Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

2017-2018 PREDICTIONS

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Unranked 59		Abilene Christian 86 - Unranked 68
Alabama 73 - Memphis 71	0.556	Alabama 82 - Memphis 70	-10
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Jacksonville 62	0.852	Alabama Birmingham 96 - Jacksonville 67	-14
Albany 71 - Iona 70	0.526	Albany 69 - Iona 67	-1
Arizona 89 - Northern Arizona 51	0.979	Arizona 101 - Northern Arizona 67	4
Arizona State 85 - Idaho State 61	0.938	Arizona State 94 - Idaho State 74	4
Arkansas 86 - Samford 64	0.937	Arkansas 95 - Samford 56	-17
Auburn 81 - Norfolk State 65	0.868	Auburn 102 - Norfolk State 74	-12
Baylor 92 - Central Arkansas 55	0.98	Baylor 107 - Central Arkansas 66	-4
Bethune Cookman 78 - Unranked 60		Bethune Cookman 108 - Unranked 66
Binghamton 65 - Morgan State 63	0.58	Binghamton 76 - Morgan State 59	-15
Boise State 94 - Unranked 52		Boise State 104 - Unranked 65
Boston 71 - Northeastern 70	0.546	Boston 59 - Northeastern 65	7
Boston College 83 - Maine 63	0.92	Boston College 85 - Maine 65	0
Butler 86 - Kennesaw St 56	0.99	Butler 82 - Kennesaw St 64	12
Cal State Bakersfield 87 - Unranked 51		Cal State Bakersfield 88 - Unranked 66
Cal State Northridge 87 - Unranked 61		Cal State Northridge 76 - Unranked 50
California 81 - UC Riverside 56	0.956	California 66 - UC Riverside 74	33
Central Florida 73 - Mercer 64	0.734	Central Florida 88 - Mercer 79	0
Central Michigan 91 - Unranked 60		Central Michigan 108 - Unranked 48
Charlotte 89 - Unranked 58		Charlotte 116 - Unranked 76
Cincinnati 86 - Savannah State 54	0.987	Cincinnati 107 - Savannah State 77	2
Clemson 81 - Western Carolina 57	0.934	Clemson 85 - Western Carolina 57	-4
Coastal Carolina 86 - Unranked 54		Coastal Carolina 102 - Unranked 50
College of Charleston 71 - Siena 64	0.726	College of Charleston 68 - Siena 60	-1
Colorado 83 - Northern Colorado 60	0.939	Colorado 66 - Northern Colorado 51	8
Colorado State 79 - Sacramento State 60	0.918	Colorado State 72 - Sacramento State 61	8
Connecticut 81 - Colgate 59	0.944	Connecticut 70 - Colgate 58	10
Creighton 80 - Yale 66	0.846	Creighton 92 - Yale 76	-2
Davidson 83 - Charleston Southern 63	0.945	Davidson 110 - Charleston Southern 62	-28
Dayton 81 - Ball State 62	0.912	Dayton 78 - Ball State 77	18
Delaware State 77 - Unranked 60		Delaware State 71 - Unranked 50
Drexel 71 - Bowling Green 69	0.564	Drexel 69 - Bowling Green 78	11
Duke 87 - Elon 62	0.949	Duke 97 - Elon 68	-4
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 54		Eastern Michigan 92 - Unranked 60
Eastern Washington 88 - Unranked 57		Eastern Washington 82 - Unranked 61
Evansville 76 - Arkansas State 67	0.751	Evansville 77 - Arkansas State 63	-5
Florida International 84 - Unranked 57		Florida International 70 - Unranked 47
Fordham 72 - Miami OH 63	0.733	Fordham 54 - Miami OH 55	10
Fresno State 92 - Unranked 52		Fresno State 96 - Unranked 65
Furman 85 - Unranked 53		Furman 101 - Unranked 48
George Mason 81 - Lafayette 64	0.857	George Mason 67 - Lafayette 65	15
George Washington 81 - Howard 53	0.958	George Washington 84 - Howard 75	19
Georgia 84 - Bryant 59	0.96	Georgia 79 - Bryant 54	0
Georgia State 88 - Unranked 52		Georgia State 90 - Unranked 50
Gonzaga 86 - Texas Southern 57	0.96	Gonzaga 97 - Texas Southern 69	1
Grand Canyon 81 - Florida AM 54	0.962	Grand Canyon 67 - Florida AM 51	11
Hartford 72 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.763	Hartford 85 - Central Connecticut State 84	9
Harvard 89 - Unranked 51		Harvard 73 - Unranked 64
Hawaii 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 55	0.937	Hawaii 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	10
High Point 70 - William and Mary 73	0.578	High Point 100 - William and Mary 66	-37
Hofstra 78 - Army 68	0.771	Hofstra 77 - Army 74	7
Houston 84 - Mcneese State 58	0.951	Houston 81 - Mcneese State 53	-2
Illinois 80 - Southern 58	0.928	Illinois 102 - Southern 55	-25
Illinois Chicago 66 - North Carolina Central 67	0.529	Illinois Chicago 65 - North Carolina Central 55	-11
Incarnate Word 84 - Unranked 59		Incarnate Word 87 - Unranked 71
Indiana 85 - Indiana State 66	0.888	Indiana 69 - Indiana State 90	40
Iowa 90 - Chicago State 57	0.963	Iowa 95 - Chicago State 62	0
Jackson State 78 - Unranked 56		Jackson State 84 - Unranked 46
Jacksonville State 82 - Unranked 54		Jacksonville State 100 - Unranked 42
James Madison 86 - Unranked 53		James Madison 80 - Unranked 50
Kansas 88 - Tennessee State 57	0.987	Kansas 92 - Tennessee State 56	-5
Kansas State 80 - American 55	0.951	Kansas State 83 - American 45	-13
Kentucky 90 - Utah Valley 58	0.963	Kentucky 73 - Utah Valley 63	22
Liberty 81 - Unranked 54		Liberty 87 - Unranked 42
Lipscomb 88 - Unranked 58		Lipscomb 98 - Unranked 83
Louisiana State 82 - Alcorn State 62	0.919	Louisiana State 99 - Alcorn State 59	-20
Louisiana Tech 91 - Unranked 52		Louisiana Tech 112 - Unranked 71
Loyola Ill 71 - Wright State 66	0.633	Loyola Ill 84 - Wright State 80	1
Marquette 82 - Mt St Marys 62	0.918	Marquette 80 - Mt St Marys 59	-1
Marshall 79 - Tennessee Martin 71	0.691	Marshall 102 - Tennessee Martin 91	-3
Maryland Eastern Shore 80 - Unranked 60		Maryland Eastern Shore 95 - Unranked 69
Massachusetts 83 - UMass Lowell 65	0.891	Massachusetts 74 - UMass Lowell 69	13
Miami 81 - Gardner Webb 59	0.928	Miami 77 - Gardner Webb 45	-10
Michigan State 86 - North Florida 60	0.935	Michigan State 98 - North Florida 66	-6
Middle Tennessee 91 - Unranked 48		Middle Tennessee 104 - Unranked 52
Milwaukee 85 - Unranked 55		Milwaukee 83 - Unranked 73
Minnesota 83 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.927	Minnesota 92 - South Carolina Upstate 77	7
Mississippi 83 - UL Lafayette 71	0.806	Mississippi 94 - UL Lafayette 76	-6
Mississippi State 82 - Alabama State 58	0.941	Mississippi State 96 - Alabama State 68	-4
Missouri 71 - Iowa State 84	0.814	Missouri 74 - Iowa State 59	-28
Monmouth 74 - Bucknell 70	0.618	Monmouth 79 - Bucknell 78	3
Montana 86 - Unranked 53		Montana 72 - Unranked 60
Montana State 73 - Omaha 76	0.576	Montana State 89 - Omaha 80	-12
Murray State 88 - Unranked 55		Murray State 118 - Unranked 61
Navy 63 - Pittsburgh 75	0.788	Navy 71 - Pittsburgh 62	-21
NC State 88 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.926	NC State 102 - Virginia Military Institute 67	-11
Nevada 78 - Idaho 63	0.877	Nevada 88 - Idaho 64	-9
New Hampshire 84 - Unranked 54		New Hampshire 95 - Unranked 39
New Mexico State 91 - Unranked 50		New Mexico State 81 - Unranked 55
North Carolina 84 - Northern Iowa 63	0.918	North Carolina 86 - Northern Iowa 69	4
North Carolina AT 76 - Unranked 62		North Carolina AT 104 - Unranked 80
North Dakota 71 - Troy 70	0.526	North Dakota 83 - Troy 80	-2
North Texas 83 - Unranked 60		North Texas 122 - Unranked 65
Northern Kentucky 68 - East Tennessee State 70	0.569	Northern Kentucky 81 - East Tennessee State 63	-20
Northwestern 80 - Loyola MD 58	0.921	Northwestern 79 - Loyola MD 75	18
Oakland 79 - IPFW 71	0.707	Oakland 85 - IPFW 71	-6
Ohio State 80 - Robert Morris 58	0.943	Ohio State 95 - Robert Morris 64	-9
Oklahoma State 87 - Pepperdine 65	0.915	Oklahoma State 78 - Pepperdine 47	-9
Old Dominion 68 - Towson 63	0.644	Old Dominion 57 - Towson 54	2
Oral Roberts 87 - Unranked 57		Oral Roberts 86 - Unranked 72
Oregon 93 - Coppin State 52	0.972	Oregon 70 - Coppin State 54	25
Oregon State 82 - Southern Utah 60	0.932	Oregon State 99 - Southern Utah 82	5
Penn State 80 - Campbell 61	0.901	Penn State 86 - Campbell 75	8
Providence 84 - Houston Baptist 59	0.947	Providence 84 - Houston Baptist 55	-4
Purdue 88 - SIU Edwardsville 55	0.983	Purdue 105 - SIU Edwardsville 74	2
Radford 83 - Unranked 56		Radford 72 - Unranked 63
Rhode Island 77 - UNC Asheville 63	0.842	Rhode Island 84 - UNC Asheville 60	-10
Rice 74 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.628	Rice 72 - Eastern Kentucky 73	6
Richmond 81 - Delaware 63	0.894	Richmond 63 - Delaware 76	31
Rider 73 - Hampton 63	0.764	Rider 90 - Hampton 75	-5
Rutgers 89 - Unranked 56		Rutgers 94 - Unranked 38
Sacred Heart 66 - Holy Cross 68	0.547	Sacred Heart 64 - Holy Cross 69	3
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Niagara 62	0.931	Saint Bonaventure 75 - Niagara 77	22
Saint Johns 81 - New Orleans 64	0.844	Saint Johns 77 - New Orleans 61	1
Saint Louis 72 - Seattle 61	0.761	Saint Louis 62 - Seattle 46	-5
San Diego State 91 - Unranked 46		San Diego State 91 - Unranked 52
San Francisco 77 - Long Beach State 70	0.709	San Francisco 71 - Long Beach State 83	19
San Jose State 85 - Unranked 58		San Jose State 97 - Unranked 45
Santa Clara 89 - Unranked 53		Santa Clara 120 - Unranked 70
SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 59		SE Missouri State 81 - Unranked 69
Seton Hall 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	0.961	Seton Hall 90 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	5
South Dakota State 71 - UC Irvine 67	0.596	South Dakota State 65 - UC Irvine 54	-7
South Florida 74 - Florida Atlantic 67	0.683	South Florida 60 - Florida Atlantic 59	6
Southeast Louisiana 80 - Unranked 56		Southeast Louisiana 99 - Unranked 67
Southern California 84 - Cal State Fullerton 63	0.941	Southern California 84 - Cal State Fullerton 42	-21
Southern Methodist 88 - UMBC 57	0.965	Southern Methodist 78 - UMBC 67	20
Southern Miss 82 - Unranked 56		Southern Miss 79 - Unranked 69
Stanford 80 - Cal Poly 61	0.896	Stanford 78 - Cal Poly 62	3
Stetson 82 - Unranked 61		Stetson 98 - Unranked 89
Stony Brook 66 - Maryland 75	0.76	Stony Brook 61 - Maryland 76	6
Syracuse 86 - Cornell 59	0.954	Syracuse 77 - Cornell 45	-5
Tennessee 86 - Presbyterian 53	0.994	Tennessee 88 - Presbyterian 53	-2
Tennessee Tech 85 - Unranked 57		Tennessee Tech 94 - Unranked 56
Texas 86 - Northwestern State 62	0.944	Texas 105 - Northwestern State 59	-22
Texas AM CC 85 - Unranked 52		Texas AM CC 69 - Unranked 68
Texas Christian 79 - UL Monroe 61	0.888	Texas Christian 83 - UL Monroe 73	8
Texas El Paso 87 - Unranked 53		Texas El Paso 100 - Unranked 50
Texas Pan American 72 - Nicholls State 69	0.598	Texas Pan American 106 - Nicholls State 111	8
Texas Tech 82 - South Alabama 62	0.917	Texas Tech 75 - South Alabama 50	-5
The Citadel 86 - Unranked 66		The Citadel 109 - Unranked 73
Tulane 75 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.705	Tulane 102 - LIU Brooklyn 96	1
Tulsa 81 - Lamar 61	0.911	Tulsa 67 - Lamar 74	27
UCLA 79 - Georgia Tech 72	0.68	UCLA 63 - Georgia Tech 60	4
Utah 85 - Prairie View 54	0.959	Utah 83 - Prairie View 62	10
Valparaiso 90 - Unranked 49		Valparaiso 88 - Unranked 46
Vanderbilt 86 - Austin Peay 60	0.94	Vanderbilt 73 - Austin Peay 54	7
Villanova 86 - Columbia 57	0.963	Villanova 75 - Columbia 60	14
Virginia 81 - UNC Greensboro 54	0.95	Virginia 60 - UNC Greensboro 48	15
Virginia Commonwealth 88 - Grambling State 50	0.971	Virginia Commonwealth 94 - Grambling State 65	9
Virginia Tech 86 - Detroit 67	0.911	Virginia Tech 111 - Detroit 79	-13
Wake Forest 84 - Georgia Southern 67	0.866	Wake Forest 83 - Georgia Southern 85	19
Washington 77 - Belmont 75	0.567	Washington 86 - Belmont 82	-2
Weber State 70 - Utah State 69	0.519	Weber State 65 - Utah State 59	-5
West Virginia 77 - Texas AM 70	0.694	West Virginia 65 - Texas AM 88	30
Western Kentucky 72 - Missouri State 69	0.582	Western Kentucky 80 - Missouri State 85	8
Wichita State 86 - UMKC 57	0.964	Wichita State 109 - UMKC 57	-23
Winthrop 73 - Southern Illinois 69	0.648	Winthrop 66 - Southern Illinois 81	19
Wisconsin 88 - South Carolina State 50	0.973	Wisconsin 85 - South Carolina State 50	3
Wofford 66 - South Carolina 76	0.744	Wofford 52 - South Carolina 73	11
Wyoming 73 - Chattanooga 66	0.662	Wyoming 74 - Chattanooga 65	-2
Xavier 84 - Morehead State 63	0.931	Xavier 101 - Morehead State 49	-31

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 75 - Cleveland State 59	0.876	Akron 67 - Cleveland State 57	6
Appalachian State 84 - Unranked 59		Appalachian State 135 - Unranked 34
Arkansas Little Rock 85 - Unranked 53		Arkansas Little Rock 79 - Unranked 81
Bradley 72 - IUPUI 67	0.646	Bradley 68 - IUPUI 53	-10
Brigham Young 92 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.964	Brigham Young 91 - Mississippi Valley State 61	4
Brown 86 - Unranked 60		Brown 106 - Unranked 78
Buffalo 78 - Canisius 68	0.749	Buffalo 80 - Canisius 75	5
DePaul 69 - Notre Dame 82	0.831	DePaul 58 - Notre Dame 72	1
Drake 87 - Unranked 59		Drake 101 - Unranked 54
Duke 90 - Utah Valley 60	0.958	Duke 99 - Utah Valley 69	0
Duquesne 77 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.86	Duquesne 80 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	5
Elon 88 - Unranked 55		Elon 96 - Unranked 53
Fairfield 70 - Pennsylvania 66	0.614	Fairfield 80 - Pennsylvania 72	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Illinois State 69	0.569	Florida Gulf Coast 98 - Illinois State 87	-13
La Salle 69 - Saint Peters 64	0.622	La Salle 61 - Saint Peters 40	-16
Longwood 59 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.869	Longwood 61 - Stephen F Austin 74	-4
Marist 67 - Lehigh 74	0.694	Marist 76 - Lehigh 84	1
Michigan 86 - North Florida 60	0.929	Michigan 86 - North Florida 66	6
Nebraska 79 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.871	Nebraska 72 - Eastern Illinois 68	12
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Florida AM 57	0.952	Nevada Las Vegas 108 - Florida AM 66	-17
New Mexico 92 - Unranked 52		New Mexico 147 - Unranked 76
NJ Tech 66 - Wagner 65	0.533	NJ Tech 49 - Wagner 60	12
Ohio 82 - Alabama AM 54	0.955	Ohio 61 - Alabama AM 53	20
Portland 77 - Portland State 69	0.698	Portland 75 - Portland State 80	13
Presbyterian 75 - Unranked 61		Presbyterian 107 - Unranked 87
Quinnipiac 73 - Dartmouth 69	0.614	Quinnipiac 78 - Dartmouth 77	3
Saint Marys 82 - Saint Francis Penn 54	0.96	Saint Marys 85 - Saint Francis Penn 68	11
Sam Houston State 84 - Unranked 54		Sam Houston State 91 - Unranked 51
South Dakota 88 - Unranked 56		South Dakota 87 - Unranked 59
Texas Arlington 78 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.78	Texas Arlington 85 - Loyola Marymount 80	6
Toledo 73 - Saint Josephs 71	0.554	Toledo 98 - Saint Josephs 87	-9
UC Santa Barbara 64 - North Dakota State 67	0.578	UC Santa Barbara 85 - North Dakota State 66	-22
UNC Wilmington 93 - Unranked 53		UNC Wilmington 105 - Unranked 81
Western Illinois 82 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 109 - Unranked 68
Western Michigan 89 - Unranked 54		Western Michigan 103 - Unranked 72
Youngstown State 68 - Kent State 78	0.762	Youngstown State 78 - Kent State 111	23

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Texas State 66	0.573	Air Force 65 - Texas State 57	-5
Appalachian State 84 - Unranked 59		Appalachian State 95 - Unranked 57
Arizona 90 - UMBC 57	0.978	Arizona 103 - UMBC 78	8
Arkansas 81 - Bucknell 69	0.812	Arkansas 101 - Bucknell 73	-16
Boise State 87 - Southern Utah 58	0.963	Boise State 90 - Southern Utah 69	8
Butler 76 - Princeton 65	0.801	Butler 85 - Princeton 75	1
California 80 - Cal Poly 58	0.933	California 85 - Cal Poly 82	19
Central Arkansas 83 - Unranked 63		Central Arkansas 99 - Unranked 51
Clemson 87 - North Carolina AT 51	0.987	Clemson 87 - North Carolina AT 63	12
Creighton 86 - Alcorn State 55	0.994	Creighton 109 - Alcorn State 72	-6
Denver 66 - UC Irvine 67	0.527	Denver 69 - UC Irvine 83	13
East Carolina 80 - Coppin State 60	0.912	East Carolina 76 - Coppin State 50	-6
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 54		Eastern Michigan 97 - Unranked 73
Florida International 75 - Stetson 65	0.741	Florida International 64 - Stetson 70	16
Georgetown 84 - Jacksonville 59	0.947	Georgetown 73 - Jacksonville 57	9
Hampton 82 - Unranked 57		Hampton 85 - Unranked 68
Hartford 81 - Unranked 59		Hartford 80 - Unranked 63
Harvard 74 - Massachusetts 68	0.678	Harvard 70 - Massachusetts 67	3
Hawaii 73 - North Dakota 67	0.673	Hawaii 81 - North Dakota 78	3
Illinois 80 - Tennessee Martin 62	0.865	Illinois 77 - Tennessee Martin 74	15
Indiana 88 - Howard 54	0.988	Indiana 86 - Howard 77	25
Iowa 89 - Alabama State 57	0.995	Iowa 92 - Alabama State 58	-2
IPFW 90 - Unranked 56		IPFW 114 - Unranked 59
Kentucky 82 - Vermont 62	0.913	Kentucky 73 - Vermont 69	16
Lipscomb 73 - Morehead State 72	0.537	Lipscomb 77 - Morehead State 70	-6
Louisville 86 - George Mason 61	0.932	Louisville 72 - George Mason 61	14
Loyola Ill 89 - Unranked 53		Loyola Ill 96 - Unranked 69
Maryland 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.981	Maryland 96 - Maryland Eastern Shore 43	-21
Mercer 86 - Unranked 52		Mercer 110 - Unranked 43
Miami 79 - Navy 55	0.932	Miami 89 - Navy 55	-10
NC State 86 - Charleston Southern 64	0.942	NC State 78 - Charleston Southern 56	0
Northeastern 88 - Unranked 54		Northeastern 83 - Unranked 49
Northern Kentucky 86 - Unranked 54		Northern Kentucky 93 - Unranked 65
Northwestern State 86 - Unranked 61		Northwestern State 84 - Unranked 99
Ohio State 82 - Radford 59	0.941	Ohio State 82 - Radford 72	13
Oklahoma 88 - Omaha 68	0.901	Oklahoma 108 - Omaha 89	1
Penn State 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.919	Penn State 81 - Fairleigh Dickinson 57	-4
Purdue 91 - Chicago State 53	0.982	Purdue 111 - Chicago State 42	-31
Rutgers 80 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.929	Rutgers 71 - Central Connecticut State 67	17
San Jose State 70 - San Diego 68	0.548	San Jose State 64 - San Diego 81	19
Seattle 82 - Unranked 56		Seattle 121 - Unranked 70
Seton Hall 79 - Monmouth 67	0.817	Seton Hall 75 - Monmouth 65	2
South Carolina Upstate 84 - Unranked 57		South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 66
South Dakota State 90 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 78 - Unranked 54
Southern Methodist 82 - UL Monroe 56	0.951	Southern Methodist 83 - UL Monroe 65	8
Stanford 79 - Pacific 64	0.861	Stanford 89 - Pacific 80	6
Texas San Antonio 83 - Unranked 58		Texas San Antonio 92 - Unranked 59
Troy 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.863	Troy 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	-8
UMass Lowell 85 - Unranked 62		UMass Lowell 102 - Unranked 63
UMKC 85 - Unranked 57		UMKC 110 - Unranked 59
Virginia Tech 92 - The Citadel 65	0.951	Virginia Tech 132 - The Citadel 93	-12
Washington 81 - Eastern Washington 71	0.773	Washington 79 - Eastern Washington 69	0
Washington State 75 - Texas Southern 68	0.674	Washington State 86 - Texas Southern 84	5
Wisconsin 79 - Yale 61	0.913	Wisconsin 89 - Yale 61	-10
Wofford 87 - Unranked 54		Wofford 103 - Unranked 66

Number of DI Games: 176
Number Correct: 149 = 84.6%
Expected Number Correct: 145.704 = 82.7%
Average Error: 10.26
Average Signed Error: 1.38

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Chattanooga 65	0.748	Alabama Birmingham 89 - Chattanooga 47	-31
Arkansas Pine Bluff 59 - North Dakota 77	0.906	Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - North Dakota 80	-9
Arkansas State 76 - Abilene Christian 62	0.844	Arkansas State 83 - Abilene Christian 69	0
Baylor 82 - Texas AM CC 60	0.94	Baylor 70 - Texas AM CC 46	-2
Belmont 70 - Vanderbilt 77	0.694	Belmont 69 - Vanderbilt 60	-16
Boston 67 - Albany 71	0.64	Boston 74 - Albany 88	10
Bowling Green 73 - South Dakota 68	0.667	Bowling Green 79 - South Dakota 88	14
Campbell 85 - Unranked 60		Campbell 108 - Unranked 44
Cincinnati 85 - Western Carolina 52	0.974	Cincinnati 102 - Western Carolina 51	-18
Cornell 69 - Binghamton 67	0.561	Cornell 94 - Binghamton 84	-8
DePaul 81 - Delaware State 59	0.928	DePaul 81 - Delaware State 57	-2
Detroit 88 - Unranked 60		Detroit 105 - Unranked 82
Drexel 85 - Unranked 59		Drexel 95 - Unranked 81
Evansville 77 - North Carolina Central 59	0.906	Evansville 68 - North Carolina Central 55	5
Florida 87 - Gardner Webb 56	0.964	Florida 116 - Gardner Webb 74	-11
Fordham 75 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.745	Fordham 81 - LIU Brooklyn 68	-5
Fresno State 83 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.855	Fresno State 89 - Cal State Northridge 73	0
Georgia Southern 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.565	Georgia Southern 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 53	-22
Grand Canyon 73 - Robert Morris 60	0.846	Grand Canyon 75 - Robert Morris 61	-1
Hawaii 76 - Troy 67	0.795	Hawaii 72 - Troy 67	4
Hofstra 78 - Kennesaw St 67	0.824	Hofstra 75 - Kennesaw St 57	-7
Idaho 87 - Unranked 57		Idaho 101 - Unranked 62
Illinois Chicago 73 - Saint Josephs 72	0.511	Illinois Chicago 82 - Saint Josephs 86	5
Incarnate Word 85 - Unranked 60		Incarnate Word 93 - Unranked 57
Iowa State 84 - Milwaukee 63	0.906	Iowa State 56 - Milwaukee 74	39
IUPUI 85 - Unranked 60		IUPUI 75 - Unranked 43
James Madison 63 - Old Dominion 67	0.625	James Madison 53 - Old Dominion 69	12
Louisiana Tech 81 - SE Missouri State 63	0.856	Louisiana Tech 96 - SE Missouri State 95	17
Marshall 86 - Southern 65	0.9	Marshall 83 - Southern 74	12
Mcneese State 82 - Unranked 61		Mcneese State 101 - Unranked 54
Michigan 89 - Central Michigan 66	0.927	Michigan 72 - Central Michigan 65	16
Mississippi 84 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.928	Mississippi 85 - Eastern Kentucky 75	10
Missouri 78 - Wagner 60	0.883	Missouri 99 - Wagner 55	-26
Murray State 66 - Middle Tennessee 74	0.699	Murray State 67 - Middle Tennessee 72	-3
Nebraska 81 - North Texas 61	0.909	Nebraska 86 - North Texas 67	1
Norfolk State 86 - Unranked 59		Norfolk State 80 - Unranked 83
Northern Arizona 85 - Unranked 60		Northern Arizona 70 - Unranked 82
Northern Colorado 67 - UC Davis 71	0.617	Northern Colorado 59 - UC Davis 74	11
Northern Iowa 83 - Alcorn State 57	0.964	Northern Iowa 73 - Alcorn State 45	-2
Northwestern 74 - Saint Peters 59	0.848	Northwestern 75 - Saint Peters 66	6
Notre Dame 85 - Mt St Marys 60	0.989	Notre Dame 88 - Mt St Marys 62	-1
Oakland 80 - New Orleans 62	0.921	Oakland 87 - New Orleans 68	-1
Oklahoma State 87 - Charlotte 65	0.938	Oklahoma State 83 - Charlotte 65	4
Oregon 87 - Prairie View 54	0.999	Oregon 100 - Prairie View 67	0
Oregon State 71 - Wyoming 72	0.507	Oregon State 66 - Wyoming 75	8
Pennsylvania 66 - La Salle 75	0.728	Pennsylvania 71 - La Salle 75	-5
Pittsburgh 76 - Montana 67	0.718	Pittsburgh 78 - Montana 83	14
Providence 77 - Minnesota 70	0.721	Providence 74 - Minnesota 86	19
Quinnipiac 77 - Brown 72	0.636	Quinnipiac 72 - Brown 79	12
Richmond 74 - Jacksonville State 64	0.729	Richmond 61 - Jacksonville State 94	43
Saint Louis 88 - Unranked 53		Saint Louis 74 - Unranked 50
Saint Marys 76 - New Mexico State 63	0.828	Saint Marys 92 - New Mexico State 74	-5
Samford 75 - Alabama AM 60	0.857	Samford 87 - Alabama AM 68	-4
San Francisco 77 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.778	San Francisco 75 - Saint Francis Penn 63	-2
Savannah State 70 - East Tennessee State 77	0.698	Savannah State 61 - East Tennessee State 76	8
Siena 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 77	0.714	Siena 53 - Florida Gulf Coast 86	26
South Alabama 86 - Unranked 59		South Alabama 71 - Unranked 49
South Carolina 81 - Western Michigan 63	0.878	South Carolina 78 - Western Michigan 60	0
South Florida 74 - Morgan State 60	0.85	South Florida 53 - Morgan State 63	24
Southern California 85 - North Dakota State 59	0.924	Southern California 75 - North Dakota State 65	16
Tennessee State 87 - Unranked 56		Tennessee State 92 - Unranked 53
Texas Christian 83 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.896	Texas Christian 100 - Tennessee Tech 63	-17
Texas Pan American 74 - Bethune Cookman 70	0.639	Texas Pan American 92 - Bethune Cookman 74	-14
Towson 90 - Unranked 54		Towson 89 - Unranked 45
Tulane 75 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.777	Tulane 89 - Southeast Louisiana 66	-13
Tulsa 76 - Oral Roberts 65	0.774	Tulsa 90 - Oral Roberts 71	-8
UNC Asheville 91 - Unranked 57		UNC Asheville 92 - Unranked 60
Utah 89 - Mississippi Valley State 53	0.974	Utah 91 - Mississippi Valley State 51	-4
Utah State 74 - Montana State 66	0.75	Utah State 81 - Montana State 73	0
Valparaiso 93 - Unranked 50		Valparaiso 83 - Unranked 46
Virginia 85 - Austin Peay 55	0.965	Virginia 93 - Austin Peay 49	-14
Virginia Commonwealth 86 - North Florida 64	0.941	Virginia Commonwealth 95 - North Florida 85	12
Wichita State 82 - College of Charleston 59	0.948	Wichita State 81 - College of Charleston 63	5
Xavier 85 - Rider 60	0.936	Xavier 101 - Rider 75	-1

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Canisius 69	0.676	Air Force 93 - Canisius 79	-8
Alabama 84 - Lipscomb 64	0.923	Alabama 86 - Lipscomb 64	-2
Arizona State 72 - San Diego State 71	0.504	Arizona State 90 - San Diego State 68	-21
Army 87 - Unranked 59		Army 92 - Unranked 43
Boston College 81 - Sacred Heart 64	0.919	Boston College 73 - Sacred Heart 53	-3
Bradley 72 - Delaware 67	0.622	Bradley 61 - Delaware 53	-3
Chicago State 78 - Unranked 63		Chicago State 101 - Unranked 53
Colorado 81 - Denver 61	0.926	Colorado 89 - Denver 62	-7
Colorado State 79 - Winthrop 67	0.848	Colorado State 80 - Winthrop 76	8
Connecticut 75 - Stony Brook 62	0.861	Connecticut 72 - Stony Brook 64	5
Dartmouth 84 - Unranked 60		Dartmouth 78 - Unranked 43
Davidson 80 - UNC Wilmington 74	0.657	Davidson 108 - UNC Wilmington 81	-21
Duquesne 82 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.878	Duquesne 77 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0
Fairfield 75 - Loyola MD 68	0.717	Fairfield 64 - Loyola MD 52	-5
Florida State 81 - George Washington 66	0.817	Florida State 87 - George Washington 67	-5
Furman 72 - Elon 70	0.563	Furman 76 - Elon 67	-7
Georgia 84 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.956	Georgia 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	13
Gonzaga 92 - Howard 52	0.97	Gonzaga 106 - Howard 69	3
Houston Baptist 86 - Unranked 60		Houston Baptist 108 - Unranked 67
Idaho State 68 - Utah Valley 76	0.723	Idaho State 71 - Utah Valley 84	5
Kansas 78 - Kentucky 77	0.543	Kansas 65 - Kentucky 61	-3
Kansas State 85 - UMKC 60	0.948	Kansas State 72 - UMKC 51	4
Lamar 71 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.515	Lamar 66 - Coastal Carolina 60	-5
Lehigh 74 - Monmouth 73	0.512	Lehigh 72 - Monmouth 80	9
Long Beach State 95 - Unranked 55		Long Beach State 95 - Unranked 70
Longwood 62 - Columbia 78	0.889	Longwood 77 - Columbia 87	-6
Marquette 77 - Purdue 78	0.508	Marquette 71 - Purdue 86	14
Memphis 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	0.848	Memphis 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	5
Mercer 75 - Jackson State 60	0.871	Mercer 86 - Jackson State 58	-13
Miami OH 69 - Wright State 71	0.549	Miami OH 73 - Wright State 67	-8
Michigan State 76 - Duke 80	0.622	Michigan State 81 - Duke 88	3
NC State 84 - Bryant 62	0.953	NC State 95 - Bryant 72	-1
New Mexico 84 - Omaha 68	0.893	New Mexico 103 - Omaha 71	-16
NJ Tech 71 - Lafayette 68	0.595	NJ Tech 96 - Lafayette 80	-13
Northern Illinois 72 - Green Bay 71	0.512	Northern Illinois 85 - Green Bay 65	-19
Pepperdine 86 - Unranked 58		Pepperdine 107 - Unranked 82
Portland 86 - Unranked 59		Portland 89 - Unranked 52
Portland State 90 - Unranked 60		Portland State 111 - Unranked 60
Rice 70 - Georgia State 73	0.601	Rice 54 - Georgia State 75	18
Rutgers 70 - Cleveland State 63	0.697	Rutgers 70 - Cleveland State 38	-25
Sacramento State 85 - Unranked 58		Sacramento State 74 - Unranked 53
Saint Johns 87 - Central Connecticut State 58	0.959	Saint Johns 80 - Central Connecticut State 55	4
Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 56		Sam Houston State 72 - Unranked 56
South Dakota State 82 - Alabama State 56	0.958	South Dakota State 94 - Alabama State 63	-5
Stanford 81 - Eastern Washington 66	0.902	Stanford 61 - Eastern Washington 67	21
Syracuse 82 - Iona 67	0.871	Syracuse 71 - Iona 62	6
Tennessee 79 - High Point 67	0.762	Tennessee 84 - High Point 53	-19
Texas 80 - New Hampshire 62	0.891	Texas 78 - New Hampshire 60	0
Texas Tech 87 - Maine 56	0.974	Texas Tech 83 - Maine 44	-8
Toledo 96 - Unranked 55		Toledo 72 - Unranked 62
UC Irvine 90 - Unranked 52		UC Irvine 91 - Unranked 52
UL Lafayette 94 - Unranked 58		UL Lafayette 113 - Unranked 58
Villanova 92 - Nicholls State 54	0.972	Villanova 113 - Nicholls State 77	2
Wake Forest 80 - Liberty 64	0.857	Wake Forest 66 - Liberty 79	29
Weber State 91 - Unranked 54		Weber State 110 - Unranked 45
Yale 80 - South Carolina State 61	0.933	Yale 86 - South Carolina State 54	-13
Youngstown State 88 - Unranked 64		Youngstown State 134 - Unranked 46

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 88 - Unranked 61		Austin Peay 109 - Unranked 50
Buffalo 76 - Jacksonville State 63	0.848	Buffalo 81 - Jacksonville State 76	8
Cal Poly 88 - Unranked 59		Cal Poly 76 - Unranked 47
Central Florida 78 - Gardner Webb 64	0.86	Central Florida 68 - Gardner Webb 65	11
Charleston Southern 82 - Unranked 61		Charleston Southern 98 - Unranked 58
East Carolina 76 - Radford 63	0.832	East Carolina 66 - Radford 73	20
Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Unranked 61		Fairleigh Dickinson 111 - Unranked 49
Georgetown 79 - Mt St Marys 61	0.912	Georgetown 102 - Mt St Marys 68	-16
IPFW 79 - Delaware State 61	0.896	IPFW 85 - Delaware State 71	4
LIU Brooklyn 87 - Unranked 62		LIU Brooklyn 104 - Unranked 68
Loyola Marymount 73 - UC Riverside 69	0.614	Loyola Marymount 76 - UC Riverside 64	-8
Manhattan 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	0.84	Manhattan 80 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 79	13
Maryland 77 - Butler 73	0.623	Maryland 79 - Butler 65	-10
Minnesota 83 - Niagara 63	0.923	Minnesota 107 - Niagara 81	-6
Missouri State 83 - Southern 60	0.936	Missouri State 86 - Southern 58	-5
Montana State 88 - Unranked 57		Montana State 109 - Unranked 81
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Prairie View 63	0.896	Nevada Las Vegas 98 - Prairie View 63	-16
North Carolina 91 - Bucknell 66	0.955	North Carolina 93 - Bucknell 81	13
North Carolina AT 75 - The Citadel 76	0.512	North Carolina AT 92 - The Citadel 73	-20
Northern Iowa 94 - Unranked 51		Northern Iowa 72 - Unranked 43
Northwestern 75 - Creighton 77	0.562	Northwestern 88 - Creighton 92	2
Oklahoma 83 - Ball State 69	0.855	Oklahoma 108 - Ball State 69	-25
Pacific 72 - UC Davis 71	0.517	Pacific 58 - UC Davis 62	5
Penn State 77 - Montana 65	0.826	Penn State 70 - Montana 57	-1
Pennsylvania 71 - Navy 70	0.512	Pennsylvania 66 - Navy 45	-20
Pittsburgh 75 - UC Santa Barbara 67	0.684	Pittsburgh 70 - UC Santa Barbara 62	0
Princeton 75 - Brigham Young 73	0.557	Princeton 56 - Brigham Young 65	11
Rider 78 - Hartford 65	0.872	Rider 89 - Hartford 53	-23
Saint Marys 82 - Cal State Fullerton 56	0.951	Saint Marys 76 - Cal State Fullerton 57	7
San Diego 75 - Robert Morris 61	0.836	San Diego 65 - Robert Morris 53	2
Santa Clara 69 - Nevada 74	0.635	Santa Clara 63 - Nevada 93	25
Savannah State 87 - Unranked 63		Savannah State 114 - Unranked 80
Seton Hall 81 - Indiana 70	0.804	Seton Hall 84 - Indiana 68	-5
SIU Edwardsville 63 - Valparaiso 77	0.851	SIU Edwardsville 69 - Valparaiso 94	11
Southern Methodist 91 - Northwestern State 57	0.982	Southern Methodist 81 - Northwestern State 35	-12
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 89 - Unranked 66
Stetson 71 - South Florida 69	0.538	Stetson 72 - South Florida 75	5
Tennessee Martin 71 - North Carolina Central 65	0.659	Tennessee Martin 74 - North Carolina Central 57	-11
Texas AM CC 81 - Texas Pan American 61	0.925	Texas AM CC 75 - Texas Pan American 82	27
Texas Christian 81 - South Dakota 66	0.873	Texas Christian 76 - South Dakota 71	10
Texas State 71 - Texas San Antonio 64	0.691	Texas State 78 - Texas San Antonio 79	8
UCLA 95 - Central Arkansas 58	0.976	UCLA 106 - Central Arkansas 101	32
UMass Lowell 75 - Marist 71	0.653	UMass Lowell 76 - Marist 73	1
UNC Greensboro 89 - Unranked 56		UNC Greensboro 82 - Unranked 48
Utah State 82 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.954	Utah State 83 - Mississippi Valley State 47	-12
Washington State 79 - Seattle 61	0.889	Washington State 75 - Seattle 59	2
West Virginia 86 - American 57	0.952	West Virginia 98 - American 64	-5
Western Carolina 81 - Unranked 59		Western Carolina 76 - Unranked 57
Western Illinois 69 - Eastern Illinois 72	0.585	Western Illinois 56 - Eastern Illinois 54	-5
Western Kentucky 90 - Unranked 57		Western Kentucky 83 - Unranked 53
William and Mary 77 - Hampton 66	0.73	William and Mary 83 - Hampton 76	4

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 81 - Unranked 60		Abilene Christian 112 - Unranked 62
Alabama Birmingham 93 - Unranked 55		Alabama Birmingham 81 - Unranked 57
Appalachian State 64 - Iowa State 87	0.924	Appalachian State 98 - Iowa State 104	-17
Arizona 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.947	Arizona 91 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	-10
California 78 - Wofford 66	0.799	California 79 - Wofford 65	-2
Chattanooga 87 - Unranked 55		Chattanooga 94 - Unranked 46
Cincinnati 88 - Coppin State 53	0.981	Cincinnati 97 - Coppin State 54	-8
Colgate 74 - Cornell 66	0.747	Colgate 72 - Cornell 61	-3
Denver 87 - Unranked 59		Denver 91 - Unranked 59
Eastern Kentucky 88 - Unranked 56		Eastern Kentucky 97 - Unranked 66
Eastern Michigan 76 - Arkansas State 67	0.72	Eastern Michigan 76 - Arkansas State 59	-8
Evansville 82 - SE Missouri State 63	0.898	Evansville 66 - SE Missouri State 50	3
Florida 90 - North Florida 59	0.962	Florida 108 - North Florida 68	-9
Florida Atlantic 84 - Unranked 59		Florida Atlantic 91 - Unranked 59
George Mason 76 - Binghamton 62	0.854	George Mason 69 - Binghamton 57	2
Georgia Southern 92 - Unranked 56		Georgia Southern 120 - Unranked 52
Hofstra 67 - Dayton 79	0.841	Hofstra 72 - Dayton 69	-15
Holy Cross 65 - Harvard 69	0.666	Holy Cross 73 - Harvard 69	-8
Illinois Chicago 77 - Delaware State 58	0.892	Illinois Chicago 95 - Delaware State 55	-21
Indiana State 76 - Auburn 77	0.517	Indiana State 64 - Auburn 83	18
Iowa 88 - Grambling State 57	0.982	Iowa 85 - Grambling State 74	20
Kennesaw St 87 - Unranked 59		Kennesaw St 77 - Unranked 54
Kent State 96 - Unranked 54		Kent State 90 - Unranked 45
La Salle 80 - South Alabama 61	0.892	La Salle 81 - South Alabama 73	11
Lamar 87 - Unranked 58		Lamar 103 - Unranked 66
Louisiana State 85 - Samford 65	0.914	Louisiana State 105 - Samford 86	1
Miami 93 - Florida AM 46	0.969	Miami 90 - Florida AM 59	16
Michigan 85 - Southern Miss 55	0.952	Michigan 61 - Southern Miss 47	16
Middle Tennessee 77 - Belmont 66	0.803	Middle Tennessee 63 - Belmont 69	17
Morehead State 74 - Marshall 79	0.64	Morehead State 86 - Marshall 83	-8
Morgan State 80 - Unranked 61		Morgan State 72 - Unranked 60
NC State 87 - Presbyterian 55	0.978	NC State 86 - Presbyterian 68	14
North Texas 75 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.76	North Texas 90 - Bethune Cookman 78	-2
Notre Dame 92 - Chicago State 51	0.971	Notre Dame 105 - Chicago State 66	2
Ohio 67 - Clemson 74	0.681	Ohio 76 - Clemson 81	-2
Ohio State 83 - Texas Southern 65	0.908	Ohio State 82 - Texas Southern 64	0
Oklahoma State 88 - Oral Roberts 61	0.946	Oklahoma State 91 - Oral Roberts 48	-16
Saint Johns 76 - Nebraska 70	0.682	Saint Johns 79 - Nebraska 56	-17
Saint Louis 67 - Virginia Tech 79	0.823	Saint Louis 77 - Virginia Tech 71	-18
South Carolina 76 - Illinois State 68	0.704	South Carolina 65 - Illinois State 69	12
Southern Utah 71 - San Jose State 74	0.601	Southern Utah 81 - San Jose State 69	-15
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 91 - Unranked 68
Temple 69 - Old Dominion 68	0.503	Temple 76 - Old Dominion 65	-10
Tennessee Tech 87 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 106 - Unranked 48
Texas El Paso 67 - Boise State 74	0.696	Texas El Paso 56 - Boise State 58	-5
Troy 89 - Unranked 57		Troy 106 - Unranked 71
UL Monroe 73 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.758	UL Monroe 86 - Southeast Louisiana 75	-1
UMBC 90 - Unranked 60		UMBC 93 - Unranked 62
UMKC 67 - Loyola Ill 78	0.788	UMKC 56 - Loyola Ill 66	-1
Utah 75 - Missouri 70	0.63	Utah 77 - Missouri 59	-13
Washington 71 - Providence 78	0.719	Washington 70 - Providence 77	0
Western Michigan 72 - Tulsa 69	0.59	Western Michigan 74 - Tulsa 81	10
Wisconsin 75 - Xavier 71	0.604	Wisconsin 70 - Xavier 80	14

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 86 - Alabama AM 50	0.98	Alabama 104 - Alabama AM 67	-1
Albany 73 - Yale 66	0.735	Albany 80 - Yale 72	-1
Arizona State 83 - Northern Arizona 63	0.918	Arizona State 97 - Northern Arizona 62	-15
Arkansas 84 - Fresno State 67	0.872	Arkansas 83 - Fresno State 75	9
Ball State 73 - Stony Brook 68	0.667	Ball State 87 - Stony Brook 76	-6
Baylor 90 - Alcorn State 54	0.97	Baylor 78 - Alcorn State 61	19
Boise State 71 - Illinois State 74	0.578	Boise State 82 - Illinois State 64	-21
Bradley 64 - Vermont 73	0.78	Bradley 64 - Vermont 65	-8
Cleveland State 74 - Coppin State 60	0.833	Cleveland State 80 - Coppin State 56	-10
Colorado 80 - Quinnipiac 63	0.908	Colorado 70 - Quinnipiac 69	16
Dayton 76 - Ohio 66	0.761	Dayton 79 - Ohio 65	-4
Delaware 90 - Unranked 55		Delaware 93 - Unranked 78
Duke 95 - Southern 54	0.974	Duke 78 - Southern 61	24
East Carolina 81 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.946	East Carolina 68 - Central Connecticut State 79	33
Eastern Illinois 75 - IUPUI 67	0.728	Eastern Illinois 80 - IUPUI 79	7
Elon 75 - Florida International 65	0.789	Elon 95 - Florida International 87	2
Fordham 61 - Florida State 82	0.878	Fordham 43 - Florida State 67	3
Green Bay 94 - Unranked 56		Green Bay 98 - Unranked 27
Hofstra 69 - Clemson 77	0.761	Hofstra 59 - Clemson 78	11
Houston 80 - Drexel 62	0.918	Houston 80 - Drexel 84	22
Illinois 79 - DePaul 65	0.841	Illinois 82 - DePaul 73	5
Incarnate Word 85 - Unranked 60		Incarnate Word 88 - Unranked 49
James Madison 65 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.701	James Madison 78 - Northern Kentucky 87	2
Kansas 85 - South Dakota State 63	0.926	Kansas 98 - South Dakota State 64	-12
Kansas State 77 - UC Irvine 63	0.843	Kansas State 71 - UC Irvine 49	-8
Kentucky 88 - East Tennessee State 61	0.955	Kentucky 78 - East Tennessee State 61	10
Lehigh 75 - Siena 69	0.704	Lehigh 91 - Siena 90	5
Liberty 68 - Mercer 69	0.507	Liberty 48 - Mercer 63	14
LIU Brooklyn 68 - Miami OH 74	0.697	LIU Brooklyn 74 - Miami OH 78	-2
Louisville 91 - Omaha 61	0.989	Louisville 87 - Omaha 78	21
Loyola MD 70 - Towson 72	0.551	Loyola MD 72 - Towson 95	21
Milwaukee 87 - Unranked 56		Milwaukee 55 - Unranked 69
Mississippi 82 - Georgia State 66	0.882	Mississippi 77 - Georgia State 72	11
Missouri State 79 - North Dakota State 65	0.836	Missouri State 54 - North Dakota State 57	17
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Eastern Washington 70	0.742	Nevada Las Vegas 91 - Eastern Washington 76	-5
New Mexico State 73 - New Mexico 69	0.63	New Mexico State 75 - New Mexico 56	-15
Nicholls State 85 - Unranked 61		Nicholls State 127 - Unranked 83
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 54		North Carolina Central 101 - Unranked 76
Northwestern State 73 - Rice 76	0.616	Northwestern State 65 - Rice 87	19
Old Dominion 67 - Indiana State 70	0.594	Old Dominion 62 - Indiana State 44	-21
Oregon 89 - Alabama State 52	0.977	Oregon 114 - Alabama State 56	-21
Penn State 78 - Columbia 66	0.817	Penn State 79 - Columbia 65	-2
Pepperdine 72 - Northern Colorado 66	0.688	Pepperdine 82 - Northern Colorado 84	8
Providence 76 - Saint Louis 62	0.881	Providence 90 - Saint Louis 63	-13
San Diego State 81 - Mcneese State 53	0.989	San Diego State 83 - Mcneese State 52	-3
San Francisco 75 - Sacramento State 65	0.798	San Francisco 69 - Sacramento State 56	-3
Stanford 77 - Northeastern 67	0.782	Stanford 73 - Northeastern 59	-4
Temple 74 - Auburn 78	0.626	Temple 88 - Auburn 74	-18
Texas AM 84 - UC Santa Barbara 60	0.9	Texas AM 84 - UC Santa Barbara 65	5
Texas El Paso 61 - South Carolina 79	0.87	Texas El Paso 56 - South Carolina 80	6
Texas San Antonio 67 - Coastal Carolina 73	0.657	Texas San Antonio 69 - Coastal Carolina 83	8
Tulane 69 - Colorado State 79	0.807	Tulane 80 - Colorado State 53	-37
Tulsa 67 - Iowa State 81	0.816	Tulsa 78 - Iowa State 80	-12
UCLA 91 - South Carolina State 55	0.975	UCLA 96 - South Carolina State 68	8
UL Lafayette 84 - Savannah State 69	0.889	UL Lafayette 115 - Savannah State 82	-18
UNC Greensboro 89 - Unranked 56		UNC Greensboro 95 - Unranked 43
Vanderbilt 82 - UNC Asheville 62	0.911	Vanderbilt 79 - UNC Asheville 76	17
Villanova 90 - Lafayette 57	0.999	Villanova 104 - Lafayette 57	-14
Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Virginia 70	0.549	Virginia Commonwealth 67 - Virginia 76	8
Wake Forest 81 - Drake 73	0.719	Wake Forest 74 - Drake 77	11
Washington 76 - Virginia Tech 80	0.621	Washington 79 - Virginia Tech 103	20
Weber State 72 - Iona 73	0.528	Weber State 72 - Iona 80	7
Western Michigan 78 - Appalachian State 65	0.8	Western Michigan 86 - Appalachian State 67	-6

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 79 - Tennessee Martin 64	0.878	Akron 76 - Tennessee Martin 59	-2
Belmont 82 - Houston Baptist 65	0.913	Belmont 93 - Houston Baptist 88	12
Boston College 68 - Texas Tech 78	0.799	Boston College 64 - Texas Tech 75	1
Bowling Green 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	0.694	Bowling Green 83 - Florida Gulf Coast 80	-9
Brigham Young 79 - Texas Arlington 73	0.679	Brigham Young 75 - Texas Arlington 89	20
Bryant 68 - Navy 72	0.611	Bryant 71 - Navy 79	4
Butler 84 - Furman 60	0.934	Butler 82 - Furman 65	7
Cal State Fullerton 85 - Unranked 58		Cal State Fullerton 77 - Unranked 35
Canisius 81 - Youngstown State 69	0.801	Canisius 104 - Youngstown State 84	-8
Central Florida 81 - William and Mary 66	0.791	Central Florida 75 - William and Mary 64	4
Central Michigan 94 - Unranked 62		Central Michigan 103 - Unranked 68
Charlotte 68 - College of Charleston 73	0.658	Charlotte 72 - College of Charleston 81	4
Coastal Carolina 65 - Vermont 76	0.807	Coastal Carolina 67 - Vermont 80	2
Detroit 72 - Seattle 67	0.647	Detroit 71 - Seattle 102	36
Drake 67 - Colorado 80	0.816	Drake 81 - Colorado 86	-8
Drexel 68 - Mercer 75	0.73	Drexel 59 - Mercer 78	12
Eastern Michigan 80 - Howard 61	0.894	Eastern Michigan 76 - Howard 66	9
Elon 89 - Unranked 59		Elon 84 - Unranked 62
Evansville 79 - Binghamton 58	0.952	Evansville 66 - Binghamton 61	16
Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Unranked 61		Fairleigh Dickinson 94 - Unranked 55
Gardner Webb 88 - Unranked 57		Gardner Webb 119 - Unranked 81
George Mason 80 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.749	George Mason 78 - Cal State Northridge 73	5
George Washington 81 - Hampton 60	0.943	George Washington 65 - Hampton 57	13
Georgetown 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.958	Georgetown 83 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	3
Gonzaga 85 - Utah State 59	0.955	Gonzaga 79 - Utah State 66	13
Grand Canyon 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	0.712	Grand Canyon 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 51	-18
Hartford 72 - LIU Brooklyn 74	0.575	Hartford 84 - LIU Brooklyn 86	0
High Point 87 - The Citadel 67	0.868	High Point 77 - The Citadel 79	22
Idaho 70 - Sam Houston State 66	0.642	Idaho 63 - Sam Houston State 54	-5
Illinois Chicago 73 - IPFW 70	0.614	Illinois Chicago 51 - IPFW 67	19
Iona 72 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.525	Iona 72 - Northern Kentucky 85	12
Jacksonville 75 - North Carolina AT 64	0.802	Jacksonville 82 - North Carolina AT 90	19
Liberty 63 - Houston 74	0.795	Liberty 66 - Houston 68	-9
Longwood 66 - Saint Francis Penn 75	0.775	Longwood 56 - Saint Francis Penn 83	18
Louisiana Tech 78 - Montana State 64	0.857	Louisiana Tech 71 - Montana State 58	1
Maine 67 - South Alabama 75	0.745	Maine 46 - South Alabama 68	14
Manhattan 66 - Harvard 73	0.725	Manhattan 73 - Harvard 69	-11
Marist 71 - Army 72	0.51	Marist 73 - Army 94	20
Maryland 83 - Bucknell 65	0.914	Maryland 80 - Bucknell 78	16
Milwaukee 73 - Florida International 62	0.788	Milwaukee 66 - Florida International 51	-4
Mississippi State 87 - Florida AM 54	0.991	Mississippi State 79 - Florida AM 48	2
Mt St Marys 71 - North Florida 72	0.501	Mt St Marys 84 - North Florida 81	-4
Northern Iowa 84 - Chicago State 53	0.965	Northern Iowa 82 - Chicago State 44	-7
Northwestern 72 - La Salle 70	0.557	Northwestern 82 - La Salle 74	-6
Oregon State 73 - Long Beach State 74	0.538	Oregon State 89 - Long Beach State 81	-9
Pacific 69 - Nevada 80	0.822	Pacific 74 - Nevada 89	4
Pennsylvania 87 - Unranked 58		Pennsylvania 99 - Unranked 40
Purdue 86 - Fairfield 63	0.93	Purdue 106 - Fairfield 64	-19
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Jackson State 58	0.91	Saint Bonaventure 72 - Jackson State 58	6
Saint Josephs 72 - Princeton 75	0.595	Saint Josephs 71 - Princeton 58	-16
Saint Peters 71 - Sacred Heart 62	0.771	Saint Peters 70 - Sacred Heart 61	0
San Diego 76 - Norfolk State 63	0.824	San Diego 71 - Norfolk State 62	4
Santa Clara 76 - Cal Poly 64	0.801	Santa Clara 59 - Cal Poly 63	16
Seton Hall 84 - NJ Tech 55	0.979	Seton Hall 82 - NJ Tech 53	0
South Carolina Upstate 78 - Charleston Southern 65	0.838	South Carolina Upstate 72 - Charleston Southern 82	23
South Dakota 79 - Grambling State 61	0.929	South Dakota 84 - Grambling State 55	-11
Southern Illinois 94 - Unranked 51		Southern Illinois 69 - Unranked 64
Southern Methodist 88 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 48	0.969	Southern Methodist 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 37	5
Stephen F Austin 88 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 118 - Unranked 64
Stetson 74 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.682	Stetson 76 - SIU Edwardsville 80	10
Syracuse 84 - Texas Southern 63	0.925	Syracuse 80 - Texas Southern 67	8
Tennessee State 63 - Middle Tennessee 74	0.801	Tennessee State 65 - Middle Tennessee 75	-1
Tennessee Tech 73 - Kennesaw St 69	0.608	Tennessee Tech 82 - Kennesaw St 68	-10
Texas 84 - Lipscomb 66	0.896	Texas 80 - Lipscomb 57	-5
Texas San Antonio 64 - Bradley 73	0.727	Texas San Antonio 69 - Bradley 71	-7
Texas State 78 - Texas Pan American 62	0.9	Texas State 75 - Texas Pan American 58	-1
Toledo 76 - Oakland 74	0.577	Toledo 87 - Oakland 74	-11
UC Riverside 76 - Portland State 68	0.725	UC Riverside 82 - Portland State 94	20
UNC Wilmington 84 - Campbell 63	0.923	UNC Wilmington 88 - Campbell 84	17
Utah Valley 73 - UC Davis 70	0.577	Utah Valley 80 - UC Davis 71	-6
Virginia Military Institute 73 - Presbyterian 66	0.706	Virginia Military Institute 78 - Presbyterian 58	-13
Wagner 71 - American 58	0.853	Wagner 71 - American 70	12
Wake Forest 82 - Quinnipiac 69	0.833	Wake Forest 72 - Quinnipiac 55	-4
Washington State 82 - Idaho State 63	0.927	Washington State 83 - Idaho State 62	-2
Weber State 72 - James Madison 66	0.683	Weber State 73 - James Madison 65	-2
West Virginia 89 - Morgan State 55	0.965	West Virginia 111 - Morgan State 48	-29
Western Illinois 83 - Unranked 61		Western Illinois 102 - Unranked 25
Winthrop 91 - Unranked 57		Winthrop 106 - Unranked 65
Wofford 89 - Unranked 57		Wofford 96 - Unranked 65
Wright State 77 - Murray State 69	0.684	Wright State 61 - Murray State 80	27

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 66 - Texas El Paso 74	0.718	Appalachian State 76 - Texas El Paso 72	-12
Arizona State 75 - UC Irvine 69	0.675	Arizona State 99 - UC Irvine 78	-15
Austin Peay 72 - UNC Asheville 74	0.563	Austin Peay 79 - UNC Asheville 82	1
Belmont 81 - Seattle 61	0.929	Belmont 90 - Seattle 77	7
Central Arkansas 74 - Alcorn State 71	0.619	Central Arkansas 102 - Alcorn State 76	-23
Clemson 74 - Temple 70	0.621	Clemson 60 - Temple 67	11
Colgate 73 - UMBC 72	0.551	Colgate 93 - UMBC 88	-4
Colorado 78 - Mercer 66	0.838	Colorado 79 - Mercer 70	3
Connecticut 79 - Boston 61	0.924	Connecticut 85 - Boston 66	-1
Dayton 71 - Old Dominion 64	0.718	Dayton 67 - Old Dominion 75	15
Drake 76 - Drexel 70	0.666	Drake 90 - Drexel 88	4
Duquesne 76 - Robert Morris 66	0.773	Duquesne 59 - Robert Morris 66	17
Florida 85 - New Hampshire 57	0.954	Florida 70 - New Hampshire 63	21
Florida International 81 - Unranked 61		Florida International 77 - Unranked 67
Florida State 78 - Colorado State 70	0.698	Florida State 90 - Colorado State 73	-9
Fordham 71 - Tulane 72	0.537	Fordham 55 - Tulane 63	7
Georgia 78 - Texas AM CC 61	0.903	Georgia 68 - Texas AM CC 65	14
Georgia Tech 85 - Bethune Cookman 54	0.965	Georgia Tech 65 - Bethune Cookman 62	28
Hofstra 72 - Auburn 81	0.764	Hofstra 78 - Auburn 89	2
Houston Baptist 72 - Detroit 74	0.572	Houston Baptist 109 - Detroit 116	5
Illinois 82 - Marshall 71	0.763	Illinois 91 - Marshall 74	-6
Indiana 81 - South Florida 65	0.853	Indiana 70 - South Florida 53	-1
Iona 75 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.647	Iona 84 - Coastal Carolina 89	10
Iowa State 79 - Boise State 73	0.683	Iowa State 75 - Boise State 64	-5
James Madison 71 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.636	James Madison 77 - Texas San Antonio 90	18
Kent State 88 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.99	Kent State 80 - Mississippi Valley State 67	17
La Salle 75 - Boston College 70	0.654	La Salle 61 - Boston College 82	26
Lamar 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	0.626	Lamar 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 85	8
Lehigh 92 - Unranked 56		Lehigh 95 - Unranked 70
Liberty 71 - Quinnipiac 66	0.66	Liberty 84 - Quinnipiac 72	-7
Loyola Ill 81 - Samford 63	0.929	Loyola Ill 88 - Samford 67	-3
Loyola Marymount 79 - Mcneese State 62	0.94	Loyola Marymount 92 - Mcneese State 86	11
Massachusetts 76 - Niagara 67	0.762	Massachusetts 101 - Niagara 76	-16
Miami OH 74 - Hartford 65	0.761	Miami OH 58 - Hartford 68	19
Michigan State 82 - Stony Brook 60	0.934	Michigan State 93 - Stony Brook 71	0
Milwaukee 71 - Elon 70	0.533	Milwaukee 72 - Elon 71	0
Minnesota 84 - Western Carolina 56	0.996	Minnesota 92 - Western Carolina 64	0
Nebraska 77 - North Dakota 67	0.787	Nebraska 92 - North Dakota 70	-12
North Carolina Central 72 - Southern 60	0.791	North Carolina Central 80 - Southern 67	-1
Northern Kentucky 67 - Vermont 73	0.669	Northern Kentucky 64 - Vermont 66	-4
Northwestern 70 - Texas Tech 72	0.553	Northwestern 49 - Texas Tech 85	34
Ohio 68 - Indiana State 74	0.652	Ohio 96 - Indiana State 94	-8
Ohio State 78 - Northeastern 66	0.819	Ohio State 80 - Northeastern 55	-13
Oregon 83 - Ball State 64	0.883	Oregon 95 - Ball State 71	-5
Portland 86 - Unranked 59		Portland 86 - Unranked 59
Rhode Island 78 - Holy Cross 57	0.942	Rhode Island 88 - Holy Cross 66	-1
Rutgers 77 - Coppin State 60	0.865	Rutgers 64 - Coppin State 39	-8
Sacred Heart 73 - Maine 69	0.652	Sacred Heart 69 - Maine 68	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Brown 73	0.62	Saint Francis Brooklyn 77 - Brown 74	-7
Saint Peters 69 - South Alabama 63	0.666	Saint Peters 49 - South Alabama 54	11
San Jose State 60 - Saint Marys 81	0.923	San Jose State 61 - Saint Marys 79	-3
Tulsa 66 - Illinois State 76	0.744	Tulsa 68 - Illinois State 84	6
UMass Lowell 75 - Cornell 71	0.655	UMass Lowell 98 - Cornell 78	-16
Valparaiso 77 - Southeast Louisiana 56	0.908	Valparaiso 83 - Southeast Louisiana 50	-12
Vanderbilt 75 - Southern California 71	0.591	Vanderbilt 89 - Southern California 93	8
Virginia 78 - Monmouth 60	0.92	Virginia 73 - Monmouth 53	-2
Wake Forest 74 - Houston 77	0.597	Wake Forest 73 - Houston 78	2
Weber State 69 - Bradley 68	0.559	Weber State 64 - Bradley 70	7
Western Kentucky 79 - Nicholls State 66	0.85	Western Kentucky 100 - Nicholls State 86	-1
Western Michigan 65 - South Carolina 79	0.822	Western Michigan 66 - South Carolina 79	-1
Wofford 76 - North Florida 70	0.684	Wofford 86 - North Florida 83	3
Yale 91 - Unranked 55		Yale 107 - Unranked 42

Number of DI Games: 361
Number Correct: 294 = 81.4%
Expected Number Correct: 283.525 = 78.5%
Average Error: 10.06
Average Signed Error: 1.14

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Lipscomb 77	0.798	Abilene Christian 67 - Lipscomb 75	-1
Air Force 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.956	Air Force 57 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 47	16
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Richmond 67	0.745	Alabama Birmingham 50 - Richmond 63	26
Albany 94 - Unranked 52		Albany 102 - Unranked 77
Arkansas State 78 - Howard 65	0.838	Arkansas State 92 - Howard 78	-1
Bowling Green 93 - Unranked 54		Bowling Green 109 - Unranked 106
Bucknell 82 - Siena 67	0.864	Bucknell 115 - Siena 92	-8
California 64 - Wichita State 85	0.889	California 82 - Wichita State 92	-11
Campbell 88 - Unranked 59		Campbell 98 - Unranked 53
Charleston Southern 85 - Unranked 59		Charleston Southern 107 - Unranked 36
Charlotte 81 - Presbyterian 60	0.939	Charlotte 83 - Presbyterian 74	12
Chattanooga 76 - Alabama State 61	0.828	Chattanooga 67 - Alabama State 50	-2
Cincinnati 78 - Buffalo 70	0.741	Cincinnati 73 - Buffalo 67	2
Creighton 82 - UCLA 79	0.587	Creighton 100 - UCLA 89	-8
Duke 87 - Furman 61	0.94	Duke 92 - Furman 63	-3
East Carolina 71 - Cleveland State 67	0.607	East Carolina 72 - Cleveland State 69	1
East Tennessee State 83 - Delaware State 57	0.952	East Tennessee State 81 - Delaware State 57	2
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Prairie View 65	0.827	Eastern Kentucky 70 - Prairie View 80	22
Eastern Washington 66 - Georgia State 75	0.742	Eastern Washington 50 - Georgia State 68	9
Florida Atlantic 62 - Towson 79	0.893	Florida Atlantic 52 - Towson 76	7
George Washington 75 - Rider 70	0.632	George Washington 65 - Rider 67	7
Grand Canyon 81 - Norfolk State 62	0.937	Grand Canyon 85 - Norfolk State 60	-6
Iowa 82 - UL Lafayette 77	0.647	Iowa 71 - UL Lafayette 80	14
Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 61		Jacksonville 88 - Unranked 70
Kansas State 86 - Northern Arizona 55	0.975	Kansas State 80 - Northern Arizona 58	9
Kentucky 87 - Troy 57	0.99	Kentucky 70 - Troy 62	22
Louisiana State 74 - Michigan 78	0.617	Louisiana State 77 - Michigan 75	-6
Manhattan 72 - UMKC 70	0.574	Manhattan 63 - UMKC 74	13
Maryland 89 - Jackson State 51	0.971	Maryland 76 - Jackson State 45	7
Mississippi State 81 - Green Bay 66	0.816	Mississippi State 77 - Green Bay 68	6
Missouri 96 - Unranked 50		Missouri 67 - Unranked 62
Missouri State 70 - Georgia Southern 74	0.611	Missouri State 73 - Georgia Southern 74	-3
Montana 79 - Oral Roberts 66	0.857	Montana 69 - Oral Roberts 64	8
Nevada Las Vegas 86 - Rice 68	0.897	Nevada Las Vegas 95 - Rice 68	-9
North Texas 78 - Texas Pan American 73	0.666	North Texas 63 - Texas Pan American 75	17
Northern Illinois 73 - Pennsylvania 67	0.688	Northern Illinois 80 - Pennsylvania 93	19
Oklahoma State 72 - Texas AM 76	0.599	Oklahoma State 55 - Texas AM 72	13
Pepperdine 70 - UC Santa Barbara 75	0.636	Pepperdine 84 - UC Santa Barbara 92	3
Pittsburgh 69 - Penn State 77	0.713	Pittsburgh 54 - Penn State 85	23
Portland State 73 - Utah State 74	0.51	Portland State 83 - Utah State 79	-5
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.899	Saint Bonaventure 96 - Maryland Eastern Shore 48	-29
Saint Johns 98 - Unranked 50		Saint Johns 71 - Unranked 43
San Diego 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 61	0.828	San Diego 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 52	-2
San Diego State 77 - Eastern Illinois 60	0.892	San Diego State 94 - Eastern Illinois 63	-14
Savannah State 64 - Jacksonville State 81	0.866	Savannah State 71 - Jacksonville State 86	-2
South Carolina Upstate 86 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 79 - Unranked 59
South Dakota 95 - Unranked 53		South Dakota 93 - Unranked 54
Southern Miss 83 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 90 - Unranked 46
Stanford 70 - North Carolina 83	0.843	Stanford 72 - North Carolina 96	11
Stetson 84 - Unranked 63		Stetson 87 - Unranked 53
Syracuse 78 - Oakland 67	0.796	Syracuse 74 - Oakland 50	-13
Texas Christian 90 - Omaha 66	0.938	Texas Christian 99 - Omaha 66	-9
UNC Greensboro 73 - Delaware 65	0.7	UNC Greensboro 79 - Delaware 66	-5
Unranked 54 - Notre Dame 98		Unranked 56 - Notre Dame 83
Utah 75 - Mississippi 74	0.537	Utah 83 - Mississippi 74	-8
Utah Valley 94 - Unranked 56		Utah Valley 97 - Unranked 52
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Marquette 76	0.531	Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Marquette 94	10
West Virginia 88 - Long Beach State 68	0.869	West Virginia 91 - Long Beach State 62	-9
Wisconsin 69 - Baylor 70	0.51	Wisconsin 65 - Baylor 70	4
Wright State 88 - Unranked 57		Wright State 73 - Unranked 49
Wyoming 74 - South Dakota State 72	0.566	Wyoming 77 - South Dakota State 65	-10
Xavier 93 - Hampton 53	0.972	Xavier 96 - Hampton 60	4

