Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

Note: I'm going with a home court advantage of 3 points this year.

GAMES OF 11-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 72 - Jackson State 57	0.874	Abilene Christian 65 - Jackson State 56	6
Akron 68 - South Dakota State 70	0.547	Akron 81 - South Dakota State 80	-3
Alabama 82 - Longwood 65	0.859	Alabama 75 - Longwood 54	-4
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Alabama State 57	0.954	Alabama Birmingham 111 - Alabama State 70	-15
Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 52		Appalachian State 142 - Unranked 74
Arizona 85 - Nicholls State 61	0.944	Arizona 117 - Nicholls State 75	-18
Arizona State 77 - Tarleton State 61	0.833	Arizona State 62 - Tarleton State 59	13
Arkansas 79 - North Dakota State 61	0.893	Arkansas 76 - North Dakota State 58	0
Arkansas State 87 - Unranked 54		Arkansas State 86 - Unranked 55
Army 84 - Unranked 56		Army 110 - Unranked 65
Auburn 82 - George Mason 65	0.884	Auburn 70 - George Mason 52	-1
Ball State 87 - Unranked 56		Ball State 109 - Unranked 39
Baylor 97 - Mississippi Valley State 50	0.996	Baylor 117 - Mississippi Valley State 53	-17
Belmont 73 - Ohio 67	0.659	Belmont 70 - Ohio 69	5
Binghamton 82 - Unranked 56		Binghamton 87 - Unranked 56
Boston 68 - Northeastern 66	0.549	Boston 72 - Northeastern 63	-7
Boston College 76 - Cornell 68	0.725	Boston College 79 - Cornell 77	6
Bowling Green 73 - Air Force 69	0.594	Bowling Green 62 - Air Force 58	0
Bradley 90 - Unranked 50		Bradley 93 - Unranked 59
Brigham Young 81 - Idaho State 56	0.951	Brigham Young 60 - Idaho State 56	21
Bryant 89 - Unranked 55		Bryant 147 - Unranked 39
Bucknell 85 - Unranked 59		Bucknell 113 - Unranked 52
Buffalo 73 - Colgate 71	0.545	Buffalo 88 - Colgate 87	1
Butler 77 - New Orleans 61	0.857	Butler 89 - New Orleans 53	-20
Cal Baptist 71 - Long Beach State 72	0.538	Cal Baptist 64 - Long Beach State 79	14
Cal Poly 80 - Unranked 57		Cal Poly 94 - Unranked 59
Cal State Bakersfield 82 - Unranked 55		Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Unranked 35
Cal State Northridge 82 - Unranked 59		Cal State Northridge 90 - Unranked 55
California 72 - UC Davis 64	0.701	California 65 - UC Davis 75	18
Campbell 83 - Unranked 52		Campbell 79 - Unranked 62
Canisius 71 - Youngstown State 68	0.609	Canisius 81 - Youngstown State 92	14
Central Florida 78 - UNC Asheville 64	0.83	Central Florida 95 - UNC Asheville 98	17
Charleston Southern 80 - Unranked 60		Charleston Southern 83 - Unranked 52
Charlotte 73 - Coppin State 62	0.79	Charlotte 82 - Coppin State 59	-12
Cincinnati 93 - Unranked 50		Cincinnati 98 - Unranked 55
Clemson 82 - The Citadel 64	0.898	Clemson 80 - The Citadel 69	7
Cleveland State 87 - Unranked 54		Cleveland State 68 - Unranked 72
Coastal Carolina 89 - Unranked 52		Coastal Carolina 97 - Unranked 43
College of Charleston 69 - Chattanooga 71	0.574	College of Charleston 85 - Chattanooga 78	-9
Colorado 77 - UC Riverside 62	0.837	Colorado 82 - UC Riverside 66	-1
Colorado State 76 - Gardner Webb 62	0.835	Colorado State 65 - Gardner Webb 63	12
Connecticut 82 - Stonehill 57	0.935	Connecticut 85 - Stonehill 54	-6
Creighton 84 - Saint Thomas 56	0.937	Creighton 72 - Saint Thomas 60	16
Dayton 79 - Lindenwood 56	0.897	Dayton 73 - Lindenwood 46	-4
Delaware 88 - Unranked 52		Delaware 78 - Unranked 54
Denver 71 - Idaho 67	0.613	Denver 68 - Idaho 63	-1
DePaul 77 - Loyola MD 63	0.853	DePaul 72 - Loyola MD 66	8
Duke 82 - Jacksonville 57	0.939	Duke 71 - Jacksonville 44	-2
East Tennessee State 89 - Unranked 52		East Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 66
Eastern Kentucky 87 - Unranked 58		Eastern Kentucky 137 - Unranked 52
Eastern Michigan 82 - Unranked 57		Eastern Michigan 75 - Unranked 66
Elon 84 - Unranked 54		Elon 80 - Unranked 55
Florida 80 - Stony Brook 62	0.885	Florida 81 - Stony Brook 45	-18
Florida Atlantic 89 - Unranked 52		Florida Atlantic 81 - Unranked 46
Florida International 75 - Houston Christian 66	0.761	Florida International 77 - Houston Christian 66	-2
Florida State 82 - Stetson 60	0.915	Florida State 74 - Stetson 83	31
Fordham 67 - Dartmouth 63	0.602	Fordham 88 - Dartmouth 74	-10
Fresno State 90 - Unranked 49		Fresno State 69 - Unranked 56
Furman 93 - Unranked 49		Furman 91 - Unranked 55
George Washington 88 - Unranked 56		George Washington 85 - Unranked 58
Georgia 80 - Western Carolina 70	0.743	Georgia 68 - Western Carolina 55	-3
Georgia State 90 - Unranked 51		Georgia State 76 - Unranked 59
Georgia Tech 92 - Unranked 52		Georgia Tech 93 - Unranked 63
Gonzaga 90 - North Florida 57	0.979	Gonzaga 104 - North Florida 63	-8
Grambling State 81 - Unranked 56		Grambling State 82 - Unranked 57
Grand Canyon 71 - Montana State 64	0.699	Grand Canyon 60 - Montana State 54	1
Holy Cross 62 - Siena 71	0.761	Holy Cross 68 - Siena 75	-2
Houston 84 - Northern Colorado 58	0.95	Houston 83 - Northern Colorado 36	-21
Illinois 87 - Eastern Illinois 52	0.972	Illinois 87 - Eastern Illinois 57	5
Illinois Chicago 84 - Unranked 57		Illinois Chicago 82 - Unranked 48
Illinois State 76 - Western Illinois 68	0.707	Illinois State 68 - Western Illinois 71	11
Incarnate Word 65 - North Dakota 67	0.549	Incarnate Word 57 - North Dakota 65	6
Indiana 75 - Morehead State 62	0.819	Indiana 88 - Morehead State 53	-22
Indiana State 75 - Green Bay 63	0.801	Indiana State 80 - Green Bay 53	-15
Iona 76 - Pennsylvania 65	0.793	Iona 78 - Pennsylvania 50	-17
Iowa 89 - Bethune Cookman 57	0.964	Iowa 89 - Bethune Cookman 58	1
Iowa State 82 - IUPUI 52	0.958	Iowa State 88 - IUPUI 39	-19
Jacksonville State 87 - Unranked 51		Jacksonville State 111 - Unranked 48
James Madison 88 - Unranked 56		James Madison 123 - Unranked 38
Kansas 93 - Omaha 55	0.985	Kansas 89 - Omaha 64	13
Kansas State 83 - Texas Pan American 63	0.924	Kansas State 93 - Texas Pan American 59	-14
Kennesaw St 83 - Unranked 57		Kennesaw St 99 - Unranked 56
Kentucky 88 - Howard 58	0.969	Kentucky 95 - Howard 63	-2
Liberty 88 - Unranked 49		Liberty 104 - Unranked 38
Louisiana Tech 92 - Unranked 49		Louisiana Tech 78 - Unranked 61
Loyola Ill 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 55	0.954	Loyola Ill 88 - Fairleigh Dickinson 82	22
Loyola Marymount 89 - Unranked 54		Loyola Marymount 99 - Unranked 49
Marquette 80 - Radford 60	0.918	Marquette 79 - Radford 69	10
Maryland 78 - Niagara 63	0.845	Maryland 71 - Niagara 49	-7
Massachusetts 80 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.888	Massachusetts 94 - Central Connecticut State 67	-9
Mcneese State 81 - Unranked 60		Mcneese State 110 - Unranked 54
Miami 83 - Lafayette 60	0.931	Miami 67 - Lafayette 54	10
Miami OH 72 - Evansville 66	0.661	Miami OH 74 - Evansville 78	10
Michigan 83 - IPFW 60	0.921	Michigan 75 - IPFW 56	4
Michigan State 84 - Northern Arizona 56	0.964	Michigan State 73 - Northern Arizona 55	10
Middle Tennessee 89 - Unranked 52		Middle Tennessee 79 - Unranked 52
Milwaukee 81 - Unranked 57		Milwaukee 102 - Unranked 46
Minnesota 79 - Western Michigan 60	0.89	Minnesota 61 - Western Michigan 60	18
Mississippi 78 - Alcorn State 60	0.89	Mississippi 73 - Alcorn State 58	3
Mississippi State 79 - Texas AM CC 57	0.932	Mississippi State 63 - Texas AM CC 44	3
Missouri 78 - Southern Indiana 61	0.827	Missouri 97 - Southern Indiana 91	11
NC State 78 - Austin Peay 64	0.847	NC State 99 - Austin Peay 50	-35
Nebraska 82 - Maine 61	0.912	Nebraska 79 - Maine 66	8
Nevada 81 - Utah Tech 64	0.859	Nevada 84 - Utah Tech 71	4
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Southern 61	0.817	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Southern 56	4
New Hampshire 83 - Unranked 54		New Hampshire 79 - Unranked 47
New Mexico 72 - Southern Utah 73	0.518	New Mexico 89 - Southern Utah 81	-9
New Mexico State 91 - Unranked 47		New Mexico State 101 - Unranked 52
Norfolk State 85 - Unranked 51		Norfolk State 109 - Unranked 59
North Alabama 81 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 108 - Unranked 51
North Carolina 83 - UNC Wilmington 64	0.874	North Carolina 69 - UNC Wilmington 56	6
North Carolina AT 82 - Unranked 57		North Carolina AT 100 - Unranked 61
North Texas 90 - Unranked 45		North Texas 53 - Unranked 47
Northern Illinois 82 - Unranked 56		Northern Illinois 77 - Unranked 83
Northern Iowa 93 - Unranked 52		Northern Iowa 105 - Unranked 49
Northern Kentucky 65 - Kent State 66	0.515	Northern Kentucky 57 - Kent State 79	21
Northwestern 84 - Chicago State 59	0.956	Northwestern 85 - Chicago State 54	-6
Oakland 87 - Unranked 54		Oakland 92 - Unranked 27
Ohio State 85 - Robert Morris 57	0.96	Ohio State 91 - Robert Morris 53	-10
Oklahoma 77 - Sam Houston State 63	0.822	Oklahoma 51 - Sam Houston State 52	15
Oklahoma State 81 - Texas Arlington 62	0.917	Oklahoma State 77 - Texas Arlington 66	8
Old Dominion 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.852	Old Dominion 84 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	-1
Oregon 82 - Florida AM 56	0.951	Oregon 80 - Florida AM 45	-9
Oregon State 74 - Tulsa 73	0.522	Oregon State 73 - Tulsa 70	-2
Penn State 75 - Winthrop 67	0.726	Penn State 93 - Winthrop 68	-17
Pepperdine 74 - Rice 73	0.527	Pepperdine 106 - Rice 67	-38
Pittsburgh 77 - Tennessee Martin 61	0.852	Pittsburgh 80 - Tennessee Martin 58	-6
Portland 87 - Unranked 56		Portland 89 - Unranked 62
Prairie View 84 - Unranked 56		Prairie View 94 - Unranked 79
Presbyterian 81 - Unranked 56		Presbyterian 76 - Unranked 42
Princeton 71 - Hofstra 72	0.504	Princeton 77 - Hofstra 83	5
Queens 68 - Marshall 74	0.631	Queens 83 - Marshall 82	-7
Rhode Island 75 - Quinnipiac 66	0.743	Rhode Island 62 - Quinnipiac 67	14
Richmond 80 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.826	Richmond 69 - Virginia Military Institute 48	-7
Rutgers 84 - Columbia 57	0.952	Rutgers 75 - Columbia 35	-13
Saint Bonaventure 81 - Saint Francis Penn 56	0.929	Saint Bonaventure 71 - Saint Francis Penn 58	12
Saint Francis Brooklyn 81 - Unranked 57		Saint Francis Brooklyn 96 - Unranked 56
Saint Johns 80 - Merrimack 60	0.899	Saint Johns 97 - Merrimack 72	-5
Saint Louis 71 - Murray State 68	0.577	Saint Louis 91 - Murray State 68	-20
Saint Marys 78 - Oral Roberts 61	0.882	Saint Marys 78 - Oral Roberts 70	9
Saint Peters 73 - NJ Tech 55	0.886	Saint Peters 73 - NJ Tech 59	4
Samford 88 - Unranked 56		Samford 109 - Unranked 85
San Diego 86 - Unranked 54		San Diego 81 - Unranked 59
San Diego State 77 - Cal State Fullerton 60	0.9	San Diego State 80 - Cal State Fullerton 57	-6
San Francisco 77 - Texas Southern 62	0.86	San Francisco 90 - Texas Southern 77	2
Santa Clara 78 - Eastern Washington 69	0.764	Santa Clara 84 - Eastern Washington 72	-3
SIU Edwardsville 81 - Unranked 58		SIU Edwardsville 85 - Unranked 57
South Carolina Upstate 84 - Unranked 58		South Carolina Upstate 90 - Unranked 42
South Florida 73 - SE Missouri State 66	0.657	South Florida 61 - SE Missouri State 64	10
Southeast Louisiana 83 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 90 - Unranked 72
Southern California 82 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.907	Southern California 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	33
Southern Illinois 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 61	0.832	Southern Illinois 94 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	-18
Southern Methodist 81 - Texas A&M Commerce 59	0.9	Southern Methodist 77 - Texas A&M Commerce 60	5
Southern Miss 83 - Unranked 58		Southern Miss 75 - Unranked 42
Stanford 78 - Pacific 63	0.858	Stanford 88 - Pacific 78	5
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 51		Stephen F Austin 93 - Unranked 40
Syracuse 84 - Lehigh 62	0.898	Syracuse 90 - Lehigh 72	4
Temple 73 - Wagner 64	0.702	Temple 73 - Wagner 76	12
Tennessee 86 - Tennessee Tech 55	0.959	Tennessee 75 - Tennessee Tech 43	-1
Tennessee State 82 - Unranked 56		Tennessee State 85 - Unranked 75
Texas 79 - Texas El Paso 61	0.908	Texas 72 - Texas El Paso 57	3
Texas AM 81 - UL Monroe 60	0.92	Texas AM 87 - UL Monroe 54	-12
Texas Christian 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.966	Texas Christian 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 72	31
Texas San Antonio 86 - Unranked 58		Texas San Antonio 74 - Unranked 47
Texas Tech 88 - Northwestern State 53	0.984	Texas Tech 73 - Northwestern State 49	11
Toledo 77 - Valparaiso 65	0.772	Toledo 85 - Valparaiso 70	-3
Towson 72 - Albany 59	0.819	Towson 67 - Albany 62	8
Troy 85 - Unranked 53		Troy 87 - Unranked 67
Tulane 76 - UMBC 67	0.725	Tulane 89 - UMBC 67	-13
UC Irvine 87 - Unranked 49		UC Irvine 96 - Unranked 50
UC San Diego 67 - Seattle 74	0.68	UC San Diego 71 - Seattle 85	7
UC Santa Barbara 89 - Unranked 51		UC Santa Barbara 75 - Unranked 59
UCLA 83 - Sacramento State 54	0.962	UCLA 76 - Sacramento State 50	3
UL Lafayette 89 - Unranked 54		UL Lafayette 106 - Unranked 55
UMass Lowell 84 - Unranked 56		UMass Lowell 108 - Unranked 43
UMKC 83 - Unranked 52		UMKC 56 - Unranked 59
UNC Greensboro 87 - Unranked 49		UNC Greensboro 93 - Unranked 60
Unranked 55 - Harvard 83		Unranked 63 - Harvard 68
Utah 78 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.791	Utah 89 - LIU Brooklyn 48	-30
Utah State 75 - Utah Valley 65	0.76	Utah State 75 - Utah Valley 58	-7
Vanderbilt 71 - Memphis 76	0.645	Vanderbilt 67 - Memphis 76	4
Vermont 76 - Brown 59	0.871	Vermont 80 - Brown 65	2
Villanova 84 - La Salle 58	0.949	Villanova 81 - La Salle 68	13
Virginia 78 - North Carolina Central 51	0.956	Virginia 73 - North Carolina Central 61	15
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Manhattan 59	0.906	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Manhattan 56	3
Virginia Tech 88 - Delaware State 49	0.988	Virginia Tech 95 - Delaware State 57	1
Wake Forest 78 - Fairfield 63	0.842	Wake Forest 71 - Fairfield 59	3
Washington 76 - Weber State 68	0.712	Washington 69 - Weber State 52	-9
Washington State 72 - Texas State 64	0.724	Washington State 83 - Texas State 61	-14
West Virginia 78 - Mt St Marys 59	0.901	West Virginia 76 - Mt St Marys 58	1
Wichita State 84 - Central Arkansas 62	0.932	Wichita State 79 - Central Arkansas 55	-2
William and Mary 61 - Navy 69	0.71	William and Mary 59 - Navy 74	7
Wisconsin 78 - South Dakota 60	0.899	Wisconsin 85 - South Dakota 59	-8
Wofford 89 - Unranked 50		Wofford 120 - Unranked 48
Wyoming 92 - Unranked 52		Wyoming 102 - Unranked 69
Xavier 83 - Morgan State 60	0.93	Xavier 96 - Morgan State 73	0
Yale 88 - Unranked 52		Yale 96 - Unranked 41

GAMES OF 11-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Detroit 86 - Unranked 55		Detroit 93 - Unranked 65
Duquesne 69 - Montana 68	0.506	Duquesne 91 - Montana 63	-27
East Carolina 71 - Mercer 70	0.545	East Carolina 77 - Mercer 75	-1
Georgetown 80 - Coppin State 63	0.889	Georgetown 99 - Coppin State 89	7
Hartford 73 - Sacred Heart 65	0.7	Hartford 70 - Sacred Heart 77	15
Providence 80 - Rider 61	0.896	Providence 66 - Rider 65	18
Purdue 86 - Milwaukee 55	0.962	Purdue 84 - Milwaukee 53	0
San Jose State 68 - Georgia Southern 71	0.613	San Jose State 63 - Georgia Southern 48	-18
South Carolina 82 - South Carolina State 59	0.941	South Carolina 80 - South Carolina State 77	20
Unranked 56 - Albany 80		Unranked 47 - Albany 74

GAMES OF 11-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Unranked 61		Arkansas Pine Bluff 87 - Unranked 55
Boise State 75 - South Dakota State 68	0.68	Boise State 66 - South Dakota State 68	9
Drake 81 - IUPUI 52	0.96	Drake 80 - IUPUI 48	-3
Fairleigh Dickinson 82 - Unranked 61		Fairleigh Dickinson 106 - Unranked 66
Grand Canyon 90 - Unranked 49		Grand Canyon 101 - Unranked 50
Howard 84 - Unranked 58		Howard 87 - Unranked 74
James Madison 76 - Hampton 65	0.795	James Madison 106 - Hampton 58	-37
Louisiana State 80 - UMKC 59	0.932	Louisiana State 74 - UMKC 63	10
Louisville 74 - Bellarmine 64	0.767	Louisville 66 - Bellarmine 67	11
Marist 70 - American 62	0.698	Marist 73 - American 69	4
Missouri State 94 - Unranked 51		Missouri State 82 - Unranked 47
Norfolk State 85 - Unranked 51		Norfolk State 87 - Unranked 59
Portland 72 - Florida AM 63	0.781	Portland 91 - Florida AM 54	-28
Prairie View 84 - Unranked 56		Prairie View 95 - Unranked 68
Robert Morris 82 - Unranked 58		Robert Morris 84 - Unranked 49
San Diego 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.577	San Diego 79 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	-3
Seattle 89 - Unranked 52		Seattle 106 - Unranked 55
Seton Hall 77 - Monmouth 64	0.822	Seton Hall 79 - Monmouth 52	-14
South Alabama 87 - Unranked 52		South Alabama 97 - Unranked 59
South Dakota 72 - Lipscomb 66	0.67	South Dakota 85 - Lipscomb 77	-2
UC Davis 85 - Unranked 54		UC Davis 90 - Unranked 67
Utah Valley 88 - Unranked 52		Utah Valley 91 - Unranked 64
Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 113 - Unranked 56
Winthrop 91 - Unranked 52		Winthrop 78 - Unranked 56
Wright State 68 - Davidson 74	0.679	Wright State 97 - Davidson 102	-1
Youngstown State 73 - Tennessee Martin 65	0.733	Youngstown State 90 - Tennessee Martin 72	-10

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 62 - North Alabama 63	0.525	Alabama AM 76 - North Alabama 84	7
Appalachian State 72 - North Carolina Central 59	0.825	Appalachian State 79 - North Carolina Central 74	8
Arizona State 81 - Northern Arizona 58	0.927	Arizona State 84 - Northern Arizona 68	7
Arkansas Little Rock 84 - Unranked 58		Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Unranked 60
Brown 65 - Colgate 73	0.737	Brown 68 - Colgate 77	1
Chattanooga 90 - Unranked 49		Chattanooga 93 - Unranked 49
Cincinnati 77 - Cleveland State 65	0.827	Cincinnati 69 - Cleveland State 58	1
Columbia 66 - UMass Lowell 72	0.681	Columbia 62 - UMass Lowell 89	21
Cornell 87 - Unranked 56		Cornell 114 - Unranked 57
Creighton 86 - North Dakota 55	0.958	Creighton 96 - North Dakota 61	-4
Delaware State 75 - Unranked 62		Delaware State 104 - Unranked 67
Denver 82 - Unranked 58		Denver 90 - Unranked 68
Eastern Illinois 62 - Illinois State 74	0.794	Eastern Illinois 49 - Illinois State 54	-7
Eastern Kentucky 67 - Western Kentucky 78	0.775	Eastern Kentucky 60 - Western Kentucky 66	-5
Florida International 85 - Unranked 57		Florida International 95 - Unranked 74
Hartford 85 - Unranked 55		Hartford 85 - Unranked 43
Holy Cross 80 - Unranked 58		Holy Cross 85 - Unranked 71
Idaho 81 - Unranked 60		Idaho 122 - Unranked 48
Idaho State 79 - Unranked 56		Idaho State 97 - Unranked 56
Indiana 82 - Bethune Cookman 56	0.95	Indiana 101 - Bethune Cookman 49	-26
Kansas 83 - North Dakota State 59	0.942	Kansas 82 - North Dakota State 59	1
Kent State 88 - Unranked 50		Kent State 76 - Unranked 55
Loyola Marymount 70 - UC Riverside 67	0.582	Loyola Marymount 79 - UC Riverside 81	5
Marquette 84 - Central Michigan 62	0.908	Marquette 97 - Central Michigan 73	-2
Maryland 83 - Western Carolina 62	0.914	Maryland 71 - Western Carolina 51	1
Massachusetts 72 - Towson 73	0.536	Massachusetts 55 - Towson 67	11
Merrimack 80 - Unranked 52		Merrimack 64 - Unranked 48
Morehead State 86 - Unranked 50		Morehead State 99 - Unranked 58
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 130 - Unranked 49
Nebraska 84 - Omaha 65	0.866	Nebraska 75 - Omaha 61	5
Northwestern State 81 - Unranked 60		Northwestern State 79 - Unranked 68
Notre Dame 79 - Radford 59	0.934	Notre Dame 79 - Radford 76	17
Ohio State 87 - Charleston Southern 55	0.977	Ohio State 82 - Charleston Southern 56	6
Oklahoma State 76 - Southern Illinois 63	0.842	Oklahoma State 60 - Southern Illinois 61	14
Penn State 77 - Loyola MD 59	0.898	Penn State 90 - Loyola MD 65	-7
Queens 83 - Unranked 56		Queens 99 - Unranked 65
Rice 88 - Unranked 56		Rice 85 - Unranked 48
Rutgers 82 - Sacred Heart 59	0.928	Rutgers 88 - Sacred Heart 50	-15
Saint Marys 70 - Vermont 63	0.707	Saint Marys 79 - Vermont 53	-19
Sam Houston State 87 - Unranked 51		Sam Houston State 120 - Unranked 33
Samford 88 - Unranked 56		Samford 80 - Unranked 61
San Francisco 82 - Cal Poly 56	0.961	San Francisco 60 - Cal Poly 48	14
Santa Clara 77 - Georgia Southern 64	0.842	Santa Clara 78 - Georgia Southern 62	-3
Southern California 85 - Alabama State 55	0.972	Southern California 96 - Alabama State 58	-8
Southern Utah 89 - Unranked 53		Southern Utah 117 - Unranked 55
Stephen F Austin 70 - Gardner Webb 64	0.678	Stephen F Austin 86 - Gardner Webb 71	-9
Stonehill 68 - Quinnipiac 70	0.563	Stonehill 95 - Quinnipiac 102	5
Tarleton State 83 - Unranked 53		Tarleton State 95 - Unranked 49
Tennessee Tech 84 - Unranked 58		Tennessee Tech 82 - Unranked 48
Texas 88 - Houston Christian 55	0.989	Texas 82 - Houston Christian 31	-18
Texas State 88 - Unranked 50		Texas State 71 - Unranked 53
Texas Tech 81 - Texas Southern 57	0.937	Texas Tech 78 - Texas Southern 54	0
The Citadel 73 - Presbyterian 68	0.669	The Citadel 70 - Presbyterian 58	-7
Troy 85 - Unranked 53		Troy 96 - Unranked 42
UL Monroe 85 - Unranked 57		UL Monroe 111 - Unranked 59
UMBC 87 - Unranked 54		UMBC 92 - Unranked 65
Virginia Military Institute 90 - Unranked 57		Virginia Military Institute 100 - Unranked 58
Virginia Tech 83 - Lehigh 57	0.933	Virginia Tech 78 - Lehigh 52	0
Weber State 88 - Unranked 53		Weber State 83 - Unranked 67
Western Michigan 81 - Unranked 57		Western Michigan 99 - Unranked 62
William and Mary 82 - Unranked 58		William and Mary 116 - Unranked 40
Wyoming 75 - Nicholls State 65	0.805	Wyoming 79 - Nicholls State 68	-1

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 64 - Delaware 71	0.675	Air Force 75 - Delaware 71	-11
Akron 65 - Mississippi State 72	0.685	Akron 54 - Mississippi State 73	12
Alabama 79 - Liberty 67	0.783	Alabama 95 - Liberty 59	-24
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Toledo 71	0.559	Alabama Birmingham 85 - Toledo 93	10
Arizona 85 - Southern 57	0.951	Arizona 95 - Southern 78	11
Arkansas 81 - Fordham 59	0.936	Arkansas 74 - Fordham 48	-4
Auburn 83 - South Florida 60	0.929	Auburn 67 - South Florida 59	15
Baylor 83 - Norfolk State 58	0.941	Baylor 87 - Norfolk State 70	8
Boston College 76 - Detroit 67	0.733	Boston College 70 - Detroit 66	5
Cal Baptist 72 - NJ Tech 63	0.758	Cal Baptist 59 - NJ Tech 43	-7
Cal State Fullerton 75 - Pepperdine 69	0.667	Cal State Fullerton 74 - Pepperdine 71	3
California 68 - Kansas State 73	0.637	California 54 - Kansas State 63	4
Central Arkansas 84 - Unranked 60		Central Arkansas 107 - Unranked 56
Central Florida 73 - Florida State 74	0.538	Central Florida 68 - Florida State 54	-15
Coastal Carolina 89 - Unranked 52		Coastal Carolina 110 - Unranked 47
Colorado State 81 - Southeast Louisiana 60	0.925	Colorado State 80 - Southeast Louisiana 69	10
Connecticut 80 - Boston 61	0.916	Connecticut 86 - Boston 57	-10
Coppin State 61 - Mt St Marys 65	0.611	Coppin State 83 - Mt St Marys 78	-9
Dartmouth 68 - Bryant 69	0.542	Dartmouth 70 - Bryant 89	18
Dayton 72 - Southern Methodist 69	0.567	Dayton 74 - Southern Methodist 62	-9
DePaul 81 - Western Illinois 64	0.87	DePaul 86 - Western Illinois 74	5
Drexel 68 - Old Dominion 67	0.542	Drexel 71 - Old Dominion 59	-11
Duke 89 - South Carolina Upstate 58	0.964	Duke 84 - South Carolina Upstate 38	-15
East Tennessee State 71 - Elon 65	0.642	East Tennessee State 77 - Elon 64	-7
Florida 82 - Kennesaw St 58	0.937	Florida 88 - Kennesaw St 78	14
Furman 72 - Belmont 69	0.57	Furman 89 - Belmont 74	-12
George Mason 72 - Longwood 66	0.668	George Mason 83 - Longwood 69	-8
George Washington 75 - Howard 67	0.73	George Washington 85 - Howard 75	-2
Gonzaga 82 - Michigan State 71	0.771	Gonzaga 64 - Michigan State 63	10
Grambling State 58 - Colorado 79	0.914	Grambling State 83 - Colorado 74	-30
Harvard 67 - UL Lafayette 71	0.609	Harvard 61 - UL Lafayette 75	10
Hawaii 80 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.941	Hawaii 72 - Mississippi Valley State 54	6
Hofstra 71 - Iona 72	0.509	Hofstra 83 - Iona 78	-6
Illinois 81 - UMKC 58	0.925	Illinois 86 - UMKC 48	-15
Illinois Chicago 59 - Loyola Ill 78	0.901	Illinois Chicago 63 - Loyola Ill 70	-12
Iowa 88 - North Carolina AT 59	0.961	Iowa 112 - North Carolina AT 71	-12
Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 51		Jacksonville 85 - Unranked 34
Kentucky 86 - Duquesne 61	0.95	Kentucky 77 - Duquesne 52	0
Maine 78 - Unranked 59		Maine 90 - Unranked 45
Mercer 87 - Unranked 53		Mercer 118 - Unranked 64
Miami 74 - UNC Greensboro 64	0.778	Miami 79 - UNC Greensboro 65	-4
Michigan 84 - Eastern Michigan 58	0.936	Michigan 88 - Eastern Michigan 83	21
Minnesota 79 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	0.878	Minnesota 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 54	0
Mississippi 74 - Florida Atlantic 67	0.681	Mississippi 80 - Florida Atlantic 67	-6
Missouri 76 - Pennsylvania 66	0.751	Missouri 92 - Pennsylvania 85	3
Navy 66 - Princeton 67	0.527	Navy 74 - Princeton 73	-2
NC State 75 - Campbell 64	0.821	NC State 73 - Campbell 67	5
New Hampshire 64 - Fairfield 65	0.507	New Hampshire 83 - Fairfield 71	-13
New Mexico 73 - South Alabama 72	0.503	New Mexico 80 - South Alabama 74	-5
North Carolina 84 - College of Charleston 66	0.88	North Carolina 102 - College of Charleston 86	2
Northern Colorado 74 - Texas A&M Commerce 65	0.726	Northern Colorado 80 - Texas A&M Commerce 77	6
Northwestern 78 - Northern Illinois 61	0.885	Northwestern 63 - Northern Illinois 46	0
Oakland 75 - Bowling Green 70	0.626	Oakland 82 - Bowling Green 87	10
Oklahoma 88 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.969	Oklahoma 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	26
Oral Roberts 90 - Unranked 55		Oral Roberts 95 - Unranked 62
Oregon 75 - UC Irvine 64	0.746	Oregon 56 - UC Irvine 69	24
Oregon State 76 - Florida AM 62	0.872	Oregon State 60 - Florida AM 43	-3
Pittsburgh 69 - West Virginia 77	0.719	Pittsburgh 56 - West Virginia 81	17
Portland 72 - Portland State 69	0.598	Portland 98 - Portland State 91	-4
Purdue 84 - Austin Peay 58	0.954	Purdue 63 - Austin Peay 44	7
Richmond 75 - Northern Iowa 70	0.643	Richmond 68 - Northern Iowa 55	-8
Saint Josephs 59 - Houston 83	0.929	Saint Josephs 55 - Houston 81	2
Saint Thomas 73 - Chicago State 64	0.716	Saint Thomas 83 - Chicago State 61	-13
San Diego State 73 - Brigham Young 67	0.64	San Diego State 82 - Brigham Young 75	-1
South Carolina 72 - Clemson 74	0.539	South Carolina 60 - Clemson 58	-4
Stony Brook 86 - Unranked 55		Stony Brook 86 - Unranked 65
Temple 64 - Villanova 78	0.822	Temple 68 - Villanova 64	-18
Texas AM 74 - Abilene Christian 66	0.741	Texas AM 77 - Abilene Christian 58	-11
Texas AM CC 67 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.506	Texas AM CC 75 - Texas San Antonio 55	-21
Texas Christian 84 - Lamar 55	0.965	Texas Christian 77 - Lamar 66	18
Tulane 82 - Mcneese State 62	0.941	Tulane 75 - Mcneese State 58	3
UC Santa Barbara 66 - Fresno State 69	0.579	UC Santa Barbara 61 - Fresno State 54	-10
UCLA 83 - Long Beach State 63	0.936	UCLA 93 - Long Beach State 69	-4
UNC Wilmington 89 - Unranked 53		UNC Wilmington 104 - Unranked 55
Utah 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.86	Utah 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 44	-14
Utah State 74 - Bradley 66	0.674	Utah State 84 - Bradley 62	-14
Vanderbilt 82 - Southern Miss 61	0.934	Vanderbilt 48 - Southern Miss 60	33
Virginia 74 - Monmouth 59	0.851	Virginia 89 - Monmouth 42	-32
Wake Forest 82 - Georgia 71	0.754	Wake Forest 81 - Georgia 71	1
Washington 79 - North Florida 64	0.843	Washington 75 - North Florida 67	7
Wisconsin 76 - Stanford 66	0.766	Wisconsin 60 - Stanford 50	0
Xavier 79 - Montana 62	0.87	Xavier 86 - Montana 64	-5
Yale 71 - Eastern Washington 69	0.569	Yale 74 - Eastern Washington 60	-12

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 70 - Stonehill 66	0.583	Army 77 - Stonehill 82	9
Boise State 73 - Washington State 68	0.633	Boise State 71 - Washington State 61	-5
Bucknell 67 - Niagara 72	0.635	Bucknell 68 - Niagara 50	-23
Buffalo 78 - James Madison 68	0.767	Buffalo 62 - James Madison 97	45
Canisius 63 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.827	Canisius 84 - Saint Bonaventure 80	-18
Dartmouth 83 - Unranked 53		Dartmouth 107 - Unranked 52
East Carolina 74 - Presbyterian 64	0.808	East Carolina 77 - Presbyterian 57	-10
Georgetown 80 - Green Bay 63	0.908	Georgetown 92 - Green Bay 58	-17
Georgia Southern 85 - Unranked 54		Georgia Southern 53 - Unranked 32
Georgia State 72 - Georgia Tech 71	0.536	Georgia State 57 - Georgia Tech 59	3
Hampton 82 - Unranked 58		Hampton 89 - Unranked 60
High Point 62 - Wofford 72	0.757	High Point 91 - Wofford 80	-21
Indiana State 73 - Ball State 69	0.586	Indiana State 83 - Ball State 71	-8
IPFW 73 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.743	IPFW 81 - SIU Edwardsville 76	5
La Salle 69 - Wagner 68	0.507	La Salle 77 - Wagner 69	-7
Lipscomb 86 - Unranked 56		Lipscomb 107 - Unranked 54
Louisiana State 82 - Arkansas State 62	0.92	Louisiana State 61 - Arkansas State 52	11
Louisville 74 - Wright State 68	0.638	Louisville 72 - Wright State 73	7
Loyola Marymount 72 - UC Davis 66	0.674	Loyola Marymount 85 - UC Davis 75	-4
Marist 70 - Binghamton 63	0.682	Marist 75 - Binghamton 78	10
Maryland Eastern Shore 77 - Unranked 56		Maryland Eastern Shore 90 - Unranked 43
Miami OH 86 - Unranked 56		Miami OH 87 - Unranked 44
Milwaukee 81 - Unranked 57		Milwaukee 112 - Unranked 38
Morehead State 68 - Bellarmine 63	0.655	Morehead State 62 - Bellarmine 55	-2
Murray State 92 - Unranked 48		Murray State 90 - Unranked 53
Nevada 72 - Grand Canyon 70	0.548	Nevada 59 - Grand Canyon 46	-11
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Incarnate Word 54	0.938	Nevada Las Vegas 88 - Incarnate Word 63	1
New Orleans 84 - Unranked 56		New Orleans 65 - Unranked 63
Northern Kentucky 86 - Unranked 50		Northern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 49
Northwestern State 67 - Illinois State 76	0.725	Northwestern State 67 - Illinois State 69	-7
Ohio 73 - Cleveland State 65	0.704	Ohio 81 - Cleveland State 70	-3
Providence 78 - Northeastern 59	0.882	Providence 89 - Northeastern 65	-5
Rhode Island 68 - Texas State 67	0.558	Rhode Island 66 - Texas State 70	5
Rider 87 - Unranked 55		Rider 87 - Unranked 50
Rutgers 79 - UMass Lowell 61	0.883	Rutgers 73 - UMass Lowell 65	10
Saint Francis Penn 66 - Hartford 70	0.606	Saint Francis Penn 77 - Hartford 53	-28
Saint Johns 85 - Lafayette 63	0.921	Saint Johns 83 - Lafayette 68	7
Saint Louis 80 - Evansville 59	0.912	Saint Louis 83 - Evansville 65	3
Samford 88 - Unranked 56		Samford 90 - Unranked 38
San Jose State 84 - Unranked 60		San Jose State 90 - Unranked 68
SE Missouri State 86 - Unranked 58		SE Missouri State 83 - Unranked 46
Seton Hall 73 - Saint Peters 63	0.75	Seton Hall 80 - Saint Peters 44	-26
Siena 69 - Albany 61	0.713	Siena 75 - Albany 62	-5
South Dakota 87 - Unranked 53		South Dakota 82 - Unranked 64
Southern Utah 89 - Unranked 53		Southern Utah 91 - Unranked 48
Tennessee Martin 81 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Martin 124 - Unranked 65
Tennessee State 70 - South Carolina State 63	0.691	Tennessee State 80 - South Carolina State 61	-12
Texas Arlington 86 - Unranked 54		Texas Arlington 103 - Unranked 61
Texas El Paso 64 - New Mexico State 71	0.682	Texas El Paso 67 - New Mexico State 64	-10
Texas Pan American 85 - Unranked 60		Texas Pan American 115 - Unranked 33
Tulsa 72 - Jackson State 59	0.824	Tulsa 85 - Jackson State 79	7
UC San Diego 69 - Sacramento State 65	0.593	UC San Diego 55 - Sacramento State 65	14
UNC Asheville 86 - Unranked 56		UNC Asheville 94 - Unranked 46
Utah Tech 72 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.644	Utah Tech 69 - Cal State Northridge 63	-1
Utah Valley 75 - Northern Arizona 59	0.889	Utah Valley 73 - Northern Arizona 69	12
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Morgan State 56	0.926	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Morgan State 54	9
Western Kentucky 92 - Unranked 51		Western Kentucky 127 - Unranked 61
Wichita State 79 - Alcorn State 59	0.935	Wichita State 57 - Alcorn State 66	29
Winthrop 72 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.6	Winthrop 76 - Middle Tennessee 68	-5

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal State Fullerton 65 - Vermont 73	0.73	Cal State Fullerton 94 - Vermont 85	-17
Central Connecticut State 63 - Quinnipiac 72	0.749	Central Connecticut State 70 - Quinnipiac 72	-7
Central Michigan 72 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.736	Central Michigan 76 - Eastern Illinois 60	-6
Cincinnati 81 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.877	Cincinnati 87 - Eastern Kentucky 69	-1
Colgate 91 - Unranked 51		Colgate 93 - Unranked 60
Davidson 81 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.877	Davidson 75 - Virginia Military Institute 71	12
East Tennessee State 71 - UL Lafayette 70	0.549	East Tennessee State 77 - UL Lafayette 81	5
Elon 66 - Harvard 67	0.515	Elon 77 - Harvard 92	14
Fairleigh Dickinson 67 - Manhattan 73	0.647	Fairleigh Dickinson 77 - Manhattan 74	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 87 - Unranked 55		Florida Gulf Coast 105 - Unranked 61
George Mason 76 - American 60	0.867	George Mason 73 - American 56	-1
Hawaii 70 - Eastern Washington 68	0.563	Hawaii 71 - Eastern Washington 51	-18
Howard 84 - Unranked 58		Howard 108 - Unranked 56
Iowa State 80 - North Carolina AT 59	0.914	Iowa State 80 - North Carolina AT 43	-16
Lehigh 83 - Unranked 57		Lehigh 97 - Unranked 58
Long Beach State 72 - Montana State 71	0.506	Long Beach State 57 - Montana State 70	14
Longwood 87 - Unranked 53		Longwood 100 - Unranked 68
Loyola MD 65 - Brown 66	0.507	Loyola MD 75 - Brown 70	-6
Mississippi State 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.963	Mississippi State 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 47	-2
Mississippi Valley State 57 - Yale 81	0.94	Mississippi Valley State 51 - Yale 80	5
Missouri 78 - Lindenwood 61	0.827	Missouri 82 - Lindenwood 53	-12
North Dakota State 72 - Pacific 63	0.75	North Dakota State 86 - Pacific 91	14
Notre Dame 82 - Youngstown State 62	0.919	Notre Dame 88 - Youngstown State 81	13
Oakland 65 - Oklahoma State 79	0.829	Oakland 62 - Oklahoma State 91	15
Omaha 71 - Idaho 69	0.555	Omaha 79 - Idaho 72	-5
Pennsylvania 67 - Towson 71	0.624	Pennsylvania 74 - Towson 80	2
Pepperdine 77 - Alabama State 65	0.82	Pepperdine 91 - Alabama State 62	-17
Sacred Heart 73 - Columbia 67	0.676	Sacred Heart 88 - Columbia 85	3
Saint Marys 68 - North Texas 61	0.716	Saint Marys 63 - North Texas 33	-23
Saint Thomas 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.536	Saint Thomas 84 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 48	-35
San Diego 72 - NJ Tech 61	0.794	San Diego 74 - NJ Tech 64	1
San Francisco 95 - Unranked 49		San Francisco 88 - Unranked 71
Seattle 73 - Portland State 65	0.741	Seattle 83 - Portland State 71	-4
Southern Indiana 62 - Southern Illinois 70	0.7	Southern Indiana 71 - Southern Illinois 53	-26
Tennessee 77 - Colorado 67	0.731	Tennessee 66 - Colorado 78	22
Texas Southern 66 - Arizona State 74	0.7	Texas Southern 67 - Arizona State 66	-9
Valparaiso 74 - Western Michigan 63	0.779	Valparaiso 81 - Western Michigan 65	-5
Virginia Tech 83 - William and Mary 56	0.949	Virginia Tech 94 - William and Mary 77	10
Western Carolina 85 - Unranked 58		Western Carolina 112 - Unranked 45
Wyoming 79 - Southeast Louisiana 62	0.903	Wyoming 72 - Southeast Louisiana 76	21

Number of DI Games: 324
Number Correct: 265 = 81.7%
Expected Number Correct: 254.544 = 78.5%
Average Error: 10.02
Average Signed Error: -0.75

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 73 - Texas A&M Commerce 63	0.834	Air Force 69 - Texas A&M Commerce 73	14
Albany 83 - Unranked 55		Albany 87 - Unranked 75
Arkansas State 87 - Unranked 54		Arkansas State 82 - Unranked 58
Austin Peay 81 - Unranked 57		Austin Peay 98 - Unranked 74
Baylor 88 - Northern Colorado 61	0.96	Baylor 95 - Northern Colorado 62	-6
Bellarmine 87 - Unranked 54		Bellarmine 86 - Unranked 46
Bethune Cookman 82 - Unranked 59		Bethune Cookman 71 - Unranked 57
Boston 88 - Unranked 54		Boston 96 - Unranked 51
Boston College 78 - Maine 59	0.926	Boston College 64 - Maine 69	24
Central Arkansas 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	0.526	Central Arkansas 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	-10
Central Florida 78 - Western Illinois 66	0.828	Central Florida 70 - Western Illinois 37	-21
Charlotte 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.894	Charlotte 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 47	-13
Chicago State 68 - IUPUI 65	0.62	Chicago State 68 - IUPUI 58	-7
College of Charleston 70 - Richmond 76	0.718	College of Charleston 92 - Richmond 90	-8
Colorado State 78 - Weber State 61	0.881	Colorado State 77 - Weber State 52	-8
Coppin State 62 - Navy 74	0.84	Coppin State 75 - Navy 68	-19
Creighton 84 - Holy Cross 53	0.98	Creighton 94 - Holy Cross 65	2
Denver 65 - Sacramento State 66	0.555	Denver 69 - Sacramento State 73	3
Drake 77 - Wofford 66	0.803	Drake 80 - Wofford 72	3
Duquesne 77 - South Carolina State 62	0.859	Duquesne 96 - South Carolina State 71	-10
Eastern Washington 76 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.88	Eastern Washington 60 - Mississippi Valley State 52	8
Florida 80 - Florida Atlantic 64	0.877	Florida 74 - Florida Atlantic 76	18
Florida State 71 - Troy 66	0.636	Florida State 72 - Troy 79	12
Georgia 79 - Miami OH 69	0.787	Georgia 77 - Miami OH 70	3
Hawaii 68 - Yale 66	0.556	Hawaii 59 - Yale 62	5
Hofstra 80 - George Washington 68	0.818	Hofstra 85 - George Washington 80	7
Houston 85 - Oral Roberts 63	0.916	Houston 83 - Oral Roberts 45	-16
Houston Christian 80 - Unranked 62		Houston Christian 119 - Unranked 97
Illinois 85 - Monmouth 59	0.922	Illinois 103 - Monmouth 65	-12
Illinois Chicago 64 - Jacksonville State 71	0.714	Illinois Chicago 67 - Jacksonville State 60	-14
IPFW 86 - Unranked 56		IPFW 111 - Unranked 31
Kennesaw St 88 - Unranked 58		Kennesaw St 95 - Unranked 36
Kent State 76 - Portland 68	0.736	Kent State 77 - Portland 65	-4
Lamar 83 - Unranked 59		Lamar 98 - Unranked 69
Liberty 74 - North Carolina Central 64	0.756	Liberty 79 - North Carolina Central 63	-6
Lipscomb 67 - Belmont 77	0.775	Lipscomb 77 - Belmont 75	-12
LIU Brooklyn 84 - Unranked 59		LIU Brooklyn 111 - Unranked 50
Marshall 76 - Tennessee Tech 64	0.824	Marshall 91 - Tennessee Tech 65	-14
Minnesota 69 - DePaul 72	0.577	Minnesota 53 - DePaul 69	13
North Alabama 85 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 100 - Unranked 60
Northern Illinois 82 - Unranked 55		Northern Illinois 99 - Unranked 73
Old Dominion 88 - Unranked 53		Old Dominion 72 - Unranked 58
Penn State 74 - Butler 67	0.685	Penn State 68 - Butler 62	1
Radford 87 - Unranked 53		Radford 97 - Unranked 46
Saint Francis Penn 68 - Cornell 69	0.517	Saint Francis Penn 77 - Cornell 80	2
Saint Josephs 74 - Lafayette 66	0.741	Saint Josephs 63 - Lafayette 59	4
Sam Houston State 90 - Unranked 49		Sam Houston State 84 - Unranked 48
South Florida 71 - Stetson 68	0.587	South Florida 67 - Stetson 68	4
Southern Miss 87 - Unranked 54		Southern Miss 86 - Unranked 62
Southern Utah 91 - Unranked 56		Southern Utah 126 - Unranked 67
Tennessee State 73 - Alabama AM 59	0.814	Tennessee State 87 - Alabama AM 76	3
Texas AM CC 85 - Unranked 54		Texas AM CC 91 - Unranked 73
Texas Christian 82 - Northwestern State 61	0.911	Texas Christian 63 - Northwestern State 64	22
Texas Pan American 86 - Unranked 62		Texas Pan American 77 - Unranked 51
Texas San Antonio 84 - Unranked 60		Texas San Antonio 66 - Unranked 59
Texas Tech 77 - Louisiana Tech 62	0.873	Texas Tech 64 - Louisiana Tech 55	6
UCLA 81 - Norfolk State 60	0.933	UCLA 86 - Norfolk State 56	-9
UL Monroe 86 - Unranked 59		UL Monroe 105 - Unranked 56
UMBC 69 - Princeton 73	0.619	UMBC 64 - Princeton 94	26
UMKC 86 - Unranked 55		UMKC 113 - Unranked 54
Utah 80 - Idaho State 57	0.913	Utah 70 - Idaho State 58	11
Utah State 79 - Santa Clara 68	0.796	Utah State 96 - Santa Clara 74	-11
Villanova 90 - Delaware State 50	0.994	Villanova 60 - Delaware State 50	30
Wagner 91 - Unranked 54		Wagner 82 - Unranked 52
Washington 80 - Utah Tech 63	0.903	Washington 78 - Utah Tech 67	6

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 89 - Unranked 51		Abilene Christian 104 - Unranked 46
Akron 78 - Morgan State 61	0.907	Akron 65 - Morgan State 59	11
Auburn 81 - Winthrop 65	0.886	Auburn 89 - Winthrop 65	-8
Bradley 77 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.712	Bradley 89 - Eastern Michigan 61	-18
Cal Baptist 72 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.76	Cal Baptist 62 - Cal State Northridge 55	1
Clemson 79 - South Carolina Upstate 59	0.925	Clemson 81 - South Carolina Upstate 70	9
Connecticut 80 - Buffalo 62	0.901	Connecticut 84 - Buffalo 64	-2
Drexel 76 - Pennsylvania 63	0.822	Drexel 59 - Pennsylvania 64	18
Fordham 69 - New Hampshire 67	0.552	Fordham 79 - New Hampshire 61	-16
Georgetown 73 - Northwestern 75	0.579	Georgetown 63 - Northwestern 75	10
Georgia State 72 - Mercer 67	0.677	Georgia State 85 - Mercer 83	3
High Point 89 - Unranked 55		High Point 100 - Unranked 83
Howard 65 - James Madison 83	0.861	Howard 69 - James Madison 95	8
Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 84 - Unranked 47
Kansas 73 - Duke 74	0.535	Kansas 69 - Duke 64	-6
Kentucky 74 - Michigan State 69	0.635	Kentucky 77 - Michigan State 86	14
La Salle 76 - Queens 69	0.77	La Salle 72 - Queens 60	-5
Louisville 71 - Appalachian State 68	0.599	Louisville 60 - Appalachian State 61	4
Maryland 79 - Binghamton 59	0.939	Maryland 76 - Binghamton 52	-4
Miami 82 - Florida AM 52	0.976	Miami 87 - Florida AM 61	4
Middle Tennessee 77 - Rice 66	0.721	Middle Tennessee 81 - Rice 46	-24
Mississippi 76 - Chattanooga 64	0.835	Mississippi 70 - Chattanooga 58	0
Missouri 87 - SIU Edwardsville 61	0.955	Missouri 105 - SIU Edwardsville 80	1
Mt St Marys 82 - Unranked 56		Mt St Marys 60 - Unranked 38
NC State 82 - Florida International 65	0.867	NC State 107 - Florida International 74	-16
Nevada 97 - Unranked 49		Nevada 98 - Unranked 54
Nevada Las Vegas 67 - Dayton 72	0.664	Nevada Las Vegas 60 - Dayton 52	-13
North Carolina 83 - Gardner Webb 61	0.93	North Carolina 72 - Gardner Webb 66	16
North Dakota 70 - Pacific 78	0.768	North Dakota 63 - Pacific 93	22
Northern Arizona 84 - Unranked 60		Northern Arizona 105 - Unranked 49
Oklahoma 73 - UNC Wilmington 65	0.734	Oklahoma 74 - UNC Wilmington 53	-13
Oregon 74 - Montana State 66	0.72	Oregon 81 - Montana State 51	-22
Oregon State 90 - Unranked 52		Oregon State 83 - Unranked 66
Pepperdine 93 - Unranked 54		Pepperdine 94 - Unranked 80
Prairie View 66 - Washington State 79	0.828	Prairie View 70 - Washington State 59	-24
Providence 83 - Stonehill 61	0.957	Providence 100 - Stonehill 76	-2
Purdue 75 - Marquette 71	0.612	Purdue 75 - Marquette 70	-1
Quinnipiac 76 - Dartmouth 64	0.811	Quinnipiac 81 - Dartmouth 72	3
Rhode Island 70 - Stony Brook 63	0.696	Rhode Island 74 - Stony Brook 64	-3
Saint Johns 87 - Central Connecticut State 58	0.966	Saint Johns 91 - Central Connecticut State 74	12
Saint Louis 74 - Memphis 73	0.523	Saint Louis 90 - Memphis 84	-5
Saint Peters 70 - Bucknell 66	0.603	Saint Peters 82 - Bucknell 71	-7
San Jose State 77 - Alabama State 60	0.871	San Jose State 70 - Alabama State 57	4
South Alabama 64 - Alabama 81	0.887	South Alabama 55 - Alabama 65	-7
South Dakota State 77 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.703	South Dakota State 66 - Saint Bonaventure 62	3
Southern California 74 - Vermont 68	0.669	Southern California 59 - Vermont 57	4
Southern Methodist 75 - New Mexico 69	0.697	Southern Methodist 63 - New Mexico 84	27
Stanford 65 - San Diego State 75	0.807	Stanford 62 - San Diego State 74	2
Stephen F Austin 76 - Alcorn State 64	0.803	Stephen F Austin 60 - Alcorn State 69	21
Syracuse 79 - Colgate 71	0.73	Syracuse 68 - Colgate 80	20
Temple 75 - Vanderbilt 67	0.704	Temple 87 - Vanderbilt 89	10
Tennessee Martin 80 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Martin 96 - Unranked 53
Texas Arlington 88 - Unranked 56		Texas Arlington 100 - Unranked 59
Texas El Paso 90 - Unranked 52		Texas El Paso 99 - Unranked 59
Texas Southern 74 - Oral Roberts 76	0.56	Texas Southern 64 - Oral Roberts 82	16
The Citadel 88 - Unranked 58		The Citadel 109 - Unranked 66
UC Irvine 76 - Loyola Marymount 65	0.792	UC Irvine 79 - Loyola Marymount 64	-4
UC San Diego 65 - California 70	0.659	UC San Diego 64 - California 62	-7
Wake Forest 77 - Utah Valley 66	0.82	Wake Forest 68 - Utah Valley 65	8
West Virginia 77 - Morehead State 61	0.892	West Virginia 75 - Morehead State 57	-2
Western Kentucky 90 - Unranked 50		Western Kentucky 68 - Unranked 50
Wisconsin 85 - Green Bay 47	0.997	Wisconsin 56 - Green Bay 45	27
Wright State 76 - Bowling Green 72	0.633	Wright State 80 - Bowling Green 71	-5
Xavier 81 - Fairfield 60	0.947	Xavier 78 - Fairfield 65	8
Youngstown State 90 - Unranked 57		Youngstown State 96 - Unranked 68

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Presbyterian 58	0.96	Alabama Birmingham 92 - Presbyterian 61	-6
American 69 - William and Mary 68	0.504	American 71 - William and Mary 64	-6
Arizona State 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.662	Arizona State 63 - Virginia Commonwealth 59	-9
Arkansas 80 - South Dakota State 70	0.791	Arkansas 71 - South Dakota State 56	-5
Bethune Cookman 82 - Unranked 59		Bethune Cookman 83 - Unranked 46
Brigham Young 75 - Missouri State 71	0.614	Brigham Young 66 - Missouri State 64	2
Canisius 72 - Cleveland State 68	0.625	Canisius 57 - Cleveland State 58	5
Chicago State 62 - Valparaiso 79	0.924	Chicago State 87 - Valparaiso 74	-30
Columbia 70 - Delaware State 66	0.621	Columbia 70 - Delaware State 65	-1
Detroit 66 - Ohio 74	0.741	Detroit 88 - Ohio 74	-22
East Carolina 78 - Hampton 61	0.906	East Carolina 82 - Hampton 73	8
Evansville 71 - SE Missouri State 70	0.512	Evansville 61 - SE Missouri State 67	7
Fresno State 68 - San Francisco 72	0.656	Fresno State 60 - San Francisco 67	3
Houston 84 - Texas Southern 58	0.959	Houston 83 - Texas Southern 48	-9
Idaho 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.685	Idaho 43 - Cal State Bakersfield 52	3
Kent State 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	0.917	Kent State 94 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	-5
Lehigh 69 - Marist 68	0.516	Lehigh 64 - Marist 54	-9
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 57		North Carolina Central 109 - Unranked 50
Northeastern 70 - Harvard 69	0.524	Northeastern 69 - Harvard 70	2
Northern Kentucky 63 - Cincinnati 73	0.809	Northern Kentucky 64 - Cincinnati 51	-23
Notre Dame 75 - Southern Indiana 71	0.618	Notre Dame 82 - Southern Indiana 70	-8
Ohio State 85 - Eastern Illinois 52	0.99	Ohio State 65 - Eastern Illinois 43	11
Omaha 70 - Ball State 71	0.513	Omaha 61 - Ball State 71	9
Pittsburgh 62 - Michigan 78	0.869	Pittsburgh 60 - Michigan 91	15
Portland State 87 - Unranked 57		Portland State 113 - Unranked 40
Radford 87 - Unranked 53		Radford 79 - Unranked 34
Robert Morris 81 - Unranked 60		Robert Morris 111 - Unranked 56
Saint Marys 80 - Southern 53	0.959	Saint Marys 72 - Southern 54	9
Seton Hall 78 - Iowa 76	0.57	Seton Hall 67 - Iowa 83	18
Siena 75 - Army 63	0.835	Siena 94 - Army 96	14
Tennessee 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	0.803	Tennessee 81 - Florida Gulf Coast 50	-17
Texas 71 - Gonzaga 76	0.643	Texas 93 - Gonzaga 74	-24
Toledo 86 - Oakland 61	0.949	Toledo 112 - Oakland 90	3
Tulane 80 - Charleston Southern 58	0.959	Tulane 99 - Charleston Southern 79	2
UMass Lowell 76 - Sacred Heart 65	0.811	UMass Lowell 90 - Sacred Heart 81	2

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 68 - Portland 72	0.592	Air Force 51 - Portland 64	9
Alabama AM 63 - Samford 74	0.786	Alabama AM 64 - Samford 84	9
Arizona 90 - Utah Tech 62	0.968	Arizona 104 - Utah Tech 77	1
Arizona State 68 - Michigan 77	0.74	Arizona State 87 - Michigan 62	-34
Boston 75 - Hartford 60	0.867	Boston 102 - Hartford 66	-21
Brown 68 - Stony Brook 67	0.511	Brown 64 - Stony Brook 53	-10
Butler 76 - Saint Francis Penn 56	0.889	Butler 95 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-8
Charlotte 61 - Boise State 74	0.809	Charlotte 54 - Boise State 42	-25
College of Charleston 74 - Davidson 78	0.641	College of Charleston 89 - Davidson 66	-27
Creighton 78 - UC Riverside 62	0.897	Creighton 80 - UC Riverside 51	-13
East Tennessee State 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.894	East Tennessee State 84 - Arkansas Little Rock 76	7
Elon 70 - North Dakota 69	0.52	Elon 73 - North Dakota 77	5
Florida Atlantic 72 - Bryant 71	0.537	Florida Atlantic 85 - Bryant 74	-10
Georgia Tech 74 - Northern Illinois 59	0.909	Georgia Tech 68 - Northern Illinois 50	-3
Illinois State 73 - Northwestern State 64	0.774	Illinois State 67 - Northwestern State 70	12
Indiana State 72 - North Dakota State 68	0.622	Indiana State 101 - North Dakota State 75	-22
Kansas State 78 - UMKC 61	0.909	Kansas State 69 - UMKC 53	1
Kentucky 89 - South Carolina State 54	0.989	Kentucky 106 - South Carolina State 63	-8
Louisiana State 86 - New Orleans 59	0.958	Louisiana State 91 - New Orleans 62	-2
Loyola MD 87 - Unranked 55		Loyola MD 81 - Unranked 53
Marquette 85 - LIU Brooklyn 60	0.944	Marquette 95 - LIU Brooklyn 58	-12
Massachusetts 66 - Colorado 80	0.791	Massachusetts 66 - Colorado 63	-17
Miami OH 71 - Marshall 74	0.585	Miami OH 69 - Marshall 95	23
Minnesota 77 - Central Michigan 66	0.786	Minnesota 68 - Central Michigan 60	3
Mississippi State 81 - South Dakota 61	0.925	Mississippi State 79 - South Dakota 42	-17
Monmouth 66 - Norfolk State 71	0.611	Monmouth 59 - Norfolk State 64	0
Montana 67 - Saint Thomas 73	0.642	Montana 78 - Saint Thomas 59	-25
Penn State 75 - Furman 71	0.632	Penn State 73 - Furman 68	-1
Richmond 75 - Wichita State 63	0.817	Richmond 53 - Wichita State 56	15
Saint Johns 80 - Nebraska 71	0.749	Saint Johns 70 - Nebraska 50	-11
Saint Josephs 73 - Albany 64	0.762	Saint Josephs 99 - Albany 79	-11
San Diego 65 - Utah State 76	0.805	San Diego 89 - Utah State 91	-9
San Jose State 66 - Hofstra 77	0.791	San Jose State 76 - Hofstra 85	-2
South Carolina 68 - Colorado State 74	0.654	South Carolina 53 - Colorado State 85	26
South Florida 71 - Austin Peay 60	0.75	South Florida 60 - Austin Peay 62	13
Southern Illinois 72 - Tennessee State 61	0.757	Southern Illinois 57 - Tennessee State 44	-2
Tennessee Tech 70 - Coppin State 69	0.519	Tennessee Tech 85 - Coppin State 90	6
Texas AM 77 - Murray State 66	0.758	Texas AM 79 - Murray State 88	20
Texas AM CC 75 - Texas Pan American 66	0.763	Texas AM CC 97 - Texas Pan American 75	-13
Texas Christian 81 - UL Monroe 64	0.869	Texas Christian 95 - UL Monroe 60	-18
Texas San Antonio 65 - Texas State 75	0.775	Texas San Antonio 61 - Texas State 56	-15
Troy 69 - Merrimack 64	0.668	Troy 73 - Merrimack 54	-14
Tulsa 66 - Loyola Ill 75	0.764	Tulsa 85 - Loyola Ill 66	-28
UL Lafayette 69 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.505	UL Lafayette 94 - Louisiana Tech 88	-7
UNC Greensboro 66 - Towson 70	0.614	UNC Greensboro 53 - Towson 56	-1
Utah 73 - Sam Houston State 65	0.704	Utah 55 - Sam Houston State 65	18
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Pittsburgh 61	0.834	Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Pittsburgh 67	9
Virginia Tech 77 - Old Dominion 64	0.85	Virginia Tech 75 - Old Dominion 71	9
Washington 77 - Cal Baptist 62	0.879	Washington 64 - Cal Baptist 73	24
Wright State 93 - Unranked 55		Wright State 99 - Unranked 56

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Jacksonville State 62	0.9	Alabama 104 - Jacksonville State 62	-23
Appalachian State 71 - Campbell 65	0.685	Appalachian State 58 - Campbell 63	11
Auburn 82 - Texas Southern 63	0.926	Auburn 72 - Texas Southern 56	3
Belmont 73 - Tarleton State 63	0.752	Belmont 81 - Tarleton State 89	18
California 67 - Southern 65	0.565	California 66 - Southern 74	10
Central Arkansas 66 - Niagara 70	0.6	Central Arkansas 64 - Niagara 73	5
Central Florida 68 - Oklahoma State 74	0.679	Central Florida 60 - Oklahoma State 56	-10
Clemson 74 - Bellarmine 62	0.84	Clemson 76 - Bellarmine 66	2
Cleveland State 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.703	Cleveland State 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	-3
Colgate 73 - Duquesne 69	0.602	Colgate 80 - Duquesne 85	9
College of Charleston 71 - Colorado State 76	0.647	College of Charleston 74 - Colorado State 64	-15
Connecticut 77 - UNC Wilmington 60	0.921	Connecticut 86 - UNC Wilmington 50	-19
Cornell 88 - Unranked 58		Cornell 83 - Unranked 61
Davidson 76 - South Carolina 71	0.648	Davidson 69 - South Carolina 60	-4
Drake 75 - Buffalo 70	0.642	Drake 80 - Buffalo 72	-3
Drexel 91 - Unranked 50		Drexel 85 - Unranked 45
Duke 85 - Delaware 60	0.951	Duke 92 - Delaware 58	-9
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.674	Fairleigh Dickinson 78 - SIU Edwardsville 79	7
Florida State 65 - Florida 77	0.796	Florida State 67 - Florida 76	-3
George Mason 72 - Boston College 69	0.61	George Mason 56 - Boston College 71	18
George Washington 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.913	George Washington 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	14
Georgetown 76 - Loyola Marymount 74	0.57	Georgetown 66 - Loyola Marymount 84	20
Georgia 76 - Bucknell 70	0.669	Georgia 65 - Bucknell 61	2
Georgia State 76 - Eastern Kentucky 65	0.84	Georgia State 61 - Eastern Kentucky 62	12
Grand Canyon 71 - Grambling State 64	0.647	Grand Canyon 81 - Grambling State 48	-26
Green Bay 60 - Queens 76	0.948	Green Bay 65 - Queens 81	0
Houston Christian 65 - Western Michigan 71	0.676	Houston Christian 84 - Western Michigan 90	0
Idaho State 67 - Denver 65	0.56	Idaho State 69 - Denver 70	3
Illinois 73 - UCLA 75	0.551	Illinois 79 - UCLA 70	-11
Kansas 85 - Southern Utah 62	0.944	Kansas 82 - Southern Utah 76	17
Lamar 67 - Lindenwood 66	0.51	Lamar 73 - Lindenwood 71	-1
Liberty 71 - Southern Miss 66	0.6	Liberty 72 - Southern Miss 76	9
Longwood 70 - Virginia Military Institute 69	0.517	Longwood 90 - Virginia Military Institute 58	-31
Loyola Ill 66 - Boise State 71	0.629	Loyola Ill 48 - Boise State 70	17
Maine 70 - Columbia 64	0.683	Maine 93 - Columbia 70	-17
Manhattan 83 - Unranked 57		Manhattan 86 - Unranked 39
Mcneese State 70 - Western Carolina 69	0.529	Mcneese State 69 - Western Carolina 88	20
Michigan State 71 - Villanova 70	0.502	Michigan State 73 - Villanova 71	-1
Mississippi 86 - Tennessee Martin 55	0.986	Mississippi 72 - Tennessee Martin 68	27
Mississippi Valley State 62 - North Alabama 74	0.818	Mississippi Valley State 76 - North Alabama 68	-20
Montana 69 - Merrimack 67	0.553	Montana 62 - Merrimack 51	-9
Montana State 90 - Unranked 51		Montana State 106 - Unranked 64
Morgan State 65 - Utah Valley 73	0.772	Morgan State 73 - Utah Valley 72	-9
Murray State 74 - Massachusetts 70	0.597	Murray State 69 - Massachusetts 71	6
Navy 75 - UC San Diego 59	0.9	Navy 78 - UC San Diego 69	7
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - High Point 64	0.81	Nevada Las Vegas 78 - High Point 68	2
Northern Arizona 61 - UC Santa Barbara 80	0.933	Northern Arizona 63 - UC Santa Barbara 54	-28
Northwestern 78 - IPFW 62	0.922	Northwestern 60 - IPFW 52	8
Notre Dame 83 - Lipscomb 63	0.93	Notre Dame 66 - Lipscomb 65	19
Oklahoma 76 - South Alabama 64	0.814	Oklahoma 64 - South Alabama 60	8
Old Dominion 64 - Furman 76	0.8	Old Dominion 82 - Furman 77	-17
Pacific 74 - Cal State Fullerton 76	0.583	Pacific 91 - Cal State Fullerton 94	1
Quinnipiac 89 - Unranked 56		Quinnipiac 86 - Unranked 68
Rice 70 - Georgia Southern 69	0.517	Rice 88 - Georgia Southern 71	-16
Sacramento State 84 - Unranked 53		Sacramento State 58 - Unranked 43
Saint Thomas 70 - Troy 68	0.555	Saint Thomas 78 - Troy 76	0
Santa Clara 73 - DePaul 74	0.523	Santa Clara 69 - DePaul 61	-9
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Coastal Carolina 74	0.735	South Carolina Upstate 79 - Coastal Carolina 78	-10
Southeast Louisiana 75 - Kennesaw St 70	0.63	Southeast Louisiana 68 - Kennesaw St 72	9
Southern California 78 - Mt St Marys 58	0.899	Southern California 83 - Mt St Marys 74	11
Southern Indiana 95 - Unranked 52		Southern Indiana 87 - Unranked 55
Stanford 75 - Cal Poly 57	0.923	Stanford 80 - Cal Poly 43	-19
Stetson 70 - Rider 72	0.567	Stetson 78 - Rider 68	-12
Temple 65 - Rutgers 71	0.657	Temple 72 - Rutgers 66	-12
Texas A&M Commerce 69 - UNC Asheville 80	0.846	Texas A&M Commerce 64 - UNC Asheville 72	-3
Texas AM 73 - Colorado 72	0.532	Texas AM 75 - Colorado 103	29
Texas Arlington 64 - Nevada 79	0.869	Texas Arlington 43 - Nevada 62	4
Tulsa 69 - Charlotte 70	0.542	Tulsa 65 - Charlotte 68	2
UC Davis 71 - Arkansas State 69	0.595	UC Davis 75 - Arkansas State 60	-13
UMBC 70 - Lafayette 68	0.571	UMBC 71 - Lafayette 63	-6
Vanderbilt 70 - Morehead State 67	0.576	Vanderbilt 76 - Morehead State 43	-30
Vermont 69 - Iona 73	0.596	Vermont 50 - Iona 71	17
Virginia 70 - Baylor 75	0.63	Virginia 86 - Baylor 79	-12
Virginia Tech 72 - Penn State 75	0.605	Virginia Tech 61 - Penn State 59	-5
Wagner 74 - Fairfield 63	0.782	Wagner 68 - Fairfield 52	-5
Wake Forest 77 - La Salle 71	0.695	Wake Forest 75 - La Salle 63	-6
West Virginia 82 - Pennsylvania 61	0.925	West Virginia 92 - Pennsylvania 58	-13
Wofford 70 - Gardner Webb 68	0.533	Wofford 60 - Gardner Webb 58	0
Wyoming 78 - Howard 65	0.882	Wyoming 78 - Howard 71	6
Xavier 73 - Indiana 77	0.624	Xavier 79 - Indiana 81	-2

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 58 - Norfolk State 74	0.875	Alabama AM 83 - Norfolk State 89	-10
Appalachian State 76 - Kennesaw St 68	0.742	Appalachian State 67 - Kennesaw St 71	12
Ball State 87 - Unranked 57		Ball State 86 - Unranked 72
Binghamton 73 - Sacred Heart 66	0.718	Binghamton 60 - Sacred Heart 75	22
Bradley 75 - SE Missouri State 68	0.678	Bradley 73 - SE Missouri State 60	-6
Brigham Young 82 - Nicholls State 64	0.903	Brigham Young 87 - Nicholls State 73	4
Butler 80 - The Citadel 61	0.899	Butler 89 - The Citadel 42	-28
Campbell 68 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.562	Campbell 69 - Southeast Louisiana 70	-1
Chattanooga 90 - Unranked 52		Chattanooga 108 - Unranked 55
Dayton 84 - Robert Morris 54	0.972	Dayton 60 - Robert Morris 51	21
Eastern Kentucky 70 - UNC Asheville 79	0.744	Eastern Kentucky 77 - UNC Asheville 75	-11
Florida Atlantic 74 - Detroit 66	0.729	Florida Atlantic 76 - Detroit 55	-13
Florida International 69 - Bryant 74	0.658	Florida International 85 - Bryant 91	1
Fordham 70 - Illinois Chicago 63	0.722	Fordham 79 - Illinois Chicago 65	-7
George Mason 72 - Belmont 71	0.506	George Mason 62 - Belmont 66	5
Georgia State 77 - Texas A&M Commerce 64	0.936	Georgia State 57 - Texas A&M Commerce 53	9
Hartford 79 - Unranked 60		Hartford 98 - Unranked 32
Holy Cross 67 - Stonehill 72	0.678	Holy Cross 79 - Stonehill 81	-3
Houston Christian 64 - Georgia Southern 71	0.723	Houston Christian 77 - Georgia Southern 84	0
Howard 67 - Buffalo 79	0.816	Howard 63 - Buffalo 59	-16
Idaho 66 - Utah Tech 74	0.749	Idaho 71 - Utah Tech 81	2
IUPUI 76 - Unranked 60		IUPUI 59 - Unranked 45
Kent State 84 - Chicago State 55	0.976	Kent State 88 - Chicago State 59	0
Lafayette 72 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.77	Lafayette 55 - Central Connecticut State 50	4
Long Beach State 91 - Unranked 56		Long Beach State 84 - Unranked 55
Longwood 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.663	Longwood 99 - Fairleigh Dickinson 83	-11
Marist 67 - Princeton 73	0.684	Marist 55 - Princeton 62	1
Marshall 77 - Coppin State 66	0.8	Marshall 86 - Coppin State 67	-8
Mcneese State 68 - Lindenwood 66	0.579	Mcneese State 60 - Lindenwood 78	20
Mercer 70 - Winthrop 74	0.626	Mercer 77 - Winthrop 68	-13
Merrimack 64 - Saint Thomas 72	0.702	Merrimack 61 - Saint Thomas 72	3
Miami 71 - Providence 73	0.561	Miami 74 - Providence 64	-12
Missouri State 77 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.784	Missouri State 75 - Middle Tennessee 51	-12
Montana 67 - Troy 71	0.601	Montana 62 - Troy 73	7
NC State 84 - Elon 61	0.889	NC State 74 - Elon 63	12
Niagara 65 - Stetson 72	0.679	Niagara 66 - Stetson 62	-11
NJ Tech 65 - American 66	0.538	NJ Tech 53 - American 58	4
North Carolina AT 63 - Gardner Webb 74	0.802	North Carolina AT 64 - Gardner Webb 66	-9
North Florida 76 - South Carolina State 67	0.769	North Florida 72 - South Carolina State 66	3
North Texas 64 - Fresno State 63	0.527	North Texas 61 - Fresno State 52	-8
Northern Colorado 70 - San Jose State 69	0.547	Northern Colorado 69 - San Jose State 80	12
Oakland 73 - Eastern Michigan 74	0.543	Oakland 92 - Eastern Michigan 90	-3
Oral Roberts 96 - Unranked 56		Oral Roberts 98 - Unranked 86
Oregon State 76 - Portland State 65	0.847	Oregon State 66 - Portland State 79	24
Pepperdine 67 - UC Irvine 74	0.656	Pepperdine 64 - UC Irvine 55	-16
Portland 74 - Seattle 73	0.505	Portland 68 - Seattle 80	13
Rice 71 - Western Michigan 69	0.542	Rice 96 - Western Michigan 88	-6
Rider 77 - Central Arkansas 64	0.813	Rider 85 - Central Arkansas 90	18
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Bowling Green 67	0.711	Saint Bonaventure 81 - Bowling Green 68	-5
Saint Francis Brooklyn 59 - Saint Peters 72	0.807	Saint Francis Brooklyn 61 - Saint Peters 58	-16
Saint Louis 73 - Maryland 70	0.597	Saint Louis 67 - Maryland 95	31
Saint Marys 78 - Hofstra 64	0.839	Saint Marys 76 - Hofstra 48	-14
SIU Edwardsville 66 - Virginia Military Institute 74	0.758	SIU Edwardsville 93 - Virginia Military Institute 67	-34
South Dakota State 79 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.675	South Dakota State 82 - Stephen F Austin 93	17
Southern Methodist 77 - Evansville 62	0.863	Southern Methodist 55 - Evansville 47	7
Syracuse 82 - Northeastern 65	0.898	Syracuse 76 - Northeastern 48	-11
UC Riverside 90 - Unranked 53		UC Riverside 106 - Unranked 30
UMass Lowell 88 - Unranked 55		UMass Lowell 105 - Unranked 53
Unranked 51 - Hawaii 88		Unranked 55 - Hawaii 79
Valparaiso 79 - Incarnate Word 58	0.945	Valparaiso 68 - Incarnate Word 64	17
Western Carolina 69 - Lamar 68	0.529	Western Carolina 98 - Lamar 91	-6
William and Mary 71 - Army 68	0.589	William and Mary 76 - Army 67	-6
Youngstown State 76 - UC San Diego 67	0.772	Youngstown State 73 - UC San Diego 54	-10

