Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

CURRENT WEEK PREDICTIONS

This is the last update on this page until the 2020-21 season because of the season cancellation. All of the past predictions are now listed here.

2019-2020 PREDICTIONS

GAMES OF 11-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 84 - Unranked 55		Abilene Christian 90 - Unranked 39
Akron 89 - Unranked 52		Akron 81 - Unranked 64
Alabama 77 - Pennsylvania 64	0.814	Alabama 80 - Pennsylvania 81	14
Arkansas 88 - Rice 65	0.937	Arkansas 91 - Rice 43	-25
Auburn 84 - Georgia Southern 67	0.865	Auburn 83 - Georgia Southern 74	8
Austin Peay 89 - Unranked 56		Austin Peay 110 - Unranked 67
Ball State 90 - Unranked 54		Ball State 87 - Unranked 43
Baylor 89 - Central Arkansas 59	0.951	Baylor 105 - Central Arkansas 61	-14
Boise State 93 - Unranked 52		Boise State 126 - Unranked 49
Boston 66 - Northeastern 73	0.701	Boston 67 - Northeastern 72	-2
Bowling Green 90 - Unranked 55		Bowling Green 94 - Unranked 73
Brigham Young 82 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.872	Brigham Young 76 - Cal State Fullerton 58	-2
Bryant 69 - Brown 75	0.684	Bryant 71 - Brown 73	-4
Cal Baptist 73 - Jackson State 59	0.82	Cal Baptist 93 - Jackson State 70	-9
Cal State Bakersfield 86 - Unranked 53		Cal State Bakersfield 103 - Unranked 51
California 77 - Pepperdine 70	0.677	California 87 - Pepperdine 71	-9
Central Connecticut State 66 - Hartford 72	0.659	Central Connecticut State 59 - Hartford 74	9
Central Michigan 93 - Unranked 56		Central Michigan 102 - Unranked 62
Charleston Southern 86 - Unranked 56		Charleston Southern 99 - Unranked 71
Chicago State 80 - Unranked 65		Chicago State 103 - Unranked 60
Clemson 76 - Virginia Tech 72	0.618	Clemson 60 - Virginia Tech 67	11
Coastal Carolina 73 - Campbell 66	0.69	Coastal Carolina 74 - Campbell 75	8
College of Charleston 80 - South Carolina Upstate 57	0.951	College of Charleston 74 - South Carolina Upstate 55	4
Colorado State 76 - Denver 65	0.742	Colorado State 74 - Denver 63	0
Coppin State 63 - Rider 76	0.822	Coppin State 84 - Rider 91	-6
Cornell 74 - Binghamton 64	0.778	Cornell 84 - Binghamton 64	-10
Creighton 87 - Kennesaw St 58	0.958	Creighton 81 - Kennesaw St 55	3
Delaware 85 - Unranked 56		Delaware 97 - Unranked 51
DePaul 83 - Alcorn State 58	0.943	DePaul 72 - Alcorn State 54	7
Duke 80 - Kansas 78	0.562	Duke 68 - Kansas 66	0
Duquesne 73 - Princeton 71	0.543	Duquesne 94 - Princeton 67	-25
East Carolina 78 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.751	East Carolina 80 - Virginia Military Institute 68	-1
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Chattanooga 69	0.578	Eastern Kentucky 79 - Chattanooga 68	-8
Eastern Washington 88 - Unranked 55		Eastern Washington 107 - Unranked 25
Elon 86 - Unranked 57		Elon 90 - Unranked 84
Fairfield 68 - Bucknell 74	0.685	Fairfield 64 - Bucknell 68	-2
Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Unranked 57		Fairleigh Dickinson 101 - Unranked 52
Florida 86 - North Florida 62	0.931	Florida 74 - North Florida 59	9
Florida Atlantic 85 - Unranked 55		Florida Atlantic 92 - Unranked 81
Fordham 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.729	Fordham 68 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	-1
Gardner Webb 67 - Furman 71	0.61	Gardner Webb 63 - Furman 70	3
George Mason 74 - Navy 64	0.742	George Mason 68 - Navy 55	-3
Georgia 82 - Western Carolina 61	0.914	Georgia 91 - Western Carolina 72	2
Gonzaga 92 - Alabama State 51	0.973	Gonzaga 95 - Alabama State 64	10
Grand Canyon 90 - Unranked 52		Grand Canyon 73 - Unranked 82
Harvard 90 - Unranked 51		Harvard 84 - Unranked 27
High Point 70 - William and Mary 71	0.529	High Point 56 - William and Mary 70	13
Howard 82 - Unranked 60		Howard 68 - Unranked 71
Idaho 83 - Unranked 57		Idaho 88 - Unranked 82
Illinois 84 - Nicholls State 64	0.89	Illinois 78 - Nicholls State 70	12
Illinois Chicago 87 - Unranked 56		Illinois Chicago 75 - Unranked 72
Indiana 85 - Western Illinois 58	0.932	Indiana 98 - Western Illinois 65	-6
Iowa State 93 - Mississippi Valley State 54	0.979	Iowa State 110 - Mississippi Valley State 74	3
Kansas State 79 - North Dakota State 59	0.91	Kansas State 67 - North Dakota State 54	7
Kentucky 76 - Michigan State 75	0.514	Kentucky 69 - Michigan State 62	-6
Lafayette 71 - Columbia 73	0.57	Lafayette 65 - Columbia 63	-4
Lamar 85 - Unranked 56		Lamar 86 - Unranked 40
Lehigh 74 - Monmouth 70	0.631	Lehigh 62 - Monmouth 66	8
Lipscomb 93 - Unranked 55		Lipscomb 104 - Unranked 55
Longwood 82 - Unranked 60		Longwood 73 - Unranked 51
Loyola Ill 75 - UC Davis 61	0.842	Loyola Ill 82 - UC Davis 48	-20
Loyola Marymount 89 - Unranked 54		Loyola Marymount 105 - Unranked 62
Marquette 86 - Loyola MD 61	0.949	Marquette 88 - Loyola MD 53	-10
Maryland 82 - Holy Cross 56	0.954	Maryland 95 - Holy Cross 71	2
Massachusetts 80 - UMass Lowell 69	0.761	Massachusetts 79 - UMass Lowell 64	-4
Memphis 87 - South Carolina State 58	0.958	Memphis 97 - South Carolina State 64	-4
Miami 74 - Louisville 75	0.52	Miami 74 - Louisville 87	12
Michigan 88 - Appalachian State 58	0.958	Michigan 79 - Appalachian State 71	22
Middle Tennessee 90 - Unranked 51		Middle Tennessee 119 - Unranked 61
Milwaukee 85 - Unranked 55		Milwaukee 72 - Unranked 62
Minnesota 83 - Cleveland State 63	0.907	Minnesota 85 - Cleveland State 50	-15
Mississippi State 85 - Florida International 64	0.912	Mississippi State 77 - Florida International 69	13
Missouri State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 64	0.744	Missouri State 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	11
Morehead State 74 - Samford 70	0.61	Morehead State 90 - Samford 86	0
NC State 81 - Georgia Tech 71	0.746	NC State 81 - Georgia Tech 82	11
Nebraska 83 - UC Riverside 59	0.935	Nebraska 47 - UC Riverside 66	43
Nevada 77 - Utah 72	0.625	Nevada 74 - Utah 79	10
Nevada Las Vegas 79 - IPFW 71	0.671	Nevada Las Vegas 86 - IPFW 71	-7
New Hampshire 81 - Unranked 57		New Hampshire 93 - Unranked 29
New Mexico State 94 - Unranked 49		New Mexico State 92 - Unranked 46
New Orleans 84 - Unranked 56		New Orleans 114 - Unranked 58
Norfolk State 84 - Unranked 56		Norfolk State 100 - Unranked 59
North Texas 87 - Unranked 54		North Texas 79 - Unranked 40
Northern Iowa 66 - Old Dominion 65	0.502	Northern Iowa 58 - Old Dominion 53	-4
Northern Kentucky 90 - Unranked 52		Northern Kentucky 105 - Unranked 55
Northwestern State 80 - Unranked 61		Northwestern State 84 - Unranked 57
Oakland 91 - Unranked 55		Oakland 94 - Unranked 66
Oklahoma 87 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.888	Oklahoma 85 - Texas San Antonio 67	2
Oregon 78 - Fresno State 66	0.786	Oregon 71 - Fresno State 57	-2
Oregon State 82 - Cal State Northridge 63	0.928	Oregon State 87 - Cal State Northridge 67	-1
Pacific 87 - Unranked 55		Pacific 69 - Unranked 47
Penn State 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 51	0.978	Penn State 84 - Maryland Eastern Shore 46	-3
Portland 85 - Unranked 59		Portland 86 - Unranked 36
Portland State 88 - Unranked 58		Portland State 94 - Unranked 69
Prairie View 85 - Unranked 57		Prairie View 100 - Unranked 62
Providence 84 - Sacred Heart 60	0.939	Providence 106 - Sacred Heart 60	-22
Rhode Island 80 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.91	Rhode Island 76 - LIU Brooklyn 65	8
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Ohio 66	0.775	Saint Bonaventure 53 - Ohio 65	24
Saint Josephs 75 - Bradley 67	0.683	Saint Josephs 86 - Bradley 81	3
Saint Louis 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	0.669	Saint Louis 89 - Florida Gulf Coast 67	-16
Sam Houston State 87 - Unranked 54		Sam Houston State 95 - Unranked 57
San Diego 69 - UC Irvine 68	0.512	San Diego 73 - UC Irvine 76	4
San Diego State 79 - Texas Southern 63	0.85	San Diego State 77 - Texas Southern 42	-19
San Francisco 92 - Unranked 53		San Francisco 101 - Unranked 50
Santa Clara 88 - Unranked 55		Santa Clara 97 - Unranked 52
Seattle 86 - Unranked 54		Seattle 98 - Unranked 64
Seton Hall 81 - Wagner 58	0.943	Seton Hall 105 - Wagner 71	-11
Siena 70 - American 63	0.718	Siena 96 - American 80	-9
SIU Edwardsville 83 - Unranked 60		SIU Edwardsville 61 - Unranked 52
South Dakota State 82 - Texas Pan American 64	0.879	South Dakota State 70 - Texas Pan American 57	5
South Florida 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.867	South Florida 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 41	-11
Southern California 85 - Florida AM 54	0.965	Southern California 77 - Florida AM 48	2
Southern Illinois 91 - Unranked 53		Southern Illinois 76 - Unranked 48
Southern Methodist 76 - Jacksonville State 62	0.806	Southern Methodist 74 - Jacksonville State 65	5
Southern Miss 87 - Unranked 54		Southern Miss 90 - Unranked 71
Southern Utah 85 - Unranked 59		Southern Utah 110 - Unranked 66
Stetson 83 - Unranked 61		Stetson 84 - Unranked 26
Stony Brook 69 - Yale 70	0.543	Stony Brook 69 - Yale 74	4
Temple 82 - Drexel 63	0.912	Temple 70 - Drexel 62	11
Tennessee 87 - UNC Asheville 58	0.957	Tennessee 78 - UNC Asheville 63	14
Tennessee Martin 85 - Unranked 57		Tennessee Martin 106 - Unranked 48
Tennessee State 74 - Alabama AM 56	0.888	Tennessee State 106 - Alabama AM 66	-22
Texas 81 - Northern Colorado 61	0.909	Texas 69 - Northern Colorado 45	-4
Texas Arlington 91 - Unranked 53		Texas Arlington 84 - Unranked 50
Texas El Paso 85 - Unranked 56		Texas El Paso 93 - Unranked 70
Texas State 85 - Unranked 51		Texas State 103 - Unranked 45
Texas Tech 86 - Eastern Illinois 55	0.963	Texas Tech 85 - Eastern Illinois 60	6
Towson 70 - George Washington 69	0.525	Towson 72 - George Washington 58	-13
Tulsa 86 - Houston Baptist 64	0.934	Tulsa 80 - Houston Baptist 72	14
UL Lafayette 93 - Unranked 55		UL Lafayette 95 - Unranked 67
UL Monroe 88 - Unranked 54		UL Monroe 64 - Unranked 41
UMBC 86 - Unranked 55		UMBC 134 - Unranked 46
UMKC 85 - Unranked 57		UMKC 102 - Unranked 49
UNC Greensboro 77 - North Carolina AT 55	0.93	UNC Greensboro 83 - North Carolina AT 50	-11
UNC Wilmington 90 - Unranked 58		UNC Wilmington 103 - Unranked 83
Utah State 81 - Montana State 63	0.897	Utah State 81 - Montana State 73	10
Utah Valley 91 - Unranked 54		Utah Valley 72 - Unranked 55
Valparaiso 70 - Toledo 71	0.528	Valparaiso 79 - Toledo 77	-3
Villanova 89 - Army 56	0.99	Villanova 97 - Army 54	-10
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0.913	Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Saint Francis Penn 58	7
Western Kentucky 78 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.892	Western Kentucky 76 - Tennessee Tech 64	5
Wichita State 86 - Omaha 64	0.942	Wichita State 68 - Omaha 54	8
Wisconsin 71 - Saint Marys 69	0.554	Wisconsin 63 - Saint Marys 65	4
Wofford 93 - Unranked 50		Wofford 86 - Unranked 63
Wright State 89 - Unranked 51		Wright State 96 - Unranked 77
Wyoming 77 - Idaho State 65	0.809	Wyoming 54 - Idaho State 40	-2
Xavier 87 - Jacksonville 58	0.962	Xavier 76 - Jacksonville 57	10
Youngstown State 86 - Unranked 61		Youngstown State 101 - Unranked 53

GAMES OF 11-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 86 - Northern Arizona 56	0.962	Arizona 91 - Northern Arizona 52	-9
Arkansas State 87 - Unranked 59		Arkansas State 65 - Unranked 49
Bethune Cookman 82 - Unranked 59		Bethune Cookman 110 - Unranked 68
Boston College 80 - Wake Forest 76	0.62	Boston College 77 - Wake Forest 70	-3
Butler 83 - IUPUI 61	0.929	Butler 80 - IUPUI 47	-11
Colgate 72 - NJ Tech 64	0.716	Colgate 80 - NJ Tech 75	3
DePaul 94 - Unranked 55		DePaul 84 - Unranked 55
East Tennessee State 92 - Unranked 51		East Tennessee State 79 - Unranked 50
Georgetown 82 - Mt St Marys 61	0.917	Georgetown 81 - Mt St Marys 68	8
Georgia State 91 - Unranked 52		Georgia State 104 - Unranked 35
Grambling State 81 - Unranked 58		Grambling State 102 - Unranked 70
Hampton 87 - Unranked 57		Hampton 112 - Unranked 52
Hofstra 84 - San Jose State 63	0.916	Hofstra 71 - San Jose State 79	29
Illinois State 72 - Belmont 73	0.525	Illinois State 79 - Belmont 72	-8
James Madison 74 - Charlotte 67	0.706	James Madison 79 - Charlotte 74	2
Kent State 90 - Unranked 54		Kent State 97 - Unranked 58
Maine 81 - Merrimack 62	0.834	Maine 84 - Merrimack 64	-1
Missouri 85 - Incarnate Word 57	0.96	Missouri 82 - Incarnate Word 42	-12
Morgan State 79 - Unranked 60		Morgan State 71 - Unranked 44
New Mexico 93 - Unranked 55		New Mexico 92 - Unranked 71
North Carolina 87 - Notre Dame 71	0.863	North Carolina 76 - Notre Dame 65	5
Ohio State 71 - Cincinnati 72	0.504	Ohio State 64 - Cincinnati 56	-9
Oklahoma State 85 - Oral Roberts 64	0.91	Oklahoma State 80 - Oral Roberts 75	16
Pittsburgh 71 - Florida State 80	0.729	Pittsburgh 63 - Florida State 61	-11
Purdue 89 - Green Bay 63	0.948	Purdue 79 - Green Bay 57	4
Saint Johns 79 - Mercer 66	0.795	Saint Johns 109 - Mercer 79	-17
South Alabama 86 - Unranked 56		South Alabama 82 - Unranked 51
South Carolina 84 - North Alabama 59	0.944	South Carolina 77 - North Alabama 55	3
Southern 80 - Unranked 58		Southern 87 - Unranked 70
Stanford 75 - Montana 68	0.674	Stanford 73 - Montana 62	-4
Stephen F Austin 87 - Unranked 53		Stephen F Austin 89 - Unranked 70
Syracuse 66 - Virginia 73	0.701	Syracuse 34 - Virginia 48	7
Texas AM 87 - Northwestern State 56	0.96	Texas AM 77 - Northwestern State 63	17
Texas AM CC 64 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.675	Texas AM CC 49 - Louisiana Tech 82	27
Tulane 72 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.644	Tulane 76 - Southeast Louisiana 55	-16
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Jackson State 56	0.891	UC Santa Barbara 83 - Jackson State 62	-4
UCLA 86 - Long Beach State 69	0.879	UCLA 69 - Long Beach State 65	13
Vanderbilt 83 - SE Missouri State 63	0.912	Vanderbilt 83 - SE Missouri State 65	2
Western Michigan 77 - Mcneese State 63	0.847	Western Michigan 75 - Mcneese State 65	4

GAMES OF 11-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Idaho State 65	0.749	Air Force 79 - Idaho State 89	20
Appalachian State 88 - Unranked 58		Appalachian State 83 - Unranked 56
Central Arkansas 85 - Unranked 61		Central Arkansas 71 - Unranked 51
Clemson 84 - Presbyterian 55	0.964	Clemson 79 - Presbyterian 45	-5
Drake 79 - Kennesaw St 63	0.868	Drake 86 - Kennesaw St 55	-15
Hartford 72 - Winthrop 74	0.558	Hartford 57 - Winthrop 67	8
IPFW 91 - Unranked 57		IPFW 91 - Unranked 80
Marshall 79 - Robert Morris 65	0.829	Marshall 67 - Robert Morris 60	7
Morehead State 86 - Unranked 56		Morehead State 92 - Unranked 44
North Dakota 86 - Unranked 57		North Dakota 86 - Unranked 61
North Dakota State 87 - Unranked 53		North Dakota State 93 - Unranked 53
North Florida 89 - Unranked 58		North Florida 89 - Unranked 81
Omaha 90 - Unranked 58		Omaha 72 - Unranked 53
Rutgers 83 - Bryant 61	0.924	Rutgers 73 - Bryant 71	20
Samford 89 - Unranked 58		Samford 68 - Unranked 42
South Dakota State 94 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 86 - Unranked 58
Texas Christian 99 - Unranked 51		Texas Christian 83 - Unranked 62
Troy 69 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.617	Troy 75 - Alabama Birmingham 76	-3
UC Davis 86 - Unranked 54		UC Davis 109 - Unranked 63
Washington State 75 - Seattle 69	0.641	Washington State 85 - Seattle 54	-25

GAMES OF 11-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 68 - William and Mary 73	0.656	American 70 - William and Mary 79	4
Army 85 - Unranked 57		Army 80 - Unranked 43
Auburn 79 - Davidson 73	0.638	Auburn 76 - Davidson 66	-4
Buffalo 85 - Dartmouth 61	0.942	Buffalo 63 - Dartmouth 68	29
Cal Baptist 88 - Unranked 56		Cal Baptist 112 - Unranked 56
Campbell 86 - Unranked 56		Campbell 101 - Unranked 47
Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 55		Coastal Carolina 102 - Unranked 66
Colorado 75 - Arizona State 76	0.526	Colorado 81 - Arizona State 71	-11
Connecticut 82 - Sacred Heart 63	0.905	Connecticut 89 - Sacred Heart 67	-3
Delaware 67 - Oakland 75	0.715	Delaware 56 - Oakland 53	-11
Delaware State 60 - Rider 77	0.872	Delaware State 54 - Rider 81	10
DePaul 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.842	DePaul 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	3
Drexel 75 - Niagara 69	0.662	Drexel 72 - Niagara 64	-2
Duke 91 - Colorado State 63	0.952	Duke 89 - Colorado State 55	-6
Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 52		Eastern Michigan 93 - Unranked 51
Elon 86 - Unranked 57		Elon 95 - Unranked 54
Florida International 88 - Unranked 58		Florida International 101 - Unranked 59
Furman 69 - Loyola Ill 67	0.563	Furman 87 - Loyola Ill 63	-22
George Mason 79 - Longwood 63	0.866	George Mason 76 - Longwood 65	5
Georgia Southern 91 - Unranked 54		Georgia Southern 109 - Unranked 55
Grambling State 81 - Unranked 58		Grambling State 147 - Unranked 52
Grand Canyon 75 - Illinois 74	0.501	Grand Canyon 71 - Illinois 83	13
Hawaii 76 - Florida AM 56	0.916	Hawaii 65 - Florida AM 52	7
Iowa 89 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.956	Iowa 87 - SIU Edwardsville 60	0
Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 58		Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 65
Kansas 83 - UNC Greensboro 63	0.916	Kansas 74 - UNC Greensboro 62	8
Kentucky 91 - Eastern Kentucky 58	0.99	Kentucky 91 - Eastern Kentucky 49	-9
Lamar 85 - Unranked 56		Lamar 106 - Unranked 61
Liberty 68 - Radford 63	0.642	Liberty 66 - Radford 60	-1
LIU Brooklyn 75 - UMass Lowell 69	0.666	LIU Brooklyn 74 - UMass Lowell 87	19
Louisiana State 85 - Bowling Green 68	0.859	Louisiana State 88 - Bowling Green 79	8
Memphis 82 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.856	Memphis 92 - Illinois Chicago 46	-30
Mercer 87 - Unranked 54		Mercer 84 - Unranked 76
Miami 82 - Florida Atlantic 61	0.932	Miami 74 - Florida Atlantic 60	7
Mississippi 86 - Arkansas State 65	0.925	Mississippi 71 - Arkansas State 43	-7
Mississippi State 81 - Sam Houston State 62	0.908	Mississippi State 67 - Sam Houston State 58	10
Missouri 75 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.719	Missouri 71 - Northern Kentucky 56	-7
Navy 71 - East Carolina 67	0.604	Navy 62 - East Carolina 57	-1
Norfolk State 84 - Unranked 56		Norfolk State 93 - Unranked 53
North Carolina AT 65 - Charleston Southern 69	0.617	North Carolina AT 63 - Charleston Southern 49	-18
Northeastern 71 - Harvard 66	0.677	Northeastern 84 - Harvard 79	0
Northern Colorado 78 - Incarnate Word 60	0.898	Northern Colorado 83 - Incarnate Word 61	-4
Northwestern 93 - Merrimack 51	0.965	Northwestern 61 - Merrimack 71	52
Oral Roberts 78 - Houston Baptist 69	0.73	Oral Roberts 95 - Houston Baptist 81	-5
Pacific 69 - South Dakota 71	0.563	Pacific 62 - South Dakota 72	8
Richmond 78 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.789	Richmond 100 - Saint Francis Penn 98	10
Sacramento State 83 - Unranked 56		Sacramento State 76 - Unranked 27
Saint Bonaventure 72 - Vermont 67	0.639	Saint Bonaventure 59 - Vermont 61	7
Santa Clara 77 - Cal Poly 63	0.83	Santa Clara 77 - Cal Poly 63	0
South Carolina State 80 - Unranked 61		South Carolina State 79 - Unranked 64
South Carolina Upstate 82 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 103 - Unranked 62
Southern California 85 - Portland 63	0.936	Southern California 76 - Portland 65	11
Southern Illinois 75 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.611	Southern Illinois 72 - Texas San Antonio 60	-8
Towson 86 - Unranked 55		Towson 100 - Unranked 31
UNC Wilmington 68 - North Carolina 90	0.92	UNC Wilmington 62 - North Carolina 78	-6
Utah 89 - Mississippi Valley State 53	0.987	Utah 143 - Mississippi Valley State 49	-58
Utah State 77 - Weber State 65	0.806	Utah State 89 - Weber State 34	-43
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - North Texas 62	0.872	Virginia Commonwealth 59 - North Texas 56	14
Virginia Military Institute 72 - Marist 69	0.599	Virginia Military Institute 56 - Marist 58	5
Virginia Tech 89 - Coppin State 53	0.975	Virginia Tech 74 - Coppin State 42	4
Washington 71 - Baylor 77	0.659	Washington 67 - Baylor 64	-9
West Virginia 82 - Akron 65	0.851	West Virginia 94 - Akron 84	7
Wisconsin 83 - Eastern Illinois 56	0.96	Wisconsin 65 - Eastern Illinois 52	14
Xavier 84 - Siena 59	0.955	Xavier 81 - Siena 63	7
Yale 93 - Unranked 53		Yale 94 - Unranked 37

GAMES OF 11-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - Texas State 66	0.531	Air Force 78 - Texas State 71	-6
Albany 72 - Lehigh 69	0.582	Albany 70 - Lehigh 74	7
Boston 86 - Unranked 56		Boston 91 - Unranked 63
Bradley 73 - IUPUI 64	0.744	Bradley 90 - IUPUI 56	-25
Brigham Young 74 - San Diego State 71	0.578	Brigham Young 71 - San Diego State 76	8
Brown 73 - Canisius 71	0.57	Brown 75 - Canisius 68	-5
Butler 83 - New Orleans 59	0.941	Butler 79 - New Orleans 53	-2
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - South Dakota State 73	0.64	Cal State Bakersfield 91 - South Dakota State 93	-3
Central Florida 79 - Prairie View 59	0.907	Central Florida 73 - Prairie View 69	16
Chattanooga 70 - Tennessee State 65	0.659	Chattanooga 59 - Tennessee State 57	3
Chicago State 67 - Loyola MD 74	0.671	Chicago State 85 - Loyola MD 98	6
Cleveland State 84 - Unranked 57		Cleveland State 79 - Unranked 54
College of Charleston 70 - Georgia State 66	0.613	College of Charleston 84 - Georgia State 80	0
Dayton 80 - Indiana State 66	0.8	Dayton 86 - Indiana State 81	9
Denver 67 - Utah Valley 72	0.62	Denver 74 - Utah Valley 62	-17
Evansville 73 - Ball State 69	0.588	Evansville 79 - Ball State 75	0
Fairfield 72 - Massachusetts 71	0.505	Fairfield 60 - Massachusetts 62	3
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - UMBC 65	0.692	Florida Gulf Coast 61 - UMBC 65	11
George Washington 79 - Howard 61	0.881	George Washington 76 - Howard 62	4
Georgetown 87 - Central Arkansas 64	0.917	Georgetown 89 - Central Arkansas 78	12
Gonzaga 90 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 49	0.977	Gonzaga 110 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 60	-9
Green Bay 91 - Unranked 57		Green Bay 115 - Unranked 64
Hofstra 77 - Monmouth 68	0.752	Hofstra 94 - Monmouth 74	-11
Indiana 86 - Portland State 65	0.921	Indiana 85 - Portland State 74	10
La Salle 74 - Iona 73	0.523	La Salle 70 - Iona 64	-5
Lipscomb 74 - Middle Tennessee 70	0.596	Lipscomb 70 - Middle Tennessee 73	7
Long Beach State 71 - San Diego 72	0.502	Long Beach State 74 - San Diego 62	-13
Maryland 78 - Rhode Island 68	0.764	Maryland 73 - Rhode Island 55	-8
Miami OH 67 - Wright State 68	0.521	Miami OH 81 - Wright State 88	6
Milwaukee 70 - Western Michigan 68	0.553	Milwaukee 110 - Western Michigan 115	7
Minnesota 75 - Oklahoma 81	0.641	Minnesota 62 - Oklahoma 71	3
Montana State 87 - Unranked 59		Montana State 93 - Unranked 60
Mt St Marys 82 - Unranked 55		Mt St Marys 75 - Unranked 58
Murray State 80 - Southern 55	0.949	Murray State 69 - Southern 49	5
Nebraska 85 - Southern Utah 62	0.932	Nebraska 78 - Southern Utah 79	24
Nevada 81 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.884	Nevada 72 - Loyola Marymount 67	12
Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Kansas State 77	0.722	Nevada Las Vegas 56 - Kansas State 60	-5
New Hampshire 63 - Holy Cross 64	0.511	New Hampshire 87 - Holy Cross 83	-5
New Mexico 82 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.86	New Mexico 97 - Cal State Northridge 70	-12
Northern Illinois 68 - Northern Iowa 69	0.529	Northern Illinois 54 - Northern Iowa 64	9
Notre Dame 81 - Robert Morris 58	0.939	Notre Dame 92 - Robert Morris 57	-12
Oakland 76 - Texas San Antonio 73	0.584	Oakland 75 - Texas San Antonio 62	-10
Ohio 90 - Unranked 55		Ohio 88 - Unranked 50
Oklahoma State 84 - UMKC 62	0.911	Oklahoma State 69 - UMKC 51	4
Oregon 79 - Boise State 65	0.798	Oregon 106 - Boise State 75	-17
Oregon State 73 - Iowa State 78	0.635	Oregon State 80 - Iowa State 74	-11
Penn State 80 - Wagner 58	0.928	Penn State 91 - Wagner 64	-5
Pepperdine 69 - UC Irvine 73	0.61	Pepperdine 77 - UC Irvine 73	-8
Pittsburgh 80 - Nicholls State 62	0.875	Pittsburgh 70 - Nicholls State 75	23
Providence 79 - NJ Tech 60	0.907	Providence 76 - NJ Tech 47	-10
Purdue 81 - Texas 70	0.774	Purdue 66 - Texas 70	15
Rice 69 - Pennsylvania 73	0.616	Rice 80 - Pennsylvania 61	-23
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Lafayette 67	0.61	Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Lafayette 72	3
Saint Johns 84 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.938	Saint Johns 87 - Central Connecticut State 57	-5
Saint Louis 71 - Valparaiso 66	0.631	Saint Louis 81 - Valparaiso 70	-6
San Francisco 74 - Princeton 68	0.674	San Francisco 82 - Princeton 72	-4
Seattle 70 - Eastern Washington 68	0.548	Seattle 66 - Eastern Washington 74	10
Seton Hall 80 - Stony Brook 63	0.909	Seton Hall 74 - Stony Brook 57	0
South Alabama 70 - Southern Miss 68	0.538	South Alabama 75 - Southern Miss 69	-4
Southern Illinois 74 - Delaware 65	0.736	Southern Illinois 54 - Delaware 56	11
Stanford 80 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.832	Stanford 70 - Cal State Fullerton 54	-1
Stephen F Austin 71 - North Carolina Central 59	0.77	Stephen F Austin 94 - North Carolina Central 64	-18
Temple 85 - Morgan State 56	0.958	Temple 75 - Morgan State 57	11
Tennessee Martin 65 - East Tennessee State 74	0.737	Tennessee Martin 75 - East Tennessee State 92	8
Tennessee Tech 84 - Unranked 56		Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 70
Texas Arlington 73 - Tulsa 72	0.514	Texas Arlington 73 - Tulsa 59	-13
Texas Tech 88 - Bethune Cookman 53	0.987	Texas Tech 79 - Bethune Cookman 44	0
The Citadel 75 - UNC Asheville 74	0.527	The Citadel 76 - UNC Asheville 91	16
UC Riverside 68 - Idaho 66	0.563	UC Riverside 58 - Idaho 51	-5
UL Lafayette 83 - Mcneese State 62	0.913	UL Lafayette 85 - Mcneese State 80	16
UL Monroe 77 - Alcorn State 57	0.906	UL Monroe 73 - Alcorn State 72	19
Western Carolina 69 - Gardner Webb 71	0.556	Western Carolina 71 - Gardner Webb 59	-14
Western Illinois 72 - Stetson 66	0.658	Western Illinois 75 - Stetson 77	8
Western Kentucky 78 - Austin Peay 67	0.798	Western Kentucky 97 - Austin Peay 75	-11
Wichita State 85 - Texas Southern 63	0.931	Wichita State 69 - Texas Southern 63	16
Wofford 76 - High Point 60	0.859	Wofford 89 - High Point 61	-12

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 81 - Illinois 70	0.761	Arizona 90 - Illinois 69	-10
Bryant 69 - Cornell 74	0.639	Bryant 82 - Cornell 81	-6
Bucknell 71 - Vermont 70	0.534	Bucknell 63 - Vermont 66	4
Central Michigan 86 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.95	Central Michigan 134 - Mississippi Valley State 78	-30
Clemson 80 - Colgate 61	0.918	Clemson 81 - Colgate 68	6
Drexel 70 - Abilene Christian 66	0.617	Drexel 86 - Abilene Christian 83	1
Florida 77 - Florida State 73	0.594	Florida 51 - Florida State 63	16
Florida AM 59 - Pacific 73	0.861	Florida AM 54 - Pacific 76	8
Fresno State 78 - Winthrop 67	0.789	Fresno State 77 - Winthrop 74	8
Harvard 81 - Maine 56	0.953	Harvard 67 - Maine 46	4
Hawaii 72 - South Dakota 68	0.611	Hawaii 75 - South Dakota 81	10
Illinois State 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	0.814	Illinois State 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	8
Liberty 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 51	0.947	Liberty 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	14
Louisville 90 - Youngstown State 60	0.96	Louisville 78 - Youngstown State 55	7
Marshall 77 - Toledo 76	0.521	Marshall 70 - Toledo 96	27
Michigan State 90 - Binghamton 52	0.973	Michigan State 100 - Binghamton 47	-15
Missouri State 78 - Alabama State 59	0.889	Missouri State 59 - Alabama State 50	10
Montana 90 - Unranked 51		Montana 64 - Unranked 50
Navy 84 - Unranked 54		Navy 87 - Unranked 56
NC State 90 - Detroit 66	0.933	NC State 84 - Detroit 65	5
North Alabama 83 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 95 - Unranked 64
Oakland 72 - Southern Illinois 73	0.534	Oakland 61 - Southern Illinois 52	-10
Ohio State 88 - UMass Lowell 61	0.95	Ohio State 76 - UMass Lowell 56	7
Old Dominion 73 - Saint Josephs 64	0.732	Old Dominion 82 - Saint Josephs 69	-4
Rice 88 - Unranked 59		Rice 65 - Unranked 40
Rutgers 81 - Niagara 65	0.843	Rutgers 86 - Niagara 39	-31
San Jose State 70 - Portland 71	0.505	San Jose State 57 - Portland 72	14
SE Missouri State 71 - IPFW 75	0.612	SE Missouri State 79 - IPFW 78	-5
South Carolina 82 - Wyoming 65	0.876	South Carolina 66 - Wyoming 32	-17
South Florida 73 - Boston College 74	0.543	South Florida 60 - Boston College 74	13
Texas San Antonio 74 - Delaware 69	0.62	Texas San Antonio 79 - Delaware 91	17
UCLA 81 - UC Santa Barbara 67	0.833	UCLA 77 - UC Santa Barbara 61	-2
Virginia 85 - James Madison 51	0.976	Virginia 65 - James Madison 34	3
Wake Forest 82 - Columbia 69	0.817	Wake Forest 65 - Columbia 63	11

Number of DI Games: 268
Number Correct: 212 = 79.1%
Expected Number Correct: 208.023 = 77.6%
Average Error: 9.68
Average Signed Error: 0.55

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 79 - Florida Atlantic 64	0.849	Alabama 78 - Florida Atlantic 59	-4
Alabama Birmingham 85 - Alabama AM 52	0.963	Alabama Birmingham 74 - Alabama AM 52	11
Belmont 82 - Samford 66	0.88	Belmont 95 - Samford 63	-16
Buffalo 95 - Unranked 50		Buffalo 109 - Unranked 72
Cincinnati 77 - Drake 65	0.819	Cincinnati 81 - Drake 59	-10
Dartmouth 74 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	0.774	Dartmouth 55 - Florida Gulf Coast 49	5
Georgia Tech 82 - Elon 64	0.877	Georgia Tech 64 - Elon 41	-5
Hawaii 71 - Pacific 67	0.631	Hawaii 72 - Pacific 67	-1
Iowa 78 - DePaul 69	0.756	Iowa 78 - DePaul 93	24
IUPUI 81 - Unranked 58		IUPUI 72 - Unranked 55
Jacksonville 68 - Bowling Green 76	0.721	Jacksonville 59 - Bowling Green 75	8
Mcneese State 79 - Unranked 58		Mcneese State 104 - Unranked 33
Mercer 77 - Kennesaw St 64	0.834	Mercer 74 - Kennesaw St 62	1
North Carolina Central 67 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.6	North Carolina Central 73 - South Carolina Upstate 64	-6
North Dakota State 78 - Cal Poly 61	0.895	North Dakota State 74 - Cal Poly 67	10
North Florida 73 - Georgia Southern 79	0.694	North Florida 80 - Georgia Southern 77	-9
Omaha 77 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.862	Omaha 90 - Bethune Cookman 61	-16
Saint Marys 80 - Winthrop 63	0.891	Saint Marys 59 - Winthrop 61	19
San Francisco 75 - Yale 72	0.596	San Francisco 84 - Yale 79	-2
South Dakota 79 - Florida AM 56	0.952	South Dakota 85 - Florida AM 82	20
Southeast Louisiana 81 - Unranked 55		Southeast Louisiana 77 - Unranked 70
Stony Brook 86 - Unranked 52		Stony Brook 91 - Unranked 44
Texas AM 80 - UL Monroe 65	0.839	Texas AM 63 - UL Monroe 57	9
Texas Pan American 83 - Unranked 54		Texas Pan American 93 - Unranked 42
Towson 70 - Kent State 66	0.604	Towson 80 - Kent State 84	8
UNC Greensboro 93 - Unranked 48		UNC Greensboro 109 - Unranked 51
Vanderbilt 79 - Texas AM CC 55	0.942	Vanderbilt 71 - Texas AM CC 66	19
Virginia Military Institute 69 - Presbyterian 70	0.533	Virginia Military Institute 77 - Presbyterian 80	2

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 78 - Unranked 57		Alcorn State 111 - Unranked 59
Appalachian State 77 - East Carolina 69	0.725	Appalachian State 68 - East Carolina 62	2
Arkansas 82 - North Texas 60	0.887	Arkansas 66 - North Texas 43	-1
Army 71 - Air Force 73	0.546	Army 57 - Air Force 69	10
Butler 76 - Minnesota 67	0.767	Butler 64 - Minnesota 56	1
Cal State Northridge 71 - Pepperdine 78	0.701	Cal State Northridge 82 - Pepperdine 94	5
California 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.683	California 79 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	3
Central Florida 74 - Miami 69	0.645	Central Florida 70 - Miami 79	14
Charleston Southern 61 - Furman 77	0.827	Charleston Southern 47 - Furman 91	28
Charlotte 67 - Davidson 81	0.864	Charlotte 71 - Davidson 58	-27
Coastal Carolina 71 - Northern Kentucky 70	0.519	Coastal Carolina 68 - Northern Kentucky 69	2
Duke 99 - Central Arkansas 57	0.972	Duke 105 - Central Arkansas 54	-9
Duquesne 80 - Lamar 65	0.829	Duquesne 66 - Lamar 56	5
Eastern Illinois 83 - Chicago State 61	0.936	Eastern Illinois 98 - Chicago State 34	-42
Eastern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 57		Eastern Kentucky 129 - Unranked 43
Eastern Michigan 86 - Unranked 50		Eastern Michigan 101 - Unranked 49
George Washington 75 - American 63	0.828	George Washington 65 - American 67	14
Georgia 91 - The Citadel 62	0.958	Georgia 95 - The Citadel 86	20
Gonzaga 91 - North Dakota 59	0.966	Gonzaga 97 - North Dakota 66	1
Hampton 89 - Unranked 57		Hampton 95 - Unranked 63
Holy Cross 70 - Fairfield 67	0.58	Holy Cross 63 - Fairfield 68	8
Houston 87 - Alabama State 50	0.977	Houston 84 - Alabama State 56	9
Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 86 - Unranked 60
Indiana 85 - North Alabama 61	0.957	Indiana 91 - North Alabama 65	-2
Iowa State 82 - Northern Illinois 65	0.879	Iowa State 70 - Northern Illinois 52	-1
Jacksonville State 89 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville State 125 - Unranked 55
Kentucky 87 - Evansville 58	0.999	Kentucky 64 - Evansville 67	32
Lehigh 86 - Unranked 55		Lehigh 80 - Unranked 43
Liberty 80 - South Carolina State 57	0.955	Liberty 65 - South Carolina State 39	-3
Longwood 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.802	Longwood 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-18
Louisiana Tech 92 - Unranked 50		Louisiana Tech 98 - Unranked 52
Loyola Ill 81 - Coppin State 56	0.937	Loyola Ill 72 - Coppin State 76	29
Manhattan 70 - Delaware State 51	0.909	Manhattan 85 - Delaware State 74	8
Marist 65 - Hartford 66	0.528	Marist 51 - Hartford 62	10
Massachusetts 68 - Northeastern 74	0.682	Massachusetts 80 - Northeastern 71	-15
Michigan 76 - Creighton 67	0.735	Michigan 79 - Creighton 69	-1
Milwaukee 86 - Unranked 62		Milwaukee 103 - Unranked 53
Mississippi 83 - Norfolk State 59	0.94	Mississippi 68 - Norfolk State 55	11
Missouri State 77 - Cleveland State 60	0.885	Missouri State 73 - Cleveland State 53	-3
Nevada 77 - Texas Arlington 66	0.789	Nevada 80 - Texas Arlington 73	4
Northern Colorado 89 - Unranked 54		Northern Colorado 104 - Unranked 38
Northwestern State 67 - Rice 74	0.665	Northwestern State 74 - Rice 80	-1
Notre Dame 88 - Howard 57	0.977	Notre Dame 79 - Howard 50	2
Oregon 82 - Memphis 68	0.803	Oregon 82 - Memphis 74	6
Oregon State 74 - Oklahoma 73	0.533	Oregon State 69 - Oklahoma 77	9
Radford 87 - Unranked 52		Radford 91 - Unranked 40
Robert Morris 63 - Pittsburgh 76	0.809	Robert Morris 57 - Pittsburgh 71	1
Saint Johns 84 - New Hampshire 61	0.947	Saint Johns 74 - New Hampshire 61	10
San Diego 68 - Fresno State 74	0.685	San Diego 72 - Fresno State 66	-12
Santa Clara 71 - Washington State 73	0.547	Santa Clara 70 - Washington State 62	-10
Seattle 82 - Unranked 56		Seattle 115 - Unranked 81
Siena 68 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.564	Siena 78 - Saint Bonaventure 65	-15
SIU Edwardsville 64 - Valparaiso 77	0.842	SIU Edwardsville 76 - Valparaiso 89	0
South Alabama 66 - Auburn 83	0.87	South Alabama 69 - Auburn 70	-16
Southern California 79 - South Dakota State 70	0.762	Southern California 84 - South Dakota State 66	-9
Southern Methodist 81 - New Orleans 58	0.941	Southern Methodist 77 - New Orleans 64	10
Stanford 80 - Long Beach State 66	0.829	Stanford 86 - Long Beach State 58	-14
Tennessee 78 - Murray State 65	0.808	Tennessee 82 - Murray State 63	-6
Tennessee State 69 - Lipscomb 74	0.639	Tennessee State 79 - Lipscomb 78	-6
Tennessee Tech 64 - Wright State 73	0.74	Tennessee Tech 80 - Wright State 85	-4
Texas 85 - Cal Baptist 58	0.956	Texas 67 - Cal Baptist 54	14
Texas Christian 84 - UL Lafayette 67	0.888	Texas Christian 98 - UL Lafayette 65	-16
Texas El Paso 61 - New Mexico State 74	0.804	Texas El Paso 65 - New Mexico State 50	-28
Texas State 71 - Prairie View 67	0.598	Texas State 75 - Prairie View 48	-23
Troy 71 - Chattanooga 65	0.694	Troy 68 - Chattanooga 74	12
Tulane 77 - Jackson State 57	0.926	Tulane 88 - Jackson State 79	11
Tulsa 77 - Oral Roberts 67	0.759	Tulsa 74 - Oral Roberts 67	3
UC Irvine 92 - Unranked 51		UC Irvine 98 - Unranked 52
UMass Lowell 87 - Unranked 58		UMass Lowell 88 - Unranked 45
UNC Wilmington 75 - Campbell 70	0.673	UNC Wilmington 81 - Campbell 76	0
Utah State 82 - Denver 58	0.912	Utah State 97 - Denver 56	-17
Utah Valley 86 - Unranked 55		Utah Valley 101 - Unranked 70
Wagner 83 - Unranked 58		Wagner 97 - Unranked 67
Washington 84 - Mt St Marys 51	0.977	Washington 56 - Mt St Marys 46	23
Western Carolina 72 - North Carolina AT 64	0.701	Western Carolina 90 - North Carolina AT 64	-18
Western Michigan 84 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.908	Western Michigan 91 - Mississippi Valley State 81	14
Wofford 78 - William and Mary 67	0.828	Wofford 79 - William and Mary 80	12
Xavier 74 - Missouri 67	0.731	Xavier 63 - Missouri 58	2

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 69 - Canisius 67	0.577	Albany 83 - Canisius 57	-24
Boston College 81 - High Point 60	0.95	Boston College 59 - High Point 33	-5
Brigham Young 85 - Southern Utah 67	0.895	Brigham Young 68 - Southern Utah 63	13
Brown 76 - Quinnipiac 66	0.801	Brown 70 - Quinnipiac 68	8
Bucknell 76 - Hofstra 73	0.578	Bucknell 86 - Hofstra 71	-12
College of Charleston 72 - Oklahoma State 69	0.595	College of Charleston 54 - Oklahoma State 73	22
Colorado State 78 - Omaha 69	0.765	Colorado State 80 - Omaha 65	-6
Columbia 75 - Binghamton 62	0.844	Columbia 75 - Binghamton 63	1
Connecticut 79 - Saint Josephs 71	0.722	Connecticut 87 - Saint Josephs 96	17
Cornell 73 - NJ Tech 68	0.685	Cornell 58 - NJ Tech 59	6
Drake 79 - UMKC 60	0.924	Drake 76 - UMKC 58	1
Fordham 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.721	Fordham 53 - Fairleigh Dickinson 50	4
George Mason 81 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.943	George Mason 80 - LIU Brooklyn 74	14
Houston Baptist 58 - Texas Tech 91	0.979	Houston Baptist 74 - Texas Tech 103	-4
Illinois Chicago 67 - Ball State 71	0.592	Illinois Chicago 48 - Ball State 67	15
Iona 71 - Ohio 72	0.549	Iona 72 - Ohio 81	8
IPFW 74 - Miami OH 71	0.564	IPFW 80 - Miami OH 84	7
James Madison 88 - Unranked 54		James Madison 96 - Unranked 48
Kansas State 79 - Monmouth 54	0.953	Kansas State 73 - Monmouth 54	6
Louisville 86 - Indiana State 65	0.915	Louisville 91 - Indiana State 62	-8
Marquette 74 - Purdue 72	0.562	Marquette 65 - Purdue 55	-8
Middle Tennessee 90 - Unranked 50		Middle Tennessee 96 - Unranked 82
Morgan State 69 - Saint Francis Penn 73	0.634	Morgan State 65 - Saint Francis Penn 71	2
NC State 86 - Florida International 69	0.872	NC State 86 - Florida International 77	8
New Mexico 84 - Green Bay 70	0.809	New Mexico 93 - Green Bay 78	-1
Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 56		Nicholls State 81 - Unranked 66
Northern Iowa 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	0.92	Northern Iowa 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	6
Northwestern 62 - Providence 77	0.796	Northwestern 72 - Providence 63	-24
Ohio State 70 - Villanova 74	0.598	Ohio State 76 - Villanova 51	-29
Old Dominion 81 - Loyola MD 58	0.958	Old Dominion 62 - Loyola MD 53	14
Pennsylvania 71 - La Salle 69	0.563	Pennsylvania 75 - La Salle 59	-14
Princeton 75 - Lafayette 64	0.799	Princeton 65 - Lafayette 72	18
Rutgers 76 - Drexel 63	0.802	Rutgers 62 - Drexel 57	8
Saint Louis 78 - Eastern Washington 65	0.838	Saint Louis 82 - Eastern Washington 60	-9
Saint Peters 68 - Bryant 64	0.596	Saint Peters 44 - Bryant 69	29
Samford 88 - Unranked 58		Samford 102 - Unranked 64
San Diego State 81 - Grand Canyon 59	0.916	San Diego State 86 - Grand Canyon 61	-3
South Florida 77 - IUPUI 59	0.895	South Florida 53 - IUPUI 70	35
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Grambling State 63	0.611	Southeast Louisiana 70 - Grambling State 81	16
Stephen F Austin 77 - Niagara 60	0.834	Stephen F Austin 89 - Niagara 80	8
Syracuse 80 - Colgate 64	0.911	Syracuse 70 - Colgate 54	0
UMBC 86 - Unranked 51		UMBC 79 - Unranked 57
Vermont 77 - Boston 60	0.919	Vermont 62 - Boston 47	2
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Louisiana State 73	0.516	Virginia Commonwealth 84 - Louisiana State 82	-3
Virginia Tech 88 - South Carolina Upstate 50	0.969	Virginia Tech 80 - South Carolina Upstate 57	15
Wake Forest 78 - UNC Asheville 67	0.784	Wake Forest 98 - UNC Asheville 79	-8
Western Illinois 69 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.518	Western Illinois 91 - Tennessee Martin 98	6
Wisconsin 83 - Mcneese State 51	0.973	Wisconsin 83 - Mcneese State 63	12
Wyoming 70 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.681	Wyoming 53 - Cal State Fullerton 60	13

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 87 - San Jose State 56	0.954	Arizona 87 - San Jose State 39	-17
Arizona State 89 - Central Connecticut State 55	0.984	Arizona State 90 - Central Connecticut State 49	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 87 - Unranked 54		Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Unranked 59
Arkansas State 75 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.792	Arkansas State 71 - Virginia Military Institute 56	-5
Cincinnati 89 - Alabama AM 46	0.973	Cincinnati 85 - Alabama AM 53	11
East Tennessee State 76 - Winthrop 69	0.727	East Tennessee State 61 - Winthrop 58	4
Eastern Michigan 86 - Unranked 50		Eastern Michigan 72 - Unranked 59
Evansville 91 - Unranked 53		Evansville 89 - Unranked 71
Florida 77 - Towson 62	0.867	Florida 66 - Towson 60	9
Georgetown 74 - Penn State 75	0.503	Georgetown 66 - Penn State 81	14
Harvard 76 - Siena 62	0.872	Harvard 59 - Siena 56	11
Idaho State 85 - Unranked 57		Idaho State 80 - Unranked 48
Longwood 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 66	0.63	Longwood 86 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 77	-5
Mississippi State 82 - UL Monroe 62	0.907	Mississippi State 62 - UL Monroe 45	3
New Mexico State 79 - Southern 51	0.961	New Mexico State 79 - Southern 63	12
Norfolk State 85 - Unranked 55		Norfolk State 113 - Unranked 54
North Florida 73 - Southern Miss 72	0.537	North Florida 66 - Southern Miss 63	-2
Pacific 87 - Unranked 53		Pacific 86 - Unranked 48
Presbyterian 70 - Morehead State 71	0.541	Presbyterian 55 - Morehead State 77	21
Richmond 73 - Vanderbilt 74	0.522	Richmond 93 - Vanderbilt 92	-2
Saint Marys 80 - Long Beach State 63	0.883	Saint Marys 81 - Long Beach State 63	-1
Seton Hall 74 - Michigan State 76	0.581	Seton Hall 73 - Michigan State 76	1
UC Davis 68 - Idaho 67	0.541	UC Davis 65 - Idaho 64	0
Weber State 67 - San Diego 71	0.578	Weber State 56 - San Diego 71	11

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - North Carolina Central 58	0.871	Akron 57 - North Carolina Central 47	9
Alabama Birmingham 75 - Utah Valley 64	0.782	Alabama Birmingham 55 - Utah Valley 66	22
Appalachian State 75 - Montana State 76	0.53	Appalachian State 56 - Montana State 59	2
Arkansas State 72 - UC Davis 66	0.661	Arkansas State 80 - UC Davis 67	-7
Auburn 93 - Cal State Northridge 60	0.981	Auburn 116 - Cal State Northridge 70	-13
Baylor 83 - Texas State 59	0.947	Baylor 72 - Texas State 63	15
Bethune Cookman 82 - Unranked 58		Bethune Cookman 100 - Unranked 42
Boise State 77 - UC Irvine 74	0.582	Boise State 60 - UC Irvine 69	12
Bowling Green 92 - Unranked 54		Bowling Green 88 - Unranked 66
Bryant 85 - Unranked 57		Bryant 116 - Unranked 67
Cal Poly 82 - Unranked 60		Cal Poly 89 - Unranked 45
Cal State Bakersfield 87 - Unranked 55		Cal State Bakersfield 91 - Unranked 51
California 81 - Cal Baptist 65	0.84	California 82 - Cal Baptist 62	-4
Chattanooga 66 - South Alabama 69	0.579	Chattanooga 90 - South Alabama 72	-21
Duke 90 - Georgia State 62	0.961	Duke 74 - Georgia State 63	17
Duquesne 79 - Lipscomb 72	0.693	Duquesne 58 - Lipscomb 36	-15
Eastern Kentucky 70 - Western Kentucky 77	0.725	Eastern Kentucky 71 - Western Kentucky 79	1
Florida State 86 - Western Carolina 60	0.951	Florida State 79 - Western Carolina 74	21
Furman 94 - Unranked 47		Furman 83 - Unranked 61
Georgia 88 - Delaware State 48	0.974	Georgia 100 - Delaware State 66	6
Georgia Southern 77 - Radford 66	0.817	Georgia Southern 76 - Radford 73	8
Hawaii 76 - Portland State 69	0.7	Hawaii 83 - Portland State 75	-1
Hofstra 93 - Unranked 55		Hofstra 111 - Unranked 69
Houston 81 - Brigham Young 67	0.831	Houston 71 - Brigham Young 72	15
Iowa 85 - Oral Roberts 67	0.902	Iowa 87 - Oral Roberts 74	5
Kansas 87 - Monmouth 56	0.992	Kansas 112 - Monmouth 57	-24
Lamar 72 - Mt St Marys 62	0.759	Lamar 76 - Mt St Marys 61	-5
Longwood 83 - Unranked 58		Longwood 78 - Unranked 53
Mercer 73 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.601	Mercer 84 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	-13
Merrimack 65 - Dartmouth 76	0.706	Merrimack 46 - Dartmouth 55	-2
Michigan 84 - Elon 58	0.93	Michigan 70 - Elon 50	6
Milwaukee 72 - UMKC 70	0.573	Milwaukee 61 - UMKC 52	-7
Mississippi 83 - Western Michigan 62	0.948	Mississippi 85 - Western Michigan 58	-6
Nebraska 70 - South Dakota State 75	0.598	Nebraska 90 - South Dakota State 73	-22
North Carolina 91 - Gardner Webb 58	0.986	North Carolina 77 - Gardner Webb 61	17
North Dakota State 71 - Texas Pan American 64	0.719	North Dakota State 76 - Texas Pan American 70	1
Northern Arizona 83 - Unranked 58		Northern Arizona 105 - Unranked 32
Northern Illinois 77 - Coppin State 60	0.916	Northern Illinois 81 - Coppin State 69	5
Notre Dame 83 - Marshall 66	0.884	Notre Dame 74 - Marshall 64	7
Pittsburgh 75 - West Virginia 78	0.577	Pittsburgh 53 - West Virginia 68	12
Rhode Island 72 - Alabama 70	0.554	Rhode Island 93 - Alabama 79	-12
Robert Morris 71 - Howard 67	0.624	Robert Morris 85 - Howard 65	-16
Sacramento State 66 - UC Riverside 67	0.501	Sacramento State 62 - UC Riverside 49	-14
South Carolina 88 - Cleveland State 55	0.998	South Carolina 90 - Cleveland State 63	6
South Dakota 79 - Texas Southern 65	0.817	South Dakota 88 - Texas Southern 69	-5
Texas 84 - Prairie View 57	0.955	Texas 70 - Prairie View 56	13
Texas AM 72 - Gonzaga 81	0.722	Texas AM 49 - Gonzaga 79	21
Texas AM CC 61 - Stony Brook 69	0.746	Texas AM CC 63 - Stony Brook 68	-3
Texas El Paso 83 - Unranked 55		Texas El Paso 71 - Unranked 57
UCLA 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	0.827	UCLA 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 54	-5
UL Lafayette 80 - Youngstown State 68	0.812	UL Lafayette 73 - Youngstown State 61	0
UMass Lowell 75 - Jacksonville 69	0.687	UMass Lowell 78 - Jacksonville 80	8
UNC Greensboro 79 - Tennessee Tech 57	0.938	UNC Greensboro 64 - Tennessee Tech 30	-12
Utah 83 - Minnesota 67	0.798	Utah 73 - Minnesota 69	12
Utah State 83 - North Carolina AT 54	0.942	Utah State 81 - North Carolina AT 54	2
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Idaho 69	0.579	Virginia Military Institute 67 - Idaho 68	-2
William and Mary 80 - Hampton 67	0.83	William and Mary 78 - Hampton 65	0
Xavier 79 - Missouri State 59	0.935	Xavier 59 - Missouri State 56	17

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Pepperdine 74	0.586	Abilene Christian 69 - Pepperdine 73	1
Appalachian State 74 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.687	Appalachian State 69 - Tennessee Tech 47	-16
Arkansas 82 - Montana 63	0.865	Arkansas 64 - Montana 46	1
Binghamton 70 - Sacred Heart 71	0.507	Binghamton 76 - Sacred Heart 72	-5
Boston 73 - New Hampshire 64	0.756	Boston 84 - New Hampshire 70	-5
Boston College 80 - Belmont 71	0.743	Boston College 85 - Belmont 100	24
Bradley 78 - Illinois Chicago 62	0.829	Bradley 65 - Illinois Chicago 56	7
Butler 74 - Wofford 70	0.644	Butler 80 - Wofford 61	-15
Cal State Fullerton 86 - Unranked 55		Cal State Fullerton 82 - Unranked 62
Canisius 69 - Bucknell 73	0.622	Canisius 83 - Bucknell 81	-6
Central Michigan 78 - Sam Houston State 69	0.773	Central Michigan 84 - Sam Houston State 77	2
Colorado 83 - San Diego 62	0.922	Colorado 71 - San Diego 53	3
Creighton 77 - Louisiana Tech 67	0.76	Creighton 82 - Louisiana Tech 72	0
Davidson 80 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.87	Davidson 87 - UNC Wilmington 49	-24
Dayton 83 - Charleston Southern 59	0.935	Dayton 90 - Charleston Southern 61	-5
Denver 86 - Unranked 54		Denver 72 - Unranked 55
DePaul 79 - Cornell 65	0.869	DePaul 75 - Cornell 54	-7
East Carolina 66 - Liberty 71	0.648	East Carolina 57 - Liberty 77	15
Florida Atlantic 86 - Unranked 55		Florida Atlantic 84 - Unranked 79
Fordham 69 - Marist 59	0.802	Fordham 58 - Marist 41	-7
George Mason 75 - James Madison 65	0.818	George Mason 83 - James Madison 70	-3
George Washington 75 - Morgan State 60	0.87	George Washington 64 - Morgan State 68	19
Grand Canyon 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	0.888	Grand Canyon 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	5
Hartford 86 - Unranked 54		Hartford 86 - Unranked 79
Harvard 69 - Buffalo 72	0.57	Harvard 76 - Buffalo 88	9
Incarnate Word 69 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.595	Incarnate Word 55 - SIU Edwardsville 57	0
Indiana 83 - Troy 62	0.939	Indiana 100 - Troy 62	-17
IPFW 78 - Stetson 68	0.767	IPFW 79 - Stetson 55	-14
Jacksonville 63 - Dartmouth 74	0.772	Jacksonville 57 - Dartmouth 37	-31
La Salle 67 - Temple 71	0.628	La Salle 65 - Temple 70	1
Lafayette 65 - Delaware 74	0.781	Lafayette 73 - Delaware 81	-1
Louisiana State 88 - Nicholls State 64	0.934	Louisiana State 75 - Nicholls State 65	14
Loyola Ill 76 - Saint Josephs 69	0.667	Loyola Ill 85 - Saint Josephs 68	-10
Loyola Marymount 74 - Colorado State 70	0.622	Loyola Marymount 64 - Colorado State 74	14
Manhattan 64 - Albany 62	0.55	Manhattan 57 - Albany 51	-4
Maryland 78 - Oakland 63	0.905	Maryland 80 - Oakland 50	-15
Massachusetts 79 - Central Connecticut State 57	0.947	Massachusetts 89 - Central Connecticut State 43	-24
Memphis 85 - Alcorn State 54	0.958	Memphis 102 - Alcorn State 56	-15
Miami 84 - Quinnipiac 64	0.942	Miami 80 - Quinnipiac 52	-8
Miami OH 81 - Alabama AM 55	0.934	Miami OH 79 - Alabama AM 63	10
Morehead State 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.92	Morehead State 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	-5
Murray State 92 - Unranked 48		Murray State 114 - Unranked 48
NC State 85 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	0.992	NC State 95 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	-6
Nevada 77 - Southern California 71	0.667	Nevada 66 - Southern California 76	16
New Mexico 84 - Mcneese State 58	0.945	New Mexico 90 - Mcneese State 80	16
NJ Tech 73 - Wagner 65	0.774	NJ Tech 88 - Wagner 69	-11
North Alabama 74 - Samford 73	0.529	North Alabama 61 - Samford 55	-5
North Texas 67 - Eastern Michigan 63	0.627	North Texas 51 - Eastern Michigan 56	9
Northeastern 73 - Old Dominion 67	0.686	Northeastern 69 - Old Dominion 76	13
Northern Illinois 87 - Unranked 53		Northern Illinois 96 - Unranked 48
Northern Iowa 76 - Northern Colorado 61	0.881	Northern Iowa 77 - Northern Colorado 72	10
Portland 74 - Maine 63	0.771	Portland 71 - Maine 62	2
Providence 81 - Saint Peters 52	0.958	Providence 68 - Saint Peters 47	8
Purdue 97 - Chicago State 50	0.968	Purdue 93 - Chicago State 49	3
Rutgers 70 - Saint Bonaventure 67	0.583	Rutgers 74 - Saint Bonaventure 80	9
Saint Francis Penn 77 - American 68	0.784	Saint Francis Penn 79 - American 76	6
Saint Johns 75 - Vermont 70	0.658	Saint Johns 68 - Vermont 70	7
Southern Illinois 69 - San Francisco 70	0.545	Southern Illinois 60 - San Francisco 76	15
Southern Methodist 83 - Jackson State 51	0.983	Southern Methodist 80 - Jackson State 63	15
Stanford 79 - Santa Clara 63	0.875	Stanford 82 - Santa Clara 64	-2
Stephen F Austin 73 - Drexel 67	0.652	Stephen F Austin 82 - Drexel 67	-9
Syracuse 82 - Seattle 55	0.952	Syracuse 89 - Seattle 67	5
Tennessee 71 - Washington 72	0.51	Tennessee 75 - Washington 62	-14
Texas AM CC 62 - North Dakota State 71	0.754	Texas AM CC 45 - North Dakota State 57	3
Texas Pan American 63 - Stony Brook 69	0.708	Texas Pan American 58 - Stony Brook 69	5
The Citadel 69 - Campbell 79	0.777	The Citadel 73 - Campbell 87	4
Toledo 81 - Robert Morris 58	0.94	Toledo 70 - Robert Morris 56	9
Tulane 78 - Northwestern State 62	0.864	Tulane 79 - Northwestern State 52	-11
Tulsa 77 - Austin Peay 68	0.754	Tulsa 72 - Austin Peay 65	2
UC Santa Barbara 74 - Rice 67	0.658	UC Santa Barbara 81 - Rice 82	8
UMass Lowell 76 - Merrimack 70	0.627	UMass Lowell 58 - Merrimack 60	8
UMBC 86 - Unranked 51		UMBC 60 - Unranked 48
UNC Asheville 86 - Unranked 55		UNC Asheville 79 - Unranked 49
UNC Greensboro 80 - Montana State 65	0.833	UNC Greensboro 66 - Montana State 67	16
Villanova 83 - Ohio 61	0.899	Villanova 78 - Ohio 54	-2
Virginia 87 - Columbia 48	0.968	Virginia 60 - Columbia 42	21
Virginia Tech 84 - Lehigh 57	0.984	Virginia Tech 79 - Lehigh 53	1
Wichita State 83 - Tennessee Martin 57	0.963	Wichita State 103 - Tennessee Martin 62	-15
Winthrop 92 - Unranked 53		Winthrop 103 - Unranked 59
Wright State 73 - Kent State 67	0.661	Wright State 71 - Kent State 72	7
Wyoming 61 - Oregon State 73	0.81	Wyoming 63 - Oregon State 83	8

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 78 - New Mexico State 64	0.827	Arizona 83 - New Mexico State 53	-16
Arizona State 85 - Rider 67	0.912	Arizona State 92 - Rider 55	-19
Arkansas State 72 - Idaho 64	0.721	Arkansas State 82 - Idaho 68	-6
Central Arkansas 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 75	0.628	Central Arkansas 56 - Arkansas Little Rock 76	15
Charlotte 72 - Wake Forest 78	0.702	Charlotte 67 - Wake Forest 65	-8
Clemson 87 - Detroit 58	0.999	Clemson 87 - Detroit 65	7
Connecticut 71 - Florida 73	0.554	Connecticut 62 - Florida 59	-5
Drake 93 - Unranked 52		Drake 98 - Unranked 53
Fresno State 95 - Unranked 49		Fresno State 92 - Unranked 47
Georgetown 77 - Georgia State 71	0.7	Georgetown 91 - Georgia State 83	-2
Illinois State 70 - Central Florida 69	0.528	Illinois State 65 - Central Florida 67	3
Indiana State 75 - Ball State 72	0.592	Indiana State 55 - Ball State 69	17
Jacksonville 73 - Merrimack 72	0.505	Jacksonville 44 - Merrimack 54	11
Louisville 89 - North Carolina Central 51	0.982	Louisville 87 - North Carolina Central 58	9
Loyola MD 70 - Fairfield 68	0.578	Loyola MD 84 - Fairfield 75	-7
Mississippi State 83 - New Orleans 57	0.962	Mississippi State 82 - New Orleans 59	3
North Dakota State 68 - Stony Brook 67	0.533	North Dakota State 57 - Stony Brook 64	8
Northern Kentucky 79 - Coppin State 59	0.936	Northern Kentucky 82 - Coppin State 70	8
Oklahoma State 75 - Yale 70	0.67	Oklahoma State 64 - Yale 57	-2
Oregon 82 - Texas Arlington 63	0.892	Oregon 67 - Texas Arlington 47	-1
Pacific 69 - UC Riverside 64	0.642	Pacific 58 - UC Riverside 51	-2
Richmond 83 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.874	Richmond 90 - Cal State Northridge 62	-14
Saint Louis 72 - Seton Hall 74	0.562	Saint Louis 66 - Seton Hall 83	15
Saint Marys 87 - Cal Poly 53	0.984	Saint Marys 79 - Cal Poly 48	3
San Jose State 85 - Unranked 56		San Jose State 85 - Unranked 60
Southeast Louisiana 81 - Unranked 55		Southeast Louisiana 65 - Unranked 58
Tennessee Tech 67 - Montana State 74	0.696	Tennessee Tech 39 - Montana State 52	6
Texas AM CC 63 - Texas Pan American 65	0.567	Texas AM CC 63 - Texas Pan American 55	-10
Toledo 86 - Howard 59	0.96	Toledo 112 - Howard 68	-17
UC Davis 71 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.612	UC Davis 84 - Virginia Military Institute 89	9
UMass Lowell 68 - Dartmouth 73	0.633	UMass Lowell 75 - Dartmouth 80	0
Valparaiso 77 - North Dakota 63	0.847	Valparaiso 74 - North Dakota 60	0
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Jacksonville State 61	0.882	Virginia Commonwealth 93 - Jacksonville State 65	-13
Washington State 82 - Idaho State 63	0.856	Washington State 72 - Idaho State 61	8
Wisconsin 71 - Marquette 70	0.509	Wisconsin 77 - Marquette 61	-15

Number of DI Games: 296
Number Correct: 232 = 78.3%
Expected Number Correct: 230.205 = 77.7%
Average Error: 9.68
Average Signed Error: 1.29