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 78 - Pacific 64	0.844	Air Force 71 - Pacific 83	26
Alabama 78 - Texas Arlington 72	0.665	Alabama 77 - Texas Arlington 76	5
Alabama State 70 - Savannah State 74	0.622	Alabama State 97 - Savannah State 101	0
Army 73 - Columbia 70	0.617	Army 88 - Columbia 78	-7
Baylor 77 - Creighton 75	0.542	Baylor 65 - Creighton 59	-4
Bethune Cookman 70 - Grambling State 68	0.566	Bethune Cookman 87 - Grambling State 78	-7
Binghamton 67 - Montana State 73	0.708	Binghamton 64 - Montana State 74	4
Brigham Young 86 - Niagara 66	0.927	Brigham Young 95 - Niagara 88	13
Buffalo 72 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.508	Buffalo 96 - Alabama Birmingham 91	-6
California 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 77	0.651	California 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 83	8
Central Connecticut State 76 - Coppin State 63	0.806	Central Connecticut State 74 - Coppin State 71	10
Chattanooga 66 - Jacksonville State 72	0.626	Chattanooga 75 - Jacksonville State 77	-4
Chicago State 81 - Unranked 64		Chicago State 113 - Unranked 65
Cincinnati 85 - Richmond 64	0.882	Cincinnati 75 - Richmond 48	-6
Delaware 87 - Unranked 58		Delaware 88 - Unranked 70
Florida Atlantic 61 - Northern Illinois 76	0.871	Florida Atlantic 77 - Northern Illinois 67	-25
Fresno State 72 - Evansville 70	0.554	Fresno State 57 - Evansville 59	4
Gardner Webb 89 - Unranked 58		Gardner Webb 93 - Unranked 70
George Mason 69 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.688	George Mason 64 - Louisiana Tech 77	7
Georgia Southern 79 - UMKC 66	0.796	Georgia Southern 78 - UMKC 75	10
High Point 86 - Unranked 57		High Point 99 - Unranked 63
IUPUI 73 - Morehead State 74	0.532	IUPUI 67 - Morehead State 61	-7
Kansas 93 - Texas Southern 59	0.971	Kansas 114 - Texas Southern 71	-9
Kent State 82 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0.934	Kent State 66 - Southeast Louisiana 70	25
Louisiana State 76 - Notre Dame 82	0.691	Louisiana State 53 - Notre Dame 92	33
Louisville 77 - Southern Illinois 65	0.808	Louisville 84 - Southern Illinois 42	-30
Loyola Ill 86 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.975	Loyola Ill 63 - Mississippi Valley State 50	17
Loyola MD 86 - Unranked 60		Loyola MD 97 - Unranked 45
Massachusetts 79 - Western Carolina 60	0.916	Massachusetts 85 - Western Carolina 76	10
Memphis 80 - New Orleans 63	0.889	Memphis 63 - New Orleans 52	6
Middle Tennessee 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.632	Middle Tennessee 85 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	-9
Minnesota 92 - Alabama AM 56	0.974	Minnesota 100 - Alabama AM 57	-7
Missouri State 73 - Manhattan 67	0.704	Missouri State 69 - Manhattan 65	2
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 61		Morgan State 82 - Unranked 67
Mt St Marys 87 - Unranked 59		Mt St Marys 91 - Unranked 80
Nevada 80 - Davidson 78	0.557	Nevada 81 - Davidson 68	-11
New Hampshire 75 - American 60	0.878	New Hampshire 70 - American 74	19
New Mexico 81 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.786	New Mexico 96 - Tennessee Tech 104	23
North Carolina AT 86 - Unranked 60		North Carolina AT 115 - Unranked 76
North Dakota 91 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 79 - Unranked 48
North Florida 91 - Unranked 63		North Florida 101 - Unranked 77
Northern Colorado 86 - Unranked 60		Northern Colorado 97 - Unranked 62
Penn State 68 - Texas AM 77	0.723	Penn State 87 - Texas AM 98	2
Pepperdine 76 - Oral Roberts 70	0.671	Pepperdine 80 - Oral Roberts 76	2
Pittsburgh 68 - Oklahoma State 81	0.814	Pittsburgh 67 - Oklahoma State 73	-7
Rutgers 82 - Bryant 59	0.948	Rutgers 83 - Bryant 54	-6
Saint Francis Penn 87 - Unranked 58		Saint Francis Penn 96 - Unranked 54
San Francisco 91 - Unranked 54		San Francisco 78 - Unranked 55
SE Missouri State 77 - Cal State Northridge 75	0.538	SE Missouri State 74 - Cal State Northridge 59	-13
South Carolina State 74 - Central Arkansas 79	0.618	South Carolina State 64 - Central Arkansas 73	4
South Dakota State 74 - Iowa 78	0.635	South Dakota State 80 - Iowa 72	-12
Southern Utah 88 - Unranked 64		Southern Utah 85 - Unranked 68
Tennessee State 76 - Canisius 73	0.638	Tennessee State 60 - Canisius 52	-5
The Citadel 88 - Unranked 66		The Citadel 116 - Unranked 66
Towson 76 - Pennsylvania 68	0.719	Towson 79 - Pennsylvania 71	0
UC Davis 74 - Sacramento State 63	0.847	UC Davis 64 - Sacramento State 47	-6
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Montana 71	0.571	UC Santa Barbara 80 - Montana 73	-5
UL Monroe 83 - Northwestern State 63	0.932	UL Monroe 61 - Northwestern State 76	35
UNC Greensboro 83 - Longwood 56	0.959	UNC Greensboro 71 - Longwood 40	-4
Unranked 52 - Michigan 93		Unranked 64 - Michigan 102
Valparaiso 83 - Samford 61	0.951	Valparaiso 88 - Samford 67	1
Virginia Military Institute 83 - Unranked 63		Virginia Military Institute 81 - Unranked 66
Virginia Tech 93 - Houston Baptist 67	0.947	Virginia Tech 99 - Houston Baptist 73	0
Wagner 87 - Unranked 57		Wagner 107 - Unranked 64
Wichita State 83 - Marquette 69	0.835	Wichita State 80 - Marquette 66	0
William and Mary 89 - Unranked 60		William and Mary 103 - Unranked 54
Winthrop 92 - Unranked 59		Winthrop 104 - Unranked 49
Wisconsin 77 - UCLA 73	0.619	Wisconsin 70 - UCLA 72	6
Wyoming 78 - UL Lafayette 75	0.586	Wyoming 70 - UL Lafayette 61	-6
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 66		Youngstown State 91 - Unranked 83

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Iowa 76	0.524	Alabama Birmingham 85 - Iowa 95	9
Alcorn State 65 - Yale 76	0.797	Alcorn State 73 - Yale 87	3
Austin Peay 88 - Unranked 62		Austin Peay 90 - Unranked 58
Boston College 79 - Colgate 66	0.869	Boston College 83 - Colgate 79	9
Bradley 91 - Unranked 51		Bradley 79 - Unranked 47
Bucknell 82 - Ball State 72	0.764	Bucknell 87 - Ball State 83	6
Buffalo 75 - South Dakota State 72	0.608	Buffalo 80 - South Dakota State 94	17
Cal State Northridge 75 - Binghamton 71	0.644	Cal State Northridge 65 - Binghamton 70	9
Cincinnati 79 - Wyoming 69	0.771	Cincinnati 78 - Wyoming 53	-15
Coastal Carolina 93 - Unranked 55		Coastal Carolina 70 - Unranked 34
College of Charleston 75 - Cal Poly 65	0.819	College of Charleston 68 - Cal Poly 73	15
Dartmouth 64 - Albany 79	0.91	Dartmouth 73 - Albany 91	3
East Tennessee State 75 - Troy 66	0.766	East Tennessee State 65 - Troy 73	17
Eastern Washington 72 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.507	Eastern Washington 83 - Eastern Kentucky 62	-22
Elon 74 - Radford 71	0.603	Elon 77 - Radford 74	0
Evansville 71 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.533	Evansville 61 - Louisiana Tech 63	3
Fairleigh Dickinson 69 - Holy Cross 72	0.6	Fairleigh Dickinson 87 - Holy Cross 76	-14
Florida Atlantic 61 - Missouri State 76	0.88	Florida Atlantic 60 - Missouri State 71	-4
Florida State 91 - Kennesaw St 56	0.972	Florida State 98 - Kennesaw St 79	16
Fresno State 76 - George Mason 67	0.759	Fresno State 79 - George Mason 73	3
Georgia State 79 - Prairie View 59	0.929	Georgia State 56 - Prairie View 71	35
Georgia Tech 78 - Texas Pan American 60	0.876	Georgia Tech 78 - Texas Pan American 68	8
Illinois 98 - Unranked 51		Illinois 96 - Unranked 62
Illinois State 97 - Unranked 51		Illinois State 86 - Unranked 57
Incarnate Word 69 - Loyola Marymount 78	0.744	Incarnate Word 87 - Loyola Marymount 91	-5
Indiana 79 - Arkansas State 67	0.789	Indiana 87 - Arkansas State 70	-5
Indiana State 93 - Unranked 57		Indiana State 75 - Unranked 58
James Madison 79 - Appalachian State 75	0.639	James Madison 105 - Appalachian State 99	-2
Kentucky 86 - IPFW 60	0.951	Kentucky 86 - IPFW 67	7
La Salle 68 - Miami 78	0.767	La Salle 46 - Miami 57	1
Lamar 89 - Unranked 57		Lamar 105 - Unranked 67
Longwood 61 - Delaware 80	0.917	Longwood 57 - Delaware 65	-11
Louisiana State 76 - Marquette 78	0.555	Louisiana State 84 - Marquette 94	8
Maine 70 - Boston 74	0.645	Maine 69 - Boston 78	5
Marshall 79 - North Carolina Central 68	0.786	Marshall 92 - North Carolina Central 84	3
Mcneese State 83 - Unranked 63		Mcneese State 85 - Unranked 48
Michigan 75 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.603	Michigan 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 60	-5
Mississippi 85 - Rice 65	0.947	Mississippi 79 - Rice 62	3
Mississippi State 76 - Stephen F Austin 63	0.81	Mississippi State 80 - Stephen F Austin 75	8
Navy 85 - Unranked 56		Navy 110 - Unranked 45
NC State 70 - Arizona 85	0.88	NC State 90 - Arizona 84	-21
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Utah 78	0.578	Nevada Las Vegas 85 - Utah 58	-30
New Mexico State 78 - Colorado State 67	0.745	New Mexico State 89 - Colorado State 76	-2
NJ Tech 85 - Unranked 59		NJ Tech 116 - Unranked 63
North Dakota State 79 - Florida AM 57	0.932	North Dakota State 80 - Florida AM 66	8
North Texas 88 - Unranked 61		North Texas 86 - Unranked 74
Northern Illinois 74 - Manhattan 66	0.714	Northern Illinois 70 - Manhattan 68	6
Notre Dame 73 - Wichita State 82	0.763	Notre Dame 67 - Wichita State 66	-10
Pennsylvania 73 - UMKC 69	0.597	Pennsylvania 68 - UMKC 65	1
Princeton 80 - Lafayette 61	0.901	Princeton 60 - Lafayette 46	5
Providence 78 - Belmont 68	0.774	Providence 66 - Belmont 65	9
Purdue 81 - Tennessee 70	0.769	Purdue 75 - Tennessee 78	14
Richmond 73 - UL Lafayette 82	0.692	Richmond 76 - UL Lafayette 82	-3
Sacred Heart 85 - Unranked 62		Sacred Heart 84 - Unranked 60
Saint Louis 82 - Detroit 64	0.838	Saint Louis 70 - Detroit 72	20
Sam Houston State 68 - Central Michigan 75	0.724	Sam Houston State 60 - Central Michigan 71	4
San Jose State 74 - Idaho State 69	0.641	San Jose State 62 - Idaho State 54	-3
Santa Clara 66 - Idaho 70	0.625	Santa Clara 59 - Idaho 69	6
SE Missouri State 72 - Montana State 73	0.517	SE Missouri State 82 - Montana State 88	5
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Western Illinois 68	0.545	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Western Illinois 69	4
South Alabama 80 - Stetson 63	0.919	South Alabama 77 - Stetson 81	21
South Florida 71 - Howard 67	0.648	South Florida 75 - Howard 52	-19
Southern 67 - Tennessee Martin 74	0.667	Southern 69 - Tennessee Martin 66	-10
Southern California 88 - Lehigh 66	0.942	Southern California 88 - Lehigh 63	-3
Southern Methodist 71 - Northern Iowa 65	0.734	Southern Methodist 58 - Northern Iowa 61	9
Stony Brook 77 - Brown 66	0.829	Stony Brook 77 - Brown 64	-2
Syracuse 77 - Toledo 71	0.681	Syracuse 72 - Toledo 64	-2
Texas State 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	0.924	Texas State 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	-1
Texas Tech 86 - Wofford 58	0.988	Texas Tech 79 - Wofford 56	5
Towson 73 - Georgia Southern 74	0.547	Towson 70 - Georgia Southern 67	-4
Tulane 77 - Miami OH 64	0.834	Tulane 80 - Miami OH 59	-8
UC Riverside 86 - Unranked 57		UC Riverside 75 - Unranked 57
UMass Lowell 79 - LIU Brooklyn 73	0.709	UMass Lowell 74 - LIU Brooklyn 66	-2
UNC Asheville 73 - Monmouth 75	0.56	UNC Asheville 62 - Monmouth 51	-13
Unranked 57 - California 89		Unranked 96 - California 72
Unranked 57 - Cal State Bakersfield 86		Unranked 39 - Cal State Bakersfield 59
Vermont 97 - Unranked 48		Vermont 90 - Unranked 54
Villanova 84 - Western Kentucky 63	0.942	Villanova 66 - Western Kentucky 58	13

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal State Fullerton 63 - Georgia 74	0.788	Cal State Fullerton 57 - Georgia 64	-4
Central Florida 73 - Nebraska 69	0.626	Central Florida 68 - Nebraska 59	-5
DePaul 66 - Michigan State 81	0.906	DePaul 51 - Michigan State 73	7
Gonzaga 79 - Ohio State 73	0.698	Gonzaga 86 - Ohio State 59	-21
Harvard 62 - Saint Marys 79	0.91	Harvard 71 - Saint Marys 89	1
Kansas State 76 - Arizona State 74	0.585	Kansas State 90 - Arizona State 92	4
Long Beach State 70 - Missouri 78	0.704	Long Beach State 58 - Missouri 95	29
Marist 59 - West Virginia 91	0.959	Marist 78 - West Virginia 84	-26
Nicholls State 77 - Presbyterian 66	0.803	Nicholls State 76 - Presbyterian 64	-1
Northern Arizona 71 - Hampton 70	0.553	Northern Arizona 66 - Hampton 76	11
Northern Iowa 73 - NC State 71	0.581	Northern Iowa 64 - NC State 60	-2
Oklahoma 78 - Arkansas 81	0.576	Oklahoma 83 - Arkansas 92	6
Oregon 79 - Connecticut 68	0.8	Oregon 63 - Connecticut 71	19
Oregon State 68 - Saint Johns 78	0.755	Oregon State 77 - Saint Johns 82	-5
Portland 61 - North Carolina 88	0.96	Portland 78 - North Carolina 102	-3
Portland State 70 - Duke 86	0.872	Portland State 81 - Duke 99	2
Sacramento State 58 - San Diego State 76	0.916	Sacramento State 52 - San Diego State 89	19
Sam Houston State 60 - College of Charleston 73	0.882	Sam Houston State 49 - College of Charleston 59	-3
Seton Hall 72 - Rhode Island 73	0.518	Seton Hall 74 - Rhode Island 75	0
Southern Methodist 70 - Arizona 76	0.692	Southern Methodist 66 - Arizona 60	-12
Stanford 69 - Florida 83	0.841	Stanford 87 - Florida 108	7
Texas 76 - Butler 73	0.606	Texas 61 - Butler 48	-10
UC Irvine 70 - Rider 73	0.566	UC Irvine 82 - Rider 90	5
UMBC 82 - Chicago State 66	0.895	UMBC 84 - Chicago State 73	5
Unranked 61 - Santa Clara 83		Unranked 76 - Santa Clara 73
Vanderbilt 64 - Virginia 77	0.826	Vanderbilt 42 - Virginia 68	13
Villanova 77 - Tennessee 67	0.738	Villanova 85 - Tennessee 76	1
Washington State 74 - Saint Josephs 75	0.525	Washington State 75 - Saint Josephs 71	-5
Western Kentucky 65 - Purdue 89	0.945	Western Kentucky 77 - Purdue 73	-28
Xavier 83 - George Washington 63	0.907	Xavier 83 - George Washington 64	1

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 78 - Purdue 79	0.527	Arizona 64 - Purdue 89	24
Arizona State 73 - Xavier 83	0.731	Arizona State 102 - Xavier 86	-26
Arkansas 77 - North Carolina 81	0.598	Arkansas 68 - North Carolina 87	15
Auburn 87 - Winthrop 70	0.924	Auburn 119 - Winthrop 85	-17
Bowling Green 79 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.831	Bowling Green 83 - South Carolina Upstate 74	4
Brigham Young 73 - Alabama 78	0.681	Brigham Young 59 - Alabama 71	7
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Idaho 66	0.615	Cal State Bakersfield 64 - Idaho 62	2
Cal State Fullerton 72 - Sacramento State 64	0.714	Cal State Fullerton 68 - Sacramento State 63	3
Campbell 78 - Abilene Christian 65	0.855	Campbell 80 - Abilene Christian 85	18
Canisius 70 - Texas State 71	0.541	Canisius 68 - Texas State 62	-7
Central Michigan 77 - Cal Poly 73	0.625	Central Michigan 56 - Cal Poly 53	1
Charlotte 75 - High Point 69	0.645	Charlotte 70 - High Point 67	3
Clemson 82 - Texas Southern 63	0.94	Clemson 84 - Texas Southern 77	12
Cleveland State 73 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.676	Cleveland State 73 - Central Connecticut State 74	8
Colorado State 85 - Northwestern State 62	0.934	Colorado State 72 - Northwestern State 60	11
Cornell 65 - Toledo 85	0.915	Cornell 80 - Toledo 77	-23
Eastern Illinois 87 - Unranked 57		Eastern Illinois 96 - Unranked 44
Fairfield 76 - Jacksonville 64	0.836	Fairfield 84 - Jacksonville 92	20
Florida Gulf Coast 85 - Denver 63	0.909	Florida Gulf Coast 79 - Denver 71	14
Florida State 96 - The Citadel 60	0.982	Florida State 113 - The Citadel 78	1
Georgia Tech 76 - North Texas 59	0.868	Georgia Tech 63 - North Texas 49	3
Gonzaga 79 - Florida 78	0.518	Gonzaga 105 - Florida 111	7
Green Bay 80 - Florida AM 61	0.901	Green Bay 57 - Florida AM 50	12
Hartford 76 - Bryant 67	0.752	Hartford 73 - Bryant 78	14
Hawaii 72 - Nevada 79	0.737	Hawaii 54 - Nevada 67	6
Illinois 81 - North Carolina Central 58	0.943	Illinois 86 - North Carolina Central 73	10
Indiana 75 - Eastern Michigan 72	0.575	Indiana 87 - Eastern Michigan 67	-17
Jackson State 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.516	Jackson State 63 - Maryland Eastern Shore 66	2
Kansas 89 - Oakland 64	0.952	Kansas 102 - Oakland 59	-18
Kansas State 77 - George Washington 64	0.868	Kansas State 67 - George Washington 59	5
Louisville 84 - Saint Francis Penn 57	0.956	Louisville 84 - Saint Francis Penn 72	15
Loyola Ill 77 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.645	Loyola Ill 102 - UNC Wilmington 78	-20
Marist 60 - Nebraska 81	0.937	Marist 59 - Nebraska 84	4
Maryland 81 - Saint Bonaventure 64	0.884	Maryland 61 - Saint Bonaventure 63	19
Michigan State 76 - Connecticut 70	0.692	Michigan State 77 - Connecticut 57	-14
Minnesota 81 - Massachusetts 70	0.776	Minnesota 69 - Massachusetts 51	-7
Missouri State 91 - Unranked 53		Missouri State 80 - Unranked 48
Navy 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.66	Navy 85 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 76	-3
NC State 71 - Tennessee 76	0.632	NC State 58 - Tennessee 67	4
New Hampshire 69 - Furman 68	0.545	New Hampshire 64 - Furman 78	15
New Orleans 86 - Unranked 58		New Orleans 74 - Unranked 67
Niagara 79 - Alabama AM 65	0.86	Niagara 96 - Alabama AM 74	-8
Northeastern 65 - Utah State 73	0.731	Northeastern 67 - Utah State 71	-4
Northern Iowa 65 - Villanova 76	0.816	Northern Iowa 50 - Villanova 64	3
Northwestern 85 - Sacred Heart 62	0.951	Northwestern 81 - Sacred Heart 50	-8
Ohio 79 - Mt St Marys 67	0.813	Ohio 96 - Mt St Marys 77	-7
Ohio State 78 - Stanford 70	0.765	Ohio State 79 - Stanford 71	0
Omaha 77 - Tennessee Tech 79	0.548	Omaha 85 - Tennessee Tech 86	-1
Oregon 84 - DePaul 63	0.928	Oregon 89 - DePaul 79	11
Oregon State 75 - Long Beach State 74	0.534	Oregon State 69 - Long Beach State 74	6
Pacific 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	0.932	Pacific 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	7
Penn State 85 - Oral Roberts 60	0.963	Penn State 86 - Oral Roberts 48	-13
Portland 65 - Oklahoma 85	0.891	Portland 71 - Oklahoma 93	2
Portland State 72 - Butler 81	0.77	Portland State 69 - Butler 71	-7
Presbyterian 66 - Chicago State 69	0.595	Presbyterian 75 - Chicago State 73	-5
Rhode Island 66 - Virginia 73	0.699	Rhode Island 55 - Virginia 70	8
Rider 79 - Hampton 64	0.859	Rider 94 - Hampton 80	1
Robert Morris 70 - Norfolk State 68	0.587	Robert Morris 75 - Norfolk State 53	-20
Rutgers 78 - East Carolina 62	0.837	Rutgers 61 - East Carolina 47	2
Saint Johns 73 - Missouri 71	0.558	Saint Johns 82 - Missouri 90	10
Saint Josephs 76 - Harvard 68	0.747	Saint Josephs 71 - Harvard 77	14
Samford 77 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.817	Samford 71 - Southeast Louisiana 77	16
San Diego State 67 - Georgia 68	0.507	San Diego State 75 - Georgia 68	-8
Seton Hall 76 - Vanderbilt 70	0.685	Seton Hall 72 - Vanderbilt 59	-7
South Dakota 77 - Southern Miss 60	0.894	South Dakota 84 - Southern Miss 71	4
South Florida 66 - Arkansas State 70	0.596	South Florida 72 - Arkansas State 61	-15
Southern Methodist 79 - Western Kentucky 62	0.926	Southern Methodist 61 - Western Kentucky 63	19
Texas 74 - Duke 79	0.629	Texas 78 - Duke 85	2
Texas AM 90 - Pepperdine 56	0.955	Texas AM 81 - Pepperdine 65	18
Texas Arlington 84 - Western Carolina 60	0.95	Texas Arlington 89 - Western Carolina 65	0
Texas Christian 78 - New Mexico 69	0.695	Texas Christian 69 - New Mexico 67	7
Texas San Antonio 73 - Texas AM CC 68	0.664	Texas San Antonio 72 - Texas AM CC 58	-9
UC Irvine 76 - Northern Arizona 64	0.831	UC Irvine 77 - Northern Arizona 71	6
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Prairie View 63	0.85	UC Santa Barbara 69 - Prairie View 66	13
UMBC 82 - Nicholls State 74	0.775	UMBC 89 - Nicholls State 88	7
Utah 83 - Eastern Washington 63	0.922	Utah 85 - Eastern Washington 69	4
Valparaiso 76 - Kent State 68	0.703	Valparaiso 77 - Kent State 67	-2
Wake Forest 74 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.602	Wake Forest 81 - UNC Greensboro 75	-2
Washington 79 - Seattle 65	0.827	Washington 89 - Seattle 84	9
Washington State 67 - Saint Marys 78	0.786	Washington State 84 - Saint Marys 79	-16
West Virginia 81 - Central Florida 70	0.738	West Virginia 83 - Central Florida 45	-27
Wisconsin 77 - Milwaukee 60	0.865	Wisconsin 71 - Milwaukee 49	-5
Wright State 73 - Gardner Webb 69	0.615	Wright State 67 - Gardner Webb 47	-16
Youngstown State 72 - Northern Colorado 76	0.635	Youngstown State 67 - Northern Colorado 80	9

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 82 - Unranked 61		Alcorn State 103 - Unranked 56
American 74 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.737	American 69 - Virginia Military Institute 64	3
Appalachian State 70 - Davidson 89	0.869	Appalachian State 78 - Davidson 62	-35
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Robert Morris 65	0.631	Arkansas Little Rock 64 - Robert Morris 78	18
Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Canisius 78	0.918	Arkansas Pine Bluff 58 - Canisius 81	7
Bethune Cookman 81 - Unranked 64		Bethune Cookman 95 - Unranked 67
Boise State 80 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.814	Boise State 68 - Loyola Marymount 48	-7
Bradley 71 - Georgia Southern 70	0.551	Bradley 62 - Georgia Southern 57	-4
Brigham Young 77 - Massachusetts 72	0.643	Brigham Young 68 - Massachusetts 66	3
Brown 77 - LIU Brooklyn 74	0.595	Brown 94 - LIU Brooklyn 86	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 75 - Central Michigan 72	0.572	Cal State Bakersfield 72 - Central Michigan 75	6
Campbell 69 - Bowling Green 75	0.7	Campbell 72 - Bowling Green 78	0
Chattanooga 85 - Unranked 57		Chattanooga 95 - Unranked 60
Colgate 72 - Columbia 68	0.634	Colgate 77 - Columbia 71	-2
Creighton 91 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.978	Creighton 103 - SIU Edwardsville 66	-9
Dayton 72 - Akron 71	0.542	Dayton 73 - Akron 60	-12
Delaware State 80 - Unranked 65		Delaware State 68 - Unranked 55
Detroit 91 - Unranked 65		Detroit 131 - Unranked 69
East Tennessee State 74 - IPFW 69	0.638	East Tennessee State 83 - IPFW 73	-5
Eastern Kentucky 91 - Unranked 56		Eastern Kentucky 99 - Unranked 71
Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Navy 61	0.879	Florida Gulf Coast 70 - Navy 54	3
Gardner Webb 69 - Fairfield 73	0.627	Gardner Webb 64 - Fairfield 75	7
Grand Canyon 73 - San Diego 65	0.741	Grand Canyon 62 - San Diego 72	18
Holy Cross 68 - Albany 72	0.668	Holy Cross 62 - Albany 78	12
Houston 83 - Incarnate Word 62	0.926	Houston 97 - Incarnate Word 58	-18
Idaho 71 - Cal Poly 68	0.608	Idaho 75 - Cal Poly 66	-6
Illinois State 83 - Charleston Southern 59	0.927	Illinois State 62 - Charleston Southern 64	26
Indiana State 78 - Ball State 72	0.65	Indiana State 85 - Ball State 93	14
Iowa State 82 - Western Illinois 62	0.89	Iowa State 70 - Western Illinois 45	-5
Jackson State 69 - Omaha 78	0.754	Jackson State 75 - Omaha 73	-11
Kennesaw St 68 - Tennessee State 74	0.721	Kennesaw St 74 - Tennessee State 77	-3
Liberty 87 - Unranked 55		Liberty 96 - Unranked 50
Loyola Ill 75 - Kent State 72	0.588	Loyola Ill 75 - Kent State 60	-12
Maryland 80 - New Mexico 67	0.762	Maryland 80 - New Mexico 65	-2
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Tennessee Tech 77	0.753	Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - Tennessee Tech 90	19
Mcneese State 83 - Unranked 63		Mcneese State 103 - Unranked 79
Memphis 75 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.61	Memphis 76 - Northern Kentucky 74	1
Miami 90 - North Florida 61	0.991	Miami 86 - North Florida 65	8
Minnesota 76 - Alabama 77	0.502	Minnesota 89 - Alabama 84	-6
Monmouth 77 - Pennsylvania 65	0.845	Monmouth 96 - Pennsylvania 101	17
Murray State 71 - Southern Illinois 72	0.527	Murray State 81 - Southern Illinois 73	-9
Nevada Las Vegas 91 - Southern Utah 66	0.943	Nevada Las Vegas 101 - Southern Utah 82	6
New Hampshire 66 - Utah State 70	0.605	New Hampshire 63 - Utah State 77	10
New Mexico State 79 - Texas El Paso 61	0.875	New Mexico State 72 - Texas El Paso 63	9
Niagara 67 - Texas Arlington 84	0.877	Niagara 90 - Texas Arlington 95	-12
NJ Tech 71 - Drexel 72	0.514	NJ Tech 65 - Drexel 53	-13
North Dakota 75 - Utah Valley 76	0.544	North Dakota 75 - Utah Valley 83	7
North Dakota State 80 - Stetson 61	0.9	North Dakota State 94 - Stetson 58	-17
Northeastern 68 - Furman 70	0.571	Northeastern 67 - Furman 78	9
Pacific 67 - Texas State 68	0.505	Pacific 78 - Texas State 85	6
Pittsburgh 79 - Lehigh 71	0.724	Pittsburgh 80 - Lehigh 68	-4
Providence 79 - Boston College 67	0.814	Providence 86 - Boston College 66	-8
Radford 76 - James Madison 67	0.784	Radford 69 - James Madison 68	8
Rice 90 - Unranked 59		Rice 70 - Unranked 59
Richmond 68 - Georgetown 80	0.755	Richmond 76 - Georgetown 82	-6
Saint Bonaventure 66 - Texas Christian 79	0.836	Saint Bonaventure 79 - Texas Christian 89	-3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - Denver 72	0.602	Saint Francis Brooklyn 50 - Denver 60	7
Santa Clara 68 - Sam Houston State 65	0.574	Santa Clara 59 - Sam Houston State 73	17
Siena 70 - Hofstra 74	0.609	Siena 85 - Hofstra 76	-13
South Carolina Upstate 75 - Abilene Christian 68	0.702	South Carolina Upstate 88 - Abilene Christian 78	-3
South Dakota 82 - Northern Colorado 62	0.948	South Dakota 62 - Northern Colorado 63	21
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Mississippi Valley State 66	0.684	Southeast Louisiana 73 - Mississippi Valley State 59	-8
Southern Miss 74 - Youngstown State 67	0.67	Southern Miss 71 - Youngstown State 64	0
Texas Pan American 77 - Grambling State 67	0.781	Texas Pan American 76 - Grambling State 82	16
Texas Tech 92 - Savannah State 54	0.972	Texas Tech 103 - Savannah State 69	4
Tulsa 86 - Central Arkansas 72	0.805	Tulsa 92 - Central Arkansas 72	-6
Unranked 56 - College of Charleston 88		Unranked 46 - College of Charleston 55
Valparaiso 79 - UNC Wilmington 70	0.752	Valparaiso 79 - UNC Wilmington 70	0
Virginia Tech 86 - Morehead State 68	0.882	Virginia Tech 96 - Morehead State 63	-15
Weber State 91 - Unranked 56		Weber State 105 - Unranked 52
Western Carolina 71 - Alabama AM 65	0.695	Western Carolina 82 - Alabama AM 72	-4
Western Michigan 92 - Unranked 57		Western Michigan 88 - Unranked 59
William and Mary 63 - Old Dominion 76	0.765	William and Mary 79 - Old Dominion 77	-15
Wright State 76 - Jacksonville 64	0.823	Wright State 68 - Jacksonville 44	-12
Yale 67 - Vermont 76	0.774	Yale 73 - Vermont 79	-3

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 62 - Bowling Green 82	0.938	Abilene Christian 88 - Bowling Green 83	-25
Alabama Birmingham 96 - Unranked 52		Alabama Birmingham 90 - Unranked 53
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Norfolk State 66	0.709	Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Norfolk State 55	-8
Austin Peay 70 - Miami OH 71	0.542	Austin Peay 86 - Miami OH 61	-26
Binghamton 84 - Unranked 60		Binghamton 97 - Unranked 65
Boston 87 - Unranked 60		Boston 83 - Unranked 48
Bryant 72 - Brown 73	0.514	Bryant 67 - Brown 81	13
Cal State Fullerton 67 - Harvard 69	0.557	Cal State Fullerton 70 - Harvard 61	-11
Campbell 75 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.681	Campbell 93 - South Carolina Upstate 74	-13
Central Florida 71 - Saint Johns 73	0.562	Central Florida 43 - Saint Johns 46	1
Colorado 76 - Air Force 66	0.745	Colorado 81 - Air Force 69	-2
Connecticut 69 - Arkansas 79	0.791	Connecticut 67 - Arkansas 102	25
Denver 68 - Navy 71	0.561	Denver 71 - Navy 79	5
Drake 84 - Chicago State 63	0.947	Drake 79 - Chicago State 67	9
East Carolina 76 - North Carolina AT 68	0.699	East Carolina 81 - North Carolina AT 87	14
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Princeton 73	0.657	Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Princeton 83	2
Florida 78 - Duke 79	0.507	Florida 84 - Duke 87	2
Florida Gulf Coast 84 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	0.945	Florida Gulf Coast 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 51	1
Fordham 69 - Manhattan 65	0.633	Fordham 70 - Manhattan 57	-9
Fresno State 82 - Montana State 64	0.946	Fresno State 80 - Montana State 67	5
Georgia 67 - Saint Marys 75	0.738	Georgia 83 - Saint Marys 81	-10
Georgia State 75 - Tulane 68	0.676	Georgia State 70 - Tulane 59	-4
Gonzaga 78 - Texas 74	0.664	Gonzaga 76 - Texas 71	-1
Hartford 71 - Wagner 70	0.517	Hartford 50 - Wagner 72	23
Jacksonville 67 - Gardner Webb 75	0.746	Jacksonville 106 - Gardner Webb 99	-15
Kentucky 87 - Illinois Chicago 56	0.966	Kentucky 107 - Illinois Chicago 73	-3
La Salle 68 - Temple 80	0.784	La Salle 87 - Temple 83	-16
Lafayette 65 - Saint Peters 71	0.648	Lafayette 82 - Saint Peters 86	-2
Longwood 79 - Unranked 66		Longwood 107 - Unranked 78
Marist 62 - Oregon State 81	0.922	Marist 46 - Oregon State 65	0
Marshall 96 - Unranked 61		Marshall 106 - Unranked 70
Mercer 92 - Unranked 52		Mercer 90 - Unranked 53
Michigan 82 - UC Riverside 58	0.943	Michigan 87 - UC Riverside 42	-21
Michigan State 75 - North Carolina 82	0.727	Michigan State 63 - North Carolina 45	-25
Mississippi State 76 - Jacksonville State 68	0.708	Mississippi State 59 - Jacksonville State 56	5
Montana 92 - Unranked 55		Montana 86 - Unranked 75
Nebraska 76 - Long Beach State 72	0.621	Nebraska 85 - Long Beach State 80	-1
Northern Colorado 66 - Southern Miss 68	0.569	Northern Colorado 77 - Southern Miss 63	-16
Northern Illinois 92 - Unranked 52		Northern Illinois 105 - Unranked 53
Ohio State 76 - Butler 74	0.574	Ohio State 66 - Butler 67	3
Oklahoma State 92 - Houston Baptist 61	0.992	Oklahoma State 101 - Houston Baptist 74	4
Oregon 81 - Oklahoma 77	0.606	Oregon 80 - Oklahoma 90	14
Pacific 75 - Canisius 74	0.538	Pacific 80 - Canisius 58	-21
Portland 68 - DePaul 71	0.618	Portland 69 - DePaul 82	10
Portland State 74 - Stanford 77	0.593	Portland State 87 - Stanford 78	-12
Quinnipiac 76 - Maine 67	0.784	Quinnipiac 72 - Maine 78	15
Sacramento State 63 - Saint Josephs 80	0.939	Sacramento State 69 - Saint Josephs 74	-12
Samford 80 - Mississippi Valley State 64	0.911	Samford 83 - Mississippi Valley State 70	3
San Diego State 71 - Washington State 69	0.569	San Diego State 86 - Washington State 93	9
SE Missouri State 73 - North Carolina Central 67	0.66	SE Missouri State 70 - North Carolina Central 77	13
South Alabama 75 - New Orleans 65	0.796	South Alabama 55 - New Orleans 52	7
South Dakota 88 - Youngstown State 63	0.943	South Dakota 81 - Youngstown State 53	-3
South Dakota State 95 - Unranked 55		South Dakota State 92 - Unranked 60
South Florida 62 - Eastern Michigan 74	0.803	South Florida 47 - Eastern Michigan 65	6
Southern California 75 - Texas AM 76	0.509	Southern California 59 - Texas AM 75	15
Stephen F Austin 77 - Florida AM 57	0.926	Stephen F Austin 79 - Florida AM 63	4
Stony Brook 73 - Bucknell 76	0.615	Stony Brook 76 - Bucknell 85	6
Tennessee Martin 76 - UMKC 68	0.707	Tennessee Martin 55 - UMKC 65	18
UCLA 82 - UC Irvine 66	0.87	UCLA 87 - UC Irvine 63	-8
UL Monroe 91 - Unranked 57		UL Monroe 104 - Unranked 46
UMass Lowell 77 - Loyola MD 69	0.741	UMass Lowell 83 - Loyola MD 75	0
UNC Asheville 78 - Wofford 70	0.787	UNC Asheville 85 - Wofford 65	-12
Washington 77 - UC Davis 68	0.771	Washington 77 - UC Davis 70	2
West Virginia 79 - Missouri 72	0.645	West Virginia 83 - Missouri 79	3
Winthrop 82 - South Carolina State 64	0.93	Winthrop 86 - South Carolina State 61	-7
Wright State 69 - Fairfield 70	0.51	Wright State 57 - Fairfield 56	-2
Wyoming 95 - Unranked 52		Wyoming 83 - Unranked 70

Number of DI Games: 388
Number Correct: 290 = 74.7%
Expected Number Correct: 290.539 = 74.8%
Average Error: 9.21
Average Signed Error: 0.9

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Belmont 81 - Lipscomb 63	0.855	Belmont 66 - Lipscomb 74	26
Central Arkansas 51 - Morehead State 80	0.991	Central Arkansas 82 - Morehead State 78	-33
Cincinnati 70 - Alabama State 55	0.85	Cincinnati 83 - Alabama State 51	-17
Delaware 60 - Yale 73	0.841	Delaware 66 - Yale 76	-3
Duquesne 84 - Cornell 66	0.887	Duquesne 71 - Cornell 78	25
Florida International 70 - South Carolina 65	0.621	Florida International 61 - South Carolina 78	22
Green Bay 85 - Stetson 53	0.978	Green Bay 71 - Stetson 83	44
Hampton 82 - Unranked 51		Hampton 72 - Unranked 56
Hawaii 91 - Unranked 49		Hawaii 87 - Unranked 77
Liberty 57 - Howard 59	0.562	Liberty 75 - Howard 55	-22
Marquette 74 - Eastern Illinois 58	0.858	Marquette 86 - Eastern Illinois 83	13
Monmouth 65 - Albany 60	0.609	Monmouth 81 - Albany 73	-3
Niagara 62 - Army 63	0.505	Niagara 77 - Army 71	-7
Nicholls State 64 - Unranked 51		Nicholls State 104 - Unranked 68
North Texas 81 - Grambling State 44	0.988	North Texas 82 - Grambling State 77	32
Old Dominion 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.873	Old Dominion 83 - Maryland Eastern Shore 44	-25
Oral Roberts 78 - Oakland 70	0.722	Oral Roberts 86 - Oakland 93	15
Seattle 61 - Idaho State 60	0.529	Seattle 73 - Idaho State 67	-5
Syracuse 76 - Maryland 71	0.637	Syracuse 72 - Maryland 70	3
Texas Arlington 81 - Unranked 55		Texas Arlington 73 - Unranked 53
Texas El Paso 86 - Lamar 48	0.973	Texas El Paso 52 - Lamar 66	52
Towson 78 - Unranked 54		Towson 90 - Unranked 57
Troy 58 - Delaware State 64	0.693	Troy 95 - Delaware State 64	-37
UMBC 68 - Unranked 59		UMBC 88 - Unranked 59
Virginia 68 - Wisconsin 69	0.52	Virginia 49 - Wisconsin 37	-13

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 71 - Chattanooga 65	0.686	Akron 75 - Chattanooga 70	1
Ball State 75 - Unranked 51		Ball State 81 - Unranked 57
Boise State 80 - Loyola Ill 60	0.914	Boise State 87 - Loyola Ill 53	-14
California 83 - Cal State Northridge 57	0.99	California 83 - Cal State Northridge 63	6
Charleston Southern 71 - Virginia Military Institute 70	0.507	Charleston Southern 68 - Virginia Military Institute 76	9
Charlotte 73 - Davidson 75	0.548	Charlotte 70 - Davidson 85	13
Dartmouth 71 - Loyola MD 57	0.797	Dartmouth 64 - Loyola MD 63	13
Florida Atlantic 78 - Unranked 55		Florida Atlantic 91 - Unranked 54
Georgetown 90 - Maine 59	0.963	Georgetown 76 - Maine 55	10
Georgia Tech 79 - Northwestern 69	0.778	Georgia Tech 52 - Northwestern 51	9
Houston Baptist 71 - Unranked 54		Houston Baptist 96 - Unranked 66
IPFW 71 - Detroit 67	0.628	IPFW 91 - Detroit 82	-5
Kansas 79 - Toledo 62	0.858	Kansas 96 - Toledo 58	-21
Loyola Marymount 82 - Unranked 54		Loyola Marymount 87 - Unranked 66
Mississippi 74 - South Dakota State 67	0.682	Mississippi 97 - South Dakota State 99	9
Missouri State 66 - Colorado State 80	0.83	Missouri State 77 - Colorado State 67	-24
Murray State 80 - Unranked 48		Murray State 85 - Unranked 56
NJ Tech 69 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0.661	NJ Tech 73 - LIU Brooklyn 69	2
North Dakota 76 - Unranked 52		North Dakota 82 - Unranked 75
Ohio 71 - Iona 74	0.592	Ohio 88 - Iona 93	2
Pittsburgh 84 - High Point 56	0.97	Pittsburgh 71 - High Point 63	20
Presbyterian 67 - UNC Greensboro 59	0.681	Presbyterian 74 - UNC Greensboro 72	6
Purdue 64 - Louisville 77	0.882	Purdue 66 - Louisville 57	-22
Rhode Island 69 - Brown 63	0.686	Rhode Island 86 - Brown 62	-18
Rutgers 72 - Florida State 86	0.791	Rutgers 73 - Florida State 78	-9
Saint Louis 73 - Western Michigan 67	0.706	Saint Louis 51 - Western Michigan 65	20
Sam Houston State 82 - Unranked 48		Sam Houston State 81 - Unranked 55
San Francisco 71 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.585	San Francisco 72 - UC Santa Barbara 79	10
SE Missouri State 76 - Unranked 57		SE Missouri State 83 - Unranked 59
South Carolina State 79 - Unranked 53		South Carolina State 100 - Unranked 91
Southeast Louisiana 73 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 80 - Unranked 53
Southern Methodist 86 - Texas Pan American 46	0.975	Southern Methodist 95 - Texas Pan American 64	9
Stephen F Austin 69 - North Dakota State 45	0.937	Stephen F Austin 54 - North Dakota State 50	20
Tennessee State 77 - Unranked 55		Tennessee State 67 - Unranked 53
Tulsa 89 - Texas San Antonio 49	0.979	Tulsa 100 - Texas San Antonio 96	36
UL Lafayette 74 - Mcneese State 59	0.809	UL Lafayette 89 - Mcneese State 78	4
UL Monroe 66 - Jackson State 52	0.859	UL Monroe 65 - Jackson State 52	1
Valparaiso 71 - Utah State 63	0.707	Valparaiso 72 - Utah State 65	1
Vanderbilt 80 - Radford 56	0.924	Vanderbilt 74 - Radford 62	12
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Appalachian State 44	0.979	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Appalachian State 72	26
Virginia Tech 61 - Iowa 84	0.928	Virginia Tech 79 - Iowa 55	-47
Wake Forest 78 - Illinois 71	0.685	Wake Forest 80 - Illinois 73	0
Washington 84 - Kennesaw St 56	0.938	Washington 85 - Kennesaw St 71	14
Western Illinois 67 - IUPUI 60	0.65	Western Illinois 90 - IUPUI 77	-6
Wichita State 66 - Savannah State 36	0.956	Wichita State 112 - Savannah State 66	-16
Xavier 78 - Baylor 74	0.595	Xavier 76 - Baylor 63	-9

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 70 - Louisiana Tech 65	0.594	Alabama 77 - Louisiana Tech 74	2
Albany 67 - Colgate 56	0.717	Albany 75 - Colgate 69	5
Arizona 82 - Long Beach State 56	0.957	Arizona 91 - Long Beach State 56	-9
Arkansas Little Rock 86 - Central Arkansas 45	0.971	Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Central Arkansas 65	35
Bowling Green 70 - San Jose State 58	0.797	Bowling Green 85 - San Jose State 79	6
Cleveland State 69 - Arkansas State 58	0.767	Cleveland State 75 - Arkansas State 72	8
Coastal Carolina 54 - Wofford 57	0.579	Coastal Carolina 81 - Wofford 87	3
Connecticut 73 - Columbia 60	0.833	Connecticut 77 - Columbia 73	9
Dayton 84 - Auburn 54	0.947	Dayton 60 - Auburn 73	43
Delaware State 63 - Binghamton 50	0.834	Delaware State 64 - Binghamton 85	34
Denver 68 - Wyoming 52	0.841	Denver 88 - Wyoming 78	6
Drexel 68 - Lafayette 61	0.686	Drexel 68 - Lafayette 67	6
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Unranked 50		Florida Gulf Coast 115 - Unranked 61
Florida International 83 - Unranked 47		Florida International 79 - Unranked 61
Fordham 80 - East Tennessee State 69	0.768	Fordham 77 - East Tennessee State 82	16
Furman 51 - Winthrop 68	0.876	Furman 74 - Winthrop 93	2
George Washington 86 - Morgan State 53	0.964	George Washington 73 - Morgan State 66	26
Gonzaga 69 - Incarnate Word 55	0.842	Gonzaga 103 - Incarnate Word 68	-21
Hampton 82 - Unranked 51		Hampton 117 - Unranked 54
Houston 87 - New Orleans 59	0.936	Houston 75 - New Orleans 66	19
Indiana 84 - Duke 70	0.837	Indiana 81 - Duke 91	24
Indiana State 76 - Air Force 62	0.808	Indiana State 74 - Air Force 64	4
James Madison 73 - George Mason 59	0.808	James Madison 72 - George Mason 76	18
Kansas State 72 - Oral Roberts 68	0.617	Kansas State 77 - Oral Roberts 68	-5
Longwood 82 - Unranked 56		Longwood 84 - Unranked 59
Louisiana State 81 - Tennessee Martin 60	0.937	Louisiana State 84 - Tennessee Martin 60	-3
Marquette 78 - Chicago State 55	0.935	Marquette 95 - Chicago State 69	-3
Miami OH 82 - Unranked 49		Miami OH 123 - Unranked 40
Minnesota 64 - Miami 82	0.809	Minnesota 81 - Miami 86	-13
Montana State 73 - Unranked 57		Montana State 98 - Unranked 61
NC State 83 - Penn State 64	0.916	NC State 85 - Penn State 78	12
Nebraska 78 - Boston College 60	0.908	Nebraska 71 - Boston College 62	9
Nevada 61 - Illinois State 76	0.866	Nevada 98 - Illinois State 68	-45
New Hampshire 59 - Boston 65	0.628	New Hampshire 69 - Boston 70	-5
New Mexico 79 - Evansville 68	0.768	New Mexico 78 - Evansville 59	-8
Niagara 56 - Buffalo 71	0.901	Niagara 87 - Buffalo 106	4
Norfolk State 68 - Kent State 65	0.608	Norfolk State 70 - Kent State 79	12
North Carolina 83 - Michigan 73	0.782	North Carolina 86 - Michigan 71	-5
North Florida 69 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.603	North Florida 84 - Eastern Michigan 81	2
Northern Illinois 69 - Milwaukee 61	0.746	Northern Illinois 62 - Milwaukee 75	21
Northern Iowa 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 61	0.868	Northern Iowa 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	8
Northern Kentucky 68 - Unranked 57		Northern Kentucky 112 - Unranked 33
Northwestern State 88 - Unranked 59		Northwestern State 67 - Unranked 56
Ohio State 75 - Clemson 62	0.793	Ohio State 65 - Clemson 79	27
Oklahoma State 78 - Austin Peay 57	0.938	Oklahoma State 79 - Austin Peay 63	5
Omaha 78 - Drake 65	0.846	Omaha 75 - Drake 73	11
Pepperdine 78 - Southern Utah 41	0.979	Pepperdine 82 - Southern Utah 88	43
Princeton 73 - Lehigh 58	0.842	Princeton 76 - Lehigh 85	24
Providence 76 - Rider 54	0.925	Providence 88 - Rider 84	18
Quinnipiac 71 - Massachusetts 72	0.53	Quinnipiac 68 - Massachusetts 66	-3
Richmond 82 - Vermont 55	0.952	Richmond 65 - Vermont 71	33
Saint Francis Penn 50 - American 57	0.658	Saint Francis Penn 100 - American 89	-18
Saint Josephs 79 - Bucknell 49	0.941	Saint Josephs 83 - Bucknell 70	17
Saint Peters 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 53	0.837	Saint Peters 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 53	-8
Siena 70 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.522	Siena 55 - Saint Bonaventure 75	21
South Alabama 65 - Southern Miss 71	0.636	South Alabama 69 - Southern Miss 58	-17
Southern 79 - Unranked 47		Southern 92 - Unranked 69
Southern Illinois 73 - SIU Edwardsville 55	0.919	Southern Illinois 86 - SIU Edwardsville 59	-9
Stanford 74 - Montana 53	0.874	Stanford 70 - Montana 54	5
Stony Brook 85 - Unranked 42		Stony Brook 101 - Unranked 58
Tennessee 72 - Mercer 62	0.725	Tennessee 84 - Mercer 60	-14
Tennessee Tech 71 - Lipscomb 62	0.709	Tennessee Tech 86 - Lipscomb 80	3
Texas 86 - Florida AM 48	0.966	Texas 82 - Florida AM 58	14
Texas Arlington 71 - Rice 63	0.697	Texas Arlington 69 - Rice 49	-12
Texas Christian 68 - Belmont 73	0.633	Texas Christian 87 - Belmont 76	-16
Texas State 57 - Texas AM CC 64	0.704	Texas State 66 - Texas AM CC 53	-20
Troy 63 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.505	Troy 87 - Illinois Chicago 66	-22
Tulane 65 - Alcorn State 56	0.805	Tulane 81 - Alcorn State 65	-7
UC Davis 72 - Northern Colorado 65	0.678	UC Davis 56 - Northern Colorado 51	2
UC Irvine 88 - Unranked 43		UC Irvine 112 - Unranked 65
UCLA 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	0.896	UCLA 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	9
UMass Lowell 64 - Sacred Heart 75	0.739	UMass Lowell 80 - Sacred Heart 87	-4
UNC Asheville 63 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.571	UNC Asheville 82 - South Carolina Upstate 70	-10
Utah Valley 55 - Brigham Young 92	0.956	Utah Valley 58 - Brigham Young 85	-10
Villanova 88 - Pennsylvania 47	0.995	Villanova 90 - Pennsylvania 62	13
Western Kentucky 62 - Eastern Kentucky 72	0.838	Western Kentucky 83 - Eastern Kentucky 51	-42
William and Mary 77 - Marshall 60	0.873	William and Mary 114 - Marshall 104	7
Yale 73 - Bryant 49	0.916	Yale 84 - Bryant 67	7
Youngstown State 74 - Robert Morris 59	0.821	Youngstown State 74 - Robert Morris 81	22

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 71 - Memphis 73	0.531	Alabama Birmingham 71 - Memphis 56	-17
Central Connecticut State 61 - North Carolina AT 57	0.643	Central Connecticut State 72 - North Carolina AT 59	-9
Central Florida 76 - Missouri 71	0.7	Central Florida 59 - Missouri 62	8
College of Charleston 61 - Western Carolina 62	0.53	College of Charleston 69 - Western Carolina 60	-10
East Carolina 71 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.648	East Carolina 93 - UNC Wilmington 88	0
Elon 70 - South Florida 69	0.507	Elon 79 - South Florida 78	0
Fresno State 68 - Weber State 61	0.673	Fresno State 83 - Weber State 71	-5
Hofstra 89 - Unranked 52		Hofstra 107 - Unranked 72
Howard 71 - Unranked 51		Howard 81 - Unranked 64
IPFW 87 - Unranked 50		IPFW 99 - Unranked 63
Jacksonville 63 - Bethune Cookman 56	0.689	Jacksonville 66 - Bethune Cookman 77	18
Jacksonville State 51 - Alabama State 68	0.902	Jacksonville State 77 - Alabama State 69	-25
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Hartford 65	0.551	LIU Brooklyn 79 - Hartford 78	1
Michigan State 84 - Notre Dame 69	0.875	Michigan State 81 - Notre Dame 63	-3
Mississippi State 66 - North Dakota State 65	0.502	Mississippi State 83 - North Dakota State 59	-23
Morehead State 88 - Unranked 47		Morehead State 103 - Unranked 56
North Carolina Central 77 - Unranked 48		North Carolina Central 116 - Unranked 38
Northeastern 66 - Harvard 65	0.502	Northeastern 77 - Harvard 61	-15
Oakland 76 - Texas Southern 63	0.809	Oakland 97 - Texas Southern 87	3
Oklahoma 83 - North Texas 59	0.922	Oklahoma 82 - North Texas 72	14
Portland 87 - Unranked 51		Portland 112 - Unranked 65
Saint Francis Brooklyn 81 - Unranked 45		Saint Francis Brooklyn 104 - Unranked 79
Sam Houston State 82 - Unranked 48		Sam Houston State 77 - Unranked 54
San Diego 48 - San Diego State 72	0.92	San Diego 57 - San Diego State 66	-15
Santa Clara 77 - Northern Arizona 55	0.895	Santa Clara 89 - Northern Arizona 57	-10
Savannah State 64 - Unranked 43		Savannah State 98 - Unranked 60
Seattle 63 - Kennesaw St 56	0.656	Seattle 66 - Kennesaw St 54	-5
Seton Hall 78 - Texas Tech 65	0.806	Seton Hall 89 - Texas Tech 79	3
Stetson 67 - Campbell 58	0.731	Stetson 78 - Campbell 85	16
Temple 72 - South Carolina 71	0.547	Temple 76 - South Carolina 60	-15
Texas AM 76 - Texas Pan American 50	0.947	Texas AM 78 - Texas Pan American 60	8
Texas El Paso 68 - New Mexico State 60	0.73	Texas El Paso 60 - New Mexico State 80	28
Texas San Antonio 74 - Unranked 63		Texas San Antonio 125 - Unranked 64
UC Riverside 65 - Pacific 64	0.565	UC Riverside 55 - Pacific 57	3
UMKC 72 - South Dakota 68	0.582	UMKC 63 - South Dakota 82	23
West Virginia 78 - NJ Tech 59	0.917	West Virginia 102 - NJ Tech 69	-14

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 70 - Unranked 52		Alcorn State 89 - Unranked 50
Army 71 - UMBC 56	0.799	Army 81 - UMBC 70	4
Bradley 59 - Eastern Illinois 69	0.736	Bradley 67 - Eastern Illinois 56	-21
Central Michigan 67 - Jackson State 62	0.617	Central Michigan 70 - Jackson State 63	-2
Davidson 72 - North Carolina 82	0.864	Davidson 75 - North Carolina 85	0
Duquesne 67 - Pittsburgh 89	0.923	Duquesne 64 - Pittsburgh 76	-10
Georgia Tech 94 - Grambling State 43	0.969	Georgia Tech 63 - Grambling State 64	52
Gonzaga 71 - Creighton 61	0.729	Gonzaga 91 - Creighton 74	-7
High Point 84 - Unranked 49		High Point 90 - Unranked 54
Holy Cross 55 - Manhattan 67	0.769	Holy Cross 54 - Manhattan 70	4
Idaho State 76 - Unranked 53		Idaho State 92 - Unranked 71
La Salle 67 - Towson 61	0.659	La Salle 60 - Towson 67	13
Maryland 78 - Purdue 68	0.788	Maryland 75 - Purdue 80	15
Navy 64 - Delaware 66	0.565	Navy 82 - Delaware 76	-8
Nicholls State 51 - UL Lafayette 66	0.817	Nicholls State 80 - UL Lafayette 105	10
Northwestern 72 - Illinois 65	0.696	Northwestern 72 - Illinois 68	3
Ohio 80 - Coppin State 64	0.847	Ohio 80 - Coppin State 37	-27
Oregon 84 - Boise State 65	0.923	Oregon 70 - Boise State 73	22
Stetson 76 - Unranked 55		Stetson 85 - Unranked 52
Texas AM CC 81 - Unranked 47		Texas AM CC 80 - Unranked 42
The Citadel 64 - Marist 74	0.763	The Citadel 91 - Marist 100	-1
Wagner 66 - Fairfield 62	0.609	Wagner 78 - Fairfield 76	2

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Unranked 57		Abilene Christian 71 - Unranked 43
Albany 57 - Columbia 65	0.671	Albany 86 - Columbia 82	-12
Appalachian State 60 - South Florida 71	0.807	Appalachian State 84 - South Florida 61	-34
Arizona State 72 - San Francisco 70	0.551	Arizona State 75 - San Francisco 57	-16
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Oral Roberts 64	0.768	Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Oral Roberts 74	17
Army 67 - Marist 71	0.612	Army 82 - Marist 75	-11
Austin Peay 62 - Alabama AM 59	0.594	Austin Peay 67 - Alabama AM 47	-17
Ball State 65 - IUPUI 56	0.714	Ball State 83 - IUPUI 64	-10
Baylor 73 - Wichita State 70	0.582	Baylor 62 - Wichita State 69	10
Belmont 67 - Green Bay 81	0.846	Belmont 86 - Green Bay 75	-25
Binghamton 57 - Colgate 62	0.613	Binghamton 76 - Colgate 65	-16
Brown 77 - Central Connecticut State 53	0.95	Brown 62 - Central Connecticut State 68	30
Bucknell 64 - Vermont 58	0.619	Bucknell 81 - Vermont 77	2
Buffalo 73 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.567	Buffalo 62 - Saint Bonaventure 73	13
Butler 81 - Saint Louis 66	0.861	Butler 75 - Saint Louis 45	-15
Cal Poly 60 - Pepperdine 66	0.664	Cal Poly 91 - Pepperdine 81	-16
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Northern Arizona 55	0.795	Cal State Bakersfield 52 - Northern Arizona 60	21
Cal State Fullerton 80 - Unranked 60		Cal State Fullerton 86 - Unranked 58
California 71 - Saint Marys 56	0.843	California 63 - Saint Marys 74	26
Canisius 68 - Dartmouth 65	0.58	Canisius 73 - Dartmouth 60	-10
Chattanooga 75 - Tennessee Martin 60	0.897	Chattanooga 66 - Tennessee Martin 63	12
Chicago State 55 - Northern Illinois 65	0.798	Chicago State 77 - Northern Illinois 95	8
Coastal Carolina 74 - Lamar 46	0.96	Coastal Carolina 67 - Lamar 69	30
Colorado State 76 - Colorado 73	0.581	Colorado State 72 - Colorado 63	-6
Connecticut 80 - Monmouth 55	0.949	Connecticut 84 - Monmouth 81	22
Denver 69 - Air Force 54	0.821	Denver 59 - Air Force 61	17
DePaul 75 - Youngstown State 76	0.519	DePaul 89 - Youngstown State 73	-17
Drexel 64 - Rider 51	0.833	Drexel 89 - Rider 77	1
Duke 92 - South Dakota 57	0.96	Duke 96 - South Dakota 80	19
East Carolina 75 - Delaware State 57	0.904	East Carolina 63 - Delaware State 57	12
Eastern Kentucky 76 - Jacksonville 55	0.924	Eastern Kentucky 70 - Jacksonville 65	16
Elon 62 - Saint Peters 59	0.59	Elon 71 - Saint Peters 65	-3
Evansville 92 - Unranked 54		Evansville 98 - Unranked 56
Florida Atlantic 64 - Bethune Cookman 57	0.674	Florida Atlantic 93 - Bethune Cookman 75	-11
Florida Gulf Coast 61 - Middle Tennessee 60	0.502	Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Middle Tennessee 81	6
Florida International 75 - South Alabama 59	0.854	Florida International 87 - South Alabama 58	-13
Fordham 89 - Maine 68	0.887	Fordham 67 - Maine 66	20
Furman 56 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.62	Furman 64 - Tennessee Tech 50	-19
Gardner Webb 67 - South Carolina Upstate 56	0.802	Gardner Webb 87 - South Carolina Upstate 66	-10
Georgia Southern 74 - Unranked 56		Georgia Southern 97 - Unranked 61
Grand Canyon 68 - UC Riverside 65	0.615	Grand Canyon 68 - UC Riverside 56	-9
Hartford 69 - Boston College 65	0.63	Hartford 61 - Boston College 73	16
Houston 79 - Arkansas 71	0.695	Houston 91 - Arkansas 65	-18
Houston Baptist 58 - Texas State 60	0.553	Houston Baptist 71 - Texas State 52	-21
Illinois State 66 - Tulsa 70	0.622	Illinois State 65 - Tulsa 58	-11
Iona 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 56	0.958	Iona 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 75	23
Iowa 89 - Penn State 58	0.958	Iowa 73 - Penn State 77	35
James Madison 73 - Charlotte 62	0.722	James Madison 87 - Charlotte 82	6
Kent State 65 - Cleveland State 61	0.647	Kent State 72 - Cleveland State 62	-6
Kentucky 75 - Harvard 63	0.76	Kentucky 79 - Harvard 70	3
La Salle 63 - Holy Cross 60	0.562	La Salle 58 - Holy Cross 54	-1
Lafayette 66 - Quinnipiac 67	0.531	Lafayette 79 - Quinnipiac 58	-22
Liberty 65 - UNC Greensboro 64	0.544	Liberty 75 - UNC Greensboro 76	2
Long Beach State 72 - Fresno State 65	0.703	Long Beach State 70 - Fresno State 106	43
Longwood 82 - Unranked 56		Longwood 61 - Unranked 52
Louisiana Tech 86 - Unranked 52		Louisiana Tech 106 - Unranked 55
Loyola Ill 69 - Illinois Chicago 60	0.773	Loyola Ill 85 - Illinois Chicago 61	-15
Marquette 68 - Georgia 72	0.597	Marquette 66 - Georgia 73	3
Marshall 65 - Akron 73	0.695	Marshall 86 - Akron 64	-30
Maryland Eastern Shore 58 - American 59	0.504	Maryland Eastern Shore 74 - American 70	-5
Memphis 79 - Mercer 57	0.903	Memphis 83 - Mercer 81	20
Miami 77 - Princeton 69	0.681	Miami 80 - Princeton 52	-20
Michigan 74 - Indiana 82	0.74	Michigan 69 - Indiana 55	-22
Milwaukee 77 - Montana State 59	0.838	Milwaukee 64 - Montana State 68	22
Mississippi 78 - Virginia Tech 65	0.846	Mississippi 80 - Virginia Tech 83	16
Mt St Marys 64 - Loyola MD 58	0.658	Mt St Marys 80 - Loyola MD 75	1
Murray State 75 - Florida AM 48	0.949	Murray State 80 - Florida AM 59	6
NC State 83 - South Carolina State 58	0.946	NC State 103 - South Carolina State 71	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 55 - Arizona 83	0.966	Nevada Las Vegas 88 - Arizona 91	-25
New Hampshire 63 - Bryant 58	0.614	New Hampshire 75 - Bryant 59	-11
New Orleans 75 - Unranked 62		New Orleans 87 - Unranked 70
Norfolk State 69 - Bowling Green 58	0.778	Norfolk State 77 - Bowling Green 92	26
North Carolina Central 69 - SE Missouri State 55	0.813	North Carolina Central 77 - SE Missouri State 86	23
North Florida 83 - Unranked 49		North Florida 85 - Unranked 58
Northeastern 80 - Cornell 57	0.953	Northeastern 84 - Cornell 66	5
Northern Kentucky 50 - Morehead State 76	0.935	Northern Kentucky 86 - Morehead State 49	-63
Oregon State 80 - Loyola Marymount 58	0.919	Oregon State 78 - Loyola Marymount 74	18
Portland State 70 - Unranked 58		Portland State 125 - Unranked 50
Presbyterian 66 - North Carolina AT 51	0.873	Presbyterian 73 - North Carolina AT 70	12
Rhode Island 65 - Providence 73	0.716	Rhode Island 75 - Providence 68	-15
Rice 69 - Texas Pan American 55	0.802	Rice 67 - Texas Pan American 69	16
Saint Johns 76 - Sacred Heart 69	0.639	Saint Johns 90 - Sacred Heart 55	-28
Saint Josephs 72 - Villanova 70	0.55	Saint Josephs 53 - Villanova 94	43
Santa Clara 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	0.914	Santa Clara 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	8
Savannah State 45 - William and Mary 61	0.865	Savannah State 85 - William and Mary 108	7
Siena 70 - Robert Morris 54	0.877	Siena 76 - Robert Morris 74	14
South Carolina 75 - Massachusetts 76	0.511	South Carolina 76 - Massachusetts 70	-7
South Dakota State 76 - Missouri State 58	0.863	South Dakota State 53 - Missouri State 73	38
Southern Illinois 79 - San Jose State 59	0.945	Southern Illinois 76 - San Jose State 58	2
Southern Methodist 84 - Southern California 64	0.916	Southern Methodist 72 - Southern California 55	3
Southern Utah 66 - Unranked 58		Southern Utah 87 - Unranked 68
Stephen F Austin 71 - UL Monroe 48	0.93	Stephen F Austin 68 - UL Monroe 65	20
Stony Brook 74 - Saint Francis Penn 43	0.962	Stony Brook 85 - Saint Francis Penn 83	29
Syracuse 72 - Kansas 73	0.516	Syracuse 60 - Kansas 76	15
Tennessee State 72 - Lipscomb 63	0.689	Tennessee State 86 - Lipscomb 95	18
Texas Arlington 68 - North Texas 70	0.538	Texas Arlington 65 - North Texas 60	-7
Texas Christian 54 - Yale 74	0.911	Texas Christian 92 - Yale 66	-46
Texas El Paso 69 - New Mexico 70	0.535	Texas El Paso 88 - New Mexico 76	-13
Toledo 70 - Texas Southern 58	0.767	Toledo 71 - Texas Southern 69	10
Towson 56 - Manhattan 72	0.85	Towson 56 - Manhattan 55	-17
UC Irvine 81 - Nevada 51	0.959	UC Irvine 65 - Nevada 76	41
UC Santa Barbara 71 - San Diego 53	0.862	UC Santa Barbara 67 - San Diego 57	8
UMBC 64 - The Citadel 65	0.51	UMBC 98 - The Citadel 72	-27
Utah 75 - Hawaii 66	0.71	Utah 80 - Hawaii 60	-11
Utah State 71 - Brigham Young 83	0.755	Utah State 66 - Brigham Young 75	-3
Utah Valley 69 - Texas San Antonio 65	0.581	Utah Valley 88 - Texas San Antonio 80	-4
Virginia 73 - Lehigh 52	0.921	Virginia 75 - Lehigh 54	0
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Old Dominion 52	0.93	Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Old Dominion 75	17
Virginia Military Institute 72 - Radford 68	0.594	Virginia Military Institute 50 - Radford 63	17
Wake Forest 73 - Richmond 78	0.657	Wake Forest 82 - Richmond 53	-34
Washington State 71 - UC Davis 65	0.632	Washington State 67 - UC Davis 81	20
Western Illinois 61 - Miami OH 68	0.669	Western Illinois 73 - Miami OH 76	-4
Western Kentucky 61 - Wright State 67	0.678	Western Kentucky 78 - Wright State 60	-24
Western Michigan 74 - Oakland 73	0.507	Western Michigan 73 - Oakland 78	6
Winthrop 82 - Unranked 48		Winthrop 107 - Unranked 76
Wisconsin 75 - Ohio State 65	0.748	Wisconsin 58 - Ohio State 83	35
Wyoming 69 - Drake 62	0.68	Wyoming 96 - Drake 89	0
Xavier 72 - Cincinnati 64	0.709	Xavier 89 - Cincinnati 76	-5

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 78 - Central Florida 65	0.81	Alabama 62 - Central Florida 65	16
Auburn 67 - George Mason 72	0.616	Auburn 79 - George Mason 63	-21
Boise State 77 - Portland 70	0.671	Boise State 77 - Portland 54	-16
Clemson 75 - UNC Asheville 56	0.902	Clemson 83 - UNC Asheville 52	-12
George Washington 82 - Temple 62	0.888	George Washington 71 - Temple 67	16
Georgetown 86 - Coppin State 60	0.952	Georgetown 76 - Coppin State 60	10
Georgia Tech 86 - Tennessee 70	0.827	Georgia Tech 70 - Tennessee 77	23
Illinois 70 - Maryland 77	0.673	Illinois 91 - Maryland 92	-6
IPFW 73 - SIU Edwardsville 53	0.895	IPFW 86 - SIU Edwardsville 71	5
Jacksonville State 55 - Samford 65	0.749	Jacksonville State 89 - Samford 58	-41
Long Beach State 64 - Stanford 71	0.662	Long Beach State 76 - Stanford 68	-15
Louisville 81 - Seton Hall 59	0.931	Louisville 77 - Seton Hall 79	24
Michigan State 79 - Nebraska 65	0.846	Michigan State 86 - Nebraska 57	-15
Minnesota 83 - Rutgers 72	0.707	Minnesota 89 - Rutgers 67	-11
Mississippi State 65 - Dayton 79	0.786	Mississippi State 61 - Dayton 59	-16
Montana 67 - Cal State Northridge 63	0.622	Montana 86 - Cal State Northridge 68	-14
Navy 62 - Morgan State 60	0.582	Navy 66 - Morgan State 59	-5
New Mexico State 74 - Prairie View 43	0.979	New Mexico State 69 - Prairie View 57	19
Nicholls State 53 - Idaho 59	0.66	Nicholls State 68 - Idaho 79	5
NJ Tech 78 - UMass Lowell 56	0.901	NJ Tech 78 - UMass Lowell 65	9
North Carolina 89 - Tulane 56	0.969	North Carolina 97 - Tulane 73	9
Northern Colorado 77 - Unranked 60		Northern Colorado 87 - Unranked 75
Notre Dame 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.737	Notre Dame 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 53	-9
Oklahoma State 84 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.954	Oklahoma State 83 - Mississippi Valley State 62	8
Pacific 81 - Unranked 52		Pacific 105 - Unranked 68
Purdue 70 - Northwestern 65	0.653	Purdue 74 - Northwestern 69	0
San Diego State 83 - Bradley 41	0.976	San Diego State 75 - Bradley 52	19
Seattle 65 - Eastern Washington 66	0.502	Seattle 84 - Eastern Washington 65	-20
Southern Miss 83 - Unranked 49		Southern Miss 109 - Unranked 61
UCLA 77 - Detroit 65	0.799	UCLA 106 - Detroit 73	-21
Vanderbilt 75 - Kansas State 65	0.736	Vanderbilt 79 - Kansas State 84	15
Washington 85 - Omaha 72	0.826	Washington 86 - Omaha 73	0

Number of DI Games: 301
Number Correct: 188 = 62.4%
Expected Number Correct: 230.376 = 76.5%
Average Error: 14.61
Average Signed Error: 1.71

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 88 - Unranked 56		Air Force 79 - Unranked 67
Baylor 79 - Sam Houston State 55	0.953	Baylor 84 - Sam Houston State 56	-4
College of Charleston 74 - High Point 61	0.779	College of Charleston 70 - High Point 58	1
Columbia 79 - Quinnipiac 66	0.828	Columbia 87 - Quinnipiac 89	15
Duquesne 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.789	Duquesne 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	-14
East Carolina 72 - Campbell 68	0.625	East Carolina 69 - Campbell 66	1
Florida 85 - Florida State 76	0.734	Florida 66 - Florida State 83	26
Georgia State 71 - Liberty 62	0.726	Georgia State 74 - Liberty 77	12
Grambling State 85 - Unranked 61		Grambling State 111 - Unranked 95
Howard 66 - Pennsylvania 81	0.876	Howard 68 - Pennsylvania 81	-2
Indiana 77 - Iowa 72	0.629	Indiana 77 - Iowa 64	-8
Iowa State 86 - Northern Illinois 64	0.924	Iowa State 94 - Northern Illinois 80	8
Lipscomb 73 - Belmont 75	0.56	Lipscomb 69 - Belmont 54	-17
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Stony Brook 77	0.801	LIU Brooklyn 75 - Stony Brook 71	-12
North Dakota State 68 - Missouri State 72	0.59	North Dakota State 58 - Missouri State 71	9
Ohio State 74 - Michigan 71	0.562	Ohio State 71 - Michigan 62	-6
Oklahoma 91 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.938	Oklahoma 97 - Texas San Antonio 85	12
Penn State 73 - Wisconsin 69	0.621	Penn State 63 - Wisconsin 64	5
Saint Marys 86 - Sacramento State 56	0.972	Saint Marys 70 - Sacramento State 54	14
San Francisco 81 - Central Arkansas 68	0.819	San Francisco 78 - Central Arkansas 76	11
Seattle 89 - Unranked 55		Seattle 99 - Unranked 69
Western Carolina 73 - Appalachian State 78	0.633	Western Carolina 72 - Appalachian State 71	-6

