Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

Note: I'm going with a home court advantage of 3 points this year.

PREVIOUS WEEK PREDICTIONS

GAMES OF 11-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 72 - Portland State 68	0.617	Air Force 55 - Portland State 62	11
Alabama 82 - Morehead State 61	0.901	Alabama 105 - Morehead State 73	-11
Alabama Birmingham 74 - Bradley 67	0.665	Alabama Birmingham 71 - Bradley 73	9
Arizona 88 - Morgan State 58	0.956	Arizona 122 - Morgan State 59	-33
Arkansas 85 - Alcorn State 58	0.953	Arkansas 93 - Alcorn State 59	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 64 - Texas State 73	0.757	Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Texas State 66	-14
Army 68 - Marist 66	0.549	Army 55 - Marist 71	18
Austin Peay 83 - Unranked 56		Austin Peay 90 - Unranked 72
Belmont 76 - Georgia State 66	0.749	Belmont 89 - Georgia State 87	8
Boston College 73 - Fairfield 63	0.749	Boston College 89 - Fairfield 70	-9
Bowling Green 78 - Chicago State 65	0.796	Bowling Green 70 - Chicago State 41	-16
Brigham Young 87 - Houston Christian 58	0.96	Brigham Young 110 - Houston Christian 63	-18
Bryant 73 - Manhattan 66	0.689	Bryant 59 - Manhattan 61	9
Bucknell 66 - Delaware 72	0.674	Bucknell 57 - Delaware 78	15
Buffalo 79 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.807	Buffalo 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 92	19
Butler 78 - Eastern Michigan 60	0.851	Butler 94 - Eastern Michigan 55	-21
Cal Baptist 87 - Unranked 54		Cal Baptist 74 - Unranked 57
Cal Poly 80 - Unranked 57		Cal Poly 80 - Unranked 62
Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Southern Utah 73	0.737	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Southern Utah 72	-9
California 72 - Saint Thomas 65	0.673	California 71 - Saint Thomas 66	2
Campbell 64 - Navy 65	0.532	Campbell 59 - Navy 48	-12
Central Florida 79 - Florida International 65	0.835	Central Florida 85 - Florida International 62	-9
Charleston Southern 82 - Unranked 59		Charleston Southern 94 - Unranked 59
Charlotte 73 - Maine 58	0.844	Charlotte 69 - Maine 52	-2
Chattanooga 89 - Unranked 52		Chattanooga 89 - Unranked 44
Cincinnati 81 - Illinois Chicago 61	0.923	Cincinnati 69 - Illinois Chicago 58	9
Clemson 78 - Winthrop 66	0.797	Clemson 78 - Winthrop 56	-10
Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 56		Coastal Carolina 88 - Unranked 86
Colgate 75 - Brown 64	0.785	Colgate 72 - Brown 70	9
College of Charleston 72 - Iona 71	0.516	College of Charleston 71 - Iona 69	-1
Colorado 75 - Towson 65	0.763	Colorado 75 - Towson 57	-8
Colorado State 74 - Louisiana Tech 70	0.622	Colorado State 81 - Louisiana Tech 73	-4
Connecticut 85 - Northern Arizona 57	0.962	Connecticut 95 - Northern Arizona 52	-15
Davidson 93 - Unranked 50		Davidson 86 - Unranked 63
Dayton 79 - SIU Edwardsville 56	0.928	Dayton 63 - SIU Edwardsville 47	7
Duke 84 - Dartmouth 58	0.937	Duke 92 - Dartmouth 54	-12
Duquesne 72 - Cleveland State 68	0.62	Duquesne 79 - Cleveland State 77	2
East Carolina 89 - Unranked 54		East Carolina 91 - Unranked 61
East Tennessee State 87 - Unranked 53		East Tennessee State 73 - Unranked 56
Evansville 67 - Miami OH 71	0.617	Evansville 72 - Miami OH 64	-12
Florida 80 - Loyola MD 59	0.919	Florida 93 - Loyola MD 73	1
Fordham 68 - Wagner 61	0.697	Fordham 68 - Wagner 64	3
Fresno State 89 - Unranked 51		Fresno State 77 - Unranked 66
Furman 93 - Unranked 50		Furman 84 - Unranked 68
Gardner Webb 85 - Unranked 52		Gardner Webb 98 - Unranked 58
George Mason 74 - Monmouth 64	0.757	George Mason 72 - Monmouth 61	-1
George Washington 74 - Stonehill 66	0.716	George Washington 89 - Stonehill 44	-37
Georgia Tech 74 - Georgia Southern 66	0.743	Georgia Tech 84 - Georgia Southern 62	-14
Grambling State 82 - Unranked 54		Grambling State 82 - Unranked 67
Grand Canyon 78 - SE Missouri State 63	0.837	Grand Canyon 88 - SE Missouri State 67	-6
Harvard 86 - Unranked 52		Harvard 78 - Unranked 50
High Point 84 - Unranked 57		High Point 105 - Unranked 51
Hofstra 93 - Unranked 51		Hofstra 101 - Unranked 48
Houston 84 - UL Monroe 53	0.965	Houston 84 - UL Monroe 31	-22
Howard 74 - Hampton 67	0.69	Howard 92 - Hampton 80	-5
Idaho State 82 - Unranked 57		Idaho State 92 - Unranked 36
Illinois 86 - Eastern Illinois 54	0.963	Illinois 80 - Eastern Illinois 52	4
Illinois State 87 - Unranked 56		Illinois State 75 - Unranked 56
Indiana State 90 - Unranked 54		Indiana State 90 - Unranked 60
Iowa State 83 - Green Bay 56	0.95	Iowa State 85 - Green Bay 44	-14
IUPUI 78 - Unranked 60		IUPUI 70 - Unranked 63
Jacksonville 82 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville 113 - Unranked 46
Kansas 85 - North Carolina Central 55	0.965	Kansas 99 - North Carolina Central 56	-13
Kansas State 73 - Southern California 75	0.561	Kansas State 69 - Southern California 82	11
Kent State 90 - Unranked 49		Kent State 79 - Unranked 58
Kentucky 79 - New Mexico State 64	0.834	Kentucky 86 - New Mexico State 46	-25
Lamar 79 - Unranked 58		Lamar 114 - Unranked 66
Lehigh 69 - Cornell 72	0.597	Lehigh 78 - Cornell 84	3
Liberty 90 - Unranked 47		Liberty 103 - Unranked 43
Louisiana State 89 - Mississippi Valley State 55	0.983	Louisiana State 106 - Mississippi Valley State 60	-12
Louisville 75 - UMBC 67	0.699	Louisville 94 - UMBC 93	7
Marquette 83 - Northern Illinois 60	0.929	Marquette 92 - Northern Illinois 70	1
Marshall 78 - Queens 67	0.776	Marshall 89 - Queens 73	-5
Memphis 82 - Jackson State 56	0.957	Memphis 94 - Jackson State 77	9
Mercer 86 - Unranked 53		Mercer 64 - Unranked 71
Miami 84 - NJ Tech 58	0.951	Miami 101 - NJ Tech 60	-15
Michigan State 82 - James Madison 65	0.886	Michigan State 76 - James Madison 79	20
Middle Tennessee 68 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.564	Middle Tennessee 74 - Northern Kentucky 57	-15
Milwaukee 85 - Unranked 57		Milwaukee 91 - Unranked 73
Minnesota 79 - Bethune Cookman 61	0.887	Minnesota 80 - Bethune Cookman 60	-2
Mississippi 80 - Alabama State 57	0.942	Mississippi 69 - Alabama State 59	13
Missouri 84 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.951	Missouri 101 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 79	5
Montana State 88 - Unranked 51		Montana State 103 - Unranked 63
Murray State 90 - Unranked 51		Murray State 91 - Unranked 58
NC State 84 - The Citadel 64	0.905	NC State 72 - The Citadel 59	7
Nebraska 80 - Lindenwood 63	0.854	Nebraska 84 - Lindenwood 52	-15
New Mexico 77 - Texas Southern 68	0.752	New Mexico 92 - Texas Southern 55	-28
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 58		New Orleans 100 - Unranked 70
Norfolk State 86 - Unranked 52		Norfolk State 102 - Unranked 55
North Alabama 84 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 93 - Unranked 60
North Carolina 81 - Radford 61	0.922	North Carolina 86 - Radford 70	4
North Florida 87 - Unranked 57		North Florida 92 - Unranked 55
Northeastern 67 - Boston 66	0.544	Northeastern 67 - Boston 58	-8
Northern Colorado 89 - Unranked 56		Northern Colorado 87 - Unranked 58
Northwestern 80 - Binghamton 60	0.911	Northwestern 72 - Binghamton 61	9
Northwestern State 84 - Unranked 57		Northwestern State 101 - Unranked 54
Notre Dame 76 - Niagara 63	0.823	Notre Dame 70 - Niagara 63	6
Ohio State 82 - Oakland 63	0.903	Ohio State 79 - Oakland 73	13
Oklahoma 84 - Central Michigan 59	0.923	Oklahoma 89 - Central Michigan 59	-5
Oklahoma State 78 - Abilene Christian 65	0.833	Oklahoma State 59 - Abilene Christian 64	18
Old Dominion 87 - Unranked 51		Old Dominion 71 - Unranked 57
Omaha 83 - Unranked 59		Omaha 85 - Unranked 53
Oregon 81 - Georgia 69	0.769	Oregon 82 - Georgia 71	1
Oregon State 90 - Unranked 54		Oregon State 82 - Unranked 46
Pacific 66 - Sam Houston State 71	0.63	Pacific 57 - Sam Houston State 64	2
Penn State 86 - Delaware State 53	0.979	Penn State 79 - Delaware State 45	-1
Pennsylvania 89 - Unranked 54		Pennsylvania 102 - Unranked 57
Pepperdine 90 - Unranked 58		Pepperdine 76 - Unranked 64
Pittsburgh 79 - North Carolina AT 61	0.883	Pittsburgh 100 - North Carolina AT 52	-30
Portland 75 - Long Beach State 74	0.515	Portland 78 - Long Beach State 73	-4
Prairie View 83 - Unranked 55		Prairie View 89 - Unranked 66
Providence 86 - Columbia 57	0.959	Providence 78 - Columbia 59	10
Purdue 84 - Samford 63	0.912	Purdue 98 - Samford 45	-32
Quinnipiac 88 - Unranked 56		Quinnipiac 116 - Unranked 48
Rhode Island 76 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.885	Rhode Island 81 - Central Connecticut State 70	6
Richmond 79 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.86	Richmond 93 - Virginia Military Institute 75	-2
Rider 87 - Unranked 54		Rider 113 - Unranked 67
Rutgers 74 - Princeton 67	0.674	Rutgers 61 - Princeton 68	14
Sacred Heart 83 - Unranked 58		Sacred Heart 95 - Unranked 51
Saint Bonaventure 72 - Longwood 63	0.73	Saint Bonaventure 73 - Longwood 69	5
Saint Josephs 74 - Lafayette 65	0.737	Saint Josephs 81 - Lafayette 60	-12
Saint Louis 80 - Southern Indiana 60	0.894	Saint Louis 75 - Southern Indiana 63	8
Saint Marys 94 - Unranked 43		Saint Marys 107 - Unranked 28
San Diego 88 - Unranked 56		San Diego 68 - Unranked 64
San Diego State 78 - Cal State Fullerton 59	0.917	San Diego State 83 - Cal State Fullerton 57	-7
San Francisco 94 - Unranked 50		San Francisco 128 - Unranked 59
Seton Hall 75 - Saint Peters 60	0.843	Seton Hall 70 - Saint Peters 59	4
Siena 74 - Holy Cross 60	0.838	Siena 73 - Holy Cross 71	12
South Alabama 89 - Unranked 51		South Alabama 74 - Unranked 83
South Carolina 78 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.808	South Carolina 82 - South Carolina Upstate 53	-16
South Carolina State 81 - Unranked 61		South Carolina State 65 - Unranked 57
South Dakota 86 - Unranked 55		South Dakota 85 - Unranked 53
South Dakota State 69 - Akron 68	0.52	South Dakota State 75 - Akron 81	7
Southeast Louisiana 84 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 90 - Unranked 71
Southern Illinois 87 - Unranked 49		Southern Illinois 88 - Unranked 57
Southern Methodist 94 - Unranked 52		Southern Methodist 82 - Unranked 63
Southern Miss 87 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 64 - Unranked 42
Stanford 81 - Cal State Northridge 61	0.918	Stanford 88 - Cal State Northridge 79	11
Stephen F Austin 90 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 96 - Unranked 68
Stetson 85 - Unranked 56		Stetson 109 - Unranked 54
Syracuse 79 - New Hampshire 61	0.863	Syracuse 83 - New Hampshire 72	7
Temple 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.884	Temple 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	-2
Tennessee 84 - Tennessee Tech 54	0.955	Tennessee 80 - Tennessee Tech 42	-8
Tennessee Martin 83 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Martin 104 - Unranked 76
Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 76 - Unranked 61
Texas 87 - Incarnate Word 51	0.989	Texas 88 - Incarnate Word 56	4
Texas AM 81 - Texas AM Commerce 57	0.93	Texas AM 78 - Texas AM Commerce 46	-8
Texas Arlington 68 - Oral Roberts 73	0.654	Texas Arlington 75 - Oral Roberts 71	-9
Texas Christian 81 - Southern 59	0.916	Texas Christian 108 - Southern 75	-11
Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 52		Texas El Paso 120 - Unranked 71
Texas Pan American 87 - Unranked 59		Texas Pan American 110 - Unranked 59
Texas San Antonio 74 - Western Illinois 69	0.642	Texas San Antonio 78 - Western Illinois 68	-5
Toledo 79 - Detroit 66	0.801	Toledo 94 - Detroit 60	-21
Troy 87 - Unranked 53		Troy 92 - Unranked 47
Tulane 77 - Nicholls State 66	0.794	Tulane 91 - Nicholls State 81	1
Tulsa 78 - Central Arkansas 66	0.779	Tulsa 70 - Central Arkansas 53	-5
UC Davis 87 - Unranked 55		UC Davis 86 - Unranked 51
UC San Diego 72 - Denver 67	0.642	UC San Diego 95 - Denver 87	-3
UCLA 86 - Saint Francis Penn 55	0.965	UCLA 75 - Saint Francis Penn 44	0
UL Lafayette 75 - Youngstown State 68	0.697	UL Lafayette 72 - Youngstown State 62	-3
UMass Lowell 87 - Unranked 54		UMass Lowell 96 - Unranked 51
UMKC 82 - Unranked 54		UMKC 79 - Unranked 48
UNC Wilmington 88 - Unranked 53		UNC Wilmington 105 - Unranked 66
Utah 76 - Eastern Washington 70	0.679	Utah 101 - Eastern Washington 66	-29
Utah State 96 - Unranked 48		Utah State 101 - Unranked 48
Utah Valley 91 - Unranked 51		Utah Valley 81 - Unranked 73
Valparaiso 87 - Unranked 56		Valparaiso 100 - Unranked 61
Vermont 72 - Merrimack 55	0.88	Vermont 67 - Merrimack 55	5
Villanova 81 - American 55	0.954	Villanova 90 - American 63	-1
Virginia 75 - Tarleton State 55	0.907	Virginia 80 - Tarleton State 50	-10
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Mcneese State 54	0.963	Virginia Commonwealth 65 - Mcneese State 76	39
Virginia Tech 84 - Coppin State 58	0.945	Virginia Tech 100 - Coppin State 55	-19
Wake Forest 80 - Elon 62	0.874	Wake Forest 101 - Elon 78	-5
Washington 76 - Bellarmine 64	0.793	Washington 91 - Bellarmine 57	-22
Washington State 82 - Idaho 58	0.927	Washington State 84 - Idaho 59	-1
West Virginia 79 - Missouri State 68	0.767	West Virginia 67 - Missouri State 59	3
Western Kentucky 92 - Unranked 52		Western Kentucky 90 - Unranked 64
Western Michigan 63 - North Dakota State 72	0.747	Western Michigan 76 - North Dakota State 80	-5
Wichita State 77 - Lipscomb 65	0.834	Wichita State 76 - Lipscomb 59	-5
William and Mary 83 - Unranked 57		William and Mary 84 - Unranked 29
Wisconsin 79 - Arkansas State 59	0.94	Wisconsin 105 - Arkansas State 76	-9
Wofford 89 - Unranked 52		Wofford 85 - Unranked 68
Xavier 83 - Robert Morris 59	0.94	Xavier 77 - Robert Morris 63	10
Yale 91 - Unranked 50		Yale 102 - Unranked 53

GAMES OF 11-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 52		Appalachian State 87 - Unranked 49
Ball State 88 - Unranked 54		Ball State 101 - Unranked 40
Baylor 78 - Auburn 74	0.607	Baylor 88 - Auburn 82	-2
Boise State 95 - Unranked 48		Boise State 89 - Unranked 55
Creighton 84 - Florida AM 52	0.967	Creighton 105 - Florida AM 54	-19
DePaul 77 - IPFW 67	0.785	DePaul 74 - IPFW 82	18
Eastern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 56		Eastern Kentucky 108 - Unranked 72
Georgetown 78 - Le Moyne 66	0.772	Georgetown 94 - Le Moyne 57	-25
Indiana 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.887	Indiana 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	12
Iowa 89 - North Dakota 61	0.945	Iowa 110 - North Dakota 68	-14
Jacksonville State 86 - Unranked 53		Jacksonville State 91 - Unranked 41
Kennesaw St 85 - Unranked 55		Kennesaw St 93 - Unranked 46
La Salle 69 - Drexel 68	0.521	La Salle 67 - Drexel 61	-5
Loyola Marymount 90 - Unranked 52		Loyola Marymount 109 - Unranked 68
Maryland 78 - Mt St Marys 57	0.927	Maryland 68 - Mt St Marys 53	6
Massachusetts 76 - Albany 65	0.77	Massachusetts 92 - Albany 71	-10
Michigan 82 - UNC Asheville 62	0.899	Michigan 99 - UNC Asheville 74	-5
Montana 86 - Unranked 52		Montana 107 - Unranked 59
Nevada 78 - Sacramento State 61	0.881	Nevada 77 - Sacramento State 63	3
North Texas 73 - Northern Iowa 62	0.803	North Texas 83 - Northern Iowa 77	5
Rice 90 - Unranked 56		Rice 101 - Unranked 57
Saint Johns 82 - Stony Brook 64	0.877	Saint Johns 90 - Stony Brook 74	2
San Jose State 67 - UC Irvine 72	0.646	San Jose State 72 - UC Irvine 64	-13
Texas AM CC 84 - Unranked 54		Texas AM CC 111 - Unranked 46
UC Riverside 88 - Unranked 53		UC Riverside 76 - Unranked 69
Vanderbilt 81 - Presbyterian 59	0.941	Vanderbilt 62 - Presbyterian 68	28
Weber State 87 - Unranked 53		Weber State 96 - Unranked 62
Western Carolina 86 - Unranked 57		Western Carolina 106 - Unranked 65
Wyoming 90 - Unranked 53		Wyoming 104 - Unranked 56

GAMES OF 11-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 83 - Unranked 56		Alcorn State 70 - Unranked 62
Bryant 88 - Unranked 55		Bryant 140 - Unranked 79
Cleveland State 87 - Unranked 54		Cleveland State 102 - Unranked 41
Cornell 89 - Unranked 56		Cornell 107 - Unranked 86
Delaware 88 - Unranked 53		Delaware 101 - Unranked 68
Drake 77 - Lipscomb 64	0.815	Drake 85 - Lipscomb 70	-2
Eastern Illinois 79 - Unranked 58		Eastern Illinois 91 - Unranked 45
Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - Unranked 59		Fairleigh Dickinson 107 - Unranked 63
Loyola Ill 69 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.526	Loyola Ill 62 - Florida Atlantic 75	12
Maine 80 - Unranked 57		Maine 111 - Unranked 59
Mississippi State 73 - Arizona State 71	0.544	Mississippi State 71 - Arizona State 56	-13
Morehead State 85 - Unranked 51		Morehead State 96 - Unranked 40
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Southern 61	0.856	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Southern 85	30
New Hampshire 82 - Unranked 54		New Hampshire 115 - Unranked 38
New Mexico State 90 - Unranked 51		New Mexico State 84 - Unranked 49
North Dakota State 87 - Unranked 52		North Dakota State 93 - Unranked 66
Northern Colorado 89 - Unranked 56		Northern Colorado 81 - Unranked 60
Ohio 72 - Troy 66	0.674	Ohio 88 - Troy 70	-12
Pennsylvania 76 - Bucknell 64	0.789	Pennsylvania 80 - Bucknell 61	-7
Portland 89 - Unranked 57		Portland 89 - Unranked 72
Saint Louis 95 - Unranked 50		Saint Louis 102 - Unranked 66
San Diego 71 - Jackson State 64	0.725	San Diego 87 - Jackson State 61	-19
Santa Clara 80 - Utah Tech 65	0.84	Santa Clara 77 - Utah Tech 69	7
Seattle 73 - Prairie View 63	0.764	Seattle 71 - Prairie View 60	-1
Southern Methodist 80 - Western Illinois 63	0.865	Southern Methodist 90 - Western Illinois 53	-20
Syracuse 81 - Canisius 65	0.859	Syracuse 89 - Canisius 77	4
Texas Tech 84 - Texas AM Commerce 56	0.949	Texas Tech 73 - Texas AM Commerce 46	1
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 54		Winthrop 98 - Unranked 44

GAMES OF 11-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Unranked 60		Arkansas Pine Bluff 116 - Unranked 73
Baylor 102 - Unranked 47		Baylor 96 - Unranked 70
Charleston Southern 67 - North Florida 73	0.656	Charleston Southern 70 - North Florida 81	5
Chicago State 62 - Mercer 74	0.798	Chicago State 61 - Mercer 66	-7
Coppin State 62 - Towson 75	0.812	Coppin State 49 - Towson 70	8
Denver 68 - Cal Poly 65	0.575	Denver 97 - Cal Poly 76	-18
Elon 64 - East Tennessee State 70	0.642	Elon 79 - East Tennessee State 76	-9
Evansville 82 - Unranked 59		Evansville 116 - Unranked 46
Florida International 70 - Tarleton State 69	0.545	Florida International 65 - Tarleton State 82	18
Georgia Tech 78 - Howard 64	0.82	Georgia Tech 88 - Howard 85	11
Green Bay 80 - Unranked 59		Green Bay 72 - Unranked 56
Hampton 83 - Unranked 59		Hampton 109 - Unranked 46
Idaho 68 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.507	Idaho 73 - Cal State Northridge 76	2
Iowa State 81 - Lindenwood 57	0.916	Iowa State 102 - Lindenwood 47	-31
IPFW 85 - Unranked 55		IPFW 130 - Unranked 34
Kent State 74 - James Madison 66	0.728	Kent State 108 - James Madison 113	13
Merrimack 81 - Unranked 52		Merrimack 93 - Unranked 72
Michigan State 84 - Southern Indiana 58	0.938	Michigan State 74 - Southern Indiana 51	3
Middle Tennessee 71 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.535	Middle Tennessee 67 - Stephen F Austin 62	-3
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 100 - Unranked 52
Nebraska 80 - Florida AM 60	0.911	Nebraska 81 - Florida AM 54	-7
Norfolk State 86 - Unranked 52		Norfolk State 90 - Unranked 56
North Alabama 69 - Alabama AM 62	0.682	North Alabama 83 - Alabama AM 67	-9
North Carolina Central 83 - Unranked 54		North Carolina Central 107 - Unranked 54
Presbyterian 80 - Unranked 57		Presbyterian 100 - Unranked 58
Rhode Island 71 - Fairfield 63	0.715	Rhode Island 93 - Fairfield 80	-5
Robert Morris 83 - Unranked 55		Robert Morris 66 - Unranked 56
Saint Marys 79 - New Mexico 64	0.846	Saint Marys 72 - New Mexico 58	1
Sam Houston State 68 - Utah Valley 67	0.533	Sam Houston State 73 - Utah Valley 79	7
San Francisco 81 - Saint Francis Penn 60	0.915	San Francisco 84 - Saint Francis Penn 52	-11
San Jose State 87 - Unranked 56		San Jose State 117 - Unranked 72
SIU Edwardsville 82 - Unranked 57		SIU Edwardsville 92 - Unranked 67
South Florida 78 - South Carolina State 61	0.893	South Florida 96 - South Carolina State 52	-27
Southern California 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	0.949	Southern California 85 - Cal State Bakersfield 59	-2
Southern Methodist 81 - Lamar 58	0.936	Southern Methodist 78 - Lamar 67	12
Southern Utah 91 - Unranked 54		Southern Utah 108 - Unranked 73
Stonehill 67 - Army 68	0.543	Stonehill 57 - Army 44	-14
Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 83 - Unranked 58
Texas Christian 85 - Omaha 59	0.939	Texas Christian 82 - Omaha 60	4
Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 52		Texas El Paso 123 - Unranked 72
Tulane 80 - Northwestern State 65	0.846	Tulane 88 - Northwestern State 71	-2
UC Davis 74 - Pepperdine 72	0.563	UC Davis 79 - Pepperdine 78	1
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Portland State 64	0.826	UC Santa Barbara 76 - Portland State 82	18
Virginia Military Institute 86 - Unranked 59		Virginia Military Institute 87 - Unranked 53
Wagner 82 - Unranked 53		Wagner 83 - Unranked 48
Washington 72 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.672	Washington 75 - Northern Kentucky 67	-2
Wichita State 75 - Western Kentucky 69	0.698	Wichita State 71 - Western Kentucky 61	-4
William and Mary 67 - American 66	0.521	William and Mary 75 - American 56	-18

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Southern Miss 63	0.765	Akron 72 - Southern Miss 54	-7
Alabama 85 - Indiana State 66	0.862	Alabama 102 - Indiana State 80	-3
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Clemson 72	0.504	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Clemson 77	2
Arkansas 81 - Gardner Webb 61	0.915	Arkansas 86 - Gardner Webb 68	2
Auburn 86 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.955	Auburn 86 - Southeast Louisiana 71	12
Bethune Cookman 80 - Unranked 58		Bethune Cookman 113 - Unranked 46
Brigham Young 68 - San Diego State 72	0.596	Brigham Young 74 - San Diego State 65	-13
Butler 78 - SE Missouri State 63	0.829	Butler 91 - SE Missouri State 56	-20
Cal Baptist 70 - Jackson State 61	0.745	Cal Baptist 80 - Jackson State 66	-5
California 71 - Pacific 69	0.561	California 79 - Pacific 87	10
Central Arkansas 84 - Unranked 61		Central Arkansas 82 - Unranked 39
Charlotte 64 - Liberty 68	0.633	Charlotte 59 - Liberty 71	8
Cincinnati 80 - Detroit 64	0.865	Cincinnati 93 - Detroit 61	-16
College of Charleston 74 - Duquesne 69	0.648	College of Charleston 72 - Duquesne 90	23
Colorado 78 - Grambling State 58	0.903	Colorado 95 - Grambling State 63	-12
Colorado State 76 - Wright State 68	0.698	Colorado State 105 - Wright State 77	-20
Dartmouth 68 - UMass Lowell 69	0.532	Dartmouth 48 - UMass Lowell 81	32
Duke 78 - Arizona 75	0.571	Duke 73 - Arizona 78	8
Eastern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 56		Eastern Kentucky 133 - Unranked 75
Florida 67 - Virginia 70	0.591	Florida 70 - Virginia 73	0
Florida Gulf Coast 86 - Unranked 55		Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Unranked 71
Florida State 78 - Kennesaw St 65	0.826	Florida State 94 - Kennesaw St 67	-14
Furman 74 - Belmont 70	0.602	Furman 99 - Belmont 76	-19
George Mason 74 - Austin Peay 61	0.832	George Mason 67 - Austin Peay 45	-9
Georgia 74 - Wake Forest 78	0.615	Georgia 80 - Wake Forest 77	-7
Gonzaga 84 - Yale 64	0.894	Gonzaga 86 - Yale 71	5
Hofstra 73 - Princeton 69	0.586	Hofstra 67 - Princeton 74	11
Illinois 83 - Oakland 62	0.918	Illinois 64 - Oakland 53	10
Illinois Chicago 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.598	Illinois Chicago 86 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	-11
Iona 79 - Sacred Heart 61	0.896	Iona 88 - Sacred Heart 81	11
Iowa 90 - Alabama State 57	0.965	Iowa 98 - Alabama State 67	2
Kansas 87 - Manhattan 56	0.966	Kansas 99 - Manhattan 61	-7
Kansas State 79 - Bellarmine 62	0.89	Kansas State 83 - Bellarmine 75	9
Kentucky 85 - Texas AM Commerce 56	0.953	Kentucky 81 - Texas AM Commerce 61	9
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Air Force 73	0.69	LIU Brooklyn 67 - Air Force 82	8
Louisiana State 79 - Nicholls State 62	0.896	Louisiana State 66 - Nicholls State 68	19
Louisville 72 - Chattanooga 69	0.571	Louisville 71 - Chattanooga 81	13
Marquette 82 - Rider 63	0.915	Marquette 95 - Rider 65	-11
Marshall 73 - Radford 67	0.676	Marshall 62 - Radford 66	10
Maryland 74 - Davidson 69	0.644	Maryland 61 - Davidson 64	8
Mcneese State 81 - Unranked 59		Mcneese State 96 - Unranked 55
Miami 77 - Central Florida 71	0.669	Miami 88 - Central Florida 72	-10
Michigan 82 - Youngstown State 63	0.889	Michigan 92 - Youngstown State 62	-11
Minnesota 79 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.77	Minnesota 102 - Texas San Antonio 76	-15
Mississippi 75 - Eastern Washington 69	0.667	Mississippi 75 - Eastern Washington 64	-5
Missouri 72 - Memphis 77	0.626	Missouri 55 - Memphis 70	10
Murray State 76 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.827	Murray State 78 - Tennessee Tech 72	9
Navy 65 - Temple 70	0.625	Navy 68 - Temple 75	2
NC State 77 - Abilene Christian 68	0.737	NC State 84 - Abilene Christian 64	-11
Northwestern 69 - Dayton 71	0.54	Northwestern 71 - Dayton 66	-7
Ohio State 74 - Texas AM 71	0.578	Ohio State 66 - Texas AM 73	10
Oklahoma 89 - Mississippi Valley State 53	0.975	Oklahoma 82 - Mississippi Valley State 43	-3
Oral Roberts 92 - Unranked 53		Oral Roberts 74 - Unranked 69
Oregon 78 - Montana 62	0.854	Oregon 75 - Montana 61	2
Oregon State 72 - Troy 68	0.629	Oregon State 81 - Troy 80	3
Penn State 81 - Lehigh 60	0.92	Penn State 74 - Lehigh 65	12
Pittsburgh 78 - Binghamton 61	0.879	Pittsburgh 89 - Binghamton 60	-12
Purdue 79 - Morehead State 58	0.921	Purdue 87 - Morehead State 57	-9
Quinnipiac 75 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.824	Quinnipiac 74 - Central Connecticut State 70	9
Rice 72 - Harvard 70	0.56	Rice 76 - Harvard 89	15
Rutgers 77 - Boston 60	0.883	Rutgers 69 - Boston 45	-7
Saint Josephs 73 - Pennsylvania 72	0.518	Saint Josephs 69 - Pennsylvania 61	-7
Saint Thomas 69 - Idaho State 65	0.624	Saint Thomas 54 - Idaho State 53	3
South Carolina 69 - Virginia Tech 77	0.691	South Carolina 79 - Virginia Tech 77	-10
South Dakota 73 - Texas Pan American 69	0.622	South Dakota 100 - Texas Pan American 79	-17
Southern Illinois 72 - Queens 62	0.766	Southern Illinois 91 - Queens 68	-13
Stanford 77 - Sacramento State 60	0.871	Stanford 91 - Sacramento State 73	-1
Stony Brook 84 - Unranked 55		Stony Brook 91 - Unranked 50
Texas 90 - Delaware State 50	0.993	Texas 86 - Delaware State 59	13
The Citadel 67 - Boston College 77	0.737	The Citadel 71 - Boston College 75	-6
UCLA 83 - Lafayette 55	0.962	UCLA 68 - Lafayette 50	10
UNC Greensboro 75 - North Carolina AT 59	0.864	UNC Greensboro 94 - North Carolina AT 78	0
Utah 75 - UC Riverside 66	0.719	Utah 82 - UC Riverside 53	-20
Valparaiso 76 - IUPUI 61	0.851	Valparaiso 56 - IUPUI 66	25
Vanderbilt 80 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.89	Vanderbilt 74 - South Carolina Upstate 67	11
Villanova 82 - Le Moyne 55	0.939	Villanova 83 - Le Moyne 57	1
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Samford 63	0.86	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Samford 65	6
Washington State 78 - Prairie View 60	0.889	Washington State 83 - Prairie View 65	0
West Virginia 83 - Monmouth 63	0.898	West Virginia 65 - Monmouth 73	28
Wisconsin 69 - Tennessee 72	0.587	Wisconsin 70 - Tennessee 80	7
Xavier 79 - Jacksonville 59	0.918	Xavier 79 - Jacksonville 56	-3

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 79 - Texas Southern 62	0.866	Arizona State 63 - Texas Southern 52	6
Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Unranked 60		Arkansas Pine Bluff 112 - Unranked 68
Ball State 67 - Old Dominion 68	0.517	Ball State 73 - Old Dominion 68	-6
Bowling Green 71 - Arkansas State 70	0.529	Bowling Green 81 - Arkansas State 75	-5
Bradley 68 - Utah State 73	0.614	Bradley 72 - Utah State 66	-11
Brown 71 - Loyola MD 64	0.723	Brown 75 - Loyola MD 77	9
Buffalo 72 - South Alabama 70	0.558	Buffalo 56 - South Alabama 70	16
Cal State Fullerton 88 - Unranked 53		Cal State Fullerton 78 - Unranked 48
Central Michigan 68 - UL Monroe 69	0.525	Central Michigan 64 - UL Monroe 74	9
Cleveland State 68 - Ohio 71	0.583	Cleveland State 82 - Ohio 78	-7
Columbia 67 - Albany 69	0.545	Columbia 75 - Albany 78	1
Connecticut 84 - Stonehill 55	0.959	Connecticut 107 - Stonehill 67	-11
Creighton 79 - North Dakota State 61	0.879	Creighton 89 - North Dakota State 60	-11
DePaul 79 - Long Beach State 71	0.73	DePaul 73 - Long Beach State 77	12
East Carolina 71 - Campbell 65	0.665	East Carolina 77 - Campbell 63	-8
Eastern Michigan 66 - Georgia Southern 71	0.638	Eastern Michigan 70 - Georgia Southern 60	-15
Fordham 71 - Cornell 68	0.603	Fordham 73 - Cornell 78	8
George Washington 75 - William and Mary 67	0.712	George Washington 95 - William and Mary 89	2
Georgetown 80 - Holy Cross 64	0.876	Georgetown 67 - Holy Cross 68	17
Houston 82 - Texas AM CC 52	0.963	Houston 82 - Texas AM CC 50	-2
Jacksonville State 71 - Utah Tech 66	0.652	Jacksonville State 79 - Utah Tech 81	7
Kent State 70 - Fresno State 65	0.634	Kent State 79 - Fresno State 69	-5
La Salle 71 - Northeastern 67	0.626	La Salle 79 - Northeastern 74	-1
Lipscomb 88 - Unranked 55		Lipscomb 113 - Unranked 74
Longwood 86 - Unranked 53		Longwood 95 - Unranked 43
Loyola Ill 77 - Eastern Illinois 55	0.917	Loyola Ill 89 - Eastern Illinois 65	-2
Miami OH 65 - Texas State 70	0.661	Miami OH 65 - Texas State 75	5
Mississippi State 82 - Tennessee Martin 58	0.939	Mississippi State 87 - Tennessee Martin 63	0
Mt St Marys 70 - Coppin State 62	0.707	Mt St Marys 74 - Coppin State 60	-6
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Stetson 64	0.836	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Stetson 55	-2
New Orleans 83 - Unranked 58		New Orleans 106 - Unranked 69
Niagara 71 - Bucknell 64	0.693	Niagara 64 - Bucknell 73	16
NJ Tech 61 - Saint Peters 69	0.71	NJ Tech 48 - Saint Peters 75	19
North Texas 79 - Omaha 54	0.95	North Texas 75 - Omaha 64	14
Northern Illinois 65 - Appalachian State 69	0.614	Northern Illinois 91 - Appalachian State 78	-17
Notre Dame 79 - Western Carolina 65	0.827	Notre Dame 61 - Western Carolina 71	24
Providence 83 - Milwaukee 60	0.92	Providence 79 - Milwaukee 69	13
Richmond 73 - Siena 64	0.739	Richmond 90 - Siena 48	-33
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Canisius 63	0.81	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Canisius 70	16
Saint Louis 80 - Illinois State 64	0.874	Saint Louis 80 - Illinois State 71	7
Santa Clara 81 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.906	Santa Clara 82 - Saint Francis Penn 59	-4
Seattle 69 - Montana State 68	0.53	Seattle 71 - Montana State 68	-2
Seton Hall 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.922	Seton Hall 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 55	-7
Tarleton State 85 - Unranked 53		Tarleton State 93 - Unranked 52
Texas Arlington 86 - Unranked 54		Texas Arlington 95 - Unranked 64
Toledo 76 - UL Lafayette 70	0.679	Toledo 87 - UL Lafayette 78	-3
Tulsa 76 - Incarnate Word 59	0.87	Tulsa 85 - Incarnate Word 71	3
UC Irvine 69 - New Mexico State 67	0.553	UC Irvine 91 - New Mexico State 74	-15
UC San Diego 70 - San Diego 73	0.582	UC San Diego 69 - San Diego 63	-9
UMBC 69 - Marist 65	0.61	UMBC 59 - Marist 65	10
UMKC 82 - Unranked 54		UMKC 95 - Unranked 42
UNC Asheville 68 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.525	UNC Asheville 66 - UNC Wilmington 83	16
Vermont 91 - Unranked 48		Vermont 92 - Unranked 41
Western Michigan 65 - Georgia State 73	0.706	Western Michigan 70 - Georgia State 77	-1
Winthrop 71 - Drexel 68	0.594	Winthrop 72 - Drexel 74	5
Wofford 75 - High Point 63	0.795	Wofford 99 - High Point 98	11
Wyoming 76 - Cal Poly 60	0.87	Wyoming 80 - Cal Poly 66	2

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Maryland 74	0.563	Alabama Birmingham 66 - Maryland 63	-5
Baylor 83 - Gardner Webb 59	0.946	Baylor 77 - Gardner Webb 62	9
Binghamton 83 - Unranked 57		Binghamton 104 - Unranked 50
Boise State 74 - San Francisco 69	0.646	Boise State 63 - San Francisco 58	0
Cincinnati 78 - Eastern Washington 67	0.791	Cincinnati 85 - Eastern Washington 73	-1
Clemson 72 - Davidson 70	0.571	Clemson 68 - Davidson 65	-1
Columbia 82 - Unranked 60		Columbia 86 - Unranked 36
Delaware 71 - Air Force 66	0.628	Delaware 65 - Air Force 57	-3
Georgia 75 - North Carolina Central 65	0.747	Georgia 64 - North Carolina Central 54	0
Grand Canyon 77 - Northern Arizona 61	0.865	Grand Canyon 89 - Northern Arizona 55	-18
Indiana 82 - Army 61	0.916	Indiana 72 - Army 64	13
Iowa State 80 - Idaho State 57	0.923	Iowa State 86 - Idaho State 55	-8
IPFW 71 - Texas AM Commerce 64	0.672	IPFW 86 - Texas AM Commerce 64	-15
James Madison 76 - Howard 67	0.726	James Madison 107 - Howard 86	-12
Loyola Marymount 69 - Yale 70	0.532	Loyola Marymount 80 - Yale 83	2
Maine 61 - Merrimack 64	0.605	Maine 65 - Merrimack 71	3
Montana 70 - UC Davis 66	0.61	Montana 78 - UC Davis 65	-9
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 57		Morgan State 78 - Unranked 60
North Carolina 85 - Lehigh 60	0.937	North Carolina 90 - Lehigh 68	3
North Dakota 67 - Elon 68	0.511	North Dakota 85 - Elon 68	-18
Oklahoma State 75 - Sam Houston State 64	0.776	Oklahoma State 85 - Sam Houston State 70	-4
Pepperdine 74 - Lafayette 67	0.706	Pepperdine 76 - Lafayette 53	-16
Portland 70 - UC Riverside 71	0.536	Portland 76 - UC Riverside 63	-14
Portland State 86 - Unranked 57		Portland State 70 - Unranked 53
Radford 85 - Unranked 52		Radford 84 - Unranked 47
Rutgers 79 - Bryant 63	0.844	Rutgers 66 - Bryant 57	7
Saint Marys 76 - Weber State 57	0.894	Saint Marys 57 - Weber State 61	23
Saint Thomas 84 - Unranked 56		Saint Thomas 100 - Unranked 54
South Carolina Upstate 84 - Unranked 56		South Carolina Upstate 106 - Unranked 48
Southern Indiana 73 - Chicago State 64	0.736	Southern Indiana 67 - Chicago State 78	20
Texas Tech 83 - San Jose State 61	0.906	Texas Tech 56 - San Jose State 42	8
Towson 73 - Robert Morris 61	0.803	Towson 66 - Robert Morris 62	8
Washington 73 - Nevada 74	0.504	Washington 76 - Nevada 83	6
Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 94 - Unranked 59
Wichita State 94 - Unranked 50		Wichita State 95 - Unranked 65

Number of DI Games: 317
Number Correct: 253 = 79.8%
Expected Number Correct: 244.987 = 77.2%
Average Error: 9.79
Average Signed Error: -1.15

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 64 - Siena 69	0.623	American 78 - Siena 58	-25
Arizona 90 - Southern 62	0.94	Arizona 97 - Southern 59	-10
Arkansas 81 - Old Dominion 60	0.943	Arkansas 86 - Old Dominion 77	12
Butler 79 - East Tennessee State 58	0.91	Butler 81 - East Tennessee State 47	-13
California 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.617	California 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	-16
Central Arkansas 72 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.558	Central Arkansas 83 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 85	4
Central Connecticut State 81 - Unranked 60		Central Connecticut State 99 - Unranked 42
Charleston Southern 81 - Unranked 61		Charleston Southern 102 - Unranked 61
Duquesne 82 - Stony Brook 62	0.895	Duquesne 85 - Stony Brook 63	-2
Fairfield 85 - Unranked 59		Fairfield 92 - Unranked 45
Florida State 86 - Central Michigan 59	0.947	Florida State 94 - Central Michigan 67	0
Houston 88 - Stetson 49	0.993	Houston 79 - Stetson 48	8
Kansas State 78 - South Dakota State 69	0.757	Kansas State 91 - South Dakota State 68	-14
Le Moyne 77 - Unranked 64		Le Moyne 105 - Unranked 46
Louisiana Tech 89 - Unranked 54		Louisiana Tech 100 - Unranked 43
Massachusetts 76 - Quinnipiac 67	0.739	Massachusetts 102 - Quinnipiac 81	-12
Mcneese State 89 - Unranked 56		Mcneese State 110 - Unranked 46
Miami 91 - Florida International 62	0.972	Miami 86 - Florida International 80	23
Middle Tennessee 73 - Western Carolina 66	0.689	Middle Tennessee 64 - Western Carolina 66	9
Missouri 80 - SIU Edwardsville 61	0.911	Missouri 68 - SIU Edwardsville 50	1
Missouri State 71 - Oral Roberts 70	0.518	Missouri State 84 - Oral Roberts 69	-14
Nebraska 78 - Rider 67	0.811	Nebraska 64 - Rider 50	-3
Norfolk State 75 - Hampton 63	0.802	Norfolk State 75 - Hampton 68	5
Northern Illinois 89 - Unranked 57		Northern Illinois 107 - Unranked 55
Northwestern State 69 - Stephen F Austin 72	0.611	Northwestern State 70 - Stephen F Austin 96	23
Pennsylvania 68 - Villanova 74	0.702	Pennsylvania 76 - Villanova 72	-10
Pepperdine 85 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.947	Pepperdine 88 - LIU Brooklyn 53	-14
Pittsburgh 82 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	0.918	Pittsburgh 86 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	9
Presbyterian 70 - The Citadel 66	0.594	Presbyterian 71 - The Citadel 64	-3
Purdue 79 - Xavier 70	0.728	Purdue 83 - Xavier 71	-3
Saint Johns 75 - Michigan 80	0.636	Saint Johns 73 - Michigan 89	11
South Carolina 83 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.902	South Carolina 74 - Virginia Military Institute 64	10
South Carolina State 63 - North Florida 78	0.856	South Carolina State 87 - North Florida 77	-25
Tennessee Martin 87 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Martin 90 - Unranked 72
Texas AM CC 89 - Unranked 55		Texas AM CC 104 - Unranked 45
Texas El Paso 69 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.527	Texas El Paso 89 - UC Santa Barbara 76	-14
UC San Diego 88 - Unranked 55		UC San Diego 116 - Unranked 57
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 57		Youngstown State 99 - Unranked 71

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Prairie View 62	0.882	Abilene Christian 74 - Prairie View 79	20
Akron 94 - Unranked 50		Akron 114 - Unranked 56
Alabama 83 - South Alabama 64	0.911	Alabama 102 - South Alabama 46	-37
Alabama State 81 - Unranked 59		Alabama State 115 - Unranked 51
Arkansas State 73 - Alcorn State 71	0.549	Arkansas State 100 - Alcorn State 84	-14
Austin Peay 80 - Unranked 58		Austin Peay 79 - Unranked 52
Ball State 91 - Unranked 54		Ball State 92 - Unranked 51
Baylor 86 - UMKC 54	0.963	Baylor 99 - UMKC 61	-6
Belmont 92 - Unranked 56		Belmont 93 - Unranked 59
Bradley 78 - Tarleton State 63	0.849	Bradley 86 - Tarleton State 63	-8
Chattanooga 77 - Bellarmine 63	0.833	Chattanooga 72 - Bellarmine 64	6
Chicago State 66 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.623	Chicago State 64 - Cal State Northridge 74	6
Colorado 84 - Milwaukee 61	0.943	Colorado 106 - Milwaukee 79	-4
Connecticut 96 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.997	Connecticut 87 - Mississippi Valley State 53	13
Creighton 80 - Iowa 76	0.614	Creighton 92 - Iowa 84	-4
DePaul 73 - South Dakota 70	0.563	DePaul 72 - South Dakota 60	-9
Drake 96 - Unranked 50		Drake 87 - Unranked 67
Drexel 67 - Temple 73	0.685	Drexel 64 - Temple 66	-4
Florida 85 - Florida AM 55	0.984	Florida 89 - Florida AM 68	9
Florida Atlantic 82 - Eastern Michigan 58	0.945	Florida Atlantic 100 - Eastern Michigan 57	-19
George Washington 76 - Hofstra 74	0.547	George Washington 71 - Hofstra 60	-9
Georgia Tech 73 - UMass Lowell 70	0.582	Georgia Tech 71 - UMass Lowell 74	6
Gonzaga 106 - Unranked 47		Gonzaga 123 - Unranked 57
Grambling State 86 - Unranked 58		Grambling State 113 - Unranked 73
Harvard 74 - Northeastern 66	0.755	Harvard 80 - Northeastern 56	-16
Hawaii 87 - Unranked 51		Hawaii 82 - Unranked 66
Holy Cross 70 - Sacred Heart 71	0.524	Holy Cross 77 - Sacred Heart 84	6
Howard 74 - Boston 67	0.755	Howard 64 - Boston 53	-4
Idaho 82 - Unranked 62		Idaho 88 - Unranked 42
Illinois 71 - Marquette 75	0.65	Illinois 64 - Marquette 71	3
Incarnate Word 81 - Unranked 61		Incarnate Word 104 - Unranked 63
Indiana State 80 - IUPUI 63	0.874	Indiana State 96 - IUPUI 57	-22
Jacksonville 68 - Georgia Southern 63	0.669	Jacksonville 85 - Georgia Southern 68	-12
Kentucky 72 - Kansas 79	0.682	Kentucky 84 - Kansas 89	-2
La Salle 79 - Bucknell 62	0.909	La Salle 69 - Bucknell 57	5
Lamar 70 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.521	Lamar 90 - Texas San Antonio 82	-9
Loyola Ill 73 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.76	Loyola Ill 67 - Illinois Chicago 72	13
Loyola Marymount 80 - Jackson State 63	0.895	Loyola Marymount 88 - Jackson State 66	-5
Mcneese State 89 - Unranked 56		Mcneese State 81 - Unranked 49
Michigan State 67 - Duke 74	0.718	Michigan State 65 - Duke 74	2
Mississippi 79 - Detroit 63	0.86	Mississippi 70 - Detroit 69	15
Mississippi State 81 - North Alabama 58	0.947	Mississippi State 81 - North Alabama 54	-4
Morehead State 68 - Mercer 67	0.509	Morehead State 74 - Mercer 66	-7
Murray State 73 - Western Kentucky 70	0.594	Murray State 81 - Western Kentucky 86	8
New Hampshire 69 - Brown 67	0.544	New Hampshire 82 - Brown 64	-16
New Mexico State 86 - Unranked 58		New Mexico State 78 - Unranked 43
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 57		North Carolina Central 113 - Unranked 50
Northern Colorado 71 - Colorado State 81	0.739	Northern Colorado 64 - Colorado State 83	9
Northern Iowa 92 - Unranked 56		Northern Iowa 90 - Unranked 50
Northern Kentucky 87 - Unranked 54		Northern Kentucky 85 - Unranked 68
Northwestern 85 - Western Michigan 57	0.979	Northwestern 63 - Western Michigan 59	24
Oakland 71 - Bowling Green 72	0.542	Oakland 81 - Bowling Green 62	-20
Oklahoma 76 - Texas State 59	0.896	Oklahoma 93 - Texas State 54	-22
Oregon State 75 - Appalachian State 65	0.791	Oregon State 81 - Appalachian State 71	0
Penn State 83 - Saint Francis Penn 57	0.965	Penn State 83 - Saint Francis Penn 53	-4
Providence 74 - Wisconsin 71	0.569	Providence 72 - Wisconsin 59	-10
Queens 74 - High Point 73	0.506	Queens 74 - High Point 72	-1
Rhode Island 73 - Wagner 63	0.819	Rhode Island 69 - Wagner 53	-6
Sacramento State 86 - Unranked 57		Sacramento State 128 - Unranked 66
Saint Josephs 78 - Stonehill 60	0.872	Saint Josephs 100 - Stonehill 56	-26
Samford 87 - Unranked 58		Samford 96 - Unranked 52
San Diego State 80 - Long Beach State 62	0.939	San Diego State 88 - Long Beach State 76	6
Southern California 83 - UC Irvine 65	0.923	Southern California 60 - UC Irvine 70	28
Southern Indiana 82 - Unranked 61		Southern Indiana 68 - Unranked 65
Southern Methodist 68 - Texas AM 75	0.721	Southern Methodist 66 - Texas AM 79	6
Stanford 76 - Santa Clara 74	0.56	Stanford 77 - Santa Clara 89	14
Syracuse 78 - Colgate 69	0.76	Syracuse 79 - Colgate 75	5
Tennessee 83 - Wofford 59	0.94	Tennessee 82 - Wofford 61	3
Tennessee Tech 69 - Lipscomb 73	0.66	Tennessee Tech 65 - Lipscomb 96	27
Texas Christian 90 - Texas Pan American 60	0.958	Texas Christian 88 - Texas Pan American 55	-3
Troy 87 - Unranked 58		Troy 111 - Unranked 46
UC Davis 71 - North Dakota State 70	0.502	UC Davis 68 - North Dakota State 53	-14
UMBC 87 - Unranked 60		UMBC 84 - Unranked 65
UNC Asheville 88 - Unranked 58		UNC Asheville 117 - Unranked 54
UNC Wilmington 92 - Unranked 51		UNC Wilmington 116 - Unranked 80
Utah State 81 - Southern Utah 68	0.834	Utah State 93 - Southern Utah 84	4
Valparaiso 70 - Green Bay 62	0.708	Valparaiso 64 - Green Bay 59	3
Vanderbilt 72 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.512	Vanderbilt 74 - UNC Greensboro 70	-3
Virginia 85 - North Carolina AT 52	0.987	Virginia 80 - North Carolina AT 51	4
West Virginia 80 - Jacksonville State 65	0.846	West Virginia 70 - Jacksonville State 57	2
Wright State 70 - Toledo 84	0.821	Wright State 77 - Toledo 78	-13

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 80 - Unranked 60		Bethune Cookman 104 - Unranked 63
Boston College 71 - Richmond 74	0.596	Boston College 68 - Richmond 61	-10
Brigham Young 87 - Southeast Louisiana 62	0.961	Brigham Young 105 - Southeast Louisiana 48	-32
Buffalo 88 - Unranked 59		Buffalo 89 - Unranked 83
Charlotte 66 - Utah Valley 74	0.717	Charlotte 62 - Utah Valley 45	-25
Cleveland State 75 - Canisius 68	0.732	Cleveland State 71 - Canisius 61	-3
Columbia 82 - Unranked 61		Columbia 105 - Unranked 60
Dartmouth 82 - Unranked 59		Dartmouth 79 - Unranked 61
Delaware State 57 - Delaware 77	0.924	Delaware State 67 - Delaware 78	-9
Duquesne 73 - Princeton 74	0.529	Duquesne 67 - Princeton 70	2
East Carolina 80 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.897	East Carolina 81 - South Carolina Upstate 83	20
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Saint Peters 73	0.629	Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Saint Peters 70	-6
Fresno State 77 - Morgan State 62	0.835	Fresno State 87 - Morgan State 68	-4
George Mason 75 - Cornell 70	0.654	George Mason 90 - Cornell 83	-2
Houston Christian 75 - Florida International 77	0.573	Houston Christian 74 - Florida International 83	7
Illinois State 77 - Eastern Illinois 63	0.866	Illinois State 69 - Eastern Illinois 61	6
Kennesaw St 87 - Unranked 59		Kennesaw St 101 - Unranked 55
Louisville 80 - Coppin State 62	0.916	Louisville 61 - Coppin State 41	-2
Loyola MD 73 - Binghamton 70	0.58	Loyola MD 57 - Binghamton 63	9
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Longwood 71	0.639	Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Longwood 80	14
Nebraska 79 - Stony Brook 64	0.872	Nebraska 84 - Stony Brook 63	-6
Nevada 82 - Pacific 67	0.881	Nevada 88 - Pacific 41	-32
Nicholls State 77 - Denver 68	0.734	Nicholls State 85 - Denver 91	15
Ohio State 78 - Merrimack 62	0.919	Ohio State 76 - Merrimack 52	-8
Portland 82 - Tennessee State 65	0.879	Portland 65 - Tennessee State 75	27
Rutgers 77 - Georgetown 64	0.85	Rutgers 71 - Georgetown 60	2
SE Missouri State 71 - Evansville 68	0.585	SE Missouri State 57 - Evansville 76	22
Seattle 77 - Northern Arizona 61	0.863	Seattle 60 - Northern Arizona 62	18
Seton Hall 83 - Albany 56	0.96	Seton Hall 96 - Albany 71	2
South Florida 82 - Central Michigan 59	0.94	South Florida 63 - Central Michigan 68	28
Southern Miss 86 - Unranked 55		Southern Miss 76 - Unranked 45
Texas 86 - Rice 62	0.942	Texas 80 - Rice 64	8
Texas AM Commerce 83 - Unranked 59		Texas AM Commerce 113 - Unranked 63
UCLA 90 - LIU Brooklyn 52	0.997	UCLA 78 - LIU Brooklyn 58	18
UL Lafayette 91 - Unranked 53		UL Lafayette 107 - Unranked 56
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Radford 64	0.721	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Radford 50	-15
Virginia Tech 79 - Campbell 64	0.879	Virginia Tech 60 - Campbell 44	-1

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Lindenwood 60	0.854	Air Force 76 - Lindenwood 58	-4
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Alcorn State 62	0.955	Alabama Birmingham 80 - Alcorn State 77	18
American 70 - NJ Tech 66	0.639	American 87 - NJ Tech 73	-10
Arizona State 72 - UMass Lowell 68	0.6	Arizona State 71 - UMass Lowell 69	2
Boston 67 - Bryant 70	0.6	Boston 95 - Bryant 79	-19
Brown 86 - Unranked 57		Brown 92 - Unranked 51
Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 55		Cal State Bakersfield 77 - Unranked 44
California 69 - Montana State 72	0.623	California 60 - Montana State 63	0
Central Florida 78 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.853	Central Florida 72 - Cal State Fullerton 44	-15
Coastal Carolina 61 - Wichita State 79	0.9	Coastal Carolina 77 - Wichita State 86	-9
Hawaii 74 - Niagara 59	0.873	Hawaii 92 - Niagara 73	-4
Idaho State 82 - Unranked 57		Idaho State 85 - Unranked 51
Indiana 82 - Wright State 67	0.821	Indiana 89 - Wright State 80	6
Lehigh 87 - Unranked 58		Lehigh 90 - Unranked 65
Liberty 70 - Furman 72	0.559	Liberty 88 - Furman 74	-16
Louisiana State 68 - Dayton 73	0.657	Louisiana State 67 - Dayton 70	-2
Manhattan 86 - Unranked 57		Manhattan 79 - Unranked 67
Minnesota 72 - Missouri 73	0.524	Minnesota 68 - Missouri 70	1
Montana 73 - North Dakota State 66	0.725	Montana 69 - North Dakota State 78	16
New Mexico 76 - Texas Arlington 70	0.674	New Mexico 82 - Texas Arlington 80	4
North Dakota 85 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 93 - Unranked 63
North Florida 71 - Presbyterian 68	0.591	North Florida 69 - Presbyterian 81	15
North Texas 74 - Saint Johns 73	0.532	North Texas 52 - Saint Johns 53	2
Northwestern State 74 - Maine 65	0.773	Northwestern State 65 - Maine 78	22
Notre Dame 66 - Auburn 80	0.855	Notre Dame 59 - Auburn 83	10
Oklahoma State 75 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.73	Oklahoma State 64 - Saint Bonaventure 66	11
Omaha 67 - William and Mary 72	0.654	Omaha 89 - William and Mary 83	-11
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Denver 73	0.56	SIU Edwardsville 77 - Denver 74	-5
South Alabama 70 - Nicholls State 64	0.663	South Alabama 97 - Nicholls State 102	11
Southern Illinois 77 - Chicago State 55	0.93	Southern Illinois 71 - Chicago State 55	6
Tennessee Tech 84 - Unranked 60		Tennessee Tech 82 - Unranked 70
Texas Tech 79 - Texas AM CC 60	0.927	Texas Tech 73 - Texas AM CC 64	10
The Citadel 86 - Unranked 57		The Citadel 77 - Unranked 59
Towson 56 - Houston 80	0.958	Towson 49 - Houston 65	-8
Tulsa 76 - Jackson State 63	0.841	Tulsa 72 - Jackson State 52	-7
UL Monroe 65 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.703	UL Monroe 63 - Louisiana Tech 73	3
Vermont 71 - College of Charleston 68	0.566	Vermont 73 - College of Charleston 64	-6
Virginia 84 - Texas Southern 52	0.982	Virginia 62 - Texas Southern 33	3
Wake Forest 72 - Utah 80	0.726	Wake Forest 70 - Utah 77	-1
Wyoming 68 - Saint Louis 75	0.716	Wyoming 69 - Saint Louis 79	3

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - William and Mary 68	0.503	Air Force 80 - William and Mary 71	-8
Alabama 86 - Mercer 61	0.946	Alabama 98 - Mercer 67	-6
Arizona 89 - Belmont 65	0.935	Arizona 100 - Belmont 68	-8
Arkansas 80 - UNC Greensboro 66	0.864	Arkansas 72 - UNC Greensboro 78	20
Army 65 - Quinnipiac 72	0.692	Army 58 - Quinnipiac 67	2
Auburn 78 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.821	Auburn 77 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-5
Bowling Green 75 - Bellarmine 66	0.707	Bowling Green 67 - Bellarmine 85	27
Cal Baptist 70 - Portland State 69	0.545	Cal Baptist 63 - Portland State 66	4
Cal Poly 63 - Saint Thomas 71	0.729	Cal Poly 61 - Saint Thomas 60	-9
Cal State Northridge 85 - Unranked 59		Cal State Northridge 98 - Unranked 67
Coastal Carolina 62 - Furman 81	0.881	Coastal Carolina 80 - Furman 89	-10
Colorado State 80 - UMKC 59	0.896	Colorado State 84 - UMKC 61	-2
Dayton 73 - Saint Johns 72	0.523	Dayton 88 - Saint Johns 81	-6
Drexel 75 - Fairfield 63	0.832	Drexel 65 - Fairfield 47	-6
Duke 87 - Bucknell 56	0.982	Duke 90 - Bucknell 60	1
Duquesne 80 - Rider 65	0.85	Duquesne 77 - Rider 58	-4
East Tennessee State 61 - Davidson 77	0.89	East Tennessee State 70 - Davidson 68	-18
Eastern Kentucky 80 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.777	Eastern Kentucky 74 - Tennessee Martin 80	17
Florida 76 - Florida State 73	0.592	Florida 89 - Florida State 68	-18
Florida Gulf Coast 66 - Missouri State 71	0.673	Florida Gulf Coast 61 - Missouri State 70	4
Fordham 70 - Norfolk State 66	0.618	Fordham 77 - Norfolk State 64	-9
Georgia 70 - Miami 82	0.841	Georgia 68 - Miami 79	-1
Georgia State 72 - Northern Illinois 71	0.502	Georgia State 64 - Northern Illinois 70	7
Grand Canyon 74 - San Francisco 72	0.553	Grand Canyon 76 - San Francisco 72	-2
Idaho 82 - Unranked 62		Idaho 96 - Unranked 52
Illinois 81 - Valparaiso 55	0.952	Illinois 87 - Valparaiso 64	3
Iowa 91 - Arkansas State 63	0.961	Iowa 88 - Arkansas State 74	14
IPFW 78 - Northern Arizona 66	0.779	IPFW 77 - Northern Arizona 67	2
IUPUI 68 - Elon 69	0.525	IUPUI 72 - Elon 86	13
James Madison 78 - Radford 68	0.798	James Madison 76 - Radford 73	7
Kent State 83 - Hampton 63	0.935	Kent State 100 - Hampton 62	-18
Kentucky 83 - Stonehill 56	0.94	Kentucky 101 - Stonehill 67	-7
Liberty 69 - Wichita State 70	0.528	Liberty 83 - Wichita State 66	-18
Lindenwood 64 - Omaha 73	0.739	Lindenwood 72 - Omaha 70	-11
Louisiana State 68 - North Texas 74	0.671	Louisiana State 66 - North Texas 62	-10
Maine 62 - Presbyterian 72	0.738	Maine 80 - Presbyterian 66	-24
Massachusetts 72 - Harvard 70	0.573	Massachusetts 75 - Harvard 78	5
Memphis 86 - Alabama State 53	0.984	Memphis 92 - Alabama State 75	16
Miami OH 72 - Coppin State 65	0.699	Miami OH 76 - Coppin State 48	-21
Michigan 85 - Long Beach State 66	0.915	Michigan 86 - Long Beach State 94	27
Michigan State 70 - Butler 69	0.528	Michigan State 74 - Butler 54	-19
Milwaukee 88 - Unranked 58		Milwaukee 85 - Unranked 56
Mississippi 72 - Sam Houston State 67	0.644	Mississippi 70 - Sam Houston State 67	2
NC State 87 - Charleston Southern 56	0.964	NC State 87 - Charleston Southern 53	-3
Nicholls State 74 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.799	Nicholls State 51 - SIU Edwardsville 60	19
North Carolina 84 - UC Riverside 61	0.961	North Carolina 77 - UC Riverside 52	-2
North Florida 73 - Northwestern State 70	0.594	North Florida 80 - Northwestern State 74	-3
Notre Dame 66 - Oklahoma State 76	0.77	Notre Dame 66 - Oklahoma State 64	-12
Oklahoma 84 - Texas Pan American 60	0.936	Oklahoma 90 - Texas Pan American 66	0
Oregon 88 - Tennessee State 58	0.961	Oregon 92 - Tennessee State 67	5
Penn State 79 - Morehead State 62	0.923	Penn State 74 - Morehead State 51	-6
Pepperdine 74 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.542	Pepperdine 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 82	16
Pittsburgh 81 - Jacksonville 57	0.947	Pittsburgh 107 - Jacksonville 56	-27
Providence 74 - Kansas State 71	0.587	Providence 70 - Kansas State 73	6
Saint Josephs 80 - Texas AM Commerce 61	0.923	Saint Josephs 54 - Texas AM Commerce 57	22
Saint Louis 69 - Vermont 71	0.533	Saint Louis 68 - Vermont 78	8
Saint Marys 67 - San Diego State 68	0.528	Saint Marys 54 - San Diego State 79	24
Samford 79 - South Carolina State 62	0.846	Samford 89 - South Carolina State 72	0
San Diego 80 - Le Moyne 57	0.93	San Diego 80 - Le Moyne 71	14
San Jose State 68 - Abilene Christian 71	0.6	San Jose State 71 - Abilene Christian 77	3
South Alabama 77 - Denver 63	0.836	South Alabama 82 - Denver 75	7
South Carolina 78 - DePaul 67	0.793	South Carolina 73 - DePaul 68	6
Stanford 82 - Eastern Washington 69	0.841	Stanford 95 - Eastern Washington 70	-12
Texas AM 80 - Oral Roberts 65	0.855	Texas AM 74 - Oral Roberts 66	7
Texas Christian 93 - Mississippi Valley State 51	0.994	Texas Christian 86 - Mississippi Valley State 52	8
Texas El Paso 73 - Austin Peay 61	0.82	Texas El Paso 71 - Austin Peay 63	4
Texas State 73 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.714	Texas State 72 - Texas San Antonio 62	-3
Tulane 83 - Sacramento State 64	0.938	Tulane 92 - Sacramento State 57	-16
UC Irvine 92 - Unranked 55		UC Irvine 111 - Unranked 51
UMBC 74 - Sacred Heart 72	0.571	UMBC 85 - Sacred Heart 80	-3
Utah 65 - Houston 78	0.803	Utah 66 - Houston 76	-3
Vanderbilt 81 - Central Arkansas 60	0.922	Vanderbilt 75 - Central Arkansas 71	17
Villanova 73 - Maryland 69	0.623	Villanova 57 - Maryland 40	-13
Virginia Military Institute 69 - South Dakota 75	0.654	Virginia Military Institute 81 - South Dakota 85	-2
Wake Forest 74 - Towson 71	0.633	Wake Forest 71 - Towson 61	-7
Washington 72 - Xavier 78	0.685	Washington 74 - Xavier 71	-9
Weber State 74 - Gardner Webb 65	0.732	Weber State 61 - Gardner Webb 62	10
Western Illinois 65 - Southern 76	0.741	Western Illinois 88 - Southern 80	-19
Winthrop 75 - Holy Cross 66	0.777	Winthrop 89 - Holy Cross 51	-29
Wisconsin 81 - Robert Morris 62	0.937	Wisconsin 78 - Robert Morris 68	9
Wyoming 68 - College of Charleston 74	0.678	Wyoming 67 - College of Charleston 60	-13
Yale 75 - Colgate 69	0.671	Yale 68 - Colgate 50	-12
Youngstown State 72 - Utah Tech 71	0.503	Youngstown State 75 - Utah Tech 68	-6

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Northern Illinois 76	0.721	Arkansas Little Rock 93 - Northern Illinois 98	-2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Incarnate Word 71	0.548	Arkansas Pine Bluff 81 - Incarnate Word 100	20
Binghamton 65 - Marist 69	0.613	Binghamton 82 - Marist 59	-27
Boston College 73 - Harvard 69	0.613	Boston College 73 - Harvard 64	-5
Brigham Young 91 - Morgan State 58	0.959	Brigham Young 93 - Morgan State 50	-10
Cal Baptist 73 - Saint Thomas 62	0.806	Cal Baptist 66 - Saint Thomas 62	7
Cal Poly 60 - Portland State 78	0.909	Cal Poly 57 - Portland State 73	-2
Colgate 73 - Gardner Webb 68	0.688	Colgate 59 - Gardner Webb 52	-2
Creighton 88 - Texas Southern 57	0.968	Creighton 82 - Texas Southern 50	-1
Eastern Illinois 70 - Coppin State 69	0.538	Eastern Illinois 48 - Coppin State 46	-1
Eastern Michigan 65 - Cleveland State 75	0.763	Eastern Michigan 69 - Cleveland State 62	-17
Evansville 64 - Ball State 75	0.765	Evansville 74 - Ball State 50	-35
Fairfield 72 - Queens 71	0.55	Fairfield 63 - Queens 69	7
Fairleigh Dickinson 89 - Unranked 61		Fairleigh Dickinson 124 - Unranked 66
Florida Atlantic 81 - Bryant 61	0.944	Florida Atlantic 52 - Bryant 61	29
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Hampton 66	0.729	Florida Gulf Coast 85 - Hampton 92	15
George Washington 80 - New Hampshire 64	0.829	George Washington 79 - New Hampshire 67	4
Georgetown 73 - Mt St Marys 66	0.701	Georgetown 83 - Mt St Marys 72	-4
Holy Cross 69 - Elon 68	0.512	Holy Cross 69 - Elon 83	15
IPFW 75 - South Dakota 71	0.604	IPFW 93 - South Dakota 81	-8
La Salle 80 - Southern Indiana 60	0.928	La Salle 79 - Southern Indiana 78	19
Lipscomb 75 - Alabama AM 62	0.842	Lipscomb 106 - Alabama AM 81	-12
Longwood 71 - North Carolina Central 65	0.682	Longwood 73 - North Carolina Central 66	-1
Loyola Ill 79 - New Orleans 65	0.842	Loyola Ill 73 - New Orleans 70	11
Loyola MD 74 - Sacred Heart 71	0.599	Loyola MD 51 - Sacred Heart 66	18
Maryland Eastern Shore 64 - Pennsylvania 74	0.814	Maryland Eastern Shore 83 - Pennsylvania 80	-13
Middle Tennessee 92 - Unranked 51		Middle Tennessee 88 - Unranked 62
Minnesota 79 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.885	Minnesota 67 - South Carolina Upstate 53	2
Monmouth 66 - Princeton 77	0.758	Monmouth 57 - Princeton 82	14
Nebraska 76 - Oregon State 69	0.701	Nebraska 84 - Oregon State 63	-14
Nevada 79 - Portland 70	0.782	Nevada 108 - Portland 83	-16
New Mexico State 72 - Northern Colorado 75	0.566	New Mexico State 76 - Northern Colorado 71	-8
North Alabama 71 - Jacksonville State 68	0.579	North Alabama 61 - Jacksonville State 59	1
North Florida 76 - Maine 63	0.83	North Florida 67 - Maine 58	4
Northern Arizona 70 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.522	Northern Arizona 78 - Virginia Military Institute 69	-10
Northwestern 77 - Rhode Island 67	0.815	Northwestern 72 - Rhode Island 61	-1
Ohio 79 - Detroit 65	0.797	Ohio 71 - Detroit 52	-5
Pacific 78 - Lamar 64	0.863	Pacific 77 - Lamar 76	13
Presbyterian 68 - Northwestern State 69	0.51	Presbyterian 78 - Northwestern State 75	-4
Rutgers 79 - Howard 63	0.903	Rutgers 85 - Howard 63	-6
San Jose State 69 - Norfolk State 66	0.601	San Jose State 77 - Norfolk State 53	-21
Santa Clara 83 - Southeast Louisiana 66	0.932	Santa Clara 65 - Southeast Louisiana 63	15
Seton Hall 77 - Wagner 54	0.942	Seton Hall 72 - Wagner 51	2
Temple 83 - Columbia 58	0.969	Temple 73 - Columbia 78	30
UC San Diego 71 - Navy 64	0.721	UC San Diego 73 - Navy 55	-11
UNC Asheville 88 - Unranked 58		UNC Asheville 114 - Unranked 59
Utah Tech 87 - Unranked 57		Utah Tech 81 - Unranked 69
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Seattle 67	0.622	Virginia Commonwealth 60 - Seattle 56	1
Washington State 68 - Mississippi State 73	0.688	Washington State 64 - Mississippi State 76	7
Western Carolina 73 - Mcneese State 68	0.609	Western Carolina 76 - Mcneese State 74	3
Western Kentucky 90 - Unranked 55		Western Kentucky 95 - Unranked 75
Winthrop 75 - IUPUI 65	0.781	Winthrop 74 - IUPUI 61	-3
Yale 72 - Weber State 71	0.542	Yale 65 - Weber State 75	11

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Fordham 68	0.586	Abilene Christian 59 - Fordham 45	-11
Air Force 70 - Omaha 65	0.68	Air Force 58 - Omaha 56	3
Akron 82 - Florida International 62	0.925	Akron 77 - Florida International 71	14
Arizona 86 - Texas Arlington 61	0.942	Arizona 101 - Texas Arlington 56	-20
Cal Baptist 77 - Cal Poly 58	0.908	Cal Baptist 67 - Cal Poly 58	10
Central Connecticut State 65 - Manhattan 71	0.705	Central Connecticut State 63 - Manhattan 67	-2
Central Florida 76 - South Dakota State 68	0.736	Central Florida 83 - South Dakota State 80	5
Charlotte 64 - George Mason 71	0.717	Charlotte 54 - George Mason 49	-12
Chattanooga 78 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.904	Chattanooga 68 - Tennessee Tech 63	12
Cincinnati 79 - Northern Kentucky 62	0.899	Cincinnati 90 - Northern Kentucky 66	-7
Clemson 73 - Boise State 70	0.58	Clemson 85 - Boise State 68	-14
Coastal Carolina 64 - College of Charleston 77	0.794	Coastal Carolina 72 - College of Charleston 80	-5
Cornell 77 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.733	Cornell 88 - Cal State Fullerton 70	-11
DePaul 67 - San Francisco 79	0.857	DePaul 54 - San Francisco 70	4
Drake 80 - Oakland 64	0.891	Drake 85 - Oakland 77	8
Drexel 77 - Queens 64	0.851	Drexel 62 - Queens 52	3
East Carolina 76 - Northeastern 65	0.802	East Carolina 76 - Northeastern 82	17
Furman 79 - Wyoming 66	0.819	Furman 71 - Wyoming 78	20
Gardner Webb 66 - Yale 77	0.828	Gardner Webb 70 - Yale 71	-10
Georgetown 76 - American 63	0.824	Georgetown 88 - American 83	8
Georgia State 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 68	0.735	Georgia State 88 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	-4
Houston 77 - Dayton 60	0.896	Houston 69 - Dayton 55	3
Illinois 80 - Southern 63	0.86	Illinois 88 - Southern 60	-11
Illinois Chicago 86 - Unranked 55		Illinois Chicago 99 - Unranked 48
Indiana 68 - Connecticut 80	0.816	Indiana 57 - Connecticut 77	8
Iowa State 83 - Grambling State 60	0.942	Iowa State 92 - Grambling State 37	-32
IUPUI 67 - Holy Cross 68	0.536	IUPUI 61 - Holy Cross 74	12
Kansas State 72 - Miami 81	0.748	Kansas State 83 - Miami 91	-1
Kennesaw St 71 - Georgia Southern 67	0.609	Kennesaw St 96 - Georgia Southern 92	0
Lafayette 82 - Unranked 58		Lafayette 69 - Unranked 53
Liberty 69 - Vermont 66	0.575	Liberty 71 - Vermont 61	-7
Louisville 64 - Texas 82	0.917	Louisville 80 - Texas 81	-17
Loyola Marymount 74 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.581	Loyola Marymount 76 - Stephen F Austin 86	13
Miami OH 72 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.672	Miami OH 76 - Eastern Illinois 64	-6
Michigan State 80 - Alcorn State 58	0.953	Michigan State 81 - Alcorn State 49	-10
Missouri 81 - Jackson State 61	0.917	Missouri 72 - Jackson State 73	21
Missouri State 69 - Kent State 75	0.698	Missouri State 56 - Kent State 52	-10
Northwestern 69 - Mississippi State 73	0.633	Northwestern 57 - Mississippi State 66	5
Ohio State 85 - Western Michigan 59	0.965	Ohio State 73 - Western Michigan 56	9
Portland State 74 - Saint Thomas 64	0.798	Portland State 70 - Saint Thomas 76	16
Providence 75 - Georgia 69	0.694	Providence 71 - Georgia 64	-1
Quinnipiac 75 - Albany 66	0.767	Quinnipiac 85 - Albany 82	6
Rhode Island 68 - Washington State 76	0.769	Rhode Island 57 - Washington State 78	13
South Alabama 74 - SIU Edwardsville 58	0.885	South Alabama 86 - SIU Edwardsville 74	4
South Carolina 72 - Grand Canyon 73	0.52	South Carolina 75 - Grand Canyon 68	-8
South Florida 75 - Northern Iowa 69	0.691	South Florida 74 - Northern Iowa 65	-3
Southern California 84 - Brown 58	0.971	Southern California 81 - Brown 70	15
Southern Miss 63 - Utah Valley 78	0.832	Southern Miss 65 - Utah Valley 67	-13
Tennessee Martin 71 - Prairie View 72	0.525	Tennessee Martin 66 - Prairie View 78	11
Towson 64 - North Texas 72	0.752	Towson 39 - North Texas 65	18
UC Santa Barbara 81 - Le Moyne 57	0.941	UC Santa Barbara 96 - Le Moyne 72	0
UMBC 73 - Loyola MD 72	0.536	UMBC 94 - Loyola MD 79	-14
Utah 79 - Saint Johns 73	0.65	Utah 82 - Saint Johns 91	15
Utah State 79 - Marshall 69	0.782	Utah State 83 - Marshall 60	-13
Virginia Tech 80 - Wofford 67	0.834	Virginia Tech 98 - Wofford 76	-9
Wake Forest 76 - Louisiana State 75	0.554	Wake Forest 80 - Louisiana State 86	7
Washington 68 - San Diego State 76	0.731	Washington 97 - San Diego State 100	-5
Weber State 72 - Colgate 68	0.596	Weber State 55 - Colgate 57	6
Wichita State 74 - Saint Louis 70	0.642	Wichita State 88 - Saint Louis 69	-15
William and Mary 77 - Lindenwood 63	0.825	William and Mary 60 - Lindenwood 71	25
Winthrop 76 - Elon 66	0.782	Winthrop 78 - Elon 70	2
Xavier 70 - Saint Marys 71	0.517	Xavier 66 - Saint Marys 49	-18
Youngstown State 87 - Unranked 57		Youngstown State 79 - Unranked 57