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 79 - South Carolina Upstate 57	0.944	Akron 76 - South Carolina Upstate 45	-9
Army 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.615	Army 81 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	-20
Auburn 85 - Colgate 64	0.93	Auburn 91 - Colgate 62	-8
Belmont 84 - High Point 57	0.955	Belmont 90 - High Point 51	-12
California 83 - Prairie View 61	0.927	California 54 - Prairie View 50	18
Central Michigan 98 - Unranked 54		Central Michigan 115 - Unranked 58
Coastal Carolina 68 - Middle Tennessee 72	0.612	Coastal Carolina 93 - Middle Tennessee 72	-25
Colorado 78 - UC Irvine 63	0.876	Colorado 69 - UC Irvine 53	-1
Delaware State 64 - LIU Brooklyn 75	0.803	Delaware State 84 - LIU Brooklyn 92	-3
Eastern Illinois 88 - Unranked 53		Eastern Illinois 114 - Unranked 61
Evansville 76 - Southern Methodist 68	0.717	Evansville 57 - Southern Methodist 59	10
Illinois 78 - Hawaii 68	0.779	Illinois 66 - Hawaii 53	-3
Kentucky 84 - Utah Valley 56	0.941	Kentucky 82 - Utah Valley 74	20
Lehigh 88 - Unranked 57		Lehigh 87 - Unranked 68
Mcneese State 84 - Unranked 59		Mcneese State 103 - Unranked 51
Michigan State 90 - Charleston Southern 51	0.975	Michigan State 94 - Charleston Southern 46	-9
Missouri 75 - Wofford 67	0.72	Missouri 75 - Wofford 56	-11
Montana 92 - Unranked 51		Montana 72 - Unranked 74
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Abilene Christian 63	0.898	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Abilene Christian 58	0
Niagara 67 - Bryant 73	0.629	Niagara 62 - Bryant 73	5
North Florida 91 - Unranked 56		North Florida 115 - Unranked 39
Northern Illinois 73 - Longwood 64	0.758	Northern Illinois 65 - Longwood 48	-8
Notre Dame 82 - Presbyterian 55	0.959	Notre Dame 63 - Presbyterian 53	17
Oakland 72 - Hartford 65	0.769	Oakland 60 - Hartford 50	-3
Ohio State 88 - Stetson 46	0.974	Ohio State 86 - Stetson 51	7
Oklahoma 82 - William and Mary 66	0.903	Oklahoma 75 - William and Mary 70	11
Pittsburgh 78 - Monmouth 63	0.847	Pittsburgh 63 - Monmouth 50	2
South Carolina State 80 - Unranked 61		South Carolina State 103 - Unranked 79
South Dakota 84 - SIU Edwardsville 60	0.948	South Dakota 71 - SIU Edwardsville 56	9
Southern 80 - Unranked 60		Southern 121 - Unranked 55
Tennessee State 89 - Unranked 55		Tennessee State 99 - Unranked 65
Texas Christian 85 - Air Force 62	0.911	Texas Christian 65 - Air Force 54	12
Texas State 78 - Jackson State 56	0.938	Texas State 73 - Jackson State 58	7
Troy 85 - Unranked 59		Troy 84 - Unranked 57
UCLA 84 - Southern Utah 63	0.934	UCLA 76 - Southern Utah 61	6
UMKC 80 - Unranked 56		UMKC 111 - Unranked 38
UNC Greensboro 77 - Appalachian State 63	0.848	UNC Greensboro 55 - Appalachian State 41	0
Utah State 89 - Texas San Antonio 61	0.948	Utah State 82 - Texas San Antonio 50	-4
West Virginia 86 - Northern Colorado 65	0.931	West Virginia 69 - Northern Colorado 61	13
Western Kentucky 96 - Unranked 52		Western Kentucky 109 - Unranked 66

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 71 - Furman 75	0.614	Alabama 81 - Furman 73	-12
Albany 84 - Unranked 53		Albany 78 - Unranked 52
Arkansas 87 - Texas Southern 56	0.951	Arkansas 82 - Texas Southern 51	0
Bradley 76 - Norfolk State 63	0.782	Bradley 69 - Norfolk State 57	1
Central Connecticut State 66 - New Hampshire 69	0.611	Central Connecticut State 63 - New Hampshire 77	11
Chicago State 77 - Unranked 69		Chicago State 89 - Unranked 77
Cleveland State 71 - Florida International 78	0.706	Cleveland State 61 - Florida International 107	39
Dartmouth 86 - Unranked 51		Dartmouth 108 - Unranked 59
Davidson 73 - Nevada 72	0.507	Davidson 91 - Nevada 71	-19
Dayton 82 - Omaha 66	0.89	Dayton 93 - Omaha 68	-9
Eastern Kentucky 90 - Unranked 57		Eastern Kentucky 99 - Unranked 63
George Mason 81 - Loyola MD 63	0.915	George Mason 65 - Loyola MD 61	14
Georgia Southern 79 - Mercer 70	0.768	Georgia Southern 98 - Mercer 88	-1
Gonzaga 85 - Texas Arlington 64	0.948	Gonzaga 72 - Texas Arlington 66	15
Grand Canyon 69 - Montana State 72	0.595	Grand Canyon 69 - Montana State 56	-16
Holy Cross 65 - Northeastern 78	0.875	Holy Cross 44 - Northeastern 101	44
Iowa State 82 - Southern Miss 60	0.917	Iowa State 73 - Southern Miss 45	-6
Kansas 82 - East Tennessee State 63	0.909	Kansas 75 - East Tennessee State 63	7
Kansas State 83 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 46	0.973	Kansas State 62 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	26
Kent State 79 - IPFW 64	0.887	Kent State 75 - IPFW 68	8
Lafayette 68 - Pennsylvania 73	0.643	Lafayette 86 - Pennsylvania 75	-16
Liberty 71 - Navy 56	0.869	Liberty 55 - Navy 48	8
Louisiana State 82 - UMBC 62	0.949	Louisiana State 77 - UMBC 50	-7
Louisiana Tech 89 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.928	Louisiana Tech 76 - Mississippi Valley State 43	-2
Marshall 71 - College of Charleston 72	0.524	Marshall 66 - College of Charleston 76	9
Maryland 83 - Fairfield 53	0.982	Maryland 74 - Fairfield 55	11
Milwaukee 72 - North Dakota 69	0.61	Milwaukee 79 - North Dakota 70	-6
Mississippi 84 - Seattle 54	0.997	Mississippi 65 - Seattle 52	17
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 88 - Unranked 52
Murray State 73 - Southern Illinois 62	0.807	Murray State 79 - Southern Illinois 66	-2
NC State 89 - Alcorn State 58	0.988	NC State 87 - Alcorn State 64	8
North Texas 74 - North Carolina AT 59	0.875	North Texas 80 - North Carolina AT 60	-5
Northern Iowa 81 - Tennessee Martin 58	0.948	Northern Iowa 87 - Tennessee Martin 67	3
Northwestern 75 - Radford 63	0.768	Northwestern 56 - Radford 67	23
Northwestern State 81 - Unranked 61		Northwestern State 67 - Unranked 60
Oral Roberts 90 - Unranked 58		Oral Roberts 73 - Unranked 60
Pacific 76 - Coppin State 60	0.896	Pacific 64 - Coppin State 60	12
Penn State 79 - Bucknell 63	0.895	Penn State 98 - Bucknell 70	-12
Providence 75 - Merrimack 61	0.781	Providence 93 - Merrimack 56	-23
Rhode Island 79 - Nicholls State 64	0.849	Rhode Island 70 - Nicholls State 65	10
Rice 68 - Houston 79	0.758	Rice 89 - Houston 97	-3
Sacred Heart 66 - Brown 78	0.806	Sacred Heart 84 - Brown 63	-33
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Delaware 71	0.545	Saint Francis Penn 64 - Delaware 79	14
Samford 67 - Manhattan 65	0.556	Samford 70 - Manhattan 57	-11
San Francisco 84 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	0.957	San Francisco 100 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	-8
Santa Clara 92 - Unranked 52		Santa Clara 101 - Unranked 54
SE Missouri State 77 - The Citadel 67	0.758	SE Missouri State 69 - The Citadel 74	15
South Alabama 89 - Unranked 55		South Alabama 98 - Unranked 72
South Carolina 82 - Boston 59	0.947	South Carolina 70 - Boston 78	31
South Dakota State 76 - North Alabama 64	0.843	South Dakota State 78 - North Alabama 73	7
Southern California 82 - Pepperdine 64	0.923	Southern California 91 - Pepperdine 84	11
Stanford 89 - Maryland Eastern Shore 47	0.97	Stanford 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	21
Texas El Paso 70 - New Mexico 71	0.507	Texas El Paso 66 - New Mexico 63	-4
UNC Wilmington 89 - Unranked 58		UNC Wilmington 113 - Unranked 53
Virginia 72 - Vermont 53	0.951	Virginia 61 - Vermont 55	13
Washington 82 - Maine 56	0.929	Washington 72 - Maine 53	7
Weber State 85 - Unranked 57		Weber State 130 - Unranked 50
Western Michigan 90 - Unranked 57		Western Michigan 102 - Unranked 56
Wichita State 78 - Gardner Webb 58	0.911	Wichita State 74 - Gardner Webb 52	-2
Wyoming 73 - Detroit 66	0.696	Wyoming 76 - Detroit 49	-20
Youngstown State 69 - North Carolina Central 64	0.626	Youngstown State 66 - North Carolina Central 60	-1

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Mt St Marys 61	0.81	Alabama Birmingham 58 - Mt St Marys 51	4
Ball State 75 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.817	Ball State 57 - Northern Kentucky 59	11
Boise State 71 - Brigham Young 78	0.695	Boise State 72 - Brigham Young 68	-11
Boston College 79 - Eastern Washington 65	0.876	Boston College 72 - Eastern Washington 68	10
Chicago State 77 - Unranked 69		Chicago State 79 - Unranked 66
Colorado State 78 - Arkansas State 63	0.887	Colorado State 78 - Arkansas State 80	17
Drexel 72 - Bryant 67	0.642	Drexel 86 - Bryant 74	-7
Florida Gulf Coast 69 - Florida Atlantic 67	0.564	Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Florida Atlantic 70	0
Florida State 80 - Chattanooga 60	0.906	Florida State 89 - Chattanooga 53	-16
Fresno State 68 - Saint Marys 75	0.724	Fresno State 58 - Saint Marys 68	3
Georgia 71 - Georgia Tech 72	0.526	Georgia 82 - Georgia Tech 78	-5
Illinois 89 - The Citadel 62	0.959	Illinois 85 - The Citadel 57	-1
Indiana 84 - Princeton 62	0.945	Indiana 79 - Princeton 54	-3
Lipscomb 69 - Belmont 79	0.753	Lipscomb 67 - Belmont 73	-4
Louisville 91 - South Carolina Upstate 53	0.97	Louisville 76 - South Carolina Upstate 50	12
Loyola Ill 75 - IUPUI 62	0.763	Loyola Ill 85 - IUPUI 62	-10
Massachusetts 78 - Rider 65	0.814	Massachusetts 82 - Rider 72	3
Memphis 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	0.873	Memphis 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 58	6
Miami OH 89 - Unranked 55		Miami OH 80 - Unranked 45
Missouri 77 - Morehead State 62	0.88	Missouri 70 - Morehead State 52	-3
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Texas State 66	0.686	Nevada Las Vegas 57 - Texas State 64	14
NJ Tech 76 - Binghamton 62	0.873	NJ Tech 75 - Binghamton 77	16
North Carolina 88 - Elon 56	0.99	North Carolina 75 - Elon 61	18
Northern Arizona 86 - Unranked 59		Northern Arizona 93 - Unranked 56
Northern Iowa 92 - Unranked 46		Northern Iowa 88 - Unranked 66
Old Dominion 76 - James Madison 60	0.911	Old Dominion 78 - James Madison 80	18
Oregon State 81 - UC Santa Barbara 64	0.92	Oregon State 78 - UC Santa Barbara 67	6
Portland State 72 - Portland 73	0.52	Portland State 75 - Portland 82	6
Rutgers 74 - Stephen F Austin 68	0.617	Rutgers 69 - Stephen F Austin 57	-6
Saint Johns 79 - Columbia 64	0.885	Saint Johns 82 - Columbia 63	-4
Saint Louis 77 - High Point 55	0.951	Saint Louis 67 - High Point 55	10
Saint Peters 66 - Wagner 65	0.536	Saint Peters 77 - Wagner 81	5
Sam Houston State 87 - Unranked 51		Sam Houston State 88 - Unranked 58
San Diego 65 - San Diego State 74	0.737	San Diego 49 - San Diego State 66	8
San Jose State 69 - Grambling State 67	0.546	San Jose State 83 - Grambling State 76	-5
Syracuse 80 - Cornell 57	0.961	Syracuse 72 - Cornell 53	4
Tennessee 89 - Alabama State 53	0.974	Tennessee 76 - Alabama State 41	1
Texas AM 78 - Troy 59	0.938	Texas AM 56 - Troy 52	15
Tulsa 76 - Southeast Louisiana 55	0.924	Tulsa 73 - Southeast Louisiana 66	14
UC Davis 62 - Sacramento State 76	0.851	UC Davis 51 - Sacramento State 61	-4
Vanderbilt 78 - Austin Peay 66	0.822	Vanderbilt 90 - Austin Peay 72	-6
Virginia Military Institute 81 - Unranked 63		Virginia Military Institute 96 - Unranked 20
Virginia Tech 90 - Delaware State 45	0.968	Virginia Tech 100 - Delaware State 64	9
Western Illinois 62 - Northern Illinois 74	0.841	Western Illinois 81 - Northern Illinois 86	-7
Wright State 92 - Unranked 54		Wright State 88 - Unranked 51
Yale 77 - Siena 67	0.799	Yale 100 - Siena 89	-1

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 86 - Unranked 56		Abilene Christian 90 - Unranked 58
Air Force 71 - Loyola Marymount 72	0.544	Air Force 64 - Loyola Marymount 78	13
Akron 77 - Youngstown State 60	0.903	Akron 82 - Youngstown State 60	-5
Alcorn State 81 - Unranked 60		Alcorn State 92 - Unranked 56
Appalachian State 73 - Charlotte 71	0.548	Appalachian State 64 - Charlotte 55	-7
Arizona 88 - South Dakota State 61	0.954	Arizona 71 - South Dakota State 64	20
Baylor 79 - Ohio 66	0.804	Baylor 76 - Ohio 53	-10
California 67 - Duke 81	0.848	California 52 - Duke 87	21
Clemson 87 - Alabama AM 48	0.968	Clemson 87 - Alabama AM 51	3
Coastal Carolina 63 - Utah 84	0.853	Coastal Carolina 79 - Utah 57	-43
Colgate 91 - Unranked 55		Colgate 89 - Unranked 50
Connecticut 71 - Buffalo 79	0.7	Connecticut 79 - Buffalo 68	-19
Drake 78 - Lehigh 66	0.819	Drake 74 - Lehigh 58	-4
Georgetown 68 - Texas 78	0.81	Georgetown 82 - Texas 66	-26
Hampton 88 - Unranked 57		Hampton 93 - Unranked 50
Hartford 88 - Unranked 55		Hartford 78 - Unranked 63
Illinois Chicago 67 - Robert Morris 63	0.63	Illinois Chicago 72 - Robert Morris 62	-6
Indiana State 64 - Duquesne 76	0.803	Indiana State 71 - Duquesne 74	-9
Iowa 82 - North Florida 68	0.843	Iowa 83 - North Florida 68	-1
Jacksonville 71 - Western Carolina 70	0.511	Jacksonville 94 - Western Carolina 96	3
Kent State 93 - Unranked 51		Kent State 89 - Unranked 59
Marshall 84 - Howard 61	0.934	Marshall 91 - Howard 63	-5
Miami 75 - Missouri State 65	0.815	Miami 74 - Missouri State 70	6
Middle Tennessee 65 - Villanova 80	0.824	Middle Tennessee 69 - Villanova 98	14
Minnesota 78 - Central Michigan 72	0.678	Minnesota 82 - Central Michigan 57	-19
New Mexico State 72 - New Mexico 73	0.539	New Mexico State 77 - New Mexico 78	0
North Carolina Central 82 - Unranked 56		North Carolina Central 68 - Unranked 44
Notre Dame 75 - Toledo 69	0.663	Notre Dame 64 - Toledo 62	4
Oklahoma 90 - Maryland Eastern Shore 47	0.969	Oklahoma 91 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	16
Pittsburgh 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.958	Pittsburgh 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 41	0
Saint Francis Brooklyn 84 - Unranked 58		Saint Francis Brooklyn 122 - Unranked 58
Saint Josephs 68 - Florida 74	0.669	Saint Josephs 62 - Florida 70	2
South Florida 67 - Wofford 74	0.666	South Florida 69 - Wofford 55	-21
Stanford 81 - William and Mary 66	0.884	Stanford 81 - William and Mary 50	-16
Texas Christian 79 - UC Irvine 66	0.818	Texas Christian 59 - UC Irvine 58	12
Texas Tech 84 - Tennessee State 58	0.948	Texas Tech 72 - Tennessee State 57	11
Towson 61 - Xavier 80	0.948	Towson 51 - Xavier 73	3
Tulane 62 - Mississippi State 77	0.889	Tulane 66 - Mississippi State 80	-1
UC Riverside 82 - Unranked 52		UC Riverside 76 - Unranked 44
UCLA 86 - Hofstra 64	0.908	UCLA 78 - Hofstra 88	32
UNC Asheville 88 - Unranked 59		UNC Asheville 105 - Unranked 69
Utah Valley 71 - Lamar 67	0.617	Utah Valley 68 - Lamar 74	10
Washington State 76 - Omaha 67	0.733	Washington State 77 - Omaha 85	17
Winthrop 77 - Tennessee Tech 55	0.948	Winthrop 58 - Tennessee Tech 61	25
Wisconsin 84 - Green Bay 58	0.96	Wisconsin 88 - Green Bay 70	8
Wyoming 69 - UL Lafayette 71	0.566	Wyoming 69 - UL Lafayette 61	-10

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 64 - Duquesne 76	0.776	Air Force 63 - Duquesne 69	-6
Arkansas 83 - South Dakota 64	0.879	Arkansas 77 - South Dakota 56	-2
Bradley 75 - Radford 64	0.773	Bradley 70 - Radford 61	2
Buffalo 80 - Towson 66	0.828	Buffalo 76 - Towson 73	11
Butler 83 - Morehead State 60	0.946	Butler 68 - Morehead State 50	5
Cal Baptist 79 - Central Arkansas 66	0.819	Cal Baptist 104 - Central Arkansas 98	7
California 68 - Texas 73	0.67	California 45 - Texas 62	12
Cincinnati 73 - Illinois State 66	0.697	Cincinnati 66 - Illinois State 65	6
Cleveland State 69 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.704	Cleveland State 47 - UNC Wilmington 46	-9
Coastal Carolina 64 - Baylor 80	0.873	Coastal Carolina 65 - Baylor 77	-4
Connecticut 66 - Xavier 79	0.861	Connecticut 74 - Xavier 75	-12
Creighton 88 - Cal Poly 59	0.981	Creighton 86 - Cal Poly 70	13
Davidson 76 - Wake Forest 67	0.724	Davidson 70 - Wake Forest 82	21
Duke 86 - Georgetown 67	0.915	Duke 81 - Georgetown 73	11
East Carolina 60 - Evansville 82	0.912	East Carolina 85 - Evansville 68	-39
Eastern Illinois 86 - Unranked 55		Eastern Illinois 87 - Unranked 47
Florida 68 - Miami 71	0.613	Florida 78 - Miami 58	-23
Florida International 75 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.552	Florida International 89 - Eastern Kentucky 70	-17
Furman 97 - Unranked 47		Furman 90 - Unranked 45
George Washington 66 - UMKC 62	0.627	George Washington 68 - UMKC 74	10
Grand Canyon 66 - Valparaiso 74	0.738	Grand Canyon 74 - Valparaiso 78	-4
Holy Cross 64 - Harvard 75	0.847	Holy Cross 74 - Harvard 82	-3
Incarnate Word 67 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.539	Incarnate Word 58 - Bethune Cookman 83	24
Iona 75 - Stetson 64	0.843	Iona 60 - Stetson 55	6
Kentucky 88 - Mt St Marys 51	0.982	Kentucky 82 - Mt St Marys 62	17
Long Beach State 93 - Unranked 55		Long Beach State 93 - Unranked 62
Louisiana State 75 - Utah State 78	0.586	Louisiana State 78 - Utah State 80	-1
Louisiana Tech 77 - North Alabama 60	0.898	Louisiana Tech 82 - North Alabama 61	-4
Loyola Marymount 72 - Indiana State 70	0.564	Loyola Marymount 60 - Indiana State 72	14
Maryland 79 - George Mason 63	0.916	Maryland 86 - George Mason 63	-7
Merrimack 87 - Unranked 51		Merrimack 110 - Unranked 16
Michigan 93 - Houston Baptist 59	0.972	Michigan 111 - Houston Baptist 68	-9
Milwaukee 69 - Rice 77	0.703	Milwaukee 69 - Rice 75	-2
Mississippi State 70 - Villanova 74	0.62	Mississippi State 76 - Villanova 83	3
Monmouth 74 - Kennesaw St 65	0.757	Monmouth 71 - Kennesaw St 40	-22
Morgan State 57 - Liberty 73	0.903	Morgan State 48 - Liberty 89	25
Navy 65 - Lipscomb 66	0.502	Navy 61 - Lipscomb 65	3
Nebraska 80 - Southern 58	0.91	Nebraska 93 - Southern 86	15
Nevada 74 - Fordham 62	0.832	Nevada 74 - Fordham 60	-2
North Carolina AT 65 - Nicholls State 74	0.748	North Carolina AT 66 - Nicholls State 54	-21
North Texas 64 - Rhode Island 73	0.759	North Texas 47 - Rhode Island 60	4
Northwestern 76 - Norfolk State 62	0.779	Northwestern 70 - Norfolk State 59	3
Ohio State 85 - IPFW 56	0.949	Ohio State 85 - IPFW 46	-10
Oklahoma State 81 - Western Michigan 61	0.926	Oklahoma State 70 - Western Michigan 63	13
Oregon 79 - Houston 67	0.822	Oregon 78 - Houston 66	0
Prairie View 67 - Georgia State 76	0.73	Prairie View 74 - Georgia State 83	0
Quinnipiac 67 - Albany 66	0.517	Quinnipiac 86 - Albany 69	-16
Richmond 83 - Mcneese State 62	0.947	Richmond 87 - Mcneese State 57	-9
Sacred Heart 68 - Presbyterian 72	0.594	Sacred Heart 83 - Presbyterian 57	-30
Saint Josephs 73 - Missouri State 72	0.507	Saint Josephs 69 - Missouri State 71	3
San Diego State 86 - LIU Brooklyn 55	0.999	San Diego State 81 - LIU Brooklyn 64	14
Santa Clara 78 - Idaho State 62	0.875	Santa Clara 78 - Idaho State 65	3
SE Missouri State 85 - Unranked 58		SE Missouri State 72 - Unranked 71
South Carolina 81 - Gardner Webb 60	0.925	South Carolina 74 - Gardner Webb 69	16
Southern California 77 - Temple 64	0.872	Southern California 61 - Temple 70	22
Texas San Antonio 89 - Unranked 60		Texas San Antonio 90 - Unranked 68
Tulane 68 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.634	Tulane 86 - Middle Tennessee 74	-17
UMBC 63 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.735	UMBC 45 - Eastern Michigan 62	9
Utah 83 - Ohio 65	0.807	Utah 80 - Ohio 66	4
Vanderbilt 82 - South Carolina State 58	0.964	Vanderbilt 97 - South Carolina State 60	-13
Washington 75 - Montana 63	0.821	Washington 73 - Montana 56	-5
West Virginia 85 - Boston 61	0.954	West Virginia 69 - Boston 44	-1
Western Kentucky 75 - Bowling Green 74	0.535	Western Kentucky 75 - Bowling Green 77	3

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 74 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0.803	Austin Peay 81 - Southeast Louisiana 60	-8
Ball State 87 - Howard 55	0.978	Ball State 100 - Howard 69	1
Bethune Cookman 61 - Eastern Illinois 75	0.778	Bethune Cookman 66 - Eastern Illinois 63	-17
Binghamton 71 - Army 68	0.569	Binghamton 88 - Army 73	-12
Boston College 73 - DePaul 71	0.55	Boston College 67 - DePaul 72	7
Brown 73 - NJ Tech 65	0.776	Brown 79 - NJ Tech 63	-8
Cal Baptist 72 - Georgia State 73	0.55	Cal Baptist 60 - Georgia State 69	8
Canisius 66 - Saint Bonaventure 73	0.671	Canisius 61 - Saint Bonaventure 57	-11
Central Arkansas 69 - Prairie View 75	0.65	Central Arkansas 72 - Prairie View 78	0
Central Connecticut State 50 - Vermont 80	0.984	Central Connecticut State 49 - Vermont 81	2
Central Florida 75 - College of Charleston 66	0.759	Central Florida 72 - College of Charleston 71	8
Central Michigan 98 - Unranked 54		Central Michigan 106 - Unranked 60
Charleston Southern 65 - Southern Utah 77	0.789	Charleston Southern 45 - Southern Utah 80	23
Cleveland State 69 - Eastern Kentucky 78	0.76	Cleveland State 65 - Eastern Kentucky 51	-23
Columbia 69 - Rider 70	0.507	Columbia 63 - Rider 87	23
Coppin State 69 - Cornell 70	0.549	Coppin State 68 - Cornell 66	-3
East Carolina 67 - UMKC 64	0.621	East Carolina 68 - UMKC 74	9
East Tennessee State 86 - Delaware State 49	0.969	East Tennessee State 98 - Delaware State 66	5
Elon 67 - Manhattan 63	0.622	Elon 64 - Manhattan 69	9
Evansville 80 - George Washington 59	0.91	Evansville 70 - George Washington 78	29
Florida International 76 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.58	Florida International 63 - UNC Wilmington 66	6
Florida State 82 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0.946	Florida State 80 - Saint Francis Penn 65	6
Fordham 67 - Grand Canyon 64	0.599	Fordham 70 - Grand Canyon 58	-9
Gonzaga 92 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	0.972	Gonzaga 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 49	6
High Point 65 - Eastern Washington 69	0.638	High Point 74 - Eastern Washington 90	12
Idaho 81 - Unranked 59		Idaho 100 - Unranked 50
Illinois 82 - Hampton 65	0.896	Illinois 120 - Hampton 71	-32
Illinois Chicago 68 - Mercer 70	0.563	Illinois Chicago 68 - Mercer 72	2
Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 68 - Unranked 44
James Madison 77 - New Hampshire 64	0.873	James Madison 78 - New Hampshire 71	6
Kennesaw St 66 - Iona 76	0.835	Kennesaw St 52 - Iona 75	13
Marist 71 - The Citadel 65	0.669	Marist 75 - The Citadel 79	10
Marquette 83 - Robert Morris 54	0.96	Marquette 66 - Robert Morris 62	25
Memphis 73 - Mississippi 71	0.56	Memphis 87 - Mississippi 86	1
Milwaukee 71 - Morgan State 67	0.632	Milwaukee 62 - Morgan State 57	-1
Monmouth 73 - Stetson 63	0.772	Monmouth 55 - Stetson 63	18
NC State 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.901	NC State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 58	-1
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Southern Methodist 71	0.519	Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Southern Methodist 72	5
North Dakota State 69 - Utah Valley 66	0.591	North Dakota State 62 - Utah Valley 68	9
Northern Kentucky 76 - Texas Southern 64	0.814	Northern Kentucky 96 - Texas Southern 98	14
Oregon State 83 - Grambling State 60	0.95	Oregon State 80 - Grambling State 58	1
Pacific 72 - Boise State 70	0.565	Pacific 76 - Boise State 82	8
Penn State 78 - Yale 66	0.887	Penn State 58 - Yale 56	10
Pepperdine 75 - Sacramento State 67	0.736	Pepperdine 72 - Sacramento State 77	13
Portland 78 - UC Davis 60	0.927	Portland 72 - UC Davis 62	8
Providence 76 - Pennsylvania 65	0.746	Providence 75 - Pennsylvania 81	17
Purdue 80 - Jacksonville State 62	0.897	Purdue 81 - Jacksonville State 49	-14
Quinnipiac 72 - Presbyterian 64	0.736	Quinnipiac 73 - Presbyterian 64	-1
Rice 67 - Liberty 72	0.62	Rice 59 - Liberty 71	7
Sacred Heart 64 - Albany 75	0.758	Sacred Heart 65 - Albany 72	-4
Saint Johns 71 - Arizona State 79	0.705	Saint Johns 67 - Arizona State 80	5
Saint Louis 73 - Belmont 74	0.506	Saint Louis 60 - Belmont 55	-6
Saint Marys 82 - Lehigh 59	0.952	Saint Marys 77 - Lehigh 66	12
Samford 74 - Troy 68	0.684	Samford 72 - Troy 60	-6
San Francisco 77 - Sam Houston State 62	0.915	San Francisco 90 - Sam Houston State 81	6
San Jose State 70 - Portland State 71	0.536	San Jose State 76 - Portland State 91	14
Seton Hall 88 - Florida AM 53	0.97	Seton Hall 87 - Florida AM 51	-1
SIU Edwardsville 63 - Northern Illinois 72	0.782	SIU Edwardsville 64 - Northern Illinois 68	-5
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Youngstown State 70	0.546	South Carolina Upstate 61 - Youngstown State 66	3
Syracuse 77 - Bucknell 62	0.868	Syracuse 97 - Bucknell 46	-36
Texas AM CC 81 - Unranked 56		Texas AM CC 69 - Unranked 59
Toledo 96 - Unranked 51		Toledo 100 - Unranked 41
UC Riverside 66 - Denver 63	0.562	UC Riverside 73 - Denver 49	-21
UC Santa Barbara 90 - Unranked 54		UC Santa Barbara 88 - Unranked 69
Virginia 76 - Massachusetts 55	0.92	Virginia 58 - Massachusetts 46	9
Virginia Commonwealth 84 - Florida Gulf Coast 55	0.989	Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 48	-1
Wagner 65 - Stony Brook 74	0.812	Wagner 84 - Stony Brook 87	-6
Western Illinois 81 - Unranked 63		Western Illinois 113 - Unranked 62
Western Kentucky 72 - Illinois State 73	0.51	Western Kentucky 83 - Illinois State 69	-15
Wichita State 82 - Oral Roberts 60	0.927	Wichita State 68 - Oral Roberts 59	13

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 86 - Long Beach State 62	0.944	Arizona 104 - Long Beach State 67	-13
Arizona State 63 - Virginia 73	0.783	Arizona State 45 - Virginia 48	-7
Baylor 73 - Villanova 75	0.57	Baylor 87 - Villanova 78	-11
Bowling Green 67 - Cincinnati 76	0.737	Bowling Green 91 - Cincinnati 84	-16
Buffalo 76 - Missouri State 67	0.725	Buffalo 75 - Missouri State 74	8
Cal State Fullerton 76 - Hofstra 71	0.632	Cal State Fullerton 57 - Hofstra 79	27
Central Connecticut State 59 - Columbia 75	0.888	Central Connecticut State 52 - Columbia 82	14
Clemson 70 - Texas Christian 74	0.618	Clemson 62 - Texas Christian 60	-6
Coastal Carolina 63 - Mississippi State 77	0.881	Coastal Carolina 56 - Mississippi State 81	11
Colgate 79 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.822	Colgate 64 - Cal State Northridge 56	4
Connecticut 69 - Miami 78	0.777	Connecticut 80 - Miami 55	-34
Creighton 83 - North Florida 66	0.909	Creighton 76 - North Florida 67	8
Delaware State 61 - Charleston Southern 72	0.772	Delaware State 61 - Charleston Southern 71	-1
Detroit 64 - UC Irvine 81	0.917	Detroit 86 - UC Irvine 74	-29
Duquesne 74 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.791	Duquesne 71 - Loyola Marymount 50	-11
East Carolina 67 - Rice 76	0.725	East Carolina 69 - Rice 77	-1
East Tennessee State 78 - Southern Utah 64	0.873	East Tennessee State 70 - Southern Utah 58	2
Eastern Michigan 76 - North Carolina AT 58	0.896	Eastern Michigan 58 - North Carolina AT 54	14
Evansville 82 - Morgan State 58	0.934	Evansville 115 - Morgan State 112	21
George Washington 68 - Milwaukee 69	0.532	George Washington 66 - Milwaukee 63	-4
Hartford 68 - Merrimack 66	0.54	Hartford 58 - Merrimack 62	6
Hawaii 77 - New Orleans 63	0.893	Hawaii 79 - New Orleans 71	6
Incarnate Word 60 - Eastern Illinois 75	0.818	Incarnate Word 63 - Eastern Illinois 72	-6
Indiana State 72 - Air Force 73	0.514	Indiana State 84 - Air Force 74	-11
Iowa 86 - Cal Poly 62	0.959	Iowa 85 - Cal Poly 59	-2
IPFW 88 - Unranked 57		IPFW 81 - Unranked 47
Kentucky 85 - Lamar 57	0.952	Kentucky 81 - Lamar 56	3
Lafayette 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.584	Lafayette 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 75	-2
Louisville 81 - Akron 62	0.932	Louisville 82 - Akron 76	13
Maine 83 - Unranked 60		Maine 90 - Unranked 50
Minnesota 80 - North Dakota 60	0.949	Minnesota 79 - North Dakota 56	-3
Nevada 76 - Valparaiso 69	0.715	Nevada 84 - Valparaiso 59	-18
Ohio 70 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.518	Ohio 75 - Middle Tennessee 63	-13
Presbyterian 62 - Albany 69	0.686	Presbyterian 60 - Albany 65	-2
Quinnipiac 77 - Sacred Heart 66	0.811	Quinnipiac 80 - Sacred Heart 97	28
Rhode Island 71 - Louisiana State 77	0.69	Rhode Island 83 - Louisiana State 96	7
Saint Johns 74 - Massachusetts 71	0.565	Saint Johns 78 - Massachusetts 63	-12
South Dakota State 89 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.904	South Dakota State 84 - Mississippi Valley State 54	-3
Southern Miss 86 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 83 - Unranked 64
Stetson 62 - Western Carolina 75	0.81	Stetson 64 - Western Carolina 70	-7
Texas Arlington 92 - Unranked 51		Texas Arlington 85 - Unranked 68
Texas Tech 88 - LIU Brooklyn 55	0.975	Texas Tech 96 - LIU Brooklyn 66	3
Towson 71 - Saint Josephs 76	0.655	Towson 76 - Saint Josephs 64	-17
UMBC 70 - Nicholls State 69	0.51	UMBC 72 - Nicholls State 82	11
UMKC 55 - Liberty 72	0.904	UMKC 49 - Liberty 62	-4
UNC Greensboro 84 - Virginia Military Institute 54	0.987	UNC Greensboro 74 - Virginia Military Institute 63	19
Utah 85 - Tulane 63	0.86	Utah 61 - Tulane 65	26
Utah State 79 - North Texas 61	0.883	Utah State 68 - North Texas 59	9
Vermont 75 - Rider 61	0.895	Vermont 67 - Rider 72	19
Washington 76 - San Diego 63	0.822	Washington 88 - San Diego 69	-6
Wyoming 55 - Colorado 81	0.953	Wyoming 41 - Colorado 56	-11
Xavier 73 - Florida 65	0.737	Xavier 65 - Florida 70	13

Number of DI Games: 320
Number Correct: 244 = 76.2%
Expected Number Correct: 253.484 = 79.2%
Average Error: 10.35
Average Signed Error: 1.55

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 61 - Troy 74	0.833	Alabama AM 80 - Troy 66	-27
Arkansas Pine Bluff 77 - Unranked 58		Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Unranked 67
Austin Peay 78 - South Carolina State 63	0.861	Austin Peay 92 - South Carolina State 66	-11
Bowling Green 68 - Nevada 79	0.78	Bowling Green 62 - Nevada 77	4
Bucknell 76 - Seattle 66	0.719	Bucknell 77 - Seattle 70	3
Campbell 72 - Jacksonville 65	0.707	Campbell 62 - Jacksonville 57	2
Cincinnati 76 - Valparaiso 63	0.829	Cincinnati 81 - Valparaiso 77	9
Dayton 72 - Georgia 74	0.577	Dayton 80 - Georgia 61	-21
Drexel 86 - Unranked 57		Drexel 84 - Unranked 51
Florida State 95 - Chicago State 55	0.985	Florida State 113 - Chicago State 56	-17
Georgia Tech 73 - Arkansas 76	0.591	Georgia Tech 61 - Arkansas 62	-2
Green Bay 80 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.844	Green Bay 85 - Cal State Northridge 84	12
Illinois State 73 - Grand Canyon 68	0.637	Illinois State 63 - Grand Canyon 68	10
Indiana 80 - Louisiana Tech 67	0.823	Indiana 88 - Louisiana Tech 75	0
La Salle 68 - Murray State 74	0.674	La Salle 75 - Murray State 64	-17
Loyola MD 67 - IUPUI 70	0.588	Loyola MD 81 - IUPUI 77	-7
Miami OH 70 - Drake 72	0.546	Miami OH 67 - Drake 59	-10
Michigan State 80 - Virginia Tech 72	0.717	Michigan State 66 - Virginia Tech 71	13
Missouri 71 - Butler 76	0.647	Missouri 52 - Butler 63	6
Montana 76 - Texas Southern 65	0.806	Montana 74 - Texas Southern 62	-1
Nebraska 79 - Washington State 71	0.697	Nebraska 82 - Washington State 71	-3
New Mexico 74 - Auburn 81	0.664	New Mexico 59 - Auburn 84	18
New Mexico State 74 - Colorado State 69	0.667	New Mexico State 78 - Colorado State 70	-3
Northern Illinois 70 - Oakland 71	0.539	Northern Illinois 74 - Oakland 50	-25
Northern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 53		Northern Kentucky 86 - Unranked 56
Northwestern 74 - Bradley 66	0.693	Northwestern 78 - Bradley 51	-19
Ohio State 81 - Kent State 63	0.906	Ohio State 71 - Kent State 52	-1
Old Dominion 73 - George Mason 65	0.719	Old Dominion 53 - George Mason 60	15
Omaha 77 - Southern 66	0.809	Omaha 78 - Southern 51	-16
Oral Roberts 87 - Unranked 57		Oral Roberts 99 - Unranked 45
Pittsburgh 67 - Kansas State 75	0.732	Pittsburgh 63 - Kansas State 59	-12
Richmond 68 - Wisconsin 77	0.75	Richmond 62 - Wisconsin 52	-19
San Diego State 77 - Tennessee State 57	0.9	San Diego State 62 - Tennessee State 49	7
South Alabama 65 - Northeastern 76	0.771	South Alabama 74 - Northeastern 62	-23
South Florida 63 - Loyola Ill 77	0.805	South Florida 66 - Loyola Ill 55	-25
Stanford 75 - Oklahoma 80	0.613	Stanford 73 - Oklahoma 54	-24
Tennessee 82 - Chattanooga 59	0.927	Tennessee 58 - Chattanooga 46	11
Tennessee Tech 72 - Lipscomb 71	0.523	Tennessee Tech 65 - Lipscomb 78	14
Texas Pan American 84 - Unranked 61		Texas Pan American 79 - Unranked 52
Texas State 71 - Abilene Christian 59	0.833	Texas State 61 - Abilene Christian 56	7
UCLA 78 - Brigham Young 75	0.589	UCLA 63 - Brigham Young 78	18
UL Lafayette 82 - Detroit 70	0.799	UL Lafayette 81 - Detroit 62	-7
Unranked 51 - Kansas 100		Unranked 63 - Kansas 93
Vanderbilt 81 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.925	Vanderbilt 78 - Southeast Louisiana 70	14
Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Alabama State 57	0.965	Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Alabama State 62	12
Weber State 66 - Wright State 70	0.616	Weber State 57 - Wright State 72	11
Western Kentucky 75 - Fordham 65	0.757	Western Kentucky 69 - Fordham 64	5
Western Michigan 69 - Yale 73	0.63	Western Michigan 51 - Yale 73	18
Winthrop 91 - Unranked 54		Winthrop 127 - Unranked 83

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Lamar 63	0.805	Alabama Birmingham 57 - Lamar 48	4
American 72 - Howard 62	0.765	American 86 - Howard 69	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	0.781	Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 56	0
Auburn 80 - Richmond 74	0.658	Auburn 79 - Richmond 65	-8
Ball State 77 - Western Illinois 61	0.839	Ball State 62 - Western Illinois 69	23
Binghamton 81 - Unranked 58		Binghamton 90 - Unranked 69
Brigham Young 70 - Kansas 83	0.811	Brigham Young 56 - Kansas 71	2
Bucknell 73 - Yale 72	0.52	Bucknell 61 - Yale 81	21
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Sam Houston State 64	0.622	Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Sam Houston State 74	13
California 74 - UC Davis 64	0.767	California 72 - UC Davis 66	4
Clemson 75 - Colorado 70	0.633	Clemson 67 - Colorado 71	9
Delaware State 76 - Unranked 62		Delaware State 90 - Unranked 53
DePaul 79 - Central Michigan 71	0.704	DePaul 88 - Central Michigan 75	-5
Drake 68 - Northeastern 75	0.699	Drake 59 - Northeastern 56	-10
Duke 85 - Stephen F Austin 62	0.917	Duke 83 - Stephen F Austin 85	25
East Tennessee State 78 - Appalachian State 63	0.845	East Tennessee State 78 - Appalachian State 69	6
Eastern Washington 71 - Belmont 74	0.577	Eastern Washington 87 - Belmont 82	-8
Elon 67 - Furman 72	0.619	Elon 61 - Furman 97	31
Florida Gulf Coast 88 - Unranked 53		Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Unranked 59
Florida International 87 - Unranked 56		Florida International 96 - Unranked 82
Gardner Webb 71 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.564	Gardner Webb 81 - Tennessee Martin 64	-14
Green Bay 74 - Colgate 69	0.66	Green Bay 81 - Colgate 99	23
High Point 84 - Unranked 56		High Point 90 - Unranked 73
Houston 89 - Houston Baptist 60	0.962	Houston 112 - Houston Baptist 73	-10
Idaho 68 - North Dakota State 66	0.576	Idaho 53 - North Dakota State 70	19
Illinois 96 - Unranked 53		Illinois 117 - Unranked 65
Illinois Chicago 70 - Canisius 71	0.517	Illinois Chicago 64 - Canisius 94	29
James Madison 78 - Coppin State 59	0.924	James Madison 78 - Coppin State 94	35
La Salle 69 - Wright State 71	0.562	La Salle 72 - Wright State 70	-4
Loyola Ill 76 - Colorado State 69	0.7	Loyola Ill 60 - Colorado State 61	8
Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Wofford 75	0.833	Maryland Eastern Shore 42 - Wofford 67	11
Miami OH 71 - South Alabama 68	0.566	Miami OH 71 - South Alabama 82	14
Michigan State 78 - Georgia 69	0.741	Michigan State 93 - Georgia 85	1
Monmouth 72 - Radford 66	0.666	Monmouth 80 - Radford 63	-11
Montana State 86 - Unranked 58		Montana State 82 - Unranked 46
Mt St Marys 68 - Utah Valley 69	0.529	Mt St Marys 64 - Utah Valley 61	-4
Murray State 74 - Weber State 66	0.722	Murray State 69 - Weber State 68	7
Navy 71 - Cornell 65	0.689	Navy 72 - Cornell 61	-5
Nebraska 77 - George Mason 70	0.704	Nebraska 66 - George Mason 85	26
Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Jackson State 58	0.922	Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Jackson State 57	-2
New Hampshire 75 - Bryant 64	0.834	New Hampshire 87 - Bryant 76	0
New Mexico 68 - Wisconsin 78	0.756	New Mexico 59 - Wisconsin 50	-19
Nicholls State 85 - Unranked 57		Nicholls State 102 - Unranked 56
Norfolk State 81 - Unranked 58		Norfolk State 54 - Unranked 64
North Dakota 87 - Unranked 58		North Dakota 115 - Unranked 50
Northern Colorado 72 - Boston 69	0.57	Northern Colorado 78 - Boston 55	-20
Notre Dame 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	0.962	Notre Dame 91 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	2
Oklahoma 79 - Missouri 73	0.673	Oklahoma 77 - Missouri 66	-5
Omaha 77 - Loyola MD 68	0.756	Omaha 70 - Loyola MD 65	4
Pacific 76 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.861	Pacific 78 - SIU Edwardsville 50	-15
Portland State 76 - Grambling State 66	0.778	Portland State 84 - Grambling State 74	0
Princeton 71 - Arizona State 76	0.643	Princeton 65 - Arizona State 67	-3
Rutgers 74 - NJ Tech 63	0.786	Rutgers 85 - NJ Tech 58	-16
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Mercer 65	0.836	Saint Bonaventure 56 - Mercer 51	8
San Francisco 79 - Hampton 64	0.85	San Francisco 89 - Hampton 73	-1
Seattle 68 - Western Michigan 72	0.619	Seattle 59 - Western Michigan 55	-8
South Carolina 71 - Wichita State 77	0.669	South Carolina 47 - Wichita State 70	17
South Florida 63 - New Mexico State 76	0.786	South Florida 45 - New Mexico State 65	7
Southern 65 - IUPUI 70	0.641	Southern 83 - IUPUI 77	-11
Southern Illinois 74 - North Carolina Central 59	0.839	Southern Illinois 64 - North Carolina Central 48	-1
Stanford 71 - Butler 78	0.685	Stanford 67 - Butler 68	-6
Stetson 82 - Unranked 60		Stetson 72 - Unranked 60
Texas Christian 79 - Wyoming 70	0.762	Texas Christian 64 - Wyoming 47	-8
The Citadel 88 - Unranked 64		The Citadel 90 - Unranked 47
UC Riverside 73 - Longwood 62	0.765	UC Riverside 71 - Longwood 58	-2
UL Lafayette 72 - UC Irvine 71	0.526	UL Lafayette 67 - UC Irvine 92	26
UL Monroe 77 - Northwestern State 61	0.86	UL Monroe 77 - Northwestern State 69	8
UMass Lowell 75 - Brown 73	0.564	UMass Lowell 75 - Brown 63	-10
UNC Wilmington 91 - Unranked 56		UNC Wilmington 122 - Unranked 66
Unranked 55 - UCLA 95		Unranked 48 - UCLA 74
Virginia Military Institute 82 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 98 - Unranked 32
Virginia Tech 77 - Dayton 73	0.614	Virginia Tech 62 - Dayton 89	31
Washington State 65 - Old Dominion 74	0.711	Washington State 66 - Old Dominion 50	-25
West Virginia 78 - Northern Iowa 65	0.806	West Virginia 60 - Northern Iowa 55	8
William and Mary 79 - Morehead State 68	0.779	William and Mary 95 - Morehead State 84	0

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 71 - North Carolina 82	0.761	Alabama 67 - North Carolina 76	-2
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Alcorn State 59	0.843	Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Alcorn State 50	-3
Boston 71 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.581	Boston 73 - Tennessee Martin 76	6
Boston College 75 - Saint Louis 67	0.727	Boston College 54 - Saint Louis 64	18
Bradley 64 - Kansas State 76	0.813	Bradley 73 - Kansas State 60	-25
Brigham Young 75 - Virginia Tech 77	0.572	Brigham Young 90 - Virginia Tech 77	-15
Cal Baptist 71 - South Dakota 76	0.661	Cal Baptist 83 - South Dakota 84	-4
Cal State Fullerton 74 - SE Missouri State 69	0.665	Cal State Fullerton 64 - SE Missouri State 57	-2
Delaware 69 - Stony Brook 68	0.515	Delaware 75 - Stony Brook 61	-13
Furman 70 - Texas Arlington 71	0.501	Furman 58 - Texas Arlington 57	-2
George Mason 67 - New Mexico State 74	0.698	George Mason 68 - New Mexico State 64	-11
Georgia State 79 - Charlotte 65	0.821	Georgia State 81 - Charlotte 78	11
Idaho State 84 - Unranked 58		Idaho State 102 - Unranked 43
Iowa State 73 - Michigan 79	0.654	Iowa State 76 - Michigan 83	1
IPFW 79 - Niagara 68	0.773	IPFW 77 - Niagara 54	-12
Kansas 83 - Dayton 68	0.839	Kansas 90 - Dayton 84	9
La Salle 74 - South Alabama 69	0.651	La Salle 81 - South Alabama 76	0
Monmouth 75 - Norfolk State 63	0.816	Monmouth 75 - Norfolk State 71	8
Murray State 76 - Drake 68	0.722	Murray State 53 - Drake 63	18
Nebraska 79 - South Florida 65	0.787	Nebraska 74 - South Florida 67	7
North Alabama 75 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.872	North Alabama 73 - Mississippi Valley State 50	-8
Northern Colorado 72 - Gardner Webb 69	0.592	Northern Colorado 62 - Gardner Webb 67	8
Northern Iowa 68 - South Carolina 72	0.625	Northern Iowa 78 - South Carolina 72	-10
Northwestern 73 - Pittsburgh 70	0.594	Northwestern 59 - Pittsburgh 72	16
Old Dominion 66 - Loyola Ill 67	0.503	Old Dominion 61 - Loyola Ill 68	6
Oregon 76 - Seton Hall 75	0.558	Oregon 71 - Seton Hall 69	-1
Oregon State 78 - San Jose State 62	0.873	Oregon State 83 - San Jose State 48	-19
Penn State 77 - Mississippi 74	0.608	Penn State 72 - Mississippi 74	5
Rhode Island 79 - Manhattan 58	0.935	Rhode Island 73 - Manhattan 64	12
Robert Morris 82 - Unranked 55		Robert Morris 102 - Unranked 62
San Diego 73 - Hofstra 72	0.504	San Diego 79 - Hofstra 69	-9
Santa Clara 71 - Denver 65	0.641	Santa Clara 81 - Denver 64	-11
South Dakota State 82 - Samford 65	0.884	South Dakota State 86 - Samford 77	8
Southern Methodist 82 - Hartford 58	0.938	Southern Methodist 90 - Hartford 58	-8
Southern Miss 58 - Gonzaga 85	0.945	Southern Miss 69 - Gonzaga 94	-2
Syracuse 74 - Oklahoma State 72	0.557	Syracuse 72 - Oklahoma State 86	16
Texas El Paso 86 - Unranked 53		Texas El Paso 91 - Unranked 71
Tulsa 84 - South Carolina State 58	0.956	Tulsa 78 - South Carolina State 47	-5
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Portland State 69	0.726	UC Santa Barbara 81 - Portland State 70	-3
UCLA 73 - Michigan State 80	0.695	UCLA 62 - Michigan State 75	6
Unranked 54 - Georgia 92		Unranked 77 - Georgia 80
Valparaiso 91 - Unranked 52		Valparaiso 98 - Unranked 71
Vermont 91 - Unranked 49		Vermont 93 - Unranked 44
Virginia 89 - Maine 46	0.969	Virginia 46 - Maine 26	23
Washington State 74 - Colorado State 76	0.545	Washington State 69 - Colorado State 79	8
Weber State 66 - Northeastern 73	0.7	Weber State 69 - Northeastern 79	3
West Virginia 77 - Wichita State 75	0.55	West Virginia 75 - Wichita State 63	-10
Western Carolina 85 - Unranked 57		Western Carolina 78 - Unranked 54
Wright State 71 - Miami OH 65	0.657	Wright State 71 - Miami OH 66	1
Youngstown State 86 - Unranked 62		Youngstown State 93 - Unranked 67

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 74 - Iowa State 76	0.549	Alabama 89 - Iowa State 104	13
Arizona 86 - Pepperdine 63	0.943	Arizona 93 - Pepperdine 91	21
Cal Poly 65 - Tennessee State 71	0.688	Cal Poly 72 - Tennessee State 82	4
College of Charleston 72 - Wake Forest 74	0.578	College of Charleston 56 - Wake Forest 65	7
Elon 70 - Texas Arlington 74	0.62	Elon 67 - Texas Arlington 77	6
Fairfield 64 - Southern California 81	0.884	Fairfield 47 - Southern California 54	-10
Harvard 65 - Texas AM 74	0.759	Harvard 62 - Texas AM 51	-20
LIU Brooklyn 72 - North Florida 74	0.566	LIU Brooklyn 92 - North Florida 95	1
Long Beach State 69 - Providence 79	0.74	Long Beach State 66 - Providence 65	-11
Marquette 77 - Davidson 76	0.534	Marquette 73 - Davidson 63	-9
Memphis 76 - NC State 80	0.608	Memphis 83 - NC State 78	-9
North Carolina 78 - Michigan 75	0.586	North Carolina 64 - Michigan 73	12
Oregon 74 - Gonzaga 77	0.588	Oregon 72 - Gonzaga 73	-2
Pennsylvania 67 - Central Florida 71	0.596	Pennsylvania 68 - Central Florida 67	-5
San Diego State 72 - Creighton 73	0.501	San Diego State 83 - Creighton 52	-32
Seton Hall 83 - Southern Miss 61	0.921	Seton Hall 81 - Southern Miss 56	-3
Temple 70 - Maryland 76	0.687	Temple 69 - Maryland 76	1
Texas Tech 78 - Iowa 74	0.632	Texas Tech 61 - Iowa 72	15

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Merrimack 63	0.724	Akron 64 - Merrimack 47	-8
Arizona 82 - Pennsylvania 63	0.894	Arizona 92 - Pennsylvania 82	9
Boise State 80 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.795	Boise State 80 - UNC Wilmington 59	-9
Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Hampton 63	0.735	Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Hampton 57	-3
Cal State Fullerton 69 - Denver 68	0.508	Cal State Fullerton 62 - Denver 65	4
Chattanooga 73 - Alabama State 62	0.785	Chattanooga 74 - Alabama State 56	-7
Chicago State 61 - Jacksonville State 77	0.842	Chicago State 62 - Jacksonville State 71	-7
College of Charleston 66 - Providence 74	0.718	College of Charleston 63 - Providence 55	-16
Creighton 74 - Texas Tech 76	0.56	Creighton 83 - Texas Tech 76	-9
Davidson 79 - Fairfield 65	0.834	Davidson 67 - Fairfield 56	3
Delaware 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.874	Delaware 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	-3
Duke 89 - Winthrop 62	0.95	Duke 83 - Winthrop 70	14
Florida 85 - Marshall 67	0.883	Florida 73 - Marshall 67	12
Florida Atlantic 69 - Holy Cross 64	0.622	Florida Atlantic 87 - Holy Cross 69	-13
Florida Gulf Coast 75 - North Dakota 65	0.761	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - North Dakota 78	25
Georgia Southern 74 - Campbell 68	0.677	Georgia Southern 84 - Campbell 74	-4
Gonzaga 75 - Michigan 73	0.549	Gonzaga 64 - Michigan 82	20
Harvard 64 - Maryland 76	0.841	Harvard 73 - Maryland 80	-5
Hawaii 72 - San Francisco 71	0.526	Hawaii 85 - San Francisco 75	-9
Illinois State 93 - Unranked 52		Illinois State 76 - Unranked 57
Kentucky 85 - Alabama Birmingham 63	0.91	Kentucky 69 - Alabama Birmingham 58	11
Liberty 85 - Unranked 52		Liberty 88 - Unranked 42
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Cal Poly 69	0.599	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Cal Poly 69	-10
Long Beach State 75 - Wake Forest 79	0.614	Long Beach State 75 - Wake Forest 88	9
Louisiana State 82 - Missouri State 69	0.816	Louisiana State 73 - Missouri State 58	-2
Louisville 79 - Western Kentucky 69	0.772	Louisville 71 - Western Kentucky 54	-7
Marquette 76 - Southern California 77	0.516	Marquette 101 - Southern California 79	-23
Minnesota 78 - DePaul 72	0.667	Minnesota 68 - DePaul 73	11
Montana 80 - Coppin State 55	0.952	Montana 69 - Coppin State 62	18
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 57		New Orleans 125 - Unranked 60
North Florida 70 - Tennessee State 71	0.535	North Florida 73 - Tennessee State 81	7
Ohio State 87 - Morgan State 53	0.996	Ohio State 90 - Morgan State 57	1
Oklahoma State 78 - Mississippi 75	0.603	Oklahoma State 78 - Mississippi 37	-38
Oregon 75 - North Carolina 80	0.622	Oregon 74 - North Carolina 78	-1
Pacific 78 - Longwood 62	0.871	Pacific 69 - Longwood 51	-2
Pepperdine 67 - Central Florida 76	0.733	Pepperdine 65 - Central Florida 78	4
Purdue 79 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.733	Purdue 59 - Virginia Commonwealth 56	5
Rutgers 74 - Massachusetts 70	0.624	Rutgers 82 - Massachusetts 57	-21
Saint Marys 77 - Utah State 65	0.802	Saint Marys 81 - Utah State 73	4
San Diego State 75 - Iowa 73	0.567	San Diego State 83 - Iowa 73	-8
Santa Clara 76 - SE Missouri State 65	0.778	Santa Clara 87 - SE Missouri State 75	-1
Seton Hall 78 - Iowa State 76	0.567	Seton Hall 84 - Iowa State 76	-6
Southern Methodist 82 - Abilene Christian 56	0.958	Southern Methodist 70 - Abilene Christian 51	7
Southern Miss 61 - Alabama 79	0.859	Southern Miss 68 - Alabama 83	-3
Southern Utah 85 - Unranked 60		Southern Utah 126 - Unranked 40
Syracuse 73 - Penn State 71	0.555	Syracuse 64 - Penn State 85	23
Tennessee 75 - Florida State 76	0.501	Tennessee 57 - Florida State 60	2
Texas AM 74 - Temple 71	0.603	Texas AM 42 - Temple 65	26
UC Riverside 71 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.731	UC Riverside 69 - SIU Edwardsville 51	-10
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Grambling State 59	0.898	UC Santa Barbara 67 - Grambling State 58	9
Utah 80 - UC Davis 60	0.897	Utah 77 - UC Davis 73	16

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 73 - Chicago State 67	0.656	Alabama State 67 - Chicago State 54	-7
Albany 74 - American 58	0.882	Albany 68 - American 64	12
Arkansas 82 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.881	Arkansas 66 - Northern Kentucky 60	11
Arkansas Little Rock 64 - East Tennessee State 70	0.676	Arkansas Little Rock 63 - East Tennessee State 67	-2
Arkansas State 67 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.676	Arkansas State 57 - Stephen F Austin 76	12
Bowling Green 75 - Dartmouth 64	0.777	Bowling Green 76 - Dartmouth 69	4
Brigham Young 96 - Unranked 52		Brigham Young 98 - Unranked 63
Brown 69 - Navy 68	0.532	Brown 56 - Navy 76	21
Bucknell 75 - Princeton 68	0.675	Bucknell 77 - Princeton 87	17
Buffalo 81 - William and Mary 72	0.729	Buffalo 88 - William and Mary 77	-2
Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 53		Cal State Bakersfield 87 - Unranked 59
Cal State Northridge 65 - Fresno State 79	0.865	Cal State Northridge 73 - Fresno State 72	-15
Central Michigan 83 - Youngstown State 68	0.848	Central Michigan 88 - Youngstown State 72	-1
Charlotte 79 - South Carolina Upstate 67	0.808	Charlotte 83 - South Carolina Upstate 47	-24
Chattanooga 66 - Jacksonville State 67	0.504	Chattanooga 63 - Jacksonville State 60	-4
Cincinnati 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 63	0.903	Cincinnati 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	12
Cleveland State 67 - Robert Morris 63	0.617	Cleveland State 70 - Robert Morris 59	-7
Colgate 72 - Siena 67	0.66	Colgate 72 - Siena 62	-5
Colorado 80 - Sacramento State 59	0.919	Colorado 59 - Sacramento State 45	7
Columbia 74 - Lehigh 71	0.591	Columbia 68 - Lehigh 64	-1
Delaware State 60 - Coastal Carolina 75	0.841	Delaware State 77 - Coastal Carolina 92	0
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Campbell 64	0.758	Florida Gulf Coast 46 - Campbell 51	15
Florida International 72 - New Hampshire 66	0.681	Florida International 70 - New Hampshire 69	5
Georgetown 76 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.749	Georgetown 61 - UNC Greensboro 65	13
Georgia Southern 75 - North Dakota 69	0.682	Georgia Southern 68 - North Dakota 80	18
Grand Canyon 75 - IPFW 68	0.688	Grand Canyon 60 - IPFW 71	18
Howard 63 - Mt St Marys 71	0.699	Howard 56 - Mt St Marys 73	9
Indiana 80 - South Dakota State 69	0.766	Indiana 64 - South Dakota State 50	-3
Indiana State 91 - Unranked 56		Indiana State 62 - Unranked 55
IUPUI 67 - Evansville 72	0.63	IUPUI 64 - Evansville 70	1
James Madison 75 - East Carolina 67	0.721	James Madison 99 - East Carolina 89	-2
Kent State 79 - Stetson 60	0.911	Kent State 77 - Stetson 53	-5
Louisiana Tech 80 - Samford 65	0.863	Louisiana Tech 78 - Samford 57	-6
Marist 69 - Army 70	0.501	Marist 64 - Army 66	1
Middle Tennessee 74 - Belmont 70	0.62	Middle Tennessee 59 - Belmont 71	16
Mississippi Valley State 78 - Unranked 64		Mississippi Valley State 124 - Unranked 70
Montana State 72 - Green Bay 73	0.502	Montana State 72 - Green Bay 98	25
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 57		New Orleans 79 - Unranked 62
North Alabama 67 - Morehead State 68	0.548	North Alabama 67 - Morehead State 57	-11
North Carolina AT 66 - Jacksonville 67	0.508	North Carolina AT 45 - Jacksonville 61	15
Northern Arizona 64 - South Dakota 76	0.792	Northern Arizona 76 - South Dakota 72	-16
Ohio 81 - Detroit 68	0.802	Ohio 91 - Detroit 81	3
Presbyterian 78 - Unranked 59		Presbyterian 87 - Unranked 59
Purdue 79 - Florida State 75	0.598	Purdue 60 - Florida State 63	7
Richmond 77 - Boston College 73	0.62	Richmond 64 - Boston College 44	-16
Saint Johns 80 - Wagner 64	0.853	Saint Johns 86 - Wagner 63	-7
Saint Josephs 79 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.83	Saint Josephs 63 - Saint Francis Penn 79	30
Saint Peters 69 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	0.768	Saint Peters 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 59	3
Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 54		Sam Houston State 86 - Unranked 51
Santa Clara 72 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.655	Santa Clara 70 - Cal State Fullerton 55	-10
SE Missouri State 67 - Denver 72	0.635	SE Missouri State 66 - Denver 51	-20
Seattle 69 - Idaho 67	0.541	Seattle 74 - Idaho 55	-17
Texas 86 - Mcneese State 56	0.993	Texas 73 - Mcneese State 71	28
Texas Pan American 68 - Texas AM CC 69	0.531	Texas Pan American 52 - Texas AM CC 55	2
Texas San Antonio 75 - Prairie View 66	0.739	Texas San Antonio 72 - Prairie View 79	16
Texas Southern 74 - Lamar 67	0.682	Texas Southern 76 - Lamar 73	4
Texas State 71 - Hartford 62	0.754	Texas State 69 - Hartford 55	-5
Toledo 76 - Oakland 70	0.672	Toledo 65 - Oakland 63	4
Troy 87 - Unranked 57		Troy 104 - Unranked 53
UC Irvine 70 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.617	UC Irvine 77 - Eastern Michigan 56	-16
UMBC 73 - Drexel 68	0.636	UMBC 85 - Drexel 60	-20
UMKC 73 - Western Illinois 65	0.695	UMKC 68 - Western Illinois 67	7
Vanderbilt 78 - Tulsa 70	0.72	Vanderbilt 58 - Tulsa 67	17
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Tennessee 76	0.636	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Tennessee 72	-2
Xavier 88 - Lipscomb 63	0.949	Xavier 87 - Lipscomb 62	0

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 73 - Jackson State 59	0.829	Air Force 76 - Jackson State 52	-10
Arizona 83 - Wake Forest 70	0.83	Arizona 73 - Wake Forest 66	6
Campbell 72 - North Dakota 71	0.507	Campbell 58 - North Dakota 56	-1
Canisius 71 - Mercer 70	0.501	Canisius 76 - Mercer 66	-9
Central Florida 69 - College of Charleston 68	0.506	Central Florida 77 - College of Charleston 56	-20
Colorado State 76 - Utah Valley 70	0.652	Colorado State 92 - Utah Valley 61	-25
Connecticut 85 - Maine 59	0.957	Connecticut 64 - Maine 40	2
Davidson 74 - Temple 73	0.545	Davidson 53 - Temple 66	14
Fairfield 63 - Texas AM 79	0.874	Fairfield 67 - Texas AM 62	-21
Florida Atlantic 70 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.546	Florida Atlantic 71 - Illinois Chicago 70	0
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Georgia Southern 68	0.604	Florida Gulf Coast 57 - Georgia Southern 72	19
Fordham 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.877	Fordham 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 45	-4
Georgia Tech 82 - Bethune Cookman 58	0.937	Georgia Tech 68 - Bethune Cookman 65	21
Hawaii 89 - Unranked 53		Hawaii 58 - Unranked 41
Holy Cross 64 - Hofstra 76	0.778	Holy Cross 69 - Hofstra 91	10
Loyola Marymount 77 - Southern Utah 67	0.786	Loyola Marymount 61 - Southern Utah 51	0
Loyola MD 70 - Binghamton 64	0.672	Loyola MD 77 - Binghamton 65	-6
Marquette 74 - Maryland 78	0.605	Marquette 63 - Maryland 84	17
New Mexico 75 - Montana 70	0.645	New Mexico 72 - Montana 63	-4
Norfolk State 72 - Niagara 68	0.617	Norfolk State 61 - Niagara 65	8
Oregon State 80 - Portland State 66	0.858	Oregon State 81 - Portland State 76	9
Pennsylvania 73 - Long Beach State 71	0.559	Pennsylvania 95 - Long Beach State 79	-14
Pepperdine 65 - Providence 82	0.863	Pepperdine 77 - Providence 80	-14
Portland 78 - Incarnate Word 64	0.862	Portland 65 - Incarnate Word 56	5
Sacred Heart 84 - Unranked 59		Sacred Heart 101 - Unranked 57
Saint Bonaventure 75 - San Diego 67	0.741	Saint Bonaventure 70 - San Diego 61	-1
Saint Louis 70 - Southern Illinois 67	0.598	Saint Louis 69 - Southern Illinois 60	-6
Saint Marys 84 - Omaha 62	0.932	Saint Marys 75 - Omaha 66	13
South Carolina 78 - George Washington 65	0.802	South Carolina 74 - George Washington 65	4
Southern California 76 - Harvard 66	0.768	Southern California 77 - Harvard 62	-5
Stanford 81 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.812	Stanford 72 - UNC Wilmington 54	-5
Tulane 77 - Southern 63	0.872	Tulane 82 - Southern 65	-3
UCLA 87 - San Jose State 61	0.955	UCLA 93 - San Jose State 64	-3
UMass Lowell 76 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.807	UMass Lowell 73 - Central Connecticut State 71	9
Villanova 89 - La Salle 60	0.961	Villanova 83 - La Salle 72	18
West Virginia 80 - Rhode Island 68	0.783	West Virginia 86 - Rhode Island 81	7
Yale 70 - Vermont 69	0.507	Yale 65 - Vermont 52	-12

Number of DI Games: 301
Number Correct: 216 = 71.7%
Expected Number Correct: 217.02 = 72%
Average Error: 10.2
Average Signed Error: 0.79

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bryant 64 - Navy 68	0.62	Bryant 60 - Navy 45	-19
Delaware 75 - Columbia 62	0.856	Delaware 84 - Columbia 76	5
Elon 76 - Kennesaw St 58	0.898	Elon 70 - Kennesaw St 46	-6
Florida Atlantic 63 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.703	Florida Atlantic 64 - Saint Bonaventure 71	-1
Hofstra 75 - Canisius 71	0.592	Hofstra 64 - Canisius 57	-3
Holy Cross 66 - Mercer 75	0.724	Holy Cross 81 - Mercer 67	-23
Illinois 76 - Miami 67	0.716	Illinois 79 - Miami 81	11
Kansas State 78 - Florida AM 53	0.947	Kansas State 76 - Florida AM 58	7
Liberty 91 - Unranked 45		Liberty 87 - Unranked 28
Minnesota 70 - Clemson 69	0.526	Minnesota 78 - Clemson 60	-17
Nicholls State 90 - Unranked 55		Nicholls State 120 - Unranked 69
North Florida 78 - High Point 61	0.897	North Florida 93 - High Point 70	-6
Northern Iowa 93 - Unranked 46		Northern Iowa 110 - Unranked 51
San Diego 75 - Illinois Chicago 60	0.856	San Diego 83 - Illinois Chicago 89	21
South Florida 64 - Furman 74	0.716	South Florida 65 - Furman 55	-20
Stephen F Austin 95 - Unranked 50		Stephen F Austin 114 - Unranked 49
Stony Brook 71 - Manhattan 61	0.818	Stony Brook 65 - Manhattan 47	-8
Tennessee Tech 81 - Unranked 57		Tennessee Tech 86 - Unranked 47
Texas Arlington 72 - North Texas 61	0.835	Texas Arlington 66 - North Texas 77	22
Washington 80 - South Dakota 65	0.884	Washington 75 - South Dakota 55	-5
Wofford 77 - North Carolina Central 59	0.892	Wofford 77 - North Carolina Central 59	0