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 74 - Texas AM 76	0.565	Arizona 67 - Texas AM 64	-5
Arkansas 85 - Colorado State 67	0.835	Arkansas 92 - Colorado State 66	-8
Arkansas State 73 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.644	Arkansas State 78 - Tennessee Martin 92	19
Bowling Green 68 - Evansville 69	0.536	Bowling Green 76 - Evansville 91	14
Butler 74 - Utah 72	0.549	Butler 81 - Utah 69	-10
Central Michigan 76 - Montana State 70	0.725	Central Michigan 75 - Montana State 48	-21
Charlotte 71 - Wake Forest 78	0.729	Charlotte 57 - Wake Forest 80	16
Connecticut 66 - Syracuse 74	0.724	Connecticut 63 - Syracuse 72	1
Creighton 91 - North Dakota 68	0.95	Creighton 111 - North Dakota 68	-20
Davidson 85 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.917	Davidson 74 - Virginia Military Institute 51	2
Denver 74 - San Jose State 65	0.751	Denver 58 - San Jose State 56	7
Duke 96 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0.972	Duke 124 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-22
Florida Gulf Coast 79 - Florida Atlantic 63	0.891	Florida Gulf Coast 88 - Florida Atlantic 92	20
Fresno State 80 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.866	Fresno State 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	1
Furman 73 - UNC Asheville 69	0.592	Furman 83 - UNC Asheville 72	-7
Georgia 81 - Winthrop 68	0.816	Georgia 87 - Winthrop 82	8
Gonzaga 75 - Villanova 80	0.651	Gonzaga 72 - Villanova 88	11
Grand Canyon 69 - Saint Johns 75	0.684	Grand Canyon 60 - Saint Johns 68	2
Incarnate Word 88 - Unranked 64		Incarnate Word 91 - Unranked 63
Jacksonville 63 - Milwaukee 76	0.804	Jacksonville 52 - Milwaukee 62	-3
Kansas State 87 - South Carolina Upstate 57	0.966	Kansas State 86 - South Carolina Upstate 49	-7
Lamar 90 - Unranked 54		Lamar 60 - Unranked 46
Maine 81 - Unranked 62		Maine 75 - Unranked 55
Marquette 76 - Vermont 72	0.655	Marquette 91 - Vermont 81	-6
Marshall 79 - Chattanooga 69	0.721	Marshall 70 - Chattanooga 66	6
Memphis 83 - Samford 64	0.931	Memphis 65 - Samford 64	18
Miami 86 - Boston 57	0.969	Miami 69 - Boston 54	14
Missouri 86 - Miami OH 57	0.949	Missouri 70 - Miami OH 51	10
Nebraska 74 - Minnesota 79	0.659	Nebraska 78 - Minnesota 68	-15
Nevada Las Vegas 90 - Oral Roberts 64	0.931	Nevada Las Vegas 92 - Oral Roberts 66	0
New Hampshire 74 - Niagara 73	0.536	New Hampshire 70 - Niagara 78	9
Northeastern 74 - Bucknell 76	0.579	Northeastern 82 - Bucknell 64	-20
Notre Dame 85 - Ball State 64	0.909	Notre Dame 77 - Ball State 80	24
Oregon State 79 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.893	Oregon State 74 - Eastern Kentucky 62	3
Pepperdine 76 - UC Riverside 69	0.672	Pepperdine 70 - UC Riverside 59	-4
Pittsburgh 80 - Mt St Marys 63	0.887	Pittsburgh 82 - Mt St Marys 78	13
Presbyterian 74 - South Carolina State 64	0.767	Presbyterian 88 - South Carolina State 77	-1
Rutgers 61 - Michigan State 78	0.9	Rutgers 52 - Michigan State 62	-7
Sacred Heart 72 - Dartmouth 67	0.719	Sacred Heart 79 - Dartmouth 73	-1
Texas Christian 73 - Southern Methodist 70	0.602	Texas Christian 94 - Southern Methodist 83	-8
Texas Tech 76 - Nevada 74	0.539	Texas Tech 82 - Nevada 76	-4
The Citadel 74 - James Madison 82	0.735	The Citadel 84 - James Madison 82	-10
Troy 75 - Alabama Birmingham 71	0.581	Troy 78 - Alabama Birmingham 90	16
UC Santa Barbara 85 - Omaha 68	0.878	UC Santa Barbara 77 - Omaha 70	10
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Texas 75	0.502	Virginia Commonwealth 67 - Texas 71	5
Wagner 76 - UMass Lowell 64	0.808	Wagner 90 - UMass Lowell 72	-6
West Virginia 72 - Virginia 73	0.514	West Virginia 68 - Virginia 61	-8
Wichita State 85 - South Dakota State 65	0.917	Wichita State 95 - South Dakota State 85	10
Wright State 86 - Unranked 53		Wright State 98 - Unranked 68

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 76 - Abilene Christian 64	0.797	Air Force 58 - Abilene Christian 62	16
Akron 72 - IPFW 69	0.605	Akron 83 - IPFW 79	-1
Alabama 75 - Rhode Island 73	0.608	Alabama 68 - Rhode Island 64	-2
Albany 84 - Bryant 59	0.972	Albany 84 - Bryant 68	9
Auburn 90 - Gardner Webb 63	0.944	Auburn 80 - Gardner Webb 55	2
Binghamton 69 - Army 71	0.559	Binghamton 71 - Army 66	-7
Brigham Young 77 - Illinois State 69	0.696	Brigham Young 80 - Illinois State 68	-4
California 85 - Central Arkansas 68	0.871	California 69 - Central Arkansas 96	44
Canisius 65 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.801	Canisius 65 - Saint Bonaventure 73	-4
Colorado 79 - New Mexico 70	0.69	Colorado 75 - New Mexico 57	-9
Coppin State 60 - Navy 74	0.817	Coppin State 53 - Navy 70	3
Dayton 76 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.748	Dayton 79 - Tennessee Tech 66	-4
Delaware 69 - Buffalo 78	0.77	Delaware 72 - Buffalo 75	-6
Delaware State 65 - UMBC 78	0.82	Delaware State 60 - UMBC 81	8
DePaul 77 - Central Connecticut State 66	0.861	DePaul 85 - Central Connecticut State 57	-17
Detroit 75 - Toledo 82	0.709	Detroit 86 - Toledo 89	-4
Duquesne 76 - Stetson 70	0.669	Duquesne 73 - Stetson 59	-8
East Tennessee State 70 - Northern Kentucky 71	0.549	East Tennessee State 84 - Northern Kentucky 71	-14
Eastern Michigan 73 - Oakland 76	0.565	Eastern Michigan 95 - Oakland 89	-9
Florida 86 - Loyola Ill 68	0.88	Florida 59 - Loyola Ill 65	24
Florida State 91 - Loyola MD 57	0.97	Florida State 96 - Loyola MD 71	9
Fordham 70 - Harvard 67	0.589	Fordham 45 - Harvard 47	5
George Mason 77 - William and Mary 74	0.554	George Mason 70 - William and Mary 77	10
George Washington 75 - Princeton 65	0.792	George Washington 71 - Princeton 60	-1
Green Bay 73 - Eastern Illinois 70	0.572	Green Bay 59 - Eastern Illinois 57	1
Hampton 71 - Coastal Carolina 73	0.592	Hampton 81 - Coastal Carolina 85	2
Hawaii 76 - Prairie View 66	0.774	Hawaii 72 - Prairie View 60	-2
Houston 83 - Fairfield 62	0.877	Houston 88 - Fairfield 66	-1
Idaho 72 - Washington State 73	0.538	Idaho 91 - Washington State 64	-28
Idaho State 74 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.688	Idaho State 74 - Cal State Northridge 66	-3
Illinois 82 - Austin Peay 67	0.841	Illinois 64 - Austin Peay 57	8
Illinois Chicago 86 - Unranked 60		Illinois Chicago 76 - Unranked 48
IUPUI 74 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.674	IUPUI 81 - SIU Edwardsville 82	6
Kansas 91 - Washington 64	0.988	Kansas 65 - Washington 74	36
Lafayette 70 - Pennsylvania 78	0.721	Lafayette 68 - Pennsylvania 73	-3
Lehigh 77 - Yale 74	0.597	Lehigh 77 - Yale 86	12
Louisiana Tech 77 - Stephen F Austin 66	0.849	Louisiana Tech 83 - Stephen F Austin 85	13
Louisville 87 - Siena 60	0.939	Louisville 86 - Siena 60	1
Loyola Marymount 78 - Portland State 79	0.561	Loyola Marymount 85 - Portland State 94	8
Marist 68 - Colgate 72	0.61	Marist 78 - Colgate 76	-6
Massachusetts 77 - Holy Cross 63	0.85	Massachusetts 64 - Holy Cross 50	0
Monmouth 78 - Hofstra 70	0.752	Monmouth 84 - Hofstra 85	9
New Mexico State 77 - San Diego 63	0.853	New Mexico State 60 - San Diego 65	19
North Carolina 96 - Western Carolina 56	0.969	North Carolina 104 - Western Carolina 61	-3
North Texas 70 - Indiana State 73	0.584	North Texas 79 - Indiana State 76	-6
Northern Arizona 84 - Unranked 61		Northern Arizona 79 - Unranked 70
Old Dominion 76 - Richmond 58	0.858	Old Dominion 79 - Richmond 60	-1
Portland 73 - Cal State Fullerton 71	0.564	Portland 66 - Cal State Fullerton 76	12
Providence 87 - Brown 60	0.976	Providence 77 - Brown 72	22
Robert Morris 71 - Rider 75	0.626	Robert Morris 78 - Rider 75	-7
Sacramento State 83 - Unranked 60		Sacramento State 97 - Unranked 74
Saint Louis 65 - Southern Illinois 68	0.57	Saint Louis 74 - Southern Illinois 69	-8
Saint Peters 75 - Houston Baptist 68	0.671	Saint Peters 76 - Houston Baptist 74	5
SE Missouri State 73 - UMKC 71	0.565	SE Missouri State 91 - UMKC 87	-2
South Carolina 77 - Wyoming 66	0.784	South Carolina 80 - Wyoming 64	-5
South Dakota 81 - Drake 69	0.863	South Dakota 93 - Drake 65	-16
Southern Utah 78 - Long Beach State 79	0.542	Southern Utah 94 - Long Beach State 89	-6
Temple 76 - Wisconsin 69	0.656	Temple 59 - Wisconsin 55	3
Texas Pan American 74 - Texas AM CC 68	0.669	Texas Pan American 82 - Texas AM CC 78	2
Texas State 85 - Unranked 54		Texas State 100 - Unranked 50
Towson 79 - Morgan State 57	0.93	Towson 82 - Morgan State 78	18
Tulane 81 - Southern 61	0.886	Tulane 95 - Southern 76	1
UC Davis 76 - Pacific 65	0.798	UC Davis 71 - Pacific 67	7
UL Lafayette 96 - Unranked 56		UL Lafayette 98 - Unranked 56
Utah State 74 - UC Irvine 66	0.767	Utah State 62 - UC Irvine 59	5
Utah Valley 76 - Weber State 69	0.703	Utah Valley 83 - Weber State 56	-20
Vanderbilt 71 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.57	Vanderbilt 63 - Middle Tennessee 66	1
Virginia Tech 84 - Radford 63	0.937	Virginia Tech 95 - Radford 68	-6
Western Illinois 72 - American 66	0.699	Western Illinois 69 - American 56	-7
Western Michigan 77 - Cleveland State 61	0.88	Western Michigan 78 - Cleveland State 67	5
Wofford 66 - Georgia Tech 71	0.658	Wofford 63 - Georgia Tech 60	-8
Xavier 88 - Kent State 61	0.961	Xavier 96 - Kent State 70	1

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Columbia 73 - Stony Brook 72	0.533	Columbia 66 - Stony Brook 76	11
Georgetown 87 - Howard 59	0.965	Georgetown 81 - Howard 67	14
Hartford 70 - Quinnipiac 69	0.549	Hartford 77 - Quinnipiac 75	-1
Iowa State 80 - Iowa 68	0.775	Iowa State 84 - Iowa 78	6
La Salle 76 - Drexel 66	0.751	La Salle 70 - Drexel 72	12
Maryland 84 - Ohio 67	0.9	Maryland 87 - Ohio 62	-8
Northern Iowa 74 - Texas Arlington 65	0.764	Northern Iowa 62 - Texas Arlington 58	5
Purdue 80 - Valparaiso 66	0.836	Purdue 80 - Valparaiso 50	-16
Rutgers 72 - NJ Tech 62	0.791	Rutgers 73 - NJ Tech 64	1
San Francisco 74 - Eastern Washington 68	0.681	San Francisco 81 - Eastern Washington 71	-4
South Carolina State 80 - Unranked 64		South Carolina State 93 - Unranked 65
UNC Greensboro 75 - Elon 72	0.602	UNC Greensboro 75 - Elon 44	-28

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 81 - Saint Johns 75	0.643	Arizona State 82 - Saint Johns 70	-6
Bethune Cookman 72 - Boston 75	0.588	Bethune Cookman 87 - Boston 90	0
Cal State Bakersfield 88 - Unranked 55		Cal State Bakersfield 100 - Unranked 71
Liberty 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.888	Liberty 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 49	-4
Maine 69 - Dartmouth 67	0.591	Maine 66 - Dartmouth 73	9
Missouri State 82 - Hampton 61	0.957	Missouri State 88 - Hampton 75	8
Oral Roberts 87 - Unranked 60		Oral Roberts 60 - Unranked 68
Oregon 82 - Colorado State 68	0.793	Oregon 95 - Colorado State 65	-16
South Dakota State 95 - Unranked 54		South Dakota State 103 - Unranked 67
Southern California 79 - Oklahoma 78	0.534	Southern California 83 - Oklahoma 85	3
Texas Christian 75 - Nevada 77	0.574	Texas Christian 84 - Nevada 80	-6
UC Riverside 68 - Air Force 70	0.56	UC Riverside 67 - Air Force 48	-21
Wake Forest 78 - Army 68	0.785	Wake Forest 109 - Army 80	-19

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 66 - Texas State 69	0.574	Abilene Christian 72 - Texas State 68	-7
Akron 76 - Appalachian State 71	0.598	Akron 94 - Appalachian State 89	0
American 77 - Howard 66	0.806	American 74 - Howard 63	0
Arizona 79 - Alabama 72	0.715	Arizona 88 - Alabama 82	1
Arkansas 82 - Minnesota 76	0.636	Arkansas 95 - Minnesota 79	-10
Arkansas State 86 - Unranked 61		Arkansas State 90 - Unranked 76
Auburn 85 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.803	Auburn 85 - Alabama Birmingham 80	11
Ball State 69 - Valparaiso 76	0.707	Ball State 71 - Valparaiso 70	-8
Baylor 97 - Unranked 47		Baylor 105 - Unranked 82
Boise State 85 - Sacramento State 53	0.984	Boise State 77 - Sacramento State 54	9
Boston College 68 - Duke 85	0.904	Boston College 89 - Duke 84	-22
Brigham Young 78 - Weber State 67	0.799	Brigham Young 74 - Weber State 68	5
Brown 75 - UMass Lowell 71	0.64	Brown 89 - UMass Lowell 75	-10
Buffalo 95 - Unranked 55		Buffalo 88 - Unranked 54
Butler 92 - Youngstown State 57	0.971	Butler 95 - Youngstown State 67	7
Cal Poly 69 - Fresno State 78	0.758	Cal Poly 63 - Fresno State 83	11
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Idaho 69	0.542	Cal State Bakersfield 66 - Idaho 55	-12
Cal State Fullerton 71 - Utah Valley 73	0.577	Cal State Fullerton 91 - Utah Valley 83	-10
Cal State Northridge 70 - Loyola Marymount 78	0.786	Cal State Northridge 57 - Loyola Marymount 74	9
Central Arkansas 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.603	Central Arkansas 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 54	-11
Central Florida 79 - Southern 55	0.923	Central Florida 76 - Southern 60	8
Central Michigan 77 - Tennessee Tech 72	0.647	Central Michigan 74 - Tennessee Tech 69	0
Cincinnati 75 - Florida 80	0.632	Cincinnati 60 - Florida 66	1
Clemson 88 - Samford 58	0.994	Clemson 81 - Samford 59	8
Connecticut 85 - Coppin State 52	0.964	Connecticut 72 - Coppin State 59	20
Creighton 83 - Nebraska 71	0.835	Creighton 75 - Nebraska 65	2
Dayton 76 - Pennsylvania 68	0.776	Dayton 70 - Pennsylvania 78	16
Delaware 61 - Notre Dame 82	0.932	Delaware 68 - Notre Dame 92	3
Denver 77 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.769	Denver 84 - South Carolina Upstate 69	-4
Detroit 74 - Western Michigan 79	0.633	Detroit 79 - Western Michigan 87	3
Drake 82 - Omaha 75	0.738	Drake 93 - Omaha 74	-12
Duquesne 78 - Delaware State 61	0.895	Duquesne 97 - Delaware State 48	-32
Eastern Michigan 89 - Unranked 56		Eastern Michigan 80 - Unranked 65
Evansville 75 - Canisius 61	0.845	Evansville 65 - Canisius 58	7
Fordham 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	0.836	Fordham 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 68	3
Furman 82 - South Carolina State 57	0.953	Furman 101 - South Carolina State 72	-4
George Mason 76 - North Carolina Central 63	0.862	George Mason 77 - North Carolina Central 65	1
Georgetown 83 - North Carolina AT 60	0.94	Georgetown 83 - North Carolina AT 74	14
Georgia Southern 88 - Savannah State 65	0.959	Georgia Southern 102 - Savannah State 91	12
Georgia State 72 - Montana 64	0.731	Georgia State 71 - Montana 68	5
Grand Canyon 80 - Grambling State 61	0.923	Grand Canyon 87 - Grambling State 53	-15
Hawaii 91 - Unranked 54		Hawaii 82 - Unranked 64
Holy Cross 69 - New Hampshire 67	0.545	Holy Cross 62 - New Hampshire 58	-2
Idaho State 84 - Unranked 61		Idaho State 73 - Unranked 57
Illinois Chicago 70 - DePaul 75	0.67	Illinois Chicago 55 - DePaul 65	5
Illinois State 75 - Murray State 72	0.577	Illinois State 72 - Murray State 78	9
Indiana State 92 - Unranked 56		Indiana State 79 - Unranked 75
Jacksonville 84 - Unranked 63		Jacksonville 89 - Unranked 51
Jacksonville State 75 - UL Monroe 65	0.736	Jacksonville State 75 - UL Monroe 56	-9
Kansas State 80 - Tulsa 69	0.831	Kansas State 54 - Tulsa 61	18
Kentucky 82 - Monmouth 66	0.896	Kentucky 93 - Monmouth 76	-1
Lamar 90 - Unranked 54		Lamar 112 - Unranked 56
Lehigh 81 - Mt St Marys 69	0.844	Lehigh 75 - Mt St Marys 60	-3
Louisiana Tech 84 - Jackson State 56	0.987	Louisiana Tech 91 - Jackson State 62	-1
Louisville 81 - Indiana 66	0.819	Louisville 71 - Indiana 62	6
Loyola Ill 83 - Norfolk State 57	0.959	Loyola Ill 80 - Norfolk State 52	-2
Loyola MD 67 - Binghamton 71	0.607	Loyola MD 64 - Binghamton 77	9
Manhattan 73 - Morgan State 63	0.725	Manhattan 80 - Morgan State 66	-4
Marist 74 - Stetson 70	0.579	Marist 76 - Stetson 79	7
Maryland 87 - Gardner Webb 59	0.961	Maryland 82 - Gardner Webb 60	6
Massachusetts 67 - Providence 77	0.793	Massachusetts 72 - Providence 63	-19
Memphis 84 - Bryant 60	0.992	Memphis 90 - Bryant 72	6
Mercer 83 - Florida AM 60	0.963	Mercer 82 - Florida AM 64	5
Miami OH 69 - IPFW 72	0.61	Miami OH 81 - IPFW 73	-11
Michigan 78 - UCLA 72	0.669	Michigan 78 - UCLA 69	-3
Michigan State 95 - Southern Utah 58	0.971	Michigan State 88 - Southern Utah 63	12
Middle Tennessee 78 - Mississippi 70	0.778	Middle Tennessee 77 - Mississippi 58	-11
Mississippi State 95 - Unranked 50		Mississippi State 95 - Unranked 62
Missouri 88 - Green Bay 59	0.946	Missouri 100 - Green Bay 77	6
Montana State 73 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.541	Montana State 69 - UC Santa Barbara 91	21
NC State 84 - UMKC 64	0.928	NC State 88 - UMKC 69	1
Nevada Las Vegas 84 - Illinois 74	0.722	Nevada Las Vegas 89 - Illinois 82	3
New Mexico 73 - New Mexico State 77	0.603	New Mexico 62 - New Mexico State 65	-1
NJ Tech 72 - Iona 73	0.523	NJ Tech 70 - Iona 74	3
North Dakota 73 - North Dakota State 74	0.527	North Dakota 79 - North Dakota State 88	8
North Texas 75 - Mcneese State 66	0.803	North Texas 85 - Mcneese State 47	-29
Northeastern 67 - Vermont 73	0.714	Northeastern 71 - Vermont 67	-10
Northern Illinois 75 - Central Connecticut State 69	0.699	Northern Illinois 61 - Central Connecticut State 55	0
Northwestern State 84 - Unranked 65		Northwestern State 88 - Unranked 58
Oakland 90 - Chicago State 63	0.961	Oakland 82 - Chicago State 50	-5
Ohio State 85 - William and Mary 70	0.803	Ohio State 97 - William and Mary 62	-20
Oklahoma State 72 - Wichita State 77	0.639	Oklahoma State 66 - Wichita State 78	7
Old Dominion 76 - Bowling Green 63	0.869	Old Dominion 88 - Bowling Green 46	-29
Oregon State 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	0.987	Oregon State 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	-1
Penn State 77 - George Washington 66	0.812	Penn State 74 - George Washington 54	-9
Pepperdine 76 - Long Beach State 78	0.548	Pepperdine 71 - Long Beach State 78	5
Pittsburgh 68 - West Virginia 82	0.763	Pittsburgh 60 - West Virginia 69	-5
Portland 75 - San Jose State 68	0.747	Portland 64 - San Jose State 55	-2
Radford 88 - Unranked 55		Radford 76 - Unranked 49
Rider 78 - Hofstra 71	0.69	Rider 82 - Hofstra 88	13
Rutgers 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	0.918	Rutgers 92 - Fairleigh Dickinson 54	-19
Sacred Heart 72 - Lafayette 71	0.546	Sacred Heart 62 - Lafayette 50	-11
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Yale 65	0.883	Saint Bonaventure 75 - Yale 67	6
Saint Louis 63 - Houston 75	0.73	Saint Louis 58 - Houston 77	7
Saint Marys 82 - Seattle 62	0.906	Saint Marys 97 - Seattle 73	-4
San Diego 77 - Northern Arizona 59	0.886	San Diego 79 - Northern Arizona 51	-10
San Diego State 81 - California 66	0.854	San Diego State 62 - California 63	16
Santa Clara 74 - Portland State 78	0.622	Santa Clara 84 - Portland State 87	-1
Seton Hall 83 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.853	Seton Hall 90 - Virginia Commonwealth 67	-12
Siena 71 - Albany 76	0.693	Siena 69 - Albany 74	0
South Carolina 81 - Coastal Carolina 63	0.905	South Carolina 80 - Coastal Carolina 78	16
Southern Illinois 79 - SE Missouri State 65	0.821	Southern Illinois 69 - SE Missouri State 75	20
Stephen F Austin 77 - Rice 62	0.905	Stephen F Austin 81 - Rice 62	-4
Syracuse 82 - Colgate 56	0.985	Syracuse 72 - Colgate 58	12
Temple 83 - Saint Josephs 67	0.842	Temple 81 - Saint Josephs 78	13
Tennessee 85 - Lipscomb 63	0.946	Tennessee 81 - Lipscomb 71	12
Texas AM 87 - Prairie View 56	0.955	Texas AM 73 - Prairie View 53	11
Texas Arlington 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.692	Texas Arlington 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 85	14
Texas El Paso 70 - Washington State 76	0.657	Texas El Paso 76 - Washington State 69	-13
Texas Pan American 72 - UC Irvine 75	0.593	Texas Pan American 73 - UC Irvine 59	-17
Texas San Antonio 80 - Houston Baptist 74	0.671	Texas San Antonio 87 - Houston Baptist 71	-10
Toledo 84 - Marshall 74	0.736	Toledo 87 - Marshall 93	16
Towson 82 - UMBC 63	0.937	Towson 78 - UMBC 65	6
UC Davis 91 - Unranked 50		UC Davis 86 - Unranked 52
Utah 78 - Utah State 66	0.796	Utah 77 - Utah State 67	2
Virginia Military Institute 75 - Longwood 61	0.851	Virginia Military Institute 81 - Longwood 70	3
Western Illinois 64 - Milwaukee 71	0.689	Western Illinois 90 - Milwaukee 69	-28
Wisconsin 77 - Marquette 71	0.668	Wisconsin 63 - Marquette 82	25
Wofford 89 - Unranked 58		Wofford 104 - Unranked 45
Wright State 70 - Kent State 66	0.636	Wright State 63 - Kent State 54	-5
Wyoming 77 - Pacific 67	0.778	Wyoming 86 - Pacific 72	-4
Xavier 84 - Colorado 67	0.874	Xavier 96 - Colorado 69	-10

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Chattanooga 72 - Charlotte 69	0.589	Chattanooga 64 - Charlotte 50	-11
Cleveland State 83 - Unranked 58		Cleveland State 89 - Unranked 56
College of Charleston 89 - Unranked 52		College of Charleston 92 - Unranked 60
Columbia 72 - Navy 70	0.587	Columbia 68 - Navy 73	7
East Tennessee State 90 - Unranked 54		East Tennessee State 94 - Unranked 48
Florida Atlantic 86 - Unranked 57		Florida Atlantic 108 - Unranked 46
Florida State 84 - Tulane 68	0.886	Florida State 72 - Tulane 53	-3
High Point 85 - Unranked 57		High Point 110 - Unranked 39
Iowa 81 - Southern 60	0.901	Iowa 91 - Southern 60	-10
Iowa State 90 - Alcorn State 58	0.957	Iowa State 78 - Alcorn State 58	12
Kansas 88 - Arizona State 72	0.855	Kansas 85 - Arizona State 95	26
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Fairfield 75	0.635	LIU Brooklyn 72 - Fairfield 76	-1
Louisiana State 86 - UNC Wilmington 72	0.795	Louisiana State 97 - UNC Wilmington 84	1
Maine 81 - Unranked 62		Maine 104 - Unranked 51
Niagara 80 - Saint Francis Penn 76	0.635	Niagara 87 - Saint Francis Penn 93	10
Northern Colorado 87 - Unranked 55		Northern Colorado 104 - Unranked 53
Northern Iowa 94 - Unranked 45		Northern Iowa 80 - Unranked 47
Northern Kentucky 81 - Eastern Kentucky 61	0.923	Northern Kentucky 91 - Eastern Kentucky 63	-8
Ohio 71 - Western Kentucky 78	0.672	Ohio 89 - Western Kentucky 84	-12
Oral Roberts 65 - Missouri State 79	0.842	Oral Roberts 73 - Missouri State 66	-21
Purdue 93 - IUPUI 56	0.978	Purdue 86 - IUPUI 61	12
Richmond 74 - James Madison 69	0.621	Richmond 74 - James Madison 71	2
Robert Morris 71 - Drexel 68	0.565	Robert Morris 74 - Drexel 60	-11
SIU Edwardsville 69 - South Alabama 71	0.572	SIU Edwardsville 76 - South Alabama 75	-3
South Dakota 79 - Eastern Washington 66	0.836	South Dakota 75 - Eastern Washington 73	11
Southern Miss 66 - Troy 74	0.752	Southern Miss 89 - Troy 71	-26
Tennessee Martin 83 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Martin 127 - Unranked 92
UNC Asheville 93 - Unranked 55		UNC Asheville 97 - Unranked 60
Villanova 87 - La Salle 59	0.961	Villanova 77 - La Salle 68	19
Virginia Tech 90 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.999	Virginia Tech 93 - Maryland Eastern Shore 40	-19
Wagner 88 - Unranked 53		Wagner 75 - Unranked 41
Washington 73 - Gonzaga 84	0.834	Washington 70 - Gonzaga 97	16

Number of DI Games: 281
Number Correct: 207 = 73.6%
Expected Number Correct: 213.887 = 76.1%
Average Error: 9.16
Average Signed Error: 0.44

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
DePaul 84 - Alabama AM 58	0.987	DePaul 83 - Alabama AM 59	2
Florida AM 72 - North Florida 78	0.719	Florida AM 89 - North Florida 101	6
Grand Canyon 79 - North Carolina Central 60	0.927	Grand Canyon 64 - North Carolina Central 59	14
Hartford 70 - Sacred Heart 69	0.521	Hartford 86 - Sacred Heart 72	-13
Jackson State 81 - Unranked 60		Jackson State 60 - Unranked 53
Louisville 89 - Bryant 53	0.971	Louisville 102 - Bryant 59	-7
Minnesota 87 - Drake 68	0.903	Minnesota 68 - Drake 67	18
Northwestern 87 - Chicago State 56	0.963	Northwestern 96 - Chicago State 31	-34
Oregon 89 - Texas Southern 67	0.919	Oregon 74 - Texas Southern 68	16
South Florida 70 - Florida International 67	0.561	South Florida 53 - Florida International 65	15
Vermont 80 - Siena 64	0.907	Vermont 81 - Siena 57	-8

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 66 - Tennessee State 78	0.831	Alabama State 45 - Tennessee State 64	7
Alcorn State 84 - Unranked 63		Alcorn State 77 - Unranked 69
Bethune Cookman 71 - Cal Poly 76	0.69	Bethune Cookman 67 - Cal Poly 53	-19
Boston College 83 - Columbia 64	0.908	Boston College 81 - Columbia 66	4
Central Florida 79 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.908	Central Florida 61 - Southeast Louisiana 53	12
Cincinnati 75 - Mississippi State 67	0.735	Cincinnati 65 - Mississippi State 50	-7
Colgate 70 - NJ Tech 69	0.552	Colgate 87 - NJ Tech 76	-10
Colorado 72 - San Diego 66	0.662	Colorado 59 - San Diego 69	16
George Mason 70 - Georgia Southern 72	0.563	George Mason 51 - Georgia Southern 74	21
Georgia State 89 - Unranked 52		Georgia State 90 - Unranked 70
Indiana State 79 - Green Bay 69	0.754	Indiana State 85 - Green Bay 63	-12
Iona 78 - Yale 73	0.696	Iona 83 - Yale 67	-11
Louisiana Tech 81 - UL Lafayette 73	0.727	Louisiana Tech 71 - UL Lafayette 75	12
Maryland 99 - Unranked 49		Maryland 76 - Unranked 59
Memphis 74 - Albany 70	0.649	Memphis 67 - Albany 58	-5
Morehead State 85 - Unranked 59		Morehead State 85 - Unranked 57
New Mexico State 96 - Unranked 52		New Mexico State 84 - Unranked 62
North Dakota State 90 - Unranked 54		North Dakota State 101 - Unranked 58
Oregon State 72 - Jacksonville State 69	0.567	Oregon State 70 - Jacksonville State 69	2
Princeton 73 - Monmouth 74	0.539	Princeton 69 - Monmouth 58	-12
Rutgers 74 - Fordham 59	0.875	Rutgers 75 - Fordham 63	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 68 - Army 72	0.628	Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Army 76	8
Saint Louis 66 - Murray State 74	0.696	Saint Louis 69 - Murray State 55	-22
Seton Hall 86 - Saint Peters 58	0.995	Seton Hall 84 - Saint Peters 61	5
South Carolina State 69 - Charleston Southern 74	0.647	South Carolina State 91 - Charleston Southern 88	-8
South Dakota State 86 - North Dakota 69	0.868	South Dakota State 99 - North Dakota 63	-19
Stony Brook 71 - Hofstra 72	0.508	Stony Brook 81 - Hofstra 84	2
Texas 73 - Michigan 69	0.637	Texas 52 - Michigan 59	11
UL Monroe 76 - Grambling State 65	0.757	UL Monroe 59 - Grambling State 57	9
UMBC 79 - Coppin State 61	0.884	UMBC 81 - Coppin State 74	11
Wyoming 78 - Eastern Washington 66	0.819	Wyoming 93 - Eastern Washington 88	7

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 64 - Southern Miss 74	0.747	Alabama AM 54 - Southern Miss 69	5
Belmont 75 - Milwaukee 65	0.734	Belmont 82 - Milwaukee 63	-9
Boise State 77 - Grand Canyon 63	0.828	Boise State 85 - Grand Canyon 80	9
Bradley 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	0.92	Bradley 86 - Arkansas Little Rock 46	-25
Duquesne 81 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.909	Duquesne 73 - Mississippi Valley State 49	-4
Fresno State 88 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	0.969	Fresno State 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	10
Illinois 89 - Longwood 55	0.972	Illinois 92 - Longwood 45	-13
Louisiana State 76 - Houston 79	0.563	Louisiana State 80 - Houston 77	-6
Mississippi 80 - Sam Houston State 64	0.888	Mississippi 82 - Sam Houston State 69	3
North Florida 79 - Florida International 73	0.654	North Florida 87 - Florida International 85	4
Northern Colorado 72 - Denver 65	0.72	Northern Colorado 83 - Denver 63	-13
Omaha 80 - Arkansas State 72	0.706	Omaha 77 - Arkansas State 74	5
Oregon 87 - Portland State 73	0.827	Oregon 95 - Portland State 84	3
Seattle 89 - Unranked 57		Seattle 88 - Unranked 72
Southern Illinois 77 - Jackson State 60	0.872	Southern Illinois 69 - Jackson State 51	-1
Southern Methodist 82 - New Orleans 54	0.964	Southern Methodist 79 - New Orleans 66	15
Temple 71 - Villanova 80	0.72	Temple 67 - Villanova 87	11
Texas AM 96 - Savannah State 58	0.973	Texas AM 113 - Savannah State 66	-9
Texas Tech 89 - Kennesaw St 56	0.972	Texas Tech 82 - Kennesaw St 53	4
UMass Lowell 72 - Boston 74	0.557	UMass Lowell 87 - Boston 82	-7
UNC Greensboro 81 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.807	UNC Greensboro 71 - UNC Wilmington 58	0
Wisconsin 73 - Western Kentucky 69	0.609	Wisconsin 81 - Western Kentucky 80	3

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 86 - Texas Southern 62	0.957	Baylor 99 - Texas Southern 68	-7
Campbell 81 - The Citadel 71	0.774	Campbell 87 - The Citadel 77	0
Furman 92 - Unranked 54		Furman 103 - Unranked 47
Howard 82 - Unranked 64		Howard 76 - Unranked 65
Lipscomb 94 - Unranked 55		Lipscomb 100 - Unranked 68
Norfolk State 82 - Unranked 63		Norfolk State 112 - Unranked 34
North Carolina Central 75 - Mcneese State 64	0.779	North Carolina Central 77 - Mcneese State 71	5
Northern Arizona 64 - South Dakota 80	0.858	Northern Arizona 77 - South Dakota 90	-3
Northwestern 72 - Valparaiso 69	0.588	Northwestern 84 - Valparaiso 50	-31
Presbyterian 83 - Unranked 61		Presbyterian 104 - Unranked 35
Rice 85 - Unranked 60		Rice 91 - Unranked 86
South Florida 74 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.706	South Florida 83 - Bethune Cookman 63	-13
Southeast Louisiana 86 - Unranked 59		Southeast Louisiana 106 - Unranked 77
Southern 74 - Florida AM 67	0.698	Southern 68 - Florida AM 50	-11
Southern California 85 - Santa Clara 63	0.903	Southern California 82 - Santa Clara 59	-1
Tulsa 80 - Prairie View 64	0.859	Tulsa 77 - Prairie View 73	12
Utah Valley 93 - Unranked 56		Utah Valley 106 - Unranked 44
Virginia Military Institute 83 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 90 - Unranked 52

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charleston Southern 74 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.65	Charleston Southern 65 - Eastern Kentucky 70	11
Colorado 78 - South Dakota State 71	0.671	Colorado 112 - South Dakota State 103	-2
Creighton 93 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	0.971	Creighton 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 36	-12
Houston Baptist 88 - Unranked 63		Houston Baptist 100 - Unranked 65
Idaho 91 - Unranked 53		Idaho 73 - Unranked 54
Illinois Chicago 73 - Dartmouth 67	0.701	Illinois Chicago 76 - Dartmouth 60	-10
Mt St Marys 86 - Unranked 61		Mt St Marys 89 - Unranked 67
North Carolina AT 69 - Tennessee State 74	0.661	North Carolina AT 64 - Tennessee State 54	-15
Sam Houston State 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	0.76	Sam Houston State 57 - Arkansas Little Rock 55	6
Samford 87 - Unranked 61		Samford 98 - Unranked 51
San Francisco 70 - UC Davis 69	0.534	San Francisco 74 - UC Davis 61	-12
Stanford 78 - Denver 66	0.813	Stanford 75 - Denver 62	-1
Texas AM CC 84 - Unranked 58		Texas AM CC 71 - Unranked 55

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 82 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.948	Akron 81 - Mississippi Valley State 63	6
Alabama Birmingham 86 - Alabama AM 58	0.944	Alabama Birmingham 90 - Alabama AM 58	-4
Alabama State 68 - Winthrop 82	0.81	Alabama State 80 - Winthrop 88	-6
Albany 78 - Canisius 65	0.89	Albany 68 - Canisius 65	10
Arkansas 90 - Troy 63	0.929	Arkansas 88 - Troy 63	2
Auburn 74 - Middle Tennessee 75	0.555	Auburn 76 - Middle Tennessee 70	-7
Belmont 83 - Pepperdine 68	0.89	Belmont 79 - Pepperdine 62	-2
Brigham Young 75 - Utah 74	0.506	Brigham Young 77 - Utah 65	-11
Buffalo 77 - Robert Morris 68	0.775	Buffalo 86 - Robert Morris 70	-7
Butler 71 - Purdue 78	0.69	Butler 67 - Purdue 82	8
Cal Poly 73 - Princeton 68	0.668	Cal Poly 60 - Princeton 80	25
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Georgia Southern 71	0.517	Cal State Bakersfield 55 - Georgia Southern 53	-3
California 76 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.637	California 95 - Cal State Fullerton 89	0
Chicago State 59 - Bradley 77	0.927	Chicago State 58 - Bradley 84	8
Coastal Carolina 92 - Unranked 57		Coastal Carolina 83 - Unranked 70
Dayton 72 - Georgia State 63	0.736	Dayton 88 - Georgia State 83	4
DePaul 71 - Northwestern 72	0.52	DePaul 60 - Northwestern 62	1
Evansville 75 - Austin Peay 62	0.837	Evansville 78 - Austin Peay 74	9
Florida 77 - Clemson 72	0.616	Florida 69 - Clemson 71	7
Florida Atlantic 78 - Arkansas State 65	0.832	Florida Atlantic 63 - Arkansas State 64	14
Florida Gulf Coast 83 - Oral Roberts 66	0.871	Florida Gulf Coast 64 - Oral Roberts 83	36
Florida International 75 - James Madison 70	0.633	Florida International 67 - James Madison 76	14
Florida State 80 - Oklahoma State 70	0.776	Florida State 70 - Oklahoma State 71	11
Fresno State 77 - Oregon 76	0.514	Fresno State 61 - Oregon 68	8
George Washington 64 - Miami 75	0.849	George Washington 50 - Miami 59	-2
Georgetown 67 - Syracuse 73	0.685	Georgetown 79 - Syracuse 86	1
Gonzaga 96 - North Dakota 63	0.987	Gonzaga 89 - North Dakota 83	27
Green Bay 88 - Unranked 60		Green Bay 86 - Unranked 50
Illinois 75 - New Mexico State 73	0.575	Illinois 69 - New Mexico State 74	7
Incarnate Word 73 - UMKC 75	0.552	Incarnate Word 77 - UMKC 73	-6
Indiana 69 - Notre Dame 78	0.709	Indiana 80 - Notre Dame 77	-12
Iowa 79 - Drake 72	0.694	Iowa 90 - Drake 64	-19
Iowa State 69 - Northern Iowa 71	0.558	Iowa State 76 - Northern Iowa 65	-13
IPFW 79 - Stetson 67	0.806	IPFW 88 - Stetson 84	8
Jacksonville State 83 - South Carolina Upstate 60	0.912	Jacksonville State 77 - South Carolina Upstate 61	7
Kansas State 84 - SE Missouri State 63	0.937	Kansas State 89 - SE Missouri State 71	3
Kennesaw St 77 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.699	Kennesaw St 81 - Bethune Cookman 74	-1
Kentucky 79 - Virginia Tech 73	0.688	Kentucky 93 - Virginia Tech 86	-1
Liberty 89 - Unranked 53		Liberty 96 - Unranked 40
Long Beach State 76 - Eastern Michigan 73	0.573	Long Beach State 80 - Eastern Michigan 85	8
Longwood 65 - Cornell 76	0.779	Longwood 62 - Cornell 69	-4
Louisiana State 78 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.634	Louisiana State 82 - Stephen F Austin 83	6
Marshall 80 - Ohio 78	0.562	Marshall 99 - Ohio 96	-1
Massachusetts 68 - Georgia 72	0.622	Massachusetts 72 - Georgia 62	-14
Memphis 65 - Louisville 78	0.834	Memphis 72 - Louisville 81	-4
Michigan 89 - Detroit 63	0.951	Michigan 90 - Detroit 58	-6
Milwaukee 66 - Loyola Ill 71	0.619	Milwaukee 73 - Loyola Ill 56	-22
Mississippi 78 - Illinois State 71	0.673	Mississippi 97 - Illinois State 101	11
Mississippi State 82 - Tennessee Martin 58	0.941	Mississippi State 92 - Tennessee Martin 61	-7
Missouri 91 - North Florida 66	0.942	Missouri 85 - North Florida 51	-9
Murray State 86 - Marist 61	0.953	Murray State 100 - Marist 63	-12
NC State 80 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.809	NC State 76 - UNC Greensboro 81	18
Nebraska 68 - Kansas 80	0.748	Nebraska 72 - Kansas 73	-11
New Hampshire 83 - Unranked 58		New Hampshire 111 - Unranked 31
New Mexico 70 - Arizona 83	0.791	New Mexico 73 - Arizona 89	3
Nicholls State 91 - Unranked 64		Nicholls State 92 - Unranked 51
NJ Tech 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.831	NJ Tech 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	10
Norfolk State 72 - Niagara 78	0.695	Norfolk State 82 - Niagara 85	-3
Northwestern State 83 - Unranked 65		Northwestern State 84 - Unranked 85
Oakland 63 - Michigan State 86	0.936	Oakland 73 - Michigan State 86	-10
Ohio State 89 - Appalachian State 64	0.916	Ohio State 80 - Appalachian State 67	12
Oregon State 73 - Saint Louis 63	0.74	Oregon State 63 - Saint Louis 60	7
Pacific 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 84	0.818	Pacific 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 81	-8
Pittsburgh 83 - Mcneese State 58	0.928	Pittsburgh 72 - Mcneese State 51	4
Portland State 98 - Unranked 58		Portland State 116 - Unranked 71
Rhode Island 78 - College of Charleston 63	0.928	Rhode Island 68 - College of Charleston 62	9
Rider 73 - Wagner 71	0.569	Rider 90 - Wagner 84	-4
Rutgers 68 - Seton Hall 77	0.763	Rutgers 71 - Seton Hall 65	-15
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Vermont 66	0.774	Saint Bonaventure 81 - Vermont 79	6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 83 - Unranked 60		Saint Francis Brooklyn 88 - Unranked 67
Saint Marys 83 - UC Irvine 62	0.937	Saint Marys 73 - UC Irvine 66	14
San Diego 75 - North Texas 62	0.814	San Diego 83 - North Texas 86	16
Seattle 76 - Portland 69	0.709	Seattle 89 - Portland 76	-6
South Alabama 71 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.595	South Alabama 63 - Eastern Illinois 52	-7
South Carolina State 72 - Jacksonville 73	0.528	South Carolina State 83 - Jacksonville 74	-10
Southeast Louisiana 76 - Grambling State 67	0.728	Southeast Louisiana 67 - Grambling State 68	10
Southern Miss 86 - Unranked 57		Southern Miss 75 - Unranked 58
Southern Utah 73 - Central Michigan 80	0.697	Southern Utah 86 - Central Michigan 80	-13
Temple 84 - Drexel 62	0.9	Temple 63 - Drexel 60	19
Texas 79 - Louisiana Tech 67	0.86	Texas 75 - Louisiana Tech 60	-3
Texas Pan American 70 - Texas Arlington 79	0.773	Texas Pan American 65 - Texas Arlington 86	12
Texas San Antonio 92 - Unranked 59		Texas San Antonio 95 - Unranked 67
Texas Tech 88 - Rice 56	0.981	Texas Tech 73 - Rice 53	12
The Citadel 88 - Unranked 68		The Citadel 110 - Unranked 66
Toledo 72 - Wright State 68	0.622	Toledo 69 - Wright State 77	12
Tulsa 79 - Manhattan 65	0.843	Tulsa 80 - Manhattan 66	0
UCLA 76 - Cincinnati 75	0.528	UCLA 63 - Cincinnati 77	15
UL Lafayette 80 - New Orleans 64	0.867	UL Lafayette 87 - New Orleans 65	-6
Utah State 91 - Unranked 54		Utah State 96 - Unranked 62
Virginia 81 - Davidson 60	0.897	Virginia 80 - Davidson 60	1
Virginia Commonwealth 84 - Bucknell 74	0.786	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Bucknell 79	4
Washington State 83 - IUPUI 67	0.848	Washington State 72 - IUPUI 59	3
Weber State 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.95	Weber State 96 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	0
Western Kentucky 82 - Indiana State 67	0.839	Western Kentucky 81 - Indiana State 65	-1
Wichita State 84 - Oklahoma 74	0.755	Wichita State 83 - Oklahoma 91	18
Wyoming 81 - Texas Southern 68	0.832	Wyoming 72 - Texas Southern 66	7
Xavier 87 - East Tennessee State 63	0.951	Xavier 68 - East Tennessee State 66	22

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 88 - Vanderbilt 69	0.898	Arizona State 76 - Vanderbilt 64	7
Army 73 - Air Force 66	0.708	Army 79 - Air Force 54	-18
Baylor 93 - Savannah State 59	0.974	Baylor 118 - Savannah State 86	2
Boston 74 - Elon 71	0.588	Boston 69 - Elon 77	11
Boston College 80 - Central Connecticut State 61	0.895	Boston College 84 - Central Connecticut State 65	0
Bryant 70 - Siena 75	0.693	Bryant 68 - Siena 87	14
Colorado State 75 - Texas State 64	0.768	Colorado State 66 - Texas State 58	3
Delaware State 62 - Delaware 76	0.832	Delaware State 59 - Delaware 68	-5
Duquesne 77 - North Carolina AT 65	0.797	Duquesne 74 - North Carolina AT 58	-4
Eastern Washington 79 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.883	Eastern Washington 86 - Cal State Northridge 58	-13
Evansville 90 - Unranked 49		Evansville 79 - Unranked 52
Fairfield 64 - Old Dominion 74	0.763	Fairfield 77 - Old Dominion 82	-5
George Mason 67 - Penn State 76	0.762	George Mason 54 - Penn State 72	9
Georgia Tech 79 - Florida AM 56	0.956	Georgia Tech 79 - Florida AM 54	-2
Hampton 75 - Gardner Webb 71	0.64	Hampton 79 - Gardner Webb 80	5
Hawaii 74 - Utah Valley 71	0.585	Hawaii 70 - Utah Valley 69	2
High Point 68 - Wofford 73	0.619	High Point 57 - Wofford 70	8
Houston 84 - Prairie View 60	0.908	Houston 92 - Prairie View 72	4
La Salle 74 - Mercer 71	0.589	La Salle 95 - Mercer 85	-7
Lipscomb 81 - Abilene Christian 65	0.874	Lipscomb 67 - Abilene Christian 65	14
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Saint Peters 72	0.584	LIU Brooklyn 56 - Saint Peters 71	12
Miami OH 86 - Unranked 56		Miami OH 109 - Unranked 70
Montana 74 - UC Riverside 63	0.793	Montana 77 - UC Riverside 61	-5
Morehead State 73 - Central Arkansas 74	0.52	Morehead State 98 - Central Arkansas 94	-5
Nevada 85 - Radford 61	0.965	Nevada 77 - Radford 62	9
Omaha 90 - Unranked 63		Omaha 99 - Unranked 58
Providence 80 - Stony Brook 64	0.896	Providence 62 - Stony Brook 60	14
Sacred Heart 68 - Binghamton 69	0.504	Sacred Heart 48 - Binghamton 51	2
Saint Johns 82 - Iona 67	0.905	Saint Johns 69 - Iona 59	5
Saint Josephs 83 - Maine 62	0.945	Saint Josephs 72 - Maine 59	8
San Jose State 63 - South Dakota 77	0.896	San Jose State 62 - South Dakota 76	0
Southern California 79 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.722	Southern California 98 - UC Santa Barbara 87	-2
Southern Illinois 71 - Lamar 70	0.513	Southern Illinois 71 - Lamar 61	-9
Stanford 75 - San Francisco 70	0.668	Stanford 71 - San Francisco 59	-7
Tennessee 76 - North Carolina 78	0.546	Tennessee 73 - North Carolina 78	3
Tennessee Tech 74 - Chattanooga 66	0.708	Tennessee Tech 82 - Chattanooga 76	2
UMBC 70 - Northern Kentucky 76	0.683	UMBC 76 - Northern Kentucky 75	-7
UNC Asheville 80 - Western Carolina 66	0.86	UNC Asheville 72 - Western Carolina 76	18
UNC Wilmington 73 - Furman 78	0.641	UNC Wilmington 84 - Furman 90	1
Washington 83 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.865	Washington 80 - Loyola Marymount 78	12
William and Mary 96 - Unranked 59		William and Mary 126 - Unranked 69

Number of DI Games: 195
Number Correct: 151 = 77.4%
Expected Number Correct: 149.454 = 76.6%
Average Error: 8.7
Average Signed Error: 1

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 84 - Unranked 63		Alcorn State 83 - Unranked 56
American 73 - Mt St Marys 69	0.622	American 56 - Mt St Marys 59	7
Arizona 84 - North Dakota State 62	0.923	Arizona 83 - North Dakota State 53	-8
Arkansas Little Rock 82 - Unranked 57		Arkansas Little Rock 94 - Unranked 49
Coastal Carolina 73 - Wake Forest 78	0.645	Coastal Carolina 80 - Wake Forest 84	-1
Creighton 83 - Texas Arlington 70	0.842	Creighton 90 - Texas Arlington 81	4
Drexel 78 - Quinnipiac 66	0.777	Drexel 72 - Quinnipiac 71	11
East Carolina 74 - Charlotte 67	0.718	East Carolina 50 - Charlotte 69	26
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Norfolk State 65	0.809	Eastern Kentucky 83 - Norfolk State 66	-7
Florida State 92 - Charleston Southern 56	0.979	Florida State 69 - Charleston Southern 58	25
Fresno State 95 - Unranked 52		Fresno State 93 - Unranked 56
Gonzaga 93 - IUPUI 59	0.985	Gonzaga 101 - IUPUI 71	4
Grand Canyon 84 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.985	Grand Canyon 71 - Mississippi Valley State 38	-4
Green Bay 87 - Unranked 61		Green Bay 108 - Unranked 64
Idaho State 78 - Youngstown State 71	0.732	Idaho State 86 - Youngstown State 62	-17
Indiana 82 - IPFW 66	0.88	Indiana 72 - IPFW 92	36
Jacksonville State 82 - Howard 58	0.944	Jacksonville State 62 - Howard 60	22
Kansas 95 - Omaha 60	0.96	Kansas 109 - Omaha 64	-10
Kent State 69 - Northeastern 72	0.585	Kent State 69 - Northeastern 81	9
Lafayette 84 - Unranked 61		Lafayette 82 - Unranked 70
Marquette 87 - Northern Illinois 67	0.928	Marquette 79 - Northern Illinois 70	11
Michigan State 94 - Houston Baptist 56	0.973	Michigan State 107 - Houston Baptist 62	-7
Montana State 74 - Denver 67	0.702	Montana State 79 - Denver 65	-7
New Orleans 85 - Unranked 58		New Orleans 107 - Unranked 59
Saint Francis Penn 91 - Unranked 60		Saint Francis Penn 113 - Unranked 77
Samford 87 - Unranked 62		Samford 99 - Unranked 70
Santa Clara 67 - Valparaiso 75	0.694	Santa Clara 68 - Valparaiso 76	0
South Carolina Upstate 83 - Unranked 63		South Carolina Upstate 83 - Unranked 75
South Florida 72 - Northern Arizona 64	0.7	South Florida 70 - Northern Arizona 56	-6
Southern Methodist 73 - Boise State 69	0.617	Southern Methodist 86 - Boise State 63	-19
Texas 80 - Tennessee State 57	0.964	Texas 47 - Tennessee State 46	22
Texas Christian 90 - Texas Southern 64	0.962	Texas Christian 91 - Texas Southern 72	7
Tulane 85 - Nicholls State 70	0.896	Tulane 76 - Nicholls State 69	8
UL Monroe 86 - Unranked 57		UL Monroe 97 - Unranked 44
Western Michigan 73 - Idaho 69	0.599	Western Michigan 52 - Idaho 82	34

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 86 - Unranked 58		Abilene Christian 109 - Unranked 60
Alabama 82 - Mercer 70	0.848	Alabama 80 - Mercer 79	11
Arizona State 99 - Longwood 51	0.968	Arizona State 95 - Longwood 61	14
Arkansas 90 - Oral Roberts 63	0.914	Arkansas 104 - Oral Roberts 69	-8
Austin Peay 75 - Troy 72	0.577	Austin Peay 75 - Troy 73	1
Ball State 86 - North Florida 73	0.841	Ball State 79 - North Florida 65	-1
Butler 85 - Morehead State 59	0.951	Butler 85 - Morehead State 69	10
Canisius 71 - Elon 72	0.527	Canisius 67 - Elon 51	-17
Cincinnati 91 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 47	0.968	Cincinnati 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 49	16
Clemson 75 - South Carolina 68	0.705	Clemson 64 - South Carolina 48	-9
College of Charleston 82 - South Carolina State 58	0.964	College of Charleston 80 - South Carolina State 64	8
Colorado State 92 - Unranked 55		Colorado State 87 - Unranked 73
Detroit 71 - East Tennessee State 81	0.749	Detroit 73 - East Tennessee State 81	-2
Duquesne 71 - Lamar 68	0.578	Duquesne 65 - Lamar 64	2
Eastern Illinois 68 - Western Illinois 71	0.59	Eastern Illinois 78 - Western Illinois 77	-4
Florida International 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	0.638	Florida International 91 - Florida Gulf Coast 88	-9
Georgia 71 - Georgia Tech 64	0.707	Georgia 80 - Georgia Tech 59	-14
Holy Cross 67 - Iona 76	0.793	Holy Cross 68 - Iona 82	5
Illinois State 81 - Illinois Chicago 63	0.868	Illinois State 71 - Illinois Chicago 70	17
Iowa 84 - Southern Utah 72	0.839	Iowa 92 - Southern Utah 64	-16
Kennesaw St 66 - Georgia Southern 77	0.816	Kennesaw St 69 - Georgia Southern 78	-2
Louisiana State 82 - Sam Houston State 64	0.882	Louisiana State 80 - Sam Houston State 58	-4
Mcneese State 81 - Unranked 63		Mcneese State 84 - Unranked 68
Mississippi 83 - Texas AM CC 63	0.935	Mississippi 85 - Texas AM CC 63	-2
Missouri 80 - Stephen F Austin 66	0.838	Missouri 82 - Stephen F Austin 81	13
Missouri State 72 - Wright State 62	0.773	Missouri State 66 - Wright State 50	-6
Montana 74 - UC Irvine 67	0.754	Montana 86 - UC Irvine 68	-11
Murray State 74 - Auburn 78	0.615	Murray State 77 - Auburn 81	0
NC State 81 - Robert Morris 65	0.9	NC State 81 - Robert Morris 69	4
Nevada 81 - UC Davis 64	0.912	Nevada 88 - UC Davis 73	2
New Mexico 79 - Rice 65	0.822	New Mexico 78 - Rice 69	5
Niagara 79 - Cleveland State 69	0.787	Niagara 79 - Cleveland State 77	8
Northwestern 96 - Unranked 49		Northwestern 85 - Unranked 48
Notre Dame 88 - Dartmouth 55	0.979	Notre Dame 97 - Dartmouth 87	23
Ohio State 95 - The Citadel 59	0.985	Ohio State 94 - The Citadel 65	7
Oklahoma 97 - Northwestern State 60	0.964	Oklahoma 105 - Northwestern State 68	0
Oklahoma State 79 - Tulsa 68	0.783	Oklahoma State 71 - Tulsa 59	-1
Penn State 81 - Binghamton 59	0.942	Penn State 80 - Binghamton 65	7
Pittsburgh 85 - Delaware State 52	0.963	Pittsburgh 74 - Delaware State 68	27
Portland 76 - Hartford 67	0.747	Portland 78 - Hartford 67	-2
Richmond 72 - Bucknell 76	0.583	Richmond 78 - Bucknell 86	4
Sacramento State 74 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.827	Sacramento State 66 - Cal State Northridge 61	5
Saint Louis 74 - Campbell 61	0.788	Saint Louis 74 - Campbell 66	5
Saint Marys 77 - Dayton 67	0.789	Saint Marys 69 - Dayton 54	-5
San Francisco 74 - Radford 65	0.797	San Francisco 52 - Radford 41	-2
Seattle 74 - California 73	0.528	Seattle 59 - California 81	23
SIU Edwardsville 81 - Chicago State 66	0.849	SIU Edwardsville 88 - Chicago State 76	3
South Dakota State 83 - Drake 70	0.776	South Dakota State 87 - Drake 74	0
Southern California 82 - Princeton 65	0.885	Southern California 93 - Princeton 103	27
Southern Illinois 77 - North Carolina AT 61	0.847	Southern Illinois 102 - North Carolina AT 64	-22
Southern Methodist 84 - Cal Poly 56	0.961	Southern Methodist 84 - Cal Poly 64	8
Stetson 61 - Central Florida 76	0.851	Stetson 55 - Central Florida 74	4
Syracuse 79 - Buffalo 65	0.883	Syracuse 81 - Buffalo 74	7
Texas AM 82 - Northern Kentucky 61	0.905	Texas AM 64 - Northern Kentucky 58	15
Texas El Paso 79 - Incarnate Word 68	0.791	Texas El Paso 72 - Incarnate Word 66	5
Texas State 84 - Unranked 56		Texas State 85 - Unranked 43
Texas Tech 84 - Florida Atlantic 57	0.959	Texas Tech 90 - Florida Atlantic 54	-9
UC Santa Barbara 96 - Unranked 54		UC Santa Barbara 87 - Unranked 69
UCLA 81 - South Dakota 72	0.764	UCLA 85 - South Dakota 82	6
UL Lafayette 84 - Southeast Louisiana 64	0.909	UL Lafayette 82 - Southeast Louisiana 74	12
UMKC 68 - Central Michigan 74	0.677	UMKC 86 - Central Michigan 92	0
UNC Greensboro 76 - UNC Asheville 65	0.77	UNC Greensboro 60 - UNC Asheville 67	18
Virginia 95 - Savannah State 55	0.968	Virginia 78 - Savannah State 47	9
Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Winthrop 71	0.846	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Winthrop 55	0
Virginia Tech 90 - Presbyterian 59	0.963	Virginia Tech 63 - Presbyterian 55	23
Washington 88 - Bethune Cookman 63	0.939	Washington 106 - Bethune Cookman 55	-26
Weber State 78 - Pepperdine 70	0.732	Weber State 72 - Pepperdine 67	3
Western Carolina 74 - High Point 68	0.656	Western Carolina 61 - High Point 72	17
Western Kentucky 78 - Belmont 70	0.715	Western Kentucky 72 - Belmont 75	11
Wichita State 91 - Arkansas State 56	0.976	Wichita State 89 - Arkansas State 80	26
Wyoming 76 - Northern Colorado 66	0.764	Wyoming 84 - Northern Colorado 91	17
Xavier 91 - Marshall 68	0.934	Xavier 81 - Marshall 77	19

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 80 - New Orleans 63	0.854	Alabama Birmingham 74 - New Orleans 67	10
Baylor 88 - Southern 56	0.997	Baylor 80 - Southern 60	12
Central Connecticut State 75 - Maine 62	0.855	Central Connecticut State 84 - Maine 57	-14
Cornell 75 - Lafayette 67	0.703	Cornell 80 - Lafayette 71	-1
Creighton 94 - South Carolina Upstate 57	0.974	Creighton 116 - South Carolina Upstate 62	-17
Delaware 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	0.617	Delaware 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	-18
Duke 86 - Evansville 63	0.93	Duke 104 - Evansville 40	-41
Eastern Washington 90 - Unranked 58		Eastern Washington 94 - Unranked 66
Florida 89 - James Madison 62	0.955	Florida 72 - James Madison 63	18
Gardner Webb 87 - Unranked 60		Gardner Webb 102 - Unranked 41
George Washington 77 - New Hampshire 59	0.936	George Washington 68 - New Hampshire 64	14
Georgetown 79 - North Texas 69	0.775	Georgetown 75 - North Texas 63	-2
Hampton 75 - Appalachian State 78	0.585	Hampton 86 - Appalachian State 53	-36
Hofstra 79 - Manhattan 67	0.841	Hofstra 61 - Manhattan 63	14
Iowa State 90 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	0.982	Iowa State 55 - Maryland Eastern Shore 49	32
Jacksonville 73 - Northern Arizona 72	0.519	Jacksonville 72 - Northern Arizona 83	12
Louisville 81 - Albany 62	0.931	Louisville 70 - Albany 68	17
Massachusetts 73 - Georgia State 66	0.681	Massachusetts 63 - Georgia State 71	15
Memphis 79 - Siena 65	0.862	Memphis 70 - Siena 66	10
Mississippi State 80 - Arkansas Little Rock 54	0.951	Mississippi State 64 - Arkansas Little Rock 48	10
Nebraska 82 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.856	Nebraska 104 - Texas San Antonio 94	5
Nevada Las Vegas 94 - Mississippi Valley State 57	0.977	Nevada Las Vegas 95 - Mississippi Valley State 63	5
Nicholls State 91 - Unranked 64		Nicholls State 96 - Unranked 52
North Carolina 91 - Wofford 61	0.997	North Carolina 75 - Wofford 79	34
Oakland 73 - Towson 74	0.543	Oakland 97 - Towson 86	-12
Ohio 80 - Prairie View 68	0.788	Ohio 84 - Prairie View 65	-7
Oregon 90 - Central Arkansas 65	0.907	Oregon 96 - Central Arkansas 82	11
Providence 72 - Houston 75	0.579	Providence 59 - Houston 70	8
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Northeastern 64	0.8	Saint Bonaventure 84 - Northeastern 65	-7
Saint Johns 81 - Saint Josephs 68	0.84	Saint Johns 77 - Saint Josephs 73	9
SE Missouri State 69 - Bradley 74	0.655	SE Missouri State 67 - Bradley 75	3
Seton Hall 83 - Wagner 61	0.932	Seton Hall 89 - Wagner 68	1
Tennessee 81 - Furman 63	0.914	Tennessee 66 - Furman 61	13
Tennessee Martin 85 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Martin 84 - Unranked 76
Toledo 80 - Jackson State 62	0.916	Toledo 83 - Jackson State 57	-8
UC Riverside 62 - Valparaiso 74	0.772	UC Riverside 73 - Valparaiso 60	-25
UL Monroe 86 - Unranked 57		UL Monroe 74 - Unranked 51
Utah 89 - Northwestern State 60	0.933	Utah 84 - Northwestern State 62	7
Utah State 86 - Youngstown State 63	0.957	Utah State 91 - Youngstown State 74	6
Utah Valley 93 - Unranked 56		Utah Valley 84 - Unranked 56
Vanderbilt 85 - Houston Baptist 66	0.92	Vanderbilt 81 - Houston Baptist 48	-14
Washington State 70 - Kansas State 77	0.658	Washington State 65 - Kansas State 68	-4
West Virginia 94 - Coppin State 49	0.985	West Virginia 77 - Coppin State 38	6

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 83 - Connecticut 67	0.879	Arizona 73 - Connecticut 58	1
Brigham Young 86 - Idaho State 58	0.999	Brigham Young 85 - Idaho State 71	14
Butler 81 - Western Illinois 61	0.912	Butler 107 - Western Illinois 46	-41
California 79 - Portland State 78	0.536	California 81 - Portland State 106	26
Central Florida 84 - South Carolina State 55	0.966	Central Florida 89 - South Carolina State 64	4
Charleston Southern 83 - Unranked 62		Charleston Southern 102 - Unranked 58
Cincinnati 85 - Cleveland State 52	0.973	Cincinnati 81 - Cleveland State 62	14
DePaul 75 - Miami OH 64	0.821	DePaul 83 - Miami OH 66	-6
East Carolina 74 - Grambling State 66	0.73	East Carolina 76 - Grambling State 68	0
Eastern Illinois 85 - Unranked 58		Eastern Illinois 74 - Unranked 38
Florida State 85 - Southern Miss 59	0.951	Florida State 98 - Southern Miss 45	-27
Fordham 77 - Florida AM 60	0.947	Fordham 79 - Florida AM 69	7
Grand Canyon 84 - Longwood 53	0.975	Grand Canyon 86 - Longwood 56	1
Green Bay 73 - Bowling Green 74	0.508	Green Bay 78 - Bowling Green 81	2
Harvard 76 - Boston 66	0.815	Harvard 74 - Boston 63	-1
Idaho 75 - UC Irvine 64	0.762	Idaho 59 - UC Irvine 67	19
Indiana 81 - Tennessee Tech 69	0.815	Indiana 87 - Tennessee Tech 59	-16
IPFW 69 - Liberty 73	0.648	IPFW 75 - Liberty 64	-15
Jacksonville State 73 - Chattanooga 61	0.791	Jacksonville State 67 - Chattanooga 70	15
Kennesaw St 75 - Samford 70	0.652	Kennesaw St 71 - Samford 66	0
Kent State 70 - Oregon State 73	0.624	Kent State 79 - Oregon State 78	-4
Louisiana Tech 84 - Alabama State 61	0.959	Louisiana Tech 74 - Alabama State 62	11
Loyola MD 67 - Drexel 74	0.664	Loyola MD 66 - Drexel 62	-11
Marquette 88 - American 62	0.956	Marquette 92 - American 51	-15
Maryland 90 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.985	Maryland 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 50	5
Michigan 90 - Alabama AM 48	0.968	Michigan 97 - Alabama AM 47	-8
Michigan State 90 - Long Beach State 59	0.963	Michigan State 102 - Long Beach State 60	-11
Minnesota 86 - Oral Roberts 66	0.872	Minnesota 77 - Oral Roberts 63	6
Navy 70 - Lipscomb 72	0.554	Navy 64 - Lipscomb 73	7
North Dakota State 77 - UNC Wilmington 70	0.697	North Dakota State 100 - UNC Wilmington 63	-30
Northern Illinois 77 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.764	Northern Illinois 69 - Illinois Chicago 63	4
Notre Dame 85 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.948	Notre Dame 86 - Southeast Louisiana 50	-10
Omaha 76 - Montana State 75	0.522	Omaha 84 - Montana State 71	-12
Presbyterian 83 - Unranked 61		Presbyterian 77 - Unranked 60
Purdue 88 - Tennessee State 56	0.983	Purdue 97 - Tennessee State 48	-17
Rhode Island 81 - Iona 67	0.913	Rhode Island 80 - Iona 74	8
Sacramento State 71 - Portland 70	0.508	Sacramento State 75 - Portland 80	6
Saint Francis Penn 77 - Lehigh 75	0.557	Saint Francis Penn 84 - Lehigh 70	-12
San Diego State 74 - Gonzaga 79	0.615	San Diego State 72 - Gonzaga 70	-7
Santa Clara 74 - San Jose State 64	0.769	Santa Clara 63 - San Jose State 75	22
South Dakota 95 - Unranked 53		South Dakota 88 - Unranked 42
South Florida 71 - Charlotte 66	0.664	South Florida 78 - Charlotte 76	3
Stanford 66 - Kansas 84	0.856	Stanford 54 - Kansas 75	3
Stephen F Austin 94 - Unranked 53		Stephen F Austin 116 - Unranked 66
Texas AM 84 - Buffalo 64	0.908	Texas AM 89 - Buffalo 73	4
Texas Arlington 82 - Cal Poly 61	0.935	Texas Arlington 77 - Cal Poly 56	0
Texas El Paso 81 - Howard 61	0.911	Texas El Paso 69 - Howard 56	7
Troy 90 - Unranked 58		Troy 80 - Unranked 67
Tulane 78 - South Alabama 64	0.813	Tulane 77 - South Alabama 73	10
UNC Greensboro 92 - Unranked 51		UNC Greensboro 85 - Unranked 67
Vermont 83 - Quinnipiac 60	0.951	Vermont 80 - Quinnipiac 73	16