Number of DI Games: 333
Number Correct: 249 = 74.7%
Expected Number Correct: 252.804 = 75.9%
Average Error: 10.12
Average Signed Error: -0.4

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 69 - Utah State 74	0.657	Akron 62 - Utah State 65	-2
Austin Peay 62 - Tarleton State 73	0.772	Austin Peay 59 - Tarleton State 66	-4
Bellarmine 69 - Morehead State 70	0.511	Bellarmine 51 - Morehead State 64	12
Bethune Cookman 69 - Charleston Southern 68	0.521	Bethune Cookman 79 - Charleston Southern 73	-5
Bryant 75 - Howard 71	0.603	Bryant 67 - Howard 61	-2
Bucknell 71 - Southern Indiana 69	0.573	Bucknell 67 - Southern Indiana 56	-9
Buffalo 65 - Hofstra 77	0.802	Buffalo 68 - Hofstra 102	22
Cal State Fullerton 66 - Southern Miss 68	0.551	Cal State Fullerton 74 - Southern Miss 67	-9
California 68 - Texas El Paso 73	0.654	California 72 - Texas El Paso 75	-2
Campbell 66 - North Carolina Central 63	0.61	Campbell 75 - North Carolina Central 78	6
Canisius 88 - Unranked 57		Canisius 109 - Unranked 69
Central Florida 68 - Charlotte 67	0.514	Central Florida 74 - Charlotte 71	-2
Central Michigan 69 - Siena 65	0.599	Central Michigan 70 - Siena 56	-10
Cornell 76 - Utah Valley 77	0.531	Cornell 74 - Utah Valley 61	-14
East Carolina 79 - Georgia Southern 67	0.801	East Carolina 82 - Georgia Southern 64	-6
Florida AM 57 - Oregon 85	0.97	Florida AM 54 - Oregon 67	-15
Florida Gulf Coast 71 - Norfolk State 70	0.521	Florida Gulf Coast 66 - Norfolk State 69	4
Florida International 72 - Marshall 75	0.589	Florida International 69 - Marshall 80	8
Gonzaga 76 - Purdue 78	0.557	Gonzaga 63 - Purdue 73	8
Hampton 64 - San Jose State 79	0.854	Hampton 52 - San Jose State 71	4
High Point 66 - Iona 81	0.874	High Point 82 - Iona 68	-29
Houston Christian 74 - Texas San Antonio 75	0.537	Houston Christian 87 - Texas San Antonio 89	1
Idaho State 67 - The Citadel 69	0.561	Idaho State 61 - The Citadel 62	-1
Illinois State 69 - Long Beach State 79	0.779	Illinois State 61 - Long Beach State 52	-19
Kent State 74 - Fordham 65	0.762	Kent State 79 - Fordham 72	2
Kentucky 82 - Saint Josephs 67	0.835	Kentucky 96 - Saint Josephs 88	7
Louisville 67 - Indiana 73	0.672	Louisville 66 - Indiana 74	2
Loyola Marymount 74 - Oakland 73	0.552	Loyola Marymount 69 - Oakland 74	6
Marquette 76 - UCLA 69	0.686	Marquette 71 - UCLA 69	5
Milwaukee 74 - Stetson 72	0.562	Milwaukee 67 - Stetson 85	20
Missouri State 70 - Abilene Christian 67	0.608	Missouri State 87 - Abilene Christian 69	-15
Montana State 78 - Green Bay 57	0.966	Montana State 53 - Green Bay 54	22
Murray State 68 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.711	Murray State 81 - UNC Wilmington 83	-6
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Florida State 74	0.558	Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Florida State 83	6
NJ Tech 67 - Delaware State 68	0.508	NJ Tech 81 - Delaware State 72	-10
North Dakota State 89 - Unranked 55		North Dakota State 101 - Unranked 72
Northeastern 74 - Kennesaw St 70	0.623	Northeastern 77 - Kennesaw St 79	6
Oklahoma State 80 - New Orleans 64	0.878	Oklahoma State 96 - New Orleans 68	-12
Pacific 72 - North Dakota 68	0.594	Pacific 71 - North Dakota 73	6
Richmond 70 - Colorado 78	0.717	Richmond 59 - Colorado 64	-3
Sacramento State 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.557	Sacramento State 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 75	6
Saint Francis Penn 82 - Unranked 60		Saint Francis Penn 77 - Unranked 63
Saint Peters 64 - UMass Lowell 72	0.732	Saint Peters 61 - UMass Lowell 69	0
San Diego 72 - Navy 62	0.776	San Diego 67 - Navy 59	2
Santa Clara 85 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.965	Santa Clara 81 - Mississippi Valley State 39	-13
SE Missouri State 74 - Central Arkansas 69	0.667	SE Missouri State 70 - Central Arkansas 68	3
South Dakota State 68 - George Mason 77	0.768	South Dakota State 71 - George Mason 73	-7
Southern Methodist 71 - West Virginia 72	0.54	Southern Methodist 70 - West Virginia 58	-13
Stephen F Austin 69 - Drake 76	0.691	Stephen F Austin 92 - Drake 68	-31
Stony Brook 69 - Rider 70	0.537	Stony Brook 55 - Rider 48	-8
Syracuse 68 - Tennessee 77	0.756	Syracuse 56 - Tennessee 73	8
Tennessee State 90 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 87 - Unranked 70
Texas 71 - Connecticut 77	0.671	Texas 71 - Connecticut 81	4
Texas AM Commerce 73 - Stonehill 63	0.723	Texas AM Commerce 97 - Stonehill 86	-1
Texas Pan American 85 - Unranked 62		Texas Pan American 92 - Unranked 73
Troy 69 - Sam Houston State 73	0.603	Troy 86 - Sam Houston State 88	-2
Tulane 71 - Bradley 76	0.639	Tulane 77 - Bradley 80	-2
Tulsa 79 - South Carolina State 58	0.897	Tulsa 90 - South Carolina State 70	1
UL Monroe 84 - Unranked 58		UL Monroe 103 - Unranked 74
Unranked 49 - Kansas 104		Unranked 56 - Kansas 83
Virginia 75 - Wisconsin 65	0.816	Virginia 41 - Wisconsin 65	34
Wright State 69 - UL Lafayette 76	0.697	Wright State 91 - UL Lafayette 85	-13

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 69 - Drake 74	0.655	Akron 59 - Drake 79	15
Appalachian State 62 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.878	Appalachian State 86 - UNC Wilmington 56	-45
Army 64 - Albany 72	0.71	Army 59 - Albany 62	-5
Auburn 92 - Alabama AM 57	0.993	Auburn 84 - Alabama AM 54	5
Ball State 71 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.64	Ball State 75 - South Carolina Upstate 58	-12
Bellarmine 88 - Unranked 56		Bellarmine 77 - Unranked 56
Buffalo 65 - UL Lafayette 76	0.816	Buffalo 60 - UL Lafayette 68	-3
Cal State Northridge 77 - Le Moyne 62	0.873	Cal State Northridge 70 - Le Moyne 80	25
Campbell 66 - Idaho State 62	0.64	Campbell 55 - Idaho State 69	18
Colorado 80 - Florida State 72	0.692	Colorado 71 - Florida State 77	14
Columbia 77 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.823	Columbia 77 - LIU Brooklyn 67	2
Davidson 77 - Boston 63	0.824	Davidson 69 - Boston 45	-10
Detroit 70 - Eastern Michigan 68	0.545	Detroit 72 - Eastern Michigan 76	6
Duke 83 - La Salle 63	0.945	Duke 95 - La Salle 66	-9
East Carolina 77 - Kennesaw St 72	0.64	East Carolina 85 - Kennesaw St 84	4
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Prairie View 74	0.573	Eastern Kentucky 64 - Prairie View 76	9
Florida International 72 - Loyola Marymount 76	0.612	Florida International 60 - Loyola Marymount 61	-3
Gonzaga 84 - Syracuse 73	0.823	Gonzaga 76 - Syracuse 57	-8
Green Bay 60 - UC Riverside 72	0.834	Green Bay 68 - UC Riverside 74	-6
Hawaii 74 - Northern Arizona 64	0.783	Hawaii 70 - Northern Arizona 61	1
Hofstra 77 - Wright State 69	0.699	Hofstra 85 - Wright State 76	-1
Illinois State 76 - High Point 71	0.666	Illinois State 72 - High Point 74	7
Indiana State 80 - Rice 69	0.788	Indiana State 103 - Rice 88	-4
Long Beach State 75 - Iona 74	0.52	Long Beach State 80 - Iona 76	-3
Louisiana Tech 78 - Southern Utah 71	0.722	Louisiana Tech 67 - Southern Utah 53	-7
Marquette 75 - Kansas 79	0.635	Marquette 73 - Kansas 59	-18
Marshall 72 - Oakland 73	0.534	Marshall 71 - Oakland 78	6
Maryland 75 - UMBC 65	0.762	Maryland 92 - UMBC 68	-14
Mcneese State 71 - Texas State 66	0.627	Mcneese State 59 - Texas State 48	-6
Middle Tennessee 73 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.529	Middle Tennessee 57 - Alabama Birmingham 58	2
Milwaukee 76 - Siena 66	0.734	Milwaukee 61 - Siena 59	8
Minnesota 84 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.958	Minnesota 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	4
Monmouth 75 - Lehigh 69	0.672	Monmouth 88 - Lehigh 79	-3
New Hampshire 69 - Marist 63	0.652	New Hampshire 74 - Marist 71	3
New Mexico 75 - Toledo 81	0.649	New Mexico 92 - Toledo 84	-14
New Mexico State 67 - Fresno State 73	0.691	New Mexico State 76 - Fresno State 81	-1
Nicholls State 90 - Unranked 57		Nicholls State 86 - Unranked 56
Northeastern 75 - Georgia Southern 65	0.794	Northeastern 93 - Georgia Southern 76	-7
Northern Colorado 72 - Chicago State 65	0.704	Northern Colorado 78 - Chicago State 77	6
Oral Roberts 77 - Texas Southern 65	0.802	Oral Roberts 65 - Texas Southern 63	10
Purdue 74 - Tennessee 69	0.623	Purdue 71 - Tennessee 67	1
Radford 75 - Morgan State 62	0.843	Radford 82 - Morgan State 72	3
Richmond 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.552	Richmond 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	-15
Sacred Heart 68 - Binghamton 70	0.576	Sacred Heart 89 - Binghamton 75	-16
South Alabama 90 - Unranked 55		South Alabama 74 - Unranked 62
Southern Illinois 73 - James Madison 76	0.595	Southern Illinois 76 - James Madison 82	3
Stetson 71 - Central Michigan 67	0.593	Stetson 71 - Central Michigan 61	-6
Texas Christian 88 - Alcorn State 60	0.964	Texas Christian 93 - Alcorn State 74	9
The Citadel 69 - North Carolina Central 68	0.535	The Citadel 67 - North Carolina Central 61	-5
UC Irvine 77 - Pepperdine 68	0.728	UC Irvine 76 - Pepperdine 60	-7
UCLA 96 - Unranked 47		UCLA 76 - Unranked 48
Utah State 76 - Stephen F Austin 70	0.693	Utah State 79 - Stephen F Austin 49	-24
Valparaiso 71 - Western Illinois 69	0.56	Valparaiso 73 - Western Illinois 66	-5

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.849	Air Force 64 - Virginia Military Institute 54	1
American 71 - Mt St Marys 68	0.605	American 68 - Mt St Marys 65	0
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Georgia State 75	0.684	Arkansas Little Rock 90 - Georgia State 93	-2
Austin Peay 64 - Sacramento State 67	0.583	Austin Peay 74 - Sacramento State 71	-6
Buffalo 66 - Iona 77	0.796	Buffalo 64 - Iona 89	14
California 67 - Tulane 80	0.813	California 81 - Tulane 84	-10
Campbell 67 - The Citadel 65	0.564	Campbell 65 - The Citadel 58	-5
Chicago State 67 - Morgan State 69	0.56	Chicago State 84 - Morgan State 83	-3
Cincinnati 78 - Georgia Tech 67	0.829	Cincinnati 89 - Georgia Tech 54	-24
Cleveland State 73 - East Tennessee State 66	0.672	Cleveland State 72 - East Tennessee State 70	5
Colgate 68 - Harvard 70	0.572	Colgate 70 - Harvard 76	4
Colorado State 74 - Boston College 72	0.563	Colorado State 86 - Boston College 74	-10
Denver 90 - Unranked 61		Denver 100 - Unranked 68
Eastern Washington 90 - Unranked 60		Eastern Washington 97 - Unranked 46
Fresno State 72 - James Madison 79	0.736	Fresno State 64 - James Madison 95	24
Hofstra 80 - High Point 65	0.875	Hofstra 97 - High Point 92	10
Incarnate Word 68 - Jacksonville State 69	0.539	Incarnate Word 67 - Jacksonville State 66	-2
Kansas 75 - Tennessee 71	0.624	Kansas 69 - Tennessee 60	-5
Kansas State 87 - Central Arkansas 59	0.965	Kansas State 100 - Central Arkansas 56	-16
Louisiana Tech 75 - Mcneese State 70	0.636	Louisiana Tech 71 - Mcneese State 62	-4
Loyola Ill 63 - Creighton 84	0.951	Loyola Ill 65 - Creighton 88	2
Marquette 73 - Purdue 78	0.63	Marquette 75 - Purdue 78	-2
Massachusetts 82 - Central Connecticut State 60	0.961	Massachusetts 89 - Central Connecticut State 60	-7
Memphis 78 - Michigan 77	0.501	Memphis 71 - Michigan 67	-3
Merrimack 72 - North Carolina AT 66	0.71	Merrimack 96 - North Carolina AT 73	-17
Missouri 82 - South Carolina State 59	0.901	Missouri 82 - South Carolina State 59	0
Montana State 73 - UC Riverside 62	0.822	Montana State 69 - UC Riverside 68	10
Morehead State 89 - Unranked 55		Morehead State 94 - Unranked 53
Murray State 76 - Appalachian State 68	0.726	Murray State 57 - Appalachian State 67	18
Nebraska 76 - Duquesne 72	0.632	Nebraska 89 - Duquesne 79	-6
New Mexico State 64 - Southern Illinois 74	0.792	New Mexico State 54 - Southern Illinois 81	17
Northern Colorado 65 - Radford 73	0.736	Northern Colorado 68 - Radford 79	3
Northern Iowa 66 - North Carolina 84	0.951	Northern Iowa 69 - North Carolina 91	4
Northern Kentucky 72 - Texas AM CC 71	0.518	Northern Kentucky 88 - Texas AM CC 73	-14
Notre Dame 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0.82	Notre Dame 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-7
Old Dominion 62 - Princeton 80	0.915	Old Dominion 56 - Princeton 76	2
Omaha 85 - Unranked 59		Omaha 76 - Unranked 59
Oregon State 65 - Baylor 85	0.956	Oregon State 72 - Baylor 88	-4
Pepperdine 71 - Indiana State 79	0.711	Pepperdine 82 - Indiana State 90	0
Pittsburgh 78 - Florida 74	0.608	Pittsburgh 71 - Florida 86	19
Presbyterian 73 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.77	Presbyterian 75 - Tennessee Tech 79	14
Queens 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.553	Queens 97 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	-15
Rhode Island 91 - Unranked 57		Rhode Island 97 - Unranked 59
Rice 73 - New Mexico 81	0.703	Rice 56 - New Mexico 90	26
Saint Bonaventure 77 - Bucknell 61	0.904	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Bucknell 61	10
Saint Francis Penn 82 - Unranked 60		Saint Francis Penn 107 - Unranked 54
Sam Houston State 73 - Grambling State 63	0.772	Sam Houston State 86 - Grambling State 68	-8
Samford 77 - Alabama State 65	0.801	Samford 99 - Alabama State 67	-20
San Francisco 77 - IPFW 71	0.689	San Francisco 76 - IPFW 60	-10
Seattle 78 - Idaho 61	0.908	Seattle 92 - Idaho 55	-20
South Dakota 89 - Unranked 59		South Dakota 100 - Unranked 48
South Florida 73 - Maine 63	0.717	South Florida 59 - Maine 70	21
Southern Methodist 70 - Wisconsin 73	0.571	Southern Methodist 61 - Wisconsin 69	5
Southern Miss 70 - South Dakota State 72	0.553	Southern Miss 54 - South Dakota State 65	9
Stanford 73 - Arkansas 78	0.633	Stanford 74 - Arkansas 77	-2
Tarleton State 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.744	Tarleton State 59 - Cal State Bakersfield 40	-9
Temple 71 - Mississippi 70	0.523	Temple 76 - Mississippi 77	2
Tennessee Martin 72 - North Alabama 71	0.513	Tennessee Martin 105 - North Alabama 103	-1
Texas Arlington 78 - Alcorn State 67	0.793	Texas Arlington 82 - Alcorn State 69	-2
Texas El Paso 65 - Bradley 78	0.838	Texas El Paso 59 - Bradley 63	-9
Texas State 69 - Southern Utah 72	0.58	Texas State 67 - Southern Utah 74	4
Texas Tech 72 - Villanova 66	0.681	Texas Tech 69 - Villanova 85	22
Toledo 75 - UC Irvine 72	0.573	Toledo 71 - UC Irvine 77	9
UC Santa Barbara 91 - Unranked 58		UC Santa Barbara 91 - Unranked 79
UCLA 70 - Gonzaga 78	0.723	UCLA 65 - Gonzaga 69	-4
UL Lafayette 73 - Long Beach State 74	0.533	UL Lafayette 92 - Long Beach State 82	-11
Unranked 54 - Syracuse 98		Unranked 56 - Syracuse 105
Vermont 96 - Unranked 48		Vermont 106 - Unranked 57
West Virginia 64 - Virginia 75	0.768	West Virginia 54 - Virginia 56	-9
Wright State 75 - Illinois State 72	0.59	Wright State 74 - Illinois State 49	-22

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 79 - Michigan State 69	0.761	Arizona 74 - Michigan State 68	4
Arizona State 68 - Brigham Young 78	0.732	Arizona State 49 - Brigham Young 77	18
Arkansas 74 - Memphis 77	0.585	Arkansas 79 - Memphis 84	2
Butler 71 - Florida Atlantic 70	0.537	Butler 86 - Florida Atlantic 91	6
Creighton 80 - Colorado State 71	0.764	Creighton 48 - Colorado State 69	30
Iowa 75 - Oklahoma 76	0.51	Iowa 67 - Oklahoma 79	11
Loyola Ill 66 - Boston College 75	0.798	Loyola Ill 71 - Boston College 68	-12
Southern California 70 - Seton Hall 72	0.55	Southern California 71 - Seton Hall 63	-10
Stanford 73 - Michigan 81	0.688	Stanford 78 - Michigan 83	-3
Texas AM 74 - Penn State 69	0.657	Texas AM 89 - Penn State 77	-7
Texas Tech 81 - Northern Iowa 62	0.941	Texas Tech 72 - Northern Iowa 70	17
Vanderbilt 67 - NC State 77	0.753	Vanderbilt 78 - NC State 84	-4
Villanova 69 - North Carolina 75	0.675	Villanova 83 - North Carolina 81	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 67 - Iowa State 75	0.69	Virginia Commonwealth 64 - Iowa State 68	-4
Virginia Tech 72 - Boise State 73	0.503	Virginia Tech 82 - Boise State 75	-8

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 73 - Vanderbilt 67	0.658	Arizona State 82 - Vanderbilt 67	-9
Arkansas 74 - North Carolina 78	0.645	Arkansas 72 - North Carolina 87	11
Ball State 79 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.835	Ball State 92 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	-3
Belmont 75 - Monmouth 72	0.559	Belmont 84 - Monmouth 93	12
Boise State 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.508	Boise State 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 61	-3
Bowling Green 66 - Western Kentucky 77	0.767	Bowling Green 65 - Western Kentucky 72	-4
Brigham Young 78 - NC State 71	0.658	Brigham Young 95 - NC State 86	-2
Butler 69 - Penn State 73	0.589	Butler 88 - Penn State 78	-14
Cal State Northridge 75 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.868	Cal State Northridge 84 - Mississippi Valley State 48	-23
Chattanooga 71 - Evansville 66	0.629	Chattanooga 77 - Evansville 85	13
Clemson 89 - Alcorn State 58	0.961	Clemson 90 - Alcorn State 69	10
Connecticut 85 - Manhattan 58	0.977	Connecticut 90 - Manhattan 60	-3
Dayton 79 - Youngstown State 62	0.921	Dayton 77 - Youngstown State 69	9
Delaware 77 - Brown 65	0.832	Delaware 67 - Brown 59	4
Duke 89 - Southern Indiana 56	0.986	Duke 80 - Southern Indiana 62	15
East Tennessee State 76 - Alabama AM 65	0.795	East Tennessee State 82 - Alabama AM 71	0
Fairfield 64 - New Hampshire 73	0.788	Fairfield 80 - New Hampshire 83	-6
Florida 73 - Baylor 81	0.731	Florida 91 - Baylor 95	-4
Florida Atlantic 66 - Texas AM 76	0.724	Florida Atlantic 96 - Texas AM 89	-17
George Washington 75 - Ohio 71	0.595	George Washington 99 - Ohio 94	-1
Georgia 73 - Winthrop 68	0.679	Georgia 78 - Winthrop 69	-4
Hawaii 78 - Texas Pan American 64	0.857	Hawaii 76 - Texas Pan American 57	-5
Houston 84 - Montana 56	0.96	Houston 79 - Montana 44	-7
Idaho 63 - UC San Diego 77	0.88	Idaho 73 - UC San Diego 70	-17
Illinois 84 - Western Illinois 58	0.954	Illinois 84 - Western Illinois 52	-6
Illinois Chicago 64 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.727	Illinois Chicago 70 - Middle Tennessee 40	-37
Indiana State 74 - Toledo 77	0.599	Indiana State 76 - Toledo 74	-5
Kentucky 85 - Marshall 65	0.923	Kentucky 118 - Marshall 82	-16
Lamar 73 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.682	Lamar 83 - Bethune Cookman 65	-12
Lipscomb 77 - UNC Asheville 70	0.69	Lipscomb 86 - UNC Asheville 75	-4
LIU Brooklyn 63 - Texas AM CC 80	0.889	LIU Brooklyn 83 - Texas AM CC 68	-32
Longwood 79 - Delaware State 59	0.943	Longwood 84 - Delaware State 82	18
Louisiana State 82 - North Florida 64	0.888	Louisiana State 75 - North Florida 63	6
Memphis 74 - Villanova 70	0.611	Memphis 63 - Villanova 79	20
Michigan 73 - Texas Tech 75	0.563	Michigan 57 - Texas Tech 73	14
Mississippi State 84 - Nicholls State 59	0.964	Mississippi State 74 - Nicholls State 61	12
New Mexico 80 - Pepperdine 74	0.634	New Mexico 90 - Pepperdine 71	-13
North Carolina AT 71 - Alabama State 69	0.576	North Carolina AT 73 - Alabama State 88	17
Ohio State 71 - Alabama 84	0.819	Ohio State 92 - Alabama 81	-24
Oklahoma State 84 - Houston Christian 63	0.935	Oklahoma State 92 - Houston Christian 65	-6
Pacific 78 - Le Moyne 61	0.857	Pacific 73 - Le Moyne 71	15
Pennsylvania 76 - Lafayette 61	0.87	Pennsylvania 74 - Lafayette 72	13
Pittsburgh 82 - Oregon State 65	0.865	Pittsburgh 76 - Oregon State 51	-8
Providence 82 - Lehigh 61	0.952	Providence 78 - Lehigh 64	7
Robert Morris 71 - Jacksonville 69	0.561	Robert Morris 65 - Jacksonville 74	11
Saint Marys 71 - Davidson 67	0.611	Saint Marys 89 - Davidson 55	-30
Samford 71 - Merrimack 68	0.61	Samford 79 - Merrimack 71	-5
San Diego 75 - Arkansas State 70	0.639	San Diego 71 - Arkansas State 57	-9
Santa Clara 70 - Oregon 77	0.716	Santa Clara 88 - Oregon 82	-13
Seton Hall 74 - Iowa 75	0.533	Seton Hall 72 - Iowa 85	12
Southern California 71 - Oklahoma 74	0.582	Southern California 70 - Oklahoma 72	-1
Stanford 79 - Northern Iowa 70	0.764	Stanford 51 - Northern Iowa 73	31
Tennessee State 72 - Mercer 70	0.552	Tennessee State 59 - Mercer 60	3
Texas San Antonio 69 - Jacksonville State 72	0.593	Texas San Antonio 62 - Jacksonville State 77	12
Troy 72 - Grambling State 66	0.693	Troy 80 - Grambling State 67	-7
UC Irvine 79 - Rice 67	0.802	UC Irvine 83 - Rice 68	-3
UMKC 61 - UNC Greensboro 78	0.886	UMKC 64 - UNC Greensboro 76	-5
Utah Valley 93 - Unranked 53		Utah Valley 87 - Unranked 52
Virginia Tech 70 - Iowa State 78	0.71	Virginia Tech 71 - Iowa State 62	-17
Wake Forest 84 - Charleston Southern 62	0.953	Wake Forest 71 - Charleston Southern 56	7
Washington State 82 - Utah Tech 62	0.937	Washington State 93 - Utah Tech 53	-20
Western Michigan 68 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.599	Western Michigan 68 - Southeast Louisiana 67	-4
Wofford 74 - Canisius 72	0.567	Wofford 67 - Canisius 76	11
Xavier 82 - Bryant 64	0.862	Xavier 100 - Bryant 75	-7

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Furman 75	0.572	Alabama Birmingham 92 - Furman 86	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 65 - Tulsa 76	0.836	Arkansas Little Rock 84 - Tulsa 82	-13
Arkansas State 76 - Texas Pan American 72	0.631	Arkansas State 75 - Texas Pan American 58	-13
Bethune Cookman 69 - Delaware State 67	0.558	Bethune Cookman 64 - Delaware State 72	10
Binghamton 74 - Army 58	0.856	Binghamton 75 - Army 68	9
Bowling Green 68 - Lipscomb 77	0.707	Bowling Green 82 - Lipscomb 61	-30
Bradley 73 - Vermont 68	0.65	Bradley 79 - Vermont 70	-4
Brown 70 - UMKC 69	0.546	Brown 93 - UMKC 83	-9
Cal Baptist 88 - Unranked 54		Cal Baptist 69 - Unranked 59
Central Arkansas 67 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.609	Central Arkansas 71 - Eastern Michigan 74	-1
Charlotte 75 - Georgia State 59	0.902	Charlotte 65 - Georgia State 57	8
Chicago State 66 - Tennessee Martin 73	0.708	Chicago State 71 - Tennessee Martin 94	16
Cleveland State 80 - Alabama AM 62	0.892	Cleveland State 86 - Alabama AM 59	-9
Columbia 70 - Maine 68	0.548	Columbia 75 - Maine 56	-17
Delaware 70 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.596	Delaware 77 - UNC Greensboro 88	8
DePaul 72 - Northern Illinois 70	0.576	DePaul 79 - Northern Illinois 89	12
Drake 82 - Texas Southern 57	0.953	Drake 77 - Texas Southern 71	19
Eastern Illinois 78 - Unranked 62		Eastern Illinois 85 - Unranked 39
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Jacksonville 70	0.548	Fairleigh Dickinson 90 - Jacksonville 91	3
Florida Gulf Coast 65 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.79	Florida Gulf Coast 55 - UNC Wilmington 71	5
Gardner Webb 88 - Unranked 54		Gardner Webb 92 - Unranked 51
George Mason 80 - East Carolina 66	0.869	George Mason 81 - East Carolina 59	-8
George Washington 75 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.722	George Washington 79 - Illinois Chicago 89	18
Georgetown 76 - Jackson State 65	0.769	Georgetown 88 - Jackson State 81	4
Grand Canyon 78 - North Dakota State 66	0.812	Grand Canyon 86 - North Dakota State 71	-3
Green Bay 62 - Saint Thomas 71	0.807	Green Bay 64 - Saint Thomas 51	-22
IPFW 95 - Unranked 55		IPFW 95 - Unranked 64
IUPUI 78 - Unranked 62		IUPUI 78 - Unranked 70
Liberty 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.967	Liberty 99 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	-6
Longwood 78 - Lamar 64	0.875	Longwood 83 - Lamar 72	3
Louisiana Tech 92 - Unranked 54		Louisiana Tech 105 - Unranked 65
Loyola Marymount 74 - Texas El Paso 72	0.542	Loyola Marymount 67 - Texas El Paso 47	-18
Marist 70 - Bucknell 63	0.697	Marist 73 - Bucknell 49	-17
Maryland 71 - South Alabama 65	0.64	Maryland 68 - South Alabama 55	-7
Merrimack 71 - Alabama State 63	0.779	Merrimack 60 - Alabama State 66	14
Milwaukee 73 - Southern Miss 72	0.536	Milwaukee 84 - Southern Miss 90	7
Missouri 78 - Loyola MD 59	0.909	Missouri 78 - Loyola MD 70	11
Missouri State 83 - South Carolina State 56	0.941	Missouri State 92 - South Carolina State 74	9
Monmouth 74 - Lafayette 62	0.773	Monmouth 63 - Lafayette 53	2
Mt St Marys 68 - Howard 74	0.713	Mt St Marys 83 - Howard 87	-2
North Dakota 73 - New Orleans 70	0.576	North Dakota 71 - New Orleans 69	1
Northern Kentucky 78 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.889	Northern Kentucky 72 - LIU Brooklyn 64	9
Ohio 68 - Middle Tennessee 71	0.577	Ohio 80 - Middle Tennessee 68	-15
Oregon 73 - Alabama 82	0.71	Oregon 91 - Alabama 99	-1
Pennsylvania 75 - Belmont 73	0.549	Pennsylvania 79 - Belmont 84	7
Portland 92 - Unranked 57		Portland 107 - Unranked 84
Princeton 81 - Northeastern 61	0.932	Princeton 80 - Northeastern 66	6
Richmond 78 - Queens 61	0.909	Richmond 90 - Queens 61	-12
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Miami OH 63	0.825	Saint Bonaventure 90 - Miami OH 60	-18
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Niagara 68	0.592	Saint Francis Penn 61 - Niagara 69	10
Saint Johns 87 - Holy Cross 59	0.955	Saint Johns 91 - Holy Cross 45	-18
Saint Louis 82 - Dartmouth 62	0.9	Saint Louis 66 - Dartmouth 65	19
Sam Houston State 90 - Unranked 55		Sam Houston State 78 - Unranked 61
Samford 77 - North Carolina AT 68	0.754	Samford 101 - North Carolina AT 83	-9
San Diego 68 - Hawaii 72	0.632	San Diego 66 - Hawaii 77	7
San Diego State 83 - California 61	0.946	San Diego State 76 - California 67	13
Santa Clara 72 - Ohio State 75	0.594	Santa Clara 56 - Ohio State 86	27
SE Missouri State 64 - Evansville 77	0.795	SE Missouri State 74 - Evansville 93	6
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Detroit 64	0.621	SIU Edwardsville 81 - Detroit 67	-9
South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 58		South Carolina Upstate 79 - Unranked 44
Southeast Louisiana 69 - Tennessee State 73	0.603	Southeast Louisiana 77 - Tennessee State 91	10
Texas Arlington 70 - Texas State 65	0.623	Texas Arlington 66 - Texas State 73	12
Texas San Antonio 72 - Incarnate Word 71	0.519	Texas San Antonio 90 - Incarnate Word 80	-9
UNC Asheville 73 - Wofford 75	0.577	UNC Asheville 85 - Wofford 82	-5
Valparaiso 69 - Southern 71	0.555	Valparaiso 71 - Southern 59	-14
Virginia Military Institute 86 - Unranked 62		Virginia Military Institute 100 - Unranked 63
Wagner 71 - NJ Tech 61	0.79	Wagner 64 - NJ Tech 51	-3
Western Kentucky 75 - Canisius 67	0.775	Western Kentucky 77 - Canisius 85	16
Western Michigan 67 - Mercer 73	0.706	Western Michigan 72 - Mercer 66	-12
Wichita State 81 - Norfolk State 59	0.956	Wichita State 80 - Norfolk State 67	9
William and Mary 71 - UMBC 75	0.622	William and Mary 96 - UMBC 81	-19

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 84 - Unranked 60		American 103 - Unranked 74
Appalachian State 69 - Austin Peay 64	0.644	Appalachian State 78 - Austin Peay 58	-15
Boise State 71 - Butler 70	0.52	Boise State 56 - Butler 70	15
Boston 85 - Unranked 57		Boston 90 - Unranked 49
Bowling Green 69 - Canisius 72	0.573	Bowling Green 77 - Canisius 73	-7
Central Arkansas 69 - New Orleans 72	0.585	Central Arkansas 74 - New Orleans 79	2
Central Florida 79 - Stetson 60	0.924	Central Florida 82 - Stetson 85	22
Chattanooga 80 - SE Missouri State 63	0.915	Chattanooga 72 - SE Missouri State 56	1
Coastal Carolina 73 - North Carolina Central 69	0.61	Coastal Carolina 58 - North Carolina Central 70	16
Colorado 81 - Iona 68	0.823	Colorado 85 - Iona 68	-4
Eastern Michigan 69 - North Dakota 70	0.53	Eastern Michigan 70 - North Dakota 72	1
Florida International 76 - Kennesaw St 71	0.63	Florida International 91 - Kennesaw St 84	-2
George Washington 74 - Delaware 70	0.609	George Washington 81 - Delaware 71	-6
High Point 87 - Unranked 63		High Point 122 - Unranked 73
Illinois Chicago 66 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.718	Illinois Chicago 57 - UNC Greensboro 58	-6
Indiana 71 - Harvard 70	0.527	Indiana 89 - Harvard 76	-12
Iowa State 73 - Texas AM 72	0.524	Iowa State 69 - Texas AM 73	5
Jacksonville State 70 - Incarnate Word 67	0.611	Jacksonville State 67 - Incarnate Word 65	1
Kent State 75 - College of Charleston 68	0.716	Kent State 78 - College of Charleston 84	13
La Salle 81 - Coppin State 54	0.978	La Salle 81 - Coppin State 62	8
Lafayette 63 - Belmont 76	0.841	Lafayette 69 - Belmont 79	-3
Lamar 73 - Delaware State 67	0.713	Lamar 84 - Delaware State 81	3
Longwood 80 - Bethune Cookman 59	0.916	Longwood 69 - Bethune Cookman 48	0
Louisville 74 - New Mexico State 67	0.687	Louisville 90 - New Mexico State 84	1
Middle Tennessee 76 - UMKC 59	0.898	Middle Tennessee 63 - UMKC 59	13
Montana State 73 - Long Beach State 74	0.529	Montana State 69 - Long Beach State 75	5
Nebraska 79 - Cal State Fullerton 60	0.93	Nebraska 85 - Cal State Fullerton 72	6
North Texas 92 - Unranked 48		North Texas 79 - Unranked 50
Ohio 78 - Brown 65	0.827	Ohio 82 - Brown 77	8
Old Dominion 65 - Drexel 68	0.614	Old Dominion 68 - Drexel 61	-10
Pacific 76 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.848	Pacific 68 - Mississippi Valley State 65	12
Pennsylvania 75 - Monmouth 70	0.602	Pennsylvania 76 - Monmouth 61	-10
Quinnipiac 75 - Stonehill 66	0.749	Quinnipiac 80 - Stonehill 69	-2
Radford 88 - Unranked 53		Radford 100 - Unranked 53
Rhode Island 70 - Yale 76	0.684	Rhode Island 76 - Yale 72	-10
Robert Morris 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.512	Robert Morris 97 - Fairleigh Dickinson 86	-10
Saint Josephs 77 - Sacred Heart 65	0.808	Saint Josephs 64 - Sacred Heart 55	3
San Francisco 75 - Minnesota 67	0.745	San Francisco 76 - Minnesota 58	-10
Seattle 70 - UC San Diego 67	0.596	Seattle 79 - UC San Diego 67	-9
Siena 66 - Albany 70	0.61	Siena 51 - Albany 86	31
South Dakota 69 - Air Force 71	0.54	South Dakota 57 - Air Force 58	-1
Southern Methodist 78 - UL Monroe 60	0.89	Southern Methodist 70 - UL Monroe 57	5
Texas 77 - Wyoming 66	0.815	Texas 86 - Wyoming 63	-12
Texas AM Commerce 73 - Denver 70	0.575	Texas AM Commerce 61 - Denver 71	13
Towson 75 - Morgan State 61	0.849	Towson 67 - Morgan State 58	5
UC Davis 73 - Sacramento State 63	0.744	UC Davis 63 - Sacramento State 69	16
UC Riverside 85 - Unranked 56		UC Riverside 109 - Unranked 63
UNC Asheville 68 - Western Kentucky 76	0.779	UNC Asheville 77 - Western Kentucky 67	-18
Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Penn State 71	0.582	Virginia Commonwealth 86 - Penn State 74	-15
Virginia Tech 74 - Florida Atlantic 71	0.562	Virginia Tech 50 - Florida Atlantic 84	37
West Virginia 78 - Bellarmine 65	0.79	West Virginia 62 - Bellarmine 58	9
Western Carolina 77 - North Alabama 64	0.856	Western Carolina 81 - North Alabama 63	-5
Wofford 73 - Lipscomb 77	0.63	Wofford 78 - Lipscomb 85	3

Number of DI Games: 350
Number Correct: 255 = 72.8%
Expected Number Correct: 249.772 = 71.3%
Average Error: 9.49
Average Signed Error: -0.6

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 79 - Unranked 62		Arkansas Pine Bluff 85 - Unranked 60
Bryant 89 - Unranked 55		Bryant 108 - Unranked 74
Connecticut 82 - New Hampshire 58	0.952	Connecticut 84 - New Hampshire 64	4
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Troy 71	0.511	Eastern Kentucky 77 - Troy 76	0
Elon 70 - Presbyterian 65	0.642	Elon 82 - Presbyterian 79	2
Fordham 69 - Manhattan 64	0.64	Fordham 93 - Manhattan 61	-27
Fresno State 71 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.594	Fresno State 65 - UC Santa Barbara 69	7
Hampton 68 - UMBC 74	0.651	Hampton 76 - UMBC 80	-2
Lindenwood 70 - Utah Tech 68	0.539	Lindenwood 66 - Utah Tech 73	9
Northwestern 77 - Northern Illinois 64	0.827	Northwestern 89 - Northern Illinois 67	-9
Omaha 84 - Unranked 59		Omaha 104 - Unranked 68
Rutgers 73 - Saint Peters 60	0.824	Rutgers 71 - Saint Peters 40	-18
Saint Marys 75 - Utah 67	0.723	Saint Marys 71 - Utah 78	15
San Diego State 97 - Unranked 45		San Diego State 71 - Unranked 51
San Jose State 67 - North Dakota State 72	0.637	San Jose State 78 - North Dakota State 65	-18
South Dakota State 93 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 92 - Unranked 70
Texas Christian 88 - Houston Christian 59	0.968	Texas Christian 101 - Houston Christian 64	-8
UL Lafayette 90 - Unranked 55		UL Lafayette 78 - Unranked 54
Washington State 79 - Eastern Washington 66	0.826	Washington State 82 - Eastern Washington 72	3
Weber State 89 - Unranked 54		Weber State 107 - Unranked 45
Wisconsin 85 - Western Illinois 56	0.959	Wisconsin 71 - Western Illinois 49	7
Xavier 80 - Oakland 65	0.875	Xavier 76 - Oakland 78	17

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 80 - Clemson 73	0.67	Alabama 77 - Clemson 85	15
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Mcneese State 61	0.922	Alabama Birmingham 60 - Mcneese State 81	40
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Ball State 72	0.576	Arkansas Little Rock 90 - Ball State 64	-28
Arkansas State 71 - Jackson State 63	0.733	Arkansas State 71 - Jackson State 75	12
Baylor 86 - Nicholls State 60	0.961	Baylor 108 - Nicholls State 70	-12
Furman 83 - South Carolina State 58	0.948	Furman 86 - South Carolina State 78	17
Georgia Tech 68 - Mississippi State 76	0.717	Georgia Tech 67 - Mississippi State 59	-16
Gonzaga 89 - Cal State Bakersfield 55	0.991	Gonzaga 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	18
Howard 63 - Cincinnati 82	0.924	Howard 81 - Cincinnati 86	-14
Indiana State 70 - Southern Illinois 69	0.51	Indiana State 77 - Southern Illinois 48	-28
Kansas 91 - Eastern Illinois 50	0.995	Kansas 71 - Eastern Illinois 63	33
Kansas State 79 - Oral Roberts 68	0.788	Kansas State 88 - Oral Roberts 78	1
Kentucky 80 - Miami 72	0.72	Kentucky 95 - Miami 73	-14
Loyola Ill 84 - Chicago State 53	0.963	Loyola Ill 62 - Chicago State 53	22
Marquette 84 - Southern 59	0.938	Marquette 93 - Southern 56	-12
Maryland 79 - Rider 62	0.904	Maryland 103 - Rider 76	-10
Miami OH 86 - Unranked 57		Miami OH 82 - Unranked 43
Michigan State 83 - Georgia Southern 59	0.948	Michigan State 86 - Georgia Southern 55	-7
Mississippi 74 - NC State 73	0.508	Mississippi 72 - NC State 52	-19
Nevada Las Vegas 69 - Akron 68	0.527	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Akron 70	-1
New Mexico State 90 - Unranked 51		New Mexico State 84 - Unranked 49
Norfolk State 71 - William and Mary 64	0.684	Norfolk State 96 - William and Mary 62	-27
North Dakota 83 - Unranked 58		North Dakota 87 - Unranked 56
Pepperdine 75 - Idaho State 65	0.792	Pepperdine 77 - Idaho State 62	-5
Pittsburgh 72 - Missouri 70	0.561	Pittsburgh 64 - Missouri 71	9
Portland State 73 - Portland 70	0.584	Portland State 75 - Portland 74	2
Providence 79 - Wagner 58	0.907	Providence 86 - Wagner 52	-13
Purdue 85 - Texas Southern 58	0.951	Purdue 99 - Texas Southern 67	-5
Saint Louis 71 - Utah State 73	0.567	Saint Louis 76 - Utah State 81	3
SIU Edwardsville 82 - Unranked 57		SIU Edwardsville 86 - Unranked 62
South Carolina 74 - Notre Dame 73	0.543	South Carolina 65 - Notre Dame 53	-11
South Dakota 87 - Unranked 55		South Dakota 93 - Unranked 71
Southeast Louisiana 83 - Unranked 58		Southeast Louisiana 101 - Unranked 55
Southern Indiana 83 - Unranked 58		Southern Indiana 107 - Unranked 49
Syracuse 75 - Louisiana State 77	0.537	Syracuse 80 - Louisiana State 57	-25
Tennessee Tech 68 - Western Carolina 74	0.661	Tennessee Tech 65 - Western Carolina 69	-2
The Citadel 75 - Charleston Southern 65	0.779	The Citadel 81 - Charleston Southern 52	-19
UL Monroe 73 - Northwestern State 66	0.715	UL Monroe 74 - Northwestern State 70	3
Washington 81 - UC San Diego 64	0.866	Washington 83 - UC San Diego 56	-10
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 53		Winthrop 90 - Unranked 49

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 62 - Tennessee State 69	0.674	Alabama AM 85 - Tennessee State 83	-9
Albany 66 - Boston 67	0.503	Albany 86 - Boston 72	-15
Appalachian State 69 - East Tennessee State 67	0.558	Appalachian State 72 - East Tennessee State 61	-9
Arizona State 76 - Sam Houston State 65	0.767	Arizona State 78 - Sam Houston State 61	-6
Arkansas 75 - Duke 78	0.578	Arkansas 80 - Duke 75	-8
Army 71 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.735	Army 51 - Central Connecticut State 79	37
Auburn 77 - Virginia Tech 71	0.667	Auburn 74 - Virginia Tech 57	-11
Austin Peay 64 - Morehead State 69	0.653	Austin Peay 50 - Morehead State 61	6
Bucknell 63 - Princeton 77	0.822	Bucknell 71 - Princeton 85	0
Cal Poly 66 - San Jose State 71	0.628	Cal Poly 81 - San Jose State 77	-9
Charlotte 66 - Davidson 72	0.656	Charlotte 81 - Davidson 85	-2
Coastal Carolina 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.75	Coastal Carolina 72 - South Carolina Upstate 70	7
Colgate 77 - Binghamton 61	0.867	Colgate 84 - Binghamton 49	-19
Colorado State 74 - Colorado 72	0.543	Colorado State 88 - Colorado 83	-3
Columbia 69 - Loyola MD 68	0.507	Columbia 69 - Loyola MD 57	-11
Cornell 72 - Monmouth 71	0.524	Cornell 91 - Monmouth 87	-3
Detroit 68 - Oakland 72	0.614	Detroit 50 - Oakland 65	11
Duquesne 69 - UC Irvine 71	0.577	Duquesne 66 - UC Irvine 62	-6
Florida AM 80 - Unranked 57		Florida AM 85 - Unranked 92
Florida International 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.565	Florida International 65 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	5
Florida State 81 - Georgia 69	0.785	Florida State 66 - Georgia 68	14
George Mason 78 - NJ Tech 58	0.921	George Mason 86 - NJ Tech 68	2
Georgetown 74 - Merrimack 64	0.788	Georgetown 69 - Merrimack 67	8
Harvard 73 - American 63	0.779	Harvard 80 - American 75	5
High Point 72 - Morgan State 66	0.677	High Point 77 - Morgan State 59	-12
Holy Cross 66 - Maine 65	0.519	Holy Cross 57 - Maine 72	16
Idaho 69 - Denver 71	0.56	Idaho 65 - Denver 67	0
Iona 73 - Marist 63	0.74	Iona 64 - Marist 68	14
Iowa 88 - North Florida 63	0.943	Iowa 103 - North Florida 78	0
IPFW 74 - Green Bay 64	0.755	IPFW 75 - Green Bay 71	6
Jacksonville 67 - Campbell 63	0.612	Jacksonville 62 - Campbell 48	-10
James Madison 75 - Buffalo 72	0.592	James Madison 81 - Buffalo 66	-12
Lafayette 64 - Drexel 71	0.703	Lafayette 48 - Drexel 69	14
Le Moyne 83 - Unranked 58		Le Moyne 92 - Unranked 54
Lehigh 72 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.648	Lehigh 61 - Saint Francis Penn 62	6
Lipscomb 67 - Chattanooga 72	0.668	Lipscomb 82 - Chattanooga 68	-19
Louisville 75 - Bellarmine 64	0.78	Louisville 73 - Bellarmine 68	6
Loyola Marymount 79 - Central Arkansas 63	0.883	Loyola Marymount 90 - Central Arkansas 63	-11
Missouri State 77 - Evansville 63	0.817	Missouri State 90 - Evansville 78	2
Murray State 68 - Bradley 70	0.555	Murray State 79 - Bradley 72	-9
Navy 70 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0.577	Navy 67 - Virginia Military Institute 47	-17
Nevada 78 - Montana 64	0.826	Nevada 77 - Montana 66	3
New Mexico 71 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.626	New Mexico 74 - Louisiana Tech 65	-13
North Carolina 75 - Tennessee 74	0.508	North Carolina 100 - Tennessee 92	-7
Northern Iowa 74 - Belmont 72	0.538	Northern Iowa 70 - Belmont 90	22
Northern Kentucky 73 - Robert Morris 62	0.787	Northern Kentucky 77 - Robert Morris 59	-7
Ohio State 86 - Central Michigan 59	0.947	Ohio State 88 - Central Michigan 61	0
Old Dominion 69 - Radford 64	0.673	Old Dominion 69 - Radford 68	4
Pacific 73 - Cal State Northridge 66	0.707	Pacific 69 - Cal State Northridge 80	18
Queens 65 - Gardner Webb 70	0.627	Queens 83 - Gardner Webb 80	-8
San Diego 71 - Northern Colorado 68	0.597	San Diego 74 - Northern Colorado 72	1
Santa Clara 94 - Unranked 53		Santa Clara 106 - Unranked 69
Seton Hall 78 - Northeastern 61	0.878	Seton Hall 88 - Northeastern 75	4
Southern California 82 - Eastern Washington 64	0.894	Southern California 106 - Eastern Washington 78	-10
Southern Methodist 71 - Dayton 72	0.538	Southern Methodist 63 - Dayton 65	1
Southern Utah 73 - Cal Baptist 68	0.655	Southern Utah 66 - Cal Baptist 91	30
Stephen F Austin 73 - Tarleton State 63	0.73	Stephen F Austin 66 - Tarleton State 68	12
Stetson 85 - Unranked 56		Stetson 94 - Unranked 49
Stonehill 66 - UMass Lowell 72	0.65	Stonehill 74 - UMass Lowell 80	0
Temple 76 - La Salle 68	0.741	Temple 106 - La Salle 99	1
Texas AM Commerce 83 - Unranked 57		Texas AM Commerce 100 - Unranked 48
Texas Arlington 67 - Abilene Christian 71	0.643	Texas Arlington 86 - Abilene Christian 71	-19
Texas El Paso 73 - Texas AM CC 61	0.801	Texas El Paso 63 - Texas AM CC 67	16
Texas Pan American 63 - Grand Canyon 78	0.85	Texas Pan American 69 - Grand Canyon 79	-5
Tulane 77 - Prairie View 66	0.799	Tulane 98 - Prairie View 77	-10
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Northern Arizona 62	0.84	UC Santa Barbara 70 - Northern Arizona 59	2
Utah Valley 70 - Seattle 68	0.535	Utah Valley 78 - Seattle 72	-4
Valparaiso 66 - Drake 76	0.73	Valparaiso 65 - Drake 83	8
Vanderbilt 75 - Boston College 71	0.607	Vanderbilt 62 - Boston College 80	22
Vermont 76 - Dartmouth 58	0.88	Vermont 64 - Dartmouth 53	7
Villanova 82 - Saint Josephs 60	0.923	Villanova 65 - Saint Josephs 78	35
Virginia 70 - Texas AM 66	0.614	Virginia 59 - Texas AM 47	-8
Wake Forest 72 - Florida 77	0.643	Wake Forest 82 - Florida 71	-16
Western Kentucky 91 - Unranked 53		Western Kentucky 101 - Unranked 77
Wichita State 73 - Richmond 70	0.593	Wichita State 80 - Richmond 68	-9
Wright State 80 - IUPUI 57	0.924	Wright State 103 - IUPUI 74	-6
Yale 74 - Stony Brook 65	0.744	Yale 79 - Stony Brook 71	1
Youngstown State 69 - Cleveland State 70	0.538	Youngstown State 94 - Cleveland State 69	-26

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Butler 68 - Texas Tech 75	0.674	Butler 103 - Texas Tech 95	-15
Chicago State 70 - Delaware State 66	0.604	Chicago State 69 - Delaware State 76	11
Coppin State 64 - UMBC 73	0.741	Coppin State 89 - UMBC 70	-28
East Carolina 72 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.513	East Carolina 74 - UNC Wilmington 66	-7
Elon 85 - Unranked 56		Elon 127 - Unranked 56
Florida Atlantic 69 - Liberty 70	0.526	Florida Atlantic 83 - Liberty 58	-26
Fordham 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.779	Fordham 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 52	-18
Hofstra 75 - South Florida 66	0.703	Hofstra 82 - South Florida 63	-10
Illinois Chicago 71 - Illinois State 67	0.614	Illinois Chicago 64 - Illinois State 69	9
Jacksonville State 66 - South Alabama 67	0.509	Jacksonville State 70 - South Alabama 52	-19
Kent State 91 - Unranked 52		Kent State 103 - Unranked 61
Longwood 87 - Unranked 53		Longwood 95 - Unranked 46
Minnesota 79 - New Orleans 62	0.887	Minnesota 97 - New Orleans 64	-16
Montana State 87 - Unranked 53		Montana State 62 - Unranked 70
North Alabama 70 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.59	North Alabama 86 - Tennessee Tech 71	-12
Oklahoma 89 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 53	0.985	Oklahoma 107 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 86	15
Oklahoma State 72 - Creighton 75	0.582	Oklahoma State 65 - Creighton 79	11
Omaha 84 - Unranked 59		Omaha 78 - Unranked 59
Oregon State 75 - UC Davis 66	0.761	Oregon State 71 - UC Davis 59	-3
Rice 77 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.719	Rice 98 - Tennessee Martin 78	-12
Sacred Heart 67 - New Hampshire 68	0.514	Sacred Heart 84 - New Hampshire 90	5
Samford 74 - UL Lafayette 73	0.515	Samford 88 - UL Lafayette 65	-22
Texas 76 - Texas State 61	0.888	Texas 77 - Texas State 58	-4
Texas San Antonio 74 - Lamar 67	0.687	Texas San Antonio 86 - Lamar 83	4
UCLA 80 - UC Riverside 59	0.925	UCLA 66 - UC Riverside 65	20
UMKC 71 - SE Missouri State 66	0.671	UMKC 74 - SE Missouri State 44	-25
Utah 75 - Hawaii 67	0.724	Utah 79 - Hawaii 66	-5
Western Illinois 83 - Unranked 60		Western Illinois 92 - Unranked 40

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 80 - Southern Miss 61	0.917	Alabama Birmingham 82 - Southern Miss 85	22
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Arkansas State 72	0.529	Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Arkansas State 66	-12
Army 83 - Unranked 57		Army 74 - Unranked 39
Bethune Cookman 67 - Incarnate Word 63	0.625	Bethune Cookman 96 - Incarnate Word 82	-10
Boise State 68 - Saint Marys 70	0.544	Boise State 63 - Saint Marys 60	-5
Brigham Young 79 - Fresno State 64	0.853	Brigham Young 85 - Fresno State 56	-14
Brown 70 - Bryant 71	0.528	Brown 66 - Bryant 69	2
Cal State Fullerton 74 - North Dakota 65	0.767	Cal State Fullerton 64 - North Dakota 54	-1
Canisius 72 - Quinnipiac 70	0.56	Canisius 93 - Quinnipiac 73	-18
College of Charleston 66 - Liberty 73	0.725	College of Charleston 76 - Liberty 67	-16
DePaul 70 - Iowa State 77	0.667	DePaul 80 - Iowa State 99	12
Eastern Michigan 84 - Unranked 57		Eastern Michigan 68 - Unranked 53
Fairfield 64 - Iona 73	0.747	Fairfield 67 - Iona 78	2
Georgia 75 - Mercer 69	0.671	Georgia 80 - Mercer 69	-5
Indiana 73 - Maryland 71	0.565	Indiana 65 - Maryland 53	-10
Kansas 80 - Connecticut 71	0.746	Kansas 69 - Connecticut 65	5
Louisiana State 85 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.954	Louisiana State 73 - Southeast Louisiana 66	19
Manhattan 67 - Mt St Marys 63	0.626	Manhattan 75 - Mt St Marys 74	3
Niagara 63 - Saint Peters 68	0.618	Niagara 67 - Saint Peters 72	0
Northwestern 68 - Purdue 80	0.798	Northwestern 92 - Purdue 88	-16
Portland 69 - Wyoming 74	0.65	Portland 81 - Wyoming 70	-16
Queens 84 - Unranked 57		Queens 134 - Unranked 69
Siena 68 - Rider 67	0.515	Siena 67 - Rider 65	-1
South Carolina 79 - George Washington 68	0.76	South Carolina 89 - George Washington 67	-11
South Dakota State 73 - Towson 66	0.69	South Dakota State 61 - Towson 48	-6
Troy 72 - SIU Edwardsville 65	0.703	Troy 83 - SIU Edwardsville 60	-16
UC San Diego 59 - San Diego State 80	0.914	UC San Diego 62 - San Diego State 63	-20
UNC Asheville 86 - Unranked 57		UNC Asheville 97 - Unranked 51
UNC Greensboro 90 - Unranked 50		UNC Greensboro 88 - Unranked 56
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Norfolk State 59	0.881	Virginia Commonwealth 60 - Norfolk State 63	20
West Virginia 77 - Saint Johns 76	0.544	West Virginia 73 - Saint Johns 79	7
Western Michigan 69 - Saint Thomas 66	0.596	Western Michigan 51 - Saint Thomas 66	18
Xavier 68 - Houston 76	0.715	Xavier 60 - Houston 66	-2

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.55	Abilene Christian 74 - Stephen F Austin 79	6
Albany 67 - Dartmouth 65	0.546	Albany 73 - Dartmouth 68	-3
American 70 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.637	American 73 - Saint Francis Penn 75	7
Arizona 82 - Colgate 65	0.879	Arizona 82 - Colgate 55	-10
Ball State 71 - Bellarmine 67	0.6	Ball State 67 - Bellarmine 58	-5
Baylor 92 - Northwestern State 56	0.993	Baylor 91 - Northwestern State 40	-15
Belmont 77 - Valparaiso 66	0.771	Belmont 77 - Valparaiso 68	2
Boston College 73 - NC State 76	0.592	Boston College 78 - NC State 84	3
Bradley 76 - Indiana State 67	0.727	Bradley 77 - Indiana State 85	17
Buffalo 68 - Saint Bonaventure 74	0.668	Buffalo 65 - Saint Bonaventure 80	9
California 70 - Santa Clara 74	0.602	California 84 - Santa Clara 69	-19
Campbell 83 - Unranked 54		Campbell 87 - Unranked 56
Central Connecticut State 67 - Holy Cross 66	0.518	Central Connecticut State 78 - Holy Cross 67	-10
Central Florida 79 - Lipscomb 65	0.824	Central Florida 72 - Lipscomb 57	-1
Charleston Southern 69 - South Carolina State 67	0.561	Charleston Southern 66 - South Carolina State 64	0
Cleveland State 73 - Detroit 66	0.69	Cleveland State 69 - Detroit 58	-4
Coastal Carolina 70 - Winthrop 72	0.577	Coastal Carolina 87 - Winthrop 90	1
Davidson 75 - Wright State 68	0.685	Davidson 82 - Wright State 73	-2
Dayton 81 - Grambling State 55	0.96	Dayton 76 - Grambling State 46	-4
Denver 84 - Unranked 59		Denver 90 - Unranked 66
Drake 74 - Missouri State 71	0.576	Drake 74 - Missouri State 57	-14
Eastern Illinois 79 - Unranked 59		Eastern Illinois 112 - Unranked 50
Evansville 67 - Northern Iowa 75	0.697	Evansville 91 - Northern Iowa 89	-10
Florida Atlantic 75 - College of Charleston 68	0.679	Florida Atlantic 90 - College of Charleston 74	-9
Florida International 73 - LIU Brooklyn 70	0.597	Florida International 74 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-12
Gardner Webb 71 - Western Carolina 68	0.579	Gardner Webb 82 - Western Carolina 77	-2
Georgetown 72 - Texas Christian 78	0.686	Georgetown 83 - Texas Christian 84	-5
Georgia Southern 66 - Jacksonville 67	0.521	Georgia Southern 79 - Jacksonville 81	1
Georgia Tech 68 - Duke 81	0.821	Georgia Tech 72 - Duke 68	-17
Grand Canyon 75 - Texas Arlington 64	0.791	Grand Canyon 76 - Texas Arlington 69	4
Green Bay 70 - Milwaukee 67	0.577	Green Bay 70 - Milwaukee 58	-9
Idaho 68 - Cal Poly 67	0.53	Idaho 85 - Cal Poly 70	-14
Idaho State 68 - Lindenwood 67	0.503	Idaho State 76 - Lindenwood 70	-5
IUPUI 58 - Northern Kentucky 74	0.858	IUPUI 55 - Northern Kentucky 71	0
Kansas State 82 - North Alabama 61	0.94	Kansas State 75 - North Alabama 74	20
Kennesaw St 65 - Georgia State 76	0.809	Kennesaw St 88 - Georgia State 77	-22
Kentucky 83 - UNC Wilmington 62	0.914	Kentucky 73 - UNC Wilmington 80	28
Lafayette 67 - Cornell 73	0.685	Lafayette 71 - Cornell 79	2
Long Beach State 74 - Sacramento State 65	0.756	Long Beach State 83 - Sacramento State 73	-1
Louisiana Tech 76 - Nicholls State 63	0.846	Louisiana Tech 68 - Nicholls State 55	0
Loyola Ill 74 - Harvard 63	0.788	Loyola Ill 75 - Harvard 53	-11
Loyola MD 74 - Delaware State 60	0.846	Loyola MD 73 - Delaware State 79	20
Marshall 76 - Miami OH 69	0.693	Marshall 74 - Miami OH 79	12
Massachusetts 75 - South Florida 69	0.637	Massachusetts 66 - South Florida 56	-4
Mcneese State 72 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.588	Mcneese State 91 - Tennessee Martin 80	-8
Merrimack 65 - UMass Lowell 67	0.556	Merrimack 74 - UMass Lowell 68	-8
Miami 77 - Notre Dame 71	0.659	Miami 62 - Notre Dame 49	-7
Middle Tennessee 68 - Wofford 69	0.513	Middle Tennessee 64 - Wofford 74	9
Mississippi 69 - Memphis 75	0.669	Mississippi 80 - Memphis 77	-9
Montana 72 - San Jose State 66	0.657	Montana 75 - San Jose State 58	-11
Nevada 78 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.772	Nevada 73 - Loyola Marymount 59	-3
New Mexico 73 - New Mexico State 72	0.504	New Mexico 106 - New Mexico State 62	-43
NJ Tech 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.526	NJ Tech 68 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	4
North Carolina 80 - Florida State 73	0.682	North Carolina 78 - Florida State 70	-1
North Carolina AT 71 - The Citadel 72	0.555	North Carolina AT 68 - The Citadel 85	16
North Carolina Central 68 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.574	North Carolina Central 82 - South Carolina Upstate 85	5
North Florida 71 - High Point 68	0.571	North Florida 79 - High Point 86	10
North Texas 84 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.982	North Texas 79 - Mississippi Valley State 48	4
Northeastern 66 - Old Dominion 67	0.52	Northeastern 81 - Old Dominion 68	-14
Northern Arizona 66 - Pacific 69	0.602	Northern Arizona 78 - Pacific 58	-23
Northern Colorado 75 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.733	Northern Colorado 75 - Cal State Northridge 71	4
Oakland 72 - IPFW 68	0.618	Oakland 77 - IPFW 98	25
Ohio 72 - Delaware 67	0.645	Ohio 74 - Delaware 73	4
Oral Roberts 71 - Tulsa 72	0.501	Oral Roberts 79 - Tulsa 70	-10
Oregon 74 - Michigan 75	0.506	Oregon 86 - Michigan 83	-4
Penn State 82 - Bucknell 61	0.927	Penn State 67 - Bucknell 76	30
Pennsylvania 72 - La Salle 71	0.528	Pennsylvania 92 - La Salle 93	2
Princeton 72 - Furman 71	0.518	Princeton 70 - Furman 69	0
Providence 78 - Rhode Island 65	0.812	Providence 84 - Rhode Island 69	-2
Rice 80 - Houston Christian 67	0.846	Rice 65 - Houston Christian 56	4
Richmond 80 - William and Mary 61	0.899	Richmond 88 - William and Mary 69	0
Robert Morris 69 - Youngstown State 70	0.553	Robert Morris 57 - Youngstown State 71	13
Rutgers 71 - Illinois 73	0.556	Rutgers 58 - Illinois 76	16
Sacred Heart 68 - Boston 69	0.535	Sacred Heart 49 - Boston 70	20
Saint Josephs 70 - Temple 74	0.626	Saint Josephs 74 - Temple 65	-13
Seattle 72 - Southern Utah 69	0.591	Seattle 73 - Southern Utah 63	-7
Southern California 70 - Gonzaga 81	0.784	Southern California 76 - Gonzaga 89	2
Southern Illinois 67 - Saint Louis 71	0.598	Southern Illinois 101 - Saint Louis 60	-45
Southern Indiana 68 - Bowling Green 73	0.612	Southern Indiana 52 - Bowling Green 54	-3
Stonehill 69 - Binghamton 68	0.51	Stonehill 64 - Binghamton 79	16
Stony Brook 69 - Wagner 65	0.603	Stony Brook 59 - Wagner 60	5
Tarleton State 73 - Texas Pan American 64	0.725	Tarleton State 77 - Texas Pan American 75	7
Tennessee State 68 - Austin Peay 67	0.542	Tennessee State 69 - Austin Peay 65	-3
Toledo 73 - George Mason 69	0.61	Toledo 77 - George Mason 86	13
UMBC 74 - Lehigh 68	0.655	UMBC 92 - Lehigh 87	1
Utah State 74 - UC Irvine 65	0.723	Utah State 79 - UC Irvine 69	-1
Utah Tech 66 - Utah Valley 73	0.696	Utah Tech 65 - Utah Valley 53	-19
Vanderbilt 79 - Alabama AM 57	0.941	Vanderbilt 78 - Alabama AM 59	3
Vermont 73 - Yale 65	0.736	Vermont 66 - Yale 65	7
Villanova 80 - Drexel 58	0.944	Villanova 55 - Drexel 57	24
Virginia 74 - Syracuse 67	0.669	Virginia 84 - Syracuse 62	-15
Virginia Military Institute 73 - Presbyterian 68	0.672	Virginia Military Institute 71 - Presbyterian 75	9
Washington 72 - Colorado State 76	0.595	Washington 81 - Colorado State 86	1
Washington State 79 - Portland State 63	0.86	Washington State 71 - Portland State 61	6
Wisconsin 75 - Marquette 73	0.558	Wisconsin 75 - Marquette 64	-9

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 81 - Unranked 59		Alabama State 80 - Unranked 60
Appalachian State 65 - Auburn 79	0.845	Appalachian State 69 - Auburn 64	-19
Arizona State 73 - San Francisco 72	0.508	Arizona State 72 - San Francisco 61	-10
Cal State Fullerton 88 - Unranked 55		Cal State Fullerton 102 - Unranked 52
Canisius 65 - Saint Peters 68	0.578	Canisius 52 - Saint Peters 54	-1
Chicago State 63 - Stetson 74	0.776	Chicago State 77 - Stetson 54	-34
Cincinnati 81 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	0.908	Cincinnati 99 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	-17
Colorado 82 - Pepperdine 65	0.874	Colorado 91 - Pepperdine 66	-8
Fordham 67 - Tulane 73	0.683	Fordham 81 - Tulane 89	2
Hampton 84 - Unranked 60		Hampton 121 - Unranked 66
Hawaii 77 - Central Arkansas 61	0.881	Hawaii 95 - Central Arkansas 76	-3
Illinois State 66 - Murray State 73	0.668	Illinois State 76 - Murray State 72	-11
Jacksonville State 67 - East Tennessee State 68	0.542	Jacksonville State 59 - East Tennessee State 61	1
James Madison 92 - Unranked 55		James Madison 130 - Unranked 59
Maine 64 - Brown 70	0.671	Maine 60 - Brown 49	-17
Marist 68 - Manhattan 65	0.578	Marist 70 - Manhattan 56	-11
Mississippi State 81 - Southern 57	0.935	Mississippi State 59 - Southern 60	25
Missouri 70 - Wichita State 72	0.567	Missouri 82 - Wichita State 72	-12
Morehead State 66 - Chattanooga 68	0.581	Morehead State 87 - Chattanooga 80	-9
Morgan State 64 - Longwood 72	0.714	Morgan State 54 - Longwood 88	26
Mt St Marys 63 - Siena 64	0.516	Mt St Marys 80 - Siena 48	-33
Navy 71 - Coppin State 58	0.829	Navy 75 - Coppin State 52	-10
Nebraska 72 - Creighton 80	0.704	Nebraska 60 - Creighton 89	21
New Hampshire 72 - Columbia 65	0.697	New Hampshire 80 - Columbia 71	-2
Niagara 70 - Quinnipiac 69	0.509	Niagara 68 - Quinnipiac 75	8
Ohio State 80 - Minnesota 66	0.822	Ohio State 84 - Minnesota 74	4
Pittsburgh 70 - Clemson 73	0.599	Pittsburgh 70 - Clemson 79	6
Portland 71 - Air Force 68	0.575	Portland 58 - Air Force 80	25
Radford 69 - Elon 64	0.638	Radford 82 - Elon 72	-5
Rider 70 - Fairfield 65	0.673	Rider 81 - Fairfield 88	12
Sam Houston State 75 - Lamar 61	0.861	Sam Houston State 90 - Lamar 70	-6
Samford 90 - Unranked 57		Samford 128 - Unranked 82
SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 59		SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 56
Southern Methodist 80 - Texas AM Commerce 60	0.897	Southern Methodist 90 - Texas AM Commerce 47	-23
Stanford 76 - San Diego 66	0.766	Stanford 88 - San Diego 64	-14
Tennessee Tech 83 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 108 - Unranked 82
UC Riverside 72 - North Dakota 63	0.753	UC Riverside 68 - North Dakota 62	3
Virginia Tech 77 - Louisville 68	0.721	Virginia Tech 75 - Louisville 68	2
Western Illinois 67 - South Dakota 73	0.664	Western Illinois 68 - South Dakota 70	-4
Western Kentucky 78 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.813	Western Kentucky 79 - Eastern Kentucky 69	2

Number of DI Games: 294
Number Correct: 201 = 68.3%
Expected Number Correct: 205.565 = 69.9%
Average Error: 10.62
Average Signed Error: -1.79

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 93 - Arkansas State 62	0.959	Alabama 89 - Arkansas State 65	7
Arkansas 82 - Furman 72	0.77	Arkansas 97 - Furman 83	-4
Bellarmine 85 - Unranked 57		Bellarmine 88 - Unranked 54
Coastal Carolina 87 - Unranked 61		Coastal Carolina 110 - Unranked 46
East Carolina 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	0.831	East Carolina 63 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	2
Georgia State 90 - Unranked 56		Georgia State 89 - Unranked 57
North Dakota State 71 - San Jose State 72	0.527	North Dakota State 83 - San Jose State 78	-6
Oregon State 78 - Cal Poly 62	0.849	Oregon State 70 - Cal Poly 63	9
Purdue 85 - Iowa 73	0.79	Purdue 87 - Iowa 68	-7
Texas El Paso 88 - Unranked 55		Texas El Paso 90 - Unranked 62

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 68 - Bradley 73	0.654	Akron 67 - Bradley 52	-20
Albany 89 - Unranked 58		Albany 98 - Unranked 59
Appalachian State 94 - Unranked 51		Appalachian State 111 - Unranked 35
Army 66 - Le Moyne 68	0.552	Army 68 - Le Moyne 51	-19
Austin Peay 81 - Unranked 58		Austin Peay 98 - Unranked 44
Baylor 82 - Seton Hall 68	0.875	Baylor 78 - Seton Hall 60	-4
Boise State 71 - North Texas 68	0.603	Boise State 69 - North Texas 64	-2
Boston College 81 - Central Connecticut State 60	0.936	Boston College 82 - Central Connecticut State 68	7
Brigham Young 86 - Evansville 64	0.919	Brigham Young 96 - Evansville 55	-19
Butler 89 - Buffalo 60	0.96	Butler 72 - Buffalo 59	16
Cal State Bakersfield 85 - Unranked 58		Cal State Bakersfield 106 - Unranked 58
Charlotte 75 - Stetson 62	0.79	Charlotte 85 - Stetson 62	-10
Columbia 73 - Lafayette 62	0.819	Columbia 83 - Lafayette 72	0
Delaware State 83 - Unranked 61		Delaware State 105 - Unranked 58
Florida 80 - Merrimack 64	0.875	Florida 77 - Merrimack 57	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 86 - Unranked 59		Florida Gulf Coast 87 - Unranked 54
Fresno State 72 - Idaho State 65	0.741	Fresno State 79 - Idaho State 67	-5
George Washington 78 - Navy 62	0.851	George Washington 79 - Navy 77	14
Georgia 72 - Georgia Tech 71	0.511	Georgia 76 - Georgia Tech 62	-13
Gonzaga 97 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 58	0.996	Gonzaga 111 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	-1
Grand Canyon 70 - San Diego State 77	0.699	Grand Canyon 79 - San Diego State 73	-13
High Point 72 - Western Carolina 74	0.565	High Point 97 - Western Carolina 71	-28
Idaho 71 - Pacific 68	0.577	Idaho 83 - Pacific 53	-27
Illinois 74 - Florida Atlantic 76	0.552	Illinois 98 - Florida Atlantic 89	-11
Kansas 86 - UMKC 57	0.954	Kansas 88 - UMKC 69	10
Kansas State 72 - Villanova 74	0.529	Kansas State 72 - Villanova 71	-3
Kennesaw St 76 - UNC Asheville 74	0.547	Kennesaw St 79 - UNC Asheville 76	-1
Liberty 86 - Mississippi Valley State 50	0.976	Liberty 74 - Mississippi Valley State 39	1
Mcneese State 92 - Unranked 53		Mcneese State 92 - Unranked 23
Michigan 75 - Indiana 73	0.559	Michigan 75 - Indiana 78	5
Michigan State 69 - Wisconsin 70	0.512	Michigan State 57 - Wisconsin 70	12
Middle Tennessee 63 - Missouri State 72	0.742	Middle Tennessee 77 - Missouri State 73	-13
Mississippi 80 - Mt St Marys 57	0.936	Mississippi 77 - Mt St Marys 68	14
Montana 90 - Unranked 55		Montana 91 - Unranked 67
New Orleans 85 - Unranked 63		New Orleans 79 - Unranked 65
North Carolina 77 - Connecticut 78	0.524	North Carolina 76 - Connecticut 87	10
North Florida 86 - Unranked 61		North Florida 99 - Unranked 47
Northern Illinois 73 - Indiana State 81	0.68	Northern Illinois 67 - Indiana State 90	15
Notre Dame 73 - Western Michigan 62	0.836	Notre Dame 86 - Western Michigan 65	-10
Oklahoma 74 - Providence 72	0.58	Oklahoma 72 - Providence 51	-19
Princeton 73 - Drexel 60	0.862	Princeton 81 - Drexel 70	2
Saint Marys 76 - Cleveland State 64	0.741	Saint Marys 70 - Cleveland State 57	-1
South Dakota State 72 - Kent State 73	0.538	South Dakota State 73 - Kent State 82	8
Southern Illinois 72 - Oklahoma State 67	0.625	Southern Illinois 70 - Oklahoma State 68	3
Stephen F Austin 70 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.524	Stephen F Austin 49 - Louisiana Tech 56	6
Syracuse 80 - Cornell 75	0.651	Syracuse 81 - Cornell 70	-6
Tarleton State 90 - Unranked 54		Tarleton State 92 - Unranked 56
Tennessee 77 - George Mason 66	0.807	Tennessee 87 - George Mason 66	-10
The Citadel 87 - Unranked 56		The Citadel 88 - Unranked 60
Tulsa 66 - Loyola Ill 72	0.675	Tulsa 88 - Loyola Ill 77	-17
UC San Diego 89 - Unranked 56		UC San Diego 98 - Unranked 67
UL Monroe 86 - Unranked 58		UL Monroe 110 - Unranked 63
UMass Lowell 93 - Unranked 54		UMass Lowell 117 - Unranked 69
Utah 86 - Southern Utah 66	0.932	Utah 88 - Southern Utah 86	18
Utah Valley 68 - Weber State 69	0.513	Utah Valley 70 - Weber State 54	-17
Virginia 82 - North Carolina Central 54	0.959	Virginia 77 - North Carolina Central 47	-2
Washington 81 - Montana State 66	0.92	Washington 85 - Montana State 61	-9
Winthrop 75 - Queens 68	0.734	Winthrop 88 - Queens 82	1
Wyoming 90 - Unranked 55		Wyoming 80 - Unranked 59
Xavier 79 - Delaware 66	0.876	Xavier 80 - Delaware 87	20