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 73 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.621	Appalachian State 83 - Southeast Louisiana 74	-6
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Jackson State 71	0.561	Arkansas Little Rock 94 - Jackson State 91	-5
Army 64 - Radford 73	0.746	Army 75 - Radford 90	6
Boise State 72 - Colorado 71	0.51	Boise State 68 - Colorado 55	-12
Boston College 71 - Tarleton State 65	0.702	Boston College 54 - Tarleton State 70	22
Cal Poly 66 - Mt St Marys 62	0.608	Cal Poly 68 - Mt St Marys 73	9
Campbell 70 - Kennesaw St 68	0.574	Campbell 85 - Kennesaw St 61	-22
Charlotte 70 - Massachusetts 69	0.529	Charlotte 54 - Massachusetts 60	7
College of Charleston 73 - Virginia Tech 78	0.686	College of Charleston 77 - Virginia Tech 75	-7
Colorado State 70 - Penn State 74	0.62	Colorado State 56 - Penn State 68	8
Columbia 79 - Unranked 63		Columbia 96 - Unranked 44
Connecticut 89 - Delaware State 48	0.997	Connecticut 95 - Delaware State 60	6
Davidson 78 - Old Dominion 66	0.821	Davidson 66 - Old Dominion 61	7
DePaul 70 - Oklahoma State 73	0.608	DePaul 78 - Oklahoma State 82	1
Eastern Kentucky 73 - Texas A&M Commerce 70	0.64	Eastern Kentucky 61 - Texas A&M Commerce 75	17
Georgetown 76 - La Salle 74	0.577	Georgetown 69 - La Salle 62	-5
Georgia State 74 - UNC Asheville 72	0.572	Georgia State 74 - UNC Asheville 68	-4
Gonzaga 79 - Kentucky 72	0.718	Gonzaga 88 - Kentucky 72	-9
Harvard 67 - Siena 70	0.581	Harvard 69 - Siena 59	-13
Illinois 72 - Virginia 70	0.533	Illinois 61 - Virginia 70	11
Indiana 87 - Miami OH 60	0.954	Indiana 86 - Miami OH 56	-3
Iowa State 82 - Milwaukee 56	0.958	Iowa State 68 - Milwaukee 53	11
Jacksonville 85 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville 91 - Unranked 61
Longwood 75 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.808	Longwood 56 - SIU Edwardsville 61	16
Loyola Ill 67 - Texas AM 72	0.652	Loyola Ill 51 - Texas AM 67	11
Loyola Marymount 71 - Wake Forest 77	0.69	Loyola Marymount 77 - Wake Forest 75	-8
Mcneese State 70 - Lamar 68	0.556	Mcneese State 66 - Lamar 57	-7
Memphis 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 67	0.689	Memphis 62 - Virginia Commonwealth 47	-8
Miami 70 - Maryland 71	0.517	Miami 70 - Maryland 88	17
Michigan 77 - Ohio 65	0.832	Michigan 70 - Ohio 66	8
Missouri 90 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.976	Missouri 83 - Mississippi Valley State 62	13
Morgan State 67 - Queens 73	0.77	Morgan State 64 - Queens 74	4
Navy 73 - Youngstown State 66	0.724	Navy 80 - Youngstown State 67	-6
Nebraska 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	0.878	Nebraska 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	-7
New Hampshire 70 - Boston 68	0.542	New Hampshire 57 - Boston 64	9
North Carolina 81 - James Madison 70	0.726	North Carolina 80 - James Madison 64	-5
North Dakota 63 - Montana State 75	0.832	North Dakota 71 - Montana State 81	-2
North Dakota State 89 - Unranked 55		North Dakota State 76 - Unranked 55
Oregon 64 - Houston 78	0.815	Oregon 56 - Houston 66	-4
Pittsburgh 78 - Alabama State 59	0.895	Pittsburgh 73 - Alabama State 54	0
Providence 72 - Saint Louis 73	0.542	Providence 73 - Saint Louis 76	2
Samford 72 - Texas Southern 73	0.545	Samford 78 - Texas Southern 63	-16
Santa Clara 74 - Central Florida 72	0.563	Santa Clara 50 - Central Florida 57	9
Seton Hall 81 - Wagner 62	0.89	Seton Hall 82 - Wagner 44	-19
South Carolina 70 - Furman 75	0.636	South Carolina 60 - Furman 79	14
Tennessee Martin 66 - Prairie View 76	0.751	Tennessee Martin 80 - Prairie View 79	-11
Tennessee Tech 64 - East Tennessee State 74	0.805	Tennessee Tech 69 - East Tennessee State 62	-17
Tulsa 70 - Murray State 74	0.613	Tulsa 60 - Murray State 77	13
UCLA 75 - Baylor 77	0.57	UCLA 75 - Baylor 80	3
UMBC 74 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.79	UMBC 78 - Central Connecticut State 76	10
Utah Valley 76 - Green Bay 58	0.932	Utah Valley 79 - Green Bay 56	-5
Virginia Military Institute 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.654	Virginia Military Institute 89 - Fairleigh Dickinson 93	8
Western Carolina 67 - Lindenwood 66	0.545	Western Carolina 90 - Lindenwood 88	-1
Western Michigan 66 - Georgia Southern 67	0.539	Western Michigan 57 - Georgia Southern 63	5
Wofford 75 - North Carolina AT 64	0.818	Wofford 78 - North Carolina AT 64	-3
Wyoming 69 - Drake 73	0.607	Wyoming 56 - Drake 61	1

Number of DI Games: 350
Number Correct: 240 = 68.5%
Expected Number Correct: 257.911 = 73.6%
Average Error: 10.35
Average Signed Error: -0.61

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 68 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.606	Air Force 83 - South Carolina Upstate 56	-24
Albany 65 - Austin Peay 70	0.617	Albany 59 - Austin Peay 74	10
Arizona 83 - Cincinnati 69	0.866	Arizona 101 - Cincinnati 93	6
Arkansas 79 - Louisville 57	0.942	Arkansas 80 - Louisville 54	-4
Belmont 78 - Howard 67	0.853	Belmont 96 - Howard 73	-12
Boston College 68 - Wyoming 69	0.534	Boston College 59 - Wyoming 48	-12
Bryant 74 - Detroit 71	0.585	Bryant 98 - Detroit 88	-7
California 68 - Texas State 67	0.513	California 55 - Texas State 59	5
Central Michigan 69 - High Point 76	0.709	Central Michigan 67 - High Point 68	-6
Charleston Southern 69 - Bethune Cookman 70	0.502	Charleston Southern 78 - Bethune Cookman 63	-16
Clemson 77 - Loyola MD 65	0.847	Clemson 72 - Loyola MD 41	-19
Colgate 79 - Monmouth 65	0.845	Colgate 85 - Monmouth 66	-5
Creighton 67 - Texas Tech 71	0.619	Creighton 76 - Texas Tech 65	-15
Duke 85 - Bellarmine 56	0.971	Duke 74 - Bellarmine 57	12
Duquesne 78 - North Florida 65	0.828	Duquesne 83 - North Florida 82	12
Eastern Illinois 78 - Unranked 58		Eastern Illinois 102 - Unranked 40
Eastern Washington 66 - Washington State 75	0.722	Eastern Washington 56 - Washington State 82	17
Florida AM 79 - Unranked 60		Florida AM 70 - Unranked 65
Florida Gulf Coast 66 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.574	Florida Gulf Coast 82 - Northern Kentucky 61	-24
Florida State 73 - Mercer 71	0.541	Florida State 81 - Mercer 72	-7
Fordham 76 - Holy Cross 59	0.934	Fordham 67 - Holy Cross 53	3
George Mason 70 - Buffalo 69	0.525	George Mason 74 - Buffalo 82	9
Illinois Chicago 72 - Stonehill 71	0.556	Illinois Chicago 77 - Stonehill 71	-5
Indiana State 75 - East Carolina 69	0.666	Indiana State 79 - East Carolina 75	2
Iowa 94 - Omaha 59	0.991	Iowa 100 - Omaha 64	-1
Kansas State 76 - Rhode Island 61	0.905	Kansas State 77 - Rhode Island 57	-5
Lipscomb 89 - Unranked 56		Lipscomb 86 - Unranked 61
Louisiana State 80 - Illinois State 62	0.927	Louisiana State 77 - Illinois State 61	2
Louisiana Tech 83 - UL Monroe 60	0.936	Louisiana Tech 79 - UL Monroe 58	2
Marquette 68 - Mississippi State 74	0.711	Marquette 55 - Mississippi State 58	-3
Marshall 84 - Chicago State 62	0.931	Marshall 82 - Chicago State 70	10
Minnesota 67 - Cal Baptist 65	0.547	Minnesota 62 - Cal Baptist 61	1
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - Southern Illinois 63	0.698	Nevada Las Vegas 56 - Southern Illinois 49	-1
Presbyterian 61 - Bucknell 72	0.765	Presbyterian 65 - Bucknell 66	-10
Rice 80 - Houston Christian 65	0.827	Rice 76 - Houston Christian 67	6
Saint Francis Penn 67 - Lehigh 68	0.506	Saint Francis Penn 76 - Lehigh 82	5
Saint Johns 78 - Temple 74	0.622	Saint Johns 78 - Temple 72	-2
Saint Josephs 71 - Georgia 72	0.541	Saint Josephs 53 - Georgia 66	12
San Diego 94 - Unranked 55		San Diego 98 - Unranked 69
San Diego State 75 - Ohio State 67	0.736	San Diego State 88 - Ohio State 77	-3
San Francisco 78 - Northern Iowa 67	0.763	San Francisco 75 - Northern Iowa 69	5
South Florida 63 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.884	South Florida 65 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0
Syracuse 71 - Richmond 72	0.528	Syracuse 74 - Richmond 71	-4
Tarleton State 68 - Drake 71	0.58	Tarleton State 64 - Drake 71	4
Tennessee State 69 - Cal State Northridge 63	0.712	Tennessee State 74 - Cal State Northridge 73	5
Texas 86 - Northern Arizona 56	0.962	Texas 73 - Northern Arizona 48	5
Texas Arlington 65 - Drexel 71	0.671	Texas Arlington 38 - Drexel 59	15
Texas Pan American 73 - Western Illinois 75	0.554	Texas Pan American 78 - Western Illinois 77	-3
Tulane 67 - Nevada 76	0.769	Tulane 66 - Nevada 75	0
UC Irvine 93 - Unranked 46		UC Irvine 116 - Unranked 54
UC Santa Barbara 78 - Hampton 61	0.863	UC Santa Barbara 79 - Hampton 66	4
UMKC 62 - Toledo 79	0.912	UMKC 83 - Toledo 71	-29
UNC Wilmington 87 - Unranked 55		UNC Wilmington 94 - Unranked 47
Utah 70 - Georgia Tech 69	0.532	Utah 68 - Georgia Tech 64	-3
Weber State 66 - UC Riverside 73	0.67	Weber State 65 - UC Riverside 72	0
Western Kentucky 70 - Akron 67	0.585	Western Kentucky 53 - Akron 72	22
Wichita State 65 - Grand Canyon 67	0.549	Wichita State 55 - Grand Canyon 43	-14
Wright State 71 - Abilene Christian 68	0.567	Wright State 77 - Abilene Christian 61	-13

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 67 - Louisiana State 75	0.752	Akron 58 - Louisiana State 73	7
Arizona 76 - San Diego State 78	0.566	Arizona 87 - San Diego State 70	-19
Arizona State 82 - Grambling State 64	0.81	Arizona State 80 - Grambling State 49	-13
Arkansas 72 - Creighton 68	0.62	Arkansas 87 - Creighton 90	7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 83 - Unranked 59		Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Unranked 56
Arkansas State 71 - Tennessee Martin 66	0.63	Arkansas State 70 - Tennessee Martin 64	-1
Auburn 75 - Bradley 66	0.746	Auburn 85 - Bradley 64	-12
Bucknell 69 - Austin Peay 67	0.532	Bucknell 79 - Austin Peay 65	-12
Cal State Fullerton 96 - Unranked 54		Cal State Fullerton 78 - Unranked 57
Cincinnati 67 - Ohio State 75	0.736	Cincinnati 53 - Ohio State 81	20
Cornell 74 - Canisius 70	0.646	Cornell 79 - Canisius 70	-5
East Carolina 67 - Toledo 78	0.818	East Carolina 86 - Toledo 75	-22
Eastern Michigan 66 - IPFW 74	0.729	Eastern Michigan 67 - IPFW 74	-1
Florida Gulf Coast 70 - Drexel 69	0.508	Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Drexel 59	-7
Fordham 76 - Stonehill 64	0.889	Fordham 71 - Stonehill 60	1
George Washington 76 - UC San Diego 65	0.827	George Washington 70 - UC San Diego 75	16
Georgia 69 - Alabama Birmingham 76	0.733	Georgia 73 - Alabama Birmingham 87	7
Grand Canyon 73 - Northern Iowa 62	0.74	Grand Canyon 69 - Northern Iowa 67	9
Hartford 79 - Unranked 62		Hartford 82 - Unranked 45
Illinois Chicago 71 - Holy Cross 65	0.749	Illinois Chicago 89 - Holy Cross 66	-17
Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 60		Incarnate Word 85 - Unranked 76
Indiana State 77 - UMKC 64	0.812	Indiana State 61 - UMKC 63	15
Jacksonville State 72 - Elon 65	0.677	Jacksonville State 78 - Elon 53	-18
Kansas State 68 - Nevada 72	0.636	Kansas State 96 - Nevada 87	-13
Lafayette 66 - Pennsylvania 70	0.62	Lafayette 68 - Pennsylvania 74	2
Louisville 57 - Texas Tech 78	0.944	Louisville 38 - Texas Tech 70	11
Maryland Eastern Shore 65 - Marist 66	0.527	Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Marist 59	-12
Montana 86 - Unranked 54		Montana 63 - Unranked 51
Morehead State 85 - Unranked 54		Morehead State 114 - Unranked 49
Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 59		Nicholls State 97 - Unranked 52
Norfolk State 89 - Unranked 55		Norfolk State 91 - Unranked 41
North Alabama 70 - Hampton 69	0.501	North Alabama 75 - Hampton 74	0
North Carolina AT 83 - Unranked 59		North Carolina AT 109 - Unranked 57
North Dakota 84 - Unranked 60		North Dakota 92 - Unranked 61
North Texas 91 - Unranked 46		North Texas 76 - Unranked 46
Northern Colorado 88 - Unranked 57		Northern Colorado 69 - Unranked 70
Northern Kentucky 71 - Texas Arlington 62	0.752	Northern Kentucky 56 - Texas Arlington 60	13
Northwestern 75 - Liberty 65	0.799	Northwestern 66 - Liberty 52	-4
Notre Dame 80 - Bowling Green 62	0.919	Notre Dame 82 - Bowling Green 66	2
Pacific 79 - Mt St Marys 68	0.826	Pacific 65 - Mt St Marys 69	15
Pittsburgh 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.808	Pittsburgh 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	-10
Presbyterian 64 - Albany 69	0.627	Presbyterian 65 - Albany 68	-2
Rhode Island 65 - Tulane 75	0.824	Rhode Island 75 - Tulane 78	-7
Rutgers 79 - Rider 56	0.941	Rutgers 76 - Rider 46	-7
Sacred Heart 71 - NJ Tech 63	0.747	Sacred Heart 75 - NJ Tech 85	18
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Southern Indiana 69	0.552	Saint Bonaventure 80 - Southern Indiana 66	-12
Saint Johns 77 - Syracuse 73	0.619	Saint Johns 76 - Syracuse 69	-3
Saint Josephs 74 - South Florida 67	0.717	Saint Josephs 62 - South Florida 75	20
Sam Houston State 76 - Northern Illinois 54	0.939	Sam Houston State 88 - Northern Illinois 54	-12
SE Missouri State 87 - Unranked 56		SE Missouri State 87 - Unranked 49
South Dakota 77 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.749	South Dakota 68 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0
Southern Methodist 72 - UL Lafayette 71	0.52	Southern Methodist 72 - UL Lafayette 76	5
Temple 72 - Richmond 73	0.522	Temple 49 - Richmond 61	11
Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 57		Tennessee Tech 84 - Unranked 48
Texas AM CC 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	0.746	Texas AM CC 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 73	18
Texas El Paso 71 - Alcorn State 67	0.622	Texas El Paso 73 - Alcorn State 61	-8
Texas Pan American 70 - Northern Arizona 76	0.672	Texas Pan American 91 - Northern Arizona 79	-18
Texas San Antonio 69 - Prairie View 71	0.551	Texas San Antonio 82 - Prairie View 75	-9
Towson 78 - Coppin State 63	0.846	Towson 83 - Coppin State 67	-1
Troy 90 - Unranked 53		Troy 118 - Unranked 61
UC Davis 73 - Sacramento State 65	0.762	UC Davis 82 - Sacramento State 71	-3
UNC Greensboro 72 - UMBC 63	0.761	UNC Greensboro 76 - UMBC 72	5
Utah State 84 - Oral Roberts 69	0.814	Utah State 95 - Oral Roberts 85	5
Weber State 63 - Abilene Christian 70	0.683	Weber State 77 - Abilene Christian 67	-17
Western Kentucky 75 - Illinois State 62	0.841	Western Kentucky 78 - Illinois State 66	1
Wichita State 69 - San Francisco 71	0.562	Wichita State 63 - San Francisco 67	2
Winthrop 69 - Southern Miss 73	0.605	Winthrop 52 - Southern Miss 77	21
Wright State 74 - UC Riverside 71	0.592	Wright State 65 - UC Riverside 70	8
Yale 71 - Vermont 64	0.75	Yale 73 - Vermont 44	-22

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 71 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.794	Air Force 64 - Mississippi Valley State 51	-2
Alabama AM 60 - Louisiana Tech 81	0.953	Alabama AM 75 - Louisiana Tech 80	-16
Arizona 78 - Creighton 75	0.614	Arizona 81 - Creighton 79	1
Baylor 92 - Mcneese State 51	0.991	Baylor 89 - Mcneese State 60	12
Binghamton 71 - Columbia 64	0.711	Binghamton 81 - Columbia 79	5
Brigham Young 74 - Southern California 70	0.626	Brigham Young 76 - Southern California 82	10
Brown 67 - UMass Lowell 71	0.658	Brown 62 - UMass Lowell 73	7
Butler 67 - Tennessee 71	0.596	Butler 45 - Tennessee 71	22
Cal Poly 70 - Idaho 63	0.711	Cal Poly 82 - Idaho 71	-4
Campbell 67 - Jacksonville 60	0.699	Campbell 43 - Jacksonville 64	28
Central Connecticut State 66 - Maine 71	0.651	Central Connecticut State 58 - Maine 66	3
Central Florida 78 - Evansville 56	0.939	Central Florida 76 - Evansville 56	2
Central Michigan 72 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.645	Central Michigan 82 - Cal State Northridge 66	-11
Chattanooga 74 - Lipscomb 67	0.722	Chattanooga 66 - Lipscomb 72	13
Cincinnati 72 - Louisville 65	0.715	Cincinnati 81 - Louisville 62	-12
Cleveland State 74 - Chicago State 64	0.816	Cleveland State 77 - Chicago State 63	-4
College of Charleston 76 - Kent State 75	0.545	College of Charleston 74 - Kent State 72	-1
Denver 72 - IUPUI 62	0.83	Denver 86 - IUPUI 64	-12
Detroit 64 - Charlotte 72	0.699	Detroit 70 - Charlotte 49	-29
Drexel 68 - Indiana State 74	0.644	Drexel 81 - Indiana State 85	-2
Duquesne 82 - Alabama State 58	0.931	Duquesne 75 - Alabama State 57	6
East Tennessee State 69 - Appalachian State 68	0.507	East Tennessee State 70 - Appalachian State 74	5
Eastern Kentucky 87 - Unranked 57		Eastern Kentucky 122 - Unranked 84
Florida Gulf Coast 71 - UMKC 66	0.634	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - UMKC 59	-9
Florida International 73 - Stony Brook 64	0.743	Florida International 83 - Stony Brook 50	-24
Georgetown 78 - American 63	0.896	Georgetown 70 - American 74	19
High Point 72 - Tennessee State 67	0.668	High Point 77 - Tennessee State 72	0
Indiana 91 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	0.989	Indiana 87 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	15
Kansas State 70 - Louisiana State 72	0.58	Kansas State 61 - Louisiana State 59	-4
Kentucky 86 - North Florida 61	0.962	Kentucky 96 - North Florida 56	-15
Liberty 67 - Bradley 72	0.653	Liberty 55 - Bradley 44	-16
Lindenwood 67 - Idaho State 66	0.505	Lindenwood 77 - Idaho State 76	0
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Northern Illinois 70	0.594	LIU Brooklyn 61 - Northern Illinois 86	21
Loyola Marymount 80 - Morgan State 64	0.905	Loyola Marymount 81 - Morgan State 80	15
Marquette 75 - Georgia Tech 69	0.717	Marquette 84 - Georgia Tech 60	-18
Miami 82 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 57	0.936	Miami 79 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 56	2
Michigan 85 - Jackson State 58	0.938	Michigan 78 - Jackson State 68	17
Milwaukee 67 - Saint Thomas 71	0.618	Milwaukee 72 - Saint Thomas 76	0
Mississippi State 75 - Utah 63	0.798	Mississippi State 52 - Utah 49	9
Missouri 84 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.911	Missouri 89 - Coastal Carolina 51	-19
NC State 69 - Kansas 79	0.732	NC State 74 - Kansas 80	-4
Nevada 74 - Akron 64	0.782	Nevada 62 - Akron 58	6
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Minnesota 63	0.793	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Minnesota 62	1
New Orleans 72 - The Citadel 70	0.542	New Orleans 65 - The Citadel 72	9
Niagara 83 - Unranked 52		Niagara 91 - Unranked 53
Northern Kentucky 66 - Toledo 73	0.692	Northern Kentucky 69 - Toledo 82	6
Northwestern 69 - Auburn 73	0.644	Northwestern 42 - Auburn 43	-3
Ohio State 67 - Texas Tech 73	0.69	Ohio State 80 - Texas Tech 73	-13
Providence 78 - Merrimack 56	0.954	Providence 71 - Merrimack 57	8
Queens 90 - Unranked 54		Queens 107 - Unranked 72
Rhode Island 69 - Illinois State 68	0.535	Rhode Island 57 - Illinois State 44	-12
Saint Francis Penn 83 - Unranked 58		Saint Francis Penn 120 - Unranked 53
Saint Louis 99 - Unranked 51		Saint Louis 96 - Unranked 53
Saint Peters 85 - Unranked 54		Saint Peters 98 - Unranked 51
Samford 75 - Valparaiso 63	0.79	Samford 79 - Valparaiso 49	-18
San Diego State 71 - Arkansas 69	0.554	San Diego State 74 - Arkansas 78	6
Santa Clara 93 - Unranked 51		Santa Clara 64 - Unranked 51
Seattle 95 - Unranked 50		Seattle 89 - Unranked 53
South Dakota 62 - Sam Houston State 77	0.836	South Dakota 49 - Sam Houston State 80	16
Southern Illinois 67 - Cal Baptist 62	0.659	Southern Illinois 64 - Cal Baptist 61	2
Southern Miss 71 - IPFW 65	0.652	Southern Miss 70 - IPFW 58	-6
Texas AM CC 66 - Alcorn State 71	0.626	Texas AM CC 98 - Alcorn State 67	-36
Texas Arlington 66 - East Carolina 72	0.731	Texas Arlington 65 - East Carolina 79	8
Texas El Paso 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 56	0.921	Texas El Paso 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	17
Tulane 70 - Western Kentucky 71	0.553	Tulane 65 - Western Kentucky 71	5
UC Riverside 67 - Abilene Christian 68	0.521	UC Riverside 76 - Abilene Christian 65	-12
UC Santa Barbara 77 - North Alabama 60	0.877	UC Santa Barbara 89 - North Alabama 71	-1
UCLA 78 - Pepperdine 68	0.765	UCLA 100 - Pepperdine 53	-37
Vanderbilt 63 - Saint Marys 79	0.859	Vanderbilt 65 - Saint Marys 75	-6
Wake Forest 86 - South Carolina State 58	0.984	Wake Forest 105 - South Carolina State 74	-3
Washington 71 - Fresno State 68	0.597	Washington 62 - Fresno State 57	-2
Weber State 67 - Wright State 76	0.751	Weber State 65 - Wright State 87	13
William and Mary 64 - Radford 72	0.76	William and Mary 62 - Radford 51	-19
Winthrop 79 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.762	Winthrop 101 - Eastern Michigan 87	-4
Wisconsin 69 - Dayton 64	0.634	Wisconsin 43 - Dayton 42	4
Wofford 90 - Unranked 54		Wofford 70 - Unranked 59

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Butler 73 - Brigham Young 72	0.514	Butler 75 - Brigham Young 70	-4
Dayton 70 - NC State 71	0.518	Dayton 64 - NC State 76	11
Manhattan 64 - Northeastern 67	0.608	Manhattan 67 - Northeastern 69	-1
Michigan State 73 - Alabama 74	0.511	Michigan State 70 - Alabama 81	10
Nebraska 67 - Oklahoma 75	0.706	Nebraska 56 - Oklahoma 69	5
New Orleans 74 - IUPUI 63	0.818	New Orleans 87 - IUPUI 84	8
Oregon 69 - Connecticut 74	0.633	Oregon 59 - Connecticut 83	19
Oregon State 60 - Duke 82	0.948	Oregon State 51 - Duke 54	-19
Portland 66 - North Carolina 81	0.845	Portland 81 - North Carolina 89	-7
Portland State 65 - Gonzaga 88	0.943	Portland State 78 - Gonzaga 102	1
Princeton 79 - Army 63	0.885	Princeton 74 - Army 66	8
Saint Marys 80 - Washington 59	0.924	Saint Marys 64 - Washington 68	25
Seton Hall 73 - Memphis 72	0.505	Seton Hall 70 - Memphis 69	0
Siena 66 - Florida State 73	0.712	Siena 80 - Florida State 63	-24
Stanford 67 - Mississippi 72	0.637	Stanford 68 - Mississippi 72	-1
Tennessee 74 - Southern California 65	0.709	Tennessee 73 - Southern California 66	2
The Citadel 70 - Denver 71	0.53	The Citadel 71 - Denver 74	2
Vanderbilt 75 - Fresno State 67	0.693	Vanderbilt 67 - Fresno State 59	0
Villanova 71 - Iowa State 70	0.518	Villanova 79 - Iowa State 81	3
West Virginia 72 - Purdue 74	0.572	West Virginia 68 - Purdue 80	10
Wisconsin 67 - Kansas 73	0.663	Wisconsin 68 - Kansas 69	-5
Xavier 75 - Florida 74	0.536	Xavier 90 - Florida 83	-6

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 74 - Connecticut 72	0.544	Alabama 67 - Connecticut 82	17
Alabama AM 80 - Unranked 62		Alabama AM 90 - Unranked 79
Alcorn State 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	0.815	Alcorn State 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 54	5
Arkansas State 67 - Prairie View 70	0.581	Arkansas State 59 - Prairie View 67	5
Ball State 66 - Vermont 70	0.635	Ball State 73 - Vermont 78	1
Brigham Young 70 - Dayton 68	0.563	Brigham Young 79 - Dayton 75	-2
Butler 73 - NC State 72	0.54	Butler 61 - NC State 76	16
Clemson 68 - Iowa 85	0.883	Clemson 71 - Iowa 74	-14
Davidson 72 - San Francisco 74	0.573	Davidson 89 - San Francisco 80	-11
Delaware 69 - Colgate 79	0.76	Delaware 72 - Colgate 68	-14
DePaul 72 - Texas AM 73	0.508	DePaul 66 - Texas AM 82	15
Eastern Washington 72 - Stony Brook 62	0.801	Eastern Washington 81 - Stony Brook 52	-19
Evansville 63 - South Alabama 73	0.786	Evansville 67 - South Alabama 78	1
Florida 77 - Oregon State 65	0.856	Florida 81 - Oregon State 68	-1
Furman 96 - Unranked 52		Furman 102 - Unranked 74
Gonzaga 78 - Purdue 73	0.645	Gonzaga 66 - Purdue 84	23
Harvard 67 - Loyola Ill 66	0.514	Harvard 61 - Loyola Ill 55	-5
Hawaii 69 - Sacramento State 61	0.798	Hawaii 74 - Sacramento State 61	-5
Hofstra 75 - Middle Tennessee 67	0.706	Hofstra 54 - Middle Tennessee 64	18
Illinois 88 - Lindenwood 56	0.983	Illinois 92 - Lindenwood 59	-1
Incarnate Word 64 - Dartmouth 68	0.634	Incarnate Word 69 - Dartmouth 64	-9
Indiana 88 - Jackson State 56	0.988	Indiana 90 - Jackson State 51	-7
Iowa State 69 - North Carolina 76	0.678	Iowa State 70 - North Carolina 65	-12
Long Beach State 79 - Oakland 72	0.721	Long Beach State 78 - Oakland 70	-1
Longwood 86 - Unranked 54		Longwood 112 - Unranked 60
Loyola Marymount 79 - Bellarmine 64	0.87	Loyola Marymount 80 - Bellarmine 59	-6
Loyola MD 68 - Southern 72	0.657	Loyola MD 58 - Southern 76	14
Maryland 86 - Coppin State 58	0.959	Maryland 95 - Coppin State 79	12
Memphis 78 - Nebraska 66	0.807	Memphis 73 - Nebraska 61	0
Michigan State 75 - Oregon 69	0.654	Michigan State 74 - Oregon 70	2
Mississippi 79 - Siena 57	0.938	Mississippi 74 - Siena 62	10
Monmouth 71 - Cornell 73	0.568	Monmouth 63 - Cornell 81	16
New Mexico 84 - Jacksonville State 64	0.915	New Mexico 79 - Jacksonville State 61	2
New Mexico State 76 - San Diego 70	0.651	New Mexico State 90 - San Diego 77	-7
New Orleans 72 - Denver 71	0.519	New Orleans 76 - Denver 77	2
Nicholls State 62 - UC Irvine 79	0.872	Nicholls State 56 - UC Irvine 83	10
North Dakota 69 - Utah Tech 73	0.643	North Dakota 67 - Utah Tech 52	-19
Northern Colorado 71 - North Dakota State 73	0.556	Northern Colorado 80 - North Dakota State 70	-12
Ohio 76 - Eastern Illinois 58	0.899	Ohio 78 - Eastern Illinois 67	7
Oklahoma State 78 - Tulsa 65	0.841	Oklahoma State 82 - Tulsa 56	-13
Omaha 72 - UL Monroe 68	0.625	Omaha 63 - UL Monroe 56	-3
Pacific 85 - Idaho 61	0.963	Pacific 81 - Idaho 84	27
Penn State 81 - Lafayette 54	0.988	Penn State 70 - Lafayette 57	14
Pennsylvania 78 - Hartford 60	0.869	Pennsylvania 75 - Hartford 55	-2
Pittsburgh 75 - William and Mary 64	0.773	Pittsburgh 80 - William and Mary 64	-5
Portland 67 - Villanova 76	0.73	Portland 83 - Villanova 71	-21
Portland State 66 - West Virginia 81	0.886	Portland State 71 - West Virginia 89	3
Quinnipiac 68 - Stephen F Austin 78	0.795	Quinnipiac 58 - Stephen F Austin 44	-24
Robert Morris 65 - Mercer 76	0.78	Robert Morris 66 - Mercer 72	-5
Saint Bonaventure 67 - Notre Dame 73	0.693	Saint Bonaventure 63 - Notre Dame 51	-18
Samford 71 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.519	Samford 76 - Louisiana Tech 79	2
San Jose State 61 - North Texas 72	0.818	San Jose State 54 - North Texas 69	4
Seton Hall 73 - Oklahoma 68	0.63	Seton Hall 64 - Oklahoma 77	18
South Carolina 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.737	South Carolina 68 - South Carolina Upstate 53	-6
South Florida 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.713	South Florida 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	-7
Southern California 65 - Wisconsin 73	0.683	Southern California 59 - Wisconsin 64	-3
Stanford 76 - Florida State 66	0.764	Stanford 70 - Florida State 60	0
Tennessee 68 - Kansas 73	0.614	Tennessee 64 - Kansas 50	-19
Texas Christian 75 - California 64	0.769	Texas Christian 59 - California 48	0
Texas El Paso 74 - Texas AM CC 65	0.769	Texas El Paso 72 - Texas AM CC 67	4
Texas San Antonio 71 - Grambling State 70	0.503	Texas San Antonio 55 - Grambling State 75	21
Texas State 67 - Southern Utah 77	0.755	Texas State 78 - Southern Utah 65	-23
The Citadel 72 - IUPUI 62	0.755	The Citadel 74 - IUPUI 53	-11
Towson 76 - Fairfield 58	0.883	Towson 69 - Fairfield 74	23
UNC Greensboro 66 - Montana State 68	0.566	UNC Greensboro 77 - Montana State 66	-13
UNC Wilmington 62 - Missouri State 76	0.83	UNC Wilmington 68 - Missouri State 54	-28
Unranked 54 - James Madison 95		Unranked 54 - James Madison 100
Valparaiso 65 - South Dakota State 78	0.836	Valparaiso 50 - South Dakota State 61	-2
Virginia 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 49	0.981	Virginia 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 45	10
Virginia Tech 86 - Charleston Southern 57	0.988	Virginia Tech 69 - Charleston Southern 64	24
Washington State 75 - Detroit 67	0.681	Washington State 96 - Detroit 54	-34
Xavier 70 - Duke 79	0.765	Xavier 64 - Duke 71	-2

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 96 - Unranked 52		Alabama Birmingham 110 - Unranked 53
Alabama State 65 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.573	Alabama State 67 - Eastern Illinois 58	-11
Albany 60 - Florida Atlantic 79	0.915	Albany 56 - Florida Atlantic 73	-2
Army 70 - Manhattan 69	0.509	Army 71 - Manhattan 72	2
Austin Peay 70 - Howard 66	0.605	Austin Peay 55 - Howard 56	5
Boise State 75 - Utah Valley 62	0.856	Boise State 87 - Utah Valley 69	-5
Boston 71 - SE Missouri State 67	0.606	Boston 52 - SE Missouri State 63	15
Bowling Green 68 - Southern Indiana 75	0.709	Bowling Green 57 - Southern Indiana 69	5
Bradley 76 - Merrimack 55	0.944	Bradley 83 - Merrimack 41	-21
Bucknell 71 - Marist 64	0.703	Bucknell 54 - Marist 60	13
Cal Baptist 74 - Central Michigan 65	0.75	Cal Baptist 77 - Central Michigan 61	-7
California 63 - Clemson 75	0.822	California 59 - Clemson 67	-4
Central Arkansas 70 - Northwestern State 71	0.56	Central Arkansas 66 - Northwestern State 74	7
Charlotte 77 - Presbyterian 51	0.952	Charlotte 69 - Presbyterian 42	-1
Chattanooga 69 - Murray State 73	0.614	Chattanooga 69 - Murray State 66	-7
Coastal Carolina 72 - South Dakota 73	0.533	Coastal Carolina 66 - South Dakota 59	-8
Colorado State 83 - Mississippi Valley State 53	0.961	Colorado State 88 - Mississippi Valley State 45	-13
Delaware 77 - Hartford 64	0.812	Delaware 78 - Hartford 50	-15
Drake 74 - UL Lafayette 70	0.666	Drake 76 - UL Lafayette 64	-8
George Mason 70 - Queens 69	0.524	George Mason 72 - Queens 65	-6
George Washington 75 - New Hampshire 65	0.801	George Washington 75 - New Hampshire 54	-11
Georgetown 79 - UMBC 66	0.814	Georgetown 79 - UMBC 70	4
Georgia Southern 81 - Unranked 56		Georgia Southern 101 - Unranked 73
Georgia Tech 80 - North Alabama 57	0.952	Georgia Tech 80 - North Alabama 61	4
Grand Canyon 93 - Unranked 46		Grand Canyon 110 - Unranked 53
Green Bay 66 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.634	Green Bay 64 - Illinois Chicago 78	10
Hawaii 71 - Texas State 61	0.824	Hawaii 72 - Texas State 65	3
Houston 80 - Kent State 62	0.89	Houston 49 - Kent State 44	13
Idaho State 68 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.555	Idaho State 66 - Bethune Cookman 68	4
Iona 73 - Santa Clara 68	0.628	Iona 76 - Santa Clara 86	15
James Madison 77 - South Dakota State 74	0.572	James Madison 79 - South Dakota State 60	-16
La Salle 75 - Binghamton 61	0.85	La Salle 65 - Binghamton 62	11
Liberty 80 - Delaware State 59	0.912	Liberty 80 - Delaware State 53	-6
Long Beach State 64 - North Texas 74	0.764	Long Beach State 47 - North Texas 68	11
Louisiana Tech 93 - Unranked 53		Louisiana Tech 91 - Unranked 47
Marquette 87 - Chicago State 59	0.969	Marquette 82 - Chicago State 68	14
Marshall 77 - Morehead State 63	0.828	Marshall 83 - Morehead State 59	-10
Mercer 75 - Fairfield 64	0.805	Mercer 60 - Fairfield 58	9
Miami OH 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.701	Miami OH 80 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	-7
Middle Tennessee 68 - Stephen F Austin 75	0.655	Middle Tennessee 75 - Stephen F Austin 63	-19
Milwaukee 67 - UC Davis 74	0.748	Milwaukee 87 - UC Davis 85	-9
Missouri 90 - Houston Christian 57	0.993	Missouri 105 - Houston Christian 69	-3
Missouri State 75 - Ball State 62	0.829	Missouri State 64 - Ball State 67	16
Navy 73 - Mt St Marys 62	0.823	Navy 75 - Mt St Marys 59	-5
Nevada Las Vegas 95 - Unranked 48		Nevada Las Vegas 126 - Unranked 54
New Mexico 83 - North Dakota State 68	0.866	New Mexico 76 - North Dakota State 55	-6
New Mexico State 67 - UC Irvine 70	0.575	New Mexico State 68 - UC Irvine 85	14
North Carolina AT 83 - Unranked 59		North Carolina AT 78 - Unranked 51
North Carolina Central 65 - Gardner Webb 71	0.658	North Carolina Central 58 - Gardner Webb 53	-11
Northern Colorado 72 - Jacksonville State 69	0.593	Northern Colorado 86 - Jacksonville State 82	-1
Northern Iowa 73 - Northern Illinois 61	0.806	Northern Iowa 83 - Northern Illinois 76	5
Oakland 70 - San Jose State 76	0.708	Oakland 67 - San Jose State 80	7
Old Dominion 72 - East Carolina 68	0.634	Old Dominion 71 - East Carolina 50	-17
Omaha 64 - Southern 76	0.838	Omaha 88 - Southern 78	-22
Pennsylvania 70 - Colgate 75	0.647	Pennsylvania 81 - Colgate 69	-17
Princeton 74 - Northeastern 61	0.832	Princeton 56 - Northeastern 54	11
Providence 84 - Columbia 57	0.963	Providence 78 - Columbia 64	13
Quinnipiac 68 - Montana State 72	0.636	Quinnipiac 70 - Montana State 53	-21
Robert Morris 67 - Evansville 69	0.563	Robert Morris 53 - Evansville 54	-1
Rutgers 80 - Central Connecticut State 52	0.967	Rutgers 83 - Central Connecticut State 49	-6
Saint Francis Penn 68 - American 65	0.596	Saint Francis Penn 55 - American 66	14
Saint Johns 78 - Niagara 61	0.88	Saint Johns 78 - Niagara 70	9
San Diego 80 - Nicholls State 70	0.773	San Diego 70 - Nicholls State 72	12
Southeast Louisiana 88 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 96 - Unranked 62
Southern Utah 75 - Sacramento State 67	0.725	Southern Utah 91 - Sacramento State 87	4
Syracuse 78 - Bryant 70	0.72	Syracuse 72 - Bryant 73	9
Texas 92 - Texas Pan American 54	0.986	Texas 91 - Texas Pan American 54	1
Texas Christian 68 - Iowa 85	0.86	Texas Christian 79 - Iowa 66	-30
Towson 71 - South Alabama 65	0.658	Towson 62 - South Alabama 60	4
UL Monroe 65 - Loyola MD 76	0.796	UL Monroe 64 - Loyola MD 65	-10
UMKC 69 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.535	UMKC 54 - SIU Edwardsville 64	12
UNC Asheville 77 - Western Carolina 71	0.681	UNC Asheville 73 - Western Carolina 61	-6
UNC Greensboro 65 - Hofstra 75	0.815	UNC Greensboro 53 - Hofstra 65	2
UNC Wilmington 66 - Vermont 71	0.648	UNC Wilmington 68 - Vermont 66	-7
Utah 76 - Saint Thomas 65	0.749	Utah 95 - Saint Thomas 66	-18
Utah Tech 68 - Cal State Fullerton 80	0.879	Utah Tech 66 - Cal State Fullerton 60	-18
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Kennesaw St 61	0.872	Virginia Commonwealth 64 - Kennesaw St 61	12
Virginia Military Institute 82 - Unranked 61		Virginia Military Institute 108 - Unranked 58
Wake Forest 83 - Hampton 59	0.941	Wake Forest 97 - Hampton 70	-3
Western Illinois 69 - Youngstown State 76	0.684	Western Illinois 64 - Youngstown State 88	17
Western Kentucky 83 - South Carolina State 57	0.966	Western Kentucky 90 - South Carolina State 64	0
Western Michigan 63 - Cleveland State 72	0.8	Western Michigan 49 - Cleveland State 71	13
Wichita State 70 - Tarleton State 65	0.649	Wichita State 83 - Tarleton State 71	-7

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 64 - Montana 68	0.601	Air Force 59 - Montana 56	-7
Alabama 74 - North Carolina 75	0.513	Alabama 103 - North Carolina 101	-3
Arizona State 76 - Alcorn State 65	0.729	Arizona State 76 - Alcorn State 54	-11
Arkansas State 84 - Unranked 55		Arkansas State 90 - Unranked 65
Auburn 77 - Saint Louis 73	0.624	Auburn 65 - Saint Louis 60	-1
Boston College 71 - Rhode Island 64	0.713	Boston College 53 - Rhode Island 49	3
Brown 69 - Maine 68	0.511	Brown 70 - Maine 63	-6
Buffalo 74 - Canisius 67	0.686	Buffalo 86 - Canisius 66	-13
Campbell 72 - Stetson 64	0.723	Campbell 87 - Stetson 85	6
Central Arkansas 70 - Idaho State 69	0.557	Central Arkansas 81 - Idaho State 77	-3
Central Florida 73 - Miami 69	0.627	Central Florida 64 - Miami 66	6
Colorado 75 - Yale 68	0.662	Colorado 65 - Yale 62	4
Connecticut 74 - Iowa State 68	0.664	Connecticut 71 - Iowa State 53	-12
Eastern Michigan 71 - UC San Diego 70	0.537	Eastern Michigan 63 - UC San Diego 66	4
Elon 62 - Radford 72	0.767	Elon 53 - Radford 69	6
Evansville 68 - Fairfield 66	0.58	Evansville 56 - Fairfield 63	9
Florida International 70 - Eastern Washington 72	0.561	Florida International 90 - Eastern Washington 79	-13
Fordham 69 - Harvard 64	0.667	Fordham 68 - Harvard 60	-3
Georgia 72 - East Tennessee State 65	0.741	Georgia 62 - East Tennessee State 47	-8
Georgia State 71 - Belmont 69	0.557	Georgia State 66 - Belmont 68	4
Gonzaga 84 - Xavier 71	0.824	Gonzaga 88 - Xavier 84	9
Grambling State 77 - Incarnate Word 61	0.809	Grambling State 61 - Incarnate Word 63	18
Hartford 59 - Colgate 82	0.925	Hartford 58 - Colgate 92	11
Holy Cross 81 - Unranked 60		Holy Cross 95 - Unranked 61
Indiana State 94 - Unranked 53		Indiana State 105 - Unranked 68
IPFW 87 - Unranked 54		IPFW 106 - Unranked 41
Lehigh 70 - Monmouth 68	0.572	Lehigh 80 - Monmouth 76	-2
Long Beach State 70 - Vermont 72	0.574	Long Beach State 78 - Vermont 58	-22
Louisiana State 79 - Wofford 65	0.886	Louisiana State 78 - Wofford 75	11
Memphis 76 - Stanford 68	0.719	Memphis 56 - Stanford 48	0
Mercer 66 - Towson 74	0.709	Mercer 60 - Towson 70	2
Milwaukee 65 - Boston 71	0.674	Milwaukee 67 - Boston 46	-27
Montana State 70 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.513	Montana State 71 - Middle Tennessee 72	2
Nebraska 74 - Florida State 68	0.665	Nebraska 75 - Florida State 58	-11
New Mexico 84 - Northern Colorado 67	0.898	New Mexico 98 - Northern Colorado 74	-7
NJ Tech 60 - Wagner 72	0.811	NJ Tech 57 - Wagner 62	-7
North Dakota 65 - Cal State Fullerton 81	0.912	North Dakota 73 - Cal State Fullerton 57	-32
North Dakota State 73 - Jacksonville State 68	0.638	North Dakota State 71 - Jacksonville State 81	15
North Texas 73 - UNC Wilmington 61	0.814	North Texas 51 - UNC Wilmington 55	16
Northern Arizona 66 - Abilene Christian 69	0.591	Northern Arizona 82 - Abilene Christian 92	7
Northern Kentucky 74 - Tennessee Tech 58	0.853	Northern Kentucky 85 - Tennessee Tech 77	8
Northwestern State 72 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.691	Northwestern State 69 - Bethune Cookman 66	5
Oakland 63 - Missouri State 82	0.912	Oakland 64 - Missouri State 76	-7
Ohio 80 - Alabama State 60	0.921	Ohio 72 - Alabama State 58	6
Oklahoma 70 - Mississippi 71	0.551	Oklahoma 59 - Mississippi 55	-5
Oklahoma State 79 - Prairie View 65	0.841	Oklahoma State 78 - Prairie View 53	-11
Oral Roberts 96 - Unranked 55		Oral Roberts 81 - Unranked 70
Oregon 72 - Villanova 71	0.502	Oregon 74 - Villanova 67	-6
Pennsylvania 74 - Delaware 70	0.623	Pennsylvania 86 - Delaware 73	-9
Portland 65 - Michigan State 80	0.876	Portland 77 - Michigan State 78	-14
Portland State 72 - Oregon State 71	0.526	Portland State 83 - Oregon State 71	-11
Purdue 72 - Duke 73	0.548	Purdue 75 - Duke 56	-20
Quinnipiac 66 - Hofstra 79	0.859	Quinnipiac 70 - Hofstra 72	-11
Robert Morris 62 - South Alabama 74	0.809	Robert Morris 70 - South Alabama 84	2
Saint Peters 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.757	Saint Peters 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	-5
Samford 92 - Unranked 53		Samford 82 - Unranked 84
San Jose State 69 - Ball State 68	0.517	San Jose State 67 - Ball State 65	-1
SE Missouri State 70 - UC Davis 73	0.619	SE Missouri State 71 - UC Davis 73	-1
Seton Hall 80 - Siena 56	0.948	Seton Hall 55 - Siena 60	29
Southern Methodist 79 - Lamar 58	0.933	Southern Methodist 75 - Lamar 50	-4
Southern Miss 91 - Unranked 51		Southern Miss 103 - Unranked 52
Temple 76 - Drexel 67	0.719	Temple 73 - Drexel 61	-3
Texas San Antonio 71 - Dartmouth 63	0.723	Texas San Antonio 77 - Dartmouth 78	9
UCLA 83 - Bellarmine 59	0.968	UCLA 81 - Bellarmine 60	3
UMass Lowell 76 - Stonehill 67	0.818	UMass Lowell 73 - Stonehill 59	-5
UNC Greensboro 66 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.745	UNC Greensboro 58 - Stephen F Austin 75	9
Valparaiso 63 - James Madison 79	0.815	Valparaiso 81 - James Madison 79	-18
West Virginia 76 - Florida 70	0.692	West Virginia 84 - Florida 55	-23

Number of DI Games: 399
Number Correct: 290 = 72.6%
Expected Number Correct: 290.185 = 72.7%
Average Error: 9.46
Average Signed Error: -1.05

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 76 - Unranked 60		Alabama AM 71 - Unranked 55
Arkansas 84 - Troy 60	0.947	Arkansas 74 - Troy 61	11
Boston 68 - UC Davis 70	0.554	Boston 70 - UC Davis 81	9
Bryant 89 - Unranked 57		Bryant 98 - Unranked 44
Grambling State 66 - Dartmouth 67	0.504	Grambling State 73 - Dartmouth 49	-25
Kansas 85 - Texas Southern 61	0.945	Kansas 87 - Texas Southern 55	-8
Marist 69 - Columbia 64	0.639	Marist 52 - Columbia 39	-8
Milwaukee 72 - SE Missouri State 67	0.656	Milwaukee 84 - SE Missouri State 68	-11
Mississippi State 83 - Omaha 58	0.949	Mississippi State 74 - Omaha 54	5
Nevada 76 - Sam Houston State 67	0.733	Nevada 78 - Sam Houston State 60	-9
Northwestern 74 - Pittsburgh 68	0.684	Northwestern 58 - Pittsburgh 87	35
Pacific 77 - Cal Poly 61	0.868	Pacific 58 - Cal Poly 62	20
Sacred Heart 84 - Unranked 59		Sacred Heart 100 - Unranked 59
San Diego 73 - Longwood 65	0.715	San Diego 71 - Longwood 68	5
South Dakota 87 - Unranked 56		South Dakota 97 - Unranked 58
Southern 83 - Unranked 57		Southern 112 - Unranked 52
Tennessee Martin 71 - Mcneese State 66	0.613	Tennessee Martin 86 - Mcneese State 83	2
Texas A&M Commerce 83 - Unranked 57		Texas A&M Commerce 101 - Unranked 46
Texas Arlington 85 - Unranked 55		Texas Arlington 99 - Unranked 41
Texas San Antonio 78 - Incarnate Word 62	0.848	Texas San Antonio 68 - Incarnate Word 62	10
Tulane 75 - UL Monroe 64	0.814	Tulane 75 - UL Monroe 60	-4
Virginia Tech 77 - Minnesota 69	0.697	Virginia Tech 67 - Minnesota 57	-2
Washington 76 - Seattle 68	0.695	Washington 77 - Seattle 66	-3

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 70 - Albany 66	0.639	American 88 - Albany 62	-22
Appalachian State 66 - Furman 74	0.735	Appalachian State 61 - Furman 65	-4
Boise State 82 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.913	Boise State 55 - Cal State Northridge 46	12
Bowling Green 74 - Queens 66	0.7	Bowling Green 66 - Queens 72	14
Brigham Young 96 - Unranked 52		Brigham Young 100 - Unranked 70
Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 53		Cal State Bakersfield 90 - Unranked 49
Central Connecticut State 65 - Brown 71	0.665	Central Connecticut State 51 - Brown 59	2
Central Michigan 87 - Unranked 60		Central Michigan 74 - Unranked 67
Clemson 73 - Penn State 72	0.501	Clemson 101 - Penn State 94	-6
College of Charleston 70 - Old Dominion 68	0.539	College of Charleston 75 - Old Dominion 60	-13
Davidson 76 - Charlotte 62	0.799	Davidson 66 - Charlotte 68	16
Duquesne 70 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.51	Duquesne 72 - UC Santa Barbara 61	-10
East Carolina 80 - South Carolina State 60	0.915	East Carolina 68 - South Carolina State 73	25
Grand Canyon 75 - Alcorn State 58	0.86	Grand Canyon 80 - Alcorn State 72	9
Houston 82 - Norfolk State 54	0.957	Houston 100 - Norfolk State 52	-20
Illinois 78 - Syracuse 71	0.684	Illinois 73 - Syracuse 44	-22
Iowa 81 - Georgia Tech 71	0.736	Iowa 81 - Georgia Tech 65	-6
Kentucky 82 - Bellarmine 60	0.929	Kentucky 60 - Bellarmine 41	3
Louisville 69 - Maryland 75	0.656	Louisville 54 - Maryland 79	19
Marquette 72 - Baylor 79	0.711	Marquette 96 - Baylor 70	-33
Miami OH 70 - Jackson State 62	0.718	Miami OH 95 - Jackson State 78	-9
Michigan 70 - Virginia 69	0.52	Michigan 68 - Virginia 70	3
Morehead State 84 - Unranked 54		Morehead State 109 - Unranked 62
Morgan State 83 - Unranked 58		Morgan State 123 - Unranked 59
NC State 82 - William and Mary 63	0.886	NC State 85 - William and Mary 64	-2
Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 56		Nicholls State 115 - Unranked 50
North Carolina Central 66 - UNC Asheville 69	0.575	North Carolina Central 79 - UNC Asheville 66	-16
North Florida 86 - Unranked 59		North Florida 90 - Unranked 49
Northern Arizona 83 - Unranked 58		Northern Arizona 82 - Unranked 51
Oral Roberts 91 - Unranked 56		Oral Roberts 116 - Unranked 68
Presbyterian 67 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.614	Presbyterian 72 - Virginia Military Institute 57	-19
Saint Johns 85 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.922	Saint Johns 95 - LIU Brooklyn 68	-6
Saint Thomas 84 - Unranked 57		Saint Thomas 111 - Unranked 63
San Diego State 72 - UC Irvine 64	0.714	San Diego State 72 - UC Irvine 69	5
SIU Edwardsville 82 - Unranked 58		SIU Edwardsville 89 - Unranked 54
South Florida 71 - Massachusetts 72	0.521	South Florida 67 - Massachusetts 73	5
Southern Miss 69 - Montana 66	0.571	Southern Miss 64 - Montana 54	-7
Stetson 85 - Unranked 58		Stetson 125 - Unranked 51
Stony Brook 82 - Unranked 56		Stony Brook 89 - Unranked 48
Tarleton State 68 - Weber State 69	0.514	Tarleton State 75 - Weber State 65	-11
UL Lafayette 91 - Unranked 55		UL Lafayette 104 - Unranked 70
UMKC 68 - Idaho State 61	0.715	UMKC 65 - Idaho State 75	17
Wichita State 74 - Missouri 71	0.584	Wichita State 84 - Missouri 88	7
Winthrop 91 - Unranked 55		Winthrop 99 - Unranked 52
Wisconsin 79 - Wake Forest 65	0.848	Wisconsin 75 - Wake Forest 78	17

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 87 - Unranked 52		Abilene Christian 93 - Unranked 46
Air Force 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.747	Air Force 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	-18
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Jacksonville 61	0.825	Alabama Birmingham 80 - Jacksonville 61	-5
Army 85 - Unranked 58		Army 88 - Unranked 57
Austin Peay 66 - Western Kentucky 74	0.734	Austin Peay 74 - Western Kentucky 75	-7
Binghamton 67 - Loyola MD 70	0.587	Binghamton 70 - Loyola MD 84	11
Bradley 72 - Northern Iowa 69	0.57	Bradley 68 - Northern Iowa 53	-12
Bucknell 73 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.666	Bucknell 89 - Saint Francis Penn 65	-18
Butler 71 - Kansas State 70	0.51	Butler 76 - Kansas State 64	-11
Cal Baptist 68 - UC Riverside 69	0.533	Cal Baptist 65 - UC Riverside 60	-6
California 65 - Southern California 78	0.813	California 51 - Southern California 66	2
Charleston Southern 70 - The Citadel 71	0.503	Charleston Southern 73 - The Citadel 76	2
Cincinnati 79 - NJ Tech 59	0.923	Cincinnati 86 - NJ Tech 60	-6
Coastal Carolina 73 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.621	Coastal Carolina 58 - UNC Wilmington 60	6
Colorado State 73 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.631	Colorado State 87 - Loyola Marymount 71	-12
Dartmouth 83 - Unranked 57		Dartmouth 99 - Unranked 41
Dayton 80 - Western Michigan 58	0.935	Dayton 67 - Western Michigan 47	2
DePaul 77 - Samford 69	0.724	DePaul 103 - Samford 98	3
Drexel 73 - Lafayette 66	0.721	Drexel 64 - Lafayette 56	-1
Duke 77 - Ohio State 74	0.582	Duke 81 - Ohio State 72	-6
East Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 52		East Tennessee State 84 - Unranked 56
Eastern Illinois 67 - Northern Illinois 69	0.548	Eastern Illinois 70 - Northern Illinois 90	18
Evansville 65 - Southern Illinois 70	0.647	Evansville 53 - Southern Illinois 80	22
Florida 82 - Florida AM 55	0.962	Florida 102 - Florida AM 62	-13
Florida Atlantic 71 - South Alabama 67	0.621	Florida Atlantic 84 - South Alabama 59	-21
Florida International 74 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.626	Florida International 68 - Eastern Michigan 80	17
Florida State 71 - Purdue 78	0.679	Florida State 69 - Purdue 79	3
Fordham 68 - Maine 60	0.716	Fordham 72 - Maine 67	3
George Mason 71 - Hofstra 72	0.513	George Mason 81 - Hofstra 77	-5
George Washington 70 - South Carolina 76	0.653	George Washington 79 - South Carolina 55	-30
Georgia 81 - Hampton 63	0.888	Georgia 73 - Hampton 54	-1
Georgia Southern 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.525	Georgia Southern 53 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	18
Hartford 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.588	Hartford 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	-5
Hawaii 72 - Texas A&M Commerce 62	0.755	Hawaii 51 - Texas A&M Commerce 53	12
High Point 69 - Elon 65	0.59	High Point 84 - Elon 70	-10
Holy Cross 65 - Harvard 72	0.676	Holy Cross 38 - Harvard 72	27
Illinois Chicago 65 - Missouri State 72	0.687	Illinois Chicago 51 - Missouri State 66	8
Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 60		Incarnate Word 112 - Unranked 64
Indiana 75 - North Carolina 77	0.57	Indiana 77 - North Carolina 65	-14
Indiana State 70 - Drake 73	0.598	Indiana State 75 - Drake 73	-5
Iowa State 80 - North Dakota 63	0.863	Iowa State 63 - North Dakota 44	-2
La Salle 68 - Temple 75	0.692	La Salle 51 - Temple 67	9
Lindenwood 82 - Unranked 58		Lindenwood 103 - Unranked 56
Lipscomb 67 - Navy 68	0.505	Lipscomb 82 - Navy 77	-6
Loyola Ill 80 - Central Arkansas 58	0.902	Loyola Ill 85 - Central Arkansas 70	7
Marshall 75 - Akron 71	0.61	Marshall 68 - Akron 57	-7
Maryland Eastern Shore 65 - Lehigh 70	0.628	Maryland Eastern Shore 64 - Lehigh 60	-9
Memphis 84 - North Alabama 58	0.954	Memphis 87 - North Alabama 68	7
Miami 70 - Rutgers 73	0.581	Miami 68 - Rutgers 61	-10
Nebraska 77 - Boston College 72	0.643	Nebraska 88 - Boston College 67	-16
New Hampshire 68 - Sacred Heart 67	0.525	New Hampshire 61 - Sacred Heart 66	6
New Mexico State 72 - Texas El Paso 65	0.694	New Mexico State 95 - Texas El Paso 70	-18
North Carolina AT 61 - UNC Greensboro 74	0.844	North Carolina AT 73 - UNC Greensboro 56	-30
Notre Dame 71 - Michigan State 77	0.662	Notre Dame 70 - Michigan State 52	-24
Ohio 90 - Unranked 54		Ohio 113 - Unranked 44
Pennsylvania 74 - Saint Josephs 70	0.614	Pennsylvania 80 - Saint Josephs 85	9
Portland 87 - Unranked 60		Portland 100 - Unranked 79
Portland State 88 - Unranked 57		Portland State 114 - Unranked 31
Princeton 86 - Unranked 55		Princeton 92 - Unranked 58
Rice 71 - Prairie View 70	0.522	Rice 70 - Prairie View 62	-7
Rider 72 - Monmouth 71	0.509	Rider 88 - Monmouth 62	-25
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Middle Tennessee 61	0.841	Saint Bonaventure 71 - Middle Tennessee 64	8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 75 - Delaware State 63	0.795	Saint Francis Brooklyn 81 - Delaware State 73	4
Saint Louis 80 - Tennessee State 59	0.92	Saint Louis 80 - Tennessee State 63	4
Saint Marys 78 - New Mexico 61	0.883	Saint Marys 65 - New Mexico 69	21
San Francisco 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	0.889	San Francisco 90 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	-6
Santa Clara 73 - Wyoming 69	0.619	Santa Clara 89 - Wyoming 85	0
Seattle 76 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.716	Seattle 69 - Cal State Fullerton 62	1
South Carolina Upstate 81 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 93 - Unranked 59
Southern Utah 75 - Montana State 69	0.669	Southern Utah 83 - Montana State 86	9
Stonehill 83 - Unranked 58		Stonehill 92 - Unranked 45
Tennessee 87 - Mcneese State 52	0.97	Tennessee 76 - Mcneese State 40	-1
Tennessee Tech 64 - Chattanooga 73	0.785	Tennessee Tech 74 - Chattanooga 81	-2
Texas AM 72 - Southern Methodist 71	0.54	Texas AM 83 - Southern Methodist 64	-18
Texas Christian 73 - Providence 72	0.537	Texas Christian 75 - Providence 62	-12
Texas Pan American 70 - Texas AM CC 67	0.599	Texas Pan American 89 - Texas AM CC 82	-4
Texas Tech 80 - Georgetown 66	0.839	Texas Tech 79 - Georgetown 65	0
Toledo 73 - Richmond 72	0.524	Toledo 90 - Richmond 67	-22
UMass Lowell 70 - Merrimack 63	0.685	UMass Lowell 77 - Merrimack 51	-19
UMBC 73 - Coppin State 64	0.743	UMBC 109 - Coppin State 82	-18
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Vanderbilt 68	0.704	Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Vanderbilt 65	2
Western Carolina 69 - Gardner Webb 70	0.508	Western Carolina 55 - Gardner Webb 71	15
Western Illinois 67 - Southern Indiana 72	0.629	Western Illinois 86 - Southern Indiana 78	-13
Xavier 83 - Southeast Louisiana 60	0.948	Xavier 95 - Southeast Louisiana 63	-9
Yale 79 - Howard 62	0.906	Yale 86 - Howard 40	-29

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 78 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.901	Arkansas State 58 - Mississippi Valley State 38	-1
Belmont 77 - Valparaiso 64	0.793	Belmont 76 - Valparaiso 64	1
Bethune Cookman 76 - Chicago State 63	0.799	Bethune Cookman 86 - Chicago State 73	0
Cleveland State 72 - Oakland 68	0.645	Cleveland State 80 - Oakland 64	-12
Colorado 78 - Arizona State 72	0.634	Colorado 59 - Arizona State 60	7
Connecticut 76 - Oklahoma State 72	0.614	Connecticut 74 - Oklahoma State 64	-6
Delaware 71 - Cornell 67	0.594	Delaware 67 - Cornell 74	11
Georgia State 90 - Unranked 53		Georgia State 79 - Unranked 53
Green Bay 69 - Milwaukee 71	0.566	Green Bay 67 - Milwaukee 81	12
Houston Christian 70 - Denver 72	0.559	Houston Christian 83 - Denver 93	8
IPFW 72 - Detroit 71	0.512	IPFW 66 - Detroit 75	10
Kansas 78 - Seton Hall 69	0.746	Kansas 91 - Seton Hall 65	-17
Lamar 61 - Texas State 70	0.768	Lamar 55 - Texas State 65	1
Manhattan 64 - Fairfield 65	0.516	Manhattan 56 - Fairfield 53	-4
Murray State 75 - Illinois State 64	0.782	Murray State 70 - Illinois State 67	8
Northern Kentucky 72 - Youngstown State 67	0.66	Northern Kentucky 77 - Youngstown State 73	1
Oregon 79 - Washington State 68	0.746	Oregon 74 - Washington State 60	-3
Oregon State 74 - Washington 71	0.562	Oregon State 66 - Washington 65	2
Radford 70 - North Carolina Central 59	0.779	Radford 80 - North Carolina Central 78	9
Saint Peters 65 - Mt St Marys 61	0.613	Saint Peters 58 - Mt St Marys 73	19
Stanford 71 - UCLA 76	0.642	Stanford 66 - UCLA 80	9
Stephen F Austin 75 - Northwestern State 62	0.833	Stephen F Austin 96 - Northwestern State 102	19
Texas 75 - Creighton 72	0.565	Texas 72 - Creighton 67	-2
UC Davis 72 - Pacific 71	0.502	UC Davis 72 - Pacific 74	3
Utah 73 - Arizona 77	0.605	Utah 81 - Arizona 66	-19
Utah State 82 - Utah Tech 58	0.932	Utah State 86 - Utah Tech 81	19
Vermont 89 - Unranked 52		Vermont 101 - Unranked 63
Wofford 78 - Presbyterian 58	0.923	Wofford 76 - Presbyterian 63	7
Wright State 78 - Robert Morris 60	0.898	Wright State 59 - Robert Morris 80	39

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 80 - Colgate 69	0.783	Auburn 93 - Colgate 66	-16
Baylor 76 - Gonzaga 79	0.577	Baylor 64 - Gonzaga 63	-4
Bryant 73 - Brown 67	0.679	Bryant 60 - Brown 72	18
Charlotte 68 - Appalachian State 67	0.531	Charlotte 71 - Appalachian State 62	-8
Clemson 77 - Wake Forest 66	0.762	Clemson 77 - Wake Forest 57	-9
East Carolina 70 - Campbell 68	0.572	East Carolina 79 - Campbell 69	-8
Georgia 79 - Florida AM 58	0.921	Georgia 68 - Florida AM 46	-1
Georgia Tech 74 - Northeastern 63	0.794	Georgia Tech 81 - Northeastern 63	-7
Harvard 70 - Massachusetts 72	0.556	Harvard 68 - Massachusetts 71	1
Idaho 65 - Northern Illinois 71	0.647	Idaho 84 - Northern Illinois 47	-43
Iona 74 - Niagara 63	0.759	Iona 78 - Niagara 56	-11
James Madison 76 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.672	James Madison 97 - Eastern Kentucky 80	-10
Kent State 73 - South Dakota State 71	0.578	Kent State 83 - South Dakota State 68	-13
Liberty 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	0.926	Liberty 79 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	2
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Towson 71	0.619	LIU Brooklyn 64 - Towson 74	6
Louisiana State 83 - Texas Arlington 62	0.933	Louisiana State 63 - Texas Arlington 59	17
Louisiana Tech 76 - Southern 59	0.884	Louisiana Tech 74 - Southern 59	2
Maryland 75 - Illinois 74	0.537	Maryland 71 - Illinois 66	-4
Mercer 76 - Kennesaw St 61	0.847	Mercer 63 - Kennesaw St 66	18
Merrimack 64 - Boston 67	0.585	Merrimack 54 - Boston 68	11
NC State 79 - Pittsburgh 68	0.758	NC State 60 - Pittsburgh 68	19
San Diego State 95 - Unranked 47		San Diego State 95 - Unranked 57
Siena 71 - Canisius 65	0.676	Siena 74 - Canisius 70	2
South Florida 75 - Charleston Southern 63	0.811	South Florida 79 - Charleston Southern 59	-8
UC San Diego 84 - Unranked 57		UC San Diego 81 - Unranked 76

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 87 - Unranked 52		Abilene Christian 88 - Unranked 42
Alabama 83 - South Dakota State 68	0.828	Alabama 78 - South Dakota State 65	2
Arkansas 89 - San Jose State 60	0.962	Arkansas 99 - San Jose State 58	-12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 79 - Unranked 60		Arkansas Pine Bluff 59 - Unranked 41
Army 69 - Wagner 68	0.504	Army 75 - Wagner 64	-10
Austin Peay 72 - Tennessee State 64	0.732	Austin Peay 77 - Tennessee State 61	-8
Binghamton 67 - Stonehill 68	0.524	Binghamton 66 - Stonehill 69	2
Bowling Green 75 - Morgan State 65	0.75	Bowling Green 86 - Morgan State 76	0
Brigham Young 81 - South Dakota 64	0.885	Brigham Young 68 - South Dakota 69	18
Buffalo 71 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.522	Buffalo 83 - Saint Bonaventure 66	-18
Butler 80 - Tennessee Tech 59	0.918	Butler 80 - Tennessee Tech 66	7
Cal Poly 65 - Cal Baptist 73	0.721	Cal Poly 64 - Cal Baptist 53	-19
Central Michigan 87 - Unranked 60		Central Michigan 89 - Unranked 50
Cleveland State 71 - Detroit 68	0.573	Cleveland State 92 - Detroit 77	-12
Colorado State 76 - Northern Colorado 65	0.78	Colorado State 83 - Northern Colorado 88	16
Columbia 68 - New Hampshire 67	0.513	Columbia 56 - New Hampshire 52	-3
Dartmouth 64 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.603	Dartmouth 79 - Cal State Bakersfield 54	-29
Dayton 79 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.927	Dayton 80 - Southeast Louisiana 74	14
Delaware 64 - Davidson 75	0.765	Delaware 69 - Davidson 67	-13
Delaware State 62 - Longwood 73	0.783	Delaware State 49 - Longwood 75	15
Drake 77 - Illinois Chicago 62	0.862	Drake 77 - Illinois Chicago 64	2
Drexel 70 - Princeton 67	0.591	Drexel 63 - Princeton 83	23
Duke 84 - Boston College 65	0.881	Duke 75 - Boston College 59	3
Duquesne 73 - Ball State 68	0.63	Duquesne 78 - Ball State 77	4
East Tennessee State 70 - Jacksonville State 65	0.658	East Tennessee State 61 - Jacksonville State 63	7
Eastern Illinois 81 - Unranked 59		Eastern Illinois 93 - Unranked 43
Eastern Washington 72 - North Dakota State 67	0.661	Eastern Washington 78 - North Dakota State 70	-3
Elon 61 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.77	Elon 61 - UNC Greensboro 65	-7
Fairfield 63 - Saint Peters 64	0.535	Fairfield 67 - Saint Peters 55	-13
Furman 85 - South Carolina State 55	0.967	Furman 88 - South Carolina State 76	18
Gardner Webb 67 - Chattanooga 69	0.546	Gardner Webb 71 - Chattanooga 82	9
George Mason 71 - Toledo 74	0.563	George Mason 80 - Toledo 73	-10
Georgetown 77 - South Carolina 73	0.624	Georgetown 71 - South Carolina 74	7
Grambling State 70 - Incarnate Word 61	0.74	Grambling State 72 - Incarnate Word 39	-24
Hampton 74 - Howard 69	0.648	Hampton 74 - Howard 65	-4
High Point 71 - North Florida 69	0.561	High Point 93 - North Florida 88	-3
Holy Cross 72 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.689	Holy Cross 63 - Central Connecticut State 57	1
Houston 73 - Saint Marys 63	0.768	Houston 53 - Saint Marys 48	5
Idaho State 66 - Southern Utah 74	0.715	Idaho State 59 - Southern Utah 69	2
IPFW 73 - Oakland 70	0.576	IPFW 79 - Oakland 73	-3
Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 54		Jacksonville 74 - Unranked 39
Kansas State 70 - Wichita State 71	0.507	Kansas State 55 - Wichita State 50	-6
Lehigh 68 - UMBC 70	0.57	Lehigh 62 - UMBC 88	24
Loyola Ill 74 - DePaul 66	0.7	Loyola Ill 72 - DePaul 78	14
Loyola Marymount 70 - Nevada 74	0.637	Loyola Marymount 64 - Nevada 52	-16
Loyola MD 72 - Coppin State 66	0.661	Loyola MD 71 - Coppin State 74	9
Marquette 72 - Wisconsin 73	0.532	Marquette 77 - Wisconsin 80	2
Marshall 77 - Ohio 71	0.639	Marshall 83 - Ohio 69	-8
Memphis 75 - Mississippi 69	0.652	Memphis 68 - Mississippi 57	-5
Miami OH 68 - Indiana State 72	0.636	Miami OH 61 - Indiana State 88	23
Middle Tennessee 86 - Unranked 55		Middle Tennessee 69 - Unranked 46
Milwaukee 74 - IUPUI 64	0.777	Milwaukee 74 - IUPUI 61	-3
Mississippi State 89 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.985	Mississippi State 82 - Mississippi Valley State 52	10
Missouri State 71 - Bradley 68	0.593	Missouri State 40 - Bradley 58	21
Morehead State 72 - North Alabama 63	0.744	Morehead State 75 - North Alabama 81	15
Mt St Marys 68 - Rider 65	0.596	Mt St Marys 65 - Rider 68	6
New Orleans 66 - UL Lafayette 77	0.799	New Orleans 77 - UL Lafayette 78	-10
NJ Tech 66 - Bucknell 70	0.6	NJ Tech 63 - Bucknell 79	12
North Carolina Central 80 - Unranked 57		North Carolina Central 127 - Unranked 40
North Texas 78 - Omaha 59	0.906	North Texas 75 - Omaha 45	-11
Northern Iowa 75 - Evansville 65	0.776	Northern Iowa 72 - Evansville 55	-7
Northern Kentucky 73 - Robert Morris 62	0.816	Northern Kentucky 60 - Robert Morris 56	7
Notre Dame 73 - Syracuse 74	0.535	Notre Dame 61 - Syracuse 62	0
Ohio State 85 - Saint Francis Penn 59	0.954	Ohio State 96 - Saint Francis Penn 59	-11
Old Dominion 71 - Norfolk State 61	0.77	Old Dominion 68 - Norfolk State 62	4
Pennsylvania 71 - La Salle 68	0.587	Pennsylvania 81 - La Salle 84	6
Pepperdine 79 - Northern Arizona 64	0.845	Pepperdine 88 - Northern Arizona 69	-4
Portland 73 - North Dakota 70	0.592	Portland 90 - North Dakota 69	-18
Portland State 72 - Air Force 67	0.663	Portland State 68 - Air Force 64	1
Queens 84 - Unranked 57		Queens 89 - Unranked 60
Rhode Island 70 - Providence 73	0.583	Rhode Island 74 - Providence 88	11
Rutgers 72 - Indiana 71	0.538	Rutgers 63 - Indiana 48	-14
Sacred Heart 69 - UMass Lowell 72	0.567	Sacred Heart 59 - UMass Lowell 70	8
Saint Josephs 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.68	Saint Josephs 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 97	23
Saint Louis 74 - Southern Illinois 64	0.762	Saint Louis 85 - Southern Illinois 72	-3
Saint Thomas 84 - Unranked 57		Saint Thomas 91 - Unranked 56
Sam Houston State 90 - Unranked 52		Sam Houston State 111 - Unranked 58
San Diego 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	0.62	San Diego 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 95	13
Santa Clara 75 - Sacramento State 64	0.813	Santa Clara 72 - Sacramento State 65	4
SIU Edwardsville 67 - Troy 69	0.573	SIU Edwardsville 78 - Troy 72	-8
Southern Methodist 77 - Jackson State 58	0.915	Southern Methodist 68 - Jackson State 69	20
Stony Brook 63 - Yale 71	0.718	Stony Brook 72 - Yale 77	-3
Tarleton State 85 - Unranked 55		Tarleton State 98 - Unranked 55
Temple 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0.607	Temple 83 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	-14
Texas AM 70 - Boise State 71	0.531	Texas AM 71 - Boise State 86	14
Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 53		Texas El Paso 87 - Unranked 50
The Citadel 68 - College of Charleston 78	0.77	The Citadel 57 - College of Charleston 79	12
Tulane 72 - Fordham 63	0.751	Tulane 90 - Fordham 95	14
Tulsa 75 - Oral Roberts 71	0.6	Tulsa 66 - Oral Roberts 77	15
UC Irvine 72 - Fresno State 62	0.76	UC Irvine 66 - Fresno State 80	24
UC Santa Barbara 72 - Pacific 66	0.67	UC Santa Barbara 82 - Pacific 71	-5
UL Monroe 82 - Unranked 57		UL Monroe 101 - Unranked 46
UMKC 69 - Lindenwood 62	0.673	UMKC 61 - Lindenwood 47	-7
UNC Asheville 75 - Tennessee Martin 66	0.73	UNC Asheville 90 - Tennessee Martin 83	2
Utah Valley 75 - Long Beach State 69	0.66	Utah Valley 88 - Long Beach State 78	-4
Vanderbilt 73 - Wofford 71	0.564	Vanderbilt 65 - Wofford 62	-1
Villanova 75 - Oklahoma 73	0.575	Villanova 70 - Oklahoma 66	-2
Virginia 75 - Florida State 65	0.757	Virginia 62 - Florida State 57	5
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Navy 73	0.677	Virginia Military Institute 80 - Navy 72	-15
Weber State 74 - Utah Tech 65	0.74	Weber State 65 - Utah Tech 77	21
Western Carolina 76 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.767	Western Carolina 64 - South Carolina Upstate 79	25
Western Illinois 69 - Texas Pan American 72	0.578	Western Illinois 90 - Texas Pan American 72	-21
William and Mary 65 - Richmond 75	0.772	William and Mary 58 - Richmond 57	-11
Winthrop 75 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.689	Winthrop 81 - Coastal Carolina 86	12
Wyoming 67 - Grand Canyon 71	0.598	Wyoming 58 - Grand Canyon 66	4
Xavier 74 - West Virginia 77	0.598	Xavier 84 - West Virginia 74	-13