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 67 - UMBC 68	0.512	American 85 - UMBC 61	-25
Appalachian State 88 - Unranked 51		Appalachian State 90 - Unranked 58
Arkansas 84 - Austin Peay 57	0.95	Arkansas 69 - Austin Peay 61	19
Arkansas State 69 - Omaha 72	0.594	Arkansas State 78 - Omaha 73	-8
Ball State 66 - Loyola Ill 67	0.501	Ball State 58 - Loyola Ill 70	11
Baylor 89 - Maryland Eastern Shore 48	0.969	Baylor 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 46	9
Belmont 80 - Lipscomb 66	0.828	Belmont 80 - Lipscomb 75	9
Boston College 71 - Northwestern 65	0.635	Boston College 64 - Northwestern 82	24
Cal State Bakersfield 65 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.63	Cal State Bakersfield 60 - UC Santa Barbara 64	0
Charlotte 78 - UNC Asheville 67	0.741	Charlotte 75 - UNC Asheville 83	19
Cincinnati 73 - Vermont 63	0.803	Cincinnati 82 - Vermont 73	1
Creighton 81 - Oral Roberts 66	0.859	Creighton 72 - Oral Roberts 60	3
Dayton 96 - Houston Baptist 62	0.984	Dayton 99 - Houston Baptist 68	3
Denver 73 - Jackson State 61	0.799	Denver 67 - Jackson State 58	3
Drake 75 - Milwaukee 61	0.881	Drake 56 - Milwaukee 53	11
East Carolina 73 - Coppin State 70	0.603	East Carolina 75 - Coppin State 85	13
Eastern Michigan 71 - Valparaiso 67	0.607	Eastern Michigan 85 - Valparaiso 79	-2
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Quinnipiac 68	0.551	Fairleigh Dickinson 78 - Quinnipiac 77	1
Gardner Webb 89 - Unranked 52		Gardner Webb 73 - Unranked 59
George Mason 79 - Jacksonville State 59	0.916	George Mason 67 - Jacksonville State 60	13
Georgia State 74 - Dartmouth 63	0.813	Georgia State 83 - Dartmouth 80	8
Grand Canyon 71 - Mt St Marys 62	0.792	Grand Canyon 75 - Mt St Marys 67	1
Hampton 61 - Richmond 83	0.91	Hampton 63 - Richmond 80	-5
Indiana 72 - Florida State 71	0.53	Indiana 80 - Florida State 64	-15
Indiana State 75 - North Dakota State 64	0.773	Indiana State 71 - North Dakota State 60	0
Kent State 83 - Detroit 62	0.9	Kent State 92 - Detroit 57	-14
Louisiana State 87 - New Orleans 60	0.97	Louisiana State 90 - New Orleans 54	-9
Louisville 72 - Michigan 74	0.59	Louisville 58 - Michigan 43	-17
Mcneese State 87 - Unranked 60		Mcneese State 107 - Unranked 61
Memphis 81 - Bradley 65	0.836	Memphis 71 - Bradley 56	1
Miami OH 71 - Northern Kentucky 70	0.528	Miami OH 54 - Northern Kentucky 76	23
Michigan State 74 - Duke 73	0.539	Michigan State 75 - Duke 87	13
Middle Tennessee 88 - Unranked 56		Middle Tennessee 86 - Unranked 38
Mississippi 66 - Butler 71	0.617	Mississippi 58 - Butler 67	4
Missouri 81 - Charleston Southern 53	0.957	Missouri 60 - Charleston Southern 68	36
Missouri State 71 - Murray State 66	0.662	Missouri State 71 - Murray State 69	3
New Mexico State 68 - Texas El Paso 65	0.572	New Mexico State 59 - Texas El Paso 56	0
Pittsburgh 68 - Rutgers 67	0.544	Pittsburgh 71 - Rutgers 60	-10
Rider 80 - Bucknell 69	0.735	Rider 89 - Bucknell 69	-9
Sacramento State 90 - Unranked 49		Sacramento State 72 - Unranked 36
Saint Johns 81 - Saint Peters 53	0.965	Saint Johns 79 - Saint Peters 69	18
Saint Josephs 75 - Lafayette 72	0.575	Saint Josephs 71 - Lafayette 94	26
Samford 86 - Unranked 57		Samford 97 - Unranked 64
San Francisco 73 - Arizona State 76	0.573	San Francisco 67 - Arizona State 71	1
Seattle 75 - Incarnate Word 58	0.905	Seattle 81 - Incarnate Word 60	-4
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.581	South Carolina Upstate 79 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-15
Southern Methodist 85 - Northwestern State 54	0.986	Southern Methodist 77 - Northwestern State 51	5
Stetson 67 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.534	Stetson 72 - Bethune Cookman 67	-4
Syracuse 74 - Iowa 71	0.574	Syracuse 54 - Iowa 68	17
Texas 73 - Alabama Birmingham 57	0.869	Texas 67 - Alabama Birmingham 57	6
Texas Christian 77 - Illinois State 61	0.894	Texas Christian 81 - Illinois State 69	4
Texas Pan American 62 - Sam Houston State 73	0.879	Texas Pan American 90 - Sam Houston State 86	-15
Texas San Antonio 70 - Texas AM CC 65	0.647	Texas San Antonio 89 - Texas AM CC 67	-17
UL Lafayette 77 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.833	UL Lafayette 98 - Southeast Louisiana 81	-3
Vanderbilt 74 - Buffalo 75	0.536	Vanderbilt 90 - Buffalo 76	-15
Western Carolina 75 - Chattanooga 68	0.657	Western Carolina 87 - Chattanooga 77	-3
Western Michigan 67 - Oakland 68	0.507	Western Michigan 62 - Oakland 72	9
William and Mary 71 - Old Dominion 66	0.677	William and Mary 63 - Old Dominion 46	-12
Wright State 73 - Western Kentucky 71	0.575	Wright State 76 - Western Kentucky 74	0

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 60 - Yale 72	0.801	Albany 52 - Yale 61	-3
Army 69 - NJ Tech 67	0.557	Army 75 - NJ Tech 65	-8
Binghamton 64 - Colgate 74	0.774	Binghamton 74 - Colgate 82	-2
Brown 66 - Merrimack 64	0.554	Brown 82 - Merrimack 55	-25
Cal Baptist 67 - UC Riverside 70	0.584	Cal Baptist 79 - UC Riverside 67	-15
Cleveland State 62 - Toledo 75	0.786	Cleveland State 65 - Toledo 80	2
Coastal Carolina 92 - Unranked 53		Coastal Carolina 114 - Unranked 79
Colorado 80 - Loyola Marymount 56	0.961	Colorado 76 - Loyola Marymount 64	12
Colorado State 65 - San Diego State 75	0.749	Colorado State 57 - San Diego State 79	12
Connecticut 80 - Iona 62	0.915	Connecticut 80 - Iona 62	0
Delaware State 66 - Loyola MD 78	0.841	Delaware State 76 - Loyola MD 84	-4
DePaul 72 - Texas Tech 70	0.557	DePaul 65 - Texas Tech 60	-3
Drexel 70 - Princeton 71	0.507	Drexel 82 - Princeton 76	-7
Duquesne 86 - Virginia Military Institute 54	0.981	Duquesne 71 - Virginia Military Institute 58	19
Evansville 78 - Western Illinois 68	0.748	Evansville 90 - Western Illinois 86	6
Florida Atlantic 68 - Canisius 70	0.561	Florida Atlantic 62 - Canisius 59	-5
Florida International 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	0.854	Florida International 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 53	-1
Fresno State 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	0.656	Fresno State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 81	6
George Washington 69 - Boston 65	0.604	George Washington 64 - Boston 63	3
Georgia 83 - North Carolina Central 58	0.963	Georgia 95 - North Carolina Central 59	-11
Georgia Tech 76 - Nebraska 68	0.703	Georgia Tech 73 - Nebraska 56	-9
Gonzaga 90 - Texas Southern 63	0.96	Gonzaga 101 - Texas Southern 62	-12
Grambling State 83 - Unranked 58		Grambling State 79 - Unranked 69
Houston 78 - Texas State 63	0.883	Houston 68 - Texas State 60	7
Idaho 62 - Washington State 75	0.819	Idaho 65 - Washington State 78	0
Iowa State 82 - UMKC 58	0.961	Iowa State 79 - UMKC 61	6
IPFW 74 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.678	IPFW 74 - Eastern Illinois 69	3
Marquette 81 - Jacksonville 59	0.89	Marquette 75 - Jacksonville 56	3
Marshall 69 - Akron 74	0.68	Marshall 73 - Akron 85	7
Maryland 79 - Notre Dame 62	0.905	Maryland 72 - Notre Dame 51	-4
Massachusetts 71 - South Carolina 69	0.544	Massachusetts 80 - South Carolina 84	6
Morehead State 75 - IUPUI 65	0.75	Morehead State 56 - IUPUI 51	5
Morgan State 67 - Towson 75	0.736	Morgan State 59 - Towson 76	9
NC State 71 - Wisconsin 69	0.584	NC State 69 - Wisconsin 54	-13
Nevada 78 - Santa Clara 67	0.802	Nevada 98 - Santa Clara 67	-20
New Hampshire 85 - Unranked 56		New Hampshire 91 - Unranked 37
New Mexico 78 - Boise State 73	0.638	New Mexico 80 - Boise State 78	3
North Carolina 72 - Ohio State 70	0.558	North Carolina 49 - Ohio State 74	27
North Carolina AT 69 - Longwood 66	0.572	North Carolina AT 52 - Longwood 41	-8
Northeastern 76 - Maine 60	0.838	Northeastern 78 - Maine 63	1
Northern Arizona 75 - UC Davis 62	0.81	Northern Arizona 66 - UC Davis 85	32
Northern Colorado 90 - Unranked 53		Northern Colorado 92 - Unranked 47
Ohio 91 - Unranked 52		Ohio 90 - Unranked 51
Oklahoma State 81 - Georgetown 66	0.796	Oklahoma State 74 - Georgetown 81	22
Pacific 72 - Cal State Fullerton 59	0.87	Pacific 62 - Cal State Fullerton 59	10
Penn State 80 - Wake Forest 68	0.834	Penn State 76 - Wake Forest 54	-10
Portland 78 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.841	Portland 64 - Cal State Northridge 71	18
Purdue 60 - Virginia 65	0.674	Purdue 69 - Virginia 40	-34
Radford 73 - James Madison 71	0.556	Radford 94 - James Madison 71	-21
Saint Francis Penn 76 - Lehigh 66	0.786	Saint Francis Penn 77 - Lehigh 69	2
San Francisco 77 - California 66	0.782	San Francisco 76 - California 64	-1
San Jose State 60 - Utah State 82	0.915	San Jose State 59 - Utah State 71	-10
SIU Edwardsville 78 - Chicago State 62	0.831	SIU Edwardsville 81 - Chicago State 89	24
Southern Illinois 73 - Norfolk State 59	0.892	Southern Illinois 76 - Norfolk State 59	-3
Southern Miss 66 - Tulane 72	0.683	Southern Miss 56 - Tulane 61	-1
Tennessee 85 - Florida AM 49	0.969	Tennessee 72 - Florida AM 43	7
The Citadel 65 - East Tennessee State 81	0.924	The Citadel 84 - East Tennessee State 96	-4
Troy 65 - North Alabama 69	0.642	Troy 71 - North Alabama 63	-12
Tulsa 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	0.964	Tulsa 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 39	-6
UL Monroe 87 - Unranked 55		UL Monroe 86 - Unranked 63
UMass Lowell 74 - Sacred Heart 71	0.575	UMass Lowell 86 - Sacred Heart 89	6
UNC Greensboro 82 - Kennesaw St 47	0.979	UNC Greensboro 72 - Kennesaw St 54	17
Utah 72 - Brigham Young 73	0.513	Utah 102 - Brigham Young 95	-8
Utah Valley 74 - Weber State 64	0.715	Utah Valley 67 - Weber State 72	15
Villanova 83 - Pennsylvania 66	0.852	Villanova 80 - Pennsylvania 69	6
Washington 82 - Eastern Washington 65	0.906	Washington 90 - Eastern Washington 80	7
Wyoming 69 - Air Force 65	0.604	Wyoming 77 - Air Force 86	13
Xavier 88 - Green Bay 65	0.934	Xavier 84 - Green Bay 71	10
Youngstown State 70 - Robert Morris 64	0.686	Youngstown State 81 - Robert Morris 70	-5

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - SE Missouri State 65	0.662	Abilene Christian 73 - SE Missouri State 64	-4
Auburn 81 - Furman 66	0.803	Auburn 81 - Furman 78	12
Hampton 79 - Howard 64	0.838	Hampton 91 - Howard 94	18
Hartford 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.759	Hartford 78 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 84	14
High Point 67 - Elon 69	0.559	High Point 70 - Elon 66	-6
Mississippi State 75 - Louisiana Tech 62	0.86	Mississippi State 67 - Louisiana Tech 74	20
Montana State 70 - South Dakota State 71	0.525	Montana State 77 - South Dakota State 70	-8
North Texas 64 - Oklahoma 75	0.806	North Texas 80 - Oklahoma 82	-9
Saint Marys 75 - Northern Illinois 60	0.871	Saint Marys 61 - Northern Illinois 49	3
Wichita State 90 - Central Arkansas 55	0.989	Wichita State 95 - Central Arkansas 69	9

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 76 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.584	Alabama 78 - Stephen F Austin 68	-7
Bryant 68 - Columbia 70	0.564	Bryant 67 - Columbia 65	-4
Central Michigan 85 - Tennessee Martin 71	0.852	Central Michigan 84 - Tennessee Martin 75	5
Georgia Southern 93 - Unranked 55		Georgia Southern 100 - Unranked 70
Louisville 77 - Pittsburgh 63	0.868	Louisville 64 - Pittsburgh 46	-4
Michigan 82 - Iowa 66	0.872	Michigan 103 - Iowa 91	4
Missouri State 86 - Mississippi Valley State 54	0.934	Missouri State 86 - Mississippi Valley State 62	8
Montana 74 - North Dakota 62	0.865	Montana 77 - North Dakota 70	5
Pepperdine 81 - Idaho State 67	0.852	Pepperdine 77 - Idaho State 65	2
Portland State 79 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.786	Portland State 73 - Cal State Northridge 67	3
Rhode Island 75 - Providence 68	0.666	Rhode Island 75 - Providence 61	-7
South Dakota 93 - Unranked 53		South Dakota 94 - Unranked 79
South Florida 66 - Dartmouth 63	0.574	South Florida 63 - Dartmouth 44	-16
Southeast Louisiana 80 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 79 - Unranked 74
Tennessee State 86 - Chicago State 55	0.948	Tennessee State 80 - Chicago State 74	25
Texas Christian 74 - Southern California 68	0.679	Texas Christian 78 - Southern California 80	8
Texas Pan American 81 - Unranked 59		Texas Pan American 92 - Unranked 50
UC Riverside 86 - Unranked 49		UC Riverside 74 - Unranked 40
Virginia Tech 71 - Duke 76	0.629	Virginia Tech 63 - Duke 77	9

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 84 - Unranked 55		Abilene Christian 102 - Unranked 34
Air Force 68 - Nevada 79	0.761	Air Force 85 - Nevada 100	4
Alabama AM 65 - Jacksonville State 72	0.681	Alabama AM 67 - Jacksonville State 62	-12
Alabama Birmingham 65 - Memphis 75	0.774	Alabama Birmingham 57 - Memphis 65	-2
Arizona State 86 - UL Lafayette 63	0.913	Arizona State 77 - UL Lafayette 65	11
Army 72 - LIU Brooklyn 73	0.526	Army 72 - LIU Brooklyn 85	12
Austin Peay 75 - North Florida 72	0.596	Austin Peay 90 - North Florida 83	-4
Ball State 75 - IUPUI 60	0.815	Ball State 102 - IUPUI 54	-33
Baylor 74 - Arizona 72	0.556	Baylor 63 - Arizona 58	-3
Binghamton 68 - Boston 69	0.533	Binghamton 84 - Boston 79	-6
Boise State 78 - Colorado State 71	0.669	Boise State 75 - Colorado State 64	-4
Bowling Green 76 - Oakland 63	0.841	Bowling Green 68 - Oakland 65	10
Bradley 75 - North Carolina AT 59	0.826	Bradley 83 - North Carolina AT 52	-15
Brigham Young 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 63	0.91	Brigham Young 83 - Nevada Las Vegas 50	-16
Bucknell 71 - Albany 66	0.605	Bucknell 65 - Albany 64	4
Butler 72 - Florida 64	0.777	Butler 76 - Florida 62	-6
Cal Poly 67 - Siena 75	0.767	Cal Poly 70 - Siena 66	-12
Cal State Fullerton 61 - Sacramento State 68	0.712	Cal State Fullerton 59 - Sacramento State 62	-4
Central Connecticut State 62 - Maine 71	0.738	Central Connecticut State 64 - Maine 66	-7
Central Florida 80 - NJ Tech 57	0.94	Central Florida 78 - NJ Tech 65	10
Charleston Southern 66 - North Carolina Central 65	0.547	Charleston Southern 58 - North Carolina Central 53	-4
Cornell 68 - Lafayette 71	0.584	Cornell 59 - Lafayette 62	0
Creighton 80 - Nebraska 68	0.759	Creighton 95 - Nebraska 76	-7
Detroit 66 - Eastern Michigan 74	0.673	Detroit 51 - Eastern Michigan 55	-4
Drake 77 - SE Missouri State 59	0.919	Drake 78 - SE Missouri State 73	13
Drexel 68 - La Salle 74	0.672	Drexel 63 - La Salle 71	2
Eastern Illinois 74 - Green Bay 73	0.522	Eastern Illinois 93 - Green Bay 80	-12
Evansville 72 - Miami OH 70	0.541	Evansville 101 - Miami OH 87	-12
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Robert Morris 62	0.633	Florida Gulf Coast 59 - Robert Morris 64	10
Fordham 68 - Manhattan 58	0.816	Fordham 53 - Manhattan 54	11
George Mason 80 - American 58	0.965	George Mason 68 - American 53	7
George Washington 63 - Delaware 72	0.784	George Washington 66 - Delaware 56	-19
Georgia Tech 69 - Syracuse 70	0.509	Georgia Tech 63 - Syracuse 97	33
Hampton 71 - Norfolk State 68	0.598	Hampton 64 - Norfolk State 53	-8
Harvard 71 - Massachusetts 69	0.585	Harvard 89 - Massachusetts 55	-32
Houston Baptist 76 - Samford 75	0.533	Houston Baptist 90 - Samford 113	24
Illinois Chicago 64 - IPFW 73	0.719	Illinois Chicago 62 - IPFW 49	-22
Illinois State 76 - Morehead State 65	0.808	Illinois State 61 - Morehead State 50	0
Incarnate Word 78 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 101 - Unranked 65
Jacksonville 71 - Bethune Cookman 63	0.682	Jacksonville 82 - Bethune Cookman 60	-14
Kansas 77 - Colorado 67	0.778	Kansas 72 - Colorado 58	-4
Kansas State 69 - Marquette 71	0.56	Kansas State 65 - Marquette 73	6
Kennesaw St 59 - Florida International 78	0.866	Kennesaw St 81 - Florida International 84	-16
Kent State 79 - Cleveland State 57	0.925	Kent State 81 - Cleveland State 59	0
Kentucky 84 - Fairleigh Dickinson 54	0.954	Kentucky 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 52	-1
Lamar 69 - Rice 70	0.518	Lamar 73 - Rice 60	-14
Lehigh 63 - Yale 76	0.902	Lehigh 65 - Yale 78	0
Long Beach State 70 - Pacific 71	0.512	Long Beach State 46 - Pacific 65	18
Loyola Ill 91 - Unranked 50		Loyola Ill 90 - Unranked 59
Loyola Marymount 76 - Grambling State 59	0.91	Loyola Marymount 83 - Grambling State 67	1
Maryland 80 - Illinois 66	0.827	Maryland 59 - Illinois 58	13
Mercer 68 - Georgia State 76	0.795	Mercer 61 - Georgia State 73	4
Mississippi 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	0.906	Mississippi 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	5
Morgan State 71 - Longwood 69	0.563	Morgan State 73 - Longwood 65	-6
Mt St Marys 69 - Loyola MD 67	0.577	Mt St Marys 48 - Loyola MD 64	18
Murray State 76 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.807	Murray State 85 - Middle Tennessee 52	-22
Navy 72 - Marist 51	0.95	Navy 53 - Marist 51	19
North Dakota State 63 - East Tennessee State 73	0.847	North Dakota State 78 - East Tennessee State 68	-20
North Texas 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 62	0.651	North Texas 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 53	-19
Northeastern 71 - Davidson 72	0.517	Northeastern 63 - Davidson 70	6
Notre Dame 72 - Boston College 63	0.776	Notre Dame 72 - Boston College 73	10
Ohio State 75 - Penn State 66	0.734	Ohio State 106 - Penn State 74	-23
Oregon 80 - Hawaii 60	0.932	Oregon 89 - Hawaii 64	-5
Quinnipiac 71 - New Hampshire 68	0.603	Quinnipiac 75 - New Hampshire 67	-5
Radford 61 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.72	Radford 58 - UNC Greensboro 60	-7
Saint Bonaventure 73 - Hofstra 68	0.605	Saint Bonaventure 73 - Hofstra 45	-23
Saint Johns 70 - West Virginia 77	0.707	Saint Johns 70 - West Virginia 68	-9
Saint Josephs 67 - Villanova 85	0.875	Saint Josephs 66 - Villanova 78	-6
San Diego 81 - Holy Cross 59	0.897	San Diego 68 - Holy Cross 51	5
Santa Clara 72 - California 66	0.696	Santa Clara 71 - California 52	-13
Seattle 67 - Portland 69	0.588	Seattle 73 - Portland 71	-4
South Carolina State 66 - Presbyterian 65	0.508	South Carolina State 80 - Presbyterian 68	-11
Southern Methodist 75 - Georgetown 71	0.625	Southern Methodist 74 - Georgetown 91	21
Southern Miss 65 - Southern Illinois 66	0.511	Southern Miss 72 - Southern Illinois 69	-4
Southern Utah 73 - Utah Valley 66	0.671	Southern Utah 73 - Utah Valley 72	6
Stony Brook 73 - Brown 62	0.804	Stony Brook 79 - Brown 63	-5
Temple 73 - Missouri 63	0.812	Temple 54 - Missouri 64	20
Texas AM CC 80 - Unranked 54		Texas AM CC 81 - Unranked 53
Texas Arlington 73 - UC Santa Barbara 63	0.823	Texas Arlington 68 - UC Santa Barbara 72	14
Texas El Paso 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.946	Texas El Paso 59 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 50	19
Texas Southern 91 - Unranked 57		Texas Southern 85 - Unranked 47
Texas State 78 - Texas San Antonio 60	0.914	Texas State 71 - Texas San Antonio 77	24
The Citadel 87 - Unranked 61		The Citadel 108 - Unranked 40
Tulsa 75 - Arkansas State 61	0.862	Tulsa 63 - Arkansas State 66	17
UC Davis 62 - Northern Illinois 73	0.792	UC Davis 66 - Northern Illinois 57	-20
UC Irvine 82 - Cal Baptist 64	0.888	UC Irvine 60 - Cal Baptist 68	26
UMass Lowell 76 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 64	0.822	UMass Lowell 94 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	-19
UMBC 69 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.515	UMBC 60 - Saint Francis Penn 63	2
UNC Wilmington 68 - Charlotte 70	0.545	UNC Wilmington 57 - Charlotte 76	17
Utah 88 - Central Arkansas 61	0.885	Utah 98 - Central Arkansas 67	-4
Utah State 81 - Fresno State 64	0.881	Utah State 77 - Fresno State 70	10
Vermont 73 - Towson 62	0.829	Vermont 55 - Towson 38	-6
Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Old Dominion 59	0.908	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Old Dominion 57	4
Virginia Military Institute 67 - Stetson 69	0.564	Virginia Military Institute 88 - Stetson 61	-29
Wake Forest 76 - NC State 74	0.59	Wake Forest 82 - NC State 91	11
Washington State 69 - New Mexico State 71	0.559	Washington State 63 - New Mexico State 54	-11
Weber State 84 - Unranked 57		Weber State 86 - Unranked 46
Western Carolina 82 - UNC Asheville 70	0.762	Western Carolina 78 - UNC Asheville 77	11
Western Kentucky 65 - Arkansas 75	0.749	Western Kentucky 86 - Arkansas 79	-17
Western Michigan 75 - Youngstown State 66	0.769	Western Michigan 66 - Youngstown State 64	7
Winthrop 72 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.555	Winthrop 88 - Coastal Carolina 92	7
Wisconsin 67 - Indiana 68	0.521	Wisconsin 84 - Indiana 64	-21
Wofford 73 - Gardner Webb 67	0.655	Wofford 81 - Gardner Webb 77	2
Wright State 75 - Indiana State 69	0.669	Wright State 77 - Indiana State 84	13
Wyoming 64 - New Mexico 73	0.712	Wyoming 65 - New Mexico 79	5
Xavier 75 - Cincinnati 67	0.759	Xavier 73 - Cincinnati 66	1

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 81 - Southern 57	0.999	Akron 72 - Southern 57	9
Chattanooga 88 - Unranked 52		Chattanooga 99 - Unranked 51
College of Charleston 91 - Unranked 50		College of Charleston 76 - Unranked 50
DePaul 78 - Buffalo 71	0.72	DePaul 69 - Buffalo 74	12
Eastern Washington 77 - North Dakota 67	0.794	Eastern Washington 98 - North Dakota 82	-6
Fairfield 68 - William and Mary 72	0.643	Fairfield 58 - William and Mary 62	0
Florida State 76 - Clemson 66	0.834	Florida State 72 - Clemson 53	-9
Furman 87 - South Carolina Upstate 52	0.987	Furman 84 - South Carolina Upstate 72	23
Grand Canyon 62 - Liberty 69	0.707	Grand Canyon 61 - Liberty 70	2
Hartford 68 - Sacred Heart 69	0.506	Hartford 62 - Sacred Heart 79	16
Iowa State 76 - Seton Hall 75	0.523	Iowa State 76 - Seton Hall 66	-9
Lipscomb 90 - Unranked 54		Lipscomb 96 - Unranked 72
Louisiana State 92 - Northwestern State 55	0.968	Louisiana State 109 - Northwestern State 59	-13
Maryland Eastern Shore 78 - Unranked 59		Maryland Eastern Shore 85 - Unranked 39
Michigan State 76 - Rutgers 63	0.793	Michigan State 77 - Rutgers 65	1
Niagara 62 - Colgate 75	0.83	Niagara 93 - Colgate 82	-24
North Alabama 84 - Unranked 53		North Alabama 78 - Unranked 50
Northern Arizona 69 - Omaha 71	0.562	Northern Arizona 73 - Omaha 65	-10
Northern Kentucky 80 - Eastern Kentucky 62	0.888	Northern Kentucky 76 - Eastern Kentucky 57	-1
Ohio 77 - Tennessee Tech 58	0.92	Ohio 81 - Tennessee Tech 54	-8
Oklahoma State 73 - Wichita State 66	0.647	Oklahoma State 61 - Wichita State 80	26
Oral Roberts 92 - Unranked 55		Oral Roberts 95 - Unranked 55
Purdue 76 - Northwestern 60	0.826	Purdue 58 - Northwestern 44	2
Richmond 79 - South Alabama 65	0.803	Richmond 75 - South Alabama 57	-4
Saint Louis 72 - Tulane 65	0.728	Saint Louis 86 - Tulane 62	-17
Saint Marys 70 - Dayton 75	0.635	Saint Marys 68 - Dayton 78	5
Sam Houston State 67 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.595	Sam Houston State 71 - Louisiana Tech 68	-6
San Diego State 86 - San Jose State 49	0.988	San Diego State 59 - San Jose State 57	35
South Carolina 71 - Houston 76	0.626	South Carolina 56 - Houston 76	15
Texas AM 57 - Texas 73	0.856	Texas AM 50 - Texas 60	-6
Toledo 79 - Marshall 66	0.829	Toledo 82 - Marshall 72	3
UCLA 81 - Denver 59	0.922	UCLA 81 - Denver 62	3
Valparaiso 78 - Central Michigan 74	0.625	Valparaiso 77 - Central Michigan 55	-18
Virginia 70 - North Carolina 62	0.76	Virginia 56 - North Carolina 47	-1
Washington 74 - Gonzaga 75	0.529	Washington 76 - Gonzaga 83	6

Number of DI Games: 284
Number Correct: 207 = 72.8%
Expected Number Correct: 210.945 = 74.2%
Average Error: 10.12
Average Signed Error: 0.45

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 81 - Unranked 59		Alcorn State 108 - Unranked 62
Duquesne 78 - Columbia 57	0.944	Duquesne 90 - Columbia 54	-15
Iowa 76 - Minnesota 70	0.666	Iowa 72 - Minnesota 52	-14
South Dakota 78 - Alabama State 60	0.921	South Dakota 73 - Alabama State 59	4

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Tennessee State 66	0.558	Arkansas Little Rock 86 - Tennessee State 62	-23
Baylor 71 - Butler 68	0.605	Baylor 53 - Butler 52	2
Boston College 72 - Albany 60	0.795	Boston College 72 - Albany 51	-9
Bradley 91 - Unranked 50		Bradley 91 - Unranked 58
Brigham Young 77 - Nevada 74	0.579	Brigham Young 75 - Nevada 42	-30
Central Florida 83 - Green Bay 66	0.862	Central Florida 79 - Green Bay 66	4
Colorado 74 - Northern Iowa 61	0.917	Colorado 76 - Northern Iowa 79	16
Colorado State 76 - South Dakota State 68	0.722	Colorado State 72 - South Dakota State 68	4
Davidson 80 - Coppin State 62	0.863	Davidson 88 - Coppin State 52	-18
Denver 61 - New Mexico State 73	0.781	Denver 67 - New Mexico State 72	-7
Fordham 70 - Bryant 61	0.734	Fordham 61 - Bryant 69	17
Hofstra 71 - Stony Brook 70	0.531	Hofstra 71 - Stony Brook 63	-7
Holy Cross 83 - Unranked 60		Holy Cross 66 - Unranked 69
Indiana 74 - Connecticut 71	0.584	Indiana 57 - Connecticut 54	0
IPFW 88 - Unranked 53		IPFW 69 - Unranked 33
IUPUI 83 - Unranked 58		IUPUI 80 - Unranked 60
Kansas 89 - Milwaukee 53	0.971	Kansas 95 - Milwaukee 68	9
Mcneese State 70 - UMKC 69	0.512	Mcneese State 82 - UMKC 73	-8
Notre Dame 82 - Detroit 60	0.907	Notre Dame 110 - Detroit 71	-17
Penn State 72 - Maryland 74	0.556	Penn State 76 - Maryland 69	-9
Princeton 74 - Monmouth 67	0.653	Princeton 66 - Monmouth 67	8
Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Presbyterian 64	0.663	Saint Francis Brooklyn 64 - Presbyterian 63	6
Saint Johns 80 - Brown 62	0.889	Saint Johns 82 - Brown 71	7
Temple 83 - Saint Josephs 62	0.913	Temple 108 - Saint Josephs 61	-26
Texas Tech 64 - Louisville 74	0.747	Texas Tech 70 - Louisville 57	-23
The Citadel 88 - Unranked 61		The Citadel 129 - Unranked 83
Towson 73 - UMBC 60	0.778	Towson 77 - UMBC 71	7
UL Monroe 75 - Grambling State 65	0.807	UL Monroe 61 - Grambling State 66	15
Utah State 99 - Unranked 47		Utah State 94 - Unranked 49

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 84 - Omaha 61	0.926	Arizona 99 - Omaha 49	-27
Arizona State 81 - Prairie View 58	0.938	Arizona State 88 - Prairie View 79	14
Belmont 96 - Unranked 50		Belmont 105 - Unranked 56
Cal State Fullerton 67 - San Diego 68	0.548	Cal State Fullerton 54 - San Diego 66	11
Cal State Northridge 68 - North Dakota State 70	0.58	Cal State Northridge 62 - North Dakota State 71	7
California 72 - Fresno State 67	0.655	California 69 - Fresno State 63	-1
Colgate 75 - Cornell 63	0.831	Colgate 66 - Cornell 58	4
Furman 96 - Unranked 49		Furman 90 - Unranked 65
Houston 80 - Texas Arlington 63	0.916	Houston 71 - Texas Arlington 63	9
Illinois 70 - Michigan 77	0.682	Illinois 71 - Michigan 62	-16
Jacksonville State 72 - Troy 64	0.725	Jacksonville State 55 - Troy 60	13
Kansas State 78 - Alabama State 56	0.952	Kansas State 86 - Alabama State 41	-23
Lamar 88 - Unranked 52		Lamar 73 - Unranked 56
Maine 63 - Dartmouth 66	0.614	Maine 44 - Dartmouth 77	30
Marshall 90 - Unranked 56		Marshall 86 - Unranked 50
Massachusetts 67 - Yale 74	0.693	Massachusetts 80 - Yale 83	-4
Merrimack 68 - Army 63	0.605	Merrimack 69 - Army 60	-4
Missouri State 71 - Arkansas State 66	0.663	Missouri State 75 - Arkansas State 53	-17
Nicholls State 90 - Unranked 54		Nicholls State 118 - Unranked 44
NJ Tech 69 - UMass Lowell 71	0.536	NJ Tech 66 - UMass Lowell 72	4
North Carolina Central 81 - Unranked 56		North Carolina Central 109 - Unranked 28
Rutgers 66 - Wisconsin 67	0.519	Rutgers 72 - Wisconsin 65	-8
Saint Peters 65 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.535	Saint Peters 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	-15
South Carolina State 66 - UNC Asheville 76	0.76	South Carolina State 90 - UNC Asheville 85	-15
Texas Christian 79 - Winthrop 62	0.908	Texas Christian 70 - Winthrop 60	7
Tulsa 71 - Boise State 70	0.537	Tulsa 69 - Boise State 56	-12
Virginia Military Institute 85 - Unranked 58		Virginia Military Institute 78 - Unranked 60
Virginia Tech 79 - Chattanooga 60	0.882	Virginia Tech 63 - Chattanooga 58	14

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 83 - Unranked 54		Abilene Christian 105 - Unranked 36
Grand Canyon 65 - Northern Iowa 71	0.732	Grand Canyon 58 - Northern Iowa 82	18
Iowa State 80 - Iowa 74	0.681	Iowa State 68 - Iowa 84	22
Portland State 91 - Unranked 56		Portland State 101 - Unranked 48
West Virginia 83 - Austin Peay 62	0.945	West Virginia 84 - Austin Peay 53	-10
Wright State 81 - Southern 60	0.965	Wright State 85 - Southern 62	-2

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado State 66 - Colorado 75	0.763	Colorado State 48 - Colorado 56	-1
Creighton 84 - Texas Pan American 57	0.963	Creighton 89 - Texas Pan American 58	-4
Eastern Washington 96 - Unranked 55		Eastern Washington 146 - Unranked 89
Indiana 84 - Nebraska 64	0.866	Indiana 96 - Nebraska 90	14
Kennesaw St 60 - Gardner Webb 75	0.869	Kennesaw St 85 - Gardner Webb 61	-39
Loyola Marymount 74 - Prairie View 63	0.815	Loyola Marymount 79 - Prairie View 76	8
Portland 87 - Unranked 54		Portland 77 - Unranked 55
South Dakota State 91 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 66 - Unranked 53
Wofford 93 - Unranked 52		Wofford 112 - Unranked 66

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 87 - Unranked 49		Alabama Birmingham 75 - Unranked 63
Albany 71 - Niagara 61	0.722	Albany 84 - Niagara 80	6
Arizona 77 - Gonzaga 75	0.565	Arizona 80 - Gonzaga 84	6
Arizona State 78 - Georgia 68	0.748	Arizona State 79 - Georgia 59	-10
Arkansas 74 - Tulsa 59	0.829	Arkansas 98 - Tulsa 79	-4
Auburn 77 - Saint Louis 64	0.817	Auburn 67 - Saint Louis 61	7
Boise State 82 - Alabama State 58	0.958	Boise State 100 - Alabama State 57	-19
Boston 65 - Dartmouth 66	0.517	Boston 78 - Dartmouth 76	-3
Buffalo 84 - Army 60	0.934	Buffalo 76 - Army 89	37
Butler 89 - Southern 50	0.968	Butler 66 - Southern 41	14
Cal Baptist 79 - Bethune Cookman 63	0.844	Cal Baptist 87 - Bethune Cookman 68	-3
Cal Poly 67 - Fresno State 74	0.726	Cal Poly 37 - Fresno State 62	18
Cal State Fullerton 64 - San Francisco 76	0.825	Cal State Fullerton 69 - San Francisco 91	10
California 63 - Saint Marys 71	0.732	California 77 - Saint Marys 89	4
Canisius 77 - Holy Cross 61	0.784	Canisius 80 - Holy Cross 72	8
Cincinnati 81 - Colgate 63	0.913	Cincinnati 66 - Colgate 67	19
Coastal Carolina 78 - North Carolina Central 59	0.894	Coastal Carolina 91 - North Carolina Central 71	-1
Dayton 81 - Drake 60	0.933	Dayton 78 - Drake 47	-10
Denver 68 - Air Force 72	0.63	Denver 75 - Air Force 79	0
DePaul 81 - Illinois Chicago 57	0.923	DePaul 86 - Illinois Chicago 65	3
Detroit 65 - Toledo 79	0.802	Detroit 72 - Toledo 80	-6
East Carolina 68 - Campbell 70	0.586	East Carolina 79 - Campbell 67	-14
Elon 85 - Unranked 58		Elon 91 - Unranked 60
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Princeton 71	0.593	Fairleigh Dickinson 65 - Princeton 80	12
Florida Atlantic 73 - High Point 62	0.809	Florida Atlantic 81 - High Point 64	-6
Furman 79 - Winthrop 64	0.814	Furman 80 - Winthrop 73	8
Georgetown 77 - Syracuse 71	0.634	Georgetown 89 - Syracuse 79	-4
Grambling State 84 - Unranked 58		Grambling State 82 - Unranked 54
Green Bay 78 - Evansville 77	0.531	Green Bay 62 - Evansville 72	11
Hartford 71 - Wagner 70	0.516	Hartford 71 - Wagner 63	-7
Howard 61 - Appalachian State 77	0.897	Howard 59 - Appalachian State 81	6
Idaho 65 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.6	Idaho 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	-9
Illinois 76 - Old Dominion 60	0.87	Illinois 69 - Old Dominion 55	2
IUPUI 65 - IPFW 72	0.64	IUPUI 74 - IPFW 65	-16
Jacksonville 86 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville 93 - Unranked 79
Kansas 86 - UMKC 53	0.977	Kansas 98 - UMKC 57	-8
Kentucky 77 - Georgia Tech 62	0.824	Kentucky 67 - Georgia Tech 53	1
La Salle 81 - Morgan State 61	0.937	La Salle 85 - Morgan State 68	3
Louisiana Tech 78 - UL Lafayette 65	0.828	Louisiana Tech 77 - UL Lafayette 59	-5
Louisville 91 - Eastern Kentucky 50	0.974	Louisville 99 - Eastern Kentucky 67	9
Manhattan 69 - Western Michigan 64	0.665	Manhattan 58 - Western Michigan 59	6
Miami 85 - Alabama AM 56	0.95	Miami 88 - Alabama AM 74	15
Michigan 76 - Oregon 71	0.658	Michigan 70 - Oregon 71	6
Milwaukee 70 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.575	Milwaukee 68 - Eastern Illinois 75	11
Mississippi 81 - Middle Tennessee 59	0.897	Mississippi 82 - Middle Tennessee 64	4
Mississippi State 71 - Kansas State 66	0.663	Mississippi State 67 - Kansas State 61	-1
New Mexico 76 - New Mexico State 67	0.734	New Mexico 69 - New Mexico State 62	2
New Orleans 85 - Unranked 56		New Orleans 103 - Unranked 59
Notre Dame 73 - UCLA 70	0.584	Notre Dame 75 - UCLA 61	-11
Oakland 59 - Michigan State 79	0.915	Oakland 49 - Michigan State 72	3
Oral Roberts 90 - Unranked 54		Oral Roberts 69 - Unranked 57
Oregon State 84 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 51	0.975	Oregon State 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 46	-1
Penn State 82 - Alabama 70	0.801	Penn State 73 - Alabama 71	10
Pepperdine 86 - Central Arkansas 69	0.893	Pepperdine 92 - Central Arkansas 79	4
Providence 72 - Stony Brook 65	0.661	Providence 82 - Stony Brook 78	3
Radford 61 - Duquesne 74	0.8	Radford 49 - Duquesne 71	9
Rice 85 - Houston Baptist 70	0.836	Rice 96 - Houston Baptist 84	3
Richmond 76 - College of Charleston 62	0.86	Richmond 78 - College of Charleston 71	7
Rider 81 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.816	Rider 89 - LIU Brooklyn 74	-2
Rutgers 70 - Seton Hall 74	0.635	Rutgers 68 - Seton Hall 48	-24
Saint Bonaventure 90 - Unranked 47		Saint Bonaventure 75 - Unranked 50
Saint Francis Brooklyn 69 - NJ Tech 68	0.514	Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - NJ Tech 71	-1
San Diego 73 - UC Davis 65	0.717	San Diego 58 - UC Davis 54	4
San Jose State 59 - Stanford 80	0.886	San Jose State 58 - Stanford 78	-1
Santa Clara 70 - Sacramento State 66	0.65	Santa Clara 60 - Sacramento State 58	2
South Dakota 92 - Unranked 53		South Dakota 96 - Unranked 60
Southern Miss 72 - North Florida 71	0.518	Southern Miss 69 - North Florida 72	4
Southern Utah 69 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.501	Southern Utah 62 - UC Santa Barbara 61	0
Stephen F Austin 79 - UL Monroe 62	0.859	Stephen F Austin 66 - UL Monroe 59	10
Tennessee 75 - Memphis 68	0.733	Tennessee 47 - Memphis 51	11
Texas 80 - Central Michigan 63	0.866	Texas 87 - Central Michigan 76	6
Texas Christian 78 - Lamar 60	0.921	Texas Christian 79 - Lamar 50	-11
UC Irvine 92 - Unranked 50		UC Irvine 120 - Unranked 63
UNC Asheville 80 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.785	UNC Asheville 91 - Tennessee Martin 72	-7
Utah 82 - Weber State 61	0.833	Utah 60 - Weber State 49	10
Utah State 74 - Brigham Young 73	0.531	Utah State 64 - Brigham Young 68	5
Utah Valley 72 - Northern Arizona 69	0.567	Utah Valley 73 - Northern Arizona 79	9
Vanderbilt 69 - Liberty 68	0.536	Vanderbilt 56 - Liberty 61	6
Villanova 79 - Delaware 65	0.864	Villanova 78 - Delaware 70	6
Wake Forest 69 - Xavier 76	0.722	Wake Forest 80 - Xavier 78	-9
West Virginia 83 - Nicholls State 60	0.925	West Virginia 83 - Nicholls State 57	-3
Wichita State 76 - Oklahoma 70	0.664	Wichita State 80 - Oklahoma 75	1
Wyoming 66 - Northern Colorado 67	0.512	Wyoming 53 - Northern Colorado 74	20

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 93 - Unranked 48		Akron 100 - Unranked 50
Boston College 84 - Central Connecticut State 54	0.963	Boston College 74 - Central Connecticut State 55	11
Bowling Green 82 - Cleveland State 58	0.931	Bowling Green 72 - Cleveland State 58	10
Bradley 75 - Georgia Southern 68	0.68	Bradley 81 - Georgia Southern 51	-23
Central Florida 79 - Sacred Heart 62	0.844	Central Florida 76 - Sacred Heart 65	6
Chattanooga 76 - Troy 61	0.821	Chattanooga 84 - Troy 80	11
Clemson 74 - South Carolina 66	0.739	Clemson 54 - South Carolina 67	21
East Tennessee State 94 - Unranked 50		East Tennessee State 97 - Unranked 41
Fordham 67 - Tennessee State 63	0.608	Fordham 61 - Tennessee State 66	9
Hawaii 79 - Samford 65	0.844	Hawaii 94 - Samford 73	-7
Houston 75 - Oklahoma State 70	0.619	Houston 55 - Oklahoma State 61	11
Loyola Ill 78 - Norfolk State 55	0.935	Loyola Ill 64 - Norfolk State 45	4
Maine 66 - Quinnipiac 67	0.501	Maine 61 - Quinnipiac 81	19
Miami OH 84 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.888	Miami OH 79 - Mississippi Valley State 67	13
Minnesota 64 - Ohio State 74	0.746	Minnesota 84 - Ohio State 71	-23
Missouri 74 - Southern Illinois 59	0.842	Missouri 64 - Southern Illinois 48	-1
Nebraska 65 - Purdue 80	0.807	Nebraska 70 - Purdue 56	-29
North Carolina 82 - Wofford 65	0.893	North Carolina 64 - Wofford 68	21
Northern Kentucky 72 - Illinois State 65	0.722	Northern Kentucky 79 - Illinois State 64	-8
Northwestern 82 - SIU Edwardsville 55	0.926	Northwestern 72 - SIU Edwardsville 54	9
Omaha 77 - Texas Pan American 62	0.887	Omaha 92 - Texas Pan American 82	5
Pacific 76 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.893	Pacific 79 - Cal State Northridge 73	9
Sam Houston State 90 - Unranked 54		Sam Houston State 91 - Unranked 58
South Florida 74 - Drexel 63	0.707	South Florida 81 - Drexel 61	-9
Southern California 84 - Long Beach State 63	0.933	Southern California 87 - Long Beach State 76	10
Stetson 69 - Longwood 63	0.66	Stetson 72 - Longwood 76	10
Texas AM 69 - Texas AM CC 57	0.822	Texas AM 63 - Texas AM CC 60	9
Texas San Antonio 90 - Unranked 57		Texas San Antonio 98 - Unranked 55
Texas State 88 - Unranked 49		Texas State 117 - Unranked 65
UMBC 69 - Coppin State 67	0.545	UMBC 86 - Coppin State 77	-7
UNC Greensboro 71 - NC State 70	0.506	UNC Greensboro 77 - NC State 80	4
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Missouri State 62	0.927	Virginia Commonwealth 61 - Missouri State 51	5
Virginia Tech 80 - Gardner Webb 61	0.927	Virginia Tech 73 - Gardner Webb 46	-8
Washington State 70 - UC Riverside 62	0.709	Washington State 70 - UC Riverside 56	-6
William and Mary 93 - Unranked 52		William and Mary 90 - Unranked 30
Youngstown State 72 - SE Missouri State 66	0.702	Youngstown State 65 - SE Missouri State 50	-9

Number of DI Games: 160
Number Correct: 122 = 76.2%
Expected Number Correct: 121.705 = 76%
Average Error: 9.76
Average Signed Error: 0.63

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 71 - Valparaiso 70	0.53	Charlotte 67 - Valparaiso 57	-9
Delaware State 59 - Delaware 84	0.965	Delaware State 78 - Delaware 86	-17
Idaho State 64 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.73	Idaho State 68 - UC Santa Barbara 74	-1
Jackson State 79 - Unranked 60		Jackson State 113 - Unranked 67
Jacksonville State 65 - Evansville 72	0.69	Jacksonville State 85 - Evansville 59	-33
James Madison 75 - Charleston Southern 68	0.649	James Madison 81 - Charleston Southern 60	-14
Morehead State 72 - Marshall 70	0.566	Morehead State 62 - Marshall 89	29
Morgan State 85 - Unranked 59		Morgan State 96 - Unranked 72
Murray State 80 - Kennesaw St 57	0.882	Murray State 74 - Kennesaw St 38	-13
North Dakota State 70 - Montana State 64	0.643	North Dakota State 79 - Montana State 65	-8
Pittsburgh 73 - Northern Illinois 59	0.837	Pittsburgh 59 - Northern Illinois 50	5
Portland 74 - Florida AM 61	0.886	Portland 66 - Florida AM 60	7
Rider 79 - Marist 55	0.948	Rider 74 - Marist 64	14
Texas El Paso 72 - North Carolina AT 56	0.848	Texas El Paso 72 - North Carolina AT 54	-2
Texas Tech 81 - Southern Miss 54	0.965	Texas Tech 71 - Southern Miss 65	21
Tulane 79 - Alcorn State 59	0.929	Tulane 68 - Alcorn State 57	9
UC Davis 67 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.623	UC Davis 67 - Loyola Marymount 65	-6
UC Irvine 67 - Kent State 71	0.584	UC Irvine 74 - Kent State 68	-10
UNC Wilmington 71 - Mercer 66	0.653	UNC Wilmington 63 - Mercer 72	14
Western Illinois 70 - Eastern Illinois 72	0.552	Western Illinois 47 - Eastern Illinois 85	36

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 91 - Unranked 56		Air Force 99 - Unranked 42
Alabama Birmingham 70 - North Alabama 58	0.859	Alabama Birmingham 63 - North Alabama 56	5
Austin Peay 91 - Unranked 54		Austin Peay 80 - Unranked 61
Campbell 72 - Elon 63	0.764	Campbell 60 - Elon 46	-5
Chicago State 64 - Oral Roberts 82	0.847	Chicago State 59 - Oral Roberts 97	20
Creighton 77 - Oklahoma 74	0.578	Creighton 83 - Oklahoma 73	-7
Dayton 82 - North Texas 61	0.928	Dayton 71 - North Texas 58	8
Drake 88 - Unranked 49		Drake 92 - Unranked 74
East Carolina 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.832	East Carolina 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0
Eastern Michigan 71 - Northeastern 65	0.64	Eastern Michigan 60 - Northeastern 55	1
Eastern Washington 79 - Omaha 71	0.738	Eastern Washington 97 - Omaha 56	-33
Florida 72 - Providence 66	0.655	Florida 83 - Providence 51	-26
Florida State 85 - North Florida 61	0.959	Florida State 98 - North Florida 81	7
Georgetown 86 - UMBC 60	0.939	Georgetown 81 - UMBC 55	0
Lipscomb 75 - Tennessee Tech 59	0.877	Lipscomb 78 - Tennessee Tech 60	-2
Louisiana Tech 79 - North Carolina Central 53	0.966	Louisiana Tech 69 - North Carolina Central 60	17
Marquette 86 - Grambling State 57	0.961	Marquette 93 - Grambling State 72	8
Miami 68 - Temple 75	0.653	Miami 78 - Temple 77	-8
Mt St Marys 67 - American 66	0.516	Mt St Marys 76 - American 82	7
New Mexico 81 - Grand Canyon 64	0.903	New Mexico 91 - Grand Canyon 71	-3
North Carolina AT 58 - Kent State 75	0.892	North Carolina AT 71 - Kent State 85	-3
North Dakota 87 - Unranked 56		North Dakota 109 - Unranked 50
Northern Colorado 77 - Denver 60	0.869	Northern Colorado 86 - Denver 64	-5
Ohio 65 - Purdue 74	0.697	Ohio 51 - Purdue 69	9
Ohio State 89 - SE Missouri State 50	0.981	Ohio State 80 - SE Missouri State 48	7
Pepperdine 79 - Portland State 73	0.727	Pepperdine 77 - Portland State 71	0
Princeton 69 - Iona 70	0.504	Princeton 90 - Iona 86	-5
Robert Morris 67 - Central Michigan 75	0.698	Robert Morris 83 - Central Michigan 79	-12
Saint Francis Penn 91 - Unranked 53		Saint Francis Penn 115 - Unranked 66
Saint Louis 94 - Unranked 45		Saint Louis 82 - Unranked 69
South Alabama 80 - Alabama AM 60	0.88	South Alabama 89 - Alabama AM 79	10
Stanford 79 - San Francisco 68	0.797	Stanford 64 - San Francisco 56	3
Texas El Paso 68 - UC Irvine 66	0.546	Texas El Paso 67 - UC Irvine 61	-4
UMKC 64 - Toledo 74	0.793	UMKC 72 - Toledo 57	-25
UNC Asheville 77 - Stetson 63	0.81	UNC Asheville 78 - Stetson 76	12
Washington 81 - Seattle 57	0.955	Washington 81 - Seattle 59	2
Weber State 83 - Unranked 54		Weber State 109 - Unranked 62
Winthrop 80 - SIU Edwardsville 59	0.931	Winthrop 93 - SIU Edwardsville 73	1
Wright State 88 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.947	Wright State 92 - Mississippi Valley State 50	-9

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 73 - Saint Marys 67	0.668	Arizona State 56 - Saint Marys 96	46
Arkansas State 75 - UL Lafayette 68	0.668	Arkansas State 79 - UL Lafayette 67	-5
Belmont 84 - Kennesaw St 56	0.924	Belmont 83 - Kennesaw St 44	-11
Buffalo 78 - Canisius 65	0.754	Buffalo 82 - Canisius 73	4
Cal Baptist 80 - Southern 62	0.909	Cal Baptist 78 - Southern 61	1
Central Arkansas 79 - Incarnate Word 64	0.881	Central Arkansas 88 - Incarnate Word 82	9
Central Florida 81 - Bethune Cookman 54	0.954	Central Florida 70 - Bethune Cookman 65	22
Cincinnati 68 - Tennessee 70	0.588	Cincinnati 78 - Tennessee 66	-14
Cleveland State 59 - DePaul 78	0.892	Cleveland State 65 - DePaul 73	-11
College of Charleston 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.677	College of Charleston 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0
Connecticut 79 - Saint Peters 54	0.941	Connecticut 66 - Saint Peters 56	15
Dartmouth 78 - Central Connecticut State 55	0.929	Dartmouth 76 - Central Connecticut State 60	7
Georgia Tech 70 - Ball State 64	0.611	Georgia Tech 47 - Ball State 65	24
Gonzaga 82 - North Carolina 69	0.818	Gonzaga 94 - North Carolina 81	0
Green Bay 91 - Unranked 59		Green Bay 126 - Unranked 64
High Point 62 - Valparaiso 76	0.834	High Point 72 - Valparaiso 87	1
Howard 81 - Unranked 64		Howard 105 - Unranked 47
Illinois State 74 - Illinois Chicago 63	0.792	Illinois State 67 - Illinois Chicago 66	10
Indiana State 77 - Tennessee State 64	0.784	Indiana State 78 - Tennessee State 72	7
Jacksonville State 76 - Delaware State 62	0.881	Jacksonville State 92 - Delaware State 80	2
La Salle 83 - Wagner 60	0.96	La Salle 74 - Wagner 60	9
Lamar 75 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0.846	Lamar 79 - Southeast Louisiana 73	8
Louisiana State 81 - East Tennessee State 67	0.891	Louisiana State 63 - East Tennessee State 74	25
Louisville 84 - Miami OH 56	0.963	Louisville 70 - Miami OH 46	4
Marist 63 - New Hampshire 65	0.581	Marist 56 - New Hampshire 64	6
Mcneese State 89 - Unranked 59		Mcneese State 109 - Unranked 67
Mississippi State 77 - Radford 59	0.897	Mississippi State 77 - Radford 68	9
Nevada 84 - Texas Southern 65	0.863	Nevada 91 - Texas Southern 73	1
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - Pacific 68	0.515	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Pacific 74	9
New Mexico State 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	0.949	New Mexico State 65 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 40	-1
New Orleans 69 - Abilene Christian 65	0.673	New Orleans 71 - Abilene Christian 77	10
Nicholls State 74 - Texas AM CC 61	0.815	Nicholls State 64 - Texas AM CC 58	7
Northwestern 65 - Michigan State 77	0.751	Northwestern 72 - Michigan State 77	-7
Old Dominion 62 - Richmond 73	0.799	Old Dominion 59 - Richmond 62	-8
Oregon 81 - Montana 59	0.96	Oregon 81 - Montana 48	-11
Presbyterian 60 - Jacksonville 70	0.734	Presbyterian 58 - Jacksonville 81	13
Sacramento State 75 - Cal Poly 56	0.95	Sacramento State 57 - Cal Poly 56	18
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Niagara 58	0.871	Saint Bonaventure 87 - Niagara 70	3
Saint Johns 78 - Albany 59	0.911	Saint Johns 85 - Albany 57	-9
Sam Houston State 81 - Northwestern State 60	0.939	Sam Houston State 92 - Northwestern State 79	8
Samford 69 - Alabama 80	0.805	Samford 87 - Alabama 105	7
San Diego State 98 - Unranked 41		San Diego State 92 - Unranked 48
Santa Clara 78 - San Jose State 61	0.842	Santa Clara 89 - San Jose State 84	12
South Carolina State 72 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.653	South Carolina State 70 - South Carolina Upstate 73	9
South Dakota State 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 57	0.938	South Dakota State 75 - Florida Gulf Coast 56	0
Southern Illinois 76 - Hampton 63	0.835	Southern Illinois 75 - Hampton 53	-9
Stephen F Austin 90 - Houston Baptist 65	0.937	Stephen F Austin 96 - Houston Baptist 68	-3
Syracuse 76 - Oakland 61	0.821	Syracuse 74 - Oakland 62	3
Tennessee Martin 56 - Baylor 87	0.979	Tennessee Martin 63 - Baylor 91	-3
Texas San Antonio 65 - Oregon State 83	0.899	Texas San Antonio 78 - Oregon State 88	-8
Utah 70 - Kentucky 74	0.589	Utah 69 - Kentucky 66	-7
Utah State 74 - South Florida 64	0.705	Utah State 76 - South Florida 74	8
Vanderbilt 70 - Loyola Ill 69	0.521	Vanderbilt 70 - Loyola Ill 78	9
Vermont 65 - UNC Greensboro 63	0.567	Vermont 53 - UNC Greensboro 54	3
Virginia 73 - Stony Brook 51	0.93	Virginia 56 - Stony Brook 44	10
Western Michigan 87 - Unranked 55		Western Michigan 84 - Unranked 61
Wyoming 70 - Utah Valley 66	0.605	Wyoming 67 - Utah Valley 69	6
Xavier 82 - Western Carolina 65	0.913	Xavier 74 - Western Carolina 61	4
Youngstown State 72 - Binghamton 66	0.676	Youngstown State 73 - Binghamton 55	-12

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 82 - NC State 71	0.789	Auburn 79 - NC State 73	5
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Montana State 70	0.58	Cal State Bakersfield 74 - Montana State 72	-5
Charlotte 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.902	Charlotte 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 44	0
Chicago State 60 - Northern Illinois 79	0.836	Chicago State 60 - Northern Illinois 75	-4
Colorado 82 - Prairie View 58	0.965	Colorado 83 - Prairie View 64	5
Detroit 68 - Northeastern 78	0.693	Detroit 61 - Northeastern 74	3
Duke 86 - Wofford 62	0.941	Duke 86 - Wofford 57	-5
Florida Atlantic 87 - Unranked 54		Florida Atlantic 84 - Unranked 35
Florida International 91 - Unranked 55		Florida International 99 - Unranked 74
Gardner Webb 86 - Unranked 55		Gardner Webb 94 - Unranked 70
Georgia Southern 70 - Texas State 69	0.512	Georgia Southern 67 - Texas State 64	-2
Georgia State 76 - Texas Arlington 66	0.813	Georgia State 83 - Texas Arlington 77	4
Houston 77 - Texas El Paso 61	0.871	Houston 77 - Texas El Paso 57	-4
Lafayette 91 - Unranked 53		Lafayette 96 - Unranked 56
Long Beach State 71 - Southern Utah 70	0.51	Long Beach State 63 - Southern Utah 84	22
Longwood 73 - The Citadel 71	0.587	Longwood 99 - The Citadel 102	5
Loyola Marymount 76 - Portland State 68	0.79	Loyola Marymount 66 - Portland State 76	18
Marshall 79 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.831	Marshall 90 - Eastern Kentucky 72	-5
Portland 76 - Jackson State 58	0.942	Portland 63 - Jackson State 73	28
Princeton 71 - Hofstra 72	0.506	Princeton 72 - Hofstra 87	14
Rice 91 - Unranked 55		Rice 103 - Unranked 70
Saint Josephs 72 - William and Mary 77	0.62	Saint Josephs 84 - William and Mary 69	-20
Seton Hall 71 - Maryland 75	0.626	Seton Hall 52 - Maryland 48	-8
South Alabama 70 - Appalachian State 65	0.647	South Alabama 71 - Appalachian State 81	15
Troy 67 - Coastal Carolina 76	0.72	Troy 77 - Coastal Carolina 59	-27
UC Riverside 68 - Northern Arizona 64	0.607	UC Riverside 56 - Northern Arizona 63	11
UL Monroe 64 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.626	UL Monroe 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	-3
Washington State 79 - Florida AM 58	0.937	Washington State 87 - Florida AM 73	7
Western Illinois 87 - Unranked 59		Western Illinois 91 - Unranked 64

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - North Alabama 69	0.596	Alabama AM 92 - North Alabama 80	-16
Alcorn State 82 - Unranked 59		Alcorn State 122 - Unranked 71
Clemson 74 - Jacksonville 60	0.849	Clemson 68 - Jacksonville 39	-15
Fordham 72 - James Madison 67	0.662	Fordham 69 - James Madison 75	11
Fresno State 77 - IUPUI 62	0.814	Fresno State 95 - IUPUI 64	-16
Georgia 74 - Southern Methodist 70	0.634	Georgia 87 - Southern Methodist 85	2
Illinois Chicago 64 - UC Irvine 72	0.672	Illinois Chicago 76 - UC Irvine 67	-17
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Delaware 75	0.685	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Delaware 75	-13
Marquette 79 - North Dakota State 60	0.898	Marquette 82 - North Dakota State 68	5
Massachusetts 78 - Maine 58	0.877	Massachusetts 74 - Maine 53	-1
Mercer 65 - Furman 79	0.812	Mercer 62 - Furman 64	-12
Navy 67 - Mt St Marys 57	0.768	Navy 59 - Mt St Marys 48	-1
Norfolk State 58 - Bowling Green 80	0.955	Norfolk State 72 - Bowling Green 67	-27
Penn State 93 - Central Connecticut State 49	0.972	Penn State 87 - Central Connecticut State 58	15
Pittsburgh 81 - Binghamton 57	0.933	Pittsburgh 79 - Binghamton 53	-2
Quinnipiac 71 - Drexel 72	0.531	Quinnipiac 63 - Drexel 72	8
Santa Clara 88 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.939	Santa Clara 100 - Mississippi Valley State 71	4
South Dakota 72 - Northern Colorado 68	0.619	South Dakota 68 - Northern Colorado 87	23
Towson 59 - Liberty 70	0.823	Towson 54 - Liberty 66	1
Tulane 66 - Akron 73	0.697	Tulane 61 - Akron 62	-6
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Southern 59	0.943	UC Santa Barbara 77 - Southern 68	9
Vermont 74 - Lipscomb 61	0.87	Vermont 86 - Lipscomb 63	-10

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 67 - Nicholls State 70	0.58	Abilene Christian 79 - Nicholls State 61	-21
Air Force 70 - Drake 69	0.503	Air Force 80 - Drake 85	6
Alabama 76 - Belmont 75	0.517	Alabama 92 - Belmont 72	-19
Alabama State 58 - Alabama Birmingham 73	0.87	Alabama State 63 - Alabama Birmingham 71	-7
American 67 - Stony Brook 69	0.575	American 74 - Stony Brook 77	1
Arizona State 75 - Creighton 69	0.66	Arizona State 60 - Creighton 67	13
Arkansas 80 - Valparaiso 62	0.871	Arkansas 72 - Valparaiso 68	14
Auburn 88 - Lehigh 56	0.983	Auburn 74 - Lehigh 51	9
Bethune Cookman 67 - Marist 61	0.677	Bethune Cookman 85 - Marist 56	-23
Bowling Green 79 - Quinnipiac 66	0.838	Bowling Green 64 - Quinnipiac 69	18
Brigham Young 83 - Weber State 54	0.941	Brigham Young 91 - Weber State 61	-1
Buffalo 84 - Niagara 64	0.864	Buffalo 92 - Niagara 72	0
Cal Poly 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.525	Cal Poly 50 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	23
California 69 - Boston College 67	0.548	California 60 - Boston College 64	6
Campbell 85 - Unranked 53		Campbell 82 - Unranked 59
Central Arkansas 72 - Texas AM CC 68	0.62	Central Arkansas 71 - Texas AM CC 67	0
College of Charleston 79 - South Carolina State 58	0.927	College of Charleston 73 - South Carolina State 61	9
Dartmouth 69 - Bryant 65	0.602	Dartmouth 60 - Bryant 64	8
Dayton 74 - Colorado 69	0.683	Dayton 76 - Colorado 78	7
Denver 68 - Wyoming 67	0.502	Denver 66 - Wyoming 72	7
DePaul 76 - Northwestern 64	0.753	DePaul 83 - Northwestern 78	7
Detroit 76 - SIU Edwardsville 66	0.726	Detroit 81 - SIU Edwardsville 55	-16
Duquesne 78 - Austin Peay 62	0.863	Duquesne 86 - Austin Peay 77	7
East Tennessee State 79 - Cleveland State 57	0.926	East Tennessee State 80 - Cleveland State 55	-3
Eastern Kentucky 69 - Charleston Southern 70	0.509	Eastern Kentucky 69 - Charleston Southern 76	6
Evansville 73 - Murray State 70	0.569	Evansville 78 - Murray State 76	1
Florida 69 - Utah State 71	0.548	Florida 62 - Utah State 65	1
Florida Gulf Coast 79 - Unranked 56		Florida Gulf Coast 84 - Unranked 62
Florida State 75 - South Florida 61	0.789	Florida State 66 - South Florida 60	8
George Mason 77 - UMBC 58	0.894	George Mason 69 - UMBC 53	3
George Washington 66 - Harvard 70	0.587	George Washington 75 - Harvard 88	9
Georgetown 88 - Samford 63	0.953	Georgetown 99 - Samford 71	-3
Georgia Southern 70 - Texas Arlington 71	0.514	Georgia Southern 77 - Texas Arlington 74	-4
Georgia State 74 - Texas State 64	0.816	Georgia State 81 - Texas State 69	-2
Gonzaga 89 - Eastern Washington 67	0.946	Gonzaga 112 - Eastern Washington 77	-13
Grand Canyon 71 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.609	Grand Canyon 85 - Eastern Illinois 63	-18
High Point 81 - Unranked 58		High Point 92 - Unranked 66
Iowa 77 - Cincinnati 71	0.689	Iowa 77 - Cincinnati 70	-1
Kent State 84 - Hampton 59	0.945	Kent State 103 - Hampton 64	-14
Kentucky 67 - Ohio State 73	0.648	Kentucky 65 - Ohio State 71	0
La Salle 81 - Fairleigh Dickinson 58	0.956	La Salle 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 58	15
Liberty 67 - Akron 63	0.61	Liberty 80 - Akron 67	-9
Long Beach State 76 - Utah Valley 69	0.693	Long Beach State 68 - Utah Valley 65	4
Louisiana Tech 92 - Unranked 47		Louisiana Tech 87 - Unranked 47
Loyola MD 88 - Unranked 54		Loyola MD 72 - Unranked 45
Memphis 90 - Jackson State 50	0.968	Memphis 77 - Jackson State 49	12
Miami 83 - Coppin State 62	0.904	Miami 91 - Coppin State 60	-10
Miami OH 65 - Bradley 73	0.678	Miami OH 71 - Bradley 55	-24
Michigan 89 - Presbyterian 48	0.976	Michigan 86 - Presbyterian 44	-1
Michigan State 79 - Eastern Michigan 58	0.913	Michigan State 101 - Eastern Michigan 48	-32
Middle Tennessee 62 - Saint Bonaventure 73	0.748	Middle Tennessee 65 - Saint Bonaventure 66	-10
Mississippi 84 - Southeast Louisiana 57	0.939	Mississippi 83 - Southeast Louisiana 76	20
Missouri 67 - Illinois 72	0.601	Missouri 63 - Illinois 56	-12
Monmouth 69 - Albany 64	0.631	Monmouth 72 - Albany 70	3
Nebraska 82 - North Dakota 66	0.825	Nebraska 74 - North Dakota 75	17
Nevada 71 - Saint Marys 73	0.554	Nevada 63 - Saint Marys 68	3
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Robert Morris 61	0.86	Nevada Las Vegas 81 - Robert Morris 69	3
Norfolk State 66 - Drexel 71	0.661	Norfolk State 49 - Drexel 53	-1
North Carolina 76 - UCLA 71	0.657	North Carolina 74 - UCLA 64	-5
North Texas 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.949	North Texas 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	-9
Northern Illinois 75 - Green Bay 66	0.73	Northern Illinois 84 - Green Bay 85	10
Northwestern State 62 - Lamar 74	0.806	Northwestern State 67 - Lamar 61	-18
Notre Dame 68 - Indiana 75	0.699	Notre Dame 60 - Indiana 62	-5
Oakland 69 - Fairfield 60	0.8	Oakland 59 - Fairfield 61	11
Ohio 76 - Morehead State 63	0.856	Ohio 82 - Morehead State 76	7
Oklahoma 77 - Central Florida 68	0.765	Oklahoma 53 - Central Florida 52	8
Oklahoma State 73 - Minnesota 66	0.657	Oklahoma State 66 - Minnesota 86	27
Omaha 69 - Montana 70	0.509	Omaha 87 - Montana 82	-6
Oral Roberts 70 - Missouri State 69	0.513	Oral Roberts 82 - Missouri State 72	-9
Oregon 89 - Texas Southern 60	0.962	Oregon 84 - Texas Southern 78	23
Pacific 75 - Idaho State 59	0.913	Pacific 77 - Idaho State 66	5
Pennsylvania 95 - Unranked 51		Pennsylvania 105 - Unranked 57
Pepperdine 78 - Northern Arizona 70	0.733	Pepperdine 75 - Northern Arizona 73	6
Providence 67 - Texas 71	0.594	Providence 70 - Texas 48	-26
Purdue 66 - Butler 70	0.612	Purdue 61 - Butler 70	5
Rhode Island 78 - Western Kentucky 69	0.737	Rhode Island 86 - Western Kentucky 82	5
Saint Johns 68 - Arizona 79	0.766	Saint Johns 70 - Arizona 67	-14
Saint Louis 69 - Kansas State 66	0.588	Saint Louis 66 - Kansas State 63	0
Sam Houston State 76 - New Orleans 65	0.829	Sam Houston State 87 - New Orleans 79	3
San Francisco 81 - UC Davis 62	0.914	San Francisco 93 - UC Davis 84	10
Seattle 73 - Florida AM 61	0.848	Seattle 57 - Florida AM 71	26
Siena 74 - Bucknell 70	0.613	Siena 81 - Bucknell 71	-6
South Alabama 73 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.548	South Alabama 69 - Coastal Carolina 81	14
South Carolina Upstate 81 - Unranked 59		South Carolina Upstate 92 - Unranked 74
South Dakota State 77 - Idaho 61	0.906	South Dakota State 85 - Idaho 57	-12
Southern California 75 - Louisiana State 76	0.505	Southern California 70 - Louisiana State 68	-3
Southern Illinois 74 - SE Missouri State 61	0.882	Southern Illinois 64 - SE Missouri State 45	-6
Southern Miss 85 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 96 - Unranked 77
Stanford 80 - San Diego 60	0.923	Stanford 62 - San Diego 59	17
Syracuse 82 - North Florida 65	0.852	Syracuse 82 - North Florida 70	5
Temple 79 - Rider 65	0.797	Temple 78 - Rider 66	2
Tennessee 81 - Jacksonville State 50	0.974	Tennessee 75 - Jacksonville State 53	9
Tennessee State 89 - Unranked 53		Tennessee State 86 - Unranked 71
Tennessee Tech 63 - Western Carolina 75	0.806	Tennessee Tech 76 - Western Carolina 89	1
Texas AM 62 - Oregon State 74	0.864	Texas AM 64 - Oregon State 49	-27
Texas San Antonio 71 - Illinois State 73	0.55	Texas San Antonio 89 - Illinois State 70	-21
Texas Tech 85 - Texas Pan American 53	0.979	Texas Tech 68 - Texas Pan American 58	22
Toledo 75 - Wright State 68	0.723	Toledo 72 - Wright State 79	14
Towson 68 - Tulane 70	0.561	Towson 86 - Tulane 82	-6
Troy 64 - Appalachian State 70	0.683	Troy 65 - Appalachian State 70	-1
Tulsa 73 - Colorado State 66	0.684	Tulsa 104 - Colorado State 111	14
UL Lafayette 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.508	UL Lafayette 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	4
UL Monroe 66 - Arkansas State 69	0.582	UL Monroe 59 - Arkansas State 62	0
UMass Lowell 73 - Boston 68	0.651	UMass Lowell 62 - Boston 74	17
UNC Asheville 73 - Chattanooga 70	0.577	UNC Asheville 64 - Chattanooga 68	7
UNC Greensboro 70 - Northern Kentucky 63	0.705	UNC Greensboro 67 - Northern Kentucky 50	-10
Utah 66 - San Diego State 75	0.645	Utah 52 - San Diego State 80	19
Vanderbilt 78 - UNC Wilmington 60	0.899	Vanderbilt 88 - UNC Wilmington 73	3
Villanova 73 - Kansas 77	0.609	Villanova 56 - Kansas 55	-5
Virginia Tech 84 - Virginia Military Institute 57	0.951	Virginia Tech 64 - Virginia Military Institute 55	18
Wagner 71 - Army 72	0.52	Wagner 82 - Army 62	-21
Wake Forest 80 - North Carolina AT 58	0.921	Wake Forest 76 - North Carolina AT 64	10
Washington State 83 - Incarnate Word 53	0.965	Washington State 87 - Incarnate Word 59	2
Wichita State 75 - Virginia Commonwealth 65	0.772	Wichita State 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 63	0
Winthrop 77 - Elon 63	0.837	Winthrop 85 - Elon 80	9
Wisconsin 78 - Milwaukee 56	0.941	Wisconsin 83 - Milwaukee 64	3
Youngstown State 58 - West Virginia 81	0.956	Youngstown State 64 - West Virginia 75	-12