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 83 - Unranked 58		Air Force 111 - Unranked 68
Alabama 74 - Texas 72	0.589	Alabama 50 - Texas 66	18
Alabama State 60 - Liberty 79	0.913	Alabama State 70 - Liberty 87	-2
Arizona State 93 - Pacific 64	0.962	Arizona State 104 - Pacific 65	-10
Arkansas State 86 - Unranked 60		Arkansas State 99 - Unranked 68
Austin Peay 69 - Western Kentucky 79	0.771	Austin Peay 53 - Western Kentucky 72	9
Ball State 83 - Jackson State 60	0.948	Ball State 70 - Jackson State 54	7
Binghamton 75 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.824	Binghamton 66 - LIU Brooklyn 74	18
Brown 78 - Marist 68	0.762	Brown 90 - Marist 69	-11
Bucknell 78 - La Salle 75	0.575	Bucknell 88 - La Salle 81	-4
Campbell 86 - Unranked 59		Campbell 91 - Unranked 62
Central Michigan 82 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.905	Central Michigan 70 - SIU Edwardsville 52	0
Clemson 82 - UL Lafayette 68	0.832	Clemson 89 - UL Lafayette 60	-15
Coastal Carolina 72 - College of Charleston 70	0.555	Coastal Carolina 65 - College of Charleston 67	4
Colgate 88 - Unranked 57		Colgate 103 - Unranked 52
Coppin State 67 - Mt St Marys 71	0.621	Coppin State 53 - Mt St Marys 66	9
Dartmouth 74 - Bryant 69	0.704	Dartmouth 75 - Bryant 58	-12
Detroit 72 - Murray State 84	0.77	Detroit 72 - Murray State 81	-3
Drake 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.893	Drake 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	-5
Duquesne 68 - San Francisco 71	0.592	Duquesne 67 - San Francisco 65	-5
East Tennessee State 72 - Georgia Southern 70	0.576	East Tennessee State 79 - Georgia Southern 59	-18
Fairfield 74 - New Hampshire 64	0.807	Fairfield 78 - New Hampshire 68	0
Florida 91 - Incarnate Word 63	0.953	Florida 75 - Incarnate Word 60	13
Florida International 75 - Hartford 66	0.7	Florida International 72 - Hartford 79	16
George Mason 75 - Morgan State 64	0.763	George Mason 86 - Morgan State 79	4
Georgia 71 - Temple 72	0.517	Georgia 84 - Temple 66	-19
Georgia Tech 69 - Wright State 61	0.713	Georgia Tech 81 - Wright State 85	12
Hawaii 63 - Miami 76	0.882	Hawaii 57 - Miami 75	5
Hofstra 65 - Villanova 86	0.934	Hofstra 71 - Villanova 95	3
Howard 70 - UNC Wilmington 80	0.799	Howard 80 - UNC Wilmington 75	-15
Indiana State 76 - Elon 71	0.659	Indiana State 68 - Elon 73	10
Iowa 76 - Colorado 75	0.502	Iowa 80 - Colorado 73	-6
IUPUI 86 - Unranked 60		IUPUI 87 - Unranked 76
Louisiana State 89 - North Florida 73	0.852	Louisiana State 104 - North Florida 52	-36
Louisiana Tech 78 - IPFW 70	0.798	Louisiana Tech 85 - IPFW 76	-1
Loyola Marymount 76 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.652	Loyola Marymount 80 - Cal State Fullerton 88	12
Marshall 84 - Eastern Kentucky 67	0.901	Marshall 91 - Eastern Kentucky 71	-3
Massachusetts 82 - Maine 56	0.962	Massachusetts 74 - Maine 63	15
Milwaukee 71 - Western Michigan 68	0.564	Milwaukee 63 - Western Michigan 66	6
Minnesota 84 - Florida Atlantic 63	0.924
Mississippi 76 - Bradley 71	0.648	Mississippi 82 - Bradley 59	-18
Missouri State 72 - Loyola Ill 67	0.626	Missouri State 64 - Loyola Ill 59	0
NC State 89 - Jacksonville 60	0.989	NC State 116 - Jacksonville 64	-23
Nebraska 88 - Delaware State 51	0.988	Nebraska 85 - Delaware State 68	20
Nevada 81 - Southern Illinois 66	0.858	Nevada 86 - Southern Illinois 64	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 84 - Northern Colorado 66	0.876	Nevada Las Vegas 94 - Northern Colorado 91	15
New Mexico 78 - Prairie View 68	0.747	New Mexico 87 - Prairie View 78	1
New Mexico State 76 - Davidson 72	0.617	New Mexico State 69 - Davidson 68	3
NJ Tech 88 - Unranked 57		NJ Tech 99 - Unranked 53
Northern Iowa 69 - Xavier 74	0.635	Northern Iowa 67 - Xavier 77	5
Oakland 78 - Eastern Michigan 73	0.638	Oakland 86 - Eastern Michigan 81	0
Oklahoma 82 - Northwestern 70	0.745	Oklahoma 104 - Northwestern 78	-14
Oklahoma State 86 - Texas Pan American 62	0.94	Oklahoma State 102 - Texas Pan American 83	5
Old Dominion 82 - Norfolk State 56	0.958	Old Dominion 61 - Norfolk State 50	15
Penn State 83 - Rider 67	0.88	Penn State 70 - Rider 71	17
Pittsburgh 69 - Towson 70	0.511	Pittsburgh 63 - Towson 59	-5
Princeton 64 - Middle Tennessee 76	0.837	Princeton 67 - Middle Tennessee 69	-10
Providence 83 - Sacred Heart 57	0.958	Providence 89 - Sacred Heart 75	12
Radford 72 - North Carolina AT 65	0.711	Radford 66 - North Carolina AT 60	1
Rice 68 - Texas State 66	0.564	Rice 66 - Texas State 74	10
Robert Morris 74 - Canisius 65	0.744	Robert Morris 62 - Canisius 76	23
Rutgers 77 - Stony Brook 63	0.87	Rutgers 73 - Stony Brook 75	16
Saint Louis 75 - SE Missouri State 66	0.702	Saint Louis 78 - SE Missouri State 48	-21
Saint Marys 83 - UNC Asheville 65	0.892	Saint Marys 95 - UNC Asheville 69	-8
Sam Houston State 68 - Utah Valley 72	0.609	Sam Houston State 64 - Utah Valley 75	7
San Diego 91 - Unranked 51		San Diego 94 - Unranked 51
Siena 74 - Holy Cross 67	0.729	Siena 71 - Holy Cross 65	1
Southern California 79 - Akron 68	0.812	Southern California 84 - Akron 53	-20
Syracuse 74 - Saint Bonaventure 65	0.798	Syracuse 57 - Saint Bonaventure 60	12
Tennessee Martin 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.899	Tennessee Martin 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	10
Texas Christian 89 - William and Mary 69	0.88	Texas Christian 86 - William and Mary 75	9
Texas El Paso 70 - North Dakota State 68	0.552	Texas El Paso 51 - North Dakota State 63	14
Texas Tech 86 - Abilene Christian 56	0.966	Texas Tech 74 - Abilene Christian 47	3
UC Davis 70 - Lamar 67	0.58	UC Davis 77 - Lamar 68	-6
UC Riverside 83 - Unranked 58		UC Riverside 91 - Unranked 46
UMKC 70 - South Dakota State 79	0.709	UMKC 60 - South Dakota State 85	16
Vanderbilt 84 - Alcorn State 61	0.954	Vanderbilt 92 - Alcorn State 51	-18
Virginia 89 - Hampton 51	0.968	Virginia 82 - Hampton 48	4
Virginia Commonwealth 86 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.987	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Virginia Military Institute 65	16
Washington 80 - Montana 68	0.826	Washington 66 - Montana 63	9
Washington State 85 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.875	Washington State 86 - Bethune Cookman 58	-8
Weber State 89 - Unranked 57		Weber State 88 - Unranked 48
Wichita State 86 - Florida Gulf Coast 64	0.91	Wichita State 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	12
Yale 77 - Monmouth 73	0.647	Yale 64 - Monmouth 85	25

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 71 - Princeton 70	0.533	Akron 62 - Princeton 64	3
Alabama Birmingham 86 - Mississippi Valley State 57	0.953	Alabama Birmingham 74 - Mississippi Valley State 57	12
Auburn 81 - Connecticut 69	0.815	Auburn 89 - Connecticut 64	-13
Boston College 79 - Richmond 63	0.834	Boston College 78 - Richmond 73	11
Brigham Young 85 - Texas Southern 65	0.922	Brigham Young 73 - Texas Southern 52	-1
Cal State Northridge 70 - Idaho State 71	0.531	Cal State Northridge 55 - Idaho State 67	11
Chattanooga 66 - Georgia State 68	0.572	Chattanooga 48 - Georgia State 71	21
Cleveland State 68 - Toledo 74	0.677	Cleveland State 62 - Toledo 77	9
Colorado State 78 - Long Beach State 72	0.675	Colorado State 68 - Long Beach State 66	4
Cornell 77 - Niagara 76	0.534	Cornell 86 - Niagara 89	4
Dayton 74 - Wagner 63	0.807	Dayton 79 - Wagner 67	-1
Duquesne 69 - Southern Illinois 71	0.565	Duquesne 64 - Southern Illinois 74	8
Evansville 73 - Illinois State 68	0.622	Evansville 66 - Illinois State 72	11
George Washington 74 - Harvard 64	0.809	George Washington 58 - Harvard 48	0
Georgetown 87 - Alabama AM 57	0.975	Georgetown 89 - Alabama AM 49	-10
Hawaii 72 - Davidson 73	0.514	Hawaii 79 - Davidson 71	-9
Illinois Chicago 85 - Unranked 59		Illinois Chicago 84 - Unranked 45
Kentucky 80 - UCLA 73	0.733	Kentucky 75 - UCLA 83	15
Lamar 74 - North Carolina AT 64	0.759	Lamar 70 - North Carolina AT 74	14
Louisville 80 - Grand Canyon 63	0.883	Louisville 74 - Grand Canyon 56	-1
Memphis 82 - Loyola MD 60	0.954	Memphis 83 - Loyola MD 71	10
Miami 74 - New Mexico State 66	0.759	Miami 54 - New Mexico State 63	17
Minnesota 84 - Florida Atlantic 63	0.924	Minnesota 95 - Florida Atlantic 60	-14
Missouri 79 - Illinois 71	0.707	Missouri 64 - Illinois 70	14
Nevada 80 - San Francisco 66	0.87	Nevada 64 - San Francisco 66	16
North Carolina 82 - Ohio State 73	0.726	North Carolina 86 - Ohio State 72	-5
Sacramento State 64 - UC Santa Barbara 78	0.877	Sacramento State 72 - UC Santa Barbara 82	-4
Saint Peters 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	0.917	Saint Peters 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 68	13
Seattle 82 - Nicholls State 72	0.764	Seattle 95 - Nicholls State 89	4
Seton Hall 87 - Manhattan 60	0.964	Seton Hall 74 - Manhattan 62	15
Southern California 74 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.516	Southern California 89 - Middle Tennessee 84	-4
Southern Miss 61 - Mississippi State 76	0.843	Southern Miss 64 - Mississippi State 70	-9
UC Davis 71 - Radford 65	0.705	UC Davis 62 - Radford 72	16
UMass Lowell 73 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.584	UMass Lowell 73 - Central Connecticut State 76	5
Wake Forest 72 - Tennessee 77	0.655	Wake Forest 60 - Tennessee 79	14
West Virginia 87 - Fordham 57	0.953	West Virginia 86 - Fordham 69	13
Wisconsin 83 - Green Bay 60	0.939	Wisconsin 81 - Green Bay 60	2

Number of DI Games: 283
Number Correct: 222 = 78.4%
Expected Number Correct: 226.57 = 80%
Average Error: 10.47
Average Signed Error: 2.69

GAMES OF 12-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Davidson 76 - Akron 71	0.622	Davidson 91 - Akron 78	-8
Hawaii 73 - Princeton 70	0.583	Hawaii 63 - Princeton 77	17
Miami 72 - Middle Tennessee 67	0.653	Miami 84 - Middle Tennessee 81	2
New Mexico State 74 - Southern California 75	0.521	New Mexico State 72 - Southern California 77	4

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 86 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	0.924	Arkansas 95 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	-1
Boise State 79 - Colorado State 64	0.845	Boise State 93 - Colorado State 71	-7
Cal State Northridge 81 - Unranked 64		Cal State Northridge 93 - Unranked 63
DePaul 65 - Villanova 83	0.934	DePaul 85 - Villanova 103	0
Fresno State 73 - Nevada 77	0.606	Fresno State 65 - Nevada 80	11
Georgetown 71 - Butler 76	0.641	Georgetown 89 - Butler 91	-3
Georgia Tech 79 - Coppin State 54	0.942	Georgia Tech 76 - Coppin State 62	11
Grand Canyon 78 - Morgan State 63	0.862	Grand Canyon 100 - Morgan State 74	-11
Marquette 75 - Xavier 80	0.633	Marquette 87 - Xavier 91	-1
New Mexico 79 - Air Force 63	0.841	New Mexico 87 - Air Force 58	-13
Pennsylvania 86 - Delaware State 57	0.952	Pennsylvania 105 - Delaware State 52	-24
Rhode Island 82 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.861	Rhode Island 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	-4
South Carolina 96 - Unranked 49		South Carolina 74 - Unranked 45
Southern Methodist 75 - Central Florida 62	0.835	Southern Methodist 56 - Central Florida 51	8
Syracuse 80 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.926	Syracuse 62 - Eastern Michigan 47	3
Utah State 76 - San Jose State 61	0.914	Utah State 86 - San Jose State 72	1
Wisconsin 88 - Chicago State 53	0.986	Wisconsin 82 - Chicago State 70	23
Wyoming 70 - San Diego State 76	0.661	Wyoming 82 - San Diego State 69	-19

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 78 - Kent State 66	0.861	Albany 78 - Kent State 68	2
Austin Peay 78 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.818	Austin Peay 78 - SIU Edwardsville 58	-10
Bowling Green 91 - Unranked 60		Bowling Green 97 - Unranked 56
Brigham Young 84 - Portland 63	0.95	Brigham Young 69 - Portland 45	-3
Buffalo 82 - NJ Tech 67	0.91	Buffalo 86 - NJ Tech 81	10
Central Arkansas 78 - Texas AM CC 69	0.735	Central Arkansas 81 - Texas AM CC 69	-3
Delaware 75 - Cornell 69	0.666	Delaware 97 - Cornell 96	5
Denver 85 - Unranked 58		Denver 106 - Unranked 60
Drake 69 - Bradley 71	0.558	Drake 66 - Bradley 64	-4
East Tennessee State 94 - Unranked 52		East Tennessee State 84 - Unranked 65
Fairfield 71 - Saint Peters 68	0.614	Fairfield 70 - Saint Peters 61	-6
Gonzaga 90 - Pacific 64	0.946	Gonzaga 81 - Pacific 48	-7
Green Bay 79 - Detroit 76	0.579	Green Bay 95 - Detroit 83	-9
Indiana State 71 - Valparaiso 72	0.505	Indiana State 73 - Valparaiso 64	-10
IPFW 93 - Unranked 57		IPFW 99 - Unranked 93
Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 65		Jacksonville 81 - Unranked 60
Jacksonville State 76 - Eastern Kentucky 62	0.85	Jacksonville State 76 - Eastern Kentucky 58	-4
Lamar 78 - Houston Baptist 69	0.75	Lamar 86 - Houston Baptist 68	-9
Marshall 82 - Southern Miss 67	0.807	Marshall 85 - Southern Miss 66	-4
Mcneese State 71 - Incarnate Word 75	0.633	Mcneese State 85 - Incarnate Word 62	-27
Memphis 74 - Louisiana State 76	0.541	Memphis 61 - Louisiana State 71	8
Mercer 81 - Kennesaw St 66	0.92	Mercer 89 - Kennesaw St 56	-18
Milwaukee 71 - Oakland 74	0.56	Milwaukee 68 - Oakland 76	5
Murray State 80 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.902	Murray State 80 - Eastern Illinois 52	-10
New Orleans 70 - Abilene Christian 67	0.607	New Orleans 77 - Abilene Christian 74	0
Nicholls State 82 - Northwestern State 74	0.719	Nicholls State 87 - Northwestern State 46	-33
Northern Arizona 66 - Montana 77	0.797	Northern Arizona 69 - Montana 87	7
Northern Iowa 74 - Southern Illinois 62	0.787	Northern Iowa 53 - Southern Illinois 56	15
Northern Kentucky 80 - IUPUI 62	0.905	Northern Kentucky 77 - IUPUI 59	0
Quinnipiac 69 - Monmouth 78	0.757	Quinnipiac 78 - Monmouth 76	-11
Rutgers 80 - Hartford 59	0.917	Rutgers 58 - Hartford 60	23
Saint Johns 76 - Providence 68	0.728	Saint Johns 72 - Providence 94	30
Saint Marys 86 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.962	Saint Marys 87 - Loyola Marymount 59	-6
San Diego 70 - San Francisco 65	0.65	San Diego 73 - San Francisco 63	-5
Santa Clara 74 - Pepperdine 72	0.57	Santa Clara 72 - Pepperdine 65	-5
SE Missouri State 69 - Belmont 80	0.787	SE Missouri State 72 - Belmont 94	11
Seattle 79 - Grambling State 64	0.842	Seattle 93 - Grambling State 63	-15
Seton Hall 79 - Creighton 76	0.615	Seton Hall 90 - Creighton 84	-3
South Florida 61 - Houston 79	0.857	South Florida 60 - Houston 79	1
Southeast Louisiana 64 - Stephen F Austin 77	0.844	Southeast Louisiana 73 - Stephen F Austin 62	-24
Southern Utah 78 - Montana State 72	0.657	Southern Utah 99 - Montana State 104	11
Temple 79 - Tulane 69	0.755	Temple 75 - Tulane 85	20
Tennessee Martin 69 - Tennessee State 70	0.541	Tennessee Martin 63 - Tennessee State 60	-4
Tennessee Tech 79 - Morehead State 70	0.722	Tennessee Tech 69 - Morehead State 67	7
Texas El Paso 72 - North Texas 68	0.605	Texas El Paso 62 - North Texas 63	5
Texas San Antonio 80 - Rice 69	0.857	Texas San Antonio 79 - Rice 66	-2
Tulsa 80 - East Carolina 62	0.907	Tulsa 79 - East Carolina 53	-8
UC Irvine 65 - New Mexico State 76	0.797	UC Irvine 60 - New Mexico State 65	-6
UMKC 86 - Unranked 60		UMKC 89 - Unranked 58
UNC Wilmington 90 - Unranked 65		UNC Wilmington 101 - Unranked 60
Utah Valley 77 - UC Riverside 64	0.803	Utah Valley 90 - UC Riverside 82	5
Virginia Tech 89 - North Carolina AT 61	0.945	Virginia Tech 76 - North Carolina AT 59	11
Western Kentucky 78 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.796	Western Kentucky 69 - Louisiana Tech 68	8
Wright State 75 - Illinois Chicago 61	0.833	Wright State 65 - Illinois Chicago 61	10

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 90 - Unranked 55		Akron 86 - Unranked 49
Appalachian State 73 - Texas State 71	0.552	Appalachian State 66 - Texas State 62	-2
Arkansas Little Rock 65 - UL Lafayette 77	0.796	Arkansas Little Rock 63 - UL Lafayette 77	2
Arkansas State 71 - UL Monroe 69	0.558	Arkansas State 75 - UL Monroe 64	-9
Ball State 87 - Florida AM 60	0.986	Ball State 75 - Florida AM 54	6
Boston 71 - Army 74	0.604	Boston 90 - Army 82	-11
Bryant 66 - Robert Morris 75	0.8	Bryant 54 - Robert Morris 68	5
Bucknell 85 - American 64	0.929	Bucknell 84 - American 55	-8
Canisius 74 - Rider 75	0.517	Canisius 77 - Rider 76	-2
Central Connecticut State 73 - Saint Francis Penn 74	0.53	Central Connecticut State 72 - Saint Francis Penn 68	-5
Central Michigan 92 - Unranked 54		Central Michigan 91 - Unranked 73
Coastal Carolina 71 - Texas Arlington 77	0.694	Coastal Carolina 90 - Texas Arlington 65	-31
Eastern Michigan 92 - Unranked 56		Eastern Michigan 67 - Unranked 48
Florida Gulf Coast 93 - Unranked 57		Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Unranked 42
Hawaii 81 - Howard 59	0.949	Hawaii 84 - Howard 59	-3
Holy Cross 68 - Colgate 70	0.577	Holy Cross 74 - Colgate 79	3
Indiana 90 - Youngstown State 61	0.947	Indiana 79 - Youngstown State 51	1
Iowa 81 - Northern Illinois 65	0.877	Iowa 98 - Northern Illinois 75	-7
Iowa State 74 - Kansas State 71	0.569	Iowa State 75 - Kansas State 91	19
Kentucky 75 - Louisville 71	0.615	Kentucky 90 - Louisville 61	-25
Lafayette 69 - Lehigh 74	0.648	Lafayette 74 - Lehigh 79	0
LIU Brooklyn 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.684	LIU Brooklyn 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 82	17
Loyola MD 67 - Navy 72	0.654	Loyola MD 72 - Navy 63	-14
Marist 70 - Siena 75	0.633	Marist 63 - Siena 58	-10
Maryland 87 - UMBC 62	0.961	Maryland 66 - UMBC 45	4
Michigan State 90 - Cleveland State 50	0.968	Michigan State 111 - Cleveland State 61	-10
Nebraska 84 - Stetson 61	0.937	Nebraska 71 - Stetson 62	14
Niagara 77 - Iona 81	0.646	Niagara 93 - Iona 98	1
North Dakota 72 - Idaho 76	0.598	North Dakota 57 - Idaho 74	13
Northern Colorado 76 - Eastern Washington 68	0.734	Northern Colorado 88 - Eastern Washington 75	-5
Ohio 96 - Unranked 57		Ohio 65 - Unranked 58
Oklahoma State 74 - West Virginia 76	0.535	Oklahoma State 79 - West Virginia 85	4
Oregon 79 - Utah 71	0.678	Oregon 56 - Utah 66	18
Oregon State 72 - Colorado 73	0.501	Oregon State 76 - Colorado 57	-20
Pennsylvania 77 - Toledo 72	0.674	Pennsylvania 72 - Toledo 85	18
Prairie View 88 - Unranked 59		Prairie View 110 - Unranked 80
Sacred Heart 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.725	Sacred Heart 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 73	12
South Alabama 65 - Georgia State 71	0.667	South Alabama 86 - Georgia State 64	-28
Southern 85 - Unranked 60		Southern 98 - Unranked 57
Southern California 81 - Washington 73	0.691	Southern California 81 - Washington 88	15
Texas 70 - Kansas 74	0.605	Texas 86 - Kansas 92	2
Texas Tech 76 - Baylor 69	0.696	Texas Tech 77 - Baylor 53	-17
Troy 72 - Georgia Southern 74	0.546	Troy 80 - Georgia Southern 86	4
UCLA 83 - Washington State 70	0.806	UCLA 96 - Washington State 82	-1
Wagner 76 - Mt St Marys 65	0.802	Wagner 76 - Mt St Marys 57	-8

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 69 - Sam Houston State 65	0.67	Abilene Christian 75 - Sam Houston State 72	1
Alabama 70 - Texas AM 76	0.685	Alabama 79 - Texas AM 57	-28
Alabama Birmingham 71 - Middle Tennessee 75	0.614	Alabama Birmingham 60 - Middle Tennessee 63	-1
Arizona 81 - Arizona State 78	0.561	Arizona 84 - Arizona State 78	-3
Arkansas 78 - Tennessee 73	0.622	Arkansas 95 - Tennessee 93	3
Auburn 89 - Cornell 62	0.956	Auburn 98 - Cornell 77	6
Austin Peay 75 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.739	Austin Peay 70 - Eastern Illinois 54	-7
Binghamton 85 - Unranked 56		Binghamton 113 - Unranked 65
Brigham Young 74 - Saint Marys 73	0.519	Brigham Young 64 - Saint Marys 74	11
Butler 71 - Villanova 78	0.657	Butler 101 - Villanova 93	-15
Cal Poly 86 - Unranked 58		Cal Poly 73 - Unranked 40
Cal State Northridge 69 - Morgan State 72	0.588	Cal State Northridge 79 - Morgan State 69	-13
Charleston Southern 76 - Longwood 63	0.792	Charleston Southern 84 - Longwood 43	-28
Clemson 80 - NC State 68	0.807	Clemson 78 - NC State 62	-4
College of Charleston 69 - Towson 67	0.558	College of Charleston 73 - Towson 62	-9
Columbia 78 - Maine 65	0.871	Columbia 83 - Maine 71	1
Connecticut 67 - Wichita State 77	0.766	Connecticut 62 - Wichita State 72	0
Duke 85 - Florida State 72	0.735	Duke 100 - Florida State 93	6
Duquesne 68 - Dayton 72	0.606	Duquesne 70 - Dayton 62	-12
Elon 74 - Drexel 67	0.694	Elon 90 - Drexel 75	-8
Florida 78 - Vanderbilt 69	0.74	Florida 81 - Vanderbilt 74	2
Florida International 72 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.573	Florida International 58 - Florida Atlantic 57	2
Fresno State 81 - Air Force 58	0.928	Fresno State 71 - Air Force 59	11
Gardner Webb 68 - Liberty 73	0.643	Gardner Webb 58 - Liberty 55	-8
George Washington 75 - Saint Josephs 69	0.701	George Washington 70 - Saint Josephs 64	0
Gonzaga 92 - Santa Clara 60	0.957	Gonzaga 101 - Santa Clara 52	-17
Green Bay 71 - Oakland 82	0.804	Green Bay 80 - Oakland 79	-12
Houston 78 - Temple 70	0.689	Houston 76 - Temple 73	5
Houston Baptist 73 - New Orleans 72	0.552	Houston Baptist 57 - New Orleans 64	8
Illinois 77 - Grand Canyon 67	0.777	Illinois 62 - Grand Canyon 58	6
IPFW 93 - Unranked 57		IPFW 92 - Unranked 59
Jacksonville State 76 - Morehead State 65	0.749	Jacksonville State 76 - Morehead State 69	4
James Madison 69 - Northeastern 75	0.682	James Madison 70 - Northeastern 81	5
Kennesaw St 71 - Yale 74	0.632	Kennesaw St 74 - Yale 89	12
La Salle 71 - Saint Louis 66	0.613	La Salle 83 - Saint Louis 60	-18
Long Beach State 92 - Unranked 60		Long Beach State 77 - Unranked 59
Loyola Ill 71 - Evansville 65	0.646	Loyola Ill 66 - Evansville 59	-1
Manhattan 73 - Fairfield 69	0.63	Manhattan 61 - Fairfield 58	1
Marquette 81 - Georgetown 71	0.768	Marquette 74 - Georgetown 65	1
Marshall 80 - Louisiana Tech 76	0.62	Marshall 78 - Louisiana Tech 65	-9
Mcneese State 72 - Northwestern State 73	0.535	Mcneese State 72 - Northwestern State 63	-10
Michigan 91 - Jacksonville 52	0.976	Michigan 76 - Jacksonville 51	14
Milwaukee 79 - Detroit 68	0.745	Milwaukee 87 - Detroit 79	3
Minnesota 82 - Harvard 64	0.913	Minnesota 65 - Harvard 55	8
Mississippi State 84 - North Florida 63	0.903	Mississippi State 109 - North Florida 81	-7
Murray State 84 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.937	Murray State 87 - SIU Edwardsville 63	-3
Nevada 86 - New Mexico 68	0.89	Nevada 77 - New Mexico 74	15
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Boise State 75	0.583	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Boise State 83	12
New Hampshire 72 - Dartmouth 68	0.635	New Hampshire 83 - Dartmouth 66	-13
Nicholls State 80 - Incarnate Word 75	0.677	Nicholls State 77 - Incarnate Word 60	-12
North Carolina 88 - Wake Forest 68	0.884	North Carolina 73 - Wake Forest 69	16
North Carolina Central 86 - Unranked 59		North Carolina Central 75 - Unranked 55
North Dakota State 91 - Unranked 52		North Dakota State 99 - Unranked 50
Northern Arizona 70 - Montana State 73	0.582	Northern Arizona 73 - Montana State 76	0
Northern Kentucky 78 - Illinois Chicago 61	0.863	Northern Kentucky 86 - Illinois Chicago 51	-18
Northwestern 82 - Brown 62	0.877	Northwestern 95 - Brown 73	-2
Notre Dame 79 - Georgia Tech 63	0.834	Notre Dame 68 - Georgia Tech 59	7
Ohio State 83 - Miami OH 59	0.938	Ohio State 72 - Miami OH 59	11
Old Dominion 79 - Charlotte 59	0.916	Old Dominion 89 - Charlotte 58	-11
Oral Roberts 79 - Omaha 72	0.657	Oral Roberts 93 - Omaha 74	-12
Pacific 77 - Loyola Marymount 73	0.609	Pacific 88 - Loyola Marymount 82	-2
Penn State 85 - Coppin State 51	0.981	Penn State 88 - Coppin State 43	-11
Pittsburgh 64 - Miami 73	0.737	Pittsburgh 53 - Miami 67	5
Portland 68 - San Francisco 73	0.684	Portland 61 - San Francisco 84	18
Presbyterian 65 - Radford 70	0.65	Presbyterian 62 - Radford 78	11
Purdue 87 - Lipscomb 64	0.931	Purdue 98 - Lipscomb 66	-9
Rhode Island 82 - George Mason 61	0.956	Rhode Island 83 - George Mason 64	2
Richmond 70 - Davidson 75	0.617	Richmond 69 - Davidson 58	-16
Sacramento State 69 - Portland State 83	0.882	Sacramento State 80 - Portland State 75	-19
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Massachusetts 63	0.857	Saint Bonaventure 98 - Massachusetts 78	-5
Samford 68 - Chattanooga 70	0.555	Samford 73 - Chattanooga 56	-19
San Diego 80 - Pepperdine 63	0.9	San Diego 74 - Pepperdine 66	9
San Diego State 78 - Utah State 63	0.884	San Diego State 79 - Utah State 59	-5
San Jose State 66 - Colorado State 73	0.711	San Jose State 52 - Colorado State 59	0
Seattle 74 - UC Riverside 65	0.708	Seattle 95 - UC Riverside 71	-15
South Carolina Upstate 84 - Unranked 64		South Carolina Upstate 80 - Unranked 59
South Dakota 81 - Denver 61	0.935	South Dakota 82 - Denver 71	9
South Dakota State 98 - Unranked 55		South Dakota State 111 - Unranked 68
Southern Utah 74 - Montana 77	0.58	Southern Utah 49 - Montana 79	27
Stanford 77 - California 71	0.631	Stanford 74 - California 77	9
Stony Brook 81 - Norfolk State 60	0.947	Stony Brook 68 - Norfolk State 74	27
Tennessee Martin 66 - Belmont 79	0.805	Tennessee Martin 58 - Belmont 65	-6
Tennessee Tech 79 - Eastern Kentucky 67	0.832	Tennessee Tech 77 - Eastern Kentucky 69	4
Texas AM CC 68 - Lamar 69	0.551	Texas AM CC 72 - Lamar 77	4
Texas Christian 81 - Oklahoma 80	0.541	Texas Christian 89 - Oklahoma 90	2
Texas El Paso 75 - Rice 64	0.817	Texas El Paso 80 - Rice 62	-7
Texas Pan American 77 - Hampton 74	0.596	Texas Pan American 80 - Hampton 69	-8
Texas San Antonio 77 - North Texas 73	0.624	Texas San Antonio 71 - North Texas 72	5
The Citadel 76 - Western Carolina 78	0.561	The Citadel 79 - Western Carolina 81	0
UC Davis 91 - Unranked 53		UC Davis 89 - Unranked 62
UC Santa Barbara 96 - Unranked 54		UC Santa Barbara 81 - Unranked 49
UNC Asheville 80 - Campbell 66	0.845	UNC Asheville 85 - Campbell 79	8
UNC Greensboro 72 - Wofford 67	0.618	UNC Greensboro 71 - Wofford 67	1
UNC Wilmington 75 - Delaware 76	0.532	UNC Wilmington 56 - Delaware 58	1
Utah Valley 77 - Cal State Fullerton 71	0.665	Utah Valley 87 - Cal State Fullerton 78	-3
Virginia 78 - Boston College 59	0.908	Virginia 59 - Boston College 58	18
Virginia Commonwealth 81 - Fordham 63	0.943	Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Fordham 63	5
Virginia Military Institute 65 - Furman 76	0.795	Virginia Military Institute 57 - Furman 87	19
Weber State 75 - Idaho State 66	0.782	Weber State 60 - Idaho State 62	11
Western Kentucky 81 - Southern Miss 60	0.887	Western Kentucky 82 - Southern Miss 66	5
Western Michigan 84 - Chicago State 60	0.931	Western Michigan 92 - Chicago State 71	3
William and Mary 80 - Hofstra 76	0.595	William and Mary 90 - Hofstra 87	1
Winthrop 78 - High Point 68	0.722	Winthrop 76 - High Point 60	-6
Wisconsin 84 - UMass Lowell 60	0.95	Wisconsin 82 - UMass Lowell 53	-5
Wright State 77 - IUPUI 62	0.892	Wright State 60 - IUPUI 52	7
Xavier 85 - DePaul 64	0.946	Xavier 77 - DePaul 72	16

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 70 - Texas Arlington 81	0.745	Appalachian State 80 - Texas Arlington 76	-15
Arkansas Little Rock 65 - UL Monroe 66	0.524	Arkansas Little Rock 71 - UL Monroe 62	-10
Arkansas State 70 - UL Lafayette 80	0.736	Arkansas State 78 - UL Lafayette 88	0
Bradley 63 - Northern Iowa 68	0.627	Bradley 72 - Northern Iowa 53	-24
Bryant 69 - Saint Francis Penn 81	0.82	Bryant 82 - Saint Francis Penn 86	-8
Canisius 73 - Iona 74	0.559	Canisius 85 - Iona 78	-8
Central Arkansas 80 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.732	Central Arkansas 69 - Southeast Louisiana 73	15
Central Connecticut State 70 - Robert Morris 68	0.547	Central Connecticut State 57 - Robert Morris 71	16
Cincinnati 79 - Memphis 63	0.906	Cincinnati 82 - Memphis 48	-18
Coastal Carolina 75 - Texas State 67	0.73	Coastal Carolina 48 - Texas State 53	13
Creighton 82 - Providence 69	0.82	Creighton 83 - Providence 64	-6
East Carolina 61 - Central Florida 73	0.82	East Carolina 39 - Central Florida 59	8
Florida Gulf Coast 93 - Unranked 57		Florida Gulf Coast 62 - Unranked 54
Illinois State 79 - Indiana State 69	0.765	Illinois State 84 - Indiana State 81	7
Kentucky 78 - Georgia 68	0.762	Kentucky 66 - Georgia 61	5
LIU Brooklyn 73 - Mt St Marys 70	0.624	LIU Brooklyn 71 - Mt St Marys 57	-11
Maryland Eastern Shore 78 - Unranked 61		Maryland Eastern Shore 74 - Unranked 69
Mercer 73 - East Tennessee State 74	0.53	Mercer 55 - East Tennessee State 74	18
Michigan State 99 - Savannah State 58	0.968	Michigan State 108 - Savannah State 52	-15
Mississippi 75 - South Carolina 74	0.513	Mississippi 74 - South Carolina 69	-4
Niagara 78 - Rider 81	0.584	Niagara 76 - Rider 99	20
North Dakota 77 - Eastern Washington 76	0.51	North Dakota 64 - Eastern Washington 77	14
Northern Colorado 72 - Idaho 69	0.579	Northern Colorado 81 - Idaho 77	-1
Oregon 82 - Colorado 69	0.799	Oregon 77 - Colorado 62	-2
Oregon State 69 - Utah 75	0.67	Oregon State 64 - Utah 66	-4
Sacred Heart 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.622	Sacred Heart 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - Wagner 73	0.739	Saint Francis Brooklyn 82 - Wagner 75	-15
Saint Peters 71 - Monmouth 72	0.528	Saint Peters 77 - Monmouth 64	-14
SE Missouri State 71 - Tennessee State 72	0.51	SE Missouri State 77 - Tennessee State 65	-13
Seton Hall 78 - Saint Johns 69	0.758	Seton Hall 75 - Saint Johns 70	4
South Alabama 67 - Georgia Southern 71	0.611	South Alabama 69 - Georgia Southern 67	-6
Southern California 83 - Washington State 69	0.789	Southern California 89 - Washington State 71	-4
Southern Illinois 78 - Drake 68	0.743	Southern Illinois 67 - Drake 70	13
Southern Methodist 82 - South Florida 54	0.956	Southern Methodist 79 - South Florida 39	-12
Syracuse 76 - Virginia Tech 71	0.641	Syracuse 68 - Virginia Tech 56	-7
Troy 70 - Georgia State 74	0.608	Troy 68 - Georgia State 66	-6
Tulane 75 - Tulsa 72	0.58	Tulane 56 - Tulsa 65	12
UCLA 81 - Washington 73	0.705	UCLA 74 - Washington 53	-13
UMBC 91 - Unranked 60		UMBC 85 - Unranked 41
Valparaiso 68 - Missouri State 71	0.574	Valparaiso 50 - Missouri State 67	14
Western Illinois 87 - Unranked 59		Western Illinois 91 - Unranked 57

Number of DI Games: 238
Number Correct: 177 = 74.3%
Expected Number Correct: 175.114 = 73.5%
Average Error: 9.15
Average Signed Error: -0.82

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cleveland State 78 - Youngstown State 68	0.81	Cleveland State 77 - Youngstown State 80	13
Grambling State 76 - Alabama AM 64	0.831	Grambling State 64 - Alabama AM 71	19
Iowa State 69 - Texas 74	0.61	Iowa State 70 - Texas 74	-1
Jackson State 72 - Alabama State 65	0.712	Jackson State 82 - Alabama State 73	-2
Kansas State 73 - West Virginia 75	0.551	Kansas State 69 - West Virginia 77	6
Mississippi Valley State 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 65	0.742	Mississippi Valley State 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 80	15
Prairie View 82 - Alcorn State 65	0.91	Prairie View 76 - Alcorn State 64	5
Siena 75 - Quinnipiac 70	0.673	Siena 70 - Quinnipiac 71	6
Stetson 87 - Unranked 60		Stetson 94 - Unranked 88
Texas Southern 79 - Southern 69	0.765	Texas Southern 78 - Southern 66	-2

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 67 - Colgate 75	0.761	American 63 - Colgate 72	1
Army 78 - Loyola MD 66	0.811	Army 86 - Loyola MD 75	1
Ball State 78 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.753	Ball State 72 - Eastern Michigan 62	-2
Baylor 74 - Texas Christian 78	0.601	Baylor 78 - Texas Christian 81	-1
Bowling Green 75 - Miami OH 71	0.616	Bowling Green 72 - Miami OH 77	9
Bucknell 87 - Boston 69	0.929	Bucknell 79 - Boston 84	23
Buffalo 81 - Toledo 73	0.753	Buffalo 104 - Toledo 94	-2
Central Michigan 77 - Ohio 73	0.609	Central Michigan 75 - Ohio 50	-21
College of Charleston 76 - Delaware 62	0.89	College of Charleston 93 - Delaware 78	-1
Colorado State 67 - San Diego State 76	0.73	Colorado State 68 - San Diego State 77	0
DePaul 77 - Georgetown 73	0.642	DePaul 81 - Georgetown 90	13
Elon 72 - Towson 71	0.503	Elon 75 - Towson 72	-2
Green Bay 75 - IUPUI 69	0.724	Green Bay 63 - IUPUI 67	10
Harvard 67 - Vermont 73	0.742	Harvard 56 - Vermont 62	0
Iowa 69 - Michigan 73	0.628	Iowa 68 - Michigan 75	3
Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 66		Jacksonville 105 - Unranked 48
James Madison 75 - William and Mary 82	0.68	James Madison 76 - William and Mary 84	1
Kansas 78 - Texas Tech 71	0.651	Kansas 73 - Texas Tech 85	19
Kennesaw St 85 - Unranked 61		Kennesaw St 98 - Unranked 75
Lafayette 70 - Holy Cross 68	0.59	Lafayette 60 - Holy Cross 48	-10
Liberty 76 - Charleston Southern 63	0.751	Liberty 70 - Charleston Southern 53	-4
Louisville 78 - Pittsburgh 62	0.825	Louisville 77 - Pittsburgh 51	-10
Marist 66 - Manhattan 73	0.71	Marist 96 - Manhattan 101	-2
Maryland 75 - Penn State 67	0.768	Maryland 75 - Penn State 69	2
Mississippi State 73 - Arkansas 80	0.689	Mississippi State 78 - Arkansas 75	-10
Navy 74 - Lehigh 70	0.637	Navy 78 - Lehigh 66	-8
North Florida 91 - Unranked 65		North Florida 104 - Unranked 70
Northeastern 77 - Hofstra 69	0.756	Northeastern 70 - Hofstra 71	9
Northern Illinois 76 - Kent State 72	0.65	Northern Illinois 75 - Kent State 61	-10
Northwestern 76 - Nebraska 68	0.675	Northwestern 55 - Nebraska 70	23
Omaha 90 - Unranked 62		Omaha 100 - Unranked 60
South Carolina Upstate 71 - UMKC 74	0.598	South Carolina Upstate 77 - UMKC 79	-1
Tennessee 80 - Auburn 73	0.735	Tennessee 84 - Auburn 94	17
Texas AM 80 - Florida 69	0.748	Texas AM 66 - Florida 83	28
Texas Pan American 91 - Unranked 61		Texas Pan American 96 - Unranked 75
UNC Wilmington 72 - Drexel 77	0.631	UNC Wilmington 107 - Drexel 87	-25
Vanderbilt 72 - Alabama 76	0.594	Vanderbilt 76 - Alabama 75	-5
Western Michigan 76 - Akron 69	0.706	Western Michigan 87 - Akron 75	-5
Wisconsin 72 - Indiana 67	0.615	Wisconsin 71 - Indiana 61	-5
Xavier 81 - Butler 73	0.689	Xavier 86 - Butler 79	1

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Mcneese State 66	0.765	Abilene Christian 79 - Mcneese State 74	6
Albany 79 - Hartford 64	0.87	Albany 64 - Hartford 72	23
Bethune Cookman 78 - South Carolina State 74	0.605	Bethune Cookman 86 - South Carolina State 80	-2
Boise State 84 - New Mexico 66	0.862	Boise State 90 - New Mexico 62	-10
Boston College 68 - Clemson 74	0.677	Boston College 70 - Clemson 74	-2
Bradley 73 - Valparaiso 62	0.753	Bradley 80 - Valparaiso 71	2
Brown 75 - NJ Tech 71	0.657	Brown 70 - NJ Tech 69	3
Cal State Fullerton 78 - UC Riverside 65	0.82	Cal State Fullerton 68 - UC Riverside 65	10
Campbell 75 - Gardner Webb 73	0.56	Campbell 80 - Gardner Webb 82	4
Central Florida 73 - Memphis 60	0.867	Central Florida 65 - Memphis 56	4
Creighton 81 - Saint Johns 72	0.769	Creighton 78 - Saint Johns 71	2
Davidson 72 - Saint Louis 68	0.59	Davidson 54 - Saint Louis 51	1
Dayton 66 - Saint Bonaventure 74	0.778	Dayton 82 - Saint Bonaventure 72	-18
Delaware State 66 - North Carolina Central 76	0.723	Delaware State 62 - North Carolina Central 65	-7
Drake 74 - Illinois State 75	0.509	Drake 87 - Illinois State 62	-26
Duquesne 70 - George Washington 67	0.585	Duquesne 69 - George Washington 52	-14
Florida AM 72 - Howard 69	0.587	Florida AM 84 - Howard 76	-5
Florida State 79 - North Carolina 78	0.503	Florida State 81 - North Carolina 80	0
Fordham 71 - Richmond 67	0.632	Fordham 69 - Richmond 65	0
Georgia 79 - Mississippi 72	0.688	Georgia 71 - Mississippi 60	-4
Georgia Tech 62 - Miami 76	0.872	Georgia Tech 64 - Miami 54	-24
Grambling State 77 - Alabama State 67	0.765	Grambling State 66 - Alabama State 74	18
High Point 68 - UNC Asheville 73	0.629	High Point 84 - UNC Asheville 74	-15
Jackson State 72 - Alabama AM 63	0.797	Jackson State 59 - Alabama AM 56	6
Lipscomb 95 - Unranked 54		Lipscomb 99 - Unranked 53
Longwood 63 - Presbyterian 74	0.741	Longwood 65 - Presbyterian 78	2
Louisiana State 74 - Kentucky 79	0.602	Louisiana State 71 - Kentucky 74	-2
Loyola Ill 77 - Indiana State 67	0.752	Loyola Ill 57 - Indiana State 61	14
Massachusetts 76 - George Mason 65	0.817	Massachusetts 72 - George Mason 80	19
Minnesota 79 - Illinois 72	0.69	Minnesota 77 - Illinois 67	-3
Morgan State 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.713	Morgan State 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 82	6
Nevada 84 - Wyoming 69	0.856	Nevada 92 - Wyoming 83	6
New Orleans 71 - Lamar 70	0.501	New Orleans 72 - Lamar 62	-9
Norfolk State 72 - Coppin State 62	0.747	Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 67	2
North Dakota State 74 - South Dakota State 75	0.523	North Dakota State 80 - South Dakota State 87	6
Notre Dame 78 - NC State 72	0.67	Notre Dame 88 - NC State 58	-24
Oklahoma 85 - Oklahoma State 73	0.825	Oklahoma 109 - Oklahoma State 89	-8
Prairie View 76 - Southern 68	0.733	Prairie View 78 - Southern 74	4
Providence 76 - Marquette 75	0.529	Providence 90 - Marquette 95	6
Purdue 84 - Rutgers 60	0.925	Purdue 82 - Rutgers 51	-7
Radford 75 - Winthrop 71	0.631	Radford 85 - Winthrop 79	-2
Rhode Island 80 - La Salle 66	0.881	Rhode Island 74 - La Salle 62	2
Saint Josephs 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 79	0.685	Saint Josephs 87 - Virginia Commonwealth 81	-12
Sam Houston State 72 - Central Arkansas 74	0.568	Sam Houston State 82 - Central Arkansas 76	-8
San Jose State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 85	0.939	San Jose State 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 82	-14
South Carolina 71 - Missouri 73	0.545	South Carolina 68 - Missouri 79	9
South Dakota 83 - Western Illinois 64	0.863	South Dakota 62 - Western Illinois 50	7
South Florida 70 - East Carolina 63	0.725	South Florida 65 - East Carolina 67	9
Southern Illinois 71 - Evansville 64	0.654	Southern Illinois 65 - Evansville 63	5
Stephen F Austin 81 - Nicholls State 72	0.739	Stephen F Austin 81 - Nicholls State 64	-8
Stony Brook 79 - Maine 61	0.922	Stony Brook 71 - Maine 70	17
Texas AM CC 73 - Northwestern State 65	0.72	Texas AM CC 67 - Northwestern State 65	6
Texas Southern 84 - Alcorn State 66	0.928	Texas Southern 85 - Alcorn State 70	3
Tulsa 75 - Connecticut 67	0.741	Tulsa 90 - Connecticut 88	6
UMBC 78 - New Hampshire 66	0.842	UMBC 71 - New Hampshire 67	8
Utah State 72 - Fresno State 73	0.565	Utah State 81 - Fresno State 79	-3
Virginia Tech 68 - Virginia 72	0.614	Virginia Tech 52 - Virginia 78	22
Wake Forest 67 - Syracuse 72	0.672	Wake Forest 73 - Syracuse 67	-11

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 76 - Tennessee Martin 64	0.813	Austin Peay 75 - Tennessee Martin 69	6
Belmont 81 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.86	Belmont 80 - Tennessee Tech 67	1
Cal Poly 66 - UC Santa Barbara 81	0.873	Cal Poly 80 - UC Santa Barbara 79	-16
California 74 - Southern California 81	0.671	California 62 - Southern California 80	11
Chattanooga 71 - Western Carolina 66	0.612	Chattanooga 63 - Western Carolina 75	17
Cleveland State 72 - Green Bay 71	0.512	Cleveland State 80 - Green Bay 79	0
Colorado 70 - Arizona State 86	0.861	Colorado 90 - Arizona State 81	-25
Eastern Kentucky 74 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.674	Eastern Kentucky 82 - SIU Edwardsville 85	7
Eastern Washington 76 - Portland State 80	0.612	Eastern Washington 81 - Portland State 74	-11
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Central Connecticut State 72	0.531	Fairleigh Dickinson 81 - Central Connecticut State 77	-5
Florida Atlantic 67 - Alabama Birmingham 75	0.726	Florida Atlantic 44 - Alabama Birmingham 75	23
Florida International 64 - Middle Tennessee 80	0.871	Florida International 66 - Middle Tennessee 71	-11
Furman 91 - The Citadel 64	0.965	Furman 107 - The Citadel 67	-13
Georgia Southern 82 - Arkansas State 66	0.887	Georgia Southern 80 - Arkansas State 49	-15
Georgia State 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 58	0.85	Georgia State 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	8
Idaho 77 - Sacramento State 61	0.845	Idaho 69 - Sacramento State 68	15
Idaho State 76 - Southern Utah 72	0.655	Idaho State 93 - Southern Utah 78	-11
Iowa 72 - Ohio State 76	0.613	Iowa 81 - Ohio State 92	7
IUPUI 72 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.593	IUPUI 65 - Illinois Chicago 70	8
Long Beach State 74 - Hawaii 75	0.542	Long Beach State 89 - Hawaii 81	-9
Louisiana Tech 80 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.836	Louisiana Tech 76 - Texas San Antonio 78	10
Loyola Marymount 79 - Santa Clara 68	0.792	Loyola Marymount 49 - Santa Clara 65	27
Michigan State 78 - Maryland 66	0.865	Michigan State 91 - Maryland 61	-18
Missouri State 72 - Northern Iowa 61	0.768	Missouri State 62 - Northern Iowa 55	4
Montana 84 - North Dakota 64	0.91	Montana 109 - North Dakota 79	-10
Montana State 71 - Northern Colorado 77	0.692	Montana State 76 - Northern Colorado 64	-18
Morehead State 73 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.693	Morehead State 52 - Eastern Illinois 61	15
Mt St Marys 75 - Bryant 65	0.836	Mt St Marys 96 - Bryant 80	-6
Murray State 85 - SE Missouri State 65	0.908	Murray State 89 - SE Missouri State 73	4
North Texas 78 - Charlotte 63	0.869	North Texas 68 - Charlotte 70	17
Oral Roberts 76 - IPFW 74	0.546	Oral Roberts 76 - IPFW 60	-14
Pepperdine 66 - Gonzaga 90	0.937	Pepperdine 59 - Gonzaga 89	6
Portland 65 - San Diego 76	0.872	Portland 74 - San Diego 81	-4
Rice 58 - Old Dominion 79	0.935	Rice 75 - Old Dominion 82	-14
Robert Morris 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.875	Robert Morris 80 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 79	12
Saint Francis Penn 81 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.806	Saint Francis Penn 85 - LIU Brooklyn 68	-7
Saint Marys 86 - Pacific 62	0.96	Saint Marys 74 - Pacific 56	6
Samford 64 - East Tennessee State 80	0.839	Samford 72 - East Tennessee State 90	2
San Francisco 69 - Brigham Young 71	0.563	San Francisco 59 - Brigham Young 69	8
Southern Miss 69 - Texas El Paso 68	0.523	Southern Miss 85 - Texas El Paso 75	-9
Stanford 71 - UCLA 79	0.74	Stanford 107 - UCLA 99	-16
Temple 70 - Cincinnati 75	0.636	Temple 53 - Cincinnati 55	-3
Tennessee State 66 - Jacksonville State 70	0.619	Tennessee State 67 - Jacksonville State 60	-11
Texas Arlington 80 - Troy 70	0.737	Texas Arlington 86 - Troy 76	0
Texas State 66 - South Alabama 67	0.54	Texas State 72 - South Alabama 69	-4
Tulane 69 - Southern Methodist 75	0.682	Tulane 73 - Southern Methodist 70	-9
UC Davis 75 - UC Irvine 64	0.825	UC Davis 64 - UC Irvine 53	0
UL Lafayette 86 - Appalachian State 69	0.825	UL Lafayette 78 - Appalachian State 45	-16
UL Monroe 67 - Coastal Carolina 75	0.689	UL Monroe 82 - Coastal Carolina 72	-18
UMass Lowell 67 - Vermont 81	0.892	UMass Lowell 77 - Vermont 88	-3
Utah 73 - Arizona 76	0.607	Utah 82 - Arizona 94	9
Wagner 77 - Sacred Heart 64	0.85	Wagner 69 - Sacred Heart 63	7
Weber State 77 - Northern Arizona 65	0.826	Weber State 95 - Northern Arizona 55	-28
Wichita State 78 - Houston 71	0.677	Wichita State 81 - Houston 63	-11
Wofford 80 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0.873	Wofford 92 - Virginia Military Institute 53	-20
Youngstown State 65 - Milwaukee 77	0.788	Youngstown State 72 - Milwaukee 63	-21

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 75 - Bucknell 80	0.63	Army 66 - Bucknell 83	12
Colgate 78 - Lafayette 64	0.882	Colgate 68 - Lafayette 71	17
Cornell 90 - Unranked 61		Cornell 93 - Unranked 69
Delaware 74 - William and Mary 78	0.607	Delaware 65 - William and Mary 90	21
Detroit 70 - Wright State 79	0.788	Detroit 73 - Wright State 80	-2
Drexel 66 - College of Charleston 72	0.681	Drexel 87 - College of Charleston 82	-11
Hofstra 82 - James Madison 69	0.912	Hofstra 87 - James Madison 81	7
Iona 77 - Saint Peters 68	0.795	Iona 73 - Saint Peters 69	5
Lehigh 77 - Holy Cross 67	0.851	Lehigh 83 - Holy Cross 77	4
Loyola MD 73 - Boston 72	0.537	Loyola MD 68 - Boston 65	-2
Monmouth 73 - Manhattan 70	0.625	Monmouth 77 - Manhattan 66	-8
Navy 75 - American 62	0.867	Navy 70 - American 64	7
Northeastern 76 - Elon 67	0.746	Northeastern 72 - Elon 60	-3
Oakland 74 - Northern Kentucky 75	0.505	Oakland 83 - Northern Kentucky 87	3
Oregon State 71 - Oregon 76	0.638	Oregon State 76 - Oregon 64	-17
Penn State 74 - Northwestern 69	0.62	Penn State 78 - Northwestern 63	-10
Pennsylvania 75 - Princeton 72	0.564
Quinnipiac 68 - Canisius 75	0.679	Quinnipiac 74 - Canisius 82	1
Rider 81 - Fairfield 70	0.781	Rider 96 - Fairfield 77	-8
Rutgers 68 - Wisconsin 66	0.561	Rutgers 64 - Wisconsin 60	-2
Siena 78 - Niagara 77	0.535	Siena 76 - Niagara 84	9
Toledo 80 - Akron 69	0.822	Toledo 67 - Akron 65	9
Towson 86 - UNC Wilmington 63	0.943	Towson 89 - UNC Wilmington 71	5

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 72 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.603	Abilene Christian 70 - Southeast Louisiana 72	5
Air Force 58 - Nevada 85	0.96	Air Force 75 - Nevada 86	-16
Alabama AM 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	0.634	Alabama AM 62 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	11
Alabama State 72 - Mississippi Valley State 68	0.637	Alabama State 63 - Mississippi Valley State 46	-13
Alcorn State 71 - Jackson State 68	0.579	Alcorn State 55 - Jackson State 60	8
Auburn 80 - Arkansas 81	0.514	Auburn 88 - Arkansas 77	-12
Austin Peay 79 - SE Missouri State 69	0.764	Austin Peay 76 - SE Missouri State 71	5
Ball State 78 - Buffalo 76	0.579	Ball State 63 - Buffalo 83	22
Baylor 72 - Texas 71	0.532	Baylor 69 - Texas 60	-8
Belmont 77 - Jacksonville State 66	0.779	Belmont 60 - Jacksonville State 64	15
Binghamton 75 - Maine 59	0.911	Binghamton 73 - Maine 76	19
Boston College 77 - Wake Forest 71	0.66	Boston College 77 - Wake Forest 71	0
Butler 78 - Seton Hall 75	0.575	Butler 87 - Seton Hall 90	6
Cal Poly 69 - Cal State Fullerton 75	0.691	Cal Poly 97 - Cal State Fullerton 101	-2
Cal State Northridge 63 - Hawaii 78	0.923	Cal State Northridge 46 - Hawaii 65	4
California 72 - UCLA 81	0.701	California 84 - UCLA 107	14
Campbell 73 - Winthrop 80	0.687	Campbell 88 - Winthrop 77	-18
Chattanooga 60 - East Tennessee State 74	0.81	Chattanooga 66 - East Tennessee State 85	5
Chicago State 58 - New Mexico State 88	0.964	Chicago State 60 - New Mexico State 97	7
Clemson 76 - Louisville 65	0.766	Clemson 74 - Louisville 69	6
Cleveland State 64 - Milwaukee 70	0.673	Cleveland State 63 - Milwaukee 67	-2
Colorado 69 - Arizona 82	0.836	Colorado 80 - Arizona 77	-16
Colorado State 71 - Fresno State 73	0.591	Colorado State 79 - Fresno State 82	1
Columbia 88 - Unranked 62		Columbia 87 - Unranked 42
Connecticut 79 - East Carolina 59	0.942	Connecticut 70 - East Carolina 65	15
Coppin State 73 - Savannah State 77	0.636	Coppin State 71 - Savannah State 80	5
Dayton 72 - Massachusetts 66	0.691	Dayton 60 - Massachusetts 62	8
Delaware State 71 - South Carolina State 75	0.591	Delaware State 60 - South Carolina State 63	-1
Denver 70 - IPFW 76	0.668	Denver 63 - IPFW 82	13
Eastern Kentucky 70 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.626	Eastern Kentucky 53 - Eastern Illinois 54	4
Eastern Michigan 80 - Bowling Green 70	0.771	Eastern Michigan 71 - Bowling Green 75	14
Eastern Washington 76 - Sacramento State 66	0.802	Eastern Washington 82 - Sacramento State 67	-5
Evansville 65 - Bradley 66	0.519	Evansville 68 - Bradley 44	-25
Florida Atlantic 62 - Middle Tennessee 78	0.921	Florida Atlantic 57 - Middle Tennessee 61	-12
Florida Gulf Coast 81 - Stetson 68	0.808	Florida Gulf Coast 90 - Stetson 52	-25
Florida International 69 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.688	Florida International 64 - Alabama Birmingham 75	3
Fordham 68 - Duquesne 71	0.582	Fordham 41 - Duquesne 64	20
Furman 80 - Mercer 70	0.753	Furman 74 - Mercer 71	7
George Washington 67 - Rhode Island 74	0.805	George Washington 60 - Rhode Island 81	14
Georgetown 75 - Creighton 82	0.744	Georgetown 66 - Creighton 90	17
Georgia 74 - Alabama 73	0.514	Georgia 65 - Alabama 46	-18
Georgia Southern 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 59	0.914	Georgia Southern 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	16
Georgia State 78 - Arkansas State 65	0.812	Georgia State 79 - Arkansas State 75	9
Georgia Tech 74 - Yale 68	0.676	Georgia Tech 74 - Yale 60	-8
Hartford 73 - Stony Brook 72	0.504	Hartford 61 - Stony Brook 63	3
Harvard 78 - Dartmouth 62	0.906	Harvard 61 - Dartmouth 51	6
High Point 71 - Charleston Southern 66	0.594	High Point 80 - Charleston Southern 59	-16
Houston Baptist 75 - Nicholls State 81	0.685	Houston Baptist 71 - Nicholls State 72	-5
Howard 75 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.6	Howard 87 - Bethune Cookman 92	9
Idaho 77 - Portland State 75	0.546	Idaho 72 - Portland State 73	3
Idaho State 77 - Northern Arizona 64	0.843	Idaho State 64 - Northern Arizona 60	9
Incarnate Word 68 - Sam Houston State 69	0.547	Incarnate Word 74 - Sam Houston State 85	10
Indiana State 76 - Drake 73	0.607	Indiana State 72 - Drake 75	6
Kennesaw St 67 - Lipscomb 80	0.853	Kennesaw St 71 - Lipscomb 86	2
Kent State 69 - Central Michigan 74	0.674	Kent State 85 - Central Michigan 69	-21
La Salle 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.51	La Salle 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 80	5
Lamar 79 - Central Arkansas 73	0.664	Lamar 91 - Central Arkansas 100	15
Liberty 77 - Presbyterian 63	0.821	Liberty 60 - Presbyterian 48	2
Longwood 63 - Gardner Webb 76	0.794	Longwood 79 - Gardner Webb 73	-19
Louisiana Tech 76 - Texas El Paso 65	0.811	Louisiana Tech 97 - Texas El Paso 88	2
Loyola Marymount 69 - Gonzaga 88	0.911	Loyola Marymount 66 - Gonzaga 85	0
Marshall 77 - Western Kentucky 78	0.555	Marshall 87 - Western Kentucky 112	24
Maryland Eastern Shore 65 - Hampton 74	0.717	Maryland Eastern Shore 92 - Hampton 83	-18
Mcneese State 68 - New Orleans 71	0.599	Mcneese State 75 - New Orleans 82	4
Memphis 69 - Tulsa 72	0.604	Memphis 76 - Tulsa 67	-12
Miami OH 72 - Western Michigan 71	0.512	Miami OH 62 - Western Michigan 67	6
Michigan 75 - Illinois 66	0.758	Michigan 79 - Illinois 69	-1
Minnesota 80 - Indiana 69	0.748	Minnesota 71 - Indiana 75	15
Mississippi 76 - Mississippi State 75	0.524	Mississippi 64 - Mississippi State 58	-5
Missouri 78 - Florida 72	0.65	Missouri 75 - Florida 77	8
Montana 74 - Northern Colorado 71	0.611	Montana 89 - Northern Colorado 80	-6
Montana State 80 - North Dakota 70	0.762	Montana State 79 - North Dakota 68	-1
Morehead State 77 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.729	Morehead State 65 - SIU Edwardsville 70	12
Morgan State 76 - Florida AM 69	0.713	Morgan State 87 - Florida AM 68	-12
Mt St Marys 67 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.659	Mt St Marys 78 - Central Connecticut State 51	-31
Murray State 82 - Tennessee Martin 61	0.93	Murray State 82 - Tennessee Martin 68	7
NC State 74 - Duke 87	0.764	NC State 96 - Duke 85	-24
Nevada Las Vegas 86 - Utah State 70	0.906	Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Utah State 85	23
New Hampshire 65 - Albany 75	0.851	New Hampshire 64 - Albany 61	-13
New Mexico 81 - San Jose State 63	0.898	New Mexico 80 - San Jose State 47	-15
NJ Tech 81 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.892	NJ Tech 98 - South Carolina Upstate 87	6
North Carolina AT 77 - Norfolk State 65	0.796
North Florida 84 - Jacksonville 71	0.79	North Florida 86 - Jacksonville 90	17
North Texas 66 - Old Dominion 72	0.663	North Texas 60 - Old Dominion 63	-3
Northwestern State 63 - Stephen F Austin 80	0.855	Northwestern State 56 - Stephen F Austin 64	-9
Ohio 84 - Northern Illinois 70	0.83	Ohio 78 - Northern Illinois 68	4
Oklahoma State 79 - Iowa State 69	0.747	Oklahoma State 96 - Iowa State 87	1
Omaha 73 - South Dakota State 85	0.782	Omaha 88 - South Dakota State 101	1
Oral Roberts 78 - Western Illinois 69	0.67	Oral Roberts 81 - Western Illinois 66	-6
Pacific 67 - Brigham Young 78	0.805	Pacific 67 - Brigham Young 66	-12
Pennsylvania 75 - Princeton 72	0.564	Pennsylvania 76 - Princeton 70	-3
Pepperdine 66 - San Francisco 77	0.831	Pepperdine 67 - San Francisco 80	2
Providence 72 - Xavier 80	0.711	Providence 81 - Xavier 72	-17
Purdue 86 - Nebraska 64	0.916	Purdue 74 - Nebraska 62	10
Radford 73 - UNC Asheville 69	0.638	Radford 90 - UNC Asheville 70	-16
Rice 71 - Charlotte 70	0.526	Rice 73 - Charlotte 64	-8
Robert Morris 78 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.871	Robert Morris 88 - LIU Brooklyn 79	4
Sacred Heart 76 - Bryant 65	0.881	Sacred Heart 74 - Bryant 79	16
Saint Francis Penn 79 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	0.812	Saint Francis Penn 91 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 87	6
Saint Johns 78 - DePaul 68	0.811	Saint Johns 74 - DePaul 91	27
Saint Josephs 69 - Saint Bonaventure 80	0.827	Saint Josephs 85 - Saint Bonaventure 78	-18
Saint Louis 71 - Richmond 61	0.692	Saint Louis 69 - Richmond 62	3
Saint Marys 78 - San Diego 65	0.87	Saint Marys 70 - San Diego 63	6
Samford 75 - Western Carolina 72	0.602	Samford 85 - Western Carolina 71	-11
Santa Clara 71 - Portland 72	0.527	Santa Clara 70 - Portland 68	-3
Seattle 74 - Grand Canyon 72	0.549	Seattle 57 - Grand Canyon 73	18
South Carolina 75 - Vanderbilt 68	0.725	South Carolina 71 - Vanderbilt 60	-4
South Dakota 76 - North Dakota State 67	0.752	South Dakota 79 - North Dakota State 84	14
Southern 75 - Grambling State 67	0.692	Southern 80 - Grambling State 69	-3
Southern Miss 73 - Texas San Antonio 74	0.533	Southern Miss 93 - Texas San Antonio 83	-11
Syracuse 72 - Notre Dame 64	0.737	Syracuse 49 - Notre Dame 51	10
Tennessee 77 - Kentucky 71	0.676	Tennessee 76 - Kentucky 65	-5
Tennessee State 70 - Tennessee Tech 72	0.547	Tennessee State 81 - Tennessee Tech 87	4
Texas AM 82 - Louisiana State 68	0.772	Texas AM 68 - Louisiana State 69	15
Texas Arlington 75 - South Alabama 67	0.669	Texas Arlington 91 - South Alabama 67	-16
Texas Christian 77 - Kansas 78	0.511	Texas Christian 84 - Kansas 88	3
Texas Southern 77 - Prairie View 72	0.671	Texas Southern 100 - Prairie View 94	-1
Texas State 71 - Troy 70	0.516	Texas State 57 - Troy 56	0
Texas Tech 77 - Kansas State 65	0.837	Texas Tech 74 - Kansas State 58	-4
UC Irvine 76 - Long Beach State 71	0.646	UC Irvine 86 - Long Beach State 73	-8
UC Santa Barbara 83 - UC Riverside 62	0.928	UC Santa Barbara 65 - UC Riverside 57	13
UL Lafayette 82 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.798	UL Lafayette 81 - Coastal Carolina 64	-5
UL Monroe 71 - Appalachian State 74	0.577	UL Monroe 73 - Appalachian State 79	3
UMKC 73 - Texas Pan American 74	0.506	UMKC 61 - Texas Pan American 73	11
Utah Valley 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.794	Utah Valley 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 42	-21
Valparaiso 69 - Southern Illinois 70	0.534	Valparaiso 83 - Southern Illinois 72	-12
Vermont 81 - UMBC 67	0.91	Vermont 71 - UMBC 56	-1
Villanova 87 - Marquette 70	0.884	Villanova 100 - Marquette 90	7
Virginia 73 - North Carolina 69	0.62	Virginia 61 - North Carolina 49	-8
Virginia Military Institute 61 - UNC Greensboro 75	0.828	Virginia Military Institute 61 - UNC Greensboro 63	-12
Virginia Tech 81 - Pittsburgh 65	0.848	Virginia Tech 81 - Pittsburgh 67	2
Wagner 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.791	Wagner 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	4
Washington State 74 - Washington 76	0.557	Washington State 65 - Washington 70	3
Weber State 77 - Southern Utah 73	0.642	Weber State 92 - Southern Utah 76	-12
West Virginia 82 - Oklahoma 80	0.551	West Virginia 89 - Oklahoma 76	-11
Wofford 88 - The Citadel 66	0.926	Wofford 109 - The Citadel 92	5
Wyoming 72 - Boise State 77	0.624	Wyoming 79 - Boise State 78	-6
Youngstown State 72 - Green Bay 78	0.677	Youngstown State 85 - Green Bay 74	-17

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Florida 71 - Temple 66	0.637	Central Florida 60 - Temple 39	-16
Cincinnati 72 - Southern Methodist 68	0.623	Cincinnati 76 - Southern Methodist 56	-16
Delaware 81 - UNC Wilmington 67	0.854	Delaware 96 - UNC Wilmington 76	-6
Detroit 69 - Northern Kentucky 84	0.86	Detroit 54 - Northern Kentucky 56	-13
Drexel 74 - William and Mary 79	0.612	Drexel 63 - William and Mary 85	17
George Mason 71 - Davidson 74	0.573	George Mason 59 - Davidson 86	24
Hofstra 76 - Elon 71	0.669	Hofstra 76 - Elon 89	18
Illinois State 70 - Missouri State 74	0.617	Illinois State 72 - Missouri State 68	-8
Iona 78 - Fairfield 70	0.794	Iona 84 - Fairfield 65	-11
Manhattan 73 - Rider 75	0.579	Manhattan 76 - Rider 82	4
Marist 75 - Niagara 79	0.602	Marist 70 - Niagara 86	12
Maryland 80 - Iowa 66	0.863	Maryland 91 - Iowa 73	-4
Miami 75 - Florida State 71	0.616	Miami 80 - Florida State 74	-2
Northeastern 81 - James Madison 64	0.919	Northeastern 80 - James Madison 67	4
Northern Iowa 69 - Loyola Ill 65	0.602	Northern Iowa 50 - Loyola Ill 56	10
Oakland 76 - Wright State 69	0.719	Oakland 81 - Wright State 86	12
Ohio State 70 - Michigan State 76	0.666	Ohio State 80 - Michigan State 64	-22
Saint Peters 77 - Quinnipiac 65	0.831	Saint Peters 84 - Quinnipiac 58	-14
Siena 69 - Canisius 74	0.634	Siena 65 - Canisius 62	-8
Stanford 72 - Southern California 79	0.696	Stanford 77 - Southern California 76	-8
Towson 70 - College of Charleston 67	0.623	Towson 73 - College of Charleston 62	-8
Utah 74 - Arizona State 80	0.662	Utah 77 - Arizona State 80	-3
Wichita State 86 - South Florida 54	0.994	Wichita State 95 - South Florida 57	-6

Number of DI Games: 339
Number Correct: 230 = 67.8%
Expected Number Correct: 243.855 = 71.9%
Average Error: 9.28
Average Signed Error: -0.13

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 70 - Mississippi Valley State 65	0.686	Alabama AM 65 - Mississippi Valley State 55	-5
Alabama State 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.671	Alabama State 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 94	31
Alcorn State 73 - Grambling State 71	0.546	Alcorn State 61 - Grambling State 72	13
American 67 - Army 74	0.718	American 54 - Army 58	-3
Boston 76 - Lehigh 73	0.606	Boston 92 - Lehigh 81	-8
Colgate 71 - Navy 69	0.589	Colgate 70 - Navy 62	-6
Coppin State 69 - Florida AM 68	0.543	Coppin State 79 - Florida AM 78	0
Delaware State 64 - North Carolina AT 77	0.775	Delaware State 66 - North Carolina AT 76	-3
Holy Cross 70 - Loyola MD 69	0.515	Holy Cross 64 - Loyola MD 57	-6
Lafayette 69 - Bucknell 78	0.773	Lafayette 75 - Bucknell 80	-4
Maryland Eastern Shore 73 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.53	Maryland Eastern Shore 84 - Bethune Cookman 89	7
Morgan State 82 - Savannah State 80	0.569	Morgan State 89 - Savannah State 88	1
North Carolina Central 74 - Norfolk State 67	0.719	North Carolina Central 64 - Norfolk State 63	6
Southern 72 - Jackson State 64	0.747	Southern 61 - Jackson State 65	12

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 70 - Buffalo 80	0.831	Akron 65 - Buffalo 87	12
Alabama 76 - South Carolina 71	0.637	Alabama 76 - South Carolina 62	-9
Auburn 87 - Mississippi 71	0.886	Auburn 85 - Mississippi 70	1
Bowling Green 76 - Northern Illinois 72	0.634	Bowling Green 66 - Northern Illinois 57	-5
Bradley 72 - Southern Illinois 66	0.622	Bradley 68 - Southern Illinois 62	0
Charleston Southern 63 - Radford 75	0.755	Charleston Southern 61 - Radford 64	-9
Creighton 82 - Butler 75	0.666	Creighton 85 - Butler 74	-4
Eastern Michigan 67 - Central Michigan 71	0.586	Eastern Michigan 79 - Central Michigan 74	-9
Fresno State 72 - Boise State 76	0.615	Fresno State 64 - Boise State 70	2
Gardner Webb 69 - High Point 70	0.523	Gardner Webb 62 - High Point 45	-18
Indiana 71 - Penn State 73	0.552	Indiana 74 - Penn State 70	-6
Kansas 89 - Iowa State 66	0.9	Kansas 83 - Iowa State 78	18
Kentucky 76 - Texas AM 70	0.647	Kentucky 74 - Texas AM 73	5
Marquette 78 - Seton Hall 80	0.576	Marquette 84 - Seton Hall 64	-22
Memphis 72 - Tulane 73	0.529	Memphis 96 - Tulane 89	-8
Miami OH 73 - Kent State 69	0.628	Miami OH 80 - Kent State 69	-7
Michigan 70 - Purdue 75	0.653	Michigan 69 - Purdue 70	-4
Nebraska 73 - Wisconsin 68	0.653	Nebraska 63 - Wisconsin 59	1
North Carolina 83 - Boston College 70	0.825	North Carolina 96 - Boston College 66	-17
Ohio 76 - Ball State 73	0.563	Ohio 68 - Ball State 75	10
Oklahoma 78 - Texas Tech 79	0.511	Oklahoma 75 - Texas Tech 65	-11
Presbyterian 74 - Campbell 71	0.588	Presbyterian 79 - Campbell 83	7
Richmond 67 - Dayton 73	0.672	Richmond 81 - Dayton 87	0
Saint Johns 78 - Georgetown 71	0.714	Saint Johns 66 - Georgetown 69	10
Saint Louis 64 - Rhode Island 75	0.784	Saint Louis 65 - Rhode Island 72	-4
San Diego State 84 - San Jose State 55	0.954	San Diego State 85 - San Jose State 49	-7
South Alabama 89 - Unranked 55		South Alabama 99 - Unranked 34
Toledo 77 - Western Michigan 71	0.68	Toledo 84 - Western Michigan 61	-17
UNC Asheville 83 - Longwood 58	0.919	UNC Asheville 90 - Longwood 80	15
Vanderbilt 69 - Tennessee 79	0.818	Vanderbilt 84 - Tennessee 92	-2
Virginia 71 - Syracuse 56	0.9	Virginia 68 - Syracuse 61	8
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Duquesne 69	0.712	Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Duquesne 67	-4
West Virginia 80 - Baylor 69	0.755	West Virginia 57 - Baylor 54	8
Winthrop 71 - Liberty 70	0.53	Winthrop 70 - Liberty 73	4