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 90 - Unranked 52		Akron 80 - Unranked 33
Alabama Birmingham 74 - South Alabama 65	0.746	Alabama Birmingham 76 - South Alabama 68	1
Arizona 83 - California 63	0.897	Arizona 81 - California 68	7
Arizona State 77 - Stanford 72	0.629	Arizona State 68 - Stanford 64	1
Bellarmine 85 - Unranked 56		Bellarmine 110 - Unranked 38
Cal State Northridge 84 - Unranked 60		Cal State Northridge 101 - Unranked 42
Central Florida 79 - Samford 64	0.852	Central Florida 80 - Samford 77	12
Chicago State 63 - Southern Indiana 77	0.813	Chicago State 78 - Southern Indiana 61	-31
Cincinnati 79 - Bryant 66	0.833	Cincinnati 97 - Bryant 71	-13
Columbia 83 - Unranked 60		Columbia 106 - Unranked 65
Cornell 72 - Lafayette 68	0.604	Cornell 73 - Lafayette 68	-1
Creighton 82 - Nebraska 68	0.829	Creighton 53 - Nebraska 63	24
Denver 66 - Texas A&M Commerce 69	0.58	Denver 84 - Texas A&M Commerce 75	-12
Eastern Michigan 65 - Florida Atlantic 74	0.722	Eastern Michigan 73 - Florida Atlantic 101	19
Florida 82 - Stetson 61	0.931	Florida 89 - Stetson 51	-17
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Florida International 69	0.615	Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Florida International 65	-4
Hartford 68 - Brown 66	0.538	Hartford 51 - Brown 65	16
Harvard 87 - Unranked 54		Harvard 76 - Unranked 59
Houston Christian 82 - Unranked 64		Houston Christian 94 - Unranked 62
Illinois State 66 - Belmont 77	0.768	Illinois State 87 - Belmont 77	-21
Iona 75 - Canisius 65	0.746	Iona 90 - Canisius 60	-20
Iowa State 75 - Saint Johns 76	0.514	Iowa State 71 - Saint Johns 60	-12
Louisville 74 - Miami 71	0.59	Louisville 53 - Miami 80	30
Manhattan 66 - Monmouth 69	0.568	Manhattan 69 - Monmouth 76	4
Marist 67 - Maine 61	0.681	Marist 62 - Maine 61	5
Merrimack 60 - Vermont 70	0.764	Merrimack 43 - Vermont 66	13
Michigan 74 - Kentucky 72	0.561	Michigan 69 - Kentucky 73	6
Michigan State 78 - Northwestern 67	0.788	Michigan State 63 - Northwestern 70	18
Missouri 82 - SE Missouri State 61	0.925	Missouri 96 - SE Missouri State 89	14
Northeastern 68 - Georgia State 69	0.548	Northeastern 66 - Georgia State 46	-21
Northwestern State 64 - Southern Miss 72	0.702	Northwestern State 84 - Southern Miss 82	-10
Purdue 81 - Minnesota 66	0.839	Purdue 89 - Minnesota 70	-4
Quinnipiac 70 - Niagara 66	0.607	Quinnipiac 60 - Niagara 64	8
Radford 71 - George Washington 66	0.626	Radford 86 - George Washington 76	-5
San Francisco 70 - Utah State 74	0.612	San Francisco 64 - Utah State 82	14
Southern California 77 - Oregon State 68	0.727	Southern California 63 - Oregon State 62	8
Tennessee 85 - Alcorn State 53	0.955	Tennessee 94 - Alcorn State 40	-22
Texas State 73 - Rice 65	0.712	Texas State 71 - Rice 83	20
UCLA 75 - Oregon 73	0.562	UCLA 65 - Oregon 56	-7
Valparaiso 66 - Murray State 72	0.641	Valparaiso 70 - Murray State 77	1
Virginia Tech 74 - North Carolina 76	0.555	Virginia Tech 80 - North Carolina 72	-10
Washington 70 - Colorado 76	0.638	Washington 73 - Colorado 63	-16
Washington State 72 - Utah 74	0.549	Washington State 65 - Utah 67	0
Wright State 77 - Youngstown State 65	0.796	Wright State 77 - Youngstown State 88	23

Number of DI Games: 300
Number Correct: 204 = 68%
Expected Number Correct: 209.318 = 69.7%
Average Error: 10.66
Average Signed Error: -0.22

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charleston Southern 67 - Kennesaw St 72	0.632	Charleston Southern 65 - Kennesaw St 76	6
Gonzaga 78 - Kent State 70	0.738	Gonzaga 73 - Kent State 66	1
Green Bay 68 - IUPUI 63	0.658	Green Bay 68 - IUPUI 61	-2
Lamar 79 - Unranked 61		Lamar 91 - Unranked 56
Lipscomb 92 - Unranked 53		Lipscomb 87 - Unranked 49
LIU Brooklyn 62 - UMass Lowell 78	0.884	LIU Brooklyn 64 - UMass Lowell 84	4
Massachusetts 81 - Albany 57	0.952	Massachusetts 87 - Albany 73	10
New Mexico State 96 - Unranked 51		New Mexico State 77 - Unranked 35
Portland 82 - North Dakota State 66	0.899	Portland 62 - North Dakota State 67	21
San Diego State 81 - Troy 62	0.938	San Diego State 60 - Troy 55	14
Western Michigan 80 - Unranked 59		Western Michigan 94 - Unranked 50

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - South Dakota 66	0.592	Air Force 79 - South Dakota 58	-18
Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 54		Appalachian State 103 - Unranked 43
Arkansas 82 - UNC Greensboro 56	0.956	Arkansas 65 - UNC Greensboro 58	19
Austin Peay 85 - Unranked 54		Austin Peay 102 - Unranked 57
Baylor 82 - Tarleton State 65	0.854	Baylor 80 - Tarleton State 57	-6
Bellarmine 86 - Unranked 55		Bellarmine 86 - Unranked 45
Belmont 92 - Unranked 54		Belmont 83 - Unranked 53
Boise State 95 - Unranked 46		Boise State 90 - Unranked 54
Boston College 74 - New Hampshire 56	0.901	Boston College 71 - New Hampshire 74	21
Buffalo 93 - Unranked 53		Buffalo 91 - Unranked 53
Butler 70 - Yale 67	0.571	Butler 71 - Yale 61	-7
Central Arkansas 67 - Arkansas State 69	0.563	Central Arkansas 72 - Arkansas State 67	-7
Chattanooga 73 - Milwaukee 67	0.692	Chattanooga 88 - Milwaukee 76	-6
Columbia 65 - UMBC 75	0.745	Columbia 66 - UMBC 73	-3
Dartmouth 66 - Vermont 72	0.627	Dartmouth 52 - Vermont 68	10
Duke 76 - Iowa 75	0.531	Duke 74 - Iowa 62	-11
Fordham 73 - Wagner 61	0.791	Fordham 72 - Wagner 59	-1
Furman 77 - High Point 68	0.796	Furman 82 - High Point 85	12
George Mason 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.882	George Mason 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	3
Georgia Tech 69 - Georgia 65	0.636	Georgia Tech 79 - Georgia 77	2
Houston 88 - North Florida 52	0.987	Houston 76 - North Florida 42	2
Houston Christian 80 - Unranked 63		Houston Christian 100 - Unranked 33
Idaho 68 - North Dakota 69	0.527	Idaho 76 - North Dakota 66	-11
Idaho State 82 - Unranked 56		Idaho State 61 - Unranked 53
Iona 72 - Saint Louis 73	0.511	Iona 84 - Saint Louis 62	-23
Kansas State 80 - Abilene Christian 59	0.942	Kansas State 81 - Abilene Christian 64	4
La Salle 70 - Bucknell 67	0.579	La Salle 82 - Bucknell 72	-7
Liberty 92 - Unranked 50		Liberty 101 - Unranked 49
Loyola Ill 76 - Green Bay 58	0.889	Loyola Ill 70 - Green Bay 46	-6
Marquette 82 - North Carolina Central 62	0.917	Marquette 90 - North Carolina Central 78	8
Memphis 89 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	0.992	Memphis 87 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	16
Mercer 87 - Unranked 56		Mercer 100 - Unranked 62
Montana 65 - South Dakota State 71	0.675	Montana 81 - South Dakota State 56	-31
Mt St Marys 67 - American 66	0.507	Mt St Marys 61 - American 69	9
NC State 85 - Coppin State 64	0.89	NC State 94 - Coppin State 72	-1
New Mexico 98 - Unranked 49		New Mexico 102 - Unranked 63
Northern Iowa 73 - Toledo 77	0.621	Northern Iowa 75 - Toledo 83	4
Oklahoma 77 - UMKC 57	0.921	Oklahoma 75 - UMKC 53	-2
Oklahoma State 70 - Sam Houston State 69	0.54	Oklahoma State 65 - Sam Houston State 51	-13
Pacific 75 - Northern Arizona 68	0.703	Pacific 69 - Northern Arizona 73	11
Pepperdine 70 - Nevada 75	0.617	Pepperdine 77 - Nevada 85	3
Presbyterian 57 - College of Charleston 82	0.965	Presbyterian 62 - College of Charleston 67	-20
Princeton 75 - Lafayette 58	0.902	Princeton 69 - Lafayette 58	6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Hartford 62	0.716	Saint Francis Brooklyn 68 - Hartford 50	-9
San Jose State 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	0.666	San Jose State 58 - Cal State Bakersfield 48	-3
SIU Edwardsville 63 - Bradley 70	0.67	SIU Edwardsville 54 - Bradley 56	-5
Southern Utah 92 - Unranked 57		Southern Utah 120 - Unranked 49
Syracuse 82 - Oakland 63	0.926	Syracuse 95 - Oakland 66	-10
Temple 81 - Saint Josephs 65	0.849	Temple 70 - Saint Josephs 60	6
Tennessee State 84 - Unranked 56		Tennessee State 103 - Unranked 49
Texas 72 - Illinois 68	0.631	Texas 78 - Illinois 85	11
Texas Arlington 56 - North Texas 72	0.872	Texas Arlington 57 - North Texas 60	-13
Texas Christian 82 - Jackson State 57	0.93	Texas Christian 78 - Jackson State 51	-2
UNC Wilmington 73 - East Carolina 66	0.673	UNC Wilmington 74 - East Carolina 61	-6
Valparaiso 84 - Unranked 56		Valparaiso 96 - Unranked 60
Virginia 78 - James Madison 66	0.752	Virginia 55 - James Madison 50	7
Winthrop 79 - South Carolina State 68	0.792	Winthrop 81 - South Carolina State 67	-3
Wisconsin 68 - Maryland 71	0.588	Wisconsin 64 - Maryland 59	-8
Wofford 73 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.695	Wofford 71 - Coastal Carolina 61	-4
Wyoming 70 - Texas A&M Commerce 64	0.68	Wyoming 91 - Texas A&M Commerce 76	-9

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 73 - NJ Tech 64	0.787	Army 63 - NJ Tech 62	8
Binghamton 63 - Colgate 78	0.859	Binghamton 62 - Colgate 81	4
Brigham Young 76 - Utah Valley 70	0.72	Brigham Young 60 - Utah Valley 75	21
Cal Baptist 73 - Weber State 62	0.782	Cal Baptist 64 - Weber State 52	-1
California 68 - Eastern Washington 67	0.559	California 48 - Eastern Washington 50	3
Central Michigan 72 - Robert Morris 67	0.64	Central Michigan 66 - Robert Morris 71	10
Clemson 74 - Towson 64	0.757	Clemson 80 - Towson 75	5
Davidson 81 - Western Carolina 62	0.922	Davidson 72 - Western Carolina 64	11
Delaware 78 - Delaware State 59	0.925	Delaware 77 - Delaware State 69	11
Drake 80 - Omaha 61	0.948	Drake 78 - Omaha 65	6
Eastern Illinois 60 - Ball State 76	0.884	Eastern Illinois 59 - Ball State 76	1
Evansville 64 - Campbell 71	0.716	Evansville 72 - Campbell 66	-13
Fairfield 70 - Sacred Heart 64	0.671	Fairfield 61 - Sacred Heart 59	4
Florida 69 - Connecticut 80	0.791	Florida 54 - Connecticut 75	10
Florida Atlantic 73 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.689	Florida Atlantic 85 - Florida Gulf Coast 53	-25
Fresno State 75 - Cal State Northridge 58	0.897	Fresno State 65 - Cal State Northridge 56	8
Georgetown 73 - Siena 71	0.556	Georgetown 75 - Siena 68	-5
Georgia Southern 82 - Unranked 56		Georgia Southern 91 - Unranked 47
Grand Canyon 71 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.569	Grand Canyon 65 - Loyola Marymount 69	7
Hampton 67 - Loyola MD 69	0.576	Hampton 66 - Loyola MD 61	-7
Holy Cross 61 - Quinnipiac 75	0.846	Holy Cross 71 - Quinnipiac 75	-10
Illinois State 75 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.743	Illinois State 87 - Eastern Michigan 81	3
Indiana 76 - Nebraska 67	0.705	Indiana 81 - Nebraska 65	-7
Miami 79 - Cornell 66	0.892	Miami 107 - Cornell 105	11
Morgan State 86 - Unranked 58		Morgan State 95 - Unranked 48
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Hawaii 60	0.89	Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Hawaii 62	-2
North Alabama 75 - Alabama State 67	0.747	North Alabama 71 - Alabama State 63	0
Notre Dame 76 - Boston 59	0.869	Notre Dame 81 - Boston 75	11
Old Dominion 73 - William and Mary 62	0.79	Old Dominion 72 - William and Mary 62	1
Penn State 74 - Michigan State 70	0.622	Penn State 58 - Michigan State 67	13
Providence 79 - Manhattan 60	0.929	Providence 99 - Manhattan 59	-21
Purdue 84 - Hofstra 63	0.928	Purdue 85 - Hofstra 66	2
Rhode Island 66 - Brown 64	0.589	Rhode Island 58 - Brown 59	3
Sacramento State 70 - Denver 69	0.537	Sacramento State 87 - Denver 85	-1
Saint Bonaventure 70 - Cleveland State 64	0.672	Saint Bonaventure 61 - Cleveland State 42	-13
Saint Johns 80 - DePaul 72	0.734	Saint Johns 86 - DePaul 67	-11
Saint Marys 75 - Missouri State 57	0.875	Saint Marys 66 - Missouri State 46	-2
San Francisco 82 - Merrimack 54	0.983	San Francisco 69 - Merrimack 51	10
Santa Clara 74 - New Mexico State 72	0.537	Santa Clara 66 - New Mexico State 65	1
SE Missouri State 70 - IPFW 67	0.597	SE Missouri State 68 - IPFW 89	24
Seton Hall 94 - Unranked 49		Seton Hall 82 - Unranked 55
Southeast Louisiana 88 - Unranked 59		Southeast Louisiana 107 - Unranked 71
Southern California 79 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.858	Southern California 64 - Cal State Fullerton 50	1
Southern Illinois 68 - Indiana State 70	0.536	Southern Illinois 71 - Indiana State 74	1
Southern Indiana 86 - Unranked 56		Southern Indiana 78 - Unranked 47
Southern Methodist 63 - Arizona State 77	0.819	Southern Methodist 57 - Arizona State 75	4
Stonehill 70 - Rider 71	0.539	Stonehill 67 - Rider 78	10
Tennessee 85 - Eastern Kentucky 52	0.966	Tennessee 84 - Eastern Kentucky 49	-2
Texas AM CC 88 - Unranked 56		Texas AM CC 100 - Unranked 63
Texas Tech 84 - Nicholls State 58	0.964	Texas Tech 78 - Nicholls State 71	19
Tulsa 73 - Detroit 71	0.529	Tulsa 72 - Detroit 76	6
UNC Asheville 89 - Unranked 57		UNC Asheville 122 - Unranked 70
Vanderbilt 72 - Pittsburgh 71	0.527	Vanderbilt 75 - Pittsburgh 74	0
Villanova 79 - Pennsylvania 66	0.827	Villanova 70 - Pennsylvania 59	2
Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Jacksonville 61	0.712	Virginia Commonwealth 62 - Jacksonville 73	19
Virginia Military Institute 83 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 106 - Unranked 67
Virginia Tech 74 - Dayton 63	0.833	Virginia Tech 77 - Dayton 49	-17
Washington State 75 - Northern Kentucky 64	0.724	Washington State 68 - Northern Kentucky 47	-10
West Virginia 80 - Navy 61	0.864	West Virginia 85 - Navy 64	-2
Western Illinois 86 - Unranked 57		Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 73

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado 75 - Colorado State 70	0.605	Colorado 93 - Colorado State 65	-23
Duquesne 70 - Marshall 74	0.596	Duquesne 71 - Marshall 82	7
Iowa 75 - Iowa State 71	0.634	Iowa 75 - Iowa State 56	-15
Maine 85 - Unranked 56		Maine 103 - Unranked 67
Massachusetts 73 - UMass Lowell 66	0.739	Massachusetts 80 - UMass Lowell 85	12
Minnesota 66 - Michigan 73	0.664	Minnesota 75 - Michigan 90	8
Montana State 72 - Saint Thomas 71	0.522	Montana State 82 - Saint Thomas 65	-16
Ohio State 71 - Rutgers 68	0.578	Ohio State 67 - Rutgers 66	2
Saint Francis Penn 82 - Unranked 60		Saint Francis Penn 88 - Unranked 58
Utah 77 - Jacksonville State 60	0.891	Utah 99 - Jacksonville State 58	-24
Youngstown State 91 - Unranked 54		Youngstown State 117 - Unranked 65

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - Arkansas State 61	0.685	Air Force 80 - Arkansas State 55	-19
Alabama AM 63 - Lipscomb 80	0.904	Alabama AM 63 - Lipscomb 59	-21
Bryant 78 - Stony Brook 61	0.83	Bryant 79 - Stony Brook 60	-2
Central Connecticut State 65 - Dartmouth 70	0.644	Central Connecticut State 59 - Dartmouth 50	-14
Columbia 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.582	Columbia 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 76	0
Fordham 77 - Binghamton 57	0.946	Fordham 77 - Binghamton 62	5
Gonzaga 81 - Washington 69	0.78	Gonzaga 77 - Washington 60	-5
High Point 72 - Queens 69	0.606	High Point 79 - Queens 87	11
Merrimack 77 - Unranked 59		Merrimack 82 - Unranked 23
Northern Iowa 79 - Mcneese State 61	0.918	Northern Iowa 49 - Mcneese State 52	21
Utah Tech 89 - Unranked 55		Utah Tech 99 - Unranked 58
Vanderbilt 75 - Grambling State 65	0.705	Vanderbilt 62 - Grambling State 64	12

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 67 - Texas A&M Commerce 66	0.54	Abilene Christian 83 - Texas A&M Commerce 64	-18
Auburn 73 - Memphis 69	0.629	Auburn 73 - Memphis 82	13
Ball State 75 - Evansville 62	0.876	Ball State 88 - Evansville 69	-6
Bellarmine 65 - Murray State 74	0.753	Bellarmine 69 - Murray State 58	-20
Belmont 70 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.508	Belmont 75 - Middle Tennessee 85	11
Cal Poly 68 - Portland State 73	0.636	Cal Poly 72 - Portland State 49	-28
Cal State Northridge 67 - Northern Colorado 76	0.749	Cal State Northridge 63 - Northern Colorado 70	-2
California 60 - Butler 74	0.83	California 58 - Butler 82	10
Charlotte 73 - Detroit 63	0.702	Charlotte 82 - Detroit 80	8
Chattanooga 92 - Unranked 52		Chattanooga 97 - Unranked 47
Cincinnati 72 - Xavier 78	0.677	Cincinnati 77 - Xavier 80	-3
Cleveland State 64 - Kent State 74	0.811	Cleveland State 58 - Kent State 67	-1
Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 55		Coastal Carolina 102 - Unranked 39
Colgate 74 - Vermont 68	0.651	Colgate 72 - Vermont 73	7
Connecticut 93 - LIU Brooklyn 52	0.996	Connecticut 114 - LIU Brooklyn 61	-12
Creighton 79 - Brigham Young 68	0.805	Creighton 80 - Brigham Young 83	14
Dayton 75 - UNC Asheville 63	0.839	Dayton 79 - UNC Asheville 56	-11
Delaware State 79 - Unranked 63		Delaware State 69 - Unranked 75
DePaul 73 - Texas El Paso 69	0.626	DePaul 91 - Texas El Paso 70	-17
Duke 84 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	0.975	Duke 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	4
Eastern Illinois 62 - Western Illinois 73	0.764	Eastern Illinois 75 - Western Illinois 79	-7
Eastern Kentucky 86 - Unranked 57		Eastern Kentucky 140 - Unranked 79
Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Mercer 63	0.865	Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Mercer 62	8
Florida State 74 - Louisville 66	0.722	Florida State 75 - Louisville 53	-14
Furman 80 - Winthrop 67	0.848	Furman 82 - Winthrop 67	-2
George Washington 71 - American 68	0.59	George Washington 64 - American 69	8
Georgia Southern 63 - Wofford 73	0.832	Georgia Southern 79 - Wofford 57	-32
Grand Canyon 63 - North Texas 66	0.566	Grand Canyon 58 - North Texas 60	-1
Green Bay 60 - UMKC 71	0.785	Green Bay 70 - UMKC 64	-17
Houston 77 - Alabama 68	0.736	Houston 65 - Alabama 71	15
Houston Christian 68 - Texas Pan American 77	0.756	Houston Christian 82 - Texas Pan American 95	4
Idaho State 66 - Saint Thomas 72	0.664	Idaho State 70 - Saint Thomas 76	0
Illinois 75 - Penn State 69	0.704	Illinois 59 - Penn State 74	21
Illinois State 66 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.554	Illinois State 77 - SIU Edwardsville 71	-8
Indiana 76 - Arizona 78	0.549	Indiana 75 - Arizona 89	12
James Madison 96 - Unranked 53		James Madison 106 - Unranked 43
Kentucky 75 - Yale 66	0.714	Kentucky 69 - Yale 59	-1
La Salle 68 - Drexel 67	0.511	La Salle 58 - Drexel 65	8
Louisiana State 75 - Wake Forest 71	0.62	Louisiana State 72 - Wake Forest 70	2
Loyola Ill 63 - Clemson 76	0.814	Loyola Ill 76 - Clemson 58	-31
Marist 64 - Boston 63	0.505	Marist 70 - Boston 72	3
Miami 75 - NC State 72	0.558	Miami 80 - NC State 73	-4
Michigan State 77 - Brown 59	0.904	Michigan State 68 - Brown 50	0
Mississippi 78 - Valparaiso 58	0.924	Mississippi 98 - Valparaiso 61	-17
Missouri 74 - Kansas 80	0.69	Missouri 67 - Kansas 95	22
Missouri State 70 - IPFW 62	0.731	Missouri State 61 - IPFW 65	12
Montana State 74 - Omaha 68	0.668	Montana State 82 - Omaha 54	-22
Mt St Marys 70 - Loyola MD 64	0.693	Mt St Marys 51 - Loyola MD 34	-11
Nebraska 67 - Purdue 81	0.816	Nebraska 62 - Purdue 65	-11
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Washington State 67	0.682	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Washington State 70	3
New Mexico 82 - Texas San Antonio 60	0.945	New Mexico 94 - Texas San Antonio 76	4
North Carolina 79 - Georgia Tech 67	0.836	North Carolina 75 - Georgia Tech 59	-4
North Dakota 63 - Seattle 76	0.798	North Dakota 78 - Seattle 80	-11
North Dakota State 67 - Montana 69	0.548	North Dakota State 75 - Montana 82	5
North Florida 74 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.636	North Florida 88 - Bethune Cookman 48	-34
Northeastern 72 - Holy Cross 60	0.779	Northeastern 59 - Holy Cross 58	11
Northern Arizona 66 - Utah Valley 75	0.755	Northern Arizona 75 - Utah Valley 80	-4
Northwestern State 78 - UL Monroe 61	0.915	Northwestern State 91 - UL Monroe 73	-1
Oklahoma 70 - Arkansas 74	0.625	Oklahoma 78 - Arkansas 88	6
Old Dominion 71 - Gardner Webb 61	0.788	Old Dominion 44 - Gardner Webb 43	9
Oral Roberts 85 - Central Arkansas 67	0.913	Oral Roberts 111 - Central Arkansas 78	-15
Oregon 72 - Nevada 71	0.537	Oregon 78 - Nevada 65	-12
Pacific 67 - Fresno State 74	0.685	Pacific 76 - Fresno State 72	-11
Pennsylvania 69 - Temple 76	0.693	Pennsylvania 77 - Temple 57	-27
Pepperdine 72 - UC Santa Barbara 67	0.609	Pepperdine 64 - UC Santa Barbara 67	8
Pittsburgh 81 - Sacred Heart 60	0.884	Pittsburgh 91 - Sacred Heart 66	-4
Portland 84 - New Orleans 65	0.932	Portland 100 - New Orleans 61	-20
Princeton 79 - Monmouth 59	0.903	Princeton 91 - Monmouth 54	-17
Providence 82 - Albany 60	0.937	Providence 93 - Albany 55	-16
Quinnipiac 72 - Lafayette 60	0.854	Quinnipiac 76 - Lafayette 63	-1
Rhode Island 73 - Army 67	0.702	Rhode Island 77 - Army 67	-4
Richmond 66 - Drake 70	0.655	Richmond 82 - Drake 52	-34
Robert Morris 61 - Marshall 79	0.894	Robert Morris 60 - Marshall 69	-9
Sacramento State 70 - Long Beach State 71	0.536	Sacramento State 76 - Long Beach State 74	-3
Saint Johns 84 - New Hampshire 56	0.964	Saint Johns 64 - New Hampshire 51	15
Saint Josephs 70 - Saint Peters 66	0.576	Saint Josephs 73 - Saint Peters 57	-12
Saint Louis 72 - Boise State 71	0.526	Saint Louis 52 - Boise State 57	6
Saint Marys 71 - San Diego State 69	0.567	Saint Marys 68 - San Diego State 61	-5
San Diego 71 - Cal Baptist 69	0.566	San Diego 73 - Cal Baptist 76	5
Santa Clara 77 - San Jose State 65	0.835	Santa Clara 64 - San Jose State 75	23
South Carolina Upstate 73 - South Carolina State 68	0.647	South Carolina Upstate 89 - South Carolina State 84	0
South Dakota 64 - UC Irvine 75	0.753	South Dakota 71 - UC Irvine 83	1
South Dakota State 76 - Eastern Washington 65	0.818	South Dakota State 77 - Eastern Washington 76	10
Southern 88 - Unranked 56		Southern 98 - Unranked 76
Southern Illinois 73 - Alcorn State 62	0.751	Southern Illinois 74 - Alcorn State 68	5
Southern Methodist 62 - Texas Christian 75	0.77	Southern Methodist 75 - Texas Christian 83	-5
Southern Miss 80 - Lamar 54	0.952	Southern Miss 95 - Lamar 59	-10
Southern Utah 74 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.553	Southern Utah 67 - Cal State Fullerton 60	-6
Stetson 88 - Unranked 57		Stetson 83 - Unranked 59
Syracuse 75 - Georgetown 68	0.705	Syracuse 83 - Georgetown 64	-12
Texas 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.982	Texas 88 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 43	-10
Texas Arlington 64 - Texas State 67	0.606	Texas Arlington 65 - Texas State 71	3
Toledo 82 - Canisius 66	0.836	Toledo 69 - Canisius 68	15
Troy 76 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.847	Troy 87 - Tennessee Tech 64	-13
Tulane 72 - Buffalo 75	0.571	Tulane 88 - Buffalo 63	-28
Tulsa 75 - Central Michigan 69	0.669	Tulsa 70 - Central Michigan 63	-1
UCLA 86 - Denver 60	0.96	UCLA 87 - Denver 64	3
UL Lafayette 75 - Samford 72	0.589	UL Lafayette 75 - Samford 58	-14
UMass Lowell 77 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	0.906	UMass Lowell 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	9
UMBC 75 - Morgan State 69	0.642	UMBC 75 - Morgan State 63	-6
UNC Wilmington 67 - Jacksonville 63	0.615	UNC Wilmington 81 - Jacksonville 53	-24
Utah State 81 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.78	Utah State 79 - Loyola Marymount 67	0
Villanova 75 - Boston College 67	0.713	Villanova 77 - Boston College 56	-13
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Radford 76	0.774	Virginia Military Institute 77 - Radford 74	-15
Weber State 84 - Unranked 57		Weber State 82 - Unranked 58
West Virginia 78 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.673	West Virginia 81 - Alabama Birmingham 70	-5
Western Carolina 84 - Unranked 60		Western Carolina 99 - Unranked 55
Western Kentucky 76 - Wright State 66	0.757	Western Kentucky 64 - Wright State 60	6
Western Michigan 63 - Illinois Chicago 72	0.782	Western Michigan 56 - Illinois Chicago 62	-3
Wichita State 71 - Longwood 61	0.79	Wichita State 81 - Longwood 63	-8
William and Mary 70 - Norfolk State 68	0.549	William and Mary 53 - Norfolk State 67	16
Wyoming 66 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.717	Wyoming 92 - Louisiana Tech 65	-34

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Jackson State 59	0.91	Akron 85 - Jackson State 72	5
Central Florida 73 - Tarleton State 63	0.794	Central Florida 75 - Tarleton State 49	-16
College of Charleston 99 - Unranked 49		College of Charleston 96 - Unranked 67
Colorado State 94 - Unranked 49		Colorado State 115 - Unranked 72
Delaware 70 - Siena 69	0.505	Delaware 75 - Siena 64	-10
Duquesne 71 - New Mexico State 73	0.551	Duquesne 60 - New Mexico State 73	11
East Carolina 77 - Coppin State 68	0.722	East Carolina 84 - Coppin State 75	0
Elon 81 - Unranked 59		Elon 101 - Unranked 69
Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - NJ Tech 67	0.656	Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - NJ Tech 71	4
Fordham 77 - Central Connecticut State 56	0.968	Fordham 90 - Central Connecticut State 77	8
Hampton 68 - Bowling Green 72	0.632	Hampton 72 - Bowling Green 86	10
Hawaii 76 - Saint Francis Penn 58	0.931	Hawaii 90 - Saint Francis Penn 66	-6
Hofstra 71 - Massachusetts 73	0.581	Hofstra 56 - Massachusetts 71	13
Idaho 64 - UC Riverside 73	0.707	Idaho 74 - UC Riverside 76	-7
Iowa 77 - Wisconsin 70	0.682	Iowa 75 - Wisconsin 78	10
Iowa State 85 - Mcneese State 50	0.992	Iowa State 77 - Mcneese State 40	-2
Kansas State 82 - Incarnate Word 53	0.966	Kansas State 98 - Incarnate Word 50	-19
Manhattan 67 - Bryant 74	0.711	Manhattan 97 - Bryant 104	0
Maryland 67 - Tennessee 72	0.609	Maryland 53 - Tennessee 56	-2
Merrimack 61 - Maine 70	0.761	Merrimack 47 - Maine 50	-6
Miami OH 86 - Unranked 58		Miami OH 85 - Unranked 49
Milwaukee 89 - Unranked 53		Milwaukee 92 - Unranked 63
Minnesota 60 - Mississippi State 74	0.889	Minnesota 51 - Mississippi State 69	4
Morehead State 67 - East Tennessee State 65	0.546	Morehead State 61 - East Tennessee State 57	-2
Niagara 74 - Eastern Michigan 63	0.781	Niagara 67 - Eastern Michigan 60	4
Nicholls State 88 - Unranked 59		Nicholls State 85 - Unranked 65
North Dakota State 86 - Unranked 58		North Dakota State 99 - Unranked 54
Northwestern 76 - Prairie View 58	0.85	Northwestern 61 - Prairie View 51	8
Notre Dame 70 - Marquette 75	0.615	Notre Dame 64 - Marquette 79	10
Pacific 89 - Unranked 58		Pacific 73 - Unranked 79
Rutgers 71 - Seton Hall 63	0.686	Rutgers 43 - Seton Hall 45	10
Saint Bonaventure 67 - Iona 72	0.61	Saint Bonaventure 57 - Iona 72	10
South Carolina 72 - Presbyterian 58	0.82	South Carolina 68 - Presbyterian 57	3
Southern Indiana 66 - Indiana State 76	0.733	Southern Indiana 88 - Indiana State 85	-13
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 55		Stephen F Austin 103 - Unranked 40
Tennessee Martin 73 - Chicago State 71	0.556	Tennessee Martin 75 - Chicago State 74	1
Tennessee State 65 - Lipscomb 74	0.754	Tennessee State 90 - Lipscomb 85	-14
Texas AM 76 - Oregon State 68	0.721	Texas AM 72 - Oregon State 54	-10
Texas Southern 89 - Unranked 56		Texas Southern 95 - Unranked 47
Towson 69 - Navy 64	0.627	Towson 69 - Navy 71	7
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Howard 57	0.937	Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Howard 60	13
Virginia Tech 72 - Oklahoma State 70	0.566	Virginia Tech 70 - Oklahoma State 65	-3
Youngstown State 73 - Ohio 69	0.635	Youngstown State 79 - Ohio 81	6

Number of DI Games: 258
Number Correct: 196 = 75.9%
Expected Number Correct: 190.695 = 73.9%
Average Error: 9.34
Average Signed Error: -1.45

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 62 - South Alabama 75	0.872	Alabama AM 71 - South Alabama 78	-6
Arizona State 74 - Creighton 72	0.546	Arizona State 73 - Creighton 71	0
Arkansas Little Rock 85 - Unranked 62		Arkansas Little Rock 83 - Unranked 54
Austin Peay 84 - Unranked 53		Austin Peay 86 - Unranked 61
Fairfield 58 - Yale 71	0.785	Fairfield 64 - Yale 77	0
Gonzaga 92 - Northern Illinois 56	0.96	Gonzaga 88 - Northern Illinois 67	15
IUPUI 76 - Unranked 61		IUPUI 75 - Unranked 53
Lafayette 70 - Columbia 60	0.842	Lafayette 45 - Columbia 57	22
New Hampshire 80 - Unranked 55		New Hampshire 104 - Unranked 61
North Dakota 85 - Unranked 56		North Dakota 99 - Unranked 48
Northern Iowa 67 - South Florida 68	0.519	Northern Iowa 69 - South Florida 72	2
Oral Roberts 76 - Liberty 73	0.587	Oral Roberts 84 - Liberty 70	-11
San Diego 74 - UC San Diego 66	0.768	San Diego 84 - UC San Diego 58	-18
San Diego State 81 - Kennesaw St 60	0.936	San Diego State 88 - Kennesaw St 54	-13
San Francisco 71 - New Mexico 76	0.697	San Francisco 64 - New Mexico 67	-2
South Dakota State 91 - Unranked 54		South Dakota State 85 - Unranked 56
Stony Brook 66 - Sacred Heart 70	0.606	Stony Brook 71 - Sacred Heart 64	-11
Syracuse 81 - Monmouth 58	0.922	Syracuse 86 - Monmouth 71	8
Texas 84 - Rice 59	0.91	Texas 87 - Rice 81	19
UC Santa Barbara 89 - Unranked 49		UC Santa Barbara 81 - Unranked 68
UL Lafayette 92 - Unranked 51		UL Lafayette 98 - Unranked 63

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Memphis 72	0.716	Alabama 91 - Memphis 88	5
American 75 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.783	American 69 - Virginia Military Institute 61	5
Arizona 89 - Texas AM CC 64	0.915	Arizona 99 - Texas AM CC 61	-13
Boise State 85 - New Orleans 53	0.96	Boise State 91 - New Orleans 50	-9
Boston 73 - Dartmouth 63	0.733	Boston 67 - Dartmouth 59	2
Boston College 75 - Stonehill 65	0.797	Boston College 63 - Stonehill 56	3
Florida AM 79 - Unranked 60		Florida AM 58 - Unranked 47
Florida State 77 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.779	Florida State 80 - South Carolina Upstate 63	-6
George Washington 78 - Coppin State 70	0.701	George Washington 83 - Coppin State 71	-4
Hartford 59 - Saint Peters 69	0.71	Hartford 57 - Saint Peters 58	-9
Houston 87 - North Carolina AT 50	0.975	Houston 74 - North Carolina AT 46	9
Howard 69 - Florida International 73	0.597	Howard 71 - Florida International 59	-16
Illinois Chicago 69 - Prairie View 66	0.582	Illinois Chicago 70 - Prairie View 61	-6
Iona 74 - Princeton 66	0.686	Iona 70 - Princeton 64	2
Lamar 56 - Southern Miss 80	0.939	Lamar 65 - Southern Miss 91	2
Louisiana State 78 - North Carolina Central 61	0.922	Louisiana State 67 - North Carolina Central 57	7
Loyola MD 64 - UMBC 72	0.689	Loyola MD 69 - UMBC 72	-5
Murray State 78 - Chicago State 62	0.839	Murray State 66 - Chicago State 65	15
NC State 76 - Furman 69	0.701	NC State 92 - Furman 73	-12
North Carolina 85 - The Citadel 60	0.955	North Carolina 100 - The Citadel 67	-8
Omaha 86 - Unranked 58		Omaha 104 - Unranked 72
Pacific 90 - Unranked 58		Pacific 80 - Unranked 56
Rhode Island 65 - UMass Lowell 71	0.74	Rhode Island 77 - UMass Lowell 75	-8
Richmond 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	0.863	Richmond 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 48	-10
Saint Francis Brooklyn 63 - Longwood 71	0.704	Saint Francis Brooklyn 57 - Longwood 63	-2
Saint Thomas 76 - Green Bay 62	0.815	Saint Thomas 82 - Green Bay 61	-7
Santa Clara 79 - Portland State 68	0.774	Santa Clara 78 - Portland State 75	8
South Carolina State 69 - UNC Asheville 76	0.699	South Carolina State 84 - UNC Asheville 94	3
Southern Illinois 89 - Unranked 50		Southern Illinois 88 - Unranked 51
Tennessee Martin 86 - Unranked 60		Tennessee Martin 103 - Unranked 75
Texas State 87 - Unranked 53		Texas State 65 - Unranked 71
Texas Tech 80 - Eastern Washington 59	0.942	Texas Tech 77 - Eastern Washington 70	14
UC Davis 91 - Unranked 54		UC Davis 107 - Unranked 55
UNC Greensboro 62 - Marshall 74	0.807	UNC Greensboro 75 - Marshall 67	-20
Utah 82 - Texas San Antonio 58	0.933	Utah 91 - Texas San Antonio 70	3
Utah Valley 92 - Unranked 52		Utah Valley 100 - Unranked 54
Washington 74 - Cal Poly 61	0.776	Washington 74 - Cal Poly 68	7
Wichita State 80 - Mississippi Valley State 51	0.956	Wichita State 71 - Mississippi Valley State 48	6
Xavier 85 - Southern 64	0.94	Xavier 79 - Southern 59	1

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Wright State 65	0.715	Akron 66 - Wright State 54	-4
Alabama Birmingham 79 - South Carolina 63	0.868	Alabama Birmingham 84 - South Carolina 70	2
Albany 72 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.587	Albany 76 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-14
Arkansas State 66 - SE Missouri State 67	0.546	Arkansas State 68 - SE Missouri State 61	-8
Auburn 80 - Georgia State 55	0.96	Auburn 72 - Georgia State 64	17
Campbell 85 - Unranked 55		Campbell 97 - Unranked 58
Cincinnati 80 - Miami OH 64	0.869	Cincinnati 103 - Miami OH 76	-11
College of Charleston 83 - Stetson 64	0.899	College of Charleston 65 - Stetson 60	14
Denver 87 - Unranked 56		Denver 85 - Unranked 74
Duquesne 72 - DePaul 73	0.515	Duquesne 66 - DePaul 55	-12
East Tennessee State 62 - Queens 72	0.841	East Tennessee State 75 - Queens 78	-7
Florida 78 - Ohio 66	0.818	Florida 82 - Ohio 48	-22
Florida Atlantic 97 - Unranked 47		Florida Atlantic 97 - Unranked 74
Gardner Webb 84 - Unranked 51		Gardner Webb 120 - Unranked 44
Georgia Southern 66 - Morehead State 63	0.579	Georgia Southern 71 - Morehead State 74	6
Jackson State 54 - Mississippi State 82	0.985	Jackson State 59 - Mississippi State 69	-18
Jacksonville State 88 - Unranked 55		Jacksonville State 97 - Unranked 63
Lipscomb 76 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.765	Lipscomb 64 - Tennessee Tech 63	8
Louisiana Tech 74 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.623	Louisiana Tech 79 - Stephen F Austin 80	6
Louisville 61 - Western Kentucky 73	0.825	Louisville 94 - Western Kentucky 83	-23
Maryland 72 - UCLA 74	0.537	Maryland 60 - UCLA 87	25
Minnesota 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	0.875	Minnesota 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	0
Mississippi 69 - Central Florida 67	0.545	Mississippi 61 - Central Florida 72	13
Nevada 79 - UC San Diego 59	0.937	Nevada 64 - UC San Diego 56	12
Norfolk State 73 - Bowling Green 67	0.689	Norfolk State 81 - Bowling Green 75	0
Northern Kentucky 72 - Eastern Kentucky 65	0.711	Northern Kentucky 64 - Eastern Kentucky 61	4
Oregon 78 - UC Riverside 63	0.881	Oregon 71 - UC Riverside 65	9
Saint Marys 75 - New Mexico State 63	0.813	Saint Marys 81 - New Mexico State 68	-1
Seton Hall 73 - Drexel 62	0.777	Seton Hall 66 - Drexel 49	-6
South Dakota 70 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.521	South Dakota 86 - Coastal Carolina 87	2
Southern California 79 - Long Beach State 65	0.843	Southern California 88 - Long Beach State 78	4
Tennessee State 73 - Charleston Southern 66	0.705	Tennessee State 87 - Charleston Southern 91	11
UL Monroe 56 - Sam Houston State 79	0.93	UL Monroe 53 - Sam Houston State 79	3
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Radford 64	0.755	Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Radford 62	1
Wake Forest 77 - Appalachian State 63	0.894	Wake Forest 67 - Appalachian State 66	13

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brigham Young 94 - Unranked 53		Brigham Young 97 - Unranked 64
Colorado 86 - North Alabama 61	0.919	Colorado 84 - North Alabama 60	1
Mcneese State 60 - UL Lafayette 77	0.86	Mcneese State 70 - UL Lafayette 78	-9
Middle Tennessee 71 - Chattanooga 67	0.59	Middle Tennessee 73 - Chattanooga 82	13
Nicholls State 75 - Southeast Louisiana 72	0.608	Nicholls State 88 - Southeast Louisiana 73	-12
Oregon State 68 - Seattle 73	0.642	Oregon State 73 - Seattle 58	-20
Presbyterian 67 - Elon 63	0.607	Presbyterian 69 - Elon 63	-2
Rice 90 - Unranked 56		Rice 92 - Unranked 54
Santa Clara 70 - UC Irvine 71	0.506	Santa Clara 86 - UC Irvine 74	-13
Southern Indiana 88 - Unranked 55		Southern Indiana 84 - Unranked 42
Texas Pan American 88 - Unranked 59		Texas Pan American 106 - Unranked 80
Utah State 102 - Unranked 47		Utah State 106 - Unranked 68
Wagner 71 - Stony Brook 59	0.751	Wagner 58 - Stony Brook 55	9
Wisconsin 84 - Lehigh 55	0.966	Wisconsin 78 - Lehigh 56	7

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal Poly 72 - Weber State 61	0.745	Cal Poly 45 - Weber State 74	40
Georgetown 68 - Xavier 82	0.875	Georgetown 89 - Xavier 102	-1
Idaho 85 - Unranked 57		Idaho 125 - Unranked 51
Incarnate Word 67 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.511	Incarnate Word 77 - Bethune Cookman 65	-11
Manhattan 69 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.583	Manhattan 67 - Central Connecticut State 78	14
Marquette 77 - Creighton 73	0.623	Marquette 69 - Creighton 58	-7
Murray State 73 - Austin Peay 63	0.725	Murray State 68 - Austin Peay 60	2
Oral Roberts 76 - Missouri State 67	0.722	Oral Roberts 80 - Missouri State 77	6
Princeton 73 - Delaware 64	0.742	Princeton 69 - Delaware 76	16
Saint Bonaventure 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	0.595	Saint Bonaventure 58 - Florida Gulf Coast 71	17
South Florida 73 - Dartmouth 61	0.798	South Florida 59 - Dartmouth 55	8
Southern Illinois 76 - Chicago State 60	0.854	Southern Illinois 63 - Chicago State 52	5
Stanford 80 - Green Bay 57	0.943	Stanford 85 - Green Bay 40	-22
Texas AM CC 88 - Unranked 55		Texas AM CC 104 - Unranked 69
Tulsa 77 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.87	Tulsa 66 - Mississippi Valley State 51	3
Utah Valley 92 - Unranked 52		Utah Valley 80 - Unranked 54
Western Illinois 86 - Unranked 56		Western Illinois 79 - Unranked 50
Youngstown State 76 - Southern 69	0.691	Youngstown State 85 - Southern 81	3

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Gonzaga 77	0.573	Alabama 90 - Gonzaga 100	13
Appalachian State 86 - Unranked 53		Appalachian State 100 - Unranked 32
Arizona 74 - Tennessee 77	0.584	Arizona 75 - Tennessee 70	-8
Arkansas 76 - Bradley 63	0.815	Arkansas 76 - Bradley 57	-6
Arkansas Pine Bluff 83 - Unranked 60		Arkansas Pine Bluff 104 - Unranked 50
Ball State 71 - Illinois State 68	0.613	Ball State 83 - Illinois State 69	-11
Bellarmine 73 - Miami OH 65	0.737	Bellarmine 67 - Miami OH 71	12
Binghamton 81 - Unranked 60		Binghamton 86 - Unranked 58
Bowling Green 76 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.751	Bowling Green 67 - Tennessee Martin 75	16
Brigham Young 68 - Utah 77	0.712	Brigham Young 75 - Utah 66	-18
Butler 66 - Connecticut 78	0.801	Butler 46 - Connecticut 68	10
Cal State Bakersfield 64 - Abilene Christian 67	0.569	Cal State Bakersfield 59 - Abilene Christian 65	3
Central Florida 75 - Missouri 71	0.612	Central Florida 66 - Missouri 68	6
Cincinnati 76 - La Salle 66	0.78	Cincinnati 78 - La Salle 60	-8
Clemson 72 - Richmond 67	0.607	Clemson 85 - Richmond 57	-23
Drexel 78 - Delaware State 58	0.933	Drexel 85 - Delaware State 52	-13
Duquesne 71 - Indiana State 72	0.518	Duquesne 92 - Indiana State 86	-7
East Tennessee State 68 - UNC Asheville 70	0.552	East Tennessee State 73 - UNC Asheville 74	-1
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Radford 72	0.622	Eastern Kentucky 67 - Radford 65	-6
Eastern Washington 70 - UC Davis 73	0.635	Eastern Washington 79 - UC Davis 68	-14
Florida Atlantic 83 - Florida International 60	0.907	Florida Atlantic 79 - Florida International 53	-3
Florida State 70 - Saint Johns 79	0.748	Florida State 79 - Saint Johns 93	5
Fresno State 71 - Sacramento State 64	0.715	Fresno State 53 - Sacramento State 59	13
Furman 76 - Stephen F Austin 68	0.724	Furman 72 - Stephen F Austin 70	6
Gardner Webb 67 - North Carolina Central 66	0.562	Gardner Webb 72 - North Carolina Central 70	-1
Georgia Southern 67 - Campbell 66	0.538	Georgia Southern 54 - Campbell 53	0
Georgia Tech 80 - Alabama State 57	0.965	Georgia Tech 96 - Alabama State 60	-13
Grand Canyon 73 - Pepperdine 67	0.623	Grand Canyon 83 - Pepperdine 73	-4
Hartford 61 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	0.686	Hartford 51 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	8
Illinois 87 - Alabama AM 55	0.97	Illinois 68 - Alabama AM 47	11
Iowa 87 - SE Missouri State 62	0.94	Iowa 106 - SE Missouri State 75	-6
IUPUI 64 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.52	IUPUI 59 - Eastern Illinois 70	10
Jacksonville 75 - Charleston Southern 60	0.82	Jacksonville 72 - Charleston Southern 63	6
Jacksonville State 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.795	Jacksonville State 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	1
Kansas 78 - Indiana 68	0.753	Kansas 84 - Indiana 62	-12
Kansas State 75 - Nebraska 68	0.712	Kansas State 71 - Nebraska 56	-8
Kennesaw St 87 - Unranked 54		Kennesaw St 79 - Unranked 55
Kentucky 73 - UCLA 75	0.565	Kentucky 53 - UCLA 63	8
Lehigh 84 - Unranked 58		Lehigh 94 - Unranked 36
Liberty 77 - Bryant 69	0.705	Liberty 82 - Bryant 62	-12
Lindenwood 82 - Unranked 60		Lindenwood 77 - Unranked 42
Louisiana State 80 - Winthrop 62	0.923	Louisiana State 89 - Winthrop 81	10
Louisville 73 - Florida AM 62	0.819	Louisville 61 - Florida AM 55	5
Marshall 78 - Toledo 71	0.689	Marshall 100 - Toledo 85	-8
Maryland Eastern Shore 83 - Unranked 56		Maryland Eastern Shore 95 - Unranked 55
Massachusetts 67 - North Texas 69	0.55	Massachusetts 44 - North Texas 62	16
Memphis 78 - Texas AM 69	0.719	Memphis 83 - Texas AM 79	5
Mercer 69 - Morehead State 65	0.647	Mercer 79 - Morehead State 52	-23
Miami 88 - Saint Francis Penn 58	0.982	Miami 91 - Saint Francis Penn 76	15
Michigan 81 - Lipscomb 63	0.862	Michigan 83 - Lipscomb 75	10
Mississippi 75 - Temple 66	0.729	Mississippi 63 - Temple 55	1
Mississippi State 82 - Nicholls State 57	0.962	Mississippi State 68 - Nicholls State 66	23
Monmouth 58 - Charlotte 76	0.861	Monmouth 46 - Charlotte 80	16
Montana State 91 - Unranked 52		Montana State 144 - Unranked 59
NC State 76 - Vanderbilt 70	0.652	NC State 70 - Vanderbilt 66	2
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - San Francisco 67	0.781	Nevada Las Vegas 73 - San Francisco 75	10
Norfolk State 76 - Hampton 63	0.831	Norfolk State 78 - Hampton 66	1
North Carolina 77 - Ohio State 76	0.51	North Carolina 89 - Ohio State 84	-4
North Carolina AT 68 - Texas Southern 74	0.648	North Carolina AT 67 - Texas Southern 66	-7
Northwestern 73 - DePaul 67	0.676	Northwestern 83 - DePaul 45	-32
Ohio 74 - Stetson 67	0.702	Ohio 85 - Stetson 66	-12
Oklahoma 86 - Central Arkansas 61	0.96	Oklahoma 87 - Central Arkansas 66	4
Oregon 80 - Portland 68	0.793	Oregon 78 - Portland 56	-10
Pacific 70 - San Jose State 73	0.586	Pacific 59 - San Jose State 58	-4
Pittsburgh 78 - North Florida 65	0.748	Pittsburgh 82 - North Florida 56	-13
Portland State 70 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.564	Portland State 73 - UC Santa Barbara 85	10
Prairie View 66 - Montana 69	0.591	Prairie View 76 - Montana 81	2
Purdue 83 - Davidson 62	0.931	Purdue 69 - Davidson 61	13
Rice 72 - Northwestern State 73	0.524	Rice 110 - Northwestern State 73	-38
Rutgers 72 - Wake Forest 66	0.685	Rutgers 81 - Wake Forest 57	-18
Saint Josephs 65 - Villanova 80	0.835	Saint Josephs 64 - Villanova 71	-8
Saint Louis 74 - Drake 69	0.632	Saint Louis 83 - Drake 75	-3
Seton Hall 73 - Providence 69	0.594	Seton Hall 67 - Providence 71	8
South Carolina 69 - East Carolina 68	0.508	South Carolina 56 - East Carolina 64	9
South Carolina State 67 - Samford 79	0.816	South Carolina State 62 - Samford 61	-13
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Troy 75	0.728	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Troy 77	-1
Southern Utah 77 - Northern Arizona 66	0.792	Southern Utah 106 - Northern Arizona 101	6
Syracuse 77 - Cornell 70	0.701	Syracuse 78 - Cornell 63	-8
Tennessee State 85 - Unranked 56		Tennessee State 99 - Unranked 78
Tennessee Tech 73 - Western Carolina 70	0.594	Tennessee Tech 65 - Western Carolina 75	13
Texas El Paso 69 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.505	Texas El Paso 60 - Louisiana Tech 55	-6
Texas State 62 - Sam Houston State 72	0.73	Texas State 62 - Sam Houston State 69	-3
Texas Tech 83 - Jackson State 56	0.964	Texas Tech 102 - Jackson State 52	-23
The Citadel 66 - Longwood 70	0.608	The Citadel 70 - Longwood 75	1
Towson 72 - Northern Iowa 65	0.72	Towson 66 - Northern Iowa 83	24
Tulane 72 - George Mason 71	0.515	Tulane 56 - George Mason 62	7
UC San Diego 84 - Unranked 54		UC San Diego 91 - Unranked 55
UL Monroe 70 - Lamar 66	0.63	UL Monroe 83 - Lamar 59	-20
Utah Tech 89 - Unranked 55		Utah Tech 100 - Unranked 58
Virginia 62 - Houston 69	0.674	Virginia 61 - Houston 69	1
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Northern Illinois 60	0.859	Virginia Commonwealth 90 - Northern Illinois 63	-9
Virginia Tech 79 - Grambling State 61	0.827	Virginia Tech 74 - Grambling State 48	-8
Washington 80 - Idaho State 57	0.945	Washington 90 - Idaho State 55	-12
Wichita State 67 - Oklahoma State 70	0.604	Wichita State 49 - Oklahoma State 59	7
Wofford 88 - Unranked 54		Wofford 107 - Unranked 65
Wright State 89 - Unranked 55		Wright State 111 - Unranked 59
Wyoming 66 - Dayton 70	0.62	Wyoming 49 - Dayton 66	13

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Tarleton State 65	0.605	Air Force 81 - Tarleton State 67	-10
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Southern 65	0.915	Alabama Birmingham 92 - Southern 66	-8
Arizona State 82 - San Diego 64	0.904	Arizona State 91 - San Diego 67	-6
Baylor 81 - Washington State 69	0.741	Baylor 65 - Washington State 59	6
Boise State 86 - Oakland 57	0.965	Boise State 77 - Oakland 57	9
Bucknell 72 - Merrimack 59	0.827	Bucknell 61 - Merrimack 55	7
Cal Baptist 88 - Unranked 51		Cal Baptist 88 - Unranked 67
Chattanooga 75 - Belmont 69	0.715	Chattanooga 79 - Belmont 83	10
Colorado 83 - Northern Colorado 66	0.825	Colorado 88 - Northern Colorado 77	6
Eastern Michigan 70 - Detroit 78	0.692	Eastern Michigan 79 - Detroit 77	-10
Fairfield 82 - Unranked 53		Fairfield 86 - Unranked 45
Georgia 66 - Notre Dame 69	0.586	Georgia 77 - Notre Dame 62	-18
Georgia State 64 - Rhode Island 65	0.508	Georgia State 75 - Rhode Island 66	-10
Harvard 76 - Howard 59	0.87	Harvard 54 - Howard 66	29
Illinois Chicago 67 - Northeastern 64	0.6	Illinois Chicago 81 - Northeastern 73	-5
Iowa State 82 - Western Michigan 50	0.991	Iowa State 73 - Western Michigan 57	16
James Madison 86 - LIU Brooklyn 62	0.913	James Madison 115 - LIU Brooklyn 79	-12
Kent State 95 - Unranked 47		Kent State 106 - Unranked 56
Loyola Ill 77 - Albany 58	0.881	Loyola Ill 68 - Albany 56	7
Loyola Marymount 74 - Cleveland State 64	0.772	Loyola Marymount 70 - Cleveland State 59	-1
Missouri State 74 - Central Michigan 61	0.825	Missouri State 79 - Central Michigan 58	-8
Mt St Marys 68 - Robert Morris 61	0.701	Mt St Marys 59 - Robert Morris 68	16
Navy 89 - Unranked 52		Navy 93 - Unranked 54
New Mexico 74 - Iona 73	0.525	New Mexico 82 - Iona 74	-7
New Mexico State 94 - Unranked 49		New Mexico State 95 - Unranked 53
NJ Tech 57 - Niagara 69	0.847	NJ Tech 62 - Niagara 53	-21
Norfolk State 75 - North Carolina AT 66	0.704	Norfolk State 70 - North Carolina AT 66	5
Northern Kentucky 86 - Unranked 53		Northern Kentucky 81 - Unranked 41
Oregon State 76 - Green Bay 60	0.871	Oregon State 65 - Green Bay 56	7
Penn State 82 - Canisius 59	0.942	Penn State 97 - Canisius 67	-7
Saint Marys 77 - Colorado State 63	0.81	Saint Marys 60 - Colorado State 62	16
Saint Peters 62 - Quinnipiac 71	0.712	Saint Peters 63 - Quinnipiac 56	-16
Santa Clara 76 - California 59	0.905	Santa Clara 71 - California 62	8
Seattle 79 - Alcorn State 64	0.824	Seattle 72 - Alcorn State 58	1
SIU Edwardsville 88 - Unranked 53		SIU Edwardsville 93 - Unranked 78
Southern California 69 - Auburn 74	0.668	Southern California 74 - Auburn 71	-8
Southern Miss 79 - Mcneese State 54	0.936	Southern Miss 86 - Mcneese State 67	6
Stony Brook 66 - Army 70	0.624	Stony Brook 66 - Army 59	-11
Texas 77 - Stanford 63	0.856	Texas 72 - Stanford 62	4
Texas Christian 83 - Mississippi Valley State 52	0.952	Texas Christian 88 - Mississippi Valley State 43	-14
Texas Pan American 80 - Houston Christian 65	0.869	Texas Pan American 100 - Houston Christian 90	5
Texas San Antonio 73 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.686	Texas San Antonio 90 - Bethune Cookman 69	-13
Texas Southern 75 - Hampton 65	0.783	Texas Southern 82 - Hampton 77	5
UMBC 72 - William and Mary 67	0.643	UMBC 78 - William and Mary 62	-11
UNC Greensboro 85 - Unranked 52		UNC Greensboro 120 - Unranked 48
UNC Wilmington 76 - High Point 66	0.766	UNC Wilmington 85 - High Point 82	7
Valparaiso 71 - Elon 64	0.675	Valparaiso 71 - Elon 66	2
West Virginia 83 - Buffalo 63	0.858	West Virginia 96 - Buffalo 78	2

Number of DI Games: 221
Number Correct: 169 = 76.4%
Expected Number Correct: 165.692 = 74.9%
Average Error: 9.31
Average Signed Error: -0.39

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Maine 60	0.848	Akron 87 - Maine 55	-20
Arkansas State 71 - Alabama State 60	0.817	Arkansas State 72 - Alabama State 65	4
Bowling Green 86 - Unranked 57		Bowling Green 93 - Unranked 74
Bradley 77 - Stonehill 58	0.932	Bradley 79 - Stonehill 50	-10
Cal State Fullerton 87 - Unranked 55		Cal State Fullerton 87 - Unranked 35
Cal State Northridge 67 - Idaho 69	0.565	Cal State Northridge 73 - Idaho 76	1
Coastal Carolina 65 - College of Charleston 79	0.841	Coastal Carolina 69 - College of Charleston 83	0
Furman 92 - Unranked 52		Furman 106 - Unranked 79
Gardner Webb 85 - Unranked 52		Gardner Webb 116 - Unranked 55
Illinois State 71 - Chicago State 63	0.724	Illinois State 66 - Chicago State 52	-6
IPFW 73 - Texas A&M Commerce 63	0.771	IPFW 85 - Texas A&M Commerce 68	-7
Liberty 71 - Grambling State 63	0.682	Liberty 75 - Grambling State 56	-11
Long Beach State 92 - Unranked 56		Long Beach State 97 - Unranked 52
Marist 71 - Manhattan 61	0.773	Marist 69 - Manhattan 80	21
Marshall 95 - Unranked 50		Marshall 99 - Unranked 73
New Hampshire 68 - Holy Cross 61	0.681	New Hampshire 78 - Holy Cross 60	-11
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 62		New Orleans 79 - Unranked 71
Nicholls State 91 - Unranked 56		Nicholls State 90 - Unranked 46
North Florida 88 - Unranked 56		North Florida 105 - Unranked 66
Omaha 70 - Denver 72	0.572	Omaha 83 - Denver 66	-19
Oral Roberts 81 - South Dakota State 70	0.77	Oral Roberts 79 - South Dakota State 40	-28
Pepperdine 93 - Unranked 55		Pepperdine 92 - Unranked 69
Presbyterian 80 - Unranked 56		Presbyterian 90 - Unranked 70
Rice 93 - Unranked 55		Rice 109 - Unranked 64
Rider 68 - Delaware 71	0.601	Rider 59 - Delaware 60	-2
Saint Josephs 76 - Sacred Heart 67	0.756	Saint Josephs 77 - Sacred Heart 59	-9
Saint Thomas 74 - North Dakota 66	0.694	Saint Thomas 75 - North Dakota 62	-5
San Francisco 78 - Texas Arlington 60	0.926	San Francisco 63 - Texas Arlington 68	23
Siena 65 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.623	Siena 76 - Saint Bonaventure 70	-11
South Alabama 90 - Unranked 52		South Alabama 82 - Unranked 53
South Florida 68 - Hofstra 71	0.625	South Florida 77 - Hofstra 70	-10
Southern Indiana 78 - IUPUI 57	0.898	Southern Indiana 87 - IUPUI 74	8
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 54		Stephen F Austin 83 - Unranked 51
Tennessee Martin 86 - Unranked 58		Tennessee Martin 120 - Unranked 59
UMKC 68 - South Dakota 66	0.551	UMKC 62 - South Dakota 45	-15
Utah State 86 - Weber State 59	0.933	Utah State 72 - Weber State 75	30
Utah Tech 90 - Unranked 55		Utah Tech 80 - Unranked 53
Western Illinois 70 - North Dakota State 69	0.53	Western Illinois 79 - North Dakota State 60	-18

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 93 - Jackson State 58	0.976	Alabama 84 - Jackson State 64	15
Arizona 87 - Montana State 65	0.899	Arizona 85 - Montana State 64	1
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Central Arkansas 75	0.576	Arkansas Little Rock 75 - Central Arkansas 66	-11
Baylor 86 - Northwestern State 62	0.902	Baylor 58 - Northwestern State 48	14
Brigham Young 83 - Lindenwood 60	0.938	Brigham Young 90 - Lindenwood 61	-6
Cal State Bakersfield 59 - Fresno State 67	0.705	Cal State Bakersfield 48 - Fresno State 56	0
Central Connecticut State 69 - Army 68	0.552	Central Connecticut State 55 - Army 66	12
Connecticut 88 - Georgetown 59	0.982	Connecticut 84 - Georgetown 73	18
Cornell 79 - Lehigh 68	0.822	Cornell 96 - Lehigh 64	-21
Dayton 75 - Alcorn State 59	0.856	Dayton 88 - Alcorn State 46	-26
Delaware State 63 - Wagner 72	0.73	Delaware State 51 - Wagner 58	-2
Drake 62 - Mississippi State 72	0.765	Drake 58 - Mississippi State 52	-16
Eastern Washington 89 - Unranked 55		Eastern Washington 130 - Unranked 54
Florida 71 - Oklahoma 72	0.527	Florida 53 - Oklahoma 62	8
Gonzaga 85 - Montana 62	0.918	Gonzaga 85 - Montana 75	13
Grand Canyon 77 - Idaho State 57	0.925	Grand Canyon 68 - Idaho State 66	18
Indiana 86 - Elon 53	0.974	Indiana 96 - Elon 72	9
IPFW 72 - Southern Indiana 66	0.652	IPFW 83 - Southern Indiana 59	-18
Kennesaw St 74 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.702	Kennesaw St 65 - South Carolina Upstate 56	-1
Lamar 64 - Pacific 78	0.85	Lamar 65 - Pacific 74	-5
Longwood 77 - South Carolina State 63	0.871	Longwood 104 - South Carolina State 77	-13
Louisville 70 - Lipscomb 69	0.508	Louisville 67 - Lipscomb 75	9
Massachusetts 79 - Dartmouth 58	0.908	Massachusetts 68 - Dartmouth 57	10
Miami 69 - Virginia 72	0.614	Miami 66 - Virginia 64	-5
Mississippi 82 - North Alabama 60	0.949	Mississippi 65 - North Alabama 66	23
Nebraska 74 - Queens 66	0.727	Nebraska 75 - Queens 65	-2
New Mexico 83 - Prairie View 60	0.953	New Mexico 94 - Prairie View 63	-8
North Carolina Central 73 - The Citadel 66	0.71	North Carolina Central 81 - The Citadel 74	0
Northern Colorado 72 - Air Force 71	0.511	Northern Colorado 65 - Air Force 67	3
Northern Illinois 71 - Albany 67	0.599	Northern Illinois 78 - Albany 83	9
Northwestern 75 - Illinois Chicago 58	0.871	Northwestern 92 - Illinois Chicago 54	-21
Oklahoma State 80 - Texas AM CC 59	0.905	Oklahoma State 81 - Texas AM CC 58	-2
Oregon 78 - Utah Valley 65	0.832	Oregon 72 - Utah Valley 77	18
Providence 72 - Marquette 77	0.643	Providence 103 - Marquette 98	-10
Sam Houston State 93 - Unranked 47		Sam Houston State 107 - Unranked 26
San Diego State 82 - UC San Diego 56	0.964	San Diego State 62 - UC San Diego 46	10
San Jose State 70 - Cal Poly 63	0.658	San Jose State 65 - Cal Poly 43	-15
Syracuse 71 - Pittsburgh 70	0.509	Syracuse 82 - Pittsburgh 84	3
Temple 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.861	Temple 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 86	23
Tennessee State 85 - Unranked 58		Tennessee State 98 - Unranked 83
Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 104 - Unranked 72
Texas A&M Commerce 74 - IUPUI 58	0.896	Texas A&M Commerce 52 - IUPUI 62	26
Texas AM 78 - Wofford 65	0.799	Texas AM 62 - Wofford 67	18
UC Irvine 75 - Harvard 62	0.763	UC Irvine 57 - Harvard 62	18
UC Riverside 75 - San Diego 71	0.621	UC Riverside 84 - San Diego 92	12
UL Monroe 59 - Jacksonville 73	0.814	UL Monroe 55 - Jacksonville 66	-3
Vermont 72 - Toledo 73	0.523	Vermont 72 - Toledo 84	11
Wake Forest 66 - Duke 78	0.813	Wake Forest 81 - Duke 70	-23
Western Carolina 85 - Unranked 59		Western Carolina 117 - Unranked 50
Xavier 76 - Seton Hall 68	0.73	Xavier 73 - Seton Hall 70	5

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 88 - Unranked 54		Abilene Christian 113 - Unranked 52
Appalachian State 63 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.78	Appalachian State 50 - UC Santa Barbara 61	3
Arkansas 87 - UNC Asheville 61	0.961	Arkansas 85 - UNC Asheville 51	-8
Ball State 73 - Georgia Southern 64	0.767	Ball State 58 - Georgia Southern 54	5
Belmont 75 - Samford 69	0.65	Belmont 79 - Samford 56	-17
Boston College 61 - Virginia Tech 78	0.874	Boston College 70 - Virginia Tech 65	-22
Brown 68 - New Hampshire 58	0.787	Brown 67 - New Hampshire 51	-6
Buffalo 92 - Unranked 55		Buffalo 129 - Unranked 62
Cal State Fullerton 68 - Sacramento State 69	0.543	Cal State Fullerton 59 - Sacramento State 49	-11
California 66 - Texas Arlington 64	0.566	California 73 - Texas Arlington 51	-20
Campbell 61 - UNC Wilmington 74	0.798	Campbell 66 - UNC Wilmington 74	-5
Central Florida 78 - Stetson 58	0.911	Central Florida 73 - Stetson 58	5
Central Michigan 68 - Youngstown State 77	0.765	Central Michigan 65 - Youngstown State 76	2
Cincinnati 80 - Detroit 67	0.771	Cincinnati 72 - Detroit 54	-5
Cleveland State 87 - Unranked 52		Cleveland State 78 - Unranked 48
Colorado 83 - Southern Utah 68	0.806	Colorado 86 - Southern Utah 78	7
Colorado State 72 - Southern California 74	0.568	Colorado State 64 - Southern California 73	7
Coppin State 69 - James Madison 84	0.826	Coppin State 107 - James Madison 100	-22
Davidson 76 - Northeastern 60	0.864	Davidson 70 - Northeastern 73	19
Delaware 71 - Ohio 68	0.585	Delaware 76 - Ohio 95	22
Drake 92 - Unranked 51		Drake 124 - Unranked 48
Duquesne 77 - Winthrop 66	0.804	Duquesne 74 - Winthrop 57	-6
East Carolina 74 - High Point 71	0.589	East Carolina 60 - High Point 49	-8
Evansville 63 - Bellarmine 70	0.691	Evansville 73 - Bellarmine 61	-19
Florida Atlantic 77 - Northern Kentucky 58	0.89	Florida Atlantic 67 - Northern Kentucky 52	4
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Canisius 61	0.884	Florida Gulf Coast 84 - Canisius 81	14
Florida International 72 - Incarnate Word 64	0.688	Florida International 79 - Incarnate Word 74	3
Florida State 70 - Notre Dame 72	0.555	Florida State 73 - Notre Dame 72	-3
Georgia 71 - Chattanooga 68	0.635	Georgia 72 - Chattanooga 65	-4
Georgia State 86 - Unranked 52		Georgia State 91 - Unranked 52
Georgia Tech 70 - Clemson 72	0.564	Georgia Tech 66 - Clemson 79	11
Houston 87 - Mcneese State 45	0.996	Houston 83 - Mcneese State 44	3
Howard 65 - Mt St Marys 66	0.521	Howard 63 - Mt St Marys 62	-2
Iowa 91 - Eastern Illinois 53	0.992	Iowa 83 - Eastern Illinois 92	47
Kansas State 80 - Radford 59	0.944	Kansas State 73 - Radford 65	13
Kentucky 87 - Florida AM 51	0.995	Kentucky 88 - Florida AM 68	16
La Salle 70 - Lafayette 61	0.821	La Salle 65 - Lafayette 90	34
Liberty 92 - Unranked 49		Liberty 88 - Unranked 50
Long Beach State 77 - Idaho 68	0.72	Long Beach State 82 - Idaho 75	2
Louisiana State 79 - East Tennessee State 57	0.982	Louisiana State 72 - East Tennessee State 68	18
Louisiana Tech 89 - Unranked 53		Louisiana Tech 108 - Unranked 52
Loyola Marymount 78 - Tulsa 65	0.827	Loyola Marymount 76 - Tulsa 64	1
Memphis 89 - Alabama State 54	0.995	Memphis 83 - Alabama State 61	13
Michigan State 87 - Oakland 60	0.964	Michigan State 67 - Oakland 54	14
Middle Tennessee 70 - Murray State 66	0.585	Middle Tennessee 83 - Murray State 67	-12
Morehead State 83 - Unranked 55		Morehead State 66 - Unranked 50
Nevada 78 - Norfolk State 65	0.848	Nevada 78 - Norfolk State 66	1
New Mexico State 70 - Kent State 72	0.55	New Mexico State 63 - Kent State 73	8
Niagara 71 - Binghamton 59	0.833	Niagara 73 - Binghamton 67	6
North Alabama 87 - Unranked 59		North Alabama 83 - Unranked 45
North Carolina 80 - Michigan 73	0.673	North Carolina 80 - Michigan 76	3
Northern Iowa 66 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.606	Northern Iowa 62 - Saint Bonaventure 52	-14
Ohio State 83 - Maine 58	0.953	Ohio State 95 - Maine 61	-9
Old Dominion 67 - George Mason 65	0.571	Old Dominion 78 - George Mason 77	1
Oregon State 74 - Denver 66	0.745	Oregon State 57 - Denver 52	3
Purdue 93 - New Orleans 52	0.993	Purdue 74 - New Orleans 53	20
Richmond 73 - Bucknell 62	0.738	Richmond 81 - Bucknell 71	1
Robert Morris 74 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.758	Robert Morris 77 - Saint Francis Penn 66	-2
Saint Louis 78 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.824	Saint Louis 67 - SIU Edwardsville 69	16
Saint Thomas 74 - North Dakota State 68	0.655	Saint Thomas 78 - North Dakota State 68	-4
San Francisco 69 - Arizona State 74	0.665	San Francisco 97 - Arizona State 60	-42
SE Missouri State 64 - Southern Illinois 73	0.745	SE Missouri State 68 - Southern Illinois 70	-7
South Alabama 72 - Jacksonville State 65	0.71	South Alabama 71 - Jacksonville State 66	2
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Southern 73	0.515	Southeast Louisiana 80 - Southern 62	-19
Tarleton State 88 - Unranked 54		Tarleton State 114 - Unranked 56
Tennessee 81 - Austin Peay 50	0.956	Tennessee 86 - Austin Peay 44	-11
Texas 80 - UL Lafayette 62	0.902	Texas 100 - UL Lafayette 72	-10
Texas El Paso 74 - North Carolina AT 65	0.714	Texas El Paso 75 - North Carolina AT 62	-4
Texas State 87 - Unranked 53		Texas State 87 - Unranked 72
Texas Tech 89 - Houston Christian 53	0.994	Texas Tech 111 - Houston Christian 67	-8
Troy 73 - Mercer 66	0.727	Troy 79 - Mercer 82	10
Tulane 80 - Mississippi Valley State 57	0.937	Tulane 84 - Mississippi Valley State 63	2
UCLA 87 - UC Davis 60	0.962	UCLA 81 - UC Davis 54	0
UMass Lowell 74 - Boston 65	0.789	UMass Lowell 68 - Boston 60	1
Utah 72 - Texas Christian 68	0.579	Utah 71 - Texas Christian 75	8
Valparaiso 71 - Stonehill 68	0.585	Valparaiso 77 - Stonehill 67	-7
Villanova 75 - Saint Johns 74	0.549	Villanova 78 - Saint Johns 63	-14
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Navy 64	0.719	Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Navy 52	-14
Washington 70 - Auburn 73	0.594	Washington 61 - Auburn 84	20
Western Michigan 81 - Unranked 58		Western Michigan 61 - Unranked 41
William and Mary 84 - Unranked 55		William and Mary 90 - Unranked 56
Wyoming 60 - Saint Marys 78	0.897	Wyoming 54 - Saint Marys 66	-6

