - Colorado State 77	7
Illinois 82 - Northwestern 68	0.814	Illinois 73 - Northwestern 66	7
Iona 74 - Monmouth 66	0.723	Iona 70 - Monmouth 62	0
Iowa 87 - Nebraska 69	0.9	Iowa 98 - Nebraska 75	-5
Loyola Ill 76 - Northern Iowa 67	0.766	Loyola Ill 85 - Northern Iowa 58	-18
Maine 59 - Stony Brook 75	0.846	Maine 74 - Stony Brook 85	-5
Middle Tennessee 72 - Charlotte 67	0.658	Middle Tennessee 78 - Charlotte 63	-10
Milwaukee 67 - Green Bay 64	0.604	Milwaukee 54 - Green Bay 44	-7
Oakland 73 - Detroit 64	0.712	Oakland 75 - Detroit 59	-7
Old Dominion 64 - Alabama Birmingham 75	0.777	Old Dominion 81 - Alabama Birmingham 72	-20
Purdue 83 - Maryland 68	0.865	Purdue 62 - Maryland 61	14
Quinnipiac 73 - Manhattan 70	0.591	Quinnipiac 66 - Manhattan 83	20
Rider 66 - Siena 68	0.557	Rider 75 - Siena 76	-1
Saint Johns 75 - Connecticut 80	0.63	Saint Johns 60 - Connecticut 63	-2
Texas El Paso 75 - Marshall 65	0.758	Texas El Paso 79 - Marshall 88	19
UNC Greensboro 67 - Mercer 63	0.626	UNC Greensboro 64 - Mercer 73	13
Wright State 71 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.643	Wright State 71 - Northern Kentucky 75	10
Youngstown State 71 - Robert Morris 64	0.714	Youngstown State 68 - Robert Morris 73	12

Number of DI Games: 374
Number Correct: 261 = 69.7%
Expected Number Correct: 265.55 = 71%
Average Error: 8.87
Average Signed Error: 0.39

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	0.598	Alabama AM 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	-1
Alabama State 77 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.836	Alabama State 71 - Mississippi Valley State 85	27
Alcorn State 68 - Florida AM 63	0.688	Alcorn State 68 - Florida AM 56	-7
Austin Peay 70 - Eastern Illinois 57	0.82	Austin Peay 62 - Eastern Illinois 54	5
Central Florida 77 - Tulsa 68	0.705	Central Florida 76 - Tulsa 67	0
Colgate 74 - Lafayette 59	0.864	Colgate 69 - Lafayette 61	7
College of Charleston 72 - Drexel 70	0.558	College of Charleston 79 - Drexel 75	-2
Coppin State 65 - North Carolina Central 68	0.575	Coppin State 74 - North Carolina Central 77	0
Creighton 81 - Georgetown 67	0.817	Creighton 88 - Georgetown 77	3
Davidson 81 - Duquesne 62	0.944	Davidson 72 - Duquesne 61	8
Delaware 75 - James Madison 69	0.703	Delaware 81 - James Madison 60	-15
Delaware State 53 - Norfolk State 75	0.943	Delaware State 66 - Norfolk State 69	-19
Fairfield 69 - Canisius 64	0.685	Fairfield 80 - Canisius 76	1
Hartford 59 - Vermont 77	0.915	Hartford 75 - Vermont 74	-19
Holy Cross 67 - American 64	0.594	Holy Cross 54 - American 60	9
Illinois Chicago 74 - IUPUI 55	0.922	Illinois Chicago 57 - IUPUI 54	16
IPFW 67 - Cleveland State 70	0.593	IPFW 102 - Cleveland State 98	-7
Jackson State 64 - Bethune Cookman 59	0.653	Jackson State 71 - Bethune Cookman 51	-15
Kansas 83 - Oklahoma State 70	0.809	Kansas 76 - Oklahoma State 62	-1
Kansas State 73 - West Virginia 71	0.56	Kansas State 78 - West Virginia 73	-3
Lehigh 72 - Bucknell 67	0.65	Lehigh 86 - Bucknell 77	-4
Marist 68 - Niagara 65	0.558	Marist 77 - Niagara 70	-4
Maryland Eastern Shore 65 - Howard 68	0.623	Maryland Eastern Shore 71 - Howard 77	3
Morgan State 67 - South Carolina State 71	0.63	Morgan State 76 - South Carolina State 66	-14
New Hampshire 66 - UMBC 67	0.507	New Hampshire 68 - UMBC 62	-7
Northern Colorado 71 - Southern Utah 72	0.52	Northern Colorado 100 - Southern Utah 95	-6
Oregon 73 - Washington State 70	0.582	Oregon 62 - Washington State 59	0
Prairie View 71 - Grambling State 68	0.596	Prairie View 71 - Grambling State 70	2
Rhode Island 63 - Dayton 70	0.667	Rhode Island 57 - Dayton 63	-1
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Saint Louis 72	0.53	Saint Bonaventure 83 - Saint Louis 79	-5
Southern Miss 62 - Western Kentucky 77	0.873	Southern Miss 77 - Western Kentucky 87	-5
Texas Southern 68 - Southern 66	0.566	Texas Southern 58 - Southern 70	14
UNC Wilmington 77 - William and Mary 61	0.871	UNC Wilmington 80 - William and Mary 73	9
Virginia Tech 69 - Virginia 66	0.589	Virginia Tech 62 - Virginia 53	-6

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 73 - Northern Illinois 65	0.71	Ball State 58 - Northern Illinois 64	14
Bowling Green 70 - Buffalo 78	0.697	Bowling Green 85 - Buffalo 112	19
Central Michigan 70 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.502	Central Michigan 70 - Eastern Michigan 75	6
Cincinnati 71 - Memphis 74	0.58	Cincinnati 74 - Memphis 81	4
DePaul 73 - Butler 70	0.603	DePaul 71 - Butler 73	5
Duke 79 - Wake Forest 70	0.733	Duke 76 - Wake Forest 74	7
Elon 64 - Hofstra 74	0.75	Elon 64 - Hofstra 97	23
Florida State 74 - Clemson 72	0.549	Florida State 81 - Clemson 80	1
Fordham 61 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.784	Fordham 61 - Virginia Commonwealth 66	-6
Georgia Tech 75 - NC State 73	0.553	Georgia Tech 61 - NC State 76	17
Illinois State 71 - Northern Iowa 77	0.673	Illinois State 70 - Northern Iowa 72	-4
Indiana 71 - Wisconsin 72	0.541	Indiana 69 - Wisconsin 74	4
Longwood 72 - High Point 64	0.721	Longwood 70 - High Point 66	4
Mississippi 73 - South Carolina 72	0.529	Mississippi 74 - South Carolina 77	4
Missouri 69 - Arkansas 79	0.718	Missouri 57 - Arkansas 76	9
Missouri State 79 - Indiana State 64	0.852	Missouri State 79 - Indiana State 70	6
Nevada 80 - San Jose State 66	0.831	Nevada 81 - San Jose State 72	5
New Mexico 71 - Wyoming 81	0.807	New Mexico 75 - Wyoming 66	-19
North Florida 62 - Liberty 73	0.794	North Florida 72 - Liberty 69	-14
Ohio 76 - Miami OH 60	0.878	Ohio 91 - Miami OH 78	3
Ohio State 79 - Minnesota 67	0.834	Ohio State 70 - Minnesota 45	-13
Oklahoma 69 - Texas 71	0.565	Oklahoma 78 - Texas 80	0
Oregon State 67 - Colorado 77	0.763	Oregon State 64 - Colorado 90	16
Penn State 68 - Michigan State 74	0.673	Penn State 62 - Michigan State 58	-10
Portland 88 - Unranked 54		Portland 84 - Unranked 39
Providence 69 - Villanova 73	0.583	Providence 84 - Villanova 89	1
Sacred Heart 64 - Merrimack 66	0.551	Sacred Heart 63 - Merrimack 70	5
Saint Peters 65 - Iona 70	0.675	Saint Peters 61 - Iona 70	4
San Diego State 72 - Utah State 67	0.613	San Diego State 75 - Utah State 56	-14
South Florida 66 - Tulane 73	0.682	South Florida 57 - Tulane 76	12
Southern Illinois 64 - Bradley 68	0.626	Southern Illinois 65 - Bradley 57	-12
Tennessee 74 - Kentucky 75	0.54	Tennessee 76 - Kentucky 63	-14
Texas AM 71 - Florida 73	0.554	Texas AM 56 - Florida 55	-3
Texas Christian 73 - Iowa State 70	0.596	Texas Christian 51 - Iowa State 54	6
Toledo 74 - Kent State 63	0.787	Toledo 59 - Kent State 72	24
UC San Diego 64 - UC Irvine 72	0.688	UC San Diego 50 - UC Irvine 56	-2
Western Michigan 57 - Akron 72	0.861	Western Michigan 61 - Akron 57	-19

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 58 - Boise State 74	0.861	Air Force 59 - Boise State 85	10
Alabama 80 - Mississippi State 73	0.668	Alabama 80 - Mississippi State 75	2
American 56 - Navy 70	0.821	American 46 - Navy 55	-5
Army 64 - Colgate 72	0.702	Army 90 - Colgate 100	2
Auburn 82 - Vanderbilt 66	0.894	Auburn 94 - Vanderbilt 80	2
Binghamton 63 - Albany 64	0.518	Binghamton 67 - Albany 68	0
Cal Baptist 64 - Grand Canyon 71	0.703	Cal Baptist 60 - Grand Canyon 65	-2
Central Arkansas 66 - Bellarmine 74	0.731	Central Arkansas 69 - Bellarmine 79	2
Charleston Southern 61 - UNC Asheville 74	0.82	Charleston Southern 66 - UNC Asheville 85	6
Connecticut 76 - Seton Hall 73	0.618	Connecticut 70 - Seton Hall 65	-2
Drake 77 - Evansville 60	0.865	Drake 73 - Evansville 51	-5
Duquesne 69 - George Washington 70	0.522	Duquesne 52 - George Washington 73	20
Eastern Kentucky 72 - North Alabama 67	0.639	Eastern Kentucky 80 - North Alabama 76	1
Fairfield 70 - Manhattan 65	0.635	Fairfield 67 - Manhattan 74	12
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Kennesaw St 67	0.653	Florida Gulf Coast 82 - Kennesaw St 76	0
Fresno State 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	0.623	Fresno State 57 - Nevada Las Vegas 60	8
Gardner Webb 69 - Winthrop 67	0.572	Gardner Webb 70 - Winthrop 81	13
Hampton 63 - North Carolina AT 68	0.693	Hampton 93 - North Carolina AT 82	-16
Hartford 72 - Maine 61	0.757	Hartford 75 - Maine 65	1
Holy Cross 62 - Boston 72	0.789	Holy Cross 65 - Boston 78	3
Lafayette 63 - Loyola MD 66	0.574	Lafayette 77 - Loyola MD 68	-12
Lipscomb 66 - Jacksonville State 73	0.688	Lipscomb 67 - Jacksonville State 78	4
Louisiana State 83 - Georgia 64	0.901	Louisiana State 84 - Georgia 65	0
Louisville 70 - Miami 77	0.675	Louisville 63 - Miami 70	0
Marquette 86 - Georgetown 68	0.888	Marquette 77 - Georgetown 66	7
Mercer 70 - East Tennessee State 68	0.562	Mercer 65 - East Tennessee State 56	-7
New Hampshire 59 - Vermont 74	0.884	New Hampshire 50 - Vermont 71	6
New Mexico State 78 - Dixie State 60	0.881	New Mexico State 75 - Dixie State 64	7
NJ Tech 64 - UMass Lowell 67	0.604	NJ Tech 59 - UMass Lowell 55	-7
North Carolina 81 - Pittsburgh 66	0.824	North Carolina 67 - Pittsburgh 76	24
Northwestern 72 - Purdue 80	0.736	Northwestern 64 - Purdue 70	-2
Notre Dame 77 - Boston College 63	0.849	Notre Dame 99 - Boston College 95	10
Pepperdine 61 - Gonzaga 92	0.978	Pepperdine 66 - Gonzaga 86	-11
Radford 61 - Campbell 66	0.728	Radford 71 - Campbell 67	-9
Rutgers 69 - Illinois 76	0.644	Rutgers 70 - Illinois 59	-18
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Massachusetts 68	0.749	Saint Bonaventure 83 - Massachusetts 71	-1
Saint Josephs 71 - George Mason 73	0.573	Saint Josephs 70 - George Mason 75	3
Saint Louis 81 - La Salle 63	0.923	Saint Louis 90 - La Salle 64	-8
South Carolina Upstate 70 - Presbyterian 67	0.601	South Carolina Upstate 60 - Presbyterian 55	-2
Stephen F Austin 79 - Chicago State 57	0.918	Stephen F Austin 88 - Chicago State 71	5
Stetson 61 - Jacksonville 67	0.64	Stetson 45 - Jacksonville 67	16
Tarleton State 65 - Utah Valley 69	0.616	Tarleton State 56 - Utah Valley 69	9
Temple 69 - Southern Methodist 75	0.681	Temple 64 - Southern Methodist 57	-13
Tennessee Martin 60 - Morehead State 74	0.848	Tennessee Martin 60 - Morehead State 68	-6
Texas Pan American 66 - Seattle 78	0.843	Texas Pan American 62 - Seattle 102	28
Texas Tech 73 - Baylor 74	0.525	Texas Tech 83 - Baylor 73	-11
The Citadel 68 - Wofford 74	0.689	The Citadel 58 - Wofford 65	1
UMBC 70 - Stony Brook 69	0.517	UMBC 95 - Stony Brook 84	-10
Valparaiso 63 - Loyola Ill 78	0.863	Valparaiso 69 - Loyola Ill 71	-13
Western Carolina 62 - Furman 77	0.837	Western Carolina 85 - Furman 103	3
Xavier 81 - Saint Johns 72	0.741	Xavier 73 - Saint Johns 86	22

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Northern Illinois 57	0.858	Akron 63 - Northern Illinois 66	18
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Rice 66	0.821	Alabama Birmingham 92 - Rice 68	-11
Appalachian State 68 - Troy 65	0.585	Appalachian State 61 - Troy 67	9
Arizona 91 - Oregon State 61	0.965	Arizona 83 - Oregon State 69	16
Arizona State 70 - Oregon 77	0.653	Arizona State 81 - Oregon 57	-31
Belmont 82 - Eastern Illinois 52	0.961	Belmont 81 - Eastern Illinois 57	6
Bryant 76 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.838	Bryant 75 - Central Connecticut State 61	1
Cal State Northridge 65 - Long Beach State 77	0.849	Cal State Northridge 59 - Long Beach State 72	1
California 68 - Colorado 71	0.581	California 62 - Colorado 70	5
Chattanooga 69 - UNC Greensboro 59	0.77	Chattanooga 70 - UNC Greensboro 73	13
Cincinnati 71 - Wichita State 70	0.536	Cincinnati 85 - Wichita State 76	-8
Coastal Carolina 68 - South Alabama 70	0.558	Coastal Carolina 68 - South Alabama 71	1
College of Charleston 76 - James Madison 70	0.669	College of Charleston 63 - James Madison 71	14
DePaul 71 - Creighton 74	0.558	DePaul 59 - Creighton 71	9
Eastern Michigan 65 - Buffalo 76	0.763	Eastern Michigan 69 - Buffalo 83	3
Eastern Washington 66 - Montana State 70	0.622	Eastern Washington 88 - Montana State 86	-6
Elon 66 - Delaware 71	0.648	Elon 62 - Delaware 71	4
Florida Atlantic 62 - North Texas 69	0.7	Florida Atlantic 51 - North Texas 54	-4
Florida International 66 - Middle Tennessee 74	0.751	Florida International 65 - Middle Tennessee 71	-2
Georgia State 71 - Georgia Southern 63	0.722	Georgia State 79 - Georgia Southern 63	-8
High Point 66 - Longwood 70	0.624	High Point 71 - Longwood 78	3
Houston 79 - Central Florida 64	0.809	Houston 70 - Central Florida 52	-3
Idaho 63 - Montana 73	0.714	Idaho 82 - Montana 76	-16
Idaho State 63 - Northern Colorado 74	0.774	Idaho State 61 - Northern Colorado 58	-14
Incarnate Word 66 - Northwestern State 68	0.543	Incarnate Word 64 - Northwestern State 88	22
Iowa 78 - Michigan 75	0.593	Iowa 79 - Michigan 84	8
Louisiana Tech 74 - Texas El Paso 65	0.792	Louisiana Tech 60 - Texas El Paso 63	12
Loyola Marymount 69 - Santa Clara 78	0.753	Loyola Marymount 80 - Santa Clara 84	-5
Marshall 70 - Old Dominion 71	0.532	Marshall 67 - Old Dominion 63	-5
Merrimack 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.738	Merrimack 64 - Fairleigh Dickinson 44	-11
Mt St Marys 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	0.735	Mt St Marys 55 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	18
Murray State 77 - Austin Peay 55	0.934	Murray State 91 - Austin Peay 56	-13
New Mexico 71 - Colorado State 82	0.78	New Mexico 68 - Colorado State 83	4
Nicholls State 73 - Mcneese State 64	0.8	Nicholls State 82 - Mcneese State 73	0
North Dakota 62 - UMKC 71	0.752	North Dakota 65 - UMKC 80	6
North Dakota State 70 - Oral Roberts 69	0.512	North Dakota State 77 - Oral Roberts 59	-17
Omaha 67 - Denver 70	0.589	Omaha 72 - Denver 69	-6
Penn State 72 - Minnesota 68	0.611	Penn State 67 - Minnesota 46	-17
Portland 70 - San Diego 69	0.515	Portland 92 - San Diego 60	-31
Portland State 70 - Northern Arizona 65	0.685	Portland State 68 - Northern Arizona 67	4
Robert Morris 72 - IUPUI 55	0.877	Robert Morris 56 - IUPUI 66	27
Sacred Heart 61 - Wagner 76	0.832	Sacred Heart 67 - Wagner 76	-6
Saint Francis Penn 66 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.606	Saint Francis Penn 63 - LIU Brooklyn 81	13
Saint Marys 70 - San Francisco 67	0.606	Saint Marys 69 - San Francisco 64	-2
Sam Houston State 68 - Abilene Christian 67	0.534	Sam Houston State 75 - Abilene Christian 71	-3
Samford 74 - Virginia Military Institute 73	0.503	Samford 100 - Virginia Military Institute 99	0
San Jose State 68 - Nevada 78	0.757	San Jose State 60 - Nevada 90	20
South Dakota 74 - Saint Thomas 61	0.805	South Dakota 81 - Saint Thomas 60	-8
South Dakota State 80 - Western Illinois 64	0.833	South Dakota State 91 - Western Illinois 66	-9
South Florida 68 - East Carolina 69	0.515	South Florida 57 - East Carolina 65	7
Southern California 79 - Washington 68	0.762	Southern California 79 - Washington 69	1
Southern Miss 69 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.512	Southern Miss 79 - Texas San Antonio 98	20
Stanford 77 - Utah 69	0.739	Stanford 56 - Utah 60	12
Tennessee State 69 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.572	Tennessee State 81 - SIU Edwardsville 65	-13
Tennessee Tech 73 - SE Missouri State 71	0.556	Tennessee Tech 98 - SE Missouri State 94	-2
Texas AM CC 70 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.589	Texas AM CC 74 - Southeast Louisiana 83	12
Texas Arlington 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	0.767	Texas Arlington 85 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	-5
Texas State 70 - Arkansas State 65	0.656	Texas State 84 - Arkansas State 67	-12
UC Riverside 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	0.766	UC Riverside 79 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0
UC San Diego 66 - Hawaii 73	0.662	UC San Diego 53 - Hawaii 65	5
UC Santa Barbara 70 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.566	UC Santa Barbara 58 - Cal State Fullerton 67	12
UCLA 76 - Washington State 67	0.742	UCLA 76 - Washington State 56	-11
UL Monroe 69 - UL Lafayette 71	0.542	UL Monroe 77 - UL Lafayette 78	-1
UNC Wilmington 66 - Towson 70	0.602	UNC Wilmington 55 - Towson 79	20
Weber State 75 - Sacramento State 58	0.888	Weber State 65 - Sacramento State 50	2
Western Kentucky 74 - Charlotte 67	0.695	Western Kentucky 77 - Charlotte 67	-3
William and Mary 62 - Drexel 74	0.809	William and Mary 57 - Drexel 72	3
Youngstown State 72 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.687	Youngstown State 88 - Illinois Chicago 79	-3