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - Nevada Las Vegas 83	0.839	Air Force 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 81	-11
Albany 75 - Stony Brook 67	0.747	Albany 78 - Stony Brook 65	-5
Arkansas 85 - Louisiana State 75	0.721	Arkansas 54 - Louisiana State 75	31
Central Arkansas 86 - Incarnate Word 69	0.857	Central Arkansas 92 - Incarnate Word 76	1
Chattanooga 61 - Furman 76	0.834	Chattanooga 55 - Furman 73	3
Connecticut 65 - Central Florida 70	0.653	Connecticut 62 - Central Florida 53	-14
Dartmouth 63 - Vermont 80	0.935	Dartmouth 78 - Vermont 91	-4
Davidson 75 - George Washington 68	0.676	Davidson 72 - George Washington 45	-20
Detroit 78 - Cleveland State 71	0.708	Detroit 85 - Cleveland State 84	6
Evansville 65 - Missouri State 69	0.612	Evansville 64 - Missouri State 55	-13
Florida 78 - Mississippi State 69	0.735	Florida 71 - Mississippi State 54	-8
Florida State 79 - Louisville 72	0.658	Florida State 69 - Louisville 73	11
George Mason 73 - Saint Josephs 76	0.608	George Mason 81 - Saint Josephs 79	-5
Georgia Tech 64 - Notre Dame 74	0.706	Georgia Tech 60 - Notre Dame 53	-17
Hartford 77 - UMass Lowell 68	0.727	Hartford 84 - UMass Lowell 73	-2
Hawaii 77 - Cal Poly 66	0.818	Hawaii 57 - Cal Poly 45	-1
Houston Baptist 72 - Abilene Christian 75	0.595	Houston Baptist 74 - Abilene Christian 82	5
Illinois Chicago 76 - Green Bay 68	0.709	Illinois Chicago 84 - Green Bay 73	-3
Illinois State 73 - Loyola Ill 71	0.55	Illinois State 61 - Loyola Ill 68	9
Indiana State 70 - Northern Iowa 68	0.551	Indiana State 69 - Northern Iowa 67	0
IUPUI 66 - Milwaukee 70	0.598	IUPUI 72 - Milwaukee 71	-5
Kansas State 76 - Oklahoma State 73	0.616	Kansas State 86 - Oklahoma State 82	-1
Lamar 72 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.595	Lamar 58 - Southeast Louisiana 63	8
Long Beach State 82 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.897	Long Beach State 80 - Cal State Northridge 70	8
Maine 68 - UMBC 75	0.725	Maine 67 - UMBC 72	-2
Massachusetts 74 - La Salle 72	0.559	Massachusetts 86 - La Salle 79	-5
Michigan State 82 - Rutgers 60	0.907	Michigan State 76 - Rutgers 72	18
Missouri 75 - Georgia 70	0.632	Missouri 68 - Georgia 56	-7
New Hampshire 68 - Binghamton 66	0.583	New Hampshire 71 - Binghamton 67	-2
New Mexico 76 - Wyoming 78	0.546	New Mexico 75 - Wyoming 66	-11
Nicholls State 82 - Mcneese State 68	0.833	Nicholls State 85 - Mcneese State 80	9
Northwestern 75 - Minnesota 74	0.507	Northwestern 83 - Minnesota 60	-22
Oakland 86 - Youngstown State 68	0.893	Oakland 95 - Youngstown State 82	5
Pittsburgh 66 - Duke 86	0.841	Pittsburgh 52 - Duke 87	15
Quinnipiac 77 - Marist 69	0.721	Quinnipiac 80 - Marist 79	7
Saint Bonaventure 81 - Fordham 60	0.938	Saint Bonaventure 77 - Fordham 61	5
Southern California 81 - Colorado 71	0.717	Southern California 70 - Colorado 58	-2
Southern Methodist 77 - Temple 65	0.756	Southern Methodist 64 - Temple 66	14
Stephen F Austin 75 - New Orleans 64	0.817	Stephen F Austin 78 - New Orleans 68	1
Texas 73 - Texas Christian 75	0.554	Texas 99 - Texas Christian 98	-3
Texas AM CC 66 - Sam Houston State 70	0.682	Texas AM CC 50 - Sam Houston State 82	28
Utah State 78 - Colorado State 68	0.813	Utah State 75 - Colorado State 84	19
Valparaiso 74 - Drake 73	0.52	Valparaiso 77 - Drake 60	-16
Villanova 85 - Xavier 76	0.736	Villanova 89 - Xavier 65	-15
Wake Forest 77 - Virginia Tech 78	0.502	Wake Forest 75 - Virginia Tech 83	7
Western Carolina 71 - Mercer 78	0.71	Western Carolina 58 - Mercer 56	-9
Wofford 76 - Harvard 65	0.767	Wofford 63 - Harvard 62	10

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Southern Miss 65	0.804	Alabama Birmingham 86 - Southern Miss 75	3
American 68 - Loyola MD 69	0.516	American 76 - Loyola MD 65	-12
Appalachian State 71 - Georgia State 73	0.546	Appalachian State 58 - Georgia State 71	11
Arizona 83 - Oregon State 67	0.888	Arizona 62 - Oregon State 53	7
Arizona State 85 - Oregon 72	0.79	Arizona State 72 - Oregon 76	17
Arkansas Little Rock 64 - Texas Arlington 75	0.765	Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Texas Arlington 65	-23
Arkansas State 68 - Texas State 70	0.558	Arkansas State 67 - Texas State 73	4
Army 75 - Lafayette 65	0.775	Army 81 - Lafayette 71	0
Boston 74 - Colgate 71	0.592	Boston 72 - Colgate 58	-11
Brigham Young 85 - Pepperdine 59	0.994	Brigham Young 83 - Pepperdine 63	6
Bryant 66 - Wagner 79	0.847	Bryant 62 - Wagner 71	-4
Bucknell 84 - Lehigh 71	0.858	Bucknell 78 - Lehigh 65	0
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Texas Pan American 69	0.542	Cal State Bakersfield 74 - Texas Pan American 87	15
Charlotte 72 - Marshall 83	0.792	Charlotte 83 - Marshall 91	-3
Coastal Carolina 71 - Georgia Southern 74	0.574	Coastal Carolina 66 - Georgia Southern 77	8
College of Charleston 69 - Northeastern 68	0.514	College of Charleston 82 - Northeastern 66	-15
Delaware 75 - Drexel 70	0.636	Delaware 72 - Drexel 66	-1
East Carolina 57 - Wichita State 85	0.998	East Carolina 60 - Wichita State 95	7
East Tennessee State 74 - UNC Greensboro 65	0.707	East Tennessee State 68 - UNC Greensboro 58	-1
Eastern Illinois 67 - Tennessee State 66	0.535	Eastern Illinois 65 - Tennessee State 69	5
Elon 85 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.883	Elon 78 - UNC Wilmington 80	21
Fairfield 72 - Manhattan 68	0.628	Fairfield 53 - Manhattan 59	10
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.663	Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - LIU Brooklyn 90	9
Florida Gulf Coast 88 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.912	Florida Gulf Coast 75 - South Carolina Upstate 58	7
Gonzaga 92 - Portland 61	0.966	Gonzaga 103 - Portland 57	-15
Grand Canyon 69 - New Mexico State 71	0.583	Grand Canyon 59 - New Mexico State 70	9
Houston 80 - Tulsa 68	0.79	Houston 104 - Tulsa 71	-21
Illinois 79 - Iowa 72	0.686	Illinois 97 - Iowa 104	14
Iona 81 - Siena 65	0.931	Iona 71 - Siena 69	14
IPFW 72 - South Dakota 76	0.596	IPFW 58 - South Dakota 68	6
Jacksonville 73 - Kennesaw St 74	0.523	Jacksonville 65 - Kennesaw St 58	-8
Jacksonville State 69 - Murray State 73	0.607	Jacksonville State 76 - Murray State 71	-9
Loyola Marymount 67 - San Francisco 76	0.768	Loyola Marymount 67 - San Francisco 65	-11
Middle Tennessee 79 - Louisiana Tech 66	0.894	Middle Tennessee 72 - Louisiana Tech 57	-2
Mt St Marys 73 - Sacred Heart 66	0.707	Mt St Marys 81 - Sacred Heart 75	1
Navy 75 - Holy Cross 61	0.912	Navy 61 - Holy Cross 56	9
NC State 71 - Clemson 78	0.677	NC State 78 - Clemson 77	-8
North Dakota 71 - Idaho State 75	0.63	North Dakota 81 - Idaho State 58	-27
North Dakota State 78 - Denver 61	0.871	North Dakota State 61 - Denver 67	23
North Florida 72 - Lipscomb 84	0.805	North Florida 102 - Lipscomb 96	-18
Northern Colorado 76 - Weber State 69	0.706	Northern Colorado 74 - Weber State 78	11
Northern Kentucky 73 - Wright State 64	0.744	Northern Kentucky 81 - Wright State 84	12
Ohio State 76 - Maryland 69	0.671	Ohio State 91 - Maryland 69	-15
Old Dominion 73 - Western Kentucky 72	0.506	Old Dominion 68 - Western Kentucky 75	8
Pacific 69 - San Diego 74	0.679	Pacific 74 - San Diego 70	-9
Portland State 82 - Montana State 72	0.771	Portland State 93 - Montana State 74	-9
Robert Morris 77 - Saint Francis Penn 71	0.689	Robert Morris 80 - Saint Francis Penn 89	15
Sacramento State 66 - Montana 77	0.85	Sacramento State 66 - Montana 78	1
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Central Connecticut State 68	0.584	Saint Francis Brooklyn 77 - Central Connecticut State 60	-14
Santa Clara 61 - Saint Marys 82	0.931	Santa Clara 57 - Saint Marys 81	3
SE Missouri State 78 - Morehead State 69	0.729	SE Missouri State 78 - Morehead State 75	6
Seattle 88 - Chicago State 63	0.919	Seattle 67 - Chicago State 64	22
SIU Edwardsville 67 - Belmont 80	0.877	SIU Edwardsville 61 - Belmont 76	2
South Dakota State 84 - Oral Roberts 70	0.79	South Dakota State 78 - Oral Roberts 75	11
Stetson 71 - NJ Tech 73	0.585	Stetson 80 - NJ Tech 67	-15
Tennessee Martin 73 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.757	Tennessee Martin 70 - Eastern Kentucky 78	15
Tennessee Tech 75 - Austin Peay 72	0.591	Tennessee Tech 86 - Austin Peay 74	-9
Texas El Paso 72 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.686	Texas El Paso 66 - Florida Atlantic 73	13
Texas San Antonio 81 - Florida International 71	0.775	Texas San Antonio 76 - Florida International 79	13
The Citadel 78 - Samford 81	0.606	The Citadel 91 - Samford 107	13
Towson 76 - Hofstra 70	0.721	Towson 73 - Hofstra 76	9
UC Irvine 74 - Cal State Fullerton 73	0.52	UC Irvine 64 - Cal State Fullerton 67	4
UC Riverside 64 - UC Davis 73	0.754	UC Riverside 65 - UC Davis 75	1
UCLA 80 - Utah 74	0.685	UCLA 83 - Utah 64	-13
Utah Valley 84 - UMKC 62	0.924	Utah Valley 95 - UMKC 59	-14
Washington 82 - California 68	0.777	Washington 66 - California 56	4
Washington State 75 - Stanford 74	0.52	Washington State 70 - Stanford 79	10
Western Illinois 76 - Omaha 73	0.571	Western Illinois 66 - Omaha 87	24
William and Mary 86 - James Madison 68	0.904	William and Mary 89 - James Madison 82	11

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Butler 82 - Marquette 76	0.676	Butler 94 - Marquette 83	-5
Campbell 71 - High Point 72	0.51	Campbell 65 - High Point 64	-2
Canisius 71 - Saint Peters 66	0.646	Canisius 70 - Saint Peters 58	-7
Charleston Southern 69 - Winthrop 76	0.627	Charleston Southern 53 - Winthrop 64	4
Dayton 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.535	Dayton 106 - Virginia Commonwealth 79	-26
DePaul 74 - Providence 75	0.515	DePaul 64 - Providence 71	6
Detroit 80 - Youngstown State 75	0.652	Detroit 93 - Youngstown State 91	3
Eastern Washington 72 - Idaho 70	0.544	Eastern Washington 51 - Idaho 58	9
Gardner Webb 67 - Radford 75	0.741	Gardner Webb 59 - Radford 54	-13
Hampton 82 - Delaware State 63	0.84	Hampton 78 - Delaware State 56	-3
Illinois Chicago 67 - Milwaukee 68	0.525	Illinois Chicago 88 - Milwaukee 73	-16
IUPUI 75 - Green Bay 69	0.691	IUPUI 67 - Green Bay 61	0
Kent State 74 - Ohio 76	0.55	Kent State 70 - Ohio 69	-3
Liberty 80 - Longwood 53	0.95	Liberty 51 - Longwood 58	34
Niagara 79 - Monmouth 77	0.574	Niagara 78 - Monmouth 77	1
Oakland 84 - Cleveland State 65	0.932	Oakland 81 - Cleveland State 68	6
Penn State 76 - Nebraska 68	0.707	Penn State 76 - Nebraska 74	6
Pennsylvania 82 - Cornell 69	0.808	Pennsylvania 69 - Cornell 61	5
Presbyterian 70 - UNC Asheville 73	0.603	Presbyterian 56 - UNC Asheville 76	17
Princeton 82 - Columbia 65	0.897	Princeton 72 - Columbia 56	1
Rider 86 - Quinnipiac 66	0.916	Rider 78 - Quinnipiac 60	2
Yale 76 - Brown 72	0.649	Yale 78 - Brown 72	-2

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 75 - Bowling Green 72	0.605	Akron 80 - Bowling Green 78	1
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.752	Alabama Birmingham 74 - Louisiana Tech 62	-3
Alabama State 74 - Alabama AM 66	0.737	Alabama State 70 - Alabama AM 67	5
Appalachian State 71 - Georgia Southern 76	0.6	Appalachian State 59 - Georgia Southern 60	-4
Arizona 82 - Oregon 71	0.779	Arizona 90 - Oregon 83	4
Arizona State 86 - Oregon State 68	0.884	Arizona State 77 - Oregon State 75	16
Arkansas 82 - Missouri 75	0.673	Arkansas 65 - Missouri 63	5
Arkansas Little Rock 63 - Texas State 66	0.567	Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Texas State 72	-1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 69 - Southern 73	0.616	Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Southern 76	-6
Arkansas State 69 - Texas Arlington 80	0.75	Arkansas State 71 - Texas Arlington 97	15
Bethune Cookman 78 - Florida AM 69	0.721	Bethune Cookman 99 - Florida AM 81	-9
Boise State 76 - San Diego State 70	0.625	Boise State 83 - San Diego State 80	3
Boston College 88 - Dartmouth 59	0.965	Boston College 86 - Dartmouth 72	15
Buffalo 82 - Miami OH 65	0.916	Buffalo 82 - Miami OH 66	1
Cal State Bakersfield 61 - New Mexico State 75	0.837	Cal State Bakersfield 53 - New Mexico State 66	-1
Cal State Fullerton 72 - UC Davis 73	0.508	Cal State Fullerton 85 - UC Davis 70	-16
Cal State Northridge 62 - UC Irvine 74	0.866	Cal State Northridge 54 - UC Irvine 71	5
Central Connecticut State 78 - Bryant 64	0.842	Central Connecticut State 80 - Bryant 76	10
Central Michigan 74 - Toledo 69	0.627	Central Michigan 82 - Toledo 93	16
Charlotte 63 - Western Kentucky 83	0.929	Charlotte 63 - Western Kentucky 73	-10
Clemson 75 - Miami 65	0.788	Clemson 72 - Miami 63	1
Coastal Carolina 71 - Georgia State 72	0.514	Coastal Carolina 58 - Georgia State 72	13
Drake 73 - Evansville 68	0.605	Drake 81 - Evansville 65	-11
Drexel 72 - Hofstra 76	0.619	Drexel 86 - Hofstra 91	1
Duke 90 - Wake Forest 71	0.843	Duke 89 - Wake Forest 71	1
Duquesne 74 - La Salle 68	0.658	Duquesne 101 - La Salle 94	-1
East Tennessee State 83 - Virginia Military Institute 57	0.94	East Tennessee State 89 - Virginia Military Institute 48	-15
Eastern Illinois 62 - Belmont 74	0.842	Eastern Illinois 66 - Belmont 75	-3
Elon 72 - College of Charleston 68	0.615	Elon 63 - College of Charleston 58	-1
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Robert Morris 74	0.694	Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Robert Morris 81	0
Florida Gulf Coast 79 - NJ Tech 69	0.765	Florida Gulf Coast 68 - NJ Tech 54	-4
Florida State 75 - Syracuse 68	0.707	Florida State 101 - Syracuse 90	-4
Fresno State 79 - New Mexico 71	0.703	Fresno State 89 - New Mexico 80	-1
George Mason 67 - Saint Louis 68	0.527	George Mason 86 - Saint Louis 81	-6
Georgia 75 - South Carolina 67	0.705	Georgia 57 - South Carolina 64	15
Grambling State 69 - Prairie View 76	0.694	Grambling State 80 - Prairie View 71	-16
Grand Canyon 79 - Texas Pan American 65	0.878	Grand Canyon 84 - Texas Pan American 71	1
Hartford 71 - Binghamton 66	0.65	Hartford 97 - Binghamton 65	-27
Hawaii 72 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.586	Hawaii 77 - UC Santa Barbara 76	-3
Iowa State 72 - Baylor 77	0.639	Iowa State 75 - Baylor 65	-15
IPFW 83 - Omaha 72	0.768	IPFW 82 - Omaha 78	7
Jackson State 67 - Texas Southern 75	0.786	Jackson State 85 - Texas Southern 80	-13
Jacksonville 66 - Lipscomb 83	0.89	Jacksonville 87 - Lipscomb 69	-35
Jacksonville State 72 - Austin Peay 67	0.652	Jacksonville State 67 - Austin Peay 87	25
James Madison 74 - Delaware 72	0.576	James Madison 60 - Delaware 61	3
Kansas 83 - Kansas State 67	0.862	Kansas 73 - Kansas State 72	15
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Wagner 75	0.662	LIU Brooklyn 69 - Wagner 67	-7
Louisiana State 79 - Alabama 74	0.628	Louisiana State 66 - Alabama 74	13
Louisville 78 - Virginia Tech 72	0.635	Louisville 94 - Virginia Tech 86	-2
Loyola Ill 70 - Bradley 65	0.618	Loyola Ill 81 - Bradley 65	-11
Maine 65 - Albany 76	0.831	Maine 66 - Albany 84	7
Manhattan 74 - Siena 65	0.797	Manhattan 72 - Siena 61	-2
Marist 69 - Fairfield 75	0.678	Marist 95 - Fairfield 89	-12
Mercer 82 - Samford 68	0.851	Mercer 81 - Samford 50	-17
Michigan State 77 - Michigan 66	0.781	Michigan State 72 - Michigan 82	21
Middle Tennessee 80 - Southern Miss 62	0.889	Middle Tennessee 69 - Southern Miss 49	-2
Minnesota 72 - Purdue 82	0.758	Minnesota 47 - Purdue 81	24
Mississippi 75 - Florida 79	0.605	Mississippi 78 - Florida 72	-10
Mississippi State 72 - Auburn 77	0.663	Mississippi State 68 - Auburn 76	3
Mississippi Valley State 71 - Alcorn State 69	0.578	Mississippi Valley State 63 - Alcorn State 77	16
Nevada 84 - Utah State 67	0.939	Nevada 83 - Utah State 57	-9
New Orleans 76 - Texas AM CC 61	0.933	New Orleans 61 - Texas AM CC 55	9
Nicholls State 82 - Central Arkansas 77	0.608	Nicholls State 86 - Central Arkansas 79	-2
North Carolina AT 79 - Morgan State 69	0.747	North Carolina AT 69 - Morgan State 67	8
North Carolina Central 76 - Coppin State 61	0.87	North Carolina Central 81 - Coppin State 61	-5
North Dakota 71 - Weber State 78	0.68	North Dakota 89 - Weber State 79	-17
North Dakota State 75 - Oral Roberts 68	0.654	North Dakota State 82 - Oral Roberts 64	-11
North Florida 79 - Kennesaw St 74	0.648	North Florida 85 - Kennesaw St 78	-2
Northern Colorado 76 - Idaho State 66	0.797	Northern Colorado 94 - Idaho State 80	-4
Northern Illinois 73 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.602	Northern Illinois 72 - Eastern Michigan 66	-3
Northern Iowa 71 - Valparaiso 64	0.675	Northern Iowa 81 - Valparaiso 76	2
Northwestern State 66 - Abilene Christian 75	0.727	Northwestern State 58 - Abilene Christian 69	2
Notre Dame 76 - North Carolina 75	0.512	Notre Dame 68 - North Carolina 69	2
Oklahoma 85 - Texas Christian 80	0.672	Oklahoma 102 - Texas Christian 97	0
Oklahoma State 74 - Texas 71	0.585	Oklahoma State 65 - Texas 64	2
Old Dominion 80 - Marshall 71	0.739	Old Dominion 82 - Marshall 76	3
Pennsylvania 84 - Columbia 67	0.896	Pennsylvania 77 - Columbia 71	11
Pepperdine 62 - Saint Marys 85	0.986	Pepperdine 67 - Saint Marys 91	1
Pittsburgh 68 - Georgia Tech 67	0.531	Pittsburgh 54 - Georgia Tech 69	16
Portland 72 - Pacific 75	0.592	Portland 54 - Pacific 66	9
Portland State 79 - Montana 77	0.545	Portland State 89 - Montana 92	5
Princeton 80 - Cornell 67	0.803	Princeton 91 - Cornell 54	-24
Rhode Island 78 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.769	Rhode Island 87 - Saint Bonaventure 73	-6
Rice 66 - North Texas 72	0.686	Rice 78 - North Texas 85	1
Richmond 68 - George Washington 70	0.576	Richmond 78 - George Washington 68	-12
Sacramento State 69 - Montana State 72	0.586	Sacramento State 87 - Montana State 68	-22
Saint Francis Brooklyn 74 - Sacred Heart 66	0.785	Saint Francis Brooklyn 52 - Sacred Heart 92	48
Saint Francis Penn 80 - Mt St Marys 68	0.78	Saint Francis Penn 80 - Mt St Marys 81	13
Saint Johns 71 - Villanova 83	0.795	Saint Johns 71 - Villanova 78	-5
Sam Houston State 77 - Houston Baptist 66	0.827	Sam Houston State 81 - Houston Baptist 68	-2
San Diego 82 - Loyola Marymount 62	0.946	San Diego 75 - Loyola Marymount 71	16
San Francisco 69 - Gonzaga 78	0.733	San Francisco 65 - Gonzaga 75	1
San Jose State 69 - Air Force 66	0.582	San Jose State 71 - Air Force 78	10
Santa Clara 62 - Brigham Young 78	0.854	Santa Clara 50 - Brigham Young 84	18
Savannah State 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 72	0.759	Savannah State 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	-18
SE Missouri State 78 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.789	SE Missouri State 86 - Eastern Kentucky 91	14
Seattle 80 - UMKC 65	0.836	Seattle 77 - UMKC 75	13
Seton Hall 86 - Georgetown 68	0.93	Seton Hall 74 - Georgetown 61	5
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Tennessee State 71	0.503	SIU Edwardsville 82 - Tennessee State 79	-2
South Alabama 74 - Troy 69	0.632	South Alabama 64 - Troy 79	20
South Carolina State 76 - Howard 70	0.703	South Carolina State 91 - Howard 88	3
South Dakota State 87 - Denver 63	0.945	South Dakota State 94 - Denver 72	2
South Florida 55 - Cincinnati 81	0.95	South Florida 55 - Cincinnati 78	-3
Southeast Louisiana 78 - Mcneese State 64	0.808	Southeast Louisiana 62 - Mcneese State 71	23
Southern Illinois 75 - Illinois State 72	0.576	Southern Illinois 74 - Illinois State 70	-1
Southern Utah 81 - Northern Arizona 70	0.773	Southern Utah 81 - Northern Arizona 75	5
Stephen F Austin 84 - Incarnate Word 60	0.938	Stephen F Austin 83 - Incarnate Word 63	4
Stetson 79 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.75	Stetson 87 - South Carolina Upstate 69	-8
Temple 76 - Memphis 67	0.727	Temple 72 - Memphis 75	12
Tennessee 77 - Texas AM 69	0.707	Tennessee 75 - Texas AM 62	-5
Tennessee Martin 74 - Morehead State 67	0.696	Tennessee Martin 67 - Morehead State 71	11
Tennessee Tech 71 - Murray State 78	0.712	Tennessee Tech 45 - Murray State 71	19
Texas El Paso 74 - Florida International 68	0.65	Texas El Paso 72 - Florida International 68	2
Texas San Antonio 79 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.812	Texas San Antonio 69 - Florida Atlantic 73	14
Texas Tech 77 - West Virginia 70	0.662	Texas Tech 72 - West Virginia 71	6
The Citadel 74 - Chattanooga 75	0.528	The Citadel 110 - Chattanooga 101	-10
Tulane 78 - Connecticut 69	0.757	Tulane 57 - Connecticut 67	19
Tulsa 69 - Wichita State 79	0.778	Tulsa 69 - Wichita State 72	-7
UC Riverside 74 - Long Beach State 73	0.512	UC Riverside 68 - Long Beach State 75	8
UCLA 84 - Colorado 73	0.751	UCLA 59 - Colorado 68	20
UL Lafayette 85 - UL Monroe 61	0.927	UL Lafayette 82 - UL Monroe 48	-10
UMass Lowell 73 - UMBC 75	0.587	UMass Lowell 62 - UMBC 89	25
UNC Wilmington 67 - Northeastern 82	0.847	UNC Wilmington 77 - Northeastern 81	-11
Utah Valley 92 - Chicago State 60	0.957	Utah Valley 83 - Chicago State 58	7
Vanderbilt 70 - Kentucky 78	0.736	Vanderbilt 67 - Kentucky 74	-1
Vermont 79 - Stony Brook 64	0.921	Vermont 73 - Stony Brook 62	4
Washington 78 - Stanford 70	0.695	Washington 64 - Stanford 73	17
Washington State 79 - California 72	0.646	Washington State 78 - California 53	-18
Western Carolina 65 - UNC Greensboro 75	0.766	Western Carolina 55 - UNC Greensboro 66	1
Western Illinois 86 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 107 - Unranked 45
Western Michigan 74 - Ball State 73	0.525	Western Michigan 73 - Ball State 58	-14
William and Mary 78 - Towson 71	0.688	William and Mary 73 - Towson 99	33
Wofford 74 - Furman 73	0.506	Wofford 79 - Furman 70	-8
Wyoming 82 - Colorado State 68	0.836	Wyoming 73 - Colorado State 78	19
Xavier 82 - Creighton 77	0.651	Xavier 92 - Creighton 70	-17

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 75 - Monmouth 70	0.665	Canisius 94 - Monmouth 79	-10
East Carolina 60 - Houston 81	0.926	East Carolina 49 - Houston 65	-5
Fordham 69 - Davidson 74	0.628	Fordham 45 - Davidson 75	25
Holy Cross 69 - Boston 72	0.634	Holy Cross 40 - Boston 54	11
Indiana 73 - Northwestern 71	0.548	Indiana 66 - Northwestern 46	-18
Iona 79 - Rider 77	0.553	Iona 91 - Rider 64	-25
Lehigh 78 - American 64	0.87	Lehigh 76 - American 66	4
Loyola MD 70 - Lafayette 67	0.611	Loyola MD 83 - Lafayette 77	-3
Massachusetts 76 - Saint Josephs 74	0.552	Massachusetts 72 - Saint Josephs 69	-1
Missouri State 78 - Indiana State 64	0.877	Missouri State 76 - Indiana State 73	11
Navy 72 - Army 68	0.629	Navy 62 - Army 64	6
Niagara 75 - Saint Peters 74	0.554	Niagara 73 - Saint Peters 70	-2
Rutgers 65 - Ohio State 74	0.703	Rutgers 46 - Ohio State 68	13
Southern California 78 - Utah 73	0.643	Southern California 84 - Utah 67	-12
Virginia 80 - NC State 61	0.868	Virginia 68 - NC State 51	2

Number of DI Games: 334
Number Correct: 230 = 68.8%
Expected Number Correct: 237.854 = 71.2%
Average Error: 9.22
Average Signed Error: 1.04

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Alcorn State 66	0.813	Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Alcorn State 59	-2
Baylor 76 - Oklahoma State 73	0.606	Baylor 76 - Oklahoma State 60	-13
Binghamton 65 - Albany 74	0.749	Binghamton 79 - Albany 66	-22
Boston College 76 - Florida State 79	0.588	Boston College 81 - Florida State 75	-9
Colgate 72 - Bucknell 78	0.689	Colgate 51 - Bucknell 63	6
Florida AM 74 - Delaware State 66	0.703	Florida AM 94 - Delaware State 89	3
Grambling State 71 - Texas Southern 77	0.662	Grambling State 79 - Texas Southern 78	-7
Green Bay 68 - Milwaukee 72	0.589	Green Bay 99 - Milwaukee 92	-11
High Point 72 - Presbyterian 63	0.711	High Point 73 - Presbyterian 49	-15
Illinois Chicago 73 - Oakland 77	0.599	Illinois Chicago 68 - Oakland 78	6
Jackson State 70 - Prairie View 69	0.519	Jackson State 79 - Prairie View 71	-7
Longwood 68 - Campbell 76	0.715	Longwood 76 - Campbell 62	-22
Marquette 85 - DePaul 72	0.862	Marquette 70 - DePaul 52	-5
Mercer 78 - Chattanooga 60	0.885	Mercer 75 - Chattanooga 71	14
Miami 74 - Duke 80	0.625	Miami 75 - Duke 83	2
Michigan 75 - Maryland 66	0.749	Michigan 68 - Maryland 67	8
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Southern 72	0.715	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Southern 78	1
Nebraska 78 - Illinois 72	0.664	Nebraska 64 - Illinois 63	5
Norfolk State 83 - Unranked 61		Norfolk State 67 - Unranked 76
North Carolina AT 78 - Coppin State 60	0.9	North Carolina AT 60 - Coppin State 47	5
North Carolina Central 76 - Morgan State 68	0.711	North Carolina Central 77 - Morgan State 63	-6
Northern Kentucky 83 - Cleveland State 58	0.957	Northern Kentucky 70 - Cleveland State 55	10
Penn State 78 - Minnesota 72	0.666	Penn State 84 - Minnesota 95	17
Providence 76 - Butler 77	0.533	Providence 70 - Butler 60	-11
Radford 70 - Liberty 63	0.696	Radford 59 - Liberty 57	5
Savannah State 85 - Howard 73	0.822	Savannah State 91 - Howard 90	11
South Carolina State 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	0.682	South Carolina State 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	3
Stetson 79 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.67	Stetson 62 - Bethune Cookman 74	20
UMass Lowell 70 - New Hampshire 72	0.539	UMass Lowell 62 - New Hampshire 74	10
UMBC 74 - Hartford 69	0.634	UMBC 78 - Hartford 56	-17
UNC Asheville 79 - Charleston Southern 63	0.797	UNC Asheville 83 - Charleston Southern 73	6
Vermont 84 - Maine 57	0.972	Vermont 83 - Maine 62	6
West Virginia 79 - Kansas 75	0.572	West Virginia 66 - Kansas 71	9
Western Carolina 74 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.727	Western Carolina 65 - Virginia Military Institute 58	2
Winthrop 75 - Gardner Webb 69	0.654	Winthrop 90 - Gardner Webb 67	-17
Wright State 84 - Youngstown State 61	0.957	Wright State 77 - Youngstown State 67	13

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 74 - Central Michigan 67	0.671	Ball State 82 - Central Michigan 76	1
Buffalo 84 - Northern Illinois 65	0.937	Buffalo 95 - Northern Illinois 67	-9
Central Florida 64 - Cincinnati 69	0.656	Central Florida 38 - Cincinnati 49	6
Eastern Michigan 74 - Akron 68	0.719	Eastern Michigan 63 - Akron 49	-8
IUPUI 77 - Detroit 72	0.669	IUPUI 81 - Detroit 66	-10
Kansas State 77 - Oklahoma 83	0.68	Kansas State 87 - Oklahoma 69	-24
Kent State 71 - Western Michigan 72	0.534	Kent State 73 - Western Michigan 71	-3
Louisiana State 77 - Georgia 70	0.635	Louisiana State 60 - Georgia 61	8
Memphis 74 - Connecticut 71	0.608	Memphis 73 - Connecticut 49	-21
Miami OH 74 - Bowling Green 69	0.664	Miami OH 70 - Bowling Green 81	16
Mississippi State 76 - Vanderbilt 68	0.76	Mississippi State 80 - Vanderbilt 62	-10
Nicholls State 81 - Texas AM CC 63	0.912	Nicholls State 91 - Texas AM CC 61	-12
North Carolina 78 - Clemson 74	0.626	North Carolina 87 - Clemson 79	-4
North Dakota State 80 - North Dakota 66	0.766	North Dakota State 77 - North Dakota 86	23
Northern Iowa 73 - Drake 68	0.619	Northern Iowa 68 - Drake 54	-9
Notre Dame 74 - Louisville 72	0.56	Notre Dame 78 - Louisville 82	6
Ohio 74 - Toledo 76	0.542	Ohio 57 - Toledo 91	32
Purdue 85 - Wisconsin 60	0.95	Purdue 78 - Wisconsin 50	-3
South Carolina 71 - Kentucky 77	0.654	South Carolina 76 - Kentucky 68	-14
Syracuse 77 - Pittsburgh 59	0.935	Syracuse 59 - Pittsburgh 45	4
Texas AM 80 - Mississippi 70	0.748	Texas AM 71 - Mississippi 69	8

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.68	Abilene Christian 66 - Stephen F Austin 76	4
Alabama 76 - Auburn 81	0.643	Alabama 76 - Auburn 71	-10
Boise State 82 - Utah State 64	0.902	Boise State 71 - Utah State 67	14
Boston 76 - American 61	0.897	Boston 58 - American 69	26
California 68 - Arizona 85	0.848	California 58 - Arizona 79	4
Colorado State 78 - Air Force 64	0.829	Colorado State 71 - Air Force 76	19
Creighton 80 - Seton Hall 76	0.623	Creighton 80 - Seton Hall 63	-13
East Carolina 68 - South Florida 65	0.597	East Carolina 90 - South Florida 52	-35
Evansville 73 - Indiana State 68	0.623	Evansville 66 - Indiana State 71	10
Florida 80 - Arkansas 77	0.58	Florida 88 - Arkansas 73	-12
George Washington 72 - George Mason 68	0.637	George Washington 80 - George Mason 68	-8
Georgetown 70 - Villanova 85	0.876	Georgetown 56 - Villanova 88	17
Holy Cross 64 - Army 71	0.753	Holy Cross 70 - Army 66	-11
Illinois State 73 - Bradley 71	0.553	Illinois State 70 - Bradley 57	-11
Incarnate Word 69 - Lamar 74	0.661	Incarnate Word 69 - Lamar 90	16
La Salle 78 - Fordham 66	0.827	La Salle 75 - Fordham 67	4
Lafayette 66 - Navy 68	0.57	Lafayette 72 - Navy 75	1
Lehigh 74 - Colgate 71	0.612	Lehigh 72 - Colgate 76	7
Loyola Ill 75 - Southern Illinois 65	0.717	Loyola Ill 79 - Southern Illinois 65	-4
Loyola MD 68 - Bucknell 81	0.835	Loyola MD 70 - Bucknell 78	-5
Missouri 75 - Tennessee 76	0.546	Missouri 59 - Tennessee 55	-5
Missouri State 77 - Valparaiso 65	0.798	Missouri State 64 - Valparaiso 57	5
Nevada Las Vegas 84 - New Mexico 75	0.704	Nevada Las Vegas 81 - New Mexico 85	13
New Orleans 76 - Central Arkansas 72	0.65	New Orleans 57 - Central Arkansas 81	28
Northwestern 68 - Ohio State 76	0.657	Northwestern 65 - Ohio State 71	-2
Rhode Island 83 - Massachusetts 65	0.931	Rhode Island 73 - Massachusetts 51	-4
Rutgers 74 - Iowa 73	0.532	Rutgers 80 - Iowa 64	-15
Saint Josephs 74 - Dayton 76	0.54	Saint Josephs 81 - Dayton 65	-18
Saint Louis 69 - Duquesne 68	0.519	Saint Louis 76 - Duquesne 63	-12
Sam Houston State 78 - Northwestern State 58	0.908	Sam Houston State 75 - Northwestern State 52	-3
San Diego State 78 - Fresno State 69	0.758	San Diego State 73 - Fresno State 77	13
San Jose State 59 - Nevada 87	0.992	San Jose State 54 - Nevada 71	-11
South Dakota 78 - Oral Roberts 66	0.794	South Dakota 82 - Oral Roberts 70	0
Southeast Louisiana 78 - Houston Baptist 65	0.811	Southeast Louisiana 85 - Houston Baptist 69	-3
Stanford 77 - Arizona State 81	0.634	Stanford 86 - Arizona State 77	-13
Temple 77 - Tulsa 71	0.635	Temple 59 - Tulsa 58	5
Texas 67 - Texas Tech 73	0.675	Texas 67 - Texas Tech 58	-15
Texas Christian 86 - Iowa State 72	0.845	Texas Christian 96 - Iowa State 73	-9
Tulane 72 - Houston 78	0.66	Tulane 81 - Houston 72	-15
UC Davis 80 - Long Beach State 69	0.773	UC Davis 84 - Long Beach State 75	2
UC Riverside 75 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.878	UC Riverside 57 - Cal State Northridge 66	23
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Cal State Fullerton 74	0.663	UC Santa Barbara 83 - Cal State Fullerton 64	-14
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Richmond 68	0.824	Virginia Commonwealth 52 - Richmond 67	30
Western Illinois 69 - IPFW 75	0.639	Western Illinois 75 - IPFW 74	-7
Wichita State 79 - Southern Methodist 67	0.771	Wichita State 78 - Southern Methodist 83	17
Xavier 84 - Saint Johns 68	0.841	Xavier 88 - Saint Johns 82	10

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 83 - UMass Lowell 63	0.932	Albany 70 - UMass Lowell 62	12
Belmont 71 - Murray State 70	0.531	Belmont 79 - Murray State 72	-6
Brigham Young 83 - Loyola Marymount 62	0.94	Brigham Young 82 - Loyola Marymount 67	6
Campbell 76 - Charleston Southern 66	0.745	Campbell 62 - Charleston Southern 47	-5
Central Connecticut State 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.654	Central Connecticut State 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	5
Chicago State 61 - Grand Canyon 82	0.926	Chicago State 58 - Grand Canyon 86	7
Cleveland State 69 - IUPUI 70	0.516	Cleveland State 70 - IUPUI 67	-4
College of Charleston 83 - UNC Wilmington 65	0.878	College of Charleston 80 - UNC Wilmington 76	14
Colorado 78 - Washington State 69	0.7	Colorado 82 - Washington State 73	0
Eastern Illinois 70 - Tennessee Martin 64	0.696	Eastern Illinois 80 - Tennessee Martin 60	-14
Eastern Kentucky 70 - Tennessee Tech 74	0.636	Eastern Kentucky 67 - Tennessee Tech 70	-1
Florida Atlantic 74 - Charlotte 66	0.734	Florida Atlantic 75 - Charlotte 64	-3
Florida International 64 - Old Dominion 76	0.783	Florida International 54 - Old Dominion 64	-2
Furman 70 - East Tennessee State 71	0.508	Furman 61 - East Tennessee State 62	0
Gardner Webb 75 - Presbyterian 64	0.776	Gardner Webb 61 - Presbyterian 53	3
Georgia Tech 58 - Virginia 73	0.846	Georgia Tech 48 - Virginia 64	1
Gonzaga 80 - Saint Marys 74	0.689	Gonzaga 71 - Saint Marys 74	9
Green Bay 63 - Wright State 78	0.913	Green Bay 67 - Wright State 80	-2
High Point 64 - Liberty 65	0.531	High Point 71 - Liberty 60	-12
Hofstra 79 - Delaware 68	0.828	Hofstra 90 - Delaware 63	-16
Idaho State 72 - Portland State 80	0.719	Idaho State 83 - Portland State 87	-4
James Madison 69 - Elon 75	0.683	James Madison 85 - Elon 74	-17
Kennesaw St 70 - Stetson 72	0.541	Kennesaw St 95 - Stetson 81	-16
Lipscomb 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	0.514	Lipscomb 83 - Florida Gulf Coast 88	6
LIU Brooklyn 79 - Bryant 67	0.871	LIU Brooklyn 83 - Bryant 79	8
Louisiana Tech 74 - North Texas 68	0.689	Louisiana Tech 66 - North Texas 65	5
Maine 66 - Hartford 74	0.696	Maine 68 - Hartford 86	10
Marshall 74 - Middle Tennessee 79	0.676	Marshall 73 - Middle Tennessee 63	-15
Maryland 80 - Minnesota 71	0.723	Maryland 77 - Minnesota 66	-2
Milwaukee 64 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.706	Milwaukee 64 - Northern Kentucky 91	18
Morehead State 65 - Jacksonville State 73	0.7	Morehead State 57 - Jacksonville State 58	-7
NC State 82 - Wake Forest 74	0.695	NC State 72 - Wake Forest 63	-1
Nebraska 68 - Michigan 74	0.682	Nebraska 72 - Michigan 52	-26
New Hampshire 64 - Vermont 76	0.887	New Hampshire 56 - Vermont 67	-1
New Mexico State 81 - Seattle 63	0.89	New Mexico State 75 - Seattle 62	5
NJ Tech 79 - North Florida 75	0.631	NJ Tech 91 - North Florida 59	-28
North Carolina AT 75 - Norfolk State 65	0.792	North Carolina AT 71 - Norfolk State 68	7
Northern Arizona 66 - Eastern Washington 76	0.769	Northern Arizona 76 - Eastern Washington 81	-5
Omaha 77 - Denver 71	0.668	Omaha 86 - Denver 80	0
Oregon 77 - Southern California 76	0.536	Oregon 70 - Southern California 75	6
Oregon State 74 - UCLA 77	0.588	Oregon State 69 - UCLA 63	-9
Pacific 81 - Pepperdine 66	0.907	Pacific 92 - Pepperdine 78	1
Quinnipiac 74 - Niagara 78	0.643	Quinnipiac 73 - Niagara 81	4
Radford 81 - Longwood 57	0.922	Radford 70 - Longwood 63	17
Sacred Heart 66 - Robert Morris 73	0.674	Sacred Heart 60 - Robert Morris 74	7
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Mt St Marys 70	0.522	Saint Francis Brooklyn 81 - Mt St Marys 73	-7
Saint Peters 70 - Rider 73	0.587	Saint Peters 84 - Rider 88	1
Samford 69 - Wofford 80	0.733	Samford 89 - Wofford 93	-7
San Diego 81 - Portland 62	0.949	San Diego 49 - Portland 55	25
San Francisco 77 - Santa Clara 60	0.87	San Francisco 62 - Santa Clara 65	20
Siena 76 - Marist 68	0.735	Siena 68 - Marist 65	5
SIU Edwardsville 77 - SE Missouri State 74	0.624	SIU Edwardsville 74 - SE Missouri State 86	15
South Alabama 73 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.631	South Alabama 60 - Coastal Carolina 57	2
South Carolina Upstate 72 - Jacksonville 76	0.578	South Carolina Upstate 91 - Jacksonville 85	-10
Southern Miss 77 - Rice 65	0.793	Southern Miss 86 - Rice 75	1
Southern Utah 69 - Idaho 78	0.716	Southern Utah 76 - Idaho 80	-5
Stony Brook 74 - Binghamton 64	0.772	Stony Brook 77 - Binghamton 66	-1
Tennessee State 68 - Austin Peay 71	0.595	Tennessee State 70 - Austin Peay 56	-17
Texas Arlington 75 - UL Lafayette 78	0.563	Texas Arlington 65 - UL Lafayette 77	9
Texas Pan American 72 - Utah Valley 80	0.713	Texas Pan American 76 - Utah Valley 84	0
Texas State 73 - UL Monroe 61	0.808	Texas State 55 - UL Monroe 52	9
Towson 80 - Drexel 62	0.864	Towson 90 - Drexel 68	-4
UC Irvine 75 - Cal Poly 65	0.801	UC Irvine 80 - Cal Poly 73	3
UMKC 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.516	UMKC 62 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	-2
UNC Greensboro 89 - The Citadel 64	0.938	UNC Greensboro 72 - The Citadel 58	11
Utah 74 - Washington 71	0.578	Utah 70 - Washington 62	-5
Virginia Military Institute 65 - Mercer 76	0.756	Virginia Military Institute 56 - Mercer 62	-5
Wagner 75 - Saint Francis Penn 72	0.585	Wagner 73 - Saint Francis Penn 64	-6
Weber State 75 - Sacramento State 65	0.763	Weber State 80 - Sacramento State 64	-6
Western Kentucky 78 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.746	Western Kentucky 77 - Alabama Birmingham 69	1
William and Mary 77 - Northeastern 72	0.612	William and Mary 70 - Northeastern 90	25
Winthrop 76 - UNC Asheville 73	0.571	Winthrop 85 - UNC Asheville 58	-24
Youngstown State 72 - Illinois Chicago 75	0.596	Youngstown State 78 - Illinois Chicago 92	11

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 74 - Yale 73	0.545	Brown 81 - Yale 80	0
Davidson 75 - Saint Bonaventure 74	0.528	Davidson 83 - Saint Bonaventure 73	-9
Manhattan 68 - Canisius 70	0.539	Manhattan 59 - Canisius 68	7
Michigan State 83 - Indiana 66	0.818	Michigan State 85 - Indiana 57	-11
Monmouth 73 - Iona 77	0.596	Monmouth 73 - Iona 76	-1
Western Michigan 72 - Buffalo 77	0.658	Western Michigan 74 - Buffalo 84	5
Wisconsin 74 - Illinois 71	0.608	Wisconsin 75 - Illinois 50	-22

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Northern Illinois 69	0.628	Akron 82 - Northern Illinois 67	-11
Alabama 76 - Mississippi State 69	0.698	Alabama 68 - Mississippi State 62	1
Alcorn State 71 - Alabama AM 68	0.642	Alcorn State 68 - Alabama AM 52	-13
American 68 - Lafayette 66	0.543	American 53 - Lafayette 62	11
Arkansas 85 - Mississippi 74	0.763	Arkansas 97 - Mississippi 93	7
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Arkansas State 66	0.676	Arkansas Little Rock 62 - Arkansas State 70	15
Army 77 - Lehigh 69	0.752	Army 93 - Lehigh 81	-4
Auburn 83 - Georgia 69	0.828	Auburn 79 - Georgia 65	0
Belmont 76 - Austin Peay 66	0.757	Belmont 83 - Austin Peay 59	-14
Bowling Green 71 - Central Michigan 72	0.511	Bowling Green 75 - Central Michigan 84	8
Bradley 70 - Evansville 64	0.61	Bradley 66 - Evansville 53	-7
Brigham Young 75 - San Diego 65	0.786	Brigham Young 74 - San Diego 58	-6
Bucknell 83 - Holy Cross 61	0.958	Bucknell 77 - Holy Cross 56	1
Cal State Northridge 66 - Cal Poly 72	0.741	Cal State Northridge 72 - Cal Poly 54	-24
California 71 - Arizona State 86	0.812	California 73 - Arizona State 81	-7
Central Arkansas 78 - Abilene Christian 73	0.644	Central Arkansas 63 - Abilene Christian 80	22
Central Connecticut State 72 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.594	Central Connecticut State 72 - LIU Brooklyn 63	-6
Chicago State 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 74	0.67	Chicago State 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 89	4
Cincinnati 85 - East Carolina 51	0.976	Cincinnati 86 - East Carolina 60	8
Clemson 77 - Notre Dame 67	0.728	Clemson 67 - Notre Dame 58	1
Cleveland State 69 - Illinois Chicago 72	0.621	Cleveland State 80 - Illinois Chicago 87	4
Colgate 76 - Loyola MD 65	0.82	Colgate 77 - Loyola MD 72	6
College of Charleston 75 - Hofstra 70	0.67	College of Charleston 76 - Hofstra 70	-1
Colorado 74 - Washington 71	0.575	Colorado 62 - Washington 72	13
Colorado State 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 79	0.566	Colorado State 74 - Nevada Las Vegas 79	3
Columbia 76 - Cornell 73	0.578	Columbia 88 - Cornell 62	-23
Connecticut 68 - Villanova 84	0.881	Connecticut 61 - Villanova 81	4
Coppin State 69 - Morgan State 73	0.635	Coppin State 80 - Morgan State 73	-11
Dartmouth 67 - Harvard 73	0.704	Dartmouth 57 - Harvard 62	-1
Dayton 70 - Rhode Island 76	0.714	Dayton 74 - Rhode Island 88	8
Delaware State 69 - Bethune Cookman 77	0.682	Delaware State 78 - Bethune Cookman 85	-1
DePaul 73 - Butler 80	0.694	DePaul 67 - Butler 79	5
Detroit 76 - Oakland 83	0.727	Detroit 86 - Oakland 92	-1
Drake 70 - Missouri State 73	0.579	Drake 61 - Missouri State 58	-6
Duke 91 - Pittsburgh 61	0.936	Duke 81 - Pittsburgh 54	3
Duquesne 76 - George Mason 67	0.763	Duquesne 95 - George Mason 89	3
East Tennessee State 83 - Western Carolina 59	0.94	East Tennessee State 66 - Western Carolina 50	8
Eastern Illinois 73 - SE Missouri State 70	0.596	Eastern Illinois 74 - SE Missouri State 86	15
Eastern Kentucky 66 - Jacksonville State 73	0.674	Eastern Kentucky 60 - Jacksonville State 68	1
Eastern Michigan 73 - Ohio 72	0.534	Eastern Michigan 66 - Ohio 72	7
Elon 76 - William and Mary 75	0.523	Elon 73 - William and Mary 80	8
Fairfield 77 - Niagara 76	0.509	Fairfield 104 - Niagara 85	-18
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Mt St Marys 71	0.516	Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Mt St Marys 72	0
Florida Atlantic 63 - Old Dominion 73	0.763	Florida Atlantic 62 - Old Dominion 73	1
Florida International 76 - Charlotte 68	0.721	Florida International 79 - Charlotte 59	-12
Furman 83 - Samford 63	0.905	Furman 78 - Samford 67	9
Georgetown 75 - Saint Johns 72	0.585	Georgetown 93 - Saint Johns 89	-1
Georgia State 71 - Georgia Southern 69	0.578	Georgia State 83 - Georgia Southern 66	-15
Green Bay 63 - Northern Kentucky 80	0.887	Green Bay 65 - Northern Kentucky 77	-5
Hawaii 70 - UC Davis 68	0.581	Hawaii 77 - UC Davis 72	-3
Houston 75 - Wichita State 76	0.536	Houston 73 - Wichita State 59	-15
Houston Baptist 74 - Mcneese State 73	0.522	Houston Baptist 81 - Mcneese State 86	6
Howard 68 - North Carolina Central 74	0.675	Howard 84 - North Carolina Central 78	-12
Idaho State 71 - Sacramento State 67	0.624	Idaho State 71 - Sacramento State 65	-2
Indiana State 77 - Illinois State 74	0.603	Indiana State 84 - Illinois State 54	-27
Iowa 70 - Purdue 85	0.86	Iowa 64 - Purdue 87	8
Iowa State 67 - Texas Tech 80	0.785	Iowa State 70 - Texas Tech 52	-31
IPFW 72 - North Dakota State 71	0.524	IPFW 92 - North Dakota State 88	-3
Jackson State 71 - Grambling State 64	0.681	Jackson State 45 - Grambling State 72	34
James Madison 75 - Drexel 71	0.624	James Madison 75 - Drexel 73	2
Kansas 82 - Baylor 67	0.81	Kansas 70 - Baylor 67	12
Kansas State 77 - Texas Christian 78	0.537	Kansas State 73 - Texas Christian 68	-6
Kennesaw St 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 78	0.809	Kennesaw St 49 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	4
Kentucky 80 - Florida 73	0.672	Kentucky 64 - Florida 66	9
Lamar 70 - Sam Houston State 69	0.505	Lamar 84 - Sam Houston State 77	-6
Lipscomb 80 - Stetson 68	0.761	Lipscomb 85 - Stetson 82	9
Long Beach State 77 - Cal State Fullerton 80	0.579	Long Beach State 81 - Cal State Fullerton 73	-11
Louisiana Tech 80 - Rice 63	0.934	Louisiana Tech 69 - Rice 54	2
Loyola Marymount 78 - Portland 70	0.771	Loyola Marymount 65 - Portland 72	15
Marshall 77 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.533	Marshall 86 - Alabama Birmingham 78	-9
Maryland Eastern Shore 65 - North Carolina AT 73	0.689	Maryland Eastern Shore 64 - North Carolina AT 66	-6
Massachusetts 73 - Saint Louis 66	0.654	Massachusetts 47 - Saint Louis 66	26
Miami OH 69 - Ball State 71	0.563	Miami OH 71 - Ball State 53	-20
Milwaukee 64 - Wright State 71	0.692	Milwaukee 66 - Wright State 61	-12
Minnesota 70 - Ohio State 81	0.744	Minnesota 49 - Ohio State 67	7
Montana State 69 - Montana 78	0.753	Montana State 52 - Montana 67	6
Morehead State 69 - Tennessee Tech 74	0.67	Morehead State 74 - Tennessee Tech 55	-24
Navy 69 - Boston 68	0.546	Navy 68 - Boston 75	8
Nevada 79 - Boise State 73	0.685	Nevada 74 - Boise State 68	0
New Mexico 72 - San Diego State 77	0.628	New Mexico 79 - San Diego State 75	-9
New Mexico State 77 - Utah Valley 68	0.747	New Mexico State 86 - Utah Valley 59	-18
New Orleans 78 - Incarnate Word 62	0.928	New Orleans 74 - Incarnate Word 70	12
NJ Tech 75 - Jacksonville 68	0.69	NJ Tech 61 - Jacksonville 63	9
North Carolina 83 - Georgia Tech 64	0.888	North Carolina 80 - Georgia Tech 66	5
Northeastern 76 - Delaware 64	0.83	Northeastern 76 - Delaware 64	0
Northern Arizona 61 - Idaho 76	0.822	Northern Arizona 80 - Idaho 84	-11
Northern Colorado 81 - North Dakota 69	0.78	Northern Colorado 94 - North Dakota 91	9
Northwestern 73 - Penn State 72	0.52	Northwestern 70 - Penn State 61	-8
Oklahoma State 79 - Oklahoma 85	0.673	Oklahoma State 83 - Oklahoma 81	-8
Omaha 70 - South Dakota 80	0.781	Omaha 71 - South Dakota 85	4
Oral Roberts 77 - Denver 65	0.747	Oral Roberts 64 - Denver 73	21
Oregon 79 - UCLA 77	0.561	Oregon 94 - UCLA 91	-1
Oregon State 72 - Southern California 76	0.613	Oregon State 67 - Southern California 74	3
Pacific 67 - Saint Marys 80	0.854	Pacific 69 - Saint Marys 72	-10
Pennsylvania 73 - Temple 72	0.532	Pennsylvania 51 - Temple 60	10
Prairie View 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	0.796	Prairie View 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 72	16
Providence 76 - Creighton 79	0.585	Providence 85 - Creighton 71	-17
Richmond 74 - La Salle 75	0.53	Richmond 81 - La Salle 74	-8
Rider 87 - Marist 66	0.897	Rider 60 - Marist 57	18
Sacred Heart 71 - Saint Francis Penn 76	0.642	Sacred Heart 60 - Saint Francis Penn 73	8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 77 - Bryant 67	0.756	Saint Francis Brooklyn 85 - Bryant 80	5
Saint Josephs 79 - Fordham 66	0.847	Saint Josephs 68 - Fordham 46	-9
San Francisco 80 - Pepperdine 62	0.946	San Francisco 80 - Pepperdine 73	11
Santa Clara 62 - Gonzaga 87	0.921	Santa Clara 60 - Gonzaga 75	-10
Savannah State 82 - Hampton 80	0.555	Savannah State 103 - Hampton 101	0
Seton Hall 79 - Xavier 77	0.545	Seton Hall 64 - Xavier 73	11
SIU Edwardsville 75 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.726	SIU Edwardsville 69 - Tennessee Martin 70	7
South Alabama 74 - Appalachian State 69	0.616	South Alabama 83 - Appalachian State 77	-1
South Carolina 71 - Tennessee 78	0.727	South Carolina 63 - Tennessee 70	0
South Carolina State 73 - Norfolk State 72	0.559	South Carolina State 54 - Norfolk State 78	25
South Carolina Upstate 76 - North Florida 83	0.686	South Carolina Upstate 80 - North Florida 100	13
South Florida 57 - Central Florida 73	0.866	South Florida 69 - Central Florida 71	-14
Southeast Louisiana 76 - Northwestern State 59	0.854	Southeast Louisiana 85 - Northwestern State 58	-10
Southern 76 - Alabama State 67	0.75	Southern 63 - Alabama State 61	7
Southern Methodist 79 - Tulane 67	0.8	Southern Methodist 73 - Tulane 62	1
Southern Miss 71 - North Texas 70	0.513	Southern Miss 85 - North Texas 78	-6
Southern Utah 74 - Eastern Washington 78	0.621	Southern Utah 66 - Eastern Washington 62	-8
Stanford 74 - Arizona 80	0.682	Stanford 71 - Arizona 73	-4
Tennessee State 64 - Murray State 76	0.8	Tennessee State 57 - Murray State 76	7
Texas AM 75 - Missouri 71	0.597	Texas AM 60 - Missouri 49	-7
Texas Arlington 82 - UL Monroe 63	0.858	Texas Arlington 71 - UL Monroe 55	3
Texas Pan American 76 - Seattle 74	0.545	Texas Pan American 76 - Seattle 79	5
Texas San Antonio 78 - Texas El Paso 73	0.686	Texas San Antonio 65 - Texas El Paso 61	1
Texas Southern 84 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.959	Texas Southern 91 - Mississippi Valley State 77	10
Texas State 66 - UL Lafayette 75	0.752	Texas State 55 - UL Lafayette 80	16
Toledo 81 - Kent State 67	0.832	Toledo 72 - Kent State 65	7
Troy 77 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.721	Troy 73 - Coastal Carolina 74	9
Tulsa 76 - Memphis 72	0.617	Tulsa 64 - Memphis 51	-9
UC Santa Barbara 78 - UC Irvine 66	0.834	UC Santa Barbara 70 - UC Irvine 58	0
UMKC 63 - Grand Canyon 76	0.862	UMKC 69 - Grand Canyon 86	4
UNC Greensboro 73 - Mercer 65	0.689	UNC Greensboro 70 - Mercer 66	4
UNC Wilmington 69 - Towson 81	0.773	UNC Wilmington 73 - Towson 71	-14
Utah State 76 - Wyoming 75	0.502	Utah State 77 - Wyoming 85	9
Vanderbilt 74 - Louisiana State 78	0.597	Vanderbilt 77 - Louisiana State 71	-10
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - George Washington 67	0.823	Virginia Commonwealth 87 - George Washington 63	-12
Virginia Military Institute 81 - The Citadel 75	0.647	Virginia Military Institute 88 - The Citadel 81	-1
Virginia Tech 79 - Florida State 80	0.512	Virginia Tech 82 - Florida State 91	8
Wagner 71 - Robert Morris 68	0.576	Wagner 62 - Robert Morris 49	-10
Weber State 76 - Portland State 78	0.557	Weber State 84 - Portland State 79	-7
West Virginia 79 - Texas 67	0.777	West Virginia 86 - Texas 51	-23
Western Illinois 67 - South Dakota State 83	0.823	Western Illinois 70 - South Dakota State 98	12
Western Kentucky 75 - Middle Tennessee 70	0.658	Western Kentucky 62 - Middle Tennessee 66	9
Wofford 81 - Chattanooga 59	0.901	Wofford 71 - Chattanooga 67	18
Youngstown State 73 - IUPUI 72	0.505	Youngstown State 85 - IUPUI 62	-22

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 76 - UMBC 68	0.779	Albany 83 - UMBC 39	-36
Binghamton 75 - UMass Lowell 68	0.683	Binghamton 71 - UMass Lowell 79	15
Campbell 70 - Radford 74	0.64	Campbell 59 - Radford 56	-7
Charleston Southern 67 - Gardner Webb 71	0.586	Charleston Southern 83 - Gardner Webb 68	-19
Hartford 68 - Vermont 75	0.694	Hartford 53 - Vermont 76	16
Iona 76 - Canisius 70	0.671	Iona 82 - Canisius 84	8
Liberty 71 - UNC Asheville 68	0.6	Liberty 68 - UNC Asheville 84	19
Longwood 63 - High Point 71	0.664	Longwood 55 - High Point 75	12
Louisville 80 - Boston College 69	0.768	Louisville 77 - Boston College 69	3
Michigan 77 - Rutgers 59	0.899	Michigan 62 - Rutgers 47	3
NC State 75 - Miami 74	0.506	NC State 81 - Miami 86	6
New Hampshire 70 - Stony Brook 69	0.513	New Hampshire 53 - Stony Brook 51	-1
Presbyterian 69 - Winthrop 74	0.643	Presbyterian 68 - Winthrop 81	8
Quinnipiac 71 - Siena 70	0.558	Quinnipiac 76 - Siena 69	-6
Saint Peters 69 - Manhattan 65	0.614	Saint Peters 57 - Manhattan 68	15
Southern Illinois 70 - Northern Iowa 67	0.597	Southern Illinois 64 - Northern Iowa 53	-8
Utah 78 - Washington State 69	0.71	Utah 82 - Washington State 69	-4
Valparaiso 70 - Loyola Ill 72	0.569	Valparaiso 54 - Loyola Ill 70	14
Wake Forest 63 - Virginia 77	0.857	Wake Forest 49 - Virginia 59	-4

Number of DI Games: 345
Number Correct: 244 = 70.7%
Expected Number Correct: 242.472 = 70.2%
Average Error: 9.28
Average Signed Error: -0.05

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 72 - Alabama State 68	0.604	Alcorn State 81 - Alabama State 64	-13
American 66 - Holy Cross 62	0.629	American 57 - Holy Cross 60	7
Baylor 73 - Kansas State 71	0.555	Baylor 83 - Kansas State 90	9
Howard 68 - North Carolina AT 74	0.679	Howard 90 - North Carolina AT 88	-8
Illinois 69 - Michigan State 83	0.799	Illinois 74 - Michigan State 87	-1
Indiana 72 - Maryland 74	0.558	Indiana 71 - Maryland 68	-5
Maryland Eastern Shore 64 - North Carolina Central 70	0.662	Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - North Carolina Central 63	-3
Morgan State 78 - Delaware State 64	0.812	Morgan State 61 - Delaware State 47	0
Ohio State 80 - Nebraska 66	0.805	Ohio State 64 - Nebraska 59	9
Prairie View 79 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.909	Prairie View 93 - Mississippi Valley State 77	2
Savannah State 80 - Norfolk State 74	0.667	Savannah State 104 - Norfolk State 99	1
South Carolina State 73 - Hampton 76	0.592	South Carolina State 84 - Hampton 91	4
Southern 74 - Alabama AM 62	0.835	Southern 62 - Alabama AM 61	11
Texas 78 - Iowa State 69	0.686	Texas 73 - Iowa State 57	-7
Texas Christian 79 - West Virginia 80	0.521	Texas Christian 82 - West Virginia 73	-10
Texas Southern 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.821	Texas Southern 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	12
Troy 78 - Appalachian State 70	0.684	Troy 81 - Appalachian State 79	6
Virginia Tech 77 - North Carolina 85	0.702	Virginia Tech 80 - North Carolina 69	-19

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Ohio 71	0.529	Akron 71 - Ohio 68	-2
Bradley 67 - Missouri State 68	0.519	Bradley 72 - Missouri State 52	-21
Buffalo 82 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.94	Buffalo 83 - Eastern Michigan 69	4
Central Michigan 73 - Miami OH 66	0.668	Central Michigan 61 - Miami OH 70	16
Dayton 74 - Davidson 75	0.525	Dayton 65 - Davidson 64	-2
Fairfield 72 - Rider 76	0.61	Fairfield 88 - Rider 90	-2
Fresno State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	0.657	Fresno State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 63	-1
Georgia 77 - Arkansas 76	0.514	Georgia 77 - Arkansas 80	4
Grand Canyon 92 - Unranked 50		Grand Canyon 96 - Unranked 80
Iowa 76 - Wisconsin 74	0.549	Iowa 85 - Wisconsin 67	-16
Kent State 71 - Ball State 72	0.523	Kent State 88 - Ball State 80	-9
Kentucky 78 - Mississippi State 68	0.796	Kentucky 78 - Mississippi State 65	-3
Liberty 71 - Campbell 66	0.644	Liberty 85 - Campbell 94	14
Louisiana State 73 - Texas AM 74	0.517	Louisiana State 77 - Texas AM 65	-13
Minnesota 77 - Northwestern 73	0.59	Minnesota 69 - Northwestern 77	12
Mississippi 76 - Alabama 78	0.54	Mississippi 78 - Alabama 66	-14
Northern Illinois 74 - Bowling Green 73	0.522	Northern Illinois 93 - Bowling Green 62	-30
Oklahoma 82 - Kansas 83	0.521	Oklahoma 85 - Kansas 80	-6
Oral Roberts 89 - Unranked 57		Oral Roberts 93 - Unranked 66
Saint Johns 75 - Creighton 81	0.66	Saint Johns 63 - Creighton 68	-1
Saint Louis 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.554	Saint Louis 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	3
Tennessee 85 - Vanderbilt 67	0.935	Tennessee 67 - Vanderbilt 62	13
Texas Tech 80 - Oklahoma State 68	0.769	Texas Tech 75 - Oklahoma State 70	7
UMKC 84 - Unranked 60		UMKC 74 - Unranked 86
Villanova 86 - Providence 69	0.85	Villanova 89 - Providence 69	-3
Virginia 72 - Clemson 64	0.743	Virginia 61 - Clemson 36	-17
Wake Forest 73 - Duke 87	0.799	Wake Forest 70 - Duke 84	0
Western Michigan 71 - Toledo 75	0.588	Western Michigan 81 - Toledo 85	0

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 74 - Colgate 68	0.712	Army 78 - Colgate 81	9
Boise State 86 - San Jose State 55	0.999	Boise State 94 - San Jose State 71	8
Central Arkansas 72 - Stephen F Austin 77	0.632	Central Arkansas 100 - Stephen F Austin 92	-13
Charleston Southern 71 - Presbyterian 64	0.661	Charleston Southern 49 - Presbyterian 57	15
Chattanooga 72 - Samford 71	0.524	Chattanooga 78 - Samford 71	-6
Cincinnati 79 - Temple 62	0.86	Cincinnati 75 - Temple 42	-16
Drake 70 - Loyola Ill 74	0.585	Drake 57 - Loyola Ill 80	19
Duquesne 75 - Richmond 69	0.659	Duquesne 73 - Richmond 77	10
East Tennessee State 77 - Mercer 63	0.846	East Tennessee State 84 - Mercer 75	5
Florida 81 - South Carolina 69	0.782	Florida 72 - South Carolina 77	17
Florida State 81 - Georgia Tech 67	0.836	Florida State 88 - Georgia Tech 77	3
Fordham 60 - Rhode Island 82	0.998	Fordham 58 - Rhode Island 78	-2
Georgetown 78 - DePaul 72	0.717	Georgetown 73 - DePaul 74	7
High Point 66 - Radford 65	0.532	High Point 76 - Radford 78	3
Houston Baptist 77 - Incarnate Word 71	0.679	Houston Baptist 102 - Incarnate Word 86	-10
Illinois 75 - Indiana 74	0.519	Illinois 73 - Indiana 71	-1
Jacksonville 73 - Stetson 70	0.578	Jacksonville 76 - Stetson 69	-4
Kennesaw St 67 - NJ Tech 70	0.578	Kennesaw St 60 - NJ Tech 66	3
La Salle 76 - Massachusetts 73	0.603	La Salle 87 - Massachusetts 72	-12
Lafayette 68 - Boston 71	0.601	Lafayette 72 - Boston 75	0
Lamar 75 - Nicholls State 74	0.53	Lamar 74 - Nicholls State 79	6
Lehigh 77 - Loyola MD 69	0.77	Lehigh 88 - Loyola MD 91	11
Lipscomb 86 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.904	Lipscomb 92 - South Carolina Upstate 78	7
Longwood 64 - Winthrop 79	0.785	Longwood 78 - Winthrop 95	2
Maine 65 - New Hampshire 71	0.716	Maine 69 - New Hampshire 68	-7
Miami 74 - Louisville 72	0.563	Miami 78 - Louisville 75	-1
Missouri 76 - Auburn 77	0.534	Missouri 73 - Auburn 91	17
Navy 68 - Bucknell 75	0.744	Navy 67 - Bucknell 87	13
Niagara 75 - Manhattan 72	0.606	Niagara 72 - Manhattan 63	-6
North Florida 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 81	0.707	North Florida 87 - Florida Gulf Coast 96	0
Northern Iowa 74 - Illinois State 68	0.642	Northern Iowa 83 - Illinois State 72	-5
Northwestern State 61 - New Orleans 72	0.779	Northwestern State 67 - New Orleans 73	-5
Pittsburgh 69 - NC State 78	0.714	Pittsburgh 68 - NC State 72	-5
Rutgers 70 - Nebraska 71	0.528	Rutgers 54 - Nebraska 60	5
Saint Bonaventure 80 - Saint Josephs 71	0.762	Saint Bonaventure 70 - Saint Josephs 67	6
Sam Houston State 70 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.604	Sam Houston State 75 - Southeast Louisiana 65	-6
San Diego State 81 - Colorado State 67	0.829	San Diego State 97 - Colorado State 78	-5
South Dakota 77 - South Dakota State 75	0.567	South Dakota 87 - South Dakota State 68	-17
Southern California 81 - Stanford 72	0.752	Southern California 69 - Stanford 64	4
Southern Illinois 75 - Indiana State 72	0.578	Southern Illinois 82 - Indiana State 77	-2
Syracuse 75 - Boston College 69	0.721	Syracuse 81 - Boston College 63	-12
Texas AM CC 63 - Abilene Christian 73	0.78	Texas AM CC 80 - Abilene Christian 66	-24
UC Irvine 74 - UC Riverside 62	0.814	UC Irvine 79 - UC Riverside 40	-27
UMass Lowell 70 - Stony Brook 74	0.641	UMass Lowell 82 - Stony Brook 79	-7
UMBC 75 - Binghamton 64	0.733	UMBC 69 - Binghamton 57	-1
UNC Asheville 77 - Gardner Webb 67	0.731	UNC Asheville 65 - Gardner Webb 60	5
UNC Greensboro 69 - Furman 67	0.562	UNC Greensboro 71 - Furman 61	-8
Utah State 77 - Air Force 65	0.795	Utah State 71 - Air Force 49	-10
Valparaiso 71 - Evansville 68	0.566	Valparaiso 65 - Evansville 75	13
Vermont 76 - Albany 66	0.769	Vermont 61 - Albany 50	-1
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Wofford 78	0.795	Virginia Military Institute 46 - Wofford 63	3
Wyoming 73 - Nevada 81	0.723	Wyoming 104 - Nevada 103	-9
Xavier 85 - Marquette 76	0.741	Xavier 89 - Marquette 70	-10