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Northern Arizona 66	0.682	Abilene Christian 76 - Northern Arizona 78	9
Arizona State 73 - Southern Methodist 70	0.598	Arizona State 76 - Southern Methodist 74	1
Belmont 78 - Lipscomb 72	0.641	Belmont 72 - Lipscomb 71	5
Boston 66 - Maine 64	0.532	Boston 65 - Maine 74	11
Cal Baptist 75 - Utah Tech 67	0.706	Cal Baptist 69 - Utah Tech 72	11
Canisius 76 - Robert Morris 66	0.776	Canisius 87 - Robert Morris 80	3
Central Florida 79 - Jacksonville 64	0.834	Central Florida 94 - Jacksonville 52	-27
Central Michigan 68 - Valparaiso 72	0.609	Central Michigan 71 - Valparaiso 67	-8
Clemson 78 - South Carolina 69	0.713	Clemson 72 - South Carolina 67	4
Colgate 91 - Unranked 53		Colgate 115 - Unranked 37
Colorado State 90 - Denver 63	0.953	Colorado State 90 - Denver 80	17
Coppin State 59 - Wagner 69	0.749	Coppin State 59 - Wagner 62	-7
Dartmouth 65 - New Hampshire 74	0.762	Dartmouth 76 - New Hampshire 64	-21
Davidson 78 - Campbell 59	0.883	Davidson 62 - Campbell 50	7
Detroit 65 - Ball State 71	0.648	Detroit 65 - Ball State 68	-3
Drake 82 - Saint Louis 68	0.776	Drake 75 - Saint Louis 69	8
Fordham 79 - NJ Tech 58	0.917	Fordham 77 - NJ Tech 80	24
Gardner Webb 76 - Wofford 71	0.666	Gardner Webb 66 - Wofford 81	20
Houston 87 - Rice 55	0.979	Houston 75 - Rice 39	-4
Houston Christian 82 - Unranked 65		Houston Christian 95 - Unranked 58
Illinois State 69 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.529	Illinois State 62 - Northern Kentucky 59	-2
Iona 68 - Hofstra 76	0.712	Iona 57 - Hofstra 62	-3
La Salle 82 - Loyola MD 64	0.929	La Salle 62 - Loyola MD 61	17
Long Beach State 93 - Unranked 57		Long Beach State 88 - Unranked 66
Marquette 78 - Texas 71	0.732	Marquette 86 - Texas 65	-14
Marshall 70 - Duquesne 79	0.746	Marshall 72 - Duquesne 85	4
Maryland 72 - Penn State 71	0.528	Maryland 81 - Penn State 75	-5
Mercer 70 - South Alabama 68	0.562	Mercer 62 - South Alabama 83	23
Miami 89 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0.96	Miami 97 - LIU Brooklyn 49	-17
Minnesota 71 - Nebraska 75	0.607	Minnesota 76 - Nebraska 65	-15
Morgan State 72 - UMBC 76	0.604	Morgan State 92 - UMBC 80	-16
NC State 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.938	NC State 93 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	-7
Nevada 85 - UC Davis 60	0.95	Nevada 80 - UC Davis 68	13
New Mexico 82 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.816	New Mexico 84 - UC Santa Barbara 61	-10
Niagara 61 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.906	Niagara 60 - Saint Bonaventure 94	18
Northeastern 67 - Vermont 74	0.749	Northeastern 71 - Vermont 73	-5
Northern Iowa 70 - Richmond 75	0.629	Northern Iowa 78 - Richmond 73	-10
Oakland 75 - Toledo 74	0.523	Oakland 68 - Toledo 69	2
Ohio 76 - Youngstown State 72	0.6	Ohio 72 - Youngstown State 78	10
Ohio State 85 - Miami OH 60	0.939	Ohio State 84 - Miami OH 64	5
Pennsylvania 93 - Unranked 57		Pennsylvania 111 - Unranked 57
Pepperdine 72 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.56	Pepperdine 55 - Cal State Fullerton 60	7
Portland State 91 - Unranked 54		Portland State 104 - Unranked 60
Presbyterian 72 - Florida AM 65	0.695	Presbyterian 60 - Florida AM 65	12
Rhode Island 78 - Brown 66	0.876	Rhode Island 64 - Brown 67	15
Saint Johns 87 - Sacred Heart 63	0.936	Saint Johns 85 - Sacred Heart 50	-11
Saint Josephs 80 - American 60	0.902	Saint Josephs 69 - American 53	4
Saint Thomas 75 - Milwaukee 65	0.772	Saint Thomas 75 - Milwaukee 71	6
SE Missouri State 81 - Unranked 62		SE Missouri State 95 - Unranked 45
Siena 59 - Bryant 77	0.826	Siena 51 - Bryant 67	-2
SIU Edwardsville 67 - Green Bay 66	0.506	SIU Edwardsville 78 - Green Bay 69	-8
Southern Indiana 64 - IPFW 80	0.866	Southern Indiana 57 - IPFW 70	-3
Stony Brook 75 - Stonehill 66	0.759	Stony Brook 81 - Stonehill 63	-9
Temple 95 - Unranked 56		Temple 85 - Unranked 55
Texas AM 85 - DePaul 64	0.959	Texas AM 89 - DePaul 64	-4
Texas AM CC 75 - Texas Pan American 68	0.688	Texas AM CC 74 - Texas Pan American 76	9
Texas Arlington 91 - Unranked 56		Texas Arlington 74 - Unranked 37
Texas Tech 82 - Omaha 60	0.951	Texas Tech 87 - Omaha 58	-7
Towson 64 - Massachusetts 73	0.765	Towson 81 - Massachusetts 71	-19
Utah State 81 - San Diego 61	0.916	Utah State 108 - San Diego 81	-7
Vanderbilt 67 - San Francisco 75	0.727	Vanderbilt 60 - San Francisco 73	5
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Memphis 73	0.57	Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Memphis 85	3
Wake Forest 70 - Rutgers 73	0.612	Wake Forest 76 - Rutgers 57	-22
Washington State 79 - UC Riverside 62	0.891	Washington State 86 - UC Riverside 49	-20
West Virginia 70 - Pittsburgh 73	0.573	West Virginia 63 - Pittsburgh 80	14
Western Illinois 85 - Unranked 61		Western Illinois 80 - Unranked 58
William and Mary 67 - Old Dominion 75	0.683	William and Mary 84 - Old Dominion 79	-13
Yale 82 - Fairfield 64	0.939	Yale 71 - Fairfield 75	22

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bellarmine 85 - Unranked 57		Bellarmine 98 - Unranked 59
Cal State Northridge 86 - Unranked 59		Cal State Northridge 92 - Unranked 54
Central Arkansas 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 80	0.858	Central Arkansas 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	-18
Delaware State 83 - Unranked 61		Delaware State 106 - Unranked 73
Eastern Illinois 72 - IUPUI 63	0.727	Eastern Illinois 75 - IUPUI 58	-8
Iowa State 79 - Iowa 75	0.583	Iowa State 90 - Iowa 65	-21
North Alabama 88 - Unranked 58		North Alabama 109 - Unranked 65
North Dakota State 75 - Portland 74	0.511	North Dakota State 78 - Portland 67	-10
UNC Greensboro 80 - Eastern Kentucky 61	0.933	UNC Greensboro 87 - Eastern Kentucky 85	17
Wright State 95 - Unranked 57		Wright State 81 - Unranked 62

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 84 - Holy Cross 56	0.962	Boston College 95 - Holy Cross 64	-3
Duquesne 75 - Saint Peters 61	0.861	Duquesne 68 - Saint Peters 59	5
Eastern Michigan 66 - Oakland 76	0.755	Eastern Michigan 63 - Oakland 77	4
Harvard 79 - Army 56	0.911	Harvard 70 - Army 64	17
High Point 84 - North Carolina AT 67	0.91	High Point 75 - North Carolina AT 62	4
Jacksonville State 60 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.77	Jacksonville State 49 - Illinois Chicago 55	-4
Manhattan 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.672	Manhattan 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 76	10
Quinnipiac 71 - Navy 66	0.649	Quinnipiac 71 - Navy 68	2
Rider 73 - Stonehill 70	0.593	Rider 73 - Stonehill 56	-14
Yale 94 - Unranked 55		Yale 95 - Unranked 36

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 75 - Eastern Washington 68	0.7	Air Force 68 - Eastern Washington 73	12
Alabama 79 - Purdue 83	0.597	Alabama 86 - Purdue 92	2
Arizona 80 - Wisconsin 70	0.746	Arizona 98 - Wisconsin 73	-15
Arkansas State 68 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.757	Arkansas State 87 - Alabama Birmingham 68	-29
Auburn 75 - Indiana 70	0.646	Auburn 104 - Indiana 76	-23
Austin Peay 64 - Murray State 74	0.82	Austin Peay 53 - Murray State 49	-14
Binghamton 74 - Le Moyne 66	0.675	Binghamton 91 - Le Moyne 79	-4
Boise State 96 - Unranked 51		Boise State 109 - Unranked 70
Buffalo 66 - Western Kentucky 76	0.787	Buffalo 65 - Western Kentucky 82	7
Butler 83 - California 67	0.858	Butler 97 - California 90	9
Clemson 79 - Texas Christian 72	0.697	Clemson 74 - Texas Christian 66	-1
Coastal Carolina 73 - Wofford 77	0.646	Coastal Carolina 80 - Wofford 88	4
Colorado State 80 - Saint Marys 67	0.75	Colorado State 61 - Saint Marys 64	16
Connecticut 95 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.996	Connecticut 101 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	0
Creighton 90 - Central Michigan 56	0.977	Creighton 109 - Central Michigan 64	-11
Dartmouth 62 - Marist 69	0.669	Dartmouth 53 - Marist 63	3
Davidson 79 - Miami OH 65	0.803	Davidson 79 - Miami OH 61	-4
Dayton 81 - Troy 63	0.94	Dayton 82 - Troy 70	6
Delaware State 62 - Longwood 75	0.867	Delaware State 61 - Longwood 62	-12
DePaul 75 - Louisville 73	0.548	DePaul 75 - Louisville 68	-5
Duke 76 - Charlotte 65	0.807	Duke 80 - Charlotte 56	-13
East Carolina 66 - South Carolina 78	0.785	East Carolina 62 - South Carolina 68	-6
Florida 77 - Richmond 72	0.625	Florida 87 - Richmond 76	-6
Florida AM 83 - Unranked 60		Florida AM 108 - Unranked 78
Fresno State 74 - Pacific 64	0.76	Fresno State 89 - Pacific 56	-23
Furman 95 - Unranked 56		Furman 100 - Unranked 58
George Washington 85 - Coppin State 57	0.941	George Washington 76 - Coppin State 45	-3
Georgetown 72 - Syracuse 78	0.672	Georgetown 68 - Syracuse 80	6
Georgia Tech 84 - Alabama AM 59	0.942	Georgia Tech 70 - Alabama AM 49	4
Green Bay 72 - Western Illinois 65	0.71	Green Bay 59 - Western Illinois 68	16
Houston 88 - Jackson State 51	0.99	Houston 89 - Jackson State 55	3
Illinois State 69 - Norfolk State 67	0.565	Illinois State 58 - Norfolk State 64	8
Incarnate Word 65 - Northern Arizona 72	0.693	Incarnate Word 75 - Northern Arizona 76	-6
Indiana State 86 - Southern Indiana 58	0.955	Indiana State 98 - Southern Indiana 54	-16
IPFW 84 - SE Missouri State 61	0.937	IPFW 89 - SE Missouri State 80	14
Kansas 79 - Missouri 65	0.813	Kansas 73 - Missouri 64	5
Kent State 76 - Cleveland State 68	0.714	Kent State 83 - Cleveland State 77	2
Lafayette 66 - La Salle 77	0.847	Lafayette 51 - La Salle 67	5
Lehigh 86 - Unranked 61		Lehigh 88 - Unranked 33
Liberty 76 - Grand Canyon 70	0.647	Liberty 64 - Grand Canyon 69	11
Lindenwood 68 - UMKC 71	0.591	Lindenwood 67 - UMKC 72	2
Louisiana State 73 - Kansas State 77	0.599	Louisiana State 60 - Kansas State 75	11
Louisiana Tech 75 - UL Lafayette 65	0.792	Louisiana Tech 72 - UL Lafayette 67	5
Loyola Ill 93 - Unranked 51		Loyola Ill 115 - Unranked 64
Loyola MD 66 - Mt St Marys 69	0.611	Loyola MD 64 - Mt St Marys 77	10
Maine 69 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.688	Maine 69 - Central Connecticut State 56	-6
Marquette 82 - Notre Dame 62	0.946	Marquette 78 - Notre Dame 59	1
Massachusetts 76 - UMass Lowell 70	0.659	Massachusetts 91 - UMass Lowell 77	-8
Mercer 69 - Georgia State 71	0.571	Mercer 64 - Georgia State 60	-6
Merrimack 86 - Unranked 54		Merrimack 89 - Unranked 85
Middle Tennessee 69 - Belmont 74	0.631	Middle Tennessee 65 - Belmont 75	5
Minnesota 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	0.872	Minnesota 77 - Florida Gulf Coast 57	-6
Mississippi State 75 - Tulane 72	0.593	Mississippi State 106 - Tulane 76	-27
Missouri State 76 - Sam Houston State 67	0.779	Missouri State 69 - Sam Houston State 60	0
Monmouth 73 - Northern Illinois 76	0.582	Monmouth 74 - Northern Illinois 71	-6
Montana 90 - Unranked 55		Montana 88 - Unranked 67
Morgan State 82 - Unranked 64		Morgan State 120 - Unranked 50
Nevada 76 - Drake 73	0.573	Nevada 53 - Drake 72	22
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Loyola Marymount 71	0.551	Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Loyola Marymount 78	5
New Mexico 80 - Santa Clara 72	0.685	New Mexico 93 - Santa Clara 76	-9
Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 59		Nicholls State 84 - Unranked 70
North Dakota 71 - Portland 73	0.575	North Dakota 72 - Portland 83	9
North Florida 75 - Georgia Southern 69	0.688	North Florida 64 - Georgia Southern 56	-2
Northern Kentucky 68 - Akron 69	0.532	Northern Kentucky 76 - Akron 77	0
Ohio 80 - Marshall 70	0.768	Ohio 69 - Marshall 74	15
Oklahoma 77 - Arkansas 74	0.603	Oklahoma 79 - Arkansas 70	-6
Old Dominion 68 - James Madison 80	0.797	Old Dominion 69 - James Madison 84	3
Oral Roberts 93 - Unranked 56		Oral Roberts 110 - Unranked 51
Oregon 81 - Texas El Paso 64	0.882	Oregon 71 - Texas El Paso 49	-5
Oregon State 70 - Utah Valley 68	0.569	Oregon State 74 - Utah Valley 71	-1
Penn State 69 - Ohio State 80	0.75	Penn State 83 - Ohio State 80	-14
Pennsylvania 71 - Kentucky 84	0.793	Pennsylvania 66 - Kentucky 81	2
Pepperdine 74 - UC San Diego 72	0.564	Pepperdine 68 - UC San Diego 62	-4
Pittsburgh 79 - Canisius 65	0.792	Pittsburgh 82 - Canisius 71	3
Portland State 91 - Unranked 54		Portland State 83 - Unranked 77
Queens 88 - Unranked 58		Queens 112 - Unranked 64
Radford 73 - North Carolina Central 64	0.799	Radford 82 - North Carolina Central 74	1
Sacramento State 66 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.682	Sacramento State 60 - Cal State Fullerton 62	-4
Sacred Heart 73 - Fairfield 69	0.622	Sacred Heart 57 - Fairfield 67	14
Saint Bonaventure 80 - Siena 52	0.946	Saint Bonaventure 89 - Siena 56	-5
Saint Louis 72 - Hofstra 77	0.633	Saint Louis 71 - Hofstra 68	-8
San Diego 63 - Arizona State 76	0.82	San Diego 89 - Arizona State 84	-18
San Diego State 77 - UC Irvine 65	0.805	San Diego State 63 - UC Irvine 62	11
San Jose State 78 - New Orleans 64	0.796	San Jose State 87 - New Orleans 82	9
Seattle 92 - Unranked 53		Seattle 101 - Unranked 46
Seton Hall 68 - Rutgers 69	0.517	Seton Hall 63 - Rutgers 70	6
South Alabama 87 - Unranked 57		South Alabama 91 - Unranked 74
South Carolina State 70 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.539	South Carolina State 71 - Bethune Cookman 80	11
South Carolina Upstate 71 - Kennesaw St 74	0.589	South Carolina Upstate 77 - Kennesaw St 84	4
South Dakota 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.653	South Dakota 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 73	0
South Florida 64 - Florida State 77	0.778	South Florida 88 - Florida State 72	-29
Southern 76 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.67	Southern 69 - Southeast Louisiana 44	-18
Southern Miss 77 - Northwestern State 66	0.814	Southern Miss 83 - Northwestern State 74	2
Southern Utah 74 - Idaho State 69	0.691	Southern Utah 82 - Idaho State 74	-3
Stony Brook 68 - Bryant 74	0.666	Stony Brook 86 - Bryant 75	-17
Tennessee 74 - Illinois 72	0.581	Tennessee 86 - Illinois 79	-5
Texas 89 - Houston Christian 55	0.996	Texas 77 - Houston Christian 50	7
Texas AM CC 73 - Omaha 69	0.606	Texas AM CC 62 - Omaha 58	0
Toledo 79 - Northern Iowa 71	0.714	Toledo 84 - Northern Iowa 80	4
UC Davis 76 - Milwaukee 68	0.727	UC Davis 79 - Milwaukee 81	10
UC Santa Barbara 92 - Unranked 55		UC Santa Barbara 126 - Unranked 76
UMBC 68 - Towson 73	0.631	UMBC 73 - Towson 89	11
Utah 74 - Brigham Young 79	0.649	Utah 73 - Brigham Young 69	-9
Utah State 99 - Unranked 49		Utah State 84 - Unranked 53
Utah Tech 75 - Idaho 66	0.72	Utah Tech 62 - Idaho 63	10
Vermont 72 - Colgate 66	0.701	Vermont 71 - Colgate 77	12
Villanova 71 - UCLA 68	0.583	Villanova 65 - UCLA 56	-6
Virginia Military Institute 70 - American 71	0.552	Virginia Military Institute 69 - American 77	7
Virginia Tech 80 - Valparaiso 63	0.864	Virginia Tech 71 - Valparaiso 50	-4
Wake Forest 85 - NJ Tech 60	0.95	Wake Forest 83 - NJ Tech 59	1
Washington 75 - Gonzaga 82	0.717	Washington 78 - Gonzaga 73	-12
Weber State 78 - Cal Poly 61	0.875	Weber State 78 - Cal Poly 50	-11
West Virginia 68 - Drexel 65	0.612	West Virginia 66 - Drexel 60	-3
Western Carolina 77 - UNC Asheville 69	0.74	Western Carolina 78 - UNC Asheville 63	-7
Western Michigan 66 - Youngstown State 75	0.723	Western Michigan 68 - Youngstown State 72	-5
Wichita State 76 - South Dakota State 67	0.769	Wichita State 69 - South Dakota State 79	19
Wyoming 71 - Stephen F Austin 74	0.577	Wyoming 78 - Stephen F Austin 70	-11
Xavier 75 - Cincinnati 78	0.563	Xavier 84 - Cincinnati 79	-8

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 90 - Unranked 56		Abilene Christian 120 - Unranked 69
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Winthrop 74	0.515	Arkansas Little Rock 68 - Winthrop 85	16
Ball State 71 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.661	Ball State 83 - SIU Edwardsville 71	-5
Bowling Green 88 - Unranked 56		Bowling Green 97 - Unranked 49
Central Florida 72 - Mississippi 71	0.515	Central Florida 68 - Mississippi 70	3
Chattanooga 89 - Unranked 56		Chattanooga 112 - Unranked 51
Chicago State 63 - Saint Thomas 71	0.682	Chicago State 50 - Saint Thomas 66	8
College of Charleston 76 - Rhode Island 71	0.668	College of Charleston 85 - Rhode Island 70	-10
East Tennessee State 74 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.815	East Tennessee State 73 - Tennessee Tech 72	10
Eastern Illinois 74 - Central Arkansas 65	0.752	Eastern Illinois 70 - Central Arkansas 73	12
Eastern Kentucky 85 - Unranked 59		Eastern Kentucky 121 - Unranked 56
Fordham 65 - North Texas 69	0.631	Fordham 60 - North Texas 59	-5
Hawaii 92 - Unranked 53		Hawaii 78 - Unranked 53
Iona 76 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0.885	Iona 61 - Saint Francis Penn 54	8
Iowa 81 - Michigan 75	0.641	Iowa 80 - Michigan 90	16
Iowa State 82 - Prairie View 63	0.889	Iowa State 107 - Prairie View 56	-32
Lipscomb 77 - Tennessee State 68	0.726	Lipscomb 78 - Tennessee State 71	2
Miami 77 - Colorado 75	0.568	Miami 63 - Colorado 90	29
Nebraska 71 - Michigan State 73	0.585	Nebraska 77 - Michigan State 70	-9
Niagara 84 - Unranked 61		Niagara 113 - Unranked 64
North Alabama 69 - Morehead State 72	0.609	North Alabama 77 - Morehead State 86	6
North Dakota State 89 - Unranked 59		North Dakota State 108 - Unranked 14
Northwestern 84 - Detroit 57	0.95	Northwestern 91 - Detroit 59	-5
Oklahoma State 74 - Tulsa 67	0.725	Oklahoma State 72 - Tulsa 57	-8
Providence 84 - Brown 60	0.954	Providence 74 - Brown 54	4
Saint Johns 79 - Boston College 73	0.689	Saint Johns 80 - Boston College 86	12
Saint Josephs 67 - Princeton 73	0.647	Saint Josephs 74 - Princeton 70	-10
Southern California 82 - Long Beach State 69	0.844	Southern California 79 - Long Beach State 84	18
Stetson 88 - Unranked 57		Stetson 123 - Unranked 43
Temple 78 - Albany 70	0.759	Temple 78 - Albany 73	3
Tennessee Martin 91 - Unranked 63		Tennessee Martin 110 - Unranked 52
Texas AM 78 - Memphis 72	0.686	Texas AM 75 - Memphis 81	12
Texas San Antonio 87 - Unranked 62		Texas San Antonio 93 - Unranked 60
UNC Greensboro 81 - Elon 63	0.929	UNC Greensboro 82 - Elon 73	9
UNC Wilmington 92 - Unranked 52		UNC Wilmington 119 - Unranked 50
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Alcorn State 60	0.941	Virginia Commonwealth 86 - Alcorn State 58	-6
Wagner 65 - Boston 64	0.514	Wagner 59 - Boston 73	15
Washington State 86 - Grambling State 54	0.967	Washington State 83 - Grambling State 65	14
William and Mary 86 - Unranked 62		William and Mary 99 - Unranked 50

Number of DI Games: 252
Number Correct: 179 = 71%
Expected Number Correct: 185.518 = 73.6%
Average Error: 9.33
Average Signed Error: -0.53

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal State Northridge 68 - Utah Tech 72	0.617	Cal State Northridge 80 - Utah Tech 75	-9
Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Columbia 77	0.675	Fairleigh Dickinson 83 - Columbia 87	-2
Gardner Webb 88 - Unranked 56		Gardner Webb 79 - Unranked 60
Gonzaga 93 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.997	Gonzaga 78 - Mississippi Valley State 40	6
Hampton 84 - Unranked 63		Hampton 100 - Unranked 53
Longwood 90 - Unranked 51		Longwood 92 - Unranked 61
New Hampshire 80 - Stonehill 62	0.892	New Hampshire 75 - Stonehill 62	5
Pennsylvania 78 - Howard 73	0.65	Pennsylvania 78 - Howard 68	-5
Quinnipiac 71 - Yale 75	0.619	Quinnipiac 66 - Yale 73	3
Robert Morris 66 - Delaware 77	0.798	Robert Morris 69 - Delaware 73	-7
Samford 84 - Alabama AM 62	0.912	Samford 118 - Alabama AM 91	-5
San Francisco 85 - New Orleans 59	0.958	San Francisco 85 - New Orleans 72	13
South Carolina State 67 - Jacksonville 75	0.703	South Carolina State 86 - Jacksonville 85	-9
Texas AM Commerce 69 - Northern Colorado 70	0.52	Texas AM Commerce 101 - Northern Colorado 99	-3
Texas State 86 - Unranked 53		Texas State 107 - Unranked 58

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 86 - Northwestern State 58	0.986	Boise State 95 - Northwestern State 54	-13
Campbell 82 - Unranked 56		Campbell 88 - Unranked 59
Cincinnati 85 - Bryant 64	0.877	Cincinnati 85 - Bryant 53	-11
Duke 79 - Hofstra 68	0.763	Duke 89 - Hofstra 68	-10
George Washington 96 - Unranked 55		George Washington 88 - Unranked 73
Georgetown 80 - Coppin State 59	0.923	Georgetown 71 - Coppin State 54	4
Illinois Chicago 74 - Green Bay 57	0.881	Illinois Chicago 68 - Green Bay 70	19
Lindenwood 84 - Unranked 61		Lindenwood 81 - Unranked 64
Louisiana Tech 81 - Southeast Louisiana 56	0.951	Louisiana Tech 89 - Southeast Louisiana 60	-4
Maryland 82 - Alcorn State 62	0.94	Maryland 105 - Alcorn State 65	-20
Minnesota 84 - IUPUI 54	0.965	Minnesota 101 - IUPUI 65	-6
NC State 88 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.907	NC State 81 - Tennessee Martin 67	7
New Mexico State 87 - Unranked 61		New Mexico State 76 - Unranked 71
North Carolina AT 69 - North Carolina Central 75	0.695	North Carolina AT 62 - North Carolina Central 67	-1
North Dakota 85 - Unranked 59		North Dakota 87 - Unranked 36
Northern Iowa 76 - Prairie View 69	0.672	Northern Iowa 74 - Prairie View 55	-12
Oregon 80 - Cal Baptist 67	0.826	Oregon 76 - Cal Baptist 55	-8
Radford 78 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.95	Radford 73 - Virginia Military Institute 56	1
Saint Peters 76 - UMBC 65	0.763	Saint Peters 66 - UMBC 60	5
Sam Houston State 75 - UL Monroe 66	0.77	Sam Houston State 63 - UL Monroe 62	8
Seton Hall 76 - Monmouth 67	0.766	Seton Hall 70 - Monmouth 61	0
South Florida 82 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.824	South Florida 104 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 86	-2
Southern Illinois 77 - Austin Peay 55	0.912	Southern Illinois 68 - Austin Peay 70	24
Tarleton State 90 - Unranked 53		Tarleton State 85 - Unranked 47
Tennessee 92 - Georgia Southern 53	0.997	Tennessee 74 - Georgia Southern 56	21
Tennessee Tech 84 - Unranked 60		Tennessee Tech 81 - Unranked 74
Texas Tech 79 - Oral Roberts 68	0.793	Texas Tech 82 - Oral Roberts 76	5
Troy 92 - Unranked 58		Troy 110 - Unranked 63
UMass Lowell 81 - LIU Brooklyn 62	0.867	UMass Lowell 78 - LIU Brooklyn 65	6
UMKC 88 - Unranked 57		UMKC 80 - Unranked 57
Wright State 78 - Western Kentucky 73	0.644	Wright State 84 - Western Kentucky 91	12

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Alabama Birmingham 79	0.812	Alabama AM 82 - Alabama Birmingham 93	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.647	Arkansas Little Rock 93 - Texas San Antonio 84	-4
Auburn 85 - UNC Asheville 62	0.933	Auburn 87 - UNC Asheville 62	-2
Brigham Young 89 - Denver 63	0.953	Brigham Young 90 - Denver 74	10
Charleston Southern 65 - North Alabama 74	0.746	Charleston Southern 64 - North Alabama 76	3
Dartmouth 67 - Boston 66	0.503	Dartmouth 63 - Boston 56	-6
Eastern Washington 93 - Unranked 59		Eastern Washington 103 - Unranked 34
Florida Atlantic 88 - Florida International 62	0.931	Florida Atlantic 94 - Florida International 60	-8
Howard 92 - Unranked 59		Howard 88 - Unranked 49
Liberty 81 - Tennessee State 62	0.918	Liberty 74 - Tennessee State 52	-3
Louisiana State 79 - Alabama State 66	0.815	Louisiana State 74 - Alabama State 56	-5
Louisville 76 - Arkansas State 71	0.643	Louisville 63 - Arkansas State 75	17
Mcneese State 76 - Southern Miss 66	0.755	Mcneese State 67 - Southern Miss 48	-9
Milwaukee 64 - Longwood 77	0.834	Milwaukee 67 - Longwood 80	0
Mississippi State 80 - Murray State 60	0.894	Mississippi State 85 - Murray State 81	16
Nevada 76 - Weber State 64	0.766	Nevada 72 - Weber State 55	-5
Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Creighton 85	0.881	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Creighton 64	-34
Northwestern 85 - Chicago State 55	0.956	Northwestern 73 - Chicago State 75	32
Presbyterian 85 - Unranked 59		Presbyterian 118 - Unranked 51
Princeton 97 - Unranked 49		Princeton 92 - Unranked 40
Queens 66 - Appalachian State 77	0.76	Queens 81 - Appalachian State 93	1
Rice 79 - Incarnate Word 67	0.808	Rice 80 - Incarnate Word 57	-11
San Francisco 74 - Seattle 65	0.72	San Francisco 62 - Seattle 59	6
Santa Clara 70 - Utah State 80	0.748	Santa Clara 82 - Utah State 84	-8
Stony Brook 67 - Norfolk State 71	0.603	Stony Brook 84 - Norfolk State 78	-10
Toledo 81 - Marshall 70	0.821	Toledo 88 - Marshall 87	10
UL Lafayette 77 - Eastern Kentucky 67	0.777	UL Lafayette 73 - Eastern Kentucky 62	-1

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Campbell 82 - Unranked 56		Campbell 97 - Unranked 48
College of Charleston 77 - The Citadel 64	0.832	College of Charleston 86 - The Citadel 71	-2
Drake 86 - Grambling State 56	0.95	Drake 68 - Grambling State 56	18
Florida 82 - East Carolina 66	0.896	Florida 70 - East Carolina 65	11
Jacksonville 87 - Unranked 58		Jacksonville 91 - Unranked 54
Lamar 70 - UL Monroe 71	0.546	Lamar 97 - UL Monroe 73	-25
Marquette 84 - Saint Thomas 57	0.962	Marquette 84 - Saint Thomas 79	22
Morehead State 91 - Unranked 53		Morehead State 102 - Unranked 33
New Orleans 87 - Unranked 63		New Orleans 91 - Unranked 51
Northern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 55		Northern Kentucky 94 - Unranked 59
South Dakota State 94 - Unranked 53		South Dakota State 94 - Unranked 62
Tulane 83 - Furman 76	0.685	Tulane 117 - Furman 110	0
Wisconsin 80 - Jacksonville State 55	0.942	Wisconsin 75 - Jacksonville State 60	10
Youngstown State 93 - Unranked 54		Youngstown State 107 - Unranked 70

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 76 - Cleveland State 66	0.762	Bradley 69 - Cleveland State 76	17
Butler 100 - Unranked 52		Butler 96 - Unranked 70
Colorado 86 - Northern Colorado 61	0.951	Colorado 90 - Northern Colorado 68	3
East Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 55		East Tennessee State 105 - Unranked 43
Elon 88 - Unranked 59		Elon 104 - Unranked 70
Fresno State 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.823	Fresno State 61 - Cal State Bakersfield 58	8
Gonzaga 77 - Connecticut 76	0.504	Gonzaga 63 - Connecticut 76	14
New Mexico State 65 - New Mexico 87	0.933	New Mexico State 72 - New Mexico 73	-21
North Carolina Central 86 - Unranked 59		North Carolina Central 102 - Unranked 50
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Mt St Marys 69	0.642	Saint Francis Penn 65 - Mt St Marys 72	3
Sam Houston State 71 - Texas State 65	0.68	Sam Houston State 60 - Texas State 73	19
San Diego 71 - Portland State 72	0.54	San Diego 69 - Portland State 65	-5
Texas Pan American 72 - Texas AM CC 71	0.532	Texas Pan American 76 - Texas AM CC 86	11

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 65 - Chattanooga 76	0.845	Alabama AM 72 - Chattanooga 88	5
Arkansas 80 - Lipscomb 68	0.828	Arkansas 69 - Lipscomb 66	9
Ball State 65 - Indiana State 82	0.831	Ball State 72 - Indiana State 83	-6
Bellarmine 67 - Evansville 73	0.676	Bellarmine 61 - Evansville 70	3
Bowling Green 72 - UMKC 67	0.617	Bowling Green 79 - UMKC 69	-5
Brigham Young 87 - Georgia State 58	0.963	Brigham Young 86 - Georgia State 54	-3
Bryant 66 - Towson 70	0.585	Bryant 101 - Towson 93	-12
Bucknell 66 - Radford 72	0.664	Bucknell 63 - Radford 70	1
Cincinnati 76 - Dayton 72	0.617	Cincinnati 68 - Dayton 82	18
Creighton 82 - Alabama 78	0.596	Creighton 85 - Alabama 82	1
Davidson 95 - Unranked 51		Davidson 98 - Unranked 63
DePaul 67 - Northwestern 80	0.846	DePaul 46 - Northwestern 56	-3
Drexel 73 - Albany 65	0.745	Drexel 71 - Albany 52	-11
Florida International 88 - Unranked 59		Florida International 146 - Unranked 55
Florida State 74 - Southern Methodist 75	0.51	Florida State 57 - Southern Methodist 68	10
Gardner Webb 64 - Appalachian State 75	0.761	Gardner Webb 59 - Appalachian State 80	10
George Mason 83 - Loyola MD 56	0.97	George Mason 62 - Loyola MD 54	19
Georgia 77 - High Point 69	0.726	Georgia 66 - High Point 58	0
Georgia Southern 61 - UNC Wilmington 79	0.868	Georgia Southern 77 - UNC Wilmington 82	-13
Grand Canyon 83 - Portland 65	0.895	Grand Canyon 91 - Portland 63	-10
Hampton 63 - James Madison 88	0.953	Hampton 71 - James Madison 88	-8
Hofstra 74 - Norfolk State 65	0.718	Hofstra 74 - Norfolk State 58	-7
Houston 77 - Texas AM 65	0.833	Houston 70 - Texas AM 66	8
Houston Christian 83 - Unranked 64		Houston Christian 107 - Unranked 72
Illinois Chicago 76 - Western Michigan 59	0.891	Illinois Chicago 89 - Western Michigan 68	-4
Indiana 69 - Kansas 77	0.708	Indiana 71 - Kansas 75	-4
Iowa 83 - Florida AM 64	0.918	Iowa 88 - Florida AM 52	-17
IPFW 81 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.903	IPFW 86 - Bethune Cookman 63	-4
IUPUI 66 - Lindenwood 71	0.645	IUPUI 67 - Lindenwood 73	1
Jackson State 72 - Howard 76	0.633	Jackson State 81 - Howard 74	-11
Le Moyne 65 - Dartmouth 72	0.675	Le Moyne 80 - Dartmouth 54	-33
Liberty 95 - Unranked 50		Liberty 99 - Unranked 26
Loyola Marymount 72 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.567	Loyola Marymount 59 - UC Santa Barbara 68	11
Marshall 69 - UNC Greensboro 76	0.716	Marshall 72 - UNC Greensboro 65	-14
Massachusetts 75 - West Virginia 71	0.597	Massachusetts 87 - West Virginia 79	-4
Memphis 75 - Clemson 76	0.551	Memphis 79 - Clemson 77	-3
Mercer 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.625	Mercer 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	-1
Miami 83 - La Salle 68	0.837	Miami 84 - La Salle 77	8
Michigan 84 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.917	Michigan 83 - Eastern Michigan 66	5
Michigan State 70 - Baylor 79	0.77	Michigan State 88 - Baylor 64	-33
Mississippi 79 - California 65	0.797	Mississippi 88 - California 78	4
Monmouth 78 - Rider 65	0.844	Monmouth 77 - Rider 71	7
Montana State 88 - Unranked 55		Montana State 106 - Unranked 81
Murray State 77 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.79	Murray State 55 - Southeast Louisiana 61	18
Niagara 72 - NJ Tech 69	0.568	Niagara 89 - NJ Tech 81	-5
North Carolina 80 - Kentucky 78	0.553	North Carolina 83 - Kentucky 87	6
North Carolina AT 66 - Texas Southern 77	0.819	North Carolina AT 85 - Texas Southern 79	-17
North Florida 86 - Unranked 59		North Florida 113 - Unranked 72
Northern Arizona 72 - Southern Utah 73	0.54	Northern Arizona 76 - Southern Utah 74	-3
Northwestern State 68 - Rice 77	0.772	Northwestern State 51 - Rice 76	16
Notre Dame 75 - Georgetown 70	0.655	Notre Dame 68 - Georgetown 72	9
Ohio State 75 - UCLA 69	0.657	Ohio State 67 - UCLA 60	-1
Oklahoma 84 - Green Bay 55	0.963	Oklahoma 81 - Green Bay 47	-5
Pacific 67 - UC Davis 72	0.64	Pacific 61 - UC Davis 82	16
Penn State 73 - Georgia Tech 72	0.521	Penn State 81 - Georgia Tech 82	2
Pittsburgh 89 - South Carolina State 57	0.96	Pittsburgh 86 - South Carolina State 50	-4
Presbyterian 71 - Kennesaw St 75	0.637	Presbyterian 84 - Kennesaw St 94	6
Providence 83 - Sacred Heart 56	0.955	Providence 78 - Sacred Heart 64	13
Purdue 81 - Arizona 80	0.509	Purdue 92 - Arizona 84	-7
Rhode Island 69 - Delaware 75	0.697	Rhode Island 56 - Delaware 67	5
Richmond 70 - Charlotte 69	0.539	Richmond 64 - Charlotte 56	-7
Rutgers 83 - LIU Brooklyn 54	0.949	Rutgers 83 - LIU Brooklyn 61	7
Saint Bonaventure 69 - Florida Atlantic 79	0.726	Saint Bonaventure 54 - Florida Atlantic 64	0
Saint Johns 79 - Fordham 67	0.798	Saint Johns 77 - Fordham 55	-10
Saint Josephs 73 - Iona 65	0.734	Saint Josephs 83 - Iona 58	-17
Saint Louis 68 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.637	Saint Louis 75 - Louisiana Tech 74	-6
Saint Marys 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	0.751	Saint Marys 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	10
Samford 77 - Belmont 75	0.546	Samford 99 - Belmont 93	-4
South Carolina 84 - Charleston Southern 52	0.968	South Carolina 73 - Charleston Southern 69	28
South Carolina Upstate 66 - Western Carolina 74	0.721	South Carolina Upstate 53 - Western Carolina 70	9
South Florida 68 - Loyola Ill 70	0.536	South Florida 77 - Loyola Ill 64	-15
Tennessee 80 - NC State 70	0.787	Tennessee 79 - NC State 70	1
Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 59		Tennessee State 117 - Unranked 59
Tennessee Tech 69 - North Alabama 74	0.631	Tennessee Tech 70 - North Alabama 67	-8
Texas 77 - Louisiana State 68	0.751	Texas 96 - Louisiana State 85	-2
Texas Arlington 71 - Air Force 67	0.614	Texas Arlington 76 - Air Force 73	1
Texas Christian 77 - Arizona State 72	0.629	Texas Christian 79 - Arizona State 59	-15
Texas Tech 77 - Vanderbilt 65	0.814	Texas Tech 76 - Vanderbilt 54	-10
Tulane 82 - Southern 71	0.748	Tulane 105 - Southern 81	-13
Tulsa 68 - Missouri State 74	0.667	Tulsa 73 - Missouri State 72	-7
UC Irvine 79 - South Dakota 64	0.882	UC Irvine 121 - South Dakota 78	-28
UC Riverside 67 - Cal Baptist 72	0.622	UC Riverside 69 - Cal Baptist 70	-4
UMass Lowell 78 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.83	UMass Lowell 54 - Central Connecticut State 57	18
Utah 81 - Utah Valley 66	0.828	Utah 76 - Utah Valley 62	1
Utah State 76 - San Francisco 69	0.692	Utah State 54 - San Francisco 53	6
Utah Tech 75 - North Dakota 65	0.762	Utah Tech 62 - North Dakota 79	27
Valparaiso 74 - Chicago State 63	0.759	Valparaiso 62 - Chicago State 63	12
Virginia 81 - Northeastern 57	0.943	Virginia 56 - Northeastern 54	22
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Temple 69	0.741	Virginia Commonwealth 87 - Temple 78	-2
Virginia Tech 75 - Vermont 67	0.713	Virginia Tech 73 - Vermont 51	-14
Washington State 79 - Santa Clara 68	0.74	Washington State 61 - Santa Clara 69	19
Western Kentucky 74 - Austin Peay 62	0.877	Western Kentucky 65 - Austin Peay 64	11
Wichita State 72 - Southern Illinois 71	0.502	Wichita State 69 - Southern Illinois 68	0
Wyoming 70 - Weber State 69	0.538	Wyoming 71 - Weber State 84	14
Xavier 80 - Winthrop 68	0.837	Xavier 75 - Winthrop 59	-4

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Texas El Paso 68	0.596	Abilene Christian 88 - Texas El Paso 82	-3
Akron 93 - Unranked 50		Akron 88 - Unranked 45
Alabama Birmingham 92 - Unranked 56		Alabama Birmingham 92 - Unranked 56
Army 63 - Stony Brook 70	0.693	Army 74 - Stony Brook 78	-3
Auburn 81 - Southern California 71	0.742	Auburn 91 - Southern California 75	-6
Boise State 76 - Cal State Fullerton 62	0.891	Boise State 88 - Cal State Fullerton 65	-9
Colorado State 102 - Unranked 48		Colorado State 86 - Unranked 54
Eastern Illinois 82 - Unranked 59		Eastern Illinois 87 - Unranked 66
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.63	Eastern Kentucky 75 - Northern Kentucky 85	6
Fairfield 70 - Wagner 64	0.694	Fairfield 63 - Wagner 51	-6
Hawaii 69 - Nevada 73	0.632	Hawaii 66 - Nevada 72	2
Illinois 81 - Colgate 65	0.889	Illinois 74 - Colgate 57	-1
Illinois State 70 - North Dakota State 68	0.556	Illinois State 75 - North Dakota State 65	-8
Iowa State 86 - Florida AM 56	0.948	Iowa State 96 - Florida AM 58	-8
Jackson State 77 - North Carolina AT 69	0.731	Jackson State 68 - North Carolina AT 60	0
Kansas State 77 - Nebraska 73	0.615	Kansas State 46 - Nebraska 62	20
Longwood 78 - Virginia Military Institute 57	0.948	Longwood 68 - Virginia Military Institute 49	2
Louisville 74 - Pepperdine 72	0.554	Louisville 85 - Pepperdine 63	-20
Mcneese State 73 - UL Lafayette 69	0.614	Mcneese State 74 - UL Lafayette 72	2
Mississippi State 73 - North Texas 61	0.766	Mississippi State 72 - North Texas 54	-6
Missouri 72 - Seton Hall 69	0.608	Missouri 87 - Seton Hall 93	9
Navy 84 - Unranked 55		Navy 91 - Unranked 33
Northern Iowa 82 - Alcorn State 68	0.854	Northern Iowa 100 - Alcorn State 82	-4
Oklahoma State 76 - Oral Roberts 69	0.698	Oklahoma State 81 - Oral Roberts 60	-14
Omaha 69 - Stetson 72	0.592	Omaha 88 - Stetson 80	-11
Oregon 76 - Syracuse 74	0.565	Oregon 63 - Syracuse 83	22
Oregon State 81 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.889	Oregon State 66 - Texas San Antonio 65	14
Robert Morris 87 - Unranked 60		Robert Morris 95 - Unranked 46
Saint Thomas 86 - Unranked 54		Saint Thomas 85 - Unranked 66
San Jose State 69 - Montana 70	0.501	San Jose State 75 - Montana 86	10
SE Missouri State 83 - Unranked 61		SE Missouri State 87 - Unranked 59
Seattle 71 - Washington 77	0.677	Seattle 99 - Washington 100	-5
Stanford 77 - Idaho 66	0.743	Stanford 82 - Idaho 64	-7
Texas Southern 72 - Howard 74	0.553	Texas Southern 79 - Howard 78	-3
Wofford 93 - Unranked 57		Wofford 105 - Unranked 54

Number of DI Games: 186
Number Correct: 142 = 76.3%
Expected Number Correct: 140.285 = 75.4%
Average Error: 8.98
Average Signed Error: 0.19

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Murray State 73	0.503	Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Murray State 66	-13
Arkansas Pine Bluff 89 - Unranked 67		Arkansas Pine Bluff 125 - Unranked 75
Cal Poly 69 - Eastern Washington 77	0.712	Cal Poly 53 - Eastern Washington 62	1
Campbell 70 - Morgan State 64	0.662	Campbell 83 - Morgan State 76	-1
Central Florida 76 - Maine 60	0.836	Central Florida 74 - Maine 51	-7
Chicago State 71 - Texas Pan American 69	0.559	Chicago State 78 - Texas Pan American 68	-8
College of Charleston 84 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.93	College of Charleston 84 - Coastal Carolina 81	16
Dartmouth 82 - Unranked 58		Dartmouth 77 - Unranked 48
Denver 93 - Unranked 59		Denver 89 - Unranked 83
Drexel 89 - Unranked 50		Drexel 117 - Unranked 49
Duquesne 74 - Bradley 69	0.649	Duquesne 69 - Bradley 67	3
Evansville 81 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.77	Evansville 98 - Tennessee Martin 91	4
Fresno State 70 - Portland State 68	0.578	Fresno State 72 - Portland State 75	5
Holy Cross 65 - Quinnipiac 77	0.827	Holy Cross 57 - Quinnipiac 77	8
Jacksonville 72 - UL Monroe 67	0.616	Jacksonville 75 - UL Monroe 65	-5
Lamar 74 - Southern Miss 73	0.502	Lamar 79 - Southern Miss 82	4
Le Moyne 85 - Unranked 62		Le Moyne 92 - Unranked 72
Loyola Marymount 77 - Detroit 62	0.873	Loyola Marymount 76 - Detroit 56	-5
Marist 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.819	Marist 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	-10
Marshall 93 - Unranked 56		Marshall 103 - Unranked 70
Michigan State 77 - Oakland 66	0.767	Michigan State 79 - Oakland 62	-6
Norfolk State 88 - Unranked 55		Norfolk State 108 - Unranked 52
Northern Illinois 94 - Unranked 57		Northern Illinois 92 - Unranked 48
Ohio 94 - Unranked 56		Ohio 108 - Unranked 28
Pacific 82 - Unranked 61		Pacific 68 - Unranked 46
Prairie View 87 - Unranked 57		Prairie View 92 - Unranked 61
Sacramento State 67 - UC San Diego 72	0.641	Sacramento State 52 - UC San Diego 83	26
SIU Edwardsville 87 - Unranked 57		SIU Edwardsville 99 - Unranked 56
Tarleton State 70 - Jacksonville State 63	0.722	Tarleton State 62 - Jacksonville State 65	10
Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 58		Texas AM CC 102 - Unranked 50
Texas AM Commerce 87 - Unranked 59		Texas AM Commerce 130 - Unranked 53
Texas State 87 - Unranked 52		Texas State 110 - Unranked 68
UNC Asheville 77 - South Carolina State 65	0.847	UNC Asheville 79 - South Carolina State 75	8
Wake Forest 83 - Delaware State 61	0.936	Wake Forest 88 - Delaware State 59	-7
Western Illinois 87 - Unranked 59		Western Illinois 92 - Unranked 56
Youngstown State 94 - Unranked 53		Youngstown State 117 - Unranked 45

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 66 - Southern California 81	0.862	Alabama State 59 - Southern California 79	5
Albany 75 - Sacred Heart 67	0.709	Albany 93 - Sacred Heart 79	-6
Binghamton 76 - Niagara 68	0.703	Binghamton 74 - Niagara 69	3
Bowling Green 79 - Hampton 63	0.839	Bowling Green 75 - Hampton 65	6
Butler 83 - Georgetown 69	0.83	Butler 74 - Georgetown 64	4
Cal Baptist 72 - Western Kentucky 71	0.514	Cal Baptist 70 - Western Kentucky 73	4
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - South Dakota 72	0.536	Cal State Bakersfield 96 - South Dakota 76	-21
Central Connecticut State 66 - Northeastern 73	0.67	Central Connecticut State 74 - Northeastern 79	-2
Central Michigan 87 - Unranked 60		Central Michigan 90 - Unranked 66
Chattanooga 73 - Gardner Webb 67	0.713	Chattanooga 69 - Gardner Webb 66	3
Cincinnati 81 - Merrimack 61	0.914	Cincinnati 65 - Merrimack 49	4
Drake 89 - Alcorn State 61	0.944	Drake 92 - Alcorn State 55	-9
Florida International 75 - Stetson 72	0.583	Florida International 68 - Stetson 80	15
Florida State 81 - North Florida 65	0.866	Florida State 91 - North Florida 75	0
Furman 81 - Presbyterian 68	0.855	Furman 76 - Presbyterian 61	-2
George Mason 95 - Unranked 50		George Mason 84 - Unranked 60
Georgia Southern 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 71	0.575	Georgia Southern 42 - Florida Gulf Coast 53	9
Georgia State 88 - Unranked 57		Georgia State 122 - Unranked 45
High Point 72 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.535	High Point 74 - UNC Greensboro 63	-12
Indiana 76 - Morehead State 67	0.776	Indiana 69 - Morehead State 68	8
Indiana State 86 - Tennessee State 63	0.94	Indiana State 90 - Tennessee State 69	2
James Madison 88 - Coppin State 54	0.981	James Madison 87 - Coppin State 48	-5
Kennesaw St 94 - Unranked 60		Kennesaw St 91 - Unranked 59
Long Beach State 96 - Unranked 57		Long Beach State 107 - Unranked 78
Loyola Ill 78 - Charleston Southern 58	0.888	Loyola Ill 72 - Charleston Southern 59	7
Maryland 79 - Nicholls State 64	0.864	Maryland 73 - Nicholls State 67	9
Memphis 72 - Virginia 70	0.555	Memphis 77 - Virginia 54	-21
Mercer 72 - Queens 71	0.554	Mercer 84 - Queens 65	-18
Michigan 77 - Florida 78	0.519	Michigan 101 - Florida 106	4
Mississippi 81 - Troy 65	0.874	Mississippi 74 - Troy 53	-5
Missouri State 79 - Lindenwood 60	0.937	Missouri State 79 - Lindenwood 57	-3
Montana State 73 - Southern Utah 71	0.564	Montana State 89 - Southern Utah 88	1
Northwestern State 82 - Unranked 64		Northwestern State 99 - Unranked 75
Notre Dame 73 - The Citadel 64	0.753	Notre Dame 45 - The Citadel 65	29
Oral Roberts 93 - Unranked 57		Oral Roberts 71 - Unranked 59
Providence 71 - Marquette 77	0.682	Providence 72 - Marquette 57	-21
Saint Marys 76 - Middle Tennessee 57	0.858	Saint Marys 71 - Middle Tennessee 34	-18
San Diego State 99 - Unranked 47		San Diego State 91 - Unranked 57
Siena 61 - Cornell 83	0.936	Siena 74 - Cornell 95	-1
South Carolina 77 - Winthrop 66	0.791	South Carolina 72 - Winthrop 62	1
Southern Illinois 76 - North Dakota State 65	0.743	Southern Illinois 76 - North Dakota State 63	-2
Southern Indiana 83 - Unranked 59		Southern Indiana 79 - Unranked 47
Southern Methodist 86 - Houston Christian 58	0.972	Southern Methodist 89 - Houston Christian 53	-8
Stephen F Austin 77 - New Mexico State 67	0.715	Stephen F Austin 75 - New Mexico State 72	7
Tulsa 80 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.956	Tulsa 79 - Mississippi Valley State 50	-5
UC Davis 68 - Montana 73	0.669	UC Davis 61 - Montana 73	7
UCLA 78 - Cal State Northridge 62	0.891	UCLA 72 - Cal State Northridge 76	20
Valparaiso 68 - Samford 80	0.783	Valparaiso 61 - Samford 79	6
Vanderbilt 69 - Western Carolina 71	0.567	Vanderbilt 62 - Western Carolina 63	-1
Wright State 80 - Miami OH 72	0.708	Wright State 92 - Miami OH 82	-2

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 87 - Alabama 78	0.721	Arizona 87 - Alabama 74	-4
Arizona State 70 - Northwestern 72	0.544	Arizona State 46 - Northwestern 65	17
Belmont 79 - Arkansas State 69	0.735	Belmont 74 - Arkansas State 70	6
Cal State Fullerton 76 - Pacific 61	0.848	Cal State Fullerton 67 - Pacific 56	4
California 74 - UC San Diego 70	0.612	California 71 - UC San Diego 67	0
Central Arkansas 70 - Western Illinois 74	0.628	Central Arkansas 54 - Western Illinois 65	7
Chicago State 69 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.599	Chicago State 55 - Bethune Cookman 54	2
Creighton 77 - Villanova 70	0.644	Creighton 66 - Villanova 68	9
Dayton 77 - Oakland 65	0.842	Dayton 91 - Oakland 67	-12
Delaware 79 - Rider 62	0.916	Delaware 85 - Rider 88	20
Denver 93 - Unranked 59		Denver 90 - Unranked 57
Duke 77 - Baylor 78	0.524	Duke 78 - Baylor 70	-9
East Carolina 76 - Delaware State 64	0.82	East Carolina 79 - Delaware State 50	-17
East Tennessee State 72 - UMKC 66	0.693	East Tennessee State 70 - UMKC 57	-7
Evansville 78 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.855	Evansville 82 - Tennessee Tech 51	-16
Georgia 78 - Mt St Marys 61	0.934	Georgia 94 - Mt St Marys 82	5
Gonzaga 85 - Jackson State 61	0.956	Gonzaga 100 - Jackson State 76	0
Grand Canyon 81 - Sam Houston State 63	0.903	Grand Canyon 76 - Sam Houston State 64	6
Iowa 92 - UMBC 65	0.951	Iowa 103 - UMBC 81	5
Lipscomb 92 - Unranked 54		Lipscomb 101 - Unranked 55
NC State 80 - Saint Louis 71	0.727	NC State 82 - Saint Louis 70	-3
Nebraska 82 - North Dakota 61	0.908	Nebraska 83 - North Dakota 75	13
New Mexico 78 - UC Irvine 72	0.644	New Mexico 78 - UC Irvine 65	-7
North Carolina 77 - Oklahoma 76	0.501	North Carolina 81 - Oklahoma 69	-11
North Carolina Central 63 - Longwood 73	0.815	North Carolina Central 79 - Longwood 70	-19
Oklahoma State 79 - Wofford 69	0.805	Oklahoma State 76 - Wofford 70	4
Pittsburgh 78 - IPFW 70	0.713	Pittsburgh 62 - IPFW 48	-6
Rice 73 - Prairie View 66	0.68	Rice 82 - Prairie View 56	-19
Saint Francis Penn 67 - Robert Morris 70	0.627	Saint Francis Penn 73 - Robert Morris 75	-1
Saint Johns 76 - Xavier 75	0.539	Saint Johns 81 - Xavier 66	-14
San Francisco 77 - Northern Arizona 60	0.907	San Francisco 91 - Northern Arizona 51	-23
San Jose State 69 - Santa Clara 77	0.673	San Jose State 81 - Santa Clara 78	-11
Seattle 69 - Louisiana Tech 71	0.574	Seattle 79 - Louisiana Tech 73	-8
Seton Hall 67 - Connecticut 79	0.852	Seton Hall 75 - Connecticut 60	-27
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Grambling State 67	0.577	Southeast Louisiana 48 - Grambling State 47	2
Tennessee Martin 91 - Unranked 62		Tennessee Martin 78 - Unranked 75
Texas El Paso 68 - Norfolk State 69	0.516	Texas El Paso 67 - Norfolk State 65	-3
Toledo 76 - Vermont 70	0.705	Toledo 60 - Vermont 86	32
UC Santa Barbara 79 - Howard 67	0.83	UC Santa Barbara 94 - Howard 81	-1
Utah 84 - Bellarmine 59	0.952	Utah 85 - Bellarmine 43	-17
Utah Valley 66 - Liberty 73	0.682	Utah Valley 63 - Liberty 79	9
West Virginia 72 - Radford 67	0.683	West Virginia 65 - Radford 66	6
Wyoming 70 - South Dakota State 75	0.651	Wyoming 78 - South Dakota State 65	-18

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 74 - Northern Colorado 67	0.757	Air Force 79 - Northern Colorado 83	11
Akron 77 - Gardner Webb 62	0.877	Akron 94 - Gardner Webb 90	11
Appalachian State 79 - UNC Asheville 63	0.855	Appalachian State 63 - UNC Asheville 76	29
Arkansas 82 - Abilene Christian 66	0.88	Arkansas 83 - Abilene Christian 73	6
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Jacksonville State 69	0.548	Arkansas Little Rock 60 - Jacksonville State 90	32
Boston College 85 - Lehigh 62	0.965	Boston College 85 - Lehigh 69	7
Bradley 77 - SIU Edwardsville 63	0.824	Bradley 75 - SIU Edwardsville 64	3
Cal Poly 69 - Omaha 71	0.561	Cal Poly 66 - Omaha 53	-15
Central Florida 82 - Florida AM 58	0.931	Central Florida 69 - Florida AM 56	11
Central Michigan 73 - Detroit 68	0.629	Central Michigan 75 - Detroit 63	-7
Charleston Southern 81 - Unranked 60		Charleston Southern 103 - Unranked 79
Cleveland State 78 - Western Michigan 65	0.847	Cleveland State 90 - Western Michigan 77	0
Coastal Carolina 77 - North Carolina AT 70	0.72	Coastal Carolina 82 - North Carolina AT 85	10
College of Charleston 71 - Saint Josephs 73	0.561	College of Charleston 89 - Saint Josephs 82	-9
Colorado 84 - Utah Tech 61	0.92	Colorado 98 - Utah Tech 71	-4
Davidson 80 - South Carolina Upstate 60	0.924	Davidson 62 - South Carolina Upstate 59	17
Eastern Michigan 76 - Hampton 66	0.777	Eastern Michigan 72 - Hampton 69	7
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Fairfield 75	0.622	Fairleigh Dickinson 69 - Fairfield 92	20
Florida International 68 - Maine 69	0.518	Florida International 82 - Maine 74	-9
Fordham 72 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.74	Fordham 80 - Central Connecticut State 82	12
George Washington 86 - Alcorn State 67	0.911	George Washington 79 - Alcorn State 75	15
Green Bay 85 - Unranked 56		Green Bay 79 - Unranked 46
Harvard 82 - Holy Cross 59	0.92	Harvard 74 - Holy Cross 72	21
Hawaii 78 - Portland 66	0.829	Hawaii 69 - Portland 56	-1
Houston 80 - Texas State 51	0.982	Houston 72 - Texas State 37	-6
Illinois Chicago 80 - Incarnate Word 60	0.905	Illinois Chicago 66 - Incarnate Word 67	21
Illinois State 76 - SE Missouri State 60	0.865	Illinois State 85 - SE Missouri State 64	-5
Indiana 82 - North Alabama 64	0.908	Indiana 83 - North Alabama 66	1
Iona 68 - Colgate 71	0.602	Iona 85 - Colgate 65	-23
Iowa State 88 - Eastern Illinois 55	0.962	Iowa State 80 - Eastern Illinois 48	1
IUPUI 79 - Unranked 64		IUPUI 90 - Unranked 67
Kansas State 75 - Wichita State 72	0.568	Kansas State 69 - Wichita State 60	-6
La Salle 94 - Unranked 57		La Salle 107 - Unranked 41
Lafayette 66 - Quinnipiac 73	0.76	Lafayette 60 - Quinnipiac 78	11
Louisiana State 82 - Lamar 67	0.839	Louisiana State 87 - Lamar 66	-6
Louisville 67 - Kentucky 85	0.865	Louisville 76 - Kentucky 95	1
Marshall 72 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.524	Marshall 69 - UNC Wilmington 78	8
Massachusetts 75 - Georgia Tech 74	0.531	Massachusetts 70 - Georgia Tech 73	4
Mercer 86 - Unranked 56		Mercer 98 - Unranked 75
Miami 88 - Stonehill 57	0.958	Miami 97 - Stonehill 59	-7
Michigan State 82 - Stony Brook 61	0.913	Michigan State 99 - Stony Brook 55	-23
Minnesota 76 - Ball State 65	0.766	Minnesota 80 - Ball State 63	-6
Monmouth 76 - Manhattan 64	0.81	Monmouth 77 - Manhattan 71	6
Morehead State 91 - Unranked 53		Morehead State 101 - Unranked 39
Nevada 79 - Temple 69	0.791	Nevada 80 - Temple 56	-14
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - Hofstra 74	0.514	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Hofstra 56	-19
Norfolk State 66 - South Dakota State 73	0.675	Norfolk State 84 - South Dakota State 65	-26
Northern Illinois 75 - Northern Iowa 76	0.523	Northern Illinois 63 - Northern Iowa 76	12
Ohio State 90 - New Orleans 61	0.972	Ohio State 78 - New Orleans 36	-13
Old Dominion 64 - Texas Christian 82	0.914	Old Dominion 87 - Texas Christian 111	6
Oregon 78 - Kent State 72	0.674	Oregon 84 - Kent State 70	-8
Oregon State 76 - Idaho State 62	0.88	Oregon State 76 - Idaho State 57	-5
Penn State 84 - Le Moyne 64	0.867	Penn State 72 - Le Moyne 55	3
Pepperdine 78 - William and Mary 70	0.684	Pepperdine 71 - William and Mary 59	-4
Purdue 93 - Jacksonville 57	0.963	Purdue 100 - Jacksonville 57	-7
Rhode Island 72 - New Hampshire 71	0.511	Rhode Island 71 - New Hampshire 81	11
Richmond 82 - Buffalo 61	0.917	Richmond 72 - Buffalo 66	15
Sacramento State 85 - Unranked 59		Sacramento State 100 - Unranked 45
Sacred Heart 68 - Dartmouth 67	0.544	Sacred Heart 67 - Dartmouth 57	-9
Saint Marys 76 - Northern Kentucky 61	0.823	Saint Marys 92 - Northern Kentucky 56	-21
Saint Thomas 88 - Unranked 54		Saint Thomas 104 - Unranked 51
San Diego 79 - South Dakota 70	0.723	San Diego 69 - South Dakota 66	6
San Diego State 79 - Stanford 66	0.8	San Diego State 74 - Stanford 60	-1
South Alabama 80 - Alabama AM 64	0.843	South Alabama 83 - Alabama AM 67	0
Syracuse 87 - Niagara 60	0.961	Syracuse 83 - Niagara 71	15
Tennessee 82 - Tarleton State 60	0.929	Tennessee 65 - Tarleton State 46	3
Texas El Paso 70 - Wyoming 72	0.567	Texas El Paso 78 - Wyoming 67	-13
Texas San Antonio 73 - Army 66	0.688	Texas San Antonio 53 - Army 63	17
Texas Southern 69 - Samford 81	0.793	Texas Southern 65 - Samford 87	10
Texas Tech 79 - Texas Arlington 65	0.856	Texas Tech 77 - Texas Arlington 66	3
Troy 78 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.769	Troy 88 - Eastern Kentucky 81	2
UC Davis 88 - Unranked 58		UC Davis 80 - Unranked 57
UC Riverside 71 - Idaho 67	0.615	UC Riverside 82 - Idaho 67	-11
UNC Greensboro 93 - Unranked 52		UNC Greensboro 135 - Unranked 57
Virginia Tech 83 - American 59	0.937	Virginia Tech 77 - American 55	2
Wake Forest 84 - Presbyterian 61	0.947	Wake Forest 91 - Presbyterian 68	0
Washington 88 - Eastern Washington 70	0.912	Washington 73 - Eastern Washington 66	11
Washington State 73 - Boise State 72	0.526	Washington State 66 - Boise State 61	-4
Weber State 91 - Unranked 52		Weber State 90 - Unranked 39
Western Carolina 91 - Unranked 53		Western Carolina 85 - Unranked 47
Youngstown State 75 - Navy 62	0.821	Youngstown State 75 - Navy 65	3

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 67 - Drake 79	0.743	Alabama Birmingham 79 - Drake 78	-13
Auburn 88 - Alabama State 58	0.96	Auburn 82 - Alabama State 62	10
Austin Peay 66 - Ohio 73	0.724	Austin Peay 71 - Ohio 67	-11
Baylor 93 - Mississippi Valley State 51	0.993	Baylor 107 - Mississippi Valley State 48	-17
Boston 66 - UMass Lowell 72	0.641	Boston 63 - UMass Lowell 71	2
Bowling Green 90 - Unranked 55		Bowling Green 79 - Unranked 58
Brigham Young 86 - Bellarmine 55	0.963	Brigham Young 101 - Bellarmine 59	-11
Brown 74 - Siena 60	0.847	Brown 71 - Siena 67	10
Bryant 66 - Drexel 71	0.618	Bryant 104 - Drexel 86	-23
Cal State Northridge 69 - Montana State 70	0.521	Cal State Northridge 82 - Montana State 70	-13
Charlotte 91 - Unranked 51		Charlotte 91 - Unranked 44
Cincinnati 87 - Stetson 64	0.898	Cincinnati 83 - Stetson 75	15
Clemson 87 - Queens 61	0.962	Clemson 109 - Queens 79	-4
Florida 86 - Grambling State 59	0.961	Florida 96 - Grambling State 57	-12
Florida Gulf Coast 85 - Unranked 59		Florida Gulf Coast 78 - Unranked 75
Florida State 76 - Winthrop 70	0.676	Florida State 67 - Winthrop 61	0
Georgia 80 - North Florida 61	0.938	Georgia 78 - North Florida 60	1
Hawaii 71 - Georgia Tech 70	0.54	Hawaii 68 - Georgia Tech 73	6
High Point 74 - Canisius 71	0.588	High Point 78 - Canisius 70	-5
Kansas 83 - Yale 63	0.919	Kansas 75 - Yale 60	5
Lindenwood 83 - Unranked 60		Lindenwood 81 - Unranked 54
Loyola Marymount 66 - Colorado State 80	0.838	Loyola Marymount 67 - Colorado State 76	-5
Loyola MD 82 - Unranked 60		Loyola MD 91 - Unranked 57
Marquette 86 - Georgetown 66	0.92	Marquette 81 - Georgetown 51	-10
Merrimack 70 - Bucknell 65	0.646	Merrimack 68 - Bucknell 52	-11
Miami OH 68 - Vermont 74	0.706	Miami OH 70 - Vermont 69	-7
Milwaukee 68 - Chattanooga 77	0.769	Milwaukee 85 - Chattanooga 83	-11
Missouri 68 - Illinois 80	0.828	Missouri 73 - Illinois 97	12
Morgan State 63 - James Madison 87	0.942	Morgan State 75 - James Madison 89	-10
Murray State 66 - Southern Methodist 78	0.8	Murray State 65 - Southern Methodist 92	15
NJ Tech 84 - Unranked 63		NJ Tech 127 - Unranked 51
Notre Dame 68 - Marist 64	0.6	Notre Dame 60 - Marist 56	0
Old Dominion 69 - Temple 77	0.772	Old Dominion 78 - Temple 63	-23
Portland 70 - Massachusetts 82	0.78	Portland 78 - Massachusetts 100	10
Princeton 98 - Unranked 48		Princeton 84 - Unranked 53
Rice 70 - UL Lafayette 71	0.519	Rice 67 - UL Lafayette 84	16
Robert Morris 69 - Cornell 81	0.837	Robert Morris 85 - Cornell 90	-7
Saint Bonaventure 78 - Binghamton 62	0.838	Saint Bonaventure 90 - Binghamton 64	-10
Saint Peters 83 - Unranked 52		Saint Peters 73 - Unranked 70
San Francisco 75 - Fresno State 62	0.838	San Francisco 77 - Fresno State 57	-7
South Carolina 82 - Elon 62	0.923	South Carolina 70 - Elon 43	-7
South Carolina State 83 - Unranked 63		South Carolina State 101 - Unranked 84
South Florida 77 - Albany 66	0.731	South Florida 89 - Albany 73	-5
Southern Illinois 78 - Southern Indiana 58	0.876	Southern Illinois 81 - Southern Indiana 50	-11
Southern Utah 72 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.575	Southern Utah 69 - Middle Tennessee 63	-3
Stephen F Austin 92 - Unranked 54		Stephen F Austin 115 - Unranked 58
Texas 84 - Texas AM CC 61	0.943	Texas 71 - Texas AM CC 55	7
Texas AM 91 - Houston Christian 57	0.996	Texas AM 79 - Houston Christian 52	7
Texas Christian 75 - Nevada 74	0.506	Texas Christian 75 - Nevada 88	14
Towson 73 - Nicholls State 67	0.677	Towson 65 - Nicholls State 55	-4
Tulane 78 - George Mason 77	0.535	Tulane 66 - George Mason 69	4
Tulsa 76 - New Mexico State 67	0.732	Tulsa 65 - New Mexico State 59	3
UCLA 71 - Maryland 68	0.596	UCLA 60 - Maryland 69	12
Utah State 82 - East Tennessee State 60	0.941	Utah State 80 - East Tennessee State 65	7
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.956	Virginia Commonwealth 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 51	2
Virginia Military Institute 81 - Unranked 61		Virginia Military Institute 82 - Unranked 65
Wagner 80 - Unranked 57		Wagner 98 - Unranked 49
Wisconsin 85 - Chicago State 55	0.948	Wisconsin 80 - Chicago State 53	3
Wright State 96 - Unranked 59		Wright State 101 - Unranked 54

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 93 - Eastern Kentucky 62	0.964	Alabama 111 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-13
Arizona 83 - Florida Atlantic 75	0.668	Arizona 95 - Florida Atlantic 96	9
Connecticut 81 - Saint Johns 70	0.812	Connecticut 69 - Saint Johns 65	7
DePaul 64 - Villanova 79	0.872	DePaul 48 - Villanova 84	21
Memphis 85 - Vanderbilt 63	0.948	Memphis 77 - Vanderbilt 75	20
Mississippi 80 - Southern Miss 62	0.904	Mississippi 89 - Southern Miss 72	1
Mt St Marys 75 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.782	Mt St Marys 87 - LIU Brooklyn 59	-17
NC State 84 - Detroit 59	0.949	NC State 83 - Detroit 66	8
North Texas 72 - Texas Arlington 66	0.701	North Texas 78 - Texas Arlington 52	-20
Providence 75 - Butler 74	0.505	Providence 85 - Butler 75	-9
Rider 68 - Pennsylvania 77	0.772	Rider 73 - Pennsylvania 77	-5
Rutgers 67 - Mississippi State 69	0.57	Rutgers 60 - Mississippi State 70	8
Saint Marys 74 - Missouri State 65	0.736	Saint Marys 64 - Missouri State 69	14
Santa Clara 72 - Duquesne 76	0.615	Santa Clara 81 - Duquesne 73	-12
UNC Asheville 74 - Kennesaw St 75	0.526	UNC Asheville 79 - Kennesaw St 70	-10
West Virginia 73 - Toledo 75	0.551	West Virginia 91 - Toledo 81	-12
Xavier 77 - Seton Hall 70	0.721	Xavier 74 - Seton Hall 54	-13

GAMES OF 12-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Georgia Tech 67 - Nevada 75	0.681	Georgia Tech 64 - Nevada 72	0
Hawaii 70 - Texas Christian 77	0.727	Hawaii 51 - Texas Christian 65	7
Massachusetts 79 - Old Dominion 68	0.803	Massachusetts 87 - Old Dominion 65	-11
Portland 71 - Temple 80	0.739	Portland 54 - Temple 55	-8

Number of DI Games: 236
Number Correct: 183 = 77.5%
Expected Number Correct: 179.578 = 76%
Average Error: 9.13
Average Signed Error: -0.44

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Cal Baptist 74 - Chicago State 63	0.765	Cal Baptist 74 - Chicago State 62	-1
Grand Canyon 99 - Unranked 50		Grand Canyon 124 - Unranked 74
Virginia 84 - Morgan State 53	0.955	Virginia 79 - Morgan State 44	-4

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bradley 93 - Unranked 52		Bradley 69 - Unranked 47
Cal Poly 67 - Cal State Northridge 75	0.722	Cal Poly 73 - Cal State Northridge 83	2
Cal State Fullerton 71 - Long Beach State 74	0.608	Cal State Fullerton 71 - Long Beach State 81	7
Cleveland State 72 - Oakland 73	0.503	Cleveland State 75 - Oakland 67	-9
Eastern Washington 71 - Portland State 72	0.516	Eastern Washington 91 - Portland State 57	-35
Idaho 73 - Sacramento State 67	0.662	Idaho 61 - Sacramento State 58	3
Idaho State 67 - Montana State 72	0.679	Idaho State 66 - Montana State 74	3
Jacksonville State 88 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville State 93 - Unranked 57
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Albany 77	0.756	LIU Brooklyn 69 - Albany 86	7
Maryland 82 - Coppin State 51	0.966	Maryland 75 - Coppin State 53	9
Oklahoma 90 - Central Arkansas 55	0.989	Oklahoma 88 - Central Arkansas 72	19
Oregon 78 - Southern California 72	0.646	Oregon 82 - Southern California 74	-2
Oregon State 68 - UCLA 69	0.538	Oregon State 62 - UCLA 69	6
Tennessee State 77 - Tennessee Martin 75	0.574	Tennessee State 75 - Tennessee Martin 91	18
Tennessee Tech 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	0.566	Tennessee Tech 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 81	4
Texas San Antonio 71 - Prairie View 72	0.526	Texas San Antonio 103 - Prairie View 89	-15
Texas Southern 86 - Unranked 59		Texas Southern 108 - Unranked 72
Texas Tech 81 - Sam Houston State 63	0.918	Texas Tech 96 - Sam Houston State 60	-18
UC Davis 67 - UC Santa Barbara 76	0.751	UC Davis 76 - UC Santa Barbara 62	-23
UC Irvine 78 - UC Riverside 63	0.84	UC Irvine 73 - UC Riverside 66	8
UC San Diego 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.729	UC San Diego 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	-3
Weber State 70 - Montana 69	0.524	Weber State 93 - Montana 63	-29