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 77 - Alabama State 63	0.844	Austin Peay 80 - Alabama State 69	3
Boise State 73 - Georgia Tech 69	0.593	Boise State 60 - Georgia Tech 74	18
Cal Baptist 87 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.921	Cal Baptist 103 - Mississippi Valley State 66	-8
Cal State Northridge 87 - Unranked 58		Cal State Northridge 85 - Unranked 50
Clemson 69 - Yale 70	0.509	Clemson 45 - Yale 54	8
Colgate 74 - Columbia 65	0.771	Colgate 89 - Columbia 71	-9
Connecticut 81 - New Hampshire 56	0.944	Connecticut 88 - New Hampshire 62	-1
Duquesne 73 - Alabama Birmingham 59	0.857	Duquesne 68 - Alabama Birmingham 77	23
East Carolina 68 - Charlotte 72	0.593	East Carolina 60 - Charlotte 56	-8
Hartford 66 - Cornell 65	0.512	Hartford 80 - Cornell 76	-3
Hawaii 71 - Texas El Paso 65	0.678	Hawaii 67 - Texas El Paso 63	2
Hofstra 74 - Manhattan 60	0.793	Hofstra 63 - Manhattan 51	2
Holy Cross 68 - Sacred Heart 75	0.649	Holy Cross 68 - Sacred Heart 89	14
Howard 61 - Harvard 82	0.914	Howard 55 - Harvard 60	-16
Indiana State 89 - Chicago State 56	0.949	Indiana State 85 - Chicago State 64	12
Iowa State 84 - IPFW 62	0.918	Iowa State 89 - IPFW 59	-8
Kennesaw St 61 - Wofford 78	0.826	Kennesaw St 70 - Wofford 83	-4
LIU Brooklyn 73 - Saint Peters 65	0.749	LIU Brooklyn 58 - Saint Peters 69	19
Loyola Ill 68 - Davidson 69	0.501	Loyola Ill 56 - Davidson 59	2
Loyola Marymount 75 - Cal State Fullerton 60	0.916	Loyola Marymount 53 - Cal State Fullerton 46	8
Mercer 69 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.517	Mercer 50 - Florida Atlantic 65	14
Mississippi State 74 - New Mexico State 61	0.835	Mississippi State 52 - New Mexico State 58	19
NC State 92 - The Citadel 63	0.975	NC State 83 - The Citadel 63	9
New Mexico 93 - Houston Baptist 66	0.964	New Mexico 107 - Houston Baptist 88	8
NJ Tech 82 - Unranked 57		NJ Tech 74 - Unranked 46
Northern Iowa 82 - Marshall 61	0.949	Northern Iowa 88 - Marshall 80	13
Old Dominion 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 54	0.926	Old Dominion 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	-4
Portland 61 - Houston 80	0.935	Portland 56 - Houston 81	6
Richmond 77 - Radford 62	0.841	Richmond 58 - Radford 73	30
Rutgers 79 - Lafayette 63	0.825	Rutgers 63 - Lafayette 44	-3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 76 - Delaware State 64	0.834	Saint Francis Brooklyn 81 - Delaware State 62	-7
San Jose State 64 - UC Riverside 65	0.517	San Jose State 65 - UC Riverside 80	14
Seton Hall 83 - Prairie View 62	0.934	Seton Hall 75 - Prairie View 55	1
South Dakota 76 - UMKC 63	0.874	South Dakota 75 - UMKC 78	16
Stetson 65 - Florida International 74	0.703	Stetson 67 - Florida International 83	7
Texas Christian 72 - Xavier 70	0.575	Texas Christian 59 - Xavier 67	10
UC Santa Barbara 71 - Merrimack 58	0.782	UC Santa Barbara 68 - Merrimack 50	-5
Virginia 72 - South Carolina 56	0.838	Virginia 59 - South Carolina 70	27
Washington 74 - Ball State 63	0.752	Washington 85 - Ball State 64	-10
William and Mary 74 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.608	William and Mary 72 - Saint Francis Penn 78	10

Number of DI Games: 294
Number Correct: 214 = 72.7%
Expected Number Correct: 226.144 = 76.9%
Average Error: 9.64
Average Signed Error: 1.82

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 77 - Portland 64	0.79	Boise State 85 - Portland 69	-3
Dayton 90 - Grambling State 56	0.97	Dayton 81 - Grambling State 53	6
Fresno State 72 - San Francisco 74	0.569	Fresno State 69 - San Francisco 71	0
Georgia 81 - Georgia Southern 70	0.776	Georgia 73 - Georgia Southern 64	2
Georgia Tech 63 - Houston 76	0.783	Georgia Tech 59 - Houston 70	-2
Hawaii 69 - Washington 74	0.667	Hawaii 61 - Washington 72	6
Seattle 71 - Long Beach State 70	0.515	Seattle 79 - Long Beach State 57	-21
Siena 72 - Canisius 67	0.628	Siena 73 - Canisius 72	4
Southern Methodist 73 - Georgia State 70	0.621	Southern Methodist 85 - Georgia State 76	-6
Texas El Paso 65 - Ball State 66	0.507	Texas El Paso 71 - Ball State 70	-2

GAMES OF 12-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 73 - Portland 62	0.735	Ball State 61 - Portland 46	-4
Hawaii 72 - Georgia Tech 66	0.647	Hawaii 53 - Georgia Tech 70	23
Texas El Paso 68 - Boise State 70	0.549	Texas El Paso 67 - Boise State 72	3
Washington 71 - Houston 72	0.542	Washington 71 - Houston 75	3

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Loyola MD 74 - UMass Lowell 67	0.688	Loyola MD 93 - UMass Lowell 81	-5
Mt St Marys 69 - Coppin State 67	0.569	Mt St Marys 79 - Coppin State 55	-22

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 89 - Unranked 49		Alabama Birmingham 82 - Unranked 49
Arizona State 83 - Texas Southern 64	0.834	Arizona State 98 - Texas Southern 81	2
Arkansas State 89 - Unranked 51		Arkansas State 84 - Unranked 73
Boise State 81 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.871	Boise State 103 - Cal State Northridge 72	-14
Bradley 72 - Toledo 66	0.616	Bradley 78 - Toledo 66	-6
Brigham Young 82 - Oral Roberts 65	0.883	Brigham Young 79 - Oral Roberts 73	11
Butler 82 - UL Monroe 51	0.97	Butler 67 - UL Monroe 36	0
Cal Baptist 92 - Unranked 54		Cal Baptist 92 - Unranked 75
Charleston Southern 83 - Unranked 56		Charleston Southern 108 - Unranked 52
Colorado State 94 - Unranked 52		Colorado State 87 - Unranked 62
Columbia 73 - Marist 57	0.86	Columbia 69 - Marist 54	1
Creighton 100 - Unranked 47		Creighton 91 - Unranked 54
Delaware 77 - UNC Wilmington 61	0.877	Delaware 82 - UNC Wilmington 68	2
Drexel 68 - College of Charleston 70	0.541	Drexel 65 - College of Charleston 76	9
Duke 89 - Brown 55	0.966	Duke 75 - Brown 50	9
East Carolina 79 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.862	East Carolina 82 - Eastern Kentucky 74	7
Florida 83 - Long Beach State 59	0.938	Florida 102 - Long Beach State 63	-15
Florida State 86 - North Alabama 53	0.976	Florida State 88 - North Alabama 71	16
Fresno State 71 - UC Riverside 61	0.78	Fresno State 57 - UC Riverside 60	13
George Washington 75 - Longwood 61	0.874	George Washington 78 - Longwood 65	1
Georgetown 86 - American 62	0.962	Georgetown 80 - American 60	4
Hampton 65 - Saint Peters 71	0.665	Hampton 70 - Saint Peters 67	-9
Idaho State 70 - Idaho 63	0.721	Idaho State 62 - Idaho 60	5
Illinois Chicago 72 - Cleveland State 62	0.732	Illinois Chicago 71 - Cleveland State 66	5
IUPUI 67 - Youngstown State 70	0.568	IUPUI 73 - Youngstown State 83	7
Jacksonville State 85 - Unranked 54		Jacksonville State 120 - Unranked 56
James Madison 74 - Hofstra 75	0.531	James Madison 76 - Hofstra 82	5
Kentucky 68 - Louisville 69	0.532	Kentucky 78 - Louisville 70	-9
La Salle 78 - Bucknell 63	0.852	La Salle 71 - Bucknell 59	3
LIU Brooklyn 89 - Unranked 57		LIU Brooklyn 125 - Unranked 84
Loyola Marymount 76 - Morgan State 62	0.878	Loyola Marymount 71 - Morgan State 74	17
Marquette 91 - Central Arkansas 61	0.962	Marquette 106 - Central Arkansas 54	-22
Memphis 87 - New Orleans 55	0.972	Memphis 97 - New Orleans 55	-10
Mercer 85 - Unranked 56		Mercer 104 - Unranked 53
Minnesota 83 - Florida International 63	0.861	Minnesota 89 - Florida International 62	-7
Montana 72 - Northern Arizona 65	0.714	Montana 79 - Northern Arizona 72	0
Montana State 65 - Sacramento State 66	0.537	Montana State 66 - Sacramento State 51	-16
Morehead State 84 - Unranked 57		Morehead State 102 - Unranked 46
Murray State 90 - Unranked 51		Murray State 81 - Unranked 46
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.559	Nevada Las Vegas 64 - Eastern Michigan 49	-12
North Texas 91 - Unranked 50		North Texas 102 - Unranked 64
Northern Kentucky 76 - Milwaukee 62	0.904	Northern Kentucky 74 - Milwaukee 64	4
Oakland 75 - Detroit 62	0.801	Oakland 78 - Detroit 69	4
Portland State 71 - Northern Colorado 73	0.564	Portland State 69 - Northern Colorado 65	-6
Purdue 83 - Central Michigan 62	0.89	Purdue 97 - Central Michigan 62	-14
Saint Marys 83 - Seattle 54	0.953	Saint Marys 84 - Seattle 58	3
San Diego State 86 - Cal Poly 47	0.995	San Diego State 73 - Cal Poly 57	23
San Jose State 69 - Pepperdine 77	0.693	San Jose State 83 - Pepperdine 68	-23
South Alabama 90 - Unranked 55		South Alabama 76 - Unranked 47
Stephen F Austin 95 - Unranked 49		Stephen F Austin 94 - Unranked 62
Syracuse 85 - Niagara 60	0.918	Syracuse 71 - Niagara 57	11
Tennessee 69 - Wisconsin 63	0.677	Tennessee 48 - Wisconsin 68	26
Texas San Antonio 91 - Unranked 57		Texas San Antonio 99 - Unranked 64
Towson 71 - Northeastern 68	0.603	Towson 45 - Northeastern 61	19
UC Irvine 69 - Pacific 65	0.598	UC Irvine 69 - Pacific 56	-9
UCLA 78 - Cal State Fullerton 59	0.935	UCLA 74 - Cal State Fullerton 77	22
UNC Greensboro 92 - Unranked 44		UNC Greensboro 106 - Unranked 34
Utah State 99 - Unranked 47		Utah State 129 - Unranked 61
Utah Valley 87 - Unranked 57		Utah Valley 80 - Unranked 65
Wagner 68 - Fairfield 69	0.512	Wagner 54 - Fairfield 66	11
Weber State 68 - Eastern Washington 77	0.706	Weber State 77 - Eastern Washington 79	-7
Western Carolina 93 - Unranked 55		Western Carolina 108 - Unranked 47
Western Kentucky 75 - Belmont 72	0.586	Western Kentucky 62 - Belmont 79	20
Wright State 81 - Green Bay 67	0.866	Wright State 90 - Green Bay 84	8
Wyoming 83 - Unranked 54		Wyoming 82 - Unranked 68

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 76 - Richmond 71	0.648	Alabama 90 - Richmond 78	-7
Auburn 86 - Lipscomb 58	0.962	Auburn 86 - Lipscomb 59	1
Binghamton 84 - Unranked 58		Binghamton 98 - Unranked 45
California 69 - Harvard 68	0.518	California 63 - Harvard 71	9
Central Connecticut State 79 - Unranked 62		Central Connecticut State 89 - Unranked 55
Chattanooga 88 - Unranked 52		Chattanooga 72 - Unranked 42
Colorado 83 - Iona 58	0.973	Colorado 99 - Iona 54	-20
Connecticut 82 - NJ Tech 54	0.962	Connecticut 69 - NJ Tech 47	6
Denver 64 - North Dakota State 73	0.763	Denver 55 - North Dakota State 66	2
East Tennessee State 95 - Unranked 47		East Tennessee State 117 - Unranked 48
Hawaii 81 - Maine 55	0.958	Hawaii 91 - Maine 51	-14
Illinois 83 - North Carolina AT 56	0.957	Illinois 95 - North Carolina AT 64	-4
Indiana 72 - Arkansas 68	0.612	Indiana 64 - Arkansas 71	11
Iowa 91 - Kennesaw St 51	0.966	Iowa 93 - Kennesaw St 51	-2
Kansas State 73 - Tulsa 66	0.683	Kansas State 69 - Tulsa 67	5
Louisiana State 71 - Liberty 67	0.611	Louisiana State 74 - Liberty 57	-13
Marshall 66 - Duquesne 78	0.792	Marshall 83 - Duquesne 61	-34
Maryland 82 - Bryant 57	0.945	Maryland 84 - Bryant 70	11
Merrimack 64 - Boston 65	0.526	Merrimack 67 - Boston 69	1
Michigan 87 - UMass Lowell 57	0.958	Michigan 86 - UMass Lowell 60	4
Michigan State 89 - Western Michigan 57	0.965	Michigan State 95 - Western Michigan 62	-1
Middle Tennessee 64 - Rhode Island 80	0.875	Middle Tennessee 62 - Rhode Island 89	11
Mississippi 82 - Tennessee Tech 54	0.946	Mississippi 80 - Tennessee Tech 63	11
NC State 79 - Appalachian State 63	0.929	NC State 72 - Appalachian State 60	4
Nebraska 80 - Texas AM CC 60	0.876	Nebraska 73 - Texas AM CC 52	-1
New Mexico 82 - UC Davis 64	0.911	New Mexico 74 - UC Davis 69	13
New Mexico State 91 - Unranked 47		New Mexico State 104 - Unranked 30
Northwestern 79 - Hartford 58	0.899	Northwestern 66 - Hartford 67	22
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 60		Northwestern State 101 - Unranked 61
Notre Dame 84 - Alabama AM 59	0.92	Notre Dame 82 - Alabama AM 56	-1
Ohio 73 - Campbell 64	0.781	Ohio 55 - Campbell 63	17
Ohio State 72 - West Virginia 69	0.577	Ohio State 59 - West Virginia 67	11
Oklahoma State 86 - Southeast Louisiana 54	0.952	Oklahoma State 82 - Southeast Louisiana 31	-19
Omaha 73 - South Dakota State 71	0.528	Omaha 81 - South Dakota State 78	-1
Oregon 91 - Alabama State 51	0.975	Oregon 98 - Alabama State 59	1
Oregon State 81 - North Dakota 63	0.896	Oregon State 83 - North Dakota 66	1
Penn State 86 - Cornell 55	0.987	Penn State 90 - Cornell 59	0
Presbyterian 79 - Unranked 59		Presbyterian 81 - Unranked 56
Princeton 74 - Lehigh 68	0.73	Princeton 71 - Lehigh 62	-3
Radford 90 - Unranked 51		Radford 90 - Unranked 45
Rice 76 - Sam Houston State 71	0.626	Rice 61 - Sam Houston State 75	19
Sacred Heart 72 - Lafayette 70	0.563	Sacred Heart 66 - Lafayette 67	3
Saint Louis 81 - Bethune Cookman 55	0.933	Saint Louis 77 - Bethune Cookman 67	16
San Diego 90 - Unranked 51		San Diego 93 - Unranked 67
Santa Clara 81 - Alcorn State 59	0.936	Santa Clara 92 - Alcorn State 57	-13
SE Missouri State 82 - Unranked 57		SE Missouri State 74 - Unranked 59
Siena 80 - Holy Cross 63	0.841	Siena 74 - Holy Cross 62	5
SIU Edwardsville 79 - Unranked 62		SIU Edwardsville 96 - Unranked 48
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Virginia Military Institute 69	0.519	South Carolina Upstate 91 - Virginia Military Institute 82	-10
South Florida 72 - Florida Atlantic 61	0.759	South Florida 60 - Florida Atlantic 58	9
Southern California 84 - Florida Gulf Coast 52	0.973	Southern California 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 58	19
Stanford 68 - Kansas 75	0.692	Stanford 56 - Kansas 72	9
Stony Brook 75 - Norfolk State 57	0.925	Stony Brook 81 - Norfolk State 65	2
Tennessee Martin 87 - Unranked 60		Tennessee Martin 92 - Unranked 72
Texas Tech 80 - Cal State Bakersfield 56	0.946	Texas Tech 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	9
UL Lafayette 69 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.624	UL Lafayette 77 - UC Santa Barbara 85	5
Virginia 70 - Navy 48	0.92	Virginia 65 - Navy 56	13
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Loyola MD 60	0.951	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Loyola MD 51	-14
Virginia Tech 84 - Maryland Eastern Shore 48	0.974	Virginia Tech 92 - Maryland Eastern Shore 37	-19
Washington State 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	0.95	Washington State 65 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 50	9
Western Illinois 67 - South Dakota 76	0.696	Western Illinois 82 - South Dakota 75	-16
Wichita State 83 - Abilene Christian 55	0.965	Wichita State 84 - Abilene Christian 66	10

Number of DI Games: 111
Number Correct: 88 = 79.2%
Expected Number Correct: 87.025 = 78.4%
Average Error: 9.18
Average Signed Error: 1.33

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 76 - Massachusetts 66	0.746	Akron 85 - Massachusetts 79	4
Baylor 86 - Jackson State 49	0.969	Baylor 83 - Jackson State 57	11
Buffalo 72 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.565	Buffalo 84 - Saint Bonaventure 79	-2
Columbia 69 - Albany 66	0.599	Columbia 66 - Albany 67	4
Dayton 88 - North Florida 63	0.966	Dayton 77 - North Florida 59	7
Delaware 70 - College of Charleston 69	0.531	Delaware 63 - College of Charleston 75	13
Delaware State 81 - Unranked 64		Delaware State 76 - Unranked 78
DePaul 72 - Seton Hall 73	0.53	DePaul 66 - Seton Hall 74	7
Drexel 74 - UNC Wilmington 64	0.772	Drexel 71 - UNC Wilmington 66	5
Eastern Michigan 87 - Unranked 50		Eastern Michigan 88 - Unranked 53
Elon 67 - William and Mary 74	0.711	Elon 73 - William and Mary 74	-6
Fordham 72 - Coppin State 62	0.752	Fordham 62 - Coppin State 56	4
Georgia 82 - Austin Peay 67	0.866	Georgia 78 - Austin Peay 48	-15
Georgia State 95 - Unranked 51		Georgia State 83 - Unranked 53
Gonzaga 96 - Detroit 57	0.981	Gonzaga 93 - Detroit 72	18
Howard 63 - Pennsylvania 83	0.899	Howard 62 - Pennsylvania 81	-1
Idaho State 66 - Eastern Washington 78	0.775	Idaho State 75 - Eastern Washington 69	-18
Illinois Chicago 71 - Youngstown State 67	0.611	Illinois Chicago 64 - Youngstown State 70	10
Indiana State 73 - Southern Illinois 64	0.78	Indiana State 68 - Southern Illinois 56	-3
IUPUI 70 - Cleveland State 67	0.565	IUPUI 80 - Cleveland State 82	5
Jacksonville 75 - South Carolina State 61	0.823	Jacksonville 52 - South Carolina State 58	20
James Madison 72 - Northeastern 73	0.544	James Madison 72 - Northeastern 88	15
Memphis 82 - Tulane 62	0.935	Memphis 84 - Tulane 73	9
Miami OH 87 - Unranked 53		Miami OH 119 - Unranked 52
Mississippi State 75 - Kent State 66	0.749	Mississippi State 96 - Kent State 68	-19
Missouri 87 - Chicago State 51	0.959	Missouri 91 - Chicago State 33	-22
Montana 68 - Sacramento State 61	0.737	Montana 52 - Sacramento State 50	5
Montana State 73 - Northern Arizona 66	0.663	Montana State 63 - Northern Arizona 61	5
New Hampshire 68 - Dartmouth 67	0.526	New Hampshire 70 - Dartmouth 56	-13
North Carolina 74 - Yale 69	0.669	North Carolina 70 - Yale 67	2
North Carolina Central 81 - Unranked 56		North Carolina Central 108 - Unranked 63
Northern Kentucky 79 - Green Bay 67	0.829	Northern Kentucky 59 - Green Bay 73	26
Oklahoma 86 - Texas Pan American 59	0.963	Oklahoma 91 - Texas Pan American 72	8
Pittsburgh 76 - Canisius 59	0.865	Pittsburgh 87 - Canisius 79	9
Portland State 72 - Southern Utah 69	0.595	Portland State 81 - Southern Utah 83	5
Prairie View 88 - Unranked 57		Prairie View 92 - Unranked 77
Rutgers 96 - Unranked 45		Rutgers 94 - Unranked 49
San Francisco 76 - Harvard 69	0.684	San Francisco 81 - Harvard 84	10
South Carolina 83 - Stetson 55	0.952	South Carolina 56 - Stetson 63	35
Southern Miss 63 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.752	Southern Miss 49 - Louisiana Tech 80	23
Texas 82 - High Point 53	0.96	Texas 89 - High Point 58	-2
Texas AM 75 - Texas Southern 65	0.741	Texas AM 58 - Texas Southern 55	7
Texas Christian 72 - George Mason 65	0.717	Texas Christian 87 - George Mason 53	-27
Towson 69 - Hofstra 70	0.534	Towson 67 - Hofstra 75	7
UMBC 85 - Unranked 56		UMBC 89 - Unranked 57
Valparaiso 69 - Loyola Ill 70	0.51	Valparaiso 63 - Loyola Ill 66	2
Vanderbilt 71 - Davidson 72	0.541	Vanderbilt 76 - Davidson 71	-6
Villanova 76 - Xavier 69	0.741	Villanova 68 - Xavier 62	1
Weber State 72 - Idaho 62	0.761	Weber State 69 - Idaho 68	9
Wright State 77 - Milwaukee 63	0.927	Wright State 82 - Milwaukee 70	2

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - UC Riverside 66	0.6	Air Force 105 - UC Riverside 56	-46
Bowling Green 76 - Hartford 63	0.84	Bowling Green 81 - Hartford 68	0
Bradley 71 - Drake 65	0.642	Bradley 80 - Drake 72	-2
Cal State Northridge 74 - Morgan State 70	0.612	Cal State Northridge 93 - Morgan State 82	-7
Central Florida 68 - Temple 70	0.565	Central Florida 58 - Temple 62	2
Clemson 71 - Miami 70	0.529	Clemson 68 - Miami 73	6
Duke 83 - Boston College 59	0.948	Duke 88 - Boston College 49	-15
Florida State 78 - Georgia Tech 63	0.825	Florida State 70 - Georgia Tech 58	3
Illinois State 64 - Northern Iowa 75	0.814	Illinois State 76 - Northern Iowa 70	-17
Iowa State 88 - Florida AM 56	0.984	Iowa State 68 - Florida AM 70	34
Missouri State 73 - Evansville 67	0.663	Missouri State 65 - Evansville 52	-7
Providence 71 - Georgetown 75	0.587	Providence 76 - Georgetown 60	-20
Saint Johns 68 - Butler 72	0.652	Saint Johns 58 - Butler 60	-2
Vermont 73 - George Washington 59	0.884	Vermont 76 - George Washington 51	-11
Wisconsin 78 - Rider 62	0.832	Wisconsin 65 - Rider 37	-12

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 79 - Wyoming 60	0.891	Boise State 65 - Wyoming 54	8
Cincinnati 72 - Connecticut 67	0.646	Cincinnati 67 - Connecticut 51	-11
Creighton 77 - Marquette 73	0.595	Creighton 92 - Marquette 75	-13
East Tennessee State 77 - Wofford 66	0.791	East Tennessee State 49 - Wofford 48	10
IPFW 71 - South Dakota 70	0.541	IPFW 70 - South Dakota 59	-10
Nevada 78 - Colorado State 69	0.718	Nevada 67 - Colorado State 61	3
Nevada Las Vegas 67 - Utah State 77	0.756	Nevada Las Vegas 70 - Utah State 53	-27
Samford 80 - The Citadel 74	0.699	Samford 69 - The Citadel 68	5
San Diego State 80 - Fresno State 57	0.909	San Diego State 61 - Fresno State 52	14
San Jose State 66 - New Mexico 79	0.788	San Jose State 88 - New Mexico 85	-16
Southern Methodist 73 - South Florida 63	0.735	Southern Methodist 82 - South Florida 64	-8
UNC Greensboro 77 - Mercer 56	0.938	UNC Greensboro 72 - Mercer 63	12
Virginia Military Institute 63 - Furman 78	0.821	Virginia Military Institute 73 - Furman 89	1
Wichita State 85 - East Carolina 57	0.959	Wichita State 75 - East Carolina 69	22

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 70 - Georgia State 71	0.554	Appalachian State 60 - Georgia State 69	8
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Texas State 63	0.622	Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Texas State 68	0
Arkansas State 70 - Texas Arlington 68	0.579	Arkansas State 52 - Texas Arlington 73	23
Austin Peay 78 - SE Missouri State 64	0.884	Austin Peay 78 - SE Missouri State 63	-1
Belmont 87 - SIU Edwardsville 54	0.966	Belmont 69 - SIU Edwardsville 79	43
Boston 69 - Lafayette 68	0.515	Boston 73 - Lafayette 72	0
Brown 65 - Rhode Island 78	0.811	Brown 85 - Rhode Island 75	-23
Bryant 72 - Saint Francis Penn 71	0.529	Bryant 67 - Saint Francis Penn 63	-3
Bucknell 76 - Army 66	0.719	Bucknell 67 - Army 65	8
Cal Baptist 79 - Texas Pan American 64	0.877	Cal Baptist 76 - Texas Pan American 67	6
Campbell 71 - Gardner Webb 62	0.706	Campbell 65 - Gardner Webb 67	11
Central Connecticut State 64 - Robert Morris 71	0.708	Central Connecticut State 78 - Robert Morris 89	4
Charleston Southern 71 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.652	Charleston Southern 89 - South Carolina Upstate 75	-7
Charlotte 66 - Alabama Birmingham 65	0.535	Charlotte 51 - Alabama Birmingham 44	-6
Chicago State 66 - Utah Valley 77	0.744	Chicago State 73 - Utah Valley 94	10
Coastal Carolina 76 - Georgia Southern 71	0.615	Coastal Carolina 67 - Georgia Southern 70	8
Colgate 76 - American 65	0.807	Colgate 65 - American 51	-3
College of Charleston 72 - Towson 63	0.793	College of Charleston 81 - Towson 69	-3
Colorado 73 - Oregon 72	0.518	Colorado 74 - Oregon 65	-8
Dartmouth 61 - Vermont 70	0.757	Dartmouth 68 - Vermont 77	0
Denver 68 - North Dakota 72	0.618	Denver 71 - North Dakota 82	7
Duquesne 68 - Saint Louis 67	0.516	Duquesne 73 - Saint Louis 59	-13
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.611	Eastern Kentucky 74 - Tennessee Tech 59	-12
Florida Atlantic 74 - Texas San Antonio 69	0.652	Florida Atlantic 79 - Texas San Antonio 64	-10
Florida Gulf Coast 54 - Liberty 73	0.927	Florida Gulf Coast 46 - Liberty 59	-6
Florida International 71 - Texas El Paso 70	0.507	Florida International 69 - Texas El Paso 67	-1
Hofstra 76 - William and Mary 68	0.698	Hofstra 61 - William and Mary 88	35
Houston Baptist 81 - Central Arkansas 79	0.581	Houston Baptist 111 - Central Arkansas 107	-2
Idaho 66 - Portland State 73	0.746	Idaho 72 - Portland State 61	-18
Kennesaw St 66 - North Florida 78	0.77	Kennesaw St 57 - North Florida 76	7
La Salle 66 - Dayton 76	0.817	La Salle 58 - Dayton 84	16
Loyola Marymount 68 - San Diego 67	0.514	Loyola Marymount 64 - San Diego 58	-5
Loyola MD 77 - Holy Cross 63	0.809	Loyola MD 80 - Holy Cross 70	4
Maine 63 - Columbia 71	0.696	Maine 75 - Columbia 72	-11
Marshall 78 - Rice 69	0.699	Marshall 89 - Rice 69	-11
Mcneese State 71 - Sam Houston State 76	0.642	Mcneese State 75 - Sam Houston State 94	14
Michigan State 81 - Illinois 68	0.805	Michigan State 76 - Illinois 56	-7
Morehead State 69 - Jacksonville State 68	0.511	Morehead State 72 - Jacksonville State 76	5
Mt St Marys 71 - Wagner 64	0.673	Mt St Marys 47 - Wagner 66	26
Murray State 80 - Tennessee Martin 63	0.88	Murray State 89 - Tennessee Martin 76	4
Navy 70 - Lehigh 61	0.764	Navy 64 - Lehigh 58	3
New Orleans 68 - Lamar 69	0.506	New Orleans 67 - Lamar 74	6
Nicholls State 80 - Incarnate Word 58	0.929	Nicholls State 76 - Incarnate Word 60	6
North Alabama 68 - Jacksonville 67	0.501	North Alabama 62 - Jacksonville 57	-4
North Dakota State 77 - Western Illinois 61	0.832	North Dakota State 94 - Western Illinois 74	-4
Northeastern 78 - Elon 60	0.877	Northeastern 77 - Elon 68	9
Northern Colorado 74 - Montana State 65	0.709	Northern Colorado 68 - Montana State 59	0
Old Dominion 73 - Middle Tennessee 61	0.824	Old Dominion 70 - Middle Tennessee 60	2
Pepperdine 72 - Pacific 70	0.566	Pepperdine 56 - Pacific 59	5
Portland 60 - Gonzaga 87	0.96	Portland 72 - Gonzaga 85	-14
Presbyterian 64 - UNC Asheville 74	0.729	Presbyterian 79 - UNC Asheville 77	-12
Purdue 73 - Minnesota 68	0.614	Purdue 83 - Minnesota 78	0
Richmond 82 - Saint Josephs 66	0.8	Richmond 84 - Saint Josephs 52	-16
Sacred Heart 72 - Merrimack 61	0.727	Sacred Heart 57 - Merrimack 65	19
Saint Francis Brooklyn 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.626	Saint Francis Brooklyn 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	-12
San Francisco 70 - Saint Marys 75	0.619	San Francisco 58 - Saint Marys 69	6
South Dakota State 74 - Oral Roberts 72	0.569	South Dakota State 96 - Oral Roberts 79	-15
Southeast Louisiana 61 - Stephen F Austin 80	0.872	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Stephen F Austin 82	-8
Southern Utah 69 - Montana 66	0.598	Southern Utah 58 - Montana 60	5
Stanford 77 - California 60	0.899	Stanford 68 - California 52	1
Stetson 65 - Lipscomb 72	0.708	Stetson 63 - Lipscomb 66	-4
Tennessee State 71 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.589	Tennessee State 84 - Eastern Illinois 79	-1
Texas AM CC 70 - Northwestern State 63	0.693	Texas AM CC 67 - Northwestern State 62	2
UC Santa Barbara 90 - Unranked 51		UC Santa Barbara 87 - Unranked 66
UL Lafayette 74 - South Alabama 72	0.541	UL Lafayette 57 - South Alabama 60	5
UL Monroe 69 - Troy 66	0.58	UL Monroe 79 - Troy 63	-13
UMKC 71 - Seattle 64	0.686	UMKC 90 - Seattle 86	3
UNC Wilmington 71 - James Madison 74	0.582	UNC Wilmington 60 - James Madison 64	1
Utah 75 - Oregon State 70	0.608	Utah 81 - Oregon State 69	-7
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Fordham 54	0.965	Virginia Commonwealth 64 - Fordham 46	6
Washington 79 - UCLA 66	0.838	Washington 64 - UCLA 66	15
Washington State 70 - Southern California 75	0.647	Washington State 56 - Southern California 65	4
Western Kentucky 73 - North Texas 69	0.617	Western Kentucky 93 - North Texas 84	-5
Winthrop 79 - Longwood 62	0.908	Winthrop 91 - Longwood 67	-7

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Ball State 72 - Toledo 66	0.615	Ball State 61 - Toledo 57	2
Bowling Green 71 - Kent State 73	0.563	Bowling Green 61 - Kent State 79	16
Cal Poly 83 - Unranked 57		Cal Poly 85 - Unranked 82
Cal State Fullerton 84 - Unranked 54		Cal State Fullerton 103 - Unranked 52
Canisius 69 - Manhattan 60	0.744	Canisius 67 - Manhattan 71	13
Detroit 65 - Northern Kentucky 78	0.809	Detroit 66 - Northern Kentucky 58	-21
Drexel 69 - Delaware 70	0.524	Drexel 61 - Delaware 55	-7
Green Bay 76 - Illinois Chicago 71	0.625	Green Bay 85 - Illinois Chicago 71	-9
Houston 76 - Central Florida 63	0.86	Houston 78 - Central Florida 63	-2
Iona 70 - Saint Peters 65	0.635	Iona 74 - Saint Peters 75	6
Marist 62 - Quinnipiac 70	0.745	Marist 58 - Quinnipiac 63	-3
Milwaukee 76 - IUPUI 65	0.771	Milwaukee 78 - IUPUI 74	7
Nebraska 70 - Rutgers 74	0.605	Nebraska 62 - Rutgers 79	13
Niagara 67 - Fairfield 70	0.579	Niagara 75 - Fairfield 66	-12
North Carolina AT 83 - Unranked 57		North Carolina AT 123 - Unranked 61
Oakland 67 - Wright State 70	0.618	Oakland 69 - Wright State 96	24
Ohio State 73 - Wisconsin 64	0.72	Ohio State 57 - Wisconsin 61	13
Seton Hall 77 - Georgetown 72	0.656	Seton Hall 78 - Georgetown 62	-11
Siena 73 - Monmouth 67	0.639	Siena 75 - Monmouth 72	3
Tulsa 68 - Temple 74	0.645	Tulsa 70 - Temple 44	-32
UC Davis 87 - Unranked 55		UC Davis 101 - Unranked 41

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 72 - Georgia Southern 67	0.678	Appalachian State 74 - Georgia Southern 72	3
Arizona 78 - Arizona State 67	0.729	Arizona 75 - Arizona State 47	-17
Arkansas 76 - Texas AM 57	0.877	Arkansas 69 - Texas AM 59	9
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Texas Arlington 66	0.603	Arkansas Little Rock 92 - Texas Arlington 89	0
Arkansas State 68 - Texas State 65	0.599	Arkansas State 67 - Texas State 70	6
Austin Peay 80 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.836	Austin Peay 82 - Tennessee Martin 63	-7
Baylor 74 - Texas 62	0.793	Baylor 59 - Texas 44	-3
Belmont 78 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.77	Belmont 87 - Eastern Illinois 55	-17
Binghamton 67 - Albany 69	0.551	Binghamton 62 - Albany 74	10
Brigham Young 82 - Loyola Marymount 59	0.935	Brigham Young 63 - Loyola Marymount 38	-2
Bryant 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.839	Bryant 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 77	18
Buffalo 76 - Northern Illinois 65	0.77	Buffalo 72 - Northern Illinois 73	12
Butler 75 - Creighton 67	0.753	Butler 71 - Creighton 57	-6
Cal Baptist 69 - New Mexico State 71	0.536	Cal Baptist 71 - New Mexico State 86	13
Cal State Bakersfield 69 - Grand Canyon 68	0.525	Cal State Bakersfield 69 - Grand Canyon 62	-6
Cal State Northridge 87 - Unranked 59		Cal State Northridge 109 - Unranked 75
Campbell 70 - Winthrop 67	0.61	Campbell 72 - Winthrop 87	18
Central Arkansas 75 - Mcneese State 76	0.506	Central Arkansas 79 - Mcneese State 69	-11
Central Connecticut State 61 - Saint Francis Penn 79	0.914	Central Connecticut State 69 - Saint Francis Penn 93	6
Central Michigan 75 - Miami OH 71	0.599	Central Michigan 93 - Miami OH 82	-7
Charlotte 75 - Middle Tennessee 62	0.793	Charlotte 68 - Middle Tennessee 62	7
Chicago State 65 - Seattle 76	0.744	Chicago State 54 - Seattle 86	21
Clemson 70 - NC State 72	0.558	Clemson 81 - NC State 70	-13
Cleveland State 66 - Youngstown State 69	0.571	Cleveland State 82 - Youngstown State 74	-11
Coastal Carolina 73 - Georgia State 75	0.556	Coastal Carolina 74 - Georgia State 72	-4
College of Charleston 77 - James Madison 66	0.803	College of Charleston 85 - James Madison 69	-5
Colorado State 77 - Wyoming 61	0.886	Colorado State 72 - Wyoming 61	5
Coppin State 74 - South Carolina State 67	0.68	Coppin State 75 - South Carolina State 79	11
Delaware State 68 - Morgan State 75	0.723	Delaware State 68 - Morgan State 81	6
DePaul 76 - Providence 68	0.666	DePaul 65 - Providence 66	9
Drake 71 - Indiana State 69	0.564	Drake 80 - Indiana State 76	-2
Eastern Kentucky 67 - Jacksonville State 72	0.641	Eastern Kentucky 71 - Jacksonville State 80	4
Eastern Michigan 64 - Akron 68	0.594	Eastern Michigan 45 - Akron 69	20
Eastern Washington 80 - Portland State 71	0.734	Eastern Washington 71 - Portland State 69	7
Evansville 73 - Valparaiso 72	0.546	Evansville 79 - Valparaiso 81	3
Florida 77 - Alabama 70	0.693	Florida 104 - Alabama 98	1
Florida Atlantic 66 - Texas El Paso 67	0.516	Florida Atlantic 59 - Texas El Paso 56	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 65 - Lipscomb 70	0.672	Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Lipscomb 61	-12
Florida International 78 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.638	Florida International 90 - Texas San Antonio 83	-1
Fresno State 76 - San Jose State 64	0.784	Fresno State 79 - San Jose State 64	-3
Furman 71 - East Tennessee State 69	0.553	Furman 65 - East Tennessee State 56	-7
Gardner Webb 75 - Presbyterian 59	0.816	Gardner Webb 62 - Presbyterian 68	22
Gonzaga 91 - Pepperdine 64	0.959	Gonzaga 75 - Pepperdine 70	22
Grambling State 75 - Alabama AM 67	0.704	Grambling State 70 - Alabama AM 60	-2
Hampton 70 - Charleston Southern 69	0.51	Hampton 92 - Charleston Southern 85	-6
Hartford 69 - New Hampshire 67	0.586	Hartford 61 - New Hampshire 52	-7
Harvard 71 - UC Irvine 65	0.641	Harvard 77 - UC Irvine 73	2
Hofstra 80 - Elon 61	0.893	Hofstra 102 - Elon 75	-8
Jackson State 69 - Alabama State 65	0.638	Jackson State 70 - Alabama State 67	1
Kansas 77 - West Virginia 68	0.756	Kansas 60 - West Virginia 53	2
Kennesaw St 67 - Stetson 66	0.529	Kennesaw St 54 - Stetson 57	4
Kentucky 73 - Missouri 63	0.734	Kentucky 71 - Missouri 59	-2
Lamar 68 - Abilene Christian 67	0.556	Lamar 62 - Abilene Christian 74	13
Long Beach State 88 - Unranked 59		Long Beach State 76 - Unranked 60
Longwood 70 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.556	Longwood 56 - South Carolina Upstate 73	19
Louisiana Tech 75 - Southern Miss 59	0.903	Louisiana Tech 78 - Southern Miss 50	-12
Louisville 74 - Florida State 69	0.628	Louisville 65 - Florida State 78	18
Loyola Ill 71 - Missouri State 63	0.724	Loyola Ill 62 - Missouri State 58	4
Marquette 75 - Villanova 74	0.516	Marquette 71 - Villanova 60	-10
Marshall 73 - North Texas 71	0.558	Marshall 64 - North Texas 67	5
Maryland 75 - Indiana 67	0.738	Maryland 75 - Indiana 59	-8
Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Howard 67	0.555	Maryland Eastern Shore 78 - Howard 66	-10
Memphis 79 - Georgia 68	0.8	Memphis 62 - Georgia 65	14
Mercer 67 - Chattanooga 69	0.553	Mercer 61 - Chattanooga 70	7
Merrimack 66 - Robert Morris 63	0.573	Merrimack 58 - Robert Morris 69	14
Miami 69 - Duke 79	0.75	Miami 62 - Duke 95	23
Mississippi State 69 - Auburn 74	0.659	Mississippi State 68 - Auburn 80	7
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.586	Mississippi Valley State 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 80	1
Morehead State 72 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.769	Morehead State 83 - Tennessee Tech 72	-2
Mt St Marys 70 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.562	Mt St Marys 82 - LIU Brooklyn 73	-7
Murray State 77 - SE Missouri State 59	0.912	Murray State 81 - SE Missouri State 59	-4
Nevada 77 - Boise State 71	0.652	Nevada 83 - Boise State 66	-11
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Air Force 68	0.757	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Air Force 59	-3
New Orleans 64 - Stephen F Austin 79	0.861	New Orleans 68 - Stephen F Austin 87	4
NJ Tech 56 - Liberty 74	0.914	NJ Tech 38 - Liberty 65	9
Norfolk State 67 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.534	Norfolk State 85 - Bethune Cookman 72	-12
North Alabama 71 - North Florida 74	0.623	North Alabama 65 - North Florida 81	13
North Carolina 76 - Georgia Tech 65	0.745	North Carolina 83 - Georgia Tech 96	24
North Carolina Central 68 - Florida AM 64	0.646	North Carolina Central 61 - Florida AM 45	-12
Northeastern 74 - William and Mary 67	0.668	Northeastern 64 - William and Mary 66	9
Northern Arizona 71 - Weber State 65	0.669	Northern Arizona 72 - Weber State 64	-2
Northern Colorado 71 - Montana 66	0.672	Northern Colorado 74 - Montana 66	-3
Northern Iowa 75 - Bradley 63	0.773	Northern Iowa 69 - Bradley 64	7
Oklahoma 76 - Kansas State 67	0.733	Oklahoma 66 - Kansas State 61	4
Old Dominion 65 - Alabama Birmingham 64	0.531	Old Dominion 58 - Alabama Birmingham 52	-5
Omaha 73 - Oral Roberts 74	0.511	Omaha 74 - Oral Roberts 67	-8
Pacific 62 - Saint Marys 73	0.796	Pacific 107 - Saint Marys 99	-19
Penn State 77 - Iowa 74	0.576	Penn State 89 - Iowa 86	0
Pennsylvania 79 - Princeton 67	0.811	Pennsylvania 64 - Princeton 78	26
Pittsburgh 74 - Wake Forest 67	0.701	Pittsburgh 65 - Wake Forest 69	11
Portland 65 - San Francisco 78	0.847	Portland 76 - San Francisco 65	-24
Prairie View 77 - Alcorn State 62	0.872	Prairie View 84 - Alcorn State 70	1
Radford 78 - High Point 58	0.887	Radford 73 - High Point 62	9
Sacramento State 70 - Idaho State 58	0.861	Sacramento State 68 - Idaho State 49	-7
Sam Houston State 76 - Nicholls State 67	0.757	Sam Houston State 58 - Nicholls State 70	21
Santa Clara 74 - San Diego 68	0.681	Santa Clara 80 - San Diego 63	-11
South Dakota State 79 - Western Illinois 64	0.828	South Dakota State 91 - Western Illinois 56	-20
South Florida 65 - Connecticut 68	0.57	South Florida 75 - Connecticut 60	-18
Southern Illinois 70 - Illinois State 65	0.658	Southern Illinois 67 - Illinois State 55	-7
Southern Utah 72 - Montana State 65	0.655	Southern Utah 59 - Montana State 53	1
Syracuse 74 - Notre Dame 68	0.643	Syracuse 87 - Notre Dame 88	7
Tennessee 72 - Louisiana State 70	0.57	Tennessee 64 - Louisiana State 78	16
Tennessee State 80 - SIU Edwardsville 58	0.915	Tennessee State 79 - SIU Edwardsville 74	17
Texas AM CC 70 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.672	Texas AM CC 80 - Southeast Louisiana 84	11
Texas Christian 74 - Iowa State 73	0.507	Texas Christian 81 - Iowa State 79	-1
Texas Southern 79 - Southern 65	0.837	Texas Southern 77 - Southern 68	5
Texas Tech 70 - Oklahoma State 68	0.55	Texas Tech 85 - Oklahoma State 50	-33
The Citadel 74 - Western Carolina 80	0.707	The Citadel 82 - Western Carolina 86	-2
Tulane 68 - Cincinnati 76	0.733	Tulane 76 - Cincinnati 71	-13
UC Riverside 84 - Unranked 50		UC Riverside 89 - Unranked 51
UL Lafayette 73 - Troy 69	0.62	UL Lafayette 79 - Troy 62	-13
UL Monroe 68 - South Alabama 69	0.511	UL Monroe 69 - South Alabama 49	-21
UMBC 73 - UMass Lowell 69	0.604	UMBC 73 - UMass Lowell 86	17
UMKC 73 - Utah Valley 66	0.684	UMKC 68 - Utah Valley 63	2
UNC Wilmington 66 - Towson 70	0.65	UNC Wilmington 60 - Towson 67	3
Utah 71 - Oregon 76	0.601	Utah 64 - Oregon 69	0
Utah State 69 - San Diego State 71	0.543	Utah State 68 - San Diego State 77	7
Vanderbilt 71 - Southern Methodist 72	0.546	Vanderbilt 81 - Southern Methodist 92	10
Virginia 68 - Virginia Tech 61	0.682	Virginia 65 - Virginia Tech 39	-19
Virginia Military Institute 72 - Samford 73	0.508	Virginia Military Institute 75 - Samford 78	2
Wagner 70 - Sacred Heart 73	0.569	Wagner 74 - Sacred Heart 81	4
Washington State 74 - UCLA 72	0.565	Washington State 79 - UCLA 71	-6
Western Kentucky 77 - Rice 66	0.758	Western Kentucky 68 - Rice 61	4
Western Michigan 70 - Ohio 71	0.523	Western Michigan 77 - Ohio 65	-13
Wichita State 80 - Mississippi 64	0.839	Wichita State 74 - Mississippi 54	-4
Wofford 67 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.603	Wofford 98 - UNC Greensboro 92	-9

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 71 - Boston 68	0.595	American 67 - Boston 63	-1
Canisius 69 - Fairfield 64	0.636	Canisius 42 - Fairfield 46	9
Colorado 77 - Oregon State 66	0.79	Colorado 68 - Oregon State 76	19
Detroit 65 - Wright State 79	0.829	Detroit 69 - Wright State 70	-13
Duquesne 69 - Davidson 68	0.534	Duquesne 71 - Davidson 64	-6
Fordham 62 - La Salle 69	0.761	Fordham 60 - La Salle 66	-1
George Mason 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.539	George Mason 59 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	12
George Washington 65 - Saint Bonaventure 69	0.618	George Washington 66 - Saint Bonaventure 71	1
Green Bay 80 - IUPUI 68	0.771	Green Bay 78 - IUPUI 93	27
Holy Cross 62 - Navy 70	0.692	Holy Cross 63 - Navy 61	-10
Illinois 70 - Purdue 71	0.502	Illinois 63 - Purdue 37	-27
Lafayette 74 - Bucknell 66	0.702	Lafayette 66 - Bucknell 78	20
Lehigh 70 - Loyola MD 69	0.542	Lehigh 78 - Loyola MD 71	-6
Maine 59 - Stony Brook 75	0.872	Maine 52 - Stony Brook 73	5
Michigan State 76 - Michigan 70	0.657	Michigan State 87 - Michigan 69	-12
Milwaukee 72 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.605	Milwaukee 64 - Illinois Chicago 62	2
Minnesota 79 - Northwestern 63	0.813	Minnesota 77 - Northwestern 68	7
Monmouth 75 - Iona 68	0.672	Monmouth 73 - Iona 61	-5
Niagara 67 - Manhattan 65	0.56	Niagara 62 - Manhattan 67	7
North Dakota 73 - IPFW 68	0.641	North Dakota 83 - IPFW 69	-9
North Dakota State 89 - Unranked 50		North Dakota State 97 - Unranked 43
Northwestern State 78 - Houston Baptist 75	0.577	Northwestern State 106 - Houston Baptist 79	-24
Oakland 66 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.593	Oakland 64 - Northern Kentucky 75	8
Rhode Island 77 - Richmond 69	0.704	Rhode Island 61 - Richmond 69	16
Rider 76 - Siena 68	0.72	Rider 85 - Siena 77	0
Saint Josephs 66 - Dayton 84	0.85	Saint Josephs 67 - Dayton 80	-5
Saint Louis 77 - Massachusetts 64	0.816	Saint Louis 83 - Massachusetts 80	10
Saint Peters 70 - Marist 54	0.864	Saint Peters 66 - Marist 40	-10
South Dakota 77 - Denver 64	0.839	South Dakota 80 - Denver 78	11
Washington 75 - Southern California 69	0.691	Washington 72 - Southern California 40	-26
Xavier 77 - Saint Johns 68	0.785	Xavier 75 - Saint Johns 67	1

Number of DI Games: 314
Number Correct: 228 = 72.6%
Expected Number Correct: 219.959 = 70%
Average Error: 9.56
Average Signed Error: 0.68

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 74 - UL Lafayette 62	0.878	Appalachian State 73 - UL Lafayette 81	20
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Georgia Southern 67	0.707	Arkansas Little Rock 79 - Georgia Southern 73	1
Arkansas State 68 - Georgia State 73	0.659	Arkansas State 90 - Georgia State 87	-8
Army 64 - Colgate 76	0.771	Army 65 - Colgate 70	-7
Coastal Carolina 73 - UL Monroe 64	0.71	Coastal Carolina 93 - UL Monroe 64	-20
Coppin State 70 - Norfolk State 68	0.578	Coppin State 59 - Norfolk State 82	25
Grambling State 77 - Alabama State 63	0.899	Grambling State 68 - Alabama State 63	9
Howard 68 - Bethune Cookman 74	0.66	Howard 73 - Bethune Cookman 102	23
Jackson State 73 - Alabama AM 68	0.648	Jackson State 57 - Alabama AM 66	14
Morgan State 72 - South Carolina State 69	0.598	Morgan State 77 - South Carolina State 63	-11
North Carolina AT 68 - Florida AM 66	0.562	North Carolina AT 97 - Florida AM 90	-5
Oklahoma State 65 - West Virginia 70	0.598	Oklahoma State 41 - West Virginia 55	9
Prairie View 77 - Southern 65	0.905	Prairie View 64 - Southern 54	2
Texas Arlington 76 - South Alabama 65	0.79	Texas Arlington 54 - South Alabama 66	23
Texas Southern 80 - Alcorn State 65	0.86	Texas Southern 80 - Alcorn State 95	30
Texas State 76 - Troy 60	0.863	Texas State 63 - Troy 71	24

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Utah State 79	0.681	Air Force 79 - Utah State 60	-28
Akron 81 - Western Michigan 61	0.945	Akron 84 - Western Michigan 69	5
Ball State 74 - Buffalo 67	0.647	Ball State 88 - Buffalo 68	-13
Boston College 58 - Virginia 65	0.665	Boston College 60 - Virginia 53	-14
Bowling Green 74 - Miami OH 65	0.719	Bowling Green 78 - Miami OH 76	7
Brown 90 - Unranked 54		Brown 79 - Unranked 53
Central Michigan 72 - Northern Illinois 69	0.583	Central Michigan 68 - Northern Illinois 67	2
Cornell 83 - Unranked 57		Cornell 100 - Unranked 68
Creighton 76 - Villanova 71	0.635	Creighton 59 - Villanova 64	10
Drake 67 - Loyola Ill 66	0.512	Drake 65 - Loyola Ill 62	-2
East Carolina 65 - South Florida 71	0.653	East Carolina 62 - South Florida 59	-9
Georgia 73 - Kentucky 70	0.58	Georgia 69 - Kentucky 78	12
Illinois State 65 - Missouri State 68	0.566	Illinois State 63 - Missouri State 67	1
Kansas State 67 - Texas Christian 69	0.583	Kansas State 57 - Texas Christian 59	0
Kent State 76 - Toledo 66	0.735	Kent State 84 - Toledo 77	3
Louisville 77 - Miami 66	0.788	Louisville 74 - Miami 58	-5
Marquette 77 - Providence 66	0.721	Marquette 80 - Providence 81	12
Maryland 72 - Ohio State 67	0.649	Maryland 67 - Ohio State 55	-7
Missouri 67 - Tennessee 62	0.633	Missouri 59 - Tennessee 69	15
Nebraska 71 - Iowa 82	0.753	Nebraska 76 - Iowa 70	-17
New Mexico 78 - Fresno State 67	0.825	New Mexico 78 - Fresno State 64	-3
Northern Iowa 77 - Indiana State 66	0.811	Northern Iowa 68 - Indiana State 60	3
Ohio 67 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.57	Ohio 74 - Eastern Michigan 68	-4
Quinnipiac 70 - Rider 73	0.581	Quinnipiac 80 - Rider 61	-22
Rutgers 73 - Penn State 70	0.59	Rutgers 72 - Penn State 61	-8
South Carolina 68 - Florida 74	0.651	South Carolina 68 - Florida 81	7
Southern Illinois 69 - Valparaiso 68	0.511	Southern Illinois 63 - Valparaiso 50	-12
Syracuse 71 - Virginia Tech 69	0.557	Syracuse 63 - Virginia Tech 67	6
Temple 70 - Houston 71	0.524	Temple 74 - Houston 78	3
Texas AM 63 - Mississippi 66	0.573	Texas AM 57 - Mississippi 47	-13
Texas Tech 67 - Baylor 68	0.531	Texas Tech 52 - Baylor 57	4

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 78 - Mcneese State 64	0.876	Abilene Christian 84 - Mcneese State 88	18
Alabama 76 - Mississippi State 73	0.575	Alabama 90 - Mississippi State 69	-18
Army 67 - American 70	0.594	Army 60 - American 68	5
Auburn 85 - Vanderbilt 63	0.945	Auburn 83 - Vanderbilt 79	18
Binghamton 70 - UMBC 68	0.559	Binghamton 79 - UMBC 75	-2
Boise State 74 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	0.648	Boise State 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	-2
Boston 71 - Lehigh 64	0.75	Boston 84 - Lehigh 67	-10
Bucknell 67 - Navy 64	0.562	Bucknell 56 - Navy 60	7
Cal Poly 62 - UC Santa Barbara 73	0.837	Cal Poly 45 - UC Santa Barbara 63	7
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Cal Baptist 71	0.508	Cal State Bakersfield 75 - Cal Baptist 83	7
Cal State Northridge 76 - Long Beach State 71	0.649	Cal State Northridge 95 - Long Beach State 77	-13
Charleston Southern 74 - Longwood 62	0.746	Charleston Southern 56 - Longwood 74	30
Chattanooga 64 - Furman 72	0.708	Chattanooga 66 - Furman 73	-1
Cincinnati 74 - Tulsa 68	0.634	Cincinnati 75 - Tulsa 44	-25
Colgate 76 - Loyola MD 65	0.815	Colgate 92 - Loyola MD 70	-11
Connecticut 74 - Tulane 66	0.708	Connecticut 67 - Tulane 61	2
Denver 65 - South Dakota State 77	0.816	Denver 68 - South Dakota State 80	0
Evansville 67 - Bradley 73	0.611	Evansville 52 - Bradley 72	14
Fairfield 71 - Marist 49	0.956	Fairfield 58 - Marist 70	34
Gardner Webb 64 - Radford 72	0.659	Gardner Webb 64 - Radford 67	-5
George Mason 70 - Saint Bonaventure 64	0.651	George Mason 49 - Saint Bonaventure 61	18
Georgetown 76 - Saint Johns 72	0.616	Georgetown 87 - Saint Johns 66	-17
Georgia Tech 63 - Duke 80	0.853	Georgia Tech 64 - Duke 73	-8
High Point 64 - Winthrop 79	0.888	High Point 57 - Winthrop 79	7
Incarnate Word 64 - Northwestern State 72	0.713	Incarnate Word 66 - Northwestern State 72	-2
Indiana 79 - Northwestern 63	0.845	Indiana 66 - Northwestern 62	12
Iowa State 66 - Kansas 82	0.86	Iowa State 53 - Kansas 79	10
Lafayette 77 - Holy Cross 61	0.845	Lafayette 82 - Holy Cross 64	-2
Lamar 67 - Nicholls State 68	0.549	Lamar 52 - Nicholls State 61	8
Louisiana State 73 - Arkansas 71	0.568	Louisiana State 79 - Arkansas 77	0
Massachusetts 72 - La Salle 71	0.518	Massachusetts 77 - La Salle 69	-7
NC State 77 - Notre Dame 69	0.744	NC State 73 - Notre Dame 68	3
New Hampshire 73 - Maine 59	0.813	New Hampshire 57 - Maine 51	8
New Orleans 77 - Central Arkansas 73	0.633	New Orleans 86 - Central Arkansas 78	-4
North Carolina 71 - Pittsburgh 69	0.57	North Carolina 65 - Pittsburgh 73	10
North Dakota 73 - Omaha 72	0.532	North Dakota 62 - Omaha 66	5
Rhode Island 74 - Davidson 68	0.652	Rhode Island 69 - Davidson 58	-5
Saint Josephs 65 - Duquesne 78	0.745	Saint Josephs 60 - Duquesne 78	5
Saint Louis 78 - George Washington 57	0.953	Saint Louis 63 - George Washington 58	16
Sam Houston State 82 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.887	Sam Houston State 67 - Southeast Louisiana 62	14
Samford 69 - Wofford 77	0.765	Samford 62 - Wofford 67	-3
San Jose State 66 - Nevada 79	0.753	San Jose State 70 - Nevada 68	-15
South Carolina Upstate 75 - Hampton 68	0.675	South Carolina Upstate 83 - Hampton 73	-3
Southern Methodist 75 - Central Florida 64	0.828	Southern Methodist 81 - Central Florida 74	4
Stephen F Austin 82 - Texas AM CC 54	0.986	Stephen F Austin 72 - Texas AM CC 73	29
Texas 70 - Oklahoma 69	0.507	Texas 62 - Oklahoma 72	11
UMass Lowell 72 - Hartford 66	0.682	UMass Lowell 68 - Hartford 80	18
UNC Asheville 72 - Campbell 68	0.619	UNC Asheville 62 - Campbell 64	6
UNC Greensboro 68 - East Tennessee State 66	0.585	UNC Greensboro 57 - East Tennessee State 64	9
Vermont 72 - Stony Brook 63	0.798	Vermont 77 - Stony Brook 81	13
Virginia Military Institute 68 - Western Carolina 79	0.814	Virginia Military Institute 85 - Western Carolina 97	1
Wake Forest 70 - Florida State 76	0.688	Wake Forest 68 - Florida State 78	4
Western Illinois 68 - IPFW 71	0.564	Western Illinois 69 - IPFW 77	5
Wisconsin 70 - Illinois 65	0.64	Wisconsin 70 - Illinois 71	6
Wyoming 52 - San Diego State 79	0.943	Wyoming 52 - San Diego State 72	-7
Xavier 71 - Seton Hall 69	0.568	Xavier 71 - Seton Hall 83	14

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 67 - Western Kentucky 68	0.519	Alabama Birmingham 72 - Western Kentucky 62	-11
Cal State Fullerton 64 - Hawaii 73	0.751	Cal State Fullerton 69 - Hawaii 75	-3
California 68 - Washington State 69	0.539	California 73 - Washington State 66	-8
Cleveland State 71 - Detroit 67	0.579	Cleveland State 64 - Detroit 59	-1
Columbia 85 - Unranked 57		Columbia 86 - Unranked 56
Eastern Kentucky 66 - Eastern Illinois 72	0.636	Eastern Kentucky 77 - Eastern Illinois 74	-9
Eastern Washington 75 - Montana 69	0.654	Eastern Washington 63 - Montana 90	33
Elon 61 - College of Charleston 77	0.906	Elon 65 - College of Charleston 73	-8
Fairleigh Dickinson 67 - Sacred Heart 73	0.637	Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Sacred Heart 77	-4
Georgia Southern 72 - UL Monroe 64	0.751	Georgia Southern 67 - UL Monroe 56	-3
Georgia State 82 - UL Lafayette 64	0.947	Georgia State 90 - UL Lafayette 52	-20
Idaho 63 - Montana State 68	0.63	Idaho 68 - Montana State 71	-2
Idaho State 63 - Southern Utah 69	0.695	Idaho State 55 - Southern Utah 71	10
Jacksonville 70 - NJ Tech 58	0.797	Jacksonville 68 - NJ Tech 52	-4
Jacksonville State 66 - Murray State 70	0.605	Jacksonville State 68 - Murray State 72	0
James Madison 72 - Delaware 73	0.511	James Madison 76 - Delaware 80	3
Liberty 78 - North Alabama 51	0.997	Liberty 63 - North Alabama 52	16
Lipscomb 75 - Kennesaw St 58	0.858	Lipscomb 85 - Kennesaw St 73	5
LIU Brooklyn 82 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.929	LIU Brooklyn 90 - Central Connecticut State 78	7
Merrimack 65 - Mt St Marys 59	0.629	Merrimack 64 - Mt St Marys 61	3
Michigan 73 - Purdue 65	0.686	Michigan 84 - Purdue 78	2
Michigan State 81 - Minnesota 69	0.779	Michigan State 74 - Minnesota 58	-4
Middle Tennessee 66 - Marshall 78	0.805	Middle Tennessee 75 - Marshall 79	-8
Morehead State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.754	Morehead State 83 - SIU Edwardsville 77	4
New Mexico State 87 - Chicago State 50	0.963	New Mexico State 93 - Chicago State 54	-2
North Florida 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	0.963	North Florida 89 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	3
North Texas 76 - Florida International 69	0.694	North Texas 74 - Florida International 56	-11
Northeastern 72 - Hofstra 69	0.565	Northeastern 72 - Hofstra 74	5
Oral Roberts 72 - North Dakota State 69	0.586	Oral Roberts 79 - North Dakota State 73	-3
Oregon 74 - Arizona 72	0.542	Oregon 74 - Arizona 73	1
Oregon State 74 - Arizona State 69	0.616	Oregon State 76 - Arizona State 82	11
Rice 67 - Florida Atlantic 68	0.538	Rice 76 - Florida Atlantic 81	4
Robert Morris 72 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.689	Robert Morris 78 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 52	-19
Sacramento State 69 - Northern Arizona 61	0.753	Sacramento State 64 - Northern Arizona 57	1
Saint Francis Penn 79 - Wagner 64	0.874	Saint Francis Penn 80 - Wagner 62	-3
Saint Marys 73 - Brigham Young 72	0.534	Saint Marys 87 - Brigham Young 84	-2
San Diego 64 - Gonzaga 82	0.902	San Diego 50 - Gonzaga 94	26
San Francisco 77 - Santa Clara 74	0.576	San Francisco 80 - Santa Clara 61	-16
SE Missouri State 61 - Belmont 75	0.803	SE Missouri State 64 - Belmont 89	11
Siena 72 - Saint Peters 64	0.768	Siena 61 - Saint Peters 58	5
South Alabama 69 - Arkansas State 68	0.512	South Alabama 75 - Arkansas State 59	-15
Stanford 71 - Washington 66	0.651	Stanford 61 - Washington 55	-1
Tennessee Martin 69 - Tennessee State 77	0.738	Tennessee Martin 87 - Tennessee State 74	-21
Tennessee Tech 61 - Austin Peay 77	0.864	Tennessee Tech 62 - Austin Peay 75	-3
Texas Arlington 70 - Appalachian State 65	0.697	Texas Arlington 66 - Appalachian State 56	-5
Texas El Paso 73 - Southern Miss 58	0.911	Texas El Paso 76 - Southern Miss 64	3
Texas Pan American 66 - UMKC 70	0.617	Texas Pan American 76 - UMKC 64	-16
Texas San Antonio 65 - Louisiana Tech 79	0.82	Texas San Antonio 89 - Louisiana Tech 73	-30
Texas State 72 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.613	Texas State 78 - Coastal Carolina 66	-8
Towson 68 - Drexel 66	0.592	Towson 89 - Drexel 73	-14
Troy 63 - Arkansas Little Rock 74	0.755	Troy 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	-16
UC Davis 67 - UC Riverside 65	0.555	UC Davis 59 - UC Riverside 65	8
Weber State 62 - Northern Colorado 73	0.788	Weber State 64 - Northern Colorado 65	-10
Wichita State 73 - Memphis 68	0.686	Wichita State 76 - Memphis 67	-4
William and Mary 78 - UNC Wilmington 58	0.911	William and Mary 79 - UNC Wilmington 63	4
Youngstown State 69 - Oakland 63	0.692	Youngstown State 61 - Oakland 60	5