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Charlotte 66	0.705	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Charlotte 68	0
American 70 - Siena 64	0.661	American 61 - Siena 64	9
Arizona 91 - Morgan State 59	0.972	Arizona 93 - Morgan State 68	7
Arkansas State 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.735	Arkansas State 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 75	6
Bethune Cookman 65 - North Florida 75	0.72	Bethune Cookman 85 - North Florida 87	-8
Bradley 67 - Akron 62	0.649	Bradley 74 - Akron 55	-14
Brigham Young 79 - Weber State 65	0.797	Brigham Young 63 - Weber State 57	8
Bryant 71 - Towson 72	0.515	Bryant 69 - Towson 59	-11
Cal Baptist 74 - Portland State 68	0.654	Cal Baptist 72 - Portland State 74	8
Cal Poly 84 - Unranked 53		Cal Poly 72 - Unranked 59
Cal State Northridge 65 - San Diego 76	0.814	Cal State Northridge 83 - San Diego 78	-16
Charleston Southern 85 - Unranked 59		Charleston Southern 126 - Unranked 67
Colgate 76 - Cornell 73	0.624	Colgate 80 - Cornell 91	14
Creighton 73 - Butler 70	0.6	Creighton 78 - Butler 56	-19
Eastern Kentucky 65 - UNC Greensboro 68	0.598	Eastern Kentucky 68 - UNC Greensboro 64	-7
Fairleigh Dickinson 66 - Queens 77	0.8	Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Queens 82	-2
Fordham 78 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.878	Fordham 80 - Virginia Military Institute 77	13
Hawaii 72 - Pepperdine 69	0.563	Hawaii 76 - Pepperdine 70	-3
Hofstra 93 - Unranked 53		Hofstra 96 - Unranked 48
Illinois 77 - Missouri 73	0.622	Illinois 71 - Missouri 93	26
Indiana State 81 - Northern Illinois 64	0.849	Indiana State 57 - Northern Illinois 67	27
Kansas 84 - Harvard 55	0.95	Kansas 68 - Harvard 54	15
LIU Brooklyn 82 - Unranked 64		LIU Brooklyn 95 - Unranked 58
Loyola MD 80 - Unranked 56		Loyola MD 99 - Unranked 53
Maryland 80 - Saint Peters 55	0.934	Maryland 75 - Saint Peters 45	-5
Miami OH 71 - Wright State 74	0.565	Miami OH 80 - Wright State 88	5
Minnesota 76 - Chicago State 62	0.846	Minnesota 58 - Chicago State 55	11
Monmouth 58 - Yale 80	0.907	Monmouth 44 - Yale 76	10
NC State 82 - Louisville 62	0.904	NC State 76 - Louisville 64	8
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Southern Miss 66	0.726	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Southern Miss 63	-4
New Mexico State 80 - North Carolina AT 63	0.87	New Mexico State 85 - North Carolina AT 76	8
Penn State 80 - Quinnipiac 62	0.888	Penn State 77 - Quinnipiac 68	9
Rider 69 - Marist 63	0.675	Rider 77 - Marist 71	0
Sacred Heart 71 - Holy Cross 66	0.667	Sacred Heart 66 - Holy Cross 62	1
Saint Francis Brooklyn 81 - Unranked 56		Saint Francis Brooklyn 89 - Unranked 66
Saint Josephs 75 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.78	Saint Josephs 83 - Central Connecticut State 66	-6
San Francisco 84 - Hartford 52	0.983	San Francisco 85 - Hartford 53	0
Santa Clara 67 - Boise State 72	0.624	Santa Clara 73 - Boise State 58	-20
South Carolina 66 - Western Kentucky 69	0.578	South Carolina 65 - Western Kentucky 58	-10
South Florida 71 - NJ Tech 58	0.879	South Florida 92 - NJ Tech 73	-6
Southern Methodist 63 - Iona 77	0.847	Southern Methodist 85 - Iona 81	-18
Stanford 72 - Loyola Ill 64	0.714	Stanford 75 - Loyola Ill 62	-5
Stephen F Austin 78 - Jackson State 64	0.804	Stephen F Austin 80 - Jackson State 69	3
Texas El Paso 64 - Kent State 74	0.774	Texas El Paso 46 - Kent State 47	-9
Texas San Antonio 59 - North Texas 76	0.887	Texas San Antonio 54 - North Texas 78	7
UC Riverside 73 - Portland 72	0.538	UC Riverside 76 - Portland 65	-10
Utah State 82 - Seattle 66	0.877	Utah State 84 - Seattle 56	-12
Utah Tech 78 - Lindenwood 63	0.857	Utah Tech 95 - Lindenwood 64	-16
Vanderbilt 79 - Alabama AM 59	0.949	Vanderbilt 70 - Alabama AM 62	12
Wagner 83 - Unranked 55		Wagner 89 - Unranked 55
Washington State 77 - George Washington 65	0.755	Washington State 66 - George Washington 64	10
West Virginia 86 - Stony Brook 52	0.963	West Virginia 75 - Stony Brook 64	23
Wichita State 76 - Texas Southern 62	0.866	Wichita State 65 - Texas Southern 56	5

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
George Mason 79 - Coppin State 63	0.893	George Mason 91 - Coppin State 53	-22
Hawaii 66 - Washington State 70	0.614	Hawaii 62 - Washington State 51	-15
Indiana 81 - Kennesaw St 61	0.902	Indiana 69 - Kennesaw St 55	6
Pepperdine 75 - George Washington 71	0.598	Pepperdine 81 - George Washington 70	-7
Princeton 91 - Unranked 51		Princeton 88 - Unranked 70
Rutgers 77 - Bucknell 56	0.909	Rutgers 85 - Bucknell 50	-14
Seattle 67 - Iona 76	0.732	Seattle 72 - Iona 83	2
Utah State 84 - Southern Methodist 62	0.938	Utah State 74 - Southern Methodist 77	25

GAMES OF 12-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Creighton 80 - DePaul 67	0.793	Creighton 80 - DePaul 65	-2
George Washington 69 - Seattle 75	0.66	George Washington 67 - Seattle 85	12
Hawaii 71 - Southern Methodist 64	0.711	Hawaii 58 - Southern Methodist 57	6
Pepperdine 68 - Iona 78	0.72	Pepperdine 66 - Iona 76	0
Washington State 68 - Utah State 79	0.749	Washington State 73 - Utah State 82	-2

Number of DI Games: 194
Number Correct: 142 = 73.1%
Expected Number Correct: 148.248 = 76.4%
Average Error: 10.55
Average Signed Error: 0.3

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Jacksonville State 87 - Unranked 55		Jacksonville State 78 - Unranked 73
Marquette 76 - Seton Hall 69	0.669	Marquette 83 - Seton Hall 69	-7
NJ Tech 80 - Unranked 58		NJ Tech 79 - Unranked 51
Notre Dame 70 - Jacksonville 65	0.622	Notre Dame 59 - Jacksonville 43	-11
Texas 85 - Texas A&M Commerce 53	0.966	Texas 97 - Texas A&M Commerce 72	7
Texas AM 77 - Northwestern State 65	0.751	Texas AM 64 - Northwestern State 52	0
Texas Tech 88 - South Carolina State 55	0.976	Texas Tech 110 - South Carolina State 71	-6

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 76 - Florida 69	0.678	Auburn 61 - Florida 58	4
Ball State 78 - Chicago State 60	0.905	Ball State 70 - Chicago State 63	11
Baylor 85 - Nicholls State 63	0.904	Baylor 85 - Nicholls State 56	-7
Belmont 67 - Bradley 71	0.583	Belmont 63 - Bradley 60	-7
Central Florida 70 - Wichita State 63	0.705	Central Florida 52 - Wichita State 45	0
Columbia 65 - Maryland Eastern Shore 69	0.609	Columbia 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 74	3
Connecticut 79 - Villanova 66	0.829	Connecticut 74 - Villanova 66	5
Dayton 71 - Duquesne 65	0.665	Dayton 69 - Duquesne 57	-6
East Carolina 71 - Temple 69	0.544	East Carolina 57 - Temple 59	4
Fordham 69 - Davidson 70	0.537	Fordham 43 - Davidson 57	13
Fresno State 69 - Wyoming 67	0.568	Fresno State 58 - Wyoming 53	-3
Georgia 75 - Rider 62	0.859	Georgia 78 - Rider 72	7
Gonzaga 104 - Unranked 47		Gonzaga 120 - Unranked 42
Illinois Chicago 69 - Illinois State 68	0.529	Illinois Chicago 55 - Illinois State 51	-3
Louisiana State 69 - Arkansas 76	0.71	Louisiana State 60 - Arkansas 57	-10
Maine 62 - Harvard 71	0.724	Maine 73 - Harvard 74	-8
Mississippi 62 - Tennessee 74	0.787	Mississippi 59 - Tennessee 63	-8
Mississippi State 70 - Alabama 74	0.605	Mississippi State 67 - Alabama 78	7
Missouri 74 - Kentucky 75	0.501	Missouri 89 - Kentucky 75	-15
Monmouth 59 - UNC Wilmington 79	0.898	Monmouth 55 - UNC Wilmington 68	-7
Nevada 69 - Boise State 68	0.52	Nevada 74 - Boise State 72	-1
New Mexico 77 - Colorado State 70	0.688	New Mexico 88 - Colorado State 69	-12
New Mexico State 79 - Southern Utah 72	0.698	New Mexico State 75 - Southern Utah 79	11
Northern Iowa 67 - Missouri State 68	0.532	Northern Iowa 67 - Missouri State 79	11
Pennsylvania 90 - Unranked 55		Pennsylvania 93 - Unranked 61
Richmond 80 - Coppin State 63	0.821	Richmond 83 - Coppin State 65	-1
Sacramento State 87 - Unranked 54		Sacramento State 72 - Unranked 51
Saint Johns 75 - Xavier 79	0.633	Saint Johns 79 - Xavier 84	1
Samford 69 - Mercer 72	0.575	Samford 78 - Mercer 69	-12
San Diego State 77 - Air Force 60	0.884	San Diego State 71 - Air Force 55	1
San Jose State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 74	0.757	San Jose State 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	-12
Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 57		Texas AM CC 88 - Unranked 74
Texas Christian 85 - Central Arkansas 60	0.943	Texas Christian 103 - Central Arkansas 57	-21
Tulsa 56 - Houston 81	0.949	Tulsa 50 - Houston 89	14
Virginia 82 - Albany 53	0.982	Virginia 66 - Albany 46	9

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Texas El Paso 64	0.863	Alabama Birmingham 79 - Texas El Paso 73	9
Alabama State 81 - Unranked 60		Alabama State 90 - Unranked 78
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Tennessee Martin 72	0.525	Arkansas Little Rock 88 - Tennessee Martin 74	-15
Bellarmine 61 - Liberty 74	0.815	Bellarmine 53 - Liberty 70	4
Bowling Green 86 - Unranked 57		Bowling Green 102 - Unranked 65
Butler 73 - Providence 72	0.517	Butler 52 - Providence 72	21
Cal Poly 69 - Cal State Northridge 63	0.627	Cal Poly 67 - Cal State Northridge 57	-4
Cal State Fullerton 64 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.717	Cal State Fullerton 58 - UC Santa Barbara 66	1
California 62 - Utah 75	0.808	California 43 - Utah 58	2
Charlotte 68 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.577	Charlotte 82 - Middle Tennessee 67	-12
Cincinnati 77 - Tulane 68	0.74	Cincinnati 88 - Tulane 77	-2
Coastal Carolina 70 - UL Lafayette 75	0.644	Coastal Carolina 77 - UL Lafayette 76	-6
College of Charleston 84 - Hampton 60	0.957	College of Charleston 89 - Hampton 61	-4
Cornell 82 - Binghamton 61	0.942	Cornell 86 - Binghamton 70	5
Delaware 70 - Hofstra 71	0.544	Delaware 73 - Hofstra 87	13
Denver 68 - UMKC 67	0.501	Denver 85 - UMKC 83	-1
DePaul 75 - Georgetown 73	0.56	DePaul 83 - Georgetown 76	-5
Detroit 77 - Green Bay 63	0.796	Detroit 76 - Green Bay 59	-3
Drake 78 - Valparaiso 60	0.872	Drake 68 - Valparaiso 63	13
Drexel 76 - Elon 60	0.876	Drexel 62 - Elon 50	4
Eastern Illinois 71 - Lindenwood 66	0.611	Eastern Illinois 55 - Lindenwood 54	4
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Merrimack 64	0.692	Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Merrimack 63	-1
Florida International 87 - Unranked 58		Florida International 69 - Unranked 64
Furman 80 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.872	Furman 85 - Virginia Military Institute 62	-6
Gardner Webb 72 - Charleston Southern 62	0.806	Gardner Webb 83 - Charleston Southern 63	-10
Georgia Southern 64 - South Alabama 69	0.662	Georgia Southern 64 - South Alabama 50	-19
Georgia State 71 - James Madison 74	0.57	Georgia State 47 - James Madison 63	13
Grambling State 86 - Unranked 53		Grambling State 101 - Unranked 42
Grand Canyon 71 - Cal Baptist 63	0.714	Grand Canyon 73 - Cal Baptist 59	-6
Hawaii 73 - UC Davis 65	0.764	Hawaii 74 - UC Davis 66	0
Howard 70 - La Salle 69	0.509	Howard 76 - La Salle 80	5
Idaho State 68 - Northern Arizona 70	0.56	Idaho State 79 - Northern Arizona 53	-28
Illinois 87 - Bethune Cookman 55	0.942	Illinois 85 - Bethune Cookman 52	-1
Indiana State 77 - Evansville 64	0.813	Indiana State 91 - Evansville 63	-15
LIU Brooklyn 64 - Wagner 72	0.733	LIU Brooklyn 61 - Wagner 69	0
Long Beach State 75 - UC San Diego 66	0.765	Long Beach State 83 - UC San Diego 85	11
Longwood 72 - High Point 68	0.612	Longwood 87 - High Point 73	-10
Louisiana Tech 76 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.721	Louisiana Tech 91 - Texas San Antonio 69	-13
Marshall 77 - Appalachian State 62	0.891	Marshall 79 - Appalachian State 53	-11
Maryland 80 - UMBC 62	0.878	Maryland 80 - UMBC 64	2
Memphis 80 - South Florida 63	0.913	Memphis 93 - South Florida 86	10
Miami OH 87 - Unranked 59		Miami OH 90 - Unranked 51
Michigan 84 - Central Michigan 60	0.935	Michigan 61 - Central Michigan 63	26
Montana 72 - Eastern Washington 67	0.623	Montana 80 - Eastern Washington 87	12
Montana State 76 - Idaho 64	0.763	Montana State 72 - Idaho 58	-2
Murray State 68 - Southern Illinois 67	0.509	Murray State 57 - Southern Illinois 63	7
Nebraska 73 - Iowa 77	0.596	Nebraska 66 - Iowa 50	-20
North Texas 67 - Florida Atlantic 65	0.554	North Texas 46 - Florida Atlantic 50	6
Northeastern 71 - North Carolina AT 65	0.643	Northeastern 88 - North Carolina AT 76	-6
Northern Kentucky 69 - Wright State 67	0.551	Northern Kentucky 78 - Wright State 64	-12
Northwestern 74 - Brown 55	0.873	Northwestern 63 - Brown 58	14
Oakland 70 - Milwaukee 75	0.679	Oakland 83 - Milwaukee 61	-27
Ohio State 87 - Alabama AM 55	0.984	Ohio State 90 - Alabama AM 59	1
Old Dominion 73 - Arkansas State 58	0.882	Old Dominion 57 - Arkansas State 60	18
Omaha 66 - Oral Roberts 82	0.826	Omaha 89 - Oral Roberts 92	-13
Pacific 69 - Brigham Young 78	0.759	Pacific 49 - Brigham Young 69	11
Penn State 87 - Delaware State 53	0.99	Penn State 60 - Delaware State 46	20
Portland 71 - Loyola Marymount 76	0.634	Portland 72 - Loyola Marymount 92	15
Presbyterian 64 - Campbell 68	0.642	Presbyterian 82 - Campbell 72	-14
Purdue 89 - Florida AM 51	0.994	Purdue 82 - Florida AM 49	5
Queens 71 - Austin Peay 63	0.724	Queens 81 - Austin Peay 77	4
Robert Morris 65 - IPFW 70	0.656	Robert Morris 75 - IPFW 70	-10
Sacred Heart 71 - Stonehill 69	0.579	Sacred Heart 67 - Stonehill 74	9
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Central Connecticut State 68	0.622	Saint Francis Penn 80 - Central Connecticut State 72	-5
Saint Marys 82 - San Diego 61	0.928	Saint Marys 85 - San Diego 58	-6
Santa Clara 75 - San Francisco 72	0.561	Santa Clara 79 - San Francisco 67	-9
SIU Edwardsville 76 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.859	SIU Edwardsville 64 - Tennessee Tech 51	1
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Winthrop 73	0.651	South Carolina Upstate 70 - Winthrop 62	-13
South Dakota 67 - Saint Thomas 73	0.631	South Dakota 92 - Saint Thomas 84	-14
South Dakota State 72 - Western Illinois 66	0.632	South Dakota State 71 - Western Illinois 64	-1
Southern Indiana 72 - SE Missouri State 69	0.566	Southern Indiana 86 - SE Missouri State 81	-2
Southern Miss 73 - Troy 66	0.712	Southern Miss 64 - Troy 60	3
Stanford 70 - Colorado 73	0.574	Stanford 70 - Colorado 73	0
Stephen F Austin 72 - Abilene Christian 69	0.602	Stephen F Austin 75 - Abilene Christian 68	-4
Tarleton State 71 - Texas Arlington 66	0.645	Tarleton State 70 - Texas Arlington 63	-2
Tennessee State 69 - Morehead State 68	0.521	Tennessee State 75 - Morehead State 83	9
Texas Southern 87 - Unranked 56		Texas Southern 92 - Unranked 54
Texas State 75 - UL Monroe 60	0.882	Texas State 53 - UL Monroe 57	19
The Citadel 66 - Chattanooga 75	0.773	The Citadel 76 - Chattanooga 68	-17
Toledo 97 - Unranked 55		Toledo 103 - Unranked 88
UC Riverside 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	0.83	UC Riverside 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	2
UNC Asheville 71 - Radford 70	0.535	UNC Asheville 62 - Radford 58	-3
Utah Tech 77 - Texas Pan American 69	0.703	Utah Tech 81 - Texas Pan American 66	-7
Utah Valley 69 - Sam Houston State 70	0.539	Utah Valley 80 - Sam Houston State 64	-17
Weber State 72 - Northern Colorado 71	0.515	Weber State 81 - Northern Colorado 72	-8
Western Carolina 65 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.661	Western Carolina 47 - UNC Greensboro 72	19
Western Kentucky 73 - Rice 72	0.516	Western Kentucky 78 - Rice 81	4
Wofford 73 - East Tennessee State 63	0.786	Wofford 71 - East Tennessee State 73	12
Youngstown State 72 - Cleveland State 68	0.625	Youngstown State 85 - Cleveland State 71	-10

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 90 - Unranked 50		Akron 84 - Unranked 58
Army 72 - Lehigh 68	0.596	Army 80 - Lehigh 78	2
Boston 66 - Navy 68	0.557	Boston 58 - Navy 75	15
Clemson 74 - NC State 72	0.536	Clemson 78 - NC State 64	-12
Fairfield 67 - Marist 60	0.686	Fairfield 73 - Marist 54	-12
Hartford 62 - Morgan State 72	0.761	Hartford 54 - Morgan State 61	-3
Holy Cross 65 - Bucknell 73	0.725	Holy Cross 60 - Bucknell 58	-10
Houston Christian 71 - New Orleans 75	0.6	Houston Christian 101 - New Orleans 96	-9
Jacksonville State 73 - North Alabama 68	0.631	Jacksonville State 62 - North Alabama 66	9
Lafayette 62 - American 67	0.655	Lafayette 47 - American 60	8
Lipscomb 73 - Stetson 68	0.627	Lipscomb 80 - Stetson 86	11
Loyola MD 64 - Colgate 74	0.805	Loyola MD 67 - Colgate 101	24
Michigan State 78 - Buffalo 65	0.787	Michigan State 89 - Buffalo 68	-8
North Dakota 69 - North Dakota State 68	0.523	North Dakota 49 - North Dakota State 71	23
Notre Dame 69 - Miami 76	0.702	Notre Dame 65 - Miami 76	4
Ohio 78 - Chicago State 60	0.878	Ohio 76 - Chicago State 59	1
Pittsburgh 71 - North Carolina 77	0.638	Pittsburgh 76 - North Carolina 74	-8
Quinnipiac 70 - Siena 69	0.504	Quinnipiac 76 - Siena 83	8
Rutgers 83 - Coppin State 57	0.935	Rutgers 90 - Coppin State 57	-7
Saint Peters 70 - Manhattan 63	0.669	Saint Peters 67 - Manhattan 57	-3
South Carolina 75 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.756	South Carolina 74 - Eastern Michigan 64	0
South Carolina State 83 - Unranked 63		South Carolina State 111 - Unranked 58
Texas AM 78 - Prairie View 63	0.838	Texas AM 86 - Prairie View 66	-5
Vanderbilt 78 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.848	Vanderbilt 93 - Southeast Louisiana 55	-26
Washington 71 - Southern California 74	0.595	Washington 67 - Southern California 80	10
Washington State 64 - UCLA 78	0.798	Washington State 66 - UCLA 67	-13
Wisconsin 83 - Western Michigan 52	0.989	Wisconsin 76 - Western Michigan 66	21

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Tarleton State 69	0.555	Abilene Christian 69 - Tarleton State 63	-4
Air Force 65 - Nevada 73	0.715	Air Force 69 - Nevada 75	-2
Alabama Birmingham 85 - Texas San Antonio 63	0.943	Alabama Birmingham 90 - Texas San Antonio 67	-1
Albany 68 - New Hampshire 65	0.573	Albany 51 - New Hampshire 67	19
Arizona State 74 - Arizona 79	0.62	Arizona State 60 - Arizona 69	4
Arkansas State 70 - UL Monroe 62	0.753	Arkansas State 72 - UL Monroe 84	20
Bradley 75 - Illinois Chicago 60	0.855	Bradley 79 - Illinois Chicago 45	-19
Brigham Young 80 - Portland 69	0.746	Brigham Young 71 - Portland 58	-2
Bryant 80 - Binghamton 62	0.918	Bryant 82 - Binghamton 78	14
Cal State Bakersfield 60 - UC Irvine 74	0.793	Cal State Bakersfield 75 - UC Irvine 79	-10
Cal State Fullerton 72 - Cal State Northridge 63	0.786	Cal State Fullerton 64 - Cal State Northridge 52	-3
California 62 - Colorado 78	0.827	California 80 - Colorado 76	-20
Campbell 67 - Longwood 69	0.573	Campbell 42 - Longwood 67	23
Canisius 69 - Rider 72	0.583	Canisius 64 - Rider 66	-1
Central Connecticut State 64 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.595	Central Connecticut State 74 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 52	-25
Charleston Southern 71 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.57	Charleston Southern 90 - South Carolina Upstate 85	-3
Charlotte 71 - Louisiana Tech 64	0.676	Charlotte 68 - Louisiana Tech 66	5
Coastal Carolina 69 - Georgia Southern 66	0.59	Coastal Carolina 64 - Georgia Southern 73	12
Colorado State 75 - San Jose State 66	0.711	Colorado State 70 - San Jose State 78	17
Columbia 57 - Yale 77	0.904	Columbia 62 - Yale 60	-22
Davidson 67 - Dayton 70	0.582	Davidson 55 - Dayton 69	11
Delaware 76 - Elon 60	0.878	Delaware 57 - Elon 52	11
Denver 66 - Oral Roberts 82	0.855	Denver 62 - Oral Roberts 80	2
Detroit 72 - Milwaukee 71	0.538	Detroit 81 - Milwaukee 84	4
Drexel 71 - William and Mary 63	0.735	Drexel 66 - William and Mary 56	-2
Duke 81 - Florida State 64	0.873	Duke 86 - Florida State 67	-2
Duquesne 73 - Rhode Island 64	0.783	Duquesne 72 - Rhode Island 61	-2
Eastern Illinois 67 - Southern Indiana 70	0.569	Eastern Illinois 91 - Southern Indiana 80	-14
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Queens 71	0.625	Eastern Kentucky 88 - Queens 83	-8
Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Unranked 61		Fairleigh Dickinson 99 - Unranked 50
Florida Gulf Coast 70 - Jacksonville 64	0.64	Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Jacksonville 65	-1
George Mason 69 - Richmond 66	0.561	George Mason 62 - Richmond 58	-1
Georgia State 67 - South Alabama 68	0.548	Georgia State 68 - South Alabama 58	-11
Georgia Tech 63 - Virginia 72	0.785	Georgia Tech 56 - Virginia 74	9
Gonzaga 87 - Pepperdine 66	0.904	Gonzaga 111 - Pepperdine 88	-2
Hawaii 72 - Cal Poly 59	0.793	Hawaii 57 - Cal Poly 48	4
High Point 69 - Gardner Webb 67	0.586	High Point 73 - Gardner Webb 80	9
Hofstra 78 - North Carolina AT 66	0.82	Hofstra 79 - North Carolina AT 81	14
Houston 74 - Central Florida 59	0.846	Houston 71 - Central Florida 65	9
Idaho State 67 - Northern Colorado 75	0.73	Idaho State 90 - Northern Colorado 83	-15
Illinois State 67 - Northern Iowa 69	0.541	Illinois State 60 - Northern Iowa 66	4
Iowa State 68 - Baylor 72	0.605	Iowa State 77 - Baylor 62	-19
IUPUI 58 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.872	IUPUI 42 - Northern Kentucky 55	-2
Kansas 77 - Oklahoma State 66	0.798	Kansas 69 - Oklahoma State 67	9
Kansas State 71 - West Virginia 72	0.537	Kansas State 82 - West Virginia 76	-7
Kennesaw St 75 - Central Arkansas 67	0.736	Kennesaw St 82 - Central Arkansas 66	-8
Kentucky 81 - Louisville 59	0.935	Kentucky 86 - Louisville 63	-1
Lamar 67 - Mcneese State 69	0.583	Lamar 62 - Mcneese State 81	17
Lindenwood 69 - Tennessee Tech 70	0.504	Lindenwood 82 - Tennessee Tech 64	-19
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Sacred Heart 72	0.609	LIU Brooklyn 64 - Sacred Heart 82	15
Long Beach State 71 - UC Riverside 72	0.507	Long Beach State 72 - UC Riverside 73	0
Loyola Ill 74 - George Washington 65	0.712	Loyola Ill 87 - George Washington 97	19
Marshall 79 - James Madison 72	0.667	Marshall 66 - James Madison 72	13
Mercer 70 - Chattanooga 71	0.521	Mercer 51 - Chattanooga 80	28
Middle Tennessee 71 - Western Kentucky 67	0.615	Middle Tennessee 65 - Western Kentucky 60	-1
Montana 75 - Idaho 64	0.767	Montana 67 - Idaho 56	0
Montana State 73 - Eastern Washington 68	0.622	Montana State 67 - Eastern Washington 70	8
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - San Diego State 71	0.565	Nevada Las Vegas 67 - San Diego State 76	7
New Mexico State 69 - Sam Houston State 70	0.515	New Mexico State 62 - Sam Houston State 75	12
Niagara 65 - Mt St Marys 62	0.568	Niagara 67 - Mt St Marys 55	-9
NJ Tech 61 - UMass Lowell 75	0.883	NJ Tech 64 - UMass Lowell 67	-11
North Florida 70 - Austin Peay 67	0.554	North Florida 90 - Austin Peay 85	-2
North Texas 78 - Florida International 56	0.915	North Texas 72 - Florida International 57	7
Northeastern 69 - Stony Brook 61	0.689	Northeastern 61 - Stony Brook 65	12
Northwestern State 73 - Texas AM CC 67	0.623	Northwestern State 59 - Texas AM CC 65	12
Oakland 74 - Green Bay 68	0.709	Oakland 81 - Green Bay 65	-10
Oklahoma 69 - Texas 72	0.585	Oklahoma 69 - Texas 70	-2
Old Dominion 73 - UL Lafayette 68	0.642	Old Dominion 70 - UL Lafayette 66	1
Omaha 68 - UMKC 67	0.518	Omaha 59 - UMKC 75	17
Oregon 75 - Oregon State 63	0.809	Oregon 77 - Oregon State 68	3
Pacific 69 - Loyola Marymount 76	0.744	Pacific 78 - Loyola Marymount 72	-13
Princeton 69 - Harvard 65	0.601	Princeton 69 - Harvard 66	1
Radford 72 - Presbyterian 61	0.807	Radford 69 - Presbyterian 51	-7
Robert Morris 65 - Cleveland State 67	0.562	Robert Morris 54 - Cleveland State 63	7
Sacramento State 72 - Portland State 71	0.526	Sacramento State 74 - Portland State 63	-10
Saint Bonaventure 67 - Massachusetts 69	0.542	Saint Bonaventure 83 - Massachusetts 64	-21
Saint Francis Penn 72 - Stonehill 71	0.525	Saint Francis Penn 73 - Stonehill 72	0
Saint Josephs 67 - Saint Louis 77	0.742	Saint Josephs 78 - Saint Louis 83	-5
San Francisco 80 - San Diego 69	0.758	San Francisco 68 - San Diego 80	23
Santa Clara 67 - Saint Marys 73	0.688	Santa Clara 64 - Saint Marys 67	-3
SE Missouri State 67 - SIU Edwardsville 72	0.649	SE Missouri State 82 - SIU Edwardsville 73	-14
Seattle 71 - Cal Baptist 67	0.625	Seattle 71 - Cal Baptist 65	-2
Seton Hall 73 - Saint Johns 71	0.574	Seton Hall 88 - Saint Johns 66	-20
South Dakota 68 - Western Illinois 70	0.547	South Dakota 80 - Western Illinois 63	-19
South Dakota State 71 - Saint Thomas 69	0.551	South Dakota State 71 - Saint Thomas 64	-5
Southern Miss 73 - Appalachian State 62	0.829	Southern Miss 76 - Appalachian State 70	5
Southern Utah 81 - Texas Pan American 70	0.794	Southern Utah 94 - Texas Pan American 88	5
Stanford 69 - Utah 70	0.518	Stanford 66 - Utah 71	4
Syracuse 74 - Boston College 65	0.706	Syracuse 79 - Boston College 65	-5
Tennessee Martin 69 - Morehead State 68	0.539	Tennessee Martin 64 - Morehead State 57	-6
Tennessee State 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.633	Tennessee State 94 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	-21
Texas A&M Commerce 70 - Incarnate Word 64	0.645	Texas A&M Commerce 82 - Incarnate Word 74	-2
Texas Arlington 68 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.575	Texas Arlington 62 - Stephen F Austin 66	1
Texas Christian 70 - Texas Tech 71	0.524	Texas Christian 67 - Texas Tech 61	-7
Texas El Paso 72 - Rice 71	0.512	Texas El Paso 67 - Rice 72	6
Texas State 70 - Troy 69	0.512	Texas State 52 - Troy 55	4
The Citadel 70 - Samford 71	0.537	The Citadel 63 - Samford 75	11
Towson 65 - College of Charleston 75	0.769	Towson 74 - College of Charleston 76	-8
UC Santa Barbara 74 - UC San Diego 58	0.893	UC Santa Barbara 82 - UC San Diego 61	-5
UNC Wilmington 80 - Hampton 59	0.923	UNC Wilmington 82 - Hampton 65	4
Utah State 79 - Fresno State 62	0.872	Utah State 67 - Fresno State 54	4
Utah Valley 76 - Utah Tech 68	0.727	Utah Valley 71 - Utah Tech 60	-3
Villanova 73 - Marquette 74	0.501	Villanova 66 - Marquette 68	1
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - La Salle 61	0.867	Virginia Commonwealth 80 - La Salle 67	3
Virginia Military Institute 68 - East Tennessee State 69	0.525	Virginia Military Institute 50 - East Tennessee State 64	13
Wagner 68 - Merrimack 57	0.787	Wagner 48 - Merrimack 58	21
Wake Forest 70 - Virginia Tech 75	0.62	Wake Forest 77 - Virginia Tech 75	-7
Weber State 73 - Northern Arizona 66	0.663	Weber State 76 - Northern Arizona 60	-9
Western Carolina 65 - Furman 78	0.837	Western Carolina 79 - Furman 67	-25
Wichita State 72 - East Carolina 63	0.738	Wichita State 69 - East Carolina 79	19
Winthrop 74 - UNC Asheville 71	0.586	Winthrop 62 - UNC Asheville 60	1
Wofford 69 - UNC Greensboro 64	0.62	Wofford 64 - UNC Greensboro 73	14
Wyoming 67 - New Mexico 79	0.814	Wyoming 75 - New Mexico 76	-11
Xavier 72 - Connecticut 78	0.704	Xavier 83 - Connecticut 73	-16
Youngstown State 72 - IPFW 71	0.524	Youngstown State 71 - IPFW 76	6

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Dartmouth 64 - Cornell 77	0.805	Dartmouth 63 - Cornell 74	-2
DePaul 71 - Providence 78	0.684	DePaul 59 - Providence 74	8
Evansville 65 - Murray State 72	0.702	Evansville 61 - Murray State 78	10
Fairfield 64 - Siena 68	0.628	Fairfield 61 - Siena 70	5
Georgetown 69 - Butler 75	0.655	Georgetown 51 - Butler 80	23
Iona 78 - Saint Peters 57	0.912	Iona 73 - Saint Peters 55	3
Manhattan 65 - Quinnipiac 73	0.714	Manhattan 65 - Quinnipiac 84	11
Michigan 71 - Maryland 72	0.511	Michigan 81 - Maryland 46	-36
Missouri State 67 - Drake 69	0.553	Missouri State 52 - Drake 49	-5
Northwestern 69 - Ohio State 70	0.512	Northwestern 57 - Ohio State 73	15
Penn State 77 - Iowa 76	0.535	Penn State 83 - Iowa 79	-3
Southern Illinois 70 - Belmont 69	0.515	Southern Illinois 63 - Belmont 45	-17
Southern Methodist 74 - Tulsa 67	0.713	Southern Methodist 92 - Tulsa 67	-18
Temple 69 - Cincinnati 75	0.637	Temple 70 - Cincinnati 61	-15
Tulane 68 - Memphis 79	0.806	Tulane 96 - Memphis 89	-18
UMBC 69 - Vermont 70	0.506	UMBC 61 - Vermont 74	12
Valparaiso 66 - Indiana State 75	0.711	Valparaiso 50 - Indiana State 68	9
Washington 67 - UCLA 78	0.769	Washington 49 - UCLA 74	14
Washington State 68 - Southern California 74	0.652	Washington State 81 - Southern California 71	-16

Number of DI Games: 276
Number Correct: 194 = 70.2%
Expected Number Correct: 191.817 = 69.4%
Average Error: 9.1
Average Signed Error: -0.33

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.598	Alabama AM 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	-4
Alabama State 70 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.662	Alabama State 70 - Mississippi Valley State 61	-3
Alcorn State 73 - Jackson State 69	0.59	Alcorn State 66 - Jackson State 67	5
American 72 - Loyola MD 56	0.887	American 71 - Loyola MD 55	0
Brown 69 - Pennsylvania 68	0.502	Brown 68 - Pennsylvania 76	9
Bucknell 68 - Boston 67	0.547	Bucknell 61 - Boston 69	9
Canisius 68 - Mt St Marys 67	0.562	Canisius 60 - Mt St Marys 64	5
Central Arkansas 64 - Florida Gulf Coast 80	0.872	Central Arkansas 79 - Florida Gulf Coast 84	-11
Florida AM 71 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.617	Florida AM 59 - Bethune Cookman 67	13
IUPUI 60 - Wright State 75	0.848	IUPUI 68 - Wright State 82	-1
Jacksonville 69 - Jacksonville State 62	0.671	Jacksonville 62 - Jacksonville State 46	-9
Kennesaw St 70 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.584	Kennesaw St 79 - Eastern Kentucky 75	-2
Lafayette 68 - Army 65	0.58	Lafayette 65 - Army 82	20
Lehigh 66 - Colgate 78	0.796	Lehigh 60 - Colgate 76	4
Liberty 78 - Lipscomb 62	0.878	Liberty 77 - Lipscomb 48	-13
Maryland Eastern Shore 85 - Unranked 56		Maryland Eastern Shore 87 - Unranked 56
Navy 75 - Holy Cross 58	0.875	Navy 63 - Holy Cross 74	28
Niagara 66 - Rider 65	0.541	Niagara 61 - Rider 59	-1
North Alabama 71 - Bellarmine 66	0.648	North Alabama 65 - Bellarmine 69	9
Oklahoma State 73 - West Virginia 72	0.502	Oklahoma State 67 - West Virginia 60	-6
Prairie View 66 - Grambling State 69	0.561	Prairie View 61 - Grambling State 60	-4
Purdue 71 - Rutgers 64	0.683	Purdue 64 - Rutgers 65	8
Stetson 74 - North Florida 71	0.592	Stetson 68 - North Florida 62	-3
Texas Southern 72 - Southern 68	0.622	Texas Southern 76 - Southern 77	5

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 64 - Utah State 77	0.809	Air Force 65 - Utah State 77	-1
Akron 76 - Northern Illinois 61	0.787	Akron 76 - Northern Illinois 51	-10
Alabama 80 - Mississippi 67	0.799	Alabama 84 - Mississippi 62	-9
Boise State 72 - San Jose State 63	0.717	Boise State 67 - San Jose State 64	6
Boston College 67 - Notre Dame 70	0.578	Boston College 70 - Notre Dame 63	-10
Buffalo 72 - Ohio 74	0.536	Buffalo 75 - Ohio 72	-5
Central Michigan 74 - Miami OH 70	0.604	Central Michigan 68 - Miami OH 56	-8
Creighton 73 - Seton Hall 68	0.646	Creighton 83 - Seton Hall 61	-17
Eastern Michigan 72 - Bowling Green 73	0.508	Eastern Michigan 65 - Bowling Green 91	25
Fresno State 64 - New Mexico 75	0.845	Fresno State 71 - New Mexico 67	-15
Kent State 80 - Western Michigan 55	0.966	Kent State 80 - Western Michigan 72	17
Kentucky 73 - Louisiana State 69	0.596	Kentucky 74 - Louisiana State 71	1
Louisville 63 - Syracuse 76	0.828	Louisville 69 - Syracuse 70	-12
Michigan State 72 - Nebraska 67	0.657	Michigan State 74 - Nebraska 56	-13
North Carolina Central 89 - Unranked 55		North Carolina Central 98 - Unranked 52
Pittsburgh 65 - Virginia 70	0.631	Pittsburgh 68 - Virginia 65	-8
Saint Johns 74 - Marquette 80	0.672	Saint Johns 85 - Marquette 96	5
Saint Marys 97 - Unranked 42		Saint Marys 84 - Unranked 64
Tennessee 72 - Mississippi State 60	0.799	Tennessee 87 - Mississippi State 53	-22
Texas 74 - Kansas State 68	0.676	Texas 103 - Kansas State 116	19
Texas Tech 68 - Kansas 75	0.675	Texas Tech 72 - Kansas 75	-4
Toledo 77 - Ball State 72	0.66	Toledo 83 - Ball State 90	12
Vanderbilt 72 - South Carolina 62	0.747	Vanderbilt 84 - South Carolina 79	5
Wisconsin 77 - Minnesota 60	0.936	Wisconsin 63 - Minnesota 60	14

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 71 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.733	Alabama AM 75 - Mississippi Valley State 68	1
Alabama State 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.53	Alabama State 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	-13
Arkansas 79 - Missouri 72	0.66	Arkansas 74 - Missouri 68	1
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Lindenwood 69	0.546	Arkansas Little Rock 62 - Lindenwood 67	7
Baylor 74 - Texas Christian 70	0.578	Baylor 87 - Texas Christian 88	5
Butler 76 - DePaul 66	0.724	Butler 78 - DePaul 70	2
Campbell 62 - Gardner Webb 69	0.706	Campbell 63 - Gardner Webb 58	-12
Charleston Southern 65 - Longwood 75	0.802	Charleston Southern 74 - Longwood 79	-5
Davidson 72 - Loyola Ill 65	0.677	Davidson 80 - Loyola Ill 57	-16
Dayton 77 - Saint Josephs 61	0.865	Dayton 76 - Saint Josephs 56	-4
Duquesne 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 68	0.512	Duquesne 79 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	-10
East Carolina 63 - Central Florida 72	0.766	East Carolina 61 - Central Florida 64	-6
East Tennessee State 70 - Western Carolina 65	0.655	East Tennessee State 60 - Western Carolina 71	16
Elon 57 - UNC Wilmington 78	0.926	Elon 66 - UNC Wilmington 81	-6
Florida 75 - Texas AM 69	0.641	Florida 63 - Texas AM 66	9
Furman 76 - The Citadel 65	0.777	Furman 97 - The Citadel 72	-14
Georgetown 67 - Villanova 79	0.8	Georgetown 57 - Villanova 73	4
Georgia 65 - Auburn 74	0.774	Georgia 76 - Auburn 64	-21
Georgia Tech 69 - Miami 77	0.763	Georgia Tech 76 - Miami 70	-14
High Point 72 - UNC Asheville 71	0.549	High Point 72 - UNC Asheville 76	5
Illinois Chicago 67 - Belmont 73	0.648	Illinois Chicago 71 - Belmont 77	0
Illinois State 66 - Indiana State 73	0.697	Illinois State 67 - Indiana State 76	2
Massachusetts 70 - Saint Louis 73	0.582	Massachusetts 90 - Saint Louis 81	-12
Mercer 68 - Wofford 69	0.506	Mercer 52 - Wofford 53	0
Michigan 73 - Penn State 71	0.533	Michigan 79 - Penn State 69	-8
Missouri State 76 - Evansville 57	0.92	Missouri State 85 - Evansville 62	-4
Morgan State 85 - Unranked 56		Morgan State 89 - Unranked 52
Murray State 63 - Bradley 71	0.702	Murray State 67 - Bradley 58	-17
NC State 70 - Duke 76	0.644	NC State 84 - Duke 60	-30
Nevada 76 - Colorado State 67	0.707	Nevada 80 - Colorado State 69	-2
Norfolk State 90 - Unranked 54		Norfolk State 85 - Unranked 60
North Carolina 80 - Wake Forest 72	0.72	North Carolina 88 - Wake Forest 79	-1
North Carolina AT 65 - College of Charleston 81	0.886	North Carolina AT 79 - College of Charleston 92	-3
Northwestern 68 - Illinois 67	0.512	Northwestern 73 - Illinois 60	-12
Oklahoma 69 - Iowa State 67	0.553	Oklahoma 60 - Iowa State 63	5
Prairie View 71 - Southern 69	0.55	Prairie View 62 - Southern 66	6
Providence 70 - Connecticut 77	0.689	Providence 73 - Connecticut 61	-19
Radford 73 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.756	Radford 60 - South Carolina Upstate 65	14
Rhode Island 67 - Fordham 69	0.592	Rhode Island 82 - Fordham 79	-5
Richmond 75 - George Washington 66	0.712	Richmond 73 - George Washington 63	-1
Saint Bonaventure 65 - George Mason 68	0.559	Saint Bonaventure 73 - George Mason 69	-7
Samford 76 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.772	Samford 87 - Virginia Military Institute 78	3
South Florida 68 - Temple 70	0.546	South Florida 64 - Temple 68	2
Southern Illinois 66 - Drake 65	0.538	Southern Illinois 53 - Drake 49	-3
Stephen F Austin 72 - New Mexico State 73	0.529	Stephen F Austin 69 - New Mexico State 60	-10
Texas AM CC 75 - Incarnate Word 62	0.815	Texas AM CC 91 - Incarnate Word 61	-17
Texas Southern 67 - Grambling State 68	0.512	Texas Southern 72 - Grambling State 85	12
Tulane 79 - Tulsa 68	0.799	Tulane 93 - Tulsa 77	-5
UNC Greensboro 68 - Chattanooga 67	0.517	UNC Greensboro 73 - Chattanooga 61	-11
Valparaiso 65 - Northern Iowa 72	0.693	Valparaiso 67 - Northern Iowa 69	-5
Virginia Tech 73 - Clemson 70	0.579	Virginia Tech 65 - Clemson 68	6
Winthrop 72 - Presbyterian 63	0.75	Winthrop 82 - Presbyterian 72	-1

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 68 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.565	Appalachian State 63 - Coastal Carolina 62	0
Arizona 84 - Washington 67	0.87	Arizona 70 - Washington 67	14
Arizona State 73 - Washington State 68	0.616	Arizona State 77 - Washington State 71	-1
Austin Peay 62 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	0.799	Austin Peay 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 59	-15
Bellarmine 66 - Queens 71	0.674	Bellarmine 74 - Queens 75	-4
Binghamton 63 - New Hampshire 68	0.649	Binghamton 68 - New Hampshire 50	-23
Boston 67 - Lafayette 62	0.624	Boston 73 - Lafayette 69	1
Bucknell 73 - Lehigh 66	0.681	Bucknell 64 - Lehigh 72	15
Cal Baptist 69 - Utah Tech 68	0.517	Cal Baptist 72 - Utah Tech 58	-13
Cal State Bakersfield 63 - Cal Poly 65	0.544	Cal State Bakersfield 61 - Cal Poly 51	-12
Cal State Northridge 67 - Long Beach State 75	0.772	Cal State Northridge 74 - Long Beach State 84	2
Central Arkansas 69 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0.707	Central Arkansas 75 - Eastern Kentucky 77	-4
Central Connecticut State 73 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.741	Central Connecticut State 78 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-11
Cleveland State 71 - Milwaukee 65	0.654	Cleveland State 64 - Milwaukee 68	10
Colgate 73 - Navy 69	0.603	Colgate 87 - Navy 73	-10
Colorado 74 - Oregon 73	0.506	Colorado 68 - Oregon 41	-26
Eastern Washington 76 - Portland State 70	0.665	Eastern Washington 92 - Portland State 80	-6
Florida Atlantic 75 - Alabama Birmingham 70	0.646	Florida Atlantic 88 - Alabama Birmingham 86	3
Florida International 63 - Charlotte 74	0.757	Florida International 62 - Charlotte 60	-13
Georgia Southern 63 - Marshall 72	0.744	Georgia Southern 81 - Marshall 76	-14
Hampton 66 - Hofstra 79	0.84	Hampton 51 - Hofstra 67	3
Holy Cross 58 - American 71	0.855	Holy Cross 68 - American 73	-8
Houston 80 - Southern Methodist 56	0.937	Houston 87 - Southern Methodist 53	-10
Idaho 66 - Sacramento State 72	0.691	Idaho 83 - Sacramento State 85	-4
Iowa 74 - Indiana 75	0.517	Iowa 91 - Indiana 89	-3
IPFW 78 - Green Bay 56	0.936	IPFW 79 - Green Bay 69	12
James Madison 77 - Texas State 64	0.793	James Madison 62 - Texas State 63	14
Liberty 76 - Jacksonville State 60	0.869	Liberty 75 - Jacksonville State 41	-18
Lipscomb 73 - North Alabama 71	0.569	Lipscomb 86 - North Alabama 62	-22
Loyola Marymount 71 - Brigham Young 73	0.557	Loyola Marymount 64 - Brigham Young 59	-7
Loyola MD 67 - Army 69	0.567	Loyola MD 55 - Army 78	21
Mcneese State 65 - Northwestern State 71	0.655	Mcneese State 92 - Northwestern State 77	-21
Merrimack 64 - Sacred Heart 65	0.553	Merrimack 55 - Sacred Heart 59	3
Monmouth 65 - Stony Brook 68	0.585	Monmouth 56 - Stony Brook 67	8
Morehead State 69 - Southern Indiana 68	0.531	Morehead State 84 - Southern Indiana 80	-3
New Orleans 75 - Lamar 68	0.663	New Orleans 81 - Lamar 55	-19
North Dakota 67 - South Dakota 70	0.587	North Dakota 60 - South Dakota 62	-1
North Dakota State 66 - South Dakota State 71	0.635	North Dakota State 65 - South Dakota State 59	-11
North Florida 70 - Kennesaw St 71	0.527	North Florida 89 - Kennesaw St 86	-4
Northern Arizona 65 - Montana 73	0.701	Northern Arizona 75 - Montana 74	-9
Northern Colorado 70 - Montana State 73	0.594	Northern Colorado 56 - Montana State 77	18
Ohio State 72 - Purdue 73	0.52	Ohio State 69 - Purdue 71	1
Pepperdine 72 - Santa Clara 79	0.674	Pepperdine 79 - Santa Clara 89	3
Rice 76 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.602	Rice 82 - Louisiana Tech 88	11
Rutgers 70 - Maryland 64	0.64	Rutgers 64 - Maryland 50	-8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.511	Saint Francis Brooklyn 57 - Fairleigh Dickinson 76	18
Saint Thomas 74 - Denver 69	0.649	Saint Thomas 81 - Denver 71	-5
Sam Houston State 70 - Grand Canyon 65	0.636	Sam Houston State 68 - Grand Canyon 72	9
San Diego 78 - Pacific 72	0.648	San Diego 82 - Pacific 84	8
San Francisco 70 - Gonzaga 83	0.779	San Francisco 75 - Gonzaga 77	-11
SIU Edwardsville 74 - Tennessee State 64	0.755	SIU Edwardsville 81 - Tennessee State 72	1
South Alabama 70 - Arkansas State 62	0.73	South Alabama 63 - Arkansas State 45	-10
Southeast Louisiana 81 - Houston Christian 70	0.787	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Houston Christian 59	-1
Stetson 67 - Jacksonville 68	0.532	Stetson 73 - Jacksonville 61	-13
Stonehill 66 - Wagner 67	0.511	Stonehill 62 - Wagner 58	-5
Tarleton State 73 - Southern Utah 76	0.605	Tarleton State 68 - Southern Utah 65	-6
Tennessee Martin 70 - SE Missouri State 71	0.514	Tennessee Martin 87 - SE Missouri State 82	-6
Tennessee Tech 67 - Eastern Illinois 69	0.561	Tennessee Tech 70 - Eastern Illinois 49	-23
Texas A&M Commerce 69 - Nicholls State 74	0.628	Texas A&M Commerce 63 - Nicholls State 66	-2
Texas Arlington 62 - Utah Valley 76	0.822	Texas Arlington 64 - Utah Valley 72	-6
Texas Pan American 68 - Seattle 78	0.75	Texas Pan American 64 - Seattle 66	-8
Texas San Antonio 66 - Middle Tennessee 76	0.751	Texas San Antonio 75 - Middle Tennessee 72	-13
Towson 67 - Drexel 66	0.54	Towson 64 - Drexel 58	-5
Troy 66 - Old Dominion 67	0.534	Troy 78 - Old Dominion 71	-8
UC Davis 70 - UC Irvine 75	0.641	UC Davis 83 - UC Irvine 88	0
UC Riverside 71 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.707	UC Riverside 62 - Cal State Fullerton 77	21
UC San Diego 61 - Hawaii 72	0.8	UC San Diego 49 - Hawaii 62	2
UCLA 79 - Southern California 67	0.808	UCLA 60 - Southern California 58	10
UL Lafayette 70 - Southern Miss 73	0.607	UL Lafayette 75 - Southern Miss 61	-17
UL Monroe 63 - Georgia State 69	0.691	UL Monroe 66 - Georgia State 58	-14
UMass Lowell 76 - Maine 63	0.849	UMass Lowell 72 - Maine 70	11
UMBC 76 - Albany 65	0.79	UMBC 92 - Albany 83	2
Utah 76 - Oregon State 62	0.835	Utah 79 - Oregon State 60	-5
Vermont 73 - Bryant 69	0.607	Vermont 74 - Bryant 64	-6
Western Illinois 72 - Omaha 69	0.571	Western Illinois 74 - Omaha 78	7
Western Kentucky 59 - North Texas 70	0.808	Western Kentucky 66 - North Texas 70	-7
Wichita State 68 - Cincinnati 70	0.547	Wichita State 61 - Cincinnati 70	7
William and Mary 67 - Northeastern 68	0.533	William and Mary 69 - Northeastern 66	-4
Youngstown State 74 - Robert Morris 66	0.757	Youngstown State 78 - Robert Morris 56	-14

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 69 - Akron 68	0.547	Ball State 70 - Akron 63	-6
Brown 64 - Harvard 65	0.501	Brown 68 - Harvard 70	1
California 64 - Stanford 72	0.725	California 92 - Stanford 70	-30
Columbia 61 - Princeton 75	0.813	Columbia 49 - Princeton 68	5
Cornell 76 - Pennsylvania 71	0.649	Cornell 88 - Pennsylvania 69	-14
Fairfield 64 - Niagara 63	0.503	Fairfield 69 - Niagara 77	9
Manhattan 68 - Canisius 73	0.652	Manhattan 57 - Canisius 64	2
Marist 56 - Iona 79	0.94	Marist 57 - Iona 84	4
Northern Kentucky 73 - Oakland 65	0.741	Northern Kentucky 63 - Oakland 64	9
Rider 68 - Quinnipiac 69	0.504	Rider 63 - Quinnipiac 72	8
Siena 72 - Saint Peters 60	0.795	Siena 70 - Saint Peters 60	2
Toledo 83 - Western Michigan 64	0.898	Toledo 102 - Western Michigan 74	-9
Wright State 73 - Detroit 71	0.543	Wright State 90 - Detroit 85	-3
Yale 77 - Dartmouth 55	0.899	Yale 77 - Dartmouth 81	26

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 72 - Southern Utah 75	0.593	Abilene Christian 72 - Southern Utah 74	-1
Alabama 80 - Kentucky 71	0.72	Alabama 78 - Kentucky 52	-17
Alcorn State 72 - Alabama AM 67	0.635	Alcorn State 89 - Alabama AM 76	-8
Arizona 83 - Washington State 67	0.834	Arizona 61 - Washington State 74	29
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - SE Missouri State 74	0.605	Arkansas Little Rock 68 - SE Missouri State 74	2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 67 - Texas Southern 73	0.679	Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Texas Southern 66	-10
Auburn 71 - Arkansas 72	0.521	Auburn 72 - Arkansas 59	-14
Austin Peay 73 - Central Arkansas 67	0.659	Austin Peay 86 - Central Arkansas 62	-18
Baylor 74 - Kansas State 70	0.583	Baylor 95 - Kansas State 97	6
Belmont 68 - Missouri State 69	0.525	Belmont 74 - Missouri State 61	-14
Boise State 70 - Utah State 72	0.554	Boise State 82 - Utah State 59	-25
Boston College 61 - Duke 78	0.849	Boston College 64 - Duke 65	-16
Bowling Green 66 - Ohio 75	0.749	Bowling Green 88 - Ohio 79	-18
Bradley 77 - Valparaiso 56	0.897	Bradley 88 - Valparaiso 66	-1
Brown 71 - Dartmouth 57	0.83	Brown 77 - Dartmouth 70	7
Buffalo 78 - Northern Illinois 67	0.71	Buffalo 80 - Northern Illinois 62	-7
Cal Poly 60 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.776	Cal Poly 57 - UC Santa Barbara 62	-6
Cal State Fullerton 62 - Hawaii 69	0.707	Cal State Fullerton 79 - Hawaii 72	-14
Chattanooga 78 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.859	Chattanooga 85 - Virginia Military Institute 78	9
Cleveland State 75 - Green Bay 56	0.911	Cleveland State 82 - Green Bay 77	14
College of Charleston 79 - Delaware 63	0.882	College of Charleston 75 - Delaware 64	5
Colorado 77 - Oregon State 65	0.774	Colorado 62 - Oregon State 42	-8
Colorado State 71 - Fresno State 65	0.67	Colorado State 79 - Fresno State 57	-16
Columbia 64 - Pennsylvania 74	0.739	Columbia 55 - Pennsylvania 84	19
Connecticut 78 - Creighton 68	0.766	Connecticut 69 - Creighton 60	1
Coppin State 79 - South Carolina State 72	0.692	Coppin State 85 - South Carolina State 73	-5
Cornell 72 - Princeton 71	0.545	Cornell 68 - Princeton 75	8
Drake 73 - Murray State 65	0.715	Drake 82 - Murray State 64	-10
Drexel 76 - Monmouth 59	0.895	Drexel 67 - Monmouth 35	-15
East Tennessee State 66 - Furman 71	0.67	East Tennessee State 56 - Furman 70	9
Eastern Michigan 72 - Central Michigan 73	0.516	Eastern Michigan 62 - Central Michigan 56	-7
Eastern Washington 72 - Sacramento State 68	0.627	Eastern Washington 78 - Sacramento State 75	1
Evansville 65 - Illinois State 70	0.644	Evansville 61 - Illinois State 69	3
Fairleigh Dickinson 79 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.804	Fairleigh Dickinson 101 - LIU Brooklyn 89	0
Florida 74 - Georgia 66	0.703	Florida 82 - Georgia 75	1
Florida Atlantic 73 - Charlotte 62	0.754	Florida Atlantic 71 - Charlotte 67	7
Florida Gulf Coast 79 - North Florida 65	0.817	Florida Gulf Coast 82 - North Florida 57	-11
Florida International 65 - Alabama Birmingham 83	0.891	Florida International 90 - Alabama Birmingham 87	-21
Florida State 72 - Georgia Tech 73	0.544	Florida State 75 - Georgia Tech 64	-12
Fordham 73 - Saint Josephs 67	0.687	Fordham 66 - Saint Josephs 54	-6
Gardner Webb 68 - Radford 64	0.656	Gardner Webb 59 - Radford 63	8
George Mason 73 - Loyola Ill 63	0.737	George Mason 86 - Loyola Ill 75	-1
George Washington 70 - Massachusetts 73	0.578	George Washington 81 - Massachusetts 73	-11
Georgia Southern 63 - Old Dominion 66	0.603	Georgia Southern 75 - Old Dominion 81	3
Grambling State 76 - Bethune Cookman 59	0.798	Grambling State 76 - Bethune Cookman 70	11
Hampton 67 - Northeastern 72	0.64	Hampton 63 - Northeastern 79	11
Howard 73 - Delaware State 62	0.775	Howard 84 - Delaware State 64	-9
Idaho 70 - Portland State 74	0.613	Idaho 58 - Portland State 74	12
Illinois 70 - Wisconsin 69	0.53	Illinois 79 - Wisconsin 69	-9
Incarnate Word 64 - Texas AM CC 73	0.739	Incarnate Word 71 - Texas AM CC 80	0
Indiana State 76 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.771	Indiana State 80 - Illinois Chicago 60	-9
IPFW 74 - Milwaukee 65	0.731	IPFW 70 - Milwaukee 74	13
Jackson State 72 - Alabama State 67	0.66	Jackson State 61 - Alabama State 58	2
Jacksonville 71 - Lipscomb 65	0.666	Jacksonville 51 - Lipscomb 44	-1
Jacksonville State 69 - Bellarmine 64	0.626	Jacksonville State 62 - Bellarmine 75	18
James Madison 77 - Appalachian State 63	0.819	James Madison 62 - Appalachian State 71	23
La Salle 68 - Rhode Island 69	0.532	La Salle 77 - Rhode Island 75	-3
Lindenwood 69 - Tennessee State 70	0.531	Lindenwood 57 - Tennessee State 60	2
Longwood 74 - Winthrop 64	0.78	Longwood 85 - Winthrop 71	-4
Louisiana Tech 70 - Texas El Paso 67	0.584	Louisiana Tech 60 - Texas El Paso 58	1
Louisville 64 - Wake Forest 79	0.874	Louisville 72 - Wake Forest 80	-7
Loyola Marymount 74 - San Francisco 71	0.572	Loyola Marymount 70 - San Francisco 72	5
Marquette 86 - Georgetown 66	0.92	Marquette 95 - Georgetown 73	-2
Marshall 79 - Coastal Carolina 63	0.895	Marshall 81 - Coastal Carolina 66	1
Mcneese State 68 - Texas A&M Commerce 69	0.501	Mcneese State 80 - Texas A&M Commerce 82	1
Memphis 79 - East Carolina 65	0.846	Memphis 69 - East Carolina 59	4
Merrimack 61 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.509	Merrimack 65 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 53	-13
Miami OH 61 - Kent State 80	0.938	Miami OH 66 - Kent State 69	-16
Michigan State 73 - Michigan 70	0.572	Michigan State 59 - Michigan 53	-3
Middle Tennessee 61 - North Texas 68	0.666	Middle Tennessee 51 - North Texas 56	-2
Minnesota 65 - Nebraska 73	0.725	Minnesota 79 - Nebraska 81	-6
Mississippi State 69 - Mississippi 64	0.646	Mississippi State 64 - Mississippi 54	-5
Mississippi Valley State 63 - Prairie View 72	0.733	Mississippi Valley State 60 - Prairie View 67	-2
Missouri 80 - Vanderbilt 69	0.745	Missouri 85 - Vanderbilt 82	8
Morehead State 67 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.606	Morehead State 69 - Eastern Illinois 59	-6
Morgan State 68 - North Carolina Central 71	0.619	Morgan State 78 - North Carolina Central 73	-8
New Mexico 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.704	New Mexico 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 84	13
New Mexico State 74 - Cal Baptist 66	0.711	New Mexico State 61 - Cal Baptist 70	17
New Orleans 76 - Houston Christian 73	0.614	New Orleans 82 - Houston Christian 59	-20
Norfolk State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 66	0.735	Norfolk State 57 - Maryland Eastern Shore 46	-4
North Alabama 72 - Stetson 71	0.536	North Alabama 85 - Stetson 95	11
North Carolina 79 - Notre Dame 66	0.832	North Carolina 81 - Notre Dame 64	-4
North Carolina AT 64 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.793	North Carolina AT 61 - UNC Wilmington 66	-7
North Dakota 63 - South Dakota State 73	0.711	North Dakota 59 - South Dakota State 60	-9
North Dakota State 70 - South Dakota 69	0.511	North Dakota State 73 - South Dakota 61	-11
Northern Arizona 65 - Montana State 74	0.718	Northern Arizona 54 - Montana State 69	6
Northern Colorado 71 - Montana 73	0.571	Northern Colorado 74 - Montana 79	3
Northern Iowa 64 - Southern Illinois 67	0.589	Northern Iowa 69 - Southern Illinois 57	-15
Northwestern State 72 - Nicholls State 70	0.529	Northwestern State 68 - Nicholls State 48	-18
Oklahoma State 69 - Texas 72	0.605	Oklahoma State 46 - Texas 56	7
Oral Roberts 79 - UMKC 62	0.844	Oral Roberts 74 - UMKC 71	14
Pepperdine 78 - Pacific 71	0.677	Pepperdine 75 - Pacific 80	12
Pittsburgh 70 - Clemson 71	0.503	Pittsburgh 74 - Clemson 75	0
Presbyterian 69 - Charleston Southern 68	0.513	Presbyterian 61 - Charleston Southern 67	7
Providence 80 - Saint Johns 72	0.71	Providence 83 - Saint Johns 80	5
Queens 72 - Kennesaw St 68	0.632	Queens 67 - Kennesaw St 76	13
Richmond 69 - Duquesne 67	0.55	Richmond 75 - Duquesne 73	0
Sacred Heart 72 - Hartford 60	0.817	Sacred Heart 78 - Hartford 71	5
Saint Louis 73 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.676	Saint Louis 78 - Saint Bonaventure 55	-16
Saint Marys 81 - Portland 59	0.914	Saint Marys 85 - Portland 43	-20
Saint Thomas 75 - Omaha 69	0.668	Saint Thomas 80 - Omaha 68	-6
Sam Houston State 76 - Tarleton State 62	0.823	Sam Houston State 75 - Tarleton State 68	7
San Diego 70 - Brigham Young 79	0.717	San Diego 48 - Brigham Young 68	11
San Jose State 68 - Nevada 73	0.637	San Jose State 40 - Nevada 67	22
Santa Clara 73 - Gonzaga 81	0.717	Santa Clara 76 - Gonzaga 81	-3
Seton Hall 70 - Butler 67	0.583	Seton Hall 76 - Butler 51	-22
South Alabama 68 - Texas State 64	0.63	South Alabama 58 - Texas State 64	10
South Carolina 54 - Tennessee 77	0.916	South Carolina 42 - Tennessee 85	20
South Carolina Upstate 69 - High Point 73	0.624	South Carolina Upstate 76 - High Point 57	-23
Southeast Louisiana 79 - Lamar 66	0.805	Southeast Louisiana 89 - Lamar 84	8
Southern 74 - Florida AM 64	0.774	Southern 84 - Florida AM 66	-8
Southern Indiana 68 - SIU Edwardsville 73	0.603	Southern Indiana 62 - SIU Edwardsville 69	2
Stephen F Austin 68 - Grand Canyon 71	0.605	Stephen F Austin 73 - Grand Canyon 68	-8
Stonehill 70 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.679	Stonehill 51 - Central Connecticut State 49	2
Stony Brook 62 - Towson 69	0.679	Stony Brook 55 - Towson 67	5
Temple 73 - Tulane 71	0.552	Temple 76 - Tulane 87	13
Tennessee Martin 74 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.723	Tennessee Martin 80 - Tennessee Tech 84	12
Texas AM 69 - Louisiana State 72	0.566	Texas AM 69 - Louisiana State 56	-16
Texas Arlington 66 - Seattle 73	0.715	Texas Arlington 61 - Seattle 76	8
Texas Christian 69 - Iowa State 67	0.57	Texas Christian 67 - Iowa State 69	4
Texas Pan American 65 - Utah Valley 80	0.847	Texas Pan American 61 - Utah Valley 75	-1
Texas San Antonio 68 - Western Kentucky 74	0.665	Texas San Antonio 64 - Western Kentucky 74	4
Texas Tech 71 - Oklahoma 69	0.568	Texas Tech 63 - Oklahoma 68	7
Troy 72 - Arkansas State 62	0.808	Troy 66 - Arkansas State 54	-2
UC Davis 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.804	UC Davis 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 48	-9
UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 69	0.739	UC Irvine 87 - Long Beach State 70	-7
UC Riverside 77 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.925	UC Riverside 68 - Cal State Northridge 45	-7
UL Lafayette 71 - Georgia State 67	0.641	UL Lafayette 78 - Georgia State 70	-4
UL Monroe 61 - Southern Miss 76	0.863	UL Monroe 60 - Southern Miss 65	-10
UNC Asheville 73 - Campbell 65	0.725	UNC Asheville 58 - Campbell 55	5
UNC Greensboro 70 - Samford 65	0.616	UNC Greensboro 68 - Samford 70	7
Utah 72 - Oregon 70	0.555	Utah 60 - Oregon 70	12
Villanova 72 - Xavier 76	0.626	Villanova 80 - Xavier 88	4
Virginia 74 - Syracuse 62	0.807	Virginia 73 - Syracuse 66	5
Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Davidson 65	0.664	Virginia Commonwealth 89 - Davidson 72	-12
Virginia Tech 76 - NC State 71	0.63	Virginia Tech 69 - NC State 73	9
Wagner 71 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.637	Wagner 63 - Saint Francis Penn 68	10
Weber State 72 - Idaho State 64	0.68	Weber State 57 - Idaho State 67	18
West Virginia 71 - Kansas 76	0.626	West Virginia 62 - Kansas 76	9
Western Carolina 68 - Mercer 71	0.58	Western Carolina 73 - Mercer 45	-31
Western Illinois 70 - Denver 69	0.532	Western Illinois 91 - Denver 74	-16
William and Mary 65 - Hofstra 74	0.754	William and Mary 62 - Hofstra 75	4
Wofford 73 - The Citadel 65	0.705	Wofford 77 - The Citadel 57	-12
Wyoming 63 - San Diego State 78	0.871	Wyoming 75 - San Diego State 80	-10
Yale 71 - Harvard 62	0.704	Yale 58 - Harvard 54	5
Youngstown State 81 - IUPUI 56	0.959	Youngstown State 105 - IUPUI 74	-6

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 63 - UMass Lowell 75	0.858	Albany 89 - UMass Lowell 63	-38
American 70 - Boston 61	0.764	American 76 - Boston 74	7
Arizona State 75 - Washington 67	0.651	Arizona State 73 - Washington 65	0
Bryant 76 - UMBC 71	0.631	Bryant 73 - UMBC 81	13
Central Florida 74 - Southern Methodist 63	0.804	Central Florida 85 - Southern Methodist 53	-21
Cincinnati 61 - Houston 76	0.856	Cincinnati 59 - Houston 72	-2
Eastern Kentucky 64 - Liberty 74	0.787	Eastern Kentucky 62 - Liberty 59	-13
Holy Cross 66 - Loyola MD 65	0.518	Holy Cross 63 - Loyola MD 55	-7
Indiana 70 - Northwestern 67	0.587	Indiana 83 - Northwestern 84	4
Lafayette 65 - Bucknell 66	0.501	Lafayette 74 - Bucknell 67	-8
Maine 70 - NJ Tech 64	0.679	Maine 83 - NJ Tech 91	14
Manhattan 62 - Niagara 70	0.726	Manhattan 64 - Niagara 59	-13
Marist 62 - Mt St Marys 66	0.602	Marist 63 - Mt St Marys 56	-11
Maryland 69 - Ohio State 74	0.6	Maryland 80 - Ohio State 73	-12
Navy 76 - Lehigh 62	0.825	Navy 73 - Lehigh 78	19
New Hampshire 61 - Vermont 69	0.721	New Hampshire 67 - Vermont 60	-15
Northern Kentucky 71 - Detroit 66	0.625	Northern Kentucky 78 - Detroit 76	3
Penn State 68 - Purdue 74	0.693	Penn State 63 - Purdue 76	7
Quinnipiac 64 - Iona 76	0.813	Quinnipiac 81 - Iona 58	-35
Rutgers 75 - Iowa 68	0.653	Rutgers 65 - Iowa 76	18
Saint Peters 67 - Canisius 66	0.545	Saint Peters 60 - Canisius 67	8
Siena 73 - Rider 66	0.729	Siena 68 - Rider 63	2
South Florida 66 - Wichita State 69	0.588	South Florida 66 - Wichita State 70	1
Wright State 76 - Oakland 70	0.647	Wright State 73 - Oakland 75	8

Number of DI Games: 358
Number Correct: 231 = 64.5%
Expected Number Correct: 244.61 = 68.3%
Average Error: 9.07
Average Signed Error: -1.8

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 73 - Alabama State 66	0.69	Alcorn State 92 - Alabama State 76	-9
Arkansas Pine Bluff 65 - Prairie View 71	0.671	Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Prairie View 55	-14
Army 69 - Colgate 76	0.703	Army 75 - Colgate 77	-5
Chicago State 81 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 90 - Unranked 70
Coppin State 73 - North Carolina Central 75	0.579	Coppin State 59 - North Carolina Central 64	3
Delaware State 59 - Norfolk State 77	0.921	Delaware State 65 - Norfolk State 78	-5
Grambling State 75 - Florida AM 58	0.858	Grambling State 62 - Florida AM 57	12
Jackson State 73 - Alabama AM 68	0.648	Jackson State 72 - Alabama AM 64	-3
Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Howard 67	0.554	Maryland Eastern Shore 82 - Howard 73	-7
Mississippi Valley State 64 - Texas Southern 73	0.771	Mississippi Valley State 71 - Texas Southern 67	-13
Morgan State 77 - South Carolina State 66	0.81	Morgan State 90 - South Carolina State 85	6
New Mexico 78 - Oral Roberts 75	0.595	New Mexico 82 - Oral Roberts 75	-4
Robert Morris 73 - IUPUI 56	0.89	Robert Morris 77 - IUPUI 70	10
Southern 76 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.781	Southern 102 - Bethune Cookman 75	-15

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 66 - Akron 71	0.635	Bowling Green 70 - Akron 74	-1
Colorado State 73 - Air Force 66	0.669	Colorado State 74 - Air Force 85	18
DePaul 69 - Villanova 77	0.726	DePaul 75 - Villanova 65	-18
Fordham 62 - Dayton 71	0.742	Fordham 58 - Dayton 82	15
Georgetown 66 - Seton Hall 78	0.778	Georgetown 51 - Seton Hall 66	3
Illinois Chicago 63 - Drake 73	0.772	Illinois Chicago 71 - Drake 76	-5
Iowa State 71 - Texas Tech 66	0.64	Iowa State 84 - Texas Tech 50	-29
Kansas 77 - Oklahoma 65	0.82	Kansas 79 - Oklahoma 75	8
Kansas State 75 - Oklahoma State 69	0.691	Kansas State 65 - Oklahoma State 57	-2
Kent State 76 - Toledo 71	0.638	Kent State 75 - Toledo 63	-7
Kentucky 78 - South Carolina 61	0.858	Kentucky 68 - South Carolina 71	20
Louisiana State 71 - Florida 70	0.53	Louisiana State 56 - Florida 67	12
Loyola Ill 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0.694	Loyola Ill 64 - Virginia Commonwealth 78	6
Miami OH 69 - Buffalo 78	0.728	Miami OH 91 - Buffalo 80	-20
Mississippi 66 - Auburn 73	0.673	Mississippi 73 - Auburn 82	2
Nebraska 70 - Illinois 73	0.575	Nebraska 50 - Illinois 76	23
Northern Illinois 67 - Central Michigan 68	0.514	Northern Illinois 73 - Central Michigan 54	-20
Northern Iowa 70 - Murray State 68	0.574	Northern Iowa 75 - Murray State 67	-6
Notre Dame 70 - Georgia Tech 69	0.537	Notre Dame 73 - Georgia Tech 72	0
Ohio 69 - Ball State 72	0.573	Ohio 76 - Ball State 71	-8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Hartford 59	0.678	Saint Francis Brooklyn 78 - Hartford 73	2
Saint Johns 74 - Butler 73	0.528	Saint Johns 77 - Butler 61	-15
San Diego State 74 - Nevada 69	0.644	San Diego State 74 - Nevada 65	-4
San Jose State 69 - Fresno State 64	0.63	San Jose State 74 - Fresno State 64	-5
Tennessee 80 - Vanderbilt 59	0.904	Tennessee 77 - Vanderbilt 68	12
Tulsa 67 - Temple 75	0.698	Tulsa 72 - Temple 76	-4
Utah State 81 - Wyoming 66	0.832	Utah State 83 - Wyoming 63	-5
Valparaiso 65 - Belmont 76	0.772	Valparaiso 59 - Belmont 74	4
Virginia 73 - North Carolina 71	0.568	Virginia 65 - North Carolina 58	-5
Western Michigan 72 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.539	Western Michigan 85 - Eastern Michigan 79	-5
Wisconsin 70 - Michigan State 69	0.505	Wisconsin 65 - Michigan State 69	5