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 74 - UNC Asheville 70	0.598	Alabama Birmingham 90 - UNC Asheville 85	-1
Boise State 78 - Utah Valley 64	0.829	Boise State 85 - Utah Valley 63	-8
Buffalo 73 - Niagara 71	0.57	Buffalo 63 - Niagara 69	8
California 67 - Arizona 90	0.932	California 81 - Arizona 100	-4
Central Florida 82 - Bethune Cookman 56	0.946	Central Florida 98 - Bethune Cookman 54	-18
Cincinnati 80 - Evansville 68	0.793	Cincinnati 76 - Evansville 58	-6
Clemson 82 - Radford 63	0.94	Clemson 93 - Radford 58	-16
College of Charleston 97 - Unranked 53		College of Charleston 96 - Unranked 59
Colorado 80 - Washington 75	0.647	Colorado 73 - Washington 69	1
Colorado State 102 - Unranked 48		Colorado State 106 - Unranked 61
East Carolina 72 - East Tennessee State 66	0.665	East Carolina 70 - East Tennessee State 86	22
Elon 70 - Valparaiso 69	0.548	Elon 82 - Valparaiso 78	-3
Gonzaga 74 - San Diego State 73	0.527	Gonzaga 74 - San Diego State 84	11
Green Bay 69 - Wright State 76	0.701	Green Bay 88 - Wright State 77	-18
Holy Cross 81 - Unranked 63		Holy Cross 88 - Unranked 60
Illinois 94 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	0.993	Illinois 104 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	2
Indiana 82 - Kennesaw St 68	0.877	Indiana 100 - Kennesaw St 87	1
Iowa 85 - Northern Illinois 70	0.873	Iowa 103 - Northern Illinois 74	-14
IPFW 76 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.722	IPFW 73 - Northern Kentucky 60	-5
IUPUI 66 - Detroit 72	0.673	IUPUI 67 - Detroit 55	-18
Kentucky 83 - Illinois State 63	0.913	Kentucky 96 - Illinois State 70	-6
Louisiana State 85 - Northwestern State 59	0.96	Louisiana State 96 - Northwestern State 55	-15
Loyola Marymount 72 - Tarleton State 66	0.677	Loyola Marymount 66 - Tarleton State 79	19
Mercer 88 - Unranked 55		Mercer 74 - Unranked 50
Miami 86 - North Florida 63	0.938	Miami 95 - North Florida 55	-17
Miami OH 90 - Unranked 58		Miami OH 119 - Unranked 69
Michigan 77 - Mcneese State 69	0.695	Michigan 76 - Mcneese State 87	19
Milwaukee 74 - Robert Morris 72	0.552	Milwaukee 78 - Robert Morris 75	-1
Minnesota 76 - Maine 60	0.877	Minnesota 80 - Maine 62	-2
Nebraska 87 - South Carolina State 58	0.96	Nebraska 91 - South Carolina State 62	0
New Mexico 102 - Unranked 50		New Mexico 87 - Unranked 54
North Carolina 91 - Charleston Southern 55	0.991	North Carolina 105 - Charleston Southern 60	-9
North Dakota 68 - Saint Thomas 71	0.566	North Dakota 45 - Saint Thomas 70	22
North Dakota State 78 - South Dakota 70	0.718	North Dakota State 66 - South Dakota 75	17
Northwestern 81 - Jackson State 62	0.897	Northwestern 74 - Jackson State 63	8
Omaha 69 - Denver 77	0.723	Omaha 80 - Denver 95	7
Penn State 81 - Rider 65	0.884	Penn State 90 - Rider 63	-11
Pepperdine 89 - Unranked 57		Pepperdine 83 - Unranked 47
Purdue 95 - Eastern Kentucky 56	0.993	Purdue 80 - Eastern Kentucky 53	12
Saint Josephs 81 - Loyola MD 56	0.945	Saint Josephs 97 - Loyola MD 56	-16
Saint Marys 77 - Kent State 66	0.745	Saint Marys 66 - Kent State 46	-9
San Diego 73 - Fresno State 69	0.605	San Diego 67 - Fresno State 71	8
SE Missouri State 68 - Southern Indiana 69	0.513	SE Missouri State 93 - Southern Indiana 91	-3
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Eastern Illinois 64	0.703	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Eastern Illinois 58	-2
South Florida 77 - Alabama State 64	0.792	South Florida 73 - Alabama State 70	10
Stanford 73 - Arizona State 71	0.545	Stanford 73 - Arizona State 76	5
Stephen F Austin 80 - New Orleans 66	0.809	Stephen F Austin 80 - New Orleans 51	-15
Stetson 67 - Charlotte 74	0.659	Stetson 79 - Charlotte 75	-11
Stony Brook 74 - Brown 68	0.691	Stony Brook 69 - Brown 65	2
Texas 78 - UNC Greensboro 65	0.861	Texas 72 - UNC Greensboro 37	-22
Tulane 101 - Unranked 58		Tulane 94 - Unranked 64
Tulsa 92 - Unranked 54		Tulsa 95 - Unranked 54
UMBC 74 - American 75	0.554	UMBC 85 - American 87	1
UMKC 69 - Oral Roberts 76	0.696	UMKC 77 - Oral Roberts 60	-24
Utah 78 - Washington State 71	0.669	Utah 80 - Washington State 58	-15
Western Michigan 86 - Unranked 61		Western Michigan 127 - Unranked 71
Winthrop 91 - Unranked 55		Winthrop 113 - Unranked 62
Wofford 94 - Unranked 58		Wofford 75 - Unranked 55

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 69 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.592	Akron 61 - Saint Bonaventure 62	-2
Alabama 81 - Liberty 71	0.748	Alabama 101 - Liberty 56	-35
Appalachian State 79 - UL Monroe 59	0.865	Appalachian State 67 - UL Monroe 55	8
Arkansas 77 - UNC Wilmington 69	0.698	Arkansas 106 - UNC Wilmington 90	-8
Army 81 - Unranked 57		Army 58 - Unranked 50
Auburn 85 - Chattanooga 62	0.951	Auburn 101 - Chattanooga 66	-12
Binghamton 88 - Unranked 59		Binghamton 108 - Unranked 52
Boston 63 - Merrimack 69	0.655	Boston 74 - Merrimack 63	-17
Brigham Young 87 - Wyoming 62	0.935	Brigham Young 94 - Wyoming 68	-1
Bucknell 63 - Saint Peters 65	0.56	Bucknell 58 - Saint Peters 67	7
Cal State Bakersfield 62 - UC Irvine 77	0.857	Cal State Bakersfield 56 - UC Irvine 75	4
Central Connecticut State 86 - Unranked 58		Central Connecticut State 99 - Unranked 38
Coastal Carolina 72 - Troy 77	0.662	Coastal Carolina 65 - Troy 72	2
Cornell 76 - Colgate 72	0.618	Cornell 77 - Colgate 64	-9
Dayton 78 - Longwood 61	0.904	Dayton 78 - Longwood 69	8
Delaware 66 - Princeton 76	0.793	Delaware 82 - Princeton 84	-8
Delaware State 67 - Mt St Marys 72	0.666	Delaware State 77 - Mt St Marys 73	-9
DePaul 74 - Chicago State 67	0.699	DePaul 70 - Chicago State 58	-5
Duke 90 - Queens 62	0.961	Duke 106 - Queens 69	-9
Duquesne 96 - Unranked 51		Duquesne 95 - Unranked 47
Eastern Michigan 87 - Unranked 58		Eastern Michigan 67 - Unranked 64
Eastern Washington 78 - Sacramento State 66	0.817	Eastern Washington 87 - Sacramento State 61	-14
Fairfield 75 - Le Moyne 65	0.733	Fairfield 78 - Le Moyne 72	4
Florida 85 - Quinnipiac 66	0.938	Florida 97 - Quinnipiac 72	-6
Florida Gulf Coast 59 - Florida Atlantic 85	0.944	Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Florida Atlantic 68	-30
Florida State 76 - Lipscomb 68	0.716	Florida State 75 - Lipscomb 78	11
Fordham 71 - Columbia 68	0.588	Fordham 87 - Columbia 78	-6
Furman 95 - Unranked 57		Furman 74 - Unranked 79
George Mason 83 - North Carolina AT 59	0.961	George Mason 94 - North Carolina AT 69	-1
George Washington 82 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.91	George Washington 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	14
Georgia 86 - Alabama AM 58	0.994	Georgia 93 - Alabama AM 73	8
Georgia Southern 68 - Southern Miss 73	0.694	Georgia Southern 88 - Southern Miss 67	-26
Georgia State 71 - Arkansas State 70	0.509	Georgia State 91 - Arkansas State 90	0
Grand Canyon 75 - Louisiana Tech 67	0.742	Grand Canyon 73 - Louisiana Tech 70	5
Harvard 72 - Iona 70	0.543	Harvard 60 - Iona 69	11
Hawaii 71 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.804	Hawaii 61 - Cal State Fullerton 63	9
High Point 77 - Bellarmine 62	0.851	High Point 90 - Bellarmine 85	10
Houston 84 - Pennsylvania 56	0.972	Houston 81 - Pennsylvania 42	-11
Idaho 67 - Portland State 74	0.7	Idaho 72 - Portland State 77	-2
Idaho State 63 - Montana 76	0.84	Idaho State 68 - Montana 76	-5
Jacksonville 89 - Unranked 59		Jacksonville 79 - Unranked 52
James Madison 78 - Texas State 64	0.869	James Madison 82 - Texas State 65	-3
Kansas 79 - Wichita State 66	0.819	Kansas 86 - Wichita State 67	-6
La Salle 81 - Howard 71	0.797	La Salle 66 - Howard 71	15
Lamar 88 - Unranked 62		Lamar 91 - Unranked 64
Long Beach State 79 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.678	Long Beach State 68 - Cal State Northridge 84	23
Loyola Ill 77 - Central Michigan 65	0.801	Loyola Ill 73 - Central Michigan 35	-26
Manhattan 67 - Wagner 64	0.625	Manhattan 56 - Wagner 68	15
Marist 75 - Lehigh 63	0.816	Marist 58 - Lehigh 65	19
Marquette 77 - Creighton 75	0.545	Marquette 72 - Creighton 67	-3
Marshall 71 - UL Lafayette 73	0.578	Marshall 75 - UL Lafayette 61	-16
Massachusetts 86 - Siena 57	0.957	Massachusetts 79 - Siena 66	16
Memphis 84 - Austin Peay 58	0.957	Memphis 81 - Austin Peay 70	15
Michigan State 77 - Indiana State 72	0.615	Michigan State 87 - Indiana State 75	-7
Missouri 85 - Central Arkansas 61	0.956	Missouri 92 - Central Arkansas 59	-9
Murray State 69 - Middle Tennessee 67	0.552	Murray State 75 - Middle Tennessee 54	-19
Navy 72 - William and Mary 66	0.666	Navy 77 - William and Mary 65	-6
Nevada 100 - Unranked 47		Nevada 92 - Unranked 59
New Mexico State 68 - Cal Baptist 72	0.615	New Mexico State 66 - Cal Baptist 61	-9
Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 58		Nicholls State 74 - Unranked 65
North Texas 92 - Unranked 48		North Texas 80 - Unranked 57
Northern Colorado 74 - Northern Arizona 71	0.602	Northern Colorado 92 - Northern Arizona 77	-12
Notre Dame 58 - Virginia 73	0.823	Notre Dame 76 - Virginia 54	-37
Ohio 68 - Davidson 76	0.751	Ohio 69 - Davidson 72	-5
Ohio State 78 - West Virginia 66	0.822	Ohio State 78 - West Virginia 75	9
Old Dominion 70 - South Alabama 71	0.522	Old Dominion 59 - South Alabama 61	1
Oregon 76 - UCLA 66	0.745	Oregon 64 - UCLA 59	5
Oregon State 70 - Southern California 75	0.665	Oregon State 86 - Southern California 70	-21
Pacific 83 - Unranked 62		Pacific 80 - Unranked 66
Presbyterian 85 - Unranked 60		Presbyterian 91 - Unranked 67
Rhode Island 71 - Northeastern 73	0.554	Rhode Island 82 - Northeastern 71	-13
Richmond 79 - Lafayette 56	0.954	Richmond 59 - Lafayette 38	2
Rutgers 82 - Stonehill 54	0.96	Rutgers 59 - Stonehill 58	27
Sacred Heart 86 - Unranked 60		Sacred Heart 92 - Unranked 63
Saint Francis Penn 64 - Campbell 68	0.632	Saint Francis Penn 78 - Campbell 76	-6
Saint Johns 79 - Hofstra 69	0.746	Saint Johns 84 - Hofstra 79	5
San Francisco 85 - Mississippi Valley State 49	0.992	San Francisco 92 - Mississippi Valley State 42	-14
Santa Clara 77 - Yale 70	0.694	Santa Clara 58 - Yale 66	15
South Carolina 80 - Florida AM 56	0.943	South Carolina 94 - Florida AM 62	-8
South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 58		South Carolina Upstate 96 - Unranked 76
Southeast Louisiana 84 - Unranked 59		Southeast Louisiana 87 - Unranked 64
Southern Illinois 72 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.702	Southern Illinois 62 - Illinois Chicago 50	-4
Southern Utah 93 - Unranked 60		Southern Utah 95 - Unranked 78
Syracuse 73 - Pittsburgh 72	0.51	Syracuse 81 - Pittsburgh 73	-7
Tennessee State 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	0.577	Tennessee State 90 - Arkansas Little Rock 82	-5
Tennessee Tech 72 - Tennessee Martin 76	0.592	Tennessee Tech 73 - Tennessee Martin 81	4
Texas AM 85 - Prairie View 59	0.952	Texas AM 79 - Prairie View 54	1
Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 58		Texas AM CC 84 - Unranked 61
Texas El Paso 68 - Seattle 73	0.638	Texas El Paso 61 - Seattle 73	7
Texas Pan American 74 - Incarnate Word 73	0.517	Texas Pan American 77 - Incarnate Word 74	-2
The Citadel 89 - Unranked 54		The Citadel 106 - Unranked 76
Towson 89 - Unranked 53		Towson 97 - Unranked 46
UC Davis 73 - Cal Poly 66	0.715	UC Davis 71 - Cal Poly 46	-18
UC Riverside 68 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.669	UC Riverside 79 - UC Santa Barbara 77	-8
Utah Tech 73 - Florida International 71	0.572	Utah Tech 96 - Florida International 92	-2
Vanderbilt 74 - Dartmouth 61	0.789	Vanderbilt 69 - Dartmouth 53	-3
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Gardner Webb 61	0.927	Virginia Commonwealth 87 - Gardner Webb 73	5
Wake Forest 72 - Virginia Tech 73	0.503	Wake Forest 86 - Virginia Tech 63	-24
Weber State 74 - Montana State 65	0.734	Weber State 86 - Montana State 64	-13
Western Carolina 92 - Unranked 53		Western Carolina 90 - Unranked 62
Western Kentucky 77 - Abilene Christian 69	0.726	Western Kentucky 86 - Abilene Christian 84	6

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 70 - Arizona State 74	0.587	California 69 - Arizona State 71	-2
Colorado 77 - Washington State 71	0.649	Colorado 74 - Washington State 67	-1
Denver 77 - Oral Roberts 76	0.516	Denver 86 - Oral Roberts 89	4
Green Bay 70 - Robert Morris 67	0.594	Green Bay 78 - Robert Morris 61	-14
Iowa State 84 - New Hampshire 63	0.909	Iowa State 85 - New Hampshire 70	6
IPFW 81 - Detroit 61	0.916	IPFW 91 - Detroit 56	-15
IUPUI 61 - Cleveland State 81	0.928	IUPUI 77 - Cleveland State 86	-11
Jacksonville State 88 - Unranked 52		Jacksonville State 107 - Unranked 67
Lindenwood 69 - Southern Indiana 67	0.537	Lindenwood 62 - Southern Indiana 73	13
Milwaukee 73 - Wright State 81	0.755	Milwaukee 91 - Wright State 83	-16
Mississippi 81 - Bryant 65	0.808	Mississippi 95 - Bryant 78	-1
Mississippi State 84 - Bethune Cookman 53	0.958	Mississippi State 85 - Bethune Cookman 62	8
Nevada Las Vegas 96 - Unranked 52		Nevada Las Vegas 87 - Unranked 51
NJ Tech 73 - Morgan State 72	0.503	NJ Tech 69 - Morgan State 53	-15
Oklahoma 82 - Monmouth 62	0.921	Oklahoma 72 - Monmouth 56	4
Oklahoma State 84 - South Carolina State 60	0.958	Oklahoma State 86 - South Carolina State 70	8
Saint Thomas 73 - UMKC 64	0.749	Saint Thomas 77 - UMKC 56	-12
San Diego 92 - Unranked 56		San Diego 78 - Unranked 65
SE Missouri State 61 - Morehead State 78	0.893	SE Missouri State 64 - Morehead State 83	2
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Western Illinois 68	0.582	SIU Edwardsville 70 - Western Illinois 78	10
South Dakota 74 - Omaha 71	0.601	South Dakota 51 - Omaha 67	19
South Dakota State 76 - North Dakota 68	0.688	South Dakota State 80 - North Dakota 61	-11
Stanford 69 - Arizona 87	0.884	Stanford 100 - Arizona 82	-36
UMass Lowell 91 - Unranked 55		UMass Lowell 116 - Unranked 48
Utah 81 - Washington 75	0.669	Utah 95 - Washington 90	1
Youngstown State 73 - Oakland 70	0.584	Youngstown State 81 - Oakland 88	10

Number of DI Games: 169
Number Correct: 124 = 73.3%
Expected Number Correct: 125.681 = 74.3%
Average Error: 10.18
Average Signed Error: -2.65

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Drexel 77 - Hampton 60	0.884	Drexel 99 - Hampton 65	-17
Liberty 95 - Unranked 51		Liberty 88 - Unranked 46
Texas 82 - Texas Arlington 63	0.909	Texas 79 - Texas Arlington 62	2
Texas Christian 85 - Texas AM Commerce 63	0.927	Texas Christian 77 - Texas AM Commerce 42	-13
Texas Tech 84 - North Alabama 62	0.94	Texas Tech 85 - North Alabama 57	-6

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 61 - Utah State 79	0.923	Air Force 60 - Utah State 88	10
Alabama State 86 - Unranked 58		Alabama State 84 - Unranked 53
Auburn 85 - Pennsylvania 64	0.92	Auburn 88 - Pennsylvania 68	1
Baylor 87 - Cornell 72	0.866	Baylor 98 - Cornell 79	-4
Boston College 74 - Wake Forest 76	0.563	Boston College 78 - Wake Forest 84	4
Bowling Green 74 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.724	Bowling Green 92 - Eastern Michigan 90	8
Brown 64 - Vermont 75	0.791	Brown 70 - Vermont 71	-10
Central Michigan 72 - Buffalo 69	0.589	Central Michigan 64 - Buffalo 76	15
Colorado State 79 - New Mexico 74	0.629	Colorado State 76 - New Mexico 68	-3
Connecticut 85 - DePaul 61	0.951	Connecticut 85 - DePaul 56	-5
Drake 78 - Illinois State 62	0.822	Drake 88 - Illinois State 71	-1
Duke 79 - Syracuse 72	0.672	Duke 86 - Syracuse 66	-13
Florida Atlantic 83 - East Carolina 63	0.859	Florida Atlantic 79 - East Carolina 64	5
Georgetown 68 - Creighton 83	0.821	Georgetown 60 - Creighton 77	2
Grambling State 82 - Unranked 60		Grambling State 84 - Unranked 72
Harvard 75 - Albany 69	0.672	Harvard 76 - Albany 71	1
Illinois 78 - Northwestern 69	0.758	Illinois 96 - Northwestern 66	-21
Incarnate Word 85 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 83 - Unranked 74
Kansas State 82 - Chicago State 59	0.922	Kansas State 62 - Chicago State 55	16
Kent State 77 - Ball State 67	0.758	Kent State 82 - Ball State 69	-3
Maryland 66 - Purdue 80	0.833	Maryland 53 - Purdue 67	0
Maryland Eastern Shore 82 - Unranked 61		Maryland Eastern Shore 95 - Unranked 37
Miami OH 77 - Western Michigan 69	0.748	Miami OH 74 - Western Michigan 83	17
Murray State 67 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.572	Murray State 85 - Illinois Chicago 73	-15
Nevada Las Vegas 96 - Unranked 53		Nevada Las Vegas 112 - Unranked 56
Northern Illinois 70 - Akron 77	0.707	Northern Illinois 51 - Akron 73	15
Ohio 75 - Toledo 77	0.566	Ohio 77 - Toledo 86	7
Pittsburgh 74 - North Carolina 78	0.616	Pittsburgh 57 - North Carolina 70	9
Saint Johns 79 - Butler 75	0.603	Saint Johns 86 - Butler 70	-12
Sam Houston State 89 - Unranked 58		Sam Houston State 93 - Unranked 53
Southern Illinois 75 - Belmont 69	0.663	Southern Illinois 73 - Belmont 63	-4
Southern Methodist 75 - Charlotte 64	0.785	Southern Methodist 66 - Charlotte 54	-1
Tennessee 82 - Norfolk State 58	0.933	Tennessee 87 - Norfolk State 50	-13
Texas San Antonio 70 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0.743	Texas San Antonio 76 - Alabama Birmingham 78	-8
Wisconsin 80 - Iowa 72	0.711	Wisconsin 83 - Iowa 72	-3
Wyoming 75 - San Jose State 71	0.6	Wyoming 75 - San Jose State 73	2

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 72 - Lehigh 71	0.53	American 75 - Lehigh 66	-8
Bucknell 73 - Holy Cross 64	0.734	Bucknell 70 - Holy Cross 58	-3
Central Arkansas 84 - Unranked 64		Central Arkansas 120 - Unranked 54
Charleston Southern 69 - Presbyterian 70	0.533	Charleston Southern 61 - Presbyterian 68	6
Colgate 76 - Loyola MD 58	0.876	Colgate 78 - Loyola MD 55	-5
Davidson 66 - Dayton 74	0.737	Davidson 59 - Dayton 72	5
Denver 80 - Idaho State 68	0.85	Denver 95 - Idaho State 82	-1
East Tennessee State 71 - Mercer 65	0.67	East Tennessee State 80 - Mercer 69	-5
Florida State 71 - Georgia Tech 72	0.512	Florida State 82 - Georgia Tech 71	-12
George Washington 75 - Fordham 70	0.652	George Washington 113 - Fordham 119	11
Howard 69 - Yale 77	0.753	Howard 78 - Yale 86	0
Idaho 64 - Saint Thomas 72	0.695	Idaho 67 - Saint Thomas 75	0
Indiana State 80 - Evansville 68	0.789	Indiana State 87 - Evansville 73	-2
La Salle 67 - George Mason 76	0.779	La Salle 62 - George Mason 77	6
Lafayette 62 - Army 64	0.564	Lafayette 52 - Army 47	-7
Louisiana Tech 93 - Unranked 51		Louisiana Tech 96 - Unranked 55
Massachusetts 75 - Duquesne 74	0.514	Massachusetts 80 - Duquesne 61	-18
Miami 73 - Clemson 77	0.599	Miami 95 - Clemson 82	-17
Middle Tennessee 84 - Unranked 57		Middle Tennessee 84 - Unranked 47
Missouri State 75 - Northern Iowa 70	0.626	Missouri State 62 - Northern Iowa 64	7
Montana State 73 - Oral Roberts 72	0.531	Montana State 76 - Oral Roberts 82	7
Navy 67 - Boston 65	0.58	Navy 62 - Boston 60	0
Nebraska 75 - Indiana 71	0.605	Nebraska 86 - Indiana 70	-12
North Carolina Central 87 - Unranked 57		North Carolina Central 112 - Unranked 70
North Dakota 71 - Northern Colorado 76	0.654	North Dakota 87 - Northern Colorado 97	5
North Dakota State 69 - Montana 75	0.649	North Dakota State 86 - Montana 96	4
Notre Dame 68 - NC State 75	0.668	Notre Dame 52 - NC State 54	-5
Ohio State 75 - Rutgers 65	0.768	Ohio State 76 - Rutgers 72	6
Oklahoma State 79 - Chicago State 60	0.915	Oklahoma State 72 - Chicago State 53	0
Omaha 69 - Northern Arizona 70	0.525	Omaha 81 - Northern Arizona 55	-27
Providence 75 - Seton Hall 67	0.715	Providence 57 - Seton Hall 61	12
Radford 71 - High Point 72	0.508	Radford 71 - High Point 85	13
Rhode Island 66 - Saint Josephs 77	0.769	Rhode Island 78 - Saint Josephs 74	-15
Sacramento State 68 - UMKC 71	0.586	Sacramento State 67 - UMKC 64	-6
Saint Louis 73 - Loyola Ill 72	0.51	Saint Louis 73 - Loyola Ill 80	8
Samford 82 - Chattanooga 70	0.818	Samford 89 - Chattanooga 74	-3
San Diego State 82 - Fresno State 60	0.941	San Diego State 74 - Fresno State 47	-5
South Dakota 69 - Eastern Washington 79	0.72	South Dakota 79 - Eastern Washington 93	4
Southern California 80 - California 72	0.718	Southern California 82 - California 74	0
The Citadel 68 - Western Carolina 70	0.563	The Citadel 71 - Western Carolina 80	7
Tulane 82 - Rice 72	0.748	Tulane 84 - Rice 59	-15
UCLA 73 - Stanford 72	0.513	UCLA 53 - Stanford 59	7
UL Monroe 65 - Marshall 75	0.765	UL Monroe 57 - Marshall 68	1
UNC Asheville 74 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.778	UNC Asheville 95 - South Carolina Upstate 67	-19
UNC Greensboro 74 - Furman 72	0.538	UNC Greensboro 79 - Furman 68	-9
Valparaiso 63 - Bradley 75	0.812	Valparaiso 61 - Bradley 86	13
Villanova 75 - Xavier 70	0.64	Villanova 66 - Xavier 65	4
Virginia 77 - Louisville 61	0.811	Virginia 77 - Louisville 53	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.607	Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Saint Bonaventure 89	15
Weber State 76 - South Dakota State 67	0.696	Weber State 75 - South Dakota State 73	7
Winthrop 69 - Longwood 70	0.507	Winthrop 68 - Longwood 60	-9
Wofford 81 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.954	Wofford 87 - Virginia Military Institute 85	17

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 82 - Colorado 76	0.648	Arizona 97 - Colorado 50	-41
Arizona State 69 - Utah 79	0.754	Arizona State 82 - Utah 70	-22
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.557	Arkansas Little Rock 88 - SIU Edwardsville 80	-5
Arkansas State 75 - Georgia Southern 67	0.729	Arkansas State 109 - Georgia Southern 83	-18
Bellarmine 66 - Austin Peay 68	0.541	Bellarmine 68 - Austin Peay 84	14
Cal Poly 66 - Long Beach State 77	0.794	Cal Poly 82 - Long Beach State 89	-4
Cal State Bakersfield 63 - Hawaii 73	0.834	Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Hawaii 78	1
Columbia 89 - Unranked 59		Columbia 120 - Unranked 52
Delaware 81 - Hampton 63	0.904	Delaware 80 - Hampton 53	-9
Detroit 62 - Green Bay 72	0.737	Detroit 51 - Green Bay 69	8
Drexel 69 - UNC Wilmington 71	0.538	Drexel 78 - UNC Wilmington 63	-17
Eastern Kentucky 67 - Lipscomb 77	0.795	Eastern Kentucky 80 - Lipscomb 72	-18
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Jacksonville 68	0.595	Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Jacksonville 70	-6
Gonzaga 85 - Pepperdine 65	0.93	Gonzaga 86 - Pepperdine 60	-6
Hofstra 74 - College of Charleston 73	0.528	Hofstra 61 - College of Charleston 73	13
LIU Brooklyn 63 - Wagner 70	0.71	LIU Brooklyn 69 - Wagner 67	-9
Loyola Marymount 72 - Santa Clara 75	0.576	Loyola Marymount 57 - Santa Clara 68	8
Merrimack 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.793	Merrimack 60 - Fairleigh Dickinson 56	7
Michigan 77 - Minnesota 74	0.58	Michigan 71 - Minnesota 73	5
Michigan State 79 - Penn State 67	0.776	Michigan State 92 - Penn State 61	-19
Monmouth 69 - Towson 68	0.526	Monmouth 51 - Towson 43	-7
Morehead State 78 - Tennessee Tech 59	0.93	Morehead State 82 - Tennessee Tech 57	-6
New Mexico State 71 - Texas El Paso 70	0.508	New Mexico State 63 - Texas El Paso 53	-9
North Carolina AT 70 - Campbell 71	0.552	North Carolina AT 76 - Campbell 62	-15
Northeastern 74 - Stony Brook 72	0.574	Northeastern 53 - Stony Brook 62	11
Northern Kentucky 70 - Youngstown State 73	0.583	Northern Kentucky 79 - Youngstown State 76	-6
Oakland 79 - Milwaukee 68	0.805	Oakland 100 - Milwaukee 95	6
Pacific 56 - San Francisco 83	0.938	Pacific 88 - San Francisco 92	-23
Robert Morris 76 - IUPUI 65	0.796	Robert Morris 92 - IUPUI 48	-33
Sacred Heart 72 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.658	Sacred Heart 79 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-7
San Diego 63 - Saint Marys 77	0.814	San Diego 70 - Saint Marys 81	-3
Seattle 79 - Utah Tech 66	0.813	Seattle 70 - Utah Tech 53	-4
South Alabama 67 - Appalachian State 72	0.604	South Alabama 84 - Appalachian State 91	2
South Florida 74 - Temple 69	0.63	South Florida 76 - Temple 68	-3
Southern Indiana 69 - Tennessee State 72	0.609	Southern Indiana 69 - Tennessee State 67	-5
Southern Miss 70 - Georgia State 71	0.536	Southern Miss 79 - Georgia State 73	-7
Southern Utah 69 - Grand Canyon 82	0.845	Southern Utah 75 - Grand Canyon 96	8
Stetson 78 - North Florida 69	0.724	Stetson 75 - North Florida 74	8
Stonehill 67 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.619	Stonehill 59 - Central Connecticut State 74	11
Tarleton State 73 - Texas Arlington 68	0.633	Tarleton State 78 - Texas Arlington 76	3
Tennessee Martin 77 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.787	Tennessee Martin 72 - Eastern Illinois 79	17
Texas Pan American 67 - Stephen F Austin 79	0.787	Texas Pan American 78 - Stephen F Austin 85	-5
Texas State 75 - Coastal Carolina 64	0.855	Texas State 63 - Coastal Carolina 71	19
Troy 74 - Old Dominion 69	0.633	Troy 86 - Old Dominion 73	-8
Tulsa 67 - Memphis 81	0.854	Tulsa 75 - Memphis 78	-11
UC Irvine 76 - Cal State Fullerton 63	0.862	UC Irvine 75 - Cal State Fullerton 67	5
UC Riverside 71 - UC Davis 69	0.548	UC Riverside 63 - UC Davis 83	22
UC Santa Barbara 72 - UC San Diego 70	0.58	UC Santa Barbara 72 - UC San Diego 79	9
UL Lafayette 70 - James Madison 79	0.737	UL Lafayette 61 - James Madison 68	-2
Utah Valley 71 - Cal Baptist 68	0.579	Utah Valley 65 - Cal Baptist 58	-4
Washington 78 - Oregon 77	0.56	Washington 74 - Oregon 76	3
Washington State 76 - Oregon State 67	0.729	Washington State 65 - Oregon State 58	2
Western Illinois 76 - SE Missouri State 65	0.807	Western Illinois 68 - SE Missouri State 61	4
Wichita State 70 - North Texas 69	0.504	Wichita State 62 - North Texas 74	13
William and Mary 71 - Elon 75	0.597	William and Mary 77 - Elon 70	-11
Wright State 76 - Cleveland State 77	0.551	Wright State 82 - Cleveland State 70	-13

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Bowling Green 66	0.699	Akron 83 - Bowling Green 67	-8
Butler 73 - Connecticut 78	0.628	Butler 81 - Connecticut 88	2
Manhattan 70 - Niagara 71	0.531	Manhattan 67 - Niagara 81	13
Mt St Marys 68 - Canisius 73	0.65	Mt St Marys 74 - Canisius 69	-10
Purdue 80 - Illinois 72	0.737	Purdue 83 - Illinois 78	3
Quinnipiac 77 - Rider 69	0.779	Quinnipiac 88 - Rider 84	4
Saint Peters 64 - Iona 67	0.601	Saint Peters 69 - Iona 57	-15
San Jose State 67 - Boise State 79	0.809	San Jose State 69 - Boise State 78	-3
Siena 62 - Fairfield 74	0.802	Siena 69 - Fairfield 93	12
Toledo 80 - Miami OH 71	0.743	Toledo 68 - Miami OH 64	5

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Texas Pan American 68	0.799	Abilene Christian 91 - Texas Pan American 89	9
Arizona 83 - Utah 78	0.603	Arizona 92 - Utah 73	-14
Arizona State 68 - Colorado 77	0.73	Arizona State 76 - Colorado 73	-12
Arkansas 73 - Auburn 78	0.645	Arkansas 51 - Auburn 83	27
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.689	Arkansas Little Rock 88 - Eastern Illinois 90	9
Arkansas Pine Bluff 79 - Alabama AM 77	0.584	Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 - Alabama AM 63	3
Arkansas State 72 - Old Dominion 69	0.586	Arkansas State 90 - Old Dominion 75	-12
Army 70 - Holy Cross 62	0.698	Army 70 - Holy Cross 57	-5
Ball State 74 - Central Michigan 65	0.717	Ball State 65 - Central Michigan 71	15
Bellarmine 65 - Lipscomb 74	0.738	Bellarmine 70 - Lipscomb 81	2
Bethune Cookman 68 - Florida AM 69	0.501	Bethune Cookman 98 - Florida AM 86	-13
Boston 70 - Lafayette 60	0.774	Boston 51 - Lafayette 59	18
Bradley 71 - Missouri State 70	0.517	Bradley 86 - Missouri State 60	-25
Brigham Young 80 - Cincinnati 71	0.725	Brigham Young 60 - Cincinnati 71	20
Bucknell 70 - American 69	0.515	Bucknell 63 - American 71	9
Buffalo 72 - Western Michigan 71	0.511	Buffalo 77 - Western Michigan 82	6
Cal Poly 65 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.764	Cal Poly 52 - UC Santa Barbara 61	0
Cal State Fullerton 69 - UC San Diego 68	0.521	Cal State Fullerton 58 - UC San Diego 76	19
Cal State Northridge 72 - Hawaii 70	0.552	Cal State Northridge 76 - Hawaii 66	-8
Charlotte 66 - Florida Atlantic 78	0.766	Charlotte 70 - Florida Atlantic 68	-14
Chattanooga 74 - Furman 76	0.568	Chattanooga 73 - Furman 58	-17
Clemson 79 - North Carolina 76	0.598	Clemson 55 - North Carolina 65	13
Creighton 76 - Providence 72	0.59	Creighton 69 - Providence 60	-5
Delaware State 72 - Coppin State 61	0.78	Delaware State 55 - Coppin State 53	9
Detroit 67 - Milwaukee 75	0.724	Detroit 61 - Milwaukee 84	15
Eastern Kentucky 68 - Austin Peay 71	0.6	Eastern Kentucky 69 - Austin Peay 59	-13
Eastern Michigan 66 - Kent State 77	0.822	Eastern Michigan 71 - Kent State 69	-13
Eastern Washington 78 - North Dakota State 68	0.745	Eastern Washington 91 - North Dakota State 83	2
Elon 78 - North Carolina AT 70	0.777	Elon 77 - North Carolina AT 59	-10
Evansville 76 - Murray State 66	0.744	Evansville 59 - Murray State 81	32
Fairleigh Dickinson 75 - Le Moyne 73	0.542	Fairleigh Dickinson 63 - Le Moyne 74	13
Florida 79 - Kentucky 81	0.574	Florida 85 - Kentucky 87	0
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - North Florida 66	0.692	Florida Gulf Coast 58 - North Florida 78	27
Florida State 70 - Virginia Tech 73	0.577	Florida State 77 - Virginia Tech 74	-6
Fordham 73 - La Salle 71	0.576	Fordham 76 - La Salle 81	7
Fresno State 63 - Nevada 79	0.87	Fresno State 57 - Nevada 72	-1
George Mason 76 - Saint Louis 68	0.734	George Mason 79 - Saint Louis 67	-4
Georgetown 76 - DePaul 71	0.679	Georgetown 68 - DePaul 65	2
Georgia Tech 73 - Boston College 72	0.517	Georgia Tech 87 - Boston College 95	9
Gonzaga 84 - San Diego 66	0.918	Gonzaga 101 - San Diego 74	-9
Grambling State 68 - Prairie View 70	0.536	Grambling State 69 - Prairie View 63	-8
Hampton 68 - Campbell 70	0.571	Hampton 69 - Campbell 80	9
High Point 79 - Gardner Webb 68	0.804	High Point 85 - Gardner Webb 76	2
Hofstra 76 - Delaware 69	0.676	Hofstra 76 - Delaware 71	2
Houston 82 - West Virginia 56	0.966	Houston 89 - West Virginia 55	-8
Houston Christian 68 - Nicholls State 76	0.757	Houston Christian 94 - Nicholls State 98	-4
Idaho State 70 - Omaha 69	0.519	Idaho State 63 - Omaha 62	0
Illinois Chicago 72 - Valparaiso 61	0.797	Illinois Chicago 70 - Valparaiso 64	5
Illinois State 64 - Southern Illinois 71	0.684	Illinois State 64 - Southern Illinois 71	0
Incarnate Word 69 - Texas AM CC 73	0.595	Incarnate Word 65 - Texas AM CC 75	6
Indiana 72 - Ohio State 76	0.614	Indiana 71 - Ohio State 65	-10
Iowa 76 - Rutgers 70	0.661	Iowa 86 - Rutgers 77	-3
IPFW 81 - Wright State 71	0.758	IPFW 98 - Wright State 106	18
Jackson State 78 - Alcorn State 70	0.737	Jackson State 88 - Alcorn State 80	0
Jacksonville State 74 - Florida International 66	0.736	Jacksonville State 70 - Florida International 63	1
Kansas 80 - Texas Christian 72	0.747	Kansas 83 - Texas Christian 81	6
Kansas State 73 - Central Florida 72	0.536	Kansas State 77 - Central Florida 52	-24
Kennesaw St 81 - Queens 75	0.724	Kennesaw St 80 - Queens 77	3
Lamar 79 - Northwestern State 68	0.794	Lamar 90 - Northwestern State 70	-9
Long Beach State 77 - UC Riverside 70	0.674	Long Beach State 83 - UC Riverside 75	-1
Longwood 78 - Charleston Southern 60	0.897	Longwood 77 - Charleston Southern 56	-3
Louisville 66 - Pittsburgh 79	0.804	Louisville 70 - Pittsburgh 83	0
Loyola Ill 69 - Duquesne 72	0.591	Loyola Ill 72 - Duquesne 67	-8
Loyola Marymount 63 - Saint Marys 75	0.785	Loyola Marymount 64 - Saint Marys 68	-8
Loyola MD 66 - Lehigh 72	0.673	Loyola MD 76 - Lehigh 88	6
Maryland Eastern Shore 72 - Morgan State 68	0.598	Maryland Eastern Shore 75 - Morgan State 74	3
Merrimack 72 - Sacred Heart 65	0.717	Merrimack 82 - Sacred Heart 58	-17
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Alabama State 74	0.847	Mississippi Valley State 51 - Alabama State 54	-10
Missouri 72 - Georgia 73	0.516	Missouri 68 - Georgia 75	6
Montana 80 - South Dakota 66	0.788	Montana 82 - South Dakota 63	-5
Morehead State 77 - Tennessee State 64	0.869	Morehead State 78 - Tennessee State 68	3
Navy 64 - Colgate 69	0.66	Navy 72 - Colgate 80	3
NC State 71 - Virginia 70	0.518	NC State 76 - Virginia 60	-15
New Hampshire 73 - UMass Lowell 71	0.567	New Hampshire 75 - UMass Lowell 82	9
New Mexico 84 - Wyoming 67	0.856	New Mexico 77 - Wyoming 60	0
New Orleans 69 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.507	New Orleans 68 - Southeast Louisiana 73	4
NJ Tech 69 - Albany 74	0.65	NJ Tech 73 - Albany 79	1
North Alabama 78 - Central Arkansas 67	0.815	North Alabama 81 - Central Arkansas 84	14
North Carolina Central 74 - Howard 71	0.582	North Carolina Central 73 - Howard 54	-16
North Texas 76 - Tulane 72	0.603	North Texas 70 - Tulane 56	-10
Northern Arizona 72 - North Dakota 68	0.62	Northern Arizona 74 - North Dakota 73	3
Northern Colorado 79 - Denver 77	0.558	Northern Colorado 86 - Denver 82	-2
Notre Dame 65 - Duke 79	0.811	Notre Dame 59 - Duke 67	-6
Oakland 74 - Green Bay 65	0.732	Oakland 79 - Green Bay 73	3
Ohio 77 - Northern Illinois 73	0.629	Ohio 78 - Northern Illinois 66	-8
Oklahoma 74 - Iowa State 73	0.504	Oklahoma 71 - Iowa State 63	-7
Oklahoma State 71 - Baylor 80	0.746	Oklahoma State 70 - Baylor 75	-4
Oral Roberts 69 - Weber State 77	0.665	Oral Roberts 78 - Weber State 83	-3
Pennsylvania 77 - Dartmouth 62	0.818	Pennsylvania 80 - Dartmouth 51	-14
Pepperdine 70 - Santa Clara 77	0.673	Pepperdine 72 - Santa Clara 78	-1
Portland 76 - Pacific 66	0.736	Portland 78 - Pacific 64	-4
Presbyterian 67 - UNC Asheville 75	0.731	Presbyterian 80 - UNC Asheville 84	-4
Princeton 79 - Harvard 64	0.872	Princeton 89 - Harvard 58	-16
Rice 78 - Texas San Antonio 69	0.754	Rice 82 - Texas San Antonio 89	16
Richmond 69 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.542	Richmond 65 - Saint Bonaventure 54	-12
Saint Thomas 76 - Sacramento State 59	0.864	Saint Thomas 63 - Sacramento State 50	4
Sam Houston State 66 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.773	Sam Houston State 81 - Louisiana Tech 77	-13
San Diego State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 66	0.783	San Diego State 72 - Nevada Las Vegas 61	3
SE Missouri State 84 - Unranked 64		SE Missouri State 71 - Unranked 61
Seattle 75 - Cal Baptist 66	0.748	Seattle 48 - Cal Baptist 46	7
Seton Hall 69 - Marquette 78	0.718	Seton Hall 78 - Marquette 75	-12
South Alabama 73 - Georgia State 67	0.688	South Alabama 76 - Georgia State 90	20
South Carolina 70 - Mississippi State 71	0.534	South Carolina 68 - Mississippi State 62	-7
South Carolina State 66 - Norfolk State 77	0.762	South Carolina State 72 - Norfolk State 79	-4
South Carolina Upstate 66 - Winthrop 73	0.75	South Carolina Upstate 80 - Winthrop 82	-5
South Dakota State 74 - Montana State 69	0.665	South Dakota State 89 - Montana State 61	-23
Southern 75 - Texas Southern 67	0.675	Southern 58 - Texas Southern 51	1
Southern California 77 - Stanford 76	0.515	Southern California 93 - Stanford 79	-13
Southern Indiana 70 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.566	Southern Indiana 59 - Tennessee Tech 73	17
Southern Miss 66 - James Madison 83	0.885	Southern Miss 81 - James Madison 71	-27
Stephen F Austin 75 - Texas Arlington 69	0.647	Stephen F Austin 92 - Texas Arlington 73	-13
Stetson 77 - Jacksonville 71	0.635	Stetson 71 - Jacksonville 55	-10
Stonehill 73 - LIU Brooklyn 67	0.648	Stonehill 68 - LIU Brooklyn 73	11
Stony Brook 70 - College of Charleston 78	0.73	Stony Brook 87 - College of Charleston 93	-2
Tennessee 77 - Mississippi 66	0.785	Tennessee 90 - Mississippi 64	-15
Texas 74 - Texas Tech 71	0.588	Texas 67 - Texas Tech 78	14
Texas AM 79 - Louisiana State 68	0.793	Texas AM 53 - Louisiana State 68	26
Texas AM Commerce 63 - Mcneese State 76	0.791	Texas AM Commerce 67 - Mcneese State 73	-7
Texas State 70 - Marshall 69	0.512	Texas State 75 - Marshall 79	5
The Citadel 70 - Samford 77	0.67	The Citadel 64 - Samford 80	9
Towson 69 - UNC Wilmington 72	0.567	Towson 67 - UNC Wilmington 64	-6
Troy 68 - Appalachian State 75	0.67	Troy 66 - Appalachian State 62	-11
UC Irvine 77 - UC Davis 64	0.825	UC Irvine 74 - UC Davis 71	10
UCLA 76 - California 68	0.744	UCLA 57 - California 66	17
UL Lafayette 79 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.868	UL Lafayette 85 - Coastal Carolina 77	6
UL Monroe 69 - Georgia Southern 68	0.523	UL Monroe 68 - Georgia Southern 76	9
UMBC 73 - Bryant 83	0.724	UMBC 67 - Bryant 81	4
UMKC 68 - Portland State 72	0.602	UMKC 83 - Portland State 67	-20
UNC Greensboro 70 - East Tennessee State 68	0.559	UNC Greensboro 70 - East Tennessee State 54	-14
Utah State 75 - Colorado State 74	0.51	Utah State 77 - Colorado State 72	-4
Utah Tech 65 - Grand Canyon 81	0.871	Utah Tech 65 - Grand Canyon 75	-6
Utah Valley 77 - Southern Utah 72	0.626	Utah Valley 80 - Southern Utah 62	-13
Vanderbilt 67 - Alabama 86	0.873	Vanderbilt 75 - Alabama 78	-16
Vermont 73 - Maine 61	0.792	Vermont 65 - Maine 58	5
Villanova 76 - Saint Johns 71	0.61	Villanova 71 - Saint Johns 81	15
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - George Washington 68	0.763	Virginia Commonwealth 82 - George Washington 84	12
Virginia Military Institute 61 - Mercer 73	0.851	Virginia Military Institute 64 - Mercer 86	10
Wagner 68 - Saint Francis Penn 62	0.702	Wagner 71 - Saint Francis Penn 56	-9
Wake Forest 76 - Miami 74	0.535	Wake Forest 86 - Miami 82	-2
Washington 81 - Oregon State 70	0.821	Washington 79 - Oregon State 72	4
Washington State 73 - Oregon 74	0.516	Washington State 84 - Oregon 89	4
Western Carolina 76 - Wofford 70	0.674	Western Carolina 70 - Wofford 66	2
Western Illinois 74 - Lindenwood 63	0.835	Western Illinois 68 - Lindenwood 57	0
Western Kentucky 70 - Liberty 74	0.626	Western Kentucky 70 - Liberty 68	-6
William and Mary 64 - Drexel 76	0.773	William and Mary 55 - Drexel 77	10
Wisconsin 76 - Nebraska 68	0.684	Wisconsin 88 - Nebraska 72	-8

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - South Florida 72	0.523	Alabama Birmingham 75 - South Florida 71	-3
Belmont 71 - Drake 77	0.655	Belmont 87 - Drake 65	-28
Cleveland State 75 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.677	Cleveland State 88 - Northern Kentucky 85	4
Dayton 80 - Massachusetts 68	0.817	Dayton 64 - Massachusetts 60	8
East Carolina 69 - Tulsa 70	0.501	East Carolina 62 - Tulsa 57	-6
Fairfield 68 - Marist 67	0.545	Fairfield 82 - Marist 61	-20
Iona 78 - Niagara 64	0.867	Iona 73 - Niagara 75	16
Memphis 79 - Southern Methodist 72	0.701	Memphis 62 - Southern Methodist 59	4
Minnesota 72 - Maryland 70	0.572	Minnesota 65 - Maryland 62	-1
Northern Iowa 72 - Indiana State 79	0.67	Northern Iowa 66 - Indiana State 77	4
Northwestern 69 - Michigan State 73	0.595	Northwestern 88 - Michigan State 74	-18
Penn State 76 - Michigan 77	0.524	Penn State 79 - Michigan 73	-7
Quinnipiac 77 - Manhattan 65	0.846	Quinnipiac 76 - Manhattan 59	-5
Rider 68 - Canisius 75	0.728	Rider 79 - Canisius 76	-10
Saint Peters 69 - Mt St Marys 64	0.655	Saint Peters 70 - Mt St Marys 64	-1
Temple 70 - Wichita State 75	0.628	Temple 68 - Wichita State 61	-12
Texas El Paso 73 - Chicago State 64	0.738	Texas El Paso 74 - Chicago State 69	4
Youngstown State 83 - IUPUI 59	0.934	Youngstown State 75 - IUPUI 65	14

Number of DI Games: 310
Number Correct: 218 = 70.3%
Expected Number Correct: 215.197 = 69.4%
Average Error: 8.83
Average Signed Error: -1.19

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 71 - Alabama State 77	0.707	Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Alabama State 83	5
Coppin State 64 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.582	Coppin State 58 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-6
Grambling State 67 - Texas Southern 68	0.504	Grambling State 52 - Texas Southern 54	1
Lamar 77 - Incarnate Word 69	0.714	Lamar 75 - Incarnate Word 59	-8
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Alabama AM 71	0.669	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Alabama AM 78	3
Monmouth 74 - Northeastern 68	0.702	Monmouth 81 - Northeastern 62	-13
Morgan State 68 - Delaware State 73	0.627	Morgan State 66 - Delaware State 78	7
New Orleans 68 - Texas AM Commerce 72	0.608	New Orleans 88 - Texas AM Commerce 85	-7
North Carolina Central 70 - Norfolk State 69	0.509	North Carolina Central 60 - Norfolk State 58	-1
Northwestern State 57 - Mcneese State 82	0.947	Northwestern State 59 - Mcneese State 68	-16
South Carolina State 73 - Howard 77	0.641	South Carolina State 78 - Howard 82	0
Southern 77 - Prairie View 66	0.736	Southern 79 - Prairie View 58	-10
Texas AM CC 79 - Houston Christian 66	0.855	Texas AM CC 81 - Houston Christian 59	-9

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - South Carolina 71	0.71	Alabama 74 - South Carolina 47	-17
Auburn 79 - Texas AM 68	0.771	Auburn 66 - Texas AM 55	0
Ball State 63 - Akron 76	0.818	Ball State 76 - Akron 80	-9
Baylor 78 - Brigham Young 76	0.544	Baylor 81 - Brigham Young 72	-7
Boise State 72 - Colorado State 75	0.621	Boise State 65 - Colorado State 58	-10
Bowling Green 73 - Ohio 71	0.538	Bowling Green 83 - Ohio 78	-3
Brown 65 - Yale 75	0.844	Brown 70 - Yale 80	0
Buffalo 70 - Miami OH 73	0.59	Buffalo 65 - Miami OH 86	18
Cincinnati 75 - Texas 70	0.625	Cincinnati 73 - Texas 74	6
Cornell 83 - Columbia 70	0.878	Cornell 91 - Columbia 79	1
Davidson 75 - Rhode Island 66	0.747	Davidson 74 - Rhode Island 79	14
DePaul 64 - Creighton 84	0.915	DePaul 58 - Creighton 84	6
Eastern Michigan 73 - Central Michigan 67	0.65	Eastern Michigan 64 - Central Michigan 80	22
Florida State 73 - Wake Forest 78	0.648	Florida State 87 - Wake Forest 82	-10
George Mason 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 68	0.686	George Mason 50 - Virginia Commonwealth 54	10
Georgetown 69 - Seton Hall 78	0.75	Georgetown 70 - Seton Hall 74	-5
Georgia Tech 72 - Notre Dame 67	0.641	Georgia Tech 68 - Notre Dame 75	12
Iowa State 65 - Houston 75	0.733	Iowa State 57 - Houston 53	-14
Kent State 75 - Toledo 74	0.541	Kent State 75 - Toledo 89	15
Kentucky 85 - Missouri 70	0.848	Kentucky 90 - Missouri 77	2
Louisiana State 77 - Vanderbilt 67	0.759	Louisiana State 77 - Vanderbilt 69	2
Loyola Ill 69 - Richmond 70	0.504	Loyola Ill 56 - Richmond 58	1
Nebraska 69 - Purdue 82	0.79	Nebraska 88 - Purdue 72	-29
Nevada 80 - Air Force 57	0.945	Nevada 67 - Air Force 54	10
Nevada Las Vegas 73 - New Mexico 78	0.603	Nevada Las Vegas 83 - New Mexico 73	-15
Nicholls State 74 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.631	Nicholls State 66 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0
Pittsburgh 71 - Duke 77	0.665	Pittsburgh 53 - Duke 75	16
Rutgers 70 - Indiana 71	0.544	Rutgers 66 - Indiana 57	-10
San Jose State 62 - San Diego State 82	0.92	San Jose State 78 - San Diego State 81	-17
Texas Tech 77 - Oklahoma State 67	0.796	Texas Tech 90 - Oklahoma State 73	-7
Utah State 83 - Wyoming 63	0.926	Utah State 83 - Wyoming 59	-4
West Virginia 69 - Kansas State 76	0.662	West Virginia 67 - Kansas State 81	7
Western Michigan 72 - Northern Illinois 73	0.509	Western Michigan 95 - Northern Illinois 90	-6

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 68 - Loyola MD 62	0.683	Army 65 - Loyola MD 71	12
Belmont 77 - Illinois State 67	0.743	Belmont 67 - Illinois State 60	3
Boston 68 - American 69	0.532	Boston 72 - American 68	-5
Bradley 77 - Evansville 66	0.753	Bradley 86 - Evansville 50	-25
California 71 - Colorado 81	0.737	California 82 - Colorado 78	-14
Central Florida 68 - Kansas 77	0.717	Central Florida 65 - Kansas 60	-14
Charlotte 72 - Tulsa 66	0.674	Charlotte 84 - Tulsa 76	-2
Colgate 74 - Lafayette 58	0.881	Colgate 64 - Lafayette 69	21
Drake 74 - Indiana State 75	0.52	Drake 89 - Indiana State 78	-12
East Tennessee State 68 - Western Carolina 70	0.554	East Tennessee State 66 - Western Carolina 80	12
Fairleigh Dickinson 70 - Chicago State 72	0.553	Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Chicago State 75	-1
Furman 74 - The Citadel 70	0.596	Furman 82 - The Citadel 68	-10
Gardner Webb 75 - Charleston Southern 64	0.808	Gardner Webb 74 - Charleston Southern 86	23
Georgia 75 - Arkansas 72	0.612	Georgia 76 - Arkansas 66	-7
High Point 77 - UNC Asheville 70	0.677	High Point 84 - UNC Asheville 79	2
Holy Cross 62 - Navy 72	0.802	Holy Cross 70 - Navy 80	0
IUPUI 60 - Green Bay 74	0.81	IUPUI 58 - Green Bay 68	-4
Kennesaw St 77 - Stetson 76	0.513	Kennesaw St 88 - Stetson 70	-17
Lehigh 72 - Bucknell 68	0.623	Lehigh 80 - Bucknell 86	10
Liberty 72 - Jacksonville State 62	0.735	Liberty 51 - Jacksonville State 61	20
Marquette 82 - Butler 73	0.74	Marquette 62 - Butler 69	16
Marshall 79 - Georgia Southern 66	0.823	Marshall 79 - Georgia Southern 74	8
Massachusetts 81 - La Salle 69	0.81	Massachusetts 81 - La Salle 65	-4
Memphis 89 - Texas San Antonio 63	0.964	Memphis 107 - Texas San Antonio 101	20
Miami 87 - Louisville 66	0.895	Miami 71 - Louisville 80	30
Mississippi 76 - Florida 77	0.507	Mississippi 103 - Florida 85	-19
Mississippi State 68 - Tennessee 75	0.685	Mississippi State 77 - Tennessee 72	-12
Missouri State 74 - Murray State 68	0.642	Missouri State 53 - Murray State 77	30
NC State 72 - North Carolina 80	0.729	NC State 54 - North Carolina 67	5
Northern Iowa 74 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.698	Northern Iowa 67 - Illinois Chicago 59	-1
Oakland 76 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.693	Oakland 70 - Northern Kentucky 65	2
Ohio State 72 - Wisconsin 75	0.596	Ohio State 60 - Wisconsin 71	8
Penn State 72 - Northwestern 76	0.595	Penn State 72 - Northwestern 76	0
Presbyterian 66 - Winthrop 76	0.817	Presbyterian 71 - Winthrop 81	0
Queens 73 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.527	Queens 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	-2
Robert Morris 72 - Wright State 79	0.681	Robert Morris 76 - Wright State 101	18
Saint Johns 77 - Providence 72	0.641	Saint Johns 75 - Providence 73	3
Saint Louis 71 - Saint Josephs 77	0.654	Saint Louis 88 - Saint Josephs 85	-9
Sam Houston State 70 - Western Kentucky 74	0.63	Sam Houston State 78 - Western Kentucky 74	-8
Southern California 76 - Washington State 74	0.551	Southern California 64 - Washington State 72	10
Syracuse 78 - Boston College 74	0.615	Syracuse 69 - Boston College 59	-6
Temple 71 - East Carolina 69	0.557	Temple 62 - East Carolina 73	13
Texas Christian 74 - Oklahoma 75	0.541	Texas Christian 80 - Oklahoma 71	-10
Troy 72 - UL Lafayette 69	0.593	Troy 79 - UL Lafayette 73	-3
Valparaiso 60 - Southern Illinois 76	0.866	Valparaiso 68 - Southern Illinois 77	-7
Virginia Tech 70 - Clemson 75	0.629	Virginia Tech 87 - Clemson 72	-20
Wofford 74 - Mercer 70	0.61	Wofford 74 - Mercer 73	3
Xavier 73 - Connecticut 77	0.637	Xavier 75 - Connecticut 80	1
Youngstown State 72 - IPFW 73	0.533	Youngstown State 93 - IPFW 85	-9

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 75 - Alcorn State 74	0.527	Alabama AM 71 - Alcorn State 74	4
Alabama State 72 - Jackson State 71	0.512	Alabama State 63 - Jackson State 73	11
Arkansas State 72 - Texas State 67	0.668	Arkansas State 85 - Texas State 82	2
Bryant 78 - Binghamton 70	0.669	Bryant 77 - Binghamton 69	0
Cal Baptist 67 - Tarleton State 69	0.561	Cal Baptist 77 - Tarleton State 63	-16
Campbell 63 - Delaware 75	0.81	Campbell 62 - Delaware 68	-6
Central Arkansas 70 - Eastern Kentucky 76	0.678	Central Arkansas 63 - Eastern Kentucky 86	17
Chattanooga 79 - Virginia Military Institute 61	0.936	Chattanooga 109 - Virginia Military Institute 61	-30
Coastal Carolina 66 - Appalachian State 78	0.803	Coastal Carolina 45 - Appalachian State 70	13
College of Charleston 83 - Elon 65	0.911	College of Charleston 80 - Elon 62	0
Eastern Illinois 61 - Morehead State 73	0.838	Eastern Illinois 52 - Morehead State 78	14
Florida International 72 - New Mexico State 74	0.551	Florida International 77 - New Mexico State 67	-12
Georgia State 74 - Old Dominion 68	0.688	Georgia State 77 - Old Dominion 70	-1
Grand Canyon 83 - Abilene Christian 65	0.916	Grand Canyon 74 - Abilene Christian 64	8
Hampton 69 - William and Mary 73	0.612	Hampton 61 - William and Mary 73	8
Hawaii 67 - UC Irvine 72	0.676	Hawaii 50 - UC Irvine 60	5
Illinois 78 - Michigan State 72	0.632	Illinois 71 - Michigan State 68	3
James Madison 80 - South Alabama 67	0.799	James Madison 89 - South Alabama 55	-21
Longwood 71 - Radford 66	0.657	Longwood 58 - Radford 69	16
Maine 68 - New Hampshire 70	0.574	Maine 74 - New Hampshire 79	3
Maryland 74 - Michigan 72	0.541	Maryland 64 - Michigan 57	-5
Middle Tennessee 61 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.787	Middle Tennessee 52 - Louisiana Tech 60	-4
Montana 78 - Northern Colorado 72	0.695	Montana 92 - Northern Colorado 98	12
Montana State 72 - Northern Arizona 68	0.639	Montana State 79 - Northern Arizona 50	-25
North Alabama 74 - Bellarmine 69	0.659	North Alabama 69 - Bellarmine 53	-11
North Carolina AT 63 - Drexel 78	0.848	North Carolina AT 63 - Drexel 67	-11
Northeastern 68 - Hofstra 75	0.701	Northeastern 71 - Hofstra 68	-10
Omaha 72 - North Dakota 67	0.625	Omaha 79 - North Dakota 61	-13
Oral Roberts 80 - South Dakota 69	0.759	Oral Roberts 84 - South Dakota 66	-7
Oregon State 72 - Stanford 75	0.564	Oregon State 84 - Stanford 88	1
Pepperdine 78 - Pacific 66	0.77	Pepperdine 93 - Pacific 78	-3
Portland State 75 - Idaho State 65	0.767	Portland State 63 - Idaho State 69	16
Sacramento State 61 - Weber State 78	0.859	Sacramento State 71 - Weber State 69	-19
Saint Marys 81 - Portland 58	0.919	Saint Marys 95 - Portland 52	-20
Saint Thomas 70 - South Dakota State 68	0.561	Saint Thomas 80 - South Dakota State 81	3
Samford 77 - UNC Greensboro 69	0.702	Samford 79 - UNC Greensboro 70	-1
San Diego 67 - San Francisco 78	0.775	San Diego 63 - San Francisco 83	9
Santa Clara 73 - Gonzaga 80	0.716	Santa Clara 77 - Gonzaga 76	-8
SE Missouri State 71 - Lindenwood 68	0.597	SE Missouri State 68 - Lindenwood 74	9
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Southern Indiana 64	0.711	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Southern Indiana 64	5
Tennessee Martin 74 - Western Illinois 73	0.507	Tennessee Martin 64 - Western Illinois 73	10
Texas Arlington 70 - Utah Valley 73	0.583	Texas Arlington 83 - Utah Valley 69	-17
Texas Pan American 64 - Seattle 79	0.875	Texas Pan American 81 - Seattle 80	-16
Towson 71 - Stony Brook 66	0.63	Towson 73 - Stony Brook 64	-4
Tulane 75 - Florida Atlantic 82	0.664	Tulane 84 - Florida Atlantic 85	-6
UC Davis 71 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.519	UC Davis 95 - Cal State Northridge 75	-21
UC Riverside 73 - Cal Poly 64	0.745	UC Riverside 71 - Cal Poly 56	-6
UC San Diego 76 - Long Beach State 73	0.569	UC San Diego 88 - Long Beach State 74	-11
UC Santa Barbara 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.819	UC Santa Barbara 66 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	9
UL Monroe 64 - Southern Miss 72	0.712	UL Monroe 58 - Southern Miss 71	5
UMass Lowell 78 - NJ Tech 63	0.881	UMass Lowell 70 - NJ Tech 62	7
UMKC 72 - North Dakota State 71	0.547	UMKC 91 - North Dakota State 92	2
UNC Wilmington 73 - Monmouth 70	0.582	UNC Wilmington 69 - Monmouth 56	-10
Utah 79 - UCLA 66	0.826	Utah 90 - UCLA 44	-33
Utah Tech 69 - Stephen F Austin 76	0.686	Utah Tech 75 - Stephen F Austin 70	-12
Vermont 84 - UMBC 64	0.908	Vermont 77 - UMBC 72	15
Washington 78 - Arizona State 74	0.612	Washington 82 - Arizona State 67	-11

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 81 - Buffalo 60	0.938	Akron 76 - Buffalo 59	4
Canisius 77 - Siena 60	0.872	Canisius 67 - Siena 63	13
Duquesne 66 - Dayton 76	0.802	Duquesne 62 - Dayton 72	0
Indiana 74 - Minnesota 71	0.599	Indiana 74 - Minnesota 62	-9
Iowa 79 - Nebraska 78	0.539	Iowa 94 - Nebraska 76	-17
Kennesaw St 76 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.673	Kennesaw St 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	3
Marist 68 - Quinnipiac 70	0.549	Marist 55 - Quinnipiac 66	9
Milwaukee 73 - Cleveland State 76	0.583	Milwaukee 88 - Cleveland State 80	-11
Nevada 75 - Boise State 69	0.687	Nevada 56 - Boise State 64	14
Niagara 70 - Fairfield 74	0.639	Niagara 96 - Fairfield 72	-28
North Florida 74 - Jacksonville 70	0.623	North Florida 82 - Jacksonville 74	-4
Queens 73 - Stetson 78	0.629	Queens 66 - Stetson 84	13
Rider 75 - Manhattan 67	0.767	Rider 71 - Manhattan 58	-5
Robert Morris 67 - IPFW 77	0.74	Robert Morris 91 - IPFW 88	-13
South Florida 76 - Rice 66	0.735	South Florida 81 - Rice 73	2
Villanova 83 - DePaul 61	0.938	Villanova 94 - DePaul 69	-3
Youngstown State 77 - Wright State 75	0.538	Youngstown State 81 - Wright State 71	-8

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - San Jose State 69	0.518	Air Force 67 - San Jose State 70	4
Alabama AM 69 - Jackson State 76	0.74	Alabama AM 67 - Jackson State 75	1
Alabama State 77 - Alcorn State 69	0.729	Alabama State 55 - Alcorn State 53	6
Albany 75 - Binghamton 71	0.605	Albany 95 - Binghamton 75	-16
American 70 - Army 63	0.698	American 79 - Army 60	-12
Arkansas State 72 - UL Lafayette 71	0.507	Arkansas State 80 - UL Lafayette 84	5
Auburn 81 - Louisiana State 67	0.811	Auburn 93 - Louisiana State 78	-1
Baylor 78 - Cincinnati 74	0.617	Baylor 62 - Cincinnati 59	1
Bethune Cookman 70 - Grambling State 68	0.556	Bethune Cookman 69 - Grambling State 79	12
Bucknell 63 - Colgate 73	0.751	Bucknell 73 - Colgate 84	1
Butler 76 - Seton Hall 75	0.532	Butler 72 - Seton Hall 78	7
Cal Baptist 73 - Abilene Christian 69	0.612	Cal Baptist 68 - Abilene Christian 53	-11
Cal Poly 62 - UC San Diego 75	0.811	Cal Poly 61 - UC San Diego 86	12
Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.753	Cal State Northridge 76 - Cal State Fullerton 71	3
Campbell 61 - Hofstra 76	0.853	Campbell 69 - Hofstra 68	-16
Central Arkansas 71 - Bellarmine 72	0.511	Central Arkansas 59 - Bellarmine 57	-3
Central Florida 69 - Brigham Young 77	0.684	Central Florida 58 - Brigham Young 63	-3
Central Michigan 65 - Kent State 77	0.799	Central Michigan 77 - Kent State 62	-27
Charleston Southern 67 - South Carolina Upstate 70	0.582	Charleston Southern 77 - South Carolina Upstate 70	-10
Chattanooga 68 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.593	Chattanooga 54 - UNC Greensboro 70	13
Clemson 80 - Boston College 72	0.752	Clemson 89 - Boston College 78	-3
Coastal Carolina 74 - Old Dominion 73	0.505	Coastal Carolina 79 - Old Dominion 75	-3
College of Charleston 78 - Monmouth 69	0.768	College of Charleston 94 - Monmouth 83	-2
Colorado 80 - Southern California 73	0.656	Colorado 68 - Southern California 58	-3
Creighton 78 - Saint Johns 75	0.589	Creighton 66 - Saint Johns 65	2
Denver 74 - South Dakota State 77	0.571	Denver 99 - South Dakota State 80	-22
Detroit 62 - Northern Kentucky 76	0.834	Detroit 76 - Northern Kentucky 81	-9
Duke 82 - Georgia Tech 67	0.855	Duke 84 - Georgia Tech 79	10
East Carolina 65 - Southern Methodist 76	0.775	East Carolina 64 - Southern Methodist 75	0
Eastern Illinois 65 - Western Illinois 68	0.596	Eastern Illinois 60 - Western Illinois 63	0
Elon 65 - Drexel 75	0.763	Elon 69 - Drexel 89	10
Evansville 70 - Missouri State 72	0.554	Evansville 64 - Missouri State 74	8
Fairleigh Dickinson 74 - Stonehill 69	0.641	Fairleigh Dickinson 81 - Stonehill 74	-2
Florida 81 - Arkansas 75	0.699	Florida 90 - Arkansas 68	-16
Florida AM 68 - Southern 75	0.685	Florida AM 65 - Southern 74	2
Florida International 71 - Texas El Paso 73	0.553	Florida International 72 - Texas El Paso 68	-6
Furman 73 - East Tennessee State 72	0.51	Furman 82 - East Tennessee State 73	-8
Gardner Webb 74 - Presbyterian 67	0.716	Gardner Webb 76 - Presbyterian 60	-9
George Washington 73 - Davidson 75	0.557	George Washington 83 - Davidson 79	-6
Georgia 67 - Tennessee 77	0.823	Georgia 79 - Tennessee 85	-4
Georgia State 76 - Georgia Southern 67	0.758	Georgia State 90 - Georgia Southern 62	-19
Grand Canyon 77 - Tarleton State 65	0.837	Grand Canyon 74 - Tarleton State 48	-14
Hawaii 74 - UC Riverside 65	0.775	Hawaii 63 - UC Riverside 56	2
Howard 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 68	0.742	Howard 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	-2
Idaho 69 - Eastern Washington 78	0.725	Idaho 58 - Eastern Washington 79	12
Illinois Chicago 66 - Bradley 73	0.682	Illinois Chicago 59 - Bradley 77	11
Indiana State 81 - Belmont 72	0.72	Indiana State 94 - Belmont 64	-21
Iowa State 77 - Oklahoma State 66	0.776	Iowa State 66 - Oklahoma State 42	-13
IUPUI 60 - Oakland 82	0.914	IUPUI 66 - Oakland 88	0
James Madison 75 - Appalachian State 71	0.606	James Madison 55 - Appalachian State 59	8
Kansas 76 - Oklahoma 71	0.639	Kansas 78 - Oklahoma 66	-7
La Salle 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	0.701	La Salle 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0
Lafayette 63 - Navy 66	0.619	Lafayette 78 - Navy 62	-19
Le Moyne 65 - Merrimack 71	0.636	Le Moyne 62 - Merrimack 66	-2
Lehigh 77 - Holy Cross 65	0.856	Lehigh 66 - Holy Cross 69	15
Lipscomb 73 - Austin Peay 65	0.711	Lipscomb 91 - Austin Peay 77	-6
Louisville 68 - NC State 81	0.838	Louisville 83 - NC State 89	-7
Loyola Marymount 79 - Pacific 63	0.836	Loyola Marymount 81 - Pacific 64	-1
Loyola MD 65 - Boston 69	0.62	Loyola MD 58 - Boston 60	-2
Marshall 75 - South Alabama 69	0.66	Marshall 85 - South Alabama 91	12
Mcneese State 78 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.86	Mcneese State 74 - Southeast Louisiana 65	10
Mercer 66 - Western Carolina 72	0.656	Mercer 52 - Western Carolina 64	6
Miami OH 73 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.591	Miami OH 71 - Eastern Michigan 54	-14
Middle Tennessee 67 - Sam Houston State 70	0.599	Middle Tennessee 51 - Sam Houston State 60	6
Mississippi 78 - Vanderbilt 65	0.818	Mississippi 69 - Vanderbilt 56	0
Mississippi State 74 - Alabama 78	0.582	Mississippi State 74 - Alabama 82	4
Missouri 70 - South Carolina 74	0.625	Missouri 69 - South Carolina 71	-2
Montana 78 - Northern Arizona 63	0.822	Montana 90 - Northern Arizona 47	-28
Montana State 73 - Northern Colorado 76	0.612	Montana State 90 - Northern Colorado 81	-12
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - Utah State 78	0.702	Nevada Las Vegas 86 - Utah State 87	-7
New Hampshire 75 - Bryant 74	0.527	New Hampshire 74 - Bryant 89	16
New Mexico 72 - San Diego State 76	0.596	New Mexico 88 - San Diego State 70	-22
New Orleans 67 - Texas AM CC 74	0.685	New Orleans 83 - Texas AM CC 80	-10
Nicholls State 77 - Lamar 73	0.623	Nicholls State 76 - Lamar 78	6
North Alabama 73 - Eastern Kentucky 74	0.518	North Alabama 72 - Eastern Kentucky 81	8
North Carolina 82 - Syracuse 71	0.773	North Carolina 103 - Syracuse 67	-25
North Texas 74 - Temple 62	0.838	North Texas 69 - Temple 51	-6
Northeastern 67 - Towson 69	0.564	Northeastern 67 - Towson 59	-10
Northern Illinois 72 - Bowling Green 73	0.543	Northern Illinois 72 - Bowling Green 83	10
Northwestern State 69 - Incarnate Word 73	0.614	Northwestern State 97 - Incarnate Word 71	-30
Notre Dame 69 - Florida State 72	0.595	Notre Dame 58 - Florida State 67	6
Omaha 71 - North Dakota State 70	0.511	Omaha 96 - North Dakota State 92	-3
Oral Roberts 70 - Saint Thomas 72	0.561	Oral Roberts 76 - Saint Thomas 87	9
Oregon 83 - California 69	0.851	Oregon 80 - California 73	7
Portland State 66 - Weber State 76	0.731	Portland State 69 - Weber State 66	-13
Prairie View 74 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.789	Prairie View 71 - Mississippi Valley State 60	1
Providence 74 - Xavier 71	0.568	Providence 65 - Xavier 85	23
Purdue 87 - Penn State 64	0.917	Purdue 95 - Penn State 78	6
Rhode Island 70 - Massachusetts 78	0.706	Rhode Island 89 - Massachusetts 77	-20
Richmond 69 - George Mason 70	0.533	Richmond 77 - George Mason 70	-8
Sacramento State 69 - Idaho State 67	0.579	Sacramento State 66 - Idaho State 64	0
Sacred Heart 74 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.683	Sacred Heart 89 - LIU Brooklyn 55	-28
Saint Bonaventure 77 - Fordham 65	0.805	Saint Bonaventure 74 - Fordham 80	18
Saint Francis Penn 64 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.705	Saint Francis Penn 61 - Central Connecticut State 75	7
Saint Josephs 74 - Loyola Ill 69	0.622	Saint Josephs 75 - Loyola Ill 78	8
Samford 88 - Virginia Military Institute 59	0.968	Samford 134 - Virginia Military Institute 96	-9
San Diego 76 - Pepperdine 71	0.637	San Diego 77 - Pepperdine 83	11
San Francisco 82 - Portland 61	0.905	San Francisco 96 - Portland 69	-6
Santa Clara 68 - Saint Marys 74	0.644	Santa Clara 49 - Saint Marys 73	18
SIU Edwardsville 63 - Morehead State 74	0.81	SIU Edwardsville 61 - Morehead State 48	-24
Southern Illinois 71 - Drake 70	0.514	Southern Illinois 58 - Drake 76	19
Southern Utah 72 - Stephen F Austin 79	0.684	Southern Utah 82 - Stephen F Austin 84	-5
Tennessee Martin 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	0.565	Tennessee Martin 77 - Arkansas Little Rock 72	-3
Tennessee State 74 - Lindenwood 65	0.794	Tennessee State 75 - Lindenwood 60	-6
Tennessee Tech 72 - SE Missouri State 67	0.653	Tennessee Tech 70 - SE Missouri State 59	-6
Texas AM 74 - Kentucky 80	0.635	Texas AM 97 - Kentucky 92	-11
Texas AM Commerce 77 - Houston Christian 67	0.787	Texas AM Commerce 65 - Houston Christian 69	14
Texas Arlington 68 - Seattle 75	0.7	Texas Arlington 80 - Seattle 75	-12
Texas Christian 66 - Houston 78	0.822	Texas Christian 68 - Houston 67	-13
Texas Pan American 67 - Utah Valley 78	0.788	Texas Pan American 76 - Utah Valley 68	-19
Texas San Antonio 66 - Charlotte 77	0.795	Texas San Antonio 58 - Charlotte 66	-3
Texas Southern 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.767	Texas Southern 67 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	10
Texas Tech 75 - Kansas State 70	0.633	Texas Tech 60 - Kansas State 59	4
The Citadel 72 - Wofford 71	0.525	The Citadel 71 - Wofford 72	2
Toledo 79 - Ball State 67	0.796	Toledo 77 - Ball State 72	7
Troy 75 - Southern Miss 68	0.675	Troy 82 - Southern Miss 56	-19
UC Davis 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0.831	UC Davis 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 71	5
UC Santa Barbara 75 - Long Beach State 76	0.537	UC Santa Barbara 85 - Long Beach State 76	-10
UL Monroe 62 - Texas State 69	0.712	UL Monroe 54 - Texas State 67	6
UMass Lowell 84 - UMBC 66	0.895	UMass Lowell 86 - UMBC 82	14
UMKC 73 - North Dakota 67	0.653	UMKC 69 - North Dakota 82	19
UNC Asheville 71 - Longwood 70	0.502	UNC Asheville 65 - Longwood 61	-3
Vermont 78 - NJ Tech 60	0.897	Vermont 76 - NJ Tech 55	-3
Virginia Tech 73 - Miami 76	0.58	Virginia Tech 71 - Miami 75	1
Wake Forest 74 - Virginia 67	0.643	Wake Forest 66 - Virginia 47	-12
Washington State 71 - Arizona 85	0.768	Washington State 73 - Arizona 70	-17
West Virginia 69 - Texas 76	0.726	West Virginia 76 - Texas 73	-10
Western Kentucky 72 - Jacksonville State 65	0.7	Western Kentucky 80 - Jacksonville State 69	-4
Western Michigan 71 - Ohio 75	0.663	Western Michigan 81 - Ohio 79	-6
William and Mary 68 - Stony Brook 76	0.717	William and Mary 59 - Stony Brook 63	-4
Winthrop 72 - Radford 68	0.659	Winthrop 92 - Radford 88	0
Wisconsin 77 - Northwestern 68	0.718	Wisconsin 71 - Northwestern 63	1
Wyoming 73 - Fresno State 69	0.617	Wyoming 68 - Fresno State 67	3