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Ball State 62	0.754	Akron 75 - Ball State 60	-4
Fairfield 63 - Manhattan 58	0.722	Fairfield 68 - Manhattan 60	-3
Illinois Chicago 65 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.608	Illinois Chicago 52 - Northern Kentucky 68	12
Iowa 72 - Maryland 73	0.524	Iowa 67 - Maryland 49	-19
IUPUI 65 - Wright State 80	0.809	IUPUI 70 - Wright State 84	-1
Miami OH 70 - Buffalo 74	0.588	Miami OH 78 - Buffalo 83	1
Monmouth 72 - Canisius 65	0.686	Monmouth 84 - Canisius 65	-12
Princeton 73 - Pennsylvania 72	0.507	Princeton 63 - Pennsylvania 58	-4
Providence 61 - Butler 72	0.733	Providence 58 - Butler 70	1
Quinnipiac 75 - Niagara 66	0.718	Quinnipiac 67 - Niagara 56	-2
Rider 81 - Iona 64	0.88	Rider 66 - Iona 69	20

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Texas AM CC 58	0.936	Abilene Christian 68 - Texas AM CC 56	5
Alabama AM 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.735	Alabama AM 59 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 49	-2
Alabama Birmingham 68 - Marshall 67	0.516	Alabama Birmingham 61 - Marshall 50	-10
Alabama State 78 - Mississippi Valley State 65	0.772	Alabama State 81 - Mississippi Valley State 75	7
Albany 73 - Maine 57	0.861	Albany 76 - Maine 70	10
Alcorn State 68 - Jackson State 69	0.505	Alcorn State 65 - Jackson State 76	10
Arkansas Little Rock 75 - South Alabama 63	0.819	Arkansas Little Rock 43 - South Alabama 52	21
Arkansas State 75 - Troy 61	0.794	Arkansas State 76 - Troy 68	6
Auburn 79 - Georgia 67	0.8	Auburn 82 - Georgia 60	-10
Bethune Cookman 74 - Coppin State 69	0.615	Bethune Cookman 85 - Coppin State 80	0
Boston 75 - Army 62	0.78	Boston 81 - Army 59	-9
Boston College 67 - Georgia Tech 68	0.505	Boston College 52 - Georgia Tech 71	18
Bradley 72 - Southern Illinois 60	0.772	Bradley 67 - Southern Illinois 48	-7
Brigham Young 83 - Portland 57	0.947	Brigham Young 96 - Portland 70	0
Bryant 74 - Mt St Marys 59	0.829	Bryant 65 - Mt St Marys 67	17
Bucknell 77 - Holy Cross 64	0.783	Bucknell 75 - Holy Cross 60	-2
Cal Poly 70 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.524	Cal Poly 74 - Cal State Northridge 56	-17
California 62 - Washington 73	0.792	California 61 - Washington 58	-14
Central Arkansas 71 - Sam Houston State 80	0.738	Central Arkansas 89 - Sam Houston State 82	-16
Central Connecticut State 60 - Merrimack 70	0.742	Central Connecticut State 46 - Merrimack 58	2
Central Florida 70 - Cincinnati 69	0.529	Central Florida 54 - Cincinnati 68	15
Charleston Southern 71 - UNC Asheville 72	0.508	Charleston Southern 69 - UNC Asheville 71	1
Charlotte 68 - Old Dominion 60	0.729	Charlotte 53 - Old Dominion 47	2
Chattanooga 74 - Samford 64	0.816	Chattanooga 105 - Samford 67	-28
Cleveland State 65 - Oakland 66	0.511	Cleveland State 55 - Oakland 68	12
Davidson 80 - Saint Josephs 64	0.805	Davidson 89 - Saint Josephs 83	10
Dayton 86 - Massachusetts 62	0.949	Dayton 88 - Massachusetts 60	-4
Delaware State 65 - North Carolina Central 73	0.762	Delaware State 68 - North Carolina Central 66	-10
Duke 86 - Wake Forest 62	0.949	Duke 90 - Wake Forest 59	-7
East Carolina 65 - Southern Methodist 78	0.837	East Carolina 71 - Southern Methodist 68	-16
East Tennessee State 82 - Virginia Military Institute 56	0.958	East Tennessee State 61 - Virginia Military Institute 55	20
Eastern Kentucky 71 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.615	Eastern Kentucky 78 - SIU Edwardsville 72	-2
Elon 69 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.631	Elon 80 - UNC Wilmington 63	-14
Florida AM 72 - Morgan State 68	0.616	Florida AM 77 - Morgan State 68	-5
Furman 72 - UNC Greensboro 65	0.679	Furman 73 - UNC Greensboro 86	20
George Washington 60 - Duquesne 74	0.831	George Washington 61 - Duquesne 66	-9
Georgia Southern 78 - UL Lafayette 66	0.822	Georgia Southern 71 - UL Lafayette 51	-8
Georgia State 76 - UL Monroe 61	0.922	Georgia State 84 - UL Monroe 62	-7
Grand Canyon 72 - Cal Baptist 73	0.526	Grand Canyon 57 - Cal Baptist 61	3
Green Bay 76 - Milwaukee 70	0.656	Green Bay 80 - Milwaukee 87	13
Hampton 75 - Longwood 67	0.726	Hampton 83 - Longwood 80	5
Houston Baptist 74 - Lamar 78	0.656	Houston Baptist 92 - Lamar 102	6
Howard 65 - Norfolk State 72	0.704	Howard 63 - Norfolk State 71	1
Illinois 70 - Rutgers 68	0.547	Illinois 54 - Rutgers 51	-1
Incarnate Word 66 - New Orleans 73	0.78	Incarnate Word 73 - New Orleans 70	-10
Indiana 70 - Ohio State 71	0.55	Indiana 66 - Ohio State 54	-13
Indiana State 77 - Illinois State 63	0.829	Indiana State 65 - Illinois State 52	1
Iowa State 76 - Oklahoma 75	0.528	Iowa State 81 - Oklahoma 68	-12
IPFW 66 - South Dakota State 73	0.655	IPFW 61 - South Dakota State 70	2
Jacksonville State 69 - Austin Peay 71	0.569	Jacksonville State 67 - Austin Peay 71	2
James Madison 73 - Drexel 72	0.509	James Madison 71 - Drexel 78	8
Kansas 76 - Baylor 63	0.885	Kansas 55 - Baylor 67	25
Kent State 83 - Central Michigan 68	0.815	Kent State 79 - Central Michigan 73	9
Kentucky 79 - Alabama 71	0.73	Kentucky 76 - Alabama 67	-1
La Salle 69 - George Mason 65	0.624	La Salle 63 - George Mason 76	17
Lehigh 68 - American 66	0.578	Lehigh 82 - American 73	-7
Liberty 74 - Jacksonville 50	0.944	Liberty 54 - Jacksonville 37	7
Lipscomb 71 - North Alabama 66	0.699	Lipscomb 69 - North Alabama 82	18
LIU Brooklyn 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.756	LIU Brooklyn 84 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	-5
Louisiana State 76 - Mississippi State 69	0.696	Louisiana State 60 - Mississippi State 59	6
Loyola Ill 76 - Evansville 62	0.806	Loyola Ill 78 - Evansville 44	-20
Loyola Marymount 64 - Gonzaga 81	0.906	Loyola Marymount 62 - Gonzaga 87	8
Loyola MD 70 - Lafayette 68	0.572	Loyola MD 62 - Lafayette 65	5
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - North Carolina AT 68	0.629	Maryland Eastern Shore 53 - North Carolina AT 91	33
Mcneese State 74 - Northwestern State 69	0.628	Mcneese State 85 - Northwestern State 76	-4
Middle Tennessee 65 - Western Kentucky 79	0.86	Middle Tennessee 53 - Western Kentucky 69	2
Mississippi 66 - Arkansas 73	0.661	Mississippi 72 - Arkansas 76	-3
Missouri 68 - Florida 69	0.522	Missouri 91 - Florida 75	-17
Missouri State 65 - Northern Iowa 71	0.702	Missouri State 57 - Northern Iowa 80	17
Montana State 71 - Portland State 67	0.615	Montana State 76 - Portland State 77	5
Morehead State 68 - Eastern Illinois 69	0.512	Morehead State 69 - Eastern Illinois 66	-4
Navy 64 - Colgate 67	0.588	Navy 63 - Colgate 70	4
New Mexico 82 - Air Force 70	0.766	New Mexico 84 - Air Force 78	6
New Mexico State 73 - UMKC 60	0.837	New Mexico State 74 - UMKC 71	10
North Carolina 72 - Clemson 68	0.627	North Carolina 76 - Clemson 79	7
North Florida 80 - NJ Tech 61	0.962	North Florida 66 - NJ Tech 78	31
North Texas 72 - Florida Atlantic 64	0.762	North Texas 81 - Florida Atlantic 58	-15
Northern Arizona 72 - Idaho State 63	0.769	Northern Arizona 67 - Idaho State 71	13
Northern Illinois 65 - Eastern Michigan 61	0.617	Northern Illinois 71 - Eastern Michigan 68	1
Northwestern 76 - Nebraska 71	0.591	Northwestern 62 - Nebraska 57	0
Notre Dame 68 - Louisville 71	0.6	Notre Dame 64 - Louisville 67	0
Ohio 71 - Bowling Green 70	0.522	Ohio 74 - Bowling Green 83	10
Oral Roberts 77 - North Dakota 69	0.732	Oral Roberts 88 - North Dakota 73	-7
Oregon 79 - Arizona State 66	0.774	Oregon 78 - Arizona State 69	4
Pacific 73 - San Francisco 69	0.627	Pacific 75 - San Francisco 79	8
Penn State 72 - Wisconsin 67	0.612	Penn State 49 - Wisconsin 58	14
Presbyterian 70 - High Point 64	0.661	Presbyterian 77 - High Point 62	-9
Radford 72 - Campbell 61	0.775	Radford 68 - Campbell 63	6
Rice 71 - Florida International 73	0.547	Rice 92 - Florida International 78	-16
Richmond 73 - Saint Louis 66	0.678	Richmond 58 - Saint Louis 74	23
Robert Morris 73 - Wagner 67	0.665	Robert Morris 94 - Wagner 62	-26
Sacramento State 71 - Weber State 56	0.869	Sacramento State 71 - Weber State 57	1
Saint Bonaventure 70 - Fordham 56	0.851	Saint Bonaventure 64 - Fordham 44	-6
Saint Francis Penn 78 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.888	Saint Francis Penn 81 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 80	15
Saint Johns 75 - DePaul 69	0.691	Saint Johns 74 - DePaul 67	-1
Saint Marys 80 - Santa Clara 67	0.803	Saint Marys 66 - Santa Clara 67	14
San Diego 72 - Pepperdine 70	0.547	San Diego 78 - Pepperdine 85	9
San Diego State 80 - Boise State 61	0.878	San Diego State 83 - Boise State 65	1
San Jose State 68 - Colorado State 76	0.693	San Jose State 70 - Colorado State 81	3
SE Missouri State 64 - Tennessee State 73	0.76	SE Missouri State 73 - Tennessee State 75	-7
Seattle 74 - Utah Valley 67	0.698	Seattle 83 - Utah Valley 50	-26
Seton Hall 75 - Marquette 70	0.648	Seton Hall 69 - Marquette 55	-9
South Dakota 71 - Omaha 73	0.547	South Dakota 91 - Omaha 81	-12
Southeast Louisiana 66 - Nicholls State 75	0.709	Southeast Louisiana 58 - Nicholls State 69	2
Southern 68 - Grambling State 70	0.615	Southern 56 - Grambling State 61	3
Stanford 77 - Washington State 62	0.887	Stanford 88 - Washington State 62	-11
Stetson 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	0.647	Stetson 62 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	8
Stony Brook 76 - New Hampshire 61	0.889	Stony Brook 73 - New Hampshire 48	-10
Temple 77 - Tulane 64	0.784	Temple 51 - Tulane 65	27
Tennessee 72 - South Carolina 63	0.706	Tennessee 56 - South Carolina 55	8
Tennessee Martin 66 - Belmont 80	0.789	Tennessee Martin 78 - Belmont 85	-7
Tennessee Tech 59 - Murray State 76	0.875	Tennessee Tech 69 - Murray State 81	-5
Texas 69 - Kansas State 63	0.672	Texas 64 - Kansas State 50	-8
Texas Arlington 74 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.623	Texas Arlington 77 - Coastal Carolina 82	9
Texas Christian 70 - Oklahoma State 66	0.58	Texas Christian 52 - Oklahoma State 40	-8
Texas El Paso 64 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.664	Texas El Paso 61 - Louisiana Tech 64	-2
Texas Pan American 80 - Chicago State 60	0.883	Texas Pan American 87 - Chicago State 63	-4
Texas San Antonio 74 - Southern Miss 68	0.681	Texas San Antonio 80 - Southern Miss 70	-4
Texas Southern 77 - Prairie View 73	0.623	Texas Southern 71 - Prairie View 67	0
Texas State 68 - Appalachian State 64	0.684	Texas State 82 - Appalachian State 57	-21
Toledo 75 - Western Michigan 65	0.746	Toledo 67 - Western Michigan 59	2
Towson 69 - Delaware 67	0.576	Towson 84 - Delaware 68	-14
Tulsa 69 - Houston 74	0.637	Tulsa 63 - Houston 61	-7
UC Irvine 71 - Hawaii 69	0.567	UC Irvine 74 - Hawaii 60	-12
UC Riverside 68 - Cal State Fullerton 59	0.677	UC Riverside 65 - Cal State Fullerton 59	3
UC Santa Barbara 80 - Long Beach State 63	0.914	UC Santa Barbara 52 - Long Beach State 55	20
UCLA 70 - Southern California 73	0.58	UCLA 63 - Southern California 74	8
UMass Lowell 77 - Binghamton 66	0.766	UMass Lowell 85 - Binghamton 66	-8
UMBC 59 - Vermont 75	0.863	UMBC 50 - Vermont 74	8
Utah State 76 - Nevada 70	0.62	Utah State 80 - Nevada 70	-4
Valparaiso 71 - Drake 69	0.574	Valparaiso 66 - Drake 61	-3
Vanderbilt 72 - Texas AM 63	0.765	Vanderbilt 50 - Texas AM 69	28
Villanova 77 - Georgetown 69	0.721	Villanova 80 - Georgetown 66	-6
Virginia 69 - Syracuse 60	0.689	Virginia 55 - Syracuse 63	17
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Rhode Island 66	0.8	Virginia Commonwealth 56 - Rhode Island 65	19
Virginia Tech 72 - NC State 71	0.527	Virginia Tech 72 - NC State 58	-13
West Virginia 74 - Texas Tech 63	0.767	West Virginia 66 - Texas Tech 54	-1
Western Carolina 80 - Mercer 64	0.922	Western Carolina 79 - Mercer 71	8
Western Illinois 73 - Denver 69	0.58	Western Illinois 86 - Denver 80	-2
William and Mary 69 - College of Charleston 70	0.524	William and Mary 67 - College of Charleston 56	-12
Winthrop 78 - Gardner Webb 62	0.824	Winthrop 99 - Gardner Webb 95	12
Wofford 84 - The Citadel 66	0.958	Wofford 73 - The Citadel 71	16
Wyoming 61 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.746	Wyoming 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 78	-1
Xavier 74 - Creighton 71	0.608	Xavier 65 - Creighton 77	15
Youngstown State 75 - Detroit 64	0.741	Youngstown State 69 - Detroit 67	9

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado 76 - Utah 66	0.703	Colorado 91 - Utah 52	-29
Connecticut 65 - Wichita State 72	0.706	Connecticut 86 - Wichita State 89	-4
Illinois Chicago 65 - Wright State 75	0.772	Illinois Chicago 76 - Wright State 72	-14
Iona 73 - Niagara 70	0.563	Iona 69 - Niagara 70	4
IUPUI 66 - Northern Kentucky 74	0.683	IUPUI 71 - Northern Kentucky 96	17
Manhattan 65 - Siena 66	0.511	Manhattan 81 - Siena 69	-13
Marist 55 - Rider 75	0.906	Marist 52 - Rider 69	-3
Miami 73 - Pittsburgh 69	0.624	Miami 66 - Pittsburgh 58	-4
Minnesota 74 - Michigan 71	0.586	Minnesota 75 - Michigan 67	-5
Oregon State 69 - Arizona 75	0.64	Oregon State 82 - Arizona 65	-23
Purdue 68 - Michigan State 75	0.66	Purdue 71 - Michigan State 42	-36
Quinnipiac 70 - Monmouth 68	0.537	Quinnipiac 84 - Monmouth 70	-12
Saint Peters 68 - Canisius 64	0.624	Saint Peters 68 - Canisius 72	8
South Florida 65 - Memphis 72	0.664	South Florida 64 - Memphis 68	-3
Yale 96 - Unranked 46		Yale 108 - Unranked 58

Number of DI Games: 326
Number Correct: 233 = 71.4%
Expected Number Correct: 229.731 = 70.4%
Average Error: 9.46
Average Signed Error: 0.66

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 84 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.866	Alabama AM 66 - Mississippi Valley State 72	28
Alabama State 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 62	0.71	Alabama State 56 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	11
Alcorn State 68 - Grambling State 72	0.633	Alcorn State 87 - Grambling State 69	-22
Bethune Cookman 75 - Morgan State 69	0.637	Bethune Cookman 85 - Morgan State 78	-1
Cornell 82 - Unranked 57		Cornell 70 - Unranked 33
Delaware State 67 - North Carolina AT 76	0.756	Delaware State 77 - North Carolina AT 98	12
Florida AM 75 - Coppin State 66	0.716	Florida AM 65 - Coppin State 54	-2
Howard 66 - South Carolina State 74	0.719	Howard 95 - South Carolina State 101	-2
Loyola MD 69 - Boston 70	0.526	Loyola MD 53 - Boston 85	31
Maryland Eastern Shore 62 - North Carolina Central 67	0.637	Maryland Eastern Shore 64 - North Carolina Central 69	0
Montana 74 - Portland State 66	0.758	Montana 85 - Portland State 70	-7
Southern 67 - Jackson State 66	0.533	Southern 56 - Jackson State 50	-5

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 78 - Ohio 69	0.736	Buffalo 76 - Ohio 73	6
Clemson 64 - Duke 80	0.867	Clemson 79 - Duke 72	-23
Davidson 69 - Richmond 71	0.565	Davidson 64 - Richmond 70	4
Dayton 77 - Virginia Commonwealth 63	0.893	Dayton 79 - Virginia Commonwealth 65	0
Eastern Michigan 62 - Ball State 68	0.627	Eastern Michigan 52 - Ball State 69	11
Florida 80 - Mississippi 66	0.794	Florida 71 - Mississippi 55	-2
Fresno State 59 - San Diego State 76	0.882	Fresno State 55 - San Diego State 64	-8
Kansas State 65 - Texas Tech 69	0.612	Kansas State 63 - Texas Tech 77	10
Miami OH 66 - Kent State 76	0.728	Miami OH 77 - Kent State 74	-13
Mississippi State 69 - Missouri 66	0.558	Mississippi State 72 - Missouri 45	-24
Nevada 79 - Wyoming 59	0.896	Nevada 68 - Wyoming 67	19
Northern Illinois 62 - Akron 73	0.854	Northern Illinois 49 - Akron 72	12
Northwestern 69 - Iowa 77	0.7	Northwestern 62 - Iowa 75	5
Ohio State 82 - Nebraska 64	0.836	Ohio State 80 - Nebraska 68	6
Oklahoma 68 - Kansas 79	0.807	Oklahoma 52 - Kansas 66	3
Pittsburgh 65 - Louisville 70	0.652	Pittsburgh 68 - Louisville 73	0
Texas AM 63 - Louisiana State 71	0.709	Texas AM 85 - Louisiana State 89	-4
Toledo 76 - Central Michigan 69	0.695	Toledo 67 - Central Michigan 74	14
Tulane 72 - Central Florida 66	0.68	Tulane 55 - Central Florida 74	25
Villanova 78 - DePaul 67	0.82	Villanova 79 - DePaul 75	7
Wake Forest 70 - Virginia Tech 71	0.539	Wake Forest 70 - Virginia Tech 80	9
West Virginia 75 - Texas Christian 62	0.871	West Virginia 81 - Texas Christian 49	-19
Western Michigan 70 - Bowling Green 72	0.591	Western Michigan 82 - Bowling Green 85	1
Wisconsin 68 - Maryland 67	0.52	Wisconsin 56 - Maryland 54	-1

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Boise State 75	0.511	Air Force 85 - Boise State 78	-8
Alabama 73 - Auburn 80	0.688	Alabama 83 - Auburn 64	-26
American 71 - Bucknell 66	0.642	American 61 - Bucknell 60	4
Arkansas 82 - Vanderbilt 63	0.902	Arkansas 75 - Vanderbilt 55	-1
Baylor 80 - Iowa State 64	0.888	Baylor 68 - Iowa State 55	3
Binghamton 60 - Vermont 77	0.903	Binghamton 53 - Vermont 72	2
Butler 72 - Seton Hall 64	0.76	Butler 70 - Seton Hall 78	16
Cal State Fullerton 62 - UC Irvine 72	0.757	Cal State Fullerton 61 - UC Irvine 74	3
Central Arkansas 68 - Stephen F Austin 81	0.814	Central Arkansas 76 - Stephen F Austin 77	-12
Chattanooga 70 - Wofford 67	0.585	Chattanooga 72 - Wofford 59	-10
Colorado State 74 - New Mexico 73	0.545	Colorado State 105 - New Mexico 72	-32
Duquesne 76 - Fordham 51	0.954	Duquesne 58 - Fordham 56	23
East Carolina 68 - Tulsa 71	0.578	East Carolina 49 - Tulsa 65	13
East Tennessee State 80 - Samford 57	0.935	East Tennessee State 88 - Samford 63	-2
Fairfield 65 - Saint Peters 60	0.652	Fairfield 61 - Saint Peters 51	-5
Fairleigh Dickinson 64 - Saint Francis Penn 75	0.825	Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - Saint Francis Penn 100	4
Florida State 72 - Virginia 58	0.809	Florida State 54 - Virginia 50	10
Furman 78 - Western Carolina 69	0.773	Furman 83 - Western Carolina 79	5
George Washington 63 - George Mason 69	0.678	George Washington 73 - George Mason 67	-12
Georgetown 74 - Creighton 75	0.506	Georgetown 83 - Creighton 80	-4
Georgia 71 - Tennessee 68	0.605	Georgia 80 - Tennessee 63	-14
Georgia Tech 73 - Notre Dame 68	0.618	Georgia Tech 74 - Notre Dame 78	9
Hartford 63 - Stony Brook 71	0.765	Hartford 68 - Stony Brook 65	-11
Houston 77 - Southern Methodist 68	0.774	Houston 71 - Southern Methodist 62	0
Houston Baptist 79 - New Orleans 78	0.53	Houston Baptist 98 - New Orleans 106	9
Indiana State 79 - Evansville 63	0.851	Indiana State 65 - Evansville 42	-7
Lafayette 67 - Colgate 69	0.564	Lafayette 71 - Colgate 67	-6
Lamar 67 - Sam Houston State 68	0.536	Lamar 75 - Sam Houston State 80	4
Lehigh 65 - Navy 64	0.516	Lehigh 83 - Navy 88	6
Maine 65 - UMass Lowell 71	0.656	Maine 104 - UMass Lowell 98	-12
Marquette 75 - Xavier 71	0.646	Marquette 85 - Xavier 65	-16
Mcneese State 78 - Incarnate Word 60	0.922	Mcneese State 72 - Incarnate Word 56	2
Mercer 72 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.661	Mercer 73 - Virginia Military Institute 62	-6
Merrimack 64 - Bryant 65	0.521	Merrimack 71 - Bryant 67	-5
Minnesota 78 - Penn State 72	0.647	Minnesota 75 - Penn State 69	0
Missouri State 64 - Bradley 68	0.595	Missouri State 78 - Bradley 91	9
NC State 78 - Miami 72	0.669	NC State 80 - Miami 63	-11
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - San Jose State 64	0.775	Nevada Las Vegas 98 - San Jose State 87	2
New Hampshire 67 - Albany 66	0.525	New Hampshire 73 - Albany 76	4
Nicholls State 76 - Northwestern State 58	0.896	Nicholls State 72 - Northwestern State 73	19
North Dakota State 74 - South Dakota 64	0.795	North Dakota State 72 - South Dakota 70	8
Northern Iowa 81 - Valparaiso 63	0.916	Northern Iowa 88 - Valparaiso 78	8
Oklahoma State 68 - Texas 64	0.585	Oklahoma State 64 - Texas 76	16
Providence 73 - Saint Johns 71	0.567	Providence 63 - Saint Johns 58	-3
Rutgers 72 - Indiana 67	0.628	Rutgers 59 - Indiana 50	-4
Sacred Heart 82 - Central Connecticut State 58	0.934	Sacred Heart 66 - Central Connecticut State 55	13
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Massachusetts 66	0.705	Saint Bonaventure 74 - Massachusetts 61	-5
Saint Francis Brooklyn 72 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.516	Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - LIU Brooklyn 69	4
Saint Josephs 68 - Rhode Island 82	0.778	Saint Josephs 61 - Rhode Island 71	-4
South Carolina 66 - Kentucky 74	0.703	South Carolina 81 - Kentucky 78	-11
South Dakota State 77 - North Dakota 65	0.816	South Dakota State 87 - North Dakota 66	-9
Southeast Louisiana 66 - Texas AM CC 67	0.514	Southeast Louisiana 62 - Texas AM CC 56	-7
Syracuse 76 - Boston College 65	0.732	Syracuse 76 - Boston College 50	-15
Temple 67 - Wichita State 74	0.685	Temple 65 - Wichita State 53	-19
Texas El Paso 75 - Texas San Antonio 67	0.703	Texas El Paso 80 - Texas San Antonio 77	5
The Citadel 65 - UNC Greensboro 79	0.9	The Citadel 69 - UNC Greensboro 79	-4
UCLA 65 - Stanford 76	0.792	UCLA 59 - Stanford 74	4

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 69 - Arkansas State 67	0.568	Appalachian State 83 - Arkansas State 80	-1
Arizona 79 - Utah 66	0.709	Arizona 93 - Utah 77	-3
Arizona State 68 - Colorado 74	0.63	Arizona State 61 - Colorado 68	1
Belmont 81 - Eastern Kentucky 60	0.894	Belmont 87 - Eastern Kentucky 56	-10
Brigham Young 84 - San Diego 59	0.947	Brigham Young 93 - San Diego 70	2
Campbell 71 - Charleston Southern 58	0.79	Campbell 62 - Charleston Southern 77	28
Chicago State 62 - Grand Canyon 78	0.848	Chicago State 64 - Grand Canyon 76	-4
Coastal Carolina 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.67	Coastal Carolina 55 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	23
College of Charleston 72 - Northeastern 65	0.709	College of Charleston 76 - Northeastern 79	10
Delaware 68 - William and Mary 70	0.543	Delaware 68 - William and Mary 77	7
Drake 73 - Illinois State 62	0.814	Drake 84 - Illinois State 74	1
Drexel 75 - Elon 62	0.812	Drexel 63 - Elon 41	-9
Eastern Illinois 68 - Jacksonville State 65	0.557	Eastern Illinois 70 - Jacksonville State 69	2
Florida Atlantic 77 - Middle Tennessee 61	0.924	Florida Atlantic 97 - Middle Tennessee 94	13
Florida Gulf Coast 70 - Kennesaw St 58	0.797	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Kennesaw St 51	-10
Florida International 67 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.539	Florida International 93 - Alabama Birmingham 68	-27
Gonzaga 85 - Santa Clara 67	0.871	Gonzaga 104 - Santa Clara 54	-32
Green Bay 72 - Oakland 69	0.572	Green Bay 73 - Oakland 69	-1
Hampton 68 - Winthrop 80	0.819	Hampton 95 - Winthrop 116	9
Hawaii 76 - Cal Poly 59	0.873	Hawaii 65 - Cal Poly 61	13
Holy Cross 69 - Army 68	0.528	Holy Cross 67 - Army 79	13
Idaho 68 - Eastern Washington 75	0.656	Idaho 75 - Eastern Washington 78	-4
Idaho State 70 - Weber State 62	0.74	Idaho State 68 - Weber State 76	16
Jacksonville 69 - North Florida 68	0.522	Jacksonville 68 - North Florida 75	8
Long Beach State 71 - UC Davis 70	0.534	Long Beach State 82 - UC Davis 85	4
Longwood 67 - Presbyterian 64	0.583	Longwood 67 - Presbyterian 74	10
Louisiana Tech 77 - Rice 61	0.827	Louisiana Tech 72 - Rice 56	0
Loyola Ill 69 - Southern Illinois 57	0.799	Loyola Ill 64 - Southern Illinois 48	-4
Manhattan 65 - Quinnipiac 66	0.523	Manhattan 69 - Quinnipiac 57	-13
Marshall 69 - Charlotte 67	0.568	Marshall 75 - Charlotte 77	4
Memphis 75 - Cincinnati 68	0.688	Memphis 60 - Cincinnati 49	-4
Milwaukee 74 - Detroit 65	0.76	Milwaukee 84 - Detroit 90	15
Monmouth 74 - Marist 53	0.897	Monmouth 74 - Marist 66	13
NJ Tech 68 - Lipscomb 67	0.538	NJ Tech 75 - Lipscomb 57	-17
North Alabama 71 - Stetson 60	0.795	North Alabama 49 - Stetson 54	16
Northern Colorado 68 - Sacramento State 61	0.699	Northern Colorado 71 - Sacramento State 52	-12
Northern Kentucky 72 - Youngstown State 63	0.757	Northern Kentucky 88 - Youngstown State 63	-16
Pepperdine 74 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.735	Pepperdine 75 - Loyola Marymount 67	0
Portland 65 - Pacific 70	0.638	Portland 55 - Pacific 65	5
SE Missouri State 63 - Austin Peay 74	0.832	SE Missouri State 59 - Austin Peay 84	14
Seattle 72 - Texas Pan American 66	0.674	Seattle 91 - Texas Pan American 74	-11
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.664	SIU Edwardsville 69 - Tennessee Tech 72	9
South Alabama 69 - Georgia State 73	0.59	South Alabama 63 - Georgia State 72	5
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Radford 72	0.675	South Carolina Upstate 59 - Radford 63	-3
Southern California 75 - California 63	0.794	Southern California 88 - California 56	-20
Southern Miss 61 - North Texas 75	0.849	Southern Miss 52 - North Texas 72	6
Southern Utah 74 - Northern Arizona 61	0.875	Southern Utah 72 - Northern Arizona 75	16
Tennessee Martin 69 - Murray State 75	0.682	Tennessee Martin 62 - Murray State 84	16
Tennessee State 74 - Morehead State 66	0.726	Tennessee State 64 - Morehead State 48	-8
Troy 69 - Georgia Southern 72	0.592	Troy 66 - Georgia Southern 82	13
UC Riverside 73 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.705	UC Riverside 68 - Cal State Northridge 80	21
UL Lafayette 69 - Texas Arlington 72	0.589	UL Lafayette 65 - Texas Arlington 81	13
UL Monroe 63 - Texas State 68	0.644	UL Monroe 63 - Texas State 64	-4
UMKC 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.673	UMKC 64 - Cal State Bakersfield 74	15
UNC Asheville 79 - High Point 62	0.914	UNC Asheville 66 - High Point 68	19
UNC Wilmington 62 - Hofstra 77	0.826	UNC Wilmington 61 - Hofstra 63	-13
Utah Valley 61 - New Mexico State 75	0.8	Utah Valley 56 - New Mexico State 70	0
Washington 73 - Oregon State 69	0.585	Washington 64 - Oregon State 56	-4
Washington State 66 - Oregon 79	0.84	Washington State 72 - Oregon 61	-24
Western Illinois 67 - Oral Roberts 80	0.792	Western Illinois 70 - Oral Roberts 87	4
Western Kentucky 73 - Old Dominion 63	0.787	Western Kentucky 71 - Old Dominion 69	8
Wright State 79 - Cleveland State 60	0.899	Wright State 75 - Cleveland State 62	6

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal Baptist 92 - Unranked 52		Cal Baptist 96 - Unranked 62
Canisius 70 - Siena 69	0.519	Canisius 73 - Siena 63	-9
Iona 67 - Fairfield 66	0.516	Iona 64 - Fairfield 57	-6
Iowa 78 - Michigan 73	0.623	Iowa 90 - Michigan 83	-2
Michigan State 75 - Wisconsin 66	0.69	Michigan State 67 - Wisconsin 55	-3
Niagara 68 - Rider 71	0.579	Niagara 70 - Rider 68	-5
Saint Louis 67 - Dayton 74	0.698	Saint Louis 76 - Dayton 78	-5
Wofford 69 - Furman 71	0.566	Wofford 66 - Furman 52	-16
Yale 78 - Brown 62	0.853	Yale 70 - Brown 56	2

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 78 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0.896	Abilene Christian 76 - Southeast Louisiana 55	-4
Air Force 73 - Colorado State 74	0.505	Air Force 65 - Colorado State 78	12
Akron 78 - Toledo 63	0.88	Akron 89 - Toledo 99	25
Alabama 76 - Missouri 72	0.589	Alabama 88 - Missouri 74	-10
Alabama AM 74 - Alabama State 66	0.691	Alabama AM 56 - Alabama State 65	17
American 77 - Holy Cross 62	0.858	American 81 - Holy Cross 69	3
Appalachian State 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.507	Appalachian State 57 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	17
Arizona 73 - Colorado 70	0.551	Arizona 75 - Colorado 54	-18
Arizona State 75 - Utah 70	0.582	Arizona State 83 - Utah 64	-14
Arkansas 73 - Kentucky 68	0.626	Arkansas 66 - Kentucky 73	12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Southern 64	0.521	Arkansas Pine Bluff 56 - Southern 75	18
Army 67 - Loyola MD 70	0.588	Army 81 - Loyola MD 80	-4
Ball State 75 - Miami OH 61	0.786	Ball State 71 - Miami OH 62	5
Belmont 78 - Morehead State 61	0.851	Belmont 77 - Morehead State 59	-1
Bethune Cookman 71 - North Carolina Central 64	0.68	Bethune Cookman 59 - North Carolina Central 86	34
Boise State 72 - Utah State 73	0.504	Boise State 88 - Utah State 83	-6
Bowling Green 72 - Northern Illinois 64	0.771	Bowling Green 66 - Northern Illinois 64	6
Bradley 69 - Northern Iowa 70	0.541	Bradley 71 - Northern Iowa 86	14
Bryant 77 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.755	Bryant 60 - LIU Brooklyn 74	23
Bucknell 71 - Lehigh 66	0.649	Bucknell 72 - Lehigh 56	-11
Cal State Northridge 73 - UC Davis 71	0.563	Cal State Northridge 62 - UC Davis 66	6
Campbell 73 - Longwood 58	0.903	Campbell 68 - Longwood 58	5
Central Florida 68 - South Florida 64	0.597	Central Florida 55 - South Florida 54	3
Central Michigan 77 - Buffalo 76	0.527	Central Michigan 67 - Buffalo 86	20
Coastal Carolina 76 - Arkansas State 68	0.699	Coastal Carolina 75 - Arkansas State 80	13
Colgate 74 - Boston 64	0.785	Colgate 79 - Boston 70	1
College of Charleston 73 - Hofstra 68	0.626	College of Charleston 69 - Hofstra 67	3
Columbia 71 - Cornell 65	0.726	Columbia 75 - Cornell 61	-8
Coppin State 70 - North Carolina AT 73	0.578	Coppin State 79 - North Carolina AT 75	-7
Creighton 78 - Providence 67	0.731	Creighton 78 - Providence 74	7
Delaware 76 - Elon 62	0.844	Delaware 79 - Elon 78	13
Denver 65 - Omaha 75	0.719	Denver 91 - Omaha 76	-25
DePaul 64 - Butler 73	0.817	DePaul 79 - Butler 66	-22
Drexel 67 - William and Mary 70	0.569	Drexel 84 - William and Mary 57	-30
Duke 79 - Louisville 64	0.866	Duke 73 - Louisville 79	21
Eastern Illinois 73 - Tennessee Tech 58	0.802	Eastern Illinois 84 - Tennessee Tech 59	-10
Eastern Michigan 69 - Ohio 66	0.587	Eastern Michigan 58 - Ohio 60	5
Evansville 66 - Missouri State 70	0.591	Evansville 58 - Missouri State 68	6
Florida 72 - Auburn 76	0.593	Florida 69 - Auburn 47	-26
Florida Atlantic 65 - Alabama Birmingham 64	0.517	Florida Atlantic 65 - Alabama Birmingham 68	4
Florida International 80 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.839	Florida International 83 - Middle Tennessee 69	1
Gardner Webb 71 - South Carolina Upstate 67	0.605	Gardner Webb 83 - South Carolina Upstate 67	-12
George Mason 67 - Richmond 70	0.561	George Mason 87 - Richmond 97	7
Georgetown 77 - Marquette 74	0.56	Georgetown 80 - Marquette 84	7
Georgia Tech 65 - Virginia 62	0.565	Georgia Tech 58 - Virginia 63	8
Gonzaga 80 - Brigham Young 73	0.684	Gonzaga 92 - Brigham Young 69	-16
Grambling State 71 - Prairie View 69	0.616	Grambling State 57 - Prairie View 64	9
Green Bay 78 - Detroit 69	0.68	Green Bay 83 - Detroit 80	6
Harvard 77 - Dartmouth 60	0.858	Harvard 67 - Dartmouth 62	12
Hawaii 71 - UC Santa Barbara 67	0.627	Hawaii 70 - UC Santa Barbara 63	-3
High Point 66 - Charleston Southern 68	0.549	High Point 60 - Charleston Southern 79	17
Houston Baptist 73 - Sam Houston State 83	0.784	Houston Baptist 75 - Sam Houston State 95	10
Illinois 79 - Northwestern 63	0.843	Illinois 75 - Northwestern 71	12
IPFW 67 - Oral Roberts 73	0.678	IPFW 68 - Oral Roberts 92	18
IUPUI 69 - Illinois Chicago 71	0.555	IUPUI 66 - Illinois Chicago 75	7
Jackson State 71 - Texas Southern 72	0.517	Jackson State 66 - Texas Southern 77	10
Jacksonville 68 - Stetson 56	0.783	Jacksonville 59 - Stetson 64	17
Kansas State 60 - West Virginia 75	0.907	Kansas State 84 - West Virginia 68	-31
Liberty 78 - Lipscomb 51	0.981	Liberty 67 - Lipscomb 60	20
Long Beach State 71 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.621	Long Beach State 62 - Cal State Fullerton 66	8
Louisiana Tech 70 - North Texas 66	0.616	Louisiana Tech 50 - North Texas 51	5
Manhattan 66 - Monmouth 64	0.551	Manhattan 58 - Monmouth 65	9
Marshall 72 - Old Dominion 64	0.709	Marshall 68 - Old Dominion 67	7
Maryland 74 - Purdue 65	0.681	Maryland 57 - Purdue 50	2
Massachusetts 75 - George Washington 65	0.795	Massachusetts 51 - George Washington 75	34
Miami 71 - Florida State 77	0.675	Miami 79 - Florida State 83	-2
Milwaukee 69 - Oakland 65	0.653	Milwaukee 73 - Oakland 68	-1
Mississippi 69 - Louisiana State 77	0.698	Mississippi 76 - Louisiana State 80	-4
Mississippi State 72 - Georgia 69	0.57	Mississippi State 91 - Georgia 59	-29
Mississippi Valley State 69 - Alcorn State 78	0.673	Mississippi Valley State 73 - Alcorn State 105	23
Montana 75 - Idaho 57	0.913	Montana 67 - Idaho 63	14
Montana State 72 - Eastern Washington 71	0.522	Montana State 58 - Eastern Washington 71	14
Morgan State 81 - Howard 63	0.904	Morgan State 68 - Howard 58	8
Mt St Marys 75 - Central Connecticut State 57	0.892	Mt St Marys 79 - Central Connecticut State 52	-9
Navy 64 - Lafayette 62	0.556	Navy 68 - Lafayette 66	0
NC State 75 - Clemson 69	0.708	NC State 60 - Clemson 54	0
Nebraska 70 - Indiana 79	0.698	Nebraska 74 - Indiana 82	-1
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - New Mexico 73	0.524	Nevada Las Vegas 99 - New Mexico 78	-22
New Hampshire 72 - UMBC 63	0.74	New Hampshire 65 - UMBC 60	4
New Orleans 71 - Mcneese State 73	0.58	New Orleans 52 - Mcneese State 65	11
Nicholls State 79 - Central Arkansas 64	0.86	Nicholls State 79 - Central Arkansas 72	8
NJ Tech 71 - Kennesaw St 59	0.778	NJ Tech 66 - Kennesaw St 48	-6
Norfolk State 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.861	Norfolk State 62 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	8
North Alabama 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	0.845	North Alabama 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	6
Northern Colorado 76 - Northern Arizona 62	0.873	Northern Colorado 58 - Northern Arizona 64	20
Northern Kentucky 75 - Cleveland State 58	0.858	Northern Kentucky 75 - Cleveland State 49	-9
Oklahoma 72 - Texas Christian 71	0.557	Oklahoma 83 - Texas Christian 63	-19
Oklahoma State 62 - Baylor 71	0.691	Oklahoma State 68 - Baylor 75	-2
Penn State 73 - Ohio State 72	0.514	Penn State 90 - Ohio State 76	-13
Pennsylvania 77 - Saint Josephs 70	0.627	Pennsylvania 81 - Saint Josephs 87	13
Pepperdine 68 - Saint Marys 79	0.757	Pepperdine 69 - Saint Marys 78	-2
Pittsburgh 75 - North Carolina 67	0.765	Pittsburgh 66 - North Carolina 52	-6
Portland 70 - San Diego 66	0.612	Portland 67 - San Diego 77	14
Portland State 74 - Idaho State 65	0.797	Portland State 82 - Idaho State 76	3
Presbyterian 60 - Radford 72	0.773	Presbyterian 64 - Radford 75	-1
Quinnipiac 71 - Saint Peters 60	0.79	Quinnipiac 51 - Saint Peters 71	31
Rhode Island 78 - La Salle 63	0.877	Rhode Island 66 - La Salle 63	12
Robert Morris 68 - Merrimack 60	0.685	Robert Morris 49 - Merrimack 53	12
Saint Francis Penn 75 - Sacred Heart 67	0.712	Saint Francis Penn 72 - Sacred Heart 65	1
Saint Johns 70 - Seton Hall 75	0.666	Saint Johns 79 - Seton Hall 82	-2
Samford 72 - Mercer 68	0.617	Samford 75 - Mercer 90	19
San Diego State 79 - Nevada 61	0.846	San Diego State 68 - Nevada 55	5
San Francisco 77 - Loyola Marymount 63	0.863	San Francisco 61 - Loyola Marymount 53	6
Santa Clara 73 - Pacific 67	0.663	Santa Clara 84 - Pacific 80	2
SE Missouri State 62 - Murray State 74	0.842	SE Missouri State 91 - Murray State 96	-7
Seattle 64 - New Mexico State 70	0.659	Seattle 67 - New Mexico State 75	2
SIU Edwardsville 64 - Jacksonville State 71	0.674	SIU Edwardsville 56 - Jacksonville State 64	1
South Alabama 71 - Georgia Southern 68	0.582	South Alabama 74 - Georgia Southern 68	-3
South Carolina State 70 - Florida AM 68	0.552	South Carolina State 81 - Florida AM 65	-14
Southern California 68 - Stanford 71	0.571	Southern California 82 - Stanford 78	-7
Southern Methodist 74 - Temple 67	0.654	Southern Methodist 68 - Temple 52	-9
Southern Miss 68 - Rice 70	0.564	Southern Miss 81 - Rice 68	-15
Southern Utah 66 - Sacramento State 61	0.675	Southern Utah 74 - Sacramento State 49	-20
Stephen F Austin 84 - Incarnate Word 52	0.974	Stephen F Austin 80 - Incarnate Word 56	8
Stony Brook 75 - Albany 60	0.892	Stony Brook 70 - Albany 62	7
Tennessee Martin 70 - Austin Peay 76	0.657	Tennessee Martin 81 - Austin Peay 92	5
Tennessee State 77 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.81	Tennessee State 88 - Eastern Kentucky 92	17
Texas 62 - Kansas 76	0.82	Texas 57 - Kansas 66	-5
Texas AM 67 - South Carolina 63	0.578	Texas AM 67 - South Carolina 81	18
Texas AM CC 64 - Lamar 63	0.532	Texas AM CC 64 - Lamar 58	-5
Texas San Antonio 72 - Texas El Paso 71	0.501	Texas San Antonio 86 - Texas El Paso 70	-15
Texas Tech 75 - Iowa State 69	0.661	Texas Tech 72 - Iowa State 52	-14
Towson 77 - James Madison 66	0.811	Towson 69 - James Madison 61	3
Troy 67 - Georgia State 77	0.737	Troy 75 - Georgia State 65	-20
Tulane 72 - Tulsa 69	0.576	Tulane 54 - Tulsa 67	16
UC Irvine 71 - UC Riverside 60	0.715	UC Irvine 69 - UC Riverside 53	-5
UL Lafayette 66 - Texas State 72	0.66	UL Lafayette 59 - Texas State 68	3
UL Monroe 66 - Texas Arlington 68	0.568	UL Monroe 58 - Texas Arlington 78	18
UNC Asheville 79 - Hampton 67	0.807	UNC Asheville 86 - Hampton 88	14
UNC Greensboro 72 - Chattanooga 62	0.773	UNC Greensboro 72 - Chattanooga 52	-10
UNC Wilmington 61 - Northeastern 74	0.827	UNC Wilmington 76 - Northeastern 74	-15
Utah Valley 69 - Texas Pan American 70	0.515	Utah Valley 72 - Texas Pan American 70	-3
Valparaiso 70 - Indiana State 72	0.548	Valparaiso 86 - Indiana State 77	-11
Vanderbilt 68 - Tennessee 73	0.665	Vanderbilt 45 - Tennessee 66	16
Vermont 75 - Hartford 57	0.929	Vermont 74 - Hartford 57	1
Villanova 77 - Connecticut 64	0.831	Villanova 61 - Connecticut 55	7
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Saint Bonaventure 61	0.782	Virginia Commonwealth 91 - Saint Bonaventure 63	-17
Virginia Military Institute 75 - The Citadel 72	0.594	Virginia Military Institute 88 - The Citadel 79	-6
Virginia Tech 74 - Syracuse 66	0.659	Virginia Tech 69 - Syracuse 71	10
Wagner 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 67	0.568	Wagner 64 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 69	8
Washington 69 - Oregon 73	0.598	Washington 61 - Oregon 64	-1
Washington State 69 - Oregon State 75	0.65	Washington State 89 - Oregon State 76	-19
Western Carolina 70 - East Tennessee State 72	0.584	Western Carolina 66 - East Tennessee State 85	17
Western Kentucky 70 - Charlotte 66	0.627	Western Kentucky 80 - Charlotte 63	-13
Western Michigan 67 - Kent State 76	0.752	Western Michigan 67 - Kent State 63	-13
Wichita State 77 - Houston 68	0.79	Wichita State 54 - Houston 65	20
Wright State 75 - Youngstown State 64	0.824	Wright State 79 - Youngstown State 72	4
Wyoming 64 - Fresno State 68	0.647	Wyoming 50 - Fresno State 65	11

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 68 - Rider 69	0.505	Canisius 95 - Rider 86	-10
Chicago State 61 - Cal State Bakersfield 78	0.86	Chicago State 54 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	1
Cincinnati 80 - East Carolina 62	0.871	Cincinnati 82 - East Carolina 57	-7
Fordham 60 - Davidson 69	0.786	Fordham 62 - Davidson 74	3
Illinois State 63 - Loyola Ill 70	0.675	Illinois State 50 - Loyola Ill 62	5
Maine 68 - Binghamton 67	0.519	Maine 86 - Binghamton 63	-22
Marist 61 - Iona 67	0.667	Marist 83 - Iona 73	-16
Niagara 69 - Siena 71	0.569	Niagara 72 - Siena 71	-3
North Dakota State 74 - North Dakota 64	0.805	North Dakota State 83 - North Dakota 74	1
Rutgers 74 - Minnesota 68	0.652	Rutgers 64 - Minnesota 56	-2
South Dakota 69 - South Dakota State 73	0.617	South Dakota 99 - South Dakota State 84	-19
Southern Illinois 64 - Drake 65	0.528	Southern Illinois 66 - Drake 49	-18
UCLA 71 - California 69	0.582	UCLA 50 - California 40	-8
UMKC 71 - Grand Canyon 66	0.672	UMKC 66 - Grand Canyon 69	8
Wake Forest 75 - Boston College 67	0.737	Wake Forest 80 - Boston College 62	-10

Number of DI Games: 325
Number Correct: 221 = 68%
Expected Number Correct: 227.502 = 70%
Average Error: 9.96
Average Signed Error: 0.96

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 65 - Alcorn State 70	0.633	Arkansas Pine Bluff 54 - Alcorn State 82	23
Baylor 79 - Oklahoma 65	0.879	Baylor 61 - Oklahoma 57	10
Colgate 75 - Bucknell 62	0.827	Colgate 80 - Bucknell 65	-2
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.866	Fairleigh Dickinson 83 - Central Connecticut State 60	-10
Florida AM 68 - North Carolina Central 64	0.588	Florida AM 66 - North Carolina Central 57	-5
Grambling State 71 - Texas Southern 72	0.525	Grambling State 61 - Texas Southern 68	6
Howard 54 - Yale 86	0.973	Howard 75 - Yale 89	-18
Jackson State 64 - Prairie View 71	0.735	Jackson State 60 - Prairie View 74	7
Longwood 67 - UNC Asheville 70	0.59	Longwood 66 - UNC Asheville 71	2
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Southern 74	0.705	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Southern 74	-5
Morgan State 71 - North Carolina AT 69	0.556	Morgan State 70 - North Carolina AT 76	8
Mt St Marys 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 62	0.629	Mt St Marys 59 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 39	-15
North Texas 78 - Rice 59	0.894	North Texas 79 - Rice 59	-1
Old Dominion 65 - Charlotte 64	0.504	Old Dominion 66 - Charlotte 62	-3
Portland State 76 - Weber State 65	0.807	Portland State 92 - Weber State 76	-5
Presbyterian 62 - Campbell 65	0.584	Presbyterian 85 - Campbell 79	-9
Radford 73 - Winthrop 69	0.634	Radford 56 - Winthrop 61	9
Robert Morris 71 - Sacred Heart 67	0.599	Robert Morris 67 - Sacred Heart 55	-8
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Merrimack 60	0.801	Saint Francis Penn 55 - Merrimack 72	28
South Carolina State 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.842	South Carolina State 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	2
South Carolina Upstate 73 - High Point 61	0.816	South Carolina Upstate 62 - High Point 70	20
Virginia 67 - NC State 65	0.551	Virginia 51 - NC State 53	4
Wagner 70 - LIU Brooklyn 73	0.601	Wagner 72 - LIU Brooklyn 64	-11
West Virginia 76 - Texas 62	0.818	West Virginia 97 - Texas 59	-24

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 73 - Eastern Michigan 61	0.831	Bowling Green 62 - Eastern Michigan 59	9
Buffalo 79 - Western Michigan 67	0.79	Buffalo 90 - Western Michigan 79	1
Clemson 76 - Wake Forest 68	0.714	Clemson 71 - Wake Forest 68	5
Duke 86 - Miami 66	0.888	Duke 89 - Miami 59	-10
Iowa State 74 - Oklahoma State 70	0.585	Iowa State 89 - Oklahoma State 82	-3
Kansas 82 - Kansas State 58	0.941	Kansas 81 - Kansas State 60	3
Kent State 74 - Northern Illinois 60	0.837	Kent State 69 - Northern Illinois 76	21
Kentucky 78 - Georgia 68	0.726	Kentucky 89 - Georgia 79	0
Louisiana State 77 - Florida 73	0.59	Louisiana State 84 - Florida 82	2
Marquette 80 - Saint Johns 70	0.754	Marquette 82 - Saint Johns 68	-4
Miami OH 66 - Akron 76	0.782	Miami OH 60 - Akron 81	11
Missouri 71 - Texas AM 61	0.712	Missouri 64 - Texas AM 66	12
New Mexico 82 - San Jose State 68	0.791	New Mexico 86 - San Jose State 59	-13
Northwestern 65 - Maryland 76	0.79	Northwestern 66 - Maryland 77	0
Ohio 70 - Toledo 71	0.547	Ohio 74 - Toledo 83	8
Purdue 72 - Illinois 69	0.553	Purdue 62 - Illinois 79	20
Saint Josephs 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 79	0.797	Saint Josephs 60 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0
San Diego State 82 - Wyoming 48	0.98	San Diego State 72 - Wyoming 55	17
South Florida 65 - Wichita State 73	0.693	South Florida 43 - Wichita State 56	5
Tennessee 74 - Mississippi 62	0.777	Tennessee 73 - Mississippi 48	-13
Texas Christian 69 - Texas Tech 70	0.524	Texas Christian 65 - Texas Tech 54	-12
Utah State 80 - Air Force 67	0.731	Utah State 72 - Air Force 47	-12
Villanova 70 - Butler 68	0.578	Villanova 76 - Butler 61	-13
Wisconsin 80 - Nebraska 63	0.855	Wisconsin 82 - Nebraska 68	3

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 75 - UMass Lowell 67	0.72	Albany 101 - UMass Lowell 75	-18
Arkansas Little Rock 75 - Troy 61	0.794	Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Troy 63	-4
Auburn 79 - South Carolina 66	0.774	Auburn 80 - South Carolina 67	0
Boston 68 - Navy 62	0.683	Boston 58 - Navy 60	8
Bradley 78 - Illinois State 60	0.864	Bradley 75 - Illinois State 63	6
Cal Baptist 88 - Chicago State 55	0.996	Cal Baptist 85 - Chicago State 53	1
Chattanooga 80 - The Citadel 63	0.888	Chattanooga 92 - The Citadel 69	-6
Colorado State 76 - Fresno State 64	0.814	Colorado State 86 - Fresno State 68	-6
Davidson 68 - Saint Louis 72	0.6	Davidson 71 - Saint Louis 59	-16
Dayton 80 - Saint Bonaventure 60	0.911	Dayton 86 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-6
DePaul 76 - Creighton 75	0.51	DePaul 68 - Creighton 83	16
Evansville 66 - Drake 71	0.641	Evansville 50 - Drake 73	18
Fordham 62 - George Washington 65	0.594	Fordham 59 - George Washington 54	-8
Furman 83 - Samford 60	0.915	Furman 101 - Samford 78	0
George Mason 75 - Massachusetts 67	0.691	George Mason 73 - Massachusetts 63	-2
Hartford 72 - UMBC 60	0.81	Hartford 60 - UMBC 69	21
Holy Cross 67 - Lehigh 71	0.628	Holy Cross 96 - Lehigh 95	-5
Incarnate Word 60 - Lamar 67	0.814	Incarnate Word 77 - Lamar 89	5
Iowa 74 - Rutgers 71	0.571	Iowa 85 - Rutgers 80	-2
Lafayette 74 - Army 60	0.837	Lafayette 74 - Army 94	34
Long Beach State 65 - UC Irvine 76	0.778	Long Beach State 63 - UC Irvine 56	-18
Louisville 79 - Georgia Tech 62	0.882	Louisville 68 - Georgia Tech 64	13
Loyola Ill 71 - Indiana State 64	0.692	Loyola Ill 75 - Indiana State 55	-13
Loyola MD 68 - American 69	0.529	Loyola MD 91 - American 93	1
Maine 57 - Vermont 75	0.889	Maine 57 - Vermont 59	-16
Marist 56 - Manhattan 66	0.752	Marist 75 - Manhattan 73	-12
Marshall 72 - Western Kentucky 73	0.502	Marshall 60 - Western Kentucky 64	3
Mercer 70 - Western Carolina 74	0.652	Mercer 85 - Western Carolina 79	-10
Michigan 79 - Penn State 74	0.617	Michigan 63 - Penn State 72	14
Mississippi State 70 - Arkansas 69	0.532	Mississippi State 77 - Arkansas 70	-6
Nevada 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.627	Nevada 86 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	-9
Nicholls State 86 - Houston Baptist 64	0.943	Nicholls State 91 - Houston Baptist 83	14
Northwestern State 63 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.811	Northwestern State 62 - Stephen F Austin 69	-6
Notre Dame 74 - Syracuse 72	0.549	Notre Dame 82 - Syracuse 84	4
Pittsburgh 75 - Boston College 61	0.844	Pittsburgh 74 - Boston College 72	12
Rhode Island 72 - Duquesne 67	0.624	Rhode Island 77 - Duquesne 55	-17
Richmond 77 - La Salle 62	0.864	Richmond 75 - La Salle 57	-3
Sam Houston State 70 - Abilene Christian 66	0.641	Sam Houston State 82 - Abilene Christian 76	-2
Seton Hall 80 - Providence 65	0.817	Seton Hall 73 - Providence 64	6
South Dakota State 71 - North Dakota State 67	0.632	South Dakota State 78 - North Dakota State 73	-1
Southeast Louisiana 67 - Mcneese State 72	0.654	Southeast Louisiana 61 - Mcneese State 77	11
Southern Illinois 61 - Northern Iowa 73	0.82	Southern Illinois 68 - Northern Iowa 66	-14
Southern Methodist 81 - East Carolina 62	0.9	Southern Methodist 84 - East Carolina 64	-1
Stony Brook 81 - Binghamton 57	0.944	Stony Brook 79 - Binghamton 83	28
Temple 70 - Cincinnati 69	0.503	Temple 82 - Cincinnati 89	8
Texas AM CC 69 - New Orleans 62	0.75	Texas AM CC 74 - New Orleans 71	4
Tulsa 67 - Memphis 71	0.596	Tulsa 80 - Memphis 40	-44
UC Davis 71 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.758	UC Davis 74 - Cal State Fullerton 78	11
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.84	UC Santa Barbara 75 - Cal State Northridge 83	21
Vanderbilt 73 - Alabama 82	0.739	Vanderbilt 62 - Alabama 77	6
Virginia Tech 77 - North Carolina 66	0.788	Virginia Tech 79 - North Carolina 77	9
Wofford 78 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0.898	Wofford 66 - Virginia Military Institute 54	5
Xavier 76 - Georgetown 73	0.585	Xavier 66 - Georgetown 57	-6

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Southern Miss 59	0.833	Alabama Birmingham 77 - Southern Miss 84	21
Arkansas State 70 - South Alabama 67	0.566	Arkansas State 75 - South Alabama 71	-1
Austin Peay 76 - Tennessee State 67	0.745	Austin Peay 99 - Tennessee State 74	-16
Bryant 75 - Wagner 63	0.771	Bryant 79 - Wagner 58	-9
Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Utah Valley 62	0.794	Cal State Bakersfield 58 - Utah Valley 57	10
Central Connecticut State 61 - Sacred Heart 76	0.856	Central Connecticut State 54 - Sacred Heart 82	13
Charleston Southern 69 - Presbyterian 61	0.663	Charleston Southern 74 - Presbyterian 66	0
Charlotte 70 - Florida Atlantic 64	0.703	Charlotte 70 - Florida Atlantic 68	4
Cleveland State 70 - Green Bay 72	0.542	Cleveland State 74 - Green Bay 78	2
Colorado 79 - Washington State 63	0.833	Colorado 78 - Washington State 56	-6
Detroit 76 - IUPUI 67	0.697	Detroit 76 - IUPUI 64	-3
Eastern Illinois 74 - Tennessee Martin 65	0.689	Eastern Illinois 95 - Tennessee Martin 83	-3
Elon 63 - Towson 72	0.743	Elon 61 - Towson 72	2
Grand Canyon 70 - Seattle 67	0.567	Grand Canyon 80 - Seattle 77	0
Hampton 68 - Campbell 70	0.566	Hampton 83 - Campbell 74	-11
High Point 65 - Gardner Webb 71	0.672	High Point 76 - Gardner Webb 79	-3
Hofstra 75 - Delaware 66	0.715	Hofstra 71 - Delaware 73	11
Houston 77 - Connecticut 64	0.866	Houston 63 - Connecticut 59	9
Idaho State 63 - Montana 72	0.743	Idaho State 74 - Montana 77	-6
Indiana 73 - Michigan State 76	0.57	Indiana 67 - Michigan State 63	-7
Jacksonville State 72 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.772	Jacksonville State 77 - Eastern Kentucky 81	12
Kennesaw St 60 - North Alabama 70	0.749	Kennesaw St 58 - North Alabama 78	10
Lipscomb 65 - Jacksonville 64	0.524	Lipscomb 85 - Jacksonville 89	5
LIU Brooklyn 71 - Saint Francis Penn 74	0.594	LIU Brooklyn 86 - Saint Francis Penn 81	-8
Loyola Marymount 69 - Portland 63	0.69	Loyola Marymount 77 - Portland 65	-6
Merrimack 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 58	0.831	Merrimack 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	10
Middle Tennessee 61 - Louisiana Tech 78	0.895	Middle Tennessee 73 - Louisiana Tech 80	-10
Missouri State 72 - Valparaiso 68	0.632	Missouri State 67 - Valparaiso 60	-3
Murray State 69 - Belmont 70	0.502	Murray State 85 - Belmont 75	-11
North Dakota 75 - Denver 65	0.795	North Dakota 78 - Denver 71	3
North Florida 63 - Liberty 72	0.771	North Florida 71 - Liberty 70	-10
North Texas 79 - Texas San Antonio 65	0.801	North Texas 98 - Texas San Antonio 78	-6
Northeastern 70 - Drexel 66	0.599	Northeastern 85 - Drexel 52	-29
Oakland 67 - Illinois Chicago 63	0.619	Oakland 50 - Illinois Chicago 80	34
Ohio State 75 - Minnesota 71	0.608	Ohio State 59 - Minnesota 62	7
Old Dominion 70 - Florida International 69	0.525	Old Dominion 80 - Florida International 83	4
Omaha 80 - Western Illinois 64	0.785	Omaha 87 - Western Illinois 82	11
Oregon 78 - Southern California 69	0.706	Oregon 79 - Southern California 70	0
Oregon State 78 - UCLA 67	0.739	Oregon State 58 - UCLA 62	15
Pacific 67 - Brigham Young 75	0.717	Pacific 60 - Brigham Young 74	6
Rice 66 - Texas El Paso 70	0.594	Rice 64 - Texas El Paso 72	4
Sacramento State 70 - Portland State 65	0.666	Sacramento State 66 - Portland State 55	-6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Robert Morris 68	0.551	Saint Francis Brooklyn 78 - Robert Morris 57	-23
Saint Marys 78 - San Francisco 67	0.778	Saint Marys 58 - San Francisco 48	1
Santa Clara 78 - Pepperdine 70	0.681	Santa Clara 86 - Pepperdine 90	12
SIU Edwardsville 67 - SE Missouri State 66	0.529	SIU Edwardsville 84 - SE Missouri State 65	-18
South Dakota 74 - IPFW 64	0.74	South Dakota 83 - IPFW 60	-13
Stetson 66 - NJ Tech 63	0.582	Stetson 65 - NJ Tech 64	2
Tennessee Tech 63 - Morehead State 68	0.664	Tennessee Tech 71 - Morehead State 59	-17
UC Riverside 68 - Cal Poly 59	0.696	UC Riverside 97 - Cal Poly 64	-24
UNC Asheville 65 - Radford 73	0.71	UNC Asheville 80 - Radford 67	-21
Utah 70 - Washington 73	0.554	Utah 67 - Washington 66	-4
Weber State 65 - Montana State 67	0.537	Weber State 61 - Montana State 62	-1
William and Mary 79 - James Madison 65	0.812	William and Mary 88 - James Madison 75	1
Winthrop 80 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.894	Winthrop 79 - South Carolina Upstate 53	-10
Youngstown State 72 - Milwaukee 67	0.684	Youngstown State 73 - Milwaukee 75	7

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 65 - Yale 74	0.738	Brown 62 - Yale 73	2
Buffalo 74 - Kent State 72	0.553	Buffalo 66 - Kent State 70	6
Butler 75 - Marquette 68	0.7	Butler 89 - Marquette 85	3
Iona 69 - Canisius 71	0.565	Iona 69 - Canisius 66	-5
Monmouth 74 - Niagara 64	0.753	Monmouth 82 - Niagara 71	-1
Purdue 68 - Wisconsin 66	0.541	Purdue 70 - Wisconsin 51	-17
Quinnipiac 67 - Fairfield 61	0.668	Quinnipiac 81 - Fairfield 67	-8
Rider 69 - Saint Peters 64	0.632	Rider 70 - Saint Peters 66	1
Siena 74 - Marist 57	0.879	Siena 70 - Marist 57	4
Wright State 71 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.624	Wright State 95 - Northern Kentucky 63	-28