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Texas El Paso 62	0.903	Alabama Birmingham 85 - Texas El Paso 78	11
Appalachian State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	0.667	Appalachian State 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	3
Arizona 83 - Colorado 68	0.864	Arizona 80 - Colorado 71	6
Arizona State 83 - Utah 72	0.748	Arizona State 77 - Utah 80	14
Austin Peay 76 - Eastern Kentucky 65	0.799	Austin Peay 90 - Eastern Kentucky 84	5
Belmont 79 - Eastern Illinois 58	0.928	Belmont 81 - Eastern Illinois 59	-1
Bryant 68 - Central Connecticut State 73	0.648	Bryant 74 - Central Connecticut State 80	1
Cal Poly 73 - Long Beach State 77	0.62	Cal Poly 71 - Long Beach State 87	12
Cal State Fullerton 75 - UC Santa Barbara 77	0.564	Cal State Fullerton 65 - UC Santa Barbara 70	3
Coastal Carolina 77 - Arkansas State 68	0.72	Coastal Carolina 62 - Arkansas State 47	-6
Connecticut 68 - Southern Methodist 75	0.679	Connecticut 63 - Southern Methodist 52	-18
Delaware 66 - College of Charleston 72	0.648	Delaware 54 - College of Charleston 62	2
Denver 72 - Western Illinois 66	0.652	Denver 70 - Western Illinois 58	-6
Drexel 70 - Elon 74	0.616	Drexel 83 - Elon 79	-8
Eastern Washington 77 - North Dakota 70	0.655	Eastern Washington 95 - North Dakota 71	-17
Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	0.576	Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 76	9
Georgia Southern 73 - Texas State 62	0.777	Georgia Southern 61 - Texas State 62	12
Georgia State 74 - Texas Arlington 70	0.606	Georgia State 81 - Texas Arlington 75	-2
Green Bay 74 - Cleveland State 70	0.681	Green Bay 66 - Cleveland State 44	-18
Hofstra 73 - Northeastern 72	0.517	Hofstra 67 - Northeastern 81	15
Idaho 73 - Northern Colorado 69	0.612	Idaho 63 - Northern Colorado 80	21
Jacksonville State 77 - Tennessee Martin 59	0.866	Jacksonville State 63 - Tennessee Martin 67	22
Marist 73 - Quinnipiac 71	0.568	Marist 77 - Quinnipiac 85	10
Middle Tennessee 84 - Texas San Antonio 64	0.964	Middle Tennessee 75 - Texas San Antonio 51	-4
Milwaukee 77 - Youngstown State 67	0.712	Milwaukee 66 - Youngstown State 55	-1
Monmouth 76 - Siena 67	0.784	Monmouth 67 - Siena 56	-2
Montana 85 - Southern Utah 65	0.943	Montana 71 - Southern Utah 47	-4
Montana State 78 - Northern Arizona 64	0.807	Montana State 75 - Northern Arizona 77	16
Mt St Marys 74 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.63	Mt St Marys 86 - LIU Brooklyn 80	-1
Murray State 80 - Morehead State 59	0.926	Murray State 87 - Morehead State 81	15
North Dakota State 80 - Omaha 69	0.744	North Dakota State 73 - Omaha 58	-4
North Texas 73 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.698	North Texas 59 - Florida Atlantic 53	1
Ohio State 82 - Penn State 66	0.852	Ohio State 79 - Penn State 82	19
Pepperdine 75 - Loyola Marymount 76	0.511	Pepperdine 71 - Loyola Marymount 70	-2
Portland 65 - Gonzaga 86	0.914	Portland 79 - Gonzaga 95	-5
Purdue 80 - Michigan 66	0.835	Purdue 92 - Michigan 88	10
Rice 68 - Florida International 73	0.631	Rice 73 - Florida International 64	-14
Saint Marys 76 - Brigham Young 68	0.775	Saint Marys 75 - Brigham Young 62	-5
San Diego 76 - Santa Clara 62	0.832	San Diego 66 - Santa Clara 58	6
San Francisco 73 - Pacific 69	0.633	San Francisco 69 - Pacific 67	2
Tennessee State 75 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.77	Tennessee State 85 - SIU Edwardsville 57	-19
Tennessee Tech 78 - SE Missouri State 72	0.678	Tennessee Tech 76 - SE Missouri State 65	-5
Towson 76 - William and Mary 72	0.606	Towson 96 - William and Mary 82	-10
Tulane 83 - South Florida 61	0.887	Tulane 75 - South Florida 80	27
UC Davis 79 - Cal State Northridge 57	0.94	UC Davis 63 - Cal State Northridge 56	15
UCLA 87 - California 69	0.861	UCLA 70 - California 57	5
UL Lafayette 82 - South Alabama 62	0.889	UL Lafayette 76 - South Alabama 57	1
UL Monroe 67 - Troy 73	0.649	UL Monroe 76 - Troy 71	-11
UNC Wilmington 77 - James Madison 75	0.541	UNC Wilmington 71 - James Madison 68	-1
Western Carolina 86 - Unranked 57		Western Carolina 108 - Unranked 48
Wichita State 76 - Central Florida 64	0.805	Wichita State 81 - Central Florida 62	-7

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 79 - Dartmouth 68	0.86	Brown 64 - Dartmouth 62	9
Michigan State 82 - Wisconsin 63	0.878	Michigan State 76 - Wisconsin 61	4
Northern Kentucky 79 - Oakland 69	0.768	Northern Kentucky 70 - Oakland 83	23
Ohio 71 - Buffalo 80	0.718	Ohio 66 - Buffalo 73	-2
Rider 77 - Saint Peters 65	0.803	Rider 63 - Saint Peters 60	9
Robert Morris 75 - Sacred Heart 61	0.849	Robert Morris 64 - Sacred Heart 56	6
Saint Francis Penn 73 - Wagner 70	0.575	Saint Francis Penn 61 - Wagner 91	33
Seattle 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.778	Seattle 59 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	8
Wright State 83 - Detroit 64	0.929	Wright State 87 - Detroit 55	-13
Yale 71 - Harvard 68	0.604	Yale 52 - Harvard 54	5

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 63 - Boise State 79	0.855	Air Force 64 - Boise State 70	-10
Alabama 82 - Oklahoma 81	0.506	Alabama 80 - Oklahoma 73	-6
Alabama AM 67 - Texas Southern 78	0.829	Alabama AM 56 - Texas Southern 58	-9
Alabama Birmingham 84 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.904	Alabama Birmingham 70 - Texas San Antonio 82	28
Alabama State 70 - Prairie View 74	0.604	Alabama State 80 - Prairie View 86	2
Appalachian State 78 - Arkansas State 70	0.676	Appalachian State 88 - Arkansas State 93	13
Arizona 82 - Utah 69	0.843	Arizona 74 - Utah 73	12
Arizona State 84 - Colorado 71	0.78	Arizona State 80 - Colorado 66	-1
Arkansas 84 - Oklahoma State 76	0.686	Arkansas 66 - Oklahoma State 65	7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Grambling State 68	0.596	Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 - Grambling State 69	4
Auburn 85 - Louisiana State 72	0.805	Auburn 95 - Louisiana State 70	-12
Austin Peay 74 - Morehead State 64	0.74	Austin Peay 92 - Morehead State 76	-6
Ball State 76 - Akron 66	0.772	Ball State 111 - Akron 106	5
Belmont 84 - SIU Edwardsville 61	0.956	Belmont 83 - SIU Edwardsville 72	12
Binghamton 66 - New Hampshire 67	0.51	Binghamton 52 - New Hampshire 57	4
Brigham Young 79 - Pacific 64	0.87	Brigham Young 80 - Pacific 65	0
Brown 70 - Harvard 68	0.577	Brown 77 - Harvard 86	11
Bryant 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 74	0.602	Bryant 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 89	9
Butler 83 - Saint Johns 70	0.793	Butler 70 - Saint Johns 45	-12
Cal State Northridge 69 - Long Beach State 77	0.723	Cal State Northridge 66 - Long Beach State 70	-4
Canisius 81 - Niagara 70	0.805	Canisius 89 - Niagara 105	27
Central Michigan 75 - Kent State 67	0.704	Central Michigan 76 - Kent State 84	16
Charlotte 61 - Old Dominion 79	0.89	Charlotte 66 - Old Dominion 88	4
Chattanooga 70 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.644	Chattanooga 69 - Virginia Military Institute 70	6
Chicago State 70 - Texas Pan American 81	0.799	Chicago State 81 - Texas Pan American 87	-5
Coastal Carolina 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.71	Coastal Carolina 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	-2
Colgate 73 - American 61	0.845	Colgate 83 - American 69	-2
College of Charleston 77 - James Madison 64	0.877	College of Charleston 66 - James Madison 59	6
Coppin State 70 - South Carolina State 69	0.533	Coppin State 73 - South Carolina State 65	-7
Cornell 75 - Columbia 74	0.53	Cornell 82 - Columbia 81	0
Creighton 86 - Georgetown 70	0.856	Creighton 85 - Georgetown 77	8
Delaware 70 - Hofstra 75	0.636	Delaware 59 - Hofstra 64	0
Delaware State 72 - Savannah State 82	0.752	Delaware State 86 - Savannah State 106	10
Denver 64 - South Dakota 75	0.829	Denver 84 - South Dakota 68	-27
Drexel 65 - Northeastern 77	0.781	Drexel 68 - Northeastern 67	-13
Duke 75 - Virginia 72	0.582	Duke 63 - Virginia 65	5
Eastern Washington 71 - Northern Colorado 72	0.516	Eastern Washington 67 - Northern Colorado 65	-3
Evansville 72 - Drake 69	0.561	Evansville 77 - Drake 73	-1
Florida 78 - Baylor 69	0.724	Florida 81 - Baylor 60	-12
Florida Gulf Coast 81 - Jacksonville 62	0.872	Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Jacksonville 62	13
Florida State 79 - Miami 73	0.652	Florida State 103 - Miami 94	-3
Fordham 67 - Massachusetts 72	0.633	Fordham 82 - Massachusetts 69	-18
Fresno State 79 - Utah State 68	0.849	Fresno State 62 - Utah State 65	14
Furman 79 - Western Carolina 61	0.924	Furman 100 - Western Carolina 66	-16
Gardner Webb 76 - Longwood 61	0.783	Gardner Webb 60 - Longwood 57	12
George Mason 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 78	0.629	George Mason 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 84	4
Georgia Southern 74 - Texas Arlington 71	0.577	Georgia Southern 74 - Texas Arlington 59	-12
Georgia State 73 - Texas State 61	0.786	Georgia State 54 - Texas State 50	8
Gonzaga 84 - San Francisco 63	0.913	Gonzaga 82 - San Francisco 73	12
Green Bay 77 - Youngstown State 73	0.615	Green Bay 85 - Youngstown State 67	-14
Hampton 81 - Florida AM 67	0.832	Hampton 71 - Florida AM 75	18
Hawaii 77 - Cal State Fullerton 69	0.725	Hawaii 66 - Cal State Fullerton 69	11
Holy Cross 67 - Lafayette 65	0.584	Holy Cross 85 - Lafayette 74	-9
Idaho 78 - North Dakota 66	0.734	Idaho 96 - North Dakota 71	-13
Idaho State 69 - Weber State 72	0.576	Idaho State 70 - Weber State 77	4
Illinois Chicago 74 - IUPUI 65	0.757	Illinois Chicago 71 - IUPUI 62	0
Illinois State 77 - Valparaiso 71	0.64	Illinois State 76 - Valparaiso 65	-5
Incarnate Word 66 - New Orleans 73	0.724	Incarnate Word 58 - New Orleans 68	3
Iowa State 73 - Tennessee 80	0.67	Iowa State 45 - Tennessee 68	16
Jacksonville State 77 - SE Missouri State 66	0.77	Jacksonville State 78 - SE Missouri State 60	-7
Kansas 80 - Texas AM 70	0.743	Kansas 79 - Texas AM 68	-1
Kansas State 75 - Georgia 68	0.699	Kansas State 56 - Georgia 51	2
Lamar 76 - Mcneese State 67	0.757	Lamar 86 - Mcneese State 80	3
Lehigh 72 - Navy 70	0.577	Lehigh 75 - Navy 77	4
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Central Connecticut State 69	0.581	LIU Brooklyn 94 - Central Connecticut State 89	-2
Louisiana Tech 76 - Southern Miss 68	0.745	Louisiana Tech 89 - Southern Miss 66	-15
Louisville 83 - Wake Forest 68	0.846	Louisville 96 - Wake Forest 77	-4
Loyola Marymount 69 - San Diego 75	0.7	Loyola Marymount 82 - San Diego 89	1
Loyola MD 69 - Army 74	0.676	Loyola MD 79 - Army 68	-16
Manhattan 68 - Iona 74	0.723	Manhattan 65 - Iona 78	7
Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Howard 69	0.532	Maryland Eastern Shore 75 - Howard 85	11
Memphis 65 - Cincinnati 77	0.801	Memphis 48 - Cincinnati 62	2
Mercer 89 - The Citadel 68	0.915	Mercer 74 - The Citadel 76	23
Miami OH 71 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.644	Miami OH 48 - Eastern Michigan 58	15
Middle Tennessee 81 - Texas El Paso 57	0.957	Middle Tennessee 81 - Texas El Paso 50	-7
Milwaukee 74 - Cleveland State 64	0.76	Milwaukee 70 - Cleveland State 47	-13
Mississippi State 70 - Missouri 72	0.546	Mississippi State 74 - Missouri 62	-14
Mississippi Valley State 62 - Jackson State 69	0.703	Mississippi Valley State 72 - Jackson State 67	-12
Missouri State 74 - Southern Illinois 65	0.738	Missouri State 77 - Southern Illinois 79	11
Monmouth 78 - Marist 69	0.751	Monmouth 91 - Marist 78	-4
Montana 86 - Northern Arizona 58	0.963	Montana 82 - Northern Arizona 64	10
Montana State 77 - Southern Utah 72	0.659	Montana State 69 - Southern Utah 66	2
Mt St Marys 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	0.603	Mt St Marys 86 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 72	-10
Murray State 82 - Eastern Kentucky 59	0.958	Murray State 88 - Eastern Kentucky 73	8
Nebraska 81 - Iowa 72	0.73	Nebraska 98 - Iowa 84	-5
Nevada Las Vegas 79 - San Diego State 77	0.547	Nevada Las Vegas 88 - San Diego State 78	-8
New Mexico 79 - Colorado State 70	0.736	New Mexico 80 - Colorado State 65	-6
Nicholls State 75 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.653	Nicholls State 63 - Southeast Louisiana 67	9
NJ Tech 71 - Lipscomb 73	0.54	NJ Tech 79 - Lipscomb 86	5
Norfolk State 73 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.572	Norfolk State 71 - Bethune Cookman 70	1
North Carolina 88 - NC State 72	0.834	North Carolina 91 - NC State 95	20
North Carolina AT 71 - North Carolina Central 65	0.695	North Carolina AT 70 - North Carolina Central 64	0
North Dakota State 77 - Western Illinois 63	0.776	North Dakota State 80 - Western Illinois 69	3
North Texas 74 - Florida International 67	0.698	North Texas 69 - Florida International 67	5
Northwestern State 66 - Central Arkansas 79	0.782	Northwestern State 78 - Central Arkansas 95	4
Notre Dame 80 - Virginia Tech 74	0.657	Notre Dame 75 - Virginia Tech 80	11
Oral Roberts 89 - Unranked 57		Oral Roberts 105 - Unranked 74
Oregon 77 - Oregon State 69	0.712	Oregon 66 - Oregon State 57	-1
Penn State 75 - Rutgers 67	0.703	Penn State 60 - Rutgers 43	-9
Pennsylvania 73 - Saint Josephs 75	0.541	Pennsylvania 67 - Saint Josephs 56	-13
Pepperdine 71 - Santa Clara 72	0.504	Pepperdine 59 - Santa Clara 73	13
Pittsburgh 62 - Syracuse 73	0.836	Pittsburgh 55 - Syracuse 60	-6
Portland State 83 - Sacramento State 67	0.902	Portland State 61 - Sacramento State 71	26
Presbyterian 63 - Liberty 69	0.661	Presbyterian 66 - Liberty 81	9
Quinnipiac 69 - Fairfield 75	0.677	Quinnipiac 75 - Fairfield 70	-11
Radford 74 - Charleston Southern 59	0.829	Radford 81 - Charleston Southern 84	18
Rhode Island 83 - Duquesne 63	0.946	Rhode Island 61 - Duquesne 58	17
Rice 68 - Florida Atlantic 72	0.63	Rice 62 - Florida Atlantic 63	-3
Saint Louis 72 - Dayton 68	0.577	Saint Louis 75 - Dayton 65	-6
Saint Marys 87 - Portland 59	0.983	Saint Marys 72 - Portland 55	11
Samford 66 - UNC Greensboro 75	0.738	Samford 82 - UNC Greensboro 98	7
San Jose State 65 - Wyoming 80	0.848	San Jose State 86 - Wyoming 90	-11
South Carolina 70 - Texas Tech 74	0.609	South Carolina 63 - Texas Tech 70	3
South Carolina Upstate 72 - Kennesaw St 73	0.523	South Carolina Upstate 80 - Kennesaw St 81	0
South Dakota State 85 - IPFW 70	0.844	South Dakota State 78 - IPFW 76	13
Southern 75 - Alcorn State 65	0.796	Southern 61 - Alcorn State 48	-3
Stephen F Austin 76 - Sam Houston State 63	0.861	Stephen F Austin 82 - Sam Houston State 66	-3
Stetson 78 - North Florida 76	0.541	Stetson 65 - North Florida 73	10
Stony Brook 68 - Albany 71	0.57	Stony Brook 50 - Albany 57	4
Tennessee State 71 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.702	Tennessee State 50 - Eastern Illinois 47	5
Tennessee Tech 77 - Tennessee Martin 65	0.816	Tennessee Tech 63 - Tennessee Martin 55	4
Texas 79 - Mississippi 71	0.726	Texas 85 - Mississippi 72	-5
Texas AM CC 71 - Houston Baptist 70	0.538	Texas AM CC 79 - Houston Baptist 69	-9
Toledo 82 - Bowling Green 67	0.83	Toledo 101 - Bowling Green 75	-11
Towson 75 - Elon 66	0.733	Towson 76 - Elon 83	16
UC Davis 79 - Cal Poly 62	0.899	UC Davis 80 - Cal Poly 56	-7
UC Riverside 65 - UC Santa Barbara 78	0.817	UC Riverside 69 - UC Santa Barbara 76	-6
UCLA 81 - Stanford 76	0.653	UCLA 89 - Stanford 73	-11
UL Lafayette 83 - Troy 65	0.9	UL Lafayette 81 - Troy 69	6
UL Monroe 66 - South Alabama 70	0.603	UL Monroe 83 - South Alabama 74	-13
UMass Lowell 70 - Hartford 74	0.584	UMass Lowell 70 - Hartford 77	3
UMBC 79 - Maine 62	0.853	UMBC 86 - Maine 74	5
UMKC 59 - New Mexico State 80	0.938	UMKC 48 - New Mexico State 73	4
UNC Asheville 73 - High Point 67	0.627	UNC Asheville 84 - High Point 77	-1
UNC Wilmington 74 - William and Mary 83	0.687	UNC Wilmington 81 - William and Mary 84	-6
Utah Valley 74 - Grand Canyon 69	0.638	Utah Valley 68 - Grand Canyon 56	-7
Vanderbilt 76 - Texas Christian 82	0.742	Vanderbilt 81 - Texas Christian 78	-9
West Virginia 81 - Kentucky 71	0.72	West Virginia 76 - Kentucky 83	17
Western Kentucky 84 - Marshall 73	0.783	Western Kentucky 85 - Marshall 74	0
Western Michigan 76 - Northern Illinois 66	0.762	Western Michigan 79 - Northern Illinois 72	3
Winthrop 79 - Campbell 68	0.76	Winthrop 75 - Campbell 64	0
Wofford 70 - East Tennessee State 73	0.566	Wofford 62 - East Tennessee State 75	10
Yale 80 - Dartmouth 67	0.869	Yale 74 - Dartmouth 64	3

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston 71 - Bucknell 76	0.656	Boston 79 - Bucknell 91	7
Davidson 81 - Richmond 67	0.779	Davidson 63 - Richmond 66	17
DePaul 71 - Seton Hall 78	0.734	DePaul 70 - Seton Hall 86	9
Georgia Tech 65 - Clemson 76	0.793	Georgia Tech 70 - Clemson 72	-9
Houston 86 - South Florida 56	0.928	Houston 63 - South Florida 40	7
Indiana 67 - Purdue 82	0.824	Indiana 67 - Purdue 74	-8
Indiana State 74 - Bradley 69	0.612	Indiana State 73 - Bradley 81	13
Loyola Ill 73 - Northern Iowa 63	0.753	Loyola Ill 70 - Northern Iowa 47	-13
Marquette 77 - Villanova 84	0.702	Marquette 82 - Villanova 85	-4
Maryland 73 - Michigan State 77	0.617	Maryland 68 - Michigan State 74	2
Northern Kentucky 86 - Detroit 63	0.933	Northern Kentucky 72 - Detroit 44	-5
Princeton 92 - Unranked 52		Princeton 86 - Unranked 50
Robert Morris 69 - Wagner 66	0.603	Robert Morris 64 - Wagner 77	16
Saint Bonaventure 79 - George Washington 64	0.864	Saint Bonaventure 70 - George Washington 52	-3
Saint Francis Penn 79 - Sacred Heart 65	0.821	Saint Francis Penn 72 - Sacred Heart 71	13
Southern California 87 - California 65	0.906	Southern California 77 - California 59	4
Southern Methodist 84 - East Carolina 57	0.939	Southern Methodist 86 - East Carolina 61	2
Temple 76 - Connecticut 67	0.702	Temple 85 - Connecticut 57	-19
Washington 79 - Washington State 67	0.755	Washington 80 - Washington State 62	-6
Wichita State 83 - Tulsa 67	0.839	Wichita State 90 - Tulsa 71	-3
Wright State 75 - Oakland 70	0.698	Wright State 64 - Oakland 51	-8

Number of DI Games: 318
Number Correct: 230 = 72.3%
Expected Number Correct: 228.239 = 71.7%
Average Error: 8.3
Average Signed Error: 0.76

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 66 - Prairie View 73	0.698	Alabama AM 67 - Prairie View 88	14
Alabama State 69 - Texas Southern 77	0.732	Alabama State 82 - Texas Southern 97	7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Jackson State 63	0.726	Arkansas Pine Bluff 60 - Jackson State 58	5
Chattanooga 60 - UNC Greensboro 74	0.84	Chattanooga 87 - UNC Greensboro 85	-16
Coppin State 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.651	Coppin State 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	3
Duke 87 - Notre Dame 71	0.807	Duke 88 - Notre Dame 66	-6
Fairfield 71 - Iona 77	0.683	Fairfield 103 - Iona 100	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 84 - North Florida 68	0.842	Florida Gulf Coast 103 - North Florida 70	-17
Hampton 77 - Bethune Cookman 73	0.595	Hampton 80 - Bethune Cookman 69	-7
Holy Cross 71 - Lehigh 69	0.578	Holy Cross 67 - Lehigh 71	6
Kansas State 75 - Kansas 77	0.566	Kansas State 56 - Kansas 70	12
Michigan 78 - Northwestern 66	0.736	Michigan 58 - Northwestern 47	1
Milwaukee 71 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.587	Milwaukee 56 - Illinois Chicago 74	21
Mississippi Valley State 64 - Grambling State 72	0.714	Mississippi Valley State 89 - Grambling State 92	-5
Morgan State 76 - South Carolina State 67	0.745	Morgan State 59 - South Carolina State 74	24
NJ Tech 74 - Kennesaw St 63	0.802	NJ Tech 74 - Kennesaw St 71	8
Norfolk State 75 - Florida AM 64	0.81	Norfolk State 80 - Florida AM 71	2
Rider 80 - Monmouth 70	0.762	Rider 92 - Monmouth 85	3
Samford 75 - Virginia Military Institute 68	0.68	Samford 93 - Virginia Military Institute 79	-7
Siena 66 - Saint Peters 67	0.519	Siena 59 - Saint Peters 57	-3
South Carolina Upstate 69 - Lipscomb 83	0.83	South Carolina Upstate 106 - Lipscomb 110	-10
Stetson 71 - Jacksonville 69	0.541	Stetson 67 - Jacksonville 68	3
The Citadel 66 - East Tennessee State 88	0.929	The Citadel 71 - East Tennessee State 73	-20
Wisconsin 71 - Nebraska 72	0.526	Wisconsin 63 - Nebraska 74	10
Wofford 80 - Western Carolina 63	0.874	Wofford 77 - Western Carolina 68	8

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 74 - Ohio 73	0.508	Bowling Green 66 - Ohio 50	-15
Central Michigan 74 - Northern Illinois 68	0.657	Central Michigan 81 - Northern Illinois 67	-8
Clemson 79 - North Carolina 76	0.6	Clemson 82 - North Carolina 78	-1
Drake 74 - Southern Illinois 73	0.504	Drake 67 - Southern Illinois 78	12
Eastern Michigan 70 - Western Michigan 68	0.569	Eastern Michigan 57 - Western Michigan 71	16
Georgia 72 - Florida 75	0.576	Georgia 72 - Florida 60	-15
Illinois 74 - Rutgers 69	0.64	Illinois 91 - Rutgers 60	-26
Iowa 81 - Minnesota 79	0.547	Iowa 94 - Minnesota 80	-12
Kent State 70 - Buffalo 79	0.775	Kent State 82 - Buffalo 79	-12
Kentucky 83 - Vanderbilt 69	0.875	Kentucky 83 - Vanderbilt 81	12
Manhattan 76 - Marist 63	0.873	Manhattan 59 - Marist 62	16
Massachusetts 66 - Rhode Island 81	0.883	Massachusetts 83 - Rhode Island 85	-13
Mcneese State 68 - Sam Houston State 72	0.611	Mcneese State 57 - Sam Houston State 67	6
Miami OH 72 - Akron 67	0.657	Miami OH 79 - Akron 64	-10
Mississippi 77 - Auburn 85	0.731	Mississippi 70 - Auburn 79	1
Missouri State 76 - Illinois State 68	0.687	Missouri State 60 - Illinois State 76	24
New Mexico State 96 - Unranked 46		New Mexico State 71 - Unranked 46
Ohio State 81 - Indiana 67	0.809	Ohio State 71 - Indiana 56	-1
Oklahoma 85 - Baylor 74	0.765	Oklahoma 98 - Baylor 96	9
Oklahoma State 79 - Texas Christian 81	0.554	Oklahoma State 66 - Texas Christian 79	11
Saint Johns 71 - Xavier 83	0.778	Saint Johns 68 - Xavier 73	-7
South Dakota State 88 - Omaha 69	0.897	South Dakota State 80 - Omaha 60	-1
Texas AM 79 - Arkansas 76	0.579	Texas AM 80 - Arkansas 66	-11
Texas Pan American 90 - Unranked 60		Texas Pan American 86 - Unranked 50
Toledo 81 - Ball State 69	0.777	Toledo 63 - Ball State 75	24

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Lamar 68	0.595	Abilene Christian 74 - Lamar 69	-2
Alabama 77 - Missouri 72	0.63	Alabama 60 - Missouri 69	14
American 63 - Navy 67	0.638	American 44 - Navy 61	13
Binghamton 60 - Vermont 77	0.907	Binghamton 54 - Vermont 68	-3
Boston 76 - Loyola MD 66	0.788	Boston 64 - Loyola MD 55	1
Boston College 77 - Virginia Tech 78	0.511	Boston College 80 - Virginia Tech 85	4
Bradley 68 - Loyola Ill 70	0.546	Bradley 69 - Loyola Ill 67	-4
Bucknell 82 - Army 67	0.879	Bucknell 83 - Army 71	3
Cal Poly 72 - UC Riverside 68	0.594	Cal Poly 71 - UC Riverside 68	1
Central Florida 72 - Connecticut 64	0.686	Central Florida 70 - Connecticut 61	-1
Cincinnati 77 - Houston 65	0.757	Cincinnati 80 - Houston 70	2
Colorado State 75 - Wyoming 79	0.631	Colorado State 86 - Wyoming 91	1
Davidson 80 - La Salle 70	0.736	Davidson 84 - La Salle 65	-9
East Carolina 70 - Tulane 77	0.685	East Carolina 69 - Tulane 71	-5
Evansville 69 - Northern Iowa 66	0.583	Evansville 57 - Northern Iowa 49	-5
Florida AM 76 - Savannah State 81	0.656	Florida AM 100 - Savannah State 107	2
George Mason 70 - Saint Bonaventure 80	0.79	George Mason 69 - Saint Bonaventure 85	6
George Washington 71 - Duquesne 70	0.502	George Washington 73 - Duquesne 75	3
Georgia Tech 67 - Syracuse 71	0.637	Georgia Tech 55 - Syracuse 51	-8
Hampton 76 - Coppin State 64	0.788	Hampton 70 - Coppin State 59	1
Iowa State 72 - West Virginia 80	0.679	Iowa State 93 - West Virginia 77	-24
Lafayette 67 - Colgate 71	0.647	Lafayette 93 - Colgate 83	-14
Long Beach State 75 - UC Irvine 72	0.576	Long Beach State 68 - UC Irvine 75	10
Maine 73 - UMass Lowell 72	0.514	Maine 64 - UMass Lowell 88	25
Marquette 80 - Butler 78	0.556	Marquette 72 - Butler 92	22
Miami 81 - Pittsburgh 60	0.945	Miami 69 - Pittsburgh 57	9
Michigan State 84 - Penn State 69	0.841	Michigan State 76 - Penn State 68	7
Nevada 82 - Fresno State 68	0.885	Nevada 102 - Fresno State 92	4
Nevada Las Vegas 87 - San Jose State 64	0.943	Nevada Las Vegas 76 - San Jose State 67	14
New Hampshire 69 - Hartford 67	0.555	New Hampshire 62 - Hartford 79	19
New Orleans 76 - Northwestern State 57	0.912	New Orleans 82 - Northwestern State 64	1
Purdue 84 - Maryland 67	0.899	Purdue 75 - Maryland 67	9
Saint Josephs 73 - Saint Louis 70	0.565	Saint Josephs 59 - Saint Louis 60	4
Seton Hall 79 - Providence 72	0.678	Seton Hall 73 - Providence 57	-9
South Carolina 75 - Mississippi State 70	0.642	South Carolina 76 - Mississippi State 81	10
South Florida 65 - Memphis 75	0.727	South Florida 74 - Memphis 86	2
Southeast Louisiana 73 - Texas AM CC 59	0.812	Southeast Louisiana 54 - Texas AM CC 67	27
Stephen F Austin 85 - Houston Baptist 62	0.949	Stephen F Austin 102 - Houston Baptist 82	3
Stony Brook 71 - UMBC 70	0.515	Stony Brook 63 - UMBC 67	5
Tennessee 82 - Louisiana State 70	0.8	Tennessee 84 - Louisiana State 61	-11
Texas Tech 76 - Texas 67	0.7	Texas Tech 73 - Texas 71	7
Utah State 74 - New Mexico 73	0.533	Utah State 89 - New Mexico 80	-8
Valparaiso 74 - Indiana State 75	0.517	Valparaiso 69 - Indiana State 63	-7
Virginia 77 - Louisville 63	0.845	Virginia 74 - Louisville 64	4
Wake Forest 76 - Florida State 84	0.704	Wake Forest 76 - Florida State 72	-12
Washington State 69 - Arizona 83	0.835	Washington State 72 - Arizona 100	14

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 63 - Georgia Southern 72	0.725	Arkansas Little Rock 61 - Georgia Southern 67	-3
Arkansas State 66 - Georgia State 76	0.736	Arkansas State 66 - Georgia State 77	1
Bryant 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 75	0.627	Bryant 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 73	-1
Cal State Bakersfield 78 - Chicago State 63	0.839	Cal State Bakersfield 91 - Chicago State 61	-15
Cal State Northridge 61 - UC Davis 74	0.859	Cal State Northridge 56 - UC Davis 63	-6
California 69 - Oregon 80	0.744	California 53 - Oregon 66	2
Campbell 73 - UNC Asheville 74	0.517	Campbell 57 - UNC Asheville 64	6
Charleston Southern 65 - High Point 69	0.575	Charleston Southern 83 - High Point 74	-13
Charlotte 67 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0.822	Charlotte 64 - Alabama Birmingham 76	-1
Cleveland State 59 - Wright State 75	0.898	Cleveland State 77 - Wright State 74	-19
Delaware 67 - Towson 73	0.674	Delaware 71 - Towson 75	-2
Drexel 74 - James Madison 71	0.613	Drexel 76 - James Madison 74	1
East Tennessee State 86 - Samford 60	0.953	East Tennessee State 96 - Samford 76	6
Eastern Illinois 62 - Jacksonville State 69	0.669	Eastern Illinois 56 - Jacksonville State 75	12
Eastern Kentucky 64 - Belmont 78	0.883	Eastern Kentucky 63 - Belmont 98	21
Florida Atlantic 67 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.64	Florida Atlantic 62 - Louisiana Tech 67	0
Florida International 72 - Southern Miss 71	0.537	Florida International 76 - Southern Miss 70	-5
Gonzaga 83 - San Diego 65	0.892	Gonzaga 69 - San Diego 59	8
Grand Canyon 79 - UMKC 59	0.943	Grand Canyon 79 - UMKC 62	3
Hofstra 83 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.834	Hofstra 96 - UNC Wilmington 76	-6
IPFW 76 - Oral Roberts 70	0.657	IPFW 85 - Oral Roberts 75	-4
Liberty 69 - Winthrop 72	0.569	Liberty 77 - Winthrop 61	-19
Loyola Marymount 65 - Brigham Young 81	0.91	Loyola Marymount 76 - Brigham Young 69	-23
Mercer 69 - Furman 73	0.602	Mercer 73 - Furman 85	8
Morehead State 67 - Tennessee State 68	0.517	Morehead State 58 - Tennessee State 61	2
North Dakota 76 - Montana State 73	0.575	North Dakota 75 - Montana State 74	2
Northeastern 71 - College of Charleston 65	0.69	Northeastern 64 - College of Charleston 69	11
Northern Arizona 69 - Idaho State 72	0.597	Northern Arizona 61 - Idaho State 63	-1
Northern Colorado 71 - Montana 73	0.559	Northern Colorado 79 - Montana 88	7
Old Dominion 69 - Middle Tennessee 68	0.504	Old Dominion 59 - Middle Tennessee 66	8
Portland 78 - Pepperdine 69	0.807	Portland 85 - Pepperdine 76	0
Portland State 76 - Idaho 73	0.59	Portland State 88 - Idaho 97	12
Presbyterian 71 - Longwood 63	0.689	Presbyterian 67 - Longwood 62	3
Radford 73 - Gardner Webb 62	0.795	Radford 70 - Gardner Webb 66	7
Robert Morris 74 - Mt St Marys 64	0.78	Robert Morris 42 - Mt St Marys 67	35
Sacramento State 68 - Eastern Washington 70	0.581	Sacramento State 54 - Eastern Washington 74	18
Sacred Heart 71 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.548	Sacred Heart 60 - LIU Brooklyn 69	11
Saint Francis Penn 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.8	Saint Francis Penn 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	-3
Saint Marys 81 - San Francisco 61	0.949	Saint Marys 79 - San Francisco 43	-16
Santa Clara 70 - Pacific 72	0.568	Santa Clara 45 - Pacific 63	16
SE Missouri State 69 - Murray State 80	0.815	SE Missouri State 75 - Murray State 87	1
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Tennessee Tech 75	0.665	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Tennessee Tech 68	-4
South Dakota State 80 - North Dakota State 69	0.758	South Dakota State 82 - North Dakota State 63	-8
Southern Utah 70 - Weber State 77	0.684	Southern Utah 80 - Weber State 90	3
Stanford 75 - Oregon State 69	0.664	Stanford 80 - Oregon State 71	-3
Temple 72 - Wichita State 78	0.639	Temple 81 - Wichita State 79	-8
Tennessee Martin 68 - Austin Peay 73	0.635	Tennessee Martin 57 - Austin Peay 59	-3
Texas Arlington 81 - Appalachian State 69	0.761	Texas Arlington 89 - Appalachian State 77	0
Texas El Paso 63 - Western Kentucky 80	0.894	Texas El Paso 60 - Western Kentucky 72	-5
Texas San Antonio 78 - Marshall 82	0.631	Texas San Antonio 81 - Marshall 77	-8
Texas State 69 - Coastal Carolina 64	0.641	Texas State 54 - Coastal Carolina 56	7
The Citadel 72 - Wofford 86	0.816	The Citadel 80 - Wofford 78	-16
Tulsa 71 - Southern Methodist 75	0.594	Tulsa 76 - Southern Methodist 67	-13
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Hawaii 67	0.759	UC Santa Barbara 84 - Hawaii 82	6
UNC Greensboro 78 - Virginia Military Institute 55	0.934	UNC Greensboro 73 - Virginia Military Institute 51	1
Villanova 87 - Creighton 73	0.816	Villanova 98 - Creighton 78	-6
Wagner 75 - Central Connecticut State 60	0.838	Wagner 72 - Central Connecticut State 59	2
Washington 76 - Arizona State 78	0.536	Washington 68 - Arizona State 64	-6
Western Carolina 72 - Chattanooga 66	0.69	Western Carolina 70 - Chattanooga 68	4
Western Illinois 63 - South Dakota 78	0.816	Western Illinois 54 - South Dakota 80	11
William and Mary 79 - Elon 72	0.67	William and Mary 99 - Elon 92	0
Wisconsin 72 - Northwestern 71	0.519	Wisconsin 52 - Northwestern 60	9
Youngstown State 64 - Northern Kentucky 80	0.85	Youngstown State 85 - Northern Kentucky 95	-6

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 82 - Western Michigan 67	0.887	Buffalo 92 - Western Michigan 86	9
Colorado 72 - Utah 73	0.508	Colorado 67 - Utah 55	-13
Columbia 68 - Harvard 71	0.61	Columbia 83 - Harvard 76	-10
Cornell 77 - Dartmouth 70	0.697	Cornell 86 - Dartmouth 85	6
Detroit 75 - IUPUI 71	0.59	Detroit 74 - IUPUI 60	-10
Iona 82 - Quinnipiac 64	0.917	Iona 87 - Quinnipiac 82	13
Marist 67 - Canisius 78	0.804	Marist 67 - Canisius 73	-5
Milwaukee 75 - Green Bay 66	0.712	Milwaukee 76 - Green Bay 58	-9
Monmouth 77 - Fairfield 70	0.716	Monmouth 78 - Fairfield 79	8
Oakland 80 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.805	Oakland 73 - Illinois Chicago 79	18
Pennsylvania 79 - Brown 65	0.872	Pennsylvania 95 - Brown 90	9
Princeton 78 - Yale 65	0.816	Princeton 76 - Yale 73	10
Saint Peters 73 - Niagara 72	0.518	Saint Peters 58 - Niagara 52	-5
Siena 66 - Manhattan 68	0.552	Siena 47 - Manhattan 51	2
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Rhode Island 79	0.723	Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Rhode Island 81	6

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 70 - Toledo 78	0.723	Akron 56 - Toledo 77	13
Albany 73 - New Hampshire 60	0.823	Albany 83 - New Hampshire 74	4
Arkansas Little Rock 62 - Georgia State 72	0.755	Arkansas Little Rock 51 - Georgia State 81	20
Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 - Alabama AM 60	0.873	Arkansas Pine Bluff 80 - Alabama AM 62	-5
Arkansas State 68 - Georgia Southern 76	0.704	Arkansas State 91 - Georgia Southern 89	-10
Army 75 - American 62	0.839	Army 82 - American 70	1
Auburn 88 - Vanderbilt 69	0.92	Auburn 93 - Vanderbilt 81	7
Baylor 78 - Iowa State 70	0.689	Baylor 81 - Iowa State 67	-6
Bethune Cookman 76 - Coppin State 64	0.794	Bethune Cookman 80 - Coppin State 60	-8
Boise State 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.746	Boise State 93 - Nevada Las Vegas 91	8
Bowling Green 73 - Kent State 74	0.519	Bowling Green 70 - Kent State 62	-9
Bradley 76 - Drake 67	0.71	Bradley 68 - Drake 78	19
Bryant 71 - LIU Brooklyn 76	0.679	Bryant 71 - LIU Brooklyn 84	8
Bucknell 84 - Lafayette 61	0.953	Bucknell 74 - Lafayette 59	8
Butler 84 - DePaul 68	0.876	Butler 80 - DePaul 57	-7
Cal Poly 64 - Hawaii 75	0.809	Cal Poly 78 - Hawaii 64	-25
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - UMKC 65	0.677	Cal State Bakersfield 81 - UMKC 58	-17
Cal State Fullerton 74 - UC Irvine 69	0.651	Cal State Fullerton 58 - UC Irvine 63	10
California 68 - Oregon State 74	0.653	California 74 - Oregon State 70	-10
Central Florida 67 - Houston 70	0.576	Central Florida 65 - Houston 69	1
Charlotte 60 - Middle Tennessee 81	0.939	Charlotte 73 - Middle Tennessee 78	-16
Cleveland State 60 - Northern Kentucky 78	0.886	Cleveland State 61 - Northern Kentucky 78	-1
Colorado State 69 - Nevada 83	0.883	Colorado State 67 - Nevada 76	-5
Columbia 77 - Dartmouth 69	0.787	Columbia 77 - Dartmouth 74	5
Connecticut 64 - Cincinnati 78	0.812	Connecticut 57 - Cincinnati 65	-6
Cornell 68 - Harvard 72	0.623	Cornell 73 - Harvard 76	-1
Duquesne 71 - Saint Bonaventure 75	0.615	Duquesne 81 - Saint Bonaventure 84	-1
East Carolina 67 - Memphis 75	0.717	East Carolina 88 - Memphis 85	-11
East Tennessee State 82 - Chattanooga 55	0.96	East Tennessee State 81 - Chattanooga 61	7
Eastern Illinois 67 - Tennessee Tech 70	0.589	Eastern Illinois 79 - Tennessee Tech 71	-11
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Tennessee State 70	0.558	Eastern Kentucky 60 - Tennessee State 73	11
Eastern Michigan 72 - Ball State 70	0.559	Eastern Michigan 58 - Ball State 41	-15
Elon 75 - Delaware 65	0.754	Elon 89 - Delaware 76	-3
Florida 80 - Alabama 73	0.685	Florida 50 - Alabama 68	25
Florida Atlantic 71 - Southern Miss 69	0.563	Florida Atlantic 66 - Southern Miss 77	13
Florida International 68 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.669	Florida International 71 - Louisiana Tech 68	-9
Gardner Webb 71 - Charleston Southern 63	0.674	Gardner Webb 63 - Charleston Southern 61	6
George Washington 68 - Davidson 73	0.638	George Washington 58 - Davidson 87	24
Gonzaga 80 - Brigham Young 70	0.745	Gonzaga 68 - Brigham Young 60	2
Grambling State 71 - Southern 66	0.646	Grambling State 69 - Southern 68	4
Grand Canyon 86 - Chicago State 57	0.997	Grand Canyon 89 - Chicago State 55	-5
High Point 72 - Campbell 67	0.635	High Point 67 - Campbell 56	-6
Hofstra 72 - College of Charleston 70	0.568	Hofstra 85 - College of Charleston 86	3
Howard 76 - Florida AM 69	0.731	Howard 83 - Florida AM 80	4
Illinois State 74 - Evansville 70	0.577	Illinois State 75 - Evansville 71	0
Incarnate Word 69 - Texas AM CC 70	0.531	Incarnate Word 51 - Texas AM CC 56	4
Indiana 71 - Michigan State 80	0.723	Indiana 60 - Michigan State 63	-6
IPFW 75 - Denver 67	0.684	IPFW 91 - Denver 63	-20
Jackson State 70 - Alcorn State 62	0.72	Jackson State 60 - Alcorn State 57	5
Jacksonville 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	0.738	Jacksonville 55 - Florida Gulf Coast 80	15
James Madison 68 - Towson 75	0.715	James Madison 79 - Towson 73	-13
Kansas 85 - Oklahoma State 70	0.852	Kansas 79 - Oklahoma State 84	20
Kennesaw St 77 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.762	Kennesaw St 93 - South Carolina Upstate 69	-15
La Salle 78 - Saint Josephs 75	0.583	La Salle 81 - Saint Josephs 78	0
Lamar 68 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.665	Lamar 76 - Stephen F Austin 54	-28
Lehigh 73 - Boston 74	0.546	Lehigh 80 - Boston 75	-6
Lipscomb 77 - NJ Tech 67	0.756	Lipscomb 77 - NJ Tech 81	14
Long Beach State 74 - UC Davis 75	0.524	Long Beach State 104 - UC Davis 105	0
Longwood 62 - Liberty 71	0.7	Longwood 55 - Liberty 67	3
Louisiana State 80 - Arkansas 79	0.518	Louisiana State 94 - Arkansas 86	-7
Louisville 82 - Florida State 78	0.601	Louisville 76 - Florida State 80	8
Loyola Ill 73 - Missouri State 63	0.742	Loyola Ill 97 - Missouri State 75	-12
Loyola MD 70 - Holy Cross 65	0.692	Loyola MD 57 - Holy Cross 73	21
Maine 68 - Binghamton 69	0.502	Maine 81 - Binghamton 79	-3
Marquette 81 - Providence 75	0.641	Marquette 75 - Providence 77	8
Massachusetts 73 - Dayton 75	0.556	Massachusetts 86 - Dayton 82	-6
Mercer 71 - Wofford 72	0.533	Mercer 73 - Wofford 65	-9
Michigan 81 - Minnesota 68	0.804	Michigan 76 - Minnesota 73	10
Mississippi State 72 - Georgia 68	0.624	Mississippi State 72 - Georgia 57	-11
Mississippi Valley State 70 - Alabama State 69	0.516	Mississippi Valley State 85 - Alabama State 89	5
Missouri 74 - Kentucky 76	0.543	Missouri 69 - Kentucky 60	-11
Morehead State 64 - Belmont 77	0.814	Morehead State 73 - Belmont 83	-3
Mt St Marys 74 - Saint Francis Penn 73	0.502	Mt St Marys 59 - Saint Francis Penn 56	-2
NC State 79 - Notre Dame 76	0.582	NC State 76 - Notre Dame 58	-15
New Mexico State 84 - Texas Pan American 61	0.956	New Mexico State 90 - Texas Pan American 67	0
New Orleans 71 - Nicholls State 70	0.503	New Orleans 64 - Nicholls State 81	18
Norfolk State 73 - Morgan State 66	0.695	Norfolk State 76 - Morgan State 65	-4
North Carolina 87 - Pittsburgh 62	0.949	North Carolina 96 - Pittsburgh 65	-6
North Carolina AT 75 - Hampton 68	0.705	North Carolina AT 92 - Hampton 84	-1
North Carolina Central 77 - Delaware State 57	0.906	North Carolina Central 72 - Delaware State 61	9
North Dakota 68 - Montana 80	0.776	North Dakota 67 - Montana 72	-7
North Dakota State 69 - South Dakota 72	0.572	North Dakota State 72 - South Dakota 76	1
North Florida 80 - Stetson 71	0.697	North Florida 97 - Stetson 91	3
North Texas 77 - Rice 63	0.888	North Texas 74 - Rice 70	10
Northeastern 82 - UNC Wilmington 65	0.881	Northeastern 107 - UNC Wilmington 100	10
Northern Arizona 66 - Weber State 77	0.777	Northern Arizona 55 - Weber State 87	21
Northern Colorado 79 - Montana State 65	0.827	Northern Colorado 86 - Montana State 63	-9
Northern Illinois 70 - Miami OH 68	0.549	Northern Illinois 65 - Miami OH 81	18
Northern Iowa 74 - Indiana State 69	0.624	Northern Iowa 66 - Indiana State 77	16
Northwestern State 67 - Mcneese State 72	0.641	Northwestern State 62 - Mcneese State 75	8
Ohio 73 - Central Michigan 69	0.602	Ohio 98 - Central Michigan 101	7
Old Dominion 75 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.735	Old Dominion 65 - Alabama Birmingham 60	3
Penn State 83 - Iowa 74	0.759	Penn State 82 - Iowa 58	-15
Pennsylvania 77 - Yale 65	0.841	Pennsylvania 59 - Yale 50	3
Pepperdine 70 - Pacific 78	0.762	Pepperdine 72 - Pacific 81	1
Portland 77 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.689	Portland 68 - Loyola Marymount 66	4
Portland State 79 - Eastern Washington 73	0.662	Portland State 94 - Eastern Washington 81	-7
Prairie View 76 - Texas Southern 75	0.537	Prairie View 96 - Texas Southern 82	-13
Princeton 79 - Brown 65	0.846	Princeton 100 - Brown 102	16
Richmond 79 - George Mason 69	0.747	Richmond 75 - George Mason 79	14
Robert Morris 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.887	Robert Morris 67 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	19
Rutgers 62 - Purdue 81	0.892	Rutgers 76 - Purdue 78	-17
Sacramento State 65 - Idaho 70	0.627	Sacramento State 58 - Idaho 81	18
Sacred Heart 68 - Central Connecticut State 67	0.527	Sacred Heart 67 - Central Connecticut State 54	-12
Saint Johns 72 - Duke 86	0.806	Saint Johns 81 - Duke 77	-18
Saint Louis 75 - Fordham 60	0.83	Saint Louis 73 - Fordham 50	-8
Sam Houston State 71 - Abilene Christian 65	0.688	Sam Houston State 84 - Abilene Christian 77	-1
San Diego 66 - Saint Marys 76	0.821	San Diego 62 - Saint Marys 65	-7
San Diego State 82 - Air Force 62	0.884	San Diego State 81 - Air Force 50	-11
San Jose State 66 - New Mexico 79	0.81	San Jose State 68 - New Mexico 71	-10
Santa Clara 66 - San Francisco 70	0.618	Santa Clara 59 - San Francisco 70	7
Savannah State 86 - South Carolina State 73	0.858	Savannah State 111 - South Carolina State 99	1
SE Missouri State 74 - Austin Peay 75	0.544	SE Missouri State 81 - Austin Peay 96	14
Seattle 71 - Utah Valley 76	0.602	Seattle 55 - Utah Valley 54	-6
SIU Edwardsville 65 - Jacksonville State 74	0.73	SIU Edwardsville 75 - Jacksonville State 67	-17
Southeast Louisiana 74 - Central Arkansas 71	0.572	Southeast Louisiana 89 - Central Arkansas 84	-2
Southern Illinois 78 - Valparaiso 67	0.75	Southern Illinois 65 - Valparaiso 59	5
Southern Utah 73 - Idaho State 72	0.548	Southern Utah 84 - Idaho State 80	-3
Stanford 76 - Oregon 75	0.529	Stanford 96 - Oregon 61	-34
Stony Brook 71 - Hartford 69	0.573	Stony Brook 64 - Hartford 73	11
Syracuse 61 - Virginia 70	0.782	Syracuse 44 - Virginia 59	6
Tennessee 85 - Mississippi 71	0.88	Tennessee 94 - Mississippi 61	-19
Tennessee Martin 63 - Murray State 78	0.869	Tennessee Martin 53 - Murray State 66	-2
Texas 80 - Oklahoma 79	0.521	Texas 79 - Oklahoma 74	-4
Texas AM 76 - South Carolina 70	0.676	Texas AM 83 - South Carolina 60	-17
Texas Arlington 77 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.713	Texas Arlington 87 - Coastal Carolina 80	2
Texas Christian 78 - Texas Tech 77	0.533	Texas Christian 71 - Texas Tech 83	13
Texas El Paso 71 - Marshall 80	0.743	Texas El Paso 65 - Marshall 74	0
Texas San Antonio 70 - Western Kentucky 82	0.835	Texas San Antonio 74 - Western Kentucky 63	-23
Texas State 73 - Appalachian State 65	0.709	Texas State 56 - Appalachian State 59	11
The Citadel 70 - Furman 86	0.869	The Citadel 100 - Furman 92	-24
Troy 75 - South Alabama 68	0.658	Troy 80 - South Alabama 63	-10
UC Santa Barbara 82 - Cal State Northridge 58	0.962	UC Santa Barbara 75 - Cal State Northridge 51	0
UCLA 79 - Southern California 78	0.53	UCLA 82 - Southern California 79	-2
UL Monroe 62 - UL Lafayette 80	0.876	UL Monroe 59 - UL Lafayette 80	3
UMBC 67 - Vermont 75	0.717	UMBC 53 - Vermont 81	20
UNC Asheville 79 - Presbyterian 62	0.87	UNC Asheville 75 - Presbyterian 61	3
Virginia Tech 78 - Miami 76	0.576	Virginia Tech 75 - Miami 84	11
Wagner 77 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	0.829	Wagner 79 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	-2
Wake Forest 71 - Clemson 80	0.744	Wake Forest 67 - Clemson 75	-1
Washington 73 - Arizona 77	0.633	Washington 78 - Arizona 75	-7
West Virginia 79 - Kansas State 71	0.686	West Virginia 89 - Kansas State 51	-30
Western Carolina 76 - Samford 71	0.645	Western Carolina 88 - Samford 71	-12
Western Illinois 69 - Oral Roberts 73	0.584	Western Illinois 82 - Oral Roberts 56	-30
William and Mary 82 - Drexel 69	0.785	William and Mary 79 - Drexel 91	25
Winthrop 75 - Radford 68	0.692	Winthrop 75 - Radford 57	-11
Wyoming 77 - Fresno State 74	0.603	Wyoming 62 - Fresno State 80	21
Xavier 88 - Georgetown 68	0.916	Xavier 96 - Georgetown 91	15
Youngstown State 63 - Wright State 78	0.855	Youngstown State 57 - Wright State 83	11

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 76 - Georgia Tech 69	0.697	Boston College 80 - Georgia Tech 72	-1
Detroit 73 - Illinois Chicago 76	0.602	Detroit 69 - Illinois Chicago 78	6
Marist 67 - Iona 81	0.871	Marist 64 - Iona 98	20
Maryland 77 - Wisconsin 66	0.777	Maryland 68 - Wisconsin 63	6
Monmouth 79 - Niagara 76	0.603	Monmouth 91 - Niagara 96	8
Navy 69 - Colgate 67	0.571	Navy 64 - Colgate 69	7
Oakland 82 - IUPUI 63	0.911	Oakland 82 - IUPUI 74	11
Ohio State 85 - Illinois 67	0.874	Ohio State 75 - Illinois 67	10
Quinnipiac 69 - Rider 78	0.731	Quinnipiac 59 - Rider 74	6
Saint Peters 67 - Canisius 70	0.59	Saint Peters 58 - Canisius 73	12
South Florida 66 - Tulsa 76	0.724	South Florida 54 - Tulsa 63	-1
Tulane 74 - Temple 75	0.513	Tulane 76 - Temple 83	6
Villanova 86 - Seton Hall 71	0.864	Villanova 92 - Seton Hall 76	-1
Washington State 73 - Arizona State 83	0.742	Washington State 78 - Arizona State 88	0

Number of DI Games: 335
Number Correct: 238 = 71%
Expected Number Correct: 237.588 = 70.9%
Average Error: 8.96
Average Signed Error: 0.68

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Alabama State 63	0.841	Arkansas Pine Bluff 59 - Alabama State 65	19
Bethune Cookman 72 - Norfolk State 68	0.613	Bethune Cookman 79 - Norfolk State 83	8
Fairfield 75 - Siena 66	0.785	Fairfield 78 - Siena 65	-4
Grambling State 74 - Alcorn State 61	0.802	Grambling State 81 - Alcorn State 72	4
Jackson State 66 - Southern 63	0.567	Jackson State 62 - Southern 67	8
Lehigh 71 - Bucknell 81	0.822	Lehigh 92 - Bucknell 89	-13
Louisville 77 - Syracuse 69	0.73	Louisville 73 - Syracuse 78	13
Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Florida AM 67	0.562	Maryland Eastern Shore 62 - Florida AM 61	1
Mississippi Valley State 68 - Alabama AM 66	0.578	Mississippi Valley State 77 - Alabama AM 67	-8
Morgan State 72 - Howard 70	0.563	Morgan State 97 - Howard 61	-34
North Carolina AT 79 - Delaware State 56	0.931	North Carolina AT 54 - Delaware State 51	20
North Carolina Central 71 - Hampton 67	0.623	North Carolina Central 70 - Hampton 86	20
Oklahoma 84 - West Virginia 82	0.543	Oklahoma 73 - West Virginia 75	4
Rutgers 70 - Indiana 71	0.522	Rutgers 43 - Indiana 65	21
South Carolina State 71 - Coppin State 65	0.698	South Carolina State 60 - Coppin State 84	30

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Colorado State 72	0.547	Air Force 78 - Colorado State 73	-7
Arkansas 82 - South Carolina 75	0.689	Arkansas 81 - South Carolina 65	-9
Ball State 76 - Bowling Green 69	0.674	Ball State 59 - Bowling Green 56	4
Butler 80 - Xavier 78	0.53	Butler 93 - Xavier 98	7
Central Michigan 72 - Buffalo 79	0.712	Central Michigan 82 - Buffalo 88	-1
Cincinnati 76 - Central Florida 58	0.902	Cincinnati 77 - Central Florida 40	-19
Davidson 80 - Saint Josephs 68	0.767	Davidson 91 - Saint Josephs 62	-17
Fresno State 75 - San Diego State 72	0.588	Fresno State 79 - San Diego State 61	-15
Indiana State 75 - Missouri State 71	0.587	Indiana State 62 - Missouri State 81	23
Iowa 73 - Michigan State 86	0.789	Iowa 93 - Michigan State 96	-10
Kansas 85 - Texas Christian 76	0.751	Kansas 71 - Texas Christian 64	2
Kent State 71 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.639	Kent State 67 - Eastern Michigan 71	9
Kentucky 76 - Tennessee 77	0.538	Kentucky 59 - Tennessee 61	1
Memphis 71 - Wichita State 81	0.759	Memphis 65 - Wichita State 85	10
Minnesota 76 - Nebraska 77	0.535	Minnesota 85 - Nebraska 91	5
Mississippi 75 - Missouri 78	0.559	Mississippi 69 - Missouri 75	3
Mississippi State 74 - Alabama 72	0.554	Mississippi State 67 - Alabama 63	-2
New Mexico 72 - Boise State 77	0.626	New Mexico 71 - Boise State 73	-3
Northwestern 70 - Michigan 73	0.58	Northwestern 61 - Michigan 52	-12
Notre Dame 78 - Boston College 73	0.625	Notre Dame 96 - Boston College 85	-6
Ohio 75 - Akron 69	0.641	Ohio 99 - Akron 75	-18
Oklahoma State 77 - Baylor 73	0.611	Oklahoma State 56 - Baylor 67	15
Princeton 72 - Pennsylvania 69	0.575	Princeton 65 - Pennsylvania 82	20
Providence 81 - Georgetown 71	0.768	Providence 73 - Georgetown 69	6
Toledo 82 - Northern Illinois 64	0.846	Toledo 82 - Northern Illinois 77	13
Western Michigan 72 - Miami OH 67	0.643	Western Michigan 68 - Miami OH 64	1

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Nicholls State 72	0.531	Abilene Christian 65 - Nicholls State 69	3
Auburn 83 - Texas AM 72	0.76	Auburn 80 - Texas AM 81	12
Charleston Southern 65 - Liberty 69	0.581	Charleston Southern 87 - Liberty 75	-16
Colgate 73 - Boston 69	0.644	Colgate 74 - Boston 60	-10
Colorado 80 - California 66	0.796	Colorado 68 - California 64	10
Connecticut 79 - South Florida 62	0.832	Connecticut 68 - South Florida 65	14
Dayton 76 - Duquesne 71	0.67	Dayton 88 - Duquesne 73	-10
DePaul 73 - Creighton 82	0.756	DePaul 75 - Creighton 76	-8
Evansville 74 - Valparaiso 66	0.692	Evansville 63 - Valparaiso 59	4
Florida 81 - Louisiana State 74	0.652	Florida 73 - Louisiana State 64	-2
Florida State 69 - Virginia 77	0.715	Florida State 55 - Virginia 59	-4
Fordham 72 - George Mason 71	0.503	Fordham 67 - George Mason 66	0
Furman 72 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.612	Furman 67 - UNC Greensboro 80	18
Gardner Webb 71 - Campbell 68	0.576	Gardner Webb 70 - Campbell 78	11
George Washington 72 - La Salle 73	0.535	George Washington 80 - La Salle 69	-12
Hawaii 77 - UC Riverside 60	0.856	Hawaii 60 - UC Riverside 64	21
Holy Cross 64 - Navy 65	0.517	Holy Cross 34 - Navy 69	34
Houston Baptist 75 - Central Arkansas 82	0.702	Houston Baptist 80 - Central Arkansas 100	13
Incarnate Word 64 - Southeast Louisiana 74	0.78	Incarnate Word 68 - Southeast Louisiana 86	8
Lafayette 70 - Army 72	0.552	Lafayette 81 - Army 54	-29
Longwood 63 - UNC Asheville 77	0.807	Longwood 73 - UNC Asheville 78	-9
Loyola Ill 80 - Drake 65	0.808	Loyola Ill 72 - Drake 57	0
Loyola MD 71 - American 63	0.737	Loyola MD 72 - American 69	5
Miami 82 - Wake Forest 69	0.854	Miami 87 - Wake Forest 81	7
Nevada 86 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	0.857	Nevada 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 86	21
Northern Iowa 67 - Bradley 68	0.506	Northern Iowa 74 - Bradley 65	-10
Northwestern State 61 - Lamar 76	0.845	Northwestern State 75 - Lamar 79	-11
Penn State 76 - Maryland 73	0.601	Penn State 74 - Maryland 70	-1
Purdue 81 - Ohio State 72	0.746	Purdue 63 - Ohio State 64	10
Radford 71 - High Point 64	0.674	Radford 60 - High Point 61	8
Richmond 75 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.528	Richmond 77 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	-2
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Saint Louis 67	0.732	Saint Bonaventure 79 - Saint Louis 56	-14
Sam Houston State 72 - Texas AM CC 60	0.807	Sam Houston State 66 - Texas AM CC 64	10
Seton Hall 83 - Marquette 75	0.715	Seton Hall 85 - Marquette 88	11
Temple 83 - East Carolina 62	0.874	Temple 90 - East Carolina 73	4
Texas 76 - Kansas State 69	0.665	Texas 64 - Kansas State 67	10
Texas Tech 82 - Iowa State 66	0.811	Texas Tech 76 - Iowa State 58	-2
UC Irvine 76 - Cal State Northridge 56	0.922	UC Irvine 77 - Cal State Northridge 56	-1
Vanderbilt 74 - Georgia 73	0.537	Vanderbilt 81 - Georgia 66	-14
Villanova 90 - Saint Johns 66	0.942	Villanova 75 - Saint Johns 79	28
Virginia Tech 83 - NC State 79	0.601	Virginia Tech 85 - NC State 75	-6
Winthrop 80 - Presbyterian 61	0.887	Winthrop 63 - Presbyterian 49	5
Wofford 83 - Samford 66	0.851	Wofford 92 - Samford 79	4
Wyoming 79 - Utah State 73	0.677	Wyoming 83 - Utah State 65	-12

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 77 - North Texas 67	0.793	Alabama Birmingham 60 - North Texas 67	17
Albany 67 - Vermont 71	0.615	Albany 67 - Vermont 72	1
Arizona 84 - UCLA 76	0.761	Arizona 74 - UCLA 82	16
Arizona State 81 - Southern California 77	0.61	Arizona State 80 - Southern California 78	2
Binghamton 67 - UMBC 72	0.62	Binghamton 68 - UMBC 78	5
Brigham Young 80 - Santa Clara 58	0.922	Brigham Young 80 - Santa Clara 58	0
Cal State Fullerton 80 - Cal Poly 66	0.833	Cal State Fullerton 75 - Cal Poly 59	-2
Canisius 77 - Siena 61	0.892	Canisius 89 - Siena 65	-8
Central Connecticut State 68 - Mt St Marys 69	0.518	Central Connecticut State 57 - Mt St Marys 71	13
Chattanooga 77 - The Citadel 75	0.569	Chattanooga 85 - The Citadel 82	-1
Chicago State 62 - Utah Valley 86	0.918	Chicago State 57 - Utah Valley 97	16
Clemson 84 - Pittsburgh 59	0.956	Clemson 72 - Pittsburgh 48	1
College of Charleston 77 - William and Mary 69	0.705	College of Charleston 82 - William and Mary 77	3
Delaware 65 - Northeastern 73	0.733	Delaware 67 - Northeastern 70	-5
Denver 68 - South Dakota State 78	0.737	Denver 77 - South Dakota State 81	-6
Drexel 69 - Towson 73	0.598	Drexel 92 - Towson 94	-2
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.586	Eastern Kentucky 69 - Tennessee Martin 70	4
Elon 74 - Hofstra 73	0.544	Elon 48 - Hofstra 67	20
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Sacred Heart 66	0.658	Fairleigh Dickinson 77 - Sacred Heart 67	-5
Georgia Southern 76 - UL Monroe 62	0.837	Georgia Southern 64 - UL Monroe 66	16
Georgia State 70 - UL Lafayette 73	0.582	Georgia State 106 - UL Lafayette 92	-17
Houston 76 - Southern Methodist 69	0.669	Houston 67 - Southern Methodist 58	-2
Howard 73 - Hampton 74	0.517	Howard 81 - Hampton 95	13
Idaho State 68 - Northern Colorado 75	0.68	Idaho State 82 - Northern Colorado 85	-4
Illinois 77 - Wisconsin 71	0.648	Illinois 69 - Wisconsin 78	15
Illinois Chicago 81 - Youngstown State 65	0.856	Illinois Chicago 100 - Youngstown State 75	-9
Illinois State 75 - Southern Illinois 73	0.559	Illinois State 76 - Southern Illinois 68	-6
Iona 82 - Monmouth 70	0.838	Iona 50 - Monmouth 72	34
IUPUI 71 - Cleveland State 66	0.652	IUPUI 78 - Cleveland State 73	0
Jacksonville State 72 - Tennessee Tech 64	0.701	Jacksonville State 82 - Tennessee Tech 65	-9
Kennesaw St 75 - North Florida 74	0.515	Kennesaw St 89 - North Florida 81	-7
Lipscomb 79 - Jacksonville 65	0.795	Lipscomb 82 - Jacksonville 59	-9
LIU Brooklyn 73 - Saint Francis Penn 74	0.509	LIU Brooklyn 83 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-17
Louisiana Tech 81 - Charlotte 64	0.909	Louisiana Tech 83 - Charlotte 65	-1
Louisville 80 - Georgia Tech 67	0.839	Louisville 77 - Georgia Tech 54	-10
Loyola Marymount 64 - Saint Marys 85	0.942	Loyola Marymount 62 - Saint Marys 83	0
Marshall 82 - Florida International 69	0.836	Marshall 76 - Florida International 66	3
Mcneese State 67 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.739	Mcneese State 95 - Stephen F Austin 99	-5
Middle Tennessee 84 - Rice 55	0.982	Middle Tennessee 94 - Rice 75	10
Montana 83 - Portland State 71	0.824	Montana 80 - Portland State 60	-8
Montana State 71 - Sacramento State 66	0.639	Montana State 92 - Sacramento State 76	-11
Morehead State 75 - SE Missouri State 72	0.583	Morehead State 62 - SE Missouri State 78	19
Murray State 79 - Austin Peay 66	0.831	Murray State 84 - Austin Peay 63	-8
New Hampshire 75 - Maine 63	0.855	New Hampshire 71 - Maine 56	-3
New Mexico State 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	0.948	New Mexico State 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 43	0
Niagara 81 - Quinnipiac 70	0.797	Niagara 95 - Quinnipiac 76	-8
NJ Tech 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.67	NJ Tech 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	-2
North Carolina 84 - Duke 83	0.502	North Carolina 82 - Duke 78	-3
Northern Kentucky 77 - Milwaukee 60	0.818	Northern Kentucky 54 - Milwaukee 52	15
Omaha 76 - Western Illinois 70	0.636	Omaha 71 - Western Illinois 68	3
Oral Roberts 70 - North Dakota State 72	0.544	Oral Roberts 67 - North Dakota State 66	-3
Oregon 74 - Washington 73	0.539	Oregon 65 - Washington 40	-24
Oregon State 77 - Washington State 69	0.724	Oregon State 94 - Washington State 62	-24
Pacific 69 - Gonzaga 82	0.808	Pacific 61 - Gonzaga 71	-3
Pepperdine 67 - San Diego 79	0.886	Pepperdine 66 - San Diego 68	-10
Rider 77 - Manhattan 63	0.849	Rider 77 - Manhattan 73	10
Saint Francis Brooklyn 68 - Robert Morris 70	0.535	Saint Francis Brooklyn 77 - Robert Morris 65	-14
Saint Peters 74 - Marist 62	0.806	Saint Peters 70 - Marist 66	8
San Francisco 76 - Portland 65	0.807	San Francisco 65 - Portland 63	9
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Eastern Illinois 68	0.585	SIU Edwardsville 74 - Eastern Illinois 78	7
South Alabama 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	0.719	South Alabama 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 56	-8
South Carolina Upstate 73 - Stetson 74	0.538	South Carolina Upstate 91 - Stetson 79	-13
South Dakota 79 - IPFW 67	0.766	South Dakota 86 - IPFW 69	-5
Southern Miss 66 - Old Dominion 76	0.746	Southern Miss 63 - Old Dominion 68	-5
Stony Brook 75 - UMass Lowell 68	0.727	Stony Brook 81 - UMass Lowell 68	-6
Tennessee State 65 - Belmont 72	0.7	Tennessee State 64 - Belmont 56	-15
Texas Pan American 70 - Grand Canyon 75	0.682	Texas Pan American 83 - Grand Canyon 81	-7
Troy 80 - Arkansas State 69	0.772	Troy 89 - Arkansas State 83	5
Tulsa 79 - Tulane 72	0.691	Tulsa 91 - Tulane 89	5
UC Davis 73 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.523	UC Davis 81 - UC Santa Barbara 90	10
UMKC 66 - Seattle 75	0.731	UMKC 74 - Seattle 67	-16
Utah 76 - Stanford 73	0.565	Utah 75 - Stanford 60	-12
Virginia Military Institute 67 - Western Carolina 69	0.569	Virginia Military Institute 60 - Western Carolina 72	10
Wagner 84 - Bryant 57	0.962	Wagner 96 - Bryant 76	7
Weber State 81 - North Dakota 67	0.789	Weber State 84 - North Dakota 76	6
Western Kentucky 81 - Florida Atlantic 59	0.933	Western Kentucky 75 - Florida Atlantic 63	10
Wright State 79 - Green Bay 60	0.908	Wright State 68 - Green Bay 64	15

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 74 - Kent State 69	0.645	Ball State 87 - Kent State 68	-14
Brown 81 - Cornell 72	0.744	Brown 60 - Cornell 78	27
Dartmouth 64 - Pennsylvania 77	0.884	Dartmouth 61 - Pennsylvania 64	-10
Harvard 68 - Princeton 69	0.542	Harvard 66 - Princeton 51	-16
Idaho 74 - Eastern Washington 66	0.699	Idaho 66 - Eastern Washington 64	6
Indiana 79 - Minnesota 74	0.635	Indiana 80 - Minnesota 56	-19
Miami OH 69 - Toledo 72	0.577	Miami OH 67 - Toledo 73	3
Oakland 85 - Detroit 68	0.891	Oakland 87 - Detroit 78	8
Rhode Island 80 - Davidson 68	0.81	Rhode Island 72 - Davidson 59	-1
Yale 75 - Columbia 70	0.705	Yale 88 - Columbia 84	1