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Connecticut 86 - Georgetown 64	0.94	Connecticut 80 - Georgetown 67	9
Florida Atlantic 82 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.802	Florida Atlantic 86 - Alabama Birmingham 73	2
Green Bay 68 - Cleveland State 70	0.562	Green Bay 79 - Cleveland State 71	-10
Illinois 81 - Maryland 66	0.877	Illinois 67 - Maryland 76	24
Illinois State 73 - Valparaiso 63	0.795	Illinois State 50 - Valparaiso 59	19
Iona 73 - Mt St Marys 67	0.692	Iona 87 - Mt St Marys 70	-11
Louisiana Tech 69 - Liberty 70	0.504	Louisiana Tech 80 - Liberty 76	-5
Manhattan 59 - Saint Peters 71	0.809	Manhattan 68 - Saint Peters 81	1
Marist 71 - Rider 67	0.619	Marist 83 - Rider 60	-19
Michigan State 76 - Rutgers 64	0.763	Michigan State 73 - Rutgers 55	-6
Murray State 71 - Northern Iowa 74	0.569	Murray State 60 - Northern Iowa 70	7
Stanford 74 - Utah 80	0.619	Stanford 79 - Utah 73	-12
Tulsa 74 - Tulane 77	0.599	Tulsa 87 - Tulane 94	4
UCLA 70 - Washington 76	0.704	UCLA 73 - Washington 61	-18
UNC Wilmington 73 - Delaware 71	0.549	UNC Wilmington 79 - Delaware 74	-3
Wichita State 70 - Memphis 80	0.796	Wichita State 86 - Memphis 112	16

Number of DI Games: 318
Number Correct: 211 = 66.3%
Expected Number Correct: 219.597 = 69%
Average Error: 9.34
Average Signed Error: -1.69

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 73 - Alabama AM 66	0.761	Alabama State 72 - Alabama AM 55	-10
Bethune Cookman 67 - Southern 78	0.746	Bethune Cookman 83 - Southern 81	-13
Boston College 76 - Notre Dame 69	0.713	Boston College 63 - Notre Dame 59	3
Canisius 71 - Fairfield 70	0.538	Canisius 63 - Fairfield 88	26
Central Connecticut State 65 - Merrimack 67	0.537	Central Connecticut State 75 - Merrimack 70	-7
Cornell 80 - Pennsylvania 74	0.72	Cornell 77 - Pennsylvania 60	-11
Florida AM 68 - Grambling State 69	0.517	Florida AM 52 - Grambling State 65	12
George Washington 72 - George Mason 76	0.623	George Washington 75 - George Mason 62	-17
Hampton 69 - North Carolina AT 74	0.65	Hampton 80 - North Carolina AT 81	-4
Harvard 75 - Brown 66	0.752	Harvard 72 - Brown 74	11
Howard 89 - Unranked 61		Howard 78 - Unranked 72
Le Moyne 69 - Sacred Heart 70	0.505	Le Moyne 73 - Sacred Heart 80	6
Loyola MD 65 - American 73	0.721	Loyola MD 52 - American 66	6
Marquette 76 - Villanova 74	0.564	Marquette 87 - Villanova 74	-11
Mcneese State 78 - Lamar 64	0.838	Mcneese State 88 - Lamar 69	-5
Michigan 73 - Ohio State 78	0.633	Michigan 73 - Ohio State 65	-13
Minnesota 76 - Iowa 78	0.585	Minnesota 77 - Iowa 86	7
Niagara 76 - Siena 63	0.811	Niagara 88 - Siena 93	18
Nicholls State 78 - New Orleans 70	0.749	Nicholls State 78 - New Orleans 75	5
Norfolk State 88 - Unranked 55		Norfolk State 118 - Unranked 73
Northwestern State 73 - Houston Christian 72	0.535	Northwestern State 69 - Houston Christian 64	-4
Princeton 83 - Dartmouth 53	0.955	Princeton 76 - Dartmouth 58	12
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.523	Saint Francis Penn 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 81	9
Saint Josephs 79 - La Salle 68	0.762	Saint Josephs 82 - La Salle 62	-9
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Texas AM CC 69	0.522	Southeast Louisiana 68 - Texas AM CC 73	4
Stetson 75 - Chicago State 65	0.747	Stetson 70 - Chicago State 77	17
Texas Southern 73 - Mississippi Valley State 58	0.893	Texas Southern 93 - Mississippi Valley State 61	-17
Wagner 71 - Stonehill 61	0.77	Wagner 64 - Stonehill 54	0
Yale 78 - Columbia 66	0.865	Yale 89 - Columbia 70	-7

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 79 - Western Michigan 63	0.904	Akron 77 - Western Michigan 66	5
Alabama 87 - Missouri 69	0.87	Alabama 93 - Missouri 75	0
Arkansas 73 - Texas AM 76	0.577	Arkansas 78 - Texas AM 77	-4
Boise State 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.696	Boise State 64 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	11
Brigham Young 74 - Iowa State 73	0.536	Brigham Young 87 - Iowa State 72	-14
Cincinnati 76 - Texas Christian 74	0.53	Cincinnati 81 - Texas Christian 77	-2
Clemson 82 - Georgia Tech 69	0.81	Clemson 90 - Georgia Tech 93	16
Colorado State 81 - Air Force 58	0.959	Colorado State 78 - Air Force 69	14
Dayton 84 - Saint Louis 64	0.922	Dayton 70 - Saint Louis 65	15
Duquesne 70 - Richmond 71	0.537	Duquesne 61 - Richmond 63	1
Eastern Michigan 68 - Ball State 71	0.564	Eastern Michigan 62 - Ball State 76	11
Fresno State 70 - San Jose State 71	0.501	Fresno State 85 - San Jose State 82	-4
Indiana 70 - Purdue 81	0.781	Indiana 66 - Purdue 87	10
Indiana State 80 - Missouri State 67	0.807	Indiana State 88 - Missouri State 66	-9
Kansas State 72 - Baylor 78	0.643	Kansas State 68 - Baylor 64	-10
Miami OH 70 - Bowling Green 71	0.518	Miami OH 73 - Bowling Green 78	4
NC State 75 - Wake Forest 77	0.576	NC State 83 - Wake Forest 76	-9
New Mexico 76 - Utah State 77	0.541	New Mexico 99 - Utah State 86	-14
Northern Illinois 71 - Kent State 76	0.615	Northern Illinois 76 - Kent State 83	2
Ohio 74 - Central Michigan 69	0.641	Ohio 73 - Central Michigan 61	-7
Oklahoma State 67 - Kansas 78	0.819	Oklahoma State 66 - Kansas 90	13
Penn State 68 - Wisconsin 81	0.826	Penn State 87 - Wisconsin 83	-17
Pittsburgh 74 - Syracuse 73	0.506	Pittsburgh 58 - Syracuse 69	12
Rice 65 - Charlotte 73	0.738	Rice 79 - Charlotte 81	-6
Seton Hall 75 - Saint Johns 76	0.555	Seton Hall 80 - Saint Johns 65	-16
South Carolina 72 - Georgia 70	0.579	South Carolina 69 - Georgia 74	7
Southern Methodist 80 - Temple 62	0.906	Southern Methodist 77 - Temple 64	5
Tennessee 82 - Florida 73	0.745	Tennessee 85 - Florida 66	-10
Toledo 83 - Buffalo 64	0.901	Toledo 77 - Buffalo 66	8
Western Carolina 74 - Samford 76	0.553	Western Carolina 71 - Samford 75	2
Xavier 79 - Butler 74	0.632	Xavier 85 - Butler 71	-9

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Tulane 79	0.573	Alabama Birmingham 83 - Tulane 69	-16
Appalachian State 75 - Georgia State 64	0.767	Appalachian State 76 - Georgia State 68	3
Arizona 89 - Southern California 71	0.822	Arizona 82 - Southern California 67	3
Arizona State 73 - UCLA 67	0.659	Arizona State 66 - UCLA 68	8
Army 60 - Colgate 72	0.789	Army 56 - Colgate 64	-4
Belmont 75 - Northern Iowa 73	0.538	Belmont 72 - Northern Iowa 83	13
Boston 68 - Bucknell 65	0.595	Boston 57 - Bucknell 73	19
Connecticut 77 - Creighton 74	0.586	Connecticut 62 - Creighton 48	-11
DePaul 66 - Providence 80	0.867	DePaul 62 - Providence 100	24
East Carolina 62 - North Texas 72	0.769	East Carolina 59 - North Texas 60	-9
Evansville 73 - Valparaiso 68	0.647	Evansville 78 - Valparaiso 75	2
Fordham 71 - Davidson 72	0.545	Fordham 69 - Davidson 79	9
Holy Cross 63 - Lafayette 70	0.713	Holy Cross 68 - Lafayette 72	-3
Houston 75 - Texas Tech 64	0.782	Houston 77 - Texas Tech 54	-12
Illinois Chicago 69 - Murray State 70	0.52	Illinois Chicago 58 - Murray State 73	14
Illinois State 62 - Drake 77	0.811	Illinois State 56 - Drake 77	6
IPFW 82 - IUPUI 60	0.92	IPFW 79 - IUPUI 85	28
Kentucky 79 - Mississippi State 75	0.612	Kentucky 90 - Mississippi State 77	-9
Louisiana State 73 - Mississippi 76	0.56	Louisiana State 89 - Mississippi 80	-12
Loyola Ill 74 - Massachusetts 73	0.52	Loyola Ill 79 - Massachusetts 78	0
Mercer 68 - Chattanooga 69	0.535	Mercer 60 - Chattanooga 74	13
Miami 79 - Florida State 75	0.603	Miami 75 - Florida State 84	13
Navy 73 - Lehigh 67	0.689	Navy 71 - Lehigh 69	4
North Carolina 89 - Louisville 63	0.948	North Carolina 86 - Louisville 70	10
Northwestern 73 - Maryland 69	0.597	Northwestern 72 - Maryland 69	1
Oakland 74 - Youngstown State 71	0.592	Oakland 70 - Youngstown State 67	0
Oklahoma 81 - West Virginia 67	0.831	Oklahoma 77 - West Virginia 63	0
Presbyterian 66 - High Point 79	0.865	Presbyterian 83 - High Point 86	-10
Radford 75 - Gardner Webb 66	0.753	Radford 68 - Gardner Webb 74	15
Robert Morris 75 - Detroit 64	0.759	Robert Morris 102 - Detroit 99	8
Rutgers 70 - Nebraska 74	0.583	Rutgers 87 - Nebraska 82	-9
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Rhode Island 68	0.691	Saint Bonaventure 99 - Rhode Island 64	-28
San Diego State 74 - Nevada 69	0.629	San Diego State 71 - Nevada 59	-7
South Carolina Upstate 64 - Longwood 73	0.76	South Carolina Upstate 73 - Longwood 71	-11
Southern Illinois 69 - Bradley 71	0.546	Southern Illinois 69 - Bradley 70	-1
Southern Miss 72 - Arkansas State 73	0.516	Southern Miss 69 - Arkansas State 66	-4
Texas 74 - Central Florida 69	0.622	Texas 71 - Central Florida 77	11
Texas State 66 - UL Lafayette 69	0.617	Texas State 68 - UL Lafayette 86	15
Tulsa 79 - Texas San Antonio 71	0.759	Tulsa 107 - Texas San Antonio 78	-21
UNC Greensboro 72 - The Citadel 62	0.762	UNC Greensboro 73 - The Citadel 67	4
Vanderbilt 63 - Auburn 83	0.916	Vanderbilt 65 - Auburn 80	-5
Virginia 68 - Virginia Tech 69	0.502	Virginia 65 - Virginia Tech 57	-9
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Furman 84	0.871	Virginia Military Institute 60 - Furman 100	22
Wofford 73 - East Tennessee State 71	0.585	Wofford 75 - East Tennessee State 73	0

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 71 - UMass Lowell 73	0.557	Albany 76 - UMass Lowell 97	19
Austin Peay 72 - North Alabama 68	0.628	Austin Peay 83 - North Alabama 80	1
Binghamton 64 - Vermont 75	0.757	Binghamton 62 - Vermont 82	9
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - UC Riverside 71	0.61	Cal State Bakersfield 80 - UC Riverside 56	-27
Cal State Fullerton 67 - UC Davis 71	0.615	Cal State Fullerton 65 - UC Davis 67	-2
Cal State Northridge 75 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.613	Cal State Northridge 69 - UC Santa Barbara 97	32
California 75 - Washington 81	0.663	California 75 - Washington 77	-4
College of Charleston 76 - Towson 66	0.791	College of Charleston 78 - Towson 82	14
Colorado 77 - Oregon 75	0.545	Colorado 86 - Oregon 70	-14
Delaware 74 - Stony Brook 68	0.693	Delaware 71 - Stony Brook 68	3
Drexel 72 - Monmouth 65	0.684	Drexel 78 - Monmouth 74	3
Elon 67 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.762	Elon 70 - UNC Wilmington 82	2
Florida Atlantic 83 - Wichita State 68	0.823	Florida Atlantic 86 - Wichita State 77	6
Georgia Southern 71 - Coastal Carolina 73	0.547	Georgia Southern 73 - Coastal Carolina 70	-5
Grand Canyon 79 - Utah Valley 63	0.877	Grand Canyon 78 - Utah Valley 65	3
Hofstra 83 - Hampton 59	0.947	Hofstra 86 - Hampton 77	15
Idaho State 69 - Idaho 68	0.534	Idaho State 64 - Idaho 59	-4
Jacksonville 73 - Queens 74	0.503	Jacksonville 79 - Queens 77	-3
James Madison 83 - UL Monroe 58	0.939	James Madison 89 - UL Monroe 70	6
Liberty 78 - Florida International 66	0.799	Liberty 78 - Florida International 69	3
Lindenwood 63 - SIU Edwardsville 72	0.75	Lindenwood 59 - SIU Edwardsville 78	10
Lipscomb 82 - Central Arkansas 64	0.902	Lipscomb 86 - Central Arkansas 96	28
Long Beach State 74 - Hawaii 73	0.518	Long Beach State 79 - Hawaii 71	-7
Memphis 83 - South Florida 69	0.814	Memphis 73 - South Florida 74	15
Michigan 73 - Illinois 82	0.735	Michigan 73 - Illinois 88	6
Michigan State 78 - Minnesota 67	0.764	Michigan State 76 - Minnesota 66	1
Morehead State 78 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.787	Morehead State 84 - Tennessee Martin 66	-7
New Mexico State 68 - Western Kentucky 75	0.692	New Mexico State 72 - Western Kentucky 70	-9
NJ Tech 67 - New Hampshire 75	0.734	NJ Tech 62 - New Hampshire 70	0
North Carolina AT 68 - Northeastern 76	0.711	North Carolina AT 72 - Northeastern 65	-15
North Dakota 70 - Oral Roberts 76	0.663	North Dakota 87 - Oral Roberts 77	-16
North Dakota State 75 - Denver 79	0.632	North Dakota State 70 - Denver 78	4
North Florida 73 - Kennesaw St 77	0.603	North Florida 84 - Kennesaw St 75	-13
Northern Arizona 66 - Portland State 72	0.641	Northern Arizona 84 - Portland State 65	-25
Northern Colorado 78 - Sacramento State 68	0.773	Northern Colorado 77 - Sacramento State 75	8
Northern Kentucky 74 - Milwaukee 72	0.571	Northern Kentucky 90 - Milwaukee 72	-16
Old Dominion 70 - Marshall 75	0.67	Old Dominion 91 - Marshall 66	-30
Pacific 63 - Santa Clara 83	0.872	Pacific 69 - Santa Clara 88	-1
Pepperdine 68 - Gonzaga 83	0.87	Pepperdine 61 - Gonzaga 86	10
San Francisco 78 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.84	San Francisco 90 - Loyola Marymount 74	-2
South Alabama 69 - Troy 75	0.634	South Alabama 74 - Troy 71	-9
South Dakota 64 - Saint Thomas 76	0.801	South Dakota 74 - Saint Thomas 73	-13
South Dakota State 75 - Omaha 67	0.702	South Dakota State 90 - Omaha 87	5
Southern Indiana 69 - Arkansas Little Rock 74	0.618	Southern Indiana 75 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	-3
Southern Utah 75 - Utah Tech 74	0.517	Southern Utah 75 - Utah Tech 65	-9
Stanford 75 - Washington State 76	0.524	Stanford 75 - Washington State 89	13
Stephen F Austin 72 - Seattle 71	0.534	Stephen F Austin 89 - Seattle 84	-4
Tarleton State 74 - Abilene Christian 68	0.663	Tarleton State 79 - Abilene Christian 71	-2
Tennessee State 72 - Tennessee Tech 66	0.666	Tennessee State 85 - Tennessee Tech 53	-26
Texas Arlington 80 - Texas Pan American 70	0.77	Texas Arlington 91 - Texas Pan American 73	-8
Texas El Paso 69 - Middle Tennessee 63	0.675	Texas El Paso 73 - Middle Tennessee 59	-8
UC Irvine 75 - UC San Diego 67	0.714	UC Irvine 76 - UC San Diego 65	-3
UMBC 70 - Maine 74	0.629	UMBC 70 - Maine 65	-9
Utah 83 - Oregon State 68	0.799	Utah 74 - Oregon State 47	-12
Weber State 73 - Eastern Washington 72	0.535	Weber State 78 - Eastern Washington 80	3
William and Mary 69 - Campbell 67	0.53	William and Mary 64 - Campbell 77	15
Winthrop 74 - UNC Asheville 70	0.616	Winthrop 77 - UNC Asheville 82	9
Wright State 75 - Green Bay 70	0.64	Wright State 81 - Green Bay 88	12

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Connecticut State 73 - Le Moyne 65	0.694	Central Connecticut State 73 - Le Moyne 75	10
Central Michigan 68 - Toledo 78	0.718	Central Michigan 65 - Toledo 62	-13
Chicago State 84 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 131 - Unranked 55
Colorado State 79 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.711	Colorado State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	6
Fairfield 66 - Saint Peters 67	0.513	Fairfield 76 - Saint Peters 67	-10
Iona 72 - Canisius 67	0.637	Iona 70 - Canisius 58	-7
Kent State 67 - Akron 74	0.702	Kent State 71 - Akron 77	-1
Merrimack 68 - Wagner 59	0.75	Merrimack 65 - Wagner 71	15
Mt St Marys 68 - Marist 67	0.52	Mt St Marys 65 - Marist 48	-16
Rider 72 - Niagara 74	0.549	Rider 74 - Niagara 78	2
Saint Francis Penn 70 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.605	Saint Francis Penn 72 - LIU Brooklyn 66	-2
Siena 62 - Quinnipiac 76	0.848	Siena 70 - Quinnipiac 82	-2
Stonehill 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 73	0.568	Stonehill 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 76	4
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Saint Louis 69	0.747	Virginia Commonwealth 85 - Saint Louis 61	-15
Wisconsin 79 - Indiana 67	0.827	Wisconsin 91 - Indiana 79	0
Xavier 83 - Georgetown 68	0.86	Xavier 92 - Georgetown 91	14

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 73 - Texas Arlington 75	0.557	Abilene Christian 78 - Texas Arlington 67	-13
Air Force 63 - New Mexico 80	0.886	Air Force 66 - New Mexico 85	2
Alabama Birmingham 74 - East Carolina 70	0.633	Alabama Birmingham 69 - East Carolina 61	-4
Albany 73 - Bryant 76	0.573	Albany 89 - Bryant 98	6
Alcorn State 71 - Texas Southern 70	0.52	Alcorn State 61 - Texas Southern 72	12
Appalachian State 79 - Coastal Carolina 61	0.893	Appalachian State 88 - Coastal Carolina 59	-11
Arizona 86 - UCLA 64	0.855	Arizona 77 - UCLA 71	16
Arizona State 76 - Southern California 73	0.58	Arizona State 82 - Southern California 67	-12
Arkansas 72 - South Carolina 73	0.546	Arkansas 64 - South Carolina 77	12
Arkansas Pine Bluff 74 - Florida AM 75	0.524	Arkansas Pine Bluff 99 - Florida AM 97	-3
Auburn 80 - Mississippi 70	0.738	Auburn 82 - Mississippi 59	-13
Austin Peay 75 - Central Arkansas 64	0.806	Austin Peay 94 - Central Arkansas 71	-12
Ball State 70 - Miami OH 71	0.523	Ball State 80 - Miami OH 87	6
Binghamton 67 - UMass Lowell 75	0.686	Binghamton 60 - UMass Lowell 80	12
Boise State 73 - San Diego State 72	0.513	Boise State 67 - San Diego State 66	0
Boston College 71 - North Carolina 84	0.854	Boston College 66 - North Carolina 76	-3
Bowling Green 76 - Western Michigan 69	0.689	Bowling Green 84 - Western Michigan 79	2
Bradley 77 - Belmont 70	0.663	Bradley 95 - Belmont 72	-16
Brown 69 - Cornell 81	0.894	Brown 83 - Cornell 84	-11
Butler 85 - DePaul 67	0.916	Butler 74 - DePaul 60	4
Cal Baptist 76 - Southern Utah 68	0.729	Cal Baptist 83 - Southern Utah 76	1
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Cal Poly 65	0.687	Cal State Bakersfield 65 - Cal Poly 53	-6
California 71 - Washington State 78	0.686	California 81 - Washington State 75	-13
Charlotte 63 - North Texas 68	0.659	Charlotte 56 - North Texas 44	-17
Cincinnati 74 - Oklahoma 72	0.535	Cincinnati 65 - Oklahoma 69	6
Cleveland State 72 - IPFW 73	0.503	Cleveland State 75 - IPFW 68	-8
Colgate 73 - Boston 62	0.76	Colgate 75 - Boston 59	-5
Colorado 80 - Oregon State 68	0.785	Colorado 90 - Oregon State 57	-21
Columbia 65 - Princeton 81	0.908	Columbia 62 - Princeton 70	-8
Coppin State 68 - Morgan State 67	0.551	Coppin State 86 - Morgan State 89	4
Dartmouth 59 - Yale 76	0.875	Dartmouth 51 - Yale 76	8
Davidson 68 - Richmond 71	0.598	Davidson 64 - Richmond 69	2
Dayton 81 - Rhode Island 63	0.925	Dayton 96 - Rhode Island 62	-16
Delaware State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0.759	Delaware State 67 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	5
Detroit 60 - Youngstown State 78	0.888	Detroit 64 - Youngstown State 105	23
Drake 82 - Evansville 64	0.829	Drake 97 - Evansville 48	-31
Drexel 72 - Delaware 66	0.657	Drexel 86 - Delaware 67	-13
Duke 80 - Pittsburgh 68	0.785	Duke 76 - Pittsburgh 80	16
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Bellarmine 64	0.81	Eastern Kentucky 82 - Bellarmine 70	1
Elon 70 - Northeastern 74	0.617	Elon 72 - Northeastern 84	8
Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Stetson 73	0.623	Florida Gulf Coast 80 - Stetson 56	-29
Florida State 74 - Clemson 77	0.58	Florida State 67 - Clemson 78	8
Fordham 70 - Loyola Ill 73	0.606	Fordham 61 - Loyola Ill 65	1
Furman 71 - Western Carolina 74	0.588	Furman 65 - Western Carolina 62	-6
Gardner Webb 69 - Winthrop 76	0.726	Gardner Webb 79 - Winthrop 74	-12
George Mason 71 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.595	George Mason 69 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-6
Georgia Southern 67 - Georgia State 76	0.727	Georgia Southern 86 - Georgia State 70	-25
Georgia Tech 68 - Virginia 71	0.57	Georgia Tech 66 - Virginia 75	6
Grambling State 66 - Southern 73	0.69	Grambling State 79 - Southern 62	-24
High Point 82 - Charleston Southern 63	0.895	High Point 86 - Charleston Southern 79	12
Holy Cross 69 - Loyola MD 68	0.505	Holy Cross 86 - Loyola MD 78	-7
Houston 76 - Central Florida 60	0.859	Houston 57 - Central Florida 42	1
Houston Christian 71 - Lamar 78	0.735	Houston Christian 78 - Lamar 77	-8
Howard 71 - Norfolk State 73	0.553	Howard 61 - Norfolk State 65	2
Idaho State 66 - Eastern Washington 78	0.816	Idaho State 67 - Eastern Washington 79	0
Incarnate Word 59 - Mcneese State 80	0.897	Incarnate Word 66 - Mcneese State 80	-7
Iowa 76 - Purdue 85	0.715	Iowa 70 - Purdue 84	5
IUPUI 65 - Robert Morris 75	0.719	IUPUI 63 - Robert Morris 80	7
Jackson State 77 - Prairie View 67	0.764	Jackson State 62 - Prairie View 71	19
Jacksonville 71 - Kennesaw St 79	0.723	Jacksonville 79 - Kennesaw St 83	-4
Jacksonville State 65 - Louisiana Tech 69	0.615	Jacksonville State 57 - Louisiana Tech 74	13
James Madison 79 - Marshall 69	0.773	James Madison 67 - Marshall 52	-5
Kansas State 76 - Oklahoma State 67	0.729	Kansas State 70 - Oklahoma State 66	5
Kentucky 82 - Georgia 74	0.755	Kentucky 105 - Georgia 96	-1
Lafayette 67 - Bucknell 64	0.592	Lafayette 75 - Bucknell 72	0
Lehigh 71 - American 73	0.595	Lehigh 70 - American 68	-4
Liberty 74 - Sam Houston State 67	0.667	Liberty 82 - Sam Houston State 66	-9
Lindenwood 65 - Eastern Illinois 68	0.6	Lindenwood 68 - Eastern Illinois 78	7
Lipscomb 79 - North Alabama 68	0.805	Lipscomb 88 - North Alabama 79	2
Longwood 75 - Presbyterian 61	0.862	Longwood 80 - Presbyterian 70	4
Louisiana State 73 - Texas AM 74	0.524	Louisiana State 69 - Texas AM 73	3
Massachusetts 81 - George Washington 74	0.682	Massachusetts 81 - George Washington 67	-7
Mississippi State 79 - Vanderbilt 62	0.876	Mississippi State 68 - Vanderbilt 55	4
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Bethune Cookman 72	0.714	Mississippi Valley State 64 - Bethune Cookman 80	9
Missouri 74 - Florida 81	0.7	Missouri 67 - Florida 79	5
Missouri State 73 - Illinois State 64	0.728	Missouri State 60 - Illinois State 69	18
Monmouth 81 - Hampton 60	0.939	Monmouth 85 - Hampton 77	13
Montana State 69 - Montana 74	0.622	Montana State 77 - Montana 87	5
Navy 69 - Army 61	0.723	Navy 57 - Army 53	4
NC State 74 - Virginia Tech 73	0.528	NC State 78 - Virginia Tech 84	7
Nebraska 76 - Northwestern 73	0.564	Nebraska 75 - Northwestern 69	-3
New Mexico State 70 - Middle Tennessee 64	0.65	New Mexico State 73 - Middle Tennessee 62	-5
New Orleans 76 - Northwestern State 69	0.664	New Orleans 67 - Northwestern State 92	32
NJ Tech 65 - Maine 69	0.633	NJ Tech 64 - Maine 70	2
North Carolina AT 72 - William and Mary 71	0.527	North Carolina AT 76 - William and Mary 69	-6
North Dakota 71 - Denver 79	0.713	North Dakota 92 - Denver 78	-22
North Dakota State 74 - Oral Roberts 77	0.571	North Dakota State 72 - Oral Roberts 67	-8
North Florida 76 - Queens 72	0.638	North Florida 91 - Queens 75	-12
Northern Arizona 66 - Sacramento State 68	0.545	Northern Arizona 70 - Sacramento State 61	-11
Northern Colorado 77 - Portland State 72	0.646	Northern Colorado 90 - Portland State 61	-24
Northern Iowa 71 - Southern Illinois 70	0.53	Northern Iowa 61 - Southern Illinois 57	-3
Northern Kentucky 69 - Green Bay 67	0.548	Northern Kentucky 74 - Green Bay 52	-20
Ohio 76 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.789	Ohio 85 - Eastern Michigan 67	-8
Ohio State 81 - Penn State 70	0.774	Ohio State 79 - Penn State 67	-1
Old Dominion 73 - UL Monroe 64	0.767	Old Dominion 73 - UL Monroe 80	16
Omaha 72 - UMKC 67	0.637	Omaha 72 - UMKC 74	7
Pennsylvania 75 - Harvard 70	0.625	Pennsylvania 61 - Harvard 70	14
Pepperdine 73 - Loyola Marymount 72	0.501	Pepperdine 61 - Loyola Marymount 68	8
Radford 77 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.846	Radford 64 - South Carolina Upstate 61	10
Saint Johns 78 - Marquette 76	0.555	Saint Johns 72 - Marquette 73	3
Saint Josephs 74 - Duquesne 72	0.561	Saint Josephs 71 - Duquesne 69	0
Samford 82 - Mercer 66	0.884	Samford 87 - Mercer 80	9
San Diego 68 - Gonzaga 83	0.89	San Diego 63 - Gonzaga 105	27
San Francisco 69 - Saint Marys 70	0.538	San Francisco 60 - Saint Marys 77	16
Santa Clara 83 - Portland 65	0.868	Santa Clara 101 - Portland 86	3
SE Missouri State 64 - SIU Edwardsville 75	0.804	SE Missouri State 52 - SIU Edwardsville 47	-16
Seattle 67 - Grand Canyon 75	0.724	Seattle 86 - Grand Canyon 79	-15
Seton Hall 73 - Creighton 77	0.612	Seton Hall 94 - Creighton 97	-1
South Alabama 70 - UL Lafayette 71	0.541	South Alabama 79 - UL Lafayette 88	8
South Carolina State 66 - North Carolina Central 76	0.768	South Carolina State 71 - North Carolina Central 68	-13
South Dakota 68 - South Dakota State 78	0.724	South Dakota 55 - South Dakota State 73	8
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Texas AM Commerce 66	0.618	Southeast Louisiana 52 - Texas AM Commerce 68	20
Southern Indiana 60 - Morehead State 75	0.847	Southern Indiana 70 - Morehead State 81	-4
Southern Methodist 80 - Tulsa 64	0.896	Southern Methodist 103 - Tulsa 70	-17
Southern Miss 68 - Troy 74	0.66	Southern Miss 64 - Troy 63	-7
Stanford 79 - Washington 78	0.515	Stanford 90 - Washington 80	-9
Syracuse 78 - Miami 77	0.506	Syracuse 72 - Miami 69	-2
Temple 74 - Rice 68	0.648	Temple 66 - Rice 69	9
Tennessee 79 - Alabama 77	0.548	Tennessee 91 - Alabama 71	-18
Texas 73 - Baylor 78	0.644	Texas 75 - Baylor 73	-7
Texas AM CC 72 - Nicholls State 71	0.549	Texas AM CC 69 - Nicholls State 59	-9
Texas Christian 74 - Iowa State 75	0.523	Texas Christian 72 - Iowa State 73	0
Texas El Paso 68 - Western Kentucky 74	0.72	Texas El Paso 93 - Western Kentucky 87	-12
Texas Pan American 68 - Tarleton State 74	0.666	Texas Pan American 73 - Tarleton State 77	-2
Texas State 70 - Arkansas State 71	0.542	Texas State 72 - Arkansas State 79	6
Texas Tech 74 - Brigham Young 73	0.518	Texas Tech 85 - Brigham Young 78	-6
Towson 72 - Campbell 59	0.821	Towson 77 - Campbell 43	-21
UC Davis 68 - UC Irvine 73	0.662	UC Davis 54 - UC Irvine 52	-7
UC Riverside 70 - Cal State Northridge 74	0.612	UC Riverside 82 - Cal State Northridge 63	-23
UC San Diego 72 - Hawaii 67	0.666	UC San Diego 67 - Hawaii 61	-1
UC Santa Barbara 72 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.682	UC Santa Barbara 69 - Cal State Fullerton 73	9
UMBC 72 - New Hampshire 80	0.726	UMBC 58 - New Hampshire 64	-2
UNC Greensboro 75 - Wofford 67	0.732	UNC Greensboro 82 - Wofford 59	-15
UNC Wilmington 73 - College of Charleston 76	0.569	UNC Wilmington 78 - College of Charleston 69	-12
Utah State 84 - Fresno State 61	0.958	Utah State 83 - Fresno State 62	2
Utah Valley 74 - Utah Tech 68	0.637	Utah Valley 84 - Utah Tech 71	-7
Valparaiso 67 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.588	Valparaiso 84 - Illinois Chicago 77	-10
Villanova 74 - Connecticut 76	0.552	Villanova 65 - Connecticut 66	-1
Virginia Military Institute 64 - The Citadel 77	0.784	Virginia Military Institute 70 - The Citadel 63	-20
Wake Forest 85 - Louisville 67	0.889	Wake Forest 90 - Louisville 65	-7
Weber State 77 - Idaho 62	0.801	Weber State 88 - Idaho 65	-8
West Virginia 68 - Kansas 81	0.84	West Virginia 91 - Kansas 85	-19
Western Illinois 72 - Tennessee State 65	0.745	Western Illinois 57 - Tennessee State 58	8
Wright State 80 - Milwaukee 74	0.666	Wright State 95 - Milwaukee 81	-8
Wyoming 65 - Nevada 79	0.846	Wyoming 98 - Nevada 93	-19

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Chicago State 84 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 108 - Unranked 58
East Tennessee State 70 - Chattanooga 69	0.538	East Tennessee State 74 - Chattanooga 81	8
Illinois 79 - Rutgers 66	0.822	Illinois 86 - Rutgers 63	-10
Le Moyne 71 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.67	Le Moyne 94 - Saint Francis Penn 57	-31
LIU Brooklyn 64 - Central Connecticut State 74	0.743	LIU Brooklyn 63 - Central Connecticut State 72	-1
Manhattan 64 - Fairfield 75	0.772	Manhattan 75 - Fairfield 82	-4
Marist 71 - Siena 58	0.782	Marist 50 - Siena 48	11
Maryland 68 - Michigan State 73	0.628	Maryland 59 - Michigan State 61	-3
Merrimack 75 - Stonehill 58	0.876	Merrimack 63 - Stonehill 47	1
Mt St Marys 73 - Niagara 72	0.511	Mt St Marys 71 - Niagara 82	12
Murray State 69 - Indiana State 80	0.735	Murray State 63 - Indiana State 72	-2
Quinnipiac 72 - Iona 69	0.564	Quinnipiac 91 - Iona 87	-1
Sacred Heart 68 - Wagner 66	0.554	Sacred Heart 66 - Wagner 61	-3
Saint Peters 69 - Canisius 64	0.653	Saint Peters 70 - Canisius 59	-6
South Florida 75 - Wichita State 72	0.591	South Florida 72 - Wichita State 68	-1
Texas San Antonio 66 - Florida Atlantic 87	0.895	Texas San Antonio 103 - Florida Atlantic 112	-12
Tulane 78 - Memphis 84	0.675	Tulane 81 - Memphis 79	-8
Utah 79 - Oregon 75	0.589	Utah 80 - Oregon 77	1

Number of DI Games: 337
Number Correct: 233 = 69.1%
Expected Number Correct: 231.915 = 68.8%
Average Error: 9.21
Average Signed Error: -1.03

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 72 - Prairie View 73	0.526	Alcorn State 90 - Prairie View 78	-13
Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Bethune Cookman 77	0.525	Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Bethune Cookman 72	-5
Colgate 78 - Lehigh 64	0.873	Colgate 60 - Lehigh 57	11
Houston Christian 74 - New Orleans 73	0.541	Houston Christian 88 - New Orleans 80	-7
Incarnate Word 67 - Nicholls State 75	0.714	Incarnate Word 74 - Nicholls State 78	-4
Jackson State 71 - Texas Southern 67	0.629	Jackson State 73 - Texas Southern 64	-5
Kansas 78 - Cincinnati 72	0.652	Kansas 74 - Cincinnati 69	1
Lamar 73 - Texas AM Commerce 69	0.619	Lamar 76 - Texas AM Commerce 65	-7
Maryland Eastern Shore 80 - Unranked 62		Maryland Eastern Shore 71 - Unranked 61
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Florida AM 73	0.723	Mississippi Valley State 70 - Florida AM 81	3
Montana 73 - Weber State 70	0.564	Montana 77 - Weber State 62	-12
Montana State 73 - Idaho State 65	0.737	Montana State 77 - Idaho State 70	1
North Carolina 82 - Wake Forest 72	0.778	North Carolina 85 - Wake Forest 64	-11
Southeast Louisiana 71 - Northwestern State 67	0.586	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Northwestern State 62	-5
Stony Brook 70 - Hofstra 73	0.589	Stony Brook 74 - Hofstra 80	3
Texas AM CC 64 - Mcneese State 73	0.726	Texas AM CC 61 - Mcneese State 62	-8

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Ohio 65	0.878	Akron 67 - Ohio 58	3
Bowling Green 73 - Kent State 71	0.577	Bowling Green 84 - Kent State 90	8
Brigham Young 68 - Houston 74	0.666	Brigham Young 68 - Houston 75	1
Buffalo 69 - Ball State 72	0.585	Buffalo 59 - Ball State 87	25
Central Florida 76 - West Virginia 69	0.694	Central Florida 72 - West Virginia 59	-6
Central Michigan 68 - Miami OH 69	0.501	Central Michigan 71 - Miami OH 55	-17
Charlotte 71 - Alabama Birmingham 69	0.57	Charlotte 76 - Alabama Birmingham 70	-4
Cornell 98 - Unranked 56		Cornell 105 - Unranked 49
Creighton 79 - Xavier 74	0.635	Creighton 85 - Xavier 78	-2
Duquesne 70 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.527	Duquesne 54 - Saint Bonaventure 50	-5
Fresno State 63 - Boise State 79	0.903	Fresno State 68 - Boise State 72	-12
Georgetown 74 - Butler 81	0.704	Georgetown 66 - Butler 90	17
Georgia Tech 73 - Pittsburgh 75	0.571	Georgia Tech 64 - Pittsburgh 72	6
Illinois State 70 - Belmont 74	0.608	Illinois State 77 - Belmont 67	-14
La Salle 63 - Dayton 83	0.942	La Salle 54 - Dayton 66	-8
Louisville 68 - Duke 85	0.871	Louisville 69 - Duke 83	-3
Massachusetts 77 - Saint Josephs 73	0.586	Massachusetts 77 - Saint Josephs 78	5
Minnesota 68 - Wisconsin 78	0.789	Minnesota 59 - Wisconsin 61	-8
Nebraska 76 - Ohio State 75	0.532	Nebraska 83 - Ohio State 69	-13
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Air Force 62	0.895	Nevada Las Vegas 58 - Air Force 90	50
Northern Illinois 70 - Toledo 80	0.769	Northern Illinois 73 - Toledo 89	6
Northern Iowa 80 - Evansville 66	0.795	Northern Iowa 70 - Evansville 63	7
Oklahoma 76 - Texas 71	0.647	Oklahoma 60 - Texas 75	20
Oklahoma State 71 - Texas Christian 79	0.751	Oklahoma State 69 - Texas Christian 74	-3
Portland 73 - San Diego 76	0.571	Portland 81 - San Diego 85	1
Purdue 87 - Michigan 68	0.889	Purdue 99 - Michigan 67	-13
San Diego State 83 - Wyoming 64	0.899	San Diego State 81 - Wyoming 65	3
South Carolina 74 - Kentucky 80	0.667	South Carolina 79 - Kentucky 62	-23
Syracuse 77 - Florida State 73	0.603	Syracuse 69 - Florida State 85	20
Texas AM 79 - Missouri 69	0.798	Texas AM 63 - Missouri 57	4
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Loyola Ill 68	0.612	Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Loyola Ill 67	-3
Virginia Tech 78 - Boston College 72	0.651	Virginia Tech 76 - Boston College 71	1
Western Michigan 75 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.733	Western Michigan 73 - Eastern Michigan 56	-9

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 78 - Auburn 79	0.508	Alabama 79 - Auburn 75	-5
American 76 - Holy Cross 64	0.833	American 84 - Holy Cross 65	-7
Boston 67 - Army 60	0.657	Boston 59 - Army 69	17
Bradley 78 - Murray State 65	0.772	Bradley 71 - Murray State 63	5
Bucknell 68 - Navy 67	0.516	Bucknell 71 - Navy 63	-7
Charleston Southern 66 - Winthrop 76	0.765	Charleston Southern 59 - Winthrop 78	9
Coastal Carolina 67 - Southern Miss 73	0.672	Coastal Carolina 63 - Southern Miss 79	10
DePaul 65 - Marquette 87	0.931	DePaul 73 - Marquette 86	-9
Florida 77 - Mississippi State 75	0.552	Florida 79 - Mississippi State 70	-7
Furman 75 - Samford 81	0.656	Furman 78 - Samford 68	-16
Georgia 77 - Louisiana State 73	0.605	Georgia 68 - Louisiana State 66	2
Illinois Chicago 65 - Indiana State 81	0.875	Illinois Chicago 83 - Indiana State 89	-10
Iowa 78 - Maryland 73	0.666	Iowa 67 - Maryland 69	7
Iowa State 76 - Kansas State 69	0.652	Iowa State 78 - Kansas State 67	-4
Kennesaw St 80 - North Alabama 71	0.792	Kennesaw St 84 - North Alabama 90	15
Longwood 71 - Gardner Webb 66	0.648	Longwood 64 - Gardner Webb 76	17
Loyola MD 63 - Lafayette 70	0.728	Loyola MD 44 - Lafayette 70	19
Marshall 74 - Georgia State 71	0.565	Marshall 77 - Georgia State 68	-6
Middle Tennessee 61 - Jacksonville State 68	0.673	Middle Tennessee 75 - Jacksonville State 67	-15
Mississippi 79 - Arkansas 73	0.662	Mississippi 77 - Arkansas 51	-20
Missouri State 65 - Drake 78	0.749	Missouri State 83 - Drake 80	-16
Nevada 73 - Colorado State 75	0.564	Nevada 77 - Colorado State 64	-15
Northwestern 73 - Illinois 79	0.672	Northwestern 96 - Illinois 91	-11
Notre Dame 69 - Miami 76	0.666	Notre Dame 61 - Miami 73	5
Old Dominion 66 - James Madison 80	0.826	Old Dominion 62 - James Madison 78	2
Queens 77 - Central Arkansas 72	0.657	Queens 96 - Central Arkansas 79	-12
Rhode Island 76 - Fordham 73	0.579	Rhode Island 68 - Fordham 71	6
Rice 67 - Florida Atlantic 83	0.848	Rice 56 - Florida Atlantic 69	-3
Richmond 79 - George Washington 69	0.742	Richmond 82 - George Washington 74	2
Saint Johns 77 - Villanova 75	0.558	Saint Johns 70 - Villanova 50	-18
Saint Louis 73 - Davidson 74	0.545	Saint Louis 61 - Davidson 84	22
San Jose State 68 - New Mexico 84	0.853	San Jose State 75 - New Mexico 95	4
Seton Hall 76 - Providence 73	0.573	Seton Hall 63 - Providence 67	7
South Carolina Upstate 67 - High Point 79	0.824	South Carolina Upstate 67 - High Point 78	-1
Southern Illinois 77 - Valparaiso 62	0.863	Southern Illinois 75 - Valparaiso 69	9
Temple 68 - South Florida 75	0.691	Temple 69 - South Florida 75	-1
Texas San Antonio 74 - Tulane 87	0.808	Texas San Antonio 89 - Tulane 88	-14
The Citadel 68 - Mercer 67	0.518	The Citadel 68 - Mercer 66	-1
Troy 75 - Texas State 64	0.807	Troy 78 - Texas State 65	-2
UNC Asheville 73 - Radford 68	0.659	UNC Asheville 81 - Radford 69	-7
Virginia 72 - NC State 70	0.564	Virginia 59 - NC State 53	-4
Virginia Military Institute 65 - East Tennessee State 78	0.792	Virginia Military Institute 73 - East Tennessee State 74	-12
Washington 76 - Colorado 79	0.586	Washington 81 - Colorado 98	14
Washington State 74 - Utah 77	0.564	Washington State 79 - Utah 57	-25
Western Carolina 68 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.523	Western Carolina 82 - UNC Greensboro 85	4
Wichita State 74 - East Carolina 71	0.596	Wichita State 52 - East Carolina 54	5
Wofford 72 - Chattanooga 74	0.547	Wofford 65 - Chattanooga 79	12

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 75 - Utah Tech 70	0.647	Abilene Christian 82 - Utah Tech 60	-17
Appalachian State 79 - Georgia Southern 59	0.864	Appalachian State 84 - Georgia Southern 74	10
Arkansas Little Rock 78 - Lindenwood 66	0.803	Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Lindenwood 66	-2
Bellarmine 65 - North Florida 74	0.727	Bellarmine 63 - North Florida 71	-1
Cal Poly 62 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.802	Cal Poly 51 - Cal State Fullerton 54	-7
Cal State Northridge 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 69	0.645	Cal State Northridge 56 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	14
Campbell 69 - Elon 68	0.528	Campbell 78 - Elon 68	-9
Cleveland State 76 - Wright State 75	0.523	Cleveland State 99 - Wright State 107	9
Delaware 78 - North Carolina AT 65	0.834	Delaware 90 - North Carolina AT 71	-6
Denver 81 - South Dakota 70	0.761	Denver 111 - South Dakota 110	10
Eastern Illinois 70 - Tennessee Tech 64	0.651	Eastern Illinois 68 - Tennessee Tech 59	-3
Eastern Kentucky 76 - Jacksonville 68	0.727	Eastern Kentucky 75 - Jacksonville 59	-8
Eastern Washington 80 - Northern Colorado 74	0.69	Eastern Washington 77 - Northern Colorado 74	3
Fairleigh Dickinson 69 - Central Connecticut State 73	0.63	Fairleigh Dickinson 60 - Central Connecticut State 76	12
Florida Gulf Coast 69 - Lipscomb 73	0.588	Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Lipscomb 98	22
Gonzaga 79 - San Francisco 71	0.706	Gonzaga 77 - San Francisco 72	3
Green Bay 66 - Oakland 71	0.639	Green Bay 69 - Oakland 59	-15
Hampton 64 - College of Charleston 85	0.945	Hampton 86 - College of Charleston 107	0
Hawaii 71 - UC Santa Barbara 70	0.515	Hawaii 61 - UC Santa Barbara 78	18
Hofstra 80 - William and Mary 62	0.868	Hofstra 64 - William and Mary 55	9
Idaho 69 - Northern Arizona 68	0.515	Idaho 60 - Northern Arizona 75	16
IUPUI 60 - Youngstown State 79	0.881	IUPUI 50 - Youngstown State 78	9
LIU Brooklyn 69 - Stonehill 67	0.557	LIU Brooklyn 63 - Stonehill 60	-1
Long Beach State 71 - UC Irvine 78	0.723	Long Beach State 61 - UC Irvine 72	4
Louisiana Tech 75 - Texas El Paso 64	0.828	Louisiana Tech 68 - Texas El Paso 54	-3
Loyola Marymount 78 - Portland 67	0.8	Loyola Marymount 92 - Portland 65	-16
Maine 71 - Albany 70	0.52	Maine 81 - Albany 73	-7
Milwaukee 80 - Detroit 65	0.849	Milwaukee 87 - Detroit 71	-1
New Hampshire 77 - Binghamton 66	0.78	New Hampshire 79 - Binghamton 73	5
NJ Tech 65 - Bryant 78	0.82	NJ Tech 55 - Bryant 70	2
North Texas 67 - Southern Methodist 70	0.581	North Texas 68 - Southern Methodist 66	-5
Northeastern 68 - UNC Wilmington 75	0.675	Northeastern 54 - UNC Wilmington 77	16
Northern Kentucky 74 - IPFW 69	0.608	Northern Kentucky 58 - IPFW 63	10
Oral Roberts 74 - Omaha 70	0.611	Oral Roberts 74 - Omaha 67	-3
Oregon 78 - Arizona State 72	0.65	Oregon 80 - Arizona State 61	-13
Oregon State 67 - Arizona 87	0.856	Oregon State 83 - Arizona 80	-23
Portland State 66 - Montana 77	0.719	Portland State 72 - Montana 46	-37
Quinnipiac 76 - Mt St Marys 67	0.764	Quinnipiac 79 - Mt St Marys 65	-5
Sacramento State 67 - Montana State 70	0.596	Sacramento State 62 - Montana State 70	5
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Sacred Heart 72	0.699	Saint Francis Penn 75 - Sacred Heart 71	-11
Saint Marys 87 - Pacific 53	0.954	Saint Marys 76 - Pacific 28	-14
Saint Peters 74 - Rider 63	0.816	Saint Peters 57 - Rider 62	16
Saint Thomas 75 - North Dakota State 65	0.773	Saint Thomas 79 - North Dakota State 66	-3
Sam Houston State 73 - New Mexico State 70	0.581	Sam Houston State 79 - New Mexico State 67	-9
Santa Clara 80 - Pepperdine 68	0.809	Santa Clara 94 - Pepperdine 71	-11
South Dakota State 78 - UMKC 65	0.783	South Dakota State 75 - UMKC 66	4
Southern Indiana 62 - Western Illinois 71	0.766	Southern Indiana 68 - Western Illinois 73	-4
Stephen F Austin 70 - Grand Canyon 76	0.665	Stephen F Austin 51 - Grand Canyon 53	-4
Stetson 71 - Austin Peay 69	0.563	Stetson 83 - Austin Peay 82	1
Stony Brook 70 - Monmouth 71	0.524	Stony Brook 72 - Monmouth 65	-8
Tarleton State 76 - Southern Utah 68	0.718	Tarleton State 70 - Southern Utah 73	11
Tennessee Martin 79 - SE Missouri State 67	0.793	Tennessee Martin 84 - SE Missouri State 58	-14
Texas Pan American 68 - Cal Baptist 75	0.716	Texas Pan American 54 - Cal Baptist 63	2
Towson 66 - Drexel 67	0.539	Towson 70 - Drexel 67	-4
UC San Diego 76 - UC Riverside 65	0.761	UC San Diego 66 - UC Riverside 65	10
UL Monroe 66 - South Alabama 73	0.69	UL Monroe 80 - South Alabama 66	-21
UMass Lowell 69 - Vermont 70	0.508	UMass Lowell 65 - Vermont 72	6
Wagner 62 - Merrimack 64	0.569	Wagner 44 - Merrimack 60	14
Western Kentucky 79 - Florida International 70	0.793	Western Kentucky 105 - Florida International 91	-5

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
California 77 - Stanford 80	0.56	California 73 - Stanford 71	-5
Canisius 74 - Manhattan 64	0.791	Canisius 82 - Manhattan 70	-2
Kent State 74 - Ohio 71	0.583	Kent State 64 - Ohio 71	10
Niagara 70 - Marist 66	0.598	Niagara 67 - Marist 62	-1
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Saint Josephs 71	0.575	Saint Bonaventure 91 - Saint Josephs 72	-16
Seattle 74 - Utah Valley 67	0.678	Seattle 62 - Utah Valley 61	6
Siena 62 - Iona 74	0.797	Siena 51 - Iona 70	7
UL Lafayette 76 - Arkansas State 70	0.671	UL Lafayette 81 - Arkansas State 75	0
Wisconsin 76 - Michigan State 72	0.599	Wisconsin 81 - Michigan State 66	-11

GAMES OF 1-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 77 - Southern Utah 73	0.608	Abilene Christian 67 - Southern Utah 82	19
Alabama 85 - Louisiana State 73	0.754	Alabama 109 - Louisiana State 88	-9
American 66 - Colgate 72	0.683	American 54 - Colgate 73	13
Appalachian State 71 - James Madison 69	0.545	Appalachian State 82 - James Madison 76	-4
Arkansas 76 - Kentucky 85	0.748	Arkansas 57 - Kentucky 63	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 78 - SE Missouri State 67	0.773	Arkansas Little Rock 66 - SE Missouri State 61	6
Army 64 - Bucknell 67	0.589	Army 56 - Bucknell 66	7
Ball State 74 - Northern Illinois 71	0.599	Ball State 81 - Northern Illinois 71	-7
Baylor 80 - Texas Christian 75	0.658	Baylor 102 - Texas Christian 105	8
Bellarmine 68 - Jacksonville 70	0.571	Bellarmine 69 - Jacksonville 63	-8
Belmont 78 - Illinois Chicago 68	0.725	Belmont 74 - Illinois Chicago 65	1
Bethune Cookman 70 - Jackson State 74	0.621	Bethune Cookman 82 - Jackson State 71	-15
Boise State 73 - Utah State 74	0.504	Boise State 84 - Utah State 90	5
Brigham Young 79 - Texas 72	0.685	Brigham Young 84 - Texas 72	-5
Bryant 71 - Vermont 72	0.515	Bryant 57 - Vermont 67	9
Butler 75 - Villanova 77	0.564	Butler 88 - Villanova 81	-9
Cal State Fullerton 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.689	Cal State Fullerton 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 50	-13
Campbell 64 - College of Charleston 78	0.843	Campbell 67 - College of Charleston 90	9
Central Arkansas 70 - Kennesaw St 80	0.772	Central Arkansas 92 - Kennesaw St 87	-15
Central Connecticut State 68 - Wagner 63	0.639	Central Connecticut State 69 - Wagner 68	4
Charleston Southern 65 - UNC Asheville 76	0.766	Charleston Southern 65 - UNC Asheville 71	-5
Chattanooga 74 - The Citadel 64	0.721	Chattanooga 90 - The Citadel 62	-18
Cincinnati 74 - Central Florida 68	0.636	Cincinnati 68 - Central Florida 57	-5
Coastal Carolina 70 - Georgia State 75	0.648	Coastal Carolina 85 - Georgia State 83	-7
Columbia 72 - Pennsylvania 74	0.57	Columbia 84 - Pennsylvania 81	-5
Cornell 73 - Princeton 77	0.632	Cornell 83 - Princeton 68	-19
Creighton 88 - DePaul 62	0.952	Creighton 85 - DePaul 62	3
Dartmouth 64 - Brown 70	0.677	Dartmouth 75 - Brown 71	-10
Davidson 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 72	0.592	Davidson 58 - Virginia Commonwealth 63	2
Delaware 69 - Towson 68	0.502	Delaware 56 - Towson 67	12
Delaware State 74 - South Carolina State 69	0.675	Delaware State 64 - South Carolina State 66	7
Denver 78 - Omaha 71	0.685	Denver 72 - Omaha 91	26
Drake 78 - Northern Iowa 68	0.706	Drake 77 - Northern Iowa 63	-4
Drexel 79 - North Carolina AT 61	0.888	Drexel 62 - North Carolina AT 47	3
Duke 80 - Clemson 75	0.643	Duke 72 - Clemson 71	4
Duquesne 77 - Fordham 69	0.739	Duquesne 68 - Fordham 59	-1
East Tennessee State 69 - Samford 81	0.815	East Tennessee State 72 - Samford 75	-9
Eastern Illinois 67 - Tennessee State 69	0.561	Eastern Illinois 60 - Tennessee State 64	2
Eastern Kentucky 74 - North Florida 71	0.569	Eastern Kentucky 89 - North Florida 76	-10
Eastern Michigan 70 - Buffalo 69	0.537	Eastern Michigan 75 - Buffalo 65	-9
Eastern Washington 79 - Northern Arizona 63	0.83	Eastern Washington 85 - Northern Arizona 70	1
Evansville 71 - Illinois State 70	0.51	Evansville 58 - Illinois State 54	-3
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Sacred Heart 73	0.555	Fairleigh Dickinson 93 - Sacred Heart 91	-3
Florida 80 - Georgia 75	0.645	Florida 102 - Georgia 98	1
Florida AM 72 - Alcorn State 73	0.514	Florida AM 67 - Alcorn State 76	8
Florida Gulf Coast 68 - Austin Peay 67	0.522	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Austin Peay 67	-5
Florida State 71 - North Carolina 81	0.765	Florida State 68 - North Carolina 75	-3
Fresno State 70 - Air Force 66	0.643	Fresno State 84 - Air Force 70	-10
Gardner Webb 75 - South Carolina Upstate 66	0.735	Gardner Webb 75 - South Carolina Upstate 70	4
George Mason 77 - Rhode Island 67	0.745	George Mason 92 - Rhode Island 84	2
George Washington 80 - La Salle 72	0.729	George Washington 70 - La Salle 80	18
Grambling State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.912	Grambling State 54 - Mississippi Valley State 46	12
Green Bay 76 - Detroit 59	0.859	Green Bay 78 - Detroit 64	3
Hampton 69 - Elon 76	0.71	Hampton 74 - Elon 80	-1
Harvard 68 - Yale 73	0.68	Harvard 65 - Yale 78	8
Hawaii 75 - Cal Poly 59	0.905	Hawaii 83 - Cal Poly 73	6
Holy Cross 69 - Lehigh 73	0.644	Holy Cross 72 - Lehigh 78	2
Houston 77 - Kansas State 62	0.839	Houston 74 - Kansas State 52	-7
Idaho 69 - Northern Colorado 78	0.749	Idaho 68 - Northern Colorado 89	12
Illinois 83 - Indiana 70	0.843	Illinois 70 - Indiana 62	5
Incarnate Word 72 - Houston Christian 71	0.509	Incarnate Word 79 - Houston Christian 75	-3
Indiana State 77 - Bradley 73	0.615	Indiana State 95 - Bradley 86	-5
Iowa State 76 - Kansas 74	0.542	Iowa State 79 - Kansas 75	-2
Jacksonville State 65 - Liberty 69	0.617	Jacksonville State 73 - Liberty 62	-15
Lafayette 67 - Boston 63	0.619	Lafayette 48 - Boston 62	18
Lamar 73 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.65	Lamar 74 - Southeast Louisiana 64	-4
Le Moyne 76 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.738	Le Moyne 87 - LIU Brooklyn 74	-1
Louisiana Tech 75 - New Mexico State 64	0.806	Louisiana Tech 73 - New Mexico State 53	-9
Louisville 65 - Virginia 76	0.73	Louisville 52 - Virginia 69	6
Maine 71 - Binghamton 65	0.663	Maine 50 - Binghamton 51	7
Marquette 79 - Seton Hall 73	0.66	Marquette 75 - Seton Hall 57	-12
Marshall 71 - Southern Miss 70	0.53	Marshall 83 - Southern Miss 67	-15
Maryland 73 - Nebraska 74	0.514	Maryland 73 - Nebraska 51	-23
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - North Carolina Central 72	0.774	Maryland Eastern Shore 57 - North Carolina Central 65	-1
Mcneese State 82 - New Orleans 60	0.919	Mcneese State 102 - New Orleans 65	-15
Miami 77 - Pittsburgh 73	0.587	Miami 72 - Pittsburgh 68	0
Miami OH 65 - Akron 75	0.82	Miami OH 70 - Akron 68	-12
Michigan 78 - Iowa 82	0.605	Michigan 78 - Iowa 88	6
Middle Tennessee 68 - Florida International 71	0.58	Middle Tennessee 79 - Florida International 61	-21
Milwaukee 70 - Oakland 77	0.703	Milwaukee 87 - Oakland 91	-3
Mississippi State 71 - Auburn 77	0.67	Mississippi State 64 - Auburn 58	-12
Monmouth 70 - Hofstra 71	0.506	Monmouth 81 - Hofstra 78	-4
Morehead State 71 - Western Illinois 62	0.785	Morehead State 64 - Western Illinois 50	-5
Morgan State 71 - Howard 78	0.721	Morgan State 85 - Howard 79	-13
Mt St Marys 74 - Rider 69	0.646	Mt St Marys 62 - Rider 66	9
Murray State 68 - Southern Illinois 71	0.57	Murray State 58 - Southern Illinois 60	-1
Navy 73 - Loyola MD 61	0.846	Navy 70 - Loyola MD 74	16
New Hampshire 77 - Albany 71	0.677	New Hampshire 79 - Albany 86	13
Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 57	0.883	Norfolk State 68 - Coppin State 58	8
North Alabama 76 - Queens 73	0.605	North Alabama 90 - Queens 84	-3
Northeastern 77 - William and Mary 64	0.79	Northeastern 68 - William and Mary 72	17
Northwestern 75 - Ohio State 74	0.508	Northwestern 83 - Ohio State 58	-24
Northwestern State 67 - Texas AM CC 74	0.66	Northwestern State 68 - Texas AM CC 79	4
Notre Dame 70 - Boston College 74	0.622	Notre Dame 58 - Boston College 61	-1
Oklahoma 75 - Texas Tech 73	0.557	Oklahoma 84 - Texas Tech 85	3
Oklahoma State 75 - West Virginia 73	0.539	Oklahoma State 70 - West Virginia 66	-2
Old Dominion 74 - Georgia Southern 70	0.582	Old Dominion 70 - Georgia Southern 76	10
Oral Roberts 71 - South Dakota State 76	0.611	Oral Roberts 87 - South Dakota State 82	-10
Oregon 75 - Arizona 84	0.681	Oregon 78 - Arizona 87	0
Oregon State 70 - Arizona State 76	0.657	Oregon State 84 - Arizona State 71	-19
Pacific 60 - Gonzaga 90	0.952	Pacific 73 - Gonzaga 82	-21
Penn State 76 - Minnesota 74	0.537	Penn State 74 - Minnesota 83	11
Pepperdine 75 - San Diego 72	0.595	Pepperdine 67 - San Diego 69	5
Portland 65 - San Francisco 82	0.884	Portland 64 - San Francisco 76	-5
Portland State 69 - Montana State 71	0.549	Portland State 94 - Montana State 91	-5
Prairie View 68 - Alabama State 69	0.535	Prairie View 67 - Alabama State 74	6
Providence 82 - Georgetown 68	0.823	Providence 84 - Georgetown 76	6
Radford 75 - Presbyterian 64	0.839	Radford 73 - Presbyterian 58	-4
Rice 73 - Tulsa 74	0.53	Rice 83 - Tulsa 85	1
Richmond 67 - Dayton 74	0.696	Richmond 69 - Dayton 64	-12
Sacramento State 63 - Montana 76	0.772	Sacramento State 67 - Montana 70	-10
Saint Francis Penn 60 - Merrimack 71	0.796	Saint Francis Penn 55 - Merrimack 74	8
Saint Louis 73 - Massachusetts 79	0.64	Saint Louis 73 - Massachusetts 84	5
Saint Marys 78 - Loyola Marymount 60	0.872	Saint Marys 70 - Loyola Marymount 65	13
Saint Thomas 74 - North Dakota 63	0.754	Saint Thomas 64 - North Dakota 74	21
Sam Houston State 72 - Texas El Paso 70	0.577	Sam Houston State 60 - Texas El Paso 56	-2
San Jose State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	0.762	San Jose State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	1
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.72	SIU Edwardsville 74 - Tennessee Tech 57	-8
South Carolina 76 - Missouri 68	0.756	South Carolina 72 - Missouri 64	0
South Florida 84 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.834	South Florida 89 - Texas San Antonio 72	-1
Southern 81 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 70	0.78	Southern 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	-3
Southern California 74 - UCLA 70	0.596	Southern California 50 - UCLA 65	19
Stephen F Austin 73 - Cal Baptist 67	0.641	Stephen F Austin 79 - Cal Baptist 81	8
Stetson 73 - Lipscomb 75	0.546	Stetson 80 - Lipscomb 59	-23
Stony Brook 68 - UNC Wilmington 75	0.693	Stony Brook 86 - UNC Wilmington 78	-15
Syracuse 78 - NC State 73	0.612	Syracuse 77 - NC State 65	-7
Tarleton State 74 - Utah Tech 65	0.748	Tarleton State 86 - Utah Tech 68	-9
Tennessee Martin 78 - Lindenwood 66	0.826	Tennessee Martin 76 - Lindenwood 67	3
Texas AM 76 - Mississippi 73	0.572	Texas AM 68 - Mississippi 71	6
Texas AM Commerce 70 - Nicholls State 71	0.52	Texas AM Commerce 84 - Nicholls State 87	2
Texas Arlington 68 - Grand Canyon 79	0.801	Texas Arlington 61 - Grand Canyon 67	-5
Texas Southern 74 - Alabama AM 64	0.825	Texas Southern 85 - Alabama AM 69	-6
Toledo 76 - Bowling Green 70	0.657	Toledo 88 - Bowling Green 72	-10
Troy 76 - South Alabama 68	0.694	Troy 83 - South Alabama 79	4
Tulane 75 - Charlotte 72	0.588	Tulane 71 - Charlotte 75	7
UC Davis 71 - UC San Diego 70	0.534	UC Davis 59 - UC San Diego 92	34
UC Irvine 80 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.828	UC Irvine 77 - Cal State Northridge 72	10
UC Riverside 73 - Long Beach State 75	0.575	UC Riverside 53 - Long Beach State 65	10
UMBC 74 - NJ Tech 70	0.623	UMBC 74 - NJ Tech 75	5
UMKC 73 - South Dakota 69	0.61	UMKC 81 - South Dakota 57	-20
UNC Greensboro 73 - Mercer 61	0.828	UNC Greensboro 64 - Mercer 70	18
Valparaiso 68 - Missouri State 73	0.642	Valparaiso 70 - Missouri State 81	6
Vanderbilt 62 - Tennessee 83	0.935	Vanderbilt 62 - Tennessee 75	-8
Virginia Tech 79 - Georgia Tech 71	0.711	Virginia Tech 91 - Georgia Tech 67	-16
Washington 76 - Utah 81	0.607	Washington 98 - Utah 73	-30
Washington State 74 - Colorado 75	0.543	Washington State 78 - Colorado 69	-10
Weber State 76 - Idaho State 61	0.859	Weber State 64 - Idaho State 74	25
Western Carolina 82 - Virginia Military Institute 58	0.924	Western Carolina 102 - Virginia Military Institute 77	-1
Western Michigan 71 - Central Michigan 70	0.534	Western Michigan 55 - Central Michigan 62	8
Winthrop 73 - High Point 75	0.564	Winthrop 81 - High Point 83	0
Wofford 74 - Furman 77	0.606	Wofford 77 - Furman 67	-13
Wyoming 68 - Colorado State 81	0.835	Wyoming 79 - Colorado State 76	-16

GAMES OF 1-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Memphis 79	0.661	Alabama Birmingham 97 - Memphis 88	-15
Canisius 67 - Marist 64	0.559	Canisius 71 - Marist 80	12
Cleveland State 77 - Robert Morris 68	0.716	Cleveland State 66 - Robert Morris 64	7
Connecticut 80 - Xavier 72	0.722	Connecticut 99 - Xavier 56	-35
East Carolina 73 - Temple 67	0.666	East Carolina 70 - Temple 64	0
Fairfield 74 - Quinnipiac 71	0.558	Fairfield 64 - Quinnipiac 66	5
Florida Atlantic 75 - North Texas 67	0.683	Florida Atlantic 66 - North Texas 63	5
IUPUI 65 - Wright State 82	0.843	IUPUI 76 - Wright State 83	-10
New Mexico 79 - Nevada 72	0.664	New Mexico 89 - Nevada 55	-27
Niagara 77 - Manhattan 65	0.814	Niagara 78 - Manhattan 84	18
Rutgers 66 - Purdue 82	0.848	Rutgers 60 - Purdue 68	-8
Siena 59 - Saint Peters 71	0.809	Siena 52 - Saint Peters 63	-1
UL Lafayette 74 - Texas State 64	0.819	UL Lafayette 66 - Texas State 46	-10
UL Monroe 66 - Arkansas State 76	0.747	UL Monroe 85 - Arkansas State 82	-13
Wichita State 68 - Southern Methodist 79	0.785	Wichita State 77 - Southern Methodist 72	-16
Youngstown State 73 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.626	Youngstown State 82 - Northern Kentucky 52	-25

Number of DI Games: 330
Number Correct: 228 = 69%
Expected Number Correct: 226.431 = 68.6%
Average Error: 8.94
Average Signed Error: -1.18

GAMES OF 1-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 74 - Alcorn State 72	0.563	Bethune Cookman 67 - Alcorn State 70	5
Coppin State 66 - Howard 73	0.712	Coppin State 66 - Howard 81	8
Delaware State 66 - North Carolina Central 69	0.623	Delaware State 66 - North Carolina Central 69	0
Florida AM 68 - Jackson State 74	0.705	Florida AM 88 - Jackson State 86	-8
Grambling State 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 66	0.756	Grambling State 70 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 86	24
Holy Cross 65 - Boston 71	0.665	Holy Cross 65 - Boston 63	-8
Houston Christian 68 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.554	Houston Christian 58 - Southeast Louisiana 80	20
Lamar 79 - New Orleans 68	0.781	Lamar 98 - New Orleans 73	-14
Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - South Carolina State 71	0.605	Maryland Eastern Shore 53 - South Carolina State 63	7
Mcneese State 80 - Northwestern State 58	0.911	Mcneese State 89 - Northwestern State 65	-2
Norfolk State 78 - Morgan State 63	0.836	Norfolk State 83 - Morgan State 73	5
Prairie View 74 - Alabama AM 67	0.706	Prairie View 87 - Alabama AM 76	-4
Southern 79 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.916	Southern 78 - Mississippi Valley State 54	-1
Texas 65 - Houston 76	0.798	Texas 72 - Houston 76	-7
Texas AM Commerce 65 - Texas AM CC 71	0.657	Texas AM Commerce 54 - Texas AM CC 69	9
Texas Southern 67 - Alabama State 66	0.529	Texas Southern 56 - Alabama State 55	0
Virginia Tech 74 - Duke 77	0.58	Virginia Tech 67 - Duke 77	7

GAMES OF 1-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Wyoming 73	0.572	Air Force 72 - Wyoming 83	8
Ball State 72 - Bowling Green 71	0.507	Ball State 72 - Bowling Green 81	10
Boston College 74 - Syracuse 77	0.583	Boston College 80 - Syracuse 75	-8
Central Michigan 74 - Northern Illinois 67	0.687	Central Michigan 84 - Northern Illinois 77	0
Clemson 86 - Louisville 68	0.889	Clemson 70 - Louisville 64	12
Colorado State 72 - San Diego State 75	0.574	Colorado State 79 - San Diego State 71	-11
Dayton 83 - George Washington 66	0.898	Dayton 83 - George Washington 61	-5
DePaul 67 - Seton Hall 82	0.853	DePaul 39 - Seton Hall 72	18
Eastern Michigan 59 - Akron 77	0.915	Eastern Michigan 46 - Akron 77	13
Georgia Tech 68 - North Carolina 86	0.897	Georgia Tech 74 - North Carolina 73	-19
Gonzaga 82 - Loyola Marymount 66	0.879	Gonzaga 92 - Loyola Marymount 58	-18
Indiana 77 - Iowa 80	0.575	Indiana 74 - Iowa 68	-9
Kansas 83 - Oklahoma State 68	0.883	Kansas 83 - Oklahoma State 54	-14
Kansas State 73 - Oklahoma 74	0.511	Kansas State 53 - Oklahoma 73	19
Kent State 74 - Miami OH 69	0.642	Kent State 67 - Miami OH 71	9
Lindenwood 69 - SE Missouri State 67	0.56	Lindenwood 58 - SE Missouri State 54	-2
Loyola Ill 78 - Saint Louis 68	0.739	Loyola Ill 77 - Saint Louis 62	-5
Michigan State 82 - Michigan 70	0.773	Michigan State 81 - Michigan 62	-7
Mississippi 74 - Mississippi State 73	0.519	Mississippi 86 - Mississippi State 82	-3
Murray State 72 - Illinois State 66	0.658	Murray State 59 - Illinois State 61	8
NC State 77 - Miami 78	0.521	NC State 74 - Miami 68	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Fresno State 68	0.731	Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Fresno State 69	1
Ohio 78 - Buffalo 64	0.856	Ohio 91 - Buffalo 70	-7
Ohio State 74 - Illinois 80	0.668	Ohio State 75 - Illinois 87	6
Saint Bonaventure 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	0.512	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Virginia Commonwealth 62	-4
Tennessee 78 - South Carolina 66	0.805	Tennessee 59 - South Carolina 63	16
Texas Christian 76 - Texas Tech 77	0.508	Texas Christian 85 - Texas Tech 78	-8
Toledo 80 - Western Michigan 66	0.873	Toledo 88 - Western Michigan 63	-11
Utah State 87 - San Jose State 65	0.945	Utah State 82 - San Jose State 61	1
Villanova 74 - Marquette 77	0.579	Villanova 80 - Marquette 85	2

GAMES OF 1-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 73 - Southern Miss 71	0.543	Arkansas State 78 - Southern Miss 71	-5
Auburn 85 - Vanderbilt 62	0.942	Auburn 81 - Vanderbilt 54	-4
Belmont 73 - Indiana State 82	0.731	Belmont 72 - Indiana State 78	-3
Bradley 76 - Northern Iowa 69	0.676	Bradley 85 - Northern Iowa 69	-9
Bucknell 74 - Loyola MD 63	0.793	Bucknell 67 - Loyola MD 52	-4
Central Florida 72 - Baylor 77	0.621	Central Florida 69 - Baylor 77	3
Colgate 74 - Army 57	0.885	Colgate 74 - Army 55	-2
Connecticut 80 - Providence 69	0.752	Connecticut 74 - Providence 65	2
Drake 84 - Valparaiso 61	0.902	Drake 81 - Valparaiso 70	12
Duquesne 77 - Chicago State 60	0.887	Duquesne 65 - Chicago State 60	12
East Carolina 68 - South Florida 72	0.594	East Carolina 60 - South Florida 71	7
Evansville 73 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.567	Evansville 77 - Illinois Chicago 60	-14
Fordham 67 - Richmond 77	0.788	Fordham 69 - Richmond 83	4
Gardner Webb 70 - UNC Asheville 72	0.565	Gardner Webb 80 - UNC Asheville 73	-9
Georgia 76 - Alabama 84	0.71	Georgia 76 - Alabama 85	1
Jacksonville 67 - Austin Peay 70	0.605	Jacksonville 63 - Austin Peay 43	-23
Kentucky 84 - Florida 81	0.607	Kentucky 91 - Florida 94	6
Lafayette 67 - American 66	0.531	Lafayette 66 - American 69	4
Lehigh 70 - Navy 68	0.544	Lehigh 77 - Navy 65	-10
Memphis 84 - Rice 66	0.896	Memphis 71 - Rice 74	21
Mercer 68 - East Tennessee State 67	0.531	Mercer 49 - East Tennessee State 54	6
Missouri 73 - Arkansas 74	0.512	Missouri 84 - Arkansas 91	6
New Mexico 78 - Boise State 72	0.659	New Mexico 78 - Boise State 86	14
North Florida 72 - Lipscomb 74	0.544	North Florida 85 - Lipscomb 76	-11
North Texas 72 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.656	North Texas 79 - Alabama Birmingham 82	8
Pittsburgh 74 - Wake Forest 76	0.554	Pittsburgh 77 - Wake Forest 72	-7
Presbyterian 70 - South Carolina Upstate 69	0.525	Presbyterian 80 - South Carolina Upstate 73	-6
Purdue 83 - Northwestern 69	0.796	Purdue 105 - Northwestern 96	5
Radford 75 - Charleston Southern 62	0.816	Radford 60 - Charleston Southern 63	16
Rhode Island 75 - La Salle 72	0.582	Rhode Island 71 - La Salle 69	1
Rutgers 76 - Penn State 72	0.59	Rutgers 46 - Penn State 61	19
Saint Josephs 72 - George Mason 73	0.516	Saint Josephs 75 - George Mason 73	-3
Saint Marys 77 - Santa Clara 65	0.754	Saint Marys 82 - Santa Clara 77	7
Samford 82 - Wofford 70	0.813	Samford 81 - Wofford 79	10
Southern Illinois 72 - Missouri State 67	0.64	Southern Illinois 75 - Missouri State 76	6
Texas AM Commerce 72 - Incarnate Word 66	0.67	Texas AM Commerce 71 - Incarnate Word 66	1
The Citadel 67 - Furman 75	0.695	The Citadel 79 - Furman 82	-5
Tulsa 74 - Wichita State 75	0.502	Tulsa 79 - Wichita State 68	-12
UL Lafayette 77 - UL Monroe 62	0.861	UL Lafayette 80 - UL Monroe 72	7
Virginia 72 - Notre Dame 60	0.772	Virginia 65 - Notre Dame 53	0
Virginia Military Institute 61 - UNC Greensboro 81	0.884	Virginia Military Institute 79 - UNC Greensboro 85	-14
West Virginia 71 - Cincinnati 79	0.729	West Virginia 69 - Cincinnati 65	-12
Western Carolina 72 - Chattanooga 69	0.561	Western Carolina 85 - Chattanooga 91	9
Xavier 77 - Saint Johns 78	0.522	Xavier 88 - Saint Johns 77	-12