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Western Kentucky 67	0.843	Alabama Birmingham 78 - Western Kentucky 80	15
Arkansas 75 - Alabama 76	0.522	Arkansas 69 - Alabama 84	14
Army 65 - American 70	0.645	Army 72 - American 60	-17
Bradley 78 - Evansville 56	0.922	Bradley 91 - Evansville 46	-23
Bryant 77 - Albany 67	0.744	Bryant 86 - Albany 69	-7
Bucknell 70 - Loyola MD 62	0.715	Bucknell 57 - Loyola MD 67	18
Cal Baptist 66 - Utah Valley 72	0.669	Cal Baptist 67 - Utah Valley 71	-2
Cal State Bakersfield 57 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.87	Cal State Bakersfield 48 - UC Santa Barbara 60	-3
Cal State Northridge 64 - UC Davis 75	0.859	Cal State Northridge 54 - UC Davis 62	-3
Central Florida 73 - Memphis 69	0.599	Central Florida 107 - Memphis 104	1
Charleston Southern 71 - High Point 72	0.524	Charleston Southern 106 - High Point 69	-38
Chattanooga 73 - Western Carolina 67	0.653	Chattanooga 95 - Western Carolina 76	-13
Cincinnati 75 - East Carolina 65	0.76	Cincinnati 83 - East Carolina 55	-18
Clemson 82 - Louisville 59	0.917	Clemson 83 - Louisville 70	10
Colgate 76 - Boston 65	0.8	Colgate 77 - Boston 71	5
Davidson 69 - Richmond 68	0.502	Davidson 57 - Richmond 61	5
Delaware 67 - Towson 68	0.514	Delaware 72 - Towson 59	-14
Duke 75 - Pittsburgh 68	0.647	Duke 77 - Pittsburgh 69	-1
Elon 67 - North Carolina AT 73	0.69	Elon 71 - North Carolina AT 80	3
Florida International 63 - Florida Atlantic 79	0.846	Florida International 73 - Florida Atlantic 77	-12
Georgia 66 - Mississippi State 69	0.588	Georgia 58 - Mississippi State 50	-11
Hofstra 81 - Monmouth 59	0.941	Hofstra 77 - Monmouth 57	2
Houston 82 - South Florida 54	0.981	Houston 83 - South Florida 77	22
Illinois State 63 - Missouri State 70	0.721	Illinois State 76 - Missouri State 66	-17
Indiana State 69 - Southern Illinois 66	0.575	Indiana State 61 - Southern Illinois 69	11
Lehigh 70 - Holy Cross 65	0.634	Lehigh 76 - Holy Cross 58	-13
Maine 67 - New Hampshire 66	0.502	Maine 58 - New Hampshire 71	14
Marquette 74 - Connecticut 77	0.585	Marquette 82 - Connecticut 76	-9
Massachusetts 77 - La Salle 66	0.773	Massachusetts 77 - La Salle 78	12
Mercer 65 - Furman 74	0.707	Mercer 66 - Furman 84	9
Miami 79 - Boston College 65	0.827	Miami 88 - Boston College 72	-2
Navy 70 - Lafayette 63	0.675	Navy 50 - Lafayette 59	16
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - Boise State 70	0.532	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Boise State 84	17
NJ Tech 69 - Binghamton 65	0.598	NJ Tech 71 - Binghamton 72	5
North Texas 71 - Louisiana Tech 60	0.823	North Texas 67 - Louisiana Tech 65	9
Northwestern 65 - Rutgers 66	0.5	Northwestern 62 - Rutgers 65	2
Penn State 74 - Indiana 73	0.505	Penn State 85 - Indiana 66	-18
Presbyterian 60 - Gardner Webb 69	0.772	Presbyterian 78 - Gardner Webb 79	-8
Rhode Island 66 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.576	Rhode Island 68 - Saint Bonaventure 67	-4
Rice 74 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.548	Rice 68 - Middle Tennessee 71	6
Saint Josephs 66 - Duquesne 74	0.72	Saint Josephs 80 - Duquesne 92	4
Saint Louis 73 - George Mason 70	0.59	Saint Louis 63 - George Mason 62	2
Samford 70 - Wofford 69	0.542	Samford 83 - Wofford 58	-24
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Campbell 64	0.602	South Carolina Upstate 63 - Campbell 78	19
Southern Methodist 73 - Tulane 75	0.573	Southern Methodist 88 - Tulane 97	7
Syracuse 70 - Virginia Tech 73	0.587	Syracuse 82 - Virginia Tech 72	-13
Tarleton State 75 - Chicago State 62	0.838	Tarleton State 73 - Chicago State 63	3
Texas 76 - Texas Christian 70	0.637	Texas 79 - Texas Christian 75	2
Texas AM 75 - Missouri 76	0.545	Texas AM 82 - Missouri 64	-19
Texas El Paso 73 - Texas San Antonio 65	0.747	Texas El Paso 69 - Texas San Antonio 57	-4
Texas Pan American 68 - Abilene Christian 73	0.651	Texas Pan American 103 - Abilene Christian 86	-22
The Citadel 66 - East Tennessee State 67	0.506	The Citadel 74 - East Tennessee State 96	21
UC Irvine 74 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.701	UC Irvine 70 - Cal State Fullerton 65	2
UC San Diego 65 - UC Riverside 71	0.68	UC San Diego 68 - UC Riverside 74	0
UMass Lowell 67 - Vermont 68	0.501	UMass Lowell 80 - Vermont 65	-16
UNC Wilmington 70 - College of Charleston 73	0.605	UNC Wilmington 69 - College of Charleston 71	-1
Virginia Military Institute 61 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.791	Virginia Military Institute 57 - UNC Greensboro 72	3
Wake Forest 79 - Florida State 71	0.743	Wake Forest 90 - Florida State 75	-7
Washington State 75 - California 63	0.748	Washington State 66 - California 51	-3
West Virginia 76 - Baylor 75	0.517	West Virginia 78 - Baylor 83	6
William and Mary 73 - Hampton 64	0.771	William and Mary 81 - Hampton 65	-7
Winthrop 68 - Radford 69	0.543	Winthrop 52 - Radford 66	13
Xavier 78 - Creighton 74	0.637	Xavier 90 - Creighton 87	1

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 66 - Georgia Southern 65	0.509	Appalachian State 65 - Georgia Southern 67	3
Arkansas State 61 - Texas State 67	0.714	Arkansas State 58 - Texas State 61	-3
Austin Peay 69 - Lipscomb 67	0.57	Austin Peay 65 - Lipscomb 87	24
Bellarmine 67 - Stetson 70	0.592	Bellarmine 51 - Stetson 80	26
Brigham Young 71 - Gonzaga 78	0.717	Brigham Young 74 - Gonzaga 75	-6
Denver 69 - North Dakota State 70	0.536	Denver 70 - North Dakota State 90	19
Detroit 71 - Youngstown State 76	0.637	Detroit 79 - Youngstown State 84	0
Eastern Illinois 60 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.758	Eastern Illinois 62 - SIU Edwardsville 80	7
Eastern Kentucky 67 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.668	Eastern Kentucky 97 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	-27
Georgia State 64 - Troy 69	0.655	Georgia State 53 - Troy 65	7
Grand Canyon 75 - Texas Arlington 59	0.891	Grand Canyon 80 - Texas Arlington 48	-16
Green Bay 64 - Wright State 75	0.784	Green Bay 67 - Wright State 99	21
Houston Christian 68 - Texas A&M Commerce 75	0.706	Houston Christian 68 - Texas A&M Commerce 59	-16
Incarnate Word 68 - New Orleans 70	0.544	Incarnate Word 79 - New Orleans 85	4
Iowa 77 - Michigan 74	0.561	Iowa 93 - Michigan 84	-6
IUPUI 57 - IPFW 76	0.928	IUPUI 55 - IPFW 70	-4
Jacksonville State 69 - North Florida 72	0.573	Jacksonville State 72 - North Florida 63	-12
Kennesaw St 66 - Jacksonville 64	0.549	Kennesaw St 81 - Jacksonville 68	-11
Lamar 63 - Nicholls State 76	0.793	Lamar 69 - Nicholls State 66	-16
Liberty 79 - North Alabama 59	0.907	Liberty 72 - North Alabama 54	2
Long Beach State 73 - Cal Poly 66	0.693	Long Beach State 77 - Cal Poly 58	-12
Marshall 72 - Southern Miss 68	0.637	Marshall 89 - Southern Miss 67	-18
Milwaukee 67 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.55	Milwaukee 80 - Northern Kentucky 75	-4
Montana 70 - Weber State 66	0.619	Montana 57 - Weber State 59	6
Montana State 73 - Idaho State 62	0.757	Montana State 81 - Idaho State 68	-2
Northwestern State 73 - Mcneese State 65	0.688	Northwestern State 89 - Mcneese State 75	-6
Oakland 71 - Robert Morris 67	0.609	Oakland 69 - Robert Morris 65	0
Ohio State 82 - Minnesota 63	0.93	Ohio State 67 - Minnesota 70	22
Old Dominion 74 - Coastal Carolina 63	0.818	Old Dominion 66 - Coastal Carolina 67	12
Omaha 72 - North Dakota 66	0.65	Omaha 69 - North Dakota 63	0
Oral Roberts 82 - Western Illinois 64	0.861	Oral Roberts 87 - Western Illinois 63	-6
Oregon 72 - Arizona State 71	0.531	Oregon 73 - Arizona State 90	18
Oregon State 64 - Arizona 82	0.895	Oregon State 74 - Arizona 86	-6
Portland 70 - San Francisco 76	0.629	Portland 92 - San Francisco 87	-11
Portland State 76 - Northern Arizona 68	0.704	Portland State 75 - Northern Arizona 74	7
Queens 80 - Central Arkansas 66	0.866	Queens 91 - Central Arkansas 92	15
Sacramento State 76 - Northern Colorado 69	0.739	Sacramento State 72 - Northern Colorado 64	-1
Saint Marys 76 - Loyola Marymount 62	0.84	Saint Marys 76 - Loyola Marymount 62	0
San Diego 75 - Pepperdine 76	0.504	San Diego 92 - Pepperdine 89	-4
SE Missouri State 71 - Lindenwood 65	0.669	SE Missouri State 94 - Lindenwood 71	-17
Seattle 74 - New Mexico State 69	0.626	Seattle 69 - New Mexico State 66	2
South Alabama 68 - James Madison 72	0.599	South Alabama 63 - James Madison 62	-5
Southern California 74 - Colorado 72	0.542	Southern California 68 - Colorado 61	-5
Southern Indiana 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.691	Southern Indiana 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	1
Southern Utah 71 - Sam Houston State 75	0.621	Southern Utah 86 - Sam Houston State 74	-16
Stony Brook 60 - Drexel 68	0.717	Stony Brook 67 - Drexel 66	-9
Tennessee State 72 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.578	Tennessee State 66 - Tennessee Martin 77	13
Tennessee Tech 66 - Morehead State 68	0.554	Tennessee Tech 79 - Morehead State 62	-19
Texas AM CC 75 - Southeast Louisiana 68	0.667	Texas AM CC 82 - Southeast Louisiana 85	10
UCLA 77 - Utah 65	0.804	UCLA 68 - Utah 49	-7
UL Monroe 65 - UL Lafayette 75	0.768	UL Monroe 73 - UL Lafayette 86	3
UMKC 69 - Saint Thomas 68	0.508	UMKC 81 - Saint Thomas 60	-20
UNC Asheville 68 - Longwood 70	0.593	UNC Asheville 54 - Longwood 46	-10
Utah Tech 70 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.591	Utah Tech 72 - Stephen F Austin 85	10
Washington 74 - Stanford 70	0.604	Washington 86 - Stanford 69	-13

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Eastern Michigan 61	0.861	Akron 104 - Eastern Michigan 67	-21
Butler 70 - Villanova 71	0.516	Butler 79 - Villanova 71	-9
Canisius 70 - Marist 63	0.705	Canisius 58 - Marist 76	25
Cornell 72 - Yale 70	0.549	Cornell 94 - Yale 82	-10
Dayton 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 63	0.675	Dayton 62 - Virginia Commonwealth 63	8
Illinois 72 - Michigan State 71	0.511	Illinois 75 - Michigan State 66	-8
Iona 78 - Fairfield 58	0.893	Iona 75 - Fairfield 69	14
Mt St Marys 69 - Manhattan 63	0.696	Mt St Marys 57 - Manhattan 62	11
Nevada 74 - Utah State 72	0.558	Nevada 85 - Utah State 70	-13
Niagara 64 - Siena 69	0.657	Niagara 64 - Siena 70	1
Ohio 66 - Kent State 72	0.672	Ohio 65 - Kent State 70	-1
Purdue 78 - Nebraska 63	0.854	Purdue 73 - Nebraska 55	-3
Quinnipiac 73 - Saint Peters 59	0.803	Quinnipiac 58 - Saint Peters 51	7

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Louisiana State 67	0.824	Alabama 106 - Louisiana State 66	-27
Appalachian State 65 - Troy 68	0.616	Appalachian State 58 - Troy 45	-16
Arkansas State 59 - Southern Miss 72	0.828	Arkansas State 57 - Southern Miss 74	4
Auburn 71 - Mississippi State 65	0.663	Auburn 69 - Mississippi State 63	0
Ball State 80 - Miami OH 63	0.912	Ball State 75 - Miami OH 61	3
Baylor 74 - Oklahoma State 70	0.609	Baylor 74 - Oklahoma State 58	-12
Bellarmine 63 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.755	Bellarmine 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 41	-29
Belmont 72 - Northern Iowa 68	0.635	Belmont 76 - Northern Iowa 72	0
Bethune Cookman 71 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.657	Bethune Cookman 77 - Mississippi Valley State 71	1
Binghamton 64 - UMass Lowell 74	0.744	Binghamton 66 - UMass Lowell 65	-11
Boston 70 - Army 68	0.559	Boston 74 - Army 83	11
Boston College 69 - Wake Forest 75	0.649	Boston College 63 - Wake Forest 85	16
Brigham Young 79 - Pepperdine 67	0.786	Brigham Young 91 - Pepperdine 81	2
Brown 63 - Princeton 70	0.698	Brown 72 - Princeton 70	-9
Cal Baptist 65 - Grand Canyon 69	0.634	Cal Baptist 79 - Grand Canyon 74	-9
Cal State Bakersfield 64 - UC San Diego 65	0.509	Cal State Bakersfield 56 - UC San Diego 52	-5
Cal State Northridge 61 - UC Irvine 80	0.904	Cal State Northridge 57 - UC Irvine 71	-5
Campbell 69 - Winthrop 68	0.502	Campbell 74 - Winthrop 78	5
Central Connecticut State 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.557	Central Connecticut State 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 88	6
Central Michigan 67 - Buffalo 74	0.697	Central Michigan 87 - Buffalo 78	-16
Charlotte 76 - Texas San Antonio 61	0.846	Charlotte 72 - Texas San Antonio 54	-3
Clemson 72 - Duke 71	0.508	Clemson 72 - Duke 64	-7
Colgate 79 - Bucknell 64	0.855	Colgate 71 - Bucknell 65	9
College of Charleston 85 - Elon 56	0.982	College of Charleston 78 - Elon 60	11
Coppin State 72 - Morgan State 73	0.533	Coppin State 66 - Morgan State 83	16
Creighton 74 - Providence 73	0.541	Creighton 73 - Providence 67	-5
Dartmouth 65 - Pennsylvania 74	0.716	Dartmouth 75 - Pennsylvania 71	-13
Denver 71 - North Dakota 66	0.634	Denver 78 - North Dakota 71	-2
DePaul 68 - Seton Hall 76	0.699	DePaul 67 - Seton Hall 71	-4
Detroit 71 - Robert Morris 67	0.605	Detroit 87 - Robert Morris 75	-8
Drake 66 - Bradley 67	0.503	Drake 86 - Bradley 61	-26
East Tennessee State 66 - Mercer 65	0.525	East Tennessee State 55 - Mercer 68	14
Eastern Illinois 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	0.584	Eastern Illinois 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	-3
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Stetson 71	0.523	Eastern Kentucky 85 - Stetson 70	-14
Eastern Washington 79 - Idaho 63	0.866	Eastern Washington 95 - Idaho 74	-5
Evansville 69 - Valparaiso 70	0.526	Evansville 69 - Valparaiso 76	6
Florida 75 - Missouri 76	0.527	Florida 73 - Missouri 64	-10
Florida AM 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.507	Florida AM 54 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	12
Florida Atlantic 67 - North Texas 63	0.646	Florida Atlantic 66 - North Texas 62	0
Florida State 64 - Virginia 75	0.833	Florida State 58 - Virginia 67	-2
Fresno State 66 - Air Force 64	0.572	Fresno State 48 - Air Force 51	5
Furman 70 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.609	Furman 80 - UNC Greensboro 88	12
Gardner Webb 68 - UNC Asheville 66	0.562	Gardner Webb 67 - UNC Asheville 72	7
George Mason 71 - Davidson 67	0.62	George Mason 67 - Davidson 65	2
George Washington 70 - Saint Louis 78	0.681	George Washington 74 - Saint Louis 81	-1
Georgia State 69 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.591	Georgia State 100 - Coastal Carolina 66	-31
Georgia Tech 68 - Pittsburgh 73	0.63	Georgia Tech 60 - Pittsburgh 71	6
Gonzaga 88 - Portland 65	0.917	Gonzaga 115 - Portland 75	-17
Green Bay 58 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.843	Green Bay 53 - Northern Kentucky 74	7
Harvard 74 - Columbia 57	0.865	Harvard 73 - Columbia 51	-5
Hawaii 76 - Long Beach State 66	0.795	Hawaii 79 - Long Beach State 70	1
High Point 73 - Presbyterian 64	0.769	High Point 64 - Presbyterian 56	1
Hofstra 74 - Delaware 67	0.719	Hofstra 86 - Delaware 62	-17
Incarnate Word 66 - Southeast Louisiana 73	0.662	Incarnate Word 71 - Southeast Louisiana 75	-3
Indiana 73 - Wisconsin 71	0.555	Indiana 63 - Wisconsin 45	-16
IUPUI 57 - Cleveland State 73	0.901	IUPUI 54 - Cleveland State 89	19
Jacksonville State 60 - Jacksonville 68	0.683	Jacksonville State 62 - Jacksonville 68	-2
James Madison 73 - Georgia Southern 67	0.644	James Madison 83 - Georgia Southern 71	-6
Kansas 74 - Iowa State 65	0.753	Kansas 62 - Iowa State 60	7
Kennesaw St 74 - North Florida 68	0.661	Kennesaw St 86 - North Florida 72	-8
La Salle 67 - Fordham 72	0.658	La Salle 64 - Fordham 66	-3
Lafayette 67 - Holy Cross 63	0.61	Lafayette 62 - Holy Cross 48	-10
Lehigh 63 - American 71	0.74	Lehigh 78 - American 62	-24
Liberty 82 - Central Arkansas 58	0.93	Liberty 82 - Central Arkansas 62	4
Lipscomb 69 - Austin Peay 67	0.54	Lipscomb 86 - Austin Peay 72	-12
Longwood 73 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.742	Longwood 72 - South Carolina Upstate 65	3
Louisiana Tech 71 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.667	Louisiana Tech 74 - Alabama Birmingham 81	1
Louisville 64 - North Carolina 84	0.942	Louisville 59 - North Carolina 80	1
Loyola Marymount 79 - San Diego 69	0.773	Loyola Marymount 98 - San Diego 84	-4
Loyola MD 62 - Navy 71	0.722	Loyola MD 69 - Navy 67	-11
Marshall 73 - Old Dominion 67	0.689	Marshall 73 - Old Dominion 65	-2
Maryland Eastern Shore 74 - Delaware State 59	0.856	Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - Delaware State 66	13
Massachusetts 74 - Rhode Island 66	0.727	Massachusetts 75 - Rhode Island 65	-2
Mcneese State 77 - Houston Christian 65	0.811	Mcneese State 81 - Houston Christian 90	21
Milwaukee 73 - Wright State 69	0.615	Milwaukee 74 - Wright State 78	8
Mississippi 71 - Georgia 68	0.569	Mississippi 58 - Georgia 62	7
Montana 72 - Idaho State 65	0.685	Montana 84 - Idaho State 55	-22
Montana State 71 - Weber State 63	0.697	Montana State 67 - Weber State 52	-7
Morehead State 69 - SE Missouri State 67	0.563	Morehead State 86 - SE Missouri State 91	7
Murray State 73 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.723	Murray State 81 - Illinois Chicago 64	-9
NC State 77 - Miami 73	0.579	NC State 83 - Miami 81	2
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Colorado State 69	0.699	Nevada Las Vegas 81 - Colorado State 82	9
New Hampshire 67 - Bryant 71	0.618	New Hampshire 81 - Bryant 87	2
New Mexico State 74 - Texas Arlington 64	0.766	New Mexico State 55 - Texas Arlington 66	21
Nicholls State 70 - Northwestern State 69	0.507	Nicholls State 77 - Northwestern State 63	-13
NJ Tech 67 - Albany 68	0.501	NJ Tech 74 - Albany 67	-8
Norfolk State 74 - Howard 65	0.752	Norfolk State 84 - Howard 86	11
North Carolina AT 70 - Stony Brook 66	0.622	North Carolina AT 61 - Stony Brook 59	2
North Carolina Central 79 - South Carolina State 66	0.852	North Carolina Central 71 - South Carolina State 67	9
Northeastern 65 - Drexel 68	0.596	Northeastern 55 - Drexel 76	18
Northern Illinois 67 - Toledo 82	0.787	Northern Illinois 67 - Toledo 84	2
Oakland 71 - Youngstown State 76	0.657	Oakland 69 - Youngstown State 85	11
Oklahoma 72 - West Virginia 71	0.555	Oklahoma 77 - West Virginia 76	0
Omaha 69 - North Dakota State 70	0.503	Omaha 65 - North Dakota State 78	12
Oral Roberts 80 - Saint Thomas 67	0.799	Oral Roberts 81 - Saint Thomas 69	1
Oregon 72 - Arizona 78	0.63	Oregon 87 - Arizona 68	-25
Oregon State 64 - Arizona State 75	0.755	Oregon State 69 - Arizona State 74	-6
Pacific 69 - Santa Clara 79	0.785	Pacific 81 - Santa Clara 92	1
Portland State 78 - Northern Colorado 72	0.649	Portland State 67 - Northern Colorado 69	8
Prairie View 72 - Jackson State 67	0.638	Prairie View 59 - Jackson State 50	-4
Queens 77 - North Alabama 67	0.809	Queens 107 - North Alabama 78	-19
Radford 73 - Charleston Southern 64	0.773	Radford 75 - Charleston Southern 70	4
Rice 74 - Texas El Paso 68	0.617	Rice 83 - Texas El Paso 82	5
Sacramento State 74 - Northern Arizona 65	0.781	Sacramento State 59 - Northern Arizona 56	6
Saint Bonaventure 65 - Richmond 67	0.546	Saint Bonaventure 71 - Richmond 63	-10
Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Sacred Heart 67	0.605	Saint Francis Brooklyn 82 - Sacred Heart 79	-6
Saint Francis Penn 79 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.854	Saint Francis Penn 87 - LIU Brooklyn 68	-6
Saint Josephs 71 - Loyola Ill 70	0.509	Saint Josephs 86 - Loyola Ill 55	-30
Samford 72 - Chattanooga 71	0.512	Samford 75 - Chattanooga 74	0
San Diego State 78 - New Mexico 70	0.742	San Diego State 67 - New Mexico 76	17
San Francisco 64 - Saint Marys 74	0.747	San Francisco 61 - Saint Marys 78	7
SIU Edwardsville 73 - Lindenwood 59	0.832	SIU Edwardsville 68 - Lindenwood 58	4
South Alabama 68 - UL Lafayette 72	0.635	South Alabama 76 - UL Lafayette 79	-1
South Carolina 64 - Texas AM 75	0.763	South Carolina 53 - Texas AM 94	30
South Dakota 66 - South Dakota State 69	0.583	South Dakota 64 - South Dakota State 82	15
Southern 67 - Grambling State 68	0.511	Southern 81 - Grambling State 73	-9
Southern California 74 - Utah 71	0.604	Southern California 71 - Utah 56	-12
Southern Illinois 70 - Illinois State 59	0.804	Southern Illinois 69 - Illinois State 57	-1
Southern Indiana 73 - Tennessee Martin 71	0.559	Southern Indiana 80 - Tennessee Martin 66	-12
Southern Methodist 69 - Cincinnati 74	0.644	Southern Methodist 52 - Cincinnati 54	-3
Southern Utah 75 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.53	Southern Utah 67 - Stephen F Austin 58	-8
Stonehill 67 - Merrimack 59	0.761	Stonehill 47 - Merrimack 59	20
Syracuse 73 - Notre Dame 68	0.65	Syracuse 78 - Notre Dame 73	0
Tarleton State 71 - Abilene Christian 68	0.586	Tarleton State 72 - Abilene Christian 63	-6
Tennessee 78 - Kentucky 62	0.826	Tennessee 56 - Kentucky 63	23
Tennessee Tech 68 - Tennessee State 69	0.513	Tennessee Tech 71 - Tennessee State 63	-9
Texas 76 - Texas Tech 69	0.702	Texas 72 - Texas Tech 70	5
Texas A&M Commerce 76 - Lamar 64	0.79	Texas A&M Commerce 81 - Lamar 66	-3
Texas AM CC 76 - New Orleans 65	0.743	Texas AM CC 97 - New Orleans 79	-7
Texas Christian 73 - Kansas State 74	0.513	Texas Christian 82 - Kansas State 68	-15
Texas Pan American 72 - Chicago State 66	0.678	Texas Pan American 85 - Chicago State 82	3
Texas Southern 72 - Alcorn State 70	0.541	Texas Southern 74 - Alcorn State 79	7
The Citadel 67 - Western Carolina 70	0.583	The Citadel 65 - Western Carolina 61	-7
Towson 77 - Monmouth 57	0.913	Towson 68 - Monmouth 48	0
Tulane 69 - Central Florida 75	0.685	Tulane 77 - Central Florida 69	-14
UC Davis 70 - Cal State Fullerton 69	0.523	UC Davis 83 - Cal State Fullerton 79	-3
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC Riverside 64	0.77	UC Santa Barbara 64 - UC Riverside 65	10
UCLA 77 - Colorado 67	0.726	UCLA 68 - Colorado 54	-4
UL Monroe 63 - Texas State 68	0.669	UL Monroe 61 - Texas State 58	-8
UMBC 77 - Maine 66	0.786	UMBC 85 - Maine 77	3
UMKC 70 - Western Illinois 64	0.637	UMKC 52 - Western Illinois 60	14
UNC Wilmington 76 - William and Mary 60	0.879	UNC Wilmington 67 - William and Mary 69	18
Utah Tech 66 - Sam Houston State 74	0.704	Utah Tech 53 - Sam Houston State 78	17
Utah Valley 75 - Seattle 68	0.699	Utah Valley 80 - Seattle 85	12
Vanderbilt 67 - Arkansas 77	0.757	Vanderbilt 97 - Arkansas 84	-23
Washington 74 - California 65	0.704	Washington 81 - California 78	6
Washington State 75 - Stanford 67	0.665	Washington State 60 - Stanford 59	7
Western Kentucky 73 - Florida International 68	0.626	Western Kentucky 70 - Florida International 59	-6
Western Michigan 68 - Bowling Green 73	0.65	Western Michigan 108 - Bowling Green 92	-21
Wichita State 75 - Tulsa 62	0.842	Wichita State 73 - Tulsa 69	9
Wofford 76 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.835	Wofford 86 - Virginia Military Institute 67	-5
Wyoming 63 - Boise State 75	0.776	Wyoming 68 - Boise State 85	5

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 65 - Siena 73	0.746	Canisius 66 - Siena 62	-12
Connecticut 83 - Saint Johns 67	0.87	Connecticut 74 - Saint Johns 85	27
East Carolina 71 - South Florida 67	0.626	East Carolina 70 - South Florida 81	15
Iona 78 - Rider 61	0.88	Iona 67 - Rider 70	20
Iowa 75 - Maryland 73	0.549	Iowa 81 - Maryland 67	-12
Michigan 71 - Northwestern 70	0.503	Michigan 85 - Northwestern 78	-6
Missouri State 70 - Indiana State 69	0.536	Missouri State 64 - Indiana State 62	-1
Mt St Marys 62 - Quinnipiac 71	0.726	Mt St Marys 51 - Quinnipiac 58	-2
Niagara 68 - Marist 59	0.76	Niagara 64 - Marist 66	11
Rutgers 71 - Ohio State 69	0.55	Rutgers 68 - Ohio State 64	-2
Saint Peters 64 - Fairfield 63	0.515	Saint Peters 52 - Fairfield 56	5
Temple 68 - Memphis 76	0.723	Temple 59 - Memphis 61	-6
Xavier 80 - Marquette 77	0.604	Xavier 80 - Marquette 76	-1

Number of DI Games: 340
Number Correct: 232 = 68.2%
Expected Number Correct: 231.227 = 68%
Average Error: 9.33
Average Signed Error: -0.99

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 72 - Alabama State 68	0.623	Alabama AM 61 - Alabama State 69	12
Bethune Cookman 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.547	Bethune Cookman 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 77	4
Cal State Fullerton 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	0.804	Cal State Fullerton 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 46	-19
Charlotte 70 - Texas El Paso 62	0.726	Charlotte 58 - Texas El Paso 60	10
College of Charleston 79 - William and Mary 61	0.932	College of Charleston 82 - William and Mary 54	-10
Columbia 61 - Cornell 80	0.887	Columbia 85 - Cornell 102	-2
Eastern Washington 73 - Montana 68	0.632	Eastern Washington 64 - Montana 57	-2
Florida AM 68 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.613	Florida AM 60 - Mississippi Valley State 59	3
Florida International 60 - North Texas 73	0.812	Florida International 57 - North Texas 64	-6
George Mason 76 - George Washington 66	0.771	George Mason 75 - George Washington 78	13
Hampton 67 - North Carolina AT 74	0.707	Hampton 67 - North Carolina AT 79	5
Harvard 72 - Dartmouth 60	0.789	Harvard 59 - Dartmouth 60	13
Hawaii 76 - Cal State Northridge 55	0.952	Hawaii 58 - Cal State Northridge 51	14
Howard 86 - Unranked 58		Howard 89 - Unranked 65
Idaho 62 - Montana State 76	0.835	Idaho 74 - Montana State 70	-18
IPFW 68 - Cleveland State 65	0.603	IPFW 60 - Cleveland State 72	15
La Salle 72 - Saint Josephs 71	0.519	La Salle 59 - Saint Josephs 71	13
LIU Brooklyn 65 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 71	0.667	LIU Brooklyn 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 73	1
Loyola MD 64 - Lehigh 70	0.642	Loyola MD 70 - Lehigh 74	-2
Merrimack 59 - Wagner 60	0.532	Merrimack 57 - Wagner 62	4
Miami 78 - Syracuse 72	0.679	Miami 82 - Syracuse 78	2
Michigan State 68 - Purdue 73	0.659	Michigan State 63 - Purdue 64	-4
Middle Tennessee 71 - Alabama Birmingham 75	0.623	Middle Tennessee 74 - Alabama Birmingham 73	-5
Minnesota 66 - Illinois 78	0.786	Minnesota 60 - Illinois 78	6
Northeastern 67 - Delaware 70	0.569	Northeastern 59 - Delaware 58	-4
Pennsylvania 69 - Princeton 72	0.589	Pennsylvania 60 - Princeton 72	9
Prairie View 70 - Alcorn State 68	0.536	Prairie View 68 - Alcorn State 77	11
Sacred Heart 71 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.531	Sacred Heart 54 - Saint Francis Penn 51	-2
Stonehill 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.542	Stonehill 57 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	7
Texas San Antonio 69 - Rice 79	0.707	Texas San Antonio 81 - Rice 88	-3
Texas Southern 70 - Jackson State 69	0.534	Texas Southern 84 - Jackson State 82	-1
Towson 67 - Hofstra 71	0.607	Towson 68 - Hofstra 47	-25
UC Irvine 71 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.588	UC Irvine 65 - UC Santa Barbara 73	11
UC Riverside 73 - Cal Poly 60	0.809	UC Riverside 83 - Cal Poly 78	8
UC San Diego 66 - UC Davis 73	0.751	UC San Diego 70 - UC Davis 78	1
UMBC 80 - Hartford 56	0.931	UMBC 87 - Hartford 62	-1
UNC Wilmington 79 - Elon 58	0.939	UNC Wilmington 62 - Elon 54	13
Villanova 81 - Georgetown 66	0.859	Villanova 77 - Georgetown 73	11
Western Kentucky 65 - Florida Atlantic 75	0.786	Western Kentucky 62 - Florida Atlantic 76	4
Yale 71 - Brown 63	0.69	Yale 81 - Brown 78	5

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 72 - Wyoming 67	0.639	Air Force 82 - Wyoming 74	-3
Ball State 78 - Western Michigan 64	0.872	Ball State 71 - Western Michigan 70	13
Belmont 74 - Murray State 68	0.671	Belmont 80 - Murray State 65	-9
Boise State 72 - Nevada 68	0.593	Boise State 77 - Nevada 62	-11
Buffalo 77 - Bowling Green 71	0.633	Buffalo 100 - Bowling Green 71	-23
Butler 69 - Creighton 74	0.621	Butler 52 - Creighton 73	16
Central Michigan 61 - Akron 72	0.755	Central Michigan 51 - Akron 69	7
Dayton 73 - Davidson 61	0.784	Dayton 68 - Davidson 61	5
Eastern Michigan 59 - Kent State 80	0.931	Eastern Michigan 63 - Kent State 77	-7
Georgia Tech 69 - NC State 78	0.742	Georgia Tech 66 - NC State 78	3
Iowa State 71 - Texas 70	0.532	Iowa State 78 - Texas 67	-10
Kansas State 73 - Kansas 77	0.644	Kansas State 83 - Kansas 82	-5
Kentucky 73 - Georgia 68	0.63	Kentucky 85 - Georgia 71	-9
Miami OH 72 - Northern Illinois 68	0.599	Miami OH 77 - Northern Illinois 81	8
Mississippi State 61 - Tennessee 72	0.738	Mississippi State 59 - Tennessee 70	0
New Mexico 78 - San Jose State 67	0.764	New Mexico 77 - San Jose State 57	-9
North Carolina 82 - Boston College 65	0.894	North Carolina 72 - Boston College 64	9
Notre Dame 74 - Florida State 70	0.624	Notre Dame 71 - Florida State 84	17
Richmond 73 - Rhode Island 63	0.766	Richmond 64 - Rhode Island 57	3
South Carolina 65 - Mississippi 72	0.657	South Carolina 58 - Mississippi 70	5
Southern Illinois 76 - Evansville 55	0.927	Southern Illinois 78 - Evansville 70	13
Texas Tech 72 - Baylor 76	0.588	Texas Tech 74 - Baylor 81	3
Toledo 77 - Ohio 71	0.645	Toledo 90 - Ohio 75	-9
Tulane 65 - Houston 79	0.863	Tulane 60 - Houston 80	6
Utah State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.664	Utah State 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	2
Valparaiso 68 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.501	Valparaiso 76 - Illinois Chicago 66	-11
Vanderbilt 70 - Alabama 83	0.784	Vanderbilt 66 - Alabama 78	-1
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Massachusetts 66	0.72	Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Massachusetts 55	-20
Wake Forest 74 - Clemson 76	0.56	Wake Forest 87 - Clemson 77	-12
Wisconsin 71 - Penn State 70	0.521	Wisconsin 63 - Penn State 60	-2

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 67 - Lafayette 60	0.702	American 59 - Lafayette 70	18
Army 74 - Bucknell 64	0.763	Army 66 - Bucknell 68	12
California 65 - Oregon 76	0.74	California 58 - Oregon 87	18
Campbell 63 - Radford 67	0.622	Campbell 55 - Radford 63	4
Central Arkansas 74 - North Alabama 73	0.522	Central Arkansas 73 - North Alabama 78	6
Charleston Southern 67 - UNC Asheville 72	0.636	Charleston Southern 63 - UNC Asheville 73	5
Chattanooga 72 - Furman 73	0.501	Chattanooga 69 - Furman 77	7
Colorado State 69 - San Diego State 77	0.705	Colorado State 76 - San Diego State 82	-2
DePaul 70 - Xavier 84	0.871	DePaul 73 - Xavier 72	-15
Drake 70 - Missouri State 64	0.657	Drake 62 - Missouri State 65	9
East Tennessee State 65 - Samford 72	0.683	East Tennessee State 59 - Samford 69	3
Grand Canyon 76 - Utah Tech 63	0.806	Grand Canyon 89 - Utah Tech 85	9
High Point 71 - Winthrop 72	0.526	High Point 71 - Winthrop 66	-6
Holy Cross 61 - Colgate 77	0.873	Holy Cross 71 - Colgate 77	-10
Indiana State 68 - Bradley 70	0.536	Indiana State 67 - Bradley 78	9
Longwood 69 - Gardner Webb 62	0.722	Longwood 64 - Gardner Webb 59	2
Louisiana State 68 - Auburn 75	0.699	Louisiana State 49 - Auburn 67	11
Louisville 63 - Pittsburgh 78	0.851	Louisville 54 - Pittsburgh 75	6
Loyola Ill 66 - Saint Louis 78	0.749	Loyola Ill 59 - Saint Louis 76	5
Marquette 79 - Providence 75	0.607	Marquette 83 - Providence 75	-4
Missouri 76 - Arkansas 78	0.548	Missouri 79 - Arkansas 76	-5
Morgan State 75 - Hartford 56	0.92	Morgan State 92 - Hartford 84	11
Navy 68 - Boston 67	0.54	Navy 63 - Boston 45	-17
Nebraska 70 - Ohio State 75	0.625	Nebraska 63 - Ohio State 60	-8
Northern Iowa 72 - Illinois State 65	0.73	Northern Iowa 65 - Illinois State 63	5
Oklahoma State 69 - Oklahoma 70	0.514	Oklahoma State 72 - Oklahoma 56	-17
Saint Bonaventure 68 - Duquesne 70	0.551	Saint Bonaventure 65 - Duquesne 56	-11
Seton Hall 69 - Connecticut 73	0.605	Seton Hall 67 - Connecticut 66	-5
South Carolina Upstate 71 - Presbyterian 62	0.736	South Carolina Upstate 61 - Presbyterian 60	8
South Florida 67 - Cincinnati 74	0.691	South Florida 69 - Cincinnati 85	9
Temple 73 - East Carolina 65	0.687	Temple 73 - East Carolina 58	-7
Texas AM 72 - Florida 71	0.54	Texas AM 54 - Florida 52	-1
Tulsa 69 - Southern Methodist 75	0.66	Tulsa 76 - Southern Methodist 79	-3
UMass Lowell 72 - UMBC 70	0.539	UMass Lowell 81 - UMBC 75	-4
Utah Valley 78 - Abilene Christian 64	0.852	Utah Valley 84 - Abilene Christian 54	-16
Virginia 72 - Virginia Tech 64	0.723	Virginia 78 - Virginia Tech 68	-2
West Virginia 73 - Texas Christian 75	0.551	West Virginia 74 - Texas Christian 65	-11
Western Carolina 67 - Wofford 69	0.562	Western Carolina 76 - Wofford 71	-7

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 68 - Binghamton 67	0.523	Albany 54 - Binghamton 65	12
Arizona 79 - Southern California 74	0.625	Arizona 81 - Southern California 66	-10
Arizona State 68 - UCLA 76	0.672	Arizona State 62 - UCLA 74	4
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Tennessee Tech 71	0.63	Arkansas Little Rock 75 - Tennessee Tech 77	-2
Arkansas State 63 - UL Lafayette 75	0.849	Arkansas State 71 - UL Lafayette 80	-3
Austin Peay 65 - Bellarmine 66	0.505	Austin Peay 45 - Bellarmine 56	10
Bryant 78 - NJ Tech 65	0.86	Bryant 87 - NJ Tech 75	1
Cal Poly 66 - UC San Diego 64	0.532	Cal Poly 64 - UC San Diego 71	9
Coastal Carolina 66 - Appalachian State 69	0.583	Coastal Carolina 93 - Appalachian State 84	-12
Colorado 77 - Washington 70	0.663	Colorado 72 - Washington 75	10
Delaware 71 - William and Mary 65	0.665	Delaware 80 - William and Mary 53	-21
Drexel 76 - Hampton 59	0.917	Drexel 79 - Hampton 73	11
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Jacksonville State 62	0.77	Florida Gulf Coast 55 - Jacksonville State 51	8
Georgia Southern 71 - UL Monroe 63	0.725	Georgia Southern 59 - UL Monroe 72	21
Gonzaga 84 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.862	Gonzaga 67 - Loyola Marymount 68	17
Green Bay 60 - Youngstown State 81	0.921	Green Bay 70 - Youngstown State 86	-5
Hofstra 72 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.608	Hofstra 70 - UNC Wilmington 46	-21
Houston Christian 71 - Incarnate Word 67	0.617	Houston Christian 78 - Incarnate Word 89	15
Idaho State 66 - Sacramento State 70	0.628	Idaho State 65 - Sacramento State 61	-8
Illinois 76 - Indiana 71	0.618	Illinois 65 - Indiana 80	20
IUPUI 61 - Oakland 75	0.863	IUPUI 77 - Oakland 83	-8
Jacksonville 58 - Liberty 67	0.728	Jacksonville 52 - Liberty 66	5
Lamar 62 - Texas AM CC 76	0.805	Lamar 68 - Texas AM CC 66	-16
Lindenwood 66 - Southern Indiana 70	0.6	Lindenwood 65 - Southern Indiana 81	12
Lipscomb 70 - Eastern Kentucky 72	0.553	Lipscomb 75 - Eastern Kentucky 62	-15
Long Beach State 73 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.506	Long Beach State 72 - Cal State Fullerton 67	-4
Louisiana Tech 71 - Western Kentucky 69	0.571	Louisiana Tech 85 - Western Kentucky 74	-9
Maryland 73 - Michigan 72	0.524	Maryland 64 - Michigan 58	-5
Memphis 77 - Wichita State 66	0.84	Memphis 88 - Wichita State 78	1
Michigan State 67 - Rutgers 68	0.511	Michigan State 70 - Rutgers 57	-14
Middle Tennessee 66 - Charlotte 67	0.516	Middle Tennessee 62 - Charlotte 58	-5
Milwaukee 72 - Robert Morris 63	0.735	Milwaukee 77 - Robert Morris 69	1
Minnesota 62 - Purdue 80	0.927	Minnesota 39 - Purdue 61	4
Monmouth 58 - College of Charleston 82	0.963	Monmouth 55 - College of Charleston 69	-10
New Orleans 70 - Texas A&M Commerce 69	0.535	New Orleans 58 - Texas A&M Commerce 63	6
Nicholls State 73 - Mcneese State 65	0.698	Nicholls State 73 - Mcneese State 64	-1
North Carolina AT 66 - Towson 71	0.628	North Carolina AT 67 - Towson 79	7
North Dakota 61 - UMKC 68	0.66	North Dakota 77 - UMKC 60	-24
North Dakota State 67 - Oral Roberts 77	0.75	North Dakota State 69 - Oral Roberts 92	13
North Florida 71 - Queens 75	0.624	North Florida 95 - Queens 90	-9
North Texas 75 - Rice 63	0.762	North Texas 60 - Rice 72	24
Northern Arizona 72 - Idaho 68	0.617	Northern Arizona 83 - Idaho 88	9
Northern Colorado 70 - Eastern Washington 77	0.714	Northern Colorado 75 - Eastern Washington 83	1
Northern Kentucky 66 - Cleveland State 64	0.571	Northern Kentucky 57 - Cleveland State 56	1
Old Dominion 70 - Georgia State 64	0.659	Old Dominion 70 - Georgia State 58	-6
Pepperdine 62 - Saint Marys 81	0.894	Pepperdine 44 - Saint Marys 73	10
Portland 78 - San Diego 75	0.568	Portland 88 - San Diego 83	-2
Sam Houston State 73 - Stephen F Austin 67	0.669	Sam Houston State 76 - Stephen F Austin 71	1
San Francisco 78 - Pacific 69	0.707	San Francisco 78 - Pacific 57	-12
Santa Clara 74 - Brigham Young 71	0.59	Santa Clara 83 - Brigham Young 76	-4
SE Missouri State 74 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.664	SE Missouri State 60 - Tennessee Martin 80	25
Seattle 74 - Tarleton State 67	0.707	Seattle 67 - Tarleton State 47	-13
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Morehead State 60	0.814	SIU Edwardsville 58 - Morehead State 67	21
South Dakota 72 - Denver 69	0.584	South Dakota 60 - Denver 75	18
South Dakota State 74 - Omaha 64	0.745	South Dakota State 84 - Omaha 61	-13
Southeast Louisiana 71 - Northwestern State 70	0.513	Southeast Louisiana 81 - Northwestern State 91	11
Southern Miss 71 - South Alabama 63	0.737	Southern Miss 76 - South Alabama 72	4
Southern Utah 77 - New Mexico State 69	0.725	Southern Utah 111 - New Mexico State 76	-27
Stanford 73 - Oregon State 68	0.649	Stanford 67 - Oregon State 46	-16
Stetson 71 - Kennesaw St 70	0.529	Stetson 81 - Kennesaw St 82	2
Stony Brook 66 - Northeastern 67	0.509	Stony Brook 66 - Northeastern 79	12
Tennessee State 68 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.592	Tennessee State 78 - Eastern Illinois 74	-1
Texas Arlington 71 - Texas Pan American 70	0.531	Texas Arlington 85 - Texas Pan American 73	-11
Texas El Paso 71 - Florida International 66	0.623	Texas El Paso 81 - Florida International 61	-15
Texas San Antonio 60 - Florida Atlantic 82	0.945	Texas San Antonio 64 - Florida Atlantic 83	-3
Texas State 64 - Marshall 73	0.765	Texas State 73 - Marshall 81	-1
Troy 69 - James Madison 70	0.501	Troy 87 - James Madison 89	1
UC Davis 72 - UC Riverside 71	0.53	UC Davis 72 - UC Riverside 74	3
UC Irvine 71 - Hawaii 68	0.595	UC Irvine 76 - Hawaii 68	-5
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Cal State Northridge 55	0.962	UC Santa Barbara 72 - Cal State Northridge 52	2
UNC Greensboro 75 - The Citadel 59	0.844	UNC Greensboro 70 - The Citadel 60	6
Utah 72 - Washington State 70	0.547	Utah 77 - Washington State 63	-12
Vermont 75 - Maine 61	0.819	Vermont 66 - Maine 45	-7
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Mercer 71	0.632	Virginia Military Institute 61 - Mercer 69	3
Weber State 71 - Portland State 68	0.577	Weber State 84 - Portland State 68	-13
Wright State 71 - IPFW 70	0.512	Wright State 80 - IPFW 88	9

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 74 - Toledo 80	0.633	Buffalo 77 - Toledo 86	3
Fairfield 68 - Canisius 65	0.596	Fairfield 67 - Canisius 58	-6
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Sacred Heart 69	0.68	Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - Sacred Heart 92	13
Kent State 72 - Ball State 63	0.795	Kent State 86 - Ball State 65	-12
LIU Brooklyn 65 - Stonehill 74	0.812	LIU Brooklyn 66 - Stonehill 73	-2
Manhattan 61 - Iona 79	0.87	Manhattan 76 - Iona 84	-10
Marist 65 - Saint Peters 62	0.595	Marist 57 - Saint Peters 61	7
New Mexico 72 - Boise State 73	0.537	New Mexico 81 - Boise State 79	-3
Richmond 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 68	0.536	Richmond 62 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	11
Rider 69 - Niagara 64	0.647	Rider 65 - Niagara 62	2
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.68	Saint Francis Penn 87 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	-20
Saint Johns 77 - Villanova 73	0.608	Saint Johns 49 - Villanova 57	12
Siena 73 - Mt St Marys 59	0.863	Siena 72 - Mt St Marys 57	-1
Wagner 66 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.642	Wagner 72 - Central Connecticut State 50	-17

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Texas Arlington 66	0.633	Abilene Christian 84 - Texas Arlington 68	-11
Air Force 63 - San Diego State 75	0.801	Air Force 60 - San Diego State 70	-2
Alabama AM 71 - Texas Southern 70	0.504	Alabama AM 59 - Texas Southern 70	12
Alabama Birmingham 69 - North Texas 70	0.507	Alabama Birmingham 52 - North Texas 63	10
Alabama State 66 - Prairie View 71	0.65	Alabama State 56 - Prairie View 55	-6
Alcorn State 75 - Florida AM 62	0.818	Alcorn State 57 - Florida AM 47	3
Arizona 73 - UCLA 77	0.597	Arizona 58 - UCLA 52	-10
Arizona State 74 - Southern California 73	0.525	Arizona State 69 - Southern California 77	9
Arkansas 78 - Mississippi 66	0.782	Arkansas 69 - Mississippi 57	0
Arkansas Little Rock 68 - Tennessee State 70	0.57	Arkansas Little Rock 89 - Tennessee State 77	-14
Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 - Southern 73	0.681	Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Southern 55	-14
Arkansas State 59 - Marshall 77	0.905	Arkansas State 78 - Marshall 87	-9
Army 72 - Navy 66	0.677	Army 71 - Navy 77	12
Austin Peay 66 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.676	Austin Peay 59 - Eastern Kentucky 74	8
Boston 70 - Loyola MD 62	0.73	Boston 66 - Loyola MD 53	-5
Bowling Green 74 - Miami OH 70	0.603	Bowling Green 83 - Miami OH 73	-6
Bradley 71 - Belmont 67	0.59	Bradley 76 - Belmont 78	6
Brown 72 - Columbia 58	0.847	Brown 97 - Columbia 85	2
Bucknell 69 - Holy Cross 63	0.654	Bucknell 73 - Holy Cross 80	13
Cal Baptist 70 - Tarleton State 67	0.614	Cal Baptist 77 - Tarleton State 48	-26
Cal State Northridge 61 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.842	Cal State Northridge 69 - Cal State Fullerton 66	-15
Charleston Southern 69 - Campbell 68	0.539	Charleston Southern 76 - Campbell 78	3
Chattanooga 75 - East Tennessee State 64	0.802	Chattanooga 62 - East Tennessee State 78	27
Clemson 74 - Virginia Tech 69	0.628	Clemson 51 - Virginia Tech 50	4
Coastal Carolina 68 - South Alabama 70	0.564	Coastal Carolina 85 - South Alabama 81	-6
Colgate 73 - American 65	0.737	Colgate 62 - American 61	7
Coppin State 69 - Norfolk State 77	0.729	Coppin State 65 - Norfolk State 96	23
Drexel 69 - Delaware 65	0.619	Drexel 77 - Delaware 74	1
Duke 76 - Miami 72	0.607	Duke 68 - Miami 66	2
Duquesne 74 - Fordham 66	0.73	Duquesne 58 - Fordham 65	15
Eastern Michigan 70 - Northern Illinois 71	0.516	Eastern Michigan 67 - Northern Illinois 88	20
Elon 60 - Towson 73	0.846	Elon 62 - Towson 66	-9
Evansville 60 - Drake 79	0.887	Evansville 61 - Drake 97	17
Florida Gulf Coast 71 - Kennesaw St 68	0.562	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Kennesaw St 65	5
Fresno State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.736	Fresno State 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 63	-20
George Washington 63 - Dayton 75	0.795	George Washington 76 - Dayton 69	-19
Georgia 73 - Vanderbilt 70	0.582	Georgia 82 - Vanderbilt 85	6
Georgia Southern 68 - Georgia State 65	0.587	Georgia Southern 58 - Georgia State 52	-3
Georgia Tech 70 - Syracuse 74	0.617	Georgia Tech 63 - Syracuse 80	13
Grand Canyon 70 - Utah Valley 69	0.529	Grand Canyon 74 - Utah Valley 76	3
Green Bay 62 - Robert Morris 70	0.729	Green Bay 38 - Robert Morris 72	26
Harvard 69 - Cornell 72	0.599	Harvard 95 - Cornell 89	-9
Houston Christian 67 - Texas AM CC 76	0.739	Houston Christian 90 - Texas AM CC 78	-21
Howard 69 - Morgan State 70	0.529	Howard 88 - Morgan State 56	-33
Idaho State 70 - Portland State 72	0.539	Idaho State 65 - Portland State 72	5
Illinois Chicago 66 - Northern Iowa 72	0.695	Illinois Chicago 72 - Northern Iowa 78	0
Illinois State 72 - Valparaiso 65	0.716	Illinois State 51 - Valparaiso 71	27
IUPUI 62 - Detroit 77	0.859	IUPUI 77 - Detroit 89	-3
Jackson State 74 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.702	Jackson State 70 - Bethune Cookman 66	4
Jacksonville 68 - Queens 66	0.556	Jacksonville 77 - Queens 70	-5
Kansas 78 - Texas Christian 69	0.735	Kansas 60 - Texas Christian 83	32
Kansas State 77 - Texas Tech 70	0.675	Kansas State 68 - Texas Tech 58	-3
Kentucky 72 - Texas AM 71	0.525	Kentucky 76 - Texas AM 67	-8
Lamar 68 - Incarnate Word 67	0.503	Lamar 64 - Incarnate Word 70	7
Lehigh 68 - Lafayette 64	0.605	Lehigh 61 - Lafayette 49	-8
Lindenwood 65 - Morehead State 67	0.553	Lindenwood 63 - Morehead State 72	7
Lipscomb 70 - Bellarmine 65	0.622	Lipscomb 69 - Bellarmine 49	-15
Louisiana State 63 - Tennessee 75	0.787	Louisiana State 56 - Tennessee 77	9
Louisiana Tech 71 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.549	Louisiana Tech 51 - Middle Tennessee 68	19
Loyola Ill 66 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.617	Loyola Ill 67 - Saint Bonaventure 55	-17
Mcneese State 67 - Nicholls State 71	0.605	Mcneese State 68 - Nicholls State 71	-1
Milwaukee 70 - Youngstown State 73	0.595	Milwaukee 88 - Youngstown State 75	-16
Mississippi State 68 - Florida 69	0.526	Mississippi State 59 - Florida 61	1
Mississippi Valley State 59 - Grambling State 72	0.792	Mississippi Valley State 61 - Grambling State 65	-9
Missouri 74 - Alabama 84	0.709	Missouri 64 - Alabama 85	11
Missouri State 63 - Southern Illinois 64	0.517	Missouri State 57 - Southern Illinois 61	3
Monmouth 69 - Hampton 68	0.52	Monmouth 66 - Hampton 83	18
Montana 67 - Montana State 69	0.551	Montana 64 - Montana State 67	1
Murray State 71 - Indiana State 72	0.529	Murray State 82 - Indiana State 73	-10
New Orleans 68 - Northwestern State 73	0.614	New Orleans 65 - Northwestern State 88	18
North Alabama 75 - Central Arkansas 72	0.593	North Alabama 82 - Central Arkansas 66	-13
North Carolina 78 - NC State 75	0.575	North Carolina 80 - NC State 69	-8
North Carolina Central 76 - Delaware State 59	0.923	North Carolina Central 74 - Delaware State 55	-2
North Dakota 60 - Oral Roberts 81	0.892	North Dakota 72 - Oral Roberts 84	-9
North Dakota State 68 - UMKC 65	0.576	North Dakota State 73 - UMKC 75	5
North Florida 61 - Liberty 76	0.839	North Florida 62 - Liberty 73	-4
Northeastern 63 - College of Charleston 78	0.873	Northeastern 61 - College of Charleston 87	11
Northern Arizona 66 - Eastern Washington 76	0.775	Northern Arizona 76 - Eastern Washington 79	-7
Northern Colorado 76 - Idaho 68	0.724	Northern Colorado 73 - Idaho 67	2
Northern Kentucky 66 - IPFW 65	0.527	Northern Kentucky 74 - IPFW 54	-19
Notre Dame 73 - Boston College 67	0.66	Notre Dame 72 - Boston College 84	18
Ohio 75 - Central Michigan 62	0.781	Ohio 96 - Central Michigan 68	-15
Ohio State 78 - Iowa 77	0.511	Ohio State 93 - Iowa 77	-15
Oklahoma 73 - Baylor 74	0.534	Oklahoma 60 - Baylor 62	1
Oklahoma State 65 - Iowa State 69	0.622	Oklahoma State 61 - Iowa State 59	-6
Old Dominion 68 - Appalachian State 63	0.654	Old Dominion 58 - Appalachian State 72	19
Pacific 67 - Gonzaga 87	0.923	Pacific 90 - Gonzaga 99	-11
Penn State 76 - Nebraska 67	0.707	Penn State 76 - Nebraska 65	-2
Pittsburgh 79 - Florida State 67	0.79	Pittsburgh 64 - Florida State 71	19
Portland 77 - Pepperdine 76	0.535	Portland 91 - Pepperdine 76	-14
Presbyterian 59 - Longwood 72	0.856	Presbyterian 56 - Longwood 58	-11
Princeton 76 - Dartmouth 60	0.849	Princeton 93 - Dartmouth 90	13
Providence 82 - DePaul 67	0.84	Providence 75 - DePaul 64	4
Radford 73 - High Point 63	0.762	Radford 95 - High Point 80	-5
Rhode Island 66 - George Mason 71	0.701	Rhode Island 72 - George Mason 79	2
Saint Josephs 70 - Massachusetts 74	0.593	Saint Josephs 74 - Massachusetts 68	-10
Saint Louis 79 - La Salle 65	0.851	Saint Louis 84 - La Salle 71	1
Saint Marys 75 - Santa Clara 64	0.792	Saint Marys 77 - Santa Clara 58	-8
Sam Houston State 80 - Texas Pan American 64	0.844	Sam Houston State 83 - Texas Pan American 64	-3
Samford 74 - Western Carolina 65	0.708	Samford 74 - Western Carolina 65	0
San Francisco 70 - Brigham Young 73	0.592	San Francisco 82 - Brigham Young 74	-11
SE Missouri State 73 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.646	SE Missouri State 84 - Tennessee Tech 77	-2
Seattle 75 - Southern Utah 73	0.555	Seattle 81 - Southern Utah 60	-19
Seton Hall 73 - Marquette 75	0.575	Seton Hall 53 - Marquette 74	19
SIU Edwardsville 73 - Southern Indiana 63	0.754	SIU Edwardsville 72 - Southern Indiana 82	20
South Carolina 61 - Auburn 79	0.858	South Carolina 66 - Auburn 81	-3
South Carolina State 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 74	0.693	South Carolina State 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 76	-1
South Dakota 71 - Omaha 69	0.551	South Dakota 84 - Omaha 68	-14
South Dakota State 75 - Denver 64	0.779	South Dakota State 76 - Denver 61	-4
South Florida 65 - Central Florida 75	0.768	South Florida 85 - Central Florida 72	-23
Southeast Louisiana 73 - Texas A&M Commerce 66	0.689	Southeast Louisiana 79 - Texas A&M Commerce 73	1
Southern Miss 72 - James Madison 69	0.565	Southern Miss 83 - James Madison 70	-10
Stanford 69 - Oregon 76	0.666	Stanford 71 - Oregon 64	-14
Stetson 75 - Jacksonville State 64	0.764	Stetson 87 - Jacksonville State 81	5
Stony Brook 62 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.761	Stony Brook 51 - UNC Wilmington 62	2
Tennessee Martin 70 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.644	Tennessee Martin 91 - Eastern Illinois 78	-8
Texas El Paso 62 - Florida Atlantic 75	0.857	Texas El Paso 59 - Florida Atlantic 67	-5
Texas San Antonio 70 - Florida International 73	0.589	Texas San Antonio 72 - Florida International 77	2
Texas State 67 - UL Lafayette 71	0.64	Texas State 51 - UL Lafayette 60	5
Troy 73 - UL Monroe 62	0.807	Troy 77 - UL Monroe 53	-13
Tulsa 69 - Tulane 82	0.848	Tulsa 81 - Tulane 79	-15
UC Davis 74 - Cal Poly 62	0.799	UC Davis 65 - Cal Poly 63	10
UC Riverside 67 - Hawaii 68	0.551	UC Riverside 63 - Hawaii 67	3
UC San Diego 69 - Long Beach State 74	0.656	UC San Diego 110 - Long Beach State 112	-3
UC Santa Barbara 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	0.916	UC Santa Barbara 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	-1
UMBC 73 - New Hampshire 64	0.728	UMBC 80 - New Hampshire 69	-2
UNC Asheville 72 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.739	UNC Asheville 64 - South Carolina Upstate 58	3
UNC Greensboro 71 - Mercer 59	0.774	UNC Greensboro 59 - Mercer 48	1
Utah 75 - Washington 70	0.625	Utah 86 - Washington 61	-20
Utah State 78 - San Jose State 67	0.742	Utah State 75 - San Jose State 74	10
Utah Tech 70 - New Mexico State 71	0.538	Utah Tech 89 - New Mexico State 76	-14
Virginia Military Institute 69 - The Citadel 71	0.536	Virginia Military Institute 52 - The Citadel 60	6
Wake Forest 69 - Virginia 73	0.652	Wake Forest 67 - Virginia 76	5
Weber State 68 - Sacramento State 67	0.502	Weber State 50 - Sacramento State 48	-1
West Virginia 73 - Texas 77	0.633	West Virginia 61 - Texas 69	4
Western Illinois 71 - Saint Thomas 70	0.503	Western Illinois 60 - Saint Thomas 56	-3
Western Kentucky 67 - Charlotte 68	0.529	Western Kentucky 71 - Charlotte 75	3
Western Michigan 64 - Akron 75	0.762	Western Michigan 55 - Akron 63	-3
William and Mary 71 - North Carolina AT 67	0.607	William and Mary 86 - North Carolina AT 90	8
Winthrop 67 - Gardner Webb 68	0.52	Winthrop 61 - Gardner Webb 63	1
Wright State 70 - Cleveland State 68	0.554	Wright State 77 - Cleveland State 85	10
Wyoming 72 - Colorado State 75	0.596	Wyoming 58 - Colorado State 57	-4
Xavier 89 - Georgetown 65	0.973	Xavier 95 - Georgetown 82	11
Yale 73 - Pennsylvania 67	0.641	Yale 70 - Pennsylvania 63	-1

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 70 - Oregon State 68	0.546	California 48 - Oregon State 68	22
Cincinnati 73 - Memphis 74	0.519	Cincinnati 68 - Memphis 75	6
Colorado 73 - Washington State 69	0.597	Colorado 58 - Washington State 55	1
Connecticut 77 - Butler 65	0.759	Connecticut 86 - Butler 56	-18
Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Stonehill 68	0.668	Fairleigh Dickinson 59 - Stonehill 70	16
Houston 79 - Temple 57	0.928	Houston 55 - Temple 56	23
Indiana 73 - Michigan State 72	0.508	Indiana 82 - Michigan State 69	-12
LIU Brooklyn 65 - Central Connecticut State 72	0.745	LIU Brooklyn 42 - Central Connecticut State 58	9
Maine 69 - Binghamton 68	0.52	Maine 78 - Binghamton 57	-20
Michigan 79 - Minnesota 66	0.781	Michigan 60 - Minnesota 56	9
Mt St Marys 64 - Marist 63	0.519	Mt St Marys 59 - Marist 55	-3
Purdue 77 - Maryland 65	0.778	Purdue 58 - Maryland 55	9
Quinnipiac 75 - Canisius 62	0.797	Quinnipiac 87 - Canisius 82	8
Rider 74 - Manhattan 64	0.799	Rider 67 - Manhattan 65	8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 62 - Merrimack 61	0.513	Saint Francis Brooklyn 55 - Merrimack 63	9
Saint Peters 62 - Niagara 64	0.57	Saint Peters 57 - Niagara 59	0
Siena 72 - Fairfield 62	0.791	Siena 52 - Fairfield 62	20
Southern Methodist 68 - Wichita State 69	0.519	Southern Methodist 69 - Wichita State 71	1
UMass Lowell 73 - Bryant 72	0.538	UMass Lowell 98 - Bryant 79	-18
Vermont 73 - NJ Tech 60	0.821	Vermont 85 - NJ Tech 69	-3
Wagner 67 - Sacred Heart 64	0.615	Wagner 68 - Sacred Heart 58	-7
Wofford 69 - Furman 72	0.582	Wofford 82 - Furman 96	11

Number of DI Games: 363
Number Correct: 254 = 69.9%
Expected Number Correct: 245.731 = 67.6%
Average Error: 8.93
Average Signed Error: 0.12

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Prairie View 69	0.622	Alabama AM 67 - Prairie View 59	-12
Alabama State 68 - Texas Southern 70	0.55	Alabama State 65 - Texas Southern 71	4
Alcorn State 77 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.787	Alcorn State 76 - Bethune Cookman 68	5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Grambling State 67	0.585	Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Grambling State 77	4
Baylor 75 - Kansas 76	0.512	Baylor 75 - Kansas 69	-7
Boston 65 - Colgate 74	0.753	Boston 51 - Colgate 64	4
Coastal Carolina 75 - Chicago State 65	0.751	Coastal Carolina 70 - Chicago State 74	14
Detroit 75 - Oakland 72	0.593	Detroit 67 - Oakland 76	12
Hartford 58 - Pennsylvania 77	0.892	Hartford 52 - Pennsylvania 76	5
Howard 77 - Coppin State 68	0.695	Howard 90 - Coppin State 76	-5
Jackson State 72 - Florida AM 62	0.795	Jackson State 59 - Florida AM 58	9
Mississippi Valley State 62 - Southern 74	0.815	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Southern 84	2
Morgan State 66 - Norfolk State 72	0.656	Morgan State 77 - Norfolk State 71	-12
Nevada 75 - New Mexico 73	0.547	Nevada 97 - New Mexico 94	-1
North Carolina Central 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.627	North Carolina Central 58 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	5
Northwestern 70 - Wisconsin 68	0.558	Northwestern 66 - Wisconsin 63	-1
South Carolina State 73 - Delaware State 68	0.656	South Carolina State 85 - Delaware State 88	8
Virginia Tech 69 - Duke 72	0.584	Virginia Tech 78 - Duke 75	-6
Western Illinois 70 - North Dakota 63	0.666	Western Illinois 92 - North Dakota 80	-5

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 76 - Miami OH 60	0.864	Akron 73 - Miami OH 68	11
Arkansas 78 - Louisiana State 67	0.778	Arkansas 60 - Louisiana State 40	-9
Ball State 75 - Buffalo 70	0.646	Ball State 65 - Buffalo 91	31
Boise State 76 - Fresno State 59	0.865	Boise State 63 - Fresno State 53	7
Central Michigan 69 - Bowling Green 70	0.538	Central Michigan 61 - Bowling Green 83	21
Clemson 78 - Georgia Tech 65	0.819	Clemson 72 - Georgia Tech 51	-8
Drake 75 - Indiana State 68	0.682	Drake 70 - Indiana State 68	5
East Carolina 74 - Tulsa 69	0.649	East Carolina 76 - Tulsa 66	-5
Florida State 72 - Miami 79	0.706	Florida State 63 - Miami 86	16
Georgetown 73 - DePaul 77	0.634	Georgetown 81 - DePaul 76	-9
Illinois 76 - Ohio State 73	0.573	Illinois 69 - Ohio State 60	-6
Iowa State 73 - Kansas State 71	0.571	Iowa State 80 - Kansas State 76	-2
La Salle 68 - Davidson 73	0.678	La Salle 57 - Davidson 64	2
Mississippi 72 - Missouri 75	0.582	Mississippi 77 - Missouri 89	9
Missouri State 74 - Illinois Chicago 61	0.833	Missouri State 63 - Illinois Chicago 59	9
NC State 80 - Notre Dame 66	0.826	NC State 85 - Notre Dame 82	11
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Wyoming 68	0.762	Nevada Las Vegas 86 - Wyoming 72	-5
Northern Illinois 58 - Kent State 75	0.861	Northern Illinois 86 - Kent State 76	-27
Ohio 77 - Western Michigan 65	0.786	Ohio 88 - Western Michigan 76	0
Rutgers 73 - Penn State 68	0.64	Rutgers 65 - Penn State 45	-15
San Jose State 70 - Air Force 67	0.57	San Jose State 82 - Air Force 52	-27
Southern Illinois 70 - Murray State 63	0.685	Southern Illinois 68 - Murray State 64	3
Syracuse 73 - North Carolina 78	0.635	Syracuse 68 - North Carolina 72	-1
Texas 75 - Oklahoma State 68	0.731	Texas 89 - Oklahoma State 75	-7
Texas Christian 76 - Oklahoma 69	0.685	Texas Christian 79 - Oklahoma 52	-20
Toledo 87 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.915	Toledo 84 - Eastern Michigan 79	18
Vanderbilt 72 - Kentucky 75	0.572	Vanderbilt 53 - Kentucky 69	13

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Mississippi State 64	0.857	Alabama 66 - Mississippi State 63	14
American 69 - Army 66	0.593	American 63 - Army 61	1
Auburn 76 - Texas AM 68	0.681	Auburn 63 - Texas AM 79	24
Binghamton 60 - Vermont 71	0.748	Binghamton 55 - Vermont 80	14
Boston College 75 - Louisville 65	0.75	Boston College 75 - Louisville 65	0
Bradley 74 - Illinois State 59	0.823	Bradley 79 - Illinois State 75	11
Bucknell 66 - Navy 70	0.606	Bucknell 46 - Navy 63	13
Central Florida 63 - Houston 73	0.756	Central Florida 71 - Houston 82	1
Chattanooga 73 - Wofford 68	0.614	Chattanooga 80 - Wofford 85	10
Connecticut 79 - Xavier 75	0.601	Connecticut 79 - Xavier 82	7
Creighton 80 - Saint Johns 71	0.715	Creighton 104 - Saint Johns 76	-19
Duquesne 75 - Loyola Ill 66	0.721	Duquesne 72 - Loyola Ill 58	-5
Evansville 62 - Belmont 81	0.896	Evansville 64 - Belmont 73	-10
Florida 79 - South Carolina 61	0.868	Florida 81 - South Carolina 60	-3
Furman 75 - Samford 70	0.635	Furman 91 - Samford 84	-2
Gardner Webb 68 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.678	Gardner Webb 78 - South Carolina Upstate 66	-6
George Washington 75 - Saint Josephs 71	0.599	George Washington 92 - Saint Josephs 91	3
Hartford 60 - Stonehill 69	0.785	Hartford 73 - Stonehill 56	-26
High Point 70 - Campbell 69	0.501	High Point 64 - Campbell 72	9
Holy Cross 64 - Lehigh 70	0.659	Holy Cross 68 - Lehigh 74	0
IPFW 77 - IUPUI 56	0.936	IPFW 81 - IUPUI 75	15
Lafayette 68 - Loyola MD 59	0.729	Lafayette 62 - Loyola MD 46	-7
Maine 64 - UMass Lowell 73	0.721	Maine 75 - UMass Lowell 70	-14
Maryland 70 - Wisconsin 68	0.551	Maryland 73 - Wisconsin 55	-16
Massachusetts 68 - Richmond 70	0.546	Massachusetts 85 - Richmond 76	-11
Mercer 67 - East Tennessee State 64	0.556	Mercer 71 - East Tennessee State 67	-1
Minnesota 66 - Indiana 79	0.82	Minnesota 57 - Indiana 61	-9
Nebraska 68 - Northwestern 71	0.579	Nebraska 63 - Northwestern 78	12
New Hampshire 69 - Albany 62	0.662	New Hampshire 84 - Albany 65	-12
NJ Tech 65 - UMBC 75	0.773	NJ Tech 69 - UMBC 65	-14
Northern Iowa 74 - Valparaiso 64	0.774	Northern Iowa 77 - Valparaiso 66	-1
Pittsburgh 75 - Wake Forest 74	0.538	Pittsburgh 81 - Wake Forest 79	-1
Providence 78 - Butler 67	0.744	Providence 79 - Butler 58	-10
Rhode Island 62 - Dayton 73	0.825	Rhode Island 75 - Dayton 70	-16
Saint Bonaventure 68 - Fordham 66	0.555	Saint Bonaventure 68 - Fordham 79	13
San Diego State 76 - Utah State 72	0.627	San Diego State 85 - Utah State 75	-6
Stanford 80 - Chicago State 60	0.894	Stanford 72 - Chicago State 65	13
Stephen F Austin 79 - Texas Pan American 66	0.828	Stephen F Austin 83 - Texas Pan American 66	-4
Temple 73 - South Florida 68	0.649	Temple 79 - South Florida 76	2
Tennessee 79 - Georgia 62	0.884	Tennessee 70 - Georgia 41	-12
Texas Arlington 63 - Cal Baptist 71	0.709	Texas Arlington 66 - Cal Baptist 74	0
Texas Tech 73 - West Virginia 74	0.508	Texas Tech 61 - West Virginia 76	14
UNC Asheville 73 - Presbyterian 57	0.91	UNC Asheville 88 - Presbyterian 80	8
UNC Greensboro 77 - Virginia Military Institute 56	0.926	UNC Greensboro 62 - Virginia Military Institute 50	9
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - George Mason 65	0.732	Virginia Commonwealth 72 - George Mason 52	-12
Western Carolina 72 - The Citadel 66	0.644	Western Carolina 70 - The Citadel 81	17
Wichita State 72 - Tulane 73	0.514	Wichita State 90 - Tulane 95	4
Winthrop 73 - Charleston Southern 70	0.603	Winthrop 76 - Charleston Southern 64	-9