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 67 - Princeton 72	0.64	Brown 50 - Princeton 69	14
Dartmouth 66 - Cornell 71	0.636	Dartmouth 71 - Cornell 59	-17
Detroit 65 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.556	Detroit 60 - Northern Kentucky 52	-11
Fairfield 63 - Saint Peters 65	0.585	Fairfield 59 - Saint Peters 70	9
Green Bay 60 - IPFW 69	0.759	Green Bay 55 - IPFW 74	10
Harvard 77 - Columbia 60	0.902	Harvard 62 - Columbia 54	9
Kent State 63 - Ohio 67	0.623	Kent State 75 - Ohio 52	-27
Milwaukee 62 - Cleveland State 73	0.771	Milwaukee 61 - Cleveland State 78	6
Mississippi State 77 - Missouri 68	0.696	Mississippi State 68 - Missouri 49	-10
Monmouth 72 - Rider 63	0.743	Monmouth 60 - Rider 58	7
Nebraska 73 - Maryland 79	0.675	Nebraska 74 - Maryland 90	10
Oakland 73 - Wright State 68	0.618	Oakland 74 - Wright State 78	9
Saint Johns 76 - Butler 71	0.641	Saint Johns 91 - Butler 57	-29
Siena 68 - Marist 65	0.577	Siena 53 - Marist 62	12
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Richmond 67	0.634	Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Richmond 57	-16
Yale 71 - Pennsylvania 67	0.631	Yale 81 - Pennsylvania 72	-5

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 66 - North Texas 67	0.524	Alabama Birmingham 57 - North Texas 58	0
Albany 65 - New Hampshire 63	0.568	Albany 70 - New Hampshire 65	-3
Alcorn State 66 - Jackson State 62	0.646	Alcorn State 61 - Jackson State 60	3
American 63 - Army 69	0.644	American 83 - Army 67	-22
Appalachian State 66 - South Alabama 67	0.522	Appalachian State 69 - South Alabama 51	-19
Arizona 83 - Oregon 69	0.795	Arizona 84 - Oregon 81	11
Arizona State 77 - Oregon State 68	0.738	Arizona State 73 - Oregon State 53	-11
Arkansas 74 - Tennessee 75	0.536	Arkansas 58 - Tennessee 48	-11
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Prairie View 73	0.704	Arkansas Pine Bluff 84 - Prairie View 92	1
Austin Peay 69 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.589	Austin Peay 69 - Tennessee Tech 73	7
Baylor 80 - Texas Christian 68	0.792	Baylor 72 - Texas Christian 62	2
Belmont 82 - SIU Edwardsville 58	0.929	Belmont 73 - SIU Edwardsville 62	13
Bethune Cookman 64 - Alabama AM 59	0.645	Bethune Cookman 60 - Alabama AM 62	7
Boise State 73 - Utah State 68	0.639	Boise State 68 - Utah State 57	-6
Bowling Green 75 - Ball State 74	0.531	Bowling Green 82 - Ball State 91	10
Bradley 78 - Illinois State 66	0.772	Bradley 72 - Illinois State 64	4
Brown 68 - Pennsylvania 69	0.549	Brown 88 - Pennsylvania 89	0
Bryant 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.871	Bryant 105 - Fairleigh Dickinson 93	5
Bucknell 67 - Lafayette 68	0.523	Bucknell 92 - Lafayette 89	-4
Buffalo 79 - Western Michigan 59	0.916	Buffalo 87 - Western Michigan 73	6
Cal State Northridge 64 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.781	Cal State Northridge 73 - Cal State Fullerton 81	-1
California 73 - Utah 70	0.569	California 58 - Utah 60	5
Campbell 69 - North Carolina AT 62	0.739	Campbell 64 - North Carolina AT 63	6
Canisius 66 - Niagara 68	0.564	Canisius 54 - Niagara 65	9
Central Arkansas 74 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0.518	Central Arkansas 83 - Eastern Kentucky 76	-8
Charleston Southern 66 - South Carolina Upstate 74	0.731	Charleston Southern 73 - South Carolina Upstate 78	-3
Chattanooga 75 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.786	Chattanooga 75 - Virginia Military Institute 80	15
Chicago State 61 - Tarleton State 72	0.781	Chicago State 60 - Tarleton State 79	8
Coastal Carolina 69 - Troy 67	0.536	Coastal Carolina 73 - Troy 63	-8
Colgate 71 - Boston 65	0.673	Colgate 72 - Boston 53	-13
College of Charleston 68 - Towson 73	0.642	College of Charleston 77 - Towson 80	-2
Connecticut 75 - Xavier 73	0.569	Connecticut 72 - Xavier 61	-9
Coppin State 63 - Norfolk State 72	0.765	Coppin State 59 - Norfolk State 89	21
Dartmouth 73 - Columbia 62	0.774	Dartmouth 79 - Columbia 50	-18
Davidson 74 - Saint Louis 72	0.55	Davidson 79 - Saint Louis 58	-19
Dixie State 64 - Utah Valley 73	0.731	Dixie State 80 - Utah Valley 75	-14
Duke 81 - Florida State 66	0.852	Duke 88 - Florida State 70	-3
Eastern Michigan 62 - Akron 71	0.736	Eastern Michigan 48 - Akron 67	10
Elon 65 - Drexel 70	0.626	Elon 60 - Drexel 71	6
Evansville 66 - Valparaiso 71	0.637	Evansville 56 - Valparaiso 72	11
Florida 70 - Auburn 78	0.719	Florida 63 - Auburn 62	-9
Florida AM 68 - Alabama State 64	0.651	Florida AM 86 - Alabama State 83	1
Florida Atlantic 71 - Middle Tennessee 70	0.528	Florida Atlantic 79 - Middle Tennessee 87	9
Florida International 70 - Rice 72	0.584	Florida International 80 - Rice 78	-4
Fresno State 64 - San Diego State 66	0.559	Fresno State 44 - San Diego State 61	15
Furman 71 - Wofford 64	0.682	Furman 70 - Wofford 69	6
George Washington 66 - Rhode Island 71	0.653	George Washington 72 - Rhode Island 61	-16
Georgia 72 - Mississippi 77	0.628	Georgia 68 - Mississippi 85	12
Georgia Southern 65 - Georgia State 69	0.609	Georgia Southern 49 - Georgia State 58	5
Gonzaga 87 - Santa Clara 68	0.926	Gonzaga 81 - Santa Clara 69	7
Grand Canyon 66 - New Mexico State 68	0.542	Grand Canyon 66 - New Mexico State 82	14
Harvard 71 - Cornell 70	0.517	Harvard 77 - Cornell 72	-4
Hofstra 76 - Northeastern 61	0.858	Hofstra 76 - Northeastern 73	12
Howard 75 - Morgan State 66	0.763	Howard 68 - Morgan State 66	7
Idaho 66 - Eastern Washington 75	0.728	Idaho 83 - Eastern Washington 80	-12
Idaho State 63 - Sacramento State 62	0.555	Idaho State 75 - Sacramento State 80	6
Incarnate Word 63 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.706	Incarnate Word 92 - Southeast Louisiana 84	-16
Indiana State 66 - Southern Illinois 69	0.583	Indiana State 72 - Southern Illinois 76	1
Iowa State 71 - Oklahoma 72	0.503	Iowa State 75 - Oklahoma 54	-22
Jacksonville 68 - Kennesaw St 61	0.661	Jacksonville 59 - Kennesaw St 56	4
Kentucky 83 - Alabama 73	0.724	Kentucky 90 - Alabama 81	1
Lamar 58 - Stephen F Austin 78	0.904	Lamar 56 - Stephen F Austin 70	-6
Liberty 75 - Stetson 58	0.86	Liberty 88 - Stetson 82	11
Longwood 75 - Hampton 57	0.897	Longwood 76 - Hampton 72	14
Louisiana Tech 81 - Texas San Antonio 60	0.931	Louisiana Tech 95 - Texas San Antonio 71	-3
Louisville 72 - Clemson 73	0.544	Louisville 70 - Clemson 61	-10
Loyola Ill 75 - Drake 65	0.761	Loyola Ill 76 - Drake 83	17
Marshall 71 - Charlotte 73	0.567	Marshall 84 - Charlotte 99	13
Massachusetts 77 - La Salle 71	0.668	Massachusetts 80 - La Salle 74	0
Merrimack 68 - Sacred Heart 62	0.659	Merrimack 80 - Sacred Heart 79	5
Miami 71 - Virginia 68	0.591	Miami 71 - Virginia 74	6
Michigan State 74 - Illinois 75	0.517	Michigan State 74 - Illinois 79	4
Minnesota 73 - Northwestern 74	0.541	Minnesota 77 - Northwestern 60	-18
Mississippi Valley State 59 - Texas Southern 79	0.905	Mississippi Valley State 59 - Texas Southern 79	0
Morehead State 76 - SE Missouri State 62	0.81	Morehead State 84 - SE Missouri State 92	22
Mt St Marys 67 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.58	Mt St Marys 61 - LIU Brooklyn 66	8
Navy 71 - Holy Cross 55	0.884	Navy 50 - Holy Cross 55	21
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Colorado State 76	0.631	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Colorado State 51	-26
New Orleans 73 - Mcneese State 64	0.779	New Orleans 88 - Mcneese State 75	-4
Nicholls State 74 - Houston Baptist 60	0.862	Nicholls State 84 - Houston Baptist 70	0
North Alabama 68 - Lipscomb 69	0.52	North Alabama 72 - Lipscomb 75	2
North Carolina Central 73 - Delaware State 54	0.916	North Carolina Central 84 - Delaware State 79	14
North Dakota 63 - Oral Roberts 78	0.87	North Dakota 73 - Oral Roberts 87	-1
North Dakota State 69 - UMKC 62	0.709	North Dakota State 71 - UMKC 85	21
North Florida 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.607	North Florida 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 64	-9
Northern Illinois 67 - Miami OH 69	0.557	Northern Illinois 75 - Miami OH 78	1
Ohio State 79 - Iowa 76	0.578	Ohio State 62 - Iowa 75	16
Oklahoma State 74 - Kansas State 71	0.579	Oklahoma State 82 - Kansas State 79	0
Pacific 68 - Loyola Marymount 72	0.62	Pacific 69 - Loyola Marymount 68	-5
Pittsburgh 70 - Georgia Tech 69	0.525	Pittsburgh 62 - Georgia Tech 68	7
Portland 76 - Pepperdine 69	0.717	Portland 77 - Pepperdine 74	4
Presbyterian 61 - Gardner Webb 68	0.725	Presbyterian 68 - Gardner Webb 76	1
Radford 65 - High Point 67	0.575	Radford 66 - High Point 64	-4
Robert Morris 70 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.501	Robert Morris 88 - Illinois Chicago 96	9
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Duquesne 62	0.862	Saint Bonaventure 81 - Duquesne 55	-10
Saint Francis Penn 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.553	Saint Francis Penn 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 80	10
Saint Josephs 64 - Dayton 74	0.729	Saint Josephs 62 - Dayton 74	2
Saint Marys 73 - Brigham Young 66	0.691	Saint Marys 69 - Brigham Young 64	2
Samford 67 - UNC Greensboro 68	0.51	Samford 55 - UNC Greensboro 49	-7
Seattle 75 - Cal Baptist 65	0.817	Seattle 67 - Cal Baptist 64	7
Seton Hall 79 - DePaul 70	0.761	Seton Hall 66 - DePaul 64	7
South Carolina 68 - Louisiana State 75	0.69	South Carolina 77 - Louisiana State 75	-9
South Carolina State 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	0.645	South Carolina State 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	-3
South Dakota 71 - Western Illinois 67	0.602	South Dakota 78 - Western Illinois 65	-9
South Dakota State 83 - Saint Thomas 58	0.931	South Dakota State 79 - Saint Thomas 60	6
South Florida 68 - Tulsa 69	0.545	South Florida 57 - Tulsa 65	7
Southern 73 - Grambling State 63	0.752	Southern 57 - Grambling State 61	14
Southern Miss 61 - Texas El Paso 73	0.815	Southern Miss 70 - Texas El Paso 84	2
Southern Utah 67 - Montana State 68	0.504	Southern Utah 71 - Montana State 76	4
Stanford 73 - Colorado 70	0.588	Stanford 53 - Colorado 70	20
Stony Brook 74 - Hartford 65	0.728	Stony Brook 88 - Hartford 82	3
Syracuse 79 - Boston College 68	0.762	Syracuse 76 - Boston College 56	-9
Tennessee Martin 57 - Murray State 80	0.926	Tennessee Martin 60 - Murray State 62	-21
Tennessee State 69 - Eastern Illinois 60	0.745	Tennessee State 63 - Eastern Illinois 49	-5
Texas 71 - Texas Tech 70	0.502	Texas 55 - Texas Tech 61	7
Texas AM CC 73 - Northwestern State 64	0.738	Texas AM CC 83 - Northwestern State 76	2
Texas Arlington 69 - Arkansas State 70	0.531	Texas Arlington 49 - Arkansas State 58	8
Texas Pan American 65 - Sam Houston State 74	0.736	Texas Pan American 61 - Sam Houston State 67	-3
Texas State 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 60	0.882	Texas State 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 50	-2
The Citadel 71 - East Tennessee State 74	0.587	The Citadel 67 - East Tennessee State 77	7
Toledo 83 - Central Michigan 59	0.926	Toledo 68 - Central Michigan 66	22
UC Davis 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	0.764	UC Davis 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 79	8
UC Irvine 69 - Hawaii 65	0.612	UC Irvine 77 - Hawaii 52	-21
UC Riverside 71 - Cal Poly 58	0.837	UC Riverside 78 - Cal Poly 58	-7
UC Santa Barbara 70 - Long Beach State 71	0.522	UC Santa Barbara 84 - Long Beach State 71	-14
UCLA 82 - Washington 67	0.822	UCLA 76 - Washington 50	-11
UL Lafayette 73 - UL Monroe 67	0.651	UL Lafayette 79 - UL Monroe 74	1
UMass Lowell 69 - Binghamton 64	0.663	UMass Lowell 64 - Binghamton 78	19
UNC Asheville 68 - Winthrop 70	0.575	UNC Asheville 79 - Winthrop 84	3
UNC Wilmington 74 - James Madison 68	0.683	UNC Wilmington 78 - James Madison 77	5
Vanderbilt 73 - Texas AM 71	0.581	Vanderbilt 72 - Texas AM 67	-3
Vermont 77 - UMBC 60	0.853	Vermont 86 - UMBC 59	-10
Villanova 86 - Georgetown 62	0.939	Villanova 74 - Georgetown 66	16
Virginia Tech 74 - North Carolina 75	0.506	Virginia Tech 57 - North Carolina 65	7
Wagner 75 - Central Connecticut State 55	0.893	Wagner 78 - Central Connecticut State 68	10
Wake Forest 74 - Notre Dame 71	0.581	Wake Forest 79 - Notre Dame 74	-2
Weber State 75 - Northern Colorado 70	0.628	Weber State 79 - Northern Colorado 83	9
West Virginia 71 - Kansas 81	0.76	West Virginia 58 - Kansas 71	3
Western Carolina 66 - Mercer 73	0.685	Western Carolina 69 - Mercer 65	-11
Western Kentucky 73 - Old Dominion 65	0.701	Western Kentucky 73 - Old Dominion 64	-1
William and Mary 63 - Delaware 75	0.842	William and Mary 69 - Delaware 73	-8
Wyoming 79 - Air Force 59	0.911	Wyoming 75 - Air Force 67	12
Yale 71 - Princeton 70	0.527	Yale 75 - Princeton 81	7
Youngstown State 75 - IUPUI 52	0.938	Youngstown State 74 - IUPUI 61	10

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bellarmine 67 - Jacksonville State 66	0.534	Bellarmine 67 - Jacksonville State 82	16
Butler 65 - Providence 74	0.729	Butler 70 - Providence 71	-8
Central Florida 78 - East Carolina 68	0.757	Central Florida 69 - East Carolina 66	7
Cincinnati 73 - Temple 67	0.664	Cincinnati 71 - Temple 75	10
Creighton 73 - Marquette 75	0.54	Creighton 83 - Marquette 82	-3
Detroit 68 - Wright State 70	0.557	Detroit 80 - Wright State 75	-7
Fordham 67 - George Mason 72	0.651	Fordham 50 - George Mason 47	-8
Green Bay 60 - Cleveland State 74	0.895	Green Bay 67 - Cleveland State 79	-2
Hartford 67 - Stony Brook 72	0.63	Hartford 74 - Stony Brook 70	-9
Iona 75 - Fairfield 61	0.882	Iona 76 - Fairfield 58	-4
Loyola MD 69 - Lehigh 64	0.649	Loyola MD 69 - Lehigh 42	-22
Maine 62 - NJ Tech 67	0.64	Maine 65 - NJ Tech 61	-9
Manhattan 70 - Rider 69	0.523	Manhattan 84 - Rider 78	-5
Marist 72 - Quinnipiac 67	0.612	Marist 67 - Quinnipiac 66	4
Milwaukee 63 - IPFW 68	0.643	Milwaukee 71 - IPFW 81	5
Missouri 70 - Mississippi State 75	0.612	Missouri 56 - Mississippi State 58	-3
Northern Iowa 71 - Missouri State 73	0.556	Northern Iowa 95 - Missouri State 75	-22
Oakland 70 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.623	Oakland 66 - Northern Kentucky 71	10
Purdue 80 - Rutgers 68	0.755	Purdue 84 - Rutgers 72	0
San Jose State 71 - New Mexico 78	0.714	San Jose State 71 - New Mexico 55	-23
Siena 64 - Saint Peters 65	0.521	Siena 84 - Saint Peters 70	-15
Southern California 73 - Washington State 68	0.655	Southern California 62 - Washington State 60	3
Southern Methodist 76 - Memphis 74	0.543	Southern Methodist 73 - Memphis 57	-14
Wichita State 65 - Houston 75	0.741	Wichita State 74 - Houston 76	-8
Wisconsin 75 - Michigan 71	0.596	Wisconsin 77 - Michigan 63	-10