GAMES OF 2-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Tarleton State 72	0.546	Abilene Christian 73 - Tarleton State 76	1
Arizona 89 - California 70	0.843	Arizona 91 - California 65	-7
Arizona State 77 - Stanford 76	0.524	Arizona State 62 - Stanford 71	10
Binghamton 71 - NJ Tech 66	0.653	Binghamton 75 - NJ Tech 66	-4
Bryant 83 - UMBC 68	0.849	Bryant 99 - UMBC 95	11
Cal Poly 57 - UC Irvine 79	0.944	Cal Poly 59 - UC Irvine 73	-8
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Long Beach State 75	0.639	Cal State Bakersfield 82 - Long Beach State 76	-11
Cal State Fullerton 69 - Hawaii 67	0.578	Cal State Fullerton 68 - Hawaii 76	10
Central Arkansas 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 73	0.613	Central Arkansas 59 - Florida Gulf Coast 82	18
Central Connecticut State 74 - Saint Francis Penn 60	0.847	Central Connecticut State 63 - Saint Francis Penn 62	13
College of Charleston 76 - UNC Wilmington 73	0.586	College of Charleston 74 - UNC Wilmington 80	9
Detroit 64 - Cleveland State 78	0.839	Detroit 65 - Cleveland State 77	-2
Eastern Illinois 70 - Tennessee Martin 72	0.545	Eastern Illinois 59 - Tennessee Martin 76	15
Elon 70 - Campbell 68	0.549	Elon 67 - Campbell 69	4
Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.73	Fairleigh Dickinson 82 - LIU Brooklyn 75	1
Florida International 65 - Louisiana Tech 79	0.888	Florida International 53 - Louisiana Tech 93	26
Georgia Southern 67 - Troy 76	0.735	Georgia Southern 63 - Troy 84	12
Georgia State 64 - Appalachian State 76	0.775	Georgia State 71 - Appalachian State 81	-2
Grand Canyon 76 - Seattle 66	0.782	Grand Canyon 95 - Seattle 88	3
Green Bay 75 - IUPUI 57	0.862	Green Bay 79 - IUPUI 56	-5
High Point 75 - Longwood 66	0.751	High Point 93 - Longwood 76	-8
Hofstra 74 - Stony Brook 69	0.651	Hofstra 72 - Stony Brook 71	4
IPFW 77 - Milwaukee 71	0.662	IPFW 65 - Milwaukee 68	9
James Madison 82 - Coastal Carolina 63	0.927	James Madison 105 - Coastal Carolina 67	-19
Kennesaw St 77 - Bellarmine 67	0.782	Kennesaw St 95 - Bellarmine 96	11
Lindenwood 61 - Western Illinois 71	0.849	Lindenwood 71 - Western Illinois 79	-2
Marshall 77 - Old Dominion 67	0.738	Marshall 76 - Old Dominion 83	17
Monmouth 67 - Drexel 71	0.614	Monmouth 67 - Drexel 62	-9
Montana 79 - Idaho 61	0.824	Montana 73 - Idaho 70	15
Montana State 70 - Eastern Washington 76	0.671	Montana State 70 - Eastern Washington 60	-16
Nebraska 73 - Wisconsin 79	0.64	Nebraska 80 - Wisconsin 72	-14
New Mexico State 67 - Liberty 73	0.63	New Mexico State 79 - Liberty 73	-12
North Alabama 71 - Stetson 74	0.561	North Alabama 79 - Stetson 72	-10
North Carolina AT 77 - Hampton 68	0.767	North Carolina AT 59 - Hampton 58	8
Northern Arizona 65 - Weber State 72	0.645	Northern Arizona 70 - Weber State 72	-5
Northern Colorado 78 - Idaho State 67	0.821	Northern Colorado 91 - Idaho State 86	6
Oakland 78 - Robert Morris 66	0.801	Oakland 87 - Robert Morris 72	-3
Omaha 66 - Saint Thomas 69	0.59	Omaha 69 - Saint Thomas 65	-7
Pacific 72 - Portland 75	0.574	Pacific 60 - Portland 65	2
Queens 70 - Eastern Kentucky 77	0.691	Queens 94 - Eastern Kentucky 76	-25
Sacred Heart 74 - Stonehill 64	0.775	Sacred Heart 77 - Stonehill 72	5
San Francisco 81 - San Diego 65	0.869	San Francisco 95 - San Diego 79	0
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.589	SIU Edwardsville 68 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	1
South Dakota 70 - North Dakota 73	0.576	South Dakota 81 - North Dakota 95	11
South Dakota State 78 - North Dakota State 68	0.762	South Dakota State 73 - North Dakota State 74	11
Southern California 74 - Oregon 79	0.649	Southern California 69 - Oregon 78	4
Southern Methodist 81 - Tulane 72	0.729	Southern Methodist 80 - Tulane 76	5
Southern Utah 76 - Texas Arlington 75	0.522	Southern Utah 68 - Texas Arlington 76	9
Stephen F Austin 74 - Utah Valley 68	0.649	Stephen F Austin 77 - Utah Valley 72	1
Tennessee State 64 - Morehead State 72	0.725	Tennessee State 49 - Morehead State 68	11
Tennessee Tech 69 - Southern Indiana 67	0.542	Tennessee Tech 71 - Southern Indiana 74	5
Texas El Paso 68 - Jacksonville State 67	0.524	Texas El Paso 79 - Jacksonville State 71	-7
Texas State 69 - South Alabama 70	0.505	Texas State 74 - South Alabama 66	-9
Towson 73 - Northeastern 61	0.781	Towson 83 - Northeastern 76	5
UC San Diego 78 - Cal State Northridge 67	0.742	UC San Diego 83 - Cal State Northridge 62	-10
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC Davis 70	0.595	UC Santa Barbara 69 - UC Davis 79	13
UCLA 73 - Oregon State 68	0.601	UCLA 71 - Oregon State 63	-3
UMass Lowell 73 - Maine 63	0.79	UMass Lowell 76 - Maine 62	-4
UMKC 73 - Denver 75	0.527	UMKC 85 - Denver 71	-16
Utah Tech 75 - Texas Pan American 72	0.581	Utah Tech 81 - Texas Pan American 64	-14
Vermont 78 - Albany 64	0.854	Vermont 81 - Albany 59	-8
Wagner 67 - Le Moyne 66	0.537	Wagner 80 - Le Moyne 57	-22
Western Kentucky 76 - Sam Houston State 72	0.612	Western Kentucky 77 - Sam Houston State 79	6
William and Mary 65 - Delaware 75	0.775	William and Mary 53 - Delaware 81	18
Wright State 75 - Youngstown State 76	0.532	Wright State 77 - Youngstown State 88	10

GAMES OF 2-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 74 - Toledo 70	0.633	Akron 77 - Toledo 70	-3
Brown 71 - Pennsylvania 74	0.588	Brown 70 - Pennsylvania 61	-12
Buffalo 66 - Kent State 76	0.759	Buffalo 52 - Kent State 83	21
Creighton 82 - Butler 74	0.709	Creighton 98 - Butler 99	9
Dartmouth 62 - Cornell 81	0.9	Dartmouth 53 - Cornell 56	-16
Dayton 76 - Saint Bonaventure 66	0.765	Dayton 76 - Saint Bonaventure 71	5
Harvard 74 - Columbia 70	0.636	Harvard 62 - Columbia 59	1
Iona 71 - Fairfield 68	0.571	Iona 91 - Fairfield 82	-6
Iowa 81 - Ohio State 76	0.624	Iowa 79 - Ohio State 77	3
Manhattan 64 - Quinnipiac 77	0.866	Manhattan 71 - Quinnipiac 77	-7
Marist 68 - Mt St Marys 64	0.597	Marist 58 - Mt St Marys 76	22
Nevada 82 - San Jose State 65	0.854	Nevada 90 - San Jose State 60	-13
Rider 74 - Siena 64	0.775	Rider 91 - Siena 50	-31
Saint Peters 71 - Niagara 65	0.669	Saint Peters 59 - Niagara 68	15
Yale 70 - Princeton 71	0.518	Yale 70 - Princeton 64	-7

GAMES OF 2-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Mississippi State 73	0.689	Alabama 99 - Mississippi State 67	-24
Alabama AM 72 - Florida AM 71	0.531	Alabama AM 73 - Florida AM 61	-11
Alabama State 72 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.685	Alabama State 68 - Bethune Cookman 79	17
Albany 80 - UMBC 72	0.742	Albany 102 - UMBC 114	20
Alcorn State 69 - Southern 74	0.618	Alcorn State 70 - Southern 71	-4
American 70 - Bucknell 68	0.577	American 75 - Bucknell 66	-7
Arizona State 77 - California 73	0.602	Arizona State 66 - California 81	19
Arkansas State 76 - UL Monroe 68	0.726	Arkansas State 95 - UL Monroe 80	-7
Army 62 - Lafayette 65	0.586	Army 56 - Lafayette 64	5
Austin Peay 70 - North Florida 69	0.526	Austin Peay 95 - North Florida 91	-3
Baylor 77 - Iowa State 76	0.522	Baylor 70 - Iowa State 68	-1
Boise State 79 - Air Force 61	0.882	Boise State 94 - Air Force 56	-20
Boston 69 - Lehigh 67	0.566	Boston 72 - Lehigh 71	1
Bowling Green 71 - Central Michigan 68	0.583	Bowling Green 76 - Central Michigan 77	4
Brown 63 - Princeton 78	0.881	Brown 60 - Princeton 70	-5
Cal Baptist 68 - Seattle 69	0.515	Cal Baptist 60 - Seattle 61	0
Cal Poly 62 - UC Davis 75	0.811	Cal Poly 52 - UC Davis 59	-6
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.685	Cal State Bakersfield 59 - UC Santa Barbara 70	4
Cal State Northridge 73 - UC Riverside 70	0.576	Cal State Northridge 76 - UC Riverside 70	-3
Central Arkansas 68 - Stetson 77	0.686	Central Arkansas 62 - Stetson 73	2
Central Florida 71 - Oklahoma 73	0.545	Central Florida 74 - Oklahoma 63	-13
Charleston Southern 64 - Longwood 71	0.701	Charleston Southern 83 - Longwood 77	-13
Charlotte 72 - East Carolina 64	0.753	Charlotte 67 - East Carolina 52	-7
Chattanooga 73 - Samford 76	0.585	Chattanooga 56 - Samford 78	19
Clemson 73 - Virginia 69	0.605	Clemson 65 - Virginia 66	5
Colgate 74 - Navy 61	0.856	Colgate 88 - Navy 64	-11
Dartmouth 66 - Columbia 72	0.673	Dartmouth 56 - Columbia 72	10
Delaware 73 - Monmouth 69	0.6	Delaware 84 - Monmouth 80	0
DePaul 68 - Xavier 84	0.829	DePaul 68 - Xavier 93	9
Detroit 67 - Robert Morris 75	0.693	Detroit 67 - Robert Morris 75	0
East Tennessee State 72 - The Citadel 65	0.66	East Tennessee State 62 - The Citadel 60	5
Eastern Illinois 70 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.52	Eastern Illinois 47 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	23
Florida Atlantic 84 - Tulsa 67	0.857	Florida Atlantic 102 - Tulsa 70	-15
Florida International 70 - Sam Houston State 77	0.682	Florida International 68 - Sam Houston State 61	-14
Fresno State 67 - Colorado State 79	0.808	Fresno State 61 - Colorado State 73	0
Georgetown 69 - Marquette 85	0.862	Georgetown 57 - Marquette 91	18
Georgia 74 - South Carolina 73	0.51	Georgia 62 - South Carolina 72	11
Georgia Southern 62 - Appalachian State 77	0.814	Georgia Southern 84 - Appalachian State 85	-14
Georgia State 69 - Troy 75	0.671	Georgia State 74 - Troy 78	-2
Gonzaga 72 - Saint Marys 71	0.53	Gonzaga 62 - Saint Marys 64	3
Hampton 69 - Howard 78	0.781	Hampton 63 - Howard 61	-11
Harvard 70 - Cornell 79	0.736	Harvard 76 - Cornell 89	4
High Point 81 - Presbyterian 63	0.925	High Point 78 - Presbyterian 68	8
Hofstra 67 - Towson 68	0.525	Hofstra 59 - Towson 56	-4
Illinois Chicago 65 - Southern Illinois 73	0.724	Illinois Chicago 71 - Southern Illinois 74	-5
Illinois State 64 - Bradley 76	0.798	Illinois State 60 - Bradley 73	1
Indiana 79 - Penn State 74	0.649	Indiana 71 - Penn State 85	19
Indiana State 77 - Drake 75	0.547	Indiana State 75 - Drake 67	-6
Jackson State 69 - Grambling State 66	0.587	Jackson State 62 - Grambling State 70	11
James Madison 81 - Old Dominion 63	0.892	James Madison 78 - Old Dominion 63	3
Kansas 69 - Houston 76	0.69	Kansas 78 - Houston 65	-20
Kennesaw St 74 - Eastern Kentucky 75	0.556	Kennesaw St 76 - Eastern Kentucky 86	9
Kentucky 77 - Tennessee 81	0.61	Kentucky 92 - Tennessee 103	7
La Salle 71 - Saint Josephs 76	0.65	La Salle 82 - Saint Josephs 88	1
Lipscomb 78 - Jacksonville 66	0.775	Lipscomb 84 - Jacksonville 82	10
LIU Brooklyn 68 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.522	LIU Brooklyn 70 - Saint Francis Penn 67	-2
Long Beach State 73 - UC San Diego 75	0.57	Long Beach State 85 - UC San Diego 76	-11
Louisiana State 78 - Arkansas 73	0.636	Louisiana State 95 - Arkansas 74	-16
Louisville 70 - Florida State 82	0.793	Louisville 101 - Florida State 92	-21
Loyola MD 70 - Holy Cross 68	0.579	Loyola MD 67 - Holy Cross 70	5
Maine 66 - Bryant 72	0.672	Maine 79 - Bryant 72	-13
Marshall 78 - Coastal Carolina 67	0.786	Marshall 91 - Coastal Carolina 74	-6
Massachusetts 74 - George Mason 73	0.542	Massachusetts 66 - George Mason 65	0
Memphis 83 - Wichita State 71	0.803	Memphis 65 - Wichita State 63	10
Mercer 78 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.836	Mercer 90 - Virginia Military Institute 69	-6
Merrimack 68 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.641	Merrimack 71 - Central Connecticut State 68	2
Miami 77 - Virginia Tech 76	0.531	Miami 82 - Virginia Tech 74	-7
Michigan 75 - Rutgers 73	0.546	Michigan 59 - Rutgers 69	12
Michigan State 74 - Maryland 68	0.667	Michigan State 63 - Maryland 54	-3
Minnesota 72 - Northwestern 75	0.583	Minnesota 75 - Northwestern 66	-12
Mississippi 73 - Auburn 78	0.631	Mississippi 77 - Auburn 91	9
Mississippi Valley State 66 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 75	0.782	Mississippi Valley State 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 83	-3
Missouri State 75 - Belmont 73	0.557	Missouri State 87 - Belmont 80	-5
Montana 72 - Eastern Washington 73	0.512	Montana 65 - Eastern Washington 78	12
Montana State 76 - Idaho 64	0.782	Montana State 75 - Idaho 81	18
NC State 80 - Georgia Tech 73	0.729	NC State 82 - Georgia Tech 76	1
Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Wyoming 71	0.669	Nevada Las Vegas 62 - Wyoming 48	-6
New Mexico State 69 - Jacksonville State 68	0.502	New Mexico State 67 - Jacksonville State 65	-1
New Orleans 73 - Incarnate Word 71	0.553	New Orleans 80 - Incarnate Word 82	4
Nicholls State 78 - Houston Christian 67	0.853	Nicholls State 83 - Houston Christian 73	1
Norfolk State 73 - Delaware State 63	0.781	Norfolk State 65 - Delaware State 64	9
North Alabama 71 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.538	North Alabama 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 69	0
North Carolina 81 - Duke 74	0.701	North Carolina 93 - Duke 84	-2
North Carolina AT 72 - Elon 71	0.535	North Carolina AT 65 - Elon 69	5
North Carolina Central 73 - Coppin State 58	0.866	North Carolina Central 77 - Coppin State 46	-16
North Dakota 73 - North Dakota State 70	0.571	North Dakota 60 - North Dakota State 58	1
North Texas 71 - South Florida 65	0.666	North Texas 55 - South Florida 60	11
Northern Arizona 68 - Idaho State 66	0.555	Northern Arizona 79 - Idaho State 81	4
Northern Colorado 74 - Weber State 73	0.548	Northern Colorado 63 - Weber State 82	20
Northern Illinois 74 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.654	Northern Illinois 76 - Eastern Michigan 66	-5
Northern Iowa 75 - Murray State 67	0.691	Northern Iowa 43 - Murray State 71	36
Northwestern State 69 - Texas AM Commerce 70	0.526	Northwestern State 70 - Texas AM Commerce 57	-14
Oakland 75 - Cleveland State 69	0.691	Oakland 83 - Cleveland State 71	-6
Ohio 73 - Miami OH 68	0.663	Ohio 78 - Miami OH 69	-4
Oklahoma State 70 - Kansas State 75	0.644	Oklahoma State 75 - Kansas State 72	-8
Oral Roberts 78 - Denver 75	0.586	Oral Roberts 82 - Denver 76	-3
Pittsburgh 74 - Notre Dame 64	0.748	Pittsburgh 70 - Notre Dame 60	0
Portland 73 - Pepperdine 76	0.6	Portland 93 - Pepperdine 89	-7
Portland State 72 - Sacramento State 64	0.671	Portland State 58 - Sacramento State 51	1
Prairie View 68 - Texas Southern 69	0.555	Prairie View 69 - Texas Southern 80	10
Queens 73 - Bellarmine 68	0.653	Queens 85 - Bellarmine 75	-5
Rhode Island 70 - Duquesne 75	0.64	Rhode Island 71 - Duquesne 85	9
Sacred Heart 72 - Le Moyne 71	0.524	Sacred Heart 87 - Le Moyne 81	-5
Saint Johns 73 - Connecticut 78	0.619	Saint Johns 64 - Connecticut 77	8
Saint Louis 76 - Fordham 74	0.547	Saint Louis 65 - Fordham 67	4
San Diego State 76 - Utah State 74	0.572	San Diego State 81 - Utah State 67	-12
San Francisco 85 - Pacific 58	0.933	San Francisco 79 - Pacific 73	21
Santa Clara 81 - San Diego 68	0.81	Santa Clara 59 - San Diego 70	24
SE Missouri State 61 - Western Illinois 72	0.812	SE Missouri State 55 - Western Illinois 76	10
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.571	SIU Edwardsville 79 - Tennessee Martin 90	14
South Carolina State 76 - Morgan State 71	0.648	South Carolina State 70 - Morgan State 72	7
South Carolina Upstate 65 - Radford 72	0.717	South Carolina Upstate 78 - Radford 69	-16
Southeast Louisiana 59 - Mcneese State 74	0.84	Southeast Louisiana 77 - Mcneese State 74	-18
Southern California 77 - Oregon State 73	0.592	Southern California 82 - Oregon State 54	-24
Southern Utah 80 - Texas Pan American 71	0.759	Southern Utah 79 - Texas Pan American 59	-11
Stonehill 61 - Wagner 68	0.715	Stonehill 71 - Wagner 61	-17
Stony Brook 74 - Northeastern 68	0.668	Stony Brook 59 - Northeastern 55	2
Tarleton State 70 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.526	Tarleton State 75 - Stephen F Austin 64	-12
Tennessee State 74 - Southern Indiana 64	0.787	Tennessee State 79 - Southern Indiana 74	5
Tennessee Tech 59 - Morehead State 76	0.868	Tennessee Tech 60 - Morehead State 67	-10
Texas AM 76 - Florida 78	0.554	Texas AM 67 - Florida 66	-3
Texas AM CC 72 - Lamar 68	0.629	Texas AM CC 79 - Lamar 71	-4
Texas Christian 78 - Texas 75	0.594	Texas Christian 66 - Texas 77	14
Texas El Paso 67 - Liberty 71	0.623	Texas El Paso 65 - Liberty 67	-2
Texas San Antonio 75 - Rice 76	0.52	Texas San Antonio 76 - Rice 80	3
Texas State 66 - Southern Miss 68	0.562	Texas State 60 - Southern Miss 55	-7
Texas Tech 77 - Cincinnati 72	0.637	Texas Tech 72 - Cincinnati 75	8
UC Irvine 76 - Hawaii 62	0.881	UC Irvine 93 - Hawaii 68	-11
UCLA 70 - Oregon 75	0.621	UCLA 71 - Oregon 63	-13
UL Lafayette 77 - South Alabama 67	0.75	UL Lafayette 80 - South Alabama 60	-10
UMass Lowell 74 - New Hampshire 68	0.691	UMass Lowell 73 - New Hampshire 89	22
UMKC 65 - Saint Thomas 70	0.634	UMKC 56 - Saint Thomas 71	10
UNC Asheville 73 - Winthrop 70	0.599	UNC Asheville 82 - Winthrop 78	-1
UNC Wilmington 77 - Campbell 61	0.862	UNC Wilmington 77 - Campbell 74	13
Utah 76 - Colorado 77	0.504	Utah 73 - Colorado 68	-6
Utah Tech 70 - Texas Arlington 76	0.65	Utah Tech 66 - Texas Arlington 87	15
Utah Valley 65 - Grand Canyon 76	0.788	Utah Valley 67 - Grand Canyon 86	8
Valparaiso 71 - Evansville 72	0.527	Valparaiso 62 - Evansville 63	0
Vanderbilt 71 - Missouri 73	0.567	Vanderbilt 68 - Missouri 61	-9
Vermont 77 - Binghamton 59	0.895	Vermont 62 - Binghamton 49	5
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Richmond 70	0.512	Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Richmond 52	-10
Wake Forest 78 - Syracuse 75	0.576	Wake Forest 99 - Syracuse 70	-26
Washington 76 - Washington State 77	0.531	Washington 87 - Washington State 90	2
West Virginia 71 - Brigham Young 83	0.806	West Virginia 73 - Brigham Young 86	1
Western Kentucky 76 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.788	Western Kentucky 88 - Middle Tennessee 65	-13
Western Michigan 70 - Ball State 72	0.536	Western Michigan 67 - Ball State 77	8
William and Mary 65 - College of Charleston 81	0.882	William and Mary 83 - College of Charleston 84	-15
Wofford 70 - Western Carolina 73	0.597	Wofford 88 - Western Carolina 86	-5
Yale 78 - Pennsylvania 66	0.826	Yale 74 - Pennsylvania 58	-4

GAMES OF 2-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 88 - Stanford 73	0.786	Arizona 82 - Stanford 71	4
Fairfield 78 - Manhattan 62	0.85	Fairfield 77 - Manhattan 68	7
Furman 72 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.509	Furman 87 - UNC Greensboro 89	3
Illinois 83 - Nebraska 74	0.714	Illinois 87 - Nebraska 84	6
Iona 75 - Rider 66	0.761	Iona 94 - Rider 93	8
IPFW 70 - Youngstown State 73	0.595	IPFW 82 - Youngstown State 78	-7
Loyola Ill 72 - Davidson 68	0.601	Loyola Ill 76 - Davidson 63	-9
Marist 61 - Saint Peters 64	0.57	Marist 63 - Saint Peters 52	-14
Milwaukee 79 - IUPUI 64	0.841	Milwaukee 87 - IUPUI 67	-5
Northern Kentucky 73 - Wright State 74	0.52	Northern Kentucky 78 - Wright State 85	6
Quinnipiac 76 - Canisius 66	0.793	Quinnipiac 88 - Canisius 63	-15
Siena 65 - Mt St Marys 70	0.639	Siena 61 - Mt St Marys 68	2
South Dakota State 80 - South Dakota 66	0.812	South Dakota State 70 - South Dakota 67	11
Southern Methodist 77 - Alabama Birmingham 70	0.687	Southern Methodist 72 - Alabama Birmingham 69	4
Tulane 81 - Temple 70	0.802	Tulane 92 - Temple 80	-1
Villanova 74 - Providence 73	0.544	Villanova 68 - Providence 50	-17
Wisconsin 74 - Purdue 77	0.591	Wisconsin 69 - Purdue 75	3

Number of DI Games: 337
Number Correct: 227 = 67.3%
Expected Number Correct: 228.968 = 67.9%
Average Error: 8.66
Average Signed Error: 0.09

GAMES OF 2-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 69 - Bethune Cookman 73	0.626	Alabama AM 72 - Bethune Cookman 68	-8
Alabama State 73 - Florida AM 64	0.767	Alabama State 62 - Florida AM 53	0
Alcorn State 67 - Grambling State 68	0.518	Alcorn State 67 - Grambling State 78	10
Delaware State 71 - Howard 70	0.521	Delaware State 71 - Howard 75	5
Jackson State 69 - Southern 71	0.578	Jackson State 63 - Southern 72	7
Kansas State 72 - Kansas 80	0.701	Kansas State 75 - Kansas 70	-13
Maryland Eastern Shore 60 - Norfolk State 74	0.853	Maryland Eastern Shore 69 - Norfolk State 60	-23
Mcneese State 78 - Texas AM Commerce 57	0.911	Mcneese State 77 - Texas AM Commerce 51	-5
New Orleans 74 - Houston Christian 73	0.536	New Orleans 84 - Houston Christian 58	-25
Nicholls State 75 - Northwestern State 66	0.746	Nicholls State 73 - Northwestern State 66	2
North Carolina Central 77 - Morgan State 64	0.827	North Carolina Central 72 - Morgan State 79	20
Portland State 68 - Eastern Washington 75	0.65	Portland State 77 - Eastern Washington 90	6
Prairie View 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 73	0.547	Prairie View 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 74	1
Sacramento State 68 - Idaho 66	0.579	Sacramento State 45 - Idaho 61	18
South Carolina State 73 - Coppin State 63	0.784	South Carolina State 77 - Coppin State 65	-2
Southeast Louisiana 72 - Incarnate Word 63	0.731	Southeast Louisiana 76 - Incarnate Word 64	-3
Virginia 73 - Miami 70	0.577	Virginia 60 - Miami 38	-19

GAMES OF 2-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 62 - San Diego State 82	0.882	Air Force 64 - San Diego State 77	-7
Akron 74 - Central Michigan 61	0.815	Akron 68 - Central Michigan 47	-8
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Tennessee Martin 75	0.508	Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Tennessee Martin 57	-21
Ball State 70 - Ohio 72	0.562	Ball State 79 - Ohio 84	3
Baylor 80 - Texas Tech 75	0.645	Baylor 79 - Texas Tech 73	-1
Boston College 78 - Florida State 77	0.506	Boston College 62 - Florida State 63	2
Bowling Green 79 - Buffalo 64	0.839	Bowling Green 87 - Buffalo 73	1
Colorado State 75 - Boise State 74	0.528	Colorado State 75 - Boise State 62	-12
Connecticut 84 - Butler 72	0.796	Connecticut 71 - Butler 62	3
Eastern Michigan 63 - Toledo 80	0.898	Eastern Michigan 87 - Toledo 91	-13
Fordham 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 77	0.77	Fordham 60 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	6
George Washington 79 - Rhode Island 75	0.613	George Washington 65 - Rhode Island 88	27
Georgia Tech 74 - Wake Forest 82	0.701	Georgia Tech 51 - Wake Forest 80	21
Houston 82 - Oklahoma State 60	0.95	Houston 79 - Oklahoma State 63	6
Kent State 76 - Western Michigan 67	0.773	Kent State 63 - Western Michigan 61	7
Maryland 72 - Rutgers 65	0.696	Maryland 53 - Rutgers 56	10
Miami OH 76 - Northern Illinois 69	0.729	Miami OH 59 - Northern Illinois 62	10
Minnesota 70 - Michigan State 76	0.678	Minnesota 59 - Michigan State 56	-9
Niagara 75 - Canisius 69	0.639	Niagara 69 - Canisius 64	1
North Carolina 83 - Clemson 72	0.774	North Carolina 76 - Clemson 80	15
Ohio State 77 - Indiana 74	0.594	Ohio State 73 - Indiana 76	6
Oklahoma 76 - Brigham Young 78	0.555	Oklahoma 82 - Brigham Young 66	-18
Pacific 54 - Saint Marys 84	0.935	Pacific 43 - Saint Marys 84	11
Saint Johns 87 - DePaul 64	0.932	Saint Johns 85 - DePaul 57	-5
Saint Josephs 69 - Dayton 77	0.744	Saint Josephs 79 - Dayton 94	7
San Jose State 72 - Fresno State 73	0.518	San Jose State 57 - Fresno State 69	11
South Carolina 74 - Mississippi 71	0.582	South Carolina 68 - Mississippi 65	0
South Florida 70 - Charlotte 69	0.544	South Florida 72 - Charlotte 69	-2
Texas 74 - Iowa State 75	0.524	Texas 65 - Iowa State 70	4
Utah State 78 - Nevada 72	0.67	Utah State 63 - Nevada 77	20
Vanderbilt 71 - Kentucky 84	0.839	Vanderbilt 77 - Kentucky 109	19
Wyoming 70 - New Mexico 84	0.792	Wyoming 73 - New Mexico 91	4

GAMES OF 2-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 76 - Loyola MD 61	0.876	American 43 - Loyola MD 44	16
Arkansas State 71 - James Madison 79	0.716	Arkansas State 73 - James Madison 77	-4
Auburn 80 - Alabama 79	0.527	Auburn 99 - Alabama 81	-17
Bellarmine 65 - Stetson 73	0.678	Bellarmine 77 - Stetson 84	-1
Belmont 74 - Murray State 73	0.527	Belmont 69 - Murray State 64	-4
Boston 61 - Colgate 72	0.789	Boston 64 - Colgate 74	-1
California 77 - Southern California 76	0.543	California 83 - Southern California 77	-5
Drake 77 - Southern Illinois 67	0.719	Drake 92 - Southern Illinois 88	6
Duke 82 - Notre Dame 63	0.911	Duke 71 - Notre Dame 53	1
Duquesne 73 - Davidson 68	0.65	Duquesne 59 - Davidson 72	18
East Tennessee State 71 - Wofford 70	0.515	East Tennessee State 57 - Wofford 50	-6
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.645	Eastern Kentucky 90 - Florida Gulf Coast 82	-2
Evansville 67 - Bradley 79	0.776	Evansville 73 - Bradley 70	-15
George Mason 71 - Loyola Ill 70	0.533	George Mason 79 - Loyola Ill 85	7
Gonzaga 89 - Portland 63	0.949	Gonzaga 96 - Portland 64	-6
Illinois State 71 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.654	Illinois State 56 - Illinois Chicago 61	10
Indiana State 87 - Valparaiso 63	0.96	Indiana State 101 - Valparaiso 61	-16
IPFW 73 - Cleveland State 70	0.579	IPFW 72 - Cleveland State 75	6
La Salle 75 - Saint Louis 74	0.545	La Salle 84 - Saint Louis 102	19
Lafayette 72 - Holy Cross 62	0.796	Lafayette 75 - Holy Cross 59	-6
Lehigh 71 - Army 64	0.725	Lehigh 57 - Army 68	18
Longwood 73 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.736	Longwood 64 - South Carolina Upstate 69	13
Louisiana Tech 78 - Western Kentucky 68	0.796	Louisiana Tech 76 - Western Kentucky 81	15
Mercer 68 - Furman 73	0.642	Mercer 78 - Furman 69	-14
Michigan 71 - Wisconsin 82	0.792	Michigan 72 - Wisconsin 68	-15
Mississippi State 77 - Georgia 72	0.655	Mississippi State 75 - Georgia 62	-8
Missouri 70 - Texas AM 77	0.741	Missouri 60 - Texas AM 79	12
Navy 67 - Bucknell 68	0.534	Navy 67 - Bucknell 80	12
NC State 75 - Pittsburgh 74	0.552	NC State 64 - Pittsburgh 67	4
Northern Iowa 73 - Missouri State 71	0.562	Northern Iowa 72 - Missouri State 65	-5
Northwestern 78 - Nebraska 77	0.534	Northwestern 80 - Nebraska 68	-11
Presbyterian 67 - Gardner Webb 74	0.737	Presbyterian 77 - Gardner Webb 75	-9
Providence 74 - Creighton 77	0.597	Providence 91 - Creighton 87	-7
Rice 66 - Southern Methodist 78	0.789	Rice 69 - Southern Methodist 95	14
Saint Bonaventure 75 - Massachusetts 72	0.577	Saint Bonaventure 79 - Massachusetts 73	-3
San Diego 72 - Loyola Marymount 73	0.533	San Diego 79 - Loyola Marymount 77	-3
Seton Hall 83 - Georgetown 68	0.844	Seton Hall 76 - Georgetown 70	9
South Alabama 74 - Georgia Southern 70	0.61	South Alabama 78 - Georgia Southern 65	-9
Southern Miss 73 - Old Dominion 66	0.664	Southern Miss 78 - Old Dominion 73	2
Stanford 75 - UCLA 72	0.567	Stanford 74 - UCLA 82	11
Syracuse 83 - Louisville 70	0.767	Syracuse 94 - Louisville 92	11
Tennessee 83 - Louisiana State 69	0.834	Tennessee 88 - Louisiana State 68	-6
Texas State 61 - Appalachian State 73	0.792	Texas State 63 - Appalachian State 56	-19
Troy 76 - Marshall 68	0.705	Troy 82 - Marshall 66	-8
Tulsa 67 - North Texas 73	0.667	Tulsa 55 - North Texas 68	7
UL Lafayette 78 - Georgia State 66	0.821	UL Lafayette 69 - Georgia State 78	21
UL Monroe 73 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.609	UL Monroe 79 - Coastal Carolina 75	0
UNC Asheville 72 - High Point 74	0.561	UNC Asheville 86 - High Point 81	-7
Western Carolina 75 - The Citadel 64	0.789	Western Carolina 71 - The Citadel 64	4
Wichita State 81 - Texas San Antonio 72	0.74	Wichita State 84 - Texas San Antonio 64	-11
Winthrop 76 - Charleston Southern 65	0.812	Winthrop 67 - Charleston Southern 46	-10
Xavier 78 - Villanova 75	0.561	Xavier 56 - Villanova 53	0

GAMES OF 2-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Florida Atlantic 80	0.667	Alabama Birmingham 76 - Florida Atlantic 73	-10
Austin Peay 74 - Kennesaw St 72	0.564	Austin Peay 85 - Kennesaw St 69	-14
Binghamton 72 - Albany 73	0.505	Binghamton 69 - Albany 57	-13
Bryant 75 - New Hampshire 72	0.595	Bryant 85 - New Hampshire 66	-16
Cal Baptist 71 - Texas Arlington 69	0.582	Cal Baptist 64 - Texas Arlington 63	1
Cal State Northridge 76 - Cal Poly 64	0.794	Cal State Northridge 78 - Cal Poly 65	-1
Campbell 68 - Northeastern 69	0.527	Campbell 76 - Northeastern 86	9
Central Connecticut State 72 - Sacred Heart 67	0.667	Central Connecticut State 77 - Sacred Heart 70	-2
College of Charleston 83 - North Carolina AT 64	0.925	College of Charleston 80 - North Carolina AT 58	-3
Colorado 81 - Arizona State 69	0.754	Colorado 82 - Arizona State 70	0
Elon 68 - Stony Brook 75	0.75	Elon 64 - Stony Brook 79	8
Fairfield 75 - Rider 69	0.663	Fairfield 84 - Rider 67	-11
Fairleigh Dickinson 67 - Wagner 68	0.505	Fairleigh Dickinson 62 - Wagner 66	3
Hampton 62 - Hofstra 80	0.916	Hampton 59 - Hofstra 63	-14
Hawaii 68 - UC San Diego 73	0.626	Hawaii 94 - UC San Diego 86	-13
Idaho State 69 - Sacramento State 64	0.663	Idaho State 68 - Sacramento State 40	-23
Jacksonville 75 - Central Arkansas 66	0.701	Jacksonville 59 - Central Arkansas 55	5
Jacksonville State 68 - Sam Houston State 69	0.521	Jacksonville State 79 - Sam Houston State 68	-12
Liberty 74 - Middle Tennessee 62	0.78	Liberty 88 - Middle Tennessee 53	-23
Lindenwood 64 - Tennessee State 73	0.777	Lindenwood 55 - Tennessee State 65	1
Lipscomb 79 - Queens 71	0.688	Lipscomb 90 - Queens 88	6
LIU Brooklyn 59 - Merrimack 73	0.835	LIU Brooklyn 79 - Merrimack 82	-11
Monmouth 77 - William and Mary 63	0.835	Monmouth 68 - William and Mary 64	10
Morehead State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 59	0.835	Morehead State 79 - SIU Edwardsville 68	3
Mt St Marys 74 - Manhattan 65	0.764	Mt St Marys 82 - Manhattan 78	5
Niagara 71 - Iona 74	0.591	Niagara 71 - Iona 74	0
NJ Tech 57 - Vermont 76	0.933	NJ Tech 63 - Vermont 61	-21
North Dakota 71 - Omaha 69	0.536	North Dakota 99 - Omaha 78	-19
North Dakota State 72 - UMKC 69	0.564	North Dakota State 82 - UMKC 78	-1
North Florida 75 - North Alabama 71	0.638	North Florida 74 - North Alabama 79	9
Northern Arizona 66 - Montana 74	0.652	Northern Arizona 66 - Montana 94	20
Northern Colorado 77 - Montana State 72	0.628	Northern Colorado 73 - Montana State 70	2
Northern Kentucky 68 - Oakland 72	0.611	Northern Kentucky 99 - Oakland 89	-14
Oregon 81 - Washington 77	0.619	Oregon 85 - Washington 80	-1
Oregon State 69 - Washington State 79	0.722	Oregon State 58 - Washington State 64	-4
Penn State 79 - Iowa 81	0.562	Penn State 89 - Iowa 79	-12
Pepperdine 67 - San Francisco 80	0.824	Pepperdine 74 - San Francisco 80	-7
Quinnipiac 71 - Saint Peters 63	0.746	Quinnipiac 84 - Saint Peters 73	-3
Robert Morris 67 - Green Bay 71	0.608	Robert Morris 76 - Green Bay 81	1
Saint Thomas 72 - Oral Roberts 67	0.644	Saint Thomas 85 - Oral Roberts 63	-17
SE Missouri State 67 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.539	SE Missouri State 88 - Tennessee Tech 69	-20
Seattle 78 - Abilene Christian 67	0.775	Seattle 75 - Abilene Christian 52	-12
Siena 60 - Marist 68	0.688	Siena 51 - Marist 67	8
South Dakota 74 - Denver 78	0.616	South Dakota 92 - Denver 86	-10
Southern Indiana 68 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.515	Southern Indiana 71 - Eastern Illinois 81	11
Stephen F Austin 81 - Texas Pan American 66	0.852	Stephen F Austin 92 - Texas Pan American 84	7
Stonehill 67 - Le Moyne 71	0.607	Stonehill 57 - Le Moyne 88	27
Temple 69 - Memphis 82	0.842	Temple 77 - Memphis 84	-6
Towson 70 - Delaware 66	0.618	Towson 62 - Delaware 74	16
UC Davis 72 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.682	UC Davis 71 - Cal State Fullerton 58	-7
UC Riverside 69 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.565	UC Riverside 65 - Cal State Bakersfield 63	0
UC Santa Barbara 69 - UC Irvine 75	0.68	UC Santa Barbara 61 - UC Irvine 76	9
UMBC 70 - UMass Lowell 79	0.747	UMBC 80 - UMass Lowell 93	4
UNC Greensboro 72 - Samford 75	0.586	UNC Greensboro 69 - Samford 78	6
UNC Wilmington 71 - Drexel 68	0.58	UNC Wilmington 75 - Drexel 56	-16
Utah 76 - Arizona 83	0.618	Utah 99 - Arizona 105	-1
Utah Tech 71 - Southern Utah 76	0.62	Utah Tech 70 - Southern Utah 68	-7
Utah Valley 69 - Tarleton State 70	0.535	Utah Valley 61 - Tarleton State 72	10
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Chattanooga 82	0.853	Virginia Military Institute 84 - Chattanooga 88	-14
Weber State 73 - Portland State 65	0.664	Weber State 84 - Portland State 72	-4
Western Illinois 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.631	Western Illinois 60 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	8
Wright State 85 - Detroit 64	0.924	Wright State 92 - Detroit 85	14
Youngstown State 78 - Milwaukee 68	0.766	Youngstown State 97 - Milwaukee 85	-2

GAMES OF 2-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado State 85 - San Jose State 65	0.912	Colorado State 66 - San Jose State 47	1
Nevada 71 - San Diego State 75	0.594	Nevada 70 - San Diego State 66	-8
Virginia Commonwealth 68 - Dayton 73	0.676	Virginia Commonwealth 49 - Dayton 47	-7

GAMES OF 2-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Fresno State 71	0.528	Air Force 66 - Fresno State 68	1
Appalachian State 74 - Toledo 69	0.64	Appalachian State 109 - Toledo 104	0
Arkansas 75 - Georgia 77	0.581	Arkansas 78 - Georgia 75	-5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Alcorn State 74	0.53	Arkansas Pine Bluff 56 - Alcorn State 68	13
Arkansas State 75 - Ohio 74	0.525	Arkansas State 100 - Ohio 87	-12
Army 64 - Navy 66	0.544	Army 69 - Navy 67	-4
Austin Peay 73 - Queens 70	0.591	Austin Peay 79 - Queens 76	0
Bethune Cookman 73 - Prairie View 69	0.613	Bethune Cookman 84 - Prairie View 78	-2
Binghamton 68 - Bryant 76	0.692	Binghamton 69 - Bryant 70	-7
Bradley 74 - Drake 73	0.527	Bradley 67 - Drake 74	8
Brigham Young 81 - Kansas State 70	0.756	Brigham Young 72 - Kansas State 66	5
Brown 72 - Columbia 71	0.519	Brown 69 - Columbia 83	15
Bucknell 69 - Boston 64	0.632	Bucknell 62 - Boston 77	20
Butler 78 - Providence 75	0.585	Butler 75 - Providence 72	0
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - Cal State Fullerton 69	0.543	Cal State Bakersfield 73 - Cal State Fullerton 71	-4
California 73 - UCLA 72	0.506	California 60 - UCLA 61	2
Campbell 66 - Stony Brook 71	0.675	Campbell 95 - Stony Brook 77	-23
Canisius 67 - Iona 74	0.679	Canisius 73 - Iona 69	-11
Central Connecticut State 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.768	Central Connecticut State 71 - Fairleigh Dickinson 62	-1
Cincinnati 67 - Houston 76	0.743	Cincinnati 62 - Houston 67	-4
College of Charleston 73 - Drexel 71	0.572	College of Charleston 80 - Drexel 70	-8
Colorado 76 - Arizona 82	0.617	Colorado 79 - Arizona 99	14
Davidson 70 - George Mason 71	0.529	Davidson 55 - George Mason 57	1
Delaware 78 - William and Mary 62	0.864	Delaware 69 - William and Mary 58	5
Denver 70 - Saint Thomas 74	0.612	Denver 94 - Saint Thomas 77	-21
Duke 84 - Boston College 72	0.847	Duke 80 - Boston College 65	-3
East Tennessee State 70 - Furman 73	0.587	East Tennessee State 63 - Furman 65	-1
Eastern Washington 80 - Idaho 62	0.879	Eastern Washington 87 - Idaho 79	10
Florida 77 - Auburn 81	0.635	Florida 81 - Auburn 65	-20
Florida AM 65 - Texas Southern 72	0.716	Florida AM 75 - Texas Southern 78	-4
Florida Gulf Coast 71 - Bellarmine 63	0.713	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Bellarmine 52	-3
Florida International 71 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.55	Florida International 66 - Middle Tennessee 68	4
Florida State 70 - Virginia 71	0.526	Florida State 76 - Virginia 80	3
Gardner Webb 71 - High Point 75	0.644	Gardner Webb 62 - High Point 78	12
George Washington 72 - Loyola Ill 77	0.637	George Washington 73 - Loyola Ill 81	3
Georgetown 65 - Connecticut 87	0.92	Georgetown 64 - Connecticut 89	3
Georgia Southern 75 - Buffalo 67	0.696	Georgia Southern 81 - Buffalo 82	9
Georgia State 72 - Miami OH 71	0.508	Georgia State 73 - Miami OH 53	-19
Grambling State 65 - Alabama State 63	0.562	Grambling State 74 - Alabama State 68	-4
Grand Canyon 82 - Southern Utah 65	0.913	Grand Canyon 94 - Southern Utah 65	-12
Hampton 61 - UNC Wilmington 82	0.928	Hampton 65 - UNC Wilmington 95	9
Harvard 73 - Dartmouth 60	0.802	Harvard 77 - Dartmouth 59	-5
Hawaii 69 - UC Davis 71	0.545	Hawaii 87 - UC Davis 70	-19
Holy Cross 65 - American 74	0.777	Holy Cross 58 - American 56	-11
Houston Christian 72 - Incarnate Word 71	0.544	Houston Christian 86 - Incarnate Word 83	-2
Idaho State 68 - Portland State 70	0.545	Idaho State 68 - Portland State 65	-5
Iowa State 79 - Texas Christian 74	0.663	Iowa State 71 - Texas Christian 59	-7
IUPUI 62 - IPFW 77	0.836	IUPUI 65 - IPFW 92	12
Jacksonville 70 - North Alabama 71	0.523	Jacksonville 67 - North Alabama 63	-5
Jacksonville State 70 - Western Kentucky 73	0.578	Jacksonville State 59 - Western Kentucky 70	8
James Madison 72 - Akron 69	0.573	James Madison 73 - Akron 59	-11
Kansas 81 - Baylor 77	0.602	Kansas 64 - Baylor 61	1
Kentucky 82 - Gonzaga 79	0.559	Kentucky 85 - Gonzaga 89	7
Lamar 74 - Nicholls State 71	0.581	Lamar 75 - Nicholls State 56	-16
Lehigh 68 - Lafayette 67	0.538	Lehigh 94 - Lafayette 90	-3
Liberty 67 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.634	Liberty 65 - Louisiana Tech 62	-8
Lindenwood 67 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.508	Lindenwood 53 - Tennessee Tech 62	8
Lipscomb 80 - Kennesaw St 73	0.673	Lipscomb 101 - Kennesaw St 95	1
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Sacred Heart 74	0.685	LIU Brooklyn 75 - Sacred Heart 58	-24
Long Beach State 80 - Cal Poly 64	0.893	Long Beach State 77 - Cal Poly 68	7
Longwood 69 - Winthrop 71	0.573	Longwood 84 - Winthrop 74	-12
Louisiana State 75 - Alabama 85	0.725	Louisiana State 92 - Alabama 109	7
Louisville 76 - Georgia Tech 78	0.568	Louisville 79 - Georgia Tech 67	-14
Loyola Marymount 76 - Pepperdine 69	0.717	Loyola Marymount 63 - Pepperdine 72	16
Loyola MD 58 - Colgate 78	0.915	Loyola MD 62 - Colgate 76	-6
Manhattan 70 - Siena 65	0.647	Manhattan 63 - Siena 68	10
Marquette 81 - Saint Johns 74	0.678	Marquette 86 - Saint Johns 75	-4
Maryland Eastern Shore 79 - Unranked 62		Maryland Eastern Shore 88 - Unranked 55
Mcneese State 73 - Texas AM CC 63	0.754	Mcneese State 74 - Texas AM CC 67	3
Merrimack 73 - Le Moyne 62	0.739	Merrimack 66 - Le Moyne 50	-5
Miami 74 - North Carolina 82	0.708	Miami 72 - North Carolina 75	-5
Michigan State 77 - Illinois 76	0.519	Michigan State 88 - Illinois 80	-7
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Jackson State 75	0.868	Mississippi Valley State 69 - Jackson State 77	-6
Missouri 69 - Mississippi State 78	0.738	Missouri 51 - Mississippi State 75	15
Missouri State 71 - Indiana State 80	0.753	Missouri State 71 - Indiana State 73	-7
Morehead State 75 - Eastern Illinois 56	0.916	Morehead State 69 - Eastern Illinois 57	7
Mt St Marys 67 - Quinnipiac 74	0.698	Mt St Marys 96 - Quinnipiac 79	-24
Murray State 74 - Evansville 68	0.64	Murray State 73 - Evansville 70	3
Nebraska 84 - Michigan 73	0.731	Nebraska 79 - Michigan 59	-9
New Hampshire 72 - Maine 65	0.691	New Hampshire 60 - Maine 57	4
New Mexico 82 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.703	New Mexico 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 80	14
NJ Tech 63 - UMass Lowell 75	0.837	NJ Tech 71 - UMass Lowell 64	-19
North Carolina AT 64 - Hofstra 76	0.825	North Carolina AT 49 - Hofstra 81	20
North Dakota 71 - UMKC 68	0.586	North Dakota 47 - UMKC 65	21
North Dakota State 72 - Omaha 71	0.502	North Dakota State 81 - Omaha 79	-1
North Florida 79 - Central Arkansas 66	0.814	North Florida 77 - Central Arkansas 79	15
Northeastern 69 - Monmouth 73	0.605	Northeastern 77 - Monmouth 65	-16
Northern Arizona 68 - Montana State 72	0.57	Northern Arizona 76 - Montana State 71	-9
Northern Colorado 76 - Montana 75	0.502	Northern Colorado 87 - Montana 71	-15
Northern Kentucky 78 - Detroit 60	0.873	Northern Kentucky 79 - Detroit 67	6
Northwestern State 66 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.567	Northwestern State 59 - Southeast Louisiana 69	7
Notre Dame 66 - Virginia Tech 75	0.726	Notre Dame 74 - Virginia Tech 66	-17
Ohio State 71 - Maryland 72	0.502	Ohio State 79 - Maryland 75	-5
Oklahoma 80 - Oklahoma State 68	0.811	Oklahoma 66 - Oklahoma State 62	8
Old Dominion 68 - Central Michigan 71	0.574	Old Dominion 57 - Central Michigan 58	-2
Oregon 76 - Washington State 75	0.506	Oregon 56 - Washington State 62	7
Oregon State 74 - Washington 80	0.644	Oregon State 55 - Washington 67	6
Pacific 67 - San Diego 77	0.727	Pacific 84 - San Diego 89	-5
Portland 59 - Saint Marys 83	0.921	Portland 51 - Saint Marys 76	1
Presbyterian 66 - Radford 71	0.665	Presbyterian 76 - Radford 73	-8
Princeton 79 - Pennsylvania 64	0.87	Princeton 77 - Pennsylvania 70	8
Purdue 87 - Indiana 68	0.912	Purdue 79 - Indiana 59	-1
Rice 68 - South Florida 75	0.698	Rice 65 - South Florida 69	-3
Richmond 80 - La Salle 64	0.892	Richmond 82 - La Salle 65	-1
Rider 69 - Marist 66	0.57	Rider 62 - Marist 77	18
Robert Morris 73 - Milwaukee 75	0.554	Robert Morris 71 - Milwaukee 60	-13
Rutgers 67 - Wisconsin 77	0.76	Rutgers 78 - Wisconsin 56	-32
Saint Bonaventure 73 - Duquesne 69	0.619	Saint Bonaventure 69 - Duquesne 75	10
Saint Francis Penn 68 - Stonehill 65	0.571	Saint Francis Penn 72 - Stonehill 63	-6
Saint Josephs 81 - Saint Louis 70	0.756	Saint Josephs 87 - Saint Louis 86	10
Saint Peters 66 - Fairfield 67	0.527	Saint Peters 62 - Fairfield 64	1
San Francisco 77 - Santa Clara 71	0.661	San Francisco 71 - Santa Clara 70	5
SE Missouri State 63 - Tennessee State 73	0.782	SE Missouri State 74 - Tennessee State 77	-7
Seattle 73 - Tarleton State 68	0.645	Seattle 77 - Tarleton State 82	10
South Alabama 76 - Northern Illinois 71	0.645	South Alabama 75 - Northern Illinois 66	-4
South Carolina 78 - Vanderbilt 62	0.88	South Carolina 75 - Vanderbilt 60	1
South Carolina State 68 - Chicago State 71	0.577	South Carolina State 78 - Chicago State 55	-26
South Carolina Upstate 66 - UNC Asheville 75	0.767	South Carolina Upstate 64 - UNC Asheville 77	4
South Dakota State 75 - Oral Roberts 71	0.613	South Dakota State 83 - Oral Roberts 72	-7
Southern 77 - Alabama AM 63	0.842	Southern 69 - Alabama AM 62	7
Southern Illinois 73 - Illinois State 64	0.771	Southern Illinois 69 - Illinois State 66	6
Southern Indiana 65 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.663	Southern Indiana 84 - SIU Edwardsville 67	-22
Southern Miss 73 - Western Michigan 66	0.695	Southern Miss 86 - Western Michigan 54	-25
Stanford 79 - Southern California 75	0.601	Stanford 99 - Southern California 68	-27
Stetson 72 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.52	Stetson 87 - Eastern Kentucky 79	-7
Syracuse 76 - Clemson 77	0.533	Syracuse 68 - Clemson 77	8
Texas 82 - West Virginia 70	0.824	Texas 94 - West Virginia 58	-24
Texas AM 69 - Tennessee 78	0.751	Texas AM 85 - Tennessee 69	-25
Texas AM Commerce 73 - New Orleans 67	0.654	Texas AM Commerce 89 - New Orleans 83	0
Texas Arlington 74 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.508	Texas Arlington 71 - Stephen F Austin 63	-7
Texas El Paso 71 - New Mexico State 69	0.562	Texas El Paso 74 - New Mexico State 49	-23
Texas San Antonio 72 - East Carolina 76	0.626	Texas San Antonio 73 - East Carolina 84	7
Texas State 69 - Ball State 68	0.529	Texas State 68 - Ball State 60	-7
Texas Tech 76 - Central Florida 71	0.652	Texas Tech 66 - Central Florida 59	-2
Troy 75 - Kent State 68	0.694	Troy 78 - Kent State 68	-3
UC Riverside 63 - UC Irvine 76	0.833	UC Riverside 88 - UC Irvine 78	-23
UC Santa Barbara 78 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.698	UC Santa Barbara 74 - Cal State Northridge 82	16
UL Monroe 71 - Eastern Michigan 65	0.678	UL Monroe 82 - Eastern Michigan 76	0
UMBC 64 - Vermont 80	0.878	UMBC 70 - Vermont 72	-14
UNC Greensboro 72 - Chattanooga 68	0.588	UNC Greensboro 61 - Chattanooga 89	32
Utah 81 - Arizona State 69	0.718	Utah 77 - Arizona State 85	20
Utah State 77 - Boise State 74	0.602	Utah State 80 - Boise State 61	-16
Utah Tech 65 - Cal Baptist 73	0.721	Utah Tech 85 - Cal Baptist 78	-15
Utah Valley 74 - Abilene Christian 70	0.617	Utah Valley 74 - Abilene Christian 45	-25
Valparaiso 71 - Belmont 77	0.67	Valparaiso 78 - Belmont 96	12
Virginia Military Institute 64 - Samford 89	0.927	Virginia Military Institute 63 - Samford 102	14
Wake Forest 80 - NC State 74	0.665	Wake Forest 83 - NC State 79	2
Weber State 74 - Sacramento State 60	0.822	Weber State 58 - Sacramento State 53	9
Western Carolina 73 - Mercer 65	0.765	Western Carolina 79 - Mercer 46	-25
Western Illinois 72 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.574	Western Illinois 59 - Tennessee Martin 62	5
Wofford 75 - The Citadel 66	0.716	Wofford 77 - The Citadel 64	-4
Wright State 75 - Oakland 76	0.523	Wright State 60 - Oakland 74	13
Xavier 77 - Creighton 79	0.542	Xavier 71 - Creighton 78	5
Yale 76 - Cornell 73	0.621	Yale 80 - Cornell 78	1
Youngstown State 72 - Green Bay 64	0.697	Youngstown State 83 - Green Bay 84	9

GAMES OF 2-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Illinois Chicago 68 - Northern Iowa 75	0.694	Illinois Chicago 71 - Northern Iowa 65	-13
Iowa 80 - Minnesota 75	0.654	Iowa 90 - Minnesota 85	0
Massachusetts 81 - Rhode Island 70	0.782	Massachusetts 81 - Rhode Island 79	9
Memphis 83 - Tulane 76	0.694	Memphis 90 - Tulane 78	-5
Northwestern 80 - Penn State 74	0.652	Northwestern 68 - Penn State 63	1
Southern Methodist 71 - North Texas 66	0.656	Southern Methodist 71 - North Texas 68	2
Temple 64 - Charlotte 75	0.822	Temple 70 - Charlotte 73	-8
Tulsa 73 - Alabama Birmingham 78	0.625	Tulsa 63 - Alabama Birmingham 70	2
UL Lafayette 76 - Bowling Green 67	0.738	UL Lafayette 86 - Bowling Green 60	-17
Villanova 75 - Seton Hall 73	0.572	Villanova 80 - Seton Hall 54	-24
Wichita State 69 - Florida Atlantic 82	0.803	Wichita State 82 - Florida Atlantic 95	0

Number of DI Games: 332
Number Correct: 228 = 68.6%
Expected Number Correct: 225.718 = 67.9%
Average Error: 9.16
Average Signed Error: -1.33

GAMES OF 2-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Jackson State 74	0.563	Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 - Jackson State 76	11
Bethune Cookman 67 - Texas Southern 69	0.565	Bethune Cookman 83 - Texas Southern 79	-6
Bucknell 73 - Lehigh 69	0.619	Bucknell 63 - Lehigh 71	12
Duke 80 - Wake Forest 75	0.641	Duke 77 - Wake Forest 69	-3
Florida AM 70 - Prairie View 71	0.545	Florida AM 58 - Prairie View 61	2
Grambling State 72 - Alabama AM 62	0.802	Grambling State 50 - Alabama AM 60	20
Houston Christian 60 - Mcneese State 81	0.929	Houston Christian 54 - Mcneese State 105	30
Incarnate Word 66 - Lamar 76	0.774	Incarnate Word 76 - Lamar 67	-19
Mississippi Valley State 62 - Alcorn State 75	0.859	Mississippi Valley State 55 - Alcorn State 72	4
Nicholls State 67 - Texas AM CC 70	0.606	Nicholls State 67 - Texas AM CC 63	-7
Northwestern State 74 - New Orleans 70	0.602	Northwestern State 70 - New Orleans 59	-7
Southern 70 - Alabama State 62	0.7	Southern 73 - Alabama State 62	-3
Texas AM Commerce 64 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.596	Texas AM Commerce 77 - Southeast Louisiana 79	-1
Texas Christian 85 - West Virginia 72	0.824	Texas Christian 81 - West Virginia 65	-3
Texas Tech 76 - Kansas 78	0.562	Texas Tech 79 - Kansas 50	-31
Towson 76 - Elon 60	0.893	Towson 80 - Elon 55	-9

GAMES OF 2-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 80 - Oklahoma 75	0.633	Baylor 79 - Oklahoma 62	-12
Boston College 81 - Louisville 73	0.753	Boston College 89 - Louisville 77	-4
Brigham Young 79 - Central Florida 70	0.707	Brigham Young 90 - Central Florida 88	7
Butler 77 - Marquette 81	0.624	Butler 72 - Marquette 78	2
Cincinnati 72 - Iowa State 76	0.592	Cincinnati 59 - Iowa State 68	5
Creighton 88 - Georgetown 68	0.917	Creighton 94 - Georgetown 72	-2
Davidson 78 - La Salle 67	0.82	Davidson 71 - La Salle 56	-4
Dayton 77 - Duquesne 64	0.861	Dayton 75 - Duquesne 59	-3
Evansville 67 - Drake 80	0.762	Evansville 75 - Drake 78	-10
Florida 85 - Louisiana State 76	0.733	Florida 82 - Louisiana State 80	7
George Mason 79 - George Washington 70	0.762	George Mason 90 - George Washington 67	-14
Illinois 87 - Michigan 72	0.863	Illinois 97 - Michigan 68	-14
Indiana State 83 - Illinois State 62	0.927	Indiana State 67 - Illinois State 80	34
Kentucky 83 - Mississippi 78	0.615	Kentucky 75 - Mississippi 63	-7
Nevada 76 - New Mexico 77	0.505	Nevada 82 - New Mexico 83	0
Northern Illinois 76 - Buffalo 68	0.713	Northern Illinois 72 - Buffalo 68	4
Providence 77 - Saint Johns 76	0.504	Providence 75 - Saint Johns 72	-2
San Diego State 75 - Colorado State 72	0.609	San Diego State 71 - Colorado State 55	-13
San Jose State 73 - Air Force 71	0.539	San Jose State 73 - Air Force 66	-5
Syracuse 73 - North Carolina 82	0.731	Syracuse 86 - North Carolina 79	-16
Tennessee Tech 65 - Tennessee State 72	0.691	Tennessee Tech 70 - Tennessee State 50	-27
Vanderbilt 65 - Texas AM 78	0.83	Vanderbilt 74 - Texas AM 73	-14
Virginia 71 - Pittsburgh 66	0.633	Virginia 63 - Pittsburgh 74	16
Virginia Tech 77 - Florida State 75	0.564	Virginia Tech 83 - Florida State 75	-6
Wisconsin 79 - Ohio State 71	0.695	Wisconsin 62 - Ohio State 54	0

GAMES OF 2-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 76 - Oregon State 70	0.642	Arizona State 79 - Oregon State 61	-12
Arkansas 69 - Tennessee 82	0.799	Arkansas 63 - Tennessee 92	16
Army 63 - Boston 65	0.531	Army 65 - Boston 50	-17
Auburn 77 - South Carolina 69	0.722	Auburn 101 - South Carolina 61	-32
Belmont 73 - Southern Illinois 74	0.518	Belmont 82 - Southern Illinois 68	-15
Bradley 80 - Illinois Chicago 64	0.864	Bradley 85 - Illinois Chicago 73	4
Charleston Southern 66 - Gardner Webb 72	0.646	Charleston Southern 77 - Gardner Webb 85	2
Chattanooga 73 - East Tennessee State 65	0.697	Chattanooga 84 - East Tennessee State 71	-5
Clemson 81 - Miami 74	0.668	Clemson 77 - Miami 60	-10
Cleveland State 76 - Milwaukee 70	0.674	Cleveland State 68 - Milwaukee 71	9
Colgate 79 - Holy Cross 58	0.941	Colgate 85 - Holy Cross 55	-9
DePaul 61 - Connecticut 89	0.958	DePaul 65 - Connecticut 101	8
Detroit 70 - IUPUI 67	0.593	Detroit 81 - IUPUI 66	-12
Eastern Kentucky 75 - Chicago State 65	0.738	Eastern Kentucky 86 - Chicago State 73	-3
Fordham 69 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.707	Fordham 67 - Saint Bonaventure 85	10
Fresno State 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	0.685	Fresno State 65 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	-6
Furman 86 - Virginia Military Institute 65	0.892	Furman 75 - Virginia Military Institute 62	8
Green Bay 69 - Northern Kentucky 66	0.572	Green Bay 57 - Northern Kentucky 58	4
High Point 80 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.909	High Point 81 - South Carolina Upstate 86	21
IPFW 70 - Oakland 73	0.581	IPFW 63 - Oakland 71	5
Kennesaw St 74 - Jacksonville 71	0.572	Kennesaw St 66 - Jacksonville 61	-2
Lafayette 71 - Loyola MD 60	0.805	Lafayette 64 - Loyola MD 79	26
Loyola Ill 76 - Saint Josephs 71	0.653	Loyola Ill 64 - Saint Josephs 59	0
Maryland 76 - Iowa 75	0.528	Maryland 78 - Iowa 66	-11
Mercer 69 - Wofford 70	0.538	Mercer 60 - Wofford 73	12
Murray State 71 - Missouri State 70	0.527	Murray State 82 - Missouri State 72	-9
Navy 66 - American 69	0.592	Navy 42 - American 59	14
Notre Dame 73 - Georgia Tech 72	0.533	Notre Dame 58 - Georgia Tech 55	-2
Penn State 72 - Michigan State 79	0.668	Penn State 72 - Michigan State 80	1
Queens 73 - North Florida 74	0.509	Queens 79 - North Florida 93	13
Richmond 76 - Massachusetts 70	0.681	Richmond 59 - Massachusetts 69	16
Samford 79 - Western Carolina 70	0.733	Samford 88 - Western Carolina 62	-17
Seton Hall 75 - Xavier 76	0.516	Seton Hall 88 - Xavier 70	-19
South Florida 79 - Tulsa 68	0.777	South Florida 69 - Tulsa 50	-8
The Citadel 64 - UNC Greensboro 73	0.707	The Citadel 61 - UNC Greensboro 76	6
UNC Asheville 78 - Presbyterian 64	0.873	UNC Asheville 71 - Presbyterian 69	12
Valparaiso 67 - Northern Iowa 77	0.753	Valparaiso 67 - Northern Iowa 86	9
Wyoming 70 - Utah State 82	0.817	Wyoming 76 - Utah State 84	-4
Youngstown State 78 - Robert Morris 65	0.803	Youngstown State 87 - Robert Morris 77	3

GAMES OF 2-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 74 - NJ Tech 69	0.634	Albany 83 - NJ Tech 58	-20
Appalachian State 78 - Marshall 66	0.776	Appalachian State 73 - Marshall 58	-3
Arkansas Little Rock 66 - Morehead State 74	0.696	Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Morehead State 68	-9
Binghamton 75 - UMBC 71	0.624	Binghamton 78 - UMBC 89	15
Bryant 74 - Maine 65	0.743	Bryant 77 - Maine 72	4
Cal Baptist 70 - Utah Valley 66	0.597	Cal Baptist 46 - Utah Valley 69	27
Cal Poly 62 - Hawaii 75	0.844	Cal Poly 51 - Hawaii 80	16
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.533	Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Cal State Northridge 76	3
Cal State Fullerton 69 - UC Riverside 68	0.547	Cal State Fullerton 73 - UC Riverside 81	9
Central Arkansas 66 - Austin Peay 73	0.688	Central Arkansas 67 - Austin Peay 77	3
Charlotte 83 - Texas San Antonio 65	0.909	Charlotte 79 - Texas San Antonio 70	9
Coastal Carolina 74 - Georgia Southern 73	0.516	Coastal Carolina 82 - Georgia Southern 75	-6
Denver 75 - North Dakota 73	0.548	Denver 78 - North Dakota 92	16
Drexel 69 - Hofstra 67	0.552	Drexel 79 - Hofstra 77	0
East Carolina 71 - Wichita State 70	0.54	East Carolina 68 - Wichita State 55	-12
Eastern Illinois 71 - SE Missouri State 63	0.714	Eastern Illinois 75 - SE Missouri State 57	-10
Eastern Washington 78 - Idaho State 64	0.84	Eastern Washington 88 - Idaho State 82	8
Elon 66 - Delaware 77	0.833	Elon 73 - Delaware 67	-17
Florida Atlantic 86 - Temple 65	0.928	Florida Atlantic 80 - Temple 68	9
Grand Canyon 84 - Utah Tech 61	0.936	Grand Canyon 73 - Utah Tech 61	11
Idaho 64 - Weber State 74	0.728	Idaho 69 - Weber State 70	-9
James Madison 80 - Georgia State 65	0.838	James Madison 83 - Georgia State 63	-5
Le Moyne 67 - Central Connecticut State 70	0.58	Le Moyne 69 - Central Connecticut State 64	-8
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.553	LIU Brooklyn 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 84	0
Louisiana Tech 74 - Jacksonville State 62	0.804	Louisiana Tech 63 - Jacksonville State 58	7
Loyola Marymount 66 - Gonzaga 81	0.857	Loyola Marymount 74 - Gonzaga 91	2
Middle Tennessee 67 - New Mexico State 70	0.556	Middle Tennessee 76 - New Mexico State 69	-10
Monmouth 74 - Campbell 66	0.718	Monmouth 88 - Campbell 87	7
North Alabama 72 - Lipscomb 75	0.575	North Alabama 75 - Lipscomb 70	-8
North Texas 71 - Memphis 72	0.508	North Texas 76 - Memphis 66	-11
Northeastern 70 - College of Charleston 77	0.725	Northeastern 73 - College of Charleston 77	-3
Old Dominion 65 - UL Lafayette 76	0.78	Old Dominion 60 - UL Lafayette 68	-3
Omaha 75 - South Dakota 68	0.674	Omaha 91 - South Dakota 84	0
Oral Roberts 74 - North Dakota State 71	0.617	Oral Roberts 60 - North Dakota State 73	16
Portland State 71 - Northern Colorado 76	0.6	Portland State 82 - Northern Colorado 72	-15
Purdue 85 - Minnesota 67	0.913	Purdue 84 - Minnesota 76	10
Radford 69 - Winthrop 72	0.591	Radford 69 - Winthrop 85	13
Rutgers 71 - Northwestern 74	0.551	Rutgers 63 - Northwestern 60	-6
Sacramento State 65 - Northern Arizona 67	0.543	Sacramento State 58 - Northern Arizona 73	13
Saint Francis Penn 61 - Wagner 66	0.642	Saint Francis Penn 63 - Wagner 65	-3
Saint Marys 81 - Pepperdine 58	0.925	Saint Marys 103 - Pepperdine 59	-21
Sam Houston State 78 - Florida International 68	0.751	Sam Houston State 70 - Florida International 56	-4
San Diego 79 - Portland 70	0.742	San Diego 71 - Portland 66	4
Santa Clara 85 - Pacific 62	0.901	Santa Clara 79 - Pacific 53	-3
SIU Edwardsville 73 - Lindenwood 61	0.834	SIU Edwardsville 91 - Lindenwood 63	-16
South Alabama 69 - Texas State 68	0.505	South Alabama 72 - Texas State 55	-16
Southern California 74 - Utah 81	0.623	Southern California 68 - Utah 64	-11
Southern Miss 74 - UL Monroe 65	0.722	Southern Miss 59 - UL Monroe 68	18
Southern Utah 70 - Seattle 76	0.669	Southern Utah 68 - Seattle 78	4
Stonehill 58 - Merrimack 73	0.853	Stonehill 63 - Merrimack 66	-12
Stony Brook 80 - Hampton 62	0.909	Stony Brook 93 - Hampton 73	-2
Tennessee Martin 78 - Southern Indiana 67	0.766	Tennessee Martin 77 - Southern Indiana 68	2
Tennessee Tech 62 - Western Illinois 70	0.719	Tennessee Tech 55 - Western Illinois 62	-1
Texas Arlington 72 - Tarleton State 71	0.508	Texas Arlington 78 - Tarleton State 80	3
Texas Pan American 72 - Abilene Christian 75	0.58	Texas Pan American 79 - Abilene Christian 87	5
Troy 78 - Arkansas State 71	0.71	Troy 71 - Arkansas State 82	18
Tulane 74 - Southern Methodist 80	0.679	Tulane 79 - Southern Methodist 87	2
UC Davis 75 - Long Beach State 72	0.578	UC Davis 74 - Long Beach State 78	7
UC San Diego 75 - UC Santa Barbara 69	0.646	UC San Diego 61 - UC Santa Barbara 46	-9
UCLA 71 - Colorado 74	0.578	UCLA 64 - Colorado 60	-7
UMKC 68 - South Dakota State 72	0.604	UMKC 72 - South Dakota State 67	-9
UNC Wilmington 81 - North Carolina AT 60	0.918	UNC Wilmington 73 - North Carolina AT 54	2
Vermont 73 - New Hampshire 64	0.751	Vermont 70 - New Hampshire 54	-7
Washington 81 - Stanford 78	0.577	Washington 85 - Stanford 65	-17
Washington State 80 - California 69	0.77	Washington State 84 - California 65	-8
Western Kentucky 76 - Texas El Paso 70	0.701	Western Kentucky 90 - Texas El Paso 80	-4
William and Mary 60 - Towson 73	0.812	William and Mary 52 - Towson 61	-4

GAMES OF 2-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Columbia 75 - Dartmouth 62	0.826	Columbia 73 - Dartmouth 63	3
Cornell 80 - Harvard 69	0.808	Cornell 75 - Harvard 62	-2
Fairfield 75 - Niagara 69	0.659	Fairfield 63 - Niagara 65	8
Georgetown 69 - Villanova 81	0.799	Georgetown 54 - Villanova 70	4
Iona 78 - Manhattan 62	0.9	Iona 73 - Manhattan 63	6
Kennesaw St 76 - North Florida 75	0.51	Kennesaw St 81 - North Florida 82	2
Marist 69 - Canisius 64	0.623	Marist 78 - Canisius 55	-18
Pennsylvania 66 - Yale 77	0.827	Pennsylvania 62 - Yale 76	3
Princeton 80 - Brown 61	0.925	Princeton 72 - Brown 63	10
Queens 72 - Jacksonville 70	0.553	Queens 74 - Jacksonville 65	-7
Rider 71 - Mt St Marys 72	0.506	Rider 61 - Mt St Marys 57	-5
Saint Louis 68 - Virginia Commonwealth 78	0.775	Saint Louis 85 - Virginia Commonwealth 95	0
Saint Peters 71 - Siena 57	0.83	Saint Peters 75 - Siena 53	-8
San Diego State 78 - New Mexico 75	0.569	San Diego State 81 - New Mexico 70	-8
Toledo 78 - Ohio 72	0.715	Toledo 85 - Ohio 83	4