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 66 - Grand Canyon 75	0.738	Abilene Christian 73 - Grand Canyon 75	-7
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.721	Alabama Birmingham 65 - Louisiana Tech 59	1
Appalachian State 68 - Georgia State 63	0.637	Appalachian State 71 - Georgia State 59	-7
Bellarmine 64 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.608	Bellarmine 72 - Eastern Kentucky 71	-6
Cal Poly 68 - Long Beach State 75	0.681	Cal Poly 52 - Long Beach State 70	11
Cal State Bakersfield 63 - UC Davis 71	0.771	Cal State Bakersfield 58 - UC Davis 79	13
Cal State Fullerton 68 - UC Irvine 73	0.646	Cal State Fullerton 62 - UC Irvine 61	-6
Cal State Northridge 66 - UC San Diego 68	0.562	Cal State Northridge 57 - UC San Diego 65	6
Central Arkansas 71 - North Florida 75	0.611	Central Arkansas 88 - North Florida 85	-7
Central Connecticut State 61 - Merrimack 60	0.544	Central Connecticut State 61 - Merrimack 64	4
Eastern Washington 77 - Idaho State 63	0.811	Eastern Washington 81 - Idaho State 68	1
Elon 60 - Hofstra 77	0.882	Elon 65 - Hofstra 82	0
Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Saint Francis Penn 71	0.554	Fairleigh Dickinson 87 - Saint Francis Penn 82	-3
Florida Atlantic 74 - Middle Tennessee 64	0.769	Florida Atlantic 85 - Middle Tennessee 67	-8
Florida International 69 - Western Kentucky 72	0.581	Florida International 78 - Western Kentucky 69	-12
Hampton 64 - Delaware 75	0.784	Hampton 67 - Delaware 66	-12
Hawaii 65 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.522	Hawaii 64 - UC Santa Barbara 65	0
Idaho 65 - Weber State 71	0.64	Idaho 65 - Weber State 73	2
Incarnate Word 66 - Mcneese State 68	0.551	Incarnate Word 70 - Mcneese State 65	-7
Jacksonville State 65 - Lipscomb 72	0.676	Jacksonville State 72 - Lipscomb 67	-12
James Madison 79 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.716	James Madison 75 - Coastal Carolina 69	4
Kennesaw St 75 - Austin Peay 61	0.825	Kennesaw St 84 - Austin Peay 57	-13
Lamar 63 - Texas A&M Commerce 69	0.657	Lamar 57 - Texas A&M Commerce 62	-1
Liberty 75 - Stetson 62	0.8	Liberty 74 - Stetson 45	-16
Loyola Marymount 79 - Portland 69	0.735	Loyola Marymount 79 - Portland 60	-9
Marshall 80 - UL Monroe 61	0.889	Marshall 82 - UL Monroe 86	23
Memphis 82 - Southern Methodist 67	0.889	Memphis 99 - Southern Methodist 84	0
Michigan 69 - Purdue 77	0.699	Michigan 70 - Purdue 75	-3
Michigan State 77 - Iowa 74	0.569	Michigan State 63 - Iowa 61	1
Morehead State 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	0.748	Morehead State 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	5
Mt St Marys 61 - Fairfield 65	0.625	Mt St Marys 60 - Fairfield 63	-1
North Alabama 64 - Jacksonville 69	0.638	North Alabama 80 - Jacksonville 62	-23
North Carolina AT 67 - Drexel 71	0.65	North Carolina AT 68 - Drexel 55	-17
North Texas 77 - Texas San Antonio 55	0.949	North Texas 63 - Texas San Antonio 59	18
Northern Kentucky 76 - Green Bay 53	0.926	Northern Kentucky 68 - Green Bay 50	5
Northwestern State 79 - Houston Christian 64	0.796	Northwestern State 82 - Houston Christian 63	-4
Oral Roberts 83 - Denver 63	0.914	Oral Roberts 102 - Denver 61	-21
Oregon 74 - Colorado 72	0.549	Oregon 75 - Colorado 69	-4
Oregon State 66 - Utah 75	0.743	Oregon State 44 - Utah 63	10
Pepperdine 78 - San Diego 76	0.559	Pepperdine 78 - San Diego 87	11
Portland State 67 - Montana State 73	0.659	Portland State 66 - Montana State 75	3
Queens 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.556	Queens 84 - Florida Gulf Coast 82	-4
Radford 67 - Longwood 65	0.542	Radford 63 - Longwood 59	-2
Rice 72 - Charlotte 70	0.549	Rice 65 - Charlotte 63	0
Sacramento State 65 - Montana 66	0.503	Sacramento State 67 - Montana 48	-20
Sacred Heart 76 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.919	Sacred Heart 70 - LIU Brooklyn 74	19
Saint Thomas 66 - South Dakota State 70	0.593	Saint Thomas 60 - South Dakota State 54	-10
Sam Houston State 70 - Seattle 67	0.581	Sam Houston State 55 - Seattle 40	-12
SE Missouri State 74 - Tennessee State 67	0.709	SE Missouri State 92 - Tennessee State 75	-10
South Alabama 67 - Old Dominion 68	0.556	South Alabama 64 - Old Dominion 66	1
Southeast Louisiana 75 - New Orleans 66	0.723	Southeast Louisiana 92 - New Orleans 87	4
Southern California 69 - UCLA 75	0.682	Southern California 77 - UCLA 64	-19
Southern Indiana 73 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.74	Southern Indiana 78 - Eastern Illinois 74	7
Southern Miss 75 - Arkansas State 58	0.902	Southern Miss 73 - Arkansas State 57	1
Southern Utah 72 - Utah Valley 75	0.579	Southern Utah 79 - Utah Valley 67	-15
Tarleton State 71 - Utah Tech 69	0.552	Tarleton State 74 - Utah Tech 72	0
Tennessee Martin 73 - Lindenwood 62	0.778	Tennessee Martin 66 - Lindenwood 59	4
Tennessee Tech 64 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.622	Tennessee Tech 80 - SIU Edwardsville 68	-17
Texas AM CC 68 - Nicholls State 69	0.505	Texas AM CC 96 - Nicholls State 86	-11
Texas State 65 - Georgia Southern 64	0.556	Texas State 70 - Georgia Southern 67	-2
Towson 71 - Northeastern 62	0.73	Towson 72 - Northeastern 63	0
UL Lafayette 73 - Troy 68	0.668	UL Lafayette 72 - Troy 57	-10
UMKC 71 - Omaha 64	0.663	UMKC 64 - Omaha 61	4
UNC Wilmington 77 - Monmouth 56	0.92	UNC Wilmington 52 - Monmouth 49	18
Wagner 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 57	0.787	Wagner 56 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	21
Washington 73 - Arizona State 76	0.572	Washington 69 - Arizona State 66	-6
Washington State 71 - Arizona 79	0.685	Washington State 58 - Arizona 63	-3
Western Illinois 70 - South Dakota 65	0.625	Western Illinois 75 - South Dakota 72	2
William and Mary 68 - Stony Brook 64	0.601	William and Mary 77 - Stony Brook 74	1
Wright State 71 - Milwaukee 72	0.536	Wright State 93 - Milwaukee 86	-8

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cleveland State 68 - IPFW 64	0.622	Cleveland State 79 - IPFW 74	-1
Davidson 69 - Saint Louis 74	0.624	Davidson 70 - Saint Louis 74	-1
Kent State 78 - Buffalo 63	0.827	Kent State 74 - Buffalo 68	9
Marist 64 - Rider 69	0.66	Marist 52 - Rider 68	11
New Mexico 79 - Air Force 66	0.844	New Mexico 81 - Air Force 73	5
Niagara 70 - Manhattan 63	0.722	Niagara 68 - Manhattan 62	1
North Dakota State 72 - North Dakota 64	0.689	North Dakota State 91 - North Dakota 75	-8
Robert Morris 69 - Detroit 70	0.527	Robert Morris 85 - Detroit 77	-9
Siena 68 - Iona 73	0.643	Siena 70 - Iona 53	-22
Youngstown State 78 - Oakland 68	0.765	Youngstown State 77 - Oakland 73	6

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Utah Tech 72	0.506	Abilene Christian 81 - Utah Tech 76	-4
Akron 70 - Ohio 65	0.631	Akron 83 - Ohio 77	-1
Albany 69 - Maine 68	0.503	Albany 68 - Maine 72	5
Appalachian State 71 - Arkansas State 60	0.813	Appalachian State 63 - Arkansas State 51	-1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.784	Arkansas Pine Bluff 88 - Mississippi Valley State 72	-5
Army 73 - Holy Cross 63	0.761	Army 66 - Holy Cross 55	-1
Baylor 78 - Arkansas 73	0.634	Baylor 67 - Arkansas 64	2
Bethune Cookman 68 - Alabama State 70	0.56	Bethune Cookman 64 - Alabama State 62	-4
Binghamton 67 - Bryant 75	0.711	Binghamton 84 - Bryant 67	-25
Boise State 79 - Colorado State 66	0.794	Boise State 80 - Colorado State 59	-8
Brigham Young 63 - Saint Marys 73	0.784	Brigham Young 56 - Saint Marys 57	-9
Butler 68 - Seton Hall 71	0.575	Butler 49 - Seton Hall 70	18
Cal Poly 63 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.674	Cal Poly 36 - Cal State Fullerton 65	22
Campbell 63 - UNC Asheville 69	0.66	Campbell 65 - UNC Asheville 78	7
Central Arkansas 63 - Jacksonville 73	0.746	Central Arkansas 64 - Jacksonville 74	0
Central Connecticut State 66 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.546	Central Connecticut State 88 - Saint Francis Penn 74	-16
Central Florida 73 - Temple 66	0.674	Central Florida 70 - Temple 77	14
Central Michigan 68 - Western Michigan 69	0.507	Central Michigan 70 - Western Michigan 69	-2
Chicago State 82 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 101 - Unranked 66
Coastal Carolina 69 - Old Dominion 72	0.585	Coastal Carolina 59 - Old Dominion 60	-2
Colgate 74 - Lafayette 61	0.818	Colgate 69 - Lafayette 57	1
College of Charleston 76 - Hofstra 68	0.717	College of Charleston 81 - Hofstra 85	12
Cornell 77 - Brown 68	0.776	Cornell 80 - Brown 73	2
Creighton 77 - Xavier 76	0.534	Creighton 84 - Xavier 67	-16
Dartmouth 72 - Columbia 63	0.719	Dartmouth 83 - Columbia 73	-1
Dayton 70 - Richmond 62	0.697	Dayton 86 - Richmond 60	-18
Delaware 71 - Northeastern 65	0.659	Delaware 81 - Northeastern 78	3
Delaware State 63 - Morgan State 72	0.745	Delaware State 64 - Morgan State 62	-11
DePaul 70 - Marquette 83	0.814	DePaul 69 - Marquette 89	7
East Tennessee State 67 - Chattanooga 70	0.591	East Tennessee State 64 - Chattanooga 73	6
Eastern Illinois 66 - SE Missouri State 71	0.641	Eastern Illinois 68 - SE Missouri State 79	6
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Bellarmine 62	0.699	Eastern Kentucky 73 - Bellarmine 63	-1
Eastern Washington 72 - Weber State 65	0.691	Eastern Washington 75 - Weber State 71	3
Elon 60 - Drexel 73	0.852	Elon 72 - Drexel 58	-27
Florida AM 66 - Alabama AM 67	0.549	Florida AM 56 - Alabama AM 61	4
Florida Atlantic 78 - Western Kentucky 62	0.91	Florida Atlantic 70 - Western Kentucky 63	9
Florida International 65 - Middle Tennessee 74	0.684	Florida International 82 - Middle Tennessee 74	-17
Florida State 70 - Clemson 77	0.681	Florida State 81 - Clemson 82	-6
Fordham 73 - George Washington 70	0.588	Fordham 85 - George Washington 70	-12
Fresno State 66 - Utah State 76	0.745	Fresno State 53 - Utah State 70	7
Gardner Webb 72 - High Point 64	0.707	Gardner Webb 86 - High Point 58	-20
Georgia 77 - South Carolina 65	0.801	Georgia 81 - South Carolina 78	9
Georgia Tech 65 - Duke 77	0.79	Georgia Tech 43 - Duke 86	31
Grambling State 70 - Jackson State 63	0.683	Grambling State 78 - Jackson State 66	-5
Hampton 66 - Stony Brook 69	0.577	Hampton 66 - Stony Brook 71	2
Hawaii 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	0.898	Hawaii 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	14
Houston 76 - Cincinnati 61	0.858	Houston 75 - Cincinnati 69	9
Howard 69 - North Carolina Central 68	0.521	Howard 71 - North Carolina Central 67	-3
Idaho 70 - Idaho State 69	0.511	Idaho 91 - Idaho State 95	5
Incarnate Word 62 - Nicholls State 71	0.732	Incarnate Word 69 - Nicholls State 67	-11
Indiana 77 - Ohio State 74	0.593	Indiana 86 - Ohio State 70	-13
Indiana State 72 - Northern Iowa 70	0.552	Indiana State 79 - Northern Iowa 71	-6
Jacksonville State 68 - Austin Peay 65	0.572	Jacksonville State 70 - Austin Peay 53	-14
James Madison 77 - UL Monroe 65	0.768	James Madison 58 - UL Monroe 45	-1
Kansas State 77 - Florida 70	0.688	Kansas State 64 - Florida 50	-7
Kennesaw St 72 - Lipscomb 68	0.613	Kennesaw St 85 - Lipscomb 72	-9
Kentucky 72 - Kansas 77	0.631	Kentucky 68 - Kansas 77	4
Liberty 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	0.765	Liberty 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 57	-5
Long Beach State 76 - UC Davis 75	0.547	Long Beach State 75 - UC Davis 72	-2
Longwood 75 - Charleston Southern 63	0.795	Longwood 63 - Charleston Southern 75	24
Louisiana State 70 - Texas Tech 72	0.564	Louisiana State 68 - Texas Tech 76	6
Loyola Marymount 80 - Pepperdine 68	0.809	Loyola Marymount 84 - Pepperdine 70	-2
Loyola MD 66 - Bucknell 67	0.538	Loyola MD 80 - Bucknell 66	-15
Marshall 77 - Georgia State 62	0.837	Marshall 103 - Georgia State 65	-23
Maryland 74 - Nebraska 67	0.664	Maryland 82 - Nebraska 63	-12
Maryland Eastern Shore 75 - Coppin State 67	0.716	Maryland Eastern Shore 94 - Coppin State 75	-11
Massachusetts 71 - Duquesne 72	0.523	Massachusetts 87 - Duquesne 79	-9
Merrimack 65 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.525	Merrimack 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 78	6
Miami OH 76 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.662	Miami OH 69 - Eastern Michigan 74	11
Mississippi State 67 - Texas Christian 72	0.642	Mississippi State 81 - Texas Christian 74	-12
Missouri 71 - Iowa State 76	0.619	Missouri 78 - Iowa State 61	-22
Morehead State 64 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.551	Morehead State 55 - SIU Edwardsville 50	-7
Mt St Marys 63 - Saint Peters 61	0.549	Mt St Marys 62 - Saint Peters 73	13
Murray State 67 - Missouri State 68	0.509	Murray State 74 - Missouri State 71	-4
Navy 66 - American 65	0.534	Navy 69 - American 73	5
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - Nevada 75	0.638	Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Nevada 62	-11
New Hampshire 63 - UMass Lowell 70	0.657	New Hampshire 69 - UMass Lowell 65	-11
New Orleans 68 - Southeast Louisiana 73	0.631	New Orleans 64 - Southeast Louisiana 80	11
Norfolk State 81 - South Carolina State 63	0.912	Norfolk State 82 - South Carolina State 68	4
North Alabama 73 - North Florida 72	0.515	North Alabama 91 - North Florida 78	-12
North Carolina AT 76 - Monmouth 63	0.836	North Carolina AT 64 - Monmouth 79	28
North Texas 69 - Texas El Paso 58	0.818	North Texas 52 - Texas El Paso 42	1
Northern Arizona 71 - Northern Colorado 74	0.577	Northern Arizona 83 - Northern Colorado 73	-13
Northern Illinois 65 - Ball State 73	0.705	Northern Illinois 69 - Ball State 87	10
Northern Kentucky 68 - Milwaukee 65	0.572	Northern Kentucky 74 - Milwaukee 75	4
Northwestern 76 - Minnesota 63	0.821	Northwestern 81 - Minnesota 61	-7
Northwestern State 77 - Lamar 59	0.848	Northwestern State 80 - Lamar 65	3
Notre Dame 76 - Louisville 66	0.775	Notre Dame 76 - Louisville 62	-4
Oklahoma 70 - Alabama 80	0.757	Oklahoma 93 - Alabama 69	-34
Oklahoma State 73 - Mississippi 64	0.78	Oklahoma State 82 - Mississippi 60	-13
Oral Roberts 84 - Omaha 62	0.916	Oral Roberts 73 - Omaha 64	13
Oregon 74 - Utah 72	0.551	Oregon 68 - Utah 56	-10
Oregon State 66 - Colorado 75	0.72	Oregon State 60 - Colorado 52	-17
Pennsylvania 67 - Harvard 68	0.514	Pennsylvania 83 - Harvard 68	-16
Pittsburgh 73 - Miami 74	0.518	Pittsburgh 71 - Miami 68	-4
Portland 69 - Gonzaga 86	0.834	Portland 67 - Gonzaga 82	-2
Portland State 69 - Montana 71	0.545	Portland State 67 - Montana 73	4
Presbyterian 65 - Winthrop 69	0.657	Presbyterian 58 - Winthrop 76	14
Queens 73 - Stetson 74	0.546	Queens 71 - Stetson 65	-7
Rhode Island 72 - La Salle 68	0.652	Rhode Island 72 - La Salle 70	2
Rice 77 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.529	Rice 52 - Alabama Birmingham 70	17
Sacramento State 64 - Montana State 68	0.645	Sacramento State 65 - Montana State 72	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0.75	Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-4
Saint Thomas 72 - South Dakota 66	0.651	Saint Thomas 67 - South Dakota 81	20
San Diego 71 - San Francisco 78	0.67	San Diego 81 - San Francisco 94	6
San Diego State 78 - San Jose State 63	0.855	San Diego State 72 - San Jose State 51	-6
Santa Clara 82 - Pacific 67	0.868	Santa Clara 89 - Pacific 95	21
South Alabama 67 - Troy 69	0.599	South Alabama 77 - Troy 60	-19
South Carolina Upstate 64 - Radford 69	0.673	South Carolina Upstate 52 - Radford 55	-2
Southern 71 - Alcorn State 69	0.566	Southern 80 - Alcorn State 68	-10
Southern Miss 71 - Texas State 61	0.789	Southern Miss 67 - Texas State 58	1
Stanford 76 - California 66	0.738	Stanford 75 - California 46	-19
Stephen F Austin 69 - Seattle 71	0.557	Stephen F Austin 79 - Seattle 65	-16
Stonehill 67 - Sacred Heart 65	0.592	Stonehill 82 - Sacred Heart 81	1
Tarleton State 65 - Grand Canyon 72	0.696	Tarleton State 81 - Grand Canyon 62	-26
Tennessee 75 - Texas 69	0.664	Tennessee 82 - Texas 71	-5
Tennessee Martin 71 - Southern Indiana 70	0.521	Tennessee Martin 86 - Southern Indiana 83	-2
Tennessee State 69 - Lindenwood 64	0.646	Tennessee State 83 - Lindenwood 66	-12
Tennessee Tech 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	0.689	Tennessee Tech 89 - Arkansas Little Rock 91	9
Texas A&M Commerce 73 - Houston Christian 66	0.668	Texas A&M Commerce 77 - Houston Christian 76	6
Texas AM 76 - Vanderbilt 70	0.643	Texas AM 72 - Vanderbilt 66	0
Texas AM CC 73 - Mcneese State 65	0.673	Texas AM CC 83 - Mcneese State 72	-3
Texas Pan American 67 - Cal Baptist 75	0.726	Texas Pan American 64 - Cal Baptist 58	-14
Texas San Antonio 67 - Louisiana Tech 77	0.776	Texas San Antonio 55 - Louisiana Tech 66	1
Texas Southern 69 - Prairie View 67	0.558	Texas Southern 74 - Prairie View 89	17
The Citadel 66 - Mercer 68	0.546	The Citadel 65 - Mercer 74	7
Toledo 83 - Bowling Green 67	0.826	Toledo 91 - Bowling Green 77	2
Towson 73 - William and Mary 61	0.794	Towson 92 - William and Mary 73	-7
UC Irvine 79 - Cal State Northridge 58	0.933	UC Irvine 81 - Cal State Northridge 56	-4
UC Riverside 76 - UC San Diego 64	0.862	UC Riverside 72 - UC San Diego 65	5
UL Lafayette 74 - Georgia Southern 65	0.76	UL Lafayette 94 - Georgia Southern 87	2
UMKC 70 - Denver 65	0.63	UMKC 70 - Denver 60	-5
Utah Valley 78 - New Mexico State 64	0.814	Utah Valley 77 - New Mexico State 72	9
Valparaiso 75 - Evansville 65	0.751	Valparaiso 81 - Evansville 69	-2
Vermont 71 - UMBC 67	0.611	Vermont 74 - UMBC 68	-2
Virginia 78 - Boston College 59	0.921	Virginia 76 - Boston College 57	0
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Saint Bonaventure 62	0.767	Virginia Commonwealth 58 - Saint Bonaventure 61	14
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Western Carolina 73	0.678	Virginia Military Institute 65 - Western Carolina 71	-1
Virginia Tech 74 - Syracuse 71	0.586	Virginia Tech 85 - Syracuse 70	-12
Wake Forest 76 - NC State 77	0.512	Wake Forest 77 - NC State 79	1
Washington 72 - Arizona 82	0.724	Washington 72 - Arizona 95	13
Washington State 71 - Arizona State 73	0.535	Washington State 75 - Arizona State 58	-19
West Virginia 73 - Auburn 75	0.573	West Virginia 80 - Auburn 77	-5
Western Illinois 65 - South Dakota State 69	0.612	Western Illinois 81 - South Dakota State 73	-12
Wisconsin 70 - Illinois 71	0.507	Wisconsin 51 - Illinois 61	9
Wofford 68 - Samford 71	0.585	Wofford 85 - Samford 77	-11
Wright State 79 - Green Bay 60	0.892	Wright State 77 - Green Bay 46	-12
Yale 69 - Princeton 68	0.532	Yale 87 - Princeton 65	-21

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Belmont 72 - Drake 70	0.558	Belmont 61 - Drake 79	20
Canisius 72 - Manhattan 67	0.64	Canisius 74 - Manhattan 81	12
Cleveland State 77 - IUPUI 54	0.952	Cleveland State 78 - IUPUI 72	17
East Carolina 66 - Wichita State 70	0.63	East Carolina 72 - Wichita State 85	9
Fairfield 67 - Rider 66	0.544	Fairfield 69 - Rider 78	10
George Mason 74 - Saint Josephs 66	0.724	George Mason 76 - Saint Josephs 79	11
Illinois Chicago 61 - Bradley 75	0.794	Illinois Chicago 76 - Bradley 83	-7
Illinois State 60 - Southern Illinois 70	0.763	Illinois State 72 - Southern Illinois 66	-16
Iona 74 - Quinnipiac 67	0.674	Iona 78 - Quinnipiac 72	1
Iowa 73 - Rutgers 74	0.502	Iowa 93 - Rutgers 82	-12
Lehigh 70 - Boston 65	0.635	Lehigh 66 - Boston 55	-6
Marist 63 - Siena 71	0.755	Marist 55 - Siena 70	7
Penn State 76 - Michigan 73	0.58	Penn State 83 - Michigan 61	-19
Purdue 75 - Michigan State 66	0.766	Purdue 77 - Michigan State 61	-7
Robert Morris 69 - Oakland 68	0.509	Robert Morris 68 - Oakland 63	-4
Saint Johns 84 - Georgetown 69	0.864	Saint Johns 75 - Georgetown 73	13
Southern Methodist 71 - South Florida 72	0.503	Southern Methodist 82 - South Florida 80	-3
Tulsa 67 - Memphis 84	0.924	Tulsa 68 - Memphis 80	-5
UNC Greensboro 69 - Furman 68	0.53	UNC Greensboro 57 - Furman 69	13
Villanova 72 - Providence 75	0.59	Villanova 65 - Providence 70	2
Youngstown State 78 - Detroit 70	0.722	Youngstown State 73 - Detroit 63	-2

Number of DI Games: 342
Number Correct: 242 = 70.7%
Expected Number Correct: 233.783 = 68.3%
Average Error: 8.8
Average Signed Error: -1.13

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 67 - Alabama AM 68	0.516	Bethune Cookman 88 - Alabama AM 77	-12
Colgate 78 - Loyola MD 59	0.917	Colgate 76 - Loyola MD 63	6
Coppin State 73 - Delaware State 68	0.657	Coppin State 66 - Delaware State 71	10
Florida AM 64 - Alabama State 65	0.561	Florida AM 69 - Alabama State 58	-12
Grambling State 70 - Alcorn State 64	0.638	Grambling State 60 - Alcorn State 63	9
Howard 80 - South Carolina State 65	0.829	Howard 100 - South Carolina State 74	-11
Morgan State 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.523	Morgan State 58 - Maryland Eastern Shore 72	13
Norfolk State 70 - North Carolina Central 64	0.713	Norfolk State 77 - North Carolina Central 71	0
Oral Roberts 81 - South Dakota 62	0.863	Oral Roberts 103 - South Dakota 53	-31
Southern 74 - Jackson State 65	0.75	Southern 73 - Jackson State 62	-2
Syracuse 67 - Virginia 74	0.733	Syracuse 62 - Virginia 67	-2
Texas 77 - Baylor 75	0.559	Texas 76 - Baylor 71	-3
Texas Tech 68 - Iowa State 73	0.604	Texas Tech 80 - Iowa State 77	-8
The Citadel 70 - Chicago State 67	0.595	The Citadel 75 - Chicago State 76	4
UMKC 64 - South Dakota State 66	0.56	UMKC 66 - South Dakota State 67	-1

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 63 - Boise State 76	0.798	Air Force 52 - Boise State 59	-6
Alabama 85 - Vanderbilt 69	0.824	Alabama 101 - Vanderbilt 44	-41
Arkansas 75 - Texas AM 71	0.59	Arkansas 81 - Texas AM 70	-7
Boston College 66 - Clemson 77	0.749	Boston College 62 - Clemson 54	-19
Bowling Green 69 - Ball State 73	0.61	Bowling Green 60 - Ball State 69	5
Buffalo 69 - Akron 71	0.544	Buffalo 64 - Akron 81	15
Colorado State 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	0.564	Colorado State 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 83	9
Davidson 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.674	Davidson 59 - Virginia Commonwealth 61	-4
Dayton 76 - Loyola Ill 60	0.828	Dayton 85 - Loyola Ill 81	12
DePaul 68 - Connecticut 81	0.807	DePaul 76 - Connecticut 90	1
Duke 79 - Wake Forest 70	0.708	Duke 75 - Wake Forest 73	7
Eastern Michigan 66 - Ohio 78	0.773	Eastern Michigan 90 - Ohio 79	-23
Fordham 69 - Saint Louis 73	0.607	Fordham 75 - Saint Louis 65	-14
Illinois 79 - Nebraska 67	0.779	Illinois 72 - Nebraska 56	-4
Iowa 78 - Northwestern 75	0.553	Iowa 86 - Northwestern 70	-13
Kansas 78 - Kansas State 73	0.641	Kansas 90 - Kansas State 78	-7
Kent State 77 - Central Michigan 55	0.912	Kent State 81 - Central Michigan 69	10
Maryland 73 - Indiana 74	0.501	Maryland 66 - Indiana 55	-12
Miami 75 - Virginia Tech 72	0.581	Miami 92 - Virginia Tech 83	-6
Miami OH 67 - Toledo 81	0.829	Miami OH 78 - Toledo 81	-11
Mississippi 69 - Kentucky 75	0.678	Mississippi 66 - Kentucky 75	3
Nevada 71 - San Diego State 73	0.57	Nevada 75 - San Diego State 66	-11
Quinnipiac 75 - Marist 59	0.869	Quinnipiac 72 - Marist 66	10
South Carolina 63 - Mississippi State 75	0.786	South Carolina 51 - Mississippi State 66	3
Texas Christian 78 - West Virginia 73	0.603	Texas Christian 76 - West Virginia 72	1
Western Michigan 69 - Northern Illinois 70	0.513	Western Michigan 59 - Northern Illinois 73	13
Wyoming 69 - Fresno State 68	0.518	Wyoming 85 - Fresno State 62	-22

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 72 - Bucknell 61	0.806	American 71 - Bucknell 78	18
Auburn 78 - Georgia 67	0.799	Auburn 94 - Georgia 73	-10
Boston 69 - Holy Cross 62	0.701	Boston 70 - Holy Cross 82	19
Bradley 68 - Southern Illinois 64	0.604	Bradley 62 - Southern Illinois 52	-6
Bryant 76 - Maine 68	0.711	Bryant 71 - Maine 53	-10
Cal Baptist 70 - Southern Utah 73	0.56	Cal Baptist 71 - Southern Utah 72	-2
Campbell 68 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.6	Campbell 78 - South Carolina Upstate 66	-8
Charleston Southern 66 - Gardner Webb 70	0.613	Charleston Southern 59 - Gardner Webb 67	4
Cincinnati 81 - Tulsa 63	0.908	Cincinnati 81 - Tulsa 55	-8
Drake 73 - Northern Iowa 65	0.728	Drake 88 - Northern Iowa 81	1
East Tennessee State 66 - Wofford 70	0.59	East Tennessee State 77 - Wofford 52	-29
Evansville 64 - Indiana State 78	0.848	Evansville 65 - Indiana State 83	4
Florida 65 - Tennessee 75	0.734	Florida 67 - Tennessee 54	-23
Furman 78 - Chattanooga 68	0.759	Furman 79 - Chattanooga 58	-11
George Mason 72 - Massachusetts 70	0.578	George Mason 70 - Massachusetts 59	-9
Georgetown 67 - Creighton 84	0.893	Georgetown 53 - Creighton 63	-7
Illinois State 71 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.655	Illinois State 68 - Illinois Chicago 62	-1
La Salle 71 - George Washington 74	0.595	La Salle 75 - George Washington 64	-14
Lafayette 64 - Navy 65	0.51	Lafayette 34 - Navy 53	18
Lehigh 71 - Army 68	0.588	Lehigh 69 - Army 71	5
Louisville 68 - Georgia Tech 73	0.633	Louisville 68 - Georgia Tech 58	-15
Marquette 80 - Villanova 69	0.796	Marquette 73 - Villanova 64	2
Missouri 80 - Louisiana State 70	0.74	Missouri 87 - Louisiana State 77	0
Missouri State 73 - Valparaiso 62	0.769	Missouri State 76 - Valparaiso 67	2
Murray State 70 - Belmont 72	0.56	Murray State 83 - Belmont 82	-3
NC State 81 - Florida State 70	0.792	NC State 94 - Florida State 66	-17
New Mexico State 68 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.658	New Mexico State 73 - Stephen F Austin 67	-12
NJ Tech 64 - New Hampshire 67	0.576	NJ Tech 67 - New Hampshire 74	4
North Carolina 78 - Pittsburgh 71	0.707	North Carolina 64 - Pittsburgh 65	8
Oklahoma 72 - Oklahoma State 71	0.532	Oklahoma 61 - Oklahoma State 71	11
Presbyterian 59 - Radford 72	0.869	Presbyterian 59 - Radford 67	-5
Purdue 78 - Penn State 67	0.793	Purdue 80 - Penn State 60	-9
Richmond 68 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.564	Richmond 62 - Saint Bonaventure 66	6
Rutgers 78 - Minnesota 61	0.896	Rutgers 90 - Minnesota 55	-18
Saint Johns 72 - Seton Hall 74	0.552	Saint Johns 72 - Seton Hall 84	10
Saint Josephs 73 - Rhode Island 70	0.601	Saint Josephs 64 - Rhode Island 50	-11
Seattle 75 - Abilene Christian 65	0.742	Seattle 68 - Abilene Christian 83	25
South Florida 74 - East Carolina 68	0.695	South Florida 71 - East Carolina 63	-2
Texas Pan American 64 - Sam Houston State 78	0.82	Texas Pan American 65 - Sam Houston State 67	-12
Tulane 80 - Southern Methodist 72	0.723	Tulane 74 - Southern Methodist 52	-14
UMass Lowell 76 - Albany 62	0.802	UMass Lowell 66 - Albany 50	-2
UMBC 74 - Binghamton 64	0.748	UMBC 69 - Binghamton 55	-4
Utah State 78 - New Mexico 76	0.561	Utah State 84 - New Mexico 73	-9
Western Carolina 68 - Samford 73	0.619	Western Carolina 77 - Samford 85	3
Winthrop 67 - Longwood 69	0.568	Winthrop 76 - Longwood 74	-4
Xavier 78 - Providence 75	0.604	Xavier 85 - Providence 83	1

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Florida Atlantic 75	0.603	Alabama Birmingham 86 - Florida Atlantic 77	-12
Appalachian State 67 - Marshall 74	0.676	Appalachian State 58 - Marshall 66	1
Arizona 81 - Oregon 72	0.69	Arizona 91 - Oregon 76	-6
Arizona State 77 - Oregon State 65	0.76	Arizona State 68 - Oregon State 57	1
Arkansas State 64 - South Alabama 70	0.702	Arkansas State 62 - South Alabama 82	14
Austin Peay 54 - Liberty 75	0.905	Austin Peay 70 - Liberty 82	-9
Bellarmine 64 - Kennesaw St 69	0.647	Bellarmine 84 - Kennesaw St 90	1
Brigham Young 71 - Loyola Marymount 70	0.558	Brigham Young 89 - Loyola Marymount 61	-27
Cal State Bakersfield 61 - UC Riverside 72	0.806	Cal State Bakersfield 82 - UC Riverside 76	-17
Cal State Fullerton 74 - Long Beach State 71	0.585	Cal State Fullerton 67 - Long Beach State 70	6
Charlotte 73 - Florida International 65	0.695	Charlotte 54 - Florida International 57	11
Colorado 79 - California 63	0.814	Colorado 59 - California 46	3
Denver 68 - Western Illinois 72	0.621	Denver 74 - Western Illinois 44	-34
Detroit 67 - Cleveland State 71	0.62	Detroit 85 - Cleveland State 67	-22
Drexel 64 - College of Charleston 74	0.764	Drexel 70 - College of Charleston 69	-11
Eastern Kentucky 73 - Jacksonville State 64	0.739	Eastern Kentucky 69 - Jacksonville State 67	7
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Central Arkansas 64	0.809	Florida Gulf Coast 87 - Central Arkansas 91	18
Georgia State 67 - Georgia Southern 68	0.517	Georgia State 64 - Georgia Southern 60	-5
Gonzaga 83 - Santa Clara 71	0.816	Gonzaga 88 - Santa Clara 70	-6
Hampton 68 - William and Mary 71	0.595	Hampton 62 - William and Mary 57	-8
Hofstra 72 - Towson 66	0.656	Hofstra 76 - Towson 72	2
Houston Christian 65 - Northwestern State 76	0.746	Houston Christian 76 - Northwestern State 94	7
IUPUI 60 - Milwaukee 77	0.894	IUPUI 69 - Milwaukee 72	-14
Jacksonville 72 - North Florida 64	0.695	Jacksonville 63 - North Florida 76	21
Lindenwood 65 - Eastern Illinois 64	0.503	Lindenwood 80 - Eastern Illinois 67	-12
Lipscomb 73 - Queens 71	0.576	Lipscomb 66 - Queens 60	-4
Louisiana Tech 74 - Rice 73	0.532	Louisiana Tech 80 - Rice 72	-7
Maryland Eastern Shore 85 - Unranked 53		Maryland Eastern Shore 89 - Unranked 41
Mcneese State 70 - Lamar 63	0.69	Mcneese State 63 - Lamar 70	14
Mercer 61 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.659	Mercer 49 - UNC Greensboro 69	14
Merrimack 69 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0.834	Merrimack 76 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-6
Middle Tennessee 70 - Texas El Paso 66	0.621	Middle Tennessee 84 - Texas El Paso 72	-8
Monmouth 62 - Delaware 72	0.745	Monmouth 70 - Delaware 62	-18
Montana 74 - Northern Colorado 66	0.714	Montana 69 - Northern Colorado 67	6
Montana State 76 - Northern Arizona 61	0.867	Montana State 69 - Northern Arizona 68	14
Morehead State 69 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.654	Morehead State 64 - Tennessee Tech 45	-13
New Orleans 67 - Texas AM CC 74	0.656	New Orleans 69 - Texas AM CC 86	10
Northwestern 76 - Michigan 71	0.613	Northwestern 51 - Michigan 68	22
Oakland 69 - IPFW 70	0.509	Oakland 73 - IPFW 82	8
Ohio State 74 - Wisconsin 70	0.62	Ohio State 60 - Wisconsin 65	9
Old Dominion 69 - James Madison 70	0.518	Old Dominion 73 - James Madison 78	4
Omaha 68 - Saint Thomas 71	0.584	Omaha 83 - Saint Thomas 89	3
Pacific 78 - Pepperdine 73	0.636	Pacific 81 - Pepperdine 72	-4
Portland State 76 - Idaho 69	0.693	Portland State 69 - Idaho 66	4
Robert Morris 62 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.617	Robert Morris 52 - Northern Kentucky 65	9
Sacramento State 67 - Eastern Washington 71	0.632	Sacramento State 63 - Eastern Washington 82	15
Sacred Heart 64 - Wagner 65	0.545	Sacred Heart 65 - Wagner 56	-10
Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.51	Saint Francis Brooklyn 53 - Central Connecticut State 48	-4
Saint Marys 76 - San Francisco 61	0.837	Saint Marys 68 - San Francisco 59	6
San Diego 77 - Portland 76	0.516	San Diego 61 - Portland 80	20
SE Missouri State 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	0.76	SE Missouri State 99 - Arkansas Little Rock 98	9
SIU Edwardsville 68 - Tennessee Martin 66	0.573	SIU Edwardsville 89 - Tennessee Martin 75	-12
South Dakota 69 - North Dakota State 70	0.536	South Dakota 71 - North Dakota State 62	-10
South Dakota State 74 - North Dakota 61	0.783	South Dakota State 96 - North Dakota 73	-10
Southeast Louisiana 73 - Incarnate Word 63	0.769	Southeast Louisiana 77 - Incarnate Word 67	0
Southern California 76 - Washington State 68	0.698	Southern California 80 - Washington State 70	-2
Southern Indiana 74 - Tennessee State 66	0.714	Southern Indiana 76 - Tennessee State 80	12
Stetson 74 - North Alabama 68	0.651	Stetson 79 - North Alabama 57	-16
Stonehill 69 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.553	Stonehill 74 - Saint Francis Penn 61	-11
Stony Brook 69 - Elon 63	0.656	Stony Brook 55 - Elon 69	20
The Citadel 73 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.699	The Citadel 69 - Virginia Military Institute 75	14
Troy 66 - Southern Miss 70	0.619	Troy 65 - Southern Miss 74	5
UC Davis 69 - Hawaii 70	0.559	UC Davis 75 - Hawaii 63	-13
UC San Diego 65 - UC Irvine 77	0.821	UC San Diego 60 - UC Irvine 76	4
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Cal Poly 55	0.923	UC Santa Barbara 68 - Cal Poly 62	15
UCLA 81 - Washington 65	0.861	UCLA 70 - Washington 61	7
UL Lafayette 74 - Texas State 64	0.817	UL Lafayette 82 - Texas State 63	-9
UL Monroe 71 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.543	UL Monroe 83 - Coastal Carolina 70	-11
UNC Asheville 76 - High Point 63	0.817	UNC Asheville 89 - High Point 63	-13
UNC Wilmington 74 - North Carolina AT 64	0.756	UNC Wilmington 87 - North Carolina AT 63	-14
Utah 76 - Stanford 68	0.686	Utah 72 - Stanford 78	14
Utah Tech 67 - Utah Valley 77	0.752	Utah Tech 69 - Utah Valley 76	-3
Western Kentucky 77 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.806	Western Kentucky 81 - Texas San Antonio 74	3
Wichita State 59 - Houston 76	0.906	Wichita State 61 - Houston 70	-8
Youngstown State 76 - Wright State 70	0.67	Youngstown State 91 - Wright State 89	4

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 64 - Kent State 66	0.554	Akron 67 - Kent State 55	-14
Ball State 79 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.846	Ball State 91 - Eastern Michigan 90	14
Dartmouth 66 - Brown 70	0.597	Dartmouth 61 - Brown 73	8
Harvard 65 - Yale 69	0.592	Harvard 57 - Yale 68	7
Iona 77 - Mt St Marys 58	0.896	Iona 81 - Mt St Marys 51	-11
Manhattan 64 - Siena 74	0.792	Manhattan 71 - Siena 66	-15
Nevada 77 - Air Force 63	0.827	Nevada 72 - Air Force 52	-6
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Fresno State 65	0.774	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Fresno State 82	12
Niagara 70 - Canisius 64	0.688	Niagara 76 - Canisius 73	3
Pennsylvania 78 - Columbia 61	0.857	Pennsylvania 74 - Columbia 65	8
Princeton 75 - Cornell 74	0.507	Princeton 89 - Cornell 82	-6
Quinnipiac 72 - Fairfield 63	0.742	Quinnipiac 66 - Fairfield 51	-6
Rider 70 - Saint Peters 62	0.759	Rider 82 - Saint Peters 61	-13
Saint Louis 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.511	Saint Louis 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	9
San Diego State 73 - Boise State 70	0.586	San Diego State 72 - Boise State 52	-17

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Southern 72	0.719	Alabama AM 82 - Southern 61	-28
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Florida International 67	0.816	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Florida International 72	9
Alabama State 61 - Grambling State 70	0.72	Alabama State 60 - Grambling State 73	4
Albany 59 - Vermont 74	0.815	Albany 68 - Vermont 87	4
Alcorn State 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 65	0.635	Alcorn State 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	3
American 66 - Colgate 71	0.674	American 61 - Colgate 60	-6
Appalachian State 68 - James Madison 70	0.543	Appalachian State 57 - James Madison 63	4
Arizona 84 - Oregon State 63	0.904	Arizona 84 - Oregon State 52	-11
Arizona State 73 - Oregon 74	0.514	Arizona State 70 - Oregon 75	4
Arkansas Little Rock 65 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.663	Arkansas Little Rock 81 - SIU Edwardsville 84	-2
Arkansas State 67 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.587	Arkansas State 73 - Coastal Carolina 57	-19
Austin Peay 67 - Queens 73	0.674	Austin Peay 69 - Queens 70	-5
Baylor 80 - Texas Tech 69	0.775	Baylor 89 - Texas Tech 62	-16
Bellarmine 67 - Jacksonville State 63	0.589	Bellarmine 71 - Jacksonville State 64	-3
Belmont 76 - Illinois State 64	0.798	Belmont 90 - Illinois State 75	-3
Boston College 70 - Syracuse 75	0.649	Boston College 68 - Syracuse 77	4
Bowling Green 72 - Northern Illinois 69	0.58	Bowling Green 78 - Northern Illinois 86	11
Brigham Young 78 - Pacific 67	0.81	Brigham Young 81 - Pacific 66	-4
Bryant 72 - New Hampshire 67	0.634	Bryant 70 - New Hampshire 46	-19
Bucknell 66 - Army 72	0.672	Bucknell 73 - Army 67	-12
Cal Baptist 72 - Abilene Christian 66	0.668	Cal Baptist 71 - Abilene Christian 87	22
Cal Poly 58 - Hawaii 71	0.822	Cal Poly 56 - Hawaii 69	0
Cal State Fullerton 69 - UC Riverside 68	0.528	Cal State Fullerton 64 - UC Riverside 58	-5
Cal State Northridge 57 - UC Santa Barbara 75	0.937	Cal State Northridge 72 - UC Santa Barbara 67	-23
Charlotte 64 - Florida Atlantic 72	0.739	Charlotte 52 - Florida Atlantic 67	7
Cincinnati 72 - Central Florida 70	0.572	Cincinnati 73 - Central Florida 64	-7
Clemson 75 - Miami 73	0.575	Clemson 74 - Miami 78	6
Colorado State 72 - Utah State 79	0.67	Colorado State 79 - Utah State 88	2
Creighton 78 - Villanova 68	0.763	Creighton 66 - Villanova 61	5
Dartmouth 63 - Yale 74	0.737	Dartmouth 53 - Yale 72	8
Delaware 66 - College of Charleston 75	0.768	Delaware 67 - College of Charleston 84	8
Delaware State 62 - Morgan State 72	0.756	Delaware State 65 - Morgan State 75	0
Denver 68 - Saint Thomas 71	0.588	Denver 57 - Saint Thomas 68	8
Detroit 70 - IPFW 71	0.541	Detroit 85 - IPFW 52	-34
Duke 76 - North Carolina 73	0.57	Duke 63 - North Carolina 57	-3
East Carolina 70 - Southern Methodist 72	0.545	East Carolina 77 - Southern Methodist 72	-7
Eastern Illinois 66 - Tennessee State 67	0.505	Eastern Illinois 61 - Tennessee State 65	3
Eastern Kentucky 69 - Kennesaw St 70	0.502	Eastern Kentucky 77 - Kennesaw St 74	-4
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Wagner 66	0.547	Fairleigh Dickinson 79 - Wagner 83	6
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - North Alabama 66	0.677	Florida Gulf Coast 85 - North Alabama 87	10
Furman 77 - Wofford 67	0.746	Furman 80 - Wofford 67	-3
Gardner Webb 72 - Presbyterian 58	0.877	Gardner Webb 56 - Presbyterian 48	6
George Washington 72 - Duquesne 74	0.542	George Washington 67 - Duquesne 93	24
Georgetown 67 - Connecticut 84	0.884	Georgetown 62 - Connecticut 68	-11
Georgia State 63 - Southern Miss 73	0.721	Georgia State 71 - Southern Miss 79	-2
Grand Canyon 70 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.54	Grand Canyon 86 - Stephen F Austin 83	-2
Hampton 63 - Norfolk State 76	0.845	Hampton 71 - Norfolk State 83	-1
Hartford 63 - Chicago State 69	0.672	Hartford 49 - Chicago State 62	7
Harvard 69 - Brown 65	0.629	Harvard 65 - Brown 68	7
High Point 71 - Charleston Southern 72	0.52	High Point 81 - Charleston Southern 73	-9
Hofstra 77 - Stony Brook 59	0.88	Hofstra 79 - Stony Brook 58	-3
Holy Cross 63 - Navy 70	0.678	Holy Cross 68 - Navy 86	11
Houston Christian 67 - Nicholls State 74	0.676	Houston Christian 91 - Nicholls State 92	-6
Idaho State 65 - Weber State 69	0.602	Idaho State 71 - Weber State 72	-3
Illinois Chicago 74 - Evansville 66	0.73	Illinois Chicago 70 - Evansville 61	-1
Indiana 72 - Purdue 76	0.617	Indiana 79 - Purdue 74	-9
Indiana State 73 - Murray State 70	0.592	Indiana State 99 - Murray State 56	-40
Iowa 79 - Illinois 78	0.502	Iowa 81 - Illinois 79	-1
Iowa State 71 - Kansas 73	0.548	Iowa State 68 - Kansas 53	-17
IUPUI 67 - Green Bay 65	0.568	IUPUI 68 - Green Bay 53	-13
Jackson State 73 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.813	Jackson State 78 - Mississippi Valley State 82	16
Kansas State 77 - Texas 76	0.515	Kansas State 66 - Texas 69	4
Kentucky 74 - Florida 70	0.584	Kentucky 72 - Florida 67	-1
Lafayette 65 - Lehigh 66	0.532	Lafayette 64 - Lehigh 66	1
Lamar 60 - Northwestern State 74	0.8	Lamar 68 - Northwestern State 72	-10
Lindenwood 62 - Tennessee Martin 71	0.728	Lindenwood 80 - Tennessee Martin 75	-14
Lipscomb 60 - Liberty 72	0.789	Lipscomb 69 - Liberty 64	-17
Long Beach State 73 - UC Irvine 76	0.618	Long Beach State 93 - UC Irvine 88	-8
Longwood 69 - Campbell 61	0.707	Longwood 74 - Campbell 50	-16
Louisiana State 68 - Alabama 82	0.802	Louisiana State 69 - Alabama 79	-4
Louisville 69 - Florida State 77	0.74	Louisville 78 - Florida State 81	-5
Loyola Ill 66 - George Mason 72	0.637	Loyola Ill 69 - George Mason 61	-14
Loyola MD 63 - Boston 67	0.597	Loyola MD 67 - Boston 68	-3
Maine 67 - UMBC 72	0.645	Maine 84 - UMBC 49	-40
Marquette 82 - Butler 66	0.835	Marquette 60 - Butler 52	8
Massachusetts 72 - Davidson 70	0.557	Massachusetts 78 - Davidson 93	17
Memphis 83 - Tulane 73	0.799	Memphis 89 - Tulane 90	11
Mercer 73 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0.796	Mercer 80 - Virginia Military Institute 54	-14
Merrimack 65 - Saint Francis Penn 64	0.524	Merrimack 70 - Saint Francis Penn 66	-3
Middle Tennessee 78 - Texas San Antonio 64	0.824	Middle Tennessee 84 - Texas San Antonio 60	-10
Minnesota 65 - Maryland 76	0.774	Minnesota 46 - Maryland 81	24
Mississippi State 72 - Missouri 73	0.511	Mississippi State 63 - Missouri 52	-12
Monmouth 61 - Drexel 71	0.731	Monmouth 69 - Drexel 67	-12
Montana 73 - Northern Arizona 64	0.749	Montana 67 - Northern Arizona 66	8
Montana State 77 - Northern Colorado 64	0.858	Montana State 75 - Northern Colorado 62	0
NC State 81 - Georgia Tech 65	0.839	NC State 72 - Georgia Tech 64	8
New Mexico State 67 - Seattle 73	0.641	New Mexico State 82 - Seattle 75	-13
New Orleans 68 - Incarnate Word 67	0.541	New Orleans 70 - Incarnate Word 78	9
North Florida 66 - Jacksonville 70	0.602	North Florida 65 - Jacksonville 58	-11
Northeastern 72 - Elon 63	0.74	Northeastern 73 - Elon 74	10
Northern Iowa 67 - Bradley 70	0.586	Northern Iowa 69 - Bradley 77	5
Notre Dame 72 - Wake Forest 78	0.676	Notre Dame 64 - Wake Forest 81	11
Oakland 67 - Cleveland State 70	0.593	Oakland 92 - Cleveland State 89	-6
Ohio 78 - Miami OH 65	0.819	Ohio 78 - Miami OH 68	3
Oklahoma State 72 - Texas Christian 73	0.529	Oklahoma State 79 - Texas Christian 73	-7
Old Dominion 70 - Georgia Southern 64	0.678	Old Dominion 64 - Georgia Southern 58	0
Omaha 67 - Western Illinois 72	0.616	Omaha 72 - Western Illinois 75	-2
Pennsylvania 73 - Cornell 76	0.582	Pennsylvania 92 - Cornell 86	-9
Pepperdine 75 - Portland 76	0.514	Pepperdine 94 - Portland 93	-2
Portland State 69 - Eastern Washington 76	0.717	Portland State 88 - Eastern Washington 98	3
Prairie View 72 - Bethune Cookman 63	0.744	Prairie View 58 - Bethune Cookman 60	11
Princeton 79 - Columbia 59	0.902	Princeton 88 - Columbia 66	-2
Radford 72 - Winthrop 64	0.764	Radford 69 - Winthrop 66	5
Rice 66 - North Texas 71	0.625	Rice 64 - North Texas 74	5
Robert Morris 68 - Wright State 70	0.572	Robert Morris 67 - Wright State 82	13
Rutgers 71 - Michigan State 68	0.592	Rutgers 61 - Michigan State 55	-3
Sacramento State 74 - Idaho 63	0.796	Sacramento State 76 - Idaho 82	17
Sacred Heart 68 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.593	Sacred Heart 78 - Central Connecticut State 65	-10
Saint Bonaventure 63 - Dayton 69	0.648	Saint Bonaventure 68 - Dayton 59	-15
Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Stonehill 65	0.521	Saint Francis Brooklyn 59 - Stonehill 65	5
Saint Marys 73 - Gonzaga 70	0.593	Saint Marys 78 - Gonzaga 70	-5
Samford 73 - East Tennessee State 64	0.734	Samford 73 - East Tennessee State 62	-2
San Diego 69 - Loyola Marymount 79	0.766	San Diego 87 - Loyola Marymount 79	-18
San Francisco 75 - Santa Clara 74	0.507	San Francisco 70 - Santa Clara 83	14
San Jose State 74 - Wyoming 68	0.658	San Jose State 84 - Wyoming 64	-14
South Carolina 64 - Arkansas 81	0.853	South Carolina 63 - Arkansas 65	-15
South Carolina Upstate 64 - UNC Asheville 71	0.711	South Carolina Upstate 76 - UNC Asheville 70	-13
South Dakota 72 - North Dakota 65	0.647	South Dakota 72 - North Dakota 86	21
South Dakota State 71 - North Dakota State 66	0.633	South Dakota State 90 - North Dakota State 85	0
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Texas AM CC 70	0.542	Southeast Louisiana 72 - Texas AM CC 83	13
Southern California 80 - Washington 69	0.769	Southern California 80 - Washington 74	5
Southern Indiana 68 - Morehead State 66	0.556	Southern Indiana 66 - Morehead State 71	7
Stetson 78 - Central Arkansas 66	0.797	Stetson 99 - Central Arkansas 80	-7
Tarleton State 75 - Texas Pan American 68	0.678	Tarleton State 65 - Texas Pan American 68	10
Tennessee 77 - Auburn 66	0.763	Tennessee 46 - Auburn 43	8
Tennessee Tech 69 - SE Missouri State 71	0.554	Tennessee Tech 82 - SE Missouri State 80	-4
Texas A&M Commerce 69 - Mcneese State 64	0.642	Texas A&M Commerce 60 - Mcneese State 58	3
Texas AM 77 - Georgia 67	0.744	Texas AM 82 - Georgia 57	-15
Texas Arlington 60 - Sam Houston State 75	0.833	Texas Arlington 70 - Sam Houston State 58	-27
Texas Southern 72 - Florida AM 62	0.835	Texas Southern 69 - Florida AM 76	17
The Citadel 61 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.775	The Citadel 59 - UNC Greensboro 79	10
Toledo 81 - Central Michigan 62	0.875	Toledo 84 - Central Michigan 59	-6
Troy 68 - Texas State 64	0.622	Troy 68 - Texas State 64	0
UC San Diego 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.645	UC San Diego 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 75	11
UCLA 77 - Washington State 64	0.808	UCLA 76 - Washington State 52	-11
UL Lafayette 74 - Marshall 75	0.523	UL Lafayette 77 - Marshall 67	-11
UL Monroe 67 - South Alabama 69	0.551	UL Monroe 64 - South Alabama 72	6
UMass Lowell 74 - NJ Tech 63	0.783	UMass Lowell 90 - NJ Tech 61	-18
UMKC 63 - Oral Roberts 75	0.777	UMKC 57 - Oral Roberts 85	16
Utah Tech 71 - Southern Utah 79	0.691	Utah Tech 86 - Southern Utah 79	-15
Valparaiso 63 - Drake 76	0.781	Valparaiso 82 - Drake 85	-10
Vanderbilt 74 - Mississippi 70	0.632	Vanderbilt 74 - Mississippi 71	1
Virginia Tech 67 - Virginia 71	0.629	Virginia Tech 74 - Virginia 68	-10
West Virginia 76 - Oklahoma 72	0.6	West Virginia 93 - Oklahoma 61	-28
Western Carolina 69 - Chattanooga 72	0.584	Western Carolina 83 - Chattanooga 68	-18
Western Kentucky 69 - Texas El Paso 68	0.537	Western Kentucky 74 - Texas El Paso 69	-4
Western Michigan 69 - Buffalo 77	0.694	Western Michigan 76 - Buffalo 85	1
William and Mary 64 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.713	William and Mary 63 - UNC Wilmington 70	0
Xavier 84 - Saint Johns 74	0.779	Xavier 96 - Saint Johns 71	-15
Youngstown State 70 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.633	Youngstown State 74 - Northern Kentucky 56	-14

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado 76 - Stanford 69	0.638	Colorado 84 - Stanford 62	-15
Fairfield 64 - Iona 73	0.726	Fairfield 61 - Iona 70	0
Manhattan 66 - Rider 72	0.718	Manhattan 56 - Rider 67	5
Marist 66 - Canisius 67	0.501	Marist 75 - Canisius 67	-9
Michigan 76 - Ohio State 75	0.502	Michigan 77 - Ohio State 69	-7
Nebraska 70 - Penn State 75	0.628	Nebraska 72 - Penn State 63	-14
Quinnipiac 74 - Mt St Marys 59	0.867	Quinnipiac 75 - Mt St Marys 79	19
Richmond 69 - Fordham 68	0.538	Richmond 68 - Fordham 58	-9
Saint Josephs 75 - La Salle 68	0.708	Saint Josephs 65 - La Salle 73	15
Seton Hall 78 - DePaul 66	0.787	Seton Hall 69 - DePaul 64	7
Siena 71 - Niagara 62	0.771	Siena 54 - Niagara 56	11
Southern Illinois 67 - Missouri State 63	0.625	Southern Illinois 73 - Missouri State 53	-16
Temple 61 - Houston 75	0.825	Temple 65 - Houston 81	2
Tulsa 67 - Wichita State 74	0.748	Tulsa 75 - Wichita State 86	4
Utah 80 - California 62	0.856	Utah 61 - California 46	3
Wisconsin 69 - Northwestern 71	0.54	Wisconsin 52 - Northwestern 54	0

Number of DI Games: 343
Number Correct: 232 = 67.6%
Expected Number Correct: 233.847 = 68.1%
Average Error: 9.48
Average Signed Error: -2.05

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 63 - Grambling State 69	0.662	Alabama AM 60 - Grambling State 66	0
Alabama State 63 - Southern 72	0.726	Alabama State 73 - Southern 66	-16
Alcorn State 75 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.851	Alcorn State 81 - Mississippi Valley State 70	4
Hartford 57 - UMass Lowell 76	0.866	Hartford 48 - UMass Lowell 70	3
Holy Cross 63 - Lafayette 65	0.561	Holy Cross 58 - Lafayette 72	12
Jackson State 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	0.516	Jackson State 88 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 84	-3
Kansas 77 - Texas 76	0.549	Kansas 88 - Texas 80	-7
Miami 73 - Duke 74	0.513	Miami 81 - Duke 59	-23
Milwaukee 79 - Green Bay 57	0.929	Milwaukee 79 - Green Bay 80	23
Northern Arizona 70 - Idaho State 69	0.533	Northern Arizona 70 - Idaho State 75	6
Northern Colorado 67 - Weber State 71	0.617	Northern Colorado 88 - Weber State 54	-38
Prairie View 68 - Florida AM 60	0.744	Prairie View 75 - Florida AM 45	-22
Texas Arlington 66 - Tarleton State 68	0.549	Texas Arlington 64 - Tarleton State 69	3
Texas Southern 72 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.628	Texas Southern 69 - Bethune Cookman 62	-2

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 71 - Colorado State 72	0.503	Air Force 53 - Colorado State 69	15
Akron 72 - Toledo 69	0.579	Akron 74 - Toledo 84	13
Buffalo 80 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.756	Buffalo 102 - Eastern Michigan 97	7
Butler 73 - Saint Johns 74	0.515	Butler 68 - Saint Johns 66	-3
Central Michigan 63 - Ball State 73	0.752	Central Michigan 51 - Ball State 65	4
Connecticut 76 - Marquette 75	0.526	Connecticut 87 - Marquette 72	-14
Delaware State 64 - Chicago State 68	0.64	Delaware State 66 - Chicago State 60	-10
Fresno State 66 - San Jose State 69	0.567	Fresno State 70 - San Jose State 62	-11
Georgia 74 - Mississippi 71	0.59	Georgia 74 - Mississippi 78	7
Indiana 73 - Rutgers 72	0.523	Indiana 66 - Rutgers 60	-5
Kansas State 77 - Texas Christian 75	0.555	Kansas State 82 - Texas Christian 61	-19
Kent State 77 - Bowling Green 60	0.859	Kent State 87 - Bowling Green 64	-6
Kentucky 74 - Arkansas 73	0.528	Kentucky 73 - Arkansas 88	16
Miami OH 72 - Western Michigan 69	0.596	Miami OH 85 - Western Michigan 78	-4
Michigan State 72 - Maryland 71	0.505	Michigan State 63 - Maryland 58	-4
Missouri 84 - South Carolina 66	0.854	Missouri 83 - South Carolina 74	9
Murray State 68 - Drake 74	0.644	Murray State 68 - Drake 92	18
New Mexico 76 - Nevada 75	0.513	New Mexico 76 - Nevada 77	2
Northern Illinois 69 - Ohio 72	0.561	Northern Illinois 76 - Ohio 82	3
Pittsburgh 81 - Louisville 61	0.919	Pittsburgh 91 - Louisville 57	-14
Saint Louis 77 - Rhode Island 65	0.823	Saint Louis 76 - Rhode Island 71	7
Texas AM 74 - Auburn 73	0.51	Texas AM 83 - Auburn 78	-4
Tulane 74 - Cincinnati 75	0.539	Tulane 101 - Cincinnati 94	-8
UNC Greensboro 70 - East Tennessee State 58	0.81	UNC Greensboro 91 - East Tennessee State 65	-14
Virginia 74 - NC State 69	0.666	Virginia 63 - NC State 50	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Dayton 65	0.615	Virginia Commonwealth 58 - Dayton 62	9
Wake Forest 75 - North Carolina 78	0.578	Wake Forest 92 - North Carolina 85	-10

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Florida 70	0.72	Alabama 97 - Florida 69	-17
Albany 65 - Bryant 77	0.764	Albany 62 - Bryant 87	13
Army 73 - Loyola MD 62	0.784	Army 76 - Loyola MD 70	5
Baylor 80 - Oklahoma 69	0.736	Baylor 82 - Oklahoma 72	1
Boston 64 - American 67	0.605	Boston 60 - American 54	-9
Campbell 71 - High Point 66	0.622	Campbell 82 - High Point 66	-11
Chattanooga 76 - The Citadel 65	0.753	Chattanooga 82 - The Citadel 63	-8
Colgate 75 - Lehigh 65	0.766	Colgate 81 - Lehigh 53	-18
College of Charleston 74 - UNC Wilmington 65	0.755	College of Charleston 93 - UNC Wilmington 61	-23
Delaware 68 - Drexel 67	0.511	Delaware 54 - Drexel 58	5
Duquesne 72 - George Mason 68	0.61	Duquesne 75 - George Mason 52	-19
Evansville 63 - Northern Iowa 77	0.87	Evansville 71 - Northern Iowa 59	-26
Florida State 73 - Syracuse 77	0.629	Florida State 67 - Syracuse 76	5
Fordham 74 - Massachusetts 69	0.642	Fordham 77 - Massachusetts 67	-5
George Washington 70 - Richmond 73	0.584	George Washington 107 - Richmond 105	-5
Georgia Tech 70 - Notre Dame 71	0.516	Georgia Tech 70 - Notre Dame 68	-3
Grand Canyon 75 - New Mexico State 67	0.704	Grand Canyon 78 - New Mexico State 67	-3
Hartford 62 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.61	Hartford 73 - Central Connecticut State 82	5
Houston 86 - Tulsa 54	0.981	Houston 80 - Tulsa 42	-6
Illinois State 62 - Bradley 73	0.755	Illinois State 61 - Bradley 79	7
Indiana State 78 - Valparaiso 65	0.78	Indiana State 84 - Valparaiso 62	-9
Longwood 73 - Presbyterian 57	0.882	Longwood 66 - Presbyterian 46	-4
Loyola Ill 70 - Saint Josephs 71	0.517	Loyola Ill 71 - Saint Josephs 83	11
Maine 62 - Vermont 71	0.694	Maine 65 - Vermont 74	0
Mercer 66 - Samford 70	0.606	Mercer 69 - Samford 70	-3
Michigan 78 - Nebraska 70	0.673	Michigan 93 - Nebraska 72	-13
Mississippi State 73 - Louisiana State 64	0.749	Mississippi State 64 - Louisiana State 53	-2
Missouri State 69 - Belmont 70	0.538	Missouri State 61 - Belmont 59	-3
Navy 72 - Bucknell 62	0.751	Navy 71 - Bucknell 65	4
New Hampshire 68 - Binghamton 62	0.632	New Hampshire 64 - Binghamton 66	8
North Carolina AT 72 - Elon 67	0.652	North Carolina AT 66 - Elon 61	0
Northeastern 64 - Hofstra 76	0.799	Northeastern 53 - Hofstra 72	7
Oklahoma State 76 - Texas Tech 68	0.7	Oklahoma State 71 - Texas Tech 68	5
Penn State 73 - Wisconsin 70	0.585	Penn State 74 - Wisconsin 79	8
Providence 85 - Georgetown 66	0.929	Providence 74 - Georgetown 62	7
Saint Bonaventure 72 - La Salle 64	0.72	Saint Bonaventure 70 - La Salle 76	14
Seattle 75 - Utah Tech 68	0.673	Seattle 75 - Utah Tech 71	3
Seton Hall 70 - Creighton 73	0.573	Seton Hall 62 - Creighton 75	10
South Carolina Upstate 70 - Charleston Southern 68	0.58	South Carolina Upstate 77 - Charleston Southern 60	-15
South Florida 71 - Memphis 80	0.794	South Florida 81 - Memphis 99	9
Southern Illinois 74 - Illinois Chicago 59	0.867	Southern Illinois 68 - Illinois Chicago 66	13
Southern Methodist 68 - Temple 74	0.655	Southern Methodist 72 - Temple 71	-7
Stony Brook 67 - Monmouth 64	0.593	Stony Brook 54 - Monmouth 61	10
Towson 77 - Hampton 60	0.899	Towson 86 - Hampton 72	3
UMBC 75 - NJ Tech 64	0.76	UMBC 72 - NJ Tech 63	2
UNC Asheville 73 - Winthrop 66	0.725	UNC Asheville 86 - Winthrop 79	0
Utah State 74 - San Diego State 75	0.537	Utah State 61 - San Diego State 63	1
Utah Valley 74 - Cal Baptist 64	0.753	Utah Valley 71 - Cal Baptist 55	-6
Vanderbilt 64 - Tennessee 79	0.791	Vanderbilt 66 - Tennessee 65	-16
Villanova 78 - DePaul 69	0.75	Villanova 81 - DePaul 65	-7
Virginia Military Institute 61 - Furman 81	0.92	Virginia Military Institute 63 - Furman 94	11
Virginia Tech 77 - Boston College 65	0.806	Virginia Tech 76 - Boston College 82	18
West Virginia 74 - Iowa State 73	0.521	West Virginia 76 - Iowa State 71	-4
Wichita State 69 - Central Florida 71	0.589	Wichita State 67 - Central Florida 72	3
Wofford 72 - Western Carolina 67	0.603	Wofford 91 - Western Carolina 95	9
Wright State 80 - IUPUI 60	0.921	Wright State 103 - IUPUI 71	-12
Wyoming 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	0.675	Wyoming 59 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	4

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 64 - Morehead State 71	0.698	Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Morehead State 68	-11
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.652	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Cal State Northridge 58	-10
California 62 - Arizona 86	0.91	California 62 - Arizona 85	-1
Central Arkansas 67 - Lipscomb 76	0.745	Central Arkansas 81 - Lipscomb 93	3
Coastal Carolina 67 - Marshall 80	0.802	Coastal Carolina 74 - Marshall 92	5
Eastern Illinois 64 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.661	Eastern Illinois 77 - Tennessee Martin 75	-8
Florida Atlantic 81 - Rice 66	0.825	Florida Atlantic 90 - Rice 81	6
Florida International 70 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.554	Florida International 66 - Louisiana Tech 62	-6
Georgia Southern 67 - James Madison 73	0.679	Georgia Southern 76 - James Madison 73	-9
Georgia State 65 - Old Dominion 69	0.611	Georgia State 60 - Old Dominion 63	-1
Gonzaga 83 - San Francisco 68	0.831	Gonzaga 99 - San Francisco 81	-3
Green Bay 61 - Oakland 76	0.849	Green Bay 47 - Oakland 59	-3
Hawaii 75 - UC San Diego 61	0.887	Hawaii 69 - UC San Diego 62	7
Idaho State 65 - Montana 69	0.609	Idaho State 61 - Montana 69	4
Incarnate Word 68 - Lamar 62	0.668	Incarnate Word 59 - Lamar 68	15
Jacksonville 65 - Stetson 67	0.556	Jacksonville 67 - Stetson 70	1
Jacksonville State 65 - Kennesaw St 73	0.727	Jacksonville State 52 - Kennesaw St 54	-6
Liberty 73 - Bellarmine 55	0.874	Liberty 70 - Bellarmine 50	-2
Lindenwood 61 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.717	Lindenwood 58 - SIU Edwardsville 63	-3
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 78	0.83	LIU Brooklyn 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 80	-11
Long Beach State 72 - UC Santa Barbara 73	0.552	Long Beach State 72 - UC Santa Barbara 75	2
Loyola Marymount 61 - Saint Marys 74	0.798	Loyola Marymount 78 - Saint Marys 74	-17
Mcneese State 65 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.682	Mcneese State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 66	-9
Merrimack 62 - Stonehill 61	0.518	Merrimack 56 - Stonehill 43	-12
Milwaukee 74 - Detroit 70	0.611	Milwaukee 94 - Detroit 89	-1
Nicholls State 74 - New Orleans 63	0.763	Nicholls State 84 - New Orleans 59	-14
North Alabama 72 - Austin Peay 66	0.661	North Alabama 70 - Austin Peay 57	-7
North Dakota 70 - Denver 69	0.504	North Dakota 86 - Denver 63	-22
North Dakota State 74 - Omaha 66	0.698	North Dakota State 84 - Omaha 58	-18
North Florida 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.546	North Florida 66 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0
North Texas 70 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.604	North Texas 82 - Alabama Birmingham 79	0
Northern Arizona 67 - Sacramento State 69	0.587	Northern Arizona 77 - Sacramento State 55	-24
Northern Colorado 74 - Portland State 73	0.52	Northern Colorado 88 - Portland State 79	-8
Ohio State 74 - Northwestern 73	0.521	Ohio State 63 - Northwestern 69	7
Oregon 74 - Southern California 75	0.527	Oregon 78 - Southern California 60	-19
Oregon State 59 - UCLA 80	0.911	Oregon State 47 - UCLA 62	-6
Pepperdine 67 - Brigham Young 79	0.801	Pepperdine 92 - Brigham Young 80	-24
Portland 76 - Pacific 74	0.549	Portland 81 - Pacific 73	-6
Purdue 82 - Iowa 73	0.7	Purdue 87 - Iowa 73	-5
Queens 71 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.57	Queens 80 - Eastern Kentucky 84	2
Radford 67 - Gardner Webb 62	0.666	Radford 48 - Gardner Webb 61	18
Saint Francis Brooklyn 60 - Wagner 63	0.6	Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Wagner 62	-5
Saint Francis Penn 69 - Sacred Heart 70	0.524	Saint Francis Penn 78 - Sacred Heart 76	-3
Saint Thomas 65 - Oral Roberts 78	0.78	Saint Thomas 88 - Oral Roberts 95	-6
Santa Clara 83 - San Diego 69	0.838	Santa Clara 80 - San Diego 75	9
Southern Miss 73 - UL Lafayette 71	0.54	Southern Miss 82 - UL Lafayette 71	-9
Southern Utah 76 - Tarleton State 68	0.687	Southern Utah 72 - Tarleton State 62	-2
Stanford 73 - Arizona State 75	0.553	Stanford 65 - Arizona State 69	2
Tennessee State 69 - SE Missouri State 72	0.571	Tennessee State 85 - SE Missouri State 65	-23
Tennessee Tech 68 - Southern Indiana 69	0.504	Tennessee Tech 84 - Southern Indiana 69	-16
Texas A&M Commerce 63 - Northwestern State 70	0.665	Texas A&M Commerce 82 - Northwestern State 88	-1
Texas AM CC 79 - Houston Christian 65	0.82	Texas AM CC 91 - Houston Christian 68	-9
Texas El Paso 65 - Charlotte 67	0.534	Texas El Paso 53 - Charlotte 62	7
Texas Pan American 72 - Texas Arlington 69	0.565	Texas Pan American 58 - Texas Arlington 64	9
Texas State 69 - Arkansas State 61	0.795	Texas State 66 - Arkansas State 62	4
Troy 70 - South Alabama 67	0.574	Troy 61 - South Alabama 57	-1
UC Irvine 77 - Cal Poly 58	0.894	UC Irvine 55 - Cal Poly 54	18
UC Riverside 72 - UC Davis 71	0.54	UC Riverside 72 - UC Davis 65	-6
UL Monroe 65 - Appalachian State 67	0.568	UL Monroe 45 - Appalachian State 52	5
Weber State 64 - Montana State 67	0.607	Weber State 73 - Montana State 63	-13
Western Illinois 67 - UMKC 65	0.561	Western Illinois 64 - UMKC 76	14
Western Kentucky 70 - Middle Tennessee 72	0.555	Western Kentucky 93 - Middle Tennessee 89	-6

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 68 - New Mexico 78	0.769	Air Force 89 - New Mexico 77	-22
Buffalo 67 - Kent State 73	0.635	Buffalo 65 - Kent State 72	1
Butler 69 - Xavier 80	0.767	Butler 69 - Xavier 67	-13
Canisius 63 - Iona 79	0.848	Canisius 59 - Iona 80	5
Cleveland State 70 - Robert Morris 62	0.706	Cleveland State 57 - Robert Morris 55	6
Dayton 72 - Saint Louis 68	0.589	Dayton 70 - Saint Louis 56	-10
East Tennessee State 73 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.784	East Tennessee State 69 - Virginia Military Institute 65	7
IPFW 68 - Youngstown State 73	0.633	IPFW 72 - Youngstown State 81	4
Mt St Marys 62 - Siena 70	0.732	Mt St Marys 65 - Siena 72	-1
Nevada 77 - Fresno State 61	0.862	Nevada 77 - Fresno State 66	5
Niagara 66 - Quinnipiac 69	0.6	Niagara 79 - Quinnipiac 73	-9
Ohio 65 - Akron 71	0.639	Ohio 90 - Akron 81	-15
Rider 70 - Fairfield 63	0.735	Rider 58 - Fairfield 57	6
Saint Peters 66 - Marist 62	0.602	Saint Peters 67 - Marist 56	-7
Wright State 68 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.543	Wright State 83 - Northern Kentucky 65	-17