Number of DI Games: 374
Number Correct: 260 = 69.5%
Expected Number Correct: 258.18 = 69%
Average Error: 8.58
Average Signed Error: 0.49

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 59 - Texas Southern 74	0.84	Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 - Texas Southern 70	-13
Bethune Cookman 66 - Alabama State 65	0.529	Bethune Cookman 78 - Alabama State 89	12
Boston College 70 - Florida State 75	0.644	Boston College 71 - Florida State 55	-21
Central Arkansas 64 - Liberty 78	0.808	Central Arkansas 66 - Liberty 85	5
Colgate 76 - American 57	0.893	Colgate 63 - American 49	5
Drake 78 - Indiana State 66	0.805	Drake 74 - Indiana State 58	-4
Florida AM 66 - Alabama AM 59	0.729	Florida AM 63 - Alabama AM 71	15
Howard 73 - Coppin State 65	0.738	Howard 82 - Coppin State 86	12
Illinois State 66 - Loyola Ill 79	0.804	Illinois State 50 - Loyola Ill 59	-4
Lafayette 68 - Holy Cross 63	0.655	Lafayette 84 - Holy Cross 61	-18
Maryland 72 - Penn State 71	0.519	Maryland 67 - Penn State 61	-5
Middle Tennessee 72 - Texas El Paso 65	0.712	Middle Tennessee 77 - Texas El Paso 59	-11
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Prairie View 78	0.797	Mississippi Valley State 64 - Prairie View 69	-7
Morgan State 62 - Norfolk State 73	0.801	Morgan State 85 - Norfolk State 74	-22
North Carolina 80 - Louisville 69	0.762	North Carolina 70 - Louisville 63	4
North Carolina Central 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.759	North Carolina Central 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 79	21
Northern Arizona 64 - Southern Utah 73	0.767	Northern Arizona 48 - Southern Utah 79	22
Northern Colorado 75 - Idaho State 61	0.842	Northern Colorado 77 - Idaho State 70	7
Ohio State 76 - Indiana 69	0.674	Ohio State 80 - Indiana 69	-4
Oklahoma State 71 - Baylor 80	0.715	Oklahoma State 64 - Baylor 66	-7
Pacific 60 - San Francisco 79	0.92	Pacific 71 - San Francisco 104	14
Samford 78 - The Citadel 69	0.723	Samford 76 - The Citadel 74	7
Seattle 68 - New Mexico State 71	0.583	Seattle 55 - New Mexico State 68	10
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Eastern Illinois 60	0.727	SIU Edwardsville 66 - Eastern Illinois 52	-5
South Carolina State 72 - Delaware State 58	0.848	South Carolina State 79 - Delaware State 74	9
Southern Miss 69 - Marshall 76	0.694	Southern Miss 60 - Marshall 74	7
Syracuse 80 - Georgia Tech 70	0.764	Syracuse 74 - Georgia Tech 73	9
Texas Christian 74 - West Virginia 71	0.606	Texas Christian 77 - West Virginia 67	-7
UCLA 81 - Arizona State 65	0.831	UCLA 66 - Arizona State 52	2
Valparaiso 74 - Evansville 63	0.778	Valparaiso 74 - Evansville 69	6

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 60 - Fresno State 71	0.766	Air Force 40 - Fresno State 65	14
Akron 75 - Bowling Green 65	0.747	Akron 82 - Bowling Green 68	-4
Boise State 67 - San Diego State 66	0.528	Boise State 58 - San Diego State 57	0
Cal Poly 65 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.576	Cal Poly 60 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	-1
Connecticut 71 - Villanova 74	0.565	Connecticut 71 - Villanova 69	-5
Dartmouth 62 - Yale 70	0.689	Dartmouth 61 - Yale 66	-3
Eastern Michigan 68 - Northern Illinois 67	0.549	Eastern Michigan 74 - Northern Illinois 72	-1
Florida 71 - Arkansas 75	0.59	Florida 74 - Arkansas 82	4
George Washington 68 - Richmond 75	0.693	George Washington 71 - Richmond 84	6
Iowa 79 - Michigan State 75	0.598	Iowa 86 - Michigan State 60	-22
Kansas 83 - Kansas State 69	0.862	Kansas 102 - Kansas State 83	-5
Kent State 73 - Ball State 62	0.774	Kent State 93 - Ball State 82	0
Miami OH 67 - Buffalo 77	0.748	Miami OH 84 - Buffalo 86	-8
Missouri 64 - Tennessee 79	0.807	Missouri 61 - Tennessee 80	4
Monmouth 70 - Siena 64	0.648	Monmouth 71 - Siena 59	-6
Nevada 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	0.555	Nevada 54 - Nevada Las Vegas 62	6
North Dakota 68 - Saint Thomas 67	0.51	North Dakota 74 - Saint Thomas 84	11
Northeastern 67 - College of Charleston 72	0.633	Northeastern 72 - College of Charleston 83	6
Northwestern 82 - Nebraska 71	0.797	Northwestern 77 - Nebraska 65	-1
Ohio 77 - Central Michigan 58	0.889	Ohio 76 - Central Michigan 50	-7
Pittsburgh 68 - Miami 75	0.702	Pittsburgh 64 - Miami 85	14
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Rhode Island 65	0.731	Saint Bonaventure 73 - Rhode Island 55	-9
Saint Louis 79 - Saint Josephs 66	0.814	Saint Louis 72 - Saint Josephs 61	2
Texas AM 81 - Georgia 69	0.848	Texas AM 91 - Georgia 77	-2
Texas Tech 78 - Oklahoma 67	0.759	Texas Tech 66 - Oklahoma 42	-13
Utah State 81 - New Mexico 70	0.755	Utah State 81 - New Mexico 56	-14
Vanderbilt 74 - Alabama 79	0.638	Vanderbilt 72 - Alabama 74	-3
Western Michigan 59 - Toledo 79	0.898	Western Michigan 50 - Toledo 92	22

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 62 - Appalachian State 73	0.81	Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Appalachian State 78	1
Arkansas State 69 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.544	Arkansas State 69 - Coastal Carolina 74	6
Army 74 - Bucknell 67	0.67	Army 73 - Bucknell 60	-6
Auburn 83 - Mississippi 66	0.864	Auburn 77 - Mississippi 64	4
Bellarmine 73 - Lipscomb 64	0.768	Bellarmine 76 - Lipscomb 73	6
Binghamton 59 - Vermont 75	0.883	Binghamton 49 - Vermont 66	1
Boston 72 - Lafayette 62	0.784	Boston 76 - Lafayette 60	-6
Central Florida 73 - Cincinnati 71	0.535	Central Florida 75 - Cincinnati 61	-12
Chicago State 58 - Grand Canyon 77	0.902	Chicago State 64 - Grand Canyon 85	2
Clemson 72 - Wake Forest 77	0.643	Clemson 80 - Wake Forest 69	-16
Colorado State 76 - Wyoming 72	0.608	Colorado State 61 - Wyoming 55	-2
Dayton 80 - Massachusetts 64	0.826	Dayton 82 - Massachusetts 61	-5
Duquesne 63 - Davidson 80	0.906	Duquesne 50 - Davidson 74	7
East Carolina 72 - South Florida 65	0.691	East Carolina 64 - South Florida 60	3
East Tennessee State 65 - Chattanooga 71	0.683	East Tennessee State 77 - Chattanooga 83	0
Fordham 72 - La Salle 66	0.699	Fordham 60 - La Salle 54	0
Gardner Webb 69 - UNC Asheville 64	0.672	Gardner Webb 60 - UNC Asheville 59	4
Georgia Southern 67 - UL Lafayette 69	0.585	Georgia Southern 69 - UL Lafayette 82	11
Georgia State 74 - UL Monroe 64	0.763	Georgia State 82 - UL Monroe 70	-2
Georgia Tech 67 - Virginia Tech 75	0.731	Georgia Tech 58 - Virginia Tech 62	-4
Hampton 61 - Campbell 68	0.766	Hampton 68 - Campbell 66	-9
Hartford 68 - UMBC 69	0.525	Hartford 85 - UMBC 92	6
Holy Cross 60 - Colgate 74	0.871	Holy Cross 71 - Colgate 78	-7
Indiana State 68 - Northern Iowa 77	0.736	Indiana State 82 - Northern Iowa 88	-3
Iowa State 74 - West Virginia 70	0.612	Iowa State 84 - West Virginia 81	1
Jacksonville 68 - North Florida 61	0.697	Jacksonville 71 - North Florida 39	-25
Jacksonville State 77 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.805	Jacksonville State 81 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0
Kennesaw St 70 - Stetson 65	0.638	Kennesaw St 75 - Stetson 71	1
Kentucky 78 - Louisiana State 69	0.723	Kentucky 71 - Louisiana State 66	4
Lehigh 69 - American 64	0.619	Lehigh 78 - American 61	-12
Liberty 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	0.734	Liberty 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 82	19
Longwood 72 - Radford 60	0.821	Longwood 71 - Radford 66	7
Loyola Ill 80 - Evansville 55	0.936	Loyola Ill 82 - Evansville 31	-26
Maine 59 - Albany 69	0.751	Maine 68 - Albany 72	-6
Mercer 75 - The Citadel 68	0.722	Mercer 67 - The Citadel 71	11
Michigan 74 - Rutgers 70	0.598	Michigan 71 - Rutgers 62	-5
Minnesota 68 - Wisconsin 76	0.736	Minnesota 67 - Wisconsin 68	-7
Missouri State 73 - Bradley 68	0.611	Missouri State 83 - Bradley 67	-11
Navy 65 - Loyola MD 58	0.71	Navy 52 - Loyola MD 50	5
NC State 76 - Boston College 70	0.669	NC State 61 - Boston College 69	14
NJ Tech 63 - New Hampshire 65	0.572	NJ Tech 55 - New Hampshire 83	26
North Alabama 70 - Central Arkansas 69	0.517	North Alabama 72 - Central Arkansas 81	10
North Carolina AT 68 - High Point 67	0.521	North Carolina AT 58 - High Point 78	21
Notre Dame 77 - Syracuse 73	0.606	Notre Dame 79 - Syracuse 69	-6
Presbyterian 71 - Charleston Southern 61	0.821	Presbyterian 68 - Charleston Southern 48	-10
Providence 75 - Xavier 71	0.613	Providence 99 - Xavier 92	-3
Saint Johns 76 - Creighton 75	0.526	Saint Johns 78 - Creighton 81	4
Samford 68 - Furman 75	0.663	Samford 83 - Furman 75	-15
Seton Hall 77 - Butler 66	0.763	Seton Hall 66 - Butler 60	5
South Alabama 68 - Texas State 67	0.52	South Alabama 52 - Texas State 55	4
South Carolina 73 - Mississippi State 74	0.538	South Carolina 66 - Mississippi State 56	-11
Southern Illinois 73 - Illinois State 66	0.693	Southern Illinois 90 - Illinois State 69	-14
Southern Methodist 80 - Tulsa 66	0.815	Southern Methodist 75 - Tulsa 61	0
Texas 74 - Texas Christian 67	0.713	Texas 75 - Texas Christian 66	-2
Towson 76 - James Madison 63	0.835	Towson 84 - James Madison 65	-6
Troy 71 - Texas Arlington 65	0.666	Troy 59 - Texas Arlington 53	0
Tulane 67 - Houston 79	0.777	Tulane 67 - Houston 81	2
UMass Lowell 69 - Stony Brook 70	0.54	UMass Lowell 67 - Stony Brook 50	-18
UNC Greensboro 72 - Western Carolina 60	0.805	UNC Greensboro 73 - Western Carolina 64	3
Valparaiso 69 - Drake 75	0.691	Valparaiso 65 - Drake 71	0
Virginia 66 - Duke 73	0.723	Virginia 61 - Duke 65	-3
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - George Mason 64	0.747	Virginia Commonwealth 72 - George Mason 66	4
Virginia Military Institute 72 - Wofford 71	0.507	Virginia Military Institute 72 - Wofford 83	12
Washington State 75 - Washington 68	0.671	Washington State 78 - Washington 70	-1

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Lamar 58	0.937	Abilene Christian 77 - Lamar 42	-14
Brigham Young 80 - Loyola Marymount 65	0.857	Brigham Young 79 - Loyola Marymount 59	-5
Cal State Fullerton 66 - UC Irvine 67	0.541	Cal State Fullerton 66 - UC Irvine 64	-3
Central Connecticut State 66 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.504	Central Connecticut State 63 - Saint Francis Penn 79	17
Charlotte 73 - Florida International 66	0.705	Charlotte 64 - Florida International 55	-2
Colorado 75 - Arizona State 69	0.645	Colorado 65 - Arizona State 82	23
Delaware 74 - College of Charleston 70	0.651	Delaware 96 - College of Charleston 99	7
Detroit 68 - Cleveland State 70	0.569	Detroit 74 - Cleveland State 67	-9
Dixie State 69 - Cal Baptist 70	0.518	Dixie State 61 - Cal Baptist 71	9
Drexel 70 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.578	Drexel 63 - UNC Wilmington 69	8
Eastern Illinois 54 - Morehead State 73	0.913	Eastern Illinois 46 - Morehead State 82	17
Fairleigh Dickinson 59 - Wagner 78	0.888	Fairleigh Dickinson 88 - Wagner 86	-21
Georgetown 73 - DePaul 77	0.638	Georgetown 65 - DePaul 68	-1
Hawaii 74 - Cal Poly 58	0.89	Hawaii 63 - Cal Poly 54	7
Hofstra 78 - Elon 62	0.85	Hofstra 55 - Elon 81	42
Houston Baptist 66 - Incarnate Word 63	0.603	Houston Baptist 82 - Incarnate Word 68	-11
Illinois 76 - Ohio State 73	0.595	Illinois 83 - Ohio State 86	6
Illinois Chicago 72 - Green Bay 62	0.797	Illinois Chicago 81 - Green Bay 77	6
Indiana 75 - Maryland 70	0.654	Indiana 74 - Maryland 64	-5
IUPUI 57 - Milwaukee 66	0.7	IUPUI 54 - Milwaukee 66	3
LIU Brooklyn 68 - Merrimack 61	0.674	LIU Brooklyn 85 - Merrimack 74	-4
Long Beach State 77 - UC San Diego 65	0.794	Long Beach State 103 - UC San Diego 87	-4
Mcneese State 66 - Texas AM CC 68	0.562	Mcneese State 53 - Texas AM CC 65	10
Memphis 76 - Temple 68	0.711	Memphis 78 - Temple 64	-6
Miami OH 73 - Central Michigan 67	0.665	Miami OH 69 - Central Michigan 83	20
Middle Tennessee 79 - Marshall 66	0.826	Middle Tennessee 74 - Marshall 65	4
Murray State 72 - Belmont 67	0.615	Murray State 76 - Belmont 43	-28
North Texas 79 - Southern Miss 50	0.98	North Texas 85 - Southern Miss 61	5
Northeastern 71 - William and Mary 63	0.712	Northeastern 62 - William and Mary 28	-26
Northern Arizona 66 - Idaho State 62	0.645	Northern Arizona 66 - Idaho State 70	8
Northern Colorado 74 - Eastern Washington 71	0.601	Northern Colorado 76 - Eastern Washington 85	12
Northern Illinois 63 - Buffalo 76	0.797	Northern Illinois 68 - Buffalo 79	-2
Northern Kentucky 73 - Robert Morris 60	0.807	Northern Kentucky 78 - Robert Morris 64	-1
Northwestern State 65 - Nicholls State 74	0.73	Northwestern State 62 - Nicholls State 80	9
Oakland 71 - IPFW 66	0.624	Oakland 70 - IPFW 81	16
Old Dominion 66 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.586	Old Dominion 70 - Florida Atlantic 51	-23
Oral Roberts 70 - South Dakota State 76	0.662	Oral Roberts 102 - South Dakota State 106	-2
Oregon 71 - UCLA 78	0.643	Oregon 68 - UCLA 63	-12
Oregon State 65 - Southern California 82	0.899	Oregon State 91 - Southern California 94	-14
Pacific 67 - Portland 72	0.631	Pacific 69 - Portland 75	1
Pepperdine 68 - Santa Clara 82	0.852	Pepperdine 73 - Santa Clara 89	2
Portland State 67 - Weber State 73	0.69	Portland State 81 - Weber State 75	-12
Quinnipiac 68 - Siena 70	0.557	Quinnipiac 71 - Siena 78	5
Rice 69 - Louisiana Tech 76	0.705	Rice 79 - Louisiana Tech 83	-3
Sacramento State 66 - Idaho 67	0.526	Sacramento State 83 - Idaho 51	-33
Sacred Heart 62 - Mt St Marys 68	0.66	Sacred Heart 77 - Mt St Marys 65	-18
Saint Francis Brooklyn 67 - Bryant 73	0.66	Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Bryant 86	11
Saint Thomas 66 - Denver 67	0.528	Saint Thomas 80 - Denver 91	10
San Diego 59 - Saint Marys 75	0.884	San Diego 46 - Saint Marys 60	-2
San Francisco 70 - Gonzaga 80	0.768	San Francisco 73 - Gonzaga 89	6
SE Missouri State 75 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.642	SE Missouri State 76 - Tennessee Martin 69	-1
SIU Edwardsville 65 - Austin Peay 67	0.535	SIU Edwardsville 64 - Austin Peay 68	2
Southeast Louisiana 68 - New Orleans 71	0.582	Southeast Louisiana 84 - New Orleans 79	-8
Southern Utah 71 - Montana 66	0.623	Southern Utah 82 - Montana 74	-3
Stephen F Austin 69 - Sam Houston State 64	0.62	Stephen F Austin 69 - Sam Houston State 67	3
Tarleton State 75 - Texas Pan American 65	0.748	Tarleton State 75 - Texas Pan American 62	-3
Tennessee Tech 71 - Tennessee State 67	0.617	Tennessee Tech 56 - Tennessee State 92	40
Texas San Antonio 62 - Alabama Birmingham 81	0.894	Texas San Antonio 56 - Alabama Birmingham 68	-7
UC Davis 68 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.532	UC Davis 69 - UC Santa Barbara 76	6
UC Riverside 73 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.829	UC Riverside 79 - Cal State Northridge 57	-10
UMKC 67 - South Dakota 66	0.526	UMKC 72 - South Dakota 63	-8
Utah 68 - Arizona 85	0.896	Utah 77 - Arizona 97	3
Utah Valley 68 - Seattle 69	0.505	Utah Valley 67 - Seattle 52	-16
Western Illinois 76 - Omaha 65	0.744	Western Illinois 88 - Omaha 76	-1
Winthrop 77 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.819	Winthrop 89 - South Carolina Upstate 59	-19
Wright State 72 - Youngstown State 67	0.644	Wright State 84 - Youngstown State 71	-8