GAMES OF 2-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 83 - Texas AM 74	0.717	Alabama 100 - Texas AM 75	-16
Alabama AM 74 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.846	Alabama AM 80 - Mississippi Valley State 57	-11
Alabama State 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	0.706	Alabama State 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 80	12
Alcorn State 72 - Bethune Cookman 70	0.577	Alcorn State 69 - Bethune Cookman 54	-13
American 68 - Lafayette 65	0.587	American 62 - Lafayette 68	9
Appalachian State 73 - UL Lafayette 68	0.636	Appalachian State 85 - UL Lafayette 73	-7
Arizona 89 - Arizona State 69	0.858	Arizona 105 - Arizona State 60	-25
Arkansas Little Rock 77 - Southern Indiana 66	0.761	Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Southern Indiana 62	-7
Auburn 85 - Kentucky 77	0.694	Auburn 59 - Kentucky 70	19
Bellarmine 65 - Eastern Kentucky 74	0.757	Bellarmine 65 - Eastern Kentucky 75	1
Boise State 80 - Fresno State 65	0.874	Boise State 90 - Fresno State 66	-9
Boston 69 - Navy 64	0.639	Boston 74 - Navy 65	-4
Boston College 76 - Miami 77	0.534	Boston College 85 - Miami 77	-9
Bryant 75 - UMass Lowell 71	0.597	Bryant 77 - UMass Lowell 86	13
Buffalo 58 - Akron 79	0.92	Buffalo 62 - Akron 73	-10
Butler 78 - Creighton 81	0.563	Butler 57 - Creighton 79	19
Cal State Northridge 75 - Long Beach State 76	0.519	Cal State Northridge 73 - Long Beach State 87	13
Central Arkansas 68 - Lipscomb 79	0.749	Central Arkansas 68 - Lipscomb 85	6
Central Florida 72 - Cincinnati 73	0.534	Central Florida 74 - Cincinnati 76	1
Central Michigan 72 - Western Michigan 64	0.706	Central Michigan 69 - Western Michigan 42	-19
Clemson 81 - NC State 73	0.726	Clemson 77 - NC State 78	9
Cleveland State 70 - Youngstown State 73	0.599	Cleveland State 81 - Youngstown State 73	-11
Coastal Carolina 70 - Marshall 77	0.693	Coastal Carolina 74 - Marshall 67	-14
Colgate 75 - Bucknell 62	0.832	Colgate 62 - Bucknell 50	1
Colorado State 76 - Utah State 75	0.531	Colorado State 75 - Utah State 55	-19
Columbia 72 - Harvard 71	0.528	Columbia 75 - Harvard 80	6
Connecticut 79 - Marquette 74	0.652	Connecticut 81 - Marquette 53	-23
Coppin State 62 - Delaware State 70	0.733	Coppin State 56 - Delaware State 66	2
Cornell 82 - Dartmouth 59	0.936	Cornell 89 - Dartmouth 80	14
Dayton 82 - Fordham 62	0.942	Dayton 78 - Fordham 70	12
Denver 77 - North Dakota State 74	0.572	Denver 77 - North Dakota State 71	-3
Detroit 63 - IPFW 78	0.845	Detroit 69 - IPFW 83	-1
Drexel 74 - Campbell 61	0.781	Drexel 81 - Campbell 66	-2
Duquesne 75 - Saint Josephs 72	0.575	Duquesne 66 - Saint Josephs 56	-7
Eastern Illinois 71 - Lindenwood 62	0.78	Eastern Illinois 72 - Lindenwood 57	-6
Eastern Michigan 67 - Bowling Green 75	0.74	Eastern Michigan 69 - Bowling Green 60	-17
Eastern Washington 74 - Weber State 69	0.617	Eastern Washington 84 - Weber State 90	11
Fairleigh Dickinson 72 - Saint Francis Penn 67	0.684	Fairleigh Dickinson 93 - Saint Francis Penn 74	-14
Florida State 74 - Duke 81	0.7	Florida State 67 - Duke 76	2
George Washington 69 - Richmond 79	0.759	George Washington 74 - Richmond 90	6
Georgia 76 - Florida 82	0.686	Georgia 82 - Florida 88	0
Georgia Tech 75 - Syracuse 79	0.615	Georgia Tech 65 - Syracuse 60	-9
Gonzaga 91 - Pacific 57	0.96	Gonzaga 102 - Pacific 76	8
Grand Canyon 77 - Cal Baptist 62	0.894	Grand Canyon 79 - Cal Baptist 76	12
Hampton 59 - Towson 77	0.906	Hampton 67 - Towson 61	-24
High Point 77 - Radford 66	0.837	High Point 99 - Radford 74	-14
Hofstra 74 - Northeastern 66	0.733	Hofstra 82 - Northeastern 62	-12
Holy Cross 65 - Army 67	0.553	Holy Cross 53 - Army 59	4
Houston 78 - Texas 67	0.8	Houston 82 - Texas 61	-10
Howard 69 - North Carolina Central 71	0.535	Howard 90 - North Carolina Central 82	-10
Idaho 67 - Idaho State 69	0.545	Idaho 55 - Idaho State 53	-4
Incarnate Word 69 - Northwestern State 70	0.521	Incarnate Word 61 - Northwestern State 81	19
Iowa 78 - Wisconsin 80	0.553	Iowa 88 - Wisconsin 86	-4
Iowa State 78 - Texas Tech 72	0.674	Iowa State 82 - Texas Tech 74	-2
Jackson State 75 - Florida AM 66	0.759	Jackson State 77 - Florida AM 55	-13
James Madison 83 - Georgia Southern 62	0.91	James Madison 87 - Georgia Southern 80	14
Kansas State 76 - Texas Christian 77	0.547	Kansas State 72 - Texas Christian 75	2
Kent State 77 - Northern Illinois 67	0.776	Kent State 85 - Northern Illinois 47	-28
La Salle 71 - Massachusetts 80	0.775	La Salle 82 - Massachusetts 81	-10
Le Moyne 74 - Stonehill 63	0.735	Le Moyne 75 - Stonehill 67	3
Lehigh 74 - Loyola MD 65	0.784	Lehigh 75 - Loyola MD 70	4
Louisiana Tech 81 - Florida International 63	0.897	Louisiana Tech 75 - Florida International 68	11
Loyola Marymount 67 - San Francisco 76	0.734	Loyola Marymount 59 - San Francisco 82	14
Maine 60 - Vermont 69	0.765	Maine 57 - Vermont 68	2
Maryland 72 - Illinois 78	0.679	Maryland 80 - Illinois 85	-1
Mercer 65 - Samford 78	0.812	Mercer 88 - Samford 84	-17
Merrimack 75 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0.858	Merrimack 83 - LIU Brooklyn 68	2
Miami OH 70 - Ball State 69	0.538	Miami OH 80 - Ball State 59	-20
Michigan 71 - Michigan State 81	0.744	Michigan 63 - Michigan State 73	0
Middle Tennessee 65 - Texas El Paso 70	0.628	Middle Tennessee 96 - Texas El Paso 90	-11
Milwaukee 71 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.551	Milwaukee 73 - Northern Kentucky 72	-3
Mississippi 82 - Missouri 68	0.837	Mississippi 79 - Missouri 76	11
Mississippi State 79 - Arkansas 69	0.748	Mississippi State 71 - Arkansas 67	6
Missouri State 79 - Valparaiso 66	0.832	Missouri State 82 - Valparaiso 74	5
Monmouth 72 - Stony Brook 70	0.568	Monmouth 84 - Stony Brook 61	-21
Montana 75 - Montana State 67	0.66	Montana 88 - Montana State 69	-11
Morgan State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.658	Morgan State 70 - Maryland Eastern Shore 65	1
Nebraska 81 - Penn State 75	0.634	Nebraska 68 - Penn State 49	-13
Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Nevada 75	0.545	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Nevada 69	0
New Orleans 68 - Lamar 78	0.729	New Orleans 72 - Lamar 94	12
Nicholls State 64 - Mcneese State 76	0.817	Nicholls State 47 - Mcneese State 74	15
NJ Tech 66 - Binghamton 67	0.516	NJ Tech 55 - Binghamton 69	13
Norfolk State 74 - South Carolina State 66	0.701	Norfolk State 71 - South Carolina State 67	4
North Alabama 70 - Austin Peay 69	0.541	North Alabama 79 - Austin Peay 87	9
North Carolina 83 - Virginia Tech 70	0.809	North Carolina 96 - Virginia Tech 81	-2
North Carolina AT 63 - Delaware 77	0.842	North Carolina AT 54 - Delaware 62	-6
Oakland 82 - IUPUI 57	0.943	Oakland 107 - IUPUI 59	-23
Oklahoma 75 - Kansas 77	0.551	Oklahoma 57 - Kansas 67	8
Oklahoma State 71 - Brigham Young 82	0.782	Oklahoma State 93 - Brigham Young 83	-21
Old Dominion 70 - Georgia State 73	0.591	Old Dominion 65 - Georgia State 68	0
Omaha 69 - South Dakota State 73	0.607	Omaha 77 - South Dakota State 85	4
Oral Roberts 73 - North Dakota 70	0.579	Oral Roberts 65 - North Dakota 78	16
Oregon State 70 - Oregon 78	0.715	Oregon State 58 - Oregon 60	-6
Pennsylvania 74 - Brown 69	0.658	Pennsylvania 64 - Brown 71	12
Pepperdine 78 - Portland 71	0.698	Pepperdine 91 - Portland 70	-14
Pittsburgh 81 - Louisville 69	0.791	Pittsburgh 86 - Louisville 59	-15
Portland State 72 - Northern Arizona 67	0.613	Portland State 83 - Northern Arizona 68	-10
Prairie View 65 - Southern 73	0.69	Prairie View 71 - Southern 77	-2
Presbyterian 68 - Longwood 71	0.607	Presbyterian 73 - Longwood 81	5
Princeton 71 - Yale 70	0.565	Princeton 73 - Yale 62	-10
Providence 85 - DePaul 64	0.921	Providence 81 - DePaul 70	10
Sacramento State 64 - Northern Colorado 76	0.783	Sacramento State 75 - Northern Colorado 80	-7
Saint Bonaventure 74 - Davidson 68	0.644	Saint Bonaventure 81 - Davidson 80	5
Saint Thomas 76 - South Dakota 63	0.794	Saint Thomas 83 - South Dakota 80	10
Sam Houston State 69 - Liberty 73	0.585	Sam Houston State 83 - Liberty 73	-14
San Diego 72 - Santa Clara 78	0.649	San Diego 69 - Santa Clara 82	7
San Jose State 72 - Wyoming 77	0.632	San Jose State 75 - Wyoming 80	0
SIU Edwardsville 73 - SE Missouri State 62	0.777	SIU Edwardsville 80 - SE Missouri State 76	7
South Alabama 73 - Arkansas State 76	0.57	South Alabama 73 - Arkansas State 76	0
South Carolina 78 - Louisiana State 71	0.693	South Carolina 63 - Louisiana State 64	8
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Gardner Webb 72	0.647	South Carolina Upstate 65 - Gardner Webb 73	4
Southeast Louisiana 74 - Houston Christian 62	0.791	Southeast Louisiana 81 - Houston Christian 78	9
Southern California 73 - Colorado 81	0.67	Southern California 89 - Colorado 92	-5
Southern Illinois 70 - Indiana State 78	0.725	Southern Illinois 74 - Indiana State 69	-13
Southern Miss 68 - Texas State 65	0.579	Southern Miss 78 - Texas State 74	-1
Southern Utah 71 - Utah Valley 72	0.511	Southern Utah 75 - Utah Valley 78	2
Stephen F Austin 77 - Abilene Christian 68	0.726	Stephen F Austin 62 - Abilene Christian 63	10
Stetson 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	0.622	Stetson 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 60	5
Tennessee 85 - Vanderbilt 62	0.939	Tennessee 88 - Vanderbilt 53	-12
Tennessee Martin 67 - Morehead State 74	0.716	Tennessee Martin 88 - Morehead State 82	-13
Tennessee State 67 - Western Illinois 66	0.551	Tennessee State 61 - Western Illinois 68	8
Texas AM CC 73 - Texas AM Commerce 60	0.83	Texas AM CC 86 - Texas AM Commerce 63	-10
Texas Pan American 69 - Texas Arlington 79	0.771	Texas Pan American 70 - Texas Arlington 89	9
Texas Southern 66 - Grambling State 64	0.553	Texas Southern 63 - Grambling State 66	5
The Citadel 77 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.751	The Citadel 76 - Virginia Military Institute 51	-14
Troy 79 - UL Monroe 63	0.889	Troy 85 - UL Monroe 57	-12
Tulsa 75 - Rice 71	0.613	Tulsa 93 - Rice 82	-7
UC Davis 73 - UC Riverside 66	0.656	UC Davis 61 - UC Riverside 67	13
UC Irvine 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 61	0.883	UC Irvine 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 71	11
UC San Diego 75 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.761	UC San Diego 76 - Cal State Fullerton 69	3
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Hawaii 71	0.557	UC Santa Barbara 77 - Hawaii 71	-4
UMBC 77 - Albany 78	0.517	UMBC 80 - Albany 75	-6
UNC Asheville 77 - Charleston Southern 63	0.842	UNC Asheville 86 - Charleston Southern 55	-17
UNC Wilmington 82 - Elon 62	0.919	UNC Wilmington 72 - Elon 73	21
Utah Tech 67 - Seattle 76	0.737	Utah Tech 65 - Seattle 66	-8
Virginia 72 - Wake Forest 71	0.533	Virginia 49 - Wake Forest 47	-1
Wagner 68 - Sacred Heart 64	0.601	Wagner 53 - Sacred Heart 63	14
Washington 82 - California 75	0.677	Washington 80 - California 82	9
Washington State 80 - Stanford 72	0.673	Washington State 72 - Stanford 59	-5
West Virginia 72 - Baylor 85	0.816	West Virginia 81 - Baylor 94	0
Western Carolina 72 - East Tennessee State 65	0.718	Western Carolina 70 - East Tennessee State 65	2
Western Kentucky 78 - New Mexico State 69	0.741	Western Kentucky 72 - New Mexico State 58	-5
Wofford 70 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.551	Wofford 47 - UNC Greensboro 58	9
Wright State 80 - Robert Morris 71	0.728	Wright State 101 - Robert Morris 71	-21

GAMES OF 2-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 71 - North Texas 69	0.555	Alabama Birmingham 71 - North Texas 62	-7
Charlotte 75 - Wichita State 66	0.75	Charlotte 72 - Wichita State 61	-2
Drake 79 - Murray State 65	0.77	Drake 95 - Murray State 72	-9
East Carolina 74 - Tulane 76	0.567	East Carolina 81 - Tulane 67	-16
Fairfield 74 - Mt St Marys 67	0.671	Fairfield 94 - Mt St Marys 80	-7
Furman 73 - Chattanooga 74	0.51	Furman 82 - Chattanooga 65	-18
Illinois Chicago 71 - Belmont 76	0.614	Illinois Chicago 60 - Belmont 75	10
Illinois State 70 - Evansville 69	0.522	Illinois State 86 - Evansville 79	-6
Indiana 74 - Northwestern 77	0.566	Indiana 72 - Northwestern 76	1
Iona 70 - Saint Peters 63	0.703	Iona 53 - Saint Peters 59	13
Manhattan 69 - Rider 74	0.653	Manhattan 62 - Rider 104	37
Minnesota 72 - Rutgers 70	0.567	Minnesota 81 - Rutgers 70	-9
Northern Iowa 70 - Bradley 75	0.627	Northern Iowa 74 - Bradley 63	-16
Ohio State 70 - Purdue 85	0.838	Ohio State 73 - Purdue 69	-19
Quinnipiac 77 - Niagara 69	0.708	Quinnipiac 66 - Niagara 80	22
Rhode Island 70 - Loyola Ill 77	0.68	Rhode Island 67 - Loyola Ill 77	3
Saint Johns 78 - Seton Hall 73	0.624	Saint Johns 62 - Seton Hall 68	11
Siena 64 - Canisius 71	0.677	Siena 64 - Canisius 73	2
South Florida 72 - Florida Atlantic 77	0.622	South Florida 90 - Florida Atlantic 86	-9
Southern Methodist 78 - Memphis 74	0.609	Southern Methodist 106 - Memphis 79	-23
Temple 79 - Texas San Antonio 73	0.688	Temple 83 - Texas San Antonio 77	0
UCLA 72 - Utah 74	0.537	UCLA 69 - Utah 70	-1

Number of DI Games: 328
Number Correct: 242 = 73.7%
Expected Number Correct: 228.122 = 69.5%
Average Error: 9.17
Average Signed Error: -1.21

GAMES OF 2-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 73 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	0.558	Alabama AM 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 67	-6
Alabama State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.915	Alabama State 61 - Mississippi Valley State 46	3
Alcorn State 74 - Florida AM 64	0.807	Alcorn State 79 - Florida AM 68	-1
Chicago State 84 - Unranked 58		Chicago State 93 - Unranked 70
College of Charleston 83 - William and Mary 62	0.924	College of Charleston 65 - William and Mary 57	13
Delaware State 72 - Morgan State 68	0.63	Delaware State 80 - Morgan State 58	-18
Houston 76 - Iowa State 68	0.701	Houston 73 - Iowa State 65	0
Howard 75 - South Carolina State 70	0.64	Howard 68 - South Carolina State 75	12
Incarnate Word 68 - Texas AM Commerce 69	0.526	Incarnate Word 72 - Texas AM Commerce 76	3
Jackson State 73 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.65	Jackson State 61 - Bethune Cookman 60	5
Lafayette 62 - Colgate 72	0.78	Lafayette 62 - Colgate 67	-5
Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - Coppin State 62	0.688	Maryland Eastern Shore 75 - Coppin State 67	-2
New Orleans 67 - Nicholls State 75	0.717	New Orleans 77 - Nicholls State 89	4
Norfolk State 70 - North Carolina Central 65	0.62	Norfolk State 80 - North Carolina Central 74	-1
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Lamar 69	0.501	Southeast Louisiana 72 - Lamar 77	6
Texas 78 - Kansas State 72	0.675	Texas 62 - Kansas State 56	0
Texas AM CC 73 - Northwestern State 61	0.791	Texas AM CC 72 - Northwestern State 61	1
Texas Southern 65 - Southern 69	0.61	Texas Southern 68 - Southern 56	-16
Virginia Tech 70 - Virginia 71	0.542	Virginia Tech 75 - Virginia 41	-35

GAMES OF 2-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boise State 84 - San Jose State 64	0.915	Boise State 82 - San Jose State 50	-12
Brigham Young 80 - Baylor 81	0.533	Brigham Young 78 - Baylor 71	-8
Buffalo 69 - Eastern Michigan 70	0.501	Buffalo 78 - Eastern Michigan 69	-10
Central Michigan 71 - Bowling Green 67	0.588	Central Michigan 62 - Bowling Green 60	2
Creighton 75 - Connecticut 79	0.601	Creighton 85 - Connecticut 66	-23
Davidson 77 - Fordham 68	0.776	Davidson 68 - Fordham 53	-6
Duquesne 79 - Saint Louis 69	0.764	Duquesne 81 - Saint Louis 66	-5
Florida State 78 - Boston College 76	0.587	Florida State 84 - Boston College 76	-6
Massachusetts 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.576	Massachusetts 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 52	-24
Michigan State 83 - Iowa 74	0.724	Michigan State 71 - Iowa 78	16
Missouri 66 - Tennessee 85	0.898	Missouri 67 - Tennessee 72	-14
Morehead State 78 - Southern Indiana 59	0.923	Morehead State 73 - Southern Indiana 80	26
NC State 78 - Syracuse 76	0.565	NC State 83 - Syracuse 87	6
Nevada 82 - Wyoming 67	0.828	Nevada 76 - Wyoming 58	-3
Northern Illinois 71 - Ball State 73	0.544	Northern Illinois 63 - Ball State 70	5
Ohio 73 - Kent State 71	0.549	Ohio 63 - Kent State 57	-4
Saint Marys 74 - San Francisco 65	0.717	Saint Marys 70 - San Francisco 66	5
Texas AM 79 - Arkansas 71	0.722	Texas AM 71 - Arkansas 78	15
Texas Tech 80 - Texas Christian 77	0.604	Texas Tech 82 - Texas Christian 81	2
Toledo 71 - Akron 73	0.547	Toledo 72 - Akron 64	-10
Utah State 74 - San Diego State 76	0.541	Utah State 68 - San Diego State 63	-7
Villanova 78 - Butler 74	0.614	Villanova 72 - Butler 62	-6
Wake Forest 77 - Pittsburgh 73	0.596	Wake Forest 91 - Pittsburgh 58	-29
West Virginia 72 - Central Florida 78	0.641	West Virginia 77 - Central Florida 67	-16
Western Michigan 67 - Miami OH 71	0.606	Western Michigan 77 - Miami OH 58	-23
Wisconsin 75 - Maryland 69	0.656	Wisconsin 74 - Maryland 70	2

GAMES OF 2-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 66 - Nevada Las Vegas 78	0.75	Air Force 43 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	17
Alabama 87 - Florida 80	0.68	Alabama 98 - Florida 93	2
Alabama Birmingham 81 - Rice 66	0.859	Alabama Birmingham 71 - Rice 94	38
American 68 - Boston 64	0.633	American 52 - Boston 67	19
Army 67 - Lehigh 68	0.506	Army 54 - Lehigh 85	30
Chattanooga 75 - Wofford 69	0.656	Chattanooga 81 - Wofford 65	-10
Cincinnati 80 - Oklahoma State 70	0.773	Cincinnati 76 - Oklahoma State 80	14
Drake 82 - Belmont 70	0.741	Drake 84 - Belmont 69	-3
East Tennessee State 79 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.873	East Tennessee State 82 - Virginia Military Institute 69	4
George Mason 67 - Dayton 74	0.741	George Mason 71 - Dayton 67	-11
Georgetown 72 - Saint Johns 83	0.799	Georgetown 85 - Saint Johns 90	-6
Georgia State 77 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.736	Georgia State 72 - Coastal Carolina 71	8
Georgia Tech 71 - Clemson 81	0.754	Georgia Tech 57 - Clemson 81	14
Holy Cross 66 - Bucknell 72	0.674	Holy Cross 73 - Bucknell 59	-20
Illinois Chicago 71 - Evansville 72	0.506	Illinois Chicago 88 - Evansville 79	-10
Illinois State 68 - Northern Iowa 71	0.594	Illinois State 81 - Northern Iowa 73	-11
Indiana 75 - Nebraska 78	0.577	Indiana 70 - Nebraska 85	12
Jacksonville State 71 - Middle Tennessee 64	0.653	Jacksonville State 76 - Middle Tennessee 68	-1
La Salle 68 - Saint Bonaventure 80	0.793	La Salle 72 - Saint Bonaventure 59	-25
Longwood 68 - UNC Asheville 72	0.626	Longwood 80 - UNC Asheville 75	-9
Louisiana State 78 - Kentucky 84	0.65	Louisiana State 75 - Kentucky 74	-7
Louisville 72 - Notre Dame 73	0.504	Louisville 50 - Notre Dame 72	21
Loyola MD 66 - Navy 67	0.506	Loyola MD 62 - Navy 69	6
Marquette 90 - DePaul 63	0.954	Marquette 105 - DePaul 71	-7
Marshall 67 - James Madison 78	0.781	Marshall 58 - James Madison 84	15
Memphis 75 - Charlotte 72	0.583	Memphis 76 - Charlotte 52	-21
Mercer 70 - The Citadel 65	0.639	Mercer 87 - The Citadel 78	-4
Miami 73 - Duke 81	0.715	Miami 55 - Duke 84	21
Mississippi State 76 - Mississippi 72	0.614	Mississippi State 83 - Mississippi 71	-8
Missouri State 71 - Bradley 76	0.633	Missouri State 62 - Bradley 86	19
New Mexico 78 - Colorado State 76	0.555	New Mexico 68 - Colorado State 66	0
Pacific 69 - Pepperdine 77	0.703	Pacific 70 - Pepperdine 89	11
Penn State 75 - Illinois 84	0.763	Penn State 90 - Illinois 89	-10
Rhode Island 68 - Richmond 77	0.731	Rhode Island 77 - Richmond 85	-1
Saint Josephs 82 - George Washington 73	0.729	Saint Josephs 79 - George Washington 75	5
Samford 81 - Furman 71	0.731	Samford 74 - Furman 72	8
South Carolina Upstate 71 - Charleston Southern 66	0.636	South Carolina Upstate 60 - Charleston Southern 63	8
Southern Illinois 72 - Murray State 68	0.62	Southern Illinois 72 - Murray State 68	0
Texas San Antonio 68 - South Florida 84	0.871	Texas San Antonio 61 - South Florida 66	-11
UNC Greensboro 71 - Western Carolina 69	0.57	UNC Greensboro 71 - Western Carolina 65	-4
Valparaiso 66 - Indiana State 85	0.895	Valparaiso 64 - Indiana State 83	0
Vanderbilt 71 - Georgia 77	0.712	Vanderbilt 64 - Georgia 76	6
Wichita State 75 - Tulsa 72	0.577	Wichita State 79 - Tulsa 63	-13
Winthrop 77 - Presbyterian 65	0.867	Winthrop 55 - Presbyterian 78	35
Xavier 77 - Providence 75	0.559	Xavier 75 - Providence 79	6

GAMES OF 2-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Cal Baptist 70	0.554	Abilene Christian 71 - Cal Baptist 65	-8
Albany 64 - Vermont 76	0.796	Albany 80 - Vermont 94	2
Arizona 83 - Washington State 73	0.713	Arizona 74 - Washington State 77	13
Arizona State 76 - Washington 79	0.571	Arizona State 82 - Washington 84	-1
Arkansas State 73 - Troy 75	0.543	Arkansas State 79 - Troy 71	-10
Bellarmine 70 - Central Arkansas 67	0.594	Bellarmine 68 - Central Arkansas 65	0
Cal State Fullerton 74 - Cal Poly 61	0.859	Cal State Fullerton 68 - Cal Poly 50	-5
Cal State Northridge 71 - UC Davis 72	0.51	Cal State Northridge 65 - UC Davis 66	0
California 78 - Oregon State 71	0.682	California 81 - Oregon State 73	-1
Campbell 76 - Hampton 66	0.749	Campbell 68 - Hampton 72	14
Delaware 72 - College of Charleston 75	0.581	Delaware 71 - College of Charleston 90	16
Detroit 66 - Wright State 83	0.86	Detroit 78 - Wright State 93	-2
Eastern Kentucky 76 - North Alabama 69	0.703	Eastern Kentucky 75 - North Alabama 72	4
Florida Atlantic 77 - Southern Methodist 75	0.559	Florida Atlantic 80 - Southern Methodist 70	-8
Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Kennesaw St 70	0.594	Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Kennesaw St 74	11
Florida International 67 - Liberty 77	0.737	Florida International 76 - Liberty 71	-15
Gardner Webb 73 - Radford 67	0.692	Gardner Webb 74 - Radford 90	22
Georgia Southern 68 - Texas State 71	0.6	Georgia Southern 84 - Texas State 76	-11
Hofstra 70 - Drexel 68	0.548	Hofstra 69 - Drexel 57	-10
Lindenwood 64 - Tennessee Martin 78	0.855	Lindenwood 82 - Tennessee Martin 106	10
LIU Brooklyn 67 - Le Moyne 73	0.628	LIU Brooklyn 76 - Le Moyne 64	-18
Long Beach State 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	0.776	Long Beach State 79 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	-3
Maine 73 - UMBC 69	0.639	Maine 62 - UMBC 56	-2
Merrimack 73 - Saint Francis Penn 57	0.888	Merrimack 71 - Saint Francis Penn 60	5
Minnesota 76 - Ohio State 74	0.556	Minnesota 88 - Ohio State 79	-7
Montana 76 - Sacramento State 59	0.829	Montana 68 - Sacramento State 61	10
Montana State 71 - Portland State 70	0.52	Montana State 72 - Portland State 67	-4
New Hampshire 74 - NJ Tech 62	0.796	New Hampshire 83 - NJ Tech 78	7
New Mexico State 68 - Sam Houston State 73	0.609	New Mexico State 58 - Sam Houston State 79	16
North Dakota State 67 - Saint Thomas 70	0.587	North Dakota State 64 - Saint Thomas 50	-17
Northeastern 74 - Elon 68	0.674	Northeastern 61 - Elon 58	3
Northern Arizona 67 - Eastern Washington 78	0.743	Northern Arizona 78 - Eastern Washington 71	-18
Northern Colorado 78 - Idaho 67	0.763	Northern Colorado 76 - Idaho 62	-3
Northern Kentucky 70 - Cleveland State 68	0.559	Northern Kentucky 75 - Cleveland State 73	0
Northwestern 82 - Michigan 72	0.748	Northwestern 76 - Michigan 62	-4
Old Dominion 63 - Appalachian State 78	0.854	Old Dominion 67 - Appalachian State 82	0
Omaha 72 - Oral Roberts 70	0.555	Omaha 71 - Oral Roberts 70	1
Portland 64 - Gonzaga 88	0.945	Portland 65 - Gonzaga 86	-3
Purdue 83 - Rutgers 66	0.865	Purdue 96 - Rutgers 68	-11
Robert Morris 66 - Oakland 77	0.767	Robert Morris 43 - Oakland 63	9
Sacred Heart 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.613	Sacred Heart 99 - Fairleigh Dickinson 91	-4
Santa Clara 78 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.761	Santa Clara 65 - Loyola Marymount 55	1
SE Missouri State 65 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	0.791	SE Missouri State 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 83	10
Seattle 74 - Stephen F Austin 68	0.667	Seattle 69 - Stephen F Austin 49	-14
South Dakota 68 - UMKC 73	0.613	South Dakota 78 - UMKC 82	-1
South Dakota State 79 - Denver 71	0.683	South Dakota State 97 - Denver 70	-19
Southern Miss 72 - South Alabama 69	0.582	Southern Miss 64 - South Alabama 83	22
Stanford 76 - Oregon 78	0.558	Stanford 65 - Oregon 78	11
Stetson 77 - Queens 69	0.687	Stetson 75 - Queens 83	16
Stony Brook 76 - North Carolina AT 64	0.816	Stony Brook 80 - North Carolina AT 64	-4
Tarleton State 68 - Grand Canyon 75	0.73	Tarleton State 77 - Grand Canyon 74	-10
Tennessee State 69 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.608	Tennessee State 78 - Eastern Illinois 73	-1
Tennessee Tech 65 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.614	Tennessee Tech 77 - SIU Edwardsville 78	-4
Texas Arlington 78 - Southern Utah 70	0.719	Texas Arlington 90 - Southern Utah 85	3
Texas El Paso 66 - Louisiana Tech 74	0.73	Texas El Paso 59 - Louisiana Tech 65	-2
Towson 70 - Monmouth 66	0.622	Towson 80 - Monmouth 61	-15
UC Irvine 76 - UC Santa Barbara 66	0.778	UC Irvine 81 - UC Santa Barbara 69	-2
UC Riverside 68 - UC San Diego 73	0.622	UC Riverside 65 - UC San Diego 77	7
UL Monroe 65 - UL Lafayette 75	0.764	UL Monroe 66 - UL Lafayette 59	-17
UMass Lowell 75 - Binghamton 64	0.761	UMass Lowell 87 - Binghamton 80	4
Utah Valley 79 - Texas Pan American 65	0.837	Utah Valley 70 - Texas Pan American 59	3
Wagner 62 - Central Connecticut State 65	0.575	Wagner 72 - Central Connecticut State 73	-2
Western Illinois 62 - Morehead State 68	0.699	Western Illinois 57 - Morehead State 78	15
William and Mary 62 - UNC Wilmington 78	0.845	William and Mary 65 - UNC Wilmington 81	0

GAMES OF 2-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 73 - Kent State 64	0.76	Akron 83 - Kent State 70	-4
Bowling Green 72 - Toledo 78	0.679	Bowling Green 76 - Toledo 68	-14
Canisius 69 - Niagara 73	0.596	Canisius 69 - Niagara 59	-14
Columbia 74 - Brown 70	0.659	Columbia 64 - Brown 66	6
Cornell 75 - Yale 74	0.515	Cornell 65 - Yale 62	-2
Dartmouth 65 - Pennsylvania 71	0.667	Dartmouth 69 - Pennsylvania 82	7
Fordham 69 - Duquesne 75	0.697	Fordham 79 - Duquesne 67	-18
Green Bay 69 - IPFW 67	0.574	Green Bay 59 - IPFW 85	28
Harvard 66 - Princeton 75	0.775	Harvard 53 - Princeton 66	4
Jacksonville 67 - North Florida 70	0.569	Jacksonville 62 - North Florida 50	-15
Manhattan 61 - Marist 72	0.737	Manhattan 50 - Marist 57	-4
Milwaukee 70 - Youngstown State 75	0.644	Milwaukee 80 - Youngstown State 84	-1
Mt St Marys 66 - Saint Peters 67	0.531	Mt St Marys 65 - Saint Peters 70	4
Quinnipiac 73 - Fairfield 71	0.56	Quinnipiac 81 - Fairfield 85	6
Rider 70 - Iona 72	0.57	Rider 78 - Iona 75	-5
San Jose State 65 - Nevada 82	0.86	San Jose State 63 - Nevada 84	4

GAMES OF 2-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 64 - Grand Canyon 80	0.864	Abilene Christian 79 - Grand Canyon 73	-22
Alcorn State 70 - Jackson State 69	0.528	Alcorn State 87 - Jackson State 73	-13
Arizona 90 - Washington 74	0.807	Arizona 91 - Washington 75	0
Arizona State 69 - Washington State 78	0.691	Arizona State 73 - Washington State 61	-21
Arkansas 79 - Missouri 73	0.681	Arkansas 88 - Missouri 73	-9
Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 - Prairie View 72	0.534	Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 - Prairie View 59	-12
Arkansas State 78 - South Alabama 71	0.687	Arkansas State 95 - South Alabama 78	-10
Austin Peay 70 - Lipscomb 71	0.516	Austin Peay 85 - Lipscomb 90	4
Ball State 74 - Eastern Michigan 66	0.708	Ball State 56 - Eastern Michigan 58	10
Baylor 73 - Houston 77	0.629	Baylor 76 - Houston 82	2
Bellarmine 66 - North Alabama 72	0.704	Bellarmine 82 - North Alabama 70	-18
Belmont 77 - Missouri State 73	0.599	Belmont 93 - Missouri State 78	-11
Bethune Cookman 72 - Alabama AM 68	0.645	Bethune Cookman 63 - Alabama AM 61	2
Bradley 76 - Illinois State 65	0.787	Bradley 48 - Illinois State 45	8
Cal Poly 62 - UC Riverside 73	0.787	Cal Poly 78 - UC Riverside 84	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 67 - UC Davis 71	0.596	Cal State Bakersfield 75 - UC Davis 56	-23
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.502	Cal State Fullerton 60 - Cal State Northridge 65	6
California 74 - Oregon 78	0.619	California 69 - Oregon 64	-9
Central Florida 73 - Texas Tech 77	0.609	Central Florida 75 - Texas Tech 61	-18
Charleston Southern 65 - High Point 79	0.826	Charleston Southern 59 - High Point 74	1
Clemson 81 - Florida State 73	0.731	Clemson 74 - Florida State 63	-3
Colorado 80 - Utah 76	0.574	Colorado 89 - Utah 65	-20
Columbia 66 - Yale 77	0.841	Columbia 76 - Yale 84	-3
Connecticut 80 - Villanova 68	0.771	Connecticut 78 - Villanova 54	-12
Coppin State 58 - Norfolk State 73	0.84	Coppin State 66 - Norfolk State 68	-13
Cornell 82 - Brown 67	0.898	Cornell 74 - Brown 78	19
Dartmouth 57 - Princeton 78	0.925	Dartmouth 56 - Princeton 68	-9
DePaul 74 - Georgetown 78	0.624	DePaul 76 - Georgetown 77	-3
Eastern Kentucky 80 - Central Arkansas 64	0.859	Eastern Kentucky 95 - Central Arkansas 82	3
Florida 86 - Vanderbilt 68	0.905	Florida 77 - Vanderbilt 64	5
Florida AM 64 - Alabama State 69	0.658	Florida AM 73 - Alabama State 65	-13
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Queens 69	0.61	Florida Gulf Coast 90 - Queens 81	-5
Florida International 68 - Jacksonville State 72	0.616	Florida International 75 - Jacksonville State 77	-2
Fresno State 64 - San Diego State 81	0.896	Fresno State 41 - San Diego State 73	15
Furman 76 - Wofford 70	0.654	Furman 82 - Wofford 67	-9
Georgia 71 - Auburn 82	0.781	Georgia 76 - Auburn 97	10
Georgia Southern 64 - James Madison 82	0.87	Georgia Southern 74 - James Madison 80	-12
Georgia State 70 - Texas State 67	0.593	Georgia State 59 - Texas State 68	12
Gonzaga 82 - Santa Clara 70	0.806	Gonzaga 94 - Santa Clara 81	-1
Harvard 74 - Pennsylvania 68	0.67	Harvard 74 - Pennsylvania 70	2
Hawaii 75 - Long Beach State 74	0.516	Hawaii 73 - Long Beach State 65	-7
Hofstra 78 - Elon 64	0.854	Hofstra 87 - Elon 64	-9
Houston Christian 68 - Northwestern State 72	0.6	Houston Christian 73 - Northwestern State 86	9
Howard 77 - Morgan State 70	0.703	Howard 78 - Morgan State 72	1
Idaho State 64 - Weber State 72	0.699	Idaho State 80 - Weber State 62	-26
Illinois 88 - Iowa 77	0.781	Illinois 95 - Iowa 85	1
Indiana State 83 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.89	Indiana State 88 - Illinois Chicago 73	3
Iowa State 86 - West Virginia 66	0.903	Iowa State 71 - West Virginia 64	13
Kansas 79 - Texas 74	0.636	Kansas 86 - Texas 67	-14
Kansas State 75 - Brigham Young 79	0.598	Kansas State 84 - Brigham Young 74	-14
Kentucky 83 - Alabama 86	0.575	Kentucky 117 - Alabama 95	-25
Lafayette 71 - Lehigh 68	0.572	Lafayette 63 - Lehigh 71	11
Lamar 69 - Texas AM CC 70	0.525	Lamar 61 - Texas AM CC 75	13
Le Moyne 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	0.622	Le Moyne 58 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	14
Lindenwood 63 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	0.843	Lindenwood 73 - Arkansas Little Rock 82	-5
Louisiana State 74 - Mississippi State 76	0.575	Louisiana State 67 - Mississippi State 87	18
Loyola Ill 73 - George Mason 68	0.634	Loyola Ill 80 - George Mason 59	-16
Maine 69 - NJ Tech 61	0.731	Maine 68 - NJ Tech 58	-2
Marshall 66 - Appalachian State 76	0.747	Marshall 58 - Appalachian State 65	-3
Massachusetts 74 - Saint Bonaventure 75	0.504	Massachusetts 67 - Saint Bonaventure 75	7
Mcneese State 82 - Incarnate Word 56	0.943	Mcneese State 87 - Incarnate Word 71	10
Mercer 65 - UNC Greensboro 71	0.649	Mercer 86 - UNC Greensboro 72	-20
Miami 80 - Georgia Tech 73	0.688	Miami 76 - Georgia Tech 80	11
Miami OH 66 - Central Michigan 67	0.506	Miami OH 88 - Central Michigan 60	-29
Middle Tennessee 68 - Western Kentucky 77	0.735	Middle Tennessee 74 - Western Kentucky 72	-11
Mississippi 74 - South Carolina 72	0.538	Mississippi 59 - South Carolina 72	15
Mississippi Valley State 58 - Texas Southern 74	0.908	Mississippi Valley State 52 - Texas Southern 73	5
Monmouth 77 - North Carolina AT 63	0.853	Monmouth 83 - North Carolina AT 67	-2
Montana 74 - Portland State 67	0.655	Montana 82 - Portland State 73	-2
Montana State 72 - Sacramento State 62	0.755	Montana State 63 - Sacramento State 66	13
Murray State 78 - Valparaiso 65	0.806	Murray State 80 - Valparaiso 68	1
NC State 79 - Boston College 75	0.645	NC State 81 - Boston College 70	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Colorado State 75	0.595	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - Colorado State 60	-10
New Hampshire 79 - UMBC 70	0.727	New Hampshire 68 - UMBC 86	27
New Mexico 87 - Air Force 64	0.897	New Mexico 77 - Air Force 78	24
New Mexico State 64 - Louisiana Tech 75	0.774	New Mexico State 58 - Louisiana Tech 67	-2
Nicholls State 72 - Texas AM Commerce 64	0.746	Nicholls State 85 - Texas AM Commerce 70	-7
North Carolina Central 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 60	0.822	North Carolina Central 88 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	-20
North Dakota State 71 - North Dakota 70	0.508	North Dakota State 73 - North Dakota 68	-4
North Texas 82 - Texas San Antonio 63	0.927	North Texas 62 - Texas San Antonio 64	21
Northeastern 77 - Hampton 65	0.814	Northeastern 70 - Hampton 62	4
Northern Arizona 70 - Idaho 67	0.557	Northern Arizona 76 - Idaho 86	13
Northern Colorado 75 - Eastern Washington 78	0.578	Northern Colorado 76 - Eastern Washington 85	6
Northern Illinois 69 - Ohio 77	0.725	Northern Illinois 59 - Ohio 80	13
Northern Iowa 70 - Drake 77	0.655	Northern Iowa 91 - Drake 77	-21
Oklahoma State 72 - Oklahoma 78	0.656	Oklahoma State 82 - Oklahoma 84	-4
Old Dominion 74 - Coastal Carolina 71	0.597	Old Dominion 75 - Coastal Carolina 59	-13
Pacific 66 - Loyola Marymount 77	0.751	Pacific 63 - Loyola Marymount 86	12
Penn State 77 - Indiana 76	0.539	Penn State 83 - Indiana 74	-8
Pittsburgh 77 - Virginia Tech 72	0.62	Pittsburgh 79 - Virginia Tech 64	-10
Radford 68 - Longwood 69	0.518	Radford 88 - Longwood 82	-7
Rice 68 - East Carolina 72	0.612	Rice 70 - East Carolina 52	-22
Richmond 73 - Davidson 67	0.705	Richmond 66 - Davidson 63	3
Sacred Heart 67 - Central Connecticut State 69	0.568	Sacred Heart 67 - Central Connecticut State 68	-1
Saint Louis 80 - George Washington 77	0.582	Saint Louis 96 - George Washington 91	-2
Saint Marys 81 - San Diego 59	0.909	Saint Marys 88 - San Diego 62	-4
Samford 80 - East Tennessee State 65	0.847	Samford 87 - East Tennessee State 71	-1
San Francisco 81 - Pepperdine 65	0.865	San Francisco 92 - Pepperdine 68	-8
SE Missouri State 66 - Tennessee Martin 78	0.8	SE Missouri State 72 - Tennessee Martin 82	-2
Seattle 82 - Texas Pan American 64	0.913	Seattle 84 - Texas Pan American 56	-10
Seton Hall 78 - Butler 75	0.578	Seton Hall 76 - Butler 64	-9
South Carolina State 71 - Delaware State 68	0.587	South Carolina State 69 - Delaware State 62	-4
South Dakota 71 - Oral Roberts 74	0.587	South Dakota 77 - Oral Roberts 76	-4
South Dakota State 70 - Saint Thomas 68	0.554	South Dakota State 77 - Saint Thomas 72	-3
Southeast Louisiana 76 - New Orleans 63	0.77	Southeast Louisiana 77 - New Orleans 67	3
Southern 69 - Grambling State 62	0.677	Southern 57 - Grambling State 63	13
Southern Miss 68 - UL Lafayette 72	0.621	Southern Miss 82 - UL Lafayette 71	-15
Stanford 79 - Oregon State 71	0.687	Stanford 73 - Oregon State 85	20
Stetson 77 - Kennesaw St 70	0.677	Stetson 84 - Kennesaw St 72	-5
Stonehill 67 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.502	Stonehill 72 - Saint Francis Penn 63	-8
Stony Brook 76 - William and Mary 64	0.79	Stony Brook 75 - William and Mary 62	-1
Syracuse 77 - Notre Dame 68	0.719	Syracuse 88 - Notre Dame 85	6
Tarleton State 71 - Cal Baptist 65	0.677	Tarleton State 82 - Cal Baptist 65	-11
Tennessee 81 - Texas AM 69	0.777	Tennessee 86 - Texas AM 51	-23
Tennessee State 69 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.529	Tennessee State 76 - SIU Edwardsville 71	-4
Tennessee Tech 65 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.552	Tennessee Tech 75 - Eastern Illinois 67	-10
Texas Arlington 77 - Utah Tech 68	0.754	Texas Arlington 89 - Utah Tech 78	-2
Texas Christian 79 - Cincinnati 76	0.602	Texas Christian 75 - Cincinnati 57	-15
Texas El Paso 71 - Sam Houston State 72	0.538	Texas El Paso 54 - Sam Houston State 65	10
The Citadel 66 - Chattanooga 75	0.703	The Citadel 71 - Chattanooga 62	-18
Towson 69 - College of Charleston 71	0.559	Towson 56 - College of Charleston 72	14
Tulsa 68 - Charlotte 74	0.705	Tulsa 69 - Charlotte 67	-8
UC San Diego 70 - UC Irvine 72	0.552	UC San Diego 92 - UC Irvine 88	-6
UCLA 76 - Southern California 69	0.643	UCLA 56 - Southern California 62	13
UL Monroe 65 - Troy 76	0.777	UL Monroe 78 - Troy 84	-5
UMass Lowell 78 - Albany 69	0.75	UMass Lowell 104 - Albany 95	0
UMKC 71 - Omaha 68	0.583	UMKC 63 - Omaha 58	-2
UNC Asheville 75 - Gardner Webb 68	0.704	UNC Asheville 77 - Gardner Webb 78	8
Utah Valley 72 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.554	Utah Valley 71 - Stephen F Austin 62	-6
Vermont 74 - Bryant 66	0.719	Vermont 65 - Bryant 48	-9
Virginia 70 - North Carolina 74	0.606	Virginia 44 - North Carolina 54	6
Virginia Military Institute 63 - Western Carolina 82	0.874	Virginia Military Institute 51 - Western Carolina 84	14
Wake Forest 76 - Duke 79	0.589	Wake Forest 83 - Duke 79	-7
Western Illinois 72 - Southern Indiana 61	0.842	Western Illinois 82 - Southern Indiana 76	5
Western Michigan 73 - Buffalo 67	0.641	Western Michigan 91 - Buffalo 72	-13
Winthrop 76 - South Carolina Upstate 65	0.829	Winthrop 83 - South Carolina Upstate 74	2
Wyoming 70 - Boise State 80	0.763	Wyoming 72 - Boise State 92	10

GAMES OF 2-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston 70 - Loyola MD 62	0.706	Boston 82 - Loyola MD 79	5
Bucknell 67 - Army 63	0.612	Bucknell 54 - Army 41	-9
Colgate 74 - American 61	0.848	Colgate 64 - American 66	15
Evansville 69 - Southern Illinois 74	0.632	Evansville 53 - Southern Illinois 65	7
Fairfield 78 - Siena 59	0.885	Fairfield 88 - Siena 64	-5
Green Bay 68 - Youngstown State 70	0.555	Green Bay 59 - Youngstown State 71	10
La Salle 74 - Rhode Island 76	0.547	La Salle 84 - Rhode Island 61	-25
Marquette 82 - Xavier 74	0.684	Marquette 88 - Xavier 64	-16
Memphis 77 - Florida Atlantic 80	0.582	Memphis 78 - Florida Atlantic 74	-7
Michigan 70 - Purdue 88	0.881	Michigan 76 - Purdue 84	-10
Michigan State 79 - Ohio State 70	0.735	Michigan State 57 - Ohio State 60	12
Milwaukee 71 - IPFW 72	0.512	Milwaukee 96 - IPFW 88	-9
Mt St Marys 68 - Iona 72	0.596	Mt St Marys 72 - Iona 65	-11
Navy 71 - Holy Cross 65	0.677	Navy 76 - Holy Cross 66	-4
Nebraska 78 - Minnesota 74	0.631	Nebraska 73 - Minnesota 55	-14
Northern Kentucky 79 - IUPUI 57	0.897	Northern Kentucky 80 - IUPUI 64	6
Oakland 78 - Wright State 73	0.651	Oakland 75 - Wright State 96	26
Rider 71 - Quinnipiac 74	0.584	Rider 88 - Quinnipiac 78	-13
Robert Morris 69 - Cleveland State 74	0.642	Robert Morris 71 - Cleveland State 73	-3
Rutgers 69 - Maryland 70	0.509	Rutgers 46 - Maryland 63	16
Saint Johns 76 - Creighton 80	0.602	Saint Johns 80 - Creighton 66	-18
Saint Peters 64 - Marist 61	0.558	Saint Peters 69 - Marist 60	-6
South Florida 72 - Southern Methodist 74	0.559	South Florida 79 - Southern Methodist 68	-13
Tulane 76 - Alabama Birmingham 80	0.626	Tulane 67 - Alabama Birmingham 78	7
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Saint Josephs 68	0.75	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Saint Josephs 69	5
Wagner 70 - LIU Brooklyn 61	0.718	Wagner 72 - LIU Brooklyn 57	-6
Wichita State 75 - Temple 70	0.673	Wichita State 66 - Temple 72	11

Number of DI Games: 333
Number Correct: 228 = 68.4%
Expected Number Correct: 227.942 = 68.4%
Average Error: 9.44
Average Signed Error: -1.34

GAMES OF 2-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 - Texas Southern 72	0.643	Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Texas Southern 77	3
Bethune Cookman 68 - Alabama State 66	0.576	Bethune Cookman 90 - Alabama State 84	-4
Campbell 64 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.791	Campbell 105 - UNC Wilmington 100	-18
Delaware 68 - Drexel 69	0.501	Delaware 60 - Drexel 70	9
Florida AM 68 - Alabama AM 69	0.538	Florida AM 76 - Alabama AM 58	-19
Houston Christian 62 - Texas AM CC 77	0.862	Houston Christian 79 - Texas AM CC 91	-3
Howard 76 - Coppin State 62	0.866	Howard 78 - Coppin State 69	5
Kansas State 80 - West Virginia 71	0.717	Kansas State 94 - West Virginia 90	5
Lamar 64 - Mcneese State 75	0.761	Lamar 56 - Mcneese State 58	-9
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Prairie View 73	0.825	Mississippi Valley State 57 - Prairie View 51	-18
Morgan State 66 - Norfolk State 74	0.709	Morgan State 82 - Norfolk State 85	-5
Nicholls State 76 - Incarnate Word 64	0.827	Nicholls State 92 - Incarnate Word 82	2
North Carolina 85 - Miami 70	0.822	North Carolina 75 - Miami 71	11
North Carolina Central 71 - Delaware State 64	0.682	North Carolina Central 93 - Delaware State 81	-5
South Carolina State 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	0.785	South Carolina State 64 - Maryland Eastern Shore 56	2
Texas Christian 80 - Baylor 81	0.53	Texas Christian 54 - Baylor 62	7

GAMES OF 2-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 64 - Boise State 81	0.843	Air Force 48 - Boise State 79	14
Arkansas 79 - Vanderbilt 70	0.756	Arkansas 82 - Vanderbilt 85	12
Bowling Green 72 - Miami OH 69	0.581	Bowling Green 58 - Miami OH 66	11
Central Michigan 70 - Ball State 65	0.624	Central Michigan 71 - Ball State 79	13
Clemson 78 - Pittsburgh 72	0.641	Clemson 69 - Pittsburgh 62	-1
Colorado State 74 - Nevada 72	0.553	Colorado State 74 - Nevada 77	5
Dayton 76 - Davidson 64	0.834	Dayton 80 - Davidson 66	-2
Eastern Illinois 66 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.541	Eastern Illinois 84 - SIU Edwardsville 79	-7
Eastern Michigan 69 - Western Michigan 70	0.537	Eastern Michigan 70 - Western Michigan 67	-4
Florida State 78 - NC State 77	0.53	Florida State 90 - NC State 83	-6
Fordham 69 - George Mason 76	0.691	Fordham 61 - George Mason 60	-8
Fresno State 67 - Utah State 82	0.858	Fresno State 73 - Utah State 77	-11
George Washington 73 - Massachusetts 82	0.714	George Washington 57 - Massachusetts 69	3
Houston 81 - Cincinnati 65	0.883	Houston 67 - Cincinnati 59	8
Indiana 72 - Wisconsin 79	0.679	Indiana 74 - Wisconsin 70	-11
Iowa 83 - Penn State 78	0.649	Iowa 90 - Penn State 81	-4
Kansas 82 - Brigham Young 76	0.633	Kansas 68 - Brigham Young 76	14
Kent State 78 - Buffalo 63	0.835	Kent State 76 - Buffalo 64	3
Louisiana State 79 - Georgia 76	0.606	Louisiana State 67 - Georgia 66	2
Mississippi State 77 - Kentucky 78	0.502	Mississippi State 89 - Kentucky 91	1
Northern Iowa 81 - Valparaiso 65	0.865	Northern Iowa 68 - Valparaiso 54	2
Notre Dame 68 - Wake Forest 79	0.75	Notre Dame 70 - Wake Forest 65	-16
Ohio 67 - Akron 72	0.659	Ohio 74 - Akron 67	-12
Saint Bonaventure 71 - Loyola Ill 72	0.502	Saint Bonaventure 79 - Loyola Ill 64	-16
San Diego State 86 - San Jose State 60	0.949	San Diego State 72 - San Jose State 64	18
Syracuse 78 - Virginia Tech 77	0.528	Syracuse 84 - Virginia Tech 71	-12
Texas State 70 - UL Monroe 66	0.632	Texas State 73 - UL Monroe 55	-14
Texas Tech 78 - Texas 75	0.574	Texas Tech 69 - Texas 81	15
Toledo 83 - Northern Illinois 65	0.893	Toledo 72 - Northern Illinois 75	21
Villanova 83 - Georgetown 67	0.869	Villanova 75 - Georgetown 47	-12
Wyoming 71 - Nevada Las Vegas 79	0.689	Wyoming 69 - Nevada Las Vegas 75	-2

GAMES OF 2-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Wichita State 69	0.748	Alabama Birmingham 66 - Wichita State 74	18
Appalachian State 79 - Old Dominion 61	0.902	Appalachian State 89 - Old Dominion 64	-7
Arizona State 72 - Arizona 86	0.773	Arizona State 67 - Arizona 85	4
Army 63 - American 66	0.596	Army 51 - American 73	19
Austin Peay 70 - Eastern Kentucky 71	0.539	Austin Peay 83 - Eastern Kentucky 79	-5
Boston College 69 - Virginia 72	0.568	Boston College 68 - Virginia 72	1
Bradley 74 - Southern Illinois 68	0.66	Bradley 86 - Southern Illinois 67	-13
Butler 77 - Saint Johns 78	0.532	Butler 59 - Saint Johns 82	22
Charleston Southern 66 - Radford 71	0.628	Charleston Southern 58 - Radford 57	-6
Chattanooga 74 - Mercer 67	0.669	Chattanooga 84 - Mercer 75	-2
Cleveland State 70 - Green Bay 66	0.612	Cleveland State 61 - Green Bay 69	12
Coastal Carolina 70 - Arkansas State 80	0.79	Coastal Carolina 60 - Arkansas State 71	1
Colorado 82 - California 72	0.73	Colorado 88 - California 78	0
Creighton 80 - Seton Hall 73	0.665	Creighton 85 - Seton Hall 64	-14
Duke 89 - Louisville 66	0.935	Duke 84 - Louisville 59	-2
Duquesne 77 - La Salle 68	0.745	Duquesne 75 - La Salle 63	-3
Evansville 69 - Indiana State 82	0.794	Evansville 67 - Indiana State 85	5
Florida 87 - Missouri 70	0.894	Florida 83 - Missouri 74	8
Georgia Southern 71 - Marshall 74	0.564	Georgia Southern 87 - Marshall 73	-17
Georgia State 67 - James Madison 78	0.789	Georgia State 78 - James Madison 84	-5
High Point 77 - Winthrop 70	0.71	High Point 100 - Winthrop 96	3
Holy Cross 60 - Colgate 77	0.892	Holy Cross 58 - Colgate 77	2
Illinois 84 - Minnesota 73	0.805	Illinois 105 - Minnesota 97	3
Illinois Chicago 66 - Drake 80	0.804	Illinois Chicago 105 - Drake 107	-12
Illinois State 71 - Missouri State 70	0.54	Illinois State 75 - Missouri State 74	0
Iowa State 79 - Oklahoma 71	0.695	Iowa State 58 - Oklahoma 45	-5
IUPUI 64 - Milwaukee 79	0.841	IUPUI 70 - Milwaukee 75	-10
Jacksonville 66 - Stetson 69	0.571	Jacksonville 73 - Stetson 86	10
Lehigh 71 - Boston 67	0.609	Lehigh 62 - Boston 64	6
Lipscomb 77 - Bellarmine 64	0.81	Lipscomb 90 - Bellarmine 74	-3
Loyola MD 65 - Bucknell 70	0.63	Loyola MD 46 - Bucknell 68	17
Marquette 81 - Providence 72	0.711	Marquette 91 - Providence 69	-13
Maryland 73 - Northwestern 72	0.524	Maryland 61 - Northwestern 68	8
Mississippi 76 - Alabama 85	0.685	Mississippi 88 - Alabama 103	6
Murray State 73 - Belmont 74	0.504	Murray State 61 - Belmont 83	21
Navy 66 - Lafayette 67	0.53	Navy 62 - Lafayette 58	-5
North Florida 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.568	North Florida 60 - Florida Gulf Coast 79	21
Oklahoma State 74 - Central Florida 75	0.52	Oklahoma State 71 - Central Florida 77	5
Oregon 80 - Oregon State 68	0.792	Oregon 78 - Oregon State 71	5
Rice 75 - Temple 71	0.617	Rice 43 - Temple 65	26
Robert Morris 66 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.662	Robert Morris 60 - Northern Kentucky 70	4
Saint Louis 70 - Richmond 79	0.761	Saint Louis 64 - Richmond 80	7
South Alabama 72 - Southern Miss 70	0.534	South Alabama 73 - Southern Miss 70	-1
South Carolina Upstate 70 - Presbyterian 69	0.511	South Carolina Upstate 74 - Presbyterian 72	-1
Tennessee 77 - Auburn 74	0.571	Tennessee 92 - Auburn 84	-5
Texas AM 71 - South Carolina 72	0.536	Texas AM 68 - South Carolina 70	1
Texas San Antonio 75 - Tulsa 79	0.603	Texas San Antonio 89 - Tulsa 73	-20
The Citadel 67 - East Tennessee State 69	0.564	The Citadel 63 - East Tennessee State 81	16
Tulane 71 - North Texas 74	0.587	Tulane 76 - North Texas 80	1
UL Lafayette 72 - Troy 71	0.509	UL Lafayette 73 - Troy 87	15
UNC Greensboro 83 - Virginia Military Institute 60	0.911	UNC Greensboro 100 - Virginia Military Institute 58	-19
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Rhode Island 66	0.823	Virginia Commonwealth 88 - Rhode Island 67	-7
Western Carolina 73 - Furman 71	0.541	Western Carolina 85 - Furman 77	-6
Western Kentucky 71 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.571	Western Kentucky 84 - Louisiana Tech 90	4
Wofford 69 - Samford 79	0.762	Wofford 91 - Samford 69	-32
Wright State 78 - IPFW 73	0.626	Wright State 77 - IPFW 79	7
Xavier 87 - DePaul 67	0.894	Xavier 91 - DePaul 58	-13
Youngstown State 82 - Detroit 59	0.936	Youngstown State 69 - Detroit 55	9

GAMES OF 2-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 73 - New Hampshire 75	0.546	Albany 91 - New Hampshire 67	-26
Arkansas Little Rock 73 - Tennessee State 67	0.669	Arkansas Little Rock 85 - Tennessee State 60	-19
Binghamton 65 - Maine 66	0.519	Binghamton 76 - Maine 74	-3
Cal Baptist 70 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.518	Cal Baptist 60 - Stephen F Austin 62	3
Cal State Bakersfield 66 - UC San Diego 75	0.732	Cal State Bakersfield 70 - UC San Diego 57	-22
Cal State Northridge 68 - UC Irvine 77	0.743	Cal State Northridge 64 - UC Irvine 89	16
Central Connecticut State 74 - LIU Brooklyn 62	0.815	Central Connecticut State 78 - LIU Brooklyn 64	-2
College of Charleston 81 - Campbell 64	0.895	College of Charleston 96 - Campbell 73	-6
Delaware 74 - Northeastern 67	0.694	Delaware 73 - Northeastern 67	1
Denver 72 - UMKC 73	0.511	Denver 69 - UMKC 84	14
Drexel 73 - Stony Brook 66	0.669	Drexel 90 - Stony Brook 86	3
East Carolina 70 - Memphis 77	0.69	East Carolina 58 - Memphis 82	17
Eastern Washington 75 - Montana 71	0.582	Eastern Washington 89 - Montana 79	-6
Elon 72 - William and Mary 67	0.642	Elon 76 - William and Mary 71	0
Fairleigh Dickinson 65 - Merrimack 72	0.721	Fairleigh Dickinson 55 - Merrimack 74	12
Gardner Webb 72 - Longwood 69	0.584	Gardner Webb 72 - Longwood 69	0
Grand Canyon 86 - Texas Pan American 61	0.955	Grand Canyon 72 - Texas Pan American 43	-4
Hampton 66 - Monmouth 78	0.799	Hampton 64 - Monmouth 56	-20
Idaho 68 - Montana State 70	0.542	Idaho 48 - Montana State 62	12
Idaho State 71 - Northern Arizona 66	0.613	Idaho State 88 - Northern Arizona 92	9
Jacksonville State 71 - Texas El Paso 67	0.606	Jacksonville State 65 - Texas El Paso 72	11
Le Moyne 66 - Wagner 65	0.505	Le Moyne 70 - Wagner 56	-13
Liberty 76 - New Mexico State 65	0.743	Liberty 83 - New Mexico State 58	-14
Long Beach State 76 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.764	Long Beach State 71 - Cal State Fullerton 76	13
Loyola Marymount 74 - San Diego 71	0.587	Loyola Marymount 96 - San Diego 62	-31
Morehead State 79 - SE Missouri State 56	0.936	Morehead State 72 - SE Missouri State 50	1
NJ Tech 70 - UMBC 73	0.591	NJ Tech 60 - UMBC 79	16
North Carolina AT 60 - Towson 73	0.823	North Carolina AT 58 - Towson 84	13
North Dakota 69 - South Dakota State 72	0.579	North Dakota 62 - South Dakota State 72	7
Ohio State 75 - Nebraska 77	0.548	Ohio State 78 - Nebraska 69	-11
Pepperdine 61 - Saint Marys 80	0.882	Pepperdine 57 - Saint Marys 83	7
Portland 67 - Santa Clara 81	0.836	Portland 80 - Santa Clara 75	-19
Rutgers 77 - Michigan 71	0.638	Rutgers 82 - Michigan 52	-24
Saint Thomas 71 - Omaha 65	0.663	Saint Thomas 88 - Omaha 61	-21
San Francisco 73 - Gonzaga 77	0.613	San Francisco 68 - Gonzaga 86	14
Seattle 75 - Texas Arlington 69	0.674	Seattle 62 - Texas Arlington 82	26
South Dakota 69 - North Dakota State 74	0.665	South Dakota 88 - North Dakota State 68	-25
Southern Indiana 73 - Lindenwood 64	0.766	Southern Indiana 63 - Lindenwood 67	13
Southern Utah 74 - Abilene Christian 73	0.505	Southern Utah 68 - Abilene Christian 77	10
Stonehill 65 - Sacred Heart 72	0.675	Stonehill 51 - Sacred Heart 79	21
Tennessee Martin 77 - Tennessee Tech 65	0.775	Tennessee Martin 80 - Tennessee Tech 69	1
UC Davis 69 - Hawaii 70	0.509	UC Davis 75 - Hawaii 63	-13
UC Santa Barbara 78 - Cal Poly 60	0.898	UC Santa Barbara 83 - Cal Poly 75	10
UMass Lowell 75 - Bryant 72	0.596	UMass Lowell 89 - Bryant 67	-19
UNC Wilmington 73 - Hofstra 69	0.592	UNC Wilmington 58 - Hofstra 69	15
Utah 81 - Stanford 74	0.638	Utah 90 - Stanford 68	-15
Utah Tech 66 - Tarleton State 76	0.754	Utah Tech 74 - Tarleton State 85	1
Washington 76 - UCLA 72	0.598	Washington 94 - UCLA 77	-13
Washington State 80 - Southern California 69	0.744	Washington State 75 - Southern California 72	8
Weber State 75 - Northern Colorado 71	0.602	Weber State 85 - Northern Colorado 81	0
Western Illinois 69 - Eastern Illinois 61	0.757	Western Illinois 70 - Eastern Illinois 66	4

GAMES OF 3-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 77 - Arkansas State 69	0.714	Appalachian State 80 - Arkansas State 57	-15
Austin Peay 72 - Bellarmine 63	0.775	Austin Peay 90 - Bellarmine 87	6
Brown 69 - Harvard 70	0.503	Brown 71 - Harvard 68	-4
Canisius 70 - Mt St Marys 69	0.515	Canisius 61 - Mt St Marys 56	-4
Central Arkansas 68 - North Alabama 74	0.686	Central Arkansas 78 - North Alabama 82	-2
Coastal Carolina 64 - James Madison 82	0.902	Coastal Carolina 76 - James Madison 86	-8
Georgia Southern 73 - Old Dominion 71	0.531	Georgia Southern 92 - Old Dominion 75	-15
Georgia State 73 - Marshall 70	0.57	Georgia State 82 - Marshall 79	0
Iona 73 - Quinnipiac 71	0.549	Iona 64 - Quinnipiac 82	20
Jacksonville 66 - Florida Gulf Coast 65	0.504	Jacksonville 57 - Florida Gulf Coast 59	3
Lipscomb 75 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.557	Lipscomb 81 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-12
Loyola Ill 69 - Dayton 72	0.6	Loyola Ill 77 - Dayton 72	-8
Marist 66 - Fairfield 68	0.548	Marist 58 - Fairfield 55	-5
Nevada 81 - Fresno State 64	0.885	Nevada 74 - Fresno State 66	9
Niagara 73 - Rider 71	0.561	Niagara 61 - Rider 71	12
North Florida 70 - Stetson 71	0.512	North Florida 78 - Stetson 59	-20
Ohio 75 - Bowling Green 69	0.678	Ohio 66 - Bowling Green 59	-1
Pennsylvania 70 - Cornell 79	0.765	Pennsylvania 81 - Cornell 87	-3
Princeton 80 - Columbia 63	0.922	Princeton 84 - Columbia 70	3
Queens 77 - Kennesaw St 75	0.551	Queens 91 - Kennesaw St 82	-7
Siena 68 - Manhattan 67	0.52	Siena 68 - Manhattan 70	3
South Alabama 74 - UL Monroe 68	0.637	South Alabama 80 - UL Monroe 69	-5
Texas State 66 - Troy 72	0.672	Texas State 82 - Troy 79	-9
UL Lafayette 73 - Southern Miss 67	0.665	UL Lafayette 77 - Southern Miss 61	-10
Utah State 85 - Air Force 63	0.898	Utah State 72 - Air Force 60	10
Yale 79 - Dartmouth 56	0.953	Yale 80 - Dartmouth 56	-1

GAMES OF 3-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 80 - Northern Illinois 59	0.932	Akron 80 - Northern Illinois 73	14
Alabama 81 - Tennessee 80	0.514	Alabama 74 - Tennessee 81	8
Alabama AM 66 - Alabama State 67	0.503	Alabama AM 58 - Alabama State 53	-6
Albany 69 - Maine 70	0.501	Albany 71 - Maine 74	2
American 70 - Navy 64	0.717	American 65 - Navy 71	12
Arizona 86 - Oregon 73	0.779	Arizona 103 - Oregon 83	-7
Arkansas Little Rock 76 - Tennessee Tech 63	0.771	Arkansas Little Rock 81 - Tennessee Tech 43	-25
Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.894	Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 - Mississippi Valley State 69	6
Auburn 78 - Mississippi State 71	0.681	Auburn 78 - Mississippi State 63	-8
Ball State 72 - Western Michigan 68	0.603	Ball State 76 - Western Michigan 78	6
Baylor 79 - Kansas 78	0.523	Baylor 82 - Kansas 74	-7
Binghamton 68 - New Hampshire 71	0.561	Binghamton 87 - New Hampshire 74	-16
Boise State 78 - New Mexico 76	0.56	Boise State 89 - New Mexico 79	-8
Boston 72 - Holy Cross 63	0.744	Boston 94 - Holy Cross 84	-1
Boston College 74 - Pittsburgh 77	0.582	Boston College 65 - Pittsburgh 90	22
Brigham Young 81 - Texas Christian 79	0.561	Brigham Young 87 - Texas Christian 75	-10
Brown 73 - Dartmouth 62	0.81	Brown 89 - Dartmouth 67	-11
Bryant 77 - NJ Tech 63	0.838	Bryant 101 - NJ Tech 82	-5
Bucknell 68 - Lafayette 66	0.559	Bucknell 60 - Lafayette 50	-8
Buffalo 66 - Toledo 82	0.869	Buffalo 79 - Toledo 85	-10
Cal Baptist 77 - Texas Pan American 65	0.814	Cal Baptist 88 - Texas Pan American 52	-24
Cal Poly 63 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	0.745	Cal Poly 56 - Cal State Bakersfield 68	3
Cal State Fullerton 68 - UC Santa Barbara 71	0.576	Cal State Fullerton 79 - UC Santa Barbara 70	-12
Cal State Northridge 70 - UC San Diego 76	0.675	Cal State Northridge 69 - UC San Diego 79	4
Campbell 73 - North Carolina AT 66	0.684	Campbell 64 - North Carolina AT 62	5
Central Connecticut State 74 - Stonehill 59	0.865	Central Connecticut State 79 - Stonehill 67	3
Central Florida 70 - Iowa State 77	0.686	Central Florida 52 - Iowa State 60	1
Charlotte 68 - South Florida 70	0.568	Charlotte 61 - South Florida 76	13
Chattanooga 72 - Western Carolina 70	0.551	Chattanooga 63 - Western Carolina 82	21
Cincinnati 76 - Kansas State 73	0.582	Cincinnati 74 - Kansas State 72	1
Cleveland State 80 - IUPUI 59	0.915	Cleveland State 75 - IUPUI 66	12
College of Charleston 75 - Hofstra 71	0.641	College of Charleston 87 - Hofstra 76	-7
Colorado State 82 - Wyoming 67	0.864	Colorado State 70 - Wyoming 62	7
Coppin State 60 - North Carolina Central 73	0.805	Coppin State 58 - North Carolina Central 83	12
Creighton 79 - Marquette 78	0.527	Creighton 89 - Marquette 75	-13
Davidson 73 - Massachusetts 72	0.515	Davidson 67 - Massachusetts 69	3
Delaware State 65 - Norfolk State 69	0.634	Delaware State 85 - Norfolk State 71	-18
DePaul 70 - Butler 85	0.867	DePaul 63 - Butler 82	4
Drexel 73 - Northeastern 64	0.733	Drexel 73 - Northeastern 59	-5
Duke 75 - Virginia 65	0.729	Duke 73 - Virginia 48	-15
East Tennessee State 67 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.607	East Tennessee State 66 - UNC Greensboro 65	-4
Eastern Michigan 66 - Miami OH 72	0.638	Eastern Michigan 37 - Miami OH 52	9
Eastern Washington 78 - Montana State 67	0.77	Eastern Washington 108 - Montana State 104	7
Elon 68 - Monmouth 75	0.689	Elon 70 - Monmouth 85	8
Florida Atlantic 86 - Tulane 73	0.815	Florida Atlantic 79 - Tulane 73	7
Florida International 71 - Western Kentucky 80	0.762	Florida International 85 - Western Kentucky 83	-11
Furman 75 - Mercer 67	0.697	Furman 75 - Mercer 82	15
George Mason 72 - Duquesne 69	0.612	George Mason 51 - Duquesne 59	11
Georgetown 73 - Xavier 83	0.738	Georgetown 93 - Xavier 98	-5
Georgia 76 - Texas AM 75	0.513	Georgia 56 - Texas AM 70	15
Georgia Tech 75 - Florida State 78	0.601	Georgia Tech 85 - Florida State 76	-12
Grambling State 72 - Florida AM 60	0.812	Grambling State 75 - Florida AM 68	5
Grand Canyon 79 - Stephen F Austin 65	0.834	Grand Canyon 80 - Stephen F Austin 58	-8
Houston Christian 69 - Texas AM Commerce 72	0.585	Houston Christian 85 - Texas AM Commerce 98	10
Idaho 65 - Montana 74	0.696	Idaho 57 - Montana 80	14
Idaho State 70 - Northern Colorado 73	0.583	Idaho State 79 - Northern Colorado 81	-1
Incarnate Word 73 - New Orleans 70	0.59	Incarnate Word 80 - New Orleans 87	10
IPFW 76 - Robert Morris 66	0.744	IPFW 83 - Robert Morris 65	-8
Jacksonville State 72 - New Mexico State 65	0.677	Jacksonville State 64 - New Mexico State 66	9
Kent State 70 - Central Michigan 66	0.603	Kent State 79 - Central Michigan 73	-2
Kentucky 87 - Arkansas 74	0.788	Kentucky 111 - Arkansas 102	4
La Salle 79 - George Washington 75	0.587	La Salle 72 - George Washington 66	-2
Lehigh 67 - Colgate 74	0.724	Lehigh 60 - Colgate 63	-4
Liberty 74 - Texas El Paso 66	0.692	Liberty 51 - Texas El Paso 67	24
Longwood 69 - High Point 75	0.673	Longwood 74 - High Point 72	-8
Louisville 74 - Syracuse 83	0.713	Louisville 76 - Syracuse 82	-3
Loyola MD 64 - Army 65	0.53	Loyola MD 69 - Army 68	-2
Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Howard 73	0.711	Maryland Eastern Shore 66 - Howard 70	-3
Mcneese State 77 - Nicholls State 61	0.865	Mcneese State 83 - Nicholls State 62	-5
Milwaukee 70 - Green Bay 69	0.545	Milwaukee 90 - Green Bay 69	-20
Minnesota 78 - Penn State 75	0.596	Minnesota 75 - Penn State 70	-2
Missouri 71 - Mississippi 79	0.713	Missouri 78 - Mississippi 84	-2
Morehead State 79 - Lindenwood 55	0.955	Morehead State 67 - Lindenwood 49	6
Morgan State 70 - South Carolina State 73	0.595	Morgan State 61 - South Carolina State 72	8
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - San Jose State 64	0.857	Nevada Las Vegas 68 - San Jose State 50	0
North Carolina 84 - NC State 72	0.833	North Carolina 79 - NC State 70	3
North Dakota 76 - South Dakota 67	0.711	North Dakota 95 - South Dakota 66	-20
North Dakota State 69 - South Dakota State 72	0.577	North Dakota State 61 - South Dakota State 78	14
Northwestern 81 - Iowa 78	0.583	Northwestern 80 - Iowa 87	10
Northwestern State 68 - Lamar 72	0.613	Northwestern State 77 - Lamar 82	1
Notre Dame 67 - Clemson 78	0.772	Notre Dame 69 - Clemson 62	-18
Oakland 82 - Detroit 59	0.932	Oakland 75 - Detroit 70	18
Oklahoma 68 - Houston 78	0.764	Oklahoma 85 - Houston 87	-8
Pennsylvania 74 - Columbia 72	0.565	Pennsylvania 84 - Columbia 72	-10
Portland 69 - Loyola Marymount 75	0.666	Portland 70 - Loyola Marymount 60	-16
Prairie View 68 - Alcorn State 71	0.598	Prairie View 65 - Alcorn State 73	5
Presbyterian 71 - Charleston Southern 66	0.642	Presbyterian 72 - Charleston Southern 65	-2
Princeton 76 - Cornell 71	0.69	Princeton 79 - Cornell 77	3
Providence 74 - Villanova 73	0.523	Providence 60 - Villanova 71	12
Purdue 81 - Michigan State 71	0.748	Purdue 80 - Michigan State 74	4
Radford 69 - UNC Asheville 73	0.61	Radford 62 - UNC Asheville 71	5
Rhode Island 78 - Saint Louis 77	0.535	Rhode Island 91 - Saint Louis 94	4
Richmond 71 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.566	Richmond 79 - Virginia Commonwealth 76	-1
Sacramento State 63 - Portland State 69	0.636	Sacramento State 73 - Portland State 61	-18
Sacred Heart 65 - Merrimack 69	0.642	Sacred Heart 89 - Merrimack 85	-8
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Le Moyne 70	0.605	Saint Francis Penn 58 - Le Moyne 74	11
Saint Josephs 79 - Fordham 71	0.727	Saint Josephs 82 - Fordham 69	-5
Saint Marys 74 - Gonzaga 70	0.585	Saint Marys 57 - Gonzaga 70	17
Saint Thomas 75 - Denver 69	0.657	Saint Thomas 83 - Denver 58	-19
Sam Houston State 75 - Middle Tennessee 65	0.748	Sam Houston State 81 - Middle Tennessee 64	-7
Samford 82 - The Citadel 64	0.885	Samford 92 - The Citadel 80	6
San Diego 81 - Pacific 66	0.837	San Diego 81 - Pacific 69	3
Santa Clara 72 - San Francisco 74	0.574	Santa Clara 69 - San Francisco 62	-9
South Carolina 75 - Florida 76	0.521	South Carolina 82 - Florida 76	-7
Southern 72 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.722	Southern 61 - Bethune Cookman 67	14
Southern Indiana 73 - SE Missouri State 65	0.711	Southern Indiana 66 - SE Missouri State 70	12
Southern Methodist 87 - Texas San Antonio 66	0.913	Southern Methodist 73 - Texas San Antonio 77	25
Southern Utah 69 - Tarleton State 76	0.706	Southern Utah 83 - Tarleton State 88	-2
Stony Brook 70 - Delaware 71	0.509	Stony Brook 79 - Delaware 56	-24
Temple 74 - Tulsa 73	0.512	Temple 67 - Tulsa 72	6
Tennessee Martin 75 - Tennessee State 69	0.67	Tennessee Martin 96 - Tennessee State 87	-3
Texas 81 - Oklahoma State 72	0.751	Texas 81 - Oklahoma State 65	-7
Texas AM CC 70 - Southeast Louisiana 61	0.721	Texas AM CC 80 - Southeast Louisiana 68	-3
Texas Southern 69 - Jackson State 66	0.618	Texas Southern 80 - Jackson State 70	-7
UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 70	0.754	UC Irvine 82 - Long Beach State 61	-12
UC Riverside 70 - Hawaii 71	0.543	UC Riverside 73 - Hawaii 76	2
UNC Wilmington 71 - Towson 65	0.642	UNC Wilmington 75 - Towson 64	-5
Utah 80 - California 74	0.631	Utah 88 - California 59	-23
Utah Tech 71 - Abilene Christian 73	0.558	Utah Tech 79 - Abilene Christian 86	5
Utah Valley 72 - Texas Arlington 70	0.544	Utah Valley 65 - Texas Arlington 78	15
Vanderbilt 71 - Louisiana State 78	0.724	Vanderbilt 61 - Louisiana State 75	7
Vermont 73 - UMass Lowell 65	0.738	Vermont 74 - UMass Lowell 62	-4
Virginia Military Institute 66 - Wofford 80	0.818	Virginia Military Institute 62 - Wofford 74	-2
Virginia Tech 75 - Wake Forest 79	0.57	Virginia Tech 87 - Wake Forest 76	-15
Wagner 69 - Fairleigh Dickinson 65	0.628	Wagner 54 - Fairleigh Dickinson 57	7
Washington 81 - Southern California 75	0.653	Washington 75 - Southern California 82	13
Washington State 74 - UCLA 66	0.703	Washington State 77 - UCLA 65	-4
Weber State 75 - Northern Arizona 63	0.738	Weber State 85 - Northern Arizona 58	-15
West Virginia 73 - Texas Tech 82	0.724	West Virginia 70 - Texas Tech 81	2
Western Illinois 68 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.646	Western Illinois 76 - SIU Edwardsville 65	-7
Wichita State 74 - Rice 72	0.562	Wichita State 87 - Rice 66	-19
William and Mary 72 - Hampton 67	0.626	William and Mary 85 - Hampton 73	-7
Winthrop 74 - Gardner Webb 70	0.614	Winthrop 64 - Gardner Webb 65	5
Wisconsin 78 - Illinois 79	0.532	Wisconsin 83 - Illinois 91	7
Wright State 76 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.624	Wright State 94 - Northern Kentucky 88	-2
Yale 76 - Harvard 64	0.856	Yale 80 - Harvard 60	-8