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 67 - Sam Houston State 72	0.628	Abilene Christian 62 - Sam Houston State 77	10
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.698	Alabama Birmingham 92 - Middle Tennessee 69	-15
American 71 - Holy Cross 61	0.789	American 66 - Holy Cross 74	18
Arkansas 73 - Mississippi State 67	0.649	Arkansas 64 - Mississippi State 70	12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Alabama State 63	0.696	Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Alabama State 74	10
Auburn 74 - Alabama 79	0.606	Auburn 69 - Alabama 77	3
Ball State 76 - Bowling Green 66	0.742	Ball State 93 - Bowling Green 72	-11
Belmont 79 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.867	Belmont 98 - Illinois Chicago 71	-12
Bethune Cookman 66 - Alcorn State 71	0.648	Bethune Cookman 74 - Alcorn State 76	-3
Binghamton 70 - Albany 64	0.652	Binghamton 80 - Albany 66	-8
Boise State 80 - Wyoming 62	0.863	Boise State 75 - Wyoming 63	6
Boston College 68 - NC State 78	0.744	Boston College 62 - NC State 92	20
Bradley 75 - Murray State 64	0.718	Bradley 83 - Murray State 48	-24
Brown 72 - Cornell 75	0.58	Brown 80 - Cornell 66	-17
Bucknell 64 - Colgate 76	0.82	Bucknell 56 - Colgate 76	8
Cal Baptist 88 - Unranked 52		Cal Baptist 132 - Unranked 46
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Long Beach State 75	0.743	Cal State Bakersfield 69 - Long Beach State 79	2
Cal State Northridge 65 - Cal Poly 63	0.549	Cal State Northridge 64 - Cal Poly 53	-9
California 65 - Arizona State 78	0.77	California 62 - Arizona State 70	-5
Central Arkansas 71 - Austin Peay 70	0.53	Central Arkansas 76 - Austin Peay 69	-6
Central Florida 81 - Tulsa 63	0.902	Central Florida 96 - Tulsa 52	-26
Charleston Southern 64 - Radford 72	0.733	Charleston Southern 71 - Radford 90	11
Chattanooga 70 - Mercer 66	0.592	Chattanooga 73 - Mercer 56	-13
Chicago State 83 - Unranked 57		Chicago State 91 - Unranked 67
Cincinnati 77 - South Florida 66	0.809	Cincinnati 84 - South Florida 65	-8
Coastal Carolina 68 - James Madison 78	0.737	Coastal Carolina 66 - James Madison 73	-3
Creighton 75 - Connecticut 73	0.555	Creighton 56 - Connecticut 53	-1
Dartmouth 64 - Princeton 74	0.769	Dartmouth 83 - Princeton 76	-17
Davidson 70 - Fordham 69	0.544	Davidson 71 - Fordham 73	3
Delaware State 62 - Howard 73	0.777	Delaware State 85 - Howard 86	-10
Drake 69 - Southern Illinois 64	0.633	Drake 82 - Southern Illinois 59	-18
Drexel 65 - Towson 67	0.558	Drexel 73 - Towson 66	-9
Duquesne 71 - Saint Bonaventure 67	0.587	Duquesne 56 - Saint Bonaventure 54	2
Eastern Michigan 68 - Toledo 82	0.812	Eastern Michigan 63 - Toledo 70	-7
Elon 68 - William and Mary 67	0.527	Elon 66 - William and Mary 55	-10
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.698	Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Central Connecticut State 77	11
Florida 77 - Vanderbilt 68	0.706	Florida 80 - Vanderbilt 88	17
Florida AM 65 - Jackson State 66	0.554	Florida AM 58 - Jackson State 69	10
Florida Atlantic 78 - Louisiana Tech 64	0.864	Florida Atlantic 90 - Louisiana Tech 85	9
Florida International 73 - Rice 74	0.52	Florida International 78 - Rice 85	6
Florida State 70 - Pittsburgh 77	0.697	Florida State 75 - Pittsburgh 83	1
Furman 79 - Western Carolina 64	0.83	Furman 93 - Western Carolina 59	-19
Gardner Webb 68 - Campbell 61	0.711	Gardner Webb 77 - Campbell 73	3
George Mason 72 - Rhode Island 65	0.733	George Mason 75 - Rhode Island 67	-1
Georgetown 67 - Marquette 86	0.922	Georgetown 75 - Marquette 89	-5
Georgia 70 - Kentucky 78	0.712	Georgia 75 - Kentucky 68	-15
Georgia Southern 70 - Arkansas State 63	0.73	Georgia Southern 68 - Arkansas State 53	-8
Georgia State 65 - Marshall 77	0.758	Georgia State 77 - Marshall 88	-1
Gonzaga 80 - Brigham Young 69	0.772	Gonzaga 88 - Brigham Young 81	4
Grambling State 72 - Texas Southern 63	0.756	Grambling State 65 - Texas Southern 46	-10
Green Bay 61 - Detroit 77	0.835	Green Bay 71 - Detroit 76	-11
Hampton 61 - College of Charleston 81	0.945	Hampton 70 - College of Charleston 83	-7
Harvard 69 - Pennsylvania 68	0.505	Harvard 72 - Pennsylvania 80	9
Hawaii 68 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.618	Hawaii 51 - Cal State Fullerton 52	5
High Point 65 - Longwood 73	0.687	High Point 67 - Longwood 70	-5
Idaho 66 - Eastern Washington 79	0.825	Idaho 66 - Eastern Washington 73	-6
Idaho State 63 - Montana State 72	0.756	Idaho State 52 - Montana State 58	-3
Illinois 72 - Rutgers 71	0.528	Illinois 69 - Rutgers 60	-8
Incarnate Word 72 - Houston Christian 67	0.634	Incarnate Word 78 - Houston Christian 84	11
Iowa State 72 - Oklahoma State 68	0.6	Iowa State 56 - Oklahoma State 64	12
Jacksonville 64 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	0.505	Jacksonville 51 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	10
Kennesaw St 75 - Jacksonville State 63	0.813	Kennesaw St 74 - Jacksonville State 71	9
La Salle 71 - Massachusetts 73	0.556	La Salle 86 - Massachusetts 72	-16
Lafayette 65 - Boston 62	0.585	Lafayette 69 - Boston 65	-1
Lehigh 73 - Loyola MD 61	0.796	Lehigh 82 - Loyola MD 91	21
Liberty 73 - Eastern Kentucky 61	0.793	Liberty 83 - Eastern Kentucky 73	2
Louisiana State 68 - Texas AM 76	0.684	Louisiana State 62 - Texas AM 74	4
Maryland 76 - Penn State 69	0.654	Maryland 74 - Penn State 68	1
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Norfolk State 67	0.541	Maryland Eastern Shore 73 - Norfolk State 76	2
Miami 85 - Louisville 63	0.954	Miami 93 - Louisville 85	14
Miami OH 70 - Central Michigan 67	0.589	Miami OH 60 - Central Michigan 66	9
Michigan 75 - Indiana 77	0.541	Michigan 61 - Indiana 62	-1
Milwaukee 74 - Oakland 68	0.682	Milwaukee 80 - Oakland 77	3
Mississippi 76 - South Carolina 67	0.738	Mississippi 61 - South Carolina 64	12
Mississippi Valley State 64 - Alabama AM 69	0.632	Mississippi Valley State 68 - Alabama AM 70	-3
Monmouth 60 - Hofstra 77	0.846	Monmouth 57 - Hofstra 86	12
Navy 70 - Army 66	0.632	Navy 70 - Army 53	-13
Nebraska 69 - Wisconsin 71	0.567	Nebraska 73 - Wisconsin 63	-12
New Orleans 69 - Mcneese State 68	0.52	New Orleans 78 - Mcneese State 79	2
NJ Tech 66 - Maine 68	0.562	NJ Tech 65 - Maine 50	-17
North Alabama 68 - Lipscomb 72	0.606	North Alabama 80 - Lipscomb 70	-14
North Carolina 76 - Clemson 71	0.648	North Carolina 91 - Clemson 71	-15
North Carolina Central 69 - Morgan State 65	0.637	North Carolina Central 83 - Morgan State 63	-16
North Dakota 70 - Omaha 69	0.543	North Dakota 76 - Omaha 73	-2
North Dakota State 73 - Denver 67	0.648	North Dakota State 78 - Denver 70	-2
North Florida 70 - Stetson 74	0.598	North Florida 92 - Stetson 81	-15
North Texas 68 - Charlotte 58	0.781	North Texas 67 - Charlotte 43	-14
Northern Arizona 71 - Portland State 72	0.519	Northern Arizona 87 - Portland State 88	0
Northern Colorado 69 - Sacramento State 70	0.556	Northern Colorado 70 - Sacramento State 54	-17
Northern Illinois 74 - Western Michigan 66	0.686	Northern Illinois 81 - Western Michigan 53	-20
Northern Iowa 71 - Indiana State 72	0.53	Northern Iowa 62 - Indiana State 80	17
Northwestern State 72 - Texas A&M Commerce 61	0.754	Northwestern State 72 - Texas A&M Commerce 64	3
Notre Dame 68 - Virginia Tech 77	0.754	Notre Dame 87 - Virginia Tech 93	-3
Oklahoma 71 - Kansas 78	0.658	Oklahoma 55 - Kansas 78	16
Oregon 69 - UCLA 76	0.67	Oregon 63 - UCLA 70	0
Oregon State 65 - Southern California 79	0.839	Oregon State 61 - Southern California 58	-17
Pacific 78 - San Diego 74	0.622	Pacific 99 - San Diego 94	-1
Portland 60 - Saint Marys 79	0.884	Portland 64 - Saint Marys 81	-2
Presbyterian 60 - UNC Asheville 73	0.851	Presbyterian 72 - UNC Asheville 76	-9
Queens 71 - Bellarmine 67	0.617	Queens 84 - Bellarmine 88	8
Richmond 73 - Loyola Ill 65	0.681	Richmond 74 - Loyola Ill 71	5
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Merrimack 64	0.517	Saint Francis Penn 68 - Merrimack 75	8
Saint Johns 74 - Providence 80	0.678	Saint Johns 73 - Providence 68	-11
Saint Josephs 76 - George Washington 71	0.607	Saint Josephs 81 - George Washington 69	-7
Saint Thomas 68 - UMKC 64	0.6	Saint Thomas 73 - UMKC 43	-26
Samford 78 - The Citadel 63	0.846	Samford 76 - The Citadel 70	9
San Diego State 79 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	0.812	San Diego State 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0
San Francisco 81 - Pepperdine 68	0.783	San Francisco 88 - Pepperdine 80	5
San Jose State 69 - Utah State 77	0.668	San Jose State 69 - Utah State 64	-13
Santa Clara 75 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.624	Santa Clara 71 - Loyola Marymount 69	2
SE Missouri State 69 - Morehead State 68	0.504	SE Missouri State 59 - Morehead State 65	7
Seattle 69 - Grand Canyon 70	0.51	Seattle 63 - Grand Canyon 58	-6
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Eastern Illinois 58	0.819	SIU Edwardsville 73 - Eastern Illinois 84	25
South Alabama 68 - Appalachian State 65	0.584	South Alabama 74 - Appalachian State 57	-14
South Carolina State 75 - Coppin State 76	0.529	South Carolina State 94 - Coppin State 84	-11
South Dakota State 74 - South Dakota 63	0.739	South Dakota State 72 - South Dakota 67	6
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Nicholls State 68	0.57	Southeast Louisiana 77 - Nicholls State 88	13
Southern 71 - Prairie View 64	0.691	Southern 79 - Prairie View 65	-7
Southern Indiana 72 - Lindenwood 63	0.724	Southern Indiana 74 - Lindenwood 64	-1
Southern Miss 76 - UL Monroe 62	0.845	Southern Miss 76 - UL Monroe 67	5
Stanford 70 - Arizona 83	0.778	Stanford 88 - Arizona 79	-22
Stonehill 66 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	0.673	Stonehill 62 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 51	-5
Stony Brook 68 - North Carolina AT 69	0.54	Stony Brook 69 - North Carolina AT 59	-11
Tennessee 80 - Missouri 68	0.764	Tennessee 85 - Missouri 86	13
Tennessee Martin 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.717	Tennessee Martin 84 - Arkansas Little Rock 61	-15
Tennessee State 68 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.527	Tennessee State 67 - Tennessee Tech 53	-13
Texas 80 - West Virginia 74	0.671	Texas 94 - West Virginia 60	-28
Texas AM CC 76 - Lamar 60	0.839	Texas AM CC 61 - Lamar 52	7
Texas Christian 75 - Baylor 76	0.512	Texas Christian 68 - Baylor 72	3
Texas Pan American 69 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.695	Texas Pan American 72 - Stephen F Austin 82	3
Texas San Antonio 66 - Texas El Paso 73	0.72	Texas San Antonio 66 - Texas El Paso 77	4
Texas State 65 - Old Dominion 66	0.559	Texas State 68 - Old Dominion 70	1
Texas Tech 73 - Kansas State 78	0.635	Texas Tech 71 - Kansas State 63	-13
Troy 68 - UL Lafayette 74	0.668	Troy 80 - UL Lafayette 65	-21
UC Irvine 75 - UC Riverside 68	0.722	UC Irvine 83 - UC Riverside 64	-12
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC Davis 67	0.708	UC Santa Barbara 84 - UC Davis 74	-4
UMBC 72 - Bryant 73	0.516	UMBC 76 - Bryant 73	-4
UNC Wilmington 73 - Northeastern 61	0.807	UNC Wilmington 71 - Northeastern 59	0
Utah 73 - Colorado 71	0.55	Utah 73 - Colorado 62	-9
Utah Tech 71 - Tarleton State 70	0.527	Utah Tech 71 - Tarleton State 75	5
Utah Valley 76 - Southern Utah 71	0.638	Utah Valley 90 - Southern Utah 83	-2
Valparaiso 70 - Illinois State 69	0.513	Valparaiso 81 - Illinois State 76	-4
Vermont 70 - UMass Lowell 65	0.622	Vermont 93 - UMass Lowell 81	-7
Villanova 69 - Seton Hall 71	0.559	Villanova 58 - Seton Hall 54	-6
Virginia 70 - Duke 68	0.577	Virginia 69 - Duke 62	-5
Wagner 73 - LIU Brooklyn 57	0.889	Wagner 58 - LIU Brooklyn 46	4
Wake Forest 81 - Georgia Tech 67	0.842	Wake Forest 71 - Georgia Tech 70	13
Washington State 75 - Washington 71	0.598	Washington State 56 - Washington 51	-1
Weber State 66 - Montana 64	0.555	Weber State 69 - Montana 74	7
Western Illinois 64 - Oral Roberts 79	0.787	Western Illinois 73 - Oral Roberts 82	-6
Winthrop 71 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.662	Winthrop 70 - South Carolina Upstate 79	14
Yale 80 - Columbia 56	0.921	Yale 99 - Columbia 68	-7

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 66 - Quinnipiac 76	0.768	Canisius 85 - Quinnipiac 65	-30
Cleveland State 68 - Youngstown State 71	0.599	Cleveland State 81 - Youngstown State 78	-6
Evansville 60 - Missouri State 75	0.851	Evansville 60 - Missouri State 66	-9
Fairfield 68 - Mt St Marys 61	0.71	Fairfield 76 - Mt St Marys 72	3
IPFW 69 - Robert Morris 63	0.651	IPFW 64 - Robert Morris 71	13
Manhattan 67 - Saint Peters 65	0.553	Manhattan 68 - Saint Peters 52	-14
Memphis 78 - Temple 70	0.74	Memphis 86 - Temple 77	-1
Minnesota 69 - Iowa 84	0.814	Minnesota 56 - Iowa 68	-3
Niagara 63 - Iona 72	0.733	Niagara 55 - Iona 72	8
Northern Kentucky 74 - IUPUI 54	0.927	Northern Kentucky 86 - IUPUI 47	-19
Northwestern 68 - Purdue 76	0.704	Northwestern 64 - Purdue 58	-14
Ohio State 73 - Michigan State 74	0.533	Ohio State 41 - Michigan State 62	20
Siena 72 - Marist 60	0.827	Siena 73 - Marist 65	4
UNC Greensboro 71 - Wofford 61	0.743	UNC Greensboro 97 - Wofford 89	2
Wichita State 74 - Southern Methodist 67	0.721	Wichita State 91 - Southern Methodist 89	5

Number of DI Games: 340
Number Correct: 239 = 70.2%
Expected Number Correct: 230.882 = 67.9%
Average Error: 8.77
Average Signed Error: -2.33

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 - Alabama AM 66	0.566	Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Alabama AM 75	5
Baylor 81 - West Virginia 73	0.678	Baylor 79 - West Virginia 67	-4
Bethune Cookman 68 - Jackson State 70	0.545	Bethune Cookman 64 - Jackson State 91	25
Bucknell 65 - American 68	0.596	Bucknell 73 - American 51	-25
College of Charleston 81 - Northeastern 60	0.933	College of Charleston 99 - Northeastern 63	-15
Delaware 71 - Stony Brook 62	0.735	Delaware 71 - Stony Brook 60	-2
Elon 71 - Hampton 66	0.646	Elon 70 - Hampton 68	3
Florida AM 60 - Alcorn State 70	0.76	Florida AM 64 - Alcorn State 67	-7
Grambling State 68 - Prairie View 60	0.718	Grambling State 68 - Prairie View 64	4
Hofstra 73 - Drexel 63	0.734	Hofstra 66 - Drexel 52	-4
Howard 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.565	Howard 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 69	-7
Mississippi Valley State 64 - Alabama State 68	0.608	Mississippi Valley State 76 - Alabama State 70	-10
Monmouth 67 - North Carolina AT 70	0.55	Monmouth 85 - North Carolina AT 71	-17
Norfolk State 76 - Delaware State 58	0.925	Norfolk State 97 - Delaware State 58	-21
North Carolina 78 - Miami 76	0.568	North Carolina 72 - Miami 80	10
North Carolina Central 77 - Coppin State 64	0.828	North Carolina Central 85 - Coppin State 52	-20
South Alabama 78 - Hartford 55	0.943	South Alabama 77 - Hartford 53	-1
South Carolina State 69 - Morgan State 74	0.642	South Carolina State 74 - Morgan State 62	-17
Southern 73 - Texas Southern 65	0.713	Southern 68 - Texas Southern 79	19
Texas Tech 72 - Texas 80	0.689	Texas Tech 74 - Texas 67	-15
William and Mary 63 - Towson 73	0.774	William and Mary 68 - Towson 66	-12

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 79 - Missouri 75	0.592	Auburn 89 - Missouri 56	-29
Ball State 73 - Northern Illinois 65	0.693	Ball State 87 - Northern Illinois 77	-2
Bowling Green 71 - Central Michigan 66	0.621	Bowling Green 74 - Central Michigan 77	8
DePaul 75 - Saint Johns 79	0.608	DePaul 83 - Saint Johns 92	5
Duke 80 - Notre Dame 64	0.853	Duke 68 - Notre Dame 64	12
Eastern Michigan 63 - Akron 76	0.794	Eastern Michigan 51 - Akron 78	14
Georgia 74 - Louisiana State 71	0.598	Georgia 65 - Louisiana State 63	1
Massachusetts 75 - Loyola Ill 70	0.633	Massachusetts 62 - Loyola Ill 64	7
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - San Jose State 70	0.628	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - San Jose State 75	14
New Mexico 83 - Wyoming 69	0.836	New Mexico 56 - Wyoming 70	28
Ohio 75 - Buffalo 72	0.578	Ohio 85 - Buffalo 61	-21
Oklahoma 73 - Kansas State 77	0.617	Oklahoma 79 - Kansas State 65	-18
Oklahoma State 72 - Kansas 75	0.583	Oklahoma State 76 - Kansas 87	8
Penn State 72 - Illinois 77	0.62	Penn State 93 - Illinois 81	-17
Pittsburgh 77 - Boston College 65	0.794	Pittsburgh 77 - Boston College 58	-7
Providence 73 - Creighton 75	0.578	Providence 94 - Creighton 86	-10
Rutgers 77 - Nebraska 65	0.776	Rutgers 72 - Nebraska 82	22
Seton Hall 80 - Georgetown 65	0.863	Seton Hall 76 - Georgetown 68	7
South Carolina 69 - Vanderbilt 77	0.692	South Carolina 64 - Vanderbilt 75	3
Syracuse 73 - NC State 76	0.586	Syracuse 75 - NC State 72	-6
Toledo 82 - Miami OH 63	0.904	Toledo 89 - Miami OH 71	1
Utah State 79 - Air Force 65	0.81	Utah State 80 - Air Force 65	-1
Valparaiso 63 - Southern Illinois 71	0.705	Valparaiso 62 - Southern Illinois 66	-4
Villanova 73 - Butler 66	0.667	Villanova 62 - Butler 50	-5
Western Michigan 58 - Kent State 77	0.911	Western Michigan 58 - Kent State 82	5
Wisconsin 72 - Michigan 73	0.517	Wisconsin 64 - Michigan 59	-6

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 64 - UMBC 75	0.749	Albany 81 - UMBC 74	-18
Belmont 81 - Evansville 61	0.907	Belmont 95 - Evansville 63	-12
Binghamton 69 - NJ Tech 64	0.623	Binghamton 86 - NJ Tech 67	-14
Bradley 71 - Missouri State 62	0.717	Bradley 64 - Missouri State 54	-1
Bryant 73 - UMass Lowell 71	0.545	Bryant 71 - UMass Lowell 85	16
Cal Baptist 67 - Seattle 69	0.547	Cal Baptist 84 - Seattle 63	-23
Cal Poly 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.546	Cal Poly 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	6
Campbell 72 - Charleston Southern 66	0.652	Campbell 67 - Charleston Southern 51	-10
Clemson 79 - Florida State 68	0.767	Clemson 94 - Florida State 54	-29
Colgate 76 - Army 63	0.84	Colgate 93 - Army 86	6
Colorado State 68 - Boise State 77	0.721	Colorado State 78 - Boise State 80	-7
Duquesne 75 - Saint Josephs 68	0.681	Duquesne 76 - Saint Josephs 62	-7
East Carolina 65 - Cincinnati 76	0.807	East Carolina 75 - Cincinnati 71	-15
Florida 77 - Mississippi 67	0.754	Florida 79 - Mississippi 64	-5
Fordham 70 - Saint Bonaventure 65	0.634	Fordham 78 - Saint Bonaventure 63	-10
Fresno State 62 - San Diego State 77	0.856	Fresno State 43 - San Diego State 45	-13
Gardner Webb 71 - Winthrop 64	0.752	Gardner Webb 78 - Winthrop 86	15
George Washington 71 - George Mason 74	0.569	George Washington 53 - George Mason 66	10
Georgia Tech 67 - Virginia Tech 77	0.743	Georgia Tech 77 - Virginia Tech 70	-17
Grand Canyon 78 - Texas Pan American 65	0.818	Grand Canyon 76 - Texas Pan American 77	14
Holy Cross 66 - Boston 67	0.543	Holy Cross 71 - Boston 69	-3
Illinois Chicago 66 - Indiana State 77	0.783	Illinois Chicago 60 - Indiana State 79	8
Illinois State 69 - Murray State 71	0.542	Illinois State 75 - Murray State 76	-1
Iowa State 74 - Texas Christian 72	0.551	Iowa State 70 - Texas Christian 59	-9
La Salle 70 - Richmond 71	0.531	La Salle 68 - Richmond 62	-7
Lehigh 67 - Navy 69	0.561	Lehigh 64 - Navy 75	9
Louisville 58 - Virginia 80	0.955	Louisville 58 - Virginia 61	-19
Loyola MD 62 - Lafayette 66	0.593	Loyola MD 73 - Lafayette 70	-7
Marquette 81 - Xavier 78	0.603	Marquette 69 - Xavier 68	2
Mississippi State 71 - Kentucky 69	0.56	Mississippi State 68 - Kentucky 71	5
Northern Iowa 66 - Drake 75	0.726	Northern Iowa 74 - Drake 82	-1
Northwestern 73 - Indiana 74	0.524	Northwestern 64 - Indiana 62	-3
Oakland 78 - IUPUI 61	0.891	Oakland 85 - IUPUI 81	13
Presbyterian 67 - High Point 69	0.537	Presbyterian 69 - High Point 71	0
Rhode Island 63 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.83	Rhode Island 54 - Virginia Commonwealth 55	-10
Saint Louis 74 - Davidson 69	0.67	Saint Louis 78 - Davidson 65	-8
Sam Houston State 74 - Texas Arlington 59	0.821	Sam Houston State 66 - Texas Arlington 56	5
Samford 67 - UNC Greensboro 69	0.564	Samford 83 - UNC Greensboro 71	-14
South Carolina Upstate 64 - Longwood 68	0.613	South Carolina Upstate 72 - Longwood 67	-9
Stephen F Austin 73 - Tarleton State 66	0.692	Stephen F Austin 65 - Tarleton State 60	2
Stetson 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.56	Stetson 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0
Tennessee 74 - Alabama 75	0.528	Tennessee 68 - Alabama 59	-10
Texas AM 75 - Arkansas 74	0.519	Texas AM 62 - Arkansas 56	-5
The Citadel 62 - Furman 80	0.894	The Citadel 69 - Furman 65	-22
Tulsa 69 - South Florida 76	0.687	Tulsa 69 - South Florida 96	20
UC Davis 76 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.87	UC Davis 73 - Cal State Northridge 62	3
UC Riverside 75 - Long Beach State 74	0.529	UC Riverside 88 - Long Beach State 76	-11
UC San Diego 64 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.761	UC San Diego 73 - Cal State Fullerton 76	-5
UC Santa Barbara 71 - UC Irvine 69	0.575	UC Santa Barbara 59 - UC Irvine 70	13
Vermont 72 - New Hampshire 58	0.811	Vermont 80 - New Hampshire 51	-15
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Chattanooga 75	0.779	Virginia Military Institute 58 - Chattanooga 78	9
Washington 72 - Oregon 78	0.64	Washington 72 - Oregon 71	-7
Western Carolina 70 - East Tennessee State 67	0.567	Western Carolina 68 - East Tennessee State 66	1
Wofford 70 - Mercer 66	0.591	Wofford 70 - Mercer 67	1

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 67 - Texas State 63	0.633	Appalachian State 82 - Texas State 75	-3
Arizona 81 - Utah 72	0.73	Arizona 88 - Utah 62	-17
Arizona State 75 - Colorado 73	0.549	Arizona State 59 - Colorado 67	10
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Southern Indiana 72	0.582	Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Southern Indiana 82	-2
Arkansas State 62 - Troy 72	0.787	Arkansas State 62 - Troy 67	-5
Austin Peay 61 - Jacksonville 65	0.609	Austin Peay 56 - Jacksonville 60	0
Bellarmine 69 - North Alabama 67	0.552	Bellarmine 57 - North Alabama 70	15
Brigham Young 73 - Santa Clara 71	0.55	Brigham Young 74 - Santa Clara 81	9
Central Connecticut State 61 - Wagner 63	0.553	Central Connecticut State 58 - Wagner 57	-3
Charlotte 70 - Western Kentucky 67	0.598	Charlotte 68 - Western Kentucky 64	-1
Coastal Carolina 69 - Georgia State 70	0.509	Coastal Carolina 77 - Georgia State 68	-10
Denver 64 - South Dakota State 73	0.714	Denver 75 - South Dakota State 80	-4
Drexel 65 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.512	Drexel 71 - UNC Wilmington 72	0
Eastern Kentucky 81 - Central Arkansas 66	0.865	Eastern Kentucky 74 - Central Arkansas 58	-1
Eastern Washington 79 - Northern Arizona 64	0.868	Eastern Washington 72 - Northern Arizona 55	-2
Elon 61 - College of Charleston 79	0.912	Elon 66 - College of Charleston 88	4
Hartford 57 - Merrimack 65	0.75	Hartford 59 - Merrimack 67	0
Hofstra 81 - Hampton 59	0.933	Hofstra 73 - Hampton 43	-8
Idaho 70 - Northern Colorado 74	0.599	Idaho 84 - Northern Colorado 82	-6
Iowa 83 - Ohio State 75	0.669	Iowa 92 - Ohio State 75	-9
Jacksonville State 69 - Queens 70	0.521	Jacksonville State 76 - Queens 69	-8
James Madison 72 - Old Dominion 67	0.641	James Madison 76 - Old Dominion 67	-4
Kennesaw St 64 - Liberty 71	0.702	Kennesaw St 88 - Liberty 81	-14
Lamar 69 - Houston Christian 68	0.545	Lamar 91 - Houston Christian 75	-15
Lipscomb 74 - North Florida 67	0.673	Lipscomb 111 - North Florida 114	10
Louisiana Tech 62 - North Texas 70	0.729	Louisiana Tech 62 - North Texas 72	2
Loyola Marymount 71 - Gonzaga 80	0.748	Loyola Marymount 65 - Gonzaga 108	34
Marshall 78 - Georgia Southern 65	0.82	Marshall 84 - Georgia Southern 83	12
Maryland 70 - Purdue 74	0.596	Maryland 68 - Purdue 54	-18
Mcneese State 67 - Incarnate Word 63	0.616	Mcneese State 78 - Incarnate Word 76	2
Memphis 78 - Central Florida 72	0.669	Memphis 64 - Central Florida 63	5
Middle Tennessee 67 - Florida Atlantic 77	0.743	Middle Tennessee 74 - Florida Atlantic 70	-14
Morehead State 68 - Tennessee State 62	0.653	Morehead State 74 - Tennessee State 64	-4
Nicholls State 69 - Texas AM CC 68	0.513	Nicholls State 74 - Texas AM CC 78	5
Northeastern 70 - Monmouth 64	0.65	Northeastern 77 - Monmouth 62	-9
Northwestern State 74 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.724	Northwestern State 81 - Southeast Louisiana 76	4
Omaha 69 - South Dakota 70	0.524	Omaha 80 - South Dakota 72	-9
Oral Roberts 83 - North Dakota 61	0.89	Oral Roberts 73 - North Dakota 70	19
Pacific 72 - San Francisco 76	0.62	Pacific 68 - San Francisco 76	4
Portland State 73 - Idaho State 69	0.607	Portland State 79 - Idaho State 70	-5
Radford 68 - UNC Asheville 66	0.574	Radford 54 - UNC Asheville 63	11
Rice 82 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.832	Rice 79 - Texas San Antonio 84	20
Robert Morris 72 - Green Bay 57	0.855	Robert Morris 71 - Green Bay 56	0
Sacramento State 65 - Weber State 66	0.535	Sacramento State 49 - Weber State 52	2
Sacred Heart 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.547	Sacred Heart 94 - Fairleigh Dickinson 86	-6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 67 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.532	Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Saint Francis Penn 72	9
San Diego 61 - Saint Marys 81	0.92	San Diego 59 - Saint Marys 62	-17
SE Missouri State 73 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.693	SE Missouri State 78 - Eastern Illinois 64	-6
South Alabama 67 - Southern Miss 72	0.665	South Alabama 85 - Southern Miss 54	-36
Southern California 82 - California 62	0.896	Southern California 97 - California 60	-17
Southern Methodist 59 - Houston 81	0.935	Southern Methodist 65 - Houston 80	-7
Stonehill 73 - LIU Brooklyn 59	0.881	Stonehill 75 - LIU Brooklyn 60	-1
Stony Brook 67 - William and Mary 65	0.558	Stony Brook 71 - William and Mary 66	-3
Temple 72 - Wichita State 68	0.625	Temple 65 - Wichita State 79	18
Tennessee Martin 67 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.502	Tennessee Martin 90 - SIU Edwardsville 84	-7
Tennessee Tech 69 - Lindenwood 62	0.683	Tennessee Tech 77 - Lindenwood 68	-2
Texas A&M Commerce 72 - New Orleans 63	0.723	Texas A&M Commerce 78 - New Orleans 84	15
Texas El Paso 67 - Alabama Birmingham 76	0.775	Texas El Paso 66 - Alabama Birmingham 79	4
Towson 72 - Delaware 64	0.701	Towson 95 - Delaware 72	-15
UCLA 81 - Stanford 64	0.85	UCLA 73 - Stanford 64	8
UL Lafayette 78 - UL Monroe 64	0.828	UL Lafayette 84 - UL Monroe 67	-3
UMKC 66 - North Dakota State 67	0.517	UMKC 58 - North Dakota State 69	10
Washington State 74 - Oregon State 64	0.742	Washington State 80 - Oregon State 62	-8
Youngstown State 76 - Milwaukee 69	0.705	Youngstown State 87 - Milwaukee 58	-22

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Chicago State 82 - Unranked 57		Chicago State 103 - Unranked 56
Cleveland State 71 - Wright State 70	0.513	Cleveland State 85 - Wright State 68	-16
Columbia 62 - Harvard 73	0.802	Columbia 65 - Harvard 83	7
Cornell 79 - Dartmouth 67	0.782	Cornell 95 - Dartmouth 83	0
Grand Canyon 74 - Abilene Christian 67	0.686	Grand Canyon 94 - Abilene Christian 84	-3
Iona 79 - Manhattan 61	0.88	Iona 71 - Manhattan 60	7
IPFW 64 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.559	IPFW 50 - Northern Kentucky 63	11
Kent State 80 - Eastern Michigan 60	0.908	Kent State 81 - Eastern Michigan 54	-7
Loyola Ill 63 - Dayton 75	0.766	Loyola Ill 49 - Dayton 65	4
Marist 63 - Fairfield 67	0.636	Marist 61 - Fairfield 70	5
Mt St Marys 62 - Niagara 67	0.681	Mt St Marys 70 - Niagara 66	-9
Oakland 73 - Detroit 72	0.526	Oakland 74 - Detroit 96	23
Pennsylvania 68 - Yale 72	0.599	Pennsylvania 66 - Yale 64	-6
Princeton 71 - Brown 67	0.634	Princeton 78 - Brown 67	-7
Rider 75 - Canisius 64	0.802	Rider 78 - Canisius 81	14
San Jose State 72 - New Mexico 76	0.601	San Jose State 68 - New Mexico 96	24
Siena 71 - Quinnipiac 68	0.585	Siena 63 - Quinnipiac 66	6
Southern Utah 80 - Utah Tech 70	0.749	Southern Utah 81 - Utah Tech 71	0
Wyoming 72 - Air Force 71	0.502	Wyoming 69 - Air Force 75	7

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Buffalo 67	0.672	Akron 86 - Buffalo 66	-13
Alabama 88 - Georgia 67	0.865	Alabama 108 - Georgia 59	-28
Alabama AM 70 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.616	Alabama AM 90 - Bethune Cookman 56	-29
Alabama State 67 - Florida AM 61	0.682	Alabama State 54 - Florida AM 60	12
American 68 - Lehigh 66	0.565	American 59 - Lehigh 62	5
Appalachian State 65 - Old Dominion 66	0.516	Appalachian State 63 - Old Dominion 74	10
Arizona 82 - Colorado 71	0.734	Arizona 78 - Colorado 68	1
Arizona State 74 - Utah 73	0.521	Arizona State 67 - Utah 59	-7
Arkansas 77 - Florida 70	0.661	Arkansas 84 - Florida 65	-12
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.568	Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Eastern Illinois 77	-1
Arkansas State 65 - Georgia State 68	0.575	Arkansas State 75 - Georgia State 70	-8
Army 67 - Lafayette 64	0.596	Army 53 - Lafayette 43	-7
Austin Peay 67 - North Florida 71	0.612	Austin Peay 73 - North Florida 71	-6
Boston 69 - Bucknell 64	0.63	Boston 77 - Bucknell 61	-11
Bowling Green 67 - Toledo 80	0.786	Bowling Green 86 - Toledo 91	-8
Cal State Fullerton 72 - Cal Poly 57	0.848	Cal State Fullerton 83 - Cal Poly 62	-6
Campbell 70 - Presbyterian 60	0.765	Campbell 74 - Presbyterian 57	-7
Central Connecticut State 63 - Stonehill 64	0.512	Central Connecticut State 94 - Stonehill 90	-5
Central Michigan 64 - Ohio 74	0.738	Central Michigan 59 - Ohio 76	7
Charleston Southern 70 - Winthrop 72	0.578	Charleston Southern 67 - Winthrop 75	6
Chattanooga 65 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.635	Chattanooga 76 - UNC Greensboro 93	12
Coastal Carolina 68 - Texas State 71	0.595	Coastal Carolina 75 - Texas State 78	0
Colgate 78 - Holy Cross 59	0.908	Colgate 96 - Holy Cross 73	-4
Columbia 66 - Dartmouth 71	0.661	Columbia 71 - Dartmouth 65	-11
Connecticut 76 - Seton Hall 67	0.708	Connecticut 64 - Seton Hall 55	0
Coppin State 68 - Howard 78	0.721	Coppin State 70 - Howard 80	0
Cornell 75 - Harvard 69	0.691	Cornell 56 - Harvard 73	23
Davidson 73 - Saint Josephs 69	0.614	Davidson 76 - Saint Josephs 75	3
Delaware 65 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.602	Delaware 75 - UNC Wilmington 66	-13
Delaware State 61 - North Carolina Central 70	0.786	Delaware State 58 - North Carolina Central 66	-1
Denver 70 - South Dakota 69	0.502	Denver 86 - South Dakota 68	-17
Eastern Kentucky 75 - North Alabama 67	0.704	Eastern Kentucky 93 - North Alabama 98	13
Eastern Washington 78 - Northern Colorado 68	0.785	Eastern Washington 89 - Northern Colorado 77	-2
Florida Gulf Coast 70 - Stetson 69	0.538	Florida Gulf Coast 84 - Stetson 88	5
Florida State 74 - Boston College 72	0.548	Florida State 69 - Boston College 75	8
Fresno State 71 - Colorado State 72	0.519	Fresno State 57 - Colorado State 60	2
George Mason 72 - La Salle 67	0.654	George Mason 70 - La Salle 66	1
Georgia Tech 88 - Unranked 54		Georgia Tech 79 - Unranked 56
Grambling State 68 - Southern 65	0.572	Grambling State 69 - Southern 64	-2
Hampton 62 - Drexel 73	0.766	Hampton 75 - Drexel 72	-14
High Point 68 - South Carolina Upstate 71	0.566	High Point 81 - South Carolina Upstate 66	-18
Houston Christian 70 - Lamar 67	0.563	Houston Christian 93 - Lamar 74	-16
Idaho 72 - Northern Arizona 71	0.51	Idaho 50 - Northern Arizona 72	23
Indiana 76 - Illinois 74	0.543	Indiana 71 - Illinois 68	-1
Indiana State 77 - Illinois State 64	0.813	Indiana State 80 - Illinois State 64	-3
Jackson State 67 - Alcorn State 70	0.587	Jackson State 60 - Alcorn State 75	12
Jacksonville State 57 - Liberty 73	0.875	Jacksonville State 55 - Liberty 79	8
James Madison 75 - UL Lafayette 74	0.508	James Madison 74 - UL Lafayette 68	-5
Kansas 78 - Baylor 76	0.572	Kansas 87 - Baylor 71	-14
Kansas State 75 - Iowa State 72	0.58	Kansas State 61 - Iowa State 55	-3
Kennesaw St 77 - Queens 68	0.775	Kennesaw St 76 - Queens 83	16
Kentucky 69 - Tennessee 75	0.642	Kentucky 66 - Tennessee 54	-18
Lipscomb 69 - Jacksonville 61	0.677	Lipscomb 62 - Jacksonville 59	5
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Saint Francis Penn 73	0.722	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Saint Francis Penn 93	4
Long Beach State 72 - Hawaii 71	0.543	Long Beach State 67 - Hawaii 70	4
Longwood 66 - Radford 64	0.535	Longwood 73 - Radford 63	-8
Louisiana State 75 - South Carolina 67	0.721	Louisiana State 73 - South Carolina 82	17
Louisiana Tech 69 - Charlotte 67	0.562	Louisiana Tech 67 - Charlotte 74	9
Louisville 65 - Clemson 79	0.834	Louisville 83 - Clemson 73	-24
Loyola Marymount 78 - Pacific 68	0.756	Loyola Marymount 90 - Pacific 88	8
Maine 71 - Albany 63	0.69	Maine 74 - Albany 72	6
Marshall 76 - Troy 67	0.73	Marshall 88 - Troy 78	-1
Maryland Eastern Shore 77 - South Carolina State 63	0.857	Maryland Eastern Shore 78 - South Carolina State 62	-2
Mcneese State 63 - Texas AM CC 72	0.715	Mcneese State 54 - Texas AM CC 77	14
Mercer 68 - Western Carolina 66	0.55	Mercer 68 - Western Carolina 71	5
Miami 80 - Wake Forest 74	0.683	Miami 96 - Wake Forest 87	-3
Michigan 72 - Michigan State 73	0.526	Michigan 84 - Michigan State 72	-13
Middle Tennessee 74 - Florida International 69	0.643	Middle Tennessee 69 - Florida International 58	-6
Minnesota 68 - Penn State 78	0.758	Minnesota 69 - Penn State 76	-3
Mississippi 65 - Mississippi State 72	0.709	Mississippi 61 - Mississippi State 69	1
Missouri 78 - Texas AM 77	0.513	Missouri 60 - Texas AM 69	10
Missouri State 70 - Northern Iowa 65	0.653	Missouri State 66 - Northern Iowa 69	8
Monmouth 67 - Elon 66	0.511	Monmouth 68 - Elon 75	8
Montana State 69 - Montana 63	0.657	Montana State 72 - Montana 68	2
Morehead State 69 - Lindenwood 57	0.802	Morehead State 71 - Lindenwood 58	-1
Murray State 77 - Evansville 64	0.781	Murray State 74 - Evansville 58	-3
Navy 73 - Loyola MD 60	0.803	Navy 65 - Loyola MD 53	1
New Hampshire 66 - UMBC 68	0.563	New Hampshire 75 - UMBC 66	-11
Nicholls State 73 - Incarnate Word 60	0.807	Nicholls State 84 - Incarnate Word 74	3
NJ Tech 60 - Vermont 74	0.829	NJ Tech 80 - Vermont 82	-12
Norfolk State 74 - Morgan State 63	0.804	Norfolk State 72 - Morgan State 50	-11
Northeastern 70 - William and Mary 66	0.637	Northeastern 69 - William and Mary 57	-8
Northern Illinois 73 - Miami OH 66	0.674	Northern Illinois 65 - Miami OH 66	8
Northwestern State 78 - New Orleans 60	0.857	Northwestern State 65 - New Orleans 68	21
Omaha 64 - South Dakota State 74	0.753	Omaha 70 - South Dakota State 91	11
Oral Roberts 81 - North Dakota State 64	0.838	Oral Roberts 74 - North Dakota State 66	9
Pennsylvania 71 - Brown 68	0.584	Pennsylvania 90 - Brown 69	-18
Pepperdine 68 - Gonzaga 88	0.906	Pepperdine 88 - Gonzaga 97	-11
Portland 71 - Santa Clara 78	0.678	Portland 84 - Santa Clara 103	12
Portland State 69 - Weber State 71	0.531	Portland State 57 - Weber State 65	6
Prairie View 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.631	Prairie View 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	-6
Princeton 69 - Yale 71	0.56	Princeton 83 - Yale 93	8
Providence 76 - Villanova 70	0.691	Providence 85 - Villanova 72	-7
Rhode Island 73 - Massachusetts 72	0.505	Rhode Island 45 - Massachusetts 69	25
Rice 76 - Western Kentucky 73	0.593	Rice 83 - Western Kentucky 77	-3
Robert Morris 67 - Milwaukee 69	0.578	Robert Morris 80 - Milwaukee 60	-22
Sacramento State 68 - Idaho State 65	0.597	Sacramento State 70 - Idaho State 65	-2
Sacred Heart 64 - Merrimack 63	0.546	Sacred Heart 55 - Merrimack 67	13
Saint Johns 71 - Creighton 80	0.744	Saint Johns 67 - Creighton 77	1
Saint Louis 73 - Duquesne 70	0.568	Saint Louis 90 - Duquesne 85	-2
Saint Marys 74 - Brigham Young 61	0.807	Saint Marys 71 - Brigham Young 65	7
Saint Thomas 72 - Western Illinois 66	0.632	Saint Thomas 82 - Western Illinois 69	-7
SE Missouri State 72 - Southern Indiana 70	0.562	SE Missouri State 85 - Southern Indiana 80	-3
Seattle 68 - Utah Valley 72	0.602	Seattle 58 - Utah Valley 67	5
South Alabama 72 - UL Monroe 64	0.722	South Alabama 81 - UL Monroe 45	-28
South Florida 73 - Tulane 79	0.682	South Florida 66 - Tulane 84	12
Southern California 79 - Stanford 70	0.7	Southern California 85 - Stanford 75	-1
Southern Miss 75 - Georgia Southern 63	0.835	Southern Miss 73 - Georgia Southern 62	1
Stephen F Austin 74 - Texas Arlington 63	0.781	Stephen F Austin 70 - Texas Arlington 75	16
Stony Brook 60 - Hofstra 75	0.862	Stony Brook 65 - Hofstra 68	-12
Syracuse 70 - Duke 74	0.598	Syracuse 55 - Duke 77	18
Tarleton State 64 - Sam Houston State 71	0.67	Tarleton State 59 - Sam Houston State 64	-2
Tennessee State 66 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.521	Tennessee State 100 - SIU Edwardsville 85	-16
Tennessee Tech 69 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.506	Tennessee Tech 91 - Tennessee Martin 100	10
Texas 82 - Oklahoma 69	0.772	Texas 85 - Oklahoma 83	11
Texas A&M Commerce 67 - Southeast Louisiana 68	0.526	Texas A&M Commerce 76 - Southeast Louisiana 78	1
Texas Christian 74 - Oklahoma State 72	0.539	Texas Christian 100 - Oklahoma State 75	-23
Texas El Paso 59 - North Texas 70	0.803	Texas El Paso 72 - North Texas 80	-3
Texas San Antonio 65 - Alabama Birmingham 84	0.927	Texas San Antonio 78 - Alabama Birmingham 83	-14
Texas Southern 72 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.781	Texas Southern 80 - Mississippi Valley State 62	-9
The Citadel 68 - Wofford 73	0.65	The Citadel 68 - Wofford 72	-1
Towson 75 - North Carolina AT 64	0.778	Towson 87 - North Carolina AT 75	-1
UC Irvine 76 - UC Davis 68	0.741	UC Irvine 78 - UC Davis 76	6
UC Riverside 67 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.641	UC Riverside 74 - UC Santa Barbara 63	-15
UC San Diego 70 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.648	UC San Diego 75 - Cal State Northridge 62	-9
UCLA 84 - California 56	0.953	UCLA 78 - California 43	-7
UMass Lowell 73 - Binghamton 63	0.735	UMass Lowell 84 - Binghamton 70	-4
UMKC 69 - North Dakota 64	0.616	UMKC 73 - North Dakota 81	13
UNC Asheville 68 - Gardner Webb 65	0.594	UNC Asheville 75 - Gardner Webb 63	-9
Utah State 75 - Nevada 74	0.508	Utah State 75 - Nevada 66	-8
Vanderbilt 72 - Auburn 76	0.607	Vanderbilt 67 - Auburn 65	-6
Virginia 80 - Notre Dame 60	0.945	Virginia 57 - Notre Dame 55	18
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Fordham 65	0.727	Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Fordham 61	-12
Virginia Military Institute 63 - Samford 77	0.849	Virginia Military Institute 61 - Samford 96	21
Virginia Tech 74 - Pittsburgh 73	0.517	Virginia Tech 79 - Pittsburgh 72	-6
Wagner 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.591	Wagner 48 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	22
Washington 75 - Oregon State 68	0.693	Washington 61 - Oregon State 47	-7
West Virginia 79 - Texas Tech 73	0.642	West Virginia 72 - Texas Tech 78	12
Western Michigan 63 - Ball State 76	0.82	Western Michigan 78 - Ball State 68	-23
Wisconsin 68 - Rutgers 71	0.611	Wisconsin 57 - Rutgers 58	-2
Xavier 87 - DePaul 70	0.902	Xavier 82 - DePaul 68	3
Youngstown State 81 - Green Bay 56	0.949	Youngstown State 95 - Green Bay 65	-5

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bellarmine 75 - Central Arkansas 66	0.737	Bellarmine 68 - Central Arkansas 67	8
Boise State 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	0.744	Boise State 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	5
Butler 76 - Georgetown 67	0.724	Butler 62 - Georgetown 68	15
Central Florida 72 - Cincinnati 71	0.531	Central Florida 71 - Cincinnati 73	3
Chicago State 72 - Hartford 59	0.815	Chicago State 75 - Hartford 53	-9
Cleveland State 65 - Northern Kentucky 64	0.537	Cleveland State 64 - Northern Kentucky 63	0
Detroit 79 - IUPUI 61	0.867	Detroit 81 - IUPUI 68	5
Drake 75 - Belmont 69	0.666	Drake 70 - Belmont 56	-8
Fairfield 69 - Manhattan 64	0.663	Fairfield 72 - Manhattan 73	6
Furman 78 - East Tennessee State 61	0.873	Furman 83 - East Tennessee State 79	13
Houston 79 - Memphis 67	0.83	Houston 72 - Memphis 64	4
Illinois Chicago 69 - Valparaiso 70	0.503	Illinois Chicago 74 - Valparaiso 73	-2
IPFW 69 - Wright State 72	0.582	IPFW 77 - Wright State 75	-5
Marist 62 - Niagara 68	0.695	Marist 61 - Niagara 52	-15
Mt St Marys 69 - Canisius 68	0.517	Mt St Marys 75 - Canisius 74	0
NC State 77 - North Carolina 75	0.544	NC State 77 - North Carolina 69	-6
Nebraska 69 - Maryland 76	0.675	Nebraska 70 - Maryland 66	-11
Northwestern 77 - Iowa 76	0.52	Northwestern 80 - Iowa 60	-19
Purdue 81 - Ohio State 67	0.835	Purdue 82 - Ohio State 55	-13
Quinnipiac 70 - Rider 69	0.535	Quinnipiac 90 - Rider 88	-1
Saint Bonaventure 74 - George Washington 68	0.664	Saint Bonaventure 81 - George Washington 83	8
Saint Peters 59 - Iona 74	0.839	Saint Peters 53 - Iona 73	5
Southern Illinois 64 - Bradley 68	0.585	Southern Illinois 48 - Bradley 50	-2
Southern Methodist 73 - East Carolina 69	0.624	Southern Methodist 86 - East Carolina 70	-12
Temple 79 - Tulsa 64	0.851	Temple 76 - Tulsa 53	-8
Washington State 71 - Oregon 74	0.571	Washington State 68 - Oregon 65	-6

Number of DI Games: 350
Number Correct: 238 = 68%
Expected Number Correct: 237.905 = 67.9%
Average Error: 9.05
Average Signed Error: -1.44

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 68 - Florida AM 60	0.713	Alabama AM 71 - Florida AM 77	14
Alabama State 69 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.597	Alabama State 65 - Bethune Cookman 70	9
Cal Poly 59 - UC Irvine 76	0.876	Cal Poly 56 - UC Irvine 59	-14
Cal State Bakersfield 61 - Hawaii 69	0.756	Cal State Bakersfield 50 - Hawaii 61	3
Cal State Northridge 62 - UC Riverside 74	0.836	Cal State Northridge 76 - UC Riverside 96	8
Delaware State 70 - South Carolina State 69	0.521	Delaware State 69 - South Carolina State 68	0
Duke 82 - Louisville 60	0.892	Duke 79 - Louisville 62	5
Illinois 82 - Minnesota 63	0.903	Illinois 78 - Minnesota 69	10
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - North Carolina Central 64	0.541	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - North Carolina Central 68	7
Morgan State 65 - Howard 72	0.658	Morgan State 89 - Howard 76	-20
Nicholls State 71 - Texas A&M Commerce 62	0.759	Nicholls State 71 - Texas A&M Commerce 72	10
Norfolk State 81 - Coppin State 61	0.899	Norfolk State 62 - Coppin State 69	27
Prairie View 72 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.807	Prairie View 67 - Mississippi Valley State 65	10
Texas Christian 75 - Kansas 79	0.608	Texas Christian 58 - Kansas 63	1
Texas Pan American 89 - Unranked 58		Texas Pan American 113 - Unranked 65
Texas Southern 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.665	Texas Southern 64 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	0
UC Davis 77 - UC San Diego 66	0.851	UC Davis 76 - UC San Diego 66	1
UC Santa Barbara 70 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.641	UC Santa Barbara 60 - Cal State Fullerton 74	19
West Virginia 76 - Oklahoma State 74	0.534	West Virginia 85 - Oklahoma State 67	-16

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Fresno State 67	0.563	Air Force 69 - Fresno State 74	7
Arkansas 81 - Georgia 68	0.805	Arkansas 97 - Georgia 65	-19
Ball State 65 - Kent State 70	0.659	Ball State 82 - Kent State 70	-17
Buffalo 75 - Central Michigan 65	0.739	Buffalo 63 - Central Michigan 35	-18
Creighton 77 - Marquette 75	0.572	Creighton 71 - Marquette 73	4
Eastern Michigan 73 - Western Michigan 70	0.565	Eastern Michigan 66 - Western Michigan 59	-4
Grand Canyon 91 - Unranked 52		Grand Canyon 111 - Unranked 38
Kansas State 76 - Baylor 78	0.549	Kansas State 75 - Baylor 65	-12
Miami OH 72 - Bowling Green 71	0.529	Miami OH 74 - Bowling Green 65	-8
Michigan State 74 - Indiana 73	0.504	Michigan State 80 - Indiana 65	-14
Missouri 74 - Mississippi State 73	0.522	Missouri 66 - Mississippi State 64	-1
Missouri State 71 - Murray State 66	0.607	Missouri State 84 - Murray State 69	-10
Nevada 77 - San Jose State 66	0.752	Nevada 66 - San Jose State 51	-4
Ohio 75 - Northern Illinois 65	0.71	Ohio 77 - Northern Illinois 68	1
Oklahoma 75 - Texas Tech 74	0.515	Oklahoma 63 - Texas Tech 74	12
Pittsburgh 78 - Georgia Tech 64	0.81	Pittsburgh 76 - Georgia Tech 68	6
Richmond 70 - Saint Louis 74	0.619	Richmond 81 - Saint Louis 78	-7
Robert Morris 65 - Youngstown State 72	0.704	Robert Morris 83 - Youngstown State 64	-26
Saint Josephs 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	0.737	Saint Josephs 63 - Virginia Commonwealth 88	16
San Diego State 81 - Colorado State 66	0.853	San Diego State 77 - Colorado State 58	-4
Texas 76 - Iowa State 71	0.633	Texas 72 - Iowa State 54	-13
Texas AM 70 - Tennessee 72	0.558	Texas AM 68 - Tennessee 63	-7
Toledo 72 - Akron 70	0.557	Toledo 84 - Akron 63	-19
Tulsa 69 - East Carolina 74	0.631	Tulsa 60 - East Carolina 62	-3
Virginia Tech 74 - Miami 78	0.602	Virginia Tech 70 - Miami 76	2
Wyoming 69 - Utah State 80	0.778	Wyoming 55 - Utah State 65	-1
Xavier 79 - Villanova 71	0.76	Xavier 63 - Villanova 64	9

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.566	Abilene Christian 89 - Stephen F Austin 91	0
American 63 - Navy 67	0.622	American 54 - Navy 70	12
Army 70 - Boston 65	0.659	Army 67 - Boston 73	11
Auburn 80 - Mississippi 66	0.849	Auburn 78 - Mississippi 74	10
Belmont 74 - Indiana State 73	0.518	Belmont 89 - Indiana State 88	0
Boise State 78 - New Mexico 71	0.663	Boise State 82 - New Mexico 77	2
Boston College 62 - Virginia 75	0.837	Boston College 63 - Virginia 48	-28
Central Arkansas 68 - Jacksonville State 71	0.596	Central Arkansas 71 - Jacksonville State 101	27
Central Florida 77 - South Florida 66	0.777	Central Florida 75 - South Florida 82	18
Chattanooga 70 - Samford 73	0.577	Chattanooga 70 - Samford 75	2
Cincinnati 75 - Temple 68	0.694	Cincinnati 88 - Temple 83	2
Clemson 75 - Syracuse 71	0.587	Clemson 91 - Syracuse 73	-14
Connecticut 77 - Providence 72	0.632	Connecticut 87 - Providence 69	-13
Davidson 71 - Saint Bonaventure 67	0.608	Davidson 74 - Saint Bonaventure 61	-9
DePaul 72 - Butler 73	0.527	DePaul 58 - Butler 59	0
Drake 80 - Illinois State 61	0.896	Drake 82 - Illinois State 51	-12
East Tennessee State 71 - The Citadel 64	0.669	East Tennessee State 78 - The Citadel 70	-1
Eastern Illinois 59 - Morehead State 68	0.73	Eastern Illinois 63 - Morehead State 69	-3
Evansville 68 - Illinois Chicago 72	0.607	Evansville 76 - Illinois Chicago 82	2
Florida 73 - Kentucky 75	0.533	Florida 74 - Kentucky 82	6
Florida Gulf Coast 70 - Lipscomb 69	0.519	Florida Gulf Coast 64 - Lipscomb 73	10
Furman 77 - Mercer 61	0.838	Furman 70 - Mercer 67	13
Georgetown 74 - Saint Johns 80	0.678	Georgetown 70 - Saint Johns 79	3
Georgia Southern 74 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.688	Georgia Southern 76 - Coastal Carolina 68	-1
Georgia State 65 - Appalachian State 69	0.599	Georgia State 52 - Appalachian State 78	22
High Point 65 - Radford 72	0.679	High Point 69 - Radford 64	-12
Houston 81 - Tulane 65	0.876	Houston 89 - Tulane 59	-14
Jacksonville 63 - Bellarmine 61	0.55	Jacksonville 61 - Bellarmine 63	4
James Madison 74 - Marshall 75	0.543	James Madison 83 - Marshall 92	8
La Salle 69 - Duquesne 74	0.642	La Salle 74 - Duquesne 91	12
Lafayette 61 - Colgate 72	0.797	Lafayette 69 - Colgate 73	-7
Lehigh 71 - Bucknell 65	0.665	Lehigh 78 - Bucknell 62	-10
Louisiana State 71 - Vanderbilt 76	0.619	Louisiana State 84 - Vanderbilt 77	-12
Loyola Ill 67 - Fordham 73	0.67	Loyola Ill 69 - Fordham 71	-4
Loyola MD 68 - Holy Cross 66	0.544	Loyola MD 90 - Holy Cross 68	-20
Maryland 81 - Minnesota 61	0.89	Maryland 88 - Minnesota 70	2
Massachusetts 65 - Dayton 74	0.698	Massachusetts 54 - Dayton 72	9
NC State 80 - Wake Forest 74	0.667	NC State 90 - Wake Forest 74	-10
New Hampshire 66 - Maine 63	0.582	New Hampshire 74 - Maine 62	-9
NJ Tech 66 - Bryant 75	0.713	NJ Tech 78 - Bryant 79	-8
North Alabama 70 - Kennesaw St 73	0.589	North Alabama 66 - Kennesaw St 79	10
North Florida 71 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0.616	North Florida 77 - Eastern Kentucky 64	-17
Notre Dame 69 - North Carolina 80	0.8	Notre Dame 59 - North Carolina 63	-7
Old Dominion 67 - Southern Miss 70	0.581	Old Dominion 69 - Southern Miss 64	-8
Presbyterian 63 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.684	Presbyterian 57 - South Carolina Upstate 59	-4
Queens 63 - Liberty 76	0.826	Queens 77 - Liberty 85	-5
Rhode Island 73 - George Washington 72	0.536	Rhode Island 80 - George Washington 89	10
South Carolina 65 - Alabama 88	0.877	South Carolina 76 - Alabama 78	-21
Southern Illinois 70 - Northern Iowa 63	0.691	Southern Illinois 86 - Northern Iowa 63	-16
Stetson 75 - Austin Peay 61	0.813	Stetson 76 - Austin Peay 51	-11
Texas State 66 - South Alabama 70	0.62	Texas State 67 - South Alabama 76	5
UL Lafayette 79 - Arkansas State 62	0.909	UL Lafayette 85 - Arkansas State 74	6
UL Monroe 65 - Troy 71	0.678	UL Monroe 78 - Troy 82	-2
UMBC 68 - UMass Lowell 72	0.583	UMBC 70 - UMass Lowell 75	1
UNC Asheville 78 - Charleston Southern 62	0.866	UNC Asheville 80 - Charleston Southern 62	-2
UNC Greensboro 74 - Western Carolina 62	0.775	UNC Greensboro 71 - Western Carolina 52	-7
Valparaiso 62 - Bradley 76	0.815	Valparaiso 66 - Bradley 76	-4
Vermont 74 - Binghamton 60	0.825	Vermont 81 - Binghamton 70	3
Virginia Military Institute 65 - Wofford 75	0.768	Virginia Military Institute 87 - Wofford 83	-14
Winthrop 70 - Campbell 67	0.578	Winthrop 95 - Campbell 93	1
Wisconsin 75 - Iowa 77	0.541	Wisconsin 64 - Iowa 52	-14

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 82 - Rice 72	0.765	Alabama Birmingham 85 - Rice 57	-18
Cal State Northridge 64 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.581	Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	-10
California 67 - Washington 77	0.751	California 56 - Washington 65	-1
Charlotte 60 - North Texas 67	0.705	Charlotte 55 - North Texas 49	-13
College of Charleston 77 - Towson 65	0.79	College of Charleston 83 - Towson 75	4
Colorado 74 - Southern California 75	0.538	Colorado 65 - Southern California 84	18
Detroit 67 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.521	Detroit 64 - Northern Kentucky 67	2
Drexel 70 - Northeastern 63	0.687	Drexel 75 - Northeastern 48	-20
Florida Atlantic 84 - Texas San Antonio 61	0.959	Florida Atlantic 106 - Texas San Antonio 66	-17
Florida International 70 - Texas El Paso 68	0.551	Florida International 82 - Texas El Paso 87	7
Gardner Webb 66 - Longwood 65	0.516	Gardner Webb 63 - Longwood 75	13
Gonzaga 90 - San Diego 66	0.929	Gonzaga 97 - San Diego 72	-1
Green Bay 57 - Cleveland State 75	0.892	Green Bay 65 - Cleveland State 76	-7
Hampton 69 - Monmouth 67	0.549	Hampton 86 - Monmouth 81	-3
Hawaii 69 - UC Riverside 66	0.607	Hawaii 52 - UC Riverside 54	5
Houston Christian 71 - Mcneese State 70	0.503	Houston Christian 85 - Mcneese State 80	-4
Idaho State 72 - Idaho 68	0.596	Idaho State 65 - Idaho 55	-6
Illinois 74 - Northwestern 72	0.559	Illinois 66 - Northwestern 62	-2
Incarnate Word 61 - Northwestern State 72	0.77	Incarnate Word 66 - Northwestern State 71	-6
IUPUI 60 - Robert Morris 72	0.812	IUPUI 81 - Robert Morris 75	-18
Lamar 64 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.684	Lamar 60 - Southeast Louisiana 83	17
Lindenwood 64 - SE Missouri State 71	0.681	Lindenwood 105 - SE Missouri State 102	-10
Merrimack 64 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.668	Merrimack 70 - Central Connecticut State 54	-11
Milwaukee 71 - IPFW 68	0.577	Milwaukee 96 - IPFW 94	1
Montana State 71 - Sacramento State 60	0.815	Montana State 60 - Sacramento State 56	7
New Orleans 65 - Nicholls State 73	0.699	New Orleans 88 - Nicholls State 82	-14
North Carolina AT 68 - Delaware 72	0.594	North Carolina AT 71 - Delaware 73	-2
North Dakota 69 - Western Illinois 68	0.521	North Dakota 70 - Western Illinois 81	12
North Dakota State 70 - Saint Thomas 68	0.535	North Dakota State 73 - Saint Thomas 64	-7
Oakland 71 - Wright State 75	0.6	Oakland 75 - Wright State 68	-11
Ohio State 75 - Penn State 77	0.532	Ohio State 71 - Penn State 75	2
Rutgers 75 - Michigan 71	0.576	Rutgers 45 - Michigan 58	17
Sacred Heart 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.68	Sacred Heart 63 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	13
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.517	Saint Francis Penn 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	-11
Saint Marys 81 - Pacific 59	0.938	Saint Marys 83 - Pacific 52	-9
Sam Houston State 71 - Cal Baptist 62	0.722	Sam Houston State 56 - Cal Baptist 45	-2
San Francisco 78 - Portland 70	0.702	San Francisco 92 - Portland 89	5
Santa Clara 84 - Pepperdine 69	0.848	Santa Clara 91 - Pepperdine 82	6
SIU Edwardsville 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	0.709	SIU Edwardsville 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 79	13
South Dakota 62 - Oral Roberts 81	0.84	South Dakota 70 - Oral Roberts 82	-7
South Dakota State 71 - UMKC 60	0.751	South Dakota State 73 - UMKC 50	-12
Southern Indiana 70 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.587	Southern Indiana 79 - Tennessee Tech 82	6
Stanford 72 - Washington State 73	0.534	Stanford 63 - Washington State 67	3
Tarleton State 65 - Utah Valley 73	0.735	Tarleton State 77 - Utah Valley 58	-27
Tennessee Martin 71 - Tennessee State 68	0.592	Tennessee Martin 82 - Tennessee State 88	9
Texas AM CC 73 - Texas A&M Commerce 61	0.813	Texas AM CC 80 - Texas A&M Commerce 84	16
Texas Arlington 68 - Southern Utah 75	0.677	Texas Arlington 76 - Southern Utah 86	3
Texas Pan American 75 - Utah Tech 74	0.512	Texas Pan American 81 - Utah Tech 88	8
UC Irvine 79 - UC San Diego 63	0.91	UC Irvine 91 - UC San Diego 99	24
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Long Beach State 69	0.701	UC Santa Barbara 78 - Long Beach State 73	2
UNC Wilmington 72 - Stony Brook 59	0.836	UNC Wilmington 76 - Stony Brook 69	6
Utah 67 - UCLA 77	0.749	Utah 71 - UCLA 78	-3
Wagner 62 - Stonehill 61	0.555	Wagner 54 - Stonehill 44	-9
Weber State 66 - Eastern Washington 72	0.646	Weber State 82 - Eastern Washington 89	1
Western Kentucky 73 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.54	Western Kentucky 76 - Louisiana Tech 66	-9
Wichita State 71 - Memphis 78	0.758	Wichita State 78 - Memphis 83	-2
William and Mary 68 - Elon 67	0.53	William and Mary 73 - Elon 60	-12

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 69 - Saint Peters 66	0.591	Canisius 66 - Saint Peters 53	-10
Central Arkansas 67 - Kennesaw St 79	0.825	Central Arkansas 56 - Kennesaw St 72	4
Colorado State 77 - Wyoming 71	0.65	Colorado State 84 - Wyoming 71	-7
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Austin Peay 61	0.768	Florida Gulf Coast 89 - Austin Peay 71	-7
Fresno State 64 - Nevada 75	0.787	Fresno State 56 - Nevada 60	-7
Georgia Southern 67 - Appalachian State 66	0.529	Georgia Southern 73 - Appalachian State 64	-8
Grand Canyon 72 - Seattle 68	0.61	Grand Canyon 54 - Seattle 65	15
Jacksonville 64 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.62	Jacksonville 52 - Eastern Kentucky 56	0
James Madison 77 - Georgia State 63	0.811	James Madison 90 - Georgia State 69	-7
Liberty 78 - Queens 61	0.888	Liberty 73 - Queens 53	-3
Manhattan 69 - Marist 64	0.662	Manhattan 58 - Marist 81	28
Mt St Marys 60 - Iona 76	0.865	Mt St Marys 68 - Iona 80	-4
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Air Force 69	0.714	Nevada Las Vegas 54 - Air Force 53	6
Niagara 66 - Fairfield 64	0.574	Niagara 76 - Fairfield 68	-6
North Alabama 71 - Jacksonville State 66	0.647	North Alabama 83 - Jacksonville State 92	14
North Florida 70 - Bellarmine 68	0.553	North Florida 79 - Bellarmine 67	-10
Old Dominion 69 - Marshall 74	0.651	Old Dominion 71 - Marshall 67	-9
Rider 69 - Siena 68	0.525	Rider 69 - Siena 66	-2
Seton Hall 73 - Xavier 76	0.601	Seton Hall 60 - Xavier 82	19
Stetson 72 - Lipscomb 70	0.576	Stetson 91 - Lipscomb 98	9
Texas State 65 - Southern Miss 72	0.722	Texas State 69 - Southern Miss 79	3
Troy 76 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.78	Troy 95 - Coastal Carolina 74	-10
UL Lafayette 74 - South Alabama 69	0.614	UL Lafayette 74 - South Alabama 64	-5
UL Monroe 69 - Arkansas State 64	0.626	UL Monroe 61 - Arkansas State 64	8
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Richmond 63	0.789	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Richmond 58	-3

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Utah Valley 76	0.726	Abilene Christian 62 - Utah Valley 66	-4
Akron 78 - Western Michigan 58	0.895	Akron 81 - Western Michigan 64	3
Alabama 82 - Arkansas 72	0.691	Alabama 86 - Arkansas 83	7
Alabama State 65 - Alabama AM 67	0.572	Alabama State 50 - Alabama AM 55	3
Albany 67 - NJ Tech 68	0.52	Albany 82 - NJ Tech 68	-15
Alcorn State 69 - Prairie View 64	0.648	Alcorn State 71 - Prairie View 75	9
Arizona 83 - Arizona State 72	0.756	Arizona 88 - Arizona State 89	12
Baylor 79 - Texas 76	0.576	Baylor 81 - Texas 72	-6
Bethune Cookman 65 - Southern 73	0.68	Bethune Cookman 60 - Southern 53	-15
Binghamton 68 - Maine 65	0.559	Binghamton 67 - Maine 71	7
Boston 66 - Lehigh 67	0.506	Boston 59 - Lehigh 56	-4
Bowling Green 62 - Kent State 77	0.847	Bowling Green 69 - Kent State 79	-5
Brigham Young 74 - San Francisco 70	0.604	Brigham Young 87 - San Francisco 61	-22
Bryant 68 - Vermont 72	0.605	Bryant 66 - Vermont 70	0
Bucknell 63 - Lafayette 64	0.504	Bucknell 75 - Lafayette 65	-11
Cal Poly 63 - UC Davis 74	0.799	Cal Poly 52 - UC Davis 58	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 62 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.713	Cal State Bakersfield 66 - Cal State Fullerton 70	-4
California 63 - Washington State 77	0.788	California 57 - Washington State 63	-8
Central Connecticut State 67 - Sacred Heart 66	0.527	Central Connecticut State 67 - Sacred Heart 69	3
Central Michigan 65 - Northern Illinois 69	0.575	Central Michigan 80 - Northern Illinois 84	0
Charleston Southern 70 - Presbyterian 65	0.647	Charleston Southern 85 - Presbyterian 59	-21
Charlotte 72 - Rice 69	0.591	Charlotte 70 - Rice 54	-13
College of Charleston 81 - Stony Brook 58	0.946	College of Charleston 92 - Stony Brook 52	-17
Columbia 63 - Brown 74	0.813	Columbia 73 - Brown 84	0
Coppin State 64 - Maryland Eastern Shore 74	0.757	Coppin State 57 - Maryland Eastern Shore 78	11
Dayton 72 - George Mason 63	0.742	Dayton 69 - George Mason 74	14
Denver 72 - Omaha 68	0.597	Denver 72 - Omaha 61	-7
Detroit 73 - Wright State 74	0.501	Detroit 71 - Wright State 82	10
Duke 76 - Virginia Tech 69	0.668	Duke 81 - Virginia Tech 65	-9
East Carolina 57 - Houston 80	0.94	East Carolina 57 - Houston 76	-4
East Tennessee State 61 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.745	East Tennessee State 63 - UNC Greensboro 62	-11
Eastern Illinois 65 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.576	Eastern Illinois 66 - Tennessee Tech 75	6
Eastern Michigan 66 - Ball State 76	0.742	Eastern Michigan 75 - Ball State 68	-17
Elon 66 - Delaware 70	0.625	Elon 54 - Delaware 70	12
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.696	Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	-10
Florida AM 56 - Grambling State 68	0.805	Florida AM 55 - Grambling State 69	2
Florida Atlantic 78 - Texas El Paso 62	0.914	Florida Atlantic 75 - Texas El Paso 49	-10
Florida International 76 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.744	Florida International 91 - Texas San Antonio 95	13
Fordham 74 - Rhode Island 64	0.786	Fordham 74 - Rhode Island 71	7
George Washington 75 - La Salle 74	0.509	George Washington 92 - La Salle 85	-6
Georgia 75 - Missouri 80	0.613	Georgia 63 - Missouri 85	17
Georgia Tech 74 - Louisville 68	0.654	Georgia Tech 83 - Louisville 67	-10
Gonzaga 73 - Saint Marys 71	0.573	Gonzaga 77 - Saint Marys 68	-7
Green Bay 60 - IPFW 73	0.81	Green Bay 61 - IPFW 78	4
Harvard 68 - Princeton 69	0.522	Harvard 56 - Princeton 58	1
Hawaii 67 - UC Irvine 69	0.559	Hawaii 72 - UC Irvine 67	-7
Hofstra 77 - Northeastern 60	0.875	Hofstra 84 - Northeastern 52	-15
Holy Cross 66 - Army 71	0.635	Holy Cross 65 - Army 80	10
Idaho State 65 - Eastern Washington 77	0.828	Idaho State 71 - Eastern Washington 63	-20
Incarnate Word 65 - Texas A&M Commerce 66	0.546	Incarnate Word 79 - Texas A&M Commerce 75	-5
Iowa 77 - Michigan State 76	0.539	Iowa 112 - Michigan State 106	-5
Iowa State 75 - Oklahoma 68	0.646	Iowa State 50 - Oklahoma 61	18
IUPUI 59 - Youngstown State 81	0.93	IUPUI 79 - Youngstown State 93	-8
Jackson State 69 - Texas Southern 68	0.535	Jackson State 71 - Texas Southern 69	-1
Kansas 83 - West Virginia 72	0.739	Kansas 76 - West Virginia 74	9
Kentucky 75 - Auburn 74	0.529	Kentucky 86 - Auburn 54	-31
Lamar 67 - New Orleans 66	0.512	Lamar 79 - New Orleans 84	6
Lindenwood 67 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.522	Lindenwood 97 - Arkansas Little Rock 96	-2
LIU Brooklyn 57 - Merrimack 69	0.866	LIU Brooklyn 59 - Merrimack 80	9
Long Beach State 79 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.886	Long Beach State 71 - Cal State Northridge 64	8
Longwood 66 - UNC Asheville 67	0.507	Longwood 66 - UNC Asheville 76	9
Loyola MD 64 - American 67	0.579	Loyola MD 83 - American 77	-9
Marquette 87 - DePaul 68	0.924	Marquette 90 - DePaul 84	13
Mercer 70 - The Citadel 63	0.662	Mercer 72 - The Citadel 50	-15
Miami 85 - Florida State 68	0.885	Miami 84 - Florida State 85	18
Miami OH 66 - Ohio 76	0.757	Miami OH 85 - Ohio 68	-27
Middle Tennessee 74 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.637	Middle Tennessee 63 - Louisiana Tech 49	-9
Milwaukee 68 - Cleveland State 70	0.553	Milwaukee 81 - Cleveland State 72	-11
Mississippi 73 - Louisiana State 71	0.576	Mississippi 82 - Louisiana State 69	-11
Mississippi State 69 - Texas AM 71	0.537	Mississippi State 69 - Texas AM 62	-9
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.612	Mississippi Valley State 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	-7
Montana 70 - Sacramento State 62	0.72	Montana 74 - Sacramento State 72	6
Montana State 76 - Portland State 64	0.825	Montana State 91 - Portland State 78	-1
Morehead State 69 - Tennessee Martin 64	0.633	Morehead State 72 - Tennessee Martin 58	-9
Morgan State 70 - Delaware State 62	0.695	Morgan State 83 - Delaware State 78	3
Navy 67 - Colgate 71	0.613	Navy 60 - Colgate 64	0
NC State 77 - Clemson 71	0.634	NC State 71 - Clemson 96	31
Nebraska 78 - Minnesota 66	0.789	Nebraska 78 - Minnesota 67	1
New Mexico 73 - San Diego State 77	0.626	New Mexico 71 - San Diego State 73	-2
Nicholls State 78 - Houston Christian 65	0.799	Nicholls State 68 - Houston Christian 64	9
North Carolina 70 - Virginia 72	0.563	North Carolina 71 - Virginia 63	-10
North Carolina AT 73 - Hampton 68	0.649	North Carolina AT 73 - Hampton 72	4
North Carolina Central 69 - Howard 67	0.53	North Carolina Central 68 - Howard 60	-6
North Dakota 67 - Saint Thomas 71	0.593	North Dakota 82 - Saint Thomas 74	-12
North Dakota State 72 - Western Illinois 66	0.65	North Dakota State 71 - Western Illinois 69	4
Northern Colorado 74 - Northern Arizona 70	0.618	Northern Colorado 82 - Northern Arizona 85	7
Oakland 65 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.623	Oakland 69 - Northern Kentucky 78	5
Oklahoma State 75 - Kansas State 74	0.508	Oklahoma State 68 - Kansas State 73	6
Oregon State 66 - Oregon 77	0.757	Oregon State 67 - Oregon 69	-9
Pacific 76 - Portland 74	0.542	Pacific 81 - Portland 77	-2
Pennsylvania 76 - Dartmouth 63	0.801	Pennsylvania 89 - Dartmouth 79	3
Pepperdine 72 - Loyola Marymount 78	0.656	Pepperdine 67 - Loyola Marymount 75	2
Pittsburgh 76 - Syracuse 70	0.654	Pittsburgh 99 - Syracuse 82	-11
Purdue 77 - Indiana 71	0.675	Purdue 71 - Indiana 79	14
Radford 69 - Campbell 62	0.683	Radford 67 - Campbell 65	5
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Wagner 64	0.516	Saint Francis Penn 58 - Wagner 68	11
Saint Johns 72 - Connecticut 80	0.723	Saint Johns 86 - Connecticut 95	1
Saint Louis 79 - Loyola Ill 65	0.814	Saint Louis 81 - Loyola Ill 62	-5
Sam Houston State 74 - Southern Utah 69	0.628	Sam Houston State 64 - Southern Utah 57	-2
Samford 71 - Furman 74	0.561	Samford 79 - Furman 93	11
San Diego 71 - Santa Clara 81	0.778	San Diego 63 - Santa Clara 81	8
San Jose State 66 - Boise State 75	0.69	San Jose State 74 - Boise State 68	-15
SIU Edwardsville 70 - SE Missouri State 68	0.55	SIU Edwardsville 93 - SE Missouri State 78	-13
South Carolina State 64 - Norfolk State 79	0.858	South Carolina State 76 - Norfolk State 88	-3
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Gardner Webb 68	0.581	South Carolina Upstate 75 - Gardner Webb 69	-9
South Dakota 65 - UMKC 66	0.509	South Dakota 82 - UMKC 48	-35
South Dakota State 67 - Oral Roberts 75	0.67	South Dakota State 65 - Oral Roberts 69	-4
South Florida 75 - Southern Methodist 72	0.577	South Florida 71 - Southern Methodist 67	-1
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Mcneese State 64	0.75	Southeast Louisiana 78 - Mcneese State 75	5
Tennessee 83 - South Carolina 59	0.911	Tennessee 85 - South Carolina 45	-16
Tennessee State 71 - Southern Indiana 68	0.568	Tennessee State 81 - Southern Indiana 93	15
Texas AM CC 69 - Northwestern State 67	0.573	Texas AM CC 83 - Northwestern State 75	-6
Texas Arlington 71 - Utah Tech 69	0.538	Texas Arlington 71 - Utah Tech 69	0
Texas Pan American 70 - Tarleton State 71	0.552	Texas Pan American 99 - Tarleton State 95	-5
Texas Tech 75 - Texas Christian 76	0.527	Texas Tech 82 - Texas Christian 83	0
Toledo 80 - Buffalo 70	0.737	Toledo 101 - Buffalo 71	-20
UC San Diego 64 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.83	UC San Diego 71 - UC Santa Barbara 87	6
UMass Lowell 71 - New Hampshire 61	0.726	UMass Lowell 92 - New Hampshire 55	-27
UNC Wilmington 68 - Towson 67	0.55	UNC Wilmington 53 - Towson 57	5
Utah 73 - Southern California 75	0.556	Utah 49 - Southern California 62	11
Vanderbilt 75 - Florida 74	0.503	Vanderbilt 88 - Florida 72	-15
Villanova 69 - Creighton 75	0.689	Villanova 79 - Creighton 67	-18
Wake Forest 81 - Notre Dame 70	0.812	Wake Forest 66 - Notre Dame 58	3
Weber State 73 - Idaho 63	0.738	Weber State 67 - Idaho 53	-4
Western Carolina 76 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.798	Western Carolina 85 - Virginia Military Institute 66	-6
Western Kentucky 71 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.752	Western Kentucky 60 - Alabama Birmingham 72	5
William and Mary 69 - Monmouth 65	0.593	William and Mary 74 - Monmouth 62	-8
Winthrop 75 - High Point 68	0.685	Winthrop 84 - High Point 78	1
Wofford 72 - Chattanooga 71	0.517	Wofford 86 - Chattanooga 74	-11
Yale 77 - Cornell 69	0.694	Yale 76 - Cornell 58	-10