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 64 - Coastal Carolina 74	0.762	Arkansas Little Rock 55 - Coastal Carolina 68	3
Arkansas State 67 - Appalachian State 66	0.508	Arkansas State 62 - Appalachian State 60	-1
Georgia Southern 69 - UL Monroe 67	0.561	Georgia Southern 81 - UL Monroe 75	-4
Georgia State 72 - UL Lafayette 67	0.667	Georgia State 65 - UL Lafayette 58	-2
Iona 80 - Canisius 60	0.942	Iona 72 - Canisius 65	13
Marist 72 - Manhattan 67	0.638	Marist 74 - Manhattan 56	-13
Monmouth 68 - Saint Peters 64	0.605	Monmouth 65 - Saint Peters 70	9
Nebraska 72 - Iowa 87	0.852	Nebraska 78 - Iowa 88	-5
Ohio 69 - Akron 61	0.695	Ohio 83 - Akron 91	16
Penn State 73 - Northwestern 69	0.618	Penn State 67 - Northwestern 60	-3
Princeton 74 - Harvard 63	0.78	Princeton 74 - Harvard 67	4
Richmond 72 - Saint Louis 73	0.529	Richmond 68 - Saint Louis 66	-3
Rider 66 - Niagara 67	0.519	Rider 70 - Niagara 68	-3
San Diego State 81 - San Jose State 55	0.927	San Diego State 77 - San Jose State 52	1
South Alabama 73 - Texas Arlington 65	0.727	South Alabama 62 - Texas Arlington 52	-2
Troy 66 - Texas State 68	0.551	Troy 61 - Texas State 66	3

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 82 - South Carolina 73	0.736	Alabama 90 - South Carolina 71	-10
Alabama AM 66 - Alabama State 65	0.511	Alabama AM 80 - Alabama State 65	-14
American 61 - Loyola MD 67	0.637	American 65 - Loyola MD 55	-16
Arkansas 74 - Kentucky 77	0.575	Arkansas 75 - Kentucky 73	-5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Mississippi Valley State 67	0.634	Arkansas Pine Bluff 93 - Mississippi Valley State 79	-9
Ball State 74 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.666	Ball State 75 - Eastern Michigan 64	-4
Baylor 78 - Kansas 77	0.511	Baylor 80 - Kansas 70	-9
Belmont 80 - Tennessee State 59	0.916	Belmont 87 - Tennessee State 67	1
Boston College 70 - Clemson 74	0.622	Boston College 60 - Clemson 70	6
Bowling Green 76 - Western Michigan 67	0.727	Bowling Green 67 - Western Michigan 78	20
Bradley 75 - Valparaiso 65	0.776	Bradley 79 - Valparaiso 55	-14
Brigham Young 83 - Pepperdine 64	0.907	Brigham Young 75 - Pepperdine 59	3
Brown 76 - Columbia 60	0.887	Brown 81 - Columbia 74	9
Bryant 69 - Wagner 72	0.575	Bryant 78 - Wagner 70	-11
Bucknell 65 - Boston 74	0.756	Bucknell 89 - Boston 78	-20
Buffalo 78 - Northern Illinois 61	0.859	Buffalo 70 - Northern Illinois 60	7
California 69 - Stanford 72	0.581	California 53 - Stanford 39	-17
Campbell 65 - Longwood 67	0.572	Campbell 55 - Longwood 60	3
Central Connecticut State 58 - Mt St Marys 65	0.676	Central Connecticut State 46 - Mt St Marys 65	12
Central Michigan 60 - Kent State 73	0.814	Central Michigan 71 - Kent State 73	-11
Charlotte 70 - Florida Atlantic 71	0.531	Charlotte 69 - Florida Atlantic 74	4
Chattanooga 75 - Samford 65	0.75	Chattanooga 70 - Samford 57	-3
Chicago State 57 - New Mexico State 81	0.944	Chicago State 61 - New Mexico State 59	-26
Cincinnati 76 - South Florida 61	0.845	Cincinnati 54 - South Florida 56	17
Colgate 67 - Navy 61	0.664	Colgate 74 - Navy 69	1
Colorado 70 - Arizona 81	0.785	Colorado 79 - Arizona 63	-27
Cornell 69 - Yale 73	0.631	Cornell 71 - Yale 65	-10
Dartmouth 65 - Pennsylvania 70	0.624	Dartmouth 84 - Pennsylvania 70	-19
Davidson 77 - Fordham 62	0.894	Davidson 66 - Fordham 45	-6
Delaware 72 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.616	Delaware 62 - UNC Wilmington 69	11
Delaware State 62 - Morgan State 69	0.687	Delaware State 69 - Morgan State 76	0
Detroit 68 - IPFW 67	0.523	Detroit 78 - IPFW 81	4
Dixie State 65 - Seattle 75	0.738	Dixie State 65 - Seattle 73	-2
Drake 71 - Southern Illinois 65	0.689	Drake 62 - Southern Illinois 60	4
Drexel 73 - College of Charleston 69	0.609	Drexel 80 - College of Charleston 79	3
East Carolina 73 - Tulsa 72	0.527	East Carolina 64 - Tulsa 59	-4
Eastern Illinois 59 - Austin Peay 67	0.729	Eastern Illinois 52 - Austin Peay 64	4
Eastern Kentucky 67 - Bellarmine 73	0.656	Eastern Kentucky 72 - Bellarmine 58	-20
Evansville 60 - Missouri State 78	0.872	Evansville 79 - Missouri State 88	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Jacksonville 66	0.504	Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Jacksonville 69	-6
Georgia 68 - Florida 80	0.801	Georgia 72 - Florida 84	0
Grambling State 67 - Florida AM 63	0.665	Grambling State 73 - Florida AM 79	10
Grand Canyon 68 - Sam Houston State 63	0.643	Grand Canyon 67 - Sam Houston State 41	-21
Hartford 69 - NJ Tech 63	0.658	Hartford 83 - NJ Tech 62	-15
Hawaii 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.827	Hawaii 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 50	0
High Point 70 - Hampton 62	0.754	High Point 88 - Hampton 77	-3
Hofstra 81 - William and Mary 60	0.929	Hofstra 83 - William and Mary 67	5
Holy Cross 66 - Army 68	0.577	Holy Cross 58 - Army 66	6
Houston Baptist 63 - Texas AM CC 69	0.686	Houston Baptist 70 - Texas AM CC 75	-1
Howard 70 - North Carolina Central 67	0.596	Howard 77 - North Carolina Central 67	-7
Illinois Chicago 71 - Milwaukee 65	0.665	Illinois Chicago 71 - Milwaukee 58	-7
Illinois State 75 - Indiana State 72	0.598	Illinois State 86 - Indiana State 66	-17
IUPUI 58 - Green Bay 63	0.657	IUPUI 41 - Green Bay 67	21
Jacksonville State 73 - North Alabama 58	0.885	Jacksonville State 69 - North Alabama 52	-2
James Madison 65 - Towson 74	0.755	James Madison 59 - Towson 95	27
Kansas State 73 - Iowa State 72	0.506	Kansas State 73 - Iowa State 74	2
La Salle 61 - Dayton 78	0.857	La Salle 62 - Dayton 60	-19
Lafayette 68 - Lehigh 66	0.558	Lafayette 58 - Lehigh 78	22
Liberty 74 - Kennesaw St 61	0.798	Liberty 100 - Kennesaw St 93	6
Lipscomb 75 - Central Arkansas 71	0.611	Lipscomb 81 - Central Arkansas 66	-11
LIU Brooklyn 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 62	0.855	LIU Brooklyn 84 - Fairleigh Dickinson 77	9
Louisiana State 78 - Missouri 64	0.805	Louisiana State 75 - Missouri 55	-6
Loyola Marymount 73 - Pacific 66	0.708	Loyola Marymount 90 - Pacific 77	-6
Marquette 79 - Butler 68	0.762	Marquette 64 - Butler 56	3
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Coppin State 64	0.551	Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Coppin State 50	-18
Massachusetts 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 77	0.757	Massachusetts 62 - Virginia Commonwealth 77	4
Mcneese State 70 - Incarnate Word 62	0.721	Mcneese State 67 - Incarnate Word 69	10
Miami 73 - Virginia Tech 72	0.548	Miami 70 - Virginia Tech 71	2
Michigan State 74 - Purdue 78	0.604	Michigan State 68 - Purdue 65	-7
Middle Tennessee 72 - Western Kentucky 70	0.577	Middle Tennessee 69 - Western Kentucky 52	-15
Mississippi 73 - Texas AM 72	0.503	Mississippi 66 - Texas AM 76	11
Mississippi State 75 - Vanderbilt 70	0.65	Mississippi State 74 - Vanderbilt 69	0
NC State 73 - North Carolina 81	0.697	NC State 74 - North Carolina 84	2
Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Boise State 72	0.599	Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Boise State 86	6
New Hampshire 67 - Binghamton 64	0.599	New Hampshire 66 - Binghamton 62	-1
New Mexico 75 - Air Force 68	0.675	New Mexico 69 - Air Force 65	3
Norfolk State 73 - South Carolina State 61	0.808	Norfolk State 63 - South Carolina State 59	8
North Carolina AT 67 - Radford 65	0.582	North Carolina AT 53 - Radford 62	11
North Dakota 60 - North Dakota State 74	0.849	North Dakota 53 - North Dakota State 79	12
North Texas 70 - Louisiana Tech 61	0.781	North Texas 56 - Louisiana Tech 49	2
Northeastern 67 - Elon 65	0.567	Northeastern 54 - Elon 67	15
Northern Arizona 63 - Weber State 72	0.768	Northern Arizona 49 - Weber State 73	15
Northern Colorado 78 - Idaho 67	0.787	Northern Colorado 98 - Idaho 94	7
Northern Iowa 70 - Loyola Ill 73	0.577	Northern Iowa 102 - Loyola Ill 96	-9
Northern Kentucky 69 - Youngstown State 64	0.639	Northern Kentucky 75 - Youngstown State 61	-9
Northwestern State 66 - New Orleans 73	0.706	Northwestern State 87 - New Orleans 77	-17
Notre Dame 78 - Georgia Tech 66	0.841	Notre Dame 90 - Georgia Tech 56	-22
Oakland 71 - Cleveland State 70	0.54	Oakland 65 - Cleveland State 57	-7
Oklahoma 75 - Oklahoma State 73	0.562	Oklahoma 66 - Oklahoma State 62	-2
Old Dominion 70 - Florida International 65	0.626	Old Dominion 83 - Florida International 63	-15
Oral Roberts 73 - South Dakota 68	0.63	Oral Roberts 87 - South Dakota 92	10
Oregon 73 - Southern California 74	0.535	Oregon 69 - Southern California 70	0
Oregon State 63 - UCLA 85	0.93	Oregon State 55 - UCLA 94	17
Portland State 70 - Idaho State 62	0.739	Portland State 73 - Idaho State 69	4
Prairie View 70 - Alcorn State 69	0.547	Prairie View 69 - Alcorn State 72	4
Providence 75 - Creighton 70	0.635	Providence 72 - Creighton 51	-16
Rhode Island 74 - Duquesne 62	0.801	Rhode Island 70 - Duquesne 54	-4
Rice 78 - Southern Miss 64	0.854	Rice 77 - Southern Miss 72	9
Rutgers 70 - Wisconsin 73	0.59	Rutgers 61 - Wisconsin 66	2
Sacramento State 62 - Eastern Washington 71	0.78	Sacramento State 81 - Eastern Washington 75	-15
Sacred Heart 69 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.532	Sacred Heart 80 - Saint Francis Penn 68	-11
Saint Francis Brooklyn 63 - Merrimack 62	0.526	Saint Francis Brooklyn 52 - Merrimack 72	21
Saint Josephs 68 - Saint Bonaventure 76	0.699	Saint Josephs 52 - Saint Bonaventure 54	-6
Saint Marys 68 - Gonzaga 76	0.727	Saint Marys 67 - Gonzaga 57	-18
Saint Thomas 70 - Omaha 67	0.579	Saint Thomas 95 - Omaha 74	-18
San Diego 63 - San Francisco 76	0.84	San Diego 62 - San Francisco 78	3
Santa Clara 79 - Portland 68	0.788	Santa Clara 102 - Portland 89	-2
SE Missouri State 63 - Murray State 80	0.842	SE Missouri State 68 - Murray State 70	-15
SIU Edwardsville 60 - Morehead State 72	0.803	SIU Edwardsville 77 - Morehead State 70	-19
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Gardner Webb 71	0.654	South Carolina Upstate 72 - Gardner Webb 70	-8
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Nicholls State 71	0.607	Southeast Louisiana 83 - Nicholls State 81	-5
Southern 72 - Bethune Cookman 57	0.842	Southern 84 - Bethune Cookman 87	18
Stephen F Austin 72 - Abilene Christian 67	0.629	Stephen F Austin 73 - Abilene Christian 71	3
Stetson 67 - North Florida 69	0.557	Stetson 69 - North Florida 74	3
Stony Brook 69 - Albany 66	0.606	Stony Brook 66 - Albany 50	-13
Syracuse 72 - Duke 80	0.723	Syracuse 72 - Duke 97	17
Tarleton State 74 - Lamar 58	0.887	Tarleton State 57 - Lamar 49	8
Tennessee 75 - Auburn 74	0.518	Tennessee 67 - Auburn 62	-4
Tennessee Tech 73 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.675	Tennessee Tech 88 - Tennessee Martin 75	-7
Texas Christian 68 - Texas Tech 75	0.692	Texas Christian 69 - Texas Tech 66	-10
Texas El Paso 66 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.715	Texas El Paso 66 - Alabama Birmingham 69	-4
Texas Southern 67 - Jackson State 58	0.747	Texas Southern 81 - Jackson State 66	-6
The Citadel 66 - Furman 79	0.812	The Citadel 59 - Furman 94	22
Toledo 80 - Miami OH 63	0.866	Toledo 88 - Miami OH 73	2
UC Davis 74 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.814	UC Davis 68 - Cal State Northridge 49	-9
UC Irvine 71 - Long Beach State 66	0.616	UC Irvine 77 - Long Beach State 72	0
UC Riverside 67 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.514	UC Riverside 90 - UC Santa Barbara 97	8
UC San Diego 66 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.683	UC San Diego 81 - Cal State Fullerton 76	-12
UMBC 75 - Maine 60	0.805	UMBC 93 - Maine 79	1
UMKC 64 - South Dakota State 74	0.756	UMKC 75 - South Dakota State 86	1
UNC Asheville 70 - Presbyterian 62	0.739	UNC Asheville 98 - Presbyterian 96	6
Utah 72 - Arizona State 73	0.509	Utah 61 - Arizona State 63	1
Utah State 73 - Colorado State 74	0.54	Utah State 55 - Colorado State 66	10
Utah Valley 73 - Cal Baptist 65	0.77	Utah Valley 63 - Cal Baptist 54	-1
Vermont 77 - UMass Lowell 58	0.927	Vermont 62 - UMass Lowell 61	18
Virginia 72 - Florida State 66	0.655	Virginia 63 - Florida State 64	7
Wake Forest 79 - Louisville 68	0.785	Wake Forest 99 - Louisville 77	-11
Washington 70 - Washington State 73	0.577	Washington 78 - Washington State 70	-11
West Virginia 69 - Texas 74	0.641	West Virginia 81 - Texas 82	-4
Western Carolina 69 - Virginia Military Institute 77	0.728	Western Carolina 82 - Virginia Military Institute 73	-17
Western Illinois 72 - Denver 65	0.688	Western Illinois 77 - Denver 83	13
Winthrop 81 - Charleston Southern 58	0.959	Winthrop 92 - Charleston Southern 86	17
Wofford 70 - Mercer 64	0.686	Wofford 74 - Mercer 67	-1
Wright State 76 - Robert Morris 63	0.807	Wright State 71 - Robert Morris 61	3
Wyoming 79 - Nevada 70	0.733	Wyoming 74 - Nevada 61	-4
Xavier 75 - Seton Hall 73	0.566	Xavier 66 - Seton Hall 82	18

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
DePaul 74 - Saint Johns 78	0.609	DePaul 99 - Saint Johns 94	-9
George Mason 75 - George Washington 67	0.718	George Mason 69 - George Washington 62	1
Georgetown 68 - Connecticut 83	0.895	Georgetown 77 - Connecticut 86	-6
Harvard 65 - Princeton 72	0.686	Harvard 73 - Princeton 74	-6
Houston 77 - Southern Methodist 67	0.721	Houston 75 - Southern Methodist 61	-4
Manhattan 70 - Fairfield 68	0.556	Manhattan 62 - Fairfield 66	6
Maryland 71 - Ohio State 77	0.664	Maryland 75 - Ohio State 60	-21
Memphis 76 - Wichita State 70	0.672	Memphis 81 - Wichita State 57	-18
Michigan 73 - Illinois 75	0.546	Michigan 85 - Illinois 93	6
Minnesota 69 - Indiana 73	0.61	Minnesota 79 - Indiana 84	1
Montana 63 - Montana State 67	0.612	Montana 80 - Montana State 74	-10
Penn State 80 - Nebraska 67	0.811	Penn State 70 - Nebraska 93	36
Quinnipiac 73 - Canisius 68	0.653	Quinnipiac 67 - Canisius 72	10
Rider 63 - Iona 76	0.862	Rider 61 - Iona 67	-7
Saint Peters 68 - Niagara 63	0.656	Saint Peters 63 - Niagara 36	-22
Siena 66 - Monmouth 68	0.547	Siena 70 - Monmouth 59	-13
Temple 73 - Tulane 71	0.555	Temple 75 - Tulane 70	-3
UNC Greensboro 68 - East Tennessee State 64	0.623	UNC Greensboro 69 - East Tennessee State 73	8

Number of DI Games: 368
Number Correct: 270 = 73.3%
Expected Number Correct: 256.717 = 69.7%
Average Error: 8.73
Average Signed Error: -0.75