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Kansas State 70	0.746	Alabama 77 - Kansas State 74	7
Alabama Birmingham 63 - Louisiana Tech 65	0.561	Alabama Birmingham 58 - Louisiana Tech 72	12
Albany 69 - Hartford 64	0.663	Albany 48 - Hartford 62	19
Alcorn State 75 - Alabama AM 67	0.685	Alcorn State 59 - Alabama AM 58	7
American 65 - Colgate 70	0.67	American 69 - Colgate 79	5
Arizona State 70 - Arizona 76	0.614	Arizona State 66 - Arizona 65	-7
Arkansas 75 - Texas Christian 65	0.742	Arkansas 78 - Texas Christian 67	-1
Auburn 80 - Iowa State 68	0.769	Auburn 80 - Iowa State 76	8
Austin Peay 70 - Belmont 71	0.514	Austin Peay 86 - Belmont 78	-9
Binghamton 66 - New Hampshire 70	0.598	Binghamton 69 - New Hampshire 77	4
Boston College 64 - Virginia Tech 73	0.695	Boston College 61 - Virginia Tech 56	-14
Bucknell 73 - Loyola MD 64	0.718	Bucknell 98 - Loyola MD 83	-6
Cal Baptist 76 - UMKC 64	0.845	Cal Baptist 57 - UMKC 67	22
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Seattle 66	0.613	Cal State Bakersfield 79 - Seattle 86	11
Cal State Fullerton 71 - Cal State Northridge 68	0.582	Cal State Fullerton 82 - Cal State Northridge 75	-4
Central Arkansas 69 - Abilene Christian 75	0.658	Central Arkansas 69 - Abilene Christian 70	-5
Central Connecticut State 65 - Wagner 72	0.677	Central Connecticut State 86 - Wagner 76	-17
Central Michigan 68 - Ball State 73	0.601	Central Michigan 71 - Ball State 66	-10
Charlotte 73 - Florida International 68	0.612	Charlotte 75 - Florida International 49	-21
Cleveland State 67 - Milwaukee 69	0.554	Cleveland State 70 - Milwaukee 53	-19
Coastal Carolina 74 - Appalachian State 66	0.707	Coastal Carolina 58 - Appalachian State 78	28
College of Charleston 78 - UNC Wilmington 57	0.946	College of Charleston 70 - UNC Wilmington 72	23
Colorado 73 - Washington 64	0.72	Colorado 76 - Washington 62	-5
Coppin State 71 - Morgan State 70	0.51	Coppin State 48 - Morgan State 50	3
Cornell 67 - Columbia 68	0.526	Cornell 62 - Columbia 50	-13
Dartmouth 63 - Harvard 72	0.721	Dartmouth 66 - Harvard 70	-5
Davidson 73 - George Mason 67	0.676	Davidson 68 - George Mason 53	-9
DePaul 77 - Saint Johns 71	0.681	DePaul 66 - Saint Johns 79	19
Detroit 69 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.518	Detroit 70 - Illinois Chicago 69	0
East Carolina 69 - Tulane 72	0.572	East Carolina 81 - Tulane 62	-22
East Tennessee State 73 - Chattanooga 59	0.821	East Tennessee State 75 - Chattanooga 64	3
Eastern Illinois 73 - SE Missouri State 60	0.782	Eastern Illinois 61 - SE Missouri State 59	11
Eastern Washington 72 - Southern Utah 71	0.53	Eastern Washington 81 - Southern Utah 78	-2
Elon 71 - James Madison 72	0.524	Elon 82 - James Madison 73	-10
Florida 70 - Baylor 72	0.567	Florida 61 - Baylor 72	9
Florida Gulf Coast 66 - NJ Tech 64	0.568	Florida Gulf Coast 54 - NJ Tech 56	4
Florida State 81 - Notre Dame 66	0.867	Florida State 85 - Notre Dame 84	14
Fresno State 70 - Boise State 72	0.541	Fresno State 53 - Boise State 87	32
Gardner Webb 71 - Charleston Southern 64	0.624	Gardner Webb 83 - Charleston Southern 92	16
George Washington 75 - Saint Josephs 67	0.666	George Washington 85 - Saint Josephs 69	-8
Georgia 78 - Mississippi 68	0.723	Georgia 60 - Mississippi 70	20
Georgia Southern 72 - Georgia State 73	0.53	Georgia Southern 77 - Georgia State 82	4
Georgia Tech 71 - NC State 74	0.573	Georgia Tech 64 - NC State 58	-9
Gonzaga 84 - Pacific 61	0.921	Gonzaga 92 - Pacific 59	-10
Grand Canyon 73 - Utah Valley 63	0.748	Grand Canyon 69 - Utah Valley 73	14
Hawaii 76 - UC Davis 64	0.844	Hawaii 76 - UC Davis 75	11
High Point 67 - Longwood 65	0.556	High Point 62 - Longwood 72	12
Hofstra 72 - Drexel 66	0.637	Hofstra 72 - Drexel 59	-7
Holy Cross 62 - Boston 75	0.805	Holy Cross 64 - Boston 79	2
Howard 64 - Florida AM 74	0.752	Howard 83 - Florida AM 87	-6
Idaho 61 - Northern Colorado 72	0.8	Idaho 53 - Northern Colorado 74	10
Idaho State 66 - Montana State 67	0.525	Idaho State 64 - Montana State 75	10
Illinois State 64 - Southern Illinois 65	0.523	Illinois State 55 - Southern Illinois 58	2
Incarnate Word 59 - Texas AM CC 65	0.74	Incarnate Word 47 - Texas AM CC 68	15
Indiana State 70 - Bradley 69	0.512	Indiana State 61 - Bradley 53	-7
Jackson State 67 - Grambling State 66	0.528	Jackson State 71 - Grambling State 53	-17
Jacksonville State 70 - Morehead State 62	0.76	Jacksonville State 72 - Morehead State 51	-13
Kansas 78 - Tennessee 58	0.928	Kansas 74 - Tennessee 68	14
Kennesaw St 57 - Jacksonville 67	0.737	Kennesaw St 64 - Jacksonville 83	9
La Salle 64 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.761	La Salle 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	3
Lamar 62 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.813	Lamar 62 - Stephen F Austin 70	-2
Lehigh 65 - Lafayette 69	0.667	Lehigh 56 - Lafayette 74	14
Lipscomb 70 - North Florida 76	0.711	Lipscomb 85 - North Florida 73	-18
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Robert Morris 69	0.583	LIU Brooklyn 66 - Robert Morris 71	8
Louisville 77 - Clemson 63	0.848	Louisville 80 - Clemson 62	-4
Loyola Marymount 61 - Saint Marys 75	0.843	Loyola Marymount 62 - Saint Marys 73	-3
Massachusetts 66 - Duquesne 74	0.691	Massachusetts 73 - Duquesne 64	-17
Mcneese State 86 - Houston Baptist 69	0.9	Mcneese State 102 - Houston Baptist 89	4
Memphis 76 - Southern Methodist 67	0.763	Memphis 70 - Southern Methodist 74	13
Miami OH 69 - Eastern Michigan 63	0.671	Miami OH 73 - Eastern Michigan 68	1
Michigan 76 - Illinois 73	0.585	Michigan 62 - Illinois 64	5
Middle Tennessee 70 - Southern Miss 71	0.524	Middle Tennessee 65 - Southern Miss 63	-3
Mt St Marys 65 - Bryant 66	0.51	Mt St Marys 79 - Bryant 76	-4
Murray State 76 - Tennessee State 66	0.75	Murray State 76 - Tennessee State 64	-2
Navy 71 - Army 59	0.804	Navy 66 - Army 73	19
Nevada 77 - New Mexico 72	0.63	Nevada 96 - New Mexico 74	-17
New Orleans 62 - Nicholls State 71	0.785	New Orleans 72 - Nicholls State 77	-4
Norfolk State 70 - South Carolina State 64	0.667	Norfolk State 73 - South Carolina State 62	-5
North Carolina 76 - Miami 75	0.504	North Carolina 94 - Miami 71	-22
North Carolina AT 74 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.614	North Carolina AT 98 - Bethune Cookman 95	3
North Carolina Central 77 - Delaware State 61	0.865	North Carolina Central 72 - Delaware State 45	-11
North Dakota 78 - Western Illinois 65	0.792	North Dakota 83 - Western Illinois 77	7
North Dakota State 77 - Denver 58	0.928	North Dakota State 82 - Denver 70	7
North Texas 72 - Texas El Paso 60	0.837	North Texas 67 - Texas El Paso 57	2
Northeastern 73 - Delaware 66	0.686	Northeastern 74 - Delaware 76	9
Northern Arizona 74 - Portland State 69	0.667	Northern Arizona 84 - Portland State 82	3
Northern Illinois 69 - Western Michigan 65	0.637	Northern Illinois 58 - Western Michigan 52	-2
Northwestern State 73 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.711	Northwestern State 81 - Southeast Louisiana 84	11
Oakland 75 - IUPUI 62	0.791	Oakland 85 - IUPUI 89	17
Ohio 66 - Akron 77	0.824	Ohio 86 - Akron 88	-9
Oklahoma 74 - Mississippi State 71	0.584	Oklahoma 63 - Mississippi State 62	2
Old Dominion 68 - Florida Atlantic 65	0.618	Old Dominion 65 - Florida Atlantic 55	-7
Omaha 74 - IPFW 63	0.704	Omaha 75 - IPFW 71	7
Oregon State 73 - Southern California 74	0.503	Oregon State 55 - Southern California 75	19
Pennsylvania 67 - Temple 74	0.645	Pennsylvania 66 - Temple 59	-14
Pepperdine 77 - Portland 66	0.803	Pepperdine 80 - Portland 69	0
Prairie View 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 55	0.96	Prairie View 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	7
Providence 70 - Villanova 73	0.58	Providence 60 - Villanova 64	1
Radford 81 - Hampton 61	0.894	Radford 83 - Hampton 79	16
Rice 74 - Texas San Antonio 75	0.538	Rice 88 - Texas San Antonio 90	1
Richmond 70 - Dayton 76	0.677	Richmond 79 - Dayton 87	2
Rutgers 83 - Nebraska 62	0.882	Rutgers 75 - Nebraska 72	18
Sacred Heart 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 63	0.841	Sacred Heart 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	-3
Saint Bonaventure 69 - Rhode Island 71	0.551	Saint Bonaventure 75 - Rhode Island 81	4
Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - Saint Francis Penn 72	0.729	Saint Francis Brooklyn 86 - Saint Francis Penn 79	-14
Samford 61 - UNC Greensboro 78	0.878	Samford 63 - UNC Greensboro 70	-10
San Diego 69 - Santa Clara 73	0.612	San Diego 52 - Santa Clara 65	9
San Francisco 72 - Brigham Young 76	0.624	San Francisco 83 - Brigham Young 82	-5
San Jose State 73 - Air Force 76	0.558	San Jose State 90 - Air Force 81	-12
SIU Edwardsville 68 - Tennessee Martin 72	0.591	SIU Edwardsville 76 - Tennessee Martin 79	-1
South Alabama 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.514	South Alabama 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	3
South Carolina 79 - Vanderbilt 68	0.769	South Carolina 90 - Vanderbilt 64	-15
South Carolina Upstate 71 - UNC Asheville 68	0.591	South Carolina Upstate 80 - UNC Asheville 63	-14
South Dakota 72 - Oral Roberts 74	0.571	South Dakota 91 - Oral Roberts 80	-13
Southern 70 - Alabama State 62	0.758	Southern 80 - Alabama State 71	-1
Stetson 52 - Liberty 70	0.9	Stetson 48 - Liberty 43	-23
Syracuse 73 - Pittsburgh 68	0.638	Syracuse 69 - Pittsburgh 61	-3
Tennessee Tech 66 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.613	Tennessee Tech 74 - Eastern Kentucky 80	3
Texas 72 - Louisiana State 73	0.515	Texas 67 - Louisiana State 69	1
Texas AM 66 - Oklahoma State 68	0.546	Texas AM 62 - Oklahoma State 73	9
Texas Pan American 61 - New Mexico State 73	0.834	Texas Pan American 62 - New Mexico State 67	-7
Texas Southern 87 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.899	Texas Southern 80 - Mississippi Valley State 67	12
Texas State 71 - Texas Arlington 66	0.664	Texas State 62 - Texas Arlington 64	7
Texas Tech 72 - Kentucky 68	0.595	Texas Tech 74 - Kentucky 76	6
The Citadel 66 - Furman 80	0.863	The Citadel 54 - Furman 78	10
Toledo 73 - Bowling Green 69	0.623	Toledo 79 - Bowling Green 85	10
Troy 69 - Arkansas State 70	0.519	Troy 62 - Arkansas State 78	15
UC Irvine 75 - Cal Poly 56	0.896	UC Irvine 74 - Cal Poly 67	12
UC Santa Barbara 70 - UC Riverside 60	0.74	UC Santa Barbara 65 - UC Riverside 63	8
UL Lafayette 70 - UL Monroe 66	0.584	UL Lafayette 81 - UL Monroe 60	-17
UMBC 69 - Maine 65	0.6	UMBC 63 - Maine 53	-6
Utah 75 - Washington State 71	0.582	Utah 76 - Washington State 64	-8
Utah State 75 - Colorado State 70	0.607	Utah State 77 - Colorado State 61	-11
Vermont 81 - UMass Lowell 60	0.927	Vermont 92 - UMass Lowell 62	-9
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Mercer 69	0.512	Virginia Military Institute 66 - Mercer 69	4
Weber State 63 - Montana 71	0.74	Weber State 87 - Montana 85	-10
West Virginia 78 - Missouri 60	0.831	West Virginia 74 - Missouri 51	-5
Western Carolina 74 - Wofford 71	0.588	Western Carolina 81 - Wofford 72	-6
Western Kentucky 77 - Marshall 69	0.709	Western Kentucky 91 - Marshall 84	1
Wichita State 77 - Central Florida 63	0.864	Wichita State 87 - Central Florida 79	6
William and Mary 71 - Towson 65	0.659	William and Mary 58 - Towson 70	18
Winthrop 80 - Presbyterian 61	0.927	Winthrop 72 - Presbyterian 57	4
Youngstown State 75 - Green Bay 70	0.627	Youngstown State 98 - Green Bay 94	1

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 62 - Stanford 74	0.803	California 52 - Stanford 50	-14
Connecticut 70 - Tulsa 67	0.577	Connecticut 75 - Tulsa 79	7
Creighton 78 - Xavier 69	0.767	Creighton 77 - Xavier 66	-2
Drake 69 - Missouri State 65	0.663	Drake 71 - Missouri State 69	2
Fairfield 66 - Canisius 64	0.553	Fairfield 63 - Canisius 55	-6
Houston 77 - South Florida 60	0.877	Houston 68 - South Florida 49	-2
Indiana 70 - Maryland 71	0.509	Indiana 76 - Maryland 77	0
Iona 68 - Monmouth 72	0.628	Iona 88 - Monmouth 94	2
Manhattan 69 - Rider 64	0.624	Manhattan 63 - Rider 67	9
Minnesota 74 - Michigan State 77	0.57	Minnesota 52 - Michigan State 70	15
Nevada Las Vegas 63 - San Diego State 75	0.783	Nevada Las Vegas 67 - San Diego State 71	-8
Northern Iowa 75 - Loyola Ill 63	0.803	Northern Iowa 67 - Loyola Ill 62	7
Northwestern 68 - Ohio State 75	0.68	Northwestern 59 - Ohio State 71	5
Oregon 82 - UCLA 63	0.897	Oregon 96 - UCLA 75	-2
Princeton 89 - Unranked 53		Princeton 87 - Unranked 41
Saint Louis 77 - Fordham 53	0.963	Saint Louis 55 - Fordham 39	8
Saint Peters 69 - Niagara 63	0.662	Saint Peters 58 - Niagara 53	1
Siena 70 - Quinnipiac 67	0.568	Siena 84 - Quinnipiac 61	-20
Valparaiso 78 - Evansville 65	0.799	Valparaiso 67 - Evansville 65	11
Wake Forest 66 - Virginia 67	0.525	Wake Forest 63 - Virginia 65	1

Number of DI Games: 329
Number Correct: 230 = 69.9%
Expected Number Correct: 230.559 = 70%
Average Error: 9.04
Average Signed Error: 0.3

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 76 - Alabama State 63	0.789	Alcorn State 63 - Alabama State 60	10
American 74 - Lehigh 62	0.863	American 77 - Lehigh 56	-9
Coppin State 77 - Howard 65	0.777	Coppin State 82 - Howard 75	5
Eastern Washington 70 - Northern Colorado 71	0.504	Eastern Washington 89 - Northern Colorado 84	-6
Idaho 61 - Southern Utah 71	0.796	Idaho 45 - Southern Utah 73	18
Iowa 76 - Wisconsin 69	0.677	Iowa 68 - Wisconsin 62	1
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Morgan State 69	0.692	Maryland Eastern Shore 50 - Morgan State 56	0
NC State 80 - North Carolina 70	0.8	NC State 65 - North Carolina 75	20
Norfolk State 68 - Florida AM 63	0.665	Norfolk State 95 - Florida AM 67	-23
North Carolina AT 81 - Delaware State 62	0.924	North Carolina AT 82 - Delaware State 67	4
Northern Arizona 66 - Sacramento State 63	0.591	Northern Arizona 69 - Sacramento State 54	-12
Oklahoma State 65 - Kansas 80	0.807	Oklahoma State 50 - Kansas 65	0
Prairie View 85 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.942	Prairie View 102 - Mississippi Valley State 83	8
South Carolina State 73 - Bethune Cookman 69	0.592	South Carolina State 74 - Bethune Cookman 78	8
Southern 69 - Alabama AM 63	0.683	Southern 67 - Alabama AM 46	-15
Texas Southern 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.933	Texas Southern 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	9
UMKC 86 - Unranked 53		UMKC 99 - Unranked 41

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Fresno State 69	0.608	Air Force 68 - Fresno State 79	16
Akron 80 - Buffalo 68	0.813	Akron 74 - Buffalo 77	15
Bowling Green 70 - Ball State 68	0.556	Bowling Green 67 - Ball State 61	-4
Cincinnati 76 - Southern Methodist 70	0.636	Cincinnati 65 - Southern Methodist 43	-16
Clemson 72 - Syracuse 71	0.52	Clemson 71 - Syracuse 70	0
Duke 82 - Pittsburgh 63	0.897	Duke 79 - Pittsburgh 67	7
Florida 75 - Mississippi State 69	0.628	Florida 71 - Mississippi State 78	13
George Mason 67 - Rhode Island 75	0.705	George Mason 64 - Rhode Island 78	6
Georgetown 72 - Butler 74	0.559	Georgetown 64 - Butler 69	3
Georgia Tech 95 - Unranked 48		Georgia Tech 82 - Unranked 54
Miami 73 - Virginia Tech 74	0.531	Miami 71 - Virginia Tech 61	-11
Mississippi 67 - Auburn 76	0.71	Mississippi 82 - Auburn 83	-8
Missouri 74 - Georgia 71	0.557	Missouri 72 - Georgia 69	0
Nebraska 74 - Michigan 80	0.666	Nebraska 68 - Michigan 79	5
Northern Illinois 71 - Ohio 64	0.729	Northern Illinois 61 - Ohio 59	5
Rutgers 73 - Purdue 66	0.651	Rutgers 70 - Purdue 63	0
Saint Johns 71 - Villanova 76	0.661	Saint Johns 59 - Villanova 79	15
Tennessee 73 - Texas AM 59	0.833	Tennessee 58 - Texas AM 63	19
Toledo 71 - Kent State 70	0.522	Toledo 70 - Kent State 83	14
Virginia 65 - Florida State 69	0.614	Virginia 61 - Florida State 56	-9
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Richmond 68	0.654	Virginia Commonwealth 87 - Richmond 68	-14
Wyoming 60 - Utah State 76	0.833	Wyoming 45 - Utah State 68	7

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 79 - South Carolina 67	0.779	Arkansas 77 - South Carolina 79	14
Army 69 - Bucknell 67	0.546	Army 68 - Bucknell 59	-7
Boise State 83 - San Jose State 66	0.826	Boise State 99 - San Jose State 71	-11
Boston 76 - Loyola MD 62	0.84	Boston 92 - Loyola MD 77	-1
Boston College 63 - Louisville 77	0.846	Boston College 69 - Louisville 86	3
Bradley 77 - Valparaiso 66	0.756	Bradley 80 - Valparaiso 69	0
Central Arkansas 75 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.708	Central Arkansas 88 - Southeast Louisiana 68	-12
Central Florida 69 - Memphis 71	0.562	Central Florida 57 - Memphis 59	0
Colgate 73 - Lafayette 62	0.807	Colgate 78 - Lafayette 80	13
Colorado State 75 - Nevada 72	0.588	Colorado State 92 - Nevada 91	2
Connecticut 72 - Temple 67	0.617	Connecticut 78 - Temple 63	-10
Duquesne 66 - Dayton 77	0.778	Duquesne 69 - Dayton 73	-7
East Carolina 63 - Houston 79	0.88	East Carolina 59 - Houston 69	-6
East Tennessee State 77 - Mercer 56	0.944	East Tennessee State 55 - Mercer 71	37
Fordham 60 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.735	Fordham 55 - Saint Bonaventure 62	-1
Furman 81 - Virginia Military Institute 57	0.941	Furman 74 - Virginia Military Institute 72	22
George Washington 67 - Davidson 71	0.632	George Washington 107 - Davidson 104	-7
Hartford 74 - Binghamton 62	0.786	Hartford 73 - Binghamton 57	-4
Houston Baptist 78 - Incarnate Word 70	0.783	Houston Baptist 82 - Incarnate Word 84	10
Illinois State 73 - Evansville 66	0.682	Illinois State 77 - Evansville 66	-4
Indiana State 72 - Drake 66	0.664	Indiana State 58 - Drake 56	4
Iowa State 68 - Baylor 78	0.783	Iowa State 53 - Baylor 67	4
Kansas State 72 - Oklahoma 74	0.561	Kansas State 61 - Oklahoma 53	-10
Kentucky 85 - Vanderbilt 63	0.931	Kentucky 71 - Vanderbilt 62	13
La Salle 66 - Saint Louis 71	0.681	La Salle 76 - Saint Louis 77	-4
Louisiana State 82 - Alabama 76	0.682	Louisiana State 90 - Alabama 76	-8
Massachusetts 79 - Saint Josephs 70	0.686	Massachusetts 91 - Saint Josephs 76	-6
Mcneese State 68 - Nicholls State 67	0.53	Mcneese State 80 - Nicholls State 74	-5
Michigan State 85 - Northwestern 63	0.898	Michigan State 79 - Northwestern 50	-7
Navy 75 - Holy Cross 57	0.9	Navy 81 - Holy Cross 66	3
New Hampshire 60 - Vermont 71	0.822	New Hampshire 43 - Vermont 56	2
New Mexico 66 - San Diego State 77	0.758	New Mexico 57 - San Diego State 85	17
New Orleans 70 - Northwestern State 68	0.557	New Orleans 74 - Northwestern State 82	10
Northern Iowa 78 - Missouri State 62	0.93	Northern Iowa 95 - Missouri State 66	-13
Notre Dame 80 - Wake Forest 72	0.753	Notre Dame 90 - Wake Forest 80	-2
Oral Roberts 74 - South Dakota State 71	0.583	Oral Roberts 61 - South Dakota State 76	18
Penn State 77 - Indiana 73	0.606	Penn State 64 - Indiana 49	-11
Saint Peters 65 - Monmouth 66	0.515	Saint Peters 66 - Monmouth 63	-4
Sam Houston State 72 - Texas AM CC 59	0.869	Sam Houston State 80 - Texas AM CC 61	-6
Samford 66 - Chattanooga 75	0.717	Samford 84 - Chattanooga 92	-1
Seton Hall 82 - DePaul 66	0.888	Seton Hall 64 - DePaul 57	9
Southern Illinois 62 - Loyola Ill 66	0.6	Southern Illinois 68 - Loyola Ill 63	-9
Stephen F Austin 72 - Abilene Christian 61	0.821	Stephen F Austin 71 - Abilene Christian 61	1
Texas Christian 73 - Texas 68	0.636	Texas Christian 61 - Texas 62	6
Texas Tech 67 - West Virginia 73	0.635	Texas Tech 89 - West Virginia 81	-14
The Citadel 67 - Wofford 77	0.801	The Citadel 56 - Wofford 79	13
Tulane 69 - South Florida 66	0.558	Tulane 52 - South Florida 66	17
UMass Lowell 68 - Stony Brook 77	0.716	UMass Lowell 76 - Stony Brook 84	-1
UMBC 65 - Albany 67	0.552	UMBC 63 - Albany 67	2
Utah Valley 66 - Cal Baptist 72	0.658	Utah Valley 61 - Cal Baptist 65	-2
Washington State 71 - Arizona State 74	0.574	Washington State 67 - Arizona State 65	-5
Western Carolina 69 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.622	Western Carolina 58 - UNC Greensboro 72	11
Xavier 74 - Marquette 75	0.515	Xavier 82 - Marquette 84	1

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 76 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.731	Arkansas Little Rock 96 - Coastal Carolina 79	-7
Arkansas State 72 - Appalachian State 66	0.66	Arkansas State 64 - Appalachian State 71	13
Austin Peay 82 - SIU Edwardsville 58	0.932	Austin Peay 82 - SIU Edwardsville 58	0
Brigham Young 84 - Pepperdine 67	0.887	Brigham Young 107 - Pepperdine 80	-10
Cal Poly 66 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.523	Cal Poly 101 - Cal State Fullerton 100	-2
Cal State Northridge 69 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.578	Cal State Northridge 79 - UC Santa Barbara 67	-15
California 64 - Oregon 77	0.807	California 72 - Oregon 77	-8
Campbell 72 - High Point 58	0.856	Campbell 57 - High Point 62	19
Charleston Southern 66 - Winthrop 73	0.69	Charleston Southern 60 - Winthrop 77	10
Cleveland State 73 - IUPUI 64	0.698	Cleveland State 72 - IUPUI 62	-1
Denver 66 - South Dakota 75	0.719	Denver 87 - South Dakota 93	-3
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.66	Eastern Kentucky 99 - Tennessee Martin 86	-8
Elon 64 - Hofstra 74	0.738	Elon 63 - Hofstra 86	13
Florida Atlantic 69 - Western Kentucky 73	0.66	Florida Atlantic 69 - Western Kentucky 65	-8
Florida International 77 - Marshall 73	0.594	Florida International 74 - Marshall 84	14
Georgia Southern 76 - Troy 65	0.774	Georgia Southern 86 - Troy 57	-18
Georgia State 77 - South Alabama 66	0.769	Georgia State 76 - South Alabama 73	8
Illinois 77 - Minnesota 70	0.683	Illinois 59 - Minnesota 51	-1
IPFW 69 - North Dakota 68	0.504	IPFW 72 - North Dakota 68	-3
Jacksonville 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 58	0.805	Jacksonville 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	12
Jacksonville State 70 - Tennessee State 66	0.603	Jacksonville State 62 - Tennessee State 72	14
James Madison 68 - College of Charleston 76	0.724	James Madison 68 - College of Charleston 87	11
Liberty 79 - Kennesaw St 44	0.992	Liberty 83 - Kennesaw St 45	-3
Longwood 60 - Radford 70	0.751	Longwood 55 - Radford 67	2
Louisiana Tech 70 - Charlotte 61	0.732	Louisiana Tech 72 - Charlotte 59	-4
Maryland 78 - Iowa 72	0.661	Maryland 82 - Iowa 72	-4
Merrimack 67 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	0.704	Merrimack 61 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 50	-2
Morehead State 68 - SE Missouri State 62	0.7	Morehead State 90 - SE Missouri State 74	-10
Murray State 75 - Eastern Illinois 61	0.786	Murray State 73 - Eastern Illinois 70	11
New Mexico State 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	0.894	New Mexico State 61 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	11
NJ Tech 67 - North Alabama 65	0.564	NJ Tech 74 - North Alabama 78	6
North Florida 74 - Stetson 63	0.773	North Florida 78 - Stetson 65	-2
Northern Colorado 78 - Idaho State 58	0.922	Northern Colorado 83 - Idaho State 67	4
Pacific 71 - Loyola Marymount 61	0.817	Pacific 62 - Loyola Marymount 50	-2
Portland State 72 - Montana 73	0.532	Portland State 88 - Montana 81	-8
Presbyterian 66 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.555	Presbyterian 74 - South Carolina Upstate 77	5
Robert Morris 70 - Bryant 65	0.619	Robert Morris 64 - Bryant 54	-5
Sacred Heart 68 - Mt St Marys 62	0.655	Sacred Heart 58 - Mt St Marys 53	1
Saint Francis Penn 81 - Central Connecticut State 57	0.951	Saint Francis Penn 84 - Central Connecticut State 77	17
Saint Marys 83 - Portland 56	0.95	Saint Marys 86 - Portland 64	5
San Diego 67 - San Francisco 75	0.74	San Diego 44 - San Francisco 69	17
Santa Clara 68 - Gonzaga 83	0.786	Santa Clara 72 - Gonzaga 87	0
Southern California 79 - Utah 69	0.687	Southern California 56 - Utah 52	6
Southern Miss 65 - Old Dominion 68	0.603	Southern Miss 58 - Old Dominion 68	7
Southern Utah 76 - Weber State 60	0.872	Southern Utah 65 - Weber State 75	26
Stanford 78 - Oregon State 65	0.781	Stanford 63 - Oregon State 68	18
Tennessee Tech 58 - Belmont 76	0.848	Tennessee Tech 84 - Belmont 92	-10
Texas Arlington 77 - UL Lafayette 63	0.826	Texas Arlington 65 - UL Lafayette 66	15
Texas El Paso 77 - Middle Tennessee 60	0.929	Texas El Paso 67 - Middle Tennessee 66	16
Texas Pan American 69 - Grand Canyon 68	0.534	Texas Pan American 79 - Grand Canyon 87	9
Texas San Antonio 74 - Alabama Birmingham 70	0.599	Texas San Antonio 68 - Alabama Birmingham 76	12
Texas State 74 - UL Monroe 58	0.851	Texas State 71 - UL Monroe 51	-4
Towson 75 - UNC Wilmington 58	0.905	Towson 77 - UNC Wilmington 66	6
UC Davis 67 - UC Irvine 72	0.643	UC Davis 65 - UC Irvine 80	10
UC Riverside 72 - Long Beach State 64	0.673	UC Riverside 77 - Long Beach State 69	0
UCLA 65 - Colorado 77	0.789	UCLA 72 - Colorado 68	-16
UNC Asheville 73 - Gardner Webb 68	0.625	UNC Asheville 56 - Gardner Webb 70	19
Wagner 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.598	Wagner 63 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	8
Washington 69 - Arizona 73	0.578	Washington 72 - Arizona 75	-1
Western Illinois 64 - North Dakota State 76	0.809	Western Illinois 49 - North Dakota State 70	9
William and Mary 71 - Northeastern 67	0.576	William and Mary 59 - Northeastern 58	3
Youngstown State 70 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.624	Youngstown State 83 - Illinois Chicago 90	12

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 74 - Cornell 61	0.798	Brown 74 - Cornell 63	2
Buffalo 76 - Bowling Green 72	0.628	Buffalo 77 - Bowling Green 78	5
Canisius 69 - Quinnipiac 67	0.562	Canisius 73 - Quinnipiac 90	19
Detroit 70 - Oakland 65	0.616	Detroit 64 - Oakland 77	18
Green Bay 70 - Northern Kentucky 74	0.589	Green Bay 62 - Northern Kentucky 71	5
Iona 70 - Siena 72	0.564	Iona 64 - Siena 87	21
Kent State 70 - Akron 72	0.558	Kent State 68 - Akron 67	-3
Milwaukee 66 - Wright State 75	0.763	Milwaukee 61 - Wright State 65	-5
Niagara 71 - Marist 59	0.786	Niagara 48 - Marist 67	31
Pennsylvania 71 - Harvard 74	0.572	Pennsylvania 75 - Harvard 72	-6
Princeton 71 - Dartmouth 63	0.74	Princeton 66 - Dartmouth 44	-14
Rhode Island 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.635	Rhode Island 87 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	-8
Rider 70 - Fairfield 62	0.692	Rider 68 - Fairfield 52	-8
Saint Peters 65 - Manhattan 59	0.657	Saint Peters 70 - Manhattan 53	-11
Yale 81 - Columbia 55	0.96	Yale 93 - Columbia 62	-5

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Incarnate Word 52	0.973	Abilene Christian 72 - Incarnate Word 58	11
Alabama 77 - Arkansas 75	0.562	Alabama 78 - Arkansas 82	6
Alabama AM 66 - Texas Southern 73	0.666	Alabama AM 73 - Texas Southern 82	2
Alabama State 63 - Prairie View 73	0.853	Alabama State 52 - Prairie View 49	-13
Albany 61 - Vermont 70	0.75	Albany 75 - Vermont 86	2
Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Appalachian State 63	0.769	Arkansas Little Rock 93 - Appalachian State 86	2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Grambling State 65	0.624	Arkansas Pine Bluff 47 - Grambling State 49	-1
Arkansas State 75 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.638	Arkansas State 77 - Coastal Carolina 83	12
Auburn 76 - Kentucky 72	0.612	Auburn 75 - Kentucky 66	-5
Austin Peay 76 - Eastern Illinois 62	0.775	Austin Peay 68 - Eastern Illinois 64	10
Ball State 75 - Ohio 62	0.801	Ball State 65 - Ohio 54	2
Baylor 78 - Texas Christian 62	0.876	Baylor 68 - Texas Christian 52	0
Boise State 76 - Nevada 73	0.559	Boise State 73 - Nevada 64	-6
Brigham Young 75 - Saint Marys 71	0.608	Brigham Young 81 - Saint Marys 79	2
Brown 74 - Columbia 62	0.762	Brown 72 - Columbia 66	6
Bucknell 66 - Boston 67	0.506	Bucknell 57 - Boston 77	19
Butler 76 - Providence 64	0.779	Butler 61 - Providence 65	16
California 69 - Oregon State 70	0.519	California 69 - Oregon State 67	-3
Chattanooga 74 - Western Carolina 69	0.627	Chattanooga 61 - Western Carolina 64	8
Chicago State 59 - UMKC 78	0.876	Chicago State 51 - UMKC 69	-1
Cincinnati 71 - Houston 72	0.515	Cincinnati 64 - Houston 62	-3
Cleveland State 64 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.508	Cleveland State 62 - Illinois Chicago 64	1
Colorado State 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	0.707	Colorado State 95 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	-10
Davidson 78 - Massachusetts 66	0.778	Davidson 85 - Massachusetts 50	-23
Dayton 84 - Fordham 50	0.968	Dayton 70 - Fordham 56	20
Delaware 71 - Drexel 66	0.634	Delaware 80 - Drexel 72	-3
Delaware State 68 - Coppin State 73	0.626	Delaware State 77 - Coppin State 68	-14
Drake 68 - Southern Illinois 62	0.668	Drake 72 - Southern Illinois 79	13
East Tennessee State 68 - UNC Greensboro 62	0.695	East Tennessee State 82 - UNC Greensboro 65	-11
Eastern Kentucky 73 - SE Missouri State 63	0.798	Eastern Kentucky 70 - SE Missouri State 57	-3
Eastern Michigan 65 - Toledo 69	0.622	Eastern Michigan 61 - Toledo 57	-8
Elon 64 - Northeastern 73	0.728	Elon 74 - Northeastern 69	-14
Evansville 62 - Northern Iowa 81	0.893	Evansville 68 - Northern Iowa 80	-7
Fairleigh Dickinson 64 - Mt St Marys 68	0.594	Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - Mt St Marys 75	-14
Florida AM 73 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.627	Florida AM 73 - Bethune Cookman 67	0
Florida Atlantic 72 - Marshall 70	0.554	Florida Atlantic 91 - Marshall 73	-16
Florida International 73 - Western Kentucky 76	0.559	Florida International 81 - Western Kentucky 76	-8
Fresno State 71 - New Mexico 73	0.553	Fresno State 82 - New Mexico 77	-7
Gardner Webb 73 - Longwood 63	0.74	Gardner Webb 81 - Longwood 84	13
Georgia 76 - Texas AM 66	0.719	Georgia 63 - Texas AM 48	-5
Georgia Southern 72 - South Alabama 67	0.633	Georgia Southern 69 - South Alabama 79	15
Georgia State 81 - Troy 63	0.859	Georgia State 78 - Troy 84	24
Hampton 74 - Presbyterian 67	0.68	Hampton 87 - Presbyterian 81	1
Hawaii 79 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.824	Hawaii 80 - Cal State Northridge 75	8
Holy Cross 60 - Colgate 79	0.91	Holy Cross 64 - Colgate 73	-10
Houston Baptist 71 - Texas AM CC 75	0.66	Houston Baptist 82 - Texas AM CC 77	-9
Howard 67 - Morgan State 74	0.698	Howard 83 - Morgan State 89	-1
IPFW 62 - North Dakota State 70	0.722	IPFW 60 - North Dakota State 71	3
Jacksonville 68 - North Alabama 62	0.665	Jacksonville 85 - North Alabama 83	4
Jacksonville State 64 - Belmont 71	0.658	Jacksonville State 64 - Belmont 78	7
James Madison 74 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.669	James Madison 83 - UNC Wilmington 66	-11
Kansas 80 - Texas Tech 62	0.878	Kansas 78 - Texas Tech 75	15
Lafayette 70 - American 64	0.701	Lafayette 82 - American 70	-6
Lehigh 68 - Army 69	0.531	Lehigh 79 - Army 80	0
Liberty 73 - Florida Gulf Coast 48	0.962	Liberty 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 46	10
Lipscomb 68 - Stetson 65	0.569	Lipscomb 53 - Stetson 55	5
Long Beach State 68 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.612	Long Beach State 62 - UC Santa Barbara 87	22
Louisiana State 83 - Mississippi 65	0.872	Louisiana State 73 - Mississippi 63	8
Louisiana Tech 72 - Old Dominion 59	0.858	Louisiana Tech 76 - Old Dominion 73	10
Loyola Ill 71 - Bradley 65	0.64	Loyola Ill 62 - Bradley 51	-5
Loyola Marymount 70 - Pepperdine 71	0.564	Loyola Marymount 67 - Pepperdine 68	0
Loyola MD 65 - Navy 68	0.6	Loyola MD 79 - Navy 73	-9
Maine 63 - Hartford 67	0.614	Maine 49 - Hartford 55	2
Marquette 82 - DePaul 71	0.763	Marquette 76 - DePaul 72	7
Mcneese State 72 - Lamar 63	0.794	Mcneese State 91 - Lamar 96	14
Memphis 75 - Connecticut 66	0.7	Memphis 70 - Connecticut 63	2
Mercer 78 - The Citadel 66	0.839	Mercer 76 - The Citadel 71	7
Merrimack 69 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0.677	Merrimack 70 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-5
Michigan 70 - Rutgers 74	0.613	Michigan 69 - Rutgers 63	-10
Mississippi State 71 - Tennessee 66	0.634	Mississippi State 86 - Tennessee 73	-8
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Jackson State 74	0.686	Mississippi Valley State 65 - Jackson State 85	11
Missouri State 69 - Indiana State 68	0.524	Missouri State 68 - Indiana State 78	11
Montana 71 - Montana State 62	0.739	Montana 78 - Montana State 64	-5
Morehead State 70 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.543	Morehead State 85 - Tennessee Martin 77	-7
Murray State 81 - SIU Edwardsville 56	0.938	Murray State 74 - SIU Edwardsville 55	6
NC State 71 - Louisville 74	0.623	NC State 57 - Louisville 77	17
Nebraska 73 - Penn State 82	0.698	Nebraska 64 - Penn State 76	3
New Mexico State 75 - Grand Canyon 58	0.889	New Mexico State 72 - Grand Canyon 52	-3
North Carolina 77 - Boston College 68	0.716	North Carolina 70 - Boston College 71	10
North Carolina AT 69 - Norfolk State 66	0.602	North Carolina AT 74 - Norfolk State 68	-3
North Carolina Central 68 - South Carolina State 63	0.618	North Carolina Central 73 - South Carolina State 56	-12
North Florida 83 - Kennesaw St 57	0.946	North Florida 86 - Kennesaw St 45	-15
Northern Arizona 74 - Idaho 60	0.89	Northern Arizona 77 - Idaho 72	9
Northern Colorado 77 - Weber State 59	0.894	Northern Colorado 70 - Weber State 52	0
Northern Illinois 70 - Miami OH 64	0.703	Northern Illinois 70 - Miami OH 55	-9
Northwestern 67 - Purdue 75	0.655	Northwestern 58 - Purdue 61	-5
Northwestern State 73 - Central Arkansas 71	0.56	Northwestern State 71 - Central Arkansas 79	10
Notre Dame 75 - Georgia Tech 70	0.64	Notre Dame 80 - Georgia Tech 72	-3
Ohio State 75 - Indiana 71	0.594	Ohio State 68 - Indiana 59	-5
Oklahoma 78 - Oklahoma State 69	0.707	Oklahoma 82 - Oklahoma State 69	-4
Oral Roberts 81 - Denver 62	0.919	Oral Roberts 86 - Denver 77	10
Pacific 73 - San Diego 62	0.833	Pacific 66 - San Diego 58	3
Pennsylvania 74 - Dartmouth 64	0.738	Pennsylvania 54 - Dartmouth 46	2
Portland 67 - Santa Clara 75	0.702	Portland 61 - Santa Clara 85	16
Princeton 69 - Harvard 73	0.624	Princeton 70 - Harvard 69	-5
Radford 71 - Charleston Southern 60	0.723	Radford 77 - Charleston Southern 74	8
Rice 62 - North Texas 76	0.849	Rice 84 - North Texas 75	-23
Richmond 79 - George Washington 61	0.88	Richmond 76 - George Washington 54	-4
Robert Morris 78 - Central Connecticut State 55	0.917	Robert Morris 64 - Central Connecticut State 57	16
Sacramento State 69 - Eastern Washington 66	0.558	Sacramento State 54 - Eastern Washington 59	8
Saint Bonaventure 72 - George Mason 65	0.678	Saint Bonaventure 74 - George Mason 65	-2
Saint Francis Brooklyn 66 - Sacred Heart 67	0.509	Saint Francis Brooklyn 76 - Sacred Heart 83	6
Saint Francis Penn 73 - Bryant 67	0.662	Saint Francis Penn 84 - Bryant 64	-14
Saint Josephs 66 - Saint Louis 78	0.759	Saint Josephs 73 - Saint Louis 78	-7
Sam Houston State 68 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.534	Sam Houston State 76 - Stephen F Austin 81	4
San Diego State 75 - Utah State 63	0.758	San Diego State 80 - Utah State 68	0
San Francisco 70 - Gonzaga 81	0.767	San Francisco 79 - Gonzaga 83	-7
San Jose State 73 - Wyoming 66	0.654	San Jose State 66 - Wyoming 71	12
Seattle 72 - Cal Baptist 71	0.515	Seattle 65 - Cal Baptist 72	8
Seton Hall 79 - Xavier 66	0.889	Seton Hall 62 - Xavier 74	25
South Carolina 74 - Missouri 68	0.638	South Carolina 76 - Missouri 54	-16
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Campbell 64	0.55	South Carolina Upstate 91 - Campbell 74	-16
South Florida 67 - Central Florida 66	0.529	South Florida 64 - Central Florida 48	-15
Southeast Louisiana 70 - New Orleans 66	0.629	Southeast Louisiana 73 - New Orleans 84	15
Southern 69 - Alcorn State 68	0.506	Southern 93 - Alcorn State 82	-10
Southern California 71 - Colorado 73	0.534	Southern California 57 - Colorado 78	19
Southern Methodist 80 - Tulane 64	0.853	Southern Methodist 82 - Tulane 67	1
Southern Miss 63 - Charlotte 70	0.687	Southern Miss 74 - Charlotte 68	-13
Southern Utah 76 - Idaho State 59	0.907	Southern Utah 80 - Idaho State 75	12
Stanford 73 - Oregon 72	0.507	Stanford 70 - Oregon 60	-9
Stony Brook 76 - UMBC 58	0.886	Stony Brook 74 - UMBC 63	7
Syracuse 71 - Duke 79	0.679	Syracuse 88 - Duke 97	1
Temple 76 - East Carolina 64	0.763	Temple 76 - East Carolina 64	0
Tennessee Tech 64 - Tennessee State 71	0.687	Tennessee Tech 67 - Tennessee State 72	-2
Texas 76 - Iowa State 71	0.621	Texas 72 - Iowa State 68	1
Texas Arlington 76 - UL Monroe 59	0.865	Texas Arlington 68 - UL Monroe 54	3
Texas El Paso 68 - Alabama Birmingham 61	0.686	Texas El Paso 55 - Alabama Birmingham 69	21
Texas Pan American 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.504	Texas Pan American 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	-12
Texas San Antonio 83 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.834	Texas San Antonio 80 - Middle Tennessee 83	17
Texas State 76 - UL Lafayette 62	0.81	Texas State 71 - UL Lafayette 66	9
Towson 69 - College of Charleston 66	0.606	Towson 70 - College of Charleston 79	12
Tulsa 69 - Wichita State 70	0.504	Tulsa 54 - Wichita State 51	-4
UC Davis 73 - Cal Poly 63	0.751	UC Davis 66 - Cal Poly 51	-5
UC Irvine 74 - Cal State Fullerton 60	0.858	UC Irvine 91 - Cal State Fullerton 61	-16
UMass Lowell 72 - New Hampshire 71	0.532	UMass Lowell 77 - New Hampshire 75	-1
Valparaiso 76 - Illinois State 66	0.796	Valparaiso 80 - Illinois State 70	0
Vanderbilt 68 - Florida 80	0.772	Vanderbilt 55 - Florida 61	-6
Villanova 77 - Creighton 71	0.683	Villanova 61 - Creighton 76	21
Virginia Tech 70 - Florida State 75	0.623	Virginia Tech 63 - Florida State 74	6
Wake Forest 74 - Clemson 73	0.52	Wake Forest 56 - Clemson 44	-11
Washington 73 - Arizona State 68	0.603	Washington 83 - Arizona State 87	9
Washington State 67 - Arizona 78	0.721	Washington State 49 - Arizona 66	6
West Virginia 81 - Kansas State 61	0.88	West Virginia 66 - Kansas State 57	11
Western Illinois 65 - South Dakota State 79	0.8	Western Illinois 61 - South Dakota State 71	-4
Western Michigan 71 - Central Michigan 72	0.515	Western Michigan 78 - Central Michigan 85	6
William and Mary 71 - Hofstra 68	0.56	William and Mary 60 - Hofstra 83	26
Winthrop 79 - UNC Asheville 63	0.888	Winthrop 104 - UNC Asheville 71	-17
Wisconsin 70 - Michigan State 72	0.554	Wisconsin 64 - Michigan State 63	-3
Wofford 79 - Samford 63	0.872	Wofford 80 - Samford 56	-8
Yale 80 - Cornell 54	0.98	Yale 86 - Cornell 71	11
Youngstown State 77 - IUPUI 64	0.82	Youngstown State 91 - IUPUI 76	-2

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 72 - Marist 58	0.826	Canisius 66 - Marist 65	13
Duquesne 73 - La Salle 63	0.769	Duquesne 71 - La Salle 69	8
Green Bay 71 - Wright State 79	0.699	Green Bay 92 - Wright State 89	-11
Iowa 78 - Illinois 73	0.623	Iowa 72 - Illinois 65	-2
Manhattan 71 - Iona 64	0.723	Manhattan 72 - Iona 49	-16
Milwaukee 65 - Northern Kentucky 70	0.631	Milwaukee 56 - Northern Kentucky 65	4
Monmouth 74 - Rider 67	0.67	Monmouth 90 - Rider 84	1
Niagara 67 - Quinnipiac 68	0.511	Niagara 75 - Quinnipiac 59	-17
Omaha 72 - South Dakota 71	0.538	Omaha 80 - South Dakota 81	2
Pittsburgh 77 - Miami 69	0.719	Pittsburgh 62 - Miami 57	3
Saint Johns 77 - Georgetown 74	0.563	Saint Johns 72 - Georgetown 73	4
Saint Peters 66 - Siena 65	0.552	Saint Peters 85 - Siena 80	-4
UCLA 72 - Utah 73	0.512	UCLA 73 - Utah 57	-17

Number of DI Games: 331
Number Correct: 234 = 70.6%
Expected Number Correct: 233.607 = 70.5%
Average Error: 8.46
Average Signed Error: 1.58

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 63 - Prairie View 71	0.729	Alabama AM 54 - Prairie View 69	7
Alabama State 65 - Texas Southern 72	0.725	Alabama State 79 - Texas Southern 55	-31
Arkansas Pine Bluff 60 - Jackson State 64	0.64	Arkansas Pine Bluff 45 - Jackson State 49	0
Bucknell 66 - Lafayette 68	0.572	Bucknell 62 - Lafayette 65	1
Delaware State 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0.651	Delaware State 66 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	8
Florida State 83 - North Carolina 68	0.883	Florida State 65 - North Carolina 59	9
Howard 69 - Coppin State 72	0.58	Howard 56 - Coppin State 64	5
Kansas 82 - Texas 62	0.914	Kansas 69 - Texas 58	9
Kansas State 64 - Baylor 75	0.816	Kansas State 67 - Baylor 73	-5
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Grambling State 74	0.713	Mississippi Valley State 65 - Grambling State 90	16
North Carolina AT 74 - South Carolina State 64	0.765	North Carolina AT 78 - South Carolina State 63	-5
North Carolina Central 64 - Norfolk State 62	0.557	North Carolina Central 69 - Norfolk State 63	-4
Northern Arizona 73 - Eastern Washington 72	0.522	Northern Arizona 66 - Eastern Washington 77	12
Sacramento State 69 - Idaho 55	0.849	Sacramento State 53 - Idaho 67	28

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 79 - Tennessee 71	0.698	Alabama 68 - Tennessee 69	9
Arkansas 75 - Auburn 72	0.575	Arkansas 76 - Auburn 79	6
Boston College 65 - Duke 83	0.872	Boston College 55 - Duke 63	-10
Central Michigan 73 - Bowling Green 74	0.516	Central Michigan 92 - Bowling Green 82	-11
DePaul 75 - Xavier 74	0.505	DePaul 59 - Xavier 67	9
Eastern Michigan 66 - Buffalo 72	0.656	Eastern Michigan 66 - Buffalo 62	-10
Fairfield 65 - Monmouth 67	0.58	Fairfield 55 - Monmouth 53	-4
Fresno State 69 - Colorado State 74	0.647	Fresno State 70 - Colorado State 80	5
Georgia Tech 72 - Virginia Tech 69	0.582	Georgia Tech 76 - Virginia Tech 57	-16
Kent State 71 - Ball State 64	0.658	Kent State 54 - Ball State 62	15
Kentucky 75 - Mississippi State 70	0.622	Kentucky 80 - Mississippi State 72	-3
Maryland 75 - Rutgers 68	0.704	Maryland 56 - Rutgers 51	2
Miami OH 72 - Western Michigan 68	0.648	Miami OH 60 - Western Michigan 64	8
Michigan 76 - Ohio State 72	0.59	Michigan 58 - Ohio State 61	7
Michigan State 80 - Penn State 72	0.678	Michigan State 70 - Penn State 75	13
Nevada 82 - Air Force 68	0.764	Nevada 88 - Air Force 54	-20
Rhode Island 84 - Massachusetts 63	0.885	Rhode Island 73 - Massachusetts 67	15
South Dakota 91 - Unranked 53		South Dakota 106 - Unranked 45
Texas AM 68 - Missouri 67	0.518	Texas AM 68 - Missouri 51	-16
Texas Tech 77 - Oklahoma 71	0.678	Texas Tech 69 - Oklahoma 61	-2
Toledo 69 - Northern Illinois 65	0.614	Toledo 61 - Northern Illinois 66	9
Wyoming 63 - Boise State 76	0.803	Wyoming 62 - Boise State 67	-8

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 76 - Binghamton 62	0.804	Albany 62 - Binghamton 49	1
Army 66 - Boston 69	0.565	Army 66 - Boston 80	11
Butler 72 - Villanova 70	0.558	Butler 79 - Villanova 76	-1
Cal Poly 71 - Long Beach State 69	0.556	Cal Poly 92 - Long Beach State 75	-15
Cal State Fullerton 66 - UC Riverside 68	0.529	Cal State Fullerton 61 - UC Riverside 48	-15
Chattanooga 64 - East Tennessee State 69	0.638	Chattanooga 64 - East Tennessee State 80	11
Drake 68 - Bradley 70	0.531	Drake 73 - Bradley 60	-15
Evansville 62 - Southern Illinois 71	0.725	Evansville 60 - Southern Illinois 64	-5
Florida 80 - Georgia 70	0.73	Florida 81 - Georgia 75	4
Florida International 75 - Florida Atlantic 71	0.582	Florida International 69 - Florida Atlantic 50	-15
Furman 76 - Mercer 62	0.826	Furman 79 - Mercer 57	-8
Georgetown 73 - Seton Hall 77	0.602	Georgetown 71 - Seton Hall 78	3
Holy Cross 70 - Loyola MD 73	0.585	Holy Cross 60 - Loyola MD 74	11
Incarnate Word 57 - Sam Houston State 75	0.941	Incarnate Word 72 - Sam Houston State 71	-19
Indiana State 68 - Loyola Ill 67	0.521	Indiana State 68 - Loyola Ill 39	-28
IPFW 73 - Western Illinois 63	0.722	IPFW 75 - Western Illinois 69	4
Lamar 72 - Central Arkansas 68	0.641	Lamar 74 - Central Arkansas 67	-3
Lehigh 62 - Colgate 75	0.876	Lehigh 51 - Colgate 81	17
Louisville 83 - Wake Forest 64	0.934	Louisville 86 - Wake Forest 76	9
Memphis 76 - Temple 65	0.718	Memphis 79 - Temple 65	-3
Miami 76 - NC State 75	0.503	Miami 72 - NC State 83	12
Minnesota 72 - Wisconsin 69	0.568	Minnesota 70 - Wisconsin 52	-15
Mississippi 71 - South Carolina 74	0.572	Mississippi 84 - South Carolina 70	-17
Missouri State 73 - Illinois State 64	0.782	Missouri State 80 - Illinois State 60	-11
Navy 67 - American 62	0.653	Navy 54 - American 62	13
Northwestern State 63 - Abilene Christian 69	0.682	Northwestern State 73 - Abilene Christian 69	-10
Notre Dame 75 - Pittsburgh 70	0.664	Notre Dame 80 - Pittsburgh 72	-3
Oklahoma State 72 - Texas Christian 71	0.514	Oklahoma State 72 - Texas Christian 57	-14
Omaha 67 - North Dakota State 69	0.546	Omaha 78 - North Dakota State 86	6
Providence 72 - Creighton 76	0.587	Providence 73 - Creighton 56	-21
Purdue 75 - Iowa 76	0.524	Purdue 104 - Iowa 68	-37
Saint Bonaventure 75 - George Washington 63	0.776	Saint Bonaventure 72 - George Washington 47	-13
Saint Louis 72 - Duquesne 65	0.658	Saint Louis 68 - Duquesne 82	21
Samford 70 - Western Carolina 79	0.763	Samford 70 - Western Carolina 78	-1
Southeast Louisiana 78 - Houston Baptist 73	0.647	Southeast Louisiana 76 - Houston Baptist 79	8
Stephen F Austin 71 - Nicholls State 59	0.829	Stephen F Austin 70 - Nicholls State 64	6
Stony Brook 81 - UMass Lowell 64	0.864	Stony Brook 77 - UMass Lowell 70	10
Texas AM CC 64 - Mcneese State 67	0.601	Texas AM CC 69 - Mcneese State 62	-10
UMBC 63 - Hartford 66	0.598	UMBC 70 - Hartford 59	-14
UNC Greensboro 83 - The Citadel 57	0.964	UNC Greensboro 88 - The Citadel 68	6
Utah State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	0.76	Utah State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 54	-3
Valparaiso 69 - Northern Iowa 79	0.791	Valparaiso 51 - Northern Iowa 63	2
Vanderbilt 68 - Louisiana State 83	0.863	Vanderbilt 99 - Louisiana State 90	-24
Vermont 78 - Maine 51	0.948	Vermont 77 - Maine 52	2
Virginia 68 - Clemson 60	0.71	Virginia 51 - Clemson 44	1
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Wofford 73	0.758	Virginia Military Institute 73 - Wofford 79	-3
West Virginia 84 - Iowa State 66	0.865	West Virginia 76 - Iowa State 61	3

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Rice 63	0.754	Alabama Birmingham 72 - Rice 86	25
Appalachian State 69 - Texas Arlington 68	0.534	Appalachian State 57 - Texas Arlington 50	-6
Arizona 79 - Southern California 68	0.725	Arizona 85 - Southern California 80	6
Arizona State 77 - UCLA 68	0.715	Arizona State 84 - UCLA 66	-9
Belmont 72 - Murray State 67	0.619	Belmont 71 - Murray State 64	-2
Bryant 70 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	0.652	Bryant 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	-6
Cal Baptist 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 62	0.844	Cal Baptist 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	6
Charlotte 68 - Texas El Paso 62	0.675	Charlotte 68 - Texas El Paso 64	2
Chicago State 52 - New Mexico State 82	0.956	Chicago State 49 - New Mexico State 71	-8
Coastal Carolina 71 - Texas State 70	0.5	Coastal Carolina 63 - Texas State 100	38
College of Charleston 72 - William and Mary 65	0.679	College of Charleston 68 - William and Mary 50	-11
Colorado 79 - California 60	0.891	Colorado 71 - California 65	13
Delaware 70 - Towson 67	0.607	Delaware 84 - Towson 78	-3
Drexel 76 - James Madison 66	0.723	Drexel 78 - James Madison 67	-1
East Carolina 69 - Central Florida 72	0.592	East Carolina 64 - Central Florida 68	1
Eastern Illinois 72 - Eastern Kentucky 65	0.66	Eastern Illinois 84 - Eastern Kentucky 91	14
Fairleigh Dickinson 62 - Merrimack 67	0.654	Fairleigh Dickinson 53 - Merrimack 57	-1
Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Stetson 62	0.525	Florida Gulf Coast 62 - Stetson 65	4
Gonzaga 87 - Loyola Marymount 56	0.964	Gonzaga 85 - Loyola Marymount 67	13
High Point 70 - Hampton 72	0.579	High Point 88 - Hampton 85	-5
Houston 82 - Tulane 60	0.942	Houston 75 - Tulane 62	9
Idaho State 66 - Northern Arizona 72	0.705	Idaho State 87 - Northern Arizona 88	-5
Illinois Chicago 71 - Milwaukee 64	0.69	Illinois Chicago 57 - Milwaukee 74	24
IUPUI 72 - Green Bay 78	0.656	IUPUI 85 - Green Bay 91	0
Jacksonville 56 - Liberty 67	0.806	Jacksonville 62 - Liberty 71	-2
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Mt St Marys 64	0.668	LIU Brooklyn 63 - Mt St Marys 67	10
Longwood 65 - Charleston Southern 67	0.547	Longwood 71 - Charleston Southern 63	-10
Marshall 77 - Southern Miss 66	0.771	Marshall 72 - Southern Miss 58	-3
Middle Tennessee 63 - North Texas 77	0.865	Middle Tennessee 70 - North Texas 75	-9
Montana 73 - Eastern Washington 72	0.548	Montana 92 - Eastern Washington 82	-9
Montana State 71 - Idaho 59	0.836	Montana State 72 - Idaho 50	-10
NJ Tech 67 - North Florida 74	0.687	NJ Tech 75 - North Florida 82	0
North Alabama 73 - Lipscomb 66	0.72	North Alabama 71 - Lipscomb 73	9
North Dakota 70 - Oral Roberts 74	0.626	North Dakota 74 - Oral Roberts 68	-10
Northern Kentucky 72 - Oakland 57	0.814	Northern Kentucky 73 - Oakland 70	12
Old Dominion 76 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.715	Old Dominion 81 - Texas San Antonio 85	12
Pepperdine 75 - Santa Clara 74	0.528	Pepperdine 91 - Santa Clara 77	-13
Portland 62 - Brigham Young 83	0.918	Portland 54 - Brigham Young 85	10
Presbyterian 67 - Gardner Webb 68	0.523	Presbyterian 65 - Gardner Webb 61	-5
Sacred Heart 72 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.607	Sacred Heart 68 - Saint Francis Penn 70	6
San Diego 61 - Saint Marys 77	0.881	San Diego 60 - Saint Marys 66	-10
San Francisco 74 - Pacific 65	0.765	San Francisco 48 - Pacific 60	21
SE Missouri State 62 - Jacksonville State 68	0.675	SE Missouri State 76 - Jacksonville State 72	-10
SIU Edwardsville 65 - Morehead State 66	0.525	SIU Edwardsville 49 - Morehead State 58	8
Southern Utah 68 - Northern Colorado 67	0.508	Southern Utah 60 - Northern Colorado 68	9
Tennessee Martin 74 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.725	Tennessee Martin 74 - Tennessee Tech 62	-4
Tennessee State 68 - Austin Peay 72	0.606	Tennessee State 70 - Austin Peay 68	-6
Tulsa 74 - Connecticut 66	0.69	Tulsa 56 - Connecticut 72	24
UC Irvine 77 - UC Davis 62	0.842	UC Irvine 83 - UC Davis 72	4
UC Santa Barbara 69 - Hawaii 68	0.533	UC Santa Barbara 76 - Hawaii 66	-9
UL Lafayette 69 - Georgia State 76	0.674	UL Lafayette 80 - Georgia State 78	-9
UL Monroe 64 - Georgia Southern 71	0.685	UL Monroe 65 - Georgia Southern 67	-5
UMKC 73 - Texas Pan American 65	0.736	UMKC 60 - Texas Pan American 73	21
UNC Asheville 69 - South Carolina Upstate 67	0.566	UNC Asheville 84 - South Carolina Upstate 71	-11
UNC Wilmington 69 - Elon 66	0.579	UNC Wilmington 56 - Elon 62	9
Utah 69 - Stanford 74	0.59	Utah 64 - Stanford 56	-13
Wagner 63 - Robert Morris 70	0.663	Wagner 62 - Robert Morris 67	-2
Weber State 63 - Sacramento State 64	0.536	Weber State 70 - Sacramento State 66	-5
Western Kentucky 69 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.516	Western Kentucky 65 - Louisiana Tech 54	-12
Wichita State 73 - Cincinnati 69	0.613	Wichita State 79 - Cincinnati 80	5
Winthrop 78 - Campbell 57	0.941	Winthrop 62 - Campbell 53	12
Wright State 80 - Detroit 61	0.882	Wright State 98 - Detroit 86	7

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 70 - Dartmouth 60	0.731	Brown 67 - Dartmouth 65	8
Buffalo 80 - Central Michigan 72	0.706	Buffalo 65 - Central Michigan 60	3
Illinois 73 - Maryland 72	0.531	Illinois 66 - Maryland 75	10
Manhattan 68 - Niagara 61	0.687	Manhattan 77 - Niagara 59	-11
Marist 59 - Saint Peters 66	0.677	Marist 72 - Saint Peters 61	-18
Northern Illinois 65 - Kent State 68	0.581	Northern Illinois 57 - Kent State 54	-6
Quinnipiac 76 - Iona 64	0.76	Quinnipiac 52 - Iona 73	33
Rider 74 - Canisius 66	0.698	Rider 61 - Canisius 60	7
Siena 70 - Fairfield 61	0.744	Siena 65 - Fairfield 49	-7
Troy 67 - South Alabama 70	0.578	Troy 66 - South Alabama 70	1
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Davidson 66	0.764	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Davidson 62	0
Yale 75 - Harvard 66	0.773	Yale 77 - Harvard 78	10

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 69 - Lamar 60	0.838	Abilene Christian 84 - Lamar 49	-26
Air Force 61 - San Diego State 81	0.845	Air Force 74 - San Diego State 89	-5
Akron 76 - Eastern Michigan 57	0.914	Akron 59 - Eastern Michigan 58	18
Alabama Birmingham 64 - North Texas 68	0.599	Alabama Birmingham 64 - North Texas 71	3
American 70 - Army 65	0.628	American 72 - Army 62	-5
Appalachian State 68 - Texas State 67	0.506	Appalachian State 60 - Texas State 57	-2
Arizona 81 - UCLA 64	0.839	Arizona 52 - UCLA 65	30
Arizona State 75 - Southern California 72	0.564	Arizona State 66 - Southern California 64	1
Arkansas Little Rock 75 - Arkansas State 65	0.789	Arkansas Little Rock 90 - Arkansas State 87	7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Alabama AM 63	0.502	Arkansas Pine Bluff 54 - Alabama AM 58	5
Auburn 78 - Louisiana State 74	0.597	Auburn 91 - Louisiana State 90	3
Baylor 81 - Oklahoma State 60	0.905	Baylor 78 - Oklahoma State 70	13
Belmont 73 - Austin Peay 68	0.623	Belmont 71 - Austin Peay 63	-3
Bethune Cookman 72 - North Carolina AT 71	0.51	Bethune Cookman 78 - North Carolina AT 73	-4
Binghamton 70 - Maine 66	0.598	Binghamton 75 - Maine 82	11
Boston 79 - Holy Cross 58	0.923	Boston 77 - Holy Cross 68	12
Bowling Green 76 - Toledo 67	0.754	Bowling Green 85 - Toledo 83	7
Brigham Young 80 - San Francisco 69	0.793	Brigham Young 90 - San Francisco 76	-3
Brown 68 - Harvard 71	0.573	Brown 72 - Harvard 71	-4
Bryant 77 - Central Connecticut State 58	0.893	Bryant 64 - Central Connecticut State 60	15
Cal Baptist 74 - Grand Canyon 63	0.825	Cal Baptist 98 - Grand Canyon 103	16
Cal Poly 64 - Hawaii 74	0.749	Cal Poly 79 - Hawaii 75	-14
Cal State Fullerton 71 - UC Davis 69	0.554	Cal State Fullerton 81 - UC Davis 87	8
Cal State Northridge 70 - UC Riverside 68	0.535	Cal State Northridge 61 - UC Riverside 59	0
Campbell 68 - Presbyterian 62	0.687	Campbell 79 - Presbyterian 62	-11
Charleston Southern 74 - Hampton 69	0.634	Charleston Southern 85 - Hampton 72	-8
Charlotte 77 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.711	Charlotte 91 - Texas San Antonio 84	2
Chicago State 63 - Texas Pan American 77	0.836	Chicago State 64 - Texas Pan American 75	-3
Coastal Carolina 72 - Texas Arlington 71	0.523	Coastal Carolina 89 - Texas Arlington 75	-13
Colgate 72 - Navy 59	0.856	Colgate 67 - Navy 60	6
College of Charleston 78 - Elon 59	0.906	College of Charleston 65 - Elon 72	26
Colorado 74 - Stanford 66	0.705	Colorado 81 - Stanford 74	1
Columbia 65 - Pennsylvania 75	0.739	Columbia 67 - Pennsylvania 76	-1
Coppin State 63 - North Carolina Central 67	0.591	Coppin State 63 - North Carolina Central 68	1
Cornell 64 - Princeton 73	0.788	Cornell 73 - Princeton 62	-20
Creighton 82 - Saint Johns 68	0.844	Creighton 94 - Saint Johns 82	2
Dayton 80 - Saint Louis 64	0.896	Dayton 71 - Saint Louis 65	10
Delaware 79 - James Madison 66	0.831	Delaware 80 - James Madison 78	11
Denver 68 - IPFW 67	0.528	Denver 63 - IPFW 70	8
Drexel 68 - Towson 67	0.506	Drexel 69 - Towson 76	8
Duquesne 71 - Saint Bonaventure 65	0.639	Duquesne 80 - Saint Bonaventure 83	9
Eastern Illinois 71 - Morehead State 61	0.732	Eastern Illinois 71 - Morehead State 65	4
Eastern Washington 76 - Montana State 65	0.756	Eastern Washington 74 - Montana State 49	-14
Florida AM 79 - Howard 62	0.863	Florida AM 82 - Howard 78	13
Florida Atlantic 75 - Florida International 71	0.616	Florida Atlantic 59 - Florida International 66	11
Florida Gulf Coast 65 - North Florida 73	0.75	Florida Gulf Coast 60 - North Florida 69	1
Florida State 84 - Miami 67	0.876	Florida State 99 - Miami 81	-1
Fordham 59 - Richmond 73	0.851	Fordham 53 - Richmond 59	-8
George Washington 65 - Rhode Island 78	0.803	George Washington 51 - Rhode Island 82	18
Georgetown 79 - DePaul 72	0.697	Georgetown 76 - DePaul 72	3
Georgia 78 - Alabama 79	0.539	Georgia 102 - Alabama 105	2
Grambling State 65 - Southern 64	0.549	Grambling State 66 - Southern 62	-3
Hartford 60 - Vermont 69	0.764	Hartford 68 - Vermont 69	-8
High Point 59 - Radford 70	0.796	High Point 70 - Radford 81	0
Hofstra 74 - Northeastern 65	0.684	Hofstra 75 - Northeastern 71	5
Houston Baptist 75 - Northwestern State 77	0.56	Houston Baptist 79 - Northwestern State 93	12
Idaho 63 - Montana 72	0.766	Idaho 71 - Montana 82	2
Idaho State 62 - Sacramento State 66	0.622	Idaho State 59 - Sacramento State 63	0
Illinois Chicago 74 - Green Bay 70	0.614	Illinois Chicago 71 - Green Bay 58	-9
Illinois State 66 - Indiana State 73	0.716	Illinois State 74 - Indiana State 67	-14
Incarnate Word 64 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.525	Incarnate Word 82 - Southeast Louisiana 75	-8
Indiana 74 - Purdue 70	0.598	Indiana 62 - Purdue 74	16
Iowa 89 - Nebraska 69	0.911	Iowa 96 - Nebraska 72	-4
Iowa State 76 - Kansas State 72	0.602	Iowa State 73 - Kansas State 63	-6
IUPUI 68 - Milwaukee 72	0.621	IUPUI 79 - Milwaukee 80	-3
Jackson State 69 - Alcorn State 67	0.554	Jackson State 86 - Alcorn State 57	-27
Kennesaw St 62 - Lipscomb 72	0.736	Kennesaw St 66 - Lipscomb 72	-4
La Salle 79 - Saint Josephs 68	0.765	La Salle 83 - Saint Josephs 66	-6
Lafayette 76 - Lehigh 59	0.9	Lafayette 59 - Lehigh 62	20
LIU Brooklyn 65 - Merrimack 66	0.515	LIU Brooklyn 67 - Merrimack 64	-4
Longwood 61 - Winthrop 76	0.901	Longwood 68 - Winthrop 70	-13
Louisville 72 - Virginia 59	0.839	Louisville 80 - Virginia 73	6
Loyola MD 70 - Bucknell 69	0.522	Loyola MD 78 - Bucknell 65	-12
Marshall 68 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.646	Marshall 83 - Louisiana Tech 79	-9
Mcneese State 77 - Central Arkansas 69	0.722	Mcneese State 76 - Central Arkansas 82	14
Memphis 74 - South Florida 62	0.745	Memphis 73 - South Florida 75	14
Mercer 62 - East Tennessee State 71	0.721	Mercer 60 - East Tennessee State 73	4
Michigan 75 - Michigan State 77	0.552	Michigan 77 - Michigan State 68	-11
Middle Tennessee 72 - Rice 73	0.503	Middle Tennessee 83 - Rice 91	7
Mississippi 69 - Florida 76	0.654	Mississippi 68 - Florida 51	-24
Mississippi State 83 - Vanderbilt 62	0.893	Mississippi State 80 - Vanderbilt 70	11
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Alabama State 73	0.65	Mississippi Valley State 74 - Alabama State 87	6
Missouri 68 - Arkansas 74	0.655	Missouri 83 - Arkansas 79	-10
Morgan State 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.866	Morgan State 61 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	7
Nevada 84 - San Jose State 65	0.856	Nevada 95 - San Jose State 77	1
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Fresno State 67	0.704	Nevada Las Vegas 68 - Fresno State 67	7
New Hampshire 63 - Stony Brook 71	0.741	New Hampshire 81 - Stony Brook 64	-25
New Mexico 77 - Wyoming 63	0.829	New Mexico 97 - Wyoming 68	-15
Nicholls State 67 - Sam Houston State 66	0.551	Nicholls State 88 - Sam Houston State 82	-5
NJ Tech 66 - Jacksonville 65	0.527	NJ Tech 54 - Jacksonville 65	12
Norfolk State 77 - Delaware State 58	0.92	Norfolk State 85 - Delaware State 57	-9
North Alabama 58 - Liberty 70	0.837	North Alabama 56 - Liberty 74	6
North Carolina 70 - Duke 84	0.824	North Carolina 96 - Duke 98	-12
North Dakota 70 - South Dakota 73	0.596	North Dakota 68 - South Dakota 82	11
North Dakota State 72 - Oral Roberts 66	0.714	North Dakota State 83 - Oral Roberts 76	-1
Northern Iowa 80 - Drake 63	0.906	Northern Iowa 83 - Drake 73	7
Northern Kentucky 76 - Detroit 59	0.835	Northern Kentucky 84 - Detroit 65	-2
Ohio 73 - Miami OH 68	0.635	Ohio 77 - Miami OH 46	-26
Oklahoma 72 - West Virginia 77	0.64	Oklahoma 69 - West Virginia 59	-15
Old Dominion 67 - Texas El Paso 62	0.68	Old Dominion 72 - Texas El Paso 53	-14
Oregon State 71 - Oregon 78	0.658	Oregon State 63 - Oregon 53	-17
Pacific 75 - Pepperdine 69	0.692	Pacific 79 - Pepperdine 78	5
Penn State 79 - Minnesota 71	0.701	Penn State 83 - Minnesota 77	2
Pittsburgh 73 - Georgia Tech 67	0.676	Pittsburgh 73 - Georgia Tech 64	-3
Prairie View 72 - Texas Southern 67	0.658	Prairie View 69 - Texas Southern 59	-5
Sacred Heart 68 - Robert Morris 64	0.613	Sacred Heart 58 - Robert Morris 61	7
Saint Francis Brooklyn 65 - Mt St Marys 62	0.575	Saint Francis Brooklyn 70 - Mt St Marys 67	0
Saint Marys 73 - Gonzaga 77	0.596	Saint Marys 60 - Gonzaga 90	26
San Diego 71 - Portland 65	0.698	San Diego 88 - Portland 81	-1
SE Missouri State 67 - Tennessee Tech 64	0.594	SE Missouri State 60 - Tennessee Tech 62	5
SIU Edwardsville 66 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.626	SIU Edwardsville 83 - Eastern Kentucky 75	-13
South Carolina 76 - Texas AM 64	0.775	South Carolina 74 - Texas AM 54	-8
South Carolina Upstate 70 - Gardner Webb 66	0.588	South Carolina Upstate 57 - Gardner Webb 88	35
South Dakota State 76 - Omaha 65	0.746	South Dakota State 81 - Omaha 64	-6
Southern Illinois 70 - Missouri State 62	0.738	Southern Illinois 68 - Missouri State 66	6
Southern Utah 76 - Portland State 67	0.734	Southern Utah 85 - Portland State 57	-19
Stephen F Austin 80 - New Orleans 56	0.963	Stephen F Austin 81 - New Orleans 74	17
Syracuse 80 - Wake Forest 71	0.749	Syracuse 75 - Wake Forest 73	7
Temple 71 - Southern Methodist 72	0.523	Temple 97 - Southern Methodist 90	-8
Tennessee 70 - Kentucky 72	0.566	Tennessee 64 - Kentucky 77	11
Tennessee Martin 69 - Jacksonville State 70	0.528	Tennessee Martin 61 - Jacksonville State 75	13
Tennessee State 67 - Murray State 71	0.615	Tennessee State 65 - Murray State 73	4
Texas 71 - Texas Tech 72	0.503	Texas 57 - Texas Tech 62	4
Texas Christian 66 - Kansas 78	0.81	Texas Christian 46 - Kansas 60	2
The Citadel 73 - Virginia Military Institute 72	0.526	The Citadel 64 - Virginia Military Institute 75	12
Tulane 74 - East Carolina 68	0.657	Tulane 67 - East Carolina 81	20
UC Santa Barbara 67 - UC Irvine 68	0.532	UC Santa Barbara 64 - UC Irvine 61	-4
UL Lafayette 70 - Georgia Southern 72	0.568	UL Lafayette 79 - Georgia Southern 86	5
UL Monroe 64 - Georgia State 75	0.77	UL Monroe 69 - Georgia State 77	-3
UMass Lowell 74 - UMBC 68	0.653	UMass Lowell 50 - UMBC 60	16
UMKC 62 - New Mexico State 69	0.705	UMKC 61 - New Mexico State 67	-1
UNC Wilmington 63 - William and Mary 72	0.699	UNC Wilmington 70 - William and Mary 64	-15
Utah 74 - California 67	0.654	Utah 60 - California 45	-8
Utah State 76 - Boise State 69	0.645	Utah State 70 - Boise State 61	-2
Utah Valley 68 - Seattle 69	0.524	Utah Valley 85 - Seattle 87	1
Villanova 75 - Seton Hall 71	0.631	Villanova 64 - Seton Hall 70	10
Virginia Tech 75 - Boston College 65	0.743	Virginia Tech 73 - Boston College 77	14
Wagner 66 - Saint Francis Penn 75	0.696	Wagner 68 - Saint Francis Penn 85	8
Weber State 67 - Northern Arizona 70	0.603	Weber State 76 - Northern Arizona 70	-9
Western Carolina 71 - Furman 73	0.567	Western Carolina 73 - Furman 82	7
Western Kentucky 78 - Southern Miss 63	0.875	Western Kentucky 75 - Southern Miss 72	12
Western Michigan 64 - Ball State 70	0.662	Western Michigan 68 - Ball State 64	-10
Wofford 70 - Chattanooga 64	0.661	Wofford 77 - Chattanooga 84	13
Wright State 77 - Oakland 60	0.864	Wright State 83 - Oakland 71	5
Xavier 75 - Providence 69	0.652	Xavier 64 - Providence 58	0
Yale 77 - Dartmouth 55	0.946	Yale 75 - Dartmouth 57	4
Youngstown State 71 - Cleveland State 63	0.732	Youngstown State 67 - Cleveland State 55	-4