GAMES OF 3-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Belmont 80 - Evansville 70	0.725	Belmont 83 - Evansville 66	-7
Canisius 70 - Rider 72	0.534	Canisius 61 - Rider 65	2
Colorado 83 - Stanford 73	0.721	Colorado 81 - Stanford 71	0
Connecticut 80 - Seton Hall 68	0.76	Connecticut 91 - Seton Hall 61	-18
Drake 76 - Bradley 71	0.611	Drake 74 - Bradley 66	-3
Indiana State 80 - Murray State 68	0.769	Indiana State 89 - Murray State 77	0
Marist 67 - Iona 66	0.505	Marist 64 - Iona 71	8
Maryland 77 - Indiana 70	0.706	Maryland 78 - Indiana 83	12
Memphis 79 - Alabama Birmingham 75	0.612	Memphis 106 - Alabama Birmingham 87	-15
Missouri State 76 - Illinois Chicago 69	0.686	Missouri State 69 - Illinois Chicago 59	-3
Nebraska 78 - Rutgers 69	0.696	Nebraska 67 - Rutgers 56	-2
Niagara 73 - Mt St Marys 68	0.615	Niagara 72 - Mt St Marys 91	24
North Texas 70 - East Carolina 62	0.73	North Texas 84 - East Carolina 69	-7
Ohio State 81 - Michigan 73	0.712	Ohio State 84 - Michigan 61	-15
Oral Roberts 69 - UMKC 70	0.521	Oral Roberts 54 - UMKC 71	16
Quinnipiac 79 - Siena 61	0.876	Quinnipiac 71 - Siena 57	4
Saint Peters 74 - Manhattan 58	0.883	Saint Peters 89 - Manhattan 57	-16
Southern Illinois 73 - Northern Iowa 70	0.576	Southern Illinois 70 - Northern Iowa 82	15
Valparaiso 66 - Illinois State 73	0.712	Valparaiso 75 - Illinois State 72	-10

Number of DI Games: 337
Number Correct: 236 = 70%
Expected Number Correct: 229.046 = 67.9%
Average Error: 9.15
Average Signed Error: -0.53

GAMES OF 3-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 81 - Texas 75	0.66	Baylor 93 - Texas 85	-2
Coppin State 61 - South Carolina State 73	0.812	Coppin State 58 - South Carolina State 61	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Queens 70	0.562	Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Queens 69	8
Grambling State 69 - Bethune Cookman 64	0.653	Grambling State 69 - Bethune Cookman 60	-4
Howard 72 - Delaware State 68	0.622	Howard 85 - Delaware State 66	-15
Incarnate Word 64 - Southeast Louisiana 72	0.698	Incarnate Word 56 - Southeast Louisiana 73	9
Kennesaw St 71 - Jacksonville 70	0.538	Kennesaw St 86 - Jacksonville 92	7
Mcneese State 85 - Houston Christian 56	0.957	Mcneese State 87 - Houston Christian 69	11
Montana 75 - Idaho State 65	0.732	Montana 79 - Idaho State 65	-4
Montana State 67 - Weber State 73	0.63	Montana State 76 - Weber State 64	-18
Morgan State 67 - North Carolina Central 74	0.705	Morgan State 88 - North Carolina Central 79	-16
NC State 72 - Duke 82	0.781	NC State 64 - Duke 79	5
Norfolk State 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.848	Norfolk State 69 - Maryland Eastern Shore 50	-4
Northern Arizona 71 - Northern Colorado 76	0.633	Northern Arizona 74 - Northern Colorado 82	3
Northwestern State 67 - Nicholls State 71	0.61	Northwestern State 62 - Nicholls State 68	2
Portland State 71 - Idaho 65	0.656	Portland State 72 - Idaho 57	-9
Prairie View 67 - Jackson State 71	0.611	Prairie View 74 - Jackson State 79	1
Sacramento State 63 - Eastern Washington 76	0.818	Sacramento State 88 - Eastern Washington 91	-10
Southern 74 - Florida AM 62	0.798	Southern 58 - Florida AM 44	-2
Texas AM CC 79 - New Orleans 61	0.899	Texas AM CC 73 - New Orleans 60	5
Texas AM Commerce 66 - Lamar 72	0.681	Texas AM Commerce 53 - Lamar 70	11
Texas Southern 70 - Alcorn State 66	0.625	Texas Southern 79 - Alcorn State 82	7

GAMES OF 3-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 78 - Eastern Michigan 57	0.935	Akron 60 - Eastern Michigan 61	22
Army 69 - Holy Cross 64	0.627	Army 68 - Holy Cross 84	21
Austin Peay 72 - North Florida 68	0.595	Austin Peay 101 - North Florida 98	1
Ball State 69 - Kent State 73	0.601	Ball State 76 - Kent State 69	-11
Boise State 76 - Nevada 73	0.582	Boise State 66 - Nevada 76	13
Bryant 79 - Albany 71	0.702	Bryant 83 - Albany 79	4
Buffalo 65 - Ohio 79	0.859	Buffalo 66 - Ohio 78	-2
Clemson 81 - Syracuse 74	0.661	Clemson 90 - Syracuse 75	-8
Cleveland State 79 - IUPUI 59	0.902	Cleveland State 85 - IUPUI 66	1
Dartmouth 63 - Harvard 72	0.761	Dartmouth 76 - Harvard 69	-16
DePaul 67 - Saint Johns 87	0.909	DePaul 77 - Saint Johns 104	7
Eastern Kentucky 72 - Jacksonville 64	0.722	Eastern Kentucky 65 - Jacksonville 67	10
Florida 82 - Alabama 86	0.591	Florida 105 - Alabama 87	-22
Georgetown 71 - Providence 82	0.783	Georgetown 58 - Providence 71	2
Georgia 75 - Mississippi 77	0.544	Georgia 69 - Mississippi 66	-5
Illinois 80 - Purdue 84	0.602	Illinois 71 - Purdue 77	2
IPFW 77 - Robert Morris 65	0.789	IPFW 78 - Robert Morris 63	-3
Kansas 81 - Kansas State 72	0.718	Kansas 90 - Kansas State 68	-13
Lipscomb 77 - North Alabama 69	0.733	Lipscomb 75 - North Alabama 77	10
Louisville 72 - Virginia Tech 83	0.732	Louisville 64 - Virginia Tech 80	5
Maine 66 - UMass Lowell 71	0.651	Maine 71 - UMass Lowell 65	-11
Miami OH 70 - Toledo 74	0.598	Miami OH 63 - Toledo 97	30
Middle Tennessee 66 - Liberty 73	0.647	Middle Tennessee 69 - Liberty 61	-15
Milwaukee 80 - Detroit 64	0.878	Milwaukee 83 - Detroit 79	12
Missouri 66 - Auburn 85	0.89	Missouri 74 - Auburn 101	8
Navy 71 - Loyola MD 64	0.725	Navy 64 - Loyola MD 48	-9
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - San Diego State 74	0.605	Nevada Las Vegas 62 - San Diego State 58	-8
New Hampshire 62 - Vermont 74	0.792	New Hampshire 64 - Vermont 68	-8
North Carolina 82 - Notre Dame 65	0.878	North Carolina 84 - Notre Dame 51	-16
Northern Illinois 68 - Central Michigan 71	0.575	Northern Illinois 63 - Central Michigan 69	3
Oklahoma 77 - Cincinnati 74	0.596	Oklahoma 74 - Cincinnati 71	0
Oklahoma State 74 - Texas Tech 81	0.681	Oklahoma State 58 - Texas Tech 75	10
Pittsburgh 79 - Florida State 73	0.664	Pittsburgh 88 - Florida State 73	-9
Saint Louis 68 - Dayton 83	0.867	Saint Louis 83 - Dayton 100	2
South Florida 82 - Tulane 70	0.798	South Florida 85 - Tulane 72	-1
Stetson 76 - Queens 70	0.636	Stetson 83 - Queens 71	-6
Texas State 72 - Old Dominion 66	0.684	Texas State 92 - Old Dominion 83	-3
UL Monroe 72 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.566	UL Monroe 71 - Coastal Carolina 75	6
UMBC 73 - Binghamton 72	0.554	UMBC 71 - Binghamton 72	2
Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Duquesne 67	0.675	Virginia Commonwealth 59 - Duquesne 69	16
Wake Forest 83 - Georgia Tech 71	0.764	Wake Forest 69 - Georgia Tech 70	13
Western Michigan 70 - Bowling Green 72	0.558	Western Michigan 65 - Bowling Green 73	6
Wyoming 77 - Air Force 70	0.691	Wyoming 74 - Air Force 63	-4

GAMES OF 3-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas 77 - Louisiana State 79	0.553	Arkansas 94 - Louisiana State 83	-13
Butler 79 - Xavier 78	0.507	Butler 72 - Xavier 66	-5
Central Connecticut State 74 - Saint Francis Penn 59	0.893	Central Connecticut State 71 - Saint Francis Penn 62	6
Central Florida 66 - Houston 79	0.828	Central Florida 59 - Houston 67	-5
Charlotte 75 - Rice 65	0.744	Charlotte 69 - Rice 64	5
Davidson 69 - Loyola Ill 72	0.582	Davidson 59 - Loyola Ill 69	7
George Washington 70 - Saint Bonaventure 81	0.763	George Washington 86 - Saint Bonaventure 75	-22
Hawaii 75 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.67	Hawaii 72 - Cal State Northridge 70	4
Iowa State 80 - Brigham Young 74	0.635	Iowa State 68 - Brigham Young 63	1
Kentucky 89 - Vanderbilt 69	0.918	Kentucky 93 - Vanderbilt 77	4
Lamar 80 - Houston Christian 64	0.87	Lamar 78 - Houston Christian 68	6
Le Moyne 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.595	Le Moyne 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 61	-18
Marquette 75 - Connecticut 78	0.569	Marquette 67 - Connecticut 74	4
Massachusetts 80 - Fordham 69	0.805	Massachusetts 66 - Fordham 64	9
Merrimack 75 - LIU Brooklyn 59	0.858	Merrimack 72 - LIU Brooklyn 66	10
Miami 79 - Boston College 76	0.596	Miami 57 - Boston College 67	13
Michigan State 77 - Northwestern 72	0.628	Michigan State 53 - Northwestern 49	1
Minnesota 78 - Indiana 74	0.632	Minnesota 58 - Indiana 70	16
New Mexico 85 - Fresno State 68	0.865	New Mexico 79 - Fresno State 58	-4
New Orleans 59 - Mcneese State 81	0.922	New Orleans 57 - Mcneese State 81	2
North Texas 70 - Florida Atlantic 73	0.607	North Texas 76 - Florida Atlantic 80	1
Rhode Island 70 - George Mason 77	0.667	Rhode Island 51 - George Mason 69	11
Richmond 77 - Saint Josephs 70	0.732	Richmond 73 - Saint Josephs 66	0
Sacred Heart 68 - Wagner 63	0.634	Sacred Heart 57 - Wagner 60	8
San Jose State 66 - Utah State 84	0.895	San Jose State 70 - Utah State 90	2
Seton Hall 72 - Villanova 73	0.527	Seton Hall 66 - Villanova 56	-11
SIU Edwardsville 69 - Eastern Illinois 67	0.555	SIU Edwardsville 68 - Eastern Illinois 57	-9
South Carolina 69 - Tennessee 77	0.674	South Carolina 59 - Tennessee 66	-1
South Carolina Upstate 68 - Radford 71	0.616	South Carolina Upstate 60 - Radford 67	4
Southern Methodist 77 - East Carolina 64	0.794	Southern Methodist 80 - East Carolina 77	10
Tennessee State 72 - Southern Indiana 67	0.652	Tennessee State 78 - Southern Indiana 64	-9
Texas AM 71 - Mississippi State 74	0.561	Texas AM 75 - Mississippi State 69	-9
Texas AM CC 78 - Incarnate Word 59	0.916	Texas AM CC 71 - Incarnate Word 52	0
Texas AM Commerce 69 - Northwestern State 68	0.523	Texas AM Commerce 83 - Northwestern State 80	-2
West Virginia 75 - Texas Christian 83	0.744	West Virginia 81 - Texas Christian 93	4

GAMES OF 3-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 69 - Seattle 73	0.6	Abilene Christian 64 - Seattle 59	-9
Alabama AM 63 - Grambling State 68	0.655	Alabama AM 73 - Grambling State 74	-4
Alabama State 63 - Southern 68	0.624	Alabama State 57 - Southern 65	3
Alcorn State 77 - Mississippi Valley State 57	0.943	Alcorn State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 67	13
American 68 - Bucknell 65	0.575	American 57 - Bucknell 80	26
Austin Peay 73 - North Alabama 68	0.661	Austin Peay 77 - North Alabama 71	-1
Belmont 81 - Valparaiso 67	0.836	Belmont 86 - Valparaiso 61	-11
Boston 70 - Navy 65	0.649	Boston 70 - Navy 61	-4
Colgate 80 - Holy Cross 58	0.939	Colgate 81 - Holy Cross 64	5
Fairfield 75 - Canisius 66	0.729	Fairfield 74 - Canisius 62	-3
Georgia State 73 - Marshall 71	0.563	Georgia State 74 - Marshall 86	14
Green Bay 71 - Milwaukee 69	0.542	Green Bay 84 - Milwaukee 95	13
Illinois State 72 - Evansville 68	0.599	Illinois State 53 - Evansville 59	10
Jackson State 75 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.696	Jackson State 89 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 84	2
Lafayette 68 - Lehigh 69	0.529	Lafayette 61 - Lehigh 76	14
Long Beach State 76 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.602	Long Beach State 74 - UC Santa Barbara 76	6
Louisiana Tech 74 - Sam Houston State 66	0.712	Louisiana Tech 66 - Sam Houston State 72	14
Manhattan 64 - Iona 76	0.804	Manhattan 77 - Iona 60	-29
Maryland Eastern Shore 63 - Delaware State 69	0.689	Maryland Eastern Shore 67 - Delaware State 59	-14
Morehead State 73 - SIU Edwardsville 62	0.795	Morehead State 78 - SIU Edwardsville 63	-4
Morgan State 72 - Coppin State 64	0.738	Morgan State 78 - Coppin State 60	-10
Murray State 73 - Missouri State 72	0.502	Murray State 35 - Missouri State 60	26
Norfolk State 73 - Howard 68	0.653	Norfolk State 77 - Howard 58	-14
North Carolina Central 72 - South Carolina State 67	0.648	North Carolina Central 79 - South Carolina State 68	-6
Oakland 74 - IPFW 69	0.632	Oakland 75 - IPFW 65	-5
Oregon 76 - Colorado 78	0.542	Oregon 75 - Colorado 79	2
Oregon State 70 - Utah 79	0.678	Oregon State 92 - Utah 85	-16
Pepperdine 79 - Pacific 68	0.772	Pepperdine 102 - Pacific 43	-48
Quinnipiac 71 - Marist 65	0.626	Quinnipiac 73 - Marist 64	-3
Rider 69 - Saint Peters 68	0.509	Rider 61 - Saint Peters 56	-4
Siena 64 - Niagara 74	0.749	Siena 59 - Niagara 66	-3
South Alabama 76 - Georgia Southern 71	0.608	South Alabama 71 - Georgia Southern 76	10
Southeast Louisiana 68 - Nicholls State 67	0.516	Southeast Louisiana 54 - Nicholls State 80	27
Southern California 76 - Arizona State 74	0.56	Southern California 81 - Arizona State 73	-6
Southern Illinois 75 - Illinois Chicago 67	0.733	Southern Illinois 82 - Illinois Chicago 84	10
Southern Miss 67 - Texas State 69	0.528	Southern Miss 59 - Texas State 75	14
Stanford 78 - California 77	0.525	Stanford 80 - California 58	-21
Stephen F Austin 76 - Southern Utah 70	0.678	Stephen F Austin 87 - Southern Utah 60	-21
Stetson 71 - Jacksonville 64	0.674	Stetson 88 - Jacksonville 87	6
Tarleton State 74 - Utah Valley 66	0.686	Tarleton State 60 - Utah Valley 63	11
Temple 71 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.658	Temple 72 - Alabama Birmingham 100	22
Texas Arlington 74 - Cal Baptist 67	0.691	Texas Arlington 71 - Cal Baptist 57	-7
Texas El Paso 76 - Florida International 68	0.703	Texas El Paso 83 - Florida International 76	1
Texas Pan American 71 - Utah Tech 75	0.618	Texas Pan American 74 - Utah Tech 79	1
UC Irvine 83 - Cal Poly 56	0.965	UC Irvine 82 - Cal Poly 68	13
UC Riverside 70 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.571	UC Riverside 84 - Cal State Fullerton 74	-8
UC San Diego 74 - UC Davis 67	0.68	UC San Diego 63 - UC Davis 70	14
UCLA 69 - Arizona 83	0.785	UCLA 65 - Arizona 88	9
UL Lafayette 78 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.806	UL Lafayette 80 - Coastal Carolina 66	-2
Washington State 80 - Washington 73	0.691	Washington State 68 - Washington 74	13
Western Illinois 69 - Tennessee State 65	0.625	Western Illinois 61 - Tennessee State 59	2
Wisconsin 76 - Rutgers 68	0.689	Wisconsin 78 - Rutgers 66	-4
Wright State 77 - Northern Kentucky 72	0.627	Wright State 97 - Northern Kentucky 99	7
Youngstown State 75 - Cleveland State 67	0.721	Youngstown State 70 - Cleveland State 82	20

GAMES OF 3-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Western Illinois 66	0.598	Arkansas Little Rock 82 - Western Illinois 57	-21
Bowling Green 73 - Ball State 69	0.607	Bowling Green 80 - Ball State 70	-6
Bradley 79 - Illinois Chicago 65	0.826	Bradley 74 - Illinois Chicago 47	-13
Buffalo 71 - Northern Illinois 73	0.574	Buffalo 68 - Northern Illinois 78	8
Central Michigan 72 - Eastern Michigan 62	0.733	Central Michigan 65 - Eastern Michigan 62	7
Dayton 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 68	0.716	Dayton 91 - Virginia Commonwealth 86	1
Drake 83 - Evansville 66	0.825	Drake 79 - Evansville 58	-4
East Tennessee State 79 - Virginia Military Institute 62	0.867	East Tennessee State 98 - Virginia Military Institute 66	-15
Elon 73 - Hampton 69	0.634	Elon 55 - Hampton 56	5
Gardner Webb 74 - Presbyterian 68	0.684	Gardner Webb 61 - Presbyterian 60	5
High Point 79 - Radford 67	0.814	High Point 77 - Radford 63	-2
Indiana State 81 - Missouri State 70	0.786	Indiana State 75 - Missouri State 59	-5
Mercer 72 - The Citadel 66	0.637	Mercer 84 - The Citadel 76	-2
Miami OH 68 - Ohio 71	0.58	Miami OH 59 - Ohio 72	10
North Carolina AT 68 - William and Mary 70	0.561	North Carolina AT 62 - William and Mary 79	15
Northern Iowa 75 - Belmont 74	0.504	Northern Iowa 67 - Belmont 62	-4
Oral Roberts 74 - South Dakota 71	0.572	Oral Roberts 77 - South Dakota 62	-12
Portland 69 - Loyola Marymount 75	0.65	Portland 78 - Loyola Marymount 70	-14
San Diego 76 - Pepperdine 75	0.512	San Diego 57 - Pepperdine 52	-4
San Diego State 75 - Boise State 71	0.601	San Diego State 77 - Boise State 79	6
Tennessee Martin 68 - Morehead State 74	0.65	Tennessee Martin 78 - Morehead State 84	0
Toledo 76 - Kent State 71	0.646	Toledo 86 - Kent State 71	-10
Tulane 78 - Wichita State 76	0.56	Tulane 85 - Wichita State 75	-8
UNC Asheville 76 - Charleston Southern 63	0.815	UNC Asheville 60 - Charleston Southern 55	8
Western Michigan 63 - Akron 75	0.808	Western Michigan 90 - Akron 84	-18
Winthrop 72 - Longwood 70	0.546	Winthrop 56 - Longwood 69	15

GAMES OF 3-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 71 - Utah Valley 70	0.503	Abilene Christian 67 - Utah Valley 74	8
Air Force 64 - Colorado State 80	0.842	Air Force 73 - Colorado State 82	-7
Alabama 91 - Arkansas 74	0.839	Alabama 92 - Arkansas 88	13
Alabama AM 64 - Southern 70	0.668	Alabama AM 66 - Southern 56	-16
Alabama State 62 - Grambling State 66	0.608	Alabama State 87 - Grambling State 84	-7
Alcorn State 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 68	0.753	Alcorn State 104 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 95	-1
Appalachian State 80 - Georgia Southern 64	0.85	Appalachian State 85 - Georgia Southern 80	11
Arkansas Little Rock 67 - Morehead State 71	0.591	Arkansas Little Rock 55 - Morehead State 69	10
Arkansas State 74 - UL Lafayette 73	0.505	Arkansas State 89 - UL Lafayette 62	-26
Auburn 84 - Georgia 68	0.878	Auburn 92 - Georgia 78	2
Brigham Young 85 - Oklahoma State 72	0.81	Brigham Young 85 - Oklahoma State 71	-1
Bryant 72 - Maine 66	0.692	Bryant 84 - Maine 58	-20
Cal Baptist 64 - Grand Canyon 75	0.788	Cal Baptist 47 - Grand Canyon 68	10
Cal State Fullerton 65 - UC Irvine 75	0.806	Cal State Fullerton 71 - UC Irvine 81	0
Central Connecticut State 67 - Wagner 60	0.745	Central Connecticut State 56 - Wagner 66	17
Chattanooga 73 - Wofford 70	0.568	Chattanooga 75 - Wofford 57	-15
Cincinnati 82 - West Virginia 72	0.774	Cincinnati 92 - West Virginia 56	-26
Columbia 71 - Cornell 80	0.815	Columbia 76 - Cornell 98	13
Delaware 77 - Hampton 64	0.819	Delaware 80 - Hampton 50	-17
Drake 76 - Bradley 73	0.567	Drake 72 - Bradley 67	-2
Duke 79 - North Carolina 76	0.567	Duke 79 - North Carolina 84	8
Duquesne 80 - George Washington 68	0.821	Duquesne 67 - George Washington 65	10
East Carolina 66 - Charlotte 70	0.606	East Carolina 72 - Charlotte 82	6
Florida AM 67 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.626	Florida AM 66 - Bethune Cookman 67	-3
Florida Atlantic 81 - Memphis 76	0.61	Florida Atlantic 92 - Memphis 84	-3
Florida State 79 - Miami 76	0.571	Florida State 83 - Miami 75	-5
Fordham 77 - Rhode Island 74	0.6	Fordham 50 - Rhode Island 58	11
Fresno State 75 - Wyoming 74	0.512	Fresno State 47 - Wyoming 86	40
George Mason 69 - Richmond 73	0.616	George Mason 64 - Richmond 46	-22
Hawaii 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.664	Hawaii 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	-11
High Point 77 - Longwood 68	0.76	High Point 79 - Longwood 80	10
Houston 79 - Kansas 70	0.741	Houston 76 - Kansas 46	-21
Idaho 65 - Sacramento State 64	0.528	Idaho 64 - Sacramento State 72	9
Indiana State 79 - Northern Iowa 72	0.668	Indiana State 94 - Northern Iowa 72	-15
Iona 77 - Siena 59	0.887	Iona 68 - Siena 54	4
Jackson State 76 - Mississippi Valley State 57	0.916	Jackson State 68 - Mississippi Valley State 67	18
James Madison 80 - Marshall 65	0.851	James Madison 81 - Marshall 64	-2
Kansas State 71 - Iowa State 78	0.7	Kansas State 65 - Iowa State 58	-14
Liberty 75 - Western Kentucky 73	0.544	Liberty 82 - Western Kentucky 79	-1
Long Beach State 74 - UC Davis 71	0.571	Long Beach State 78 - UC Davis 88	13
Louisiana State 81 - Missouri 70	0.804	Louisiana State 84 - Missouri 80	7
Louisiana Tech 77 - Middle Tennessee 61	0.871	Louisiana Tech 84 - Middle Tennessee 70	2
Louisville 75 - Boston College 81	0.667	Louisville 61 - Boston College 67	0
Loyola Ill 80 - La Salle 66	0.826	Loyola Ill 64 - La Salle 54	4
Manhattan 66 - Canisius 73	0.688	Manhattan 70 - Canisius 73	-4
Marist 69 - Niagara 65	0.592	Marist 63 - Niagara 62	3
Merrimack 71 - Le Moyne 62	0.717	Merrimack 61 - Le Moyne 51	-1
Mississippi 75 - Texas AM 73	0.556	Mississippi 60 - Texas AM 86	28
Mississippi State 73 - South Carolina 70	0.567	Mississippi State 89 - South Carolina 93	7
Monmouth 75 - Campbell 68	0.666	Monmouth 90 - Campbell 67	-16
Mt St Marys 69 - Fairfield 72	0.583	Mt St Marys 92 - Fairfield 96	1
Nevada 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.629	Nevada 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	-5
New Hampshire 71 - Binghamton 69	0.57	New Hampshire 77 - Binghamton 64	-11
New Mexico State 73 - Florida International 71	0.558	New Mexico State 77 - Florida International 70	-5
Northern Arizona 68 - Idaho State 70	0.55	Northern Arizona 60 - Idaho State 68	6
Northwestern 78 - Minnesota 74	0.632	Northwestern 90 - Minnesota 66	-20
Oregon 77 - Utah 76	0.52	Oregon 66 - Utah 65	0
Oregon State 70 - Colorado 81	0.751	Oregon State 57 - Colorado 73	5
Pennsylvania 65 - Princeton 77	0.848	Pennsylvania 83 - Princeton 105	10
Pittsburgh 78 - NC State 73	0.649	Pittsburgh 81 - NC State 73	-3
Providence 69 - Connecticut 80	0.751	Providence 60 - Connecticut 74	3
Rice 65 - North Texas 73	0.711	Rice 55 - North Texas 71	8
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Saint Louis 70	0.795	Saint Bonaventure 65 - Saint Louis 73	20
Saint Johns 87 - Georgetown 69	0.884	Saint Johns 86 - Georgetown 78	10
Saint Josephs 74 - Davidson 72	0.561	Saint Josephs 89 - Davidson 71	-16
Saint Peters 69 - Quinnipiac 68	0.536	Saint Peters 74 - Quinnipiac 89	16
Sam Houston State 73 - Jacksonville State 65	0.705	Sam Houston State 81 - Jacksonville State 73	0
Samford 79 - Mercer 68	0.749	Samford 70 - Mercer 57	-2
San Francisco 82 - Portland 65	0.865	San Francisco 72 - Portland 51	-4
Santa Clara 79 - San Diego 70	0.737	Santa Clara 104 - San Diego 79	-16
Seton Hall 86 - DePaul 64	0.914	Seton Hall 86 - DePaul 62	-2
South Dakota State 76 - Oral Roberts 66	0.754	South Dakota State 79 - Oral Roberts 63	-6
Southern California 72 - Arizona 87	0.785	Southern California 78 - Arizona 65	-28
Stephen F Austin 76 - Utah Tech 68	0.73	Stephen F Austin 84 - Utah Tech 71	-5
Stony Brook 73 - Northeastern 68	0.617	Stony Brook 75 - Northeastern 65	-5
Tarleton State 72 - Seattle 69	0.588	Tarleton State 69 - Seattle 66	0
Tennessee 84 - Kentucky 77	0.684	Tennessee 81 - Kentucky 85	11
Texas 78 - Oklahoma 74	0.615	Texas 94 - Oklahoma 80	-10
Texas Christian 79 - Central Florida 73	0.666	Texas Christian 77 - Central Florida 79	8
Texas Pan American 71 - Southern Utah 78	0.683	Texas Pan American 59 - Southern Utah 68	2
Texas Southern 73 - Prairie View 62	0.807	Texas Southern 93 - Prairie View 78	-4
Texas Tech 78 - Baylor 80	0.574	Texas Tech 78 - Baylor 68	-12
Towson 73 - William and Mary 60	0.819	Towson 67 - William and Mary 56	2
Troy 73 - Texas State 67	0.683	Troy 68 - Texas State 74	12
Tulsa 67 - South Florida 78	0.762	Tulsa 76 - South Florida 70	-17
UC San Diego 81 - Cal Poly 58	0.938	UC San Diego 92 - Cal Poly 87	18
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC Riverside 69	0.604	UC Santa Barbara 64 - UC Riverside 81	21
UCLA 73 - Arizona State 70	0.575	UCLA 59 - Arizona State 47	-9
UMass Lowell 80 - UMBC 69	0.762	UMass Lowell 94 - UMBC 89	6
UMKC 75 - Denver 70	0.637	UMKC 60 - Denver 61	6
UNC Asheville 73 - Gardner Webb 70	0.615	UNC Asheville 83 - Gardner Webb 72	-8
UNC Greensboro 71 - East Tennessee State 66	0.626	UNC Greensboro 62 - East Tennessee State 73	16
Utah State 80 - New Mexico 77	0.577	Utah State 87 - New Mexico 85	1
Vanderbilt 70 - Florida 84	0.852	Vanderbilt 79 - Florida 78	-15
Vermont 79 - Albany 62	0.881	Vermont 75 - Albany 72	14
Villanova 74 - Creighton 76	0.565	Villanova 67 - Creighton 69	0
Virginia 75 - Georgia Tech 65	0.703	Virginia 72 - Georgia Tech 57	-5
Virginia Tech 77 - Notre Dame 69	0.678	Virginia Tech 82 - Notre Dame 76	2
Wake Forest 78 - Clemson 77	0.526	Wake Forest 81 - Clemson 76	-4
Western Carolina 74 - Furman 71	0.571	Western Carolina 76 - Furman 79	6
Xavier 76 - Marquette 82	0.635	Xavier 80 - Marquette 86	0
Yale 77 - Brown 63	0.889	Yale 81 - Brown 84	17

GAMES OF 3-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Southern Methodist 76	0.567	Alabama Birmingham 74 - Southern Methodist 70	-7
Appalachian State 77 - Arkansas State 69	0.702	Appalachian State 65 - Arkansas State 67	10
Boston 70 - Lehigh 69	0.541	Boston 79 - Lehigh 84	6
Chattanooga 72 - East Tennessee State 68	0.599	Chattanooga 84 - East Tennessee State 85	5
Colgate 73 - Bucknell 60	0.823	Colgate 68 - Bucknell 65	10
College of Charleston 78 - Monmouth 69	0.758	College of Charleston 83 - Monmouth 59	-15
Drexel 72 - Stony Brook 68	0.625	Drexel 88 - Stony Brook 91	7
Eastern Washington 77 - Sacramento State 62	0.851	Eastern Washington 69 - Sacramento State 74	20
Hawaii 72 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.664	Hawaii 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 57	-11
Hofstra 73 - Delaware 67	0.656	Hofstra 73 - Delaware 58	-9
Indiana 72 - Michigan State 78	0.657	Indiana 65 - Michigan State 64	-7
Indiana State 77 - Drake 78	0.509	Indiana State 80 - Drake 84	3
Iowa 82 - Illinois 86	0.632	Iowa 61 - Illinois 73	8
James Madison 76 - Texas State 64	0.809	James Madison 73 - Texas State 68	7
Michigan 72 - Nebraska 82	0.723	Michigan 70 - Nebraska 85	5
North Dakota 72 - Omaha 68	0.583	North Dakota 72 - Omaha 73	5
Northern Colorado 75 - Idaho State 70	0.658	Northern Colorado 76 - Idaho State 83	12
Northwestern State 69 - Texas AM Commerce 67	0.535	Northwestern State 64 - Texas AM Commerce 69	7
Penn State 73 - Maryland 74	0.516	Penn State 85 - Maryland 69	-17
Purdue 84 - Wisconsin 71	0.796	Purdue 78 - Wisconsin 70	5
Rutgers 71 - Ohio State 73	0.542	Rutgers 51 - Ohio State 73	20
Saint Thomas 71 - North Dakota State 65	0.634	Saint Thomas 68 - North Dakota State 58	-4
Samford 80 - Furman 73	0.67	Samford 84 - Furman 77	0
Southeast Louisiana 74 - New Orleans 65	0.727	Southeast Louisiana 66 - New Orleans 78	21
Stetson 71 - Austin Peay 68	0.57	Stetson 94 - Austin Peay 91	0
Texas San Antonio 75 - Temple 76	0.52	Texas San Antonio 82 - Temple 84	1
UNC Asheville 73 - Longwood 68	0.643	UNC Asheville 59 - Longwood 85	31
UNC Wilmington 70 - Towson 67	0.565	UNC Wilmington 56 - Towson 66	13

Number of DI Games: 310
Number Correct: 216 = 69.6%
Expected Number Correct: 212.523 = 68.5%
Average Error: 9.01
Average Signed Error: 0.6

GAMES OF 3-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
College of Charleston 73 - Towson 67	0.657	College of Charleston 61 - Towson 56	1
Gonzaga 79 - San Francisco 70	0.728	Gonzaga 89 - San Francisco 77	-3
Hofstra 74 - Stony Brook 69	0.643	Hofstra 59 - Stony Brook 63	9
James Madison 77 - Arkansas State 71	0.67	James Madison 91 - Arkansas State 71	-14
Lamar 77 - New Orleans 65	0.784	Lamar 71 - New Orleans 57	-2
Milwaukee 71 - Northern Kentucky 73	0.553	Milwaukee 82 - Northern Kentucky 75	-9
Montana 74 - Portland State 66	0.664	Montana 87 - Portland State 81	2
Nicholls State 73 - Texas AM Commerce 65	0.734	Nicholls State 72 - Texas AM Commerce 51	-13
Oakland 73 - Cleveland State 68	0.632	Oakland 74 - Cleveland State 71	2
Omaha 75 - Denver 74	0.526	Omaha 63 - Denver 66	4
Saint Marys 76 - Santa Clara 65	0.751	Saint Marys 79 - Santa Clara 65	-3
Samford 77 - East Tennessee State 68	0.734	Samford 76 - East Tennessee State 69	2
South Dakota State 70 - Saint Thomas 67	0.557	South Dakota State 59 - Saint Thomas 49	-7
Weber State 73 - Montana State 67	0.631	Weber State 82 - Montana State 91	15

GAMES OF 3-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 77 - Miami 76	0.517	Boston College 81 - Miami 65	-15
Central Florida 78 - Oklahoma State 72	0.658	Central Florida 77 - Oklahoma State 62	-9
Cincinnati 82 - West Virginia 72	0.748	Cincinnati 90 - West Virginia 85	5
College of Charleston 78 - Stony Brook 70	0.727	College of Charleston 82 - Stony Brook 79	5
Fordham 68 - Davidson 74	0.678	Fordham 71 - Davidson 63	-14
Iona 76 - Manhattan 64	0.765	Iona 60 - Manhattan 57	9
Jacksonville State 73 - Florida International 69	0.626	Jacksonville State 67 - Florida International 76	13
La Salle 77 - George Washington 76	0.517	La Salle 61 - George Washington 60	0
Mcneese State 75 - Lamar 62	0.822	Mcneese State 76 - Lamar 57	-6
Merrimack 66 - Wagner 58	0.754	Merrimack 47 - Wagner 54	15
Montana 74 - Idaho State 66	0.685	Montana 72 - Idaho State 58	-6
Montana State 70 - Sacramento State 64	0.646	Montana State 74 - Sacramento State 71	3
Mt St Marys 71 - Canisius 69	0.552	Mt St Marys 61 - Canisius 77	18
NC State 83 - Louisville 72	0.801	NC State 94 - Louisville 85	2
Niagara 74 - Siena 62	0.796	Niagara 67 - Siena 65	10
Notre Dame 74 - Georgia Tech 73	0.501	Notre Dame 84 - Georgia Tech 80	-3
Oakland 76 - Milwaukee 70	0.661	Oakland 83 - Milwaukee 76	-1
Rhode Island 77 - Saint Louis 79	0.559	Rhode Island 71 - Saint Louis 74	1
Saint Marys 71 - Gonzaga 72	0.522	Saint Marys 69 - Gonzaga 60	-10
South Dakota State 79 - Denver 69	0.734	South Dakota State 76 - Denver 68	2
Texas AM CC 70 - Nicholls State 65	0.644	Texas AM CC 73 - Nicholls State 81	13
UMass Lowell 75 - Bryant 72	0.573	UMass Lowell 77 - Bryant 70	-4
Vermont 75 - New Hampshire 60	0.846	Vermont 66 - New Hampshire 59	8

GAMES OF 3-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 72 - Alabama AM 66	0.679	Alcorn State 63 - Alabama AM 75	18
Arkansas 79 - Vanderbilt 72	0.679	Arkansas 90 - Vanderbilt 85	2
Brigham Young 80 - Central Florida 74	0.649	Brigham Young 87 - Central Florida 73	-8
Butler 77 - Xavier 78	0.514	Butler 72 - Xavier 76	3
California 77 - Stanford 78	0.523	California 76 - Stanford 87	10
Clemson 81 - Boston College 72	0.747	Clemson 55 - Boston College 76	30
Colgate 75 - Lehigh 64	0.815	Colgate 74 - Lehigh 55	-8
Colorado State 83 - San Jose State 64	0.91	Colorado State 72 - San Jose State 62	9
Duquesne 79 - Saint Louis 71	0.716	Duquesne 83 - Saint Louis 73	-2
Fairfield 73 - Iona 69	0.61	Fairfield 68 - Iona 63	-1
George Mason 73 - Saint Josephs 72	0.546	George Mason 57 - Saint Josephs 64	8
Georgia 79 - Missouri 72	0.757	Georgia 64 - Missouri 59	2
Grambling State 67 - Alabama State 62	0.664	Grambling State 56 - Alabama State 50	-1
Kansas 79 - Cincinnati 74	0.618	Kansas 52 - Cincinnati 72	25
Louisiana Tech 76 - Middle Tennessee 63	0.817	Louisiana Tech 67 - Middle Tennessee 70	16
Maryland 72 - Rutgers 69	0.578	Maryland 65 - Rutgers 51	-11
Mcneese State 75 - Nicholls State 61	0.845	Mcneese State 92 - Nicholls State 76	-2
Montana 74 - Montana State 68	0.647	Montana 70 - Montana State 85	21
New Mexico 85 - Air Force 66	0.861	New Mexico 82 - Air Force 56	-7
Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 57	0.884	Norfolk State 75 - Coppin State 51	-6
North Carolina Central 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	0.789	North Carolina Central 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 81	6
Penn State 82 - Michigan 75	0.675	Penn State 66 - Michigan 57	-2
Providence 82 - Georgetown 70	0.835	Providence 74 - Georgetown 56	-6
Quinnipiac 75 - Canisius 67	0.719	Quinnipiac 76 - Canisius 52	-16
Saint Bonaventure 78 - La Salle 69	0.707	Saint Bonaventure 75 - La Salle 73	7
Sam Houston State 79 - Florida International 67	0.797	Sam Houston State 78 - Florida International 59	-7
Stephen F Austin 73 - Abilene Christian 71	0.552	Stephen F Austin 60 - Abilene Christian 57	-1
Syracuse 79 - NC State 78	0.543	Syracuse 65 - NC State 83	19
Temple 77 - Texas San Antonio 75	0.57	Temple 64 - Texas San Antonio 61	-1
Texas 79 - Kansas State 74	0.633	Texas 74 - Kansas State 78	9
Texas Christian 79 - Oklahoma 78	0.524	Texas Christian 77 - Oklahoma 70	-6
UC Riverside 71 - Cal State Bakersfield 67	0.587	UC Riverside 83 - Cal State Bakersfield 78	-1
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.556	UC Santa Barbara 84 - Cal State Northridge 87	5
UCLA 73 - Oregon State 68	0.627	UCLA 67 - Oregon State 57	-5
Utah 79 - Arizona State 72	0.63	Utah 90 - Arizona State 57	-26
Utah Valley 69 - Cal Baptist 65	0.607	Utah Valley 63 - Cal Baptist 74	15
Villanova 85 - DePaul 63	0.93	Villanova 58 - DePaul 57	21
Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Fordham 66	0.809	Virginia Commonwealth 69 - Fordham 62	5
Virginia Tech 79 - Florida State 76	0.579	Virginia Tech 76 - Florida State 86	13
Wake Forest 78 - Notre Dame 69	0.714	Wake Forest 72 - Notre Dame 59	-4
Washington 79 - Southern California 77	0.552	Washington 74 - Southern California 80	8
Wichita State 75 - Rice 70	0.607	Wichita State 88 - Rice 81	-2
Wyoming 77 - Fresno State 71	0.636	Wyoming 73 - Fresno State 77	10

GAMES OF 3-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Miami OH 63	0.706	Akron 75 - Miami OH 63	-3
Arizona 87 - Southern California 73	0.761	Arizona 70 - Southern California 49	-7
Baylor 81 - Cincinnati 75	0.673	Baylor 68 - Cincinnati 56	-6
Boise State 78 - New Mexico 77	0.538	Boise State 66 - New Mexico 76	11
Central Michigan 68 - Bowling Green 69	0.524	Central Michigan 56 - Bowling Green 66	9
Colorado 80 - Utah 76	0.586	Colorado 72 - Utah 58	-10
Connecticut 84 - Xavier 70	0.799	Connecticut 87 - Xavier 60	-13
Creighton 80 - Providence 72	0.712	Creighton 73 - Providence 78	13
Dayton 76 - Duquesne 67	0.755	Dayton 57 - Duquesne 65	17
Duke 83 - NC State 71	0.843	Duke 69 - NC State 74	17
East Carolina 71 - Tulsa 72	0.503	East Carolina 84 - Tulsa 79	-6
Florida 83 - Georgia 75	0.737	Florida 85 - Georgia 80	3
Hawaii 74 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.654	Hawaii 75 - Cal State Northridge 68	-2
Houston 82 - Texas Christian 69	0.849	Houston 60 - Texas Christian 45	-2
Howard 75 - Morgan State 70	0.642	Howard 78 - Morgan State 65	-8
Indiana 78 - Penn State 77	0.521	Indiana 61 - Penn State 59	-1
Iowa 78 - Ohio State 79	0.509	Iowa 78 - Ohio State 90	11
Iowa State 78 - Kansas State 70	0.723	Iowa State 76 - Kansas State 57	-11
Liberty 71 - Texas El Paso 69	0.565	Liberty 57 - Texas El Paso 66	11
Long Beach State 74 - UC Riverside 73	0.513	Long Beach State 86 - UC Riverside 67	-18
Louisiana State 73 - Mississippi State 78	0.62	Louisiana State 60 - Mississippi State 70	5
Loyola Ill 74 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.599	Loyola Ill 74 - Saint Bonaventure 75	5
Marist 67 - Niagara 66	0.545	Marist 65 - Niagara 59	-5
Marquette 77 - Villanova 72	0.623	Marquette 71 - Villanova 65	-1
Massachusetts 73 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.537	Massachusetts 59 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	13
Memphis 81 - Wichita State 71	0.743	Memphis 65 - Wichita State 71	16
Michigan State 78 - Minnesota 71	0.688	Michigan State 77 - Minnesota 67	-3
Nevada 75 - Colorado State 73	0.562	Nevada 78 - Colorado State 85	9
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - San Diego State 74	0.573	Nevada Las Vegas 71 - San Diego State 74	0
North Carolina 85 - Florida State 72	0.833	North Carolina 92 - Florida State 67	-12
North Texas 76 - Tulane 70	0.692	North Texas 81 - Tulane 71	-4
Ohio 77 - Western Michigan 66	0.776	Ohio 82 - Western Michigan 55	-16
Oregon 74 - UCLA 70	0.611	Oregon 68 - UCLA 66	2
Pittsburgh 75 - Wake Forest 76	0.504	Pittsburgh 81 - Wake Forest 69	-13
Richmond 76 - Saint Josephs 71	0.632	Richmond 61 - Saint Josephs 66	10
Rider 68 - Saint Peters 67	0.503	Rider 48 - Saint Peters 50	3
Saint Johns 78 - Seton Hall 74	0.593	Saint Johns 91 - Seton Hall 72	-15
Seattle 71 - Cal Baptist 65	0.655	Seattle 81 - Cal Baptist 57	-18
South Carolina 79 - Arkansas 71	0.683	South Carolina 80 - Arkansas 66	-6
South Carolina State 70 - Delaware State 67	0.581	South Carolina State 58 - Delaware State 71	16
Southern 68 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.614	Southern 58 - Bethune Cookman 73	18
Southern Methodist 79 - Temple 67	0.805	Southern Methodist 60 - Temple 75	27
Texas AM 76 - Mississippi 72	0.583	Texas AM 80 - Mississippi 71	-5
Texas Arlington 74 - Stephen F Austin 71	0.597	Texas Arlington 109 - Stephen F Austin 78	-28
Texas Southern 70 - Jackson State 67	0.592	Texas Southern 73 - Jackson State 62	-8
Texas Tech 78 - Brigham Young 79	0.519	Texas Tech 81 - Brigham Young 67	-15
Toledo 77 - Kent State 71	0.659	Toledo 59 - Kent State 67	14
Utah State 83 - Fresno State 66	0.881	Utah State 87 - Fresno State 75	5
Virginia 73 - Boston College 68	0.624	Virginia 66 - Boston College 60	-1
Washington State 79 - Stanford 71	0.696	Washington State 79 - Stanford 62	-9
Western Kentucky 77 - New Mexico State 69	0.732	Western Kentucky 89 - New Mexico State 69	-12
Wisconsin 76 - Maryland 71	0.624	Wisconsin 87 - Maryland 56	-26

GAMES OF 3-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 70 - Ohio 69	0.553	Akron 65 - Ohio 62	-2
Alabama 86 - Florida 82	0.597	Alabama 88 - Florida 102	18
Alabama Birmingham 77 - Wichita State 71	0.656	Alabama Birmingham 72 - Wichita State 60	-6
Arizona 85 - Oregon 74	0.747	Arizona 59 - Oregon 67	19
Auburn 78 - South Carolina 71	0.679	Auburn 86 - South Carolina 55	-24
Bowling Green 70 - Kent State 71	0.535	Bowling Green 60 - Kent State 73	12
Charlotte 74 - Temple 66	0.75	Charlotte 54 - Temple 58	12
Fairfield 69 - Marist 65	0.609	Fairfield 65 - Marist 61	0
Florida Atlantic 75 - North Texas 69	0.678	Florida Atlantic 77 - North Texas 71	0
Grambling State 68 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.606	Grambling State 65 - Bethune Cookman 53	-9
Grand Canyon 75 - Seattle 66	0.738	Grand Canyon 80 - Seattle 72	1
Houston 80 - Texas Tech 69	0.769	Houston 82 - Texas Tech 59	-12
Illinois 82 - Ohio State 76	0.685	Illinois 77 - Ohio State 74	3
Iowa State 77 - Baylor 76	0.518	Iowa State 76 - Baylor 62	-13
Kentucky 82 - Texas AM 76	0.658	Kentucky 87 - Texas AM 97	16
Marquette 80 - Providence 72	0.699	Marquette 79 - Providence 68	-3
Nebraska 79 - Indiana 74	0.632	Nebraska 93 - Indiana 66	-22
New Mexico 78 - Colorado State 77	0.506	New Mexico 74 - Colorado State 61	-12
Norfolk State 72 - Howard 68	0.622	Norfolk State 74 - Howard 80	10
North Carolina 80 - Pittsburgh 72	0.691	North Carolina 72 - Pittsburgh 65	1
North Carolina Central 72 - Delaware State 66	0.66	North Carolina Central 58 - Delaware State 71	19
Northwestern 75 - Wisconsin 76	0.526	Northwestern 61 - Wisconsin 70	8
Purdue 80 - Michigan State 71	0.739	Purdue 67 - Michigan State 62	4
Quinnipiac 70 - Saint Peters 67	0.595	Quinnipiac 60 - Saint Peters 62	5
Saint Johns 72 - Connecticut 81	0.7	Saint Johns 90 - Connecticut 95	-4
Sam Houston State 73 - Texas El Paso 68	0.643	Sam Houston State 63 - Texas El Paso 65	7
South Florida 76 - East Carolina 65	0.775	South Florida 81 - East Carolina 59	-11
Tarleton State 73 - Texas Arlington 72	0.527	Tarleton State 84 - Texas Arlington 87	4
Tennessee 79 - Mississippi State 70	0.733	Tennessee 56 - Mississippi State 73	26
Texas Southern 70 - Alabama AM 64	0.705	Texas Southern 72 - Alabama AM 65	-1
UC Davis 69 - Hawaii 70	0.514	UC Davis 68 - Hawaii 65	-4
UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 69	0.792	UC Irvine 79 - Long Beach State 83	14
Utah State 74 - San Diego State 75	0.531	Utah State 70 - San Diego State 86	15
Virginia 72 - NC State 69	0.582	Virginia 65 - NC State 73	11
Washington State 74 - Colorado 75	0.525	Washington State 52 - Colorado 58	5
Western Kentucky 77 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.71	Western Kentucky 85 - Middle Tennessee 54	-23

GAMES OF 3-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 72 - Kent State 66	0.662	Akron 62 - Kent State 61	5
Auburn 80 - Mississippi State 72	0.7	Auburn 73 - Mississippi State 66	1
Colorado 79 - Oregon 74	0.618	Colorado 68 - Oregon 75	12
Connecticut 80 - Marquette 74	0.64	Connecticut 73 - Marquette 57	-10
Duquesne 72 - Saint Bonaventure 71	0.516	Duquesne 70 - Saint Bonaventure 60	-9
Fairfield 70 - Saint Peters 66	0.59	Fairfield 63 - Saint Peters 68	9
Florida 79 - Texas AM 76	0.581	Florida 95 - Texas AM 90	-2
Florida Atlantic 84 - Temple 67	0.887	Florida Atlantic 73 - Temple 74	18
Grambling State 65 - Texas Southern 66	0.513	Grambling State 75 - Texas Southern 66	-10
Grand Canyon 77 - Texas Arlington 69	0.727	Grand Canyon 89 - Texas Arlington 74	-7
Houston 76 - Iowa State 68	0.705	Houston 41 - Iowa State 69	36
Howard 72 - Delaware State 68	0.599	Howard 70 - Delaware State 67	1
Illinois 82 - Nebraska 78	0.621	Illinois 98 - Nebraska 87	-7
North Carolina 84 - NC State 72	0.844	North Carolina 76 - NC State 84	20
Princeton 77 - Brown 64	0.856	Princeton 81 - Brown 90	22
Purdue 83 - Wisconsin 73	0.766	Purdue 75 - Wisconsin 76	11
San Diego State 77 - New Mexico 75	0.562	San Diego State 61 - New Mexico 68	9
South Florida 75 - Alabama Birmingham 72	0.578	South Florida 83 - Alabama Birmingham 93	13
UC Davis 74 - Long Beach State 72	0.562	UC Davis 70 - Long Beach State 74	6
Vermont 73 - UMass Lowell 64	0.736	Vermont 66 - UMass Lowell 61	4
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Saint Josephs 72	0.604	Virginia Commonwealth 66 - Saint Josephs 60	-2
Western Kentucky 75 - Texas El Paso 72	0.6	Western Kentucky 78 - Texas El Paso 71	-4
Yale 74 - Cornell 73	0.536	Yale 69 - Cornell 57	-11

GAMES OF 3-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Temple 69	0.745	Alabama Birmingham 85 - Temple 69	-6
Auburn 83 - Florida 77	0.655	Auburn 86 - Florida 67	-13
Illinois 82 - Wisconsin 77	0.641	Illinois 93 - Wisconsin 87	-1
Virginia Commonwealth 71 - Duquesne 70	0.558	Virginia Commonwealth 51 - Duquesne 57	7
Yale 75 - Brown 65	0.802	Yale 62 - Brown 61	9

Number of DI Games: 196
Number Correct: 131 = 66.8%
Expected Number Correct: 129.014 = 65.8%
Average Error: 9.09
Average Signed Error: 1.4

CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT PROJECTED CHAMPIONS

Ohio Valley

(3)Morehead State: 35.6
(1)Arkansas Little Rock: 30
(2)Tennessee Martin: 21
(4)Western Illinois: 9.4
(5)Tennessee State: 2.1
(6)SIU Edwardsville: 1.2
(7)Eastern Illinois: 0.4
(8)Southern Indiana: 0.2

Big South

(1)High Point: 50.1
(2)UNC Asheville: 24.3
(3)Gardner Webb: 9.5
(4)Winthrop: 7.8
(5)Longwood: 4.7
(6)Presbyterian: 1.5
(9)Radford: 1.4
(7)Charleston Southern: 0.6
(8)South Carolina Upstate: 0.2

Missouri Valley

(1)Indiana State: 30.1
(2)Drake: 30
(3)Bradley: 18.2
(4)Northern Iowa: 8.3
(5)Belmont: 6.5
(6)Southern Illinois: 3.5
(8)Murray State: 1.2
(9)Missouri State: 1
(7)Illinois State: 0.8
(10)Evansville: 0.3
(11)Illinois Chicago: 0.2
(12)Valparaiso: 0

Atlantic Sun

(1)Eastern Kentucky: 29.2
(3)Lipscomb: 27.3
(2)Stetson: 16.9
(4)Austin Peay: 11.1
(5)North Florida: 5.9
(7)Florida Gulf Coast: 3.6
(6)North Alabama: 2.9
(8)Queens: 1.3
(9)Kennesaw St: 1.2
(10)Jacksonville: 0.7

Sun Belt

(2)James Madison: 36.3
(1)Appalachian State: 34.5
(3)Troy: 11.4
(4)Arkansas State: 7.7
(5)UL Lafayette: 5.2
(8)South Alabama: 1.3
(6)Southern Miss: 1
(7)Georgia State: 1
(11)Texas State: 0.8
(10)Marshall: 0.4
(9)Georgia Southern: 0.3
(12)UL Monroe: 0.1
(14)Old Dominion: 0
(13)Coastal Carolina: 0

Southern

(1)Samford: 34.3
(2)UNC Greensboro: 15.6
(4)Western Carolina: 14.8
(3)Chattanooga: 12.9
(5)Furman: 9.3
(6)Wofford: 6.5
(7)East Tennessee State: 4.1
(8)Mercer: 2.3
(9)The Citadel: 0.3
(10)Virginia Military Institute: 0

Horizon

(2)Youngstown State: 24.9
(1)Oakland: 20.5
(4)Wright State: 18
(5)Northern Kentucky: 10.1
(3)Green Bay: 8
(8)IPFW: 6.7
(6)Milwaukee: 6
(7)Cleveland State: 5.6
(9)Robert Morris: 0.2
(11)Detroit: 0
(10)IUPUI: 0

Northeastern

(1)Central Connecticut State: 40.8
(2)Merrimack: 39.1
(3)Sacred Heart: 8.8
(4)Le Moyne: 6.6
(6)Wagner: 2.2
(5)Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.8
(7)LIU Brooklyn: 0.5
(8)Saint Francis Penn: 0.2

Coastal

(1)College of Charleston: 33.1
(3)Hofstra: 19.6
(2)Drexel: 15.9
(4)UNC Wilmington: 15.3
(5)Towson: 6.7
(6)Delaware: 3.7
(7)Stony Brook: 2.9
(8)Monmouth: 2.1
(10)Northeastern: 0.5
(9)Campbell: 0.2
(11)Elon: 0
(13)William and Mary: 0
(14)Hampton: 0
(12)North Carolina AT: 0

West Coast

(2)Gonzaga: 45.5
(1)Saint Marys: 43
(3)San Francisco: 7.2
(4)Santa Clara: 3.8
(7)Loyola Marymount: 0.2
(5)San Diego: 0.1
(8)Pepperdine: 0.1
(6)Portland: 0
(9)Pacific: 0

Summit

(1)South Dakota State: 32.3
(4)Saint Thomas: 19.7
(2)UMKC: 16.3
(3)North Dakota: 12.4
(5)North Dakota State: 6.2
(6)Omaha: 5.7
(7)Denver: 4.6
(8)Oral Roberts: 1.9
(9)South Dakota: 0.8

Southland

(1)Mcneese State: 63.8
(2)Texas AM CC: 22.8
(3)Nicholls State: 6.2
(4)Lamar: 5.6
(5)Southeast Louisiana: 1.2
(6)Northwestern State: 0.3
(7)Texas AM Commerce: 0.2
(8)New Orleans: 0

Big Sky

(1)Eastern Washington: 32.5
(3)Montana: 21.8
(4)Weber State: 17.1
(2)Northern Colorado: 14.8
(5)Montana State: 5.4
(6)Portland State: 4.7
(8)Idaho State: 1.7
(7)Northern Arizona: 1.1
(9)Idaho: 0.4
(10)Sacramento State: 0.4

Patriot

(1)Colgate: 71.2
(2)Boston: 9.9
(4)American: 5.5
(6)Lehigh: 4.7
(3)Lafayette: 3.7
(5)Bucknell: 3.5
(7)Navy: 0.9
(8)Army: 0.3
(10)Loyola MD: 0.1
(9)Holy Cross: 0

America East

(1)Vermont: 66.6
(2)UMass Lowell: 16.6
(3)Bryant: 9.2
(4)New Hampshire: 2.9
(6)Maine: 1.6
(5)Binghamton: 1.5
(8)Albany: 0.8
(7)UMBC: 0.8

MEAC

(1)Norfolk State: 47.9
(2)North Carolina Central: 22.7
(4)Howard: 10.8
(3)South Carolina State: 9.8
(6)Delaware State: 4.8
(5)Morgan State: 2.9
(7)Maryland Eastern Shore: 0.9
(8)Coppin State: 0.2

SWAC

(4)Southern: 19.6
(1)Grambling State: 19.2
(3)Texas Southern: 19.1
(2)Alcorn State: 18.5
(6)Jackson State: 8.8
(5)Bethune Cookman: 7.1
(8)Alabama State: 4.2
(7)Alabama AM: 3.4

Big 12

(1)Houston: 49.9
(2)Iowa State: 13.8
(3)Baylor: 11.6
(4)Texas Tech: 6.3
(6)Kansas: 5.8
(5)Brigham Young: 5.1
(7)Texas: 3.4
(9)Oklahoma: 1.1
(8)Texas Christian: 1.1
(11)Cincinnati: 0.8
(10)Kansas State: 0.6
(12)Central Florida: 0.4
(13)Oklahoma State: 0
(14)West Virginia: 0

Mountain West

(1)Utah State: 21.2
(5)San Diego State: 17.5
(2)Nevada: 16.5
(3)Boise State: 15.2
(4)Nevada Las Vegas: 11.3
(7)Colorado State: 8.9
(6)New Mexico: 8.9
(8)Wyoming: 0.4
(9)Fresno State: 0.1
(11)Air Force: 0
(10)San Jose State: 0

Big East

(1)Connecticut: 39.8
(2)Creighton: 20.1
(3)Marquette: 15.6
(5)Saint Johns: 11.3
(6)Villanova: 5
(4)Seton Hall: 4
(7)Providence: 2.1
(9)Xavier: 1.1
(8)Butler: 0.8
(10)Georgetown: 0
(11)Depaul: 0

MAAC

(1)Quinnipiac: 24.2
(2)Fairfield: 24.1
(4)Rider: 11.7
(5)Saint Peters: 11.4
(3)Marist: 11.3
(7)Iona: 7.1
(6)Niagara: 5.4
(8)Mt St Marys: 3
(9)Canisius: 1.5
(10)Manhattan: 0.1
(11)Siena: 0.1

MAC

(1)Toledo: 26.6
(2)Akron: 26.2
(3)Ohio: 22.7
(8)Kent State: 7
(5)Bowling Green: 6.4
(4)Central Michigan: 5.6
(7)Miami OH: 3.9
(6)Western Michigan: 1.6

Conference USA

(2)Louisiana Tech: 41
(1)Sam Houston State: 21.2
(3)Western Kentucky: 14.2
(4)Liberty: 12
(5)Texas El Paso: 5.8
(8)Jacksonville State: 2.1
(7)Middle Tennessee: 1.8
(6)New Mexico State: 1.6
(9)Florida International: 0.3

ACC

(1)North Carolina: 34.8
(2)Duke: 33
(4)Pittsburgh: 8
(6)Clemson: 7.1
(3)Virginia: 5.6
(5)Wake Forest: 5.4
(8)Virginia Tech: 2.4
(7)Syracuse: 1.9
(9)Florida State: 0.6
(10)NC State: 0.5
(14)Miami: 0.3
(11)Boston College: 0.2
(12)Notre Dame: 0.1
(13)Georgia Tech: 0.1
(15)Louisville: 0

Big West

(1)UC Irvine: 60.2
(2)UC Davis: 18
(3)Hawaii: 9.8
(4)Long Beach State: 4.8
(5)UC Riverside: 2.6
(6)UC Santa Barbara: 2.4
(7)Cal State Northridge: 1.2
(8)Cal State Bakersfield: 1

Pac 12

(1)Arizona: 41.4
(3)Colorado: 17.6
(2)Washington State: 16.9
(4)Oregon: 9.1
(6)Utah: 4.8
(8)Washington: 3
(5)UCLA: 2.2
(9)Southern California: 1.9
(10)Stanford: 1.3
(7)California: 0.8
(11)Arizona State: 0.7
(12)Oregon State: 0.4

WAC

(1)Grand Canyon: 57.8
(2)Tarleton State: 19.7
(3)Texas Arlington: 9.6
(4)Seattle: 6.8
(5)Utah Valley: 2.4
(6)Stephen F Austin: 2.1
(7)Abilene Christian: 1.1
(8)Cal Baptist: 0.5

Ivy

(1)Princeton: 55
(2)Yale: 23.6
(3)Cornell: 18.9
(4)Brown: 2.5

Atlantic 10

(3)Dayton: 40.3
(2)Loyola Ill: 15
(1)Richmond: 14.3
(4)Massachusetts: 8.6
(5)Virginia Commonwealth: 7.6
(7)Saint Bonaventure: 4.1
(8)George Mason: 3.6
(6)Duquesne: 3.5
(9)Saint Josephs: 2
(13)Davidson: 0.7
(14)Saint Louis: 0.1
(10)La Salle: 0.1
(15)George Washington: 0.1
(11)Rhode Island: 0
(12)Fordham: 0

SEC

(1)Tennessee: 29.6
(4)Auburn: 23.1
(3)Alabama: 17.2
(2)Kentucky: 16
(6)Florida: 5.2
(5)South Carolina: 3.2
(9)Mississippi State: 2.3
(7)Texas AM: 2
(10)Mississippi: 0.6
(8)Louisiana State: 0.4
(12)Arkansas: 0.2
(11)Georgia: 0.1
(14)Missouri: 0
(13)Vanderbilt: 0

American

(2)Florida Atlantic: 32.4
(1)South Florida: 20.7
(5)Memphis: 13.1
(6)Southern Methodist: 11.4
(4)Alabama Birmingham: 9
(3)Charlotte: 5.7
(7)North Texas: 5.4
(9)Tulsa: 0.7
(8)East Carolina: 0.6
(10)Tulane: 0.5
(12)Wichita State: 0.4
(13)Rice: 0.1
(11)Temple: 0.1
(14)Texas San Antonio: 0

Big 10

(1)Purdue: 47.2
(2)Illinois: 21.6
(3)Nebraska: 9.6
(4)Northwestern: 5.8
(8)Michigan State: 4.8
(5)Wisconsin: 4.2
(10)Ohio State: 2.2
(7)Iowa: 1.8
(6)Indiana: 1.1
(11)Penn State: 0.6
(12)Maryland: 0.5
(9)Minnesota: 0.3
(13)Rutgers: 0.2
(14)Michigan: 0

GAMES OF 3-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Butler 78 - Minnesota 76	0.571	Butler 72 - Minnesota 73	3
Central Florida 74 - South Florida 71	0.577	Central Florida 77 - South Florida 83	9
Georgia 76 - Xavier 77	0.515	Georgia 78 - Xavier 76	-3
Howard 66 - Wagner 65	0.548	Howard 68 - Wagner 71	4
Iowa 81 - Kansas State 78	0.571	Iowa 91 - Kansas State 82	-6
Louisiana State 72 - North Texas 70	0.561	Louisiana State 77 - North Texas 84	9
Ohio State 80 - Cornell 72	0.743	Ohio State 88 - Cornell 83	3
Providence 77 - Boston College 72	0.642	Providence 57 - Boston College 62	10
Tarleton State 75 - Texas Southern 63	0.833	Tarleton State 82 - Texas Southern 71	1
Texas AM CC 69 - Abilene Christian 68	0.53	Texas AM CC 63 - Abilene Christian 73	11
Utah 77 - UC Irvine 73	0.596	Utah 84 - UC Irvine 75	-5
Virginia 68 - Colorado State 70	0.547	Virginia 42 - Colorado State 67	23
Virginia Tech 75 - Richmond 73	0.56	Virginia Tech 74 - Richmond 58	-14

GAMES OF 3-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Austin Peay 74 - Alabama AM 63	0.804	Austin Peay 71 - Alabama AM 81	21
Boise State 75 - Colorado 76	0.517	Boise State 53 - Colorado 60	6
Bowling Green 70 - IPFW 71	0.544	Bowling Green 75 - IPFW 77	1
Bradley 73 - Loyola Ill 70	0.559	Bradley 74 - Loyola Ill 62	-9
Cincinnati 77 - San Francisco 71	0.667	Cincinnati 73 - San Francisco 72	5
Indiana State 79 - Southern Methodist 72	0.67	Indiana State 101 - Southern Methodist 92	-2
Montana State 68 - Grambling State 66	0.568	Montana State 81 - Grambling State 88	9
Princeton 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.531	Princeton 77 - Nevada Las Vegas 84	9
Seton Hall 77 - Saint Josephs 72	0.647	Seton Hall 75 - Saint Josephs 72	2
Tarleton State 75 - Abilene Christian 67	0.714	Tarleton State 86 - Abilene Christian 59	-19
Villanova 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 69	0.607	Villanova 61 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	12
Wake Forest 77 - Appalachian State 71	0.648	Wake Forest 87 - Appalachian State 76	-5

GAMES OF 3-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 89 - Long Beach State 69	0.871	Arizona 85 - Long Beach State 65	0
Brigham Young 78 - Duquesne 72	0.669	Brigham Young 67 - Duquesne 71	10
Creighton 80 - Akron 66	0.823	Creighton 77 - Akron 60	-3
Dayton 75 - Nevada 74	0.514	Dayton 63 - Nevada 60	-2
Gonzaga 77 - Mcneese State 67	0.741	Gonzaga 86 - Mcneese State 65	-11
Illinois 82 - Morehead State 67	0.89	Illinois 85 - Morehead State 69	-1
Iowa State 81 - South Dakota State 62	0.875	Iowa State 82 - South Dakota State 65	2
Kansas 80 - Samford 73	0.656	Kansas 93 - Samford 89	3
Kentucky 85 - Oakland 71	0.814	Kentucky 76 - Oakland 80	18
Mississippi State 72 - Michigan State 73	0.529	Mississippi State 51 - Michigan State 69	17
North Carolina 83 - Wagner 54	0.96	North Carolina 90 - Wagner 62	1
South Carolina 73 - Oregon 72	0.535	South Carolina 73 - Oregon 87	15
Tennessee 79 - Saint Peters 58	0.913	Tennessee 83 - Saint Peters 49	-13
Texas 77 - Colorado State 75	0.554	Texas 56 - Colorado State 44	-10
Texas Tech 80 - NC State 75	0.623	Texas Tech 67 - NC State 80	18
Washington State 73 - Drake 74	0.523	Washington State 66 - Drake 61	-6

GAMES OF 3-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 86 - College of Charleston 76	0.718	Alabama 109 - College of Charleston 96	-3
Auburn 80 - Yale 66	0.842	Auburn 76 - Yale 78	16
Baylor 81 - Colgate 66	0.877	Baylor 92 - Colgate 67	-10
Clemson 76 - New Mexico 78	0.55	Clemson 77 - New Mexico 56	-23
Connecticut 86 - Stetson 60	0.932	Connecticut 91 - Stetson 52	-13
Duke 75 - Vermont 64	0.806	Duke 64 - Vermont 47	-6
Florida 80 - Colorado 79	0.519	Florida 100 - Colorado 102	3
Florida Atlantic 77 - Northwestern 76	0.523	Florida Atlantic 65 - Northwestern 77	13
Houston 83 - Longwood 57	0.937	Houston 86 - Longwood 46	-14
Marquette 85 - Western Kentucky 70	0.853	Marquette 87 - Western Kentucky 69	-3
Nebraska 77 - Texas AM 75	0.555	Nebraska 83 - Texas AM 98	17
Purdue 86 - Grambling State 57	0.971	Purdue 78 - Grambling State 50	1
Saint Marys 72 - Grand Canyon 66	0.647	Saint Marys 66 - Grand Canyon 75	15
San Diego State 78 - Alabama Birmingham 70	0.689	San Diego State 69 - Alabama Birmingham 65	4
Utah State 80 - Texas Christian 79	0.504	Utah State 88 - Texas Christian 72	-15
Wisconsin 77 - James Madison 72	0.635	Wisconsin 61 - James Madison 72	16

GAMES OF 3-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 80 - Dayton 75	0.631	Arizona 78 - Dayton 68	-5
Arkansas State 78 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.814	Arkansas State 86 - Bethune Cookman 85	12
Cincinnati 76 - Bradley 71	0.61	Cincinnati 74 - Bradley 57	-12
Creighton 79 - Oregon 74	0.652	Creighton 86 - Oregon 73	-8
Illinois 81 - Duquesne 72	0.784	Illinois 89 - Duquesne 63	-17
Iowa State 76 - Washington State 68	0.701	Iowa State 67 - Washington State 56	-3
Kansas 76 - Gonzaga 77	0.525	Kansas 68 - Gonzaga 89	20
NC State 78 - Oakland 70	0.721	NC State 79 - Oakland 73	2
Norfolk State 72 - Alabama AM 62	0.752	Norfolk State 81 - Alabama AM 66	-5
North Carolina 77 - Michigan State 72	0.64	North Carolina 85 - Michigan State 69	-11
Ohio State 78 - Virginia Tech 74	0.615	Ohio State 81 - Virginia Tech 73	-4
Seattle 74 - Delaware State 62	0.806	Seattle 79 - Delaware State 66	-1
Seton Hall 72 - North Texas 68	0.627	Seton Hall 72 - North Texas 58	-10
Tennessee 79 - Texas 73	0.656	Tennessee 62 - Texas 58	2
UC San Diego 76 - Chicago State 63	0.788	UC San Diego 75 - Chicago State 77	15

GAMES OF 3-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 82 - Grand Canyon 76	0.646	Alabama 72 - Grand Canyon 61	-5
Baylor 80 - Clemson 75	0.64	Baylor 64 - Clemson 72	13
Connecticut 81 - Northwestern 69	0.775	Connecticut 75 - Northwestern 58	-5
Duke 79 - James Madison 71	0.739	Duke 93 - James Madison 55	-30
Fairfield 72 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.544	Fairfield 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 75	-6
Houston 79 - Texas AM 65	0.792	Houston 100 - Texas AM 95	9
Indiana State 81 - Minnesota 74	0.696	Indiana State 76 - Minnesota 64	-5
Marquette 79 - Colorado 75	0.578	Marquette 81 - Colorado 77	0
Montana 75 - Presbyterian 66	0.707	Montana 82 - Presbyterian 79	6
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - Boston College 72	0.611	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - Boston College 70	-5
Northern Colorado 73 - Cleveland State 74	0.529	Northern Colorado 49 - Cleveland State 51	1
Purdue 83 - Utah State 74	0.771	Purdue 106 - Utah State 67	-30
Quinnipiac 75 - Evansville 70	0.625	Quinnipiac 63 - Evansville 64	6
San Diego State 74 - Yale 67	0.732	San Diego State 85 - Yale 57	-21
South Florida 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.546	South Florida 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	7
Utah 81 - Iowa 80	0.527	Utah 91 - Iowa 82	-8
Wake Forest 80 - Georgia 72	0.728	Wake Forest 66 - Georgia 72	14

GAMES OF 3-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 74 - Montana 72	0.552	Arkansas State 74 - Montana 61	-11
Fairfield 75 - Chicago State 64	0.766	Fairfield 77 - Chicago State 74	8
High Point 76 - Cleveland State 70	0.671	High Point 93 - Cleveland State 74	-13
Seattle 74 - Evansville 68	0.66	Seattle 71 - Evansville 57	-8
Tarleton State 74 - IPFW 68	0.67	Tarleton State 72 - IPFW 73	7

GAMES OF 3-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
High Point 76 - Arkansas State 75	0.521	High Point 81 - Arkansas State 80	0
Indiana State 78 - Cincinnati 76	0.56	Indiana State 85 - Cincinnati 81	-2
Ohio State 79 - Georgia 71	0.745	Ohio State 77 - Georgia 79	10
Seattle 72 - Fairfield 70	0.557	Seattle 75 - Fairfield 58	-15

GAMES OF 3-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
High Point 73 - Seattle 72	0.529	High Point 67 - Seattle 77	11
Norfolk State 68 - IPFW 70	0.544	Norfolk State 75 - IPFW 67	-10
Seton Hall 74 - Nevada Las Vegas 72	0.554	Seton Hall 91 - Nevada Las Vegas 68	-21
Utah 75 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0.552	Utah 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 54	-18

GAMES OF 3-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 82 - Clemson 75	0.657	Arizona 72 - Clemson 77	12
Connecticut 78 - San Diego State 69	0.713	Connecticut 82 - San Diego State 52	-21
Iowa State 79 - Illinois 77	0.565	Iowa State 69 - Illinois 72	5
North Carolina 83 - Alabama 81	0.556	North Carolina 87 - Alabama 89	4

GAMES OF 3-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Houston 77 - Duke 70	0.671	Houston 51 - Duke 54	10
Marquette 81 - NC State 75	0.678	Marquette 58 - NC State 67	15
Purdue 81 - Gonzaga 75	0.691	Purdue 80 - Gonzaga 68	-6
Tennessee 78 - Creighton 74	0.585	Tennessee 82 - Creighton 75	-3

GAMES OF 3-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 84 - Clemson 79	0.606	Alabama 89 - Clemson 82	-2
Connecticut 82 - Illinois 77	0.647	Connecticut 77 - Illinois 52	-20

GAMES OF 3-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Duke 81 - NC State 73	0.73	Duke 64 - NC State 76	20
Purdue 78 - Tennessee 76	0.56	Purdue 72 - Tennessee 66	-4

GAMES OF 4-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Indiana State 79 - Utah 77	0.557	Indiana State 100 - Utah 90	-8
Seton Hall 76 - Georgia 73	0.612	Seton Hall 84 - Georgia 67	-14

GAMES OF 4-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Seton Hall 75 - Indiana State 77	0.559	Seton Hall 79 - Indiana State 77	-4

GAMES OF 4-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Connecticut 84 - Alabama 78	0.638	Connecticut 86 - Alabama 72	-8
Purdue 85 - NC State 72	0.831	Purdue 63 - NC State 50	0

GAMES OF 4-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Connecticut 78 - Purdue 77	0.528	Connecticut 75 - Purdue 60	-14

Number of DI Games: 120
Number Correct: 81 = 67.5%
Expected Number Correct: 79.091 = 65.9%
Average Error: 9.2
Average Signed Error: -0.61