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Coppin State 72 - Delaware State 59	0.802	Coppin State 80 - Delaware State 67	0
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.567	Fairleigh Dickinson 66 - Central Connecticut State 67	3
Fordham 73 - Massachusetts 70	0.563	Fordham 85 - Massachusetts 73	-9
Fresno State 76 - New Mexico 66	0.781	Fresno State 71 - New Mexico 68	7
Grambling State 69 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.713	Grambling State 63 - Bethune Cookman 69	13
Hofstra 77 - College of Charleston 71	0.661	Hofstra 89 - College of Charleston 84	1
Howard 72 - South Carolina State 66	0.681	Howard 72 - South Carolina State 62	-4
Iowa 82 - Northwestern 71	0.799	Iowa 82 - Northwestern 61	-10
Morgan State 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.513	Morgan State 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 48	-33
Norfolk State 70 - North Carolina Central 61	0.737	Norfolk State 75 - North Carolina Central 46	-20
North Carolina 81 - Syracuse 74	0.67	North Carolina 88 - Syracuse 79	-2
Oregon State 66 - Washington State 78	0.782	Oregon State 97 - Washington State 103	-6
Prairie View 67 - Jackson State 63	0.61	Prairie View 53 - Jackson State 59	10
Southern 71 - Florida AM 61	0.77	Southern 58 - Florida AM 49	1
Texas 72 - Baylor 74	0.587	Texas 61 - Baylor 68	5
Texas Southern 69 - Alcorn State 62	0.706	Texas Southern 72 - Alcorn State 75	10
Texas Tech 79 - Kansas State 67	0.81	Texas Tech 73 - Kansas State 68	7
Towson 75 - Delaware 64	0.789	Towson 69 - Delaware 57	-1
Washington 68 - UCLA 80	0.772	Washington 66 - UCLA 77	-1
Wyoming 68 - San Diego State 70	0.565	Wyoming 66 - San Diego State 73	5

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 71 - San Jose State 66	0.624	Air Force 58 - San Jose State 54	1
Albany 68 - Hartford 65	0.584	Albany 55 - Hartford 67	15
Ball State 65 - Akron 70	0.628	Ball State 60 - Akron 79	14
Boise State 79 - Nevada 66	0.83	Boise State 73 - Nevada 67	7
Bowling Green 66 - Ohio 78	0.787	Bowling Green 80 - Ohio 77	-15
Buffalo 71 - Toledo 73	0.546	Buffalo 76 - Toledo 92	14
Central Arkansas 71 - Stetson 70	0.538	Central Arkansas 74 - Stetson 73	0
Central Michigan 69 - Miami OH 70	0.505	Central Michigan 61 - Miami OH 75	13
Detroit 72 - Green Bay 59	0.826	Detroit 79 - Green Bay 62	-4
Eastern Michigan 69 - Western Michigan 65	0.625	Eastern Michigan 60 - Western Michigan 71	15
Florida Gulf Coast 75 - North Alabama 61	0.857	Florida Gulf Coast 81 - North Alabama 72	5
Georgia 65 - Tennessee 85	0.921	Georgia 68 - Tennessee 75	-13
Holy Cross 65 - American 64	0.515	Holy Cross 63 - American 69	7
Houston 80 - Cincinnati 63	0.863	Houston 71 - Cincinnati 53	-1
Kennesaw St 73 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.596	Kennesaw St 82 - Eastern Kentucky 73	-5
Kentucky 83 - Mississippi 65	0.874	Kentucky 83 - Mississippi 72	7
Lafayette 71 - Bucknell 68	0.597	Lafayette 81 - Bucknell 82	4
Lipscomb 70 - North Florida 69	0.518	Lipscomb 74 - North Florida 65	-8
Maine 54 - Vermont 80	0.954	Maine 56 - Vermont 75	-7
Manhattan 64 - Saint Peters 71	0.674	Manhattan 51 - Saint Peters 73	15
Michigan 74 - Michigan State 73	0.533	Michigan 87 - Michigan State 70	-16
Milwaukee 67 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.581	Milwaukee 69 - Illinois Chicago 80	9
Montana State 70 - Southern Utah 67	0.592	Montana State 69 - Southern Utah 53	-13
Northern Illinois 59 - Kent State 71	0.806	Northern Illinois 55 - Kent State 63	-4
Oakland 76 - IUPUI 51	0.943	Oakland 69 - IUPUI 58	14
Ohio State 85 - Nebraska 68	0.87	Ohio State 70 - Nebraska 78	25
Oklahoma 76 - West Virginia 72	0.607	Oklahoma 72 - West Virginia 59	-9
Pittsburgh 63 - Duke 80	0.89	Pittsburgh 56 - Duke 86	13
Richmond 69 - Dayton 71	0.535	Richmond 53 - Dayton 55	0
South Carolina 77 - Missouri 68	0.7	South Carolina 73 - Missouri 69	5
Southern California 74 - Arizona 79	0.644	Southern California 71 - Arizona 91	15
Stony Brook 72 - NJ Tech 62	0.759	Stony Brook 87 - NJ Tech 68	-9
Texas Christian 72 - Kansas 80	0.731	Texas Christian 74 - Kansas 64	-18
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.885	UC Santa Barbara 70 - Cal State Northridge 61	7
UMass Lowell 66 - New Hampshire 65	0.545	UMass Lowell 48 - New Hampshire 64	17
UMBC 72 - Binghamton 65	0.663	UMBC 78 - Binghamton 68	-3
Vanderbilt 71 - Florida 73	0.549	Vanderbilt 78 - Florida 82	2
Villanova 75 - Providence 70	0.653	Villanova 76 - Providence 74	3
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Saint Bonaventure 67	0.605	Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Saint Bonaventure 51	-19
Virginia Tech 76 - Louisville 65	0.771	Virginia Tech 75 - Louisville 43	-21
Wisconsin 74 - Purdue 75	0.528	Wisconsin 70 - Purdue 67	-4
Youngstown State 73 - Robert Morris 64	0.747	Youngstown State 73 - Robert Morris 77	13

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Texas AM 72	0.757	Alabama 71 - Texas AM 87	25
Arkansas 76 - Louisiana State 71	0.624	Arkansas 77 - Louisiana State 76	4
Austin Peay 70 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.59	Austin Peay 51 - Tennessee Tech 78	30
Boston College 69 - Miami 77	0.721	Boston College 70 - Miami 81	3
Bryant 77 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.879	Bryant 73 - Central Connecticut State 59	4
Cal Baptist 76 - Chicago State 62	0.873	Cal Baptist 62 - Chicago State 53	5
Campbell 66 - Presbyterian 62	0.661	Campbell 75 - Presbyterian 72	1
Charlotte 67 - Middle Tennessee 72	0.651	Charlotte 60 - Middle Tennessee 56	-9
Clemson 77 - Georgia Tech 68	0.732	Clemson 68 - Georgia Tech 65	6
Creighton 71 - Connecticut 74	0.582	Creighton 64 - Connecticut 62	-5
Davidson 77 - George Mason 67	0.804	Davidson 73 - George Mason 62	-1
DePaul 72 - Marquette 78	0.682	DePaul 91 - Marquette 80	-17
Florida State 70 - Notre Dame 75	0.622	Florida State 74 - Notre Dame 70	-9
George Washington 74 - Duquesne 66	0.716	George Washington 98 - Duquesne 93	3
High Point 71 - Hampton 64	0.716	High Point 84 - Hampton 77	0
Indiana 73 - Rutgers 69	0.6	Indiana 63 - Rutgers 66	7
Iowa State 75 - Oklahoma State 71	0.605	Iowa State 36 - Oklahoma State 53	21
La Salle 71 - Saint Josephs 73	0.564	La Salle 49 - Saint Josephs 48	-3
Lamar 68 - Texas Pan American 72	0.638	Lamar 63 - Texas Pan American 67	0
LIU Brooklyn 76 - Sacred Heart 65	0.766	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Sacred Heart 75	4
Louisiana Tech 73 - Old Dominion 65	0.718	Louisiana Tech 67 - Old Dominion 54	-5
Marshall 70 - Western Kentucky 77	0.694	Marshall 72 - Western Kentucky 86	7
Maryland 76 - Minnesota 70	0.669	Maryland 84 - Minnesota 73	-5
Massachusetts 72 - Fordham 71	0.556	Massachusetts 81 - Fordham 73	-7
Mississippi State 71 - Auburn 78	0.714	Mississippi State 68 - Auburn 81	6
Mt St Marys 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	0.675	Mt St Marys 78 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 48	-23
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Wyoming 73	0.512	Nevada Las Vegas 64 - Wyoming 57	-8
New Mexico State 72 - Stephen F Austin 65	0.659	New Mexico State 71 - Stephen F Austin 73	9
New Orleans 73 - Houston Baptist 62	0.805	New Orleans 75 - Houston Baptist 74	10
Radford 67 - North Carolina AT 64	0.595	Radford 71 - North Carolina AT 78	10
Rhode Island 68 - Saint Louis 73	0.663	Rhode Island 74 - Saint Louis 80	1
Saint Johns 76 - Xavier 77	0.507	Saint Johns 81 - Xavier 66	-16
Seton Hall 84 - Georgetown 67	0.905	Seton Hall 73 - Georgetown 68	12
Southern Miss 59 - Alabama Birmingham 82	0.938	Southern Miss 68 - Alabama Birmingham 81	-10
Tennessee State 69 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.565	Tennessee State 77 - SIU Edwardsville 62	-12
Texas AM CC 65 - Nicholls State 67	0.571	Texas AM CC 75 - Nicholls State 86	9
Tulsa 69 - Wichita State 74	0.648	Tulsa 62 - Wichita State 72	5
UNC Asheville 76 - Charleston Southern 61	0.869	UNC Asheville 78 - Charleston Southern 79	16
Wagner 74 - Saint Francis Penn 59	0.822	Wagner 82 - Saint Francis Penn 53	-14
Wake Forest 82 - NC State 70	0.804	Wake Forest 101 - NC State 76	-13

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 76 - Dixie State 65	0.764	Abilene Christian 80 - Dixie State 64	-5
Alabama AM 62 - Grambling State 65	0.573	Alabama AM 71 - Grambling State 63	-11
Alabama State 64 - Southern 73	0.72	Alabama State 77 - Southern 67	-19
Alcorn State 77 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.903	Alcorn State 72 - Mississippi Valley State 69	14
Arizona 83 - Stanford 66	0.888	Arizona 81 - Stanford 69	5
Arizona State 73 - California 67	0.642	Arizona State 71 - California 44	-21
Arkansas State 74 - UL Monroe 66	0.702	Arkansas State 81 - UL Monroe 77	4
Bellarmine 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 69	0.505	Bellarmine 81 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	-12
Boston 69 - Loyola MD 62	0.682	Boston 76 - Loyola MD 64	-5
Cal Poly 56 - UC Irvine 73	0.87	Cal Poly 65 - UC Irvine 54	-28
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - UC San Diego 69	0.513	Cal State Bakersfield 70 - UC San Diego 72	1
Cal State Fullerton 70 - UC Riverside 66	0.612	Cal State Fullerton 72 - UC Riverside 75	7
Canisius 66 - Marist 70	0.62	Canisius 78 - Marist 67	-15
Cleveland State 76 - Robert Morris 62	0.858	Cleveland State 83 - Robert Morris 67	-2
Coastal Carolina 72 - Georgia Southern 64	0.743	Coastal Carolina 64 - Georgia Southern 70	14
Colgate 80 - Bucknell 62	0.896	Colgate 96 - Bucknell 68	-10
Coppin State 69 - Morgan State 68	0.536	Coppin State 59 - Morgan State 63	5
Eastern Washington 74 - Northern Arizona 62	0.839	Eastern Washington 69 - Northern Arizona 62	5
Fairfield 68 - Rider 66	0.58	Fairfield 65 - Rider 59	-4
Florida International 67 - Florida Atlantic 73	0.676	Florida International 51 - Florida Atlantic 71	14
Grand Canyon 69 - Utah Valley 65	0.607	Grand Canyon 68 - Utah Valley 57	-7
Hartford 68 - UMass Lowell 67	0.516	Hartford 73 - UMass Lowell 83	11
Houston 79 - Temple 62	0.87	Houston 84 - Temple 46	-21
Idaho 69 - Portland State 72	0.603	Idaho 68 - Portland State 79	8
Idaho State 61 - Southern Utah 73	0.809	Idaho State 71 - Southern Utah 79	-4
Illinois 78 - Penn State 67	0.751	Illinois 60 - Penn State 55	6
Illinois State 75 - Indiana State 72	0.575	Illinois State 58 - Indiana State 53	-2
IPFW 74 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.764	IPFW 78 - Illinois Chicago 72	2
Jackson State 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	0.755	Jackson State 87 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 79	2
Jacksonville 73 - Central Arkansas 61	0.789	Jacksonville 79 - Central Arkansas 69	2
Jacksonville State 73 - Kennesaw St 63	0.765	Jacksonville State 78 - Kennesaw St 67	-1
Kansas 82 - Texas Christian 70	0.819	Kansas 72 - Texas Christian 68	8
Lehigh 69 - Army 68	0.526	Lehigh 91 - Army 77	-13
Liberty 77 - Lipscomb 63	0.834	Liberty 52 - Lipscomb 47	9
Long Beach State 75 - UC Davis 68	0.721	Long Beach State 68 - UC Davis 65	4
Loyola Marymount 74 - Pacific 68	0.68	Loyola Marymount 86 - Pacific 66	-14
Manhattan 65 - Iona 78	0.836	Manhattan 74 - Iona 72	-15
Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Delaware State 55	0.86	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Delaware State 59	11
Michigan 77 - Iowa 78	0.53	Michigan 71 - Iowa 82	10
Monmouth 75 - Quinnipiac 65	0.757	Monmouth 75 - Quinnipiac 72	7
Montana 71 - Northern Colorado 69	0.549	Montana 66 - Northern Colorado 75	11
Montana State 72 - Sacramento State 57	0.858	Montana State 75 - Sacramento State 69	9
Morehead State 74 - Tennessee Tech 64	0.76	Morehead State 73 - Tennessee Tech 56	-7
Navy 69 - American 54	0.829	Navy 71 - American 64	8
Niagara 65 - Siena 68	0.559	Niagara 74 - Siena 52	-25
Norfolk State 71 - Howard 65	0.673	Norfolk State 83 - Howard 61	-16
North Carolina Central 68 - South Carolina State 65	0.602	North Carolina Central 67 - South Carolina State 62	-2
Northern Kentucky 69 - Detroit 63	0.635	Northern Kentucky 77 - Detroit 59	-12
Ohio State 76 - Michigan State 72	0.597	Ohio State 80 - Michigan State 69	-7
Sam Houston State 68 - Tarleton State 63	0.634	Sam Houston State 69 - Tarleton State 50	-14
San Diego 73 - Pepperdine 68	0.655	San Diego 74 - Pepperdine 67	-2
San Diego State 70 - Fresno State 61	0.727	San Diego State 65 - Fresno State 64	8
SE Missouri State 72 - Tennessee State 71	0.524	SE Missouri State 79 - Tennessee State 55	-23
South Alabama 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 61	0.859	South Alabama 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 75	19
South Florida 62 - Memphis 78	0.842	South Florida 64 - Memphis 73	-7
Southern Methodist 77 - Cincinnati 68	0.715	Southern Methodist 76 - Cincinnati 71	4
Texas El Paso 72 - Rice 68	0.647	Texas El Paso 70 - Rice 67	1
Texas San Antonio 55 - North Texas 76	0.939	Texas San Antonio 48 - North Texas 59	-10
Tulane 73 - Central Florida 74	0.504	Tulane 82 - Central Florida 67	-16
UC Santa Barbara 69 - Hawaii 66	0.595	UC Santa Barbara 67 - Hawaii 60	-4
UL Lafayette 71 - Texas Arlington 69	0.567	UL Lafayette 67 - Texas Arlington 64	-1
Valparaiso 73 - Evansville 64	0.724	Valparaiso 81 - Evansville 59	-13
Washington 72 - Oregon 77	0.607	Washington 78 - Oregon 67	-16
Washington State 80 - Oregon State 64	0.849	Washington State 71 - Oregon State 67	12
Wright State 71 - Oakland 69	0.561	Wright State 75 - Oakland 63	-10

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Central Michigan 59	0.817	Akron 57 - Central Michigan 56	13
Belmont 72 - Morehead State 65	0.685	Belmont 51 - Morehead State 53	9
Brigham Young 79 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.832	Brigham Young 85 - Loyola Marymount 60	-12
Drake 70 - Southern Illinois 65	0.632	Drake 65 - Southern Illinois 52	-8
East Tennessee State 75 - The Citadel 69	0.691	East Tennessee State 76 - The Citadel 84	14
Gardner Webb 66 - Campbell 62	0.639	Gardner Webb 54 - Campbell 53	3
Kent State 69 - Buffalo 68	0.531	Kent State 70 - Buffalo 65	-4
Longwood 73 - North Carolina AT 62	0.797	Longwood 79 - North Carolina AT 65	-3
Loyola Ill 72 - Bradley 66	0.64	Loyola Ill 66 - Bradley 50	-10
Mercer 72 - Western Carolina 66	0.678	Mercer 81 - Western Carolina 53	-22
Miami OH 72 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.606	Miami OH 76 - Eastern Michigan 63	-9
Missouri State 78 - Valparaiso 66	0.81	Missouri State 67 - Valparaiso 58	3
Murray State 81 - SE Missouri State 61	0.855	Murray State 88 - SE Missouri State 74	6
Northern Illinois 60 - Ohio 73	0.826	Northern Illinois 58 - Ohio 57	-14
Northern Iowa 80 - Illinois State 69	0.755	Northern Iowa 78 - Illinois State 65	-2
Portland 71 - San Diego 69	0.546	Portland 73 - San Diego 55	-16
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Richmond 70	0.605	Saint Bonaventure 72 - Richmond 65	-3
San Jose State 64 - Utah State 80	0.835	San Jose State 52 - Utah State 75	7
South Carolina Upstate 75 - Charleston Southern 64	0.783	South Carolina Upstate 72 - Charleston Southern 62	1
Toledo 84 - Bowling Green 65	0.88	Toledo 96 - Bowling Green 56	-21
Western Michigan 66 - Ball State 72	0.644	Western Michigan 63 - Ball State 64	-5
Winthrop 74 - High Point 66	0.744	Winthrop 68 - High Point 51	-9