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 80 - Evansville 60	0.882	Bradley 69 - Evansville 58	9
Central Florida 66 - Tulsa 71	0.601	Central Florida 83 - Tulsa 75	-13
Clemson 74 - Notre Dame 72	0.546	Clemson 57 - Notre Dame 61	6
Columbia 64 - Princeton 73	0.739	Columbia 74 - Princeton 81	-2
Connecticut 70 - Cincinnati 73	0.583	Connecticut 72 - Cincinnati 71	-4
Cornell 64 - Pennsylvania 74	0.784	Cornell 73 - Pennsylvania 79	-4
Fairfield 70 - Iona 62	0.728	Fairfield 54 - Iona 78	32
Houston 74 - Wichita State 69	0.686	Houston 76 - Wichita State 43	-28
Loyola Ill 76 - Valparaiso 63	0.82	Loyola Ill 70 - Valparaiso 68	11
Marquette 76 - Butler 72	0.607	Marquette 76 - Butler 57	-15
Massachusetts 72 - George Mason 71	0.529	Massachusetts 69 - George Mason 67	-1
Monmouth 70 - Saint Peters 64	0.662	Monmouth 69 - Saint Peters 81	18
Quinnipiac 68 - Manhattan 62	0.639	Quinnipiac 63 - Manhattan 65	8
Rider 75 - Niagara 64	0.747	Rider 73 - Niagara 58	-4
Rutgers 81 - Northwestern 63	0.898	Rutgers 77 - Northwestern 73	14
UNC Greensboro 82 - Samford 58	0.942	UNC Greensboro 95 - Samford 67	-4
Washington State 70 - Washington 72	0.553	Washington State 79 - Washington 67	-14
Wisconsin 71 - Ohio State 68	0.587	Wisconsin 70 - Ohio State 57	-10

Number of DI Games: 321
Number Correct: 212 = 66%
Expected Number Correct: 222.308 = 69.2%
Average Error: 9.33
Average Signed Error: 0.52

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 59 - Alabama State 63	0.614	Arkansas Pine Bluff 49 - Alabama State 57	4
Bethune Cookman 81 - Howard 63	0.867	Bethune Cookman 87 - Howard 68	-1
Boston 69 - Colgate 68	0.501	Boston 63 - Colgate 79	17
Coppin State 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.759	Coppin State 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	10
Duke 81 - Florida State 73	0.73	Duke 70 - Florida State 65	3
Florida AM 69 - North Carolina AT 68	0.524	Florida AM 79 - North Carolina AT 60	-18
Gardner Webb 73 - High Point 62	0.767	Gardner Webb 86 - High Point 55	-20
Grambling State 70 - Alcorn State 65	0.63	Grambling State 80 - Alcorn State 71	-4
Hampton 75 - UNC Asheville 73	0.553	Hampton 80 - UNC Asheville 70	-8
Jackson State 66 - Southern 62	0.631	Jackson State 67 - Southern 51	-12
Longwood 65 - Campbell 63	0.549	Longwood 57 - Campbell 56	1
Mississippi Valley State 67 - Alabama AM 73	0.643	Mississippi Valley State 67 - Alabama AM 61	-12
Morgan State 65 - North Carolina Central 64	0.503	Morgan State 57 - North Carolina Central 58	2
Northern Colorado 78 - Portland State 64	0.847	Northern Colorado 71 - Portland State 83	26
South Carolina State 76 - Delaware State 63	0.841	South Carolina State 100 - Delaware State 86	-1
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Charleston Southern 66	0.516	South Carolina Upstate 66 - Charleston Southern 52	-13
Texas 66 - Baylor 75	0.768	Texas 45 - Baylor 52	-2
Texas Tech 77 - Texas Christian 66	0.771	Texas Tech 88 - Texas Christian 42	-35
Winthrop 72 - Radford 62	0.771	Winthrop 77 - Radford 81	14

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Bowling Green 68	0.779	Akron 74 - Bowling Green 59	-6
Ball State 67 - Northern Illinois 60	0.667	Ball State 63 - Northern Illinois 59	3
Boise State 82 - Air Force 67	0.78	Boise State 74 - Air Force 57	-2
Central Michigan 73 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.724	Central Michigan 70 - Eastern Michigan 73	11
Colorado State 73 - Utah State 72	0.531	Colorado State 72 - Utah State 75	4
Davidson 74 - Fordham 58	0.889	Davidson 79 - Fordham 49	-14
Dayton 78 - Rhode Island 69	0.764	Dayton 81 - Rhode Island 67	-5
Illinois 75 - Michigan State 73	0.528	Illinois 69 - Michigan State 70	3
Kansas State 74 - Oklahoma State 71	0.572	Kansas State 59 - Oklahoma State 64	8
Louisiana State 82 - Missouri 67	0.813	Louisiana State 82 - Missouri 78	11
Maryland 87 - Nebraska 64	0.936	Maryland 72 - Nebraska 70	21
Mississippi 70 - Mississippi State 73	0.582	Mississippi 83 - Mississippi State 58	-28
Ohio 72 - Western Michigan 67	0.675	Ohio 73 - Western Michigan 61	-7
Purdue 76 - Penn State 73	0.547	Purdue 76 - Penn State 88	15
Saint Josephs 68 - Saint Bonaventure 79	0.741	Saint Josephs 56 - Saint Bonaventure 74	7
San Diego State 83 - New Mexico 61	0.898	San Diego State 82 - New Mexico 59	-1
Syracuse 77 - NC State 72	0.653	Syracuse 74 - NC State 79	10
Tennessee 70 - Arkansas 71	0.506	Tennessee 82 - Arkansas 61	-22
Toledo 76 - Miami OH 65	0.758	Toledo 65 - Miami OH 57	3
Vanderbilt 68 - Kentucky 80	0.824	Vanderbilt 64 - Kentucky 78	2
Virginia 70 - Notre Dame 66	0.647	Virginia 50 - Notre Dame 49	3
Wake Forest 78 - North Carolina 75	0.604	Wake Forest 74 - North Carolina 57	-14

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 83 - Houston Baptist 64	0.924	Abilene Christian 81 - Houston Baptist 67	5
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Middle Tennessee 63	0.839	Alabama Birmingham 83 - Middle Tennessee 72	2
American 74 - Loyola MD 65	0.764	American 81 - Loyola MD 76	4
Army 66 - Lafayette 68	0.553	Army 65 - Lafayette 48	-19
Auburn 84 - Alabama 74	0.738	Auburn 95 - Alabama 91	6
Binghamton 63 - Stony Brook 76	0.805	Binghamton 70 - Stony Brook 75	-8
Bradley 71 - Indiana State 68	0.576	Bradley 72 - Indiana State 61	-8
Butler 74 - Xavier 68	0.7	Butler 66 - Xavier 61	1
Central Arkansas 76 - New Orleans 66	0.778	Central Arkansas 73 - New Orleans 68	5
Chattanooga 76 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.866	Chattanooga 86 - Virginia Military Institute 67	-5
East Tennessee State 85 - The Citadel 55	0.989	East Tennessee State 91 - The Citadel 67	6
Evansville 61 - Loyola Ill 74	0.778	Evansville 66 - Loyola Ill 73	-6
Georgia 76 - South Carolina 75	0.523	Georgia 59 - South Carolina 75	17
Georgia Tech 68 - Louisville 77	0.74	Georgia Tech 64 - Louisville 58	-15
Hartford 67 - Albany 64	0.614	Hartford 66 - Albany 60	-3
Hawaii 79 - Long Beach State 64	0.841	Hawaii 49 - Long Beach State 50	16
La Salle 68 - Richmond 74	0.673	La Salle 47 - Richmond 74	21
Lehigh 73 - Holy Cross 64	0.744	Lehigh 89 - Holy Cross 82	2
Miami 76 - Boston College 71	0.622	Miami 85 - Boston College 58	-22
Missouri State 70 - Drake 69	0.548	Missouri State 97 - Drake 62	-34
Navy 67 - Bucknell 60	0.696	Navy 60 - Bucknell 59	6
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Nevada 74	0.526	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Nevada 82	2
Niagara 69 - Canisius 68	0.507	Niagara 69 - Canisius 66	-2
Nicholls State 70 - Lamar 59	0.812	Nicholls State 69 - Lamar 65	7
Northern Iowa 84 - Illinois State 60	0.952	Northern Iowa 71 - Illinois State 63	16
Northwestern 70 - Michigan 79	0.742	Northwestern 54 - Michigan 79	16
Northwestern State 72 - Incarnate Word 59	0.849	Northwestern State 70 - Incarnate Word 60	3
Ohio State 73 - Rutgers 70	0.584	Ohio State 72 - Rutgers 66	-3
Oklahoma 81 - Iowa State 72	0.735	Oklahoma 90 - Iowa State 61	-20
Oral Roberts 75 - Omaha 68	0.677	Oral Roberts 81 - Omaha 78	4
Pittsburgh 72 - Clemson 65	0.714	Pittsburgh 52 - Clemson 72	27
Saint Johns 74 - Providence 73	0.516	Saint Johns 80 - Providence 69	-10
Samford 63 - Furman 80	0.873	Samford 71 - Furman 86	-2
San Jose State 70 - Fresno State 73	0.578	San Jose State 78 - Fresno State 84	3
Seton Hall 78 - Creighton 72	0.683	Seton Hall 82 - Creighton 87	11
South Dakota 81 - Western Illinois 62	0.898	South Dakota 85 - Western Illinois 72	6
South Florida 64 - Houston 72	0.711	South Florida 58 - Houston 62	-4
Southeast Louisiana 62 - Sam Houston State 74	0.807	Southeast Louisiana 70 - Sam Houston State 79	-3
Southern Methodist 75 - Connecticut 71	0.626	Southern Methodist 79 - Connecticut 75	0
Texas AM 66 - Florida 72	0.638	Texas AM 61 - Florida 78	11
Texas AM CC 57 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.83	Texas AM CC 67 - Stephen F Austin 75	-4
Towson 89 - Unranked 51		Towson 71 - Unranked 55
Tulane 70 - Temple 73	0.593	Tulane 68 - Temple 72	1
Tulsa 78 - East Carolina 63	0.795	Tulsa 70 - East Carolina 56	1
UC Riverside 63 - UC Irvine 68	0.61	UC Riverside 59 - UC Irvine 63	-1
UMass Lowell 74 - Maine 67	0.679	UMass Lowell 71 - Maine 63	-1
UNC Greensboro 76 - Western Carolina 64	0.835	UNC Greensboro 82 - Western Carolina 62	-8
Valparaiso 69 - Southern Illinois 68	0.529	Valparaiso 55 - Southern Illinois 38	-16
Vermont 75 - New Hampshire 56	0.915	Vermont 74 - New Hampshire 50	-5
Villanova 78 - Marquette 74	0.597	Villanova 72 - Marquette 71	3
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - George Mason 61	0.909	Virginia Commonwealth 67 - George Mason 72	22
West Virginia 72 - Kansas 74	0.548	West Virginia 49 - Kansas 58	7
Wofford 72 - Mercer 63	0.748	Wofford 68 - Mercer 70	11

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 69 - Murray State 67	0.57	Austin Peay 71 - Murray State 68	-1
Belmont 76 - Tennessee State 62	0.8	Belmont 74 - Tennessee State 51	-9
Cal Baptist 90 - Unranked 52		Cal Baptist 107 - Unranked 45
Cal State Bakersfield 79 - Chicago State 55	0.941	Cal State Bakersfield 64 - Chicago State 54	14
Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal Poly 67	0.693	Cal State Northridge 81 - Cal Poly 73	0
California 65 - Arizona 77	0.752	California 52 - Arizona 68	4
Campbell 73 - Hampton 67	0.659	Campbell 75 - Hampton 49	-20
Central Connecticut State 64 - LIU Brooklyn 75	0.798	Central Connecticut State 74 - LIU Brooklyn 90	5
Central Florida 69 - Wichita State 72	0.608	Central Florida 58 - Wichita State 75	14
Charleston Southern 72 - High Point 61	0.77	Charleston Southern 66 - High Point 63	8
Cincinnati 75 - Memphis 69	0.653	Cincinnati 92 - Memphis 86	0
Detroit 69 - Youngstown State 70	0.534	Detroit 72 - Youngstown State 76	3
Eastern Illinois 73 - SIU Edwardsville 59	0.798	Eastern Illinois 74 - SIU Edwardsville 76	16
Eastern Washington 80 - Idaho 60	0.885	Eastern Washington 71 - Idaho 74	23
Elon 67 - Delaware 72	0.635	Elon 75 - Delaware 81	1
Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Wagner 65	0.704	Fairleigh Dickinson 106 - Wagner 73	-25
Gardner Webb 65 - Winthrop 74	0.719	Gardner Webb 74 - Winthrop 70	-13
Georgia Southern 77 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.645	Georgia Southern 79 - Coastal Carolina 69	-3
Georgia State 74 - Appalachian State 67	0.698	Georgia State 76 - Appalachian State 65	-4
Grand Canyon 71 - UMKC 66	0.666	Grand Canyon 71 - UMKC 66	0
Hofstra 72 - College of Charleston 67	0.641	Hofstra 76 - College of Charleston 63	-8
Indiana 77 - Iowa 78	0.519	Indiana 89 - Iowa 77	-13
Kennesaw St 60 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.71	Kennesaw St 58 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	4
Lipscomb 71 - NJ Tech 65	0.694	Lipscomb 77 - NJ Tech 63	-8
Louisiana Tech 75 - Florida International 66	0.698	Louisiana Tech 60 - Florida International 57	6
Loyola Marymount 62 - Brigham Young 79	0.902	Loyola Marymount 54 - Brigham Young 77	6
Montana 76 - Weber State 64	0.795	Montana 72 - Weber State 37	-23
Montana State 73 - Idaho State 62	0.797	Montana State 73 - Idaho State 69	7
Morehead State 69 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.534	Morehead State 71 - Eastern Kentucky 78	8
Mt St Marys 62 - Robert Morris 64	0.54	Mt St Marys 60 - Robert Morris 77	15
New Mexico State 74 - Seattle 60	0.833	New Mexico State 72 - Seattle 64	6
North Florida 75 - Jacksonville 64	0.803	North Florida 81 - Jacksonville 66	-4
North Texas 72 - Charlotte 62	0.769	North Texas 81 - Charlotte 72	1
Northeastern 75 - UNC Wilmington 60	0.849	Northeastern 71 - UNC Wilmington 63	7
Northern Arizona 66 - Northern Colorado 71	0.649	Northern Arizona 54 - Northern Colorado 84	25
Oakland 67 - Cleveland State 61	0.664	Oakland 79 - Cleveland State 74	1
Oregon 74 - Colorado 73	0.527	Oregon 68 - Colorado 60	-7
Oregon State 75 - Utah 71	0.578	Oregon State 70 - Utah 51	-15
Pacific 77 - Portland 59	0.921	Pacific 75 - Portland 55	-2
Pepperdine 78 - San Diego 67	0.826	Pepperdine 72 - San Diego 69	8
Radford 73 - Presbyterian 56	0.882	Radford 81 - Presbyterian 71	7
Rice 71 - Old Dominion 70	0.506	Rice 70 - Old Dominion 73	4
Sacramento State 61 - Southern Utah 64	0.582	Sacramento State 70 - Southern Utah 55	-18
Sacred Heart 70 - Bryant 64	0.675	Sacred Heart 74 - Bryant 65	-3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 61 - Merrimack 64	0.586	Saint Francis Brooklyn 50 - Merrimack 60	7
Santa Clara 73 - San Francisco 72	0.529	Santa Clara 61 - San Francisco 70	10
SE Missouri State 71 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.501	SE Missouri State 74 - Tennessee Martin 72	-1
South Alabama 74 - UL Lafayette 64	0.741	South Alabama 78 - UL Lafayette 75	7
Southern California 75 - Washington 69	0.664	Southern California 62 - Washington 56	0
Southern Miss 67 - Florida Atlantic 69	0.558	Southern Miss 68 - Florida Atlantic 66	-4
Stanford 74 - Arizona State 70	0.609	Stanford 69 - Arizona State 74	9
Stetson 68 - North Alabama 63	0.655	Stetson 75 - North Alabama 64	-6
Tennessee Tech 62 - Jacksonville State 67	0.635	Tennessee Tech 75 - Jacksonville State 74	-6
Texas Arlington 73 - Arkansas State 67	0.664	Texas Arlington 77 - Arkansas State 67	-4
Texas El Paso 66 - Western Kentucky 70	0.64	Texas El Paso 62 - Western Kentucky 67	1
Texas Pan American 72 - Utah Valley 65	0.691	Texas Pan American 80 - Utah Valley 72	-1
Texas San Antonio 76 - Marshall 77	0.513	Texas San Antonio 72 - Marshall 63	-10
Texas State 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.566	Texas State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	-5
Troy 70 - UL Monroe 63	0.661	Troy 71 - UL Monroe 74	10
UC Davis 67 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.597	UC Davis 84 - UC Santa Barbara 75	-12
UCLA 75 - Washington State 69	0.634	UCLA 86 - Washington State 83	3
UNC Asheville 71 - Longwood 64	0.678	UNC Asheville 73 - Longwood 71	5
William and Mary 70 - Drexel 65	0.613	William and Mary 77 - Drexel 72	0

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Canisius 69 - Monmouth 70	0.503	Canisius 71 - Monmouth 85	13
Central Michigan 72 - Akron 76	0.62	Central Michigan 67 - Akron 80	9
Dartmouth 69 - Columbia 62	0.705	Dartmouth 65 - Columbia 63	5
Harvard 79 - Cornell 60	0.916	Harvard 85 - Cornell 63	-3
Iona 68 - Manhattan 67	0.514	Iona 80 - Manhattan 57	-22
Marist 62 - Fairfield 60	0.537	Marist 53 - Fairfield 57	6
North Dakota State 74 - IPFW 57	0.906	North Dakota State 80 - IPFW 70	7
Northern Kentucky 80 - IUPUI 58	0.905	Northern Kentucky 84 - IUPUI 70	8
Pennsylvania 73 - Brown 66	0.678	Pennsylvania 63 - Brown 75	19
Princeton 67 - Yale 73	0.693	Princeton 64 - Yale 88	18
Saint Bonaventure 73 - Davidson 68	0.628	Saint Bonaventure 64 - Davidson 93	34
Saint Peters 70 - Quinnipiac 62	0.67	Saint Peters 84 - Quinnipiac 72	-4
Siena 73 - Rider 68	0.627	Siena 73 - Rider 64	-4
South Dakota State 80 - Denver 59	0.935	South Dakota State 90 - Denver 78	9
Toledo 73 - Buffalo 74	0.501	Toledo 67 - Buffalo 83	15
Wright State 76 - Illinois Chicago 62	0.808	Wright State 75 - Illinois Chicago 58	-3

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 80 - San Jose State 71	0.668	Air Force 95 - San Jose State 86	0
Alabama 81 - Louisiana State 80	0.526	Alabama 88 - Louisiana State 82	-5
Alabama State 69 - Alabama AM 61	0.686	Alabama State 61 - Alabama AM 58	5
Alcorn State 82 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.834	Alcorn State 92 - Mississippi Valley State 88	15
Arkansas 75 - Mississippi State 71	0.61	Arkansas 77 - Mississippi State 78	5
Army 72 - Lehigh 63	0.735	Army 79 - Lehigh 66	-4
Austin Peay 78 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.854	Austin Peay 93 - Eastern Kentucky 85	6
Ball State 71 - Bowling Green 67	0.62	Ball State 71 - Bowling Green 77	10
Baylor 75 - West Virginia 69	0.685	Baylor 70 - West Virginia 59	-5
Belmont 76 - Jacksonville State 59	0.87	Belmont 101 - Jacksonville State 84	0
Bucknell 66 - American 67	0.52	Bucknell 72 - American 68	-5
Butler 78 - Georgetown 69	0.758	Butler 66 - Georgetown 73	16
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - UMKC 64	0.636	Cal State Bakersfield 53 - UMKC 59	10
Cal State Fullerton 71 - Cal Poly 66	0.637	Cal State Fullerton 105 - Cal Poly 101	1
Campbell 61 - Radford 66	0.646	Campbell 60 - Radford 73	8
Central Connecticut State 62 - Bryant 73	0.778	Central Connecticut State 75 - Bryant 70	-16
Clemson 66 - Louisville 76	0.8	Clemson 77 - Louisville 62	-25
Creighton 82 - DePaul 69	0.828	Creighton 93 - DePaul 64	-16
Dartmouth 68 - Cornell 62	0.676	Dartmouth 75 - Cornell 53	-16
Delaware State 65 - Florida AM 73	0.723	Delaware State 95 - Florida AM 97	-6
Detroit 69 - Cleveland State 65	0.615	Detroit 66 - Cleveland State 67	5
Duke 85 - Notre Dame 70	0.862	Duke 94 - Notre Dame 60	-19
Eastern Michigan 68 - Western Michigan 64	0.626	Eastern Michigan 69 - Western Michigan 51	-14
Elon 67 - Drexel 68	0.532	Elon 75 - Drexel 70	-6
Florida 82 - Vanderbilt 66	0.834	Florida 84 - Vanderbilt 66	-2
Florida State 81 - Syracuse 70	0.786	Florida State 80 - Syracuse 77	8
Fresno State 64 - Utah State 73	0.718	Fresno State 59 - Utah State 71	3
Furman 75 - Chattanooga 63	0.79	Furman 58 - Chattanooga 53	7
George Mason 73 - George Washington 65	0.706	George Mason 67 - George Washington 73	14
Georgia Southern 71 - Appalachian State 67	0.624	Georgia Southern 57 - Appalachian State 62	9
Georgia State 80 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.702	Georgia State 92 - Coastal Carolina 80	-2
Grand Canyon 82 - Chicago State 57	0.941	Grand Canyon 71 - Chicago State 47	1
Hartford 74 - UMass Lowell 65	0.74	Hartford 67 - UMass Lowell 74	16
Harvard 80 - Columbia 60	0.917	Harvard 77 - Columbia 73	16
Hawaii 70 - UC Irvine 69	0.503	Hawaii 63 - UC Irvine 70	8
High Point 67 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.511	High Point 62 - South Carolina Upstate 54	-7
Hofstra 79 - UNC Wilmington 58	0.893	Hofstra 78 - UNC Wilmington 64	7
Holy Cross 62 - Lafayette 74	0.8	Holy Cross 62 - Lafayette 72	-2
Illinois State 71 - Valparaiso 72	0.535	Illinois State 62 - Valparaiso 65	2
Iowa State 75 - Texas 73	0.564	Iowa State 81 - Texas 52	-27
James Madison 68 - Towson 74	0.683	James Madison 48 - Towson 63	9
Kansas 83 - Oklahoma 66	0.913	Kansas 87 - Oklahoma 70	0
Kent State 75 - Ohio 64	0.779	Kent State 87 - Ohio 72	-4
Kentucky 80 - Mississippi 65	0.823	Kentucky 67 - Mississippi 62	10
Lamar 80 - Houston Baptist 67	0.844	Lamar 79 - Houston Baptist 69	3
Liberty 75 - NJ Tech 51	0.956	Liberty 62 - NJ Tech 49	11
Lipscomb 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	0.746	Lipscomb 64 - Florida Gulf Coast 54	-3
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Sacred Heart 69	0.546	LIU Brooklyn 72 - Sacred Heart 80	9
Long Beach State 67 - UC Riverside 69	0.542	Long Beach State 65 - UC Riverside 63	-4
Longwood 73 - Hampton 69	0.6	Longwood 76 - Hampton 68	-4
Louisiana Tech 74 - Florida Atlantic 62	0.809	Louisiana Tech 81 - Florida Atlantic 68	-1
Loyola Ill 67 - Northern Iowa 71	0.597	Loyola Ill 82 - Northern Iowa 73	-13
Maryland Eastern Shore 62 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.704	Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Bethune Cookman 58	-17
Massachusetts 65 - Dayton 83	0.881	Massachusetts 63 - Dayton 71	-10
Mercer 63 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.727	Mercer 55 - UNC Greensboro 67	4
Merrimack 72 - Wagner 55	0.855	Merrimack 68 - Wagner 59	8
Miami 78 - Wake Forest 75	0.565	Miami 71 - Wake Forest 54	-14
Miami OH 64 - Northern Illinois 69	0.647	Miami OH 65 - Northern Illinois 60	-10
Michigan State 75 - Maryland 73	0.549	Michigan State 60 - Maryland 67	9
Middle Tennessee 67 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.649	Middle Tennessee 66 - Alabama Birmingham 79	8
Milwaukee 74 - Green Bay 70	0.613	Milwaukee 90 - Green Bay 94	8
Missouri 68 - Auburn 77	0.696	Missouri 85 - Auburn 73	-21
Montana 79 - Idaho State 63	0.905	Montana 78 - Idaho State 63	1
Montana State 69 - Weber State 64	0.657	Montana State 77 - Weber State 63	-9
Mt St Marys 66 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.58	Mt St Marys 55 - Saint Francis Penn 70	13
Murray State 76 - Morehead State 57	0.926	Murray State 85 - Morehead State 57	-9
Navy 63 - Boston 66	0.571	Navy 54 - Boston 77	20
Nebraska 69 - Wisconsin 78	0.716	Nebraska 64 - Wisconsin 81	8
New Mexico 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 73	0.586	New Mexico 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 78	9
New Mexico State 75 - Utah Valley 56	0.919	New Mexico State 84 - Utah Valley 82	17
New Orleans 71 - Incarnate Word 62	0.808	New Orleans 66 - Incarnate Word 67	10
Nicholls State 76 - Southeast Louisiana 55	0.931	Nicholls State 81 - Southeast Louisiana 71	11
Norfolk State 70 - Morgan State 61	0.756	Norfolk State 62 - Morgan State 57	4
North Carolina 67 - Virginia 69	0.54	North Carolina 62 - Virginia 64	0
North Florida 79 - North Alabama 66	0.87	North Florida 80 - North Alabama 67	0
North Texas 73 - Old Dominion 60	0.848	North Texas 64 - Old Dominion 47	-4
Northeastern 69 - College of Charleston 68	0.525	Northeastern 65 - College of Charleston 51	-13
Northern Arizona 68 - Southern Utah 69	0.523	Northern Arizona 82 - Southern Utah 69	-14
Northwestern State 69 - Mcneese State 68	0.528	Northwestern State 84 - Mcneese State 79	-4
Oakland 68 - Youngstown State 67	0.523	Oakland 72 - Youngstown State 64	-7
Ohio State 73 - Purdue 71	0.557	Ohio State 68 - Purdue 52	-14
Oklahoma State 71 - Texas Tech 75	0.587	Oklahoma State 73 - Texas Tech 70	-7
Oral Roberts 74 - South Dakota 71	0.57	Oral Roberts 94 - South Dakota 80	-11
Oregon State 70 - Colorado 76	0.651	Oregon State 47 - Colorado 69	16
Penn State 85 - Northwestern 66	0.907	Penn State 77 - Northwestern 61	3
Pennsylvania 69 - Yale 73	0.625	Pennsylvania 69 - Yale 61	-12
Pepperdine 70 - Gonzaga 86	0.851	Pepperdine 77 - Gonzaga 89	-4
Portland State 73 - Eastern Washington 77	0.599	Portland State 81 - Eastern Washington 89	4
Prairie View 71 - Grambling State 59	0.885	Prairie View 75 - Grambling State 69	6
Presbyterian 60 - Winthrop 75	0.874	Presbyterian 88 - Winthrop 89	-14
Princeton 72 - Brown 67	0.622	Princeton 73 - Brown 54	-14
Providence 70 - Seton Hall 74	0.606	Providence 74 - Seton Hall 71	-7
Rhode Island 88 - Saint Josephs 61	0.933	Rhode Island 73 - Saint Josephs 55	9
Rice 69 - Charlotte 71	0.545	Rice 70 - Charlotte 54	-18
Richmond 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.526	Richmond 77 - Virginia Commonwealth 59	-17
Robert Morris 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.815	Robert Morris 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	14
Rutgers 74 - Illinois 70	0.602	Rutgers 72 - Illinois 57	-11
Sacramento State 59 - Northern Colorado 66	0.693	Sacramento State 65 - Northern Colorado 68	-4
Saint Louis 75 - La Salle 64	0.833	Saint Louis 84 - La Salle 69	-4
Saint Marys 75 - Pacific 63	0.813	Saint Marys 71 - Pacific 63	4
Sam Houston State 77 - Central Arkansas 67	0.765	Sam Houston State 82 - Central Arkansas 67	-5
San Diego 63 - Brigham Young 81	0.903	San Diego 71 - Brigham Young 72	-17
Santa Clara 74 - Loyola Marymount 63	0.787	Santa Clara 59 - Loyola Marymount 65	17
SE Missouri State 67 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.594	SE Missouri State 75 - SIU Edwardsville 71	-1
South Alabama 73 - UL Monroe 58	0.832	South Alabama 50 - UL Monroe 49	14
South Carolina 73 - Tennessee 69	0.609	South Carolina 63 - Tennessee 61	2
South Carolina State 70 - Coppin State 64	0.66	South Carolina State 70 - Coppin State 66	2
South Florida 68 - Tulsa 67	0.506	South Florida 48 - Tulsa 56	9
Southern 68 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	0.882	Southern 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 49	-10
Southern California 78 - Washington State 68	0.731	Southern California 70 - Washington State 51	-9
Southern Illinois 67 - Bradley 65	0.552	Southern Illinois 67 - Bradley 69	4
Southern Methodist 71 - Houston 75	0.622	Southern Methodist 73 - Houston 72	-5
Southern Miss 69 - Florida International 74	0.629	Southern Miss 75 - Florida International 67	-13
Stanford 71 - Arizona 73	0.527	Stanford 60 - Arizona 69	7
Stetson 73 - Kennesaw St 54	0.881	Stetson 59 - Kennesaw St 42	2
Tennessee Martin 69 - Eastern Illinois 72	0.57	Tennessee Martin 80 - Eastern Illinois 79	-4
Tennessee State 75 - Tennessee Tech 59	0.871	Tennessee State 70 - Tennessee Tech 55	1
Texas AM 71 - Georgia 72	0.51	Texas AM 74 - Georgia 69	-6
Texas AM CC 59 - Abilene Christian 63	0.618	Texas AM CC 64 - Abilene Christian 78	10
Texas Arlington 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.542	Texas Arlington 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 65	-12
Texas Christian 73 - Kansas State 68	0.642	Texas Christian 68 - Kansas State 57	-6
Texas El Paso 68 - Marshall 69	0.503	Texas El Paso 61 - Marshall 71	9
Texas Pan American 71 - Seattle 70	0.526	Texas Pan American 79 - Seattle 72	-6
Texas San Antonio 73 - Western Kentucky 78	0.634	Texas San Antonio 73 - Western Kentucky 77	-1
Texas Southern 71 - Jackson State 63	0.68	Texas Southern 77 - Jackson State 74	5
Texas State 73 - Arkansas State 64	0.732	Texas State 69 - Arkansas State 64	4
The Citadel 75 - Samford 73	0.567	The Citadel 62 - Samford 74	14
Troy 71 - UL Lafayette 69	0.549	Troy 77 - UL Lafayette 81	6
UC Davis 74 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.599	UC Davis 110 - Cal State Northridge 98	-8
UCLA 72 - Washington 70	0.552	UCLA 67 - Washington 57	-8
UMBC 66 - New Hampshire 65	0.537	UMBC 65 - New Hampshire 59	-5
UNC Asheville 69 - Charleston Southern 67	0.567	UNC Asheville 79 - Charleston Southern 75	-2
Vermont 82 - Binghamton 54	0.958	Vermont 76 - Binghamton 48	0
Virginia Military Institute 59 - East Tennessee State 76	0.889	Virginia Military Institute 67 - East Tennessee State 72	-12
Virginia Tech 70 - Pittsburgh 69	0.521	Virginia Tech 67 - Pittsburgh 57	-9
Western Illinois 68 - North Dakota 72	0.637	Western Illinois 83 - North Dakota 86	-1
William and Mary 70 - Delaware 68	0.549	William and Mary 81 - Delaware 77	-2
Wofford 73 - Western Carolina 68	0.654	Wofford 74 - Western Carolina 80	11
Wyoming 63 - Colorado State 77	0.844	Wyoming 70 - Colorado State 77	-7

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 67 - San Diego State 75	0.71	Boise State 55 - San Diego State 72	9
Boston College 71 - NC State 73	0.576	Boston College 71 - NC State 68	-5
California 68 - Arizona State 74	0.658	California 75 - Arizona State 80	-1
Connecticut 72 - Memphis 71	0.547	Connecticut 64 - Memphis 61	-2
Drake 78 - Evansville 62	0.871	Drake 85 - Evansville 80	11
East Carolina 66 - Cincinnati 78	0.791	East Carolina 67 - Cincinnati 70	-9
Fordham 59 - Duquesne 69	0.772	Fordham 54 - Duquesne 59	-5
Indiana State 74 - Missouri State 64	0.758	Indiana State 58 - Missouri State 71	23
Iona 70 - Marist 63	0.683	Iona 78 - Marist 70	-1
Loyola MD 66 - Colgate 75	0.763	Loyola MD 84 - Colgate 80	-13
Maine 64 - Albany 69	0.635	Maine 60 - Albany 66	1
Michigan 78 - Indiana 71	0.703	Michigan 89 - Indiana 65	-17
Minnesota 79 - Iowa 77	0.528	Minnesota 55 - Iowa 58	5
Niagara 67 - Monmouth 71	0.605	Niagara 77 - Monmouth 72	-9
Northern Kentucky 71 - Illinois Chicago 59	0.755	Northern Kentucky 43 - Illinois Chicago 73	42
Omaha 77 - Denver 64	0.804	Omaha 85 - Denver 62	-10
Oregon 79 - Utah 68	0.725	Oregon 80 - Utah 62	-7
Rider 74 - Quinnipiac 65	0.692	Rider 79 - Quinnipiac 63	-7
Saint Peters 67 - Fairfield 57	0.749	Saint Peters 61 - Fairfield 44	-7
Siena 70 - Manhattan 63	0.688	Siena 65 - Manhattan 52	-6
South Dakota State 76 - IPFW 59	0.874	South Dakota State 75 - IPFW 64	6
Temple 69 - Villanova 77	0.697	Temple 56 - Villanova 76	12
Wichita State 81 - Tulane 62	0.885	Wichita State 82 - Tulane 57	-6
Wright State 85 - IUPUI 61	0.936	Wright State 106 - IUPUI 66	-16

Number of DI Games: 334
Number Correct: 250 = 74.8%
Expected Number Correct: 232.788 = 69.6%
Average Error: 8.57
Average Signed Error: 0.01

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 71 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.796	Alcorn State 60 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	6
Delaware State 68 - Bethune Cookman 76	0.709	Delaware State 70 - Bethune Cookman 71	-7
Holy Cross 65 - Bucknell 71	0.679	Holy Cross 48 - Bucknell 69	15
Kansas 87 - Iowa State 65	0.924	Kansas 91 - Iowa State 71	2
Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - Florida AM 68	0.675	Maryland Eastern Shore 81 - Florida AM 71	-18
Norfolk State 71 - Coppin State 58	0.829	Norfolk State 80 - Coppin State 60	-7
North Carolina AT 65 - North Carolina Central 62	0.573	North Carolina AT 77 - North Carolina Central 60	-14
Notre Dame 80 - North Carolina 72	0.737	Notre Dame 77 - North Carolina 76	7
Portland State 76 - Idaho 65	0.772	Portland State 90 - Idaho 69	-10
Prairie View 70 - Jackson State 59	0.816	Prairie View 70 - Jackson State 61	2
Saint Johns 73 - Xavier 74	0.514	Saint Johns 74 - Xavier 77	2
South Carolina State 68 - Morgan State 65	0.597	South Carolina State 72 - Morgan State 78	9
Southern 78 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.873	Southern 95 - Mississippi Valley State 62	-15
Texas Southern 71 - Grambling State 63	0.72	Texas Southern 93 - Grambling State 79	-6

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bryant 61 - Merrimack 64	0.572	Bryant 61 - Merrimack 52	-12
Buffalo 72 - Ball State 68	0.627	Buffalo 72 - Ball State 59	-9
Central Connecticut State 66 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.689	Central Connecticut State 76 - Fairleigh Dickinson 75	-8
Eastern Michigan 65 - Kent State 67	0.569	Eastern Michigan 70 - Kent State 49	-23
Florida 77 - Arkansas 71	0.651	Florida 73 - Arkansas 59	-8
Florida State 80 - Pittsburgh 65	0.897	Florida State 82 - Pittsburgh 67	0
LIU Brooklyn 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 65	0.704	LIU Brooklyn 77 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 87	18
Louisiana State 77 - Kentucky 75	0.565	Louisiana State 76 - Kentucky 79	5
Marquette 79 - Creighton 77	0.56	Marquette 65 - Creighton 73	10
Maryland 84 - Northwestern 61	0.946	Maryland 76 - Northwestern 67	14
Massachusetts 69 - Saint Louis 74	0.636	Massachusetts 67 - Saint Louis 63	-9
Missouri 72 - Mississippi 69	0.549	Missouri 71 - Mississippi 68	0
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Colorado State 75	0.532	Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Colorado State 56	-26
New Mexico 74 - Nevada 77	0.564	New Mexico 74 - Nevada 88	11
Ohio 75 - Central Michigan 72	0.587	Ohio 77 - Central Michigan 69	-5
Oklahoma 71 - Baylor 77	0.69	Oklahoma 54 - Baylor 65	5
Penn State 80 - Illinois 71	0.723	Penn State 56 - Illinois 62	15
Saint Francis Penn 71 - Robert Morris 65	0.664	Saint Francis Penn 86 - Robert Morris 71	-9
Saint Josephs 68 - Davidson 81	0.756	Saint Josephs 73 - Davidson 72	-14
Tennessee 78 - Vanderbilt 64	0.827	Tennessee 65 - Vanderbilt 61	10
Texas Pan American 87 - Unranked 55		Texas Pan American 93 - Unranked 80
Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Dayton 75	0.674	Virginia Commonwealth 61 - Dayton 66	-1
Wagner 64 - Mt St Marys 67	0.559	Wagner 67 - Mt St Marys 61	-9
West Virginia 80 - Oklahoma State 66	0.782	West Virginia 65 - Oklahoma State 47	-4
Western Michigan 64 - Akron 76	0.836	Western Michigan 67 - Akron 71	-8
Wisconsin 73 - Purdue 68	0.6	Wisconsin 69 - Purdue 65	1

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 82 - Texas AM 68	0.822	Alabama 68 - Texas AM 74	20
American 67 - Navy 61	0.72	American 71 - Navy 62	-3
Arkansas State 73 - UL Monroe 62	0.797	Arkansas State 52 - UL Monroe 66	25
Bradley 73 - Missouri State 66	0.673	Bradley 83 - Missouri State 79	3
Cincinnati 79 - Central Florida 65	0.848	Cincinnati 87 - Central Florida 89	16
Colgate 79 - Lehigh 57	0.94	Colgate 70 - Lehigh 67	19
DePaul 70 - Villanova 77	0.72	DePaul 71 - Villanova 91	13
Drake 73 - Valparaiso 70	0.595	Drake 77 - Valparaiso 75	1
Duquesne 76 - George Washington 62	0.801	Duquesne 67 - George Washington 70	17
East Tennessee State 70 - Furman 65	0.649	East Tennessee State 75 - Furman 66	-4
Fresno State 75 - Air Force 69	0.646	Fresno State 71 - Air Force 62	-3
Georgetown 77 - Providence 72	0.629	Georgetown 63 - Providence 73	15
Georgia 73 - Auburn 80	0.672	Georgia 65 - Auburn 55	-17
Houston 76 - Tulsa 64	0.743	Houston 76 - Tulsa 43	-21
Houston Baptist 66 - Abilene Christian 79	0.847	Houston Baptist 68 - Abilene Christian 82	1
Incarnate Word 63 - Mcneese State 70	0.724	Incarnate Word 65 - Mcneese State 59	-13
La Salle 70 - Fordham 60	0.829	La Salle 58 - Fordham 49	1
Lafayette 65 - Boston 66	0.504	Lafayette 61 - Boston 59	-3
Louisville 81 - Syracuse 69	0.79	Louisville 90 - Syracuse 66	-12
Loyola Ill 76 - Illinois State 60	0.861	Loyola Ill 84 - Illinois State 69	1
Loyola MD 71 - Army 69	0.549	Loyola MD 81 - Army 77	-2
Memphis 80 - East Carolina 64	0.849	Memphis 77 - East Carolina 73	12
Mercer 77 - Samford 65	0.806	Mercer 106 - Samford 66	-28
Minnesota 77 - Indiana 71	0.647	Minnesota 56 - Indiana 68	18
Mississippi State 76 - South Carolina 71	0.605	Mississippi State 79 - South Carolina 76	2
NC State 71 - Duke 81	0.752	NC State 88 - Duke 66	-32
North Dakota 66 - South Dakota State 73	0.712	North Dakota 83 - South Dakota State 94	4
Northwestern State 64 - Nicholls State 67	0.6	Northwestern State 69 - Nicholls State 73	1
Richmond 79 - George Mason 63	0.847	Richmond 65 - George Mason 50	1
Rutgers 75 - Michigan 72	0.589	Rutgers 52 - Michigan 60	11
Sam Houston State 73 - Lamar 61	0.809	Sam Houston State 65 - Lamar 77	24
San Jose State 68 - Boise State 81	0.775	San Jose State 62 - Boise State 80	5
Seton Hall 75 - Butler 69	0.708	Seton Hall 74 - Butler 72	4
Siena 75 - Iona 65	0.729	Siena 65 - Iona 64	9
South Dakota 68 - North Dakota State 69	0.512	South Dakota 74 - North Dakota State 77	2
Stephen F Austin 79 - Central Arkansas 60	0.911	Stephen F Austin 83 - Central Arkansas 68	4
Texas 73 - Texas Christian 68	0.609	Texas 70 - Texas Christian 56	-9
Texas Tech 80 - Kansas State 65	0.809	Texas Tech 69 - Kansas State 62	8
The Citadel 65 - Chattanooga 77	0.844	The Citadel 68 - Chattanooga 91	11
Tulane 69 - Southern Methodist 78	0.761	Tulane 80 - Southern Methodist 72	-17
UC Irvine 78 - Long Beach State 60	0.869	UC Irvine 70 - Long Beach State 55	3
UMKC 67 - Cal Baptist 69	0.56	UMKC 69 - Cal Baptist 63	-8
UNC Greensboro 74 - Wofford 60	0.844	UNC Greensboro 83 - Wofford 79	10
Utah State 80 - Wyoming 54	0.942	Utah State 78 - Wyoming 58	6
Virginia 72 - Boston College 59	0.82	Virginia 78 - Boston College 65	0
Virginia Tech 76 - Miami 71	0.617	Virginia Tech 95 - Miami 102	12
Wake Forest 74 - Georgia Tech 72	0.534	Wake Forest 79 - Georgia Tech 86	9
Washington State 74 - California 67	0.688	Washington State 57 - California 66	16
Western Carolina 80 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.9	Western Carolina 71 - Virginia Military Institute 74	18

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 69 - UMBC 62	0.699	Albany 50 - UMBC 69	26
Appalachian State 69 - South Alabama 64	0.642	Appalachian State 70 - South Alabama 78	13
Arizona 80 - Oregon State 66	0.782	Arizona 89 - Oregon State 63	-12
Arizona State 76 - Oregon 75	0.504	Arizona State 77 - Oregon 72	-4
Binghamton 71 - UMass Lowell 74	0.575	Binghamton 86 - UMass Lowell 84	-5
Brigham Young 84 - Santa Clara 65	0.88	Brigham Young 85 - Santa Clara 75	9
Cal Poly 70 - UC Davis 73	0.568	Cal Poly 62 - UC Davis 77	12
Cal State Fullerton 67 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.613	Cal State Fullerton 66 - UC Santa Barbara 75	6
Charleston Southern 65 - Campbell 62	0.59	Charleston Southern 51 - Campbell 66	18
Cleveland State 60 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.665	Cleveland State 59 - Northern Kentucky 73	6
Coastal Carolina 78 - Troy 68	0.702	Coastal Carolina 90 - Troy 60	-20
Colorado 77 - Southern California 67	0.732	Colorado 70 - Southern California 66	6
Delaware 71 - Northeastern 68	0.579	Delaware 70 - Northeastern 48	-19
Denver 66 - Oral Roberts 76	0.785	Denver 100 - Oral Roberts 96	-14
Drexel 66 - Hofstra 72	0.637	Drexel 74 - Hofstra 81	1
Eastern Illinois 63 - Murray State 71	0.687	Eastern Illinois 63 - Murray State 60	-11
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Tennessee State 70	0.514	Eastern Kentucky 83 - Tennessee State 62	-20
Eastern Washington 73 - Sacramento State 62	0.743	Eastern Washington 77 - Sacramento State 76	10
Gonzaga 85 - San Francisco 65	0.886	Gonzaga 71 - San Francisco 54	3
Hampton 70 - Gardner Webb 73	0.579	Hampton 87 - Gardner Webb 77	-13
High Point 67 - Presbyterian 65	0.55	High Point 82 - Presbyterian 70	-10
Idaho 66 - Northern Arizona 70	0.595	Idaho 61 - Northern Arizona 78	13
Indiana State 69 - Northern Iowa 74	0.639	Indiana State 67 - Northern Iowa 64	-8
Iowa 78 - Ohio State 75	0.583	Iowa 85 - Ohio State 76	-6
IPFW 67 - Omaha 68	0.53	IPFW 59 - Omaha 61	1
Jacksonville 70 - Lipscomb 65	0.65	Jacksonville 67 - Lipscomb 68	6
Jacksonville State 71 - SE Missouri State 60	0.818	Jacksonville State 65 - SE Missouri State 58	4
James Madison 72 - Elon 70	0.558	James Madison 62 - Elon 70	10
Liberty 73 - North Florida 62	0.819	Liberty 82 - North Florida 77	6
Morehead State 60 - Belmont 75	0.839	Morehead State 67 - Belmont 80	-2
Nebraska 71 - Michigan State 83	0.772	Nebraska 65 - Michigan State 86	9
New Hampshire 66 - Hartford 64	0.561	New Hampshire 67 - Hartford 63	-2
NJ Tech 64 - Stetson 65	0.539	NJ Tech 78 - Stetson 69	-10
North Alabama 76 - Kennesaw St 58	0.898	North Alabama 65 - Kennesaw St 46	-1
Northern Colorado 73 - Southern Utah 62	0.725	Northern Colorado 68 - Southern Utah 66	9
Portland 69 - Pepperdine 78	0.743	Portland 59 - Pepperdine 66	-2
Portland State 72 - Montana State 68	0.605	Portland State 87 - Montana State 77	-6
Radford 75 - UNC Asheville 60	0.836	Radford 79 - UNC Asheville 64	0
Saint Marys 78 - Loyola Marymount 57	0.932	Saint Marys 57 - Loyola Marymount 51	15
Seattle 72 - Grand Canyon 69	0.597	Seattle 95 - Grand Canyon 89	-3
SIU Edwardsville 61 - Austin Peay 75	0.844	SIU Edwardsville 60 - Austin Peay 78	4
South Carolina Upstate 67 - Longwood 63	0.608	South Carolina Upstate 58 - Longwood 68	14
Southern Illinois 75 - Evansville 60	0.853	Southern Illinois 70 - Evansville 53	-2
Stony Brook 65 - Vermont 69	0.609	Stony Brook 54 - Vermont 63	5
Temple 71 - Connecticut 72	0.51	Temple 93 - Connecticut 89	-5
Tennessee Tech 69 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.535	Tennessee Tech 78 - Tennessee Martin 65	-12
Texas Arlington 72 - Georgia State 71	0.529	Texas Arlington 70 - Georgia State 62	-7
Texas State 73 - Georgia Southern 64	0.72	Texas State 70 - Georgia Southern 55	-6
Towson 71 - William and Mary 65	0.666	Towson 51 - William and Mary 61	16
UC Riverside 64 - Hawaii 65	0.501	UC Riverside 55 - Hawaii 56	0
Utah 74 - UCLA 71	0.549	Utah 58 - UCLA 69	14
Utah Valley 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.544	Utah Valley 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	-13
Washington 71 - Stanford 70	0.518	Washington 64 - Stanford 72	9
Wichita State 75 - South Florida 62	0.802	Wichita State 65 - South Florida 55	3
Youngstown State 67 - Wright State 74	0.714	Youngstown State 88 - Wright State 70	-25

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Columbia 65 - Brown 71	0.655	Columbia 66 - Brown 72	0
Cornell 60 - Yale 78	0.902	Cornell 80 - Yale 81	-17
Dartmouth 65 - Pennsylvania 69	0.615	Dartmouth 66 - Pennsylvania 59	-11
Detroit 73 - Green Bay 74	0.539	Detroit 67 - Green Bay 84	16
Fairfield 65 - Niagara 61	0.608	Fairfield 61 - Niagara 60	3
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - LIU Brooklyn 71	0.537	Fairleigh Dickinson 81 - LIU Brooklyn 86	6
Harvard 75 - Princeton 66	0.724	Harvard 61 - Princeton 60	8
Iona 71 - Rider 70	0.502	Iona 70 - Rider 69	0
Kent State 75 - Buffalo 70	0.638	Kent State 98 - Buffalo 104	11
Manhattan 63 - Saint Peters 64	0.522	Manhattan 64 - Saint Peters 67	2
Marist 64 - Monmouth 70	0.659	Marist 61 - Monmouth 65	-2
Merrimack 65 - Sacred Heart 60	0.641	Merrimack 64 - Sacred Heart 57	-2
Oakland 68 - Milwaukee 65	0.604	Oakland 75 - Milwaukee 68	-4
Quinnipiac 71 - Canisius 67	0.602	Quinnipiac 66 - Canisius 64	2
Robert Morris 68 - Mt St Marys 57	0.762	Robert Morris 68 - Mt St Marys 60	3
Saint Francis Brooklyn 67 - Bryant 65	0.548	Saint Francis Brooklyn 74 - Bryant 82	10
Saint Louis 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.543	Saint Louis 80 - Virginia Commonwealth 62	-17
Wagner 72 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.683	Wagner 68 - Central Connecticut State 56	-5

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Wyoming 66	0.7	Air Force 72 - Wyoming 78	15
Akron 80 - Miami OH 59	0.92	Akron 75 - Miami OH 65	11
Alabama AM 66 - Alcorn State 67	0.514	Alabama AM 71 - Alcorn State 61	-11
Alabama State 65 - Southern 62	0.576	Alabama State 44 - Southern 56	15
Albany 69 - New Hampshire 63	0.688	Albany 56 - New Hampshire 68	18
Appalachian State 75 - Troy 61	0.811	Appalachian State 68 - Troy 59	5
Arizona 77 - Oregon 72	0.629	Arizona 72 - Oregon 73	6
Arizona State 78 - Oregon State 70	0.698	Arizona State 74 - Oregon State 73	7
Arkansas 77 - Missouri 68	0.722	Arkansas 78 - Missouri 68	-1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 54 - Prairie View 70	0.927	Arkansas Pine Bluff 61 - Prairie View 69	-8
Arkansas State 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	0.557	Arkansas State 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 81	1
Army 67 - Navy 62	0.629	Army 86 - Navy 75	-6
Auburn 77 - Tennessee 67	0.739	Auburn 73 - Tennessee 66	3
Ball State 68 - Eastern Michigan 59	0.711	Ball State 64 - Eastern Michigan 55	0
Baylor 73 - Kansas 72	0.54	Baylor 61 - Kansas 64	4
Bethune Cookman 72 - South Carolina State 66	0.654	Bethune Cookman 69 - South Carolina State 65	2
Binghamton 64 - Hartford 70	0.668	Binghamton 74 - Hartford 75	-5
Boston College 68 - Clemson 71	0.565	Boston College 64 - Clemson 82	15
Bowling Green 77 - Ohio 67	0.78	Bowling Green 62 - Ohio 61	9
Brigham Young 76 - Gonzaga 79	0.563	Brigham Young 91 - Gonzaga 78	-16
Cal Poly 65 - UC Riverside 66	0.51	Cal Poly 49 - UC Riverside 61	11
Cal State Northridge 67 - UC Irvine 74	0.665	Cal State Northridge 64 - UC Irvine 87	16
Central Arkansas 67 - Nicholls State 70	0.589	Central Arkansas 84 - Nicholls State 65	-22
Central Florida 76 - Tulane 65	0.813	Central Florida 74 - Tulane 75	12
Chattanooga 72 - Mercer 63	0.729	Chattanooga 80 - Mercer 85	14
Chicago State 58 - Cal Baptist 80	0.929	Chicago State 53 - Cal Baptist 95	20
Cleveland State 62 - Wright State 74	0.8	Cleveland State 74 - Wright State 81	-5
Coastal Carolina 72 - South Alabama 71	0.525	Coastal Carolina 71 - South Alabama 74	4
Colorado 80 - UCLA 65	0.817	Colorado 63 - UCLA 70	22
Colorado State 87 - San Jose State 65	0.91	Colorado State 78 - San Jose State 71	15
Columbia 61 - Yale 78	0.896	Columbia 65 - Yale 83	1
Coppin State 75 - Delaware State 64	0.8	Coppin State 98 - Delaware State 86	-1
Cornell 64 - Brown 71	0.669	Cornell 63 - Brown 45	-25
Dartmouth 65 - Princeton 67	0.565	Dartmouth 62 - Princeton 65	1
Davidson 72 - Rhode Island 74	0.541	Davidson 77 - Rhode Island 75	-4
Dayton 80 - Duquesne 63	0.885	Dayton 80 - Duquesne 70	7
Delaware 70 - Hofstra 72	0.545	Delaware 62 - Hofstra 78	14
DePaul 75 - Georgetown 77	0.553	DePaul 74 - Georgetown 68	-8
Drexel 67 - Northeastern 69	0.54	Drexel 68 - Northeastern 77	7
Duke 85 - Virginia Tech 64	0.887	Duke 88 - Virginia Tech 64	-3
Eastern Illinois 65 - Austin Peay 71	0.658	Eastern Illinois 83 - Austin Peay 80	-9
Eastern Kentucky 66 - Belmont 76	0.764	Eastern Kentucky 70 - Belmont 83	3
Eastern Washington 78 - Northern Arizona 68	0.733	Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Arizona 70	0
Florida AM 66 - Norfolk State 65	0.529	Florida AM 66 - Norfolk State 63	-2
Florida Atlantic 68 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.558	Florida Atlantic 65 - Alabama Birmingham 58	-6
Fordham 65 - Massachusetts 67	0.561	Fordham 49 - Massachusetts 57	6
Furman 75 - Wofford 62	0.82	Furman 67 - Wofford 66	12
Gardner Webb 69 - Campbell 61	0.683	Gardner Webb 73 - Campbell 61	-4
George Mason 79 - Saint Josephs 67	0.787	George Mason 62 - Saint Josephs 55	5
George Washington 71 - La Salle 68	0.579	George Washington 62 - La Salle 72	13
Grambling State 65 - Jackson State 62	0.595	Grambling State 63 - Jackson State 61	1
Harvard 75 - Pennsylvania 68	0.69	Harvard 69 - Pennsylvania 65	3
Idaho 61 - Sacramento State 64	0.564	Idaho 56 - Sacramento State 67	8
Idaho State 63 - Northern Colorado 75	0.837	Idaho State 72 - Northern Colorado 85	1
Illinois Chicago 77 - IUPUI 60	0.811	Illinois Chicago 77 - IUPUI 72	12
Illinois State 69 - Drake 71	0.551	Illinois State 57 - Drake 53	-6
Incarnate Word 54 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.949	Incarnate Word 56 - Stephen F Austin 80	4
Iowa State 74 - Texas Tech 78	0.579	Iowa State 57 - Texas Tech 87	26
Jacksonville 75 - Kennesaw St 54	0.913	Jacksonville 69 - Kennesaw St 55	7
Jacksonville State 74 - Tennessee Martin 66	0.738	Jacksonville State 72 - Tennessee Martin 58	-6
James Madison 68 - William and Mary 73	0.621	James Madison 74 - William and Mary 78	-1
Kansas State 71 - Texas 70	0.531	Kansas State 59 - Texas 70	12
Kentucky 77 - Florida 70	0.689	Kentucky 65 - Florida 59	1
Lamar 65 - Texas AM CC 59	0.689	Lamar 79 - Texas AM CC 62	-11
Liberty 70 - Stetson 51	0.911	Liberty 77 - Stetson 49	-9
Long Beach State 68 - Hawaii 71	0.597	Long Beach State 64 - Hawaii 60	-7
Longwood 69 - High Point 61	0.73	Longwood 57 - High Point 54	5
Louisville 83 - North Carolina 67	0.874	Louisville 72 - North Carolina 55	-1
Marshall 71 - Old Dominion 66	0.661	Marshall 74 - Old Dominion 66	-3
Mcneese State 75 - New Orleans 64	0.847	Mcneese State 77 - New Orleans 82	16
Memphis 71 - Houston 73	0.568	Memphis 60 - Houston 59	-3
Mississippi 76 - Alabama 77	0.524	Mississippi 78 - Alabama 103	24
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Texas Southern 79	0.806	Mississippi Valley State 92 - Texas Southern 94	-12
Missouri State 67 - Loyola Ill 68	0.527	Missouri State 74 - Loyola Ill 62	-13
Montana State 66 - Montana 69	0.56	Montana State 54 - Montana 59	2
Morehead State 64 - Tennessee State 68	0.613	Morehead State 66 - Tennessee State 63	-7
NC State 73 - Florida State 77	0.641	NC State 61 - Florida State 67	2
Nevada 79 - Fresno State 65	0.817	Nevada 78 - Fresno State 76	12
New Mexico State 75 - Texas Pan American 60	0.884	New Mexico State 78 - Texas Pan American 62	-1
NJ Tech 67 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.657	NJ Tech 39 - Florida Gulf Coast 55	21
North Carolina AT 79 - Howard 60	0.904	North Carolina AT 71 - Howard 67	15
North Carolina Central 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 51	0.858	North Carolina Central 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-1
North Dakota 65 - North Dakota State 71	0.74	North Dakota 71 - North Dakota State 68	-9
North Florida 79 - Lipscomb 66	0.845	North Florida 82 - Lipscomb 74	5
North Texas 70 - Louisiana Tech 65	0.67	North Texas 71 - Louisiana Tech 73	7
Northern Illinois 72 - Central Michigan 67	0.671	Northern Illinois 82 - Central Michigan 81	4
Oklahoma State 74 - Oklahoma 75	0.509	Oklahoma State 83 - Oklahoma 66	-18
Pacific 73 - Santa Clara 66	0.704	Pacific 87 - Santa Clara 74	-6
Pittsburgh 64 - Virginia 65	0.552	Pittsburgh 56 - Virginia 59	2
Portland 66 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.588	Portland 58 - Loyola Marymount 66	6
Providence 74 - Marquette 76	0.547	Providence 84 - Marquette 72	-14
Purdue 75 - Michigan 74	0.527	Purdue 63 - Michigan 71	9
Radford 73 - South Carolina Upstate 57	0.84	Radford 81 - South Carolina Upstate 60	-5
Saint Bonaventure 69 - Richmond 72	0.559	Saint Bonaventure 75 - Richmond 71	-7
Saint Marys 80 - San Diego 59	0.927	Saint Marys 92 - San Diego 63	-8
Sam Houston State 86 - Houston Baptist 65	0.943	Sam Houston State 77 - Houston Baptist 73	17
Samford 61 - East Tennessee State 79	0.888	Samford 74 - East Tennessee State 80	-12
San Diego State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 59	0.93	San Diego State 63 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	24
San Francisco 78 - Pepperdine 70	0.738	San Francisco 63 - Pepperdine 61	6
Seattle 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.682	Seattle 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 54	-9
SIU Edwardsville 59 - Murray State 74	0.865	SIU Edwardsville 58 - Murray State 59	-14
South Carolina 77 - Louisiana State 76	0.524	South Carolina 80 - Louisiana State 86	7
Southeast Louisiana 59 - Abilene Christian 72	0.819	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Abilene Christian 75	-7
Southern Miss 76 - Middle Tennessee 67	0.778	Southern Miss 53 - Middle Tennessee 61	17
Stony Brook 77 - Maine 57	0.894	Stony Brook 54 - Maine 46	12
Syracuse 77 - Georgia Tech 71	0.655	Syracuse 79 - Georgia Tech 72	-1
Tennessee Tech 67 - SE Missouri State 63	0.634	Tennessee Tech 71 - SE Missouri State 62	-5
Texas AM 67 - Mississippi State 72	0.624	Texas AM 87 - Mississippi State 75	-17
Texas Arlington 72 - Georgia Southern 67	0.657	Texas Arlington 61 - Georgia Southern 81	25
Texas Christian 68 - West Virginia 76	0.667	Texas Christian 67 - West Virginia 60	-15
Texas El Paso 71 - Rice 68	0.583	Texas El Paso 68 - Rice 62	-3
Texas State 73 - Georgia State 69	0.605	Texas State 86 - Georgia State 76	-6
Towson 74 - Elon 61	0.853	Towson 84 - Elon 71	0
Tulsa 74 - Southern Methodist 71	0.576	Tulsa 79 - Southern Methodist 57	-19
UC Santa Barbara 74 - UC Davis 66	0.738	UC Santa Barbara 70 - UC Davis 56	-6
UL Monroe 67 - UL Lafayette 68	0.513	UL Monroe 83 - UL Lafayette 77	-7
UNC Asheville 72 - Presbyterian 65	0.692	UNC Asheville 75 - Presbyterian 64	-4
UNC Wilmington 63 - College of Charleston 72	0.754	UNC Wilmington 68 - College of Charleston 55	-22
Utah Valley 68 - Grand Canyon 70	0.548	Utah Valley 92 - Grand Canyon 80	-14
Valparaiso 70 - Bradley 71	0.515	Valparaiso 90 - Bradley 78	-13
Vanderbilt 75 - Georgia 76	0.534	Vanderbilt 78 - Georgia 80	1
Vermont 75 - UMBC 54	0.935	Vermont 64 - UMBC 66	23
Virginia Military Institute 60 - UNC Greensboro 76	0.885	Virginia Military Institute 68 - UNC Greensboro 71	-13
Washington 75 - California 64	0.774	Washington 87 - California 52	-24
Weber State 66 - Southern Utah 69	0.585	Weber State 82 - Southern Utah 71	-14
Western Carolina 84 - The Citadel 64	0.959	Western Carolina 96 - The Citadel 84	8
Western Illinois 67 - Omaha 75	0.686	Western Illinois 86 - Omaha 93	-1
Western Kentucky 73 - Charlotte 64	0.753	Western Kentucky 70 - Charlotte 72	11
Western Michigan 69 - Toledo 70	0.515	Western Michigan 59 - Toledo 68	8
Winthrop 83 - Hampton 63	0.911	Winthrop 81 - Hampton 87	26
Xavier 72 - Villanova 73	0.526	Xavier 55 - Villanova 64	8
Youngstown State 65 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.558	Youngstown State 59 - Northern Kentucky 61	-1