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Incarnate Word 61	0.919	Abilene Christian 80 - Incarnate Word 69	7
Air Force 68 - New Mexico 76	0.692	Air Force 100 - New Mexico 92	-16
Akron 72 - Central Michigan 73	0.535	Akron 69 - Central Michigan 63	-7
Alabama 73 - Tennessee 77	0.604	Alabama 78 - Tennessee 50	-32
Alabama AM 69 - Alabama State 67	0.55	Alabama AM 50 - Alabama State 69	21
Alabama Birmingham 82 - Rice 62	0.94	Alabama Birmingham 61 - Rice 56	15
Alcorn State 72 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.781	Alcorn State 94 - Mississippi Valley State 90	5
American 68 - Lehigh 72	0.617	American 78 - Lehigh 80	-2
Arizona 81 - Southern California 74	0.735	Arizona 81 - Southern California 67	-7
Arizona State 84 - UCLA 79	0.646	Arizona State 88 - UCLA 79	-4
Arkansas 84 - Vanderbilt 75	0.749	Arkansas 72 - Vanderbilt 54	-9
Army 72 - Navy 66	0.68	Army 59 - Navy 68	15
Baylor 73 - Kansas 79	0.648	Baylor 80 - Kansas 64	-22
Bethune Cookman 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.816	Bethune Cookman 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	-6
Boston 72 - Holy Cross 62	0.807	Boston 62 - Holy Cross 73	21
Boston College 75 - Miami 77	0.572	Boston College 72 - Miami 70	-4
Bowling Green 70 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.559	Bowling Green 70 - Eastern Michigan 63	-5
Brigham Young 76 - San Francisco 63	0.832	Brigham Young 75 - San Francisco 73	11
Brown 79 - Columbia 73	0.705	Brown 91 - Columbia 88	3
Bryant 67 - Mt St Marys 76	0.766	Bryant 79 - Mt St Marys 77	-11
Campbell 77 - Longwood 61	0.847	Campbell 88 - Longwood 54	-18
Canisius 78 - Quinnipiac 63	0.871	Canisius 71 - Quinnipiac 64	8
Central Connecticut State 70 - Sacred Heart 64	0.645	Central Connecticut State 50 - Sacred Heart 67	23
Chattanooga 66 - Mercer 72	0.674	Chattanooga 75 - Mercer 84	3
Chicago State 65 - Seattle 83	0.868	Chicago State 81 - Seattle 91	-8
Coastal Carolina 76 - Appalachian State 69	0.686	Coastal Carolina 66 - Appalachian State 81	22
College of Charleston 77 - Drexel 62	0.843	College of Charleston 89 - Drexel 67	-7
Colorado State 78 - San Jose State 65	0.841	Colorado State 90 - San Jose State 79	2
Creighton 81 - Xavier 80	0.509	Creighton 71 - Xavier 72	2
Dartmouth 66 - Princeton 77	0.815	Dartmouth 72 - Princeton 56	-27
Denver 68 - North Dakota State 69	0.529	Denver 66 - North Dakota State 63	-4
Drake 73 - Northern Iowa 69	0.598	Drake 71 - Northern Iowa 64	-3
Duquesne 76 - Fordham 63	0.845	Duquesne 57 - Fordham 80	36
Eastern Illinois 67 - Austin Peay 71	0.627	Eastern Illinois 69 - Austin Peay 76	3
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Morehead State 70	0.55	Eastern Kentucky 75 - Morehead State 73	-1
Florida AM 66 - North Carolina Central 71	0.681	Florida AM 65 - North Carolina Central 56	-14
Furman 76 - Wofford 68	0.686	Furman 76 - Wofford 52	-16
George Mason 74 - George Washington 70	0.634	George Mason 72 - George Washington 65	-3
Georgetown 74 - Seton Hall 80	0.701	Georgetown 83 - Seton Hall 80	-9
Georgia 72 - Auburn 80	0.709	Georgia 61 - Auburn 78	9
Georgia Southern 68 - UL Lafayette 76	0.695	Georgia Southern 91 - UL Lafayette 102	3
Georgia State 78 - UL Monroe 59	0.879	Georgia State 82 - UL Monroe 90	27
Hampton 73 - Norfolk State 68	0.631	Hampton 82 - Norfolk State 52	-25
Harvard 66 - Pennsylvania 69	0.597	Harvard 76 - Pennsylvania 67	-12
Hawaii 76 - Cal State Northridge 58	0.921	Hawaii 71 - Cal State Northridge 77	24
High Point 70 - Winthrop 72	0.539	High Point 70 - Winthrop 82	10
Idaho State 75 - North Dakota 71	0.594	Idaho State 82 - North Dakota 67	-11
Illinois Chicago 77 - Cleveland State 62	0.866	Illinois Chicago 78 - Cleveland State 86	23
Indiana State 71 - Loyola Ill 76	0.628	Indiana State 71 - Loyola Ill 75	-1
Iowa State 79 - Oklahoma 85	0.615	Iowa State 88 - Oklahoma 80	-14
IUPUI 75 - Youngstown State 69	0.652	IUPUI 80 - Youngstown State 84	10
Jacksonville State 69 - Tennessee State 62	0.67	Jacksonville State 47 - Tennessee State 65	25
Kansas State 71 - Texas Tech 74	0.581	Kansas State 47 - Texas Tech 66	16
Kennesaw St 69 - Jacksonville 66	0.576	Kennesaw St 78 - Jacksonville 54	-21
Liberty 71 - Gardner Webb 62	0.728	Liberty 77 - Gardner Webb 65	-3
Lipscomb 84 - North Florida 73	0.753	Lipscomb 82 - North Florida 75	4
LIU Brooklyn 71 - Robert Morris 70	0.524	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Robert Morris 96	15
Long Beach State 81 - Cal Poly 70	0.775	Long Beach State 73 - Cal Poly 54	-8
Louisiana State 82 - Mississippi 75	0.66	Louisiana State 82 - Mississippi 66	-9
Louisiana Tech 68 - Old Dominion 72	0.634	Louisiana Tech 69 - Old Dominion 82	9
Loyola Marymount 81 - Pepperdine 71	0.827	Loyola Marymount 85 - Pepperdine 79	4
Manhattan 71 - Monmouth 68	0.605	Manhattan 93 - Monmouth 76	-14
Marist 67 - Rider 81	0.822	Marist 79 - Rider 89	-4
Marshall 82 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.869	Marshall 79 - Florida Atlantic 68	5
Maryland 77 - Northwestern 70	0.677	Maryland 73 - Northwestern 57	-9
Mcneese State 67 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.566	Mcneese State 67 - Southeast Louisiana 74	4
Michigan State 78 - Purdue 77	0.517	Michigan State 68 - Purdue 65	-2
Middle Tennessee 79 - North Texas 60	0.93	Middle Tennessee 79 - North Texas 73	13
Missouri 76 - Mississippi State 69	0.686	Missouri 89 - Mississippi State 85	3
Missouri State 71 - Evansville 66	0.609	Missouri State 72 - Evansville 55	-12
Montana 80 - Sacramento State 58	0.949	Montana 71 - Sacramento State 69	20
Montana State 74 - Portland State 79	0.647	Montana State 77 - Portland State 80	-2
NC State 80 - North Carolina 83	0.557	NC State 89 - North Carolina 96	4
Nebraska 78 - Rutgers 65	0.777	Nebraska 67 - Rutgers 55	1
Nevada 82 - San Diego State 71	0.787	Nevada 83 - San Diego State 58	-14
Nevada Las Vegas 83 - Wyoming 77	0.655	Nevada Las Vegas 85 - Wyoming 70	-9
New Mexico State 76 - Grand Canyon 61	0.905	New Mexico State 74 - Grand Canyon 70	11
Niagara 80 - Fairfield 74	0.672	Niagara 95 - Fairfield 83	-6
Nicholls State 85 - Houston Baptist 67	0.908	Nicholls State 94 - Houston Baptist 67	-9
NJ Tech 75 - Stetson 63	0.798	NJ Tech 80 - Stetson 84	16
Northern Arizona 71 - Southern Utah 74	0.569	Northern Arizona 54 - Southern Utah 63	6
Northern Illinois 69 - Buffalo 82	0.811	Northern Illinois 90 - Buffalo 88	-15
Northern Kentucky 82 - Green Bay 60	0.916	Northern Kentucky 86 - Green Bay 80	16
Notre Dame 77 - Florida State 80	0.554	Notre Dame 84 - Florida State 69	-18
Ohio State 88 - Iowa 69	0.881	Ohio State 82 - Iowa 64	1
Omaha 73 - IPFW 78	0.618	Omaha 90 - IPFW 85	-10
Oral Roberts 69 - South Dakota State 81	0.731	Oral Roberts 75 - South Dakota State 85	-2
Oregon State 70 - Washington 73	0.586	Oregon State 97 - Washington 94	-6
Pacific 78 - Portland 68	0.798	Pacific 60 - Portland 58	8
Prairie View 75 - Grambling State 68	0.663	Prairie View 85 - Grambling State 90	12
Presbyterian 68 - Charleston Southern 67	0.527	Presbyterian 54 - Charleston Southern 64	11
Providence 81 - DePaul 68	0.816	Providence 63 - DePaul 80	30
Saint Bonaventure 81 - Richmond 67	0.82	Saint Bonaventure 97 - Richmond 88	5
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Saint Francis Penn 74	0.559	Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - Saint Francis Penn 90	22
Saint Johns 77 - Marquette 78	0.528	Saint Johns 86 - Marquette 78	-9
Saint Josephs 78 - Massachusetts 71	0.666	Saint Josephs 85 - Massachusetts 73	-5
Saint Louis 76 - La Salle 68	0.695	Saint Louis 70 - La Salle 62	0
Saint Marys 78 - Gonzaga 74	0.609	Saint Marys 65 - Gonzaga 78	17
Saint Peters 67 - Iona 73	0.67	Saint Peters 77 - Iona 84	1
Sam Houston State 71 - Lamar 66	0.645	Sam Houston State 71 - Lamar 69	3
Samford 82 - The Citadel 79	0.571	Samford 116 - The Citadel 103	-10
Santa Clara 65 - San Diego 72	0.711	Santa Clara 70 - San Diego 64	-13
Savannah State 84 - Morgan State 72	0.811	Savannah State 97 - Morgan State 94	9
SIU Edwardsville 65 - Murray State 80	0.879	SIU Edwardsville 66 - Murray State 75	-6
South Alabama 76 - Arkansas State 69	0.661	South Alabama 87 - Arkansas State 67	-13
South Carolina 76 - Florida 77	0.523	South Carolina 41 - Florida 65	23
South Carolina State 67 - North Carolina AT 74	0.708	South Carolina State 90 - North Carolina AT 85	-12
South Carolina Upstate 64 - Florida Gulf Coast 84	0.9	South Carolina Upstate 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 88	-3
South Florida 63 - Temple 78	0.796	South Florida 55 - Temple 73	3
Southern 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.573	Southern 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	-6
Southern Miss 79 - Charlotte 68	0.768	Southern Miss 72 - Charlotte 54	-7
Stephen F Austin 83 - Northwestern State 55	0.952	Stephen F Austin 97 - Northwestern State 50	-19
Tennessee Martin 73 - SE Missouri State 71	0.557	Tennessee Martin 77 - SE Missouri State 81	6
Tennessee Tech 67 - Belmont 76	0.737	Tennessee Tech 70 - Belmont 75	-4
Texas AM 77 - Kentucky 73	0.582	Texas AM 85 - Kentucky 74	-7
Texas AM CC 66 - New Orleans 65	0.504	Texas AM CC 53 - New Orleans 62	10
Texas Arlington 74 - Texas State 64	0.767	Texas Arlington 70 - Texas State 68	8
Texas Christian 79 - Texas 75	0.641	Texas Christian 87 - Texas 71	-12
Texas El Paso 71 - Texas San Antonio 75	0.617	Texas El Paso 59 - Texas San Antonio 63	0
Texas Pan American 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.664	Texas Pan American 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	4
Texas Southern 75 - Jackson State 64	0.799	Texas Southern 86 - Jackson State 75	0
Towson 71 - Northeastern 70	0.544	Towson 62 - Northeastern 77	16
Troy 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	0.82	Troy 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	-5
UC Davis 76 - Cal State Fullerton 69	0.717	UC Davis 66 - Cal State Fullerton 68	9
UC Riverside 63 - UC Irvine 72	0.726	UC Riverside 52 - UC Irvine 62	1
UMKC 64 - Utah Valley 79	0.833	UMKC 77 - Utah Valley 70	-22
UNC Asheville 73 - Radford 67	0.667	UNC Asheville 66 - Radford 64	4
UNC Greensboro 77 - Western Carolina 60	0.882	UNC Greensboro 65 - Western Carolina 48	0
UNC Wilmington 74 - Hofstra 80	0.68	UNC Wilmington 90 - Hofstra 70	-26
Utah 81 - California 65	0.833	Utah 77 - California 43	-18
Utah State 70 - Boise State 76	0.669	Utah State 71 - Boise State 65	-12
Villanova 86 - Butler 73	0.808	Villanova 86 - Butler 75	2
Virginia 82 - Virginia Tech 63	0.905	Virginia 60 - Virginia Tech 61	20
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Dayton 73	0.668	Virginia Commonwealth 88 - Dayton 84	2
Virginia Military Institute 57 - East Tennessee State 78	0.92	Virginia Military Institute 56 - East Tennessee State 70	-7
Weber State 74 - Northern Colorado 71	0.604	Weber State 71 - Northern Colorado 66	-2
West Virginia 83 - Oklahoma State 71	0.74	West Virginia 85 - Oklahoma State 88	15
Western Kentucky 82 - Florida International 62	0.916	Western Kentucky 83 - Florida International 76	13
Western Michigan 77 - Ohio 67	0.728	Western Michigan 69 - Ohio 60	1
Wichita State 84 - Connecticut 66	0.87	Wichita State 95 - Connecticut 74	-3
William and Mary 80 - Delaware 68	0.776	William and Mary 83 - Delaware 66	-5
Wright State 74 - Milwaukee 60	0.794	Wright State 73 - Milwaukee 74	15
Yale 77 - Cornell 69	0.744	Yale 74 - Cornell 65	-1

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado 75 - Stanford 74	0.519	Colorado 64 - Stanford 56	-7
Fairleigh Dickinson 64 - Wagner 74	0.759	Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Wagner 69	-17
Georgia Tech 70 - Duke 83	0.786	Georgia Tech 69 - Duke 80	-2
Hartford 69 - Albany 70	0.518	Hartford 63 - Albany 69	5
Houston 83 - Tulane 68	0.837	Houston 73 - Tulane 42	-16
Illinois 76 - Penn State 77	0.536	Illinois 52 - Penn State 74	21
Lafayette 72 - Loyola MD 67	0.657	Lafayette 84 - Loyola MD 67	-12
Maine 68 - Stony Brook 73	0.682	Maine 61 - Stony Brook 64	-2
Memphis 69 - Central Florida 70	0.507	Memphis 64 - Central Florida 68	3
New Hampshire 68 - UMBC 69	0.531	New Hampshire 59 - UMBC 68	8
Oregon 82 - Washington State 69	0.777	Oregon 84 - Washington State 57	-14
Pittsburgh 67 - Louisville 80	0.845	Pittsburgh 60 - Louisville 94	21
South Dakota 94 - Unranked 51		South Dakota 98 - Unranked 55
Southern Illinois 73 - Bradley 69	0.598	Southern Illinois 74 - Bradley 57	-13
Southern Methodist 67 - Cincinnati 73	0.671	Southern Methodist 51 - Cincinnati 76	19
Syracuse 78 - Wake Forest 68	0.792	Syracuse 78 - Wake Forest 70	2
Valparaiso 74 - Illinois State 75	0.529	Valparaiso 74 - Illinois State 58	-17
Vermont 84 - UMass Lowell 60	0.962	Vermont 81 - UMass Lowell 69	12
Wisconsin 67 - Michigan 75	0.719	Wisconsin 72 - Michigan 83	3

Number of DI Games: 333
Number Correct: 234 = 70.2%
Expected Number Correct: 235.318 = 70.6%
Average Error: 9.88
Average Signed Error: 0.62

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.576	Alcorn State 84 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	-34
Bethune Cookman 72 - North Carolina Central 66	0.661	Bethune Cookman 99 - North Carolina Central 81	-12
Bucknell 80 - Colgate 67	0.863	Bucknell 65 - Colgate 64	12
Canisius 78 - Fairfield 67	0.795	Canisius 81 - Fairfield 63	-7
Coppin State 64 - Hampton 72	0.676	Coppin State 79 - Hampton 82	-5
Florida AM 70 - Morgan State 69	0.518	Florida AM 48 - Morgan State 74	27
Howard 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.691	Howard 84 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	-20
Norfolk State 74 - Delaware State 57	0.872	Norfolk State 93 - Delaware State 58	-18
North Carolina 85 - Notre Dame 73	0.757	North Carolina 83 - Notre Dame 66	-5
Prairie View 73 - Jackson State 63	0.787	Prairie View 63 - Jackson State 58	5
Samford 72 - Mercer 77	0.648	Samford 69 - Mercer 74	0
Savannah State 79 - North Carolina AT 75	0.632	Savannah State 108 - North Carolina AT 106	2
Siena 67 - Iona 76	0.759	Siena 82 - Iona 78	-13
Southern 76 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.91	Southern 55 - Mississippi Valley State 51	12
Texas 75 - Baylor 71	0.595	Texas 73 - Baylor 74	5
Texas Southern 76 - Grambling State 70	0.664	Texas Southern 55 - Grambling State 78	29
UNC Greensboro 68 - East Tennessee State 67	0.505	UNC Greensboro 74 - East Tennessee State 56	-17
West Virginia 83 - Texas Christian 77	0.636	West Virginia 82 - Texas Christian 66	-10

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 70 - Ball State 73	0.6	Akron 77 - Ball State 90	10
Alabama 79 - Louisiana State 72	0.649	Alabama 80 - Louisiana State 65	-8
Bowling Green 71 - Western Michigan 72	0.514	Bowling Green 83 - Western Michigan 81	-3
Buffalo 83 - Kent State 67	0.885	Buffalo 84 - Kent State 72	4
Butler 85 - Georgetown 71	0.834	Butler 83 - Georgetown 87	18
Creighton 103 - Unranked 50		Creighton 94 - Unranked 46
Eastern Michigan 68 - Miami OH 65	0.594	Eastern Michigan 58 - Miami OH 57	2
Iowa State 74 - Kansas 81	0.662	Iowa State 77 - Kansas 83	-1
James Madison 78 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.64	James Madison 62 - UNC Wilmington 61	4
La Salle 73 - Saint Bonaventure 80	0.721	La Salle 68 - Saint Bonaventure 79	4
Miami 64 - Virginia 73	0.783	Miami 50 - Virginia 59	0
Minnesota 72 - Michigan State 86	0.794	Minnesota 57 - Michigan State 87	16
Mississippi 79 - Arkansas 83	0.582	Mississippi 64 - Arkansas 75	7
Missouri 75 - Texas AM 73	0.559	Missouri 62 - Texas AM 58	-2
Monmouth 72 - Saint Peters 66	0.677	Monmouth 73 - Saint Peters 57	-10
Nebraska 77 - Maryland 74	0.595	Nebraska 70 - Maryland 66	-1
North Dakota State 88 - Unranked 54		North Dakota State 87 - Unranked 53
Northern Illinois 74 - Central Michigan 73	0.519	Northern Illinois 72 - Central Michigan 80	9
Northern Iowa 70 - Evansville 66	0.591	Northern Iowa 47 - Evansville 41	-2
Pittsburgh 70 - Boston College 78	0.741	Pittsburgh 58 - Boston College 81	15
Rhode Island 84 - Richmond 63	0.933	Rhode Island 85 - Richmond 67	3
Rutgers 68 - Northwestern 72	0.589	Rutgers 67 - Northwestern 58	-13
Tennessee 83 - South Carolina 66	0.857	Tennessee 70 - South Carolina 67	14
Texas Tech 85 - Oklahoma 75	0.736	Texas Tech 88 - Oklahoma 78	0
Toledo 81 - Ohio 66	0.805	Toledo 82 - Ohio 74	7

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 65 - Boston 70	0.662	American 60 - Boston 56	-9
Army 71 - Holy Cross 64	0.692	Army 65 - Holy Cross 70	12
Auburn 85 - Kentucky 75	0.788	Auburn 76 - Kentucky 66	0
Boise State 75 - Nevada 76	0.503	Boise State 72 - Nevada 77	4
Bradley 75 - Illinois State 71	0.597	Bradley 70 - Illinois State 58	-8
Bucknell 84 - Loyola MD 63	0.943	Bucknell 94 - Loyola MD 53	-20
Cal State Northridge 67 - UC Riverside 65	0.555	Cal State Northridge 62 - UC Riverside 69	9
Central Arkansas 82 - Mcneese State 69	0.819	Central Arkansas 72 - Mcneese State 76	17
Central Florida 78 - South Florida 57	0.9	Central Florida 72 - South Florida 57	6
Cleveland State 75 - Detroit 71	0.61	Cleveland State 75 - Detroit 72	1
Colgate 78 - Lehigh 70	0.76	Colgate 78 - Lehigh 88	18
Denver 75 - Omaha 69	0.648	Denver 94 - Omaha 78	-10
DePaul 74 - Saint Johns 75	0.518	DePaul 76 - Saint Johns 77	0
Drake 78 - Indiana State 74	0.594	Drake 90 - Indiana State 76	-10
Duke 89 - Virginia Tech 77	0.76	Duke 74 - Virginia Tech 52	-10
Florida 80 - Georgia 68	0.747	Florida 69 - Georgia 72	15
Florida State 77 - Clemson 78	0.511	Florida State 81 - Clemson 79	-3
Fordham 70 - Saint Josephs 72	0.564	Fordham 55 - Saint Josephs 71	14
George Mason 74 - Dayton 77	0.589	George Mason 85 - Dayton 67	-21
Indiana 80 - Illinois 71	0.705	Indiana 78 - Illinois 68	-1
IPFW 78 - Western Illinois 65	0.766	IPFW 90 - Western Illinois 74	-3
Lamar 80 - Incarnate Word 61	0.923	Lamar 85 - Incarnate Word 62	-4
Loyola Ill 79 - Valparaiso 63	0.845	Loyola Ill 80 - Valparaiso 71	7
Massachusetts 75 - George Washington 69	0.662	Massachusetts 72 - George Washington 83	17
Michigan 85 - Iowa 71	0.832	Michigan 74 - Iowa 59	-1
Navy 71 - Lafayette 62	0.724	Navy 71 - Lafayette 69	7
Nevada Las Vegas 85 - Air Force 66	0.876	Nevada Las Vegas 81 - Air Force 73	11
New Mexico 76 - Utah State 73	0.581	New Mexico 78 - Utah State 63	-12
Nicholls State 73 - Sam Houston State 67	0.7	Nicholls State 73 - Sam Houston State 72	5
Northwestern State 71 - Houston Baptist 73	0.549	Northwestern State 70 - Houston Baptist 77	5
Oklahoma State 77 - Kansas State 74	0.581	Oklahoma State 72 - Kansas State 82	13
Oral Roberts 66 - South Dakota 77	0.737	Oral Roberts 67 - South Dakota 85	7
Providence 72 - Villanova 84	0.756	Providence 76 - Villanova 71	-17
San Diego State 79 - Wyoming 73	0.63	San Diego State 87 - Wyoming 77	-4
San Jose State 63 - Fresno State 80	0.905	San Jose State 57 - Fresno State 77	3
Southeast Louisiana 69 - New Orleans 62	0.695	Southeast Louisiana 71 - New Orleans 64	0
Southern Illinois 73 - Missouri State 69	0.605	Southern Illinois 81 - Missouri State 80	3
Southern Methodist 78 - Memphis 67	0.782	Southern Methodist 67 - Memphis 70	14
Syracuse 78 - NC State 73	0.654	Syracuse 70 - NC State 74	9
Texas AM CC 63 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.735	Texas AM CC 68 - Stephen F Austin 87	8
Tulane 81 - East Carolina 69	0.79	Tulane 80 - East Carolina 82	14
Vanderbilt 75 - Mississippi State 76	0.533	Vanderbilt 81 - Mississippi State 80	-2
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Davidson 76	0.512	Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Davidson 74	10
Wake Forest 76 - Georgia Tech 72	0.645	Wake Forest 79 - Georgia Tech 62	-13
Xavier 85 - Seton Hall 73	0.784	Xavier 102 - Seton Hall 90	0
Youngstown State 71 - Oakland 82	0.785	Youngstown State 75 - Oakland 73	-13

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 74 - South Alabama 70	0.578	Appalachian State 66 - South Alabama 77	15
Arizona State 81 - Arizona 79	0.562	Arizona State 70 - Arizona 77	9
Austin Peay 75 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.706	Austin Peay 80 - Tennessee Tech 86	13
Belmont 83 - Eastern Kentucky 60	0.951	Belmont 84 - Eastern Kentucky 73	12
Binghamton 68 - Stony Brook 69	0.562	Binghamton 69 - Stony Brook 57	-13
Cal Poly 66 - UC Davis 75	0.746	Cal Poly 84 - UC Davis 92	-1
Charlotte 70 - Texas El Paso 71	0.51	Charlotte 86 - Texas El Paso 87	0
Coastal Carolina 72 - Troy 71	0.53	Coastal Carolina 65 - Troy 66	2
Connecticut 75 - Tulsa 74	0.508	Connecticut 71 - Tulsa 73	3
Eastern Washington 68 - Montana 74	0.666	Eastern Washington 74 - Montana 65	-15
Fairfield 80 - Marist 67	0.828	Fairfield 83 - Marist 79	9
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Kennesaw St 59	0.903	Florida Gulf Coast 93 - Kennesaw St 97	23
Furman 80 - Chattanooga 60	0.9	Furman 75 - Chattanooga 56	1
Gardner Webb 67 - Winthrop 74	0.688	Gardner Webb 71 - Winthrop 90	12
Gonzaga 92 - Loyola Marymount 63	0.963	Gonzaga 76 - Loyola Marymount 46	-1
Hartford 80 - Maine 62	0.878	Hartford 67 - Maine 63	14
Hofstra 78 - William and Mary 74	0.601	Hofstra 90 - William and Mary 84	-2
Houston 69 - Cincinnati 73	0.595	Houston 67 - Cincinnati 62	-9
Idaho 78 - Montana State 63	0.827	Idaho 88 - Montana State 78	5
Jacksonville 65 - NJ Tech 68	0.57	Jacksonville 69 - NJ Tech 71	-1
James Madison 66 - College of Charleston 73	0.773	James Madison 78 - College of Charleston 81	-4
Long Beach State 75 - UC Santa Barbara 80	0.644	Long Beach State 70 - UC Santa Barbara 80	5
Longwood 65 - Charleston Southern 71	0.639	Longwood 65 - Charleston Southern 77	6
Louisiana Tech 73 - Alabama Birmingham 71	0.577	Louisiana Tech 73 - Alabama Birmingham 60	-11
Mercer 77 - Virginia Military Institute 59	0.89	Mercer 82 - Virginia Military Institute 58	-6
Mt St Marys 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.69	Mt St Marys 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 80	8
Murray State 75 - Jacksonville State 62	0.797	Murray State 68 - Jacksonville State 60	5
North Dakota 76 - Southern Utah 73	0.59	North Dakota 61 - Southern Utah 57	-1
North Florida 84 - South Carolina Upstate 72	0.78	North Florida 109 - South Carolina Upstate 100	3
North Texas 69 - Western Kentucky 76	0.708	North Texas 94 - Western Kentucky 102	1
Northeastern 80 - Drexel 64	0.859	Northeastern 75 - Drexel 69	10
Northern Colorado 82 - Northern Arizona 60	0.931	Northern Colorado 95 - Northern Arizona 60	-13
Old Dominion 79 - Texas San Antonio 65	0.854	Old Dominion 100 - Texas San Antonio 62	-24
Penn State 73 - Ohio State 76	0.582	Penn State 79 - Ohio State 56	-26
Pepperdine 65 - Brigham Young 83	0.939	Pepperdine 70 - Brigham Young 75	-13
Portland 73 - Santa Clara 68	0.649	Portland 72 - Santa Clara 81	14
Portland State 77 - Weber State 76	0.533	Portland State 86 - Weber State 95	10
Presbyterian 64 - High Point 70	0.663	Presbyterian 69 - High Point 62	-13
Quinnipiac 67 - Manhattan 69	0.555	Quinnipiac 71 - Manhattan 70	-3
Radford 72 - Campbell 66	0.681	Radford 72 - Campbell 53	-13
Rice 70 - Marshall 82	0.841	Rice 80 - Marshall 93	1
Rider 81 - Siena 62	0.916	Rider 97 - Siena 71	-7
Robert Morris 79 - Bryant 63	0.912	Robert Morris 83 - Bryant 60	-7
Sacramento State 70 - Idaho State 69	0.515	Sacramento State 64 - Idaho State 67	4
Sacred Heart 62 - Wagner 71	0.712	Sacred Heart 84 - Wagner 99	6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.549	Saint Francis Brooklyn 84 - LIU Brooklyn 79	-3
Saint Francis Penn 76 - Central Connecticut State 64	0.775	Saint Francis Penn 77 - Central Connecticut State 71	6
San Diego 73 - Pacific 68	0.66	San Diego 55 - Pacific 67	17
San Francisco 65 - Saint Marys 77	0.822	San Francisco 70 - Saint Marys 63	-19
SE Missouri State 75 - Eastern Illinois 69	0.688	SE Missouri State 80 - Eastern Illinois 73	-1
Seattle 77 - Texas Pan American 72	0.656	Seattle 85 - Texas Pan American 68	-12
Southern California 78 - Oregon 73	0.628	Southern California 72 - Oregon 70	3
Southern Miss 65 - Middle Tennessee 77	0.795	Southern Miss 62 - Middle Tennessee 72	-2
Stetson 69 - Lipscomb 77	0.709	Stetson 73 - Lipscomb 82	1
Tennessee Martin 72 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.643	Tennessee Martin 69 - SIU Edwardsville 70	5
Tennessee State 74 - Morehead State 60	0.82	Tennessee State 83 - Morehead State 74	5
The Citadel 69 - UNC Greensboro 82	0.796	The Citadel 66 - UNC Greensboro 82	3
Towson 76 - Delaware 63	0.817	Towson 67 - Delaware 65	11
UC Irvine 73 - Hawaii 63	0.749	UC Irvine 61 - Hawaii 62	11
UCLA 82 - Oregon State 72	0.78	UCLA 75 - Oregon State 68	3
UL Lafayette 79 - Texas State 59	0.922	UL Lafayette 73 - Texas State 63	10
UL Monroe 69 - Texas Arlington 74	0.605	UL Monroe 84 - Texas Arlington 71	-18
UMass Lowell 67 - Albany 77	0.744	UMass Lowell 81 - Albany 91	0
UMKC 81 - Chicago State 65	0.843	UMKC 76 - Chicago State 67	7
UNC Asheville 74 - Liberty 66	0.689	UNC Asheville 69 - Liberty 82	21
UNC Wilmington 74 - Elon 75	0.516	UNC Wilmington 87 - Elon 63	-25
Utah Valley 68 - New Mexico State 73	0.645	Utah Valley 86 - New Mexico State 79	-12
Vermont 79 - New Hampshire 57	0.99	Vermont 71 - New Hampshire 58	9
Washington 73 - Utah 71	0.552	Washington 58 - Utah 70	14
Washington State 71 - Colorado 77	0.65	Washington State 73 - Colorado 69	-10
Western Carolina 68 - Wofford 72	0.612	Western Carolina 69 - Wofford 84	11
Wichita State 83 - Temple 70	0.79	Wichita State 93 - Temple 86	6
Wisconsin 67 - Purdue 82	0.845	Wisconsin 57 - Purdue 53	-19

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 83 - Bowling Green 67	0.853	Buffalo 95 - Bowling Green 82	3
Cleveland State 68 - Oakland 78	0.774	Cleveland State 66 - Oakland 82	6
Columbia 70 - Pennsylvania 76	0.708	Columbia 62 - Pennsylvania 74	6
Cornell 71 - Princeton 73	0.544	Cornell 107 - Princeton 101	-8
Dartmouth 69 - Yale 72	0.592	Dartmouth 65 - Yale 77	9
Georgia Southern 70 - Georgia State 71	0.523	Georgia Southern 85 - Georgia State 80	-6
Green Bay 70 - Illinois Chicago 74	0.596	Green Bay 75 - Illinois Chicago 83	4
Harvard 76 - Brown 66	0.815	Harvard 65 - Brown 58	3
Iona 82 - Niagara 74	0.701	Iona 84 - Niagara 85	9
Milwaukee 74 - IUPUI 61	0.783	Milwaukee 71 - IUPUI 76	18
Monmouth 71 - Canisius 74	0.567	Monmouth 60 - Canisius 78	15
Saint Bonaventure 73 - Rhode Island 76	0.585	Saint Bonaventure 77 - Rhode Island 74	-6
Wright State 68 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.525	Wright State 69 - Northern Kentucky 67	-1
Youngstown State 77 - Detroit 75	0.574	Youngstown State 84 - Detroit 94	12

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Alcorn State 66	0.533	Alabama AM 60 - Alcorn State 80	19
Alabama State 67 - Southern 69	0.543	Alabama State 67 - Southern 71	2
Appalachian State 75 - Troy 74	0.514	Appalachian State 65 - Troy 54	-10
Arkansas 79 - Texas AM 77	0.529	Arkansas 94 - Texas AM 75	-17
Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Prairie View 70	0.517	Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Prairie View 76	6
Arkansas State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.682	Arkansas State 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 82	11
Austin Peay 70 - Jacksonville State 67	0.573	Austin Peay 60 - Jacksonville State 57	0
Ball State 72 - Toledo 74	0.544	Ball State 99 - Toledo 71	-30
Baylor 71 - Texas Tech 74	0.577	Baylor 59 - Texas Tech 57	-5
Belmont 82 - Morehead State 59	0.928	Belmont 108 - Morehead State 65	-20
Boise State 83 - Air Force 61	0.902	Boise State 76 - Air Force 52	-2
Boston 67 - Navy 66	0.526	Boston 48 - Navy 62	15
Boston College 77 - Notre Dame 76	0.516	Boston College 67 - Notre Dame 84	18
Butler 81 - Providence 71	0.72	Butler 69 - Providence 54	-5
Cal Poly 64 - UC Irvine 73	0.744	Cal Poly 58 - UC Irvine 75	8
Cal State Bakersfield 64 - Grand Canyon 71	0.706	Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Grand Canyon 58	-20
Cal State Fullerton 78 - Cal State Northridge 60	0.921	Cal State Fullerton 88 - Cal State Northridge 70	0
Central Arkansas 77 - Nicholls State 76	0.535	Central Arkansas 83 - Nicholls State 87	5
Central Florida 69 - Southern Methodist 67	0.54	Central Florida 52 - Southern Methodist 37	-13
Central Michigan 71 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.613	Central Michigan 67 - Eastern Michigan 72	9
Charlotte 70 - Texas San Antonio 79	0.748	Charlotte 89 - Texas San Antonio 97	-1
Chattanooga 66 - Wofford 74	0.696	Chattanooga 64 - Wofford 74	2
Coastal Carolina 71 - South Alabama 68	0.598	Coastal Carolina 72 - South Alabama 70	1
Columbia 73 - Princeton 74	0.528	Columbia 85 - Princeton 60	-26
Coppin State 67 - Bethune Cookman 70	0.58	Coppin State 85 - Bethune Cookman 89	1
Cornell 68 - Pennsylvania 76	0.691	Cornell 71 - Pennsylvania 79	0
Creighton 85 - Marquette 76	0.72	Creighton 86 - Marquette 90	13
Dartmouth 73 - Brown 74	0.502	Dartmouth 66 - Brown 63	-4
Davidson 82 - Massachusetts 66	0.811	Davidson 83 - Massachusetts 78	11
Dayton 78 - Fordham 65	0.802	Dayton 80 - Fordham 70	3
Delaware 69 - Elon 70	0.533	Delaware 72 - Elon 57	-16
Delaware State 66 - Florida AM 69	0.577	Delaware State 63 - Florida AM 66	0
Eastern Washington 77 - Montana State 66	0.764	Eastern Washington 84 - Montana State 79	6
Fairfield 77 - Quinnipiac 68	0.765	Fairfield 102 - Quinnipiac 98	5
Florida Atlantic 70 - Florida International 68	0.556	Florida Atlantic 77 - Florida International 72	-3
Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Lipscomb 67	0.751	Florida Gulf Coast 87 - Lipscomb 90	14
Fresno State 82 - Colorado State 66	0.901	Fresno State 86 - Colorado State 65	-5
George Washington 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.635	George Washington 80 - Virginia Commonwealth 56	-29
Georgia 69 - Tennessee 77	0.676	Georgia 73 - Tennessee 62	-19
Georgia Tech 73 - Virginia Tech 78	0.643	Georgia Tech 56 - Virginia Tech 76	15
Gonzaga 95 - Pepperdine 60	0.974	Gonzaga 81 - Pepperdine 67	21
Grambling State 71 - Jackson State 61	0.761	Grambling State 71 - Jackson State 64	3
Hampton 80 - South Carolina State 65	0.818	Hampton 79 - South Carolina State 66	2
Harvard 72 - Yale 64	0.776	Harvard 64 - Yale 49	-7
Hofstra 79 - Drexel 68	0.766	Hofstra 88 - Drexel 76	-1
Holy Cross 64 - Bucknell 76	0.814	Holy Cross 67 - Bucknell 68	-11
Houston Baptist 67 - Sam Houston State 77	0.791	Houston Baptist 78 - Sam Houston State 86	-2
Idaho 70 - Montana 71	0.53	Idaho 79 - Montana 77	-3
Illinois State 75 - Northern Iowa 69	0.641	Illinois State 79 - Northern Iowa 75	2
Incarnate Word 63 - Stephen F Austin 81	0.89	Incarnate Word 70 - Stephen F Austin 81	-7
Indiana State 75 - Southern Illinois 74	0.505	Indiana State 72 - Southern Illinois 76	5
Iowa 77 - Indiana 78	0.507	Iowa 82 - Indiana 84	1
Jacksonville 76 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.695	Jacksonville 82 - South Carolina Upstate 70	-4
Kansas 81 - West Virginia 75	0.626	Kansas 77 - West Virginia 69	-2
Kansas State 79 - Iowa State 71	0.672	Kansas State 78 - Iowa State 66	-4
Kent State 76 - Akron 68	0.719	Kent State 78 - Akron 68	-2
Kentucky 78 - Alabama 73	0.61	Kentucky 81 - Alabama 71	-5
La Salle 80 - George Mason 73	0.709	La Salle 69 - George Mason 62	0
Lafayette 73 - American 61	0.804	Lafayette 90 - American 85	7
Lamar 72 - Texas AM CC 61	0.772	Lamar 79 - Texas AM CC 76	8
Lehigh 76 - Army 72	0.625	Lehigh 84 - Army 53	-27
Louisiana State 77 - Missouri 76	0.512	Louisiana State 64 - Missouri 63	0
Louisiana Tech 68 - Middle Tennessee 75	0.735	Louisiana Tech 70 - Middle Tennessee 87	10
Louisville 82 - North Carolina 81	0.504	Louisville 76 - North Carolina 93	18
Marist 66 - Saint Peters 70	0.612	Marist 69 - Saint Peters 51	-22
Maryland 79 - Rutgers 64	0.844	Maryland 61 - Rutgers 51	5
Mercer 67 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.582	Mercer 77 - UNC Greensboro 74	-6
Miami 75 - Syracuse 70	0.675	Miami 55 - Syracuse 62	12
Mississippi State 81 - Mississippi 72	0.752	Mississippi State 79 - Mississippi 62	-8
Mississippi Valley State 67 - Texas Southern 79	0.839	Mississippi Valley State 71 - Texas Southern 72	-11
Murray State 80 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.903	Murray State 75 - Tennessee Tech 65	8
New Orleans 73 - Mcneese State 64	0.791	New Orleans 90 - Mcneese State 74	-7
Norfolk State 77 - Savannah State 76	0.515	Norfolk State 85 - Savannah State 77	-7
North Carolina AT 77 - Howard 64	0.806	North Carolina AT 83 - Howard 69	-1
North Carolina Central 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.806	North Carolina Central 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 49	-16
North Dakota 78 - Northern Arizona 67	0.747	North Dakota 86 - Northern Arizona 81	6
North Dakota State 73 - IPFW 70	0.574	North Dakota State 72 - IPFW 84	15
North Florida 74 - NJ Tech 73	0.524	North Florida 86 - NJ Tech 75	-10
North Texas 75 - Marshall 76	0.532	North Texas 72 - Marshall 74	1
Northeastern 79 - William and Mary 70	0.717	Northeastern 69 - William and Mary 67	7
Northern Colorado 80 - Southern Utah 66	0.875	Northern Colorado 97 - Southern Utah 80	-3
Northern Illinois 71 - Western Michigan 74	0.58	Northern Illinois 75 - Western Michigan 67	-11
Northwestern 70 - Michigan State 79	0.693	Northwestern 60 - Michigan State 65	-4
Ohio 70 - Miami OH 69	0.522	Ohio 92 - Miami OH 87	-4
Oklahoma 83 - Texas 78	0.653	Oklahoma 66 - Texas 77	16
Old Dominion 79 - Texas El Paso 57	0.949	Old Dominion 82 - Texas El Paso 33	-27
Pacific 76 - Santa Clara 64	0.801	Pacific 68 - Santa Clara 72	16
Portland 63 - Saint Marys 82	0.928	Portland 61 - Saint Marys 73	-7
Portland State 81 - Idaho State 70	0.783	Portland State 91 - Idaho State 77	-3
Rice 64 - Western Kentucky 81	0.921	Rice 66 - Western Kentucky 85	2
Richmond 71 - Saint Louis 70	0.507	Richmond 66 - Saint Louis 72	7
Robert Morris 72 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.772	Robert Morris 58 - Central Connecticut State 65	17
Sacramento State 65 - Weber State 74	0.733	Sacramento State 73 - Weber State 83	1
Sacred Heart 66 - Mt St Marys 67	0.536	Sacred Heart 69 - Mt St Marys 74	4
Saint Francis Brooklyn 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.567	Saint Francis Brooklyn 87 - Fairleigh Dickinson 74	-11
Saint Francis Penn 83 - Bryant 65	0.899	Saint Francis Penn 89 - Bryant 56	-15
Saint Josephs 77 - Duquesne 71	0.655	Saint Josephs 82 - Duquesne 75	-1
Samford 69 - Furman 80	0.759	Samford 79 - Furman 94	4
San Diego 68 - Brigham Young 72	0.629	San Diego 75 - Brigham Young 62	-17
San Diego State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	0.544	San Diego State 94 - Nevada Las Vegas 56	-36
San Francisco 78 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.836	San Francisco 72 - Loyola Marymount 63	2
SE Missouri State 79 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.737	SE Missouri State 79 - SIU Edwardsville 74	3
Seattle 64 - New Mexico State 76	0.801	Seattle 73 - New Mexico State 63	-22
South Carolina 73 - Auburn 83	0.785	South Carolina 84 - Auburn 75	-19
South Dakota 84 - Omaha 64	0.907	South Dakota 79 - Omaha 64	5
South Dakota State 85 - Western Illinois 62	0.897	South Dakota State 82 - Western Illinois 62	3
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Abilene Christian 64	0.674	Southeast Louisiana 68 - Abilene Christian 54	-8
Southern California 80 - Oregon State 70	0.779	Southern California 72 - Oregon State 59	-3
Southern Miss 71 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.566	Southern Miss 69 - Alabama Birmingham 87	16
Stetson 70 - Kennesaw St 69	0.513	Stetson 86 - Kennesaw St 74	-11
Tennessee Martin 68 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.584	Tennessee Martin 57 - Eastern Illinois 64	9
Tennessee State 76 - Eastern Kentucky 60	0.857	Tennessee State 59 - Eastern Kentucky 72	29
Texas Christian 84 - Oklahoma State 75	0.778	Texas Christian 90 - Oklahoma State 70	-11
The Citadel 79 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.686	The Citadel 71 - Virginia Military Institute 75	12
Towson 77 - James Madison 66	0.827	Towson 66 - James Madison 69	14
Tulane 77 - Memphis 74	0.592	Tulane 63 - Memphis 68	8
UC Riverside 66 - Hawaii 70	0.595	UC Riverside 69 - Hawaii 74	1
UC Santa Barbara 78 - UC Davis 68	0.791	UC Santa Barbara 54 - UC Davis 71	27
UCLA 80 - Oregon 75	0.63	UCLA 86 - Oregon 78	-3
UL Lafayette 82 - Texas Arlington 69	0.797	UL Lafayette 100 - Texas Arlington 79	-8
UL Monroe 66 - Texas State 64	0.561	UL Monroe 79 - Texas State 71	-6
UNC Wilmington 69 - College of Charleston 77	0.716	UNC Wilmington 74 - College of Charleston 88	6
Utah State 70 - Nevada 79	0.736	Utah State 87 - Nevada 93	-3
Utah Valley 81 - Texas Pan American 69	0.777	Utah Valley 84 - Texas Pan American 72	0
Valparaiso 72 - Bradley 71	0.504	Valparaiso 77 - Bradley 64	-12
Vanderbilt 74 - Florida 79	0.622	Vanderbilt 71 - Florida 68	-8
Wagner 78 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.828	Wagner 78 - LIU Brooklyn 74	10
Wake Forest 79 - NC State 81	0.55	Wake Forest 84 - NC State 90	4
Washington 75 - Colorado 70	0.628	Washington 82 - Colorado 59	-18
Washington State 69 - Utah 79	0.712	Washington State 70 - Utah 77	-3
Western Carolina 61 - East Tennessee State 75	0.852	Western Carolina 61 - East Tennessee State 72	-3
Wyoming 85 - San Jose State 64	0.924	Wyoming 89 - San Jose State 75	7
Xavier 80 - Villanova 81	0.516	Xavier 79 - Villanova 95	15

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 70 - Stanford 78	0.678	California 73 - Stanford 77	-4
Campbell 71 - Liberty 68	0.578	Campbell 79 - Liberty 69	-7
Charleston Southern 68 - UNC Asheville 73	0.608	Charleston Southern 80 - UNC Asheville 85	0
Cincinnati 79 - Wichita State 69	0.745	Cincinnati 72 - Wichita State 76	14
Clemson 79 - Duke 78	0.531	Clemson 57 - Duke 66	10
Denver 73 - Oral Roberts 67	0.614	Denver 66 - Oral Roberts 65	5
East Carolina 70 - Connecticut 76	0.638	East Carolina 80 - Connecticut 84	-2
Evansville 66 - Loyola Ill 72	0.65	Evansville 66 - Loyola Ill 76	4
Florida State 87 - Pittsburgh 65	0.938	Florida State 88 - Pittsburgh 75	9
High Point 72 - Gardner Webb 64	0.724	High Point 66 - Gardner Webb 65	7
Illinois 75 - Nebraska 79	0.594	Illinois 72 - Nebraska 66	-10
Loyola MD 68 - Colgate 73	0.663	Loyola MD 47 - Colgate 68	16
Manhattan 73 - Niagara 72	0.531	Manhattan 82 - Niagara 72	-9
Michigan 73 - Ohio State 74	0.529	Michigan 74 - Ohio State 62	-13
Missouri State 76 - Drake 68	0.694	Missouri State 63 - Drake 67	12
Purdue 84 - Penn State 69	0.842	Purdue 76 - Penn State 73	12
Radford 74 - Presbyterian 59	0.903	Radford 74 - Presbyterian 68	9
Rider 76 - Canisius 70	0.654	Rider 83 - Canisius 82	5
Seton Hall 82 - DePaul 69	0.84	Seton Hall 82 - DePaul 77	8
Siena 69 - Monmouth 72	0.595	Siena 89 - Monmouth 93	1
Stony Brook 70 - New Hampshire 65	0.708	Stony Brook 72 - New Hampshire 63	-4
Temple 72 - Houston 75	0.564	Temple 59 - Houston 80	18
Tulsa 82 - South Florida 62	0.89	Tulsa 73 - South Florida 61	8
UMass Lowell 74 - Binghamton 69	0.651	UMass Lowell 74 - Binghamton 69	0
UMBC 69 - Albany 70	0.518	UMBC 68 - Albany 60	-9
Vermont 79 - Hartford 62	0.89	Vermont 68 - Hartford 69	18
Winthrop 83 - Longwood 58	0.918	Winthrop 79 - Longwood 64	10

Number of DI Games: 334
Number Correct: 231 = 69.1%
Expected Number Correct: 232.856 = 69.7%
Average Error: 8.8
Average Signed Error: 0.48

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 60 - Southern 69	0.774	Alabama AM 50 - Southern 60	1
Alabama State 70 - Alcorn State 67	0.558	Alabama State 82 - Alcorn State 62	-17
Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Texas Southern 71	0.53	Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Texas Southern 61	-2
Delaware State 62 - Coppin State 66	0.599	Delaware State 69 - Coppin State 51	-22
Hampton 82 - Savannah State 76	0.66	Hampton 114 - Savannah State 102	-6
Illinois Chicago 81 - Detroit 67	0.824	Illinois Chicago 94 - Detroit 87	7
IUPUI 68 - Oakland 76	0.743	IUPUI 74 - Oakland 67	-15
Kansas 88 - Oklahoma 78	0.759	Kansas 104 - Oklahoma 74	-20
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Prairie View 76	0.804	Mississippi Valley State 76 - Prairie View 71	-15
Morgan State 72 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.51	Morgan State 95 - Bethune Cookman 96	2
Norfolk State 75 - South Carolina State 63	0.785	Norfolk State 76 - South Carolina State 62	-2
North Carolina AT 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.884	North Carolina AT 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 69	10
North Carolina Central 72 - Howard 64	0.694	North Carolina Central 83 - Howard 66	-9
Northern Kentucky 84 - Youngstown State 61	0.923	Northern Kentucky 70 - Youngstown State 51	4
Northwestern 73 - Maryland 74	0.51	Northwestern 64 - Maryland 71	6
Notre Dame 77 - Miami 73	0.624	Notre Dame 74 - Miami 77	7
Wisconsin 79 - Minnesota 73	0.649	Wisconsin 73 - Minnesota 63	-4
Wright State 78 - Cleveland State 58	0.928	Wright State 72 - Cleveland State 63	11

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 82 - Kentucky 78	0.609	Arkansas 72 - Kentucky 87	19
Ball State 78 - Northern Illinois 66	0.76	Ball State 77 - Northern Illinois 68	3
Baylor 76 - West Virginia 75	0.515	Baylor 60 - West Virginia 71	12
Bowling Green 77 - Akron 68	0.731	Bowling Green 79 - Akron 81	11
Butler 81 - Creighton 76	0.616	Butler 93 - Creighton 70	-18
Dayton 72 - Saint Louis 71	0.529	Dayton 53 - Saint Louis 50	-2
East Tennessee State 88 - The Citadel 63	0.935	East Tennessee State 82 - The Citadel 84	27
Eastern Michigan 69 - Toledo 71	0.556	Eastern Michigan 85 - Toledo 79	-8
Furman 81 - Virginia Military Institute 57	0.93	Furman 76 - Virginia Military Institute 54	2
La Salle 68 - Rhode Island 81	0.874	La Salle 93 - Rhode Island 95	-11
Louisiana State 81 - Vanderbilt 74	0.676	Louisiana State 88 - Vanderbilt 78	-3
Mercer 76 - Western Carolina 63	0.836	Mercer 81 - Western Carolina 64	-4
Miami OH 70 - Buffalo 77	0.721	Miami OH 84 - Buffalo 81	-10
Michigan State 89 - Illinois 67	0.904	Michigan State 81 - Illinois 61	2
Missouri 83 - Mississippi 70	0.828	Missouri 87 - Mississippi 90	16
NC State 85 - Boston College 77	0.71	NC State 82 - Boston College 66	-8
Nebraska 78 - Indiana 73	0.633	Nebraska 66 - Indiana 57	-4
Ohio 73 - Kent State 71	0.562	Ohio 88 - Kent State 76	-10
Ohio State 81 - Rutgers 62	0.873	Ohio State 79 - Rutgers 52	-8
Texas AM 78 - Mississippi State 71	0.685	Texas AM 81 - Mississippi State 93	19
Valparaiso 71 - Northern Iowa 68	0.582	Valparaiso 63 - Northern Iowa 68	8
Western Michigan 75 - Central Michigan 69	0.671	Western Michigan 83 - Central Michigan 81	4
Wofford 68 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.543	Wofford 66 - UNC Greensboro 76	8
Wyoming 80 - New Mexico 75	0.634	Wyoming 114 - New Mexico 119	10

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 66 - San Diego State 78	0.733	Air Force 56 - San Diego State 67	-1
Auburn 84 - Alabama 74	0.734	Auburn 90 - Alabama 71	-9
Boston 72 - Lafayette 68	0.614	Boston 81 - Lafayette 65	-12
Bucknell 76 - Navy 64	0.799	Bucknell 85 - Navy 61	-12
Colgate 76 - Army 66	0.743	Colgate 87 - Army 83	6
Colorado 73 - Southern California 76	0.594	Colorado 64 - Southern California 75	8
Colorado State 69 - Boise State 80	0.793	Colorado State 54 - Boise State 87	22
Davidson 81 - Fordham 60	0.883	Davidson 76 - Fordham 52	-3
Duke 87 - Louisville 74	0.781	Duke 82 - Louisville 56	-13
East Carolina 68 - Southern Methodist 77	0.725	East Carolina 58 - Southern Methodist 77	10
George Washington 73 - Richmond 70	0.576	George Washington 103 - Richmond 77	-23
Georgetown 75 - Xavier 84	0.761	Georgetown 77 - Xavier 89	3
Hartford 74 - New Hampshire 63	0.773	Hartford 65 - New Hampshire 56	2
Holy Cross 70 - American 60	0.768	Holy Cross 70 - American 64	4
Houston Baptist 69 - Lamar 77	0.732	Houston Baptist 73 - Lamar 87	6
Illinois State 78 - Drake 74	0.601	Illinois State 89 - Drake 81	-4
Incarnate Word 72 - Northwestern State 66	0.687	Incarnate Word 54 - Northwestern State 66	18
Indiana State 74 - Evansville 71	0.581	Indiana State 58 - Evansville 53	-2
Iowa State 78 - Texas Christian 82	0.607	Iowa State 83 - Texas Christian 89	2
Kansas State 75 - Texas 71	0.606	Kansas State 58 - Texas 48	-6
Loyola MD 71 - Lehigh 76	0.645	Loyola MD 74 - Lehigh 80	1
Marquette 82 - Saint Johns 75	0.682	Marquette 85 - Saint Johns 73	-5
Massachusetts 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 77	0.533	Massachusetts 78 - Virginia Commonwealth 82	3
Mcneese State 68 - Nicholls State 76	0.727	Mcneese State 79 - Nicholls State 96	9
Minnesota 84 - Iowa 80	0.586	Minnesota 86 - Iowa 82	0
Missouri State 72 - Bradley 67	0.616	Missouri State 78 - Bradley 82	9
Nevada 91 - San Jose State 58	0.977	Nevada 80 - San Jose State 67	20
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Fresno State 75	0.534	Nevada Las Vegas 64 - Fresno State 77	15
Niagara 74 - Canisius 75	0.532	Niagara 88 - Canisius 95	6
Oklahoma State 71 - Texas Tech 78	0.689	Oklahoma State 79 - Texas Tech 71	-15
Penn State 76 - Michigan 73	0.567	Penn State 63 - Michigan 72	12
Pittsburgh 72 - Wake Forest 78	0.696	Pittsburgh 57 - Wake Forest 63	0
Providence 77 - Seton Hall 75	0.536	Providence 77 - Seton Hall 89	14
Saint Bonaventure 83 - Duquesne 66	0.887	Saint Bonaventure 73 - Duquesne 67	11
Saint Josephs 79 - George Mason 70	0.745	Saint Josephs 76 - George Mason 79	12
Sam Houston State 70 - New Orleans 63	0.762	Sam Houston State 57 - New Orleans 54	4
Siena 71 - Fairfield 73	0.546	Siena 69 - Fairfield 70	-1
South Carolina 74 - Georgia 72	0.552	South Carolina 66 - Georgia 57	-7
Southern Illinois 71 - Loyola Ill 73	0.574	Southern Illinois 56 - Loyola Ill 75	17
Stephen F Austin 81 - Central Arkansas 70	0.754	Stephen F Austin 97 - Central Arkansas 62	-24
Syracuse 75 - North Carolina 79	0.623	Syracuse 74 - North Carolina 78	0
Tennessee 80 - Florida 72	0.677	Tennessee 62 - Florida 57	3
Tulsa 71 - Central Florida 69	0.554	Tulsa 70 - Central Florida 61	-7
UC Riverside 67 - Cal State Fullerton 75	0.715	UC Riverside 69 - Cal State Fullerton 65	-12
UMass Lowell 78 - Maine 69	0.78	UMass Lowell 88 - Maine 76	-3
UMBC 74 - Stony Brook 65	0.733	UMBC 57 - Stony Brook 64	16
Vermont 82 - Binghamton 57	0.963	Vermont 75 - Binghamton 54	4
Villanova 91 - DePaul 66	0.947	Villanova 93 - DePaul 62	-6
Virginia 80 - Georgia Tech 53	0.964	Virginia 65 - Georgia Tech 54	16
Virginia Tech 77 - Clemson 76	0.512	Virginia Tech 65 - Clemson 58	-6
Wichita State 90 - Tulane 67	0.932	Wichita State 93 - Tulane 86	16

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Texas AM CC 61	0.755	Abilene Christian 67 - Texas AM CC 76	19
Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.604	Arkansas Little Rock 60 - Coastal Carolina 65	2
Arkansas State 74 - Appalachian State 75	0.535	Arkansas State 82 - Appalachian State 79	-4
Bryant 68 - Sacred Heart 72	0.6	Bryant 84 - Sacred Heart 94	6
Cal Poly 72 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.673	Cal Poly 90 - Cal State Northridge 86	2
Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Utah Valley 73	0.672	Cal State Bakersfield 47 - Utah Valley 70	15
California 75 - Washington State 74	0.538	California 76 - Washington State 78	3
Central Connecticut State 63 - Wagner 72	0.729	Central Connecticut State 62 - Wagner 64	-7
Charleston Southern 71 - Campbell 70	0.514	Charleston Southern 72 - Campbell 68	-3
Cincinnati 83 - Connecticut 60	0.933	Cincinnati 77 - Connecticut 52	-2
College of Charleston 77 - Elon 62	0.858	College of Charleston 79 - Elon 58	-6
Detroit 70 - Milwaukee 72	0.56	Detroit 49 - Milwaukee 72	21
Drexel 73 - Delaware 69	0.6	Drexel 85 - Delaware 83	2
Eastern Illinois 62 - Murray State 76	0.872	Eastern Illinois 66 - Murray State 76	-4
Eastern Kentucky 75 - SE Missouri State 74	0.502	Eastern Kentucky 91 - SE Missouri State 88	-2
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Saint Francis Penn 73	0.554	Fairleigh Dickinson 82 - Saint Francis Penn 90	6
Florida Atlantic 74 - Rice 65	0.772	Florida Atlantic 76 - Rice 79	12
Florida International 71 - North Texas 72	0.526	Florida International 69 - North Texas 68	-2
Grand Canyon 73 - Seattle 68	0.634	Grand Canyon 76 - Seattle 64	-7
Hawaii 76 - Long Beach State 72	0.605	Hawaii 74 - Long Beach State 63	-7
High Point 77 - Longwood 59	0.851	High Point 75 - Longwood 56	-1
Idaho State 67 - Idaho 74	0.694	Idaho State 86 - Idaho 83	-10
Illinois 71 - Purdue 85	0.807	Illinois 86 - Purdue 93	-7
Jacksonville 72 - North Florida 73	0.504	Jacksonville 86 - North Florida 81	-6
Jacksonville State 66 - Belmont 71	0.612	Jacksonville State 78 - Belmont 67	-16
James Madison 71 - Hofstra 74	0.599	James Madison 61 - Hofstra 77	13
Liberty 68 - Radford 66	0.575	Liberty 50 - Radford 63	15
Lipscomb 78 - Kennesaw St 65	0.823	Lipscomb 83 - Kennesaw St 74	4
LIU Brooklyn 75 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	0.612	LIU Brooklyn 81 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 76	0
Marshall 72 - Old Dominion 75	0.58	Marshall 79 - Old Dominion 84	2
Memphis 69 - Houston 79	0.752	Memphis 91 - Houston 85	-16
Monmouth 73 - Rider 77	0.623	Monmouth 91 - Rider 77	-18
Morehead State 71 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.61	Morehead State 70 - Tennessee Martin 53	-13
Mt St Marys 69 - Robert Morris 65	0.612	Mt St Marys 72 - Robert Morris 53	-15
New Mexico State 91 - Chicago State 54	0.978	New Mexico State 78 - Chicago State 67	26
Northeastern 75 - Towson 65	0.758	Northeastern 80 - Towson 75	5
Northern Arizona 68 - Sacramento State 69	0.543	Northern Arizona 58 - Sacramento State 53	-6
Northwestern 75 - Wisconsin 69	0.636	Northwestern 64 - Wisconsin 70	12
Oakland 82 - Green Bay 67	0.875	Oakland 90 - Green Bay 96	21
Omaha 75 - Oral Roberts 72	0.578	Omaha 75 - Oral Roberts 83	11
Oregon 79 - Arizona State 78	0.505	Oregon 75 - Arizona State 68	-6
Oregon State 72 - Arizona 79	0.732	Oregon State 65 - Arizona 75	3
Pacific 72 - San Francisco 69	0.568	Pacific 74 - San Francisco 84	13
Portland 67 - Brigham Young 77	0.792	Portland 60 - Brigham Young 72	2
Presbyterian 68 - Gardner Webb 67	0.518	Presbyterian 63 - Gardner Webb 78	16
Saint Marys 90 - Pepperdine 60	0.976	Saint Marys 75 - Pepperdine 61	16
San Diego 67 - Gonzaga 79	0.797	San Diego 72 - Gonzaga 77	-7
Santa Clara 75 - Loyola Marymount 70	0.669	Santa Clara 64 - Loyola Marymount 65	6
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Austin Peay 75	0.652	SIU Edwardsville 82 - Austin Peay 86	-1
South Alabama 71 - UL Monroe 67	0.593	South Alabama 62 - UL Monroe 66	8
South Carolina Upstate 68 - NJ Tech 75	0.691	South Carolina Upstate 67 - NJ Tech 76	2
South Dakota State 76 - South Dakota 73	0.598	South Dakota State 76 - South Dakota 72	-1
Southern Utah 75 - Portland State 80	0.66	Southern Utah 91 - Portland State 96	0
Stanford 76 - Washington 73	0.572	Stanford 94 - Washington 78	-13
Stetson 64 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	0.769	Stetson 60 - Florida Gulf Coast 76	4
Tennessee Tech 69 - Tennessee State 67	0.547	Tennessee Tech 69 - Tennessee State 64	-3
Texas Arlington 75 - Georgia Southern 72	0.593	Texas Arlington 83 - Georgia Southern 63	-17
Texas El Paso 67 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.701	Texas El Paso 74 - Louisiana Tech 72	-9
Texas Pan American 78 - UMKC 69	0.729	Texas Pan American 59 - UMKC 83	33
Texas San Antonio 79 - Southern Miss 71	0.691	Texas San Antonio 64 - Southern Miss 56	0
Texas State 65 - Georgia State 69	0.632	Texas State 50 - Georgia State 77	23
Troy 69 - UL Lafayette 80	0.775	Troy 76 - UL Lafayette 81	-6
UC Irvine 69 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.509	UC Irvine 69 - UC Santa Barbara 49	-21
UNC Asheville 74 - Winthrop 73	0.512	UNC Asheville 89 - Winthrop 75	-13
Utah 78 - UCLA 76	0.555	Utah 84 - UCLA 78	-4
Weber State 75 - Eastern Washington 68	0.706	Weber State 70 - Eastern Washington 75	12
Western Illinois 67 - North Dakota State 71	0.596	Western Illinois 82 - North Dakota State 74	-12
Western Kentucky 88 - Charlotte 61	0.965	Western Kentucky 93 - Charlotte 55	-11
William and Mary 83 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.726	William and Mary 96 - UNC Wilmington 83	-3

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 75 - Western Michigan 68	0.677	Ball State 80 - Western Michigan 87	14
Columbia 78 - Brown 73	0.655	Columbia 89 - Brown 82	-2
Cornell 74 - Yale 73	0.511	Cornell 80 - Yale 82	3
East Tennessee State 75 - Wofford 64	0.784	East Tennessee State 71 - Wofford 75	15
Illinois Chicago 68 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.602	Illinois Chicago 72 - Northern Kentucky 79	3
Indiana 73 - Ohio State 76	0.582	Indiana 78 - Ohio State 80	-1
Iona 74 - Manhattan 66	0.74	Iona 88 - Manhattan 75	-5
IUPUI 62 - Wright State 73	0.805	IUPUI 66 - Wright State 56	-21
Niagara 83 - Marist 68	0.839	Niagara 100 - Marist 76	-9
Pennsylvania 78 - Dartmouth 60	0.93	Pennsylvania 74 - Dartmouth 46	-10
Princeton 67 - Harvard 69	0.542	Princeton 66 - Harvard 72	4
Quinnipiac 69 - Saint Peters 66	0.587	Quinnipiac 43 - Saint Peters 52	12
Rhode Island 84 - Dayton 65	0.922	Rhode Island 81 - Dayton 56	-6
The Citadel 73 - Mercer 81	0.717	The Citadel 70 - Mercer 83	5
Toledo 79 - Central Michigan 68	0.761	Toledo 89 - Central Michigan 76	-2
UNC Greensboro 79 - Chattanooga 56	0.939	UNC Greensboro 72 - Chattanooga 51	2
Virginia Military Institute 71 - Samford 72	0.508	Virginia Military Institute 82 - Samford 89	6
Western Carolina 65 - Furman 75	0.756	Western Carolina 55 - Furman 78	13