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Tarleton State 65	0.674	Abilene Christian 61 - Tarleton State 56	1
Alabama AM 60 - Southern 68	0.71	Alabama AM 49 - Southern 50	-7
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.679	Alabama Birmingham 87 - Louisiana Tech 74	-8
Alabama State 66 - Grambling State 69	0.583	Alabama State 78 - Grambling State 75	-6
Alcorn State 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.844	Alcorn State 100 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 77	-11
Appalachian State 70 - Georgia Southern 62	0.764	Appalachian State 73 - Georgia Southern 60	-5
Arizona 84 - California 63	0.9	Arizona 89 - California 61	-7
Arizona State 72 - Stanford 69	0.584	Arizona State 65 - Stanford 56	-6
Auburn 82 - South Carolina 68	0.852	Auburn 82 - South Carolina 71	3
Baylor 79 - Iowa State 68	0.771	Baylor 75 - Iowa State 68	4
Bryant 71 - Mt St Marys 63	0.698	Bryant 70 - Mt St Marys 69	7
Butler 63 - Villanova 77	0.808	Butler 59 - Villanova 78	5
Cal Poly 66 - UC San Diego 70	0.624	Cal Poly 80 - UC San Diego 76	-8
Cal State Bakersfield 59 - UC Irvine 71	0.806	Cal State Bakersfield 61 - UC Irvine 66	-7
Cal State Fullerton 71 - UC Davis 66	0.666	Cal State Fullerton 62 - UC Davis 59	2
Cal State Northridge 62 - Hawaii 72	0.81	Cal State Northridge 62 - Hawaii 84	12
Canisius 66 - Siena 70	0.637	Canisius 67 - Siena 64	-7
Chattanooga 78 - The Citadel 63	0.858	Chattanooga 71 - The Citadel 66	10
Clemson 70 - Virginia Tech 72	0.569	Clemson 63 - Virginia Tech 59	-6
Colorado State 72 - Boise State 71	0.522	Colorado State 71 - Boise State 68	-2
Columbia 65 - Cornell 78	0.827	Columbia 64 - Cornell 78	1
Connecticut 80 - DePaul 68	0.866	Connecticut 75 - DePaul 68	5
Creighton 72 - Seton Hall 73	0.514	Creighton 60 - Seton Hall 65	4
Dayton 70 - Davidson 69	0.531	Dayton 82 - Davidson 76	-5
Duke 81 - North Carolina 72	0.731	Duke 81 - North Carolina 94	22
Duquesne 70 - La Salle 71	0.544	Duquesne 76 - La Salle 85	8
Eastern Washington 73 - Portland State 67	0.7	Eastern Washington 83 - Portland State 75	-2
Florida 70 - Kentucky 78	0.715	Florida 63 - Kentucky 71	0
Florida AM 67 - Bethune Cookman 61	0.687	Florida AM 84 - Bethune Cookman 73	-5
Florida Atlantic 75 - Florida International 65	0.771	Florida Atlantic 84 - Florida International 76	2
Florida State 77 - NC State 71	0.665	Florida State 89 - NC State 76	-7
Fordham 70 - George Washington 67	0.582	Fordham 70 - George Washington 66	-1
Furman 74 - Mercer 64	0.752	Furman 80 - Mercer 66	-4
George Mason 79 - Massachusetts 70	0.729	George Mason 80 - Massachusetts 83	12
Georgia State 69 - Arkansas State 67	0.574	Georgia State 65 - Arkansas State 62	-1
Georgia Tech 72 - Boston College 70	0.552	Georgia Tech 82 - Boston College 78	-2
Grand Canyon 76 - Dixie State 61	0.832	Grand Canyon 70 - Dixie State 53	-2
Harvard 67 - Dartmouth 63	0.631	Harvard 54 - Dartmouth 76	26
Houston Baptist 67 - Mcneese State 66	0.505	Houston Baptist 149 - Mcneese State 144	-4
Idaho 69 - Northern Arizona 67	0.574	Idaho 78 - Northern Arizona 69	-7
Incarnate Word 60 - Texas AM CC 68	0.718	Incarnate Word 68 - Texas AM CC 77	1
Iona 80 - Quinnipiac 63	0.915	Iona 79 - Quinnipiac 61	-1
Jackson State 73 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.836	Jackson State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 69	8
Jacksonville State 65 - Jacksonville 61	0.608	Jacksonville State 51 - Jacksonville 54	7
Kansas 79 - Texas 71	0.713	Kansas 70 - Texas 63	1
Kansas State 74 - Oklahoma 73	0.518	Kansas State 71 - Oklahoma 78	8
Lamar 61 - Cal Baptist 74	0.878	Lamar 66 - Cal Baptist 78	-1
Liberty 71 - Bellarmine 63	0.739	Liberty 50 - Bellarmine 53	11
Long Beach State 73 - UC Riverside 68	0.664	Long Beach State 73 - UC Riverside 72	4
Longwood 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.717	Longwood 79 - South Carolina Upstate 70	0
Louisiana State 77 - Alabama 75	0.544	Louisiana State 80 - Alabama 77	-1
Louisville 66 - Virginia 70	0.634	Louisville 61 - Virginia 71	6
Marquette 81 - Saint Johns 75	0.656	Marquette 85 - Saint Johns 77	-2
Mississippi 72 - Vanderbilt 73	0.521	Mississippi 61 - Vanderbilt 63	1
Missouri 78 - Georgia 72	0.662	Missouri 79 - Georgia 69	-4
Missouri State 73 - Drake 71	0.559	Missouri State 78 - Drake 79	3
Montana 69 - Sacramento State 59	0.745	Montana 71 - Sacramento State 72	11
Montana State 73 - Northern Colorado 67	0.704	Montana State 87 - Northern Colorado 85	4
Murray State 72 - Morehead State 61	0.765	Murray State 71 - Morehead State 67	7
Nevada 66 - San Diego State 75	0.727	Nevada 78 - San Diego State 79	-8
New Mexico 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 78	0.664	New Mexico 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	-15
New Mexico State 71 - Utah Valley 65	0.678	New Mexico State 62 - Utah Valley 46	-10
Niagara 66 - Marist 68	0.548	Niagara 83 - Marist 52	-33
Nicholls State 70 - New Orleans 66	0.64	Nicholls State 92 - New Orleans 85	-3
North Dakota State 71 - Denver 61	0.778	North Dakota State 82 - Denver 62	-10
Northern Iowa 70 - Loyola Ill 74	0.611	Northern Iowa 43 - Loyola Ill 66	19
Northwestern State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 73	0.606	Northwestern State 80 - Southeast Louisiana 85	1
Notre Dame 77 - Pittsburgh 63	0.828	Notre Dame 78 - Pittsburgh 54	-10
Oklahoma State 69 - Texas Tech 77	0.696	Oklahoma State 52 - Texas Tech 51	-9
Old Dominion 65 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.636	Old Dominion 68 - Middle Tennessee 64	-10
Pennsylvania 69 - Princeton 74	0.634	Pennsylvania 70 - Princeton 93	18
Purdue 79 - Indiana 70	0.74	Purdue 69 - Indiana 67	7
Rider 66 - Monmouth 70	0.626	Rider 74 - Monmouth 65	-13
Saint Josephs 69 - Rhode Island 70	0.528	Saint Josephs 70 - Rhode Island 60	-11
Saint Louis 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.51	Saint Louis 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 65	-5
Saint Peters 69 - Fairfield 60	0.754	Saint Peters 57 - Fairfield 41	-7
Samford 67 - UNC Greensboro 68	0.527	Samford 66 - UNC Greensboro 64	-3
San Francisco 74 - Brigham Young 71	0.602	San Francisco 75 - Brigham Young 63	-9
Santa Clara 79 - Portland 70	0.763	Santa Clara 91 - Portland 67	-15
Seattle 79 - Chicago State 59	0.919	Seattle 74 - Chicago State 66	12
South Dakota State 86 - Omaha 59	0.937	South Dakota State 87 - Omaha 79	19
Southern Miss 64 - Charlotte 76	0.819	Southern Miss 67 - Charlotte 70	-9
Syracuse 76 - Miami 77	0.527	Syracuse 72 - Miami 75	2
Tennessee 76 - Arkansas 72	0.614	Tennessee 78 - Arkansas 74	0
Texas AM 72 - Mississippi State 73	0.504	Texas AM 67 - Mississippi State 64	-4
Texas El Paso 58 - North Texas 69	0.838	Texas El Paso 70 - North Texas 68	-13
Texas Pan American 65 - Stephen F Austin 78	0.818	Texas Pan American 63 - Stephen F Austin 93	17
Texas San Antonio 69 - Rice 75	0.674	Texas San Antonio 82 - Rice 71	-17
Texas Southern 72 - Prairie View 64	0.723	Texas Southern 78 - Prairie View 77	7
Texas State 72 - UL Lafayette 65	0.724	Texas State 72 - UL Lafayette 79	14
Troy 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	0.817	Troy 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	6
UCLA 77 - Southern California 70	0.693	UCLA 75 - Southern California 68	0
Utah 71 - Colorado 76	0.627	Utah 71 - Colorado 84	8
Wagner 72 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.661	Wagner 82 - LIU Brooklyn 62	-14
Washington 81 - Oregon State 69	0.767	Washington 78 - Oregon State 67	1
Washington State 71 - Oregon 72	0.519	Washington State 94 - Oregon 74	-21
Weber State 71 - Southern Utah 70	0.523	Weber State 70 - Southern Utah 80	11
West Virginia 73 - Texas Christian 74	0.533	West Virginia 70 - Texas Christian 64	-7
Western Kentucky 79 - Marshall 68	0.786	Western Kentucky 78 - Marshall 69	2
Wichita State 76 - East Carolina 67	0.771	Wichita State 70 - East Carolina 62	1
William and Mary 63 - Northeastern 69	0.667	William and Mary 63 - Northeastern 68	-1
Winthrop 69 - Gardner Webb 67	0.589	Winthrop 76 - Gardner Webb 67	-7
Wofford 73 - Virginia Military Institute 68	0.645	Wofford 68 - Virginia Military Institute 66	3
Wyoming 71 - Fresno State 67	0.645	Wyoming 68 - Fresno State 64	0
Xavier 83 - Georgetown 68	0.871	Xavier 97 - Georgetown 75	-7
Yale 72 - Brown 64	0.746	Yale 74 - Brown 65	-1

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 66 - Georgia State 67	0.521	Appalachian State 66 - Georgia State 71	4
Chattanooga 68 - Wofford 65	0.611	Chattanooga 79 - Wofford 56	-20
Colgate 76 - Lehigh 62	0.823	Colgate 81 - Lehigh 61	-6
Drake 68 - Loyola Ill 73	0.636	Drake 58 - Loyola Ill 64	1
Drexel 69 - Delaware 70	0.513	Drexel 56 - Delaware 66	9
Furman 75 - Samford 67	0.694	Furman 71 - Samford 68	5
Hartford 67 - Albany 66	0.533	Hartford 61 - Albany 49	-11
Hofstra 76 - College of Charleston 72	0.611	Hofstra 76 - College of Charleston 92	20
Illinois 79 - Iowa 77	0.563	Illinois 74 - Iowa 72	0
Longwood 69 - Winthrop 71	0.538	Longwood 79 - Winthrop 58	-23
Memphis 70 - Houston 76	0.628	Memphis 75 - Houston 61	-20
Michigan State 77 - Maryland 70	0.679	Michigan State 77 - Maryland 67	-3
Navy 65 - Boston 62	0.607	Navy 85 - Boston 80	-2
New Hampshire 68 - Binghamton 63	0.651	New Hampshire 69 - Binghamton 72	8
Northwestern 75 - Minnesota 71	0.616	Northwestern 75 - Minnesota 62	-9
Ohio State 77 - Michigan 72	0.599	Ohio State 69 - Michigan 75	11
Oral Roberts 76 - Western Illinois 69	0.678	Oral Roberts 80 - Western Illinois 68	-5
Rutgers 72 - Penn State 67	0.603	Rutgers 59 - Penn State 58	4
Southern Methodist 79 - Tulane 70	0.725	Southern Methodist 74 - Tulane 68	3
Temple 74 - South Florida 61	0.821	Temple 75 - South Florida 47	-15
Towson 74 - Northeastern 58	0.844	Towson 68 - Northeastern 61	9
Troy 70 - UL Lafayette 68	0.573	Troy 57 - UL Lafayette 66	11
Tulsa 69 - Central Florida 75	0.647	Tulsa 73 - Central Florida 72	-7
UMBC 70 - UMass Lowell 67	0.597	UMBC 93 - UMass Lowell 85	-5
UMKC 66 - South Dakota 67	0.522	UMKC 61 - South Dakota 74	12
UNC Wilmington 71 - Elon 64	0.658	UNC Wilmington 75 - Elon 58	-10
Vermont 78 - NJ Tech 53	0.948	Vermont 98 - NJ Tech 59	-14
Wisconsin 85 - Nebraska 67	0.892	Wisconsin 73 - Nebraska 74	19

Number of DI Games: 323
Number Correct: 243 = 75.2%
Expected Number Correct: 223.001 = 69%
Average Error: 8.45
Average Signed Error: -0.8

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Chattanooga 70 - Furman 69	0.507	Chattanooga 64 - Furman 63	0
Cleveland State 70 - Wright State 71	0.517	Cleveland State 67 - Wright State 82	14
Georgia State 71 - UL Lafayette 68	0.602	Georgia State 80 - UL Lafayette 71	-6
Gonzaga 80 - San Francisco 70	0.77	Gonzaga 81 - San Francisco 71	0
IPFW 66 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.542	IPFW 43 - Northern Kentucky 57	13
North Dakota State 70 - Oral Roberts 69	0.519	North Dakota State 92 - Oral Roberts 72	-19
Saint Marys 75 - Santa Clara 67	0.724	Saint Marys 75 - Santa Clara 72	5
South Dakota State 75 - South Dakota 66	0.745	South Dakota State 83 - South Dakota 60	-14
Towson 73 - Delaware 65	0.741	Towson 56 - Delaware 69	21
UNC Wilmington 73 - College of Charleston 72	0.527	UNC Wilmington 60 - College of Charleston 57	-2

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bellarmine 63 - Jacksonville 62	0.514	Bellarmine 77 - Jacksonville 72	-4
Bryant 69 - Wagner 70	0.512	Bryant 70 - Wagner 43	-28
Cal Baptist 76 - Texas Pan American 67	0.771	Cal Baptist 81 - Texas Pan American 80	8
Cal State Northridge 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.605	Cal State Northridge 45 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	11
Clemson 78 - NC State 71	0.693	Clemson 70 - NC State 64	1
Fairfield 68 - Canisius 66	0.537	Fairfield 72 - Canisius 50	-20
Florida International 71 - Marshall 73	0.551	Florida International 62 - Marshall 74	10
Gonzaga 75 - Saint Marys 67	0.708	Gonzaga 82 - Saint Marys 69	-5
Louisville 72 - Georgia Tech 71	0.524	Louisville 84 - Georgia Tech 74	-9
Manhattan 69 - Rider 70	0.541	Manhattan 67 - Rider 79	11
Marist 72 - Quinnipiac 68	0.595	Marist 52 - Quinnipiac 77	29
Northern Kentucky 68 - Wright State 67	0.505	Northern Kentucky 71 - Wright State 72	2
Pittsburgh 69 - Boston College 70	0.506	Pittsburgh 46 - Boston College 66	19
South Dakota State 74 - North Dakota State 65	0.743	South Dakota State 75 - North Dakota State 69	3
Texas San Antonio 72 - Southern Miss 68	0.63	Texas San Antonio 64 - Southern Miss 67	7
UC Davis 70 - Cal Poly 62	0.757	UC Davis 63 - Cal Poly 53	-2
UNC Wilmington 70 - Delaware 69	0.531	UNC Wilmington 55 - Delaware 59	5
Utah Valley 77 - Chicago State 59	0.894	Utah Valley 69 - Chicago State 47	-4

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Utah Valley 69	0.52	Abilene Christian 82 - Utah Valley 74	-9
Alcorn State 69 - Prairie View 67	0.602	Alcorn State 64 - Prairie View 63	1
Arizona State 72 - Stanford 68	0.583	Arizona State 70 - Stanford 71	5
Charlotte 73 - Rice 69	0.617	Charlotte 61 - Rice 73	16
Colgate 68 - Navy 61	0.692	Colgate 74 - Navy 58	-9
Eastern Washington 73 - Northern Arizona 62	0.824	Eastern Washington 78 - Northern Arizona 75	8
Florida Atlantic 79 - Southern Miss 61	0.883	Florida Atlantic 86 - Southern Miss 59	-9
Florida State 75 - Syracuse 76	0.512	Florida State 57 - Syracuse 96	38
Fresno State 77 - San Jose State 60	0.892	Fresno State 69 - San Jose State 67	15
Houston Baptist 68 - Incarnate Word 64	0.601	Houston Baptist 74 - Incarnate Word 64	-6
Howard 72 - Coppin State 65	0.683	Howard 57 - Coppin State 59	9
Iona 76 - Rider 63	0.854	Iona 70 - Rider 71	14
Kansas State 76 - West Virginia 75	0.505	Kansas State 67 - West Virginia 73	7
La Salle 69 - Saint Josephs 72	0.605	La Salle 63 - Saint Josephs 56	-10
Louisiana Tech 79 - Marshall 67	0.824	Louisiana Tech 77 - Marshall 67	2
Missouri 70 - Mississippi 73	0.575	Missouri 72 - Mississippi 60	-15
Nevada 78 - New Mexico 75	0.572	Nevada 79 - New Mexico 72	-4
Norfolk State 76 - Delaware State 53	0.925	Norfolk State 74 - Delaware State 66	15
Northwestern 79 - Nebraska 74	0.632	Northwestern 71 - Nebraska 69	3
Northwestern State 71 - Mcneese State 70	0.518	Northwestern State 67 - Mcneese State 80	14
Oregon 83 - Oregon State 68	0.804	Oregon 86 - Oregon State 72	1
Penn State 72 - Minnesota 68	0.591	Penn State 60 - Minnesota 51	-5
Portland State 70 - Idaho State 63	0.718	Portland State 66 - Idaho State 52	-7
Rhode Island 74 - Duquesne 64	0.776	Rhode Island 79 - Duquesne 77	8
Sacramento State 68 - Idaho 66	0.552	Sacramento State 57 - Idaho 54	-1
Saint Johns 80 - DePaul 74	0.651	Saint Johns 92 - DePaul 73	-13
Saint Peters 68 - Fairfield 60	0.733	Saint Peters 77 - Fairfield 63	-6
Sam Houston State 69 - Cal Baptist 65	0.627	Sam Houston State 65 - Cal Baptist 35	-26
Seton Hall 83 - Georgetown 67	0.887	Seton Hall 57 - Georgetown 53	12
Texas El Paso 67 - Old Dominion 66	0.541	Texas El Paso 74 - Old Dominion 64	-9
Texas Southern 66 - Jackson State 60	0.674	Texas Southern 54 - Jackson State 50	2
UMBC 73 - Hartford 68	0.637	UMBC 80 - Hartford 60	-15
Utah State 77 - Air Force 62	0.825	Utah State 83 - Air Force 56	-12
Vanderbilt 81 - Georgia 70	0.824	Vanderbilt 86 - Georgia 51	-24
Vermont 77 - Binghamton 57	0.929	Vermont 74 - Binghamton 42	-12
Virginia 72 - Louisville 64	0.727	Virginia 51 - Louisville 50	7
Virginia Tech 73 - Clemson 68	0.613	Virginia Tech 76 - Clemson 75	4
Wake Forest 80 - Boston College 67	0.798	Wake Forest 77 - Boston College 82	18
Washington 76 - Utah 73	0.59	Washington 82 - Utah 70	-9
Washington State 73 - California 65	0.697	Washington State 66 - California 59	1
Xavier 76 - Butler 68	0.694	Xavier 82 - Butler 89	15