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 80 - New Mexico 70	0.721	Boise State 74 - New Mexico 61	-3
Boston 72 - American 63	0.751	Boston 64 - American 60	5
Bryant 66 - Sacred Heart 68	0.55	Bryant 76 - Sacred Heart 83	5
Cincinnati 75 - Wichita State 71	0.606	Cincinnati 67 - Wichita State 64	1
Colgate 83 - Holy Cross 56	0.958	Colgate 90 - Holy Cross 60	-3
Connecticut 73 - South Florida 64	0.742	Connecticut 78 - South Florida 71	2
Creighton 78 - Butler 70	0.7	Creighton 81 - Butler 59	-14
Detroit 68 - Milwaukee 69	0.503	Detroit 79 - Milwaukee 73	-7
East Carolina 70 - Temple 74	0.585	East Carolina 67 - Temple 63	-8
Evansville 66 - Indiana State 75	0.718	Evansville 62 - Indiana State 64	-7
Fairfield 62 - Siena 67	0.644	Fairfield 59 - Siena 62	-2
Fairleigh Dickinson 66 - Robert Morris 69	0.565	Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Robert Morris 70	-8
Indiana 75 - Penn State 78	0.58	Indiana 68 - Penn State 60	-11
Lafayette 73 - Loyola MD 64	0.735	Lafayette 68 - Loyola MD 70	11
Lehigh 66 - Bucknell 68	0.548	Lehigh 69 - Bucknell 60	-11
Manhattan 69 - Canisius 63	0.644	Manhattan 56 - Canisius 57	7
Marist 66 - Niagara 65	0.516	Marist 76 - Niagara 54	-21
Monmouth 75 - Quinnipiac 65	0.716	Monmouth 89 - Quinnipiac 78	-1
Mt St Marys 58 - Merrimack 62	0.62	Mt St Marys 65 - Merrimack 57	-12
Northern Iowa 76 - Southern Illinois 61	0.874	Northern Iowa 64 - Southern Illinois 52	3
Northwestern 69 - Minnesota 77	0.725	Northwestern 57 - Minnesota 83	18
Notre Dame 80 - Miami 72	0.704	Notre Dame 87 - Miami 71	-8
Oakland 72 - Green Bay 70	0.556	Oakland 92 - Green Bay 88	-2
Ohio State 73 - Maryland 72	0.511	Ohio State 79 - Maryland 72	-6
Saint Francis Brooklyn 73 - Wagner 62	0.718	Saint Francis Brooklyn 71 - Wagner 75	15
Saint Francis Penn 76 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.784	Saint Francis Penn 74 - LIU Brooklyn 71	6
Saint Peters 69 - Rider 65	0.615	Saint Peters 73 - Rider 54	-15
Seton Hall 82 - Saint Johns 69	0.859	Seton Hall 81 - Saint Johns 65	-3
South Dakota State 75 - South Dakota 66	0.74	South Dakota State 85 - South Dakota 80	4
Utah 71 - Southern California 74	0.548	Utah 79 - Southern California 65	-17
Washington State 70 - Stanford 73	0.577	Washington State 57 - Stanford 75	15
Wisconsin 71 - Rutgers 68	0.58	Wisconsin 79 - Rutgers 71	-5

Number of DI Games: 325
Number Correct: 218 = 67%
Expected Number Correct: 224.252 = 69%
Average Error: 8.96
Average Signed Error: 0.56

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 61 - Southern 64	0.596	Alabama AM 37 - Southern 64	24
Alabama State 68 - Alcorn State 64	0.615	Alabama State 77 - Alcorn State 80	7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 58 - Texas Southern 70	0.805	Arkansas Pine Bluff 74 - Texas Southern 72	-14
Bethune Cookman 66 - Norfolk State 65	0.506	Bethune Cookman 78 - Norfolk State 55	-22
Florida AM 71 - South Carolina State 64	0.699	Florida AM 62 - South Carolina State 56	1
Florida State 76 - Louisville 72	0.612	Florida State 82 - Louisville 67	-11
Illinois 84 - Nebraska 67	0.877	Illinois 71 - Nebraska 59	5
Kansas 85 - Oklahoma State 63	0.915	Kansas 83 - Oklahoma State 58	-3
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Prairie View 80	0.896	Mississippi Valley State 69 - Prairie View 88	0
Morgan State 77 - Delaware State 61	0.927	Morgan State 90 - Delaware State 80	6
North Carolina AT 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	0.836	North Carolina AT 83 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	-5
North Carolina Central 75 - Howard 56	0.899	North Carolina Central 80 - Howard 65	4
Texas 69 - West Virginia 74	0.607	Texas 67 - West Virginia 57	-15

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Auburn 80 - Mississippi 67	0.771	Auburn 67 - Mississippi 58	4
Ball State 73 - Western Michigan 60	0.824	Ball State 71 - Western Michigan 61	3
Baylor 83 - Kansas State 59	0.961	Baylor 85 - Kansas State 66	5
Bowling Green 71 - Akron 73	0.578	Bowling Green 78 - Akron 60	-20
Central Michigan 75 - Toledo 72	0.587	Central Michigan 81 - Toledo 93	15
Davidson 78 - La Salle 66	0.777	Davidson 74 - La Salle 49	-13
Eastern Michigan 64 - Northern Illinois 61	0.603	Eastern Michigan 71 - Northern Illinois 73	5
George Mason 64 - Dayton 80	0.91	George Mason 55 - Dayton 62	-9
Georgia Tech 71 - Clemson 69	0.568	Georgia Tech 68 - Clemson 59	-7
Iowa State 77 - Texas Christian 73	0.575	Iowa State 65 - Texas Christian 59	-2
Kent State 77 - Miami OH 63	0.804	Kent State 74 - Miami OH 61	1
Loyola Ill 74 - Drake 64	0.741	Loyola Ill 64 - Drake 60	6
Michigan State 81 - Iowa 75	0.633	Michigan State 78 - Iowa 70	-2
Mississippi State 80 - Alabama 77	0.574	Mississippi State 80 - Alabama 73	-4
North Carolina 73 - NC State 76	0.559	North Carolina 85 - NC State 79	-9
Ohio 72 - Buffalo 74	0.584	Ohio 80 - Buffalo 69	-13
Oklahoma 75 - Texas Tech 76	0.527	Oklahoma 65 - Texas Tech 51	-15
San Diego State 79 - Colorado State 63	0.86	San Diego State 66 - Colorado State 60	10
Southern Methodist 74 - Memphis 73	0.536	Southern Methodist 58 - Memphis 53	-4
Texas AM 66 - Kentucky 74	0.722	Texas AM 60 - Kentucky 69	1
Tulsa 78 - Tulane 63	0.784	Tulsa 62 - Tulane 57	10
Utah State 86 - San Jose State 60	0.932	Utah State 94 - San Jose State 56	-12
Valparaiso 73 - Missouri State 70	0.581	Valparaiso 89 - Missouri State 74	-12
Wake Forest 70 - Duke 83	0.781	Wake Forest 113 - Duke 101	-25
Wyoming 64 - Nevada 77	0.81	Wyoming 68 - Nevada 73	-8
Xavier 78 - DePaul 68	0.811	Xavier 78 - DePaul 67	-1

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 69 - Sam Houston State 63	0.672	Abilene Christian 85 - Sam Houston State 69	-10
Air Force 75 - New Mexico 76	0.538	Air Force 60 - New Mexico 58	-3
American 68 - Lafayette 64	0.612	American 79 - Lafayette 59	-16
Arkansas 73 - Tennessee 68	0.65	Arkansas 86 - Tennessee 69	-12
Army 78 - Holy Cross 61	0.868	Army 67 - Holy Cross 61	11
Boston College 71 - Notre Dame 77	0.651	Boston College 61 - Notre Dame 62	-5
Bucknell 63 - Colgate 71	0.714	Bucknell 71 - Colgate 70	-9
Cal Baptist 75 - Utah Valley 64	0.797	Cal Baptist 73 - Utah Valley 66	4
Connecticut 77 - Central Florida 68	0.784	Connecticut 81 - Central Florida 65	-7
Florida 78 - Louisiana State 74	0.592	Florida 81 - Louisiana State 66	-11
Fordham 57 - Rhode Island 75	0.911	Fordham 75 - Rhode Island 76	-17
George Washington 66 - Richmond 75	0.73	George Washington 70 - Richmond 73	-6
Houston Baptist 67 - Nicholls State 78	0.818	Houston Baptist 85 - Nicholls State 93	-3
Illinois State 67 - Bradley 73	0.657	Illinois State 71 - Bradley 74	-3
IPFW 71 - Denver 63	0.712	IPFW 58 - Denver 51	1
Lamar 70 - Incarnate Word 56	0.873	Lamar 86 - Incarnate Word 66	-6
Lehigh 63 - Boston 71	0.736	Lehigh 57 - Boston 55	-10
Long Beach State 73 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.55	Long Beach State 64 - Cal State Northridge 73	11
Maine 63 - New Hampshire 67	0.63	Maine 70 - New Hampshire 77	3
Manhattan 67 - Marist 59	0.697	Manhattan 65 - Marist 56	-1
Marquette 82 - Georgetown 73	0.737	Marquette 93 - Georgetown 72	-12
Massachusetts 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.623	Massachusetts 60 - Virginia Commonwealth 52	-13
Mcneese State 75 - Southeast Louisiana 63	0.819	Mcneese State 104 - Southeast Louisiana 82	-10
Minnesota 72 - Maryland 74	0.561	Minnesota 73 - Maryland 74	-1
Navy 69 - Loyola MD 66	0.599	Navy 62 - Loyola MD 57	-2
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Boise State 71	0.549	Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Boise State 66	-8
New Orleans 65 - Texas AM CC 64	0.561	New Orleans 75 - Texas AM CC 81	7
Northern Iowa 85 - Evansville 59	0.955	Northern Iowa 84 - Evansville 64	6
Omaha 73 - North Dakota 67	0.676	Omaha 84 - North Dakota 83	5
Penn State 77 - Rutgers 71	0.687	Penn State 65 - Rutgers 64	5
Pittsburgh 72 - Syracuse 73	0.51	Pittsburgh 49 - Syracuse 72	22
Quinnipiac 67 - Siena 71	0.604	Quinnipiac 77 - Siena 84	3
Saint Bonaventure 72 - Duquesne 68	0.603	Saint Bonaventure 77 - Duquesne 81	8
Saint Louis 83 - Saint Josephs 63	0.886	Saint Louis 76 - Saint Josephs 63	7
South Carolina 79 - Georgia 71	0.684	South Carolina 94 - Georgia 90	4
South Florida 73 - East Carolina 64	0.731	South Florida 73 - East Carolina 68	4
Southern Illinois 66 - Indiana State 65	0.545	Southern Illinois 68 - Indiana State 77	10
Stanford 76 - Utah 67	0.708	Stanford 70 - Utah 62	1
Stephen F Austin 77 - Northwestern State 57	0.935	Stephen F Austin 90 - Northwestern State 59	-11
Stony Brook 71 - Hartford 61	0.802	Stony Brook 54 - Hartford 65	21
The Citadel 66 - Mercer 77	0.768	The Citadel 57 - Mercer 73	5
UL Lafayette 73 - Arkansas State 71	0.555	UL Lafayette 77 - Arkansas State 74	-1
UMass Lowell 72 - Albany 70	0.563	UMass Lowell 88 - Albany 69	-17
UMBC 75 - Binghamton 61	0.814	UMBC 74 - Binghamton 76	16
UNC Greensboro 70 - Furman 64	0.661	UNC Greensboro 67 - Furman 81	20
Vanderbilt 72 - Missouri 74	0.555	Vanderbilt 52 - Missouri 61	7
Villanova 82 - Saint Johns 67	0.885	Villanova 71 - Saint Johns 60	4
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Chattanooga 71	0.653	Virginia Military Institute 64 - Chattanooga 71	2
Virginia Tech 65 - Virginia 68	0.584	Virginia Tech 53 - Virginia 56	0
Western Carolina 82 - Samford 66	0.875	Western Carolina 109 - Samford 78	-15
Wofford 64 - East Tennessee State 70	0.674	Wofford 54 - East Tennessee State 60	0

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 70 - Marshall 69	0.542	Alabama Birmingham 88 - Marshall 80	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 75 - UL Monroe 60	0.861	Arkansas Little Rock 79 - UL Monroe 63	-1
Austin Peay 76 - Morehead State 59	0.905	Austin Peay 67 - Morehead State 58	8
Belmont 80 - Tennessee Tech 55	0.944	Belmont 65 - Tennessee Tech 62	22
Cal Poly 62 - UC Irvine 75	0.809	Cal Poly 76 - UC Irvine 82	-7
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Texas Pan American 66	0.533	Cal State Bakersfield 79 - Texas Pan American 59	-19
California 64 - Colorado 77	0.788	California 76 - Colorado 62	-27
Canisius 70 - Iona 69	0.534	Canisius 65 - Iona 86	22
Charleston Southern 66 - Gardner Webb 67	0.515	Charleston Southern 74 - Gardner Webb 83	8
College of Charleston 71 - Delaware 67	0.596	College of Charleston 80 - Delaware 71	-5
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Bryant 69	0.541	Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Bryant 72	-1
Florida Atlantic 76 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.628	Florida Atlantic 80 - Texas San Antonio 71	-5
Florida Gulf Coast 64 - Jacksonville 63	0.525	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Jacksonville 67	-5
Florida International 69 - North Texas 73	0.6	Florida International 59 - North Texas 78	15
Gonzaga 89 - San Diego 58	0.955	Gonzaga 94 - San Diego 59	-4
Grand Canyon 64 - New Mexico State 72	0.733	Grand Canyon 53 - New Mexico State 67	6
Green Bay 74 - Youngstown State 71	0.591	Green Bay 102 - Youngstown State 92	-7
Hampton 66 - Radford 74	0.693	Hampton 78 - Radford 81	-5
Hawaii 74 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.781	Hawaii 70 - Cal State Fullerton 59	-1
High Point 67 - UNC Asheville 68	0.53	High Point 76 - UNC Asheville 80	3
Hofstra 74 - Towson 64	0.754	Hofstra 65 - Towson 76	21
Idaho State 71 - Portland State 76	0.667	Idaho State 76 - Portland State 89	8
Illinois Chicago 72 - Detroit 62	0.732	Illinois Chicago 84 - Detroit 67	-7
IUPUI 67 - Oakland 72	0.651	IUPUI 71 - Oakland 68	-8
Kennesaw St 48 - Liberty 77	0.962	Kennesaw St 52 - Liberty 76	-5
LIU Brooklyn 76 - Wagner 65	0.765	LIU Brooklyn 74 - Wagner 66	3
Loyola Marymount 64 - Pacific 68	0.652	Loyola Marymount 53 - Pacific 60	3
Merrimack 73 - Central Connecticut State 52	0.92	Merrimack 69 - Central Connecticut State 58	10
Miami OH 72 - Central Michigan 73	0.522	Miami OH 76 - Central Michigan 57	-20
Michigan 76 - Wisconsin 69	0.673	Michigan 74 - Wisconsin 81	14
Milwaukee 69 - Cleveland State 63	0.707	Milwaukee 68 - Cleveland State 70	8
Murray State 76 - Eastern Kentucky 63	0.829	Murray State 74 - Eastern Kentucky 62	1
Nebraska 71 - Ohio State 82	0.776	Nebraska 54 - Ohio State 75	10
Niagara 63 - Saint Peters 69	0.666	Niagara 63 - Saint Peters 54	-15
North Alabama 70 - NJ Tech 64	0.717	North Alabama 72 - NJ Tech 65	-1
North Dakota State 69 - South Dakota State 67	0.575	North Dakota State 71 - South Dakota State 69	0
Northeastern 78 - James Madison 63	0.844	Northeastern 77 - James Madison 57	-5
Northern Arizona 69 - Montana 71	0.553	Northern Arizona 57 - Montana 56	-3
Northern Colorado 78 - Idaho 56	0.925	Northern Colorado 93 - Idaho 49	-22
Northwestern 67 - Illinois 78	0.767	Northwestern 66 - Illinois 74	-3
Oral Roberts 82 - Western Illinois 63	0.905	Oral Roberts 113 - Western Illinois 70	-24
Oregon 81 - Oregon State 67	0.785	Oregon 69 - Oregon State 54	-1
Presbyterian 66 - Longwood 65	0.503	Presbyterian 55 - Longwood 58	4
Purdue 74 - Indiana 72	0.563	Purdue 57 - Indiana 49	-6
Sacramento State 65 - Montana State 60	0.633	Sacramento State 81 - Montana State 52	-24
Sacred Heart 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 61	0.795	Sacred Heart 73 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 63	2
Saint Francis Penn 73 - Mt St Marys 59	0.85	Saint Francis Penn 75 - Mt St Marys 62	1
San Francisco 80 - Portland 59	0.938	San Francisco 81 - Portland 65	5
Santa Clara 68 - Saint Marys 77	0.71	Santa Clara 72 - Saint Marys 78	-3
SE Missouri State 63 - Eastern Illinois 69	0.677	SE Missouri State 70 - Eastern Illinois 72	-4
South Carolina Upstate 63 - Winthrop 73	0.741	South Carolina Upstate 82 - Winthrop 90	-2
Southern California 72 - Arizona 75	0.575	Southern California 57 - Arizona 48	-12
Southern Utah 71 - Eastern Washington 72	0.513	Southern Utah 51 - Eastern Washington 69	17
Stetson 67 - North Florida 72	0.653	Stetson 72 - North Florida 85	8
Tennessee Martin 72 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.644	Tennessee Martin 75 - SIU Edwardsville 90	20
Tennessee State 69 - Jacksonville State 63	0.657	Tennessee State 65 - Jacksonville State 55	-4
UC Riverside 63 - UC Santa Barbara 65	0.561	UC Riverside 60 - UC Santa Barbara 65	3
UCLA 75 - Arizona State 74	0.512	UCLA 75 - Arizona State 72	-2
UNC Wilmington 67 - Drexel 68	0.524	UNC Wilmington 76 - Drexel 65	-12
Western Kentucky 70 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.542	Western Kentucky 95 - Louisiana Tech 91	-3
Wichita State 78 - Temple 66	0.782	Wichita State 72 - Temple 69	9

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Brown 69 - Princeton 68	0.514	Brown 49 - Princeton 71	23
Columbia 64 - Harvard 77	0.836	Columbia 69 - Harvard 77	-5
Cornell 66 - Dartmouth 65	0.508	Cornell 70 - Dartmouth 82	13
Dayton 82 - Davidson 65	0.867	Dayton 82 - Davidson 67	2
Fairfield 66 - Quinnipiac 63	0.586	Fairfield 58 - Quinnipiac 60	5
Georgia State 76 - Georgia Southern 70	0.663	Georgia State 70 - Georgia Southern 79	15
Marist 62 - Siena 70	0.685	Marist 50 - Siena 52	-6
Northern Kentucky 69 - Wright State 67	0.526	Northern Kentucky 62 - Wright State 64	4
Ohio 69 - Kent State 70	0.502	Ohio 76 - Kent State 69	-8
Rider 72 - Monmouth 69	0.579	Rider 79 - Monmouth 67	-9
Texas Arlington 67 - Texas State 68	0.521	Texas Arlington 85 - Texas State 87	1
Washington 77 - Washington State 67	0.73	Washington 74 - Washington State 78	14
Yale 77 - Pennsylvania 65	0.814	Yale 76 - Pennsylvania 73	9

GAMES OF 2-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Central Arkansas 63	0.767	Abilene Christian 75 - Central Arkansas 70	5
Alabama 82 - South Carolina 76	0.637	Alabama 90 - South Carolina 86	2
Albany 64 - Stony Brook 69	0.628	Albany 49 - Stony Brook 52	-2
Alcorn State 65 - Southern 66	0.517	Alcorn State 57 - Southern 71	13
Appalachian State 74 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.653	Appalachian State 77 - Coastal Carolina 84	14
Arkansas Little Rock 79 - UL Lafayette 65	0.839	Arkansas Little Rock 91 - UL Lafayette 69	-8
Boston 72 - Bucknell 60	0.804	Boston 74 - Bucknell 71	9
Bradley 70 - Loyola Ill 68	0.559	Bradley 66 - Loyola Ill 67	3
Brown 69 - Pennsylvania 68	0.514	Brown 68 - Pennsylvania 73	6
Buffalo 73 - Akron 74	0.509	Buffalo 73 - Akron 86	12
Butler 78 - DePaul 67	0.8	Butler 60 - DePaul 42	-7
Cal Baptist 74 - Seattle 67	0.699	Cal Baptist 88 - Seattle 87	6
Cal State Bakersfield 59 - New Mexico State 69	0.816	Cal State Bakersfield 46 - New Mexico State 62	6
Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.657	Cal State Northridge 99 - Cal State Fullerton 92	-2
California 70 - Utah 72	0.543	California 86 - Utah 79	-9
Campbell 68 - UNC Asheville 63	0.623	Campbell 78 - UNC Asheville 69	-4
Canisius 64 - Saint Peters 68	0.602	Canisius 68 - Saint Peters 69	-3
Central Connecticut State 64 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 70	0.633	Central Connecticut State 79 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 85	0
Chattanooga 65 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.639	Chattanooga 74 - UNC Greensboro 72	-7
Clemson 69 - Florida State 74	0.634	Clemson 70 - Florida State 69	-6
Colgate 75 - Army 62	0.808	Colgate 91 - Army 65	-13
College of Charleston 73 - Drexel 64	0.717	College of Charleston 75 - Drexel 66	0
Colorado State 83 - Air Force 67	0.814	Colorado State 87 - Air Force 74	3
Columbia 65 - Dartmouth 67	0.559	Columbia 57 - Dartmouth 76	17
Cornell 64 - Harvard 75	0.765	Cornell 58 - Harvard 67	-2
Denver 74 - Western Illinois 67	0.695	Denver 69 - Western Illinois 63	1
Drake 68 - Northern Iowa 76	0.717	Drake 43 - Northern Iowa 70	19
Duquesne 74 - George Mason 64	0.754	Duquesne 81 - George Mason 78	7
East Carolina 69 - Connecticut 76	0.689	East Carolina 63 - Connecticut 84	14
East Tennessee State 77 - Western Carolina 63	0.87	East Tennessee State 68 - Western Carolina 67	13
Eastern Kentucky 73 - Morehead State 64	0.742	Eastern Kentucky 80 - Morehead State 76	5
Eastern Michigan 72 - Central Michigan 66	0.656	Eastern Michigan 67 - Central Michigan 63	2
Evansville 70 - Illinois State 71	0.53	Evansville 60 - Illinois State 71	10
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - North Alabama 64	0.604	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - North Alabama 78	8
Fresno State 73 - Wyoming 62	0.808	Fresno State 63 - Wyoming 55	3
Furman 85 - The Citadel 58	0.991	Furman 82 - The Citadel 58	3
Georgia 74 - Arkansas 75	0.515	Georgia 99 - Arkansas 89	-11
Georgia Tech 78 - Miami 71	0.662	Georgia Tech 63 - Miami 57	1
Gonzaga 81 - Saint Marys 69	0.771	Gonzaga 86 - Saint Marys 76	2
Grambling State 69 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	0.911	Grambling State 60 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 46	2
Grand Canyon 72 - Texas Pan American 68	0.635	Grand Canyon 80 - Texas Pan American 88	12
Green Bay 75 - Cleveland State 66	0.753	Green Bay 74 - Cleveland State 67	2
Hampton 73 - South Carolina Upstate 67	0.642	Hampton 79 - South Carolina Upstate 90	17
Hawaii 68 - UC Riverside 61	0.669	Hawaii 43 - UC Riverside 49	13
Hofstra 83 - James Madison 61	0.909	Hofstra 97 - James Madison 81	6
Holy Cross 63 - American 74	0.816	Holy Cross 47 - American 90	32
Houston Baptist 73 - Mcneese State 77	0.627	Houston Baptist 80 - Mcneese State 100	16
Illinois Chicago 68 - Oakland 62	0.647	Illinois Chicago 66 - Oakland 68	8
Indiana State 74 - Valparaiso 67	0.671	Indiana State 71 - Valparaiso 58	-6
Iowa 81 - Penn State 77	0.589	Iowa 77 - Penn State 68	-5
IUPUI 71 - Detroit 72	0.536	IUPUI 88 - Detroit 90	1
Jackson State 78 - Mississippi Valley State 59	0.871	Jackson State 87 - Mississippi Valley State 70	2
Jacksonville State 70 - Tennessee Tech 60	0.793	Jacksonville State 75 - Tennessee Tech 71	6
Kansas State 63 - Kansas 82	0.931	Kansas State 58 - Kansas 62	-15
Kennesaw St 61 - NJ Tech 69	0.711	Kennesaw St 55 - NJ Tech 76	13
Kentucky 77 - Auburn 71	0.684	Kentucky 73 - Auburn 66	-1
La Salle 69 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.571	La Salle 73 - Saint Bonaventure 65	-10
Lafayette 68 - Navy 59	0.748	Lafayette 62 - Navy 60	7
Lipscomb 59 - Liberty 72	0.844	Lipscomb 77 - Liberty 71	-19
Louisiana State 80 - Texas AM 67	0.812	Louisiana State 64 - Texas AM 50	-1
Loyola Marymount 64 - San Francisco 70	0.68	Loyola Marymount 67 - San Francisco 69	-4
Loyola MD 75 - Lehigh 65	0.76	Loyola MD 71 - Lehigh 74	13
Maine 62 - UMBC 67	0.636	Maine 74 - UMBC 48	-31
Marquette 77 - Seton Hall 76	0.532	Marquette 79 - Seton Hall 88	10
Maryland 76 - Michigan State 72	0.617	Maryland 66 - Michigan State 78	16
Maryland Eastern Shore 70 - Delaware State 63	0.698	Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Delaware State 84	28
Mercer 69 - Wofford 67	0.563	Mercer 59 - Wofford 47	-10
Miami OH 67 - Bowling Green 74	0.687	Miami OH 73 - Bowling Green 55	-25
Milwaukee 69 - Youngstown State 68	0.512	Milwaukee 69 - Youngstown State 73	5
Mississippi 78 - Vanderbilt 68	0.727	Mississippi 86 - Vanderbilt 60	-16
Missouri 72 - Mississippi State 73	0.529	Missouri 63 - Mississippi State 67	3
Missouri State 69 - Southern Illinois 64	0.641	Missouri State 84 - Southern Illinois 59	-20
Morgan State 70 - Coppin State 61	0.778	Morgan State 65 - Coppin State 72	16
Mt St Marys 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.604	Mt St Marys 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 83	10
Murray State 70 - Austin Peay 66	0.638	Murray State 75 - Austin Peay 61	-10
NC State 76 - Pittsburgh 67	0.752	NC State 77 - Pittsburgh 73	5
Nevada 68 - San Diego State 74	0.672	Nevada 76 - San Diego State 83	1
New Hampshire 75 - Binghamton 62	0.819	New Hampshire 89 - Binghamton 70	-6
New Mexico 69 - Utah State 77	0.689	New Mexico 66 - Utah State 64	-10
Niagara 68 - Iona 70	0.536	Niagara 100 - Iona 91	-11
Nicholls State 74 - New Orleans 59	0.898	Nicholls State 92 - New Orleans 68	-9
Norfolk State 76 - Howard 56	0.93	Norfolk State 89 - Howard 59	-10
North Dakota State 73 - Omaha 63	0.782	North Dakota State 87 - Omaha 67	-10
Northern Arizona 70 - Montana State 64	0.662	Northern Arizona 57 - Montana State 63	12
Northern Colorado 75 - Eastern Washington 68	0.664	Northern Colorado 64 - Eastern Washington 68	11
Oklahoma State 80 - Iowa State 73	0.639	Oklahoma State 73 - Iowa State 61	-5
Oral Roberts 75 - IPFW 62	0.816	Oral Roberts 72 - IPFW 66	7
Pepperdine 71 - Brigham Young 82	0.783	Pepperdine 64 - Brigham Young 81	6
Prairie View 72 - Alabama State 56	0.898	Prairie View 65 - Alabama State 58	9
Presbyterian 67 - Charleston Southern 66	0.512	Presbyterian 76 - Charleston Southern 65	-10
Radford 73 - Gardner Webb 61	0.759	Radford 62 - Gardner Webb 70	20
Richmond 79 - Massachusetts 64	0.817	Richmond 95 - Massachusetts 71	-9
Robert Morris 67 - Saint Francis Penn 68	0.512	Robert Morris 78 - Saint Francis Penn 68	-11
Sacramento State 63 - Montana 66	0.572	Sacramento State 71 - Montana 79	5
Sacred Heart 74 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.755	Sacred Heart 76 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0
Saint Josephs 70 - Fordham 65	0.64	Saint Josephs 73 - Fordham 69	1
Samford 73 - Virginia Military Institute 72	0.503	Samford 84 - Virginia Military Institute 78	-5
San Diego 65 - Pacific 71	0.697	San Diego 64 - Pacific 71	1
San Jose State 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	0.762	San Jose State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 92	11
Santa Clara 79 - Portland 64	0.851	Santa Clara 73 - Portland 68	10
SIU Edwardsville 63 - Eastern Illinois 69	0.631	SIU Edwardsville 52 - Eastern Illinois 70	12
South Alabama 76 - Troy 61	0.825	South Alabama 78 - Troy 63	0
South Carolina State 62 - North Carolina Central 64	0.56	South Carolina State 82 - North Carolina Central 83	-1
South Dakota 75 - North Dakota 67	0.758	South Dakota 77 - North Dakota 67	-2
Southeast Louisiana 65 - Northwestern State 70	0.644	Southeast Louisiana 95 - Northwestern State 92	-8
Southern California 75 - Arizona State 74	0.54	Southern California 71 - Arizona State 61	-9
Southern Utah 74 - Idaho 59	0.82	Southern Utah 87 - Idaho 55	-17
Stephen F Austin 74 - Lamar 57	0.898	Stephen F Austin 95 - Lamar 76	-2
Stetson 66 - Jacksonville 62	0.603	Stetson 52 - Jacksonville 53	5
Syracuse 80 - North Carolina 71	0.735	Syracuse 79 - North Carolina 92	22
Tennessee 69 - Florida 70	0.506	Tennessee 63 - Florida 58	-6
Tennessee Martin 72 - SE Missouri State 66	0.704	Tennessee Martin 87 - SE Missouri State 78	-3
Tennessee State 64 - Belmont 73	0.723	Tennessee State 65 - Belmont 72	-2
Texas AM CC 66 - Incarnate Word 56	0.789	Texas AM CC 78 - Incarnate Word 70	2
Texas Christian 65 - Baylor 77	0.785	Texas Christian 75 - Baylor 72	-15
Texas Southern 74 - Alabama AM 60	0.819	Texas Southern 85 - Alabama AM 58	-13
Texas Tech 78 - Texas 66	0.738	Texas Tech 58 - Texas 68	22
Toledo 69 - Ball State 68	0.502	Toledo 69 - Ball State 63	-5
Tulane 68 - Memphis 76	0.693	Tulane 67 - Memphis 74	-1
Tulsa 75 - Central Florida 65	0.705	Tulsa 65 - Central Florida 54	-1
UC Davis 75 - Long Beach State 67	0.73	UC Davis 77 - Long Beach State 76	7
UC Irvine 71 - UC Santa Barbara 63	0.732	UC Irvine 69 - UC Santa Barbara 58	-3
UCLA 71 - Arizona 76	0.601	UCLA 69 - Arizona 64	-10
UMass Lowell 63 - Vermont 77	0.83	UMass Lowell 77 - Vermont 94	3
UMKC 78 - Chicago State 53	0.944	UMKC 80 - Chicago State 58	3
UNC Wilmington 65 - Delaware 72	0.679	UNC Wilmington 65 - Delaware 82	10
Villanova 78 - Providence 67	0.742	Villanova 54 - Providence 58	15
Virginia 67 - Duke 72	0.632	Virginia 52 - Duke 50	-7
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - George Washington 62	0.839	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - George Washington 51	-8
Wagner 66 - Bryant 69	0.574	Wagner 59 - Bryant 80	18
Wake Forest 75 - Notre Dame 77	0.557	Wake Forest 84 - Notre Dame 73	-13
Weber State 72 - Portland State 73	0.522	Weber State 83 - Portland State 89	5
West Virginia 80 - Oklahoma 69	0.737	West Virginia 62 - Oklahoma 73	22
Western Michigan 65 - Northern Illinois 67	0.594	Western Michigan 72 - Northern Illinois 69	-5
William and Mary 74 - Elon 62	0.774	William and Mary 86 - Elon 79	5
Winthrop 78 - High Point 58	0.923	Winthrop 84 - High Point 76	12
Yale 76 - Princeton 64	0.814	Yale 66 - Princeton 63	9

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 72 - Florida International 68	0.606	Charlotte 52 - Florida International 67	19
Fairfield 64 - Rider 65	0.54	Fairfield 51 - Rider 65	13
Georgetown 75 - Xavier 73	0.555	Georgetown 63 - Xavier 66	5
Houston 76 - Cincinnati 68	0.698	Houston 68 - Cincinnati 55	-5
Illinois 75 - Indiana 70	0.634	Illinois 67 - Indiana 66	4
Louisville 81 - Virginia Tech 64	0.869	Louisville 68 - Virginia Tech 52	1
Monmouth 72 - Manhattan 62	0.746	Monmouth 80 - Manhattan 60	-10
Nebraska 79 - Northwestern 74	0.634	Nebraska 76 - Northwestern 81	10
North Texas 74 - Western Kentucky 66	0.729	North Texas 78 - Western Kentucky 72	2
Northeastern 69 - Towson 65	0.612	Northeastern 72 - Towson 75	7
Ohio State 76 - Michigan 73	0.576	Ohio State 77 - Michigan 63	-11
Old Dominion 69 - Florida Atlantic 65	0.668	Old Dominion 85 - Florida Atlantic 80	-1
Quinnipiac 70 - Marist 62	0.665	Quinnipiac 71 - Marist 52	-11
Rhode Island 76 - Saint Louis 68	0.727	Rhode Island 62 - Saint Louis 72	18
Rice 78 - Middle Tennessee 68	0.761	Rice 77 - Middle Tennessee 66	-1
Saint Johns 73 - Creighton 81	0.713	Saint Johns 91 - Creighton 71	-28
Southern Methodist 73 - Wichita State 74	0.54	Southern Methodist 62 - Wichita State 66	3
Stanford 71 - Colorado 72	0.533	Stanford 72 - Colorado 64	-9
Temple 72 - South Florida 67	0.627	Temple 58 - South Florida 64	11
Texas El Paso 70 - Southern Miss 63	0.719	Texas El Paso 75 - Southern Miss 56	-12
Texas San Antonio 74 - Alabama Birmingham 71	0.576	Texas San Antonio 66 - Alabama Birmingham 59	-4
Wisconsin 75 - Minnesota 68	0.661	Wisconsin 71 - Minnesota 69	5

Number of DI Games: 323
Number Correct: 233 = 72.1%
Expected Number Correct: 224.615 = 69.5%
Average Error: 8.39
Average Signed Error: 0.28

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 79 - Texas Tech 67	0.772	Baylor 71 - Texas Tech 68	9
Delaware State 62 - Norfolk State 72	0.759	Delaware State 73 - Norfolk State 79	-4
Duke 83 - NC State 70	0.769	Duke 88 - NC State 69	-6
Grambling State 79 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.896	Grambling State 81 - Mississippi Valley State 61	-1
Howard 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0.558	Howard 62 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	1
Jackson State 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	0.882	Jackson State 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	-5
North Carolina Central 67 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.619	North Carolina Central 71 - Bethune Cookman 68	2
Prairie View 74 - Alabama AM 53	0.931	Prairie View 73 - Alabama AM 62	10
South Carolina State 65 - North Carolina AT 69	0.592	South Carolina State 65 - North Carolina AT 76	7
Texas Southern 73 - Alabama State 61	0.769	Texas Southern 78 - Alabama State 73	7
Weber State 74 - Idaho State 66	0.741	Weber State 70 - Idaho State 78	16

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 64 - Stephen F Austin 67	0.603	Abilene Christian 72 - Stephen F Austin 77	2
Akron 77 - Ohio 64	0.819	Akron 74 - Ohio 67	6
Alabama 88 - Vanderbilt 70	0.884	Alabama 79 - Vanderbilt 87	26
Ball State 76 - Central Michigan 65	0.766	Ball State 85 - Central Michigan 68	-6
Boston College 72 - Syracuse 76	0.616	Boston College 71 - Syracuse 84	9
Bucknell 76 - Holy Cross 59	0.861	Bucknell 65 - Holy Cross 62	14
Buffalo 78 - Miami OH 66	0.787	Buffalo 75 - Miami OH 69	6
Charleston Southern 69 - Presbyterian 63	0.649	Charleston Southern 81 - Presbyterian 64	-11
DePaul 74 - Marquette 80	0.659	DePaul 69 - Marquette 68	-7
Georgia Southern 76 - Arkansas State 65	0.784	Georgia Southern 75 - Arkansas State 76	12
Georgia State 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	0.556	Georgia State 89 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	-17
Hartford 71 - Maine 58	0.787	Hartford 65 - Maine 71	19
Illinois Chicago 77 - IUPUI 61	0.806	Illinois Chicago 93 - IUPUI 59	-18
Iowa 80 - Purdue 73	0.645	Iowa 68 - Purdue 77	16
Iowa State 73 - West Virginia 78	0.61	Iowa State 71 - West Virginia 77	1
Kent State 73 - Bowling Green 70	0.579	Kent State 83 - Bowling Green 69	-11
Kentucky 76 - Tennessee 64	0.833	Kentucky 73 - Tennessee 81	20
Lehigh 70 - Loyola MD 69	0.548	Lehigh 78 - Loyola MD 75	-2
Liberty 75 - NJ Tech 52	0.948	Liberty 55 - NJ Tech 49	17
Lipscomb 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.769	Lipscomb 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	4
New Hampshire 75 - UMass Lowell 68	0.703	New Hampshire 54 - UMass Lowell 63	16
North Carolina 79 - Wake Forest 75	0.595	North Carolina 93 - Wake Forest 83	-6
North Florida 77 - Jacksonville 64	0.869	North Florida 91 - Jacksonville 88	10
Northern Illinois 70 - Toledo 66	0.618	Northern Illinois 71 - Toledo 50	-17
Oakland 69 - Cleveland State 61	0.727	Oakland 80 - Cleveland State 59	-13
Oklahoma 76 - Texas 70	0.645	Oklahoma 51 - Texas 52	7
Penn State 77 - Michigan State 76	0.514	Penn State 71 - Michigan State 79	9
Richmond 76 - Davidson 69	0.675	Richmond 80 - Davidson 63	-10
Rutgers 71 - Maryland 72	0.513	Rutgers 78 - Maryland 67	-12
South Alabama 67 - Texas State 68	0.533	South Alabama 58 - Texas State 54	-5
South Carolina 76 - Mississippi State 73	0.562	South Carolina 83 - Mississippi State 71	-9
South Carolina Upstate 69 - High Point 62	0.67	South Carolina Upstate 69 - High Point 59	-3
South Florida 68 - Cincinnati 72	0.615	South Florida 67 - Cincinnati 79	8
Stetson 68 - North Alabama 64	0.619	Stetson 82 - North Alabama 72	-6
Troy 65 - Texas Arlington 73	0.686	Troy 64 - Texas Arlington 78	6
UL Lafayette 73 - Coastal Carolina 74	0.508	UL Lafayette 108 - Coastal Carolina 101	-8
UL Monroe 64 - Appalachian State 67	0.588	UL Monroe 57 - Appalachian State 61	1
UMBC 63 - Stony Brook 67	0.597	UMBC 75 - Stony Brook 67	-12
UNC Asheville 67 - Campbell 64	0.568	UNC Asheville 72 - Campbell 68	-1
Vermont 76 - Albany 55	0.926	Vermont 85 - Albany 62	-2
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Duquesne 67	0.648	Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Duquesne 80	9
Western Michigan 65 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.538	Western Michigan 70 - Eastern Michigan 54	-17
Youngstown State 72 - Milwaukee 64	0.753	Youngstown State 63 - Milwaukee 57	2

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 78 - Louisiana State 77	0.537	Arkansas 99 - Louisiana State 90	-8
Auburn 78 - Texas AM 63	0.823	Auburn 75 - Texas AM 78	18
Butler 78 - Saint Johns 68	0.748	Butler 77 - Saint Johns 55	-12
Central Florida 73 - Southern Methodist 74	0.529	Central Florida 61 - Southern Methodist 58	-4
Charlotte 64 - North Texas 70	0.656	Charlotte 56 - North Texas 43	-19
Colorado State 78 - Wyoming 63	0.864	Colorado State 74 - Wyoming 80	21
Creighton 84 - Georgetown 71	0.803	Creighton 91 - Georgetown 76	-2
Eastern Illinois 68 - Jacksonville State 64	0.588	Eastern Illinois 67 - Jacksonville State 61	-2
Fresno State 74 - Air Force 70	0.606	Fresno State 70 - Air Force 77	11
George Mason 67 - Saint Louis 73	0.659	George Mason 57 - Saint Louis 69	6
George Washington 70 - Fordham 60	0.76	George Washington 52 - Fordham 63	21
Georgia 74 - Florida 77	0.566	Georgia 54 - Florida 68	11
Georgia Tech 75 - Pittsburgh 66	0.744	Georgia Tech 73 - Pittsburgh 57	-7
Incarnate Word 73 - Houston Baptist 69	0.664	Incarnate Word 76 - Houston Baptist 88	16
Indiana 76 - Minnesota 72	0.612	Indiana 72 - Minnesota 67	-1
Iona 74 - Quinnipiac 68	0.636	Iona 68 - Quinnipiac 69	7
Kansas 84 - Texas Christian 62	0.915	Kansas 75 - Texas Christian 66	13
La Salle 73 - Massachusetts 69	0.589	La Salle 64 - Massachusetts 75	15
LIU Brooklyn 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.666	LIU Brooklyn 73 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	4
Louisiana Tech 76 - Florida International 65	0.739	Louisiana Tech 76 - Florida International 73	8
Marist 66 - Canisius 65	0.522	Marist 69 - Canisius 85	17
Marshall 75 - Florida Atlantic 68	0.684	Marshall 94 - Florida Atlantic 82	-5
Miami 66 - Virginia 71	0.619	Miami 44 - Virginia 46	-3
Middle Tennessee 67 - Texas El Paso 71	0.635	Middle Tennessee 56 - Texas El Paso 60	0
Mississippi 73 - Missouri 68	0.601	Mississippi 75 - Missouri 67	-3
Monmouth 71 - Fairfield 60	0.807	Monmouth 69 - Fairfield 45	-13
New Mexico 81 - San Jose State 70	0.746	New Mexico 79 - San Jose State 66	-2
Nicholls State 73 - Mcneese State 63	0.773	Nicholls State 80 - Mcneese State 56	-14
Northwestern State 73 - New Orleans 64	0.751	Northwestern State 95 - New Orleans 73	-13
Notre Dame 73 - Florida State 78	0.649	Notre Dame 71 - Florida State 73	-3
Oklahoma State 78 - Kansas State 69	0.713	Oklahoma State 69 - Kansas State 63	3
Old Dominion 75 - Texas San Antonio 69	0.675	Old Dominion 84 - Texas San Antonio 59	-19
Providence 73 - Xavier 69	0.608	Providence 80 - Xavier 74	-2
Rhode Island 71 - Dayton 76	0.661	Rhode Island 57 - Dayton 84	22
Rider 71 - Manhattan 61	0.744	Rider 71 - Manhattan 59	-2
Robert Morris 71 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 60	0.772	Robert Morris 59 - Saint Francis Brooklyn 58	10
Sacred Heart 71 - Mt St Marys 58	0.832	Sacred Heart 61 - Mt St Marys 59	11
Saint Bonaventure 81 - Saint Josephs 65	0.828	Saint Bonaventure 89 - Saint Josephs 73	0
Saint Francis Penn 74 - Bryant 64	0.782	Saint Francis Penn 87 - Bryant 61	-16
Seton Hall 76 - Villanova 72	0.645	Seton Hall 77 - Villanova 79	6
Siena 75 - Niagara 62	0.808	Siena 77 - Niagara 55	-9
Southeast Louisiana 67 - Central Arkansas 73	0.658	Southeast Louisiana 69 - Central Arkansas 65	-10
Southern Miss 70 - Rice 71	0.511	Southern Miss 57 - Rice 72	14
Temple 70 - Tulsa 72	0.536	Temple 51 - Tulsa 61	8
Tennessee State 68 - Morehead State 63	0.659	Tennessee State 74 - Morehead State 67	-2
Texas AM CC 64 - Sam Houston State 66	0.581	Texas AM CC 71 - Sam Houston State 60	-13
UC Irvine 79 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.847	UC Irvine 70 - Cal State Northridge 72	17
Virginia Tech 69 - Clemson 70	0.519	Virginia Tech 70 - Clemson 58	-13
Wisconsin 82 - Northwestern 63	0.913	Wisconsin 63 - Northwestern 48	4

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 61 - Grambling State 65	0.633	Alabama AM 58 - Grambling State 57	-5
Alabama State 62 - Jackson State 63	0.505	Alabama State 59 - Jackson State 71	11
Alcorn State 63 - Prairie View 71	0.724	Alcorn State 80 - Prairie View 71	-17
American 71 - Bucknell 62	0.743	American 59 - Bucknell 64	14
Arizona 82 - Washington State 65	0.84	Arizona 83 - Washington State 62	-4
Arizona State 78 - Washington 70	0.707	Arizona State 83 - Washington 90	15
Army 68 - Lafayette 66	0.542	Army 68 - Lafayette 73	7
Austin Peay 71 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.667	Austin Peay 76 - Eastern Illinois 65	-5
Bethune Cookman 70 - Florida AM 65	0.606	Bethune Cookman 72 - Florida AM 70	3
Boston 69 - Navy 58	0.807	Boston 69 - Navy 63	5
Colgate 77 - Lehigh 59	0.902	Colgate 83 - Lehigh 70	5
Connecticut 70 - Houston 74	0.606	Connecticut 77 - Houston 71	-10
Drake 71 - Illinois State 68	0.603	Drake 75 - Illinois State 65	-7
Eastern Kentucky 69 - Tennessee State 70	0.529	Eastern Kentucky 58 - Tennessee State 48	-11
Eastern Washington 83 - Idaho State 62	0.924	Eastern Washington 100 - Idaho State 75	-4
Gardner Webb 72 - UNC Asheville 66	0.63	Gardner Webb 72 - UNC Asheville 62	-4
Green Bay 75 - Oakland 68	0.68	Green Bay 78 - Oakland 63	-8
Howard 73 - Delaware State 70	0.571	Howard 88 - Delaware State 100	15
Idaho 66 - Weber State 69	0.563	Idaho 64 - Weber State 72	5
Illinois Chicago 69 - Youngstown State 64	0.616	Illinois Chicago 67 - Youngstown State 61	-1
Liberty 72 - Stetson 52	0.919	Liberty 66 - Stetson 62	16
Long Beach State 73 - Cal Poly 67	0.666	Long Beach State 80 - Cal Poly 73	-1
Longwood 70 - Hampton 69	0.529	Longwood 53 - Hampton 78	26
Maryland Eastern Shore 62 - Coppin State 65	0.563	Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - Coppin State 63	0
Memphis 72 - Wichita State 71	0.51	Memphis 68 - Wichita State 60	-7
Michigan 88 - Nebraska 68	0.919	Michigan 82 - Nebraska 58	-4
Montana 69 - Northern Colorado 68	0.532	Montana 64 - Northern Colorado 71	8
Montana State 67 - Southern Utah 66	0.514	Montana State 73 - Southern Utah 65	-7
Morgan State 63 - Norfolk State 64	0.514	Morgan State 62 - Norfolk State 68	5
Nevada 79 - Wyoming 62	0.878	Nevada 71 - Wyoming 74	20
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Boise State 70	0.597	Nevada Las Vegas 61 - Boise State 67	10
New Mexico State 73 - Cal Baptist 62	0.817	New Mexico State 83 - Cal Baptist 50	-22
North Carolina Central 66 - North Carolina AT 62	0.588	North Carolina Central 86 - North Carolina AT 80	-2
North Florida 79 - Lipscomb 67	0.824	North Florida 71 - Lipscomb 73	14
Ohio State 76 - Illinois 69	0.668	Ohio State 71 - Illinois 63	-1
Oregon 81 - California 64	0.855	Oregon 90 - California 56	-17
Oregon State 70 - Stanford 73	0.57	Oregon State 68 - Stanford 65	-6
Portland State 76 - Northern Arizona 70	0.655	Portland State 80 - Northern Arizona 66	-8
Radford 73 - Charleston Southern 57	0.855	Radford 62 - Charleston Southern 48	2
San Diego 65 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.592	San Diego 61 - Loyola Marymount 75	11
San Diego State 83 - Air Force 59	0.918	San Diego State 73 - Air Force 60	11
Santa Clara 77 - Portland 66	0.787	Santa Clara 76 - Portland 62	-3
Southern 68 - Texas Southern 65	0.589	Southern 89 - Texas Southern 74	-12
UC Davis 71 - Hawaii 68	0.591	UC Davis 65 - Hawaii 67	5
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Cal State Fullerton 62	0.871	UC Santa Barbara 55 - Cal State Fullerton 53	12
Utah State 78 - New Mexico 66	0.75	Utah State 75 - New Mexico 70	7
Utah Valley 68 - UMKC 66	0.544	Utah Valley 51 - UMKC 61	12
Valparaiso 78 - Evansville 66	0.813	Valparaiso 58 - Evansville 55	9
Winthrop 76 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.808	Winthrop 106 - South Carolina Upstate 70	-22

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 76 - Kent State 66	0.761	Akron 79 - Kent State 76	7
Belmont 78 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.817	Belmont 60 - Eastern Kentucky 50	4
Bowling Green 76 - Buffalo 72	0.61	Bowling Green 84 - Buffalo 88	8
Bradley 70 - Southern Illinois 65	0.629	Bradley 64 - Southern Illinois 59	0
Canisius 70 - Niagara 67	0.597	Canisius 67 - Niagara 63	-1
Central Michigan 75 - Western Michigan 70	0.664	Central Michigan 85 - Western Michigan 68	-12
Clemson 72 - Georgia Tech 68	0.616	Clemson 62 - Georgia Tech 65	7
Dartmouth 63 - Yale 72	0.74	Dartmouth 61 - Yale 72	2
Davidson 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.577	Davidson 75 - Virginia Commonwealth 65	-7
Duquesne 71 - Richmond 72	0.528	Duquesne 62 - Richmond 73	10
Harvard 76 - Brown 62	0.823	Harvard 55 - Brown 64	23
Indiana State 71 - Missouri State 69	0.555	Indiana State 51 - Missouri State 78	29
Loyola Ill 72 - Valparaiso 67	0.64	Loyola Ill 73 - Valparaiso 74	6
Manhattan 64 - Fairfield 58	0.67	Manhattan 50 - Fairfield 66	22
Miami OH 68 - Ohio 69	0.525	Miami OH 65 - Ohio 67	1
Monmouth 71 - Siena 69	0.553	Monmouth 72 - Siena 86	16
Murray State 69 - Austin Peay 66	0.571	Murray State 73 - Austin Peay 61	-9
NC State 80 - Wake Forest 72	0.682	NC State 84 - Wake Forest 64	-12
Northern Illinois 66 - Ball State 64	0.542	Northern Illinois 54 - Ball State 75	23
Northern Iowa 78 - Drake 64	0.827	Northern Iowa 56 - Drake 77	35
Pennsylvania 77 - Cornell 62	0.849	Pennsylvania 78 - Cornell 64	1
Pepperdine 75 - Santa Clara 74	0.545	Pepperdine 84 - Santa Clara 73	-10
Princeton 78 - Columbia 60	0.891	Princeton 81 - Columbia 58	-5
Radford 78 - Hampton 62	0.845	Radford 78 - Hampton 86	24
Saint Peters 72 - Iona 64	0.684	Saint Peters 68 - Iona 65	5
Samford 71 - Virginia Military Institute 74	0.582	Samford 78 - Virginia Military Institute 96	15
San Diego State 76 - Boise State 64	0.791	San Diego State 81 - Boise State 68	-1
San Francisco 72 - Loyola Marymount 62	0.812	San Francisco 82 - Loyola Marymount 53	-19
Toledo 69 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.635	Toledo 79 - Eastern Michigan 57	-17
Utah State 78 - Wyoming 57	0.91	Utah State 89 - Wyoming 82	14
Winthrop 73 - Gardner Webb 67	0.648	Winthrop 78 - Gardner Webb 66	-6
Wofford 78 - The Citadel 63	0.907	Wofford 93 - The Citadel 76	-2

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 60 - Jackson State 65	0.628	Alabama AM 51 - Jackson State 54	-2
Alabama Birmingham 68 - Old Dominion 64	0.621	Alabama Birmingham 72 - Old Dominion 63	-5
Alabama State 64 - Grambling State 63	0.503	Alabama State 58 - Grambling State 70	13
Alcorn State 69 - Texas Southern 72	0.58	Alcorn State 90 - Texas Southern 75	-18
Arizona 79 - Washington 66	0.775	Arizona 63 - Washington 69	19
Arizona State 81 - Washington State 68	0.791	Arizona State 83 - Washington State 74	4
Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.702	Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Mississippi Valley State 74	11
Belmont 69 - Murray State 66	0.589	Belmont 76 - Murray State 75	2
Bradley 73 - Drake 68	0.643	Bradley 76 - Drake 66	-5
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Long Beach State 68	0.628	Cal State Fullerton 75 - Long Beach State 69	-1
Cal State Northridge 72 - Hawaii 70	0.543	Cal State Northridge 86 - Hawaii 82	-2
Central Arkansas 73 - Northwestern State 66	0.684	Central Arkansas 85 - Northwestern State 100	22
Cincinnati 80 - Temple 67	0.79	Cincinnati 64 - Temple 63	12
Creighton 78 - Seton Hall 75	0.599	Creighton 77 - Seton Hall 60	-14
Dartmouth 68 - Brown 63	0.629	Dartmouth 58 - Brown 70	17
Dayton 85 - George Washington 58	0.961	Dayton 76 - George Washington 51	2
Drexel 69 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.586	Drexel 66 - UNC Wilmington 55	-8
Duke 86 - North Carolina 69	0.828	Duke 89 - North Carolina 76	4
East Tennessee State 77 - Virginia Military Institute 58	0.928	East Tennessee State 70 - Virginia Military Institute 57	6
Eastern Washington 79 - Weber State 63	0.831	Eastern Washington 78 - Weber State 69	7
Elon 73 - James Madison 69	0.601	Elon 63 - James Madison 61	2
Florida 73 - Kentucky 72	0.501	Florida 70 - Kentucky 71	2
Florida International 72 - Western Kentucky 73	0.506	Florida International 85 - Western Kentucky 91	5
Florida State 84 - Boston College 63	0.927	Florida State 80 - Boston College 62	3
Fordham 63 - George Mason 67	0.65	Fordham 61 - George Mason 65	0
Furman 72 - Wofford 63	0.767	Furman 68 - Wofford 77	18
Georgetown 72 - Villanova 77	0.668	Georgetown 69 - Villanova 70	-4
Grand Canyon 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.668	Grand Canyon 64 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	3
Hartford 74 - UMass Lowell 66	0.706	Hartford 89 - UMass Lowell 75	-6
Harvard 72 - Yale 71	0.52	Harvard 83 - Yale 69	-13
Idaho 70 - Idaho State 68	0.554	Idaho 80 - Idaho State 76	-2
Incarnate Word 56 - Abilene Christian 70	0.867	Incarnate Word 68 - Abilene Christian 71	-11
Indiana 73 - Wisconsin 72	0.513	Indiana 56 - Wisconsin 60	5
Kansas State 76 - Iowa State 74	0.546	Kansas State 79 - Iowa State 63	-14
Lamar 71 - Mcneese State 65	0.678	Lamar 66 - Mcneese State 70	10
Louisiana State 84 - Georgia 73	0.767	Louisiana State 94 - Georgia 64	-19
Louisiana Tech 73 - Charlotte 62	0.78	Louisiana Tech 66 - Charlotte 43	-12
Massachusetts 70 - Rhode Island 76	0.651	Massachusetts 63 - Rhode Island 64	-5
Mercer 70 - Western Carolina 72	0.534	Mercer 56 - Western Carolina 70	12
Miami 76 - Syracuse 77	0.518	Miami 69 - Syracuse 65	-5
Middle Tennessee 71 - Southern Miss 70	0.545	Middle Tennessee 65 - Southern Miss 62	-2
Mississippi State 77 - Mississippi 68	0.694	Mississippi State 69 - Mississippi 44	-16
Missouri 76 - Alabama 78	0.551	Missouri 69 - Alabama 50	-21
Missouri State 73 - Valparaiso 71	0.534	Missouri State 82 - Valparaiso 89	9
Montana 72 - Southern Utah 64	0.697	Montana 80 - Southern Utah 85	13
Montana State 63 - Northern Colorado 70	0.67	Montana State 61 - Northern Colorado 75	7
New Orleans 72 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.709	New Orleans 79 - Southeast Louisiana 69	-3
North Dakota State 75 - Denver 59	0.924	North Dakota State 71 - Denver 69	14
Northwestern 70 - Penn State 81	0.805	Northwestern 80 - Penn State 69	-22
Notre Dame 78 - Virginia Tech 69	0.726	Notre Dame 64 - Virginia Tech 56	1
Oregon 76 - Stanford 69	0.699	Oregon 80 - Stanford 67	-6
Oregon State 75 - California 68	0.673	Oregon State 74 - California 56	-11
Pacific 68 - San Francisco 69	0.524	Pacific 54 - San Francisco 72	17
Pennsylvania 79 - Columbia 62	0.893	Pennsylvania 85 - Columbia 65	-3
Portland State 72 - Sacramento State 67	0.634	Portland State 76 - Sacramento State 72	1
Princeton 76 - Cornell 60	0.85	Princeton 82 - Cornell 85	19
Providence 79 - DePaul 67	0.779	Providence 93 - DePaul 55	-26
Purdue 73 - Rutgers 70	0.577	Purdue 68 - Rutgers 71	6
Rice 71 - Texas El Paso 68	0.586	Rice 72 - Texas El Paso 77	8
Robert Morris 72 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.726	Robert Morris 86 - LIU Brooklyn 66	-12
Saint Francis Penn 72 - Sacred Heart 66	0.679	Saint Francis Penn 84 - Sacred Heart 72	-6
Saint Johns 77 - Marquette 79	0.557	Saint Johns 88 - Marquette 86	-4
Saint Josephs 71 - La Salle 74	0.588	Saint Josephs 77 - La Salle 78	-2
Saint Louis 75 - Saint Bonaventure 67	0.716	Saint Louis 72 - Saint Bonaventure 49	-15
Saint Marys 79 - Pepperdine 68	0.802	Saint Marys 89 - Pepperdine 82	4
San Diego State 72 - Utah State 65	0.687	San Diego State 56 - Utah State 59	10
South Dakota State 75 - IPFW 58	0.902	South Dakota State 74 - IPFW 77	20
South Florida 71 - Southern Methodist 70	0.515	South Florida 61 - Southern Methodist 60	0
Southern 63 - Prairie View 64	0.544	Southern 89 - Prairie View 80	-10
Southern California 75 - UCLA 70	0.632	Southern California 54 - UCLA 52	3
Stephen F Austin 75 - Sam Houston State 60	0.871	Stephen F Austin 68 - Sam Houston State 57	4
Stony Brook 72 - Albany 59	0.808	Stony Brook 76 - Albany 73	10
Tennessee 70 - Auburn 72	0.546	Tennessee 63 - Auburn 85	20
Texas 75 - Oklahoma State 69	0.624	Texas 59 - Oklahoma State 81	28
Texas AM 70 - Arkansas 72	0.567	Texas AM 77 - Arkansas 69	-10
Texas AM CC 76 - Houston Baptist 64	0.835	Texas AM CC 84 - Houston Baptist 78	6
Texas Arlington 75 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.66	Texas Arlington 62 - Coastal Carolina 63	7
Texas Christian 73 - Oklahoma 75	0.537	Texas Christian 76 - Oklahoma 78	0
Texas Pan American 69 - Cal Baptist 72	0.58	Texas Pan American 79 - Cal Baptist 76	-6
Texas San Antonio 76 - Marshall 75	0.526	Texas San Antonio 77 - Marshall 82	6
Texas Tech 70 - Kansas 78	0.686	Texas Tech 62 - Kansas 66	-4
UC Riverside 68 - UC Davis 65	0.583	UC Riverside 66 - UC Davis 61	-2
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Cal Poly 60	0.874	UC Santa Barbara 69 - Cal Poly 67	15
UL Lafayette 73 - Arkansas State 71	0.567	UL Lafayette 73 - Arkansas State 66	-5
UMBC 66 - New Hampshire 65	0.527	UMBC 73 - New Hampshire 67	-5
UNC Greensboro 71 - Chattanooga 65	0.677	UNC Greensboro 68 - Chattanooga 78	16
Utah 70 - Colorado 76	0.613	Utah 74 - Colorado 72	-8
Vanderbilt 71 - South Carolina 79	0.709	Vanderbilt 83 - South Carolina 74	-17
Vermont 78 - Maine 52	0.939	Vermont 61 - Maine 50	15
Virginia 66 - Louisville 67	0.526	Virginia 57 - Louisville 54	-4
West Virginia 71 - Baylor 73	0.57	West Virginia 76 - Baylor 64	-14
Xavier 72 - Butler 69	0.607	Xavier 71 - Butler 72	4

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston 72 - Bucknell 60	0.778	Boston 64 - Bucknell 61	9
Bradley 73 - Valparaiso 70	0.587	Bradley 80 - Valparaiso 66	-11
Central Florida 77 - East Carolina 68	0.775	Central Florida 94 - East Carolina 62	-23
Chattanooga 69 - Wofford 67	0.566	Chattanooga 70 - Wofford 72	4
Colgate 73 - Lafayette 61	0.791	Colgate 89 - Lafayette 64	-13
College of Charleston 70 - Delaware 69	0.52	College of Charleston 67 - Delaware 79	13
East Tennessee State 75 - Western Carolina 65	0.769	East Tennessee State 97 - Western Carolina 75	-12
Hofstra 76 - Drexel 64	0.762	Hofstra 61 - Drexel 43	-6
Houston 77 - Memphis 65	0.779	Houston 64 - Memphis 57	5
Illinois 78 - Iowa 75	0.568	Illinois 78 - Iowa 76	1
Liberty 75 - Lipscomb 57	0.899	Liberty 73 - Lipscomb 57	2
Maryland 78 - Michigan 72	0.685	Maryland 83 - Michigan 70	-7
Michigan State 77 - Ohio State 71	0.651	Michigan State 80 - Ohio State 69	-5
Minnesota 85 - Nebraska 68	0.878	Minnesota 107 - Nebraska 75	-15
Oral Roberts 74 - Omaha 70	0.6	Oral Roberts 79 - Omaha 52	-23
South Dakota 76 - North Dakota 66	0.786	South Dakota 71 - North Dakota 74	13
Towson 68 - Northeastern 66	0.545	Towson 62 - Northeastern 72	12
Tulane 69 - Connecticut 77	0.725	Tulane 76 - Connecticut 80	-4
Wichita State 74 - Tulsa 66	0.67	Wichita State 79 - Tulsa 57	-14
William and Mary 73 - Elon 65	0.702	William and Mary 63 - Elon 68	13
Winthrop 82 - Hampton 65	0.864	Winthrop 76 - Hampton 68	9

Number of DI Games: 297
Number Correct: 202 = 68%
Expected Number Correct: 203.421 = 68.4%
Average Error: 9.31
Average Signed Error: 1.17

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 74 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.627	Appalachian State 70 - Coastal Carolina 65	0
Brigham Young 76 - Saint Marys 72	0.617	Brigham Young 50 - Saint Marys 51	5
Buffalo 78 - Miami OH 65	0.814	Buffalo 79 - Miami OH 85	19
East Tennessee State 71 - Wofford 62	0.773	East Tennessee State 72 - Wofford 58	-5
Georgia Southern 77 - UL Lafayette 67	0.763	Georgia Southern 82 - UL Lafayette 81	9
Gonzaga 81 - San Francisco 68	0.807	Gonzaga 81 - San Francisco 77	9
Hofstra 73 - Delaware 68	0.625	Hofstra 75 - Delaware 61	-9
Kent State 72 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.729	Kent State 86 - Eastern Michigan 76	0
North Dakota 68 - IPFW 66	0.566	North Dakota 73 - IPFW 56	-15
North Dakota State 71 - Oral Roberts 68	0.568	North Dakota State 75 - Oral Roberts 69	-3
Northeastern 72 - Elon 64	0.721	Northeastern 68 - Elon 60	0
Northern Kentucky 72 - Green Bay 68	0.611	Northern Kentucky 80 - Green Bay 69	-7
Ohio 77 - Central Michigan 68	0.735	Ohio 85 - Central Michigan 65	-11
Toledo 75 - Western Michigan 65	0.755	Toledo 76 - Western Michigan 73	7
Wright State 72 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.663	Wright State 56 - Illinois Chicago 73	25

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Delaware State 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 66	0.537	Delaware State 68 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	-3
Fairfield 60 - Manhattan 61	0.509	Fairfield 43 - Manhattan 61	17
Gonzaga 80 - Saint Marys 71	0.716	Gonzaga 84 - Saint Marys 66	-9
Hofstra 71 - Northeastern 67	0.607	Hofstra 70 - Northeastern 61	-5
Iona 71 - Canisius 69	0.555	Iona 70 - Canisius 60	-8
Jackson State 69 - Alcorn State 62	0.67	Jackson State 69 - Alcorn State 52	-10
Niagara 67 - Marist 64	0.579	Niagara 56 - Marist 54	1
North Dakota State 72 - North Dakota 63	0.821	North Dakota State 89 - North Dakota 53	-27
Northern Kentucky 66 - Illinois Chicago 62	0.58	Northern Kentucky 71 - Illinois Chicago 62	-5
Prairie View 72 - Alabama AM 54	0.902	Prairie View 82 - Alabama AM 60	-4
Robert Morris 68 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.507	Robert Morris 77 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-9
South Carolina State 73 - Howard 64	0.774	South Carolina State 63 - Howard 70	16
Southern 69 - Alabama State 56	0.841	Southern 67 - Alabama State 53	-1
Stony Brook 70 - Hartford 61	0.737	Stony Brook 58 - Hartford 64	15
Texas Southern 70 - Grambling State 65	0.639	Texas Southern 75 - Grambling State 62	-8
Vermont 74 - UMBC 56	0.89	Vermont 81 - UMBC 74	11
Virginia Tech 73 - North Carolina 74	0.54	Virginia Tech 56 - North Carolina 78	21
Wake Forest 75 - Pittsburgh 73	0.545	Wake Forest 72 - Pittsburgh 81	11

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Texas San Antonio 70	0.588	Alabama Birmingham 74 - Texas San Antonio 69	-1
Arizona 76 - Washington 70	0.653	Arizona 77 - Washington 70	-1
Arkansas 81 - Vanderbilt 70	0.755	Arkansas 86 - Vanderbilt 73	-2
Clemson 73 - Miami 71	0.563	Clemson 69 - Miami 64	-3
Colgate 72 - Boston 63	0.73	Colgate 61 - Boston 64	12
Colorado 79 - Washington State 67	0.756	Colorado 68 - Washington State 82	26
Florida International 75 - Rice 72	0.581	Florida International 85 - Rice 76	-6
George Mason 76 - Saint Josephs 69	0.695	George Mason 77 - Saint Josephs 70	0
George Washington 67 - Fordham 63	0.606	George Washington 52 - Fordham 72	24
Georgia State 75 - Georgia Southern 70	0.656	Georgia State 62 - Georgia Southern 81	24
Indiana 83 - Nebraska 69	0.83	Indiana 89 - Nebraska 64	-11
Lamar 68 - Mcneese State 67	0.546	Lamar 80 - Mcneese State 59	-20
Marshall 71 - Texas El Paso 68	0.602	Marshall 86 - Texas El Paso 78	-5
Minnesota 80 - Northwestern 69	0.772	Minnesota 74 - Northwestern 57	-6
Mississippi 75 - Georgia 74	0.509	Mississippi 63 - Georgia 81	19
NC State 75 - Pittsburgh 69	0.683	NC State 73 - Pittsburgh 58	-9
North Carolina AT 77 - Howard 61	0.879	North Carolina AT 86 - Howard 77	7
North Carolina Central 74 - Delaware State 60	0.841	North Carolina Central 92 - Delaware State 75	-3
Northern Arizona 74 - Idaho State 66	0.752	Northern Arizona 62 - Idaho State 64	10
Northwestern State 66 - Texas AM CC 65	0.53	Northwestern State 79 - Texas AM CC 62	-16
Notre Dame 78 - Boston College 69	0.747	Notre Dame 80 - Boston College 58	-13
Oklahoma State 79 - Iowa State 74	0.619	Oklahoma State 72 - Iowa State 71	4
Old Dominion 69 - Florida Atlantic 67	0.565	Old Dominion 56 - Florida Atlantic 66	12
Oregon State 74 - Utah 72	0.537	Oregon State 71 - Utah 69	0
Saint Johns 79 - Georgetown 75	0.624	Saint Johns 75 - Georgetown 62	-9
Saint Peters 70 - Iona 65	0.619	Saint Peters 56 - Iona 54	3
Siena 71 - Manhattan 60	0.767	Siena 63 - Manhattan 49	-3
Southern Utah 74 - Idaho 61	0.761	Southern Utah 75 - Idaho 69	7
Stanford 76 - California 65	0.753	Stanford 51 - California 63	23
Syracuse 78 - North Carolina 76	0.567	Syracuse 81 - North Carolina 53	-26
Texas Christian 74 - Kansas State 71	0.572	Texas Christian 49 - Kansas State 53	7
Texas State 72 - Appalachian State 61	0.778	Texas State 85 - Appalachian State 68	-6
Weber State 63 - Sacramento State 68	0.619	Weber State 54 - Sacramento State 62	3
Xavier 77 - DePaul 69	0.733	Xavier 67 - DePaul 71	12

Number of DI Games: 67
Number Correct: 51 = 76.1%
Expected Number Correct: 45.111 = 67.3%
Average Error: 9.52
Average Signed Error: 1.19