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 74 - Central Arkansas 72	0.541	Abilene Christian 72 - Central Arkansas 74	4
Air Force 68 - Utah State 74	0.633	Air Force 75 - Utah State 65	-16
Akron 69 - Miami OH 71	0.541	Akron 62 - Miami OH 64	0
Alabama 80 - Arkansas 77	0.57	Alabama 73 - Arkansas 76	6
Albany 81 - Maine 59	0.935	Albany 89 - Maine 79	12
Alcorn State 65 - Southern 66	0.511	Alcorn State 89 - Southern 85	-5
American 63 - Bucknell 79	0.896	American 61 - Bucknell 80	3
Arkansas Little Rock 68 - Appalachian State 71	0.572	Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Appalachian State 69	-1
Arkansas State 72 - Coastal Carolina 74	0.562	Arkansas State 81 - Coastal Carolina 88	5
Army 72 - Boston 69	0.585	Army 59 - Boston 61	5
Austin Peay 68 - Murray State 75	0.699	Austin Peay 64 - Murray State 73	2
Belmont 75 - Tennessee State 62	0.791	Belmont 84 - Tennessee State 59	-12
Bethune Cookman 82 - Savannah State 79	0.578	Bethune Cookman 121 - Savannah State 92	-26
Binghamton 67 - Hartford 72	0.64	Binghamton 57 - Hartford 67	5
Bradley 77 - Indiana State 70	0.666	Bradley 64 - Indiana State 66	9
Brigham Young 71 - Gonzaga 77	0.645	Brigham Young 65 - Gonzaga 79	8
Buffalo 85 - Ohio 68	0.869	Buffalo 108 - Ohio 82	-9
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Seattle 70	0.562	Cal State Bakersfield 64 - Seattle 57	-9
Cal State Fullerton 80 - Long Beach State 73	0.717	Cal State Fullerton 81 - Long Beach State 71	-3
Cal State Northridge 62 - UC Santa Barbara 78	0.89	Cal State Northridge 73 - UC Santa Barbara 82	-7
California 68 - Washington 77	0.699	California 51 - Washington 68	8
Campbell 75 - Presbyterian 62	0.807	Campbell 72 - Presbyterian 56	-3
Central Connecticut State 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 68	0.543	Central Connecticut State 78 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 75	-2
Clemson 81 - Georgia Tech 62	0.909	Clemson 75 - Georgia Tech 67	11
Colgate 72 - Holy Cross 62	0.793	Colgate 59 - Holy Cross 53	4
Columbia 74 - Yale 72	0.557	Columbia 73 - Yale 83	12
Cornell 78 - Brown 74	0.603	Cornell 73 - Brown 68	-1
Creighton 78 - Villanova 84	0.653	Creighton 89 - Villanova 83	-12
Delaware 71 - James Madison 68	0.593	Delaware 68 - James Madison 66	1
DePaul 77 - Marquette 81	0.616	DePaul 70 - Marquette 62	-12
Detroit 76 - Green Bay 73	0.586	Detroit 97 - Green Bay 107	13
Drake 77 - Valparaiso 71	0.649	Drake 64 - Valparaiso 69	11
Drexel 77 - UNC Wilmington 74	0.584	Drexel 82 - UNC Wilmington 83	4
Duke 83 - Syracuse 69	0.836	Duke 60 - Syracuse 44	-2
Duquesne 69 - Davidson 77	0.669	Duquesne 60 - Davidson 71	3
Eastern Illinois 73 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.691	Eastern Illinois 68 - SIU Edwardsville 56	-6
Eastern Michigan 73 - Northern Illinois 65	0.719	Eastern Michigan 82 - Northern Illinois 53	-21
Elon 67 - Northeastern 74	0.69	Elon 59 - Northeastern 81	15
Evansville 70 - Southern Illinois 71	0.522	Evansville 75 - Southern Illinois 44	-32
Fairfield 76 - Monmouth 73	0.58	Fairfield 69 - Monmouth 66	0
Fairleigh Dickinson 80 - Bryant 65	0.876	Fairleigh Dickinson 87 - Bryant 83	11
Florida 79 - Auburn 81	0.555	Florida 72 - Auburn 66	-8
Florida AM 64 - North Carolina AT 71	0.708	Florida AM 83 - North Carolina AT 77	-13
Florida Atlantic 69 - North Texas 71	0.562	Florida Atlantic 74 - North Texas 54	-22
Florida International 76 - Rice 66	0.798	Florida International 67 - Rice 64	7
Fordham 71 - La Salle 73	0.559	Fordham 60 - La Salle 73	11
Fresno State 80 - Wyoming 71	0.759	Fresno State 68 - Wyoming 78	19
Gardner Webb 69 - UNC Asheville 73	0.634	Gardner Webb 72 - UNC Asheville 61	-15
George Mason 77 - Massachusetts 73	0.616	George Mason 78 - Massachusetts 76	2
Georgetown 76 - Providence 75	0.509	Georgetown 69 - Providence 74	6
Georgia 76 - Louisiana State 73	0.57	Georgia 93 - Louisiana State 82	-8
Grambling State 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	0.759	Grambling State 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 75	20
Grand Canyon 72 - Utah Valley 71	0.503	Grand Canyon 60 - Utah Valley 59	0
Hampton 75 - Morgan State 64	0.728	Hampton 57 - Morgan State 38	-8
Hawaii 67 - UC Irvine 68	0.504	Hawaii 57 - UC Irvine 66	8
Hofstra 75 - Towson 70	0.646	Hofstra 91 - Towson 86	0
Howard 75 - Delaware State 62	0.788	Howard 93 - Delaware State 74	-6
Idaho State 69 - Eastern Washington 72	0.593	Idaho State 69 - Eastern Washington 74	2
IPFW 74 - South Dakota State 79	0.611	IPFW 90 - South Dakota State 97	2
Jackson State 71 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.839	Jackson State 60 - Mississippi Valley State 59	10
Kent State 74 - Bowling Green 70	0.617	Kent State 64 - Bowling Green 63	3
Kentucky 78 - Missouri 73	0.634	Kentucky 87 - Missouri 66	-16
Lehigh 78 - Lafayette 70	0.705	Lehigh 79 - Lafayette 64	-7
Liberty 71 - High Point 64	0.653	Liberty 65 - High Point 45	-13
LIU Brooklyn 74 - Sacred Heart 67	0.693	LIU Brooklyn 88 - Sacred Heart 77	-4
Longwood 61 - Radford 74	0.815	Longwood 47 - Radford 70	10
Loyola Ill 81 - Illinois State 66	0.8	Loyola Ill 68 - Illinois State 61	8
Loyola Marymount 72 - Pacific 76	0.631	Loyola Marymount 74 - Pacific 71	-7
Marshall 88 - Charlotte 66	0.944	Marshall 103 - Charlotte 75	-6
Maryland 75 - Michigan 74	0.508	Maryland 61 - Michigan 85	25
Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - Norfolk State 69	0.721	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Norfolk State 74	2
Mcneese State 78 - Houston Baptist 70	0.758	Mcneese State 88 - Houston Baptist 79	-1
Miami 81 - Boston College 73	0.752	Miami 79 - Boston College 78	7
Middle Tennessee 78 - Alabama Birmingham 64	0.851	Middle Tennessee 79 - Alabama Birmingham 54	-11
Mississippi 73 - Tennessee 82	0.711	Mississippi 65 - Tennessee 73	-1
Mississippi State 78 - South Carolina 71	0.716	Mississippi State 72 - South Carolina 68	3
Montana 81 - Montana State 63	0.905	Montana 90 - Montana State 63	-9
Morehead State 73 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.564	Morehead State 70 - Eastern Kentucky 66	-1
Mt St Marys 67 - Wagner 70	0.595	Mt St Marys 73 - Wagner 62	-14
Navy 75 - Loyola MD 59	0.852	Navy 62 - Loyola MD 56	10
New Mexico State 82 - UMKC 57	0.942	New Mexico State 82 - UMKC 58	1
Nicholls State 75 - New Orleans 64	0.816	Nicholls State 78 - New Orleans 64	-3
North Dakota 70 - Northern Colorado 78	0.682	North Dakota 66 - Northern Colorado 79	5
Northern Arizona 69 - Portland State 81	0.802	Northern Arizona 66 - Portland State 72	-6
Northern Iowa 69 - Missouri State 68	0.536	Northern Iowa 71 - Missouri State 56	-14
Northwestern State 58 - Southeast Louisiana 74	0.848	Northwestern State 62 - Southeast Louisiana 86	8
Oakland 76 - Milwaukee 66	0.735	Oakland 72 - Milwaukee 70	8
Oklahoma 83 - Kansas State 79	0.607	Oklahoma 86 - Kansas State 77	-5
Omaha 72 - North Dakota State 73	0.526	Omaha 62 - North Dakota State 84	21
Oregon 75 - Arizona 78	0.572	Oregon 98 - Arizona 93	-8
Oregon State 75 - Arizona State 79	0.636	Oregon State 79 - Arizona State 75	-8
Pennsylvania 70 - Harvard 63	0.731	Pennsylvania 74 - Harvard 71	4
Pepperdine 74 - Portland 75	0.528	Pepperdine 75 - Portland 64	-12
Pittsburgh 53 - Virginia 80	0.966	Pittsburgh 37 - Virginia 66	2
Prairie View 78 - Alabama State 65	0.825	Prairie View 80 - Alabama State 74	7
Princeton 76 - Dartmouth 66	0.728	Princeton 64 - Dartmouth 47	-7
Richmond 75 - Saint Josephs 74	0.553	Richmond 70 - Saint Josephs 72	3
Saint Francis Penn 73 - Robert Morris 66	0.667	Saint Francis Penn 80 - Robert Morris 60	-13
Saint Johns 77 - Seton Hall 76	0.501	Saint Johns 74 - Seton Hall 81	8
Saint Louis 73 - George Washington 63	0.729	Saint Louis 62 - George Washington 53	1
Saint Marys 84 - Santa Clara 59	0.941	Saint Marys 67 - Santa Clara 40	-2
San Francisco 71 - San Diego 67	0.639	San Francisco 61 - San Diego 64	7
San Jose State 63 - San Diego State 80	0.841	San Jose State 59 - San Diego State 71	-5
SE Missouri State 77 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.794	SE Missouri State 66 - Tennessee Martin 72	16
South Alabama 67 - UL Lafayette 79	0.782	South Alabama 71 - UL Lafayette 88	5
South Carolina State 67 - North Carolina Central 68	0.519	South Carolina State 102 - North Carolina Central 79	-24
South Florida 70 - Tulane 76	0.65	South Florida 68 - Tulane 79	5
Southern Methodist 72 - Wichita State 79	0.684	Southern Methodist 78 - Wichita State 84	-1
Southern Utah 73 - Sacramento State 68	0.675	Southern Utah 77 - Sacramento State 74	2
Stanford 83 - Washington State 69	0.782	Stanford 86 - Washington State 84	12
Stephen F Austin 77 - Lamar 66	0.763	Stephen F Austin 66 - Lamar 71	16
Stony Brook 63 - Vermont 75	0.879	Stony Brook 60 - Vermont 69	-3
Tennessee Tech 68 - Jacksonville State 67	0.524	Tennessee Tech 57 - Jacksonville State 66	10
Texas 80 - Oklahoma State 72	0.727	Texas 65 - Oklahoma State 64	7
Texas AM CC 74 - Incarnate Word 62	0.814	Texas AM CC 62 - Incarnate Word 69	19
Texas Arlington 74 - Georgia State 73	0.513	Texas Arlington 89 - Georgia State 81	-7
Texas Christian 81 - Baylor 75	0.653	Texas Christian 82 - Baylor 72	-4
Texas El Paso 70 - Southern Miss 71	0.524	Texas El Paso 73 - Southern Miss 44	-30
Texas Pan American 87 - Chicago State 66	0.918	Texas Pan American 83 - Chicago State 75	13
Texas San Antonio 75 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.546	Texas San Antonio 74 - Louisiana Tech 64	-9
Texas Southern 79 - Alabama AM 60	0.909	Texas Southern 106 - Alabama AM 71	-16
Texas State 66 - Georgia Southern 68	0.553	Texas State 77 - Georgia Southern 81	2
Texas Tech 77 - Kansas 73	0.608	Texas Tech 72 - Kansas 74	6
Troy 74 - UL Monroe 68	0.643	Troy 73 - UL Monroe 67	0
UC Davis 79 - UC Riverside 61	0.888	UC Davis 64 - UC Riverside 63	17
UMBC 80 - UMass Lowell 66	0.799	UMBC 83 - UMass Lowell 75	6
Utah 76 - Southern California 73	0.566	Utah 58 - Southern California 74	19
Vanderbilt 75 - Texas AM 77	0.573	Vanderbilt 81 - Texas AM 89	6
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Saint Bonaventure 79	0.642	Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0
Virginia Tech 81 - Louisville 78	0.595	Virginia Tech 68 - Louisville 75	10
Wake Forest 76 - Notre Dame 79	0.57	Wake Forest 71 - Notre Dame 76	2
Weber State 73 - Idaho 69	0.596	Weber State 62 - Idaho 68	10
West Virginia 85 - Iowa State 70	0.763	West Virginia 85 - Iowa State 70	0
Western Illinois 67 - Denver 70	0.566	Western Illinois 52 - Denver 89	34
Western Kentucky 73 - Old Dominion 70	0.568	Western Kentucky 88 - Old Dominion 66	-19
William and Mary 73 - College of Charleston 74	0.541	William and Mary 114 - College of Charleston 104	-11
Winthrop 79 - Charleston Southern 64	0.818	Winthrop 75 - Charleston Southern 78	18
Youngstown State 74 - Cleveland State 71	0.596	Youngstown State 94 - Cleveland State 99	8

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 81 - Marist 61	0.908	Canisius 98 - Marist 74	-4
Cincinnati 82 - Tulsa 62	0.907	Cincinnati 82 - Tulsa 74	12
Colorado 75 - UCLA 79	0.605	Colorado 80 - UCLA 76	-8
Connecticut 75 - Memphis 72	0.58	Connecticut 79 - Memphis 83	7
East Tennessee State 73 - Furman 66	0.683	East Tennessee State 76 - Furman 79	10
Houston 88 - East Carolina 60	0.94	Houston 109 - East Carolina 58	-23
Illinois Chicago 68 - Wright State 70	0.549	Illinois Chicago 81 - Wright State 88	5
Iowa 79 - Northwestern 78	0.514	Iowa 77 - Northwestern 70	-6
IUPUI 62 - Northern Kentucky 75	0.824	IUPUI 56 - Northern Kentucky 75	6
Manhattan 73 - Quinnipiac 64	0.801	Manhattan 92 - Quinnipiac 86	3
NC State 84 - Florida State 82	0.552	NC State 92 - Florida State 72	-18
Nebraska 76 - Penn State 75	0.525	Nebraska 76 - Penn State 64	-11
Nevada 89 - Colorado State 65	0.954	Nevada 92 - Colorado State 83	15
New Mexico 79 - Nevada Las Vegas 78	0.503	New Mexico 91 - Nevada Las Vegas 90	0
Purdue 90 - Minnesota 68	0.91	Purdue 84 - Minnesota 60	-2
Rider 80 - Iona 72	0.701	Rider 110 - Iona 101	-1
Rutgers 74 - Illinois 73	0.532	Rutgers 62 - Illinois 75	14
Saint Peters 69 - Siena 62	0.684	Saint Peters 65 - Siena 48	-10
Temple 72 - Central Florida 68	0.603	Temple 75 - Central Florida 56	-15
UNC Greensboro 83 - Samford 62	0.923	UNC Greensboro 88 - Samford 75	8
Virginia Military Institute 68 - Chattanooga 67	0.528	Virginia Military Institute 68 - Chattanooga 65	-2
Western Carolina 80 - The Citadel 72	0.698	Western Carolina 92 - The Citadel 75	-9
Wisconsin 68 - Michigan State 81	0.784	Wisconsin 63 - Michigan State 68	-8
Wofford 73 - Mercer 69	0.626	Wofford 68 - Mercer 69	5

Number of DI Games: 342
Number Correct: 240 = 70.1%
Expected Number Correct: 235.116 = 68.7%
Average Error: 8.64
Average Signed Error: 0.59

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 65 - Fresno State 76	0.767	Air Force 48 - Fresno State 54	-5
Bethune Cookman 74 - North Carolina AT 69	0.633	Bethune Cookman 80 - North Carolina AT 86	11
Elon 72 - James Madison 68	0.628	Elon 84 - James Madison 90	10
Florida AM 70 - South Carolina State 68	0.566	Florida AM 76 - South Carolina State 74	0
Florida Gulf Coast 86 - South Carolina Upstate 60	0.947	Florida Gulf Coast 96 - South Carolina Upstate 76	6
Georgetown 79 - Marquette 80	0.548	Georgetown 86 - Marquette 90	3
Grambling State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.876	Grambling State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 79	21
Howard 67 - Norfolk State 70	0.597	Howard 74 - Norfolk State 79	2
Jackson State 64 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	0.537	Jackson State 51 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 48	-2
Jacksonville 68 - Kennesaw St 66	0.555	Jacksonville 87 - Kennesaw St 68	-17
Kansas 82 - Texas 69	0.789	Kansas 80 - Texas 70	3
Lipscomb 80 - Stetson 64	0.866	Lipscomb 89 - Stetson 73	0
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Delaware State 61	0.631	Maryland Eastern Shore 59 - Delaware State 47	-7
Morgan State 69 - Coppin State 60	0.696	Morgan State 69 - Coppin State 56	-4
NJ Tech 76 - North Florida 70	0.662	NJ Tech 76 - North Florida 80	10
Prairie View 78 - Alabama AM 58	0.919	Prairie View 71 - Alabama AM 58	7
Savannah State 79 - North Carolina Central 72	0.671	Savannah State 85 - North Carolina Central 75	-3
Texas Southern 77 - Alabama State 66	0.767	Texas Southern 95 - Alabama State 77	-7
Virginia Tech 77 - Duke 84	0.65	Virginia Tech 64 - Duke 63	-8
West Virginia 77 - Texas Tech 73	0.591	West Virginia 84 - Texas Tech 74	-6

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 76 - Florida 74	0.556	Alabama 52 - Florida 73	23
Albany 78 - Binghamton 60	0.887	Albany 71 - Binghamton 54	1
Arkansas 82 - Auburn 83	0.541	Arkansas 91 - Auburn 82	-10
Baylor 83 - Oklahoma 79	0.609	Baylor 87 - Oklahoma 64	-19
Buffalo 86 - Akron 66	0.934	Buffalo 80 - Akron 68	8
Central Michigan 72 - Ball State 73	0.536	Central Michigan 75 - Ball State 51	-25
Charleston Southern 74 - Presbyterian 62	0.785	Charleston Southern 68 - Presbyterian 51	-5
Creighton 84 - DePaul 70	0.823	Creighton 82 - DePaul 57	-11
Hartford 72 - UMBC 68	0.609	Hartford 53 - UMBC 62	13
High Point 76 - Longwood 59	0.854	High Point 55 - Longwood 68	30
Iowa State 79 - Oklahoma State 78	0.516	Iowa State 71 - Oklahoma State 80	10
Kent State 70 - Miami OH 68	0.57	Kent State 90 - Miami OH 83	-5
Lafayette 74 - American 64	0.769	Lafayette 93 - American 86	3
Loyola MD 70 - Army 71	0.514	Loyola MD 82 - Army 79	-4
Maine 60 - Vermont 82	0.966	Maine 62 - Vermont 74	-10
Mississippi State 74 - Tennessee 76	0.544	Mississippi State 54 - Tennessee 76	20
New Hampshire 74 - UMass Lowell 69	0.688	New Hampshire 77 - UMass Lowell 92	20
North Carolina 86 - Miami 74	0.841	North Carolina 88 - Miami 91	15
Northern Illinois 70 - Toledo 77	0.662	Northern Illinois 67 - Toledo 97	23
Ohio 75 - Bowling Green 71	0.589	Ohio 75 - Bowling Green 59	-12
Rhode Island 84 - Saint Josephs 65	0.935	Rhode Island 48 - Saint Josephs 78	49
Saint Bonaventure 77 - Davidson 71	0.64	Saint Bonaventure 117 - Davidson 113	2
San Diego State 73 - Boise State 72	0.517	San Diego State 72 - Boise State 64	-7
Texas Christian 81 - Kansas State 75	0.701	Texas Christian 66 - Kansas State 59	-1
Vanderbilt 76 - Missouri 77	0.542	Vanderbilt 66 - Missouri 74	7
Western Michigan 71 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.617	Western Michigan 58 - Eastern Michigan 74	20

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 74 - Syracuse 75	0.522	Boston College 85 - Syracuse 70	-16
Cal State Northridge 66 - Cal State Fullerton 76	0.811	Cal State Northridge 76 - Cal State Fullerton 102	16
Central Arkansas 73 - Sam Houston State 71	0.545	Central Arkansas 88 - Sam Houston State 70	-16
Clemson 82 - Florida State 75	0.707	Clemson 76 - Florida State 63	-6
Colorado State 75 - New Mexico 79	0.622	Colorado State 87 - New Mexico 108	17
Connecticut 72 - Temple 76	0.6	Connecticut 72 - Temple 66	-10
Duquesne 68 - Saint Louis 71	0.556	Duquesne 76 - Saint Louis 69	-10
George Washington 74 - Fordham 63	0.759	George Washington 72 - Fordham 56	-5
Georgia 73 - Texas AM 74	0.502	Georgia 60 - Texas AM 61	0
Incarnate Word 74 - Houston Baptist 73	0.535	Incarnate Word 83 - Houston Baptist 71	-11
Iowa 81 - Illinois 82	0.517	Iowa 96 - Illinois 87	-10
Kentucky 86 - Mississippi 71	0.85	Kentucky 96 - Mississippi 78	-3
La Salle 77 - Dayton 75	0.573	La Salle 71 - Dayton 53	-16
LIU Brooklyn 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	0.664	LIU Brooklyn 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 50	-17
Minnesota 76 - Rutgers 73	0.567	Minnesota 54 - Rutgers 65	14
Mt St Marys 70 - Robert Morris 63	0.688	Mt St Marys 56 - Robert Morris 60	11
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Nevada 82	0.64	Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Nevada 101	20
New Orleans 65 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.52	New Orleans 64 - Southeast Louisiana 68	3
Northwestern State 61 - Nicholls State 80	0.9	Northwestern State 70 - Nicholls State 73	-16
Notre Dame 84 - Pittsburgh 63	0.913	Notre Dame 73 - Pittsburgh 56	4
Richmond 78 - Massachusetts 73	0.642	Richmond 90 - Massachusetts 65	-20
Saint Francis Penn 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.788	Saint Francis Penn 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	21
Saint Johns 74 - Butler 79	0.61	Saint Johns 75 - Butler 68	-12
San Jose State 67 - Utah State 75	0.747	San Jose State 64 - Utah State 62	-10
Seton Hall 77 - Villanova 83	0.669	Seton Hall 68 - Villanova 69	-5
South Carolina 77 - Louisiana State 75	0.552	South Carolina 83 - Louisiana State 74	-7
Southern Methodist 70 - Houston 75	0.615	Southern Methodist 56 - Houston 69	8
Stephen F Austin 77 - Abilene Christian 62	0.835	Stephen F Austin 76 - Abilene Christian 56	-5
Tennessee State 68 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.64	Tennessee State 71 - Eastern Illinois 73	7
Tennessee Tech 76 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.733	Tennessee Tech 60 - SIU Edwardsville 51	-1
Texas AM CC 70 - Mcneese State 67	0.582	Texas AM CC 82 - Mcneese State 70	-9
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - George Mason 72	0.728	Virginia Commonwealth 80 - George Mason 81	9
Wagner 74 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.848	Wagner 73 - Central Connecticut State 61	3
Wyoming 82 - Air Force 68	0.821	Wyoming 66 - Air Force 54	2
Xavier 85 - Providence 71	0.812	Xavier 84 - Providence 74	4

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 60 - Grambling State 73	0.792	Alabama AM 74 - Grambling State 84	-3
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Marshall 75	0.524	Alabama Birmingham 91 - Marshall 77	-13
Alabama State 67 - Jackson State 63	0.607	Alabama State 62 - Jackson State 60	2
Alcorn State 69 - Prairie View 72	0.569	Alcorn State 69 - Prairie View 79	7
Arizona 84 - Stanford 72	0.782	Arizona 75 - Stanford 67	4
Arizona State 87 - California 66	0.91	Arizona State 84 - California 53	-10
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.829
Austin Peay 73 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.696	Austin Peay 73 - Eastern Illinois 66	0
Bucknell 85 - Loyola MD 60	0.943	Bucknell 83 - Loyola MD 78	20
Campbell 68 - Liberty 70	0.549	Campbell 59 - Liberty 73	12
Central Florida 69 - Wichita State 77	0.709	Central Florida 71 - Wichita State 75	-4
Charlotte 71 - Florida International 75	0.631	Charlotte 83 - Florida International 89	2
Colgate 76 - Lafayette 65	0.792	Colgate 76 - Lafayette 54	-11
Coppin State 68 - Howard 67	0.537	Coppin State 71 - Howard 78	8
Delaware State 62 - Morgan State 69	0.644	Delaware State 87 - Morgan State 80	-14
East Carolina 70 - Tulsa 81	0.757	East Carolina 58 - Tulsa 72	3
Eastern Washington 79 - Southern Utah 65	0.878	Eastern Washington 74 - Southern Utah 51	-9
Evansville 67 - Northern Iowa 68	0.522	Evansville 50 - Northern Iowa 60	9
Fairfield 78 - Marist 69	0.731	Fairfield 71 - Marist 57	-5
Florida AM 68 - Bethune Cookman 74	0.654	Florida AM 77 - Bethune Cookman 89	6
Florida Gulf Coast 83 - North Florida 67	0.85	Florida Gulf Coast 95 - North Florida 72	-7
Georgia Southern 75 - South Alabama 66	0.722	Georgia Southern 81 - South Alabama 74	2
Georgia State 77 - Troy 67	0.743	Georgia State 70 - Troy 83	23
Georgia Tech 73 - NC State 80	0.674	Georgia Tech 78 - NC State 75	-10
Idaho 81 - Northern Arizona 58	0.931	Idaho 66 - Northern Arizona 52	9
Indiana 76 - Rutgers 67	0.703	Indiana 69 - Rutgers 76	16
Jacksonville State 70 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.622	Jacksonville State 73 - Tennessee Tech 70	1
Lehigh 76 - Boston 69	0.707	Lehigh 82 - Boston 88	13
Lipscomb 78 - Jacksonville 63	0.845	Lipscomb 77 - Jacksonville 62	0
Louisville 67 - Virginia 75	0.721	Louisville 66 - Virginia 67	-7
Maryland 76 - Wisconsin 71	0.622	Maryland 54 - Wisconsin 59	10
Memphis 82 - South Florida 63	0.898	Memphis 51 - South Florida 75	43
Michigan 85 - Iowa 72	0.814	Michigan 77 - Iowa 71	7
Middle Tennessee 75 - Western Kentucky 70	0.646	Middle Tennessee 82 - Western Kentucky 64	-13
Missouri State 73 - Valparaiso 71	0.556	Missouri State 83 - Valparaiso 79	-2
Monmouth 69 - Saint Peters 65	0.607	Monmouth 58 - Saint Peters 60	6
Montana 76 - Weber State 67	0.751	Montana 75 - Weber State 57	-9
Montana State 73 - Idaho State 71	0.543	Montana State 78 - Idaho State 101	25
Navy 69 - Holy Cross 58	0.776	Navy 65 - Holy Cross 81	27
Norfolk State 68 - Hampton 67	0.512	Norfolk State 71 - Hampton 74	4
North Carolina Central 67 - North Carolina AT 66	0.507	North Carolina Central 70 - North Carolina AT 59	-10
North Texas 74 - Texas San Antonio 73	0.525	North Texas 80 - Texas San Antonio 62	-17
Old Dominion 79 - Florida Atlantic 58	0.89	Old Dominion 69 - Florida Atlantic 64	16
Penn State 78 - Northwestern 71	0.659	Penn State 65 - Northwestern 57	-1
Portland State 78 - Northern Colorado 77	0.51	Portland State 78 - Northern Colorado 85	8
Radford 76 - Longwood 58	0.899	Radford 59 - Longwood 53	12
Rice 69 - Texas El Paso 70	0.506	Rice 76 - Texas El Paso 70	-7
Sacramento State 72 - North Dakota 71	0.512	Sacramento State 73 - North Dakota 90	18
Siena 71 - Quinnipiac 68	0.611	Siena 58 - Quinnipiac 67	12
South Carolina State 78 - Savannah State 80	0.555	South Carolina State 81 - Savannah State 94	11
Southern 71 - Texas Southern 69	0.55	Southern 88 - Texas Southern 90	4
Tulane 65 - Cincinnati 82	0.874	Tulane 49 - Cincinnati 78	12
UC Davis 75 - Hawaii 66	0.753	UC Davis 70 - Hawaii 59	-2
UC Riverside 73 - Cal Poly 67	0.668	UC Riverside 72 - Cal Poly 63	-3
UC Santa Barbara 82 - Long Beach State 70	0.8	UC Santa Barbara 69 - Long Beach State 70	13
UL Lafayette 90 - Arkansas State 63	0.953	UL Lafayette 85 - Arkansas State 74	16
UL Monroe 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 61	0.801	UL Monroe 48 - Arkansas Little Rock 44	9
UNC Asheville 76 - Charleston Southern 67	0.723	UNC Asheville 71 - Charleston Southern 66	4
Washington 76 - Oregon State 69	0.667	Washington 79 - Oregon State 77	5
Washington State 71 - Oregon 80	0.695	Washington State 78 - Oregon 76	-11
Winthrop 76 - Gardner Webb 68	0.712	Winthrop 72 - Gardner Webb 68	4

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 70 - Kent State 71	0.509	Akron 67 - Kent State 65	-3
Austin Peay 68 - Belmont 77	0.73	Austin Peay 79 - Belmont 94	6
Bowling Green 72 - Buffalo 80	0.713	Bowling Green 70 - Buffalo 100	22
Brown 72 - Princeton 73	0.507	Brown 63 - Princeton 78	14
Canisius 78 - Quinnipiac 64	0.875	Canisius 69 - Quinnipiac 72	17
Central Michigan 73 - Western Michigan 72	0.515
Cleveland State 74 - Youngstown State 72	0.559	Cleveland State 72 - Youngstown State 71	1
Dartmouth 71 - Columbia 73	0.544	Dartmouth 80 - Columbia 78	-4
Davidson 73 - Rhode Island 74	0.552	Davidson 63 - Rhode Island 61	-3
Detroit 75 - Green Bay 76	0.522	Detroit 81 - Green Bay 93	11
Drake 72 - Bradley 74	0.555	Drake 61 - Bradley 63	0
Harvard 77 - Cornell 64	0.826	Harvard 98 - Cornell 88	3
Illinois State 77 - Indiana State 75	0.544	Illinois State 77 - Indiana State 70	-5
Loyola Ill 74 - Northern Iowa 64	0.768	Loyola Ill 54 - Northern Iowa 50	6
Loyola Marymount 75 - Portland 73	0.56	Loyola Marymount 78 - Portland 72	-4
Miami OH 74 - Ohio 68	0.661	Miami OH 66 - Ohio 75	15
Michigan State 82 - Wisconsin 67	0.832	Michigan State 63 - Wisconsin 60	12
Murray State 72 - Jacksonville State 64	0.714	Murray State 70 - Jacksonville State 63	1
Nebraska 72 - Michigan 77	0.634	Nebraska 58 - Michigan 77	14
Northern Illinois 70 - Ball State 75	0.617	Northern Illinois 66 - Ball State 65	-6
Ohio State 78 - Penn State 73	0.627	Ohio State 68 - Penn State 69	6
Oklahoma 88 - Iowa State 78	0.727	Oklahoma 81 - Iowa State 60	-11
Purdue 84 - Rutgers 63	0.905	Purdue 82 - Rutgers 75	14
Radford 72 - Winthrop 69	0.575	Radford 61 - Winthrop 52	-6
Rider 74 - Saint Peters 64	0.769	Rider 55 - Saint Peters 66	21
Samford 75 - Chattanooga 73	0.574	Samford 79 - Chattanooga 89	12
Santa Clara 75 - Pepperdine 71	0.619	Santa Clara 69 - Pepperdine 85	20
Southern Illinois 72 - Missouri State 71	0.523	Southern Illinois 67 - Missouri State 63	-3
Texas State 67 - Texas Arlington 72	0.613	Texas State 82 - Texas Arlington 85	-2
The Citadel 76 - Virginia Military Institute 73	0.574	The Citadel 78 - Virginia Military Institute 70	-5
Toledo 74 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.694	Toledo 69 - Eastern Michigan 71	10
UNC Asheville 73 - Liberty 67	0.645	UNC Asheville 64 - Liberty 69	11
Yale 68 - Pennsylvania 72	0.625	Yale 80 - Pennsylvania 79	-5

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - San Jose State 65	0.753	Air Force 83 - San Jose State 61	-12
Alabama AM 60 - Jackson State 65	0.667	Alabama AM 66 - Jackson State 59	-12
Alabama Birmingham 70 - Western Kentucky 76	0.664	Alabama Birmingham 101 - Western Kentucky 73	-34
Alabama State 67 - Grambling State 71	0.59	Alabama State 64 - Grambling State 66	-2
Albany 75 - Stony Brook 63	0.812	Albany 60 - Stony Brook 69	21
Alcorn State 70 - Texas Southern 73	0.567	Alcorn State 71 - Texas Southern 78	4
Appalachian State 73 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.559	Appalachian State 76 - Coastal Carolina 67	-6
Arizona 88 - California 63	0.947	Arizona 66 - California 54	13
Arizona State 83 - Stanford 75	0.686	Arizona State 83 - Stanford 84	9
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.829	Arkansas Pine Bluff 94 - Mississippi Valley State 57	-25
Auburn 86 - South Carolina 70	0.86	Auburn 79 - South Carolina 70	7
Boise State 82 - Wyoming 71	0.778	Boise State 95 - Wyoming 87	3
Brigham Young 73 - San Diego 68	0.661	Brigham Young 85 - San Diego 79	-1
Brown 68 - Pennsylvania 77	0.784	Brown 93 - Pennsylvania 99	-3
Cal State Fullerton 75 - Hawaii 68	0.705	Cal State Fullerton 60 - Hawaii 68	15
Central Arkansas 83 - Northwestern State 62	0.888	Central Arkansas 61 - Northwestern State 58	18
Central Michigan 73 - Western Michigan 72	0.515	Central Michigan 84 - Western Michigan 71	-12
Charlotte 70 - Florida Atlantic 73	0.587	Charlotte 85 - Florida Atlantic 78	-10
Chicago State 69 - UMKC 78	0.699	Chicago State 96 - UMKC 82	-23
Dartmouth 71 - Cornell 72	0.516	Dartmouth 75 - Cornell 86	10
Dayton 75 - George Washington 69	0.651	Dayton 88 - George Washington 78	-4
Delaware 68 - Elon 69	0.51	Delaware 86 - Elon 79	-8
DePaul 72 - Xavier 84	0.802	DePaul 62 - Xavier 65	-9
Drexel 71 - James Madison 72	0.524	Drexel 70 - James Madison 62	-9
Duke 86 - North Carolina 79	0.678	Duke 74 - North Carolina 64	-3
East Tennessee State 77 - Chattanooga 59	0.903	East Tennessee State 77 - Chattanooga 59	0
Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Arizona 59	0.918	Eastern Washington 85 - Northern Arizona 68	4
Florida 78 - Kentucky 76	0.546	Florida 80 - Kentucky 67	-11
Florida State 87 - Boston College 77	0.766	Florida State 85 - Boston College 76	1
Fordham 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.665	Fordham 58 - Virginia Commonwealth 83	18
Furman 78 - Western Carolina 62	0.862	Furman 97 - Western Carolina 73	-8
George Mason 77 - Richmond 73	0.61	George Mason 79 - Richmond 93	18
Georgia Southern 75 - Troy 69	0.667	Georgia Southern 89 - Troy 83	0
Georgia State 77 - South Alabama 64	0.782	Georgia State 90 - South Alabama 75	-2
Georgia Tech 76 - Wake Forest 75	0.549	Georgia Tech 64 - Wake Forest 56	-7
Gonzaga 88 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.952	Gonzaga 83 - Loyola Marymount 69	10
Grand Canyon 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	0.802	Grand Canyon 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0
Hartford 74 - New Hampshire 62	0.803	Hartford 71 - New Hampshire 60	1
Harvard 76 - Columbia 65	0.825	Harvard 93 - Columbia 74	-8
Houston Baptist 70 - Texas AM CC 71	0.508	Houston Baptist 87 - Texas AM CC 92	4
Idaho 81 - Southern Utah 64	0.901	Idaho 78 - Southern Utah 76	15
Incarnate Word 65 - Abilene Christian 72	0.723	Incarnate Word 59 - Abilene Christian 69	3
Iona 74 - Manhattan 69	0.655	Iona 72 - Manhattan 60	-7
Kansas State 76 - Baylor 71	0.619	Kansas State 77 - Baylor 67	-5
LIU Brooklyn 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.689	LIU Brooklyn 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 77	5
Long Beach State 78 - UC Riverside 68	0.75	Long Beach State 77 - UC Riverside 59	-8
Louisiana State 78 - Mississippi State 76	0.547	Louisiana State 78 - Mississippi State 57	-19
Loyola Ill 76 - Bradley 66	0.738	Loyola Ill 62 - Bradley 54	2
Marquette 81 - Creighton 80	0.522	Marquette 85 - Creighton 81	-3
Massachusetts 75 - Duquesne 73	0.572	Massachusetts 85 - Duquesne 75	-8
Mcneese State 69 - Lamar 73	0.634	Mcneese State 69 - Lamar 60	-13
Mercer 71 - Wofford 70	0.517	Mercer 53 - Wofford 73	21
Miami 79 - Virginia Tech 76	0.589	Miami 69 - Virginia Tech 68	2
Michigan State 78 - Michigan 73	0.626	Michigan State 64 - Michigan 75	16
Middle Tennessee 81 - Marshall 69	0.831	Middle Tennessee 67 - Marshall 76	21
Mississippi 80 - Vanderbilt 78	0.582	Mississippi 69 - Vanderbilt 82	15
Missouri 80 - Arkansas 77	0.559	Missouri 77 - Arkansas 67	-7
Montana 80 - Idaho State 62	0.905	Montana 75 - Idaho State 64	7
Montana State 69 - Weber State 76	0.691	Montana State 92 - Weber State 95	-4
Murray State 73 - Belmont 71	0.543	Murray State 68 - Belmont 51	-15
NC State 83 - Louisville 79	0.599	NC State 76 - Louisville 69	-3
New Mexico 75 - Fresno State 76	0.53	New Mexico 95 - Fresno State 86	-10
Niagara 79 - Fairfield 76	0.592	Niagara 77 - Fairfield 90	16
North Texas 74 - Texas El Paso 66	0.699	North Texas 66 - Texas El Paso 68	10
Northern Kentucky 78 - Cleveland State 60	0.904	Northern Kentucky 80 - Cleveland State 89	27
Oklahoma State 75 - Kansas 82	0.679	Oklahoma State 82 - Kansas 64	-25
Old Dominion 80 - Florida International 59	0.895	Old Dominion 79 - Florida International 53	-5
Portland State 84 - North Dakota 72	0.79	Portland State 97 - North Dakota 90	5
Providence 78 - Saint Johns 71	0.65	Providence 61 - Saint Johns 57	3
Purdue 82 - Penn State 72	0.734	Purdue 78 - Penn State 70	2
Rice 70 - Texas San Antonio 78	0.723	Rice 60 - Texas San Antonio 79	11
Sacramento State 64 - Northern Colorado 76	0.803	Sacramento State 88 - Northern Colorado 77	-23
Saint Josephs 79 - La Salle 73	0.662	Saint Josephs 78 - La Salle 70	-2
Saint Louis 69 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.603	Saint Louis 56 - Saint Bonaventure 64	5
Saint Marys 87 - Pepperdine 62	0.965	Saint Marys 69 - Pepperdine 66	22
Sam Houston State 69 - Stephen F Austin 70	0.539	Sam Houston State 53 - Stephen F Austin 65	11
San Diego State 74 - Nevada 77	0.559	San Diego State 79 - Nevada 74	-8
San Francisco 73 - Pacific 70	0.596	San Francisco 71 - Pacific 70	2
Seton Hall 79 - Butler 78	0.542	Seton Hall 77 - Butler 70	-6
South Dakota 83 - Omaha 64	0.904	South Dakota 87 - Omaha 73	5
South Dakota State 83 - Western Illinois 63	0.87	South Dakota State 66 - Western Illinois 60	14
Southeast Louisiana 71 - Nicholls State 70	0.507	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Nicholls State 57	-11
Southern 70 - Prairie View 68	0.558	Southern 69 - Prairie View 77	10
Southern California 82 - UCLA 76	0.686	Southern California 72 - UCLA 83	17
Southern Illinois 75 - Illinois State 74	0.514	Southern Illinois 68 - Illinois State 76	9
Southern Miss 70 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.568	Southern Miss 72 - Louisiana Tech 64	-11
Syracuse 71 - Clemson 72	0.524	Syracuse 55 - Clemson 52	-4
Tennessee 80 - Georgia 67	0.778	Tennessee 66 - Georgia 61	8
Texas 74 - West Virginia 76	0.544	Texas 87 - West Virginia 79	-10
Texas AM 78 - Alabama 73	0.616	Texas AM 68 - Alabama 66	3
Texas Pan American 66 - New Mexico State 80	0.817	Texas Pan American 71 - New Mexico State 86	1
Texas Tech 80 - Texas Christian 74	0.671	Texas Tech 79 - Texas Christian 75	2
UC Irvine 71 - UC Davis 66	0.635	UC Irvine 84 - UC Davis 90	11
UC Santa Barbara 83 - Cal Poly 63	0.911	UC Santa Barbara 86 - Cal Poly 61	-5
UL Lafayette 85 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	0.959	UL Lafayette 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	39
UL Monroe 78 - Arkansas State 67	0.765	UL Monroe 79 - Arkansas State 83	15
UMBC 79 - UMass Lowell 67	0.786	UMBC 89 - UMass Lowell 77	0
UNC Greensboro 85 - The Citadel 65	0.888	UNC Greensboro 72 - The Citadel 58	6
Utah 77 - Colorado 68	0.716	Utah 64 - Colorado 54	-1
Utah State 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	0.516	Utah State 79 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	-13
Utah Valley 78 - Seattle 66	0.742	Utah Valley 73 - Seattle 47	-14
Vermont 86 - Maine 56	0.97	Vermont 75 - Maine 60	15
Villanova 91 - Georgetown 68	0.934	Villanova 97 - Georgetown 73	-1
Virginia 78 - Notre Dame 61	0.882	Virginia 62 - Notre Dame 57	12
Wagner 73 - Robert Morris 61	0.782	Wagner 75 - Robert Morris 64	1
Washington 74 - Oregon 73	0.519	Washington 64 - Oregon 72	9
Washington State 73 - Oregon State 76	0.583	Washington State 67 - Oregon State 92	22
Wright State 76 - Green Bay 65	0.803	Wright State 87 - Green Bay 72	-4
Yale 74 - Princeton 68	0.634	Yale 94 - Princeton 90	2

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bucknell 81 - Boston 63	0.889	Bucknell 90 - Boston 59	-13
Central Florida 76 - Tulane 66	0.742	Central Florida 60 - Tulane 51	1
Colgate 70 - Holy Cross 63	0.708	Colgate 62 - Holy Cross 55	0
College of Charleston 80 - Drexel 64	0.875	College of Charleston 66 - Drexel 59	9
Denver 72 - Oral Roberts 68	0.582	Denver 90 - Oral Roberts 88	2
East Tennessee State 69 - Furman 70	0.525	East Tennessee State 63 - Furman 52	-12
Fairfield 76 - Quinnipiac 70	0.693	Fairfield 74 - Quinnipiac 64	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 76 - Lipscomb 69	0.697	Florida Gulf Coast 96 - Lipscomb 108	19
Hofstra 80 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.717	Hofstra 88 - UNC Wilmington 93	14
Houston 84 - Connecticut 64	0.872	Houston 81 - Connecticut 71	10
Illinois Chicago 70 - Milwaukee 68	0.538	Illinois Chicago 75 - Milwaukee 80	7
Iona 73 - Saint Peters 65	0.703	Iona 65 - Saint Peters 62	5
IPFW 74 - North Dakota State 71	0.565	IPFW 82 - North Dakota State 86	7
Loyola Ill 79 - Illinois State 68	0.745	Loyola Ill 65 - Illinois State 49	-5
Memphis 83 - East Carolina 67	0.856	Memphis 90 - East Carolina 70	-4
Northeastern 75 - Delaware 62	0.845	Northeastern 74 - Delaware 50	-11
Oakland 76 - IUPUI 68	0.723	Oakland 62 - IUPUI 55	1
Purdue 78 - Michigan 73	0.631	Purdue 66 - Michigan 75	14
Radford 70 - Liberty 63	0.671	Radford 55 - Liberty 52	4
South Florida 63 - Southern Methodist 77	0.804	South Florida 65 - Southern Methodist 54	-25
Tulsa 76 - Temple 74	0.552	Tulsa 76 - Temple 58	-16
UNC Greensboro 72 - Wofford 66	0.673	UNC Greensboro 56 - Wofford 55	5
Wichita State 76 - Cincinnati 75	0.522	Wichita State 61 - Cincinnati 62	2
William and Mary 77 - Towson 75	0.545	William and Mary 80 - Towson 66	-12

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Michigan 75 - Bowling Green 70	0.63	Central Michigan 81 - Bowling Green 77	1
College of Charleston 79 - William and Mary 71	0.704	College of Charleston 83 - William and Mary 73	-2
Gonzaga 81 - San Francisco 66	0.86	Gonzaga 88 - San Francisco 60	-13
Iona 78 - Fairfield 73	0.657	Iona 83 - Fairfield 71	-7
Kent State 75 - Northern Illinois 67	0.692	Kent State 61 - Northern Illinois 59	6
Miami OH 74 - Ohio 68	0.661	Miami OH 68 - Ohio 55	-7
Norfolk State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	0.875	Norfolk State 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	9
North Carolina AT 74 - Delaware State 59	0.837	North Carolina AT 62 - Delaware State 61	14
Northeastern 80 - UNC Wilmington 67	0.806	Northeastern 79 - UNC Wilmington 52	-14
Oakland 78 - Cleveland State 68	0.801	Oakland 43 - Cleveland State 44	11
Saint Marys 75 - Brigham Young 68	0.7	Saint Marys 72 - Brigham Young 85	20
South Dakota 77 - Denver 62	0.827	South Dakota 76 - Denver 58	-3
South Dakota State 81 - North Dakota State 65	0.854	South Dakota State 78 - North Dakota State 57	-5
UNC Greensboro 68 - East Tennessee State 67	0.542	UNC Greensboro 62 - East Tennessee State 47	-14
Western Michigan 78 - Akron 66	0.826	Western Michigan 78 - Akron 79	13
Wright State 69 - Milwaukee 62	0.67	Wright State 59 - Milwaukee 53	1

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.829	Arkansas Pine Bluff 77 - Mississippi Valley State 73	8
Boston College 77 - Georgia Tech 73	0.627	Boston College 87 - Georgia Tech 77	-6
College of Charleston 71 - Northeastern 68	0.588	College of Charleston 83 - Northeastern 76	-4
Gonzaga 79 - Brigham Young 69	0.758	Gonzaga 74 - Brigham Young 54	-10
Howard 71 - Florida AM 69	0.54	Howard 78 - Florida AM 88	12
Idaho State 74 - Southern Utah 72	0.596	Idaho State 68 - Southern Utah 76	10
Morgan State 70 - South Carolina State 67	0.549	Morgan State 83 - South Carolina State 80	0
North Carolina Central 67 - Coppin State 61	0.642	North Carolina Central 60 - Coppin State 48	-6
North Dakota 74 - Montana State 73	0.513	North Dakota 76 - Montana State 74	-1
Northern Colorado 80 - Northern Arizona 62	0.901	Northern Colorado 82 - Northern Arizona 59	-5
Notre Dame 82 - Pittsburgh 65	0.869	Notre Dame 67 - Pittsburgh 64	14
Portland State 80 - Sacramento State 68	0.811	Portland State 71 - Sacramento State 67	8
Prairie View 76 - Alcorn State 65	0.757	Prairie View 87 - Alcorn State 71	-5
South Dakota State 75 - South Dakota 74	0.522	South Dakota State 97 - South Dakota 87	-9
Southern 67 - Jackson State 59	0.769	Southern 62 - Jackson State 60	6
Syracuse 78 - Wake Forest 71	0.724	Syracuse 73 - Wake Forest 64	-2
Texas Southern 77 - Alabama State 66	0.767	Texas Southern 90 - Alabama State 76	-3
UMBC 72 - Hartford 68	0.58	UMBC 75 - Hartford 60	-11
Vermont 78 - Stony Brook 59	0.959	Vermont 70 - Stony Brook 51	0
Wagner 77 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.804	Wagner 61 - LIU Brooklyn 71	22
Wright State 75 - Cleveland State 61	0.869	Wright State 74 - Cleveland State 57	-3

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Florida Atlantic 66	0.705	Alabama Birmingham 83 - Florida Atlantic 72	-3
Appalachian State 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	0.672	Appalachian State 93 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	-22
Bethune Cookman 74 - Morgan State 68	0.636	Bethune Cookman 77 - Morgan State 78	7
Bucknell 79 - Colgate 66	0.849	Bucknell 83 - Colgate 54	-16
Coastal Carolina 68 - Texas State 65	0.576	Coastal Carolina 66 - Texas State 73	10
Colorado 73 - Arizona State 80	0.674	Colorado 97 - Arizona State 85	-19
Florida International 71 - Southern Miss 70	0.534	Florida International 68 - Southern Miss 69	2
Florida State 81 - Louisville 82	0.523	Florida State 74 - Louisville 82	7
George Washington 74 - Fordham 63	0.759	George Washington 78 - Fordham 72	5
Georgia 77 - Vanderbilt 74	0.572	Georgia 78 - Vanderbilt 62	-13
Hampton 75 - Florida AM 63	0.806	Hampton 75 - Florida AM 71	8
La Salle 78 - Massachusetts 75	0.601	La Salle 67 - Massachusetts 69	5
Lamar 75 - Central Arkansas 73	0.557	Lamar 57 - Central Arkansas 67	12
Marquette 82 - DePaul 75	0.695	Marquette 72 - DePaul 69	4
NC State 84 - Boston College 77	0.671	NC State 87 - Boston College 91	11
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Air Force 67	0.819	Nevada Las Vegas 97 - Air Force 90	8
New Orleans 68 - Texas AM CC 62	0.661	New Orleans 83 - Texas AM CC 76	-1
North Carolina 81 - Syracuse 72	0.767	North Carolina 78 - Syracuse 59	-10
North Texas 70 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.593	North Texas 62 - Louisiana Tech 68	3
Oklahoma State 82 - Oklahoma 84	0.579	Oklahoma State 71 - Oklahoma 60	-13
Oregon 82 - Washington State 69	0.77	Oregon 64 - Washington State 62	11
Saint Johns 79 - Georgetown 73	0.675	Saint Johns 88 - Georgetown 77	-5
South Carolina 78 - Mississippi 76	0.575	South Carolina 85 - Mississippi 84	1
Stanford 82 - California 68	0.784	Stanford 76 - California 58	-4
Texas 78 - Iowa State 72	0.646	Texas 68 - Iowa State 64	2
Texas San Antonio 76 - Texas El Paso 69	0.671	Texas San Antonio 71 - Texas El Paso 58	-6
Troy 72 - South Alabama 70	0.582	Troy 69 - South Alabama 62	-5
UL Monroe 76 - Arkansas State 69	0.676	UL Monroe 76 - Arkansas State 54	-15
Utah State 76 - Colorado State 71	0.661	Utah State 76 - Colorado State 65	-6
Virginia Tech 79 - Notre Dame 77	0.54	Virginia Tech 65 - Notre Dame 71	8
Washington 74 - Oregon State 71	0.567	Washington 66 - Oregon State 69	6
Wyoming 83 - San Jose State 67	0.889	Wyoming 74 - San Jose State 61	3

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 81 - Colorado 70	0.779	Arizona 83 - Colorado 67	-5
Arkansas 81 - South Carolina 75	0.651	Arkansas 69 - South Carolina 64	1
Ball State 74 - Kent State 69	0.644	Ball State 73 - Kent State 76	8
Boise State 78 - Utah State 67	0.764	Boise State 75 - Utah State 78	14
Buffalo 82 - Central Michigan 71	0.813	Buffalo 89 - Central Michigan 74	-4
Cal State Fullerton 78 - Long Beach State 74	0.622	Cal State Fullerton 76 - Long Beach State 74	2
Central Florida 79 - East Carolina 61	0.859	Central Florida 66 - East Carolina 52	4
Clemson 81 - Boston College 72	0.766	Clemson 90 - Boston College 82	1
Connecticut 69 - Southern Methodist 75	0.665	Connecticut 73 - Southern Methodist 80	1
Creighton 79 - Providence 75	0.607	Creighton 68 - Providence 72	8
Duke 85 - Notre Dame 73	0.753	Duke 88 - Notre Dame 70	-6
Eastern Michigan 73 - Akron 65	0.731	Eastern Michigan 67 - Akron 58	-1
Eastern Washington 76 - Portland State 75	0.539	Eastern Washington 78 - Portland State 72	-5
Fresno State 73 - San Diego State 72	0.511	Fresno State 52 - San Diego State 64	13
George Mason 76 - Massachusetts 75	0.542	George Mason 80 - Massachusetts 75	-4
Grand Canyon 75 - UMKC 64	0.778	Grand Canyon 77 - UMKC 74	8
Idaho 79 - Southern Utah 66	0.843	Idaho 78 - Southern Utah 92	27
Kansas 84 - Oklahoma State 73	0.767	Kansas 82 - Oklahoma State 68	-3
Kansas State 77 - Texas Christian 79	0.59	Kansas State 66 - Texas Christian 64	-4
Marshall 81 - Texas San Antonio 76	0.633	Marshall 95 - Texas San Antonio 81	-9
Memphis 80 - South Florida 65	0.848	Memphis 79 - South Florida 77	13
Miami 76 - North Carolina 84	0.752	Miami 65 - North Carolina 82	9
Middle Tennessee 80 - Southern Miss 61	0.889	Middle Tennessee 68 - Southern Miss 71	22
Mississippi State 78 - Louisiana State 76	0.561	Mississippi State 80 - Louisiana State 77	-1
Missouri 75 - Georgia 72	0.574	Missouri 60 - Georgia 62	5
Montana 80 - North Dakota 65	0.845	Montana 84 - North Dakota 76	7
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Nevada 82	0.64	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Nevada 79	-1
New Mexico 79 - Wyoming 80	0.517	New Mexico 85 - Wyoming 75	-11
New Mexico State 89 - Chicago State 57	0.962	New Mexico State 97 - Chicago State 70	5
North Carolina AT 68 - Norfolk State 65	0.594	North Carolina AT 70 - Norfolk State 64	-3
Old Dominion 76 - Louisiana Tech 65	0.764	Old Dominion 62 - Louisiana Tech 58	7
Richmond 75 - Duquesne 74	0.503	Richmond 81 - Duquesne 68	-12
Saint Johns 74 - Xavier 83	0.717	Saint Johns 60 - Xavier 88	19
Saint Louis 71 - George Washington 66	0.617	Saint Louis 70 - George Washington 63	-2
Sam Houston State 68 - New Orleans 63	0.668	Sam Houston State 85 - New Orleans 63	-17
Savannah State 77 - North Carolina Central 74	0.573	Savannah State 56 - North Carolina Central 58	5
Seattle 77 - Texas Pan American 71	0.64	Seattle 77 - Texas Pan American 60	-11
Seton Hall 77 - Butler 80	0.564	Seton Hall 74 - Butler 75	-2
Southern California 78 - Oregon State 70	0.739	Southern California 61 - Oregon State 48	-5
Stephen F Austin 79 - Central Arkansas 71	0.673	Stephen F Austin 86 - Central Arkansas 64	-14
Temple 80 - Tulane 72	0.706	Temple 82 - Tulane 77	3
Texas AM 76 - Alabama 75	0.525	Texas AM 70 - Alabama 71	2
Texas Tech 75 - Texas 69	0.653	Texas Tech 73 - Texas 69	2
Toledo 74 - Miami OH 68	0.649	Toledo 71 - Miami OH 69	4
UC Davis 75 - UC Riverside 64	0.799	UC Davis 70 - UC Riverside 66	7
UC Irvine 70 - Hawaii 65	0.654	UC Irvine 68 - Hawaii 67	4
UC Santa Barbara 81 - Cal Poly 65	0.864	UC Santa Barbara 75 - Cal Poly 53	-6
UCLA 81 - Stanford 77	0.585	UCLA 88 - Stanford 77	-7
Utah 73 - Oregon 74	0.52	Utah 66 - Oregon 68	1
Utah Valley 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	0.756	Utah Valley 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 74	6
Villanova 88 - Marquette 75	0.801	Villanova 94 - Marquette 70	-11
Virginia 77 - Louisville 65	0.811	Virginia 75 - Louisville 58	-5
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Dayton 75	0.524	Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Dayton 72	-4
Weber State 72 - Northern Colorado 73	0.543	Weber State 55 - Northern Colorado 80	24
West Virginia 78 - Baylor 73	0.626	West Virginia 78 - Baylor 65	-8
Western Kentucky 78 - Alabama Birmingham 68	0.755	Western Kentucky 98 - Alabama Birmingham 70	-18

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 82 - UCLA 78	0.643	Arizona 78 - UCLA 67	-7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Southern 66	0.545	Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Southern 65	-8
Auburn 82 - Alabama 75	0.674	Auburn 63 - Alabama 81	25
Buffalo 81 - Kent State 70	0.818	Buffalo 78 - Kent State 61	-6
Central Florida 67 - Houston 73	0.643	Central Florida 56 - Houston 84	22
Cincinnati 77 - Southern Methodist 63	0.817	Cincinnati 61 - Southern Methodist 51	4
Davidson 73 - Saint Louis 66	0.642	Davidson 78 - Saint Louis 60	-11
Duke 84 - North Carolina 81	0.584	Duke 69 - North Carolina 74	8
Eastern Washington 77 - Southern Utah 67	0.803	Eastern Washington 82 - Southern Utah 70	-2
Florida 78 - Arkansas 79	0.502	Florida 72 - Arkansas 80	7
Georgia Southern 72 - UL Monroe 69	0.595	Georgia Southern 63 - UL Monroe 55	-5
Georgia State 75 - Troy 69	0.654	Georgia State 73 - Troy 51	-16
Hampton 72 - North Carolina AT 67	0.609	Hampton 96 - North Carolina AT 86	-5
Kansas 80 - Kansas State 72	0.688	Kansas 83 - Kansas State 67	-8
Kentucky 79 - Georgia 72	0.672	Kentucky 62 - Georgia 49	-6
Marshall 81 - Southern Miss 70	0.774	Marshall 85 - Southern Miss 75	1
Montana 74 - Northern Colorado 70	0.601	Montana 91 - Northern Colorado 89	2
Nevada 79 - San Diego State 72	0.651	Nevada 73 - San Diego State 90	24
New Mexico 77 - Utah State 74	0.574	New Mexico 83 - Utah State 68	-12
New Mexico State 77 - Seattle 65	0.772	New Mexico State 84 - Seattle 79	7
Nicholls State 72 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.54	Nicholls State 66 - Stephen F Austin 78	10
North Carolina Central 66 - Morgan State 65	0.527	North Carolina Central 79 - Morgan State 70	-8
Old Dominion 71 - Western Kentucky 72	0.524	Old Dominion 49 - Western Kentucky 57	7
Prairie View 73 - Texas Southern 74	0.504	Prairie View 74 - Texas Southern 88	13
Rhode Island 83 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.847	Rhode Island 76 - Virginia Commonwealth 67	5
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Richmond 69	0.83	Saint Bonaventure 83 - Richmond 77	7
Saint Josephs 77 - George Mason 73	0.607	Saint Josephs 68 - George Mason 49	-15
Southeast Louisiana 67 - Sam Houston State 66	0.504	Southeast Louisiana 89 - Sam Houston State 79	-9
Southern California 77 - Oregon 74	0.567	Southern California 74 - Oregon 54	-17
Tennessee 78 - Mississippi State 72	0.653	Tennessee 62 - Mississippi State 59	3
Texas Arlington 79 - Appalachian State 71	0.68	Texas Arlington 84 - Appalachian State 68	-8
Texas Tech 74 - West Virginia 75	0.502	Texas Tech 63 - West Virginia 66	2
Toledo 72 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.6	Toledo 64 - Eastern Michigan 63	3
Tulsa 76 - Memphis 74	0.567	Tulsa 64 - Memphis 67	5
UC Davis 74 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.564	UC Davis 52 - Cal State Fullerton 55	5
UC Santa Barbara 70 - UC Irvine 69	0.53	UC Santa Barbara 58 - UC Irvine 61	4
UL Lafayette 79 - Texas State 61	0.909	UL Lafayette 80 - Texas State 54	-8
Utah Valley 72 - Grand Canyon 69	0.583	Utah Valley 60 - Grand Canyon 75	18
Villanova 83 - Butler 76	0.678	Villanova 87 - Butler 68	-12
Virginia 73 - Clemson 64	0.773	Virginia 64 - Clemson 58	3
Wichita State 82 - Temple 73	0.729	Wichita State 89 - Temple 81	1
Xavier 83 - Providence 73	0.74	Xavier 72 - Providence 75	13

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 79 - Southern California 76	0.574	Arizona 75 - Southern California 61	-11
Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 - Texas Southern 72	0.601	Arkansas Pine Bluff 69 - Texas Southern 84	11
Buffalo 79 - Toledo 76	0.598	Buffalo 76 - Toledo 66	-7
Cincinnati 81 - Memphis 64	0.882	Cincinnati 70 - Memphis 60	7
Georgia State 74 - Georgia Southern 70	0.604	Georgia State 73 - Georgia Southern 67	-2
Hampton 72 - North Carolina Central 64	0.682	Hampton 63 - North Carolina Central 71	16
Harvard 75 - Cornell 66	0.74	Harvard 74 - Cornell 55	-10
Kansas 80 - West Virginia 77	0.555	Kansas 81 - West Virginia 70	-8
Kentucky 78 - Alabama 74	0.593	Kentucky 86 - Alabama 63	-19
Montana 73 - Eastern Washington 68	0.669	Montana 82 - Eastern Washington 65	-12
New Mexico 73 - San Diego State 78	0.602	New Mexico 75 - San Diego State 82	2
New Mexico State 73 - Grand Canyon 65	0.716	New Mexico State 72 - Grand Canyon 58	-6
Pennsylvania 76 - Yale 64	0.84	Pennsylvania 80 - Yale 57	-11
Rhode Island 82 - Saint Josephs 67	0.892	Rhode Island 90 - Saint Josephs 87	12
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Davidson 73	0.538	Saint Bonaventure 70 - Davidson 82	14
Southeast Louisiana 66 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.628	Southeast Louisiana 55 - Stephen F Austin 59	-2
Tennessee 80 - Arkansas 77	0.595	Tennessee 84 - Arkansas 66	-15
UC Irvine 71 - Cal State Fullerton 69	0.578	UC Irvine 55 - Cal State Fullerton 71	18
UL Lafayette 81 - Texas Arlington 71	0.735	UL Lafayette 68 - Texas Arlington 71	13
Vermont 78 - UMBC 62	0.863	Vermont 62 - UMBC 65	19
Villanova 85 - Providence 71	0.802	Villanova 76 - Providence 66	4
Virginia 76 - North Carolina 71	0.656	Virginia 71 - North Carolina 63	-3
Western Kentucky 81 - Marshall 74	0.7	Western Kentucky 66 - Marshall 67	8
Wichita State 79 - Houston 77	0.54	Wichita State 74 - Houston 77	5

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cincinnati 74 - Houston 70	0.613	Cincinnati 56 - Houston 55	3
Georgia State 74 - Texas Arlington 73	0.545	Georgia State 74 - Texas Arlington 61	-12
Pennsylvania 71 - Harvard 63	0.747	Pennsylvania 68 - Harvard 65	5
Rhode Island 76 - Davidson 71	0.657	Rhode Island 57 - Davidson 58	6
Tennessee 77 - Kentucky 75	0.545	Tennessee 72 - Kentucky 77	7

Number of DI Games: 504
Number Correct: 357 = 70.8%
Expected Number Correct: 345.01 = 68.4%
Average Error: 8.89
Average Signed Error: 1.42

GAMES OF 3-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Drake 78 - Abilene Christian 65	0.842	Drake 80 - Abilene Christian 73	6
IPFW 76 - Central Michigan 73	0.588	IPFW 89 - Central Michigan 94	8
Liberty 73 - North Carolina AT 61	0.805	Liberty 65 - North Carolina AT 52	-1
San Diego 74 - Hartford 65	0.739	San Diego 88 - Hartford 72	-7

GAMES OF 3-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 79 - Wagner 62	0.857	Baylor 80 - Wagner 59	-4
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Radford 72	0.669	LIU Brooklyn 61 - Radford 71	4
Louisville 81 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.813	Louisville 66 - Northern Kentucky 58	6
Middle Tennessee 73 - Vermont 65	0.723	Middle Tennessee 91 - Vermont 64	-19
Notre Dame 85 - Hampton 62	0.916	Notre Dame 84 - Hampton 63	2
Oklahoma State 81 - Florida Gulf Coast 67	0.817	Oklahoma State 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	2
Oregon 81 - Rider 70	0.746	Oregon 99 - Rider 86	-2
Saint Bonaventure 78 - UCLA 80	0.546	Saint Bonaventure 65 - UCLA 58	-9
Saint Marys 78 - Southeast Louisiana 60	0.9	Saint Marys 89 - Southeast Louisiana 45	-26
Southern California 84 - UNC Asheville 64	0.905	Southern California 103 - UNC Asheville 98	15
Utah Valley 74 - Eastern Washington 66	0.693	Utah Valley 87 - Eastern Washington 65	-14
Western Kentucky 80 - Boston College 75	0.625	Western Kentucky 79 - Boston College 62	-12

GAMES OF 3-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 75 - Syracuse 76	0.511	Arizona State 56 - Syracuse 60	3
Campbell 69 - Miami OH 70	0.512	Campbell 97 - Miami OH 87	-11
Canisius 72 - Jacksonville State 65	0.67	Canisius 78 - Jacksonville State 80	9
Eastern Michigan 77 - Niagara 69	0.722	Eastern Michigan 83 - Niagara 65	-10
Grand Canyon 73 - Mercer 66	0.703	Grand Canyon 73 - Mercer 78	12
Illinois Chicago 75 - Saint Francis Penn 71	0.596	Illinois Chicago 84 - Saint Francis Penn 61	-19
Louisiana State 80 - UL Lafayette 75	0.624	Louisiana State 84 - UL Lafayette 76	-3
Marquette 81 - Harvard 67	0.869	Marquette 67 - Harvard 60	7
Mississippi State 76 - Nebraska 74	0.577	Mississippi State 66 - Nebraska 59	-5
New Orleans 72 - Texas Pan American 70	0.582	New Orleans 77 - Texas Pan American 74	-1
North Carolina Central 66 - Texas Southern 70	0.598	North Carolina Central 46 - Texas Southern 64	14
Penn State 81 - Temple 70	0.758	Penn State 63 - Temple 57	5
San Francisco 74 - Colgate 65	0.758	San Francisco 72 - Colgate 68	5
Seattle 77 - Central Arkansas 70	0.674	Seattle 90 - Central Arkansas 92	9
South Dakota 79 - North Texas 63	0.874	South Dakota 77 - North Texas 90	29
Stanford 77 - Brigham Young 72	0.613	Stanford 86 - Brigham Young 83	2
Texas San Antonio 76 - Lamar 67	0.723	Texas San Antonio 76 - Lamar 69	2
Utah 78 - UC Davis 65	0.827	Utah 69 - UC Davis 59	3
Washington 74 - Boise State 73	0.523	Washington 77 - Boise State 74	-2

GAMES OF 3-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 82 - Buffalo 75	0.734	Arizona 68 - Buffalo 89	28
Austin Peay 73 - UL Monroe 67	0.67	Austin Peay 80 - UL Monroe 66	-8
Duke 89 - Iona 67	0.905	Duke 89 - Iona 67	0
Florida 78 - Saint Bonaventure 74	0.605	Florida 77 - Saint Bonaventure 62	-11
Gonzaga 76 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.769	Gonzaga 68 - UNC Greensboro 64	6
Houston 76 - San Diego State 71	0.618	Houston 67 - San Diego State 65	3
Kansas 82 - Pennsylvania 67	0.845	Kansas 76 - Pennsylvania 60	-1
Kentucky 79 - Davidson 73	0.642	Kentucky 78 - Davidson 73	1
Miami 74 - Loyola Ill 73	0.501	Miami 62 - Loyola Ill 64	3
Michigan 78 - Montana 66	0.808	Michigan 61 - Montana 47	-2
Ohio State 80 - South Dakota State 72	0.719	Ohio State 81 - South Dakota State 73	0
Rhode Island 81 - Oklahoma 79	0.556	Rhode Island 83 - Oklahoma 78	-3
Seton Hall 81 - NC State 80	0.539	Seton Hall 94 - NC State 83	-10
Tennessee 78 - Wright State 62	0.867	Tennessee 73 - Wright State 47	-10
Texas Tech 77 - Stephen F Austin 65	0.783	Texas Tech 70 - Stephen F Austin 60	2
Villanova 86 - Radford 60	0.955	Villanova 87 - Radford 61	0
Virginia Tech 77 - Alabama 76	0.532	Virginia Tech 83 - Alabama 86	4

GAMES OF 3-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 79 - Butler 80	0.51	Arkansas 62 - Butler 79	16
Auburn 82 - College of Charleston 70	0.808	Auburn 62 - College of Charleston 58	8
Cincinnati 78 - Georgia State 61	0.857	Cincinnati 68 - Georgia State 53	2
Clemson 75 - New Mexico State 69	0.677	Clemson 79 - New Mexico State 68	-5
Creighton 77 - Kansas State 76	0.54	Creighton 59 - Kansas State 69	11
Michigan State 84 - Bucknell 69	0.831	Michigan State 82 - Bucknell 78	11
Missouri 80 - Florida State 79	0.512	Missouri 54 - Florida State 67	14
Nevada 77 - Texas 75	0.553	Nevada 87 - Texas 83	-2
North Carolina 89 - Lipscomb 69	0.921	North Carolina 84 - Lipscomb 66	2
Purdue 86 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.923	Purdue 74 - Cal State Fullerton 48	-6
Texas AM 76 - Providence 73	0.555	Texas AM 73 - Providence 69	-1
Texas Christian 78 - Syracuse 74	0.629	Texas Christian 52 - Syracuse 57	9
Virginia 80 - UMBC 54	0.95	Virginia 54 - UMBC 74	46
West Virginia 78 - Murray State 70	0.699	West Virginia 85 - Murray State 68	-9
Wichita State 86 - Marshall 75	0.805	Wichita State 75 - Marshall 81	17
Wofford 75 - Central Michigan 68	0.685	Wofford 94 - Central Michigan 98	11
Xavier 92 - Texas Southern 64	0.955	Xavier 102 - Texas Southern 83	9

GAMES OF 3-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Duke 82 - Rhode Island 71	0.747	Duke 87 - Rhode Island 62	-14
Gonzaga 77 - Ohio State 76	0.514	Gonzaga 90 - Ohio State 84	-5
Kansas 82 - Seton Hall 76	0.657	Kansas 83 - Seton Hall 79	2
Kentucky 82 - Buffalo 75	0.719	Kentucky 95 - Buffalo 75	-13
Michigan 75 - Houston 73	0.564	Michigan 64 - Houston 63	1
Notre Dame 77 - Penn State 75	0.571	Notre Dame 63 - Penn State 73	12
San Diego 78 - Portland State 71	0.713	San Diego 67 - Portland State 64	4
Tennessee 75 - Loyola Ill 69	0.653	Tennessee 62 - Loyola Ill 63	7
Texas Tech 75 - Florida 73	0.543	Texas Tech 69 - Florida 66	-1
Villanova 84 - Alabama 71	0.776	Villanova 81 - Alabama 58	-10

GAMES OF 3-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 78 - Clemson 77	0.529	Auburn 53 - Clemson 84	32
Baylor 77 - Mississippi State 72	0.638	Baylor 77 - Mississippi State 78	6
Cincinnati 77 - Nevada 70	0.71	Cincinnati 73 - Nevada 75	9
Kansas State 78 - UMBC 65	0.787	Kansas State 50 - UMBC 43	6
Louisville 78 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.685	Louisville 84 - Middle Tennessee 68	-9
Marquette 81 - Oregon 75	0.641	Marquette 101 - Oregon 92	-3
Michigan State 79 - Syracuse 69	0.772	Michigan State 53 - Syracuse 55	12
North Carolina 83 - Texas AM 76	0.687	North Carolina 65 - Texas AM 86	28
Northern Colorado 79 - Drake 71	0.708	Northern Colorado 81 - Drake 72	-1
Purdue 82 - Butler 75	0.668	Purdue 76 - Butler 73	4
West Virginia 85 - Marshall 73	0.771	West Virginia 94 - Marshall 71	-11
Xavier 86 - Florida State 79	0.701	Xavier 70 - Florida State 75	12

GAMES OF 3-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Campbell 72 - New Orleans 65	0.687	Campbell 71 - New Orleans 69	5
Central Arkansas 70 - Jacksonville State 71	0.534	Central Arkansas 59 - Jacksonville State 80	20
North Texas 70 - Mercer 71	0.509	North Texas 96 - Mercer 67	-30
Oklahoma State 81 - Stanford 74	0.668	Oklahoma State 71 - Stanford 65	1
Saint Marys 78 - Washington 68	0.733	Saint Marys 85 - Washington 81	6
Sam Houston State 65 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.595	Sam Houston State 69 - Eastern Michigan 62	-10
San Francisco 70 - Utah Valley 71	0.506	San Francisco 78 - Utah Valley 73	-6
Southern California 78 - Western Kentucky 71	0.684	Southern California 75 - Western Kentucky 79	11
Utah 78 - Louisiana State 73	0.602	Utah 95 - Louisiana State 71	-19

GAMES OF 3-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Louisville 80 - Mississippi State 73	0.694	Louisville 56 - Mississippi State 79	30
Marquette 80 - Penn State 78	0.563	Marquette 80 - Penn State 85	7

GAMES OF 3-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 76 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.654	Austin Peay 81 - Illinois Chicago 83	8
North Texas 67 - Jacksonville State 68	0.501	North Texas 90 - Jacksonville State 68	-23
Oklahoma State 79 - Western Kentucky 73	0.626	Oklahoma State 84 - Western Kentucky 92	14
Saint Marys 75 - Utah 69	0.666	Saint Marys 58 - Utah 67	15
San Diego 73 - Northern Colorado 71	0.557	San Diego 75 - Northern Colorado 86	13

GAMES OF 3-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Gonzaga 83 - Florida State 77	0.657	Gonzaga 60 - Florida State 75	21
Kentucky 78 - Kansas State 73	0.644	Kentucky 58 - Kansas State 61	8
Michigan 78 - Texas AM 71	0.665	Michigan 99 - Texas AM 72	-20
Nevada 75 - Loyola Ill 74	0.527	Nevada 68 - Loyola Ill 69	2
San Francisco 77 - Campbell 65	0.804	San Francisco 65 - Campbell 62	9
Texas San Antonio 75 - Sam Houston State 67	0.718	Texas San Antonio 69 - Sam Houston State 76	15

GAMES OF 3-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Duke 81 - Syracuse 69	0.796	Duke 69 - Syracuse 65	8
Kansas 78 - Clemson 74	0.6	Kansas 80 - Clemson 76	0
Purdue 78 - Texas Tech 74	0.627	Purdue 65 - Texas Tech 78	17
Villanova 83 - West Virginia 76	0.669	Villanova 90 - West Virginia 78	-5

GAMES OF 3-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Kansas State 70 - Loyola Ill 71	0.513	Kansas State 62 - Loyola Ill 78	15
Liberty 71 - Central Michigan 69	0.564	Liberty 84 - Central Michigan 71	-11
Michigan 82 - Florida State 75	0.704	Michigan 58 - Florida State 54	3

GAMES OF 3-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Kansas 78 - Duke 81	0.571	Kansas 85 - Duke 81	-7
Villanova 81 - Texas Tech 73	0.709	Villanova 71 - Texas Tech 59	-4

GAMES OF 3-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
San Francisco 75 - North Texas 66	0.761	San Francisco 72 - North Texas 62	-1

GAMES OF 3-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Penn State 76 - Mississippi State 74	0.577	Penn State 75 - Mississippi State 60	-13
Utah 74 - Western Kentucky 73	0.515	Utah 69 - Western Kentucky 64	-4

GAMES OF 3-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Liberty 72 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.64	Liberty 51 - Illinois Chicago 67	21
North Texas 70 - San Francisco 71	0.542	North Texas 69 - San Francisco 55	-15
Northern Colorado 77 - Sam Houston State 64	0.821	Northern Colorado 99 - Sam Houston State 80	-6

GAMES OF 3-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Utah 72 - Penn State 75	0.585	Utah 66 - Penn State 82	13

GAMES OF 3-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
North Texas 70 - San Francisco 71	0.542	North Texas 88 - San Francisco 77	-12
Northern Colorado 79 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.788	Northern Colorado 76 - Illinois Chicago 71	6

GAMES OF 3-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Kansas 78 - Villanova 82	0.617	Kansas 79 - Villanova 95	12
Michigan 75 - Loyola Ill 68	0.691	Michigan 69 - Loyola Ill 57	-5

GAMES OF 4-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Villanova 80 - Michigan 75	0.631	Villanova 79 - Michigan 62	-12

Number of DI Games: 134
Number Correct: 90 = 67.1%
Expected Number Correct: 91.367 = 68.1%
Average Error: 9.28
Average Signed Error: 2.07