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 67 - Buffalo 69	0.553	Akron 70 - Buffalo 68	-4
Alabama 80 - Vanderbilt 74	0.684	Alabama 76 - Vanderbilt 82	12
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Florida Atlantic 67	0.692	Alabama Birmingham 80 - Florida Atlantic 66	-6
Arizona 83 - Stanford 66	0.889	Arizona 84 - Stanford 80	13
Baylor 80 - Oklahoma 70	0.754	Baylor 67 - Oklahoma 72	15
Boise State 78 - Nevada 67	0.792	Boise State 71 - Nevada 69	9
Cal State Fullerton 70 - UC Davis 67	0.609	Cal State Fullerton 73 - UC Davis 55	-15
Central Florida 75 - South Florida 63	0.772	Central Florida 60 - South Florida 58	10
Cincinnati 75 - East Carolina 69	0.675	Cincinnati 74 - East Carolina 63	-5
Colorado 74 - Oregon 73	0.511	Colorado 80 - Oregon 69	-10
Colorado State 75 - Utah State 71	0.617	Colorado State 53 - Utah State 51	2
Connecticut 74 - Seton Hall 72	0.565	Connecticut 62 - Seton Hall 52	-8
Creighton 73 - Marquette 75	0.544	Creighton 74 - Marquette 63	-13
Duke 83 - Syracuse 70	0.802	Duke 88 - Syracuse 79	4
Florida AM 63 - Alabama AM 61	0.577	Florida AM 56 - Alabama AM 61	7
Fordham 67 - George Mason 71	0.654	Fordham 54 - George Mason 49	-9
George Washington 74 - Massachusetts 76	0.543	George Washington 88 - Massachusetts 99	9
Grand Canyon 69 - Sam Houston State 63	0.651	Grand Canyon 71 - Sam Houston State 66	1
Hawaii 67 - UC Riverside 66	0.534	Hawaii 68 - UC Riverside 67	0
Iowa 82 - Northwestern 71	0.775	Iowa 112 - Northwestern 76	-25
Kansas 85 - West Virginia 70	0.859	Kansas 87 - West Virginia 63	-9
Kent State 73 - Miami OH 62	0.789	Kent State 85 - Miami OH 75	1
Long Beach State 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.876	Long Beach State 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	2
Louisiana State 78 - Missouri 65	0.805	Louisiana State 76 - Missouri 68	5
Miami 79 - Boston College 67	0.802	Miami 71 - Boston College 69	10
Michigan 75 - Indiana 72	0.571	Michigan 69 - Indiana 74	8
Michigan State 76 - Maryland 72	0.603	Michigan State 76 - Maryland 72	0
Middle Tennessee 70 - Texas El Paso 66	0.646	Middle Tennessee 66 - Texas El Paso 59	-3
Monmouth 68 - Niagara 66	0.564	Monmouth 61 - Niagara 58	-1
Montana State 71 - Sacramento State 58	0.828	Montana State 83 - Sacramento State 61	-9
Morgan State 68 - South Carolina State 66	0.537	Morgan State 80 - South Carolina State 77	-1
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Wyoming 72	0.501	Nevada Las Vegas 56 - Wyoming 59	2
New Orleans 72 - Mcneese State 65	0.738	New Orleans 82 - Mcneese State 78	3
North Carolina 73 - Virginia 69	0.615	North Carolina 63 - Virginia 43	-16
North Carolina Central 65 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.573	North Carolina Central 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	-9
North Texas 75 - Rice 59	0.896	North Texas 68 - Rice 50	-2
Northern Colorado 73 - Eastern Washington 72	0.529	Northern Colorado 68 - Eastern Washington 67	0
Notre Dame 71 - Virginia Tech 70	0.506	Notre Dame 80 - Virginia Tech 87	8
Ohio 74 - Ball State 65	0.735	Ohio 77 - Ball State 67	-1
Ohio State 75 - Penn State 68	0.672	Ohio State 68 - Penn State 71	10
Providence 77 - Butler 65	0.801	Providence 65 - Butler 61	8
Richmond 73 - Rhode Island 66	0.696	Richmond 64 - Rhode Island 59	2
Saint Johns 72 - Villanova 80	0.703	Saint Johns 65 - Villanova 66	-7
Saint Louis 80 - La Salle 65	0.873	Saint Louis 71 - La Salle 51	-5
San Diego State 70 - Fresno State 63	0.699	San Diego State 53 - Fresno State 46	0
Siena 72 - Quinnipiac 68	0.621	Siena 71 - Quinnipiac 77	10
South Carolina 72 - Mississippi State 74	0.55	South Carolina 51 - Mississippi State 73	20
Southern 69 - Grambling State 62	0.7	Southern 58 - Grambling State 60	9
Southern California 78 - Washington 70	0.697	Southern California 65 - Washington 61	4
Southern Utah 74 - Portland State 66	0.734	Southern Utah 65 - Portland State 77	20
Stephen F Austin 72 - Abilene Christian 68	0.594	Stephen F Austin 62 - Abilene Christian 76	18
Texas 73 - Texas Christian 70	0.616	Texas 60 - Texas Christian 65	8
Texas AM 72 - Florida 73	0.541	Texas AM 83 - Florida 80	-4
Texas AM CC 70 - Houston Baptist 63	0.723	Texas AM CC 75 - Houston Baptist 60	-8
Texas Tech 75 - Iowa State 67	0.698	Texas Tech 72 - Iowa State 41	-23
Toledo 80 - Central Michigan 60	0.88	Toledo 72 - Central Michigan 71	19
UC Irvine 67 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.511	UC Irvine 69 - UC Santa Barbara 78	10
UCLA 77 - Washington State 67	0.743	UCLA 75 - Washington State 65	0
Weber State 69 - Montana 66	0.589	Weber State 68 - Montana 56	-9
Western Kentucky 71 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.546	Western Kentucky 57 - Louisiana Tech 59	1
Wichita State 76 - Tulsa 68	0.722	Wichita State 67 - Tulsa 73	14

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 67 - Alabama AM 60	0.698	Alcorn State 69 - Alabama AM 64	2
Arizona 81 - Colorado 69	0.77	Arizona 82 - Colorado 72	2
Arkansas 75 - Louisiana State 73	0.566	Arkansas 79 - Louisiana State 67	-10
Auburn 80 - Texas AM 69	0.819	Auburn 62 - Texas AM 67	16
Boise State 73 - Wyoming 69	0.651	Boise State 68 - Wyoming 61	-3
Cal State Fullerton 67 - Hawaii 68	0.516	Cal State Fullerton 58 - Hawaii 46	-13
Colorado State 70 - San Diego State 71	0.526	Colorado State 58 - San Diego State 63	4
Davidson 76 - Fordham 63	0.87	Davidson 74 - Fordham 56	-5
Dayton 79 - Massachusetts 66	0.802	Dayton 75 - Massachusetts 72	10
Duke 79 - Miami 71	0.726	Duke 80 - Miami 76	4
Houston 79 - Cincinnati 63	0.834	Houston 69 - Cincinnati 56	3
Illinois 77 - Indiana 70	0.659	Illinois 63 - Indiana 65	9
Kansas 82 - Texas Christian 71	0.791	Kansas 75 - Texas Christian 62	-2
Kent State 67 - Ohio 66	0.523	Kent State 67 - Ohio 61	-5
Kentucky 81 - Vanderbilt 68	0.865	Kentucky 77 - Vanderbilt 71	7
Long Beach State 72 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.508	Long Beach State 67 - UC Santa Barbara 64	-2
Memphis 78 - Central Florida 70	0.694	Memphis 85 - Central Florida 69	-8
Middle Tennessee 68 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.637	Middle Tennessee 98 - Alabama Birmingham 102	-1
Monmouth 71 - Rider 65	0.644	Monmouth 72 - Rider 68	2
Montana State 70 - Weber State 66	0.608	Montana State 69 - Weber State 66	1
New Mexico State 68 - Grand Canyon 66	0.551	New Mexico State 75 - Grand Canyon 70	-3
Nicholls State 69 - Texas AM CC 63	0.675	Nicholls State 64 - Texas AM CC 71	13
Norfolk State 73 - Morgan State 61	0.751	Norfolk State 72 - Morgan State 63	3
North Carolina 75 - Virginia Tech 72	0.561	North Carolina 59 - Virginia Tech 72	16
North Carolina Central 68 - Coppin State 65	0.599	North Carolina Central 73 - Coppin State 79	9
North Texas 69 - Louisiana Tech 63	0.703	North Texas 36 - Louisiana Tech 42	12
Northern Colorado 74 - Portland State 69	0.673	Northern Colorado 86 - Portland State 79	-2
Providence 74 - Creighton 70	0.623	Providence 58 - Creighton 85	31
Purdue 78 - Penn State 67	0.772	Purdue 69 - Penn State 61	3
Rutgers 71 - Iowa 78	0.672	Rutgers 74 - Iowa 84	3
Saint Bonaventure 72 - Saint Louis 73	0.531	Saint Bonaventure 56 - Saint Louis 57	0
Saint Peters 73 - Quinnipiac 63	0.774	Saint Peters 64 - Quinnipiac 52	-2
Seattle 70 - Abilene Christian 69	0.533	Seattle 76 - Abilene Christian 78	3
Southeast Louisiana 68 - New Orleans 69	0.524	Southeast Louisiana 74 - New Orleans 65	-10
Southern Methodist 79 - Tulsa 66	0.806	Southern Methodist 83 - Tulsa 58	-12
Temple 72 - Tulane 73	0.512	Temple 60 - Tulane 69	8
Tennessee 77 - Mississippi State 67	0.761	Tennessee 72 - Mississippi State 59	-3
Texas Southern 70 - Grambling State 61	0.734	Texas Southern 73 - Grambling State 54	-10
Texas Tech 76 - Oklahoma 69	0.686	Texas Tech 56 - Oklahoma 55	6
Toledo 72 - Akron 64	0.693	Toledo 62 - Akron 70	16
UCLA 76 - Southern California 70	0.681	UCLA 69 - Southern California 59	-4
Villanova 75 - Connecticut 70	0.63	Villanova 63 - Connecticut 60	2
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Richmond 67	0.646	Virginia Commonwealth 64 - Richmond 75	16
Wisconsin 75 - Michigan State 72	0.585	Wisconsin 63 - Michigan State 69	9

GAMES OF 3-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.631	Alabama Birmingham 82 - Louisiana Tech 73	-5
Alcorn State 64 - Texas Southern 67	0.597	Alcorn State 62 - Texas Southern 87	22
Arizona 78 - UCLA 75	0.583	Arizona 84 - UCLA 76	-5
Arkansas 78 - Texas AM 71	0.721	Arkansas 64 - Texas AM 82	25
Boise State 68 - San Diego State 69	0.524	Boise State 53 - San Diego State 52	-2
Davidson 74 - Saint Louis 72	0.553	Davidson 84 - Saint Louis 69	-13
Dayton 72 - Richmond 67	0.628	Dayton 64 - Richmond 68	9
Duke 76 - Virginia Tech 68	0.707	Duke 67 - Virginia Tech 82	23
Houston 80 - Tulane 66	0.819	Houston 86 - Tulane 66	-6
Iowa 79 - Indiana 72	0.674	Iowa 80 - Indiana 77	4
Kansas 78 - Texas Tech 74	0.61	Kansas 74 - Texas Tech 65	-5
Kent State 65 - Akron 63	0.569	Kent State 55 - Akron 75	22
Long Beach State 72 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.587	Long Beach State 71 - Cal State Fullerton 72	3
Montana State 73 - Northern Colorado 68	0.657	Montana State 87 - Northern Colorado 66	-16
New Mexico State 73 - Abilene Christian 66	0.679	New Mexico State 66 - Abilene Christian 52	-7
Norfolk State 74 - Coppin State 59	0.834	Norfolk State 72 - Coppin State 57	0
Princeton 76 - Cornell 67	0.732	Princeton 77 - Cornell 73	5
Purdue 78 - Michigan State 72	0.659	Purdue 75 - Michigan State 70	1
Saint Peters 67 - Monmouth 64	0.582	Saint Peters 60 - Monmouth 54	-3
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Texas AM CC 67	0.516	Southeast Louisiana 65 - Texas AM CC 73	9
Southern Methodist 73 - Memphis 75	0.545	Southern Methodist 63 - Memphis 70	5
Tennessee 73 - Kentucky 75	0.545	Tennessee 69 - Kentucky 62	-9
Vermont 77 - UMBC 62	0.835	Vermont 82 - UMBC 43	-24
Villanova 76 - Creighton 67	0.711	Villanova 54 - Creighton 48	3
Yale 72 - Pennsylvania 68	0.636	Yale 67 - Pennsylvania 61	-2

GAMES OF 3-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Davidson 75 - Richmond 70	0.659	Davidson 62 - Richmond 64	7
Houston 76 - Memphis 70	0.641	Houston 71 - Memphis 53	-12
Princeton 72 - Yale 68	0.61	Princeton 64 - Yale 66	6
Purdue 79 - Iowa 77	0.538	Purdue 66 - Iowa 75	11
Tennessee 77 - Texas AM 67	0.772	Tennessee 65 - Texas AM 50	-5

Number of DI Games: 204
Number Correct: 146 = 71.5%
Expected Number Correct: 135.43 = 66.3%
Average Error: 8.51
Average Signed Error: 1.41

Here are the results from the conference tournaments (my program's predicted chances of each team winning, and the actual result)

OVC
(1)Murray State: 57.7
(2)Belmont: 32.9
(3)Morehead State: 6.9
(4)SE Missouri State: 1.5
(5)Tennessee State: 0.6
(6)Austin Peay: 0.2
(8)SIU Edwardsville: 0.2
(7)Tennessee Tech: 0.1

Big South
(2)Winthrop: 32.8
(1)Longwood: 29.3
(3)Gardner Webb: 18.3
(5)UNC Asheville: 8.6
(4)South Carolina Upstate: 4
(6)Campbell: 2.8
(7)High Point: 2.4
(8)Radford: 0.9
(9)North Carolina AT: 0.4
(11)Presbyterian: 0.4
(10)Hampton: 0.1
(12)Charleston Southern: 0

MVC
(4)Loyola Ill: 27.2
(2)Missouri State: 26.1
(1)Northern Iowa: 18
(3)Drake: 13.9
(5)Bradley: 9.2
(6)Southern Illinois: 4.1
(7)Valparaiso: 0.7
(8)Illinois State: 0.7
(9)Indiana State: 0.2
(10)Evansville: 0

SUN
(1)Texas State: 29.4
(3)Georgia State: 15.9
(5)South Alabama: 14.4
(2)Appalachian State: 13
(7)Coastal Carolina: 9.2
(4)Troy: 9.2
(6)Arkansas State: 5.4
(8)UL Lafayette: 2.2
(9)Texas Arlington: 0.9
(10)Georgia Southern: 0.3
(11)UL Monroe: 0.3
(12)Arkansas Little Rock: 0

Southern
(2)Furman: 31.8
(1)Chattanooga: 31.7
(4)Wofford: 14.7
(6)UNC Greensboro: 7.4
(3)Samford: 5.7
(5)Virginia Military Institute: 3.9
(8)East Tennessee State: 2.6
(7)Mercer: 1.9
(10)Western Carolina: 0.2
(9)The Citadel: 0.1

ASUN
(1.5)Liberty: 37.1
(1)Jacksonville State: 32.9
(2)Jacksonville: 15.5
(2)Bellarmine: 6
(3)Florida Gulf Coast: 5.5
(4)Kennesaw St: 1
(5)North Florida: 0.7
(4)Lipscomb: 0.4
(3)Central Arkansas: 0.4
(5)Eastern Kentucky: 0.3
(6)Stetson: 0.2
(6)North Alabama: 0

CAA
(1)Towson: 49.5
(3)Hofstra: 17.9
(2)UNC Wilmington: 10.8
(5)Delaware: 6.5
(6)College of Charleston: 6.2
(4)Drexel: 6.1
(7)Elon: 2.3
(8)Northeastern: 0.7
(9)William and Mary: 0

HOR (1-4 seeds should be slightly higher since first game is at home)
(4)Wright State: 20.8
(3)Northern Kentucky: 20.7
(2)IPFW: 15.8
(1)Cleveland State: 15.4
(5)Oakland: 13.6
(6)Detroit: 7.6
(7)Youngstown State: 3.8
(8)Illinois Chicago: 1.8
(9)Milwaukee: 0.3
(10)Robert Morris: 0.2
(11)Green Bay: 0
(12)IUPUI: 0

NEC
(1)Bryant: 41.9
(2)Wagner: 34.9
(3)LIU Brooklyn: 13.3
(4)Mt St Marys: 6.9
(5)Saint Francis Brooklyn: 1.3
(7)Saint Francis Penn: 0.8
(6)Sacred Heart: 0.7
(8)Fairleigh Dickinson: 0.1
(9)Central Connecticut State: 0.1

SUM
(1)South Dakota State: 58.4
(2)North Dakota State: 16.4
(3)Oral Roberts: 11.8
(5)South Dakota: 5.7
(4)UMKC: 4.8
(6)Western Illinois: 2
(7)Denver: 0.7
(8)Omaha: 0.2

WCC
(1)Gonzaga: 62.5
(2)Saint Marys: 26.7
(4)San Francisco: 6
(3)Santa Clara: 2.8
(5)Brigham Young: 1.9
(6)Portland: 0.1
All others 0

PAT (1-4 seeds should be slightly higher since first game is at home)
(1)Colgate: 48.2
(2)Navy: 23.8
(3)Boston: 13.4
(5)Army: 4.6
(6)Loyola MD: 4.3
(4)Lehigh: 3.9
(8)Lafayette: 1
(10)American: 0.4
(9)Bucknell: 0.4
(7)Holy Cross: 0.2

AE
(1)Vermont: 82.8
(2)UMBC: 7.7
(3)New Hampshire: 4.7
(4)Hartford: 2
(7)UMass Lowell: 1.3
(5)Albany: 0.8
(6)Binghamton: 0.7
(8)NJ Tech: 0.1

MEAC
(1)Norfolk State: 52.7
(2)Howard: 17.3
(3)North Carolina Central: 9
(4)Morgan State: 8
(5)South Carolina State: 5
(6)Maryland Eastern Shore: 4.5
(7)Coppin State: 3.3
(8)Delaware State: 0.2

MAAC
(1)Iona: 46.4
(2)Saint Peters: 23.7
(4)Monmouth: 9.4
(3)Siena: 6.7
(5)Niagara: 5.5
(6)Marist: 3.6
(7)Fairfield: 1.5
(9)Rider: 1
(10)Canisius: 0.9
(11)Quinnipiac: 0.7
(8)Manhattan: 0.7

BIG12
(1)Kansas: 32.5
(2)Baylor: 29.6
(3)Texas Tech: 18.1
(4)Texas: 9.9
(5)Texas Christian: 3.4
(7)Oklahoma: 2.9
(6)Iowa State: 2.6
(9)West Virginia: 0.6
(8)Kansas State: 0.5

SWAC
(2)Texas Southern: 26.9
(3)Southern: 24
(1)Alcorn State: 19.8
(8)Prairie View: 8.6
(4)Florida AM: 6.8
(7)Jackson State: 6.2
(5)Alabama AM: 4
(6)Grambling State: 3.7