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 70 - Drake 68	0.535	Bradley 73 - Drake 61	-10
Canisius 68 - Fairfield 69	0.54	Canisius 64 - Fairfield 51	-14
Colorado 67 - UCLA 76	0.72	Colorado 56 - UCLA 60	-5
Duquesne 74 - Davidson 68	0.653	Duquesne 67 - Davidson 71	10
Georgetown 69 - Providence 83	0.874	Georgetown 68 - Providence 88	6
Illinois Chicago 62 - Southern Illinois 72	0.769	Illinois Chicago 65 - Southern Illinois 68	-7
Illinois State 74 - Evansville 65	0.76	Illinois State 72 - Evansville 53	-10
Indiana State 73 - Missouri State 65	0.686	Indiana State 62 - Missouri State 66	12
Iona 74 - Siena 64	0.761	Iona 93 - Siena 60	-23
Maryland 73 - Northwestern 70	0.564	Maryland 75 - Northwestern 59	-13
Memphis 78 - Cincinnati 73	0.676	Memphis 76 - Cincinnati 73	2
Michigan 75 - Wisconsin 71	0.613	Michigan 87 - Wisconsin 79	-4
Murray State 75 - Valparaiso 68	0.672	Murray State 77 - Valparaiso 76	6
Niagara 67 - Saint Peters 61	0.7	Niagara 65 - Saint Peters 66	7
Northern Iowa 70 - Belmont 73	0.609	Northern Iowa 75 - Belmont 83	5
Ohio State 73 - Illinois 78	0.63	Ohio State 72 - Illinois 60	-17
Penn State 72 - Rutgers 73	0.529	Penn State 56 - Rutgers 59	2
Quinnipiac 75 - Manhattan 65	0.749	Quinnipiac 70 - Manhattan 72	12
Rider 73 - Mt St Marys 63	0.816	Rider 58 - Mt St Marys 63	15
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Saint Josephs 68	0.566	Saint Bonaventure 89 - Saint Josephs 76	-10
Stanford 75 - Washington 74	0.536	Stanford 81 - Washington 69	-11
Stephen F Austin 71 - Cal Baptist 67	0.62	Stephen F Austin 80 - Cal Baptist 58	-18
Tulane 78 - Wichita State 72	0.706	Tulane 76 - Wichita State 83	13
Tulsa 63 - Central Florida 80	0.863	Tulsa 49 - Central Florida 68	2

Number of DI Games: 341
Number Correct: 241 = 70.6%
Expected Number Correct: 229.908 = 67.4%
Average Error: 8.91
Average Signed Error: -1.69

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 71 - Texas Southern 65	0.664	Alcorn State 89 - Texas Southern 81	-2
Bethune Cookman 60 - Grambling State 71	0.745	Bethune Cookman 54 - Grambling State 66	1
Delaware State 70 - Coppin State 69	0.521	Delaware State 72 - Coppin State 82	11
Eastern Washington 71 - Montana State 68	0.603	Eastern Washington 74 - Montana State 79	8
Florida AM 62 - Southern 68	0.656	Florida AM 58 - Southern 60	-4
Florida State 70 - North Carolina 81	0.769	Florida State 66 - North Carolina 77	0
Idaho 64 - Montana 73	0.744	Idaho 53 - Montana 68	6
Iowa State 74 - West Virginia 73	0.53	Iowa State 69 - West Virginia 72	4
Jackson State 68 - Prairie View 67	0.51	Jackson State 61 - Prairie View 57	-3
Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Morgan State 62	0.7	Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Morgan State 68	15
North Carolina Central 65 - Norfolk State 66	0.512	North Carolina Central 76 - Norfolk State 75	-2
North Florida 70 - Bellarmine 68	0.549	North Florida 74 - Bellarmine 76	4
Northern Arizona 66 - Weber State 69	0.577	Northern Arizona 89 - Weber State 90	-2
Northern Colorado 73 - Idaho State 69	0.602	Northern Colorado 87 - Idaho State 72	-11
Oklahoma State 73 - Baylor 78	0.632	Oklahoma State 68 - Baylor 74	1
Portland State 70 - Sacramento State 69	0.55	Portland State 74 - Sacramento State 76	3
Queens 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.544	Queens 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 55	-7
South Carolina State 68 - Howard 77	0.727	South Carolina State 78 - Howard 82	-5
Wyoming 66 - Nevada 79	0.817	Wyoming 80 - Nevada 71	-22

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 71 - Ball State 65	0.661	Akron 87 - Ball State 83	2
American 68 - Bucknell 64	0.601	American 64 - Bucknell 59	-1
Binghamton 68 - UMBC 70	0.556	Binghamton 67 - UMBC 70	1
Boise State 71 - San Diego State 72	0.539	Boise State 66 - San Diego State 60	-7
Bowling Green 74 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.561	Bowling Green 88 - Eastern Michigan 68	-17
Butler 67 - Marquette 79	0.778	Butler 56 - Marquette 72	4
Central Michigan 62 - Toledo 80	0.868	Central Michigan 65 - Toledo 99	16
Coastal Carolina 71 - Arkansas State 69	0.532	Coastal Carolina 69 - Arkansas State 86	19
Dayton 77 - La Salle 62	0.834	Dayton 77 - La Salle 53	-9
Detroit 72 - IPFW 69	0.579	Detroit 81 - IPFW 68	-10
Duke 75 - NC State 71	0.6	Duke 71 - NC State 67	0
Eastern Kentucky 75 - North Alabama 69	0.664	Eastern Kentucky 73 - North Alabama 48	-19
Georgia 72 - Florida 77	0.616	Georgia 67 - Florida 77	5
Indiana 82 - Iowa 77	0.61	Indiana 68 - Iowa 90	27
Kansas 82 - Texas Tech 70	0.77	Kansas 67 - Texas Tech 63	8
Kennesaw St 77 - Queens 67	0.78	Kennesaw St 67 - Queens 66	9
Kent State 73 - Ohio 65	0.704	Kent State 82 - Ohio 75	1
Liberty 74 - Bellarmine 55	0.896	Liberty 76 - Bellarmine 56	-1
Louisville 67 - Virginia Tech 79	0.784	Louisville 54 - Virginia Tech 71	5
Loyola MD 70 - Holy Cross 66	0.627	Loyola MD 73 - Holy Cross 69	0
Maine 67 - Bryant 72	0.616	Maine 66 - Bryant 64	-7
Mississippi 68 - Texas AM 78	0.757	Mississippi 61 - Texas AM 69	-2
Mississippi State 78 - South Carolina 62	0.844	Mississippi State 74 - South Carolina 68	10
Nebraska 71 - Michigan State 76	0.63	Nebraska 67 - Michigan State 80	8
New Hampshire 69 - NJ Tech 62	0.666	New Hampshire 59 - NJ Tech 58	6
New Mexico 78 - Fresno State 68	0.77	New Mexico 94 - Fresno State 80	-4
Northern Illinois 71 - Buffalo 73	0.538	Northern Illinois 75 - Buffalo 85	8
Robert Morris 74 - IUPUI 59	0.831	Robert Morris 67 - IUPUI 64	12
San Jose State 75 - Colorado State 72	0.565	San Jose State 63 - Colorado State 46	-14
Seton Hall 70 - Villanova 69	0.512	Seton Hall 72 - Villanova 76	5
Stetson 72 - Lipscomb 71	0.536	Stetson 70 - Lipscomb 83	14
Syracuse 77 - Georgia Tech 68	0.716	Syracuse 76 - Georgia Tech 96	29
Tarleton State 88 - Unranked 53		Tarleton State 110 - Unranked 45
Tennessee 75 - Arkansas 69	0.623	Tennessee 75 - Arkansas 57	-12
Texas State 70 - Georgia State 66	0.626	Texas State 81 - Georgia State 76	-1
Vermont 78 - Albany 57	0.899	Vermont 79 - Albany 61	3
Virginia 72 - Clemson 67	0.602	Virginia 64 - Clemson 57	-2
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Saint Louis 67	0.691	Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Saint Louis 67	-5
Wake Forest 78 - Boston College 70	0.714	Wake Forest 69 - Boston College 71	10
Western Michigan 69 - Miami OH 71	0.577	Western Michigan 62 - Miami OH 77	13
Wright State 80 - Green Bay 59	0.919	Wright State 77 - Green Bay 57	1

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 83 - Auburn 72	0.711	Alabama 90 - Auburn 85	6
Cal Baptist 74 - Texas Pan American 68	0.66	Cal Baptist 88 - Texas Pan American 70	-12
Campbell 71 - Presbyterian 61	0.766	Campbell 68 - Presbyterian 63	5
Connecticut 85 - DePaul 66	0.913	Connecticut 88 - DePaul 59	-10
Creighton 85 - Georgetown 65	0.931	Creighton 99 - Georgetown 59	-20
Davidson 78 - George Washington 70	0.723	Davidson 70 - George Washington 75	13
Duquesne 76 - Massachusetts 68	0.711	Duquesne 88 - Massachusetts 79	-1
East Carolina 71 - Tulane 78	0.706	East Carolina 83 - Tulane 68	-22
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.681	Fairleigh Dickinson 83 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 75	-1
George Mason 70 - Fordham 69	0.543	George Mason 64 - Fordham 58	-5
Gonzaga 90 - Chicago State 57	0.975	Gonzaga 104 - Chicago State 65	-6
High Point 72 - Charleston Southern 71	0.546	High Point 70 - Charleston Southern 72	3
Houston Christian 69 - Southeast Louisiana 75	0.674	Houston Christian 64 - Southeast Louisiana 80	10
Kansas State 79 - Oklahoma 71	0.682	Kansas State 85 - Oklahoma 69	-8
Kentucky 80 - Vanderbilt 71	0.693	Kentucky 66 - Vanderbilt 68	11
Louisiana State 72 - Missouri 80	0.682	Louisiana State 76 - Missouri 81	-3
Loyola Ill 71 - Rhode Island 68	0.564	Loyola Ill 77 - Rhode Island 79	5
Mcneese State 68 - New Orleans 67	0.527	Mcneese State 80 - New Orleans 73	-6
Merrimack 72 - LIU Brooklyn 55	0.931	Merrimack 91 - LIU Brooklyn 76	2
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Utah State 78	0.65	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Utah State 91	20
Nicholls State 72 - Lamar 59	0.802	Nicholls State 64 - Lamar 60	9
Northwestern 75 - Penn State 71	0.607	Northwestern 65 - Penn State 68	7
Northwestern State 73 - Incarnate Word 59	0.827	Northwestern State 81 - Incarnate Word 64	-3
Notre Dame 67 - Pittsburgh 77	0.765	Notre Dame 88 - Pittsburgh 81	-17
Ohio State 71 - Maryland 77	0.637	Ohio State 73 - Maryland 62	-17
Providence 78 - Xavier 77	0.519	Providence 89 - Xavier 94	6
Sacred Heart 64 - Wagner 63	0.502	Sacred Heart 67 - Wagner 55	-11
Saint Francis Penn 69 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.595	Saint Francis Penn 83 - Central Connecticut State 69	-11
Saint Josephs 71 - Richmond 72	0.524	Saint Josephs 83 - Richmond 67	-17
SE Missouri State 72 - Lindenwood 66	0.668	SE Missouri State 84 - Lindenwood 65	-13
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Southern Indiana 68	0.523	SIU Edwardsville 68 - Southern Indiana 54	-13
South Florida 79 - Tulsa 66	0.829	South Florida 72 - Tulsa 56	-3
Southern Utah 75 - Grand Canyon 71	0.607	Southern Utah 78 - Grand Canyon 83	9
Stephen F Austin 67 - Sam Houston State 70	0.572	Stephen F Austin 59 - Sam Houston State 64	2
Texas AM Commerce 64 - Texas AM CC 70	0.681	Texas AM Commerce 88 - Texas AM CC 93	-1
Texas Christian 76 - Texas 78	0.548	Texas Christian 75 - Texas 73	-4
Utah Tech 69 - Seattle 73	0.606	Utah Tech 93 - Seattle 56	-41
Utah Valley 76 - Texas Arlington 62	0.818	Utah Valley 78 - Texas Arlington 59	-5

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 67 - Jackson State 69	0.568	Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Jackson State 67	2
Army 69 - Boston 66	0.618	Army 71 - Boston 69	1
Cal State Northridge 59 - Hawaii 72	0.87	Cal State Northridge 55 - Hawaii 81	13
Cleveland State 69 - Robert Morris 63	0.656	Cleveland State 75 - Robert Morris 70	1
Colgate 79 - Loyola MD 61	0.89	Colgate 92 - Loyola MD 73	-1
Delaware State 60 - Maryland Eastern Shore 70	0.781	Delaware State 58 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	-4
Fairfield 66 - Quinnipiac 70	0.605	Fairfield 92 - Quinnipiac 82	-14
Georgia Southern 71 - UL Monroe 65	0.676	Georgia Southern 66 - UL Monroe 57	-3
Grambling State 70 - Alabama AM 59	0.762	Grambling State 60 - Alabama AM 48	-1
Houston 79 - Wichita State 60	0.935	Houston 83 - Wichita State 66	2
Howard 68 - Norfolk State 71	0.565	Howard 87 - Norfolk State 67	-23
Illinois 76 - Michigan 75	0.542	Illinois 91 - Michigan 87	-3
Indiana State 81 - Evansville 62	0.896	Indiana State 97 - Evansville 58	-20
Iona 78 - Marist 58	0.892	Iona 93 - Marist 74	1
Kennesaw St 73 - Lipscomb 68	0.645	Kennesaw St 80 - Lipscomb 71	-4
Lehigh 68 - Lafayette 63	0.635	Lehigh 64 - Lafayette 71	12
Liberty 74 - Eastern Kentucky 61	0.832	Liberty 79 - Eastern Kentucky 73	7
Long Beach State 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.809	Long Beach State 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	-6
Louisiana Tech 74 - Florida International 69	0.645	Louisiana Tech 77 - Florida International 76	4
Milwaukee 72 - Wright State 73	0.508	Milwaukee 87 - Wright State 70	-18
Minnesota 64 - Rutgers 77	0.833	Minnesota 75 - Rutgers 74	-14
Mississippi Valley State 63 - Alcorn State 73	0.77	Mississippi Valley State 60 - Alcorn State 70	0
Missouri State 73 - Illinois Chicago 63	0.783	Missouri State 74 - Illinois Chicago 57	-7
Morgan State 74 - Coppin State 67	0.676	Morgan State 65 - Coppin State 77	19
Murray State 74 - Valparaiso 70	0.616	Murray State 78 - Valparaiso 50	-24
Navy 70 - American 60	0.76	Navy 51 - American 52	11
North Texas 71 - Middle Tennessee 62	0.716	North Texas 64 - Middle Tennessee 50	-5
Northern Iowa 72 - Illinois State 68	0.629	Northern Iowa 75 - Illinois State 62	-9
Northern Kentucky 71 - Oakland 62	0.74	Northern Kentucky 81 - Oakland 74	2
Old Dominion 70 - Texas State 64	0.749	Old Dominion 36 - Texas State 65	35
Oregon 82 - California 62	0.876	Oregon 84 - California 51	-13
Oregon State 69 - Stanford 74	0.626	Oregon State 60 - Stanford 83	18
Pacific 77 - Pepperdine 75	0.557	Pacific 84 - Pepperdine 71	-11
Portland 77 - San Diego 75	0.545	Portland 92 - San Diego 74	-16
Rice 68 - Florida Atlantic 80	0.783	Rice 74 - Florida Atlantic 103	17
Saint Peters 63 - Rider 69	0.671	Saint Peters 60 - Rider 73	7
Siena 73 - Manhattan 64	0.733	Siena 66 - Manhattan 67	10
South Alabama 69 - Appalachian State 65	0.604	South Alabama 68 - Appalachian State 61	-3
South Carolina State 63 - North Carolina Central 75	0.814	South Carolina State 64 - North Carolina Central 71	-5
Southern 71 - Alabama State 61	0.754	Southern 66 - Alabama State 52	-4
Southern California 78 - Arizona 79	0.53	Southern California 81 - Arizona 87	5
Southern Methodist 70 - Memphis 82	0.847	Southern Methodist 62 - Memphis 81	7
Temple 70 - Central Florida 72	0.55	Temple 57 - Central Florida 55	-4
Tennessee Martin 68 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.516	Tennessee Martin 81 - SIU Edwardsville 75	-7
Tennessee State 72 - SE Missouri State 71	0.506	Tennessee State 83 - SE Missouri State 91	9
Texas El Paso 69 - Western Kentucky 70	0.501	Texas El Paso 68 - Western Kentucky 73	4
Texas San Antonio 64 - Charlotte 75	0.774	Texas San Antonio 78 - Charlotte 73	-16
Troy 73 - Arkansas State 63	0.823	Troy 63 - Arkansas State 59	6
UC Davis 69 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.565	UC Davis 86 - UC Santa Barbara 89	1
UC Riverside 70 - UC Irvine 71	0.501	UC Riverside 65 - UC Irvine 75	9
UCLA 79 - Arizona State 67	0.806	UCLA 79 - Arizona State 61	-6
Washington 72 - Washington State 73	0.539	Washington 84 - Washington State 93	8
Wisconsin 68 - Purdue 75	0.709	Wisconsin 61 - Purdue 63	-5
Youngstown State 78 - Detroit 69	0.702	Youngstown State 71 - Detroit 66	4

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 70 - Toledo 76	0.633	Ball State 81 - Toledo 87	0
Belmont 74 - Indiana State 73	0.51	Belmont 91 - Indiana State 94	4
Bradley 75 - Northern Iowa 63	0.787	Bradley 72 - Northern Iowa 66	6
Brigham Young 78 - Portland 68	0.738	Brigham Young 82 - Portland 71	-1
Buffalo 76 - Miami OH 68	0.674	Buffalo 68 - Miami OH 63	3
Chattanooga 77 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.797	Chattanooga 92 - Virginia Military Institute 72	-7
Colorado State 75 - New Mexico 79	0.598	Colorado State 92 - New Mexico 84	-12
Denver 69 - North Dakota 71	0.529	Denver 68 - North Dakota 83	13
Drake 78 - Murray State 66	0.761	Drake 74 - Murray State 62	0
Hampton 69 - Monmouth 68	0.528	Hampton 64 - Monmouth 100	37
Kent State 68 - Akron 64	0.603	Kent State 89 - Akron 84	-1
Longwood 69 - Campbell 64	0.643	Longwood 68 - Campbell 81	18
Mercer 70 - The Citadel 63	0.661	Mercer 66 - The Citadel 41	-18
Morehead State 70 - SE Missouri State 64	0.648	Morehead State 58 - SE Missouri State 65	13
Northern Illinois 74 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.632	Northern Illinois 85 - Eastern Michigan 66	-13
Ohio 78 - Bowling Green 66	0.771	Ohio 92 - Bowling Green 58	-22
Radford 70 - Winthrop 68	0.592	Radford 78 - Winthrop 69	-7
Saint Louis 70 - Dayton 71	0.523	Saint Louis 65 - Dayton 61	-5
Sam Houston State 75 - Abilene Christian 63	0.794	Sam Houston State 72 - Abilene Christian 54	-6
San Francisco 77 - Pacific 71	0.668	San Francisco 80 - Pacific 63	-11
Seattle 72 - Texas Arlington 64	0.705	Seattle 80 - Texas Arlington 56	-16
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Gardner Webb 68	0.585	South Carolina Upstate 77 - Gardner Webb 76	-4
Southern Illinois 66 - Missouri State 64	0.556	Southern Illinois 54 - Missouri State 51	-1
Southern Utah 75 - Cal Baptist 68	0.687	Southern Utah 81 - Cal Baptist 71	-3
Tennessee Tech 68 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.525	Tennessee Tech 78 - Tennessee Martin 63	-16
Tulane 80 - East Carolina 69	0.795	Tulane 81 - East Carolina 78	8
UMKC 68 - Omaha 66	0.558	UMKC 61 - Omaha 73	14
UNC Asheville 77 - Charleston Southern 63	0.825	UNC Asheville 75 - Charleston Southern 66	5
Utah Tech 70 - Grand Canyon 74	0.631	Utah Tech 61 - Grand Canyon 71	6
Utah Valley 74 - Stephen F Austin 68	0.654	Utah Valley 113 - Stephen F Austin 69	-38
Western Michigan 68 - Central Michigan 67	0.547	Western Michigan 81 - Central Michigan 65	-15

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - San Jose State 71	0.557	Air Force 61 - San Jose State 63	0
Arkansas 76 - Kentucky 74	0.566	Arkansas 79 - Kentucky 88	11
Arkansas Pine Bluff 65 - Alcorn State 71	0.676	Arkansas Pine Bluff 58 - Alcorn State 63	-1
Auburn 69 - Tennessee 73	0.596	Auburn 79 - Tennessee 70	-13
Baylor 77 - Iowa State 69	0.689	Baylor 58 - Iowa State 73	23
Bethune Cookman 66 - Florida AM 63	0.574	Bethune Cookman 91 - Florida AM 70	-18
Boston College 73 - Georgia Tech 68	0.61	Boston College 65 - Georgia Tech 73	13
Bradley 73 - Indiana State 67	0.627	Bradley 71 - Indiana State 70	5
Brown 65 - Yale 72	0.688	Brown 75 - Yale 84	2
Cal Poly 60 - UC Riverside 73	0.832	Cal Poly 72 - UC Riverside 73	-12
Canisius 69 - Niagara 68	0.515	Canisius 81 - Niagara 68	-12
Charlotte 68 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.635	Charlotte 91 - Alabama Birmingham 93	-2
Clemson 79 - Notre Dame 66	0.786	Clemson 87 - Notre Dame 64	-10
Colorado 74 - Utah 71	0.562	Colorado 69 - Utah 60	-6
Cornell 82 - Columbia 65	0.879	Cornell 87 - Columbia 73	3
Dartmouth 64 - Harvard 70	0.665	Dartmouth 87 - Harvard 82	-11
Delaware 71 - Northeastern 65	0.653	Delaware 77 - Northeastern 74	3
DePaul 68 - Creighton 82	0.847	DePaul 70 - Creighton 84	0
Drake 71 - Southern Illinois 65	0.647	Drake 65 - Southern Illinois 52	-7
Drexel 72 - Monmouth 60	0.766	Drexel 64 - Monmouth 45	-7
Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.623	Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Saint Francis Penn 50	-16
Florida 78 - Louisiana State 69	0.73	Florida 79 - Louisiana State 67	-3
Fordham 72 - Duquesne 71	0.514	Fordham 87 - Duquesne 60	-26
Fresno State 74 - Chicago State 60	0.862	Fresno State 108 - Chicago State 72	-22
Furman 75 - Mercer 62	0.793	Furman 73 - Mercer 58	-2
George Washington 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 79	0.797	George Washington 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	-6
Grambling State 71 - Alabama State 56	0.871	Grambling State 69 - Alabama State 49	-5
James Madison 73 - Troy 70	0.584	James Madison 75 - Troy 72	0
La Salle 73 - Loyola Ill 69	0.602	La Salle 73 - Loyola Ill 76	7
Louisiana Tech 66 - Florida Atlantic 78	0.827	Louisiana Tech 72 - Florida Atlantic 76	-8
Loyola Marymount 70 - Brigham Young 73	0.572	Loyola Marymount 63 - Brigham Young 73	7
Manhattan 68 - Mt St Marys 66	0.572	Manhattan 69 - Mt St Marys 74	7
Marist 65 - Quinnipiac 71	0.666	Marist 76 - Quinnipiac 88	6
Marquette 85 - Saint Johns 72	0.832	Marquette 96 - Saint Johns 94	11
Marshall 78 - Texas State 66	0.84	Marshall 68 - Texas State 71	15
Massachusetts 71 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.508	Massachusetts 71 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-10
Merrimack 66 - Sacred Heart 60	0.687	Merrimack 71 - Sacred Heart 60	-5
Miami 77 - Pittsburgh 73	0.619	Miami 78 - Pittsburgh 76	2
Michigan State 78 - Ohio State 70	0.706	Michigan State 84 - Ohio State 78	2
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Jackson State 71	0.682	Mississippi Valley State 60 - Jackson State 68	2
Missouri 81 - Mississippi 71	0.762	Missouri 82 - Mississippi 77	5
Nevada 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	0.772	Nevada 67 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	11
New Hampshire 66 - Bryant 70	0.586	New Hampshire 67 - Bryant 60	-11
North Carolina 74 - Duke 73	0.503	North Carolina 57 - Duke 62	6
North Carolina AT 69 - Stony Brook 67	0.54	North Carolina AT 61 - Stony Brook 76	17
North Texas 73 - Western Kentucky 61	0.845	North Texas 67 - Western Kentucky 33	-22
Northern Arizona 72 - Idaho 68	0.62	Northern Arizona 87 - Idaho 76	-7
Oklahoma 74 - Texas Christian 76	0.544	Oklahoma 74 - Texas Christian 60	-16
Oral Roberts 81 - North Dakota 63	0.85	Oral Roberts 96 - North Dakota 80	2
Oregon 79 - Stanford 71	0.675	Oregon 73 - Stanford 68	3
Oregon State 73 - California 65	0.685	Oregon State 69 - California 66	5
Portland State 74 - Northern Colorado 75	0.535	Portland State 80 - Northern Colorado 84	3
Prairie View 68 - Texas Southern 65	0.602	Prairie View 78 - Texas Southern 74	-1
Princeton 73 - Pennsylvania 70	0.56	Princeton 77 - Pennsylvania 69	-5
Providence 76 - Seton Hall 69	0.69	Providence 58 - Seton Hall 82	31
Radford 68 - Campbell 64	0.624	Radford 71 - Campbell 72	5
Rhode Island 67 - Davidson 73	0.696	Rhode Island 54 - Davidson 68	8
Rice 77 - Florida International 72	0.619	Rice 83 - Florida International 90	12
Richmond 70 - George Mason 69	0.503	Richmond 60 - George Mason 62	3
Rider 66 - Iona 75	0.735	Rider 78 - Iona 80	-7
Saint Peters 62 - Siena 68	0.674	Saint Peters 73 - Siena 72	-7
Samford 74 - Chattanooga 69	0.64	Samford 82 - Chattanooga 85	8
San Diego State 82 - Wyoming 62	0.921	San Diego State 67 - Wyoming 50	3
Santa Clara 76 - San Francisco 71	0.637	Santa Clara 87 - San Francisco 93	11
South Carolina 73 - Georgia 75	0.558	South Carolina 61 - Georgia 55	-8
South Dakota State 76 - Omaha 62	0.827	South Dakota State 63 - Omaha 55	6
Southern 70 - Alabama AM 65	0.623	Southern 65 - Alabama AM 68	8
Southern California 79 - Arizona State 72	0.663	Southern California 68 - Arizona State 65	4
Southern Miss 71 - South Alabama 68	0.57	Southern Miss 61 - South Alabama 78	20
Syracuse 75 - Wake Forest 76	0.513	Syracuse 72 - Wake Forest 63	-10
Tennessee Tech 69 - SE Missouri State 70	0.512	Tennessee Tech 82 - SE Missouri State 89	6
Texas 77 - Kansas 78	0.531	Texas 75 - Kansas 59	-17
Texas AM 74 - Alabama 79	0.616	Texas AM 67 - Alabama 61	-11
Texas El Paso 67 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.617	Texas El Paso 77 - Middle Tennessee 65	-16
Texas Tech 75 - Oklahoma State 73	0.549	Texas Tech 68 - Oklahoma State 71	5
UC Davis 76 - Long Beach State 73	0.597	UC Davis 93 - Long Beach State 92	2
UC Irvine 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.86	UC Irvine 52 - Cal State Bakersfield 44	7
UC Santa Barbara 68 - Hawaii 65	0.606	UC Santa Barbara 81 - Hawaii 61	-17
UCLA 79 - Arizona 74	0.632	UCLA 82 - Arizona 73	-4
UL Lafayette 75 - Georgia Southern 68	0.716	UL Lafayette 67 - Georgia Southern 49	-11
UMass Lowell 74 - Maine 61	0.76	UMass Lowell 85 - Maine 54	-18
UMBC 72 - Binghamton 66	0.654	UMBC 65 - Binghamton 67	8
UNC Asheville 72 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.736	UNC Asheville 66 - South Carolina Upstate 62	4
UNC Greensboro 73 - Wofford 65	0.713	UNC Greensboro 66 - Wofford 67	9
Utah State 74 - Boise State 73	0.541	Utah State 86 - Boise State 73	-12
Vanderbilt 71 - Mississippi State 72	0.542	Vanderbilt 77 - Mississippi State 72	-6
Vermont 77 - NJ Tech 58	0.904	Vermont 84 - NJ Tech 57	-8
Villanova 70 - Connecticut 75	0.642	Villanova 59 - Connecticut 71	7
Virginia 79 - Louisville 58	0.919	Virginia 75 - Louisville 60	6
Virginia Tech 80 - Florida State 70	0.747	Virginia Tech 82 - Florida State 60	-12
West Virginia 76 - Kansas State 77	0.512	West Virginia 89 - Kansas State 81	-9
Western Carolina 67 - East Tennessee State 68	0.501	Western Carolina 69 - East Tennessee State 57	-13
William and Mary 68 - Elon 67	0.542	William and Mary 73 - Elon 51	-21
Xavier 80 - Butler 66	0.818	Xavier 78 - Butler 66	2

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 70 - Drake 69	0.507	Bradley 51 - Drake 77	27
Central Florida 76 - East Carolina 64	0.811	Central Florida 84 - East Carolina 58	-14
Cincinnati 80 - Southern Methodist 67	0.818	Cincinnati 97 - Southern Methodist 74	-10
Colgate 77 - Army 64	0.846	Colgate 91 - Army 74	-4
College of Charleston 80 - Stony Brook 58	0.931	College of Charleston 74 - Stony Brook 52	0
Eastern Washington 77 - Northern Arizona 66	0.806	Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Arizona 81	12
Furman 78 - Western Carolina 65	0.782	Furman 83 - Western Carolina 80	10
Hofstra 77 - William and Mary 60	0.883	Hofstra 94 - William and Mary 46	-31
Houston Christian 71 - New Orleans 73	0.546	Houston Christian 69 - New Orleans 90	19
Indiana 78 - Michigan 74	0.588	Indiana 75 - Michigan 73	2
Iowa 83 - Nebraska 75	0.672	Iowa 77 - Nebraska 81	12
James Madison 72 - South Alabama 70	0.546	James Madison 66 - South Alabama 75	11
Kennesaw St 64 - Liberty 70	0.673	Kennesaw St 67 - Liberty 66	-7
Lafayette 64 - American 63	0.545	Lafayette 84 - American 76	-7
Mcneese State 65 - Texas AM Commerce 66	0.555	Mcneese State 79 - Texas AM Commerce 78	-2
Memphis 69 - Houston 76	0.734	Memphis 65 - Houston 67	-5
Minnesota 66 - Wisconsin 77	0.819	Minnesota 67 - Wisconsin 71	-7
Montana State 75 - Northern Colorado 66	0.744	Montana State 84 - Northern Colorado 73	-2
North Dakota State 72 - South Dakota 66	0.646	North Dakota State 70 - South Dakota 68	4
Penn State 72 - Maryland 76	0.577	Penn State 65 - Maryland 64	-5
Purdue 78 - Illinois 70	0.702	Purdue 76 - Illinois 71	3
Rutgers 71 - Northwestern 68	0.551	Rutgers 53 - Northwestern 65	15
Towson 71 - Delaware 66	0.631	Towson 86 - Delaware 60	-21
Tulane 78 - Temple 73	0.629	Tulane 83 - Temple 82	4
UL Lafayette 76 - Texas State 66	0.802	UL Lafayette 64 - Texas State 58	4
UNC Asheville 72 - Campbell 64	0.729	UNC Asheville 77 - Campbell 73	4
UNC Wilmington 66 - Drexel 64	0.553	UNC Wilmington 73 - Drexel 68	-3
Western Illinois 68 - Saint Thomas 71	0.57	Western Illinois 60 - Saint Thomas 67	4
Wichita State 75 - South Florida 70	0.674	Wichita State 69 - South Florida 49	-15
Wofford 71 - Chattanooga 72	0.515	Wofford 62 - Chattanooga 74	11

Number of DI Games: 306
Number Correct: 213 = 69.6%
Expected Number Correct: 205.616 = 67.1%
Average Error: 8.73
Average Signed Error: -0.85

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
College of Charleston 75 - Towson 67	0.719	College of Charleston 77 - Towson 72	3
Furman 77 - Chattanooga 68	0.727	Furman 88 - Chattanooga 79	0
Gonzaga 83 - San Francisco 70	0.807	Gonzaga 84 - San Francisco 73	2
Hofstra 72 - UNC Wilmington 64	0.693	Hofstra 73 - UNC Wilmington 79	14
Milwaukee 69 - Cleveland State 71	0.538	Milwaukee 80 - Cleveland State 93	11
Montana 71 - Idaho State 63	0.718	Montana 83 - Idaho State 74	-1
Nicholls State 70 - Mcneese State 63	0.701	Nicholls State 71 - Mcneese State 77	13
Oral Roberts 78 - Saint Thomas 65	0.786	Oral Roberts 70 - Saint Thomas 65	8
Saint Marys 72 - Brigham Young 63	0.73	Saint Marys 76 - Brigham Young 69	2
South Dakota State 70 - North Dakota State 67	0.598	South Dakota State 79 - North Dakota State 89	13
Southeast Louisiana 73 - New Orleans 66	0.684	Southeast Louisiana 78 - New Orleans 82	11
UL Lafayette 72 - South Alabama 70	0.548	UL Lafayette 71 - South Alabama 66	-3
Weber State 67 - Sacramento State 63	0.608	Weber State 70 - Sacramento State 64	-2
Youngstown State 69 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.558	Youngstown State 63 - Northern Kentucky 75	14

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 75 - Louisville 67	0.694	Boston College 80 - Louisville 62	-10
Cal Baptist 71 - Abilene Christian 69	0.534	Cal Baptist 69 - Abilene Christian 62	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.61	Cal State Bakersfield 51 - Cal State Northridge 47	0
Cleveland State 64 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.546	Cleveland State 61 - Northern Kentucky 63	1
College of Charleston 75 - UNC Wilmington 65	0.77	College of Charleston 63 - UNC Wilmington 58	5
Fairfield 66 - Saint Peters 62	0.622	Fairfield 52 - Saint Peters 70	22
Florida State 72 - Georgia Tech 74	0.557	Florida State 60 - Georgia Tech 61	-1
Grand Canyon 73 - Texas Arlington 64	0.735	Grand Canyon 82 - Texas Arlington 77	4
La Salle 71 - Rhode Island 70	0.54	La Salle 73 - Rhode Island 56	-16
Long Beach State 77 - Cal Poly 64	0.834	Long Beach State 68 - Cal Poly 88	33
Manhattan 68 - Marist 67	0.547	Manhattan 50 - Marist 61	12
Merrimack 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.605	Merrimack 67 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	3
Montana 72 - Northern Arizona 66	0.673	Montana 71 - Northern Arizona 83	18
Montana State 69 - Weber State 63	0.667	Montana State 60 - Weber State 58	4
Mt St Marys 67 - Canisius 69	0.558	Mt St Marys 67 - Canisius 66	-3
Northwestern State 74 - New Orleans 63	0.738	Northwestern State 74 - New Orleans 70	7
Oral Roberts 78 - North Dakota State 65	0.785	Oral Roberts 92 - North Dakota State 58	-21
Richmond 72 - Massachusetts 71	0.526	Richmond 71 - Massachusetts 38	-32
Saint Josephs 74 - Loyola Ill 70	0.598	Saint Josephs 72 - Loyola Ill 67	-1
Saint Marys 71 - Gonzaga 72	0.537	Saint Marys 51 - Gonzaga 77	25
Stephen F Austin 75 - Utah Tech 71	0.61	Stephen F Austin 76 - Utah Tech 80	8
Tarleton State 75 - Texas Pan American 70	0.638	Tarleton State 74 - Texas Pan American 70	1
Texas AM CC 73 - Mcneese State 62	0.796	Texas AM CC 80 - Mcneese State 63	-6
UMass Lowell 72 - New Hampshire 61	0.739	UMass Lowell 75 - New Hampshire 64	0
Vermont 75 - Binghamton 59	0.862	Vermont 79 - Binghamton 57	-6
Virginia Tech 77 - Notre Dame 68	0.747	Virginia Tech 67 - Notre Dame 64	6

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 71 - Texas Southern 66	0.661	Alcorn State 62 - Texas Southern 66	9
Arizona State 77 - Oregon State 66	0.781	Arizona State 63 - Oregon State 57	5
Colgate 75 - Lafayette 60	0.875	Colgate 79 - Lafayette 61	-3
Colorado State 73 - Fresno State 71	0.566	Colorado State 67 - Fresno State 65	0
Davidson 71 - Saint Bonaventure 67	0.605	Davidson 65 - Saint Bonaventure 54	-7
Duquesne 76 - La Salle 68	0.714	Duquesne 70 - La Salle 81	19
Florida International 71 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.58	Florida International 76 - Louisiana Tech 81	2
George Mason 71 - Richmond 67	0.608	George Mason 62 - Richmond 57	-1
George Washington 75 - Saint Josephs 76	0.517	George Washington 76 - Saint Josephs 87	10
Georgia 73 - Louisiana State 74	0.505	Georgia 67 - Louisiana State 72	4
Grambling State 72 - Bethune Cookman 58	0.793	Grambling State 87 - Bethune Cookman 72	-1
Howard 78 - South Carolina State 65	0.79	Howard 91 - South Carolina State 55	-23
Iona 77 - Mt St Marys 60	0.874	Iona 74 - Mt St Marys 54	-3
Montana State 74 - Northern Arizona 64	0.784	Montana State 85 - Northern Arizona 78	3
NC State 76 - Virginia Tech 73	0.578	NC State 97 - Virginia Tech 77	-17
Nebraska 79 - Minnesota 69	0.75	Nebraska 75 - Minnesota 78	13
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Air Force 68	0.732	Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Air Force 70	0
New Mexico 81 - Wyoming 72	0.732	New Mexico 87 - Wyoming 76	-2
North Carolina 77 - Boston College 67	0.762	North Carolina 85 - Boston College 61	-14
North Carolina Central 72 - Delaware State 57	0.885	North Carolina Central 89 - Delaware State 59	-15
Oklahoma State 75 - Oklahoma 73	0.543	Oklahoma State 57 - Oklahoma 49	-6
Pittsburgh 77 - Georgia Tech 68	0.72	Pittsburgh 89 - Georgia Tech 81	1
Rice 79 - Texas San Antonio 73	0.647	Rice 72 - Texas San Antonio 71	5
Rider 70 - Saint Peters 62	0.747	Rider 62 - Saint Peters 70	16
Saint Johns 76 - Butler 70	0.645	Saint Johns 76 - Butler 63	-7
Seton Hall 78 - DePaul 68	0.76	Seton Hall 65 - DePaul 66	11
South Carolina 71 - Mississippi 75	0.612	South Carolina 61 - Mississippi 67	2
Syracuse 75 - Wake Forest 77	0.548	Syracuse 74 - Wake Forest 77	1
Texas AM CC 69 - Northwestern State 68	0.519	Texas AM CC 75 - Northwestern State 71	-3
Utah 74 - Stanford 72	0.545	Utah 62 - Stanford 73	13
Villanova 80 - Georgetown 66	0.853	Villanova 80 - Georgetown 48	-18
Washington 72 - Colorado 76	0.61	Washington 68 - Colorado 74	2
Washington State 79 - California 62	0.853	Washington State 69 - California 52	0
West Virginia 78 - Texas Tech 75	0.583	West Virginia 78 - Texas Tech 62	-13
Western Kentucky 71 - Texas El Paso 70	0.53	Western Kentucky 73 - Texas El Paso 67	-5
Wisconsin 73 - Ohio State 72	0.543	Wisconsin 57 - Ohio State 65	9

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Buffalo 67	0.648	Akron 101 - Buffalo 77	-18
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Rice 71	0.797	Alabama Birmingham 87 - Rice 60	-15
Arizona 84 - Stanford 72	0.767	Arizona 95 - Stanford 84	1
Auburn 75 - Arkansas 76	0.519	Auburn 73 - Arkansas 76	2
Ball State 71 - Ohio 72	0.531	Ball State 70 - Ohio 90	19
Baylor 75 - Iowa State 71	0.603	Baylor 72 - Iowa State 78	10
Cal State Fullerton 67 - Hawaii 66	0.503	Cal State Fullerton 62 - Hawaii 60	-1
Central Florida 77 - Southern Methodist 67	0.753	Central Florida 76 - Southern Methodist 70	4
Clemson 74 - NC State 75	0.517	Clemson 80 - NC State 54	-27
Connecticut 78 - Providence 72	0.67	Connecticut 73 - Providence 66	-1
Creighton 75 - Villanova 69	0.667	Creighton 87 - Villanova 74	-7
Dayton 75 - Saint Josephs 65	0.746	Dayton 60 - Saint Josephs 54	4
Duke 74 - Pittsburgh 70	0.617	Duke 96 - Pittsburgh 69	-23
Florida 70 - Mississippi State 72	0.541	Florida 68 - Mississippi State 69	-1
Florida Atlantic 80 - Western Kentucky 65	0.859	Florida Atlantic 75 - Western Kentucky 51	-9
Fordham 75 - La Salle 67	0.727	Fordham 69 - La Salle 61	0
Illinois 77 - Penn State 74	0.563	Illinois 76 - Penn State 79	6
Iowa 82 - Ohio State 77	0.608	Iowa 69 - Ohio State 73	9
Jackson State 66 - Prairie View 67	0.523	Jackson State 62 - Prairie View 60	-3
Kansas 81 - West Virginia 75	0.642	Kansas 78 - West Virginia 61	-11
Kansas State 78 - Texas Christian 76	0.554	Kansas State 67 - Texas Christian 80	15
Kent State 75 - Northern Illinois 62	0.802	Kent State 76 - Northern Illinois 57	-6
Marquette 84 - Saint Johns 74	0.797	Marquette 72 - Saint Johns 70	8
Maryland 81 - Minnesota 64	0.858	Maryland 70 - Minnesota 54	1
Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - Morgan State 63	0.631	Maryland Eastern Shore 80 - Morgan State 64	-11
Miami 81 - Wake Forest 74	0.708	Miami 74 - Wake Forest 72	5
Michigan 73 - Rutgers 72	0.54	Michigan 50 - Rutgers 62	13
Middle Tennessee 69 - Charlotte 68	0.504	Middle Tennessee 66 - Charlotte 65	0
Nevada 74 - San Jose State 68	0.643	Nevada 77 - San Jose State 81	10
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Boise State 76	0.657	Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Boise State 87	6
Norfolk State 77 - Coppin State 64	0.771	Norfolk State 73 - Coppin State 56	-4
North Texas 72 - Louisiana Tech 60	0.825	North Texas 74 - Louisiana Tech 46	-16
Oregon 74 - Washington State 72	0.559	Oregon 75 - Washington State 70	-3
Quinnipiac 73 - Marist 65	0.721	Quinnipiac 59 - Marist 75	24
Saint Louis 72 - George Mason 70	0.588	Saint Louis 82 - George Mason 54	-26
Sam Houston State 71 - Cal Baptist 61	0.74	Sam Houston State 64 - Cal Baptist 51	-3
San Diego State 80 - Colorado State 67	0.812	San Diego State 64 - Colorado State 61	10
Seattle 68 - Grand Canyon 70	0.554	Seattle 79 - Grand Canyon 84	3
Siena 68 - Niagara 65	0.61	Siena 65 - Niagara 71	9
South Florida 73 - East Carolina 70	0.581	South Florida 58 - East Carolina 73	18
Southern 68 - Alabama AM 65	0.566	Southern 63 - Alabama AM 77	17
Southern California 77 - Arizona State 73	0.625	Southern California 72 - Arizona State 77	9
Southern Utah 79 - Utah Tech 72	0.676	Southern Utah 76 - Utah Tech 75	6
Tennessee 79 - Mississippi 63	0.86	Tennessee 70 - Mississippi 55	1
Texas 79 - Oklahoma State 72	0.674	Texas 61 - Oklahoma State 47	-7
Toledo 81 - Miami OH 65	0.848	Toledo 91 - Miami OH 75	0
UC Irvine 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.852	UC Irvine 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 51	-10
UC Riverside 73 - UC Davis 72	0.546	UC Riverside 68 - UC Davis 52	-15
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Cal Poly 58	0.889	UC Santa Barbara 64 - Cal Poly 54	7
UCLA 78 - Colorado 66	0.787	UCLA 80 - Colorado 69	1
Utah State 81 - New Mexico 76	0.644	Utah State 91 - New Mexico 76	-10
Utah Valley 75 - Tarleton State 65	0.716	Utah Valley 72 - Tarleton State 58	-4
Vanderbilt 79 - Louisiana State 70	0.706	Vanderbilt 77 - Louisiana State 68	0
Virginia 71 - North Carolina 69	0.554	Virginia 68 - North Carolina 59	-7
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Davidson 65	0.752	Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Davidson 53	-10
Wichita State 79 - Tulsa 63	0.889	Wichita State 81 - Tulsa 63	-2
Xavier 86 - DePaul 70	0.903	Xavier 89 - DePaul 84	11

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 79 - Mississippi State 69	0.719	Alabama 72 - Mississippi State 49	-13
Alabama AM 66 - Texas Southern 67	0.505	Alabama AM 61 - Texas Southern 74	12
Arizona 82 - Arizona State 74	0.703	Arizona 78 - Arizona State 59	-11
Boise State 74 - Utah State 75	0.527	Boise State 62 - Utah State 72	9
Cincinnati 75 - Temple 70	0.657	Cincinnati 84 - Temple 54	-25
Florida Atlantic 77 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.766	Florida Atlantic 68 - Middle Tennessee 65	8
Grambling State 69 - Jackson State 61	0.728	Grambling State 78 - Jackson State 69	-1
Houston 81 - East Carolina 57	0.945	Houston 60 - East Carolina 46	10
Howard 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 66	0.552	Howard 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-17
Indiana 75 - Maryland 74	0.504	Indiana 70 - Maryland 60	-9
Iona 76 - Niagara 61	0.851	Iona 71 - Niagara 59	3
Kansas 76 - Iowa State 70	0.661	Kansas 71 - Iowa State 58	-7
Kent State 69 - Akron 66	0.576	Kent State 79 - Akron 73	-3
Kentucky 78 - Vanderbilt 73	0.624	Kentucky 73 - Vanderbilt 80	12
Marquette 75 - Connecticut 77	0.546	Marquette 70 - Connecticut 68	-4
Memphis 76 - Central Florida 71	0.67	Memphis 81 - Central Florida 76	0
Miami 73 - Duke 74	0.539	Miami 78 - Duke 85	6
Michigan State 78 - Ohio State 72	0.662	Michigan State 58 - Ohio State 68	16
Missouri 71 - Tennessee 78	0.674	Missouri 79 - Tennessee 71	-15
North Carolina Central 65 - Norfolk State 66	0.509	North Carolina Central 65 - Norfolk State 72	6
North Texas 70 - Alabama Birmingham 68	0.545	North Texas 69 - Alabama Birmingham 76	9
Northwestern 73 - Penn State 72	0.54	Northwestern 65 - Penn State 67	3
Purdue 75 - Rutgers 67	0.71	Purdue 70 - Rutgers 65	3
Saint Peters 65 - Marist 64	0.506	Saint Peters 57 - Marist 69	13
Sam Houston State 70 - Grand Canyon 65	0.648	Sam Houston State 75 - Grand Canyon 78	8
San Diego State 76 - San Jose State 65	0.759	San Diego State 64 - San Jose State 49	-4
Texas 80 - Texas Christian 75	0.616	Texas 66 - Texas Christian 60	-1
Texas AM 74 - Arkansas 73	0.527	Texas AM 67 - Arkansas 61	-5
Toledo 78 - Ohio 70	0.668	Toledo 82 - Ohio 75	1
Tulane 76 - Wichita State 75	0.515	Tulane 82 - Wichita State 76	-5
UC Irvine 70 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.559	UC Irvine 80 - Cal State Fullerton 83	5
UC Santa Barbara 72 - UC Riverside 68	0.613	UC Santa Barbara 92 - UC Riverside 87	-1
UCLA 78 - Oregon 68	0.742	UCLA 75 - Oregon 56	-9
Utah Valley 76 - Southern Utah 72	0.612	Utah Valley 88 - Southern Utah 89	5
Virginia 71 - Clemson 68	0.56	Virginia 76 - Clemson 56	-17
Xavier 76 - Creighton 77	0.513	Xavier 82 - Creighton 60	-23

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 85 - Missouri 75	0.701	Alabama 72 - Missouri 61	-1
Dayton 71 - Fordham 66	0.631	Dayton 78 - Fordham 68	-5
Florida Atlantic 77 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.604	Florida Atlantic 78 - Alabama Birmingham 56	-18
Grambling State 70 - Texas Southern 61	0.766	Grambling State 58 - Texas Southern 61	12
Houston 77 - Cincinnati 65	0.826	Houston 69 - Cincinnati 48	-9
Howard 68 - Norfolk State 70	0.539	Howard 65 - Norfolk State 64	-3
Indiana 77 - Penn State 74	0.583	Indiana 73 - Penn State 77	7
Iona 78 - Marist 59	0.882	Iona 76 - Marist 55	-2
Kansas 78 - Texas 76	0.545	Kansas 56 - Texas 76	22
Marquette 79 - Xavier 78	0.537	Marquette 65 - Xavier 51	-13
Memphis 83 - Tulane 75	0.737	Memphis 94 - Tulane 54	-32
Princeton 73 - Pennsylvania 69	0.596	Princeton 77 - Pennsylvania 70	-3
Purdue 80 - Ohio State 69	0.766	Purdue 80 - Ohio State 66	-3
San Diego State 75 - Utah State 73	0.553	San Diego State 62 - Utah State 57	-3
Southern Utah 74 - Grand Canyon 73	0.523	Southern Utah 66 - Grand Canyon 84	19
Texas AM 77 - Vanderbilt 71	0.641	Texas AM 87 - Vanderbilt 75	-6
Toledo 72 - Kent State 71	0.528	Toledo 78 - Kent State 93	16
UC Santa Barbara 69 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.566	UC Santa Barbara 72 - Cal State Fullerton 62	-8
UCLA 78 - Arizona 75	0.604	UCLA 59 - Arizona 61	5
Vermont 71 - UMass Lowell 66	0.609	Vermont 72 - UMass Lowell 59	-8
Virginia 67 - Duke 68	0.537	Virginia 49 - Duke 59	9
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Saint Louis 68	0.651	Virginia Commonwealth 90 - Saint Louis 78	-6
Yale 77 - Cornell 69	0.69	Yale 80 - Cornell 60	-12

GAMES OF 3-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 79 - Texas AM 73	0.626	Alabama 82 - Texas AM 63	-13
Houston 77 - Memphis 68	0.786	Houston 65 - Memphis 75	19
Princeton 68 - Yale 71	0.572	Princeton 74 - Yale 65	-12
Purdue 78 - Penn State 70	0.716	Purdue 67 - Penn State 65	6
Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Dayton 66	0.563	Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Dayton 56	-10

Number of DI Games: 197
Number Correct: 146 = 74.1%
Expected Number Correct: 130.005 = 65.9%
Average Error: 8.47
Average Signed Error: 0.03

Here are the results from the conference tournaments (my program's predicted chances of each team winning, and the actual result)

OVC
(1)Morehead State: 43.1
(2)Tennessee Tech: 18.2
(3)Tennessee Martin: 11
(4)Tennessee State: 10.3
(6)SIU Edwardsville: 6.4
(5)SE Missouri State: 5.6
(7)Southern Indiana: 4.7
(8)Lindenwood: 0.7

Big South
(1)UNC Asheville: 37.7
(2)Longwood: 21
(3)Radford: 14.1
(5)Gardner Webb: 10.4
(6)Winthrop: 6.2
(4)South Carolina Upstate: 5
(7)Campbell: 3.8
(8)High Point: 1.3
(9)Charleston Southern: 0.5
(10)Presbyterian: 0

MVC
(2)Drake: 31.4
(1)Bradley: 31.3
(3)Southern Illinois: 10.5
(4)Belmont: 10.3
(5)Indiana State: 9.2
(6)Missouri State: 4.7
(7)Murray State: 1.4
(8)Northern Iowa: 0.9
(9)Illinois State: 0.1
(10)Valparaiso: 0.1
(11)Illinois Chicago: 0.1

ASUN
(2)Liberty: 60.1
(1)Kennesaw St: 22.7
(3)Eastern Kentucky: 5.7
(4)Stetson: 4.9
(5)Lipscomb: 3.8
(6)North Alabama: 1
(10)Florida Gulf Coast: 0.7
(7)North Florida: 0.6
(9)Queens: 0.4
(8)Bellarmine: 0.1

SUN
(3)Marshall: 28.6
(2)UL Lafayette: 20.4
(1)Southern Miss: 17.3
(4)James Madison: 15.4
(5)Troy: 5.1
(6)Old Dominion: 5.1
(8)South Alabama: 5
(7)Georgia Southern: 1.5
(9)Appalachian State: 1.2
(10)UL Monroe: 0.2
(11)Texas State: 0.1
(12)Coastal Carolina: 0.1
(14)Georgia State: 0
(13)Arkansas State: 0

SC
(1)Furman: 44
(3)UNC Greensboro: 23.5
(2)Samford: 16.1
(4)Western Carolina: 4.1
(6)Wofford: 3.4
(7)Chattanooga: 3.4
(5)East Tennessee State: 3.3
(8)Mercer: 2
(9)The Citadel: 0.2
(10)Virginia Military Institute: 0

HOR
(1)Youngstown State: 26.7
(4)Northern Kentucky: 21.4
(3)Cleveland State: 16.5
(7)Wright State: 12.2
(2)Milwaukee: 8.6
(6)Robert Morris: 4.9
(5)Oakland: 3.8
(8)Detroit: 3.4
(9)IPFW: 2.4
(11)IUPUI: 0
(10)Green Bay: 0

NEC
(1)Merrimack: 47.3
(2)Fairleigh Dickinson: 20.8
(3)Saint Francis Penn: 9.6
(5)Wagner: 8.9
(4)Sacred Heart: 7.1
(6)Central Connecticut State: 3.9
(7)Saint Francis Brooklyn: 2.4
(8)LIU Brooklyn: 0

CAA
(2)College of Charleston: 50
(1)Hofstra: 31.9
(3)Towson: 7.8
(4)UNC Wilmington: 5.9
(5)Drexel: 2.7
(6)Delaware: 1.2
(7)North Carolina AT: 0.1
(11)Northeastern: 0.1
(8)William and Mary: 0.1
(9)Elon: 0.1
()Stony Brook: 0.1
(13)Monmouth: 0
(12)Hampton: 0

SUM
(1)Oral Roberts: 54.7
(2)South Dakota State: 20.4
(3)North Dakota State: 9.5
(5)Saint Thomas: 6.4
(4)Western Illinois: 3.3
(6)South Dakota: 2.7
(7)UMKC: 1.1
(9)North Dakota: 1
(8)Denver: 0.8
(10)Omaha: 0.3

WCC
(2)Gonzaga: 47.6
(1)Saint Marys: 40.8
(3)Santa Clara: 5.2
(5)Brigham Young: 3
(4)Loyola Marymount: 2.3
(6)San Francisco: 0.9
(8)Portland: 0.1
(7)Pacific: 0
(10)Pepperdine: 0
(9)San Diego: 0

SLND
(1)Texas AM CC: 38.3
(2)Northwestern State: 34.8
(3)Southeast Louisiana: 12.6
(4)Nicholls State: 10.8
(5)Texas AM Commerce: 1.7
(7)New Orleans: 0.9
(8)Mcneese State: 0.5
(6)Houston Christian: 0.4

PAT
(1)Colgate: 66.2
(2)Navy: 21.2
(3)Lehigh: 4.7
(4)Army: 3.9
(5)Boston: 1.5
(6)Lafayette: 1.2
(7)American: 0.7
(8)Loyola MD: 0.3
(10)Bucknell: 0.2
(9)Holy Cross: 0.1

BIG SKY
(1)Eastern Washington: 33.7
(2)Montana State: 33.3
(4)Montana: 15
(3)Weber State: 9.7
(6)Sacramento State: 2.7
(8)Northern Colorado: 2
(5)Idaho State: 1.6
(9)Northern Arizona: 1.1
(7)Portland State: 0.7
(10)Idaho: 0.1

AE
(1)Vermont: 56.4
(2)UMass Lowell: 24.8
(4)UMBC: 6.3
(6)Bryant: 6.3
(3)New Hampshire: 3.2
(7)Maine: 1.5
(5)Binghamton: 1.2
(8)NJ Tech: 0.3

MEAC
(3)Norfolk State: 35.4
(2)North Carolina Central: 25.8
(1)Howard: 20.6
(4)Maryland Eastern Shore: 12.5
(5)Morgan State: 3.8
(6)Coppin State: 1.1
(8)South Carolina State: 0.6
(7)Delaware State: 0.2

SWAC
(2)Grambling State: 39.8
(1)Alcorn State: 20.1
(3)Southern: 9.7
(4)Jackson State: 8.5
(6)Prairie View: 8.3
(5)Alabama AM: 6.3
(8)Texas Southern: 5.1
(7)Bethune Cookman: 2.3

BIG12
(1)Kansas: 25.6
(2)Texas: 21.3
(4)Baylor: 16.4
(3)Kansas State: 12.2
(6)Texas Christian: 7.8
(5)Iowa State: 6.4
(8)West Virginia: 4.3
(7)Oklahoma State: 2.6
(10)Oklahoma: 1.9
(9)Texas Tech: 1.5

MWC
(1)San Diego State: 36.4
(3)Utah State: 21.5
(2)Boise State: 17.7
(4)Nevada: 11.8
(6)New Mexico: 4.1
(7)Nevada Las Vegas: 4
(5)San Jose State: 3.2
(8)Colorado State: 0.9
(9)Fresno State: 0.2
(10)Air Force: 0.1
(11)Wyoming: 0.1

BE
(4)Connecticut: 24.6
(1)Marquette: 24.4
(3)Creighton: 19.5
(2)Xavier: 18.8
(5)Providence: 5.4
(6)Villanova: 3.2
(7)Seton Hall: 3.1
(8)Saint Johns: 0.7
(9)Butler: 0.2
(10)DePaul: 0
(11)Georgetown: 0

MAAC
(1)Iona: 55.8
(3)Quinnipiac: 14.2
(2)Rider: 12.3
(4)Siena: 8.3
(5)Niagara: 2.8
(7)Fairfield: 2.3
(9)Canisius: 1.5
(6)Manhattan: 1.1
(11)Marist: 0.6
(8)Mt St Marys: 0.6
(10)Saint Peters: 0.5

MAC
(1)Toledo: 35.3
(2)Kent State: 28.7
(3)Akron: 15.8
(5)Ohio: 8.1
(4)Ball State: 5.9
(6)Buffalo: 4
(7)Northern Illinois: 1.4
(8)Miami OH: 0.7

CUSA
(1)Florida Atlantic: 41.4
(2)North Texas: 27
(3)Alabama Birmingham: 21.8
(4)Middle Tennessee: 4.1
(5)Charlotte: 3.5
(6)Rice: 0.6
(8)Western Kentucky: 0.5
(10)Louisiana Tech: 0.4
(9)Texas El Paso: 0.3
(7)Florida International: 0.2
(11)Texas San Antonio: 0

ACC
(4)Duke: 22.9
(1)Miami: 20.5
(2)Virginia: 18
(3)Clemson: 10.7
(7)North Carolina: 9.2
(6)NC State: 7.4
(5)Pittsburgh: 5.8
(11)Virginia Tech: 2
(9)Wake Forest: 1.8
(8)Syracuse: 1.1
(10)Boston College: 0.2
(13)Georgia Tech: 0.2
(12)Florida State: 0
(14)Notre Dame: 0

BW
(1)UC Irvine: 29
(2)UC Santa Barbara: 24.6
(4)Cal State Fullerton: 12.3
(5)Hawaii: 12.1
(3)UC Riverside: 10.3
(6)UC Davis: 6.6
(7)Long Beach State: 4.9
(8)Cal State Bakersfield: 0.2
(9)Cal State Northridge: 0
(10)Cal Poly: 0

PAC12
(1)UCLA: 45.9
(2)Arizona: 23.4
(3)Southern California: 12.5
(4)Oregon: 7.8
(5)Washington State: 3.1
(6)Arizona State: 2.7
(9)Colorado: 2.1
(7)Utah: 1.3
(10)Stanford: 0.9
(8)Washington: 0.3
(11)Oregon State: 0
(12)California: 0

WAC
(1)Sam Houston State: 31
(2)Utah Valley: 29
(3)Southern Utah: 12.7
(5)Grand Canyon: 7.9
(4)Seattle: 7.5
(6)Stephen F Austin: 4.5
(7)Tarleton State: 2.5
(8)Cal Baptist: 2
(9)Abilene Christian: 1.1
(11)Utah Tech: 1.1
(12)Texas Arlington: 0.4
(10)Texas Pan American: 0.3

IVY
(1)Yale: 41.1
(2)Princeton: 32.8
(3)Pennsylvania: 15
(4)Cornell: 11.1

A10
(1)Virginia Commonwealth: 35.5
(2)Dayton: 26.7
(4)Saint Louis: 13.2
(3)Fordham: 9
(6)Duquesne: 6
(5)George Mason: 3.6
(8)Davidson: 2.5
(7)George Washington: 0.8
(9)Saint Bonaventure: 0.8
(10)Saint Josephs: 0.5
(12)Richmond: 0.5
(13)Massachusetts: 0.3
(15)Loyola Chicago: 0.3
(11)La Salle: 0.1
(14)Rhode Island: 0.1

SEC
(1)Alabama: 29.8
(5)Tennessee: 19.1
(3)Kentucky: 15
(2)Texas AM: 13.3
(10)Arkansas: 5.6
(4)Missouri: 5.5
(7)Auburn: 4.6
(6)Vanderbilt: 3
(9)Mississippi State: 2.2
(8)Florida: 1.7
(11)Georgia: 0.1
(14)Louisiana State: 0.1
(13)Mississippi: 0.1
(12)South Carolina: 0

AMER
(1)Houston: 70
(2)Memphis: 16
(4)Cincinnati: 5.9
(7)Central Florida: 2.9
(3)Tulane: 2.6
(6)Wichita State: 1.4
(5)Temple: 1
(8)South Florida: 0.1
(9)East Carolina: 0.1
(10)Southern Methodist: 0
(11)Tulsa: 0

B10
(1)Purdue: 30.3
(3)Indiana: 13.8
(4)Michigan State: 13.4
(2)Northwestern: 9.9
(6)Maryland: 8.6
(7)Illinois: 6.4
(5)Iowa: 5.5
(8)Michigan: 4.3
(10)Penn State: 3.1
(9)Rutgers: 2.4
(12)Wisconsin: 0.9
(11)Nebraska: 0.8
(13)Ohio State: 0.6
(14)Minnesota: 0

GAMES OF 3-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Southern Miss 69	0.725	Alabama Birmingham 88 - Southern Miss 60	-19
Colorado 72 - Seton Hall 69	0.573	Colorado 65 - Seton Hall 64	2
Liberty 69 - Villanova 67	0.582	Liberty 62 - Villanova 57	-3
Michigan 78 - Toledo 74	0.61	Michigan 90 - Toledo 80	-6
Mississippi State 72 - Pittsburgh 70	0.552	Mississippi State 59 - Pittsburgh 60	3
Rutgers 72 - Hofstra 66	0.633	Rutgers 86 - Hofstra 88	8
Texas AM CC 73 - SE Missouri State 69	0.61	Texas AM CC 75 - SE Missouri State 71	0
Vanderbilt 74 - Yale 71	0.582	Vanderbilt 71 - Yale 62	-6
Washington State 76 - Eastern Washington 68	0.727	Washington State 74 - Eastern Washington 81	15
Wisconsin 69 - Bradley 68	0.536	Wisconsin 81 - Bradley 62	-18

GAMES OF 3-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 72 - Nevada 74	0.554	Arizona State 98 - Nevada 73	-27
Cincinnati 76 - Virginia Tech 71	0.646	Cincinnati 81 - Virginia Tech 72	-4
Clemson 75 - Morehead State 58	0.828	Clemson 64 - Morehead State 68	21
Florida 74 - Central Florida 71	0.573	Florida 49 - Central Florida 67	21
New Mexico 77 - Utah Valley 75	0.563	New Mexico 69 - Utah Valley 83	16
North Texas 75 - Alcorn State 54	0.921	North Texas 69 - Alcorn State 53	5
Oregon 77 - UC Irvine 68	0.729	Oregon 84 - UC Irvine 58	-17
Santa Clara 71 - Sam Houston State 69	0.575	Santa Clara 56 - Sam Houston State 58	4
Texas Southern 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.524	Texas Southern 61 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	24
Youngstown State 68 - Oklahoma State 77	0.722	Youngstown State 64 - Oklahoma State 69	-4

GAMES OF 3-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 87 - Texas AM CC 62	0.905	Alabama 96 - Texas AM CC 75	4
Arizona 82 - Princeton 69	0.817	Arizona 55 - Princeton 59	17
Arkansas 77 - Illinois 75	0.56	Arkansas 73 - Illinois 63	-8
Duke 75 - Oral Roberts 69	0.634	Duke 74 - Oral Roberts 51	-17
Houston 75 - Northern Kentucky 54	0.924	Houston 63 - Northern Kentucky 52	10
Iowa 78 - Auburn 80	0.542	Iowa 75 - Auburn 83	6
Kansas 83 - Howard 62	0.89	Kansas 96 - Howard 68	-7
Maryland 74 - West Virginia 76	0.534	Maryland 67 - West Virginia 65	-4
Missouri 76 - Utah State 79	0.6	Missouri 76 - Utah State 65	-14
Northwestern 70 - Boise State 72	0.566	Northwestern 75 - Boise State 67	-10
San Diego State 75 - College of Charleston 68	0.715	San Diego State 63 - College of Charleston 57	1
Tennessee 77 - UL Lafayette 66	0.77	Tennessee 58 - UL Lafayette 55	8
Texas 82 - Colgate 67	0.845	Texas 81 - Colgate 61	-5
Texas AM 76 - Penn State 72	0.611	Texas AM 59 - Penn State 76	21
UCLA 80 - UNC Asheville 60	0.935	UCLA 86 - UNC Asheville 53	-13
Virginia 73 - Furman 66	0.685	Virginia 67 - Furman 68	8

GAMES OF 3-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 80 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.807	Baylor 74 - UC Santa Barbara 56	-6
Connecticut 76 - Iona 68	0.708	Connecticut 87 - Iona 63	-16
Creighton 77 - NC State 73	0.589	Creighton 72 - NC State 63	-5
Gonzaga 83 - Grand Canyon 68	0.838	Gonzaga 82 - Grand Canyon 70	3
Indiana 73 - Kent State 69	0.613	Indiana 71 - Kent State 60	-7
Iowa State 75 - Pittsburgh 70	0.61	Iowa State 41 - Pittsburgh 59	23
Kansas State 77 - Montana State 67	0.788	Kansas State 77 - Montana State 65	-2
Kentucky 77 - Providence 74	0.581	Kentucky 61 - Providence 53	-5
Marquette 77 - Vermont 66	0.792	Marquette 78 - Vermont 61	-6
Memphis 75 - Florida Atlantic 74	0.526	Memphis 65 - Florida Atlantic 66	2
Miami 75 - Drake 73	0.537	Miami 63 - Drake 56	-5
Michigan State 74 - Southern California 75	0.517	Michigan State 72 - Southern California 62	-11
Purdue 87 - Fairleigh Dickinson 58	0.962	Purdue 58 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	34
Saint Marys 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 65	0.595	Saint Marys 63 - Virginia Commonwealth 51	-9
Texas Christian 77 - Arizona State 73	0.613	Texas Christian 72 - Arizona State 70	2
Xavier 80 - Kennesaw St 69	0.808	Xavier 72 - Kennesaw St 67	6

GAMES OF 3-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Maryland 70	0.698	Alabama 73 - Maryland 51	-12
Charlotte 72 - Western Carolina 64	0.694	Charlotte 65 - Western Carolina 56	-1
Hofstra 71 - Cincinnati 73	0.548	Hofstra 65 - Cincinnati 79	12
Houston 75 - Auburn 66	0.723	Houston 81 - Auburn 64	-8
Indiana State 77 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.782	Indiana State 67 - South Carolina Upstate 62	7
Kansas 79 - Arkansas 73	0.641	Kansas 71 - Arkansas 72	7
Missouri 78 - Princeton 71	0.671	Missouri 63 - Princeton 78	22
San Diego State 77 - Furman 66	0.783	San Diego State 75 - Furman 52	-12
San Jose State 77 - Southern Indiana 62	0.822	San Jose State 77 - Southern Indiana 52	-10
Southern Utah 79 - North Alabama 70	0.732	Southern Utah 72 - North Alabama 50	-13
Tennessee 71 - Duke 69	0.543	Tennessee 65 - Duke 52	-11
Texas 80 - Penn State 72	0.713	Texas 71 - Penn State 66	3
UCLA 75 - Northwestern 66	0.751	UCLA 68 - Northwestern 63	4
Vanderbilt 77 - Michigan 76	0.523	Vanderbilt 66 - Michigan 65	0

GAMES OF 3-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Morehead State 60	0.897	Alabama Birmingham 77 - Morehead State 59	-1
Baylor 77 - Creighton 75	0.553	Baylor 76 - Creighton 85	11
Colorado 73 - Utah Valley 71	0.558	Colorado 69 - Utah Valley 81	14
Connecticut 70 - Saint Marys 69	0.513	Connecticut 70 - Saint Marys 55	-14
Duquesne 77 - Rice 72	0.625	Duquesne 78 - Rice 84	11
Eastern Kentucky 69 - Cleveland State 68	0.53	Eastern Kentucky 91 - Cleveland State 75	-15
Florida Atlantic 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.945	Florida Atlantic 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	17
Gonzaga 81 - Texas Christian 74	0.653	Gonzaga 84 - Texas Christian 81	4
Indiana 77 - Miami 76	0.52	Indiana 69 - Miami 85	17
Kansas State 77 - Kentucky 76	0.512	Kansas State 75 - Kentucky 69	-5
Marquette 77 - Michigan State 73	0.629	Marquette 60 - Michigan State 69	13
North Texas 66 - Sam Houston State 60	0.658	North Texas 75 - Sam Houston State 55	-14
Oklahoma State 78 - Eastern Washington 67	0.823	Oklahoma State 71 - Eastern Washington 60	0
Oregon 75 - Central Florida 70	0.621	Oregon 68 - Central Florida 54	-9
Stetson 74 - Milwaukee 72	0.544	Stetson 83 - Milwaukee 87	6
Tarleton State 67 - Radford 66	0.533	Tarleton State 70 - Radford 72	3
Wisconsin 66 - Liberty 67	0.508	Wisconsin 75 - Liberty 71	-5
Xavier 79 - Pittsburgh 74	0.658	Xavier 84 - Pittsburgh 73	-6

GAMES OF 3-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 73 - Milwaukee 66	0.659	Charlotte 76 - Milwaukee 65	-4
Indiana State 75 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.634	Indiana State 88 - Eastern Kentucky 89	6
San Jose State 72 - Radford 63	0.719	San Jose State 57 - Radford 67	19
Southern Utah 80 - Rice 73	0.652	Southern Utah 81 - Rice 79	5

GAMES OF 3-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 68 - Radford 63	0.665	Charlotte 63 - Radford 56	-2
Oklahoma State 68 - North Texas 66	0.547	Oklahoma State 59 - North Texas 65	8
Oregon 75 - Wisconsin 69	0.643	Oregon 58 - Wisconsin 61	9
Southern Utah 75 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.608	Southern Utah 106 - Eastern Kentucky 108	6

GAMES OF 3-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 69 - Eastern Kentucky 67	0.578	Charlotte 71 - Eastern Kentucky 68	-1
Utah Valley 72 - Cincinnati 73	0.51	Utah Valley 74 - Cincinnati 68	-7
Vanderbilt 77 - Alabama Birmingham 76	0.52	Vanderbilt 59 - Alabama Birmingham 67	9

GAMES OF 3-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Connecticut 76 - Arkansas 73	0.582	Connecticut 88 - Arkansas 65	-20
Kansas State 76 - Michigan State 74	0.556	Kansas State 98 - Michigan State 93	-3
Tennessee 72 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.577	Tennessee 55 - Florida Atlantic 62	10
UCLA 76 - Gonzaga 75	0.515	UCLA 76 - Gonzaga 79	4

GAMES OF 3-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 77 - San Diego State 72	0.623	Alabama 64 - San Diego State 71	12
Creighton 77 - Princeton 68	0.743	Creighton 86 - Princeton 75	-2
Houston 77 - Miami 67	0.778	Houston 75 - Miami 89	24
Texas 80 - Xavier 75	0.632	Texas 83 - Xavier 71	-7

GAMES OF 3-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Gonzaga 78 - Connecticut 75	0.581	Gonzaga 54 - Connecticut 82	31
Kansas State 74 - Florida Atlantic 75	0.516	Kansas State 76 - Florida Atlantic 79	2

GAMES OF 3-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
San Diego State 73 - Creighton 71	0.574	San Diego State 57 - Creighton 56	1
Texas 81 - Miami 73	0.698	Texas 81 - Miami 88	15

GAMES OF 3-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Utah Valley 73	0.565	Alabama Birmingham 88 - Utah Valley 86	0
Wisconsin 64 - North Texas 68	0.622	Wisconsin 54 - North Texas 56	-2

GAMES OF 3-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
North Texas 69 - Alabama Birmingham 68	0.532	North Texas 68 - Alabama Birmingham 61	-6

GAMES OF 4-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Connecticut 78 - Miami 73	0.644	Connecticut 72 - Miami 59	-8
San Diego State 72 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.569	San Diego State 72 - Florida Atlantic 71	1

GAMES OF 4-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Connecticut 71 - San Diego State 72	0.501	Connecticut 76 - San Diego State 59	-18

Number of DI Games: 113
Number Correct: 70 = 61.9%
Expected Number Correct: 73.629 = 65.1%
Average Error: 9.26
Average Signed Error: 0.94