Big East
(2)Villanova: 35.7
(1)Providence: 19.6
(3)Connecticut: 14.6
(5)Marquette: 9.7
(6)Seton Hall: 7.5
(4)Creighton: 6.5
(8)Xavier: 3.8
(7)Saint Johns: 2
(10)DePaul: 0.4
(9)Butler: 0.3
(11)Georgetown: 0

MAC
(1)Toledo: 40.9
(2)Kent State: 20.6
(3)Ohio: 16.8
(5)Buffalo: 11.4
(4)Akron: 7.5
(6)Ball State: 1.5
(7)Miami OH: 0.9
(8)Central Michigan: 0.3

Big Sky
(1)Montana State: 34.6
(2)Southern Utah: 24.1
(4)Weber State: 13.4
(3)Northern Colorado: 11.9
(6)Eastern Washington: 7.2
(5)Montana: 6
(7)Portland State: 1.7
(8)Sacramento State: 0.6
(9)Idaho: 0.3
(10)Idaho State: 0.1
(11)Northern Arizona: 0

ACC
(1)Duke: 41.9
(3)North Carolina: 17.3
(2)Notre Dame: 10.5
(4)Miami: 8.5
(5)Wake Forest: 8
(7)Virginia Tech: 6.1
(6)Virginia: 4.2
(9)Syracuse: 1.2
(8)Florida State: 1.1
(10)Clemson: 1
(11)Louisville: 0.1
(13)Boston College: 0
(12)Pittsburgh: 0
(15)NC State: 0
(14)Georgia Tech: 0

CUSA
(1)North Texas: 41.1
(2)Alabama Birmingham: 26.9
(1)Middle Tennessee: 10
(3)Louisiana Tech: 7.8
(2)Western Kentucky: 6.7
(3)Florida Atlantic: 3.9
(4)Texas El Paso: 1.2
(5)Old Dominion: 1.1
(4)Charlotte: 1.1
(5)Rice: 0.2
(7)Marshall: 0
(6)Florida International: 0
(6)Texas San Antonio: 0
(7)Southern Miss: 0

Southland
(1)Nicholls State: 48.9
(2)Southeast Louisiana: 21.1
(3)New Orleans: 15.9
(4)Texas AM CC: 11.7
(6)Northwestern State: 1.1
(5)Houston Baptist: 0.6
(7)Mcneese State: 0.5
(8)Incarnate Word: 0.2

MWC
(1)Boise State: 27.9
(3)San Diego State: 24.1
(2)Colorado State: 19.6
(5)Nevada Las Vegas: 10.7
(4)Wyoming: 7.6
(7)Utah State: 5.4
(6)Fresno State: 3.5
(8)Nevada: 0.8
(9)New Mexico: 0.3
(10)Air Force: 0
(11)San Jose State: 0

WAC
(1)New Mexico State: 38.9
(4)Grand Canyon: 18.7
(2)Seattle: 17.7
(3)Stephen F Austin: 14.6
(7)Utah Valley: 3.5
(6)Abilene Christian: 3.4
(5)Sam Houston State: 2.9
(8)Cal Baptist: 0.2
(9)Texas Pan American: 0
(10)Chicago State: 0

PAC12
(1)Arizona: 44.9
(2)UCLA: 30.2
(3)Southern California: 10.2
(4)Colorado: 5.6
(5)Oregon: 3.9
(7)Washington State: 2.2
(8)Arizona State: 1.6
(6)Washington: 0.9
(9)Stanford: 0.2
(11)Utah: 0.2
(10)California: 0.1
(12)Oregon State: 0

Big West
(1)Long Beach State: 27.3
(4)UC Irvine: 16.1
(5)UC Santa Barbara: 14.6
(2)Cal State Fullerton: 14.4
(3)Hawaii: 13.5
(6)UC Riverside: 9.8
(7)UC Davis: 4
(9)Cal State Bakersfield: 0.2
(10)Cal Poly: 0.1
(8)Cal State Northridge: 0

IVY
(1)Princeton: 49.2
(2)Yale: 29.4
(3)Pennsylvania: 11.6
(4)Cornell: 9.8

A10
(1)Davidson: 24.9
(2)Dayton: 24.3
(3)Virginia Commonwealth: 21.9
(4)Saint Bonaventure: 11
(5)Saint Louis: 10.9
(6)Richmond: 4.6
(8)George Mason: 1.2
(10)Massachusetts: 0.4
(11)Rhode Island: 0.3
(7)George Washington: 0.1
(9)Fordham: 0.1
(13)Saint Josephs: 0.1
(12)La Salle: 0
(14)Duquesne: 0

SEC
(3)Kentucky: 27.1
(1)Auburn: 27.1
(2)Tennessee: 21.9
(4)Arkansas: 12.6
(5)Louisiana State: 5
(6)Alabama: 3.2
(9)Florida: 1.2
(10)Mississippi State: 0.8
(8)Texas AM: 0.5
(7)South Carolina: 0.4
(11)Vanderbilt: 0.1
(13)Mississippi: 0.1
(12)Missouri: 0
(14)Georgia: 0

AAC
(1)Houston: 50.8
(3)Memphis: 20.3
(2)Southern Methodist: 14.7
(5)Tulane: 3.7
(4)Temple: 3.7
(7)Wichita State: 2.7
(6)Central Florida: 2.3
(8)Cincinnati: 1.7
(10)Tulsa: 0.1
(9)East Carolina: 0.1
(11)South Florida: 0

BIG10
(3)Purdue: 25.5
(1)Illinois: 19
(5)Iowa: 16.3
(2)Wisconsin: 14.9
(6)Ohio State: 5.9
(8)Michigan: 5.4
(4)Rutgers: 4.9
(7)Michigan State: 4.2
(9)Indiana: 2.1
(10)Maryland: 1
(11)Penn State: 0.4
(12)Northwestern: 0.3
(14)Minnesota: 0.1
(13)Nebraska: 0.1

GAMES OF 3-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 73 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.81	Appalachian State 74 - South Carolina Upstate 80	17
Colorado 72 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.576	Colorado 68 - Saint Bonaventure 76	11
North Texas 67 - Texas State 58	0.806	North Texas 67 - Texas State 63	5
Oklahoma 76 - Missouri State 71	0.636	Oklahoma 89 - Missouri State 72	-12
Texas AM 80 - Alcorn State 58	0.951	Texas AM 74 - Alcorn State 62	10
Texas Southern 66 - Texas AM CC 62	0.598	Texas Southern 76 - Texas AM CC 67	-5
Utah State 75 - Oregon 72	0.566	Utah State 72 - Oregon 83	14
Vanderbilt 74 - Belmont 70	0.614	Vanderbilt 82 - Belmont 71	-7
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Princeton 65	0.715	Virginia Commonwealth 90 - Princeton 79	-2
Washington State 75 - Santa Clara 73	0.569	Washington State 63 - Santa Clara 50	-11
Wyoming 71 - Indiana 73	0.551	Wyoming 58 - Indiana 66	6
Xavier 80 - Cleveland State 66	0.853	Xavier 72 - Cleveland State 68	10

GAMES OF 3-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brigham Young 77 - Long Beach State 67	0.792	Brigham Young 93 - Long Beach State 72	-11
Coastal Carolina 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.842	Coastal Carolina 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 42	-8
Florida 75 - Iona 69	0.675	Florida 79 - Iona 74	1
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Detroit 68	0.621	Florida Gulf Coast 95 - Detroit 79	-12
Rutgers 70 - Notre Dame 72	0.545	Rutgers 87 - Notre Dame 89	0
Saint Louis 76 - Northern Iowa 71	0.653	Saint Louis 68 - Northern Iowa 80	17
South Alabama 74 - Southeast Louisiana 64	0.775	South Alabama 70 - Southeast Louisiana 68	8
Southern Methodist 79 - Nicholls State 61	0.891	Southern Methodist 68 - Nicholls State 58	8
Southern Utah 66 - Kent State 69	0.565	Southern Utah 83 - Kent State 79	-7
Toledo 69 - Dayton 70	0.537	Toledo 55 - Dayton 74	18
Virginia 69 - Mississippi State 68	0.507	Virginia 60 - Mississippi State 57	-2
Wake Forest 74 - Towson 69	0.625	Wake Forest 74 - Towson 64	-5
Wright State 72 - Bryant 71	0.509	Wright State 93 - Bryant 82	-10
Youngstown State 71 - Morgan State 66	0.63	Youngstown State 70 - Morgan State 65	0

GAMES OF 3-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 75 - Vermont 68	0.67	Arkansas 75 - Vermont 71	3
Baylor 81 - Norfolk State 60	0.91	Baylor 85 - Norfolk State 49	-15
Boise State 73 - Memphis 72	0.506	Boise State 53 - Memphis 64	12
Colorado State 74 - Michigan 73	0.527	Colorado State 63 - Michigan 75	13
Connecticut 73 - New Mexico State 67	0.665	Connecticut 63 - New Mexico State 70	13
Fresno State 75 - Eastern Washington 62	0.858	Fresno State 83 - Eastern Washington 74	4
Gonzaga 84 - Georgia State 62	0.938	Gonzaga 93 - Georgia State 72	1
Iowa 80 - Richmond 71	0.737	Iowa 63 - Richmond 67	13
Kansas 84 - Texas Southern 60	0.939	Kansas 83 - Texas Southern 56	-3
Kentucky 78 - Saint Peters 61	0.87	Kentucky 79 - Saint Peters 85	23
Murray State 69 - San Francisco 71	0.558	Murray State 92 - San Francisco 87	-7
North Carolina 78 - Marquette 76	0.552	North Carolina 95 - Marquette 63	-30
Providence 76 - South Dakota State 71	0.624	Providence 66 - South Dakota State 57	-4
Saint Marys 71 - Indiana 66	0.644	Saint Marys 82 - Indiana 53	-24
San Diego State 70 - Creighton 67	0.577	San Diego State 69 - Creighton 72	6
Tennessee 79 - Longwood 60	0.896	Tennessee 88 - Longwood 56	-13
UCLA 76 - Akron 61	0.857	UCLA 57 - Akron 53	11

GAMES OF 3-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 78 - Notre Dame 76	0.558	Alabama 64 - Notre Dame 78	16
Arizona 86 - Wright State 64	0.919	Arizona 87 - Wright State 70	5
Auburn 80 - Jacksonville State 62	0.922	Auburn 80 - Jacksonville State 61	-1
Duke 80 - Cal State Fullerton 63	0.893	Duke 78 - Cal State Fullerton 61	0
Houston 77 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.752	Houston 82 - Alabama Birmingham 68	-4
Illinois 75 - Chattanooga 67	0.698	Illinois 54 - Chattanooga 53	7
Louisiana State 74 - Iowa State 69	0.625	Louisiana State 54 - Iowa State 59	10
Michigan State 72 - Davidson 73	0.503	Michigan State 74 - Davidson 73	-2
Ohio State 71 - Loyola Ill 73	0.545	Ohio State 54 - Loyola Ill 41	-15
Purdue 79 - Yale 64	0.859	Purdue 78 - Yale 56	-7
Seton Hall 73 - Texas Christian 72	0.513	Seton Hall 42 - Texas Christian 69	28
Southern California 74 - Miami 73	0.553	Southern California 66 - Miami 68	3
Texas 71 - Virginia Tech 69	0.536	Texas 81 - Virginia Tech 73	-6
Texas Tech 77 - Montana State 61	0.864	Texas Tech 97 - Montana State 62	-19
Villanova 78 - Delaware 61	0.897	Villanova 80 - Delaware 60	-3
Wisconsin 76 - Colgate 65	0.809	Wisconsin 67 - Colgate 60	4

GAMES OF 3-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 76 - New Mexico State 68	0.68	Arkansas 53 - New Mexico State 48	3
Baylor 80 - North Carolina 73	0.661	Baylor 86 - North Carolina 93	14
Brigham Young 75 - Northern Iowa 71	0.622	Brigham Young 90 - Northern Iowa 71	-15
Drake 75 - IPFW 64	0.791	Drake 87 - IPFW 65	-11
Gonzaga 81 - Memphis 71	0.744	Gonzaga 82 - Memphis 78	6
Kansas 80 - Creighton 70	0.717	Kansas 79 - Creighton 72	3
Middle Tennessee 74 - Cal Baptist 64	0.791	Middle Tennessee 64 - Cal Baptist 58	4
Murray State 69 - Saint Peters 62	0.681	Murray State 60 - Saint Peters 70	17
Ohio 73 - Rice 67	0.676	Ohio 65 - Rice 64	5
Portland 74 - New Orleans 65	0.722	Portland 94 - New Orleans 73	-12
Providence 75 - Richmond 70	0.62	Providence 79 - Richmond 51	-23
Stephen F Austin 75 - UNC Asheville 64	0.766	Stephen F Austin 68 - UNC Asheville 80	23
Tennessee 77 - Michigan 69	0.697	Tennessee 68 - Michigan 76	16
Texas AM 76 - Oregon 71	0.625	Texas AM 75 - Oregon 60	-10
Texas El Paso 74 - Western Illinois 64	0.774	Texas El Paso 80 - Western Illinois 54	-16
UCLA 71 - Saint Marys 68	0.582	UCLA 72 - Saint Marys 56	-13
Wake Forest 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.529	Wake Forest 80 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	-4

GAMES OF 3-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Troy 66	0.644	Abilene Christian 82 - Troy 70	-7
Arizona 81 - Texas Christian 71	0.76	Arizona 85 - Texas Christian 80	5
Auburn 80 - Miami 71	0.757	Auburn 61 - Miami 79	27
Duke 77 - Michigan State 72	0.656	Duke 85 - Michigan State 76	-4
Florida Atlantic 74 - Northern Colorado 69	0.65	Florida Atlantic 71 - Northern Colorado 74	8
Illinois 70 - Houston 75	0.627	Illinois 53 - Houston 68	10
North Texas 63 - Virginia 59	0.641	North Texas 69 - Virginia 71	6
Oklahoma 74 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.619	Oklahoma 68 - Saint Bonaventure 70	7
Purdue 74 - Texas 72	0.582	Purdue 81 - Texas 71	-8
Southern Methodist 75 - Washington State 69	0.635	Southern Methodist 63 - Washington State 75	18
Texas Tech 76 - Notre Dame 68	0.704	Texas Tech 59 - Notre Dame 53	2
UNC Greensboro 67 - Boston 63	0.613	UNC Greensboro 68 - Boston 71	7
Vanderbilt 69 - Dayton 70	0.512	Vanderbilt 70 - Dayton 68	-3
Villanova 76 - Ohio State 69	0.7	Villanova 71 - Ohio State 61	-3
Virginia Military Institute 70 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.59	Virginia Military Institute 78 - UNC Wilmington 93	12
Wisconsin 74 - Iowa State 69	0.614	Wisconsin 49 - Iowa State 54	10
Xavier 75 - Florida 74	0.519	Xavier 72 - Florida 56	-15

GAMES OF 3-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Coastal Carolina 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.609	Coastal Carolina 84 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	-12
Drake 72 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.671	Drake 75 - UNC Wilmington 76	7
Middle Tennessee 73 - Boston 65	0.749	Middle Tennessee 76 - Boston 46	-22
Northern Colorado 73 - UNC Asheville 70	0.596	Northern Colorado 87 - UNC Asheville 84	0
Ohio 68 - Abilene Christian 69	0.524	Ohio 86 - Abilene Christian 91	4
South Alabama 75 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.78	South Alabama 83 - South Carolina Upstate 79	8

GAMES OF 3-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Middle Tennessee 71 - Abilene Christian 69	0.546	Middle Tennessee 85 - Abilene Christian 69	-14
Texas El Paso 71 - Southern Utah 67	0.62	Texas El Paso 69 - Southern Utah 82	17
UNC Wilmington 73 - Northern Colorado 68	0.638	UNC Wilmington 80 - Northern Colorado 64	-11
Virginia 67 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.533	Virginia 51 - Saint Bonaventure 52	2
Xavier 76 - Vanderbilt 73	0.575	Xavier 75 - Vanderbilt 73	1

GAMES OF 3-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brigham Young 73 - Washington State 70	0.571	Brigham Young 58 - Washington State 77	22
Fresno State 76 - Youngstown State 59	0.893	Fresno State 80 - Youngstown State 71	8
Middle Tennessee 70 - UNC Wilmington 67	0.603	Middle Tennessee 90 - UNC Wilmington 96	9
Texas AM 76 - Wake Forest 73	0.582	Texas AM 67 - Wake Forest 52	-12

GAMES OF 3-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 75 - Houston 74	0.515	Arizona 60 - Houston 72	13
Duke 73 - Texas Tech 74	0.521	Duke 78 - Texas Tech 73	-6
Gonzaga 81 - Arkansas 73	0.7	Gonzaga 68 - Arkansas 74	14
Villanova 76 - Michigan 69	0.673	Villanova 63 - Michigan 55	-1

GAMES OF 3-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Kansas 80 - Providence 73	0.7	Kansas 66 - Providence 61	2
Miami 73 - Iowa State 72	0.528	Miami 70 - Iowa State 56	-13
Purdue 76 - Saint Peters 63	0.814	Purdue 64 - Saint Peters 67	16
UCLA 77 - North Carolina 72	0.629	UCLA 66 - North Carolina 73	12

GAMES OF 3-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Duke 76 - Arkansas 75	0.534	Duke 78 - Arkansas 69	-8
Southern Utah 72 - Portland 70	0.547	Southern Utah 77 - Portland 66	-9
Villanova 70 - Houston 71	0.534	Villanova 50 - Houston 44	-7

GAMES OF 3-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Kansas 83 - Miami 72	0.79	Kansas 76 - Miami 50	-15
North Carolina 75 - Saint Peters 65	0.719	North Carolina 69 - Saint Peters 49	-10

GAMES OF 3-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Fresno State 73 - Southern Utah 63	0.773	Fresno State 67 - Southern Utah 48	-9
South Alabama 70 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.588	South Alabama 68 - Coastal Carolina 69	4

GAMES OF 3-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Texas AM 73 - Washington State 70	0.582	Texas AM 72 - Washington State 56	-13
Xavier 74 - Saint Bonaventure 73	0.509	Xavier 84 - Saint Bonaventure 77	-6

GAMES OF 3-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Texas AM 75 - Xavier 73	0.568	Texas AM 72 - Xavier 73	3

GAMES OF 4-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Coastal Carolina 64 - Fresno State 70	0.672	Coastal Carolina 74 - Fresno State 85	5

GAMES OF 4-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Duke 78 - North Carolina 74	0.608	Duke 77 - North Carolina 81	8
Kansas 76 - Villanova 74	0.55	Kansas 81 - Villanova 65	-14

GAMES OF 4-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Kansas 82 - North Carolina 74	0.691	Kansas 72 - North Carolina 69	5

Number of DI Games: 130
Number Correct: 86 = 66.1%
Expected Number Correct: 86.922 = 66.8%
Average Error: 9.46
Average Signed Error: 0.68